analysis of individual health insurance data pertaining to pap
Transcription
analysis of individual health insurance data pertaining to pap
Scientific institute of Public Health Departement of Epidemiolopgy Analysis of individual health insurance data pertaining to pap smears, colposcopies, biopsies and surgery on the uterine cervix (Belgium, 1996-2000) Marc ARBYN1,2, Herman VAN OYEN IPH/EPI REPORTS Nr. 2004 – 021 Epidemiology, October 2004; Brussels (Belgium) Scientific Institute of Public Heatlh, SIPH/EPI REPORTS N 2004 – 021 Depotnumber: D/2004/2505/42 Analysis of individual health insurance data pertaining to pap smears, colposcopies, biopsies and surgery on the uterine cervix (Belgium, 1996-2000) Autors: Marc ARBYN 1,2 Herman VAN OYEN 1 1.European Network for Cervical Cancer Screening 2.Scientific Institute of Public Health, Unit Epidemiology Scientific Institute of Public Heatlh J. Wytsmanstr. 14 1050 Brussels Belgium Tel: + 32 2 642 50 21 Fax: +32 2 642 54 10 e-mail: [email protected] http://www.iph.fgov.be/epidemio/ SIPH/EPI REPORTS Nr. 2004 – 021 ©2004 by Scientific Institute of Public Health, Brussels (Belgium) All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior permission of the publisher. Analysis of individual health insurance data pertaining to Pap smears, colposcopies, biopsies and surgery on the uterine cervix (Belgium, 1996-2000) 1. Table of contents 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Table of contents....................................................................................................3 Executive summary................................................................................................5 Résumé et commentaires .......................................................................................7 Samenvatting en commentaar ..............................................................................10 Introduction..........................................................................................................13 Material and methods...........................................................................................15 Results..................................................................................................................17 7.1. Papanicolaou smears of the uterine cervix....................................................17 7.1.1. National level .......................................................................................17 7.1.2. Regional level ......................................................................................26 7.1.3. Provincial level ....................................................................................30 7.1.4. District level.........................................................................................35 7.2. Profession of Pap smear takers .....................................................................43 7.2.1. Regional level ......................................................................................43 7.2.2. Provincial level ....................................................................................44 7.2.3. District level.........................................................................................45 7.3. Colposcopies & cervical biopsies .................................................................48 7.4. Hysterectomies..............................................................................................51 7.4.1. National level .......................................................................................51 7.4.2. Regional level ......................................................................................55 7.4.3. Provincial level ....................................................................................58 7.4.4. District level.........................................................................................59 7.5. Cytological screening in hysterectomised women........................................62 7.5.1. Use of Pap smears one year after hysterectomy ..................................62 7.5.2. Use of Pap smears in the 3-year period following hysterectomy ........65 8. Discussion ............................................................................................................67 8.1. Quality of the dataset ....................................................................................67 8.2. Comparison with results of the National Health Interview Survey (HIS) ....67 8.3. Comparison with statistics from by the National Health Insurance Institute .........................................................................................................70 8.3.1. Collection and interpretation of cervical smears .................................70 8.3.2. Colposcopies ........................................................................................75 8.3.3. Hysterectomies.....................................................................................75 8.4. Prevalence of cytological cervical lesions ....................................................77 8.5. Conclusions...................................................................................................78 8.6. Propositions for further research...................................................................80 9. Acknowledgements..............................................................................................80 10. Glossarium .......................................................................................................81 11. Abbreviations...................................................................................................82 12. References........................................................................................................82 13. Annexes............................................................................................................85 IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 3 13.1. 13.2. 13.3. 13.4. 13.5. Pap smear use at District level ......................................................................85 Profession of smear takers, by district ..........................................................85 Colposcopies and cervical biopsies, by district ............................................85 Hystectomies at District level .......................................................................85 Data files and statistical syntaxis files ........................................................102 IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 4 2. Executive summary Back ground In 2003, the Council of Europe, recommended to offer organised cytological cervical cancer screening to all women of the target population in all EU member states. An optimal coverage is the main determinant of success of a screening programme. The screening coverage in Belgium could until recently only be assessed by surveys. The current report aims to assess the real cytological screening coverage and also the consumption of medical acts for screening and follow-up or treatment of screenpositives using a data file obtained from the Inter-Mutualistisch Agentschap (IMA)/Agence Inter-Mutualiste (AIM), which pools information from all health insurance agencies in Belgium. The underlying study will be used to define strategies for a future cervical cancerscreening programme. Material and methods On demand of the Scientific Institute of Public Health, a data file containing more than 13 million individual patient records was compiled by the Inter-Mutualistic Agency. It contained information of all medical acts related to cervical screening, and diagnostic or therapeutic interventions on the uterine cervix (Pap smear collection and interpretation, colposcopies, cervical biopsies and their interpretation, surgery on the cervix) from the years 1996 to 2000. Results Screening coverage The cervical cancer screening coverage, defined as the proportion of the target population of women between 25 and 64 years old, that had a Pap smear taken in the last 3 years, measured in 2000, was 59%. The range of variation in screening coverage at the level of the Regions was small: 57% in the Flemish Region, 58% in Brussels and 61% in the Walloon Region. The increase in coverage measured over the period 1996-2000 is limited and respectively 2%, 5% and 3% in the Flemish, Brussels and Walloon Region. This limited increase in the Flemish Region is remarkable, given the fact that only in this region a screening campaign was organized. Differences at lower geographical levels are important: at provincial level in 2000, it is situated between 52% (Luxembourg) and 69% (Walloon-Brabant); whereas at district level the highest coverage is found in Huy (71%) and the lowest in Arlon (only 40%). At the national level, in the youngest 5-year age group of the target population, women of 25-29 years old, the coverage is 64%. It increases until 67% among women in the age range 30-39 years. From the age of 40 the coverage decreases gradually until 56% in the 50-54 year age group. Thereafter the coverage declines IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 5 more rapidly. In the Brussels and Walloon Region this decline by age group is less pronounced. The coverage computed from the individual health insurance data file is substantially lower than the estimates derived from the national health interview surveys. For instance at national level, for the years 2000-2001, this difference was 11%. This discrepancy is probably due to reporting biases, which - according to the international literature – are inherent to interview surveys. Screening interval and target age range The modal screening interval is one year. A time span of 3 years is observed in only 5% of women with 2 or more smears in studied time period. Ten percent of all interpreted Pap smears are taken from women younger than 25 years and 7% in women older than 64 years. Profession of smear takers The proportion of smears taken by general practitioners is limited and varies substantially by Region: in 2000, in the Flemish Region one fifth was taken by GPs, whereas only 8% and 3% in Brussels and the Walloon Region respectively. The trend between 1996-2000 was decreasing. Pap smear use The amount of used smears is theoretically sufficient to cover more than 100% of the target population over a time span of 3 years. In 2000, the ratio of the number of Pap smear interpretations over the mid-year target population concerned was 1.1. This ratio should be higher if we were able to adjust the size of the target population by excluding women whose cervix is removed. Nevertheless, only 59% is covered with one or more smears. In absolute figures: 3 million Pap smears were interpreted in the period 1998-2000 which were taken from only 1.6 million women. 1.1 million women did not get a Pap smear. The excess use of cervical cytological examinations was 88%, which means that each screened women received on average 1.88 smears over a 3-year period. The excess smear use was high in all parts of Belgium: it was less high in the Flemish Region (86%), and was highest in the Capital Region (99%), and intermediate in the Walloon Region (90%). Of course, a part of this “excess use” is used for follow-up of women with previous cervical abnormality. Assuming that 10 % of the overuse is spent for follow-up, we can estimate that yearly about 400,000 Paps are taken that do not contribute to screening coverage or follow-up. This corresponds with an estimated amount of € 8.2 million per year reimbursed by the National Health Insurance Institute for taking and reading Pap smears with limited utilitya. This amount is further increased with € 3.9 million for screening beyond the target age range. Colposcopy use An impressive amount of colposcopies are performed in Belgium. At the national level, on average, one colposcopic examination is done for every 3 Pap smears. In the Walloon Region the ratio of the number of Pap smears over the number of colposcopies is even less than two, whereas for the Flemish Region this ratio is five. In certain Walloon districts the number of examined Pap smears equals the number of a Costs for consultation by a gynaecologist or GP were not taken into account. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 6 performed colposcopies. The biopsy/colposcopy ratio is low (on average 5%) which is due to the very high frequency of colposcopy in normal women. It is clear that colposcopy is not used as indicated in national or international guidelines. Colposcopic exploration is indicated in case of a first observation of HSIL or glandular abnormality or after a second observation of ASC-US or LSIL or after a positive HPV triage result in ASCUS-cases and in follow-up after treated lesions. General conclusions The cervical cancer screening coverage in Belgium, defined as the proportion of women in the 25-64 year age range that received a Pap smear in the last 3 years, is only 59%. Nevertheless, the amount of smears used is theoretically sufficient to cover the whole target population. Estimation of the cervical cancer screening coverage, derived from interview surveys should be interpreted with caution, given the inherent risk of overestimation. Most often smears are taken by gynaecologists; in the Walloon Region, it is almost an exclusivity. Colposcopy is too often used simultaneously with the Pap smear, whereas its main clinical indication is the exploration of women with previous cytological abnormality. Structural reduction of overuse and re-investment in coverage and quality improvement can potentially result in more life-years saved, without increase in public funding. Measures foreseen in the European Council Recommendation on Cancer screening should be binding and universal. Regionally isolated actions such as those undertaken in the Flemish screening programme, did not yield the desired result, because they were based on voluntary participation without financial compensation for involved health professionals. Health authorities of the Federal and Community Governments and representatives of the scientific societies should meet as soon as possible in order to define a rational, evidence-based and cost-effective screening policy. 3. Résumé et commentaires Historique En 2003, le Conseil de l’Europe a recommandé d’offrir un dépistage cytologique organisé du cancer du col de l’utérus à toutes les femmes de la population-cible dans tous les Etats-membres de l’UE. Une couverture optimale est le principale facteur de succès d’un programme de dépistage. Jusqu’à récemment, la couverture du dépistage en Belgique pouvait uniquement être évalué par des enquêtes. Le rapport actuel a pour but d’évaluer la couverture réelle du dépistage cytologique ainsi que l’utilisation d’actes médicaux pour le dépistage et le IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 7 suivi ou traitement des cas positifs du dépistage en utilisant un fichier de données provenant de l’Agence Intermutualiste (AIM), qui rassemble l’information de toutes les mutuelles en Belgique. L’étude sous-jacente sera utilisée pour définir les futures stratégies de dépistage du cancer du col de l’utérus. Matériel et méthodes A la demande de l’Institut Scientifique de Santé Publique, un fichier de données individuelles de plus de 13 millions d’enregistrements a été compilé par l’Agence Intermutualiste. Ce fichier contient l’information de tous les actes médicaux se rapportant au dépistage du cancer du col de l’utérus ainsi qu’aux interventions diagnostiques ou thérapeutiques du col de l’utérus (collecte et interprétation du frottis vaginal, colposcopies, biopsies cervicales et leur interprétation, chirurgie du col de l’utérus) de 1996 à 2000. Résultats Couverture du dépistage La couverture du dépistage du cancer du col de l’utérus, mesurée en 2000, était de 59%. Elle est définie en tant que la proportion de la population-cible (femmes entre 25 et 64 ans) ayant eu un frottis du col de l’utérus durant les trois dernières années. La différence, de couverture de dépistage au niveau des régions, est petite les couvertures respectives observées étant de : 57% dans la Région Flamande, 58% à Bruxelles et 61% dans la Région Wallonne. L’augmentation de la couverture mesurée pour la période 1996-2000 est limitée respectivement à 2%, 5% et 3% dans la Région Flamande, pour Bruxelles et pour la Région Wallonne. Cette augmentation limitée dans la Région Flamande est étonnante étant donné le fait que dans cette région seulement une campagne de dépistage était organisée. Les différences observées à un niveau géographique plus bas sont importantes : au niveau provincial en 2000 elles se situent entre 52% (Luxembourg) et 69% (BrabantWallon), tandis qu’au niveau des arrondissements la couverture la plus élevée a été trouvée à Huy (71%) et la plus basse à Arlon (40% seulement). Au niveau national, dans le groupe le plus jeune, groupé par tranche de 5 ans, de la population-cible, c. à d. les femmes de 25 à 29 ans, la couverture est de 64%. La couverture augmente jusqu’à 67% parmi les femmes de la tranche d’âge de 30 à 39 ans. A partir de l’âge de 40 ans, la couverture diminue graduellement jusqu’à 56% chez les femmes dans le groupe d’âge de 50 à 54 ans. Ensuite la couverture diminue plus rapidement. Pour Bruxelles et la Région Wallonne, cette diminution en fonction de l’âge est moins prononcée. La couverture évaluée grâce aux fichiers de données des mutuelles est significativement plus basse que les estimations déduites des enquêtes nationales par interviews sur la santé. Au niveau national, pour la période 2000-2001 cette différence est de 11%. Cette divergence est probablement due à des biais de rapportage, qui selon la littérature internationale, sont inhérentes aux enquêtes sous forme d’entretiens. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 8 Intervalle de dépistage et tranche d’âge cible L’intervalle modal de dépistage est de un an. Un laps de temps de trois ans est observé chez seulement 5% des femmes avec 2 ou plusieurs frottis pendant la période de l’étude. 10% de tous les frottis exécutés sont prélevés chez des femmes de moins de 25 ans et 7% chez des femmes âgées de plus de 64 ans. Collection de frottis par type de médecin Le pourcentage de frottis préparés par les médecins généralistes est limité et varie substantiellement par Région. En 2000, un cinquième des frottis était fait par les médecins généralistes dans la Région Flamande, tandis que seulement 8% et 3% respectivement à Bruxelles et dans la Région Wallonne. La tendance était descendante dans la période 1996-2000. L’utilisation des frottis Le nombre de frottis utilisé est théoriquement suffisant pour couvrir plus de 100% de la population-cible sur un laps de temps de trois ans. En 2000, le rapport entre le nombre d’interprétations de frottis sur l’effectif moyenne de la population-cible, était de 1.1. Ce rapport devrait être plus élevé si nous étions à même d’ajuster l’effectif de la population-cible en excluant les femmes qui ont subi une hystérectomie totale. Néanmoins, seulement 59% sont couvertes avec un ou plusieurs de frottis. En chiffres absolus: 3 millions de frottis étaient interprétés durant la période 19982000 qui étaient prélevés chez seulement 1.6 millions de femmes de 25-64 ans. 1.1 millions de femmes de cet âge n’ont pas eu de frottis. La surconsommation d’examens cytologiques du col de l’utérus était de 88%, ce qui signifie que chaque femme examinée a reçu en moyen 1.88 frottis sur une période de 3 ans. L’excès de l’utilisation de frottis était élevé dans toutes les régions de la Belgique : il était moins élevé dans la Région Flamande (86%), et le plus élevé dans la Région Capitale de Bruxelles (99%), et intermédiaire dans la Région Wallonne (90%). Une partie de cet excès de frottis prestés est utilisée pour le suivi de lésions cervicales et/ou le suivi après le traitement. En supposant que 10% de cette surconsommation est dépensé pour le suivi, on peut estimer qu’environ 400.000 frottis par an sont exécutés sans contribuer à la couverture de dépistage ou au suivi. En chiffres cela correspond à un montant estimé de 8.2 millions € que l’INAMI rembourse annuellement pour les prélèvements et l’interprétation des frottis avec utilité non prouvée. A ce montant il faut encore ajouter 3.9 millions € pour le dépistage au-delà de la tranche d’âge cible. Utilisation de la colposcopie Un nombre impressionnant de colposcopies sont exécutées en Belgique. Au niveau national, en moyenne un examen colposcopique est réalisé pour trois frottis prestés. Dans la Région Wallonne, le rapport du nombre de frottis sur le nombre de colposcopies est même inférieur à deux, tandis que dans la Région Flamande ce rapport est de cinq. Dans certains arrondissements wallons le nombre de frottis examinés est égal au nombre de colposcopies exécutées. La proportion biopsie/colposcopie est basse (en moyenne 5%) ce qui est dû à la très grande fréquence d’examens colposcopiques chez des femmes normales. Il est clair que la colposcopie n’est pas utilisée comme l’indiquent les guides nationaux et internationaux. L’exploration colposcopique est indiquée dans le cas d’une première observation de HSIL ou anomalie glandulaire ou après une deuxième IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 9 observation de ASC-US ou LSIL ou après un résultat positif de HPV triage dans des cas de ASCUS et en suivi après des lésions traitées. Conclusions générales La couverture du dépistage du cancer du col d’utérus en Belgique, définie comme la proportion de femmes dans la tranche d’âge entre 25 et 64 ans ayant reçu un frottis les trois dernières années, n’est que de 59%. Pourtant, le nombre de frottis prélevés est théoriquement suffisant pour couvrir toute la population-cible. L’estimation de la couverture de dépistage du cancer du col de l’utérus venant d’enquêtes par interviews, devrait être interprétée avec prudence, étant donné le risque inhérent de surestimation. Le prélèvement est surtout une activité de gynécologues, ce qui est quasiment une exclusivité en Wallonie. La colposcopie est trop souvent exécutée simultanément au frottis, alors que l’indication clinique principale de la colposcopie est réservée aux femmes ayant eu des anomalies cytologiques. Une réduction structurelle de la sur-utilisation et une redistribution pourrait améliorer la couverture et en même temps la qualité ce qui pourrait potentiellement résulter en une augmentation des années de vie sauvées, sans augmentation du financement public. Les mesures prévues dans les Recommandations sur le Dépistage du Cancer du Conseil d’Europe devraient être exécutoires et universelles. Des actions isolées et régionales comme celles entreprises dans le programme flamand de dépistage n’ont pas fourni le résultat désiré, parce qu’elles étaient basées sur une participation volontaire sans compensation financière pour les médecins impliqués. Les ministères de la santé publique du gouvernement fédéral et des gouvernements des communautés ainsi que les représentants des sociétés scientifiques devraient se réunir au plus vite pour définir une politique de dépistage rationnelle, efficient et basée sur de l’évidence scientifique. 4. Samenvatting en commentaar Achtergrond In 2003 heeft de Europese Raad alle lidstaten van de Unie aanbevolen om georganiseerde screening voor baarmoedershalskanker aan te bieden aan alle vrouwen uit de doelgroep. Een optimale dekking of couverture van de doelbevolking is de sleutel tot een succesvolle opsporingscampagne. Tot voor kort kon de dekkingsgraad voor screening in België enkel geëvalueerd worden aan de hand van enquêtes. Het huidige rapport heeft tot doel de reële IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 10 couverture te evalueren alsook de hoeveelheid van medische prestaties te meten bedoeld voor opsporing, follow-up of behandeling van letsels van de baarmoederhals. Hiervoor werd een databestand gebruikt samengesteld door het Inter-Mutualistisch Agentschap (IMA). Deze studie zal gebruikt worden om strategieën te bepalen voor een toekomstig cervixkankeropsporingsprogramma. Materiaal en methoden Op aanvraag van het Wetenschappelijk Instituut Volksgezondheid werd door het Inter-Mutualistisch Agentschap, een databestand samengesteld met meer dan 13 miljoen patiëntendossiers. Dit bestand bevatte informatie van alle medische prestaties geleverd tussen 1996 en 2000, die verband houden met baarmoederhalskankerscreening, diagnostische en therapeutische interventies op de baarmoederhals, zoals afname en interpretatie van cervixuitstrijkjes, colposcopieën, biopsieën van de baarmoederhals en de interpretatie ervan, alsook chirurgische ingrepen op de baarmoeder(hals). Resultaten Dekking van de screening. In 2000 was de screeningcouverture of dekkingsgraad 59%. Onder dekkingsgraad verstaan we het percentage van de doelbevolking van vrouwen tussen 25 en 64 jaar, bij wie een cytologisch onderzoek van een cervixuitstrijk heeft plaatsgevonden minder dan drie jaar geleden. Het verschil in couverture tussen de gewesten was gering: 57% in het Vlaamse Gewest, 58 % in Brussel en 61% in het Waalse Gewest. De stijging van de couverture, gemeten over de periode 1996-2000, was beperkt en bedroeg respectievelijk 2%, 5% en 3% voor het Vlaamse Gewest, voor Brussel en voor het Waalse Gewest. Deze beperkte toename in het Vlaamse Gewest is opmerkelijk aangezien enkel in dit gewest een opsporingscampagne georganiseerd werd over het ganse grondgebied. De verschillen op lagere geografische niveaus zijn aanzienlijk: op provinciaal vlak schommelde de couverture, bereikt in het jaar 2000, tussen 52% (Luxemburg) en 69% (Waals-Brabant), terwijl op niveau van de arrondissementen de hoogste dekking werd aangetroffen in Huy (71%) en de laagste in Aarlen (slechts 40%). In de jongste 5-jaar leeftijdsgroep, vrouwen van 25-29 jaar oud, was de dekkingsgraad 64% op nationaal niveau. Deze verhoogde tot 67% bij vrouwen tussen 30 en 39 jaar. Vanaf de leeftijd van 40 jaar verminderde de dekking geleidelijk tot 56% in de leeftijdsgroep van 50-54 jarigen. Vervolgens vermindert de dekking sneller. In Brussel en het Waalse Gewest is deze vermindering in de oudere leeftijdsgroep minder uitgesproken. De dekking berekend op basis van gegevens uit het IMA bestand is aanzienlijk lager dan de schattingen afgeleid uit de nationale gezondheidsenquête. Op nationaal vlak bijvoorbeeld is dit verschil, voor de periode 2000-2001, 11%. Dit verschil is waarschijnlijk te wijten aan rapporteringsbiases, die volgens de internationale literatuur inherent zijn aan enquêtes aan de hand van interviews. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 11 Screeningsinterval en leeftijdsdoelgroepen Het modaal screeningsinterval is één jaar. Een tijdsspanne van 3 jaar wordt waargenomen bij 5% van de vrouwen met 2 of meer uitstrijkjes in de studieperiode. Tien procent van alle geïnterpreteerde uitstrijkjes werden genomen bij vrouwen jonger dan 25 jaar en 7% bij vrouwen ouder dan 64 jaar. Afname van uitstrijkjes per type van arts Het aandeel van huisartsen in de afname van cervixuitstrijkjes is beperkt en varieert sterk tussen de gewesten. In 2000, werd één vijfde van de uitstrijkjes in het Vlaams Gewest afgenomen door huisartsen, en respectievelijk 8% en slechts 3% in Brussel en het Waals Gewest. Er was een dalende trend over de periode 1996-2000. Intensiteit van het gebruik van uitstrijkjes Het aantal gebruikte uitstrijkjes is in theorie voldoende om meer dan 100% van de doelbevolking te dekken over een tijdspanne van drie jaar. In 2000 was de verhouding tussen het aantal geïnterpreteerde uitstrijkjes t.o v de gemiddelde grootte van de doelbevolking 1.1. Deze verhouding zou hoger moeten zijn indien we de grootte van de doelbevolking konden corrigeren door exclusie van vrouwen die een volledige hysterectomie hebben ondergaan. Desondanks is slechts 59% gedekt met één of meer uitstrijkjes. In absolute cijfers: in de periode 1998-2000 werden 3 miljoen uitstrijkjes geïnterpreteerd, die genomen werden bij 1.6 miljoen vrouwen. 1.1 miljoen vrouwen werden niet onderzocht. De overconsumptie van cytologische baarmoederhalsonderzoeken was 88%, hetgeen betekent dat iedere gescreende vrouw 1.88 uitstrijkjes kreeg in een periode van 3 jaar. Het overmatig gebruik van uitstrijkjes was hoog in alle delen van België: het was iets minder hoog in het Vlaamse Gewest (86%), het hoogst in het Hoofdstedelijk Gewest (99%), en intermediair in het Waalse Gewest (90%). Het spreekt vanzelf dat een deel van deze “overconsumptie” aangewend wordt voor de follow-up van vrouwen met eerder vastgestelde baarmoederhalsletsels. In de veronderstelling dat 10% van de “overconsumptie” aangewend wordt voor opvolging van vroegere abnormaliteiten, kunnen we inschatten dat jaarlijks 400,000 uitstrijkjes afgenomen worden die niet bijdragen tot de screeningscouverture of follow-up. Dit komt overeen met een geschat bedrag van 8,2 miljoen € per jaar die terugbetaald worden door het RIZIV voor afname en interpretatie van uitstrijkjes met beperkt nut. Dit bedrag wordt verder opgedreven met 3,9 miljoen € voor opsporing buiten de doelgroep. Gebruik van colposcopie Een indrukwekkend aantal colposcopieën worden in België uitgevoerd. Op nationaal vlak wordt er gemiddeld één colposcopie uitgevoerd op drie uitstrijkjes. In het Waalse Gewest is de verhouding van het aantal uitstrijkjes tot het aantal colposcopieën zelfs minder dan twee, terwijl in het Vlaamse Gewest deze verhouding vijf is. In bepaalde Waalse arrondissementen is het aantal onderzochte uitstrijkjes gelijk aan het aantal uitgevoerde colposcopieën. De verhouding aantallen biopsieën/aantallen colposcopieën is laag (gemiddeld 5%) hetgeen te wijten is aan het zeer hoge aantal colposcopieën bij normale vrouwen. Het is duidelijk dat de colposcopie niet gebruikt wordt volgens de indicaties in nationale of internationale richtlijnen. Colposcopisch onderzoek is aangewezen in gevallen van een eerste observatie van HSIL of glandulaire letsels of na een tweede observatie van ASC-US of LSIL of na IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 12 een positief HPV triage resultaat en in follow-up na behandelde letsels [Arbyn, 1997 ; Arbyn 2004a; Arbyn 2004b; BSCC, 2004; Wright, 2002]. Algemene conclusies De couverture betreffende baarmoederhalskankeropsporing in België, gedefinieerd als het percentage van vrouwen in de leeftijdsgroep van 25 tot 64 jaar die een uitstrijkje hebben laten nemen gedurende de laatste drie jaar, is slechts 59%. Nochtans is het aantal onderzochte uitstrijkjes in theorie voldoende om de ganse doelbevolking te dekken. Schattingen over de couverture afgeleid van enquêtes moeten met voorzichtigheid geïnterpreteerd worden, gezien het inherente risico op overschatting. Afname van cervix uitstrijkjes is voornamelijk een activiteit van gynaecologen, in Wallonië is dit bijna een exclusiviteit. De colposcopie wordt te vaak uitgevoerd, in vele gevallen wellicht tezelfdertijd als het routine uitstrijkje terwijl de belangrijkste klinische indicatie is nader onderzoek bij vrouwen met een vroegere cytologische afwijking. Een structurele vermindering van de overconsumptie en herinvestering in couvertureverhoging en kwaliteitsverbetering kan er potentieel toe bijdragen dat er meer levensjaren gered worden, zonder de nood aan meer publieke middelen. Maatregelen voorzien in de aanbevelingen voor kankeropsporing van de Europese Raad zouden bindend en universeel moeten zijn. Regionaal geïsoleerde acties zoals deze ondernomen in het kader van de Vlaamse opsporingscampagnes, hebben niet tot het gewenste resultaat geleid omdat ze gebaseerd waren op vrijwillige deelname zonder financiële compensatie voor het betrokken beroepsgroepen. De federale overheidsdiensten verantwoordelijk voor volksgezondheid en de ministeries van de gemeenschappen zouden zo snel mogelijk moeten samenkomen alsook de vertegenwoordigers van de wetenschappelijke artsenverenigingen om een rationele en efficiënte strategie voor de preventie van baarmoederhalskanker te bepalen gebaseerd op wetenschappelijke evidentie. 5. Introduction Currently, in Belgium, still 600 to 700 women get cervical cancer each year. In fact the number of cervical cancer cases at the national level is not precisely known since only for the Flemish Region a functional cancer register exists. According to that register 411 Flemish women got the diagnosis of cancer of cervix in 2000 [Vlaams Kankerregistratienetwerk, 2004]. Also the rate of mortality from cervical is not known precisely due to death cause certification problems. It often happens that for women dying from uterine cancer the IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 13 exact topography, cervix uteri or corpus uteri, is not identified. According to a recent trend analysis, where a tentative solution for this certification problem was proposed, it was estimated that in the nineties between 300 and 350 died from cervical cancer in Belgium each year [Arbyn, 2002]a. By well-organised cytological screening, the incidence of cervical cancer can be reduced to a small residual level [IARC expert team, 2005]. This is the key recommendation of the Council of Europe to all EU member states (Council of the EU, 2003]. It was already shown to be true in certain Nordic countries [Laara, 1987] and more recently also in the United Kingdom [Peto, 2004] and Norway [Nygard, 2002]. In Belgium, screening is essentially opportunistically organised, resulting in a high level of over screening, and a heterogenous quality. In spite of the large amount of Pap smears consumed yearly, the impact was lower than observed in the Nordic countries [Arbyn, 1999; 2000; 2002]. Again the real impact of the Belgian screening on incidence and mortality cannot be assessed exactly by lack of performant health information systems. One of the main determinants of success of a screening programme is an optimal attendance of the target population. Until recently, screening coverage could only be measured from interview surveys [Arbyn, 1997; Arbyn 2000; Demarest, 2002]. In Belgium the whole population is covered by an obligatory health insurance system. Administrative data registered by health insurance agencies from their members constitute a virtually complete source of information on health services delivered to patients. In 2003, the Scientific Institute of Public Health received a data file of more than 13 million records pertaining to medical acts related to cervical cancer screening and other diagnostic and therapeutic interventions on the uterine cervix. The data file was compiled by the Inter-Mutualistic Agency from all seven health insurance agencies. Analysis of this data file enabled us to assess to real cervical cancer screening status and the intensity of the use of Pap smear testing, colposcopies, cervical biopsies, local surgery on the cervix and hysterectomies. The purpose of this report is to describe the current situation with respect to cervical cancer screening in Belgium, at national, regional, provincial and district (arrondissement) level. The conclusions will used to propose new strategies for organised screening in whole of Belgium, in concertation with the Communities. This report was elaborated within the framework of a convention between the General Directorate of Primary Health Care of the Federal Public Service of Health, Food Chain Security and Environment and the Scientific Institute of Public Health. This budget completed funding from Europe Against Cancer. a Readers interested in the evolution of the cervical cancer mortality trend are invited to consult the website pages of the unit cancer screening at the Department of Epidemiology of the Scientific Institute of Public Health, available at; www.iph.fgov/epidemio/epien/prog2.htm. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 14 6. Material and methods In 2002, a demand was addressed by the Scientific Institute of Public Health to the IMA/AIM (Intermutualistisch Agentschap/Agence Inter-Mutualiste)a for individual patient data concerning medical acts involving the uterine cervix for the last five available years. The IMA/AIM collects data on all medical acts covered by the health insurance, which is obligatory in Belgium. End 2003, a dataset was received containing more than 13 million records from medical acts, which took place between 1996 and 2000. The data set contained the following variables: anonymous individual ID code, age, date of the act, residence of the woman and type of the medical act. Several data details were truncated to reduce the risk of obtaining unique data in the cells of cross tables. The age was converted into five-year age group at the exception of the group 0-14 and the 75+ age groups, which were each grouped into one category. The calendar date of the act was restricted to the year of performance. The residence was converted into the district (arrondissement). The code, district=99, was reserved for Belgian insured women, not residing in Belgium. Sometimes, district code=0 was used in case of rare combinations to avoid identification of women. The medical codes were fused into groups as explained in Table 1. All surgical interventions indicated as group 8, involved total hysterectomies or removal of the cervix. In this report this group of interventions are indicated as total hysterectomies. No information on subtotal hysterectomy was obtained. We assumed that all acts involving the age group 0-14 years were performed on girls aged 10 to 14 years. Similarly, all acts involving women of 75 years and older were assumed to be performed in women aged 75-79. The individual patient data were aggregated over 5-year age groups, calendar years and district and linked with corresponding population data published by the National Institute of Statistics. This allowed computing proportions, rates or ratios such as the cervical cancer screening coverage, the excess Pap smear use, hysterectomy incidence rates and the ratio of the number of acts / number of concerned women. Table 1. Codes of medical acts included in the data set. Group 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Codes 114030-114041 149612-149623 588350-588361 431955-431966 432110-432121 588276-588280 432294-432305 431270-431281 431314-431325 431336-431340 431351-431362 431491-431502 432154-432165 Description Collection of cellular material from the uterine cervix, by a GP Collection of cellular material from the uterine cervix, by a specialist Microscopic interpretation of a Pap smear Colposcopy Biopsy from the uterine cervix Pathological examination of a biopsy Conisation Total abdominal hysterectomy Total vaginal hysterectomy Radical hysterecctomy (Wertheim) Total hysterectomy & pelvic lymphadenectomy Cervix amputation Removal of residual cervix a “Inter-Mutualistic Agency” is used as English term for the Dutch term “Inter-Mutualistisch Agenschap, abbreviated as IMA or for the French term “Agence Inter-Muturaliste”, abbreviated as AIM. In this report we will use the Dutch abbreviation “IMA”. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 15 For an overview of computed indicators we refer to the glossarium in chapter 10. When coverages over multi-year intervals were computed, women were assumed to belong to the age group and district at the last medical act concerned. Statistical methods The statistical package Stata (version 7 and 8) [Stata Corp, Stata Corporation, Texas, US] was used for processing and statistical analysis. Analysis consisted in monovariate and multivariate tabulations, histograms, scatter and line plots. We performed some ordinary least square linear regressions using population frequency weights and Poisson regressions, with the logarithm of the population as offset. The strength of correlations was assessed using Pearson’s or Spearman’s rank correlation coefficients. Four different geographical levels were considered for analysis: the whole of Belgium, the 3 Regions (Flemish, Walloon Region and Brussels); the 11 provinces and the 43 districts or arrondissments. Geographical contrasts of cervical cancer screening coverage and hysterectomy incidence were mapped using choropleth maps. Indirect standardisation was sometimes used to control for differences in age composition. Given the large populations involved, it was generally inappropriate to report 95% confidence intervals, since upper and lower bound are nearly equal. For computation of cumulative incidence until a given age k, the following formula was applied: Cumulative Incidence = 1 – Πk(1-eai . ∆T), where Π stands for cumulative product, ai for age specific incidence and ∆T for the amplitude of the age categories [Kleinbaum, 1982]. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 16 7. Results The received data file contained more than 13 million records. The distribution by type of medical act is shown in Table 2. Table 2. Number of individual acts pertaining to Pap smears, colposcopies, biopsies and surgical interventions on the uterine cervix performed in Belgium between 1996 and 2000. Act Collection of Pap smear by GP Collection of Pap smear by specialist Total hysterectomy or cervix amputation Colposcopy Biopsy from cervix Conisation of cervix Pathological examination of a biopsy Interpretation of Pap smear Total Frequency 815,782 4,435,416 84,564 2,009,956 106,138 24,445 72,757 5,734,201 13,283,259 Percent 6.14 33.39 0.64 15.13 0.8 0.18 0.55 43.17 100 In this report, we will address subsequently the cytological interpretation of Pap smears (subchapter 7.1); the type of physician who takes Pap smears (subchapter 7.2); colposcopy and taking cervical biopsies (subchapter 7.3); hysterectomy (7.4) and finally the interpretation of Pap smears in women after a recent hysterectomy (subchapter 7.5). 7.1. Papanicolaou smears of the uterine cervix 7.1.1. National level In total, about 5.7 million smears were interpreted in the period 1996-2000 or a yearly average of over 1.1 million (see Table 3). The total number of smears rose almost linearly (R2=0.95) with an increase of 45 000 additional examinations per year. This corresponds to an average yearly increase of 4.4%. Table 3. Total number of Pap smears interpreted by year (Belgium, 1996-2000). Year 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Total Frequency 1,042,821 1,095,337 1,171,347 1,201,152 1,223,544 5,734,201 Percent 18.19 19.10 20.43 20.95 21.34 100.00 Cumulative percent 18.19 37.29 57.72 78.66 100.00 The distribution per 5-year age group is shown in Table 4. The proportion of smears from women in the 25 to 64 year target age group was 82.3%. Respectively 10.0% and 6.8% of Pap smears were taken from women who were younger or older. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 17 Table 4. Total number of Pap smears by 5-year age group (Belgium, 1996-2000). Age group 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 ≥ 75 Total Frequency Percent 4,260 0.07 123,802 2.16 442,454 7.72 692,356 12.07 790,245 13.78 780,372 13.61 694,605 12.11 625,377 10.91 537,123 9.37 357,656 6.24 294,414 5.13 203,103 3.54 114,270 1.99 74,164 1.29 5,734,201 100.00 Cumulative percent 0.07 2.23 9.95 22.02 35.8 49.41 61.53 72.43 81.8 88.04 93.17 96.71 98.71 100.00 The time interval between two successive smears for women having at least two smears between 1996 and 2000 is shown in Table 5 and in Figure 1. A detailed picture of the real interval was not possible since the dates of smears were truncated at the calendar year. Nevertheless, a clear modus at the 1-year interval is observed (in 61% of the cases). In 12% there was less than 1 year between successive smears. Table 5. Distribution of the time interval between two successive smears (rounded at one year), (Belgium, 1996-2000).a Interval (years) 0 1 2 3 4 Missing Total Frequency 426,348 2,115,644 726,865 173,061 39,661 2,251,615 5,733,194 (missing included) Cumulative Percent frequency 7.44 7.44 36.90 44.34 12.68 57.02 3.02 60.03 0.69 60.73 39.27 100.00 100.00 (missing excluded) Cumulative Percent frequency 12.25 12.25 60.77 73.01 20.88 93.89 4.97 98.86 1.14 100.00 100.00 a One fictitious woman, age=0 & arrondissement=0, with 1007 smears was excluded. This was probably due to non-unique anonymistion of the identifier. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 18 Interval between successive cervical smears Belgium, 1996-2000 .6 Fraction .4 .2 0 0 1 2 Interval (years) 3 4 Figure 1. Histogram of the distribution of average time interval between two successive smears, (Belgium, 1996-2000). In total 2,251,615 women had at least one smear. For their first smear in the database no interval can be calculated. The year that their last smear took place is relevant to complete the information on the screening interval and is shown in Table 6. Table 6. Distribution of the years where the last smear of a woman took place (Belgium, 1996-2000). a Year Frequency Percent 1996 123,250 5.47 1997 173,278 7.70 1998 281,210 12.49 1999 547,053 24.30 2000 1,126,824 50.05 Total 2,251,615 100.00 Cumulative percent 5.47 13.17 25.66 49.95 100.00 The distribution of the total number of smears per women within the period 19962000 is displayed in Table 7. a One fictitious woman, age=0 & arrondissement=0, with 1007 smears was excluded. This was probably due to non-unique anonymisation of the identifier. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 19 Table 7. Distribution of the total number of smears taken from the same women (Belgium, 19962000). a Number of smears per women Frequency 1 712,810 2 549,112 3 426,621 4 306,331 5 183,311 6 44,324 7 14,926 8 6,628 9 3,699 10 1,971 11 951 12 361 13 193 14 96 15 77 16 60 17 34 18 22 19 13 20 75 Total 2,251,615 IntermutCVX96_00e.doc Percent 31.66 24.39 18.95 13.60 8.14 1.97 0.66 0.29 0.16 0.09 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 Cumulative percent 31.66 56.05 74.99 88.6 96.74 98.71 99.37 99.66 99.83 99.92 99.96 99.97 99.98 99.99 99.99 99.99 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 6/10/2005 20 7.1.1.1 Use of cervical cytology at yearly intervals The evolution of the one-year screening coverage and the consumption of Pap smears over time is illustrated in Table 3 and in Figure 2. The coverage (full line curve, red) increased with 3.5% in the first three years: from 29.9% to 33.4 %. Over the last two years the increase was only 0.6%. The #smears/#women ratio (green curve, interrupted line) was 2 to 3% higher than the screening coverage. Table 8. Consumption of Pap smears and one-year screening coverage between 1996 and 2000 for women between 25 and 64 years old. Number of Number of women Number of smears women screened 25-64 years 2,694,738 873,359 807,018 2,703,970 915,851 846,669 2,710,432 975,223 906,196 2,717,013 996,947 924,987 2,723,354 1,010,768 930,323 Year 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 1-year #smears/#women coverage ratio 29.9% 0.32 31.3% 0.34 33.4% 0.36 34.0% 0.37 34.2% 0.37 Consumption of Pap smears; Coverage Belgium, 1996-2000, women 25-64 year # smears/# women ratio Coverage, 1-year interval .4 .3 .2 .1 0 1996 1998 Year 2000 Figure 2. Evolution of the one-year screening coverage and of the #smears/#women ratio between 1996 and 2000. The variation of the screening coverage considering a one-year interval by five-year age group is shown as a red curve for four years in Figure 3. The coverage increases rapidly to reach a maximum of more than 35 % in the age group 30-34 years. From this age the coverage declines slowly until around 30% in the age group 50-54 years. The coverage decreases rapidly after the age of 55. The four graphs look very similar. Nevertheless, the screening coverage changed somehow over time. This evolution becomes obvious by observing Figure 4. Between 1996 and 1998, the coverage increased with 2 to 4 % in all age groups older than 20 and younger than 70. The further increase between 1998 and 2000 was minor. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 21 Cytological screening for cervical cancer Belgium, 1996 Cytological screening for cervical cancer Belgium, 1997 # smears/# women ratio Coverage, 1-year interval # smears/# women ratio .4 .4 .3 .3 .2 .2 .1 .1 0 Coverage, 1-year interval 0 10 20 30 40 age 50 60 10 70 Cytological screening for cervical cancer Belgium, 1998 20 30 40 age 50 60 70 Cytological screening for cervical cancer Belgium, 1999 # smears/# women ratio Coverage, 1-year interval # smears/# women ratio .4 .4 .3 .3 .2 .2 .1 .1 0 Coverage, 1-year interval 0 10 20 30 40 age 50 60 70 20 10 30 40 age 50 60 70 Figure 3. Variation of the screening coverage and the # smears / # women ratio considered over a 1year interval according to 5-year age group and by year. 1996 2000 1998 1-year coverage .4 .3 .2 .1 0 10 20 30 40 50 Age group 60 70 Figure 4. Change in the relation between one-year coverage and age group over the years 1996, 1998 and 2000. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 22 7.1.1.2 Use of cervical cytology at 3-year intervals The consumption of Pap smears and the coverage built up over three-year periods is illustrated in Table 9. The number of smears used was sufficient to cover more than 100% of the target population since the ratio of the number of smears taken in women between 25 and 64 years surpasses the average number of women of that age living in Belgium (#smears/#women ratio > 1). Nevertheless the 3-year coverage was only 56 to 59%. Between 84 and 88% of smears do not contribute to the population coverage, since they are used to screen women who are already screened within the previous 3year period. Table 9. Consumption of Pap smears, three-year screening coverage and excess use of between 1996 and 2000 for women between 25 and 64 years old. Period 1996-1998 1997-1999 1998-2000 Mean female population (25-64 years) 2,703,047 2,710,473 2,716,933 Number of Number of smears women screened 3-year coverage takena <3years ago 2,778,474 1,511,864 55.9% 2,901,180 1,563,895 57.7% 2,995,380 1,591,255 58.6% #smears/ #women ratio 1.03 1.07 1.10 Excess use 83.8% 85.5% 88.2% The 3-year screening coverage in 2000 reached a maximum of 67% in women of 3034 years. It decreased gradually until 56% in the 50-54 year age group. Thereafter the coverage declined more rapidly. In the age group 20 to 54 years, more smears were taken than what was necessary to cover 100% of the population (green curve surpasses the horizontal line through unity). The age relation for the years 1998 and 1999 were similar (data not shown). Cytological screening for cervical cancer Belgium, 2000 # smears/# women ratio Coverage, 3-year interval 1.4 1.2 1 .8 .6 .4 .2 0 10 20 30 40 Age 50 60 70 Figure 5. Variation of the screening coverage and the # smears / # women ratio considered over a 3year interval according to 5-year age group (Belgium, 2000). a Only smears taken in the age group 25-64 years are considered. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 23 The excess Pap smear use as a relation of age is plotted in Figure 6. The excess is higher than 80% from the age of 25 to 69 and reaches a maximum of 98% in the age 50-54. Extra smears/screened woman 1.5 1 .5 0 10 20 30 40 Age group 50 60 70 Figure 6. Excess Pap smear use as a function of age group (Belgium, 2000). 7.1.1.3 Use of cervical cytology at a 5-year interval The consumption of Pap smears and the coverage built up over five-year periods is illustrated in Table 9. In total 4.8 million smears were interpreted between 1996 and 2000 from 1.8 million women in the age group 25-64. The number of smears used was sufficient to cover 179% of the target population. Nevertheless the 5-year coverage was only 67%. Screened women receive on average 1.66 additional smears they do not need if a 5-year screening policy should be adapted. Table 10. . Consumption of Pap smears, five-year screening coverage and excess use of between 1996 and 2000 for women between 25 and 64 years old. Period 1996-2000 Mean female population (25-64 years) 2,709,901 Number of smears taken 4,841,250 Number of women screened <5years 5-year ago coverage 1,822,749 67.3% #smears/ #women ratio Excess use 1.79 165.6% The 5-year screening coverage in 2000 reached a maximum of 75 % in women of 3039 years (see Figure 7). It decreased gradually until 67 % in the 50-54 year age group. Thereafter the coverage declined more rapidly. In the age groups 30-39, the amount of smears used could cover the population twice. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 24 Cytological screening for cervical cancer Belgium, 2000 # smears/# women ratio Coverage, 5-year interval 2.5 2 1.5 1 .5 0 10 20 30 40 Age 50 60 70 Figure 7. Variation of the screening coverage and the # smears / # women ratio considered over a 5year interval according to 5-year age group (Belgium, 2000). IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 25 7.1.2. Regional level 7.1.2.1 Use of cervical cytology at yearly intervals The evolution of 1-year screening coverage and Pap smear use over the period 1996 to 2000, for 25-64 year old women is shown in Figure 8 for the three Regions. The differences between the Regions were small. In 2000, the 1-year coverage was highest in the Walloon Region (35.8%), followed by the Capital Region Brussels (35.6%). The coverage was lowest in the Flemish Region (32.9%). Table 11. Consumption of Pap smears and one-year screening coverage between 1996 and 2000 for women between 25 and 64 years old, by Region. Number of women Number of Number of 1-year #smears/ 25-64 years smears women screened coverage #women ratio 1,577,602 489,210 455,104 28.8% 0.31 1,583,165 516,449 479,727 30.3% 0.33 1,585,616 552,626 516,370 32.6% 0.35 1,588,142 560,163 524,611 33.0% 0.35 1,589,783 569,876 523,227 32.9% 0.36 Brussels 252,392 82,962 73,932 29.3% 0.33 253,543 86,647 77,905 30.7% 0.34 254,738 93,054 84,278 33.1% 0.37 255,319 96,019 87,430 34.2% 0.38 256,912 101,319 91,500 35.6% 0.39 Walloon 864,744 298,847 275,875 31.9% 0.35 Region 867,262 310,440 286,963 33.1% 0.36 870,078 327,247 303,489 34.9% 0.38 873,552 338,604 311,016 35.6% 0.39 876,659 337,560 313,795 35.8% 0.39 Year 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Region Flemish Region Consumption of Pap smears; Coverage Belgium by Region, 1996-2000, women 25-64 year # smears/# women ratio Coverage, 1-year interval Flemish Region Brussels .4 .3 .2 .1 0 1996 Walloon Region 1998 2000 .4 .3 .2 .1 0 1996 1998 2000 Year Figure 8. Evolution of the one-year screening coverage and of the #smears/#women ratio between 1996 and 200, by Region. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 26 There was a nearly linear yearly increase in coverage over the 5-year period (R2=0.85 with a relative yearly increase (RR) of 1.011 for the Flemish Region; R2=0.99 and RR= 1.016 for Brussels; R2=0.97 and RR=1.013 for the Walloon Region). In 2000 in the Flemish Region, no further increase of the coverage was observed, whereas the #smears/#women ratio still continued to increase. In the Walloon Region, on the other hand, the coverage still increased in 2000 whereas relatively less smears were used in comparison with 1999. The #smears/#women ratio was 2 to 4 % higher than the 1-year coverage. Figure 9 illustrates the relation between age and Pap smear consumption and the 1year coverage for the year 2000. A maximum coverage is reached in the 30-34 year age group, respectively at 39%, 37% and 40% in the Flemish, Capital and Walloon Region. Remarkable is that the coverage remains at a plateau until the age of 54 years in Brussels and that it only decrease slowly until this age in the Walloon Region. However, in the Flemish Region, the coverage drops more quickly. The coverage in age group 50-54 year is respectively 31, 32% and 37% in the Flemish, Capital and Walloon Region. From the 55-59 year age group the coverage declines quickly in the Flemish and Walloon region. From this age, the coverage is highest in Brussels. Cytological screening for cervical cancer Belgium by Region, 2000 # smears/# women ratio Coverage, 1-year interval Flemish Region Brussels .4 .2 0 10 Walloon Region 20 30 40 50 60 70 .4 .2 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Age group Figure 9. Variation of the screening coverage and the # smears / # women ratio considered over a 1year interval according to 5-year age group, by Region (Belgium, 2000). IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 27 7.1.2.2 Use of cervical cytology at 3-year intervals Data concerning the consumption of Pap smears and the screening coverage considered over a 3-year interval are documented in Table 12 for the three Regions. The coverage was highest in the Walloon Region (60.9% in 2000), which was respectively 2.3% and 2.5% higher than in the Capital and Flemish Region. The increase over the whole period was 2.4% for the Flemish Region, 4.6% for Brussels and 2.5% for the Walloon Region. At the exception of the first period in the Flemish Region, the #smear/#women ratio was always higher than one. The excess use of Pap smears among screened women was always above 80%. It was highest in the Capital Region (between 1.97 and 1.99) and was lowest in the Flemish Region (between 1.80 and 1.88). Table 12. Consumption of Pap smears, three-year screening coverage and overuse between 1996 and 2000 for women between 25 and 64 years old, by Region. Number of Number of smears women screened 3-year coverage taken <3years ago 1,569,687 870,520 55.0% 1,639,685 900,538 56.8% 1,691,932 911,761 57.4% #smears / #women ratio 0.99 1.03 1.07 Excess use 80.3% 82.1% 85.6% Period Region 1996-1998 Flemish 1997-1999 Region 1998-2000 Mean female population (25-64 years) 1,582,128 1,585,642 1,587,847 1996-1998 Brussels 1997-1999 1998-2000 253,557 254,534 255,656 264,611 277,884 292,582 134,397 141,204 147,381 53.0% 55.5% 57.6% 1.04 1.09 1.14 96.9% 96.8% 98.5% 1996-1998 Walloon 1997-1999 Region 1998-2000 867,361 870,296 873,429 944,176 983,611 1,010,866 506,947 522,153 532,113 58.4% 60.0% 60.9% 1.09 1.13 1.16 86.2% 88.4% 90.0% The differentiation of the 3-screening coverage and Pap smear consumption by age is illustrated in Figure 10 for the last period. A maximum coverage was reached at the age of 30-34 years. This was 67% in the Flemish Region, 61% in Brussels and 68% in the Walloon Region. The decline in coverage by age after 35 years was slow until the 50-54 year age group in the last 2 Regions. In the 50-54 year age group the 3coverge was respectively 53%, 58% and 62% for the Flemish, Capital and Walloon Region. After the age of 50 the coverage was highest in Brussels. In the Flemish Region and in Brussels the #smears/#women ratio was higher than 1 between the age 25 to 59. In the Walloon Region it was above unity in the 25-54 year age group. The excess smear use as a function of age is plotted in Figure 11. The excess is maximal in the age groups 50-59. The excess use is highest in Brussels and lowest in the Flemish Region. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 28 Cytological screening for cervical cancer Belgium, 2000, by Region # smears/# women ratio Coverage, 3-year interval Flemish Region Brussels 1.4 1.2 1 .8 .6 .4 .2 0 10 Walloon Region 20 30 40 50 60 70 1.4 1.2 1 .8 .6 .4 .2 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Age Figure 10. Variation of the screening coverage and the # smears / # women ratio considered over a 3year interval according to 5-year age group (Belgium, by Region, 2000). Excess Pap smear use Belgium, by Region, 2000 Number of smears/screened woman Flemish Region Walloon Region Brussels 1.5 1 .5 0 10 20 30 40 50 Age group 60 70 Figure 11. Excess Pap smear use as a function of age group (Belgium, by Region, 2000). IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 29 7.1.3. Provincial level We limit the analysis at the provincial level at screening over 3-year periods. Statistics concerning screening at one-year intervals can be produced on demand. 7.1.3.1 Use of cervical cytology at 3-year intervals The screening intensity and the evolution of the three-year coverage are documented in Table 13. The linear increase in coverage is the slope of a linear regression equation obtained by fitting an ordinary least square linear regression using year as a numerical variable and including an interaction term (Province*year). The last year of the respective 3-year period was used to identify the “year”-variable. The mean female population computed over the 3-years was used as a frequency weight. The slope has to be interpreted as following: the fitted coverage in Antwerp in 1998 was 55.0%, one year later, in 1999, it was 1.3% higher or 56.3%, and two years later, in 2000, it was 2.6% higher than in 1998 or 57.6%. The coverage was increasing in all provinces, but this increase varied from only 0.1% per year in Limburg to 2.3% per year in Brussels. The observed and fitted coverage is plotted for each province in Figure 12. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 30 Table 13. Consumption of Pap smears, three-year screening coverage, excess use and increase in linear trend of the coverage between 1996 and 2000 for women between 25 and 64 years old, by Province. Period Province 1996-1998 Antwerp 1997-1999 1998-2000 Number of Mean female Number of women #smears Linear screened population smears 3-year /#wome increase (25-64 years) taken <3years ago coverage n ratio Overuse (coverage) 437,972 436,889 241,029 55.0% 1.00 1.81 1.3% 438,520 451,965 248,275 56.6% 1.03 1.82 438,639 462,971 252,749 57.6% 1.06 1.83 1996-1998 Brussels 1997-1999 1998-2000 253,557 254,534 255,656 264,611 277,884 292,582 134,397 141,204 147,381 53.0% 55.5% 57.6% 1.04 1.09 1.14 1.97 1.97 1.99 2.3% 1996-1998 Flemish1997-1999 Brabant 1998-2000 275,384 276,180 276,672 306,823 321,365 327,939 163,819 170,105 171,586 59.5% 61.6% 62.0% 1.11 1.16 1.19 1.87 1.89 1.91 1.3% 1996-1998 Walloon1997-1999 Brabant 1998-2000 91,758 92,576 93,409 125,063 128,896 132,189 61,799 63,431 64,565 67.3% 68.5% 69.1% 1.36 1.39 1.42 2.02 2.03 2.05 0.9% 1996-1998 West1997-1999 Flanders 1998-2000 293,049 293,225 293,326 266,550 277,744 284,736 152,356 157,643 158,640 52.0% 53.8% 54.1% 0.91 0.95 0.97 1.75 1.76 1.79 1.0% 1996-1998 East1997-1999 Flanders 1998-2000 1996-1998 Hainaut 1997-1999 1998-2000 363,355 364,128 364,580 335,767 336,218 336,696 355,875 380,592 406,133 342,317 355,772 368,590 195,814 205,566 209,580 186,627 193,035 197,710 53.9% 56.5% 57.5% 55.6% 57.4% 58.7% 0.98 1.05 1.11 1.02 1.06 1.09 1.82 1.85 1.94 1.83 1.84 1.86 1.8% 1996-1998 Liège 1997-1999 1998-2000 266,827 267,378 267,915 303,995 318,538 323,542 163,598 167,881 169,914 61.3% 62.8% 63.4% 1.14 1.19 1.21 1.86 1.90 1.90 1.1% 1996-1998 Limburg 1997-1999 1998-2000 212,371 213,586 214,631 203,550 208,019 210,153 117,502 118,949 119,206 55.3% 55.7% 55.5% 0.96 0.97 0.98 1.73 1.75 1.76 0.1% 1996-1998 Luxem1997-1999 bourg 1998-2000 60,077 60,538 61,033 52,583 55,869 57,688 29,551 30,762 31,557 49.2% 50.8% 51.7% 0.88 0.92 0.95 1.78 1.82 1.83 1.3% 1996-1998 Namur 1997-1999 1998-2000 112,932 113,587 114,377 120,218 124,536 128,857 65,372 67,044 68,367 57.9% 59.0% 59.8% 1.06 1.10 1.13 1.84 1.86 1.88 0.9% IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 1.6% 31 Coverage, 3-year interval Fitted values Antwerpen West-Flanders East-Flanders Hainaut Liège Limburg Luxembourg Namur Brussels .7 .65 .6 .55 3-year coverage .5 .7 .65 .6 .55 .5 .7 .65 .6 .55 .5 1998 1999 2000 1998 1999 2000 1998 1999 2000 year Walloon-Brabant Flemish-Brabant .7 .65 .6 .55 .5 1998 1999 2000 1998 1999 2000 Figure 12. Three year-coverage for cervical cancer screening among 25-64 year old women evaluated in the years 1998, 1999 and 2000, by Province: observed values (green circles) and fitted linear regression line. The 3-year screening coverage in the target population reached in 2000, and ranked from highest to lowest is shown in Table 14. The range between the highest and lowest ranking province was 17.4%. The screening coverage was highest in WalloonBrabant (69%) and lowest in Luxembourg (52%). At the exception of FlemishBrabant and Luxemburg, coverage was higher in the Walloon provinces in comparison with the Flemish provinces. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 32 Table 14. Three-year coverage of cervical cancer screening in 2000 among 25-64 year old women, by province, ranked from highest to lowest. Province Walloon-Brabant Liège Flemish-Brabant Namur Hainaut Brussels Antwerp East-Flanders Limburg West-Flanders Luxembourg 3-year coverage in 2000 69.1% 63.4% 62.0% 59.8% 58.7% 57.6% 57.6% 57.5% 55.5% 54.1% 51.7% Figure 13 shows the relation between coverage and #smears/#women ratio on the one hand and age group on the other hand. We can remark that the high coverage reached at the age group 30-34 is maintained over a longer age range in Brussels and the Walloon provinces than in the Flemish provinces where the coverage tends to decrease with increasing age after having reached the maximum. The gap between the green curve and red curve in Figure 13 illustrates the amount of over-screening in all the provinces. The excess smear use varied between 1.75 (West-Flanders, 1998) and 2.05 (Brussels, 2000) (see Table 13). This means that each covered women received on average between 2.75 and 3.05 smears over a period of 3 years period. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 33 # smears/# women ratio Coverage, 3-year interval Antwerpen, 2000 Brussels, 2000 Flemish-Brabant, 2000 Walloon-Brabant, 2000 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 West-Flanders, 2000 East-Flanders, 2000 Hainaut, 2000 Liège, 2000 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Limburg, 2000 Luxembourg, 2000 1.4 1.2 1 .8 .6 .4 .2 0 1.4 1.2 1 .8 .6 .4 .2 0 1.4 1.2 1 .8 .6 .4 .2 0 1.4 1.2 1 .8 .6 .4 .2 0 1.4 1.2 1 .8 .6 .4 .2 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Namur, 2000 1.4 1.2 1 .8 .6 .4 .2 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Age Figure 13. Three-year interval Pap smear coverage, smears/women ratio, by 5-year age group and by province (Belgium, 2000). IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 34 7.1.4. District level Below, we present data on cervical screening at the lowest geographical level (the arrondissement or district). The total number of Pap smears and their relative frequency over the 5-year period is shown in Table 15. Table 15. Pap smears interpreted in the period 1996-2000, number and relative frequency, by district. Use of cervical cytology at a 1-year interval Absolute Relative number of frequency District smears (%) Living abroad 11580 0.2 Unknown 3921 0.07 Antwerpen 504660 8.8 Mechelen 160232 2.79 Turnhout 204377 3.56 Brussels 586105 10.22 Vilvoorde 367528 6.41 Leuven 246320 4.3 Nivelles 255923 4.46 Brugge 132481 2.31 Disksmuide 18269 0.32 Ieper 49812 0.87 Kortrijk 132314 2.31 Oostende 72399 1.26 Roeselare 58587 1.02 Tielt 40167 0.7 Veurne 27901 0.49 Aalst 137373 2.4 Dendermonde 96755 1.69 Eeklo 35403 0.62 Gent 283896 4.95 Oudenaarde 56438 0.98 St-Niklaas 126931 2.21 District Ath Charleroi Mons Mouscron Soignies Thuin Tournai Huy Liège Verviers Waremmes Hasselt Maaseik Tongeren Arlon Bastogne Marche-en-Famenne Neufchâteau Virton Dinant Namur Phillipeville Total Absolute Relative number of frequency smears (%) 42915 0.75 234237 4.08 145926 2.54 25667 0.45 109031 1.9 83721 1.46 78367 1.37 69862 1.22 379438 6.62 150865 2.63 44767 0.78 200457 3.5 102688 1.79 94103 1.64 18693 0.33 19421 0.34 28142 0.49 22918 0.4 21732 0.38 51704 0.9 164277 2.86 35898 0.63 5734201 100 The coverage of Pap smear use, considered over a one-year interval is shown for the five specified years in Table 16. The districts with highest coverages were Nivelles, Huy and Waremmes (>35%). The districts of Arlon and Moucron showed always the lowest coverages (<25%). The table also displays the slope of the district-specific regression trend line. The average yearly increase was highest (>2%) in Aalst, Neufchâteau and Oudenaarde. Only one district, Maaseik showed a mildly negative trend (-0.1%). IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 35 Table 16. The 1-year coverage by year and by district and yearly increase over the period 1996-2000 (restricted to women between 25-64 years old). District Antwerpen Mechelen Turnhout Brussels Vilvoorde Leuven Nivelles Brugge Disksmuide Ieper Kortrijk Oostende Roeselare Tielt Veurne Aalst Dendermonde Eeklo Gent Oudenaarde St-Niklaas Ath Charleroi Mons Mouscron Soignies Thuin Tournai Huy Liège Verviers Waremmes Hasselt Maaseik Tongeren Arlon Bastogne Marche-en-Famenne Neufchâteau Virton Dinant Namur Phillipeville 1996 29.5% 28.9% 29.0% 29.3% 34.0% 28.7% 39.4% 28.8% 22.3% 27.2% 26.6% 27.1% 23.1% 29.2% 28.1% 25.4% 28.2% 23.7% 28.4% 24.6% 30.1% 28.6% 29.1% 30.4% 20.8% 33.2% 30.8% 28.6% 39.6% 33.1% 33.4% 35.8% 30.6% 29.9% 26.5% 19.9% 26.8% 32.7% 22.1% 26.1% 29.3% 31.7% 33.3% IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 1997 30.6% 30.5% 31.1% 30.7% 36.2% 31.3% 40.8% 29.0% 23.2% 28.9% 30.9% 28.2% 24.7% 26.6% 28.8% 27.2% 28.6% 25.8% 30.2% 26.5% 33.3% 29.8% 30.0% 30.8% 20.2% 34.9% 32.2% 30.6% 40.9% 34.7% 33.9% 37.2% 30.2% 28.0% 27.5% 21.2% 29.8% 33.8% 23.5% 27.8% 30.5% 32.6% 34.1% 1998 32.2% 33.2% 32.4% 33.1% 39.3% 32.7% 42.7% 30.1% 27.5% 33.2% 28.8% 33.6% 26.2% 28.8% 33.6% 32.3% 31.9% 29.7% 34.6% 32.0% 34.5% 33.8% 31.7% 33.1% 23.9% 36.8% 33.6% 33.6% 42.6% 36.0% 34.9% 39.8% 31.8% 28.4% 29.7% 22.0% 31.2% 35.4% 27.2% 28.4% 32.0% 34.1% 36.1% 1999 33.1% 33.4% 30.7% 34.2% 39.8% 33.2% 43.0% 31.7% 26.5% 32.0% 29.4% 30.8% 29.7% 32.5% 31.5% 33.0% 32.9% 28.8% 35.3% 32.4% 34.9% 34.2% 32.7% 33.6% 24.6% 37.1% 34.0% 34.6% 42.3% 37.2% 35.8% 40.2% 31.9% 30.1% 30.4% 23.2% 32.1% 35.6% 29.1% 30.1% 32.2% 34.8% 35.8% 6/10/2005 Yearly 2000 increase 34.5% 1.24% 32.9% 1.09% 30.4% 0.24% 35.6% 1.62% 39.5% 1.46% 32.9% 1.02% 43.5% 1.03% 30.4% 0.58% 26.4% 1.16% 31.3% 1.13% 31.8% 0.89% 31.4% 1.11% 27.4% 1.37% 30.2% 1.37% 31.9% 1.01% 32.7% 2.04% 32.8% 1.36% 27.8% 1.12% 35.1% 1.84% 31.7% 2.01% 34.7% 1.07% 33.9% 1.49% 33.1% 1.07% 34.7% 1.13% 24.7% 1.24% 37.8% 1.13% 34.9% 0.99% 35.5% 1.77% 41.8% 0.59% 36.7% 0.96% 35.3% 0.56% 40.0% 1.13% 31.2% 0.31% 28.2% -0.13% 29.7% 0.93% 22.1% 0.64% 32.4% 1.34% 35.9% 0.81% 29.5% 2.04% 29.2% 0.84% 33.0% 0.91% 35.3% 0.94% 35.9% 0.69% 36 The ranking of districts by increasing 1-year coverage hardly changed over time as indicated the high Spearman correlation coefficient Table 17. Table 17. Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient comparing the rank in 1-year coverage of the respective districts over successive year. Spearman Years coefficient 1996-1997 0.89 1997-1998 0.85 1998-1999 0.91 1999-2000 0.96 The observed trend of the coverage and the #smears/#women considered over oneyear intervals is shown for each district in Figure 41. The relation between both indicators and five-year age groups is illustrated in Figure 42 for the year 2000. 7.1.4.1 Use of cervical cytology at 3-year intervals The 3-year coverage for the periods 1996-98, 1997-99 and 1998-2000 in 25-64 year old women; the difference between the last and the first period; the #smears/#women ratio and the overuse of Pap smears in the last period are documented in Table 18. Arlon, Mouscron and Diskmuide always were the less screened districts (<50%) and Vilvoorde, Waremme, Huy and Nivelles always were the best ones (>65%). The contrast between best and worst screened district was stable over time. In 1998, the gap between the best and worst screened district was 32.5%, in 1999 it was 32.3% and in 2000 31.9%. As already observed for the 1-year coverage the ranking from worst to best screened district is rather stable. The Spearman rank correlation coefficient for the first and second period was 0.97 and for the second and the third period it was 0.98. In 2 of the 43 districts the difference between the last and the first period was negative. The coverage decreased with 1% in Maaseik and 0.1% in Turnhout. In all other districts the trend was positive. In 3 districts the increase was less than 1%: Hasselt, Kortijk and Huy. In 8 districts the increase exceeded 4%: Mouscron, Aalst, Gent, Tournai, Brussels, Oudenaarde, Neufchâteau and Roeselare. Roeselare showed the highest increase (5.%). IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 37 Table 18. Three-year coverage for cytological cervical cancer screening in 3 periods indicated by the last year of the period: difference in coverage between the last and the first period; the number of smears/# of women and overuse in the last period among 25-64 years old women, by District. District Arlon Mouscron Disksmuide Virton Eeklo Roeselare Neufchâteau Kortrijk Maaseik Tongeren Tielt Brugge Ieper Dendermonde Bastogne Aalst Oostende Veurne Turnhout Oudenaarde Hasselt Antwerpen Brussels Dinant Mons Charleroi St-Niklaas Ath Leuven Mechelen Verviers Tournai Namur Gent Thuin Marche-en-Famenne Phillipeville Liège Soignies Vilvoorde Waremmes Nivelles Huy # smears / 3- year coverage Difference # women Overuse 1998 1999 2000 2000-1998 2000 2000 37,8% 38,8% 39,3% 1,4% 0,71 1,81 43,2% 45,6% 47,4% 4,1% 0,77 1,63 46,8% 48,9% 49,7% 3,0% 0,85 1,71 49,2% 50,3% 51,1% 1,9% 0,93 1,83 49,3% 52,2% 52,2% 3,0% 0,94 1,80 46,9% 51,4% 52,4% 5,6% 0,88 1,69 47,8% 50,5% 52,6% 4,8% 0,93 1,77 52,3% 53,4% 53,0% 0,7% 0,96 1,82 54,4% 54,4% 53,8% -0,6% 0,92 1,71 52,4% 53,6% 53,8% 1,4% 0,98 1,82 51,7% 53,7% 54,6% 3,0% 0,98 1,79 53,5% 54,5% 54,7% 1,2% 0,98 1,79 52,3% 54,4% 54,7% 2,4% 1,03 1,88 52,7% 53,9% 55,0% 2,3% 1,06 1,93 52,2% 54,8% 55,0% 2,8% 1,03 1,87 51,2% 54,0% 55,5% 4,3% 1,08 1,95 53,8% 55,6% 56,2% 2,4% 1,02 1,82 55,1% 55,9% 56,5% 1,4% 1,02 1,80 56,6% 57,6% 56,6% -0,1% 0,99 1,75 52,1% 55,6% 56,9% 4,8% 1,07 1,88 57,3% 57,5% 57,4% 0,0% 1,01 1,77 54,2% 55,8% 57,6% 3,4% 1,08 1,87 53,0% 55,5% 57,6% 4,6% 1,14 1,99 56,1% 57,0% 57,7% 1,6% 1,06 1,83 54,5% 56,2% 57,8% 3,3% 1,12 1,94 55,4% 57,0% 58,2% 2,9% 1,06 1,82 57,0% 58,7% 58,4% 1,4% 1,13 1,94 55,3% 57,7% 58,5% 3,3% 1,10 1,88 56,5% 58,5% 58,8% 2,3% 1,06 1,80 55,3% 57,7% 59,1% 3,7% 1,07 1,81 57,9% 58,7% 59,3% 1,4% 1,13 1,90 55,0% 57,7% 59,5% 4,5% 1,12 1,89 57,7% 58,9% 59,8% 2,1% 1,14 1,91 55,5% 58,6% 60,0% 4,5% 1,18 1,97 58,1% 59,3% 60,3% 2,2% 1,12 1,85 60,9% 61,7% 62,3% 1,3% 1,16 1,87 61,5% 62,6% 62,9% 1,3% 1,16 1,84 60,9% 62,7% 63,4% 2,6% 1,20 1,90 61,1% 62,8% 63,8% 2,6% 1,22 1,92 61,9% 64,1% 64,6% 2,7% 1,29 1,99 65,2% 67,1% 67,7% 2,5% 1,30 1,92 67,4% 68,5% 69,1% 1,8% 1,42 2,05 70,4% 71,1% 71,1% 0,7% 1,37 1,93 IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 38 Over-use Coverage change (%) Fitted over-use Fitted coverage change (%) 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 -1 .8 .6 1 #smears/#women ratio 1.2 1.4 Figure 14. Relation between cervical cancer screening coverage (green), overuse of Pap smears (red) and the ratio of #smears/#women ratio, considered over a 3-year interval. Each point represents a district in 2000. Over-use Coverage change (%) Fitted over-use Fitted coverage change (%) 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 -1 .6 .8 1 #smears/#women ratio 1.2 1.4 Figure 14 illustrates the increase in 3-year screening coverage (in green) and overuse of Pap smears (in red) for each district in 2000 as a function of the #smears/#women ratio. It must be remarked that change in coverage is plotted on a percentage scale and overuse on a unity scale. The regression line through the green triangles is nearly flat (slope= -0.40% (95% CI: -3.58 - 2.76%). The slope of the regression line through IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 39 the red circles (overuse) is 0.50 (95% CI: 0.38-0.61). This indicates that the coverage did not increase with the intensity of Pap smear use. Or on average, districts with a higher intensity of Pap smear use, did not obtain a gain in coverage, only the excess use was influenced. Figure 15 shows the geographical distribution of the 3-coverage reached in 2000 on a map. It is clear that South-Luxembourg, West-Flanders/Mouscron and East-Limburg are under-screened; whereas a cluster of better screened districts is found in the north of the Walloon-Region (Nivelles, Huy, Waremmes). To control the effect of differences in age composition at district level the Standardised Pap smear Ratio (SPR) was computed (see Table 19) using the national coverage as reference. The ranking of districts by increasing SPR was almost completely equal as that by crude screening coverage (Spearman coefficient 0.99). We can conclude that age does not modify the geographical variation. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 40 Cervical cancer screening (Belgium, 2000) 3-year interval coverage 0.7 to 0.75 (1) 0.65 to 0.7 (2) 0.6 to 0.65 (7) 0.55 to 0.6 (20) 0.5 to 0.55 (10) 0.45 to 0.5 (2) 0.4 to 0.45 (0) 0.35 to 0.4 (1) Figure 15. Geographical variation of the screening coverage considered over a 3-year interval (Belgium, by District, 1998-2000, 25-64 years old women). IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 41 Table 19. Standardised Pap smear Ratio and 3-year cervical cancer screening coverage, by District (Belgium, 1998-2000, women 25-64 years). The average age-specific coverage in Belgium over the same period was used for standardisation. District Arlon Mouscron Disksmuide Virton Neufchâteau Eeklo Roeselare Kortrijk Maaseik Tongeren Bastogne Tielt Ieper Dendermonde Brugge Aalst Turnhout Oostende Oudenaarde Brussels Hasselt Mons Veurne Antwerpen Dinant Charleroi Ath St-Niklaas Leuven Mechelen Verviers Tournai Namur Gent Thuin Marche-en-Famenne Phillipeville Soignies Liège Vilvoorde Waremmes Nivelles Huy IntermutCVX96_00e.doc Standardised Pap smear Ratio 0.665 0.812 0.852 0.868 0.896 0.899 0.902 0.910 0.914 0.918 0.934 0.935 0.939 0.941 0.943 0.949 0.962 0.974 0.975 0.976 0.978 0.983 0.986 0.988 0.988 0.992 0.999 0.999 1.001 1.010 1.012 1.014 1.017 1.026 1.029 1.059 1.075 1.083 1.087 1.107 1.152 1.178 1.208 6/10/2005 3-year coverage 39.3% 47.4% 49.7% 51.1% 52.6% 52.2% 52.4% 53.0% 53.8% 53.8% 55.0% 54.6% 54.7% 55.0% 54.7% 55.5% 56.6% 56.2% 56.9% 57.6% 57.4% 57.8% 56.5% 57.6% 57.7% 58.2% 58.5% 58.4% 58.8% 59.0% 59.3% 59.5% 59.8% 60.0% 60.3% 62.3% 62.9% 63.8% 63.4% 64.6% 67.7% 69.1% 71.1% 42 7.2. Profession of Pap smear takers There is a different code for smears taken for specialists and general practitioners. We assumed that gynaecologists are the only specialists taking Pap smears. Over the five years, 5.25 million smears were taken, of which 0.82 million (15.5%) were taken by GPs and 4.44 million (84.5%) by gynaecologists. We remark a difference of 0.48 million between the number of Pap smears interpreted and taken. It appears to happen that some Pap smears taken by gynaecologists are not billed (Dr. G. Albertyn, personal communication). If this phenomenon is true the percentage of smears taken by gynaecologists could be higher. Given the substantial differences between the Regions we do not further detail the statistics on Pap smear collection at the country level. Below, we present the proportion of smears taken by GPs ignoring the gap of the 0.48 million Paps. 7.2.1. Regional level Important regional differences in the percentage of smears taken by GPs are observed. Taking Pap smears is an almost exclusive activity of gynaecologists in the Walloon Region (>95%), whereas in the Flemish Region more than one fifth of smears were taken by GPs. In Brussels 8-10% of Paps were prepared by GPs. The trend is decreasing, especially in the Flemish Region. Flemish Region Brussels Fraction of smears taken by GPs .3 .2 .1 0 1996 Walloon Region 1998 2000 .3 .2 .1 0 1996 1998 2000 Year Figure 16. Trend in the proportion of Pap smears that is taken by GPs, by Region (Belgium, 19962000). IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 43 Table 20. Proportion of Pap smears taken by GPs, by year and by Region. Flemish Walloon Brussels Region Region 25.7% 10.2% 4.5% 24.7% 9.6% 4.2% 22.8% 9.0% 3.7% 21.5% 8.5% 3.6% 20.0% 8.3% 3.3% Year 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 The proportion of smears taken by general practitioners varies by age (see Figure 17). The proportion of GP smears shows a dip in the age groups where the coverage and intensity of screening is highest. Flemish Region Brussels Fraction of smears taken by GPs .3 .2 .1 0 10 Walloon Region 20 30 40 50 60 70 .3 .2 .1 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Age Figure 17. Relation between the proportion of Pap smears taken by GPs and age group, by Region. 7.2.2. Provincial level The variation of the contribution of GPs in Pap smear taking over time and province is shown in Figure 18. The percentage was highest in Limburg, but here the decline was also larger (from 34% to 25%) than in the other Flemish provinces. In Liège only 2 to 3% of smears are prepared by GPs. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 44 Antwerpen West-Flanders East-Flanders Hainaut Liège Limburg Luxembourg Namur Brussels Flemish-Brabant Walloon-Brabant .4 .3 .2 .1 % smears taken by GP 0 .4 .3 .2 .1 0 1996 1998 2000 .4 .3 .2 .1 0 1996 1998 2000 1996 1998 2000 1996 1998 2000 Figure 18. Yearly trend in the proportion of cervical smears that are taken by GPs, by Province. Year 7.2.3. District level Figure 19 and Table 21 show the variation in the proportion of smears taken by general practitioners in 2000 over all the districts. The lowest proportion is noted in Mons (only 1%). The highest proportion was found in Maaseik (43%). The variation over age for 3 separate years in plotted in Figure 44 (see annexe 13.2). IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 45 Table 21. The proportion of Pap smears taken by general practitioners, by District in 2000. District Mons Huy Waremmes Verviers Liège Thuin Ath Charleroi Soignies Tournai Namur Phillipeville Dinant Virton Arlon Nivelles Neufchâteau Marche-en-Famenne Bastogne Mouscron Brussels Ieper Oudenaarde St-Niklaas Gent Oostende Vilvoorde Veurne Brugge Disksmuide Tielt Aalst Kortrijk Hasselt Tongeren Dendermonde Roeselare Antwerpen Turnhout Mechelen Leuven Eeklo Maaseik IntermutCVX96_00e.doc % of Pap smears taken by GPs 1.0% 1.3% 2.1% 2.2% 2.3% 2.3% 2.4% 2.5% 2.7% 3.2% 3.2% 4.3% 4.9% 5.4% 5.8% 6.1% 7.1% 7.2% 8.2% 8.3% 8.3% 10.6% 11.6% 12.7% 12.8% 14.2% 14.6% 15.1% 16.0% 16.2% 16.5% 16.7% 17.0% 17.9% 19.3% 19.8% 20.3% 24.0% 24.3% 24.9% 29.1% 30.6% 42.7% 6/10/2005 46 Proportion of Pap smears taken by GPs (Belgum, 2000, women aged 25-64 years) 0 to 0.06 (15) 0.06 to 0.12 (8) 0.12 to 0.18 (11) 0.18 to 0.24 (4) 0.24 to 0.3 (3) 0.3 to 0.36 (1) 0.36 to 0.43 (1) Figure 19. Geographical variation in the proportion of Pap smears taken by general practitioners in 2000. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 47 7.3. Colposcopies & cervical biopsies About 400 000 colposcopic examinations are performed each year in Belgium. The time, age and geographical distribution of the number colposcopies, cervical biopsies and interpretations of Pap smears and the ratios of this numbers are documented in Table 22 - Table 25 and also in Table 38. The average number of Pap smears interpreted per colposcopy is 2.9. This ratio hardly varies with year and age, but changes considerably by geographical area. In the Walloon Region this ratio is only 1.9, whereas 2.8 and 4.9 in Brussels and the Flemish Region respectively. In Table 38, we have sorted districts by increasing Pap smear/colposcopy ratio. Remarkable is that all Walloon districts are in top, separated by Brussels from the Flemish districts. In Mouscron, the ratio is exactly one: for every Pap smear also a colposcopy is performed. Table 22. Number of colposcopies, cervical biopsies taken and Pap smears interpreted, ratio of the number of biopsies over the number of colposcopies, the ratio of the number of Pap smears over the number of colposcopies and the ratio of the number biopsies over the number of Paps, Belgium, by year. Year 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Total Colposcopies 378,750 398,704 408,634 410,083 413,785 2,009,956 Biopsies Pap smears 22,063 1,042,821 20,143 1,095,337 22,048 1,171,347 21,108 1,201,152 20,776 1,223,544 106,138 5,734,201 Biopsy/colposcopy Pap/colposcopy Biopsy/Pap ratio ratio ratio 5.8% 2.8 2.1% 5.1% 2.7 1.8% 5.4% 2.9 1.9% 5.1% 2.9 1.8% 5.0% 3.0 1.7% 5.3% 2.9 1.9% Table 23. See Table 22, Belgium 1996-2000, by age group. Age 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 >= 75 Total Colposcopies Biopsies Pap smears 2,667 130 4,260 48,972 2,414 123,802 157,159 9,362 442,454 245,852 14,908 692,356 272,003 16,502 790,245 265,565 15,835 780,372 242,440 13,728 694,605 225,029 11,008 625,377 193,096 7,938 537,123 122,395 5,013 357,656 98,854 3,799 294,414 69,624 2,576 203,103 40,161 1,614 114,270 26,139 1,311 74,164 2,009,956 106,138 5,734,201 IntermutCVX96_00e.doc Biopsy/colposcopy Pap/colposcopy Biopsy/Pap ratio ratio ratio 4.9% 1.6 3.1% 4.9% 2.5 1.9% 6.0% 2.8 2.1% 6.1% 2.8 2.2% 6.1% 2.9 2.1% 6.0% 2.9 2.0% 5.7% 2.9 2.0% 4.9% 2.8 1.8% 4.1% 2.8 1.5% 4.1% 2.9 1.4% 3.8% 3.0 1.3% 3.7% 2.9 1.3% 4.0% 2.8 1.4% 5.0% 2.8 1.8% 5.3% 2.9 1.9% 6/10/2005 48 On average, 5.3% of colposcopies are accompanied by taking a cervical biopsy. Again this percentage varies slightly by age and time. This percentage is respectively 3.3% and 8.7% in the Walloon and Flemish Region. It was highest in Antwerp (13.3%) and lowest in Namur (2.3%). On average the ratio of the number of smears over the number of cervical biopsies is 1.8%. The variation of biopsy/pap smear ratio by age is displayed in Figure 20. This ratio varies only slightly by Region, indicating minor inter-regional differences in prevalence of colposcopically visible cervical lesions. The range of variation at district level is less important as well, if we exclude 2 districts with outlying biopsy/pap smear ratio (Oudenaarde and Waremmes with a ratio of 6.4% or 7.1%). The linear relation between the Pap/colopocopy ratio and biopsy/Pap ratio at district level is weakly negative and non significant (slope: (-0.10%; CI: -0.21% to 0.02%). We observe a discrepancy between the number of biopsies taken and interpreted. 106,138 cervical biopsies were taken, whereas only 72,757 (68.5%) were interpreted. Probably other codes were used to impute histological interpretation of cervical biopsies. Table 24. See Table 22, Belgium, 1996-2000, by Region. Region Colposcopies Biopsies Pap smears Flemish Region 618,033 53,825 3,003,722 Brussels 207,587 12,143 586,105 Walloon Region 1,176,139 39,315 2,128,873 Total 2,001,759 105,283 5,718,700 Biopsy/colposcopy Pap/colposcopy Biopsy/Pap ratio ratio ratio 8.7% 4.9 1.8% 5.8% 2.8 2.1% 3.3% 1.8 1.8% 5.3% 2.9 1.8% Table 25. See Table 22, Belgium 1996-2000, by province. Province Colposcopies Biopsies Pap smears Antwerp 158,713 21,116 869,269 East-Flanders 67,346 6,722 531,930 West-Flanders 114,510 9,959 736,796 Hainaut 487,515 13,491 719,864 Liège 418,985 14,063 644,932 Luxembourg 82,686 5,664 397,248 Namur 62,377 1,450 110,906 Limburg 140,942 5,444 251,879 Brussels 207,587 12,143 586,105 Flemish-Brabant 136,522 10,584 613,848 Walloon-Brabant 124,576 4,647 255,923 IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 Biopsy/colposcopy Pap/colposcopy Biopsy/Pap ratio ratio ratio 13.3% 5.5 2.4% 10.0% 7.9 1.3% 8.7% 6.4 1.4% 2.8% 1.5 1.9% 3.4% 1.5 2.2% 6.9% 4.8 1.4% 2.3% 1.8 1.3% 3.9% 1.8 2.2% 5.8% 2.8 2.1% 7.8% 4.5 1.7% 3.7% 2.1 1.8% 49 Biopsy/Pap smear ratio 3% 2% 1% 0% 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 Age group Figure 20. Ratio of the number of cervical biopsies over the number of Pap smears taken, by age (Belgium, 1996-2000). biopapr Fitted values .08 Ratio Biopsies / Pap smears War Oud .06 .04 Ath Ant Huy Iep Cha Nam Din Bru Neu Liè Liv NivPhi Thu Mar Tou Soi Mon Mou VirVer .02 Arl Bas Has Leu Oos Tur Vil Ton Aal Roe Den Eek Mec Dis Tie St- Kor Gen Veu Bru Maa 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 Ratio Pap smears / colposcopies 12 Figure 21. Relation at district level between the Pap smears / colposcopy ratio and the biopsy / Pap smear ratio. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 50 7.4. Hysterectomies 7.4.1. National level In total more than 84,500 total hysterectomies were performed in Belgium between 1996 and 2000. The number of hysterectomies by year varied from 15,454 in 2000 and 18,138 in 1998. The histogram in Figure 22 shows the distribution of the number of hysterectomies by 5-year age group. Table 26. The total number of total hysterectomies performed, each year, in Belgium between 1996 and 2000. Year 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Total Frequency 16622 16982 18138 17368 15454 84564 Percent 19.66 20.08 21.45 20.54 18.27 100 year==1996 year==1997 year==1998 year==1999 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 4000 3000 2000 Frequency 1000 0 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 Age group Figure 22. Number of total hysterectomies by five year age group performed in Belgium in the years 1996, 1997, 1998 and 1999. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 51 Hysterectomies/1000 women-years The average yearly incidence rate of total hysterectomy per thousand women and by age, computed over the period 1996 to 2000, is plotted in Figure 23. The resulting cumulative incidence (which is nearly equivalent to the prevalence of being totally hysterectomiseda) by age is shown in Figure 24. The overall incidence within the 25-64 years group was 5.0 per 1000 women-years. The age-specific incidence rate increases up to a peak at 9.6/1000 women-years in the 50-54 year age group. The hysterectomy rate declines thereafter to reach a rather constant level between 4 and 5 per 1000/year between in the age groups 55-70. The increase in the last age group (women of 75 years or older) might be due to the assumption that all hysterectomies in the age group 75+ were considered to occur all within the age group 75-79. Figure 25 shows the observed incidence rate of hysterectomy among women of 25-64 years old and also the linear trend obtained from a Poisson regression using the calendar year as a continuous co-variate. The linear trend was mildly decreasing (slope: 0.969; 95% CI: 0.964 to 0.974). For a multivariate Poisson-regression, including district, age group and calendar-year as covariate, we refer to sub-chapter 7.4.4. Figure 26 displays the time trend of the observed hysterectomy incidence rate for 3 separate age groups. The rate is mildly decreasing in the youngest age group (<45 years old women), and mildly increasing among women of 65 years or older. Among 45-64 years old, the rate increases mildly until 1998, but decreases thereafter. 10 7.5 5 2.5 0 40 25 55 70 Age group Figure 23. Average incidence of total hystectomy by age (Belgium, 1996-2000). a Under the assumption of absent period effect. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 52 Cumulative incidence of hysterectomy up to a given age group Belgium, 1996-2000 Cumulative incidence (%) 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 Age group 60 65 70 75 Figure 24. Average cumulative incidence of hysterectomy, up to a given age group (Belgium, 19962000). Hysterectomies/1000 women-years Incidence of hysterectomy, observed rate & linear trend Belgium, women 25-64 years 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 1996 1997 1998 Year 1999 2000 Figure 25. Observed incidence rates of hysterectomy (red circles) and linear trend between 1996 and 2000 among women between 25 and 64 years old. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 53 Incidence of hysterectomy Trend by age group, Belgium Hysterectomies/1000 women-years Age: 15-44 years Age: >=65 years Age: 45-64 years 8 6 4 2 0 1996 1997 1998 Year 1999 2000 Figure 26. Observed trend of hysterectomy rates by age group in Belgium between 1996 and 2000. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 54 7.4.2. Regional level The average age-specific incidence of hysterectomy is shown for the three Regions separately in Figure 27. The shape of curve is similar for the three regions as described for the whole of Belgium in the previous sub-chapter. However the age specific incidences are substantially higher in the Flemish and substantially lower in Brussels. Peak incidences occur systematically in the 45-49 year age group: respectively 10.6, 6.4 and 8.7 per 100 women-years in the Flemish, Capital and Walloon Region. Hysterectomies/1000 women-years Flemish Region Brussels 10 5 0 25 Walloon Region 40 55 70 10 5 0 25 40 55 70 Age group Figure 27. Average incidence of total hystectomy by age (Belgium, by Region, 1996-2000). The cumulative incidence of hysterectomy up to a given age is plotted in Figure 28. Figure 29 shows the observed incidence rate of hysterectomy among women of 25-64 years old and also the linear trend obtained from a Poisson regression. This Poisson regression included an interaction between Region and year, expressed as a continuous variable. The contrast between the Flemish Region and the two other Regions increases over time since the downward trend is larger (further from unity) in Brussels and the Walloon Region. The coefficients for the linear slopes are: 0.987 (95% CI: 0.897 to 0.940) for the Flemish Region; 0.918 (95% CI: 0.897 to 0.940) for Brussels and 0.954 (95% CI: 0.943 to 0.965) for the Walloon Region. For a multivariate Poisson-regression, including district and separate age-group and calendar-years as covariate, we refer to sub-chapter 7.4.4. The time trend over the 5 calendar years for 3 separate age-groups is shown in Figure 30. Remarkable is the abrupt drop in the Brussels Region in the 45-64 year age group between 1998 and 1999. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 55 Cumulative incidence of hysterectomy up to a given age group Cumulative incidence (%) Flemish Region Brussels 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 20 Walloon Region 30 40 50 60 70 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 20 30 40 50 60 70 Age group Figure 28. Average cumulative incidence of hysterectomy, up to a given age group (Belgium by Region, 1996-2000). Hysterectomies/1000 women-years Incidence of hysterectomy, observed rate & linear trend Belgium by Region, women 25-64 years Flemish Region Brussels 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Walloon Region 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Year Figure 29. Observed incidence rates of hysterectomy (red circles) and linear trend, by Region, between 1996 and 2000 among women between 25 and 64 years old. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 56 Hysterectomies/1000 women-years Age: 15-44 years Age: >=65 years Age: 45-64 years Flemish Region Brussels 8 6 4 2 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Walloon Region 8 6 4 2 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Year Figure 30. Observed trend of hysterectomy rates by age group in the three Belgian Regions between 1996 and 2000. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 57 7.4.3. Provincial level Hysterectomies/1000 women-years For the provinces, we just present the average yearly incidence, which is plotted as a function of age in Figure 31. Remark the higher incidences (peak incidence at 45-49 year > 10/1000 women years) in the provinces of Antwerp, West- & East-Flanders and Limburg. Antwerpen West-Flanders East-Flanders Hainaut Liège Limburg Luxembourg Namur Brussels 15 10 5 0 15 10 5 0 15 10 5 0 25 40 55 70 Flemish-Brabant 25 40 55 25 70 40 55 70 Age group Walloon-Brabant 15 10 5 0 25 40 55 70 25 40 55 70 Figure 31. Average incidence of total hysterectomy by age (Belgium, by Province, 1996-2000). IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 58 7.4.4. District level The age-specific incidences of total hysterectomy are plotted in Figure 45. The relative risk of hysterectomy among women of 20 years and older, estimated from a Poisson regression including District, age group and year as covariates, are shown in Table 27. The district of Antwerp is used as reference. Districts are ranked from low to high incidence. The 10 districts with lowest incidence are all from the Walloon Region or Brussels, whereas the 17 districts with highest incidence belong all to the Flemish Region. The range between lowest and highest rate is situated between 2.4/1000/y (Ath) and 5.5/1000/y (St.-Niklaas). A clearer overview of the geographical contrasts is obtained from the map in Figure 32. Table 27. Relative risk (RR) of hysterectomy by District using the incidence in Antwerp as reference, ranked by increasing risk. RRs are estimated from a Poisson regression, including age group and year as additional covariates (Belgium, 1996-2000, ≥20 year old women). District Relative risk Antwerpen 1 Ath 0.54 Tournai 0.57 Brussels 0.57 Namur 0.66 Soignies 0.69 Dinant 0.70 Mons 0.71 Arlon 0.73 Mouscron 0.75 Walloon-Brabant 0.76 Vilvoorde 0.76 Neufchâteau 0.76 Brugge 0.78 Veurne 0.80 Waremmes 0.81 Virton 0.82 Thuin 0.83 Phillipeville 0.85 Charleroi 0.85 Liège 0.86 Verviers 0.87 Age 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 Relative risk Year 1996 1997 1998 Relative risk 1 4.83 14.74 35.03 65.26 76.86 1 1.01 1.06 IntermutCVX96_00e.doc (95% CI) (0.91 to 1.00) (0.98 to 1.06) (0.55 to 0.59) (0.73 to 0.79) (0.84 to 0.90) (0.72 to 0.79) (0.75 to 0.82) (0.91 to 1.10) (1.16 to 1.31) (0.95 to 1.04) (1.00 to 1.11) (0.86 to 0.97) (1.13 to 1.30) (0.72 to 0.88) (0.93 to 1.02) (0.95 to 1.05) (0.93 to 1.08) (0.99 to 1.06) (0.92 to 1.04) (1.20 to 1.31) (0.49 to 0.59) (95% CI) (4.15 to 5.62) (12.77 to 17.02) (30.42 to 40.35) (56.7 to 75.11) (66.79 to 88.45) (95% CI) (0.99 to 1.03) (1.04 to 1.08) District Relative risk Leuven 0.87 Bastogne 0.87 Huy 0.88 Marche-en-Famenne 0.90 Roeselare 0.92 Mechelen 0.95 Tongeren 0.96 Aalst 0.97 Oudenaarde 0.98 Maaseik 0.98 Kortrijk 1.00 Dendermonde 1.00 Disksmuide 1.00 Eeklo 1.00 Turnhout 1.02 Gent 1.02 Oostende 1.05 Hasselt 1.07 Tielt 1.21 Ieper 1.23 St-Niklaas 1.25 (95% CI) (0.84 to 0.90) (0.68 to 0.75) (0.68 to 0.82) (0.82 to 1.00) (0.78 to 0.88) (0.91 to 1.00) (0.81 to 0.94) (0.83 to 0.89) (0.83 to 0.91) (0.74 to 0.88) (1.03 to 1.11) (0.94 to 1.03) (0.91 to 1.10) (0.65 to 0.81) (0.77 to 0.98) (0.82 to 1.00) (1.00 to 1.11) (0.73 to 0.91) (1.13 to 1.30) (0.62 to 0.69) (1.20 to 1.31) Age 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75+ Relative risk 58.10 35.08 32.12 33.79 30.98 42.19 (95% CI) (50.46 to 66.88) (30.43 to 40.43) (27.86 to 37.02) (29.32 to 38.94) (26.87 to 35.72) (36.59 to 48.64) Year 1999 2000 Relative risk 1.00 0.88 (95% CI) (0.98 to 1.02) (0.86 to 0.90) 6/10/2005 59 Total hysterectomy rate (per 1000 women-years) Belgium, 1996-2000 (women between 25-64 years) 5 to 6 (3) 4.5 to 4.99 (3) 4 to 4.49 (11) 3.5 to 3.99 (13) 3 to 3.49 (9) 2.5 to 2.99 (2) 2 to 2.49 (2) all others (3) IncHyster.WOR IncHyster.WOR IncHyster.WOR IncHyster.WOR Figure 32. Geographical variation in the rate of total hysterectomy by District (Belgium, 1996-2000; ≥20 year old women, per 1000 women-years). IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 60 As for the other geographical levels, we present also the hysterectomy rate for the age group 25-64 years (Table 28). The SHR (standardised hysterectomy ratio) is computed using the national age-specific rate over the 1996-2000 period as reference. The geographical contrasts look hardly influenced by age group. Table 28. Hysterectomy incidence and standardised hysterectomy ratio (SHR) among women between 25 and 64 years old, ranked by increasing SHR (Belgium, 1996-2000). District Tournai Ath Brussels Namur Neufchâteau Dinant Soignies Nivelles Arlon Vilvoorde Mons Mouscron Brugge Veurne Bastogne Thuin Waremmes Leuven Virton Verviers Marche-en-Famenne Roeselare Charleroi Liège Phillipeville Huy Tongeren Oudenaarde Mechelen Aalst Maaseik Disksmuide Dendermonde Kortrijk Turnhout Antwerpen Gent Eeklo Hasselt Oostende Tielt Ieper St-Niklaas IntermutCVX96_00e.doc Incidence rate (/1000 women-years) 2.87 2.96 2.99 3.81 3.88 3.93 4.06 4.30 4.01 4.25 4.34 4.40 4.50 4.66 4.52 4.82 4.82 4.89 4.86 4.98 4.98 4.98 5.14 5.21 5.24 5.28 5.45 5.48 5.48 5.50 5.62 5.57 5.71 5.71 5.74 5.89 5.82 6.11 6.21 6.40 6.79 7.31 7.37 6/10/2005 Standardised Hysterectomy Ratio 0.56 0.58 0.62 0.75 0.78 0.78 0.80 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.84 0.85 0.89 0.92 0.93 0.94 0.94 0.97 0.98 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.01 1.02 1.03 1.03 1.08 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.13 1.13 1.14 1.14 1.15 1.17 1.18 1.22 1.23 1.26 1.38 1.46 1.47 61 7.5. Cytological screening in hysterectomised women Women who have undergone total hysterectomy are not at risk for cervical cancer if the indication for the intervention was not oncologic. In the next subchapter we will study the intensity of Pap smear use in women who had total hysterectomy or cervixamputation. Since we do not know if smears taken in the same calendar year as the hysterectomy, took place before or after the surgery, we will consider the calendar years after the hysterectomy. Two types of post-hysterectomy periods are defined: one-year (see sub-chapter 7.5.1) and three-year periods (see sub-chapter 7.5.2). Linkage between Pap smear histories and hysterectomy using the anonymous IDnumber revealed that certain women had multiple hysterectomies. This artifact is probably due to many-to-one ID mismatching. In the following sub-chapter all second and following hysterectomies in a same woman were deleted. The consequence is that the analyses concern only 81,751 hysterectomies instead of 84,564. 7.5.1. Use of Pap smears one year after hysterectomy The proportion of women with a hysterectomy in a given year in the period 19961999 and who had a least one Pap smear in the subsequent year, specified by age group, is shown in Figure 33. No time trend effects can be discerned, since the curves for the four years coincide. The proportion of screened women is highest among young women: on average 49% among 20-29 years old women. It decreases with age, to reach the lowest level in the age groups 40-54 (on average 13%). The proportion increases a few percentages in the age group 55-64 (on average 18%) and it decreases again until 13% in women being 70 or older. The ratio of the number of smears taken over the number hysterectomised women is plotted in Figure 34. Table 29 shows by five-year groups the number of hysterectomies performed in 1999 and the number of Pap smears examined among the hysterectomised women in 2000. It shows also the proportion of screened hysterectomised women and the #smears/ #women ratio which corresponds to the blue curves in Figure 33 and Figure 34. Both measures are plotted in one graph (see Figure 35). The number of smears per screened hysterectomised woman varies between 1.3 and 1.6 with lowest values observed in 40-54 year age group. Among the 15,883 women hysterectomised in 1999; 2,553 were screened cytologically using on average 1.4 Pap smears per screened woman during the year 2000. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 62 Pap smears in women being hysterectomised 1 year before Proportion with at least 1 smear 1996 1998 1997 1999 1 Fraction .8 .6 .4 .2 0 20 30 40 50 Age group 60 70 Figure 33. Proportion of women with hysterectomy occurring in the year indicated in the legend, who had at least one Pap smear in the subsequent year. Table 29. Cytological screening in 2000 among women who underwent a total hysterectomy in 1999. Number of Age 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 25-64 20+ Hysterectomies Smears in 1999 in 2000 41 27 198 151 644 308 1,599 457 2,803 535 2,964 463 2,087 386 1,138 279 1,117 283 1,166 331 999 217 1,127 179 12,550 2,862 15,883 3,616 IntermutCVX96_00e.doc Women with Proportion of #smears/ # smears/ smear in women with smear #women ratio screened woman in 2000 20 48.8% 0.659 1.4 96 48.5% 0.763 1.6 198 30.7% 0.478 1.6 310 19.4% 0.286 1.5 388 13.8% 0.191 1.4 349 11.8% 0.156 1.3 291 13.9% 0.185 1.3 208 18.3% 0.245 1.3 197 17.6% 0.253 1.4 217 18.6% 0.284 1.5 155 15.5% 0.217 1.4 123 10.9% 0.159 1.5 2,037 16.2% 0.228 1.4 2,552 16.1% 0.228 1.4 6/10/2005 63 Pap smears in women being hysterectomised 1 year before #smear/#women ratio; by year of hysterectomy and age 1996 1998 1997 1999 1 .8 Fraction .6 .4 .2 0 20 30 40 50 Age group 60 70 Figure 34. Use of Pap smears in hysterectomised women: ratio of # smears/ # women, where # smears is the number of Pap smears taken in the calendar-year following the year where hysterectomy took place and # women is the number of women who underwent a total hysterectomy in the year defined in the legend. Pap smears taken in 2000 in women being hysterectomised in 1999 #smears/#women ratio proportion with at >=1 smear .8 .6 .4 .2 0 20 30 40 50 Age group 60 70 Figure 35. Pap smear use in hysterectomised women. Red full line curve: proportion of women with hysterectomy in 1999 who had at least one Pap smear in 2000; Green interrupted line curve: ratio of the number of Pap smears taken in 2000/ number of women hysterectomised in 1999. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 64 7.5.2. Use of Pap smears in the 3-year period following hysterectomy The proportion of hysterectomised women who had a Pap smear taken in the three subsequent years is plotted using a full line curve in Figure 36. The #smears/#women ratio is plotted on the same graph using interrupted lines. These indicators are documented for two hysterectomy years: 1996 and 1997. Absolute values and computed indicators are enumerated in Table 30. The proportion of screened women is highest in the youngest groups (63% in the 20-29 year age group) and it decreases until 23% in the 40-45 year group. This proportion increases until 28% in the 55-64 year group and finally decreases again (18% in women of 70 years and older). The number of smears per screened women was on average 2.3 and varied between 2.0 and 3.2 by age group. #women/#smears ratio Proportion w Pap, Hectomy 1996 #women/#smears ratio Proportion w Pap, Hectomy 1997 2.5 2 1.5 1 .5 0 20 30 40 50 Age group 60 70 Figure 36. Pap smear use in hysterectomised women. Full line curves: proportion of women with at least one smear in the 3-year period following the year of hysterectomy; interreputed line curves: # smears taken in the three subsequent years/ # women hysterectomised in a given year; orange line curves: concerning women hysterectomised in 1996; blue line curves: concerning women hysterectomised in 1997. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 65 Table 30. Cytological screening in 1998-2000 among women who underwent a total hysterectomy in 1997. Age 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 25-64 20+ # smears/screened Women with Proportion of women #smears/ woman Hysterectomies Smears smear with smear #women ratio in 1997 in 1998-2000 in 1998-2000 2.5 65 116 46 70.8% 1.785 3.2 213 416 130 61.0% 1.953 2.7 725 744 280 38.6% 1.026 2.2 1,719 1,025 467 27.2% 0.596 2.0 3,093 1,363 697 22.5% 0.441 2.0 3,436 1,538 768 22.4% 0.448 2.1 2,258 1,127 525 23.3% 0.499 2.3 1,122 733 318 28.3% 0.653 2.5 1,070 756 298 27.9% 0.707 2.5 1,148 669 268 23.3% 0.583 2.5 922 480 189 20.5% 0.521 2.3 857 319 139 16.2% 0.372 13,636 16,628 IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 7,702 9,286 3,483 4,125 6/10/2005 25.5% 24.8% 2.2 2.3 0.565 0.558 66 8. Discussion 8.1. Quality of the dataset The quality of the dataset was compromised by truncating details of information such as date of the act, age of the women, locality of residence. This impeded computation of exact screening intervals and excluded the possibility to assess the delay between (or the simultaneity of) Pap smear collection and other investigations or interventions The identities of concerned women were irreversibly encrypted. Nevertheless records can refer to a unique person by their content when locality, age and date of the medical act are known. Truncation of data was done to reduce the probability of providing unique data, which theoretically include a risk of identifiability. Nevertheless, one should not confound uniqueness with identifiability. It must be remarked that organized population screening, includes by definition registration of individual data with the possibility of linkage between population-, screening cancer- and mortality-registers [Commission EU, 2003; Council EU, 2003]. Moreover the Belgian privacy protect law foresees derogation specifically for population screening [Arbyn, 1999]. The amount of records with improbable results (women with multiple hysterectomies, or with more then 20 smears) was limited (<1% of the complete dataset). 8.2. Comparison with results of the National Health Interview Survey (HIS) In 1997 and 2001, a nation-wide health interview survey (HIS) was conducted including respectively 10 000 and 12 000 households, randomly chosen from the national register using a stratified cluster sampling design [Demarest, 2002]. The questionnaire contained seven questions on cervical cancer screening by Pap smear, which were addressed to all selected women older than 14 years. The following questions are of interest for this report: “Did you ever had a gynaecological examination for cervical cancer (a cervical smear); b) If yes, how long ago did this happen? (<1 year ago; 1-3 years ago, 3-5 years ago; more than 5 years ago, no answer). From the answers to these two questions an indicator variable for 3-year screening coverage was constructed (having had a Pap smear taken less then 3 years ago). Another question of interest was: “Did you ever undergo a cervical ablation of the cervix?” We applied the same statistical weighting procedures as described by the authors of the HIS report [Demarest, 2002]. Table 31 shows the coverage estimated from the health interview surveys in 1997 and 2001 confronted with the coverage computed from the individual health insurance data set for respectively one year later and before at the level of Belgium and the three Regions for women in target age range of 25-64 years. The coverage, estimated from IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 67 HIS data, was substantially and statistically significantly higher than in our study. At the national level this difference was 11.3% (CI: 9.3-13.9%). The difference between 2001 (HIS-data) and the 2000 coverage (IMA) was highest in the Flemish and Capital Region, respectively 14.5% (CI: 11.3-17.5%) and 14.8% (CI: 11.0-18.3%). In the Walloon Region, this difference was smaller (4.7%; CI: 0.5-8.8%). Table 31. Comparison of the of 3-year cervical cancer screening coverage estimated from the health interview surveys conducted in 1997 and 2001 and the coverage computed from individual health insurance data in 1998 and 2000, among women between 25 and 64 years old, in Belgium and by Region. Health Interview Survey (HIS) Year 1997 2001 Estimate Estimate (95% CI) (95% CI) 69.6% (67.1% -71.9%) 69.9% (67.9% -72.5%) Belgium Flemish Region Capital Region Walloon Region 73.4% (69.9% -76.7%) 64.1% (59.8% -68.1%) 64.0% (59.8% -67.9%) 71.9% (68.7% -74.9%) 72.4% (68.6% -75.9%) 65.6% (61.4% -69.7%) Individual patient files from IMA 1998 2000 Coverage 55.90% 58.60% 55.00% 53.00% 58.40% 57.4% 57.6% 60.9% Table 32 shows values of coverage at the provincial level estimated from the 2001 health survey or computed for 2000 from the individual health insurance data. The HIS-coverage was always higher (excepted for Namur) and the difference was statistically significant for Antwerp, Flemish-Brabant, West-Flanders, Limburg, Brussels and Luxembourg. Table 32. Comparison of the of 3-year cervical cancer screening coverage estimated from the health interview survey (HIS, 2001) and the coverage computed from individual health insurance data for the year 2000, among women between 25 and 64 years old, by province. Province HIS, 2001 (95% CI) Antwerp 71.7% (65.9% -76.8%) Flemish-Brabant 77.5% (68.8% -84.2%) West-Flanders 67.7% (59.0% -75.3%) East-Flanders 64.2% (56.8% -71.1%) Limburg 80.1% (73.2% -85.6%) Brussels 72.4% (68.6% -75.9%) Walloon-Brabant 74.2% (62.1% -83.5%) Hainaut 61.1% (55.6% -66.4%) Liège 68.5% (61.2% -75.0%) Luxembourg 61.5% (54.9% -67.7%) Namur 59.7% (46.9% -71.3%) Individual patient files from IMA (2000) 57.60% 62.00% 54.10% 57.50% 55.50% 57.60% 69.10% 58.70% 63.40% 51.70% 59.80% Table 33 and Figure 37 show the same type of contrast at the Belgian level but now differentiated by age group. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 68 Table 33. Estimation of the 3-year cervical cancer screening coverage estimated from the national health interview survey (HIS) in 2001 and the corresponding coverage computed from individual health insurance data (provided by IMA) for the year 3000, Belgium, by age group. Age group 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75+ HIS, 2001 Estimate 8.33% 48.51% 67.88% 78.23% 73.95% 71.15% 69.24% 73.43% 66.28% 53.96% 44.17% 25.97% 11.91% (95% CI) (4.49% -14.95%) (39.84% -57.27%) (61.12% -73.97%) (72.29% -83.18%) (67.24% -79.71%) (64.63% -76.91%) (62.90% -74.93%) (66.48% -79.39%) (58.99% -72.87%) (46.07% -61.65%) (35.76% -52.92%) (19.05% -34.34%) (7.95% -17.46%) IMA, 2000 Coverage 15.6% 49.3% 63.7% 66.7% 65.6% 62.5% 59.1% 56.4% 46.5% 38.2% 26.9% 17.8% 16.4% In the age groups 30-74, the coverage estimated from the HIS data was significantly higher than that computed from the IMA data, and this difference tended to increase with age. Nevertheless, in the youngest and oldest groups the differences were small and the coverage became even higher in the IMA data than in the HI survey. Substantial discrepancies in coverage derived from two independent data sources are observed. We assume that the coverage computed from the individual health insurance data has a higher likelihood to correspond more to the true coverage since it does not suffer from reporting and selection biases inherent to health interview surveys, and only influenced by “minor” administrative errors [R. Mertens; V. Fabri: personal communications]. Several authors, who investigated the accuracy of selfreported utilisation of Pap smears, found systematic overestimation of the actual screening status [Walter, 1988; Sawyer, 1989; Kottkel, 1995; Montano, 1995; Bowman, 1997; McGovern, 1998]. Selective participation of screened women in surveys is another explanation [Arbyn, 1997; 2000]. Finally, another reason of overestimation might be due to the fact that 11% of women in the age-range 25 64 year did not answer the 2 questions on cervical cancer screening and probably the screening status in this category was lower than among responding women. Remarkable is the fact that the discrepancy between the HIS- and IMA coverage varies with age and geographical area. According to the HIS the Flemish Region showed the highest coverage being 9.4% in 1997 an 4.3% higher in 2001 than the Walloon Region. The variation in erroneous answering to the questionnaire and selective participation in surveys over different populations may require further investigation. A data linkage based on a unique linkable identifier, might be an interesting research activity to disentangle this question. The fact that the years for which the coverage is documented in both types of studies do not exactly correspond does not look a plausible explanation for the discrepancy, given the limited trend effect observed in both studies. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 69 The proportion of women, being 25 to 64 year old that declared having undergone hysterectomy, was estimated in the health interview survey to be 9.9% (CI: 8.8%11.0%). The prevalence of total hysterectomy, derived from the cumulative incidence in the individual health insurance data file was 8.9%. Both figures approximate each other remarkably well. Answers to the hysterectomy question were probably more accurate than those concerning cervical screening. Memory and projection biases are probably negligible, since a hysterectomy is a drastic intervention in woman’s life. 8.3. Comparison with statistics from the National Health Insurance Institute The National Health Insurance Institute (INAMI/RIZIV)a produces yearly statistics for each code from the list of medical acts. These reports do not contain details of age or place of the patient and are only based on bookkeeping data. 8.3.1. Collection and interpretation of cervical smears Figure 38 shows the trend in the number of interpreted smears by year between 1983 and 2003. In that period (excluding 1983, which might be incomplete) the annual number of Pap smear interpretations increased from about 0.6 million to nearly 1.3 million. Also the INAMI costs for interpretation and for the sum interpretation + collection, expressed in EURO or EURO-equivalents, are plotted. The capital spent in 2003 by the health authority to reimburse cervical examinations is around 24 million EURO (costs for the medical visit not included). In Table 34, the numbers of smears, collected by GPs or by specialists and interpreted, reported by the National Health Insurance Institute (INAMI) are compared with those computed from the individual patient data set. Again we observe that the sum of the number of smears taken is higher than the number of smears interpreted. Moreover, important absolute and proportional differences are observed between the two databases. The number of interpreted smears was substantially higher in the INAMI database in 1996 and 1997. In the subsequent years the difference was less than 1%. Differences between the two databases are not unexpected. Statistical information from the National Health Insurance Institute is based on bookkeeping data, where the invoice date is considered. Furthermore, according to the INAMI’s bookkeeping system, a year spans the months January-October of the current year and NovemberDecember of the passed year. In 1996 more files were processed due to a delay in bookkeeping in 1995,which explains the positive differences between INAMI and IMA. a National Health Insurance Institute, in French: Institut Natioanl d’Assurance des Maladies et des Invalidités (INAMI); in Dutch: Rijks-Instituut voor Ziekte en Invaliditeits verzekering (RIZIV). In this report we will use the French abbreviation “INAMI”. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 70 Table 34. Number of smears collected by GPs, specialists and number of smears interpreted by year in Belgium, as reported in the yearly statistics of the National Health Insurance Institute (INAMI) and as computed from the individual patient data provided by IMA. Absolute and relative differences between both databases. Proportional difference INAMI Collection Pap by Year GP IMA Inter- Difference (INAMI-IMA) Collection Pap by specialist pretation GP Inter- specialist pretation Collection Pap by GP Inter- specialist pretation 1996 173,265 813,131 1,199,523 165,705 775,255 1,042,821 7,560 37,876 156,702 1997 167,323 825,610 1,167,172 169,945 839,161 1,095,337 2,622 -13,551 1998 161,218 867,308 1,176,029 167,574 909,139 1,171,347 6,356 1999 152,362 891,876 1,207,414 160,524 942,069 1,201,152 8,162 2000 142,828 911,903 1,219,127 152,034 969,792 1,223,544 9,206 (INAMI-IMA)/INAMI] Collection Pap by GP Inter- specialist pretation 4.4% 4.7% 13.1% 71,835 1.6% -1.6% 6.2% -41,831 4,682 3.9% -4.8% 0.4% -50,193 6,262 5.4% -5.6% 0.5% -57,889 -4,417 6.4% -6.3% -0.4% Economical considerations In 2003, the National Health Insurance Institute reimbursed 24,1 million EURO for collection and interpretation of Pap smears from the uterine cervix (0.4 million for collection by GPs, 3.2 million for collection by specialists and 20.5 million for cytological interpretation). In total, 1.3 million smears were interpreted that year. Considering the 3-year coverage measured over the period 1998-2000 in Table 9, we can derive that 1.6 million in the target population of 25-64 years old women received at least one Pap smear less than 3 years before. Three million (3.0) smears were interpreted in that period taken from women in the target population. 1.1 million women of the target population were not screened at all. Assuming that 10 % of the overuse is spent for follow-upa, we can estimate that about 400,000 Paps are taken yearly that do not contribute to screening coverage or followup. This corresponds with an estimated capital of 8.2 million € per year reimbursed by the National Health Insurance Institute for taking and reading Pap smears with limited clinical utilityb. Moreover, in the period 1998-2000, 0.6 million smears were taken from women beyond the target age range, representing a yearly expenditure of 3.9 million EURO for the INAMI. a In fact the proportion of smears for reason of clinical follow-up is not known for Belgium. Nevertheless, according to an analysis of data from the provincial cervical cytology registers of Flemish-Brabant and Antwerp for the period 1996-97, 91% of smears were taken for screening, 4% for clinical indications and 6% for follow-up. This estimate should be considered with caution since the variable “reason for the Pap smear” was only available for 67% of the registered cytological records [Arbyn, 1999c]. b The average unit cost at charge of the National Health Insurance Institute for one smear was compute by dividing the total INAMI expenditure of 2003 for collection and interpretation of smears by the total number of corresponding acts: € 3.24 for collection and € 16.21 for interpretation. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 71 90% 3-year screening coverage Health Interview Survey, 2001 80% HIS (95% CI) 70% Individucal Health Insurance Data, 2000 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75+ Age group Figure 37. Estimation of the 3-year cervical cancer screening coverage estimated from the national health interview survey (HIS) in 2001 (with 95% intervals) and the corresponding coverage computed from individual health insurance date for the year 2000, Belgium, by age group. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 72 25 1,200,000 20 Costs (*106 EURO) Number of Pap smears 1,000,000 800,000 15 600,000 10 400,000 Number of Pap smear interpretations 200,000 5 Costs for interpretation of smears Costs for taking & intrepretation of smears 0 cvxriziv.xls/Pap_cht 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 0 2003 Year Figure 38. Intensity and health insurance cost of cervical cancer screening in Belgium between 1983 en 2003: number of Pap smears interpreted (red curve) and costs for interpretation (blue squares) and for collection & interpretation of cervical smears (RIZIV/WIV). IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 73 450,000 4,500,000 Number of colposcopies Costs 3,500,000 350,000 300,000 2,500,000 Expences (EUROS) Number of colposcopies 400,000 250,000 200,000 1984 1,500,000 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 Year Figure 39. Number of colposcopic examinations performed and expenses for colposcopy spent between 1984 and 2003 in Belgium, as registered in the reimbursement statistics of the National Health Insurance Institute. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 74 8.3.2. Colposcopies In Table 35 we compare the number of colposcopies derived from the two databases. The difference (INAMI-IMA) was positive in 1996. Thereafter the difference became progressively more negative (from –1.5% to –5.9%). Table 35. Number of colposcopies by year reported by the National Health Insurance Institute (INAMI) and computed from the individual patient data provided by IMA. Yeaer 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Proportional IMA INAMI-IMA difference 378,750 23,947 5.9% 398,704 -5,702 -1.5% 408,634 -12,946 -3.3% 410,083 -16,338 -4.1% 413,785 -19,598 -5.0% INAMI 402,697 393,002 395,688 393,745 394,187 The consumption of colposcopic examinations in Belgium is huge. On average, one colposcopy is performed for every 3 Pap smears. Nevertheless the capital reimbursed by the INAMI (4.2 million € in 2003) is not so elevated given the low unit price of colposcopy (10.6 €, May 2004). 8.3.3. Hysterectomies The total number of total hysterectomies performed in Belgium each year between 1996 and 2000, reported by the INAMI and derived from the IMA file is shown in Table 36. The number was always larger in the INAMI database, particularly in the first two years, but the difference decreases over time. Table 36. Number of total hysterectomies and cervix amputations by year reported by the National Health Insurance Institute (INAMI) and computed from the individual patient data provided by IMA. Year 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 INAMI 19,862 18,685 18,954 18,237 15,810 IMA 16,622 16,982 18,138 17,368 15,454 INAMI- Proportional IMA difference 3,240 16.3% 1,703 9.1% 816 4.3% 869 4.8% 356 2.3% In Figure 40 we give the trend in the number of all types of total hysterectomy and cervix amputation performed each year in Belgium according to available statistics published by the National Health Insurance Institute. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 75 20,000 18,000 16,000 number of interventions 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 year Total abd. hysterectomy Total vag. hysterectomy Wertheim Total hysterectomy & pelvic lymphadenectomy Amputations cervix Amputation resting cervix Total Figure 40. Number of total hysterectomies and cervix amputations performed each year in Belgium between 1983 and 2003, according to the statistics published by the National Health Insurance Institute. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 76 8.4. Prevalence of cytological cervical lesions In the framework of the Flemish cervical cancer screening programme, a cytological register was set up. In Table 37, we show the overall distribution of cytological findings and the range of minimum and maximum values from the first results from provinces [Arbyn, 1999]. For more details, we refer to a chapter on cytological registration in Gezondheidsindictoren 1997, published by the Ministerie van de Vlaamse Gemeenschap [Arbyn, 1999]. These values are indicative to estimate the need for follow-up cytology, colposcopy and histology. Table 37. Distribution of specimen adequacy and cytological abnormalities, as registered from laboratories in Flemish-Brabant and Antwerp (1996-1998. Overall % (range: lowest-highest value) Distribution of specimen adequacy % Sub-optimal Inadequate % without endocervical cells Prevalence of squamous lesions ASCCUS Low-grade SIL High-grade SIL Suspicion of cancer Presence of glandular lesions ASCUS, atypia, suspicion adenoca IntermutCVX96_00e.doc Flemish-Brabant Antwerp 175,260 47,721 38.5 (3.5-46.1) 0.6 (0.1-1.7) 27.2 (0.1-42.8) 25.7 (4.1-41.8) 0.7 (0.0-1.5) 21.3 (2.6-36.6) 1.6 (0.9-3.6) 0.7 (0.4-1.2) 0.5 (0.3-0.8) 0.17 2.1 (0.1-4.3) 1.1 (0.2-2.4) 0.5 (0.1-1.0) 0.06 0.6 (0.0-14.6) 1.8 (0.0-7.6) 6/10/2005 77 8.5. Conclusions Screening coverage The cervical cancer screening coverage, defined as the proportion of the target population of women between 25 and 64 years old, that had a Pap smear taken in the last 3 years, measured in 2000, was 59%. The range of variation in screening coverage at the level of the Regions was small: 57% in the Flemish Region, 58% in Brussels and 61% in the Walloon Region. The increase in coverage measured over the period 1996-2000 is limited and respectively 2%, 5% and 3% in the Flemish, Brussels and Walloon Region. This limited increase in the Flemish Region is remarkable, given the fact that only in this region a screening campaign was organized. Differences at lower geographical levels are important: at provincial level in 2000, it is situated between 52% (Luxembourg) and 69% (Walloon-Brabant); whereas at district level the highest coverage is found in Huy (71%) and the lowest in Arlon (only 40%). At the national level, in the youngest 5-year age group of the target population, women of 25-29 years old, the coverage is 64%. It increases until 67% among women in the age range 30-39 years. From the age of 40 the coverage decreases gradually until 56% in the 50-54 year age group. Thereafter the coverage declines more rapidly. In the Brussels and Walloon Region this decline by age group is less pronounced. The coverage computed from the individual health insurance data file is substantially lower than the estimates derived from the national health interview surveys. For instance at national level, for the years 2000-2001, this difference was 11%. This discrepancy is probably due to reporting biases, which are according to the international literature inherent to interview surveys. Screening interval and target age range The modal screening interval is one year. A time span of 3 years is observed in only 5% of women with 2 or more smears in the studied time period. Ten percent of all interpreted Pap smears are taken from women younger than 25 years and 7% in women older than 64 years. Pap smear use The amount of used smears is theoretically sufficient to cover more than 100% of the target population over a time span of 3 years. In 2000, the ratio of the number of Pap smear interpretations over the concerned mid-year target population concerned was 1.1. This ratio should be higher if we were able to adjust the size of the target population by excluding women whose cervix is removed. Nevertheless, only 59% is covered with one or more smears. In absolute figures: 3 million Pap smears were interpreted in the period 1998-2000 which were taken from only 1.6 million women in the age range 25 to 64 years. 1.1 million women did not get a Pap smear. The excess use of cervical cytological examinations was 88%, which means that each screened woman received 1.8 smears IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 78 over a 3-year period. The excess smear use was high in all parts of Belgium: it was less high in the Flemish Region (86%), and was highest in the Capital Region (99%), and intermediate in the Walloon Region (90%). Of course, a part of this “overuse” is used for follow-up of women with previous cervical abnormality. Assuming that 10 % of the overuse is spent for follow-up, we can estimate that yearly about 400,000 Paps are taken that do not contribute to screening coverage or follow-up. This corresponds with an estimated amount of € 8.2 million per year reimbursed by the National Health Insurance Institute for taking and reading Pap smears with limited utilitya. This amount is further increased with € 3.9 million for screening beyond the target age range. Colposcopy use An impressive amount of colposcopies are performed in Belgium. At the national level, on average, one colposcopic examination is done for every 3 Pap smears. In the Walloon Region the ratio of the number of Pap smears over the number of colposcopies is even less than two, whereas for the Flemish Region this ratio is five. In certain Walloon districts the number of examined Pap smears equals the number of performed colposcopies. The biopsy/colposcopy ratio is low (on average 5%) which is due to the very high frequency of colposcopy in normal women. It is clear that colposcopy is not used as indicated in national or international guidelines. Colposcopic exploration is indicated in case of a first observation of HSIL or glandular abnormality or after a second observation of ASC-US or LSIL or after a positive HPV triage result in ASCUS-cases and in follow-up after treated lesions [Arbyn, 1997; Arbyn 2004a: Arbyn; 2004b; BSCC, 2004; Wright, 2002]. General conclusion The cervical cancer screening coverage in Belgium, defined as the proportion of women in the 25-64 year age range that received a Pap smear in the last 3 years, is only 59%. Nevertheless, the amount of smears used is theoretically sufficient to cover the whole target population. Estimation of the cervical cancer screening coverage, derived from interview surveys should be interpreted with caution, given the inherent risk of overestimation. Colposcopy is too often used simultaneously with the Pap smear, whereas its main clinical indication is the exploration of women with previous cytological abnormality. The overuse of colposcopy is systematic in the Walloon region. Structural reduction of overuse and re-investment in coverage and quality improvement can potentially result in more life-years saved, without increase in public funding. Measures foreseen in the European Council Recommendation on Cancer screening should be binding and universal. Regionally isolated actions such as those undertaken a Costs for consultation by a gynaecologist or GP were not taken into account. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 79 in the Flemish screening programme, did not yield the desired result, because they were based on voluntary participation without financial compensation for involved health professionals. Health authorities of the Federal and Community Governments and representatives of the scientific societies should meet as soon as possible in order to define a rational, evidence-based and cost-effective screening policy. 8.6. Propositions for further research The discrepancy between the cervical cancer screening coverage, estimated from the national health interview surveys and the coverage computed from individual patient data provided by IMA, merits further research. An individual data linkage between the health survey records and health insurance data files might be an interesting initiative. The reason for smear taking is insufficiently known. We have assumed that 10% of the overused smears could be clinically indicated because of a previous minor cervical abnormality or for surveillance after treatment of a high-grade lesion. This 10% was based on previous analyses of two provincial screening registers. Longitudinal analysis of the pooled data from all cytological registers is planned and will yield more reliable information. Nevertheless, cytological registration remains until today incomplete and the existing registers do not contain biopsy or treatment data. The discrepancy between number of cervical smears and biopsies taken and interpreted merits further investigation as well, preferentially using data files with exact calendar data. The evaluation of effectiveness of cervical cancer screening requires more performant information systems which in the future must become mandatory, so that screening and follow-up data can be linked to cancer registers and mortality registers, as recommended in by the European Council. 9. Acknowledgements We thank the administrators of the Europe Against Cancer Programme of the European Commission (Directorate of SANCO, Luxemburg) for their support for the European Network for Cervical Cancer Screening, in general, and for cervical cancer screening in Belgium, in particular. At the same time, we acknowledge, Prof. Dr. Herman Van Loon, Director of the General Directorate of Primary Health Care of the Federal Public Service of Health, Food Chain Security and Environment for according the matching Belgian funds for the European subsides, allowing us to conduct the present study. We are grateful to Dr. Valérie Fabri of the Mutualité socialiste for the coordination of the pooling of data files provided by the health insurance agencies to the Agence IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 80 Inter-mutualiste/Intermutualistisch Agentschap. Further, we acknowledge Dr. Jean Taffereau, Dr. Johan Vanderheyden and Mr. Stefan Demarey for providing data from the national Health Interview Surveys, and Mr. M. Breda and Mr. W. Vandeputte for providing INAMI/RIZIV data. We appreciated critical remarks from Dr. Valérie Fabri and Dr. Cinthia Lemos. 10. Glossarium Screening coverage Proportion of women having had a Pap smear within the period indicated by the screening interval. Formula: # women with Pap < x time ago / midyear population over period x. Global population coverages are computed for the 25-64 year age group. For age-specific coverage, the age group reached at the end of the interval is considered. # smears / # women ratio Ratio of the number of smears to the size of the mid-year population of women in a given period. Excess smear use and overuse The percentage of all Pap smears that does not contribute to the coverage considered over a certain screening interval, in this case 3 years, in a target age group. Formula: [total number of smears taken in the target age group during a screening period)*100 / number of smears needed to reach the observed screening coverage] 100% [Van Ballegooijen, 2000]. A related indicator is “overuse”: ratio of the number of smears taken in the target age group during a screening period/number of smears needed to reach the observed screening coverage. (Overuse-1)*100 gives the “excess use” as a percentage. Target population The population of women at risk for cervical cancer, for whom screening is recommended. In the European Guideline for Quality Assurance in Cervical Cancer Screening cytological screening is recommended to target the age groups 25 to 64 years [Coleman, 1993]. Real target population Population of women between 25-64 years, still having a cervix. The real target population is computed as following: Popi* (1-Cumulative Incidence of total hysterectomy up to agei.), where i is the index for 5-year age group. Recommended screening interval Period between 2 successive smears according to the screening policy, which is for Belgium 3 years. The screening interval recommended in the European Guideline for Quality Assurance in Cervical Cancer Screening is three to five years. In this report we also compute the screening coverage and consumption of Pap smears over a 1-year period, which, in opportunistic screening, is the usual interval. Throughout the report it is always specified which screening interval is considered. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 81 11. Abbreviations AIM: Agence Inter-Mutualitste ASC-US: atypical squamous cells of unspecified significance AGUS: atypical glandular cells of unspecified significance CI: 95% confidence interval EU: European Union GP: general practitioner HIS: Health Interview Survey HSIL: high-grade squamos intra-epithelial lesions IHID: individual health insurance data. INAMI: Institut national pour l’Asurrance des Maladies et des Invalidités IMA: Intermutalistisch Agentschap ISP: Scientific Insitute of Public Health. LSIL: low-grade squamos intra-epithelial lesions NHII: National Health Insurance Institute (translation of RIZIV/INAMI) RIZIV: Rijksinstituut voor Ziekte en Invaliditeitsverzekering SHR: standaridised hysterectomy ratio SPR: standardised Pap smear ratio 12. References Arbyn M, Albertyn G, De Groof V. Consensus omtrent follow-up adviezen bij cytologische screening naar baarmoederhalskanker. Tijdschr voor Geneeskunde 1996; 52: 709-15. Arbyn M, Quataert P, Van Hal G, Van Oyen H. Cervical cancer screening in the Flemish Region (Belgium): measurement of the attendance rate by telephone interview. Eur J Cancer Prev 1997; 6: 389-98. Arbyn M, Van Oyen H, Vergote I, Mertens R, Cluyse L, Diels J. Incidence and prevalence of hysterectomy in the Flemish Region (Belgium). Full paper published in: 11th International Meeting of Gynaecological Oncology; organized by the European Society of Gynaecological Oncology, Budapest, May 8-12, 1999a. Monduzzi Editore, International Proceedings Division, pp 189-193. Arbyn M, Bourgain C, Cuvelier C, Drijkoningen M, Van Marck E, Willocx F and WUCC. The Flemish Cervical Cancer Screening Register: creation and first results. Acta Cytol 1999b; 43: 708-709. Arbyn M, Van Oyen H, Cuvelier C, Nelen V, Van de Mieroop E, Willems H. Registratie van cytologische screening naar baarmoederhalskanker. In: Gezondheidsindicatoren 97. Brussel: Ministerie van de Vlaamse Gemeenschap, 1999c, 104-7. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 82 Arbyn M, Van Oyen H, Mertens R, Vergote I. Incidence and prevalence of hysterectomy in the Flemish Region (Belgium). Eur J Gynaecol Oncol 1999; 20: 116. Arbyn M, Wallyn S, Van Oyen H, Nys H, Dhont J, Seutin B. The new privacy law in Belgium: a legal basis for organised cancer screening. Eur J Health Law 1999d; 6: 401-407. Arbyn M, Van Oyen H. Cervical cancer screening in Belgium. Eur J Cancer 2000; 36: 2191-2197. Arbyn M, Geys H. Trend of cervical cancer mortality in Belgium (1954-94): tentative solution for the certification problem of not specified uterine cancer. Int J Cancer 2002; 102: 649-654. Arbyn M, Dillner J, Van Ranst M, Buntinx F, Martin-Hirsch P, Paraskevaidis E. Re: Have we resolved how to triage equivocal cervical cytology? J Natl Cancer Inst 2004a; 96: 1401-1402. Arbyn M, Buntinx F, Van Ranst M, Paraskevaidis E, Martin-Hirsch P, Dillner J. Virologic verus cytologic triage of women with equivocal Pap smears: a metaanalysis of the accuracy to detect high-grade intraepithelial neoplasia. J Natl Cancer Inst 2004b; 96: 280-293. Bowman JA, Girgis A, Sasson-Fisher RW, SavolainenNJ, Hons BA. The accuracy of self-reported Pap smear utilisation. Soc Sci Med 1997; 44: 969-976. BSCC (Belgian Society of Clinical Cytology). Follow-up guidelines for cervical cytology – Abnormal cervical smears. Presented at the Spring meeting of the BVKC/SBCC, Aalst, 19 June, 2004. Coleman D, Day N, Douglas G, Farmery E, Lynge E, Philip J et al. European Guidelines for Quality Assurance in Cervical Cancer Screening. Europe Against Cancer Programme. Eur J Cancer 1993; 29A Suppl 4: S1-S38. Commission of the European Communities. Proposal for a Council Recommendation on Cancer Screening. 2003/0093 (CNS), Brussels, 5 May 2004, pp 1-22. Council of the European Union. Council Recommendation of 2 December on Cancer Screening. Off J Eur Union 2003; 878: 34-38. Demarest S, Van der Heyden J, Gisle L, Buziarist J, Miermans PJ, Sartor F et al. Health Survey by Interview, Belgium 2001. pp 1-2480. 2002. Brussels, Scientific Institute of Public Health. IPH/EPI REPORTS 2002-25. IARC expert team. Cervix Cancer Screening Meeting, Lyon, 20-27 April 2004: preparation of the IARC Handbook of Cancer Prevention – Volume 10, to be published in 2005. Kleinbaum DG, Kupper LL, Morgenstern H. 1982. Chapter 6: Measures of disease frequency. In: Epidemiologic Research, Principles and Quantitative Methods. Ed. Van Nostrand Reinhold, New York, pp 96-116. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 83 Kottke TE, Trapp MA, Fores MM, Kelly AW, Jung SH, Novotny PJ, Panser LA. Cancer screening behaviors and attitudes of women in southeastern Minnesota. JAMA 1995; 273: 1099-105. McGovern PG, Lurrie N, Margolis KL, Slater JS. Accuracy of self-report of mammorgraphy and Pap smear in low-income urban population. Am J Prev Med 1998; 14: 201-218. Mertens, R. Hysterectomy in Belgium. Thematic Files of the CSF N° 1, May 1999, pp 1-28. Montano DE, Phillips WR. Cancer screening by primary care physicians: a comparison of rates obtained from physician self-report, patient survey, and chart audit. Am J Public Health 1995, 85: 795-800. Peto J, Gilham C, Fletcher O, Matthews FE. The epidemic that screening has prevented in the UK. Lancet 2004; 364: 249-256. Sawyer JA, Earp JA, Fletcher RH, Daye FF, Wynn TM. Accuracy of women's self report of their last pap smear. Am J Public Health 1989; 79: 1036-7. van Ballegooijen M, van den Akker van Marle ME, Patnick J, Lynge E, Arbyn M, Anttila A et al. Overview of important cervical cancer screening process values in EU-countries, and tentative predictions of the corresponding effectiveness and costeffectiveness. Eur J Cancer 2000; 36: 2177-88. Vlaams Kankerregistratienetwerk. Kankerincidentie in Vlaanderen 2000. Available at: http://www.tegenkanker.be. Last consulted on 28 October, 2004. Walter SD, Clarke EA, Hatcher J, Stitt LW (1988). A comparison of physician and patient reports of Pap smear histories. J Clin Epidemiol 1988; 41: 401-410. Wright TC, Cox JT, Massad LS, Wilkinson EJ. 2001 Consensus guidelines for the management of women with cervical cytological abnormalities. JAMA 2002; 287: 2120-9. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 84 13. Annexes 13.1. Pap smear use at District level Figure 41. Evolution of the one-year screening coverage and of the #smears/#women ratio between 1996 and 200, by District. Figure 42. Variation of the screening coverage and the # smears / # women ratio considered over a 1-year interval according to 5-year age group, by District (Belgium, 2000). Figure 43. Variation of the screening coverage and the # smears / # women ratio considered over a 3-year interval according to 5-year age group (Belgium, by District, 1998-2000). 13.2. Profession of smear takers, by district Figure 44. Relation between the % of Pap smears taken by GPs and age group for the years 1996, 1998 and 2000, by District. 13.3. Colposcopies and cervical biopsies, by district 13.4. Hystectomies at District level Figure 45. Average incidence of total hysterectomy by age (Belgium, by District, 1996-2000). IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 85 # smears/# women ratio Coverage, 1-year interval Antwerpen Mechelen Turnhout Brussels Vilvoorde Leuven Nivelles Brugge Disksmuide .4 .3 .2 .1 0 .4 .3 .2 .1 0 .4 .3 .2 .1 0 1996 1998 2000 1998 1996 2000 1996 1998 2000 Year Ieper Kortrijk Oostende Roeselare Tielt Veurne Aalst Dendermonde Eeklo .4 .3 .2 .1 0 .4 .3 .2 .1 0 .4 .3 .2 .1 0 1996 1998 2000 1996 1998 2000 1996 1998 2000 Year Figure 41. Evolution of the one-year screening coverage and of the #smears/#women ratio between 1996 and 200, by District. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 86 # smears/# women ratio Coverage, 1-year interval Gent Oudenaarde St-Niklaas Ath Charleroi Mons Mouscron Soignies Thuin .4 .3 .2 .1 0 .4 .3 .2 .1 0 .4 .3 .2 .1 0 1996 1998 2000 1996 1998 2000 1996 1998 2000 1998 2000 Year Tournai Huy Liège Verviers Waremmes Hasselt Maaseik Tongeren Arlon .4 .3 .2 .1 0 .4 .3 .2 .1 0 .4 .3 .2 .1 0 1996 1998 2000 1996 1998 2000 1996 Year Figure 41. Evolution of the one-year screening coverage and of the #smears/#women ratio between 1996 and 200, by District. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 87 # smears/# women ratio Coverage, 1-year interval Bastogne Marche-en-Famenne Neufchâteau Virton Dinant Namur .4 .3 .2 .1 0 .4 .3 .2 .1 0 1996 Phillipeville 1998 2000 1996 1998 .4 .3 .2 .1 0 1996 1998 2000 Year Figure 41. Evolution of the one-year screening coverage and of the #smears/#women ratio between 1996 and 200, by District. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 88 2000 # smears/# women ratio Coverage, 1-year interval Antwerpen Mechelen Turnhout Brussels Vilvoorde Leuven Nivelles Brugge Disksmuide 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 .5 .4 .3 .2 .1 0 .5 .4 .3 .2 .1 0 .5 .4 .3 .2 .1 0 Ieper Kortrijk Oostende Roeselare Tielt Veurne Aalst Dendermonde Eeklo 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 .5 .4 .3 .2 .1 0 .5 .4 .3 .2 .1 0 .5 .4 .3 .2 .1 0 Age Figure 42. Variation of the screening coverage and the # smears / # women ratio considered over a 1year interval according to 5-year age group, by District (Belgium, 2000). IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 89 # smears/# women ratio Coverage, 1-year interval Gent Oudenaarde St-Niklaas Ath Charleroi Mons Mouscron Soignies Thuin 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Tournai Huy Liège Verviers Waremmes Hasselt Maaseik Tongeren Arlon 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 .5 .4 .3 .2 .1 0 .5 .4 .3 .2 .1 0 .5 .4 .3 .2 .1 0 .5 .4 .3 .2 .1 0 .5 .4 .3 .2 .1 0 .5 .4 .3 .2 .1 0 Age Figure 42. Variation of the screening coverage and the # smears / # women ratio considered over a 1year interval according to 5-year age group, by District (Belgium, 2000). IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 90 # smears/# women ratio Coverage, 1-year interval Bastogne Marche-en-Famenne Neufchâteau Virton Dinant Namur 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 .5 .4 .3 .2 .1 0 .5 .4 .3 .2 .1 0 Phillipeville .5 .4 .3 .2 .1 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Age Figure 42. Variation of the screening coverage and the # smears / # women ratio considered over a 1year interval according to 5-year age group, by District (Belgium, 2000). IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 91 # smears/# women ratio Coverage, 3-year interval Antwerpen Mechelen Turnhout Brussels Vilvoorde Leuven Nivelles Brugge Disksmuide 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 1.5 1 .5 0 1.5 1 .5 0 1.5 1 .5 0 Age Ieper Kortrijk Oostende Roeselare Tielt Veurne Aalst Dendermonde Eeklo 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 1.5 1 .5 0 1.5 1 .5 0 1.5 1 .5 0 Age Figure 43. Variation of the screening coverage and the # smears / # women ratio considered over a 3year interval according to 5-year age group (Belgium, by District, 1998-2000). IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 92 # smears/# women ratio Coverage, 3-year interval Gent Oudenaarde St-Niklaas Ath Charleroi Mons Mouscron Soignies Thuin 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 1.5 1 .5 0 1.5 1 .5 0 1.5 1 .5 0 Age Tournai Huy Liège Verviers Waremmes Hasselt Maaseik Tongeren Arlon 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 1.5 1 .5 0 1.5 1 .5 0 1.5 1 .5 0 Age Figure 43. Variation of the screening coverage and the # smears / # women ratio considered over a 3year interval according to 5-year age group (Belgium, by District, 1998-2000). IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 93 # smears/# women ratio Coverage, 3-year interval Bastogne Marche-en-Famenne Neufchâteau Virton Dinant Namur 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 1.5 1 .5 0 1.5 1 .5 0 Phillipeville 1.5 1 .5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Age Figure 43. Variation of the screening coverage and the # smears / # women ratio considered over a 3year interval according to 5-year age group (Belgium, by District, 1998-2000). IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 94 1996 2000 1998 Antwerpen Mechelen Turnhout Brussels Vilvoorde Leuven Nivelles Brugge Disksmuide .6 .4 % smears taken by GP .2 0 .6 .4 .2 0 .6 .4 .2 0 0 20 40 60 80 0 20 40 60 80 0 20 40 60 80 40 60 80 Age Ieper Kortrijk Oostende Roeselare Tielt Veurne Aalst Dendermonde Eeklo .6 .4 % smears taken by GP .2 0 .6 .4 .2 0 .6 .4 .2 0 0 20 40 60 80 0 20 40 60 80 0 20 Age Figure 44. Relation between the % of Pap smears taken by GPs and age group for the years 1996, 1998 and 2000, by District. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 95 1996 2000 1998 Gent Oudenaarde St-Niklaas Ath Charleroi Mons Mouscron Soignies Thuin .6 .4 % smears taken by GP .2 0 .6 .4 .2 0 .6 .4 .2 0 0 20 40 60 80 0 20 40 60 80 0 20 40 60 80 40 60 80 Age Huy Liège Verviers Waremmes Hasselt Maaseik Tongeren Arlon Bastogne .6 .4 % smears taken by GP .2 0 .6 .4 .2 0 .6 .4 .2 0 0 20 40 60 80 0 20 40 60 80 0 20 Age Figure 44 (continued). Relation between the % of Pap smears taken by GPs and age group for the years 1996, 1998 and 2000, by District. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 96 1996 2000 1998 Marche-en-Famenne Neufchâteau Virton Dinant Namur Phillipeville .6 .4 % smears taken by GP .2 0 .6 .4 .2 0 0 20 40 60 80 0 20 40 60 80 0 20 40 60 80 Age Figure 44 (continued). Relation between the % of Pap smears taken by GPs and age group for the years 1996, 1998 and 2000, by District. IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 97 Table 38. Number of colposcopies, cervical biopsies taken and Pap smears interpreted, ratio of the number of biopsies over the number of colposcopies and the ratio of the number of Pap smears over the number of colposcopies, 1996-2000, by district and ranked increasing by Pap smear/colposcopy ratio. District Mouscron Huy Soignies Tournai Mons Waremmes Ath Bastogne Dinant Liège Virton Unknown Arlon Thuin Namur Marche-en-F. Verviers Living abroad Charleroi Nivelles Phillipeville Neufchâteau Brussels Tongeren Vilvoorde Roeselare Oudenaarde Hasselt Dendermonde Antwerpen Aalst Oostende Turnhout Leuven Disksmuide Tielt Eeklo St-Niklaas Mechelen Gent Kortrijk Veurne Maaseik Ieper Brugge Colposcopies Biopsies Pap smears 24,586 330 25,667 58,492 1,958 69,862 89,181 1,629 109,031 62,831 1,210 78,367 116,261 2,088 145,926 33,701 3,173 44,767 32,299 1,401 42,915 13,912 138 19,421 36,802 1,086 51,704 249,396 7,094 379,438 13,653 281 21,732 2,433 651 3,921 10,899 138 18,693 46,737 1,428 83,721 89,643 3,697 164,277 14,997 454 28,142 77,396 1,838 150,865 5,764 204 11,580 115,620 5,405 234,237 124,576 4,647 255,923 14,497 661 35,898 8,916 439 22,918 207,587 12,143 586,105 27,212 962 94,103 97,786 4,796 367,528 14,703 458 58,587 14,095 3,629 56,438 46,334 4,094 200,457 20,264 822 96,755 104,308 15,509 504,660 27,206 1,311 137,373 13,532 1,439 72,399 36,173 3,574 204,377 38,736 5,788 246,320 2,847 125 18,269 5,693 243 40,167 4,970 639 35,403 15,864 1,156 126,931 18,232 2,033 160,232 32,111 2,402 283,896 14,037 1,945 132,314 2,552 281 27,901 9,140 608 102,688 4,414 1,359 49,812 9,568 872 132,481 IntermutCVX96_00e.doc Biopsy/colposcopy Pap/colposcopy Biopsy/Pap ratio ratio ratio 1.3% 1.0 1.3% 3.3% 1.2 2.8% 1.8% 1.2 1.5% 1.9% 1.2 1.5% 1.8% 1.3 1.4% 9.4% 1.3 7.1% 4.3% 1.3 3.3% 1.0% 1.4 0.7% 3.0% 1.4 2.1% 2.8% 1.5 1.9% 2.1% 1.6 1.3% 26.8% 1.6 16.6% 1.3% 1.7 0.7% 3.1% 1.8 1.7% 4.1% 1.8 2.3% 3.0% 1.9 1.6% 2.4% 1.9 1.2% 3.5% 2.0 1.8% 4.7% 2.0 2.3% 3.7% 2.1 1.8% 4.6% 2.5 1.8% 4.9% 2.6 1.9% 5.8% 2.8 2.1% 3.5% 3.5 1.0% 4.9% 3.8 1.3% 3.1% 4.0 0.8% 25.7% 4.0 6.4% 8.8% 4.3 2.0% 4.1% 4.8 0.8% 14.9% 4.8 3.1% 4.8% 5.0 1.0% 10.6% 5.4 2.0% 9.9% 5.6 1.7% 14.9% 6.4 2.3% 4.4% 6.4 0.7% 4.3% 7.1 0.6% 12.9% 7.1 1.8% 7.3% 8.0 0.9% 11.2% 8.8 1.3% 7.5% 8.8 0.8% 13.9% 9.4 1.5% 11.0% 10.9 1.0% 6.7% 11.2 0.6% 30.8% 11.3 2.7% 9.1% 13.8 0.7% 6/10/2005 98 Hysterectomies/1000 women-years Antwerpen Mechelen Turnhout Brussels Vilvoorde Leuven Nivelles Brugge Disksmuide 15 10 5 0 15 10 5 0 15 10 5 0 25 40 55 70 25 40 55 70 25 40 55 70 55 70 Hysterectomies/1000 women-years Age group Ieper Kortrijk Oostende Roeselare Tielt Veurne Aalst Dendermonde Eeklo 15 10 5 0 15 10 5 0 15 10 5 0 25 40 55 70 25 40 55 70 25 40 Age group Figure 45. Average incidence of total hysterectomy by age (Belgium, by District, 1996-2000). IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 99 Hysterectomies/1000 women-years Gent Oudenaarde St-Niklaas Ath Charleroi Mons Mouscron Soignies Thuin 15 10 5 0 15 10 5 0 15 10 5 0 25 40 55 70 25 40 55 70 25 40 55 70 55 70 Hysterectomies/1000 women-years Age group Tournai Huy Liège Verviers Waremmes Hasselt Maaseik Tongeren Arlon 15 10 5 0 15 10 5 0 15 10 5 0 25 40 55 70 25 40 55 70 25 40 Age group Figure 45. Average incidence of total hysterectomy by age (Belgium, by District, 1996-2000). IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 100 Hysterectomies/1000 women-years Bastogne Marche-en-Famenne Neufchâteau Virton Dinant Namur 15 10 5 0 15 10 5 0 25 Phillipeville 40 55 70 25 40 55 70 15 10 5 0 25 40 55 70 Age group Figure 45. Average incidence of total hysterectomy by age (Belgium, by District, 1996-2000). IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 101 13.5. Data files and statistical syntaxis files - directory: /intermut/ pap smear nterpretation: several do files profession of smear takers: takingpap.do colposcopy and cervical biopsies: colpo.do; colpo.xls hysterectomy: hyster.do; hyster.xls screening in hysterectomised women: cyt_hyst.do; cyt_hyst.xls district maps: o 3-year Pap smear coverage: Arr3y.wor o Proportion smears taken by GPs: takingpap.wor o Hysterectomy rate: Inchyster.wor - Comparison with health interview survey: o Directory: \his\ o Command files: his.do; hyster.do - Data from RIVIZ: \xls\cvxriziv.xls; cvxrizivtotal.xls IntermutCVX96_00e.doc 6/10/2005 102
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