Corporate Tax Havens and Shareholder Value
Transcription
Corporate Tax Havens and Shareholder Value
Corporate Tax Havens and Shareholder Value: Evidence from Tax Information Exchange Agreements Morten Bennedsen† Stefan Zeume ‡ INSEAD University of Michigan First Draft: November 18, 2014 Abstract Using a novel hand-collected dataset of 13,639 publicly listed firms from 52 countries and their international subsidiaries, we provide evidence that subsidiaries in tax havens are used for tax saving motives and for entrenchment motives. Consistent with the tax motive, we find that a 1 percentage point reduction in firms’ home-country corporate tax rate is associated with a 1.2% increase in value of firms without tax haven subsidiary while firms with tax haven subsidiaries are unaffected. To provide direct evidence for the entrenchment motive, we exploit the passage of Tax Information Exchange Agreements (TIEAs) between countries and tax havens as a shock to firms’ transparency. The implementation of a TIEA increases average shareholder value by 3.1 percent, a result confirmed in event studies of daily returns around the passage of TIEAs. Even though tax agreements are endorsed by investors, we show that many firms engage in haven hopping: They move subsidiaries from tax havens that entered TIEAs to tax havens that did not. This paper also provides evidence on the use of tax haven subsidiaries by country and firm characteristic: The use of tax haven subsidiaries is more prevalent in countries with high income tax rates, strong minority shareholder protection, low corruption levels, and low perceived tax evasion. At the firm level, the use of tax haven subsidiaries is positively correlated with firm size, effective tax rate, leverage, cash holdings, dividend payout, and intangible assets (R&D, patents, trademarks) and negatively with corporate taxes faced abroad. Keywords: Tax havens, firm value, corporate governance, entrenchment ______________________ Preliminary. Please do not cite. We have benefitted from comments offered by Denis Gromb, Maria Guadalupe, Charlie Hadlock, and Urs Peyer. We thank the participants of brownbag seminars at INSEAD (Economics, Finance) and the University of Michigan (Finance). † André and Rosalie Hoffmann Chaired Professor of Family Enterprise and Professor of Economics, INSEAD, [email protected] ‡ Assistant Professor, Department of Finance, University of Michigan, [email protected] 1 1. Introduction A tax haven is a state or territory where corporate and personal tax rates are so low that foreign companies – or individuals – have incentives to establish shell companies to shield their income from higher tax liabilities at home. In 2007, the OECD estimated that between USD 5 trillion and USD 7 trillion were held offshore. The tax justice network estimates that between USD 21 trillion and USD 32 trillion were held offshore in 2012. The US organization Citizens for Tax Justice estimates that at least 362 out of the top 500 US firms are active in tax havens and that the thirty US companies with most offshore investment collectively book USD 1.2 trillion in tax havens. In early 2014, the press uncovered prominent tax schemes involving companies such as Apple and Starbucks. In November 2014, the Luxembourg Tax Leak brought to light that more than 374 large international companies had made private arrangements with the Luxembourgish tax authority to pay less than 1% in tax – the official Luxembourgish corporate tax rate is 29%. While this will likely become a major policy issue in the European Union in the coming years, the US has shown a strong interest in regulating the use of offshore tax havens ever since first signing tax information exchange agreements with tax havens more than 15 years ago.1 Given the large amount of tax shielding that takes place in international corporations and the enormous attention this topic has received in policy and media spheres, it is surprising how little is known about types of firms that use tax haven subsidiaries and their underlying motives. This paper fills this gap by providing evidence from a novel dataset covering 13,639 publicly listed firms from 52 countries and their circa 164,000 domestic and foreign subsidiaries. The most obvious and cited motive for establishing subsidiaries in tax havens is to minimize overall tax payments. Multinational firms can reduce their tax bill by establishing subsidiaries in tax havens. Typically, firms pursue little operational activities in tax havens yet tax reductions can be obtained e.g. by transferring intangible assets such as patents, licenses, brands, or goodwill to tax havens. Operational subsidiaries in high tax environments as well as the parent firm are charged for using these assets, reducing firms’ tax bill. Besides this tax motive, companies may have an entrenchment motive for establishing subsidiaries in tax havens. Tax havens are typically not very transparent and it may be hard for 1 The public debate largely focuses on the costs of tax havens for high tax countries yet some studies show that low tax regimes have positive spillovers on nearby high tax regimes (e.g. foreign direct investment, subsidiary investment and growth, and mitigation of tax competition – see Dharmapala 2008, Desai, Foley and Hines 2004 & 2006A, and Slemrod and Wilson 2006). 2 shareholders to clearly monitor how a firm’s assets are used in these territories. For instance, the controlling managers may have an interest in piling cash in tax havens to finance future activities beyond what shareholders find optimal. Hanlon, Lester and Verdi (2014) document that firms hold cash in tax havens and use it for inefficient acquisitions. Entrenchment can also involve resource transfers out of the corporation through third parties. These are often non-transparent for non-controlling owners. For example, Enron CFO Andrew Fastow created a staggering 892 offshore subsidiaries, 692 of these were created in the Cayman Islands alone. Not only did this network of subsidiaries allow Enron to avoid paying taxes but in the court cases after the Enron collapse it was also revealed that Fastow and his friends were able to transfer considerable resources to companies that they controlled outside Enron. Stealing and tunneling resources from shareholders to controlling managers is easier in environments that lack transparency and enforcement as shown in the context of Russia by Desai, Dyck and Zingales (2007) and Mironov (2013). In this paper, we first provide descriptive evidence for the use of tax haven and then offer direct evidence for the tax and entrenchment motives. In order to test for the tax motive, we use historical changes in corporate tax levels. We find that a 1 percentage point reduction in firms’ home-country corporate tax rate is associated with a 1.2% increase in value of firms without tax haven subsidiaries while firms with tax haven subsidiaries are unaffected. To provide direct evidence for the entrenchment motive, we exploit the passage of Tax Information Exchange Agreements (TIEAs) between countries and tax havens as a shock to firms’ transparency. A TIEA is a bilateral agreement between countries to exchange information relevant in civil or criminal tax investigations against individuals or firms. Importantly, TIEAs do not change the tax rules in either of the involved countries. TIEAs provide a natural experiment to separate the tax motive from the entrenchment motive. As for the tax motive, TIEAs could leave firm value unaffected or lead to a decline in firm value: If firms indeed followed the tax rules in both countries, passage of a TIEA should have no effect on tax payments and shareholder value for firms with subsidiaries in a tax haven. If a TIEA increased a country’s ability to judge whether within firm transfer pricing and other activities are consistent with national tax rules or not, the passage of a TIEA might increase the amount of taxes due at home, reducing shareholder value. 3 The entrenchment motive, however, suggests that the passage of TIEAs increases shareholder value: Suppose tax havens were used to shield assets from shareholders, such as through piling up free cash for later or inefficient use2 or tunneling assets out of the company through third party companies that are controlled by insiders of the multinational firm or their close friends or families. TIEAs make the actual transfers of cash and assets costlier to insiders and more transparent to headquarter country tax authorities during tax investigations. Thus, it becomes more difficult and costly for controlling owners and managers to use tax havens to hide or steal cash. If entrenchment is an important motive for the use of tax havens, shareholders should endorse TIEAs affecting firms headquartered in one signatory country and operating subsidiaries in the other signatory country (the tax haven). TIEAs provide an ideal experimental setting not only because they enable us to separate the two main motives but also because they are bilateral, affecting some firms headquartered in a country but not others. More than 500 such agreements were passed at different points in time over the past 12 years, providing a lot of variation across time and countries. Above all, it is relatively easy to identify counterfactuals such as publicly traded companies that are headquartered in one signatory country but that do not have tax haven subsidiaries or that have subsidiaries in unaffected tax havens.3 Using annual data, we show that the implementation of a TIEA increases average shareholder value (measured by Tobin’s Q) by 3.1 percent on average. We re-confirm this result using daily stock returns around the signing of TIEAs. This result provides strong evidence that the use of tax havens does come with costs to shareholders: Tax havens may be used for entrenchment and even stealing; shareholders reward increased transparency resulting from the passage of TIEAs. In order to rule out that the positive shareholder effect is driven by a reduction on tax uncertainty or by shareholders rewarding management for making future tax payments more transparent, we examine how controlling owners and managers adjust the corporate structure. We show that firms engage in haven hopping: They move their subsidiaries strategically from tax havens that entered TIEAs to tax havens that did not. Haven hopping is consistent with the 2 Hanlon, Lester and Verdi (2014) show that US firms use cash piled in tax havens for inefficient acquisitions. Few papers have exploited the passage of TIEAs. Johannesen and Zucman (2014) show that after the passage of TIEAs, bank deposits are shifted from affected to unaffected tax havens. German foreign direct investment and the number of German subsidiaries in tax havens declined after Germany passed TIEAs (Braun and Weichenrieder 2014). Bilicka and Fuest (2014) document that TIEAs are typically passed between countries and tax havens with stronger economic links. 3 4 entrenchment hypothesis but is hard to explain from the tax saving motive, given that shareholder value increase after the implementation of a TIEA. As a side effect, this may mean that TIEAs benefit the least compliant tax havens. To further ensure that our result is not driven by a reduction in uncertainty, we show that firms’ betas do not decline significantly. Our paper is related to a number of recent papers studying the use of tax haven subsidiaries by multinational corporations. These papers are largely country specific and provide somewhat mixed evidence. Desai, Foley and Hines (2006B) study US firms: large firms, more international firms, and firms with extensive intrafirm trade and high R&D intensity are more likely to use tax havens. US firms use large tax havens to reallocate taxable income and small tax havens to avoid taxation of foreign income in the US. Markle and Robinson (2012), studying 8,000 multinational firms from 28 countries, confirm the result on firm size but find the opposite result for R&D intensive firms. They also document a negative correlation between the tax rate in non-tax haven subsidiaries and the use of tax havens. In Germany, however, foreign income is tax exempt and consequently, manufacturing firms are more likely to use tax havens when facing high foreign corporates taxes (Gumpert, Hines and Schnitzer 2011). Last but not least, constrained firms are less likely to use tax haven subsidiaries (Dyreng and Markle 2013). We contribute to this literature by documenting causal evidence on the tax savings motive and the entrenchment motive, by collecting a larger dataset of 13,639 firms that covers 52 countries, and by exploiting various sources of data on transferrable assets to obtain more clarity on the link between transferrable assets and the use of tax havens. Also, our results are robust to various definitions of tax havens. In terms of tax enforcement, the paper closest to ours is Desai, Dyck, Zingales (2007) who show that stronger tax enforcement reduces income diversion by insiders. Their model features a trade-off between tax enforcement’s impact on taxes paid and the cost of income diversion to insiders. Empirically, Desai, Dyck and Zingales (2007) show that the Russian oil firm Sibneft earns positive abnormal returns over five tax enforcement actions in Russia, indicating that tax enforcement can have a positive impact on firm value. Linking this finding to private benefits of control, the authors then document that tax enforcement actions aimed at extractive industries lead to a reduction in the control premium compared to the reduction in control premium experienced by firms in other industries. This confirms a notion made by Dyck and Zingales (2004): The premium paid in block sales is negatively related to the strength of tax enforcement. 5 These studies are supported by Mironov (2013): In Russia, tax enforcement correlates positively with operating performance. Mironov (2014) cleverly measures tax enforcement at regional level by standardizing the number of tax employees by the number of firms. In the corporate finance literature, Heider and Ljungqvist (2012) document an asymmetric relation between changes in the tax rate and adjustment in leverage. Firms lever up subsequent to increases in the tax rate but do not lever down subsequent to tax reductions. The relation between tax sheltering and leverage has been studied by Graham and Tucker (2006) who, on a carefully collected sample of 44 tax sheltering cases, show that firms engaged in tax sheltering have lower leverage than matched firms at the time of detection and prior to detection of sheltering activity. A large accounting literature has examined the link between firm-specific accounting measures of tax avoidance and firm value. Representatively, Desai and Dharmapala (2005) show that tax avoidance (measured at the firm level by the book-tax gap) has no effect on firm value on average but a positive effect among strongly governed firms. These papers differ in that they look at firms’ selected level of tax avoidance rather than tax enforcement. Two challenges with studying tax regimes are measurement across countries and finding shocks that affect a subsample of firms for identification. Dyck and Zingales (2004) resort to La Porta et al.’s (1996) tax compliance measure that is based on surveys published in the Global Competitiveness Report for 1996. To construct the measure, survey participants are asked to assess the level of tax compliance in their country. While subsequent reports allow constructing a time series, the measure is related to all firms in a country, making it difficult to identify a suitable control group. Also, comparability of changes across countries is a challenge. Desai, Dyck and Zingales (2007) resort to tax enforcement actions under Putin in Russia. In their results on dual class shares, they work with a clean but small sample of 15 observations that they further split in half. The rest of this paper is organized as follows: In Section 2, we discuss the definition of tax havens and describe our data. In Section 3, we provide descriptive statistics for the use of tax havens at country and industry level. In Section 4, we provide firm level evidence on the use of tax haven subsidiaries. In Section 5, we study changes in corporate tax rates as a shock to the value of having tax haven subsidiaries. Section 6 provides our most direct evidence for the entrenchment motive for use of tax havens: Studying TIEAs, we show that shareholders rewards firms when TIEAs are introduced. Section 7 concludes. 6 2. Tax Havens, Subsidiary Data, and Accounting Data In this section, we define tax havens, describe our source of subsidiary data, and define key firm-level accounting controls. 2.1 Tax havens A typical definition of tax havens makes reference to sovereign countries or non-sovereign territories where certain taxes are low or zero (Dharmapala and Hines 1996). Such sovereign or non-sovereign jurisdictions allow firms to engage in tax avoidance. By that definition, many tax haven lists exist. We focus on five commonly cited lists. Table 1 lists all sovereign countries or non-sovereign territories that fall under the definition of a Tax Haven by any of these lists. --- TABLE 1 ABOUT HERE --- First, countries and non-sovereign states that have not substantially implemented internationally agreed tax standards constitute the OECD Grey List (see List 1 in Table 1). Using the Grey List as of August 17, 2009, 34 territories are described as tax haven. These territories are predominantly located in Europe and the Caribbean though some are located in Africa, the Middle East, and the Pacific. Larger independent countries such as Hong Kong and Ireland are not classified as a tax haven though Singapore is. Second, while never enacted, the ‘Stop Tax Haven Abuse Act’ (S.1533) is widely cited as a source of Tax Haven territories. The Act lists 30 territories including Hong Kong and Singapore (see List 2 in Table 1). Third, we use the original OECD Tax Haven list, which includes 42 territories (see List 3 in Table 1). Fourth, Hines and Rice (1994) provide a more practical list based on true corporate tax rates rather than official corporate tax rates (see List 4 in Table 1). Luxembourg, for instance, has an official corporate tax rate of 29% and does therefore not fall under any of the definitions used to establish the first three Lists. Yet companies can enter private agreements on low taxes (1% and less) and Advanced Tax Agreements with the Luxembourgish tax authorities, making it effectively a tax haven. Fifth, as our transparency experiment focuses on Tax Information Exchange Agreements (TIEAs), we provide a list of all 7 low-tax regimes that enter such agreements as per the OECD TIEA list (see TIEA in Table 1; see OECD Harmful Tax Practices). It is not our intention to provide one universal list of tax havens. Rather, most of our descriptive analysis focuses on the OECD Grey List (the most commonly cited list) though all results are robust to using other lists. We list countries involved in TIEAs because our experiment on transparency is based on the passage of TIEAs. 2.2 Subsidiary data Firm-level subsidiary data is obtained from Dun and Bradstreet’s 2013/2014 Who Owns Whom book series and supplemented by the 2008/2009 and 1998/1999 series where necessary. This data set lists public and private ultimate owner firms, the subsidiaries they hold to 50% or more, and subsidiaries of subsidiaries. Besides subsidiary names, the data source identifies subsidiaries’ headquarter country, including sovereign and non-sovereign tax haven jurisdictions. Notice that this dataset does not allow us to distinguish between operative subsidiaries located in tax havens and subsidiaries located in tax havens and used as tax vehicles. However, we argue that most tax haven subsidiaries are likely tax vehicles given that tax havens are small and feature a small population on average. Thus, Table 1 shows area and population for each tax haven (and area and population for the USA, Germany and Denmark for comparison). It turns out that tax haven territories are small and have a low population on average. To substantiate our argument that many tax haven subsidiaries are likely tax vehicles rather than operative subsidiaries, we count the number of subsidiaries located in tax havens and set that number in relation to size and area of the tax haven territories. We repeat the same analysis on the subset of subsidiaries owned by foreign firms (see Table 1). In the US, on average, one can find 1 foreign subsidiary per 307 km2 and per 9,946 inhabitants. In the British Virgin Islands and the Cayman Islands, one foreign subsidiary comes with 19 and 50 inhabitants, respectively, and less than 0.1km2 in land.4 4 Some narratives from the data tell a similar story. For instance, there are 1,759 breweries in the US, roughly 1 per 180,000 inhabitants. There are 3 breweries in the Cayman Islands, roughly 1 per 20,000 inhabitants. SAB Miller (the multinational brewery) alone had 6 subsidiaries in the Cayman Islands in 2008/2009, some of them certainly not breweries. 8 2.3 Firm-level data and variable definitions Starting with a list of all publicly listed firms from Datastream/Worldscope, we match firm names to the Dun & Bradstreet Who Owns Whom 2013/2014 book series. While we are able to match slightly more than 14,000 firms, we focus on the ones without missing industry affiliation. We are able to match 13,639 firms and collect name and headquarter country information on 163,908 subsidiaries. We enrich this dataset by firm-level accounting data and data on trademarks and patents from Osiris. Stock return data are obtained from Datastream/Worldscope. Following Demsetz and Lehn (1985) and Morck, Shleifer and Vishny (1988), we use Tobin’s Q as the main measure of firm value. Tobin’s Q is obtained from Osiris as (Enterprise Value+Total Liabilities)/(Total Shareholder Equity (Book Value) + Total Liabilities). In order to facilitate interpretation in the multivariate difference in difference regression framework, regressions use the natural logarithm of Tobin’s Q. ROA(%) is Profit & Loss before Tax / Total Assets in %. Cash Flows over Sales is Operating Cash Flow over Total Sales in %. Profit Margin and Gross Margin are Profit&Loss before Tax / Operating Revenue in % and Gross Profit / Operating Revenue in %, respectively. Effective Tax Rate is Income Taxes / Earnings before Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortization in %. Leverage is Total Liabilities and Debt / Total Assets. Dividend payout is dividends per share over earnings per share. Dividend Payer Dummy is a dummy equal to one if a firm pays non-zero dividends. Intangible Assets and R&D are intangible assets and R&D as a fraction of total assets. # Trademarks and # Patents denote the number of registered trademarks and patents in 2013. ID Trademark and ID Patent are dummy variables equal to one if a firm has a trademark and patent, respectively. ln(Assets) is the natural logarithm of total assets. Cash over Assets is Total Cash and Short Term Investments / Total Assets in %. Sales Growth is the average year-by-year growth in sales using sales from 2004 and 2013. Mean Foreign Tax is the average maximum corporate tax rate faced by foreign subsidiaries where each foreign subsidiary is weighted equally. Dif(Foreign-Home Tax) is the Mean Foreign Tax less the maximum tax bracket at home. Accounting data and data on trademarks and patents is obtained from Osiris and Orbis. Tax data is obtained from various sources (largely government agencies and audit firms). Part of the analysis uses daily and monthly stock returns obtained from Datastream/Worldscope. Part of the analysis uses beta, firms’ exposure to their home country 9 market measured in a one-factor regression of monthly stock excess returns over the risk free rate on the market excess return. 3. Descriptive statistics: Country and Industry Level We collect firm-level subsidiary information for 13,639 firms from 52 countries from Dun & Bradstreet’s Who Owns Whom 2013/2014. These firms have a total of 163,908 subsidiaries – partly in their home country, partly abroad. Importantly for this study, some of the foreign subsidiaries are located in tax haven territories. We will refer to firms that have at least one subsidiary in a tax haven as a tax haven firm. The purpose of this section is then to describe the occurrence of tax haven firms by country-level characteristics and by industry-level characteristics. 3.1 Country Level Our sample consists of 52 countries for which at least one publicly listed firm with nonmissing industry affiliation in Datastream/Worldscope could be matched to Dun & Bradstreet’s Who Owns Whom 2013/2014. Summary statistics are provided in Table 2. Countries are sorted by percentage of publicly listed firms that have at least one subsidiary headquartered in a tax haven as defined by the List 1 (the OECD’s ‘Grey List’ as of August 17, 2009). --- TABLE 2 ABOUT HERE --- Besides Singapore – where 100% of sample firms are classified as Tax Haven Firm (because Singapore is a Tax Haven by the OECD ‘Grey List’) – tax havens are particularly wide-spread in Switzerland, Norway, Malaysia, and the Netherlands: More than one in five firms headquartered in these countries have at least one tax haven subsidiaries by List 1. Some countries do not have any tax haven subsidiaries by List 1, most notably Argentina, Greece, and Russia. Notice, however, that one in six Greek firms make use of tax haven subsidiaries when using Lists 2 and 3. 9.7% of US firms use tax haven subsidiaries; fewer Chinese firms (1.2%) use tax haven subsidiaries though this figure increases to 11.6% when using List 4 which includes Hong Kong and Macau. The average country has between 6.9% and 19.6% tax haven firms (by the TIEA 10 List and List 4, respectively) and the % of firms with tax haven subsidiary are positively correlated across lists. Table 2 also provides country-level variables for further analysis. Log (GDP per capita) is the natural logarithm of GDP per capita in USD in 2013 (Source: World Bank). Corporate Tax Rate is the maximum corporate tax rate bracket and Income Tax Rate is the maximum income tax bracket in 2013, listed by Wikipedia and obtained through various sources (largely government agencies and audit firms). Tax Evasion is obtained from the Global Competitiveness Report conducted by the World Economic Forum: Countries’ tax evasion is rated on a scale from 1 (strongly disagree) to 7 (strongly agree) to the statement ‘Tax evasion is minimal.’. ICRG (Property Rights Protection) captures political, economic and financial risk in 2013 and is obtained from the International Country Risk Guide; the measure ranges from 1 to 6 and increases in protection. Corruption Level is based on Transparency International’s Corruption Perception Index as of 2013 (Source: Transparency International), an index that measures corruption levels on a scale from 1 (high corruption) to 10 (low corruption). In order to study the correlation between the use of tax haven subsidiaries and country level characteristics, Figure 2 plots the % of firms with tax haven subsidiary by country against country characteristics. The y-axis denotes the percentage of publicly listed firms that have at least one tax haven subsidiary using the OECD ‘Grey List’ as of August 17, 2009 though results are robust to using other lists. Hong Kong, Singapore and Ireland are omitted because they constitute tax havens by that list or other official tax haven lists. The x-axis denotes country level characteristics. --- FIGURE 1 ABOUT HERE --- First, while the relation between corporate tax rates of firms’ home country and the use of tax haven subsidiaries is close to zero, the use of tax haven subsidiaries is more wide-spread in countries with higher income tax rates. Second, the use of tax haven subsidiaries is more prevalent in countries with stronger property rights protection and lower corruption level, suggesting that stealing from outsiders by insiders is more difficult in these countries, making tax haven subsidiaries more valuable. Third, tax haven firms are more wide-spread in countries with low levels of tax evasion, suggesting that tax havens are more valuable to firms that are 11 headquartered in countries where it is harder to steal from the government. Sixth, the use of tax havens is more prevalent among firms in more developed countries. While these results are correlations, they may all be explained by economic development. Table 3 addresses this concern by explaining the use of tax havens at the country level by country level characteristics and the natural logarithm of GDP per capita. The table presents the results of country-level logit models where the dependent variable %TH Firms denotes the % of publicly listed firms that have at least one subsidiary headquartered in a tax haven where tax havens are countries or non-sovereign nations that appear on the OECD ‘Grey List’ (as of August 17, 2009). Sample countries are those used in Figure 1. Panel A reports results for equally weighted observations; Panel B reports results for value weighted observations where weights are determined by the % of public firms in the overall sample. Supporting the previous notion, the use of tax havens is more pronounced in countries with higher income tax rates, lower protection of property, lower corruption levels, and lower tax evasion even after controlling for economic development. --- TABLE 3 ABOUT HERE --- Overall, these correlations in the data are suggestive (but no more than suggestive) of two channels, one related to tax savings, one related to expropriation. 3.2 Industry Level Table 4 provides industry-level summary statistics for the use of tax havens across 48 FamaFrench Industries. Sample firms are those used in Table 2. # Parent Firms denotes the number of publicly listed firms headquartered in the respective industry. List 1 through to List 4 and TIEA denote the % of parent firms that have at least one subsidiary in a tax haven where tax havens are defined by respective lists described above. --- TABLE 4 ABOUT HERE --- 12 Most notably, the use of tax haven subsidiaries is most prevalent among firms in shipping, machinery, chips, tobacco, and transportation. Notice that some of the tax havens (by any of the lists) are flags of convenience which may partly explain the large fraction of shipping and transportation firms. None of the results of this paper are subject to the inclusion of shipping and transportation firms. Tax havens are less common among firms in health, gold mining, other mining, textiles, and guns. 4. Descriptive statistics: Firm Level In this section, we study the relation between the use of tax havens and firm characteristics. As before, our aim in this section is to provide a description of the data rather than a causal link. We will refer to firms that have at least one subsidiary in a tax haven as a tax haven firm. 4.1 Univariate split Table 5 presents summary statistics for the sample of publicly listed firms. For a range of variables, the table reports the number of firms with non-missing observations in 2013, the mean of respective variables, the mean if such firm has at least one tax haven subsidiary or no tax haven subsidiary (using the OECD ‘Grey List’, see Table 1), and the difference in means. As we just saw, the use of tax havens is more common in certain countries and industries which is why the table also reports differences in mean variables after adjusting variables by industry x country. Means are constructed from one observation per firm, such firm-level observation being the firm-level 10-year average using 2004-2013 data (or fewer years for missing data). --- TABLE 5 ABOUT HERE --- 12.6% of sample firms are tax haven firms by the definition of the OECD ‘Grey List’ (List 5 1) . The average sample firm has a Tobin’s Q of 1.61 though tax haven firms have a significantly lower Tobin’s Q. However, tax haven firms are more profitable in terms of operating profit (% 5 By Lists 2, 3 and 4, 18.9%, 19.0%, and 21.1% of the firms are tax haven firms. By the TIEA List, 5.3% of firms are tax haven firms. Notice that the TIEA List contains by and large smaller tax havens and does not include Singapore, Hong Kong and Ireland. 13 ROA, Cash Flow / Sales, and Profit Margin) despite not having a higher gross margin. While this may seem at odds with the result for Tobin’s Q, tax haven firms also grow 2.7 percentage points more slowly than non-tax haven firms. Surprising at first sight, tax haven firms have a higher effective tax rate – this may seem at odds with the tax saving motive at first sight yet notice that these are equilibrium outcomes: The marginal benefit of having a tax haven subsidiary may be higher when effective tax rates are high. Similarly, while leverage provides a tax shield, the marginal benefit of having a tax haven subsidiary may be higher if leverage is high, providing potential justification for the fact that our sample firms with tax haven subsidiary have higher leverage than sample firms without tax haven subsidiary. In terms of intangible (and potentially easily transferrable) assets, the univariate split supports intuition in that tax haven firms have more intangible assets, patents, and trademarks; also, tax haven firms are more likely to have at least one patent or one trademark. Tax haven firms are larger on average and – counter to popular belief – have fewer cash holdings as measured by cash over assets. Last but not least, firms with tax haven subsidiary are firms that face a lower tax rate abroad and a larger difference between foreign taxes and home taxes. This result is suggestive of repatriation taxes making tax havens more valuable. 4.2 Firm-level probit regressions In order to more formally study the use of tax haven subsidiaries, employ firm-level probit regressions with industry and country fixed effects (Table 6). The dependent variable is an indicator variable equal to one if a firm has at least one subsidiary headquartered in a tax haven where tax havens are countries or non-sovereign nations on the OECD Grey List (though all results are robust to other definitions of tax haven). --- TABLE 6 ABOUT HERE --- On its own, size, return on assets, effective tax rate, leverage, and being a dividend payer are positively correlated with having a tax haven subsidiary while having a lot of cash relative to assets is negatively correlated. Controlling for all these at once, the results for size and being a dividend payer survive while having more cash over assets becomes positively associated with 14 having a tax haven subsidiary. This latter result confirms popular belief. Adding the difference between taxes paid abroad and taxes paid at home as an additional control provides further evidence on the repatriation argument discussed above. Panel B investigates whether transferability of assets, measured by intangible assets, R&D, and the use of patents and trademarks, explains the use of tax havens. Indeed, after controlling for all of the factors discovered in Panel A, firms with assets that are more easily transferred are more likely to employ tax haven subsidiaries. This provides some suggestive evidence on the tax saving motive. Panel C investigates whether monitoring by large shareholders, measured by institutional ownership, foreign institutional ownership, and domestic ownership, is associated with the use of tax haven subsidiaries. While large shareholders may benefit from the tax saving motive, they may also suffer from expropriation or managerial slack. Overall, firms with higher institutional ownership are less likely to use tax haven subsidiaries, suggestive of the latter channel. This result is stronger for domestic institutional owners, suggestive that these owners are more important monitors. Panels D and E investigate subsamples of US firms and non-US firms and while results are the same by and large, the cash motive, trademarks, and monitoring are less reliably associated with the use of tax havens among US firms. However, some of this may be driven by the much smaller sample size. Overall, this section provides correlations between firm characteristics and the use of tax haven subsidiaries. While not causal, evidence of both tax saving motives and expropriation motives was provided. 5. Tax Savings Motive: Changes in corporate tax rates and firm value We have so far provided some correlations that are suggestive of the tax savings motive. In this section, we seek to provide causal evidence for the tax savings motive. For identification, we exploit changes in corporate tax rates over the period 2008-2013. During this period, some countries reduced their maximum corporate tax bracket. A reduction in corporate taxes should increase free cash flows and, all else equal, increase firm value (notice part of the full effect may 15 be offset by the effect of taxes on managerial slack). However, firms that avoid home taxes through tax haven subsidiaries should be less positively affected. Figure 2 plots changes in the corporate tax rate between 2008 and 2013 against changes in firm value and changes in the use of tax haven subsidiaries, respectively. Changes in the corporate tax rate are obtained from KPMG’ Corporate and indirect Tax Rate Survey 2014; a negative value denotes a reduction in corporate tax rates over the five year period. On the left, the y-axis denotes changes in the difference in Tobin’s Q from 2008 to 2013. Specifically, the difference between Tobin’s Q of firms with tax haven subsidiaries in 2008 and firms without tax haven subsidiaries in 2008 is deducted from the respective difference in 2013. A negative value denotes that firms with tax haven subsidiary have become relatively less valuable over the five year period. --- Figure 2 ABOUT HERE --- In line with our prediction, the difference in firm value between tax haven and non-tax haven firms decreases in countries that reduce corporate tax rates. In order to test this more formally at the firm level, Table 7 investigates the effect of changes in the corporate tax rate on firm value in a panel of publicly listed firms from 2008 to 2013. The left hand side is Tobin’s Q. The key control variable is Change in Tax Rate, the percentage change in corporate tax rates over the previous year. Tax Haven Subsidiary is an indicator variable equal to one if a firm has at least one subsidiary in a tax haven (as defined by the OECD ‘Grey List’). Columns (1) and (2) use the full sample while Columns (3) and (4) use a sample of firms with tax haven subsidiary and control firms matched by industry, headquarter country, the natural logarithm of assets, and the natural logarithm of firms’ age (measured by years since foundation). All regressions control for the natural logarithm of assets, the natural logarithm of assets squared, firm fixed effects, and time fixed effects. Standard errors are clustered at the country and year level (2-way clustering). --- TABLE 7 ABOUT HERE --- Indeed, while a reduction in corporate tax rates leads to an increase in firm value, this result only holds for the subset of firms that do not have tax haven subsidiaries. In the matched sample, 16 a 1 percentage point decrease in the corporate tax rate is associated with a 1.2% increase in the value of firms without tax haven subsidiary but no increase in the value of tax haven firms. (Notice the sample of tax changes is a sample abundant of tax reduction – the Change in Tax Rate coefficient, however, is coded such that it increases in corporate tax increases.) When faced with an increase in corporate tax rates, the marginal benefit of having a tax haven subsidiary may increase. In the right Panel of Figure 2, the y-axis denotes the difference between the percentage of firms with tax haven subsidiaries in 2013 and the percentage of firms with tax haven subsidiaries in 2008. A positive value means that the fraction of firms with tax haven subsidiary has increased over the five year period. Somewhat in line with the idea that tax haven subsidiaries become more valuable when corporate tax rates are relatively higher, the percentage of firms with tax haven subsidiary increases less over the 6 year sample period in countries that reduce corporate tax rates. In sum, this section provides evidence on the tax saving motive. Reduction in the corporate tax rate do not benefit firms with tax haven subsidiary and changes in the corporate tax rate are associated with firms’ tendency to open tax haven subsidiaries. 6. Entrenchment Motive: Increases in tax haven transparency and firm value We have provided some correlations that are suggestive of the expropriation motive above. In this section, we seek to provide causal evidence. For identification, we exploit the passage of Tax Information Exchange Agreements (TIEAs) which constitute a shock to the transparency of tax haven operations. 6.1 Tax Information Exchange Agreements Tax Information Exchange Agreements are bilateral agreements between territories aimed at promoting the exchange of tax-relevant information in civil and criminal tax investigations. Important for the study of firms, tax-relevant information comprises bank details and ownership details of companies, funds, and trusts. Tax Information Exchange Agreements increase transparency: they increase the amount of information that can be used to set home country tax 17 rates. Ultimately, Tax Information Exchange Agreements help tax authorities in enforcing tax laws – with civil and criminal consequences – more effectively.6 Since 2000, over 500 Tax Information Exchange Agreements have been signed (see left Panel Figure 3). While these agreements have been signed largely after 2008, importantly for our identification strategy, the number of treated firms in our sample increased substantially through a few agreements signed in 2001 and 2002, as well as through agreements signed after 2008. --- FIGURE 3 ABOUT HERE --- On a critical note, at least 1/3 of these agreements have been signed between two tax havens or between tax havens and economically small (and non-sovereign) territories (such as between the Faroe Islands and Greenland). Being interested in implications of tax enforcement for publicly listed firms, these agreements are outside the scope of this paper. On another critical note, some countries are not among the signatory countries, e.g. Brazil and Russia or Luxembourg and Switzerland. These countries would provide some interesting cross-country predictions: In Russia, for instance, legal tax avoidance or even illegal tax fraud do not require complex tax haven constructs but can be organized e.g. in conjunction with theft (see Mironov 2013) so that a TIEA signed by Russia may have no effects on firms. Table 8 lists Tax Information Exchange Agreements (TIEAs) involving exactly one tax haven country (or non-sovereign nation) and one non-tax haven country (Source: OECD Harmful Tax Practices) and affecting at least one sample firm. Listed are non-tax haven signatories (Panel A) and Tax Haven signatories. This table lists all 362 such agreements – some sample firms may be affected by more than one of these agreements. --- TABLE 8 ABOUT HERE --- 6 Notably, information provided under these agreements is confidential; the requested party is obliged to collect information even if the requested party does not need that information. See e.g. oecd.org/tax/exchange-of-taxinformation/taxinformationexchangeagreementstieas.htm and hmrc.gov.uk/taxtreaties/tiea.htm for more information and a list of all treaties. 18 6.2 Empirical Methodology We estimate the effect of tax enforcement on firm value using a difference-in-difference approach that follows Bertrand and Mullainathan (2003). Specifically, we estimate y it = α i + α t + β 1TREATED it + X it + ε it (1) where i denotes firms, t denotes time, yit is the dependent variable of interest (e.g. Tobin’s Q), αi and α t are firm and year fixed effects, TREATEDit is a dummy that equals one if a firm has been affected by a Tax Information Exchange Agreement signed between its headquarter country and a tax haven in which that firm has a tax subsidiary, Xit is a vector of controls, and ε it is an error term. Besides year and firm fixed effects, controls comprise size and size squared. 6.3 Firm Value In Table 9, we study studies the effect of Tax Information Exchange Agreements (TIEAs) on firm value using OLS regressions for a panel of firms from 1995 to 2013. We follow Equation (1) above. The left-hand side variable is the natural logarithm of Tobin’s. The key control Treated after is an indicator variable equal to one in the years after a firm has been directly affected by a TIEA. A firm is directly affected (treated) if it is headquartered in a country that signs a TIEA and has a subsidiary in the other signatory country or non-sovereign nation (a tax haven). Some firms are affected by more than one TIEA: They are counted as treated the moment they are affected for the first time. Column (1) uses the full sample of firms. In columns (2) and (3), one non-treated (control) firm is matched to each treated firms five years prior to the year a TIEA is signed. In columns (4) and (5), up to 10 firms are matched to treated firms with replacement. Control after is an indicator variable equal to one in the years after a firm is control firm to a firm affected by a TIEA. Firms are matched by country and industry and then additionally by the natural logarithm of assets and the natural logarithm of their age, measured as the number of years since the founding year. All regressions control for the natural logarithm of assets, the natural logarithm of assets squared, firm fixed effects, and time fixed effects. Treated=Control provides the p-value from testing that the coefficient on Treated after equals 19 that on Control after. Standard errors are clustered at the country and year level (2-way clustering). --- TABLE 9 ABOUT HERE --- In line with the expropriation motive, the passage of TIEAs does indeed lead to an increase in firm value. In the full sample, the average treated firm sees an increase in Tobin’s Q by 3.1%. While this may seem a lot at first sight, recall that Desai, Dyck and Zingales (2007) find an effect of roughly 20% for 5 tax enforcement announcements in Russia. The effect is slightly smaller yet still significant for samples of 1 control firm (2.5%) and 10 control firms (2.3%). Moreover, the effect is not present in control firms, i.e. in firms that are otherwise comparable to treated firms. In order to alleviate the concern that we are merely capturing a time trend, Figure 9 plots the evolution of firm value of treated firms around the passage of Tax Information Exchange Agreements (TIEAs). The x-axis denotes years around the passage of TIEAs. The y-axis shows the interaction between year-to-event dummies and an indicator variable that equals 1 if a firm is directly affected by a TIEA. Interaction terms are obtained from an OLS regression on a sample of treated and control firms with the natural logarithm of Tobin’s Q on the left hand side and controls for size and size squared as well as year and industry fixed effects on the right. Control firms are matched to treated firms 5 years before treatment by headquarter country, industry, as well as the natural logarithm of assets and the natural logarithm of assets squared. Indeed, the increase in firm value occurs abruptly between year -1 and year +1 around the treatment date. --- FIGURE 4 ABOUT HERE --- One concern up to now may be that Tobin’s Q also responds to changes in e.g. accounting practices associated with the passage of TIEAs. Figure 5 plots returns of treated firms 100 days around the signing of a TIEA. A firm is directly affected (treated) if it is headquartered in a country that signs a TIEA and has a subsidiary in the other signatory country (a tax haven). Returns are obtained from Datastream/Worldscope and cumulated; cumulative returns are standardized to equal zero a day before the signature date. While it is impossible to nail down precisely the first mentioning of these agreements by the press, it is likely that these agreements 20 are not discussed in public long before they are signed. Also, as these agreements are passed at different points in time between 2001 and 2012, using raw returns is less subject to other events (such as a positive market around the passage) driving the main result. Indeed, Figure 5 confirms that TIEAs do have a positive effect on affected firms’ value: The result on Tobin’s Q is not entirely driven by changes in the accounting treatment. --- FIGURE 5 ABOUT HERE --- In order to further understand what drives the increase in firm value, Table 10 studies subcomponents of Tobin’s Q around the passage of TIEAs using OLS regressions for a panel of firms from 1995 to 2013. The analysis follows exactly Table 9 but the left-hand side is ROA(%), Profit Margin, Gross Margin, Effective Tax Rate, and Beta (estimated in a 1-factor model of monthly excess stock returns on the headquarter country’s main market index’ excess return over 24 months). Odd-numbered columns report results for the whole sample; even-numbered columns report results for a sample of treated and control firms. Control firms are matched as before. --- TABLE 10 ABOUT HERE --- Treated firms experience an insignificant increase in %ROA and profit margin relative to control firms and their gross margin increases relative to control firms. Also, their effective tax rate is unaffected and their beta goes down though insignificantly so. Taken together, while largely insignificant, increases in operating profit and decreases in the discount rate (through a reduction in beta) can jointly explain an increase in firm value. 6.4 Haven Hopping Some of the full effect of TIEAs on firm value can be offset by firms adjusting their firm structure through so-called haven hopping: If one of their tax haven subsidiaries is affected by more transparency through TIEAs, firms may move that subsidiary to a tax haven that has not entered a TIEA. Table 11 constitutes a conversion matrix aimed at investigating whether firms strategically move out of tax havens entering Tax Information Exchange Agreements (TIEAs) 21 between 2008 and 2013. The focus is on non-US sample firms for which subsidiary data was available in both 2008 and 2013 (most TIEAs signed by the US date back to the early 2000s). For 2008, each row gives the number of firms with no tax haven subsidiary, with tax haven subsidiaries only in tax havens that subsequently sign a TIEA, with tax haven subsidiaries only in tax havens that subsequently do not sign a TIEA, and with tax haven subsidiaries in both tax havens that sign and that do not sign a TIEA. For 2013, each column gives the number of firms with no tax haven subsidiary, with tax haven subsidiaries only in tax havens that subsequently sign a TIEA, with tax haven subsidiaries only in tax havens that subsequently do not sign a TIEA, and with tax haven subsidiaries in both tax havens that sign and that do not sign a TIEA. Numbers and percentages denote the number of firms and the percentage of the group moving from a category in 2008 to a category in 2013. --- TABLE 11 ABOUT HERE --- Table 11 by and large confirms strategic haven hopping. For instance, 1,588 firms did not have a tax haven subsidiary in 2008. 93% (1,480) of these firms had no tax haven subsidiary in 2013 either; of the remaining 7%, most (5% or 77 firms) established at least one tax haven subsidiary but explicitly in tax havens that did not sign TIEAs over the five years. Similarly, firms affected by TIEAs adjusted their subsidiary structure more dynamically: Of the 55 firms that had subsidiaries exclusively in tax havens that later entered tax information exchange agreements, only 42% maintained this exposure, compared to 68% of firms with exposure exclusively to unaffected havens in 2008 and 73% of firms with exposure to both affected and unaffected havens maintaining this exposure. In sum, this section provides evidence of the expropriation motive: The passage of TIEAs increased firm value though some of the full effect may have been offset by strategic haven hopping. 7. Conclusion Corporations use tax havens to reduce corporate taxes and to shield cash from shareholders. Consistent with the tax motive, we find that a 1 percentage point reduction in home-country 22 corporate tax rates is associated with a 1.2% increase in value of firms without tax haven subsidiary while firms with tax haven subsidiary are unaffected. In order to provide direct evidence for an entrenchment motive, we exploit the passage of Tax Information Exchange Agreements (TIEAs) between countries and tax havens as a shock to firms’ transparency. The implementation of a TIEA increases average shareholder value by 3.1 using annual data. This positive effect is confirmed when studying daily returns around the passage of TIEAs. Even though tax agreements are endorsed by firms’ investors, many firms engage in haven hopping: They strategically move their subsidiaries from tax havens that have entered TIEAs to tax havens that did not. This suggests that the OECD-led crackdown on tax havens may benefit some of the less compliant tax havens. Besides global evidence on this entrenchment motive, the paper provides novel global insights into the use of tax haven subsidiaries with respect to country, industry, and firm-level characteristics. 23 References: Bertrand, Marianne and Sendhil Mullainathan, 2003, “Enjoying the Quiet Life? 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Tucker, 2006, “Tax Shelters and Corporate Debt Policy”, Journal of Financial Economics, 81, 563-594. 24 Gumpert, Anna, James R. Hines Jr., and Monika Schnitzer, 2011, The use of tax havens in exemption regimes, NBER Working Paper #17644. Hanlon, Michelle, Rebecca Lester, and Rodrigo S. Verdi, 2014, “The Effect of Repatriation Tax Costs on U.S. Multinational Investment”, SSRN Working Paper. Heider, Florian and Alexander Ljungqvist, 2012, “As Certain as Debt and Taxes: Estimating the Tax Sensitivity of Leverage from Exogenous State Tax Changes”, Working Paper. Hines, James R. Jr. and Rice, “Fiscal Paradise: Foreign Tax Havens and American Business”, NBER Working Paper No. 3477. Johannesen, Niels and Gabriel Zucman, 2014, ‘The end of bank secrecy? An evaluation of the G20 tax crackdown’, American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 6(1): 65-91. La Porta, Rafael, Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes, Andrei Shleifer, and Robert W. Vishny, 1996, “Trust in Large Organizations”, NBER Working Paper 5864. Markle, Kevin and Leslie Robinson, 2012, ‘Tax haven use across international tax regimes’. Working Paper. Mironov, Maxim. 2013, “Taxes, Theft, and Firm Performance”, The Journal of Finance, Vol. 68(4), 1441-1472. Morck, Randall, Andrei Shleifer and Robert W. Vishny, 1988, “Management Ownership and Corporate Performance: An Empirical Analysis”, Journal of Financial Economics, 20(1), 293315. Slemrod, Joel and John D. Wilson, 2006, ‘Tax Competition with parasitic tax havens’, NBER Working Paper #12225. 25 Table 1: Tax haven list This table lists countries and non-sovereign nations that are classified as tax havens by at least one of five sources: First, by the OECD ‘Grey List’ (List 1; as of August 17, 2009). Second, by the ‘Stop Tax Haven Abuse Act’ (List 2; S.1533; not enacted). Third, by the original OECD Tax Haven List (List 3). Fourth, by Hines and Rice (1994) (List 4). Fifth, by entering a Tax Information Exchange Agreement (TIEA; OECD Harmful Tax Practices). Population (in 000s) denotes the population in 2013 (World Factbook). Area (km2) denotes the land area in square kilometers (World Factbook). Pop Dens (ppl/km2) is the population divided by area (km2). #Subs is the number of subsidiaries of public and private firms headquartered in the respective territory in 2013 (Dun & Bradstreet’s Who Owns Whom 2013/2014). Subsidiaries are defined as companies owned by at least 50%. Pop/sub and km2/sub are population and square kilometers per subsidiary, respectively. #Foreign Subs is the number of subsidiaries of public and private firms headquartered in the respective territory in 2013 but ultimately owned by a foreign parent firm. Pop/ForSub and km2/ForSub denote the population and square kilometers per foreign subsidiary, respectively. Country Name Andorra Anguilla Antigua & Barbuda Aruba Bahamas Bahrain Barbados Belize Bermuda British Virgin Isl. Cayman Islands Channel Islands Cook Islands Costa Rica Cyprus Dominica Gibraltar Grenada Guatemala Hong Kong Ireland Isle of Man Jordan Lebanon Liberia Liechtenstein Luxembourg Macao Maldives Malta Marshall Isl. Mauritius Region Europe Caribbean Caribbean Caribbean Caribbean Middle East Caribbean Central Am. Pacific Caribbean Caribbean Europe Pacific Central Am. Europe Caribbean Europe Caribbean Central Am. East Asia Europe Europe Middle East Middle East West Africa Europe Europe East Asia Indian Oc. Europe Pacific Indian Oc. List 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 List 2 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 List 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 List 4 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 TIEA 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 Pop (000s) 85.08 13.45 89.07 102.38 319.03 1,317.83 283.22 334.30 64.81 27.80 57.57 163.86 14.16 4,805.30 838.90 71.68 30.00 105.48 15,806.68 6,130.92 4,586.90 84.50 6,318.00 4,424.89 4,190.44 36.66 530.95 607.50 338.44 419.46 52.56 1,291.46 26 Area (km2) 455 91 440 180 9,992 760 430 22,810 50 153 240 190 240 51,060 9,240 285 7 340 108,889 1,042 68,890 570 88,780 10,230 96,320 160 2,590 28 300 320 180 2,030 Pop Dens (ppl/km2) 187 148 202 569 32 1,734 659 15 1,296 182 240 862 59 94 91 251 4,412 310 145 5,884 67 148 71 433 44 229 205 21,696 1,128 1,311 292 636 # Subs 42 41 36 99 481 427 343 174 1,808 3,706 1,958 2 46 462 7,862 20 1,147 29 319 35,605 32,996 Pop/ Sub 2,026 328 2,474 1,034 663 3,086 826 1,921 36 8 29 81,929 308 10,401 107 3,584 26 3,637 49,551 172 139 km2/ Sub 10.8 2.2 12.2 1.8 20.8 1.8 1.3 131.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 95.0 5.2 110.5 1.2 14.3 0.0 11.7 341.3 0.0 2.1 #Foreign Subs 6 20 16 41 219 173 182 32 844 1,486 1,152 2 20 295 1,698 10 354 18 243 12,387 8,988 Pop/ ForSub 14,180 673 5,567 2,497 1,457 7,617 1,556 10,447 77 19 50 81,929 708 16,289 494 7,168 85 5,860 65,048 495 510 km2/ ForSub 76 5 28 4 46 4 2 713 0 0 0 95 12 173 5 29 0 19 448 0 8 141 258 45 911 13,376 317 26 2,119 67 682 44,809 17,151 93,121 40 40 1,916 13,017 198 784 1,894 629.6 39.7 2,140.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 11.5 0.2 2.7 3.0 106 133 38 144 5,154 205 20 585 13 345 59,604 33,270 110,275 255 103 2,963 16,922 717 4,043 3,743 838 77 2,535 1 1 0 15 1 14 6 Monaco Montserrat Nauru Niue Panama Samoa San Marino Seychelles Singapore St. Kitts & Nevis St. Lucia St. Vinc. & Gren. Tonga Turks & Caicos US Virgin Isl. Uruguay Vanuatu Europe Caribbean Pacific Pacific Central Am. Pacific Europe Indian Oc. East Asia Caribbean Caribbean Caribbean Pacific Caribbean Caribbean South Am. Pacific 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 37.58 5.16 9.43 1.23 3,802.28 188.89 31.25 88.30 5,399.20 304.76 180.87 109.37 104.94 31.46 105.28 3,324.46 247.26 2 102 21 260 74,340 2,830 60 460 700 999 610 389 720 616 343 176,215 12,190 18,790 51 449 5 51 67 521 192 7,713 305 297 281 146 51 307 18.87 20 For Comparison USA Germany Denmark North Am Europe Europe 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 318,968.00 80,716.00 5,639.72 9,857,306 357,168 42,916 32 226 131 27 248 5 152 1,033 0.0 20.4 183 5 205 1,033 0 20 1,297 278 85 83 36,099 53 60 47 4 31 2,932 679 368 1,064 150 5,750 3,015 2,327 26,235 1,015 57.3 10.2 0.7 5.5 0.0 18.8 10.2 8.3 180.0 19.9 611 231 7 17 12,195 14 35 9 4 11 6,223 818 4,464 5,194 443 21,769 5,168 12,153 26,235 2,860 122 12 9 27 0 71 17 43 180 56 617 42 5,388 5,887 285.6 290.2 422 20 7,878 12,363 418 610 228,757 219,486 100,027 1,394 368 56 43.1 1.6 0.4 32,071 30,086 2,430 9,946 2,683 2,321 307 12 18 Table 2: Country level summary statistics and the use of tax haven subsidiaries around the world This table provides country-level summary statistics. The sample consists of 52 countries for which at least one publicly listed firm with non-missing industry affiliation in Datastream/Worldscope could be matched to Dun & Bradstreet’s Who Owns Whom 2013/2014. Countries are sorted by the % of public firms that have at least one subsidiary headquartered in a tax haven. Tax havens are countries or non-sovereign nations that appear on the OECD ‘Grey List’ as of August 17, 2009 (this percentage is 100% for Singapore as Singapore is a Tax Haven by that list). # Parent Firms denotes the number of publicly listed firms headquartered in the respective country. # Subsidiary Firms denotes the number of subsidiaries owned to 50% or more by the parent firms. List 1 through to List 4 and TIEA denote the % of parent firms that have at least one subsidiary in a tax haven where tax havens are countries or nonsovereign states on respective lists (see Table 1); this percentage is 100% if the country is defined as a tax haven by the respective list. Log (GDP per capita) is the natural logarithm, of GDP per capita in USD in 2013 (Source: World Bank). Corporate Tax Rate is the maximum corporate tax rate bracket and Income Tax Rate is the maximum income tax bracket in 2013, listed by Wikipedia and obtained through various sources (largely government agencies and audit firms). Tax Evasion is obtained from the Global Competitiveness Report conducted by the World Economic Forum: Countries’ tax evasion is rated on a scale from 1 (strongly disagree) to 7 (strongly agree) to the statement ‘Tax evasion is minimal.’. ICRG (Property Rights Protection) captures political, economic and financial risk in 2013 and is obtained from the International Country Risk Guide; the measure ranges from 1 to 6 and increases in protection. Corruption Level is based on Transparency International’s Corruption Perception Index as of 2013 (Source: Transparency International), an index that measures corruption levels on a scale from 1 (high corruption) to 10 (low corruption). Country # Parent Firms # Subsidiary Firms 331 116 88 549 70 16 1,380 37 26 78 75 305 14 7 73 884 16 56 931 306 3,849 3,650 1,620 3,485 2,763 85 17,540 1,683 95 2,425 2,008 8,426 528 9 1,249 3,797 27 1,069 23,308 1,962 List 1 Singapore Switzerland Norway Malaysia Netherlands Chile Japan Austria Saudi Arabia Spain Finland France Portugal Bangladesh Denmark India Pakistan Belgium UK Hong Kong 100.00% 37.93% 23.86% 22.04% 20.00% 18.75% 17.39% 16.22% 15.38% 15.38% 14.67% 14.43% 14.29% 14.29% 13.70% 12.78% 12.50% 12.50% 12.14% 12.09% % of Firms with Tax Haven Subsidiary (100% if country is TH by respective list) List 2 List 3 List 4 100.00% 42.24% 26.14% 25.14% 28.57% 18.75% 25.58% 21.62% 15.38% 16.67% 18.67% 19.02% 21.43% 28.57% 19.18% 15.38% 12.50% 17.86% 16.86% 100.00% 100.00% 42.24% 26.14% 25.14% 28.57% 18.75% 25.65% 21.62% 19.23% 17.95% 18.67% 20.00% 21.43% 28.57% 19.18% 16.40% 12.50% 17.86% 16.97% 100.00% 100.00% 46.55% 27.27% 25.14% 34.29% 18.75% 25.80% 24.32% 15.38% 23.08% 25.33% 25.57% 28.57% 28.57% 24.66% 15.84% 12.50% 37.50% 24.27% 100.00% 28 Log (GDP per capita) Corporate Tax Rate Income Tax Rate Tax Evasion 10.85 11.28 11.51 9.25 8.43 9.65 10.75 10.75 10.13 10.25 10.73 10.59 9.91 6.62 10.94 7.32 7.14 10.68 8.27 10.51 19.0% 25.0% 28.0% 25.0% 25.0% 20.0% 38.0% 25.0% 20.0% 30.0% 20.0% 33.3% 25.0% 20.0% 13.2% 47.8% 26.0% 52.0% 40.0% 50.0% 50.0% 5.05 4.49 3.96 4.34 3.40 4.20 4.41 3.60 52.0% 51.0% 45.0% 54.0% 25.0% 51.7% 33.0% 35.0% 55.0% 45.0% 15.0% 1.91 3.53 3.86 2.18 ICRG Corruption Index TIEA 3.63% 26.72% 4.55% 2.00% 21.43% 18.75% 3.26% 10.81% 15.38% 16.67% 6.67% 15.41% 28.57% 0.00% 5.48% 3.39% 6.25% 28.57% 9.02% 10.78% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 34.0% 24.0% 16.5% 3.70 2.16 2.27 4.67 4.56 4.50 4.50 5.00 2.40 5.00 3.70 3.40 5.00 2.00 3.90 6.00 3.60 3.80 1.60 5.50 2.30 1.60 3.80 4.30 4.00 9.20 9.00 7.90 5.10 8.90 6.90 7.30 8.10 3.50 6.50 9.00 6.90 6.10 2.10 9.30 3.40 2.50 7.30 7.70 8.10 Philippines Venezuela Germany New Zealand Indonesia USA Italy Korea Australia Thailand Egypt Brazil Vietnam Israel Sweden Canada South Africa Ireland Turkey China Poland Argentina Colombia Czech Rep. Greece Hungary Kazakhstan Mexico Nigeria Peru Russia Ukraine Sum / Mean 71 9 385 49 118 2,940 81 560 1,126 207 15 32 17 159 138 629 202 32 65 989 205 21 1 10 94 12 1 8 10 1 74 20 611 45 9,136 298 512 39,812 1,632 2,764 10,129 952 30 294 33 976 2,745 3,059 1,698 652 360 5,367 1,077 103 1 38 990 196 2 169 15 3 565 66 11.27% 11.11% 10.65% 10.20% 10.17% 9.69% 8.64% 8.39% 8.35% 7.73% 6.67% 6.25% 5.88% 5.03% 4.35% 4.29% 3.47% 3.13% 1.54% 1.21% 0.49% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 15.49% 11.11% 14.29% 12.24% 13.56% 13.27% 9.88% 15.18% 10.48% 9.66% 6.67% 6.25% 5.88% 7.55% 10.87% 6.84% 5.45% 6.25% 1.54% 11.53% 0.49% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 17.02% 8.33% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 1.35% 0.00% 15.49% 11.11% 14.29% 12.24% 13.56% 13.50% 9.88% 15.18% 10.48% 9.66% 6.67% 6.25% 5.88% 7.55% 11.59% 6.84% 5.94% 6.25% 1.54% 11.53% 0.49% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 17.02% 8.33% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 1.35% 0.00% 15.49% 11.11% 17.14% 12.24% 13.56% 15.92% 24.69% 15.89% 11.37% 9.66% 6.67% 12.50% 5.88% 8.81% 10.87% 8.59% 6.44% 100.00% 3.08% 11.63% 1.95% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 20.21% 8.33% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 1.35% 0.00% 11.27% 11.11% 6.49% 0.00% 0.85% 7.45% 22.22% 1.25% 1.07% 0.00% 6.67% 12.50% 0.00% 3.14% 3.62% 4.61% 2.48% 6.25% 1.54% 0.30% 0.98% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 5.32% 0.00% 0.00% 12.50% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 7.86 9.45 10.66 10.56 8.18 10.85 10.43 7.72 11.12 6.31 8.09 7.03 7.47 10.39 8.61 10.84 8.90 10.74 9.27 8.71 7.15 9.36 8.96 7.53 10.02 7.14 9.40 9.19 7.35 8.82 9.55 8.26 30.0% 34.0% 29.8% 28.0% 25.0% 39.0% 31.4% 22.0% 30.0% 20.0% 20.0% 34.0% 25.0% 26.5% 22.0% 31.0% 28.0% 25.0% 20.0% 25.0% 19.0% 35.0% 33.0% 19.0% 33.0% 19.0% 17.5% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 20.0% 25.0% 32.0% 34.0% 45.0% 33.0% 30.0% 55.9% 43.0% 41.8% 45.0% 35.0% 20.0% 27.5% 35.0% 52.0% 57.0% 50.0% 40.0% 41.0% 35.0% 45.0% 32.0% 35.0% 33.0% 15.0% 42.0% 16.0% 10.0% 30.0% 24.0% 30.0% 13.0% 15.0% 1.83 1.56 3.41 5.00 2.53 4.47 1.77 3.29 4.58 3.41 3.57 2.14 13,639 163,908 10.75% 15.59% 15.76% 19.55% 6.90% 9.26 26.55% 36.33% 3.14 29 3.69 3.39 3.77 2.40 3.55 2.07 2.51 2.19 2.41 2.11 2.54 2.36 1.97 2.46 2.66 1.43 2.00 1.40 4.80 5.50 1.80 4.40 2.40 2.60 4.70 1.50 1.70 2.30 2.10 3.20 5.10 4.80 2.30 3.40 2.50 2.00 2.30 2.50 2.80 2.50 2.20 3.00 1.50 2.00 1.30 2.50 1.90 1.60 2.30 1.90 7.90 9.30 2.60 7.30 4.80 5.60 8.70 3.50 2.80 3.50 2.70 6.00 9.30 8.70 4.90 7.70 4.60 3.60 4.60 2.90 3.80 5.20 4.70 5.10 2.20 3.60 2.70 3.60 2.10 2.50 3.13 5.49 Table 3: Country level regressions with log(GDP pc) control This table presents the results of country-level logit models. The dependent variable %TH Firms denotes the % of publicly listed firms that have at least one subsidiary headquartered in a tax haven where tax havens are countries or non-sovereign nations that appear on the OECD ‘Grey List’ (as of August 17, 2009). Sample countries are those listed in Table 2 with the exception of countries that are a Tax Haven by any of the different tax haven definitions given in Table 1. Panel A reports results for equally weighted observations; Panel B reports results for value weighted observations where weights are determined by the % of public firms in the overall sample. All regressions control for log(GDP per capita). Log (GDP per capita) is the natural logarithm, of GDP per capita in USD in 2013 (Source: World Bank). Corporate Tax Rate is the maximum corporate tax rate bracket and Income Tax Rate is the maximum income tax bracket in 2013, listed by Wikipedia and obtained through various sources (largely government agencies and audit firms). Tax Evasion is obtained from the Global Competitiveness Report conducted by the World Economic Forum: Countries’ tax evasion is rated on a scale from 1 (strongly disagree) to 7 (strongly agree) to the statement ‘Tax evasion is minimal.’. ICRG (Property Rights Protection) captures political, economic and financial risk in 2013 and is obtained from the International Country Risk Guide; the measure ranges from 1 to 6 and increases in protection. Corruption Level is based on Transparency International’s Corruption Perception Index as of 2013 (Source: Transparency International), an index that measures corruption levels on a scale from 1 (high corruption) to 10 (low corruption). T-statistics for tests of significance based on robust standard errors are reported below coefficients. ***, ** and * indicate significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% level. Panel A: Equally weighted Log (GDP pc) (1) %TH Firms (2) %TH Firms (3) %TH Firms (4) %TH Firms (5) %TH Firms (6) %TH Firms 0.313 (1.26) 0.375 (1.41) -0.610 (-0.09) -0.118 (-0.34) 0.153 (0.43) -0.231 (-0.66) -0.253 (-0.70) Corporate Tax Rate Income Tax Rate 13.659*** (3.09) Tax Evasion 1.447** (2.12) ICRG (Property Rights) 1.206** (2.22) Corruption Level Constant Observations Pseudo R2 -1.575 (-0.71) 49 0.032 0.706 (0.42) 48 0.042 -3.070** (-2.36) 48 0.317 30 -2.499 (-1.53) 42 0.200 -1.445 (-1.31) 49 0.168 0.657** (2.48) -1.288 (-1.37) 49 0.194 Panel B: Value weighted Log (GDP pc) (1) %TH Firms (2) %TH Firms (3) %TH Firms (4) %TH Firms (5) %TH Firms (6) %TH Firms 0.211 (0.87) -0.094 (-0.23) 11.109 (0.72) -0.068 (-0.19) -0.805* (-1.73) -1.963* (-1.73) -1.888* (-1.92) Corporate Tax Rate Income Tax Rate 14.077** (2.52) Tax Evasion 2.994*** (4.01) ICRG (Property Rights) 4.850** (2.26) Corruption Level Constant Observations Pseudo R2 1.915 (0.91) 49 0.010 1.602 (0.72) 48 0.034 -0.707 (-0.19) 48 0.275 31 3.174 (0.78) 42 0.428 9.810 (1.44) 49 0.402 1.823*** (3.88) 12.592* (1.73) 49 0.415 Table 4: The use of tax haven subsidiaries by Industry This table provides industry-level summary statistics for 48 Fama-French Industries. Sample firms are those used in Table 2. # Parent Firms denotes the number of publicly listed firms headquartered in the respective industry. List 1 through to List 4 and TIEA denote the % of parent firms that have at least one subsidiary in a tax haven where tax havens are defined by respective lists: First, by the OECD ‘Grey List’ (List 1; as of August 17, 2009). Second, by the ‘Stop Tax Haven Abuse Act’ (List 2; S.1533; not enacted). Third, by the original OECD Tax Haven List (List 3). Fourth, by Hines and Rice (1994) (List 4). Fifth, by entering a Tax Information Exchange Agreement (TIEA; OECD Harmful Tax Practices). #Parent Firms SHIPS MACH CHIPS SMOKE TRANS ELCEQ RUBBR CHEM LABEQ COMPS PAPER INSUR STEEL CNSTR BOOKS PERSV WHLSL HSHLD AERO MEDEQ TOYS FOOD BOXES TELCM MEALS SODA BANKS BUSSV OIL AUTOS RTAIL FABPR BLDMT UTIL OTHER AGRIC COAL FIN RLEST DRUGS BEER CLTHS FUN HLTH GOLD MINES TXTLS GUNS Sum / Mean % of Firms with Tax Haven Subsidiary (100% if country is TH by respective list) List 1 List 2 List 3 List 4 TIEA 47 503 637 14 378 203 175 406 122 185 115 135 301 385 93 136 579 251 36 169 90 272 53 376 194 57 584 1,719 486 237 429 48 413 258 41 156 57 972 529 422 63 133 184 140 309 351 188 8 38.30% 23.06% 21.98% 21.43% 21.16% 19.21% 18.29% 17.73% 17.21% 16.76% 16.52% 16.30% 15.95% 15.06% 15.05% 14.71% 14.34% 13.94% 13.89% 13.61% 13.33% 13.24% 13.21% 12.50% 12.37% 12.28% 11.64% 11.58% 10.70% 10.55% 10.49% 10.42% 10.41% 10.08% 9.76% 9.62% 8.77% 8.13% 7.94% 6.87% 6.35% 6.02% 5.98% 5.71% 4.85% 4.56% 4.26% 0.00% 42.55% 29.62% 33.59% 21.43% 27.78% 25.12% 26.86% 23.15% 22.95% 28.11% 21.74% 23.70% 21.26% 17.66% 17.20% 17.65% 21.42% 25.50% 13.89% 17.75% 36.67% 19.12% 20.75% 18.62% 21.13% 17.54% 16.61% 16.70% 13.99% 17.30% 16.55% 18.75% 15.25% 17.44% 17.07% 11.54% 14.04% 14.40% 16.45% 12.32% 15.87% 30.83% 12.50% 9.29% 6.15% 5.98% 12.23% 0.00% 42.55% 29.62% 33.59% 21.43% 28.04% 25.62% 26.86% 23.65% 22.95% 28.11% 21.74% 23.70% 21.26% 17.66% 18.28% 18.38% 21.59% 25.50% 13.89% 17.75% 36.67% 19.49% 20.75% 18.88% 21.65% 17.54% 16.78% 16.81% 14.20% 17.72% 17.25% 20.83% 15.74% 17.83% 17.07% 11.54% 14.04% 14.51% 16.45% 12.32% 17.46% 31.58% 12.50% 9.29% 6.15% 5.98% 12.23% 0.00% 44.68% 31.81% 35.16% 21.43% 29.37% 25.12% 29.14% 23.89% 26.23% 29.19% 22.61% 28.89% 22.59% 21.30% 20.43% 19.12% 23.14% 25.50% 16.67% 21.89% 37.78% 21.69% 24.53% 22.34% 22.68% 21.05% 19.35% 20.24% 15.64% 18.14% 19.11% 18.75% 16.22% 19.38% 21.95% 12.82% 17.54% 16.56% 17.96% 14.22% 19.05% 34.59% 19.02% 12.14% 7.77% 7.12% 13.30% 0.00% 4.26% 4.77% 5.49% 14.29% 7.14% 4.43% 1.71% 6.40% 6.56% 4.86% 5.22% 19.26% 3.65% 4.94% 5.38% 3.68% 3.11% 6.77% 11.11% 6.51% 8.89% 5.51% 5.66% 6.38% 6.70% 3.51% 9.76% 3.90% 5.35% 5.91% 6.06% 4.17% 3.39% 7.36% 4.88% 5.77% 5.26% 6.58% 3.40% 4.27% 4.76% 8.27% 4.89% 1.43% 3.88% 2.56% 1.60% 0.00% 13,639 12.84% 19.25% 19.49% 21.44% 5.62% 32 Table 5: Firm Level Summary Statistics This table presents summary statistics for the sample of publicly listed firms. For a range of variables, the table reports the number of firms with non-missing observations in 2013, the mean of respective variables, the mean if such firm has at least one tax haven subsidiary or no tax haven subsidiary (using the OECD ‘Grey List’, see Table 1), the difference in means, and the difference in industry-country-adjusted means. Means are constructed from one observation per firm, such firm-level observation being the firm-level 10-year average using 2004-2013 data (or fewer years for missing data). TH Subsidiary (Dummy) is a dummy variable equal to one if a firm has a tax haven subsidiary. Tobin’s Q is obtained from Osiris as (Enterprise Value+Total Liabilities)/(Total Shareholder Equity (Book Value) + Total Liabilities). ROA(%) is Profit & Loss before Tax / Total Assets in %. Cash Flows over Sales is Operating Cash Flow over Total Sales in %. Profit Margin and Gross Margin are Profit&Loss before Tax / Operating Revenue in % and Gross Profit / Operating Revenue in %, respectively. Effective Tax Rate is Income Taxes / Earnings before Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortization in %. Leverage is Total Liabilities and Debt / Total Assets. Dividend payout is dividends per share over earnings per share. Dividend Payer Dummy is a dummy equal to one if a firm pays non-zero dividends. Intangible Assets and R&D are intangible assets and R&D as a fraction of total assets. # Trademarks and # Patents denote the number of registered trademarks and patents in 2013. ID Trademark and ID Patent are dummy variables equal to one if a firm has a trademark and patent, respectively. ln(Assets) is the natural logarithm of total assets. Cash over Assets is Total Cash and Short Term Investments / Total Assets in %. Sales Growth is the average year-by-year growth in sales using sales from 2004 and 2013. Mean Foreign Tax is the average maximum corporate tax rate faced by foreign subsidiaries where each foreign subsidiary is weighted equally. Dif(Foreign-Home Tax) is the Mean Foreign Tax less the maximum tax bracket at home. Accounting data and data on trademarks and patents is obtained from Osiris and Orbis. Tax data is obtained from various sources (largely government agencies and audit firms). ***, ** and * indicate significance of differences in mean at the 1%, 5% and 10% level. Split by Tax Haven Dummy Does firm have TH Sub? All Firms #Firms Variable TH Subsidiary (Dummy) Tobin's Q ROA(%) Cash Flows over Sales Profit Margin Gross Margin Effective Tax Rate Leverage Dividend Payout Dividend Payer Dummy Intangible Assets R&D #Trademarks ID Trademark #Patents ID Patent ln(Assets) Cash over Total Assets Sales Growth Mean Foreign Tax Dif (Foreign-Home Tax) 13,639 8,787 7,777 10,090 11,014 10,959 6,873 8,531 7,435 11,599 8,539 8,668 13,460 13,639 13,460 13,639 12,053 11,730 10,871 5,585 5,579 Mean in 2013 yes no Difference 12.60% 1.61 4.0% 8.2% 2.9% 43.3% 20.4% 49.5% 19.7% 42.1% 10.2% 1.5% 4.8 33.5% 31.4 32.4% 11.3 17.6% 11.9% 26.3% -4.2% 1.00 1.44 4.9% 10.1% 6.0% 42.5% 22.2% 51.8% 23.2% 61.1% 11.8% 1.6% 11.1 46.5% 92.0 42.5% 12.7 16.1% 9.5% 23.5% -6.2% 0 1.65 3.8% 7.9% 2.4% 43.4% 20.0% 49.0% 19.2% 39.3% 9.9% 1.5% 4.0 31.7% 23.1 30.9% 11.1 17.9% 12.2% 27.4% -3.4% (0.21) 1.1% 2.2% 3.6% -0.9% 2.2% 2.8% 4.0% 21.8% 1.9% 0.1% 7.1 14.9% 68.9 11.5% 1.6 -1.7% -2.7% -3.9% -2.8% 33 Industry-Country Adjusted Difference *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** (0.09) 1.0% 2.9% 3.3% 0.0% 1.0% 2.9% 3.3% 13.7% 2.0% -0.1% 6.2 12.8% 54.1 9.4% 1.3 -1.5% -0.3% -2.5% -2.5% *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** Table 6: What explains the use of TH? (probit regressions) This table presents the result of firm-level probit regressions. The dependent variable is an indicator variable equal to one if a firm has at least one subsidiary headquartered in a tax haven where tax havens are countries or non-sovereign nations on the OECD Grey List. Control variables in Panels A and B are defined in Table 5. In Panel C, Institutional Ownership, Foreign Institutional Ownership and Domestic Ownership are the fraction of shares owned by institutional, foreign institutional and domestic institutional owners (from Orbis/Osiris), respectively. All Panels include industry fixed effects. Panels A, B, C and E include country fixed effects. T-statistics for tests of significance based on robust standard errors are reported below coefficients. ***, ** and * indicate significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% level. Panel A: All firms (1) TH Sub (Dummy) Log (Assets) (2) TH Sub (Dummy) (3) TH Sub (Dummy) (5) TH Sub (Dummy) (6) TH Sub (Dummy) (7) TH Sub (Dummy) 0.810*** (17.22) 0.262*** (13.83) 0.028 (0.09) -0.074 (-0.37) 0.236* (1.92) 0.670*** (3.08) 0.301*** (4.01) 0.244*** (20.07) Return on Assets 0.854*** (4.70) Effective tax rate 0.630*** (4.28) Leverage Cash / Total Assets Dividend Payer (Dummy) Foreign – Home Tax Country FE Industry FE Observations Pseudo R2 (4) TH Sub (Dummy) 0.367*** (5.48) -0.585*** (-4.63) Yes Yes 11875 0.194 Yes Yes 7610 0.091 Yes Yes 6692 0.097 Yes Yes 8404 0.095 Yes Yes 11553 0.092 Yes Yes 11416 0.130 34 Yes Yes 5265 0.210 (8) TH Sub (Dummy) (9) TH Sub (Dummy) -7.138*** (-18.91) Yes Yes 5308 0.158 0.221*** (9.84) -0.214 (-0.58) -0.105 (-0.43) 0.140 (0.88) 0.481* (1.67) 0.341*** (3.56) -8.799*** (-11.18) Yes Yes 2463 0.228 Panel B: Transferable Assets Log (Assets) Return on Assets Effective tax rate Leverage Cash / Total Assets Dividend Payer (Dummy) Intangible Assets (1) TH Sub (Dummy) (2) TH Sub (Dummy) (3) TH Sub (Dummy) (4) TH Sub (Dummy) (5) TH Sub (Dummy) (6) TH Sub (Dummy) (7) TH Sub (Dummy) (8) TH Sub (Dummy) 0.255*** (13.35) 0.033 (0.11) -0.080 (-0.39) 0.233* (1.88) 0.767*** (3.46) 0.303*** (4.00) 0.670*** (4.07) 0.256*** (13.52) 0.082 (0.27) -0.041 (-0.20) 0.265** (2.13) 0.446* (1.92) 0.318*** (4.22) 0.246*** (12.89) 0.018 (0.06) -0.054 (-0.27) 0.282** (2.27) 0.602*** (2.74) 0.295*** (3.90) 0.228*** (11.29) -0.022 (-0.07) -0.008 (-0.04) 0.300** (2.37) 0.538** (2.37) 0.255*** (3.31) 0.245*** (12.80) 0.039 (0.13) -0.090 (-0.45) 0.262** (2.10) 0.586*** (2.64) 0.302*** (4.04) 0.218*** (10.81) 0.009 (0.03) 0.077 (0.38) 0.315** (2.50) 0.541** (2.36) 0.266*** (3.46) 0.237*** (12.30) 0.031 (0.10) -0.072 (-0.36) 0.291** (2.32) 0.551** (2.47) 0.297*** (3.94) 0.211*** (10.11) 0.008 (0.03) 0.068 (0.33) 0.340*** (2.67) 0.542** (2.34) 0.251*** (3.21) R&D/Assets 2.115*** (3.11) Trademark (Dummy) 0.291*** (5.20) Ln(#Trademarks) 0.216*** (3.68) 0.163*** (7.62) Parent (Dummy) 0.085*** (3.46) 0.343*** (5.70) Ln(#Patents) Country FE Industry FE Observations Pseudo R2 Yes Yes 5167 0.213 Yes Yes 5240 0.212 Yes Yes 5265 0.215 Yes Yes 5143 0.214 Yes Yes 5265 0.217 35 0.278*** (4.41) 0.130*** (7.93) Yes Yes 5146 0.211 Yes Yes 5265 0.219 0.099*** (5.27) Yes Yes 5058 0.208 Panel C: Institutional Ownership Log (Assets) Return on Assets Effective tax rate Leverage Cash / Total Assets Dividend Payer (Dummy) Institutional Ownership (1) TH Sub (Dummy) (2) TH Sub (Dummy) (3) TH Sub (Dummy) 0.316*** (12.05) 0.258 (0.65) 0.019 (0.07) 0.220 (1.32) 0.364 (1.34) 0.302*** (2.98) -2.406* (-1.95) 0.325*** (12.18) 0.292 (0.71) -0.003 (-0.01) 0.241 (1.44) 0.404 (1.48) 0.275*** (2.74) 0.313*** (12.03) 0.261 (0.68) -0.024 (-0.08) 0.190 (1.16) 0.496* (1.74) 0.314*** (3.07) Foreign Institutional Ownership -3.573 (-1.12) Domestic Institutional Ownership Country FE Industry FE Observations Pseudo R2 Yes Yes 5355 0.319 Yes Yes 5355 0.319 -4.372*** (-3.23) Yes Yes 5355 0.317 36 Panel D: Only US Firms Log (Assets) Return on Assets Effective tax rate Leverage Cash / Total Assets Dividend Payer (Dummy) Foreign-Home Tax (1) TH Sub (Dummy) (2) TH Sub (Dummy) (3) TH Sub (Dummy) (4) TH Sub (Dummy) (5) TH Sub (Dummy) (6) TH Sub (Dummy) (7) TH Sub (Dummy) (8) TH Sub (Dummy) (9) TH Sub (Dummy) 0.244*** (6.57) 0.492 (0.84) -0.612 (-1.44) 0.275 (1.11) 0.198 (0.52) 0.519*** (3.49) 0.174*** (4.51) 0.609 (0.91) -1.050** (-2.03) 0.006 (0.02) -0.571 (-1.19) 0.499*** (2.89) -9.529*** (-4.56) 0.236*** (6.26) 0.513 (0.87) -0.690 (-1.58) 0.225 (0.90) 0.394 (1.01) 0.538*** (3.61) 0.242*** (6.47) 0.522 (0.84) -0.602 (-1.41) 0.267 (1.07) 0.044 (0.11) 0.537*** (3.61) 0.236*** (6.38) 0.447 (0.75) -0.619 (-1.46) 0.286 (1.11) 0.061 (0.16) 0.500*** (3.34) 0.240*** (5.41) 0.343 (0.51) -0.150 (-0.33) 0.295 (1.03) 0.295 (0.68) 0.290* (1.75) 0.238*** (5.88) -0.313 (-0.55) 0.107 (0.23) 0.539** (2.15) 0.145 (0.34) 0.471*** (3.20) 0.230*** (5.62) -0.341 (-0.60) 0.115 (0.25) 0.575** (2.28) 0.158 (0.37) 0.436*** (3.01) 0.237*** (5.85) -0.309 (-0.54) 0.112 (0.25) 0.538** (2.14) 0.128 (0.30) 0.476*** (3.23) Intangible Assets 0.704** (2.41) R&D/Assets 0.748 (0.69) Trademark (Dummy) -0.077 (-0.58) Ln(#Trademarks) -0.008 (-0.20) Parent (Dummy) 0.514*** (3.81) Ln(#Patents) Institutional Ownership Foreign Institutional Ownership Domestic Inst. Ownership Industry FE Observations Pseudo R2 0.171*** (4.27) -2.408 (-1.22) 40.315 (1.23) Yes 961 0.207 Yes 584 0.211 Yes 939 0.209 Yes 955 0.206 Yes 961 0.222 37 Yes 855 0.219 Yes 987 0.177 Yes 989 0.176 -2.171 (-1.07) Yes 985 0.177 Panel E: Only non-US firms Log (Assets) Return on Assets Effective tax rate Leverage Cash / Total Assets Dividend Payer (Dummy) Foreign-Home Tax (1) TH Sub (Dummy) (2) TH Sub (Dummy) (3) TH Sub (Dummy) (4) TH Sub (Dummy) (5) TH Sub (Dummy) (6) TH Sub (Dummy) (7) TH Sub (Dummy) (8) TH Sub (Dummy) (9) TH Sub (Dummy) 0.282*** (12.99) -0.162 (-0.45) 0.003 (0.01) 0.233* (1.65) 0.667** (2.41) 0.227** (2.54) 0.262*** (9.14) -0.647 (-1.38) 0.237 (0.83) 0.152 (0.79) 0.994** (2.50) 0.181 (1.50) -8.810*** (-10.24) 0.276*** (12.59) -0.153 (-0.42) 0.024 (0.10) 0.238* (1.68) 0.727*** (2.59) 0.227** (2.52) 0.276*** (12.69) -0.130 (-0.36) 0.020 (0.09) 0.279** (1.97) 0.497* (1.74) 0.239*** (2.66) 0.252*** (11.39) -0.189 (-0.53) 0.010 (0.04) 0.302** (2.12) 0.574** (2.03) 0.225** (2.50) 0.215*** (9.28) -0.196 (-0.56) 0.039 (0.16) 0.366** (2.56) 0.505* (1.78) 0.246*** (2.67) 0.395*** (13.24) 0.780 (1.40) -0.089 (-0.23) 0.091 (0.40) 0.225 (0.55) 0.156 (1.08) 0.409*** (13.52) 0.857 (1.50) -0.105 (-0.26) 0.106 (0.46) 0.260 (0.63) 0.148 (1.01) 0.386*** (12.98) 0.670 (1.24) -0.193 (-0.49) 0.043 (0.19) 0.524 (1.19) 0.156 (1.10) Intangible Assets 0.590*** (2.87) R&D/Assets 3.007*** (3.06) Trademark (Dummy) 0.328*** (4.90) Ln(#Trademarks) 0.155*** (4.96) Parent (Dummy) 0.178** (2.40) Ln(#Patents) Institutional Ownership Foreign Institutional Ownership Domestic Inst. Ownership Country FE Industry FE Observations Pseudo R2 0.062*** (2.90) -1.330 (-0.85) -4.369 (-1.12) Yes Yes 4224 0.225 Yes Yes 4150 0.227 Yes Yes 4205 0.229 Yes Yes 4224 0.235 38 Yes Yes 4116 0.222 Yes Yes 4122 0.392 Yes Yes 4158 0.395 -4.968** (-2.42) Yes Yes 4119 0.389 Table 7 Changes in Corporate Taxes and Firm Value This table investigates the effect of changes in the corporate tax rate on firm value in a panel of publicly listed firms from 2008 to 2013. The left hand side is Tobin’s Q, obtained from Osiris as (Enterprise Value+Total Liabilities)/(Total Shareholder Equity (Book Value) + Total Liabilities). The key control variable is Change in Tax Rate, the percentage change in corporate tax rates over the previous year obtained from KPMG’ Corporate and indirect Tax Rate Survey 2014. Tax Haven Subsidiary is an indicator variable equal to one if a firm has at least one subsidiary in a tax haven (as defined by the OECD ‘Grey List’). Columns (1) and (2) use the full sample while Columns (3) and (4) use a sample of firms with tax haven subsidiary and control firms matched by industry, headquarter country, the natural logarithm of assets, and the natural logarithm of firms’ age (measured by years since foundation). All regressions control for the natural logarithm of assets, the natural logarithm of assets squared, firm fixed effects, and time fixed effects. T-statistics for tests of significance of coefficients based on robust standard errors clustered at the country and year level (2-way clustering) are reported below coefficients. ***, ** and * indicate significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% level. DV: Sample: Change in Tax Rate Change in Tax Rate * Tax Haven Subsidiary Ln(Assets) Ln(Assets) sqr Firm FE Time FE N r2_a (1) ALL Tobin’s Q All -0.858 (-1.52) (2) ALL Tobin’s Q All -0.872 (-1.55) 0.696* (1.79) 0.071** (2.15) -0.004*** (-3.12) Y Y 37414 0.813 0.071** (2.15) -0.004*** (-3.11) Y Y 37414 0.813 39 (3) ALL Tobin’s Q Matched -0.871** (-2.31) 0.211*** (8.74) -0.009*** (-5.23) Y Y 5587 0.851 (4) ALL Tobin’s Q Matched -1.217*** (-3.14) 1.027** (2.68) 0.211*** (8.68) -0.009*** (-5.22) Y Y 5587 0.851 Table 8 Tax Information Exchange Agreements passed by Non-Tax Haven Countries This table lists Tax Information Exchange Agreements (TIEAs) involving exactly one tax haven country (or non-sovereign nation) and one non-tax haven country (Source: OECD Harmful Tax Practices) and affecting at least one sample firm. Listed are non-tax haven signatories (Panel A) and Tax Haven signatories. This table lists all 362 such agreements – some sample firms may be affected by more than one of these agreements. Panel A: Non-Tax Havens Panel B: Tax Havens # TIEA Partners Coded ISO ISO Country ARG Argentina 2 ABW Aruba 8 AUS Australia 29 AIA Anguilla 11 AUT Austria 4 AND Andorra 12 BEL Belgium 12 ANT Netherlands Antilles 7 CAN Canada 7 ATG Antigua 11 CZE Czech Rep 5 BHR Bahrain 5 DEU Germany 13 BHS The Bahamas 14 DNK Denmark 38 BLZ Belize 11 ESP Spain 4 BMU Bermuda 16 FIN Finland 36 BRB Barbados 1 FRA France 20 COK Cook Islands 11 GBR UK 18 CRI Costa Rica 7 IND India 2 CYM Cayman Islands 18 IRL Ireland 15 DMA Dominica 11 ISL Iceland 37 GGY Guernsey 12 JPN Japan 3 GIB Gibraltar 16 MEX Mexico 3 GRD Grenada 9 NLD Netherlands 12 GTM Guatemala 4 NOR Norway 34 IMN Isle of Man 11 NZL New Zealand 15 JEY Jersey 12 PRT Portugal 14 KNA St. Kitts & Nevis 21 SVN Slovenia 1 LBR Liberia 8 SWE Sweden 34 LCA St. Lucia 13 USA United States 4 All non-TH Partners 362 Country # TIEA Partners Coded LIE Liechtenstein 12 MAC Macao 6 MCO Monaco 9 MHL Marshall Islands 7 MSR Monserrat 7 MUS Mauritius 5 PAN Panama 1 SMR San Marino 12 SYC The Seychelles 5 TCA Turks & Caicos 12 URY Uruguay 5 VCT St. Vincent & Grenadines 5 VGB British Virgin Islands 13 VUT Vanuatu 6 WSM Samoa 8 All TH Partners 40 362 Table 9: Tobin’s Q around the passage of Tax Information Exchange Agreements This table studies the effect of Tax Information Exchange Agreements (TIEAs) on firm value using OLS regressions for a panel of firms from 1995 to 2013. The left-hand side variable is the natural logarithm of Tobin’s, calculated as (Enterprise Value+Total Liabilities)/(Total Shareholder Equity (Book Value) + Total Liabilities). The key control Treated after is an indicator variable equal to one in the years after a firm has been directly affected by a TIEA. A firm is directly affected (treated) if it is headquartered in a country that signs a TIEA and has a subsidiary in the other signatory country or non-sovereign nation (a tax haven). Some firms are affected by more than one TIEA: They are counted as treated the moment they are affected for the first time. Column (1) uses the full sample of firms. In columns (2) and (3), one non-treated (control) firm is matched to each treated firms five years prior to the year a TIEA is signed. In columns (4) and (5), up to 10 firms are matched to treated firms with replacement. Control after is an indicator variable equal to one in the years after a firm is control firm to a firm affected by a TIEA. Firms are matched by country and industry and then additionally by the natural logarithm of assets and the natural logarithm of their age, measured as the number of years since the founding year. All regressions control for the natural logarithm of assets, the natural logarithm of assets squared, firm fixed effects, and time fixed effects. Treated=Control provides the p-value from testing that the coefficient on Treated after equals that on Control after. T-statistics for tests of significance of coefficients based on robust standard errors clustered at the country and year level (2-way clustering) are reported below coefficients. ***, ** and * indicate significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% level. Treated after (1) ALL Ln(Tobin’s Q) (2) 1 Match Ln(Tobin’s Q) (3) 1 Match Ln(Tobin’s Q) (4) 10 Match Ln(Tobin’s Q) (5) 10 Matches Ln(Tobin’s Q) 0.031*** (3.26) 0.025* (1.82) 0.033* (2.07) 0.023* (1.94) 0.028** (2.13) Control after -0.013 (-1.01) -0.010 (-0.99) Ln(Assets) 0.097*** (3.30) -0.056 (-1.45) -0.054 (-1.36) 0.115*** (3.77) 0.116*** (3.73) Ln(Assets) Sqr -0.004*** (-3.22) -0.000 (-0.00) -0.000 (-0.05) -0.005*** (-5.18) -0.005*** (-5.11) Y Y 75841 0.715 Y Y 4052 0.752 Y Y 4052 0.752 0.083 Y Y 13280 0.723 Y Y 13280 0.724 0.070 Firm FE Time FE N Adjusted R2 Treated=Control 41 Table 10 - Other Components of Tobin’s Q around the passage of Tax Information Exchange Agreements This table studies the effect of Tax Information Exchange Agreements (TIEAs) on various contributors to firm value using OLS regressions for a panel of firms from 1995 to 2013. The analysis follows exactly Table 9 but the left-hand side is ROA(%) (Profit & Loss before Tax / Total Assets in %), Profit Margin (Profit&Loss before Tax / Operating Revenue in %), Gross Margin (Gross Profit / Operating Revenue in %), Effective Tax Rate (Income Taxes / Earnings before Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortization in %), and Beta (estimated in a 1-factor model of monthly excess stock returns on the headquarter country’s main market index’ excess return over 24 months). Odd-numbered columns report results for the whole sample; even-numbered columns report results for a sample of treated and control firms .Control firms are matched by country and industry and then additionally by the natural logarithm of assets and the natural logarithm of their age, measured as the number of years since the founding year. All regressions control for the natural logarithm of assets, the natural logarithm of assets squared, firm fixed effects, and time fixed effects. Treated=Control provides the p-value from testing that the coefficient on Treated after equals that on Control after. T-statistics for tests of significance of coefficients based on robust standard errors clustered at the country and year level (2-way clustering) are reported below coefficients. ***, ** and * indicate significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% level. Treated after (1) ALL (2) Match 1 ROA(%) -0.262 (-0.93) Control after (4) Match 1 Profit Margin (%) (5) ALL Gross Margin (%) (6) Match 1 Gross Margin (%) (7) ALL Effective Tax (8) Match 1 Effective Tax (9) ALL (10) Match 1 ROA(%) (3) ALL Profit Margin (%) Beta Beta 0.363 (0.74) -0.752 (-1.31) -0.172 (-0.16) 0.876* (1.93) 1.294** (2.21) 0.003 (0.53) 0.007 (0.82) 0.003 (0.05) -0.042 (-1.20) -0.482 (-0.89) -0.990 (-1.02) -0.568 (-1.18) -0.000 (-0.00) 0.003 (0.08) Assets 15.191*** (8.23) 9.963*** (3.47) 9.447*** (5.14) 9.492*** (3.17) -3.199** (-2.77) -0.189 (-0.02) 0.010* (2.02) 0.004 (0.45) -0.121*** (-4.07) -0.137 (-0.74) Assets Sqr -0.507*** (-6.84) -0.334*** (-3.73) -0.297*** (-4.20) -0.285*** (-3.17) 0.135*** (2.98) 0.039 (0.14) 0.000 (0.06) -0.000 (-0.05) 0.008*** (6.86) 0.008 (1.20) Y Y 71243 0.572 Y Y 3981 0.547 0.383 Y Y 64202 0.486 Y Y 3859 0.494 0.687 Y Y 64221 0.848 Y Y 3793 0.885 0.077 Y Y 71594 0.316 Y Y 3934 0.377 0.654 Y Y 38940 0.339 Y Y 2193 0.379 0.506 Firm FE Time FE N Adjusted R2 Treated=Control 42 Table 11: Haven Hopping This conversion matrix investigates whether firms strategically move out of tax havens entering Tax Information Exchange Agreements (TIEAs) between 2008 and 2013. The focus is on non-US sample firms for which subsidiary data was available in both 2008 and 2013 (most TIEAs signed by the US date back to the early 2000s). For 2008, each row gives the number of firms with no tax haven subsidiary, with tax haven subsidiaries only in tax havens that subsequently sign a TIEA, with tax haven subsidiaries only in tax havens that subsequently do not sign a TIEA, and with tax haven subsidiaries in both tax havens that sign and that do not sign a TIEA. For 2013, each column gives the number of firms with no tax haven subsidiary, with tax haven subsidiaries only in tax havens that subsequently sign a TIEA, with tax haven subsidiaries only in tax havens that subsequently do not sign a TIEA, and with tax haven subsidiaries in both tax havens that sign and that do not sign a TIEA. Numbers and percentages denote the number of firms and the percentage of the group moving from a category in 2008 to a category in 2013. For instance, 1,588 firms did not have a tax haven subsidiary in 2008. 1,480 of these firms had no tax haven subsidiary in 2013 and 77 of these firms established at least one subsidiary in tax havens but only in tax havens that did not sign TIEAs over the five years, accounting for 5% of the 1,588 firms. 43 Figure 1: The use of tax haven subsidiaries and country characteristics This Figure illustrates the use of tax haven subsidiaries at the country level. The y-axis denotes the percentage of publicly listed firms that have at least one tax haven subsidiary. Subsidiary data is collected from Dun & Bradstreet’s Who Owns Whom 2013/2014 book series. Tax havens are sovereign countries or non-sovereign nations that appear on the OECD grey list (as of August 17, 2009); Hong Kong, Singapore and Ireland are omitted because they constitute tax havens by that list or other official tax haven lists. The xaxis denotes country level characteristics. Corporate Tax Rate is the maximum corporate tax rate bracket and Income Tax Rate is the maximum income tax bracket in 2013, obtained through various sources (largely government agencies and audit firms). ICRG (Property Rights Protection) captures political, economic and financial risk in 2013 and is obtained from the International Country Risk Guide; the measure ranges from 1 to 6 and increases in protection. Corruption Level is based on Transparency International’s Corruption Perception Index as of 2013 (Source: Transparency International), an index that measures corruption levels on a scale from 1 (high corruption) to 10 (low corruption). Tax Evasion is obtained from the Global Competitiveness Report conducted by the World Economic Forum: Countries’ tax evasion is rated on a scale from 1 (strongly disagree) to 7 (strongly agree) to the statement ‘Tax evasion is minimal.’. Log (GDP per capita) is the natural logarithm, of GDP per capita in USD in 2013 (Source: World Bank). Each country observation is represented by an ‘X’; the line of best fit for equally weighted observations is shown. 44 45 Figure 2: Value and use of tax haven subsidiaries around changes in corporate tax rates This figure plots changes in the corporate tax rate between 2008 and 2013 against changes in firm value and changes in the use of tax haven subsidiaries, respectively. Changes in the corporate tax rate are obtained from KPMG’ Corporate and indirect Tax Rate Survey 2014; a negative value denotes a reduction in corporate tax rates over the five year period. On the left, the y-axis denotes changes in the difference in Tobin’s Q from 2008 to 2013. Specifically, the difference between Tobin’s Q of firms with tax haven subsidiaries in 2008 and firms without tax haven subsidiaries in 2008 is deducted from the respective difference in 2013. A negative value denotes that firms with tax haven subsidiary have become relatively less valuable over the five year period. Subsidiary data is collected from Dun & Bradstreet’s Who Owns Whom 2013/2014 book series. Tax havens are sovereign countries or non-sovereign nations that appear on the OECD grey list (as of August 17, 2009). Tobin’s Q is obtained from Osiris as (Enterprise Value+Total Liabilities)/(Total Shareholder Equity (Book Value) + Total Liabilities). On the right, the y-axis denotes the difference between the percentage of firms with tax haven subsidiaries in 2013 and the percentage of firms with tax haven subsidiaries in 2008. A positive value means that the fraction of firms with tax haven subsidiary has increased over the five year period. Each country observation is represented by an ‘X’; the line of best fit for equally weighted observations is shown. 46 Figure 3: Tax Information Exchange Agreements and Treated Firms over time This figure shows the evolution of passed Tax Information Exchange Agreements (TIEAs) and treated firms over time. The graph on the left shows all TIEAs passed between two countries or non-sovereign nations (Source: OECD Harmful Tax Practices). The graph on the right shows the number of publicly listed firms directly affected by TIEAs at any point in time. A firm is directly affected (treated) if it is headquartered in a country that signs a TIEA and has a subsidiary in the other signatory country (a tax haven). Some firms are affected by more than one TIEA: They are counted as treated the moment they are affected for the first time. 47 Figure 4: Firm Value around the Passage of Tax Information Exchange Agreements (TIEAs) This figure shows the evolution of firm value of treated firms relative to control firms around the passage of Tax Information Exchange Agreements (TIEAs). The x-axis denotes years around the passage of TIEAs. The y-axis shows the interaction between year-to-event dummies and an indicator variable that equals 1 if a firm is directly affected by a TIEA. Interaction terms are obtained from an OLS regression on a sample of treated and control firms with the natural logarithm of Tobin’s Q on the left hand side and controls for size and size squared as well as year and industry fixed effects on the right. Control firms are matched to treated firms 5 years before treatment by headquarter country, industry, as well as the natural logarithm of assets and the natural logarithm of assets squared. 48 Figure 5: Daily returns of affected firms around the passage of Tax Information Exchange Agreements (TIEAs) This figure plots cumulative returns of firms affected by Tax Information Exchange Agreements (TIEAs) over the 100 days surrounding the signing of a TIEA. A firm is directly affected (treated) if it is headquartered in a country that signs a TIEA and has a subsidiary in the other signatory country (a tax haven). Some firms are affected by more than one TIEA: They are counted as treated the moment they are affected for the first time. Event dates are spread over 10 years (2002 to 2011). Returns are obtained from Datastream/Worldscope and cumulated; cumulative returns are standardized to equal zero a day before the signature date. 49