AXIA ENERGIA COGENERATION PROJECT IN UNIBOL
Transcription
AXIA ENERGIA COGENERATION PROJECT IN UNIBOL
PROJECT DESCRIPTION: VCS Version 3 AXIA ENERGIA COGENERATION PROJECT IN UNIBOL AXIA ENERGÍA S.A.S. Calle 77 B No. 57-141 Barranquilla – Colombia Project Title Version Date of Issue Prepared By Contact v3.2 AXIA Energia Cogeneration Project in Unibol 02 16-February-2015 Christian Ehrat Independent Consultant Christian Ehrat Climate Change & Sustainability Consultant Calle 6 No. 32-61 Medellin - Colombia Tel. (+57) 317 575 0481 Email: [email protected] 1 PROJECT DESCRIPTION: VCS Version 3 Table of Contents 1 Project Details ........................................................................................................................................ 3 1.1 Summary Description of the Project ............................................................................................... 3 1.2 Sectoral Scope and Project Type ................................................................................................... 4 1.3 Project Proponent ........................................................................................................................... 4 1.4 Other Entities Involved in the Project .............................................................................................. 4 1.5 Project Start Date............................................................................................................................ 4 1.6 Project Crediting Period .................................................................................................................. 5 1.7 Project Scale and Estimated GHG Emission Reductions or Removals .......................................... 5 1.8 Description of the Project Activity ................................................................................................... 5 1.9 Project Location .............................................................................................................................. 7 1.10 Conditions Prior to Project Initiation ............................................................................................... 7 1.11 Compliance with Laws, Statutes and Other Regulatory Frameworks ............................................ 8 1.12 Ownership and Other Programs ..................................................................................................... 9 1.12.1 Right of Use ........................................................................................................................... 9 1.12.2 Emissions Trading Programs and Other Binding Limits ........................................................ 9 1.12.3 Other Forms of Environmental Credit .................................................................................... 9 1.12.4 Participation under Other GHG Programs ........................................................................... 10 1.12.5 Projects Rejected by Other GHG Programs ........................................................................ 10 1.13 Additional Information Relevant to the Project ............................................................................. 10 2 Application of Methodology .................................................................................................................. 10 2.1 Title and Reference of Methodology ............................................................................................. 10 2.2 Applicability of Methodology ......................................................................................................... 11 2.3 Project Boundary .......................................................................................................................... 12 2.4 Baseline Scenario ......................................................................................................................... 14 2.5 Additionality................................................................................................................................... 15 2.6 Methodology Deviations................................................................................................................ 20 3 Quantification of GHG Emission Reductions and Removals ............................................................... 20 3.1 Baseline Emissions ....................................................................................................................... 20 3.2 Project Emissions ......................................................................................................................... 26 3.3 Leakage ........................................................................................................................................ 27 3.4 Net GHG Emission Reductions and Removals............................................................................. 27 4 Monitoring ............................................................................................................................................ 28 4.1 Data and Parameters Available at Validation ............................................................................... 28 4.2 Data and Parameters Monitored ................................................................................................... 30 4.3 Monitoring Plan ............................................................................................................................. 31 5 Environmental Impact .......................................................................................................................... 33 6 Stakeholder Comments ........................................................................................................................ 33 v3.2 2 PROJECT DESCRIPTION: VCS Version 3 1 PROJECT DETAILS 1.1 Sum m ary Description of the Project The AXIA Energia Cogeneration Project in Unibol (in the following, the project activity or the projec) will be implemented by the company AXIA Energía S.A.S. The project activity consists of the implementation and operation of a cogeneration plant to deliver electric and thermal energy to the paper manufacturing plant of the company Fábrica de Bolsas de Papel Unibol S.A. (in the following Unibol), located in the municipality of Soledad in the Department of Atlántico, Colombia. Previously of the cogeneration project implementation, the paper manufacturing plant generates electric and thermal energy that is required for the manufacturing process with its own equipment with lower efficiency, including two natural gas based electric generators with 1750 kilowatts (kW) each and two heat recovery steam boilers. Besides, a natural gas boiler and a secondary coal boiler are operated to cover the additional steam requirement; and some electric energy is consumed partially from the grid. The new project aims at installing and operating a new cogeneration plant with increased efficiency that allows reducing the natural gas consumption and avoids coal consumption; thus it contributes to reduce Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions associated with the combustion processes. This new cogeneration plant will be installed by AXIA Energia S.A.S., which will also be the owner of the equipment and will be in charge of operation and maintenance. The electric and thermal energy generated will be delivered and sold to the paper manufacturing plant of Unibol at a previously established tariff. In case the manufacturing plants presents low consumption, the excess power may be delivered to the National Interconnected System-SIN (in Spanish: Sistema Interconectado Nacional). The main equipment of the cogeneration plant consists of a high-efficiency natural gas based power generator with a capacity of 6,700 kW and a heat recovery steam boiler that utilizes the waste energy of the power generator to produce 6,000 lbs/hr of steam. Besides, the natural gas boiler will continue operation to cover the difference between the required process steam and the steam produced with the new boilers. As a result of the implementation of the new cogeneration project, GHG emissions will be reduced by approximately 9,817 tCO2 per year (see details in section 3). Besides, the project contributes to the country´s sustainable development in the following manner: • • • • v3.2 The project will decrease emissions of sulphur oxides (SOx), nitrogen oxides (NOx), carbon monoxide, particulate matter, other pollutants, as well as carbon dioxide associated with the combustion of coal and natural gas. The project will reduce the consumption of fossil fuels that are non-renewable and limited for use. The project is not a common practice and has a innovative character, since it uses high-efficiency equipment. This will help to replicate and diffuse similar activities in the industrial sectors in Colombia. The technology transfer allows propagating capacities in the manufacturing sector in the region. 3 PROJECT DESCRIPTION: VCS Version 3 1.2 Sectoral Scope and Project Type Scope 4 - Manufacturing industries The project consists of the implementation of a cogeneration plant. It is not a grouped project. 1.3 Project Proponent The project proponent is AXIA Energía S.A.S,, which will be responsible for the construction, operation and maintenance of the project. Organization name AXIA Energía S.A.S. Contact person Juan Guillermo Arroyave Title Manager Address AXIA ENERGÍA S.A.S. Calle 77 B No. 57-141 Barranquilla – Colombia 1.4 Telephone Tel. (+575) 368 92 22 Email [email protected] Other Entities Involved in the Project Organization name - Role in the project Consultant for project development Contact person Christian Ehrat Project Developer / Independent Consultant Title Climate Change and Sustainability Consultant Address Calle 6 No. 32-61 Edificio Altos de Provenza 401 Medellin - Colombia 1.5 Telephone (+57) 317 575 0481 Email [email protected] Project Start Date The project is expected to be operational on 01/07/2015, which will be the project start date. This will be adjusted in accordance with real operational start. v3.2 4 PROJECT DESCRIPTION: VCS Version 3 1.6 Project Crediting Period The first crediting period is 10 years, from 01/07/2015 to 31/06/2025. 1.7 Project Scale and Estim ated GHG Em ission Reductions or Rem ovals Project Scale Project x Large project Year Estimated GHG emission reductions or removals (tCO2e) 31/07 – 31/12/2015 4,908 01/01 – 31/12/2016 9,817 01/01 – 31/12/2017 9,817 01/01 – 31/12/2018 9,817 01/01 – 31/12/2019 9,817 01/01 – 31/12/2020 9,817 01/01 – 31/12/2021 9,817 01/01 – 31/12/2022 9,817 01/01 – 31/12/2023 9,817 01/01 – 31/12/2024 9,817 01/01 – 30/06/2025 4,908 Total estimated ERs Total number of crediting years Average annual ERs 1.8 98,170 10 98,170 Description of the Project Activity The project activity consists of the implementation and operation of a cogeneration plant to deliver electric and thermal energy to the paper manufacturing plant of the company Fábrica de Bolsas de Papel Unibol S.A. (in the following Unibol), located in the municipality of Soledad in the Department of Atlántico, Colombia. v3.2 5 PROJECT DESCRIPTION: VCS Version 3 Fábrica de Bolsas de Papel Unibol S.A. is an industrial company dedicated to the manufacturing and commercialization of paper products such as Kraft paper, paper bags, toilet paper, napkins, kitchen paper and envelopes. The manufacturing process requires electric and thermal energy, currently around 2,7 GWhel per month and 12,600 lbs/hr (pounds of steam per hour). Currently, this energy demand is attended with the following equipment: ü ü ü ü ü Two (2) natural gas based power generators with 1,750 kW each and an efficiency of about 28% Two (2) heat recovery steam boilers with a generation capacity of 1,500 lbs/hr One (1) natural gas boiler with a steam generation capacity of 20,700 lbs/hr that generates the difference between the steam generated by the two heat recovery boilers and the total steam demand together with the coal-fired boiler below One (1) coal-fired boiler with a steam generation capacity of 20,700 lbs/hr that generates the difference between the steam generated by the two heat recovery boilers and the total steam demand together with the natural gas boiler Besides, electric energy from the grid is consumed to cover the demand of the manufacturing process (i.e. the amount of electric energy that cannot be delivered by the two generators). The new project aims at installing and operating a new cogeneration plant with increased efficiency to deliver electric and thermal energy to the manufacturing process of Unibol, as well as reducing GHG emissions associated with the combustion process of natural gas and coal. This project will basically replace the two previously installed power generators and heat recovery boilers, with a more efficient cogeneration system, thus reducing natural gas consumption for power generation and in the steam boiler, while achieving the same output. Additionally, it will avoid coal-based generation as well as the power consumption from the grid. Grid electricity and coal will be consumed during maintenance or shutdowns only and are not considered due to the small amounts. It is important to take into account that the old equipment was installed in in 2004 and 2010, and thus due to the lifetime of over 25 years of such equipment would not require any replacement. This new cogeneration plant will be installed by AXIA Energía S.A.S., which will also be the owner of the equipment and will be in charge of operation and maintenance. The electric and thermal energy generated will be delivered and sold to the paper manufacturing plant of Unibol at a previously established tariff. In case the manufacturing plants presents low consumption, the excess power may be delivered to the National Interconnected System-SIN (in Spanish: Sistema Interconectado Nacional). The main equipment of the cogeneration plant consist of a high-efficiency natural gas based power generator with a capacity of 6,700 kW and a heat recovery steam boiler that utilizes the waste energy of the power generator to produce 6,000 lbs/hr of steam. Besides, the natural gas boiler will continue operation to cover the difference between the required process steam and the steam produced with the new boilers. In order to attend the power demand, an internal combustion engine is used for the cogeneration system, with the following specifications: Table 1: Technical specifications of the power generator. Brand Hyundai Model 14H35/40GV No. of cylinders 14 v3.2 6 PROJECT DESCRIPTION: VCS Version 3 Capacity Voltage Frequency Efficiency Equipment included 6,700 kW 13,8 kV 60 Hz 46,3% • Gas pressure regulation unit • Oil cooling unit • Cooling radiator with expansion tank • Air compressor unit for start up • Exhaust gas pipes and silencer • Control panel for motor and generator The heat recovery steam boiler that will use the waste energy from the exhaust gases of the generator will have a capacity of 6,000 lbs/hr. 1.9 Project Location The project activity is implemented within the paper manufacturing plant of the company Fábrica de Bolsas de Papel Unibol S.A. (in the following Unibol), located in the municipality of Soledad in the Department of Atlántico, Colombia. (However, please take into account that the project owner is AXA Energía S.A.S. who will own and operate the equipment and sell the energy to the manufacturing process at a specific tariff.) The coordinates of the project location are 1696915.7 North and W 924454.9 East (MAGNA-SIRGAS, Bogotá). 1.10 Conditions Prior to Project Initiation Prior to the project implementation, the electric and thermal energy required for the manufacturing process is generated wit the following equipment: ü ü ü ü ü Two (2) natural gas based power generators with 1,750 kW each and an efficiency of about 28% Two (2) heat recovery steam boilers with a generation capacity of 1,500 lbs/hr One (1) natural gas boiler with a steam generation capacity of 20,700 lbs/hr that generates the difference between the steam generated by the two heat recovery boilers and the total steam demand together with the coal-fired boiler below One (1) coal-fired boiler with a steam generation capacity of 20,700 lbs/hr that generates the difference between the steam generated by the two heat recovery boilers and the total steam demand together with the natural gas boiler Besides, electric energy from the grid is consumed to cover the demand of the manufacturing process (i.e. the amount of electric energy that cannot be delivered by the two generators). It is important to take into account that the old equipment was installed in in 2004 and 2010 and due to its lifetime of over 25 years would not require to be replaced. v3.2 7 PROJECT DESCRIPTION: VCS Version 3 1.11 Com pliance with Laws, Statutes and Other Regulatory Fram eworks The principal regulatory institutions of the energy sector are • The Ministry of Mines and Energy: This is the leading institution in Colombia’s energy sector. • The Unit for Mining and Energy Planning (UPME): This unit of the Ministry of Mines and Energy is responsible for the study of future energy requirements and supply situations, as well as for drawing up the National Energy Plan and Expansion Plan. • The Regulatory Commission for Gas and Energy (CREG): This entity is in charge of regulating the market for the efficient supply of energy. It defines tariff structures for consumers, transmission charges, and standards for the wholesale market, guaranteeing the quality and reliability of the service and economic efficiency. It also provides regulations that ensure the rights of consumers, the inclusion of environmental and socially sustainable principles, improved coverage and financial sustainability for participating entities. • XM Compañía de Expertos en Mercados S.A. E.S.P.: This is a non-governmental agency acting as the market administrator of the power sector, being in charge of the registration of contracts, the settlement and billing of all the transactions that take place in this market. XM is also in charge of the National Dispatch Center. Table 2. Institutional structure of Colombian’s electricity market Policies Ministry of Mines & Energy ¡Error! Marcador no definido. Planning Planning Unit of the Mines and Energy (UPME) Regulation Commission for the Regulation of Energy and Gas (CREG) . The cogeneration project does not require any specific licenses. As per articles 8 and 9 of the Decree 2820 of 2010, it does not need to develop an Environmental Impact Assessment nor an environmental license. Since it is within the limits of the manufacturing company, it complies with the rules established for the manufacturer and may be operated under the current operating permission of the plant. Due to the modification of the generation process, an Environmental Management Plan will be developed. Energy purchase from the grid and sales of excess electric energy are ruled by the framework of the 1 Colombian energy market based on Laws 142 (Public Services Law) and 143 (Electricity Law) of 1994 , which represent the last major reform of the power sector and establish the current regulatory framework. Since their enactment, Colombia has had a liberalized energy market, which is characterized by an unbundled generation, transmission, distribution, and commercialization scheme in order to separate the power activities and the markets. An electricity spot market and the development of a long-term contract market for electricity sales are the core of new structure to introduce a more effective framework for competition and an independent regulatory system supervised by the CREG (Regulatory Commission for Energy and Gas), created by the Law 143. This Electricity Law specifically introduced rules regarding: (i) Power sector planning; (ii) power generation; (iii) transmission and distribution; (iv) grid operation; (v) grid 1 Laws can be accessed on the website: http://www.creg.gov.co/cxc/secciones/documentos/leyes.htm (accessed: 02/07/2014) v3.2 8 PROJECT DESCRIPTION: VCS Version 3 access fees; (vi) regime for electricity sales; (vii) concessions and contracts; and (viii) environmental issues, among others. Clients Distributor costs passed through to clients Distribution + Power Retail -Buying and selling of electricity -Competition + Entry (Gradual) Transmission Operative Stage Grid-free access Regulated fees ELECTRICITY SPOT MARKET Regulated users Non-regulated users (<0.5 MW) National Dispatch Center Operation + Administration Generation Entry + Competition Free prices Figure 1: Simplified Scheme of the Colombian Power Market based on Electricity Law from 1994 (Law 143). The project complies with all applicable laws and regulatory requirements under this framework. 1.12 Ownership and Other Program s 1.12.1 Right of Use The proof of title is given by the contract between Unibol S.A. and AXIA Energía S.A.S. that defines the right to implement and operate the project within the manufacturing plant. 1.12.2 Emissions Trading Programs and Other Binding Limits Not applicable. 1.12.3 Other Forms of Environmental Credit The project has not been registered and is not seeking registration under any other GHG programs. v3.2 9 PROJECT DESCRIPTION: VCS Version 3 1.12.4 Participation under Other GHG Programs The project has no intends to generate any other form of GHG-related environmental credit for GHG emission reductions or removals claimed under the VCS Program. 1.12.5 Projects Rejected by Other GHG Programs The project has not has been rejected by any other GHG programs. 1.13 Additional Inform ation Relevant to the Project Eligibility Criteria The guidelines of the form to complete the Project Document stated that “For grouped projects, identify eligibility criteria for inclusion of new instances of each project activity.” Since this is not a grouped project, this is not applicable to the project activity. Leakage Management Not applicable as per the applied methodology. Commercially Sensitive Information No information has been excluded. Further Information Not applicable. 2 2.1 APPLICATION OF M ETHODOLOGY Title and Reference of M ethodology The project activity is developed in accordance with the approved small-scale CDM baseline and monitoring methodology AMS-II.D. “Energy efficiency and fuel switching measures for industrial facilities” (version 13.0.0). (available at: http://cdm.unfccc.int/methodologies/SSCmethodologies/approved , accessed: 20/11/2014) The identification of the baseline scenario and the demonstration of additionality are assessed by applying the latest versions of the CDM “Tool for the demonstration and assessment of additionality” (version 7.0.0). (available at: http://cdm.unfccc.int/Reference/tools/index.html, accessed: 20/11/2014) v3.2 10 PROJECT DESCRIPTION: VCS Version 3 The emission factor of the relevant power-grid is determined based on the procedures of the CDM “Tool to calculate the emission factor for an electricity system” (version 4.0.0). (available at: http://cdm.unfccc.int/Reference/tools/index.html, accessed: 20/11/2014) The project emissions from fuel consumption are determined based on “Tool to calculate project or leakage CO2 emissions from fossil fuel combustion” (version 2.0.0). (available at: http://cdm.unfccc.int/Reference/tools/index.html, accessed: 20/11/2014) Moreover, the following guidelines are applied: “Guidelines on the assessment of investment analysis” (version 5) as per the Annex 5 of CDM EB 62 report. (available at: http://cdm.unfccc.int/Reference/Guidclarif/index.html#pdd , accessed: 20/11/2014) “Guidelines on common practice” (version 02.0) as per the Annex 8 of CDM EB 69 report. (available at: http://cdm.unfccc.int/Reference/Guidclarif/index.html#pdd , accessed: 20/11/2014) 2.2 Applicability of M ethodology The approved CDM small-scale methodology AMS-II.D. “Energy efficiency and fuel switching measures for industrial facilities” (version 13.0.0) is applicable to any energy efficiency improvement measures implemented at a single or several industrial or mining and mineral production facilities. The project activities may involve: • Process energy efficiency improvement(s) affecting either a single production step/element 2 process (e.g. furnace, kiln) or a series of production steps/element processes (e.g. industrial process involving many machines) that transform(s) raw materials (e.g. feed-stocks) and other inputs into either intermediate forms or final finished outputs (e.g. molten metal, tiles, steel ingots); • Energy efficiency improvement in energy conversion equipment (e.g. boiler, motor) that supplies energy (thermal/electrical/mechanical) within a facility. This project activity consists of the implementation of a new cogeneration plant with new high efficient power generators and steam recovery boilers to provide electric and thermal energy to a manufacturing process; hence if falls under “energy efficiency improvement in energy conversion equipment that supplies energy (thermal/electrical/mechanical) within a facility.” Additional applicability criteria of the methodology are: • 2 This category is applicable to project activities where it is possible to directly measure and record the energy use of the project activity within the project boundary (e.g. electricity and/or fossil fuel An element process is a process, with associated equipment, in which an energy source (e.g. fuel, electricity, steam) is used for production purposes to convert raw materials into intermediate or finished product using thermal energy. v3.2 11 PROJECT DESCRIPTION: VCS Version 3 consumption and/or the energy contained in the energy carrying medium (ECM) such as steam, hot water, compressed air, etc.) and the quantities of such ECMs utilized in the project boundary. The ‘direct measurement’ in the case of thermal energies (fossil fuel, steam/heat consumption) does not have to involve the metering of energy itself but corresponding parameters such as quantity of fossil fuel consumed, temperature/pressure and quantity amount of steam. The energy flow then can be determined using acceptable engineering methods outlined in recognized national or international standards in an accurate or conservative manner for example ASME PTC 4-19983 or BS8454 can be used to determine thermal energy output of a baseline boiler from actual measured baseline data for steam flow, pressure and temperature. In this case, the consumption of natural gas for power and steam generation can be directly measured. • This category is applicable to project activities where the impact of the measures implemented (improvements in energy efficiency) by the project activity can be clearly accounted for and documented as well as distinguished from changes in energy use due to other independent variables not influenced by the project activity (signal to noise ratio). Examples of other variables include upstream/downstream process factors, feedstock and product characteristics, and environmental parameters (e.g. ambient temperature, humidity) associated with the baseline or project activity that may influence the energy savings from the project activity. Since the project is a cogeneration plant that delivers electric and thermal energy to a manufacturing plant, it can be clearly separated from the production processes. The project activity does not influence energy requirements of the process, i.e. the baseline power and steam consumption would be identical. Since the project meets all conditions, the methodology is applicable to the proposed project activity. 2.3 Project Boundary The project boundary is the physical, geographical site of the energy generation facility, including all processes and equipment that are affected by the project activity. The energy inputs to and outputs from the project boundary are transparently defined in this PDD. The following figures show simplified schemes of the energy inputs and outputs in the baseline scenario (situation prior to project implementation) and in the project scenario (with the new cogeneration plant). 3 American Society of Mechanical Engineers Performance Test Codes for Steam Generators: ASMEPTC 4 – 1998; Fired Steam Generators. 4 British Standard Methods for Assessing the Thermal Performance of Boilers for Steam, Hot Water and High Temperature Heat Transfer Fluids. v3.2 12 PROJECT DESCRIPTION: VCS Version 3 Project boundary Coal Steam boiler 20,700 lbs/hr Natural gas Steam boiler 20,700 lbs/hr Heat recovery boiler 1 1,500 lbs/hr Process steam 1) Electric energy consumption 2) Thermal energy consumption (steam) Heat recovery boiler 2 1,500 lbs/hr Power generator 1 Cummins 1.75 MW Natural gas Paper manufacturing process of Unibol S.A. Power Power generator 2 Cummins 1.75 MW Power from the grid Measuring point (production) Measuring point (consumption) Figure 2: Project boundary and measurement points in the BASELINE. Project boundary Natural gas Steam boiler 20,700 lbs/hr Paper manufacturing process of Unibol S.A. Excess heat Natural gas Heat recovery boiler 6,000 lbs/hr Power generator Hyundai 14H35/40GV 6.7 MW Process steam 1) Electric energy consumption 2) Thermal energy consumption (steam) Power Measuring point (production) Measuring point (consumption) Figure 3: Project boundary and measurement point with the PROJECT ACTIVITY. v3.2 13 PROJECT DESCRIPTION: VCS Version 3 The spatial extent of the project boundary is the National Interconnected System (SIN5) of Colombia. The power plants of this grid are all connected and can be dispatched without significant transmission constraints. Baseline Source CO2 emissions from fossil fuel consumption in the baseline equipment (i.e. 2 x Cummins power generators, 1 x steam boiler) Project CO2 emissions from electricity consumption from the grid 2.4 CO2 emissions from fossil fuel consumption in the project equipment (i.e. 1 x Hyundai power generator, 1 x steam boiler) Gas Included? Justification/Explanation CO2 Yes Main emission source CH4 No Minor emission source N 2O No Minor emission source Other No No other emission sources CO2 Yes Main emission source CH4 No Minor emission source N 2O No Minor emission source Other No No other emission sources CO2 Yes Main emission source CH4 No Minor emission source N 2O No Minor emission source Other No No other emission sources Baseline Scenario The baseline scenario is the same scenario as prior to project implementation. The existing generators and recovery boilers are relatively new, installed between the years 2004 and 2010. Due to the lifetime of over 25 years of such equipment, the current systems for electric and thermal energy generation could continue operation over more than 10 years, thus it corresponds to the baseline equipment: ü ü ü ü 5 Two (2) natural gas based power generators with 1,750 kW each and an efficiency of about 28% Two (2) heat recovery steam boilers with a generation capacity of 1,500 lbs/hr One (1) natural gas boiler with a steam generation capacity of 20,700 lbs/hr that generates the difference between the steam generated by the two heat recovery boilers and the total steam demand together with the coal-fired boiler below One (1) coal-fired boiler with a steam generation capacity of 20,700 lbs/hr that generates the difference between the steam generated by the two heat recovery boilers and the total steam demand together with the natural gas boiler in Spanish: Sistema Interconectado Nacional v3.2 14 PROJECT DESCRIPTION: VCS Version 3 ü 2.5 Besides, electric energy from the grid is consumed to cover the demand of the manufacturing process (i.e. the amount of electric energy that cannot be delivered by the two generators). Additionality In this section, the additionality of the project activity is analyzed. In the following timeline, the past events are summarized and completed with expected future actions: Table 3. Overview of key events in the development of the proposed project Date Key event October 2013 – June 2014 June 2014 October 2014 October 2014 October 2014 – January 2015 February 2015 – July 2015 July 2015 Basic studies of alternatives for electric and thermal energy generation at Unibol Technical and economical proposal Investment decision on 15 October 2014 Signature of contract between AXIA Energia S.A.S. and Fábrica de Bolsas de Papel Unibol S.A. Detailed project design of auxiliary equipment and control Project implementation Operational start The additionality of the project activity is demonstrated and assessed applying the CDM “Tool for the demonstration and assessment of additionality” (version 7.0.0), as stated in the methodology ACM0002 (version 15.0.0) and accepted by the VCS Standard 3 (version 3.4). The tool provides a step-wise approach to demonstrate and assess additionality: Step 0. Demonstration whether the proposed project activity is the first-of-its-kind; Step 1. Identification of alternatives to the project activity; Step 2. Investment analysis to determine that the proposed project activity is either: (1) not the most economically or financially attractive, or (2) not economically or financially feasible; Step 3. Barriers analysis; and Step 4. Common practice analysis. Step 0: Demonstration whether the proposed project activity is the first-of-its-kind This step is optional. It is not applied for this project activity and therefore it is considered that the proposed project activity is not the first-of-its-kind. Step 1: Identification of alternatives to the project activity consistent with current laws and regulations Realistic and credible alternatives to the project activity(s) are defined through the following substeps: Sub-step 1a: Define alternatives to the project activity The possible alternatives to the proposed project include: v3.2 15 PROJECT DESCRIPTION: VCS Version 3 Alternative 1: The proposed project activity undertaken without being registered as a CDM project activity. Alternative 2: Continuation of the current situation: In this case, the project activity will not be constructed and the power and steam will be generated as in the situation prior to project implementation.. Sub-step 1b: Consistency with mandatory laws and regulations Both alternatives identified in sup-step 1a are in compliance with mandatory laws and regulations as per section 1.11: Alternative 1: The proposed project activity undertaken without being registered as a CDM project activity. Alternative 2: Continuation of the current situation: In this case, the project activity will not be constructed and the power will be solely supplied by the operation of power plants connected to the SIN and by the addition of new power plants. Step 2: Investment analysis To conduct the investment analysis, following Sub-steps are used: Sub-step 2a: Determine appropriate analysis method According to CDM “Tool for the demonstration and assessment of additionality” (version 7.0.0), three options can be applied for the investment analysis: the simple cost analysis, the investment comparison analysis and the benchmark analysis. The project activity generates financial and economic benefits other than CER revenues, therefore the simple cost analysis (Option I) is not applicable. Since the only investment option for the project proponent is Alternative 2, Option II (investment comparison analysis) is also not applicable and the benchmark analysis (Option III) is chosen to prove additionality. Sub-step 2b – Option III: Apply benchmark analysis The additionality tool requires an identification of the most appropriate financial indicator. For the case of a cogeneration plant that provides electric and thermal energy to an end-user, the most appropriate indicator is the internal rate of return (IRR) as it characterizes the rate of return on invested capital. In this analysis an equity IRR is calculated in accordance with the additionality tool and the corresponding guidelines as indicated above. Taxation is included as an expense in the IRR calculation, i.e. the IRR is determined as a post-tax indicator. In accordance with the “Guidelines on the assessment of investment analysis” (version 5) a default value for the expected return on equity is used for the benchmark. The relevant benchmark for energy projects in Colombia (Group 1 as given in the guidelines) is 12.0% in real terms. As per the guidelines, since the investment analysis is carried out in nominal terms, the real term values provided can be converted to nominal values by adding the inflation rate. Since no long-term inflation forecasts or target rates of the central bank for the duration of the crediting period exist, the average forecasted inflation rate of 3.0% five v3.2 16 PROJECT DESCRIPTION: VCS Version 3 years available by the IMF (International Monetary Fund World Economic Outlook) is used (based on the 6 forecasts for the period from 2015 to 2019, which represent the most recent data available). The benchmark, i.e. the Nominal Return on Equity, is therefore given as 15.0%. Sub-step 2c: Calculation and comparison of financial indicators For the financial analysis the main cash outflows are given by the investment, the ongoing O&M costs and taxes. The cash inflows are mainly generated from revenues of energy sales. In this case, the price is defined by the amount of electric energy delivered, will the steam from the recovery boiler is covered by the same tariff. Input values for the investment analysis The financial structure is applied as suggested by the guidelines for investment analysis (version 5). For the equity/debt structure, the default ratio of 50% equity and 50% debt is used. Typical terms of the debt observed in the power sector are used. The lending rate is taken from public data. A summary of the debt used for the investment analysis is given in the following table. 7 Table 4: Terms of debt structure . Source Value Parameter Total investment (USD) $6,652,500 % Debt 50% Equity amount (USD) $3,326,250 Loan amount (USD) $3,326,250 Interest rate (p.a.) 11.00% Principal (annual) $332,625 Total investment amount Based on the default value of the Guidelines for Investment Analysis Calculated (50%) Calculated (50%) The average of the most recent five years prior to decisionmaking is taken (World, Bank, 2009-2013). The following link provides the rates http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/FR.INR.LEND Annual principal during 10 years Table 5 lists the parameters and values used for carrying out the investment analysis. The inputs are the values available at the moment of decision making. The energy generation is based on the historical consumption of the paper manufacturing plant during the most recent 12 months with an annual expected growth of 4%. The energy tariff is established in the contract and depends on the monthly generation amount. All sources and further details are provided in the Investment Analysis spreadsheets. An assessment period of 10 years is applied, with a construction period of 6 months. Table 5. Input values used in the investment analysis available at the moment of decision making 8 (all sources and calculations are provided in the Investment Analysis spreadsheets ). Electricity generation 6 International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook (IMF) Database, (accessed: 20/11/2014) http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2014/01/weodata/weorept.aspx?sy=2012&ey=2019&scsm=1&ssd=1&sort=co untry&ds=.&br=1&pr1.x=74&pr1.y=12&c=233&s=PCPIPCH&grp=0&a= 7 For details and specific sources, see spreadsheet “Debt” of the Investment Analysis in the Excel file “Equity IRR AXIA Energia Cogeneration Project in Unibol” 8 see “Equity IRR AXIA Energia Cogeneration Project in Unibol” v3.2 17 PROJECT DESCRIPTION: VCS Version 3 Capacity Net energy generation 6.518 3,641 kW GWh / year 173.80 COP/kWh Tariffs Electricity sales Energy tariff (average 2015 - 2025) INVESTMENT Total Capital Costs Total Investment $6,652,500 USD $2,425,062 USD/year OPERATING COSTS & EXPENSES Operation costs O&M costs Taxes Income taxes 33.0% % Depreciation Depreciation period 10 years FINANCIAL PARAMETERS Macro Exchange rate Producer Price Index Discount rate 1,827 1.29% 11.0% COP/USD % % 12.0% 3.0% 15.0% % % % Benchmark Return on Equity (real terms) Inflation Adjustment BENCHMARK: Nominal Return on Equity Result of the investment analysis Based on the parameters above, the Internal Rate of Return (post-tax equity IRR) is calculated as 6.0%, which is below the benchmark rate of 15.0%. Sub-step 2d: Sensitivity analysis A sensitivity analysis is carried out by varying the following key parameters to analyze the impact on the equity IRR: • • • Energy generation (MWh): The quantity of energy generated is varied. Investment costs (USD): the complete investment cost is varied. O&M costs (USD/year): the complete operational cost is varied (including O&M, administration, sales costs and socioeconomic costs) The energy tariff is not varied since it will be fixed under the energy sales agreement. Table 6 shows a sensitive analysis for the resulting IRR by varying the main parameters +/- 10%. Table 6: Sensitivity analysis. Variation of electricity generation Base IRR 6.0% v3.2 +10.0% 9.9% 18 PROJECT DESCRIPTION: VCS Version 3 Variation of investment costs IRR Base 6.0% -10.0% 10.3% Variation of O&M costs IRR Base 6.0% -10.0% 12.6% As can be seen, the benchmark is not reached in these scenarios; thus it can be concluded that the project activity is not financially attractive. Step 3: Barrier analysis The project activity does not apply a barrier analysis. Step 4: Common practice analysis The above additionality test is complemented with an analysis of the extent to which the proposed project type (i.e. the technology) has already diffused in the industrial sector in the project region. The applicable geographical area for the assessment of common practice analysis corresponds to the host country Colombia. This test is a credibility check to complement the investment analysis (Step 2). Since the specific information of individual industrial plants with similar characteristics and their electric and thermal energy generation systems is not available, a general analysis is conducted to assess to which extent similar activities to the proposed CDM project activity have been implemented in Colombia. In this case, similar activities are cogeneration systems in similar industrial manufacturing plants that are of similar scale, take place in a comparable environment and are undertaken in the applicable geographical area, as defined above. The criteria of similar activities can be summarized as: • • • • Technology: Cogeneration systems based on natural gas Industrial sector: paper Geographical region: Colombia Installed power generation capacity: 5-10 MW The most complete study about the diffusion of cogeneration plants in Colombia has been published by 9 the National Association of Businesses (ANDI ) in its “Inventory of the installed capacity of autogeneration 10 and cogeneration in the Colombian industry” . The study in total identifies 21 cogeneration plants in Colombia. The main energy source for is biomass, which basically are the sugar refineries that have a lot of biomass wastes at no cost and constitutes a total installed capacity of 205.3 MW. Considering that only 16% of the cogeneration systems (corresponding to 58 MW) use natural gas and that those are distributed between different sectors (e.g. paper, textiles, others), it can be concluded that the number of such cogeneration facilities in the project capacity´s range is still relatively small and the project is not a common practice. 9 in Spanish: Asociación Nacional de Empresarios de Colombia 10 “Inventario de la Capacidad Instalada de Autogeneración y Cogeneración en la Industria Colombiana”, see “201408-Inventario de Auto y Cogeneracion.pdf” v3.2 19 PROJECT DESCRIPTION: VCS Version 3 Conclusion of the additionality analysis Since the project activity is not financially attractive (step 2) and the common practice analysis shows that it is not business-as-usual (Step 4), the proposed project activity is additional. 2.6 M ethodology Deviations Not applicable. No methodology deviations are made. 3 QUANTIFICATION OF GHG EM ISSION REDUCTIONS AND REM OVALS 3.1 Baseline Em issions As per the methodology AMS-II.D. (version 13.0), paragraph 23, the baseline consists of the energy consumption that would have occurred in the absence of the project activity for the existing facility that is replaced. As explained section 2.4, this baseline scenario is the same scenario as prior to project implementation, including the following equipment: ü ü ü ü ü Two (2) natural gas based power generators with 1,750 kW each and an efficiency of about 28% Two (2) heat recovery steam boilers with a generation capacity of 1,500 lbs/hr One (1) natural gas boiler with a steam generation capacity of 20,700 lbs/hr that generates the difference between the steam generated by the two heat recovery boilers and the total steam demand together with the coal-fired boiler below One (1) coal-fired boiler with a steam generation capacity of 20,700 lbs/hr that generates the difference between the steam generated by the two heat recovery boilers and the total steam demand together with the natural gas boiler Besides, electric energy from the grid is consumed to cover the demand of the manufacturing process (i.e. the amount of electric energy that cannot be delivered by the two generators). The baseline determination is based on the relevant operational data for the existing equipment, since the continuation of current practice is the baseline scenario. 11 The baseline emissions are estimated as follows (only the relevant terms are included ): 𝐵𝐸! = ! !!! 𝐸𝐶! × 𝐸𝐹!,! + ! !!! ! !!! 𝐹𝐶!,! × 𝑁𝐶𝑉! ×𝐸𝐹!!,! (1) Where: 11 The term including ECM (flow rate of steam) is not relevant, since the fossil fuel energy consumption to produce the steam is taken into account to estimate baseline emissions in the term with FC (fuel consumption). See comment under the parameter “𝐸𝐶𝑀! ” on page 10 of the methodology. Besides, the term with Qref,BL is also zero, since no refrigerants are used in the project. v3.2 20 PROJECT DESCRIPTION: VCS Version 3 𝐵𝐸! = Baseline emissions during year y of the project activity (t CO2e/year) 𝐸𝐶! = The amount of electricity consumption by baseline device i or processl(MWh) 𝐸𝐹!,! = Emission factor of the electricity consumption by process i (t CO2e/MWh). Electricity emission factor of grid is calculated in accordance with the “Tool to calculate the emission factor for an electricity system” represented by the cobined margin emission factor EFgrid,CM,y. 𝑖 = Process i which consume electricity in baseline scenario 𝑛 = Number of device or processes which consumes electricity in baseline scenario 𝐹𝐶!,! = The volume of the baseline fossil fuel type k consumed by baseline device j (Nm3 or tonnes) 𝑁𝐶𝑉! = The net calorific value of the baseline fossil fuel type k (TJ/Nm3 or TJ/tonnes) 𝐸𝐹!!,! = Emission factor of the baseline fossil fuel type k (t CO2e/TJ) 𝑗 = Device j which consumes fossil fuel in baseline 𝑘 = Baseline fossil fuel type k 𝑚 = Number of device which consumes fossil fuel in baseline 𝑝 = Number of types of the fossil fuel The following are the relevant indexes as per the baseline equipment and energy consumption pattern: Index i Values grid n 1 j G1 G2 GB CB k NG Coal Comments There is no electricity imports from captive power plants in the baseline. The only electricity imports are from the grid. The grid emission factor is calculated based on the “Tool to calculate the emission factor for an electricity system” as outlined below. As explained above, there is only one external power source, which in this case is the power grid. In the baseline there are four devices consuming fossil fuel, which are the Generator 1 (G1) with 1.75 MW, the Generator 2 (G2) with 1.75 MW, the natural gas boiler (GB) with a steam generation capacity of 20.700 lbs/hr and the coal-fired boiler (GB) with a steam generation capacity of 20.700 lbs/hr. The baseline fossil fuel is natural gas for j=G1,G2,GB and coal for j=CB Electricity emission factor of grid The electricity emission factor of grid is given by the combined margin emission factor based on the tool 12 “Tool to calculate the emission factor for an electricity system” . Baseline emissions include only CO2 emissions from electricity generation in fossil fuel fired power plants that are connected to the grid. The combined margin emission factor of the SIN has been adopted by the 13 Ministry of Energy and Mines of Colombia and calculated by the UPME as 0.374 tCO2/MWh. 12 Available at: https://cdm.unfccc.int/methodologies/PAmethodologies/approved (accessed: 29/12/2014) v3.2 21 PROJECT DESCRIPTION: VCS Version 3 In the following, the general methodological approaches and formulas applied by the UPME based on the 14 “Tool to calculate the emission factor for an electricity system” (version 4.0.0) are explained. The combined margin emission factor (EFE,i = EFgrid,CM,y) is calculated following the guidance in the “Tool to calculate the emission factor for an electricity system” (version 4.0.0) by applying the following steps: STEP 1. STEP 2. STEP 3. STEP 4. STEP 5. STEP 6. Identify the relevant electricity systems; Choose whether to include off-grid power plants in the project electricity system (optional); Select a method to determine the operating margin (OM); Calculate the operating margin emission factor according to the selected method; Calculate the build margin (BM) emission factor; Calculate the combined margin (CM) emissions factor. In the following it is explained how each step is applied by the Ministry for . STEP 1. Identify the relevant electricity systems. For determining the electricity emission factors, the project electricity system is defined by the spatial extent of the power plants that are physically connected through transmission and distribution lines to the project activity (i.e., AXIA Energia Cogeneration Project in Unibol) and that can be dispatched without significant transmission constraints. In this case, the project electricity system is given as the National Interconnected System (SIN). STEP 2. Choose whether to include off-grid power plants in the project electricity system (optional). In accordance with the tool, this step is optional. The UPME calculations do not include off-grid power plants. STEP 3. Select a method to determine the operating margin (OM). In accordance with the tool, the calculation of the operating margin emission factor (EFgrid,OM,y) is based on one of the following methods: (a) Simple OM; or (b) Simple adjusted OM; or (c) Dispatch data analysis OM; or (d) Average OM. As explained in the UPME document, the simple adjusted OM is the most reasonable method and used for this calculations. All power plants connected to the SIN are included. STEP 4. Calculate the operating margin emission factor according to the selected method. The simple adjusted operating margin emission factor EFgrid,OM-adj,y (tCO2e/MWh) is a variation of the simple operating margin emission factor , where the power sources (including imports) are separated in low-cost/must-run power sources (k) and other power sources (j), as follows: 13 see Resolution 9 1304 from 25/11/2014, available at: http://www.minminas.gov.co/documents/10180/23517/26203Resolucion-91304-25nov2014.pdf (accessed: 02/12/2014) 14 see “FACTORES DE EMISION DEL S.I.N. SISTEMA INTERCONECTADO NACIONAL COLOMBIA 2013”, http://www.siame.gov.co/siame/documentos/Calculo_FE_SIN_2013_Nov2014.pdf (accessed: 02/12/2014) v3.2 22 PROJECT DESCRIPTION: VCS Version 3 ∑EG ⋅ EF ∑EG m,y EFgrid,OM−adj,y = (1− λ y ) ⋅ ∑EG k,y EL,m,y m + λy ⋅ m,y m Where: λy EGm,y EGk,y EFEL,m,y EFEL,k,y m k ⋅ EFEL,k,y i,j ∑EG (2) k,y k = Factor expressing the percentage of time when low-cost/must-run power units are on the margin in year y = Net quantity of electricity generated and delivered to the grid by power unit m in year y (MWh) = Net quantity of electricity generated and delivered to the grid by power unit k in year y (MWh) = CO2 emission factor of power unit m in year y (tCO2/MWh) = CO2 emission factor of power unit k in year y (tCO2/MWh) = All grid power units serving the grid in year y except low-cost/must-run power units = All low-cost/must run grid power units serving the grid in year y The lambda factor (λ) is determined as: λ= number of hours per year low − cos t / must − run sources are on the margin 8760 hours per year (3) According to the methodology, the number of hours low-cost/must-run sources are on the margin is obtained through the following procedure (see ¡Error! No se encuentra el origen de la referencia. below): Step i) Plot a Load Duration Curve Collect chronological load data (typically in MW) for each hour of the year y, and sort the load data from the highest to the lowest MW level. Plot MW against 8760 hours in the year in descending order. Step ii) Organize Data by Generating Sources Collect electricity generation data from each power plant/unit. Calculate the total annual generation (in MWh) from low-cost/must-run power plants/units. Step iii) Fill Load Duration Curve Fill the load duration curve. Plot a horizontal line across the load duration curve such that the area under horizontal line and the curve right from the intersection point (MW times hours) equals the total generation (in MWh) from low-cost/must-run power plants/units Step iv) Determine the “Number of hours per year low-cost/must-run sources are on the margin” Determine the “Number of hours for which low-cost/must-run sources are on the margin in year y. First, locate the intersection of the horizontal line plotted in Step (iii) and the load duration curve plotted in Step (i). The number of hours (out of the total of 8760 hours) to the right of the intersection is the number of hours for which low-cost/must-run sources are on the margin. If the lines do not intersect, then one may conclude that low-cost/must-run sources do not appear on the margin and lambda is equal to zero. STEP 5. Calculate the build margin (BM) emission factor The sample group of power units m used to calculate the build margin is determined as per the following procedure: v3.2 23 PROJECT DESCRIPTION: VCS Version 3 (a) Identify the set of five power units, excluding power units registered as CDM project activities, that started to supply electricity to the grid most recently (SET5-units) and determine their annual electricity generation (AEGSET-5-units, in MWh); (b) Determine the annual electricity generation of the project electricity system, excluding power units registered as CDM project activities (AEGtotal, in MWh). Identify the set of power units, excluding power units registered as CDM project activities, that started to supply electricity to the grid most recently and that comprise 20% of AEGtotal (if 20% falls on part of the generation of a unit, the generation of that unit is fully included in the calculation) (SET≥20%) and determine their annual electricity generation (AEGSET-≥20%, in MWh); (c) From SET5-units and SET≥20% select the set of power units that comprises the larger annual electricity generation (SETsample); Identify the date when the power units in SETsample started to supply electricity to the grid. If none of the power units in SETsample started to supply electricity to the grid more than 10 years ago, then use SETsample to calculate the build margin. Ignore steps (d), (e) and (f). Otherwise: (d) Exclude from SETsample the power units which started to supply electricity to the grid more than 10 years ago. Include in that set the power units registered as CDM project activity, starting with power units that started to supply electricity to the grid most recently, until the electricity generation of the new set comprises 20% of the annual electricity generation of the project electricity system (if 20% falls on part of the generation of a unit, the generation of that unit is fully included in the calculation) to the extent is possible. Determine for the resulting set (SETsample-CDM) the annual electricity generation (AEGSET-sample-CDM, in MWh); If the annual electricity generation of that set is comprises at least 20% of the annual electricity generation of the project electricity system (i.e. AEGSET-sample-CDM ≥ 0.2 × EGtotal), then use the sample group SETsample-CDM to calculate the build margin. Ignore steps (e) and (f). Otherwise: (e) Include in the sample group SETsample-CDM the power units that started to supply electricity to the grid more than 10 years ago until the electricity generation of the new set comprises 20% of the annual electricity generation of the project electricity system (if 20% falls on part of the generation of a unit, the generation of that unit is fully included in the calculation); (f) The sample group of power units m used to calculate the build margin is the resulting set (SETsample-CDM->10yrs). The build margin emissions factor is the generation-weighted average emission factor (tCO2/MWh) of all power units m during the most recent year y for which power generation data is available, i.e. in this case the year 2013. The calculation is made as follows: ∑EG × EF ∑EG m,y EFgrid,BM,y = EL,m,y m (4) m,y m Where: EFgrid,BM,y EGm,y EFEL,m,y v3.2 = Build margin CO2 emission factor in year y (tCO2/MWh) = Net quantity of electricity generated and delivered to the grid by power unit m in year y (MWh) = CO2 emission factor of power unit m in year y (tCO2/MWh) 24 PROJECT DESCRIPTION: VCS Version 3 m y = Power units included in the build margin = Most recent historical year for which power generation data is available Step 6: Calculate the combined margin (CM) emissions factor The combined margin emissions factor is calculated as follows: (5) EFgrid,CM,y = EFgrid,OM,y × w OM + EFgrid,BM,y × wBM Where: EFgrid,OM,y EFgrid,BM,y wOM wBM = = = = Operating margin CO2 emission factor in year y (tCO2/MWh) Build margin CO2 emission factor in year y (tCO2/MWh) Weighting of operating margin emissions factor (%) Weighting of build margin emissions factor (%) The weighting of operating and build margin is done as indicated in the tool for the first crediting period, i.e. wOM = 0.5 and wBM = 0.5. Table 7 shows the summary of the UPME calculations of the CM. Table 7: Combined margin emission factor of the year 2013. 2013 EF operating margin (tCO2/MWh) 0.630 62,196,587 Total generation (MWh) 0.1172 EF build margin (tCO2/MWh) 0.5 wOM 0.5 wBM EFgrid,CM,2013 (tCO2/MWh) 0.374 The individual terms of the annual baseline emissions of equation (1) are: COMPONENT FORMULAE AND VALUES RESULT Grid electricity consumption 𝐸𝐶!"#$ × 𝐸𝐹!,!"#$ = 8,923 MWh x 0.374 tCO2/MWh 3,337 tCO2 Natural gas consumption in generator 1 (G1) 𝐹𝐶!!,!" ×𝑁𝐶𝑉!" ×𝐸𝐹!!,!" = 3,281,741 m3 x 7,125 tCO2 Natural gas consumption in generator 2 (G2) 𝐹𝐶!!,!" ×𝑁𝐶𝑉!" ×𝐸𝐹!!,!" = 3,338,087 m3 x 7,247 tCO2 𝐹𝐶!",!" ×𝑁𝐶𝑉!" ×𝐸𝐹!!,!" = 2,272,864 m3 x 4,935 tCO2 𝐹𝐶!",!"#$ ×𝑁𝐶𝑉!"#$ ×𝐸𝐹!!,!"#$ = 2,156 tons x 5,689 tCO2 Natural gas consumption in natural gas steam boiler (GB) Natural gas consumption in coal-fired steam boiler (CB) v3.2 3 0.0000374 TJ/m x 56.1 tCO2/MWh 3 0.0000374 TJ/m x 56.1 tCO2/MWh 3 0.0000374 TJ/m x 56.1 tCO2/MWh 0.0293 TJ/ton x 94 tCO2/MWh 25 PROJECT DESCRIPTION: VCS Version 3 TOTAL BASELINE EMISSIONS 3.2 28,333 tCO2 Project Em issions As per the applied methodology, paragraph 47, the project emissions are equal to: 15 (a) The emissions associated with consumption of fossil fuel, electricity and ECM within the project boundary by the project systems; (b) The emissions associated with any refrigerants used in new project cooling equipment (e.g. electrical compression chillers. As in the baseline emissions, the terms related to ECM and refrigerants are not relevant. Besides, the electric energy is completely generated with the plant and no consumption from the grid is expected. There may be some grid consumption during maintenance, however it is considered that this effect is not relevant. Thus, the project emissions are given by the emissions from fossil fuel consumption as follows: (6) 𝑃𝐸! = 𝑃𝐸!!,! Where: 𝑃𝐸! = Project emissions in year y (t CO2e) 𝑃𝐸!!,! = Project emissions due to fossil fuel and shall be estimated following the latest version of “Tool to calculate project or leakage CO2 emissions from fossil fuel consumption” Based on the “Tool to calculate project or leakage CO2 emissions from fossil fuel consumption”, the following equation is applied for the project emissions due to fossil fuel: 𝑃𝐸!!,! = 𝑃𝐸!",!,! = 𝐹𝐶!,!,! × 𝐶𝑂𝐸𝐹!,! (7) ! Where: 𝑃𝐸!",!,! = CO2 emissions from fossil fuel combustion in process j during the year y (tCO2/yr) 𝐹𝐶!,!,! = Quantity of fuel type i combusted in process j during the year y (mass or volume unit/yr); 𝐶𝑂𝐸𝐹!,! = CO2 emission coefficient of fuel type i in year y (tCO2/mass or volume unit) i = Fuel types combusted in process j during the year y The following are the relevant indexes as per the project equipment and energy consumption pattern: Index j 15 Values HG GB Comments In the project scenario there are two equipment consuming natural gas, including the new Hyundai Generator (HG) with 6.7 MW and the Flow rate of steam v3.2 26 PROJECT DESCRIPTION: VCS Version 3 i Natural Gas Boiler (GB) with a steam generation capacity of 20.000 lbs/hr. The fuel consumption in the project activity consists of natural gas (NG) only. NG The individual terms of the annual project emissions of equation (7) are: COMPONENT FORMULAE AND VALUES RESULT Natural gas consumption in generator 1 (G1) 𝐹𝐶 !",!" × 𝐶𝑂𝐸𝐹!" = 6,637,768 m3 x 0.002096 tCO2/m3 13,931 tCO2 Natural gas consumption in natural gas steam boiler (GB) 𝐹𝐶 !",!" × 𝐶𝑂𝐸𝐹!" = 2,121,703 m3 x 0.002096 tCO2/m3 4,603 tCO2 TOTAL PROJECT EMISSIONS 3.3 18,516 tCO2 Leakage As per the methodology, if the energy efficiency technology is equipment transferred from another activity, leakage is to be considered. Since the project activity uses new the equipment that is not transferred from another activity, leakage is zero: LEy = 0 3.4 Net GHG Em ission Reductions and Rem ovals Since project emissions and leakage emissions are zero, emission reductions are directly given as the baseline emissions as follows: (8) ER y = BEy − PEy − LEy = BEy Where: ERy BEy PEy PEy = = = = Emission reductions in year y (tCO2e/yr) Baseline emissions in year y (tCO2/yr) Project emissions in year y (tCO2e/yr) Project emissions in year y (tCO2e/yr) Thus: ERy = 100,534 tCO2/yr Year 2015 2016 v3.2 (1) Estimated baseline emissions or removals (tCO2e) Estimated project emissions or removals (tCO2e) Estimated leakage emissions (tCO2e) Estimated net GHG emission reductions or removals (tCO2e) 4,908 0 0 4,908 9,817 0 0 9,817 27 PROJECT DESCRIPTION: VCS Version 3 2017 9,817 0 0 9,817 2018 9,817 0 0 9,817 2019 9,817 0 0 9,817 2020 9,817 0 0 9,817 2021 9,817 0 0 9,817 2022 9,817 0 0 9,817 2023 9,817 0 0 9,817 9,817 0 0 9,817 4,908 0 0 4,908 98,170 0 0 98,170 2024 2025 (2) Total (1) 01/09/2015 – 31/12/2015 (2) 01/01/2025 – 31/08/2025 4 4.1 M ONITORING Data and Param eters Available at Validation Data / Parameter ECgrid Data unit MWh Description Amount of electricity consumption in the baseline Source of data Historical data of the most recent 12 months Value applied: 8,923 MWh Justification of choice of data or description of measurement methods and procedures applied As per the methodology Purpose of Data Baseline emissions Comments v3.2 Data / Parameter EFE,i Data unit tCO2/MWh Description Emission factor of the grid electricity that is given by the combined margin emission factor based on the “Tool to calculate the emission factor for an electricity system”. Source of data The combined margin emission factor of the SIN has been adopted by the Environmental Ministry of Colombia and calculated by the UPME as 0.374 tCO2/MWh. 28 PROJECT DESCRIPTION: VCS Version 3 See Resolution 9 1304 from 25/11/2014 16 and “FACTORES DE EMISION DEL S.I.N. SISTEMA 17 INTERCONECTADO NACIONAL COLOMBIA 2013” Value applied: 0.374 tCO2/MWh Justification of choice of data or description of measurement methods and procedures applied Public value published by the Environmental Ministry of Colombia Purpose of Data Baseline emissions Comments Data / Parameter FCj,k Data unit Nm3 or tonnes Description The volume of the baseline fossil fuel type k consumed by baseline device j Source of data Historical data of the most recent 12 months Value applied: The following fossil fuel consumption takes place in the baseline: Equipment Fuel type Amount Generator 1 (G1) Natural gas 3,281,741 m 3 Generator 2 (G2) Natural gas 3,338,087 m 3 Natural Gas Boiler (NB) Natural gas 2,272,864 m 3 Coal Boiler (CB) Coal 2,156 tons Justification of choice of data or description of measurement methods and procedures applied Historical data of the most recent 12 months Purpose of Data Baseline emissions Comments Data / Parameter NCVk Data unit TJ/Nm3 or TJ/tonnes Description The net calorific value of the baseline fossil fuel type k Source of data 16 http://www.minminas.gov.co/documents/10180/23517/26203-Resolucion-91304-25nov2014.pdf (accessed: 02/12/2014) 17 http://www.siame.gov.co/siame/documentos/Calculo_FE_SIN_2013_Nov2014.pdf (accessed: 02/12/2014) v3.2 29 PROJECT DESCRIPTION: VCS Version 3 Value applied: Natural gas: 0.0000387 TJ/m 3 Coal: 0.0279 TJ/ton Justification of choice of data or description of measurement methods and procedures applied http://www.natural-gas.com.au/about/references.html Purpose of Data Baseline emissions Comments Data / Parameter EFFF,k Data unit tCO2/TJ Description Emission factor of the baseline fossil fuel type k Source of data IPCC Guidelines 2006, Chapter 2 “Stationary combustion”, Table 2.2 on page 2.17 Value applied: Natural gas: 56.1 tCO2/TJ Coal: 94.6 tCO2/TJ Justification of choice of data or description of measurement methods and procedures applied Default emission factor for natural gas of the IPCC Guidelines 2006 Purpose of Data Baseline emissions Comments 4.2 Data and Param eters M onitored Data / Parameter FCi,j,y Data unit mass or volume unit Description Quantity of fuel type i combusted in process j during the year y Source of data Flow meters for Hyundai generator and steam boiler Description of measurement methods and procedures to be applied Continuous measurement with flow meters Frequency of monitoring/recording Continuous measurement and at least daily recording Value applied: Hyundai generador: 6,408,395 m /year 3 3 Natural gas boiler: 2,120,156 m /year Monitoring equipment v3.2 Flow meters and weight scales will be installed 30 PROJECT DESCRIPTION: VCS Version 3 QA/QC procedures to be applied Calibration tasks follow international standards Purpose of data Project emissions Calculation method All data collected as part of the monitoring process is archived electronically and kept at least for two years after the end of the last crediting period. Comments Data / Parameter COEFi,y Data unit tCO2/mass or volume unit Description CO2 emission coefficient of fuel type i in year y Source of data Determined based on the NCV of 0.0000374 TJ/m and the IPCC emission factor for natural gas of 56.1 tCO2/TJ Description of measurement methods and procedures to be applied The emission factor will be determined based on the carbon content of the natural gas from the provider’s specifications Frequency of monitoring/recording Monthly Value applied: 0.002171 tCO2/m3 Monitoring equipment N/A QA/QC procedures to be applied N/A Purpose of data Project emissions Calculation method All data collected as part of the monitoring process is archived electronically and kept at least for two years after the end of the last crediting period. 3 Comments 4.3 M onitoring Plan The Monitoring Plan basically consists in the procedures to meter the following parameters: • • • v3.2 Natural gas consumption of the Hyundai generator and the steam boiler with two separate flow meters Steam production of the steam boiler and the heat recovery boiler Power generation with the Hyundai generator 31 PROJECT DESCRIPTION: VCS Version 3 Project boundary Natural gas Steam boiler 20,700 lbs/hr Paper manufacturing process of Unibol S.A. Excess heat Natural gas Heat recovery boiler 6,000 lbs/hr Power generator Hyundai 14H35/40GV 6.7 MW Process steam 1) Electric energy consumption 2) Thermal energy consumption (steam) Power Measuring point (production) Measuring point (consumption) Figure 4: Simplified scheme of the monitoring. QA/QC measures The meters are calibrated every two years. Calibration tasks follow international standards and will be established once the meters are selected and installed. A cross-check will be done with invoices from the natural gas provider. Personnel responsible for monitoring Figure 5 shows the organizational chart of the monitoring. VCS Coordinators Calculation of emission reductions, development of monitoring Report, verifying the data and consolidation of numbers, responsible of getting the information for validation and verification, supervision of the monitoring process Plant Manager Collection, review and analysis of the monitoring/maintenance parameters during the vintage year; responsible for monitoring procedures, and for registering the measured data Technical team Responsible of measurements of natural gas consumption and energy generation Figure 5. Operational structure of the monitoring plan v3.2 32 PROJECT DESCRIPTION: VCS Version 3 Responsible personnel: • The CDM Coordinators supervise the monitoring process and are in charge of compiling the monitoring data in an excel spreadsheet and calculating the emission reductions of the monitoring period. They also develop the monitoring report in accordance with the VCS rules. • The Plant Manager is responsible for verification of energy measurement. He is responsible for checking and verifying the meter readings. • The Technical Team is responsible meter readings and registering the data in an Excel spreadsheet. Personnel who carry out monitoring tasks are familiar with the basic monitoring requirements and structures. New personnel have to participate in a basic training in order to get familiarized with the monitoring procedures. Since the main monitoring tasks, i.e. the measurement of the energy production, the calibration of energy meters, and the reporting of the energy generation, are carried out independently from the VCS as part of the daily operation, no specific training is required. The VCS Coordinators are supported by an external consultant if necessary in order to assure correct application of the monitoring procedures. They also carry out corrective actions if any inconsistency is identified and train the Plant Manager and the Technical team, if necessary. 5 ENVIRONM ENTAL IM PACT The law 99 from 1993 provides the general requirements for issuing environmental licenses and permits and defines the role of the Environmental Ministry and the Regional Autonomous Corporations for the licensing process. Article 49 of the law 99 of 1993 and article 3 of the decree 1220 of 2005 indicates that the execution of works, establishment of industries or the development of any activity that in accordance with the law or any applicable regulation could produce significant impact on natural resources or the environment or introduce considerable modifications to the landscape, require an environmental license. As per articles 8 and 9 of the Decree 2820 of 2010, this cogeneration project does not need to develop an Environmental Impact Assessment nor an environmental license. Since it is within the limits of the manufacturing company, it complies with the rules established for the manufacturer and may be operated under the current operating permission of the plant. Due to the modification of the generation process, an Environmental Management Plan will be developed. 6 STAKEHOLDER COM M ENTS As per the VCS rules and since the project is developed within an industrial facility without impacts on stakeholders, no specific stakeholder consultation was carried out. v3.2 33