Insights - Pavilion Financial Corporation
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Insights - Pavilion Financial Corporation
Insights KEEPING YOU UP TO DATE -- Corporate newsletter Inside this issue Pavilion Financial Corporation acquires Stratford Advisory Group 1 Constant Volatility strategy gaining traction 2 BMO calls on Brockhouse Cooper for transition management 2 A new option to get index-like returns during your manager search 3 Common strategies to obtain index-like returns during a manager search 4 Brockhouse Cooper’s advisory services division reaches 25 year milestone 5 Book Review: Medici Money 6 Pavilion Financial Corporation acquires Stratford Advisory Group Pavillion Financial Corporation, Brockhouse Cooper’s parent company, has acquired Stratford Advisory Group, a full-service institutional investment consulting firm based in Chicago, Illinois. Brockhouse Cooper and Stratford Advisory Group will now work together to build on their strong consulting and research capabilities for the benefit of all clients. Founded in 1982, Stratford Advisory Group provides investment consulting to institutional clients including endowments, foundations, healthcare organizations, defined benefit and defined contribution plans. Services include investment policy development, asset allocation strategy, investment manager structure, manager selection, performance measurement and manager evaluation and oversight. Much like the employees of Brockhouse Cooper, Stratford senior employees are now shareholders of Pavilion Financial Corporation, consistent with Pavilion’s belief that employee ownership is important to aligning interests with those of clients. While both companies will retain their business names in the short term, there are plans to rebrand Brockhouse Cooper and Stratford under the Pavilion banner in the latter part of 2012. To learn more about Stratford Advisory Services, visit http://www.stratfordag.com/ To learn more about Pavilion Financial Corporation, visit http://www.pavilioncorp.com/ insights newsletter March 2012 Contact Inquiries or comments concerning this newsletter can be addressed to: Sabrina Colafabio Research Analyst [email protected] Brockhouse Cooper 1250 René-Lévesque Blvd W Suite 4025 Montréal, QC H3B 4W8 Canada Tel: +1 514-932-1548 Fax: +1 514-932-8288 www.brockhousecooper.com insights newsletter March 2012 Constant volatitlity strategy gaining traction Brockhouse Cooper Asset Management’s constant volatility risk management strategy is gaining traction. The strategy is normally delivered as an overlay on an existing investment portfolio and offers clients a practical and cost effective approach to managing tail risk. Recently, two Canadian pension plans engaged BCAM, a division of Pavilion Asset Management Ltd., to deploy the strategy on their underlying portfolios, without affecting the plan’s actively managed strategies. The notional value of assets covered by the risk management overlay strategy is currently in excess of $750 million. Dave Holt, Managing Director with Pavilion Asset Management Ltd., did not name the clients but noted the mandates signify confidence in the strategy and are reflective of the increased focus by plans on portfolio risk management approaches. “We believe that our strategy is among the most sophisticated offerings available and presents real opportunity for clients to better manage tail risk and improve risk-adjusted returns,” he said. The strategy is overseen by Dr. Alexandre Hocquard, Portfolio Manager, and Dr. Nicolas Papageorgiou, Director of Quantitative Research, Team update Brockhouse Cooper is pleased to announce the addition of Vinh Jutras, Analyst, to the Transition Management team. Mr. Jutras is responsible for producing pre-transition estimates, coordinating the implementation process and meeting with clients to discuss the post-transition analysis. Mr. Jutras is a CFA and ASA charterholder and brings with him five years of risk management experience gained at the AMF (Autorité des marchés financiers) where he monitored the solvency risk of banks and insurance companies. Prior to joining the AMF, he worked in Minneapolis, Minnesota for an Insurance company and a large global consulting firm. who are also the authors of the White Paper, A Constant Volatility Framework for Managing Tail Risk. This paper won the 2010 AIMA CanadaHillsdale Research Award (ACHRA) for best alternative research. “The failure of strategic asset allocation as the sole risk management tool can largely be attributed to the fact that volatility is not stable over time, and historical correlations between asset classes tend to break down during periods of market stress,” said Dr. Hocquard. He noted that conventional tail-risk hedging techniques such as the use of options, swaps, and other insurance instruments can be costly and drag on portfolio performance. In contrast, Pavilion uses futures contracts to dynamically adjust the portfolio’s exposure in response to changes in the prevailing level of market volatility. The constant volatility risk management overlay strategy is one in a series of customized solutions in place or being developed by Pavilion for institutional clients. In addition to multimanager investment strategies and temporary asset management, Pavilion has also developed and launched a hedge fund replication strategy, a low cost, highly liquid and transparent way to generate core exposure to a diversified hedge fund portfolio that sets to replicate aggregate exposures using liquid instruments. At the mic Nicolas Papageorgiou, Director of Quantitative Research at Brockhouse Cooper Asset Management hosted a networking luncheon at the Foundations, Endowment & Not for Profit Investment summit in Toronto, Ontario on January 18th, 2012. He led the group discussion on the topic of Managing Risk within a Constant Volatility Framework. Yusuke Khan, Investment Consultant, will be a guest speaker at the Canadian Association of University Business Officers’ (CAUBO) conference in Montreal on June 16th, 2012. As part of a panel, Mr. Khan will discuss investment manager selection and the selection approach employed by the Brockhouse Cooper team. 2 BMO calls on Brockhouse Cooper for transition management In a news release dated January 30, 2012, BMO Investments Inc. said it will use Brockhouse Cooper’s transition management services to handle portfolio manager changes in the BMO Greater China Class, a class of shares of BMO Global Tax Advantage Funds Inc., and BMO Emerging Markets Fund. BMO announced that effective on or about February 29, 2012, Lloyd George Management (Hong Kong) Limited will become the portfolio manager of the BMO Greater China Class fund and the BMO Emerging Markets Fund. “We are pleased to assist BMO Investments Inc. with these transitions,” said Mario Choueiri, Director of Transition Management. “Our service is based on the belief that any portfolio transition is an exercise in risk and project management. The ultimate goal is to move the current portfolio to the desired structure in the most efficient manner possible and at the least overall cost.” Brockhouse Cooper has been assisting clients with the implementation of portfolio changes for over 25 years. In 2011, Brockhouse Cooper’s transition management team experienced significant volume growth in transition projects related to manager changes and portfolio rebalancing. The team managed 80 transitions with a value of CDN$11.4 billion. Mr. Choueiri said the increase in demand came from a broad group including financial institutions, pension plans and foundations. “Many existing clients made changes to their asset allocation and underperforming portfolio managers. As well, we saw several first-time clients who used our services based on our agency-only, transparent business model and good reputation in Canada.” 3 insights newsletter March 2012 A new option to get index-like returns during your manager search by Eric Bolduc,Vice President, Implementation Services A process which continues to evolve is how plan sponsors address the replacement of under-performing investment managers or shifts in asset allocation. The manager replacement process involves a comprehensive search followed by a due-diligence review and, ultimately, a contract with the new investment manager. Combined, these steps often take several months and expose plans to an opportunity cost risk of either not benefiting from a new allocation or continuing to be invested in an underperforming manager. When faced with continued manager underperformance or asset class underexposure over several more months, plans need to address and, if possible, minimize this risk. Plans can do so by obtaining the market beta exposure immediately and taking their time to search for excess returns (alpha). In theory, getting index-like returns during the search process seems simple enough but, in practice, there are several approaches with different factors that can impact plans differently. The more common strategies include index pooled funds, index segregated accounts, exchange traded funds, and index futures. The pros and cons of each are outlined on page 4. There is another way to get the beta and save on the implementation costs: temporary asset management. Temporary asset management (TAM) is an investment strategy that uses portfolio optimization to effectively eliminate most of the active risk, while minimizing transaction costs, until a new target manager is selected and funded. The optimized portfolio is constructed to track the performance and risk characteristics of a defined benchmark, within an agreed upon tracking error. All the investment structures described in the table on page 4 provide effective beta exposure, but don’t necessarily manage a plan sponsor’s short-term implementation costs. For example, a plan sponsor looking for short-term exposure to an index as an alternative to its current active investment manager should understand that an interim solution involves two transition periods: Period 1: Actively managed portfolio to a broad index; and Period 2: Broad index to a new actively managed portfolio. This can result in significant roundtrip transaction costs. As a result, a plan sponsor needs to manage the trade-off between the known (direct transaction costs and estimated indirect market impact costs) and the unknown (opportunity cost risk). An example of a TAM investment objective would be to emulate the return of the S&P/TSX Composite Index, i.e., the Benchmark, with a target residual risk or tracking error of 0.5%, while minimizing the number of securities to minimize transaction and other related costs. The tracking error is defined as the annualized standard deviation of the monthly excess returns of the Portfolio. This means that we expect tracking error results of -0.5% to +0.5% (one standard deviation) 68% of the time, -1.0% to +1.0% (two standard deviations) 95% of the time, and -1.5% to +1.5% (three standard deviations) 99.7% of the time. Brockhouse Cooper Asset Management (BCAM) has measured each month’s excess returns and compared them with the expected monthly tracking error results. Since offering TAM solutions in 2010, BCAM has measured 55 monthly periods. TAM Monthly T.E. vs Index 25 Actual 20 Frequency “Set-it and forget it” doesn’t apply to institutional investors who are fiduciaries for their plans. Today’s plan sponsors are not only responsible for putting together a robust investment policy that includes a well-researched and analyzed asset allocation, but they are also responsible for managing portfolio changes over time and ensuring that these changes are executed efficiently. From time to time, plan sponsors need to look at their internal processes to make sure that they make sense. Theoretical 15 10 5 0 ‐3 ‐2 ‐1 1 2 3 Standard Deviation Successful TAM implementation aims to achieve normally distributed returns given client specific tracking error constraints. Actual results are within an acceptable range given the number of events to date. Past performance is not indicative, nor a guarantee, of future results. BCAM is a division of Pavilion Asset Management Ltd. Our asset management affiliate, Brockhouse Cooper Asset Management, a division of Pavilion Asset Management Ltd., (BCAM) uses optimization tools to construct and maintain model portfolios that meet a client’s specific tracking error objectives. Plans no longer have to wait it out. With the tools available to plan sponsors today, the evolution of the search process provides many low cost solutions that will eliminate the short-term risk of being in an underperforming asset or having underweight asset-class exposure. Inquiries or comments concerning this article may be addressed to: Eric Bolduc Vice President, Implementation Services [email protected] insights newsletter March 2012 4 Common strategies to obtain index-like returns during a manager search As mentioned in the article on page 3, there are several options, including temporary asset management, for plans to obtain index-like returns during the manager search process. Here are other options; each with its particular benefits and limitations. While a plan may obtain Beta from these strategies, short-term implementation costs are not necessarily managed. Index Pooled Funds Index pooled funds offer passive investment management on the common benchmarks (e.g. MSCI EAFE Index, S&P 500 Index). Benefits: • Very low tracking error to the benchmark index; • Low management fees; and • Commingled structure spreads the operational costs and keeps the expense ratio down. Limitations: • Transition costs - Plans transitioning to a full index can expect elevated transition costs and high turn-over. Costs include brokerage commission, exchange fees, custodian costs, and indirect costs; • Not available for all indexes; and • May require an investment management agreement or pooled fund purchase agreement. Segregated Index Offering the same strategy as Index pooled funds, the segregated index offers passive investment management on the common benchmarks (e.g. MSCI EAFE Index, S&P 500 Index). The assets are held at the plan’s custodian. Benefits: • Very low tracking error to the benchmark index; • Low management fees; • Segregated account format reduces some counter-party risk and provides a high level of transparency; and • A broader range of indexes can be replicated. Limitations: • Transition costs - Plans transitioning to a full index can expect elevated transition costs and high turn-over. Costs include brokerage commission, exchange fees, custodian costs, and indirect costs; • Custodial set-up requires account openings. Some markets, especially in emerging markets, can take several months to open and add significant costs to the implementation; and • Requires an investment management agreement. Futures An index Futures contract legally binds the buyer to purchase an asset (or the seller to sell an asset), such as a physical commodity or a financial instrument, at a predetermined future date and price. Index Futures contracts are standardized to facilitate trading on a futures exchange and are settled in cash. Benefits: • Does not require an investment manager and can be purchased through a broker; Exchange traded Funds (ETFs) An exchange traded fund (ETFs) is an exchange-listed security that seeks to track an index1. This is achieved by the fund owning and holding most of the underlying index constituents. The fund manager may elect to create a highly correlated portfolio that is more efficient and cost effective than a full replication model. ETFs are traded like a stock and the price tracks the underlying net asset value of the fund holdings. Benefits: • Low tracking error to the benchmark index; • The derivative markets are very liquid and due to index arbitrage, trade at or very close to their fair value; and • Simple investment structure doesn’t require an investment management agreement; and • Transaction costs in the futures market are lower than the equity markets. • Increasing and decreasing positions can be done through a broker. Limitations: • Transition costs - Plans transitioning to a Futures portfolio could expect up to 100 per cent turn-over to realign the holdings; • Requires a futures account where the trades will clear and margin will be posted. Futures account often takes several weeks to open and include several agreements; Limitations: • Management fees are higher than Institutional Index Pools. Fees also have a wide range from 9-70+ bps; • Transition costs - Plans transitioning to an ETF should expect up to 100 per cent turn-over to transition the assets; • Not available for all indexes. • Operationally more complex then equities, Futures contracts expire and must be rolled to maintain exposure and margin requirements; and • The Index Futures trading universe is limited. Some contracts that appeal to Plan Sponsors are not liquid (MSCI EAFE Index) or do not exist (MSCI World Index or Canadian Small Cap Index). Today, more ETFs are being offered employing leverage or active strategies. 1 5 insights newsletter March 2012 Brockhouse Cooper’s advisory services division reaches 25 year milestone In 1987, Brockhouse Cooper launched its manager research service in Canada. While, at the time, manager research was being offered by some competing consulting firms in Canada, Brockhouse Cooper believed it could carve itself a niche. It began by specializing in International Equity managers, an idea which proved to be a key differentiator in the market. It was in this spirit of “against the grain thinking” that the advisory services division was born. This year, Brockhouse Cooper celebrates 25 years of providing pension plans, endowments, foundations and other tax-exempt institutions with customized advisory services. Over the years, this division has grown from just two individuals dedicated to international equity manager research to a team of nearly 20 professionals offering clients end-to end management of their investment program including investment policy development, asset allocation strategy, investment manager structure, manager selection2, and manager evaluation and oversight. Its business success has resulted in lasting client relationships. Corporation, has acquired Stratford Advisory Group (see article on page 1). Stratford will work together with Brockhouse Cooper’s institutional advisory services division, increasing bench strength and creating a stronger offering for institutional clients, particularly in the alternatives space. The future looks bright, as the value-added consulting that Brockhouse Cooper has brought to its clients over the years will be further enhanced by the combined experience of the investment professionals from Brockhouse Cooper and Stratford. Under the common Pavillion banner, the consulting division will continue to offer tailored solutions to each client based on specific organizational requirements and investment portfolio objectives. With 25 years of experience, Brockhouse Cooper has seen investment strategies come and go, markets rise and fall, and objectives shift and change. The diverse experience of knowledgeable, seasoned investment professionals gives Brockhouse Copper the depth to provide meaningful perspective to clients. Introduction of manager monitoring services 20 07 2 Pavilion Financial Corporation acquires Stratford Advisory Group; Brockhouse Cooper and Stratford will work to create stronger consulting and research capabilities 2012 Establishment of a business relationship with HC Asset in Japan as its provider of manager research Pavilion Financial Corporation acquires Brockhouse Cooper 2011 20 0 4 20 03 Development of a comprehensive investment manager database 2010 Launch of South African affiliate, Brockhouse Cooper SA (pty) , offering investment consulting, transition management and trading Launch of Advisory Services division 19 9 4 1987 19 9 6 The growth and evolution of the company over the last 25 years will continue, now that Brockhouse Cooper’s parent company, Pavilion Financial 25th Anniversary! Thank you to all our clients. Establishment of a business relationship with Barnett Waddingham as its provider of manager research The manager research service now encompasses domestic and foreign manager research in both traditional and non-traditional asset classes. 6 insights newsletter March 2012 Consulting activity through December 31, 2011 Investment Manager Meetings Database Additions Brockhouse Cooper’s consulting division specializes in portfolio strategies, manager search and manager monitoring work. As such, regular meeting with investment managers is an important part of the business. In the last six months of 2011, Brockhouse Cooper consultants and analysts held over 350 manager meetings including close to 80 meetings which were held on-site in the managers’ offices. Below is a list of mandates that were most frequently discussed over the period: Brockhouse Cooper’s investment manager search process begins with a screening of a proprietary investment manager database of close to 5,000 products. The Brockhouse Cooper database is web-based and all investment managers are encouraged to participate. The following are just a few of the firms that have been added to the database over the last six months: • EAFE/Global/Emerging Equity (100) • Alternatives (65) • North American (85) • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Manager Search Projects 18 Asset Management Inc Aeon Investment Management Altrius ARGA Investment Management, LP Brown Capital Management Cove Street Capital, LLC Dana Investment Advisors, Inc. IronHorse Capital Management Magellan Asset Management Mirae Asset Global Investments (USA) P2 Capital Partners, LLC Paradice Investment Management Pty LTD Terra Partners Group, Ltd. The Cambridge Strategy Trigon Capital AS Victoria 1522 Investments, LP Twenty-five search projects were initiated over the last six months, some examples of which are listed below: • International Equity for two pension plans and one foundation • Managed Futures for a pension plan • Canadian Direct Real Estate for a pension plan • Canadian Equities for seven pension plans • Global Emerging Markets Equity for two pension plans • Global Small Cap Equity for a pension plan • US Small Cap Equity for a pension plan If you have questions about any of the meetings, or any of the managers on your roster or if you would like to have a web-demo of the database and its capabilities, please contact the consulting division at 514-932-1548. Book review by Alex Bellefleur, Global Macro Analyst Medici Money: Banking, Metaphysics and Art in the Fifteenth-Century Florence by Tim Parks W. Norton & Company, 2006 273 pp., 14,00$ “It is hard for the rich to live in Florence, unless they rule the state.” - Lorenzo de Medici, il Magnifico It was by mixing politics and banking that the Medici family flourished. When the Medici bank was at the apex of its power and prestige, it operated through very tight risk management guidelines, most of which were usually determined by some form of political necessity or consideration. One such rule was to “never, ever, lend money to Germans, since their courts won’t respect your claim if, or rather when, things go wrong” (Coming from an Italian bank wary of lending money to Germans, we cannot help but note the historical irony in how things have since reversed!). Medici political connections in the ecclesiastical world were also essential to the bank’s profits. By being well connected in Rome, the Medici bank could ensure that its branches all over Europe would reap a constant source of profits by lending to priests of the Catholic Church. When priests were threatened with excommunication via Medici papal connections, they tended to make good on their debts at whatever interest rates the bank would charge them. The author repeatedly emphasizes that much of the world in which we live today – where one can be a banker and a moral person, where one can have decent moral values and be a secular person – was first laid out in 15th century Florence. While the revolving door between government and the Medici bank did contribute to the bank’s success (making it, as some might say, the quattrocento equivalent of some of the world’s major investment banks today), the Medici bankers were also highly focused on their business, and admittedly very good at it. They were able to profit handsomely from clever “exchange deals”, a form of currency trading arising from international trade in goods that was designed to circumvent church restrictions on money lending with interest. Out of 67 such exchange deals recorded for various branches of the Medici bank in the 15th century, only one resulted in a loss, while 66 generated positive returns ranging between 7.7 per cent and 28 per cent. Such a hit rate would be the envy of any modern-day trading desk. 7 insights newsletter March 2012 Book review continued Ironically, it was the Medici’s involvement in politics, and the Resentment of the 99% distractions brought by this involveagainst the 1% is by no ment, that led to the bank’s demise. means a solely contemporary The Medici themselves would phenomenon – and attempts have described their involvement by the 1% to remain in the 1% in politics as inevitable. In hard aren’t new either. The Medici times for the Florentine populace, were accused of influencwealthy bankers were naturally the ing and directing Florentine source of anger and envy. Resentment from the 99 per cent towards policy for their own personal the one per cent is by no means a gain, seeking to elevate themsolely contemporary phenomenon selves above the masses. – and attempts by the one per cent to remain in the one per cent aren’t new either. The Medici were accused of influencing and directing Florentine policy for their own personal gain, seeking to elevate themselves above the masses. But given the widespread anger at the Medici family, would it have been safe, or even possible, for them not to rule the state? As Lorenzo il Magnifico – one of the family’s most artistically sophisticated, but least financially competent members put it – it is hard for the rich to live in Florence... unless they rule the state. And so the Medici had to become heavily involved in politics. With this involvement in the highest spheres of financial and political power came the predictable distractions and vanities. Those “distractions” gave the world some of its greatest artistic treasures. Patronage of the arts was widespread under the Medici, as the family commissioned Italy’s greatest painters, sculptors and architects to embellish their city. The family also very often gave in to vanity by demanding to be represented next to saints and biblical characters in the artwork. The idea behind this enthusiastic support for the arts was that by commissioning works by painters, musicians and poets the Medici would be viewed not as a family of mere bankers but rather refined, educated and cultured aristocrats. The family’s priorities had changed. In the heydays of the Medici bank, the family’s top priority was to figure out how to earn the greatest amount of money through moneylending, a practice deemed to be sinful; and still go to heaven. During the “magnificent decline”, the focus shifted from the operations of the bank (i.e. making as much money as possible) to making just enough to support a lifestyle focussed on philosophy and the arts. So, the banking business was neglected. The family sought prestige rather than profits, which would ultimately lead to its ruin. The bank took on more risk and lost money due to bad English and Burgundian sovereign debt exposures (how things change!). Sadly, at the time there was no central bank or government to bail out the bank. The government was the bank. A British writer living in Italy (also the curator of the recent exhibition on Money and Beauty: Bankers, Botticelli and the Bonfire of the Vanities at the Palazzo Strozzi in Florence), Tim Parks has done significant research to support his take on a family on which much has been written. Medici Money’s added value comes largely from its highly readable synthesis of events, placing them in their historical and philosophical contexts. The history of the Medici bank and of the Florentine Republic cannot be understood without a proper contextualization of the political and religious ideas prevailing at the time. In this respect, Parks does a wonderful job of describing a world very much in transition between the ancient and the modern. The author repeatedly emphasizes that much of the world in which we live today – where one can be a banker and a moral person, where one can have decent moral values and be a secular person – was first laid out in 15th century Florence. Parks writes in short, powerful prose, using minimalistic shock sentences to reinforce and emphasize points. Irony is also rightly omnipresent in Parks’ analysis of the historical events surrounding the rise and fall of the Medici bank. How could it not be? One lesson learned in Parks’ book is that one cannot be truly successful at something if one approaches the task as a dilettante. This is something the later, art-focused generations of the Medici family discovered at their own expense. Another important lesson of Parks’ book – and this is where the historical irony comes into play – is in noting that the factors that led to economic and banking collapses (poor risk management, bad sovereign debt) in the 15th century are strikingly similar to those that threaten the financial system today. Nothing ever changes, or, as another Italian writer, Giovanni Tomasi di Lampedusa, author of The Leopard (1958) put it: “if we want things to stay as they are, things will have to change.” Inquiries or comments concerning this book review may be addressed to: Alex Bellefleur Global Macro Analyst [email protected] And the winner is... In our December issue of Insights, we asked you which of the book reviews featured in past Insights is your favourite. One name was selected from our respondents: Dominique Lessard from Desjardins Global Asset Management Dominique chose the book, The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine by Michael Lewis and will receive it as his prize. Thanks to all who participated! GENERAL DISCLOSURE: INSIGHTS is prepared for circulation to institutional and sophisticated investors only and without regard to any individual’s circumstances. This publication is not to be construed as a solicitation, an offer, or an investment recommendation to buy, sell or hold any securities. Any returns discussed represent past performance and are not necessarily representative of future returns, which will vary. The opinions, information, estimates and projections, and any other material presented in this document are provided as of this date and are subject to change without notice. Some of the opinions, information, estimates and projections, and other material presented in this document may have been obtained from numerous sources and while we have made reasonable efforts to ensure that that the content is reliable, accurate and complete, we have not independently verified the content nor do we make any representation or warranty, express or implied, in respect thereof. We accept no liability for any errors or omissions which may be contained herein and accept no liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of or reliance on this report or its contents. © 2012 Brockhouse & Cooper Inc. All rights reserved. This publication may not be reproduced, distributed or copied, in whole or in part, in any form, without the written consent of Brockhouse & Cooper Inc. Brockhouse Cooper is the trademark of Brockhouse & Cooper Inc. Brockhouse & Cooper Inc. is a member CIPF.
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