Richard D. Burbidge (#0497) rburbidge@bmgtrial
Transcription
Richard D. Burbidge (#0497) rburbidge@bmgtrial
Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22 Filed 06/30/14 Page 1 of 14 Richard D. Burbidge (#0497) [email protected] Jefferson W. Gross (#8339) [email protected] Carolyn LeDuc (#14240) [email protected] BURBIDGE MITCHELL & GROSS 215 South State Street, Suite 920 Salt Lake City, Utah 84111 Telephone: 801-355-6677 Facsimile: 801-355-2341 William Kolasky (pro hac vice – pending) [email protected] HUGHES HUBBARD & REED LLP 1775 I Street, N.W. Washington, D.C. 20006-2401 Telephone: 202-721-4600 Facsimile: 202-721-4646 Raymond J. Etcheverry (#1010) David M. Bennion (#5664) PARSONS BEHLE & LATIMER One Utah Center 201 South Main Street, Suite 1800 Salt Lake City, UT 84111 Telephone: (801) 532-1234 Facsimile: (801) 536-6111 Lee Simowitz (pro hac vice – pending) BakerHostetler Washington Square 1050 Connecticut Ave., N.W., Suite 1100 Washington, D.C. 20036-5034 Telephone: 202-861-1608 Facsimile: 202-861-1783 Attorneys for Defendant Deseret News Publishing Company Ethan E. Litwin (pro hac vice – pending) [email protected] HUGHES HUBBARD & REED LLP One Battery Park Plaza New York, NY 10004-1482 Telephone: 212-837-6540 Facsimile: 212-422-4726 Attorneys for Defendant Kearns-Tribune, LLC IN THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT FOR THE DISTRICT OF UTAH - CENTRAL DIVISION UTAH NEWSPAPER PROJECT, dba CITIZENS FOR TWO VOICES, DECLARATION OF JOHN PATON Plaintiff, vs. Case No. 2:14-cv-00445-CW Judge Clark Waddoups DESERET NEWS PUBLISHING COMPANY and KEARNS-TRIBUNE, LLC, Defendants. Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22 Filed 06/30/14 Page 2 of 14 Declaration of John Paton I, John Paton, declare under penalty of perjury that the foregoing is true and correct. 1. I am over the age of eighteen (18) years and have personal knowledge of the statements of this Declaration. If called as a witness, I could competently testify to the facts set forth in this Declaration. 2. I am the Chief Executive Officer of MediaNews Group, Inc., d/b/a Digital First Media (“DFM”).1 I make this declaration in opposition to Plaintiff’s Motion for a Preliminary Injunction. The facts set forth herein are based on my personal knowledge or based on information contained in business records regularly maintained by DFM, unless otherwise indicated. My Background 3. I have spent my entire working life in and around the newspaper business. I started my career as a newsroom copy boy. I am a journalist who was everything from a reporter to an editor-in-chief, before becoming more involved on the business side of running newspapers. I am dedicated to the proposition that journalism matters and to finding business solutions to keep journalism viable. I fund two scholarships annually for promising young journalism students at the Graduate School of Journalism of the City University of New York where I also sit on the Board of Advisors. My university degree is in journalism from Ryerson University where in 2006 I was named an Alumnus of Distinction. I am a former governor of the National Newspaper Awards program in Canada – that country’s “Pulitzer Prize” – and I was recently asked to join the Board of 1 Unless specifically referred to otherwise herein, all references to Digital First Media refer to MediaNews Group, Inc., d/b/a Digital First Media. Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22 Filed 06/30/14 Page 3 of 14 Overseers of the Columbia Journalism Review, which I accepted. In one form or another, I have been running companies since 1995. 4. My involvement and interest in helping build digital platforms for newspapers started in the late 1990s when I was first the Vice-President in charge of new media for Sun Media Corporation in Canada and then CEO of Canadian Online Explorer (“Canoe”) - with news operations at the time in Canada, France and Spain. Since then, I have been recognized as one of the leaders in restructuring newspapers to compete effectively in the digital world, including by The New York Times (Exhibit A) and The Pew Research Center for Excellence in Journalism (Exhibit B). My work has led me to be named as one of 15 “digital media influencers.” (Exhibit C.) 5. My leadership on digital issues has led to my being recruited to join a number of media-related boards, namely: The Guardian in the UK, El Pais in Spain and PRISA, a multi-media corporation also based in Spain, with divisions in more than 20 countries. The Guardian is currently the third-largest newspaper site in the English-speaking world, while El Pais is quickly establishing a similar leading role in the Spanish-speaking world. Both The Guardian and El Pais have been able to dramatically expand their audiences and business opportunities by aggressively pursuing a “digital first” strategy. I am a frequently sought-after speaker on digital transformation in the U.S. and abroad. I have presented at annual conferences such as the Newspaper Association of America, World Association of Newspapers, Global Editors Network and Online Publishers Association. 6. My leadership on digital issues was recognized in 2009 when Editor & Publisher named me Publisher of the Year citing my efforts in multi-platform publishing. Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22 Filed 06/30/14 Page 4 of 14 That recognition also led to my being recruited to the board of Journal Register Company (“JRC”) in August 2009 by its creditors following its well-publicized bankruptcy. JRC’s Board undertook a search for a new Chief Executive Officer and in December 2009 the then-Chairman of JRC asked me to take on the job. I accepted and became CEO in February 2010. In July 2011, JRC was sold to a company controlled by funds associated with Alden Global Capital, which are also major stakeholders in MediaNews Group. In September 2011, I became the Chief Executive Officer and a director of MediaNews Group as well, running both MediaNews Group and JRC via a management company called Digital First Media, LLC (f/k/a Digital First Media, Inc.). 7. After a series of transactions, the voting securities of the former JRC were acquired by MediaNews Group in December 2013. MediaNews Group was then rebranded and now does business under the Digital First Media name. The Digital First Strategy 8. The newspaper industry is in trouble today because of the simple truth that print is in steep decline and most newspapers are ill-prepared to compete in a digital world. 9. Revenues for print advertising have been declining every quarter since 2006 and, according to the Newspaper Association of America, among others, print revenues in 2013 were less than half their 2006 levels. (Exhibit D.) 10. Faced with this catastrophic decline in revenues, newspapers need to aggressively innovate away from a reliance on print. The industry still has a long way to go in its transformation - print advertising continues to account for approximately 46% of all newspaper revenues, industry-wide, with print circulation accounting for another 30%. Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22 Filed 06/30/14 Page 5 of 14 According to industry sources, revenues generated by print advertising have fallen by 55% since 2006. (Exhibit D.) 11. The world is rapidly moving away from print and to digital. We therefore now have to compete with other media, especially new digital media, for readers and advertisers in an increasingly competitive market. Over the last decade, as print advertising has declined by more than half, digital advertising has grown exponentially. As a result, digital is now the largest medium for advertising, having surpassed broadcast television in revenue market share in 2013, and spending for digital advertising is now more than 35% higher than the spending on print advertising in newspapers and magazine combined (and a full two times the spending on newspaper advertising alone). (Exhibit E at 19.) 12. If one accepts (as I do) that print news and print advertising are in decline and, further, that this decline is irreversible and not cyclical, then two propositions follow: a. Newspapers must grow their digital advertising revenue at a faster rate than they have in the past if they are to survive. Growing this revenue requires generating new digital content which, in turn, mandates new types of products. b. Significant cost issues must be addressed if these new digital-first models are to be viable businesses. Newspapers currently carry large legacy costs associated with print publication. These include costs related to sales, administration, content creation and, especially, industrial production, including the real estate and logistics associated with print publication and delivery. There is no way to make print as profitable as it once was. It is impossible. People already get much of the content newspapers used to deliver—such as news, opinions, television and movie listings, Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22 Filed 06/30/14 Page 6 of 14 restaurant reviews, and real estate, automotive, and classified advertising—from digital media including mobile devices, such as iPhones and iPads. Newspaper digital media now reaches 78% of online adults in the U.S., and the pace at which the shift to digital media is occurring is accelerating. (Exhibit F.) In 2012, Pew Research Center reported that more Americans get their news from online sources than from newspaper sources: when asked where they had read their news “yesterday,” 39% of readers reported that they had read news from online sources and 50% reported that they had read news from a digital source. Only 29% reported they read news from newspapers. It is inevitable that the per-unit costs of printing and distributing newspapers will increase as circulation declines. (Exhibit G.) c. Newspapers cannot be saved through cost cutting alone, because the revenue that supports print publication is falling, day after day, quarter after quarter, and year after year. As I’ve already noted, print advertising revenues today are less than half what they were a decade ago. While circulation revenue has declined less dramatically, that is only because most newspapers are experimenting with new pricing strategies for print editions, and including digital subscription packages in circulation revenue numbers; actual print circulation is now only 70% of what it was in 1990. (Exhibit H.) While it is important to continue to address the legacy cost structure associated with print publication, the real emphasis must be on the process, strategy and team-building and culture change that is necessary to drive digital revenues. This is my “digital first” strategy. The term “digital first” is now routinely used by news organizations around the world to describe their transformation from a legacy-based business to a modern multi-platform news company. Specifically, the “digital first” strategy has numerous components, including: (i) reducing exposure to legacy costs associated with print publication, (ii) increasing Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22 Filed 06/30/14 Page 7 of 14 collaboration among its various newspaper holdings, (iii) taking advantage of the unique qualities of digital publication to provide a more robust multimedia experience for readers, and (iv) developing digital advertising models that go beyond simply selling ad space in a newspaper. 13. The digital first strategy has been successful for DFM’s newspapers; our company now generates more than $180 million a year in digital advertising revenues alone. The State of The Salt Lake Tribune at the End of 2012 14. After becoming CEO of MediaNews Group in September 2011, I began familiarizing myself with its various assets. In 2012, my attention focused on The Salt Lake Tribune (the “Tribune”), which is owned by Kearns-Tribune, LLC (“Kearns-Tribune”), a subsidiary of DFM. At the time, I understood that the Tribune was party to a joint operating agreement (“JOA”) with The Deseret News (the “News”),which is owned by Deseret News Publishing Company (“Deseret”), and had been for many decades. This JOA was structured so that a common entity, called the Newspaper Agency Company, LLC (“NAC”) assumed all of the business functions of both newspapers, including the sale of advertising, circulation, production and delivery for both newspapers, while each paper funded its own news and editorial costs. 15. This system had worked well for many decades, but was in serious trouble when I began reviewing the situation in Salt Lake in 2012. In line with the collapse of advertising revenues in the newspaper business generally, the revenues earned by NAC from the sale of advertising in both the News and the Tribune, had declined dramatically from what they had been just six years earlier in 2006. As a result, by the end of 2012, the Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22 Filed 06/30/14 Page 8 of 14 Tribune’s distributions from its share of NAC profits were a small fraction of what they had been just six years ago, let alone when MediaNews Group (now doing business as DFM) bought the paper for $200 million a little more than a decade ago. 16. The steep decline in NAC profits was of great concern to me. I understood that the agreement that governed the JOA was due to expire in 2020 and that it was commonly understood within DFM that, while no decision had yet been made, the JOA was unlikely to be extended. I was concerned that the Tribune would not be able to survive as an independent newspaper once the cost-saving efficiencies of the JOA were lost. I was also concerned that even before 2020, distributions from the NAC would no longer be sufficient to continue to sustain the high quality editorial content for which the Tribune was known, unless we could grow our digital advertising revenues substantially to replace the declining distributions we were receiving from NAC from their profits on print advertising and circulation. 17. To better understand the situation facing the Tribune, I travelled to Salt Lake City on November 27, 2012 for a series of meetings. While there, I first met with Brent Low, who is the President and CEO of the NAC, and Mike Todd, who sits on the board of the NAC and is the CFO of the News. Mr. Low told me that the Tribune’s share of NAC’s profits derived from its newspaper operations were, in his view, no longer sufficient to cover what he understood to be the Tribune’s then-current editorial budget. Mr. Low confirmed to me later that day that, as a standalone entity, the Tribune would lose money on its newspaper operations in its then-current fiscal year. I learned that Mr. Low had been making up for the shortfall primarily through profits earned from unrelated non-newspaper business, such as a real estate brokerage. Mr. Low and I each anticipated that the profits of the NAC’s newspaper business would continue to shrink in the future, but I Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22 Filed 06/30/14 Page 9 of 14 was concerned that unless we made significant changes, we would not be in a position to replace these lost revenues through more aggressive sales on the digital front. 18. My second meeting was with Nancy Conway, then the editor-in-chief of the Tribune. I have great respect for Ms. Conway, who is an experienced journalist and an excellent editor, but I came away from my meeting with her concerned that she did not share my view of the kind of restructuring and re-positioning that would be needed at the Tribune and at newspapers generally in order to assure their future viability. 19. I concluded my day with a meeting with Clark Gilbert, my counterpart at the News, at his office. I believe that Mr. Gilbert generally shares my views on the digital future of newspapers and had already taken many of the necessary steps needed to position his newspaper to succeed in the future. In particular, he had negotiated with Kearns-Tribune to be allowed to sell digital advertising in the News outside of the NAC. He had also engaged in significant cost-cutting and had recently substantially reduced staffing at the News. 20. My discussion with Mr. Gilbert was wide-ranging. Among the topics we discussed was our mutual belief that the NAC was not fully realizing the digital potential of the Tribune in Salt Lake. Our discussion focused on our mutual concerns that both of our newspapers were struggling under the then-current JOA. At some point, we also discussed restructuring the JOA to allow the Tribune to control its digital future in the same way that Mr. Gilbert had negotiated for the News. That discussion ultimately led to the amendment of the JOA in October 2013. The 2013 Amended JOA 21. I have read the Declarations that Nancy Conway and Joan O'Brien submitted in support of Plaintiff's motion for a preliminary injunction. They are, to be Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22 Filed 06/30/14 Page 10 of 14 kind, mistaken as to the intent and function of the 2013 Amended JOA. Far from trying to hurt the Tribune, the 2013 Amended JOA was designed to save it. 22. First, and most importantly, I want to make it clear that the 2013 amendments were not intended, as Plaintiff alleges, to cause the Tribune to suffer financial losses so that we would be able to terminate the JOA before it expires in 2020, cease publishing the Tribune, or sell it to the News’ owner, Deseret News Publishing Company (“Deseret”). Nothing could be farther from the truth. Our purpose was exactly the opposite: to make the Tribune a stronger, self-sustaining newspaper that could survive long-term in a world with very different newspaper economics than before, while at the same time monetizing some declining legacy assets in accordance with our company’s overall strategic plan. At no time—either when I proposed the 2013 amendments to the DFM Board or any time since, have I or anyone else associated with DFM had any plans or intentions to cease publishing the Tribune or to sell it to Deseret. There are no plans to cease publication of the Tribune today, tomorrow, next week, next month, next year or ever. There have never been any discussions, either at the board level or among the executives of DFM, contemplating closing the Tribune. Nor would I ever have agreed to the 2013 amendments had I thought they would adversely affect the quality of our journalism or the independence of our journalists. 23. Second, Mses. Conway and O’Brien claim that the staffing reductions that were imposed on the Tribune over the last year were mandated by the 2013 Amended JOA. They were not. Even if the JOA had not been amended, these cuts would still have been necessary, given the ever-shrinking distributions we were receiving from the NAC. Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22 Filed 06/30/14 Page 11 of 14 24. Third, recognizing that the profit distributions we received from the NAC would soon be unable to support the editorial costs of running the Tribune without additional cost reductions, I had to find another revenue source to help cover those costs. The obvious answer was in digital, where our newspapers outside of Salt Lake had seen considerable revenue growth since the institution of our digital first strategy. We, therefore, secured Deseret’s agreement to move the unit responsible for the sale of digital advertising for the Tribune out of the NAC so we could manage those sales ourselves and integrate them into the DFM platform. At the same time, we agreed that NAC could continue selling digital advertising in conjunction with print advertising in the Tribune through its own sales force on a case-by-case basis. This arrangement allowed us to maximize our digital revenue opportunities. 25. Fourth, in negotiating the 2013 Amended JOA, I was careful to ensure that the Tribune would be protected. Part of my digital-first strategy is to reduce exposure to legacy costs and assets. In connection with the 2013 Amended JOA, DFM sold to Deseret its interest in the production plant the two parties had jointly owned. But, as part of the terms of that sale, Deseret is required to continue to lease the production plant to the NAC as long as the JOA endures so that it can continue to print the Tribune. I negotiated the terms of the lease and the 2013 Amended JOA so that the Tribune bears none of the rent or other expenses associated with the lease other than its pro rata share of the costs and expenses that flow through to the NAC. Moreover, even if the JOA were to expire, we have the right to continue to have the Tribune published at that plant in such quantities and at such times as we reasonably request at market rates. I negotiated for and won further protections for the Tribune in the 2013 Amended JOA. Those protections include the right Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22 Filed 06/30/14 Page 12 of 14 to prevent the News from taking any of the following actions without the consent of at least one of the two Tribune members of the NAC management committee: a. Changing the Tribune’s publication schedule (2013 Amended JOA, §2.02, ¶ 5, clause (m)}; b. Offering promotions to potential subscribers of the News that are not offered to potential subscribers of the Tribune in its primary circulation area (2013 Amended JOA, §2.02, ¶ 5, clause (n)); c. Budgeting less news or color availability to the Tribune than to the News (2013 Amended JOA, §2.02, ¶ 5, clause (p)); d. Reducing the Tribune’s primary circulation area (2013 Amended JOA, §2.02, ¶ 5, clause (q)); e. Changing the Tribune’s press deadlines, delivery targets, number of editions or days of publication (2013 Amended JOA, §2.02, ¶ 5, clause (r)); f. Suspending or ceasing publication of the Tribune (2013 Amended JOA, §2.02, ¶ 5, clause (s)); and g. Amending, modifying waiving or terminating the lease of the production plant discussed above or any of the other leases between the NAC and Salt Lake Newspaper Production Facilities, LLC, the entity through which Deseret owns the production plant and certain other fixed assets used by the NAC to print the Tribune and the News, including printing presses and related equipment (2013 Amended JOA, §2.02, ¶ 5, clause (l)). 26. Fifth, as part of the overall transaction, DFM and Deseret each contributed to the NAC’s pension plan to the benefit of that plan’s participants. The Tribune Would Be Harmed If the Injunction Were Granted 27. The initial results of our restructuring in Salt Lake are encouraging. Our new digital salesforce is now generating approximately $500,000 in digital advertising revenue each month and we expect these revenues to increase significantly going forward It is this growth in digital advertising revenue, made possible by the 2013 Amended JOA, Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22 Filed 06/30/14 Page 13 of 14 that has forestalled any plans for further cost-cutting and editorial staff reductions at the Tribune. 28. If a preliminary injunction were to be issued, the Tribune would be seriously damaged. This damage is not limited to the sort of monetary damages mentioned in Plaintiff’s moving papers. Simply put, the issuance of an injunction could irreparably harm the Tribune and result in its eventual closure. 29. First, an injunction would stultify our efforts to grow digital advertising revenues for the Tribune sufficient to sustain the newspaper if the JOA is not renewed in 2020. As part of the restructuring of the Tribune to better accord with my digital-first strategy, the 2013 Amended JOA allowed us to move the Tribune’s digital business, Utah Digital Services, out from under NAC control and management. The Tribune and the News have terminated their Internet Advertising Agreement and the two newspapers have been running their own competing digital advertising for several months now. An injunction would unwind those actions to the serious detriment of the Tribune. 30. Unwinding this deal has practical implications. For example, Utah Digital Services’ equipment and furniture has been transferred from the NAC to the Tribune. The Tribune has hired eleven new employees to handle its digital advertising and expects additional employees to be hired in the coming weeks. If the deal were unwound, these employees likely would be let go and Utah Digital Services would need to be reincorporated into the NAC. 31. But, more importantly, reversing the 2013 Amended JOA and the changes to the Tribune’s operations over the past several months would be tremendously disruptive to the Tribune’s digital-first strategy, would jeopardize payments and agreements that have Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22 Filed 06/30/14 Page 14 of 14 already been made, and impose additional costs that may never be recovered. At a minimum, the Tribune would lose much of the approximately $500,000 in digital advertising revenues its new digital sales force is generating on a monthly basis. As discussed above, these revenues are essential in order for the Tribune to continue publishing the high quality journalism for which it is known. 32. The Tribune would also incur much greater but harder to quantify costs. Restructuring is always difficult, diverting management from other responsibilities, impairing employee morale, and imposing reputational and other costs with employees and customers that are difficult to quantify. Stopping the restructuring after it is substantially accomplished and either reversing it or freezing it in its tracks could undermine the viability of the Tribune altogether. 33. With the help of the 2013 amendments, we have launched what amounts to a new digital business in Salt Lake, which will enable us to support the delivery of high-quality news and other content to the Tribune’s readers, both in print and digital form. We are pounding the pavement every day, trying to sell these new digital products to customers. Those efforts have considerable support from Digital First Media. Stripped of this sales and support staff, these new and necessary digital initiatives would wither on the vine, putting us back to square one or worse. The confusion this unwinding would cause in the marketplace would inevitably damage the brands of both the Tribune and Digital First Media. This damage is not quantifiable, but is potentially fatal to the Tribune. _____________________________ John Paton CEO, Digital First Media Dated June 30, 2014 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-1 Filed 06/30/14 Page 1 of 6 Exhibit A .IIIr.__ _"'-HI.N _ _ 22-1 Filed 06/30/14 .... Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document Page 2 of 6 Prtt_~_ _IaII.. ThI.~I.for,...,_oI. nan-.mon:lol "_ anlr_ You ..., anI ... -.lr capiHfar dloiribullan 10 ,...,0011_" oIlan,"", ... IIom ... ~ ... ~nt.r _ lI10t _ n _ II>"r orIIoI •. VI~t _.nyIraprInlo.oom for .... pI........IUanoi Infannoll... era .... roprint arlll.OJtIoi. n_ "'0_111. Newspapers' Digital Apostle Ely DAVID CARR Last week, John Patm. met with execnt:ives d the MeiliaNews Group, the second-larFrt oewapaper chain by circolatioo. in the oonutry, htme to papers like The DelIver Post, The Debmt News, The Salt Late Tril:nme and a broad IJW3th d dailies tlJrouIhout Califurnia, iDcludq; The San Jtwe Mercury News_ Mr _Patm. wu liven cmtroJ. dMediaNew. by its 0WIIeI'S in September bued ml his S1lCCellS qlel'aIio& the ","alJer Journal Rqilter Canpany after it: emerpd from baIJkruptcy in 2009_ Amma; other fea.t8, he iDcreued digital revenue by aver 200 percent in his first: fullyeu as chief executive. .Acca-dio& to Mr. Patm, hiI new employ_ at MeiliaNews WHe hopjq; to diM:ern the silver bullet that woold enable them not mIy to survive. but prosper. 11I8tead, he worked his w.y throuih a detaiIOO pre»CDta.tioo. about outiol1l'ciq; II10It qICI'IltDJa other than INI1es and editaia1, focusina; m the coil: me that might jnclnde further layoflB. stressing digital Ales over print sales with inoontivea, and lWioa!; relatjrwllWipo. with the I'QIlmunity to provU IIOIIlC of the CIntent in tIwir DCWspapers. -When I flnisbed. they looIr:ed crestmJJ.m: he said, adding that they lCCIDed to be aking. -No IIOOI'eI: sauce? No magic program to make Ullgo &un print to digital? Anyone can do whM you're talking about.'" Ez.oept few have. Mr. Patm. has berune eunet:hing rJ a darling among media thinker. fur PUtl:ins his business where his rhetuic is. He issued. Flip cameral! to all the ttpOl ten .t: Journal Register papers, heJpOO create a newaI'OOOl cafe that's ~ to the I'QIlmunity in Torrington,. Com., and has boon pushing to dump ancient pruprkltary new5I'OOIIl software in favor of fr-ce, Web-bIUIlld publishing tools. He has finanood a lab to foster employee innovation. and the (UIlpany has finned partnershipe with a number rlWeb (UIlpauies to provid. o • , What began lUI a tidy Iit:tIe experiment has boetmte perhaps the single biggest 1 newspaper bosi! -u: The Journal Register andMediaNews are now in 18 stab Iilid' .;I _ _ 1I'I1II4ob.oI,.,_ _"'"••___ .~_,_ _••b_+._.'".'.3_P\nt.~'trill!lll ad plot MOlE IN IIIE Aereol Court, i Broade ........ " 612712014 Palm P'epa-es His Newspapers fa" aWa"ldWithoul Print- NYTimes.com Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-1 Filed 06/30/14 Page 3 of 6 print and digital products, with revenue of over $1.4 billion and 10,000 employees_ The secondlargest newspaper chain in America is now being run by someone who thinks that print is, if not exactly dead, dying a lot faster than anyone thought_ Mr. Paton has heard all about how choosing digital revenue over print revenue is like choosing dimes over dollars. He points out that the print dollars have dropped by more than half in the last five years and perhaps it is time to start "stacking the dimes." He also notoriously proposed that real transformation would happen only if the industry were willing to "stop listening to newspaper people." Oddly enough, that's exactly what he is, albeit one who has come to very different conclusions about what the newspaper industry needs to do to survive. This includes the idea of eventually ceasing to put out a print paper altogether. "Every time I talk about this, people jump out of windows, so I want to be careful about what I say," he said. A bearded man with a round, friendly face, Mr. Paton does not froth at the mouth or flail his arms when he talks about transforming newspapers, but he is absolutely convinced that if newspapers are to survive, they will all but have to set themselves on fire, eventually forsaking print and becoming digital news operations. He shares a rhetorical set with new-media thinkers like Emily Bell, Jeff Jarvis and Jay Rosen, all of whom sit on the advisory board of Digital First, his management company that now runs both newspaper chains. Mr. Paton has a long history in the business, and chatting with him, you know you are in the presence of a working newspaperman (hold the paper). After starting as a copy aide at The Toronto Sun in 1977, Mr. Paton went on to cover the police and politics and write features before serving as city editor and eventually assistant managing editor. He helped introduce The Ottawa Sun, where he worked as editor in chief, publisher and, eventually, chief executive, and helped engineer a leveraged buyout and purchase of additional properties before the company went public again and was sold to Quebecor. Mr. Paton got an education in the possibilities and pitfalls of new media when he ran Canoe.com, a large news site, during the first dot-com bubble and then worked in investment banking. He and his partners decided to invest in Hispanic media, buying El Diario La Prensa in New York and other Spanish-language properties in big American cities and formed impreMedia in 2003, where he served as chief executive. In 2009, he was approached by Alden Global Capital, the creditors of Journal Register, then bankrupt, and asked to join its board. He became the chief executive of the company in hUp:ltv.wN.n}ti mes.can'2011/11/141busi nessJmedia/palm-prepa-es-tis-.........papers-fa"-a-1MlI"Id-v.ithoul- print.hIm?J=O&pag........mad= pri nt 215 6/2712014 Palm P'epa-es His Newspapers for aWa"ldWithool Print- NYTimes.com Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-1 Filed 06/30/14 Page 4 of 6 February 2010. After taking note of his success at Journal Register, the board of MediaNews asked him to become chief executive of the much larger MediaNews, with 57 dailies and 100 smaller newspapers. A management company, Digital First, was formed to run both enterprises in an operational merger, although both companies remain as separate entities. Dean Singleton, who has known Mr. Paton for 23 years and is long an advocate for industry cousolidation, stepped aside as chief executive of MediaNews to become chairman, and Mr. Paton was given day-to-day control. Digital rhetoric comes cheap these days, and business results are difficult to come by in the publishing industry. The jury is still out in part because the properties controlled by Digital First are private, and financial information is rarely shared. "John deserves kudos for frankly acknowledging what other publishing C.E.O.'s won't, which is that the cost structure will not be supported by the business for much longer," said Ken Doctor, the author of "Newsonomics" and a publishing consultant for Outsell. "But we can't really tell how much of the answer he has because we don't really know what the business results are. Is he going to be the one to transform these businesses? We don't know yet." Asked about this, Mr. Paton said he was willing to share some business results. He said the story so far at Journal Register - he has been working with MediaNews only since September - has been encouraging but is short of definitive. Revenue was down 2 percent last year against a national newspaper industry average of more than 6 percent. More important, digital revenue, which was $6 million a year when he took over, is projected to reach $32 million this year. In order to prepare for a paperless future, the company has emphasized digital sales that are not bundled with print, and 60 percent of its sales were digital only, he said. In the past, Mr. Paton has publicly stated that Ebitda - earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization - was $41 million in 2010, and employees at what had been a beleaguered, bankrupt newspaper company received bonuses of a week's pay. There have been brutal cuts: staff is down 16.5 percent over all at the Journal Register since he took over, although he is quick to point out that the number of people in editorial and sales positions has remained constant. http://wNN.n)times.comI2011/11/141businessJrnedia/palDn-prepa-es-tis-.........papers-for-a-....Id-y.jthool-print.hIm?J=O&pag ewanIad= pri nt 3/5 6/2712014 Palm P'epa-es His Newspapers for aWa"ldWithool Print- NYTimes.com Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-1 Filed 06/30/14 Page 5 of 6 But there have been some psychic dividends as well. "No overhaul is without obstacles, of course, but when I go home at night, I don't feel like I'm working for a dying industry," Karen Workman, the community engagement editor at The Oakland Press, a daily in Pontiac, Mich., said in an e-mail. In Mr. Paton's version of newspapering, a third of the news will be expensive local content produced by professional journalists, a third will come from readers and community input, and a third will be aggregated. To that end, he and Jim Brady, a former Washington Post digital editorial head, and now the editorial chief of Digital First, came up with the rather epically titled Project Thunderdome "Somebody on Twitter said that we should be in charge of naming Pentagon initiatives," Mr. Paton joked - which centralizes production of so-called common content, the wire service and national report that editors at each paper had to spend time putting together. "Half the editors were spending time putting together pages for things like the national section and the health section, which makes no sense and doesn't generally lead to quality content," Mr. Paton said. The newspapers are also looking to their audiences to generate content as well, with accommodations made for blogging and photos from the community. That's part of what grabbed Mr. Brady's attention. "I have been doing the digital thing for 16 years, and one of the frustrations has been that the digital DNA is not at the top of the organization," he said. "The fact that John was a reporter and understands newsroom culture means he is a very good person to lead this kind of transformation." Paul Bass, the editor of New Haven Independent, a nonprofit online daily that competes with The New Haven Register, a Journal Register newspaper, said he still could not tell whether it would all add up to better journalism. "What I can say is that the reporters there now work for a company that wants to put out a good newspaper. They have a sense of mission," he said. "But they are still struggling with the level of resources they have, but Paton took a string of notoriously bad newspapers and is trying to reinvent them. He's a real news guy, not some corporate windbag." Mr. Paton already sees the logical end of the transformation: the elimination of some, if not all, print vehicles. "There are probably a whole bunch of dailies out there than cannot sustain themselves going forward at seven days a week," he said. "Some should probably be weeklies, or there may come a time when they don't put out a newspaper at all." http://wNN.n)times.comI2011/11/141businessJrnedia/palDn-prepa-es-tis-.........papers-for-a-....Id-y.jthool-print.hIm?J=O&pag ewanIad= pri nt 415 6/2712014 Palm P'epa-es His Newspapers for aWa"ldWithool Print- NYTimes.com Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-1 Filed 06/30/14 Page 6 of 6 Alan D. Mutter, a new media consultant who writes the blog Reflections of a Newsosaur and is an adjunct professor at the University of California, Berkeley, pointed out that The Detroit News, a MediaNews property, had already reduced home delivery in 2009 to three days a week. "Publishers across the country have eliminated print publication on certain days of the week and trimmed home delivery on others," Mr. Mutter said. "Given the trend of the industry, it is not unimaginable that MediaNews or Journal Register may do likewise." Mr. Paton hears all sorts of clocks ticking. His newspapers are mostly owned by hedge funds and investment banks, which are not known for patience, and part of the reason that the percentage of digital revenue is rising so fast is that the print revenue that it is compared with is dropping so precipitously. Although he is something of an evangelist, he says he is also a pragmatist. "At some point, print is going to cost more money than it is worth," he said. "If you don't have a viable business model to turn it off when that day comes, where does that leave you?" E-mail: [email protected]; Twitter.com/carr2T! This article has been revised to reflect the following correction: Col'J"ection: November 15, 2011 The Media Equation column on Mondny, about the business strategy of John Paton, chief executive of the MediaNews Group, gave an incorrect definition of the financial acronym Ebitda. It is earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization - not earnings before interest, taxes, "debt" and amortization. http://wNN.n)times.comI2011/11/141businessJrnedia/palDn-prepa-es-tis-.........papers-for-a-....Id-y.jthool-print.hIm?J=O&pag ewanIad= pri nt 5/5 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-2 Filed 06/30/14 Page 1 of 25 Exhibit B Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-2 Filed 06/30/14 Page 2 of 25 The Pew Research Center's Project for Excellence in Journalism The State of the News Media 2012 Report An Annual on American Journalism Newspapers: Building Digital Revenues Proves Painfully Slow Bt IUd: EoifiUndJ uf thr Pbwntw /nslltutr, Emi/r Gusldn, Tum IroHnstMl Q/Jd Amy MltdNr!! gf fIfJ Upd.wd Fllbrulll'Y 11, 2013: See QU" "'tat RPOrt. NewllpiIpeI'1 Twnt ... ldeu Into DuIlaI1. for four - . . Jur;r;etlJ Jturln. The 1IIrWII~ llICbtry enten 2012 neither dyI... nor UIInd gf illtilblt futu~. The llICbtry hill I'iIllled ilround iI ltory iIbclut Itlel - IhiIt yor-byyor It II de.clIpl ... new dtlltill prudud:l iIIld new - . . ItIUllll to t ....lttgn frum depeilde"ce on print ildRrttll .... In 2011. IhiIt tndtttOllill ildmttll... pool. dedtned for illixth cunecutlve ynr. The 'MbIlte gf the Gilmett CcmPilllY. emphulzt ... tOOIe dtlltill Intttilttftl. now IntenttOllilUr hill no mentign gf 1IIrWII~ on Itl heme Pille. If thli InrIIfQl'Tl1i1tton 'Mn 1fJI... MI, rwerJJeII bit In print. In 2011. OM ~ ... """'*I expect the new _ to let mer uch yur to to NewII.,..... AllfJdiltton gf AmeriCilltilttlttCl. $207 mlWon llICbtry-wtde tumPilRd to 2010. PrInt ildRrttll.... thooIh. _ on~ne ~lM:trc ad &dverttllrc _ up dcMn $2.1 billion. Sg the print blln w=re lreilter IhiIrI the dtlltill pllll by 10 to 1.' TlIiIt _ IMm 'MIlle IhiIrI iI 7·to-l n.ttg gf print blln to dtlltill piN In 2010. And durl... 2001 iIIld 2009. lteep dedtnn In print w=re m;umpmled by Imill blln In online too. (An artier PEJ ltudy eumtned print blln to dtilitillllilllll for illampll gf ~ ...11'8 2010 fl~ iIIld flUId Ilmlll.r relultl.) Even If the 1IIrWII~ llICbtry CiIII find ill ... tillrabie model. online. mcnover. tOOIe n.ttQl ...., '''I"00IIIII wtU bE mudilmillllr IhiIrI !My __ iI dICiIct. qg. In iI .kIIv mnf..-ra cd, an llICbtry ~t ubet MtCII.tdly'1 d1t1ll' iIDCUtIn. Guy Pruitt: If IDIt·alttlrc ......... a bullbdllam •• w.t Imtl'8 """'*I It t. In? PruItt r.pIt ... "W", It f.... Mtw 1M 19th.-z H. _ liI)'I .... In III'f.:l:. tt.t 1M proc.l hill drilll" gn. tt.t prog ...1IiI hill t..a In t.by IWpI iIIld itat no .net II In Iitht. And 1M III'fort hill t..a_rl ... for IDllpuly iIDCUtI" iIIld po.jlUlt.n tryIlI8 to t..d to iI dIIttratton !rio......., U ..... U for 1u1. .1 iIIld . - ItilffI IMI)MtIaUr abet to do monwtth l1li1. an. Indication gf haw tore It. dIdt.. hal lOIII 011 - iIIld hfJw llow 1M prcaIl gf tryt... to .......11. 1M doWI_rd tnndI hill t..a- II It. runblr gf llICbtry ...... _vi ... or ..... !-.placid. In 2011. 1M CEO! gf 1M lII!pIt MM~ tumpany. G...tt (Cn.IIIl\DIw). iIIld 1M llICbtry'l ...... t print. tumpany. MedtaNrM (WIlliam DRn Sln&Ifion). It.ppId aldl for t.dh ....0l'Il. NlwYort Tim. CEO.IIIwt RfJbtNOil mlr.d uDrprellu ... lilt. In till Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-2 Filed 06/30/14 Page 3 of 25 YftI'". Tgm Co.riIy, the"'.oo;Iated Pren' praldent..oct CEO, ~ ~In 2012 ht he MOUld .. nrtIri"ll, too • .fond cbt"ll the CJlO.ne of 2011, the top editor'. job Uned _ a t The New York Tlma, USA Today, the lOll A....1e Timalllld allOllt of melroll. The lid-formed cp.IeIItton for the IncUliy ~ .eem. to .. wI..,d .... OrpntRotton I'ftd to 10 d In for dtath.l by Irwtdl"ll top executIva IIIId edlton wIio .peel". In ..w media. Another quatton I. wI..,d..,r their OrpntRotton em _tiler UIOIher five yewII or more of tnrwltton If the effort tIka ht lore? In a PEJ report on dtllt.l revenue ht boked In depth at 10 r.MPIJIer CIlIIIPIIlla, executlvell pr.Ilc:ted tlw.t In flv YftI1I m.nynewtl~ The putt~ of 2011 • Admtl.I"II -.id print onIvon S\.IICIayIi, or ........ t'MI or tine _ 'MIl! rwenuetI a Wftk. chdmIllII at bat: over .. 'MIl! cbMJ 7.3", deIIptte pi.. In online rwenue of '.n. Ad rwenue ¥IIU at $23.9 btllon -len tMn lid 10 pnk of $41.7 btllon In 2000. Revenue I. pmIlo;ted to fd.pln In 2012. The deep recenlon I. putIv to blime, but r.MPIJIer iIdftrtl.I"II hu not ~ tw;k In the lut t'MI )U11 .. _la. other medialft\lT1ed 1J'OWIh. Clmatton _ therefore, newtI~ iIIl! iIdded a ~ttle len tMn $10 btlllon In 2011. Over aU, tMn a $34 btllOft'a-yur IncUtry, cbMJ from $59.2 btlllon In 2000. 3 Ad Revenue Dro ps While Circulatio n Revenue Remains Stable _ Totol Ad Rov. nu. _ Totol Ci rc ulotio n Rov. nu. :;1;0 ,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20 ,000 10,000 , 19BO 19B2 19 B4 19B6 19BB 1990 1992 1994 1996 199B 2000 2002 2004 2006 200B 2010 "," ,oo, N... . _ _ "....,000. ..... Ho .. ' N"'"_ .... . . . _. ........... _ __ _ . . , ..., . • _ _ =""""" .. """' ....,,...,._ _ _ P£W "ESCAACH CENTE" S .... OJECT FOf> EXCEuENCE ,N JO<J~NAL I "" 2012 STATEOFTHENEWS MEDIA SEE fULL OATA SE • MOlt IWM.-pII'Ian profltablil on an ~ttlll bul., many with mUJI .. In the mld·te... fIut net IIII.rat.. aft..- Int.nlt, taUlllIIId .plCld ctarpI - an lUIlI'-thtn • .fond mOlt .-pII'I uflteved profitabt~ty II.rpir ttrouah ClIttIII8. 5gm• pI'OiI'&III' .-pII'I no ~ted In the nd for 2011, •• enttallr dIoOIlrc to retnvat In MW ratt. tMn cGp ...runp to the bottom-~ ... - N..... papers: Buildirg Digi1al R.......... Prlll<lSFiled PainfullySiowl Slate of the Media 4 of 25 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-2 06/30/14 Page 612712014 • Audiences continue to hold up much better than revenues, but after a decade of losses, the case the industry can make to advertisers for premium-priced print ads has weakened. Print drculation (measured under a new set of auditing rules) continued to decline in 2011, especiaRy on weekdays. Most measures of audience on various digital platforms showed growth. But the continuing murkiness of digital data - the fact that different measuring companies' data are so different and doubts about which metrics make sense - continues to be on, of the factors that complicates selling advertising on digital platforms. • Stock prices, after a modest rally in 2010, fell by about 25% in 2011. Those who bought newspaper stocks before the ad coRapse of 2007 to 2009 and are still holding have taken a beating - McClatchy, for instance, which purchased the Knight Ridder chain in 2006, has faRen from $70 in 2005 to under $3 a share in February 2012. 4 • After several years of stasis, newspapers began changing hands again in late 2011. The trend of private equit owners gaining control through bankruptcy proceedings continues to grow, though their intentions often remai mysterious since the typical hedge fund operators say nothing publicly. Prices are low and a variety of new owners are coming forward. Some hometown buyers - including Warren Buffett in Omaha - have also emerged. • Newsrooms continued to shrink as companies, and to remain in the black, felt the need for more rounds of cos reductions. The contemporary newsroom has fewer articles to produce after trims in the physical size of paper and reduction of the space devoted to news. At the same time, the remaining editors and reporters are also being stretched further by the need to generate content suitable for smartphones and tablets and establishing a sodal media presence as well as putting out the print paper daily and feeding breaking news to websites. Strength on Sunday While the growth of digital and other new revenue streams fell short of covering print declines, there were a numb«: of positive trends. One of those, is that Sunday print editions did relatively well in 2011. Circulation stabilized, am at some papers increased. Also, preprint insert advertising, despite the beginnings of electronic coupon competition, has held up relatively well. The "super-couponing" craze finds some eager bargain hunters buying fiv. or six copies of the Sunday paper to maximize their savings. The industry is responding by increasingly emphasizing Sunday-only or Sunday and some additional days in marketing new subscriptions in preference to trying to get new seven-day-a-week readers. Also, as noted in last year's report, Gannett papers and many others now offer "Sunday select" - an insert package free on request in certain upscale ZIP Codes to households not receiving the full Sunday paper. That extends the reach of the industry's most popular advertising format and covers for declining household penetration as Sunday drculation hal waned over two decades. The Sunday emphasis is a revenue and profit plus, but it also may represent a tipping point of sorts. Sunday advertising now represents 35% to more than 50% of the total at most papers. 5 As papers target Sunday readers, more valuable to advertisers than those on weekdays, they may gradually opt to serve weekday readers with a website report, other digital editions or, in some markets, a smaller-format, free tabloid version. htIp:l/stateollhemeda.orgI20121reNspapers-buildirg-digital-r.........-prlMlS-painfully-slowi 3124 N..... papers: Buildirg Digi1al R.......... Prlll<lSFiled PainfullySiowl Slate of the Media 5 of 25 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-2 06/30/14 Page 612712014 AMove Toward Paid Content Another positive development in 2011 is that after years of talk and no action, the industry began to embrace pay walls for digital content. The New York Times did this most prominently, but, according to Newspapers It Technology roughly 150 smaU, mid· sized and metro dailies also have instituted variations of the so·called metered model that The New York Times used or offered premium paid sites. 6 TypicaUy, a metered plan allows free views of a limited number of articles, so a site retains its traffic from search, links and sodal media recommendations. More frequent readers are asked to pay a monthly rate, for which they get unlimited access. The new pridng model also allows organizations to sell so·caUed bundled subscriptions to print readers, who gain access to the website anc often mobile and tablet editions too, either free or for a modest additional charge of a doUar or two a month. This payment structure encourages people to continue to receive the print edition, which is more profitable, particularly for the ad·rich Sunday edition, and helps shore up print drculation. It also is moving companies away from the concept of pay walls, which sound as though they keep people out, and moves more toward the concept of full access, which invites people in. At The New York Times, for instance, a Sunday·only subscriber gets access to all other digital editions of The Times. Looked at another way, the 390,000 who have signed up for the digital edition could get home delivery of the print version on Sundays as a freebie. 7 Dozens more papers are likely to follow in 2012, though there are still notable holdouts, including The Washington Post, USA Today and many metros that fear the loss of users seeking breaking news to other free websites and potential loss of online ad revenue. The Times' first fuU report on results of the pay wall, instituted March 31, was altogether sunny. Besides the 250,000 digital·only subscribers, 75,000 more were paying for the iPad and e·reader versions by the third quarter 0 2011. The paid total had grown to 390,000 by the end of the year. An advertising sponsor is providing 100,000 more users with a year's free trial subscription. 8 Far from cannibalizing print, The Times' bundled deals actuaUy supported a modest growth in paid Sunday subscriptions. Digital unique visitors were also up slightly (though page views were down) and digital advertising was holding steady. The Times was less than clear, however, about how many of those subscribers were paying full freight rather than c trial rate. Some bumps in building audience or retaining ad revenues could still lie ahead. Also, the Times high· quality/high·price/high·demographic strategy mayor may not be a fit for more modestly scaled newspaper organizations. But signs are positive for others making the switch. Morris Communications' Augusta Chronicle began a metered· model pay wall four months before the Times in December 2010. Page views actually went up 5% in the next three months. The Augusta offer began by allowing up to 100 page views per month free, gradually redudng that threshol to 15. It charges digital· only subscribers $6.95 per month and print subscribers an additional $2.95 for digital access. 9 htIp:l/stateollhemeds.orgI2012froeNspapers-buildirg-digital-r.........-praws-painfully-slowi 4124 N..... papers: Buildirg Digi1al R.......... Prlll<lSFiled PainfullySiowl Slate of the Media 6 of 25 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-2 06/30/14 Page 612712014 In some ways Augusta is viewed in the industry as the more relevant example than The New York Times. And by midyear, chains like Lee and GateHouse Media were installing variants at most of their small and mid'sized papers. Metro papers have been slower to embrace paid digital plans but are coming along. The Boston Globe and The Dalla: Morning News, which both dedded on a high'cost, high·quality print strategy several years ago, now charge for online access to their journalism as well. The Star Tribune of Minneapolis started a pay wall in October. First report saw traffic and projected ad revenues down slightly but added digital subscription revenue making up the difference, according to publisher Mike Klingensmith. The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel launched a bundled subscription strategy in early January 2012. And Gannett has announced that all 80 of its community papers will have digital pay packages by the end of the year. In March 2012, The Los Angeles Times put up a metered pay wall, providing 15 stories a month for free. After that, readers need to buy a subscription. The digital·only subscription, which starts at 99 cents for a month, rises to $3.99 a week after that month. Why and why now? The pay systems re·establish the prindple that users should pay for valued content, expensive t( produce, whatever the platform. It gives flexibility to raise the subscription price in later years or charge more for: particularly convenient medium like tablets. The change is unlikely to have a big finandal impact, positive or negative, right away, but it better positions newspaper organizations eventually to wean themselves away from print. Licensing Content A companion development, much less noticed, has been the industry's launch of a licensing organization, News Right, seeking to collect royalties for the content originators from aggregators. The rights agency, led by former ABC news president David Westin, opened for business the first week of January 2012, after three years of development led by the Assodated Press. AP remains the biggest investor and is joined by 28 other news organizations. 10 Westin concedes that success is far from guaranteed. But the partidpation of most major newspaper companies is important. NewsRight will begin slowly, asking commerdal enterprises that scrape stories and sell online news digests to business clients to pay licensing fees. Asking royalties from bigger players and for aggregated short summaries may come later. For a start, only text stories aggregated in the United States will be tagged and tracked. Plans are to add photos, video and international markets later. If the venture achieves critical mass, it will also yield detailed real·time metrics on which stories are being most heavily aggregated. That data will be of use to the partidpating content creators and possibly to public relations an advertising customers in tracking the trajectory of a given news topic. But the effort faces a number of hurdles. The arrangement is non·exclusive - all publishers, including the AP, have existing licensing agreements in place wit businesses and schools. The nonprofit Copyright Clearance Center has been collecting royalties for several decades. One company, Attributor, and other newer businesses already track pickups by aggregators and ask for payments. Like pay walls, this innovation has been under discussion for years, peaking in early 2009, when American news htIp:l/stateollhemeda.orgI20121reNspapers-buildirg-digital-"........-praws-painfully-slowi 5124 N..... papers: Buildirg Digi1al R.......... Prlll<lSFiled PainfullySiowl Slate of the Media 7 of 25 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-2 06/30/14 Page 612712014 executives joined Rupert Murdoch in decrying Google and a host of other aggregators for helping themselves to content. A successful path for News Right would position newspaper organizations to collect fees for their content both from their regular readers via digital subscriptions and from the huge and expanding aggregation sector. Tablets, Mobile and Social Media We noted in last year's report a wave of exdtement in the industry for the potential growth opportunities in smartphones and tablets. If anything, 2011 bolstered rosy predictions about consumer enthusiasm for these devicel and their substantial use - among an array of choices - to access news reports. The Newspaper Assodation of America offered the summary statistic in December that mobile traffic (tablet and phones) was up 65% in a year as measured by page views, comparing September 2011 to September 2010. 11 A Pew Research/Economist study on tablets, released in October, found that the 20% of tablet readers surveyed who use news apps typically go directly to a news organization's app (as opposed to accessing the content through a browser). More than a quarter of the tablet readers exhibit some willingness to pay for their favorite app news sources. 12 Another Pew study, in January 2012, confirmed that tablets (such as Kindle Fire and the iPad) had huge sales during the holiday shopping season, growing in ownership among adults in the u.S. roughly 50% since the summer of 2011, from 12% to 18%.13 Amazon announced that it was selling a miUion Kindles per week worldwide during the holiday season. So, earlier forecasts of a super-fast adoption curve remain on track. But the qualifier here for newspaper organizations is a familiar one - will they be able to monetize the new platforms? With the exception of e-reader editions, most news to smartphones or tablets remains free or included i bundled subscription offers to print subscribers. And mobile advertising - estimated at $1.45 billion in 2011 and expected to almost double in 2012-may again not connect up strongly with news content, as has proved the case on the web. 14 Another AP initiative, iCircular, offers the equivalent of preprint inserts in a mobile format. And shopping apps from individual newspaper organizations attempt to carve out a share of that very popular use of the devices. But do consumers need the middleman of a newspaper organization to plan their shopping or make price comparisons on intended purchases? They may simply turn instead to Amazon, the shopping sites of the stores themselves or verticals like Yelp for restaurants. Probably even more of a challenge, mobile advertising is a growth target for Google in 2012. Analysts estimated in January that Google will receive $4 billion to $6 billion in mobile ad revenues worldwide this year. 15 In the more modest domain of video advertiSing, pre-rolls and other video ads have been available on newspaper websites for five years. But the $300 million in local video advertising revenues those organizations booked in 2011 according to analyst Gordon Borrell, is only an eighth of the total. The field is dominated by digital-only enterprises, prindpally YouTube, and by "pure play" advertorials or targeted electronic classifieds for jobs or cars. 16 Sodal media and e-readers are parallel cases. Newspaper organizations have cranked up their Twitter and Facebool efforts, finding sodal media both a means to drive traffic to their stories and a reporting resource to find sources htIp:l/stateollhemeds.orgI20121reNspapers-buildirg-digital-"........-praws-painfully-slowi 6124 612712014 N..... papers: Buildirg Digi1al R.......... Prlll<lSFiled PainfullySiowl Slate of the Media 8 of 25 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-2 06/30/14 Page quickly during breaking news events. E-reader editions bring in some subscription revenues, and the rising popularity of longer format minibooks may bring publishing opportunity for salable storyteUing. As yet, though, neither sodal media nor e-readers are a revenue difference-maker. And Facebook is already booking 14% of aU internet display ads. 17 Alternative Revenue From Freestanding Businesses Another bright spot for newspapers in 2011 has been the growth of freestanding affiliated businesses, some digital others not. As we have reported the last several years, the industry has sorted itself out, with many newspapers shutting down their presses and outsourdng printing and those retaining presses viewing outside print jobs as a profit center. The DaUas Morning News now gets almost 10% of its revenue from contract printing, according to publisher Jim Moroney. 18 The Washington Post has developed successful events and newsletter businesses over the last two years. Each is free to partidpants or readers but draws sponsorships from organizations trying to reach a targeted audience. The Post also has launched a sodal media agency and a Facebook sodal reader (showing what your friends are reading). Both events and sodal media advice are gaining momentum at other papers. But the modest added profits are helpful rather than game-changing. An earlier PEJ study on newspaper economics found that almost half the newspapers that provided data reported trying to develop some form of nontraditional revenue. The most common effort involved functioning as online consultants for local merchants, helping with everything from search engine optimization to building websites. In most cases, this was produdng relatively modest revenue, but there were some papers and companies who were seeing significant success. Gannett has made a long string of digital acquisitions over the last decade, some hits others not. Most recently it bought Fantasy Sports Ventures in late January, a network that is the nation's fifth-largest sports website and an addition to USA Today's already strong presence in the lucrative online sports field. Some older ventures have also fared weU. Gannett, Tribune and McClatchy, for instance, own CareerBuilder, which now has a larger volume of U.S. employment listings in the reviving recruitment market than Monster. That gives the companies a valuable stake in a growing company should they ever wish to seU it, plus a share of CareerBuilder ads on their websites and dividends they can use to reinvest, pay down debt or any other purpose McClatchy CEO Pruitt told an investors meeting in December that the company expected to receive almost $30 miUion in such payments from its stakes in CareerBuilder and similar national online car and real estate classified businesses. 19 That income does not appear in the company's report of operating results. Nor does the Newspaper Assodation of America yet attempt to measure "other" income in its industry statistical profile. So this modest bul increasing element of recovery for newspapers has remained largely unnoticed. Unfortunately, digital ventures are subject to their own ups and downs. The New York Times Company's About.com and similar smaUer services, such as Media General's DealTaker, experienced sharp declines in traffic after Google revised its search algorithm early in 2011, making it harder for such sites to game the system and end up in the htIp:l/stateollhemeds.orgI20121r-eNspapers-buildirg-digital-r.........-prlMlS-painfully-slowi 7124 N..... papers: Buildirg Digi1al R.......... Prlll<lSFiled PainfullySiowl Slate of the Media 9 of 25 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-2 06/30/14 Page 612712014 first page of rankings. The Rise and Semi·Fall of Discount Programs One other major development of 2011 was the popularity of discount programs such as Groupon. We wrote in last year's report about Groupon's meteoric rise, its deal-of-the-day offers giving an assortment of local businesses a potent tool for attracting new customers. In the process, Groupon sucked away a portion of local merchants' ad budgets that used to go to newspapers and their websites. As some analysts had expected, Groupon's growth rate in the U.S. slowed substantiaUy in 2011. With questions about some of its accounting practices (treating marketing costs as if they could be allocated to future fiscal years) its initial public offering of stock in November was not the runaway success the company had hoped. The industry scrambled to create its own deal-of-the-day clones, such as Gannett's DealChicken and McClatchy's service called dealsaver, and found the basic formula easy to replicate, even for a single paper unaffiliated with a chain. So a worst-case scenario was averted, but newspaper organizations did not gain back a big share of what they lost in 2010 to Groupon and the other big national service, Living Sodal, also a young privately owned company. Local COlJ1)etitors While 2011 turned out to be yet another disappointing year financiaUy for newspapers, some of their most noteworthy direct competitors experienced reverses as weU. Patch, AOL's network of 863 hyperlocal sites, has seen little sign of advertising success and dim prospects going forward. Expansion into new markets leveled off in 2011 and there were cost trims continuing into 2012, both puUing back on full-time hires and redudng freelance budgets. 20 But even staUed, Patch has continued to baffle analysts. Between salespeople on the street and enough advertiser-friendly content like event listings and restaurant reviews, it has been a factor for newspapers in the suburban communities where AOL has focused its effort. Also, as we and others have predicted, some of the independent, mostly nonprofit local news websites experienced setbacks as their initial foundation and benefactor launch-funding ran out. Both Voice of San Diego and the Center for Public Integrity began 2012 with layoffs. San Frandsco Bay Citizen's angel, finander Warren HeUman, died in December 2011 and the operation is being merged with the Center for Investigative Reporting. The Chicago News Cooperative, which like Bay Citizen had contributed regional content to The New York Times, ran out of money and ceased operations in February 2012. Once again, though, this sector is not going away and many of the sites look to be sustainable if unlikely to expand greatly. But looking just at news competitors like Patch or a vigorous independent news site like MinnPost or the mass of localized spedal interest sites is far too narrow a frame of reference. Aggregators, including such tablet start-ups as Zite and Flipboard appear to be booming as news content creators struggle - a central point of a talk on the Statl of the digital business The New York Times' Martin Nisenholtz presented to the Newspaper Assodation of America', MediaXChange convention in March 2011. 21 htIp:l/stateollhemeds.orgI2012JroeNspapers-buildirg-digital-r.........-prlMlS-painfully-slowi 8/24 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-2 Filed 06/30/14 Page 10 of 25 J.nd the m.. t fri!lhtentnt o;ompetiton. u eII.CUI.ed In the O¥erYtew_ the triftll'llt of the trill\lYll.'u;h u App'" IIIId Gql.e. ARM typtcdv rea.... the term. of .ervtce. ~ the CUltomer datl.lIIId tI.ka • '-lthy cut of ...I... the CIUIhtnt force of.ard! iIICWertt.I.... Gogp,...., .fford iIIl end.......,ria of .o.t.crtptton _ 1Kq.It.lttOlll (min thiI/1100 In the lut deQde.~ ... to Wlldpedt.·. CIlUIt) IIIId ntche pn;odud; LM.n;ha. Gq'" IIIId AppI.e ...., put mu;h men morwy In iIIld mOft men cp.rt~.t PRIIIII.I ... ..w IWOI!IlUOI! plultriltta tlw.n the I,.try 131'1 hopr to m.td>. And thOI!rOI! I. no .1... tlw.t tilt. Imbllllnce wi. n. Mo_r. to the OI!XtOI!nt tlw.t the CJ:II'OI! lul,... of tha., ..w eIIlltd atil/lbl I. con...., .... dati.. ¥lhtch tIwy...., ..., to tl.rpt Min!rtI.I .... nil """~ content prgcb;er 131'1 o;omportOl! with ' - mu;h tIwy " ' - d>out tlwtr ........ Tlw.t mMa Vilw.t lapperied In 2011 with .om., COR dmrOl!llbr of IWM~ -u, mol1' dOI!tI.l~ PrInt ... DlgltaI . . . .rtl*lg For pint iIICWertt.lnt. the Igua .".,..., f.lr\' ~ eII.trtbuted .....ttClllill ¥All doMll0.SJ for the ,.,..,r. da..lfled III IIIId I'OI!tI.tI (. -.er ClltOl!lCllY thiI/1 the other t'MI o;ombtned) U. IUny uecutlva ••Id tlw.t the fll1t .fln of • eII.~ntllIII YftF ¥All the decI.fCIII by tel CiIIlcel.cheduIn fn nnr\' ill ~ 1111 iIIld .om., other iIdmtI...... durl ... the fll1t qw.rtOI!r of 2011 to '.VOI! Ita., with IV.ttonwidOl! dn;W.tton bu.,.ll 11 y",,,-Decline fo r o..ilyAdvertising Revenue ifl - . of DoIN> _ R. toil _ Notio nol _ CI. " if i. d _ Pr intTotol ", - " " , 19B5 19B7 P£W RESCAACH 19B9 CENTE~ 199 1 1993 1995 1997 s:: - ........ "> 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 S ""OJECT FOIl EXCWENCE ,N JO<JRNAL :. 2012 STATEOFTHENEWS MEDIA SEE fULL OATA SE AII_ ...... 'M1tt.n In pIWlcu r.portI. du.tfted .... ..., tIw 1IadI...... of print 1011_. Ihrl-*' ... to about 25" ofVilw.t It ..... In 2000. n. "" l1li1 In 2011 ..... o;ompuattv.lrllli brutll... tt.n tNt In 10IM....,t; ~11. Amo,.. dultfted Cllt.&or!... r.aultm.nt (tt. Imdlrrt) ~ hIId _ . doMll.R. r.tllctl ... Impro¥1 ... dImInd for 10m prof..IIOIII - lUll.. and o;ompo.m IpKldlbi. for_pli- In lome pu1:I of tIw aumy. Auto ..... down 10.71. rHI ..tl.te 19.U and -other" (nowtt. \uplt CllteaorY. IrdIdI ... llp.lnotlc. and ..Id obttlarl_, 101. fUrther - Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-2 Filed 06/30/14 Page 11 of 25 """,,,,11lc reo:wery o;o.kt ~ . . three. U 'Othe r' Classified Ads Mo re Stable Than Auto, Real Estale and Recruitment (;.bs,rNAtNero."" Revenue, _ by~, ,, - A ulo _ . dD<*lrs R• • I E,I . I . _ R. uu il "", nl _ oth. r "', •, ,• •, , , , ,= ;00' '00' ;00' 2004 200S 2006 2007 200B 2009 2010 2011 P£W "ESEAACH CENTE" S ""OJ£CT FOIl EXCWENCE ' " JO<J"N" ,-,,*, 2012 STATEOFTHENEWS MEDIA SEE FULL DATA SE 1tetJ.t1 Induclel preprinted l..er1:I. Vlhtch remilln popr.jiIr with dIiIl .. 6ke TlIrtet iIIld ant Buy even ill they I'MIP 141 vvtety of dtlltill mukettnt chiIrmeII. A comPilliltt~ Itrorc ltart to the hoIIdiIy Ilqlptnt I_on helped. I.lthouIh more iIIld more of the bu!tina II b!f computer IiIther IhiIn In ItoRI. The !UlUdv IRded companlell iI/'e not forecutt ... iI 2012 tImuoInI. twllCilII»' budIetI... for print lilies to be off 6lI or 10 for It.~. iltaJl'dtna to tt.tr r.por1:I i1t iI o.c.m... I_ton' CD,r. ...... Z4 A ........r of fourilNI,aiWr amoo.ncementJ of ~fl. -ae freezell. flRltclw iIIld Interrala.t·recU:tlon tiIIk foroes lugests tNt the I~ IRIIIn to do men with 1111 Vlhtll flndlrc lome money for IWW III'for1:I II The btga- IIIUI. ill p~ Indultry-wlcie. noted abcwe. II tlat tIw pi.. In dtl1td&dverttII .... 14I ....ln 6.'" In 2011 &fter 10.'" In 201C filllli Mllhort of It. tn.ktlGt.iRh It. Indultry.-ll. AI U.S. dtl1td ildNrtlll .... b!f ~rilon ....... 141 m ,..r to-~ In It. thfrd q.arter of 2011. So not onIv An . -...... not powI... fiIIt WIDt.iIh on6... but they &110 &re filllfna blhfnd 011.- dtgltill t*Yws.15 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-2 Filed 06/30/14 Page 12 of 25 PrintAd""rtising Re""nue FIIlIs, Online Grows iflllliliM> of DoIM> """ .. ' NO'. . _ Ho .. , N"," _ _ ..... ""'"""",,_. """, P£W "ESCAACH CE"TE" S ""OJ£CT FOIl EXCWE"CE ," JO<J~"AL I SI. 2012 STATEOFTHENEWS MEDIA SEE FULL DATA SE Print lind Online Ad""rtising Re""nue Cha nges _ Pr int _ O nli ne , -2 .000 -10.000 ,~ 2010 2011 P£W "ESEAACH CENTE" S ... OJ£CT FOIl EXCWENCE ' " JO<J""ALISI.O 2012 STATEOFTHENEWS MEDIA SEE fULL DATA SE KIln Doctor, an ~t foa..ed on dilltal tnnIform.tlon, noted In. ~..oo ........ ryht __ pipers"" rttll 612712014 N..... papers: Buildirg Digi1al R.......... Prlll<lS PainfullySiowl Slate of Page the Media13 of 25 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-2 Filed 06/30/14 presence in search or in ads priced by performance (as opposed to by impressions), thus missing the biggest digital categories surging for the last decade. They are not yet well positioned in the smaller, but fast·growing, video advertising sector. "'n all the areas of growth," Doctor concluded, "news and magazine publishers are weakest. Despite uneven digital ad results reported by newspaper and magazine companies, it's not that the money isn't there - they just haven't transitioned their businesses enough to compete for it. ,,26 We hear some promising ideas listening in on industry conferences about building digital ad revenues. Reintrodudn an element of scarcity can help. For instance, the Arizona Daily Star in Tucson has created "GreenTag Tuesdays," a display of a set number of discount offers (in print but with scanable·to·mobile QR·codes), a sort of juiced·up bargain·of·the·day. Asking merchants to reserve early to avoid being left out helps drive sales, according to publisher John Humenik. 27 On a bigger scale, The New York Times and others sell home page "takeovers" - ad packages, often including vide<: which are the only message to appear on the first screen. These command huge premiums compared to the depressed rates for run-of·the-site display. Some sales strategists recommend pulling back on or eliminating so-called remnant advertising to networks, an arrangement so prevalent that many advertisers wait for those deep discounts rather than placing schedules at stated rates. Debate continues on how to rebuild an ad sales staff to maximize digital results. Consultant Gordon Borrell and Clar Gilbert, a fonmer Harvard Business School professor now running Deseret Digital Media and the Deseret News in Utah, believe that hiring a separate corps of digital spedalists leads to much greater ad volume. But many newspaper organizations are stiU trying to improve sales by retraining staff and juggling incentives, which for yearl had sales people earning bigger commissions by concentrating their effort on print. In early 2011, the Newspaper Assodation of America enthusiastically backed a project, Making Measurement Make Sense, centered in the Interactive Advertising Bureau, to improve digital metrics both for measuring audience and ad effectiveness. Early in 2012, it remains a work only half completed, but it aims to develop a new set of standard accepted by both the advertising and publishing communities. An interim comScore study connected with the project and released in January 2012 confirmed what ad buyers had long suspected, finding that nearly a third of online display ads are never seen, either because they have failed to load by the time a user moves on or are on second screens of the home page or a story the user does not reach. 28 Borrell's annual forecast contained a nugget of good news for newspaper organizations. Display growth is now keeping pace with search growth. Starting in 2006, newspapers lost share of local advertising dramatically to socalled pure plays, digital-only sites like Google or Monster, many of them with no news content. But in 2011, their growth rate stayed even and will grow faster than the pure plays in 2012, Borrell predicts. 29 Circulation Nurmers and Revenue htIp:l/stateollhemeds.orgI20121reNspapers-buildirg-digital-r.........-prlMlS-painfully-slowi 12124 6/2712014 N..... papers: Buildirg Digi1al R........ Prlll<lS PainfullySiowl Slate of Page the Media14 of 25 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-2 Filed 06/30/14 This has been the year in which the audit rules are changing and drculation totals cannot validly be compared to those of previous years. The first apples·to·apples comparison will come from the Audit Bureau of Circulations six· month period ending March 31 and released roughly May 1. Even without strict comparability, though, the trend is clear. Daily print drculation continued to decline in 2011, though at a rate perhaps only half as bad as the worst of the last decade - under 5% rather than the peak of nearly 10%. Sunday drculation industry-wide is probably down slightly, though many individual papers have shown growth. As noted in earlier reports some of the drculation losses over time can be traced to price increases and voluntarily discontinuing service to remote areas. While ABC is not making year-to-year comparisons, a number of the public companies keep their own figures, typically reporting a loss in the low and mid-single digits at year's end. ABC's total drculation (print and digital) among roughly 650 audited organizations for the six-month period ending September 30, 2011 was 33.4 miUion dail and 38.6 miUion Sunday. That contrasts with 34.0 miUion daily and 38.2 million Sunday in 2010. 30 Those changes ar relatively small and may reflect slightly more lenient rules. Nor did the new rules lead to wide swings in the totals for individual papers or the ranking of the top papers in drculation (see data section for details). Adding an estimate for unaudited papers, most of them smaller, and drawing on apples-to-apples reports by some companies, we calculate drculation losses for the year of 4% daily and 1% Sunday and total industry drculation at 41.7 million daily and 43.7 million Sunday for 2011. 31 htIp:l/stateollhemeda.orgI20121rvN1spapers-buildirg-digital-"••'r....-prlMlS-painfully-sIOAi 13/24 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-2 Filed 06/30/14 Page 15 of 25 Total Cifwlobon Excluding _nded Edrtion " Total _nded Edrtion " Total Cifwlotion W.II SlrootJoL>rnol ' ,OM,j~ U 5AToda~ 1,7S.,242 1,150, [,39 605,677 , NewYorl< Ti m., '.= NewYorl<~New , ' L9 ...... g.Ie,Time' s..n J o, . Moroor; New, ' NewYorl< f'<l,t Wa 'hi ~f'<l 't == 1~ ,O 1~ 51 ..061 W._ 51;':.M 527,563 51 ..061 154,029 400,01.42 ~.~ New' ,!!y(NY) ChiCllgo 500_11me,' == _,710 Ho " ,tonCf'o"orOd.' D..,w Of f'<l ' t' :l5J,115 1O,7~ PI1il .d..,..... ,n ~.~ Minn ..poh SIorTnOOne Ari_Ropubtc O<og o .... n 51. Potor, burg Tim . , Pr." Dotroit Fr •• s..n Franci><:oCh roride :>on 0; OIl ° Uri on-T nbo.ne "" , H Orang.eoorty R.g~ t .~ CI"".lond P10in D•• I.r S• • ttl . Tim . , "" , 0 4Z~70 255 ,~ 1 J Ran k in , ,• , , , " " " " " " " " " " " " " " " W._ 4Z~70 . Chic.o.go Tnrune Doll., MorrO-og New, ' Ran k in 97,867 242 ,814 242 ,S14 .-4.l.1i4 ;':-4.l.15' 240,024 240,024 ZJ.4. 57\1 220,515 21 9,>47 ZJ.4.57\1 220,515 21 9,>47 _......- , ,• , , , " " " " " " " " 0 H " " " " " " ,"0 '' '' '''''' ...... oIC _ _ _ •• ,.,..,-. ..... 10...-. ....... _ . . , ... M-F """'_ "' ..__ 01' .... _ Hot" ABC _ _ , , , _ 01 "''''''' '' 2011 , . 0 ... 1011 ...., .... ... "",,,,,,,,,,,,_ .. 20. 0 ... """ ...... "'_ _ .... ....... _ _ " . . ...., ................ ..-ABC '".., ......... _ , ... ' " _ ... """"~ _ _ 01 ... ABC '".., .... """""""' .. ABC ...... "....,. ;" ._"'-_ .. P£W RESCAACH CENTER S ""OJECT FCfl EXCWE"CE IN JOOR"ALI'" 2012 STATEOFTHENEWS MEDIA ~ another measle, the mOlt recent Pew Rnan:h Center newI ClDlIIIptlon IUrvey In 2010 reported tt.t 371 of act&t Amertcar. laid tt.t they read lome form of the newI ...... -yresteroay•• Tlltl ..... dcMn from 3'" In 2001 and <43, In 2006. JZ n. mnttrutll8 dlcltllB -'wn....tat r.M~ CUI ct.rp for advwttll.... ~ rall1... pile., . -..pel1 he" u the run'" mntt .... to taL Stattltta from the NeMpeper Mpt dra.*tton 1'WHIUI .....~Iit.dy. _ Alllodatton of Am.tca lhow dra.*tton IWWUI In 19fT and lOOt (the IIIDIt ~ ~ _ured) ld1nt1calat $10.1 btllon. It ~hu f.... liom.lill101. Paid dra.*tton. bymntrut. dIcIt..t 22.51 In the 1_12,..11 from 60.5 millon to 46.9 milion. JJ n. r.w JJJI:. nMI aIcM IIDa1pt10111 to auI1: u ....t.IhIr r.MpepII' OIpIIlzatlOlll an maid ... peld If the . . . pa)'I u _vt.... ~tt'- u a pII"Il)' a day. fIut It 11 undMr of dlrlpw dlllDUlted b1alllDcr1pt1on. If 10, tNt would br1118 dcMn clra.*tlon IWWUI for the lilt booo ,..... not )'It m. .1nd Incbtry-wlde. H_, u _ han Indlcat.d In ..tI. tlditlOlll of thtl r.port, manymtllJo ....... voUltaIlWliled peld dnllll.tlo In rwnDt..,.... ...... " ......_ '~~'.".'.m - n.y he.... dlo ... uIIIZIId cUI... the mntIrIII... dicit.. by IpendI... 1111 on 1.111... r.w -Itartl, • I I • -.kI'1I-<lgIIrrI .. _ _ pm • ...,... 612712014 N..... papers: Buildirg Digi1al R.......... Prlll<lS PainfullySiowl Slate of Page the Media16 of 25 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-2 Filed 06/30/14 or attempts to build drculation. Better to deliver advertisers to a smaller number of mostly loyal readers, the thinking goes, than an inflated number with a lot of chum. The reports of publicly traded companies suggest small year·to·year drculation revenue losses in 2011 but no big swing to cut-rate distribution. The coming of pay walls and bundled subscriptions complicates measuring total paid drculation. An important feature, some would say loophole, of the new Audit Bureau of Circulations rules is that subscriptions (or single copy buys) by the same person on an additional platform counts as added drculation. It is the same prindple as if you ar a home subscriber but buy another copy at a newsstand or on an e-reader. For bundled subscriptions a household that spends a couple of dollars more a month for online access is counted as two subscriptions. In a free access monthly package, each additional platform can count as additional paid copy but only if the reader uses it a minimum number of times in a month. Digital Audience Dedsions on ad placements critically depend on valid metrics of audience. And while the Audit Bureau of Circulation totals are in transition, measurements of total digital audience, most of it online and mobile visitors who come for free, have always been weak and remain so. The two most frequent metrics - unique monthly visitors and page views - do indicate some sense of traffic growth and the relative strength of different sites. Varying methodologies yield very different results. Also, the large share of visitors who come only once or twice a month via search or a link and then leave quickly has earned the dismissive nickname of "drive-by traffic." It is of minimal use to advertisers. In addition, page view totals can be manipulated by site design or by "refreshing" frequently. The industry still has not developed convindng measures of the much smaller number of regular readers and how their buying behavior is influenced by the online ads they see. A PEJ analysis using Nielsen data from fall 2010, found that, on average, only 7% of users of the top news sites are "power users," meaning they visit a given site more than ten times per month. ,,34 Some argue that the move toward requiring digital subscriptions of those heavier users will identify many in that group and support higher ad rates for placements targeting just the paid portion of monthly traffic. Impredsely measured or not, however, digital audiences are growing, newspaper websites are typically the best trafficked in a dty and total audience reach is staying steady. David Boardman, executive editor of The Seattle Times, for example, noted that both unique monthly visitors and page views at his site had tripled since 2006. 35 By the available measures, the industry's 2011 digital audience performance was mixed. For December 2011, the most recent month measured by the Newspaper Assodation of America, unique visitors were up by about 7.4% year to-year, but time per visit was down 5.4% and page views were down about 2%. Perhaps the page view decrease is related to the beginning of pay waUs. 36 Profits and Stock Price When it came to profits, newspapers did slightly worse in 2011 than they had the previous year. Operating margim are often quite healthy, in the mid-teens. But for a great many individual papers and chains, interest payments, htIp:l/stateollhemeds.orgI2012JroeNspapers-buildirg-digital-r.........-prlMlS-painfully-slowi 15124 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-2 Filed 06/30/14 Page 17 of 25 P'""ton obIptton., tuft U>d ,peo;td chuta bot.. the net eunt... dr:I¥In to iI td<cn -...t. G....tt, ofWn iI Inder tn profttilbtlty, iIII •••1 muttn for the yar, The New York Ttma Co. iI biI, of 11 ilrod McCLiltdlyil ._ded -4.31 muttn.37 The tnrilltry.wtcte ilVerqe, ~.. to ,evenI.,q.bI .,.,., poLltd U>d RPCIrted CIlIIIPiI/lY raub, remilt .. ill rq~ 51 net. Ihder cwrent o;tl'Q.lT1,twaII,~, tl COIJd be utued h i '1l'iItntre to tum iI prWtl t, lICIt the bal ,mteo'. The Wuhtllllton I'0Il1', po,tlII,htllll dtvt,ton U>d A.H. BetI', tine piIpeI1I both opel'ilted ill iI either iI bI, or bruk wen for the yew. NeIther CCIIT1PiIIIY hu ,lbtilnttd debt. bther, they lad the option of t_ttre tn deYeklptllll !lei rwer\UIIII n.ther IhiIn chlpptllll more to the bottom I .., u McCIJ.tdly U>d oihel1 hilve done for ..~vel'ill,.11 now tt milllillle thetr debt tuden. Amtd ill then didmla, WdStreet mrlilil. "*-m on the tncMtry. SIw.n prtcell I'iIUled lome tn the CIlUl1e of 2010 vntlr rerniitntllll fill" bftIw the vM.Ia of the mtd 20001 before the ildvertl,tre colllJwe of 2fJlll to 2009. For 2011, thoutIh. mOlI'liel'e dr:I¥In tn the n.rJIe of 101 to 151.:11 Stock Prices Fall Across the Board P1UpefSMre '"" " '"e o , , • • ,.'."" .",,' • -I <f','l 0'" 0/ '" 0'" ,J" / ,<f' /' .. " ..,v..... , .....,. ," ,,~ .,,0 ."'" v Ho",Tho W.. _ ""' .. ""'..,..... ...... , ...... 'to ' 213' 108 ""'&'..... ".. 13'0.00; .. '213'''''' ""'&'...... ".. l""."'; .. ,mill" "",. ".. l""."';" ''''''''''''' ...,. ".. 13". . P£W RESCAACH CE"TE~ S ""OJECT FCfl EXCWE"CE ," JW~"AL,'" 2012 STATEOFTHENEWS MEDIA SEE fULL DATA SE 1M1WM". man ~t.. tn iICXloIlitttOlll. Aft..,..... of HnOlI lID IrvncttOlll, UOIpI thnq:h bl.lilruptcy OI1antZlltton., iI ttaw milt.rtdZlld, ..1*=Idr' ..... tIw .nd of tIw~. 1M me ...r and ~Ittton broker OIrtar, van Elil.rl It. MIDiIy coo.m.d 71 tndlvtct.al ~ ctarc1relw.ndrr tn 2011 com..r.d to j ..1 13 tn 2010. 39 • Many Imill and mtrloltZlld ~ law _I dtlltd or TV competltton and . . .tn domtlWlll wtth IMrleI1 ilrod N..... papers: Buildirg Digi1al R........ Prlll<lS PainfullySiowl Slate of Page the Media18 of 25 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-2 Filed 06/30/14 6/2712014 local advertisers. Optimists - and buyers are usually optimists - may view them as stable and profitable. Small chains and some retired publishing executives are among the buyers. • Some wealthy local buyers emerged. Those included Warren Buffett buying his hometown Omaha World Herald for $200 million and San Diego hotel mogul Doug Manchester buying The Union-Tribune for $110 million from Platinum Equity, which had acquired the paper just two years earlier from the Copley family for less than $50 million. 40 • The prices are modest compared to those prevailing in the middle of the last decade. A number of the properties - The Union· Tribune is a good example - come with valuable real estate. • Probably the biggest transaction was the sale of The New York Times' 19-paper regional group for $143 million to Halifax Media Holdings, a company formed two years ago to buy The Daytona Beach News-Journal. 41 The Times had assembled the papers and run them at high profit margins in the 1970s and 1980s to balance out business ups and downs at its flagship paper. Lately, the regional group was shedding revenue faster than The New York Times itself, moreover, so the company chose to exit and invest the proceeds in digital development. • Political agendas may emerge as a factor. Both Halifax and San Diego's Manchester have indicated they want their papers to have a pro-business, pro-development tone editorially. Private equity firms remain an important ownership force as they buyout bank creditors at reduced prices and brin! organizations out of bankruptcy. Since executives of these firms tend to say little or nothing publicly, it is hard to discern a general strategy. They do tend to take an aggressive approach to digital transition. The most high· profile case has been CEO John Paton, backed by Alden Global Capital, pursuing a "digital first" strategy at the Journal Register papers. The company spun off a separate management arm, Digital First. It has been given control of MediaNews, the much-larger company built by William Dean Singleton, which Alden acquired iI 2011 when the company was in bankruptcy reorganization. By digital first, Paton means encouraging the news staff, with heavy community involvement, to focus on breaking news and developing other content for various digital platforms. Produdng the print newspaper becomes the last step in the cycle. Similarly, advertising sales staffs are directed to emphasize increasing digital ad sales with the best compensation going to those who meet ambitious growth targets. The biggest of the private equity takeovers is yet to come when the Tribune Company bankruptcy proceedings, no\\ in their fourth year, conclude. After many delays, it remains uncertain whether a final plan will be chosen by the enl of 2012. Alden has been a member of the incoming investor group, but not its leader. Tribune, with TV holdings as well as major newspapers, including The Chicago Tribune and The Los Angeles Times, has been run by a management committee headed by former Los Angeles Times publisher Eddy Hartenstein. According to bankruptcy filings, the company is running profitably, and it seems to be pursuing a typical agenda of cost cutting and digital initiatives rather than delaying action until the new owners take over. 42 htIp:l/stateofthemeda.orgI20121rvN1spapers-buildirg-digital-"••'r....-prlMlS-painfully-sIOAi 17124 612712014 N..... papers: Buildirg Digi1al R.......... Prlll<lS PainfullySiowl Slate of Page the Media19 of 25 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-2 Filed 06/30/14 Unexpectedly, Alden and Angelo Gordon, a second private equity company, indicated at the end of January that th~ wanted out of their lead investment in the Philadelphia Media Network, which owns The Inquirer and the Daily News A local group led by Edward Rendell, a former mayor of Philadelphia and a former governor of Pennsylvania, emerge as a likely buyer. Media General announced in late February that it plans to sell some of its newspapers. More Rounds of Cost Cutting Private equity takeovers typically involve rounds of layoffs and other cost cutting, but more traditional companies also continue to rely on slashing expenses to break even or turn a profit as print ad revenue declines continue. More and more companies have gotten rid of their printing presses and outsource production of the print edition. Some of these arrangements lead to earlier deadlines and later delivery, but they save substantially on labor costs. As staffs shrink, newspaper organizations also find themselves with more office space than they need and sometimes rather grand downtown buildings for their current scale of operations. So a wave of building sales and moves to smaller rented quarters continues. The Philadelphia Media Network has sold its white tower that houses The Inquirer and The Daily News, and are scheduled to move the papers into a former department store in July. ThE Miami Herald sold its showcase building on Biscayne Bay (once Knight Ridder corporate headquarters) to an Asian casino developer. The Herald will be moving to space near the Miami airport. On the cost front, newspapers caught a break in 2011 as newsprint prices leveled in midyear and the volume of paper used continued to fall. Managements continue to press for concessions on work rules and benefits at unionized papers. And such cost·saving tactics as furloughs and salary freezes or reductions continue to be commor though perhaps not as prevalent as in 2009 and 2010. Newsroom Staffing This section updated April 11, 2012. Then there are cuts targeting newsroom costs particularly. Most common, continuing a trend started in 2010 and 2011, is for chains to consolidate copy editing and page layout at a few central fadlities (the Assodated Press has made a similar change in its regional and state reports). This year will see more of the same, with the result that comparatively few chain-owned papers will tailor a national and international report to their communities or layout most of the pages readers see. In 2011 and early 2012, there were fresh rounds of cuts at a number of papers, including small buyout programs at The Washington Post and The New York Times. Estimating total newsroom employment is tricky, however, because there may be hiring of technologists and other digital spedalists at an organization where editors and reporters are being let go. The American Sodety of News Editors employment census, released in April 2012, counted a loss of 1,000 full·time newsroom jobs in 2011, a decline of 2.4% .. 43 Higher revenue hopes for 2011 never materialized and during budget planning in the fall, 2012 looked like another htIp:l/stateollhemeds.orgI20121r-eNspapers-buildirg-digital-r.........-prlMlS-painfully-slowi 18/24 N..... papers: Buildirg Digi1al R........ Prlll<lS PainfullySiowl Slate of Page the Media20 of 25 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-2 Filed 06/30/14 6/2712014 year of net revenue losses. Some organizations put in another round of cuts. The Tampa Tribune, for example, eliminated 29 newsroom jobs midyear and 165 more throughout the newspaper and its website in December. 44 And the layoffs have continued in the first quarter of 2012. The losses leave 40,600 news professionals at newspapers, according to ASNE, down about 28% from its peak at thE turn of the century.45 An exception to overall shrinking staffing levels is the finandal, political and wire service sector. Reuters and Bloomberg have been expanding, not only adding positions but also hiring away stars from other organizations. National Journal, Politico, the Huffington Post and The Atlantic are other multi platform organizations that are healthy and growing. Add in those working at smaller online startups (ASNE counted about 500 such jobs in the most recent census), and it appears that several thousand of jobs lost in newspaper organizations have migrated to other journalism enterprises rather than disappearing entirely. Making new observations on where the staff cuts have damaged newspapers during the last year is difficult. But thE longer· term trends we have noted before include much less coverage of government in suburbs or remote dties, pulling back on state government coverage, the dedmation of specialty beats like sdence and religion, fewer feature stories and elimination of many weekday feature sections, a smaller business report, typically not a freestanding section anymore. A report prepared for the Federal Communication Commission and released in June 2011 documented these reporting losses and concluded, "In very real ways, the dramatic newspaper·industry cutbacks appear to have cause genuine harm to American dtizens and local communities. ,,46 In our report last year, we quoted media economist Robert Picard's finding that wage levels, beyond the top tier of organizations, are falling and will continue to fall and that a gradual "de·skilling" of journalism is in progress. That is still a concern. And fast·growing "content farms" such as Demand Media, which produce cheap, generic freelancE content, had reverses of their own in 2011. Changes in Google's search·ranking algorithm gave this work less prominent play, so it seems less likely than before to supplant the work of professionals. The bottom line for newsrooms is twofold. Many now produce skimpy papers several days a week. Analysts and some in management have begun to talk openly, as we have for years, about whether the cutting has gone as far ai it can and still allow organizations to produce substantial report every day in print and on digital platform. Booth Newspapers, a Michigan chain owned by Advance, eliminated at least some daily home·delivered editions at The Grand Rapids Press and its other papers in mid·2011. 47 Since the two Detroit papers cut back to three days a week of home delivery several years ago, this means that only a minority of readers in Michigan can now get a hometown daily delivered seven times a week. Relatively few other papers have made similar cutbacks - at least not yet. But more and more insiders believe this is the future, if not in 2012, then sometime this decade. Redudng the cost htIp:l/stateollhemeda.orgI2012froeNspapers-buildirg-digital-"••'r....-praws-painfully-sIOAi 19/24 6/2712014 N..... papers: Buildirg Digi1al R........ Prlll<lS PainfullySiowl Slate of Page the Media21 of 25 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-2 Filed 06/30/14 of printing and delivering the newspaper on the days when the print paper contains less advertising could be a way to capture some of the savings of digital while maintaining the high revenue of print - a version of having it both ways. Dissenters say that newspaper organizations should think twice before cutting off loyal seven-day print subscribers, in effect encouraging them to get their news elsewhere some weekdays. The second reality for editors and reporters is that their efforts may be spread over as many as five or six platforms. Facebook and Twitter clearly promote content distribution and enhance reporting on fast-breaking stories. The multitasking, multi platform journalist may thus feel energized and empowered. Older newsroom hands may instead feel pulled in many directions in a confusing way and end up frustrated, especially since the payoff in business improvement or stability has been so long in coming. AU of this relates to the central issue of finandal transition - getting digital gains much closer to making up for print revenue losses (a metric first proposed by French analyst Fn!deric Filloux).48 In early 2005, Rick Edmonds of the Poynter Institute, the co-author of this chapter on newspapers, ran some projections that suggested that digita ad revenues would not equal those from print until roughly 2017. 49 Assumptions have changed, and the advertising crash of 2007-09 intervened. But if digital revenues (even including revenues from digital subscriptions and side ventures) were to double their growth rate to 20% a year and print falls 10% yearly, the lines would still be $1 billion from crossing in 2017. Getting through those six years will take more than just patience, however. And the industry would be smaller still than it i today, and much smaller than in 2005. Optimists might argue that individual papers and the industry could run profitably with smaller revenues as many do now. But shrinking revenues nonetheless mean fewer journalists covering the news. There remains the chance that the exodus of print readers and advertisers will accelerate to some sort of tipping point before newspaper organizations get their act together with digital subscription and ad revenues in enough volume to make for a viable business. John Paton's Digital First adventure, just beginning to take root at the larger Media News chain, remains admired and closely watched. He has backed his rhetoric with action, for instance hiring former Washington Post online editor Jim Brady as the group's editorial director. But as a private company, Journal Register "releases only selective snippets of data indicating progress" as newspaper analyst Ken Doctor has noted, too little finandal information to confirm a path to business success. 50 And both Journal Register and Clark Gilbert's Deseret News cranked up rapid digital change with failing newspaper franchises, easy to set on the back of the stove. That makes less sense for organizations with stronger print franchises. Other publishers and company executives favor a more balanced approach, thinking that the longevity of a strong print product can be extended for many years with the right news effort and management. That does not equate tc a vote for more of the same. Attachment to daily news routines or old sales and circulation department cultures stands squarely in the way of progress on the digital side. And some organizations seem all but paralyzed by the htIp:l/stateollhemeda.orgI2012froeNspapers-buildirg-digital-"••'r....-prlMlS-painfully-sIOAi 20/24 N..... papers: Buildirg Digi1al R.......... Prlll<lS PainfullySiowl Slate of Page the Media22 of 25 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-2 Filed 06/30/14 612712014 scope of the changes required. If some editors and publishers with five years or more in the transformation trenches are burning out, and they do seem to be, that begs the question of what wiU be the next generation's skill set and relevant experience? Along the way, newspapers, whatever balance they strike, are getting more serious about identifying and building the elements of an innovation business culture, not just invoking innovation as a mantra. At the same time, they have lost a lot of time. Returning to the basebaU game metaphor we dted at the start of this essay: if this is the 19th inning, as McClatchy's Gary Pruitt suggested, 2012 could prove to be more of the same - but extra inning games have a way of ending quickly. Continue reading Newspapers: By the Numbers Endnotes 1. Newspaper Association of America. Trends and Numbers (http://www.naa.org/Trends·and·Nunilers.aspx) • 2. Adams, Russell. "Newspapers Edit Down Outlook (http://onUne.wsj .comlarticle/SB1 0001424053111903461304576522212803157664. htrri) • " Wall Street Journal. Aug. 22, 2011. 3. Newspaper Association of America. Trends and Numbers (http://www.naa.org/Trends·and·Nunilers.aspx) • 4. Yahoo Finance (http://finance.yahoo.coml) • 5. Shadunsky, Alex. "Newspaper Stocks Deserve Another Look As Fundamentals Improve (http://seekingalpha.com/article/316231·newspaper·stocks·deserve·another·look·as·fundamenta~·improve) ." Seeking Alpha. Dec. 28, 2011. 6. News and Tech. "Papers With Digital Subscriber Plans/PaywaUs (http://www.newsandtech.comlstats/articIeJ2aclefa· 2466·11 el·9c29·0019bb2963f4.htrri) ." Jan. 11, 2012. 7. Healy, Beth. "N.Y. Times Co. Reports Profit Drop (http://articles.boston.com/2012·02·03/business/31015878_I_digital· advertising·revenue·digital·subscribers) ." Boston Globe. Feb. 3, 2012. 8. Peters, Jeremy W. "Times Co. Reports a Profit, Aided by Digital Subscribers (http://www.nytlmes.coml2011/1 0/21/buslness/medla/the·new·york·tlmes·company·reports·a·proflt.htrri) ." The New York Times. Oct. 20, 2011. 9. Moozakis, Chuck. News and Tech. Email to co-author Edmonds. Feb. 24, 2012. 10. Kramer, Stad D. "NewsRight Launches with 29 Publishers (http://paidcontent.org/articIe/419·newsright·launches·with·29· pubtishers·not·a·Utigation·shopl) ." Paid Content. Jan. 5, 2012. 11. Newspaper Association of America. Trends and Numbers (http://www.naa.org/Trends·and·Nunilers.aspx) • 12. Project for ExceUence in Journalism. "How People Use Tablets and What it Means for the Future of News (http://www.journatism.org/analysisJeportltablet) ." Oct. 25, 2011. htIp:l/stateofthemeds.orgI20121r'eNspapers-buildirg-digital-"........-prows-painfully-slowi 21124 N..... papers: Buildirg Digi1al R.......... Prlll<lS PainfullySiowl Slate of Page the Media23 of 25 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-2 Filed 06/30/14 612712014 13. PEJ Mobile Survey. Jan. 2012. 14. E·Marketer. "New Forecast: U.S. Mobile Ad Spending Soars Past Expectations (http://www.emarketer.com/PressRelease.aspx?R=1008798) ." Jan. 12, 2012. 15. Schonfeld, Erich. "Cowen: Google Mobile Ad Revenues Could Surge to $5.8 Bimon in 2012 (http://techcrunch.com/2012/01/21/cowen·googies·mobile·ad·revenues·could·surge·to·5·8·bilHon·in·20121) ." TechCrunch. Jan. 21, 2012. 16. BorreU, ordon. "Budgeting for 2012." Borrell Associates. Nov. 2011. 17. Frankel, David. "Report: Facebook, Google Overtakes Yahoo in Display Market Share (http://paidcontent.org/ articIe/419·report·facebook·google·overtake·yahoo·in·display·ad·market 'share!) ." Paid Content. Feb. 22, 2012. 18. Moozakis, Chuck. "One on One - Jim Moroney, A.H. Belo Corp (http://www.newsandtech.com/news/article_09154504·a386 lleO·afSe·OOlcc4c03286.htrri) ." News a: Tech. June 30,2011. 19. Edmonds, Rick. "5 Hopeful Takeaways from Annual UBS Media Investment Conference (http://www.poynter.org/latest· news/buslness·news/the·blz·biog/155695/5·hopeful·takeaways·from-new·york·lnvestment·conference/) ." Poynter. Dec. 12, 2011. 20. Mangalindan, J.P. "AOL May Never Be Able to Patch up Patch (http://tech.fortune.cnn.coml2012/02l15/aol·patch!) ." Fortune. Feb. 15,2012. 21. Cropper, Carol Marie. "Nisenholtz: Papers' Content Not To Be Stolen (http://www.netnewscheck.comlarticIe/2011/03/28/1 0149/nisenhokz·papers·content·not·to·be·stolen) ." NetNewsCheck. Mard 28,2011. 22. Newspaper Association of America. Trends and Numbers (http://www.naa.org/Trends·and·Numbers.aspx) • 23. Newspaper Association of America. Trends and Numbers (http://www.naa.org/Trends·and·Numbers.aspx) • 24. Various company reports. UBS Media Investment Conference. Dec. 8-10, 2012. 25. MarkingCharts.com. "US Online Ad Spend to Grow 23.3% in 2012 (http://www.marketingcharts.comldirect/internet· advertising·revenues·continue·growth·20257!) ." Dec. 5, 2012. 26. Doctor, Ken. "The Newsonomics of 2012's Magic Formula (http://www.niemanlab.org/2011/12/the·newsonomics·of.the· maglc·formula·for·20121) ." Nieman Journalism Lab. Dec. 19, 2011. 27. Humenik, John. Presentation at Key Executives Conference. St. Petersburg, Fla. Feb. 22, 2011. 28. comScore press release. "comScore Introduces Validated Campaign Essentials (http://www.comscore.comlPress_Events/Press_Releases/201211/comScore_1 ntroduces_VaUdated_Campaign_Essentials) ." Jan. 1! 2012. htIp:l/stateofthemeds.orgI2012froeNspapers-buildirg-digital-"........-praws-painfully-slowi 22124 N..... papers: Buildirg Digi1al R.......... Prlll<lS PainfullySiowl Slate of Page the Media24 of 25 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-2 Filed 06/30/14 612712014 29. BorreU, Gordon. "Budgeting for 2012." Borrell Associates. Nov. 2011. 30. Audit Bureau of Circulations. Email to co·author Edmonds. Jan. 9, 2012. 31. Rick Edmonds' estimate based on various company earnings reports, Jan. and Feb. 2012. 32. Pew Research Center for the People a the Press. "Americans Spend More Time FoUowing the News (http://www.people·press.org/2010/09/121americans·spending·more·time·folbwing·the·news/) ." Sept. 12, 2010. 33. Newspaper Association of America. Trends and Numbers (http://www.naa.org/Trends·and·Nun"bers.aspx) • 2010 and 2011 numbers are Rick Edmonds' estimates. 34. Olmstead, Kenny; Mitchell, Amy and Rosenstiel, Tom. "Navigating News Online (http://www.journatism.org/analysisJeport/navigatinLnews_ontine) ." PEJ. May 9, 2011. 35. Boardman, David. Email to co· author Edmonds. Feb. 23, 2012. 36. Newspaper Association of America. Trends and Numbers (http://www.naa.org/Trends·and·Nun"bers.aspx) . 37. Fourth quarter and fuU year earnings releases. Jan. and Feb. 2012. 38. Yahoo Finance (http://finance.yahoo.coml) . 39. Dirks, Van Essen a Murray. "4th Quarter 2011 (http://www.dirksvanessen.comlarticles/view/170/4th·quarter·20111) ." Dec 31, 2012. 40. Hamilton, Walter; Hsu, Tiffany and Perry Tony. "Developer Buys San Diego Paper (http://articles.latimes.coml2011/nov/18/business/la·fi·union·tribune·20111118) ." Los Angeles Times. Nov. 18, 2011. 41. Dirks, Van Essen a Murray. "4th Quarter 2011 (http://www.dirksvanessen.comlarticleslview/170/4th·quarter·2OIl/) ." Dec 31, 2012. 42. Sass, Erik. "Tribune Bankruptcy Battle Continues (http://www.mediapost.com/pubtications/articIe/165765/tribunes· bankruptcy·battles·continue.htrrl) ." Media Daily News. Jan. 13. 2012. 43. Edmonds, Rick. "ASNE Newsroom Census Reflects Decline in Traditional Jobs, Growth Online (http://www.poynter .org/latest·news/business·news/the·biz·blog/130184/why·no·change·in·asne·newsroorn-census·is·good·news·fol the·industry/) ." Poynter. May 5, 2011. 44. MuUins, Richard. "165 Layoffs Underway at Tampa Tribune, Sister Papers (http://www2.tbo.comlnews/business/2011/ dec/l21165·layoffs·under·way·at·tampa·tribune·sister·pape·ar ·3338461) • " Tampa Tribune. Dec. 13, 2011. 45. American Society of News Editors. "Total and Minority Newsroom Employment Declines in 2011 but Loss Continues to Stabi lize (http://asne.org/Article_Viewl Articlel d/2499/Total·and·minority·newsroorn-employment·dectines·in·2011·but·ioss· continues·to·stabiUze.aspx) ." ASNE.org. April 4, 2012. htIp:l/stateoftherneda.orgI2012froeNspapers·buildirg·digital·"........·praws-painfully-slowi 23124 612712014 N..... papers: Buildirg Digi1al R.......... Prlll<lS PainfullySiowl Slate of Page the Media25 of 25 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-2 Filed 06/30/14 46. Waldman, Steven. "The Information Needs of Communities (http://transition.fcc.gov/osp/inc· reportlThe_1 nforrnatio"-Needs_oCConmmities.pdf) ." Federal Communications Commission. June 9, 2011. 47. Hoagland, Julie. "New Company, MLive Media Group, Formed to Carry Booth Newspapers, MLive.com to the Next Era of News (http://www.rrlive.comlnews/index.ssfl2011/11/new_corrpany_rrlive_medilUlroup.htni) ." The Grand Rapids Press. Nov. 2, 2011. 48. Filloux, Frederic. "The Publisher's Dilemma (http://www.mondaynote.coml2011/02l27/the·pubUshers·dilerrmal) ." Monday Note. Feb. 27, 2011. 49. Edmonds, Rick. "An Online Rescue for Newspapers (http://www.poynter.org/uncategorized/30767/an·onUne·rescue·for· newpapersl) ?" Poynter. Jan. 27, 2005. 50. Doctor, Ken. "The Newsonomics of Anton Chekhov (http://www.niernanlab.org/2011/11/the·newsononics·of·anton·chekhov, ." Nieman Journalism Lab. Nov. 10, 2011. htIp:l/stataofthemeda.orgI2012froeNspapers·buildirg·digital·"........·prows-painfully-slowi 24124 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-3 Filed 06/30/14 Page 1 of 6 Exhibit C FabUOlB 15: The Top Olglllll Mecla InnU111"1C81'8 Magazine Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-3 Filed- ECOI'UIi 06/30/14 Page 2 of 6 6f27flO14 Jobo SubHrllllto lIagut.. ........ ... " Brought to you by Connot ate • ' 'I Home Columns Articles Topics Videos Resources Researdl Events Subscribe Aboot Fabulous 15: The Top Digital Media Influencers The Conlenl .--, ,--, M"rji McClure May 21, 2012 M"y 2012 Issue Like 811_ 0 D S ~~II[ 11 _ 8_ c:onn.ctwlth ECOnt.nt The digital medl" Industry continues to evolve, In part because of the people who have devoted their time iIInd expertise to adVollncinll the technology and the content that It powers. When we IIsked Industry experts who they felt were the 15 most influential people In digital media, we expected to receive " range of responses. And th"t', wh"t we got. 0 0 tl e ~ontent These Influencers have created opportunity for themselves and others within the digitilll medill industry. BIIrry Gr1!IIubllrt, lIuthor of the Content Matters blog, SillYS thllt when he made his nominations, he "tried to Identli')' people who are Influendng behaYlor and changing the roles of digital media companies." Dart <)Tlne conversation The top 15 digital media Influencers we feature here represent all aspects of the space, from the technology that enables the medlll to the content providers who use the technology as a plilltl'onn. We iIIlso recognize the educators, the reseilll'dlers, and the Innovators who continue to advance digital media through their knowledge and know-how. stay up to date on the latest news and trends THE ECONTENT BUZZ Steve lobs, Co-Founder and CEO, Apple SOdety's use of digital content was undoubtedly boosted by the Invention of deVices such as the IPhone and the IPad, both of which enable users to "ccess content wherever ind whenever they need it. While lobs died in 2011, his impact on the digitl!ll medil!l Spl!lce will have 10ng-ll!Isting e1'l'ects. When people think of digital content, especially mobile digital content, they likely think of Jobs. "The IPhone remains the seminal product that denned how we view mobile content today: says lohn Blossom, president iIInd senior "nilllyst at Shore CommunlCilitlons, Inc. "Job, made premium content IIttr1!llctive to consumers in the digitilll wortd on a widespreilld basis when others were stili In the plennlng stages for better premium 01'l'er1ngs. Media models may move on from online storefronts eventually, but for now Jobs' vision has enabled digital medii to thrive In ways unilTlllginilible II few yellr5 ago." Entravlslon Communications Corporation Acquires Pulpo Media IBM Delivers New Big D\!Ib!I Cillpllbillties On IBM Cloud Marketplace TreSensll Launches Mobile GrIme Feed Nest Continues to Expand with Developer Pletfonn SoOIalSili IntroduCEIl Compllillnt Cloud Document Shar1ng Through ErTICIll DlgITrust Launches Industry-Wide Collaboration to Build Technology Solutions Content Marketing Institute Acquires Intelligent Content Conference Jeff Bezos, Founder and CEO, Amazon Ebooks have been II part of the digital media space for years. But It took a long time for them to truly become part of the culturallilndscape. Blossom credits Bezos and the Kindle for making ebooks Pillrt of rTIiIinstreilim mediill iIInd iIIdVollnang digitilll medii! to previously unknown levels. "Ebooks were nothing new when tha AmoIzon Kindle dlgltilll reader Ciln.. "long, but with more than a decade of online marketing genius already in place behind its selling of print books and other digital media, Bezos laid the cornerstone of the online digital revolution for book publishers," says Blossom. "The Kindle made It easy to discover, evaluate and purchase ebooks from ill wide villriety of publishers, including self-publishing IIUthOrs who muld upload their own content Into Amazon's online storefront." Blossom credits Bezos with Increasing sales ot ebooks to Kindle. The Kindle quickly evolved Into more than a simple ebook reader. The Kindle Rre, which launched In lete 2011, was Inmedletely Identified liS II competitor to Apple's IPlid. "Bezos'lnnovilitIva approillches hllw enllbled Amllzon to keep Its digital musde lind to have leverage over pr1nt publishers as no other online outlet can comlTlllnd," says Blossom. Amazon has become a multimedia content dlstr1butor, using Its Kindle devices to stream content from rTICIjor networ1t and Cilble television mmpanles. Seal Software Raises $4 Million SAGE Launches Resource of Interactive SOcilll SCience Do", ADAM Software Signs Strategic Alliance with Sitecore MOST POPULAR Integrating BI and MI for Big Data Decision Milking SAGE Launches Resource of Interactive Soclal5clence Do"' Publishing In the Cloud: Tlps for Publishers on Milldng the Transition U.S. Senillte Pillylng Attention to Mi/llwilre M"tters: TIghter Regulcltlons M"y Be Coming TreSensll Launches Mobile Game Feed htlpJ/vMw.eca iIti 1b'1IIIQ .oonfArticleslEditcriallFeriJlIIe{FabUous-15-The-Top-Dig ital-Mecla-lriluencers-82375.htm 1/5 6'27/3)14 F.tUOUI 15: n. Top DlgllIII M«h ~uu:eu Magm:lr. Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-3 Filed- EConIenI 06/30/14 Page 3 of 6 Mark Zuckerberg, CEO, Facebook ZUckerberg needs no Introdu<:l:lon. In ~ short per1ud of tllTll!, Fembook h~s helped sh~pe wht dlgltlll snd sodsllT1l!dls SI1! todsy. 'With $1 bililan In net IncalTll!, ~ mililan comlTll!nts posted eVl!ry two minutes, nd mol1! thsn 3 billion photos upla~ded per month, It's s~fi!! to s~y th~t Fecebook has changed the Internet," says Graubart. "He's I prodigy and I Ylslonary In the saciallTll!dia spael!, Ind he literally built the makl fursodi!ll _dia calTWTUnities as we know them taday," u,. Lynn Russo Whylly, en editorilll consultant who hIS reportl!ld on the digitll _dia industry fur 20 years. FaCllbook Is used as I corrmunlcatlan taol tar bath bUllness Ind pieIIUI"II. Graubart lees the sodal _dla platform as I ,trong channel tar publishers In the fUtul"II. 'With the Open Graph and the promise of paying with FBOIIbaokaedlt&, publishers Will soon lee Facebookas I atIIcal plalformtarthelr content,' nys Gl'llubart. Blossom nates how ZUc:kerberg 'lIIshloned the wortd's IiIrgelt loclill media empll"ll out of content that no rredla coll1lany Cllred about·and then IIIiInaged to flgura out how to manetlzeit ell'ad:lvaly betare anyone OIlse did. FBoabook gnaw one tweak at a time, laamlng by ~ten~gOls I: went along-lllnd llliilnaging to keep Its socllllsignais to Itself In the prooass. Whena AOL I'ilIled, Faoabook sua:eeded In creating a wallild ganlen tar evaryday peopla on the Web." • Subscribe FREE Today. Larry Page, Co-Founder and CEO, Google Pige can be tTl!dltl!d with helping to lTIiIe digital content mare organized and eaalerto lind. "'The PlgeRsnk slgorlthrrs nSlNld sfter [P~gel point to his semln~1 role In transfunnlng the World Wide Web IhIm I loose hodge-podge of digital content souroes Into ~n Integrated Infurmatkln resoun;e thst billions of people 11!fi!!l1!nl;l! every d~y tar ~nswers to their problems ~nd fur enterta-'lNlnt snd pel"5onlll;Orrmunlcatlons," NYI' Blln$Om. 'P~geRsnk w~s the first online content orgsnlzatlon tool which rel;Ognlzed th~t hyperllnks In web cantent pointing to other InfurmatiDn resources were Iiso I mIIp of how the web w~s relev~nt to the people publllhing on It." Blossom nat\!!s how Psge Is now Indlng Gaogle's sociallTll!!dlll endeavor, Gaogle+. "Be I: via the web orYia Its Android Or ChrolTll!! OS mobile mmputlng piatfUrms Ind Gaogle's autonomous vahide experi_ntl, Plge i. setting thl pace fura widerlnd mal"ll pervasive Prl!lsenoe of the web In Our liveS," adds Blossom. Andy Carvin, Senior strategist,. Social Media Desk, NPR Grlubart vlewl Carvin . . . dlgltll media Influenoartar his Innovative use ofTwltter. Ca1'Wlls ~ charge afNPR's sodalllllldia InitiativeS, using bath Twltterand Faoabook to commun1catlo on thl news organization', behalf. "Andy Carvin's Glacarvln twlttlr .treamwas probably thl Intannatlon servo mal"ll journalstll and _dla professionals relied upon tar Intannatlon lbout the Arilb Spring than Iny othlr," lays Grlubart. "He leVl!raged Twitter In new ways, retweetlngloml Egyptian and TUnislilln loun;el, helping mile the world awal1! otthese events.' John Paton, CEO, Digital First Media Piton hn 1I;I;OII1lllShed I lot to ensure th~t news~pers-tradltkln~llTII!dlll-QIn thr1lle In ilIn IntTl!ulngly dlgltllily bued world, Implementing ~ 'digital first' ITIIIntra tow~nI news Pill per publishing. Dlgltsll;Ontent Is stop pr1urtty befure wonls ever ~ppe~r In print. DlgltIl First Medls I;Onslsts of Digital FI"t ventures, NedlllNews Group ~nd lDum~1 Rl!glster COll1lsny. In sll, the I;OlI1lsnln h~VI! mure th~n 800 digital ~nd onlln .. offiorlngs. "While newspspe" l;Ont!nu .. to snn::h fur ill mudel th~t can wortc, P~ton's Digital First Ippro~dl, fucus~g on the web snd .....blle while using Inexpensive, off-the-shelf publishing tools, h~s returned the lDurnal Rl!glster to profitability," says Graubert. Paton talks about the mnnectlan between newspapers and digital media in hi. blog, Digital First. Tim O'Reilly, Founder and CEO, O'Reilly Media, Inc, O'RllIlIy'I coll1lany has changed with the times and has become I IOlid onnne publisher. O'RII_ 1iIp:I-"--1LU'1.. lbl .... aJll"iArti~...".lIIU-.'FabJcx..15- n.. Top-Digital-M".lnII~II2375.1*n '" 612712014 FaI1Jlrus 15: The Top Digital Mada Inlluencers Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-3 Filed- ECallentMagazine 06/30/14 Page 4 of 6 helped guide the company from its beginnings as a technology book publisher into a multimedia publishing channel. RO'Reilly has experimented and succeeded with pre-release content access, aoss-platform content accessibility, subscription book access and by-the-chapter content purdlases," says Blossom. "He saw book publishing as a process, not an end product, and learned how to engage audiences as an active component In the aeatlon of high-quality online media. His ability to attract the digital media industry's leading and emerging thinkers to his many events ensures that O'Reilly Is always on the rutting edge ofthe next great thing that will drive content forward," "TIm [O'Reilly] has been an early adopter and a vocal advocate for constant innovation in the book publishing space/ adds Graubart. RMost Importantly, O'Reilly Media has always eaten Its own dog food, embracing openness and innovation. n Rupert Murdoch, Founder, Chairman and CEO, News Corp. News Corp. Is a strong media property with assets In television, film, and publishing. Among those properties are Fox News Channel, Fox Television Studios, Dow Jones &. Co., and The Wall Street Journal. Murdoch has led the company's evolution as a multimedia digital content provider. "Love him or hate him, Murdodl has been a relentless seeker of ways to make digital media work for news organizations in ways that preserve some of the best ideas of print media," says Blossom, noting the success of The Dally app on IPads and IPhones. nHls takeover of Dow Jones has challenged that organization to develop more innovative approadles to business news media, whilst maintaining a freemlum approach to building web traffic that was pioneering In Its own time and still proving valuable today,n adds Blossom. Rishad Tobaccowala, Chief Strategy and Innovation Officer, VivaKi VivaKi, which is part of Publicis Groupe, comprises digital specialist agendes Digitas and Razorflsh, as well as media communications companies Starcom Mediavest Group and ZenithOptimedia. Tobaccowala helps his dients become successful in their endeavors in the digital media space. "Rishad was an early leader in figuring out digital media and helping clients and conference attendees understand how to use It and measure It," says Russo Whylly. Joseph Jaffe, founder and partner of Evol8tion, LLC, dassifies Tobaccowala as a "disruptor, visionary, provocateur" with a "corporate platfonn and podium, on a globallevel. R Jeff Jarvis, Author, Blogger and Educator Jarvis is the author of Public Parts: How Sharing in the Digital Age Improves the Way We Work and Live and What Would Google Do? He is also a media blogger at BuzzMachine. Jarvis serves the academic world as an associate professor and director of the Tow-Knight Center for Entrepreneurial Journalism at the City University of New York's Graduate School of Journalism. He also does consulting work for a variety of media companies. Through all of these endeavors, Jarvis helps provide education and insight into the digital media world. Jaffe refers to Jarvis as na media scholar and bridge between the old mainstream/established publisher InaJmbency and the new world of journalism, content creation, and influence." David Weinberger, Author Weinberger has helped educate the business world on the value of digital media through a series of books: The Ouetrain Manifesto, Everything Is Miscellaneous, and Too Big to Know. Weinberger spent 20 years as a marketing consultant, and he cummtly writes Joho the Blog. "As one of the authors of The Ouetrain Manifesto, Weinberger helped to coin many of the fundamental concepts of what makes digital media and ecommerce work on the web," says Blossom. In Everything Is Miscellaneous, Weinberger addresses digital search as an effective way In which to organize content, adds Blossom, noting that Too Big to Know "helps us to understand the value of learning how to have assurance In an era In which an abundance of conflicting sources oflnfonnatlon dlallenge us to understand what the truth is in a multi-dimensional world of digital media." Arianna Huffington, President and Editor-In-Chief of the htIp:ltv.wN.eca1IenImag.carlArliclasJEdi1DriallFe&tureIFabulrus-15-The-Top-Digital-Media-lniluencers-82375.hIm 3/5 6'27/3)14 F.tUOUI 15: n. Top Olglllll M«h ~uu:eu Magm:lr. Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-3 Filed- EConIenI 06/30/14 Page 5 of 6 Huffington Post Media Group, AOL,. Inc, Befo... Joining forces with AOL, Hufflngton made her nalTll! In dlgltallTll!dlll as the founder of The Hufffngton Ptlst, a news and blog websb. AOL acqul ... d Jhf! HufflngtDn AIst In early' 2011. 'A year alter Its acquisition by AOL, Jhf! Hufllngton Post has rnal'l! than 36 million unique rnanthly visitors, and reO!!ive. mare than 6 million mrTml!!nts each ITIDnth. HuflPost ha. mmpletely revolutionized the mntent aggregation madel," illYI' Graubart. Site visitors an!! drawn to HufW1rat by a variety of contant topiCl authored by. ranga of subjl!ld: matter axperts. It is an aggn!!gatiDn ITIDdelthat is followed and en-ulated by mIIny, providing. ona-stop shop fl:Ir content that ITIDst onr.ne users demand today. Om Malik, Founder and Senior Writer, GlgaON Malik Is I veteran wrtter covertng technology, with bylines at Fortles.c:om, RIId Herring, and Business 2.0. In February 2012, GlgaOM extended Its ruch with the acquisition ofpaldContant, which covers the digital media spaoe. The deal gave GlgaOM ownel'1lhlp of Content Next Media, Inc., thUi broildenlng th. scope of GlgaOM's content. 'One otthe eilrly dlgltill medii bloggers and alTlDng the 1'I:lw nlmalnlnglndependent, GlgaOM has rall1llned raleVllnt, ilnd now Is poind to bilcolTIII an aven bigger player, acqulrtng paldContant,' iays GlnIubilrt. Geoff Ramsey, CEO and Co-Founder, eMarketer, Inc, RliIl1II'ey, Iiong with Terry Chabrowe and Sam AIrstad, founded eMarketer, which hillS evoived ~to an organization that tn!ldc5 trends In the digital marketing spaCll!. eMarketer's guldano;e helps COll1'anles be ma'" successti.ll with their digital marketing Initlatllles. 'GI!off, aiong with his two co-founders, created order out of the chaos that was dlgltallTll!dla I'I!search with the launch of eMarketer,' says Russo Whylly. 'By pulling .11 Industry I'I!sults together at ill tllTll! when the top ... searchers dlsag ... ed on everything from deflnltions to pl'I!dlctions, eMarketer built b bn!lnd fht by noting the VlIrtanCll!s and explaining them, then by giving Its own estimates, the ...by COll1'e~g with Its research partners.' Rob DeMilio, era of Ravlslon3 DoIMIllO desel'Vlls the honor III • top dlgltlll medII Innuenoer, aooording to lBn Ozer, editor of Streaming Leamlng Centlr Ind. streaming oonauitant. Rl!vlsion3, an Intemat television network, launched the nnt vldeo-ortented websltl to operate on an HTML5 platform, tranlltion~g from Flash. Tha ooll1'any Iiso oll'l!lnl video app that operates on Android phones and tablets, a. wei IS GoogleTV. In an artlde for stnlamlng Medlllllilgulna, Ozar notes how Rsvlslan3 has been able to oonned: with users IcroSS a fIInge of channels, 'not only on their PCs but on mabllls, ~ In-nlght entertainment systell"B, lind on 1V5 via devices like Roku, Xbox 360, and Sony PS3.' There's no queltlon that then Inftuenoers, and ooUntlel1 othen, have tlilnsformed the dlgltill media Industry Into what It II today. Industrywatmen and digital media usel'1l ahe w. await their next InnOVlltiOni and oontrtbutlonl to the fteld as they shape the future of digital media. Iii!! AIao poIton F..,..book 1iIp:I-"'--..... I.. lbl .... aJlT"iAr1i~..."...u.'F.tIJcx..15- n.. Top-Digital-M".lnII~II2375.1*n .. 6'2712014 Fabulous 15: The Top Digital Media Innuarv;:ars Magazine Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-3 Filed- ECcriarj 06/30/14 Page 6 of 6 E Topics Content Commel'Ol!l Mobile Content, Tablets, Apps All Content Copyright Cl199S - 2014 Content Creation Online Video InfolTTlilltion Today Inc::. Content Delivery Premium Content services 143 Old Marlton PII«! Medford, Nl 08055 Otiwr S. . from ~rll'llltion TocI.y Diltilbase Trends and Appllc;:;;ltlons Destination CRM Faulkner Information services InfoToday.mm InfoToday Europe Content Distribution Privacy Issues Intnnets Today (609) 654-6266, (800) 300-9868 Fax (GOg) 654-4309 c::us1;serv@llnfotoday./XIm Content M,lnilgement Sc;1-tedl, Medbll, Acilderrk Publishing rnRasaard'l.CXlm Content Marketing Search, SED and SEM Content 5eau1tv SOcial Media and Corrmunltres PRIVACY ICOOKIES POLICY Digital Mllrketlng Web services Digital Publishing Medill Business News and Trands Sponsored Links hllp:/I\wN,/,eca illilll ib tlllg.contArllcleeJEdllcr1a1lFeaIu'af'atU0u&-15-The-Top-ClgllaI-Madla-lnftuencera-8237S.htm KMWorid IntemetOSchools ONUNE 5eard'ler Magazine OnllneVldeo.net Smart Customer Service Speech Technology Streaming Media StreClmlng Med"" Europe streaming Media Producer Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-4 Filed 06/30/14 Page 1 of 4 Exhibit D Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-4 Filed 06/30/14 Page 2 of 4 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-4 Filed 06/30/14 Page 3 of 4 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-4 Filed 06/30/14 Page 4 of 4 Note: Numbers in some cases do not add due to rounding. Source: Newspaper Association of America, 04/13 NATIONAL Year $Millions RETAIL %Change $Millions DAILY & SUNDAY NEWSPAPER PRINT TOTAL CLASSIFIED %Change $Millions %Change $Millions %Change NEWSPAPER DIGITAL ADVERTISING COMBINED DAILY & SUNDAY NEWSPAPER PRINT & ONLINE TOTAL Niche Publications, Direct Marketing & Non-Daily Publication Advertising $Millions $Millions $Millions %Change %Change %Change GRAND TOTAL ADVERTISING $Millions %Change 2012 $3,335 -11.7% $10,984 -7.6% $4,626 -8.0% $18,931 -8.5% $3,370 3.7% $22,314 -6.8% $2,900 -2.2% $25,316 -6.5% 2011 $3,777 -10.5% $11,887 -8.0% $5,028 -11.0% $20,692 -9.2% $3,249 6.8% $23,941 -7.3% $3,000 NA $27,078 NA NATIONAL $Millions RETAIL %Change $Millions DAILY & SUNDAY NEWSPAPER PRINT TOTAL CLASSIFIED %Change $Millions %Change $Millions %change NEWSPAPER DIGITAL ADVERTISING $Millions %change COMBINED DDAILY & SUNDAY NEWSPAPER PRINT & ONLINE TOTAL $Millions %Change 2010 $4,221 -4.6% $12,926 -9.1% $5,648 -8.6% $22,795 -8.2% $3,042 10.9% $25,838 -6.3% 2009 $4,424 -26.2% $14,218 -24.2% $6,179 -38.1% $24,821 -28.6% $2,743 -11.8% $27,564 -27.2% 2008 $5,996 -14.4% $18,769 -10.7% $9,975 -29.7% $34,740 -17.7% $3,109 -1.8% $37,848 -16.6% 2007 $7,005 -6.7% $21,018 -5.0% $14,186 -16.5% $42,209 -9.4% $3,166 18.8% $45,375 -7.9% 2006 $7,505 -5.1% $22,121 -0.3% $16,986 -1.9% $46,611 -1.7% $2,664 31.4% $49,275 -0.3% 2005 $7,910 -2.2% $22,187 0.8% $17,312 4.2% $47,408 1.5% $2,027 31.5% $49,435 2.5% 2004 $8,083 3.7% $22,012 3.1% $16,608 5.1% $46,703 3.9% $1,541 26.7% $48,244 4.5% 2003 $7,797 8.1% $21,341 1.7% $15,801 -0.6% $44,939 1.9% $1,216 2002 $7,210 2.9% $20,994 1.5% $15,898 -4.3% $44,102 -0.5% 2001 $7,004 -8.5% $20,679 -3.4% $16,622 -15.2% $44,305 -9.0% 2000 $7,653 13.7% $21,409 2.4% $19,608 5.1% $48,670 1999 $6,732 17.7% $20,907 2.8% $18,650 4.3% $46,289 5.4% 1998 $5,721 7.7% $20,331 5.7% $17,873 6.6% $43,925 6.3% 1997 $5,315 13.9% $19,242 4.9% $16,773 11.3% $41,330 8.5% 1996 $4,667 9.8% $18,344 1.4% $15,065 9.6% $38,075 5.5% 1995 $4,251 2.5% $18,099 3.4% $13,742 10.3% 1994 $4,149 7.7% $17,496 3.8% $12,464 11.7% $34,109 7.0% 1993 $3,853 0.5% $16,859 5.1% $11,157 3.7% $31,869 4.0% 1992 $3,834 -2.3% $16,041 1.3% $10,764 1.7% $30,639 1.0% 1991 $3,924 -4.8% $15,839 -4.9% $10,587 -8.0% $30,349 -6.0% 1990 $4,122 4.4% $16,652 0.9% $11,506 -3.5% $32,280 -0.3% 1989 $3,948 3.3% $16,504 4.5% $11,916 2.9% $32,368 3.8% 1988 $3,821 2.6% $15,790 4.0% $11,586 10.1% $31,197 1987 $3,494 3.5% $15,227 6.4% $10,691 14.9% $29,412 9.0% 1986 $3,376 0.7% $14,311 6.5% $9,303 11.1% $26,990 7.2% 1985 $3,352 8.8% $13,443 5.2% $8,375 9.4% $25,170 7.0% 1984 $3,081 12.7% $12,784 8.0% $7,657 27.5% $23,522 14.3% 1983 $2,734 11.5% $11,841 14.0% $6,006 23.8% $20,581 1982 $2,452 8.6% $10,390 7.3% $4,852 5.9% $17,694 7.1% 1981 $2,258 15.0% $9,686 12.5% $4,583 8.6% $16,527 11.7% 1980 $1,963 10.9% $8,609 9.7% $4,222 -0.6% $14,794 6.7% 1979 $1,770 14.9% $7,845 11.7% $4,248 16.4% $13,863 13.5% 1978 $1,541 4.7% $7,023 12.5% $3,649 20.1% $12,213 13.6% 1977 $1,472 9.7% $6,241 10.1% $3,038 16.5% $10,751 11.8% 1976 $1,342 21.0% $5,668 14.1% $2,608 20.8% $9,618 16.8% 1975 $1,109 0.4% $4,966 8.8% $2,159 -0.7% $8,234 5.0% 1974 $1,105 5.3% $4,563 7.5% $2,174 -0.6% $7,842 4.8% 1973 $1,049 -1.2% $4,245 7.1% $2,187 14.3% $7,481 7.8% 1972 $1,062 9.3% $3,964 11.2% $1,913 17.4% $6,939 12.5% 1971 $972 9.1% $3,565 8.3% $1,630 7.2% $6,167 8.1% 1970 $891 -5.5% $3,292 4.0% $1,521 -5.2% $5,704 -0.2% 1969 $943 6.1% $3,166 8.5% $1,605 12.7% $5,714 9.2% 1968 $889 5.1% $2,919 5.8% $1,424 9.2% $5,232 6.6% 1967 $846 -4.6% $2,760 4.3% $1,304 -2.2% $4,910 0.9% 1966 $887 13.3% $2,645 8.9% $1,333 9.8% $4,865 9.9% 1965 $783 1.3% $2,429 3.6% $1,214 21.0% $4,426 7.4% 1964 $773 10.1% $2,344 6.0% $1,003 15.7% $4,120 9.0% 1963 $702 -2.8% $2,211 5.1% $867 4.7% $3,780 3.3% 1962 $722 -3.0% $2,103 2.4% $834 3.7% $3,659 1.6% 1961 $744 -4.4% $2,053 -2.2% $804 0.1% $3,601 -2.2% 1960 $778 0.5% $2,100 4.3% $803 8.8% $3,681 4.4% 1959 $774 6.9% $2,014 11.8% $738 13.5% $3,526 11.0% 1958 $724 -4.7% $1,802 -1.8% $650 -2.3% $3,176 -2.8% 1957 $738 0.8% $1,835 1.5% $665 0.6% $3,268 1.4% 1956 $768 5.9% $1,808 3.0% $661 8.4% $3,223 4.7% 1955 $712 17.3% $1,755 14.0% $610 13.2% $3,077 14.6% 1954 $607 0.2% $1,539 5.8% $539 -5.6% $2,685 2.0% 1953 $606 12.8% $1,455 3.1% $571 10.7% $2,632 1952 $537 1.5% $1,411 12.1% $516 11.4% $2,464 9.5% 1951 $529 2.1% $1,259 7.1% $463 22.8% $2,251 8.7% 1950 $518 11.9% $1,175 6.3% $377 9.9% $2,070 8.3% Note: Numbers are rounded. Source: Newspaper Association of America, 04/13 $36,092 5.1% 5.8% 6.1% 16.3% 6.8% $46,156 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-5 Filed 06/30/14 Page 1 of 29 Exhibit E Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-5 Filed 06/30/14 Page 2 of 29 www.pwc.com www.iab.net IAB internet advertising revenue report 2013 full year results April 2014 An industry survey conducted by PwC and sponsored by the Interactive Advertising Bureau (IAB) Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-5 Filed 06/30/14 Page 3 of 29 Table of Contents Background ...................................................................................................................................................................... 3 Executive summary ......................................................................................................................................................... 4 Detailed findings .............................................................................................................................................................. 6 Historical trends ...................................................................................................................................................... 7 Ad formats ............................................................................................................................................................. 12 Industries............................................................................................................................................................... 15 Pricing models ........................................................................................................................................................17 Advertising market share ...................................................................................................................................... 19 Appendix ........................................................................................................................................................................ 22 PwC Page 2 of 28 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-5 Filed 06/30/14 Page 4 of 29 Background About the IAB internet advertising revenue report Conducted by PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP (“PwC”) on an ongoing basis, with results released quarterly, the “IAB Internet Advertising Revenue Report” was initiated by the Interactive Advertising Bureau (IAB) in 1996. This report utilizes data and information reported directly to PwC, publicly available online corporate data, and information provided by online ad selling companies. The results reported are considered the most accurate measurement of internet/online/mobile advertising revenues because much of the data is compiled directly from information supplied by companies selling advertising online. All-inclusive, the report includes data reflecting online advertising revenues from websites, commercial online services, ad networks and exchanges, mobile devices, and e-mail providers, as well as other companies selling online advertising. The report is conducted independently by PwC on behalf of the IAB. PwC does not audit the information and provides no opinion or other form of assurance with respect to the information. Only aggregate results are published and individual company information is held in strict confidence with PwC. Further details regarding scope and methodology are provided in the appendix to this report. David Silverman PwC PwC Page 3 of 28 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-5 Filed 06/30/14 Page 5 of 29 Executive summary 'IAB internet advertising revenue report' 2013 full year highlights Internet advertising revenues (“revenues”) in the United States totaled $42.8 billion for the full year of 2013, with Q4 2013 accounting for approximately $12.1 billion and Q3 2013 accounting for approximately $10.6 billion. Revenues for the full year of 2013 increased 17% over 2012. Key trends underlying 2013 results Revenues increase 17% in FY 2013 — Internet advertising revenues in the United States totaled $12.1 billion in the fourth quarter of 2013, an increase of 14% from the 2013 third-quarter total of $10.6 billion and an increase of 17% from the 2012 fourth-quarter total of $10.3 billion. 2013 full year internet advertising revenues totaled $42.78 billion, up 17% from the $36.57 billion reported in 2012. “The news that interactive has outperformed broadcast television should come as no surprise. It speaks to the power that digital screens have in reaching and engaging audiences. In that same vein, the triple-digit growth of mobile is clearly a direct response to how smaller digital screens play an integral role in consumers' lives throughout the day, as well as their critical importance to cross-screen experiences.” — Randall Rothenberg, President and CEO, IAB Mobile advertising increases 110% in FY 2013 — Mobile advertising in the United States totaled $7.1 billion during FY 2013, a 110% increase from the prior year total of $3.4 billion. “Our survey confirms that we are fully in transition to the post-desktop era. Triple-digit advertising revenue growth from mobile devices contrasted the more tepid 8% growth from traditional computer screens. This is simply a reflection of the change in how and where consumers are viewing their information -- on the go!” — David Silverman, Partner, PwC PwC Page 4 of 28 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-5 Filed 06/30/14 Page 6 of 29 Annual revenues show strong growth 2012 vs. 2013, in billions 17.0% $42.78 $36.57 Annual revenues for 2013 totaled $42.8 billion, $6.2 billion (or 17.0%) higher than in 2012. FY 2012 FY 2013 Source: IAB/PwC Internet Ad Revenue Report, 2013 PwC Page 5 of 28 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-5 Filed 06/30/14 Page 7 of 29 Detailed findings Revenues total a record $12.1 billion in Q4 2013 Total 2013 fourth quarter revenues broke the prior quarter record of $10.6 billion set in the third quarter of 2013 by $1.5 billion. Fourth quarter 2013 revenues were $1.8 billion (17.5%) higher than in the fourth quarter of 2012. Q4 12 vs. Q4 13 ($ billions) 17.5% Q3 13 vs. Q4 13 ($ billions) $12.11 $10.31 Q4 12 Q4 13 Source: IAB/PwC Internet Ad Revenue Report, 2013 PwC 14.1% $12.11 $10.61 Q3 13 Q4 13 Page 6 of 28 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-5 Filed 06/30/14 Page 8 of 29 Historical annual revenue trends Revenue continues strong growth in 2013 2013 annual revenues increased on a year-over-year percentage and dollar basis. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the past ten years for internet advertising of 18% has outpaced U.S. current dollar GDP growth of 4%* over that period. Since 2010, internet advertising growth was fueled by a 123% CAGR in Mobile (compared to 12% growth in nonMobile revenue). Annual revenue 2004-2013 ($ billions) 42.8 Non-Mobile Mobile 36.6 O 18% ve r al GR l CA 31.7 123% Mobile CAGR 7.1 12% Non-mobile CAGR 3.4 1.6 26.0 23.4 21.2 22.7 16.9 12.5 30.1 9.6 21.2 23.4 22.7 2008 2009 33.2 35.7 25.4 16.9 9.6 2004 12.5 2005 2006 2007 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: IAB/PwC Internet Ad Revenue Report, 2013 * Source for GDP growth: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, “Table 1.1.5. Gross Domestic Product,” (accessed March 31, 2013) PwC Page 7 of 28 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-5 Filed 06/30/14 Page 9 of 29 Historical quarterly revenue trends Quarterly growth continues upward trend Internet advertising continued to build on the momentum from 2012. Over the past four years we have seen a clear seasonal trend of strong fourth quarter revenue followed by a first quarter dip. Despite the seasonal dip, first quarter revenues have outpaced the prior year's third quarter since 2010. Quarterly revenue growth trends 1996-2013 ($ billions) $14 $12 $12 Q4 2013 revenues crossed $12 billion for the first time $10 $8 $6 $4 $2 $0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: IAB/PwC Internet Ad Revenue Report, 2013 PwC Page 8 of 28 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-5 Filed 06/30/14 Page 10 of 29 Historical revenue mix – first half vs. second half Second-half revenues reach $22.7 billion Second-half revenues totaled $22.7 billion in 2013, an increase of $3.2 billion from second-half revenues of 2012, which totaled $19.5 billion. Second-half revenues in 2013 represented 53% of total revenues in 2013, consistent with numbers reported in 2012 and consistent with the broader trend of higher revenues in the second-half of each year. The historically higher proportion of revenues in the second half of the year results from both the continued growth in the industry and from the seasonality of higher ad spend in the fourth quarter. Historical revenue mix, first half vs. second half ($ billions) $45 $40 $35 $22.7 $30 $19.5 $25 $16.8 $20 $11.2 $15 $11.9 $13.9 $11.8 $9.0 $10 $5 $5.0 $6.8 $4.6 $5.8 2004 2005 $7.9 $10.0 $11.5 $10.9 $12.1 2007 2008 2009 2010 $14.9 $17.0 $20.1 $0 Last 6 months 2006 2011 2012 2013 First 6 months Source: IAB/PwC Internet Ad Revenue Report, 2013 PwC Page 9 of 28 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-5 Filed 06/30/14 Page 11 of 29 Historical data findings Annual and quarterly revenue growth Revenue (in mil) Q/Q Growth Y/Y Growth Q1 2002 $1,520 -7% -19% Q2 2002 $1,458 -4% Q3 2002 $1,452 Q4 2002 $1,580 Total 2002 $6,010 Q1 2003 $1,632 3% 7% Q1 2009 $5,468 -10% -5% Q2 2003 $1,660 2% 14% Q2 2009 $5,432 -1% -5% Q3 2003 $1,793 8% 24% Q3 2009 $5,500 1% -6% Q4 2003 $2,182 22% 38% Q4 2009 $6,261 14% 3% Total 2003 $7,267 21% Total 2009 Q1 2004 $2,230 2% 37% Q1 2010 $5,942 -5% 9% Q2 2004 $2,369 6% 43% Q2 2010 $6,185 4% 14% Q3 2004 $2,333 -2% 30% Q3 2010 $6,465 5% 18% Q4 2004 $2,694 15% 24% Q4 2010 $7,449 15% 19% Total 2004 $9,626 33% Total 2010 Q1 2005 $2,802 4% 25% Q1 2011 $7,264 -2% 22% Q2 2005 $2,985 7% 26% Q2 2011 $7,678 6% 24% Q3 2005 $3,147 5% 35% Q3 2011 $7,824 2% 21% Q4 2005 $3,608 15% 34% Q4 2011 $8,970 15% 20% 30% Total 2011 Total 2005 Revenue (in mil) Q/Q Growth Y/Y Growth Q1 2008 $5,765 -3% 18% -21% Q2 2008 $5,745 0% 13% -1% -18% Q3 2008 $5,838 2% 11% 9% -4% Q4 2008 $6,100 4% 2% -16% $12,542 Total 2008 11% $23,448 -3% $22,661 15% $26,041 22% $31,735 Q1 2006 $3,848 7% 37% Q1 2012 $8,307 -7% 14% Q2 2006 $4,061 6% 36% Q2 2012 $8,722 5% 14% Q3 2006 $4,186 3% 33% Q3 2012 $9,236 6% 18% Q4 2006 $4,784 14% 33% Q4 2012 $10,307 12% 15% 35% Total 2012 $36,570 Total 2006 $16,879 15% Q1 2007 $4,899 2% 27% Q1 2013 $9,806 -5% 18% Q2 2007 $5,094 4% 25% Q2 2013 $10,260 5% 18% Q3 2007 $5,267 3% 26% Q3 2013 $10,609 3% 15% Q4 2007 $5,946 13% 24% Q4 2013 $12,106 14% 17% 26% Total 2013 $42,781 Total 2007 PwC $21,206 17% Page 10 of 28 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-5 Filed 06/30/14 Page 12 of 29 Revenue concentration Top 10 companies command 71% of revenues in Q4 2013 Online advertising continues to remain concentrated with the 10 leading ad-selling companies, which accounted for 71% of total revenues in Q4 2013, down slightly from the 72% reported in Q4 2012. Companies ranked 11th to 25th accounted for 10% of revenues in Q4 2013, consistent with the 10% reported in Q4 2012. Despite the emergence of a few heavyweights in internet advertising publishing, the concentration of top-10 revenue has remained relatively unchanged over the past ten years, fluctuating between 69% and 74%. % share of total revenues $14 2013 Q4 Share $12 19% $10 10% $8 $6 71% $4 $2 $0 2004 2005 Top 10 2006 Top 25 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Remaining Source: IAB/PwC Internet Ad Revenue Report, 2013 PwC TOP 25 Page 11 of 28 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-5 Filed 06/30/14 Page 13 of 29 Ad format – fourth quarter 2013 results Search continues to lead ad formats, while Mobile eclipses Display for the first time in a quarter • • • • • Search accounted for 41% of Q4 2013 revenues, down from 44% in Q4 2012, as mobile devices have shifted Search-related revenues away from the desktop computer. Search revenues totaled $5.0 billion in Q4 2013, up 10% from Q4 2012, when Search totaled $4.6 billion. Display-related advertising accounted for $3.7 billion or 30% of total revenues during Q4 2013, up 6% from the $3.4 billion (33% of total) reported in Q4 2012. Q4 2013 Display-related advertising includes Display/Banner Ads (19% of revenues, or $2.3 billion), Digital Video (7% or $807 million), Rich Media (3% or $364 million), and Sponsorship (2% or $227 million). Mobile revenues totaled 19% of Q4 2013 revenues, or $2.3 billion, up 92% from the $1.2 billion (11% of total) reported in Q4 2012. Classifieds revenues totaled $664 million or 5% of Q4 2013 revenues, up 2% from the $651 million (6% of total) reported in Q4 2012. Lead Generation revenues accounted for 4% of Q4 2013 revenues, or $484 million, up 9% from the $446 million (4% of total) reported in Q4 2012. Ad formats – Q4 2012 Ad formats – Q4 2013 Total - $10.3 billion* Total - $12.1 billion* 4%3%2% Search 6% 4% 5% Display / Banner Mobile 7% 44% 3% 2% 7% 41% Digital Video Classifieds 11% Lead Generation 19% Rich Media 21% Sponsorship 19% Source: IAB/PwC Internet Ad Revenue Report, 2013 * Amounts may not equal 100% due to rounding and omission of minor categories. PwC Page 12 of 28 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-5 Filed 06/30/14 Page 14 of 29 Ad format – full year 2013 results Digital video increases share to become fourth largest format • • • • • Search revenues accounted for 43% of FY 2013 revenues, down from 46% in FY 2012. Search revenues totaled $18.4 billion in FY 2013, up 9% from FY 2012, when Search totaled $16.9 billion. Display-related advertising accounted for $12.8 billion or 30% of total revenues during FY 2013, up 7% from the $12.0 billion (33% of total) reported in FY 2012. FY 2013 Display-related advertising includes Display/Banner Ads (19% of FY 2013 revenues, or $7.9 billion), Digital Video (7% or $2.8 billion), Rich Media (3% or $1.3 billion), and Sponsorship (2% or $766 million). Mobile revenues totaled 17% of FY 2013 revenues, or $7.1 billion, up 110% from the $3.4 billion (9% of total) reported in FY 2012. Classifieds revenues totaled $2.6 billion or 6% of FY 2013 revenues, up 7% from the $2.4 billion (7% of total) reported in FY 2012. Lead Generation revenues accounted for 4% of FY 2013 revenues, or $1.75 billion, up 4% from the $1.69 billion (5% of total) reported in FY 2012. Ad formats – full year 2012 Ad formats – full year 2013 Total - $36.6 billion 5% Total - $42.8 billion 3% 2% Search Mobile 6% 6% Display / Banner 7% 46% 3% 4% 2% 7% 43% Digital Video Classifieds 9% Lead Generation 21% 17% Rich Media Sponsorship 19% Source: IAB/PwC Internet Ad Revenue Report, 2013 * Amounts may not equal 100% due to rounding and omission of minor categories. PwC Page 13 of 28 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-5 Filed 06/30/14 Page 15 of 29 Historical format trends Search retains largest share of revenue, while Mobile grows fastest • • • Search remains the leading format, representing a larger amount of the share than the next two closest formats combined (Display and Mobile). Decline in its overall share is attributed to growth in Mobile and Mobile Search, which is included in the Mobile category. All formats other than Digital Video and Rich Media are down slightly as a percentage of total revenue due to the substantial growth of Mobile. Mobile revenues continued to quickly gain share, representing 17% of total revenues in FY 2013, as compared with 9% reported in FY 2012 and 5% in FY 2011. While Mobile has eroded share of other formats, the Mobile format itself is comprised of multiple formats. Advertising format share, 2006 - 2013* (% of total revenue) 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Search Display / Mobile Classifieds Banner 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: IAB/PwC Internet Ad Revenue Report, 2013 Digital Video Lead Generation Rich Media 2013 * Format definitions may have changed over the time period depicted, both within the survey process and as interpreted by survey respondents. PwC Page 14 of 28 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-5 Filed 06/30/14 Page 16 of 29 Ad revenues by industry category Retail drives advertising, as dollars shift to digital • • • • • • • • • • Retail advertisers continue to represent the largest category of internet ad spending, accounting for 21% of total revenues in FY 2013, up from the 20% reported in FY 2012. Financial Services advertisers accounted for 13% of revenues in FY 2013, consistent with the 13% reported in FY 2012. Automotive advertisers accounted for 12% of revenues in FY 2013, consistent with the 12% of total reported in FY 2012. Telecom companies accounted for 9% of revenues in FY 2013, down from the 11% reported in FY 2012. Leisure Travel (airfare, hotels, and resorts) accounted for 8% of revenues in FY 2013, down from the 9% of revenues reported in FY 2012. Consumer Packaged Goods represented 7% in FY 2013, consistent with the 7% reported in FY 2012. Computing products advertisers represented 6% of revenues in FY 2013, down from the 8% reported in FY 2012. Pharmaceutical/Healthcare accounted for 5% in FY 2013, down from the 6% of revenues reported in FY 2012. Media accounted for 5% in FY 2013, consistent with the 5% reported in FY 2012. Entertainment accounted for 4% of FY 2013 revenues, consistent with the 4% reported in FY 2012. PwC Page 15 of 28 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-5 Filed 06/30/14 Page 17 of 29 Industry advertising – year-over-year comparison Internet ad revenues by major industry category*, year to date: 2012 vs. 2013 20% 21% Retail 13% 13% Financial Services 12% 12% Auto 11% Telecom 9% 9% Leisure Travel 8% 7% 7% Consumer Packaged Goods 8% Computing Products 6% 6% Pharma & Healthcare 5% 5% 5% Media Entertainment 4% 4% 2012 2013 Source: IAB/PwC Internet Ad Revenue Report, 2013 * Industry category definitions may have changed over the time period depicted, both within the survey process and as interpreted by survey respondents. Amounts do not total to 100% as minor categories are not displayed. PwC Page 16 of 28 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-5 Filed 06/30/14 Page 18 of 29 Revenues by pricing model CPM-based pricing shows slight uptick • • • Approximately 65% of FY 2013 revenues were priced on a performance basis, down from the 66% reported in FY 2012. Approximately 33% of FY 2013 revenues were priced on a cost per medium/thousand (CPM) or impression basis, up from the 32% reported in FY 2012. Approximately 2% of FY 2013 revenues were priced on a hybrid basis, consistent with the 2% reported in FY 2012. Pricing models – FY 2012 Pricing models – FY 2013 Total - $36.6 billion Total - $42.8 billion Hybrid 2% Hybrid 2% CPM 32% Performance 66% CPM 33% Performance 65% Pricing models – Q4 2012 Pricing models – Q4 2013 Total - $10.3 billion Total - $12.1 billion Hybrid 2% CPM 34% Performance 64% Hybrid 1% Performance 64% CPM 35% Source: IAB/PwC Internet Ad Revenue Report, 2013 PwC Page 17 of 28 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-5 Filed 06/30/14 Page 19 of 29 Historical pricing model trends Performance-based pricing remains the preferred model • • • Performance-based pricing, the leading pricing model since 2006, declined slightly to 65% of total revenue in 2013 from 66% in 2012. CPM/impression-based pricing gained in 2013, up to 33% of revenues from 32% in 2012. At 33% of total revenues, CPM is at its highest point since 2010. Hybrid pricing remained at 2% of total revenues in 2013, consistent with the 2% reported in 2012. Internet ad revenues by pricing model* 70% % of total revenues 60% 50% 40% 57% 48% 46% 47% 41% 62% 66% CPM CPM CPM 45% 39% 37% 33% 33% 31% 32% 13% 10% 5% Performance Performance Performance 65% 51% 30% 20% 59% 65% 4% 4% 4% 5% 4% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Hybrid Hybrid Hybrid 2% 2% 0% 2005 2006 CPM Performance 2012 2013 Hybrid Source: IAB/PwC Internet Ad Revenue Report, 2013 * Pricing model definitions may have changed over the time period depicted both within the survey process and as interpreted by survey respondents. PwC Page 18 of 28 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-5 Filed 06/30/14 Page 20 of 29 Advertising market share by media Internet advertising surpassed Broadcast Television* advertising revenue in 2013 Internet has continued to grow in share and significance when compared to other U.S. ad- supported media.† Internet advertising revenue now represents 57% of all Television (Broadcast and Cable) advertising. • In 2013, Internet advertising exceeded Broadcast Television.* • In 2011, Internet advertising surpassed Cable Television.** Advertising revenue market share by media - 2013 ($ billions) $42.8 Internet Broadcast Television * $40.1 $34.4 Cable Television ** $18.0 Newspaper Radio $16.7 $13.4 Magazine (Consumer) $7.9 Out of Home Video Game $0.9 Cinema $0.8 Sources: IAB/PwC Internet Ad Revenue Report, 2013; PwC † The total U.S. advertising market includes other segments not charted here. * Broadcast Television includes Network and Syndicated and Spot television advertising revenue. ** Cable Television includes National Cable Networks and Local Cable television advertising revenue. PwC Page 19 of 28 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-5 Filed 06/30/14 Page 21 of 29 Historical advertising market share Internet advertising revenue growth outpaces other media outlets over the past nine years Two forms of media have positive compound annual growth rates (CAGR) between 2005 through 2013: Cable Television at 4.8% and Internet at 16.6%. In every year since 2005, the annual growth rates of Internet advertising have exceeded those of other advertising media. Internet advertising has experienced double-digit annual growth in every year except 2009; no other media has experienced double-digit growth in any year. Advertising revenue market share by media, 2005-2013 ($ billions) $50 $45 $40 $35 $30 $25 $20 $15 $10 $5 $0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Internet Cable Television ** Radio 2010 2011 2012 2013 Broadcast Television * Newspaper Magazine (Consumer) Sources: IAB/PwC Internet Ad Revenue Report, 2013; PwC * Broadcast Television includes Network, Syndicated and Spot television advertising revenue. ** Cable Television includes National Cable Networks and Local Cable television advertising revenue. PwC Page 20 of 28 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-5 Filed 06/30/14 Page 22 of 29 Historical advertising growth of media While Mobile’s growth over the past four years is impressive, the Internet fared even better in its early years During the first four years of Broadcast TV, Cable TV, Internet, and Mobile, all media experienced tremendous advertising revenue growth. While over time Cable TV has emerged as a major advertising medium, due to the capital intensive nature of the rollout and reliance on subscription fees, advertising revenue growth rates while impressive were not on par with the other media Comparative U.S. advertising media annual ad revenue growth for first 4 years ($ billions) $8 123% CAGR $7 159% CAGR $6 $5 98% CAGR $4 $3 $2 72% CAGR $1 $0 Broadcast TV* (1949-52) Year 1 Year 2 Cable TV* (1980-83) Year 3 Year 4 Internet* (1996-99) Mobile (2010-13) Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Sources: IAB/PwC Internet Ad Revenue Report, 2013; McCann-Erickson * Adjusted for Inflation PwC Page 21 of 28 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-5 Filed 06/30/14 Page 23 of 29 Appendix Definitions of leading industry categories The industry categories used in the "IAB Internet Advertising Revenue Report" were sourced from the North American Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) Manual.† Retail Includes mail order/catalog, apparel, restaurants/fast food, home furnishings/textiles, toys, pet food/supplies, appliances, jewelry, drugstores, retail stores, and cosmetics stores. Automotive Includes all automotive-related categories including sale/purchase of vehicles and parts and maintenance. Entertainment Includes film, music, TV, box office, video games, and amusement & recreation. Consumer packaged goods Includes packaged goods, food products, household products, and tobacco. Leisure travel Includes travel, hotel, airlines, and resorts. Computing products Includes hardware (computers, computer storage devices, and computer peripheral equipment), consumer electronics, prepackaged software (operating, utility, and applications programs), local area network systems and network systems integration, computer processing, and data preparation and data processing services. Financial Services Includes commercial banks, credit agencies, personal credit institutions, consumer finance companies, loan companies, business credit institutions, and credit card agencies. Also includes companies engaged in the underwriting, purchase, sale, or brokerage of securities and other financial contracts. Telecommunications Includes point-to-point communications services, including cellular phone services, paging services, wireless internet access, and wireless video services. Includes multichannel video providers on a subscription fee basis (e.g., cable television, wireless cable television, and direct broadcast satellite services). Pharmaceutical & Healthcare Includes pharmaceutical products, facilities, services, researchers, and biological products. Also comprises establishments providing healthcare and social assistance for individuals as well as personal care, toiletries, and cosmetic products. Media Includes establishments primarily engaged in radio and television broadcasting (network and station) including commercial, religious, educational, and other radio or television stations. Also includes establishments primarily engaged in publishing newspapers, periodicals, and books. †Survey participants reported results based on the 20 industry categories listed on page 25, which were used specifically for the "IAB Internet Advertising Revenue Report." This is consistent with other relevant industry categorization sources that measure advertising spending by industry. For purposes of this report, PwC classified a number of individual categories under “Retail.” PwC Page 22 of 28 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-5 Filed 06/30/14 Page 24 of 29 Definitions of advertising formats Display Advertising Advertiser pays an online company for space on one or more of the online company’s pages to display a static or linked banner or logo. Sponsorship Advertiser pays for custom content and/or experiences, which may or may not include ad elements such as display advertising, brand logos, advertorial, or pre-roll video. Sponsorships fall into several categories: • Spotlights are custom-built pages incorporating an advertiser’s brand and housing a collection of content usually around a theme • Advergaming can range from an advertiser buying all the ad units around a game or a “sponsored by” link to creating a custom branded game experience • Content & Section Sponsorship is when an advertiser exclusively sponsors a particular section of the site or email (usually existing content) re-skinned with the advertiser’s branding • Sweepstakes & Contests can range from branded sweepstakes on the site to a full-fledged branded contest with submissions and judging Email Banner ads, links or advertiser sponsorships that appear in email newsletters, email marketing campaigns and other commercial email communications. This includes both ads within an email or the entire email. Search Fees advertisers pay online companies to list and/or link their company site domain name to a specific search word or phrase (includes paid search revenues). Search categories include: • Paid listings – payments made for clicks on text links that appear at the top or side of search results for specific keywords. The more a marketer pays, the higher the position it gets. Marketers only pay when a user clicks on the text link. • Contextual search – payments made for clicks on text links that appear in an article based on the context of the content, instead of a user-submitted keyword. Payment only occurs when the link is clicked. • Paid inclusion – payments made to guarantee that a marketer's URL is indexed by a search engine (i.e. advertiser isn’t paid only for clicks, as in paid listings). • Site optimization – payments made to optimize a site in order to improve the site’s ranking in search engine results pages (SERPs). (For example, site owner pays a company to tweak the site architecture and code, so that search engine algorithms will better index each page of the site). Lead Generation Fees paid by advertisers to online companies that refer qualified potential customers (e.g., auto dealers which pay a fee in exchange for receiving a qualified purchase inquiry online) or provide consumer information (demographic, contact, behavioral) where the consumer opts in to being contacted by a marketer (email, postal, telephone, fax). These processes are priced on a performance basis (e.g., cost-peraction, -lead or -inquiry), and can include user applications (e.g., for a credit card), surveys, contests (e.g., sweepstakes) or registrations. Classifieds and Auctions Fees paid to advertisers by online companies to list specific products or services (e.g., online job boards and employment listings, real estate listings, automotive listings, auction-based listings, yellow pages). Rich Media Display-related ads that integrate some component of streaming interactivity. Rich media ads often include flash or java script, but not content, and can allow users to view and interact with products or services (e.g., scrolling or clicking within the ad opens a multimedia product description, expansion, animation, video or a “virtual test-drive” within the ad). All IAB Rising Stars ad formats are considered Rich Media. Digital audio ads that appear before, during or after audio content (e.g., streaming radio, podcasts, etc.) are also considered Rich Media. Video commercials that appear in video players are considered Digital Video Ads, not Rich Media. “Interstitials” have been consolidated within the rich media category and represent full- or partial-page text and image server-push advertisements which appear in the transition between two pages of content. Forms of interstitials can include a variation of the following terms: • Splash screens – a preliminary page that precedes the regular home page of a website that usually promotes a particular site feature or provides advertising. A splash page is timed to move onto the home page after a short period of time. • Pop-up ads and pop-under ads – an advertisement that appear in a separate window which automatically loads over an existing content window, without an associated banner. • Daughter windows – an advertisement that runs in a separate window associated with a concurrently displayed banner. The content and banner are typically displayed first, followed by the daughter window. • Superstitials – ads that are distinct from interstitials because of the much higher ad quality, and that they play instantly (ads are fully downloaded before they are displayed). PwC Page 23 of 28 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-5 Filed 06/30/14 Page 25 of 29 Definitions of advertising formats (cont.) Digital Video Advertising Advertising that appears before, during or after digital video content in a video player (i.e. pre-roll, mid-roll, post-roll video ads). Digital Video Ads include TV commercials online and can appear in streaming content or in downloadable video. Display-related ads on a page (that are not in a player) that contain video are categorized as rich media ads. Video Overlays are also categorized as Digital Video Advertising. Video overlays include small ads that appear on top of digital video content. They can appear to be display, video, rich media, text or another ad format but are contained within the video player. Mobile Advertising PwC Advertising tailored to and delivered through wireless mobile devices such as smartphones (e.g. Blackberry, iPhone, Android, etc.), feature phones (e.g. lower-end mobile phones capable of accessing mobile content), and media tablets (e.g. iPad, Samsung Galaxy Tablet, etc.). Typically taking the form of static or rich media display ads, text messaging ads, search ads, or audio/video spots, such advertising generally appears within mobile websites (e.g. websites optimized for viewing on mobile devices), mobile apps (e.g. applications for Smartphones running iOS, Android, Windows Mobile or other operating systems), text messaging services (i.e. SMS, MMS) or within mobile search results (i.e., 411 listings, directories, mobile-optimized search engines). Page 24 of 28 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-5 Filed 06/30/14 Page 26 of 29 Survey scope and methodology Survey scope The Interactive Advertising Bureau (IAB) retained PwC to establish a comprehensive standard for measuring the growth of internet/online/mobile advertising revenues. The "IAB internet advertising revenue report" is part of an ongoing IAB mission to provide an accurate barometer of internet advertising growth. To achieve differentiation from existing estimates and accomplish industry-wide acceptance, key aspects of the survey include: • • • Obtaining historical data directly from companies generating internet/online/mobile advertising revenues; Making the survey as inclusive as possible, encompassing all forms of internet/online/mobile advertising, including websites, consumer online services, ad networks, mobile devices, and e-mail providers; and Ensuring and maintaining a confidential process, releasing only aggregate data. Methodology PwC performs the following: • • • • • • Compiles a database of industry participants selling internet/online and mobile advertising revenues Conducts a quantitative mailing survey with leading industry players, including Web publishers, ad networks, commercial online service providers, mobile providers, e-mail providers, and other online media companies Acquires supplemental data through the use of publicly disclosed information Requests and compiles several specific data items, including monthly gross commissionable advertising revenue by industry category and transaction Identifies non-participating companies and applies a conservative revenue estimate based on available public sources Analyzes the findings, identifies and reports key trends Survey industry categories Automotive Beer/Wine/Liquor Business Products/Services Computers (Hardware/Software) and Consumer Electronics Consumer Packaged Goods, Food, Non-Alcoholic Beverages and Candy Educational Services Entertainment (Film, Music, TV, Box Office, Video Games, Amusement/Recreational) PwC Financial Services (Banks, Insurance, Securities, Mortgages) Personal Care, Toiletries, and Cosmetics Drugs and Remedies Manufacturing Media Professional Sports and Sporting & Athletic Goods Real Estate Restaurants/Fast Food Retail, Mail Order, Catalogs and Apparel Telecommunications: Telephony, Cable/Satellite TV Services, ISPs Toys/Games Leisure Travel (Airfare, Hotels, Resorts) Business Travel (Airfare, Hotels, Resorts) Page 25 of 28 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-5 Filed 06/30/14 Page 27 of 29 About the Interactive Advertising Bureau The Interactive Advertising Bureau (IAB) is comprised of more than 600 leading media and technology companies that are responsible for selling 86% of online advertising in the United States. On behalf of its members, the IAB is dedicated to the growth of the interactive advertising marketplace, of interactive’s share of total marketing spend, and of its members’ share of total marketing spend. The IAB educates marketers, agencies, media companies and the wider business community about the value of interactive advertising. Working with its member companies, the IAB evaluates and recommends standards and practices and fields critical research on interactive advertising. Founded in 1996, the IAB is headquartered in New York City with a Public Policy office in Washington, D.C. For more information, please visit iab.net. Overall report guidance provided by IAB leadership Executive Committee President and CEO Randall Rothenberg IAB Chairman Vivek Shah Ziff Davis Vice Chair David Morris CBS Interactive Denise Warren The New York Times Company Randy Kilgore Tremor Media Neal Mohan Google David Moore Xaxis Bill Todd Conversant Media Lisa Utzschneider Amazon.com Rik van der Kooi Microsoft Advertising Treasurer Bruce Gordon Disney Interactive Media Group Secretary Joe Rosenbaum Reed Smith LLP Eric Johnson ESPN.com Neil O. Johnston CMG Digital Mike Keriakos Everyday Health Seth Ladetsky Turner Broadcasting System David Lawenda Facebook Jean-Philippe Maheu Twitter Suzanne McDonnell Discovery Communications Jim Norton AOL Leslie Picard Time Inc. Penry Price LinkedIn Scott Schiller NBC Universal Digital Media Drew Schutte Condé Nast Tad Smith Cablevision Systems Corporation Mollie Spilman Millennial Media Jon Steinberg Buzzfeed John Trimble Pandora Jacob Weisberg Slate Mike Welch AT&T AdWorks Troy Young Hearst Magazines Digital Media Ex-Officio Founding Chairman Rich LeFurgy Archer Advisors Board of Directors Joe Apprendi Collective David Brinker News Corporation Ned Brody Yahoo! Kevin Conroy Univision Jory Des Jardins BlogHer Eric Franchi Undertone Michael Friedenberg IDG Joan Gillman Time Warner Cable Media Curt Hecht The Weather Channel Mark Howard Forbes.com PwC Page 26 of 28 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-5 Filed 06/30/14 Page 28 of 29 PwC New Media Group with the Entertainment, Media, and Communications practice As business, accounting, and tax advisors to many of the world’s leading Entertainment, Media, and Communications (EMC) and Technology (Tech) companies, PwC (www.pwc.com) has an insider’s view of trends and developments driving the industry. With approximately 1,200 practitioners serving EMC and Tech clients in the United States, PwC is deeply committed to providing clients with industry expertise and resources. In recent years, our pioneering work in EMC and Tech has included developing strategies to leverage digital technology, identifying new sources of financing, and marketplace positioning in industries characterized by consolidation and transformation. Our experience reaches across all geographies and segments of the EMC and Tech sectors, including broadband, wireless, the internet, music, film, television, publishing, advertising, gaming, theme parks, computers and networking, and software. With thousands of practitioners around the world, we're always close at hand to provide deep industry knowledge and resources. PwC’s New Media Group was the first practice of its kind at a Big Four firm. Currently located in New York, Los Angeles, Boston, Seattle, and the Bay Area, our New Media Group includes accounting, tax, and consulting professionals who have broad and deep experience in the three areas that converge to form new media: advanced telecommunications, enabling software, and content development/distribution. Our services include: • • • • • • • Business assurance services Web audience measurement and advertising delivery auditing and advisory IAB Measurement Certification Compliance auditing Privacy policy structuring, attestation, and compliance advisory Mergers & acquisitions assistance Tax planning and compliance Capital sourcing and IPO assistance For more information about our New Media Group, contact one of the following PwC professionals: New York David Silverman Partner, Assurance Services 646.471.5421 [email protected] New York Russ Sapienza Partner, Advisory Services 646.471.1517 [email protected] New York Michael Altschul Manager, Advisory Services 646.471.4903 [email protected] Boston Vic Petri Partner, Assurance Services 617.478.1698 [email protected] San Jose Mike Pearl Partner, Assurance Services 408.817.3801 [email protected] Seattle Suzanne Faulkner Partner, Assurance Services 206.398.3550 [email protected] PwC Page 27 of 28 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-5 Filed 06/30/14 Page 29 of 29 www.pwc.com/e&m This publication has been prepared for general guidance on matters of interest only, and does not constitute professional advice. 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Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-6 Filed 06/30/14 Page 1 of 3 Exhibit F Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-6 Filed 06/30/14 Page 2 of 3 BY JIM CONAGHAN, NM VICE PRESIDENT OF RESEARCH &INDUSTRY ANALYSIS The audience engaging with digital content offered by newspaper media reached a n all-time high, totaling 161 million adult unique visitors in March 2014. The count represents a 19% increase from the 135 million unique visitors measured by corn'rn,·/:> in April 2013. Overall, newspaper digital media reached nearly eight in ten (78%) online adults in the u.s. last month. Young adults, those age 18-24, who use only mobile devices to access newspaper digital content showed the largest increase, rising by 146% in March 2014 from April last year (see table). The data show that the increased use of mobile devices among all age groups is expanding the newspaper digital audience in a significant way. While the use of desktolp or laptops as the only device for newspaper digital content declined for all age gro except for those 55 or older, all ages using mobile in some form grew substantially. Audience growth has pushed up the net reach of newspaper digital content. In April 2013,70% ofthe online adult audience engaged with newspaper digital content. Following a seasonal drop in May and June, the net reach grew to the new peak of in March 2014. By age, the net reach was highest among those 25-34, at 84%. Both the 35-44 and 4:>-:)4 age groups show the identical net reach of79%, while the reach those age 55 or older was 77%. Among the youngest group, age 18-24, net reach was 71 %. Compared with April, 2013, net reach rose for all age groups, including the youngest adults (see chart). The reach percentage grew by 12 points for the 25-34 group, to from 72%. It increased 10 point to 79% from 69% for the 35-44 group, and 8 points for the 45-54 group, to 79% from 71 %. For those 55 and older, reach climbed 7 points to 77% from 70%. The 18-24 age group showed a 5 point gain in net reach, to 71 % from 66%. Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-6 Filed 06/30/14 Page 3 of 3 comScore's multiplatform measurements - which show combined mobile and desktop, and mobile-exclusive users - launched early last year. These measurement offer an unduplicated count ofthe total audience, meaning that a visitor is counted once, even when they access content on multiple computers or devices. The term mobile-only or mobile-exclusive refers to using only a smartphone or tablet, and not a desktop or laptop computer to access newspaper digital content during the month. Usage of the traditional printed newspaper is not captured in the com Score dataset. Note: First Published: April 28, 2014 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-7 Filed 06/30/14 Page 1 of 3 Exhibit G Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-7 Filed 06/30/14 Page 2 of 3 PewResearch Journalism Project Where Americans Get News CHART -= '" ••• " •• " , ., < •• • •• ••"• " , 1991 1994 1996 1991 2000 . . TV . . Radio ... Newspaper '" Online 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 Arrf Dlgltlll News Souree: Pew RelM!areh Center. ""In ChlDpnS Newt Lana-clpe, Even Televition i, Vu1nerlble. ~ s.ptember 27. 20111.. Note: nw. mrvey is biennial, the next .pdate will be in the fill oi2014 2012 Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-7 Filed 06/30/14 Page 3 of 3 PewResearch Journalism Project Where Americans Get News ~" CHART <- ,., ,~ ,~ -'* -." ." ~ 0 , •" • • • " " • • - • • • • • " • • • • " • ..._- P4_ • ..• • • " • • • " " ~ • • • " Source: Pew Beleuch Center. ~11 ChIDP"1 New. Llmdlcape, EnD TelevWOD it Vulnerable. ~ September 27. 11012. Note: Thill survey i& biennial, the ned update will be in the fall Ofl1014 ..• Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-8 Filed 06/30/14 Page 1 of 2 Exhibit H Case 2:14-cv-00445-CW Document 22-8 Filed 06/30/14 Page 2 of 2 PewResearch Journalism Project Newspaper Circulation In Million. CHART -= " ":.. ..:-~= -=~~.....!~~.. . • • • • • • • • • • • • • ...... -. " 20 "" I • • ... .. 1\1\15 ••••••••••• '"00 2005 . . Weekday Momlng . . Weekday Ewnlng . . Total Weekday • 2010 Sunday Souree: Editor lIld Poblither Yearbook Note: 2010 and 2012 fllunure elll:lmatM by RickEdmondl! and Emily GIukIn baed on the period endinJ; Sept. 30. 2011 ill NAA data extrapolated from AAK, billed OIl new auditinr; rules. 2013 ficurel are blled OIl an &.Daly.. by NAA'. John Marray.