Central California Ozone Study
Transcription
Central California Ozone Study
Central California Ozone Study (CCOS) Volume I Field Study Plan Version 3 November 24, 1999 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Central California Ozone Study – Volume I Field Study Plan Prepared by: Eric Fujita, Robert Keislar, William Stockwell, Hans Moosmuller, David DuBois, Darko Koracin, and Barbara Zielinska Division of Atmospheric Science Desert Research Institute 2215 Raggio Parkway Reno, NV 89512 Saffet Tanrikulu and Andrew Ranzieri Planning and Technical Support Division California Air Resources Board 2020 L Street Sacramento, CA 95812 www.arb.ca.gov www.arb.ca.gov/ccaqs/ccos/ccos.htm The CCOS Plan was prepared with extensive input from the CCOS Technical Committee, Scientific Advisory Work Group, Meteorological Work Group, and Emission Inventory Coordination Group. Technical Committee (Planning Subcommittee) Emission Inventory Coordination Group Linda Murchison, California Air Resources Board Dale Shimp, California Air Resources Board Cheryl Taylor, California Air Resources Board Dennis Wade, California Air Resources Board Michael Benjamin, California Air Resources Board Phil Martien, Bay Area AQMD Toch Mangat, Bay Area AQMD Bruce Katayama, Sacramento Metropolitan AQMD Brigette Tollstrup, Sacramento Metropolitan AQMD Hazel Hoffmann, San Joaquin Valley Unified APCD Dave Jones, San Joaquin Valley Unified APCD Tom Jordon, San Joaquin Valley Unified APCD Scott Nestor, San Joaquin Valley Unified APCD Stephen Shaw, San Joaquin Valley Unified APCD Gretchen Bennitt, Northern Sierra AQMD Dick Johnson, Placer County APCD Tom Roemer, San Luis Obispo County APCD Larry Green, Yolo-Solano AQMD Nancy O’Connor, Yolo-Solano AQMD Dave Smith, Yolo-Solano AQMD Gordon Garry, Sacramento Area CoG Guido Franco, California Energy Commission Morris Goldberg, U.S. EPA Andrew Ranzieri, California Air Resources Board Saffet Tanrikulu, California Air Resources Board Rob DeMandel, Bay Area AQMD Bruce Katayama, Sacramento Metropolitan AQMD Evan Shipp, San Joaquin Valley Unified APCD Phil Roth, Envair Jim Sweet, San Joaquin Valley Unified APCD Brigette Tollstrup, Sacramento Metropolitan AQMD Steve Ziman, Chevron Research and Technology Scientific Advisory Work Group Dan Chang, University of California, Davis Dennis Fitz, UCR, CE-CERT Robert Harley, University of California, Berkeley Mike Kleeman, University of California, Davis Gail Tonnesen, University of California, Riverside Meteorological Work Group Saffet Tanrikulu, California Air Resources Board Bob Keislar, Desert Research Institute David Fairley, Bay Area AQMD Tom Umeda, Bay Area AQMD Evan Shipp, San Joaquin Valley Unified APCD Steve Gouze, California Air Resources Board Bruce Katayama, Sacramento Metropolitan AQMD Brigette Tollstrup, Sacramento Metropolitan AQMD Bob Noon, Monterey Bay Unified AQMD ii CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 TABLE OF CONTENTS Page List of Tables ................................................................................................................................. vi List of Figures .............................................................................................................................viii 1. 0 STUDY PERSPECTIVE AND SUMMARY......................................................................1-1 1.1 Introduction .................................................................................................................1-1 1.2 CCOS Goals and Technical Objectives.......................................................................1-3 1.2.1 Objectives A - Planning and Preparation for the CCOS Field Study..............1-3 1.2.2 Objectives B - Emission Inventory Development ...........................................1-6 1.2.3 Objectives C - Preparation, Execution and Evaluation of Air Quality Simulation Modeling System ..........................................................................1-6 1.2.4 Objectives D - Data Analysis ..........................................................................1-8 1.3 Basis for CCOS Field Measurement Program...........................................................1-10 1.3.1 Analysis of Past Ozone Data .........................................................................1-11 1.3.2 Cluster Analysis of High Ozone Days...........................................................1-11 1.3.3 Meteorological Scenarios by Weather Map Analysis ...................................1-12 1.3.4 Episode Forecasting and Selection................................................................1-21 1.4 Overview of CCOS Field Measurements ..................................................................1-22 1.4.1 Surface Meteorological and Air Quality Measurements ...............................1-23 1.4.2 Aloft Meteorology and Air Quality Measurements.......................................1-26 1.4.3 Complementary Measurement Programs ......................................................1-30 1.4.4 Consideration of Measurement Alternatives .................................................1-31 1.5 Applications of CCOS Data for Evaluation of Air Quality Modeling Systems........1-31 1.5.1 Meteorological Models..................................................................................1-32 1.5.2 Emission Inventories .....................................................................................1-33 1.5.3 Air Quality Models........................................................................................1-34 1.5.4 Plume in Grid Module Evaluation.................................................................1-35 1.6 Corroborative Data Analysis .....................................................................................1-36 1.6.1 Contribution of Transported Pollutants to Ozone Violations in Downwind Areas..............................................................................................................1-36 1.6.2 VOC Versus NOx Sensitivity........................................................................1-37 1.7 Funding......................................................................................................................1-38 2.0 BASIS FOR THE FIELD STUDY PLAN ..........................................................................2-1 2.1 CCOS Study Area........................................................................................................2-1 2.2 Ozone Air Quality Standards and SIP Requirements..................................................2-3 2.3 Ambient Trends in Ozone and Precursor Gases..........................................................2-5 2.3.1 Trends in Ozone Exceedances.........................................................................2-5 2.3.2 Spatial and Temporal Patterns of Ozone Precursors .......................................2-7 2.4 Emissions and Source Contributions...........................................................................2-7 2.5 Central California Summer Meteorology and Ozone Climatology.............................2-8 2.5.1 Typical Large-Scale Meteorological Features.................................................2-8 2.5.2 Mesoscale Meteorological Features in the CCOS Study Region....................2-9 2.5.3 Major Transport Couples in Central California.............................................2-12 iii CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 TABLE OF CONTENTS (continued) Page 2.5.4 Meteorological Scenarios Associated with Ozone Exceedances ..................2-14 2.6 Atmospheric Transformation and Deposition ...........................................................2-21 2.6.1 Ozone Formation ...........................................................................................2-21 2.6.2 Heterogeneous Reactions and Ozone - Secondary Aerosol Formation.........2-32 2.6.3 Role of Ozone Precursors from Natural Sources ..........................................2-36 2.6.4 Relative Effectiveness of VOC and NOx Controls .......................................2-36 2.6.5 Atmospheric Deposition................................................................................2-37 2.7 Conceptual Model of Ozone Episodes and Transport Scenarios of Interest .............2-37 2.7.1 Current Conceptual Model of Ozone Formation and Transport ...................2-37 2.7.2 Implications of Change in Federal Ozone Standard on Conceptual Model ..2-38 2.8 Review of previous SAQM studies and implications for CCOS measurement sites............................................................................................................................2-39 3.0 REQUIREMENTS FOR AIR QUALITY MODELING SYSTEMS AND DATA ANALYSIS..........................................................................................................................3-1 3.1 Modeling System Inputs..............................................................................................3-1 3.1.1 Meteorological Modeling ................................................................................3-1 3.1.2 Emission Inventory Development ...................................................................3-4 3.1.3 Air Quality Modeling ....................................................................................3-12 3.2 Model Evaluation ......................................................................................................3-14 3.2.1 Evaluation of Meteorological Modeling .......................................................3-14 3.2.2 Evaluation of Emission Inventory Estimates ................................................3-15 3.2.3 Air Quality Model Evaluation .......................................................................3-20 3.3 Data Analysis Methods..............................................................................................3-21 3.3.1 Accuracy, Precision, Validity, and Equivalence of Field Measurements .....3-22 3.3.2 Spatial, Temporal, and Statistical Distributions of Air Quality Measurements................................................................................................3-24 3.3.3 Meteorological Transport Phenomena ..........................................................3-26 3.3.4 Meteorological Dispersion Processes............................................................3-27 3.3.5 Characterize Pollutant Fluxes........................................................................3-28 3.3.6 Characterize Chemical and Physical Interactions .........................................3-28 3.3.7 Characterize Episodes ...................................................................................3-31 3.3.8 Observation-Driven Methods ........................................................................3-31 3.3.9 Contribution of Transported Pollutants to Ozone Violations in Downwind Areas..............................................................................................................3-32 3.3.10 Contributions of Elevated NOx Sources to Downwind O3 ...........................3-32 3.3.11 Deposition Studies.........................................................................................3-33 3.3.12 Reformulate the Conceptual Model...............................................................3-34 4.0 CCOS FIELD MEASUREMENT PROGRAM ..................................................................4-1 4.1 Study Design Principles ..............................................................................................4-1 4.2 Study Domain..............................................................................................................4-2 4.3 Study Period ................................................................................................................4-2 iv CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 TABLE OF CONTENTS (continued) Page 4.4 Surface Meteorological Measurements .......................................................................4-3 4.5 Surface Air Quality Measurements .............................................................................4-4 4.5.1 CCOS Type 0 Supplemental Monitoring Sites ...............................................4-5 4.5.2 CCOS Type 1 Supplemental Monitoring Sites ...............................................4-5 4.5.3 CCOS Type 2 Supplemental Monitoring Sites: ..............................................4-6 4.5.4 CCOS Research Sites ......................................................................................4-7 4.6 Upper Air Meteorological Network ............................................................................4-8 4.7 In-Situ Aircraft Measurements ....................................................................................4-9 4.8 Consideration of Alternative Vertical Ozone Measurements....................................4-11 4.9 Measurements for Special Studies.............................................................................4-12 5.0 BUDGET ESTIMATES .......................................................................................................5-1 6.0 PROGRAM MANAGEMENT PLAN AND SCHEDULE.................................................6-1 6.1 CCOS Management Structure .....................................................................................6-1 6.1.1 Policy Committee ............................................................................................6-1 6.1.2 Technical Committee.......................................................................................6-1 6.1.3 Principal Investigators .....................................................................................6-2 6.1.4 Meteorological Working Group ......................................................................6-3 6.1.5 Emissions InventoryWorking Group...............................................................6-3 6.1.6 Field Coordinator.............................................................................................6-3 6.1.7 Quality Assurance Officer...............................................................................6-7 6.1.8 Data Manager ..................................................................................................6-7 6.1.9 Measurement Investigators..............................................................................6-8 6.1.10 Data Analysis and Modeling Investigators......................................................6-8 6.2 Schedule ........................................................................................................................6-9 7.0 REFERENCES ....................................................................................................................7-1 A. MEASUREMENT METHODS A.1 Surface Meteorology................................................................................................... A-1 A.1.1 Surface Wind Speed and Direction ................................................................ A-1 A.1.2 Surface Relative Humidity ............................................................................. A-2 A.1.3 Surface Temperature ...................................................................................... A-3 A.1.4 Surface Pressure ............................................................................................. A-3 A.1.5 Solar Radiation ............................................................................................... A-3 A.2 Upper-Air Wind Speed, Wind Direction, and Temperature....................................... A-3 A.2.1 Radar Wind Profilers...................................................................................... A-3 A.2.2 Radio-Acoustic Sounding Systems (RASS)................................................... A-4 A.2.3 Acoustic Sounders (Sodars) ........................................................................... A-4 A.2.4 Radiosondes.................................................................................................... A-5 A.2.5 Tethered Balloons........................................................................................... A-5 A.2.6 Sonic Anemometers........................................................................................ A-6 v CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 TABLE OF CONTENTS (continued) Page A.3 Routine Surface Air Quality....................................................................................... A-6 A.3.1 Ozone.............................................................................................................. A-7 A.3.2 Nitrogen Oxides ............................................................................................. A-8 A.3.3 Photochemical Assessment Monitoring Stations (PAMS) Program .............. A-9 A.4 Supplemental Measurements of Ozone .................................................................... A-10 A.4.1 Ozonesondes................................................................................................. A-10 A.4.2 Ozone Aloft Lidar Measurements ........................................................... A-11 A.5 Supplemental Measurements of Oxidized Nitrogen Species ................................... A-16 A.5.1 NO2 and PAN by Gas Chromatography with Luminol Chemiluminescence Detection....................................................................................................... A-17 A.5.2 NO2 and HNO3 by Tunable Diode Laser Absorption Spectroscopy........... A-18 A.5.3 NO2, HONO, and NO3 Radical by Differential Optical Absorption Spectroscopy (DOAS) .................................................................................. A-18 A.5.4 Automated Particle Nitrate Monitor............................................................. A-18 A.6 In-Situ Instrumented Aircrafts.................................................................................. A-20 A.7 Supplemental Measurements of Volatile Organic Compounds ............................... A-21 A.7.1 Collection and Analysis of Hydrocarbons and Oxygenated Species ........... A-21 A.7.2 Carbonyl Compounds................................................................................... A-23 A.7.3 C8-C20 Hydrocarbons by Tenax Sampling and Analysis by GC/FID or GC/MS.......................................................................................................... A-24 A.7.4 Continuous Formaldehyde by Fluorescent Detection of Dihydrolutidine Derivative ..................................................................................................... A-24 A.7.5 Continuos GC/MS System ........................................................................... A-25 A1 MASTER VOC PARAMETER LIST .............................................................................. A1-1 B. QUALITY ASSURANCE.................................................................................................. B-1 B.1 Quality Assurance Overview...................................................................................... B-3 B.2 Data Quality Objectives ............................................................................................. B-3 B.3 Systems Audits ........................................................................................................... B-4 B.3.1 Field Systems Audits for Surface Monitoring Sites ....................................... B-4 B.3.2 Field Systems Audits for Aircraft Platforms .................................................. B-5 B.3.3 Laboratory Systems Audits ............................................................................ B-5 B.4 Performance Audits .................................................................................................... B-5 B.4.1 Field Performance Audits of Surface Monitors.............................................. B-5 B.4.2 Field Performance Audits for Surface Meteorological Measurements .......... B-6 B.4.3 Field Performance Audits for Upper-Air Meteorology.................................. B-7 B.4.4 Field Performance Audits for Aircraft Platforms........................................... B-7 B.4.5 Laboratory Performance Audits for Chemical Analysis ................................ B-7 C. DATA MANAGEMENT ................................................................................................... C-1 C.1 Data Specifications..................................................................................................... C-1 C.2 Data Formats .............................................................................................................. C-2 vi CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 TABLE OF CONTENTS (continued) Page C.3 C.4 C.5 C.6 C.7 C.8 D. File Names.................................................................................................................. C-3 Validation Flags.......................................................................................................... C-3 Data Validation Levels ............................................................................................... C-3 Internet Server ............................................................................................................ C-5 Directory Structure ..................................................................................................... C-5 Data Processing .......................................................................................................... C-6 Elevated Plume Research Plan ........................................................................................... D-1 D.1 Study Objectives......................................................................................................... D-1 D.2 Scientific Background ................................................................................................ D-1 D.3 Measurement Plan ...................................................................................................... D-6 D.4 Data Analysis and Model Evaluation ....................................................................... D-13 D.5 References ................................................................................................................ D-14 vii CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 LIST OF TABLES (continued) Table No. Page No. Table 1.4-1 Supplemental Surface Air Quality and Meteorological Measurements.............1-25 Table 1.4-2 CCOS Upper-Air Meteorological Measurements ..............................................1-27 Table 2.1-1 Populations and Areas for Central California Metropolitan Statistical Areas ...2-42 Table 2.3-1a Linked Master Ozone Monitoring Site List .......................................................2-43 Table 2.3-1b Ozone Monitoring Sites Linked in Time for Longer Period of Record .............2-47 Table 2.3-2 Summary of Trends in Daily 1hr and 8hr Ozone Maxima during MayOctober, 1990-98 ...............................................................................................2-48 Table 2.3-3 Annual Maximum of Daily Maximum Ozone Concentrations in Central California During May to October, 1990-98......................................................2-50 Table 2.3-4 Annual Exceedances of the 1-hr and 8-hr Ozone Standards in Central California During May to October, 1990-98......................................................2-55 Table 2.3-5 Average Annual Exceedances of the 1-hr and 8-hr Ozone Standards in Central California by Month May to October, 1990-98.....................................2-60 Table 2.3-6 Average Annual Exceedances of the 1-hr and 8-hr Ozone Standards in Central California by Day-of-the-Week.............................................................2-65 Table 2.4-1 1996 Daily Average ROG Emissions by Air Basins in the CCOS Domain ......2-70 Table 2.4-2 1996 Daily Average NOx Emissions by Air Basins in the CCOS Domain.......2-72 Table 2.5-1 May-October Climate Summaries for Selected Central California Cities (1961-1990 means).............................................................................................2-74 Table 2.5-2 Meteorological Scenarios by Weather Map Inspection .....................................2-75 Table 2.5-3 Basin and Subbasin Exceedance Frequencies by Meteorological Scenario ......2-76 Table 2.5-4 High-Ozone Episodes Identified by the Local Districts for Ozone Seasons 1996-98...............................................................................................................2-77 Table 2.5-5 Cluster Analysis Days by Cluster with Subjective Scenario Type ....................2-81 Table 2.5-6 Descriptive Statistics of Meteorological Parameters for Identified Clusters .....2-83 Table 2.7-1 Number of Exceedances and Ratios of 8-Hour and 1-Hour Parameters............2-84 Table 3.1-1 Emission Inventory Roles and Responsibilities .................................................3-37 Table 3.1-2 Required Meteorological Files. ..........................................................................3-38 Table 3.1-3 Typical Chemical Species in an Emission Inventory for Modeling...................3-38 Table 4.5-1 CCOS Supplemental Surface Measurements.....................................................4-16 Table 4.5-2 CCOS Supplemental Surface and Air Quality and Meteorological Measurements.....................................................................................................4-17 viii CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 LIST OF TABLES (continued) Table No. Page No. Table 4.6-1 Upper-Air Meteorological Measurement for CCOS..........................................5-18 Table 5-1 Summary of Cost Estimates for the CCOS Field Measurement Program ......... 5-2 Table 6.2-1 CCOS Schedule of Milestones...........................................................................6-10 Table A.1-1 Meteorological Sensor Specifications .............................................................. A-26 Table A.1-2 Air Quality Monitoring Site in Northern and Central California ..................... A-27 Table A.1-3 PAMS Sites in the CCOS Area ........................................................................ A-32 Table A.1-4 PAMS Target Species ...................................................................................... A-33 Table A.6.1 UCD Instrumentation ....................................................................................... A-34 Table A.6.2 STI Instrumentation .......................................................................................... A-35 Table D-1 Flight characteristics and instrumentation of Bell 205 Helicopter: TVA Environmental Research Center................................................................. D-8 ix CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 LIST OF FIGURES Figure No. Figure 1.3-1 Page No. Mean basin maximum 1-hr ozone for each cluster grouped by cluster and grouped by air basin ...................................................................................1-13 Figure 1.3.2 Maximum 1-hr ozone for 126 monitoring stations on 8/12/98, a cluster 1 day. 1-14 Figure 1.3-3 Maximum 8-hr ozone for 126 monitoring stations on 8/12/98, a cluster 1 day. 1-15 Figure 1.3-4 Maximum 1-hr ozone for 126 monitoring stations on 8/12/98, a cluster 2 day. 1-16 Figure 1.3-5 Maximum 8-hr ozone for 126 monitoring stations on 8/12/98, a cluster 2 day. 1-17 Figure 1.3-6 Maximum 1-hr ozone for 126 monitoring stations on 8/12/98, a cluster 3 day. 1-18 Figure 1.3-7 Maximum 8-hr ozone for 126 monitoring stations on 8/12/98, a cluster 3 day. 1-19 Figure 2.1-1 Overall study domain with major landmarks, mountains and passes. ...............2-85 Figure 2.1-2 Major political boundaries and air basins within central California. .................2-86 Figure 2.1-3 Major population centers within central California. ..........................................2-87 Figure 2.1-4 Land use within central California from the U.S. Geological Survey. ..............2-88 Figure 2.1-5 Major highway routes in central California. ......................................................2-89 Figure 2.3-1 Annual basin maximum of 8-hour daily maximum ozone trends by location type ......................................................................................................2- 90 Figure 2.3-2 Average 8-hour daily maximum ozone trends in central California by location type . .................................................................................................... 2-91 Figure 2.3-3 Weekend/weekday effect on average 1-hour daily maximum ozone in central California by location type .....................................................................2-92 Figure 2.6-1 Overview of ozone production in the troposphere. ............................................2-93 Figure 2.6-2. (A) Rate constant for the O3 + NO reaction with upper and lower bounds. (B) The uncertainty factor, f(T)..........................................................................2-94 Figure 2.6-3 (A) Rate constant for the CH3O2 + HO2 reaction with upper and lower bounds. (B) The uncertainty factor, f(T). ..........................................................2-95 Figure 2.6-4 Atmospheric lifetimes of selected organic compounds with respect to a hydroxyl radical concentration of 7.5 x 106 molecules cm-3.............................2-96 Figure 2.6-5 Uncertainties in rate parameters for HO radical reactions with alkenes. ...........2-97 Figure 2.6-6 Relative sensitivity of ozone to reaction rate constants. ....................................2-98 Figure 2.6-7 Mean values and 1 σ uncertainties of maximum incremental reactivity values for selected hydrocarbons determined from Monte Carlo simulations. ........................................................................................................2-99 x CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 LIST OF FIGURES (continued) Figure No. Page No. Figure 2.8-2 Plot of 1-hr ozone concentrations in central California at midnight after two simulated days ..........................................................................................2-100 Figure 2.8-2 Plot of 1-hr ozone concentrations in central California at midnight after two simulated days ..........................................................................................2-101 Figure 2.8-3 Plot of 1-hr ozone concentrations in central California at noon on the third simulated day ...................................................................................................2-102 Figure 2.8-4 Plot of 1-hr ozone concentrations in the vertical along a north – south cross section through the center of central California .....................................2-103 Figure 2.8-5 Plot of 1-hr ozone concentrations in the vertical along a west – east cross section through central California along a line running from the San Francisco Bay Area through Sacramento to the front range ....................2-104 Figure 2.8-6 Plot of formaldehyde concentrations at midnight after two simulated days. ...2-105 Figure 2.8-7 Plot of NO concentrations at 1:00 PM on the second simulated day ..............2-106 Figure 3.1-1 File typically required by photochemical air quality model. .............................3-39 Figure 3.2-1 Average source contribution estimates of ambient hydrocarbons at Rider College, NJ during summer, 1995 by time of day. Source: Fujita and Lu, 1998 ...........................................................................................3-40 Figure 3.2-3 Wind directional dependence of source contributions by time of the day at Rider College, NJ during summer, 1995............................................................3-41 Figure 4.4-1 Central California surface meteorological networks and measurement locations. ............................................................................................................4-23 Figure 4.4-2 Surface meteorological observables measured in the combined central California meteorological network.....................................................................4-24 Figure 4.5-1 Existing routine O3 and NOx monitoring sites..................................................4-25 Figure 4.5-2 CCOS supplemental air quality and meteorological monitoring sites and Photochemical Assessment Monitoring Stations ...............................................4-26 Figure 4.6-1 Upper air meteorological measurements during the summer campaign, including annual average study sites and NEXRAD (WSR-88D) profilers. .....4-27 Figure 4.6-2 Upper air meteorological measurement network indicating operating agency.................................................................................................................4-28 Figure A.1-1 Ultraviolet Absorption Spectra of Ozone, Sulfur Dioxide, and Nitrogen Dioxide ............................................................................................................. A-36 Figure A.1-2 Schematic diagram of NOAA’s airborne ozone lidar. ..................................... A-37 Figure D-1 Typical ozone isopleth. The maximum ozone concentrations have been xi CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 removed to allow the structure at lower NOx and VOC concentrations to be seen............................................................................................................. D-3 Figure D-2 Ozone efficiency in terms of moles of ozone produced per moles of NOx converted to NOy. ............................................................................................... D-4 Figure D-3 Bell 205 Helicopter: TVA Environmental Research Center............................... D-5 Figure D-4 Proposed flight plans for plume measurement experiments. ............................ D-12 Figure D-5 Estimated NOx concentrations for the plume from the Pittsburgh electric power generating station. The NOx concentrations were calculated from a simple dispersion model. .............................................................................................. D-13 xii 1.0 STUDY PERSPECTIVE AND SUMMARY Central California is a complex region from an air quality and meteorological perspective, owing to its proximity to the Pacific Ocean, its diversity of climates, and its complex terrain. As a result of progressively more stringent controls on emissions of reactive organic gases and oxides of nitrogen, the frequency and intensity of excessive ozone concentrations in central and northern California have been significantly reduced despite rapid increases in population, commercial activities and vehicle miles traveled. For example, the average annual maximum hourly ozone concentrations have declined by 40, 21, and 30 percent from 1980 to 1997 in the San Francisco Bay Area, Sacramento Valley, and San Joaquin Valley air basins, respectively. The average annual exceedances of the federal 1-hour ozone standard (0.12 ppm) in the San Francisco Bay Area declined from 11 in 1980 to 4 in 1997, from 21 to 10 in the Sacramento Valley Air Basin and from 58 to 41 in the San Joaquin Valley Air Basin. While progress has been made toward attainment of the 1-hour ozone standard, it continues to be exceeded frequently in central California, and the prediction of attainment for the San Joaquin Valley by 1999, based on modeled forecast of emissions in 1994 (SJVUAPCD, 1994), has not been acheived. Retrospective analyses of ozone (O3) data (details in Section 2) have also shown varying progress toward attainment of ozone standards within northern and central California with greater reductions in ozone within coastal urban areas than in the Central Valley. In addition, the data show larger downward trends in 1-hour-average peak O3 concentrations 1 and less progress in reducing the frequency of exceedances of the state 1-hour standard (0.09 ppm) and the pending federal 8-hour ozone standard 2. In addition to areas that are currently in nonattainment of the 1-hour ozone standard, several areas in central and southern Sierra Foothills and northern Sacramento Valley that are now in compliance of the 1-hour standard are also expected to become nonattainment for the 8-hour standard. The state 1-hour and pending federal 8-hour ozone standards will require a reappraisal of past strategies that have focused primarily on addressing the urban/suburban ozone problem to one that considers the problem in a more regional context. Although the recent court action prohibits EPA from enforcing the 8-hour ozone standard, the ruling did not remove the standard. Pending the likely appeal by EPA and its ultimate outcome, the current 1-hour ozone standard continues to apply in areas that have not attained the standard. 1.1 Introduction The Central California Ozone Study (CCOS) is intended to provide another milestone in the understanding of relationships among emissions, transport, and ozone standard exceedances, as well as to facilitate planning for further emission reductions needed to attain state and federal ozone standards. The CCOS is being proposed to gather aerometric and emissions databases for modeling and to apply air quality models for the attainment demonstration portion of the SIP for the federal 8-hour and state 1-hour ozone standards. CCOS is an integrated effort that includes air quality and meteorological field measurements, emissions characterization, data analysis and 1 In this report, the term concentration refers to mixing ratios by volume. The new standard will be attained when the 3-year average of the annual 4th highest daily maximum 8-hour concentration is less than or equal to 0.08 ppm. 2 1-1 air quality modeling. The modeling domain for CCOS will cover all of central California and most of northern California, extending from the Pacific Ocean to east of the Sierra Nevada and from Redding to the Mojave Desert. The selection of this study area reflects the regional nature of the state 1-hour and federal 8-hour ozone exceedances, increasing urbanization of traditionally rural areas, and a need to include all of the major flow features that affect air quality in central California in the modeling domain. The CCOS field measurement program will be conducted in the summer of 2000 in conjunction with the California Regional PM10/PM2.5 Air Quality Study (CRPAQS), a major study of the origin, nature and extent of excessive levels of fine particles in central California (Watson et al., 1998). The CCOS is directed by a technical committee that comprises staff from the California Air Resources Board (ARB), U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the California Energy Commission (CEC), local air pollution control agencies, industry, and other sponsoring organizations with technical input from a consortium of university researchers in California and the Desert Research Institute (DRI). The CCOS plan consists of this field study plan (Volume I) and a field operations plan and protocol (Volume II), which will be available by April, 2000. These documents correspond to the two phases of the planning process for CCOS. Parallel efforts are also underway to develop a broad conceptual model of ozone formation in central California based on SARMAP3 and other relevant studies and a “comprehensive” study plan that addresses the long-term research needs related to the ozone problem in central California (Roth, 1999a and 1999b). This CCOS field study plan describes the goals and technical objectives that will be addressed by the study and describes alternative experimental, modeling, and data analysis approaches for addressing the study objectives. This introductory section provides an overview of the study, which includes the background and rationale for the proposed study, statements of study goals and technical objectives, and a summary of the proposed field measurements and subsequent modeling and data analysis. Chapter 2 presents a summary of the current knowledge of the relationship among meteorology, emissions, chemical and physical transformation, and ozone concentrations in northern and central California. It also reviews the results from prior SAQM4 modeling by ARB, and identifies the remaining uncertainties and their implications for the design of the CCOS field measurement program. Section 3 describes the requirements for the modeling and data analysis approaches that are proposed to address CCOS technical objectives. Section 4 specifies the CCOS measurements that are recommended to meet the requirements of modeling and data analysis. It considers the merits of alternative measurement approaches and explains the rationale and criteria for measurement decisions. Details of the measurements are contained in three appendices. Appendix A describes the existing meteorological and air quality measurement networks and details of the supplemental measurements proposed for CCOS (e.g., measurement method, precision, and accuracy). Appendix A1 provides a list of volatile organic compounds that are recommended for identification and quantification as part of the chemical characterization of ozone precursors. Appendices B and C describe the required quality assurance and data management activities for the study, respectively. Appendix D describes a special study of ozone formation in elevated 3 San Joaquin Valley Air Quality Study and Atmospheric Utility Signatures, Predictions and Experiments Regional Model Adaptation Program 4 SARMAP Air Quality Model 1-2 plumes. Section 5 provides the corresponding budget estimates and Section 6 defines the program management and schedule. This third version of the CCOS field study plan is a product of regular meetings of the CCOS Technical Committee and Working Groups over the past six months with input from local air pollution control districts, academia, and industry reviewers on two earlier versions of the plan (released on 6/11/99 and 9/7/99). The current plan serves as the basis for contracts with measurement groups and for developing the operations plan and protocols for the field study in summer 2000. 1.2 CCOS Goals and Technical Objectives The CCOS has the following goals. 1. Obtain suitable aerometric and emission databases to update, evaluate, and improve model applications for representing urban and regional-scale ozone episodes in central and northern California to meet the regulatory requirements for the state 1-hour and pending federal 8-hour ozone standards. 2. Determine the contributions of transported and locally generated ozone and the relative benefits of volatile (VOC) and nitrogen oxide (NOx) emission controls in upwind and downwind areas. Assess the relative contributions of ozone generated from emissions in one air basin to federal and state exceedances in neighboring air basins. These goals are to be met through a process that includes analysis of existing data; execution of a large-scale field study to acquire a comprehensive database to support modeling and data analysis; analysis of the data collected during the field study; and the development, evaluation, and application of an air quality simulation model for northern and central California. Although air quality simulation modeling may be used to address both CCOS goals, past experience has demonstrated the need for thorough diagnostic analyses and corroborative data analysis to assess the reliability of model outputs. The study design and experimental approach for CCOS are defined in terms of specific technical objectives. These objectives fall into four categories: (A) planning and preparation; (B) emission inventory development, (C) modeling, and (D) data analysis. A number of tasks are required to meet each of the technical objectives. These tasks are listed in this section and are described in greater detail in Section 3 (data requirements) and Section 4 (field measurement program). 1.2.1 Objectives A - Planning and Preparation for the CCOS Field Study Objective A-1. Develop a technically and scientifically defensible experimental design based on the goals and objectives of the sponsoring organizations and current conceptual understanding of the chemical and meteorological conditions that are conducive to violations of the state 1-hour and federal 8-hour ozone standards in central California. 1-3 a. Update current bibliography, review and summarize the literature on emissions, meteorology, ozone formation, and transport in central California, and identify gaps in current knowledge with respect to the questions posed. b. Summarize existing monitoring data in central California with respect to locations and frequency of exceedances of the threshold value for the state 1-hour and pending federal 8-hour ozone standards. c. Review and evaluate past SIP modeling projections of air quality for the San Francisco Bay Area, the San Joaquin Valley, and the Sacramento Valley to ascertain the causes of biases in estimates of air quality improvements. d. Formulate specific questions to be answered by the CCOS field measurement program. Prioritize these questions according to their importance in meeting the objectives of compiling a database for grid-based modeling and improving understanding of the atmospheric processes that affect surface and aloft ozone concentrations. e. Identify meteorological scenarios related to exceedances of the 8-hour ozone standard and specify the characteristics of episodes for which monitoring would be sought as part of CCOS, and outline a strategy for forecasting these episodes based on existing data acquisition. f. Survey existing and planned quantitative modeling and data analysis approaches and determine the additional information needed to improve, evaluate, and apply them. g. Summarize and evaluate existing, long-term measurement networks in central California. Consider the need for supplemental measurements of surface and aloft concentrations of ozone, ozone precursors and reaction products and reactive intermediates to adequately characterize their three-dimensional distribution within the CCOS modeling domain. Consider alternative measurement methods with respect to temporal and spatial resolution, precision and accuracy, and cost. h. Review and determine the applicability of existing surface and upper-air meteorological measurements (e.g., ARB, APCD, and military) and planned CRPAQS meteorological measurements toward achieving the technical objectives of CCOS. Consider supplemental surface and upper-air meteorological measurements needed to adequately characterize the main air flow patterns in the CCOS domain. i. Evaluate potential measurement methods with respect to required averaging times, duration, detection limits, accuracy, precision, validity, and cost-effectiveness. Determine which observables can be measured continuously and which require integrated samples that are submitted to off-site laboratory analysis. Relate each measurement to its intended use in a modeling and/or data analysis activity. j. Define steps for appropriate quality control/quality assurance in order to produce data of specified completeness, validity, accuracy and precision. Articulate the appropriate levels of funding required for the necessary components of quality control/quality assurance (QC/QA), database management and data archival. 1-4 k. Estimate costs for each element of the conceptual plan and summarize the rationale and justification for their inclusion in the final network design in order to facilitate consideration by the CCOS Technical Committee of program options and tradeoffs. l. Prepare and post the program plan, in PDF format, to the CCOS web site. Objective A-2. Prepare the CCOS operational plan and field operations protocol, make contractual arrangements with measurement groups, and conduct preliminary evaluations of measurement methods and forecast protocol. a. Prepare and issue requests for proposals for CCOS field measurements, as necessary, and make contractual arrangements with measurement groups. Identify coordinators for quality assurance and data management. b. Evaluate the accuracy, precision and validity of measurement methods that have not been sufficiently tested under either laboratory or field conditions. Such methods include continuous NO2 and PAN measurement by gas chromatography (GC)/Luminol and continuous HCHO measurements. Assemble and evaluate the accuracy and precision of an automated GC/ion trap mass spectrometry (MS) and develop a calibration library for identification and quantitation of VOC species of interest. c. Arrange for the acquisition of new air quality measurement sites. Ensure compliance with applicable siting criteria in the network design plan. Document the site with GPS data, digital images, and perform a video survey of each new site and enter site information into the field operations protocol. Determine the needs and costs for permits, indemnification/insurance requirements, compliance with environmental and safety laws, water, power, air conditioning, and sanitary facilities, and additional structures to accommodate added sampling equipment. d. Set up a forecast system to identify potential study days that meet preselected criteria and maintain daily contact with the study management for selection of sampling days. Design a protocol for handling the scheduling of intensive measurement periods. Specify the episode forecasting method that will be implemented and identify how go/no go decisions will be made and disseminated to project participants. e. Prepare an operational program plan and field operations protocol that specifies the details of the field measurement program that will allow the study plan to be executed with available resources. It identifies measurement locations, observables, and monitoring methods. It specifies data management and reporting conventions and outlines the activities needed to ensure data quality. The field operations protocol is a short document that serves as the guide for those in the field. It is a concise overview of the field study, enumerating the most pertinent information needed by those conducting the measurements. Post the operational plan and field operations protocol, in PDF format, to the CCOS web site by April 2000. f. Conduct a workshop in May 2000 in Sacramento with ARB and district staff, measurement contractors, and other study participants to orient them to the elements in the plan and their responsibilities as members of the project team. Review the draft field 1-5 operations protocol with the project team, and reconcile any discrepancies between the protocol and measurements planned by study participants. Ensure that potential crosscontamination between measurements is eliminated. Confirm schedules and protocols, and identify potential logistical problems and develop appropriate action plans for their resolution. 1.2.2 Objectives B - Emission Inventory Development Objective B-1. Prepare day-specific, hourly, gridded emission inventories that cover each day of the ozone episodes captured during the CCOS field study. a. Develop a “fast-track” spatially and temporally resolved inventory of emission estimates of ROG, NOx, and CO for the CCOS domain for summer 2000 for preliminary modeling. b. Update the “fast-track” with day-specific information collected during the CCOS study (see Objective B-2). c. Project the effects of future activity and alternative controls on emission estimates and develop a spatially and temporally resolved inventory for future year simulation. Objective B-2. Collect day-specific emissions data to update the “fast-track” inventory to more accurately determine the spatial and temporal distribution of emissions from elevated point sources, motor vehicles and other area sources. a. Integrate transportation data for CCOS domain and run DTIM for entire modeling domain. Create gridded, hourly emission estimates of NOx, TOG, CO and PM for onroad mobile sources. b. Develop base year and future year gridding surrogates for spatial distribution of stationary area source categories. c. Compile biomass and emission factor data for major plant species in the Central Valley and Bay Area for use in GIS-based biogenic inventory for the CCOS modeling domain. d. Collect day-specific emission data for wildfires, controlled burns, and agricultural burns. e. Develop point and area source emission inventories for smaller air pollution control districts. f. Obtain hourly estimates of NOx emissions from major point sources to supplement the “fast-track” inventory during potential modeling episodes. 1.2.3 Objectives C - Preparation, Execution and Evaluation of Air Quality Simulation Modeling System Objective C-1. Apply air quality models for the attainment demonstration portion of the SIP for the proposed 8-hour and state 1-hour ozone standards. 1-6 a. Select the most suitable modeling systems (for meteorology, emissions, and air quality) for representing photochemical air pollution in central and northern California. At least one of the models selected should have the ability to simulate both ozone and fine particles. Simulations with that model could be applied to both CRPAQS and CCOS. This will facilitate integration of results across both studies. b. Analyze the data collected during the CCOS field measurement program and select a minimum of three ozone episodes to simulate. c. Specify model domain boundaries, boundary conditions, initial conditions, chemical mechanisms, aerosol module, plume-in-grid module, grid sizes, layers, and surface characteristics. d. Identify performance evaluation methods and performance measures, and specify methods by which these will be applied. e. Evaluate the results of the meteorological model (see Section 3.2.1 for list of evaluation checks). f. Perform operational evaluation of the air quality model (see Section 3.2.3) g. Evaluate and improve the performance of emissions, meteorological, and air quality simulations. Apply simulation methods to estimate ozone concentrations at receptor sites and to test potential emissions reduction strategies. h. Identify the limiting precursors of ozone and assess the extent to which reductions in volatile organic compounds and nitrogen oxides, would be effective in reducing ozone concentrations. Objective C-2. Determine the relative contributions of ozone generated from emissions in one basin to federal and state exceedances in neighboring air basin. a. Characterize the structure and evolution of the boundary layer and the nature of regional circulation patterns that determine the transport and diffusion of ozone and its precursors in northern and central California. b. Identify and describe transport pathways between neighboring air basins, and estimate the fluxes of ozone and precursors transported at ground level and aloft under differing meteorological conditions. Reconcile results with flux plane measurements. c. Determine the contribution of ozone generated from emissions in one basin to federal and state exceedances in neighboring air basin through emission reduction sensitivity analysis. Objective C-3. Provide improve understanding of the role of thermal power plant plumes in contributing to regional air quality problems in central California. 1-7 a. Conduct measurements during CCOS Intensive Operational Periods (IOPs) in plumes from one or more power plants to allow reactive plume or plume-in-grid model to be evaluated. b. Provide operational evaluation of a state-of-the-science reactive plume model component using data collected during the CCOS field study. c. Using the modeling system developed by CCOS, provide a technical analysis appropriate to support the development of interbasin/intrabasin as well as interpollutant offset rules that could be applied to the central California region. d. Run model simulations to estimate the air quality implications of different energy policies. Objective C-4. Assess the reliability associated with air quality model inputs and formulation, and reconcile model results with observation-based and other data analysis methods. a. Perform diagnostic evaluation of model results (see Section 3.2.3) b. Quantify the uncertainty of emissions rates, chemical compositions, locations, and timing of ozone precursors that are estimated by emission models. c. Quantify the uncertainty of meteorological and air quality models in simulating atmospheric transport, transformation, and deposition. 1.2.4 Objectives D - Data Analysis Objective D-1. Determine the accuracy, precision, validity, and equivalence of CCOS field measurements. a. Evaluate the precision, accuracy, and validity of criteria pollutant data from routine monitoring stations. b. Evaluate the precision, accuracy, and validity of PAMS and CCOS supplemental VOC measurements and nitrogenous species measurements. c. Evaluate the precision, accuracy, validity, and equivalence of routine network and CCOS supplemental surface and upper-air meteorological data. d. Evaluate the precision, accuracy, validity of data from instrumented aircraft and radiosonde/ozonesonde releases. e. Evaluate the precision, accuracy, validity, and equivalence of routine and supplemental solar radiation data. Objective D-2. Determine the spatial, temporal, and statistical distributions of air quality measurements to provide a guide to the database and aid in the formulation of hypotheses to be tested by more detailed analyses. 1-8 a. Examine average diurnal changes of surface concentration data during episodic and nonepisodic periods. b. Examine spatial distributions of surface concentration data. c. Examine statistical distributions and relationships among surface air quality measurements. d. Examine vertical distribution of concentrations from airborne measurements. e. Examine the spatial and temporal distribution of solar radiation. Objective D-3. Characterize meteorological transport phenomena and dispersion processes. a. Examine the mechanisms for the movement of air into, out of, and between the different air basins in both horizontal and vertical directions. b. Determine occurrence, spatial extent, intensity, and variability of phenomena affecting horizontal transport (low-level jet, slope flows, eddies, coastal meteorology and flow bifurcation) and vertical transport (convergence and divergence zones). c. Characterize the depth, intensity, and temporal changes of the mixed layer and characterize mixing of elevated and surface emissions. Objective D-4. Reconcile emissions inventory estimates with ambient measurements and “realworld” source measurements. a. Compare proportions of species measured in ambient air and those estimated by emission inventories for reactive and nonreactive species. b. Estimate source contributions by Chemical Mass Balance using measured and predicted ambient VOC composition. c. Conduct on-road remote sensing measurements of CO, HC, NOx and (PM if available) in Sacramento, Fresno, and the San Francisco Bay Area, and evaluate the effects of coldstarts, grade and geographic distribution of high-emitting vehicles. d. Reconcile on-road motor vehicle emission inventory estimates and fuel-based emissions estimates. e. Determine effects of meteorological variables on emissions rates. f. Determine the detectability of day-specific emissions (e.g., fires) and variations in emissions between weekday and weekend. Objective D-5. Characterize pollutant fluxes between upwind and receptor areas. Examine the orientations, dimensions, and locations of flux planes by using aircraft spiral and traverse data, and ground-based concentration data for VOCs, NOx, and O3 coupled with average wind speeds that are perpendicular to the chosen flux planes. 1-9 a. Define the orientations, dimensions, and locations of flux planes. b. Estimate the fluxes and total quantities of selected pollutants transported across flux planes. Test following hypotheses: 1) whether there is significant local generation of pollutants; 2) whether there is significant dilution within or turbulent exchange through the top of the mixed layer; and 3) whether there is substantial transport or dilution owing to eddies, nocturnal jets, and upslope/downslope flows. Objective D-6. Characterize chemical and physical interactions in the formation of ozone. a. Examine VOC and nitrogen budgets as functions of location and time of day. b. Reconcile the spatial, temporal, and chemical variations in ozone, precursor, and endproduct concentrations with expectations from chemical theory. c. Apply observation-based methods to determine where and when ozone concentrations are limited by the availability of NOx or VOC. d. Identify the composition and location of one or more power plant plumes and their surrounding air aloft so that the dispersion and chemical evolution of the plume(s) can be inferred. Objective D-7. Characterize episodes in terms of emissions, meteorology, and air quality and determine the degree to which each intensive episode is a valid representation of commonly occurring conditions and its suitability for control strategy development. a. Describe each intensive episode in terms of emissions, meteorology, and air quality. b. Examine continuous meteorological and air quality data acquired for the entire study period, and determine the frequency of occurrence of days which have transport and transformation potential similar to those of the intensive study days. Generalize this frequency to previous years, using existing information for those years. Objective D-8. Reformulate the conceptual model of ozone formation in the study domain using the results yielded by the foregoing data analyses and modeling. Examine the formulation, assumptions, and parameters in mathematical modules in the air quality model with respect to their consistency with reality. 1.3 Basis for CCOS Field Measurement Program In the development of this study plan, new analysis has been undertaken to complement past studies addressed in Section 2. In this summary, three investigations are described that were initiated to further understand the meteorological conditions that foster ozone formation and that influence the spatial distribution of ozone in central California (details in Section 2). First, nine years (1990-98) of ozone data from selected sites were compiled and examined for 1-hr and 8-hr ozone trends and to identify important features of the diurnal and hebdomadal (weekly) cycles of ozone. Second, a bottom-up statistical cluster analysis of daily-maximum ozone data was completed to objectively group high ozone days selected by local districts, and then to search for 1-10 statistically significant differences in meteorological parameters among the clusters. Third, a topdown approach based on subjective classification of daily weather maps was compared to the observed air quality. Toward this end, a meteorological working group has been formed to generate, at a minimum, a small set of qualitative scenarios to aid in the development of the CCOS study plan, and to link these scenarios to objective analysis. These scenarios can then be used to guide forecasting of episodes, and to help distinguish between the types of episodes that may enhance ozone formation in specific sub-regions or different air basins within the proposed study area. 1.3.1 Analysis of Past Ozone Data A 126-site, 9-year (1990-98) subset of ozone data was selected from the ARB database as described in Section 2.3.1. Breakdowns by site and air basin were examined for 1-hour and 8hour annual maximum of daily maxima, number of exceedance days per year, seasonal occurrences by month (May-Oct), and the hebdomadal cycle of exceedances. As expected, sites downwind of metropolitan areas have the greatest number of exceedances per year. These are Folsom, Auburn, Cool, and Placerville downwind of Sacramento, Arvin and Edison downwind of Bakersfield, Parlier and Maricopa downwind of Fresno, and Livermore downwind of the major Bay Area cities. Overall, southern San Joaquin Valley has the worst air quality in the CCOS region. The CCOS surface sites are located to measure the chemical transformations taking place with downwind transport. Seasonal occurrences of ozone exceedances were dominated by July and August with the lower numbers in June and September being approximately equal to each other. The July-August time frame for CCOS intensives is justified. A weekend/weekday effect was found for rural, suburban and urban sites, although rigorous statistical significance of the effect was not pursued and is part of other on-going efforts. 1.3.2 Cluster Analysis of High Ozone Days Ozone data from ozone seasons 1996-98 are employed to determine groupings of spatial patterns on several very high ozone days selected by the local air quality districts. Despite some differences in the 8-hour and 1-hour results that are still being examined in the Meteorological Working Group, three clusters are found for both 1-hour and 8-hour exceedances: Cluster 1 - The San Francisco Bay Area (SFBA) has its highest basin-wide ozone values, though still less in absolute magnitude than San Joaquin Valley. This cluster is characterized by the weakest sea breeze (lowest west-to-east component through Carquinez Strait), and the lowest Oakland inversion base heights. Among the cluster days, North Central Coast ozone is also highest during Cluster 1. Cluster 2 - The San Joaquin Valley (SJV) has its highest basin-wide values while the Bay Area and Sacramento Valley are relatively cleaner. A stronger sea breeze, relatively to Cluster 1, keeps the pollutants moving through the Bay Area and the Sacramento Valley, but may increase transport into the SJV. Among the cluster days, Mountain Counties ozone is lowest during Cluster 2 1-11 Cluster 3 – Sacramento Valley (SV) has its highest basin-wide ozone values, as does the Mountain Counties Air Basin. As with Cluster 2, a stronger sea breeze is present, relative to Cluster 1, but surface temperatures in Sacramento Valley are significantly higher, indicating less and/or later intrusion of the sea breeze, allowing more time for photochemistry before evening transport to the Mountain Counties. Figure 1.3-1 shows the average ozone for each cluster and for all 42 cluster days (Cluster 1- 22 days, Cluster 2 – 12 days, and Cluster 3 – 8 days). Days were selected from 1996-98 highozone episodes identified by local districts (see Section 2.5.4.3). Differences in average ozone concentrations among the three clusters are statistically significant (at 95% confidence level) for both SFBA and SV. However, for SJV, none of the clusters are significantly different due to less marine air intrusion into SJV. This analysis shows the importance of the sea breeze in determining spatial distribution of ozone accumulation. When the sea breeze is inhibited, higher ozone levels occur throughout the study area, including the coastal regions. The San Joaquin Valley shows the least variation among the clusters owing to the combined effect of topography and greater distance from the coast, while Sacramento Valley shows more variation due to potential for greater influence of the marine intrusion. Figures 1.3-2 through 1.3-7 illustrate the differences in the spatial patterns of ozone concentrations for these three clusters, for both 1hr (Figures 1.3-2, 4 and 6) and 8hr (Figures 1.33, 5, and 7) ozone maximums. Each figure displays the daily ozone maximum from 126 monitoring stations throughout the entire study region. More discussion is presented in Sections 2.3, 2.5 and 2.7, but some features are noted here. • The SFBA had ozone on a par with the SJV (147 ppb at Concord and 145 ppb at Clovis in the SJV) on August 12, 1998, a Cluster 1 day. The hexagon and large circles represent exceedances of the 1hr standard. The upper Sacramento Valley was relatively clean with no state 1-hr or Federal 8-hr exceedances. • On August 30, 1996, a Cluster 2 day, the SFBA and Sacramento Valley (SV) were relatively clean, but San Andreas registered a 138 ppb on the southeastern edge of the clean zone, whereas the northern Mountain Counties were clean like the SV. Arvin and Edison experienced 156 and 163 ppb ozone, respectively. • An interesting feature on August 14, 1998, a Cluster 3 day, is the high 8-hr ozone values in the north Sacramento Valley. There were 8-hr exceedances downwind of Sacramento, but even higher 8-hr values of 110 ppb were present in Redding. 1.3.3 Meteorological Scenarios by Weather Map Analysis The development of a conceptual model for ozone formation is aided by identification of meteorological scenarios that foster the formation, accumulation and transport of ozone (see Sections 2.3, 2.5 and 2.7). An idealized set of meteorological scenarios would be distinct from one another. Each scenario should be linked to a set of commonly measured observables, like routine meteorological and air quality data, to increase the success rate of go/no-go decisions based on weather forecasts. 1-12 Mean Basin Maximum 1hr Ozone for Each Cluster Grouped by Cluster 180 SFBA Ozone (ppb) 150 SV 120 SJV 90 60 30 0 C1_mean C2_mean C3_mean All_mean Mean Basin Maximum 1hr Ozone for Clusters Grouped by Air Basin Ozone (ppb) 180 C1_mean 150 C2_mean 120 C3_mean All_mean 90 60 30 0 SFBA SV SJV Figure 1.3-1. Mean basin maximum5 1-hour ozone for each cluster grouped by cluster and grouped by air basin. 5 Average ozone for clusters and for all 42 cluster days (Cluster 1- 22 days, Cluster 2 – 12 days, and Cluster 3 – 8 days). Days were selected from 1996-98 high-ozone episodes identified by local districts (see Section 2.5.4.3). Differences for SFBA are statistically significant for all three clusters and each is different from the mean. Differences for SV are statistically significant for all three clusters, but only 2 and 3 differ from the mean. None of the clusters are significant for SJV due to less sea breeze penetration over the surrounding topography. 1-13 Figure 1.3-2. Maximum 1hr ozone for 126 monitoring stations on 8/12/98, a Cluster 1 Day. 1-14 Figure 1.3-3. Maximum 8hr ozone for 126 monitoring stations on 8/12/98, a Cluster 1 Day. 1-15 Figure 1.3-4. Maximum 1hr ozone for 126 monitoring stations on 8/30/96, a Cluster 2 Day. 1-16 Figure 1.3-5. Maximum 8hr ozone for 126 monitoring stations on 8/30/96, a Cluster 2 Day. 1-17 Figure 1.3-6. Maximum 1hr ozone for 126 monitoring stations on 8/14/98, a Cluster 3 Day. 1-18 Figure 1.3-7. Maximum 8hr ozone for 126 monitoring stations on 8/14/98, a Cluster 3 Day. 1-19 The identification of meteorological scenarios is an on-going task of the CCOS Meteorological Working Group. Ozone season days, May 1 – October 31, have been classified for three recent seasons, 1996-1998, using two complementary approaches. This effort is a topdown approach using inspection of 500-mb weather maps to establish gross features and to classify all 552 subject days into eight categories, including 2-4 subcategories for six of the eight scenarios. These scenarios are presented here in the approximate order of decreasing ozone impact: 1. Western U.S. High – Upper-level high pressure center located over the Western U.S. 2. Eastern Pacific High – Upper-level high pressure center off the Western U.S. coast 3. Monsoonal Flow – Upper-level high pressure center in the south-western U.S. or in northern Mexico such that southerly flow brings moisture north 4. Zonal Flow – West-to-East 5. Pre-Frontal – Front approaching from northwest brings southwesterly flow 6. Trough Passage – Upper-level trough moves through California, usually ventilating Central California. 7. Continental High – Northerly wind with no marine component, more typical in winter 8. El Nino Cut-off Low – A special class for 1997 where a cut-off low sat just of the southern California coast for several days. The Western U.S. high accounts for proportionately the greatest number of exceedances. As shown in Table 2.5-3, 97% of days with highs centered over southern California have 8-hour exceedances in the Central San Joaquin Valley, where the frequency of exceedances on all 199698 ozone season days is 42%. The Western U.S. High contributes to stagnation conditions throughout central California by fostering an off-shore gradient which weakens (and in some cases even reverses) the usual sea breeze. Compared to a more vigorous sea breeze scenario like the Eastern Pacific High, this tends to keep pollutants longer within respective source regions, although some transport can still occur with the delayed and/or weakened sea breeze. The SFBA has 8-hour exceedances on 29% of days when the Western U.S. High is centered over the Pacific Northwest, while the frequency of SFBA 8-hour exceedances on all 1996-98 ozone season days is only about 4%. This scenario also provides abundant sunlight and the greatest subsidence inversion to reduce mixing heights and trap pollutants vertically all over central California. Monsoonal flow can have both mitigating and exacerbating impacts on SJV air quality. Some monsoonal days are identified (e.g., 9/3/98), where SJV ozone is lower relative to the rest of Central California, but on other days, the southerly monsoonal flow can weaken the SJV exit flow through Tehachapi Pass. Zonal flow tends to increase synoptic forcing, and less ozone impact is seen in the northern portion of the study area, but the topography surrounding the SJV helps decouple the valley from the upper level winds, and many exceedances are observed in SJV during zonal flow. The last four scenarios all help ventilate the Central Valley. There were no 1-hour exceedances during any of the 142 out of 552 days studied (26%), although some 8- 1-20 hour exceedances are observed in the SJV and the Mountain Counties even with a trough passage. While these results are conceptually helpful, interpretation and application of the topdown approach is limited due to the large scale of the eight classes that does not allow for adequate consideration of day-to-day atmospheric variability and of smaller mesoscale effects. Additionally, during the Western U.S. High, when synoptic forcing over central California is weakest, ozone concentrations are greatest, and mesoscale features which re-distribute ozone and precursors become most important. Subtle synoptic differences, fostering the formation and/or amplification of these features, are difficult to identify and classify. 1.3.4 Episode Forecasting and Selection The broad goal of the meteorological working group is to develop protocols for forecasting and selecting episodes of interest for intensive study. The group has undertaken four efforts, each with a task leader, to accomplish this goal. These efforts will be described and the protocols documented in the operational plan. a. Define regional mesoscale flow features – Create a document with mesoscale flow features identified. Define the air quality impact of each feature. Develop operational definitions to define the presence or absence of each feature. Evaluate locations of existing and proposed stations to adequately define each feature. These features include: • • • • • • • • • • • • • • b. Sea breeze Marine air intrusion Coastal Windflow – off-shore flow, north or south along coast Marine fog and stratus San Joaquin Valley/Sacramento Valley Bifurcation Zone – location and relative proportions of air moving north, east, and south. Pacheco Anti-Cyclone – possible impact on SJV to San Louis Obispo area transport. Fresno Eddy – degree to which pollutants are trapped and re-entrained in central SJV with the damming of air against the Tehachapi mountains and subsequent recirculation. Schultz Eddy – impacts of transport to northern mountain counties and upper SV Redding Eddy – Discuss any evidence for and or possible importance to air quality in the Redding area. Upper/Lower SV Convergence zone Upper/Lower SJV Convergence zone Upslope/Downslope Up-valley/Down-valley Compensation Flow/Re-entrainment Investigate the use of forecast models – Evaluate the use of daily runs of mesoscale models for local forecasts. This is currently done in other areas. For example, the University of Utah performs daily forecast runs for Salt Lake City and the surrounding area. The Naval Post-Graduate School is involved in this activity in California and CCOS may coordinate these efforts. 1-21 c. Establish website tool for forecast – Create a web site with near real-time display of selected meteorological and air quality data. This would include consolidated information from NWS, ARB, military sites, local districts and other sources. d. Develop forecast team protocol – Define the composition and operations of the forecast team. Develop criteria for go/no-go decision and selection of episodes. This will likely be modeled after previous successful forecast team efforts like the SARMAP 1990 and SCOS97 effort. 1.4 Overview of CCOS Field Measurements Data requirements for CCOS are determined by the need to drive and evaluate the performance of modeling systems, which include three components. A meteorological model provides winds fields, vertical profiles of temperature and humidity, and other physical parameters in a gridded structure. Emissions inventory and supporting models provide gridded emissions for anthropogenic area and point sources and natural emissions. An air quality model simulates the chemical and physical processes involved in the formation and accumulation of ozone. In evaluating modeling system performance, the primary concern is replicating the physical and chemical processes associated with actual ozone episodes. This necessitates the collection of suitable meteorological, emissions, and air quality data that pertain to these episodes. The data requirements of CCOS are also driven by a need for complementary, independent and corroborative data analysis so that modeling results can be compared to current conceptual understanding of the phenomena replicated by the model. Data requirements for CCOS are summarized in Section 1.5 (details in Section 3). The CCOS field measurement program will be conducted during a four-month period from 6/1/00 to 9/30/00. A network of upper-air meteorological monitoring stations will supplement the existing routine meteorological and air quality monitoring network in order to identify and characterize meteorological scenarios that are conducive to ozone formation during the ozone season. Supplemental air quality measurements will be made during a three-month period from 6/15/00 to 9/15/00 (study period), which corresponds to the majority of elevated ozone levels observed in northern and central California during previous years. Continuous surface and upper-air meteorological measurements and surface air quality measurements of O3 NO, NOx or NOy6 will be made hourly throughout the study period in order to provide sufficient input data to model any day during the study period. These measurements are made in order to assess the representativeness of the episode days, to provide information on the meteorology and air quality conditions on days leading up to the episodes, and to assess the meteorological regimes and transport patterns which lead to ozone episodes. Additional continuous surface air quality measurements will be made at several sites during a shorter two-month study period from 7/6/00 to 9/2/00 (primary study period). These measurements include nitrogen dioxide (NO2), peroxyacetylnitrate (PAN) and other peroxyacylnitrates (PAcN), particulate nitrate (NO3-), formaldehyde (HCHO), and speciated 6 Reactive oxidized nitrogen (NOy) include nitric oxide (NO), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), nitrous acid (HONO), peroxynitric acid (HNO4), nitrate radical (NO3), nitrate aerosol (NO3-), dinitrogen pentoxide (N2O5), nitric acid (HNO3), peroxyacetylnitrate (PAN) and other PAN analogues, and organic nitrates (ORNI). 1-22 volatile organic compounds. These measurements allow detailed examination of the diurnal, day-to-day, and day-of-the-week variations in carbon and nitrogen chemistry at transport corridors and at locations downwind of the San Francisco Bay Area, Sacramento, Fresno, and Bakersfield where ozone formation may be either VOC- or NOx-limited depending upon time of day and pattern of pollutant transport. These data support operational and diagnostic model evaluations, evaluations of emission inventories, and corroborative observation-based data analyses. Additional data will be collected during ozone episodes (intensive operational periods, IOP) to better understand the dynamics and chemistry of the formation of high ozone concentrations. The budget for CCOS allows for up to 15 days total for episodic measurements. With an average episode of three to four days, four to five episodes are likely. These measurements include instrumented aircraft, speciated VOC, and radiosonde measurements, which are labor intensive and require costly expendables or laboratory analyses. IOPs will be forecasted during periods that correspond to categories of meteorological conditions called scenarios, which are associated with ozone episodes and ozone transport in northern and central California. These intensive measurements will be made on days leading up to and during ozone episodes and during specific ozone transport scenarios. The additional measurements are needed for operational and diagnostic model evaluation, to improve our conceptual understanding of the causes of ozone episodes in the study region and the contribution of transport to exceedances of federal and state ozone standards in downwind areas. 1.4.1 Surface Meteorological and Air Quality Measurements The existing meteorological network in central California is extensive, but uncoordinated among the different agencies. Surface meteorological monitoring networks includes those operated by the Air Resources Board (ARB), the Bay Area Air Quality Management District (BAAQMD), the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the California Irrigation Management Information Service (CIMIS), Interagency Monitoring of Protected Visual Environments (IMPROVE), the National Weather Service (NWS), Pacific Gas and Electric Company (PG&E), the U.S. Coast Guard, Remote Automated Weather Stations (RAWS) for fire fighting, and a few miscellaneous monitors. Wind speed and direction, temperature, and relative humidity are the most common measurements. The network of surface pressure and solar radiation measurements is also extensive. Three sites measure ultraviolet radiation in the Sacramento Valley, in the San Joaquin Valley, and along the south coast in Santa Barbara County. The California Air Resources Board and local air pollution control districts currently operate 185 air quality monitoring stations throughout northern and central California. Of the active sites, 130 measure ozone and 76 measure NOx. Carbon monoxide and hydrocarbons are measured at 57 and 11 sites, respectively. Data from these sites are routinely acquired and archived by the ARB and Districts. This extensive surface air quality monitoring network provides a substantial database for setting initial condition for the model, and for operational evaluation of model outputs. The existing meteorological network will be augmented with the CCOS supplemental sites described below. Ten meter meteorological towers at each of newly established CCOS 1-23 supplemental sites will be equipped with low threshold (~0.3 m/s) wind sensors and high sensitivity relative humidity sensors. Supplemental air quality measurement are required at several existing monitoring sites to increase the extent of chemical speciation and in key areas of the modeling domain where routine monitoring stations do not currently exist. Measurements of documented quality and adequate sensitivity are needed along the western boundary of the modeling domain to adequately characterize the temporal and spatial distributions of ambient background levels of ozone precursors because boundary conditions can significantly affected model outputs. Background sites intend to measure concentrations that are not influenced by northern and central California emissions. Interbasin transport sites are intended to evaluate concentrations along established or potential transport pathways between basins, including the Bay Area, the North Central Coast Air Basin, the Sacramento Valley, the San Joaquin Valley, Mountain counties, the South Central Coast Air Basin, and the Mojave desert. Intrabasin gradient sites are located in non-urban areas between routine network sites. They are intended to evaluate the extent to which one urban area affects ozone concentrations in another urban area, as well as the extent to which urban contributions arrive at suburban and rural locations. The CCOS field measurement program consists of four categories of supplemental measurement sites with increasing levels of chemical speciation and time resolution – Type 0, 1, and 2 “supplemental” (S) sites and “research” (R) sites. Table 1.4-1 lists the measurements (described in Appendix A) to be made at each of type of supplemental monitoring sites along averaging times and operating schedules. Type 0 supplemental monitoring sites (S0) are intended to fill in key areas of the modeling domain where ozone and nitrogen oxides are not currently measured. Proposed sites include McKittrick and Kettleman City (both along the western side of the San Joaquin Valley), Shasta (downwind of Redding), and Carizo Plain (along transport route between San Luis Obispo and the southern San Joaquin Valley). In addition NO/NOy analyzers will be added at several existing monitoring sites that currently measure only ozone. Three of these sites are located along pollutant transport routes (Vacaville, San Martin, and Walnut Grove Tower at two elevations). Yosemite (Turtleback Dome) is proposed in order to monitor NO/NOy at a site where formation of ozone is expected to be always NOx limited. Type 1 supplemental monitoring sites (S1) are intended to establish boundary and initial conditions for input into air quality models. These sites are needed at the upwind boundaries of the modeling domain, in the urban center (initial conditions) and at downwind locations (boundary conditions). With the exception of NOy measurements, S1 sites are equivalent to Photochemical Assessment Monitoring Stations (PAMS) sites. Measurements of speciated volatile organic compounds (VOC) made under CCOS (four 3-hour samples on 15 IOP days) supplement the 11 existing PAMS sites in the study area (four in Sacramento, four in Fresno, and three in Bakersfield). The ozone episodic samples that will be collected under PAMS will coincide with the CCOS IOP days. S1 sites are proposed for Bodega Head and along the south central coast north of Morro Bay to obtain background data near the western boundary of the CCOS modeling domain. Sutter Buttes and Turlock provide characterization of ambient air transported into the upper Sacramento Valley and into the northern San Joaquin Valley, respectively, as a function of the nature of the flow bifurcation downwind of the San Francisco Bay Area. Measurements at Anderson (located south of Redding) are designed to determine whether ozone precursors immediately upwind of Redding are largely transported or are 1-24 Table 1.4-1 CCOS Supplemental Surface Measurements Observable and Method Meteorology and Radiation Meteorology (WS,WD, T and RH) at 10 m Radiation (JNO2 and JO1D) Period Avg Time Type of Sites 6/15/00 to 9/15/00 5-minute S0, S1, S2 and R 6/15/00 to 9/15/00 5-minute R 6/15/00 to 9/15/00 5-minute S0, S1, S2 and R 15 IOP days 10-minute Oxidants Ozone (ultraviolet absorption monitor) H2O2 (TDLAS) R (1) Nitrogen Species NO, NOx (chemiluminescent monitor) 6/15/00 to 9/15/00 5-minute S2, R NO, NOy (high sensitivity chemiluminescent monitor with external converter) NOy, NOy-HNO3 (high sensitivity chemiluminescent monitor with dual converters w/ & w/o NaCl impregnated fiber denuder) 6/15/00 to 9/15/00 5-minute S0, S1 6/15/00 to 9/15/00 10-minute S2, R NO2, PAcNs (GC - Luminol) 7/2/00 to 9/2/00 30-minute S2, R 7/2/00 to 9/2/00 10-minute R 15 IOP days 10-minute 15 IOP days 4 x 3-hr S1, S2, R 15 IOP days 4 x 3-hr S1, S2, R HCHO (dihydrolutinine derivative/fluorescent detection) C8-C20 hydrocarbons (Tenax GC-FID, MSD) 7/2/00 to 9/2/00 10-minute S2, R 15 IOP days 4 x 3-hr R VOC (Automated-GC/ion trap mass spectrometer) HCHO (TDLAS) 7/2/00 to 9/2/00 hourly R 15 IOP days 10-minute 15 IOP days hourly, - NO (flash vaporization) NO2, HNO3 (TDLAS) R (1) Carbon Species CO, CO2, CH4, C2-C12 hydrocarbons (canister/GC-FID) C1-C7 carbonyls( DNPH-HPLC/UV) Hydroxy carbonyls R (1) (2) CO (nondispersive infrared) 6/15/00 to 9/15/00 5-minute R R CO2 (nondispersive infrared) 6/15/00 to 9/15/00 5-minute R PM2.5 light absorption (aethalometer) 6/15/00 to 9/15/00 5-minute R PM2.5 light scattering (portable nephelometer) 6/15/00 to 9/15/00 5-minute R PM/Visibility (1) At the Fresno research site only. (2) At the Sacramento research site only. 1-25 attributable to local sources. Similar transport issues will be addressed by measurements in the foothill communities near Grass Valley and San Andreas. Type S1 measurements are also proposed for the CRPAQS Anchor site at Angiola. The Bay Area AQMD will operate the existing San Jose and San Leandro monitoring sites as S1 sites during CCOS. Type 2 supplemental monitoring sites (S2) are located at the interbasin transport and intrabasin gradient sites, and near the downwind edge of the urban center where ozone formation may either be VOC or NOx limited depending upon time of day and pattern of pollutant transport. S2 sites also provide data for initial conditions and operation evaluations and some diagnostic evaluation of model outputs. Measurements at S2 sites include those at S1 sites plus continuous NOy* (NOy minus nitric acid), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), peroxyacetylnitrate (PAN) and formaldehyde (HCHO). The measurements allow more detailed assessments of VOC- and NOx-limitation by observation-driven methods during the entire two-month primary study period. S2 sites are proposed along the three main passes connecting the Bay Area and the Central Valley (Bethel Island, Altamont Pass, and Pacheco Pass. S2 measurements are also proposed downwind of Fresno at the Mouth of the Kings River and downwind of Bakersfield at Edison. One additional Type S2 site will be located east of Sacramento. Research sites (R) have the same site requirements as S2 sites. The sites are intended to measure a representative urban mix of pollutants, and must be carefully selected to minimize the potential influence of local emission sources. As with S2 sites, research sites are located where ozone formation may either be VOC or NOx limited depending upon time of day and pattern of pollutant transport. Research site are intended to provide the maximum extent of high-quality, time-resolved chemical and other aerometric data for rigorous diagnostic evaluation of air quality model simulations and emission inventory estimates. VOC speciation will be obtained at research sites hourly rather than four 3-hour samples at S1 and S2 sites. Other continuous measurements carbon monoxide, carbon dioxide, photolytic rate parameters, light adsorption and scattering. Data for these measurements will be collected during the primary study period of two months. Other measurements that will be made during ozone episodes include NO2, HNO3, HCHO, and hydrogen peroxide (H2O2) by tunable diode laser absorption spectroscopy (TDLAS), C8 to C18 hydrocarbons and hydroxy carbonyl compounds. Research sites are proposed downwind of Sacramento and Fresno, and near Dublin between Oakland and Livermore. 1.4.2 Aloft Meteorology and Air Quality Measurements Table 1.4-2 describes the upper air sites, their measurements and operators. Radar profilers, doppler sodars, and RASS are used at most sites because they acquire hourly average wind speed, wind direction, and temperature by remote sensing without constant operator intervention. Sodars are collocated with profilers at several locations because they provide greater vertical resolution in the first 100 m agl. Several radar profilers are being installed to acquire a multi-year database, and one of the important functions of the CCOS/CRPAQS supplements to this network is to relate these relatively sparse measurements to the detailed meteorological patterns determined during CCOS. The ARB operates two profilers (with RASS) in the San Joaquin Valley, and the San Joaquin Valley Unified APCD and Sacramento Metropolitan AQMD operate one profiler/RASS each as part of their PAMS monitoring 1-26 Table 1.4-2 CCOS Upper-Air Meteorological Measurements ID Name Purpose Operatora Contractor Radarb RASSb ABK Arbuckle Intrabasin Transport ETL/NOAA SC SC ABU Upslope/Downslope Flow, Downwind of Major Source Area Upslope/Downslope Flow ETL/NOAA SC SC ACP N. of Auburn, S. of Grass Valley Angel's Camp CCOS/ CRPAQS CCOS ETL/NOAA ANGI Angiola Intrabasin Transport, Vertical Mixing, CRG Corning Northern Valley Barrier and Convergence Cone EDI EDW Edison Edwards AFB CCOS/ CRPAQS CCOS/ CRPAQS CCOS/ CRPAQS ARB EAF CCOS/ CRPAQS ETL/NOAA CCOS/ CRPAQS TBD HUR LGR LHL LIV Interbasin Transport through Tehachapi Pass Interbasin Transport through Tehachapi Pass, Desert Mixed Layer, Synoptic Conditons Fresno Air Intrabasin Transport, Fresno Eddy, Major Soure Terminal Area Fresno-First Street Urban Heat Island, Intrabasin Transport, Synoptic Conditons. Major Source Area Huron Intrabasin Transport, SJV Nocturnal Jet Lagrange Upslope/Downslope Flow, Mariposa River Valley Lost Hills Intra&Interbasin Transport across Carizo Plain Livingston Intrabasin Transport, mid-SJV Valley Axis Flow MJD MKR Mojave Desert Mouth Kings Interbasin Transport, Downwind of southern SJV Upslope/Downslope Flow MON NTD OAK RIC Monterey Point Mugu USN Oakland airport Richmond Onshore/Offshore Transport Onshore/Offshore Transport, Synoptic Conditions Onshore/Offshore Transport, Synoptic Conditions Onshore/Offshore Transport FAT FSF CRPAQS CRPAQS ARB CCOS/ CRPAQS CRPAQS CRPAQS/ CCOS USNPGS USN NWS BAAQMD/ CCOS SMAPCD CCOS Sodarb,c SC ETL/NOAA AC AC ETL/NOAA SC SC AC AC SC AS ETL/NOAA SC SC SC SE AC SC AC AC AC SC AC AC AC AC AC AC AC AC SC SC AS AS ETL/NOAA SC SC AC AC AC Sacramento Intrabasin Transport AC AC Santa Nella, E of I- Interbasin Transport through Pacheco Pass 5 toward Los Banos TAF AC TRA Travis AFB Interbasin Transport between Valley and Bay Area CCOS STI SC SC TRC Tracy, W of Interbasin Transport through Altamont Pass Tracy, S of I-205, W of I-580 VAF AC VBG Vandenberg AFB Onshore/Offshore Transport, Synoptic Conditions SJVUAPCD AC AC VIS Visalia Intrabasin Transport CCOS STI SC SC Pt. Reyes Onshore/Offshore Transport CCOS STI SC SC LVR Livermore Intrabasin Transport from Oakland to Livermore CCOS STI SC SC San Martin Interbasin Transport from Bay Area to North Central Coast CCOS ARL/NOAA SC SC SC CAR Carizo Plain Interbasin Transport from San Joaquin Valley to South Central Coast Air Basin CCOS ETL/NOAA SC SC PLE Plesant Grove Interbasin Transport from Sacramento to Upper Sacramento Valley a CCOS=Central California Ozone Study (this study), ARB=Air Resoures Board, BAAQMD=Bay Area Air Quality Management District; USNPGS=U.S. Navy Post Graduate School; SJVUAPCD=SJV Unified Air Pollution Control District, NWS=National Weather Service; SMAQMD=Sacramento Metropolitan Air Quality Management District, CRPAQS=California Regional PM10/PM2.5 Air Quality Study; VAF=Vandenberg Air Force Base, TAF=Travis Air Force Base, EAF=Edwards Air Force Base, USN=U.S. Navy. b AC=Annual continuous measurements; AS=Annual sporadic measurements, SC=Summer continuous, 6/1/2000-9/30/2000; SE=Summer episodic measurements on forecasted days. c Summer campaign sodars added at some sites as part of CRPAQS/CCOS except at RIC. SAC SNA d Balloon launch on episode days. Frequency should be 4-8 times per day but include 0700 and 1900 PST. 1-27 Sondeb,d SE AS program. Military facilities with operational profilers include Travis AFB, Vandenberg AFB, and the Naval Post Graduate School in Monterey. As part of CRPAQS, NOAA will upgrade existing equipment, as required, at these facilities, and coordinate data collection to ensure compatibility with the CRPAQS/CCOS upper-air database. Because these profilers are operated by different entities, equivalent methods of data evaluation and reporting need to be established among these entities prior to CCOS field study. Six profiles/RASS will be installed and operational during summer 2000 as part of the CRPAQS. In addition, nine profilers/RASS and 5 sodars will be installed for the CCOS summer 2000 field study. Another radar/RASS profiler will be located in the vicinity of the power plant stacks selected for study to ensure that the local 3D winds are well defined for accurate model simulation during the crucial early stages of plume dispersion. Measurements are planned for the power plants at Moss Landing and at Pittsburgh and the radar/RASS profiler will be moved as necessary. Radiosondes are needed to determine changes in relative humidity and to quantify conditions at elevations above ~2000 m agl. They are also the only practical means of acquiring upper air measurements in cities where the noise and siting requirements of remote sensing devices make them difficult to operate. Radiosondes are routinely launched through the year at 0400 and 1600 PST from Oakland, with additional launches at Vandenberg, Edwards, and Pt. Mugu according to military mission requirements. None of these locations are within the Central Valley, so these will be supplemented by launches at Sacramento and in the southern San Joaquin Valley on 15 episodic days during summer with six radiosondes (with ozonesonde) releases per day. The 490 MHz RWP will be placed in the Fresno area to provide higher vertical soundings in the central San Joaquin Valley. In addition to ozonesondes mentioned in the previous section, aloft air quality measurements are available from fixed platforms that are part of the routine monitoring network (e.g., Walnut Grove radio tower and Sutter Buttes). CCOS will add NOy measurements at Walnut Grove and Sutter Buttes to provide additional information on oxidants available as carryover to mix-down on the following day. Four aircraft are proposed for the CCOS field study. Instrumented aircraft will be used to measure the three dimensional distribution of ozone, ozone precursors, and meteorological variables. For CCOS, aircraft data have five specific uses: • Aloft boundary and initial conditions – direct input to model. • Definition of temporal and spatial ozone patterns in layers aloft – model evaluation. • Direct measurement of mixing depth during spirals – model evaluation and many corroborative studies. • Flux plane estimation of transport - model evaluation and corroborative transport assessment. • Reconciliation of aloft data with the conceptual model. 1-28 Three small air quality aircraft are needed to document the vertical and horizontal gradients of ozone, NOx, ROG, temperature, and humidity in the study region. One aircraft is needed for the Bay Area, a second aircraft for the northern boundary, Sacramento Valley and northern Sierra Nevada, and a third aircraft for the San Joaquin Valley and the central and southern Sierra Nevada. Onboard air quality instruments should have high sensitivity and fast response (e.g., modified TEI 42S for NO and NOy). The small aircraft will make one flight in the early morning (0500 to 0900 PDT) to document the morning precursors and the carryover from the day before and a second flight in mid-afternoon (1300 to 1700 PDT) to document the resulting ozone distribution. An occasional third flight might be considered during the night to characterize the nocturnal transport regime and pollutant layers. Flights last between three to four hours and may consist of a series of spirals (over fixed points on the ground) and traverses (at constant altitude from one point to another) throughout the mixed layer. One of these aircraft will also participate in characterizing flux-planes. All aircraft will have the capability to measure wind direction and speeds. A larger multi-engine aircraft will be used to document the horizontal and vertical gradients along the offshore boundaries of the modeling domain, Bay Area and the North Central Coast. This plane will carry the same instrumentation as the smaller planes. This long-range aircraft will make two flights per day, one in the early morning and one in mid-afternoon. The flights will take about four hours and will likely consist of a series of dolphin patterns (slow climbs and descents along the flight path) and traverses. During one leg of the morning flight of the first day of an IOP, this aircraft will measure the concentrations at the western, overwater boundary of the study area. On the return leg, the aircraft will document the concentrations and fluxes across the shoreline. VOC samples are collected during constant-altitude traverses for the overwater boundary and during several spirals for the shoreline legs. Boundary measurements will be made during both non-episode and episode days. This plane will also participate in flux plane measurements. Hydrocarbon samples are collected in stainless steel canisters and carbonyl samples are collected in Tedlar bags and transferred to dinitrophenyl hydrazine impregnated cartridges on the ground at the conclusion of the flight. Hydrocarbon samples are subsequently analyzed in the laboratory by gas chromatography with flame ionization detection and carbonyl samples are analyzed in the laboratory by HPLC with UV detection. The budget allows for collection and analysis of three or four sets of hydrocarbon and carbonyl samples per flight. The specific flight plans will be developed over the next several months for the four aircraft under different meteorological scenarios. The above general description of flight patterns and objectives of each flight will be specified in the operational program plan. Helicopter based measurements of power plant plume will be used to evaluate the plumein-grid (PiG) parameterizations used in air quality models. With PiG parameterizations plume emissions are simulated in a Lagrangian reference frame superimposed on the Eulerian reference frame of the host grid model. Ozone formation rates in the plume of an elevated point source will be different from the ambient air because of their very different VOC/NOx ratios. CCOS measurements of ozone, VOC and nitrogenous compounds in plumes and in the surrounding air will be compared with the simulations of models using the PiG approach. The plume study is described in Addendix D. 1-29 In addition to the instrumented aircraft, both airborne and ground-based lidars, and network of ozonesondes have been used in previous studies to obtain vertical ozone measurements. The CCOS Technical Committee discussed the merits of these alternative approaches and reached the consensus that a small fleet of instrumented aircraft would provide the most cost-effective approach given the tradeoffs between temporal and spatial information and requirements for pollutant flux and plume measurements. The rationale for the Committee’s recommendation is explained further in Section 4.8. The CCOS field measurement program is described in detail in Section 4. 1.4.3 Complementary Measurement Programs The current study emphasizes collection of data that are needed to model transport between air basins. Because a Photochemical Assessment Monitoring Station (PAMS) network does not exist in the Bay Area, the density of air quality measurements (e.g., NO/NOy and VOC) in the Bay Area is lower than is needed to reliably understand and simulate the conditions that result in days exceeding the ozone standard in the Bay Area alone. The Bay Area AQMD will sponsor additional measurements during CCOS to obtain the information needed to develop a Bay Area specific plan. The supplemental Bay Area measurements are primarily designed to increase the understanding of high ozone in the Livermore Valley, where the Bay Area’s highest ozone levels and most frequent exceedances of the standards occur. For this purpose, four types of measurements are proposed: 1) Monitoring of pollutant levels aloft on selected episode days with instrumented aircraft flights within and upwind of the Livermore Valley; 2) surface monitoring of ozone and precursor gases in the gaps through which air enters and exits the Livermore Valley; 3) continuous aloft measurements of wind and temperature, using Doppler acoustic sounders and radar profilers, above the Livermore Valley and its entrance and exit gaps; and 4) remote sensing of on-road vehicle exhaust to verify that the emissions that are input to the photochemical model are accurate. The CCOS field measurement program will be conducted in conjunction with the California Regional PM10/PM2.5 Air Quality Study (CRPAQS). The CRPAQS includes air quality and meteorological field measurements, emissions characterization, data analysis and air quality modeling. The CRPAQS field study will consist of a long-term campaign from 12/1/99 through 1/31/01, a winter intensive study within the period of 11/15/00 through 1/31/01, and a fall intensive study within the period of 9/1/00 through 10/31/00. Several experiments will be conducted during the summer period of 7/1/00 through 8/31/00. These include chemical characterization of PM2.5 at the Fresno site to estimate the fraction of fine particles that is attributable to secondary organic aerosol and source contributions of directly-emitted fine particles. Other experiments will examine the timing and intensity of light extinction in the San Joaquin Valley and the Mohave Desert. The baseline measurements for CRPAQS, which will begin in December 1999 and continue to the end of the study, are incorporated and leveraged into the CCOS field program. These include six upper-air meteorological measurement sites within the CCOS domain. Opportunities for cost sharing also exist for purchases of instruments that are needed for both CCOS and the CRPAQS winter intensive study (e.g., NO2, PAN, and NOy and continuous particulate nitrate). CCOS will also benefit from measurements that are 1-30 available throughout the study region from existing federal, state, local, and private air quality and meteorological monitoring programs. 1.4.4 Consideration of Measurement Alternatives An investigation of the various processes that are important for ozone formation would require extensive measurements for each process. This detailed investigation for each process goes beyond the resources of CCOS. Although this is a potential limitation, the corroborative analysis of other detailed process studies can be used to evaluate the conceptual model and identify data needs that can be met by future studies. During the California Ozone Deposition Experiment (CODE) in 1991, aircraft and towerbased flux measurements were taken over different types of San Joaquin Valley crops, irrigated and non-irrigated fields, and over dry grass. Estimates of ozone deposition velocities are 0.7-1.0 cm/s (Pederson et al. 1995). Order of magnitude calculations by Pun et al. show that dry deposition can be a few percent (~3-5%) of the total ozone budget in the San Joaquin Valley. However, modeling studies (Glen Cass, personal communication) have shown that dry deposition can play a more significant role in the budget of an important ozone precursor, NO2. Three alternative deposition studies were considered. Two are tower-based and could take advantage of the 100-m tower at Angiola planned for CRPAQS. The third is an aircraft flux measurement and could be used for a variety of different terrain types. The consensus view of the CCOS Technical Committee was that a proper study of atmospheric deposition would require far more funds than available within CCOS. Rather than dilute the CCOS effort, the Committee recommended that separate funding be sought for a comprehensive deposition study in the year 2001. Other tests of atmospheric chemistry such as the measurements made at the University of Michigan Biological Research Station (UMBS) near Pellston, Michigan, under the Program for Research on Oxidants: PHotochemistry, Emissions and Transport (PROPHET) (Carroll et al., 1998 http://aoss.engin.umich.edu/PROPHET/) should be analyzed as part of the corroborative analysis. Data were collected in summer 1997 and 1998, and a third field study is planned for 2000. The data set includes: continuous measurements of meteorological parameters, ultraviolet radiation, ozone, CO, peroxyacetyl nitrate (PAN), peroxypropionyl nitrate (PPN), peroxymethacrylic nitric anhydride nitrate (MPAN); simultaneous measurements of nitrogenous species, NOx, NOy, HONO, HNO3 and organic nitrates; measurements of volatile organic compounds and organic peroxy radicals (ROx); HO and HO2 radicals; peroxides, and the physical properties and chemical composition of aerosol (Carroll et al., 1998). The PROPHET study provides a very complete data set from one site that can be used to develop and evaluate the chemical mechanisms used air quality models with a level of detail that will not be obtained under CCOS. 1.5 Applications of CCOS Data for Evaluation of Air Quality Modeling Systems Air quality modeling systems are composed of three major components: 1) the meteorological model, 2) the emissions inventory and 3) the air quality model. Each of these components must be evaluated on its performance in simulating the physical and chemical 1-31 processes associated with actual ozone episodes. An overview of the application of CCOS data to this evaluation is given below. One of the main objectives of CCOS is to evaluate the performance of air quality modeling systems. The CCOS data will be used to assess the performance in operational and diagnostic evaluations. Operational evaluations involve comparing model simulations with ambient measurements. Diagnostic evaluations assess a model’s representation of the physical and chemical processes to determine if the model estimates the correct ozone concentrations for the correct reasons. 1.5.1 Meteorological Models An air quality model requires the meteorological fields that drive the transport and dispersion of atmospheric pollutants. The meteorological situation in central California is difficult to model due to its complex topography. The larger scale meteorological flows in northern and central California are channeled by the Sacramento and San Joaquin Valley. On a smaller scale the concentrations of air pollutants are affected by land-sea breezes, urban circulations, local flows (slope and drainage), and diurnal variation of thermal stability and wind shear. The mixing depth for both convective and stable conditions is very important to model but the treatment of the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) is difficult to characterize for the stable and stagnant conditions associated with episodes of high ozone. The depth of the stable atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) may be of the order of 100 m, and a number of local effects such as urban land use, vegetation, soil properties, and small-scale topographic features, can significantly influence ABL characteristics. All of these factors contribute to a challenging meteorological situation for the models. The meteorological models will use surface network measurements of wind speed and direction, temperature, humidity, pressure, solar radiation, and precipitation available from routine aloft network measurements. This routine data set will be augmented by the CCOS data that will include: additional surface sites for the routine measurements listed above, a number of airborne and remote sensing upper-air measurements, turbulence by sonic anemometer, actinic flux for photolysis of key species, and soil moisture for key land use. These data will be used as input to the Mesoscale Meteorological Model, version 5 (MM5) and it will be run in both fully predictive and data assimilation modes. Four-Dimensional Data Assimilation (4DDA) involves the use of observations to “nudge” the prognostic calculations of a meteorological model back to the observed meteorological situation at regular intervals. A meteorological model outputs winds fields, vertical profiles of temperature and humidity, and other physical parameters in a gridded structure that are physically self consistent and consistent with observations. Comparisons of the model results with the meteorological observations will be made as part of the operational evaluation of the meteorological model. The simulated meteorological fields by MM5 in its fully predictive model will be compared with the results of MM5 simulations made with 4DDA and with the observations. The CCOS airborne and remote sensing upper-air measurements will be important for this comparison. The modeled flow patterns for northern and central California will be compared with observations. Here it will be important to determine the optimum horizontal and vertical 1-32 resolutions for air quality modeling applications. Aircraft observations will allow the elevated layers with specific stability and dynamics to be determined and compared with the stability and dynamics of the modeled layers. On a smaller scale the detailed measurements of the vertical wind and temperature structure of the atmospheric boundary layer and the spatial characteristics of mixing depth for both convective and stable conditions will be compared with modeling results. The observed properties of land-sea breezes, urban circulations, local flows (slope and drainage), and diurnal variation of thermal stability and shear will be compared with model calculations. Diagostic tests will include sensitivity tests of the input parameters, for example, topographic resolution, model grid, synoptic fields vs. radiosonde network, range and variation of sea/surface temperature, urban effects/roughness, sinks and sources of heat. This will allow an estimation of the relative importance of various meteorological processes and the uncertainties in model results. 1.5.2 Emission Inventories The development of the emission inventory for air quality modeling of central California will be a major effort. The study domain is large and the required emission inventory should be highly detailed for CCOS modeling. The emission inventory needed to support the CCOS modeling will be a series of day-specific, hourly, gridded emission inventories that cover each day of the ozone episodes captured during the field study. There are about 30 districts in the CCOS modeling domain. Each local air district in the state updates a portion of the emission inventory for their area. To help coordinate this effort, the Emission Inventory Coordination Group (EICG) has been established to determine the process for preparing the emission inventories needed to support air quality modeling for CCOS. Participants in the group include many local air districts, several local councils of government, Caltrans, California Energy Commission, and the ARB. Local air districts participating to date include San Joaquin Valley Unified APCD, Bay Area AQMD, Sacramento Metropolitan AQMD, Mendocino County AQMD, Northern Sierra AQMD, Yolo-Solano AQMD, Placer County APCD, San Luis Obispo County APCD, and Monterey Bay Unified APCD. Other local air districts will also be participating. See Section 3.1.2 for details. Evaluations of emission inventory estimates are an essential part of model performance evaluations. The application of continuous speciated VOC data in source apportionment offers insights regarding the temporal variations in source contributions that are difficult to discern from a limited number of canister samples that are integrated over a period of 3 hours or more. The diurnal and day-of-the-week variations in the measured relative and absolute levels of ozone precursors (NOx, CO and VOC) can be compared to corresponding values estimated by model simulations. Other related approaches for evaluation of emission inventories include: 1) performance evaluations of air quality simulation models; 2) spatial and temporal comparisons of ambient and emission inventory non-methane organic gas speciation profiles and pollutant ratios (e.g., CO/NOx and VOC/NOx); 3) comparisons of long-term trends in ambient pollutant concentrations and concentration ratios with emission inventory trends; 4) comparisons of onroad measurements with motor vehicle emission models; and 5) fuel-based inventory based on 1-33 regional gasoline sales and fleet-averaged, fuel-based emission factors from remote sensing measurements. Details are in Section 3.2.2. 1.5.3 Air Quality Models ARB, in coordination with Districts and the CCOS Technical Committee, will analyze the data collected during the CCOS field measurement program and will select a minimum of three ozone episodes to simulate. Assistance will be sought from air districts to develop dayspecific emission inventory as well as additional simulation days. See Section 3.2 for details. Air quality models consist of parameterizations of atmospheric chemical mechanisms, advection, photolysis, deposition and other atmospheric processes that affect the concentrations of air pollutants. The air quality model uses the output of the meteorological model and the emissions inventory as its input. The evaluation of the meteorological model and the emissions inventory is therefore important for the evaluation of the air quality model as discussed above. Despite efforts to improve models during the past two decades, significant questions remain in both model formulation and input data. Uncertainties in the estimation of emissions are believed to one of the major limitations to producing reliable air quality model results. Studies during the past twelve years have shown that on-road reactive organic gases (ROG) and CO emissions have been historically underestimated (e.g., Ingalls, 1989; Pierson et al., 1990; Fujita et al., 1992). Sensitivity studies also showed that model performance was greatly improved when the base on-road motor vehicle ROG emissions were increased by substantial margins (Wagner and Wheeler, 1993; Chico et al., 1993; Harley et al., 1993). Gaps in model formulation that fail to treat certain chemical and physical processes adequately are additional limitations. Boundary-layer parameterizations that determine the rates of dilution and mixing, and the origin and evolution of ozone layers aloft are examples of such gaps. Other limitations include insufficient spatial and temporal data to adequately specify boundary conditions and photolytic rate parameters. Despite the limitations imposed by model uncertainties, air quality models remain the only acceptable tools available for quantitatively estimating the effect of control measures on future air quality. The reliability of model outputs is assessed through operational and diagnostic evaluations and application of alternative diagnostic tools. Operational evaluations consist of comparing concentration estimates from the model to ambient measurements. The level of confidence that can be developed from this type of evaluation increases with the number and variety of episodes and chemical species that are examined. Measurements of the threedimensional variations in ozone and ozone precursors also enhance the utility of the evaluations. Diagnostic evaluations determine if the model is estimating ozone concentrations correctly for the right reasons by assessing whether the physical and chemical processes within the model are simulated correctly. Examples of diagnostic tests include examining ratios of chemical species that are sensitive to specific processes within the model such as O3/NOy, O3/ NOz, examining the flux of ozone and ozone precursor across interbasin transport corridors, and comparing concentration changes from weekdays to weekends. 1-34 Operational Evaluation The operational model evaluation will focus on the determination of the extent of agreement between simulated and measured concentrations of ozone and its precursors in their spatial distribution and timing. Model simulations will be compared with airborne measurements of VOCs (total VOC, homologous groups, and lumped VOC classes), along boundaries, above the mixed layer, and at the surface with measurements made at the research sites. A similar comparison will be made for the measurements of nitrogenous species concentrations. The temporal and spatial variability of the initial and boundary conditions will be evaluated to determine their effect on model output. Diagnostic Evaluations The diagnostic evaluation must evaluate a model’s representations of gas-phase chemistry, photolysis rates, treatment of advection, deposition rates and the treatment of subgrid scale processes. The treatment of photolytic rate parameters will be evaluated by comparing the model default values with measurements. Comparisons of calculated secondary chemical product concentrations with measurements will be used to assess the chemical mechanisms. Other examples of chemical diagnostic tests include examining ratios of chemical species that are sensitive to specific processes within the model such as O3/NOy, O3/ NOz and comparing concentration changes from weekdays to weekends. The process analysis of Jeffries and Tonnesen (1994) should be used to make a detailed mass balance for each simulation. This will allow the determination of the effect of each process on the concentrations of ozone and other air pollutants. Although it is not possible to use measurements to develop an independent, comprehensive mass balance throughout the study region, the measurements can be used to check key parameters within simulations. For example, the concentration ratio of NO to NO2 or the concentration ratio of a highly reactive VOC to a less reactive VOC could be compared with the model results. Alternatively model calculated parameters such as HO could be used along with measured concentrations of VOC to estimate VOC to NOx ratios. Both approaches should provide strong tests of the conceptual model. Diagnostic evaluation of the transport is more difficult but comparisons of the horizontal and vertical distributions of ozone and its precursors will be required. Another test to evaluate the transport would be to compare measured and modeled fluxes of ozone and ozone precursors across interbasin transport corridors. 1.5.4 Plume in Grid Module Evaluation One of the most important issues for air quality modeling in CCOS is the treatment of plumes from elevated point sources containing high concentrations of NOx. Ozone formation rate in the plume of an elevated point source will be different from the ambient air because of their very different VOC/NOx ratios. Although many models ignore the effect of plumes by simply mixing the plume emissions into typical grid cell volumes, some air quality models use a plume-in-grid (PiG) approach. In the PiG approach a Gaussian-shaped plume is simulated in a Lagrangian reference frame that moves with the local wind vector, superimposed on the Eulerian reference frame of the host grid model, and at some suitable time period the contents of the 1-35 plume are mixed into the grid cells. Most current approaches are overly dispersive and do not treat the effect of turbulence on chemistry and they ignore the effect of wind shear on plume separation. A more advanced approach was developed under EPRI sponsorship, the Second order Closure Integrated PUFF model (SCIPUFF) with a chemistry module (SCICHEM). Their improved parameterizations of turbulent chemistry makes simulations more realistic than models using simpler approaches, particularly within the first few kilometers downwind of the smokestack, where plume confinement and turbulent chemistry have the greatest effect on local as well as overall ozone production. The SCICHEM was evaluated favorably as part of the 1995 Nashville/Middle Tennessee Ozone Study. Since the composition of the plumes will be different for central California, these new modules should be evaluate using the CCOS database. 1.6 Corroborative Data Analysis Data analysis is an essential part of the database and model development components of CCOS. Measurements, by themselves, say nothing about the causes of air pollution and the likely effects of emission reductions. It is only when these measurements are interpreted that relationships can be observed and conclusions can be drawn. Similarly, mathematical models cannot be expected to explain phenomena that are not conceptually defined. "Conceptual models" of pollutant emissions, transport, chemical transformation, and deposition must be formed so that the best mathematical formulations can be selected to describe them. Section 3.3 provides details of tasks that address data analysis objectives. The corroborative data analysis will determine if the conceptual model of ozone formation in central California and the models derived from it is sufficiently valid for policy development. It will involve all aspects of CCOS diagnostic data analysis and model evaluation. Corroborative data analysis will be used to reinforce current understanding, identify gaps and to improve the conceptual model of ozone formation. The corroborative data analysis will be used to provide a comprehensive picture of ozone formation that will be used to determine if measurement and modeling results are consistent with the conceptual model as revised by CCOS. 1.6.1 Contribution of Transported Pollutants to Ozone Violations in Downwind Areas In principle, well-performing air quality modeling systems have the ability to quantify local and transported contributions to ozone exceedances in a receptor area. However, many of the interbasin transport couples in the CCOS study region involve complex flow patterns with strong terrain influences that are difficult to realistically simulate. The CCOS field campaign provides routine and supplemental measurements at locations where transport can occur. The proposed upper air network provides a “flux plane” method by which quantitative estimate is possible, with suitable assumptions. In combination with modeling, data analyses can improve the evaluation of modeling results and provide additional quantification of transport contributions. Methods that should be applied include timing of ozone where morning peaks indicate fumigation of carry-over aloft, peaks near solar noon indicate possible local contributions, and 1-36 delayed peaks indicate transport, with later times corresponding to sites further downwind along the transport path. Other methods include back trajectory wind analysis and examination of ratios of species (i.e., xylenes-to-benzene ratio). In addition, vertical planes intersecting the profiler sites downwind of and perpendicular to the transport path can be defined and provide estimates of transport through likely transport corridors. The analyses use surface and aircraft measurements of pollutant concentrations and surface, wind profiler, and aircraft meteorological data for volume flux estimations. Tracer techniques, both active (intentional release) and passive (tracers of opportunity), were considered very early in the study, but were dismissed due to relatively high costs. However, source apportionment of hydrocarbons can be applied as a passive tracer technique, where potential hydrocarbon “fingerprints” are the tracers of opportunity. This method is also supported by the CCOS study plan, and corroboration with modeling results will be evaluated. 1.6.2 VOC Versus NOx Sensitivity One of the most important questions for ozone control strategies is whether to focus on NOx or VOC control. To choose the proper control strategy it is necessary to know if ozone production is limited in a location more by the NOx or VOC available. Models and measurements have been applied to answer this question. One of the methods would be to determine ozone isopleths from measurements for each site in an airshed but usually not enough data are available. Therefore indicators for VOC or NOx limitation include ratios such as HNO3/H2O2 and other ratios have been applied to both measurements and models. Within CCOS, NOx and VOC limitation will be investigated through the use of measurements, indicators and modeling analysis. One of the most important tests of model simulations is the ability to simulate accurately weekday-weekend differences in precursors and ozone. One of the most important applications of this test is that it helps to probe the relative sensitivity of ozone concentrations to VOC and NOx. Since the mid-1970’s it has been documented that ozone levels in California’s South Coast Air Basin (SoCAB) are higher on weekends than on weekdays, in spite of the fact that ozone pollutant precursors are lower on weekends than on weekdays (Elkus and Wilson, 1977; Horie et al., 1979; Levitts and Chock, 1975; Zeldin et al., 1989; Blier and Winer, 1998; and Austin and Tran, 1999). Similar effects have been observed in San Francisco (Altshuler et al., 1995) and in the northeastern cities of Washington D.C., Philadelphia, and New York (SAIC, 1997). While a substantial “weekend effect” has been observed in these cities, the effect is less pronounced in Sacramento (Austin and Tran, 1999), and is often reversed in Atlanta (Walker, 1993) where VOC/NOx ratios are typically higher. Several of the above studies show that the “weekend effect” is generally less pronounced in downwind locations where ambient VOC/NOx ratios are higher. Understanding the response of ozone levels to specific changes in VOC or NOx emissions is a fundamental prerequisite to developing a cost-effective ozone abatement strategy. The varying emissions that occur between weekday and weekend periods provide a natural test case for air quality simulation models. At the same time, the model performance and evaluation must be accompanied by an evaluation of the accuracy of the temporal and spatial patterns of precursor emissions. With the questions that still remain regarding the accuracy of emission 1-37 inventories, the “weekend effect” emphasizes the need for observation-based data analysis to examine the relationship between ambient O3 and precursor emissions. The results of corroborative data analyses need to be reconciled with model outputs taking into consideration the various sources of uncertainties associated with both approaches. The current conceptual model must be revisited and refined using the results yielded by the foregoing data analyses. New phenomena, if they are observed, must be conceptualized so that a mathematical model to describe them may be formulated and tested. The formulation, assumptions, and parameters in mathematical modules that will be included in the integrated air quality model must be examined with respect to their consistency with reality. 1.7 Funding Cost estimates have been prepared for each element of the base and optional programs based on a consensus of the CCOS Technical Committee. Cost estimates are summarized in Table 5-1 for major components of the proposed measurement plan. The total contract costs for CCOS is $7,200,000. In addition to the above contract costs, the ARB and the local APCD’s are committing inkind resources for planning and execution of CCOS. In-kind costs include additional efforts that are specifically required during CCOS (e.g., project management, episode forecast, site operations, quality assurance, emission inventory development, and data management) and does not include data collection and analysis associated with normal daily operations (e.g., PAMS and other aerometric monitoring programs). The in-kind costs for the field study portion of CCOS total $1,400,000, which does not include substantial leveraging of resources that will be available from CRPAQS. Additional in-kind resources will be committed for modeling and data analysis. 1-38 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 2. Chapter 2: Basis for Study BASIS FOR THE FIELD STUDY PLAN This section describes the central California study area, the magnitudes and locations of ozone concentrations and their chemical components, emissions sources, meteorology that affects ozone levels, and applicable transformation chemistry of the study area. It integrates this knowledge into a “conceptual model” of the phenomena that should be reproduced by the regulatory ozone models. 2.1 CCOS Study Area Central California is a complex region for air pollution, owing to its proximity to the Pacific Ocean, its diversity of climates, and its complex terrain. Figure 2.1-1 shows the overall study domain with major landmarks, mountains and passes. Figure 2.1-2 shows major political boundaries, including cities, counties, air quality planning districts, roads, Class 1 (pristine) areas, and military facilities. The Bay Area, southern Sacramento Valley, San Joaquin Valley, central portion of the Mountain Counties Air Basin (MCAB), and the Mojave Desert are currently classified as nonattainment for the federal 1-hour ozone NAS. With the exception of Plumas and Sierra Counties in the MCAB, Lake County, and the North Coast, the entire study domain is currently nonattainment for the state 1-hour ozone standard. The Mojave Desert inherits poor air quality generated in the other parts of central and southern California. The Bay Area Air Quality Management District (BAAQMD) encompasses an area of more than 14,000 km2 of which 1,450 km2 are the San Francisco and San Pablo Bays, 300 km2 are the Sacramento and San Joaquin river deltas, 9,750 km2 are mountainous or rural, and 2,500 km2 are urbanized. The Bay Area is bounded on the west by the Pacific Ocean, on the east by the Mt. Hamilton and Mt. Diablo ranges, on the south by the Santa Cruz Mountains, and on the north by the northern reaches of the Sonoma and Napa Valleys. The San Joaquin Valley lies to the east of the BAAQMD, and major airflows between the two air basins occur at the Sacramento delta, the Carquinez Strait, and Altamont Pass (elevation 304 m). The coastal mountains have nominal elevations of 500 m, although major peaks are much higher (Mt. Diablo, 1,173 m; Mt. Tamalpais, 783 m; Mt. Hamilton, 1,328 m). Bays and inland valleys punctuate the coastal mountains, including San Pablo Bay, San Francisco Bay, San Ramon Valley, Napa Valley, Sonoma Valley, and Livermore Valley. Many of these valleys and the shorelines of the bays are densely populated. The Santa Clara, Bear, and Salinas Valleys lie to the south of the BAAQMD, containing lower population densities and larger amounts of agriculture. The BAAQMD manages air quality in Alameda, Contra Costa, Marin, San Francisco, San Mateo, Santa Clara, and Napa counties, in the southern part of Sonoma County, and in the southwestern portion of Solano County. More than six million people, approximately 20% of California’s population, reside within this jurisdiction. The Bay Area contains some of California’s most densely populated incorporated cities, including San Francisco (pop. ~724,000), San Jose (pop. ~782,000), Fremont (pop. ~173,000), Oakland (pop. ~372,000), and Berkeley (pop. ~103,000). In total, over 100 incorporated cities lie within the jurisdiction of the BAAQMD. 2-1 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Major industries and areas of employment in the Bay Area include tourism, government/defense, electronics manufacturing, software development, agriculture (vineyards, orchards, and livestock), petroleum-refining, power generation, and steel manufacturing. BAAQMD residences are often distant from employment locations. More than 1,800 km of major controlled-access highways and bridges accommodate approximately 148 million vehicle miles traveled on a typical weekday. The Bay Area includes a diverse mixture of income levels, ethnic heritages, and lifestyles. The Sacramento Valley Air Basin is administered by five air pollution control districts (Butte County, Colusa County, Glenn County, Placer County, and Tehama County) and four air quality management districts (Feather River, Sacramento Metropolitan, Shasta County, and Yolo/Solano Counties). About 1.5 million people reside in the four-county Sacramento Metropolitan Statistical Area. Sacramento is an important highway, rail and river hub, the state capitol, and the marketing center for the rich agricultural region. The counties of Amador, Calaveras, El Dorado, Mariposa, Placer, Tuolumne, Nevada, Plumas, and Sierra comprise the Mountain Counties Air Basin. The later three counties merged to form the Northern Sierra Air Quality Management District. Mountain Counties are generally sparsely populated consisting of many small foothill communities, and local pollutant emissions are comparatively low. The San Joaquin Valley, administered by the San Joaquin Valley Unified Air Pollution Control District (SJVUAPCD), is much larger than the Bay Area but with a lower population. It encompasses nearly 64,000 km2 and contains a population in excess of three million people, with a much lower density than that of the Bay Area. The majority of this population is centered in the large urban areas of Bakersfield (pop. ~175,000), Fresno (pop. ~355,000), Modesto (pop. ~165,000), and Stockton (pop. ~211,000). There are nearly 100 smaller communities in the region and many isolated residences surrounded by farmland. The SJV is bordered on the west by the coastal mountain range, rising to 1,530 meters (m) above sea level (ASL), and on the east by the Sierra Nevada range with peaks exceeding 4,300 m ASL. These ranges converge at the Tehachapi Mountains in the southernmost end of the valley with mountain passes to the Los Angeles basin (Tejon Pass, 1,256 m ASL) and to the Mojave Desert (Tehachapi Pass, 1,225 m ASL, Walker Pass, 1609 m ASL). Agriculture of all types is the major industry in the SJV. Oil and gas production, refining, waste incineration, electrical co-generation, transportation, commerce, local government and light manufacturing constitute the remainder of SJV the economy. Cotton, alfalfa, corn, safflower, grapes, and tomatoes are the major crops. Cattle feedlots, dairies, chickens, and turkeys constitute most of the animal husbandry in the region. Other areas in the study region include the North Coast, Lake County, North Central Coast, South Central Coast and Mojave Desert air basins. Figure 2.1-3 shows the major population centers in central California, while Table 2.1-1 summarizes populations for Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSA). Figure 2.1-4 shows land use within central California. There are substantial tracts of grazed and ungrazed forest and woodland along the Pacific coast and in the Sierra Nevada. Cropland with grazing and irrigated 2-2 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study cropland dominate land use in the San Joaquin Valley, while desert scrubland is the dominant land use east of Tehachapi Pass. Tanner et al. (1992) show the various vegetation classes determined from satellite imagery. The central portion of the SJV is intensively farmed; the periphery consists of open pasture into the foothills of the coastal ranges and the Sierra Nevada. As elevations increase above 400 m, the vegetation progresses through chaparral to deciduous and coniferous trees. Central California contains the state’s major transportation routes, as shown in Figure 2.1-5. Interstate 5 and State Route 99 traverse the western and central lengths of the SJV. U.S. Highway 101 is aligned with the south central coast, then through the Salinas Valley, through the Bay Area and further north. These are the major arteries for both local and long-distance passenger and commercial traffic. Major east-west routes include I 80 and SR 120, 152, 198, 46, and 58. Many smaller arteries, both paved and unpaved, cross the SJV on its east side, although there are few of these small roads on the western side. The major cities contain a mixture of expressways, surface connectors, and residential streets. Farmland throughout the region contains private lanes for the passage of off-road implements and large trucks that transport agricultural products to market. 2.2 Ozone Air Quality Standards and SIP Requirements In November 1990, Congress enacted a series of amendments to the Clean Air Act (CAA) intended to intensify air pollution control efforts across the nation. One of the primary goals of the 1990 amendments was an overhaul of the planning provisions for those areas do not meet the National Ambient Air Quality Standard (NAAQS). The NAAQS for ozone is exceeded when the daily maximum hourly average concentration exceeds 0.12 ppm more than once per year on average during a three-year period. The California State standard is more stringent: no hourly average ozone concentration is to exceed 0.09 ppm. The CAA identifies specific emission reduction goals, requires both a demonstration of reasonable further progress and attainment, and incorporates more stringent sanctions for failure to attain the ozone NAAQS or to meet interim milestones. The 1990 CAA established a classification structure for ozone nonattainment areas based on the area’s fourth worst exceedance during a three-year period (“design value”). These classifications are marginal (0.120-0.138 ppm), moderate (0.138-0.160), serious (0.160-0.180), severe-1 (0.180-0.190), severe-2 (0.190-0.280) and extreme (0.280 +). Each nonattainment area is assigned a statutory deadline for achieving the national ozone standard. Serious areas must attain the NAAQS by the end of 1999, severe areas by 2005 or 2007 (depending on their peak ozone concentrations), and extreme areas by 2010. The lower Sacramento Valley is classified as severe. The San Joaquin Valley is currently classified as serious but re-classification by EPA to severe is expected next year. This re-classification would impose additional requirements but would also extend the attainment deadline by six year to 2005. EPA designated the Bay Area in attainment of the national ozone standard on May 22, 1995. However, as a result of exceedances during the summers of 1995 and 1996, EPA redesignated the area in August 1998 from a “maintenance” area to an “unclassified nonattainment” area. This action required the Bay Area to submit an inventory of VOC and NOx emissions (1995), assess emission reductions needed to attain the national ozone standard by 2000, and develop and implement control strategies. The 2-3 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study CAA prescribes minimum control measures for each ozone nonattainment area with more stringent controls required for greater degrees of nonattainment. Emission reduction plans for ozone precursors in serious, severe, and extreme nonattainment areas were submitted to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) on November 15, 1994, as a revision to the California State Implementation Plan (SIP). Each ozone plan contained an emissions inventory, plans for enhanced monitoring of ozone and ozone precursors, and estimation of future ozone concentrations based on photochemical modeling. To ensure a minimum rate of progress, each plan shows a 15 percent reduction in emissions of reactive organic gases (ROG) between 1990 and 1996, an additional 9 percent reduction in ROG by 1999, and 3 percent reductions per year thereafter, quantified at three year intervals to the attainment date. In July 1997, United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) announced that it will phase out and replace the 1-hour primary ozone standard (health-based) of 0.12 parts per million (ppm) with a new 8-hour standard to protect against longer exposure periods. The new standard would be attained when the 3-year average of the annual 4th-highest daily maximum 8hour concentration is less than or equal to 0.08 ppm. The implementation of this standard is currently on hold. On May 14, 1999, a three-judge panel of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia set aside EPA’s new air quality standards for ozone and fine particles. The court action prohibits EPA from enforcing the standard, but did not remove the standard. EPA intends to recommend an appeal to the Department of Justice and is currently reviewing its options. The previously existing one-hour ozone standard continues to apply in areas that have not attained the standard. In addition to areas that are currently in nonattainment of the 1-hour ozone standard, several areas in central and southern Sierra Foothills and northern Sacramento Valley that are now in compliance of the 1-hour standard are also expected to become nonattainment for the 8-hour standard. At the state level, pollutant transport is a recognized cause of air quality degradation. The California Clean Air Act of 1988 requires the California Air Resources Board (ARB) to assess the relative contributions of upwind pollutants to violations of the state ozone standard in downwind areas. The California Health and Safety Code, Division 26, paragraph 39610(b) states "The state board shall, in cooperation with the districts, assess the relative contribution of upwind emissions to downwind ozone ambient pollutant levels to the extent permitted by available data, and shall establish mitigation requirements commensurate with the level of contribution" (California Air Pollution Control Laws, 1992 edition, p. 14). Previous studies in California have demonstrated pollutant transport between air basins on specific days, but few studies have quantified the contribution of transported pollutants to ozone violations in downwind areas. The implication of the state 1-hour ozone standard and the new federal 8-hour ozone standard is that they require a reappraisal of past strategies that have focused primarily on addressing the urban/suburban ozone problem to one that considers the problem in a more regional context. Retrospective analysis of the O3 data for northern and central California during the 1990’s show larger downward trends in 1-hour-average peak O3 concentrations than in 8hour averages. This will require further departure from the local emission-control approach to ozone attainment and the development of region-wide management approaches. The Central 2-4 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study California Ozone Study is intended to provide another milestone in the understanding of relationships between emissions, transport, and ozone standard exceedances, as well as to facilitate planning for further emission reductions needed to attain state and federal standards. 2.3 Ambient Trends in Ozone and Precursor Gases Recent work has shown modest progress in reducing ozone exposure (concentration * time) in central California (Wittig et al. 1999) between 1987-1997. Wittig et al. used a variety of statistical approaches for the analysis, drawing conclusions only when there was general consensus among the statistical indicators. However, downward ozone trends in central California are less obvious during the 1990s, when the relatively high ozone years in the late 1980s are dropped and 1998, another relatively high ozone year, is added. This is in contrast to reductions in exposure in southern California, i.e., the South Coast and San Diego Air Basins, where graphically presented conclusions by Wittig et al. for 1990-1997 show a more marked downward trend. After analysis of ozone at PAMS Type 2 and Type 3 sites, Wittig et al. conclude: “In no case did all the indicators reveal consistent trends in ozone . . . [which is] not surprising given the variability in atmospheric and meteorological parameters . . . and the complex relationship [among] these parameters, emissions, and ozone formation. More intricate methods that address the known variability . . . were also investigated. The adjustment methods . . . in general clarified the observed trends . . . [but in] some cases were not sensitive or robust enough to fully discern trends even when some variability was removed. ” Wittig et al. also found slight but never statistically significant decreases in ambient morning NOx over their study period for all California metropolitan areas examined, including Sacramento, Bakersfield and Fresno. The same was true for total VOCs, except that a significant change in composition, led by a marked decrease in benzene, was observed during years 19941997. A new analysis of ozone trends over the CCOS study region was undertaken to examine the changes in mean and maximum daily ozone concentration and the frequency of occurrence of exceedances of the Federal 1-hr and, in particular, the proposed 8-hr ozone standards over the years 1990-1998. Consistent with the findings of Wittig et al., no significant trends for NOx or VOCs were observed for the 1990s, with the exception of 1997 being a very clean year for VOCs at the Sacramento PAMS sites. 2.3.1 Trends in Ozone Exceedances A database was obtained from all stations reporting ozone measurements listed in the California Air Resources Board Aerometric Data Analysis and Management (ADAM) System for 1990-1998. (Data supplied courtesy of Dwight Oda, ARB). For each available day during the nine ozone seasons, defined as May-October for this investigation, the 1-hour and 8-hour maximum ozone concentrations and the start-time of the 1-hr and 8-hour peak ozone were compiled. From the 207 sites in the ADAM database, a subset of 153 sites was selected based on period of record, the acceptability of linking nearby sites to gain a longer period of record, the 2-5 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study data recovery rate during the 1996-1998 ozone seasons, and the expected continuation of monitoring at that site into the summer 2000 CCOS field study period. Twenty-seven sites, satisfying the criteria of close proximity and similar ozone temporal patterns, were linked in time to an in-service site, providing 126 “linked ADAM” sites (assigned a “LADAM#” equivalent to the ARB ADAM# number of the most recent site). This linked master list is shown in Table 2.31a. Included in Table 2.3-1a is information on the three functional site location types, Urban/City Center, Suburban, or Rural. Documentation and details of linking these sites is provided in Table 2.3-1b. Table 2.3-2 gives a summary of 1-hour and 8-hour annual maximum and annual mean daily maximum ozone for the years 1990-1998 by air basin. All reporting sites for the air basin in each year were used to compile the mean of daily 1-hour and 8-hour maxima and the basin-wide average of daily 1-hr and 8-hr maxima. Three annual groupings are also provided for 1990-1995, 1996-1998, and the entire nine-year period, but only years where a site achieves >75% data recovery are included in the group means. Figures 2.3-1 and 2.3-2 summarize maximum and mean, respectively, 8-hr ozone trends by basin and by location type, respectively. Figure 2.3-3 shows average ozone maxima by weekday across all basins. Figure 2.3-3 is not a rigorous statistical treatment, since the distribution of daily ozone maxima across basins are skewed somewhat from a normal distribution. However, the large number of cases (over 9000 for Rural and Suburban locations, and over 6000 for Urban/City) in each average provides compelling evidence of the effect in consideration of the error bars of ± 2 standard errors. Tables 2.3-3 through 2.3-6 give a breakdown by site, in each air basin, of 1hr and 8hr annual maximum of daily maxima, number of exceedance days per year (also giving site-specific annual trends), seasonal occurrences by month (May-Oct), and the hebdomadal cycle of exceedances, respectively. Several features are evident from the tables: • Sites downwind of Sacramento have the greatest number of exceedances per year in the SV and MC air basins, i.e., Folsom and Auburn in SV, and Cool and Placerville in MC. • Sites downwind of Bakersfield (Arvin and Edison) and Fresno (Parlier and Maricopa) have the greatest number of exceedances per year in the SJV air basin, with more exceedances per season in the south SJV basin. Southern SJV has the worst air quality in the CCOS region. • Healdsburg, Livermore, Pinnacles National Monument, and Simi Valley, have the highest exceedances per season of both the 1-hr and 8-hr standards for NC, SFBA, NCC, and SCC air basins, respectively. Simi Valley is under the influence of the South Coast Air Basin and is of less interest for this study. • Air quality is in attainment in the LC and NEP basins, and northern portions of the NC meet the standards. • The El Nino event during 1997 significantly lowered the number of exceedances of both the 1hr and 8hr standards in the NCC, SV, and SFBA basins. In fact, no 1hr or 8hr exceedances occurred in SFBA during 1997. However, this El Nino effect is not evident for all sites in the SJV and SCC basins, particularly for sites closer to the South Coast air basin. 2-6 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study • By inspection of Table 2.3-5, July and August are approximately equal in the number of exceedances per month, for both the 1hr and 8hr standards, at most sites in the study domain. Similarly, June and September are approximately equal. Notable exceptions include more September than June exceedances in the southern SJV and more June than September exceedances at all MD sites. • Subtle weekday/weekend differences are not immediately obvious by inspection of Table 2.3-6. Figure 2.3-2 provides more detail, but a rigorous statistical analysis is beyond the scope of this conceptual plan. 2.3.2 Spatial and Temporal Patterns of Ozone and Precursors The complex relationship between chaotic atmospheric forcing, changes in emissions, and the non-linear ozone formation process provide endless variations in the spatial pattern of ozone, across space (central California) and time (1990-1998 for this study, with focus on 199698). Temporal patterns of ozone follow the well-known timing of near solar noon in source regions, with subsequently delayed peaks in downwind areas (e.g., Smith et al. 1983; Roberts et al. 1992). Precursors spatial patterns are more predictable than ozone, although weather, day-ofweek, and seasonal considerations can change emissions. Three typical ozone patterns were shown in Figures 1.5-1 through 1.5-6. A typical NOx pattern from modeling of the 1990 effort is given in Figure 2.8-7. The following section address precursor emissions by air basin. 2.4 Emissions and Source Contributions Section 39607(b) of the California Health and Safety Code requires the California Air Resources Board (ARB) to inventory sources of air pollution within the 14 air basins of the state and to determine the kinds and quantities of pollutants that come from those sources. The pollutants inventoried are total organic gases (TOG), reactive organic gases (ROG), carbon monoxide (CO), oxides of nitrogen (NOx), oxides of sulfur (SOx), and particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter of 10 micrometers or smaller (PM10). TOG consist of hydrocarbons including methane, aldehydes, ketones, organic acids, alcohol, esters, ethers, and other compounds containing hydrogen and carbon in combination with one or more other elements. ROG include all organic gases except methane and a number of organic compounds such as low molecular weight halogenated compounds that have been identified by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) as essentially non-reactive. For ROG and PM10, the emission estimates are calculated from TOG and PM, respectively, using reactive organic fractions and particle size fractions. Emission sources are categorized as on-road mobile sources, non-road mobile sources, stationary point sources, stationary area sources, and natural sources. The emission inventory for 1996 is the most recent compilation published by the California Air Resources Board. Point source emission estimates in the inventory were provided by the air pollution control districts and the air quality management districts. Area source emission estimates were made by either the districts or the ARB staffs. The ARB staff made onroad motor vehicle emission estimates. The emission estimates are in tons per average day, determined by dividing annual emissions by 365. The estimates have been rounded off to two significant figures. 2-7 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Tables 2.4-1 and 2.4-2 show the daily averages by air basin for ROG and NOx emissions, respectively (California Air Resources Board, 1998). Emissions in the CCOS area in 1996 total 1575 and 1545 tons/day for ROG and NOx, respectively, with 80 and 84 percent of those pollutants emitted within the three major air basins, Bay Area, Sacramento Valley and San Joaquin Valley. Stationary and area sources, together, contribute equally to ROG emissions, as do mobile sources, while mobile sources account for the majority of NOx emissions (74 percent from mobile). 2.5 Central California Summer Meteorology and Ozone Climatology Given the primary emissions within central California, it is the local climate of California that fosters generation of ozone, a secondary pollutant. High ozone concentrations most frequently occur during the “ozone season,” spanning late spring, summer, and early fall when sunlight is most abundant. Meteorology is the dominant factor controlling the change in ozone air quality from one day to the next. Synoptic and mesoscale meteorological features govern the transport of emissions between sources and receptors, affecting the dilution and dispersion of pollutants during transport and the time available during which pollutants can react with one another to form ozone. These features are important to transport studies and modeling efforts owing to their influence on reactive components and ozone formation and deposition. This subsection provides a summary of meteorological features affecting central California air quality, and provides a brief overview of the regulatory response to inter-basin transport, i.e., the identification of “transport couples” and the characterization of the effect of transport on air quality in the receptor air basin. Specific transport studies are discussed in greater detail with the introduction of transport scenarios of interest. 2.5.1 Typical Large-Scale Meteorological Features General descriptions of meteorological effects on California air quality abound in the literature. For the San Joaquin Valley, the 1990 SJVAQS/AUSPEX/SARMAP bibliography prepared by Solomon et al (1997) is comprehensive. Briefly, the summer climatology of central California is generally dominated by the semi-permanent Eastern Pacific High-Pressure System. This synoptic feature is manifest as a dome of warm air (a maximum in the 500-mb geopotential height field) with a surrounding anticyclonic circulation (clockwise in the Northern Hemisphere). Therefore, surface winds blow clockwise and outward from the high, a motion associated with low-level divergence, and therefore sinking motion aloft and fair weather. This sinking motion also gives rise to adiabatic heating and therefore warm temperatures aloft. A key indicator of this warm, capping subsidence inversion in California is the temperature of the 850-mb pressure surface from the Oakland soundings. This single meteorological variable from the 0400 PST sounding is perhaps best correlated with surface ozone concentrations in the central valley (e.g., Smith et al. 1984; Smith 1994; Fairley and De Mandel 1996, Ship and McIntosh 1999. The shape of the 500-mb height contours (at 5500-m elevation) over the Eastern Pacific is broad and flat and can extend inland for 100s of km. Accompanying the warm temperatures aloft, are warm temperatures on the central valley floor. Table 2.5-1 presents a summer surface climatology for the cities of Redding, Sacramento, San Francisco, Fresno, Santa Maria, and Bakersfield. The coastal cities of San Francisco and Santa Maria have mean daily maximum temperatures in the low- to mid-70s (deg F) while 2-8 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Sacramento averages about 20 F warmer. The northern and southern ends of the Central Valley, represented by Redding and Bakersfield, average an additional 5 F warmer than Sacramento. This heating causes an inland thermal low-pressure trough as evidenced by the lower station pressures at Redding and Bakersfield. The pressure gradient enhances the movement of the thermally generated sea breeze through the Carquinez Straight, through other gaps in the coastal range to the north and south of the San Francisco (SF) Bay, and sometimes over the coastal range altogether. Pollutants from the SF Bay Area source region are carried with the breeze to receptor regions within the Central Valley. With the abundant sunlight accompanying this fair weather pattern fair weather, the transported pollutants and the Sacramento Valley and San Joaquin Valley emissions cause frequent exceedances of the 1hr and 8hr standards at several sites in the interior of the Central Valley. This typical scenario is observed on most summer afternoons. For the SF Bay Area, Hayes et al. (1984), in the now-famous “California Surface Wind Climatology,” assign a frequency of 77% to sea breeze conditions matching average surface wind streamlines at 1600 PST. They give a frequency of 75% for the Sacramento Valley. However, the high pressure system can migrate with changes in the planetary weather (Rossby wave) pattern. The center of the pressure cell can move ashore, causing a decrease and even a reversal in the mean pressure gradients observed in Table 2.5-1 (Lehrman et al. 1994; Pun et al. 1998). The sea breeze is weakened, and its inland extent can become limited, leading to stagnation conditions fostering higher ozone concentrations in many areas. The high can also move east all together, followed by a trough that ventilates the valley. The high pressure is not always dominant. Neff et al. (1994) classified synoptic patterns during summer 1994 and found approximately one-third of the days to be “normal” Pacific highs, one-third to be inland highs, and one-third to be troughs. Therefore, the mesoscale sea breeze surface pattern, with 77% frequency, must exist in more than one synoptic regime. Unfortunately, the link between synoptic and mesoscale patterns is not one-to-one. Mesoscale features must be considered in any discussion of ozone climatology. 2.5.2 Mesoscale Meteorological Features in the CCOS Study Region Several mesoscale flow features in Central California can have significant air quality impacts by transporting or blocking transport of ozone and precursors between important sourcereceptor couples. The Sea Breeze and Marine Air Intrusion Differential heating between the land and ocean causes a pressure gradient between the relatively cooler denser air over ocean and the warmer air over the land. The marine air mass comes ashore. However, this heating takes time to occur and may be impeded if a cloud cover prevents direct insolation of the land. A further complication may be provided by any additional surface pressure gradients due to synoptic conditions that can enhance, hinder, or overwhelm this thermal effect. The actual time of onset of a sea breeze can be difficult to forecast with overnight fog or coastal status. Typically, with calm coastal mornings, rush hour pollutants can accumulate in the coastal source region. Then, as the sea breeze is established (often by late-morning, usually by mid-day), maximum ozone production can occur after pollutants leave the coastal areas. It is well-known that maximum ozone occurs downwind of respective source areas (e.g., Livermore downwind of the SF Bay communities.) As marine air penetrates the mainland, it is modified and 2-9 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study can become entrained in a different thermal flow, e.g., an upvalley or upslope flow. Studies of sea breeze and marine air intrusion impacts on Central California air quality include that by Stoeckenius et al, (1994), who present an objective classification scheme. Nocturnal Jets and Eddies A low-level nocturnal wind maximum can arise as the nocturnal inversion forms and effectively reduces boundary layer friction. Wind friction can be represented (crudely) as a force that is directly opposed to the wind (termed the "antitriptic wind" by Schaefer and Doswell 1980). The overall direction of flow is determined by the vector balance among horizontal pressure gradient, Coriolis, and frictional forces. However, in the evening, with the establishment of a surface-based nocturnal inversion, the friction is "turned off.” The flow is no longer in balance, and there is a component of the pressure gradient force that is directed along the wind, increasing wind speed, which increases the Coriolis force. Since Coriolis is always 90o to the right of the wind (in the northern hemisphere), this means that the wind must veer. In the SJV, the rapidly moving jet (7-30 m/s) may veer toward the western valley but is channeled by the topography and soon encounters the Tehachapi range. While the nocturnal jet may be present in other seasons, it has been observed during the ozone season (Smith et al. 1981; Blumenthal 1985; Thuillier et al. 1994). It is believed to be a transport mechanism during the summer months, and the CCOS study plan includes instrumented aircraft, which can provide measurements for estimating the impact of the transport. Depending on the temperature structure of the valley, the jet may not be able to exit through Tehachapi Pass (~1400 m), as it can during the neutral stability of daytime convective heating. The air is forced to turn north along the Sierra foothills at the southeastern edge of the SJV. Smith et al. (1981) mapped the Fresno eddy with pibals and described an unusual case where it extended as far north as Modesto. During the Southern San Joaquin Ozone Study, Blumenthal et al. (1985) measured the Fresno eddy extending above 900 m AGL about 50% of the time. Neff et al. (1991) have measured the eddy using radar wind profilers during SJVAQS/AUSPEX. The impact of these jets and eddies is to redistribute pollutants within an air basin. The SJV nocturnal jet can bring pollutants form the north SJV to the south overnight. Ozone created in the south SJV can then be redistributed to the central SJV and/or can be transported into layers aloft by the eddy. The Schultz eddy forms when westerly marine air flow in the south SV valley (which may become a jet with the evening boundary layer) impacts the Sierra and turns north. It can redistribute pollutants to Sutter Buttes and points north and east (or west after a half-circulation) of Sacramento (Schultz, 1975; ARB, 1989). Bifurcation and Convergence Zones Marine air entering the Sacramento River Delta region from the west has a “choice”, SJV to the south or SV the north. The position of this zone may move north and south based on flow entering the SV from the north or on the infrequent but sometimes observed southerly flow coming up the SJV axis flow. The relative position of the bifurcation zone may affect the proportion of SFBA pollutants transported to each downwind basin. But the dynamics governing the position of the bifurcation zone are currently not well understood. On the other hand, convergence zones can prevent transport between air basins. In the SFBA-NCC couple, pollutants from the south bay communities (e.g., San Jose) are transported by northwesterly winds through the Santa Clara valley to the south. This flow impacts Gilroy and can continue 2-10 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study down the Santa Clara Valley to Pinnacles National Monument if the northwesterly winds crossing inland at Moss Landing continue through Pacheco pass without turning north. However, under perhaps subtly different conditions, some of this onshore flow at Moss Landing will turn north, damming the southerly flow coming from Gilroy in the Santa Clara Valley. Another example of the effect of convergence zones on air quality is provided by Blumenthal et al. (1985). They hypothesize that the increase in mixing heights (~200 m higher than in the north SJV) at the southern end of the SJV is due to damming of the northerly flow against the Tehachapi mountains at the south end. Without this damming effect, the mixing levels over Bakersfield, Arvin and Edison would be even lower, and O3 concentrations may be higher. Upslope/Downslope Flow The increased daytime heating in mountain canyons and valleys with a topographic amplification factor (i.e., heating less air volume when compared to flat land; see White, 1991) causes significant upslope flows during the afternoons in the San Joaquin and Sacramento Valleys. This can act as a removal mechanism, and can lift mixing heights on edges of the valleys, relative to the mixing heights at valley center. Myrup et al. (1989) studied transport of aerosols from the SJV valley into Sequoia National Park. They found a net up flow of most species. The return flow can bring pollutants back down. Smith et al. (1981) from tracer mass budgets during tracer releases has estimated pollutant budgets due to slope flow fluxes (and other ventilation mechanisms). Smith et al. caution that less polluted air at higher elevations is entrained in the slope flow, thus diluting SJV air and removing less pollutants. From the tracer mass balance, they found that northwesterly flow was a more effective dilution mechanism, and the benefits of slope flow removal by upslope flows would be confined to the edges of the valley. Slope fluxes have also been modeled by Moore et al. (1987) with acceptable agreement between observed and modeled winds during maximum heating, but less agreement during morning and evening transition hours. In general, Whiteman and McKee (1979) first proposed slope flows as a pollutant removal mechanism, but Vergeiner and Dreiseitl (1987) showed it not to be that effective. Up-Valley/Down-Valley Flow This is the big brother of upslope/downslope flow. Up-valley flow draws air south in the SJV and north in the SV during the day, while down-valley drainage winds tend to ventilate both valleys at night. Hayes et al. (1984) has both regimes for both valleys in the “California Surface Wind Climatology” although with a bit different terminology. Compensation Flow/Re-Entrainment This proposed mechanism should be distinguished from the observed nocturnal downslope flow. Rather, this mesoscale circulation is a direct result of mass balance and the necessarily simultaneous compensating for mass loss due to upslope flow. In a closed system, there would be a one-to-one correspondence between pollutant flow upslope and pollutant return in a compensation flow. As air was removed from the valley floor, there would be subsidence motion to replace the air, and finally, a compensation flow of air from the top of the Sierra crest would return to replace the vertically descending air. However, the San Joaquin Valley is not a 2-11 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study closed system in many ways. Air to replace that removed by slope flows could be come from the relatively clean western boundary, and need not recirculate pollutants at all. Given a valid emissions inventory, the interplay of these mesoscale features with the synoptic pattern leads to a conceptual model of ozone formation in the study region. It is desirable to objectively classify the wind patterns into distinct scenarios, where the meteorological impacts on air quality are understood in the context of the model. In addition, the MetWG is undertaking objective, empirical techniques to assess the frequency of formation, the links to synoptic patterns, and the air quality impacts of the following mesoscale features: • • • • • • • • • • • • • • 2.5.3 Sea breeze Marine air intrusion Coastal Windflow – off-shore flow, north or south along coast Marine fog and stratus San Joaquin Valley/Sacramento Valley Bifurcation Zone – location and relative proportions of air moving north, east, and south. Pacheco Anti-Cyclone – possible impact on SJV to San Louis Obispo area transport. Fresno Eddy – degree to which pollutants are trapped and re-entrained in central SJV with the damming of air against the Tehachapi mountains and subsequent recirculation. Schultz Eddy – impacts of transport to northern mountain counties and upper SV Redding Eddy – Discuss any evidence for and or possible importance to air quality in the Redding area. Upper/Lower SV Convergence zone Upper/Lower SJV Convergence zone Upslope/Downslope Up-valley/Down-valley Compensation Flow/Re-entrainment Major Transport Couples in Central California In accordance with the 1988 California Clean Air Act, the California Air Resources Board has identified transport couples within the state where “transported air pollutants from upwind areas outside a district can cause or contribute to violations of the state ambient air quality standard for ozone in a downwind district.” (CARB, 1989). Since then, CARB has issued triennial assessments of the impacts of transported pollutants on ozone concentrations (CARB, 1990, 1993). Realizing the limitations of the state of the art in quantifying transport, ARB staff chose to characterize transport as overwhelming, significant, or inconsequential. Operational definitions of these characterizations have been developed (MDAPTC, 1995). Overwhelming transport denotes a situation where an ozone exceedance can occur in the downwind basin due to upwind emissions even in the absence of any downwind emissions. Significant transport means that both upwind and downwind basin pollutants are necessary to cause an exceedance. Inconsequential transport means that downwind emissions alone are sufficient to cause an 2-12 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study exceedance with little or no transport of upwind emissions. In identification of transport couples, ARB staff performed analyses using meteorological methods, air quality methods (ARB, 1989, 1990, 1993) and a combination of the two approaches as outlined by Roberts et al. (1992). These methods and others that are relevant to the current study are summarized in Section 3.7. The following Central California transport couples and their transport characterization are relevant to the CCOS study (CARB, 1993): San Francisco Bay Area (SFBA) to Sacramento Valley (SV) – Overwhelming, significant and inconsequential. Hayes et al. 1984 found the sea breeze pattern in the SV with a frequency of 75%, and Roberts et al. (1992) characterized impacts in the Upper Sacramento Valley as overwhelming. SFBA to San Joaquin Valley (SJV) – Overwhelming, significant and inconsequential. The sea breeze is the effective transport mechanism. Using air quality methods, Douglas et al. (1991) found that transport from the SFBA affected the northern SJV 37% of the time. 1. SFBA to Mountain Counties (MC) – Significant. 2. SFBA to North Central Coast (NCC) – Overwhelming and significant. 3. SV to SJV– Significant and inconsequential. 4. SV to SFBA – Significant and inconsequential. Two possibilities for this infrequent event are discussed in CARB (1989). During stagnation events, or the rare occurrence of the Hayes et al. (1984) northeasterly scenario in the Sacramento Valley (1% frequency at 1600 PST), a north easterly wind brings SV pollutants in the reverse direction through the Carquinez Straight in to the SFBA. A case of this pattern was observed by Stoeckenius et al. (1994) in their comparison of observed wind stream patterns to the Hayes et al. cases. The other scenario of compensation flow is discussed in Section 2.4.3. 5. SJV to SV – Significant and inconsequential. The Hayes et al. (1984) southeasterly scenario occurs only 2-3% of the time in the morning hours during summer, but it could transport pollutants, within the SJV from the previous day, into the SV. 6. SV to MC – Overwhelming. 7. SJV to MC – Overwhelming. 8. SJV to South Central Coast (SCC) – Overwhelming, significant and inconsequential. In addition to these inter-basin transport couples, other source-receptor areas of interest include: • Intra-basin transport due to nocturnal eddies, i.e., the Fresno eddy within the SJV and the Schultz eddy north of Sacramento in the SV. 2-13 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 2.5.4 Chapter 2: Basis for Study • Intra-basin source-receptor couples such as Sacramento-Folsom, Sacramento-Auburn, or Sacramento-Redding and other upper SV receptor sites. • California coastal waters to SCC and CC. • SJV to Great Basin Valleys – Flux estimates of pollutants that escape from the SJV valley as opposed to returning to the valley in downslope flows. Will aid in modeling boundary conditions. • SJV to Mojave Desert (specifically the MOP site in Mojave, CA.) – Flux estimates of what leaves the SJV valley through Tehachapi Pass. Will aid in modeling boundary conditions. Roberts et al. (1992) have documented transport to Mojave through Tehachapi, and Smith et al. (1997) have demonstrated the correlation between southern SJV and Mojave ozone concentrations. Meteorological Scenarios Associated with Ozone Exceedances The development of a conceptual model for ozone formation is aided by identification of meteorological scenarios of interest that foster mesoscale processes that dominate physical transport and dispersion of pollutants. An idealized, robust set of meteorological scenarios would be distinct from one another, provide enough “wiggle-room” within each scenario to accommodate the natural variability in the turbulent atmosphere, and transition smoothly between scenarios in a temporally varying atmosphere. Secondly, a viable set of meteorological scenarios can increase human forecast skill (and possibly go/no-go decision accuracy) and enhance the physical intuition of the investigators in interpreting results. Finally, each scenario should be linked to a set of commonly measured observables, like routine meteorological and air quality data, to increase the capture rate of episodes useful in modeling. This section discusses the identification and classification of meteorological scenarios. Previous classification efforts are reviewed, and two classification approaches undertaken during the CCOS planning effort are presented as works in progress. The first is a top-down approach using inspection of 500-mb weather maps from 1996-98 ozone seasons, and the second is a cluster analysis performed for a select group of days from these three seasons. After a brief overview of coastal meteorology, following a summary by Rogers et al. (1995), a possible link between the semi-cyclic coastal fog patterns and air pollution scenarios is also discussed. Finally, some forecast ideas are presented, based on district input. 2.5.4.1 Previous Classification Studies in Central California Previous studies have classified California weather and wind flow patterns. Objective classification is possible for air quality in the San Joaquin Valley and the San Francisco (SF) Bay Area as the studies summarized below demonstrate. Hayes et al (1984) Grouped surface wind patterns for SF Bay Area (6 primary scenarios), San Joaquin Valley (4 primary scenarios), and Sacramento Valley (8 primary scenarios). This document is cited in many of the documents in the included review. 2-14 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Fairley and DeMandel (1996) Performed cluster analysis to group ozone episode days ([O3] ≥15 pphm) for 1985-89. For each cluster, the average peak ozone level in the San Joaquin Valley exceeds 120 ppb. • • • • Cluster 1: high in San Joaquin Valley, low-moderate in Sacramento Valley, and low in Bay Area Cluster 2: high in San Joaquin Valley, moderate in Sacramento Valley, and moderate in Bay Area Cluster 3: high in northern San Joaquin Valley, high in Sacramento Valley, and moderate Bay Area Cluster 4: high in Bay Area, varies over other areas. Performed CART analysis on 31 surface and upper-air variables to determine which variables best distinguish between episode and non-episode days: • • Stockton daily maximum temperature 900 mb temperature from the 00Z (1600 PST) Oakland sounding and to distinguish between clusters: • • • Sacramento daily maximum temperature v-component (north-south) of Sacramento afternoon winds product of Pittsburg 1500 PST u-component (east-west) wind with Oakland inversion base height from the 00Z (1600 PST) sounding Meteorological features of clusters are identified and discussed, but “ozone levels within clusters vary considerably and . . . clusters could only roughly be predicted with the meteorological variables.” Noted that Cluster 4 days are not characterized by a SARMAP intensive, as with other clusters. Roberts, P.T., C.G. Lindsey, and T.B. Smith. (1994) For 1981-89 ozone exceedance days, performed individual and multiple linear regressions between ozone and various meteorological parameters: • • • 850-mb and 950-mb temperatures, and inversion height from the 00Z (1600 PST) Oakland sounding Daily maximum temperatures from Bakersfield, Fresno, and Modesto 12Z (0400 PST) surface pressure gradients from San Franciso to Reno and from San Francisco to Las Vegas Performed a cluster analysis between Fresno ozone and these meteorological parameters. Estimated mean meteorological parameters on ozone exceedance days. Results are presented in tabular form. Clusters are not specifically identified nor definitively associated with surface flow patterns. One cluster is discussed for which a trough can pass through the northern SJV (and presumably the Sacramento Valley) without materially affecting the southern SJV. 2-15 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Used paired-station correlations for ozone, Pittsburg v. Bethel Island, and Bethel Island v. Stockton, to follow the transport route west from SF Bay Area (Pittsburg to Bethel Island) and into the San Joaquin Valley (Bethel Island to Stockton). More detail is available in Roberts et al (1990). T.B. Smith (1994) Defined two criteria based on Fresno and Edison maximum ozone concentrations: • • Stringent criteria - O3>130 ppb at both sites on at least 1 of 2 consecutive days with one of the two sites >140 ppb Marginal criteria - O3>130 ppb at either site on 2 consecutive days but with no value >130 ppb at the other site. Stringent criteria days were then subjected to a cluster analysis. Two clusters were found that did not differ in main synoptic characteristics, but only by the intensity or development of the synoptic pattern. Meteorological scenarios associated with SJV episodes include: • • • • • • • Warm temperature aloft Offshore surface pressure gradients (From Reno to SF) High maximum temperatures in SJV Extensive high-pressure in the western U.S. centered near Four Corners Western edge of high should extend to the west coast Low pressure trough off-shore Southerly winds aloft prevalent along the west coast Ludwig, Jiang, and Chen (1995) Performed cluster and empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis for ozone violation in Pinnacles national Monument. Found that Pinnacles is often located within the subsidence inversion of the EPHPS. Did not conclude the source region of pollutants or the mechanism responsible for trapping pollutants in the inversion. Stoeckenius, Roberts, and Chinkin (1994) Performed streamline analysis and matching of patterns to the Hayes et al. Surface flow patterns. Backtrajectories and forward trajectories were also computed and examined. Generated six source-receptor scenarios with six additional classifications to describe coastal winds. The main scenarios are: • • • • • • Northwest Northeast Bay Outflow Calm Southerly Northwest-South 2-16 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study They performed a cluster analysis with 17 meteorological variables, and were able to approximately match the Hayes et al. flow patterns. Concluded with an 85% success rate in “forecasting” observed ozone exceedances, but found that four variables were almost as successful. Conditions for potential ozone days, i.e., days with the potential to exceed the federal 1-hr standard, are: • • • Oakland 850-mb temperature ≥ 17.5 oC Sacramento and Fresno surface temperature ≥ 85 oF San Francisco to Reno sea-level surface pressure difference ≤ 10 mb 2.5.4.2 Preliminary Subjective Analysis: Inspection of Daily Weather Maps As introduced in Section 1.4, ozone season days, May 1 – October 31, have been classified for three recent seasons, 1996-1998, using inspection of 500-mb weather maps to establish gross features. All 552 subject days have been classified into eight categories, arranged approximately in order of decreasing ozone impact: 1. Western U.S. Hi – Upper-level high centered over the Western U.S. 2. Eastern Pacific Hi – Upper-level high centered off the Western U.S. coast 3. Monsoonal Flow – Upper-level high centered in the south-western U.S. or in northern Mexico such that southerly flow brings moisture north 4. Zonal Flow – West-to-East 5. Pre-Frontal – Front approaching from northwest brings southwesterly flow 6. Trough Passage – Upper-level trough moves through California, usually ventilating Central California. 7. Continental Hi – Northerly wind with no marine component, more typical in winter 8. El Nino Cut-off Lo – A special class for 1997 where a cut-off low sat just of the southern California coast for several days. Table 2.5-2 provides descriptions and the frequencies of occurrence of these eight synoptic types and subtypes for the 1996-98 seasons. Ozone impacts for the 8hr standard, by basin and proposed sub-basin, are described in Table 2.5-3 as a frequency (percentage) of days of each type and subtype for which an 8hr exceedance is observed. It is possible to define impact levels in terms severity of maximum and/or mean ozone concentration as well. It is intended to link this top down approach with previous cluster analysis, in particular that of Fairley and DeMandel (1996), and, if possible, to the Hayes et al (1984) surface wind climatology. It is also proposed to develop an objective classification scheme with ARB and district meteorologists as part of the on-going Meteorology Working Group (MetWG). The Western U.S. High accounts for proportionately the greatest number of exceedances. As shown in Table 2.5-3, 97% of days with highs centered over southern California have 8hr exceedances in the Central San Joaquin Valley, where the frequency of exceedances on all 199698 ozone season days is 42%. Similarly, 90% of these days have Southern SJV exceedances, where the overall ozone season frequency is 38%. The Western U.S. High contributes to stagnation conditions throughout central California by fostering an off-shore gradient which weakens the marine air intrusion and in some cases even reverses the usual sea breeze. Compared to a more vigorous sea breeze scenario like the Eastern Pacific High, this tends to keep pollutants longer within respective source regions, although some transport can still occur 2-17 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study with the delayed and/or weakened sea breeze, the reversed flow, or other thermally driven mesoscale features. The SFBA has 8hr exceedances on 29% of days when the Western U.S. High is centered over the Pacific Northwest, while the frequency of 8hr exceedances on all 1996-98 ozone season days is only about 4%. This scenario also provides abundant sunlight and the greatest subsidence inversion to reduce mixing heights and trap pollutants vertically all over central California. Monsoonal flow can have both mitigating and exacerbating impacts on SJV air quality. Some monsoonal days are identified (e.g., 9/3/98), where SJV air quality is lower relative to the rest of Central California, but on other days, the southerly monsoonal flow can weaken the SJV exit flow through Tehachapi Pass. Zonal flow tends to increase synoptic forcing, and less ozone impact is seen in the northern portion of the study area, but the topography surrounding the SJV helps decouple the valley from the upper level winds, and many exceedances are observed in SJV for this scenario. The last four scenarios all help ventilate the Central Valley. There were no 1hr exceedances during any of the 142 out of 552 days studied (26%), although some 8hr exceedances are observed in the SJV and the Mountain Counties (MC) with a trough passage. (Troughs are weaker in the summer.) There are, however, important limitations to this top-down approach. The eight, largescale classes do not allow for adequate consideration of day-to-day atmospheric variability and of smaller mesoscale effects. Additionally, during the Western U.S. High scenario, when synoptic forcing over central California is weakest but ozone concentrations are greatest, mesoscale features become most important, and subtle synoptic differences fostering the formation and/or amplification of these features are even more difficult to classify. The following cluster analysis describes a more objective classification method to complement the top-down approach. 2.5.4.3 Cluster Analysis of High Ozone Days This second approach uses cluster analysis of ozone data from the same three ozone seasons to determine groupings of spatial patterns on several very high ozone days selected by the local air quality districts as being of interest for air quality modeling. Work on cluster analysis continues among members of the Meteorology Working Group. The goal is to arrive at objectively classified scenarios linked to upper level flow, to the most likely “phase” of the synoptic quasi-cycle, to the surface flow, and ultimately to the spatial and temporal pattern of ozone concentrations in Central California. This work is planned to be complete for the CCOS Operational Plan. A description of progress to date follows. Local districts were asked by the MetWG to provide a list of the top-ten most interesting ozone episodes from 1996-98 to model. The response is presented in Table 2.5-4, and will be updated as more district input is received. There were 125 total days spanning 20 episodes from district responses. Considerable overlap was observed, particularly during the months of July and August. This implies that CCOS can capture a single episode that may be of interest to more than one district. A subset of these episode days was selected if the maximum 1-hour ozone exceeded a threshold value for any of the three major basins, SJV, SV or SFBA. The thresholds, called target values, selected by the Met WG were 128 ppb for SFBA, 129 ppb for SV, and 145 ppb for SJV. The selection was based on the highest days for each episode for each of the three, and then by adding any other day that is higher than the lowest episode maximum. Ideally, the design value would be most appropriate selection criteria, but the occurrence of these days is by 2-18 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study definition rare, and the state-of-the-art in ozone forecasting is such that lower target values will be used. Using the target criteria, there were 43 days from the 125 that were selected for cluster analysis, as shown in Table 2.5-5. As can be seen from the Subjective Scenario column in Table 2.5-5, a Western U.S. High dominated 34 of the 43 days. There is a “Cluster 0” in Table 2.5-5 representing an outlier day where SJV ozone values were relatively much lower than either SV or SFBA. The metric used to cluster groups was 1-r, where r is the correlation coefficient between the spatial pattern of ozone values on any two days. (If two days are perfectly correlated in ozone spatial distribution, r would be one and the distance between them would be zero.) Three clusters are found for both 1-hour and 8-hour exceedances, although the correspondence between 1hr and 8hr days is not one-to-one. Statistical values of meteorological parameters for all 43 days and for each cluster are presented as a work in progress in Table 2.5-6. The remaining clusters are: Cluster 1 – 22 of 43 days. The San Francisco Bay Area has its highest basin-wide ozone values, though still less in absolute magnitude than San Joaquin Valley. This cluster is characterized by the weakest sea breeze (lowest west-to-east component through Carquinez Strait as represented by Bethel Island winds in Table 2.5-6). It also has the lowest Oakland inversion base heights. Among the cluster days, North Central Coast ozone is also highest during Cluster 1. Cluster 1 days also have a statistically lower gradient between San Francisco and Redding. Cluster 2 – 12 of 43 days. The San Joaquin Valley (SJV) has its highest basin-wide values while the Bay Area and Sacramento Valley are relatively cleaner. A stronger sea breeze, relative to Cluster 1, keeps the pollutants moving through the Bay Area and the Sacramento Valley, but may increase transport into the SJV. Among the cluster days, Mountain Counties ozone is lowest during Cluster 2. Cluster 3 – 8 of 43 days. Sacramento Valley has its highest basin-wide ozone values, as does the Mountain Counties Air Basin. As with Cluster 2, a stronger sea breeze is present, relative to Cluster 1, but surface temperatures in Sacramento Valley are higher, indicating less and/or later intrusion of the sea breeze, allowing more time for photochemistry before evening transport to the Mountain Counties. As discussed in Section 1.3 and presented in Figure 1.3-1, the difference among the clusters is greatest for the Bay Area. Differences in mean ozone concentration among clusters are statistically significant (at the 95%-confidnece level) for both SFBA and SV. However, none of the clusters are significant different from one another for SJV due to less marine air intrusion over the surrounding topography. 2.5.4.4 Coastal Meteorology and the Fog Cycle Coastal meteorology directly influences the mesoscale from about 100 km offshore to 100 km inland (Rogers et al. 1995, concise overview article). The coastal zone includes interaction of the marine and land atmospheric boundary layers, air-sea thermal exchange, and large-scale atmospheric dynamics linked to fog formation by Leipper (1994, 1995) and others as 2-19 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study summarized by Leipper (1994). The atmospheric physics of the sea breeze, discussed in Section 2.4, is well understood, but there is currently better understanding of a homogeneous layer, marine layer out at sea or a convective boundary layer over land, than for all the effects of the land-sea interface. The implications for inland air quality are complicated by the inherent variability in a boundary layer depth which can vary from 100--200 m at the shore to several kilometers inland (McElroy and Smith, 1991). Nevertheless, coastal meteorology has significant impacts on inland air quality. For example, major ozone episodes in the vicinity of Santa Barbara, California are often associated with the storage of ozone precursors in the shallow marine layer over the Santa Barbara Channel (Moore et al. 1991) and the onshore flow of marine air as a miniature cold front (McElroy and Smith 1991). A coherent marine layer, with an imbedded thermal internal boundary layer that forms at the shoreline, can propagate inland for distances of 20 to 50 km. In addition to the heterogeneity of the coastal zone, the California coastal environment is modified by considerable coastal topography, which can accelerate the wind while constraining the flow parallel to the coast. Rogers et al. (1995) describe the problem as characterized by two free parameters: • • the Froude number Fr, defined by U/(Nh), and the Rossby number Ro, defined by U/(fl), where U is the speed of the air stream, h is the height of the barrier, f is the Coriolis parameter, l is the half width of the barrier, and N is the Brunt-Vaisala frequency of oscillation of gravity waves. Generally blocking of the air flow occurs when Fr is < 1 which can occur with elevations as low as 100 m. Thus, localized regions of high or low pressure generated in the coastal zone can become trapped and propagate along the coastline for days. These features may have length scales of 1000 km in the alongshore direction and 100-300 km across-shore and can cause significant changes in the local weather in the coastal zone. For example, a southerly surge is defined as the advection of a narrow band of stratus northward along the coast, with a rapid transition from northerly to southerly flow at coastal buoys. It can replace clear skies with clouds and fog, and cause intensification and reversals of the wind field (e.g., Dorman, 1985, 1987; Mass and Albright, 1987). It typically covers 500-1000 km of coastline, propagates at an average speed of 7-9 m/s, and lasts 24-36 hours (Archer and Reynolds, 1996). However, every summer, southerly winds develop along the coast one or two times a month that are related to synoptic scale flow. The transition from northerly to southerly winds often corresponds to the end of a coastal heat wave and the abrupt onset of stratus. Leipper (1994, 1995) has documented a cycle in coastal fog, with periodic clearing of large areas of clouds off the coast of as warm, offshore flow spread out over the ocean. Leipper (and Kloesel, 1992) have shown that synoptic-to-mesoscale clearing episodes are correlated with ridging of the Pacific subtropical anticyclone in the United States Pacific Northwest region that results in these offshore flows. Leipper (1994) has identified four phases of fog formation: • • • Phase 1: Initial conditions Phase 2: Fog Formation Phase 3: Fog Growth and Extension 2-20 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 • Chapter 2: Basis for Study Phase 4: Stratus Furthermore, Leipper (1995) has linked the four phases to properties of the Oakland soundings called Leipper Inversion Based Statistics (LIBS). These parameters include the 850mb temperature and the height of inversion base and top, thickness of the inversion layer, and strength of the inversion, which have been employed by the previously summarized studies. But Leipper also separates the inversion into sublayers of 0-250m, 250-400 m and 400-800 m and looks at wind statistics of these layers and wind direction. He has developed frequency distribution charts, one per phase per U.S. west coast city, linking fog local climatology measures of frequency and intensity (visibility-based) to the four synoptic phases. Such is being investigated for possible applications to Central California ozone forecasting. There may also be a connection in the phases of fog formation to air quality, with an approximate 90-180o lag in the fog phase relative to the air quality climatology phase. The fog cycle “resets” with the initial conditions (Leipper’s Phase 1) when there is off-shore flow, which may correspond to the Western U.S. High scenario which brings generally the worst ozone impacts to Central California. The applicability of LIBS in forecasting ozone events is under evaluation by the MetWG. As part of the CCOS Operational Plan, the MetWG plans to develop these ideas and make recommendations for the use of LIBS in the objective classification and forecasting of meteorological scenarios. 2.6 Atmospheric Transformation and Deposition Much of the difficulty in addressing the ozone problem is related to ozone’s complex photochemistry. The rate of O3 production is a non-linear function of the mixture of VOC and NOx in the atmosphere. Depending upon the relative concentration of VOC and NOx and the specific mix of VOC present, the rate of O3 formation can be most sensitive to changes in VOC alone or to changes in NOx alone or to simultaneous changes in both VOC and NOx. Understanding the response of ozone levels to specific changes in VOC or NOx emissions is the fundamental prerequisite to developing a cost-effective ozone abatement strategy, and is the principal goal of CCOS. 2.6.1 Ozone Formation Photochemical production of O3 in the troposphere was considered to be important only in highly polluted urban regions until the 1970s. It was believed that transport of stratospheric O3 was the main source of tropospheric O3 (Junge, 1963). The results of Crutzen (1973), Fishman et al. (1979), for example, show that photochemical production of O3 from nitrogen oxides and volatile organic compounds is a major source of O3 in the troposphere (Warneck, 1988). Recent calculations suggest that about 50% of tropospheric O3 is due to in-situ production (Müller and Brasseur, 1995). At remote sites tropospheric production accounts for observations of O3 concentrations that are greater than 25 ppb (Derwent and Kay, 1988). Haagen-Smit (1952) was the first to determine that photochemistry was responsible for the production of O3 in the highly polluted Los Angeles basin. Air pollution research has 2-21 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study determined the overall reaction mechanism for the production of tropospheric ozone. But many important aspects of the organic chemistry are unknown are topics of current research and these uncertainties are discussed below. Figure 2.6-1. Gives an overview of ozone production in the troposphere. In the troposphere O3 is produced through the photolysis of nitrogen dioxide to produce ground state oxygen atoms, O(3P), Reaction (1). The ground state oxygen atoms react with molecular oxygen to produce O3, Reaction (2), (where M is a third body such as N2 or O2). NO2 + hν → NO + O(3P) O(3P) + O2 + M → O3 + M (1) (2) When nitrogen oxides are present, O3 reacts with NO to reproduce NO2. O3 + NO → NO2 + O2 (3) Reactions (1-3) by themselves, in the absence of CO or organic compounds, do not produce O3 because these reactions only recycle O3 and NOx. O3 concentrations are determined by the "NO-photostationary state equation", Equation (4). J1[NO2] [O3] = k [NO] 3 (4) where J1 is the photolysis frequency of Reaction (1), k3 is the rate constant for Reaction (3), [NO2] is the concentration of nitrogen dioxide and [NO] is the concentration of nitric oxide. Reactions of NO with HO2 and organic peroxy radicals, produced through the atmospheric degradation of CO or organic compounds, are required to produce ozone. Tropospheric O3 formation is a highly nonlinear process (i.e. Dodge, 1984; Liu et al., 1987; Lin et al., 1988). A fraction of O3 photolyzes to produce an excited oxygen atom, O(1D). O3 + hν → O(1D) + O2 (5) A fraction of these react with water to produce HO radicals. O(1D) + H2O → 2 HO (6) 2-22 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study The HO radicals react with CO or organic compounds (RH) to produce peroxy radicals (HO2 or RO2). The peroxy radicals react with NO to produce NO2 which photolyzes to produce additional O3: CO + HO (+O2) RH + HO R + O2 + M RO2 + NO RO + O2 HO2 + NO → → → → → → CO2 + HO2 R + H2O RO2 + M RO + NO2 HO2 + CARB (11) HO + NO2 (7) (8) (9) (10) (12) The net reaction is the sum of Reactions (8) through (12) plus twice Reactions (1) and (2): RH + 4 O2 + 2 hν → CARB + H2O + 2 O3 (13) where CARB is either a carbonyl species, either an aldehyde (R'CHO) or a ketone (R'CR''O). The carbonyl compounds may further react with HO or they may photolyze to produce additional peroxy radicals that react with NO to produce NO2 (Seinfeld, 1986; Finlayson-Pitts and Pitts, 1986). Peroxy radical reactions with NO reduce the concentration of NO and increase the concentration of NO2. This reduces the rate of Reaction (3), which destroys O3 and increases the rate of reaction (1) that produces ozone. The increase in the ratio of [NO2] / [NO] leads to higher O3 concentration according to Equation (4). Reaction (13) suggests that NOx is a catalyst for the production of O3. The O3 production efficiency of NOx can be defined as the ratio of the rate at which NO molecules are converted to NO2 to the total rate of NOx lost through conversion to nitric acid, organic nitrates or its loss through deposition (Liu et al., 1987; Lin et al., 1988; Hov, 1989). Under most atmospheric conditions the O3 production efficiency of NOx is inversely related to the NOx concentration. In the lower troposphere the formation of HNO3 is a major sink of NOx because HNO3 reacts slowly in the lower troposphere and it is rapidly removed due to dry and wet deposition. In the gas-phase NO2 reacts with HO to form nitric acid by a relatively well understood process. HO + NO2 → HNO3 (14) During the night a significant amount of NOx can be removed through heterogeneous reactions of N2O5 on water coated aerosol particles. Nitrate radical (NO3) is produced by the reaction of NO2 with O3, Reaction (15). The NO3 produced may react with NO2 to produce N2O5, 2-23 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Reaction (16). Finally the N2O5 reacts with liquid water to produce HNO3, Reaction (17) (DeMore et al., 1997). NO2 + O3 → NO3 + O2 (15) (16) (17) NO3 + NO2 → N2O5 N2O5 + H2O(l) → 2 HNO3 The rate of Reaction (17) can be fast during the night-time but its rate constant is very difficult to correctly characterize (Leaitch et al., 1988; DeMore et al., 1997). There also may be a gas-phase reaction of N2O5 with water but it is relatively small (Mentel et al., 1996). Uncertainties in rate parameters The tropospheric chemistry mechanisms are developed using chemical kinetics data from laboratory experiments and these data have uncertainties associated with them. In addition there are difficulties in extrapolating from the laboratory to the real atmosphere. Review panels under the auspices of the International Union of Pure and Applied Chemistry (IUPAC) (Atkinson et al., 1997) and the U.S. National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) (DeMore et al., 1997) evaluate rate constants for use in atmospheric chemistry models. Both groups report not only a recommended value but also uncertainty factors. For example, the NASA review panel gives the nominal rate constants for thermal reactions as: (( ) ( )) ko (T ) = A × exp − E a R × 1 T (18) where ko(T) is the temperature dependent rate constant, A is the Arrhenius factor, R is the gas constant, Ea is the activation energy and T is the temperature (K). The NASA panel assigns an uncertainty factor for 298 K, f(298) and an uncertainty factor for the activation energy, • E. Using f(298) and • E the NASA panel recommends the following expression for the temperature dependent uncertainty factor: f ( T) = f (298) × exp ∆E 1 × T − 1 298 R ( ) (19) The temperature dependent uncertainty factor is used to calculate the upper and lower bounds to the rate constant: T Lower_Bound = ko ( ) f T ( ) (20) Upper_ Bound = k o (T ) × f ( T) (21) 2-24 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study The upper and lower bounds correspond to approximately one standard deviation: σk ~ k(T) ∞ f(T) - k(T) / f(T) 2 (22) However, the upper and lower bounds are not completely symmetric as defined by the NASA panel and the asymmetry becomes more apparent for larger values of f(T) as discussed below. Rate constants are most accurately known near 298 K and become more uncertain as the temperature becomes lower, for this reason, chemical mechanisms become more uncertain in the upper troposphere. To illustrate this point we calculated the effect of temperature on the uncertainty of rate constants by using the U.S. standard atmosphere (NOAA, 1976). The pressure decreases exponentially with altitude while the temperature decreases with a constant lapse rate with altitude until the tropopause is reached. Figure 2.6-2 shows the variation of the rate constant with altitude for the reaction of ozone with nitric oxide. The rate constant decreases with increasing altitude due to the temperature decrease. In curve A, the upper and lower bounds of the rate constant are shown as dashed lines. The relative uncertainty in the rate constant increases for lower temperatures but the absolute uncertainty decreases for the O3 + NO reaction. The rate constant for the CH3O2 + HO2 reaction is much less well measured than the rate constant for the O3 + NO reaction, Figure 2.6-3. The uncertainty factor is greater than 2.0 even at 298 K. Both the absolute and the relative uncertainty increase with altitude for this reaction. For this reaction the NASA recommendations give highly asymmetric error limits. However, the asymmetry is probably more of a defect in the NASA recommendation than a real asymmetry in the uncertainty limits. This is very important because in order to evaluate the combined effect of sensitivities and uncertainties on the reliability of model predictions it is necessary to know the nature of the uncertainty distribution (Thompson and Stewart 1991a,b; Yang et al., 1995; Gao et al., 1995, 1996). The rate parameters for the reactions of HO radical with many organic compounds have been measured. The rate constant of organic compounds span a wide range of values. If an average HO radical concentration of 7.5 × 106 molecules cm-3 is assumed than the atmospheric lifetime of typical organic compounds range from less than an hour to several weeks to over two years for methane, Figure 2.6-4. Figure 2.6-5 shows nominal rate constants and uncertainty estimates for the reaction of HO with selected alkenes. The uncertainties in these reaction rates are typically ± 20 to 30 % of the recommended value (Atkinson, 1986). The absolute uncertainty is greatest for the most reactive compounds and the rate constants are known best for temperatures near 298 K. More research is needed to better characterize rate constants over a wider range of temperatures. Uncertainties and deficiencies in atmospheric chemical mechanisms 2-25 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study The chemistry of organic compounds is a major source of uncertainty in the chemical mechanisms. There is a wide variety of organic compounds emitted into the atmosphere, for example Graedel (1979) has inventoried over 350 organic compounds that are emitted from vegetation. In rural and background environments biogenic organic compounds, especially isoprene and terpenes, are often the dominate organic species (Trainer et al., 1987; Chameidies et al., 1988; Blake et al., 1993). Reactive alkenes and aromatic hydrocarbons of anthropogenic origin are often the most important organic precursors of O3 in urban locations (Leone and Seinfeld, 1985). Even the predictions of highly detailed explicit mechanisms derived completely from first principles are extremely uncertain because, in spite of extensive recent research [DeMore, 1997; Le Bras, 1997; Atkinson et . al, 1997] there is a substantial lack of data. New research, especially on the chemistry of organic compounds, is needed to improve the chemical mechanisms (Gao et al., 1995, 1996; Stockwell et al. 1997). Although the rate constants for the primary reactions of HO, O3 and NO3 with many organic compounds have been measured, there have been relatively few product yield studies or studies aimed at understanding the chemistry of the reaction products. Especially the chemistry of higher molecular weight organic compounds and their photooxidation products is highly uncertain (Gao et al., 1995, 1996; Stockwell et al. 1997). There is little available data on the chemistry of compounds with carbon numbers greater than 3 or 4 and most of the chemistry for these compounds is based upon extrapolating experimental studies of the reactions of lower molecular weight compounds. For example, for alkenes, there is a lack of mechanistic and product yield data even for the reaction of HO with propene. In development of chemical mechanisms it is usually assumed that 65% of the HO radicals add to the terminal carbon for primary alkenes based upon the work of Cvetanovic (1976) for propene, but there has been little confirmation of these results. For the higher molecular weight alkenes this uncertainty may affect the estimated organic product yields. The chemistry of intermediate oxidation products including aldehydes, ketones, alcohols, ethers, etc. requires additional study. The nature, yield and fate of most carbonyl products produced from the high molecular weight alkanes, alkenes and other compounds are unknown (Gao et al., 1995, 1996; Stockwell et al. 1997). For photolysis reactions the quantum yields, absorption cross sections and product yields for C4 and higher aldehydes, ketones, alcohols, dicarbonyls, hydroxycarbonyls and ketoacids are not well known. For the reactions of C4 and higher carbonyl compounds with HO and NO3 the rate constants and product yields need to be measured better. The reactions of ozone with alkenes and the products are not well characterized (Atkinson, 1994; Stockwell et al. 1997). The fate of Criegee biradicals and their reaction products may be incorrectly described by the mechanisms; especially for any Criegee biradicals beyond those produced from ethene and propene. These uncertainties include the nature and yield of radicals and organic acids. More data are required on the nature of the products of NO3 - alkene addition reactions. The relative importance of unimolecular decomposition, reaction with oxygen and isomerization reactions of higher alkoxy radicals is unknown and this may effect ozone production rates. 2-26 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study This lack of understanding of alkene chemistry is particularly significant for biogenics like isoprene and terpenes (Stockwell et al. 1997). The photochemical oxidation of biogenic compounds yields a wide variety of organic compounds including peroxyacetyl nitrate (PAN), methyl vinyl ketone, methacrolein and 3-methylfuran, organic aerosols and it may produce additional O3 if NOx is present (Paulson et al., 1992a,b). Isoprene and terpenes react rapidly with HO and O3. The lifetime of isoprene with respect to its reaction with HO is estimated to be 24 minutes and the lifetime of d-limonene is about 3.2 hours if the rate constants provided by Atkinson (1994) and an HO concentration of 5 × 106 are used. The terpenes react very rapidly with O3; α-Pinene and d-limonene have a lifetime of 2.2 hours and 54 minutes, respectively, with respect to reaction with O3 assuming the rate constants of Atkinson (1994) and an O3 mixing ratio of 60 ppb. Although the outlines of the atmospheric chemistry of isoprene are known much more research is needed before terpene oxidation mechanisms are understood. The uncertainties in aromatic chemistry are very high (Yang et al., 1995; Gao et al., 1995, 1996; Stockwell et al., 1997). The nature of all the products have not been characterized. The initial fate of the HO - aromatic adduct is not known. Cresol formation, which has been observed by a number of groups, may be an experimental artifact or its formation may occur in the real atmosphere. At some point during the oxidation cycle the aromatic ring breaks but for most aromatic compounds it is not known at what reaction step or ring location. Most operational mechanisms use parameterizations based upon smog chamber data, which possibly are inappropriate for the real atmosphere. The reactions of peroxy radicals (RO2) are important under night time conditions when nitric oxide concentrations are low. The RO2 - RO2 reactions and NO3 - RO2 reactions strongly affect PAN and organic peroxide concentrations through their impact on nighttime chemistry (Stockwell et al., 1995; Kirchner and Stockwell, 1996, 1997). These reactions need to be better characterized. Photolysis frequencies are also uncertain due to uncertainties in quantum yields, absorption cross sections and actinic flux. The photolysis frequencies of even the most important air pollutants, O3 and NO2, remain uncertain because of uncertainties in the measured absorption cross sections and quantum yields. For these compounds the combined uncertainties in the absorption cross sections and quantum yields is between 20 to 30% (Yang et al., 1995; Gao et al., 1995, 1996). Furthermore although the actinic flux is not a direct component of a mechanism, it is important to note that the actinic fluxes used in experimental measurements can be very different than typical atmospheric conditions. Mechanisms based on experiments that used actinic fluxes that are very different from the real atmosphere may incorporate inappropriate chemistry. Sensitivities, uncertainties and model predictions Uncertainty estimates given by NASA, IUPAC and other reviews are now being used to determine the reliability of model calculations. There are uncertainties in direct measurements of rate constants and product yields including both systematic and random errors in the data. These uncertainties are easiest to quantify if the measurements have been performed in a number of different laboratories. If there are a reasonable number of experiments, in principle error bounds 2-27 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study can be estimated from the experimental standard deviations. The most important problem is that usually there are only a few measurements, the measurements are often of variable quality, and a complete error analysis is not always made of the measurement data. The NASA and IUPAC panel estimates are described as corresponding to + 1σ but the intention of the reviewers is not always clear. The values are subjectively estimated, and generally not based on detailed statistical analysis. The review panels need to give much greater attention to uncertainty assignments. Improved uncertainty assignments are especially important because uncertainty assignments are now being used for calculations to help determine the reliability of photochemical model predictions as described below. The sensitivity of chemical concentrations to small variations in rate parameters is one measure (but not the only measure) of the relative importance of a reaction. The direct decoupled method (McCroskey and McRae 1987; Dunker 1984) was used to determine sensitivity coefficients for a continental case (Stockwell et al., 1995). Figure 2.6-6 gives the relative sensitivities of the calculated concentrations of ozone to rate parameters. The concentrations of O3 are sensitive to the photolysis rates of NO2, and O3 because these are important sources of ozone and HO radicals. The concentrations were also very sensitive to the formation and decomposition rates of PAN. The O3 concentration is sensitive to the rates for the reaction of peroxy radicals with NO and to the reaction rates of HO with CO and organic compounds because these reactions are sources of peroxy radicals. The O3 concentration is sensitive to the reaction rates of HO2 with methyl peroxy radical and acetyl peroxy radical (Stockwell et al., 1995). Gao et al. (1995) calculated local sensitivity coefficients for the concentrations of O3, HCHO, H2O2, PAN, and HNO3 to the values of 157 rate constants and 126 stoichiometric coefficients of the RADM2 gas-phase mechanism (Stockwell et al., 1990). Gao (1995) found that the RADM2 mechanism exhibits similar sensitivities to input parameters as do other widely used mechanisms (Gery et al., 1989; Carter, 1990). Thus the uncertainty estimates presented for RADM2 mechanism should be generally representative of mechanisms used in current atmospheric chemistry models. Gao et al.'s sensitivity analysis was combined with estimates of the uncertainty in each parameter in the RADM mechanism, to produce a local measure of its contribution to the uncertainty in the outputs. They used several different sets of simulation conditions that represented summertime surface conditions for urban and nonurban areas. The analysis identified the most influential rate parameters to be those for PAN chemistry, formation of HNO3, and photolysis of HCHO, NO2, O3 and products (DCB) of the oxidation of aromatics. Rate parameters for the conversion of NO to NO2 (such as O3 + NO, HO2 + NO, and organic radical + NO), and the product yields of XYLP (organic peroxy radical) in the reaction of xylene + HO and DCB in the reaction XYLP + NO, are also relatively influential. When Gao et al. (1995) compared the parameters to which ozone is most sensitive to those parameters contributing to the most uncertainty it was found that seven to nine of the same parameters were in "top ten" of both lists for each case examined. However, the rankings of the most influential rate parameters differ between the sensitivity results and the uncertainty results because some parameters are substantially more uncertain than others. Some of the parameters that contribute relatively large uncertainties, e.g., rate parameters for the reactions HO + NO2 2-28 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study and O3 + NO, are already well studied, with small uncertainties to which concentrations of some products are highly sensitive. Monte Carlo calculations examining uncertainties in chemical parameters have been performed previously for descriptions of gas-phase chemistry in the stratosphere (Stolarski et al., 1978; Ehhalt et al., 1979) and clean troposphere (Thompson and Stewart, 1991a,b). Thompson and Stewart used the Monte Carlo method to investigate how uncertainties in the rate coefficients of a 72-reaction mechanism translate into uncertainties in output concentrations of key tropospheric species for conditions representing clean continental air at mid-latitudes. The mechanism studied includes methane, ethane and the oxidation products of these two hydrocarbons. Uncertainties of approximately 20 % and 40 % were found for surface O3 and H2O2 concentrations, respectively, due to the rate uncertainties. This work was extended by Gao et al. (1996) who performed Monte Carlo analysis with Latin hypercube sampling. Gao et al. showed that the rate parameter for the reaction HO + NO2 → HNO3 was highly influential due to its role in removing NOx and radicals from participation in gas-phase chemistry. The rate parameter for the reaction HCHO + hν → 2HO2 + CO was highly influential as a source of radicals. Rate parameters for O3 photolysis and production of HO from O1D, and parameters for XYL oxidation were also relatively influential because these reactions were net sources of radicals. Rate parameters for NO2 photolysis, the reaction of O3 + NO, and PAN chemistry were substantially more important for absolute ozone concentrations than for responses to reductions in emissions. Gao et al. (1996) showed that the uncertainties in peak O3 concentrations predicted with the RADM2 mechanism for 12-hour simulations range from about ±20 to 50%. Relative uncertainties in O3 are highest for simulations with low initial ratios of reactive organic compounds to NOx. Uncertainties for predicted concentrations of other key species ranged from 15 to 30% for HNO3, from 20 to 30% for HCHO, and from 40 to 70% for PAN. Uncertainties in final H2O2 concentrations for cases with ratios of reactive organic compounds to NOx of 24:1 or higher range from 30 to 45%. Monte Carlo analysis has also been applied to ozone forming potentials and used to quantify their uncertainty. The total O3 production induced by an organic compound is related to the number of NO-to-NO2 conversions affected by the compound and its decomposition products over compound's entire degradation cycle. The greater the number of NO-to-NO2 conversions affected by the compound, the greater the amount of O3 produced (Leone and Seinfeld, 1985). This ozone formation potential can be quantified as an incremental reactivity, Equation (23). R(HC j + ∆HC j ) − R(HC j ) IRj = lim = ∆HC j ∂R ∂HCj 2-29 (23) CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study where R(HCj) is the maximum value of ([O3] - [NO]) calculated from a base case simulation and R(HCj + ∆HCj) is the maximum value of ([O3] - [NO]) calculated from a second simulation in which a small amount, ∆HCj, of an organic compound, j, has been added (Carter and Atkinson, 1989). Maximum incremental reactivities (MIR) are defined as the incremental reactivities for ozone determined under conditions that maximize the overall incremental reactivity of a base organic mixture. Calculated incremental reactivities are dependent upon simulation conditions and the chemical mechanism used to make the calculations (Chang and Rudy, 1990; Dunker, 1990; Derwent and Jenkin, 1991; Milford et al., 1992; Carter 1994; Yang et al., 1995). Yang et al. (1995) performed calculations with a single-cell trajectory model employing a detailed chemical mechanism (Carter, 1990). They calculated the MIRs for a number of compounds (Yang et al., 1995). Furthermore (Yang et al., 1995) estimated the uncertainty of the mechanism rate parameters and product yields. Monte Carlo calculations were performed to estimate the uncertainty in the incremental reactivities. Figure 2.6-7 shows MIRs of 26 organic compounds and their uncertainties (1σ) as calculated from Monte Carlo simulations (Yang et al., 1995). The uncertainties ranged from 27% of the mean estimate, for 2-methyl-1-butene, to 68% of the mean, for ethanol. The relatively unreactive compounds tended to have higher uncertainties than more reactive compounds. The impact of the more reactive compounds on O3 was not affected by small changes in their primary oxidation rates because these compounds reacted completely over the 10-hr simulation period used by Yang et al. Yang et al. (1995) used regression analysis to identify the rate constants that have the strongest influence on the calculated MIRs. Their results showed that the same rate constants that are influential for predicting O3 concentrations are also influential for MIRs. For the most of the reactive organic compounds the rate constant for its primary oxidation reaction was influential on the MIR. The rate parameters for the reactions of secondary chemical products were more important for highly reactive compounds because the primary species reacted completely. Compounds that react relatively slowly with HO show a high sensitivity to the uncertainties in the rate of HO production by the photolysis of O3 photolysis and reactions of O1D. Rate constants for the reactions of the products are also influential for most compounds. The MIRs for alcohols and olefins were sensitive to uncertainties in the associated aldehyde photolysis rates, and those of aromatics to uncertainties in the photolysis rates of higher molecular weight dicarbonyls and similar aromatic oxidation products (represented by AFG1 and AFG2). Although Yang et al. used a box model, the 3-d simulations by Russell et al. (1995) yielded similar results. The sensitivity analysis by Yang et al. underscores the need to improve the organic component in tropospheric chemistry mechanisms. Gas-Phase Mechanism Evaluation Chemical mechanisms need to be evaluated and tested before they are widely used but, unfortunately, there are no generally accepted methods. Ideally field measurements should be used but these are typically limited to only a few species and interpretation is greatly complicated by varying meteorological conditions. Environmental chamber experiments are an 2-30 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study alternative approach for the testing condensed chemical mechanisms. Typically the differences between modeled and measured ozone concentrations are about 30%. Better environmental chamber data is required because the data now available suffers from several limitations; these include very high initial concentrations, wall effects and uncertainties in photolysis rates (Stockwell et al., 1990; Kuhn et al., 1997). Many species are more sensitive to the details of the chemical schemes than ozone and comparisons between models and measurements for these may help in evaluating the mechanisms (Kuhn et al., 1997). For example, routine measurements of both reactive hydrocarbons and carbonyl compounds may provide a data-base, which should be valuable for testing model predictions (Solberg et al., 1995). Comparison of measurements and simulation results for H2O2 (Slemr and Tremmel, 1994) or nitrogen species can also provide a good test for chemical mechanisms (Stockwell, 1986; Stockwell et al., 1995). Given that differences in the carbonyl predictions of different chemical mechanisms are often larger than a factor of two, such measurements are much more useful than ozone in discriminating between mechanisms (Kuhn et al., 1997). The intercomparison of field measurements and model simulations for HO can be used to test the fast photochemistry in the troposphere. Model simulations for HO are only slightly affected by transport, since the lifetime of HO is in the order of a few seconds. Therefore the concentration of HO is determined by the concentrations of the precursors. Poppe et al (1994) presented a comparison between model simulations based on the RADM2 chemical mechanism (Stockwell et al., 1990) and measurements for rural and moderately polluted sites in Germany. They showed that the measured and modeled HO concentrations for rural environments correlate well with a coefficient of correlation r=0.73 while the model over predicts HO by about 20%. Under more polluted conditions the correlation coefficient between experimental and modeled data is significant smaller (r=0.61) and the model over predicts HO by about 15%. Poppe et al. (1994) concluded that the deviations between model simulations and measurements are well within the systematic uncertainties of the measured and calculated HO due to uncertain rate constants. In contrast to these results McKeen et al. (1997) failed to simulate measured concentrations of HO with a photochemical model. Their model consistently over predicted observed HO from the Tropospheric OH Photochemistry Experiment (TOHPE) by about 50%. Agreement between the gas-phase mechanisms The intercomparison of chemical mechanisms is one way to assess the degree of consensus among the mechanism builders. A decision about which chemical mechanism performs the best cannot be made on the basis of model intercomparisons and the fact that a model produces results in the central range of the other models is not a proof of correctness (Dodge, 1989). Only comparisons with real measurements made in the atmosphere provide the final assessment of the performance of a chemical mechanism (Kuhn et al., 1997). Olson et al. (1997) and Kuhn et al. (1997) compared the predictions of gas-phase chemical mechanisms now in wide use in atmospheric chemistry models. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) compared simulations made with several chemical schemes used in global modeling in a study named PhotoComp (Olson et al., 1997). In PhotoComp each participant used their own photolysis frequencies. Many of the differences 2-31 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study between the simulations made with the mechanisms could be attributed to differences in photolysis frequencies, especially for O3, NO2, HCHO and H2O2. The mechanisms predicted different HO2 concentrations and these differences were attributed to inconsistencies in the rate constants for the conversion of HO2 to H2O2 and differences in the photolysis rates of HCHO and H2O2 (Olson et al., 1997). The intercomparison by Kuhn et al. (1997) extended the IPCC exercise to more polluted scenarios that are more typical for the regional scale. The cases used in this study were a representative set of atmospheric conditions for regional scale atmospheric modeling over Europe. In contrast to PhotoComp, the most polluted case included emissions. Photolysis frequencies were prescribed for the study of Kuhn et al. (1997) to ensure that the differences in results from different mechanisms are due to gas phase chemistry rather than radiative transfer modeling. Most of chemical mechanisms yielded similar O3 concentrations (Kuhn et al., 1997). This is not unexpected, since many of the schemes were designed to model ozone and therefore were selected for their ability to model the results of environmental chamber experiments. However, looking at the deviation of the tendencies rather than the final concentrations, the differences were substantial: these ranged from 15 to 38% depending upon the conditions. For the HO radical the noon time differences between mechanisms ranged from 10 to 19% and for the NO3 radical the night time differences ranged from 16 to 40%. Calculated concentrations of other longer-lived species like H2O2 and PAN differed considerably between the mechanisms. For H2O2 the rms errors of the tendencies ranged from 30 to 76%. This confirms earlier findings by Stockwell (1986), Hough (1988) and Dodge (1989). The differences in H2O2 can partly be explained by the incorrect use of the HO2+HO2 rate constant (Stockwell, 1995) and by differences in the treatment of the peroxy radical interactions. Large differences between mechanisms are observed for higher organic peroxides and higher aldehydes with a rms error of around 50% for the final concentration in the most polluted case. 2.6.2 Heterogeneous Reactions and Ozone - Secondary Aerosol Formation Reactions occurring on aerosol particles or in cloud water droplets may have a large affect on the constituents of the troposphere (Baker, 1997; Andreae and Crutzen, 1997; Ravishankara, 1997). Heterogeneous reactions may be defined as those reactions that occur on the surfaces of solid aerosol particles while multiphase reactions are reactions that occur in a bulk liquid such as cloud water or water coated aerosol particles (Ravishankara, 1997). Particles may affect gas-phase tropospheric concentrations through both chemical and physical processes. Sedimentation of aerosol particles or rain out removes soluble species from the gas-phase leaving behind the relatively insoluble species. Cloud water or water coated aerosols may scavenge soluble reactive species such as HO2, acetyl peroxy radicals, H2O2 and HCHO (Jacob 1986; Mozurkewich et al. 1987). Ozone formation is suppressed by the removal of HO2 radicals and highly reactive stable species such as HCHO. The loss of HO2 and H2O2 influences the hydrogen cycle in the gas phase (Jacob 1986) and furthermore HO2 is lost in the liquid phase through its reactions with copper ions, ozone and 2-32 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study by its self reaction (Walcek et al., 1996). These effects reduce the concentrations of HO and HO2 radicals in clouds. Jacob (1986) estimated a decrease of approximate 25% while Lelieveld and Crutzen (1991) estimated a decrease of 20 to 90% although Lelieveld and Crutzen's gasphase chemical mechanism would be expected to over estimate gas-phase HO2 concentrations in clear air (Stockwell, 1994). The reduction of HOx concentrations reduced ozone concentrations (Lelieveld and Crutzen 1991). In relatively clean areas with NOx concentrations smaller than 100 ppt, the ozone destruction rate is increased by clouds by a factor of 1.7 to 3.7 (Lelieveld and Crutzen, 1991). Jonson and Isaksen (1993) also found that the clouds are most effective in reducing ozone concentrations under clean conditions and they calculated a reduction between 10 and 30% for clean conditions. Lelieveld and Crutzen (1991) and Jonson and Isaksen (1993) did not consider the effects of the reactions of dissolved transition metals in their calculations. If models include reactions involving copper, iron and manganese a different result is obtained. The ozone destruction rate is decreased by clouds by 45 to 70% for clean conditions (Matthijsen et al. 1995, Walcek et al. 1996). In polluted areas with high NOX concentration the photochemical formation rate of ozone is also decreased. Lelieveld and Crutzen (1991) found a decrease in the photochemical formation rate of ozone by 40 to 50% and Walcek et al. (1996) found a decrease by 30 to 90%. Matthijsen et al. (1995) came to the result that the reaction between Fe(II) and ozone was especially important and it increases the ozone destruction rate in polluted areas by a factor of 2 to 20 depending on the iron concentration. Peroxy acetyl nitrate (PAN) concentrations may be converted to NOx through the scavenging of acetyl peroxy radicals by cloud water even though PAN itself is not very soluble (Villalta et al., 1996). This process would tend to increase ozone concentrations. Heterogeneous, multiphase and gas-phase reactions may have comparable effects on the concentrations of tropospheric species (Ravishankara, 1997). Although heterogeneous and multiphase reactions typically affect the same species as gas-phase reactions the overall result may be very different. Sulfur dioxide may be oxidized to sulfate by all three reaction types but only the gas-phase oxidation of SO2 leads to the production of new particles. Tropospheric multiphase reactions have received recent attention because of their role in tropospheric acid deposition (Calvert, 1984) and more recently in stratospheric ozone depletion (WMO, 1994). Aqueous phase reactions occurring in cloud water are very important examples of multiphase reactions. Many theoretical studies suggest that clouds affect tropospheric chemistry on the global scale (Chameides, 1986; Crutzen, 1996; Chameides and Davis, 1982; Chameides, 1984; Chameides and Stelson, 1992). Clouds cover more than 50% of the Earth's surface and occupy about 7% of the volume of the troposphere under average conditions (Pruppacher and Jaenicke, 1995; Ravishankara, 1997). Clouds strongly affect the actinic flux reaching reactive species. Depending upon conditions and location in the atmosphere, clouds can increase or decrease actinic flux (Madronich, 1987). Photolysis rates within droplets may be high because of multiple reflections. The conversion of SO2 to sulfate by H2O2 or O3 in cloud water is an important example of a multiphase chemical process (Penkett et al., 1979; Gervat et al., 1988; Chandler et al., 1988). Another potentially important process is suggested by recent studies that show that the photolysis of rainwater containing dissolved organic compounds may produce H2O2 at a rapid rate (Gunz and Hoffmann, 1990; Faust, 1994). 2-33 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Many multiphase reactions may be much faster than their corresponding gas-phase counterparts. The most important multiphase reactant is often water and many hydrolysis reactions have a somewhat heterogeneous character because the reactions are so fast that they are completed at or very near to the water surface (Hanson and Ravishankara, 1994). N2O5 rapidly hydrolyzes in the presence of liquid water but this reaction is extremely slow in the gas-phase (W. B. DeMore et al., 1997). The oxidation of SO2 by H2O2 in cloud water is very fast but it does not occur in the gas-phase (Calvert and Stockwell, 1984). Even very slow hydrolysis reactions may be the dominate reactions because of overwhelming water concentrations. Other multiphase reactions will be important only if hydrolysis is extremely slow (Ravishankara, 1997). There is often no gas-phase counterpart to the aqueous-phase reaction. Tropospheric sulfate aerosol may participate in many multiphase reactions that are acid catalyzed. Sulfate aerosols may reduce HNO3 to NOx through reactions involving aldehydes, alcohols and biogenic emissions and they may convert of CH3OH to CH3ONO2 making sulfate aerosol the dominate source of CH3ONO2 in the troposphere (Tolbert et al., 1993; Chatfield, 1994; Ravishankara 1997). Gas-phase sources of halides in the troposphere are small and on a global basis sea-salt aerosols are a major source. Halogens are strong oxidants, they may affect ozone concentrations in the Arctic and are therefore potentially very important (Barrie et al., 1988). The marine boundary contains large numbers of sea-salt aerosols that contain high concentrations of halides. Halides and their compounds may be released from the sea-salt aerosols through the scavenging and reactions of compounds such as NO3, N2O5 and HOBr (Finlayson-Pitts et al., 1989; Vogt et al., 1996; Ravishankara, 1997). The water content of the sea-salt aerosol may be an important variable for characterizing the chemistry of these aerosols because they may react differently if they are above the deliquescence point then if they are below (Rood et al., 1987, Ravishankara 1997). Multiphase reactions involving organic compounds may be important as mentioned above. The characteristics of organic containing aerosols are not well known but they are formed from emissions of organic compounds from biogenic and anthropogenic sources (Mazurek et al., 1991; Odum et al., 1997). The oxidation of organic compounds leads to the production of a wide variety of highly oxygenated compounds including, aldehydes, ketones, dicarbonyls and alcohols that are condensable or water soluble. For example, in rural regions biogenically emitted organics such as α-pinene react with ozone produce aerosols (FinlaysonPitts and Pitts, 1986) and in urban areas the photochemical oxidation of gasoline may be an important organic continuing aerosol source (Odum et al., 1997). Examples of important heterogeneous reactions include those occurring on ice, wind blown dust, fly ash and soot. Heterogeneous reactions on cirrus clouds involving ice, N2O5 and other species may be important in the upper troposphere. These reactions could remove reactive nitrogen from the upper troposphere. These processes could play in important role in determining the impact of aircraft on this part of the atmosphere (Ravishankara, 1997). 2-34 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Fly ash and wind blown dust typically contain silicates and metals such as Al, Fe, Mn and Cu (Ramsden and Shibaoka, 1982; Ravishankara 1997). Photochemically induced catalysis may oxidize SO2 to sulfate or produce oxidants such as H2O2 (Gunz and Hoffmann, 1990). On the other hand, soot contains mostly carbon and trace substances. The understanding of soot is a very important because it may affect the Earth's radiation balance through its strong radiation absorbing properties. Soot may reduce HNO3 to NOx and otherwise react as a reducing agent (Hauglustaine et al., 1996; Rogaski et al., 1997; Lary et al., 1997). It is difficult to estimate the importance of heterogeneous reactions because changes to the aerosol's surface will strongly affect its chemical properties. For example, the surface of soot particles may become oxidized or coated by condensable species (Ravishankara 1997). Multiphase reactions are better understood than heterogeneous reactions but in neither case is the understanding satisfactory. Unfortunately particle microphysics is insufficiently well understood to estimate the rates of heterogeneous and multiphase reactions with an accuracy similar to the gas-phase (Baker, 1997; Ravishankara, 1997). These required particle characteristics may include surface area, volume, composition, phase, Henry's law coefficients, accommodation coefficients and reaction probabilities, depending upon the reaction. For many atmospheric chemistry modeling applications it would be adequate to consider the gas-phase chemistry as primary and to represent the effect of heterogeneous and multiphase reactions as first order loss reactions of gas-phase species (Ravishankara 1997). Walcek et al. (1996) have used this general approach to couple gas and aqueous-phase chemistry mechanisms. One approach to multiphase reaction rates is to calculate them from a knowledge of mass transport rates, diffusion constants, solubilities and liquid-phase reaction rate constants and correct them to apply to small atmospheric droplets (Danckwerts, 1951, 1970; Schwartz, 1986). Alternatively, another approach for describing the overall reactive uptake coefficients of gas-phase species for multiphase reactions is to treat them as a network of resistances as has been done for the stratosphere (Hanson et al., 1994, Kolb et al.; 1995). This same approach may be applied to tropospheric multiphase reactions (Ravishankara, 1997). The first resistance is due to diffusion of molecules through the gas-phase to a droplet surface. The mass transfer rate is calculated from the equations of Fuchs and Sutugin (1970; 1971) and the droplet size spectrum. The transfer of a molecule from the gas-phase to the liquid-phase is the second resistance. The probability of this process is described by a mass accommodation coefficient (Ravishankara, 1997). Once the molecule enters the liquid-phase it must diffuse through the liquid before it reacts. The liquid-phase reaction rate is described by a rate coefficient. More measurements of mass accommodation coefficients or the means to reliably calculate them for many species are required along with measurements of liquid-phase reaction rate constants. The methods of Hanson et al. (1994) and by Schwartz (1986) provide the same results but the approach of Schwartz may be more convenient to use for clouds while the approach of Hanson et al. may be easier to use for fine particles. The mechanisms of heterogeneous reactions are too poorly known to produce anything like the schemes for multiphase reactions described above. The mechanisms for surface diffusion and dissociation are unknown (Ravishankara, 1997). Heterogeneous reaction rates are typically more sensitive than multiphase reactions to the mass transfer to a surface and therefore these rates are more dependent on the total surface area. Heterogeneous reactions may be more 2-35 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study or less important in the troposphere than in the stratosphere depending on whether the reactants are physisorbed or chemisorbed on to the solid surface. Heterogeneous reactions involving two molecules physisorbed on to a solid surface would be expected to be much slower due to the greater temperatures in the troposphere but the reaction rate of species that are chemisorbed on a surface are probably not as sensitive to temperature (Ravishankara, 1997). If there is some energy barrier to the scavenging of one of the reactants, such as dissociation on the particle surface, than the heterogeneous reaction rate may even increase with temperature. However if water is a reactant, the rate of a heterogeneous reaction may be more sensitive to the relative humidity than temperature. Determination of the chemical and microphysical parameters required to estimate the effect of heterogeneous and multiphase reactions should be a research priority. However, field measurements of the composition, surface characteristics, phase, number, size spectra, time trends and other characteristics of atmospheric particles may be even more important. Field measurements may provide the most reliable assessment of the rates and relative importance of heterogeneous and multiphase reactions in the troposphere during the next few years. (Ravishankara, 1997). 2.6.3 Role of Ozone Precursors from Natural Sources A variety of organic compounds are emitted by vegetation. Most biogenic compounds are either alkenes or cycloalkenes. Because of the presence of carbon double bond, these molecules are susceptible to attack by O3 and NO3, in addition to reaction with OH radicals. The atmospheric lifetimes of biogenic hydrocarbons are relatively short compared to those of other organic species. The OH radical and ozone reactions are of comparable importance during the day, and the NO3 radical reaction is more important at night. Isoprene is generally the most abundant biogenic hydrocarbon except where conifers are the dominant plant species. Isoprene reacts with OH radical, NO3 radicals, and O3. The OHisoprene reaction proceeds almost entirely by the addition of OH radical to the C=C double bond. Formaldehyde, methacrolein, and methyl vinyl ketone are the major products of the OH-isoprene reaction. The O3-isoprene reaction proceeds by initial addition of O3 to the C=C double bonds to form two primary ozonides, each of which decomposes to two sets of carbonyl pus biradical products. Formaldehyde, methacrolein, and methyl vinyl ketone are the major products of the O3-isoprene reaction. 2.6.4 Relative Effectiveness of VOC and NOx Controls The relative behavior of VOCs and NOx in ozone formation can be understood in terms of competition for the hydroxyl radical. When the instantaneous VOC-to-NO2 ratio is less than about 5.5:1, OH reacts predominantly with NO2, removing radicals and retarding O3 formation. Under these conditions, a decrease in NOx concentration favors O3 formation. At a sufficiently low concentration of NOx, or a sufficiently high VOC-to NO2 ratio, a further decrease in NOx 2-36 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study favor peroxy-peroxy reactions, which retard O3 formation by removing free radicals from the system. In general, increasing VOC produces more ozone. Increasing NOx may lead to either more or less ozone depending on the prevailing VOC/NOx ratio. At a given level of VOC, there exists a NOx mixing ratio, at which a maximum amount of ozone is produced, an optimum VOC/NOx ratio. For ratios less than this optimum ratio, increasing NOx decreases ozone. This situation occurs more commonly in urban centers and in plumes immediately downwind of NO sources. Rural environments tend to have high VOC/NOx ratios because of the relatively rapid removal of NOx compared to that of VOCs. 2.6.5 Atmospheric Deposition Dry deposition is the transport of gaseous and particulate species from the atmosphere onto surfaces in the absence of precipitation. The factors that govern the dry deposition of a gaseous species or particle are the level of atmospheric turbulence, the chemical properties of the depositing species, and the nature of the surface itself. The level of turbulence in the atmosphere governs the rate at which species are delivered down to the surface. For gases, solubility and chemical reactivity may affect uptake at the surface. The surface itself is a factor in dry deposition. A non-reactive surface may not permit absorption or adsorption of certain gases; a smooth surface may lead to particle bounce-off. Natural surfaces, such as vegetation generally promote dry deposition. Eddy correlation is the most direct micrometeorological technique. In this technique, the vertical flux of an atmospheric trace constituent is represented by the covariance of the vertical velocity and the trace constituent concentration. Fluxes are determined by measuring the vertical wind velocity with respect to the Earth and appropriate scalar quantities (gas concentrations, temperature, etc). These measurements can be combined over a period of time at a single location (such as measurements made at a stationary location from a tower) or over a wide area (as with measurements made with aircraft) to yield a better understanding of the role surface characteristics, such as vegetation, play in the exchange of mass, momentum, and energy at the Earth’s surface. 2.7 Conceptual Model of Ozone Episodes and Transport Scenarios of Interest This section starts with a brief summary of the current conceptual model as recorded by Pun et al. (1998). Modifications to the model are introduced with discussion of a possible link between coastal meteorology (specifically fog formation) and central valley air quality, with possible applications to air quality forecasting. The optimal forecast would be 72 hours prior to the high ozone day, to begin intensive field measurements at least one day before the high ozone day. 2.7.1 Current Conceptual Model of Ozone Formation and Transport During a typical summer day, airflow over the Pacific Ocean is dominated by the Eastern Pacific High-Pressure System (EPHPS). Off the coast of central California, outflow from the anticyclone becomes westerly and penetrates the Central Valley through various gaps along the coastal ranges. The largest gap in the coastal ranges is located in the San Francisco Bay Area. 2-37 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Airflow reaching the Central Valley through the Carquinez Straits is directed Northward into the Sacramento Valley, southward into the San Joaquin Valley (SJV), and eastward into the Mountain Counties. The amount of air entering into these regions and the north-south bifurcation of the flow depends on the location, extent, and strength of the EPHPS and on the surface weather pattern. As the low-level divergence from the EPHPS continues to rotate in the clockwise direction, the high can migrate with the planetary wave pattern from west to east. If the EPHPS is approaching the coast of California, it will reinforce on-shore surface gradients and increase the amount of air entering the Sacramento Valley. However, if the center of the EPHPS comes on-shore over central California, the normal surface gradient is diminished and (or can even be reversed). The amount of air entering the Central Valley is reduced. If the southern end of the EPHPS is over the Delta region, the amount of air entering the Central Valley will be blocked, and, in rare cases may even reverse direction through the Carquinez Straits (summer frequency of northeasterly pattern is ~1%, according to Hayes et al. 1984). This complex feature of airflow, unique to a region from the Pacific Ocean to the Sierra Nevada, and from Yuba City to Modesto, contributes to various types of ozone episodes in the SJV, Sacramento Valley, Mountain Counties and the Bay Area. Both local and transport ozone episodes are observed in the SJV as well as the Sacramento area depending upon the nature of the airflow in the region. In the Bay Area, ozone concentrations are elevated when airflow from the Bay Area to the Central Valley is limited. Elevated ozone concentrations are observed in the Mountain Counties due mostly to transported pollutants. Transport of pollutants from the northern SJV to the central and southern SJV is accelerated at night due to the “low-level jet” (an airflow that develops at night and moves from the north to south along the SJV with speeds of 10-15 m/sec). Air also rotates in the counterclockwise direction around Fresno (Fresno Eddy) in the morning hours, limiting the ventilation of air out of the SJV. During the day, pollutants are transported from the SJV to the Mojave Desert via the Tehachapi Pass. Occasionally, an outflow from the SJV to the San Luis Obispo area is observed. The above conceptual model is an oversimplification, but it purports to describe the typical summer pattern. The movement of the EPHPS on-shore often corresponds to the 2-3 day ozone episodes bringing some of the worst air quality to the Central Valley. 2.7.2 Implications of Change in Federal Ozone Standard on Conceptual Model The implication of the state 1-hour ozone standard and the new federal 8-hour ozone standard is that they require a reappraisal of past strategies that have focused primarily on addressing the urban/suburban ozone problem. The lower concentration standards necessarily require a more regional context for at least two reasons: the larger spatial extent of a more dilute plume, and greater downwind distances required for pollutant dispersion. While there is some benefit required in the longer time requirement of 8 hours on the federal standard, in areas with relatively closed topography, like the southern San Joaquin Valley, stagnation and intra-basin redistribution prolong carry-over. Table 2.7-1 provides a brief summary of 8hr and 1hr exceedance days during the threeyear period 1996-98 and the full nine-year analysis period 1990-98, based on the data in Tables 2.3-3 and 2.3-4. Two new quantities are presented for each basin, the average of each annual maximum 1hr to maximum 8hr concentrations, and the ratio of total 8hr exceedance days to total 2-38 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study 1hr exceedance days. The SFBA has the greatest concentration ratio (1.34) and lowest exceedance day ratio ( 1.4 for 1996-98 and 1.8 for 1990-98) as pollutants generally move through before having a chance to accumulate, thus making the 8hr exceedance less likely. Areas which typically experience greater transport, i.e., the Mountain Counties, North Coast, and South Central have lower concentration ratios and higher exceedance day ratios. An extreme case is provided by the Mojave Desert site (1.17 and 25, respectively), which is highly influenced by transport from SJV. It is these downwind areas and the source regions with less ventilation that will be impacted most by the change in standards. 2.8 Review of previous SAQM studies and implications for CCOS measurement sites. Thuillier and Ranzieri (1995, 1997a,b) have described evaluation of the SARMAP effort. (SARMAP acronym: San Joaquin Valley Air Quality Study and Atmospheric Utility Signatures, Predictions and Experiments Regional Model Adaptation Program.). They conclude that, in general, the model represented the relative magnitude and distribution of ozone. However, they cite deficiencies from SARMAP modeling of the August 3-6, 1990 episode. The following is a partial list from Thuillier and Ranzieri (1995), and sections from this CCOS plan where these issues are addressed are given in parentheses. • Corrections/adjustments needed in emissions modeling. • Adjustment of hydrocarbon inventory needed. • Better characterization of nitrogen oxide emission from soils needed. • Meteorological modeling was deficient due to lack of input data in critical areas. • Air quality modeling tended to underestimate surface ozone as well as ozone and ozone precursors aloft. • Air Quality modeling tended to overestimate surface ozone at night. • Modeled boundary conditions significantly departed from concentrations measured aloft by aircraft. • Domain not large enough to adequately capture slope flows in some areas. • A “plume-in-grid” algorithm may be needed to refine treatment of major point sources. Roth et al. (1998) provided a critical review of 18 recent air quality modeling efforts including SARMAP. For 20 key areas of inquiry, they assigned “indicators”, two of which represent major deficiencies or an absence or omission of a key area of inquiry in a particular study. The SARMAP effort scored well overall, but it received indicators of major deficiency in 8 out of the 20 areas. The following three areas are relevant to planning the CCOS field measurement program, and paragraphs from this CCOS plan where these issues are addressed are given in parentheses. 2-39 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study • Insufficient extent of corroborative studies • Insufficient effort to estimate uncertainties • Insufficient effort to evaluate soundness of emissions projections As summarized in Section 1 (and further discussed in additional sections referenced in the 12 bullets above), the proposed CCOS plan addresses as many of the deficiencies found by Thuillier and Ranzieri (1995) and Roth et al. (1998) as possible, given budget limitations. With the high-time resolution and detailed chemical speciation, the proposed CCOS measurements can support many independent approaches to evaluate and corroborate model results and uncertainties. The following discussion of SARMAP results highlights key features for the CCOS measurement network design. The SARMAP Air Quality Model (SAQM – Chang et al. 1997), applied to central California for August 3-6, 1990, shows maximum 1-hr ozone concentrations near 120 ppb. The maximum ozone concentrations occur roughly along two lines: one line running from the San Francisco Bay Area through Sacramento to the Sierra front range and the other line along eastern side of the San Joaquin Valley axis. For example, Figure 2.8-1 shows a plot of ozone concentrations over central California at noon on the second simulated day. The area directly west of the San Francisco Bay Area has ozone concentrations near 120 ppb while high ozone concentrations are found along and directly west of the San Joaquin valley. The surface ozone concentrations show strong diurnal variation. Figure 2.8-2 shows that at midnight the ozone concentrations drop to near 40 ppb or less at the western boundary and over the San Joaquin Valley. For model evaluation, it is desirable to have measurement stations along the line running from the San Francisco Bay Area through Sacramento to the front range and along the San Joaquin valley. The model predicts that ozone concentrations show strong variations over this region due to transport, deposition and chemistry. Measurement stations to measure ozone concentrations and the concentrations of precursors and other photochemical products placed along the west–east line will help to determine if the models represent a scientifically reasonable description of ozone formation and transport. The same can be said of an array of measurements through the San Joaquin valley. It is also important to have measurement stations to the north and south of the Sacramento area because of the bifurcation in typical meteorological situations, where the flow fields from the west diverges toward the north and south. The ozone concentrations shown in Figure 2.8-3 shows several ozone hot spots one directly east of the San Francisco Bay Area with two more directly to the north and south. Measurements to the north and south in this area will help determine if the model predicted patterns are real. Figure 2.8-3 also shows high ozone concentrations along and directly east and south of the San Joaquin valley. Measurement stations are required in this area as well. The SAQM model predicts a rather complex vertical structure in ozone concentrations. For the simulations that were analyzed here, the vertical structure along a north–south cross section through the center of central California near Sacramento is shown in Figure 2.8-4. The 2-40 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study vertical coordinate is linear in pressure-following coordinates and this exaggerates the apparent height. At noon on the second day the ozone concentrations in the Sacramento area are very high. The model calculates that ozone is lost and transported to the north and south leaving an arc of ozone that extends aloft and to the east and west by midnight. Ozonesondes and possibly LIDAR measurements would be very helpful in the observation of this complex vertical structure. It should be positioned to observe the diurnal variations to the north and south of Sacramento. The vertical structure of the ozone concentrations the west–east cross section through central California along the line running from the San Francisco Bay Area through Sacramento to the front range is similar in its overall behavior to the north–south line, Figure 2.8-5. The plots show evidence of transport of ozone and NOx from the west to the east. Ozone is lost in the lower levels and remains relatively high aloft as the time progresses from noon to midnight. Some of the parcels of high ozone are seen to travel from west to east in this sequence. Ozonesondes near San Francisco and Sacramento and aircraft measurements of ozone over the front range and the western boundary are required to observe this complex ozone structure predicted by the models. Some measurements of NOx, formaldehyde and other VOCs need to be made at the western boundary to better define the boundary conditions for modeling. In the SAQM simulations that we examined, the western boundary generated 5 ppb of HCHO, as shown in Figure 2.8-6. These high HCHO concentrations are a potential problem since HCHO is extremely reactive in producing ozone, and subsequent studies (e.g., SCOS97) found much lower average values along the coastal regions. The same is true for NOx concentrations. Figure 2.8-7 shows that the western boundary has over 0.5 ppb of NO. These moderate NO concentrations over the ocean appear to be due to transport from the model’s boundary. More measurements to better define the boundary conditions, especially at the western boundary are required to constrain the modeling activities. 2-41 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Table 2.1-1. Populations and Areas for Central California Metropolitan Statistical Areas State Metropolitan Area CA Bakersfield, CA CA Chico-Paradise, CA CA Fresno, CA TYPE MSA MSA MSA CA Riverside-San Bernardino, CA PMSA CA CA CA CA Ventura, CA Merced, CA Modesto, CA Sacramento, CA PMSA MSA MSA PMSA CA CA CA Yolo, CA Salinas, CA Oakland, CA PMSA MSA PMSA CA Sacramento-Yolo, CA CMSA CA San Francisco, CA PMSA CA San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose, CA CMSA CA CA CA CA San Jose, CA Santa Cruz-Watsonville, CA Santa Rosa, CA Vallejo-Fairfield-Napa, CA PMSA PMSA PMSA PMSA CA CA CA CA San Luis Obispo-Atascadero-Paso Robles, CA Santa Barbara-Santa Maria-Lompoc, CA Stockton-Lodi, CA Visalia-Tulare-Porterville, CA MSA MSA MSA MSA Counties Kern County Butte County Fresno County Madera County Riverside County San Bernardino County Ventura County Merced County Stanislaus County El Dorado County Placer County Sacramento County Yolo County Monterey County Alameda County Contra Costa County El Dorado County Placer County Sacramento County Yolo County Marin County San Francisco County San Mateo County Alameda County Contra Costa County Marin County San Francisco County San Mateo County Santa Clara County Santa Cruz County Sonoma County Napa County Solano County Santa Clara County Santa Cruz County Sonoma County Napa County Solano County San Luis Obispo County Santa Barbara County San Joaquin County Tulare County 2-42 1990 Population 543,477 182,120 755,580 1995 Est. Population 617,528 192,880 844,293 1995 pop density (km-2) 29.3 45.4 40.2 Area (km2) 21086.7 4246.6 20983.3 2,588,793 2,949,387 41.8 70629.2 669,016 178,403 370,522 1,340,010 710,018 194,407 410,870 1,456,955 148.5 38.9 106.1 137.8 4781.0 4995.8 3870.9 10571.3 141,092 355,660 2,082,914 147,769 348,841 2,195,411 56.4 40.5 581.5 2622.2 8603.8 3775.7 1,481,220 1,604,724 121.1 13250.4 1,603,678 1,645,815 625.7 2630.4 6,249,881 6,539,602 341.1 19173.7 1,497,577 229,734 388,222 451,186 1,565,253 236,669 414,569 481,885 468.0 205.0 101.6 117.6 3344.3 1154.6 4082.4 4097.5 217,162 369,608 480,628 311,921 226,071 381,401 523,969 346,843 26.4 53.8 144.6 27.8 8558.6 7092.6 3624.5 12495.0 2-43 LADAM # 3033 3010 3116 2752 2914 3196 3017 3144 3161 3126 2993 3018 3164 2968 3002 3157 2208 3020 3187 2891 3117 3008 2829 2731 2956 2123 3197 2958 2977 3032 3155 3249 2848 2143 3011 2744 3158 3137 2115 2972 Air Basin North Coast North Coast North Coast Northeast Plateau Lake County Mountain Counties Mountain Counties Mountain Counties Mountain Counties Mountain Counties Mountain Counties Mountain Counties Mountain Counties Mountain Counties Mountain Counties Mountain Counties Mountain Counties Mountain Counties Sacramento Valley Sacramento Valley Sacramento Valley Sacramento Valley Sacramento Valley Sacramento Valley Sacramento Valley Sacramento Valley Sacramento Valley Sacramento Valley Sacramento Valley Sacramento Valley Sacramento Valley Sacramento Valley Sacramento Valley Sacramento Valley Sacramento Valley Sacramento Valley Sacramento Valley Sacramento Valley Sacramento Valley Sacramento Valley County Sonoma Mendocino Mendocino Siskiyou Lake El Dorado El Dorado Calaveras Mariposa Nevada Amador Mariposa Tuolumne Tuolumne Placer Nevada Nevada Plumas Sacramento Placer Sutter Placer Shasta Sacramento Placer Sacramento Tehama Sutter Sacramento Shasta Solano Yolo Sutter Yolo Sacramento Colusa Tehama Glenn Butte Shasta Chapter 2: Basis for Study Location Data Record Link Elevation Type Begin End # Latitude Longitude (msl) Rural 5/1/92 10/31/98 38.6536 -122.9006 30 Suburban 9/30/92 10/31/98 39.1447 -123.2065 194 Suburban 6/30/93 10/31/98 39.4030 -123.3491 1377 Suburban 5/1/90 9/30/98 41.7293 -122.6354 800 Suburban 5/1/90 10/31/98 39.0330 -122.9219 405 Rural 5/31/96 9/30/98 38.8905 -121.0000 0 Suburban 5/1/92 10/31/98 38.7247 -120.8220 585 Rural 5/1/94 5/31/98 38.2000 -120.6670 Rural 7/18/95 10/31/98 37.5500 -119.8436 0 Suburban 9/30/93 10/31/98 3 39.2334 -121.0555 853 Suburban 5/14/92 5/31/98 38.3421 -120.7641 377 Rural 8/31/90 10/31/98 37.7135 -119.7055 1605 Rural 8/31/95 7/31/98 38.0505 -120.2997 0 Urban/CC 7/31/92 7/31/98 37.9816 -120.3786 571 Rural 5/1/92 10/31/97 39.0998 -120.9542 768 Rural 6/2/95 9/30/98 39.3166 -120.8444 1302 Urban/CC 10/31/92 10/31/98 39.3302 -120.1808 1676 Urban/CC 10/31/92 10/31/98 39.9381 -120.9413 1067 Suburban 8/31/96 10/31/98 10 38.6838 -121.1627 98 Suburban 5/1/90 10/10/97 38.9395 -121.1054 433 Rural 6/30/93 10/31/98 39.1583 -121.7500 640 Rural 5/1/91 9/30/98 8 38.7890 -121.2070 100 Suburban 5/1/90 10/31/98 40.5503 -122.3802 143 Suburban 5/1/90 10/31/98 38.6141 -121.3669 25 Suburban 5/1/93 9/30/98 9 38.7500 -121.2640 161 Suburban 5/1/90 10/31/98 38.7122 -121.3810 27 Urban/CC 7/31/96 9/30/98 11 40.1763 -122.2374 98 Suburban 5/1/90 10/31/98 39.1388 -121.6191 20 Rural 5/1/93 10/31/98 38.3028 -121.4207 6 Suburban 5/31/93 10/31/98 40.4653 -122.2973 498 Suburban 5/1/95 10/31/98 38.3519 -121.9631 55 Suburban 5/31/98 10/31/98 12 38.6619 -121.7278 Rural 5/1/90 9/30/98 38.7658 -121.5191 50 Rural 5/1/90 10/31/98 38.5352 -121.7746 16 Urban/CC 5/1/90 10/31/98 38.5679 -121.4931 7 Rural 7/18/96 10/31/98 6 39.1886 -121.9989 17 Rural 6/1/95 9/30/98 40.2617 -122.0911 568 Suburban 6/16/94 10/31/98 7 39.5170 -122.1895 41 Suburban 5/1/90 10/31/98 39.7569 -121.8595 61 Rural 5/1/90 10/31/98 40.5397 -121.5816 1788 Table 2.3-1a Linked Master Ozone Monitoring Site List Site AIRS Site Moniker Short Name 060971003 HDM Healdsb-Aprt 060450008 UKG Ukiah-EGobbi 060450009 WLM Willits-Main 060932001 YRE Yreka-Fthill 060333001 LKL Lakepor-Lake 060170020 CUS Cool-Hwy193 060170010 PGN Plcrvll-Gold 060090001 SGS San_Andreas 060430006 JSD Jerseydale 060570005 GVL Grs_Vly-Litn 060050002 JAC Jackson-ClRd 060430003 YOT Yos_NP-Trtle 061090006 FML Sonora-OakRd 061090005 SNB Sonora-Brret 060610004 CXC Colfax-CtyHl 060570007 WCM White_Cld_Mt 060571001 TRU Truckee-Fire 060631006 QUC Quincy-NChrc 060670012 FLN Folsom-Ntma 060610002 AUB Auburn-DwttC 061010004 SUT Sutter_Butte 060613001 ROC Rocklin 060890004 RDH Redding-HDrf 060670006 SDP Sacto-DelPas 060610006 ROS Rosevil-NSun 060670002 SNH N_High-Blckf 061030005 RBO Red_Blf-Oak 061010003 YAS Yuba_Cty-Alm 060670011 ELK Elk_Grv-Brcv 060890007 ADN Anderson-Nth 060953002 VEL Vacavil-Alli 061131003 WLG Woodland-GibsonRd 061010002 PGV Plsnt_Grv4mi 061130004 DVS Davis-UCD 060670010 S13 Sacto-T_Strt 060111002 CSS Colusa-Sunrs 061030004 TSB Tuscan Butte 060210002 WLW Willows-ELau 060070002 CHM Chico-Manznt 060893003 LNP Lasn_Vlcn_NP CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 2-44 LADAM # 2372 3140 2613 2804 2831 2320 2397 2969 2102 2293 2413 2806 2973 2655 2125 2070 2410 2225 3207 2622 2373 2105 2983 3133 2628 2894 2016 2789 2985 3200 2939 2329 Site AIRS Site Moniker Short Name 060010003 LVF Livrmor-Old1 060852006 SMM San_Martin 060851001 LGS Los Gatos 060131002 BTI Bethel_Is_Rd 060130002 CCD Concord-2975 060850002 GRY Gilroy-9th 060950002 FFD Fairfld-AQMD 060852005 SJD San_Jose-935 060133001 PBG Pittsbg-10th 060011001 FCW Fremont-Chpl 060850004 SJ4 San_Jose-4th 060012001 HLM Hayward 060010006 SEH Sn_Lndro-Hos 060550003 NJS Napa-Jffrsn 060811001 RED Redwood_City 060851002 MVC Mtn_View-Cst 060950004 VJO Vallejo-304T 060010005 OKA Oakland-Alic 060131003 SPE San Pablo 060410001 SRL San Rafael 060750005 SFA S_F-Arkansas 060970003 SRF S_Rosa-5th 060690003 PIN Pinn_Nat_Mon 060870006 SVD Scotts_V-Drv 060690002 HST Hollistr-Frv 060530005 KCM King_Cty-Mtz 060530002 CMV Carm_Val-Frd 060531002 SL2 Salinas-Ntvd 060870004 WAA Watsonvll-AP 060870007 SCQ S_Cruz-Soqul 060530006 MON Montery-SlvC 060870003 DVP Davenport CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Air Basin San Francisco Bay Area San Francisco Bay Area San Francisco Bay Area San Francisco Bay Area San Francisco Bay Area San Francisco Bay Area San Francisco Bay Area San Francisco Bay Area San Francisco Bay Area San Francisco Bay Area San Francisco Bay Area San Francisco Bay Area San Francisco Bay Area San Francisco Bay Area San Francisco Bay Area San Francisco Bay Area San Francisco Bay Area San Francisco Bay Area San Francisco Bay Area San Francisco Bay Area San Francisco Bay Area San Francisco Bay Area North Central Coast North Central Coast North Central Coast North Central Coast North Central Coast North Central Coast North Central Coast North Central Coast North Central Coast North Central Coast County Alameda Santa Clara Santa Clara Contra Costa Contra Costa Santa Clara Solano Santa Clara Contra Costa Alameda Santa Clara Alameda Alameda Napa San Mateo Santa Clara Solano Alameda Contra Costa Marin San Francisco Sonoma San Benito Santa Cruz San Benito Monterey Monterey Monterey Santa Cruz Santa Cruz Monterey Santa Cruz Location Type Urban/CC Rural Urban/CC Rural Suburban Suburban Urban/CC Rural Urban/CC Suburban Urban/CC Rural Suburban Urban/CC Suburban Suburban Urban/CC Urban/CC Urban/CC Urban/CC Urban/CC Urban/CC Rural Rural Rural Rural Suburban Suburban Suburban Suburban Rural Rural Data Record Link Elevation Begin End # Latitude Longitude (msl) 5/1/90 10/31/98 37.6849 -121.7657 146 5/1/94 10/31/98 37.0793 -121.6001 87 5/1/90 10/31/98 37.2279 -121.9792 183 5/1/90 10/31/98 38.0067 -121.6414 0 5/1/90 10/31/98 37.9391 -122.0247 26 5/1/90 10/31/98 36.9999 -121.5752 55 5/1/90 10/31/98 38.2368 -122.0561 3 8/24/92 10/31/98 37.3913 -121.8420 63 5/1/90 10/31/98 38.0296 -121.8969 2 5/1/90 10/31/98 37.5357 -121.9618 18 5/1/90 10/31/98 37.3400 -121.8875 24 5/1/90 10/31/98 37.6542 -122.0305 287 8/2/90 10/31/98 37.7098 -122.1164 36 5/1/90 10/31/98 38.3115 -122.2942 12 5/1/90 10/31/98 37.4823 -122.2034 5 5/1/90 10/31/98 37.3724 -122.0767 24 5/1/90 10/31/98 38.1029 -122.2369 23 5/1/90 10/31/98 37.8014 -122.2672 7 5/9/97 10/31/98 13 37.9500 -122.3561 15 5/1/90 10/31/98 37.9728 -122.5184 1 5/1/90 10/31/98 37.7661 -122.3978 5 5/1/90 10/31/98 38.4436 -122.7092 49 5/1/90 10/31/98 36.4850 -120.8444 335 6/30/94 10/31/98 5 37.0514 -122.0148 122 5/1/90 10/31/98 36.8432 -121.3620 126 6/30/90 9/30/98 36.2269 -121.1153 116 5/1/90 10/31/98 36.4815 -121.7329 131 5/1/90 10/31/98 36.6986 -121.6354 13 7/31/92 10/31/98 36.9337 -121.7816 67 9/24/96 10/31/98 4 36.9858 -121.9930 78 5/1/92 10/31/98 36.5722 -121.8117 73 5/1/90 10/31/98 37.0120 -122.1929 0 Table 2.3-1a (continued) Linked Master Ozone Monitoring Site List Chapter 2: Basis for Study 2-45 LADAM # 2941 2312 3026 3009 2919 2114 3146 3036 2032 2844 2772 3022 3145 2981 2013 3129 3160 3211 2996 2833 3159 2553 2094 Site AIRS Site Moniker Short Name 060295001 ARV Arvin-Br_Mtn 060290007 EDS Edison 060195001 CLO Clovis 060190008 FSF Fresno-1st 060290008 MCS Maricopa-Stn 060194001 PLR Parlier 060290014 BKA Baker-5558Ca 061070006 SEK Seq_NP-Kawea 061072002 VCS Visalia-NChu 060190242 FSS Fresno-Sky#2 060290232 OLD Oildale-3311 060470003 MRA Merced-SCofe 060290010 BGS Baker-GS_Hwy 060296001 SHA Shafter-Wlkr 060190007 FSD Fresno-Drmnd 060311004 HIR Hanford-Irwn 060190010 FNP ShavLk-PerRd 060390004 M29 Madera 060990006 TSM Turlock-SMin 060990005 M14 Modesto-14th 060773003 TPP Tracy-Patt#2 060770009 SOM Stockton-EMr 060771002 SOH Stockton-Haz CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Air Basin San Joaquin Valley San Joaquin Valley San Joaquin Valley San Joaquin Valley San Joaquin Valley San Joaquin Valley San Joaquin Valley San Joaquin Valley San Joaquin Valley San Joaquin Valley San Joaquin Valley San Joaquin Valley San Joaquin Valley San Joaquin Valley San Joaquin Valley San Joaquin Valley San Joaquin Valley San Joaquin Valley San Joaquin Valley San Joaquin Valley San Joaquin Valley San Joaquin Valley San Joaquin Valley Kern Kern Fresno Fresno Kern Fresno Kern Tulare Tulare Fresno Kern Merced Kern Kern Fresno Kings Fresno Madera Stanislaus Stanislaus San Joaquin San Joaquin San Joaquin County Location Type Rural Rural Urban/CC Suburban Suburban Rural Urban/CC Rural Urban/CC Suburban Suburban Rural Urban/CC Suburban Suburban Suburban Rural Rural Suburban Urban/CC Rural Urban/CC Urban/CC Data Record Link Elevation Begin End # Latitude Longitude (msl) 5/1/90 10/31/98 35.2087 -118.7763 145 5/1/90 10/31/98 35.3452 -118.8521 128 9/5/90 9/30/98 36.8194 -119.7165 86 5/1/90 10/31/98 36.7816 -119.7732 96 5/1/90 9/30/98 35.0519 -119.4037 289 5/1/90 9/30/98 36.5967 -119.5042 166 5/1/94 10/31/98 14 35.3561 -119.0402 120 7/31/96 10/31/98 19 36.5640 -118.7730 1901 5/1/90 10/31/98 36.3328 -119.2907 92 7/29/91 9/30/98 36.8411 -119.8764 98 5/1/90 10/31/98 35.4385 -119.0168 180 10/9/91 9/30/98 37.2819 -120.4334 86 7/6/94 9/30/98 35.3855 -119.0147 123 5/1/90 10/31/98 35.5033 -119.2721 126 5/1/90 9/30/98 36.7019 -119.7391 162 5/1/94 9/30/98 15 36.3149 -119.6431 99 8/31/95 10/31/98 37.1383 -119.2666 0 8/21/97 9/30/98 16 36.8669 -120.0100 5/1/92 9/30/98 18 37.4883 -120.8355 56 5/1/90 10/31/98 37.6424 -120.9936 27 6/14/95 9/30/98 17 37.7363 -121.5335 31 5/1/90 9/30/98 37.9056 -121.1461 17 5/1/90 9/30/98 37.9508 -121.2692 13 Table 2.3-1a (continued) Linked Master Ozone Monitoring Site List Chapter 2: Basis for Study 2-46 LADAM # 2880 3172 2984 2702 2756 2957 3101 2955 2991 3003 2088 2954 3029 3153 2965 2008 2500 2992 3023 2593 2979 2321 2671 2709 2360 2161 3177 3152 3121 2923 3215 Site AIRS Site Moniker Short Name 061112002 SIM Simi_V-CchrS 061111004 OJO Ojai-OjaiAve 061110007 THM 1000_Oaks-Mr 061110004 PIR Piru-2mi_SW 061110005 VTA WCasitasPass 060831014 LPD Los_PadresNF 060831025 CA1 Capitan-LF#1 060790005 PRF Pas_Rob-Snta 061113001 ELM El_Rio-Sch#2 060831021 CRP Carpint-Gbrn 061112003 VTE Emma_Wood_SB 060831018 GVB Gaviota-GT#B 060831020 SBU S_Barbr-UCSB 060832011 GNF Goleta-NFrvw 060798001 ATL Atascadero 060830008 ECP El_Capitan_B 060830010 SBC S_Barbr-WCrl 060831013 LHS Lompoc-HS&P1 060834003 VBS Van_AFB-STSP 060833001 SYN S_Ynez-Airpt 060792004 NGR Nipomo-Gudlp 060793001 MBP Morro Bay 060792001 GCL Grover_City 060792002 SLM S_L_O-Marsh 060832004 LOM Lompoc-S_HSt 060831007 SMY S_Maria-SBrd 060832012 SRI SRosaIsland 060719002 JSN Josh_Tr-Mnmt 060290011 MOP Mojave-Poole 060710001 BSW Barstow 060711234 TRT Trona-Telegraph CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Air Basin South Central Coast South Central Coast South Central Coast South Central Coast South Central Coast South Central Coast South Central Coast South Central Coast South Central Coast South Central Coast South Central Coast South Central Coast South Central Coast South Central Coast South Central Coast South Central Coast South Central Coast South Central Coast South Central Coast South Central Coast South Central Coast South Central Coast South Central Coast South Central Coast South Central Coast South Central Coast South Central Coast Mojave Desert Mojave Desert Mojave Desert Mojave Desert County Ventura Ventura Ventura Ventura Ventura Santa Barbara Santa Barbara San Luis Obispo Ventura Santa Barbara Ventura Santa Barbara Santa Barbara Santa Barbara San Luis Obispo Santa Barbara Santa Barbara Santa Barbara Santa Barbara Santa Barbara San Luis Obispo San Luis Obispo San Luis Obispo San Luis Obispo Santa Barbara Santa Barbara Santa Barbara San Bernardino Kern San Bernardino San Bernardino Location Type Suburban Suburban Suburban Rural Rural Rural Rural Suburban Rural Rural Suburban Rural Rural Suburban Suburban Rural Urban/CC Rural Rural Rural Rural Urban/CC Suburban Urban/CC Urban/CC Suburban Rural Rural Rural Urban/CC Rural Data Record Link Elevation Begin End # Latitude Longitude (msl) 5/1/90 10/31/98 34.2775 -118.6847 310 5/1/96 10/31/98 25 34.4166 -119.2458 262 5/1/92 10/31/98 23 34.2198 -118.8671 232 5/1/90 10/31/98 34.4025 -118.8244 182 5/1/90 10/31/98 34.3842 -119.4145 319 5/2/90 10/31/98 34.5416 -119.7913 547 5/1/90 10/31/98 34.4897 -120.0458 0 8/31/91 10/31/98 21 35.6316 -120.6900 100 5/1/92 10/31/98 24 34.2520 -119.1545 34 5/1/90 10/31/98 34.4030 -119.4580 152 5/1/90 10/31/98 34.2804 -119.3153 3 5/1/90 10/31/98 34.5275 -120.1964 305 5/1/90 7/15/98 34.4147 -119.8788 9 5/1/94 10/31/98 22 34.4455 -119.8287 50 5/1/90 10/31/98 35.4919 -120.6681 262 5/1/90 10/31/98 34.4624 -120.0245 30 5/1/90 10/31/98 34.4208 -119.7007 16 5/1/90 10/31/98 34.7251 -120.4284 244 5/1/90 10/31/98 34.5961 -120.6327 100 5/1/90 10/31/98 34.6078 -120.0734 204 6/6/91 10/31/98 20 35.0202 -120.5614 60 5/1/90 10/31/98 35.3668 -120.8450 18 5/1/90 10/31/98 35.1241 -120.6322 4 5/1/90 10/31/98 35.2826 -120.6546 66 5/16/90 10/31/98 34.6360 -120.4541 24 5/1/90 10/31/98 34.9507 -120.4341 76 5/1/96 10/31/98 34.0166 -120.0500 0 9/30/93 10/31/98 1 34.0713 -116.3905 1244 8/1/93 10/31/98 35.0500 -118.1479 853 5/1/90 10/31/98 34.8950 -117.0236 692 5/1/97 10/31/98 2 35.7639 -117.3961 Table 2.3-1a (continued) Linked Master Ozone Monitoring Site List Chapter 2: Basis for Study 2-47 L# 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Retained Site Josh_Tr-Mnmt Trona-Telegraph Grs_Vly-Litn S_Cruz-Soqul Scotts_V-Drv Colusa-Sunrs Willows-ELau Rocklin Rosevil-NSun Folsom-Ntma Red_Blf-Oak Woodland-GibsonRd San Pablo Baker-5558Ca Hanford-Irwn Madera Tracy-Patt#2 Turlock-SMin Seq_NP-Kawea Nipomo-Gudlp Pas_Rob-Snta Goleta-NFrvw 1000_Oaks-Mr El_Rio-Sch#2 Ojai-OjaiAve CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 StartDate1 9/30/93 5/1/97 9/30/93 9/24/96 6/30/94 7/18/96 6/16/94 5/1/91 5/1/93 8/31/96 7/31/96 5/31/98 5/9/97 5/1/94 5/1/94 8/21/97 6/14/95 5/1/92 7/31/96 6/6/91 8/31/91 5/1/94 5/1/92 5/1/92 5/1/96 Linked Site #2 Preceding Linked Site #1 Linked Site #1 Preceding Retained Sited LSite 1 StartDate1 StopDate1 Dist1_km LSite 2 StartDate2 StopDate2 Dist2_km Josh_Tr-LHrs 5/1/90 9/22/93 19.5 Trona-Market 5/1/90 10/31/93 1.8 Trona-Athol 5/1/93 10/31/96 2.7 Nvda_Cty-Wll 5/31/90 9/30/92 5.6 S_Cruz-Bstwc 5/1/90 9/12/96 0.5 Scotts_V-Vin 8/12/92 10/31/94 2.3 Colusa-FairG 10/3/91 10/15/96 2.2 Willows-NVil 7/24/90 6/2/94 1.7 Rocklin-Sier 5/1/90 10/31/90 0.3 Citrus_Hghts 5/1/90 10/31/92 5.7 Folsom-CityC 5/1/90 10/31/96 2.2 Red_Blf-Wlnt 7/6/90 10/31/95 1.6 Woodlnd-Main 5/1/90 8/30/91 5.4 Woodlnd-Sutr 5/1/92 10/31/97 7.7 Richmnd-13th 5/1/90 5/6/97 0.1 Baker-Chestr 5/1/90 10/31/93 1.9 Hanford 5/1/90 7/30/93 2.3 Madera-HD#2 5/1/90 9/30/96 10.1 Tracy-Pattrs 8/18/94 6/13/95 0.4 Turlock-MV#1 5/1/90 8/31/92 4.7 Seq_NP-Giant 5/1/90 7/31/96 0.6 Nipomo-Eclps 6/12/90 5/23/91 2.5 Pas_Rob-10th 5/1/90 9/17/90 0.2 Goleta 5/1/90 10/31/93 0.0 1000_Oaks-Wn 5/1/90 10/31/91 2.9 El Rio 5/1/90 10/31/91 1.1 Ojai-1768Mar 5/1/90 10/31/95 3.5 Table 2.3-1b Ozone Monitoring Sites Linked in Time for Longer Period of Record Chapter 2: Basis for Study 2-48 Sacramento Valley Mountain Counties Lake County Chapter 2: Basis for Study 8hr 1hr 8hr 1hr 8hr 1hr 8hr 1hr 8hr 1hr Standard Variable Max Daily Max Avg Daily Max Count Max Daily Max Avg Daily Max Count Max Daily Max Avg Daily Max Count Max Daily Max Avg Daily Max Count Max Daily Max Avg Daily Max Count Max Daily Max Avg Daily Max Count Max Daily Max Avg Daily Max Count Max Daily Max Avg Daily Max Count Max Daily Max Avg Daily Max Count Max Daily Max Avg Daily Max Count 1990 1991 1992 0.09 0.045 0 0 215 0.072 0.038 0 0 216 0.07 0.05 0.08 0.042 0.033 0.048 107 21 113 0.068 0.046 0.073 0.036 0.025 0.043 108 23 113 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.040 0.047 0.043 184 183 91 0.063 0.066 0.057 0.034 0.041 0.037 184 183 92 0.15 0.11 0.13 0.066 0.074 0.071 212 293 849 0.115 0.102 0.112 0.059 0.066 0.063 214 294 852 0.15 0.19 0.17 0.061 0.065 0.067 2713 2546 2880 0.127 0.14 0.122 0.051 0.054 0.056 2713 2547 2880 1993 0.09 0.040 487 0.073 0.033 490 0.07 0.041 175 0.07 0.036 174 0.08 0.039 184 0.072 0.033 184 0.12 0.064 1217 0.111 0.056 1218 0.15 0.059 3460 0.12 0.050 3463 Year 1994 0.1 0.043 540 0.08 0.035 545 0.08 0.050 181 0.068 0.044 181 0.09 0.053 184 0.075 0.046 184 0.13 0.068 1568 0.108 0.061 1572 0.145 0.066 3426 0.121 0.056 3428 1995 0.1 0.041 543 0.09 0.034 542 0.07 0.044 184 0.062 0.038 184 0.07 0.037 184 0.063 0.031 184 0.146 0.067 1670 0.113 0.060 1674 0.156 0.062 3938 0.128 0.052 3940 1996 0.08 0.039 264 0.071 0.037 240 0.07 0.047 105 0.063 0.040 106 0.09 0.041 184 0.07 0.035 184 0.138 0.069 2322 0.113 0.062 2324 0.157 0.065 3876 0.126 0.055 3885 1997 0.1 0.039 545 0.091 0.033 544 0.082 0.050 182 0.074 0.044 182 0.08 0.039 184 0.065 0.033 184 0.145 0.064 2178 0.112 0.057 2181 0.125 0.058 3993 0.107 0.049 3993 1998 0.13 0.042 548 0.106 0.035 541 0.078 0.053 146 0.071 0.046 146 0.08 0.039 184 0.076 0.034 184 0.163 0.062 1549 0.127 0.056 1554 0.16 0.063 3550 0.137 0.054 3556 Group Annual Meansa 1990-95 1996-98 1990-98 0.095 0.103 0.099 0.042 0.040 0.041 1785 1357 3142 0.079 0.089 0.083 0.035 0.035 0.035 1793 1325 3118 0.074 0.077 0.075 0.045 0.050 0.047 781 433 1214 0.068 0.069 0.069 0.039 0.044 0.041 783 434 1217 0.082 0.083 0.083 0.043 0.040 0.042 1010 552 1562 0.068 0.070 0.069 0.037 0.034 0.036 1011 552 1563 0.131 0.149 0.137 0.067 0.065 0.066 5809 6049 11858 0.110 0.117 0.113 0.060 0.058 0.059 5824 6059 11883 0.160 0.147 0.156 0.063 0.062 0.062 18963 11419 30382 0.126 0.123 0.125 0.053 0.053 0.053 18971 11434 30405 Table 2.3-2 Summary of Trends in Daily 1hr and 8hr Ozone Maxima during May-October, 1990-98 Northeast Plateau North Coast Basin CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 2-49 Chapter 2: Basis for Study 8hr 1hr 8hr 1hr 8hr 1hr 8hr Variable Max Daily Max Avg Daily Max Count Max Daily Max Avg Daily Max Count Max Daily Max Avg Daily Max Count Max Daily Max Avg Daily Max Count Max Daily Max Avg Daily Max Count Max Daily Max Avg Daily Max Count Max Daily Max Avg Daily Max Count Max Daily Max Avg Daily Max Count Max Daily Max Avg Daily Max Count Max Daily Max Avg Daily Max Count 1990 0.13 0.041 3561 0.105 0.033 3562 0.12 0.046 1187 0.095 0.039 1186 0.17 0.074 3074 0.123 0.063 3066 0.17 0.055 4592 0.143 0.047 4584 0.13 0.072 436 0.102 0.062 435 1991 0.14 0.042 3657 0.108 0.034 3658 0.14 0.048 1273 0.108 0.042 1272 0.18 0.078 3378 0.13 0.066 3370 0.17 0.056 4525 0.14 0.049 4520 0.13 0.072 475 0.115 0.063 475 1992 0.13 0.043 3722 0.101 0.035 3722 0.11 0.045 1560 0.09 0.039 1565 0.16 0.076 3390 0.121 0.064 3391 0.15 0.054 4699 0.125 0.047 4697 0.12 0.069 338 0.097 0.059 339 1993 0.13 0.044 3854 0.112 0.035 3851 0.11 0.046 1795 0.087 0.040 1790 0.16 0.076 3508 0.125 0.065 3508 0.146 0.053 4769 0.129 0.046 4766 0.14 0.072 561 0.114 0.063 562 Year 1994 0.13 0.042 4043 0.097 0.034 4043 0.101 0.043 1814 0.092 0.037 1810 0.175 0.075 3828 0.129 0.064 3827 0.164 0.056 4565 0.132 0.048 4559 0.165 0.079 723 0.127 0.069 727 1995 0.155 0.047 4037 0.115 0.037 4034 0.138 0.045 1825 0.102 0.039 1825 0.173 0.075 4051 0.134 0.064 4052 0.169 0.056 4681 0.144 0.048 4678 0.151 0.072 714 0.106 0.063 713 1996 0.138 0.046 3923 0.112 0.037 3924 0.12 0.047 1802 0.101 0.040 1800 0.165 0.079 4165 0.137 0.068 4167 0.158 0.057 4918 0.127 0.050 4913 0.146 0.077 726 0.117 0.068 726 1997 0.114 0.040 4039 0.084 0.033 4039 0.112 0.043 1825 0.091 0.037 1825 0.147 0.071 4083 0.127 0.061 4084 0.137 0.053 4923 0.114 0.047 4915 0.149 0.072 711 0.122 0.064 711 Totals by Annual Grouping 1998 1990-95 1996-98 1990-98 0.147 0.136 0.133 0.135 0.044 0.043 0.043 0.043 3961 22874 11923 34797 0.111 0.106 0.102 0.105 0.035 0.035 0.035 0.035 3961 22870 11924 34794 0.124 0.120 0.119 0.119 0.045 0.045 0.045 0.045 1795 9454 5422 14876 0.097 0.096 0.096 0.096 0.039 0.039 0.039 0.039 1794 9448 5419 14867 0.169 0.170 0.160 0.167 0.076 0.075 0.075 0.075 3549 21229 11797 33026 0.136 0.127 0.133 0.129 0.066 0.064 0.065 0.064 3552 21214 11803 33017 0.174 0.162 0.156 0.160 0.053 0.055 0.054 0.055 4831 27831 14672 42503 0.151 0.144 0.151 0.151 0.046 0.076 0.048 0.065 4828 27804 14656 42460 0.142 0.139 0.146 0.141 0.072 0.073 0.074 0.073 692 3247 2129 5376 0.123 0.110 0.121 0.114 0.064 0.063 0.065 0.064 685 3251 2122 5373 a. For years with greater than 75% data capture. Some records for 1998 were not complete at time of compilation. Mojave Desert South Central Coast San Joaquin Valley North Central Coast 1hr 8hr 1hr Standard Table 2.3-2 (cont.) Summary of Trends in Daily 1hr and 8hr Ozone Maxima during May-October, 1990-98 San Francisco Bay Area Basin CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 2-50 Short_Name Healdsb-Aprt Ukiah-EGobbi Willits-Main Yreka-Fthill Lakepor-Lake Cool-Hwy193 Plcrvll-Gold San_Andreas Jerseydale Grs_Vly-Litn Jackson-ClRd Yos_NP-Trtle Sonora-OakRd Sonora-Brret Colfax-CtyHl White_Cld_Mt Truckee-Fire Quincy-NChrc Folsom-Ntma Auburn-DwttC Sutter_Butte Rocklin Redding-HDrf Sacto-DelPas Rosevil-NSun Basin NC NC NC NEP LC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC SV SV SV SV SV SV SV Rural Suburban Suburban Suburban Suburban Rural Suburban Rural Rural Suburban Suburban Rural Rural Urban/CC Rural Rural Urban/CC Urban/CC Suburban Rural Rural Rural Suburban Suburban Suburban 0.15 0.13 0.15 0.15 0.13 0.11 0.18 0.15 0.11 0.19 0.15 0.07 0.09 0.09 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.12 0.13 0.12 0.17 0.15 0.13 0.11 0.11 0.13 0.15 0.15 0.13 0.15 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.13 0.12 0.15 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.12 0.09 0.09 0.1 0.08 0.09 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.09 Ave 8-hour Exceedances 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 0.072 0.073 0.08 0.09 0.071 0.091 0.106 0.083 0.065 0.06 0.07 0.061 0.071 0.065 0.06 0.05 0.058 0.052 0.055 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.074 0.071 0.069 0.07 0.072 0.08 0.06 0.07 0.065 0.076 0.069 0.113 0.106 0.125 0.115 0.112 0.108 0.1 0.11 0.108 0.102 0.127 0.111 0.11 0.11 0.112 0.112 0.110 0.107 0.105 0.103 0.105 0.1 0.087 0.11 0.104 0.101 0.098 0.101 0.105 0.09 0.1 0.11 0.106 0.104 0.104 0.111 0.1 0.1 0.094 0.1 0.099 0.102 0.108 0.107 0.108 0.088 0.09 0.11 0.094 0.103 0.097 0.098 0.097 0.1 0.091 0.097 0.097 0.09 0.092 0.087 0.099 0.093 0.07 0.06 0.065 0.054 0.066 0.064 0.076 0.08 0.08 0.074 0.078 0.14 0.122 0.118 0.12 0.13 0.126 0.101 0.137 0.120 0.122 0.107 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.089 0.113 0.1 0.1 0.102 0.092 0.102 0.100 0.1 0.122 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.096 0.119 0.111 0.1 0.091 0.11 0.08 0.1 0.107 0.126 0.102 0.12 0.108 0.103 0.11 0.12 0.11 0.094 0.13 0.111 0.12 0.102 0.11 0.1 0.1 0.108 0.091 0.117 0.106 1990 1991 1992 0.1 0.08 0.1 0.13 0.099 0.08 0.07 0.09 0.082 0.06 0.07 0.06 0.066 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.076 0.07 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.083 0.06 0.14 0.15 0.16 0.148 0.13 0.13 0.11 0.14 0.126 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.136 0.11 0.12 0.11 0.115 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.116 0.12 0.15 0.13 0.14 0.127 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.112 0.11 0.11 0.113 0.14 0.12 0.12 0.120 0.13 0.11 0.1 0.118 0.1 0.11 0.1 0.12 0.105 0.09 0.06 0.08 0.075 0.09 0.09 0.090 0.16 0.16 0.13 0.15 0.148 0.09 0.15 0.13 0.11 0.132 0.13 0.11 0.12 0.11 0.12 0.114 0.15 0.13 0.11 0.14 0.140 0.11 0.1 0.11 0.12 0.14 0.116 0.11 0.15 0.15 0.11 0.16 0.147 0.11 0.14 0.14 0.11 0.15 0.138 0.11 Location 1-hour Exceedances Type 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Ave Chapter 2: Basis for Study Table 2.3-3 Annual Maximum of Daily Maximum Ozone Concentrations in Central California During May to October, 1990-98a CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 2-51 Short_Name N_High-Blckf Red_Blf-Oak Yuba_Cty-Alm Elk_Grv-Brcv Anderson-Nth Vacavil-Alli Woodland-GibRd Plsnt_Grv4mi Davis-UCD Sacto-T_Strt Colusa-Sunrs Tuscan Butte Willows-ELau Chico-Manznt Lasn_Vlcn_NP Livrmor-Old1 San_Martin Los Gatos Bethel_Is_Rd Concord-2975 Gilroy-9th Fairfld-AQMD San_Jose-935 Pittsbg-10th Fremont-Chpl San_Jose-4th Basin SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB Suburban Urban/CC Suburban Rural Suburban Suburban Suburban Rural Rural Urban/CC Rural Rural Suburban Suburban Rural Urban/CC Rural Urban/CC Rural Suburban Suburban Urban/CC Rural Urban/CC Suburban Urban/CC 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.12 0.14 0.1 0.13 0.1 0.13 0.11 0.1 0.11 0.1 0.11 0.1 0.1 0.13 0.1 0.09 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.13 0.14 0.11 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.11 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.12 0.11 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.13 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.11 0.08 0.11 0.13 0.11 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.1 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.1 0.11 0.13 0.14 0.12 0.13 0.12 0.11 0.12 0.11 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.11 0.12 0.1 0.11 0.1 0.11 0.09 0.13 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.1 0.12 0.11 0.13 0.11 0.13 0.11 0.1 0.1 0.11 0.09 0.16 0.13 0.14 0.13 0.15 0.13 0.13 0.15 0.12 0.15 0.13 0.11 0.12 0.1 0.13 0.12 0.1 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.1 0.11 0.09 0.14 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.13 0.12 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.1 0.11 0.13 0.1 0.1 0.09 0.12 0.1 0.11 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.09 0.09 0.1 0.1 0.09 0.08 0.11 0.09 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.09 0.1 0.09 0.11 0.09 0.1 0.11 0.09 0.15 0.14 0.13 0.12 0.15 0.14 0.12 0.13 0.1 0.12 0.15 0.15 0.12 0.12 0.15 0.12 0.14 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.14 0.1 Location 1-hour Exceedances Type 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 0.123 0.106 0.108 0.120 0.101 0.121 0.112 0.111 0.114 0.123 0.104 0.103 0.101 0.103 0.089 0.132 0.122 0.123 0.117 0.123 0.118 0.110 0.119 0.108 0.122 0.116 Ave 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.08 0.088 0.083 0.09 0.1 0.09 0.077 0.083 0.09 0.09 0.07 0.072 0.09 0.11 0.09 0.091 0.095 0.09 0.1 0.09 0.09 0.101 0.112 0.09 0.11 0.08 0.087 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.09 0.092 0.096 0.09 0.1 0.11 0.091 0.086 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.086 0.096 0.08 0.093 0.07 0.09 0.07 0.092 0.086 0.1 0.08 0.08 0.081 0.102 0.08 0.09 0.08 0.083 0.087 0.07 0.09 0.096 0.097 0.08 0.08 0.108 0.108 0.09 0.092 0.088 0.09 0.09 0.091 0.093 0.092 0.085 0.11 0.1 0.09 0.11 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.1 0.09 0.1 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.12 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.11 0.1 0.1 0.11 0.1 0.11 0.11 1997 0.103 0.084 0.088 0.09 0.079 0.106 0.091 0.088 0.09 0.101 0.083 0.09 0.082 0.091 0.082 0.104 0.086 0.097 0.085 0.091 0.081 0.084 0.093 0.081 0.08 0.084 0.072 0.085 0.076 0.112 0.084 0.097 0.074 0.103 0.08 0.1 0.081 0.099 0.081 0.103 0.076 0.095 0.072 0.083 0.071 0.093 0.067 0.079 0.078 0.082 0.068 8-hour Exceedances 1993 1994 1995 1996 0.1 0.098 0.092 0.09 0.09 0.091 0.093 0.09 0.08 0.1 0.095 0.086 0.09 0.082 0.09 0.083 0.09 1990 1991 1992 0.088 0.09 0.086 0.11 0.107 0.095 0.096 0.109 0.111 0.097 0.082 0.089 0.077 0.091 0.112 0.111 0.097 0.11 0.107 0.101 0.102 0.088 0.095 0.098 0.088 1998 0.098 0.094 0.090 0.097 0.090 0.094 0.092 0.092 0.090 0.091 0.088 0.089 0.084 0.085 0.080 0.100 0.095 0.096 0.092 0.095 0.095 0.089 0.085 0.087 0.085 0.084 Ave Chapter 2: Basis for Study Table 2.3-3 (cont.) Annual Maximum of Daily Maximum Ozone Concentrations in Central California During May to October, 1990-98a CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 2-52 Short_Name Hayward Sn_Lndro-Hos Napa-Jffrsn Redwood_City Mtn_View-Cst Vallejo-304T Oakland-Alic San Pablo San Rafael S_F-Arkansas S_Rosa-5th Pinn_Nat_Mon Scotts_V-Drv Hollistr-Frv King_Cty-Mtz Carm_Val-Frd Salinas-Ntvd Watsonvll-AP S_Cruz-Soqul Montery-SlvC Davenport Arvin-Br_Mtn Edison Clovis Fresno-1st Maricopa-Stn Basin SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB NCC NCC NCC NCC NCC NCC NCC NCC NCC NCC SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV Rural Suburban Urban/CC Suburban Suburban Urban/CC Urban/CC Urban/CC Urban/CC Urban/CC Urban/CC Rural Rural Rural Rural Suburban Suburban Suburban Suburban Rural Rural Rural Rural Urban/CC Suburban Suburban 0.1 0.12 0.11 0.08 0.12 0.11 0.06 0.05 0.08 0.05 0.09 0.14 0.13 0.11 0.09 0.09 0.11 0.1 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.11 0.07 0.12 0.07 0.09 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.17 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.14 0.13 0.15 0.15 0.18 0.14 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.1 0.1 0.09 0.08 0.09 0.1 0.08 0.06 0.07 0.06 0.11 0.09 0.08 0.1 0.11 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.07 0.12 0.08 0.09 0.12 0.12 0.1 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.11 0.1 0.1 0.09 0.11 0.09 0.1 0.09 0.11 0.08 0.15 0.16 0.14 0.16 0.1 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.1 0.06 0.09 0.09 0.06 0.08 0.1 0.09 0.1 0.09 0.09 0.06 0.08 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.15 0.18 0.14 0.14 0.12 0.15 0.15 0.13 0.14 0.12 0.13 0.11 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.1 0.14 0.1 0.1 0.09 0.09 0.06 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.06 0.15 0.17 0.15 0.17 0.13 0.11 0.09 0.1 0.11 0.11 0.09 0.08 0.11 0.07 0.08 0.12 0.11 0.1 0.09 0.09 0.07 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.16 0.17 0.15 0.15 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.08 0.09 0.11 0.1 0.08 0.11 0.11 0.07 0.09 0.11 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.08 0.06 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.06 0.13 0.15 0.15 0.13 0.12 0.06 0.07 0.05 0.07 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.09 0.08 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.15 0.17 0.17 0.15 0.12 0.11 0.13 0.07 0.1 0.12 Location 1-hour Exceedances Type 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 0.109 0.115 0.103 0.092 0.106 0.111 0.081 0.083 0.084 0.066 0.083 0.119 0.099 0.100 0.087 0.091 0.066 0.085 0.084 0.084 0.070 0.153 0.159 0.147 0.152 0.117 Ave 0.086 0.077 0.07 0.065 0.085 0.07 0.051 0.07 0.053 0.052 0.061 0.09 0.06 0.06 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.12 0.1 0.12 0.13 0.11 0.1 0.06 0.08 0.07 0.077 0.067 0.115 0.111 0.115 0.111 0.102 0.09 0.08 0.078 0.08 0.067 0.07 0.08 0.068 0.05 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.08 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.1 0.11 1990 1991 1992 0.072 0.088 0.083 0.076 0.076 0.086 0.063 0.077 0.061 0.052 0.058 0.087 0.086 0.082 0.068 0.083 0.07 0.078 0.072 0.077 0.063 0.12 0.125 0.111 0.12 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.08 0.05 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.08 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.12 0.13 0.1 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.1 0.1 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.1 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.05 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.12 0.13 0.11 0.13 0.12 0.076 0.075 0.067 0.081 0.084 0.059 0.058 0.081 0.05 0.063 0.101 0.088 0.087 0.081 0.08 0.058 0.072 0.07 0.066 0.06 0.137 0.131 0.122 0.123 0.115 8-hour Exceedances 1993 1994 1995 1996 0.077 0.075 0.071 0.073 0.084 0.083 0.062 0.079 0.073 0.059 0.08 0.091 0.071 0.073 0.06 0.072 0.048 0.063 0.063 0.076 0.058 0.112 0.118 0.127 0.107 0.104 1997 0.054 0.058 0.042 0.054 0.097 0.077 0.085 0.076 0.069 0.049 0.058 0.063 0.056 0.054 0.123 0.136 0.13 0.118 0.074 0.066 0.099 0.047 0.062 0.083 1998 0.079 0.080 0.080 0.066 0.075 0.080 0.055 0.065 0.062 0.050 0.065 0.095 0.078 0.082 0.075 0.075 0.056 0.066 0.066 0.068 0.060 0.122 0.124 0.115 0.118 0.108 Ave Chapter 2: Basis for Study Table 2.3-3 (cont.) Annual Maximum of Daily Maximum Ozone Concentrations in Central California During May to October, 1990-98a CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 2-53 Short_Name Parlier Baker-5558Ca Seq_NP-Kawea Visalia-NChu Fresno-Sky#2 Oildale-3311 Merced-SCofe Baker-GS_Hwy Shafter-Wlkr Fresno-Drmnd Hanford-Irwn ShavLk-PerRd Madera Turlock-SMin Modesto-14th Tracy-Patt#2 Stockton-EMr Stockton-Haz Simi_V-CchrS Ojai-OjaiAve 1000_Oaks-Mr Piru-2mi_SW WCasitasPass Los_PadresNF Capitan-LF#1 Pas_Rob-Snta Basin SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC Suburban Urban/CC Rural Urban/CC Suburban Suburban Rural Urban/CC Suburban Suburban Suburban Rural Rural Suburban Urban/CC Rural Suburban Urban/CC Suburban Suburban Suburban Rural Rural Rural Rural Suburban 0.13 0.12 0.15 0.1 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.11 0.13 0.13 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.12 0.13 0.12 0.11 0.13 0.12 0.13 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.13 0.13 0.16 0.17 0.14 0.15 0.16 0.17 0.14 0.14 0.15 0.14 0.13 0.14 0.17 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.14 0.15 0.11 0.11 0.14 0.13 0.14 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.15 0.13 0.12 0.13 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.15 0.12 0.14 0.12 0.14 0.14 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.1 0.11 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.13 0.14 0.12 0.13 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.15 0.15 0.13 0.13 0.15 0.13 0.15 0.14 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.12 0.13 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.1 0.11 0.12 0.11 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.15 0.11 0.12 0.1 0.11 0.1 0.12 0.1 0.14 0.12 0.12 0.14 0.15 0.13 0.12 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.11 0.12 0.16 0.14 0.14 0.12 0.13 0.11 0.13 0.14 0.16 0.12 0.13 0.15 0.16 0.12 0.14 0.12 0.15 0.14 0.12 0.14 0.12 0.15 0.12 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.1 0.1 0.13 0.17 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.11 0.13 0.11 0.13 0.1 0.12 0.14 0.11 0.08 0.13 0.14 0.12 0.11 0.13 0.13 0.11 0.09 0.12 0.11 0.13 0.13 0.14 Location 1-hour Exceedances Type 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 0.149 0.130 0.122 0.139 0.139 0.124 0.124 0.124 0.114 0.140 0.117 0.132 0.128 0.126 0.122 0.125 0.119 0.116 0.157 0.133 0.134 0.125 0.130 0.113 0.132 0.103 Ave 0.1 0.09 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.14 0.07 0.11 0.1 0.1 0.09 0.14 0.11 0.1 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.09 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.097 0.11 0.08 0.1 0.102 0.108 0.1 0.11 0.092 0.105 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.09 0.097 0.1 0.11 0.087 0.086 0.09 0.1 0.115 0.129 0.13 0.14 0.117 0.101 0.11 0.11 0.103 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.101 0.079 0.11 0.1 0.11 0.103 0.11 0.11 0.098 0.093 0.09 0.09 0.125 0.096 0.12 0.12 0.08 0.077 0.09 0.09 0.11 0.11 0.1 0.11 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.097 0.101 0.11 0.1 0.12 0.12 0.1 0.107 0.09 0.1 0.09 0.09 0.078 0.1 0.09 0.112 0.12 0.108 0.111 0.109 0.116 0.116 0.116 0.109 0.122 0.121 0.102 0.111 0.111 0.102 0.096 0.083 0.094 0.127 0.125 0.11 0.095 0.1 0.1 0.122 0.117 8-hour Exceedances 1993 1994 1995 1996 0.11 0.12 0.121 0.108 0.1 0.1 0.11 0.105 0.121 0.12 0.1 0.1 0.116 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.105 0.125 0.12 0.11 0.121 0.1 0.11 0.11 0.105 0.106 0.11 0.107 0.11 0.11 1990 1991 1992 0.12 0.11 0.103 0.122 0.134 0.11 0.129 1998 0.102 0.115 0.113 0.093 0.116 0.1 0.125 0.091 0.119 0.099 0.094 0.083 0.082 0.114 0.151 0.097 0.103 0.093 0.101 0.089 0.118 0.097 0.115 0.088 0.097 0.108 0.092 0.076 0.113 0.112 0.109 0.1 0.104 0.102 0.103 0.079 0.104 0.101 0.099 0.106 0.106 1997 0.112 0.112 0.105 0.114 0.114 0.109 0.109 0.108 0.103 0.107 0.099 0.100 0.103 0.107 0.101 0.097 0.095 0.090 0.133 0.112 0.105 0.102 0.108 0.098 0.112 0.088 Ave Chapter 2: Basis for Study Table 2.3-3 (cont.) Annual Maximum of Daily Maximum Ozone Concentrations in Central California During May to October, 1990-98a CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 2-54 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.11 0.12 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.14 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.11 0.07 0.11 0.08 0.14 0.12 0.14 0.14 0.12 0.11 0.1 0.11 0.09 0.12 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.11 0.07 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.1 0.07 0.12 0.13 0.1 0.12 0.09 0.13 0.1 0.11 0.12 0.1 0.09 0.1 0.15 0.12 0.12 0.09 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.1 0.12 0.12 0.1 0.14 0.12 0.09 0.11 0.1 0.08 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.1 0.07 0.12 0.13 0.12 0.13 0.11 0.13 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.1 0.1 0.15 0.13 0.13 0.1 0.1 0.11 0.11 0.1 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.1 0.09 0.09 0.1 0.07 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.08 0.15 0.11 0.11 0.1 0.09 0.1 0.07 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.1 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.08 0.14 0.13 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.09 0.09 0.117 0.120 0.112 0.116 0.106 0.111 0.100 0.106 0.109 0.096 0.102 0.099 0.084 0.069 0.075 0.075 0.090 0.071 0.087 0.145 0.125 0.123 0.103 Ave 0.1 0.1 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.1 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.1 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.05 0.087 0.09 0.088 0.097 0.095 0.107 0.083 0.083 0.092 0.071 0.102 0.088 0.09 0.086 0.098 0.055 0.077 0.063 0.1 0.09 0.112 0.099 0.104 0.095 0.079 0.093 0.082 0.099 0.088 0.079 0.088 0.066 0.064 0.076 0.071 0.063 0.09 0.1 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.1 0.09 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.09 0.11 0.1 0.08 0.11 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.06 8-hour Exceedances 1993 1994 1995 1996 0.096 0.104 0.096 0.093 0.076 0.107 0.098 0.106 0.092 0.093 0.089 0.092 0.067 0.06 0.053 0.06 0.059 0.07 0.071 0.06 0.068 0.06 0.08 0.079 0.12 0.13 0.11 0.117 0.11 0.11 0.109 0.097 0.114 0.11 0.1 0.109 0.1 0.085 0.093 0.09 0.08 0.093 0.11 0.1 0.11 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.1 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.05 1990 1991 1992 a. For years with greater than 75% data capture. Some records for 1998 were not complete at time of compilation. 0.17 0.12 0.13 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.11 0.1 0.11 0.11 0.1 0.08 0.11 0.1 0.08 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.09 0.05 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.13 0.09 0.13 0.1 0.11 0.1 0.11 0.14 0.1 0.1 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.06 Rural Rural Suburban Rural Rural Suburban Suburban Rural Urban/CC Rural Rural Rural Rural Urban/CC Suburban Urban/CC Urban/CC Suburban Rural Rural Rural Urban/CC Rural SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC MD MD MD MD El_Rio-Sch#2 Carpint-Gbrn Emma_Wood_SB Gaviota-GT#B S_Barbr-UCSB Goleta-NFrvw Atascadero El_Capitan_B S_Barbr-WCrl Lompoc-HS&P1 Van_AFB-STSP S_Ynez-Airpt Nipomo-Gudlp Morro Bay Grover_City S_L_O-Marsh Lompoc-S_HSt S_Maria-SBrd SRosaIsland Josh_Tr-Mnmt Mojave-Poole Barstow Trona-Telegraph Location 1-hour Exceedances Type 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Basin Short_Name 0.081 0.091 0.081 0.08 0.079 0.08 0.077 0.076 0.079 0.084 0.08 0.073 0.06 0.056 0.066 0.06 0.069 0.06 0.074 0.122 0.096 0.106 0.083 1997 0.068 0.09 0.062 0.066 0.07 0.072 0.084 0.06 0.057 0.055 0.062 0.059 0.055 0.075 0.123 0.117 0.09 0.102 0.084 0.078 0.075 0.071 1998 0.093 0.093 0.092 0.089 0.090 0.092 0.087 0.087 0.083 0.082 0.085 0.083 0.072 0.061 0.066 0.065 0.069 0.060 0.076 0.116 0.107 0.104 0.091 Ave Chapter 2: Basis for Study Table 2.3-3 (cont.) Annual Maximum of Daily Maximum Ozone Concentrations in Central California During May to October, 1990-98a CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 2-55 12 2 0 5 6 4 1 4 4 0 2 0 9 0 0 7 0 2 1 9 3 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 4 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 2 0 3 0 7 2 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 3 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 1 0 1 0 3 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 5 5 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 5 1 Rural Suburban Suburban Suburban Suburban Rural Suburban Rural Rural Suburban Suburban Rural Rural Urban/CC Rural Rural Urban/CC Urban/CC Suburban Rural Rural Rural Suburban Suburban Suburban NC NC NC NEP LC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC SV SV SV SV SV SV SV Healdsb-Aprt Ukiah-EGobbi Willits-Main Yreka-Fthill Lakepor-Lake Cool-Hwy193 Plcrvll-Gold San_Andreas Jerseydale Grs_Vly-Litn Jackson-ClRd Yos_NP-Trtle Sonora-OakRd Sonora-Brret Colfax-CtyHl White_Cld_Mt Truckee-Fire Quincy-NChrc Folsom-Ntma Auburn-DwttC Sutter_Butte Rocklin Redding-HDrf Sacto-DelPas Rosevil-NSun Location 1-hour Exceedances Type 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Basin SHORT_NAME 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.67 0.71 1.25 0.00 0.29 0.67 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.11 2.71 0.00 2.67 0.50 3.33 2.56 Ave 13 12 17 11 1 41 9 0 12 11 14 10 40 7 0 24 10 14 9 29 26 12 5 11 29 0 1990 1991 1992 6 7 9 0 13 15 6 4 5 22 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 22 25 18 19 7 5 8 7 9 15 11 22 34 0 0 0 0 0 27 18 15 17 0 23 8 10 11 4 0 18 11 31 19 1 0 0 0 0 0 30 27 18 30 28 14 10 16 13 5 6 0 0 23 17 26 20 13 13 12 0 8-hour Exceedances 1993 1994 1995 1996 8 1 3 4 6 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 10 13 4 7 17 3 3 5 6 2 1 0 1997 13 12 45 10 12 14 0 0 26 9 14 16 5 0 0 0 0 25 3 1998 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.67 19.57 18.75 17.00 13.00 11.00 11.00 10.50 8.40 6.80 6.25 0.00 0.00 21.00 20.43 15.00 14.44 13.00 11.44 8.78 Ave Chapter 2: Basis for Study Table 2.3-4 Annual Exceedances of the 1-hr and 8-hr Ozone Standards in Central California During May to October, 1990-98 a CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 2-56 SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 7 1 4 1 3 1 1 3 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 3 1 0 2 2 0 1 0 0 1 3 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 Location 1-hour Exceedances Type 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 N_High-Blckf Suburban Red_Blf-Oak Urban/CC Yuba_Cty-Alm Suburban Elk_Grv-Brcv Rural Anderson-Nth Suburban Vacavil-Alli Suburban Woodland-GibsonRSuburban Plsnt_Grv4mi Rural Davis-UCD Rural Sacto-T_Strt Urban/CC Colusa-Sunrs Rural Tuscan Butte Rural Willows-ELau Suburban Chico-Manznt Suburban Lasn_Vlcn_NP Rural Livrmor-Old1 Urban/CC San_Martin Rural Los Gatos Urban/CC Bethel_Is_Rd Rural Concord-2975 Suburban Gilroy-9th Suburban Fairfld-AQMD Urban/CC San_Jose-935 Rural Pittsbg-10th Urban/CC Fremont-Chpl Suburban San_Jose-4th Urban/CC Basin SHORT_NAME 0.78 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.00 0.75 0.00 0.33 0.13 0.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.00 2.89 1.00 0.89 0.22 0.89 0.44 0.22 0.67 0.11 0.44 0.22 Ave 1 0 1 2 5 0 2 1 1 1 4 2 0 3 2 0 4 0 0 0 4 0 2 1 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 5 2 2 1 0 0 2 2 1 1 2 3 4 0 6 4 4 2 3 5 9 12 1990 1991 1992 3 2 2 2 1 2 1 3 1 0 0 0 3 1 2 1 1 2 3 4 2 0 0 2 2 1 3 1 1 2 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 6 3 6 3 10 9 4 4 0 3 3 7 2 3 2 4 1 1 0 11 8 5 3 6 5 5 6 3 4 3 4 9 3 2 2 5 4 3 4 0 0 0 1 10 5 5 3 3 3 3 0 2 0 0 15 8-hour Exceedances 1993 1994 1995 1996 0 1 0 3 2 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1997 1 1 1 10 6 2 5 6 4 3 0 1 0 1 9 10 5 4 10 7 4 4 4 4 1 1998 6.33 5.43 3.89 3.83 3.00 3.00 2.57 2.44 2.38 2.00 2.00 1.67 1.00 0.67 0.50 5.11 4.00 2.67 2.44 2.33 2.11 1.78 1.33 1.11 0.78 0.67 Ave Chapter 2: Basis for Study Table 2.3-4 (cont.) Annual Exceedances of the 1-hr and 8-hr Ozone Standards in Central California During May to October, 1990-98 a CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 2-57 0 28 22 3 27 0 0 0 23 22 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 3 17 12 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 28 13 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17 31 9 7 0 2 3 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19 34 7 14 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 37 25 16 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 3 9 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 22 26 15 0 0 1 0 0 0 Rural Suburban Urban/CC Suburban Suburban Urban/CC Urban/CC Urban/CC Urban/CC Urban/CC Urban/CC Rural Rural Rural Rural Suburban Suburban Suburban Suburban Rural Rural Rural Rural Urban/CC Suburban Suburban SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB NCC NCC NCC NCC NCC NCC NCC NCC NCC NCC SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV Hayward Sn_Lndro-Hos Napa-Jffrsn Redwood_City Mtn_View-Cst Vallejo-304T Oakland-Alic San Pablo San Rafael S_F-Arkansas S_Rosa-5th Pinn_Nat_Mon Scotts_V-Drv Hollistr-Frv King_Cty-Mtz Carm_Val-Frd Salinas-Ntvd Watsonvll-AP S_Cruz-Soqul Montery-SlvC Davenport Arvin-Br_Mtn Edison Clovis Fresno-1st Maricopa-Stn Location 1-hour Exceedances Type 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Basin SHORT_NAME 0.38 0.38 0.22 0.11 0.00 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.33 21.11 12.50 12.11 0.14 Ave 29 29 0 77 64 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 98 74 18 71 40 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 84 16 58 41 33 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1990 1991 1992 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 76 86 29 54 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 76 88 33 50 23 4 3 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 80 86 44 53 67 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 104 77 60 49 78 8-hour Exceedances 1993 1994 1995 1996 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 46 30 67 23 35 1997 0 0 0 0 5 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 64 61 61 43 0 0 1 0 0 0 1998 0.63 0.50 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.33 0.67 0.44 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.33 64.67 46.25 45.89 43.57 Ave Chapter 2: Basis for Study Table 2.3-4 (cont.) Annual Exceedances of the 1-hr and 8-hr Ozone Standards in Central California During May to October, 1990-98 a CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 2-58 0 8 0 0 6 0 1 0 13 2 2 3 4 0 4 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 30 3 0 3 1 3 0 2 0 0 14 3 0 1 5 0 0 1 0 0 3 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 2 3 0 0 12 1 1 0 8 1 4 0 0 0 0 0 6 2 0 0 5 10 7 2 9 6 0 1 0 1 15 2 2 2 4 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 1 10 3 0 0 0 2 2 0 2 1 21 2 1 1 1 0 3 0 9 2 0 2 3 1 3 1 0 0 0 17 3 0 4 5 2 1 3 0 8 8 3 2 1 2 2 0 0 13 2 4 0 2 0 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 9 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 4 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 8 3 0 2 4 3 0 13 0 1 6 13 0 3 Suburban Urban/CC Rural Urban/CC Suburban Suburban Rural Urban/CC Suburban Suburban Suburban Rural Rural Suburban Urban/CC Rural Suburban Urban/CC Suburban Suburban Suburban Rural Rural Rural Rural Suburban SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC Parlier Baker-5558Ca Seq_NP-Kawea Visalia-NChu Fresno-Sky#2 Oildale-3311 Merced-SCofe Baker-GS_Hwy Shafter-Wlkr Fresno-Drmnd Hanford-Irwn ShavLk-PerRd Madera Turlock-SMin Modesto-14th Tracy-Patt#2 Stockton-EMr Stockton-Haz Simi_V-CchrS Ojai-OjaiAve 1000_Oaks-Mr Piru-2mi_SW WCasitasPass Los_PadresNF Capitan-LF#1 Pas_Rob-Snta Location 1-hour Exceedances Type 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Basin SHORT_NAME 10.22 1.78 0.50 4.00 4.86 0.56 1.14 1.33 0.00 4.67 1.63 1.33 1.71 1.00 0.89 0.50 0.50 0.25 12.11 1.56 1.56 1.11 1.44 0.33 1.56 0.25 Ave 5 3 56 18 6 20 15 11 12 0 12 7 16 28 3 29 37 22 29 32 9 3 77 21 9 22 11 14 2 17 11 5 31 34 9 48 49 48 32 23 8 2 38 21 10 8 5 6 3 0 12 11 2 12 29 0 13 42 29 40 44 19 1990 1991 1992 4 1 31 15 16 0 5 4 4 0 26 11 7 24 17 43 44 54 50 25 24 19 5 4 61 12 14 10 7 3 9 1 0 10 9 23 6 12 8 33 58 50 31 28 26 15 18 14 7 3 4 60 19 14 11 10 4 10 1 25 57 18 40 39 37 35 25 26 9 1 58 67 49 43 36 51 44 47 49 34 80 29 28 19 15 14 0 2 55 37 14 13 9 11 9 9 8-hour Exceedances 1993 1994 1995 1996 7 2 3 0 0 39 8 7 3 3 2 1 0 48 23 26 17 15 5 0 11 4 11 26 11 1997 28 9 11 4 1 3 1 20 27 41 31 12 13 29 13 5 54 38 26 45 50 44 35 1998 40.67 39.00 36.50 34.78 34.00 32.78 28.43 27.67 23.56 23.22 20.25 17.33 15.86 14.22 8.22 7.25 4.25 2.38 49.44 17.78 11.22 10.11 7.33 6.44 5.67 3.88 Ave Chapter 2: Basis for Study Table 2.3-4 (cont.) Annual Exceedances of the 1-hr and 8-hr Ozone Standards in Central California During May to October, 1990-98 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 2-59 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.11 0.56 0.33 0.44 0.00 0.22 0.00 0.22 0.11 0.00 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.71 0.80 0.50 0.00 Ave 20 15 2 1 0 3 1 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 36 12 3 5 1 3 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16 1 4 1 2 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1990 1991 1992 21 7 2 2 2 3 1 1 0 1 0 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 62 45 14 5 0 0 0 0 0 3 4 1 0 0 2 1 0 1 1 0 0 26 30 1 0 3 3 4 1 3 2 0 3 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 1 4 0 1 5 2 1 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 47 42 9 8 8-hour Exceedances 1993 1994 1995 1996 a. For years with greater than 75% data capture. Some records for 1998 were not complete at time of compilation. 0 6 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Rural Rural Suburban Rural Rural Suburban Suburban Rural Urban/CC Rural Rural Rural Rural Urban/CC Suburban Urban/CC Urban/CC Suburban Rural Rural Rural Urban/CC Rural SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC MD MD MD MD El_Rio-Sch#2 Carpint-Gbrn Emma_Wood_SB Gaviota-GT#B S_Barbr-UCSB Goleta-NFrvw Atascadero El_Capitan_B S_Barbr-WCrl Lompoc-HS&P1 Van_AFB-STSP S_Ynez-Airpt Nipomo-Gudlp Morro Bay Grover_City S_L_O-Marsh Lompoc-S_HSt S_Maria-SBrd SRosaIsland Josh_Tr-Mnmt Mojave-Poole Barstow Trona-Telegraph Location 1-hour Exceedances Type 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Basin SHORT_NAME 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 41 18 11 0 1997 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19 40 5 4 0 0 0 0 1998 3.22 2.00 1.67 1.44 1.13 1.00 0.89 0.78 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.44 0.25 0.11 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.14 35.00 12.13 3.50 Ave Chapter 2: Basis for Study Table 2.3-4 (cont.) Annual Exceedances of the 1-hr and 8-hr Ozone Standards in Central California During May to October, 1990-98a CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 2-60 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Short_Name Healdsb-Aprt Ukiah-EGobbi Willits-Main Yreka-Fthill Lakepor-Lake Cool-Hwy193 Plcrvll-Gold San_Andreas Jerseydale Grs_Vly-Litn Jackson-ClRd Yos_NP-Trtle Sonora-OakRd Sonora-Brret Colfax-CtyHl White_Cld_Mt Truckee-Fire Quincy-NChrc Folsom-Ntma Auburn-DwttC Sutter_Butte Rocklin Redding-HDrf Sacto-DelPas Rosevil-NSun Basin NC NC NC NEP LC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC SV SV SV SV SV SV SV Rural Suburban Suburban Suburban Suburban Rural Suburban Rural Rural Suburban Suburban Rural Rural Urban/CC Rural Rural Urban/CC Urban/CC Suburban Rural Rural Rural Suburban Suburban Suburban Location Type 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 May 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.3 Jun 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.2 0.8 0.0 0.6 0.0 1.2 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.3 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7 1.3 0.0 0.9 0.2 1.5 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 1-hour Exceedances Jul Aug Sep 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 Oct 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.2 May 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7 2.7 2.1 1.0 1.8 1.6 0.6 2.5 0.4 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.2 3.1 3.1 1.1 2.6 1.2 1.8 1.5 Jun 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 5.0 5.5 3.2 5.9 3.2 4.0 3.7 4.1 2.8 2.0 0.0 0.2 6.2 7.5 4.3 5.1 4.8 3.1 3.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.7 6.0 6.8 7.8 3.7 4.1 5.7 3.7 3.0 2.7 2.0 0.0 0.0 5.5 6.3 3.7 3.8 5.1 3.7 2.3 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8 4.0 3.9 4.9 1.0 1.9 3.2 2.8 0.9 1.7 1.3 0.0 0.0 4.6 4.2 3.8 2.2 1.4 2.0 1.3 8-hour Exceedances Jul Aug Sep 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.5 2.3 0.5 0.2 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.0 0.0 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.0 0.6 0.3 Oct Table 2.3-5 Average Annual Exceedances of the 1-hr and 8-hr Ozone Standards in Central California by Month May to October, 1990-98 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 2-61 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Short_Name N_High-Blckf Red_Blf-Oak Yuba_Cty-Alm Elk_Grv-Brcv Anderson-Nth Vacavil-Alli Woodland-GibsonRd Plsnt_Grv4mi Davis-UCD Sacto-T_Strt Colusa-Sunrs Tuscan Butte Willows-ELau Chico-Manznt Lasn_Vlcn_NP Livrmor-Old1 San_Martin Los Gatos Bethel_Is_Rd Concord-2975 Gilroy-9th Fairfld-AQMD San_Jose-935 Pittsbg-10th Fremont-Chpl San_Jose-4th Basin SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB Suburban Urban/CC Suburban Rural Suburban Suburban Suburban Rural Rural Urban/CC Rural Rural Suburban Suburban Rural Urban/CC Rural Urban/CC Rural Suburban Suburban Urban/CC Rural Urban/CC Suburban Urban/CC Location Type 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 May 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 Jun 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.3 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1-hour Exceedances Jul Aug Sep 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Oct 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 May 1.2 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.3 Jun 1.8 2.3 1.1 0.7 1.6 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.4 0.8 1.1 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.3 2.2 2.2 1.8 2.1 0.8 1.5 1.0 0.8 1.3 0.9 0.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.5 1.6 0.3 0.9 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.2 1.4 0.8 0.7 0.4 1.0 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 1.3 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 8-hour Exceedances Jul Aug Sep 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Oct Table 2.3-5 (cont.) Average Annual Exceedances of the 1-hr and 8-hr Ozone Standards in Central California by Month May to October, 1990-98 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 2-62 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Short_Name Hayward Sn_Lndro-Hos Napa-Jffrsn Redwood_City Mtn_View-Cst Vallejo-304T Oakland-Alic San Pablo San Rafael S_F-Arkansas S_Rosa-5th Pinn_Nat_Mon Scotts_V-Drv Hollistr-Frv King_Cty-Mtz Carm_Val-Frd Salinas-Ntvd Watsonvll-AP S_Cruz-Soqul Montery-SlvC Davenport Arvin-Br_Mtn Edison Clovis Fresno-1st Maricopa-Stn Basin SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB SFB NCC NCC NCC NCC NCC NCC NCC NCC NCC NCC SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV Rural Suburban Urban/CC Suburban Suburban Urban/CC Urban/CC Urban/CC Urban/CC Urban/CC Urban/CC Rural Rural Rural Rural Suburban Suburban Suburban Suburban Rural Rural Rural Rural Urban/CC Suburban Suburban Location Type 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 May 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.1 2.3 1.3 1.6 0.0 Jun 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.2 5.0 3.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.8 8.5 5.3 4.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 4.1 1.9 2.3 0.1 1-hour Exceedances Jul Aug Sep 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1 1.4 0.6 1.4 0.0 Oct 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.8 2.9 1.1 1.3 1.3 May 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.9 10.3 7.3 7.3 7.5 Jun 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 19.7 16.2 12.9 13.0 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.5 17.9 11.7 11.8 10.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.2 12.9 10.5 10.1 8.2 8-hour Exceedances Jul Aug Sep 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.6 5.9 3.6 3.4 7.7 Oct Table 2.3-5 (cont.) Average Annual Exceedances of the 1-hr and 8-hr Ozone Standards in Central California by Month May to October, 1990-98 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 2-63 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Short_Name Parlier Baker-5558Ca Seq_NP-Kawea Visalia-NChu Fresno-Sky#2 Oildale-3311 Merced-SCofe Baker-GS_Hwy Shafter-Wlkr Fresno-Drmnd Hanford-Irwn ShavLk-PerRd Madera Turlock-SMin Modesto-14th Tracy-Patt#2 Stockton-EMr Stockton-Haz Simi_V-CchrS Ojai-OjaiAve 1000_Oaks-Mr Piru-2mi_SW WCasitasPass Los_PadresNF Capitan-LF#1 Pas_Rob-Snta Basin SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC Suburban Urban/CC Rural Urban/CC Suburban Suburban Rural Urban/CC Suburban Suburban Suburban Rural Rural Suburban Urban/CC Rural Suburban Urban/CC Suburban Suburban Suburban Rural Rural Rural Rural Suburban Location Type 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 May 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 Jun 2.5 0.8 0.3 0.9 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.7 0.1 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 2.4 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 3.9 0.6 0.0 1.7 2.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.0 1.9 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 4.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.2 0.5 0.3 0.7 1.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.5 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 1-hour Exceedances Jul Aug Sep 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.0 Oct 1.5 1.5 0.0 1.6 1.3 0.8 1.6 0.7 0.5 1.0 0.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.8 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 May 6.2 6.6 8.4 7.6 5.5 5.1 3.9 4.3 3.8 2.8 3.8 3.1 2.3 2.3 1.4 0.8 1.0 0.6 7.9 3.4 2.3 2.0 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.1 Jun 11.1 10.5 13.4 10.4 8.1 6.9 9.1 8.7 6.6 5.8 5.0 7.0 3.9 4.0 3.1 2.0 1.1 0.6 11.4 2.9 1.5 2.2 1.0 2.0 0.8 0.8 11.0 10.8 10.8 8.9 8.4 8.2 7.4 11.0 6.5 7.7 5.9 6.3 4.9 5.1 2.7 2.9 1.2 0.7 14.4 6.9 2.6 3.2 1.5 1.6 1.0 2.0 8.2 7.5 4.7 5.4 8.7 7.8 5.8 3.7 4.5 4.6 3.0 1.3 3.6 2.0 1.0 1.2 0.6 0.7 8.0 2.0 2.8 1.5 1.9 0.8 1.4 0.7 8-hour Exceedances Jul Aug Sep 4.0 3.1 1.0 1.4 4.6 4.7 2.8 0.8 2.1 2.1 1.3 0.0 1.4 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 4.3 1.6 1.3 0.8 1.7 1.0 1.2 0.1 Oct Table 2.3-5 (cont.) Average Annual Exceedances of the 1-hr and 8-hr Ozone Standards in Central California by Month May to October, 1990-98 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 2-64 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Short_Name El_Rio-Sch#2 Carpint-Gbrn Emma_Wood_SB Gaviota-GT#B S_Barbr-UCSB Goleta-NFrvw Atascadero El_Capitan_B S_Barbr-WCrl Lompoc-HS&P1 Van_AFB-STSP S_Ynez-Airpt Nipomo-Gudlp Morro Bay Grover_City S_L_O-Marsh Lompoc-S_HSt S_Maria-SBrd SRosaIsland Josh_Tr-Mnmt Mojave-Poole Barstow Trona-Telegraph Basin SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC MD MD MD MD Rural Rural Suburban Rural Rural Suburban Suburban Rural Urban/CC Rural Rural Rural Rural Urban/CC Suburban Urban/CC Urban/CC Suburban Rural Rural Rural Urban/CC Rural Location Type 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 May 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 Jun 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.6 0.2 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 1-hour Exceedances Jul Aug Sep 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Oct 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.7 2.8 0.8 0.1 May 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 8.6 4.1 1.5 Jun 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.6 14.1 5.4 1.5 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.2 7.9 2.6 0.4 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 1.7 0.3 0.3 8-hour Exceedances Jul Aug Sep 1.3 0.2 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 1.2 0.0 0.0 Oct Table 2.3-5 (cont.) Average Annual Exceedances of the 1-hr and 8-hr Ozone Standards in Central California by Month May to October, 1990-98 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 2-65 Short_Name 1000_Oaks-Mr Anderson-Nth Arvin-Br_Mtn Atascadero Auburn-DwttC Baker-5558Ca Baker-GS_Hwy Barstow Bethel_Is_Rd Capitan-LF#1 Carm_Val-Frd Carpint-Gbrn Chico-Manznt Clovis Colfax-CtyHl Colusa-Sunrs Concord-2975 Cool-Hwy193 Davenport Davis-UCD Edison El_Capitan_B El_Rio-Sch#2 Elk_Grv-Brcv Emma_Wood_SB Basin SCC SV SJV SCC SV SJV SJV MD SFB SCC NCC SCC SV SJV MC SV SFB MC NCC SV SJV SCC SCC SV SCC Suburban Suburban Rural Suburban Not Available Urban / Center City Urban / Center City Urban / Center City Rural Rural Suburban Rural Suburban Urban / Center City Not Available Rural Suburban Rural Rural Rural Rural Rural Rural Rural Suburban Location Type 0.0 0.0 2.1 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.0 0.1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 Mon 0.0 0.0 3.1 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 Tue 0.1 0.0 2.1 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.0 2.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.0 0.0 2.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 3.6 0.0 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 3.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 3.8 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 2.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.0 0.0 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1-hour Exceedances Wed Thu Fri 0.2 0.0 2.6 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 Sat 0.5 0.0 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 Sun 0.8 0.2 11.6 0.0 3.6 5.6 3.6 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.0 6.9 1.1 0.0 0.4 3.0 0.0 0.6 9.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 Mon 0.4 0.4 11.2 0.0 3.1 5.5 3.4 1.4 0.2 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.5 1.3 0.1 0.4 4.6 0.0 0.2 9.5 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.1 Tue 1.4 0.6 10.7 0.1 3.9 5.3 4.1 1.1 0.4 1.1 0.0 0.4 0.2 6.7 1.3 0.6 0.2 3.0 0.0 0.6 9.6 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.3 1.6 0.4 10.9 0.0 4.5 4.8 4.3 2.9 0.2 1.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 6.6 1.5 0.7 0.2 4.5 0.0 0.5 8.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.2 2.1 1.0 12.1 0.3 4.0 5.9 3.9 2.5 0.3 1.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 6.3 2.5 0.4 0.2 4.1 0.0 0.1 9.7 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 8-hour Exceedances Wed Thu Fri 1.7 0.4 11.4 0.2 2.5 6.5 5.9 2.0 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 7.4 0.7 0.1 0.2 2.7 0.0 0.1 9.7 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.5 Sat 3.3 0.0 11.5 0.2 1.8 5.8 6.9 1.9 0.4 0.8 0.0 0.3 0.0 6.4 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.7 0.0 0.1 9.6 0.1 1.0 0.3 0.2 Sun Chapter 2: Basis for Study Table 2.3-6 Average Annual Exceedances of the 1-hr and 8-hr Ozone Standards in Central California by Day-of-the-Week May to October, 1990-98 (1=Monday) CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 2-66 Short_Name Fairfld-AQMD Folsom-Ntma Fremont-Chpl Fresno-1st Fresno-Drmnd Fresno-Sky#2 Gaviota-GT#B Gilroy-9th Goleta-NFrvw Grover_City Grs_Vly-Litn Hanford-Irwn Hayward Healdsb-Aprt Hollistr-Frv Jackson-ClRd Jerseydale Josh_Tr-Mnmt King_Cty-Mtz Lakepor-Lake Lasn_Vlcn_NP Livrmor-Old1 Lompoc-HS&P1 Lompoc-S_HSt Los Gatos Los_PadresNF Basin SFB SV SFB SJV SJV SJV SCC SFB SCC SCC MC SJV SFB NC NCC MC MC MD NCC LC SV SFB SCC SCC SFB SCC Urban / Center City Suburban Suburban Suburban Suburban Suburban Rural Suburban Suburban Suburban Suburban Suburban Rural Rural Rural Suburban Rural Rural Rural Suburban Rural Urban / Center City Rural Urban / Center City Urban / Center City Rural Location Type 0.0 1.3 0.0 1.8 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 Mon 0.0 1.0 0.1 2.1 0.7 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 Tue 0.0 1.3 0.0 1.6 0.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.1 0.0 1.3 0.6 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.0 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1-hour Exceedances Wed Thu Fri 0.0 0.6 0.3 2.1 0.8 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 Sat 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.7 1.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Sun 0.3 3.2 0.0 6.8 2.9 5.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.8 2.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.3 2.0 4.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 Mon 0.4 3.3 0.0 6.6 3.2 5.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.9 2.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.3 4.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 Tue 0.2 3.5 0.0 6.1 2.8 5.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 1.6 2.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.8 4.5 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.1 3.0 0.0 5.5 2.3 5.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 2.6 2.5 0.0 0.3 0.0 2.6 3.6 6.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.3 0.0 2.8 0.1 5.8 2.7 4.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 2.7 3.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.6 3.3 4.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.2 8-hour Exceedances Wed Thu Fri 0.2 2.6 0.3 7.1 4.9 5.5 0.7 0.9 0.1 0.0 1.3 4.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.7 2.2 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.9 1.3 Sat 0.4 3.4 0.3 8.3 5.1 6.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.3 2.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 1.4 4.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.8 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.6 Sun Chapter 2: Basis for Study Table 2.3-6 (cont.) Average Annual Exceedances of the 1-hr and 8-hr Ozone Standards in Central California by Day-of-the-Week May to October, 1990-98 (1=Monday) CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 2-67 Short_Name Madera Maricopa-Stn Merced-SCofe Modesto-14th Mojave-Poole Montery-SlvC Morro Bay Mtn_View-Cst N_High-Blckf Napa-Jffrsn Nipomo-Gudlp Oakland-Alic Oildale-3311 Ojai-OjaiAve Parlier Pas_Rob-Snta Pinn_Nat_Mon Piru-2mi_SW Pittsbg-10th Plcrvll-Gold Plsnt_Grv4mi Quincy-NChrc Red_Blf-Oak Redding-HDrf Redwood_City Rocklin Basin SJV SJV SJV SJV MD NCC SCC SFB SV SFB SCC SFB SJV SCC SJV SCC NCC SCC SFB MC SV MC SV SV SFB SV Rural Suburban Rural Urban / Center City Rural Rural Urban / Center City Suburban Suburban Urban / Center City Rural Urban / Center City Suburban Suburban Not Available Suburban Rural Rural Urban / Center City Suburban Rural Urban / Center City Urban / Center City Suburban Suburban Rural Location Type 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 Mon 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6 Tue 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 1-hour Exceedances Wed Thu Fri 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 Sat 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 Sun 1.8 6.1 3.8 0.8 3.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5 1.6 6.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.2 2.1 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.4 0.0 2.2 Mon 2.6 6.8 4.1 1.3 4.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 4.6 1.8 6.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.3 3.5 0.6 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.4 Tue 2.2 7.4 3.6 0.7 5.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.4 2.2 5.6 0.2 0.6 1.7 0.1 3.7 0.3 0.0 0.4 1.7 0.0 2.5 2.8 6.4 4.6 0.8 5.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.5 3.3 5.3 0.2 0.3 1.3 0.1 3.9 0.5 0.0 1.8 2.1 0.0 2.5 1.5 6.8 4.5 0.9 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5 3.4 5.8 0.7 0.5 1.3 0.2 2.6 0.6 0.0 1.3 2.1 0.0 2.6 8-hour Exceedances Wed Thu Fri 2.6 8.3 5.5 1.8 5.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.3 3.4 7.0 0.9 0.8 3.3 0.0 2.2 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.8 0.2 1.7 Sat 2.8 5.8 4.2 2.2 4.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.2 2.0 6.1 1.0 0.2 1.1 0.1 2.1 0.1 0.0 0.7 1.4 0.0 0.9 Sun Chapter 2: Basis for Study Table 2.3-6 (cont.) Average Annual Exceedances of the 1-hr and 8-hr Ozone Standards in Central California by Day-of-the-Week May to October, 1990-98 (1=Monday) CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 2-68 Short_Name Rosevil-NSun S_Barbr-UCSB S_Barbr-WCrl S_Cruz-Soqul S_F-Arkansas S_L_O-Marsh S_Maria-SBrd S_Rosa-5th S_Ynez-Airpt Sacto-DelPas Sacto-T_Strt Salinas-Ntvd San Pablo San Rafael San_Andreas San_Jose-4th San_Jose-935 San_Martin Scotts_V-Drv Seq_NP-Kawea Shafter-Wlkr ShavLk-PerRd Simi_V-CchrS Sn_Lndro-Hos Sonora-Brret Sonora-OakRd Basin SV SCC SCC NCC SFB SCC SCC SFB SCC SV SV NCC SFB SFB MC SFB SFB SFB NCC SJV SJV SJV SCC SFB MC MC Suburban Rural Urban / Center City Suburban Urban / Center City Urban / Center City Suburban Urban / Center City Rural Suburban Urban / Center City Suburban Urban / Center City Urban / Center City Rural Urban / Center City Rural Rural Rural Rural Suburban Rural Suburban Suburban Urban / Center City Rural Location Type 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Mon 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 Tue 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1-hour Exceedances Wed Thu Fri 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 Sat 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 Sun 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 3.8 2.8 2.6 5.3 0.0 1.0 1.5 Mon 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.0 5.2 2.9 2.6 5.9 0.0 1.0 1.1 Tue 2.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 6.4 3.2 3.6 6.7 0.0 1.4 2.3 1.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 5.4 4.2 2.5 6.5 0.0 1.4 1.8 1.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.6 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.0 6.6 3.9 2.5 8.0 0.0 2.5 3.3 8-hour Exceedances Wed Thu Fri 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 0.3 0.8 1.2 0.5 5.9 3.7 1.6 9.2 0.4 0.9 1.5 Sat 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.0 4.4 3.0 1.9 7.7 0.1 0.5 0.8 Sun Chapter 2: Basis for Study Table 2.3-6 (cont.) Average Annual Exceedances of the 1-hr and 8-hr Ozone Standards in Central California by Day-of-the-Week May to October, 1990-98 (1=Monday) CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 2-69 Short_Name SRosaIsland Stockton-EMr Stockton-Haz Sutter_Butte Tracy-Patt#2 Trona-Telegraph Truckee-Fire Turlock-SMin Tuscan Butte Ukiah-EGobbi Vacavil-Alli Vallejo-304T Van_AFB-STSP Visalia-NChu Watsonvll-AP WCasitasPass White_Cld_Mt Willits-Main Willows-ELau Woodland-GibsonRd Yos_NP-Trtle Yreka-Fthill Yuba_Cty-Alm Basin SCC SJV SJV SV SJV MD MC SJV SV NC SV SFB SCC SJV NCC SCC MC NC SV SV MC NEP SV Rural Not Available Urban / Center City Not Available Rural Rural Urban / Center City Suburban Not Available Suburban Suburban Urban / Center City Rural Urban / Center City Suburban Rural Rural Suburban Suburban Suburban Rural Suburban Suburban Location Type 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Mon 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Tue 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1-hour Exceedances Wed Thu Fri 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Sat 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Sun 0.0 0.8 0.4 1.6 1.2 0.1 0.0 1.9 0.3 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 4.3 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 0.0 0.5 Mon 0.0 1.2 0.4 2.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 2.4 0.6 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.9 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 2.1 0.0 1.3 Tue 0.0 0.6 0.7 2.7 1.2 0.2 0.0 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.1 4.7 0.0 1.5 1.1 0.0 0.4 0.5 2.7 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.2 3.0 1.2 0.7 0.0 1.7 1.1 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.1 4.7 0.0 0.7 2.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.7 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.2 2.7 0.7 1.0 0.0 1.8 1.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 4.7 0.0 1.1 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.8 0.0 0.5 8-hour Exceedances Wed Thu Fri 0.0 0.4 0.6 1.6 0.2 0.6 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.9 0.0 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.7 0.0 0.4 Sat 0.0 0.5 0.2 1.3 1.4 0.6 0.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 5.8 0.0 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.4 0.0 0.2 Sun Chapter 2: Basis for Study Table 2.3-6 (cont.) Average Annual Exceedances of the 1-hr and 8-hr Ozone Standards in Central California by Day-of-the-Week May to October, 1990-98 (1=Monday) CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Table 2.4-1 1996 Daily Average ROG Emissions by Air Basins in the CCOS Domain SOURCE CATEGORIES STATIONARY FUEL COMBUSTION electric utilities cogeneration oil and gas production (combustion) petroleum refining (combustion) manufacturing and industrial food and agricultural processing service and commercial other (fuel combustion) WASTE DISPOSAL sewage treatment landfills incinerators soil remediation other (waste disposal) CLEANING AND SURFACE COATINGS laundering degreasing coatings and related process solvents printing other (cleaning and surface coatings) PETROLEUM PRODUCTION AND MARKETING oil and gas production petroleum refining petroleum marketing other (petroleum production and marketing) INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES chemical food and agriculture mineral processes metal processes wood and paper glass and related products electronics other (industrial processes) AREA-WIDE SOLVENT EVAPORATION consumer products architectural coatings and related solvents pesticides/fertilizers asphalt paving refrigerants other (solvent evaporation) MISCELLANEOUS PROCESSES residential fuel combustion farming operations construction and demolition paved road dust unpaved road dust fugitive windblown dust fires waste burning and disposal utility equipment other (miscellaneous processes) Mountain Counties Bay Area Sacramento Valley 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.0 5.3 0.0 0.2 2.4 2.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 0.0 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 2.5 0.0 0.4 3.8 5.8 26.3 6.0 11.3 1.7 5.0 16.6 1.3 2.6 0.6 7.0 16.1 1.3 4.0 0.9 1.8 5.8 0.2 0.6 0.3 3.5 6.1 1.0 2.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.2 19.2 22.6 5.5 10.0 0.0 5.6 0.0 51.8 1.3 6.6 0.3 0.9 0.0 1.3 0.0 6.8 0.5 2.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.1 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.1 3.2 0.8 1.0 0.0 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.5 9.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.0 2.2 0.5 3.8 0.0 0.0 47.0 23.7 4.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 16.0 10.0 7.5 7.5 0.0 0.0 21.0 10.6 46.3 1.1 0.0 0.9 4.5 2.6 10.9 2.2 0.0 0.0 10.1 5.1 6.5 0.8 0.0 0.2 7.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.8 6.3 0.0 8.8 3.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 8.5 0.9 8.2 2.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 15.8 4.7 1.0 5.6 70.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 17.0 4.9 0.4 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 1.3 0.1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.5 1.9 0.4 2-70 San Joaquin North Central South Central Valley Coast Coast CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Table 2.4-1 (continued) 1996 Daily Average ROG Emissions by Air Basins in the CCOS Domain SOURCE CATEGORIES MOBILE ON-ROAD MOTOR VEHICLES light duty passenger light and medium duty trucks light duty trucks medium duty trucks heavy duty gas trucks (all) light heavy duty gas trucks medium heavy duty gas trucks heavy duty diesel trucks (all) light heavy duty diesel trucks medium heavy duty diesel trucks heavy heavy duty diesel trucks motorcycles heavy duty diesel urban buses other (on-road motor vehicles) OTHER MOBILE SOURCES aircraft trains ships and commercial boats recreational boats off-road recreational vehicles commercial/industrial mobile equipment farm equipment other (other mobile sources) NATURAL (NON-ANTHROPOGENIC) geogenic sources wildfires windblown dust other (natural sources) TOTALS Stationary Area-Wide On-Road Motor Vehicles Other Mobile Sources Natural TOTAL Mountain Counties Bay Area Sacramento Valley 13.5 0.0 9.4 1.2 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 158.3 0.0 66.7 8.5 0.0 2.1 1.0 0.0 0.6 1.4 3.9 1.8 0.5 0.0 68.5 0.0 38.2 4.8 0.0 1.5 0.7 0.0 0.5 1.2 3.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 82.9 0.0 54.3 6.7 0.0 2.7 1.2 0.0 0.7 1.6 4.5 1.2 0.1 0.0 15.5 0.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 32.5 0.0 16.1 2.1 0.0 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.1 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 10.0 17.8 0.6 0.6 0.0 10.3 0.5 0.7 11.3 2.3 15.4 0.8 0.0 2.4 0.7 0.1 10.7 5.2 2.3 2.6 0.0 10.0 0.9 0.1 7.7 5.7 4.7 5.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.3 0.6 0.9 1.0 0.0 1.1 0.2 0.8 3.2 1.2 1.6 1.5 0.0 0.0 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 0.0 0.0 20.8 4.9 0.0 0.0 7.0 27.9 25.6 29.3 2.3 92.1 120.2 98.7 244.8 41.3 0.2 505.2 51.2 72.9 119.6 24.0 3.1 270.8 117.4 178.1 155.9 34.3 3.8 489.5 14.8 24.6 26.4 5.2 1.3 72.3 25.4 30.5 53.7 9.6 25.7 144.9 2-71 San Joaquin North Central South Central Valley Coast Coast CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Table 2.4-2 1996 Daily Average NOx Emissions by Air Basins in the CCOS Domain SOURCE CATEGORIES STATIONARY FUEL COMBUSTION electric utilities cogeneration oil and gas production (combustion) petroleum refining (combustion) manufacturing and industrial food and agricultural processing service and commercial other (fuel combustion) WASTE DISPOSAL sewage treatment landfills incinerators soil remediation other (waste disposal) CLEANING AND SURFACE COATINGS laundering degreasing coatings and related process solvents printing other (cleaning and surface coatings) PETROLEUM PRODUCTION AND MARKETING oil and gas production petroleum refining petroleum marketing other (petroleum production and marketing) INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES chemical food and agriculture mineral processes metal processes wood and paper glass and related products electronics other (industrial processes) AREA-WIDE SOLVENT EVAPORATION consumer products architectural coatings and related solvents pesticides/fertilizers asphalt paving refrigerants other (solvent evaporation) MISCELLANEOUS PROCESSES residential fuel combustion farming operations construction and demolition paved road dust unpaved road dust fugitive windblown dust fires waste burning and disposal utility equipment other (miscellaneous processes) Mountain Counties Bay Area Sacramento Valley 0.8 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.3 0.0 0.5 0.2 11.8 9.5 0.3 32.5 25.5 0.6 9.5 1.9 2.0 2.3 3.6 0.0 5.4 1.6 7.1 1.0 2.0 17.9 49.8 2.5 26.9 37.3 25.6 0.9 7.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 8.1 0.1 1.2 0.1 2.4 0.7 4.0 0.3 1.9 1.6 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.2 0.0 0.0 2.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.1 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.3 1.5 0.0 0.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 19.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.6 0.1 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2-72 San Joaquin North Central South Central Valley Coast Coast CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Table 2.4-2 (continued) 1996 Daily Average NOx Emissions by Air Basins in the CCOS Domain SOURCE CATEGORIES MOBILE ON-ROAD MOTOR VEHICLES light duty passenger light and medium duty trucks light duty trucks medium duty trucks heavy duty gas trucks (all) light heavy duty gas trucks medium heavy duty gas trucks heavy duty diesel trucks (all) light heavy duty diesel trucks medium heavy duty diesel trucks heavy heavy duty diesel trucks motorcycles heavy duty diesel urban buses other (on-road motor vehicles) OTHER MOBILE SOURCES aircraft trains ships and commercial boats recreational boats off-road recreational vehicles commercial/industrial mobile equipment farm equipment other (other mobile sources) NATURAL (NON-ANTHROPOGENIC) geogenic sources wildfires windblown dust other (natural sources) TOTALS Stationary Area-Wide On-Road Motor Vehicles Other Mobile Sources Natural TOTAL Mountain Counties Bay Area Sacramento Valley 11.4 0.0 11.0 1.7 0.0 1.7 0.5 0.0 0.6 1.3 4.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 134.8 0.0 79.1 12.0 0.0 10.7 3.6 0.0 5.0 11.3 37.0 1.0 5.2 0.0 53.7 0.0 42.4 6.4 0.0 8.5 2.8 0.0 4.1 9.1 29.9 0.4 0.7 0.0 71.2 0.0 65.4 9.8 0.0 16.5 5.4 0.0 5.7 12.8 42.0 0.7 0.8 0.0 13.0 0.0 9.5 1.4 0.0 1.7 0.6 0.0 0.8 1.9 6.2 0.1 0.4 0.0 29.8 0.0 20.8 3.2 0.0 3.1 1.0 0.0 1.3 3.0 9.8 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 4.8 0.0 0.5 1.1 5.1 3.6 0.0 22.0 11.5 11.4 0.3 0.1 66.9 4.4 0.0 2.1 20.0 0.2 0.9 0.4 15.6 16.9 0.0 3.1 19.8 0.3 0.9 0.4 21.6 30.3 0.0 0.3 2.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.6 6.6 0.0 0.5 5.2 4.2 0.4 0.1 9.9 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 0.0 0.0 5.8 2.3 32.5 15.1 0.6 56.3 102.6 20.5 299.7 116.6 0.0 539.4 28.2 7.4 158.0 56.1 0.8 250.5 184.1 12.5 230.3 76.4 0.9 504.2 20.2 2.1 35.6 14.4 0.4 72.7 14.8 3.4 72.6 29.7 1.2 121.7 2-73 San Joaquin North Central South Central Valley Coast Coast 2-74 Chapter 2: Basis for Study MAY JUN JUL REDDING AUG SEP OCT MAY JUN JUL SACRAMENTO AUG SEP OCT MAY JUN SAN JUL FRANCISCO AUG SEP OCT MAY JUN JUL FRESNO AUG SEP OCT MAY JUN JUL SANTA MARIA AUG SEP OCT MAY JUN JUL BAKERSFIELD AUG SEP OCT MON SKY COVER PRES RELATIVE HUMIDITY (%) PRECIP TEMP(Deg. F) WIND Daily Max Daily Min (tenths;Sunrise-set) (mb) 04PST 10PST 16PST 22PST (in.) Speed (mph) Direction 81 52 5 995.6 73 44 33 58 1.27 7.7 * 90 62 4 994.5 64 37 25 48 0.56 8.1 * 98 65 2 994.1 58 32 19 40 0.17 7.4 * 96 63 2 994.0 59 32 18 40 0.46 6.7 * 89 59 2 995.1 61 34 22 45 0.91 6.3 * 78 49 4 997.7 68 42 30 56 2.24 6.5 * 80 50 4 1012.5 82 51 36 70 0.27 9.1 SW 88 55 2 1011.2 79 47 31 65 0.12 9.7 SW 93 58 1 1011.0 77 47 29 62 0.05 8.9 SSW 92 58 1 1011.2 78 50 29 64 0.07 8.5 SW 87 56 2 1011.3 78 50 31 65 0.37 7.4 SW 78 50 3 1014.5 80 57 38 70 1.08 6.4 SW 67 50 5 1015.0 84 64 60 79 0.19 13.4 W 70 53 4 1014.3 85 63 58 80 0.11 14.0 W 72 54 3 1014.2 86 65 59 82 0.03 13.6 NW 72 55 3 1013.9 87 67 61 83 0.05 12.8 NW 74 55 3 1013.6 84 66 59 80 0.20 11.1 NW 70 52 4 1015.8 82 68 59 77 1.22 9.4 WNW 84 54 3 1001.6 72 43 26 50 0.30 8.1 NW 93 60 2 1000.5 65 39 23 44 0.08 8.3 NW 99 65 1 1000.4 61 38 22 41 0.01 7.4 NW 97 64 1 1000.4 66 41 25 46 0.03 6.8 NW 90 59 2 1000.8 72 45 28 52 0.24 6.1 NW 80 51 3 1003.9 78 52 34 64 0.53 5.2 NW 68 46 4 * 91 60 61 87 0.20 8.3 WNW 71 50 4 * 92 61 60 88 0.03 7.9 WNW 73 53 3 * 88 63 61 86 0.01 6.5 WNW 74 54 4 * 93 65 62 91 0.05 6.2 W 75 52 4 * 91 63 63 89 0.30 5.9 W 74 48 4 * 85 57 62 85 0.49 6.2 W 85 57 3 995.4 55 39 26 40 0.20 7.9 NW 92 64 2 994.8 50 35 23 34 0.10 7.9 NW 99 70 1 994.7 48 33 22 33 0.01 7.2 NW 97 69 1 994.7 53 37 24 38 0.09 6.8 NW 90 64 2 995.0 57 41 28 144 0.17 6.2 WNW 81 55 3 998.4 63 46 33 52 0.29 5.5 NW Table 2.5-1 May-October Climate Summaries for Selected Central California Cities (1961-1990 means) CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 2-75 N wind, no marine air, more typical in winter Persistent Lo off coast of SoCal or Mex Hits SV and/or N SJV; not S SJV Off the Southern California Coast Trough moves thru CA, NW-erlies follow Includes Hi over Mexico Includes Lo over Mexico Trough moving on-shore West-to-East flow Broad ridge centered off-shore, sea breeze Off-shore Hi North of LA Off-shore Hi on or below latitude of LA Can have a cut-off Lo, but check monsoonal Southeast flow brings gulf moisture Description (Comments on subtypes if needed) Ridge, off-shore gradient, weaker sea breeze Includes Hi over Northern California Chapter 2: Basis for Study Day May-Oct Month Most Count Frequency Likely 113 20.5% 7 1.3% Sep 29 5.3% Aug 46 8.3% Aug 31 5.6% Aug 49 8.9% 8 1.4% Oct 19 3.4% Jun 22 4.0% Oct 31 5.6% 30 5.4% Jul 1 0.2% Jul (1case) 85 15.4% 29 5.3% May 43 7.8% June 13 2.4% May 102 18.5% 39 7.1% Jun 53 9.6% Aug 10 1.8% May 142 25.7% 91 16.5% May 15 2.7% June 31 5.6% Oct 5 0.9% Sep 0.5% Sep 3 4.9% Aug 27 Table 2.5-2 Meteorological Scenarios by Weather Map Inspection Meteorological Scenario Type Name I Western U.S. Hi Pacific NW Hi Ia Great Basin Hi Ib Four Corners Hi Ic Central or SoCal Hi Id II Eastern Pacific Hi North Hi (North of LA) IIa South Hi (LA or below) IIb w/ Cut-Off Lo to S IIc III Monsoonal Flow IIIa Cut-Off Lo IIIb No Cut-Off Lo IV Zonal IVa Whole CA Coast IVb Hi in SE Pac or Mex IVc Lo in SE Pac or Mex V Pre-Frontal Whole CA Coast Va North CA Coast Vb Cut-off Lo Vc VI Trough Passage VIa Whole CA Coast VIb North CA Coast VIc NW-erlies after trough VId Cut-off Lo VII Continental High VIII El Nino Cut-Off Lo CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 2-76 NC MC * * 7% * * * * * * * 3% * 3% * 8% * 2% * * 2% * * * * * * * 8% * * * * 3% 9% * 3% 7% * * * * * * * 17% 17% 3% * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 5% * N MC S N S 29% 14% 7% 13% 7% 9% * * 5% 8% * 2% * 3% 9% 8% * 5% * 71% 59% 24% 61% N 86% 83% 83% 97% SJV C 71% 86% 70% 90% S 14% * 21% 45% 11% 39% 23% 65% SCC MD * * * * * * * * * 8% 13% * 5% 9% 11% 13% 2% 2% * 10% 50% 10% * 3% 10% 10% * 7% 14% 56% 40% 2% 19% 15% 46% 46% 8% 15% 43% 83% 77% 7% 47% (1) (1) (1) * (1) * * * * * * 1% 3% * * * * * * * 7% 33% 27% * 7% 10% * * * 3% * 26% 23% * * 40% 40% * * * * * * * * 33% * * * * 33% 67% 67% * * 11% 7% 7% * * 4% 63% 44% * 7% 18% 12% 14% 4.5% 2.7% 17% 42% 38% 5.4% 18% * * * * * * * 9% 8% 4% 8% * 20% * 10% 10% * 10% * * 8% 14% 7% 7% 13% SFB NCC 38% * * 38% 25% 25% 63% 63% 63% 13% 25% 16% 11% 5% 21% 16% 11% 16% 68% 53% 16% 32% 23% 36% 32% 14% 5% * 23% 55% 45% 5% 23% 43% 48% 26% 58% SV 3% 47% 50% 40% 17% 10% * (1) (1) (1) (1) * * * * Chapter 2: Basis for Study (Sub)Basin Frequency of 8hr Exceedance Days * 14% 71% 57% 29% 3% * 62% 45% 31% * * 39% 41% 35% 6% * 61% 61% 29% SCC MD NC 14% * 55% * 24% 2% 84% * S 13% 25% 13% * 11% 32% * 18% 9% 57% 59% 35% 61% SJV C * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 7% * * * * * * * * * 3% * * * * * * * * * 20% * * * * * * * * * 67% * * * * 11% 4% * * 4% 26% 3.4% 2.9% 0.0% 2.0% 14% 14% 0.4% 0.7% 1.1% 20% * * * * * * * * * 25% 13% * 5% * * 14% 21% 2% 3% * * * * 14% 17% 2% 19% 29% 10% 9% 10% N SFB NCC S SV (Sub)Basin Frequency of 1hr Exceedance Days Table 2.5-3 Basin and Subbasin Exceedance Frequencies by Meteorological Scenario Type Name N S N I Western U.S. Hi Pacific NW Hi * 14% * * Ia Great Basin Hi * 7% 3% 3% Ib Four Corners Hi * 4% * * Ic Central or SoCal Hi * 13% * * Id II Eastern Pacific Hi * * * * IIa North Hi * * * * IIb South Hi * * * * IIc w/ Cut-Off Lo to S III Monsoonal Flow 3% * 7% 7% IIIa Cut-Off Lo * * * * IIIb No Cut-Off Lo IV Zonal * * * * IVa Whole CA Coast * * * * IVb Hi in SE Pac * * * * IVc Lo in SE Pac V Pre-Frontal * * * * Va Whole CA Coast * * * * Vb North CA Coast * * * * Vc Cut-off Lo VI Trough Passage * * * * VIa Whole CA Coast * * * * VIb North CA Coast * * * * VIc NW-erlies after trough * * * * VId Cut-off Lo * * * * VII Continental High * * * * VIII El Nino Cut-Off Lo Exceedance Frequency (all) 0.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.5% Scenario CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 2-77 Table 2.5-4 High-Ozone Episodes Identified by the Local Districts for Ozone Seasons 1996-98 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Episode Bay Area SJV Sacto Northern Sierra San Luis Obispo County O3 Rank month day year O3 Rank # month day year O3 Rank month day year O3 Rank month day year O3 Rank month day year 6 2 96 121 9 1 6 3 96 128 6 4 96 99 96 0.105 2 2 6 10 6 11 96 96 6 12 96 6 13 96 6 14 96 6 15 96 6 16 96 6 17 6 29 96 121 6 3 6 30 96 131 7 1 96 137 7 2 96 72 5 96 0.111 1 4 8 7 7 6 96 0.14 7 6 96 7 7 96 7 7 96 7 8 96 7 8 96 7 9 96 7 9 96 7 10 96 7 10 96 96 7 11 96 7 12 96 7 13 96 7 14 96 7 15 96 7 16 96 7 17 10 7 21 96 0.106 3 5 7 22 96 125 7 22 96 96 132 7 23 96 7 23 96 128 7 24 96 7 24 96 137 7 25 96 7 25 96 109 5 7 25 7 26 96 145 7 26 96 7 26 96 96 116 7 27 96 7 27 96 7 28 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 2-78 11 Chapter 2: Basis for Study 94 130 150 144 148 133 154 151 125 106 152 165 157 131 126 162 163 151 129 5 4 7 8 29 8 30 8 31 96 0.13 96 96 96 0.16 96 96 96 96 96 8 12 8 13 8 14 8 22 8 23 8 24 96 0.15 96 96 96 8 7 8 8 8 9 8 10 9 3 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 1 2 3 4 5 6 21 22 23 24 97 0.101 97 97 97 97 97 97 97 0.108 97 97 97 97 97 96 0.104 96 96 96 9 5 4 8 12 8 13 8 14 8 8 8 9 8 10 96 96 96 96 96 96 141 1 Sacto Northern Sierra San Luis Obispo County O3 Rank month day year O3 Rank month day year O3 Rank month day year O3 Rank Table 2.5-4 (cont.) High-Ozone Episodes Identified by the Local Districts for Ozone Seasons 1996-98 Episode Bay Area SJV # month day year O3 Rank month day year 6 7 27 96 83 8 7 28 96 129 7 29 96 124 7 5 8 6 96 8 7 96 81 8 7 96 8 8 96 133 8 8 96 8 9 96 138 8 9 96 8 10 96 137 8 10 96 8 11 96 117 8 11 96 8 12 96 8 13 96 8 14 96 8 8 21 96 8 22 96 8 23 96 8 24 96 8 25 96 9 8 28 96 8 29 96 8 30 96 8 31 96 9 1 96 10 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 2-79 16 15 14 13 2 3 4 5 8 11 8 12 8 13 8 8 8 8 7 17 7 18 7 19 110 142 144 104 98 120 98 147 98 106 98 98 98 98 98 78 98 147 98 114 1 3 2 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 10 11 12 13 14 2 3 4 5 6 7 16 17 18 19 20 21 98 98 98 98 98 98 98 98 98 98 98 98 98 98 98 98 98 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Sacto Northern Sierra San Luis Obispo County O3 Rank month day year O3 Rank month day year O3 Rank month day year O3 Rank 9 8 4 97 0.15 6 0.108 10 126 8 5 97 8 5 97 141 8 6 97 8 6 97 146 8 7 97 8 7 97 147 8 8 97 8 8 97 103 8 9 97 8 10 97 7 7 98 105 7 7 8 98 133 3 7 16 98 0.15 1 129 2 165 7 17 98 7 17 98 158 7 18 98 7 18 98 147 7 19 98 7 19 98 145 119 6 7 31 98 0.16 2 0.101 6 114 3 8 1 98 8 1 98 121 8 2 98 8 2 98 8 2 98 143 8 3 98 8 3 98 8 3 98 153 8 4 98 8 4 98 8 4 98 162 8 5 98 8 5 98 8 5 98 156 8 6 98 8 6 98 127 8 7 98 8 8 98 2 8 9 98 0.15 5 0.109 8 108 6 120 8 10 98 130 8 11 98 8 11 98 8 11 98 145 8 12 98 8 12 98 8 12 98 167 8 13 98 8 13 98 123 8 14 98 8 14 98 8 15 98 8 16 98 Table 2.5-4 (cont.) High-Ozone Episodes Identified by the Local Districts for Ozone Seasons 1996-98 Episode Bay Area SJV # month day year O3 Rank month day year 12 8 5 97 8 6 97 8 7 97 8 8 97 8 9 97 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 2-80 a Chapter 2: Basis for Study Ozone is expressed in the original units from the districts, either ppb or ppm. 9 9 9 9 9 9 20 21 22 23 24 25 98 0.115 98 98 98 98 98 7 9 11 9 12 9 13 98 100 98 98 8 Sacto Northern Sierra San Luis Obispo County O3 Rank month day year O3 Rank month day year O3 Rank month day year O3 Rank 112 8 143 135 150 127 132 1 8 27 98 0.15 4 8 27 98 114 4 150 8 28 98 8 28 98 154 8 29 98 8 29 98 161 8 30 98 8 30 98 156 8 31 98 169 9 1 98 9 1 98 153 9 2 98 9 2 98 119 9 3 98 9 3 98 Table 2.5-4 (cont.) High-Ozone Episodes Identified by the Local Districts for Ozone Seasons 1996-98 Episode Bay Area SJV # month day year O3 Rank month day year 17 8 21 98 8 22 98 8 23 98 8 24 98 8 25 98 18 4 8 27 98 8 28 98 101 8 28 98 8 29 98 131 8 29 98 8 30 98 76 8 30 98 8 31 98 9 1 98 117 9 1 98 9 2 98 139 9 2 98 9 3 98 130 9 3 98 9 4 98 75 19 7 9 12 98 116 9 13 98 136 9 14 98 63 20 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Table 2.5-5 Cluster Analysis Days by Cluster with Subjective Scenario Type Date 9/3/1998 9/2/1998 9/13/1998 6/3/1996 8/12/1996 8/4/1998 8/12/1998 8/8/1996 8/9/1996 8/10/1996 8/13/1996 8/29/1998 7/1/1996 7/6/1996 8/29/1996 8/6/1997 8/7/1997 7/18/1998 8/3/1998 8/31/1998 6/30/1996 7/28/1996 7/19/1998 8/22/1996 9/1/1998 8/24/1996 8/28/1998 7/26/1996 8/30/1996 8/31/1996 8/8/1997 8/6/1998 8/24/1998 8/30/1998 7/20/1998 SFBA 130 139 136 128 113 144 147 133 138 137 116 131 137 102 116 111 114 147 142 117 131 129 114 87 117 63 101 99 89 93 71 78 93 76 73 Basin/County Ozone (ppb) Subjective SV SJV MC NCC SLO Type 149 119 116 76 104 3a 145 153 144 87 102 1a 127 124 110 91 99 1a 113 126 105 114 91 1b 124 154 129 86 95 1b 148 153 126 101 114 1b 130 145 124 102 108 1b 110 150 121 118 95 1c 150 144 130 107 107 1c 113 148 103 94 141 1c 125 151 136 82 96 1c 111 154 124 103 101 1c 126 143 116 95 92 1d 129 129 119 85 88 1d 129 162 116 111 90 1d 143 141 118 89 90 1d 136 146 140 112 81 1d 104 158 112 124 103 1d 151 143 163 110 99 1d 133 156 122 79 94 2a 114 137 95 91 103 2b 93 121 94 72 77 3a 124 147 103 93 129 3a 102 152 117 85 95 1a 127 169 134 107 96 1a 118 157 122 81 77 1b 100 150 114 109 114 1b 100 145 106 76 109 1c 108 163 138 86 94 1d 102 151 95 81 70 1d 112 147 145 69 54 1d 122 156 114 44 93 1d 113 150 110 78 105 1d 118 161 114 90 108 1d 100 145 96 76 88 3a 2-81 Objective Cluster 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Table 2.5-5 (cont.) Cluster Analysis Days by Cluster with Subjective Scenario Type Date 8/23/1996 8/5/1998 8/13/1998 7/17/1998 8/14/1998 7/10/1996 9/4/1998 7/13/1996 SFBA 96 104 106 78 80 83 75 74 Basin/County Ozone (ppb) Subjective SV SJV MC NCC SLO Type 157 165 120 95 91 1b 160 164 143 74 99 1b 154 167 134 76 91 1b 154 165 124 88 113 1d 142 130 125 73 72 1d 130 134 120 86 77 3a 140 120 105 69 77 3a 135 126 120 74 72 4a Mean O3 Std. Error O3 109.0 3.8 126.1 2.8 147.0 2.1 120.0 2.3 89.3 2.4 95.2 2.4 C1_mean C1_stderr 128.3 2.7 127.3 3.3 143.7 2.6 120.3 3.3 96.6 2.9 100.0 2.9 C2_mean C2_stderr 86.7 4.4 110.2 2.8 153.8 2.2 117.1 4.5 81.8 4.9 91.9 5.1 C3_mean C3_stderr 87.0 4.6 146.5 3.9 146.4 7.3 123.9 3.9 79.4 3.2 86.5 5.2 2-82 Objective Cluster 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Table 2.5-6 Descriptive Statistics of Meteorological Parameters for Identified Clusters (Note: Table is work in progress, 9/7/99) Variable Missing Medians for Cluster p-Value Sig. Values 1 2 3 Temperature (F) SFO 0 77 71.5 68.5 0.002 ** SAC 0 103 99 100 0 *** SCK 18 104 96 100 0.002 ** RDD FAT BFL BI SM LI 850a 850 p Wind Speed (mph) SM BI BFL 107 103.5 103 104.5 103 103 103 102.5 101.5 98.5 92 91.5 100 102 78 78 92.5 93.5 77.5 76 93.5 94 78 76.5 3 9.6 7.5 9.7 9.1 11.7 10.7 7.3 12.5 15 SAC 6 6.8 15.7 12.7 SFO RDD SCK 850 a 850 p SUU 3 3 22 1 1 14.1 7.2 13.1 7.2 15.1 6.2 5.5 5 5.9 7 10 11.8 7 7 12.5 FAT 3 6.3 6.9 16.6 1000ft 10 3 Wind Direction 1000ft 10 260 850a 1 187.5 850p 1 235 Pressure Grad. (mb) sf-sac 20 1.7 sf-bfl 7 2.1 sf-rdd 5 1.5 4.5 5 2.6 2.4 2.1 Cluster 1 > Clust 2,3. Clust 1 contains all high temps. Cluster 1 > Clust 2,3. Clust 1 contains all high temps. Cluster 1 > Clust 2,3. Clust 1 contains all high temps. Many missing values Cluster 1 > Clust 2,3 0.062 0.254 0.496 0 *** Cluster 1 > Clust 2,3. Clust 1 contains all high temps. This temp variable gives best separation between Cluster 1 and Clusters 2 and 3. 0 *** Cluster 1 > Clust 2,3. Clust 1 contains all high temps. 0 *** Cluster 1 > Clust 2,3. Clust 1 contains all high temps. 0.696 Clusters very similar 0.212 0.052 * Cluster 3 < Clusters 1 or 2 0 *** Cluster 1 < Clusters 2 or 3 0.207 Although not sig., Cluster 3's winds are mainly high, while Clusters 1 and 2 are generally lower. 0.66 Although not sig., Cluster 1's winds are generally much lower than for 2 or 3. 0.226 0.594 0.388 0.016 * Cluster 1 < Cluster 3. Cluster 2 in middle 0 *** Cluster 1 < Clusters 2 or 3. Cluster 1 contains all ws < 6 mph. 0.492 Cluster 3 has much higher median winds but all have wide range 0.158 Cluster 3 has consistently higher winds 280 265 180 132.5 220 210 2.5 2.3 2.6 Comments (Sig. is significance: *=>95%; **>99%; ***>99.9%) Cluster 3 very concentrated in westerly direction All with predominantly easterly component All clusters similar 0.206 0.006 ** 2-83 Too many missing values Cluster 1 contains all the gradients <= 1 mb Cluster 1 < Cluster 2 or 3 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Table 2.7-1 Number of Exceedances and Ratios of 8-Hour and 1-Hour Parameters NC #_Stations reporting exceedances 1996-98 #_8HrExDays 1990-98 #_8HrExDays 1996-98 #_1HrExDays 1990-98 #_1HrExDays 1996-98 #_8hrExDays/#_1hrExDays Ratio 1990-98 #_8hrExDays/#_1hrExDays Ratio 1996-98 1hrMax_O3/8hrMax_O3 Ratio 1990-98 1hrMax_O3/8hrMax_O3 Ratio 1 6 7 1 1 6.0 7.0 1.15 1.19 MC 9 72 204 9 15 8.0 13.6 1.16 1.17 SV 22 79 256 18 64 4.4 4.0 1.19 1.21 Air Basin SFB NCC 17 4 20 15 49 31 14 0 28 2 1.4 * 1.8 * 1.34 1.21 1.34 1.23 Footnotes: SCC includes only San Lois Obispo stations and Atascadero, and Paso Robles. MD includes only Mojave–Pool St. station. 2-84 SJV 25 235 754 72 233 3.3 3.2 1.20 1.22 SCC 6 29 37 2 4 14.5 9.3 1.15 1.15 MD 1 100 175 4 4 25.0 43.8 1.17 1.17 Figure 2.1-1. Overall study domain with major landmarks, mountains and passes. CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study 2-85 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Figure 2.1-2. Major political boundaries and air basins within central California. 2-86 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Figure 2.1-3. Major population centers within central California. 2-87 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Figure 2.1-4. Land use within central California from the U.S. Geological Survey. 2-88 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Figure 2.1-5. Major highway routes in central California. 2-89 2-90 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.1 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.16 0.17 1991 1992 1993 1994 SVAB SJVAB NCC 1995 SFBA MCAB SCC 1996 1997 Ozone Trends - Annual Maximum of Daily 8hr Maxima 1998 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Figure 2.3-1. Annual basin maximum of 8-hour daily maximum ozone trends by location type. 1990 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Ozone 4th Hi in 3-year (ppm) 2-91 0.03 0.035 0.04 0.045 0.05 0.055 0.06 0.065 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 Rural Suburban Urban/City 1995 1996 Ozone Trends in Central California by Location Type Average 8-Hr Daily Ozone Maxima 1997 1998 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Figure 2.3-2. Average 8-hour daily maximum ozone trends in central California by location type. CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Ozone Concentration (ppm) 2-92 Mon Rural Tue Wed Suburban Thurs Fri Urban/City Center Sat (Error bars shown are plus and minus two standard errors for all observations, 1990-1998.) Weekend/Weekday Effect in Central California, 1990-1998 Average Daily 1-Hour Ozone Maxima by Location Type Sun Chapter 2: Basis for Study Figure 2.3-3. Weekend/weekday effect on average 1-hour daily maximum ozone in central California by location type. 0.045 0.05 0.055 0.06 0.065 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Average Ozone Concentration (ppm) CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study HCHO, RCHO O3 NO2 PAN CO, VOC RO2 HO NO2 HO2 HNO3 NO2 NO hν O3 Figure 2.6-1. Overview of ozone production in the troposphere. 2-93 H2O2 ROOH CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study 15000 A Z(m) 10000 5000 0 0.0 1 × 10-14 k cm3 molecule-1 s-1 15000 2 × 10-14 B Z(m) 10000 5000 0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 Uncertainty Factor 1.5 Figure 2.6-2. (A) Rate constant for the O3 + NO reaction with upper and lower bounds. (B) The uncertainty factor, f(T). Data are from DeMore et al. (1997). 2-94 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study 15000 A Z(m) 10000 5000 0 0.0 4 × 10-11 2 × 10-11 k cm3 molecule-1 s-1 15000 6 × 10-11 B Z(m) 10000 5000 0 2.0 2.5 3.0 Uncertainty Factor 3.5 Figure 2.6-3. (A) Rate constant for the CH3O2 + HO2 reaction with upper and lower bounds. (B) The uncertainty factor, f(T). Data from DeMore et al. (1997). 2-95 2-96 VOC Chapter 2: Basis for Study Figure 2.6-4. Atmospheric lifetimes of selected organic compounds with respect to a hydroxyl radical concentration of 7.5 × 106 molecules cm-3. 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Lifetime (hrs) methane ethane propane i-butane n-butane n-pentane 3-methylpentane 2,3 dimethylbutane n-propylbenzene 2-methylhexane n-heptane ethene n-octane methyloctanes n-decane benzaldehyde p-ethyltoluene n-undecane n-dodecane acetaldehyde proprionaldehyde m-xylene i-butyraldehyde 1-butene butene isomers 3-methyl-1-butene 1,2,4-trimethylbenzene 2-methyl-1-butene 2-methyl-2-butene CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study 1.5 × 10 -10 A 298 K 1.5 × 10 -10 216 K Isoprene 1,3 Butadiene 2 Methyl - 1 - Butene Propene 0.0 2 Methyl - 2 - Butene 5.0 × 10 -11 Ethene k HO, cm3 molecules-1 s-1 1.0 × 10 -10 B 1.0 × 10 -10 5.0 × 10 -11 0.0 Figure 2.6-5. Uncertainties in rate parameters for HO radical reactions with alkenes. The closed circles represent the nominal value while the crosses represent the approximate 1σ; (A) 298 K; (B) 216 K. 2-97 2-98 CH3O2 + NO O1D + O2 HO2 + MO2 O1D + H2O O3 + HO2 O1D + N2 CO + HO ALD + HO Reaction CHO + hv -> HO2 HO + KET HO2 + CH3CO3 HO + HC5 HO + HC3 HO + RNO3 HO + HCHO CH3CO3 + NO O3 + hv -> O1D HO + CH4 CH3CO3 + NO2 HO2 + NO O3 + NO HO + NO2 PAN -> NO2 + hv Figure 2.6-6. Relative sensitivity of ozone to reaction rate constants. Initial total reactive nitrogen concentration is 2 ppb and total initial organic compound concentration is 50 ppbC (Stockwell et al. 1995). 0% 5% 10% [Ozone] Relative Sensitivity 15% 20% Chapter 2: Basis for Study HO + HC8 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 HO + CH3CO3H Other Reactions 0.0 Formaldehyde 1,3-Butadiene Propene Isoprene Propionaldehyde Acetaldehyde 1,2,4-TMB Ethene 3-M-cyclopentene 2-M-2-Butene m,p-Xylene o-Xylene 2-M-1-Butene M-cyclopentane Toluene Ethylbenzene Ethanol MEK 2-M-pentane Methanol Butane 2,2,4-Tri-M-pentane MTBE Benzene Ethane Methane MIR (ppm O3 /ppm C) CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 Figure 2.6-7. Mean values and 1σ uncertainties of maximum incremental reactivity values for selected hydrocarbons determined from Monte Carlo simulations (Yang et al., 1995). 2-99 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Figure 2.8-1. Plot of 1-hr ozone concentrations over central California at noon on the second simulated day. The area directly west of the San Francisco Bay Area has ozone concentrations near 120 ppb while high ozone concentrations are found along and directly west of the San Joaquin valley. 0 40 80 O3 ppb 2-100 120 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Figure 2.8-2. Plot of 1-hr ozone concentrations in central California at midnight after two simulated days. Note that the western boundary and the San Joaquin Valley have ozone concentrations near 40 ppb or less. 0 40 80 O3 ppb 2-101 120 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Figure 2.8-3. Plot of 1-hr ozone concentrations in central California at noon on the third simulated day. The high ozone pattern is more complicated with several ozone hot spots one directly west of the San Francisco Bay Area with two more directly to the north and south. High ozone concentrations are found also along and directly west and south of the San Joaquin valley. 0 40 80 O3 ppb 2-102 120 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Figure 2.8-4. Plot of 1-hr ozone concentrations in the vertical along a north – south cross section through the center of central California. The vertical coordinate is linear in pressure following coordinates which exaggerates the apparent height. Plot A shows the ozone concentrations at noon on the second day and Plot B shows the ozone concentrations at midnight after two simulated days. The high ozone concentrations at noon, Plot A, and the low ozone concentrations at midnight, Plot B, are found over the Sacramento area. A North South B North South 0 40 80 O3 ppb 2-103 120 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Figure 2.8-5. Plot of 1-hr ozone concentrations in the vertical along a west – east cross section through central California along a line running from the San Francisco Bay Area through Sacramento to the front range. The vertical coordinate is linear in pressure following coordinates which exaggerates the apparent height. Plot A shows the ozone concentrations at noon on the second day, Plot B shows them at 6:00 PM on the second day and Plot C shows them at midnight after two simulated days. The plots show evidence of transport of ozone and NOx from the west to the east. A West East West East West East B C 0 40 80 O3 ppb 2-104 120 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Figure 2.8-6. Plot of formaldehyde concentrations at midnight after two simulated days. Note that the western boundary has around 5 ppb of HCHO. These high HCHO concentrations appear to be due to transport from the model’s boundary. 0 2 4 HCHO ppb 2-105 6 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 2: Basis for Study Figure 2.8-7. Plot of NO concentrations at 1:00 PM on the second simulated day. Note that the western boundary has over 0.5 ppb of NO. These moderate NO concentrations for over the ocean appear to be due to transport from the model’s boundary. 0 1 NO ppb 2-106 2 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 3.0 Chapter 3: Data Requirements REQUIREMENTS FOR AIR QUALITY MODELING SYSTEMS AND DATA ANALYSIS Data requirements for CCOS are determined by the need to drive and evaluate the performance of modeling systems, which include the following components. 1) Meteorological model, which provides winds fields, vertical profiles of temperature and humidity, and other physical parameters in a gridded structure. 2) Emissions inventory and supporting models that provide gridded emissions for area sources such as on- and off- road motor vehicles and vegetation. 3) Air quality model, which simulates the chemical and physical processes involved in the formation and accumulation of ozone. In evaluating modeling system performance, the primary concern is replicating the physical and chemical processes associated with actual ozone episodes. This necessitates the collection of suitable meteorological, emissions, and air quality data that pertain to these episodes. The data requirements of CCOS are also driven by a need for complementary, independent and corroborative data analysis so that modeling results can be compared to current conceptual understanding of the phenomena replicated by the model. This section describes the data requirements for meteorological and air quality models and for developing temporally and spatially resolved emissions inventories of reactive organic compounds and nitrogen oxides. The input data required for each modeling component (Section 3.1) are described separately from the data required to evaluate model performance and validity of modeling results (Section 3.2). Section 3.3 describes the potential approaches and methods for observation-based data analysis and verification of emission inventories. 3.1 Modeling System Inputs The output of the meteorological model and gridded emission inventory serve as inputs to the air quality model. Meteorological modeling and emission inventory development are discussed first in Sections 3.1.1 and 3.1.2, and the output of these first two components of the modeling system are discussed in the context of inputs to the air quality model in Section 3.1.3. 3.1.1 Meteorological Modeling The specification of the meteorological fields that drive the transport and dispersion of atmospheric pollutants is the critical component in mesoscale air quality modeling. The primary objective is to obtain wind fields over the model grid and determine mechanical and convective mixing depths. The simplest way is to use field measurements and interpolate the values over the entire domain. However, field measurements are generally spatially and temporarily sparse, and can be especially inadequate in areas with complex terrain and land-sea interactions. Another way is to use a diagnostic meteorological model to estimate meteorological fields from existing data and then to adjust these fields with a prognostic model containing dynamically consistent parameterizations of physical processes. And best results are often achieved when the methods 3-1 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements are combined such that interpolated or gridded field measurements are used as input to a prognostic model at regular time intervals in the model simulation in a process called FourDimensional Data Assimilation (4DDA). After a general description of this process and a few of the models involved, specific data requirements for setup of and input to the meteorological model are listed. Transport and the dynamics and thermodynamics of the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) govern dispersion of atmospheric pollutants. The main difficulties in dispersion estimates arise with topographic complexity and increasing atmospheric stability. Turbulence in the ABL is created by wind shear and destroyed by buoyancy and dissipation. Since these effects are nearly balanced in the stable ABL, turbulence intensities are usually low and intermittent. In some cases of stagnant stable conditions the horizontal diffusion of the plume can be of the same magnitude or larger than the actual transport. Moreover, turbulent velocities are frequently affected by gravity waves and the stable ABL undergoes non-stationary evolution. Additional dispersion due to wave phenomena also needs to be resolved. During stable conditions the ABL flow usually decouples from the synoptic winds and the local circulations dominate its flows. In some cases a low-level jet can develop at the top of the surface stable layer and the fate of pollutants at various elevated layers can be completely different over a very small vertical separation. In contrast, during stable and stagnant conditions the winds close to the surface are weak and sometimes below the detection limit of usual instrumentation. Radiation and advection can also cause fog and cloud formation and significantly change the rate of chemical reactions for some species and deposition processes. The depth of the stable ABL is of the order of 100 m, and radiation processes, as well as local effects such as urban effects, vegetation, soil properties, and small-scale topographic features, can significantly influence ABL characteristics. Plume meandering is frequently observed during stable conditions in topographically complex terrain, and use of data from limited measurement sites can yield erroneous conclusions. All these effects significantly modify transport and dispersion as well as removal of pollutants. Consequently, an extensive measurement network is necessary in order to capture the spatial and temporal structure of the ABL in a mesoscale domain. The success in any type of dispersion calculation will be limited to appropriate capture and input of atmospheric parameters. One of the diagnostic models recommended for this study is CALMET. Wind fields in CALMET are calculated in a user specified number of vertical levels by taking into account the influence of terrain on the atmospheric flow and applying an inverse weighting scheme. The initial terrain-adjusted domain mean horizontal components of the wind at each grid point are modified to obtain the final interpolated wind components. CALMET can calculate a spatially variable initial guess field using objective analysis of the measurements. Moreover, CALMET allows use of gridded wind fields created by a prognostic atmospheric model, such as the Penn State University Meteorological Model (MM4, MM5), as “initial guess” fields or as substitutes for observations. CALMET has detailed algorithms for the depth of the convective layer as a function of the potential temperature lapse rate in the layer above the mixing depth, the time step, and the temperature discontinuity at the top of the mixed layer. The daytime mechanical mixing depth is determined from the Coriolis parameter, the friction velocity and the Brunt-Vaisala frequency in the stable layer above the mixed layer. The nighttime depth of mechanical mixing is determined from the friction velocity. CALMET uses an upwind-positioned averaging scheme 3-2 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements to smooth out the mixing depths through use of determined weighting factors. Since CALMET has detailed algorithms for wind fields and mixing depth, and furthermore allows initialization with the output from the prognostic atmospheric model, it is an optimum tool for obtaining the initial meteorological fields necessary for estimation of transport, dispersion, and chemical transformation of atmospheric pollutants. Based on the complexity of terrain in northern and central California, the MM5 model developed by Penn State University and the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) represents an appropriate tool for resolving dynamics and thermodynamics if used on the scale of 1-2 km horizontal resolution with nesting capabilities. It should include a nonhydrostatic option and full parameterization of physical processes including turbulent transfer. MM5 uses an advanced four-dimensional data assimilation scheme connected to either measurements or synoptic fields. However, uncertainty exists as to the extent to which MM5 can be used to infer turbulence properties in complex terrain. Some advantages in using a prognostic model such as MM5 are: • High resolution in horizontal and vertical directions. • Topography with resolution of 30 seconds embedded within the model structure. • Detailed prognostic fields of meteorological parameters (wind, temperature, humidity, turbulence, radiation, and clouds). • Physically-based estimate of mixing depth in both convective and stable cases, with full spatial and temporal variability. • Detailed structure of the small-scale local flows that cannot be resolved through simplified parameterization. • Detailed vertical structure of meteorological parameters and stability, which is especially important near sources and receptors and along the transport path. Some disadvantages in using a prognostic modeling approach are: • The models are fairly complex and expensive to run. Usually they are limited to certain case studies. • The models have assumptions in simplification of basic differential equations and numerical techniques and in the parameterizations of physical processes. Meteorological modeling for the CCOS must focus on the characterization of the origin and fate of atmospheric pollutants in central California. The main difficulties are due to complex terrain and a number of significant sources within the large region and its surroundings. Integration with dispersion models may also be a problem. It is also desirable that atmospheric modeling adequately treat formation and evolution of fog and clouds, which are essential determinants for liquid-phase chemistry, that may be important in coastal regions or during precipitation events that may clean the air after ozone episodes (e.g., monsoonal flow in the San 3-3 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements Joaquin Valley). However, these processes are often not well-represented over a large scale domain like that planned for CCOS. Despite these difficulties, atmospheric models are useful tools in understanding the structure and evolution of boundary layer dynamics and providing meteorological fields as input for dispersion models. The results from wind field modeling will be used as input for dispersion and chemical modeling of relevant pollutants also for the entire intensive study period. Necessary decisions and data requirements for the setup of the meteorological model include: • Domain size (coordinates in latitude and longitude or UTM). • Topographic information for the orography of the domain. • Spatial resolution, i.e., grid size, and any nesting of grids of different sizes. • Land use per surface grid square with information on soil moisture, albedo, roughness height, and vegetation. Typical land use categories include high rise urban, residential, deciduous forestland and evergreen forest categories. Surface resistances and deposition velocities are a function of land use and vegetation data. Measurements of deposition for important species over representative categories of land use and vegetation type are planned for a subsequent follow-on study after summer 2000. Necessary and/or highly desired field measurements for input to the meteorological model include: • Routine surface network measurements of wind speed and direction, temperature, humidity, pressure, solar radiation, and precipitation. • Routine aloft network measurements of wind speed and direction by radiosonde and existing radar wind profilers (RWP), and sodars; of temperature by RWP with Radio Acoustic Sounding Systems (RASS), of humidity and pressure by radiosonde, and of precipitation by WSR-88D (NEXRAD), which can also provide some wind information as a radial component of the Doppler radar beam). • Supplemental measurements as part of the CCOS and CRPAQS study design. These may include: additional surface and upper sites making routine measurements listed above, turbulence by sonic anemometer (CRPAQS 100-m tower at Angiola), actinic flux for photolysis of key species, and soil moisture for key land use types. 3.1.2 Emission Inventory Development For a study covering as large of an area as CCOS, the development of the emission inventory will be a major effort. In addition to the size of the study domain, the emission inventory required for modeling is more detailed than the routine summer seasonal emission inventory. The emission inventory (EI) needed to support the CCOS modeling will be a series of 3-4 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements day-specific, hourly, gridded emission inventories that cover each day of the ozone episodes captured during the field study. To help coordinate the EI development effort, the Emission Inventory Coordination Group (EICG) has been established to determine the process for preparing the emission inventories needed to support air quality modeling for CCOS. Participants in the group include many local air districts, several local councils of government, Caltrans, California Energy Commission, and the ARB. Local air districts participating to date include San Joaquin Valley Unified APCD, Bay Area AQMD, Sacramento Metropolitan AQMD, Mendocino County AQMD, Northern Sierra AQMD, Yolo-Solano AQMD, Placer County APCD, San Luis Obispo County APCD, and Monterey Bay Unified APCD. Other local air districts will also be participating. There are about 30 districts in the CCOS modeling domain. Each local air district in the state updates a portion of the emission inventory for their area. An emission inventory is needed to estimate emissions for each day that will be modeled in the summer of 2000. Table 3.1-1 provides a preliminary outline of the proposed roles and responsibilities of the various agencies and groups involved in the development of the emission inventory. Special effort is being made to assist smaller districts that have limited staffing resources. The following subsections discuss point, area, on-road, and biogenic sources; and emissions forecasts, a two-track approach for the modeling schedule, quality controls, and proposed studies for the EI development effort 3.1.2.1 Point Sources The local air districts have primary responsibility for controlling stationary sources of air pollution within their jurisdictions. In fulfilling this responsibility, the districts issue permits, inspect and evaluate point sources, and estimate emissions for these sources. Point source emissions occur at facilities that can be identified by name and location. Generally, facilities with emissions greater than 10 tons per year of any pollutant are reported as point sources. Districts may include smaller facilities in their point source inventory if they choose. The emissions from smaller facilities that fall below the point source reporting threshold are estimated as part of the area source emission inventory. Districts gather information from their point sources and generally update the inventory annually. Point sources are estimated using a “bottom up” approach. Point source activity levels usually relate to a facility-specific process rate. Emission factors are derived from tests that relate emissions to the process causing the emissions. The districts then pass the emissions and other related information to ARB. The statewide point source emission estimates are stored and maintained in the California Emission Inventory Development and Reporting System (CEIDARS). Modeling inventories require more data than are needed to calculate seasonal or annual average emissions. For point sources, the location in UTM coordinates is used to place the emissions within a grid cell. Temporal data are used to adjust the annual emissions for a particular month, day and hour. Stack data such as height, diameter, exit temperature and velocity are used to estimate the plume rise from the stack to place the emissions in the correct vertical cell of the model. 3-5 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements The local air districts and, if needed, private contractors will gather day-specific point source data. The local districts will gather information from large point sources, particularly those that have significant seasonal variations and the one(s) selected for plume characterization studies. The CCOS EICG will agree upon a standard emission reporting threshold for collecting day-specific, and when available hourly specific, point source emission information for all districts in the CCOS domain. Air districts will have the option to report day-specific data below the standard threshold. For the remaining point sources for which day-specific data are not collected, the ARB will use facility-specific information contained in CEIDARS. The emissions are adjusted to represent a specific month and a specific day of the week (a Tuesday in August, for example). Daily emissions are distributed over each hour. These adjustments are based on temporal profiles that are stored in CEIDARS. Each district assigns temporal profiles using survey data or knowledge of the source. The local districts and the ARB will work through the EICG to develop comprehensive point source updates for 1999 and 2000 emission inventories. 3.1.2.2 Area Sources There are currently approximately 360 emission source categories for which area source methods are used to estimate emissions. These categories include both stationary and off-road mobile sources. The source categories are divided into four types of emission sources. Aggregated point sources are many small point sources, or facilities, that are not inventoried individually but are estimated as a group and reported as a single source category. Examples include gas stations and dry cleaners. Area-wide sources include source categories associated with human activity and emissions take place over a wide geographic area. The emissions data are developed only at the aggregated level. Consumer products and agricultural operations are examples of area-wide sources. Natural (non-anthropogenic) sources generally include source categories with naturally occurring emissions such as geogenic sources and wildfires. Off-road mobile sources include categories such as farm equipment, off-road recreational vehicles, and aircraft. Collectively, these types of sources are referred to as area sources. Emissions from area sources are generally estimated using a “top down” approach. This approach generally uses a process rate or amount of a substance being used multiplied by an emission factor. An example of a process rate for dry cleaners would be the amount of perchloroethylene used in a county. Emissions are estimated for each county. ARB and the districts generally update the emissions from area sources once every three years. Updates are based on the latest data available including surveys and the results of research projects. The statewide area source emission estimates are stored and maintained in CEIDARS. The ARB staff is responsible for developing methods and estimating emissions from over 260 categories. The local air districts are responsible for developing methods and estimating emissions for the remaining categories. The local districts also have the prerogative to use their own methods for area source categories that are normally the responsibility of ARB. ARB’s Mobile Source Division is developing an off-road mobile source emission inventory model, OFFROAD, which will be used to calculate the emissions from off-road mobile sources. The ARB and the local districts will work together through the CCOS EICG to revise and/or update all major area source categories for use in preparing the 1999 and 2000 emission inventories. 3-6 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements To grid area sources, emissions for a particular source category are spatially distributed within a county through the use of surrogates. In this context, a surrogate is an economic or demographic parameter, which is correlated to emissions for a particular source category and has a known spatial distribution. Some common surrogates used for this purpose are population, housing units, and employment. As with point sources, temporal data are used to adjust the annual emissions for a particular month, day and hour. Annual emissions from all sources are checked for reasonableness and completeness. The gridding surrogates are planned for update as part of the CCOS emission inventory development process. Day-specific data can also be collected for area source categories. For this study, data will be collected for wildfires, agricultural burns and prescribed burns. ARB will gather information needed to estimate wildfire emissions including the date, time, and location of the burn along with the amount and type of material burned. Either the local districts or a contractor will collect similar information for agricultural and prescribed burns. 3.1.2.3 On-Road Motor Vehicle Sources The ARB has primary responsibility for developing emission estimates for on-road mobile sources. On-road mobile sources are motor vehicles that travel on public roads. This category consists of gasoline-powered and diesel-powered passenger cars, light-duty trucks (6,000 lbs. gross vehicle weight [GVW] or less), medium-duty trucks (6,001-8,500 lbs. GVW), heavy-duty trucks (over 8,500 lbs. GVW), urban buses, and motorcycles. Emissions from motor vehicles include exhaust, evaporative, crankcase, and tire-wear emissions. The Mobile Source Division of the ARB develops emission factors for California. The Emission Inventory Branch of the Planning and Technical Support Division of the ARB has the responsibility for developing the motor vehicle activity components such as vehicle miles traveled (VMT), starts, and vehicle population, which are used by the models. The emission factor model to be used for the on-road motor vehicle inventory is EMFAC99. This model, which is expected to be approved by the ARB in October 1999, is an integrated, modular system of programs. These modules perform the functions of the computer programs CALIMFAC, WEIGHT, EMFAC and BURDEN that were used in previous versions of the model. Although the EMFAC99 modules have been integrated into a single program, the functions of EMFAC99 will be discussed in terms of the individual modules to make it easier to understand the model. The “CALifornia Inspection/Maintenance emission FACtor” (CALIMFAC) module computes base emission rates for each technology group, with and without inspection and maintenance (I/M) benefits. The base emission rates consist of a zero mile rate and a deterioration rate for each model year for each pollutant. The “EMission FACtor” (EMFAC) module computes fleet composite emission factors by vehicle class, speed, ambient temperature, emissions process and technology for a calendar year. The WEIGHT module provides EMFAC with activity weighting fractions for individual model years so that the fleet composite emission factors can be produced. The WEIGHT module also provides the accumulated mileage by model year for any particular calendar year in order to calculate the “deteriorated” emission rate for a model year. The BURDEN module calculates the emission estimates (in tons per day) by multiplying the composite emission factors from EMFAC by activity estimates. Vehicle miles 3-7 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements traveled, vehicle type distribution, the number of registered vehicles, and speed distributions, which are the input data for the BURDEN module, are obtained from the California Department of Motor Vehicles (DMV) and the California Department of Transportation (Caltrans). Transportation data also are provided by the local councils of government (COGs). The BURDEN module selects the proper emission rate according to the speed, ambient temperature, relative humidity, and heavy-duty I/M benefits of a county or sub-region of a county. Motor vehicle emission rates consist of exhaust emissions of TOG, CO and NOx from running and continuous starts and TOG emissions from hot soak, diurnal, running and resting evaporative processes. Running exhaust emissions include emissions from the tailpipe and through the crankcase after the vehicle has warmed up and has reached a stabilized mode of operation. Running exhaust emissions also include exhaust particulate matter and particulate matter from tire wear. Exhaust emissions from continuous starts result from operation of the vehicle before the engine has reached the stabilized mode of operation. Continuous starts replace the concept of hot and cold starts used in older versions of the model. The continuous start rate is a function of the engine time off. This is estimated in increments of 1, 5, 10, 20, 40, 60, 90…720 minutes, with the 1 minute rate being very close to a hot stabilized value, and the rate for 720 minutes being essentially a cold start. Hot soak emissions result from gasoline vaporization from elevated engine and exhaust temperatures after the engine is turned off at the end of a trip. Emissions for the running exhaust and running evaporative processes are assumed to be proportional to vehicle miles traveled. The emission rates for hot soaks and continuous starts are expressed in terms of grams per start rather than as grams per vehicle mile traveled. Diurnal evaporative emissions are expressed in terms of grams per vehicle and result from the daily changes in the ambient temperature due to expansion of the air-fuel mixture in a partially filled fuel tank. Running evaporative losses are releases of gasoline vapor from the fuel system during vehicle operation. Resting loss evaporative emissions are due to fuel line hose or fuel tank permeation. There are two ways of characterizing inventories available from the ARB: daily average and planning. The average daily emissions are expressed as an emission rate in tons per average day, determined by dividing annual emissions by 365. Countywide and basinwide totals are provided by source categories. This inventory is updated and published annually by the ARB. EMFAC99 can produce planning inventories that take into account the effects of diurnal and seasonal variations in temperature and activity patterns. The planning inventories from EMFAC99 will provide emission estimates for various periods specified by the user. Hourly resolution will be possible during an average summer day, winter day, season, month or annual average. The Direct Travel Impact Model (DTIM) is the analog to EMFAC99’s BURDEN module for gridded inventories. DTIM was developed jointly by Caltrans and the ARB. DTIM is designed to use the output of travel demand models as its activity input for vehicle miles traveled, trips (or starts) and speed distributions. These activity estimates from the travel demand model are at the individual link or zone level and therefore provide spatial allocations for motor vehicle emissions. DTIM applies the same fleet composite emission factors to the motor vehicle activity, as does the BURDEN module. The user defines an input file of parameters such as hourly temperatures by grid cell to calculate and distribute emissions into the grid system. Data are provided by the COGs, particularly the numbers of trips by zone, volumes 3-8 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements of vehicles by link, and link-specific speed estimates. Factors to allocate trip and VMT estimates from the model to individual hours are also an input to DTIM. 3.1.2.4 Biogenic Sources Many studies suggest that VOC emissions from plants may play a role in the formation of ozone and fine particulate matter. Unfortunately, biogenic hydrocarbons remain a potentially large and yet not well understood source of emissions. The ARB has developed a GIS-based biogenic hydrocarbon emissions inventory model (BEIGIS) for use in California. BEIGIS has been applied in southern California and can be applied in central California if region-specific databases are available. BEIGIS has four primary data inputs, which are discussed below. Once these inputs are assembled, ARB will generate a speciated, gridded emission inventory for biogenic hydrocarbons for the CCOS domain. The primary data inputs for BEIGIS are: 1) maps showing the distribution of vegetation species, 2) vegetation biomass distribution maps, 3) leaf mass constants, and 4) plant-specific emission rates. For the first input, all currently available GIS coverages of the distribution of plant species for agricultural, natural and urban areas will be compiled and meshed into a seamless coverage for the CCOS domain. A list of the plant species ranked by acreage will be developed. This ranking will assist in identifying those key species to be targeted for leaf mass constants and emission rate measurements and thus focusing on the region-specific data needed for the CCOS domain. For the second input, biomass can be estimated using the leaf area index (LAI) in forested areas where species distributions are relatively homogeneous. LAI can be thought of as the number of leaf layers directly above a given ground surface area. ARB currently has a 1 km resolution LAI database for California based on satellite imagery. As part of this study, it is hoped that a 30 meter resolution database can be developed using satellite imagery. The third input listed is leaf mass constants. Biomass cannot be accurately estimated using indirect methods such as LAI in areas that contain heterogeneous vegetation species distributions, such as urban areas. In these areas, biomass is most accurately determined directly using ground-based botanical surveys. In this methodology, biomass is estimated using the canopy volume (cubic meters) for each tree surveyed in the field, as well as leaf mass constants (grams per cubic meter) for those trees. However, leaf mass constants have only been determined for less than 5% of the 6000 tree species in California. It is hoped for this study that leaf mass constants can be developed for the most important vegetation species in the CCOS domain. The final input listed, plant-specific emission rates will be compiled in a database for the most commonly occurring species in the CCOS domain. At a minimum, the database will include emission rates for isoprene, monoterpenes, and oxygenated compounds. For those species for which emission rate measurements are not available, it is hoped during this study to assign emission rates using a taxonomic method. 3.1.2.5 Emission Forecasts Emission backcasts and forecasts are made by the ARB using base year emissions in conjunction with estimates of growth and emission control effectiveness. Emission growth is based upon available projections of socio-economic trends. Local districts supply growth data, often using information from local planning organizations. When local data are not available ARB uses default values from research projects that use surrogates based on business activity. 3-9 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements Emission reductions are based upon adopted regulations and control measures. Backcasts and forecasts are also available for planning inventories. 3.1.2.6 “Fast Track” and Final Modeling Inventory Development Process A gridded emission inventory is a critical input to photochemical air quality models. Historically, modeling emission inventories have been criticized for using incomplete dayspecific data and for lagging behind the development of other data such as meteorological and air quality data that are collected in air quality studies. This subsection describes a two-track approach. To make a modeling inventory available in a shorter time frame, the EICG is taking a two-tier approach to the development of the modeling emission inventory that will provide modelers with a “fast track” inventory for preliminary modeling. This inventory will be followed by a more detailed modeling inventory that will incorporate all of the day-specific information collected during the field study. The districts and ARB will prepare a seasonal emissions inventory for 1999 during calendar year 2000. The 1999 annual emissions for point sources will be forecasted to 2000 and then spatially and temporally distributed to create a modeling inventory for a summer weekday. Area source emissions for 1999 will also be forecasted to 2000. The forecasted emissions will be spatially distributed using the spatial surrogates used in the 1994 Ozone State Implementation Plans and temporally distributed to represent a summer weekday. On-road mobile sources will also be gridded based on the 1994 Plans. Modelers will use this “fast track” inventory to begin testing the performance of the photochemical model. When the 2000 annual average inventory is ready, it will be gridded to replace the forecasted 2000 inventory. Day-specific data will replace the gridded annual average inventory. Results from contracts will be incorporated into the annual average inventory and/or the day-specific inventories. 3.1.2.7 Requirements for Quality Control and Quality Assurance of Emission Inventory The EICG is placing special emphasis on ensuring consistency in emission inventory preparation procedures between all the districts in the modeling domain. The Air Resources Board will take the lead in coordinating and ensuring quality control and quality assurance standards for the emission inventory portion of the study. Specific guidelines will be outlined for assisting state and local agencies for implementing more uniform and systematic approaches to collecting, compiling (formats and accuracy), and reporting emission inventory data. Also, to ensure good quality control practices, the EICG will be developing a comprehensive quality control and quality assurance plan. The plan will include items such as: • Quality control checks for collecting non-emission data, updating activity data, and using appropriate emission factors for calculating emissions; • Emission calculation methodology; • Updating or revising categories to ensure that the latest methodology is used; • Data submittal; 3-10 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 3.1.2.8 Chapter 3: Data Requirements • Data correction; • Documentation; and • Quality review of the entire inventory. Proposed Contractor Studies for Emission Inventory Development The collection of most of the emission inventory data discussed in the previous sections will be provided by public agencies as in-kind contributions to the CCOS study. However, there are some critical elements of the CCOS emission inventory that the members of the EICG do not have sufficient resources and /or expertise to provide. In general, these needs relate to the spatial and temporal distribution of emissions from motor vehicles and other area sources. The emission inventory elements, which will need to be supported by the CCOS study, are listed below. Day-Specific Traffic Count Information Day-specific traffic count information will be gathered during the field study. These traffic counts are used to create factors to adjust the travel demand volumes to hourly vehicle volumes. A scoping study is planned to review the availability of traffic data and develop a sampling plan using statistical methods for the placement of traffic counters for CCOS. Based on the results of the scoping study, a field sampling plan will be developed to collect and analyze hourly traffic count information for the CCOS domain. The day-specific data will be incorporated into the transportation model. Gridding of On-Road Mobile Source Emissions The first step needed to create an on-road motor vehicle inventory is to integrate the transportation data and run DTIM (Direct Travel Impact Model) for the entire CCOS domain. After compilation of the necessary transportation data from the local COGs who have transportation planning responsibilities, approximately thirty transportation networks can be meshed into a single uniform network for CCOS. Once a uniform mesh is created, the original VMT and speed data will be reassigned to the uniform mesh. ARB’s MVEI (Motor Vehicle Emission Inventory) models and DTIM can then create gridded, hourly emission estimates of NOx, TOG, CO and PM for on-road mobile sources. Gridding of Area Source Emissions This project is to develop base year and future year gridding surrogates for spatially distributing area source and off-road emission source categories. The emissions from these categories are estimated at the county level. For use in photochemical models, area and off-road emissions are spatially distributed within a county through the use of surrogates. In this context, a surrogate is an economic or demographic parameter that is correlated to the emissions for a specific area or off-road source emissions and has a known spatial distribution. Some common surrogates used for this purpose are population, housing units, and zoning designations. The last update of the spatial surrogates for area and off-road sources was done for the 1994 plans for attaining the one-hour ozone standard and was based on 1990 data. These surrogates need to be 3-11 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements updated to reflect the actual conditions in the year 2000 using the most recent data available. Surrogates will also need to be projected for future years for use in attainment demonstrations. Biogenic Emission Model Expansion The ARB is working to develop a statewide biogenic hydrocarbon inventory. A GISbased biogenic inventory has been created for southern California. ARB is extending the biogenic inventory further north. However, data on some of the major plant species are missing for the Central Valley and the Bay Area. Biomass and emission factor data will be needed for these species. Day-Specific Information on Agricultural and Controlled Burns This project would be the collection of day-specific data for controlled burns and agricultural burns. Local air districts track some information about controlled and agricultural burns. Because the burn may not occur on the day that the permit is issued, there is some concern about the accuracy of the data for day-specific use. This research project would review available data and collect information needed to estimate emissions daily during the study period from controlled and agricultural burns. 3.1.3 Air Quality Modeling This section discusses commonly used air quality models and their chemical mechanisms, advection schemes, grid setup, and boundary and initial conditions. Specific data needs for input into the air quality model are then presented. These are grouped by meteorological files (output from the meteorological model), gridded emission inventory files, and air quality files (for boundary and initial conditions). There are several air quality models that are well established and within the state-of-theart. The models include CIT, CALGRID, UAM-V, CAMx, CALPUF, MAQSIP, and MODELS3. State-of-the-art air quality models can be applied to simulate photochemical air pollution and aerosol particles. Many of the models can be used to investigate air pollution from urban to regional scales. The models are grid models and some allow two-way nesting so that the model can simulate air pollution on a larger regional scale and on a more highly resolved urban scales simultaneously. Three different chemical mechanisms are in wide use; carbon bond IV (CBM-IV), SAPRC 1997 and RADM2, all of these mechanisms were validated by extensive testing against environmental chamber data. The chemistry solvers used in the models are relatively fast but more work is needed to make them more general so that it is easier to make changes in the chemical mechanisms. Aerosol formation is not yet understood on a fundamental level. The formation of aerosol particles from the reactions of NOx, SO2 and from volatile organic compounds (VOC) are often treated by an empirical thermodynamic approach. The advection of trace gases has seen some improvement in recent years. There are several possible horizontal advection solvers. The Bott advection solver and the Smolarkiewicz solver are two typical choices. The Bott solver is becoming more popular than the 3-12 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements Smolarkiewicz solver because Bott is faster and more accurate with less numerical diffusion than the Smolarkiewicz solver. The typical files required by an air quality model are shown in Figure 3.1-1. Gridded data files should be available with resolution of at least 1 by 1 km if possible. An air quality model requires files with gridded land use and surface cover over the modeling domain. Typical land use files divide the land use into at least 11 categories (such as urban, rocky, industrial, etc.). A file of the UV surface albedos over the modeling domain is also required. Meteorological Files for Input to Air Quality Model Typical meteorological data files for air quality modeling are listed in Table 3.1-2. As discussed in Section 3.1.1, these gridded fields may be generated through the use of objective analysis of observations or through the use of a meteorological model. The height of the modeling grid must be greater than the mixing height field. The mixing height must be specified relative to the ground surface because the grid follows the local ground elevation. Nighttime conditions for neutral and unstable conditions are directly calculated by the model. The hourly wind components (x, y, z) must satisfy Equation (3-1) so that the flow fields are mass consistent. ∇ •u = 0 (3-1) The rate of chemical reactions is highly dependent upon the temperature. The surface temperature field is used by the chemical solver to determine the correct chemical rate constants. The absolute humidity field is needed by the chemical solver because many reactions, especially the generation and loss of HOx radicals, are humidity dependent. The solar radiation scaling field is needed to calculate the atmospheric stability. The ultraviolet radiation scaling field is required to calculate photolysis rates. Both the solar radiation scaling field and ultraviolet radiation scaling field are affected by the presence of clouds and this effect should be incorporated into the data files for these quantities. Emissions Inventory Input to Air Quality Model A great amount of care must be taking in preparing the emissions inventory. Without a reasonably accurate emissions inventory, it is not possible to accurately model the photochemical formation of ozone and other pollutants. There are two required emissions files; the area source emissions inventory and the elevated point source emissions inventory. Table 3.1-3 shows typical chemicals that need to be included in the emissions inventory. However, the organic chemical emissions should be given in as much detail as possible, rather than just alkane, alkenes etc, and should address biogenic sources. Area source emissions may be considered as part of the boundary conditions (McRae, 1992). The area source file requires that the emissions be given in units of ppm meter / min. The height of the surface grid box is used to calculate the emissions in units of ppm / min, which is often called an “emissions frequency” since it has the same units of inverse time. 3-13 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements Point sources are assumed to be volume sources in the model filling an entire grid square. If the emissions are vented through a stack, the stack height, diameter, exhaust temperature, flow rate and source strength are needed to calculate the plume rise height and emissions rate. Air Quality Input to Air Quality Model Air quality files of initial conditions and boundary conditions are required. Each grid square and each layer in the modeling domain starts with a concentration for each chemical species. One of the difficulties of determining the initial conditions is that there are not enough measurements available to determine the three dimensional chemical fields for starting the simulations, thus these initial concentrations must be estimated from a sparse network of ambient measurements. It will be necessary to interpolate surface concentrations to estimate vertical distributions. If there are even a few measurements of vertical chemical distributions, e.g., from aircraft, the relative changes in chemical concentration with height could be used for this interpolation. Otherwise, typical values for other urban areas will have to be used (Milford et al., 1989). The CCOS modeling team should examine the different methods by which initial conditions are estimated from surface and airborne measurements, and state the equations, assumptions, inputs, and uncertainties for these methods. The team should then determine which methods are most applicable to the single point and aircraft measurements, and determine which methods are most useful for approximating initial conditions for integrated air quality modeling. For the boundary conditions it would be desirable to set the boundaries at locations with relatively low emission rates. VOC concentrations are usually assumed to be constant or negligible at the western and northern boundaries and at the top of the study domain. As shown in Section 2.8, boundary conditions, particularly for formaldehyde, significantly affected model outputs in the SARMAP modeling, resulting in over-prediction of ozone levels in the Bay Area. Thus, sufficient field measurements of VOC must be made to realistically represent boundary conditions in the air quality model. Aircraft measurements of the western boundary are deemed essential. 3.2 Model Evaluation The reliability of model outputs is assessed through operational and diagnostic evaluations and application of alternative diagnostic tools. Operational evaluations consist of comparing concentration estimates from the model to ambient measurements. Diagnostic evaluations determine if the model is estimating ozone concentrations correctly for the right reasons by assessing whether the physical and chemical processes within the model are simulated correctly. This broad task also involves reconciliation of data analysis and observation-based results with modeling results. It includes the evaluation of modeling uncertainties, processes, and assumptions and their effect on observed differences among model results, measurements, and data analysis results. 3.2.1 Evaluation of Meteorological Modeling Components of meteorological model evaluation include collection of sufficient measurements to support the following generic evaluation tasks: 3-14 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements 1. Compare the simulated atmospheric processes using MM5 in both fully predictive and data assimilation modes. Since a number of airborne and remote sensing upper-air measurements will be available, it is desirable to place emphasis on the data assimilation mode for the entire field program period. The fully prognostic mode may be desirable for understanding basic characteristics of specific weather episodes with high pollutant concentrations, but results from the two approaches, with and without 4DDA, should be compared. 2. Determine and compare modeled and observed flow patterns in northern and central California with acceptable horizontal and vertical resolution, using physical parameterization of the main atmospheric processes (radiation, moisture, clouds, and fog). 3. Compare detailed information on the vertical wind and temperature structure of the atmospheric boundary layer with modeled results during the case studies. From aircraft observations, determine elevated layers with specific stability and dynamics, and compare to concentrations, stability and dynamics in modeled layers. The vertical structure is essential for estimates of transport and dispersion of atmospheric pollutants, as well as for determination of the amount of decoupling of local flows from the air aloft. Determine to what extent differences are attributable to lack of vertical resolution in the model. 4. Determine properties of land-sea breezes, urban circulations, local flows (slope and drainage), and diurnal variation of thermal stability and shear, and compare modeled results to any available observation-based estimates of these features. 5. Determine spatial characteristics of mixing depth for both convective and stable conditions and compare to aircraft spirals or other observation-based methods of determining mixing heights (e.g., profiler return amplitude data). 6. Estimate properties of turbulence transfer and associated vertical fluxes in the boundary layer. 7. Conduct sensitivity tests of the input parameters (topographic resolution, model grid, synoptic fields vs. radiosonde network, range and variation of sea/surface temperature, urban effects/roughness, sinks and sources of heat) to estimate uncertainties in model results. 8. Quantify differences between the predicted and observed wind fields and stability parameters for specific case studies. 3.2.2 Evaluation of Emission Inventory Estimates Section 3.1.2 described the planned development of the CCOS emission inventory data. Uncertainties in precursor emissions are largely viewed as one of the weaker links in the air quality modeling process. Independent evaluations of emission inventory estimates must be an integral component of air quality modeling studies. If ambient measurements and emission data are correct, consistent relationships between the spatial, temporal, and meteorological variability 3-15 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements in emissions and ambient measurements should be found. The tasks associated with this objective will examine these relationships and will explain why they are observed or are not observed. Approaches for evaluation of emission inventories include: 1) performance evaluations of air quality simulation models; 2) source apportionment by receptor modeling; 3) spatial and temporal comparisons of ambient and emission inventory non-methane organic gas speciation profiles and pollutant ratios (e.g., CO/NOx and VOC/NOx); 4) comparisons of long-term trends in ambient pollutant concentrations and concentration ratios with emission inventory trends; 5) comparisons of on-road measurements with motor vehicle emission models; and 6) fuel-based inventory based on regional gasoline sales and fleet-averaged, fuel-based emission factors from remote sensing measurements. These approaches are described below. Compare Proportions of Species Comparisons of the ambient pollutant ratios with corresponding ratios derived from emission inventory estimates have been widely used to determine consistency between emission inventory estimates and ambient measurements. This approach has been used in the Southern California Air Quality Study (Fujita et al., 1992), the San Joaquin Valley Air Quality Study (Fujita et al., 1994), the Lake Michigan Ozone Study (Korc et al., 1993) and by the ARB in response to requirements of SB 2174 (ARB, 1997). The premise of this evaluation approach is that in areas with high emission rates, early morning NMOG/NOx and CO/NOx ratios and speciation profiles in emission estimates should compare well with observed ambient ratios and speciation profiles for the same time period. Issues that are important to address in this type of comparison include: 1) the importance of ground level versus elevated plumes and their influence on ground level measurements; 2) the location of ambient monitoring sites (at urban locations, nearly all sites are located adjacent to roadways); 3) pollution carry-over from the previous day(s); 4) the reliance upon NOx as the reference species for the "top-down" ratio comparison, including the assumption that NOx emissions are reasonably accurate; 5) hydrocarbon speciation differences between ambient data and the inventory; and 6) representativeness of the monitoring site in characterizing a grid cell's emissions and ambient concentrations. Calculate the average VOC/NOx and CO/NOx ratios and ratios of selected species (e.g., acetylene/benzene, ethylene/acetylene, benzene/xylenes, carbon monoxide/selected VOCs, total aromatics/total VOC, total biogenic species/total VOC, >C10/total VOC, benzene/VOC, MTBE/VOC) in source-dominated areas for samples which are expected to be dominated by fresh, local emissions (e.g., morning samples). Compare these ratios with those in emission inventory grid squares in the vicinity of the sampling site and with ratios in speciated profiles. Calculate the average ratios of VOC/NOx and ratios of selected species (e.g. homologous groups/total VOC, oxygenates/total VOC, methyl vinyl ketone and methyl acrolein/isoprene, other daughter products/precursors) for samples that are expected to contain end products of photochemical reactions. Compare these ratios with those in emissions inventory grid squares in the vicinity of the sampling site and with ratios in speciated profiles to determine the extent to which primary emissions and secondary products contribute to the entire VOC loading. Explain 3-16 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements differences between inventoried and measured VOC/NOx ratios in terms of chemical reactions, if possible. Source Apportionment by Chemical Mass Balance Receptor Modeling The Chemical Mass Balance (CMB) model (Friedlander, 1973; Cooper and Watson, 1980; Gordon, 1980, 1988; Watson, 1984; Watson et al., 1984; 1990; 1991; Hidy and Venkataraman, 1996) consists of a least-squares solution to a set of linear equations which expresses each receptor concentration of a chemical species as a linear sum of products of source profile species and source contributions. The source profile species (the fractional amount of the species in the NMOG emissions from each source type) and the receptor concentrations, each with uncertainty estimates, serve as input data to the CMB model. The output consists of the contributions for each source type to the total ambient NMOG as well as to individual NMOG concentrations. The model calculates values for contributions from each source and the uncertainties of those values. Input data uncertainties are used both to weight the relative importance of the input data to the model solution and to estimate uncertainties of the source contributions. CMB software currently in use (Watson et al., 1990) applies the effective variance solution developed and tested by Watson et al. (1984) because: 1) it calculates realistic uncertainties of source contributions from both the source and receptor uncertainties; and 2) chemical species measured more precisely in both source and receptor samples are given greater influence in the solution than are less precisely measured species. The software also incorporates collinearity measures (Henry, 1982, 1992) to assess the effects of source profile similarity on source contribution estimates and their standard errors. The software is interactive, allowing many sensitivity and assumptions-testing sets to be performed rapidly. In addition to developing the CMB software, DRI investigators have developed and formalized the protocol for applying and validating the CMB model (Pace and Watson, 1987; Watson et al., 1991; 1998) for apportioning particles (Watson et al., 1994) and gaseous organic compounds (Fujita et al., 1994). In the past six years, DRI investigators have applied the CMB receptor model to PAMS or PAMS-type speciated NMOG data from southern California (Fujita et al., 1994), San Joaquin Valley, CA (Fujita et al., 1995a), southeast Texas (Fujita et al., 1995b), northeastern U.S. (Fujita and Lu, 1998a), Phoenix, AZ (Fujita and Lu, 1997a), western Washington (Fujita et al., 1997b), El Paso, TX (Fujita, 1998), and Austin, TX (Fujita et al., 1999). The application of continuous speciated VOC data in source apportionment offers additional insights regarding the temporal variations in source contributions that are difficult to discern from a limited number of canister samples that are integrated over a period of 3 hours or more. The following graphical display show examples of CMB results obtained from hourly speciated hydrocarbon data. • Average source contribution estimates of ambient hydrocarbons by hour of day (e.g., Figure 3.2-1) • Diurnal plots of the average CMB source contribution estimates by site for each day of the week (e.g., Figure 3.2-2). 3-17 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements • CMB source contributions and residual hydrocarbon concentrations and graphical displays of residuals by wind direction and time of day (e.g., Figure 3.2-3). Another useful graphical display that can also be applied to time-integrated canister samples show relationships between source contribution estimates (in particular the residual unexplained mass) and extent of reaction of the ambient air sample (estimated by a ratio of reactive to unreactive hydrocarbon species. Scatterplots of CMB-predicted versus measured concentrations for reactive species by site and time of day are also useful in examining the photochemical age of the ambient hydrocarbons. For CCOS, we propose comparing the ambient source apportionment at selected measurement sites with a model and emission inventory based CMB analysis. A dispersion model could be used to estimate the concentrations of the various species at measurement sites based upon the meteorology and emission inventory. This calculation should be made for specific chemical species and not lumped species. First order loss chemistry based upon rate constants and concentrations of HO and O3 could be included in the dispersion models for each reactive VOC. The HO concentrations would be calculated from 3-d model such as CAMx. The dispersion model estimated concentrations at a specific measurement site would be subjected to CMB analysis. Comparison of the observed source apportionment with the model derived source apportionment will provide an excellent test of the emission inventory. Comparison of the model derived source profiles with and without chemistry should provide a useful check of the CMB approach. Specifically compare ozone precursor, NOx, CO and VOC on a diurnal and weekday basis as estimated by model with the measurements should also be included. Remote Sensing of Vehicle Exhaust Emissions and Fuel-Based Inventories With initial support from the Colorado Office of Energy Conservation in 1987, the University of Denver (DU) developed an infra-red (IR) remote monitoring system for automobile CO exhaust emissions. The current instrument measures CO, HC, NO and smoke opacity. The remote sensing detector (RSD) has been widely used to identify high-emitting vehicles and to characterize the emissions distributions for large fleets of on-road motor vehicles. The instrument was designed to emulate the results one would obtain using a conventional non-dispersive infra-red (NDIR) exhaust gas analyzer. Thus, the RSD is also based on NDIR (NDUV for NO). An interference filter that transmits infra-red (IR) light of a wavelength known to be absorbed by the molecule of interest is placed in front of a detector. Reduction in the signal caused by absorption of light by the molecules of interest produces a reduction in the detector's voltage output. One way of conceptualizing the instrument is to imagine a typical garage exhaust NDIR instrument in which the separation of the IR source and detector is increased from 10 cm to 20-40 feet. Instead of pumping exhaust gas through a flow cell, a car now drives between source and detector. The light source, across the road, now contains a deuterium lamp, which is mounted in such a manner that the net result from the source is a collimated beam of UV and IR light. Because the effective plume path length and amount of plume seen depends on turbulence and wind, one can only look at ratios of CO, HC, of NO to CO2. These ratios are termed Q for CO/CO2, Q' for HC/CO2, and Q'' for NO/CO2 and are constant for a given exhaust plume. By themselves, Q and Q' are useful parameters with which to describe the combustion system. 3-18 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements With the aid of a fundamental knowledge of combustion chemistry, many parameters of the vehicle's operating characteristics can be determined including the instantaneous air/fuel ratio, the %CO, %HC, or %NO which would be read by a tailpipe probe, and the grams CO, HC, or NO emitted per gallon of gasoline (gCO/gallon or gHC/gallon) emissions (Bishop and Stedman 1996). The following formulas assume a fuel density of 750 g/L and 0.86 g carbon per gram of fuel (Stedman 1998). gCO/gal = 5671 * Q/( 1+ Q + 3*Q') gHC/gal = 8911 * Q'/( 1+ Q + 3*Q') gNO/gal = 6076 * Q''/( 1+ Q + 3*Q') All pollutants except HC are a specific gas, which can unambiguously be measured and calibrated. Exhaust HC is a very complex mixture of hydrocarbons and oxygenated organic compounds. The filter chosen measures carbon-hydrogen stretching vibrations that are present, but not equally in all HC compounds. This system is entirely adequate for gross polluter detection. However, adjustments are necessary when remote sensing values are applied to fuelbased emission inventory estimates. Singer et al. (1998) showed that C-H infrared absorption measurements miss about half of the hydrocarbon mass (especially for aromatics and low molecular weight alkenes). A scaling factor of 8911 should be replace with 17900 to obtain a more accurate estimate of mass of hydrocarbons emitted. Also it is conventional to report NOx emissions as NO2 equivalent, even though most of the direct NOx emissions are in the form of NO. The g/gal estimate for NO should be increase by the ratio of the molecular weights of NO2 to NO (i.e., 46/30). Remote sensing has been shown to give accurate readings for CO by means of doubleblind studies of vehicles both on the road and on dynamometers (Lawson et al., 1990; Stedman and Bishop, 1990). EPA has shown that the readings are closely comparable to laboratory readings from a vehicle on a dynamometer (Stedman and Bishop, 1990). Lawson and coworkers used a vehicle with variable emissions under passenger control to show the correctness of the onroad readings (Lawson et al., 1990). Independent studies (Ashbaugh et al., 1992) show that the CO readings are correct within ±5% and HC within ±15%. Recent work (Stedman et al., 1997) has shown that fleet average on-road emissions by model year correlate with IM240 readings with r2 greater than 0.95 for CO, HC and NO. The fact that remote on-road readings are well correlated with more complex tests is also illustrated by a study in California (CARB, 1994 and Knapp 1992) in which the remote sensing readings were used in California immediately to pull over apparently gross polluting vehicles which were then tested by a team of Smog-Check engineers, and then brought to a dynamometer and subjected to the EPA IM240 test. Of 79 vehicles tested on IM240, 76 failed and the three which passed had all failed the previous Smog-Check. The remote sensor is accompanied by a video system when vehicle identification information is required. The video camera is coupled directly into the data analysis computer so that the image of each passing vehicle is frozen onto the video screen. The computer writes the date, time, and the CO, NO, HC and CO2 concentrations at the bottom of the image. These 3-19 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements images are then stored on videotape. The digital database also contains uncertainty limits and opacity data. The height of the sensing beam is typically set at 20-30 cm above the road surface optimally to observe exhaust plumes from light duty vehicles, including gasoline and dieselpowered vehicles, as long as the exhaust plume exits the vehicle within a few feet of the ground. The remote sensor is effective across single or multiple traffic lanes of up to 40 feet in width. However, if one wishes to positively identify and video each vehicle with its exhaust, it is optimally efficient when used across a single lane of traffic. FEAT operates most effectively on dry pavement. Rain, snow, and vehicle spray from very wet pavement cause interferences with the optical beam. These interferences do not cause incorrect readings, rather they cause the frequency of invalid readings to increase, ultimately to the point that all data are rejected as being contaminated by too much "noise". At suitable locations exhaust can be monitored from over one thousand vehicles per hour. Determine the Effects of Meteorological Variables on Emissions Rates Select representative sampling sites from major source regions (e.g., urban, industrial, biogenic, etc.) and examine concentrations of "marker" species for sources as functions of temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, and other environmental variables which are used to adjust emission factors. If possible, draw conclusions concerning the efficacy of current emission factors to respond accurately to changes in meteorological variables. Compare VOC source contributions when intermittent sources are known to operate and when they are known not to operate. Attempt to detect effects of different wind speeds, temperatures, solar radiation levels, and relative humidities on biogenic and industrial emissions. Determine the Detectability of Day-Specific Emissions at Receptors Examine day-specific emissions and identify sampling locations and times that correspond to fires, pesticide applications, spills, etc. From previous measurements of emission compositions, identify chemical species that are likely to be contributed by that source. Examine transport and dispersion patterns to determine the likelihood of influence at nearby sites. Compare the ambient concentrations at likely impact sites with concentrations at that site when day-specific emissions do not exist. Examine nearby sites and draw conclusions about the region of influence of intermittent emitters. Draw conclusions regarding the importance of intermittent emissions for ozone formation. 3.2.3 Air Quality Model Evaluation The reliability of model outputs is assessed through operational and diagnostic evaluations and application of alternative diagnostic tools. Operational evaluations consist of comparing concentration estimates from the model to ambient measurements. The key question in an operational model evaluation is to determine the extent of agreement between simulated and measured concentrations of ozone and its precursors. The measured and simulated ozone and its precursor concentrations should agree in their spatial extent and in their timing. Typical statistics for model evaluation: the comparisons of predicted and observed daily maximum 1-hr observed ozone concentrations, comparison of 90th percentile concentrations, mean bias (ppb) 3-20 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements and mean normalized bias (%) and the mean error (ppb) and mean normalized error (%) (Lurmann et al., 1998). Examples of other operational evaluation include comparison of model predictions with airborne measurements of VOCs (total VOC, homologous groups, and lumped VOC classes) along boundaries and above the mixed layer and the magnitude and constancy of their concentrations in space and time. List assumptions and input data requirements for VOC boundary conditions, and estimate the effects of uncertainties caused by insufficient data on the ability of the model to represent reality. Nitrogenous species concentrations are usually assumed to be constant or negligible at the western and northern boundaries and at the top of the study domain. Plot airborne measurements of NO, and NOy along boundaries and above the mixed layer, then examine the magnitude and constancy of their concentrations in space and time. Specify the model assumptions for boundary conditions of nitrogenous species, and estimate the effect if deviations from those assumptions on chemical concentrations. Diagnostic evaluations are required to determine if the model is estimating ozone concentrations for the right reasons. The emissions, chemistry and transport are assessed to determine if these are treated correctly within the model. The emissions may be assessed through process analysis and mass balance analysis. The chemistry may be assessed through the measurement of predicted secondary chemical products. The photolytic rate parameters used in models should be evaluated by comparing parameters estimated by measurements versus model default values. The transport might be evaluated through comparisons of the spatial and vertical distributions of ozone and its precursors. This broad task also involves reconciliation of data analysis and observation-based results with modeling results. It includes the evaluation of modeling uncertainties, processes, and the assumptions, and their effect on observed differences among model results, measurements, and data analysis results. A key finding of a diagnostic evaluation should be to determine the physical and chemical reasons for the concentration differences between those predicted by models and the measurements. It would also be highly desirable if the likely model bias induced by a model’s deficiencies could be identified. Examples of diagnostic tests include examining ratios of chemical species that are sensitive to specific processes within the model as O3/NOy, O3/NOz, examining the flux of ozone and ozone precursor across interbasin transport corridors, and comparing concentration changes from weekdays to weekends. Jeffries and Tonnesen (1994) have developed methods to modify air quality models so that the rate of each chemical and physical process that affects a chemical concentration is integrated and saved in external files. Post processors are used to analyze the integrated rates (masses determined for each process), to make a detailed mass balance for a simulation. From the mass balance calculations it is possible to determine quantitatively the effect of each process on the concentrations of ozone or any air pollutant. Although this process analysis works well in models it is difficult to apply directly to field measurements due to the lack of data in any reasonable field campaign. Due to inherent limitations of measurement techniques and budget considerations, it is not possible to develop an independent, comprehensive mass balance throughout the study region. However, an alternative that should be applied to CCOS is a “model assisted mass balance.” In this approach, measurements are used to check key parameters within simulations 3-21 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements made for process analysis without the assistance of a model. For example, the concentration ratio of NO to NO2 or the concentration ratio of a highly reactive VOC to a less reactive VOC could be compared with the model results. Alternatively model calculated parameters such as HO could be used along with measured concentrations of VOC to estimate VOC to NOx ratios. Both approaches should provide strong tests of the conceptual model. 3.3 Data Analysis Methods As discussed in Section 1.2, data analysis is an essential part of any large field study and will complement and enhance the model development component of CCOS. The major goals of CCOS data analysis are to: • Evaluate field measurements for applicability for model input, parameterization, evaluation, and verification. • Describe the air quality and meteorology during the field study period and determine the degree to which these measurements represent other summertime pollution levels. • Further develop conceptual models of physical and chemical processes which affect ozone formation and transport in southern California. While these data analysis goals provide guidance, a critical outcome of the CCOS planning process is to specify the: • Data analysis objectives and hypotheses to be tested. • Data analysis methods and work elements by which objectives can be met and hypotheses can be tested. • Required field measurements to collect sufficient data to apply specified data analysis methods and work elements. With these three planning carried out and integrated into publications and reports to meet data analysis objectives. Data analysis activities are defined here within the following topic areas: 1) measurement evaluation; 2) spatial, temporal, and statistical descriptions; 3) qualitative transport characterization; 4) dispersion characterization; 5) emission characterization; 6) quantitative transport characterization (pollutant fluxes); 7) ozone chemistry; 8) episode characterization; and 9) refinement of conceptual models. Activities are detailed in the following sub-sections. 3.3.1 Accuracy, Precision, Validity, and Equivalence of Field Measurements There has never been a field study to date that did not require substantial examination and investigation of the measurements prior to their further use in data analysis and modeling. This first topic area is essential to all subsequent data analysis efforts, and needs to be performed as data are received into the database. Major concerns focus on: 1) accuracy of VOC peak identification, and proper, consistent quantification of total nonmethane hydrocarbons; 2) 3-22 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements representativeness of meteorological measurements, especially those drawn from existing networks; 3) accuracy and precision of low-concentration measurements, especially NOy and PAN; and 4) comparability of measurements taken from different networks with different procedures. Evaluate the Precision, Accuracy, and Validity of Light and Heavy Hydrocarbon and Aldehyde Measurements For sites and sampling periods which represent different expected mixtures of VOCs (e.g., background, fresh urban, aged urban, regional, forested, industrial), create scatterplots of the sum of measured species vs. total nonmethane VOC. Calculate slopes, intercepts and correlations and compare these among different sites and sampling times. Estimate the range of values for unaccounted hydrocarbons and the degree to which these differ at different sites. Compare the sum of identified VOC concentrations to total nonmethane VOCs and identify significant differences among sampling sites and sampling periods. Plot hydrocarbon profiles (bar charts of percent composition for each carbon number and for the lumped parameter classes used in photochemical models) and compare these among different sampling periods and sampling sites. Compare the detailed speciation of quality assurance samples with the routine speciation from normal network samples. Ascertain which species are not typically identified in normal network samples. Estimate the feasibility and effort required to reduce existing chromatograms with unidentified peaks for more complete speciation of normal network samples. Examine a selection of chromatograms from routine analyses and determine the feasibility and value of reprocessing these chromatograms for more complete speciation. Use collocated and replicate analysis results to determine an overall precision for hydrocarbon measurements. Examine the discrepancies between different analyses as a function of aging time in the canisters and attempt to quantify the extent to which the gaseous contents change with time. Evaluate sampling and analysis methods for aldehyde measurements by comparing collocated and replicate measurements. Determine the extent to which reactions take place in sampling bags used in aircraft from collocated measurements of bag and cartridge sampling. See Fung et al. (1993) for examples. Evaluate the Precision, Accuracy, and Validity of Nitrogenous Species Measurements Create scatterplots and calculate slopes, intercepts, and correlation coefficients for normal sensitivity chemiluminescent NOx, high sensitivity chemiluminescent NOy measurements sites, and spectroscopic measurements (e.g., TDLAS). Determine the equivalency of these different measurement methods by evaluating these plots and statistics. Examine differences among sites (along with calibration and performance test data) to attribute differences to instrument differences or to interferents in the sampled air streams (e.g. HNO3 detected by chemiluminescence). Create scatterplots and statistics of collocated PANalyzer values. Explain differences in terms of measurement methods or environmental variables (e.g., interferents). Compare differences to propagated uncertainty intervals derived from performance tests and extrapolate the collocated uncertainties to other luminol PAN sampling sites in the network. Reconcile laboratory comparison data with field comparison data. 3-23 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements Evaluate the Precision, Accuracy, Validity, and Equivalence of Meteorological Data Devise methods to compare upper air measurements of wind speed and direction from profilers, acoustic sounders, and surface wind towers and with corresponding measurements from radiosondes. Determine equivalent averaging layers and averaging times. Determine times of day (e.g., early morning, mid-day, and late-day) when these measurements are similar and when they are not. Draw conclusions regarding the equivalence of these methods. Compare surface measurements of wind speed and direction with the lowest elevation values from collocated profile, sonde, and sounder measurements. Stratify comparisons by time of day to obtain well-mixed and layered vertical structures. Determine when surface measurements are an adequate estimate of upper air winds and when they are not, both with respect to elevation above ground level and time of day. Evaluate the Precision, Accuracy, Validity, and Equivalence of Solar Radiation Data Compare nearby measurements from the spectral radiation, ultraviolet radiation, and total solar radiation instruments. Determine the extent to which total solar radiation and spectral radiation are correlated with the ultraviolet wavelengths which are most influential in photochemistry. Determine the equivalence or difference between measurements taken in the CCOS and existing networks. 3.3.2 Spatial, Temporal, and Statistical Distributions of Air Quality Measurements More data will be produced by field monitoring than can be examined by any data analysis plan. Summaries need to be created which can serve as a guide to the database and for the formulation of hypotheses to be tested by more detailed analyses. These summaries may be examples drawn from a data display package (such as that which was developed to display data in real-time during the study). The database and display software could then be used in other data interpretation projects to provide support for their findings. Examine Average Diurnal Changes of Surface Concentration Data Create diurnal box plots (which graphically show quartiles, median, mean, and extrema) for the entire sampling period and for each hour at each site of ozone, NO, NO2, and PAN concentrations. Note differences in the timing and intensity of peak values as a function of sampling site, episode, and stratification. Group sites for which diurnal variations behave in a similar manner. Compare these with plots from selected sites in prior summers where ozone and NOx data are available. Evaluate the extent to which the summer of 2000 is similar to or different from prior summers. Create diurnal box plots for each hour at each site of ozone, NO2, and PAN (where available) for each episode and the stratified intensive sampling days. Superimpose diurnal average total VOC, total aldehyde, nitric acid, and particulate nitrate boxes for specified sampling periods. Note differences in the timing and intensity of peak values as a function of sampling site and how these are similar to or different from those of the longer-term averages. Create diurnal box plots of surface temperature, relative humidity, insolation, sigma theta, and scalar wind speed for each hour at each site for the entire monitoring period and for 3-24 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements the intensive episodes. Identify similarities and differences among sites and between the intensive episodes and the entire study period. Examine Spatial Distributions of Surface Concentration Data Plot spatial isopleths corresponding to each intensive episode sample for total VOCs, selected VOC surrogates (selected to represent reactivity class, sources of precursors, or end products), NOx, NO2, PAN, HCHO, NO/NO2, VOC/NOx, and O3. Note similarities and differences in patterns with time of day, pollutant, and from episode to episode. Examine Statistical Distributions and Relationships Among Surface Air Quality Measurements Combine hourly averages of air quality measurements into sample averages corresponding to VOC and aerosol samples. For each site, calculate averages, standard deviations, first, second, third and fourth maxima (with date and time of occurrence), and minima (with date and time of occurrence) concentrations for each species measured. Identify differences between morning, afternoon and nighttime, sampling locations, episodes, and chemical observable. Give special attention to differences between rural vs. urban areas, central California vs. other air basins, morning vs. afternoon vs. nighttime. Combine hourly averages of continuous measurements into sampling periods corresponding to VOC and aerosol samples. For each site, calculate the temporal correlation coefficients for all measured variables. Identify those variables that are highly correlated (negatively or positively) with each other and identify observables which might be represented by a single surrogate at each site. Combine these surrogates with meteorological variables and note positive or negative correlations among them. Perform Principal Component Analysis (PCA) on VOC and nitrogenous species. Calculate eigenvectors of the correlation matrix and perform a varimax rotation to identify empirical factors that explain the variability in the data. Describe these factors in terms of physical phenomena, and examine factor scores to determine when each factor has much greater than or much less than average influence at each site. Using selected species concentrations, calculate spatial correlations for the intensive episode samples. Examine correlations and identify which sites are highly correlated (positively or negatively) with each other. Calculate eigenvectors of this correlation matrix, perform a varimax rotation, and plot the empirical orthogonal functions that are deemed significant. Use these to select surrogate sites which can be used to represent neighboring sites for different observables (the surrogates and the area which they represent may not be the same for all observables). Plot surface wind roses for all data at selected times of the day on a single map. Identify when flow reversals take place and when wind speeds increase or decrease. Note which areas have the highest frequencies of calms and when they occur. Perform these analyses for meteorologically stratified cases. Perform analyses for stations near sea-level as well as those located on higher terrain, and compare and explain differences. 3-25 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements Examine Vertical Distribution of Concentrations from Airborne Measurements Plot VOC (total and selected species, aldehydes (total and selected species), NO2, NO, O3, and bscat as a function of altitude for each spiral. Note similarities and differences with respect to location, time of day, and chemical species. Give special attention to VOC speciation in morning samples (i.e., local emissions) over urban (motor vehicle), non-urban (biogenic), and industrial (oil-field) areas. Compare canister and cartridge samples of VOC and aldehydes taken in spirals with those taken in circles at the top of the spiral. Plot spatial distributions of VOC (total and selected species, aldehydes (total and selected species), NO2, NO, O3, and bscat along aircraft traverses (within the mixed layer). Note similarities and differences with respect to location, time of day, chemical species, and the spatial distributions derived from surface-based measurements. Compare concentrations along boundaries (long-range aircraft) with those measured at locations within the study domain and note similarities and differences. Examine the Spatial and Temporal Distribution of Solar Radiation From the radiometer data, estimate the photosynthetically active radiation (needed for deposition and biogenic emissions), direct beam solar radiation, diffuse solar radiation, visible radiation (for light extinction), incident flux, and actinic flux (at frequencies relevant to photochemical reactions. Create spatial and temporal plots of these observables. Describe differences between sites and time-of-day in terms of measurement uncertainty, meteorological and air quality parameters. Note the effects of clouds and smoke on different types of radiation. 3.3.3 Meteorological Transport Phenomena This topic addresses the major mechanisms for the movement of air into, out of, and between the different air basins in both horizontal and vertical directions. This requires an examination of conditions near sea level and also just below, within, and above the inversion layer. Determine Horizontal Transport Patterns and Intensities Into, Out of, and Within the Air Basins Plot 0400, 1000, 1600, and 2200 PST horizontal windfields at three different heights (surface, within the mixed layer, and above the mixed layer) using continuous and radiosonde data. Examine the consistency of these flow vectors with those predicted from synoptic weather maps and pressure gradients. Note similarities and differences with respect to time of day, elevation, and episode. Associate the directions with the expected phenomena of low-level jet, slope flows, eddies, coastal meteorology and bifurcation. Examine aircraft data to further describe the evolution of these phenomena. Determine the time of occurrence, spatial extent, intensity, and variability of these phenomena. Plot detailed horizontal wind vectors as a function of height for the Carquinez, Altamont Pass, Pacheco Pass. Examine these to determine the intensity and duration of transport from the the Bay Area to the Sacramento and San Joaquin Valleys. Note similarities and differences with respect to time of day, elevation, and episode. 3-26 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements Plot back-trajectories for critical receptors (e.g., ozone hot-spots, forested sites, and transport corridors) for each intensive episode at three elevations. Start trajectories at the time of maximum ozone concentration. Identify general areas over which air masses might have passed to reach these receptors. Classify sampling periods into categories that are likely to be influenced by different types of source areas (e.g., industry, traffic, forest). Track horizontal pollution movements (e.g., visibility analyses) and determine if ozone values at stations downwind can be traced to photochemical changes on precursors upwind. Determine Vertical Transport Patterns and Intensities within the Modeling Domain Examine wind flow patterns to identify convergence and divergence zones. Examine acoustic sounder, profiler, and aircraft meteorological data for evidence of vertical exchanges in these regions. Determine the extent to which surface air is transported above the mixed layer, or air above is transported into the mixed layer at these locations. Verify this with vertical profiles of pollutant concentrations from onboard aircraft measurements. Examine and describe the intensity and duration of upslope flows to estimate the amount and frequency with which pollutants might be transported above the mixed layer. Verify this with onboard aircraft pollutant measurements. Plot the vertical velocity structure as a function of time. Examine monostatic sounder data and profiler data to determine the degree of layering in the atmosphere, especially during the morning. Identify the locations of wind shears and their effect on layering. Note the differences in layers at different locations throughout the study area. 3.3.4 Meteorological Dispersion Processes Dispersion processes address the mixing of pollutants within the mixing layer, especially elevated and ground-level emissions, dispersion within and between modeling grid cells, and transport to the surface where deposition of pollutants may occur. Characterize the Depth, Intensity, and Temporal Changes of the Mixed Layer and Characterize Mixing of Elevated and Surface Emissions Plot the spatial distribution of expected mixing depths derived from temperature soundings at 0400, 1000, 1600, and 2200 PST. Examine sounding, aircraft, and profiler data to determine the accuracy of interpolations of mixing depths between the 4 per day soundings. Examine aircraft and profiler data for evidence of other layers within the mixed layer, their time of formation and dissipation, and their typical duration and intensity. Describe the changes in layers as a function of time, especially during the morning when rapid changes are taking place with heating. Associate changes in layers with changes in surface temperature and solar radiation. Examine vertical mixing as a function of location and time of day using aircraft data and continuous profiler and acoustic sounder measurements. Estimate the times of day on which pollutants emitted from stacks, and pollutants carried over from the previous day above the mixed layer, will combine with pollutants emitted at the surface. Verify this by examining aloft and surface level concentrations which are associated with aged emissions. 3-27 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 3.3.5 Chapter 3: Data Requirements Characterize Pollutant Fluxes A "flux plane" is a rectangular cross-section that is perpendicular to the prevailing horizontal wind direction at a location between major emissions areas. The major transport pathways that are suspected of passing through these flux planes were specified in Section 2. Define the Orientations, Dimensions, and Locations of Flux Planes Examine wind fields to identify areas in air that is transported across a boundary at vertical levels, especially at entry and exit points to the Central Valley. Specify the horizontal and vertical coordinates of these flux planes. Examine the usefulness of different conceptual definitions of flux (i.e., mass/unit area/time, mass/time, upwind/downwind concentrations along a wind vector). Estimate uncertainties due to: 1) mis-specifying the portion of ozone flux attributable to background vs. that generated in the upwind source area; 2) the effects of vertical and horizontal wind shears or reversals on the definition of the flux plane; 3) variations in wind speed and direction between measurements; 4) mis-specification of the boundary plane height; and 5) effects of wind speed and direction variability on flux estimates. Estimate the Fluxes and Total Quantities of Selected Pollutants Transported Across Flux Planes Using aircraft spiral and traverse data, lidar data, and ground-based concentration data for VOCs, NOx, and O3 coupled with average wind speeds that are perpendicular to the chosen flux planes, calculate the mg/m2-sec of each pollutant which crosses each plane as a function of time of day. Compare the fluxes for the different planes and assign downwind fluxes to a combination of fresh pollutant generation and contributions from the upwind flux plane. Examine fluxes at different layers, especially at night, if major differences are observed in vertical concentrations and wind speeds. Plot vertical cross-sections of concentrations, wind speed, and direction. Compare the magnitudes of inflow to and outflow from regions which are bordered by flux planes. Advance explanations for major differences between inflow and outflow. Using all relevant field study data, test the hypotheses that: 1) there is significant local generation of pollutants; 2) there is significant venting through the mixed layer; and 3) there is substantial reverse or lateral transport owing to eddies, nocturnal jets, and upslope/downslope flows. 3.3.6 Characterize Chemical and Physical Interactions Ozone, several nitrogenous species, and significant portions of the VOCs found in the study domain are not emitted directly from sources, but form from precursors. In particular, it is necessary to determine where or when ozone concentrations are limited by the availability of NOX or VOC. These issues are addressed within this topic. State the equations, assumptions, and input data for ozone formation. Identify those species in these models which were measured during CCOS. Evaluate the uncertainties introduced by non-continuous, 2-hour VOC measurements, variations in solar radiation, and uncertainties in boundary and initial conditions. 3-28 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements VOC and Nitrogen Budgets Plot pie charts of VOC speciation (with species expressed as mg/m3 carbon categorized into homologous groupings such as paraffins, olefins, aromatics, formaldehyde, other aldehydes, heavy hydrocarbons, unidentified peaks, and total nonmethane VOC minus sum of peaks and as average carbon number for <C10 and >C10) maps for morning, afternoon, and evening sampling periods, with the size of the pie proportional to the total VOC. Select relatively inert compounds (e.g., ethane and acetylene) as well as reactive species to help identify sources. Determine the extent to which total VOCs are accounted for as a function of location and time of day. Advance hypotheses regarding the compositions of the unidentified peaks and the unaccounted-for VOC. Test these hypotheses by examination of example chromatograms from source-oriented and receptor-oriented sampling sites and from direct samples of source emissions. Draw conclusions regarding the effects of these unidentified and unknown fractions on chemical mechanisms used in air quality models. Plot pie charts of the gaseous and particulate nitrogen (NO, NO2, HNO3, PAN, HONO, and NO3-), and carbon (heavy and light VOCs, aldehydes, and organic aerosol carbon) as a function of location. Make the radius of each pie proportional to the total number of N, S, or C atoms, and make each wedge proportional to the number of N, S, or C atoms contributed by each species. Examine the distributions of these species among gaseous and particulate phases as a function of time and location. Reconcile Spatial, Temporal, and Chemical Variations in Ozone, Precursor, and End-Product Concentrations with Expectations from Chemical Theory Calculate pseudo-steady-state values of ozone using NO/NO2 ratios (from maps generated in work element 2.2.1) and assumed photolysis rates. Compare the spatial distribution of these calculated values with the measured values plotted in earlier data analysis activities. Explain possible reasons for differences. Compare NO2 plots to PAN plots to determine when NO2 is less than PAN. Calculate average VOC-OH reactivity and determine VOC vs. NOx limitations. Estimate (from literature) typical VOC-OH rate constants for individual VOC species. Calculate an average VOC reactivity by weighting each rate constant by the proportion of total VOC represented by its corresponding species. Compare the resulting average rate constants at different types of sites (urban, rural, oilfield) and sampling times (morning, day, night) with the VOC-OH reactivity of a standard urban VOC mixture (~3500 ppm-1min-1). Stratify data near elevated point sources to separate periods when plumes are above the mixed layer from periods for which elevated plumes are within the mixed layer. Note similarities and differences with respect to site-type and time of day. Calculate adjusted VOC/NOX ratios by multiplying a reference value of VOC/NOX (for typical urban areas) by the ratio of the adjusted reference rate constant. Relate the results to bands of demarcation on an EKMA-type diagram between regions of VOC, combined, and NOX limitation in producing ozone. Use the results to classify areas of the study domain into ones for which the ozone-forming potential is limited by VOC or NOX. Simulate ozone-producing potential of ambient VOC samples using an accepted chemical mechanism (e.g., CBM-IV, RADM, SAPRC) in a simple box using a range of diurnal radiation 3-29 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements profiles from the radiometers. Artificially add NOx concentrations and calculate time to formation of peak ozone and the amount of ambient carbon carried over or available for reaction the next day for an assumed radiation intensity and time. Define an "ozone-forming-potential" figure of merit and map these as a function of location, time, and VOC level. Estimate the effects of VOC, radiation, and other measurement uncertainties on ozone-forming potential. Identify differences in potential owing to changes in the model mechanisms (e.g., compare results from CBM-IV with SAPRC and RADM). Stratify episodes by high and low photochemical potential days, and compare photochemical products along trajectories estimated by other data analyses. Further stratify these episodes by VOC/NOx ratios in the western and northern parts of the study domain and estimate the extent to which this ratio affects the maximum ozone levels in the eastern and southern portions of the study domain. Performing the same analyses as above for ozone levels in central California air basins. Recalculate VOC/NOx ratios for specific reactivity classes, especially aromatics, and examine receptor area ozone concentrations for cases of high and low ratios in the source areas. Examine the emission maps to compare the quantity of fresh hydrocarbon and NOx injected along the trajectories, and determine the degree to which this might interfere with the conclusions drawn from the VOC/NOx ratios in the source areas. Examine aircraft traverses and compare ozone, NOx, and VOC levels to simple equilibrium calculations. Examine nighttime concentrations of O3 and precursors above the mixed layer and off the coastline to determine the degree of carryover from the previous day. Compare VOC/NOx ratios above the mixed layer with those calculated from localized emissions grid squares near the northern and western boundaries of the study domain. Identify potential causes of discrepancies, if they are found. Compare day-to-day changes in emission patterns (using day-specific inventories) with O3 and VOC concentrations for otherwise similar meteorological conditions. Compare oxidant values in cases with high ambient aromatic VOC concentrations to values obtained when aromatic VOCs are low. Apply and Evaluate Ozone Receptor Models to Determine VOC and NOx Limitations Several receptor-oriented models have been developed and applied to determining relationships between oxides of nitrogen, VOC, and ozone levels. In each case, evaluate and determine the applicability of these models to CCOS by evaluating their fundamental assumptions as part of applying them to appropriate measurements from the database. Compute correlations and regression relationships between ozone, NOx and NOy for measurement locations with fresh and aged emissions. Determine the extent to which ozone increases in photochemically aged air when NOy is less than 1 ppb and when it is higher than 10 ppb (e.g., Trainer et al., 1993; Jacob et al., 1995). Calculate Integrated Empirical Rates (e.g., Johnson, 1984, Blanchard et al., 1994; Chang et al., 1995) to determine at what downwind distances from major source regions NOx reductions or VOC reductions would most affect ozone concentrations. Compare these distances with those determined by other methods. Examine ratios among ozone and nitrogenous species (e.g., Sillman et al., 1990; Sillman, 1995; Milford et al., 1994; Jacob et al., 1995; Watkins et al., 1995) to estimate when VOC and NOx 3-30 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 limitations might apply. Chameides (1995). 3.3.7 Chapter 3: Data Requirements Apply the observation-based model (OBM) of Cardelino and Characterize Episodes Each of the episodes of two- to four-day duration has similarities and differences with respect to emissions, meteorology, transformation, deposition, and air quality levels. These episodes may be high for similar or for different reasons. Information derived the proceeding activities is synthesized to provide an anatomy of each episode. Conclusions are drawn with respect to which episodes are, for all practical purposes, the same, and which ones are substantially different. Describe Each Intensive Episode in Terms of Emissions, Meteorology, and Air Quality Prepare written overviews of each intensive sampling period. Describe the synoptic meteorology leading up the episode and summarize the forecasting rationale. Illustrate, with plots generated in other work elements, the general wind flows for the duration of the period and any deviations from these generalizations. Identify major emissions events, identified as significant in other work elements, which affected pollutant concentrations. Summarize the key pollutant concentrations at key times and key locations in the study domain. Summarize the completeness and validity of the data set from each episode with respect to modeling of ozone. Identify the transport and transformation mechanisms that are likely to be dominant in each episode. Evaluate each episode for its potential use in model testing and control strategy evaluation. Determine the Degree to which Each Intensive Episode is a Valid Representation of Commonly Occurring Conditions and its Suitability for Control Strategy Development Examine continuous meteorological and air quality data acquired for the entire study period, and determine the frequency of occurrence of days which have transport and transformation potential similar to those of the intensive study days. Generalize this frequency to previous years, using existing information for those years. 3.3.8 Observation-Driven Methods Observation-based approaches use high-quality ambient measurements of O3, its precursors, and/or secondary products of the photochemical mechanism to diagnose the underlying relationship between O3 production and sources of O3 precursors. The methods range from those that rely solely on analysis of chemical measurements to more complex methods that rely on photochemical models as well as observations to diagnose VOC- or NOx-limitation. The following are four such methods. 1. The correlation between ozone and NOy or NOz (e.g., Trainer et al., 1993; Jacob et al., 1995) 3-31 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements 2. The Integrated Empirical Rate (IER) model of Johnson (1984), as revised by Blanchard et al., (1994) and Chang et al., (1995). This method is also known as Smog Production (SP) algorithms. 3. The use of indicator species and ratios (e.g., NOy, NOz, O3/NOy, O3/HNO3, HCHO/NOy, H2O2/HNO3, H2O2/NOy, and H2O2/NOz) (Sillman et al., 1990; Milford et al., 1994; Sillman, 1995; Watkins et al., 1995; Jacob et al., 1995), and 4. The obervation-based model (OBM) of Cardelino and Chameides (1995). Observation-based methods provide procedures for deriving O3 precursor relationships that are independent of emission inventories and other inherently uncertain inputs. However, these methods are not without their own limitations and uncertainties, and are best used in conjunction with air quality simulation models. 3.3.9 Contribution of Transported Pollutants to Ozone Violations in Downwind Areas Although past transport studies have documented pollutant transport on specific days, they have not always quantified the contribution of transported pollutants to ozone violations in the downwind area. Quantitative estimates of the contribution of transported pollutants to ozone violations in the downwind area can be accomplished by photochemical grid modeling and by advanced data analysis techniques such as “flux planes” measured by aircraft which traverse a vertical plane perpendicular to a suspected transport corridor at different elevations. In principle, well-performing grid models have the ability to quantify transport contributions. However, many of the interbasin transport problems involve complex flow patterns with strong terrain influences that are difficult and expensive to model. Upper-air meteorological and air quality data in critical transport locations is generally required in order to properly evaluate and use grid models for quantifying transport contributions. In combination with modeling, data analyses can improve the evaluation of modeling results and provide additional quantification of transport contributions. In order to quantify pollutant transport and to provide data for modeling and data analyses, surface and aloft measurements are needed at locations where transport can occur and at the times when transport is occurring. These monitoring locations include in and near mountain passes, along coastlines, offshore, and at various locations in the downwind air basin. Previous studies (e.g., Roberts et al., 1993) have used aircraft measurements to calculate transport across flux planes. Vertical planes, intersecting the profiler sites downwind of and perpendicular to the transport path, can be defined and provide estimates of transport through these passes using surface and aircraft measurements of pollutant concentrations and surface and wind profiler data for volume flux estimations. 3.3.10 Contributions of Elevated NOx Sources to Downwind O3 Power plants and other sources with tall stacks are significant sources of NOx, which in the presence of NMHC can lead to catalytic formation of ozone downwind of the source. However, close to the stack there is a temporary decrease in ozone levels due to “titration” by 3-32 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements high levels of NO in the near field of the plume. Further downstream, ozone levels above the local background indicate net ozone production due to the reaction of plume NOx with NMHC that are entrained into the plume in the dilution process. However, question remain as to how much ozone is actually produced in the plume, how the ozone production efficiency depends on the chemical composition of the plume, and what the relative contributions of power plants are to high ozone episodes ozone in downwind areas. Therefore one of the most important issues for air quality modeling in CCOS is the treatment of plumes from elevated point sources containing high concentrations of NOx. As discussed in section 1.5.4 there are relatively simple Gaussian treatments of PiG and these along with the more detailed SCICHEM will be evaluated using CCOS data as discussed in Appendix D. SCICHEM was evaluated as part of the 1995 Nashville/Middle Tennessee Ozone Study but since the composition of the plumes differs in central California, CCOS data should be used to evaluate the new modules. Models use plume-in-grid to represent the chemistry and dispersion of large elevated point source plumes. Typically the individual sub-grid scale plumes are simulated in a Lagrangian mode. The plumes are assumed to have a Gaussian distribution that can be treated analytically and these plumes may extend 10 to 20 km from the point source. The chemistry is often simplified to account only for the high NOx concentrations found within the plumes and the effect of NOx on ozone concentrations while ignoring VOC chemistry. The plumes disperse and undergo chemical reaction until the spatial extent of the plume, and the pollutant concentrations reach levels that can be adequately represented within a 3-d model grid. Criteria for terminating the plume, i.e., mixing its contents into the regular grid, include plume size relative to the size of the grid cell and the age of the plume. It is not clear that the treatment of plumes by state-of-the-art models is adequate. Vertical transport (e.g., plume rise and fall the plume during downwind transport) may not be adequately described. Recent power plant plumes studies (Senff et al., 1998) utilized airborne ozone and aerosol lidar in conjunction with other instrumented aircraft. Because of its ability to characterize the two dimensional structure of ozone and aersols below the aircraft, the airborne lidar is well suited to document the evolution of the size and shape of the power plant plume as well as its impact on ozone concentration levels as the plume is advected downwind. This aircraft was considered as a study option, but budget constraints will prevent its use during CCOS. However, aircraft measurements of NOx, ozone and VOC concentrations made in plumes are required to test the validity of the treatment of plume dispersion and chemistry and the procedures for terminating the plume into the regular model grid by plume-in-grid parameterizations. 3.3.11 Deposition Studies During the California Ozone Deposition Experiment (CODE) in 1991, aircraft and towerbased flux measurements were taken over different types of San Joaquin crops, irrigated and non-irragated fields, and over dry grass. Results are briefly summarized in Pun et al. (1998) and include estimates of ozone deposition velocities of 0.7-1.0 cm/s (Pederson et al. 1995). Vertical fluxes (deposition rates) can be calculated if a vertical gradient is known (assumed or measured). 3-33 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements Order of magnitude calculations by Pun et al. show that dry deposition can be a few percent (~35%) of the total ozone budget in the San Joaquin Valley. Reasons for further flux and deposition measurements during the CCOS study, with its expanded geographic scope, are at least three-fold: 1. Further consideration of NO sources. While NO was not considered to be a problem at three sites reported on by Pederson et al. (1995), Mahrt et al. (1995) found that rapid titration of O3 by NO did affect aircraft-based flux O3 surface flux measurments. Controlled experiments that employ a spatially diverse array of NOx monitors upwind or surrounding a flux measurement site could help quantify this effect. 2. Further consideration of relative humidity effects. The Sacramento River Delta region and coastal regions are part of the CCOS domain. Ozone is not highly water soluble, but McLaughlin and Taylor (1981) report that ozone deposition to plants can increase by a factor of 2-3 when relatively humidity changes from 35% to 75%. Based on this, Mahrt et al. (1995) suggest that ozone deposition may show a more complex spatial and/or temporal pattern than heat and moisture fluxes. Deposition studies for CCOS could include measurement of ozone fluxes over more varied types of terrain within the CCOS study area, including the higher humidity areas of delta or the coastal areas. Desjardins et al. (1995) report that aircraft flux measurements compared well with tower-based flux measurement at two instrumented vineyard sites during CODE. Aircraft could be used to expand the diversity of sites measured. 3. Precurser deposition rates. Fluxes of NOx and VOC were not measured during CODE. Specify the equations, assumptions, input data, and uncertainties for the deposition model. From the examination of micrometeorological data and vertical flux measurements, determine the extent to which these equations represent reality, and the degree to which assumptions are complied with. Evaluate the effects of input data uncertainties on deposition estimates. 3.3.12 Reformulate the Conceptual Model The conceptual model described in Section 2 must be revisited and refined using the results yielded by the foregoing data analyses. New phenomena, if they are observed, must be conceptualized so that a mathematical model to describe them may be formulated and tested. The formulation, assumptions, and parameters in mathematical modules which will be included in the integrated air quality model must be examined with respect to their consistency with reality. 3.3.12.1 Refine Conceptual Models of Pollutant Emissions Specify motor vehicle emission model equations, assumptions, input data, and uncertainties. Reconcile the ambient species ratios found in ambient data (as studied in prior work elements) with ratios determined from emissions models in terms of model or measurement biases. By stratifying samples, estimate the effects of different meteorological variables on emission rates. Pay special attention to the validity of models regarding vehicle age, 3-34 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements maintenance, effects of hot and cold operating conditions, and vehicle-type distributions. Recommend improvements to emission models based on these observations. Specify biogenic emission model assumptions, input data, and uncertainties. Reconcile ambient hydrocarbon species ratios at sites located in agricultural and forested areas with those determined from emission models in terms of model or measurement biases. By stratifying samples, estimate the effects of different meteorological variables, especially wind speed, on emission rates. Examine chemical speciation as a function of vegetation type. Examine total ammonia concentrations as a function of nearby soil types and fertilizer applications. Recommend improvements to emission models based on these observations. Specify oilfield and refinery emission model assumptions, input data, and uncertainties for cogeneration systems, diesel-powered internal combustion engines associated with pumps, natural gas plants, drilling rigs, remote operations, spills, leaks from valves and flanges, evaporation from storage tanks, cyclic and non-cyclic well head vents, sumps, measuring stations, evaporation from tanker trucks and loading racks, pumping stations, and vacuum trucks, and gasoline stations. Evaluate how well these emissions estimates relate to reality, and which variables are not included in current methodology. Reconcile ambient hydrocarbon species ratios at sites located near sewage plants and feedlots with those determined from emission models in terms of model or measurement biases. By stratifying samples, estimate the effects of different meteorological variables, especially temperature and relative humidity, on emission rates. Recommend improvements to emission models based on these observations. Intermittent events include fires, entertainment and sporting events, and industrial upsets. Specify the models that treat intermittent events, their assumptions, and input data. Examine the magnitude of emissions from intermittent events with respect to other emissions to determine whether or not these emissions are significant. Recommend improvements to emission models based on these observations. Examine the variability in emissions for intensive analysis days. Compare this variability to that assumed by point source models. Recommend improvements in emission models based on these observations. 3.3.12.2 Refine Models of Pollutant Transport and Dispersion Thermal lows are caused by surface heating over the Mojave Desert and the Central Valley and are one of the major causes of flow between the Bay Area and the central coast to the Central Valley. Specify meteorological model assumptions and input data relevant to calculating the vertical profile of this transport pathway. For unidirectional flows, the mathematical formulation should show a minimum in turbulence or laminar flow occurring at the height of the wind maximum, and the width of the jet should be adequately estimated. The model formulation should allow this region of minimal turbulence to intensify the nighttime inversion in the vicinity of the flow and to inhibit vertical transport. Reconcile the model formulation with the location, dimensions, intensity, duration, and frequency of the thermal low transport. Quantify and compare measurement and model uncertainties. 3-35 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements Upslope flows in the Sierra Nevada result from heating of the mountain sidewalls by the afternoon. The downslope flows commence after sunset when the slopes cool. When the intensity of these up-slope winds is large, pollutants are vented from the Central Valley into the air above the mixed layer, and possibly into neighboring air basins. Examine the assumptions and input data of the meteorological model, which relate to slope flows. Determine whether or not the intensity and timing of these flows corresponds to those observed in other data analysis work elements. Identify those cases in which upslope flows vent pollutants above the mixed layer or over the summit, and determine the extent to which the mathematical formulation can represent these cases. Identify areas of uncertainty in the modeling and measurement processes and attempt to quantify these uncertainties. Marine airflows mix, age, and transport pollutants from coastal air basin to the Central Valley. These airflows develop primarily from strong coast-to-inland pressure gradients. The most visible artifact of these flows is the marine stratus that forms along the coastal areas. A stronger inversion, a feature of the subtropical high, is usually present above the marine stratus layer and may extend to heights of 100 to 1000 m ASL, sufficiently deep to extend over the coastal mountains. Examine the results of windflow analysis to determine where and when this transport phenomenon occurs. Determine the presence or absence of fogs and high humidity at night, with the intent of understanding whether or not NOx transported off the coast can be rapidly transformed to particulate nitrate that could be advected on-shore during the next day. Examine meteorological model formulation for those features that will describe these flows. Identify uncertainty in the modeling and measurement processes and attempt to quantify these uncertainties. Compare different pollutants with diurnal/spatial variations in humidity, visibility, cloud cover, and solar radiation for the same air mass. Evaluate episodes using Leipper Inversion Based Statistics (LIBS) discussed in Section 2.6. Identify the occurrence and thickness of different atmospheric layers from other data analysis work elements. Determine the modeled layer structure. Examine the extent to which layers can be assumed to be uniform, or must vary in depth as a function of location and time. Evaluate the uncertainty introduced to the modeling process by anticipated deviations from layering assumptions. 3-36 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements Table 3.1-1. Emission Inventory Roles and Responsibilities Agency Program Responsibilities Stationary Sources Area On-road Sources - Mobile Agricul- Sources tural and Controlled Burns ' Air Resources Board Local Air Districts Area Sources ' ' ' State and Federal Agencies NonAnthropogenic Sources – Biogenic QC & QA Checks ' ' ' ' ' ' ' Councils of Government Contractor NonAnthropogenic Sources – Wildland Fires ' ' ' ' ' ' 3-37 ' ' CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements Table 3.1-2. Required meteorological files. Mixing depth field Three dimensional wind field Surface temperature field Absolute humidity field Solar radiation scaling field Ultraviolet radiation scaling field Table 3.1-3. Typical chemical species in an emission inventory for modeling. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. Nitrogen dioxide Nitric oxide Sulfur dioxide Carbon monoxide Methane Ethane Higher alkanes Ethene Terminal alkenes Internal alkenes Isoprene Benzene Toluene Xylene and more reactive aromatics Carbonyls Formaldehyde Acetaldehyde and higher aldehydes Ketones 3-38 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements Air Quality Geographic Emissions Air Quality Model Photolysis 3-d Concentration Fields of O3, PM10 ... GIS Graphical Display and Analysis Figure 3.1-1. Files typically required by photochemical air quality model. 3-39 Meteorology CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements Rider College, NJ 60 Contributions (µg/m3) 50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 (EDT) HD Exhaust LD Exhaust Liquid Gasoline Gasoline Vapor CNG LPG Biogenic Unexplained Figure 3.2-1. Average source contribution estimates of ambient hydrocarbons at Rider College, NJ during summer, 1995 by time of day. Source: Fujita and Lu, 1998. Rider College - LD Exhaust 20 µg/m 3 30 10 0 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 Monday Friday Tuesday Saturday Wednesday Sunday Thursday Figure 3.2-2. Average source contribution estimates of hydrocarbons at Rider College, NJ during summer, 1995 (EDT) by day of the week. Source: Fujita and Lu, 1998. 3-40 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements Rider College (00-06 EDT) Rider College (06-12 EDT) N N 30 30 HD Exhaust 25 NW Liq. Gas. 15 W SW Liq. Gas. W SE CNG Biogenic E 0 SW SE S S Rider College (12-18 EDT) Rider College (18-24 EDT) N NW HD Exhaust 30 25 LD Exhaust 25 NE NW Liq. Gas. HD Exhaust LD Exhaust NE 20 Liq. Gas. 15 Gaso. Vap. 15 Gaso. Vap. 10 CNG 10 CNG Biogenic 5 W N 30 20 W E 0 SW SE W W W Biogenic 5 E 0 SW W W Gaso. Vap. 5 Biogenic E 0 LD Exhaust 10 CNG 5 NE 20 15 Gaso. Vap. 10 HD Exhaust 25 NW LD Exhaust NE 20 SE S S Figure 3.2-3. Wind directional dependence of source contributions by time of the day at Rider College, NJ during summer, 1995. 3-41 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 3: Data Requirements 3. 0 REQUIREMENTS FOR AIR QUALITY MODELING SYSTEMS AND DATA ANALYSIS.....................................................................................................................3-1 3.1 Modeling System Inputs ..........................................................................................3-1 3.1.1 Meteorological Modeling...............................................................................3-1 3.1.2 Emission Inventory Development..................................................................3-4 3.1.3 Air Quality Modeling ...................................................................................3-12 3.2 Model Evaluation...................................................................................................3-14 3.2.1 Evaluation of Meteorological Modeling ......................................................3-14 3.2.2 Evaluation of Emission Inventory Estimates ...............................................3-15 3.2.3 Air Quality Model Evaluation......................................................................3-20 3.3 Data Analysis Methods ..........................................................................................3-22 3.3.1 Accuracy, Precision, Validity, and Equivalence of Field Measurements ....3-22 3.3.2 Spatial, Temporal, and Statistical Distributions of Air Quality Measurements...............................................................................................3-24 3.3.3 Meteorological Transport Phenomena .........................................................3-26 3.3.4 Meteorological Dispersion Processes...........................................................3-27 3.3.5 Characterize Pollutant Fluxes ......................................................................3-28 3.3.6 Characterize Chemical and Physical Interactions ........................................3-28 3.3.7 Characterize Episodes ..................................................................................3-31 3.3.8 Observation-Driven Methods.......................................................................3-31 3.3.9 Contribution of Transported Pollutants to Ozone Violations in Downwind Areas.............................................................................................................3-32 3.3.10 Contributions of Elevated NOx Sources to Downwind O3........................3-32 3.3.11 Deposition Studies .....................................................................................3-33 3.3.12 Reformulate the Conceptual Model ...........................................................3-34 3-42 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 4.0 Chapter 4: CCOS Field Measurements CCOS FIELD MEASUREMENT PROGRAM This section summarizes the major components of the field measurement program with consideration of alternatives, options, and tradeoffs. Cost estimates are itemized in Section 5. Measurement methods are described in Appendix A and requirements for quality assurance and data management are specified in Appendices B and C, respectively. 4.1 Study Design Principles The proposed measurement program is designed to meet the goals and technical objectives specified in Section 1 and incorporates the following design guidelines that combine technical, logistical and cost considerations, and lessons learned from similar studies. 1. CCOS is designed to provide the aerometric and emission databases needed to apply and evaluate atmospheric and air quality simulation models, and to quantify the contributions of upwind and downwind air basins to exceedances of the federal 8-hour and state 1-hour ozone standards in northern and central California. While urban-scale and regional model applications are emphasized in this study, the CCOS database is also designed to support the data requirements of both modelers and data analysts. Air quality models require initial and boundary measurements for chemical concentrations. Meteorological models require sufficient three-dimensional wind, temperature, and relative humidity measurements for data assimilation. Data analysts require sufficient three-dimensional air quality and meteorological data within the study region to resolve the main features of the flows and the spatial and temporal pollutant distributions. The data acquired for analyses are used for diagnostic purposes to help identify problems with and to improve models. 2. Since episodes are caused by changes in meteorology, it is useful to document both the meteorology and air quality on non-episode days. For this reason, surface and upper air meteorological data as well as surface air quality data for NOx and ozone will be continuously collected during the entire summer of 2000. The database will be adequate for modeling and a network of radar profilers will allow increased confidence in assigning qualitative transport characterization (i.e., overwhelming, significant, or inconsequential) throughout the study period. 3. Many of the transport phenomena and important reservoirs of ozone and ozone precursors are found aloft. CCOS is designed to include extensive three-dimensional measurements and simulations because the terrain in the study area is complex and because the flow field is likely to be strongly influenced by land-ocean interactions. Several upper air meteorological measurements are proposed at strategic locations to elucidate this flow field. 4. Although specific advances have been made in characterizing emissions from major sources of precursor emissions, the accuracy of emission estimates for mobile, biogenic and other area sources at any given place and time remains poorly quantified. Ambient and source measurements, with sufficient temporal and chemical resolution, are required to identify and evaluate potential biases in emission inventory estimates. 4-1 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 4: CCOS Field Measurements 5. Past studies document that the differences in temporal and spatial distributions of precursor emissions on weekdays and weekends alter the magnitude and distribution of peak ozone levels. Measurements are needed to evaluate model performance during periods that include weekends. 6. Boundary conditions, particularly for formaldehyde, significantly affected model outputs in the SARMAP modeling resulting in over-prediction of ozone levels in the Bay Area. Measurements of documented quality and adequate sensitivity are needed along the western boundary of the modeling domain to adequately characterize the temporal and spatial distributions of ambient background levels of ozone precursors. 7. The measurements should be designed such that no single measurement system or individual measurement is critical to the success of the program. The measurement network should be dense enough that the loss of any one instrument or sampler will not substantially change analysis or modeling results. The study should be designed such that a greater number of intensive days than minimally necessary for modeling are included. This helps minimize the influence of atypical weather during the field program and decreases the probability of equipment being broken or unavailable on a day selected for modeling. Most measurements should be consistent in location and time for all intensive study days and during the entire study period (i.e., no movement of measurements). In this way, one day can be compared to another. Continuous measurements should be designed to make use of the existing monitoring networks to the extent possible. 4.2 Study Domain The study domain includes most of northern California and all of central California. The northern boundary extends through Redding and provides representation of the entire Central Valley of California. The western boundary extends approximately 200 km west of San Francisco and allows the meteorological model to use mid-oceanic values for boundary conditions. The southern boundary extends below Santa Barbara and into the South Coast Air Basin. The eastern boundary extends past Barstow and includes a large part of the Mojave Desert and all of the southern Sierra Nevada. 4.3 Study Period The CCOS field measurement program will be conducted during a three-month period from 6/15/00 to 9/15/00 (study period). This period corresponds to the majority of elevated ozone levels observed in northern and central California during previous years. Continuous surface and upper-air meteorological measurements and surface air quality measurements of O3 NO, NOx or NOy will be made hourly throughout the study period in order to provide sufficient input data to model any day during the study period. These measurements are made in order to assess the representativeness of the episode days, to provide information on the meteorology and air quality conditions on days leading up to the episodes, and to assess the meteorological regimes and transport patterns which lead to ozone episodes. 4-2 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 4: CCOS Field Measurements Additional continuous surface air quality measurements will be made at several sites during a shorter two-month study period from 7/6/00 to 9/2/00 (primary study period). These measurements include nitrogen dioxide (NO2), peroxyacetylnitrate (PAN) and other peroxyacylnitrates (PAcN), particulate nitrate (NO3-), formaldehyde (HCHO), and speciated volatile organic compounds. These measurements allow detailed examination of the diurnal, day-to-day, and day-of-the-week variations in carbon and nitrogen chemistry at transport corridors and at locations downwind of the San Francisco Bay Area, Sacramento, Fresno, and Bakersfield where ozone formation may be either VOC- or NOx-limited depending upon time of day and pattern of pollutant transport. These data support operational and diagnostic model evaluations, evaluations of emission inventories, and corroborative observation-based data analyses. Additional data will be collected during ozone episodes (intensive operational periods, IOP) to better understand the dynamics and chemistry of the formation of high ozone concentrations. The budget for CCOS allows for up to 15 days total for episodic measurements. With an average episode of three to four days, four to five episodes are likely. These measurements include instrumented aircraft, speciated VOC, and radiosonde measurements, which are labor intensive and require costly expendables or laboratory analyses. IOPs will be forecasted during periods that correspond to categories of meteorological conditions called scenarios, which are associated with ozone episodes and ozone transport in northern and central California. These intensive measurements will be made on days leading up to and during ozone episodes and during specific ozone transport scenarios. The additional measurements are needed for operational and diagnostic model evaluation, to improve our conceptual understanding of the causes of ozone episodes in the study region and the contribution of transport to exceedances of federal and state ozone standards in downwind areas. 4.4 Surface Meteorological Measurements Field monitoring includes continuous measurements over several months and intensive studies that are performed on a forecast basis during selected periods when episodes are most likely to occur. This section describes the existing routine air quality and meteorological monitoring network in northern and central California, and the options for continuous and intensive air quality and meteorological measurements (surface and aloft) to be made during CCOS. The existing meteorological network in central California is extensive, but uncoordinated among the different agencies. Figure 4.4-1 shows the locations of surface meteorological monitoring sites operated by the Air Resources Board (ARB), the Bay Area Air Quality Management District (BAAQMD), the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the California Irrigation Management Information Service (CIMIS), Interagency Monitoring of PROtected Visual Environments (IMPROVE), the National Weather Service (NWS), Pacific Gas and Electric Company (PG&E), the U.S. Coast Guard, Remote Automated Weather Stations (RAWS) for fire fighting, and a few miscellaneous monitors. Wind speed and direction, temperature, and relative humidity are the most common measurements. The network of surface pressure and solar radiation measurements is also extensive. Three sites measure ultraviolet radiation in the Sacramento Valley, in the San Joaquin Valley, and along the south coast in Santa Barbara County. 4-3 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 4: CCOS Field Measurements Figure 4.4-2 shows the surface meteorological observables measured at each monitoring location, regardless of the network from which they are derived. Wind speed and direction, temperature, and relative humidity are the most common measurements. The network or surface pressure and solar radiation measurements is also extensive. Three sites measure ultraviolet radiation in the Sacramento Valley, in the San Joaquin Valley, and along the south coast in Santa Barbara County. The specific measurements at each site and the networks they belong to are documented in Appendix C of Watson et al., (1998). Thuillier et al. (1994) document the methods used to acquire and report data in most of these networks with their similarities and differences. Wind speed measurements are taken at heights ranging from 2 m to 10 m agl at most sites and temperatures are measured by aspirated and unaspirated thermometers. The major limitations of existing network instrumentation are: 1) wind thresholds of ~1 m/s for most instruments, which is adequate for non-winter periods, but not for low winds in the surface layer during winter; 2) relative humidity sensors that are inaccurate at high (<90%) humidities; and 3) insufficient temporal resolution (i.e. on the order of minutes) to detect wind gusts that might suspend dust. The existing meteorological network will be augmented with the CCOS supplemental sites described below. Ten meter meteorological towers at each of these sites will be equipped with low threshold (~0.3 m/s) wind sensors and high sensitivity relative humidity sensors. Section 10 describes the monitors available for these measurements. Five-minute average measurements will be acquired so that the data can be interpreted with respect to wind gusts that might raise dust, short-term shifts and wind direction that might correspond to pulses measured by continuous particle monitors, and short duration clouds and fogs that cause rapid changes in the 90% to 100% RH interval. With these supplemental measurements and surface measurements at the upper air sites, the existing surface monitoring network provides adequate coverage for the northern and central California study domain. 4.5 Surface Air Quality Measurements The California Air Resources Board and local air pollution control districts currently operate 185 air quality monitoring stations throughout northern and central California. Of the active sites, 130 measure ozone and 76 measure NOx. Carbon monoxide and hydrocarbons are measured at 57 and 11 sites, respectively. Data from these sites are routinely acquired and archived by the ARB and Districts. This extensive surface air quality monitoring network provides a substantial database for setting initial condition for the model, and for operational evaluation of model outputs. ARB, in collaboration with the California air quality management districts, is establishing the PM2.5 monitoring sites. The PM10 acquires filter samples every sixth day. Several of the PM10 sites have continuous monitors that measure hourly PM10 everyday. Watson et al. (1998) describes the PM measurement network. Supplemental air quality measurement are required at several existing monitoring sites to increase the extent of chemical speciation and in key areas of the modeling domain where routine monitoring stations do not currently exist. Measurements of documented quality and adequate sensitivity are needed along the western boundary of the modeling domain to adequately characterize the temporal and spatial distributions of ambient background levels of ozone precursors because boundary conditions can significantly affected model outputs. 4-4 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 4: CCOS Field Measurements Background sites intend to measure concentrations that are not influenced by northern and central California emissions. Interbasin transport sites are intended to evaluate concentrations along established or potential transport pathways between basins, including the Bay Area, the North Central Coast, the Sacramento Valley, the San Joaquin Valley, Mountain counties, the South Central Coast Air Basin, and the Mojave desert. Intrabasin gradient sites are located in non-urban areas between routine network sites. They are intended to evaluate the extent to which one urban area affects ozone concentrations in another urban area, as well as the extent to which urban contributions arrive at suburban and rural locations. The CCOS field measurement program consists of four categories of supplemental measurement sites with increasing levels of chemical speciation and time resolution – Type 0, 1, and 2 “supplemental” (S) sites and “research” (R) sites. The instruments to be used in the supplemental network are listed in Table 4.5-1. Appendix A describes the various types of instruments and measurements methods. Table 4.5-2 shows the instrument configuration at each of the CCOS supplemental air quality monitoring sites, using the letter designations introduced in Table 4.5-1. Figure 4.5-1 shows the locations of the existing monitoring stations measuring ozone and NOx. Figure 4.5-2 shows the locations of existing monitoring stations measuring carbon monoxide and speciated hydrocarbons and carbonyl compounds in relation to proposed CCOS supplemental monitoring sites. 4.5.1 CCOS Type 0 Supplemental Monitoring Sites (S0) S0 sites are intended to fill in key areas of the modeling domain where ozone, nitrogen oxides, and surface meteorology are not currently measured. Proposed sites include McKittrick and Kettleman City (both along the western side of the San Joaquin Valley), Shasta (downwind of Redding), and Carizo Plain (along transport route between San Luis Obispo and the southern San Joaquin Valley). In addition NO/NOy analyzers will be added at several existing monitoring sites that currently measure only ozone. Three of these sites are located along pollutant transport routes (Vacaville, San Martin, and Walnut Grove Tower at two elevations). Yosemite (Turtleback Dome) is proposed in order to monitor NO/NOy at one site where formation of ozone is expected to be always NOx limited. 4.5.2 CCOS Type 1 Supplemental Monitoring Sites (S1) S1 sites are intended to establish boundary and initial conditions for input into air quality models. These sites are needed at the upwind boundaries of the modeling domain, in the urban center and at downwind locations. The following aerometric parameters are measured at S1 supplemental monitoring sites. 1. Continuous surface wind speed and direction and temperature during study period. 2. Continuous ozone during study period. 3. Continuous NO and NOy during study period by high sensitivity chemiluminescence analyzer (e.g., TEI42S or equivalent) with the converter near the sample inlet. 4. Four 3-hour canister samples for up to 15 IOP days (with option for 2 additional days) for analysis of CO, CO2, methane by gas chromatography, reduction of CO and CO2 to CH4, 4-5 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 4: CCOS Field Measurements and analysis by flame ionization detection; and C2-C12 hydrocarbons and MTBE by gas chromatography with flame ionization detection. 5. Four 3-hour DNPH cartridge samples for up to 15 IOP days (with option for 2 additional days) for C1-C7 carbonyl compounds by HPLC with UV detection. With the exception of NOy measurements, S1 sites are equivalent to Photochemical Assessment Monitoring Stations (PAMS) sites. Measurements of speciated volatile organic compounds (VOC) made under CCOS (four 3-hour samples on 15 IOP days) supplement the 11 existing PAMS sites in the study area (four in Sacramento, four in Fresno, and three in Bakersfield. The ozone episodic samples that will be collected under PAMS will coincide with the CCOS IOP days. S1 sites are proposed for Bodega Head and along the south central coast north of Morro Bay at or near Piedras Blancas Point to obtain background data near the western boundary of the CCOS modeling domain. Sutter Buttes and Turlock provide characterization of ambient air transported into the upper Sacramento Valley and into the northern San Joaquin Valley, respectively, as a function of the nature of the flow bifurcation downwind of the San Francisco Bay Area. Measurements at Anderson (located south of Redding) are designed to determine whether ozone precursors immediately upwind of Redding are largely transported or are attributable to local sources. Similar transport issues are address by measurements in the foothill communities near Grass Valley and San Andreas. Type S1 measurements are also proposed for the CRPAQS Anchor site at Angiola. The Bay Area AQMD will operate the existing San Jose and San Leandro monitoring sites as S1 sites during CCOS. 4.5.3 CCOS Type 2 Supplemental Monitoring Sites (S2) S2 sites are located at the interbasin transport and intrabasin gradient sites, and near the downwind edge of the urban center where ozone formation may either be VOC or NOx limited depending upon time of day and pattern of pollutant transport. S2 sites also provide data for initial conditions and operation evaluations and some diagnostic evaluation of model outputs. The following aerometric parameters are measured at Type 2 supplemental monitoring sites. 1. Continuous surface wind speed and direction and temperature during study period. 2. Continuous O3 during study period. 3. Continuous NO and NOy during study period by a high sensitivity chemiluminescence analyzer (e.g., TEI 42S) for new sites or NOy and NOy* (NOy minus HNO3) with TEI42CY for existing monitoring sites with a NO/NOx analyzer. Nitric acid can be estimated by difference between the signals with and without a NaCl impregnated fiber denuder. 4. Continuous NO2 and peroxyacylnitrate (PAcN) during primary study period by gas chromatography with Luminol detector. A second estimate of HNO3 is obtained by the difference between NOy and the sum of NO, NO2, and PAcN. This second estimate is an upper-limit because NOy also includes other organic nitrates and particulate ammonium nitrate. 4-6 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 4: CCOS Field Measurements 5. Continuous formaldehyde (HCHO) during primary study period by an instrument that continuously measures the fluorescent, dihydrolutidine derivative formed by the reaction of formaldehyde with 1,3-cyclohexanedione and ammonium ion (Dong and Dasgupta, 1994; Fan and Dasgupta, 1994). 6. Four 3-hour canister samples for up to 15 IOP days (with option for 2 additional days) for analysis of CO, CO2, methane by gas chromatography, reduction of CO and CO2 to CH4, and analysis by flame ionization detection; and C2-C12 hydrocarbons and MTBE by gas chromatography with flame ionization detection. 7. Four 3-hour DNPH cartridge samples for up to 15 IOP days (with option for 2 additional days) for C1-C7 carbonyl compounds by HPLC with UV detection. Measurements at S2 sites include those at S1 sites plus continuous NOy*, nitrogen dioxide (NO2), peroxyacetylnitrate (PAN) and formaldehyde (HCHO). The measurements allow more detailed assessments of VOC- and NOx-limitation by observation-driven methods during the entire two-month primary study period. S2 sites are proposed along the three main passes connecting the Bay Area and the Central Valley (Bethel Island, Altamont Pass, and Pacheco Pass. S2 measurements are also proposed downwind of Fresno at the Mouth of the Kings River and downwind of Bakersfield at Edison. One additional S2 site is proposed at a location northeast of Sacramento. 4.5.4 CCOS Research Sites Research sites have the same site requirements as S2 sites. The sites are intended to measure a representative urban mix of pollutants, and must be carefully selected to minimize the potential influence of local emission sources. As with S2 sites, research sites are located where ozone formation may either be VOC or NOx limited depending upon time of day and pattern of pollutant transport. Research site are intended to provide the maximum extent of high-quality, time-resolved chemical and other aerometric data for rigorous diagnostic evaluation of air quality model simulations and emission inventory estimates. The following aerometric parameters are measured at Research monitoring sites. 1. Continuous surface wind speed and direction and temperature during study period; 2. Continuous ozone during study period; 3. Continuous NO/NOx analyzer during study period. 4. Continuous NOy and NOy* during study period with TEI42CY. Nitric acid estimated by difference between the signals with and without a NaCl impregnated fiber denuder. 5. Continuous NO2 and PAcN during primary study period by gas chromatography with Luminol detector. A second estimate of HNO3 is obtained by the difference between NOy and the sum of NO, NO2, and PAcN. This second estimate is an upper-limit because NOy also includes organic nitrates and particulate ammonium nitrate. 4-7 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 4: CCOS Field Measurements 6. Continuous formaldehyde during primary study period by an instrument that continuously measures the fluorescent, dihydrolutidine derivative formed by the reaction of formaldehyde with 1,3-cyclohexanedione and ammonium ion (Dong and Dasgupta, 1994; Fan and Dasgupta, 1994). 7. Semi-continuous hourly organic compound speciation data during primary study period by gas chromatography with mass spectrometry. VOC speciation includes C2 and higher volatile hydrocarbons, carbonyl and halogenated compounds. Collect up to 10 sets of canister and DNPH samples for measurement comparisons with GC/MS and continuous HCHO analyzer. 8. Continuous CO by TEI 48C or equivalent and continuos CO2 by TEI 41C or equivalent during study period. 9. Continuous NO2 and O3 photolysis rates during study period by filter radiometer. 10. Semi-continuous particulate nitrate during primary study period by Aerosol Dynamics Inc. (ADI) automated particle nitrate monitor. The monitor uses an integrated collection and vaporization cell whereby particles are collected by a humidified impaction process, and analyzed in place by flash vaporization with quantitation of the evolved gases by chemiluminescent analyzer. A commercial unit is anticipated by next summer. 11. Continuos total light absorption by aethalometer and total light scattering by ambient integrating nephelometer during primary study period. 12. Continuous NO2, HNO3, HCHO and H2O2 on twenty IOP days by dual tunable diode laser absorption spectrometers at the Fresno research site. 13. Semi-continuous measurements of multi-functional carbonyl compounds on 15 IOP days by derivatization and analysis by GC/MS at the Sacramento research site. 14. Continuous HONO by Differential Optical Absorption Spectroscopy on 15 IOP days at one research site. (Contingent upon available funding). 15. Four 3-hour Tenax cartridge samples for up to 15 IOP days (with option for 2 additional days) for analysis C8-C20 hydrocarbons. Research sites are proposed downwind of Sacramento and Fresno, and near Dublin between Oakland and Livermore. 4.6 Upper Air Meteorological Network Figure 4.6-1 and 4.6-2 show the locations of types of upper air meteorological monitors to be deployed for the summer 2000 field study. Table 4.5-1 describes the upper air sites, their measurements and operators. Radar profilers, doppler sodars, and RASS are used at most sites because they acquire hourly average wind speed, wind direction, and temperature by remote sensing without constant operator intervention. Sodars are collocated with profilers at several 4-8 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 4: CCOS Field Measurements locations because they provide greater vertical resolution in the first 100 m agl. especially important near terrain features and during winter. This is Several radar profilers are being installed to acquire a multi-year database, and one of the important functions of the CCOS/CRPAQS supplements to this network is to relate these relatively sparse measurements to the detailed meteorological patterns determined during CCOS. The ARB operates two profilers (with RASS) in the San Joaquin Valley, and the San Joaquin Unified APCD and Sacramento Metropolitan AQMD operate one profiler/RASS each as part of their PAMS monitoring program. Military facilities with operational profilers include Travis AFB, Vandenberg AFB, and the Naval Post Graduate School in Monterey. Because these profilers are operated by different entities, equivalent methods of data evaluation and reporting need to be established among these entities prior to CCOS field study. Six profiles/RASS will be installed and operational during summer 2000 as part of the CRPAQS. In addition, nine profilers/RASS and 5 sodars will be installed for the CCOS summer 2000 field study. Radiosondes are needed to determine changes in relative humidity and to quantify conditions at elevations above ~2000 m agl. They are also the only practical means of acquiring upper air measurements in cities where the noise and siting requirements of remote sensing devices make them difficult to operate. Radiosondes are routinely launched through the year at 0400 and 1600 PST from Oakland, with additional launches at Vandenberg, Edwards, and Pt. Mugu according to military mission requirements. None of these locations are within the Central Valley, so these will be supplemented by launches at Sacramento and in the southern San Joaquin Valley on 20 episodic days during summer with six radiosondes (with ozonesonde) releases per day. The 490 MHz RWP will be place in the Fresno area to provide higher vertical sounding in the southern portion of the Central Valley. In addition to ozonesondes mentioned in the previous section, aloft air quality measurements are available from fixed platforms that are part of the routine monitoring network (e.g., Walnut Grove radio tower and Sutter Buttes). CCOS will add NOy measurements at Walnut Grove and Sutter Buttes to provide additional information on oxidants available as carryover to mix-down on the following day. 4.7 In-Situ Aircraft Measurements Instrumented aircraft will be used to measure the three dimensional distribution of ozone, ozone precursors, and meteorological variables. The aircraft will provide information at the boundaries and will document the vertical gradients, the mixed layer depth, and nature of elevated pollutant layers. The concentrations and (in conjunction with upper air wind soundings) the transport of pollutants across selected vertical planes will be measured to document transport of pollutants and precursors between offshore and onshore and between air basins. Redundancy and operational cross-checks can be built into the aircraft measurements by including overlapping flight plans for the various types of aircraft and by doing aircraft measurements near the ground over air quality monitoring sites. Three aircraft are included in the program and one additional aircraft is equipped with an ozone lidar. Instrumented aircraft will be used to measure the three dimensional distribution of ozone, ozone precursors, and meteorological variables. The aircraft will provide information about 4-9 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 4: CCOS Field Measurements boundary concentrations, vertical concentration gradients, the mixed layer depth, and the spatial extent of some elevated pollutant layers. The concentrations and (in conjunction with upper air wind soundings) the transport of pollutants across selected vertical planes will be measured to document transport of pollutants and precursors between offshore and onshore and between air basins. Four aircraft are included in the base program. Three small air quality aircraft are needed to document the vertical and horizontal gradients of ozone, NOx, ROG, temperature, and humidity in the study region. One aircraft is needed for the Bay Area and the northern San Joaquin Valley, a second aircraft for the Sacramento Valley and northern Sierra Nevada, and a third aircraft the San Joaquin Valley and southern Sierra Nevada. Onboard air quality instruments should have high sensitivity and fast response (e.g., modified TEI 42S for NO and NOy). The small aircraft will make one flight in the early morning (0500 to 0900 PDT) to document the morning precursors and the carryover from the day before and a second flight in mid-afternoon (1300 to 1700 PDT) to document the resulting ozone distribution. An occasional third flight might be considered during the night to characterize the nocturnal transport regime and pollutant layers. Flights last between three to four hours and may consist of a series of spirals (over fixed points on the ground) and traverses (at constant altitude from one point to another) throughout the mixed layer. One of these aircraft will also participate in characterizing flux-planes. This aircraft should have the capability to measure wind direction and speed. VOC samples are collected in the morning during downward spirals between 200 and 600 m AGL in order to characterize carryover of VOC from the previous day. VOC samples in the afternoon are collected in the mixed layer in the bottom 350 m of the downward spiral. Sample durations in these layers are approximately two minutes. Hydrocarbon samples are collected in stainless steel canisters and carbonyl samples are collected in Tedlar bags and transferred to dinitrophenyl hydrazine impregnated C18 cartridges on the ground at the conclusion of the flight. Hydrocarbon samples are subsequently analyzed in the laboratory by gas chromatography with flame ionization detection per EPA Method TO-14 and carbonyl samples are analyzed in the laboratory by HPLC with UV detection per Method TO-11. The budget allows for collection and analysis of three sets of hydrocarbon and carbonyl samples per flight. Analytical laboratories must demonstrate the capability to achieve detection limits that are anticipated for these samples . A larger multi-engine aircraft is needed to document the horizontal and vertical gradients along the offshore boundaries of the modeling domain. This plane carries the same instrumentation as the smaller planes with the capability to measure wind direction and speed. This long-range aircraft will make two flights per day, one in the early morning and one in midafternoon. The flights will take about four hours and will likely consist of a series of dolphin patterns (slow climbs and descents along the flight path) and traverses. During one leg of the morning flight of the first day of an IOP, this aircraft will measure the concentrations at the western, overwater boundary of the study area. On the return leg, the aircraft will document the concentrations and fluxes across the shoreline. VOC samples are collected during constantaltitude traverses for the overwater boundary and during several spirals for the shoreline legs. Boundary measurements will be made during both non-episode and episode days. This plane will also participate in flux plane measurements. 4-10 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 4: CCOS Field Measurements This long-range aircraft will make two flights per day, one in the early morning and one in mid-afternoon. The flights will take about four hours and will consist of a series of dolphin patterns (slow climbs and descents along the flight path) and traverses. During one leg of the morning flight of the first day of an IOP, this aircraft will measure the concentrations at the overwater (western) boundary of the study area. On the return leg, the aircraft will document the concentrations and fluxes across the shoreline. VOC samples are collected during constantaltitude traverses for the overwater boundary and channel legs and during several spirals for the shoreline legs. The specific flight plans will need to be developed over the next year for this aircraft under different meteorological scenarios. The specific flight plans will be developed over the next several months for the four aircraft under different meteorological scenarios. The above general description of flight patterns and objectives of each flight will be specified in the operational program plan. Aircraft that are available during the summer 2000 field study include two single-engine Cessna from UCD, twinengine Aztec and up to two additional single engine aircraft by STI. The capabilities of these aircraft and associated personnel vary with each group. 4.8 Consideration of Alternative Vertical Ozone Measurements In addition to the instrumented aircraft described in Section 4.7, both airborne and ground-based lidars, and ozonesondes have been used in previous studies to obtain vertical ozone measurements. The CCOS Technical Committee discussed the merits of these alternative approaches and reached the consensus that a small fleet of instrumented aircraft would provide the most cost-effective approach given the tradeoffs between temporal and spatial information and requirements for pollutant flux and plume measurements. The following summary provides the rationale for the Committee’s recommendation. The Atmospheric Lidar Division of NOAA’s Environmental Technology Laboratory in Boulder operates an airborne, downlooking UV-DIAL, which was originally developed by EPA's Environmental Monitoring Systems Laboratory – Las Vegas. This system is capable of measuring range resolved ozone concentrations and aerosol, nadir looking from its airborne platform to near the ground level. The current measurement range for ozone is from about 0.8 km to 2.5–3 km, with the lower limit corresponding to the complete overlap of laser beams with the field of view of the telescope. The lower limit might be reduced somewhat in the future by applying the overlap correction in the data analysis and/or different alignment of the hardware. Generally, the DIAL data are analyzed for ozone concentrations down to about 90–150 m above ground. Accuracy of the DIAL data is 4 ppbv from comparisons with in situ instruments. Precision is 3 ppbv at 1.5 km range from the lidar to 11 ppbv at 2.5 km range with 500 m horizontal resolution (8 seconds at 65 m/s flight speed) and 90 m vertical resolution (Alvarez, 1999). Cost estimate for NOAA's airborne ozone lidar including preliminary on-site data processing is $300,000 for 1 month deployment and 80 flight hours and $70,000 for one additional week deployment with additional 20 flight hours. Including $150,000 for data processing, the total cost is $520,000 for 100 flight hours. The airborne system is currently scheduled to participate in the Texas 2000 experiment from 8/15/00 through 9/15/00, and will be available only during the first five weeks of the CCOS primary study period. 4-11 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 4: CCOS Field Measurements An airborne lidar system provides the advantage of spatial coverage, but the disadvantage of limited temporal information. These attributes are reversed for a ground-based lidar system. The Atmospheric Lidar Division of NOAA’s Environmental Technology Laboratory in Boulder has developed a transportable ozone and aerosol lidar specifically for the measurement of ozone in the boundary layer and the lower free troposphere. Ozone measurements can be obtained for a range of up to 3 km under moderate to high surface ozone concentrations (< 150 ppb) while, for extremely high concentrations, a range of 2 km can still be achieved. Aerosol profiles for a maximum range of about 10 km can be obtained with a range resolution of 15 m. The lower range limit is very good (≈ 50 m) due to the use of an innovative technique for the compression of the lidar dynamic range (Zhao et al., 1992). Using the 266/289 nm wavelengths pair, averaging 600-1200 pulses (5-10 min at 2 Hz or 1-2 min at 10 Hz), the retrieval of ozone concentrations has a range resolution from a few tens of meters in the lower boundary layer to 150-200 m at about 3 km. Range resolution decreases with height because the signal-to-noise ratio decreases with distance. The NOAA ground-based lidar has the necessary range to make useful measurements further inland where the boundary layer height is larger. The measurement direction of the lidar system can be scanned in one dimension from 30o to 150o yielding a two dimensional ozone measurement. The vertical scanning capability provides a valuable internal system check, frequent calibration, and was desired for both monitoring and modeling studies. This system is being modified to add a new wavelength at 299 nm, to provide a longer maximum range of ozone measurements in a thick boundary layer. Cost estimate for NOAA's ground based ozone lidar (OPAL) is $230,000 for one month deployment with 150 hours of operation. The ground-based lidar could be located at up to two sites (with one move during the field study). The ground-base lidar could serve as an anchor site within a network of ozonesonde launch locations arrayed along the following transport routes: 1) west-east transport path between the Bay Area, Sacramento, and the Sierra Nevada foothills; and 2) north-south transport up the San Joaquin Valley. Ozonesondes have the disadvantages of being labor intensive and expensive. In addition, ozonesonde data is difficult to interpret in region where ozone is not spatially uniform. 4.9 Measurements for Special Studies In addition to the measurement described above, data are also needed to develop dayspecific emissions data and to evaluate the validity of emission estimates as described under CCOS technical objectives B-2 and D-4, respectively. The following experiments are also required to address specific technical issues that cannot be fully address by the proposed CCOS monitoring program. Contribution of Transported Pollutants to Ozone Violations in Downwind Areas In principle, well-performing grid models have the ability to quantify transport contributions. However, many of the interbasin transport problems involve complex flow patterns with strong terrain influences that are difficult and expensive to model. Upper-air meteorological and air quality data in critical transport locations is generally required in order to properly evaluate and use grid models for quantifying transport contributions. In combination 4-12 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 4: CCOS Field Measurements with modeling, data analyses can improve the evaluation of modeling results and provide additional quantification of transport contributions. In order to quantify pollutant transport and to provide data for modeling and data analyses, surface and aloft measurements are needed at locations where transport can occur and at the times when transport is occurring. These monitoring locations include in and near mountain passes, along coastlines, offshore, and at various locations in the downwind air basin. Aloft measurements made by instrumented aircraft are used to calculate transport across flux planes. Vertical planes, intersecting the profiler sites downwind of and perpendicular to the transport path, can be defined and provide estimates of transport through these passes using surface and aircraft measurements of pollutant concentrations and surface and wind profiler data for volume flux estimations. Contributions of Elevated NOx Sources to Downwind Ozone Power plants and other sources with tall stacks are significant sources of NOx, which in the presence of NMHC can lead to catalytic formation of ozone downwind of the source. However, close to the stack there is a temporary decrease in ozone levels due to “titration” by high levels of NO in the near field of the plume. Further downstream, ozone levels above the local background indicate net ozone production due to the reaction of plume NOx with NMHC that are entrained into the plume in the dilution process. However, question remain as to how much ozone is actually produced in the plume, how the ozone production efficiency depends on the chemical composition of the plume, and what the relative contributions of power plants are to high ozone episodes ozone in downwind areas. It is not clear that the treatment of plumes by state-of-the-art models is adequate. Vertical transport (e.g., plume rise and fall the plume during downwind transport) may not be adequately described. Recent power plant plumes studies (Senff et al., 1998) utilized airborne ozone and aerosol lidar in conjunction with other instrumented aircraft. Because of its ability to characterize the two dimensional structure of ozone and aerosols below the aircraft, the airborne lidar is well suited to document the evolution of the size and shape of the power plant plume as well as its impact on ozone concentration levels as the plume is advected downwind. This aircraft was considered as a study option, but budget constraints will prevent its use during CCOS. However, aircraft measurements of NOx, ozone and VOC concentrations made in plumes are required to test the validity of the treatment of plume dispersion and chemistry and the procedures for terminating the plume into the regular model grid by plume-in-grid parameterizations. Helicopter based measurements of power plant plume will be used to evaluate the plumein-grid (PiG) parameterizations used in air quality models. With PiG parameterizations plume emissions are simulated in a Lagrangian reference frame superimposed on the Eulerian reference frame of the host grid model. Ozone formation rates in the plume of an elevated point source will be different from the ambient air because of their very different VOC/NOx ratios. CCOS measurements of ozone, VOC and nitrogenous compounds in plumes and in the surrounding air will be compared with the simulations of models using the PiG approach. The plume study is described in Addendix D. 4-13 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 4: CCOS Field Measurements Deposition Studies During the California Ozone Deposition Experiment (CODE) in 1991, aircraft and towerbased flux measurements were taken over different types of San Joaquin Valley crops, irrigated and non-irrigated fields, and over dry grass. Estimates of ozone deposition velocities are 0.7-1.0 cm/s (Pederson et al. 1995). Order of magnitude calculations by Pun et al. show that dry deposition can be a few percent (~3-5%) of the total ozone budget in the San Joaquin Valley. However, modeling studies (Glen Cass, personal communication) have shown that dry deposition can play a more significant role in the budget of an important ozone precursor, NO2. Three alternative deposition studies are described in this conceptual plan. Two are tower-based and could take advantage of the 100-m tower at Angiola planned for CRPAQS. The third is an aircraft flux measurement and could be used for a variety of different terrain types. As part of CRPAQS, a 100 m, walk-up, scaffold tower will be constructed and maintained at the Angiola site to support year-long micrometeorological measurements as well as other vertical experiments. For the long-term measurements, the tower will be instrumented at five elevations with high precision anemometers, relative humidity, and temperature measurements and will record five minute averages of wind speed, wind direction, temperature, and relative humidity as well as average cross-products in the vertical and horizontal directions. These micrometeorological measurements will be used to create a diurnal and seasonal climatology for surface layer evolution, describe turbulent mixing and dispersion at the sub-grid scale level, and to determine micrometeorological conditions near the surface that affect suspension and deposition of dust, gases, and fine particles. A tower-based experiment using a DOAS lidar at three to five different heights could be employed to measure vertical O3, NO2, HONO, NO3, and HCHO concentration gradients. Optical fibers would distribute the laser pulse to each height, and a multi-pass cells could be used to increase the path length and thereby the accuracy. The O3 and NO2 measurement has an estimated accuracy on the order of 1.5 ppb for a five-minute averaging period over a 100-m pathlength (5 m folded 20 times). (Accuracy for any other species measured may be part of the investigation.) To get fluxes from the lidar gradient measurement, either an assumed form of eddy diffusivity would be required, or a modified Bowen ratio approach could be employed. The modified Bowen ratio and a direct eddy correlation measurement both require fast-response sonic anemometry (on the order of 10 Hz) to measure turbulent perturbations in the vertical velocity. With direct eddy correlation techniques, the species of interest must also be measured at the same rate to find the covariance with the vertical turbulent perturbations. This is the approach used in aircraft flux measurements. With the modified Bowen ratio technique, fast response measurements of a surrogate species (typically CO2 or H2O) are made and are then related to the species of interest via the ratio of vertical concentrations. Since fast response instruments are available for ozone (chemi-fluorescence) and for NOx (chemi-luminescence), the two techniques could be directly compared, giving greater confidence in the HONO, NO3, and HCHO flux estimates. Instrumented aircraft can also be a part of a wider study to investigate more divers land types. For example, the NOAA Long-EZ operated by the NOAA Air Resources Lab is already instrumented with fast response O3 and NOx analyzers and has a wind probe providing 2 cm/s 4-14 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 4: CCOS Field Measurements accuracy in turbulent perturbations. As was done in CODE, the aircraft could be periodically flown near the tower for crosscheck and QA purposes. The consensus view of the CCOS Technical Committee was that a proper study of atmospheric deposition would require far more funds than available within CCOS. Rather than dilute the CCOS effort, the Committee recommended that separate funding be sought for a comprehensive deposition study in the year 2001. 4-15 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 4: CCOS Field Measurements Table 4.5-1 CCOS Supplemental Surface Measurements Observable and Method Meteorology and Radiation Meteorology (WS,WD, T and RH) at 10 m Radiation (JNO2 and JO1D) Oxidants Ozone (ultraviolet absorption monitor) H2O2 (TDLAS) Nitrogen Species NO, NOx (chemiluminescent monitor) NO, NOy (high sensitivity chemiluminescent monitor with external converter) NOy, NOy-HNO3 (high sensitivity chemiluminescent monitor with dual converters w/ & w/o NaCl impregnated fiber denuder) NO2, PAcNs (GC - Luminol) NO - (flash vaporization) NO2, HNO3 (TDLAS) Carbon Species CO, CO2, CH4, C2-C12 hydrocarbons (canister/GC-FID) C1-C7 carbonyls( DNPH-HPLC/UV) HCHO (dihydrolutinine derivative/fluorescent detection) C8-C20 hydrocarbons (Tenax GC-FID, MSD) VOC (Automated-GC/ion trap mass spectrometer) HCHO (TDLAS) Hydroxy carbonyls CO (nondispersive infrared) CO2 (nondispersive infrared) PM/Visibility PM2.5 light absorption (aethalometer) PM2.5 light scattering (portable nephelometer) (1) At the Fresno research site only. (2) At the Sacramento research site only. Code Period Avg Time Type of Sites A T 6/15/00 to 9/15/00 6/15/00 to 9/15/00 5-minute 5-minute S0, S1, S2 and R R B Q 6/15/00 to 9/15/00 15 IOP days 5-minute 10-minute S0, S1, S2 and R C D 6/15/00 to 9/15/00 6/15/00 to 9/15/00 5-minute 5-minute S2, R S0, S1 E 6/15/00 to 9/15/00 10-minute S2, R F G P 7/2/00 to 9/2/00 7/2/00 to 9/2/00 15 IOP days 30-minute 10-minute 10-minute S2, R R J 15 IOP days 4 x 3-hr S1, S2, R N M 15 IOP days 7/2/00 to 9/2/00 4 x 3-hr 10-minute S1, S2, R S2, R K L 15 IOP days 7/2/00 to 9/2/00 4 x 3-hr hourly R R Q O H I 15 IOP days 15 IOP days 6/15/00 to 9/15/00 6/15/00 to 9/15/00 10-minute hourly, 5-minute 5-minute R (2) R R R R S 6/15/00 to 9/15/00 6/15/00 to 9/15/00 5-minute 5-minute R R 4-16 R (1) R (1) (1) 4-17 Fresno Downwind of Fresno R R R S2 S2 S2 S2 S2 S2 S1+ S1 S1 S1 S1 S1 S1 S1 S1 S1 S0 S0 S0 S0 NOy NOy NOy NOy Type New - CCOS SMAQMD CRPAQS ARB CRPAQS SMAQMD CRPAQS CRPAQS BAAQMD, CRPAQS CRPAQS New - CCOS SJVUAPCD ARB BAAQMD BAAQMD CRPAQS ARB ARB Shasta Co. CRPAQS New - CCOS CRPAQS New - CCOS NPS, CRPAQS BAAQMD Yolo-Solano SMAQMD Site Acquisition (1) CRPAQS Annual Site, 24-hour canister sample every 6th day. (2) Bay Area component of CCOS, samples collected and analyzed by BAAQMD. (3) 10-m meteorological tower located nearby. Sacramento Sloughhouse Merced Pacheco Pass Alameda Alameda Altamont Kern Contra Costa Bethel Island Dublin (Nextel) Tulare Angiola Edison San Luis Obispo South Central Coast Sacramento Stanislaus Turlock Fresno Calaveras San Andreas Trimmer (Forest Service) Santa Clara San Jose 4th Street Northeast Sacramento Sonoma White Cloud Alameda Nevada Sutter Buttes San Leandro Sutter Anderson Bodega Bay San Luis Obispo Shasta Carizo Plain (California Kern McKittrick Mariposa Yosemite - Turtleback Shasta Santa Clara San Martin Kings Solano Vacaville - El Mira Rd Kettleman City Sacramento Walnut Grove Tower Shasta County CCOS CCOS CCOS ARB/CCOS CCOS CCOS CCOS CCOS CCOS CCOS CCOS CCOS CCOS BAAQMD BAAQMD CCOS CCOS ARB CCOS SLOAPCD SJVUAPCD SJVUAPCD CCOS CCOS BAAQMD Yolo-Solano CCOS Operation -- ABC -- ABC -- ABC -- -- ABCH -- -- ABCH (2) (2) ABCHJ N ABH (2) ABCJ N (2) -- AB AB AB -- -- -- -- AB AB AB AB Existing (1) -- -- S (3) A S -- AS ASU ABDJ SRUVW S (1) -- -- -- S RSJ -- -- -- -- S -- S SJ -- (1) -- -- S CRPAQS EFJMN BDFJMN EFJMN BCEFJMN BCEFJMN JMN FJMN ABDJN EJN DJN -- -- ABDJN DJN DJN DJN ABD ABD ABD ABD D D D 2-D ABCEFGHI JKLMNPQRST EFGHI JKLMNORST ABCEFGHI JKLMNRST Measurements CCOS Chapter 4: CCOS Field Measurements Table 4.5-2 Supplemental Surface Air Quality and Meteorological Measurements Site CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 4-18 Angel's Camp Angiola Beale AFB-Oro Northern boundary transport, Fulfill needs of National Weather Service and Dam Blvd West synoptic conditions Beale AFB flight operations; existing long-term site. Humboldt County Carizo Plain Corning Sacramento Edison Edwards AFB ACP ANGI BBX BHX CAR CRG DAX EDI EDW Intrabasin transport Interbasin transport through Tehachapi Pass. Downwind of major source. Intrabasin transport Nothern Valley barrier, characterize Northern SV convergence zone. Interbasin tranport. Onshore/offshore transport Intrabasin transport, vertical mixing, micrometeorology Existing long term site. Transport through Tehachapi Pass, desert mixed layer, synoptic conditions. Site to observe possible divergence flow at southern end of the valley, low level jet flow, and eddy flows. Data from SJVAQS/AUSPEX taken at Oildale supports these observations. Downwind of Bakersfield area source. Fulfill needs of National Weather Service; existing long-term site To observe southerly barrier winds along the Sierra Nevada which may be a transport mechanism. May characterize extent of northerly flow into SV for some scenarios. Monitor tranport between San Joaquin Valley and South Central Coast Air Basins. Fulfill needs of National Weather Service; existing long-term site Positioned to monitor transport up the valley, low level nocturnal jet flow, and Fresno eddy flow patterns. Collocated with tall tower. Upslope/downslope flow, Served as site to capture eddy flow, mixing, complex terrain for vertical temperature structure, model input and challenging model evaluation evaluation data during SJVAQS/AUSPEX Site to monitor possible summer eddy flow, vertical temperature structure evolution, model input and evaluation data. Downwind of Sacramento area source. N. of Auburn, S. Upslope/downslope flow, of Grass Valley downwind of major area source Location provides coverage of predominant summer flow through Sacramento Valley. Justification ABU Intrabasin transport Purpose Arbuckle Name NOAA-ETL CRPAQSrwp, CCOSsodar NOAA-ETL CCOS EAFB ARB NWS NOAA-ARL CCOS AC SC SC AC AC SC SC AC SC SC SC SC AS SE Nexrad AC AC NOAA-ETL CCOS SC SC Sodarb,c Sondeb,d NWS NOAA-ETL CCOS SC RASSb AC NOAA-ETL CCOS Radarb Chapter 4: CCOS Field Measurements BAFB Contractor Operatora Table 4.6-1 Upper Air Meteorological Measurements for CCOS ABK Site ID CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 4-19 Fresno-First Street Hanford-edge of Intrabasin Transport town between fairgrounds and municipal Huron Lagrange Lost Hills Livingston Livermore FSF HNX HUR LGR LHL LIV LVR Intrabasin transport Intrabasin transport Intra&interbasin transport across Carizo Plain Upslope/downslope flow Intrabasin transport Fresno Air Terminal FAT Justification Monitor flow through Castro Valley between San Leandro/Oakland and Livermore. Representative of mid SJV flow since variation in flow is small along the valley's central axis. Situated east of the coastal range and represents uniform flow aloft at 1000m as opposed to a site on the Tremblor Range. Good position to detect the direction of flow between the Carrizo Plain and the SJV This site represents valley/Sierra interactiion in northern SJV. Monitor possible upslope flow transport of pollutants during day and possible recirculation via Mariposa River Valley exit jet by night. Also completes the west to east transect across SJV from SNA to LIV sites. This is to monitor daily transport from north to south with average surface winds during afternoons and early evening and the low level nocturnal jet on the western side of the SJV; models should do well with topographic Fulfill needs of National Weather Service; existing long-term site. T&B CCOS STI CCOS SC AC NOAA_ETL CRPAQSrwp, CCOS- SC AC AC NOAA_ETL CCOS b SC-449 Radar SC AC AC SC AC SC b RASS SC SC b,c Sodar SE Sonde b,d AC AC Nexrad Chapter 4: CCOS Field Measurements ARB or NOAA NOAA-ETL or ARB CRPAQS or ARB NWS NOAA_ETL Contractor CCOS EAFB Operator a Table 4.6-1 (continued) Upper Air Meteorological Measurements for CCOS Fulfill needs of National Weather Service and Edwards AFB flight operations; existing longterm site. Intrabasin transport Capture the Fresno eddy, characterize urban mixing heights, transport from major Fresno area source. Urban Heat Island, Intrabasin Site to monitor possible summer eddy flow, Transport, Synoptic vertical temperature structure evolution, model Conditons. Characterize input and evaluation data. Flow out of Fresno. Intrabasin transport Purpose Edwards AFB Name EYX Site ID CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 4-20 Pt. Reyes Reno National Northern boundary transport, Fulfill needs of National Weather Service; Weather Service synoptic conditions existing long-term site. Office Washoe County- Northern boundary transport, Fulfill needs of National Weather Service; Virginia Peak synoptic conditions existing long-term site Richmond Onshore/offshore transport. Monitor possible deeper mixed layer. POR REV RGX RIC Plesant Grove On-shore flow, along coast flow Coastal meteorology impacts air quality not only in coastal regions but by modulating the strength, and intrusion extent of the sea breeze. Intra- and interbasin tranport. Monitor transport between Sacramento and Upper Sacramento Valley and North Mountain Fulfill needs of National Weather Service; existing long-term site. Existing long term site PLE Onshore/offshore transport, synoptic conditions. Oakland airport Onshore/offshore transport, synoptic conditions. Fulfill needs of National Weather Service; existing long-term site. Existing long term site. Transport through Tehachapi Pass, desert mixed layer, synoptic conditions. OAK Interbasin transport Onshore/offshore transport The current suspicion is that the mountain exit jets flow along the axis of the valley over Trimmer. A site between Academy and Humphrey's Station is more likely to observe the flow than a site at Piedra. Point Mugu USN Monterey MON Upslope/downslope flow Chosen to monitor interbasin flow out of the San Joaquin Valley to the desert via Tehachapi Pass. Previous monitoring studies have shown a clear exit jet out of the SJV in this region. The exact site is to be determined. NTD Mouth Kings River MKR Interbasin transport Justification Santa Clara Mojave Desert MJD Purpose NOAA_ETL NOAA_ETL CRPAQS CRPAQS CCOS-p, CCOS-sodar NWS NOAA-ETL STI CCOS NWS NOAA-ETL CCOS SC SC SC SC AS AS SE AC Sodarb,c Sondeb,d NWS SC AC AC AC RASSb AS SE SC AC AC AC Radarb AC AC Nexrad Chapter 4: CCOS Field Measurements USN NWS USNPGS Contractor Operatora Table 4.6-1 (continued) Upper Air Meteorological Measurements for CCOS MUX Name Site ID CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 4-21 Tracy, W of Interbasin transport through Tracy, S of IAltamont Pass. 205, W of I-580 Vandenberg AFB Orcutt Oil field- Onshore/offshore transport. Vandenberg Visalia Ventura County Intrabasin transportonshore/offshore transport. TRC VBG VBX VIS VTX Fulfill needs of National Weather Service; existing long-term site Plume Study Plume Study Pittsburg Moss Landing Intrabasin transport. Onshore/offshore transport, synoptic conditions. Fulfill needs of National Weather Service; existing long-term site. Existing long term site Fulfill needs of National Weather Service and Vandenberg operations; existing long-term site. Existing long term site Monitor flow through Altamont Pass for San Francisco Bay Area to SJV transport in p.m.; also help monitor less frequent off-shore flow. Interbasin transport between Existing long term site San Joaquin Valley and Bay Travis AFB San Martin SNM Monitor flow at the northern end of the Sacramento Valley. Eddy flows. PG&E PG&E PG&E PG&E NWS SJVUAPCD VAFB SC SC AC AC SC CCOS VAFB AC STI SC STI TAFB NWS AC NOAA-ETL or ARB SC NOAA-ETL CCOS Radarb AC Contractor SC SC AC SC SC AC SC AC RASSb WC AS SE SE Sodarb,c Sondeb,d AC AC AC Nexrad Chapter 4: CCOS Field Measurements SMUAPCD/A RB Operatora CRPAQS or May represents flow through Pacheco pass ARB during some coastal valley intrusions; represents along-valley flow on western side at other times. Models should handle channeled, along-valley flow well at this point. CCOS Intra- and interbasin Monitor transport from SFBA to NCC via Santa transport, flow through Santa Clara Valley south of San Jose. Interbasin transport from Pacheco Pass, model QA. TRA Santa Nella, E of I-5 toward Los Banos SNA Intrabasin transport Orange County Onshore/offshore transport. Shasta SHA Justification Intra and interbasin transport Monitor N-S flow within Sacramento Valley, afternoon sea breeze intrusion, and flow from San Francisco Bay Area; help resolve northern boundary of SV/SJV divergence zone. Purpose Table 4.6-1 (continued) Upper Air Meteorological Measurements for CCOS SOX Sacramento Name SAC Site ID CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 4-22 Totals by Operator: 26 TOTALS Balloon launch on episode days. Frequency should be 4-8 times per day but include 0700 and 1900 PST. d a Radarb 13 6 4 3 Contractor 24 4 1 RASSb 13 6 6 1 6 4 Sodarb,c Sondeb,d 5 2 10 10 Nexrad Chapter 4: CCOS Field Measurements ARB/Districts Military/U.S. Operatora CCOS CRPAQS Table 4.6-1 (continued) Upper Air Meteorological Measurements for CCOS Footnotes CCOS=Central California Ozone Study (this study), ARB=Air Resoures Board, BAAQMD=Bay Area Air Quality Management District; USNPGS=U.S. Navy Post Graduate School; SJVUAPCD=SJV Unified Air Pollution Control District, NWS=National Weather Service; SMAQMD=Sacramento Metropolitan Air Quality Management District, CRPAQS=California Regional PM10/PM2.5 Air Quality Study; VAF=Vandenberg Air Force Base, TAF=Travis Air Force Base, EAF=Edwards Air Force Base, USN=U.S. Navy. b AC=Annual continuous measurements; AS=Annual sporadic measurements, SC=Summer continuous, 6/1/2000-9/30/2000; SE=Summer episodic measurements on forecasted days. c Summer campaign sodars added at some sites as part of CRPAQS/CCOS except at RIC. CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 4: CCOS Field Measurements Figure 4.4-1. Central California surface meteorological networks and measurement locations. 4-23 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 4: CCOS Field Measurements Figure 4.4-2. Surface meteorological observables measured in the combined central California meteorological network. 4-24 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 4: CCOS Field Measurements Figure 4.5-1. Existing routine O3 and NOx monitoring sites 4-25 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 4: CCOS Field Measurements Figure 4.5-2. CCOS supplemental air quality and meteorological monitoring sites and Photochemical Assessment Monitoring Stations 4-26 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 4: CCOS Field Measurements Figure 4.6-1. Upper air meteorological measurements during the summer campaign, including annual average study sites and NEXRAD (WSR-88D) profilers. 4-27 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 4: CCOS Field Measurements Figure 4.6-2. Upper air meteorological measurement network indicating operating agency. 4-28 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 5.0 Chapter 5: Budget Estimates BUDGET ESTIMATES Cost estimates have been prepared for each element of the base and optional programs based on a consensus of the CCOS Technical Committee. Cost estimates are summarized in Table 5-1 for major components of the proposed measurement plan. These cost estimates are supported by detailed itemized costs, which vary in detail and accuracy. Some cost are based on contracts already in place, some on unit costs for measurements that are being made in current ARB extramural contracts or cost quotations from vendors and contractors. These detailed itemized costs were provided to the CCOS Technical Committee for the purposes of considering alternative measurements and tradeoffs and are not presented here. The total contract costs for CCOS is $5,800,000 for the base program and $1,400,000 for optional elements for a total combined contract costs of $7,200,000. In addition to the above contract costs, the ARB and the local APCD’s are committing inkind resources for planning and execution of CCOS. Estimates of in-kind costs are estimated by multiplying the projected level of effort (in hours) by a nominal hourly rate. In-kind costs include additional efforts that are specifically required during CCOS and does not include data collection and analysis associated with normal daily operations (e.g., PAMS and other aerometric monitoring programs). The in-kind costs total $1,369,000, which does not include substantial leveraging of resources that will be available from CRPAQS. 5-1 5-2 $ $ $ $ H2O2, HCHO by TDLAS (includes operation) 1 Multi-functional carbonyls (includes operation) 1 Total Surface AQ & Met $ $ NO2, HNO3 by TDLAS (includes operation) 1 Subtotal of supplemental measurements $ $ Auto GC/Ion Trap MS at Research Sites - - - $ $ $ $ $ $ Tenax Samples at Research Sites - $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ Canisters Samples at S1 and Research Sites - $ $ Carbonyls Samples at S1 and Research Sites Supplemental Measurements - $ $ Operations Subtotal Research Sites - - - $ $ Site acquisition and setup Equipment purchase Research Sites - $ $ Operations Subtotal Type 2 Sites - - - $ $ Site acquisition and setup Equipment purchase Type 2 Supplemental Sites (5 + 1 optional) - $ $ Operations Subtotal Type 1 Sites - - $ $ Site acquisition and setup Equipment purchase $ 2,708,000 1,336,000 - 20,000 50,000 550,000 99,000 142,000 475,000 600,000 160,000 390,000 50,000 490,000 190,000 260,000 40,000 282,000 124,000 114,000 $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 2,708,000 1,336,000 - 20,000 50,000 550,000 99,000 142,000 475,000 600,000 160,000 390,000 50,000 490,000 190,000 260,000 40,000 282,000 124,000 114,000 $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 39,200 39,200 - $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ Type 1 Supplemental sites (7 + 1 optional) 77,200 $ Operations Subtotal Type 0 and NO/NOy Sites 602,000 169,000 120,000 - - - - 11,000 38,000 - - - - 121,700 39,200 65,500 17,000 - - - - 310,950 188,000 45,750 $0 $ 44,000 $0 Cost ($) Contracts $ $ $202,000 Cost ($) In-Kind Site acquisition and setup 44,000 Total Cost ($) Optional Equipment purchase Type 0 (4) and Supplemental NO/NOy (5) - $130,000 $72,000 Preliminary Studies Supplemental Surface Measurements Cost ($) Contracts Cost ($) In-Kind Base Study $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 602,000 169,000 120,000 - - - - 11,000 38,000 - - - - 121,700 39,200 65,500 17,000 39,200 39,200 - - 310,950 77,200 188,000 45,750 $0 Cost ($) Total Table 5-1 Summary of Cost Estimates for the CCOS Field Measurement Program Elements CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 39,200 39,200 - - $72,000 Cost ($) In-Kind $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 3,310,000 1,505,000 120,000 20,000 50,000 550,000 99,000 153,000 513,000 600,000 160,000 390,000 50,000 612,000 229,000 325,500 57,000 282,000 124,000 114,000 44,000 310,950 77,200 188,000 45,750 $130,000 Cost ($) Contracts Total $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 3,310,000 1,505,000 120,000 20,000 50,000 550,000 99,000 153,000 513,000 600,000 160,000 390,000 50,000 611,700 229,200 325,500 57,000 321,200 163,200 114,000 44,000 310,950 77,200 188,000 45,750 $202,000 Cost ($) Project Chapter 5: Budget Estimates 5-3 $ $ Continuous RWP/Rass and SODARs $ 132,000 $ $ $ $ $ $ Nitrogen Species VOC data validation Aloft air quality data validation Surface meteorology data validation Upper-Air Meteorology validation Total Quality Assurance - $ Surface and upper-air meteorology audits 12,000 - - - - - 80,000 $ $ 40,000 Ozone and NOx (2 persons x 10 sites x 32 hrs) $ QA Coordination (1 person x 500 hrs) VOC Audits (1 person x 160 hrs) $ QA Plan - 203,000 $ Field Operations and Management Quality Assurance 20,000 $ Total Upper-Air Meteorology and Air Quality Aircraft Carbonyl Aircraft Canisters Aloft VOC 65,000 $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 310,000 50,000 - 40,000 40,000 30,000 50,000 50,000 - - 50,000 190,000 1,970,000 $ $ 170,000 $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 442,000 50,000 12,000 40,000 40,000 30,000 50,000 50,000 80,000 40,000 50,000 393,000 1,990,000 65,000 170,000 200,000 265,000 350,000 $ - $ $ - $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 200,000 $ $ 730,000 210,000 Cost ($) In-Kind AQ aircraft #6 (for plume study) $ AQ aircraft #4 265,000 350,000 $ $ Cost ($) Total $ $ 190,000 730,000 Cost ($) Contracts Base Study AQ aircraft #5 $ $ AQ aircraft #3 overwater 20,000 - Cost ($) In-Kind AQ aircraft (UCD #1 and UCD #2) Instumented Aircrafts Table 5-1 (continued) - - - - - - - - - - - 600,000 10,000 20,000 300,000 - 270,000 Cost ($) Contracts Optional $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ - - - - - - - - - - - 300,000 10,000 20,000 270,000 Cost ($) Total Summary of Cost Estimates for the CCOS Field Measurement Program IOP Radiosondes/Ozonesondes Upper-Air Meteorology and Air Quality Elements CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 132,000 - 12,000 - - - - - 80,000 40,000 - 203,000 20,000 - - - - - - - 20,000 - Cost ($) In-Kind $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 310,000 50,000 - 40,000 40,000 30,000 50,000 50,000 - - 50,000 190,000 2,570,000 75,000 190,000 300,000 - 200,000 265,000 350,000 190,000 1,000,000 Cost ($) Contracts Total $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 442,000 50,000 12,000 40,000 40,000 30,000 50,000 50,000 80,000 40,000 50,000 393,000 2,290,000 75,000 190,000 - - 200,000 265,000 350,000 210,000 1,000,000 Cost ($) Project Chapter 5: Budget Estimates 5-4 Measurements made at one site TOTAL 1 $1,094,000 595,000 $ Emission Inventory Development Contingency 72,000 $ Cost ($) In-Kind 50,000 $ $5,788,000 330,000 100,000 $ $ Cost ($) Contracts Base Study $ $ $ $ 6,882,000 50,000 925,000 172,000 Cost ($) Total $0 Cost ($) In-Kind $ $ $ $1,387,000 50,000 135,000 - Cost ($) Contracts Optional $ $ $ $ 1,387,000 50,000 135,000 - Cost ($) Total Table 5-1 (continued) Summary of Cost Estimates for the CCOS Field Measurement Program Data Management Elements CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 $ $ $ $1,094,000 - 595,000 72,000 Cost ($) In-Kind $ $ $ $ 7,175,000 100,000 465,000 100,000 Cost ($) Contracts Total $ $ $ $ 8,269,000 100,000 1,060,000 172,000 Cost ($) Project Chapter 5: Budget Estimates CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 6.0 Chapter 6: Management and Schedule PROGRAM MANAGEMENT PLAN AND SCHEDULE This section specifies the management structure and the roles of CCOS committees and working groups. It also specifies the responsibilities of field study participants and schedule of milestones for the CCOS field study and related activities. 6.1 CCOS Management Struture The CCOS is a large-scale program involving many sponsors and participants. Three entities are involved in the overall management of the Study. The San Joaquin Valleywide Air Pollution Study Agency, a joint powers agency (JPA) formed by the nine counties in the Valley, directs the fund-raising and contracting aspects of the Study. A Policy Committee comprised of four voting blocks: State, local, and federal government, and the private sector, provides guidance on the Study objectives and funding levels. The Policy Committee approves all proposal requests, contracts and reports. A Technical Committee parallels the Policy Committee in membership and provides overall technical guidance on proposal requests, direction and progress of work, contract work statements, and reviews of all technical reports produced from the study. The leadership roles in the CCOS field study include the principal investigators, the field coordinator, the quality assurance officer, the data manager, the measurement investigators, the CCOS/CRPAQS technical committee, and the CCOS/CRPAQS policy committee. On a dayto-day basis, the California Air Resources Board (ARB) is responsible for management of the Study under the direction of the Program Manager, Chief of the Modeling and Meteorology Branch, in the ARB’s Planning & Technical Support Division. 6.1.1 Policy Committee The policy committee is composed of senior management representatives from local, state, and federal regulatory agencies and private sector stakeholders. It provides overall policy and financial direction to the project. Specifically, the Policy Committee will: • Evaluate CCOS technical components for their relevance to future policy decisions and assure an adequate balance among those components. • Monitor CCOS budgets, schedules, and product quality to assure fiduciary responsibility and fulfillment of commitments. • Request, justify, and obtain sufficient sponsorship to complete defined activities that will achieve CCOS objectives. • Review and evaluate policy-relevant CCOS findings, provide constructive recommendations for their expression, and convey these findings to stakeholders. 6.1.2 Technical Committee The CCOS is directed by a technical committee that comprises staff from the California Air Resources Board (ARB), the California Energy Commission (CEC), local air pollution control agencies, industry, and other sponsoring organizations with technical input from a 6-1 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 6: Management and Schedule consortium of university researchers in California and the Desert Research Institute (DRI). Members are listed on the title page of this conceptual program plan. This committee provides overall technical direction to the project. Specifically, the technical committee has the following role. • Reviews each of the plans and recommends the final technical scope of each of these program elements. • Prepare and disseminate requests for proposals for necessary work elements and evaluate the proposals received. • Commission and evaluate CCOS technical reports and publications, including those relevant to field studies. • Create and monitor overall project schedules and budgets, evaluate compromises between project needs and budget allocations, and institute remedial actions where needed. • Institute, facilitate, and coordinate CCOS research activities with complementary activities sponsored by the local air quality management districts (i.e. BAAQMD), California Air Resources Board, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (Region IX, ORD, and OAQPS), the Department of Defense (Naval Weapons Center), Department of Agriculture, and industrial research sponsors (EPRI, CRC, WSPA, API). • Participate in, to the extent possible, CCOS data acquisition, data analysis, and modeling activities. • Disseminate CCOS scientific findings in scientific forums, national guidance documents, and peer-reviewed publications. 6.1.3 Principal Investigators The principal investigators provide scientific and technical guidance for the Central California Ozone Study. Specifically, the principal investigators will: • Create initial study protocols for data analysis, modeling, emissions characterization, and field studies, and modify them in response to external evaluation and technical support study results. • Assist in the preparation of work statements for complex project components. • Critically review CCOS technical products and provide constructive recommendations for improvement and focus on CCOS goals and objectives. • Keep informed of developments and findings in PM programs external to CCOS and incorporate that knowledge into CCOS planning and execution. 6-2 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 6: Management and Schedule • Devise and refine conceptual models of elevated PM2.5 and PM10 in central California and assess the extent to which mathematical models simulate the physical and chemical mechanisms embodied in these concepts. • Periodically integrate CCOS findings into summary reports and publications that are scientifically rigorous and policy-relevant. • Disseminate CCOS scientific findings in scientific forums, national guidance documents, and peer-reviewed publications. Promote and facilitate the dissemination of specific research projects among other CCOS participants. 6.1.4 Meteorological Working Group A Meteorological Working Group has been established to update information regarding the meteorological scenarios associated with ozone exceedances in various areas of the modeling domain. This group will evolve into the formation of the CCOS forecast team. The forecast team develops the Forecast Plan in conjunction with the field manager, reviews meteorological data, and provides consensus forecasts to program management. The forecast team also documents the daily meteorological conditions during 1997. This team includes representatives from the ARB, BAAQMD, SMAQMD, and SJVUAPCD. 6.1.5 Emissions InventoryWorking Group There are about 30 districts in the CCOS modeling domain. Each local air district in the state updates a portion of the emission inventory for their area. To help coordinate this effort, the Emission Inventory Coordination Group (EICG) has been established to determine the process for preparing the emission inventories needed to support air quality modeling for CCOS. Participants in the group include many local air districts, several local councils of government, Caltrans, California Energy Commission, and the ARB. Local air districts participating to date include San Joaquin Valley Unified APCD, Bay Area AQMD, Sacramento Metropolitan AQMD, Mendocino County AQMD, Northern Sierra AQMD, Yolo-Solano AQMD, Placer County APCD, San Luis Obispo County APCD, and Monterey Bay Unified APCD. Other local air districts will also be participating. 6.1.6 Field Coordinator The implementation of the experimental phase of the program plan will be the responsibility of the field coordinator. Success of the field measurement program depends on proper preparation, effective communications, and timely documentation. When handled properly, most field management is done before the beginning of the study. Communication channels are established, siting is arranged, and procedures and schedules are formalized. Coordination among participating groups is initiated through a field study protocol that sets suitable schedules to maximize the benefits of coordinated measurements while minimizing the potential interferences among measurements. During the study, oversight by the FM ensures the quality of the data collected. The field coordinator is responsible for seeing that the planned quality assurance program is implemented, measurement plans are followed, and corrective action is taken immediately as problems arise. The field coordinator also is responsible for 6-3 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 6: Management and Schedule documenting measurement activities and presenting a description of the field program activities in a formal report. The most important aspects of the field management effort are: field operations protocol; siting; communications; oversight of measurements and QA activities; and documentation of measurements and activities. The field operations protocol is a short document that serves as the guide for those in the field. It should be a concise overview of the field study, enumerating the most pertinent information needed by those conducting the measurements. The contents would include: (1) a brief summary of the study objectives; (2) a list of the measurements; (3) a schedule of measurements; (4) a roster of participants; (5) a description of sites; (6) a description of communications channels; (7) protocols for determining and announcing intensive measurement periods; (8) an outline of deployment and operational logistics; (9) an outline of on-site quality assurance activities; (10) basic rules regarding site access and operations; and (11) reporting procedures. This document lists telephone numbers and addresses for sites, update lines, and field contacts for the participants. Several planning activities by the field coordinator are needed for the preparation of the field operations protocol. The field coordinator must determine the optimum schedules for coordinating measurements, taking into account both program objectives and logistical considerations. These decisions will be made in consultation and close cooperation with those who formulate program study design. Additionally, the field coordinator has the task of ensuring that potential cross-contamination between measurements is eliminated. As part of the preparation of the field operations protocol, the field coordinator would be required to design an effective protocol for handling the scheduling of intensive measurement periods. Clean, effective handling of the forecasting and intensive scheduling can reduce the cost of the study and improve the data quality. Participants must be given a window of time during which intensive studies will be scheduled, and the announcement of those intensive studies must be done as soon as possible, based on daily forecasts by meteorologists assigned to this task. Siting of the measurements, including access, security, and electrical power, as well as location, is extremely important. In addition to the selection of the general location desired for the study measurements, siting criteria must include maintaining distance from immediate sources, such as streets, paint shops, or dry cleaners. Existing monitoring sites are desirable because such siting criteria have been met, because of the existing ozone, nitrogen oxides, and meteorological measurements at these sites, and because of the historical record of pollutant concentrations. Whenever possible, the field coordinator will work in cooperation with the ARB and AQMDs. The necessary lead time can become quite lengthy and must be anticipated in the planning. Indeed, securing sites becomes the most immediate priority, and this should begin even before the program plan is approved. In addition to finding suitable study sites, the role of siting also includes obtaining all necessary permits, meeting indemnification and insurance requirements for access, ensuring compliance with local and state environmental and safety regulations, and arranging for study needs at the site, including power and telephone. The direct costs of these items (such as 6-4 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 6: Management and Schedule insurance premiums, electrical contracting etc.) should be the responsibility of the sponsors. However, the field coordinator will act in the role of facilitator. Complete and clear communications before, during, and after the field study are key to a successfully coordinated field study program. Before the study, participants must be clearly informed of their roles and of the study protocols. The field study protocol document referred to above is an important communications instrument. In the weeks just prior to the field deployment, a communications center will need to be established in the study region. A telephone message machine will communicate the daily status of the study. Participants will be instructed to call in each day and to leave a message on the telephone tape machine briefly stating their operational status. In this way, the project manager knows exactly who has been informed and can respond to problems or follow up with those who have not reported. The phone machine system has the advantages that it can be accessed from any public phone, and that parties can "report in" at the time they receive their daily update. Additionally, a network communications tree should be established, such that the field coordinator will be in direct contact with a designated representative of each of the measurement groups. For intensive studies, daily contact with the major participating groups is anticipated. A computer bulletin board or WEB page may be established but the telephone answering machine will to be the primary means of disseminating information. Communications at the conclusion of the study are important for complete and accurate documentation of study activities and for initiating data reporting procedures. During the field measurement phase of the study, the field coordinator is responsible for coordinating activities among the participating groups, and for ensuring that measurement and quality assurance activities are completed as planned. As problems arise, they must be dealt with in a timely fashion. The field coordinator is responsible for monitoring accomplishments against the milestones of the program plan, identifying impediments to attaining those milestones and creating liaisons among project participants in order to remove those impediments. Additionally, the field coordinator will maintain a log of measurement and quality assurance activities, as well as a record of all daily forecasts and special events. At the end of the study, the field coordinator must coordinate a smooth evacuation of the sites, ensure that sites are left in order and that owners of the sites are thanked in writing for their assistance to the project. The field coordinator must follow up with each of the study participants to verify the record of measurements made at the site, and to disseminate information regarding the reporting of data. A data manager should be selected before the completion of the study, and the field coordinator will work with that person to disseminate information regarding data reporting before the end of the study. Additionally, as soon after the study as possible the field coordinator will supply to the data manager and project directors a summary list of measurements, including schedules on which they were performed and by whom, as well as a list of the quality assurance audits performed in the field. Finally, the field coordinator will compile this information into a report of field measurement activities. This report will include site descriptions and a list of participants and measurement activities, as well as a daily log of events during intensive studies. It will incorporate the relevant information from the field protocol document, as well as the pertinent 6-5 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 6: Management and Schedule information from the field project log including but not limited to daily forecasts, and a daily log of measurement activities. Specifically, the field coordinator will: • Assist in field study planning, specifically keeping current the measurement locations, measurement methods, and quality assurance, schedule, and budget sections of this plan. • Prepare work statements for different components of the field measurement program. • Procure information needed to evaluate measurement method feasibility, practicality, and costs and make judgements concerning the costs vs. benefits of new measurement technology. • Select sampling sites based on the monitoring purposes and criteria stated in this plan and document those sites with respect to their location and surroundings. • Specify siting, electrical, communications and environmental requirements for each sampling site and procure the necessary permits, power, and security to operate those sites. • Recruit, train (in collaboration with measurement investigators) and direct site operators. Monitor operator quality, in collaboration with measurement investigators, and take remedial actions where needed. • Establish an efficient communications network, including a project roster of names, addresses, phone numbers, fax numbers, and e-mail addresses among other field study participants and apply that network to convey needed information among the participants. • Participate in the evaluation of technical proposals from measurement investigators and provide perspective on the likelihood that different measurement alternatives to accomplish objectives. • Identify and resolve communications difficulties among measurement investigators, the data manager, and the quality assurance officer to assure that audit findings are corrected and documented and that data flow efficiently and smoothly into the project database. • Organize a forecasting team to determine the initiation and end of intensive operating periods during winter, develop a forecasting protocol, and implement it during the winter study. Develop a protocol to disseminate go/nogo and abort decisions. • Document field study activities and accomplishments after its completion. • Prepare a site report 6-6 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 6.1.7 Chapter 6: Management and Schedule Quality Assurance Officer The quality assurance officer provides direction, coordination, and documentation of measurement accuracy, precision, and validity. Specifically, the quality assurance officer will: • Prepare a quality assurance program plan that specifies systems and performance auditing methods, intercomparison methods, primary and transfer standards, schedules, audit reporting formats, feedback to measurement investigators, and methods to verify that remedial actions have been taken. • Assemble and direct a quality assurance team with specialized expertise and equipment in evaluating precision, accuracy, and validity of established and developing measurement methods. Deploy this team to conduct systems and performance audits, assemble the results, provide feedback to measurement investigators, and verify that remedial actions have been implemented. • Analyze data from collocated or nearby air quality and meteorological measurement systems to estimate precision, equivalence, and predictability among measurements. Identify environmental and atmospheric composition conditions under which values for these attributes are acceptable and unacceptable. • Identify, obtain, and evaluate standard operating procedures for methods to be applied during field studies. • Evaluate data qualification statements prepared by measurement investigators. 6.1.8 Data Manager • The data manager will establish and maintain computer-based data archives and communications. Specifically, the data manager will: • Review and revise the data management section of this plan as changes are made to data reporting, structure, and retrieval conventions. • Define and procure hardware and software needed to successfully complete the data management tasks. • Prepare statements of work and direct data management support investigators to assist in the accomplishment of data management tasks. • Establish a CCOS web page with links to: 1) long-term data archives; 2) electronic copies of CCOS reports and documents (electronic form); 3) CCOS participants’ roster, roles, and websites (where available); and 4) standard operating procedures; 5) data receipt archives; 6) CCOS field study data archives; and 7) measurement sites and observables. • Develop, apply, and document efficient and modern methods for receiving, processing, and delivering data from and to measurement, data analysis, and modeling investigators. 6-7 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 6: Management and Schedule • Perform Level 1B validation tests. Apply Level II and III validation adjustments and flags. • Transmit the final data base to the NARSTO data archive. 6.1.9 Measurement Investigators Measurement investigators are responsible for specialized CCOS measurements. Specifically, measurement investigators will: • Specify and procure (or construct) monitoring devices and verify their adequacy for operation under conditions anticipated during CCOS field monitoring. • Specify for the field coordinator space, power, sample presentation, supplies, storage, shipping/receiving, environmental, and communications requirements for each monitoring site at which the investigator's measurements will be acquired. • Develop or adapt standard operating procedures and checklists and participate in training of site operators, or supply specially-trained site operators as needed. • Install and calibrate instruments at the measurement sites and remove them after study completion. • Supply expendables needed to maintain measurement schedules. • Monitor network operations, in collaboration with the field coordinator, identify and remediate deficiencies. • Evaluate and remediate system and performance audit findings and document that remediation. • Regularly acquire raw measurements to evaluate monitor performance. Periodically reduce data, validate it at Level 1A, and deliver it in the prescribed formats to the data manager. • Prepare a summary of monitoring methods, data and validation results, and measurement activities when measurements have been completed. Prepare data quality statements that evaluate the accuracy, precision, validity, and completeness of the measurements acquired during each phase of the field study. 6.1.10 Data Analysis and Modeling Investigators Data analysis and modeling investigators will use the integrated data set to perform Level 2 and Level 3 data validation, to further answer the questions posed in Section 3, and to develop, evaluate, and apply source and receptor models. Several of the data analysis activities, especially those involved with determining Level 2 validation status of measurements and descriptive analysis of the measurements, are best performed by the measurement investigators. Specifically, data analysis and modeling investigators will: 6-8 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 6.2 Chapter 6: Management and Schedule • Evaluate the consistency of measurements, i.e. Level 2 validation. • Describe statistical, temporal, and spatial distributions of measurements on average and during episodes. • Interpret data to answer questions in Section 3. • Recommend revisions to the conceptual models in Section 3, elaborating on the dominance and validity of chemical and physical mechanisms and the importance of different pollution sources. • Use field measurements in meteorological and air quality source and receptor models to evaluate the extent to which they represent the identified mechanisms and emissions. • Use field measurements to establish base cases for annual average and several different episodes of maximum concentration to evaluate the effects of different emissions reduction strategies. • Identify data deficiencies and initiate Level 3 validation checks and corrections with the data manager. Schedule Table 6.2-1 provides milestones for CCOS field study and related activities. This schedule should be integrated with the master project schedule that includes emissions and modeling activities. This schedule will be maintained by the field coordinator and made more specific as planning progresses. The overall time scale shown is four years. To meet this schedule, however, will require careful planning, fast turn-around by the sponsors on requests for proposals and contracts, and much front-end work by the Technical Committee. In the early stages of the program, several tasks must be performed in parallel, and the technical committee and working groups must meet frequently and coordinate closely. Once the field study is underway, less effort is required of the sponsors and committees. The quality assurance and data managers should be selected as soon as the general scope of the field study is defined. 6-9 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 6: Management and Schedule Table 6.2-1 CCOS Schedule of Milestones Activity/Milestone Completion Date Planning Preparation of preliminary scope of work by ARB. 1/31/99 Technical Committee (TC) meeting in Sacramento – upper air network. 3/26/99 TC meeting in Sacramento – emission inventory development. 4/14/99 TC meeting in Sacramento – review of past studies and conceptual model. 5/3/99 TC and SAW meeting in Rocklin – DRI present draft Conceptual Program Plan 6/11/99 Revised draft of Conceptual Program Plan available on CCOS web site 9/7/99 Release requests for proposals for field operations 11/15/99 Final Field Study Plan available on CCOS web site 11/30/99 Selection of supplemental monitoring sites 12/15/99 Contractor selection 1/7/00 Executable Contracts 2/15/00 CCOS Field Study Operational Plan and Protocol 4/27/00 CCOS Field Measurement Field coordination meeting in Sacramento Field measurements begin Field measurements end Draft documentation of field activities by DRI Final summary of field monitoring activities by DRI mid-May/00 6/15/00 9/15/00 10/15/00 12/15/00 Data Validation, Data Analysis and Modeling Quality audit report by QA Contractor Level 1 Data Archive Level 2 Data Validation 12/15/00 4/31/01 6/30/01 Data Analysis/Emissions/Modeling Data analysis Emission inventory development Model improvements Base-case simulations (model performance, diagnostic/sensitivity testing) 12/31/01 9/31/01 9/31/01 3/31/02 Future year emission inventory and sensitivity simulations 9/30/02 6-10 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 7.0 Chapter 7: References REFERENCES Altshuler, S.L., T.D. 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Proceedings, Regional Photochemical Measurement and Modeling Studies, Volume 3, Other Topics Related to Regional Studies. An A&WMA International Specialty Conference, San Diego, CA, 7-12 November 1993, ed. by A. J. Ranzieri and P. A. Solomon. Published by the Air & Waste Management Association, Pittsburgh, PA, pp. 1064-1081. Thuillier, R. H. and Ranzieri, A. 1997a. SARMAP -- How Did We Do? Submitted for inclusion in Ozone, Science and Policy, ed. by M. O. Rodgers and P. A. Solomon. Lewis Publishers, Chelsea, MI. Final draft submitted for publication. Thuillier, R. H. and Ranzieri, A. 1997b. SARMAP -- What Did We Do? Submitted for inclusion in Ozone, Science and Policy, ed. by M. O. Rodgers, and P. A. Solomon. Lewis Publishers, Chelsea, MI. Final draft submitted for publication. Tolbert, M. A., J. Pfaff, I. Jayaweera, and M.J. Prather, Uptake of formaldehyde by sulfuric acid solutions: impact on stratospheric ozone, J. Geophys. Res. 98, 2957-2962, 1993. Trainer, M, E.T. Williams, D.D. Parrish, M.P. Buhr, E.J. Allwine, H.H. Westberg, F.C. Fehsenfeld, and S.C. Liu, Models and observations of the impact of natural hydrocarbons in rural ozone, Nature, 329, 705-707, 1987. Trainer, M., D.D. Parrish, M.P. Buhr, R.B. Norton, F.C. Fehsenfeld, K.G. Anlauf, J.W. Bottenheim, Y.Z. Tang, H.A. Wiebe, J.M. Roberts, R.L. Tanner, L. Newman, V.C. Bowersox, J.F. Meagher, K.J. Olszyna, M.O. Rodgers, T. Wand, H. Berresheim, K.L. Demerjian, and U.K. Roychowdhury (1993). Correlation of Ozone with NOy in Photochemically Aged Air. J. Geophys. Res. 98, 2917-2925. Vergeiner, L. and E. Dreiseitl (1987) Valley winds and slope winds: Observations and elementary thoughts. Meteor. Atmos. Phys., 26:264-286. Villalta, P.W., E.R. Lovejoy, and D.R. Hanson, Reaction probability of peroxyacetyl radical on aqueous surfaces, Geophys. Res. Lett., 23, 1765-1768, 1996. Vogt, R., P. J. Crutzen and R. Sander, A mechanism for halogen release from sea-salt aerosol in the remote marine boundary layer, Nature, 383, 327-330, 1996. Wagner, K.K., and N.J.M. Wheeler (1993). Multi-Species Evaluation of the Urban Airshed Model with the SCAQS Database. In Proceedings of the International Specialty Conference on the Southern California Air Quality Study Data Analysis, Los Angeles, CA, July 21-23, 1992, E.M. Fujita, Ed. VIP-26. Air & Waste Management Assoc., Pittsburgh, PA, pp. 264-269. Walcek C. J., H.-H. Yuan and W. R. Stockwell, The influence of in-cloud chemical reactions on ozone formation in polluted and nonpolluted areas, Atmos. Environ., 31, 1221-1237, 1997. 7-19 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 7: References Walker, J.S. “Tropospheric ozone concentration trends by day of the week,” Paper FM2-III6, presented at the International Conferences and Course: Regional Photochemical Measurement & Modeling Studies, San Diego, CA, November 8-12, 1993. 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Robinson, H.J. Williamson, and L. Wijnberg (1990b). "Receptor Model Technical Series, Volume III (User's Update), CMB User's Manual, Version 7.0." Prepared for U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC, by Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV. Watson, J.G., N.F. Robinson, J.C. Chow, R.C. Henry, B.M. Kim, T.G. Pace, E.L. Meyer and Q. Nguyen (1990a). Environ. Software, 5(1), 38-49. Watson, J.G., Robinson, N.F., Chow, J.C., Henry, R.C., Kim, B.M., Pace, T.G., Meyer, E.L., and Nguyen, Q. (1990) The USEPA/DRI chemical mass balance receptor model, CMB 7.0. Environ. Software 5, 38-49. Watson, J.G., Chow, J.C., Pace, T.G. (1991) Chemical mass balance. In Receptor Modeling for Air Quality Management, Hopke, P.K., Ed. Elsevier Press, New York, NY, pp. 83-116. Watson, J.G., D.W. DuBois, R. DeMandel, A. Kaduwela, K. Magliano, C. McDade, P.K. Mueller, A. Ranzieri, P.M. Roth, and S. Tanrikulu (1998). “Aerometric Monitoring Program Plan for the California Regional PM2.5/PM10 Air Quality Study.” Prepared by the Desert Research Institute for the CRPAQS Technical Committee, December, 20, 1998. Whiteman, C.D. (1990) Observation of thermally developed wind systems in mountainous terrain, Atmospheric Processes over Complex Terrain, William Blumen, ed., Amer. Met, Soc, p 5-42. 7-20 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Chapter 7: References Whiteman, C.D., and T.B. McKee (1979) Air pollution implications of inversion descent in mountain valleys, Atmos. Enivron. 12:2151-2158. Whittig, B, H.H Main, P.T. Roberts, S.B. Hurwitt (1999) Analysis of PAMS data in California Volume III: Trends analysis of California PAMS and long-term trend air quality data. Final Report STI-998393-1885-FR prepared by Sonoma Technology, Inc., Petaluma, CA. WMO, Scientific Assessment of Ozone Depletion: 1994, World Meteorological Organization Global Ozone Research and Monitoring Project - Report 37, Geneva, 1994. Yang Y-J., W.R. Stockwell, and J.B. Milford, Uncertainties in incremental reactivities of volatile organic compounds, Envir. Sci. Technol., 29, 1336-1345, 1995. Zhao, Y., R. M. Hardesty, and J. E. Gaynor (1994). "Demonstration of a New and Innovative Ozone Lidar's Capability to Measure Vertical Profiles of Ozone Concentration and Aerosol in the Lower Troposphere." National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Environmental Technology Laboratory, Atmospheric Lidar Division. Final Report to the California Air Resource Board, Research Division, ARB-R-92-328. Zhao, Y., R. M. Hardesty, and M. J. Post (1992). “Multibeam Transmitter for Signal Dynamic Range Reduction in Incoherent Lidar Systems.” Appl. Opt. 31, 7623-7632. 7-21 APPENDIX A MEASUREMENT METHODS CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 A. Appendix A: Measurement Approach MEASUREMENT APPROACH Field monitoring includes continuous measurements over several months and intensive studies that are performed on a forecast basis during selected periods when episodes are most likely to occur. The continuous measurements are made in order to assess the representativeness of the intensive study days, to provide information on the meteorology and air quality conditions on days leading up to the episodes, and to assess the meteorological regimes and transport patterns which lead to ozone episodes. The intensive study components are designed to provide a detailed aerometric database which, along with the emission estimates and continuous monitoring data, can be used to improve our understanding of the causes of pollutant episodes in the study region and to provide data for input to the models and for model evaluation. This section describes the options for continuous and intensive air quality and meteorological measurements (surface and aloft) to be made during CCOS. A.1 Surface Meteorology The types of surface meteorological measurements needed for this study include measurements of wind speed, wind direction, and temperature. Measurements of humidity, pressure, visibility, solar radiation, and ultraviolet radiation are also available at some sites. Within the study area (modeling domain), these measurements are provided by several existing networks of sites operated by several organizations including: • Surface Airways Observations sites from the National Weather Service (NWS), operating in conjunction with the Federal Aviation Administration • California Irrigation Management Information System sites from the California Department of Agriculture • Remote Automated Weather Station sites from the Bureau of Land Management, California Department of Forestry, National Park Service, and U.S. Forest Service • APCD/AQMD Aerometric Monitoring Station sites from the Bay Area AQMD, Kern County APCD, San Joaquin Valley Unified Control District, Santa Barbara APCD, Ventura County APCD, Mojave Desert AQMD, and California Air Resources Board • Military installations • Private companies • Public organizations such as universities A.1.1 Surface Wind Speed and Direction Wind speeds are measured with anemometers at 10 m above ground to minimize the effects of nearby structures and vegetation. Anemometers, both cup and propeller type, work on the principal that the rate of rotation about a vertical or horizontal shaft is proportional to the speed of the air flow past the sensor. Anemometers used for scientific monitoring should have a A-1 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix A: Measurement Approach quick response to changes in wind speed as well as a low threshold for rotation for conditions of very light winds. Acceptable precision levels for anemometers are ±0.5 m/s for most air quality studies (e.g., Thullier et al., 1993). Wind direction measurements are made with wind vanes that orient themselves with the direction of the wind. High quality bearings are used for sensitivity and direction is resolved with an internal potentiometer that has a reference location of zero which must be physically aligned with true north when in position on the tower. The position of true north is determined with a sensitive compass or solar reference and the north position of the wind vane is then aligned in this direction. Care must be taken in the alignment procedure or in subsequent resolution of the wind direction vectors to account for the magnetic declination at the observation site. Averaging can be done over intervals of a few points to the entire data record. The interval must be chosen with respect to the phenomena being observed. As shorter averaging intervals are chosen, periodic motion may be revealed when the period is significantly greater than the averaging period. The averaging process attenuates small-scale fluctuations due to turbulence. The averaging interval must contain sufficient data points to constitute a reasonable average, eliminating the small scale turbulent fluctuations and instrument derived errors such as response sensitivity and anemometer run-up and run-down. Five minutes is a reasonable compromise between the need to acquire a statistically valid number of samples and the nature of phenomena such as wind gusts and dispersion. The time average of horizontal wind direction standard deviation (σθ) can be calculated as from one second observations over a period of 5 minutes or less (Greeley and Iversen, 1985). This minimizes the influence of the wind flow which may be non-stationary in both speed and direction over longer averaging periods. Table A.1-1 provides specifications for CCOS/CRPAQS wind sensors. Instruments meeting these specifications were used in the Southern California Ozone Study (SCOS97NARSTO) (Fujita et al., 1997) and the Northern Front Range Air Quality Study (NFRAQS) (Chow et al., 1998). SCOS97 performance audits were satisfactory with ±0.25 m/s for wind speeds between 0 and 5 m/s, and ±5% for wind speeds greater than 5 m/s. The NFRAQS intercomparison of meteorological sensors concluded that from collocated instruments were comparable to each other at the 95% confidence level when sampling the same environment. NFRAQS and SCOS97 also demonstrated a high level of instrument functionality, with few episodes of missing data at any of the seven monitoring sites. A.1.2 Surface Relative Humidity Humidity indicates the amount of water vapor in the air. The most common reference for this property of the air is the relative humidity (RH), the ratio of the amount of water vapor actually in the air to the amount the air could hold at a given temperature and pressure, that is, the ratio of the actual to the saturated vapor pressure. A-2 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix A: Measurement Approach Accurate measurements at high RH (>85%) is important to atmospheric transformations and to visibility reduction. An accuracy of 2-3% RH is needed to adequately estimate aerosol properties. A 2-3% accuracy for RH over the 90-100% RH is attainable by several RH sensors (e.g. Vaisala, Rotronics) and corresponds to ±0.5°C when expressed as dewpoint temperature. Motor-aspirated radiation shields ensure adequate ventilation and exposure rates (U.S. EPA, 1989). A.1.3 Surface Temperature Equivalent resistance temperature detectors (RTD (e.g., Vaisala, Rotronics, Climatronics, Campbell Scientific, etc.) are used at the meteorological sites. Motor-aspirated radiation shields ensure adequate ventilation and exposure rates, according to U.S. EPA quality assurance requirements (U.S. EPA, 1989). The accuracy (~0.15-0.5 °C) and functional precision (0.1°C) of these sensors are sufficiently good and they can be used to infer lapse rates and thus stability (e.g., estimates of delta-T) when several sensors are used on a tower. Temperature sensors are normally located at 5 m above ground level. Table 10.1-1 presents specifications for the Vaisala and Campbell Scientific (CV) temperature (• C) and relative humidity (%) sensors A.1.4 Surface Pressure Pressure is routinely measured by the National Weather Service in terms of altimeter setting or sea level pressure. The altimeter setting is the pressure value to which an aircraft altimeter scale is set so it will indicate the altitude above mean-sea-level of the aircraft on the ground at the location the pressure value was determined. The sea level pressure is the atmospheric pressure at mean sea level. It is either measured directly or obtained by the empirical reduction of station pressure to sea level. When the earth's surface is above sea level, it is assumed that the atmosphere extends to sea level below the station and that the properties of the fictitious air column are related to conditions observed at the station. A.1.5 Solar Radiation Solar radiation sensors are operated at several existing ARB sites throughout the region. The measurements employ a solar pyranometer that collects direct solar beam and diffuse sky radiation passing though a horizontal beam. A.2 Upper-Air Wind Speed, Wind Direction, and Temperature The types of upper-air meteorological measurements needed include wind speed, wind direction, temperature, and mixing height. Measurements of humidity are also useful where they are available at some sites. A comprehensive discussion of the accuracy and methodology of upper air measurements is provided in the SJVAQS/AUSPEX Meteorological Field Measurement Program report (Thuillier, 1994). A.2.1 Radar Wind Profilers Radar wind profilers (RWPs) provide continuous remote measurements of wind speed and direction to altitudes of ~3 km AGL. The profilers emit short pulses of generally 915 MHz A-3 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix A: Measurement Approach electromagnetic radiation which scatter off inhomogeneities in the index of refraction of an air mass. By emitting energy directionally in three orthogonal components, the received scattered radiation provides estimates of wind speed and direction. Because of the finite length of the emitted pulse train, vertical resolution is limited to approximately 100 m. Echoes received during the detector downtime cannot be processed and this raises the threshold height to approximately 100 m above ground level. The typical five-degree beam width also limits the resolution of wind direction in a height dependent manner. There are general trade-offs between maximum range and vertical resolution and between averaging time and accuracy. Radar wind profiler data are generally reported as 15-minute up to hourly averaged data and are representative of a three-dimensional cell. Because wind vectors may vary significantly over the course of an hour, the near-instantaneous radiosonde measurements may not compare well with radar wind profiler measurements on a case-by-case basis. However, if radiosondes and wind profilers are deployed in areas with similar winds, the statistical distribution of winds may be expected to be reasonably similar. The RWP is highly sensitive to stray electromagnetic signals and stationary or solid objects in the beam paths or their side lobes. Thus, it should be sited away from large objects such as buildings and trees and away from frequent overflights by aircraft. A.2.2 Radio-Acoustic Sounding Systems (RASS) Temperature aloft up to 500-700 m can be characterized using a RASS. The RASS essentially uses collocated radio wave and acoustic sources such that radio waves are scattered off the acoustic wavefronts. The propagation velocity of the acoustic wave fronts is then measured, which can be related to the (virtual) temperature of the air. This effort could install one radar profiler with RASS at critical locations along major transport paths, such as mountain passes or the coastal shoreline, for example, near Cajon and Banning Passes and along the downwind shorelines in San Diego and Santa Barbara. There is considerably less accuracy in the RASS temperature profiles compared to the those obtainable from tethersonde measurements, particularly in areas of complex terrain where radar side lobes may present a problem. However, the RASS temperature data may be compared to QA radiosonde or tethersonde temperature data because the virtual temperature can also be calculated from the sonde measurements of ambient temperature, dew point or relative humidity, and pressure. A favorable comparison under representative conditions would increase confidence in the RASS data at these sites. A.2.3 Acoustic Sounders (Sodars) The sodar uses an observational process that is similar to the RWP except that the sodar uses pulses of acoustic instead of electromagnetic energy. The sodar then detects returned acoustic energy scattered from turbulent density fluctuation (instead of index of refraction fluctuations). It provides hourly averaged wind speed and direction up to a 500-600 m maximum range with a threshold height of approximately 50-60 m. The sodar can operate routinely with little or no on-site care, but compared to radiosondes it does not measure humidity, and the equipment is expensive. The sodar is highly sensitive to extraneous sources of sound. Thus, it should be sited away from substantial and continuous noise sources such as heavily traveled roads. The sodar acoustic emissions are audible and may disturb nearby residents, which can be A-4 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix A: Measurement Approach a siting disadvantage compared with the RWP. With the lower vertical range, sodars should be deployed in areas of lower expected mixing heights, such as in marine layers. A.2.4 Radiosondes Upper-air wind speed, wind direction, and temperature can be collected by in-situ systems or by remote sensing instruments. The most commonly used in-situ systems rely on a balloonborne sensor (radiosonde), carried aloft by a freely ascending weather balloon to measure atmospheric pressure, temperature, and moisture (relative humidity or wet bulb temperature). These thermodynamic variables are used to compute the altitude of the balloon. Wind speed and direction aloft are determined by measuring the position of the balloon as it ascends. The position data can be obtained by tracking the balloon from a fixed ground station using radio direction finding techniques (RDF) or optical tracking, or they can be obtained using one of the radio navigation (NAVAID) networks, such as loran or Global Positioning System (GPS). By measuring the position of the balloon with respect to time and altitude, horizontal wind vectors can be computed that represent the layer-averaged wind speed and wind direction for successive layers. Balloons can also measure relative humidity, which is not detected by proven remote sensing methods. The vertical resolution of the wind data is typically 50-200 m (depending on altitude and the type of sounding system used), and the range is from about 100 m above ground level (AGL) to altitudes as high as 10,000 m altitude or higher. Radiosondes provide wind data that are averaged over short vertical distances and are thus nearly instantaneous measurements at a particular location. Although the radiosonde directly measures temperature and humidity during the short balloon flight, it is only a "snapshot" at each level of the atmosphere. As the radiosonde rises, it is transported downwind, so measurements are not made above a fixed location, as within a wind profiler, for example. For air pollution studies such as this, balloon sounding systems can provide relatively complete profiles of winds, temperature, and moisture in the boundary layer and lower troposphere. Balloon soundings usually can be made two to eight times per day on selected sampling days within reasonable budget contraints, but they are not cost-effective for long-term monitoring. A.2.5 Tethered Balloons Tethered balloons employ an instrument package, called a tethersonde, which provides in situ measurements of wind speed and direction, temperature, dew point, and pressure. The package is deployed on a blimp-shaped helium balloon that is tied by light cord to a mechanical winch system. The altitude range is usually limited to less than 1 km; wind speeds over 10 meters per second may cause loss of the balloon. The tethersonde transmits the information back to a ground station, with values taken every few seconds corresponding to one value every 2-3 meters apart for average ascent and descent speeds. The accuracy of the measurements compares to that of any surface station, since the sonde package is akin to a miniature surface station carried aloft by the balloon. Advantages of the tethersonde include much better vertical resolution with no threshold height compared to the RWP or sodar. Once the system is set up A-5 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix A: Measurement Approach and manned, soundings can be taken through the surface layer as often as every 15 minutes. However, disadvantages of the tethersonde include site setup/breakdown time, the need for continual manning during operations, and the difficulty in obtaining FAA permits to operate within 8 km of any airport. A.2.6 Sonic Anemometers Sonic anemometers deployed at surface sites would provide estimates of turbulent fluxes for the modeling effort. The variations in sound propagation over a short (30 cm) path are typically sampled at 10 Hz, providing an estimate of turbulent fluctuations over that path. Onedimensional sonic anemometers measure vertical turbulent flux, while three-dimensional sonic anemometers include turbulent fluxes in the two horizontal dimensions. These data provide boundary layer characterization, representative of the type of terrain over which the measurement is taken. Urban effects could be better incorporated in the mesoscale model. The measurement could provide better dispersion estimates for models run in the data assimilation mode, and provide real-world measurements against which model estimates of turbulent flux are compared. A.3 Routine Surface Air Quality The California Air Resources Board and local air pollution control districts operate a network of sampling sites that measure ambient pollutant levels. This network consists of three types of surface air quality monitoring stations. The National Air Monitoring Stations (NAMS) were established to ensure a long term national network for urban area-oriented ambient monitoring and to provide a systematic, consistent database for air quality comparisons and trend analysis. The State and Local Air Monitoring Stations (SLAMS) allow state and local governments to develop networks tailored to their immediate monitoring needs. Special purpose monitors (SPM) fulfill very specific or short-term monitoring goals. SPMs are typically used as source-oriented monitors rather than monitors which reflect the overall urban air quality. Data from all three types are submitted by state and local agencies to EPA’s Aerometric Information Retrieval System (AIRS), which serves as the national repository for air quality, meteorological and emissions data. Under Title I, Section 182, of the 1990 Amendments to the Federal Clean Air Act, the EPA proposed a rule to revise the current ambient air quality surveillance regulations. The rule requires implementing a national network of enhanced ambient air monitoring stations (Federal Register, 1993). States with areas classified as serious, severe, or extreme for ozone nonattainment are required to establish photochemical assessment monitoring stations (PAMS) as part of their State Implementation Plan (SIP). In the CCOS area, PAMS are required in Sacramento, Fresno and Bakerfield metropolitan areas. Each station measures speciated hydrocarbons and carbonyl compounds, ozone, oxides of nitrogen, and surface meteorological data. Additionally, each area must monitor upper air meteorology at one representative site. The program was phased in over a five-year schedule, beginning in 1994, at a rate of at least one station per area per year. Intended applications for the PAMS database include ozone and precursor trends, emission inventory reconciliation and verification, population exposure analyses, photochemical modeling support, and control strategy evaluation. A-6 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix A: Measurement Approach There are 185 active monitoring stations in northern and central California. Table A.1-2 contains a list of the monitoring sites and the air quality parameters measured at each site. Of the active sites, 130 measure ozone and 76 measure NOX. Carbon monoxide and total hydrocarbons are measured at 57 and 14 sites, respectively. Data from these sites are routinely acquired and archived by the ARB and Districts. The following is a brief description of the measurement methods that are commonly used at routine air quality monitoring stations. A.3.1 Ozone Ozone is continuously measured either by ultraviolet absorption photometry or by gasphase ethylene-ozone chemiluminescence. In the ultraviolet analyzer, a mercury vapor lamp is used to produce ultraviolet radiation at 254 nm which is absorbed by the ozone in the air sample. The ozone signal is determined by the difference between ambient air containing ozone and ambient air with the ozone removed or scrubbed. The ultraviolet analyzer is calibrated by comparison with an ozone photometer which is certified as a transfer standard. The transfer standard is certified against absolute ozone photometers located at the California Air Resources Board test and laboratory facilities. The minimum detectable level of UV monitors is about 2-5 ppbv. Accuracies and precisions are on the order of 10-15 percent or 2-5 ppbv, whichever is larger. Interferences with the UV measurement method include any gas or fine particle that absorbs or scatters light at 254 nm. Gaseous inorganic compounds normally found in the atmosphere, including NO2 and SO2, do not interfere, and particles are largely removed by a prefilter. The most likely interferent is gaseous hydrocarbon compounds that are strong absorbers at 254 nm and are either partially or completely absorbed onto the scrubber. Examples are aromatic compounds, such as benzene and substituted benzenes. Interferences from hydrocarbons can account for a positive bias in the UV measurement for ozone of up to 40 ppb based on the concentration of the interferences occurring during peak ozone periods (Leston and Ollison, 1992). Kleindienst et al. (1993) observed about a 3 percent interference with ozone measurements under hydrocarbon loadings typical of ambient smoggy conditions. Water vapor may also interfere with the UV method when water vapor concentrations are high and variable. These interferences appear to be due to the condensation of water vapor on imperfect absorption cell windows. The ozone/ethylene chemiluminescence method (ECL) is a Federal Reference Method for measuring ozone in ambient air (EPA, 1971). The ECL method is based on the reaction of ozone with ethylene, which produces formaldehyde in an electrically excited state and, on transition to the ground state, emits light in the visible range. This reaction is rapid and specific to ozone and takes place in a chamber coupled to a sensitive photomultiplier tube. Under controlled conditions, the signal produced by the ozone-ethylene reaction is proportional to the ozone concentration in the reaction chamber and with proper calibration it is proportional to ambient ozone concentrations. The chemiluminescence analyzer is calibrated in the same manner as the ultraviolet analyzers. The minimum detection level of commercial ECL monitors is about 2-5 ppbv. Accuracies and precisions are on the order of 10-15 percent or 2-5 ppbv, whichever is larger. The only major interference for measuring ozone by the ECL method is water vapor. The positive interference ranges from 3-12 percent. However, this interference can be adjusted for by calibrating the ECL monitors at humidities expected during peak ozone periods. In practice, this is rarely done. A-7 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix A: Measurement Approach The Air Pollution Control Districts measure ambient ozone concentrations with instruments made by several different manufacturers. All analyzers employ the UV photometric technique to determine ozone concentration. All analyzers have been designated as EPA Equivalent Methods. The following analyzers are deployed in the networks: Thermo Environmental Inc., model 49 Dasibi Environmental, model 1003 Advanced Pollution Instrumentation, Inc., model 400 A.3.2 Nitrogen Oxides Nitric oxide (NO) is continuously measured by the chemiluminescence nitric oxide-ozone method (OCM). This method is based on the gas-phase chemical reaction of NO with ozone. In this method an ambient air is mixed with a high concentration of ozone so that any NO in the air sample will react and thereby produce light. The light intensity is measured with a photomultiplier and converted into an electronic signal which is proportional to the NO concentration. To measure NOx concentrations, the sum of NO and NO2 (nitrogen dioxide), the air sample is first reduced to NO, either by a heated catalyst (molybdenum or gold in the presence of CO) or chemically using FeSO4, adding to the NO already present in the sample, then into the reaction chamber for measurement as described above. The NO2 concentration is derived by subtracting the NO concentration measurement from the NOx concentration measurements. Standard sensitivity instruments have detection limits of about 0.5 to 3 ppb (60 sec averaging times) and are suitable for air quality monitoring in urban and suburban areas. Thermo Environmental Instruments, Inc. (TEI) Model 42C and Monitor Labs 8440 and 8840 are examples of this type of instrument. These and similar instruments from Columbia Scientific and Bendix have been used widely by federal, state, and local agencies for routine monitoring of NO and NO2 (actually NOx minus NO plus other interfering nitrogen oxides). Trace level instruments, such as the TEI Model 42C-TL have detection limits of about 50 ppt (120 sec averaging times) and are better suited in rural and background sites, and onboard instrumented aircrafts. The reduction of NO2 to NO by these methods is not specific and a number of other nitrogen-containing species are reduced to NO that can interfere with the measurement of NO2 (e.g., HNO3, PAN, N2O5, HONO, and NO3). Therefore the thermal catalytic method is used to measure NO, and then NO plus other nitrogen oxides as a group. If the group is not well defined, it is referred commonly as NOx, since the species included in the group depend on factors such as inlet and line losses and environmental factors. HNO3 is most prone to line losses. Placing the converter as close to the sample inlet as possible minimizes these losses. Chemiluminescence analyzers that are configured in this manner are commonly known as NOy analyzers. NOy, or reactive nitrogen oxides, consists of a variety of species, the most abundant of which are NO, NO2, PAN and HNO3. TEI Model 42CY is configured with dual converters, which allows estimates of HNO3 by difference between the signals with and without an in-line nylon filter or NaCl impregnated fiber denuder. A-8 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix A: Measurement Approach A.3.3 Photochemical Assessment Monitoring Stations (PAMS) Program A maximum of five PAMS sites are required in affected nonattainment areas, depending on the population of the Metropolitan Statistical Area/Consolidated Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA/CMSA) or nonattainment area, whichever is larger. PAMS networks are based on selection of an array of site locations relative to ozone precursor source areas and predominant wind directions associated with high ozone events. Specific monitoring objectives associated with each of these sites result in four distinct site types. Type 1 sites are established to characterize upwind background and transported ozone and its precursor concentrations entering the area and to identify those areas which are subjected to overwhelming transport. Type 1 sites are located in the predominant morning upwind direction from the local area of maximum precursor emissions during the ozone season. Typically, Type 1 sites will be located near the edge of the photochemical grid model domain in the predominant upwind direction from the city limits or fringe of the urbanized area. Type 2 sites are established to monitor the magnitude and type of precursor emissions in the area where maximum precursor emissions are expected. These sites also are suited for the monitoring of urban air toxic pollutants. Type 2 sites are located immediately downwind of the area of maximum precursor emissions and are typically placed near the downwind boundary of the central business district. Additionally, a second Type 2 site may be required depending on the size of the area, and will be placed in the second-most predominant morning wind direction. Type 3 sites are intended to monitor maximum ozone concentrations occurring downwind from the area of maximum precursor emissions. Typically, Type 3 sites will be located 10 to 30 miles downwind from the fringe of the urban area. Type 4 sites are established to characterize the extreme downwind transported ozone and its precursor concentrations exiting the area and identify those areas that are potentially contributing to overwhelming transport in other areas. Type 4 sites are located in the predominant afternoon downwind direction, as determined for the Type 3 site, from the local area of maximum precursor emissions during the ozone season. Typically, Type 4 sites are located near the downwind edge of the photochemical grid model domain. The current status of the implementation of PAMS by local air pollution control districts in central California is outlined in Table A.1-3. PAMS precursor monitoring is conducted annually in California during the peak ozone season (July, August and September) according to the schedule shown in Table A.1-3. Eleven PAMS sites will be in operation during summer 2000 (four in Sacramento County, four in Fresno County, and three in Kern County). The table includes minimum network requirements that are specified in the EPA rule and the alternative network specifications submitted to EPA by ARB on behalf of the affected districts in the state. The California Alternative Plan was deemed by EPA to satisfy the PAMS monitoring objectives and has been approved for use by districts in California. EPA methods TO-14 and TO-11 are specified by the EPA for sampling and analysis of speciated hydrocarbons and carbonyl compounds, respectively (EPA, 1991). Table A.1- A-9 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix A: Measurement Approach 4contains the minimum list of targeted hydrocarbon species. For carbonyl compounds, state and local agencies are currently required to report only formaldehyde, acetaldehyde and acetone. The ARB and districts laboratories may be able to quantify and report several C3 to C7 carbonyl compounds that appear in the HPLC chromatograms. The EPA rule requires eight 3-hour hydrocarbon samples (midnight-3 am, 3-6 am, 6-9 am, 9-noon, noon-3 pm, 3-6 pm, 6-9 pm, and 9-midnight PDT) every day at Type 2 sites and every third day at all other PAMS sites. Sampling for carbonyl compounds is required at Type 2 sites only. In addition, one 24-hour sample is required every sixth day year-round at Type 2 sites and during the summer monitoring period at all other sites. Under the California Alternative Plan, four 3-hour samples (0-3 am, 6-9 am, 1-4 pm, and 5-8 pm, PDT) are collected every third day during the monitoring period at all PAMS sites for speciated hydrocarbons and at Type 2 sites only for carbonyl compounds. In addition to the regularly scheduled measurements, samples are collected on a forecast basis during up to five high-ozone episodes of at least two consecutive days. Episodic measurements consist of four samples per day (6-9 am, 9-noon, 1-4 pm and 5-8 pm, PDT) for speciated hydrocarbons at all PAMS sites and for carbonyl compounds at Type 2 sites. Total nonmethane hydrocarbon (NMHC) concentrations are also measured by analysis of the canister samples by preconcentration direct injection flame ionization detection (PDFID). Total NMHC is measured by passing the air sample through a chromatographic column to separate methane from other hydrocarbons and analyzing the bulk hydrocarbon sample by FID. In the FID, sample air is burned in a hydrogen flame creating a quantity of ions from the hydrogen molecules in the air sample. The ions conduct a small electrical current which is measured by an electrometer, which in turn produces an electronic signal proportional to the number of ions collected. Thus, the total hydrocarbon data are reported as parts per billion carbon (ppbC). Total nonmethane hydrocarbon (NMHC) concentrations are monitored at some PAMS sites by automated-Preconcentration Direct Injection Flame Ionization Detection (PDFID) (e.g., Xontech 850). A.4 Supplemental Measurements of Ozone Supplemental air quality measurements are needed during intensive operational periods (IOPs) in order to examine the three-dimensional distribution of ozone in the study area and to quantify some of the important species, other than those routinely monitored, which participate in ozone photochemistry. A.4.1 Ozonesondes In addition to atmospheric pressure, temperature, and moisture (relative humidity or wet bulb temperature), balloon-borne radiosondes can be equipped with instrumentation to measure the vertical distributions of ozone mixing ratios. Ozonesondes have lower quantifiable limit of less than 15 ppb with precision of ± 5 ppb or ± 10%. Ozonesondes provide ozone data that are averaged over short vertical distances and are thus nearly instantaneous measurements at a particular location. The data are only "snapshots" at each level of the atmosphere. As the radiosonde rises, it can be transported downwind, so measurements are not made above a fixed location. The typical response time of the instrument A-10 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix A: Measurement Approach (> 80% of step change in 1 minute) may affect accuracy during ascent through sharp gradients in ozone mixing ratios. Balloon soundings usually can be made two to eight times per day on selected sampling days within reasonable budget contraints, but they are not cost-effective for long-term monitoring. Use of ozonesondes are most cost-effective when coupled to existing radiosonde releases. A.4.2 Ozone Aloft Lidar Measurements In the more than 30 years since the invention of the laser, the evolution of lidar (light detection and ranging) technology has led to great advances in atmospheric remote sensing (Measures, 1984). A particular form of lidar, the Differential Absorption Lidar (DIAL) has made it possible to measure the concentration distributions of many tropospheric trace gases and pollutants (Rothe et al., 1974a; Measures, 1984; Grant et al., 1992). A basic lidar system consists of a transmitter and a receiver located next to each other. The transmitter, typically a pulsed laser, sends a short pulse of collimated light into the atmosphere. A small part of this light pulse is scattered back into the receiver by atmospheric particles and gas molecules. Light scattered at a distance r will arrive at the receiver after a round trip time t = 2r/c, where c is the speed of light. The lidar return signal S as a function of distance r is described by the lidar equation (Measures, 1984). S (r , λ) = A(r , λ )C (λ) β (r , λ ) r exp −2 ∫ σ (x , λ)dx 2 0 r , where A is the overlap integral between the transmitted laser beam and the field of view of the telescope, C is the system constant, ß is the backscattering coefficient, σ is the volume extinction coefficient, and λ is the wavelength of the laser. While the overlap integral A can be determined from measurements in a homogeneous atmosphere, the system constant C is generally unknown and for each measured signal S(r,λ) there are two atmospheric parameters ß(r,λ) and σ(r,λ) one would like to determine. The lidar equation is therefore under-determined and cannot be solved without additional assumptions or data. To obtain at least semi-quantitative information about the range-resolved atmospheric extinction, one generally assumes an empirical relationship between the backscattering coefficient ß(r,λ) and the extinction coefficient σ(r,λ) (Gibson, 1994), together with an estimate of a boundary condition for the extinction coefficient within the measurement range (Fernald et al., 1972; Klett, 1981). The mathematical technique used for this semi-quantitative analysis is based on Hitschfeld’s work for the analysis of radar data (Hitschfeld and Bordan, 1954) and is often referred to as Klett inversion (Klett, 1981). Differential absorption lidar (DIAL) is a multi-wavelength lidar that uses the wavelengthdependent absorption of atmospheric constituents to measure their range resolved concentration (Measures, 1984). For this purpose, the extinction coefficient σ at a distance r and wavelength λi may be written as σ (r, λi ) = σ i (r ) + α i n(r) , A-11 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix A: Measurement Approach where σi is the extinction coefficient due to scattering at λi, αi denotes the absorption coefficient at λi, and n is the concentration of the absorbing gas. If the lidar equation is applied at two different wavelengths λi and λj with substantially different absorption coefficients, the concentration n at range r can be calculated from the ratio of the lidar signals at the two wavelengths as n (r ) = 1 1 d β i (r ) 1 d Ai (r ) d S j (r ) ∆σij (r ) ln + ln , + ln − 2∆α ij dr Si (r ) 2∆α ij dr β j (r ) 2∆α ij dr Aj (r ) ∆α ij where αi,j=αi-αj and σi,j=σi-σj. The laser line (wavelength) with the larger (smaller) absorption coefficient is referred to as “on-line” (“off-line”). The first term in this equation is the main term, while the others are correction terms; the second term and the third term, respectively, are corrections for differential aerosol extinction [Ei,j] and backscatter [Bi,j] between the two wavelengths, whereas the fourth term is a correction for the incomplete overlap [Oi,j]. The extinction correction vanishes ([Ei,j]=0) if the extinction due to scattering is identical for λi and λj, the backscatter correction vanishes ([Bi,j]=0) if the ratio of the backscattering coefficients for λi and λj is independent of distance, and the overlap correction vanishes ([Oi,j]=0) if the ratio of the overlap integrals for λi and λj is independent of distance. In contrast to extinction and backscattering corrections, the overlap correction is a pure system parameter, independent of atmospheric conditions, requiring only an initial system calibration. Several criteria pollutants (i.e., ozone (O3) (Molina and Molina, 1986), sulfur dioxide (SO2) (Manatt and Lane, 1993), and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) (Davidson et al., 1988)) have absorption features in the middle ultraviolet (shown in Figure A.1-1) where an absence of disturbing interference from other atmospheric gases, large backscattering cross-sections for both particles and gases, low solar background, and the commercial availability of both tunable and fixed frequency lasers as radiation sources make the development of appropriate active remote sensors feasible. In particular, SO2 and NO2 have enough fine structure in their spectra so that their concentration can be measured with DIAL utilizing two closely (≈ 1 nm) spaced wavelengths (Rothe et al., 1974b; Browell, 1982; Galle et al., 1988). In this case differential extinction and backscattering corrections are negligible and the systematic errors of the DIAL measurement become independent of aerosol loading. However, to utilize the spectral fine structure efficiently, tunable lasers have to be used. In contrast, the O3 absorption spectrum is quite smooth, necessitating a wider spacing between the two wavelengths, on the order of 20 nm. Therefore, differential extinction and backscattering corrections become important. While the extinction correction is generally negative (i.e., the measured concentration is too high without correction) and on the order of a few ppb, the backscattering correction can become much larger in regions with large gradients of aerosol concentration. For small aerosol loading the backscattering is dominated by Rayleigh scattering with its λ-4 wavelength dependence, while for large aerosol loading particle scattering with its approximately λ-1 wavelength dependence contributes most of the backscattering. Therefore, a rapid change with distance r from polluted to clear air, as encompassed for example A-12 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix A: Measurement Approach in inversion layers, requires a positive backscattering correction, while the opposite change requires a negative correction. In the case of thin aerosol layers this can lead to a dispersion shape of the required correction or of the uncorrected, measured ozone concentration. To calculate the backscattering correction one needs range resolved data for the aerosol backscatter coefficient at both DIAL wavelength. Generally, one can guess the wavelength dependence of the backscattering coefficient (Charlson, 1972) and may try to obtain the backscattering coefficient at the “off” wavelength from a lidar inversion (Klett, 1981). However, even this task is quite difficult in the near ultraviolet, especially in the lower troposphere (Kovalev and Moosmüller, 1994). Ozone DIAL measurements can also be influenced by the simultaneous optical absorption by SO2 and to a far lesser degree by NO2. Generally this effect becomes only problematic in power plant plumes and can be minimized by proper selection of laser wavelengths (Moosmüller et al., 1994). While DIAL systems have been used for the remote measurement of atmospheric pollutants for more than two decades (Rothe et al., 1974a), their hardware, use, and data analysis procedures have not become routine. They still require close attention, skilled personnel and considerable resources. Of particular importance are well designed, implemented, and tested hardware and data analysis algorithms. Especially the interdependence between hardware and data analysis algorithms has to be stressed. Generally, their performance evolves, and hopefully improves, together in an iterative fashion. The successful use of these systems is highly dependent on skilled, experienced, and dedicated operators and developers, which are often identical. It should be noted that range, precision, spatial, and temporal resolution of DIAL measurements are closely related and fair comparisons between different systems can only be made if all of these parameters are given. Lower and upper range limits are of different importance for zenith looking ground based systems and nadir looking airborne systems. For ground based systems the lower range limit is of particular importance as it is identical to the height above ground at which measurements start for a zenith looking operation. For airborne systems, the flight altitude can generally be chosen so that the upper range limit approximates the height above ground. The precision of the DIAL measurements is generally best around the distance from the system where complete overlap between laser beams and field of view of the telescope is obtained. With increasing distance from the system the signal level and consequently the signalto-noise ratio and precision of the DIAL measurement deteriorate. For ground based systems this trend is frequently reduced by decreasing the range resolution with increasing distance. This is a sensible approach, as the scale of atmospheric structure generally increases with increasing altitude. However, for airborne, downlooking lidar systems the opposite is true the finer scale atmospheric structure is generally encountered towards the far end of their measurement range, close to the ground where the measurement precision is the lowest. In addition, these systems are moving, with a typical averaging time of 15 s corresponding to about 1 km of horizontal movement. If atmospheric structure smaller than the distance covered in the averaging time (e.g., A-13 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix A: Measurement Approach 1 km) is encountered, the data averaging becomes rather problematic. Both these problems can make measurements close to the ground difficult for airborne, downlooking lidar systems. Aerosol extinction and backscattering corrections have not been implemented in the routine data analysis for any of the following systems. Its inclusion would be a worthy goal for the analysis of CCOS data. Ground-Based Ozone Profiling Atmospheric Lidar (OPAL) The Atmospheric Lidar Division of NOAA’s Environmental Technology Laboratory in Boulder has developed a transportable ozone and aerosol lidar specifically for the measurement of ozone in the boundary layer and the lower free troposphere. This lidar has been employed in several field experiments: • July 1993, Intercomparison Experiment in Davis, CA, sponsored by ARB (Zhao et al., 1994) • September 1993, LAFRS Experiment in Claremont, CA, sponsored by ARB (Zhao et al., 1994) • August, 1995, Ozone Transport Experiment in Victorville, CA, sponsored by ARB • October–November 1995, Table Mountain Vertical Ozone Intercomparison Experiment in Boulder, CO, sponsored by NOAA. • June-August 1997, Southern California Ozone Study (SCOS97-NARSTO) (Fujita et al., 1998) • Summer 1999, Southern Oxidants Study (SOS99) in Nashville and in Atlanta. Transport and OPAL is based on a solid state laser, the Nd:YAG laser with a fundamental wavelength of 1064 nm and a pulse repetition rate of up to 10 Hz. The third harmonic of this wavelength (i.e., 355 nm) with an operating pulse energy of 7–10 mJ is used for aerosol profiling with a range of about 9 km. The fourth harmonic of the fundamental (i.e., 266 nm) with an operating pulse energy of 20–30 mJ is used as “on-line” for the ozone measurement. The “off-line” for the ozone measurement is generated by Raman shifting the second harmonic (i.e., 532 nm) by the vibrational frequency of the deuterium molecule (i.e., 2987 cm-1) to 632.5 nm, and subsequent sum-frequency mixing of 532 nm and 632.5 nm, yielding an “off-line” at 289 nm. This process takes place in a specially designed Raman cell, yielding a pulse energy of 1–2 mJ. This process utilizes the laser energy better than the more direct Raman shifting of the fourth harmonics (Ancellet et al., 1989; Zhao et al., 1994), while yielding the same wavelength. The receiver section utilizes an 8”-diameter telescope to collect the backscattered light. Dichroic beamsplitters separate the light from the different laser lines for the detection by photomultiplier tubes. The signals are digitized by 12 bit A/D converters for the subsequent analysis. A-14 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix A: Measurement Approach Ozone measurements can be obtained for a range of up to 3 km under moderate to high surface ozone concentrations (< 150 ppb) while, for extremely high concentrations, a range of 2 km can still be achieved. Aerosol profiles for a maximum range of about 10 km can be obtained with a range resolution of 15 m. The lower range limit is very good (≈ 50 m) due to the use of an innovative technique for the compression of the lidar dynamic range (Zhao et al., 1992). Using the 266/289 nm wavelengths pair, averaging 600-1200 pulses (5-10 min at 2 Hz or 1-2 min at 10 Hz), the retrieval of ozone concentrations has a range resolution from a few tens of meters in the lower boundary layer to 150-200 m at about 3 km. Range resolution decreases with height because the signal-to-noise ratio decreases with distance. The measurement direction of the lidar system can be scanned in one dimension from 30o to 150o yielding a two dimensional ozone measurement. The vertical scanning capability provides a valuable internal system check, frequent calibration, and was desired for both monitoring and modeling studies. This system is being modified to add a new wavelength at 299 nm, to provide a longer maximum range of ozone measurements in a thick boundary layer. The modified system will be deployed in the SOS99 experiment in Nashville and in Atlanta this summer. Cost Estimate: Cost estimate for NOAA's ground based ozone lidar (OPAL): 1 month deployment including 150 hours of operation $230k Aircraft Ozone Lidar The Atmospheric Lidar Division of NOAA’s Environmental Technology Laboratory in Boulder is operating an airborne, downlooking UV-DIAL, which was originally developed by EPA's Environmental Monitoring Systems Laboratory – Las Vegas. This system is capable of measuring range resolved ozone concentrations and aerosol, nadir looking from its airborne platform to near the ground level. It has been tested and employed in several field experiments: • July 1991, Initial Ground Tests at the Lake Mead National Recreation Area, Nevada (Moosmüller et al., 1992) • May 1992, Initial Airborne Tests in Southeastern Michigan (Moosmüller et al., 1993; McElroy et al., 1994; Moosmüller et al., 1994) • July–August 1993, COAST Study in Southeastern Texas (McElroy et al., 1994; Moosmüller, 1994) • June–July 1995, Southern Oxidant Study in Tennessee • October–November 1995, Table Mountain Vertical Ozone Transport Intercomparison Experiment in Boulder, CO, Ground Based Operation. and This system is based on a KrF excimer laser, which generates 700 mJ, 20 ns-long pulses at 248 nm with a maximum pulse repetition rate of 20 Hz. Raman cells produce transmitted laser beams at frequencies shifted from the KrF fundamental by integral multiples of the vibrational A-15 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix A: Measurement Approach frequencies of hydrogen (4160 cm-1) and deuterium (2987 cm-1). The pulse power of the five utilized laser lines ranges from 5–12 mJ. The receiver section consists of a 20”-diameter downlooking telescope for collection of the backscattered light and a spectrograph/detector system for the simultaneous detection of five individual laser lines (i.e., 276.9 nm, 291.6 nm, 312.9 nm, 319.4 nm, and 359.4 nm). Normally the 276.9 nm and 312.9 nm wavelengths are used as on- and off- lines for the ozone analysis. The 359.4 nm line is well suited for the measurement of aerosol profiles. The PMT signals are digitized by 12 bit A/D converters with a spatial resolution of 30 m. The resulting data together with the OMA spectra are stored on magnetic tape and simultaneously displayed on a monitor in real time to allow for optimization and control of the system operation. The current measurement range for ozone is from about 0.8 km to 2.5–3 km, with the lower limit corresponding to the complete overlap of laser beams with the field of view of the telescope. The lower limit might be reduced somewhat in the future by applying the overlap correction in the data analysis and/or different alignment of the hardware. Generally, the DIAL data are analyzed for ozone concentrations down to about 90–150 m above ground. Cost Estimate: Cost estimate for NOAA's airborne ozone lidar including preliminary onsite data processing. Final data processing is included as separate item: 1 month deployment and 80 flight hours $300k Additional week including additional 20 flight hours $ 70k Final data processing, approximately $150k Possible Scheduling Conflicts: The airborne system is currently scheduled to participate in the SOS 2000 experiment (Houston) from August 15 through September 15, 2000. A.5 Supplemental Measurements of Oxidized Nitrogen Species Accurate measurements of NO and NO2 in the atmosphere are of considerable importance because of the role of these compounds in the production of ozone and other photochemically derived air pollutants, such as peroxyacetyl nitrate (PAN), the nitrate radical (NO3), and nitric acid (HNO3). Proper evaluation and exercise of photochemical models require low detection limits (<1 ppbv) and interference-free measurements of these species. Routine monitoring techniques for measurement of NO and NO2 and other oxides of nitrogen do not meet these requirements, thus, the photochemical models are unable to reproduce the measured atmospheric concentrations of these species accurately. Recent improvements in routine monitors and the development of ultrasensitive and specific methods for measuring the nitrogen oxide species of interest (e.g., NO, NO2, NOX, NOy, HONO, HNO3, NO3, and PAN) provide more accurate and reliable input data for photochemical models. Most of these methods were evaluated recently by Solomon (1995) during the SJVAQS/AUSPEX/SARMAP air quality study. Measurement of oxidized nitrogen species during CCOS will be made primarily by the commercially available A-16 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix A: Measurement Approach instruments described below. Redundant measurements by alternative spectroscopic method such as a tunable diode laser absorption spectroscopy (TDLAS) or differential optical absorption spectroscopy (DOAS) would be desirable if sufficient funds are available. A.5.1 NO2 and PAN by Gas Chromatography with Luminol Chemiluminescence Detection The Luminol NO2 analyzer operates on the principle that gaseous NO2 undergoes a surface reaction with a specially formulated solution containing water, luminol, sodium sulfate, sodium hydroxide, and alcohol (“Luminol II” solution). The luminol is oxidized and the product chemiluminesces in the 425 nm region. The luminol solution is presented to the air stream on a wick which is replenished with solution from a reservoir. The solution is introduced at the top of the wick and removed to a waste container by a two channel peristaltic pump. A 250 ml reservoir holds sufficient solution for about 3 days of operation. The light emitted by the chemiluminescence reaction is detected by a photomultiplier tube, amplified and output to a chart recorder and data logger. The signal is very sensitive, with a detection limit of 5 pptv if zeroed every 30 minutes or 50 ppt if zeroed daily. Although luminol can produce chemiluminescence with other oxidants, these reactions usually require the presence of metal ion catalyst. Use of deionized water in the solution formulation prevents chemiluminescence from other oxidizers such as hydrogen peroxide. Only O3 and PAN were found to produce luminescence, and addition of other substances to the solution, such as sodium sulfite, make the response to O3 negligible for NO2 mixing ratios above 1 ppbv. The interference by PAN is a constant fraction of the PAN mixing ratio, although the fraction may depend on the formulation, batch, and age of the luminol solution. The The LCM method has be adapted to measure PAN as well as NO2. Unisearch/Scintrex Model LPA-4 is the only commercial instrument for measuring PAN in the atmosphere. In this method, PAN is separated from NO2 and other organonitrates by gas chromatography, thermally reduced to NO2, and measured using the same luminol detector described above for the luminol chemiluminescence measurement of NO2. The more reactive oxides of nitrogen, such as HNO3, HONO, NO3, and other reactive interfering species such as ozone are retained on the column. NO, while passing through the GC column, is not detected by the luminol detector. One major advantage of this method is that the instrument can be calibrated in the field with NO2 rather than the thermally unstable PAN, which is required for the GC/electron capture detector method. As a further modification to the LPA-4, the LNC-3 converter/sequencer can be used to enable the measurement of NOX as well as NOy. The NOy converter in the model LNC-3M converter/sequencer consists of a hot stainless steel tube operated at 400 oC. At this temperature, two otherwise difficult to measure NOy species, namely HNO3 and isopropyl nitrate, have been shown to convert at efficiencies approaching 100 percent. The resulting NOX (NO + NO2) is then measured by using a CrO3 converter upstream of the LMA3 Luminox NO2 analyzer. The cycle time between species is one minute each for NO2, NOX and NOy, and five minutes for PAN. Detection limit for PAN is 30 ppt and 50 ppt for the other nitrogen species. NO and NOz (NOy - NOX) are obtained from the difference. NOz minus PAN yields an upper estimate for nitric acid. Because of the cycle time the modified LPA-4 cannot be used on-board an aircraft. A-17 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix A: Measurement Approach A TEI 42S which has been modified to measure NOy is now commonly used by contractors that perform airborne air quality measurements because of its high sensitivity and fast response (see Section 5.4 for additional details). A.5.2 NO2 and HNO3 by Tunable Diode Laser Absorption Spectroscopy The TDLAS method takes advantage of the high monochromaticity and rapid tunability of a Pb salt diode laser to measure absorptions from single rotational-vibrational lines in the middle infrared spectrum of a molecule. Almost all gases absorb radiation in this spectral region. However, since many gases absorb in this region, very high spectral resolution is required to prevent interferences from other gases in the sampled air. The atmospheric sample is pumped rapidly at the reduced pressure through a White cell, which also provides the long optical path lengths required to achieve the desired detection limits. The tunable diode laser is a small Pb crystal with variable amounts of Sn, Se, Te or S. The wavelength region at which the laser emits radiation is governed by the proportions of the three elements in the crystal. Techniques of measuring NO, NO2 and HNO3 by TDLAS has been described by Hasties (1983) and Mackay (1993) and measuring H2O2 and HCHO by MacKay (1994). The precision of the measurements is experimentally found to be better than ± 1 percent. The accuracy depends on the ability to accurately measure the various flows and on the ability to determine the mixing ratio of the calibration standard. The computed accuracy for H2O2, HCHO and HNO3 is ± 15 percent (MacKay, 1994). A.5.3 NO2, HONO, and NO3 Radical by Differential Optical Absorption Spectroscopy (DOAS) In this method, in situ atmospheric concentrations are determined by measuring the absorption of the species of interest in the ultraviolet/visible wavelength region. The DOAS is based on measuring the difference between the absorbance at a wavelength where the species of interest has a distinct peak, and another wavelength on either side of the peak. High sensitivities are obtained by combining the detector with a long-pathlength, multiple-reflectance system to yield optical pathlengths up to 10 km. Concentrations are determined from the pathlength and from absorption coefficients. Therefore, this is an absolute, highly specific, and nearly interference-free measurement that can be considered as a reference method. The DOAS has been used to measure several pollutants in the atmosphere, including NO2, HONO, NO3, HCHO, SO2, O3 and OH. Several species can be monitored simultaneously. Detection limits as low as about 1 ppbv for NO2, 0.020 ppbv for NO3, 3.3 ppbv for HCHO, and 0.6 ppbv for HONO have been reported for pathlengths of 0.5 to 8 km (Finlayson-Pitts and Pitts, 1986; Plane, 1989; Winer and Biermann, 1989; Plane and Nien, 1991). A.5.4 Automated Particle Nitrate Monitor The Aerosol Dynamics Inc. (ADI) automated particle nitrate monitor (Aerosol Dynamics Inc., Berkeley, CA) is a new method being developed to provide automated, high-time-resolution measurements of fine particle nitrate concentration. The ADI Automated Particle Nitrate A-18 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix A: Measurement Approach monitor uses an integrated collection and vaporization cell whereby particles are collected by a humidified impaction process, and analyzed in place by flash vaporization. The measurements for the Northern Front Range Air Quality Study (NFRAQS) in the Denver area represent the first deployment of the system (Chow et al., 1998). Fine particle nitrate concentrations were measured at the Brighton site with five measurements per hour during a three-to-four day pollution episode between 01/16/97 and 01/20/97. During the winter 1997 field campaign, the system operated over two, one-week periods yielding concentrations of fine particle nitrate with five determinations per hour. The automated particle nitrate monitor captured the time variability in fine particle nitrate concentrations with a time resolution of 12 minutes and a precision of approximately 0.5 µg/m3. The absolute accuracy of the nitrate concentrations, as indicated through comparison with nitric-acid-denuded particulate nitrate measurements on filter packs, showed agreement within ±0.6 µg/m3 for most measurement periods, but exhibited a discrepancy of a factor of two for the highest nitrate concentration measurement periods. The reason for this difference is not known, and additional data is needed to qualify the accuracy and precision of the method. The approach for continuous nitrate measurements is similar to the manual method used for more than 20 years to measure the size distribution of sulfate aerosols (Hering and Friedlander, 1982). The difference is that the particle collection and analysis has been combined into a single cell, allowing the system to be automated. Particles are humidified, and collected onto a metal strip by means of impaction. The humidification essentially eliminates the rebound of particles from the collection surface without the use of grease (Winkler, 1974; Stein et al., 1994). Interference from vapors such as nitric acid is minimized by using a nitric acid denuder upstream of the humidifier. At the end of the 10-minute particle sampling period, the valving is switched to stop particle collection and to pass a nitrogen carrier gas through the cell and into a gas analyzer. The deposited particles were analyzed for nitrate by flash-vaporization in a nitrogen carrier gas, with quantitation of the evolved gases by a chemiluminscent analyzer operated in NOx mode (Yamamota and Kousaka, 1992). The flow system is configured such that there are no valves on the aerosol sampling line. Details of the method are given by Hering (1997). Field calibration and validation procedures include on-line checks of particle collection efficiency, calibration of analysis step with aqueous standards applied directly to the collection substrate, and determination of blanks by measurements of filtered, ambient air. Particle collection efficiencies were checked by means of an optical particle counter which operated between the collection cell and the pump. The analysis step of the monitor was calibrated by application of aqueous standards of sodium nitrate and ammonium nitrate applied directly to the metal collection substrate. To ensure that the system did not respond to ammonium ion, standards of ammonium sulfate were also applied. These calibrations were done in the field at the beginning and end of each intensive sampling period. Field blanks were determined by placing a Teflon-membrane filter at the inlet of the system, collecting for the 10-minute sampling period, and then analyzing the strip exactly as done for a normal sample. The data are reduced based on the response of the system to aqueous nitrate standards which were applied at four concentration levels, corresponding to deposits of 0, 40, 80 and 160 ng of nitrate. Standards data from the beginning and end of the sampling episode are combined A-19 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix A: Measurement Approach to generate a calibration curve in the form of “y=axn”. This method forces the least squares regression line to pass through the zero-nanogram level response. For the Denver data set the regression is nearly linear, with n=0.92. Additionally, the data are corrected for field blank based on the average reading obtained when sampling through a Teflon-membrane filter. The field blank corresponded to approximately 0.84 µg/m3 of fine-particle nitrate. This value is approximately 10 times higher than the analysis blank, presumably due to interference from a gaseous constituent. The data are corrected for 9% particle losses in the inlet, measured in the laboratory using monodisperse aerosol. These losses were observed to be independent of particle size in the range from 0.1 to 0.8 µm. Level 1A data validation included a review of all logged system parameters and daily log sheets, and an inspection of time series display of the reduced data. System parameters that are automatically logged by the data acquisition system include temperature and relative humidity of the sample collection, and capacitor voltage prior to each vaporization step. Parameters recorded manually on the daily log sheets include flow and pressure meter readings such as the purge gas rotameter readings and the differential pressure at the inlet of the NOx analyzer. The reduced data are displayed as a time series to inspect for possible outliers. Potential level II validation checks include comparison to dried particle light scattering using a nephelometer, and comparisons to filter nitrate acquired on a quartz-fiber/sodium-chloride-impregnated cellulosefiber filter pack in a PM2.5 sequential filter sampler equipped with an upstream nitric acid denuder. A.6 In-Situ Instrumented Aircrafts Instrumented aircraft will be used to measure the three-dimensional distribution of ozone, ozone precursors and meteorological variables. The aircraft will provide information at the boundaries of the modeling domain and will document the vertical gradients, the mixed layer depth, and nature of the polluted layers aloft. In addition to the NOAA lidar aircraft, there are five aircraft that are available to CCOS during the summer of 2000. The University of California, Davis single-engine Cessna 182 can be used to provide initial condition in the central portion of the modeling domain and provide data to determine the presence of pollutant transport between the Bay Area/Sacramento region to the upper Sacramento Valley, the San Joaquin Valley and the Sierra Nevada.. It can also provide data to validate the ground-based lidar measurements by NOAA. UCD may have a second, similarly equipped aircraft that can be used to extend coverage towards the southern end of the San Joaquin Valley or up to the northern end of the Sacramento Valley. The Sonoma Technology twin-engine Piper Aztec can provide boundary and initial conditions in the western (over-water) and northern portion of the study domain. It can also provide data to characterize ozone and NOY fluxes through the passes along the coastal range. An overview of the UCD and STI instrumentation complete with data quality objectives, i.e., accuracy is given in Table A.6-1 and A.6.2, respectively. The NOAA Long-EZ N3R is a research aircraft measures turbulent exchange of momentum, energy and trace gases, such as CO2, H2O, and O3, in flights as close as 10 m to the surface. The Best Aircraft Turbulence (BAT) probe measures mean and turbulent wind parameters with fidelity. Many remote sensing and in situ instruments are available. The nominal sensor suite includes the BAT probe, an infrared H2O and CO2 gas analyzer, a net radiometer, A-20 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix A: Measurement Approach upward and downward PAR (photosynthetically active radiation) radiometers, and sensors for dew point, and surface temperature. Other sensors can be carried including lasers, laser arrays, Ka-band radar, visible light cameras, and a multi-band radiometer. The NOAA twin otter is an advance atmospheric research platform. It is specially suited for measuring eddy fluxes and concentration gradients through the mixed layer. It offers unique capabilities to explore the rates of exchange of atmospheric properties through the lower atmosphere, and especially between the atmosphere and the surface. The aircraft measures air temperature, dew point, pressure, 3-D winds, and radiation variables. Atmospheric chemistry sampling uses a flow-through air inlet system for measuring NO, NOx, NOy, SO2, O3, CO and reactive hydrocarbons. A.7 Supplemental Measurements of Volatile Organic Compounds A.7.1 Collection and Analysis of Hydrocarbons and Oxygenated Species Canister Sampling Stainless steel SUMMA™-polished canisters of 6-L capacity are customarily employed for volatile hydrocarbon (C2-C12) collection. These canister samples are to be analyzed for speciated hydrocarbons by a method consistent with EPA Method TO-14, as well as for CO, CO2, methane, and oxygenated species. Prior to sampling, the canisters are to be cleaned by repeated evacuation and pressurization with humidified zero air, and certified as described in the EPA document "Technical Assistance Document for Sampling and Analysis of Ozone Precursors" (October 1991, EPA/600-8-91/215). The sampling procedure should essentially follow the pressurized sampling method described by EPA Methods TO-12 and TO-14 and the EPA document "Technical Assistance Document for Sampling and Analysis of Ozone Precursors" (October 1991, EPA/600-8-91/215). A stainless steel Viton pump draws in ambient air from the sampling manifold to fill and pressurize the sample canisters. A flow control device maintains a constant flow into the canisters over the desired sample period. This flow rate is preset to fill the canisters to about 1 atm above ambient pressure at the end of the sampling period (as described by EPA Method TO-14). For automatic operation, the timer starts and stops the pump at the appropriate time. The timer also opens the solenoid valve when the pump starts and closes it when the pump stops. The use of the solenoid manifold valves permits the automatic selection of preloaded canisters. The multiple-event sampling systems, allowing unattended collection of up to six canister samples are recommended for this study. After sampling, an identification tag should be attached to each canister with the canister serial number, sample number, and sampling location, date, and time recorded on this tag. In addition a field sampling form and chain-of-custody form should be filled out giving all pertinent information on the collection of the sample. A-21 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix A: Measurement Approach GC/FID Analysis Gas chromatography with flame ionization detector is the established technique for monitoring volatile hydrocarbons, ozone precursors, in ambient air. An air sample is taken from the canister and passed through the sample concentration system. This system usually consists of a freeze-out loop, made from chromatographic-grade stainless steel tubing packed with 60/80 mesh deactivated glass beads, and a 10-port sampling valve. First, the sample is transferred from the canister through the loop immersed in liquid oxygen to the volume transfer measurement apparatus. The C2 and heavier hydrocarbons are cryogenically trapped inside the loop when air is transferred to an evacuated flask of known volume. From the difference in pressure inside the flask, the volume of the air sample can be calculated, based on the ideal gas law. When a sufficient volume of the air sample has been transferred from the canister to the concentration system, the 10-port valve is switched to position 2, the liquid oxygen is replaced with boiling water, and the contents of the trap are injected into a chromatographic column where separation of the C2-C12 hydrocarbons takes place. No Perma-Pure permeable membrane or other moisture-removal device should be used prior to concentration, since the use of such drying devices results in the loss of certain volatile organic compounds of interest (all polar compounds and some olefins and aromatics). It can also introduce contaminants into the system and it lowers the total NMHC by 10-20% (Sagebiel and Zielinska, 1994). The chromatographic column used for the C2-C12 hydrocarbon analysis is usually a 60 m long DB-1 fused silica capillary column (or equivalent) with a 0.32 mm inside diameter and 1 µm phase thickness. However, the DB-1 column does not provide complete separation of the light C2 and some important C4 hydrocarbons. Therefore, a separate analysis of the canister sample is recommended to obtain accurate concentrations for ethane, ethylene, acetylene, 1-butene, and isobutylene. The chromatographic column used for this analysis is usually GS-Alumina PLOT fused silica capillary column (or equivalent) with an internal diameter of 0.53 mm and a length of 30 m. A separate gas chromatograph or two-dimensional (2D) chromatography could be used for this analysis. The GC/FID response is calibrated in ppbC, using primary calibration standards traceable to the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) Standard Reference Materials (SRM). The NIST SRM 1805 (254 ppb of benzene in nitrogen) is used for calibrating the analytical system for C2-C12 hydrocarbon analysis, whereas 1 ppm propane in a nitrogen standard (Scott Specialty Gases), periodically traced to SRM 1805, is used for calibrating the light hydrocarbon analytical system. Based on the uniform carbon response of the FID to hydrocarbons, the response factors determined from these calibration standards are used to convert area counts into concentration units (ppbC) for every peak in the chromatogram. Identification of individual compounds in an air sample is usually based on the comparison of linear retention indices (RI) with those RI values of authentic standard compounds, as well as with the RI values obtained by other laboratories performing the same type of analysis using the same chromatographic conditions. Appendix A-1 lists target species, together with other pertinent information. Note that all PAMS target compounds listed in the EPA document "Technical A-22 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix A: Measurement Approach Assistance Document for Sampling and Analysis of Ozone Precursors" (October 1991, EPA/600-891/215) are also on this list. The gas chromatographs should be connected to a data acquisition system. The software performs data acquisition, peak integration and identification, hardcopy output, post-run calculations, calibrations, peak re-integration, and user program interfacing. Typically, over 85% of total detectable C2-C12 hydrocarbon mass is identified and quantified. The detection limit for hydrocarbon VOC is approximately 0.1 ppbC for each compound. Methane (CH4), carbon monoxide (CO), and carbon dioxide (CO2) are to be measured from the canister samples using GC/FID. Since the FID does not respond to CO and CO2, these species are to be converted to methane by a methanator, positioned after the GC column, but ahead of the FID. The minimum detection limit for both CO and CH4 should be < 20 ppbv, whereas for CO2 < 3 ppmv. The precision of measurements should be generally better than 10%. Methyl t-butyl ether should be quantified from canister samples, using the method of analysis for C3-C12 hydrocarbons. The individual response factor should be determined for MTBE and its concentration reported in ppbC. A.7.2 Carbonyl Compounds Formaldehyde and other volatile carbonyl compounds are to be collected, utilizing solid adsorbent cartridges coated with 2,4-dinitrophenylhydrazine (DNPH) reagents, by the method consistent with the EPA document "Technical Assistance Document for Sampling and Analysis of Ozone Precursors" (October 1991, EPA/600-8-91/215). The method is based on the specific reaction of organic carbonyl compounds with DNPH deposited on silica gel or C18 bonded SepPak cartridges in the presence of an acid to form stable derivatives, hydrazones, which are subsequently analyzed by high performance liquid chromatography (HPLC). A carbonyl sampling system consists of a diaphragm pump capable of maintaining air flow through the cartridges of 500 - 1500 ml/min, flowmeter, six-port solenoid manifold allowing unattended collection of up to six carbonyl samples, needle valves for flow rate regulation, and check valves to protect cartridges from outside air when air is not being sampled through a given cartridge. For automatic operation, the timer starts and stops the pump at the appropriate time. The timer also opens the six-port solenoid valve when the pump starts and closes it when the pump stops. A charcoal filter is attached to the pump outlet in order to remove traces of acetonitrile from DNPH cartridges. Carbonyl compounds collected in the cartridges (as hydrazones) are eluted with HPLC grade acetonitrile and analyzed by HPLC with UV detection at 360 nm. A reverse phase HPLC column is used. Identifications are made based on matching the HPLC retention times with those of authentic standards. A three-level calibration curve (plus blank) is constructed for each quantified hydrazone. C1-C7 carbonyl compounds are recommended for quantification as follows: formaldehyde, acetaldehyde, acetone, acrolein, propionaldehyde, crotonaldehyde, methyl ethyl ketone, methacrolein, butyraldehyde, benzaldehyde, valeraldehyde, tolualdehyde, and hexanaldehyde. A-23 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix A: Measurement Approach A.7.3 C8-C20 Hydrocarbons by Tenax Sampling and Analysis by GC/FID or GC/MS Volatile hydrocarbons in the range of C8-C20, are usually collected using Tenax solid adsorbent. The Tenax sampling unit draws two parallel streams of air allowing for the collection of duplicate samples, with the pump downstream of the Tenax. The flow rates are controlled by a flow controller or are measured before and after each run using a calibrated mass flow meter and the mean value is used to calculate volumes of air sampled. Prior to use, the Tenax solid adsorbent is cleaned by Soxhlet extraction with hexane/acetone mixture, packed into Pyrex glass tubes and thermally conditioned for four hours by heating at 300 °C under nitrogen purge. Approximately 10% of the precleaned Tenax cartridges are tested by GC/FID for purity prior to sampling. After sampling, the Tenax cartridges are capped tightly using clean Swagelok caps (brass) with graphite/vespel ferrules, and placed in metal containers with activated charcoal on the bottom. Tenax samples are usually analyzed by the thermal desorption-cryogenic preconcentration method, followed by quantification by high resolution gas chromatography with flame ionization detection (GC/FID) or mass spectrometric detection (GC/MSD) of individual hydrocarbons. In some cases, analysis may also include identification by Fourier transform infrared/mass spectrometric detection (GC/IRD/MSD). A 60 m (0.32 mm i.d., 0.25 mm film thickness) DB-1 capillary column (or equivalent) is usually used. For analytical system calibration, a set of standard Tenax cartridges is prepared by spiking the cartridges with a methanol solution of standard SVHC, prepared from high-purity commercially available C9-C20 aliphatic and aromatic hydrocarbons. For the GC/FID system, the calibration is based on the uniform response of FID detector to carbon atoms. The FID response factor per one nanomole of carbon is determined experimentally, using n-dodecane and 1,3,5-trimethylbenzene deposited on Tenax cartridges. Three different concentrations (plus one blank) are used to construct calibration curves. The response factor per one nanomole of carbon for each compound used for calibration is averaged to give one uniform response factor for all hydrocarbons (both aliphatic and aromatic). For GC/MS, calibration is based on the response factors of authentic standards. In addition, Tenax cartridges spiked with paraffinic and aromatic hydrocarbons are periodically analyzed by GC/FID or GC/MS to verify quantitative recovery of these hydrocarbons from the cartridges. A.7.4 Continuous Formaldehyde by Fluorescent Detection of Dihydrolutidine Derivative Formaldehyde is measured by an instrument that continuously measures the fluorescent, dihydrolutidine derivative formed by the reaction of formaldehyde with 1,3-cyclohexanedione (CHD) and ammonium ion (Dong and Dasgupta, 1994; Fan and Dasgupta, 1994). The present instrument from AnalTech (Lubbock, TX) is a fully automated measurement system. The instrument is designed to operate continuously or more typically, alternate between a sample gas and zero air. The instrument is also configured to measure aqueous HCHO. The product with CHD is substantially more sensitive and is used in the present instrument. The reaction with CHD proceeds at a rate that is first order in CHD concentration and first order in ammonium ion concentration. When a dilute formaldehyde solution is mixed with an equal volume of a reagent containing 10 mg% CHD and 1.3 M CH3COONH4 at pH 4.9 A-24 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix A: Measurement Approach and heated to 95oC, the reaction is completed in under 3 min. The excitation and emission maximum of the fluorescent product are broadly centered at 395 and 465 nm, respectively. For gas-phase formaldehyde measurements, the system is configured as a gas phase flow injection analyzer in which the gaseous analyte is continuously transferred to an aqueous stream by a Nafion membrane based diffusion scrubber (DS) and the resulting aqueous stream is continuously analyzed by the liquid phase analysis system. A.7.5 Automated GC/MS System A continuous gas chromatography – mass spectrometry (GC/MS) system with an initial sample preconcentration is proposed for the analysis of VOC in ambient air during Central California Ozone Study (CCOS). This system would allow for measurement of hydrocarbons, oxygenated hydrocarbons, halogenated compounds, and other volatile organic compound concentrations with a temporal resolution of approximately 1-hour. GC/MS system would allow for identification and quantification of much broader classes of organic compound as compared with GC/FID system. Preconcentration System. The analysis of VOC at levels found in ambient air requires an initial sample preconcentration to reach the detection limit on the order of 0.1 – 0.2 ppbv. Commercially available automatic preconcentration systems are usually based on combination of multisorbent traps, such as XonTech Model 930 organic vapor concentrator or Model 940 cryofocusing trap. The multisorbent traps usually contain a combination of Tenax, Carbotrap and Carbosieve S-III solid adsorbents in various amount and proportions. These sorbents are relatively strong and they may introduce some artifact when more reactive organic compounds are required to be quantified. As an alternative, the automatic preconcentration trap could be custom build, utilizing cryofocusing loops filled with very week, inert adsorbent, such as glass beads. Such systems are being currently developed by the University of Miami (Rod Zika, personal communication), NCAR (Eric Apel, personal communication) and NOAA (Paul Goldan). GC/MS Systems. Commercially available GC/MS system could be used for this project. A new Hewlett Packard GC/MSD system offers enhanced sensitivity over older HP5970 MSD. An ion trap Varian Saturn GC/MS is an alternative to a conventional quadrupole MS and offers very good sensitivity; 0.1 – 0.2 ppbv detection limit is a standard for most of the analytes. To obtain data for C2 hydrocarbons without using excessive amount of liquid N2, a dual capillary column (2-D) chromatography is proposed. A PLOT type column (such as Al2O3 or GasPro GSC) would allow for separation of light C2-C4 hydrocarbons, whereas narrow bore DB1 or equivalent capillary column assures separation of higher boiling organic compounds. Additional FID detector could be used in parallel with MS detector for the quantification of light (C2-C4) hydrocarbons. A-25 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 A.8 Appendix A: Measurement Approach Photolysis Frequencies and Rates As discussed in Section 2.5.1, the formation of photochemical air pollution depends on the photolysis of NO2, O3, HONO, HCHO, aldehydes and ketones and other compounds. the two most important photolysis rates are those for NO2 and ozone. The rate of ozone formation is controlled through the photolysis of NO2. NO2 + hν (+O2) → O3 + NO (1) The magnitude of ozone concentrations is related to the NO2 photolysis frequency, J, and NO2 to NO concentration ratio. [O3] = J [NO2] / k [NO] (2) The photolysis of O3 to make excited oxygen atoms, O1D, produces ozone by making HO radicals that react with VOC to make HO2 and organic peroxy radicals. O3 + hν → O1D + O2 O1D + H2O → 2 HO (3) (4) A compound’s photolysis frequency, J, is determined by the product of the spherically integrated photon flux (actinic flux), I(λ), the compound’s absorption cross sections, σ(λ), and its quantum yields, φ(λ), all integrated over the range of available wavelengths. J = ∫I(λ) × σ(λ) × φ(λ) dλ (5) The quantity J should be considered a frequency because its dimension is time-1. Photolysis rates are the product of the photolysis frequency and the photolysis species concentration. Although photolysis frequencies are often a major cause of differences between modeling studies they are usually not accurately measured in field studies. Photolysis frequencies are often calculated for assumed sky conditions or they are estimated from Epply and UV radiometer measurements. These procedures may yield photolysis frequencies that are uncertain by as much as 30 to 40% (Madronich, 1987). Chemical actinometers where the photolysis frequencies are measured directly provide the most accurate J values in principle. However, chemical actinometers are expensive and difficult to use under field conditions. The use of spectrally resolving radiometers to measure actinic flux and the calculation of photolysis frequencies from Equation (5) is more practical. An advantage of using spectral radiometer data is that any photolysis frequency may be calculated from this data in the future. A significant disadvantage of spectral radiometers is their relatively high cost. A-26 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix A: Measurement Approach Radiometers have been developed that mimic the response of O3 and NO2 to photolysis. If calibrated against chemical actinometers these radiometers provide a relatively inexpensive way of measuring the photolysis frequencies of O3 and NO2. The measured photolysis frequencies for O3 and NO2 should be used to provide an important constraint on the application of photochemical air quality models to modeling the CCOS measurements. A-27 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix A: Measurement Approach Table A.1-1 Meteorological Sensor Specifications Sensor Accuracy Range Response Time Sensitivity AIR db Pr ±0.7 mb 600-1100 mb ms-range .01 mb CS207 T ±0.4 °C -33 - +48°C <0.1 °C linear error CS207 RH ±5% 0 - 100 % <±3.0 % CS500 T ±0.4 ±0.6 -40 - +60 °C CS500 RH ±2% @ 0-90% ±3% @ 90-100% 0 - 100 % Li-Cor 200SA Solar Within 95-98% of Eppley standard .15-3.0 µm 10 µs .25-60 µm 30 s REBS Net Rad Stability Error ±1%/yr 80 µA per 1000 Wm-2 RM Young Speed ±.25 m/s, ws: 0-5 m/s ±5%, ws >5 m/s 0-60 m/s 100 m/s (peak gust) 0.9 m/s RM Young Direction ±5 Deg 0-355 Deg electrical 1 m/s @ 10° displ. Vaisala T ±0.4 °C -35 - +50 °C Vaisala RH ±2% @ 0-90% ±3% @ 90-100% 0 - 100 % 15 s A-28 <±2%/yr 1%/yr Abs error: ±5% of Eppley SDP SEW WSA S13 SST SBR DVS SLU VEL ELK Site ID CCY CCY2 EU6 WEV FTB WLF WLM UKC UKG YRE LVB ALW MSO RDH LNP ADN RBL RBO CHM CHL WLW CSS YAS PGV SNH FLN WSS Air Basin NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NEP NEP NEP NEP SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV SV City Site Address Crescent City 9th & H St Crescent City - Ch Annex Crescent City 880 Northcrest Drive Eureka Health Dept-6th & I St Weaverville Main Street Fort Bragg 416 N. Franklin St. Willits Fire Stn-Commercial & Humboldt Willits 899 So Main Street Ukiah Library-105 N Main St. Ukiah 306 E. Gobbi Street Yreka 528 Foothill Dr. Lava Beds P.O. Box 867 Lava Beds Alturas 202 W. Fourth Street Mount Shasta 3 North Old Stage Road Redding Hlth Ctr-2630 Hospital Ln Lassen Volcanic Nat Pa Manzanita Lake Rs Anderson 2220 North Street Red Bluff Messer Drive Red Bluff 502 Oak Street Chico 468 Manzanita Ave Chico 101 Salem St. Willows 420 E. Laurel St. Colusa 100 Sunrise Blvd. Yuba City 773 Almond St. Pleasant Grove 4sw-7310 Pacific Ave North Highlands 7823 Blackfoot Way Folsom 50 Natoma Street Woodland 40 Sutter Street Woodland 41929 E. Gibson Road Sacramento 3801 Airport Road Sacramento Del Paso-2701 Avalon Dr Sacramento 3535 El Camino & Watt West Sacramento 132 15th St. Sacramento 1309 T St. Sacramento Hlth Ctr-2221 Stockton Blvd Sacramento 3711 Branch Center Rd. Davis Uc Davis-Campus Sloughhouse 7520 Sloughouse Road Vacaville 1001 Allison Drive Elk Grove 12490 Bruceville Rd A-29 Land Use Residential Residential Commercial Residential Commercial Not Available Mobile Commercial Mobile Commercial Agricultural Commercial Residential Commercial Forest Industrial Industrial Mobile Commercial Mobile Mobile Commercial Commercial Agricultural Residential Residential Agricultural Residential Commercial Residential Commercial Industrial Residential Commercial Residential Agricultural Agricultural Residential Agricultural Location Type Urban / Center City Urban / Center City Urban / Center City Urban / Center City Urban / Center City Not Available Suburban Suburban Suburban Suburban Rural Urban / Center City Suburban Suburban Rural Suburban Suburban Urban / Center City Suburban Urban / Center City Suburban Rural Suburban Rural Suburban Suburban Urban / Center City Suburban Suburban Suburban Suburban Urban / Center City Urban / Center City Urban / Center City Suburban Rural Rural Suburban Rural 25 18 13 7 8 20 16 58 55 6 18 600 14 955 1377 192 194 800 1451 1334 0 143 1788 498 98 98 61 61 41 17 20 50 27 0 17 EL_MSL 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 NO2 1 1 HC 1 1 NMHC Carb Parameters Measured 1 CO Table A.1-2 Air Quality Monitoring Site in Northern and Central California 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 O3 1 3 2 1 2 3 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 PM10 1 1 1 1 1 1 Site ID FFD LKL CHE QUC POL LOY GFS TRU WCM GVL GVH LTY LTS CUS ROC ROS PGN JAC SGS FML SNB YOY YOT JSD CLV HDM HDB GUE SRF VAC NJS VJO CKT PBG MTZ BTI SRL SPE Air Basin SV LC MtC MtC MtC MtC MtC MtC MtC MtC MtC MtC MtC MtC MtC MtC MtC MtC MtC MtC MtC MtC MtC MtC SFBA SFBA SFBA SFBA SFBA SFBA SFBA SFBA SFBA SFBA SFBA SFBA SFBA SFBA City Fairfield Lakeport Chester Quincy-East Quincy Portola Loyalton Truckee Truckee Nevada City Grass Valley Grass Valley South Lake Tahoe South Lake Tahoe Cool Rocklin Roseville Placerville Jackson San Andreas Sonora Sonora Yosemite Nat Park Yosemite Nat Park Jerseydale Cloverdale Healdsburg Healdsburg Guerneville Santa Rosa Vacaville Napa Vallejo Crockett Pittsburg Martinez Bethel Island San Rafael San Pablo Site Address Baapcd-401 Gregory St 905 Lakeport Blvd. 222 First Avenue 267 N. Church St. 220 Commercial St 309 W. Third Street Glenshire Fs-10900 Manchester Fs-10049 Donner Pass Rd 26533 State Hwy 20-White Cloud Mtn 200 Litton Dr. 420 Henderson St 3337 Sandy Way Stateline-4045 Hwy 50 1400 American River Trail 5000 Rocklin Road 151 No Sunrise Blvd 3111 Gold Nugget Way 201 Clinton Road 501 Gold Strike Road 15700 Old Oak Ranch Road 251 S Barretta Visitor Ctr-Yosemite Village Turtleback Dome 6440 Jerseydale Road 100 Washington St. Airport-200a Heidelberg Way 133 Matheson St. Church And First Streets 837 5th St. 650 Merchant St. 2552 Jefferson Ave. 304 Tuolumne St. Kendall Ave. 583 W. 10th St. 521 Jones St. 5551 Bethel Island Rd 534 4th Street Unit 759 El Portal Shopping Center A-30 Land Use Residential Mobile Residential Commercial Residential Residential Residential Residential Forest Residential Residential Commercial Commercial Agricultural Residential Mobile Residential Commercial Agricultural Forest Residential Not Available Forest Forest Commercial Commercial Commercial Mobile Commercial Commercial Commercial Commercial Industrial Residential Residential Agricultural Commercial Commercial Location Type Urban / Center City Suburban Urban / Center City Urban / Center City Urban / Center City Rural Suburban Urban / Center City Rural Suburban Urban / Center City Urban / Center City Urban / Center City Rural Rural Suburban Suburban Suburban Rural Rural Urban / Center City Not Available Rural Rural Urban / Center City Rural Urban / Center City Urban / Center City Urban / Center City Urban / Center City Urban / Center City Urban / Center City Suburban Urban / Center City Urban / Center City Rural Urban / Center City Urban / Center City EL_MSL 3 405 1403 1067 1480 1505 1811 1676 0 853 735 0 1911 0 100 161 0 377 0 0 0 1216 1605 0 91 30 31 17 49 59 12 23 63 2 8 0 1 15 Table A.1-2 (continued) Air Quality Monitoring Site in Northern and Central California 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 NO2 1 HC Parameters Measured NMHC Carb 1 1 CO 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 O3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 PM10 M14 TSM MRA FNP M29 FSS CLO FIS FSF FSD PLR SLK LMK Site ID RMD CCD OKA SFE SFA SEH LVF HLM FCW RED SJD MVC SJ4 SJK SJT LGS SMM GRY SOW SOC SOH SOM TPP MIS Air Basin SFBA SFBA SFBA SFBA SFBA SFBA SFBA SFBA SFBA SFBA SFBA SFBA SFBA SFBA SFBA SFBA SFBA SFBA SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV City Richmond Concord Oakland San Francisco San Francisco San Leandro Livermore Hayward Fremont Redwood City San Jose Mountain View San Jose San Jose San Jose Los Gatos San Martin Gilroy Stockton Stockton Stockton Stockton Tracy Modesto Modesto Modesto Turlock Merced Shaver Lake Madera Fresno Clovis Fresno Fresno Fresno Parlier Sequoia Nat Park Site Address 1065 7th St. 2975 Treat Blvd 822 Alice St. 939 Ellis St. 10 Arkansas St. Hospital-15400 Foothill Blvd 2614 Old 1st St. 3466 La Mesa Dr. 40733 Chapel Way. 897 Barron Ave. 935 Piedmont Road 160 Cuesta Dr. 120b N 4th St Hlth Ctr-2220 Moorpark Ave 528 Tully Rd. 306 University Ave. 13030 Murphy Ave. 9th & Princeville 8778 Brattle Place Stockton-Wagner Holt 4310 Claremont Hazelton-Hd 13521 E. Mariposa 24371 Patterson Pass Road 1100 I St 814 14th St-Modesto Rover 814 14th St. 900 S Minaret Street 385 S. Coffee Avenue North Perimeter Road Rd. 29 1/2 No. Of Ave 8 Sierra Skypark#2-Blythe & Chnnlt 908 N Villa Ave 1145 Fisher Street 3425 N First St 4706 E. Drummond St. 9240 S. Riverbend Lower Kaweah-Sequoia NP Lookout Point-Mineral King Road A-31 Land Use Location Type Industrial Suburban Residential Suburban Commercial Urban / Center City Commercial Urban / Center City Industrial Urban / Center City Residential Suburban Commercial Urban / Center City Residential Rural Residential Suburban Industrial Suburban Residential Rural Residential Suburban Residential Urban / Center City Residential Suburban Industrial Suburban Residential Urban / Center City Residential Rural Residential Suburban Residential Suburban Commercial Suburban Residential Urban / Center City Not Available Not Available Agricultural Rural Other Unknown ResideUrban / Center City Commercial Urban / Center City Commercial Urban / Center City Residential Suburban Agricultural Rural Forest Rural Agricultural Rural Residential Suburban Residential Urban / Center City Commercial Urban / Center City Residential Suburban Commercial Suburban Not Available Not Available Forest Rural Forest Rural 27 56 86 0 0 98 86 90 96 162 166 1890 0 EL_MSL 6 26 7 38 5 36 146 287 18 5 0 24 24 360 38 183 87 55 7 13 13 17 31 27 Table A.1-2 (continued) Air Quality Monitoring Site in Northern and Central California 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 O3 1 1 NO2 1 HC Parameters Measured NMHC Carb 1 1 1 1 CO 3 1 1 2 1 2 3 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 PM10 Site ID VCS HIR COP COV SHA OLD BGS BKA EDS ARV TAC MCS MLK LEE MAG LPE DVL KCG OLW COS CJN SVD DVP SCQ WAA HST MLS SL2 MON CMV PIN KCM PRF ATL MBP SLM GCL ARR Air Basin SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV SJV GBV GBV GBV GBV GBV GBV GBV GBV GBV NCC NCC NCC NCC NCC NCC NCC NCC NCC NCC NCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC City Site Address Visalia 310 N Church St Hanford 807 South Irwin Street Corcoran 1520 Patterson Ave. Corcoran Van Dorsten Ave. Shafter 548 Walker Street Oildale 3311 Manor St. Bakersfield 1128 Golden State Highway Bakersfield 5558 California Ave Edison Johnson Farm Arvin 20401 Bear Mtn Blvd Taft College-29 Emmons Park Dr. Maricopa School-755 Stanislaus St. Mono Lake Simus Res-Hiwy 167 Lee Vining Sms-Hwy 395 Mammoth Lakes Gateway Hc. Lone Pine 501 E. Locust St. Death Valley Death Valley NP Keeler 190 Cerro Gordo Road Olancha 131 Walker Creek Rd. Coso Junction Rest Area On Hiwy 395 Coso Junction 10 Mi E Of Coso Junction Scotts Valley 4859 Scotts Valley Dr #E Davenport Fire Dept. Santa Cruz 2544 Soquel Avenue Watsonville 444 Airport Blvd Hollister 1979 Fairview Rd. Moss Landing 7539 Sandholt Road Salinas Ii-1270 Natividad Rd Monterey 24580 Silver Cloud Ct. Carmel Valley 35 Ford Rd-Tularcito Sch Pinnacles National MonNe Entrance King City 750 Metz Road Paso Robles 235 Santa Fe Avenue Atascadero 6005 Lewis Avenue Morro Bay Morro Bay Blvd & Kern Ave San Luis Obispo 1160 Marsh St. Grover City 9 Le Sage Dr. Arroyo Grande 000 Ralcoa Way A-32 Land Use Commercial Residential Residential Not Available Commercial Industrial Commercial Mobile Agricultural Agricultural Commercial Residential Not Available Not Available Commercial Residential Desert Residential Desert Not Available Desert Commercial Residential Commercial Commercial Residential Commercial Residential Commercial Residential Forest Industrial Residential Commercial Commercial Commercial Residential Commercial Location Type Urban / Center City Suburban Suburban Not Available Suburban Suburban Urban / Center City Urban / Center City Rural Rural Suburban Suburban Rural Not Available Urban / Center City Suburban Rural Rural Rural Not Available Rural Rural Rural Suburban Suburban Rural Rural Suburban Rural Suburban Rural Rural Suburban Suburban Urban / Center City Urban / Center City Suburban Rural EL_MSL 92 99 0 61 126 180 123 120 128 145 292 289 1948 2071 2396 1128 125 1097 1100 1010 1315 122 0 78 67 126 10 13 0 131 335 116 100 262 18 66 4 300 Table A.1-2 (continued) Air Quality Monitoring Site in Northern and Central California 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 NO2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HC Parameters Measured NMHC Carb 1 1 1 CO 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 O3 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 4 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 3 1 1 5 PM10 3 1 2 3 Site ID NGR STL SMY LHS LOM SYN VBS LPD GVB CA1 CA2 GVW GVE GVC CA3 ECP PCN GNF SBC OJO SBU CRP PIR VTA VTE SIM ELM THM SRI CLK MOP Air Basin SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC SCC MD MD City Site Address Nipomo 1300 Guadalupe Rd. Santa Maria Library-420 S Broadway Santa Maria 500 S Broadway Lompoc Hs & P Facility-500 M Sw Lompoc 128 S H St. Santa Ynez Airport Rd. Vandenberg Afb Sts Power Plant Los Padres National ForParadise Rd Gaviota Gtc B-Hwy 101-Near Nojoqui Pass Capitan Lfc #1-Las Flores Canyon Capitan Lfc #2-Las Flores Canyon Gaviota Gaviota West-Nw Of Chevron Plant Gaviota Gaviota East-N Of Chevron Plant Gaviota Gtc C-1 Mi E Of Plant Capitan Lfc #3-Las Flores Canyon Capitan El Capitan St Prk Hwy 101 Concepcion Point Conception Lighthouse Goleta 380 N Fairview Avenue Santa Barbara 3 W. Carrillo St. Ojai 1201 Ojai Avenue Isla Vista Ucsb West Campus-Arco Tank Carpinteria Gobernador Rd Piru 2sw 2815 Telegraph Rd Oak View 5500 Casitas Pass Rd-Near Oak View Ventura Emma Wood State Beach Simi Valley 5400 Cochran Street El Rio Rio Mesa School Thousand Oaks 9 2323 Moorpark Road Channel Islands NationaSanta Rosa Island-Becher's Bay China Lake Powerline Rd. Mojave 923 Poole Street A-33 Land Use Industrial Commercial Commercial Agricultural Commercial Agricultural Agricultural Agricultural Agricultural Agricultural Agricultural Agricultural Agricultural Agricultural Agricultural Not Available Agricultural Residential Mobile Agricultural Agricultural Agricultural Agricultural Agricultural Mobile Residential Agricultural Residential Forest Not Available Mobile Location Type Rural Urban / Center City Suburban Rural Urban / Center City Rural Rural Rural Rural Rural Rural Rural Rural Rural Rural Rural Rural Suburban Urban / Center City Suburban Rural Rural Rural Rural Suburban Suburban Rural Suburban Rural Rural Rural EL_MSL 60 152 76 244 24 204 100 547 305 0 0 91 94 70 0 30 40 50 16 262 9 152 182 319 3 310 34 232 0 697 853 Table A.1-2 (continued) Air Quality Monitoring Site in Northern and Central California 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 CO 1 1 1 1 HC 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 O3 1 NO2 Parameters Measured NMHC Carb 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 2 1 1 2 2 1 PM10 2 1 1 Table A.1-3 PAMS Sites in the CCOS Area Measurement Method Type of Site Hydrocarbons Elk Grove-Bruceville PAMS - 1 Canister/GC-FID a Sacramento-Airport Rd. PAMS - 2 Canister/GC-FID a PAMS - 2A Canister/GC-FID a Site Carbonyl Compounds Sacramento Sacramento-Del Paso PAMS - 3 Canister/GC-FID PAMS - 3/1 Canister/GC-FID a Clovis Villa PAMS - 2 Canister/GC-FID a Fresno-1st Street PAMS - 2 Canister/GC-FID a PAMS - 3 Canister/GC-FID a PAMS - 2 Canister/GC-FID a PAMS - 3 PAMS - 2 Canister/GC-FID a Emma Wood Beach PAMS - 1 Canister/GC-FID a El Rio Simi Valley PAMS - 2 PAMS - 3 Canister/GC-FID a Folsom-50 Natoma Street Fresno Madera Parlier Bakersfield Bakersfield-Golden State Highway Arvin Shafter Ventura DNPH/HPLC b a Canister/GC-FID a DNPH/HPLC b DNPH/HPLC b DNPH/HPLC b DNPH/HPLC b Canister/GC-FID a Type 1 - Upwind background. Type 2 - Maximum precursor emissions (typically located immediately downwind of the central business district). Type 3 - Maximum ozone concentration. Type 4 - Extreme downwind transported ozone area that may contribute to overwhelming transport in other areas. a - Canisters collected every third day (four 3-hr samples beginning at 0000, 0600, 1300, and 1700, PDT). Analyzed for PAMS species and total by PDFID. b - DNPH cartridge samples collected every third day (four 3-hr samples beginning at 0000, 0600, 1300, and 1700, PDT). A-34 Table A.1-4 PAMS Target Species 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 Ethylene Acetylene Ethane Propene Propane Isobutane 1-Butene n-Butane trans-2-Butene cis-2-Butene Isopentane 1-Pentene n-Pentane Isoprene trans-2-Pentene cis-2-Pentene 2,2-Dimethylbutane Cyclopentane 2,3-Dimethylbutane 2-Methylpentane 3-Methylpentane 2-Methyl-1-Pentene n-Hexane Methylcyclopentane 2,4-Dimethylpentane Benzene Cyclohexane 2-Methylhexane 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 A-35 2,3-Dimethylpentane 3-Methylhexane 2,2,4-Trimethylpentane n-Heptane Methylcyclohexane 2,3,4-Trimethylpentane Toluene 2-Methylheptane 3-Methylheptane n-Octane Ethylbenzene m&p-Xylene Styrene o-Xylene n-Nonane Isopropylbenzene n-Propylbenzene 1-ethyl 3-methylbenzene 1-ethyl 4-methylbenzene 1,3,5-Trimethylbenzene 1-ethyl 2-methylbenzene 1,2,4-Trimethylbenzene n-decane 1,2,3-Trimethylbenzene m-diethylbenzene p-diethylbenzene n-undecane Total NMOC Table A.6-1 UCD Instrumentation Parameter Measured Technique Manufacturer Time Response Measurement Range Accuracy Pressure (Altitude) Capacitive Setra 1s-3s -30 m - 3700 m ± 0.3 mB ±3m Temperature Platinum RTD Omega 1s-3s -20°C - 50°C ± 0.2°C Relative Humidity Capacitive Qualimetrics 1s-3s 10% - 98% ± 3% Air Speed Thermal Anemometer T.S.I. 1s-3s 15 m/s - 75 m/s ± 0.4 m/s Heading Electronic Compass Precision Navigation 1s-3s 0° - 359° ± 2° Position GPS Garmin 10 s Lat. - Long. ± 15 m Particle Concentration Optical Counter Climet 10 s 2 channels: d > 0.3 µm & d > 3 µm ± 2% NO, NO2 Concentration O3 Titration Chemilumin. Monitor Labs. 10 s - 15 s 0 ppmv - 20 ppmv ± 0.5 ppbv Ozone Concentration UV Absorption Dasibi 1008 10 s - 15 s 0 ppbv - 999 ppbv ± 3 ppbv A-36 Table A.6-2 STI Instrumentation Parameter Measured Technique Manufacturer Time Response Measurement Range(s) Accuracya (Full Range) NO/NOy Concentration Chemilumin. Thermo Env. Model 42S < 20 s 50 ppb, 100 ppb, 200 ppb ± 10% Ozone Concentration Chemilumin. Monitor Labs. 8410E 12 s 200 ppb, 500 ppb ± 10% bscat Integrating Nephelometer MRI 1560 Series 1s 100 Mm-1, 1000 Mm-1 ± 10% Dew Point Cooled Mirror Cambridge Systems 137-C 0.5 s/°C -50°C - 50°C ± 10% Altitude Altitude Encoder II-Morrow 1s 0 m - 5000 m ± 10% Altitude (backup) Pressure Transducer Validyne P24 <1s 0 m - 5000 m ± 10% Temperature Bead Thermistor/ Vortex Housing YSI/MRI 5s -30°C - 50°C ± 10% Temperature (backup) Platinum Resistance Rosemont 102 AV/AF 1s -50°C - 50°C ± 10% Position GPS II-Morrow <1s Lat. - Long. ± 50 m Data Logger (includes time) Dual Floppy Acquisition STI 486 System 1s ± 9.99 VDC ± 10% NO/NOwb Chemilumin. Thermo Env. Model 42S < 20 s 50 ppb, 100 ppb, 200 ppb ± 10% SO2b Pulsed Fluorescence Thermo Env. Model 43S 15 s 1 ppb, 5ppb, 50 ppb,200 ppb ± 10% COb Gas Filter Correlation Thermo Env. Model 48S < 20 s 1 ppm, 2 ppm, 5 ppm, 10 ppm ± 10% a b For values between 10% and 90% of full scale Without modifying the aircraft for additional power, only one of these three instruments can be operated. A-37 10.000 Ozone (100 ppb) 1.000 Nitrogen Dioxide (100 ppb) 0.100 Sulfur Dioxide (100 ppb) Rayleigh Scattering (300 K, 1 bar) 0.010 0.001 250 300 350 400 450 Wavelength (nm) Figure A.1-1. Ultraviolet Absorption Spectra of Ozone, Sulfur Dioxide, and Nitrogen Dioxide. A-38 Figure A.1-2. Schematic diagram of NOAA’s airborne ozone lidar. A-39 APPENDIX A1 MASTER VOC PARAMETER LIST CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix A1 Appendix A1 Master VOC Parameter List # 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 Mnemonic METHAN CO2PPM PAMS OTHER UNID TNMHC CO_PPM IDNMHC_d UNID_d IDOXY_D CARB HALO TENAX11 ETHENE ACETYL ETHANE PROPE N_PROP I_BUTA LBUT1E N_BUTA T2BUTE C2BUTE IPENTA PENTE1 N_PENT I_PREN T2PENE C2PENE BU22DM CPENTA BU23DM PENA2M PENA3M P1E2ME N_HEX MCYPNA PEN24M BENZE CYHEXA HEXA2M PEN23M HEXA3M PA224M N_HEPT MECYHX PA234M TOLUE HEP2ME HEP3ME N_OCT ETBZ MP_XYL STYR O_XYL N_NON IPRBZ N_PRBZ M_ETOL P_ETOL BZ135M O_ETOL BZ124M N_DEC BZ123M DETBZ1 DETBZ2 N_UNDE LIBUTE BUDI13 METOH BUTYN Compound Name a methane carbon dioxide sum of PAMS species other identified to undecane unidentified to undecane total NMHC to undecane carbon monoxide TO14-FID identified NMHC TO14-FID unidentified TO14-FID oxygenates sum of carbonyls sum of halocarbons sum of tenax >undecane ethene acetylene ethane propene propane isobutane 1-butene n-butane t-2-butene c-2-butene isopentane 1-pentene n-pentane isoprene t-2-pentene c-2-pentene 2,2-dimethylbutane cyclopentane 2,3-dimethylbutane 2-methylpentane 3-methylpentane 2-methyl-1-pentene n-hexane methylcyclopentane 2,4-dimethylpentane benzene cyclohexane 2-methylhexane 2,3-dimethylpentane 3-methylhexane 2,2,4-trimethylpentane n-heptane methylcyclohexane 2,3,4-trimethylpentane toluene 2-methylheptane 3-methylheptane n-octane ethylbenzene m- & p-xylene styrene o-xylene n-nonane isopropylbenzene n-propylbenzene m-ethyltoluene p-ethyltoluene 1,3,5-trimethylbenzene o-ethyltoluene 1,2,4-trimethylbenzene n-decane 1,2,3-trimethylbenzene 1,3-diethylbenzene 1,4-diethylbenzene n-undecane iso-butene 1,3-butadiene methanol 1&2-butyne Method 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 13 14 a002 a003 a001 a006 a007 a010 a004 a014 a016 a018 a024 a026 a028 a030 a031 a032 a037 a043 a044 a046 a050 a051 a054 a063 a064 a068 a070 a072 a073 a075 a080 a083 a088 a093 a094 a096 a099 a104 a113 a115 a119 a120 a123 a127 a133 a134 a135 a136 a138 a142 a143 a148 a153 a155 a165 a005 a013 a015 a017 Sort Codes PAMS CMB P00 P01 P02 P03 P04 P05 P06 P07 P08 P09 P10 P11 P12 P13 P14 P15 P16 P17 P18 P19 P20 P21 P22 P23 P24 P25 P26 P27 P28 P29 P30 P31 P32 P33 P34 P35 P36 P37 P38 P39 P40 P41 P42 P43 P44 P45 P46 P47 P48 P49 P50 P51 P52 P53 P54 P55 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 x x Conversion to ug/m3 656.036 1800.009 Formula CH4 CO2 Units ppmv ppmv CO C1H1.85 ppmv ppbC ppbC 1145.609 ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC 0.5736 0.5325 0.6149 0.5737 0.6012 0.5943 0.5737 0.5943 0.5737 0.5737 0.5902 0.5737 0.5902 0.5571 0.5737 0.5737 0.5874 0.5737 0.5874 0.5874 0.5874 0.5737 0.5874 0.5737 0.5855 0.5324 0.5737 0.5737 0.5855 0.5855 0.584 0.5855 0.5737 0.584 0.5384 0.5829 0.584 0.584 0.5427 0.5427 0.5324 0.5428 0.5829 0.5462 0.5462 0.5462 0.5462 0.5462 0.5462 0.5462 0.582 0.5462 C2H4 C2H2 C2H6 C3H6 C3H8 C4H10 C4H8 C4H10 C4H8 C4H8 C5H12 C5H10 C5H12 C5H8 C5H10 C5H10 C6H14 C5H10 C6H14 C6H14 C6H14 C6H12 C6H14 C6H12 C7H16 C6H6 C6H12 C7H16 C7H16 C7H16 C8H18 C7H16 C7H14 C8H18 C7H8 C8H18 C8H18 C8H18 C8H10 C8H10 C8H8 C8H10 C9H20 C9H12 C9H12 C9H12 C9H12 C9H12 C9H12 C9H12 C10H22 C9H12 C10H14 C10H14 C11H24 C4H8 C4H6 CH3OH C4H6 A1-1 0.5665 0.5737 0.5531 1.3104 0.5531 C_no 1 1 mw 16.04 44.01 1 1 1 28.01 13.85 13.85 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 6 6 7 7 7 8 7 7 8 7 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 9 10 10 11 4 4 0.58 4 28.05 26.04 30.07 42.08 44.1 58.12 56.11 58.12 56.11 56.11 72.15 70.13 72.15 68.11 70.13 70.13 86.17 70.13 86.17 86.17 86.17 84.16 86.17 84.16 100.2 78.11 84.16 98.19 100.2 100.2 114.23 100.2 98.19 114.23 92.14 114.23 114.23 114.23 106.16 106.16 104.14 106.17 128.26 120.2 120.2 120.2 120.2 120.2 120.2 120.2 142.29 120.2 134.22 134.22 156.3 56.11 54.09 32.04 54.09 Group P Method Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Sum(P01..P55) idnmhc-pams-sum(aa166.aa177) 0.5*UNID pams + other + unid Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID O Y P O P P O P O O P O P O O O P P P P P O P P P A P P P P P P P P A P P P A A A A P A A A A A A A P A A A P O O OH Y Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID/Tenax Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID. Tenax Canister/GC-FID, Tenax Canister/GC-FID, Tenax Canister/GC-FID, Tenax Canister/GC-FID, Tenax Canister/GC-FID, Tenax Canister/GC-FID, Tenax Canister/GC-FID, Tenax Canister/GC-FID, Tenax Canister/GC-FID, Tenax Canister/GC-FID, Tenax Canister/GC-FID, Tenax Canister/GC-FID, Tenax Canister/GC-FID, Tenax Canister/GC-FID, Tenax Canister/GC-FID, Tenax Canister/GC-FID, Tenax Canister/GC-FID/Tenax Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix A1 Appendix A1 (continued) Master VOC Parameter List # 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 Mnemonic B1E2M pr2oh B2E2M PRAL2M CPENTE P1E4ME P1E3ME MTBE PEN22M HEX1E T3HEXE T2HEXE P2E2ME P2E3MC C3HEXE C2HEXE P2E3MT BU223M CPENE1 PEN33M HEXE4M CYHEXE c7ole1 CPA13M PA3ET hept1e c7ole2 T3HEPE c8ole1 c8ole2 c8ole3 P1E244 c8pa1 HEX25M HEX24M c8pa2 HX23DM HEP4ME c8pa3 HEX225 OCT1E CHX11M HEX235 HEP24D c9ole2 HEP44D HEP26D HEP25D HEP33D c9ole1 c9ole3 OCT2ME OCT3ME c9par1 none1 c9par2 c9par3 c9ole4 c9par4 IPCYHX OCT26D A_PINE OCT36M c10p_a OCTAL B_PINE dec1e c10ar1 I_BUBZ S_BUBZ c10ol2 c10p_c Compound Name a 2-methyl-1-butene 2-methyl-2-butene 2-methylpropanal cyclopentene 4-methyl-1-pentene 3-methyl-1-pentene MTBE 2,2-dimethylpentane 1-hexene t-3-hexene t-2-hexene 2-methyl-2-pentene cis-3-methyl-2-pentene c-3-hexene c-2-hexene trans-3-methyl-2-pentene 2,2,3-trimethylbutane 1-methylcyclopentene 3,3-dimethylpentane 4-methylhexene cyclohexene C7 olefin-1 1,3-dimethylcyclopentane 3-ethylpentane 1-heptene C7 olefin-2 t-3-heptene C8 olefin-1 C8 olefin-2 C8 olefin-3 2,4,4-trimethyl-1-pentene C8 paraffin-1 2,5-diemthylhexane 2,4-diemthylhexane C8 paraffin-2 2,3-dimethylhexane 4-methylheptane C8 paraffin-3 2,2,5-trimethylhexane octene-1 1,1-dimethylcyclohexane 2,3,5-trimethylhexane 2,4-dimethylheptane C9 olefin-2 4,4-dimethylheptane 2,6-dimethylheptane 2,5-dimethylheptane 3,3-dimethylheptane C9 olefin-1 C9 olefin-3 2-methyloctane 3-methyloctane C9 paraffin-1 1-nonene C9 paraffin-2 C9 paraffin-3 C9 olefin-4 C9 paraffin-4 isopropylcyclohexane 2,6-dimethyloctane alpha-pinene 3,6-dimethyloctane C10 paraffin-a octanal beta-pinene 1-decene C10 aromatic-1 isobutylbenzene sec-butylbenzene C10 olefin-2 C10 paraffin-c Method a027 a029 a034 a038 a039 a041 a042 a045 a049 a052 a056 a057 a058 a059 a060 a061 a062 a066 a067 a069 a071 a074 a076 a077 a078 a079 a081 a082 a084 a085 a086 a087 a089 a090 a091 a092 a095 a097 a098 a101 a102 a103 a105 a106 a107 a108 a109 a110 a111 a112 a114 a116 a117 a118 a121 a122 a124 a125 a126 a128 a130 a131 a132 a137 a139 a140 a141 a144 a145 a146 a147 a149 Sort Codes PAMS CMB x x x x Formula C5H10 Units ppbC Conversion to ug/m3 0.5737 C_no 5 mw 70.13 Group O C5H10 C3H7CHO C5H8 C6H12 C6H12 C5H12O C7H16 C6H12 C6H12 C6H12 C6H12 C6H12 C6H12 C6H12 C6H12 C7H16 C6H7 C7H16 C7H16 C6H10 ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC 0.5737 0.7369 0.5571 0.5737 0.5737 3.6049 0.5855 0.5737 0.5737 0.5737 0.5737 0.5737 0.5737 0.5737 0.5737 0.5855 0.56 0.5855 0.5737 0.56 5 4 5 6 6 4.37 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 6 7 7 6 70.13 72.09 68.11 84.16 84.16 88.14 100.2 84.16 84.16 84.16 84.16 84.16 84.16 84.16 84.16 100.2 82.15 100.2 98.19 82.15 C7H14 C7H16 ppbC ppbC 0.5737 0.584 7 8 98.19 100.2 O AL O O O E P O O O O O O O O A O P P O O A P C7H14 ppbC 0.5737 7 98.19 C8H16 ppbC 0.5737 8 112.21 C8H18 C8H18 ppbC ppbC 0.584 0.584 8 8 114.23 114.23 C8H18 C8H18 ppbC ppbC 0.584 0.5829 8 9 114.23 114.23 C9H20 C8H16 C8H16 C9H20 C9H20 ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC 0.5829 0.5737 0.5737 0.5829 0.5829 9 8 8 9 9 128.26 112.21 112.21 128.26 128.26 C9H20 C9H20 C9H20 C9H20 ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC 0.5829 0.5829 0.5829 0.5829 9 9 9 9 128.26 128.26 128.26 128.26 C9H20 C9H20 ppbC ppbC 0.5829 0.5829 9 9 128.26 128.26 C9H18 C10H22 C10H16 C10H22 ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC 0.5737 0.582 0.5572 0.582 9 10 10 10 126.28 142.29 136.23 142.29 C9H16O C10H16 ppbC ppbC 0.6544 0.5572 8 10 128.22 136.23 C10H14 C10H14 ppbC ppbC 0.549 0.549 10 10 134.22 134.22 A1-2 O O O O O O P P P P P P P P O P P P O P P P P O O P P P P P O P P P O P P AL O A A A O P Method Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID, Tenax Canister/GC-FID, Tenax Canister/GC-FID, Tenax Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID, Tenax Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID, Tenax Canister/GC-FID, Tenax Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix A1 Appendix A1 (continued) Master VOC Parameter List # 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191 192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 Mnemonic c10ar2 N_BUBZ DETBZ3 c10ar3 BZDME c10ar4 c10ar5 IPRTOL NONAL unde1e c10ar6 c11p_a BZ1245 BZ1235 BZ1234 IND_2M IND_1M c11ar1 c11ar3 dode1e NAPHTH n_dode F12 F114 MEBR F11 VINECL MECL2 F113 T12DCE C12DCE CCL3 ETDC12 MECCL3 CCL4 DBRME TCE112 t13dcp C13DCP tce112 CLDBRM ETDB12 PERC CLBZ TCENE MDCBZ PDCBZ ODCBZ FORMAL ACETAL ACETO ACROLN PROAL CROTON MEK acrolx MEACRO BUAL BENZAL glyoxl VALAL TOLUAL HEXAL PHENOL ACPHONE NONE1 MEOCT DMETBZ NAP_1M NAP_2M DMOCT INDDM1 Compound Name a C10 aromatic-2 n-butylbenzene 1,2-diethylbenzene C10 aromatic-3 1,3-dimethyl-4-ethylbenzene C10 aromatic-4 C10 aromatic-5 isopropyltoluene nonanal 1-undecene C10 aromatic-6 C11 paraffin-a 1,2,4,5-tetramethylbenzene 1,2,3,5-tetramethylbenzene 1,2,3,4-tetramethylbenzene 2-methylindan 1-methylindan c11 aromatic-1 c11 aromatic-3 1-dodecene naphthalene n-dodecane freon 12 freon 114 methylbromide freon 11 vinylidenechloride methylene chloride F113 trans-1,2-dichloroethylene cis-1,2,-dichloroethylene chloroform 1,2-dichloroethane methyl chloroform carbon tetrachloride dibromomethane 1,1,2-trichloroethane cis-1,3-dichloropropene chlorodibromomethane 1,2-dibromoethane perchloroethylene chlororbenzene trichloroethylene m-dichlorobenzene p-dichlorobenzene o-dichlorobenzene formaldehyde acetaldehyde acetone acrolein propionaldehyde crotonaldehyde methyl ethyl ketone methacrolein butanal benzaldehyde valeraldehyde tolualdehyde hexanal phenol acetophenone 1-nonene methyloctane dimethylethylbenzene 1-methylnaphthalene 2-methylnaphthalene dimethyloctane dimethylindan Method a154 a156 a157 a158 a159 a160 a161 a162 a163 a164 aa166 aa167 aa168 aa169 aa170 aa171 aa172 aa173 aa174 aa175 aa176 aa177 b01 b02 b03 b04 b05 b06 b07 b08 b09 b10 b11 b12 b13 b14 b15 b16 b17 b18 b19 b20 b21 b22 b23 b24 b25 b26 c01 c02 c03 c04 c05 c06 c07 c08 c09 c10 c11 c12 c13 c14 c15 Sort Codes PAMS CMB x Conversion to ug/m3 Formula Units C_no mw C10H14 C10H14 ppbC ppbC 0.549 10 10 134.22 134.22 C10H14 ppbC 0.549 10 134.22 C10H14 C9H18O ppbC ppbC 0.549 10 9 134.22 142.24 Group A A A A A A A A AL C10H14 C10H14 C10H14 C10H12 C10H12 ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC 0.549 10 10 10 10 10 134.22 134.22 134.22 132.21 132.21 C10H8 ppbC 0.5242 10 128.16 CF2Cl2 C2F4Cl2 CH3BR CFCl3 C2H2Cl2 CH2CL2 C2F3Cl3 C2H2Cl2 C2H2Cl2 CHCl3 C2H4Cl2 C2H3Cl3 CCl4 CH2Br2 C2H3Cl3 ppbv ppbv ppbv ppbv ppbv ppbv ppbC ppbv ppbv ppbv ppbv ppbv ppbv ppbv ppbv 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 1 1 2 120.91 170.91 94.94 137.37 96.94 84.93 187.38 96.94 96.94 119.38 98.96 133.41 153.82 173.85 133.41 C3H4Cl2 ppbv 3 98.96 x CHClBr2 C2H4Br2 C2Cl4 C6H5Cl C2HCl3 C6H4Cl2 C6H4Cl2 C6H4Cl2 HCHO CH3CHO C3H6O C3H4O C2H5CHO C3H5CHO C4H8O ppbv ppbv ppbv ppbv ppbv ppbv ppbv ppbv ppbv ppbC ppbC ppbv ppbv ppbv ppbC 210 0.9008 0.7918 236 238 250 0.7374 1 2 2 6 2 6 6 6 1 2 3 3 3 4 4 208.28 187.87 165.83 112.55 131.39 147.01 147 147.01 33.03 44.05 58.08 56.07 58.08 70.09 72.09 A P A A A A A A A O A P X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X A X X X X AL AL K AL AL AL K x x x C4H5CHO C3H7CHO C7H6O ppbC ppbC ppbv 0.5736 0.7374 286 2 4 7 70.09 72.09 106.13 AL AL AL C4H9CHO C8H8O C5H11CHO C6H5OH C8H8O C9H18 C9H20 C10H14 C11H10 C11H10 C10H22 C11H14 ppbv ppbv ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC 266 300 0.6828 5 8 6 6 8 9 9 10 11 11 10 11 86.14 120.16 100.16 94.11 120.16 126.28 128.26 134.22 142.2 142.2 142.29 146.23 AL AL AL AL K O P A A A P A x x x x x x x x x x A1-3 3.8319 Method Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID, Tenax Canister/GC-FID, Tenax Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID, Tenax Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID, Tenax Canister/GC-FID, Tenax Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Tenax, Canister/GC-FID Tenax, Canister/GC-FID Tenax, Canister/GC-FID Tenax, Canister/GC-FID Tenax, Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-FID tenax/Canister/GC-FID Tenax, Canister/GC-FID Tenax, Canister/GC-FID Canister/GC-ECD Canister/GC-ECD Canister/GC-ECD Canister/GC-ECD Canister/GC-ECD Canister/GC-ECD Canister/GC-ECD Canister/GC-ECD Canister/GC-ECD Canister/GC-ECD Canister/GC-ECD Canister/GC-ECD Canister/GC-ECD Canister/GC-ECD Canister/GC-ECD Canister/GC-ECD Canister/GC-ECD Canister/GC-ECD Canister/GC-ECD Canister/GC-ECD Canister/GC-ECD Canister/GC-ECD Canister/GC-ECD Canister/GC-ECD Canister/GC-ECD Canister/GC-ECD DNPH/HPLC-UV NPH/HPLC-UV/ Canister/GC-FID NPH/HPLC-UV/ Canister/GC-FID DNPH/HPLC-UV DNPH/HPLC-UV DNPH/HPLC-UV NPH/HPLC-UV/ Canister/GC-FID DNPH/HPLC-UV NPH/HPLC-UV/ Canister/GC-FID NPH/HPLC-UV/ Canister/GC-FID H/HPLC-UV, Canister/GC-FID, Te DNPH/HPLC-UV DNPH/HPLC-UV DNPH/HPLC-UV NPH/HPLC-UV/ Canister/GC-FID Tenax/GC-FID Tenax/GC-FID Tenax/GC-FID Tenax/GC-FID Tenax, Canister/GC-FID Tenax, Canister/GC-FID Tenax, Canister/GC-FID Tenax, Canister/GC-FID Tenax, Canister/GC-FID CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix A1 Appendix A1 (continued) Master VOC Parameter List # 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239 240 241 242 243 244 245 246 Mnemonic ACENPE DMN12 DMN13 DMN14 DMN15 DMN18 DMN23 DMN26 DMN27 NAP1ET NAP2ET N_DODE N_TRID N_TETD N_PEND N_HEXD N_HEPD N_OCTD N_NOND N_EICO N_HENE Compound Name a acenaphthene 1,2-dimethylnaphthalene 1,3-dimethylnaphthalene 1,4-dimethylnaphthalene 1,5-dimethylnaphthalene 1,8-dimethylnaphthalene 2,3-dimethylnaphthalene 2,6-dimethylnaphthalene 2,7-dimethylnaphthalene 1-ethylnaphthalene 2-ethylnaphthalene n-dodecane n-tridecane n-tetradecane n-pentadecane n-hexadecane n-heptadecane n-octadecane n-nonadecane n-eicosane n-heneicosane Method Sort Codes PAMS CMB x x x x x x x x x x x x Formula C12H10 C12H12 C12H12 C12H12 C12H12 C12H12 C12H12 C12H12 C12H12 C12H12 C12H12 C12H26 C13H28 C14H30 C15H32 C16H34 C17H36 C18H38 C19H40 C20H42 C21H44 Units ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC ppbC Conversion to ug/m3 C_no 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 mw 154.23 156.23 156.23 156.23 156.23 156.23 156.23 156.23 156.23 156.23 156.23 170.34 184.37 198.4 212.42 226.45 240.48 254.5 268.53 282.56 296.58 A = aromatic, AL = Aldehyde, O = alkene (olefin), P = parafin, Y = alkyne, K = ketone, E = ether, X = haogenated, OH = alcohol A1-4 Group A A A A A A A A A A A P P P P P P P P P P Method Tenax/GC-FID Tenax/GC-FID Tenax/GC-FID Tenax/GC-FID Tenax/GC-FID Tenax/GC-FID Tenax/GC-FID Tenax/GC-FID Tenax/GC-FID Tenax/GC-FID Tenax/GC-FID Tenax/GC-FID Tenax/GC-FID Tenax/GC-FID Tenax/GC-FID Tenax/GC-FID Tenax/GC-FID Tenax/GC-FID Tenax/GC-FID Tenax/GC-FID Tenax/GC-FID APPENDIX B QUALITY ASSURANCE CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 B. Appendix B: Quality Assurance QUALITY ASSURANCE Purpose is to provide a quantitative estimate of the uncertainty of the measurements through estimates of the precision, accuracy (or bias) and validity. QA ensures that the procedures and sampling methods used in the study are well documented and are capable of producing the data which meet the specifications for the study. Quality assurance will be under the overall direction of the QA manager who will coordinate a QA team. The team will consist of the QA manager and sponsoring agencies that have the necessary expertise. The QA manager and team will be responsible for developing a QA plan for the study, reviewing standard operating procedures, performing systems and performance audits, reviewing and validating study data processing procedures and data, and estimating the uncertainties in the data. The QA team will work closely with the data manager, the field manager, and investigators. The QA manager should be selected early and should be an integral member of the planning team. The QA manager should coordinate with and be assisted by the audit staff members of the air quality agencies in the study area to assure that measurements are based on the same standards. Once the sampling has been completed and the investigators have provided the data management contractor with a clean data set, the QA team helps validate the data in two stages, Level 1 (univariate checks such as maxima and minima, rates of change, and diurnal variations) and Level 2 (multivariate consistency tests based on known physical, spatial, or temporal relationships). The QA team also makes the final estimates of the precision and accuracy of the data with the help of the investigators and the data manager. Quality auditing tasks can be performed both by contractors and by the QA staff of the sponsoring organizations. The QA manager bears overall responsibility for ensuring that the quality auditing tasks are performed by members of the QA team. The major tasks are summarized below. Overall: • Manage the overall QA activities. Interact with the field manager and the principal investigator and provide feedback to them concerning the status of unresolved QA problems and the potential for their resolution. Before field operations begin: • Work with investigators to determine whether each measurement method is likely to meet its specifications for accuracy (or bias) and precision. • Review the SOPs for each measurement and verify the assumptions on which they are based. • Prepare systems audit procedures. B-1 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix B: Quality Assurance • Perform preliminary systems audits at investigators' analytical laboratories, paying particular attention to calibration methods. • Develop performance audit procedures for measurements for either accuracy (i.e., compared to established standards) or, where that is not possible, for bias (i.e., compared to another co-equal laboratory's measurements). • Arrange for investigators' calibration standards to be checked against EPA, ARB or other standards. • Audit transfer standards. • If not all field sites are to be audited, develop a priority system indicating which field sites and which laboratories should be audited during or just prior to field measurements. • Immediately prior to field operations, carry out performance audits of the continuous gas analyzers and flow measuring instruments at the chosen field sites. During field operations: • Perform systems audits on field and laboratory measurements and data processing procedures. Field air quality measurement sites, sampling aircraft, upper air sites, and meteorology sites should be audited. • Perform systems audits for the data processing and data management operations of the measurement and data management contractors. • Coordinate performance audits on routine measurements. Arrange for or perform those audits not done by the sponsoring organizations. After field operations: • Prepare reports of the audits. • Work interactively with the data management contractor in the on-going Level 1 and Level 2 validation of the data. • Work with investigators to determine the accuracy (or bias) and precision for each measurement value and prepare a report summarizing the uncertainties in the study data. A quality assurance plan specifies the activities associated with the CCOS quality assurance program, schedules, and responsibilities. The following sections describe elements of the Quality Assurance Plan. B-2 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 B.1 Appendix B: Quality Assurance Quality Assurance Overview The primary purpose of the quality assurance (QA) tasks is to provide a quantitative estimate of the uncertainty of the measurements through estimates of the precision, accuracy (or bias), and validity. In addition, QA ensures that the procedures and sampling methods used in the study are well documented and are capable of producing data which meet the specifications of the study. Quality assurance is intimately connected with data management. Before sampling starts, the QA team assists the investigators and the data management contractor to develop the format of the database; the QA team also reviews the investigators' standard operating procedures (SOPs) and makes estimates of the precision and accuracy that might be expected from the measurement systems. Prior to or during sampling the QA team carries out quality audits and helps resolve any problems. The quality assurance program includes two types of activities: quality control (QC), and quality auditing (QA). The QC activities are on-going activities of the measurement and data processing personnel. QC activities consist of written standard operating procedures to be followed during sample collection, sample analysis, and data processing. These procedures define schedules for periodic calibrations and performance tests (including blank and replicate analyses). They specify pre-defined tolerances which are not to be exceeded by performance tests and the actions to be taken when they are exceeded. The QC activities also include equipment maintenance, and acceptance testing, and operator training, supervision, and support. Quality auditing consists of two components: systems audits and performance audits. Systems audits include a review of the operational and quality control (QC) procedures to assess whether they are adequate to assure valid data which meet the specified level of accuracy and precision. After reviewing the procedures, the auditor examines phases of the measurement or data processing activity to determine whether the procedures are being followed and that the operating personnel are properly trained. The system audit is a cooperative assessment resulting in improved data. Performance audits establish whether the predetermined specifications for accuracy are being achieved in practice. For measurements, the performance audit involves challenging the measurement/analysis system with a known standard sample that is traceable to a primary standard. Performance audits of data processing involve independently processing samples of raw data and comparing the results with reports generated by routine data processing. The specialized nature of some measurements (e.g., hydrocarbon speciation, carbonyl compounds, PAN, NOy, ozone lidar, upper air meteorology) preclude simple performance audits for these measurements. Intercomparison studies are typically used to assess the representativeness, accuracy, and precision of these measurements. B.2 Data Quality Objectives Data quality objectives should be specified prior to the study to ensure that all measured data meet the end-use requirements for air quality and meteorological model input and evaluation, data analyses, and monitoring the success of meeting data quality objectives. Precision and accuracy goals are identified for measurement variables. Many methods and procedures employed in CCOS are routinely measured variables for which expected precision and accuracy are known. Other measurements are experimental and target objectives can only be estimated. B-3 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix B: Quality Assurance In evaluating precision and accuracy objectives, it is important to consider the methods used to determine the values. For example, a greater deviation may occur between replicates with real samples with complex matrices than with replicates of standards in simple matrices. Synthetic mixtures of hydrocarbons that are used in the Photochemical Assessment Monitoring Station Program is an example. An ambient sample yields a more complex chromatogram and greater potential for inconsistent identification. Analysis of a standard mixture of hydrazones does not address potential sampling artifacts that may be associated with carbonyl compound measurements using the DNPH derivitization method. Precision and accuracy targets are commonly based on relative percent differences. Precision is either based on a relative percent difference between replicates (analytical precision) or duplicate samples (method precision) as follows: 100 * (rep1 - rep2)/(rep1 + rep2)/2 The standard deviation of the average of a group of replicate (or duplicate) pairs represents the precision for a measurement parameter. For accuracy, percent difference is determined relative to a known or target value and is as follows: 100 * (observed - target)/target The objective may be a standard of known concentration or an audit value independently obtained or prepared by the QA team. For some parameters, standards of known concentration are not easily obtained or cannot be accurately prepared for use in the field, and accuracy can only be checked against an independent method that is believed to be either without bias, has a known bias that can be accounted for, or a method that has been used historically. Accuracy determined in this manner is considered a test of equivalency and not true accuracy. After an audit, data flags are reported immediately to the field operations manager and to the appropriate contractor to ensure rapid implementation of corrective action by the measurement group. Tasks Performed by the Quality Assurance Manager Specify tasks to be performed by the QA manager before, during and after the field study B.3 Systems Audits B.3.1 Field Systems Audits for Surface Monitoring Sites Prior to the start of the field study, the auditing team obtains pertinent forms and documents, their latest revisions, and information needed to perform the audits. These forms and documents include SOPs, instrument manuals, logbooks, chain-of-custody records, data sheets, control charts, and maintenance records. The auditor verifies that each of these forms and documents is available at the field site. If out-of-date documents are identified at the field site, recommendations for replacement are made in the systems audit report. Calibration records, performance test tracking charts, and maintenance records are examined to determine that the tasks were being performed on the schedules specified in the SOP. Contents of logbooks and checklists are examined to determine that the field documentation procedures were being B-4 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix B: Quality Assurance followed. The auditor examines the site description, field documentation, SOPs, spare parts, and supplies, and performs a general instrument inspection. The QA manager coordinates review of the latest revision of field SOPs and ensures that each auditor has the most recent version prior to systems audits. The auditor independently evaluates the siting of measurement platforms to document relevant characteristics that might affect the measurement at a particular location. An inspection of measurement devices and evaluation of their condition with respect to obtaining a quantitative measurement is also part of each system audit. The audit examines the relationship among different instruments and their conformity with requirements at each site. The instrument serial numbers and model numbers are compared with those recorded in the project records as being present at each site. Sample lines are examined for dirt or obstruction. Leads from each instrument to data acquisition system are examined to ensure that they are connected to the proper channels. Inconsistencies with project records are reported, and recommendations for site modification are made by the QA manager. B.3.2 Field Systems Audits for Aircraft Platforms Aircraft systems audits are similar to surface systems audits. A systems audit questionnaire is completed by the auditor for each aircraft. The auditor reviews the type of measurements that are actually being performed relative to those specified in the most recent work plan. The level of documentation of quality control checks, instrument logs, etc., are examined. Results of calibration records and performance tests are evaluated. The auditor records pertinent information relative to the sampling system to form an independent documentation of conditions as they existed during the audit. B.3.3 Laboratory Systems Audits Laboratory analysis and data processing activities are audited in this procedure. The laboratory systems audit examines the procurement and acceptance testing of sampling substrates, laboratory documentation, SOPs, laboratory instrumentation, spare parts, and supplies. A traceability audit randomly selects a single data value for each observable from a recent data report and tracks the documentation and traceability to standards associated with that value. This traceability audit determines how well each of the individual procedures was integrated to produce valid data values. B.4 Performance Audits B.4.1 Field Performance Audits of Surface Monitors Quantitative transfer standards are used during field performance audits to determine the percent difference between the field measurements and the standard (i.e., to estimate the accuracy of the measurement). The difference should meet the acceptance criteria defined by the quality assurance objectives. Otherwise, reasons for exceeding acceptable levels are sought, and recommendations are made for eliminating the problem and adjusting or flagging data as necessary. Ozone. A calibrated transfer standard with an internal ozone generator is used to generate five standard ozone concentrations and one zero level concentration to audit the B-5 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix B: Quality Assurance instruments. Corresponding concentrations are recorded from each instrument and compared. A linear regression of measured versus audit results is calculated to determine baseline offsets and linearity of response. The in-station performance test gases are verified against the certified NIST standards. The audit includes a comparison of values taken from the instrument display, the strip chart recorder, and the data acquisition system. Standard and High-sensitivity NO/NOx and NO/NOy. A calibrated audit system used to challenge the standard sensitivity instruments consists of zero air, NIST-traceable NO gas in a cylinder, and an ozone generator. At least three NO concentrations and a zero are introduced to the instrument, and the response of the data acquisition system and the instrument are recorded. Audit NO2 is produced by gas-phase titration and introduced to the analyzer for at least five different concentrations. Audit versus site differences are determined, and a linear regression of site versus audit results is calculated to determine baseline offsets and linearity of response. In addition, site test gases are verified against the audit standard. PAN and NO2. This audit involves the use of a calibrated audit system consisting of zero air and a NIST-traceable low concentration NO2 gas cylinder. These standards can be unstable with time, and precautions need to taken into account for any degradation that occurs during the audit process. At least three NO2 concentrations and a zero are introduced to the instrument, and the response of the data acquisition system and the instrument is recorded. Audit versus site differences are determined, and a linear regression of site versus audit results is calculated to determine baseline offsets and linearity of response. In addition, site test gases are verified against the audit standard. Since NIST transfer standards do not exist for PAN, collocated measurements using a gas chromatograph with electron capture detection (GC/ECD) may be used for comparison. PAN is thermally unstable, even at room temperature, and thus difficult to calibrate. This difficulty can lead to discrepancies between field measurements that are difficult to resolve without further laboratory studies. One advantage of the LPA-4 PAN analyzer is that the instrument can be calibrated in the field with NO2 rather than the thermally unstable PAN. Level 2 validation of the PAN data includes correlation and time series of PAN values compared to NOy, NOz, and NO/NO2 ratios. B.4.2 Field Performance Audits for Surface Meteorological Measurements This audit includes the variables of wind direction, wind speed, temperature, relative humidity, and solar radiation. These procedures generally are performed by both auditor and site operator, since several of these procedures require readings to be made in the instrument shelter while someone is on the meteorological tower. Safety considerations also require the presence of an additional person whenever someone ascends the tower. Audit values are compared with instrument displays (when available), stripchart output, and data acquisition system output. In this way, the entire measurement system is audited, and the causes of exceedances of the acceptance criteria can be isolated. The following paragraphs summarize the audit procedures. Wind Direction. Distance sighting targets are determined for each site. Where possible, these targets are measured with a stable sighting compass on a nonmagnetic tripod and corrected for declination. The operator ascends or cranks down the tower and aligns the point and tail of the wind vane toward these targets while the auditor records the output in the shelter. B-6 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix B: Quality Assurance Differences between true and measured direction are recorded. Vane starting thresholds are checked using a starting torque watch. Wind Speed. The anemometer cups are temporarily replaced by synchronous motors, and the equivalent wind speed displayed by the anemometer is compared with the speed corresponding to the rotation rate as supplied by the manufacturer. Anemometer starting thresholds are checked from a torque measurement using a gram scale applied at a measured distance from the axis of rotation. Temperature. An aspirated thermometer traceable to standards from the NIST is placed adjacent to each temperature-sensing device, and the two readings are compared. The resistance of temperature-sensing units is compared to the NIST-traceable thermometer. When feasible, two sets of readings are taken to cover a wide range of readings. Relative Humidity. An aspirated psychrometer using NIST-traceable thermometers is operated at the level of the relative humidity sensor. Relative humidity based on the psychrometer readings is determined and compared to the instrument value. Solar Radiation. An audit pyranometer is zeroed and readings are taken with the audit instrument placed next to the station pyranometer. A comparison is made between the hourly average readings of the two instruments. B.4.3 Field Performance Audits for Upper-Air Meteorology Field audits for upper-air meteorological measurements form surface-based platforms are particularly challenging, and special techniques are needed. For systems, ground truthing of setup conditions (surface wind, pressure, and temperature) is performed similar to the standard surface meteorology audit procedures described above. In addition, for Doppler acoustic sounders and radar profilers, performance audits are accomplished using collocated audit tethersondes, radiosondes, and/or instrumented aircraft (flying nearby spirals). The Quality Assurance Plan for CCOS will need to provide more specific quality assessment and data validation procedures. B.4.4 Field Performance Audits for Aircraft Platforms Quantitative transfer standards, similar to those used for the performance audits of the surface-based monitors, are used to challenge each measurement system aboard the aircraft platform. Results of each audit are compared to acceptance criteria and values that exceed the criteria are flagged. Immediately following the audit, the auditors provide a verbal report of the audit to the appropriate aircraft supervisor. During the verbal report, values and equipment problems are discussed in terms of possible reasons for the discrepancies and corrective action to be taken. If corrective action is implemented, the audit is repeated. B.4.5 Laboratory Performance Audits for Chemical Analysis Laboratory performance audits for CCOS will consist of the submission of blind performance evaluation samples of known concentrations and/or interlaboratory comparisons of samples for measurements of individual and total hydrocarbons and carbonyl compounds. B-7 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix B: Quality Assurance Experiences from previous field studies demonstrate that measurements of ambient hydrocarbon speciation are not routine, and that the quality and completeness of measurements vary among different laboratories using essentially the same samplers and analytical instrumentation (Fujita et al., 1994). Potential problems include: positive and negative artifacts due to effects of sampler and sampling media; incomplete resolution or loss of C2-C3 hydrocarbons due to introduction of excessive moisture in the column or improper sample loading and injection; underreporting of true concentrations due to selection of incorrect integration threshold; loss of material in the analytical system due to poor chromatographic technique (particularly for very light and heavy hydrocarbons) or prolonged storage in canisters prior to analysis (especially for olefins and some aromatics); incorrect or incomplete peak identification due to limitation of peak identification software, especially for compounds that exist in lower concentrations and elute in a crowded segment of the chromatogram; systematic bias due to calibration problems; and variable measurement of true total NMHC among laboratories due to variation in analytical method and data processing (e.g., use of Nafion® dryer, inclusion or exclusion of oxygenated compounds in total NMHC). Interlaboratory comparisons using ambient samples are required to fully assess these problems. Also the need to measure VOC species that are not currently quantified in the PAMS program (semi-volatile hydrocarbons and oxygenated compounds) should be evaluated with respect to the goals of CCOS. For example, MTBE is a major component of ambient VOC in areas where this compound is the primary oxygenated compound in reformulated gasoline (RFG) and higher molecular weight carbonyls are relatively more abundant in downwind receptor areas. MTBE may serve as a useful marker for motor vehicle emissions and higher carbonyls have important implications for photochemical modeling. The sampling and analytical parameters that affect the accuracy and validity of measurements of carbonyl compounds by the 2,4-dinitrophenylhydrazine-impregnated cartridge technique (TO-11) are not completely resolved and are currently under extensive study and scrutiny by EPA and the scientific community (NARSTO-NE: field comparison in Agawam, MA, SOS: formaldehyde intercomparison at Boulder, CO, field measurement comparison in Nashville, TN). Relevant parameters include the substrate (type, DNPH loadings, blank levels, and variability), sampling conditions (ambient ozone concentrations, temperature, relative humidity, sample volume measurements, breakthrough, type of sampling line and ozone scrubber), sample storage, and handling (exposure to light and heat, type of storage and duration of storage), sample preparation and analysis (extraction efficiency and instrument calibration, peak resolution). Each of the air pollution control districts in central California that have PAMS networks participate in performance audit programs run by the EPA and by the California Air Resources Board. Both the federal and state performance audits for hydrocarbons involve analysis of a standard mixtures of target compounds on an annual basis during the PAMS measurement season. Carbonyl audits involve laboratory analysis of standard extracts of selected hydrazones. While these audits can document possible systematic calibration biases, they do not address a number of other potential problems that can affect the accuracy of analytical results. The following quality assessment tasks should be completed prior to the CCOS field study in order to resolve these issues. B-8 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix B: Quality Assurance • The ARB should conduct expanded performance audits of the district hydrocarbon measurements during the summer of 1999. In addition to the synthetic audit mixtures, the expanded performance audit should also include a set of ambient samples consisting of both urban, mobile source dominated samples and downwind, aged air samples. In addition to the ARB laboratory, one other laboratory (possibly EPA-AREAL) should participate in the interlaboratory comparison. A similar interlaboratory comparison should be conducted in 2000 prior to the CCOS episodes. This comparison should include the contractor that is selected to provide supplemental VOC measurements. • Review and summarize the results of past EPA and ARB performance audits of the PAMS programs in southern California. Summarize the problems that were identified and corrective actions that have been taken. • Review the results of on-going hydrocarbon interlaboratory and performance audit programs during NARSTO-Northeast and SCOS97-NARSTO • Review recently completed and on-going laboratory evaluations and intercomparisons for carbonyl measurements by Method TO-11. • Incorporate these tasks in the quality assurance plan for CCOS and include results in the final QA report for the CCOS field measurement program. B-9 APPENDIX C DATA MANAGEMENT CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 C. Appendix C: Data Management DATA MANAGEMENT The CCOS data base will be compiled, documented, evaluated, and distributed by the Technical Support Division of the Air Resources Board (ARB). Common data management and validation conventions need to be assembled in a consistent and efficient manner. These conventions are described in this section. This section will be updated with more specific conventions and reporting structures after CCOS measurement investigators have been commissioned and provided their suggestions and recommendations. To the greatest extent possible, CCOS field data structures, processing, validation, and delivery procedures will be consistent with those established for the long-term data base and other ARB data sets from recent air quality studies (e.g. Fujita et al., 1997). A data manager should be appoint at least one year prior to the field program. The data manager will be responsible for establishing and maintaining computer-based data archives and managing the overall data storage and validation activities. The data manager will interact with the field manager and the program management and provide feedback to them concerning the status of unresolved data management problems and potential for resolution. C.1 Data Specifications CCOS data management conventions and methods build on experience from and development supported by the 1990 San Joaquin Valley Air Quality Study (SJVAQS) (Blumenthal et al., 1993), the 1995 Integrated Monitoring Study (IMS-95) (Solomon and Magliano, 1997), and the 1997 Southern California Oxidant Study (SCOS-97) (Fujita et al., 1997). The following specifications are maintained by the data manager and are available to all project participants via the internet: • Measurement locations: Each measurement location is identified with a unique alphanumeric site ID accompanied by its name and address, coordinates, elevation, its primary operator, and a summary of measurements taken at the site for different monitoring periods. Appendices A-D summarizes existing and proposed field study measurement locations. Coordinates and elevations are verified by the field manager with a Global Positioning System (GPS), pressure-based altimeter, and topographical maps. Immediate surroundings are recorded with a digital camera and a video tape of the area surrounding the site is available and catalogued. The make and model of instruments used to acquire measurements at each site is recorded with its threshold, range, expected accuracy and precision. • Variable definitions: Each variable is assigned a unique code that is accompanied by its definition, units, averaging time, applicable temperature and pressure adjustments, and data reporting format. • Data validation flags: Flags specific to each measurement investigator are translated into a common set of validation flags that are carried with each data point. These are currently being defined by EPA for its speciation program, and this will be a starting point for CCOS data validation flags. C-1 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 C.2 Appendix C: Data Management • Data files: Basic data files are constructed in normalized formats that have the same structure for different types of data. These files will be transparent to most users. • Timing conventions: Times are expressed in Pacific Standard Time (PST), hour or minute beginning. All dates as MM/DD/YYYY (note that years are four-digit codes:. 1999, 2000, 2001). • Missing data conventions: Missing or invalid measurements are replaced by a –99 or a “NULL” value if the data management software permits. • Investigator code: Each measurement investigator or network operator is assigned a unique two-character code that is used to identify the source of the data. Data transmittals will carry this code as part of the filename when they are loaded into a raw data sub-directory, and a separate sub-directory on the CCOS internet server. Data Formats Data acquired at set intervals are submitted as comma delimited text files via file transfer protocol to the sub-directory set up for each measurement investigator. File naming conventions are given below. Raw data file naming conventions include the investigator code, a measurement type code, and an indicator for the period of data acquisition. Formats are: • Continuous sequential measurements: SSSS, MM/DD/YY, HHMM, TIME, DURATION, PARAM1, RESULT, QCFLAG, PARAM2, RESULT, QCFLAG, • Surface particle measurements: SSSS, MM/DD/YY, HHHMM, TIME, DURATION, SIZE, PARAM1, RESULT, QCFLAG, PARAM2 ,RESULT, QCFLAG • Upper air measurements: SSSS, MM/DD/YY, HHMM, TIME, EV_MSL, PARAM1, RESULT, QCFLAG, PARAM2, RESULT, QCFLAG The mnemonics have the following definitions: – SSSS = 3 - 4 character project site ID code – MM/DD/YYYY = date specification – HHMM=standard sample start time, begin hour and minutes PDT (0000-2355) – TIME = actual sample start time, HHMMSS – DURATION = sampling in total minutes – EV_MSL = elevation in meters above mean sea level – PARAM = project parameter code – SIZE = 1 letter particle size category (e.g. T = PM10 (0-10 µm); F = Fine(0-2.5 µm); C =Coarse (2.5-10 µm); S=sum of Fine+Coarse ~ PM10; P = TSP (0-30 µm), and other particle size ranges as needed) C-2 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 C.3 Appendix C: Data Management – RESULT = data value in project specified significant digits – QCFLAG = 1 character project QC code indicating quality of data point File Names File names are of the form CDDMMYYA.PLL C.4 – C=investigator code (to be defined) – DD =data type code (to be defined) – MM = month code (JA,FE,MR,AP,MY,JN,JL,AU,SE,OC,NO,DE) – YYYY = Year code – A = Averaging interval codes: (A = 3 hour; B = 6 hour; C = 12 hour; D= 24 hour ;H = 1 hour; J = jumps (every other hour); V = hourly but varies, possibly less than 24 measurements per day; I = Instantaneous ( < 1 min); F=5 minute; T=10 minute; M = 15 minute; N=30 minute; P = Partial hour samples (< 60 min) – P = Measurement platform code (S = surface, U = upper air) – LL = Two character data validation level code (OA,OB,1A,1B,2A,2B,3A). Validation Flags Procedure- and investigator-specific validation flags will be maintained in a separate validation file. These must be translated into the common flags listed below. A translation table will be established as part of the database that associates each investigator flag with one of the following flags: 0=valid; 1 = estimated; 2=calibration; 3=instrument failure; 4=off-scale reading; 5 = interpolated; 6=below detection limits; 7=suspect; 8=invalid; 9=missing; a=hourly avg (45 <->60 minutes); b=hourly avg (<45 minutes); d=averaged data; e=zero mode; and f=blank sample C.5 Data Validation Levels Mueller (1980), Mueller et al., (1983), and Watson et al. (1983, 1989, 1995) define a three-level data validation process that should be mandatory in any environmental measurement study. Data records are designated as having passed these levels by entries in the VAL column of each data file. These levels, and the validation codes that designate them, are defined as follows: • Level 0 (0): These data are obtained directly from the data loggers that acquire data in the field. Averaging times represent the minimum intervals recorded by the data logger, which do not necessarily correspond to the averaging periods specified for the data base files. Level 0 data have not been edited for instrument downtime, nor have procedural adjustments for baseline and span changes been applied. Level 0 data are not contained in the CCOS database, although they are consulted on a regular basis to C-3 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix C: Data Management ascertain instrument functionality and to identify potential episodes prior to receipt of Level 1A data. • Level 1A (1A): These data have passed several validation tests applied by the measurement investigator prior to data submission. The general features of Level 1A are: 1) removal of data values and replacement with -99 when monitoring instruments did not function within procedural tolerances; 2) flagging measurements when significant deviations from measurement assumptions have occurred; 3) verifying computer file entries against data sheets; 4) replacement of data from a backup data acquisition system in the event of failure of the primary system; 5) adjustment of measurement values for quantifiable baseline and span or interference biases; and 6) identification, investigation, and flagging of data that are beyond reasonable bounds or that are unrepresentative of the variable being measured (e.g. high light scattering associated with adverse weather). • Level 1B (1B): Pre-programmed consistency and reasonability tests are applied by the data manager prior to integration into the CCOS data base. Consistency tests verify that file naming conventions, data formats, site codes, variable names, reporting units, validation flags, and missing value codes are consistent with project conventions. Discrepancies are reported to the measurement investigator for remediation. When the received files are consistent, reasonability tests are applied that include: 1) identification of data values outside of a specified minimum or maximum value; 2) values that change by more than a specified amount from one sample to the next; and 3) values that do not change over a specified period. Data identified by these filters are individually examined and verified with the data supplier. Obvious outliers (e.g. high solar radiation at midnight, 300 °C temperature) are invalidated. Others may be invalidated or flagged based on the results of the investigation. The bounds used in these tests will be determined in cooperation with measurement investigators and network operators.. • Level 2 (2): Level 2 data validation takes place after data from various measurement methods have been assembled in the master database. Level 2 validation is the first step in data analysis. Level 2A tests involve the testing of measurement assumptions (e.g. internal nephelometer temperatures do not significantly exceed ambient temperatures), comparisons of collocated measurements (e.g. filter and continuous sulfate and absorption), and internal consistency tests (e.g. the sum of measured aerosol species does not exceed measured mass concentrations). Level 2 tests also involve the testing of measurement assumptions, comparisons of collocated measurements, and internal consistency tests. • Level 3 (3): Level 3 is applied during the model reconciliation process, when the results from different modeling and data analysis approaches are compared with each other and with measurements. The first assumption upon finding a measurement which is inconsistent with physical expectations is that the unusual value is due to a measurement error. If, upon tracing the path of the measurement, nothing unusual is found, the value C-4 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix C: Data Management can be assumed to be a valid result of an environmental cause. The Level 3 designation is applied only to those variables that have undergone this re-examination after the completion of data analysis and modeling. Level 3 validation continues for as long as the database is maintained. A higher validation level assigned to a data record indicates that those data have gone through, and passed, a greater level of scrutiny than data at a lower level. All data in the CCOS data set will achieve Level 1B status prior to use in data analysis and modeling. The validation tests passed by Level 1B data are stringent by the standards of most air quality and meteorological networks, and few changes are made in elevating the status of a data record from Level 1B to Level 2. Since some analyses are applied to episodes rather than to all samples, some data records in a file will achieve Level 2 designation while the remaining records will remain at Level 1B. Only a few data records will be designated as Level 3 to identify that they have undergone additional investigation. Data designated as Levels 2 or 3 validations are not necessarily “better” than data designated at Level 1B. The level only signifies that they have undergone additional scrutiny as a result of the tests described above. C.6 Internet Server CCOS/CRPAQS data and communications and will be received and made available on the Internet server http://sparc2.baaqmd.gov/centralca/ maintained by the Bay Area Air Quality Management District. This server currently contains project documentation and will be developed to contain project status during field monitoring and project data as it becomes available. C.7 Directory Structure Data and communications files are organized into several sub-directories within the CCOS/CRPAQS server. Each of these contains additional sub-directories to further organize the information. This organization will be transparent to most users who will access information through links available through browsing software. All directories, with exception of the TEMP directory and its sub-directories, have read-only privileges for most users to avoid the inadvertent erasure of information. Files may be uploaded to investigator-specific sub-directories in the TEMP directory for later placement in the appropriate read-only directory by the data manager. These CCOS directories are: • TEMP: This is a temporary location where files are uploaded by project participants prior to their transfer to their designated parent directory. An e-mail message should be sent to the data manager indicating the uploaded file name and its desired directory location. The TEMP directory is also used to allow the transfer of non-archived scratch files among project participants. • REPORTS: This directory contains files related to project reports, memoranda, and minutes. Sub-directories are: -- PROGPLN for the latest draft of the program and management plans -- MEMO for project memoranda C-5 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 ----- Appendix C: Data Management MINUTES for minutes of discussions NOTICES for meeting notices PRGREP for progress reports RFP for final versions of requests for proposals • RAWDATA: This directory contains data files in the form they are received from the data source. These files are in several different formats, cover different time periods, and do not necessarily conform to the units and variable naming conventions adopted for CCOS field studies. To conserve disk space, these files are usually backed up onto storage media after they have been processed; they can be re-loaded upon request to the data manager. They are located in directories specific to each data supplier, as specified in the next section. This directory contains validated ambient measurement data in data • DATA: management formats that have been converted to common units and variable names. • QA: This directory contains quality assurance results from audits, performance tests, and collocated measurements. • TABLES: This directory contains tables of processed results, including statistical summaries of data, frequency distributions, and data capture rates. These are made available via html links through the CCOS home page. • FIGURES: This directory contains figures of processed results, including time series, spatial isopleth plots, cumulative frequency plots, and scatterplot comparisons. These are made available via html links through the CCOS home page. • MAPS: This directory contains base maps of terrain, highways, population centers, political boundaries, land use, and surface characteristics in formats that are deemed useful for different analyses. • UTILITIES: This directory contains software created for the project, software available for distribution for which licenses have been obtained, and commonly used shareware. These include data conversion, format conversion, file compression, and data display programs. These are made available via html links through the CCOS home page. Other directories and sub-directories are created as needed to organize the information produced by CCOS field studies. C.8 Data Processing Data are submitted by each investigator using the defined variable naming conventions and units All values are to be at Level 1A when submitted. These are passed through the Level 1B tests described above, and discrepancies are resolved with the measurement investigator and corrected prior to designation as Level 1B. Data are added to the master data files as they are received. C-6 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix C: Data Management Measurements from other ongoing networks described in Section 4 are acquired in formats and units specific to those networks. Data processing functions are specific to these networks and have been established during the compilation of the multi-year database for central California. First, these files are manually edited, when needed, because they sometimes contain minor variations in format that confound the data conversion programs. After editing, a networkspecific data conversion program reads the data and converts it to an xBase file format with a single record for each measurement. Variable names in these intermediate file differ from those in CCOS files by designating the unit used for each measurement in the specified network. For example, field name “TA__F” indicates ambient temperature in degrees Fahrenheit as found in the NWS database rather than the “TA” field name for ambient temperature in degrees Celsius that is used in the CCOS data files. The next step converts measurement units to the CCOS common units. Conversion factors are accessed from a file that maps one unit into another based on the specification of the input and output variable names. In addition to changing units, the conversion program maps times, dates, missing values, and validation flags into the CCOS conventions described above. A data validation log is kept to document all changes made to the data files, including changes in the data validation level. This includes a record of the data changed, the reason for the change, and the date of the change. All data as originally submitted to the database are retain C-7 APPENDIX D ELEVATED PLUME RESEARCH PLAN CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 D. Appendix D: Elevated Plume Research Plan ELEVATED PLUME RESEARCH PLAN Study Objective An integrated assessment of ozone formation in central California is being performed under the Central California Ozone Study (CCOS). The objective of the work proposed in this report is to estimate the impact of power plant emissions on formation ozone in central California. An important aspect of this study is to link the ground based air quality monitoring network of the CCOS with aircraft based measurements of ozone and ozone precursors in and around power plant plumes. The data collected will be used in an analysis of the physical and chemical processes occurring in the plume that contribute to ozone formation over central California. The issues to be resolved include evaluating the effect of transport and mixing processes on ozone formation in and around power plant plumes, the impact of power plant emissions on the relative importance of VOCs and NOx emissions in limiting ozone production in central California and the evaluation of air quality models and their parameterizations of the power plant plumes (such as plume in grid). Specifically the following four questions will be addressed in this study. 1. What are the rates of ozone formation and NOx conversion in power plant plumes? 2. What are the characteristics of dilution and mixing downwind of a plume for different conditions of atmospheric stability? 3. What is the effect of plume-in-grid parameterizations (PiG) on model predictions and do PiGs allow better fitting of the observations? 4. How well do alternative model treatments of power plant plumes perform? 5. Can the data serve as a basis for future plume model or parameterization development? Scientific Background The most significant emissions from power plants are nitrogen oxides (NOx = NO + NO2) and particles from an air quality perspective. The nitrogen oxide emissions are important because they lead to the formation of ozone when they react photochemically with volatile organic compounds (VOC) emitted from biological and anthropogenic sources. Initially the power plant plume contains nitric oxide, CO2 CO and little VOC. The combustion in power plants is extremely efficient so they emit little VOC but the high temperatures that contribute to the efficient combustion lead to the production of NOx. Under these conditions there is no real production of ozone; ozone mixing ratios are controlled by the ozone/NOx photochemical stationary state. In the absence of VOC reactions (1) and (3) control the concentrations of ozone and NOx and their concentrations are described by equation (4). NO2 + hν → NO + O(3P) O(3P) + O2 + M → O3 + M O3 + NO → NO2 + O2 D-1 (1) (2) (3) CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix D: Elevated Plume Research Plan [O3] = J[NO2] / k[NO] (4) where O(3P) are ground state oxygen atoms, hν represents ultraviolet radiation, M is either a nitrogen or oxygen molecule, [O3], [NO2] and [NO] are the mixing ratios of ozone, NO2 and NO, respectively, and J is the photolysis rate parameter of NO2 and k is the rate constant for the reaction of O3 with NO. If there is no CO or VOC there is no formation of ozone because reactions 1 through 3 only recycle O3. To produce ozone the power plant plume must be diluted and mixed with VOC containing air. Biogenic sources located along the trajectory of the plume may be one important source of VOC to the plume. Another important source of VOC and other ozone precursors, such as CO and PAN, is mixing with urban plumes. Ozone is produced through reactions that cycle NO back to NO2 as the plume mixes with VOC containing air. The process begins with the photolysis of ozone that produces an excited oxygen 1 atom, O( D). O3 + hν → O( D) + O2 1 (5) 1 A fraction of theO( D) reacts with water to produce hydroxyl radicals (HO). O( D) + H2O → 2 HO 1 (6) Hydroxyl radicals react with CO and VOC (represented structurally as RH below) to produce peroxy radicals (HO2 or RO2). Peroxy radicals react with NO to convert it back to NO2 which photolyzes to produce additional O3. CO + HO (+O2) HO2 + NO RH + HO (+O2) → → → CO2 + HO2 NO2 + HO RO2 + H2O (7) (8) (9) RO2 + NO → NO2 + Organic Products (10) The organic products of reaction (10) may react with HO or photolyze to produce more ozone if there is sufficient NOx (Seinfeld, 1986; Finlayson-Pitts and Pitts, 1986). The ozone formation chain reactions are terminated under high NOx conditions when HO reacts with NO2 to form nitric acid. D-2 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix D: Elevated Plume Research Plan HO + NO2 → HNO3 (11) The chemistry of O3 formation is a highly nonlinear process (i.e. Dodge, 1984; Liu et al., 1987; Lin et al., 1988). Figure 1 is a three dimensional plot of ozone concentrations produced from the given initial concentrations of NO2 and VOC. The catalytic production efficiency of NOx is defined as the ratio of the rate at which NO molecules are converted to NO2 to the total rate of the NOx loss through conversion of NOx to nitric acid, organic nitrates or its loss through deposition (Liu et al., 1987; Lin et al., 1988; Hov, 1989). The O3 production efficiency is inversely related to the NOx concentration for most atmospheric conditions. The O3 production efficiency varies over a wide range of values because in the continental boundary layer, NOx concentrations vary over a range of three orders of magnitude but it is relatively independent of the VOC concentrations, Figure 2. For these reasons the formation of ozone in a plume depends on the characteristics of its dilution and the flights must be used to determine these characteristics. O3 200.0 100.0 3.00 2.00 1.00 LOG(NOx, ppb) 0.00 -1.00 -2.00 Ozone, ppb 4.00 3.00 2.00 1.00 LOG(VOC, ppbC) 0.00 -1.00 Figure 1. Typical ozone isopleth. The maximum ozone concentrations have been removed to allow the structure at lower NOx and VOC concentrations to be seen. D-3 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix D: Elevated Plume Research Plan Ozone_Efficiency 120.0 80.0 40.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 LOG(NOx. ppb) 0.0 2.0 LOG(VOC, ppbC) 0.0 -1.0 -2.0 -1.0 Figure 2. Ozone efficiency in terms of moles of ozone produced per moles of NOx converted to NOy. D-4 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix D: Elevated Plume Research Plan Reflecting the knowledge that ozone production in elevated point source plumes containing high concentrations of NOx should be quite different than when plume contents are diluted into typical grid cell volumes --because of vastly different VOC/NOx ratios, some air quality models use a plume-in-grid (PiG) approach. In this approach, a gaussian-shaped plume is generally simulated in a Lagrangian reference frame that moves with the local wind vector, superimposed on the Eulerian reference frame of the host grid model. After a period of time, the contents of the plume are released into the grid cell or cells the plume occupies at the time of release, determined usually by the relative sizes of the plume and grid cell. Confining the plume for this period of time is thought to be a better way of simulating the plume chemistry and dispersion than immediately diluting the plume contents into a grid cell volume upon emission. Some drawbacks in the way this approach is currently implemented in air quality models are that: • • • The schemes used to simulate plume dispersion are based on time-averaged plumes rather than instantaneous plumes and thus are overly dispersive with respect to simulating the chemistry accurately. The effect of turbulence on chemistry is usually not simulated. The effect of wind shear on plume separation is not simulated These drawbacks are sufficient to compromise the realism of these simpler PiG approaches. Under EPRI sponsorship a more advanced approach has been developed. It relies on a Lagrangian puff dispersion model (SCIPUFF -- Second order Closure Integrated PUFF model) that uses a second order closure treatment of turbulent mixing. This gives it the ability to simulate instantaneous concentrations of plume constituents. It also can accommodate wind shear by separating puffs and can merge puffs when they converge. The version of SCIPUFF that includes chemistry is called SCICHEM and can be used as a stand-alone reactive plume model. Its parameterization of turbulent chemistry makes simulations more realistic than simpler approaches, particularly within the first few kilometers downwind of the smokestack, where plume confinement and turbulent chemistry have the greatest effect on local as well as overall ozone production. SCICHEM has been evaluated favorably against the extensive plume data acquired using the TVA instrumented helicopter during the 1995 Nashville/Middle Tennessee Ozone Study. In an environment where the plume encounters concentration gradients in the background air caused by heterogeneous sources and sinks, plume chemical evolution is best handled by embedding SCICHEM in a gridded Eulerian air quality model. With this arrangement, the Eulerian model supplies SCICHEM with time-and-space-varying background concentrations and SCICHEM supplies the Eulerian model with a more realistic sub-grid-scale treatment of plume chemistry and dispersion. Based on early results, the outcome is less ozone produced per unit of NOx emitted from elevated point sources than if the plume NOx is dispersed more rapidly, consistent with plume observations during the Nashville study D-5 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix D: Elevated Plume Research Plan The first implementation of SCICHEM in a PiG was using MAQSIP as the host model. This marriage of models is referred to as MAQSIP-APT -- for Advanced Plume Treatment. SCICHEM has been implemented into MAQSIP as a flexibly interfaced module so that it should be relatively straightforward to implement it in any other modeling system. In fact, EPRI is currently implementing SCICHEM into Models3/CMAQ. SCICHEM could be embedded in whichever model(s) is (are) selected by the Technical Committee. If any PiG treatment is to be used to model elevated point sources in the central California domain, the temporal and spatial evolution of one or more such plumes must be sufficiently characterized to form an accurate conceptual model of plume evolution as well as provide an observational data set against which to evaluate the PiG model. Without such data, it would be very difficult to demonstrate whether any differences seen among different plume treatments are real and if they exert a real and significant impact on ozone production from elevated point source NOx emissions. A good candidate for such a study would be the Pittsburg electric generating station. A second candidate is the electric generating station at Moss Landing. Measurement Plan Our approach relies on the use of the Tennessee Valley Authority Bell 205 helicopter, Figure 3. The low speed and high maneuverability of a helicopter makes it an ideal platform for this study. The Tennessee Valley Authority Bell 205 helicopter is equipped with instrumentation for the measurement of ozone, carbon monoxide, sulfur dioxide, nitric oxide, nitrogen dioxide, total * nitrogen oxides (NOy), NO y (NOy - HNO3), canister measurements for VOC, aerosol particle size and distribution and meteorological parameters. It will be used to characterize the VOC concentrations at selected locations in the background air. A detailed list of the instrumentation is given in Table 1. This aircraft would make a series of plume transects at successively greater distances from the stack, timed to sample approximately the same air parcel in a quasi-Lagrangian experiment. A series of transects will made under a variety of meteorological conditions. D-6 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix D: Elevated Plume Research Plan Figure 3. Bell 205 Helicopter: TVA Environmental Research Center D-7 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Table 1. Appendix D: Elevated Plume Research Plan Flight characteristics and instrumentation of Bell 205 Helicopter: TVA Environmental Research Center Endurance 2 hrs Payload 500 kg Ceiling 2.5 km Research Speed 40-50 m/s Aircraft Instrument Package for the TVA Bell 205 Helicopter Parameter Time Resolution Method Det. Limit Ozone (O3) 1s NO 2 ppb Chemiluminescence Carbon Monoxide NDIR or HgO (CO) reduction Sulfur Dioxide (SO2) 5s UV Pulsed 0.5 ppb Fluorescence 1 ppb Nitric Oxide (NO) 1s NO/O3 Chemiluminescence Nitrogen Dioxide 5s Photolysis, NO/O3 1 ppb (NO2) Chem. Total Nitrogen 1s Au Converter, NO/O3 1 ppb Oxides (NOy) Chem. NOy* 1s NOy detection + 1 ppb Nylasorb Filter Canister VOCs 1 min Canister Sampling, GC/FID bscat 5s Nephelometer < 10-6 m-1 Aerosol Size 1s PCASP (0.17 - 3µm) Distribution Particle Composition variable Filter Pack, IC analysis Particle Composition variable Anderson Cascade by Size Impactor Air Temperature 5s Platinum Thermistor Dewpoint 5s Capacitance Sensor Altitude 5s Barometric Position 5s GPS Air Speed 5s Pitot- Static Pressure 2 m/s Heading 5s Flux Gate Compass 0.5 deg. D-8 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix D: Elevated Plume Research Plan The instrumentation given in Table 1 was used in flights made for the Southern Oxidant Study (SOS). The minimum research speed of 40 m/s must be maintained to avoid contamination problems associated with emissions form the helicopter and the downwash of it propeller. Although the 1999 SOS Field Study Science Plan for Nashville indicated that particle measurements, CO, CO2 and SO2 could be used as a tracers of opportunity for power plant plumes it appears that these tracers are not feasible because of their low concentrations in the power plant plumes of central California. However, high measurements of CO might be used to identify those urban plumes that may mix with the power plant plumes. It would be highly desirable if a filter radiometer for the measurement of the photolysis rate parameter of NO2 (JNO2) could be added to the instrumentation. Measurement of JNO2 would allow a more direct calculation of the ozone - NOx photostationary state as described above. Without this measurement JNO2 must be calculated from a radiative transfer model. Given that ozone formation occurs only during the daytime, safety considerations and the limited budget the plume measurement flights should be restricted to the daylight hours. The O3 and NOx measurements should be sufficient to track the plume. A SODAR in the vicinity of the power plant stack or aircraft based LIDAR system or the release of tracers is highly desirable for a complete study. Since a LIDAR system will to expensive for the CCOS study a radar/RASS profiler will be located in the vicinity of the power plant stacks selected for study to ensure that the local 3D winds are well defined for accurate model simulation during the crucial early stages of plume dispersion. The radar/RASS profiler will be moved as necessary for the measurements planned for the power plants at Moss Landing and at Pittsburgh. It may be possible that the measurement of aerosols by the TVA helicopter will allow some evaluation of the plume in grid models for their ability to describe aerosols but aerosol concentrations may be too low in the plumes measured by CCOS. It is crucial that the helicopter measure background concentrations to evaluate the plume in grid model. Karamchandani and Seigneur (1999) have shown that indicates that the measurement of background concentrations of O3, VOC, and PAN are crucial for the correct representation of the formation of nitrate and sulfates inside power plant plumes. They are also important to simulate ozone formation inside power plant plumes and for the evaluation of the host grid model. Another reason to measure the background O3 and NOx is that the formation of ozone in the plume has been characterized by the quantity “excess ozone”. Excess ozone is defined as the difference between the ambient ozone and the ozone within the plume (Luria et al., 1999). Therefore it will be necessary to sample the air upwind of the power plant stack and to sample the air surrounding the plume. Both horizontal flight paths made at constant altitude and “vertical” plume characterization flights are needed to characterize the plume. Figure 4. The horizontal flights start with measurements made upwind of the stack. Next the aircraft flies across the plume as close to the stack as possible within the limits imposed by safety. The aircraft flies out of the plume and then returns to fly through the plume at a greater distance than the first path. This flight path is continued as long as a plume can be identified by NOx and aerosol measurements. D-9 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix D: Elevated Plume Research Plan The flight strategy is similar for the “vertical” plume flights. The flights should begin upwind of the stack. Next the aircraft should fly down as near as possible to the stack and through the plume. When the aircraft reaches the bottom of its trajectory it should fly upward through the plume. As with the horizontal flights this flight path is continued as long as a plume can be identified by NOx and aerosol measurements. During the 1995 SOS Nashville study of power plant plume study it was possible to follow the plume for about 5 to 6 hours or between 50 and 100 kilometers downwind of the stack (Luria et al., 1999). The power plants that affect central California have NOx photostationary state as described above. Without this measurement JNO2 must be ca emission rates that are about a factor of 10 lower than those around Nashville. These lower emission rates will reduce the distance over which the plumes can be tracked. However, since lower NOx concentrations may lead to greater ozone production efficiencies enhanced ozone mixing ratios might be observed relatively nearer the stack for the central California power plant plumes. Luria et al. (1999) also showed the importance of making measurements of VOC during the plume measurements. About 8 measurements were made during each flight. One of the VOC canister samples should be collected upwind of the stack, 6 should be made within the plume and 1 sample should be collected outside the stack but downwind of the stack. The flights need to be coordinated with the ground-based CCOS air quality monitoring stations. One of the most important uses of the stations will be to provide the meteorological conditions to help determine the aircraft flight plans. The meteorological conditions and the air quality measurements provided by the ground stations will be extremely important for the interpretation of the aircraft measurements. While it is clear that measurements should be made during episodes of high ozone measurements should also be made during periods of average or low ozone. A valid model must be able to predict both peak and average ozone concentrations. The power plant plumes to be investigated in California include those from Pittsburgh and the Moss Landing. The Pittsburgh, CA, power plant plume has the advantage in that it often interacts strongly with the urban plume from the San Francisco Bay area and it would be expected to have a significant impact on air quality. Observations of Pittsburgh plume would allow its contributions to formation of ozone in the urban plume to be evaluated. On the other hand since the Pittsburgh power plant plume is in a much more polluted area it would be harder to follow. Figure 5 shows estimated NOx concentrations for the plume from the Pittsburgh electric power generating station. The NOx concentrations were calculated from a simple dispersion model. Assuming an ambient background NOx concentration of 15 ppb it should be possible to follow the plume for at least 15 km under the most stable conditions. The calculation suggests that 20 to 30 km will be more typical. Alternatively the Moss Landing power plant would be easier to follow because it is in proximity to the coast with cleaner and more stable air conditions. However given its location the plume will contribute less to ozone formation in central California than the Pittsburgh plume. Given the choice between Pittsburgh and the Moss Landing more flight hours should be devoted to the Pittsburgh power plant plume. D-10 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix D: Elevated Plume Research Plan To get a more complete description of the effect of meteorological conditions on the plume it will be necessary to make some flights during the morning hours when the mixing height is low and rising. To capture the effect of the plume on the photochemistry of ozone formation it will be necessary to make flights during the afternoon. A reasonable split between the morning and afternoon flight hours would be a ratio of one to two. D-11 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix D: Elevated Plume Research Plan Stack Location Power Plant Plume Flight Path Horizontal Plume Characterization Flights "Vertical" Plume Characterization Flights z Figure 4. Proposed flight plans for plume measurement experiments. D-12 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix D: Elevated Plume Research Plan 100 Stability Class A Stability Class B Stability Class C NOx (ppb as NO) 75 Stability Class D Stability Class E Stability Class F 50 25 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 km Figure 5. Estimated NOx concentrations for the plume from the Pittsburgh electric power generating station. The NOx concentrations were calculated from a simple dispersion model. . D-13 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix D: Elevated Plume Research Plan Data Analysis and Model Evaluation Models use plume-in-grid to represent the chemistry and dispersion of large point source plumes. Typically the individual sub-grid scale plumes are simulated in a Lagrangian mode. The plumes are assumed to have a Gaussian distribution that can be treated analytically and these plumes may extend 10 to 20 km from the point source. The chemistry is often simplified to account only for the high NOx concentrations found within the plumes and the effect of NOx on ozone concentrations while ignoring VOC chemistry. The plumes disperse and undergo chemical reaction until the spatial extent of the plume and the pollutant concentrations reach levels that can be adequately represented within a 3-d model grid. The size of the plumes relative to the size of the grid cell is one criteria while another criteria is the age of the plume for terminating the plume and mixing its contents in to the regular grid. It is not clear that the treatment of plumes by state-of-the-art models is adequate. Aircraft measurements of NOx, ozone and VOC concentrations made in plumes are required to test the validity of the treatment of plume dispersion and chemistry and the procedures for terminating the plume in to the regular model grid by plume-in-grid parameterizations. Model simulations are required to compare with the measurements to evaluate the models. The reliability of model outputs is assessed through operational and diagnostic evaluations and application of alternative diagnostic tools. Operational evaluations consist of comparing concentration estimates from the model to ambient measurements. The key question in an operational model evaluation is to determine the extent of agreement between simulated and measured concentrations of ozone and its precursors? The measured and simulated ozone and its precursor concentrations should agree in their spatial extent and in their timing. Typical statistics for model evaluation: the comparisons of predicted and observed 1-hr observed ozone concentrations, comparison of 90th percentile concentrations, mean bias (ppb) and mean normalized bias (%) and the mean error (ppb) and mean normalized error (%) (Lurmann et al., 1998). Diagnostic evaluations are required to determine if the model is estimating ozone concentrations for the right reasons. The emissions, chemistry and transport are assessed to determine if these are treated correctly within the model. The emissions may be assessed through process analysis and mass balance analysis. The chemistry may be assessed through the measurement of predicted secondary chemical products. The transport might be evaluated through comparisons of the spatial and vertical distributions of ozone and its precursors. This broad task also involves reconciliation of data analysis and observation-based results with modeling results. It includes the evaluation of modeling uncertainties, processes, and the assumptions, and their effect on observed differences among model results, measurements, and data analysis results. A key finding of a diagnostic evaluation should be to determine the physical and chemical reasons for the concentration differences between those predicted by models and the measurements. It would also be highly desirable if the likely model bias induced by a model’s deficiencies could be identified. Particular attention needs to be devoted to the Lagrangian puff dispersion models, SCIPUFF and SCICHEM, that were developed under EPRI sponsorship. These models rely on a second order closure treatment of turbulent mixing and are expected to provide more realistic simulations than simpler approaches. The improvement may be greatest nearest the stack. It will be important to D-14 CCOS Field Study Plan Version 3 – 11/24/99 Appendix D: Elevated Plume Research Plan compare the evaluation of SCICHEM with CCOS data to its evaluation made with data from the 1995 Nashville/Middle Tennessee Ozone Study. References Dickerson, The Impact of Aerosols on Solar Ultraviolet Radiation and Photochemical Smog" Science. Vol. 278, 1997. Hov Ø., Changes in tropospheric ozone: A simple model experiment. In: Bojkov RD and Fabian P (eds) Ozone in the Atmosphere, Proceedings of the Quadrennial Ozone Symposium 1988 and Tropospheric Ozone Workshop. Deepak, Hampton, Virginia, pp 557-560, 1989. Karamchandani and Seigneur, Simulation of Sulfate and Nitrate Chemistry in Power Plant Plumes. Journal of the A&WMA 49, 175-181, 1999. Lin X, Trainer M, Liu SC On the nonlinearity of the tropospheric ozone production. Journal Geophysical Research 93:15879-15888, 1988. Liu SC, Trainer M, Fehsenfeld FC, Parrish DD, Williams EJ, Fahey DW, Hübler G, Murphy PC Ozone production in the rural troposphere and the implications for regional and global ozone distributions. Journal Geophysical Research 92:4191-4207, 1987. Lurmann, F.W. and N. Kumar, R. Londergan, G. Moore, Evaluation of the UAM-V Model Performance in the Northeast Region for OTAG Episodes, Ozone Transport Assessment Group, 1998. D-15