Acute Post-Streptococcal Glomerulonephritis in the
Transcription
Acute Post-Streptococcal Glomerulonephritis in the
Acute Post-Streptococcal Glomerulonephritis in the Northern Territory Catherine Susan Marshall Treatise submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Public Health Charles Darwin University December 2009 [C.O.U. LIBRARY! NOTE This treatise is presented in the form of a paper written for publication in Clinical Infectious Diseases with additional appendices. The boxed text is additional information that this of relevance to local practise and is not for submission for publication. ABSTRACT Background In the past twenty years industrialised countries have reported a decline in the incidence of acute post-streptococcal glomerulonephritis (APSGN), especially related to skin infection. The disease remains common however in many developing countries and in central and tropical northern Australia Methods Retrospectively collected data from the Northern Territory APSGN notification database in Australia was reviewed. Streptococcal isolates from confirmed cases were emm sequence typed to identify the strains of Streptococcus pyogenes responsible. Results From 1991-July 2008 there were 415 confirmed cases and 23 probable cases of APSGN notified. 414 (94.7%) of these were Aboriginal Australians and 428 (97.7%) were people living in remote or very remote locations. The overall annual incidence of confirmed cases was 12.5 per 100,000 person years with an annual incidence in children under the age of 15 of 41.4 cases per 100,000 persons and an overall rate ratio of cases in Indigenous Australians to non-Indigenous Australians of 53.6 (95% CI 32.6-94.8). The annual incidence in Indigenous Australian children younger than 15 years was 94.3 cases per 100,000 persons. The median age of cases was 7 years (range 0-54). Outbreaks of disease across multiple communities occurred in 1995 (n=68), 2000 (n=55) and 2005 (n=87). Various strains of S .pyogenes were isolated from cases of APSGN including a number not previously recognised to be nephritogenic. Strain emm55 was responsible for a widespread outbreak in 2005. Conclusions APSGN continues to occur in remote Indigenous communities in Australia at rates comparable to or higher than those estimated in developing countries. Improvements in preventative and outbreak control strategies are needed. ii ACKNOWLEDGMENTS The Menzies School of Health Research supported me to do this treatise with a Treatise Scholarship for which I am grateful. I would also like to acknowledge the many people that helped me, especially my supervisors. Professor Bart Currie was instrumental in encouraging me to do this project and has been a wonderful support throughout. Allen Cheng has also been of great assistance a,nd support. In particular I would like to thank him for creating the maps that show geographical locations and incidence of cases. In addition he created the graph demonstrating the number of notifications per fortnight. From the Northern Territory Centre for Disease Control director Dr Vicki Krause and public health physician Dr Peter Markey have also been of invaluable assistance. Peter Markey provided up to date population statistics and advice regarding incidence calculations. Rebecca Towers and Leisha Richardson from the Menzies School of Health Research laboratory also deserve a special mention. Rebecca's detailed knowledge of the streptococcal database was of considerable help in compiling the database of APSGN cases and Leisha completed the emm sequence typing of isolates not previously typed. iii TABLE OF CONTENTS Page Abstract •••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 11 Acknowledgments ........................................................................................................... .iii List of Tables ..................................................................................................................... v List of Figures .................................................................................................................. vi Abbreviations .................................................................................................................. vii PAPER "The Epidemiology of Acute Post-Streptococcal Glomerulonephritis In the Northern Territory, Australia" ................................................................................. ! Appendix 1: Literature Review ........ ~·.. :........................................................................... 30 Al.l Historical Perspective ................................................................................. 30 Al.2 Current Epidemiology and Global Burden of APSGN .............................. 33 Al.3 History of APSGN in Northern Territory and Australia ........................... .35 A1.4 Clinical Disease and Definitions ................................................................ 36 Al.5 Prognosis of APSGN .................................................................................. 38 Al.6 Streptococcus Pyogenes and Molecular Epidemiology ........................... .41 Al.7 Pathogenesis of APSGN and Nephritogenic Antigens ............................. 44 Al.8 Future Therapeutics and Vaccine Development ...................................... .47 Al.9 Skin Infection and Scabies in the Northern Territory ............................... .47 Al.lO Public Health Management of APSGN in the NT .................................... .48 Appendix 2: Additional Methods .............................................................._. ..................... 52 A2.1 Data cleaning and Management ................................................................. 52 A2.2 APSGN Streptococcal Isolate Database ..................................................... 53 Appendix 3: Additional Results ...................................................................................... 54 REFERENCES ................................................................................................................ 68 iv LIST OF TABLES Page Table 1 Demographic Characteristics of Study Population ........................................... 23 Table 2 Incidence Rates of APSGN in the Northern Territory ..................................... 24 Table 3 emmST of APSGN Isolates .............................................................................. 25 Table A 1.1 Reported epidemics of APSGN with more than 100 cases .............................. 31 Table Al.2 Reported epidemics of APSGN with less than 100 cases and Clusters of cases ................................................................................................................. 32 Table A1.3 Definition of APSGN in the NT .......... ~ ........................................................... .37 Table A1.4 Streptococcal Serotypes previously associated with APSGN ......................... .43 TableA2.1 Cases notified in NT from Communities outside NT ....................................... 52 Table A2.2 Cases notified in an incorrect District .............................................................. 52 Table A3.1 Yearly Notifications and Incidence for all Ages .............................................. 54 Table A3.2 Yearly Notification and Incidence for Ages 0-14 years ................................... 55 Table A3.3 Yearly Notification and Incidence for those Aged 2::: 15 years ......................... 56 Table A3.4 Seasonal Distribution of Cases per District.. .................................................... 57 Table A3.5 Regional Incidence of APSGN within the NT ................................................. 58 Table A3.6 Outbreak and Sporadic Cases of APSGN in the Top End ................................ 59 Table A3.7 Outbreak and Sporadic Cases of APSGN in Central Australia ........................ 60 Table A3.8 Comparison of Outbreak versus Sporadic Cases .............................................. 60 Table A3.9 List of Individual Community Outbreaks ......................................................... 61 v LIST OF FIGURES Page Figure 1 Age Distribution of Cases of APSGN ....................................................... 26 Figure 2 Local Incidence of APSGN in Children aged 0-14 years ............................ 27 Figure 3 Annual incidence of APSGN in the Northern Territory .............................. 28 Figure 4 Notifications per Month in the Top End and Central Australian regions .... 29 Figure Al.l Pathogenesis of APSGN .............................................................................. 46 Figure A3.1 Notifications per Year and District. ............................................................. 62 Figure A3.2 Regional Incidence of APSGN .................................................................... 63 Figure A3.3 Notifications in the Top End as Outbreak of Sporadic ................................ 64 Figure A3.4 Community Locations of Cases in Outbreak Year (2005) ........................... 65 Figure A3.5 Community Locations of Cases in Non-Oubreak Year (2004) ................... 66 Figure A3.6 Notifications per Fortnight ........................................................................... 67 vi ABBREVIATIONS ABS Australian Bureau of Statistics APSGN Acute post-streptococcal glomerulonephritis ARF Acute Rheumatic Fever BPG Benzathine Penicillin G emmST emm Sequence Type GAS Group A Streptococcus (Streptococcus Pyogenes) MSHR Menzies School of Health Research NT Northern Territory NT CDC Northern Territory Centre for Disease Control SPEB Streptococcal pyrogenic exotoxin B zSPEB zymogen precursor of streptococcal pyrogenic exotoxin B vii PAPER Acute Post-Streptococcal Glomerulonephritis in the Northern Territory of Australia; a review of 16 years data and comparison with the literature INTRODUCTION The epidemiology of acute post-streptococcal glomerulonephritis (APSGN) has changed substantially over the past 50 years. Prior to 1980's APGSN was relatively common worldwide with multiple large and recurrent epidemics reported, especially in the United States of America in the Native American population, and in Central and South America. [1] Many of these epidemics were thought to be related to streptococcal skin rather than throat infection, often associated with preceding scabies. [2-4] Over the past 20 years there has been a substantial decline in the reported incidence of APSGN, especially in industrialised countries.[!] A falling incidence in Florida was reported to reflect a decrease in the incidence of APSGN associated with impetigo, whereas the incidence of APSGN due to pharyngitis has remained relatively unchanged. [5] In Chile an epidemic of APSGN associated with scabies and skin infection occurred in the mid 1980s. However during the 1990's there was a steady decline in the number of report cases. [4]. Similarly reductions in disease have also been reported in China, Singapore and Europe.[6-8] Despite this declining incidence of APSGN in many developed countries, there is still a significant global burden of disease. Carapetis et al[9] estimated that there are more than 470,000 cases of APSGN worldwide annually with approximately 5000 deaths. 97% of these cases occur in less developed countries. It is inevitable that APSGN is underreported in many developing countries and these figures may be an underestimate of the true burden of this condition. As in most industrialised countries the southern temperate regions of Australia have sporadic cases of APSGN, mostly related to pharyngitis.[ tO]. In contrast to other industrial nations and southern Australia, in tropical northern Australia APSGN is more common and outbreaks have previously been reported in Aboriginal communities.[11, 12] In the Northern Territory (NT), which includes both an arid central Australian region and a tropical northern region, sporadic cases occur yearly but larger outbreaks in the northern region are documented by public health authorities around every 5-7 years.[l3] The majority of these cases are related to pyoderma, often with underlying scabies.[14] The overall incidence and patterns of disease in this population have not been characterized. Currently in the Northern Territory APSGN is a notifiable condition and notifications trigger a public health response based on local guidelines. [15] Following sporadic cases it is recommended that household contacts be screened for signs and symptoms of APSGN and evidence of skin sores. All contacts between the ages of 3-15 are given single dose IM benzathine penicillin, as are contacts of other ages if they have skin sores. A more widespread public health response occurs following a community outbreak. This is defined as 2 unrelated clinical cases within a week or 3 unrelated clinical cases within a month in one community. [15]. This prompts a community response with screening of all children for edema, skin sores and scabies. Children with skin sores are treated with IM benzathine penicillin, those with scabies are given topical permethrin 5% and children with edema are further assessed for APSGN. There is limited evidence regarding the best way to manage an outbreak of APSGN. The aim of contact tracing, community screening and penicillin treatment is to reduce transmission of the presumptive nephritogenic Streptococcus pyogenes (Group A Streptococcus, GAS). Intramuscular benzathine penicillin has been shown to be effective at clearing streptococcal carriage[16] and can reduce transmission within a community. [17, 18] There have been no randomized controlled trials assessing effectiveness of interventions with penicillin therapy in outbreaks of APSGN. However, an observational study in 1999 [19] supported to the use of community interventions with prophylactic penicillin administration. 2 The ability to perform genotyping on the emm gene, which encodes the variable aminoterminus of the GAS M-protein, has allowed characterization of GAS. This is particularly relevant in northern Australia and other parts of the world where many strains responsible for disease were non-typeable by the older serotyping methods. [20] M serotypes and emm sequence types (emmST) have been shown to correlate and are generally interchangeable. It has long been recognized that certain GAS M types are associated with nephritis and these are generally different from the strains that cause acute rheumatic fever.[21]. Some GAS strains such as Ml, M4, M12 have traditionally been associated with APSGN following pharyngitis, whereas other strains such as M2,M49,M55 and M57 are associated with skin infection.[22] Previous studies of the molecular epidemiology of GAS in Aboriginal communities of the NT have shown that there is a wide diversity of emmST present. GAS carriage is dynamic with high acquisition rates within households.[23-25]. Nevertheless although there is wide diversity of stains of GAS seen in indigenous communities there may be only a limited number of strains responsible for APSGN in the NT. Here we review the epidemiology of APSGN within the NT over a 16 year period with the aim of determining the current incidence, patterns of disease and diversity of strains of GAS responsible for APSGN in the region. We document that despite declining rates of APSGN in other industrialized countries, rates remain very high for children living in remote Indigenous Australian communities. There is currently a paucity of recent literature to support current management guidelines for APSGN. It is hoped that by improving our understanding of the local epidemiology of this condition we will be able to optimise our current guidelines, with development of improved strategies to manage APSGN in the NT and identify further research that is needed. 3 METHODS Setting The NT is sparsely populated with around 215,000 people. It occupies 15% of the land mass of Australia but only 1% of the population. The northern third, referred to as the ''Top End" has a tropical climate with two distinct seasons being the monsoonal "wet" and the "dry" season. The southern two-thirds are referred to as 'Central Australia' with a much drier climate year round. There are around 65,000 Indigenous Australians in the NT, representing around 30% of the population. In comparison, Indigenous Australians make up only 2.4% of the total Australian population. [26] In the NT, 80% of Indigenous Australians live in remote or very remote locations. Indigenous Australians have poorer health outcomes than nonIndigenous Australians with a life expectancy that is estimated to be almost 20 years less than non-Indigenous Australians. [26] The NT is divided into 5 administrative districts: Darwin, Katherine, East Arnhem, Barkly and Alice Springs. Each region is serviced by one hospital with Darwin and Alice Springs acting as referral centres. In remote Aboriginal communities medical services are provided by community clinics staffed by nurses, Aboriginal health workers and in larger clinics resident medical practitioners. Smaller clinics may have only nurses and/or Aboriginal health workers permanently, with nurses or medical practitioners that visit for both acute care and public health activities. Epidemiological Data Epidemiological data was obtained from the Northern Territory Centre for Disease Control (CDC) notification database. APSGN is a notifiable condition in the Northern Territory and information is currently held in a database established in 1991. The case definition for reported cases includes a clinically compatible illness with 2 of hematuria, hypertension and edema (facial or peripheral). In addition laboratory evidence is required that includes hematuria (greater than 10 red blood cells/I-LL), evidence of streptococcal infection with either positive streptococcal serology (Anti-streptolysin 0 >250 IU/ml, anti-DNAse B >200 IU/ml)or positive culture from throat or skin and a reduced C3 level (normal 0.861.84 gil). All confirmed cases included in the study met both the clinical and laboratory 4 criteria. Since 2005 sub-clinical cases detected during screening that presented only with laboratory evidence have also been included in the database under a diagnosis of probable APGSN. The database includes record of the patient's date of birth, community and district, Indigenous status and date of diagnosis. Appendix 2.1 summarizes additional issues of data cleaning and management. Patients were defined as living in a remote or very remote location if their place of residence had a score of 5.92 or more using the Accessibility/Remoteness index of Australia(ARIA)[27]. Cases were categorized as either 'outbreak' or sporadic using a modified definition from the NT CDC guidelines[l5]. An outbreak was defined as 2 cases in one week or 3 cases in 1 month within one community. The available data did not distinguish between related and unrelated cases, thus requiring in a minor variation from the NT guidelines which specify that the cases are unrelated. Any other cases within the community occurring within one month of an outbreak case were also defined as being part of that outbreak. Source of Streptococcal Isolates and Laboratory Methods All laboratory work was completed by the staff at the Menzies School of Health Research (MSHR) Streptococcal research laboratory in Darwin. The strepto~occal isolates used in this study were collected between 1990-2008 from community screening projects run through MSHR as well as passive surveillance of the Royal Darwin Hospital Pathology Collection or the local private pathology laboratory that services many of the remote communities (Western Diagnostic Pathology). Isolates were included in this study if they were collected from a patient confirmed to have APSGN using the above diagnostic criteria and confirmed using the CDC notification database and hospital patient records. If a case had not been notified but clinical information and pathology results were available to confirm a diagnosis, that case was included. Appendix 2.2 contains further information pertaining to data collection, cross-checking and development of the streptococcal APSGN database. In addition to bacterial isolates from confirmed cases, 16 isolates were available from contacts and community screening done in one community during the 2005 outbreak. These were also emm sequence typed to gain further insight into the streptococcal strains responsible for this large widespread outbreak. 5 emm sequence typing was performed on streptococcal isolates based on methods described by the Centre for Disease Control and Prevention[28] with minor modifications that have been described previously [23, 24] Analytical methods Incidences were expressed as rates per 100,000 person-years from years 1992-2007. Population data was obtained from Northern Territory Department of Health Gains planning and Australian Bureau of Statistics.[29] The sum of the yearly estimated population was used as the denominator. Only confirmed cases were included in incidence calculations given that prior to 2005 probable cases were not included in the notification database. Notifications from 1991 were not included in incidence calculations because the notification database was not operational for the whole year and was incomplete. 95% CI were obtained using STATA 9. Proportions were compared using a two-sample test of proportions. A p-value of <0.05 was used as the level of significance. Ethics Ethics approval was obtained from the Human Research Ethics Committee of the NT Department of Health and Families and the Menzies School of Health Research. This included approval from the Aboriginal Ethics Sub-Committee. Given data was collected retrospectively and analysed in a non-identifiable form and therefore consent from individuals was not required. RESULTS Epidemiology From 1991 until July 2008 there were 415 confirmed cases and 23 probable cases of APSGN reported. 13 notifications were made in Alice Springs District regarding people living in communities outside the Northern Territory. (See appendix 2.1) These cases were excluded from incidence data but included in other analysis. The demographic details of the study population are displayed in table 1. The majority of cases occurred Indigenous Australian children who lived in remote locations. Figure 1 shows age distribution of cases with the 386 (88.1 %) of cases occurring in children younger than 15 years and an overall age range of 0-54 years (median 7 years). Figure 2 shows the local incidence of 6 cases in children aged 0-14 years and geographical distribution of cases with in the NT with a predominance seen in the Top End. The incidence rates for different populations within the NT are shown in table 2. The highest annual incidence of 94.3 cases per 100,000 persons (95% CI 84.2-105.3) occurred in indigenous children under the age of 15. The rate ratio of cases in Indigenous Australians to non-Indigenous Australians is 53.6 (95% CI 32.6-94.8). The incidence of APSGN varied from year-to-year within the NT. This reflects the occurrence of yearly sporadic cases and small clusters, with larger more widespread outbreaks occurring approximately 5 yearly (see Figure 3). These outbreaks predominantly affect those under the age of 15. During the study period there were peaks of notifications in 1995 (n= 68), 2000 (n= 55) and 2005 (n=102). In 2005 this figure included 87 confirmed and 15 probable cases. The specific annual incidences for each group are shown in tables A3.1, A3.2, A3.3 (Appendix 3). Seasonal Distribution The Top End of the NT has a tropical climate with two seasons. The "dry" season runs from April to September when the weather is cooler, less humid and there is little rain. The monsoonal "wet" season runs from October to April and during this period it is hot, humid and rainy. In Central Australia there is a desert climate with occasional rain throughout the year. During the period of April-September the weather is cooler than the months October to March. In the Top End there was a peak of notifications from April to June in the early dry season whereas in Central Australia there was no overall significant seasonal change (see Figure 4). In the Top End 64.7% of cases occurred in the dry and 35.3% in the wet. (p<0.0001). This seasonal distribution within the Top End may reflect a larger number of outbreaks occurring at this time. Within Central Australia although there was no overall significant difference in seasonal distribution, the more northern Barkly district had a pattern similar to the Top End with 68.8% of cases occurring in the dry season. This result was significant (p=0.034) but difficult to interpret because the numbers are small with only 16 cases being reported in this district. The difference could be attributed to a cluster of 5 cases occurring in one community in this district in the month of September. The seasonal distribution of APSGN cases for each district is shown in table A3.4, Appendix 3. 7 Patterns of Disease Overall across the NT 192 cases (43.8%) occurred as part of 43 community clusters or outbreaks rather than as sporadic cases. On 4 occasions there were two or three clusters in the same community within six months that most likely represented the same outbreak. The outbreaks lasted an average of 21 days (range 1-65). The median number of cases per cluster was 3 (range 2-12). There were up to 7 outbreaks occurring per year. A complete list of individual community outbreaks is presented in table A3.9, Appendix 3. In the Top End cases were more likely to be part of an outbreak with 183 cases( 53.4%, 95% CI 46.563.8) occurring as outbreaks or clusters compared with 9 (9.5% 95%CI 3.6-15.4) within Central Australian (p-value <0.0001). (see tables A3.6,3.7,3.8 Appendix 3 for Details). In the Top End 67.8% of cases occurred during the dry season. Regional Epidemiology Appendix 3 table A3.5 and figure A3.2 show the regional differences in incidence of APSGN around the NT. The overall incidence of APSGN in the Top End is 13.2 cases per 100,000 person years compared with 12.2 cases per 100,00 person years in the Central district (p=0.52). However within individual planning districts the Darwin Rural and East Amhem regions have a significantly higher incidence of APSGN with rates of 61.2 and 53.4 cases per 100,000 person years respectively. In contrast the incidence in the Darwin Urban region is 0.6 cases per 100,000 person years. The trend is similar when looking only at the incidence in Indigenous Children aged 0-14 years. (Figure A3.2, Appendix 3). In Alice Springs there is also disparity between the urban and rural districts but this is less pronounced that in the Darwin Region. Appendix 3, figure 3.3 shows the yearly breakdown of notifications in the Top End defined as outbreak or sporadic. This graph demonstrates that in outbreak years there is an increase not only in the number of cases that form part of the outbreak but also in the number of sporadic cases that occur. This was confirmed by mapping of outbreak and sporadic cases in both an outbreak year (2005) and a sporadic year (2004).(Figures A3.4, A3.5 Appendix 3) The map in Figure A3.4 (Appendix 3) shows that cases defined as sporadic (less than 3 cases in one community) occurred in neighbouring communities to 8 of the 9 communities that had outbreaks (defined as 3 or more cases) in 2005. This map also shows that there were 32 communities in 2005 that had only 1-2 cases compared with 8 10 communities in the non-outbreak year of 2004 (Fig A3.5 Appendix 3). These cases are not considered in the current community-based definitions of an outbreak and perhaps the addition of a more widespread regional definition rather than a purely community-based definition may be appropriate. Figure A3.6 (appendix 3) shows the number of notifications over the whole study period per fortnight. The graph suggests that a cutoff of 4 notifications per fortnight across the NT would predict each of the large NT-wide outbreaks. Emm Sequence Types There were a total of 21 GAS isolates from APSGN cases that could be confirmed either from the NT CDC notification database or clinical and pathology records. 7 cases from 1991 and 1992 were confirmed by clinical records but had not been notified to CDC. All GAS strains were isolated from skin sores . .Two strains, one emm55 and the other a emm68.2 were isolated from both skin sores and throat swabs. Table 3 shows the emm ST isolated during the study. Emm55 GAS was isolated from 4 cases during the 2005 outbreak from 4 geographically isolated communities within the NT. In addition during community screening of one outbreak community in this year emm55 GAS was isolated from skin sore swabs in 4 out of 5 case contacts. Strain emm55 was also isolated from a confirmed case in 1992. From the outbreak in 2000 there were 3 isolates of emm3.22 isolated from 3 different communities in one district. An isolate with emm70 was also isolated from a case in one of these communities. From a community in a different district that had 13 confirmed cases, GAS with emm49.3, emm85 and emm86 were isolated. From 1995, the year of the other large outbreak, strain emm19.7 was isolated from a confirmed case in the community with the most cases. This strain was also isolated from a suspected case that could not be confirmed retrospectively. Emml was isolated in the same year from a sporadic case. It is not known whether they had been in contact with people from communities involved in the outbreak. 9 DISCUSSION Despite a decline in the incidence of APSGN seen in many parts of the industrialized world, this study demonstrates that rates of APSGN in the NT remain high in the Indigenous Australian population. Recent studies have estimated an annual incidence of APSGN in underdeveloped countries of between 9.3 and 28.5 cases per 100,000 population.[!, 9] This is comparable to our overall estimated incidence in the NT of 12.5 cases per 100,000 person-years. However, the rates in the Indigenous Australian population are significantly higher and are amongst the highest reported world-wide. The incidence in Aboriginal Australian children under the age of 15 years is almost double the rate of 50.5 cases per 100,000 reported in Maori children in New Zealand in the 1980's[30], and is more than three times the estimated rate for children in the developing world calculated by Carapetis et al[9] In one small Aboriginal community the incidence in children less than 15 years was 890.7 case per 100,000 person-years. Indigenous Australians have also previously been reported to have the highest rates of acute rheumatic fever in the world. [31]. The short term prognosis for children with APSGN is generally good with a mortality of less than 0.5% and fewer than 2% progressing to end-stage renal failure. [32] However the long term implications of APSGN are less reassuring, especially in the Indigenous Australian population. A recent study has found significantly higher rates of albuminuria in Aboriginal Australians with previous APSGN compared with controls. [33] Given albuminuria is a marker of early chronic kidney disease, this suggests that APSGN may be contribute to the high rates of chronic renal failure seen in Indigenous Australians. The incidence rates calculated in this study have included only confirmed cases that have been notified. The incidence including subclinical cases would be much higher. In addition it has been recognised that many cases are not notified by clinicians, especially from the early 1990's. Eight GAS isolates from cases that we confirmed retrospectively were from cases not formally notified. APSGN is not notifiable in all States of Australia and many clinicians may not have been aware of the mandatory reporting requirements in the NT. The true incidence of this disease is therefore likely to be considerably higher than that calculated in this study. 10 Due to the nature of this study there is a lack of data regarding the site of underlying infection. Nevertheless in previous reports of APSGN outbreaks within the NT the majority of cases have been attributed to impetigo. During the outbreak in 2000, 87% of cases were reported to have skin sores and 40% had scabies[14]. GAS were isolated from 26% of cases, all of which were skin sores. The prevalence of impetigo is very common amongst children in Indigenous communities. In some communities it has been found in as many as 70% of children[34]. In contrast pharyngitis has been shown to be uncommon in indigenous communities. [35] There is a seasonal distribution of APSGN in the Top End of the NT with a peak in the early dry season from April-June which is likely to represent the peak of occurrence of outbreaks. Previous studies in temperate climates have demonstrated a peak of impetigo associated APSGN in late summer, early autumn and a peak of pharyngitis associated APSGN in winter and spring. [5, 22, 30]. This reflects the seasonal distributions of pyoderma and pharyngitis in these temperate regions. There is a less defined seasonal distribution of pyoderma in the Aboriginal communities with the Top End of the NT. A previous study has demonstrated a seasonal distribution of pyoderma in one community [36] with a peak in the dry season however a 3 year surveillance study as part of the 'Healthy skin Program' in the East Arnhem district did not show a seasonal change in prevalence of pyoderma or scabies.[25]. This study showed a marked difference in the patterns of disease seen in the Top End compared to Central Australia, particularly the Alice Springs district. In the Top End over 50% of cases occur as part of outbreaks compared with less than 10% in Central Australia, where only 5% (4 cases) in Alice Springs District were part of an outbreak. This study did not review outcomes of APSGN cases however previous studies have suggested that sporadic cases may have a poorer prognosis than epidemic cases. [10] The reason for this difference in patterns is not clear but may reflect possible differences in the burden of GAS related skin disease between the 2 regions and its associated immune response.[37] Differences in humidity and rainfall are unlikely to be responsible given outbreak cases within the Top End are more common in the dry season. Public health responses to cases should be the same between regions and should not significantly explain results. These 11 differences warrant further study that might give clues to aid outbreak prevention strategies for the future. Thirteen different emmST from confirmed APSGN cases have been identified from this study. Emm55 was identified as the predominant strain responsible for the widespread outbreak in 2005 as well as a case in 1992. emm55 has also been reported from a previous APSGN outbreak in the NT in 1983[12]as well as from outbreaks in Trinidad [38, 39] and cases in Ethiopia[40]. A prospective household study swabbing throats and skin sores for GAS in two of the outbreak communities, [23] performed during the period of the APSGN outbreak in 2005 demonstrated a peak of isolation of strain emm55. This study demonstrated that strain emm55 was the predominate strain isolated in the communities during this time but only for a short period of time. The strain was not isolated prior, or subsequently. This supports the theory that the strain is introduced to the communities, spreads quickly and then disappears, possibly corresponding with the development of strain-specific immunity. Type emm3.22 was isolated from 3 cases during the 2000 outbreak in 3 different communities in one district. There is evidence the strain M3 has previously been associated with pharyngitis-associated APSGN [22]but not definitively with pyodermaassociated APSGN. M3 has been recognised as a strain with a predilection for throat rather than for skin. It was the most common strain isolated from the throat of 500 school staff and children screened in New Zealand in 1983 in response to a cluster of cases of acute rheumatic fever.[41] However, all the emm3.22 isolates in our collection were isolated from the skin sores. Strains emm49, 70, 85, 86 were also isolated from individual cases in outbreak communities during 2000. M49 has been well reported as a causative strain of pyoderma associated APSGN and has been responsible for previous outbreaks.[30, 42, 43]. Emm 10 and emm86 have not been previously reported to be associated with APSGN. It is possible that unlike the outbreak in 2005, which appears to be related to one strain of GAS, there may be multiple strains responsible for the outbreak 2000. There was only one isolate from a confirmed outbreak case in 1995 which was strain emm19.1 which has not previously been reported in association with APSGN. 12 Of the strains found in sporadic cases of APSGN, emm57 is well recognised to cause pyoderma associated APSGN[30, 44] and emm1 has been associated with nephritis but usually is isolated from the throat. [4, 25, 43]. However, emm1.2 has been associated with impetigo and APSGN in one case in Ethiopia.[40]. Strain emm68.2, 91 and 98.1, 105 have not been reported in association with APSGN, although it is possible that these more recently described strains were not able to be identified by the serotyping methods used in older studies. A limitation of this study is that, as with most other studies, it is impossible to ensure that the isolated GAS from a patient is definitely responsible for the case of APSGN. The majority of isolates were collected from skin swabs taken after a diagnosis of APSGN was made, thus being up to 3 weeks after initial infection. A study by Carapetis et al[31] found that Aboriginal children frequently have more that one strain of GAS present in skin sores, making it possible that the strain responsible for causing APSGN is not the one isolated. McDonald et al [23] showed that there was marked diversity and multiplicity of emmST seen within Aboriginal communities. In this study households were followed monthly and 42% of emmST were only detected on one visit and not cultured from the same household or community the subsequent month. This study has GAS isolates from 21 cases of confirmed APSGN spanning 16 years, from both outbreak and sporadic cases. A number of the strains isolated from confirmed APSGN cases have not previously been described in association with APSGN. The use of emm sequence typing has allowed more accurate characterisation of many isolates that may previously have been non-typeable. This information is relevant to further research into the pathogenesis of APSGN and relationships between M-protein characteristics and other GAS virulence determinants and nephritogenic potential. It is also relevant to the development of a strain specific vaccine for prevention of post-streptococcal sequelae. APSGN remains a significant health problem in the Northern Australia. Defining the epidemiology of this condition is important to guide further strategies for prevention and management. This condition predominantly affects Indigenous Australian children living in remote Indigenous communities in the tropical and sub-tropical areas of Australia. In these communities living conditions are often poor, with marked overcrowding of housing[45] and often inadequate water supply and sanitation facilities [46]which together 13 facilitate rapid spread of GAS. [47] Improving living conditions, housing and education in remote communities is a thus essential to reduce the rates of APSGN and other sequelae of GAS infection. Relevance to Local Public Health Practice The results of this study have been of use in revising current public health guidelines for management of APSGN. This study has found that in outbreak years there is an increase in the number of sporadic as well as outbreak cases and in outbreak years there are an increase in the number of communities across the NT having only 1 or 2 cases of APSGN. Analysing the number of notifications per fortnight suggests that four notifications per fortnight could be added as an NT-wide outbreak definition which could trigger an alert to communities. This could encourage identification of cases at a local level and treatment of children with skin sores. Rapid contact tracing of all cases could be also made a priority. The retrospective and observational nature of this study makes it difficult to assess the efficacy of community interventions that have occurred to date. This study demonstrates that in many outbreaks there are clusters of cases that occur within 2-3 weeks with no further cases. In many instance the definition of an outbreak is met but then no further cases are detected. It is difficult to assess the impact that widespread intervention has on these outbreaks as many clusters appear self-limiting and it is unclear as to whether the cessation of cases is due to intervention or is just the natural history of a cluster. Following a targeted community intervention, a reduction in cases attributable to that intervention will not be seen for at least one to two weeks. There is no evidence that treatment of children with skin sores will prevent them from developing APSGN if they have already been infected with a nephritogenic GAS. Treatment with penicillin aims only to decrease transmission of the GAS to others. Because of the delays between GAS infection and onset of APSGN it would therefore be expected that further cases of APSGN could present in the period immediately following an intervention. Giving 1M benzathine penicillin to uninfected contacts will however potentially provide protection from acquiring GAS infection to those individuals for several weeks (the duration of "protective" penicillin levels after 1M benzathine penicillin). [48] 14 Two of the larger community outbreaks during the study period were biphasic, with failure of an initial targeted intervention to stop spread. A possible explanation for this is that children with skin sores who were treated in the intervention had already spread the GAS strain to other children or adults that might be harbouring the bacterium on intact skin. A study in Native American families demonstrated that GAS are present on normal skin for up to a month prior to development of lesions, with a mean of 10.3 days. [49]. Transmission of strains of GAS within families was rapid with the time from index case acquisition to secondary skin acquisition of between 2 to 12 days with a mean of 4.8days. The time from index skin infection to last skin infection within a family was 1 to 41 days with a mean of 21 days. Thus for each child with infected skins sores that is treated with prophylactic penicillin there are likely to be family members already colonised or infected with the same strain who may spread the bacterium further afield. The older intervention strategies that involved treating every child in the community regardless of skin sore status has the advantage that it will prevent children colonised but not yet infected with the strain of GAS developing disease. Treatment with benzathine penicillin has been shown the prevent development of impetigo in children for at least 2-3 weeks after administration [ 18, 48]. However the disadvantage of this approach is that well children need to be given painful injections that could be associated with complications such as allergic reactions. It would also considerably increase resources needed to perform interventions. Unfortunately there are no randomized controlled trials to assess the best community intervention strategy to manage outbreaks. There is one observational study that supports intervention with penicillin therapy and suggests that the current targeted approach is probably effective. [19] In the current NT APSGN guidelines all contacts of cases aged 3-15 will automatically be treated with a dose of intramuscular benzathine penicillin. [15]. This study demonstrates that 26 cases (6%) occurred in those aged 1-2 years and that 10 cases (2.3%) occurred in those aged 16 years. Despite the numbers in each group being small, they are similar to the number of cases occurring in the 14 and 15 years age group. It has therefore been proposed that those aged 1-2 and 16 years who are contacts of a case also receive a dose of benzathine penicillin regardless of their skin sore status in an attempt to prevent further cases and bacterial spread. 15 Defining the epidemiology of APSGN in the NT has assisted in reviewing the current guidelines for management of APSGN. Specifically there have been changes to age group of contacts empirically treated with benzathine penicillin and also the introduction of a NT wide alert when there is an increase in cases territory wide. There has also been review and ongoing evaluation of current outbreak definitions and management strategies. Further research is needed into the dynamics of transmission of nephritogenic strains of GAS during outbreak periods to understand the best way of aborting outbreaks. However, ultimately energy needs to be focused not just on managing APSGN cases and outbreaks but on prevention. In Australia this is a disease of Indigenous Australians living in remote areas with overcrowding, inadequate health hardware and associated poor sanitation. It is improving the living conditions in these communities that will have the greatest impact on reducing the burden of APSGN in Australia. 16 REFERENCES 1. Rodriguez-Iturbe B,Musser JM. The Current State of Poststreptcoccal Glomerulonephritis. JAm Soc Nephrol2008;19: 1855-64. 2. Svartman M, Finklea JF, Earle DP, Potter EV, Poon-King T. Epidemic scabies and acute glomerulonephritis in Trinidad. Lancet 1972; 1: 249-51. 3. Reid HF, Birju B, Holder Y, Hospedales J, Poon-King T. Epidemic scabies in four Caribbean islands, 1981-1988. Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg 1990;84: 298-300. 4. Berrios X, Lagomarsino E, Solar E, Sandoval G, Guzman B, Riedel I. Poststreptococcal acute glomerulonephritis in Chile--20 years of experience Pediatr Nephrol2004;19: 306-12. 5. Ilyas M,Tolaymat A. Changing epidemiology of acute post-streptococcal glomerulonephritis in Northeast Florida: a comparative study. Pediatr Nephrol 2008;23: 1101-6. 6. Yap HK, Chia KS, Murugasu B, et al. Acute glomerulonephritis--changing patterns in Singapore children. Pediatr Nephrol1990;4: 482-4. 7. Zhang Y, Shen Y, Feld LG, Stapleton FB. Changing pattern of glomerular disease at Beijing Children's Hospital. Clin Pediatr (Phila) 1994;33: 542-7. 8. Coppo R, Gianoglio B, Porcellini MG, Maringhini S. Frequency of renal diseases and clinical indications for renal biopsy in children (report of the Italian National Registry of Renal Biopsies in Children). Group of Renal Immunopathology of the Italian Society of Pediatric Nephrology and Group of Renal Immunopathology of the Italian Society of Nephrology. Nephrol Dial Transplant 1998; 13: 293-7. 9. Carapetis JR, Steer A.C, Mulholland E.K, Weber M. The global burden of group A streptococcal diseases. Lancet Infect Dis 2005;5: 685-94. 17 10. Blyth CC, Robertson PW, Rosenberg AR. Post-streptococcal glomerulonephritis in Sydney: A 16-year retrospective review. Journal of Paediatrics and Child Health 2007;43: 446-50. 11. Streeton CL, Hanna JN, Messer RD, Merianos A. An epidemic of acute poststreptococcal glomerulonephritis among Aboriginal children. Journal of Paediatrics and Child Health 1995;31: 245-8. 12. Gogna NK, Nossar V, Walker AC. Epidemic of acute poststreptococcal glomerulonephritis in aboriginal communities. Med J Aust 1983; 1: 64-6. 13. Evans C. Acute Post Streptococcal Glomerulonephritis in the Northern Territory 1980-2000. The Northern Territory Disease Control Bulletin 2001;8: 1-40. 14. Keams T, Evans C, Krause V. Outbreak of Acute Post Streptococcal Glomerulonephritis in the Northern Territory - 2000. NT Disease Control Bulletin 2001;8: 6-14. 15. Northern Territroy Centre for Disease Control, Guidelines for Control of acute post-streptococcal glomerulonephritis. 2002, Northern Territory Health Services Darwin. p. 1-19. 16. Peter G,Smith AL. Group A streptococcal infections of the skin and pharynx (second of two parts). N Engl J Med 1977;297: 365-70. 17. Reinstein CR. Epidemic nephritis at Red Lake, Minnesota J Pediatr 1955;47: 2534. 18. Ferrieri P, Dajani AS, Wannamaker LW. Benzathine penicillin in the prophylaxis of streptococcal skin infections: a pilot study. J Pediatr 1973;83: 572-7. 18 19. Johnston F, Carapetis JR, Patel MS, Wallace T, Spillane P. Evaluating the use of penicillin to control outbreaks of acute post streptococcal glomerulonephritis. Paed Infect Dis J 1999;18: 327-32. 20. Gardiner DL,Sriprakash KS. Molecular epidemiology of impetiginous Group A Streptococcal infection in Aboriginal communities in northern Australia J. Clin. Microbiol1996;34: 1448-52. 21. Rammelkamp CH, Jr.,Weaver RS. Acute glomerulonephritis, the significance of the variations in the incidence of the disease. J Clin Invest 1953;32: 345-58. 22. Wannamaker LW. Differences between streptococcal infections of the throat and of the skin. I. N Engl J Med 1970;282: 23-31. 23. McDonald MI, Towers RJ, Andrews R, et al. The dynamic nature of group A streptococcal epidemiology in tropical communities with high rates of rheumatic heart disease. Epidemiology and Infection 2007;136: 529-39. 24. McDonald MI, Towers RJ, Fagan P, Carapetis JR, Currie BJ. Molecular typing of Streptococcus pyogenes from remote Aboriginal communities where rheumatic fever is common and pyoderma is the predominant streptococcal infection. Epidemiol Infect. 2007;135: 1398-405. 25. Andrews R,Keams T, East Arnhem Regional Healthy Skin Project: Final Report. 2007, Menzies School of Health Research: Darwin. 26. Australian Institute of Health and Welfare. Australia's Health 2006. cat no. AUS 73 2006 Available from: http://www .aihw .gov .au/publications/index.cfm/title/ I 0321. Accessed 8 December 2008 27. GIS CA. About ARIA+ (Accessibility/Remoteness Index of Australia). Available 2008 at: http://www. gi sca.adelaide.edu.au/products services/ariav2 about.html. 20 October 2008. 19 Accessed 28. Centres for Disease Control and Prevention, CDC Streptococcus Laboratory. 2008. Available at: http://www.cdc.gov/ncidod/biotech/strep/strepindex.htm. Accessed 3 September 2008 29. Australian Bureau of Statistics. Australia's Population. 2009 http://www.abs.gov .au/websitedbs/D331 0 114.nsf/home/Home. Available at: Accessed 30 August 2009 30. Lennon D, Martin D, Wong E, Taylor LR. Longitudinal study of poststreptococcal disease in Auckland; rheumatic fever, glomerulonephritis, epidemiology and M typing 1981-86. N Z Med J 1988;101: 396-8. 31. Carapetis JR, Wolff DR, Currie BJ. Acute rheumatic fever and rheumatic heart disease in the Top End of Australia's Northern Territory. Med J Aust 1996;164: 146-9. 32. Holm SE, Nordstrand A, Stevens DL, Norgren M, Acute Postreptococcal Glomerulonephritis, in Streptococcal Infections: Clinical Aspects, Microbiology and Molecular Patheogenesis, D.L. Stevens and E.L. Kaplan, Editors. 2000, Oxford University Press: New York. p. 152-62. 33. White AV, Hoy WE, McCred DA. Childhood post-streptococcal glomerulonephritis as a risk factor for chronic renal disease in later life. MJ A 2001;174: 492-6. 34. Carapetis JR, Connors C, Yarmirr D, Krause V, Currie BJ. Success of a scabies control program in an Australian aboriginal community. Pediatr Infect Dis J 1997;16: 494-9. 35. McDonald MI, Towers RJ, Andrews RM, Benger N, Currie BJ, Carapetis JR. Low rates of streptococcal pharyngitis and high rates of pyoderma in Australian aboriginal communities where acute rheumatic fever is hyperendemic. Clin Infect Dis 2006;43: 683-9. 20 36. McDonald MI, The Epidemiology of pyoderma and pharyngitis in Aboriginal Communities with a high prevalance of rheumatic heart disease, in Department of Paediatrics. 2006, University of Melbourne: Parkville. 37. McDonald M, Brown A, Edwards T, et al. Apparent contrasting rates of pharyngitis and pyoderma in regions where rheumatic heart disease is highly prevalent Heart Lung Circ. 2007;16: 254-9. 38. Reid HF, Bassett DC, Gaworzewska E, Colman G, Poon-King T. Streptococcal serotypes newly associated with epidemic post-streptococcal acute glomerulonephritis. J Med Microbiol1990;32: 111-4. 39. Potter EV, Svartman M, Mohammed I, Cox R, Poon-King T, Earle DP. Tropical acute rheumatic fever and associated streptococcal infections compared with concurrent acute glomerulonephritis. J Pediatr 1978;92: 325-33. 40. Tewodros W,Kronvall G. M Protein Gene (emm Type) Analysis of Group A BetaHemolytic Streptococci from Ethiopia Reveals Unique Patterns. Journal of Clinical Microbiology 2005;43: 4369-76. 41. Martin DR, Meekin GE, Finch LA. Streptococci--are they different in New Zealand? N Z Med J 1983;96: 298-301. 42. Anthony B, Kaplan E, Chapman S, Quie P, Wannamaker L. Epidemic acute nephritis with reappearance oftype 49 streptococcus. Lancet 1967;2: 787-90. 43. Majeed HA, Yousof AM, Rotta J, Havlickpva H, Bahar G, Bahbahani K. Group A streptococcal strains in Kuwait: a nine-year prospective study of prevalence and associations. Pediatr Infect Dis J 1992; 11: 295-300; discussion -3. 44. Potter EV, Ortiz JS, Sharrett AR, et al. Changing types of nephritogenic streptococci in Trinidad J Clin Invest 1971;50: 1197-205. 21 45. Bailie RS, Stevens M, McDonald E, et al. Skin infection, housing and social circumstances in children living in remote Indigenous communities:testing and methodological approaches. BMC Public Health 2005;5: 128. 46. Gracey M, Williams P, Houston S. Environmental health conditions in remote and rural aboriginal communities in western Australia Aust N Z J Public Health 1997;21: 511-8. 47. Currie BJ,Carapetis JR. Skin infections and infestations in Aboriginal communities in northern Australia Australas J Dermatol2000;41: 139-43. 48. Ferrieri P, Dajani AS, Wannamaker LW. A controlled study of penicillin prophylaxis against streptococcal impetigo. J Infect Dis 1974; 129: 429-38. 22 TABLES Table 1: Demographic characteristics of the study population Characteristic Confirmed (n=415) (%) Probable (n=23) Total(%) (%) 7 (0-54) 5 (1-11) 7 (0-54) Male 206 (49.6) 17 (73.9) 226 (51.6) Female 209 (50.4) 6 (24.1) 215 (48.4) Indigenous 392 (94.5) 23 (100) 415 ( 94.7) Non-Indigenous 16 (3.9) 0 16 (3.7) Unknown 7 (1.7) 0 7 (1.6) 405 (97.6) 23 (100) 428 (97.7) Median Age (range) Sex Indigenous Status Living Remote Location 23 Table 2: Incidence Rates of APSGN in Northern Territory, Australia Age Total population All ages Population Number of Annual Estimates confirmed Incidence per (2007)* Cases notified 100,000 1992-2007 persons 383 12.5 214,929 95%CI (11.3- 13.8) 0-14 years 51,765 331 41.4 (37.046.1) Aboriginal or All ages 360 65,159 39.7 (35.744.0) Torres Strait Islander 0-14 years 22,540 314 94.3 (84.2105.3) Non-Indigenous 0-14 years 29,225 17 2.3 (1.24.2) * population estimates from Department of Health Gains Planning 24 Table 3: emmST of APSGN isolates emm Sequence Type number (emmST) (peremmST) 1995 emml9.7 1 2000 emm3.22 3 emm49.3, emm70, 1 Year Outbreak emm85, emm86 Sporadic 2005 emm55 4 1991 emm57.2 3 emm91 1 emm55, emm98.1, 1 1992 emm68.2 1995 emml.O 1 2001 emml05 1 25 FIGURES Figure 1. Age Distribution of Cases of APSGN 60 , - - - - - - - - - · - - - - - - - - - - · - - - - · - · - - - - - - - - · · - - - - - · - 50 IX) 0 0 C\1I ....en 40 en ,.. 1/) Q) 1/) 30 as u z Cl 20 en D. c( 10 o 1 2 3 4 s 6 1 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 11 18 19 20- 26- 30- 35- 40- 45- so24 29 34 39 44 49 54 age (years) I• Aboriginal 1111 Non-Indigenous lSI Torres-Strait Islanders El Unknown I 26 Figure 2. Local community incidence of APSGN in Children Aged 0-14 years. (Incidence per 100,000 person years) Incidence < 1.000 • 1 - 25 • 25- 50 • 50 - 100 • 100 - 200 • 200 - 400 • 400 - 600 • 600 - 1000 !?"· • • • 27 Figure 3: Annual Incidence of APSGN in the NT 160 ·---···--·"·--·-·..- - -..- · · · · - · - - · · - · - · - - - · - · - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 140 ! 120 ~ 100 ~ 80 l § - A g e 0-14 years · · • ··Age >14 years L 1 40 year 28 Figure 4. Notifications per Month in the Top End and Central Australian regions 80 70 60 "' Q) "'~50 z(.!) - - - - - - - - - - - - (/) ~ 40 ~E 30 f-- 20 f-- ~- •Top End ~Central Australia --- - - - - - - - :I z 10 0 - - - - - - - ~ ~ Jan Feb March April ~ May -- ~- June July Month 29 Aug Sept - -~ Oct ·- Nov I ~ Dec APPENDIX 1 -LITERATURE REVIEW Acute post-streptococcal glomerulonephritis (APSGN) is an inflammatory condition of the renal glomerulus that usually follows infection with group A streptococcus (GAS; streptococcus pyogenes), although can also be associated with infection with Group C and G Streptococcus. Al.l Historical Perspective The observation that kidney disease sometimes followed scarlet fever was initially made in 1836 by Richard Bright. In 1907 Schick showed that an asymptomatic interval of 12 days7 weeks preceded the onset of nephritis. [4] In 1953 a causal relationship between GAS type 12 and glomerulonephritis was established by Rammelkamp.[21] Subsequent studies performed during an outbreak of GAS pharyngitis in Naval training station in the 1950's found an APSGN attack rate in those infected with type 12 GAS to be 12%.[50]. The cases of nephritis· in this study occurred after a latent period following streptococcal infection ranging from 6-16 days with a mean of approximately 10 days. In this study treatment of the initial infection with penicillin appeared to decrease the incidence of APSGN although the numbers were small. Penicillin treatment instituted later in the course of illness because of the development of suppurative complications did not seem to be effective. APSGN can occur following either infection of the throat or skin. The epidemiological differences in APSGN associated with pharyngitis and pyoderma were summarized in the 1970's by Wannamaker. [22] It was shown APSGN following impetigo tends to occur in younger children, during summer and autumn and has a latent period of around 3 weeks. In contrast pharyngitis associated APSGN more commonly occurs in winter and spring months with a shorter latency of around 10 days. There was also a difference noted in the GAS strains responsible for pharyngitis and impetigo associated APSGN. Strains M1, M4 and M12 were classically associated with pharyngitis whereas M2, M49 and M55 and M57 more likely to be associated with impetigo. In the 1950's, 1960's and 1970's epidemics of APSGN were reported in many parts of world, in particularly the USA, central and South America. Rodriguez-Iturbe and Musser 30 [1] summarize the major reported epidemics of APSGN in the literature.. (see table Al.1 and Al.2). Multiple epidemics were reported to occur in Trindad, Venezuala and in Minnesota in the USA in the Native American population in Red lake. [3, 17, 44, 51-53]. These outbreaks were commonly associated with increases in skin infection. In the 1980's epidemic scabies was found to be associated with further outbreaks of APSGN in Trinidad. [3] In the late 1970's and early 1980's clusters of APSGN were reported in New Zealand, most commonly occurring in children of Maori or Pacific Islander background [30]. Lennon et al [30] reported annual rates of APSGN in Maori children younger than 15 years to be 50.5 cases per 100,000 people, with rates of 46.5 per 100,000 in Pacific Island children. During the 1980's APSGN was also reported commonly in Kuwait. [43] Table Al.l Epidemics of APSGN with more than 100 cases [1] Year Location Population Affected 1951- Bainbridge, Military 1952 Maryland, USA[50] recruits 1964- San Fernando, Trinidad, Rural and 1965 West Indies[51] city 1968 Maracaibo,Venezuela[52] Urban 1967- San Fernando, Trinidad, Rural and 1968 West Indies[44] Urban 1974 Maracaibo, Venezula Urban 1974 Baracoa,Guantanamo,Cuba Rural 1986 1995 San Fernando,Trinidad, West Indies[38] Yerevan, Armenia[54] 1995 San Jose, Costa Rica 1995 Vilnius, Lithuania[55] Nova Serrana, Minas Gerais, Brazil [56] 1998- Lima, Peru[57] 2001 1998 Urban and rural Urban and Rural Urban and Rural Urban and Rural Rural Urban 31 Site of infection Throat No. of Cases 180 Streptococcal Types M12 Skin 760 M55,M49 Throat Skin 384 540 ND M49,M60 Skin Skin and throat Skin 200 295 ND ND 181 Throat 196 M73,M48,M55,PT 5757 ND Skin and throat Skin and throat 103 ND 8.3 ND cases per 100,000 children Unpasteurized 135 S. zooepidermicus milk 186 ND Throat (clusters A1.2. Epidemics of APSGN with less than 100 cases and clusters of cases [1] No. of Cases Rural Site of Infection Throat 22 Streptococcal Type ND Aboriginal Skin 63 M49 Urban Skin 57 M1, M12,M49 Aboriginal Skin 27 M49 Eskimo Children Urban Skin 75 ND Skin and throat Skin 84 ND Clusters (autumn) 12 M49,57,60 Year Location Population 1952 1975-1977 Nova Scotia, Canada[ 58] Red Lake, Minnesota,USA[17] Memphis, Tennesse,USA[59] Red Lake, Minnesota, USA[53] Alaska[60] 1978-1982 Santiago, Chile[4] 1978-1983 New Zealand[61, 62] Las Tunas, Cuba[63] Kuwait[43, 64] 1953 1960 1966 1980 1980-1989 1980-1998 1982-1993 1983 1992 1993 1993 2005 Northern Territory, Australia[ 19] Belgrade, Yugoslavia[65] North Yorkshire, UK [66] Saga, Japan[67] North Queensland, Australia[ 50] Brisbane, Australia[68] Linkoping, Sweden[69] Urban and Rural Rural Urban and Rural Rural Military academy Rural Rural Aboriginal Rural Rural Skin Throat and Skin Skin and throat Throat 234 cases in 9 M12,M 18,M49 years ND Clusters Clusters of 6 to 24 Unpasteurized Clusters milk Throat 42 Skin 58 Unpasteurized Clusters milk Cluster Throat 32 M49, M12 ND S.zooepidemicus M1 ND S.zooepidemicus S.pyogene S. Constellatus A1.2 Current Epidemiology and Global Burden of APSGN Currently worldwide there is estimated to be over 470,000 cases of APSGN annually with approximately 5000 deaths and 97% of these cases occur in less developed countries. [9] Carapetis et al [9] calculated a median incidence of disease in children from less developed countries of 24.3 cases per 100,000 person-years, using 11 population studies reporting the incidence of APSGN. In people older than 15 yrs in the same countries they calculated an incidence of two cases per 100,000. This figure was calculated using only data from Kuwait. Using data from an Italian biopsy study it was estimated the incidence in adults in more developed countries to be low at around 0.3 cases per 100 000. Rodriguez-lturbe and Musser [1] used a different approach to calculate the global burden of APSGN. They reviewed reports of pediatric acute renal failure from underdeveloped countries. Using the assumption that cases presenting with severe acute renal failure represent less than 1% of total cases they estimated for every case of severe APSGN there would be between 100 to 300 uncomplicated cases in the community. They reviewed studies from India, Morocco, Thailand and Nigeria and estimated the overall annual incidence of APSGN outside the industralised world to be 9.5 to 28.5 cases per 100,000 persons of all ages. The epidemiology of APSGN has changed over the past 30 years in most of the industralised world. A French study found that it had virtually disappeared over this time.[70] In the Italian biopsy registry, the incidence in children younger than 15 years fell from 2.6% to 3.7% of all primary glomerulopathies in the period 1987-1992, to only nine cases in the period 1992-1994. [8] The case series of adults with infectious glomerulonephritis by Monsteny et al[71] demonstrates a changing trends. Their patients were mostly in the fourth decade and often had a background of alcoholism, diabetes, drug addiction or cytostatic therapy. The reported glomerulonephritis following infection not only with group A streptococcus but also with other strains of streptococci, staphylococci, and gram negative bacteria such as E.coli and pseudomonas. Of note this study did not include children, the population in which classical APSGN is seen. Many other parts of the world have also recorded a decline in the incidence of APSGN over the past 20 years. There has been a reduction in the incidence of APSGN noted in 33 China and Singapore.[6, 7]. The authors of the Singaporean study proposed that this may be due to improvements in the socioeconomic status, health care system and urbanization of the country.[6] In South and Central America, where APSGN was previously common, there has been a decrease in the yearly number of cases [1]. Berrios et al[4] report the experience with APSGN of one health service in Santiago over 20 years from 1980-1999. They reported an outbreak of APSGN during the mid-1980's that coincided with an outbreak of scabies and an increased incidence of APSGN resulting from skin infections. However during the 1990's there was a steady decline in the number of APSGN cases and in 1999, the last year of the study they had none. A similar story has been seen in the USA. llyas and Tolaymat [5] compared a recent cohort of patients presenting to a Florida hospital with APSGN between 1999-2006 with an earlier cohort admitted between 1957-1973. There was a decrease in the incidence of APSGN in Florida over this period. This was largely due to a significant decrease in the incidence of APSGN following impetigo whilst there was no significant change in the incidence of APSGN following pharyngitis. In the earlier cohort impetigo was the primary cause in 66% compare with the recent cohort in which pharyngitis was the leading cause in 64%. Corresponding to this was a change in the seasonal variation. In the recent cohort approximately 11% of cases occurred between August and October as compared to 50% in the earlier cohort. There was also a statistically significant change in the racial distribution of disease. The recent cohort comprised 62% white children, 27% black children and 11% children from other groups. The earlier cohort comprised 16% white children, 83% black children and 1% children from other racial groups. The authors of this study suggest one reason for the changing paradigm of APSGN from impetigo related to pharyngitis related may be the shift of pathogen responsible for impetigo. Some studies have now suggested that Staphylococcus aureus, rather than Streptococcus pyogenes is the predominant organism responsible for impetigo and this does not lead to APSGN. [72-74] 34 A1.3 History of APSGN in the Northern Territory and Australia In the Northern Territory (NT) there are sporadic cases of APSGN yearly with outbreaks occurring approximately every 5-7 years [13-15, 75, 76] This is a similar pattern as was reported in Trinidad-Tobago during the 1960's and 1970's. [3, 38] Outbreaks of APSGN in NT are usually associated with skin infection and often with scabies infection. [14, 76] An outbreak of APSGN was reported in the NT in 1980.[12] This included 20 patients that were admitted to hospital and 78 possible cases reviewed in the community who were suspected to have disease by local health workers. Of the 78 patients reviewed in the community it is unclear how many actually had APSGN given only 33.3% had a reduced C3 level compared with 95% of those admitted to hospital. A reduced C3 level is normally seen in greater than 90% of cases of APSGN.[32] In this outbreak a nephritogenic strain of T8/25/Impl9- M55 of beta-haemolytic streptococcus was isolated in 8 outpatients but none of the inpatients. It is unclear whether the 8 cases were confirmed to be APSGN. Evans describes the history of APSGN outbreaks in the NT between 1980-2000, during which period there were outbreaks in 1980, 1983/1984, 1987, 1993, 1994, 1995 and in 2000.[13] In the majority of these outbreaks more than one community was involved and it was postulated by Evans that there was likely to have been travel links to facilitate spread of the streptococcal strains responsible for the disease. [13] There was also a more recent outbreak of APSGN in 2005 reported in the NT. [76] Outbreaks of APSGN have also been reported in Aboriginal communities in other parts of Australia[ll, 77] In the southern temperate regions of Australia the disease continues to occur sporadically but more commonly in association with pharyngitis.[lO] In 1991 an electronic disease notification database was established in the NT to record information about recorded cases and outbreaks of disease. Although many industrialized countries have noted a decline in APSGN in past 20 years, there does not appear to have been a similar trend in Northern Australia. Although the epidemiology APSGN in the NT has been documented in local publications it has not been more widely reported in the mainstream literature. The patterns of disease in the Indigenous Australian population appear to continue to follow patterns seen in poorer 35 developing countries rather than patterns seen in the Southern population in Australia and other parts of the developing world. A1.4 Clinical Disease and Definitions APSGN predominantly occurs in children under the age of 14 years although only infrequently in children under the age of 2. [13, 78] It is much less common in adults [9]. APSGN usually becomes clinically evident 1-3 weeks following GAS pharyngitis or 3-6 weeks following GAS pyoderma. [22, 79] Clinically APSGN is characterized by features of nephritic syndrome which are edema, hypertension and dark urine resulting from hematuria. APSGN is associated with complement activation and a reduced C3 level is seen almost universally. [80]. Levels usually return to normal within 6 weeks of acute onset of disease. [81] Prior streptococcal infection can be demonstrated either with a positive culture or with demonstration of anti- streptolysin 0 or anti-DNAase B antibodies. Individuals with skin infection may not develop anti-streptolysin 0 antibodies as streptolysin binds to lipids in the skin.[32] Table A1.3 represents the current diagnostic criteria used in the Northern Territory. Prior to 2005 patients found on screening to have hematuria plus evidence of reduced C3 and streptococcal infections but no clinical symptoms were said to have sub-clinical disease. [15] Following the revision of the definitions in 2005 these patients are now referred to as having probable disease [76] Complications reported to occur with APSGN include acute pulmonary edema, and reversible posterior leukoencephalopathy syndrome that can be caused hypertension or an associated cerebral vasculitis. [82-87] In one case report a patient who presented with pulmonary edema had a normal urinalysis but APSGN was subsequently confirmed on renal biopsy[83] Sub-clinical disease has been found to occur in a proportion of people following streptococcal infections who are asymptomatic. This diagnosis is based on the presence of hematuria and a fall in serum complement 2-4 weeks after streptococcal infection, occasionally associated with hypertension. Studies looking at sub-clinical APSGN have found the ratio of sub-clinical to clinical disease to vary from 0.03 to 19.0.[88] Yosizhawa et al[89] followed 12 patients with sub-clinical APSGN. Initial renal biopsies had changes ranging from mild proliferative changes to classical pathology seen in APSGN. The 36 patients were followed for 10 years and two developed persistent/intermittent hematuria and repeat biopsies at 4 years showed evidence of mesangial proliferative GN. Table A1.3 Definition of APSGN in the NT [76] Confirmed case • Laboratory definitive evidence OR • Laboratory suggestive evidence AND clinical evidence. Probable case • A probable case requires laboratory suggestive evidence only. Possible case • A possible case requires clinical evidence only. (not notified Laboratory definitive evidence • Positive renal biopsy. Laboratory suggestive evidence • Glomerular haematuria on microscopy (RBC >10/fll) AND • Evidence of recent streptococcal infection (positive Gp A Streptococcal culture from skin or throat, elevated ASO titre or AntiDNAase B) AND • Reduced C3 level. Clinical evidence • At least 2 of the following: Facial oedema, >=2+ dipstick haematuria, Hypertension, peripheral oedema. Notes: 1. A "possible case" is the same as a "clinical case" in the NT "Guidelines for the Control of APSGN". The guideline suggests that a community outbreak is defined as 2 unrelated clinical cases in one week (or 3 in a month). Hence it is important to receive notification of, record and respond to, "possible cases" but these should not be notified to NTNDS (unless confirmed by laboratory evidence). 2. If microscopy is not available then >=2+ dipstick haematuria fulfils this criteria. 3. If all other criteria have been fulfilled but the only evidence of recent streptococcal infection is isolation of Group C or Group G Streptococci from skin or throat, this could be notified as a confirmed case after discussion with CDC or an infectious disease physician. 37 Al.S Prognosis of APSGN There is no specific treatment for cases of APSGN and management involves supportive care and treatment of complications. The short term prognosis for children with APSGN is good with a mortality of less than 0.5% and fewer than 2% progress to end-stage renal failure.[32]. The prognosis in adults is more variable, especially in some studies from less developed countries. One study from India reported death due to progression to endstage renal failure to occur in 24% of adults between 2 weeks and 2 years[90] . The reason for this poor outcome was unclear. In contrast Washio et [91] reported a series of 31 adults with histologically and immunologically proven APSGN. On admission 57.1% of patients older than 55 years had impaired creatinine compared with none of the patients aged 20-55 years. However in this small series none of the patients had died or developed persistent renal failure. International studies suggest that the long term outcomes following an episode of APSGN are generally good, particularly in children. A study following patients with APSGN in Trinidad for 12-17 years found only 3.5% had persistent urinary abnormalities which was a rate no higher than similar people without prior APSGN.[92] Follow-up data from an outbreak in Maracaibo, Venezuala found at 5-6 years after the outbreak 13.3% of people had either reduced creatinine clearance, microscopic hematuria, proteinuria or hypertension.[52] The rates were higher in adults. At follow-up at 11 year 12.6% of people had reduced creatinine clearance and 11.2% had significant proteinuria.[93] These studies had relatively high rates of loss to follow-up and no control groups. Lien et al[94] followed 57 patients with APSGN, the majority adults, for up to 14 years. At five years 5 had died, but only 2 of these with abnormal renal function. 11 (19%) had either proteinuria, haematuria or abnormal renal function at follow-up. However, 3 of these patients had repeat renal biopsy that was normal. In 5 there was incomplete resolution of biopsy changes and obsolescent glomeruli was seen in one. Two patients were not biopsied. This study concluded that the majority of patients with acute APSGN have a good prognosis. Despite the majority of patients recovering well from APSGN later progression to chronic renal failure can occur. Schacht et al [95] report 6 patients from a cohort of 126 patients 38 with confirmed APSGN who had normalization of renal function within one year but subsequent development of chronic renal failure. In each of these patients clinical remission and resolution of proliferation in glomeruli occurred prior to the development of progressive renal failure and increasing glomerular sclerosis over a period of 2-15 years. Five cases had persistent proteinuria from onset and in the other case it reappeared in the 8th year after an interval of 5 years. Hypertension persisted from onset in 3 cases and reappeared in the other 3 cases after 18mths, 4 and 5 years. It is not clear in these cases whether progression of disease may be due to progressive renal failure due to nephrosclerosis associated with poorly-controlled hypertension or progressive glomerular scarring.[32] Roderiguez-Iturbe and Musser pooled data from published series prior to 2000, which included almost 1000 cases followed up for between 5 and 18 years.[l] They concluded that at follow-up any abnormality was detected in 17.4%, proteinuria in 13.8%, hypertension in 13.8% and azotemia in 1.3%. When looking at these figures it is important to consider that they are including studies with different methods, populations and endpoints. Follow-up studies of an outbreak of APSGN in adults in Brazil caused by streptococcus zooepidmicus associated with consumption of unpasteurized cheese consumption reported less favourable outcomes.[96] Of 134 confirmed cases reviewed from one hospital 10 patients required dialysis during the acute illness and three of these patients died within 1 month of disease. Three patients recovered renal function and discontinued dialysis therapy between 2 and 10 weeks but four patients remained on chronic dialysis therapy. An additional patient started dialysis for chronic renal failure 8 months after the onset of disease. A total of 69 patients were followed up a mean of 2 years following onset of disease. The mean age of these patients was 39 years and 94% older than 15. At follow-up 42% were hypertensive and 29% on anti-hypertensive agents (compared with 14% at admission). Serum Creatinine was abnormal in 12% but creatinine clearance was reduced below 80ml/minl1.73 m2 in 30% of patients. Increased microalbuminuria was detected in 34% of patients. Patients with increased microalbuminuria had a higher mean systolic and diastolic blood pressure. Patients with a reduced creatinine clearance were older (45 years versus 36 39 years, p= 0.05) and had more frequently undergone dialysis. It was noted that the age distribution of patients with APSGN caused by this organism appears different than GAS which classically affects children. It was felt by the authors that different patterns of cheese consumption did not account for the greater attack rates seen among adults. In the Indigenous Australian population the long term outcomes of APSGN is less clear. The recent study by White et al assessing the long term outcomes of APSGN in Indigenous Australians found that APSGN in childhood was risk factor for albuminuria later in life. [33] This retrospective cohort study included 473 people from one remote Aboriginal community that experienced two epidemics of APSGN in 1980 and 1987. Follow-up data after a mean of 14.6 years was obtained from population health screening performed in the community between 1992 and 1999. The study showed that 13% of people with previous APSGN compared with 4% of controls had evidence of macro-albuminuria (ACR ~ 34 mg/mmol) on follow-up screening with an odds ratio adjusted for age and sex of 6.1 (95% CI 2.2-16.9). 32% of APSGN cases versus 18% of controls had micro-albuminuria(~ 3.4 mg/mmol.) with an adjusted odds ratio of 3.2(95% CI 1.7-6.2) and 21% versus 7% had hematuria> trace with an adjusted odds ratio of 3.7 (95% CI 1.8-8.0). Overall 30% had either hematuria greater than a trace or macro-albuminuria compared with 11% of controls (adjusted odds ratio 4.6 (95% CI 2.3-9.0). This study is the only reported APSGN followup study to include a control group. A study by Hoy et al [97] looking at renal disease in an Aboriginal Community also found a strong association between the a raised albumin-creatinine ratio and a history of APSGN. Albuminuria is thought to be a marker of early chronic kidney disease in this population and its progression predicts renal failure. In one cohort study the presence of albuminuria was a predictor of mortality and cardiovascular disease, including in a the non-diabetic cohort.[98] The study by White et al [33] was not long enough to show progression to chronic renal failure as albuminuria usually precedes clinical signs of chronic renal disease. It is therefore possible that albuminuria may not have such adverse prognostic significance after APSGN as in other circumstances. It is also possible that APSGN may only increase the risk of chronic renal disease in combination with other insults such as diabetes. [33] 40 In summary the long term significance of APSGN in the Indigenous Australian population remains uncertain although the evidence suggests that it may contribute to the high rates of chronic renal failure that are seen in this population. Further studies are needed in this population to clarify this relationship. A1.6 Streptococcus pyogenes and Molecular Epidemiology GAS isolates were first characterized by serotyping based on antigenic differences of the M-protein molecule. M-proteins are dimeric, surface bound, a.-helical coiled molecules which traverse and penetrate the cell wall and are a major somatic virulence factor of GAS, exerting an anti-phagocytic effect.[99, 100] It was identified in the 1960's that only certain M-types were associated with APSGN and that these were different from strains causing rheumatic fever. [101] A problem with the originally used M protein serotyping is that many strains responsible for disease in Northern Australia and other parts of the world are non-typeable.[20] More recently isolates have been classified by genotype on the basis of nucleotide differences in the emm gene which encodes the variable amino-terminus of theM protein.[99] M serotypes and emm sequence types (emmST) have been shown to correlate and are referred to interchangeably.[102] There are now greater than 150 emmST identified. GAS strains can be further classified into two classes on the basis of different antigenic groups of M associated Protein (MAP) that matches skin and throat tropic strains.[l03]. It was further ascertained that the skin tropic strain, MAP-II, possesses a cell surface protein (Lipoproteinase) which causes opacity in horse serum (serum opacity factor-SOF). [104] Since the 1950's when Rammelkamp described the association of M type 12 and nephritis it has been recognized that certain M types are associated with nephritis, and these are generally different from serotypes that cause acute rheumatic fever.[21] It was subsequently ascertained that some GAS strains such as Ml, M4 and M12 tend to be associated with APSGN following pharyngitis whereas other strains such as M2, M49, M55 and M57 are associated with skin infection.[22] Numerous GAS strains have subsequently associated with APSGN and these are summarized in table Al.3. This table includes strains associated with both sporadic and epidemic forms of APSGN. Tables 41 Al.l and A1.2 summarise major reported epidemics of APSGN and the associated types of streptococcus, where this was known. Previous studies looking at molecular epidemiology of GAS in Aboriginal communities of the Northern Territory show there are a wide diversity of emmST present and that GAS carriage is dynamic with high acquisition rates within households.[23, 24, 105] Interestingly, during the studies by McDonald et al [23, 24] two communities studied had outbreaks of GAS infection and colonization with emm55 (pattern type A-C) which correlated with outbreaks of APSGN within the communities. M-serotype 55 has previously been associated with outbreaks of APSGN in the Northern Territory, Trinidad and elsewhere.[39] [14] A previous outbreak of APSGN in the Northern Territory in 2000 was associated with M-serotype 3.[14] 42 Table A1.4 Streptococcal Serotypes previously associated with APSGN M Serotype M1 M2 M4 M6 M8 Mil Ml2 M14 Ml5 M18 M22 M25 M28 M41 M48 M49 M52 M53 M55 M57 M59 M60 M73 M74 M81 M89 M95 st206 st212 st221 st3757 st62 st6737 stg653 stL1376 Reported association with APSGN New Zealand(T) [30, 62], Chile (T)* [4, 106], Trinidad* [39], Kuwait *[43], Ethiopia(S emml.2) [40] New Zealand (T) [62], Kuwait[43], Chile(T) [4] New Zealand (T) [62] Kuwait-[43], Chile (T/S) [4, 106], Trinidad [39] Chile (T) [4], Trinidad [39] Trinidad [39] Trinidad [39] Kuwait *[43], Maryland USA[50] Kuwait[43] Kuwait[43], Trinidad [39] Kuwait *[43], Ethiopia(S) [40] New Zealand (T) [62] Kuwait [43], Ethiopia [40] Kuwait [43] New Zealand (S) [62], Trinidad [39] Trinidad [38] New Zealand (SIT)* [30, 62] , Chile [106] Kuwait *[43] Minnesota USA [42] New Zealand(S) [62] New Zealand (S) [62], Trinidad [39] Trinidad* [38, 39] Ethiopia (S) [40], Northern Territory_[12] New Zealand (S) *[30, 62] Chile [106] New Zealand (S/T)[62], Trinidad * [39], Chile [106] New Zealand (S)[62], Trinidad [38] Chile* [106], Ethiopia [40] Kuwait* [43] Ethiopia (emm89.8) [40] Ethiopia (emm95) [40] Ethiopia [40] Ethiopia [40] Ethiopia [40] Ethiopia [40] Ethiopia [40] Ethiopia [40] Ethiopia [40] Ethiopia [40] * reported as sigmficant association/associated with outbreak 43 A1.7 Pathogenesis and Proposed Nephritogenic Antigens APSGN classically follows infection with groups A streptococcus (streptococcus pyogenes) but has also been reported in association with infection with group C and G streptococcus, particularly Streptococcus zooepidemicus which has been associated with a number of food borne outbreaks.[96, 107] The pathogenesis of APSGN is complex and not completely understood. Mechanisms involving both the humoral and cellular immune system have been proposed. There are theories that suggest a role of the humoral immune system by formation and deposition of nephritogenic streptococcal immune complexes. It has also been proposed that delayedtype hypersensitivity may contribute to the pathogenesis. [108] Despite early evidence that M protein and fibrinogen could localize in the glomerulus and mild, self-limiting renal lesions were induced by injections of M protein, further evidence has now accumulated against the primary role of the M protein in APSGN patheogenesis.[109] It is uncommon to have a recurrence of APSGN suggesting a specifc antigen(s) that causes lasting immunity whereas many putative nephritogenic M-protein types do not confer lifetime immunity.[l09] More recently it has been shown that other streptococci, such as S. zooepidemicus (Group C) which lack M protein have been shown to cause outbreaks of APSGN. The specific streptococcal antigen responsible for APSGN remains unknown although there are currently two antigens currently being investigated. These are streptococcal pyrogenic exotoxin B (SPEB) which is a cationic cysteine proteinase which is formed by proteolysis of a zymogen precursor (zSPEP).[1]. The other antigen is nephritis-associated plasmin-receptor (NAPlr) which is a glycolytic enzyme with glyceraldehyde-3-phosphate dehydrogenase activity.[l 09) It has been shown that high antibody titres to NAPlr are found in 92% of APSGN patients and 60% of uncomplicated streptococcal infections in Japanese patients.[110, 111]. In addition renal NAPlr deposits have been found in all renal biopsies of APSGN patients taken within the first 14 days of disease. [111, 112] Of note the distribution of renal deposits NAPlr did not coincide with the distribution of IgG deposits or complement.[112] 44 It has been proposed that the mechanism of nephritogenicity relates to the plasmin binding capacity. The activated plasmin bound to NAPlr associates with the glomerular basement membrane and mesangium and causes tissue destruction by indirect activation of procollagenases and other matrix metalo-proteinases. NAPlr also activates alternative complement activation which leads to accumulation of inflammatory cells. The damaged basement membrane subsequently allows in-situ formed and circulating immune complexes to enter and accumulate as humps in the sub-epithelial space. (see fig Al.1) [I 08] It has recently been demonstrated that the in vitro expression of NAPlr is not limited to streptococcal strains responsible for APSGN but also from other streptococci from groups A, C and G. SPEB is a cationic cysteine proteinase that belongs to a group of exotoxins produced by pyogenic bacteria. It is present in all S.pyogenes and is the predominant extracellular protein, accounting for more than 90% of the total secreted protein. It is a plasmin binding receptor protein.[l09] It has been shown that SPEB/zSPEP can be seen in the renal biopsies of many patients with APSGN.[l13-115]. SPEB does co-localize with complement deposits and within sub-epithelial electron dense deposits (humps) that are typical of APSGN. This may be facilitated by the cationic, antigenic charge of SPEB as postulated by Vogt et al.[116] Serological studies by Parra et al[l14] is South America with 153 APSGN patients, 23 patients with uncomplicated streptococcal infection and 93 controls and found that anti-zSPEB titres of 1:800-1:3200 had a likelihood ratio (sensitivity/1-specificity) for detection of streptococcal infection with glomerulonephritis of 2.0-44.2. Batsford et al [115]investigated the presence of both NAPlr and SPEB deposits on renal biopsies and antibody titres in a series of patients from Venzuela, Chile and Switzerland. They found SPEB deposits in 12 of 17 biopsies but NAPlr definitely in only one biopsy. Serum antibodies to SPEB were found in 53 of 53 serum samples and antibodies to NAPlr in only 5 of 47 serum samples. It was suggested by the authors that the differences noted in this study compared with the finding of Yozhizawa et al[l10] regarding antibody response deposition of NAPlr may be a difference in host factors, given the previous studies of NAPlr were done in a relatively homogenous Japanese population. 45 Recently, studies looking at molecular genomics have been shedding new light on the patheogenesis dilemmas. Beres et aJ [I 17] have sequenced the genome of a number of GAS including a nephritogenic and non-nephritogenic M 12 strain. They found a large segment of DNA that was Jacking in the non-nephritogenic strain. This codes a predicted cell surface protein that is being investigated further. The genome of strain of S. zooepidemicus responsible for a large outbreak of APSGN in Brazil has also been sequenced.[118] Of note this strain was missing a large block of DNA encoding SPEB, which is present in all GAS. This suggests that if SPEB has a role in the pathogenesis of APSGN, it can not be the sole causative molecule. Understanding the pathogenesis of this condition is important for developing future therapeutics and preventative strategies. Given immunity appears to develop to APSGN the identification of the nephritogenic antigen may lead to a potential vaccine target. The collation of an APSGN database and collection of isolates from confirmed cases will provide a set of isolates on which further molecular analysis can be performed in further attempts to clarify pathogenesis of this condition. Figure Al.l. Pathogenesis of APSGN[109] Nephritogenic Streptococcus Nephritogenic streptococcus zSPEB/SPEB GAPDHf NAPlr) 1 Anti-zSPEB/SPEB antibodies Mesangial and GBM Binding 1 1 Plasmin entrapment and sustained activity (SPEB-antiSPEB) zSPEB, SPEB Inflammatory reactivity (PMN, Mo) and Degradation of GBM anti-SPEB + Ic penetration through damaged GBM deposition Circulating (SPEB-antiSPEB) And in situ SPEB-antiSPEB formation Immune Complex-Mediated Glomerulonephritis 46 A1.8 Future Therapeutics and Vaccine Development One potential mechanism for control of .APSGN is the development of a vaccine. Immunity to GAS is mediated via antibodies to the M-protein molecule. Antibodies are serotype specific and generally only opsonise the homologous GAS isolate. There is considerable genetic diversity within the M-protein molecule with around 180 different known emmSTs. [119] There is clearly considerable diversity in molecular epidemiology of GAS across different geographic locations. Any development of a strain specific vaccine will thus need to consider the local epidemiology of GAS in that region and the strains responsible for APSGN and other complications of streptococcal infection. A1.9 Skin Infection and Scabies in the Northern Territory Streptococcal skin infection, often related to scabies is thought to be a significant factor contributing to incidence of APSGN in the NT. During the APSGN outbreak in 2000, 87% of cases had skin sores and 40% had scabies.[l4] During the outbreak children with skin sores were 5 times more likely to acquire APSGN than those with no sores. An association of outbreaks of APSGN and scabies has also been made in other countries [3, 4]. I The prevalence of skin sores is very high in Aboriginal communities. In some communities it has been found in as many as 70% of children. [34]. Scabies infection is also common and in some communities reported to occur in up to 35% of children[120]. Scabies control programs have been shown to be effective at reducing the incidence of both scabies infection and impetigo. [34, 120] A Health skin program has recently been undertaken in the East Arnhem region of the NT. The program has focused on organized screening and subsequent treatment of skin disease within the participating communities. A formal healthy skin training program was also developed for community workers. Over the three year period that the program ran the prevalence of skin sores fell from 46.1% in the first 18 months to 27.6% in the last 18 months. The overall prevalence of scabies within the community did not change significantly during the study although in the 2-14 years age group there was a significant 47 drop in monthly prevalence of scabies from 3.7% in the first 18 months to 1.5% in the last 18 months.[25] Social and Environmental factors are thought to contribute to the high rates of skin infection in the Northern Territory. It is likely that overcrowding, lack of access to adequate water, heat, humidity, poor education and implementation of personal hygiene are all contributing factors [47]. Munoz et al[121]found an association between poor social and environmental factors in 10 rural communities and higher childhood admission rates. In the communities they surveyed the average number of people per dwelling ranged from 5.5 to 10.1 and in some communities up to 32% of showers and toilets were not in working order. Similarly a study of 155 Aboriginal communities in Western Australia found that ~~~~~~~~m~~oo~~~~~~~~ overcrowding and substandard housing. [46]Studies both in the NT and abroad have demonstrated an association been overcrowding and increases in childhood skin infection. [45, 122]. Taplin et al[123] demonstrated an association between climate and hygiene and prevalence of skin sores. A tropical climate in low lying areas was associated with increased prevalence of skin sores relative to temperate and cooler climates at higher altitude. Within each climate there was also an association between level of hygiene and prevalence of skin sores. It was not clear exactly how the investigators determined the level of hygiene of the participants Al.lO Public Health Management of APSGN in the NT The Northern Territory Centre for Disease Control has developed guidelines for management of APSGN.[15] After individual cases close contacts are screened and children aged 3-15 treated with a dose of benzathine penicillin. Contacts are screened for scabies, skin sores, edema, hypertension and urinalysis performed to assess for hematuria. Further investigations are only performed if there are signs of APSGN.[15] Supporting this practice of screening close contacts are studies demonstrating high rates of both clinical and sub-clinical disease in family contacts, especially siblings. A prospective study by Rodriguez et al [124] of 141 first degree relatives in 22 families demonstrated an 48 attack rate of 37.8% in 77 sibling contacts with an sub-clinical to clinical ratio of 4. A similar study by Tasic and Polenakovic[125]found evidence of glomerulonephritis in 9.4% of 170 sibling contacts. 5.3% of the contacts had sub-clinical disease compared with 4.1% with clinical disease resulting in an sub-clinical to clinical ratio including index cases of 0.11 (9/82). A disadvantage of this study was that family contacts were only screened once within 7 days of admission of the index case. When considering the appropriateness of treatment of contacts with benzathine penicillin it is important to consider the natural history of impetigo and streptococcal carriage amongst families. Ferrieri et al[49] intensely cultured 37 children from 6 families from Red Lake Indian Reserve in USA in 1969 to determine the acquisition and spread of GAS amongst households. They found that streptococci were usually cultured from normal skin prior to the development of skin lesions in 74% of episodes of pyoderma with a mean interval of 10 days. Of children with positive normal skin cultures for GAS, 86% of children with M57 streptococci on normal skin developed pyoderma and between 65-75% of children with other serotypes. Within the families there was spread of GAS stains with a mean interval from index skin acquisition to secondary skin acquisition of 4.8 days with a range of 2-12 days. The interval between index skin infection to last skin infection was 21.0 days with a range of 1-41 days. This suggests that it is possible that close contacts of an APSGN case may be habouring GAS on their skin but have not yet developed infection. In the NT a community outbreak is defined as 2 unrelated cases that meet the clinical definition in one week (laboratory confirmation not required) or 3 clinical cases in one month that are not epidemiologically linked as family, household, close contact. In a community outbreak all children under the age of 15 are screened for signs of APSGN or skin sores and scabies. Any child with skin sores is treated with benzathine penicillin and scabies are treated with permethrin 5%. There are no randomized controlled trials to support the efficacy of intervention with penicillin treatment in the outbreak setting. The aim of contact tracing, community screening and penicillin treatment is to reduce transmission of the nephritogenic streptococcus. Intramuscular benzathine penicillin has been shown to be effective at clearing pharyngeal streptococcal carriage[16] and has been shown to provide prophylaxis against the development of pyoderma. [17, 18]. In the randomized controlled trial of penicillin prophylaxis against impetigo performed by Ferrieri et al[48]intramuscular benzathine penicillin prevented development of impetigo 49 for 3-4 weeks. The isolation of GAS from normal skin was reduced but not completely eradicated. The significance of this in ongoing transmission of GAS is unknown. Johnston et al reviewed different methods of antibiotic administration used to manage outbreaks of APSGN. This included 1) universal administration (Benzathine Penicillin G (BPG) given to all children in the 3-15 age group, all household contacts and children less than 3 years if they had skin sores; (2) targeted (BPG given to children up to 15 years if they had one or more skin sore or were household contacts of cases of APSGN); (3) household (BPG was administered to household contacts up to age 15 years). [19] The authors of this observational study concluded that community wide administration of penicillin is effective at halting continuing transmission of nephritogenic streptococcus and therefore ending outbreaks of APSGN. In this study targeted intervention was difficult to assess as it was used in only one outbreak with apparent success. The advantages of this method are that it is less resource intense and it removes the ethical dilemma of administering painful penicillin injections with potential complications to health children. [19] In addition it is thought that the presence of skin sores is of greater of epidemiological importance in outbreaks of APSGN than colonization of intact skin.[19] This is supported by a report of NT outbreak in 2000 during which 87% of cases had skin sores and children with skin sores were 5 times more at risk of acquiring APSGN than those with no sores (RR 5.74 CI 1.75,18.84). Children with scabies had twice the risk of acquiring APSGN compare with those with no scabies (RR 2.30 CI 1.13,4.68) [14] Prior to 1997 the approach in the NT was universal treatment with penicillin. After revision of the guidelines in 1997 a targeted approach was adopted and this was first implemented in the 2000 outbreak.[14] In one community during this outbreak there was an intervention in February but a further cluster of cases occurring 12 weeks later requiring further intervention. It is not clear whether the same strain was responsible for both clusters. Targeted interventions were carried out in 6 further communities in East Arnhem. Two of these communities performed a second intervention after only one further case because of perceived poor coverage of the first intervention. The targeted approach was further used in the 2005 outbreak in the Top End. [76] During this outbreak in one community the initial intervention failed to control the outbreak and a second wave of cases occurred. During the stage 2 intervention all contacts, regardless of 50 age or skin status were screened and treated with penicillin. The definition of a close contact was also interpreted more broadly; playmates and people other that household members who spent a lot of time and had some physical contact with the case were considered close contacts. Otherwise the second intervention was the same as the first and eventually halted cases. It was postulated that wet and crowded conditions that occurred as a result of a cyclone between the 2 stages of the outbreak may have contributed to crowding, hygiene problems and circulation of the bacteria. In 2005 an outbreak occurred at the Lockhart River community in Far North Queensland and a community intervention with a targeted approach was used. [77] In this outbreak intra-muscular penicillin did not prevent the onset of APSGN in 3 cases, possibly because presentation was too late for prevention of the immune complex process. Two children received penicillin one week prior to onset of APSGN and another child received penicillin 5 weeks prior to onset of illness. A disadvantage of a targeted approach in the management of community outbreaks is that it will not to prevent treated children from developing APSGN if they are in the latent period. There is evidence that treating children at this stage does not alter the course of disease as was found in the Lockhart River Community in Queensland. Treatment of children with skin sores is aimed at preventing further transmission of nephritogenic GAS. However in many cases children with pyoderma will have already transmitted their GAS to household contacts prior to receiving treatment given the mean time from household acquisition of GAS to secondary acquisition is 4.8 days. In addition in the majority of cases of pyoderma the GAS strain is present of a mean of 10 days prior to development of infection. [49] A benefit of a more widespread approach to penicillin treatment is that children who may habour GAS on their intact skin may be prevented from development of skin sores and subsequent APSGN. In summary, the current practices for the public health management of APSGN cases and outbreaks are supported by limited observational studies only. Further assessment of these strategies is required to define the optimal management. 51 APPENDIX 2.0 - ADDITIONAL METHODS A2.1 Data Cleaning and Management Community locations were checked to ensure that all cases occurred within the NT. This was primarily an issue in the Alice Springs district where there are a number of South Australian Communities in close proximity. These cases were included in general epidemiological analysis but not in incidence calculations which were specific for NT. Table A2.1 Cases notified in NT from Communities outside NT:. Number of Cases Year Amata 1 1998 Emabella 4 1998.2005 x2, 2007 Fregon 4 1998, 2005 Mimili 1 2005 Indulkana 3 2005 total 13 Community X X 3 2, 2008 Community locations were also cross-checked against district. In some situations the cases were entered under the district that they were notified in rather than district in which the Community was located. Table A2.2 Cases notified in incorrect Districts Community Number incorrectly Incorrect District Actual District labelled cases Ali Curong 1 Alice Springs Barkly Borroloola 5 Darwin Katherine Galiwinku 1 Darwin EastAmhem Gapiwiyak 1 Darwin EastAmhem Ramininging 1 Darwin EastAmhem Milingimbi 1 Darwin EastAmhem Tennant Creek 4 Alice Springs Barkly 52 A2.2 APSGN Streptococcal Isolate database Since 1990 isolates from supposed cases of APSGN have been collected by Menzies School of Health Research(MSHR) as part of a larger collection of streptococcal isolates. Many of these cases had been labelled as APSGN however clinical details had not been verified. I aimed to verify the existing collection of possible APSGN cases and then crosscheck the NT Centre for disease control database with the MSHR database for further isolates from APSGN cases that had been collected. A Microsoft access database was established that included both demographic, clinical and bacterial isolate characteristics for each cases. The demographic data collected included name, date of birth, hospital record number (HRN), community and indigenous status. Clinical data included the presence of edema, hypertension, skin sores, scabies and whether the case was outbreak or sporadic. Results of urine microscopy, complement levels, ASOT and anti-DNAse level and peak creatinine were also documented. Data about the bacterial isolates included data of collection, site of collection, laboratory identifying number, emmST and MLST if known. Whether the case was confirmed by clinical records, CDC notification or both was recorded. Isolates were included in final analysis either if they had been notified to CDC as a confirmed case or if clinical details could be collected retrospectively. This database of APSGN can be used for future research into molecular characteristics of GAS responsible for APSGN. 53 APPENDIX 3- ADDITIONAL RESULTS Table A3.1 Yearly notifications and Incidence for all Ages This includes only confirmed cases residing within the Northern Territory Notified Confirmed Estimated Annual incidence per Year cases Population 100,000 persons 1992 6 168086 3.6 1993 28 170734 16.4 1994 20 173375 11.5 1995 67 177552 37.7 1996 16 181843 8.8 1997 16 186912 8.6 1998 13 189880 6.8 1999 8 192735 4.2 2000 55 195561 28.1 2001 19 197768 9.6 .2002 6 199411 3.0 2003 4 200046 2.0 2004 14 202063 6.9 2005 80 206373 38.8 2006 12 210627 5.7 2007 20 214929 9.3 Total 383 3067895 12.5 54 Table A3.2 Yearly notifications and Incidence for Ages 0-14 years Year Number of Confirmed Estimated Annual Notified cases aged Population aged 0- incidence per 0-14 years 14 years 100,000 persons 1992 6 46692 12.9 1993 16 47197 33.9 1994 16 47771 33.5 1995 55 48523 113.3 1996 14 49330 28.4 1997 16 50010 32.0 1998 12 50369 23.8 1999 8 50481 15.8 2000 45 50760 88.7 2001 17 51175 33.2 2002 5 51051 9.8 2003 1 51016 2.0 2004 14 51203 27.3 2005 77 51414 149.8 2006 10 51526 19.4 2007 19 51765 36.7 Total 331 800283 41.4 55 Table A3.3 Yearly notifications and Incidence in those ~ 15 years Year Number of Population Aged~ Incidence in confirmed cases Age 15 years Population age . ~ ~15year 15 years 1992 0 121394 0.0 1993 10 123537 8.1 1994 3 125604 2.4 1995 9 129029 7.0 1996 0 132513 0.0 1997 0 136902 0.0 1998 0 139511 0.0 1998 0 142254 0.0 2000 8 144801 5.5 2001 2 146593 1.4 2002 1 148360 0.7 2003 3 149030 2.0 2004 0 150860 0.0 2005 2 154959 1.3 2006 2 159101 1.3 2007 1 163164 0.6 total 41 2267612 1.8 56 Table A3.4 Seasonal Distribution of Cases per District. District Total Dry Season (April- 95%C ( %) September)(%) Wet 95%CI Season (%) P- value (OctoberMarch) (%) Darwin 168 106 (63.1) 55.8 -70.4 62 (36.9) 29.6-44.2 p<O.OOOI East 127 84 (66.1) 57.9-74.3 43 (33.9) 25.6-42.1 p<O.OOOI Katherine 48 32 (66.7) 53.3- 80.0 16 (33.3) 20.0-46.7 p=O.OOI Top End 343 222 (64.7)* 59.7-69.8 121 (35.3) 30.2-40.3 p<O.OOOI Barldy 16 11 46.0- 91.5 5 (31.2) 8.5-54 p=0.034 Alice 79 40 (50.6) 39.6-61.7 39 (49.4) 38.3-60.4 p=0.87 95 51 (53.7)* 43.6-63.7 44 (46.3) 36.3-56.3 p=0.31 438 273 (62.3) 57.8-66.9 165 (37.7) 33.1-42.2 p<O.OOOI Am hem (68.8) Springs Central Australia Total * Difference between Top End and Central Australia significant with p= 0.049 57 Table A3.5 Regional Incidence of APSGN within the NT Darwin 133,938 24,240 (18.1) Darwin Urban I 18,064 13,I86 (Il.2) Confirmed Annual Cases Incidence APSGNper IOO,OOO person 144 7.7 10 0.6 Darwin Rural I5,874 I I,473 (72.3) 134 6I.2 East Arnhem Katherine Barkly Alice Springs 15,911 10,054 (63.2) 18,765 10,061 (53.6) 118 48 6,203 40,112 4,031 (65.0) 14 53.4 17.1 " 16.2 (12.6- 22.7) (8.9- 27.3) 16,048 (40.0) 59 9.8 (7.5- 12.7) 26,875 5684 (2I.I) 20 4.9 (3.0-7.6) 13,237 10670 (80.6) 39 20.0 (14.2-27.3) 214,929 65,159 (30.3) 383 12.5 (113 -13.8) District Population 2007 Indigenous Population (%) Alice Springs Urban Alice Springs Rural Total Population source: Department of Health Gains Planning 58 95%CI (6.5- 9.0) (0.28-I.l)) (5I.3-72.5) (44.2- 64.0) Table A3.6 Outbreak and Sporadic Cases of APSGN in the Top End Outbreak Year Katherine Darwin Sporadic East total Darwin Katherine Arnhem East total Arnhem I99I 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 I992 2 0 0 2 4 0 0 4 I993 0 0 2I 2I 2 4 7 I994 9 2 0 11 5 I 2 8 I995 7 5 2I 33 8 4 8 20 I996 3 0 0 3 3 2 4 9 I997 5 0 0 5 2 0 I998 0 0 2 2 I 0 2 3 I999 2 0 0 2 1 3 1 5 2000 20 0 22 42 0 6 5 11 200I 4 0 0 4 6 3 2 2002 0 0 0 0 2003 0 0 0 0 0 I 1 11 5 2 2004 2 0 2 4 2 3 6 11 2005 38 0 2 40 II 9 I7 37 2006 6 0 0 6 4 0 1 5 2007 0 0 0 0 7 4 2 13 2008 4 4 0 8 5 1 0 8 102 11 70 I83 6I 42 57 162 Total 59 3 3 Table A3.7 Outbreak and Sporadic Cases of APSGN in Alice Springs/Barkly Outbreak SJ!.oradic Alice Springs Barkly Alice Springs District District 1 0 1991 0 0 0 1992 0 0 1993 0 0 1 1994 0 0 5 5 2 1995 4 0 0 1996 7 0 0 1997 11 0 0 1998 0 0 1999 0 2 0 0 2000 4 0 0 2001 0 2002 0 0 2 0 0 2003 2 0 2004 0 21 2 0 2005 0 0 0 2006 9 0 0 2007 6 0 0 2008 4 5 75 Total difference between Alice Springs and Barkly p= 0.007 Year Barkly District 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 1 2 11 Table A3.8 Comparison of Outbreak Vs Sporadic cases Region Outbreak 95%C Sporadic 95%CI Cases(%) (%) Cases(%) (%) Pvalue Darwin 163 102 (62.6) 55.1 -70.0 61 (37 .4) 30.0-44.9 p<0.0001 East Arnhem 127 70 (55.1) 46.5-63.8 57 (44.9) 36.2-53.5 p =0.10 Katherine 53 11 (20.8) 9.8-31.7 42 (79.2) 68.3-90.2 p < 0.0001 Top End 343 183 (53.4) 48.1-58.6 160(46.6) 41.4-51.9 p = 0.10 Barldy 16 5 (31.3) 8.5-54.0 11 (68.8) 46.0-91.5 p = 0.034 Alice Springs 79 4(5.1) 0.2-9.9 75 (94.9) 90.1-99.8% p< 0.0001 Central 95 9 (9.5) 3.6-15.4 86 (90.5) 84.6-96.4 p< 0.0001 438 192 (43.8) 39.2-48.5 246 (56.2) 51.5-60.8 p = 0.0003 Australia total 60 Table A3.9 List of Individual Community Outbreaks. 1992 1993 1993 1993 1993 1994 District Darwin EastAmhem EastAmhem EastAmhem EastAmhem Darwin 1994 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1996 1997 1997 1998 1999 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2001 2004 2004 2005 2005 2005 2005 2005 2005 2005 2006 2008 2008 Katherine Darwin EastAmhem EastAmhem EastAmhem Katherine Barkly Barkly Alice Springs Darwin Darwin Darwin EastAmhem Darwin Darwin Darwin Darwin Darwin Darwin EastAmhem EastAmhem EastAmhem EastAmhem Darwin Darwin EastAmhem Darwin Darwin Darwin Darwin Darwin EastAmhem Alice Springs Darwin Darwin Darwin Year 2008 Katherine Community Oenpilli Galiwinku Gapuwiyak Milingimbi Yirrkala Nguiu Timber Creek(Town) Wadeye Galiwinku Gapuwiyak Yirrkala Ngukurr Ali Curong* Ali Curong* Aputula Nguiu Nguiu Peppimenarti Yirrkala Nguiu Maningrida Minjilang Nguiu* Nguiu* Nguiu* Galiwinku Milingimbi Ramingining Yirrkala Wadeye Maningrida Galiwinku Cobourg Peninsula Maningrida Nguiu* Nguiu* Wadeye Milingimbi Alice Springs Nguiu Maningrida* Maningrida* Borroloola (Communit~) 61 Number of Cases Length (Days) Additional cases within 6mths 2 4 3 12 2 9 3 27 21 19 6 52 0 1 0 0 2 0 2 7 5 12 4 5 2 3 2 3 3 2 2 2 4 3 4 5 4 3 11 3 5 4 2 2 2 9 12 11 4 2 2 6 2 2 1 26 35 60 29 36 0 3 1 5 1 15 28 1 2 3 33 1 23 13 15 9 29 24 57 17 5 7 3 57 56 34 47 3 2 65 5 6 4 19 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 1 0 Figure A3.1 Notifications per Year and District 12 0 I 100 "C ~ 0 80 I- c: Ill Gl Ill Ill 0 I 80 • ...Gl .0 E 40 :I c: 20 ~ n 1991 1992 1993 ~ = g~ 0 I! 2002 2006 - IIIII 1994 • aR~ ~ 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 1.~ - ~ l.r. !;"; 2000 2001 :q 2003 2004 2005 Year ID Alice Springs • Barkly 0 Darwin 0 East Arnhem • Katherine 62 I f.- ~ 2007 2008 Figure A3.2 Regional Incidence in Indigenous Australians Aged 0-14 years Indigenous Australians, 0-14 years i I I I I I I I I I I Darwin Overall Darwin Urban .__, Darwin Remote c 0 I I j l I I East Arnhem ·c, !!! I I i Katherine I Barkly I 1 I I I I I I I I i 0 50 100 Alice Springs Overall Alice Springs Remote Alice Springs Urban I I I I 150 incidence per 100,000 person years 63 I I 200 250 Figure A3.3 Notifications in Top End as Outbreak or Sporadic Top End Cases per Year 45 --- 40 35 ---------- -- ~ - -- 30 m "'~ ·- ·- ·- 25 0 Outbreak Cases • Sporadic Cases ~ ~ 20 t - - :I c: 15 t - 10 5 0 t - - 1--- 1--- ·rrr r 1992 1993 r llrtrl r 1 • r 1996 1997 f.- 1994 1995 1998 1999 2000 year 64 200 1 2002 2003 2004 f.- 2005 I 2006 2007 2008 Figure A3.4 Community location of APSGN cases in outbreak year (2005) Legend Y2005 0 .. [) , • • • 65 • 1 -2 • 3- 5 • 6-9 • 10 -2 3 Figure A3.5 Community locations of cases in non-outbreak year (2004) Legend V2004 • 0 .3 • D .. 66 1 -2 ~ ~· 0 01 Jan 91 01 Jan 92 01 Jan 93 01 Jan 94 ~ Number of cases/2 weeks 5 10 15 20 = ~ > ~ 0., z0 -= 5n ~ c;· til ., .,~ s "'0 ~ 01 Jan 97 0 0\ --.1 DJ CD 0 c.. Qj " (Q :::1 o en u;· 01 Jan 01 01 Jan 07 i - REFERENCES J. 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