3. DATA 3.1 Historical Rainfall 3.1.1 Summary of Pluviometer Data
Transcription
3. DATA 3.1 Historical Rainfall 3.1.1 Summary of Pluviometer Data
Rose Bay Catchment Flood Study 3. DATA The first stage in the investigation of flooding matters is to establish the nature, size and frequency of the problem. On large river systems such as the Hawkesbury River there are generally stream height and historical records dating back to the early 1900's, or in some cases even further. However, in small urban catchments such as Rose Bay there are no stream gauges or official historical records available. A picture of flooding must therefore be obtained from an examination of rainfall records and local knowledge. For this reason, a comprehensive data collection exercise was undertaken. 3.1 Historical Rainfall No detailed review of historical rainfall data was undertaken as part of References 1 or 2. Therefore a brief summary of the information collected for the Rushcutters Bay Flood Study (Reference 5) is outlined below. 3.1.1 Summary of Pluviometer Data from Reference 5 Pluviometer records (continuous record of rainfalls) provide a more detailed description of temporal variations in rainfall than daily (24 hourly) records. Table 4 lists the maximum storm intensities for the four largest recent rainfall events from the available pluviometers and daily read gauges. Table 4: November 1984, January 1989, March 1989 and January 1994 Maximum Recorded Storm Depths (in mm) Station Location Paddington Observatory Hill* Vaucluse 9 Nov 1984 20 min 30 min 38 54 57 80 43 50 Station Location Royal Botanic Gardens Rose Bay Observatory Hill Paddington 8 Nov 1984 (3) 37 44 71 6 Jan 1989 20 min 30 min 52 54 42 44 39 43 9 March 1989 20 min 30 min 38 43 24 30 19 24 26 Jan 1991 20 min 30 min 46 52 44 58 23 24 24 hour totals to 0900 hrs 9 Nov 1984 (3) 6 Jan 1989 9 Mar 1989 248 49 39 (1) 85 40 234 47 35 (2) 166 56 50 26 Jan 1991 59 53 65 54 Notes: * approximate depths (1) (2) (3) Gauge washed away in flood. Accumulated total over a four day period. The November 1984 event consisted of two separate rainfall bursts (between 6:00am and 10:00am and 9:00pm and midnight). Both produced flooding but the second burst was the most intense. One possible reason why there are so few recorded flood levels is that the second burst occurred at night and thus few would have been outside to view the flood extent or record levels. WMAwater 27002:RoseBayFS.wpd:21 September 2010 10 Rose Bay Catchment Flood Study 3.1.2 November 1984 The 8th-9th November 1984 storm was a significant rainfall event across the Sydney and Wollongong region. Table 5 (taken from Reference 5) shows that this storm had an approximate ARI of 100 years across several locations in Sydney. It consisted of two bursts with the latter the most intense period and flooding was reported throughout the catchment. ARI Estimates of the 8th November 1984 Rainfall Table 5: Station Sydney - Observatory Hill Mosman Vaucluse 3.2 0.5 hour 100y 20y 100y 1 hour 100y 50y 100y Rainfall Duration 2 hour 100y 100y 50y 3 hour 100y 20y 20y 6 hour 100y 10y 10y Rose Bay Water Level Data Water level variations in Rose Bay will impact on flood levels in the lower parts of the open channel system. The variations are largely as a function of astronomic tides but may also be influenced by: • wind set up and the increased barometric effect, • wave set up, • wave runup, • the Greenhouse Effect (Climate Change). The adopted design water levels (taken from Reference 6) in Sydney Harbour at Fort Denison are given in Table 6. Table 6: Adopted Design Water Levels at Fort Denison ARI (year) 20 50 100 Events >100y ARI Water Level (mAHD) 1.38 1.42 1.45 Not known but assumed as 1.50 However, these elevated water levels are unlikely to occur in conjunction with a flood over the Rose Bay catchment which is generated by a short duration (less than 2 hours) rainfall event. The coincidence of rainfall and ocean level events has been assessed in many similar studies, including Reference 5. The approach of using a static water level of 1.0 mAHD in conjunction with flooding in the local catchment was adopted for this present study. This level approximates to a tide that is only exceeded a few times in a year. WMAwater 27002:RoseBayFS.wpd:21 September 2010 11 Rose Bay Catchment Flood Study 3.3 Historical Flood Information 3.3.1 Overview A data search was carried out to identify the dates and magnitudes of historical floods. The search concentrated on the period since approximately 1980 as it was considered that data prior to this date would generally be of insufficient quality and quantity for model calibration. Unfortunately there is no stream height gauges in the catchment or other means of reliably determining the level of past flood events. Reliance must therefore be made on the following: • Woollahra Municipal Council records, • Sydney Water database, • previous reports, • questionnaire issued in June 2007 as part of this study, • local newspapers, • local residents. 3.3.2 Reference 4 Reference 4 undertook a review of all available flood information for the Bellevue Hill and North Bondi catchments including flood depths, types of flooding and locations, and dates of flooding. For Reference 4 some 7000 questionnaires were distributed with approximately 2% returned. A summary of the key responses are provided in Table 7. Table 7: Questionnaire Results (Reference 4) Item Ever experienced flooding? Nature of flooding? • Above house floor • Under house • In yard • In street Yes Response 77% 19% 10% 32% 37% Most respondents agreed that November 1984 was the worst flood they had encountered. The list of dates of flooding in Reference 4 included no events prior to the 1980s. However it is unrealistic to assume that there were no prior flood events. For example, 10th/11th March 1975 produced significant flooding throughout the Sydney and Wollongong region and produced a significant daily total (over 200 mm at Centennial Park and Botanic Gardens). Reference 7 reported rainfall depths at Sydney Observatory Hill for the 1, 2 and 3 hour durations equal to or in excess of the 100 year ARI design rainfall. Though there appears to be no reports of flooding in the Rose Bay catchment for this event. WMAwater 27002:RoseBayFS.wpd:21 September 2010 12 Rose Bay Catchment Flood Study Reference 4 also provides a summary of the flooding problems within the Bellevue Hill sub-catchment. The majority of these locations are east of Old South Head Road, in the North Bondi (Waverley LGA) sub-catchment which is not within the study area of this current assessment. There has also been works implemented following the recommendations made in Reference 4, hence some of the flooding problems identified in the areas below may now be alleviated. • the low lying flat areas around Plumer and O’Sullivan Roads due to water ponding, • the weirs in the Woollahra Golf Course obstructing flows, • along Balfour Road and Powell Road due to large overflows, • isolated flooding problems in the upper catchment in streets such as Latimer Road, due to overland flows in gutters discharging onto footpaths. Collected historical flood levels from Reference 4 are shown in Table 8 with the locations shown on Figure 2. Table 8: Historical Flood Levels (mAHD) Location House Nov 84 No. Bellevue Hill Sub-catchment: Balfour Rd 49 72 BF 75 Street 104 Latimer Rd 22 AF in 1988 storm 55 Yard in 1988 storm Marion Av 8 Street 12 18 20 Street 22 Street O’Sullivan Rd 63 Street Plumer Rd 20 Yard/Street Salisbury Rd 60 74 AF Key: AF BF Yard Street Jan 89 Storm Date Mar 89 Dec 90 Jan 91 AF BF Yard Always in heavy rain Street Street Street Always in heavy rain Always in heavy rain Street Yard Street AF = above floor = below floor = flooding in yard = flooding over road The limited flood history that is available does suggest significant flood problems have occurred in the past. 3.3.3 Reference 1 The results from the DRAINS model outputs analysed in Reference 1 suggest that problems may exist in the following areas within the Bellevue Hill subcatchment: • 11 and 13 Bundarra Road and 8, 10 and 12 Blaxland Road, • 19, 21 and 23 Bunyula Road and 58 and 60 Boronia Road, • 49 and 51 Boronia Road and 177 and 179 O’Sullivan Road, WMAwater 27002:RoseBayFS.wpd:21 September 2010 13 Rose Bay Catchment Flood Study • • • • • • 63 and 65 Victoria Road, 2 Beresford Crescent and 50, 52 and 56 Beresford Road, 24, 26, 19 and 21 Balfour Street, 7 Aston Gardens, 9 Cranbrook Lane and 13, 15 and 17-19 Cranbrook Road, Cranbrook School. Within the Rose Bay subcatchments problems may exist at: • 482, 484-486 and 488-492 Old South Head Road, • properties along Spencer Street, • 34, 36, 51, 53 and 55 Dover Road, • 56, 58, 71 and 73a Wilberforce Avenue, • about half of the Rose Bay Shopping Centre, particularly at the intersection of Newcastle Street and New South Head Road. 3.3.4 Newspaper Reports of November 1984 Event The November 1984 storms occurred over several days and caused widespread damage across Sydney, hence generating a large amount of media interest. Reports in the Sydney Morning Herald (10/11/1989) and The Sun (16/11/1989) indicate that Rose Bay was one of the worst affected suburbs. Photographs 11 to 14 show the extent of the damage. Events described in the articles include: • A ‘wave’ of water ran down Newcastle Street and Wilberforce Avenue to the shops at New South Head Road, where water smashed shop windows and stacked cars on top of each other (shown in Photo 11). • This water then went through Percival Park, ‘tearing great gashes in the soil’, shown in Photo 13. • Eight shops in the Rose Bay shopping centre were damaged, the worst being opposite Newcastle Street on New South Head Road. Water was reported as 1.7 m deep inside one of these shops, and 1.5 m deep in another. • A mudslide was caused by a burst pipe on the playing field at Scots College, shown in Photo 12 sending mud down the gully to Cranbrook Road, and filling houses and cars with sand (Photo 14). • Where the two flow paths of Newcastle Street and Wilberforce Avenue met, 2 m high waves were created. WMAwater 27002:RoseBayFS.wpd:21 September 2010 14 Rose Bay Catchment Flood Study Photo 11: Cars piled on top of each other, New South Head Road (source - SMH, 10/11/1989) Photo 12: A burst stormwater pipe causing a mudslide at Scots College (source - SMH, 10/11/1989) Photo 13: Flow coming from Rose Bay shopping area damages park and foreshore (source - SMH, 10/11/1989) 3.3.5 Photo 14: Sand from mudslide fills car (source SMH, 10/11/1989) Information from Council Archives A search was carried out of Woollahra Municipal Council archives for documents relevant to flooding in the catchment. The relevant properties, dates of flooding and description of events are listed in Table 9. Some of the dates are events already mentioned previously (such as 6/1/1989, 8/11/1984 and 26/1/1991). Other dates are typically from local flooding caused by inadequate household or street drainage and may not have occurred in conjunction with significant catchment flooding (this being the main focus of this present study). WMAwater 27002:RoseBayFS.wpd:21 September 2010 15 Rose Bay Catchment Flood Study Table 9: Flood Related Data from Council Documents Address Beresford Road Date 06/01/1989 49 Boronia Road 02/03/1981 01/09/2002 51 Boronia Road 11 Bundarra Road November 1984 26/01/1991 01/09/2002 08/01/1973 09/04/1973 01/05/1973 13 Bundarra Road Dover Road 09/04/1973 06/01/1989 November 1984 51 Dover Road June 1986 06/05/1986 72 Salisbury Road 2001 45 Salisbury Road 1986 Description Water entered properties from Beresford Road, moved through No. 75 and 77 Beresford Road and then into No. 86 Balfour Road. Flooding of property, retaining wall collapsed into property. This resulted from water ponding against the retaining wall due to the reverse fall of the footpath. Runoff from street entered property - went down pathway, into backyard. Rubble from road dumped in backyard. Flooding at property. Runoff from street entered property - went down pathway, into backyard. Flooding 3 mm - 19 mm in house (area received 152 mm rain in 2 hours). Flow went over the concrete driveway across the footpath, through the gate and down the pathway to the front entrance door. Water entered property though not as extensive as 8/01/73. Flow entered property, into house (area received 25 mm of rain in 20 mins). Overflow from footpath entered property. Water half way across nature strips outside houses No’s 49 - 63. Number of houses on west side of this section of Dover Road were flooded from short duration, heavy storm. Water ponding in front of No’s 51, 53 and 55 Dover Road, perhaps aggravated by the camber of the road itself. Faint water marks on the brick wall at the fence alignment of No. 51. These marks were located approximately 60 mm above the back of the concrete footpath. Water flowed into property under roller door and into the building. Interviews with other residents living in the vicinity of the subject property (No’s 55 and 32) indicated that at the peak of the flood, water completely covered the road. Dover Road is on a flat grade with gutter grates no greater than 0.5% grade which may contribute to the flooding problem. Front footpath had lifted and was diverting street water into property. During heavy storms water flows into property. Water from gutter flow finds its way across the driveway at No. 47. This has resulted from a kerb height that has been reduced consecutively by pavement re-seals. The above record provides minimal information on the November 1984 event which caused extensive damage throughout the catchment. WMAwater 27002:RoseBayFS.wpd:21 September 2010 16 Rose Bay Catchment Flood Study 3.4 Results from July 2007 Resident Questionnaire A total of 3146 questionnaires were sent out, of which 328 (10%) were returned. The results are shown on Figure 3. The main outcome of the survey was the relatively low level of response and the absence of detailed flood height data. Figure 3 shows that many residents have only recently moved into the area, and thus would not have experienced the significant floods of November 1984 and the early 1990s. The location of the respondents to the various questions are provided on figures in Appendix B. 3.5 ALS Survey The Airborne Laser Scanning (ALS) data was provided to Council under separate cover and used for establishing the 2D hydraulic model. This survey was flown in December 2005 and comprised ground levels at approximately 1 m to 2 m intervals. These data have a vertical accuracy of the order of ±0.15 m. The ALS levels are shown on Figure 4. 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