engineering review
Transcription
engineering review
2012 ENGINEERING REVIEW INTRODUCTION Welcome to the Credo 2012 Engineering Review, a new publication reviewing the performance of the leading global engineering firms. Engineering News Record (ENR). These 220 companies had aggregate design revenues of $140bn in 2011, accounting for c.10% of global professional services spend. The bulk of this came from the US, Asian and European markets, which reflects in the home markets of the firms. We have reviewed the performance of the leading global professional services firms, based on data from DESIGN REVENUE BY REGION TOTAL $140bn $43bn ASIA/AUSTRALIA TRANSPORT $30bn PETROLEUM $36bn EUROPE We hope you find it informative. DESIGN REVENUE BY SECTOR TOTAL $140bn U.S. Over the following pages we consider the growth of these companies, relative performance of the largest firms and M&A activity in the sector. $29bn BUILDING $28bn $22bn POWER $13bn INDUSTRIAL PROCESS MIDDLE EAST $11bn $10bn WATER LATIN AMERICA $5bn OTHER $5bn HAZARDOUS WASTE $7bn OTHER Other includes Central/Southern Africa, North Africa, Caribbean & Arctic/Antarctic $16bn Other includes Sewer/waste, Manufacturing & Telecommunications #11-50 10% 2 2011 #51 - 0 P1 TO 2008 ENR TOP 220 SHARE OF GLOBAL SPEND 2012 ENGINEERING REVIEW $8bn 20 CANADA $16bn CONSOLIDATION OF ENR TOP 220 1 HOME MARKET 10 61 48 CANADA EUROPE ASIA TOP FIVE FIRMS TOP FIVE FIRMS TOP FIVE FIRMS 1. SNC-LAVALIN INT’L INC $3.4BN 2. HATCH GROUP $1.7BN 3. STANTEC INC $1.7BN 4. GOLDER ASSOCIATES CORP $1.3BN 5. DESSAU INC $0.7BN 1. FUGRO NV $3.6BN 2. ARCARDIS NV $2.8BN 3. ATKINS $2.4BN 4. MOTT MACDONALD GROUP LTD $1.7BN 5. ARUP GROUP LTD $1.5BN 1. CHINA COMMUNICATIONS CONSTRUCTION GROUP LTD $2.4BN 2. HYDROCHINA CORP $2.0BN 3. CHINA RAILWAY CONSTRUCTION CORP LTD $1.5BN 4. CHINA RAILWAY GROUP LTD $1.4BN 5. AURECON $1.0BN 1 LATIN AMERICA 83 UNITED STATES TOP FIVE FIRMS 1. AECOM TECHNOLOGY CORP $6.9BN 2. URS CORP $5.3BN 3. JACOBS $5.2BN 4. FLUOR CORP $4.0BN 5. CH2M HILL $3.9BN Note: Design revenue only 6 NORTH AFRICA 11 AUSTRALASIA TOP FIVE FIRMS TOP FIVE FIRMS 1. DAR AL-HANDASAH CONULTANTS (SHAIR & PARTNERS) $1.7BN 2. ENGINEERING FOR THE PETROLEUM & PROCESS INDUSTRIES $0.2BN 3. ENGINEERING CONSULTANTS GROUP SA $65M 4. EHAF CONSULTANT ENGINEERS $46M 5. STUDI INTERNATIONAL $44M 1. WORLEY PARSONS LTD $4.5BN 2. SINCLAIR KNIGHT MERZ $1.3BN 3. GHD PTY LTD $1.0BN 4. CARDINO LTD $0.8BN 5. SMEC $0.5BN 2 TOTAL GROWTH LATIN AMERICA $5bn BY REGION 4% ALIA STR / AU bn IA AS $36 U $4 .S. 3b n 20% 10% 0% -10% CAN $13 ADA bn EUR $28 OPE bn LE EAST MIDD 0bn $1 GRO WTH % ER OTH 5bn $ TOTAL REVENUE OUS HAZAARSDTE W $7bn BY SECTOR ING LD bn 2 OTHE $16b R n BU $2 I 5% 0% PORT TRANS n $30b UM ROLE n T E P 29b $ -5% WA $8 TER bn RIAL UST SS INDPROCE n b $11 POWER $16bn 2012 ENGINEERING REVIEW 3 M OLEU DESIGN REVENUE GROWTH, 2008-2011 COMPANY PERFORMANCE Since 2008, design revenues have grown fastest in Latin America and Asia/ Australia (see opposite page). Brazil, China and India have undoubtedly contributed to this, but we would also point to the less heralded markets of Argentina, Indonesia and Vietnam where growth has been significant. We have assessed whether each firm has out or underperformed the growth of all the firms tracked by ENR. Since at least some of this performance will be a factor of the markets in which the firms operate, we have also sought to compare the growth of each company to its sector and geographic peers. To do this, we have used the sector and geographic revenue growth rates, and the revenue mix of each company in 2008. We show this comparative growth for each company below, and highlight those firms that have out or underperformed against this. The fall in US revenues is unsurprising given the market situation. The Building market has contracted significantly, but the infrastructure markets have also been affected. Against this backdrop, we have considered the revenue performance of the 20 largest firms. We note three key conclusions: 1.Most of the largest firms have underperformed at an overall level, driven by relatively less exposure to high growth geographies 2.The standout performers are the Chinese firms, which have benefited from a strong domestic market (and an expansionary overseas strategy) 3.Two of the other firms to outperform the market – AECOM and Amec – are serial acquirers We consider the trend in acquisitions next. COMPANY 2011 REVENUE USD ANNUAL GROWTH 2008-11 PERFORMANCE VS. ALL PLAYERS SECTOR PEERS’ GROWTH PERFORMANCE VS. SECTOR PEERS GEOGRAPHIC PEERS’ GROWTH PERFORMANCE VS. GEOG. PEERS AECOM $6.9bn 10% OUTPERFORM 3% OUTPERFORM 1% OUTPERFORM URS $5.3bn 1% UNDERPERFORM 3% UNDERPERFORM -3% OUTPERFORM Jacobs $5.2bn -2% UNDERPERFORM 3% UNDERPERFORM -1% UNDERPERFORM Worley Parsons $4.5bn 5% OUTPERFORM 4% OUTPERFORM 11% UNDERPERFORM Fluor $4.0bn -2% UNDERPERFORM 3% UNDERPERFORM 2% UNDERPERFORM AMEC $3.9bn 7% OUTPERFORM 4% OUTPERFORM 6% OUTPERFORM CH2M HILL $3.9bn 2% UNDERPERFORM 3% UNDERPERFORM -2% OUTPERFORM Fugro $3.6bn 5% OUTPERFORM 4% OUTPERFORM 4% OUTPERFORM SNC-Lavalin $3.4bn 3% UNDERPERFORM 4% UNDERPERFORM 7% UNDERPERFORM ARCADIS $2.8bn 3% UNDERPERFORM 2% OUTPERFORM 1% OUTPERFORM Bechtel $2.6bn 2% UNDERPERFORM 3% UNDERPERFORM 4% UNDERPERFORM Tetra Tech $2.5bn 4% IN LINE 2% OUTPERFORM -5% OUTPERFORM CCC Group $2.4bn 30% OUTPERFORM 7% OUTPERFORM 17% OUTPERFORM Atkins $2.4bn -4% UNDERPERFORM 4% UNDERPERFORM 2% UNDERPERFORM KBR $2.2bn 0% UNDERPERFORM 3% UNDERPERFORM 7% UNDERPERFORM Hydrochina $2.0bn 29% OUTPERFORM 4% OUTPERFORM 17% OUTPERFORM Mott MacDonald $1.7bn 1% UNDERPERFORM 4% UNDERPERFORM 3% UNDERPERFORM Hatch Group $1.7bn 9% OUTPERFORM 6% OUTPERFORM 11% UNDERPERFORM Parsons Brinckerhoff $1.7bn 2% UNDERPERFORM 6% UNDERPERFORM 3% UNDERPERFORM Dar Al-Handasah Consultants $1.7bn 4% IN LINE 3% OUTPERFORM 3% OUTPERFORM 4 ACQUISITIONS Since 2005, the leading 50 firms have made c.100 professional services acquisitions. In terms of geographic expansion, European firms have been the most prolific, doing deals in most continents. US firms have, surprisingly given the issues in their home market, been less focussed on moving into new geographies (at least through acquisition). In sectoral terms, the broad Transport sector has been targeted most. The acquisitions have been concentrated in relatively few firms. In Amec and AECOM’s cases, these acquisitions have driven revenue outperformance (although that may not be the case for organic revenue growth). For Fugro and Arcadis, multiple acquisitions have only supported average growth. In Atkins’s case, its acquisitions have not been enough to compensate for underperformance. ACQUISITIVE GEOGRAPHIC EXPANSION 1 CA 1 2 BUYER 1 US EU BUYER 6 BUYER 3 2 5 2 1 ACQUISITIVE SECTOR EXPANSION TRANSPORT WATER 2012 ENGINEERING REVIEW INDUSTRIAL PROCESS POWER 5 SEWER / WASTE BUILDING TOP 10 MOST ACQUISITIVE FIRMS BASED ON ENTERPRISE VALUES, 2005-2012 AMEC $1,029m MACTEC $280m AECOM $834m EARTH TECH INC $510m DAVIS LANGDON LLP $324m BALFOUR BEATTY $592m PARSONS BRINCKERHOFF $476m SAIPEM $503m ATKINS $394m THE PBSJ CORP. $292m URS $379m SCOTT WILSON GROUP $282m CH2M HILL $282m HALCROW GROUP $260m FUGRO $260m ARCADIS $251m MALCOLM PIRNIE $222m RAMBOLL $212m WHITBYBIRD HOLDINGS $212m 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2012 UNKNOWN VALUE RATIONALE TOTAL $4.4bn 2011 CONSOLIDATION $1.7bn SERVICES $1.1bn GEOGRAPHY $1.0bn SECTOR $0.5bn UNKNOWN $25m 6 INTRODUCTION TO CREDO 0% 0% 3% 0% 6% 0% 0% ACQUISITION TARGETS 0% 1% For each company, 0% we have considered e Re ve nu 1 00 % % 1 potential acquisition targets given current . a Ltd a ri a h n footprint and stated strategic priorities. Inmento e Enge $144m e re ncia je to s, G ro 0% P , n e Pro g each case, these targets are prioritised based on 1 00 % l si ra B our view of future growth markets. m E SmithG $177 R ro upJJ HKS In c. U.S.A. NB B J 1.15x A 1.10x Pe rkin s Ea stm an A 1.00x .95x .90x .85x .80x 2012 ENGINEERING REVIEW 7 13 1% -2 0 % -2 % -5 % 0% 1 00 % $130m U.S.A. 1.05x # N/A 13% 1% 1 0% 1 00 % 0% 1 00 % 0% 1 00 % U.S.A. 1 00 % 0% 1 00 % $182m AE # N/A 0% $213m AE any s com p R v er su GR . et CAG A rk C a 6 1 m 0 1 1 -2 0 -2 0 1 1 ) c (2 0 0 9 ject ed 2 Histori a nd pro grow th 0% 1 00 % 1 00 % U.S.A. 0% Se cto rs 24% da Ca na r Othe -26% 0% E ur 3% s Re g io n 0% N.Af 0% 0% 12% U.S. 0% 6% C APA 0% 1% -2% -6% 4% S.Af 4% -17% r Wa te a ste e r/w Se w ste s wa rdou Ha z a r Othe -1% 1% 13% T 0% 0% 1% 1% ng cturi 7% 0% 0% e lco -1% 0% 1% -8% port 2% 2% 10% 5% -1% have broken down revenue growth We into 0% more granular geographic and sector comparisons for each company and their 5% peers. We also consider recent market entries and0% exits, and what may be driving this performance. 5% 2% ufa Ma n 0% -6% ing -2% MARKET ENTRY s T ra n 7% 8% 3% 0% B uild -2% 0% 0% 10% 0% 2% 0% 24% -6% 0% Ame Africa North Asia & lia Austra er Pow l stria Indu le um Pe tro ean Caribb We would welcome the opportunity to share a combination of our more detailed analysis and broader views on the market with you. Do get in touch if you would like to arrange a meeting to discuss this. ntral & The analysis presented inCethis hern Soutlarger review is a subset of a much rica East Middle e Europ piece of analysis that we have carried out. We highlight some of this below. m La tA M.E. This means we understand the underlying drivers in the world’s largest construction markets and strategic questions these pose. We have significant expertise across Latin a Americ % a broad range of areas including: overall strategy formulation, market prioritisation and entry (organic and acquisitive), and operational improvement (including cost reduction and organisational structure). Credo is a leading strategy consultancy in the global Construction and Engineering markets. 0% 0% IN-DEPTH BENCHMARKING We have extended the benchmarking in this review to include each company compared to a broader set of competitors and a more focussed set of direct peers. We benchmark market exposure (and the implications for future strategy) in addition to revenue performance. 1% FOOTNOTES REVENUE All revenue splits are taken from ENR. This dataset is generated from self-reported data. Reported revenue contains only design revenue, and therefore should exclude contracting revenue from all firms. Credo has not undertaken research to confirm the data. The market consolidation figure (page 1) has been calculated by assessing the design revenues of the top 220 players against the professional services segment (assumed to be 10%) of the global construction market size. This market size includes in-house design spend. The total revenues (page 3) have been calculated from the professional services revenue of the top 220 global firms. The revenue growth has been calculated using data from firms present in both the 2008 and the 2011 datasets (151 firms). LEO VAN DER BORGH MANAGER Leo is an expert in Construction and Engineering, with experience in strategy, organisational structure and operational improvement. He has worked across the major global engineering markets and drives Credo’s thought leadership in the sector. REVENUE GROWTH AND PEERS’ GROWTH Each firm’s achieved annual growth (2008-2011) is compared against market average revenue growth (page 4). Each company’s revenue growth is also compared to its peers’ growth, which is calculated based on the revenue growth of individual sectors and geographies, and each firm’s market exposure. HOME MARKETS Home markets (page 2) are defined as the country in which each firm is headquartered. ACQUISITIONS Acquisition analysis (page 5) includes acquisitions only by the top 50 firms. A single rationale for each acquisition has been assumed. Figures are based on enterprise value, where known. CHRIS MOLLOY PARTNER Chris has 20 years of international consulting experience in both strategy and performance improvement. Chris co-leads Credo’s Business and Support Services capability and has broad Construction and Engineering experience, both in the UK and internationally. 12 Arthur Street, London, EC4R 9AB, United Kingdom Tel +44 (0)20 3206 8800 www.credo-group.com SIMON BONES PARTNER Simon co-leads Credo’s Business and Support Services capability, including Construction and Engineering where he has a particular focus on Infrastructure Markets. Simon also leads Credo’s Private Equity practice.