Italian Maritime Economy 2016 - English version
Transcription
Italian Maritime Economy 2016 - English version
Italian Maritime Economy Suez and Panama: new global routes increasing the centrality of the Mediterranean basin 3rd Annual Report 2016 NORTHERN RANGE SHIPPING TERMINAL PANAMA MEDITERRANEAN DEVELOPMENT CONTAINER SUEZ LOGISTICS SOUTHERN ITALY Italian Maritime Economy Suez, the role of China, the new Panama Canal: from global routes a more central Mediterranean Annual Report 2016 Giannini Editore The analysis contained in this report represents the result of a specific SRM project and does not claim to be comprehensive. In addition, it does not undertake or represent in any way the thoughts and opinions of SRM’s founder and ordinary members. The research is exclusively aimed at cognitive and informational knowledge, and is not, at any purpose, an opinion, a suggestion of investment, a review of companies or individuals mentioned. All the interviews carried out for the case studies and whose text has been regularly approved by the interviewees have been edited by SRM, which is, under no circumstances, responsible for the facts, opinions, news and data referred to, as in the case of chapters not directly processed by SRM. The faithful reproduction of text, even partial, cannot be carried out without the authorisation of SRM. The use of this research and of the information herein contained is only allowed for the purpose of studying and researching the industry and shall be carried out quoting the source. Publication based on data information available at May 2016. Cover and editorial design: Marina RIPOLI ISBN -978-88-7431-821-6 2016© Giannini Editore Naples - 6/b, via Cisterna dell’Olio www.gianninispa.it “Joins the sea that separates the countries” Alexander Pope Published by Research Authors (Authors details on page 187) Research director: Massimo DEANDREIS Head of “Maritime & Mediterranean Economy” Dept.: Alessandro PANARO Research Team: Olimpia FERRARA (Coordinator), Michele ACCIARO, Anna Arianna BUONFANTI, Matteo CHIMENTI, Michele DAL DOSSO, Massimo GUAGNINI, Hilde MEERSMAN, Eddy VAN DE VOORDE, Thierry VANELSLANDER, Edwin VAN HASSEL. Acknowledgments and Notes The annual report Italian Maritime Economy 2016 is part of a wider web project carried out by SRM called ‘Permanent observatory on Maritime Transport and Logistics’ that also led to the creation of a specialized portal: www.srm-maritimeconomy.com. Its aim is to monitor and study the economic dynamics and the economic impact of this industry on the Italian economy within a European and Mediterranean framework. The Observatory was made possible through the support of COMPAGNIA DI SANPAOLO for which SRM and all the report’s authors are very grateful. Thanks to all the partners who support our project too: Assoporti, Autorità Portuale di Taranto, Contship Italia, Federagenti, Federpesca, Grimaldi Group, Lotras, Unione Industriali di Napoli. A special thanks to BANCO DI NAPOLI NAPOLI for collaborating in the presentation and during the dissemination of the research results. In particular, we would like to thank Mr President Maurizio BARRACCO and the General Manager Mr Francesco GUIDO. . We also thank the Mediocredito Italiano Desk Shipping for their active participation in the research project. Additional gratitude is also offered to the banks and the divisions of the INTESA SANPAOLO group for the collaboration in the data acquisition and its dissemination in particular: Alexbank, Intesa Sanpaolo Bank Luxembourg, Division Corporate and Investment Banking of Intesa Sanpaolo. We would like to thank specifically Mr Dante CAMPIONI, CEO ofAlexbank, Carlo PERSICO, Mr Carlo PERSICO, responsible for the International SUPPORT & Subsidiaries, Intesa Sanpaolo. A special thanks to: Mr Michele PAPPALARDO (President of Federagenti), Mr Ambrogio PREZIOSO (President of the Industrial Association of Naples), Mr Michele LIGNOLA (General Manager, Industrial Association of Naples), Mr Francesco TAVASSI (President for the Logistics, Intermodality and Transports of the Industrial Association of Naples), Mr Paul KYPRIANOU (Manager, External Relations of the Grimaldi Group), Mr Sergio PRETE (President, Taranto Port Authority), Mr Daniele TESTI (Marketing & Corporate Director, Contship Italiy), Mr Luigi GIANNINI (Vice president FEDERPESCA), Mr Pasqualino MONTI (President of Assoporti), Mr Armando DE GIROLAMO (Sole managing director of Lotras). The first chapter of this work has been carried out thanks to the collaboration with SRM, KLU-Kühne Logistics University of Hamburg, University of Antwerp – TPR, Department of Transport and Regional Economics with whom we organised a Scientific Mission in Antwerp, in January 2016, in order to observe and analyse the ports management models of the Northern range. The success of the scientific mission of the SRM in Antwerp was possible also thanks to the active participation of the following companies/institutions: ECSAEuropean Community Shipowners’ Association, PORT of Antwerp, PORT of Antwerp International, PSA, MSC, ZUIDNATIE. We also want to thank; Mr John BELLER (Key Account Manager, MSC Belgium), Ms Stefanie D’HERDE (Marketing Coordinator) for the interviews and the material provided. We are also grateful to the Port of Antwerp, Mr Patrick MERLEVEDE (Business Development Manager, Zuidnatie), Ms Inge NUYTEMANS (Business Analyst Intermodality & Hinterland, Port of Antwerp), Mr Patrick VERHOEVEN (Secretary General Ecsa), Mr Kristof WATERSCHOOT (Managing Director, Port of Antwerp International) for the interviews and the material they provided. The second chapter of this work has been carried out thanks to the collaboration with the companies SCAFI and PANAMA TUGS Group, whose President and CEO, Mr Giovanni MASUCCI, allowed us to execute a Scientific Mission in PANAMA, in April 2016, in order to analyse the infrastructural and economic aspects of the new Canal. As for this, we would thank the PANAMA TUGS manager, Mr Giovanni COMPIANI for the great assistance given during the logistics and operative phase of the mission, which was fundamental in terms of information and analysis. The success of the scientific mission of the SRM in PANAMA was also possible thanks to the active participation of the following companies/institutions: Hutchinson Port Holdings, Manzanillo International Terminal, Panama Canal Authority, Panama Canal Pilots Association, Panama Maritime Authority, Panama Maritime Chamber, PSA. We are grateful also for the interviews and the material provided by; Mr Oscar BAZAN (Executive Vice President Planning and Business Development, Panama Canal Authority), Mr Alessandro CASSINELLI (General Manager PSA Panama), Mr Juan Carlos CROSTON (Vice President Marketing & Corporate Affairs, Manzanillo International Terminal), Mr Jovani GONZALEZ (Deputy Director General Directorate of Seafarers, Panama Maritime Authority), Ms Silvia DE MARUCCI (Executive Manager, Vice Presidency for Planning and Business Development, Panama Canal Authority), Mr Edgar PINEDA (CCO, HPH Panama), Mr Londor RANKIN (Panama Canal Pilots Association, President), Mr Gerardo VARELA (General Director, Ports and Maritime Ancillary Industries General Directorate, Panama Maritime Authority), Mr Nicolas VUKELJA DUQUE (First Vice President, Panama Maritime Chamber), Mr Ricardo UNGO (Manager Business Development Section, Executive Vice Presidency for Planning and Business Development, Panama Canal Authority). A very special thanks to the Ambassador of Italy in Panama, His Excellency Marcello APICELLA for his availability, his invaluable suggestions and information. We thank Prometeia for participating in the research project. Further acknowledgements are due to the International Propeller Clubs, in particular to President Umberto MASUCCI, for the operative contribution offered to this work, specifically during the mission in Spain in April 2016, that gave us the opportunity to analyse the Barcelona and Valencia ports. A thanks to the Presidents of the Propeller Clubs of Barcelona and Valencia for the support during the mission in Spain, Mr Albert ONATE and Mr Francisco PRADO CONTRERAS. A special thanks to all the Italian and Foreign Port Authorities which provided up-todate traffic data. We also wish to thank for their collaboration: Ms Tiziana MURGIA (Assoporti), Ms Teresa PUGLIESE (Mediocredito Italiano), Ms Paola RUSSO (Industrial Association of Naples), Ms Felicetta STANCO (Industrial Associations of Naples). *** NOTES: Although the editing and responsibility into the overall design of this work and the subsequent drafting of the entire report is attributed to SRM, the specific assignments of each Chapter are as follows: • • • • Chapters I, II and VI by SRM; Chapter III by Massimo GUAGNINI; Chapter IV by Matteo CHIMENTI and Michele DAL DOSSO; Chapter V by Michele ACCIARO, Hilde MEERSMAN, Eddy VAN DE VOORDE, Thierry VANELSLANDER and Edwin VAN HASSEL See page 187 for further details. Contents Preface 11 Introduction 13 Part One Economic and competitiveness scenarios of maritime transport Chapter I – The scenario of maritime transport shipping and portuality 1. The economic scenario and the value of shipping 21 2. Containerized traffics 3. Dry Bulk 4. Liquid Bulk 5. General cargo. RO-RO traffic 6. Shipping in Italy between competitors and port reforms 7. Conclusions Focus. Port strategy in the Islamic Republic of Iran Statistical Appendix 23 30 32 36 38 41 45 51 Chapter II – The Italian Maritime and logistic system: a comparison with the best players in terms of competitiveness 1. Foreword 65 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 66 71 75 77 79 The position and trend of Italy in maritime competitiveness The position and trend of Italy in logistic competitiveness The position of Italy in ‘Quality of infrastructure’ Big phenomena and transformations Conclusions Chapter III – The economic impact of ports and the effects caused by the expansion of maritime transportation 1. Foreword 2. The methodological and operational aspects 3. The economic importance of ports 81 82 85 9 italian maritime economy | annual report 2016 Chapter IV – The big alliances in the shipping sector: Vessel Sharing Agreements 1. Foreword 2. Shipping companies 3. Vessel Sharing Agreement 4. Naval gigantism 5. Container services on Italian ports 6. Conclusions 95 95 98 103 106 111 Part Two Big phenomena and transformations Chapter V – The port of Antwerp and the Northern-European future maritime economic development 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Foreword The port of Antwerp system The economic impact and cluster performance of other Hamburg-Le Havre ports Impact of macro-drivers Conclusions Chapter VI – The Panama Canal: 115 117 125 133 151 development and perspectives of a strategic infrastructure for global trade 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Foreword Trends and trade characteristics The new Panama Canal The players’ vision: the results of an ad hoc mission of SRM Conclusions: the Relations between the routes of Panama and the Mediterranean 151 153 163 169 175 Bibliography 179 Authors Details 187 10 Preface The “Italian Maritime Economy” Annual Report has come to its third edition and bears witness to another intense year of activity for SRM which, through its studies, draws attention to the value of the maritime economy and to the factors which make it an undisputed, competitive asset. I would like to stress that the distinctive character of our research is that we verify in the field, what is behind the statistics and data we so often read. Only by exploring this territory can one have real knowledge of the dimension of a phenomenon. As a matter of fact, the Mediterranean is crossed daily by all kinds of shipping; either they transport containerized, bulk goods or vehicles (as in the case of the Ro-Ro or the Motorways of the Sea) and represents the center of a maritime activity which has global scope. In the 2015 report, we highlighted that the expansion of the Suez Canal might have enhanced the centrality of the Mediterranean. This process is now more and more evident. The 2016 report dwells on some elements which reinforces this trend; for example, China intensified its presence in the Mediterranean area by purchasing the port of Piraeus. Also, the decision of the authority of the Egyptian Canal which announced a significant decrease in transit fees in order to further promote transits. The increased centrality of Mediterranean in the maritime economy is a trend which continues despite the political instability which characterizes the area and the specific incidents with regard to some of these countries. As for Northern Europe, the stage of port infrastructural expansion with investment in new terminals, dredging and new technologies continues. The same is happening in some Northern African ports which, thanks to their free zones, they can attract investment and companies which plan to become international. Italy is between these two port hubs and is having to react to the changes. The port reform represents a significant step forward, but more needs to be done. The process has started and must be carried out as soon as possible, as our logistics and maritime competitiveness should be approaching high levels of excellence. SRM has always supported this idea. It is necessary for Italy, and especially the Mezzogiorno, to aim at realizing the 4 As of the manufacturing sector (Agribusiness, Aerospace, Automotive, Apparel-Fashion) along with a logistics system worthy of the name, as the competition challenge, is also played on the internationalization capability, achieved by making our products in various markets, quickly available, efficient and effective . We should not forget that Italy is and has always been a maritime country; located at the centre of the Mediterranean, with an enviable geographic position, our ports and shipping industry still represent one of the economic symbols of Italy. Italian maritime imports and exports account for €220 million with 0.5 billion tonnes of cargo handled p.a. In addition, Italy ranks 1st in the Short Sea within the Mediterranean and Black Sea, and many other primacies could be listed. In addition, what applies to Italy is even truer for the Mezzogiorno, which represents a natural logistic platform in the center of the Mediterranean. 11 italian maritime economy | annual report 2016 Investments in infrastructure, intermodality and in human capital development – in the maritime sector – are three principles on which our country has to work in order to to take full advantage of our own geographical position and of our brainpower. Furthermore, this year we will have to face a new challenge; another infrastructure that will undoubtedly impact on maritime world balance is about to be inaugurated: the Panama Canal. Once again, SRM has carried out a specific on-site research in Panama last April, in order to analyse, along with the main protagonists, the effects of the expansion on global traffic. The expansion of the Canal will give further impulse to trade relations between Europe and the Americas and to shipping routes passing through the Mediterranean to reach the United States, as well as to the routes from China and bound for the Central American hub. Our Observatory has grown, as proven by our partnerships with the Universities of Antwerp and Hamburg, among the most prestigious in the world. Researchers of the two universities wrote this work with us and this is meant to represent one of the many synergies that our study center intends to put at the service of the country’s development. Italy as well, should begin to think about what to invest in and to what extent, and SRM still firmly believes that a starting point could be investing in those industries for which Italy has established and recognized know-how, just as in the entire maritime industry. The overt ambition to which our Observatory aspires to, is to become a point of reference for operators, institutions, industry associations, and clearly, for the banking sector – of which SRM is an expression – by providing ideas, analysis and reflection which may offer a contribution in the understanding of the greatness and importance of the maritime sector for Italy. With the South acting as a protagonist. Paolo SCUDIERI 12 Introduction Objectives and organization of the Annual Report This third edition of the Annual Report ‘Italian Maritime Economy’ represents the consolidation of the objectives SRM posed itself back in 2014 through the establishment of the research project named ‘Permanent observatory on the economy of maritime transport and logistics’. The need to highlight the phenomena linked to both maritime economy and to the consequences these have on our country proved utterly necessary and was fulfilled with the main aim of offering knowledge and ideas to the operators of this sector who witness its events on a daily basis. SRM is aware of the fact that portuality, shipping and the entire logistic chain represent a crucial asset for Italy to be competitive and for allowing the entrepreneurial system to internationalize its operations in all the areas of the world. Nevertheless, maritime economy is not only synonymous with mere internationalization. Sea policy, in fact, is an aspect that belies the culture of any country wishing to be competitive and to employ strategies of sustainable economic growth. As a matter of fact, founding a country’s economy on maritime transport and logistics implies developing infrastructures and companies, building up international relations, strengthening relations between universities and businesses and, last but not least, creating jobs and innovation. It is no coincidence that 80% of world trade in volume and 70% in value is transported by sea. Our country is at the centre of the Mediterranean and should, both now and in the future, carry out the right policies needed to face the competitive challenges this position poses. This is the diktat which moved our research project. Monitoring and analysing the dynamics, routes, projects and players which are more often looking at mare nostrum as an area of strategic interest. In its first edition, the Report had already called attention to the phenomenon of megaships, to the increasing number of orders regarding these giant vessels and to the growing number of liner alliances. It is now plainly clear that the aforementioned phenomena represent some of the most critical issues our ports have to tackle. A closer look at the orderbook for 2019 reveals that the container fleet will grow by over 44% in the size category 18-21 thousand TEU. Overcapacity is expected to continue and this excess of hold offer will make competition stiffer between carriers who are believed to keep on optimizing routes and services (e.g. Korean Hanjin Shipping has started new ‘fast’ services calling at fewer ports) and making the criteria for the selection of ports even more stringent. SRM has also been calling attention to the growing competitiveness of North African portuality. Tanger Med, where new investments have just been announced by APM from the Maersk Line group, and Port Said, which has recently been enlarged, are increasingly improving their infrastructure and logistics, reaching leading positions in the sector. 13 italian maritime economy | annual report 2016 Last year the Report highlighted the great importance of the doubling of the Suez Canal and the centrality of the route Mediterranean-Suez-Gulf which was predicted to go up some places in the world ranking because of the enlargement of the Egyptian canal. This topic remains ever present also due to the new routes of some megacarriers which go through Suez coming from the Far East and the Gulf area. Italy has reached a critical moment of its port history. An important reform is under discussion and this should help the country retrieve the competitiveness and central role it used to have and which have been gradually fading. Our ports have always been excellent examples of efficient infrastructure at our territory’s disposal but constantly faced with the problems posed by an opposing bureaucracy, a confused activity of planning and coordination and the lack of investments targeted towards strategic projects. Therefore, our country has to compete with fierce competitors who invest, attract foreign capital, carry out projects and invite the new big colossi of the liner shipping sector to set themselves in their port areas which are cheaper and equipped with specialized workforce, appropriate seabeds, low taxes and state-of-the-art technology in terminals. This year’s Report is dedicated to the profiling of these new scenarios, and its main aim is to provide some analyses and reasoning, in order to inspire efficient maritime-port policies in Italy and in the Mezzogiorno. The report starts off from a wish to highlight the increasingly central position of the Mediterranean in global maritime traffic. We are used to thinking that goods and ships increase in number only if the economy grows but we also have to admit that the doubling of the Suez Canal, the enlargement and renewal of terminals in the Med basin (e.g. Valencia, Tanger-Med, Port Said, Piraeus) along with the emergence of new markets (UAE and Iran) are all remarkable phenomena which call for a reaction and will have long-term consequences, overcoming the circumstance. The list of events aforementioned is enriched by the event of the year, to which our Report dedicates a specific chapter: the inauguration of the new Panama Canal. The new infrastructure, which is scheduled to open on 26th June 2016, will allow bigger ships to pass through (up to 13-14,000 TEU from the 4-5,000 of the old canal which will remain in operation) and will make it possible to speed up crossings due to the fact that the two canals will be able to operate three vessels instead of two at the same time. The new canal, as has come to light from the results of a special mission SRM carried out in Panama, will boost the economy of the country and of the whole central American area. In fact, the US ports close to Panama have already planned renewals and reinforcement of their infrastructure and also the terminal operators who run the platforms of the most important ports, have announced plans for expansion. Panama will call attention to the traffic coming from the Far East directed to the East Coast of the US and to that coming from the deep-sea routes, Med-West Coast of the US. Obviously, it remains to be seen the extent to which tolls will affect all of this and which policies of attraction will be implemented by the ports of the area. These topics are specifically addressed in the report. The central American canal is expected to be more of a big regional American infrastructure that will mainly affect US portuality by strengthening it on the Atlantic coast. On the other hand, Suez confirms its role as a global-impact canal. Nevertheless, the new Panama canal has already had some consequences in the shipping sector. 14 introduction German liner Hapag Lloyd, for instance, has ordered five vessels belonging to category ‘Valparaiso Express’ (10,500 TEU, specially designed to enter the locks of the new canal). Several ports in Central America are carrying out plans aimed at obtaining new docks (e.g. Corozal). Also the planned Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) between Europe and the U.S. will have significant consequences and will represent a big opportunity for the entire global maritime system. Another important phenomenon this report would like to call attention to, is the increasingly more significant presence of the ‘Dragon’ in the Mediterranean maritime system. Between 2000 and 2015 Chinese trade towards the south of the Mediterranean grew tenfold, exceeding € 50 billion and doubling its value each year. Today, China is the second trade partner for the area after the U.S. and the first in terms of percentage growth rate. The new Suez Canal contributed to increasing China’s strategic interest in the Mediterranean. The phenomenon of Chinese settlements should be looked at also with regards to other events such as the acquisition of 67% of Piraeus Port by Cosco. This partly stateowned Chinese operator recently merged with giant CSCL (China Shipping Container Lines) which strengthened its presence in Spain. Cosco (renamed COSCOCS after the merger) will invest € 350 million in the Greek port over the next ten years. This operation clearly shows the extent to which China intends to strengthen its logistic base in the Med area. Nevertheless, these actions should also be interpreted along with some other elements: 1) China already owns 20% of ‘Suez Canal Container terminal’ running one of the biggest terminals of Port Said, right at the entrance of Suez; 2) a ‘Memorandum’ has recently been signed by global carriers Cosco (China), CMA CGM (France), Evergreen Line (Taiwan) and Orient Overseas Container Line (Hong Kong) to start a new alliance called ‘Ocean Alliance’ which will have 40 liner services on the routes Asia-Europe, Asia-Med, Asia-Red Sea, Asia-Middle East, Trans-Pacific, Trans-Atlantic and Asia-US East coast. It will also be of interest to monitor the alliance between France and the Far East in order to observe the effects it will have on the overall maritime equilibrium; 3) terminal group Cosco Pacific, member of shipowning group Coscocs (Cosco & China Shipping), is about to buy 35% of terminal company Euromax Terminal Rotterdam which runs one of the container terminals in the area of Maasvlakte I in the Dutch port, where several ships to and from the Mediterranean transit. Also the phenomenon of big alliances is addressed in this report. Besides the aforementioned ones and the renown 2M (Maersk-MSC), new deals are being discussed which will result in increasingly marked processes of selection of the ports of call and in a higher number of giant ships requiring optimum logistic and intermodal efficiency. ‘The Alliance’ will be one of the most remarkable and it will involve Hanjin, HapagLloyd, K-Line, MOL, NYK, Yang Ming and probably UASC too. This alliance will come into force in April 2017 with a fleet of more than 620 container ships and a capacity of 3.5 million TEU. It is nevertheless true that container traffic is not the only one and that we should also consider those of dry and liquid bulk (e.g. petroleum, chemical and agriculture products) which follow different dynamics. At the same time, we should not overlook the fact that Italy shows an excellent performance in Ro-Ro traffic. All in all, though, a question 15 italian maritime economy | annual report 2016 remains: do we want to be players or do we accept being marginalized from the spectrum of the big game played by maritime alliances? Ro-Ro traffic in Italy, more than 50% of which is generated in the South, was one of the main focuses of SRM’s first annual report. This sector still represents a big asset for our country with excellent shipowners holding terminals all over the world and it needs to be supported and stimulated in order to avoid losing market share right in the segments where our know-how is more solid and renown. Also, many of our ports (Livorno, Civitavecchia, Taranto, Napoli) are either planning or already building big container terminals and logistic platforms and are taking action to create free zones because they want to have their share in these kinds of traffic. It is therefore necessary to rapidly carry out the ongoing process of reform and to work hard to obtain the facilities and the market needed by our existing infrastructure. This can be achieved through suitable policies of attraction of investments and by developing intermodal projects that favour connections between ports and the areas of production. Better efficiency and reduction in times represent the only way we can convince companies to use our ports rather than those of Northern Europe or of other Mediterranean countries. Southern Italy, which generates about 50% of national port traffic and where international seaborne trade represents 2/3 of the regional total, should be regarded as holding a privileged position and deserve special investments and strategies. This area of our country is fairly close to the Suez Canal and right on the major routes leading to the markets of Northern Europe and the Middle and Far East. This should produce careful reasoning as to the role this territory could play in terms of economic growth of the whole country. The fact that Maersk has opened offices in Naples, the port of Gioia Tauro overcoming several difficulties and still holding a prominent position on the global stage, Cagliari holding its position, Taranto continuing to believe in recovery and the presence of shipowners and logistic operators who are willing to use their resources and invest, are all positive signs which point to a wish to make our country grow. It is with this project that SRM would like to contribute to understanding these complex and constantly transforming phenomena. In fact, the world of maritime trade is fast and maritime-economic aspects need to be constantly monitored along with the big changes they usually produce. This report is indeed only a part of numerous in-depth analyses, papers and interviews that the observatory carries out and that it will continue to do in order to keep alive the attention on our maritime sector. *** The organization of this research reflects the aims it intends to pursue, with the first part pertaining to the economic situation and the second being dedicated to two monographs. As far as part one is concerned, the first chapter offers an updated framework of the features of the sector on the European and global stage through in-depth analyses of the dynamics of the different segments of traffic. Also, it looks at the value of the sector in 16 introduction the Italian economic and territorial context with reference to some distinctive features such as fleet, volumes handled, routes and port traffic. Chapter two provides an analysis of Italy’s competitiveness profiles in comparison with a panel of competitor countries based on some indexes such as Unctad’s LSCI (Liner Shipping Connectivity Index) and LSBCI (Liner Shipping Bilateral Connectivity Index) and World Bank’s LPI (Logistics Performance Index). These indicators allow the monitoring of the effectiveness of current investments in maritime and logistic infrastructure or the extent to which ports react (either positively or negatively) to the big changes we have hereby reported. The aim of chapter three is to measure the impact ports have on the economy of regions and to assess the effects of a possible expansion of capacity of the port system with a special focus on the strengthening of the port structure in Southern Italy. This complex research is very interesting and from its analyses it emerges clearly that in order to assess the economic and occupational role of the port industry it is necessary to consider not only direct effects (added value and employment within the cluster) but also the consequences on the other sectors of the regional economy and on the other regions. The distinction between impact on a regional level and on the overall Italian economy provides a potentially very powerful key of interpretation since it highlights the weight of inter-relations between regions: on average, more than 60% of added value generated by ports located in a certain region has an effect on other regions. Chapter four focuses on a topic SRM has been carefully following for a long time, which is ‘Vessel Sharing Agreements’ and their related evolutions. For at least two years we have witnessed a marked tendency of global carriers to sign alliances aimed at creating economies of scale, in order to optimise routes and costs and to make target markets grow. We have already mentioned 2M and Ocean Alliance but this chapter also offers an overview of the real size of this phenomenon and of its impact on the different routes. After that, the report moves on to the monographs which start from chapter five dedicated to the ports of the Northern Range. This article, produced thanks to a collaboration between SRM, the University of Antwerp and the Kühne Logistics University of Hamburg, is divided into three sections: a) the first and more markedly statistical part, is dedicated to showing the importance of the port of Antwerp in the Belgian economy. This is done through the application of the input-output matrix; b) the second part illustrates the economic impact of the ports of Rotterdam and Hamburg on the Northern Range area and carries out a comparison with Antwerp; c) the last part is mainly focused on the developments these ports could implement following the inauguration of the new Panama Canal. Finally, the sixth chapter of this report is dedicated to the new Panama Canal because this is considered by SRM a remarkable event which will have both long term and short term consequences on maritime trade. This new infrastructure, in fact, will attract bigger ships to the American continent, which will result in ports responding with new infrastructure needed to receive these vessels. Also, this canal, as already happened in the case of Suez, will probably produce some adjustments of routes and plans for the alliances currently being formed. Last but not least, the new canal will also justify new investments in the area of Central America. Here an example will serve the purpose 17 italian maritime economy | annual report 2016 of illustrating how attractive to business the area will become: when the authorities invited international tenders to run the container terminal Corozal (Panama), four maritime colossi answered: APM Terminals (Denmark), Terminal Link (France), PSA International (Singapore) and Terminal Investment (the Netherlands). The analyses contained in this last chapter are particularly interesting because they are enriched by know-how acquired in the field by SRM in a mission that took place in April 2016 when all the main operators involved in the project were heard. In this chapter there is further elaboration aimed at understanding the quantitative impact in terms of ships and goods transiting the Panamanian hub. The main aim, ultimately, is to provide some policy indications and to spot transferable elements of significant experiences. *** I wish to conclude this introduction to the volume by thanking SRM’s researchers and the partners of this project who believe in our work and in this adventure we have embarked upon. A special thanks goes to all the authors who have contributed to increasing the value of this research. Hoping we have been able to provide some factual support to those convinced that the development of the economy of maritime transport and logistics is a priority for our country. The challenge has been set. Massimo DEANDREIS 18 Authors details This Report was designed, coordinated, and written by SRM. The contributing authors are: Massimo DEANDREIS, General Manager, SRM Alessandro PANARO, Head of “Maritime & Mediterranean Economy” Department, SRM Anna Arianna BUONFANTI, Researcher, Maritime Observatory, SRM Chapter I -“The scenario of maritime transport shipping and portuality”. Chapter VI -“The Panama Canal: development and perspectives of a strategic infrastructure for global trade”. Olimpia FERRARA, Head of Maritime Observatory, SRM Chapter II -“The Italian Maritime and logistic system: a comparison with the best players in terms of competitiveness”. Chapter VI -“The Panama Canal: development and perspectives of a strategic infrastructure for global trade”. Massimo GUAGNINI, Partner of Prometeia, Bologna Chapter III - “The economic impact of ports and the effects caused by the expansion of maritime transportation”. Matteo CHIMENTI, Project Manager, Consorzio ZAI Interporto Quadrante Europa, Verona Michele DAL DOSSO, Manager Junior Area, Comac S.p.A, Verona Chapter IV – “The big alliances in the shipping sector: Vessel Sharing Agreements” Michele ACCIARO, Associate Professor of Maritime Logistics, the Kühne Logistics University Eddy VAN DE VOORDE, Full Professor, Faculty of Applied Economics, University of Antwerp Hilde MEERSMAN, Full Professor, Faculty of Applied Economics, University of Antwerp Thierry VANELSLANDER, Research professor, Faculty of Applied Economics, University of Antwerp Edwin VAN HASSEL, Assistant Professor, Faculty of Applied Economics, University of Antwerp Chapter V - The port of Antwerp and the Northern-European future maritime economic development 187 177, Via Toledo - 80134 Naples - Italy Phone: +39 0817913758 - Fax: +39 0817913817 [email protected] - www.sr-m.it President: Paolo Scudieri General Manager: Massimo Deandreis Board of Directors: Roberto Dal Mas, Gregorio De Felice, Franco Gallia, Francesco Guido, Pierluigi Monceri, Marco Morganti, Marco Musella The composition of the Scientific Committee is available at www.sr-m.it Board of Auditors: Danilo Intreccialagli (president), Giovanni Maria Dal Negro, Lucio Palopoli Supervisory Body (art.6 D.Lgs. 231/01): Gian Maria Dal Negro Ethics Commitee (art.6 D.Lgs. 231/01): Lucio Palopoli SRM uses a Quality Management System in compliance with the UNI EN ISO 9001 Regulations for the following fields: Studies, Research, Conferences in the southern financial and economic field: publishing development and management of magazine production Shareholders Founding and supporting member For its scientific project, the Maritime Economy Observatory avails of the support and of the technical and operational contribution of national and international players from the logistics/maritime industry: ASSOPORTI www.assoporti.it Autorità Portuale di Taranto This edition of the Italian Maritime Report analyses the new phenomena that are currently shaping trends in maritime trade and looks closely at the situation in Italy. Our country is facing some unprecedented difficulties in the Mediterranean area. Firstly, some fierce competitors in the sector of ports, such as those of the North African and Northern European sides, are investing in new infrastructures, technologies and logistics. Secondly, it is extremely important that Italy completes the process of the reform of its port system that has already started and which will help our country to regain the leading position it deserves due to its geographical location. The Mediterranean has also been targeted by China through the implementation of some effective policies aimed at reinforcing its logistic bases. This has been done by acquiring ports and directing Chinese carriers towards the strategic alliances necessary to serve routes towards Europe and the United States. At the same time, the tendency to build megaships is continuing and this is bound to start more marked processes of selection of ports. Additionally, the new Panama Canal represents a noteworthy piece of news since this infrastructure will bring about new changes in the portuality of America and of the world. The first part of the report is concerned with a study of the competitiveness and economic scenarios of the Italian maritime system through data, statistics and indexes that analyse the competitiveness of the country. In the second part there are two monographic papers: one is about the ports of the Northern Range whilst the other is about the Panama Canal. The first paper highlights the importance of the port of Antwerp for the Belgian economy and for the whole Northern Range area. It also provides a comparison with the ports of Rotterdam and Hamburg and it focuses on the potential developments of these ports which may take place as a consequence of the opening of the new Panama Canal. This event, in fact, will generate medium and long-term effects on maritime trade. This is why it has been analysed in the second monographic paper. This study has been made possible thanks to the know-how SRM acquired during a mission it carried out in Panama in April 2016, when all the main operators involved in the realization of the infrastructure were heard. Many challenges have been set and this SRM’s report aims to talk about the changes Italy needs to be ready to face immediately and also to let the Mezzogiorno play a prominent role. SRM Study Centre based in Naples, connected to the Intesa Sanpaolo Group, originally an intellectual and scientific safeguard, has the objective to improve the knowledge about the territory in terms of infrastructural, productive and social assets with the European and Mediterranean vision. Specialized in the analysis of regional dynamics, and with a particular eye on the South of Italy, it also deals with the permanent monitoring of the relationships between Italy and the Mediterranean and of the economic phenomena regarding the maritime and logistics industry. www.sr-m.it € 30.00