www.e n ce.es 8-Feb 2006 Investors` Presentation

Transcription

www.e n ce.es 8-Feb 2006 Investors` Presentation
www.ence.es
Investors’
Presentation
8-Feb 2006
2
ergy
ergy
Alcor
Holding
10,01 %
llulose
llulose
Retos
Op.
Op. XXI
10.01 %
Caixa
Galicia
10.04 %
20,8 %
Cajastur
5,77 %
Bankinter
5.77 %
FreeFree-float
54,14 %
listed company
company in
in Madrid
Madrid Stockmarket
Stockmarket
aa listed
… focused
focused in
in the
the forest:
forest:
…
Eucalyptus globulus
globulus plantations
plantations
Eucalyptus
… plus
plus energy
energy &
& aa few
few linked
linked industrial
industrial
…
products
products
Atalaya
5,01 %
Capital increase information
Type of the offering
Issue price
ƒ Rights issue (1x3)
ƒ €/share 20.40
Size of the offering
ƒ 8,490,000 of new shares, equivalent to € 173,196,000
Rights subscription
period
ƒ 12 November -26 November
¬ € 26.72 previous closing price
¬ € 25.14 as theoretical right value (VTD)
¬ € 1.58 as theoretical share value (VTA)
¬ 1,11 times oversubscription
Underwriting
commitment
ƒ 68% of the issue by BBVA & Santander Investment
ƒ the remaining 32% assumed by principal shareholders
¬ … finally 43% of the capital increase
was subscribed by these shareholders
New shares
quotation
ƒ 5 December with dealing effects in 6 December
¬ € 0,13 /share 3rd interim dividend to be paid 02.13.06
3
www.ence.es
4
¨ Offering information
¨ ENCE overview
¨ Strategic guidelines
¨ Pulp overview
¨ M´Bopicuá Project
¨ project impact
ENCE´s overview
ƒ ENCE is # 1 forest company in Southern Europe …
… with a solid presence in South America
ƒ ENCE is the leader in European eucalyptus pulp market & # 2 worldwide producer
… eucalyptus is the fastest growing segment & Europe the main market
ƒ ENCE is also a benchmark for electricity generation with bio fuels …
… Spain is the most renewal energy oriented among EC countries
ƒ high margins vs. peers & active currency risk Hedging Policy covering until 2007
ƒ moderate Net Debt & attractive Dividend Policy
5
6
Leading Forest Company
( ENCE´s wood resources in a key geo-strategic position for Globulus
( Eucalyptus Globulus the most efficient
fiber for pulp
• •180.000
180.000ha.
ha.(sep-05)
(sep-05)(55%
(55%ininSouth
SouthAmerica)
America)
• •Sustainable
SustainableForest
ForestManagement
Management
Certification
Certification (PEFC+
(PEFC+FSC)
FSC)
intensive Reforestation Programs with clones
• • Nature
programs
Naturepreservation
preservationprograms
Ö steady productivity improvements
in Euca.Glob.plantations
• •Collecting,
Collecting,debarking
debarking&&chipping
chippingcenters
centers
strategically
strategicallylocated
locatedininIberia
Iberia&&Rio
RiodedelalaPlata
Plata
• •Logistic
Logisticterminal
terminal++Free
Freetax
taxarea
area
over
overUruguay
Uruguayriver
river
• •LT
Logistic Facilities for logs, chips & biomass
LTchip-carriers
chip-carriersagreement
agreement ( (22xx42.000
42.000m3
m3) )
Ö wood sources flexibility
Ö logistic costs savings
Ö harvesting yields improvements
Ö access to new customers
• •Private
PrivateRR&&DDCenter
Center
• •Nurseries
Nurseries producing
producing1010mill
millplants/year
plants/year
• •Consultancy,
Consultancy,servicies
servicies&&projects
projects
for
forthe
therural
ruraldevelopment
development
Iberia
USA
Uruguay
nothern Europe
eriaa
3 ear to Ib
/year to Iberi
m3/y
660000.0.00000m
Far East
ENCE is # 1 forest company in Southern Europe with a solid presence in South America
7
Leading Eucalyptus Pulp Manufacturer
• •Leader
Leaderinineucalyptus
eucalyptuspulp
pulpwithin
within
the
European
Market
(50%
the European Market (50%ofofworld
worldconsumption)
consumption)
ENCE 21%
rest Iberia
24%
``logístics
logístics(all-wether
(all-wetherterminals)
terminals)&&customer-service
customer-service
`` direct
&
long
term
customers
relationship
direct & long term customers relationship
ininallallhigh
highquality
qualitypaper
papersegments
segments
(Eco
(EcoManagement
Management&&Audit
AuditScheme)
Scheme)
PONTEVEDRA
380 Kt TCF
• • Private
PrivateRR&&DDCenter
Center: :
NAVIA
300 Kt ECF
• •chemical
chemical&&mechanical
mechanicalwood
woodprocessing
processing
• •specific
solutions
for
paper
processes
specific solutions for paper processes&&products
products
• •11plywood
plywood++22sawmills
sawmillsmill
millininSpain
Spain&&Uruguay
Uruguay
HUELVA
360 Kt ECF
¬ new uses for globulus timber
#1 Aracruz, Brazil
#2 Ence, Spain
#3 Cenibra, Brazil
#4 Votorantim, Brazil
#5 Suzano, Brazil
TOTAL BEKP MARKET
2.495
1.040
940
900
580
8.980
global market
share
28%
12%
10%
10%
6%
LatAm
48%
rest World
7%
• •2º2º largest
largestproducer
producerworldwide
worldwide (12%)
(12%)
with
more
with morethan
than11mill
milltons
tons
• •33mills
millsininSpain
SpainEMAS
EMASregistered
registered
Eucalyptus market
Eucalyptus
market pulp
pulp
producers
producers
(H. Wright)
European market share
sales by destination
Tissue
Germa plus
Amsterdam,
ny European
15 other
ports &
consignments
currently working with 50%
of Uruguayan wood
P/W Coated 32 %
29 %
Europe
96%
N. America
Asia
S. America
2%
2%
-
P/W Uncoated
17 %
ENCE is the worldwide benchmark for Eucalyptus Globulus industry
Filtre
Colour
Cigarettes
Specialities
Multilayer
Laminating
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
7%
8
Strategic position facing Climate Change
• •Valorisation
biofuels
fuels
Valorisationasasbio
ofofresidues
coming
fromforest
residues comingfrom
forest&&industry
industry
• •164
164MW
MWcontinuous
powergeneration
generation
continuouspower
`` combining
with
gas
in
4
combining with gas in 4 plants
plants
• •1.25
1.25mill
millMWh/year
MWh/yeargenerated
generated
• •11mill
millMWh/year
MWh/yearsold
soldtotomarket
market
Priority towards
Priority towards
Clean & efficient
Clean & efficient
Industrial &
Industrial
&
Bio fuels
valorisation
Bio fuels valorisation
Processes
Processes
95 % come from
electricity generation
emissions
emissions
Development
Developmentofof
emission
rights
awarded
685.000 t/year
2005/07
Electricity
ElectricityGeneration
Generation
plants
plantswith
withBiomass
Biomass
combined
combinedwith
with
Cogeneration
Cogenerationwith
withGas
Gas
CO2 EMISSIONS by FUEL
others
13%
NATURAL GAS
14%
BIOMASS
73%
CO2
emission-rights
surplus
to be traded
renewable
energy
Development
Developmentofof
carbon
carbon
sinks
sinks
industrial
industrial
relocation
relocation
industrial
industrialdevelopments
developments
ininUruguay
Uruguay
who look for cost savings
who look for cost savings
together
togetherwith
with
Emissions
reduction
Emissions reduction
electricity-projects
electricity-projects
ForestPlantations
Plantations
Forest
integratedinin
integrated
BiomassCollecting
Collecting
Biomass
processes
processes
forenergy
energyuses
uses
for
+ “Offsets”
opportunity in Spain
Clean Development
Mechanism (CDM)
opportunity in Uruguay
ENCE is also a benchmark for electricity generation with bio fuels
9
Key financials
Sales by Activity, 2004
Wood sales to Pulp
Division at market
conditions
mill.€ 197
EBIT by Activity, 2004
Forest Division
Forest
Products &
Services to
third parties
9%
159
mill.€ 42
Forest Division
14
mill.€ 18
37
Pulp & Energy Division
322
mill.€ 391
Eucalyptus Pulp+
Pulp+
+Hedging 63%
Electricity
8%
mill.€ 37
Eucalyptus
Pulp 83%
77%
mill €
69
mill.€ 48
Forest
Products &
Services
28%
Electricity
9%
Pulp & Energy Division
57
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
0,92
650
0,90
493
0,94
463
1,13
504
1,24
522
Sales
586,5
475,4
468,5
482,8
470,1
470,1
415,8
EBITDA+hedg.
207,8
83,1
80,5
106,8
116,0
113,1
EBIT + hedg.
181,5
47,3
43,0
61,9
68,0
65,6
Net Profit
120,6
27,3
28,7
41,6
48,7
39,4
118,7 105
105%%
83,1
126%%
49,6 126
exch.rate $/€
pulp $/t
*2004
*9m´05
1,26
581
*with IAS
cyclical profit profile linked to pulp prices, but currency risk 2005-07 hedged ($825 mill <1 $/€)
10
ENCE´s profitability vs peers
EBIT 2004
% over sales
% net assets
€
ENCE
14,5
9,6
Störa-Enso UPM-Kymm.
5.7
6.5
4.9
4.7
Net cost of pulp sold,
M-Real
-1.4
-1.6
$
Weyerhauser
11.7
10.0
Aracruz
30.6
10.5
including contribution of other activities
1,26
$/€
550
productivity
+
cost savings
in core businesses
Wood & Pulp
$ / ton
500
450
contribution of
Electricity,
Forest services &
Solid wood products
1,24 $/€
9m´05
Hedging
policy
400
+
394 $/t
350
without hedging
388 $/t
higher wood & electricity sales volumes
continuous efficiency improvements
0,90 $/€
300
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
BR/$ dep.
ARACRUZ
Dif
16
0
16
61
106
-45 .
2003
2004
depreciation $/€
appreciation $/€
EBIT/ton ENCE
2002
BR/$ dep.
51
74
-23 .
70
162
-92
82
159
-77
135
191
-56 .
11
Key financials
Cash Flow, Dividends paid & Capex
Net Financial Debt & gearing
200
150
0
81%
100
50
0
-50
63
-18
-55
-200
66
-12
-13
-119
85
-15
-100
56%
88%
-172
-14
-79
-96
Land adquisitions
MB logistic terminal +
expansión in nothern mills
Privatization
extra-dividend
2001
87
-150
-74
-100
2000
87
46%
87%
-200
-59
-100
-150
50%
-50
147
2002
2003
*2004
*9m´05
investments during down cycles
together with attractive dividend policy
Dividend yield ´04:
ƒ 3,01 % over average share price,
after 31% of increase in closing price
ƒ quarterly payments
-258
-250
-297
-300
-278
-316
-333
-350
2000
2001
2002
2003
*2004
*9m´05
moderate net debt vs peers
2,1 S/EBITDA (´05)
positive effect of IAS-IFRS
new standards
www.ence.es
12
¨ Offering information
¨ ENCE overview
¨ Strategic guidelines
¨ Pulp overview
¨ M´Bopicuá Project
¨ project impact
13
Strategic guidelines towards 2010
eucalyptus
eucalyptus
globulus
globulus
ENCE today
Pulp
Pulp
Forest assets
Europe
Kyoto Assets
mill ton 1,0
Energy – Pulp
Europe
mill MWh 1,2
Europe
has 180.000
America
Forest assets
South America
Logistic
Terminal &
Tax-Free Area
1
4
Confirming …
Sawnwood &
Plywood
… as a qualified
bussines
Expanding
forest
& energy
assets
3
Pulp
Pulp
Kyoto Assets
Forest assets
Europe
has 180.000
Forest assets
South America
2
eucalyptus
eucalyptus
globulus
globulus
Producing
pulp
in America
Logistic
Terminal &
Tax-Free Area
Energy
Europe
mill MWh 1,2 1,7
mill MWh 0,5
Energy
mill ton 1,0
Pulp
Europe
Strenghing …
Globulus Pulp
… differentiation
Europe
America
mill ton
0,5
Pulp
M´Bopicuá site
ENCE 2010
14
Strategic guidelines towards 2010
1
as to …
continuous
expansion in
forest
& energy
assets
ƒ support industrial
raw-material growth,
ƒ balance pulp-business volatility,
ƒ take advantage of
Kyoto Protocol,
ƒ plus adding value
through partnerships
2
as to …
eucalyptus
pulp
production
in America
ƒ strengthen cost
position,
ƒ reduce $/€ exposure,
ƒ support European
demand increase,
ƒ plus entering in the
Asian market
¨ intensive reforestation programs
with clones &
additional land adquisitions
¨ progressive growth of electricity
generation assets at the Spanish sites
up to maximize Spanish regulation effects
¬ 1st) + 51 Mw at Huelva site (+34%)
¨ Emission Reduction Certificates
(carbon sinks + energy efficiency)
to be obtained
¨ M´bopicuá project:
¬ CMB´s 500.000 tons eucalyptus
pulp line ( +48% )
¬ EMB subsidiary´s energy recovery
& Mw 70 electricity generation
capacity (+43%),
selling 49% to the market
¬ increase in present chipping /
debarking capacity
at Logistic Terminal
www.ence.es
15
¨ Offering information
¨ ENCE overview
¨ Strategic guidelines
¨ Pulp overview
¨ M´Bopicuá Project
¨ project impact
16
Eucalyptus market pulp within the paper industry
ƒ Total pulp market growth over GDP - virgin fibre resists recycle fibber pressure ƒ Demand moving towards eucalyptus pulp, to produce high quality paper
ƒ Asia is showing the strongest growth for eucalyptus but Europe will still be the main market
total market pulp Demand
45.000
H. Wright
(mar ´05)
+ 3,7 % p.a. s/´92
40.000
Growth supported
on imports
000 t
6.000
Western Europe
5.000
4.000
35.000
´04 ….
mill tons 41.1
+ 5.2 % s/´03
30.000
rest of world
3.000
China 15,4 %
2.000
25.000
1.000
eucalyptus pulp Demand
20.000
15.000
21%
10.000
2004
´08 … mil t 11,6
+7,3 % p,a. s/´04
2006
China
12%
Japan
4%
8,1 %
2007
2008
West.
Europe
50%
2008
Rest
14%
2006
2004
2002
2000
1998
1996
1994
1992
2005
2.004
´04 ….
mill tons 8.8
+ 9,1 % s/´03
0
North America
0
+ 6,1 % p.a. s/´92
5.000
5,4 %
Eastern Europe
an additional
market
6,7 %
Latiname.
8% Northame.
12%
Eucalyptus Pulp is the fastest growing segment
40 % for total
market pulp
17
¿Is there room for new capacities ?
(mill.tons)
2001
Total market pulp …… 35.8
average annual growth
Eucalyptus pulp …….
Demand
2004
41.1
4,7 %
H. Wright (mar ´05)
assuming just 3% growth
2008(e) dif p.a.
44.4 + 0.8
2008(e) dif p.a.
46,3
+1.3
6.7
8. 8
11. 6
average annual growth
9,4 %
7,3%
21
26
% Eucalyptus vs/total
19
if …
1,9%
3,0%
+ 0.7
+1.2
ƒ Eucalyptus fibre will support new Pulp needs
ƒ Total pulp market growth rates will probably decelerate by 2004-08, … but how much?
In a conservative scenario there is room for almost 700.000 tons per annum of new
eucalyptus capacity in the next four years
ƒ Paper processes modernization will increase eucalyptus consumption in high quality
products …while wide forward markets will reduce prices volatility
(mill.tons)
2001
Eucalyptus ……….
7.1
average annual growth
Capacity
Brasil+Chile ……….
4.1
% Brasil+Chile vs/total 57
2004
9,0
8,1 %
6.1
68
Brasil-Chile 2005-2007
2.6 mill. t - 3 new projects
Veracel (´05)
0.90
Bahia Sul Mucuri(´07)
0.95
CMPC Santa Fe (´06)
0.78
ƒ Brasil & Chile new capacities are supporting growth & North America shutdowns
ƒ Wood resources will restrict new projects, preserving good utilization rates
interest is moving to Uruguay
M,Bopicuá will allow ENCE to maintain its leading position
www.ence.es
18
¨ Offering information
¨ ENCE overview
¨ Strategic guidelines
¨ Pulp overview
¨ M´Bopicuá Project
¨ project impact
19
Uruguay: a strategic country
¨ A perfect location for
eucalyptus globulus
plantations
¨ with a very little pulp & paper
industry yet, it does have
half a million has. planted,
that can provide 2.5 million
metric tons of pulp
ENCE
Forestry Priority Areas
under Uruguayan Law
EUFORES
ƒ Is the country with the
greatest potential for the
development of new
eucalyptus pulp projects
ƒ but also is increasable
dependent on electricity
imports
Ö ENCE already has the wood,
wood the logistical infrastructure and has secured an
optimum legal & fiscal framework to develop wood-based industry
Ö It has received the support of multilateral agencies Inter-American Development
Bank (TLM existing loan) plus World Bank (mandate signed & terms under negotiation)
20
M¨Bopicuá: a strategic location an infrastructure
` M´Bopicua Logistic Terminal (TLM), over
Uruguay River ( 100 Km far from the Plata River mouth),
ƒ direct access to Uruguayan & Argentinean
road system, that gives flexibility to goods origins,
ƒ availability of own pier for in/out flows,
plus railway connection opportunity
ƒ close to Eucalyptus plantations & gas-pipelines
ƒ near urban centers where workers will stay in
` Tax-Free Area (ZFMB), next to TLM, during 30 years,
for the mills located (which can be extended to 50 years)
TLM
M´Bopicuá Logistic
Terminal
350 has.
present
800.000m3
CHIPPING
plant
PIER
WOOD
YARD
ZFMB
TLM
Road (+ future railway) connection
M´Bopicuá provides with important logistic advantages
for trading / industrial projects, especially in wood
21
M’BOPICUA Project
ENCE
EUFORES
• Plantations
• Wood traiding
• Debarking/chipping
centers
• Sawnmill
Europe
America
ƒ CMB (Celulosa de M´Bopicuá),
an Uruguayan company created in 2002
to promote a pulp mill project
based in eucalyptus in that country
ƒ EMB (Energía de M´Bopicuá),
a CMB´s subsidiary,
will group recovery & energy assets
M´Bopicuá site
Enviromental permit (oct.´03)
Wood - PMB
Logistic Tax free area - ZFMB
TLM
Chemicals
Pulp -
CMB
restricted Financial, Technical & Management risks:
medium size mill (enlargeable to 1 million) plus …
experience/support of Huelva mill + own R&D/Engin.
ECF
500.000
500.000 tons
tons
516.000
516.000 MWh
MWh
Energy -
EMB
biomass
22
Wood availability for CMB-EMB project
CMB - EMB woodchips & bark needs will be supplied at M´Bopicuá by EUFORES
through a subsidiary (PMB) at Duty Free Area (existing chipping facilities will be increased )
glóbulus equivalent: 3,1 m3/ton of pulp
Wood supply by source (000 m3 )
Assets forested up to Dec ´04
Assets to be forested post Dec ´04
Forward purchases
Current purchases to third parties
2008
2009
2010
… 2014
568
1.345
1.495
1.495
300
126
142
600
409
336
600
521
374
600
950
-
¨ limited exposure (25%) to current purchases in the Uruguayan market
& Argentina as a secondary source
• EUFORES’ forested assets up to the end of 2004 will supply 700,000 m3 per annum
of eucalyptus wood - 600,000 to CMB-EMB - as from 2008,
with increasing productivity (between 16 and 19.5 m3 per hectare and year)
• forward purchases of standing wood underway
• 100.000 has. of own plantations in the area will minimize market wood exposure
• current restructuration investments with clones on the plantations as they are harvested
will improve productivity (but is not consider in CMB-EMB´s costs)
• new forestations (6.000 has per year with estimated growth in excess of 21 m3),
could fully satisfy CMB-EMB needs from 2014
mill wood needs will be cover on <180 km average distance until 2012
23
ex-mill cost: Uruguay vs. Iberia mills
CMB
450
400
ENCE Iberia
full capacity
scenario
2004 basis, but…
several $/€ scenarios
404 $/t
373 $/t
342 $/t
350
$/ton
300
311 $/t
279 $/t
253 $/t
250
200
63
150
65
100
46
50
79
depreciation
fix b. deprec.
other variable
wood (*)
17,5 % of the wood is coming from Uruguay
0
0,9
1,0
1,1
1,2
1,3
$/€
much lower Uruguayan wood cost & higher productivity of mill
(*) - debarking & chipping costs are not included in wood costs but in the other items
to be comparable with the iberian ENCE´s mills
- Wood cost does not include capital cost as in competitors information available
24
cash cost CIF Europe: Uruguay vs. Iberia mills
CMB
450
400
ENCE Iberia
2004 basis, but…
several $/€ scenarios
full capacity
scenario
416 $/t
386 $/t
354 $/t
350
322 $/t
$/ton
290 $/t
300
239 $/t
250
200
49
Commercial
Production
150
100
190
50
0
ƒ CIF Europe conditions
ƒ potential revenues coming from
carbon CDMs are not consider
0,9
1,0
1,1
1,2
1,3
$/€
good commercial costs of CMB due to…
… logistic facilities plus integrated sales & distribution network in Europe
25
Cash cost CIF: CMB Uruguay vs peers
Hawkins Wright source , March 2005 Outlook
€/$ 1,35
US $ /ton
Brazil
ENCE Iberia
US Canada
World
Portugal Finland
South East
average
CMB
84
45
52
128
60
122
158
54
108
206
71
117
266
43
84
144
51
84
79
79
46
46
65
65
fob mill b. depreciation 181
310
320
394
393
279
Commercial cost
61
63
80
23
46
55
190
190
49
49
CASH COSTS cif
242
373
400
417
439
334
239
239
wood
other variable costs
fix cost b. depreciation
weak $ depress cost competitiveness of ENCE´s Iberian mills
CMB´s cost will be similar to Brazilian mills
26
M´Bopicuá project financial needs & IRR
¨ M´Bopicuá project financial needs: mill $
´06
´07
´08
total
¬ CMB´s eucalyptus pulp line, plus chemicals
¬ EMB subsidiary´s energy recovery
& electricity generation line
¬ EUFORES additional
chipping / debarking capacity
35
86
165
286
31
102
181
314
5
11
6
71 199
352
plus deferred expenses + start up ………….
working capital ……..……………….
22
622
67
23
712
0
Eucalyptus current pulp prices $/t
853
0
770
700
0
0
0
0
410
540
536
522
524
465
480
390
1H ´05
495
489
458
505
380
IRR
330
05
8,7%
03
01
99
97
95
93
89
87
85
83
16,8%
522
current prices trend: + 0,53 % annual increase
81
79
530
480
470
0
647
580
510 515
0
690
600
91
0
11,0%
18,6% 20,3%
13,0% 15,0%
-20% -15% -10%
22,0%
23,6%
price var.
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
M´Bopicuá´s IIR will be around 17% taxes free & before financial structure
www.ence.es
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¨ Offering information
¨ ENCE overview
¨ Strategic guidelines
¨ Pulp overview
¨ M´Bopicuá Project
¨ project impact
Impact of M´Bopicuá project on ENCE
1
M´Bopicuá assure ENCE´s cost competitiveness
in weak $ scenarios
... nevertheless hedging will be added if possible
2
M´Bopicuá project requires higher equity level:
€170 mill. Capital increase
3
dividend payments & equity strengh
would be compatible even with new number of shares
4
recurrent capex plus forest & energy over investments
financed with cash flows and certain land divestures & partnersips
Uruguay
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M´Bopicuá project impact in ENCE´s EBITDA
ENCE´04 without hedging (pulp price 521$/ton)
M´Bopicuá project: on ´04 basis …
… with exchange rate 1,24 $/€
D Total funds needed mill € 574
ENCE without hedging… plus:
Ì profits coming from recentchanges in Spanish
electricity legal framework (full impact ´06)
Ì 51Mw additional power at Huelva
… & pulp price 521 $/ton
D EBITDA per year
mill € 105
… mill.€ 21 on ´04 prices/costs basis
Uruguay
tons 500.000
EBITDA increase trough M´Bopicuá
Proforma EBITDA (mill €)
Including aditional volume effects in Eufores
Ö substantially lower cost per ton
of Iberia & Uruguay mix
mill € 373
Proforma EBITDA (€) /ton
mill € 304
287
mill € 229
mill € 208
+ 21 €/t
mill € 202
mill € 175
224
mill € 162
235
215
200
198
163
171
Iberia
tons 1.024.000
mill € 131
mill € 154
258
245
mill € 248
mill € 94
132
106
128
+ 45 €/t
92
mill € 110
mill € 73
mill € 62
61
mill € 41
0,90
1,00
1,10
1,20
1,30
$/€
0,90
1,00
1,10
1,20
1,30
Ö proforma EBITDA: at 1,24 $/€ rate & 521 $/ton mill € 186
+ 65% s/ EBITDA´04 hedging included
M´Bopicuá will assure ENCE´s cost competitiveness in weak $ scenarios
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M´Bopicuá project financing (I)
Proforma
9m´05
Dec.31st 2004 Balance sheet under IRFS (unaudited)
mill €
557
K
y
o
t
o
A
s
s
e
t
s
cap. grants + provisions
+ deferred tax liabilities
Net Financial Debt over:
mill €167
mill € 133
EBITDA …. 2,45
2,10
Equity …. 0,62
without hedging
fair value
0,68
Forest Div.
Fix assets
mill € 383
Net
Financial
Debt
mill € 277
ST Hedging fare value
+ Net Working capital
Energy
Fix assets
mill € 174
Pulp
Fix assets
mill € 91
LT Hedging fare value
+ general fix assets
mill € 191
Net
Financial
Debt
mill € 277
Equity
mill € 450
Equity
mill € 598
M´Bopicuá
project
mill € 574 in ´04
basis
without
hedging program ´05/´07
fair value after tax
mill € 148
ENCE has a good financial base …
…..but M´Bopicuá project requieres higher equity level
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M´Bopicuá project financing (II)
funds to be carried out
along ´06/´08
IFC/BBVA (mill $ 200)
+ ICO (mill $ 100)
in ´04 basis mill € 242 22
CMB-EMB (*)
mill € 556 in ´04 basis
Net
Financial
Debt
mill € 278
Dec.31st 2004
CMB-EMB
Equity
mill € 278
Net
Financial
Debt
mill € 277
33% capital increase
mill € 170 11
(*) exluding EUFORES additional
investments at Duty Free Area
Equity
mill € 450
proforma
balance sheet
Net
Financial
Debt
mill € 668
¨ 3/4 of M´Bopicuá financial
requirements will be cover
by capital increase plus
IFC/BBVA + ICO specific LT
financing
¨ confortable debt ratios
could be kept through:
… managing Kyoto assets
expansion together with :
Ö partnerships on them
Ö plus southern iberian
land divestures
Ö net profits
after dividends paid
Equity
mill € 620
¨ but also a new global
financial dress is needed
for new times:
Ö current M/S T corporate
debt reestructuring to
mach maturity of new
projects
Conclusions
ƒ ENCE is # 1 forest company in Southern Europe …
… with a solid presence in South America
ENCE
current
position
ƒ ENCE is the leader in European eucalyptus pulp market & # 2 worldwide
producer … eucalyptus is the fastest growing segment & Europe the main market
ƒ ENCE is also a benchmark for electricity generation with bio fuels …
… Spain is the most renewal energy oriented among EC countries
ƒ high margins vs. peers & active currency risk Hedging Policy covering until 2007
ƒ moderate Net Debt & attractive Dividend Policy
ƒ higher pulp capacity (+50%), stronger market position & access to the Far East
M´Bopicuá ƒ attractive IRR plus optimum tax/legal frame & world Bank support
project
ƒ important EBITDA / ton improvement (lower wood cost & sale/ distribution advantages)
plus direct reduction of currency risk exposure
Kyoto
assets
ƒ higher electricity generation capacity (+75%) & …
… benefits from Spanish Electricity Regulatory Frame evolution
ƒ strong impact of R&D policy on land productivity & operational costs
ƒ Rigths opportunity on all kind of Kyoto Protocol Flexibility Mechanism
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