Communicating Bad News - Shougang Concord International
Transcription
Communicating Bad News - Shougang Concord International
SHOUGANG CONCORD INTERNATIONAL ENTERPRISES COMPANY LIMITED For the year ended 31 December 2013 Annual Results Presentation Stock : 697 Content Company Overview Industry Overview Financial Highlights Operation Review 1 Company overview Listed in Hong Kong since 1992 through acquisition of Tung Wing Steel (Holdings) Ltd. Controlling shareholder is Shougang Corporation, which is under the supervision of the Beijing State-Owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission Strategic shareholder also includes Cheung Kong (Holdings) Ltd. Specialized on steel manufacturing and production of heavy plates in PRC A vertically integrated operation from raw material base (iron ore and coking coal) to manufacturing (iron, steel, slab to plate) 2 Milestones 1992 Oct 1992 A consortium comprising Shougang Corporation, Cheung Kong (Holdings) Ltd and CEF Holdings Ltd acquired a controlling stake in Tung Wing Steel Holdings (Tung Wing) 1993 Jul 1993 Tung Wing was renamed as Shougang Concord International Enterprises Company Limited 1994 Jul 1994 Acquired a 51% interest in Qinhuangdao Shougang Plate Mill Company Limited (QZP) 2003 Oct 2003 QZP acquired a 24% stake in Qinhuangdao Shouqin Metal Materials Company Limited (Shouqin) 2004 Aug 2004 Increased equity stake in Shouqin to 51% Dec 2004 Increased equity stake in QZP to 100% 2005 Nov 2005 Increased equity stake in Shouqin to 96% 3 Milestones 2007 Feb 2007 Transferred a 20% equity interest in Shouqin to Hyundai Heavy Industries Co. Ltd., reducing the Group's stake to 76% 2008 Nov 2008 Entered into off-take agreements with Mt. Gibson Iron Limited (Mount Gibson) for iron-ore supply to the Group 2009 Jan 2009 Acquired 14.3% stake in Mount Gibson Feb 2009 First acquired Shougang Fushan Resources Group Limited (Shougang Resources) (equivalent to about 12.1% stake) Sep 2009 Acquired additional ~213.9M shares in Shougang Resources by disposing 154M shares in Mt. Gibson to Shougang Resources. Equity stake in Shougang Resources increased to about 23.3% 2011 Jul 2011 The equity stake in Shougang Resources was further increased to 27.2% after acquisition of additional shares in Shougang Resources. 4 Operation base Shanxi, Liulin County - Hard coking coal - via Shougang Resources Hebei, Qinhuangdao - Steel plate Shandong & Zhejiang - Steel Cord - via Shougang Century Hong Kong - Trading of iron ore - Registered Office 5 Corporate structure Shougang Corporation 48% Shougang International Market Marketcap. cap.HK$4.0B HK$4.0B Cheung Kong 5% stock code : 697 STEEL MANUFACTURING MINERAL EXPLORATION 100% Qinhuangdao Plate Mill 27.6% 24% Shouqin* 14% COMMODITY TRADING stock code : 639 Shougang Resources stock code : 1104 APAC 52% 26% * 100% SCIT Trading/ Services 35.7% 100% Shougang Steel 5.7% stock code : 103 Shougang Century listed in Australia Australasian Resources 15% listed in Australia Mount Gibson OTHERS 6 Shouqin is a JV between Shougang Corp. (4%), Shougang Concord Int'l (76%) and Hyundai Heavy Ind. (20%) 6 Company Overview Industry Overview Financial Highlights Operation Review 7 Global steel production No. 1 World top 10 producers 2 3 7 6 5 4 8 9 10 Crude steel production (million tonnes) 2013 % 2012 % China China Japan United States India Russia South Korea Germany Turkey Brazil Ukraine Others 779 111 87 81 69 66 43 35 34 33 269 1,607 48.5% 6.9% 5.4% 5.1% 4.3% 4.1% 2.7% 2.2% 2.1% 2.0% 16.7% 100.0% 725 107 89 77 70 69 43 36 35 33 269 1,553 46.7% 6.9% 5.7% 5.0% Japan United States India 4.5% Russia 4.4% South Korea 2.7% Germany 2.3% Turkey 2.2% 2.1% 17.3% 100.0% Brazil Ukraine Others The crude steel production of China increased from 129 million tonnes in 2000 to 779 million tonnes in 2013, represented a CAGR of 14.8%. China steel production growth slowed in late 2013 and posted the first yoy monthly decline since August 2012 in January 2014. The average global capacity utilisation in 2013 was 78.1% compared to 76.2% in 2012. Source : World Steel 8 Association China steel consumption 1% 9% 2% 2% 3% 32% Property Infrastructure 3% Machinery Auto 6% Shipping Metal Accessories Home appliances Energy Coal 18% Other Source : World Steel Association 24% 9 Steel price Steel price today is just like the price of 7 years ago. 10 Iron ore price Iron ore is the most important raw material in producing slab, one ton of slab production requires 1.6 tonnes of iron ore input. Iron ore price dropped from USD135 at the end of 2013 to the latest low USD105 level, down by 22%. 11 Coke price Coke is the second important element in producing slab. One ton of slab production requires 0.4 ton of coke input. Source : Steel home 12 China and world economy 35.0% 30.0% PRC Crude steel production growth Y-O-Y 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% GDP growth 0.0% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 13 2013 13 Industry outlook Urbanization Coke price decrease trend Reduce production capacity as KPI for local government Iron ore decrease Environmental Global price regulation economy Environmental trend regulation recover Air Pollution control Positive Negative Global economy recover Over-capacity 14 Company Overview Industry Overview Financial Highlights Operation Review 15 Financial highlights HK$'M 2013 2012 Change Turnover 15,266 16,216 -6% Attributable loss to shareholders (1,396) (1,947) -28% Including loss from principal business : Steel manufacturing segment (1,502) (1,648) -9% Basic Loss per share (HK cents) (15.58) (21.75) -28% 0.76 0.90 -16% 45.4% 45.9% -0.5% Net asset per share (HK$) Net debt to total capital 16 Turnover Steel Manufacturing Mineral exploration Commodity Trading Others Turnover HK$' M 2013 Steel Manufacturing Mineral exploration Commodity Trading Others 10,614 222 4,427 3 15,266 17 2012 70% 1% 29% 0% 100% 11,245 625 4,337 9 16,216 Change 69% 4% 27% 0% 100% -6% -64% 2% -67% -6% Core operating loss HK$' M Loss before share of results in associates Share of results in associates Non-recurring items/Impairment provision Minority interests of recurring items Group core operating loss attributable to shareholders Non-recurring items/Impairment provision Minority interests of non-recurring items/impairment provision Loss attributable to shareholders 2013 2012 Change (2,227) 282 (1,945) 293 (1,652) 507 (1,145) (293) 42 (1,396) (2,916) 370 (2,546) 432 (2,114) 522 (1,592) (432) 77 (1,947) 2013 2012 (1,502) 13 326 (160) (73) (1,396) (1,648) 174 (41) (60) (146) (197) (1,918) 9% -93% N/M -167% N/M 63% 27% (1,396) (29) (1,947) N/M 28% 24% -24% 32% 3% 28% 32% 45% 28% By Business: Steel Manufacturing Mineral exploration Commodity Trading Fair value change on Mt. Gibson Offtake contract Goodwill impairment Others Discontinued operation Shipping Change 18 Profit/(loss) by region 2013 HK$'M 2013 HK$'M Qinghuangdao area Non-Qinghuangdao area Fair value changes of offtake contract with Mt. Gibson 2012 HK$'M (1,772) 536 (2,105) 218 (160) (1,396) (60) (1,947) 19 Shouqin & Processing Centre Shouqin Longhui Qinghuadao Plate Mill Impairment on goodwill Commodity trading Share of profit/(loss) from: Shougang Resources Shougang Century Others (1,367) (270) (135) (1,772) 2013 HK$'M 326 283 (6) (67) 536 2012 HK$'M (1,489) (312) (158) (146) (2,105) 2012 HK$'M (41) 486 (107) (120) 218 Statement of financial position HK$'M 31 Dec 2013 31 Dec 2012 Change NON-CURRENT ASSETS Including: Associates Including: Fixed assets, net 20,404 7,777 11,440 20,716 7,585 11,651 -2% 3% -2% 8,165 2,527 8,670 2,342 -6% 8% LIABILITIES Including: Bank borrowings 21,950 9,596 20,923 10,743 5% -11% SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY 6,802 8,093 -16% CURRENT ASSETS Including : Bank balances and cash Non-controlling interest (183) 370 20 N/M Cash flow profile HK$’M 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 2013 0 Cashflow from operation Div rec'd Net borrowings* Interests paid PP&E Others 2012 (500) (1,000) (1,500) (2,000) 21 Net debt and leverage profile 31-Dec-13 31-Dec-12 9,550 893 10,443 10,490 869 11,359 Cash and bank balance 2,612 2,435 Net debt 7,831 8,924 45% 27% 46% 30% HK$'M Debt from banks* Debt from parent co. Total Net debt to total capital Net debt to total assets * Excluding financing from discounted bills 22 Company Overview Industry Overview Financial Highlights Operation Review 23 Steel manufacturing Iron/ Steel Slab Plate Shouqin首秦 Vertically integrated steel mill; Capacity: 3.6mtpa in slabs and 1.8mtpa in plates (4.3m width max.) QZP秦板 Re-roller 0.8mtpa in plates (3m width max.) 24 Sales and production data Slabs For the year ended 31 December 2013 2012 Heavy Plates 2013 2012 2,367 2,473 1,663 1,623 - - 620 585 2,367 2,473 2,283 2,208 (i) Production (in '000 mt.) Shouqin Qinhuangdao Plate Mill Total -4% Change +3% (ii) Sales (in '000 mt.) Shouqin# Qinhuangdao Plate Mill Total 575 701 1,663 1,619 - - 614 547 575 701 2,277 2,166 -18% Change +5% (iii) Average ASP per ton (RMB) Shouqin Qinhuangdao Plate Mill Overall Change 2,755 2,985 3,572 4,078 - - 3,227 3,575 2,755 2,985 3,479 3,951 -8% -12% #Difference between production and sales of slabs is mainly represented by those consumed by Shouqin internally to produce heavy plates; slabs sales mainly made towards Qinhuangdao Plate Mill and are eliminated on consolidation 25 Steel plate selling price by month RMB/tonne 4,400 4,200 4,000 3,800 3,600 3,400 3,200 3,000 Source: Shouqin & QHD 26 Cost structure 2013 Cost Structure Rolling cost & others Overall steel manufacturing cost will change as a result of Coke increase/(decrease) in iron ore and coke price Iron Ore 44% 15% 41% Coke -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% +10% +20% +30% +40% -50% -27% -25% -24% -22% -21% -19% -18% -16% -15% -40% -22% -21% -19% -18% -16% -15% -13% -12% -10% -30% -18% -17% -15% -14% -12% -11% -9% -8% -6% -20% -14% -13% -11% -10% -8% -7% -5% -4% -2% 27 -10% -10% -9% -7% -6% -4% -3% -1% 0% 2% Iron Ore 0% -6% -5% -3% -2% 0% 2% 3% 5% 6% +10% -2% 0% 1% 3% 4% 6% 7% 9% 10% +20% 2% 4% 5% 7% 8% 10% 11% 13% 14% +30% 6% 8% 9% 11% 12% 14% 15% 17% 18% +40% 10% 12% 13% 15% 16% 18% 19% 21% 22% Steel manufacturing - segment results Shouqin & Processing Centre HK$'M 2013 2012 Turnover (Note) Gross loss GP% Net loss* Attributable to the Group 10,890 (1,003) -9.2% (1,961) (1,490) Depreciation & Amortization Finance cost 9,766 (916) -9.4% (1,799) (1,367) Change -10% 9% 8% 8% 825 591 734 579 12% 2% 2,911 44 1.5% (135) (135) 2,898 7 0.2% (158) (158) 0% 529% QZP HK$'M Turnover Gross profit GP% Net loss Attributable to the Group Depreciation & Amortization Financial cost Total attributable loss Shouqin + QZP 32 43 33 55 15% 15% -3% -22% 28 (1,502) (1,648) 9% Note : All figures are shown before elimination of intercompany, except *attributable loss which is shown after elimination Heavy plate output Shipbuilding Petrochemical Industrial machinery/ Infrastructure Others (Buildings and capital goods) Industry Breakdown on Our Heavy Plate Output 2013 16% 9% 67% 8% 2012 25% 15% 50% 10% 29 Customers portfolio 30 Mineral exploration: Shougang Resources 27.6% equity stake HK:639 SHOUGANG FUSHAN RESOURCES GROUP LTD. Production: Premium HCC >6mmt. p.a. in Shanxi Financially hedged to our coal needs Committed to distribute >=40% of earnings as dividends 31 Coking coal mines operated by Shougang Resources 65% 95% 87.75% Annual production of around 2.1 million tonnes for each mine 32 Key data of Shougang Resources 2013 HK$'M Turnover Raw Coking Coal (tonnes) Price RMB/t Clean Coking Coal (tonnes) 2013 HK$'M 2012 HK$'M 4,268 5,651 -24.5% 1,959,000 2,328,000 -15.9% 540 716 -24.6% 2,534,000 2,407,000 5.3% 920 1,216 -24.3% GP % 50.9% 63.5% -12.6% Net Profit 1,115 1,800 -38.1% 10.5 2.7 7.8 15.0 5.0 10.0 -30.0% -46.0% -22.0% Price RMB/t Dividend per share (HK cents) Interim Final 33 Cash & Bank balance 2012 HK$'M 5,793 4,846 19.5% Loan balance 580 1,075 -46.0% Gross Assets 26,871 26,821 0.2% Net assets 19,927 19,224 3.7% 2.7% 5.2% Gearing* * Gearing ratio is defined as total borrowings divided by total equity. Major shareholders of Shougang Resources Shougang Concord International Enterprises Co. Ltd Other Shougang companies Shougang Holding (Hong Kong) Limited Sino Life Insurance Co.,Ltd. Xing Libin Other Shareholders As at 31 Dec 2013 As at 31 Dec 2012 27.61% 2.24% 29.85% 25.04% 4.95% 40.16% 100.00% 27.61% 2.24% 29.85% 5.19% 11.19% 53.77% 100.00% Changes 19.85% -6.24% -13.61% Sino Life Insurance acquired additional 19.85% interests in Shougang Resources during the year and became the 2nd largest shareholder. The previous 2nd largest shareholder , Xing Libin disposed 6.24% interests in 2013 and now is the 3rd largest shareholder in Shougang Resources. 34 Coking coal price Coking coal prices in Shanxi’s Liulin region 35 Mineral exploration - segment results HK$'M Turnover SQLH (Note) Represented by: Sales vol. ('000t) ASP (HK$) Attributable (loss)/profit to group SQLH Share of Fushan results Deemed gain on share of add'l Fushan's net assets as a result of shares repurchases by Fushan 2013 2012 Change 642 1,543 -58% 432 1,286 1,100 1,325 -61% -3% (270) 283 (312) 469 13% -40% 13 17 174 N/M -93% 36 Note: All figures are shown before elimination of intercompany Commodity trading: Mt Gibson Iron ore Lifelong Offtake at below Platts price MOUNT GIBSON IRON LIMITED (MGX.AU) Supplier for trading business Production: lifelong offtake contract with us since Jul ’09 for production in 2 mines namely, Tallering Peak and Koolan Island After negotiation between Management and Mt. Gibson, from 2013 onwards, the offtake pricing method was changed to base on the daily average price of the Platts iron ore price index in the month of sales delivery instead of one month prior to sales delivery Greatly reducing the impact of bimonthly price fluctuations that may bring a loss 37 Commodity trading – segment results 2013 2012 Change Mainly trades Mt. Gibson iron ore, coal and steel products Turnover (HK$M) Mt. Gibson iron ore Others Net profit/(loss) (HK$M) Mt. Gibson iron ore Volume ('000) ASP (US$/t) profit/(loss) (US$/t) 3,835 592 4,427 3,269 1,068 4,337 17% -45% 2% 326 (41) N/M 3,695 133 11.5 3,359 123 (1.4) 10% 8% N/M 38 Forward looking statements This presentation contains “Forward-looking statements” that are not historical in nature. These forward-looking statements, which include, without limitation, statements regarding Shougang Concord International Enterprises Co., Ltd.’s future results of operations, financial condition or business prospects, are based on the current beliefs, assumptions, estimates and projections of the directors and management of the Company about the business, the industry and the markets in which the Company operates in. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors, some of which are beyond our control and are difficult to predict. Actual results could differ materially from those expressed, implied or forecasted in these forward-looking statements for a variety of factors. 39 SHOUGANG CONCORD INTERNATIONAL ENTERPRISES COMPANY LIMITED THANK YOU!