Q1 2016
Transcription
Q1 2016
Conference call May 10, 2016 15:00 / Helsinki 08:00 / New York 1 © Nokia 2016 Q1 2016 Disclaimer It should be noted that Nokia and its business are exposed to various risks and uncertainties, and certain statements herein that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements, including, without limitation, those regarding future business and the financial performance of Nokia and its industry and statements preceded by “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “foresee,” “sees,” “target,” “estimate,” “designed,” “aim,” “plans,” “intends,” “focus,” “continue,” “will” or similar expressions. These statements are based on management's best assumptions and beliefs in light of the information currently available to it. Because they involve risks and uncertainties, actual results may differ materially from the results that we currently expect. Factors, including risks and uncertainties that could cause such differences can be both external, such as general, economic and industry conditions, as well as internal operating factors. We have identified these in more detail on pages 69 to 87 of Nokia’s annual report on Form 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2015 under “Operating and Financial Review and Prospects— 2 © Nokia 2016 Risk Factors“, our other filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and in our interim report issued on May 10, 2016. Other unknown or unpredictable factors or underlying assumptions subsequently proven to be incorrect could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forwardlooking statements. Nokia does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except to the extent legally required. In addition to information on our reported IFRS results, we provide certain information on a non-IFRS, or underlying business performance, basis. Non-IFRS results exclude all material special items for all periods. In addition, non-IFRS results exclude intangible asset amortization and other purchase price accounting related items arising from business acquisitions. We believe that our non-IFRS financial measures provide meaningful supplemental information to both management and investors regarding Nokia’s underlying business performance by excluding the aforementioned items that may not be indicative of Nokia’s business operating results. These non-IFRS financial measures should not be viewed in isolation or as substitutes to the equivalent IFRS measure(s), but should be used in conjunction with the most directly comparable IFRS measure(s) in the reported results. A detailed explanation of the content of the non-IFRS information and a reconciliation between the non-IFRS and the reported information for historical periods can be found in Nokia’s respective results reports. Please see our issued interim reports for more information on our results and financial performance for the indicated periods as well as our operating and reporting structure. Nokia is a registered trademark of Nokia Corporation. Other product and company names mentioned herein may be trademarks or trade names of their respective owners. © Nokia 2016 Contents* Introduction Nokia Nokia’s Networks business Ultra Broadband IP Networks and Applications Nokia Technologies Group Common and Other Nokia cash and cash flow Capital Structure Optimization Program 3 © Nokia 2016 Slides Slide Slides Slide Slide Slide Slide Slide Slide 1-4 5 6-7 8 9 10 11 12 13 *All comparisons in this presentation are made against the combined company historicals that reflect Nokia’s new operating and financial reporting structure, including Alcatel-Lucent, and are presented as additional information as described in the release published on April 22, 2016. For details on the combined company historicals, please refer to note 1, “Basis of Preparation” in the notes to the first quarter 2016 financial statements published on May 10, 2016. Presented by Rajeev Suri President and CEO Timo Ihamuotila CFO 4 © Nokia 2016 Nokia Net sales (non-IFRS) EUR million First quarter 2016 results compared to combined company historicals Combined Combined company company historicals historicals Q1'16 Q1'15 YoY change Q4'15 QoQ change (9)% Net sales – constant currency Net sales (non-IFRS) Nokia's Networks business Nokia Technologies Group Common and Other Gross profit (non-IFRS) EUR million 8 000 254 413 6 000 203 273 254 219 211 169 Gross margin % (non-IFRS) 236 198 4 000 2 000 0 Operating profit (non-IFRS) Nokia's Networks business Nokia Technologies Group Common and Other Operating margin % (non-IFRS) 2 122 2 220 5 662 5 895 2 184 6 020 1 919 5 181 Networks business Nokia Technologies Networks services Group Common and Other © Nokia 2016 (9)% (8)% (27)% 16% (3)% 39.4% 36.9% 250bps 345 337 106 (99) 276 209 178 (111) 25% 61% (40)% 6.2% 4.5% 170bps (27)% 7 719 7 057 413 254 3 272 (27)% (27)% (52)% (7)% (33)% 1 279 1 097 311 (129) (73)% (69)% (66)% 42.4% (300)bps 16.6% (1 040)bps • Non-IFRS net sales in Q1 2016 of EUR 5.6 billion. In the year-ago quarter, non-IFRS net sales would have been EUR 6.1 billion on a comparable combined company basis. • Non-IFRS diluted EPS in Q1 2016 of EUR 0.03. Q1 2016 reflected the acquisition of Alcatel-Lucent, which resulted in a higher share count, as well as higher non-IFRS tax expenses due to unfavorable changes in the regional profit mix. Note that Nokia’s Q1 2016 non-IFRS diluted EPS was reported as a combined company, whereas the Q1 2015 non-IFRS diluted EPS of EUR 0.05 was reported on a Nokia stand-alone basis. • In Q1 2016, the net cash and other liquid assets of the combined company increased by EUR 471 million, to EUR 8.2 billion, compared to Nokia on a standalone basis at the end of Q4 2015, primarily due to the acquisition of Alcatel-Lucent, partially offset by cash outflows related to working capital. Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 5 6 129 5 662 273 203 2 264 Q1 2016 Highlights 2 500 7 057 5 603 5 181 198 236 2 205 Nokia’s Networks business Combined company historicals Net sales and margins (non-IFRS) EUR million Margin non-IFRS 8 000 40.1 % 6 000 34.9 % 1 435 37.0 % 1 593 1 552 40% 1 976 1 452 Operating margin % (non-IFRS) 8.7% 11.3% 4 227 4 303 4 469 5 081 3 729 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Ultra Broadband Networks Non-IFRS GM% IP Networks and Applications Non-IFRS OM% © Nokia 2016 38.3% (951) (677) (19) 337 234 103 6.5% 5 662 4 227 1 435 1 976 34.9% (1 023) (705) (38) 209 168 42 3.7% (8)% (12)% 1% 0% 340bps (7)% (4)% 61% 39% 145% 280bps Q4'15 QoQ change 7 057 5 081 1 976 2 830 (26)% (27)% (27)% (27)% (30)% 40.1% (180)bps (1 011) (761) 39 1 097 702 396 (6)% (11)% (69)% (67)% (74)% 15.5% (900)bps Q1 2016 Highlights 6.5% 3.7% 6 R&D (non-IFRS) SG&A (non-IFRS) Other income and expenses (non-IFRS) Operating profit (non-IFRS) Ultra Broadband Networks IP Networks and Applications 5 181 3 729 1 452 1 984 (9)% 20% 15.6% 0 Net sales (non-IFRS) Ultra Broadband Networks IP Networks and Applications Gross profit (non-IFRS) Gross margin % (non-IFRS) 38.3% 4 000 2 000 Q1'15 YoY change Net sales - constant currency EUR million 37.9 % Q1'16 Combined company historicals • 8% year-on-year net sales decrease in Q1 2016. Our performance was primarily due to Ultra Broadband Networks, which declined 12% year-on-year and 27% sequentially, consistent with our outlook for a greater than normal seasonal decline in the wireless infrastructure market in Q1 2016. IP Networks and Applications grew on a year-on-year basis. • Strong non-IFRS gross margin of 38.3% in Q1 2016 primarily due to improved product mix in Ultra Broadband Networks (led by Mobile Networks) and IP Networks and Applications (led by IP/Optical Networks), as well as efficiency gains. • Non-IFRS operating margin of 6.5% in Q1 2016. The year-on-year increase of 2.8 percentage points was primarily due to the higher non-IFRS gross margin, as well as continued focus on execution excellence. 0% Nokia’s Networks business Net sales (non-IFRS) by geographic area Q1 2016 EUR million Q1/2015-Q1/2016 2 500 21% 30% 2 000 1 500 23% 8% 7% 1 000 11% 500 7 Asia-Pacific Europe Greater China Latin America Middle East & Africa North America © Nokia 2016 0 Asia-Pacific Europe Greater China Latin Middle East North America & Africa America Ultra Broadband Networks EUR million Net sales - constant currency Net sales and margins (non-IFRS) EUR million Margin non-IFRS 6 000 33.4 % 35.5 % 34.7 % 37.8 % 35.9% 40% 698 4 000 541 580 SG&A (non-IFRS) Other income and expenses (non-IFRS) Operating profit (non-IFRS) Operating margin % (non-IFRS) • • 10.7% 7.2% 3 686 3 722 3 903 4 382 3 116 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Mobile Networks Non-IFRS GM% Fixed Networks Non-IFRS OM% © Nokia 2016 • 6.3% 4.0% 8 R&D (non-IFRS) 20% 13.8% 0 Net sales (non-IFRS) Mobile Networks Fixed Networks Gross profit (non-IFRS) Gross margin % (non-IFRS) 3 729 3 116 613 1 338 4 227 3 686 541 1 413 YoY change (12)% (12)% (15)% 13% (5)% Combined company historicals Q4'15 5 081 4 382 698 1 920 QoQ change (26)% (27)% (29)% (12)% (30)% 35.9% 33.4% 250bps 37.8% (190)bps 6.3% 4.0% 39% 230bps (67)% 13.8% (750)bps (616) (479) (9) 234 (702) (514) (29) 168 (12)% (7)% (682) (552) 16 702 (10)% (13)% Q1 2016 Highlights 566 613 2 000 Q1'16 Combined company historicals Q1'15 • 0% • • • Introduced the next generation AirScale Radio Access. This 5G-ready solution will enable operators to satisfy future demands including the Internet of Things, virtual reality, augmented reality, factories of the future and other advanced scenarios. Established the Telecom Infra Project (TIP) with Facebook, Intel, Deutsche Telekom, EE, Globe, SK Telecom and others to accelerate global growth of high quality, scalable and affordable telecommunications infrastructure. Announced plans with T-Mobile to conduct preliminary 5G testing, advance technology development and trial initial use cases in 2H 2016. Completed trials with Deutsche Telekom, amongst others, on XG-FAST, a Bell Labsdeveloped extension of Nokia's G.fast technology, which generated data throughput speeds of more than 10 gigabits-per-second (Gbps) over traditional copper lines, approximately 200 times faster than the average residential broadband connection. 36 customer trials for XG-FAST (copper-based) and 35 customer trials for next generation Passive Optical Network (PON; fiber-based) technology. Announced its Passive Optical LAN (POL) solution, which provides operators and enterprises a high capacity, scalable alternative to traditional copper-based LANs while being up to 50% more cost efficient. Introduced Nokia AVA, a cognitive service platform powered by high levels of automation, virtualization and intelligent analytics. IP Networks and Applications EUR million Net sales - constant currency Net sales and margins (non-IFRS) EUR million Margin non-IFRS 2 000 44.4% 43.7% 46.1% 44.5% 50% 39.3% 417 424 407 320 345 25% 0 12.7% 12.9% 729 769 783 • 377 • 20.0% 2.9% R&D (non-IFRS) SG&A (non-IFRS) 7.1% 930 717 • • 0% Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 • • Optical Networks IP Routing Non-IFRS GM% 9 © Nokia 2016 Applications & Analytics Non-IFRS OM% 1 452 1 093 717 377 359 646 1 435 1 049 729 320 385 563 YoY change 1% 1% 4% (2)% 18% (7)% 15% 44.5% 39.2% 530bps 7.1% 2.9% 420bps (335) (199) (10) 103 (321) (191) (10) 42 4% 4% 145% Combined company historicals Q4'15 1 976 1 441 930 512 535 911 QoQ change (26)% (27)% (24)% (23)% (26)% (33)% (29)% 46.1% (160)bps (329) (209) 23 396 2% (5)% (74)% 20.0% (1 290)bps Q1 2016 Highlights 359 512 1 000 Net sales (non-IFRS) IP/Optical Networks IP Routing Optical Networks Applications & Analytics Gross profit (non-IFRS) Gross margin % (non-IFRS) Other income and expenses (non-IFRS) Operating profit (non-IFRS) Operating margin % (non-IFRS) 535 385 Q1'16 Combined company historicals Q1'15 • Introduced a significant expansion of its 1830 Photonic Service Switch (PSS) portfolio, quadrupling optical fiber capacity to more than 70 terabits per second to address surging network data traffic demand. Announced plans to transform Telefónica's network with its IP core and virtualized service router technology along with its services expertise to meet growing customer demand for high performance data and HD video. Announced the deployment of its most powerful IP core network router, the next-generation 7950 XRS (Extensible Routing System) with Bell Canada. Traction in our 7950 XRS IP Core router remained solid, with 2 new wins, bringing the total wins to date to 57. Nuage gained 10 new customers in the first quarter, bringing the total to 60 wins. Over a dozen customers, including service providers and enterprises, are deploying the Nuage Virtualized Network Services (VNS) solution to deliver software-defined WAN (SD-WAN) services. Acquired Nakina Systems, a security and orchestration software specialist, to reinforce Nokia’s position in security at a time when customers are bolstering their defenses to cope with the increasing demands of hyper connectivity, new regulations and emerging technologies. Demonstrated a proof of concept together with Orange, using CloudBand’s NFV platform to speed up service deployment, increase flexibility and optimize costs for on-demand and cloudbased, all-IP networks. Nokia Technologies Net sales and margins (non-IFRS) EUR million Net sales - constant currency EUR million Margin non-IFRS 100% 99.3% 99.1% 98.3% 99.0% 98.5% Net sales (non-IFRS) Gross profit (non-IFRS) Gross margin % (non-IFRS) R&D (non-IFRS) SG&A (non-IFRS) Other income and expenses (non-IFRS) Operating profit (non-IFRS) Operating margin % (non-IFRS) 400 65.2% 54.6% 75.3% 49.6% 219 169 413 198 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Non-IFRS GM% Non-IFRS OM% 10 © Nokia 2016 273 271 (28)% (27)% (28)% 98.5% 99.3% 53.5% 65.2% (1 170)bps (58) (32) 0 106 (72) (21) 1 178 (80)bps (19)% 52% (40)% 413 409 99.0% (73) (33) 7 311 QoQ change (52)% (52)% (52)% (50)bps (21)% (3)% (66)% 75.3% (2 180)bps • 27% year-on-year net sales decrease in Q1 2016. Our performance was affected by the absence of the following three items which benefitted Q1 2015: non-recurring adjustments to accrued net sales from existing agreements, revenue share related to previously divested intellectual property rights (“IPR”), and IPR divestments. Excluding these three items, net sales increased year-on-year by approximately 10% due to higher intellectual property licensing income. • The decision in the patent license arbitration with Samsung was received in February 2016, relating to a portion of the patent portfolio of Nokia Technologies. • Further discussions continued with Samsung, regarding the licensing of Nokia’s intellectual property in areas not covered by the arbitration. • Announced the sales start of the OZO professional virtual reality camera in Europe, as well as new post-production partnerships to advance end-to-end solutions for creating next generation digital media experiences. • Announced plans to acquire Withings in April 2016, to accelerate its digital health business. Withings is a pioneer and leader in the connected health revolution with a family of award-winning products and services. The acquisition is expected to close in early Q3 2016. 200 273 198 195 YoY change Combined company historicals Q4'15 Q1 2016 Highlights 53.5% 50% 0 Q1'16 Combined company historicals Q1'15 0% Group Common and Other Net sales and margins (non-IFRS) EUR million Net sales - constant currency EUR million Margin non-IFRS Net sales (non-IFRS) Gross profit (non-IFRS) Gross margin % (non-IFRS) 30% 400 8.9% R&D (non-IFRS) SG&A (non-IFRS) 17.0% 7.4% 12.6% Q1'16 Combined company historicals Q1'15 Other income and expenses (non-IFRS) 11.0% Operating loss (non-IFRS) Operating margin % (non-IFRS) YoY change 7% Combined company historicals Q4'15 QoQ change (5)% 236 26 203 18 16% 44% 254 32 (7)% (19)% 11.0% 8.9% 210bps 12.6% (160)bps (73) (55) 3 (99) (70) (48) (11) (111) 4% 15% (77) (58) (25) (129) (5)% (5)% (54.7)% 1 280bps (50.8)% 890bps (41.9)% 0% 7.2% 200 Q1 2016 Highlights -38.0% -41.9% -54.7% 0 203 211 254 236 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Non-IFRS GM% Non-IFRS OM% 11 © Nokia 2016 Group Common and Other includes the Alcatel Submarine Networks and Radio Frequency Systems businesses, both of which are being managed as separate entities. In addition, Group Common and Other includes Bell Labs' operating expenses, as well as certain corporate-level and centrallymanaged operating expenses. • The year-on-year increase in Group Common and Other net sales in the first quarter 2016 was primarily due to Alcatel Submarine Networks, partially offset by Radio Frequency Systems. • On a year-on-year basis, in the first quarter 2016, Group Common and Other non-IFRS operating loss decreased, primarily due to a net positive fluctuation in non-IFRS other income and expenses and higher non-IFRS gross profit. -30% -50.8% 254 • -60% Nokia change in net cash and other liquid assets (EUR billion) 12 © Nokia 2016 Nokia EUR 7 billion Capital Structure Optimization Program all figures approximate, in EUR billion, assuming share count of 6 billion 7.0 0.9 6.0 5.0 4.0 ~ 0.6 0.9 > ~ 1.5 * Repayment of EUR 190 million Alcatel-Lucent bond and a EUR 74 million loan, the redemption of Alcatel-Lucent’s USD 1.85 billion senior notes and reduction of sale of receivables by EUR 1.0 billion. 3.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 3.0 Total Program as announced on October 29, 2015 De-leveraging © Nokia 2016 ** Subject to AGM approval on June 16, 2016. 1.0 0.0 13 0.6 Completed through Q1 2016* Share buyback 2015 Dividend and Special dividend** 2015 Dividend Special dividend 2016 Dividend