2040 Transportation Plan (25MB PDF)
Transcription
2040 Transportation Plan (25MB PDF)
Michiana on the Move 2040 Transportation Plan November 2014 Michiana Area Council of Governments 227 W. Jefferson Blvd. County-City Building, Room 1120 South Bend, IN 46614 Acknowledgments 2014 Policy Board Members Judy Stone Larry Thompson Allan Kauffman Marsha McClure Councilman, Marshall County Chairperson Jessica Clark Commissioner, St. Joseph County Treasurer Ralph Booker Mayor, City of Nappanee Mayor, City of Goshen Joseph Thallemer Mayor, City of Warsaw Pete Buttigieg Oliver Davis John Letherman Frank Lucchese Dick Moore Kevin Overmyer John Reisdorf Mark Root Bob Sanders Mark Senter Ron Troyer Ron Truex David Wood 2014 Transportation Technical Advisory Committee Members Mayor, City of South Bend Councilman, City of South Bend Councilman, Elkhart County Commissioner, Elkhart County Mayor, City of Elkhart Commissioner, Marshall County Councilman, City of Mishawaka Councilman, St. Joseph County Councilman, Kosciusko County Mayor, City of Plymouth Councilman, City of Elkhart Vice-Chairperson Mary Cripe Secretary Larry Magliozzi Vice-Chairperson David Cagany Member Tim O’Donnell Member Member Member Member Member Member Member Member Member Member Commissioner, Kosciusko County Member Mayor, City of Mishawaka Member Chris Dressel Angela Fegaras Rick Gaul Chris Godlewski Laurie Baker Jerry Halperin Bill Holder John Leckie Michael Machlan Roger Nawrot Scott Tilden Ken Prince Ron Robinson Jeremy Skinner Jeff Taylor Gary West St. Joseph County Engineering Chairperson Marshall County Planning Member City of Goshen Engineering South Bend PTC (Transpo) St. Joseph County Area Plan Vice-Chairperson Member Member South Bend International Airport Member City of South Bend Community Investment INDOT LaPorte District City of Plymouth Public Works Elkhart County Planning Marshall County Highway INDOT Central Office Kosciusko County GIS INDOT Fort Wayne District City of Elkhart Engineering City of South Bend Public Works Kosciusko County Highway City of Mishwaka Planning Kosciusko County Administrator City of Warsaw Planning Elkhart County Highway City of Mishawaka Engineering Member Member Member Member Member Member Member Member Member Member Member Member Member Member Member Member Acknowledgments MACOG Staff Members James Turnwald Zachery Dripps John-Paul Hopman Greg Slater Joe Mehl Caitlin Stevens Erin Roznik Jeremy Reiman Tierra Harris Thomas Yuill Russ Ragimbekov Carla Keirnan Shirley Czerna Johnnie Woggon Debbie Gardner Lori Ratliff Ben St. Germain Executive Director Principal Planner GIS/Network Modeling Manager Senior Planner: Traffic Count Manager Regional Planner Regional Planner Regional Planner Environmental Planner Transit Planner Transit Planner Senior IT Manager Office Manager Assistant Office Manager Transit Administrative Program Specialist Fiscal Accounting Manger Fiscal Accounting Coordinator Intern Table of Contents Chapter 1: Introduction 3 Purpose of the Plan 4 MPO Background 4 Planning Area 5 MAP-21 Planning Factors 6 Planning Process 6 Chapter 2: Regional Overview 11 Geography of the Region 12 Transportation Network 13 Chapter 3: Trends & Projections 29 Population Trends 30 Household Trends 33 Economic Trends 35 Travel Patterns & Trends 37 Chapter 4: Recommendations 45 Crossroads of America 46 Recommendations 49 Table of Contents Chapter 5: Financial 53 Federal Funding Programs 54 Local Funding Programs 55 Transit Funding Programs 56 Highway Trust Fund 57 Financial Plan 59 Chapter 6: System Performance 63 National Performance Measures 64 State Performance Measures 66 Local Performance Measures 66 Appendix A: List of Proposed Projects 69 Appendix B: Michiana Area Travel Study 89 Appendix C: Modeling Process 93 Appendix D: Air Quality Conformtiy Analysis 105 Appendix E: Red Flag Investigation 109 Appendix F: Environmental Justice 143 Appendix G:Congestion Management Process 151 Table of Contents Figures Figure 1-1: MACOG Planning Area 5 Figure 1-2: Transportation Planning Requirements 7 Figure 2-1: 2013 Estimated Population Ranking of Cities and Towns 12 Figure 2-2: Region Location 12 Figure 2-3: Roadway Network 13 Figure 2-4: Number of Crashes by County from 2009-2013 14 Figure 2-5: Percentage of Crashes Resulting in Injury by Type of Injury 15 Figure 2-6: Regional Public Transit 16 Figure 2-7: Transpo Ridership by Route 2012-2013 17 Figure 2-8: Transpo Annual Ridership 17 Figure 2-9: Interurban Trolley Ridership by Route 2012-2013 18 Figure 2-10: Interurban Trolley Annual Ridership 18 Figure 2-11: Proposed South Shore Realignment 19 Figure 2-12: Midwest Regional Rail Initiative (MWRRI) System Map 20 Figure 2-13 Means of Traveling to Work - Walking or Bicycling 21 Figure 2-14: Types of Bicycle and Pedestrian Facilities 22 Figure 2-15: Michiana Regional Bicycle and Pedestrian Facilities 23 Figure 2-16: South Bend International Airport Enplanements 24 Figure 2-17: Regional Truck Volume Flows 25 Table of Contents Figures Continued Figure 2-18: Railroad Freight Lines 26 Figure 2-19: South Bend International Airport Cargo in Tons 26 Figure 3-1: Population Projections 30 Figure 3-2: Population Pyramid - 2010 31 Figure 3-3: Population Pyramid - 2040 31 Figure 3-4: Average Household Size 34 Figure 3-5: Percent of Families below Poverty Level 35 Figure 3-6: Percent of Housing Supply - Vacant 35 Figure 3-7: Change in Employment between 2003 - 2013 36 Figure 3-8: Commuter Volumes Into and Out of Each County 38 Figure 3-9: Percent of Employment by Industry 37 Figure 3-10: Total Daily VMT by County 39 Figure 3-11: Household Income vs Household Trips and Vehicles 40 Figure 3-12: Percent of Commuters by Travel Time 40 Figure 3-13: Projected Landuse Changes in 2040 41 Figure 4-1: Peak Period Congestion on the NHS: 2007 46 Figure 4-2: Peak Period Congestion on the NHS: 2040 46 Figure 4-3: Average Daily Long-Haul Traffic on the NHS: 2007 47 Table of Contents Figures Continued Figure 4-4: Average Daily Long-Haul Traffic on the NHS: 2040 47 Figure 4-5: Peak-Period Congestion on High-Volume Truck Portions on the NHS: 2007 48 Figure 4-6: Peak-Period Congestion on High-Volume Truck Portions on the NHS: 2040 48 Figure 5-1: Receipts, Outlays, and Balance or Shortfall for the Highway Account Under CBO’s April 2014 Baseline 57 Figure 5-2: Vehicle Miles Traveled - Moving 12-Month Total on All Highways 58 Figure A-1: Elkhart County Proposed Project Map 70 Figure A-2: Kosciusko County Proposed Project Map 74 Figure A-3: Marshall County Proposed Project Map 78 Figure A-4: St. Joseph County Proposed Project Map 81 Figure C-1: The MACOG Hybrid Model Design 94 Figure F-1: Elkhart County Environmental Justice 143 Figure F-2: Kosciusko County Environmental Justice 144 Figure F-3: Marshall County Environmental Justice 145 Figure F-4: St. Joseph County Environmental Justice 146 Table of Contents Tables Table 3-1: Median Age 2000 - 2040 30 Table 3-2: Race and Ethnicity by County 32 Table 3-3: 2030 Race and Ethnicity Projection for Indiana 32 Table 3-4: Language Spoken at Home - Spanish 33 Table 3-5: Household Populations 33 Table 3-6: Household vs Population Growth - 2000-2012 34 Table 3-7: Household Income 34 Table 4-1: Statewide Significant Projects 50 Table 5-1: Expenses vs Revenues - Highway Recap 59 Table 5-2: Estimated Federal Highway Funds 60 Table 5-3: Estimated Highway Match Funds 60 Table 5-4: Estimated Federal Transit Funds 61 Table A-1: Elkhart County Proposed Project List 71 Table A-2: Kosciusko County Proposed Project List 75 Table A-3: Marshall County Proposed Project List 79 Table A-4: St. Joseph County Proposed Project List 82 Table of Contents Tables Continued Table C-1: Factors Affecting Household Tour and Stop Generation 96 Table C-2: Factors Affecting Tour Mode Choice 99 Table E-1: Infrastructure 111 Table E-2: Water Resources & Mining and Mineral Resources 120 Table E-3: Hazardous Materials 130 Contents 4 | Purpose of the Plan 4 | MPO Background 5 | Planning Area 6 | MAP-21 Planning Factors 6 | Planning Process Chapter 1: Introduction Michiana on the Move 1 Purpose of the Plan The Michiana on the Move: 2040 Transportation Plan acts as a blueprint for how the Michiana region will address its transportation needs and how federal, state and local funds will be invested into highways, public transit, freight, bikeways and pedestrian walkways. The Plan also references other local and regional plans in order to coordinate multimodal and intermodal services throughout the community. Guided by input from public officials, agency staff, key stakeholders, and citizens of the region, Michiana on the Move is a roadmap for implementing multimodal transportation improvements in the Michiana region through the year 2040. The regional transportation system is evaluated in order to identify and formulate the best solutions to topic areas such as safety, congestion, highway, public transit, bike and pedestrian and multi‐modal systems for the local communities. The 2040 Transportation Plan emphasizes the use of existing roads and alternate modes of transportation as invaluable in addressing and identifying solutions to congestion problems. 4 Chapter 1: Introduction MPO Background A Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) is a transportation policy-making body made up of representatives from local government and transportation agencies with authority and responsibility in metropolitan planning areas. Federal legislation passed in the early 1970s required the formation of an MPO for any urbanized area with a population greater than 50,000 residents. MPOs were created in order to ensure that existing and future expenditures for transportation projects and programs were based on a continuing, cooperative and comprehensive planning process. Federal funding for transportation projects and programs is channeled through the MPO. The Michiana Area Council of Governments (MACOG) is a regional organization serving Elkhart, Kosciusko, Marshall, and St. Joseph Counties in Indiana. MACOG was originally organized under the 1964 Amendments to the Interlocal Cooperation Act of the Indiana General Assembly, Section 53-1101 to 53-1107 and the Urban Cooperation Act No. 7, Michigan Public Acts of 1967. Bylaws were adopted by the organization on December 2, 1970. MACOG serves as a forum for regional discussion and cooperation. MACOG, as a regional organization, is the U.S. DOT designated Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) for the region’s urban counties of Elkhart and St. Joseph and a Rural Planning Organization (RPO) for the region’s rural counties of Kosciusko and Marshall. In addition, MACOG operates the Interurban Trolley, a public fixedroute transit service in Elkhart and Goshen; serves as the designated Economic Development District by the United States Economic Development Administration; and staffs the St. Joseph River Basin Commission representing seven Indiana counties. MACOG is governed by a Policy Board and Transportation Technical Advisory Committee that provides guidance and assistance to MACOG in its regional planning activities. 2040 Transportation Plan The MACOG Policy Board The Policy Board is the body responsible for policy formulation, project guidance, and administrative coordination of all policy relating to the development of the transportation plan and its implementation within the Michiana region. Official action taken by the MACOG must be approved by the Policy Board. The Policy Board includes elected officials representing the cities and counties within the planning area. A list of the current Policy Board members is included in the acknowledgements. Figure 1-1: MACOG Planning Area Transportation Technical Advisory Committee The Transportation Technical Advisory Committee (TTAC) is comprised of planners, engineers, and other professional staff from various departments representing the local public agencies in the planning area. The TTAC serves as the advisory group to the MACOG Policy Board. The MACOG staff works closely with TTAC members on project development, planning and oversight. A list of current members is listed in the acknowledgements. Planning Area The MACOG planning area consists of the federally designated urbanized areas of Elkhart and St. Joseph Counties. MACOG also serves as a rural planning organization to Kosciusko and Marshall Counties. The 4-county region contains an estimated 592,344 people (2013 Census Annual Estimates), covers 1,921 square miles, and includes 35 cities and towns. MACOG is unique in the sense it is an MPO representing two urbanized areas (the South Bend Urbanized Area and the Elkhart/Goshen Urbanized Area). In addition to the two urban areas, a portion of the South Bend Urbanized Area extends into Michigan around the City of Niles. MACOG coordinates with the Southwest Michigan Planning Commission (SWMPC) for planning in the Niles area. Chapter 1: Introduction 5 Michiana on the Move MAP-21 Planning Factors Moving Ahead for Progress in the 21st Century was signed into law by President Obama in 2012 to address transportation infrastructure issues through performance-based planning frameworks. An MPO must have a 20-year long-range transportation plan and a transportation improvement program that implements the plan. Together, the plan and program work on comprehensive development and management of transportation systems that considers all transportations modes. MAP-21 lists eight Planning Factors, which MACOG addresses in the 2040 Transportation Plan. • Support the economic vitality of the metropolitan area, especially by enabling global competitiveness, productivity and efficiency. • Increase the safety of the transportation system for motorized and non‐motorized users. • Increase the security of the transportation system for motorized and non‐motorized users. • Increase the accessibility and mobility options available to people and for freight. • Protect and enhance the environment, promote energy conservation and improve quality of life, promote consistency of transportation plan and transportation improvements with State and local planned growth and economic development patterns. • Enhance the integration and connectivity of the transportation system, across and between modes, for people and freight. • Promote efficient system management and operation. 6 • Emphasize the preservation of the existing transportation system. Chapter 1: Introduction Planning Process Figure 1-2 illustrates how the Michiana on the Move plan must include and coordinate with other plans and agencies. The eight planning factors are at the core of the Plan. Additionally, other federal legislation, state and local partners, and various plans must coordinate with the 2040 Transportation Plan. Finally, the overarching components to the planning process are the public participation and fiscal constraint. The Plan is a reflection of the needs of the public on transportation investment for the future. This plan is required to be fiscally constrained, which the projects listed in Appendix A of the Plan must be possible given a forecasted budget. An extensive planning process was followed in the development of the 2040 Transportation Plan. Essential elements included the identification of needed projects and resource allocation. These were supported by the following tasks. MACOG 2040 Transportation Planning Process • Public Outreach • Forecasting socioeconomic data • Existing conditions and needs analysis • Forecasting travel demand • Identification of problem areas • Red flag analysis • Title VI and Environmental Justice Public Outreach MACOG conducted a variety of public outreach efforts including a regional household travel survey using a combination of postal mailings, online tools, and telephone interviews. As part of the development of a hybrid travel demand model, an online university study was conducted with the assistance of several colleges and universities in the MACOG region. 2040 Transportation Plan Figure 1-2: Transportation Planning Requirements Chapter 1: Introduction 7 Michiana on the Move MPO staff also held and attended numerous meetings with elected officials, engineers, and planners as well as made presentations to the various Chambers of Commerce and Economic Development Corporations of north central Indiana. Lastly, MACOG was invited and met with the North Central Regional Logistics Council (Conexus) to discuss the needs of freight stakeholders. Additionally, the general public were given the opportunity to provide comments on the Plan and projects starting October 3rd through November 3rd. An open house was held in each county in order to provide the public a chance to ask questions and give feedback. The open houses were held between 12:00 p.m. and 4:00 p.m. on the following dates and locations: October 6 October 13 October 20 October 27 Elkhart County at the Municipal Annex Building 204 E. Jefferson St., Goshen, IN St. Joseph County at the MACOG Office 227 E. Jefferson Blvd, Room 1120, South Bend, IN Kosciusko County at the Justice Building 121 N. Lake St, Warsaw, IN Marshall County at the County Building 112 W. Jefferson St., Room 207, Plymouth, IN Socioeconomic Forecasts 8 Socioeconomic data such as population, households, employment, and household income levels are important to assess the future transportation needs of the Metropolitan Planning Area (MPA). The historic and current socioeconomic data available along with projections developed by STATS Indiana and other economic forecasts Chapter 1: Introduction were used to develop the future population and employment numbers of the MPA. The regional socioeconomic data was allocated to Traffic Analysis Zones (TAZs) using the HELPViz land use model developed as part of a new hybrid travel demand model for the 2040 Transportation Plan. The data was used in the travel demand model to assess the current conditions and future travel demand within the MPA. Existing Condition and Needs Analysis MACOG used various planning tools to conduct an existing condition and needs analysis. A detailed description of the region’s current conditions, trends and projections are laid out in Chapters 2 and 3. A brief discussion of analysis factors and methodology used to conduct the needs analysis is provided below. Providing safe and efficient access to employment, shopping, recreational and other facilities is the primary role of the transportation system. This system should be available to everyone in the region, which is why Michiana on the Move considers all forms of transportation, for people and goods. The Plan addresses the connectivity between various land uses and between various communities within the region. The safety of individuals using all modes of transportation was considered throughout the Plan. Connectivity GIS mapping and oblique aerial imagery from Pictometry were used to examine the connectivity of all modes of transportation between residential areas and various other land uses within and between various communities within the region. Safety The Indiana crash data records and available local datasets are being compiled for analysis as part of a long term project to identify the high crash locations within the region. 2040 Transportation Plan Forecasting Travel Demand Forecasting travel demand is an important part of transportation planning. Anticipating the demands of future travel assists local governmental agencies in identifying the future needs of the region and planning to account for and fulfill those needs. The travel demand model not only forecasts the generation of future trips but also forecasts the modal splits based on the affordability of a personal vehicle, availability of alternative modes of transportation, and travel behavior of the users based on time of day, facility types and travel conditions of the roadways. MACOG uses a hybrid tour based model developed for the 2040 Transportation Plan to forecast future travel demand. The model is sensitive to conditions such as the availability of alternative modes of transportation, urban design elements, types of controls existing at the intersections, speeds and delays, and fuel prices. Unlike the traditional 4-step trip-based travel demand model, MACOG’s hybrid model includes 12 steps. A detailed description of the modeling process is provided in Appendix C. Identification of Problem Areas The hybrid travel demand model was used to evaluate the existing transportation network’s performance with the anticipated future population and employment growth. To accomplish this task MACOG conducted no-build scenario model runs with the projected socioeconomic data on the existing transportation network, only including future projects currently under construction or that have otherwise been listed in the MACOG 2014-2017 Transportation Improvement Program (TIP). The results of these model runs were examined to identify the areas of the transportation network that are performing at levels of service E and F, which are considered unacceptable driving conditions. Consideration was given to all modes of transportation including auto, freight, transit, bike and pedestrian. Red Flag Investigation In order to help determine potential environmental impacts, MACOG conducted a red flag analysis on most projects included in the 2040 Transportation Plan. A red flag analysis uses GIS to identify the existence of environmental items of concern with respect to: • Infrastructure • Water Resources • Mining/Mineral Exploration • Hazardous Materials • Ecological Information • Cultural Resources A detailed discussion of the Red Flag Investigation is provided in Appendix E. Title VI and Environmental Justice MACOG believes that Title VI and Environmental Justice are critical elements to the transportation planning process. Title VI and Environmental Justice are about the fair treatment and meaningful involvement of all people regardless of race, color, national origin, or income. In Appendix F, MACOG conducted a study on Environmental Justice populations which summarizes the potential impacts of the proposed projects. Chapter 1: Introduction 9 Contents 12 | Geography of the Region 13 | Transportation Network Chapter 2: Regional Overview Michiana on the Move Figure 2-2: Region Location 2 Geography of the Region The MACOG region is located in North Central Indiana and consists of Elkhart, Kosciusko, Marshall and St. Joseph Counties. Two of the four counties (St. Joseph and Elkhart Counties) border the Michigan state line. There are 35 cities and towns in the Michiana Area. Figure 2-1 shows the population estimates for the largest communities in each of the four counties. The region is centrally located to several major cities in the Midwest. South Bend (the largest city in the region) is located 95 miles or two and a half (2 1/2) hours of drive time east of downtown Chicago, 155 miles or three (3) hours north of downtown Indianapolis, and 215 miles or three and a half (3 1/2) hours southwest of Detroit. Additionally, the region is approximately 35 miles or 45 minutes south east from Lake Michigan. Figure 2-1: 2013 Estimated Population Ranking of Cities and Towns 12 Chapter 2: Regional Overview 2040 Transportation Plan The MACOG region is home to several fascinating water resources. The region is unique in that its water resources drain into three major water body networks: the Great Lakes, the Mississippi River, and the Ohio River. A large portion of the region’s water flows into the St. Joseph River via the Elkhart River and other tributaries, and further drains into Lake Michigan. Over 130 natural lakes occur in the Figure 2-3: Roadway Network region, more than half being located within Kosciusko County. Many of these lakes are hot spots for recreation, such as Lake Wawasee, the largest lake wholly contained in Indiana. Below the surface, the only sole source aquifer in Indiana is located within Elkhart, Kosciusko, and St. Joseph Counties. This portion of the region is designated as a Wellhead Protection Area, meaning that it receives a special level of protection from groundwater contamination. Transportation Network The transportation network is more than roads and highways; it includes public transportation, bicycle and pedestrian paths and the movement of freight. It is not just one of these elements, but all of them working together, to create an efficient and effective transportation network for people and products to move throughout the region. Roads and Highways The MACOG region is comprised of over 6,554 miles of roadway, providing connectivity and access, both locally and regionally. At its most basic, the roadway network can be separated into three categories: the national highway system, state facilities, and local facilities. Furthermore, roadways are functionally classified, based upon their intended character of service, into interstates, expressways, principal and minor arterials, major and minor collectors, and local roads. The transportation network is always evolving and because of this it is important to identify and address changes, challenges, and opportunities that might occur in the future through the visioning of the transportation planning process. National Highway System The National Highways System (NHS) contains roads and highways important to the nation’s economy, defense, and mobility and therefore should be given the highest priority for improvements and repairs. Within in the MACOG region there is one corridor that is part of the Eisenhower Interstate System: I-80/I-90 (Indiana Toll Road). Chapter 2: Regional Overview 13 Michiana on the Move This interstate runs through the northern portion of the region, traveling all the way from California to New York. Other highways that are part of the NHS include US 31, US 20, US 33, US 30, SR 120, SR 19, SR 23 and SR 331. MAP-21 redefined the National Highway System to include Other Principle Arterials, a functional classification category. This includes roads such as Lincolnway, Western Avenue, Main Street (Mishawaka) McKinley Highway (Old US 20), CR 6 and CR 17. Regional State Facilities State highways are generally a mixture of primary and secondary roads intended to provide regional connectivity between the cities and towns within the state. For the MACOG region, SR 2, SR 4, SR 120, SR 933 (Lincolnway), US 6, US 20 and US 30 provide east-west connections inside and outside the region. For north-south connection, SR 23, SR 331, SR 19, SR 15, SR 13, US 31 and US 33 provide connection inside and outside the region. Local Facilities The Michiana area has an extensive network of arterial and collector roadways that provide access and connectivity for a high volume of vehicular traffic. These networks are extended to other smaller incorporated towns and cities, accommodating travel demand. In total, 35 cities and towns are connected by the network within the MACOG region. Safety The region has experienced a slight increase in vehicle crashes recently with a total of 18,117 crashes in 2013. From 2009 to 2013, crashes in Kosciusko and Marshall Counties remained relatively flat, consistent with daily vehicle miles traveled, staying within a range of 2,200 to 2,500 crashes in Kosciusko County and 1,300 to 1,500 crashes in Marshall County. Elkhart County has seen a slight increase in crashes since 2011 from 5,962 crashes in 2011 to 6,952 crashes in 2013. Crashes in St. Joseph County decreased from 2009 to 2012; however, in 2013 crashes increased from 6,636 in 2012 to 14 Chapter 2: Regional Overview 7,359 crashes. Every crash is recorded as either property damage only, fatal crashes, incapacitating injuries, non-incapacitating injuries, and possible injuries. The large majority of crashes tend to be property damage only, resulting in no injuries. In 2013, 86 percent of crashes in Elkhart County, Marshall County, and Kosciusko County were property damage only crashes. St. Joseph County experience a higher percentage of injury related crashes with only 80 percent of crashes being recorded as property damage only. Elkhart County has the highest number of fatal crashes, 20, in 2013 followed by 17 fatal crashes in St. Joseph County, 12 in Marshall County, and 6 in Kosciusko County. Figure 2-5 represents the percent of injuries sustained in each county from 2009 to 2013. Elkhart and Kosciusko Counties have exhibited an upward trend of injuries related to crashes. Elkhart County has seen an increase from 1,119 injuries in 2009 to 1,371 injuries corresponding from crashes in 2013. Kosciusko County experienced an increase from 471 injuries in 2009 to 548 injuries in 2013. These injury increases largely stem from increases in nonincapacitating injuries rather than fatalities and incapacitating injuries. Even though St. Joseph County records the most injuries Figure 2-4: Number of Crashes by County from 2009-2013 2040 Transportation Plan Figure 2-5: Percentage of Crashes Resulting in Injury by Type of Injury from crashes, the number of injuries has remained relatively similar from 2009 to 2013. Marshall County is the only county in the region to record lower injury numbers from crashes, decreasing from 351 injures in 2009 to 266 in 2013. MAP-21, continued the Highway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP), emphasizing the importance of dedicating funding to continually increase safety conditions in the transportation network. This funding is applied to projects that will significantly reduce traffic fatalities and serious injuries. MACOG utilizes the State crash data through the Automated Reporting Information Exchange System (ARIES). Through geographic information system applications, MACOG maps and analyze the location of crashes in order to effectively determine which segments of roadway would most benefit from safety enhancements. MACOG continually strives to improve the safety of the transportation system within the region in order to reverse increasing crash rates. Asset Management Asset management provides local public agencies a method for compiling important information about their assets in order to be able to formulate quality management strategies for current and future time periods. According to Federal Highway Administration (FHWA), “Asset management is a strategic and systematic process of operating, maintaining, and improving physical assets, with a focus on engineering and economic analysis based upon quality information, to identify a structured sequence of maintenance, preservation, repair, rehabilitation, and replacement actions that will achieve and sustain a desired state of good repair over the lifecycle of the assets at minimum practicable cost.” (23 U.S.C. 101(A)(2), MAP-21 § 1103) The transportation network is a critical infrastructure asset for the Chapter 2: Regional Overview 15 Michiana on the Move Figure 2-6: Regional Public Transit criteria, allowing for better budgeting and targeted improvements of the road infrastructure. Public Transit region and local public agencies. Preservation and maintenance are key for ensuring that the network remains safe for travel, efficient, and reliable. Asset management can maximize life cycle costs, being a cost effective practice in comparison to reconstruction activities. INDOT estimates that $1 spent on pavement preservation can save $6 to $14 on future repairs. 16 To better assist Local Public Agencies (LPAs) with asset management, MACOG procured an online tool for LPAs to locate, track, and manage various assets. The project started with an inventory of all traffic signs throughout the region. The signs were located and identified, then rated for their perceived condition. The asset management program has since been upgraded to include pavement ratings. Functionally classified roads will be rated every year using the Pavement Surface Evaluation and Rating (PASER) evaluation Chapter 2: Regional Overview Public transit is an integral part of the transportation system, providing another mode choice for transportation. This includes providing options for senior citizens, the young, disabled and economically disadvantaged populations. Providing efficient public transit allows all populations access to businesses, health care facilities, employment, and recreation. For this reason, public transit is a crucial link to a stable economy and a better quality of life. Choosing public transit can also yield environmental benefits, lowering congestion and lessening automotive emissions. Currently, the people living in the MACOG region are served by two fixedroute public transit services in the urbanized areas and a variety of travel options (See Figure 2-6). Transpo provides fixed-route bus service throughout South Bend and Mishawaka. The Interurban Trolley serves Elkhart, Goshen, and major points of commerce in between the two cities. Additionally, a variety of demand response services are available in Elkhart, Kosciusko, and Marshall Counties. Regionally, the Michiana area has access to two rail transit services: the South Shore Line and Amtrak. Furthermore, proposed high speed passenger rail services are being considered throughout the Midwest including through North Central Indiana. Transpo Transpo operates twenty (20) fixed transit routes that serve the cities of South Bend and Mishawaka on 30 minute and 60 minute 2040 Transportation Plan headways. Service runs Monday through Saturday with no service on Sundays. Transpo operates a fleet of 48 revenue vehicles with a base hour requirement of 35 buses. ridership. The highest increase in ridership occurred in routes serving the University of Notre Dame, University Park Mall, and South Bend International Airport: Routes 4, 7, and 17/123. Routes serving portions of the eastside of Mishawaka and a route between South Bend and Mishawaka saw the most decrease in ridership including Route 1, 9, and 11. Although bus service in South Bend began in 1923, it wasn’t until 1968, when the City of South Bend purchased the first bus, that Transpo was formed. Since this time, service has continued to expand. In 1998, the South Street Station was built, serving as an intermodal transfer center. More recently, a new administrative headquarters was built in 2010 named the Emil “Lucky” Reznik Administration, Maintenance and Operations Facility. This facility is certified LEED Platinum and is the first transit facility in the country to achieve this certification. In 2013, Transpo provided 2,180,286 unlinked passenger trips, with 11 routes experiencing an increase in ridership between 2012 and 2013. Figure 2-6 compares ridership by route between 2012 and 2013. Over time Transpo has seen fluctuation in ridership. This is largely due to economic and social factors as well as changes in service. Figure 2-8 illustrates Transpo’s rideship trend since 1996. Transpo reached their highest annual ridership numbers in 2007 at 3,480,510 unlinked trips. However, after that year, ridership quickly declined until 2010. Since 2010, a slow increase has been seen in Figure 2-7: Transpo Ridership by Route 2012-2013 In addition to offering fixed-route service, Transpo also offers paratransit services, which covers a three-quarter of a mile corridor on either side of the transit routes. Transpo also provides four (4) Mishawaka School Tripper routes during the school year, tailored towards providing students an opportunity to use public transit to get to school. Transpo is expecting to see several more changes in the coming years. Currently, Transpo operates a “flag-stop” system where rid- Figure 2-8: Transpo Annual Ridership Chapter 2: Regional Overview 17 Michiana on the Move ers may get on and off the bus at a location along the fixed route that is deemed safe. Transpo is actively migrating to a designated bus stop system to improve reliability and efficiency. The transportation agency will also begin using several new Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) powered buses as a way to reduce air emissions and cut down on fuel costs. Transpo expects to have 16 new CNG buses on property by the end of year and into service in early 2015. Transpo and the City of South Bend are partnering to build the first fast-fuel CNG facility in the region and it will be open to the public. Transpo expects to break ground on the new facility later this year and be operational in early 2015. Interurban Trolley The Interurban Trolley is a fixed-route bus service in Elkhart County which was introduced in 1999. The Trolley operates a system of five (5) fixed routes, administered by MACOG and operated by a service provider, running on weekdays from 5:00 am to 8:00 pm and Saturdays from 5:30 am to 7:00 pm. The Interurban Trolley provides easy, affordable public transit along the corridors connecting Elkhart and Goshen as well as major points of commerce between Figure 2-9: Interurban Trolley Ridership by Route 2012-2013 18 Chapter 2: Regional Overview the two cities. In 2009, the Interurban Trolley added an important route which created a common transfer point to routes operated by Transpo. This route connected public transit from Elkhart/Goshen to South Bend for the first time in over fifty years, which in turn provided access to the South Bend International Airport and Chicago via the South Shore Line. Since 2009, a variety of changes have been made to make the Trolley more efficient and user friendly including the addition of a new route serving school, employment and medical centers; and changing routes names to a color system. The five routes share a transfer point in downtown Elkhart. MACOG is in the preliminary stages of planning for a permanent transfer station to be built in downtown Elkhart. This will provide a place to wait comfortably for the Trolley, while serving as a resource center as well. Currently, the corner of Franklin and Third Street has been identified as a potential location for this station. Other changes that will take place in 2015 include the procurement of new trolley buses. This procurement will help replace some of the aging fleet which currently consists of thirteen (13) trolley buses. Figure 2-10: Interurban Trolley Annual Ridership 2040 Transportation Plan Since 1999, the Trolley has experienced a steady increase in ridership thanks to additional fixed routes and realignments. In 2013, the Interurban Trolley provided 448,014 unlinked passenger trips, the highest annual ridership in its history. It is expect that the Trolley will experience another record breaking year in 2014. As shown in Figure 2-9, the Red Line, which connects Elkhart and Goshen, boards the highest number of riders. The second most frequented line is the Blue Line, which travels to the northern part of Elkhart. From 2012 to 2013, the only route that saw a decrease in passengers was the Yellow Line, which connects downtown Elkhart to a transfer point with Transpo on the eastern border of Mishawaka. The success of the Interurban Trolley is largely dependent upon accommodating the needs of the residents in Elkhart County. MACOG continually assesses the effectiveness and efficiency of the transit route system to ensure that the community’s needs are being met. In addition to offering fixed route service, the Interurban Trolley offers paratransit services in Elkhart and Goshen. In August 2013, the demand response services offered through the Heart City Rider (HCR) and the Goshen Transit Service (GTS) were discontinued, being replaced by what is now the Interurban Trolley Access service. The Interurban Trolley Access provides trips to disabled persons unable to use the Interurban Trolley fixed route system within the ADA Corridor. The ADA Corridor includes a 1.5 mile buffer on either side of the fixed transit routes. Seven (7) ADA accessible vans are currently available for this service. Since the service started, 13,116 trips have been provided to those eligible for paratransit services. ates on weekdays with a peak hour fleet of eight vehicles. Marshall County and Elkhart County Council on Aging operate transit services throughout their counties. Their service provides trips during the weekdays to older adults who are no longer able to drive themselves. Additionally organizations such as ADEC and MC Goldenrod provide services to individuals needing assitance. South Shore Line The South Shore Line, operated by the Northern Indiana Commuter Transportation District (NICTD), is a commuter rail service providing access from South Bend to Downtown Chicago. The South Bend boarding site is located at the South Bend International Airport and links the South Shore Line with airline services and other public bus service. Five (5) daily trains leave from South Bend bound to Figure 2-11: Proposed South Shore Realignment Public Demand Response Services Demand response service is a non-fixed route system that requires riders to schedule trips ahead of time. There are three services in the MACOG region: Kosciusko Area Bus Services (KABS), Marshall County Council on Aging, and Elkhart County Council on Aging. The Kosciusko Area Bus Service (KABS) serves the entire Kosciusko County area. Their service has a fixed route but deviates from that route to requested stops within a pre-defined corridor. KABS oper- Chapter 2: Regional Overview 19 Michiana on the Move Chicago, with five (5) trains offering return service. The current rail platform is located at the east end of the airport, requiring trains to travel a reverse “C” in order to access the terminal. The route is long and slow, as trains cross 23 grade crossings. By realigning train access to a western platform, 3 track miles would be eliminated (Figure 2-11). This would decrease the number of grade crossings to 7 and reduce travel time by up to 10 minutes. There has also been interest expressed for extending this train service to Elkhart, however, no funding resources have been identified to support this capital-intensive project. Amtrak Amtrak provides rail passenger service throughout the United States. Passenger stations within the MACOG region are located in South Bend and Elkhart. Two routes run along this line. Capitol Limited runs from Chicago to Washington D.C stopping at each station daily. Lake Shore Limited has daily service running from Chicago to Boston and New York. Passenger volumes for the South Bend station totaled 25,615, slightly higher than the Elkhart station which had a volume of 20,080 passengers for fiscal year (FY) 2013. Both stations saw increases in passenger volume between FY 2012 and FY 2013, with Elkhart experiencing a 10.7% increase, much higher than the 3.3% increase seen at the South Bend station. High Speed Rail 20 An important development occurring in the Region and the Midwest is the configuration of a high-speed rail system. Studies are still being conducted as far as actual tracks to be used are concerned, but the proposed system would connect Cleveland, Cincinnati, Detroit, Indianapolis, St. Louis, the Quad Cities, Milwaukee, and Minneapolis-St. Paul to a hub in Chicago with various stops in between, including stops in North Central Indiana. The goal of the system as identified by the Indiana High Speed Rail Association is to reduce travel time for passengers needing to connect to cities, airports, and other forms of transportation. The high speed trains would travel Chapter 2: Regional Overview at 110 miles per hour, consumes less fuel than slower rail and air transportation, and be a self-sufficient system unsubsidized by the government. As far as economic development is concerned, several factors make high-speed rail a lucrative addition to the region’s intermodal capabilities. The construction of the system also creates jobs and revenue for companies supplying equipment and services to the project. Also, the operation of a high-speed rail corridor would create permanent jobs and revenue for companies supplying equipment and services to it. Finally, high-speed rail offers decreased travel time, which means increased connectedness between the Region and nearby major cities – and attraction for employers, employees, families, and travelers. Figure 2-12: Midwest Regional Rail Initiative (MWRRI) System Map 2040 Transportation Plan Bicycle and Pedestrian Bicycle and pedestrian projects have become an important and integral component of transportation planning. A transportation system that supports bicycling and walking expands residents’ mobility options and can complement multiple forms of transportation. A strong bicycle and pedestrian network can enhance a community’s quality of life by providing great economic, environmental, social and health benefits. By reducing single-occupant vehicle travel, air quality improves and users can lead healthier lifestyles. Despite the low percentage of commuters that walk and bike to work nationally, new trends identified through the 2008 - 2012 American Community Survey suggest that these modes of transportation are becoming increasingly popular. When comparing the number of U.S workers who traveled to work by bicycle in 2000 to 2012, the increase was larger than any other commuting mode; a change of 488,000 workers to 786,000 workers. About 2.8% of commuters in the United States walk to work, and about 0.6% bike to work. Most counties in the MACOG region document an even higher rate of walking and bicycling to work. Figure 2-13 includes estimates by county of the percentage of workers who commute by walking or bicycling. The only counties falling below national rates for biking and walking to work are Elkhart and Kosciusko Counties which find that 1.9% and 2.4% of workers commute by walking respectively. Marshall County and St. Joseph County experience rather high rates of walking to work at 3.4% each. It is estimated that all counties experience higher rates of bicycling to work, ranging between 0.9% in St. Joseph County to 1.7% in Marshall County. This finding is significant, particularly to the region, because it shows that there is an interest in alternative commuting methods. Figure 2-13 Means of Traveling to Work - Walking or Bicycling Bike Friendly Communities Every year the League of American Bicyclists assess voluntary applications from communities, businesses, and universities through their Bicycle Friendly America (BFA) program. Applications are reviewed based upon key benchmarks that concern bicycling including law enforcement, education, engineering, outcomes, evaluations, and encouragement. There are five levels for which Bicycle Friendly Communities (BFC) can achieve: Bronze, Silver, Gold, Platinum, and Diamond. The BFC program is meant to support communities with a mission of providing better conditions for biking and guidance for turning visions into reality. Three (3) communities in the MACOG region have been designated Bronze Bicycle Friendly Communities: South Bend, Goshen, and Warsaw/Winona Lake. These communities were designated because they demonstrated their ability in providing safe accommodation for cycling and encouraging residents to bike for transportation and recreation. Chapter 2: Regional Overview 21 Michiana on the Move Types of Facilities The MACOG region has several types of facilities constructed to accommodate bicyclists and pedestrians: Figure 2-14: Types of Bicycle and Pedestrian Facilities ley Trail. The Pumpkinvine Nature Trail is a 16.5 mile trail that connects Goshen, Middlebury and Shipshewana. This trail was built on the abandoned Pumpkin Vine Rail corridor, which was purchased from Penn Central in 1993 by Friends of the Pumpkinvine Nature Trail, Inc. Most of the trail consists of asphalt paths, however 2.25 miles currently follow country roads and 1.7 miles is packed limestone. The MapleHeart Trail is a 4.8 mile path that connects Elkhart and Goshen. The Trail runs along CR 45 from Hively Ave. in Elkhart to the Goshen City Limits. Both the north end and southern end of the trail tie into local trail systems. In total, the MapleHeart Trail, Goshen’s local trail system, the Maple City Greenway, and the Pumpkinvine Nature Trail, create over 25 miles of connected trails that link Elkhart to Shipshewana. Finally, another significant bikeway includes a variety of trails found along the St. Joseph River including the Riverwalk in Mishawaka, East Bank and Northside Trails in South Bend, and trails extending into Niles, Michigan. All of these trails are combined into one system named the Indiana Michigan River Valley Trail. Much of the trails currently exist in the city limits of South Bend, Mishawaka, and Niles; however connections at the county level still need to be made. Currently, two portions of the LaSalle trail in St. Joseph County are designed and construction is expected to start in 2017. In total, this trail will create a 34 mile system connecting universities and schools, city centers, parks and recreational areas, hospitals, and several historical and cultural attractions. Sidewalks and Accessibility Regionally Significant Bikeways There are three regionally significant bikeways that have been constructed or are under development in the region: the Pumpkinvine Nature Trail, MapleHeart Trail, and the Indiana Michigan River Val- 22 Chapter 2: Regional Overview Sidewalks are an important component of the transportation network because no matter the destination every trip starts and ends with pedestrian travel. Sidewalks should be connected and accessible. MACOG has worked with many Local Public Agencies 2040 Transportation Plan Figure 2-15: Michiana Regional Bicycle and Pedestrian Facilities (LPAs) in the region to adopt Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA) Transition Plans for the Public Right-of-Way, which addresses sidewalk accessibility. The purpose of these plans is to ensure communities are creating reasonable, accessible paths of travel in the public right-of-ways for everyone, including people with disabilities. These plans provide a schedule for communities on how they should address and improve sidewalk accessibility. As part of the plan, communities have adopted Accessibility Guidelines for Pedestrian Facilities in the Public Right-of Way. These guidelines suggest that whenever there is an intersection improvement project or new construction project, any affected curb ramps, sidewalks, and crosswalks will be rebuilt to these ADA design guidelines, where feasible and reasonable. MACOG has created an ADA inventory database that can be used as a guide for sidewalk improvements and a resource for creating a better pedestrian network. Aviation There are a variety of airports located in the Michiana Region serving different purposes within the State and the Nation. There are five (5) general aviation airports, three (3) of which are regional, and two (2) of which are local. The regional airports are located in Elkhart, Goshen, and Warsaw and serve both regional and national markets with around 90 total base aircrafts. The local airports are located in Plymouth and Nappanee, serving local and regional markets with smaller aircraft. The only commercial service airport within the region is located in South Bend. The South Bend International Airport (SBN) is also the only multimodal passenger facility operating in the Michiana area. In a true coordination of travel modes, the South Shore Line boarding station for train passengers is located at the east end of the SBN facility, while three inter-city bus lines; Greyhound, Hoosier Ride and Coach USA, board riders from the west side of the airport terminal. Transpo city buses and private taxicabs board passengers along the arrival/departure drive. SBN is a full service commercial Chapter 2: Regional Overview 23 Michiana on the Move airport categorized as a Small Hub by the Federal Aviation Administration and consists of three active runways. Three commercial airlines operate from SBN providing links to hubs and destinations such as: Atlanta, Chicago, New York City, Detroit, Fort Myers/Punta Gorda, Las Vegas, Minneapolis, Orlando/Sanford, Phoenix/Mesa, and Tampa Bay/St. Petersburg. From 2007 to 2009, there was a steady decline in enplanements, dropping by 74,817. Since 2010, passenger boardings have continued to decrease, but at a significantly reduced rate. As of July 2014, airline enplanements were down 5.9% compared to the same time in 2013. However, comparing 2014 data to 2012, passenger boardings have increased by 5.3%. Since 2012 there has been a trend of increased boardings, which could mean higher enplanements in 2014. The South Bend International Airport provides a great impact to the region. It is estimated the Airport provides an economic impact to the community in excess of $1.7 Billion per year. With a recent change in designation from a regional to an international airport in April 2014, an even greater impact could be seen. As part of the Figure 2-16: South Bend International Airport Enplanements transition to become an international airport, a general aviation facility and a federal customs inspection station will be constructed. Freight & Logistics Road, rail, and air networks in the region serve freight and goods movement as well as passenger travel. Being able to provide a network that accommodates these movements efficiently is critical to the region’s economic well-being. In the Indiana Multimodal Freight and Mobility Plan written in 2009, Indiana is described as a “strategic location in close proximity to larger consumer markets and an excellent multimodal transportation network.” The MACOG region in particular experiences a high volume of freight traffic due to its highway and rail infrastructure. Roadways The MACOG region has many heavily traveled roadways especially relating to freight movement. According to the 2009 Indiana Multimodal Freight and Mobility Plan, I-80/I-90 (Indiana Toll Road), US 20, SR 2, US 30 and US 31 are expecting to see a doubling, tripling, or even greater increase in truck traffic. The overlying indication in such a finding is that the region can, and does, benefit greatly by being able to access important routes in the freight movement industry. The other indication is that much thought should be put into these routes when planning for future transportation projects. Figure 2-17 is a map of truck volumes and comparisons to total traffic for the region. Roadways where trucks make up more than 20% of all traffic include US 31, US 30, US 20 east of Elkhart, US 6, and SR 2. The Toll Road heading east and west from the region is 10-20% truck traffic with more than 3,500 trucks; others include SR 19, SR 15, US 20 between South Bend and Elkhart, and portions of US 33 through Goshen. 24 Chapter 2: Regional Overview According to FHWA’s Freight Analysis Framework 2 (FAF2) projections, the value of freight movements is expected to more than triple while total tonnage is expected to more than double between 2002 and 2035. A large portion of this will be seen on the roadways. 2040 Transportation Plan Designated Truck Routes Figure 2-17: Regional Truck Volume Flows While most commercial vehicles are permitted on the majority of roadways, the Regional Truck Network identifies signed roadways geared towards efficient transportation of goods. The network includes both the National Truck Network routes and local truck routes, and follows many of the before mentioned Highways: I80/I-90, US 20, SR 2, US 31, US 30. Other important routes include SR 23, SR 15, SR 19, US 33 and other small local segments. Rail CSX Transportation (CSX), Norfolk Southern (NS), Canadian National (CN), South Shore Freight (operated by NICTD), Elkhart & Western (EWR), Grand Elk (GDLK), and Chicago, Ft. Wayne & Eastern (CFER) all own tracks and operate freight trains within the region. Norfolk Southern operates the most miles of rail in the four counties, with two east/west lines through South Bend and Elkhart as well as the southern part of Marshall and Kosciusko County. Norfolk Southern also operates a north/south line which splits into two sections in Goshen. Canadian National, Grand Elk, and Elkhart & Western operate in the northern sections of St. Joseph and Elkhart Counties. Both Canadian National and Grand Elk connect to areas of Michigan. Elkhart & Western operates locally from Elkhart to the eastern portion of St. Joseph County. Lastly, there are two more east/west railroads operating south of the urbanized area. CSX Transportation operates an east/west railroad that intersects smaller communities such as La Paz, Bremen, Nappanee, and Syracuse. Chicago, Ft. Wayne & Eastern operates a line parallel and south of CSX travelling through the middle of Marshall and Kosciusko counties intersecting communities such as Plymouth and Warsaw. As freight travel is expected to increase, due to increases in population, so will the strain on existing transportation systems. In Chapter 2: Regional Overview 25 Michiana on the Move 2007, the Association of American Railroad National Rail Infrastructure Capacity and Investment Study stated primary rail facilities in the region were functioning below capacity, providing a level of service A, B, or C. The report continued by saying if there were no improvements made to the primary rail facilities, large portions will be functioning above capacity, at a level of service F. Figure 2-18: Railroad Freight Lines Air Airports also play a part in the movement of freight. The South Bend International Airport serves as the only commercial airport within MACOG’s boundaries and transports a significant amount of freight into and out of the region. FedEx and UPS use the South Bend International Airport for air and ground parcel distribution. DHL formerly used the airport as a major terminal, however in late 2008 they terminated services throughout the United States. Figure 2-19 provides a monthly tracking of total cargo at the South Bend International Airport from 2001 to 2014. The chart shows a steep drop in freight shipments in late 2008. This drop is largely attributed to DHL ending service. A secondary reason for this drop could be related to the recession in the national economy at that time. Since this time however, the amount of freight shipments in and out of South Bend International Airport has continually increased. Figure 2-19: South Bend International Airport Cargo in Tons 26 Chapter 2: Regional Overview 2040 Transportation Plan Chapter 2: Regional Overview 27 Contents 30 | Population Trends 33 | Household Trends 35 | Economic Trends 37 | Travel Patterns & Trends Chapter 3: Trends & Projections Michiana on the Move 3 Social and economic characteristics can influence the demand on the transportation system. More people, more jobs, or more economic successes can result in a higher traffic volumes and increased development. The 2040 Transportation Plan analyzes the trends and projections of social and economic characteristics, in order to better understand the future demand on the regional transportation system. Population Trends Population Growth Indiana is the 16th largest state, at 6,570,902 people, according to 2013 population estimates by the U.S. Census Bureau. The state tied for 34th in population growth, at 1.3%, from 2010 to 2013, which is less than the 2.4% in population growth for the entire United States. The national population is estimated at 316,128,839, an increase of 7,381,123 since the 2010 Census. Though Indiana has a low ranking for population growth, most of the surrounding states grew at even smaller rates: Michigan at 0.1%, Ohio at 0.3%, Kentucky at 1.3%, and Illinois at 0.4%. 30 Chapter 3: Trends & Projections Figure 3-1: Population Projections The region has been continually growing over the past six decades, from a region of approximately 350,000 people in 1950 to a region of almost 400,000 in 2010. Between 1990 and 2000, the region grew 11%, the most since 1960. During that time, Elkhart County grew 17%, Kosciusko County grew 13%, and St. Joseph and Marshall Counties grew at 7.5% and 7% respectively. In the last decade, growth slowed, but continued the upward trend. Projecting into the future, the region is expected to grow to almost 650,000 people in 2040, nearly 10% more than the population in 2010. Age and Gender The median age of an area can be a key underlying economic indicator and is also an indicator of overall community age. Communities Table 3-1: Median Age 2000 - 2040 2000 2010 2020 2030 Elkhart 33.0 35.0 35.9 36.5 Kosciusko 35.1 37.8 39.5 40.6 Marshall 35.5 38.5 40.8 41.9 St. Joseph 34.5 36.3 37.5 38.4 Indiana 35.3 37.0 38.1 38.8 Source: U.S. Census Bureau & Indiana Business Research Center 2040 36.4 41.0 42.1 38.2 39.1 2040 Transportation Plan with a large populace in the working age groups will have more economic productivity, with fewer dependents to support. In the last two decades, the median age ranged from 33 to 35.5 in 2000 and 35 to 38.5 in 2010. The median age for the State of Indiana was 35.3 in 2000 and 37 in 2010. In the future, Indiana is projected to have a median age of 39 years in 2040. The region also ages with a range of 36.5 to 42.1 in 2040. On the whole, Elkhart County’s median age is the lowest followed by St. Joseph County being slightly higher. Kosciusko and Marshall County are consistently above the State median age, with Marshall County being the highest in the region. A marker of diversity is age groups and gender. The MACOG region Figure 3-2: Population Pyramid - 2010 in 2010 has large populations under age 25 and in its late 40s to early 60s. The largest group is 15 to 19 years old. The wider sections of the population pyramid around the young and middle-aged suggest higher birthrates, falling or stable death rates, and the potential for population growth. In 2040, the MACOG region is projected to have a vastly different distribution. The largest population group remains between 15 to 19 years old and the population under age 25 grows. The ages from 35 to 59 actually lose population by nearly 10% total, with the biggest lost between 50 to 54 years old. The largest growth occurred in population 75 years old and older, doubling by 2040. Figure 3-3: Population Pyramid - 2040 Chapter 3: Trends & Projections 31 Michiana on the Move Race and Ethnicity One marker of diversity is the racial makeup of our communities. St. Joseph County has the highest percentage of minority populations, approximately 20%. Elkhart County follows with almost 15% of their population being a minority. In Kosciusko and Marshall Counties, the minority population makes up approximately 7% of the Table 3-2: Race and Ethnicity by County Elkhart Kosciusko Marshall St. Joseph County County County County White 168,630 71,652 43,495 212,406 Black or African 11,455 460 330 34,048 American American Indian and 606 204 82 935 Alaska Native Asian 2,046 812 308 4,726 Native Hawaiian and 35 19 27 171 Other Pacific Islander Some other 10,581 3,257 2,001 6,220 race Two or more 4,861 924 802 8,279 races Not Hispanic or Latino Hispanic or Latino 170,150 71,641 43,014 247,335 28,064 5,687 4,031 19,450 Source: 2008-2012 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates 32 Chapter 3: Trends & Projections total population. The largest concentration of Hispanic population is in Elkhart County with 28,064 which is almost 15% of the population. The next largest population is in St. Joseph County; however it makes up the smallest percentage of the total population at 7%. According to the Indiana Business Research Center at Indiana University’s Kelly School of Business, “Indiana’s population will become increasingly diverse over the next 20 years as the state’s Hispanic, ‘two or more races,’ Asian and black populations grow rapidly” (2008). In particular, the Hispanic or Latino population is projected to double by 2030 to over 500,000 persons across the state. The Asian population is expected to grow substantially by more than half. The impact to the region is difficult to project, however it is safe to assume the state trend to be reflected in our local figures. Table 3-3: 2030 Race and Ethnicity Projection for Indiana Share of Total Population, 2005 Share of Total Population, 2030 Percent Change, 2005-2030 White Black Asian Two or More Races American Indian 88.5% 8.9% 1.3% 85.6% 10.0% 1.8% 8% 26% 54% 1.1% 2.3% 135% 0.3% 0.3% 14% Non-Hispanic Hispanic or Latino 95.5% 91.9% 8% 4.5% 8.1% 100% Source: Indiana Business Research Center 2040 Transportation Plan Area Elkhart Kosciusko Marshall St. Joseph Region Indiana Table 3-4: Language Spoken at Home - Spanish Speaks Only English Speaks Spanish or Spanish Creole Population Speaks English Speaks English less over the age "very well" than “very well” of 5 Total Percent Total Percent Total Percent Total Percent 182,136 149,519 82.1% 21,432 11.8% 9,793 45.7% 11,639 54.3% 71,976 63,942 88.8% 4,359 6.1% 2,715 62.3% 1,644 37.7% 43,779 38,658 88.3% 3,024 6.9% 1,490 49.3% 1,534 50.7% 249,087 225,983 90.7% 12,962 5.2% 8,073 62.3% 4,889 37.7% 546,978 478,102 87.4% 41,777 7.6% 22,071 52.8% 19,706 47.2% 6,146,838 5,645,211 91.8% 281,954 4.6% 166,115 58.9% 115,839 41.1% Source: U.S. Census Bureau Table 3-5: Household Populations Language Spanish is the main non-English language spoken in the region, with the area having a higher percentage of Spanish-speakers at 7.6% as compared to 4.5% of Indiana’s population. Of the population that speaks Spanish, just under half speak English less than very well. Household Trends The term household population describes the number of people in a type of housing unit, and it can include groups of related or unrelated people or a single occupant. The region’s number of households was estimated at 219,248 for 2012, with most of the households consisting of families. The average regional household size is 2.60 persons. Elkhart County has the largest average household size, at 2.77 persons, and St. Joseph County has the smallest average, at 2.51 persons. Elkhart County Kosciusko County Marshall County St. Joseph County Total Households 70,161 30,113 17,773 101,201 Family Households 72% 72% 70% 64% Nonfamily Households 28% 28% 30% 36% Average Household Size 2.77 2.52 2.61 2.51 Source: 2008-2012 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates Chapter 3: Trends & Projections 33 Michiana on the Move Table 3-6: Household vs Population Growth - 2000-2012 Number of Area Population Households Elkhart 9.7% 6.1% Kosciusko 5.3% 10.4% Marshall 4.4% 7.6% St. Joseph 0.4% 0.5% Region 4.4% 4.1% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008-2012 American Community Survey Number of Households vs Population Between 2000 and 2012, the number of households increased 4.1%, which was similar to the population growth during that time at 4.4%, however in each county the population and number of households grew at different rates. Elkhart County population grew at 9.7%, the number of households grew at 6.1%. In Kosciusko County, the number of household grew at the highest rate, 10.4%, while the population grew at 5.3%. In Marshall County, the number of households grew more than the population at 7.6% as compared Figure 3-4: Average Household Size to 4.4%. In St. Joseph County, there was only a slight growth for both population and the number of households at 0.4% and 0.5% respectively. With the varying population and household change, the average household size also changed during this time period. Elkhart County has the most number of people per household at 2.72 in 2000 and 2.77 in 2012. Marshall County has the next highest average household size at 2.61 which is less than it was in 2000 at 2.69. Kosciusko County actually reduced the average household size from 2.66 to 2.52. This reflects the difference in change of population verses the change in household since there was a greater increase in household than population. The smallest household size is in St. Joseph County where it remained almost unchanged in 2000 and 2012 at 2.5 and 2.51 people per household. Household Income Per capita income is often used to measure economic well-being. It is the mean money income for the past 12 months for every person age 15 and older. The national per capita money income is $28,051 and Indiana’s per capita income is $24,558. The four counties in the region are all under both the United States and Indiana, with a Table 3-7: Household Income Per capita money income in past 12 Area months (2012 dollars), 2008-2012 Elkhart $21,866 Kosciusko $24,328 Marshall $22,172 St. Joseph $23,321 Indiana $24,558 United States $28,051 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008-2012 American Community Survey 34 Chapter 3: Trends & Projections 2040 Transportation Plan Figure 3-5: Percent of Families below Poverty Level regional average per capita income of $22,922. Poverty cal communities to address the growing vacant homes and blighted properties. Since 2010, the rate of vacant homes has been decreasing. In Elkhart County, the number of vacant housing units has stayed almost the same, while in Kosciusko and Marshall Counties, the number of vacant housing units has actually decreased. Since 2002 the number of issued residential building permits has decrease to an all time low in 2009. The most significant reduction in permits occurred between the years 2008 and 2009 at the time of the national economic recession. Since 2009, the number of permits issued has increased by 44%, almost to the level right before the recession. While the number of permits has increased, the overall housing supply between 2009 and 2012 has only grown 1.3%. The increase in the housing supply could be partly explained by replacing vacant or blighted properties with new construction. Figure 3-6: Percent of Housing Supply - Vacant The U.S. Census determines the poverty status of families by assigning each family to an income threshold based on family size and ages of the members. If a family’s income falls below that threshold, the family is considered to be in poverty. The poverty guideline for a household of four is $23,850. For a household of two, it is $15,730 and for a household of three, $19,790. Economic Trends Housing Supply and Vacancies The residential housing supply has grown almost 10% from 2000 to 2010. This is substantially more than the growth rate of population and households during that same time. However, the housing supply has stayed relatively the same from 2010 to 2012. Additionally, population and households have also remained relatively the same in this period. In 2000, almost 8% of the housing supply was vacant and in 2012 almost 14% was vacant. There are initiatives in place by the lo- Employment The labor force has been growing over the past couple years at the regional, state, and national levels. For the region, the labor force grew to its peak in 2006 and then declined slowly before the reces- Chapter 3: Trends & Projections 35 Michiana on the Move sion, when the numbers fell significantly. It fluctuated slightly from 2010 to 2012, but there has been growth from 2012 to the middle of 2014. Figure 3-7 shows the change in employment between 2003 and 2013. The largest change in employement occured in 2009 during the national recession. The Michiana area experienced a higher job loss than the nation and the state. Elkhart County lost over 15% of their employment that year and Marshall County lost almost 10%. Regional employment has increased 10% since 2009. Elkhart County has seen the most growth, 22%, though that county employment Figure 3-7: Change in Employment between 2003 - 2013 fell the most during the recession, with a loss of 25% of employment. The region has seen more employment growth than Indiana and the U.S., though their employment decline was also greater during the recession. St. Joseph County has not recovered like the other counties, with employment falling 8% during the recession and only rising 1% from 2009 to 2013. Employment by Sector All of the counties except St. Joseph County comprise the greatest concentration of jobs in the manufacturing industry. In St. Joseph, the health care and social assistance industry have the highest number of jobs. The employment of residents follows the same trends. Over one-third of residents in Elkhart County and Kosciusko County work in manufacturing. Marshall and St. Joseph Counties have lower but still considerable percentages (29% in Marshall County and 16 percent in St. Joseph County). Manufacturing is still the largest employment industry in Marshall County, and it is only second to the educational services, health care and social assistance industry in St. Joseph County Major Employers Major employers of the region are in the manufacturing, health, and education sectors. In Elkhart County, the largest employers are Jayco Inc., Elkhart General Healthcare, and Henkel’s & McCoy. In Kosciusko County, the three largest are RR Donnelley, Zimmer Inc., and DePuy. In Marshall County, the Culver Academies, Nishikawa Standard, and Plymouth Community School Corporation are the largest employers. In St. Joseph County, the largest employers are Beacon Health System, the University of Notre Dame, and AM General. 36 Chapter 3: Trends & Projections 2040 Transportation Plan Figure 3-8: Percent of Employment by Industry Travel Patterns & Trends Vehicle Miles Traveled Vehicle-miles travelled (VMT) is an indicator of road network usage as it measures the distance in which vehicles travel over a particular length of time. The Federal Highway Administration has kept records of VMT on a monthly basis since 1970. At the national level, VMT had been increasing steadily until 2004 when the levels began to plateau. By 2008, nationwide VMT dropped for the first time since 1980. Both economic and social factors have contributed to the downward trend experienced after 2008. This downward trend might be reaching an end point however. According to FHWA’s “Traffic Volume Trends” report, U.S driving is at its highest level in six years. Traffic between July 2013 and June 2014 is at a level not seen since 2008, totaling 2.97 trillion vehicle miles traveled. In the first half of 2014, 1.466 trillion miles were driven, the largest number since 2010 and the fourth-highest in the report’s history. The data could suggest that VMT will continue to increase, presenting new transportation challenges and opportunities to be considered in this plan. The MACOG region has seen a similar trend for VMT compared to the United States. Until about 1998, all counties experience an increase in VMT at a slower rate than the US. From 1998 to 2006, VMT stayed at a fairly consistent level. Since 2006, Marshall County and Kosciusko County have seen a slight decrease in VMT. Elkhart and St. Joseph County have shown irregular trends, increasing and decreasing VMT significantly between years. Within the past three years, VMT has been more regular, showing the highest vehicle miles traveled since data was recorded. If the region follows U.S. trends, all four counties could see slight increases in the number of miles travelled in the coming years. Increases in VMT would have an impact on the region. The more miles that are traveled on roads means a higher cost of mainte- Chapter 3: Trends & Projections 37 Michiana on the Move Figure 3-9: Commuter Volumes Into and Out of Each County 38 Chapter 3: Trends & Projections 2040 Transportation Plan nance, increased traffic and freight congestion, higher vehicular air emissions, and a potential for higher rates of crashes. These factors are all considered when planning for future projects in this plan. Figure 3-10: Total Daily VMT by County the surrounding counties including LaGrange, Kosciusko, Marshall, and La Porte Counties. Marshall and Kosciusko County exhibit different travel patterns, with a slightly higher percentage of workers commuting outside of the counties. In both jurisdictions, there are more commuters traveling outside the county to work then traveling into the counties to work. In Marshall County, 68% of workers stay in the county for work. The majority of the remaining workers commute to St. Joseph, Elkhart, and Kosciusko Counties. Kosciusko County retains 75% of workers, while 24% of their workers travel to the surrounding counties with the majority of these workers commuting to Elkhart County. Households and Vehicles The majority of the region’s households have one or two vehicles available to household members. 85,955 households have two vehicles available, and 73,944 households have only one vehicle available. 43,296 households have three or more vehicles available, while 19,053 households have no vehicle available. Commuting Flows Traffic flow commuting profiles can be used as one way to understand how traffic moves throughout Elkhart, Kosciusko, Marshall, and St. Joseph County. Understanding traffic flows between counties is important for planning future transportation needs. Elkhart County and St. Joseph County are major employment centers for the region, attracting 26,113 and 20,182 commuters respectively. According to the 2008-2012 American Community Survey estimates, a little over 80% of Elkhart and St. Joseph County workers have jobs located within their county of residence. Of the remaining 20%, generally half of workers travel between Elkhart and St. Joseph County to work. The remaining workers commute to Michigan and The median household income was $46,712 for Elkhart County, $50,822 for Kosciusko County, $47,218 for Marshall County, and $44,989 for St. Joseph County. The Federal Highway Administration’s publication, The Next Generation of Travel Statistical Analysis, shows the higher a household’s income, the higher the number of daily trips. Those trips are also related to automobile access and ownership. Responses to income and travel trip questions from the Michiana Area Travel Study are shown in Figure 3-11. According to the study, in the Michiana Area car ownership increases as income increases, as expected and number of trips generally increases as well. Household with incomes more than $35,000 a year take approximately the same number of trips, 9.4 trips per day. Chapter 3: Trends & Projections 39 Michiana on the Move Figure 3-11: Household Income vs Household Trips and Vehicles County had the 2nd lowest mean travel time at 19.9. These commute times correlated to the Michiana Area Travel Study that was conducted in the fall of 2013, where an average commute drive time was found to be 19.6 minutes. For the rural counties, mean travel time to work was slightly higher, 20.5 minutes for Kosciusko County and 21.6 minutes for Marshall County. Even though the mean travel time was lower in Elkhart and St. Joseph Counties, the largest percentage of workers having a commute time less than 10 minutes were in Kosciusko and Marshall Counties. The largest percentage of workers in Elkhart and St. Joseph has a commute time between 15 and 19 minutes. Land Use Development Patterns Connectivity & Accessibility Quality of life is greatly impacted by connectivity of a transportation network and how accessible residential neighborhoods, commercials areas, and recreational facilities are to each other. Providing a variety of routes for different modes of transportation can enhance the network by making it more reliable and efficient. The Michiana area falls at a crossroads providing excellent accessibility to larger regional cities including Chicago, Indianapolis, Detroit, Toledo, and Fort Wayne. All of these locations can be traveled to within 3 hours via interstates and highways such as I-80/I-90, US 31, and US 30. This crossroads location not only provides local residents with convenient routes for longer travel, it also is a benefit for manufacturers and warehouses wanting to transport goods to other parts of the country. The region also exhibits a strong local road network; exhibiting commute times lower than the national mean travel time of 25.4 minutes. Within the region, the large majority of commuters experienced a commute of 24 minutes or less. Elkhart County has the shortest mean travel time to work at 19.4 minutes. St. Joseph 40 Chapter 3: Trends & Projections Land use and transportation influence each other. Intense land uses demand transportation services while transportation facilities are capable of being catalysts for development. Automobile travel is en- Figure 3-12: Percent of Commuters by Travel Time 2040 Transportation Plan couraged by development patterns that are low-density with separate land uses, and in return new development is designed around that mode of transportation. The Land-Based Classification Standards, developed by the American Planners Association in coordination with 6 federal agencies, is a flexible land use classification system to provide a more comprehensive view of land use than traditional classifications. MACOG uses the “Activity” dimension to classify residential, shopping and business, industrial, social and institutional, travel, mass assembly of people, leisure, natural resources, and unclassifiable land uses. To plan for the future, it is first important to have an understanding of the trends and patterns of development in the MACOG region. With the aid of aerial imagery flown in 2002 and oblique imagery flown in 2013, two analyses of land use were conducted - an existing land use inventory (2013) and an analysis of changes in land use over the last decade. The land use inventories represent snapshots of the conditions in the region. Comparing the aerial photography offers a recent picture of how the region’s development patterns have changed over time. It presents a clearer understanding of the trends and patterns of growth and development and the impacts of zoning and land-use decisions. Figure 3-13: Projected Landuse Changes in 2040 Chapter 3: Trends & Projections 41 Michiana on the Move HELPViz Land Use Model The Housing, Employment & Land-Use Planning & Visualization or HELPViz Model developed for MACOG is a relatively simple but econometrically-based land use forecasting model implemented in TransCAD. One of the key aspects of the simplicity of HELPViz relative to other land use forecasting models is that it does not attempt to directly simulate the real estate market at an agent or transactional level. Rather, it is simply a solid econometric model of the spatial allocation of future growth that relates the probability of growth occurring in a zone or a parcel to the characteristics of that zone/parcel and its resulting attractiveness relative to alternative zones/parcels. In this way, HELPViz can, for instance, predict the probable change in land use in response to changes in accessibility that result from a new roadway project or in response to added capacity for commercial square footage as a result of more lenient parking requirements for new commercial developments, etc. The system is calibrated and its parameters are estimated from the observed changes in land use in the region over time, with independent observations from different data sets at the zonal and parcel levels. For all land use types, MACOG’s analysis of land use based on aerial photography provided parcel level data for both 2002 and 2013. At the TAZ level, the Census provided data on residential land use in 2000 and 2010 and InfoGroup and LEHD data provided data for 2002 and 2012. The transportation network is updated with the planned improvement projects from the 2040 Transportation Plan and the network layer links are converted into a roadway network that TransCAD can use for shortest path calculations. This network file is important in calculating accessibility variables which affect development patterns. A matrix of shortest path impedances between zones is computed. The intrazonal travel times and other parameters are those used in the MACOG travel model. 42 Figure 3-13 is the resulting output from the HELPViz model are reasonable changes in land use at the parcel layer. Chapter 3: Trends & Projections 2040 Transportation Plan Chapter 3: Trends & Projections 43 Contents 46 | Crossroads of America 49 | Recommendations Chapter 4: Recommendations Michiana on the Move 4 Figure 4-1: Peak Period Congestion on the NHS: 2007 Crossroads of America Indiana is considered the “Crossroads of America.” As discussed in Chapter 2, this makes North Central Indiana truly at the crossroads between Chicago, Detroit, Indianapolis, Toledo, and Fort Wayne. Additionally, the region is within a day’s drive of 80% of the United States’ population. This crossroads location not only provides local residents with convenient routes for longer travel, it also is a benefit for manufacturers and warehouses wanting to transport goods to other parts of the country. Therefore, the regional transportation network plays a vital role in the national movement of goods and people. Critical Infrastructure Congestion With the region projected to increase in population by 10% between 2010 and 2040 as well as the growth in the national population, the general assumption is travel on our transportation network will increase. Therefore considerations must be made on the potential impacts to our transportation network. 46 Chapter 4: Recommendations Figure 4-2: Peak Period Congestion on the NHS: 2040 2040 Transportation Plan Figure 4-1 shows recurring congestion caused by volumes of passenger vehicles and trucks that exceed capacity on roadways during peak periods. In 2007, the recurring congestion is concentrated primarily in major metropolitan areas especially along the east coast. In 2007, peak-period congestion resulted in traffic slowing below posted speed limits on 11,700 miles of the NHS and created stop-and-go conditions on an additional 6,700 miles. Assuming no changes in network capacity, increases in truck and passenger vehicle traffic are forecast to expand areas of recurring peak-period congestion to 36 percent of the NHS in 2040 compared with 11 percent in 2007 (Figure 4-2). This will slow traffic on 20,300 miles of the NHS and create stop-and-go conditions on an additional 39,000 miles. Figure 4-3: Average Daily Long-Haul Traffic on the NHS: 2007 Freight Traffic Long-haul freight truck traffic in the United States is concentrated on major routes connecting population centers, ports, border crossings, and other major hubs of activity. Except for Route 99 in California and a few toll roads and border connections, most of the heaviest traveled routes are on the Interstate System. By 2040, long-haul freight truck traffic in the United States is expected to increase dramatically on Interstate highways and other arterials throughout the nation. Forecast data indicate that truck travel may reach 662 million miles per day. Additionally, congested highways carrying a large number of trucks substantially impede interstate commerce, and trucks on those segments contribute significantly to congestion. Recurring congestion slows traffic on 4,700 miles and creates stop-and-go conditions on 3,700 miles of the NHS that carry more than 8,500 trucks per day. Assuming no change in network capacity, the number of NHS miles with recurring congestion and a large number of trucks is forecasted to increase nearly four-fold between 2007 and 2040. On highways carrying more than 8,500 trucks per day, recurring congestion will slow traffic on close to 7,200 miles and create stop-and-go conditions on an additional 23,500 miles. The increased freight traffic and increase congestion will impact the regional transportation Figure 4-4: Average Daily Long-Haul Traffic on the NHS: 2040 Chapter 4: Recommendations 47 Michiana on the Move Figure 4-5: Peak-Period Congestion on High-Volume Truck Portions on the NHS: 2007 network, especially I-80/90, US 31, US 30 and US 20. Aging Infrastructure Given these traffic forecasts and the information presented in the Trends and Projections Chapter, maintaining and modernizing the region’s transportation network is not only critical to the local economy but also the national economy. However, one challenge is that our nation’s infrastructure is aging; especially considering the Interstate System was primarily created in the 1950s under the Eisenhower administration. Figure 4-6: Peak-Period Congestion on High-Volume Truck Portions on the NHS: 2040 Every four years, America’s civil engineers provide a comprehensive assessment of the nation’s major infrastructure categories in the American Society of Civil Engineer’s Report Card for America’s Infrastructure. Using a simple A to F letter grade format, the Report Card provides a comprehensive assessment of current infrastructure conditions and needs, both assigning grades and making recommendations for how to raise the grades. The grades are assigned based on: capacity, condition, funding, future need, operation and maintenance, public safety, resilience, and innovation. Since 1998, the grades for our nation’s infrastructure have been near failing, averaging only Ds, due to delayed maintenance and underinvestment across most categories. America’s cumulative GPA for infrastructure rose slightly to a D+ in the 2013 Report Card. The grades in 2013 ranged from a high of B- for solid waste to a low of D- for inland waterways and levees. Incremental improvements were seen in roads, bridges and transit which received a D, C+ and D. Rail infrastructure jumped from a C- to a C+. 48 Chapter 4: Recommendations The incremental improvement in the 2013 Report Card demonstrates that we can improve the current condition of our nation’s infrastructure when investments are made and projects move forward. While the modest progress is encouraging, it is clear that we have a significant backlog of overdue maintenance across our infrastructure systems, a pressing need for modernization, and an immense opportunity to create reliable, long-term funding sources. 2040 Transportation Plan However, forty-two percent of America’s major urban highways remain congested, costing the economy an estimated $101 billion in wasted time and fuel annually. While the conditions have improved in the near term, and federal, state, and local capital investments increased to $91 billion annually, that level of investment is insufficient and still projected to result in a decline in conditions and performance in the long term. Currently, the Federal Highway Administration estimates that $170 billion in capital investment would be needed on an annual basis to significantly improve conditions and performance. Recommendations Given these challenges prioritizing and investing in a multimodal transportation network is essential and the 2040 Trasnporation Plan acts as a blueprint for our regional investments. The following are recommendations that were generated through the public participation process which included multiple meetings with key stakeholders. The local road project recommendations are presented in Appendix A as a complete list of projects. The projects listed are the result of the planning process outlined in Chapter 1. State Projects The Indiana 2013-2035 Future Transportation Needs Report replaces the 2007 Long-Range Transportation Plan document. INDOT has adopted a non-project specific, needs-based, statewide transportation approach that identifies future transportation needs and describes overarching strategies and opportunities to accomplish future results. This approach will provide a flexible and opportunistic framework for addressing transportation issues and needs for the next 20-25 years. Governor Pence has established a three-part philosophy or vision regarding transportation infrastructure: 1. Take Care of What We Have 2. Finish What We Start 3. Plan for the Future. Take Care of What We Have Preserving Indiana’s existing infrastructure is paramount to maintaining Indiana’s position as the Crossroads of America. The responsibility to preserve existing infrastructure affects revenue streams and, potentially impacts future projects. Finish What We Start The Indiana Department of Transportation is currently working toward bringing regionally important capital projects to reality through programs such as Major Moves. The projects that fall into the “Finish What We Start” category are projects that are underway but not yet finished. These projects include: • Ohio River Bridges • I-69 from Evansville to Indianapolis • Illiana Expressway • US 31 from Indianapolis to South Bend The Indiana Department of Transportation is already working toward bringing these projects to reality. Plan for the Future Governor Pence formed the Blue Ribbon Panel on Transportation Infrastructure to assess the “Plan for the Future” category and provide potential projects for consideration. As Indiana grows, new infrastructure and other structural improvements will be required to facilitate the efficient movement of people and freight. The following recommendations came from the Blue Ribbon Panel and address the best thinking about current project priorities and initiatives as Indiana plans for the future. The Panel evaluated the various projects contained in Table 4-1 against five key metrics and arranged the projects into tiers to signify relative priority among Chapter 4: Recommendations 49 Michiana on the Move Table 4-1: Statewide Significant Projects Projects Name # Tier 1 Tier 2 I-65: Added Travel Lanes 15 X I-70: Added Travel Lanes 14 X I-69 Ohio River Bridge 17 X Commerce Connector 7 X I-69: Added Travel Lanes 16 X SW Indiana Port Connections 5A X Mid-States Corridor 12 X US 30 – Fort Wayne to Valparaiso 8 X Port Bridge Over National Rail 6 Corridor Municipal Connector: Madison 19 Municipal Connector: Connersville 18 Tier 3 Freight X X X Through the various meetings conducted for the 2040 Transportation Plan, various local priorities on State owned facilities were discussed. At this time, the following projects have not received funding nor are they on any State plan, but are listed for reference. 50 Chapter 4: Recommendations • Continue US 20 to the east as a four-lane divided highway • Continue North-South route from US 6 to SR 15 south of Warsaw the top priorities. The tier one projects are those projects that are critical to Indiana’s transportation system. The Blue Ribbon Panel stated the State of Indiana must find a way to do these projects. The Panel then outlined tier two projects that they stated would be good for Indiana, though not critical. The tier three they said were desirable and should be pursued if funds become available. The tiers are not intended to suggest a chronological priority. • Finish US 31 from Plymouth to Kokomo • Improve traffic flow on SR 13 through Middlebury • Improve traffic flow on SR 15 through Warsaw Source: Blue Ribbon Panel on Transportation Infrastructure Local Priorities for State Projects • Upgrade US 30 to be limited access from Ft. Wayne to Valparaiso As part of the Michiana on the Move planning process, MACOG met with the Conexus North Central Regional Logistics Council (Conexus), a special interest group created to realize manufacturing and logistics opportunities. Conexus developed a list of priority projects with freight and logistics emphasis. Several major roadways were identified as important freight projects in North Central Indiana: completing US 31 from I-94 and I-96 in Benton Harbor, MI to I-465 in Indianapolis, US 30 as a limited access highway, continuing a four-lane divided road from the I-80/I-90 Toll Road to US 30 in Warsaw along the SR15/SR17 corridor, and the Illiana Expressway being planned to the west of MACOG’s region, which can connect US 30 to the expressway. On a local level, Conexus identified important freight projects specific to each county. Elkhart County • Complete Bristol Bypass from SR 120, west of Bristol at the river through Earth Way Industrial Park, to a point east of SR 15 and then up to SR 120 • Add travel lanes US 20 east of SR 15 toward Middlebury • Widen CR 6 and/or Old US 20 to match widening projects in St. Joseph County • Reroute US 33 from Pike and Main Street to Monroe Street in Goshen 2040 Transportation Plan Kosciusko County • CR 1300 N new road construction from Old SR 15 to SR 15, with new bridge over Norfolk Southern Railroad • SR 15 Warsaw Western Bypass from US 30 to SR 15 South • East-West street grade seperation at Norfolk Southern in the City of Warsaw • CR 700 S from SR 19 to SR 15 in Claypool- Commodity Connector only needed if Warsaw Western Bypass not completed • Fox Farm & CR 150W Truck Route New Road & Bridge from US 30 to Old US 30 Marshall County • Completion of US 31 • US 30 limited access • Southern access to US 31 • Widen Michigan Road from CR 17 to US 31 • Interchange at a limited access US 31 at Michigan Road St. Joseph County • Create an interchange at Adams Road and the US 31 Bypass with access roads connecting to Olive to the west and to the new Auten Road to the east • Extend Olive Street from Brick Road to Adams Road • Upgrade Olive Street from Nimtz Parkway to Lincolnway West or US 20 • Extend Auten Road from Portage to Dylan Drive Bicycle and Pedestrian During the 2040 Transportation Plan meetings, there was a strong interest in developing a regional bicycle and pedestrian plan. In order to better discuss and plan for bicycle and pedestrian needs, MACOG will develop a Regional Bicycle and Pedestrian Connectivity Plan in 2015. Due to the upcoming plan, specific project recommendations are not included in the 2040 Transportation Plan. Public Transit Public transit is important for a number of practical reasons and is an integral part of the transportation system, providing an additional mode choice. The economic competitiveness of the region is at risk if people cannot get to their jobs and destinations. Providing efficient public transit allows all persons access to jobs, workforce development, health care facilities, schools, and recreation. Additionally, an aging population in the region suggests a long-term need to provide viable mobility options not only for standard work trips, but also for non-work trips and during nonpeak periods. Offering public transit to medical facilities, commercial areas and other key destinations will support both the quality of life of our seniors and the increasing needs of those that may be transit-dependent. During the 2040 Transportation Plan meetings, there were discussion about developing a regional transit plan. This plan would provide specific recommendations about transit projects, needs, connectivity, and enhancements. MACOG will develop a Regional Public Transit Plan in 2015. • Connect Sample Street to SR 23 through the New Energy project • Improve the street/railroad into New Carlisle • Improve McKinley Highway through Mishawaka to Elkhart Chapter 4: Recommendations 51 Contents 54 | Federal Funding Programs 55 | Local Funding Programs 56 | Transit Funding Programs 57 | Highway Trust Fund 59 | Financial Plan Chapter 5: Financial Michiana on the Move 5 In MAP-21 these funds are divided into the following categories: • National Highway Performance Program (NHPP) • Surface Transportation Program (STP) • Congestion Mitigation & Air Quality Improvement Program (CMAQ) • Highway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP) • Transportation Alternatives Program (TAP) Under federal regulations, the 2040 Transportation Plan must include a financial plan that demonstrates how the adopted plan can be implemented. The financial plan shall compare the estimates of funds that are reasonably expected to be available for transportation uses, including transit, and the cost of constructing, maintaining and operating the total (existing, plus planned) transportation system over the period of the plan. As such, the development of reasonable funding estimates and costs is essential to the development of a transportation plan that is consistent with the federal requirements for fiscal constraint. Federal Funding Programs The Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) allocates federal funds through Congressional legislation. The most recent transportation legislation is Moving Ahead for Progress in the 21st Century (MAP-21). MAP-21 allocation of federal funds in MPO areas may only be spent if it is included as part of the transportation planning process and only if they are included in an approved TIP. These funds may be used on functionally classified system of federal, state, and local roadways throughout the United States. 54 Chapter 5: Financial Indiana Department of Transportation (INDOT) is responsible for projects on its State and Federal facilities. All federal aid eligible roads are functionally classified by agreement between the State, MPOs, and LPAs (Local Public Agencies) based on Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) guidelines for functional classification. All roads classified at major collector or higher may receive Federal Surface Transportation Program (STP) funds. The selection of projects to be developed using STP funds in the South Bend and Elkhart/Goshen Urbanized Areas under the requirements of MAP21 are to be made by the MPO in consultation with the State. MAP-21 continues the Highway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP) to achieve a significant reduction in traffic fatalities and serious injuries on all public roads. The CMAQ program is continued in MAP-21 to provide a flexible funding source to States, MPOs and LPAs for transportation projects and programs to help meet the requirements of the Clean Air Act. MAP-21 establishes a new program to provide for a variety of alternative transportation projects, including many that were previously eligible activities under separately funded programs. The current federal legislation funds include several formula based calculations defined by Congress, which are distributed to urban areas by a funding agreement between the MPO and INDOT. Currently, funding is available in rural areas on a first come, first served basis at INDOT’s discretion. 2040 Transportation Plan Local Funding Programs The following accounts serve as the local source of revenue for highway project implementation; each of these sources can be used as the local match for Federal funds: • Local Road and Street Account (LR&S) • Motor Vehicle Highway Account (MVHA) • Bonding Capabilities • Tax Increment Financing (TIF) • Cumulative Bridge Funds • Major Bridge Funds • Capital Improvement Cumulative Funds • Wheel Tax • Economic Development Tax (EDIT) Local Road and Street Account (LR&S) LR&S funds provide an important source of revenue for both city and county highway departments. The funds are dedicated for engineering, construction, or reconstruction of roads or streets, as well as for the payment of bond and interest to finance a project of this type. Motor Vehicle Highway Account (HVHA) MVHA revenue is an account of the General Fund of the State of Indiana, which, by statute, is credited with the collection of the first six cents of the motor fuel and fuel use taxes, plus the statutory fees for motor vehicle registration and operation. These highway user taxes are collected by the State and then a portion is distributed back to the cities and counties for administration. The MVHA is the principal source of revenue for the overall operation of street and highway departments. MVHAs uses include the purchase of materials, labor costs, and/or equipment purchases required in the maintenance and construction of streets and roads. Bonding Capabilities The two major categories of debt financing are: • Revenue bonds • General obligation bonds Revenue bonds in Indiana are used for proprietary function such as sewage treatment and refuse disposal equipment by all levels and types of local governments. Governments are not limited in the amount of revenue bond debt they may incur. Revenue bonds hold no pertinent place in a discussion of finances for our purposes, and will no longer be referred to in this report. General obligation bonds are used for debt financing of non-proprietary functional expenditures such as roads and schools. The amount of general obligation debt, which local governments and special districts may incur, is limited to two percent (2%) of net locally assessed property value. (This limit is set and may be altered by the Indiana State Legislature) Tax Incremental Financing (TIF) TIF funds are used to pay off bonds, or are used to pay directly for infrastructure projects in a particular area of a city or county. These funds are collected from a particular area and are spent in a particular area to increase the tax base and encourage future development. TIF funds may also be used as local match for federal and state projects. Cumulative Bridge Funds (CBF) Cumulative Bridge Funds are a supplementary source of revenue for the construction and repair of highway bridges and grade separations. Indiana statutes authorize the county commissioners of the individual county units to establish a county-wide tax levy not to exceed ten cents ($0.10) on each one hundred dollars ($100) assessed valuation of all taxable personal and real property within the county and municipalities for the purpose of accumulating funds for the construction and repair of highway bridges. Chapter 5: Financial 55 Michiana on the Move Major Bridge Funds Major Bridge Funds are local county revenues available to counties for longer span bridges. Counties with populations between 100,000 and 700,000 are eligible to establish this fund. Those county’s are eligible as long as there is are major obstructions (physical barrier such as rivers that inhibits to the passage of motor vehicle traffic) between commercial or population centers are eligible. The county may levy a tax in compliance with Indiana statutes not to exceed three and thirty-three hundredths cents ($0.0333) on each one hundred dollars ($100) assessed valuation of all taxable personal and real property within the county to provide for the major bridge fund. Funds may be used for major bridges, defined as 200 feet or more in length with special exceptions for bridges within cities. As of 2010, four counties in Indiana had Major Bridge Funds. Capital Improvement Cumulative Funds All cities and towns in Indiana may establish Capital Improvement Cumulative Funds to provide monies for any or all ten purposes expressed in Chapter 226, Section 1, Acts 1965. This fund then receives the allotment of the state-collected cigarette tax. The ten purposes include the acquisition of land or right-of-way to be used for streets, roads, alleys, sidewalks, or thoroughfares, and the maintenance of these facilities. Capital Improvement Cumulative Funds may also be used toward the retirement of general obligation bonds. Traditionally, limited amounts of this money have been used in transportation areas. Wheel Tax (Local Option Highway User Tax) The Local Option Highway User Tax is available to all counties. It requires that the County Council and County Commissioners approve the tax. St. Joseph and Elkhart Counties approved the tax in 2003. Kosciusko County approved a Wheel Tax in June 2014. Distributions are made to the cities and towns as well as the counties. Economic Development Income Tax (EDIT) 56 The Economic Development Income Tax is an optional tax available to all counties in Indiana. It must be passed by the County Coun- Chapter 5: Financial cil and approved by the County Commissioners. This tax is also known as CEDIT, County Economic Development Tax. It can be adopted by the County Council if the county has the County Adjusted Gross Income Tax (CAGIT), or by the County Commissioners if the county has County Option Income Tax (COIT), or either body if the county has neither CAGIT nor COIT. Most counties that use CEDIT also have either CAGIT or COIT. CEDIT generally can be adopted at rates up to 0.5%, but the combined CAGIT and CEDIT rates in counties with both taxes cannot exceed 1.25%, and the combined COIT and CEDIT rates cannot exceed 1%. Revenue is divided among the county, cities and towns, and must be used for economic development or public capital projects. CEDIT revenue is collected by the state Department of Revenue and distributed back to the adopting counties. St. Joseph and Kosciusko County have adopted COIT and CEDIT. Elkhart County has adopted CAGIT and CEDIT. Marshall County has adopted CAGIT. Transit Funding Programs The Federal Transit Administration (FTA) apportions grant funds, which can be used in urbanized areas of 50,000 or more persons as defined by the 2010 decennial census. In order to use these funds, the Governor must have previously authorized a designated recipient to receive said funds and comply with all FTA operating, planning, and capital equipment requirements. In the South Bend and Elkhart-Goshen urbanized areas, there are three designated recipients, MACOG, the South Bend PTC and NICTD. MACOG has dual designation as a designated recipient in South Bend as well as in Elkhart-Goshen. The City of Niles is the designated recipient for Niles Dial-A-Ride System. Urban Funds Section 5303 funds are distributed by formula and are provided to the area MPO (MACOG) to provide planning and technical assistance studies in the Urbanized Area. Section 5307 funds are formula funds used for transit planning, operating, and capital equipment 2040 Transportation Plan purchases. Section 5307 recipients include TRANSPO, the City of Niles (South Bend portion of the TMA), NICTD, and MACOG, which operates the Interurban Trolley and the Interurban Trolley Access Service. Section 5337 and 5339 are also formula based funding programs. Section 5337 is FTA’s first stand-alone initiative written into law that is dedicated to repairing and upgrading the nation’s rail transit systems. NICTD uses these funds to maintain its fixed guideway in a state of good. Section 5339 provides capital funding to replace, rehabilitate and purchase buses and related equipment and to construct bus-related facilities. Section 5310 provides formula funding to large urbanized areas over 200,000 (South Bend Urban Area) to increase the mobility of seniors and persons with disabilities. overall national economy. The primary funding mechanism that raises $30 billion per year and funds 85% of spending from the trust fund is motor fuel taxes. The federal government collects 18.4¢ a gallon on gasoline and 24.4¢ a gallon on diesel. These tax revenues are placed into the Highway Trust Fund, which provides states a significant amount of funding for infrastructure repairs and new construction. The fund consists of three different funding pools: Highway, Mass Transit, and Leak- Figure 5-1: Receipts, Outlays, and Balance or Shortfall for the Highway Account Under CBO’s April 2014 Baseline Rural Funds Section 5311 provides financial assistance in rural and small urban areas (areas of 5,000 to 50,000 persons) through a formula grant program administered by INDOT. These funds do not require a designated recipient and may be used by local public agencies, nonprofit organizations, and operators of public transit for operating and capital equipment purchases. A Section 5311 program recipient in the MACOG region is the Marshall County Council on Aging and Kosciusko Area Bus System (KABS). Prior to 2008, MACOG was the recipient of the funds. Section 5310 is also available for all areas under 200,000 in population from a discretionary program funded by FTA through the INDOT and is a capital equipment program available to non-profit agencies. Highway Trust Fund When forecasting revenues and expenses out to 2040 it is important to be cognizant of the fact that the future of our nation’s transportation federal financing is in question. The Highway Trust Fund is facing insolvency and without other funds to support a national multimodal transportation system, our country will be unable to compete in a global marketplace, sustain jobs and strengthen the ing Underground Storage Tanks (LUST). Approximately 84% per gallon of the tax goes into the Highway Account, 14% per gallon of the tax goes into the Mass Transit account, and approximately 1% a gallon of tax goes into the LUST account. This federal motor fuel taxes were last increased in 1993, from 14.1¢ to 18.4¢ for gasoline and from 18.3¢ to 24.4¢ for diesel. The Highway Trust Fund is struggling because outlays have been outpacing receipts for the past few years, as shown in Figure 5-1. Chapter 5: Financial 57 Michiana on the Move Figure 5-2: Vehicle Miles Traveled - Moving 12-Month Total on All Highways 58 Chapter 5: Financial 2040 Transportation Plan A few factors are contributing to the insolvency of the Highway Trust Fund. First, Americans are not driving as much or at the rate they were a few years ago. Figure 5-2 shows the vehicle miles traveled for American drivers from October 1993 to October 2013. The theories to explain the shift primarily focus on the impact of the Great Recession and high gasoline prices. The decrease in vehicle miles travel corresponds to a decrease in gasoline consumption. At the same time, the amount of gas used by American vehicles has dropped because of alternate fuel vehicles and improved fuel efficiencies. According to the U.S. Department of Transportation, the average fuel efficiency of a passenger vehicle was 24.3 mpg in 1980. The average fuel efficiency of a passenger vehicle is 36 mpg in 2013. The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates that the Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) standards would gradually lower gasoline tax revenues, eventually causing them to fall by 21 percent. That full effect would not be realized until around 2040 because the standards would gradually increase in stringency (only reaching their maximum level in 2025) and because the vehicle fleet changes slowly as older vehicles are replaced with new ones. To illustrate the eventual effect of the standards on the trust fund’s cash flows, CBO showed how a 21 percent reduction in gasoline tax collections would alter the projections for the trust fund from 2012 through 2022. CBO estimates that such a decrease would result in a $57 billion drop in revenues for the Highway Trust Fund over those 11 years. This represents a 13 percent reduction in the trust fund’s total receipts from all sources. The full 21 percent reduction in gasoline tax revenues, however, would not be fully realized until 2040. Lastly, unlike most taxes that are levied on a percentage-basis the motor fuel taxes are levied as a fixed amount per gallon. Since they are not indexed to inflation and they were last raised over two decades ago, the motor fuel taxes do not have the same purchasing power. From 1993 to 2012 the purchasing power of the motor fuel taxes have decreased by nearly 37% and by 2023 are estimated to decrease by 52%. The Highway Trust fund is currently being supported by transfers from the General Fund. Since 2008, Congress has transferred $52.1 billion dollars. Finding a sustainable, long-term funding solution for the Highway Trust Fund to support the financing of transportation infrastructure for decades to come is critical especially with the nation’s aging infrastructure. Financial Plan Transportation Under federal regulations, the 2040 Transportation Plan must include a financial plan. The financial plan must demonstrate how the adopted transportation plan can be implemented. The following charts demonstrate the financial feasibility of the Plan and how projects could be funded. This demonstration assumes that federal funds are applied only to construction costs. The assumed federal/local split for transportation projects is 80% federal and 20% local, unless the project is known to be completely funded locally. Due to the nature of the Highway Trust Fund the demonstration holds the federal allocation Table 5-1: Expenses vs Revenues - Highway Recap Expenses1 County Federal Matching Total Funds Funds Expenses Elkhart Co $109,404,236 $27,351,059 $136,755,295 St. Joseph Co $186,193,909 $46,548,477 $232,742,387 Revenues County Federal Matching Total Funds Funds Expenses Elkhart Co $110,447,350 $27,792,232 $138,239,582 St. Joseph Co $186,237,428 $46,652,710 $232,890,138 1) Estimated Expenses are based on the projects in Appendix A. Each project cost is estimated for year of expenditure dollars. Chapter 5: Financial 59 Michiana on the Move Table 5-2: Estimated Federal Highway Funds County Category Annual Allocation Federal Funds (2015-2040) Elkhart Co STP Group I STP Group II HSIP CMAQ TAP Total Funds $ $2,355,043 $1,664,104 $1,027,164 $1,201,664 $7,162,978 $ $ 61,231,118 $ 17,266,704 $ 26,706,264 $ 5,243,264 $110,447,350 County Category Annual Allocation Federal Funds (2015-2040) St. Joseph Co STP Group I STP Group II HSIP CMAQ TAP Total Funds $4,059,972 $ $1,119,820 $1,591,851 $1,391,335 $7,162,978 $105,559,272 $ $ 29,115,320 $ 41,388,126 $ 10,174,710 $186,237,428 Table 5-3: Estimated Highway Match Funds County Category Annual Revenue Match Funds (2015-2040)3 Elkhart Co LRSA CAGIT/EDIT/COIT1 CBF MBF LOHUT Other2 Total Funds $391,117 $227,896 $115,000 $ $184,919 $250,000 $1,068,932 $10,169,042 $ 5,925,296 $ 2,990,000 $ $ 2,207,894 $ 6,500,000 $27,792,232 County Category Annual Revenue Match Funds (2015-2040)3 St. Joseph Co LRSA CAGIT/EDIT/COIT1 CBF MBF LOHUT Other2 Total Funds $575,622 $333,322 $209,970 $165,864 $109,557 $400,000 $1,794,335 $14,966,172 $ 8,666,372 $ 5,459,220 $ 4,312,464 $ 2,848,482 $10,400,000 $46,652,710 .Sources: LRSA,CBF, MBF, CAGIT, EDIT, COIT are from 2012 DLGF Detailed Receipts, LOHUT provided by BIC 07/2012. Only showing estimated funds used to match federal dollars. 1) CAGIT/EDIT/COIT are used to fund various governmental expenses and are not guaranteed for roads and bridges. Estimated 1% to 2% used per year on roads and bridges. 2) Other includes Major Moves, TIF, MVH, etc 3) Flat lined growth in available dollars from 2015 through 2040. 60 Chapter 5: Financial 2040 Transportation Plan Table 5-4: Estimated Federal Transit Funds Annual Federal Funds County Category Allocation (2015-2040) 5307 $1,909,466 $ 49,646,116 5310 $ $ Elkhart Co 5337 $ $ 5339 $ $ Total Funds $1,909,466 $ 49,646,116 5307 $4,011,612 $104,301,912 5310 $1,260,407 $ 6,770,582 St. Joseph Co 5337 $2,318,896 $ 60,291,296 5339 $1,290,623 $ 7,556,198 Total $6,621,131 $178,919,988 flat at 2014 amounts for St. Joseph and Elkhart Counties. Both Marshall and Kosciusko Counties are considered rural and do not directly receive a federal allocation for transportation projects. Therefore, they are not included in the financial plan. We have included the projects in this plan if reasonable additional resources (ie. Group III or Group IV funds from the State, competitive grants, etc) were available. Public Transit It is anticipated that Transpo, NICTD and Niles Dial-a-Ride will continue to receive Section 5307 Urbanized Area Formula funds in the South Bend Urbanized Area. Additionally, Transpo receives Section 5339 Bus and Bus Facilities funds and NICTD receives 5337 Status of Good Repair funds to assist with capital costs in providing transit services in the area. Section 5310 provides formula funding to large urbanized areas over 200,000 (South Bend Urbanized Area) and is a statewide competitive grant process for urbanized areas between 50,000 to 200,000 (Elkhart-Goshen Urbanized Area). The goal of the 5310 program is to increase the mobility of seniors and persons with disabilities. In the Elkhart-Goshen Urbanized Area it is anticipated that Interurban Trolley will continue to receive Section 5307 Urbanized Area Formula funds. . Based on the FY2014 annual allocation for these programs and assuming that the allocation is flat, the South Bend Urbanized is anticipated to receive $178.9 million in Federal Transit Administration funds for 2015 through 2040. During the same time period, the Elkhart-Goshen Urbanized Area would receive $49.6 million in Federal Transit Administration funds. These funds would be used for capital projects or operating expenses. Chapter 5: Financial 61 Contents 64 | National Performance Measures 66 | State Performance Measures 66 | Local Performance Measures Chapter 6: System Performance Michiana on the Move 6 Under MAP-21, Congress has begun to outline a more performance based transportation system that will make State DOTs, MPOs, and local road agencies more accountable for the development and maintenance of the federally funded transportation system. This is a significant change from the previous transportation legislation, SAFETEA-LU. The objective of this performance and outcome based program is for States and MPOs to invest resources in projects that collectively will make progress toward the achievement of national goals. MACOG is developing a listing of those areas in which further investigation and data collection would be beneficial to the member agencies. However, MACOG must wait for wait for federal and state regulations to be finalized before proceeding with a formal selection and review of performance measures for the region based on those regulations. The following section will provide information on the focus of measures in MAP-21 legislation and then a review of factors that the MPO may want to further investigate after release of U.S. DOT national measures and state targets. 64 Chapter 6: System Performance National Performance Measures Section 1203 of MAP-21 stipulates that the U.S. DOT promulgate performance measures in the areas of the National Highway Performance Program (NHPP), Highway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP), the Congestion Mitigation and Air Quality Improvement Program (CMAQ), and the National Freight Movement (Freight) within 18 months after the date of enactment of the MAP-21. Additionally, this section also stipulated twelve performance measure categories for carrying out the NHPP, HSIP, CMAQ, and Freight. In March 2014, the U.S. DOT published two interrelated Notices of Proposed Rulemaking (NPRMs) in the Federal Register as required by MAP-21. The Safety Performance Measures NPRM proposes safety performance measures and State DOT and MPO requirements for establishing and reporting specific annual targets for fatalities and serious injuries. The NPRM updates the existing HSIP requirements under 23 CFR Part 924 and proposes a subset of the model inventory of roadway elements for all public roads, the Strategic Highway Safety Plan update cycle, and other revisions to implement MAP-21 provisions, as well as clarifying existing regulatory language. The U.S. DOT published an additional third related NPRM that addresses proposed updates to the statewide and metropolitan and non-metropolitan planning regulations. All three notices were open for public comment and are among the set of U.S. DOT’s proposals to implement MAP-21 performance provisions for the federal-aid highway program. A second set of performance-related NPRMs will focus on pavement, bridges, and asset management; a third will focus on congestion, emissions, system performance, freight, and public transportation. Collectively, these rules advance the vision of Congress to transform federal-aid transportation programs to provide more efficient investments by: 2040 Transportation Plan • focusing on national transportation goals; • increasing accountability and transparency; and • improving transportation investment decision-making. The U.S. DOT anticipates the implementation of coordinated performance measures by the spring of 2015 and encourages the public to review each of the proposed rules as they become available in the Federal Register and to submit comments to the docket for each rule. Safety To achieve a significant reduction in traffic fatalities and serious injuries on all public roads: • MACOG works with the local road and transit agencies to identify problematic areas in the region to improve safety for motorists and non-motorized transportation users. • MACOG has been recognized by FHWA for an innovative approach to inventory and rank curb cuts and pedestrian crossings in the development of ADA Transition Plans in the region. • Traffic crash reports reported to the Indiana State Police are reviewed for accuracy and analysis. • As part of the development of a regional sign inventory system, reflectometers were provided to local highway departments and engineers for measuring the night time visibility of signage. • MACOG was recognized by the Indiana MPO Council for the DriveSafeMichiana.com website. • On an annual basis in the spring, participating schools are provided with regional bike maps and safety brochures. Infrastructure Condition To maintain the highway infrastructure asset system in a state of good repair: • In addition to measuring reflectivity, the regional sign inventory tracks the condition of signage to identify when preventive maintenance and sign replacement should be done. • MACOG is coordinating with local highway departments and engineers in the development of a road inventory system to rate pavement suitability and identify when preventive maintenance is necessary. Congestion Reduction To achieve a significant reduction in congestion on the National Highway System: • MACOG conduct travel time studies of major corridors to evaluate congestion and traffic flow. • Using a Travel Demand Model, MACOG can forecast future congestion and assist communities in evaluating project effectiveness. System Reliability To improve the efficiency of the surface transportation system: • MACOG will monitor areas with development pressure, coordinating with local road and transit agencies on how to ensure the efficient movement of people and goods. Freight Movement and Economic Vitality To improve the national freight network, strengthen the ability of rural communities to access national and international trade markets, and support regional economic development: • MACOG continues to monitor and gather information regarding the movement of freight commodities within the region. • Continue to meet and discuss transportation needs and priorities with key freight stakeholders. • MACOG maintains a Comprehensive Economic Develop- Chapter 6: System Performance 65 Michiana on the Move ment Strategy (CEDS), intended to facilitate regional discussion, to coordinate, cooperate, and develop comprehensive regional actions to improve and sustain growth. • Additionally, the MACOG Regional Economic Development District has continued to build partnerships with the local economic development organizations. Within one year of the U.S. DOT final rule on performance measures, States will set performance targets in support of those measures. States may set different performance targets for urbanized and rural areas. To ensure consistency each State must, to the maximum extent practicable • MACOG conducts Red Flag Investigations for all projects considering federal funding in the Transportation Improvement Program (TIP) and the 2040 Transportation Plan. • Coordinate with public transportation providers when setting performance targets in an urbanized area not represented by an MPO. Environmental Sustainability To enhance the performance of the transportation system while protecting and enhancing the natural environment: • MACOG is continuously working with local watershed and environmental groups via the St. Joseph River Basin Commission to reduce the potential impacts to species and environmentally sensitive areas. • The Clean Air Program was initiated by MACOG in 1994 to educate citizens and businesses about how to help keep the air clean. Reduced Project Delivery Delays To reduce project costs, promote jobs and the economy, and expedite the movement of people and goods by accelerating project completion through eliminating delays in the project development and delivery process, including reducing regulatory burdens and improving agencies’ work practices: • MACOG requires each federally funded project in the TIP to participate in Quarterly Tracking and Review (QTR). This process ensures that LPAs, their project consultants, the MPO and INDOT are all on the same page, reducing costly project delays. 66 State Performance Measures Chapter 6: System Performance • Coordinate with an MPO when setting performance targets for the area represented by that MPO; and The States are initially required to submit a report on performance progress by October 1, 2016 and every 2 years thereafter. The report would include the condition and performance of the NHS, effectiveness of the investment strategy for the NHS, and progress in achieving all State performance targets. States will also need to provide information on the performance of the Interstate system and ways in which congestion bottlenecks in the National Freight Plan are being addressed. Local Performance Measures Within 180 days of States or providers of public transportation setting performance targets, MPOs are to set performance targets in relation to the performance measures. To ensure consistency, each MPO must, to the maximum extent practicable, coordinate with the relevant State and public transportation providers when setting performance targets. As of the date of this plan, the U.S. DOT had not finalized national performance measures but has released the MAP-21 Planning Factors and National Performance Goals which were considered during the development of the plan. Future actions will be incorpo- 2040 Transportation Plan rated into the 2040 Transportation Plan to meet federal and state measures as they are adopted. Chapter 6: System Performance 67 Appendix A: List of Proposed Projects Michiana on the Move Figure A-1: Elkhart County Proposed Project Map 70 Appendix A: List of Proposed Projects 2040 Transportation Plan Table A-1: Elkhart County Proposed Project List Sponsor Open to Traffic By Elkhart 2015 Main Street Lusher Avenue Elkhart 2015 Prairie Street Middlebury Street Elkhart County 2015 CR 17 CR 38 Elkhart Elkhart Elkhart Elkhart County Elkhart County Elkhart County Elkhart County Elkhart County Elkhart County INDOT INDOT INDOT INDOT INDOT INDOT INDOT 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 Project Route Main Street Prairie Street Prairie Street CR 17 CR 17 CR 17 CR 17 CR 17 CR 3 SR 19 SR 19 (Nappanee Street) SR 19 (Nappanee Street) US 33 US 33 US 33 US 33 Beginning Termini Indiana Avenue Main Street CR 142 CR 32 CR 32 (Leedy Ditch) CR 30 CR 30 CR 32 CR 38 College Street US 20 (Southern Ramp) 2020 Bristol Street (CR 10) Jeanwood Drive Goshen Avenue Division Street Added Travel Lanes Prairie Street Middlebury Street CR 38 CR 32 (Leedy Ditch) CR 30 CR 28 College Avenue (CR 36) CR 40 Elkhart 2020 0.6 Kercher Road (CR 38) Rainbow Bend Boulevard Harrison Street Elkhart Road Reconstruction Rainbow Bend Boulevard 2nd Street 3rd Street Indiana Avenue Lusher Avenue 2020 2020 Length (Miles) Norfolk Southern Railroad (#522504S) Elkhart Elkhart Type of Work Ending Termini Harrison Street Jackson Boulevard Beardsley Avenue Kercher Road (CR 38) Monroe Street CR 15 Jefferson Street Jefferson Street Pebblestone Lane (City Limits) Middlebury Street Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes 0.4 0.2 0.2 Grade Separation 0.0 Grade Separation 0.0 Road Reconstruction New Road Construction New Road Construction Grade Separation New Road Construction Intersection Improvement Intersection Improvement Center Turn Lane Center Turn Lane Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Center Turn Lane Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Appendix A: List of Proposed Projects 2.5 1.9 1.2 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.4 2.4 0.5 0.5 1.1 0.9 71 Michiana on the Move Table A-1: Elkhart County Proposed Project List Sponsor Open to Traffic By Elkhart 2020 Goshen Avenue Middlebury Street Toledo Road Elkhart 2020 Lusher Avenue 17th Street Oakland Avenue Elkhart Elkhart Elkhart Elkhart Elkhart County Elkhart County Goshen 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 Jackson Boulevard Lexington Avenue Main Street Old US 20 CR 38 CR 38 (Kercher Road) Dierdorff Road (CR 27) Beginning Termini Goshen Avenue Bypass Road Beardsley Avenue CR 3 CR 17 CR 21 CR 40 Goshen 2020 Kercher Road (CR 38) Violett Road Goshen 2020 Waterford Mills Parkway SR 15 Goshen Goshen INDOT INDOT INDOT 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 Kercher Road (CR 38) Wilden Avenue SR 19 SR 19 US 33 Norfolk Southern Railroad (#533510B) Rock Run Creek CR 52 (Woodview Drive) SR 119 (CR 44) Lusher Avenue Elkhart Elkhart 2025 2025 2025 Prairie Street Toledo Road Toledo Road Norfolk Southern Railroad (#533510B) Dierdorff Road (CR 27) Regent Street 6th Street 0.5 Center Turn Lane Intersection Improvement Center Turn Lane Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes New Road Construction Road Reconstruction Intersection Improvement Intersection Improvement Added Travel Lanes Prairie Street Elkhart Kercher Road (CR 38) Road Reconstruction Intersection Improvement Industrial Parkway 2025 Prairie Street Violet Road 0.4 Road Reconstruction Elkhart 2025 CR 21 Added Travel Lanes Lusher Avenue Mishawaka Road (CR 20) Elkhart Lexington Avenue Length (Miles) Hively Avenue Benham Avenue Osolo Road (CR 11) SR 19 Type of Work Monroe Street 2025 2025 Ending Termini Pike Street Elkhart Elkhart 72 2020 Project Route Bristol Street Indiana Avenue Goshen Avenue Industrial Parkway Appendix A: List of Proposed Projects Hively Avenue CR 6 Indiana Avenue Main Street Rowe Street New Road Construction Added Travel Lanes Center Turn Lane Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.5 2.0 0.7 1.0 0.4 1.1 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.5 2040 Transportation Plan Table A-1: Elkhart County Proposed Project List Sponsor Open to Traffic By Elkhart 2025 Toledo Road Rowe Street Elkhart County 2025 CR 17 CR 46 Elkhart County Elkhart County Elkhart County Elkhart County Elkhart County Elkhart County Goshen 2025 2025 2025 2025 2025 2025 2025 Project Route CR 13 (Lewis Street) CR 13 (Lewis Street) CR 6 CR 6 Old US 20 Old US 20 College Avenue US 33 Ash Road CR 10 Ash Road CR 1 Norfolk Southern Railroad (#510048K) 2025 Kercher Road (CR 38) Dierdorff Road (CR 27) Goshen 2025 Waterford Mills Parkway CR 40 Goshen Nappanee Elkhart 2025 2025 2025 2030 Wilden Avenue CR 40 Lincoln Street Hively Avenue Length (Miles) CR 13 Added Travel Lanes 0.5 CR 142 Road Reconstruction 1.5 CR 1 Added Travel Lanes Ending Termini Linden Drive Norfolk Southern Railroad (#510015X) Goshen Goshen Type of Work Beginning Termini Current Terminus Dierdorff Road (CR 27) US 6 CR 10 John Weaver Parkway CR 3 Winsted Avenue New Road Construction SR 15 Elkhart County Elkhart County Elkhart County 2040 2040 2040 CR 40 CR 40 CR 40 CR 17 CR 17 CR 21 Violet Road 0.2 3.0 CR 21 Road Reconstruction CR 6 CR 142 0.3 Road Reconstruction Bristol Street (CR 10) 2040 New Road Construction 1.3 CR 46 Johnson Street (CR 9) Elkhart County Road Reconstruction 1.0 0.0 2035 US 6 Added Travel Lanes Grade Separation Elkhart County CR 17 1.0 Williams Street US 33 Toledo Road 2030 1.0 0.2 Moyer Avenue Elkhart County Added Travel Lanes 0.9 New Road Construction Norfolk Southern Railroad (#510012C) Pebbleston Lane Added Travel Lanes 1.1 Middlebury Street US 33 Indiana Avenue CR 10 (Bristol Street) Added Travel Lanes 0.0 0.7 2030 2030 Grade Separation 0.2 Center Turn Lane Elkhart Elkhart County Center Turn Lane CR 15 SR 15 Violet Road SR 15 Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Appendix A: List of Proposed Projects 0.9 0.2 1.5 2.9 2.1 0.8 0.3 73 Michiana on the Move Figure A-2: Kosciusko County Proposed Project Map 74 Appendix A: List of Proposed Projects 2040 Transportation Plan Table A-2: Kosciusko County Proposed Project List Sponsor Open to Traffic By Kosciusko County 2015 Old US 30 CR 350 Zimmer Road Kosciusko County 2015 Old US 30 Walnut Creek Fox Farm Road Kosciusko County Kosciusko County Kosciusko County Kosciusko County Kosciusko County Kosciusko County Kosciusko County Kosciusko County Kosciusko County Kosciusko County Kosciusko County Kosciusko County Kosciusko County Kosciusko County Kosciusko County Syracuse Warsaw Warsaw Warsaw Warsaw 2015 2015 2015 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 Project Route Old US 30 Old US 30 Old US 30 County Farm Road County Farm Road CR 100 E CR 100 E CR 100 E CR 1300 N CR 1300 N CR 1300 N CR 150 W CR 150 W Fox Farm Road CR 100 E Chicago Street County Farm Road CR 300 N Husky Trail Kincaide Street Beginning Termini Zimmer Road Zimmer Road Fox Farm Road CR 700 S CR 400 S Ending Termini Walnut Creek CR 400 S CR 200 S City Limits (0.2 mi S of CR CR 200 N 200 N) CR 200 N CR 250 N Old SR 15 CR 300 E CR 300 N SR 15 Norfolk Southern Railroad (New Crossing) CR 450 N Old SR 15 Type of Work Length (Miles) Road Reconstruction 1.3 Road Reconstruction 0.6 Intersection Improvement Road Reconstruction Intersection Improvement Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction New Road Construction Road Reconstruction Grade Separation Fox Farm Road US 30 Road Reconstruction CR 250 N CR 300 N Road Reconfiguration US 30 Lake Street (Old US 30) SR 13 CR 200 S CR 150 W Mariners Drive Logan Street CR 300 N CR 150 W Harkless Drive Baker Street SR 15 City Limits (0.2 mi S of CR 200 N) Union Street Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes New Road Construction Appendix A: List of Proposed Projects 0.0 0.6 0.0 3.2 2.1 0.2 0.5 1.5 0.4 2.8 0.0 0.8 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.4 75 Michiana on the Move Table A-2: Kosciusko County Proposed Project List Sponsor Open to Traffic By Warsaw 2020 Lake Street Market Street Warsaw 2020 Market Street Bronson Street Warsaw Warsaw Warsaw Warsaw Warsaw 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 Winona Lake 2020 Kosciusko County 2025 Kosciusko County Kosciusko County Kosciusko County Kosciusko County Kosciusko County Kosciusko County Winona Lake Kosciusko County Kosciusko County Kosciusko County Kosciusko County Kosciusko County Kosciusko County 76 2025 2025 2025 2025 2025 2025 2025 2030 2030 2030 2030 2030 2030 Project Route Market Street Market Street Patterson Road Winona Avenue Zimmer Road (CR 225 W) Packerton Road CR 450 N CR 450 N CR 450 N Barbee Lake Road CR 650 E CR 650 E CR 700 E Beginning Termini Columbia Street Hickory Street Parker Street Maple Avenue Type of Work Length (Miles) Osborn Street Road Reconstruction 0.8 Argonne Road Road Reconstruction 0.8 Ending Termini Hickory Street Bronson Street CR 175 E Argonne Road Road Reconstruction Pierceton Road CR 375 E CR 475 E CR 250 E McKenna Road Lincoln Highway CR 300 N Barbee Lake Road CR 250 E CR 375 E CR 700 E CR 300 N McKenna Road Armstrong Road SR 19 CR 900 N SR 19 Fleugel Ditch CR 900 N Added Travel Lanes CR 100 E CR 225 S Marshall County Line CR 900 N Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction CR 1350 N CR 550 N Road Reconstruction SR 25 (Crystal Lake Road) Old US 30 Kings Highway / Winona Park Avenue / Argonne Avenue Road CR 475 E Road Reconstruction CR 450 N CR 100 E Fleugel Ditch CR 425 W Appendix A: List of Proposed Projects Armstrong Road CR 200 E CR 425 W Davisson Ditch Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Intersection Improvement Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes 0.4 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.0 0.8 1.5 1.3 0.9 0.6 3.0 0.5 1.2 0.0 3.0 0.7 1.0 2.2 1.6 2.2 2040 Transportation Plan Table A-2: Kosciusko County Proposed Project List Sponsor Open to Traffic By Kosciusko County 2030 CR 900 N Davisson Ditch SR 15 Syracuse 2030 Syracuse-Webster Road CR 700 N CR 1000 N Kosciusko County Syracuse Syracuse Syracuse Warsaw Kosciusko County Syracuse Syracuse Syracuse Warsaw Kosciusko County Kosciusko County Kosciusko County Warsaw Winona Lake 2030 2030 2030 2030 2030 2035 2035 2035 2035 2035 2040 2040 2040 2040 2040 Project Route CR 900 N Syracuse-Webster Road Syracuse-Webster Road Syracuse-Webster Road Rozella Road Pierceton Road Front Street Kern Road Beginning Termini SR 15 SR 13 CR 1000 N CR 1200 N SR 15 CR 225 S Fox Farm Road Fox Farm Road Rozella Road Wooster Road CR 300 E Chicago Street CR 1200 N Harrison Street CR 75 E CR 150 W US 30 Ranch Road Kings Highway Type of Work Length (Miles) Added Travel Lanes 1.6 Road Reconstruction 2.2 Added Travel Lanes CR 700 N Road Reconstruction Railroad Avenue Road Reconstruction CR 1200 N Road Reconstruction Ranch Road New Road Construction CR 1300 N Road Reconstruction Winona Lake Town Limits Pierceton Town Limits Long Drive / Main Street SR 13 Sheridan Street Ending Termini John Street CR 1400 N Parker Street CR 275 E US 30 CR 300 N Country Club Road CR 250 E Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction New Road Construction Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction New Road Construction Added Travel Lanes Appendix A: List of Proposed Projects 3.5 1.4 2.4 1.0 0.3 3.8 0.5 1.1 0.7 0.2 2.0 1.7 0.5 0.8 1.2 77 Michiana on the Move Figure A-3: Marshall County Proposed Project Map 78 Appendix A: List of Proposed Projects 2040 Transportation Plan Table A-3: Marshall County Proposed Project List Sponsor Open to Traffic By INDOT 2015 US 31 US 31 Marshall County 2015 7A Road INDOT INDOT Marshall County Marshall County Plymouth LaPaz Plymouth 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2020 2020 Project Route US 31 US 31 Pioneer Road Pioneer Road Oak Drive Michigan Road Pioneer Road Type of Work Length (Miles) St. Joseph County Line New Road Construction 4.8 Michigan Road Linden Road New Road Construction 2.0 US 30 250' North of Hoham Beginning Termini 7A Road US 6 SR 17 Old US 30 US 6 US 30 Plymouth 2020 Hoham Drive Oak Drive Plymouth 2025 Jefferson Street Michigan Street Plymouth Marshall County 2025 2025 7A Road 7A Road Pioneer Road Oak Road Plymouth 2025 Oak Drive Hoham Road Marshall County 2030 Plymouth-Goshen Trail 3A Road Marshall County Marshall County Marshall County Marshall County Marshall County Marshall County Plymouth Plymouth 2030 2030 2030 2030 2030 2030 2030 2030 3A Road Plymouth-Goshen Trail Shore Drive Shore Drive Shore Drive Shore Drive Jefferson Street Jim Neu Drive East Shore Drive US 6 4th Road 4th Road 4B Road West Shore Drive Lincolnway East Pioneer Road Ending Termini Old US 30 US 30 Interchange Interchange New Road Construction Road Reconstruction Center Turn Lane CSX Railroad Road Reconfiguration Oak Road Road Reconstruction 7B Road Michigan Street Michigan Road Lincolnway East City Limits (0.09 mi S of 7B Road) Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes New Road Construction Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Plymouth-Goshen Trail Road Reconstruction 3rd Road Road Reconstruction SR 106 Elkhart County Line 4B Road 3A Road 3A Road Richter Road Oak Drive Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction Appendix A: List of Proposed Projects 0.0 0.0 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.2 1.4 1.6 2.4 1.0 1.2 1.3 0.7 0.6 1.0 79 Michiana on the Move Table A-3: Marshall County Proposed Project List Sponsor Open to Traffic By Plymouth 2035 Lincolnway East Jefferson Street Plymouth 2035 Richter Road Jefferson Street Plymouth Marshall County Marshall County Marshall County Marshall County Marshall County Marshall County Marshall County Marshall County Marshall County Marshall County Marshall County Marshall County Marshall County Plymouth 2040 2040 2040 2040 2040 2040 2040 2040 2040 2040 2040 2040 2040 2040 Plymouth 2040 Plymouth 2040 Plymouth Plymouth Plymouth 80 2035 2040 2040 2040 Project Route Michigan Street 6A Road 7A Road 9A Road King Road King Road King Road Muckshaw Road Muckshaw Road Muckshaw Road Muckshaw Road Oak Road Old US 30 Tamarack Road Pidco Drive Jefferson Street Jefferson Street Jim Nelson (Muckshaw Road) Michigan Street Plymouth-Goshen Trail Beginning Termini Oakhill Avenue Oak Road Linden Road Iris Road 9A Road Yellow River Plymouth-Goshen Trail SR 10 Wolf Creek 13th Road 12th Road 7B Road US 30 US 6 Broadway Street City Limits Oak Drive City Limits City Limits Michigan Street Appendix A: List of Proposed Projects Ending Termini Type of Work Length (Miles) City Limits (0.54 mi W of Pennsylvania) Road Reconstruction 0.7 Michigan Road Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction 0.2 LaPorte Street Baker Street King Road 9B Road Yellow River Plymouth-Goshen Trail 4th Road Wolf Creek 13th Road 12th Road Oakhill Road 6A Road Pioneer Road St. Joseph County Line Road Reconstruction New Road Construction Road Reconfiguration Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction Western Avenue New Road Construction Oakhill Avenue Road Reconstruction City Limits Road Reconstruction Oak Drive Michigan Street Oakhill Avenue Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.4 1.8 1.8 2.0 1.6 1.9 1.0 1.9 1.2 1.9 2.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.2 0.9 0.1 2040 Transportation Plan Figure A-4: St. Joseph County Proposed Project Map Appendix A: List of Proposed Projects 81 Michiana on the Move Table A-4: St. Joseph County Proposed Project List Sponsor Open to Traffic By INDOT 2015 SR 23 (Edwardsburg Highway) Brick Road INDOT 2015 SR 23 (South Bend Avenue) Chalfont Street INDOT INDOT INDOT INDOT INDOT INDOT INDOT Mishawaka Mishawaka Mishawaka Mishawaka Mishawaka Mishawaka South Bend South Bend South Bend South Bend South Bend 82 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 Project Route SR 23 (Edwardsburg Highway) SR 331 (Capital Avenue) SR 331 (Capital Avenue) SR 331 (Capital Avenue) US 31 US 31 US 31 12th Street (Harrison Road) Catalpa Avenue Evergreen Road Fir Road Fir Road Fir Road (Byrkit Street) Fellows Street Lafayette Street Lincolnway Madison Street Marion Street Beginning Termini Adams Road US 20 Twelfth Street Type of Work Length (Miles) Adams Road Added Travel Lanes 1.8 Twyckenham Drive Added Travel Lanes 0.8 Ending Termini 2.7 Miles North of SR 331 SR 4 (Pierceton Road) Kern Road New Road Construction US 20 New Road Construction 10.6 Added Travel Lanes 1.3 North of SR 933 SR 331 Blackberry Road Fir Road SR 331 Current Terminus University Park Drive Cleveland Road McKinley Highway Ireland Road Western Avenue Commerce Drive Marion Street Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. Drive Appendix A: List of Proposed Projects 0.7 Twelfth Street Norfolk Southern Railroad (#522526S) Marshall County Line Added Travel Lanes Filbert Road Cleveland Road SR 23 Day Road Chippewa Road Marion Street New Road Construction Grade Separation Interchange Interchange New Road Construction New Road Construction Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction One-Way to Two-Way Lafayette Boulevard Road Reconfiguration Lafayette Boulevard One-Way to Two-Way Lafayette Boulevard One-Way to Two-Way 2.1 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.6 1.3 0.4 0.7 3.0 0.2 0.2 2040 Transportation Plan Table A-4: St. Joseph County Proposed Project List Sponsor Open to Traffic By South Bend 2015 Miami Street Kern Road Jackson Road South Bend 2015 Western Avenue Summit Drive Williams Street South Bend South Bend South Bend South Bend Airport St. Joseph County St. Joseph County St. Joseph County St. Joseph County St. Joseph County St. Joseph County St. Joseph County St. Joseph County Mishawaka Mishawaka Mishawaka Mishawaka South Bend South Bend South Bend 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 Project Route Michigan Street Western Avenue William Street Lincolnway West Cleveland Road Douglas Road Douglas Road Douglas Road Fir Road Gumwood Road Gumwood Road Ironwood Road 12th Street (Harrison Road) 12th Street (Harrison Road) McKinley Highway McKinley Highway Auten Road Auten Road Bendix Drive Beginning Termini Colfax Avenue Chapel Lane Western Avenue US 20 Ash Road SR 933 Ending Termini Mayflower Road Juniper Road Union Street Byrkit Street (Fir Road) Byrkit Street (Fir Road) Home Street Home Street Adams Road Mayflower Road Lathrop Street Road Reconfiguration 3.1 One-Way to Two-Way Brick Road Byrkit Street (Fir Road) 1.0 Washington Street Summit Drive Mishawaka City Limits Auten Road Added Travel Lanes Road Reconfiguration Juniper Road (Southern Roundabout) Brick Road Length (Miles) LaSalle Avenue Juniper Road (Northern Roundabout) Cleveland Road Type of Work Michigan State Line Downey Avenue Elder Road Mayflower Road Portage Road I-80/I-90 (Indiana Toll Road) Road Reconfiguration New Road Construction Intersection Improvement New Road Construction Intersection Improvement Intersection Improvement Intersection Improvement Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Intersection Improvement Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes New Road Construction New Road Construction Road Reconstruction Appendix A: List of Proposed Projects 0.1 0.9 0.3 1.2 0.0 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.4 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.5 1.4 1.0 83 Michiana on the Move Table A-4: St. Joseph County Proposed Project List Sponsor Open to Traffic By South Bend 2020 Ironwood Road South Bend City Limits South Bend 2020 Lincolnway West Marion Street South Bend South Bend South Bend South Bend South Bend South Bend South Bend South Bend South Bend South Bend South Bend South Bend South Bend South Bend South Bend St. Joseph County St. Joseph County St. Joseph County St. Joseph County Mishawaka Mishawaka Mishawaka 84 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2025 2025 2025 Project Route Ironwood Road Jefferson Boulevard Main Street (SR 933) McKinley Highway Michigan Street Michigan Street Michigan Street Michigan Street Beginning Termini Jackson Road Wayne Street Ending Termini Jackson Road South of US 20 Chippewa Avenue Marion Street Chippewa Avenue Navarre Street Ironwood Drive Ireland Road Chippewa Avenue Monroe Street Michigan Street (SR 933) Western Avenue Michigan Street (SR 933) Marion Street Michigan Street (SR 933) Bartlett Avenue Manchester Drive Western Avenue Olive Street SR 23 (Prairie Avenue) Tucker Drive Sample Street Bendix Drive Grant Street Olive Street Olive Street Ash Road Ash Road Cleveland Road Fir Road Byrkit Street (Fir Road) Byrkit Street (Fir Road) McKinley Highway Tucker Drive Sample Street McKinley Avenue Edison Road / CR 12 Ford Street St. Joseph River SR 933 Jefferson Boulevard McKinley Highway Brick Road Dragoon Trail Division Street Appendix A: List of Proposed Projects Harrison Road Byrkit Street (Fir Road) Type of Work Length (Miles) Road Reconstruction 0.5 Intersection Improvement 0.0 Road Reconstruction Intersection Improvement One-Way to Two-Way Added Travel Lanes Intersection Improvement One-Way to Two-Way Intersection Improvement Road Reconfiguration Intersection Improvement Intersection Improvement Intersection Improvement Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Intersection Improvement Road Reconstruction Intersection Improvement Intersection Improvement Road Reconstruction Intersection Improvement Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes 0.2 0.0 3.1 0.6 0.0 3.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.9 0.5 1.0 2040 Transportation Plan Table A-4: St. Joseph County Proposed Project List Sponsor Open to Traffic By Mishawaka 2025 McKinley Highway Grand Trunk Western Railroad Mishawaka 2025 Union Street Dragoon Trail Mishawaka Mishawaka South Bend South Bend South Bend South Bend South Bend South Bend South Bend South Bend South Bend South Bend South Bend St. Joseph County St. Joseph County St. Joseph County St. Joseph County St. Joseph County St. Joseph County St. Joseph County 2025 2025 2025 2025 2025 2025 2025 2025 2025 2025 2025 2025 2025 2025 2025 2025 2025 2025 2025 2025 Project Route Union Street (Bremen Highway) Union Street (Church Street) Bendix Drive Ireland Road Ironwood Drive Ironwood Drive Ironwood Drive Kern Road Sheridan Street Twyckenham Drive Twyckenham Drive Twyckenham Drive Twyckenham Drive Ash Road Douglas Road Douglas Road Douglas Road McKinley Avenue Bittersweet Road Fir Road Beginning Termini Ending Termini Type of Work Length (Miles) Grade Separation 0.0 Added Travel Lanes 0.5 North of US 20 Dragoon Trail Added Travel Lanes 12th Street SR 933 Added Travel Lanes Lincolnway Ironwood Road Mishawaka Avenue Jefferson Boulevard 12th Street Lathrop Street Hazel Road Corby Boulevard / Rockne Drive Miami Street Lincolnway Mishawaka Avenue Jefferson Boulevard Ironwood Road Progress Drive McKinley Avenue Corby Boulevard Vistula Road / Indiana Avenue Ivy Road Ironwood Road Birch Road Ash Road Ironwood Road Ironwood Road Anderson Road Adams Road SR 23 SR 23 Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Intersection Improvement Intersection Improvement Intersection Improvement Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Intersection Improvement Intersection Improvement Intersection Improvement Intersection Improvement Intersection Improvement Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Intersection Improvement Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Intersection Improvement Appendix A: List of Proposed Projects 1.3 0.7 1.2 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.0 1.2 0.7 0.0 85 Michiana on the Move Table A-4: St. Joseph County Proposed Project List Sponsor Open to Traffic By St. Joseph County 2025 Ironwood Road Kern Road St. Joseph County 2025 Ironwood Road Adams Road St. Joseph County St. Joseph County St. Joseph County St. Joseph County South Bend South Bend South Bend South Bend St. Joseph County St. Joseph County St. Joseph County St. Joseph County St. Joseph County St. Joseph County St. Joseph County St. Joseph County St. Joseph County St. Joseph County St. Joseph County St. Joseph County 86 2025 2025 2025 2025 2030 2030 2030 2030 2030 2030 2030 2030 2030 2030 2035 2035 2035 2035 2035 2035 Project Route Ironwood Road Ironwood Road Pierce Road Pierce Road Adams Road Hickory Road Hickory Road Olive Road Cleveland Road Cleveland Road Ash Road Ash Road Ash Road Ash Road Cleveland Road Auten Road Auten Road Bittersweet Road Day Road Day Road Beginning Termini Cleveland Road Auten Road US 31 Miami Highway Olive Road Edison Road Helper Road Brick Road Fir Road Ending Termini South Bend City Limits Auten Road Michigan State Line Miami Highway SR 331 Mayflower Road Helper Road Douglas Road Adams Road SR 331 Grand Trunk Western Railroad (#283372X) SR 933 Vistula Road / Indiana Avenue Jefferson Road McKinley Highway Vistula Road / Indiana Avenue McKinley Highway SR 331 SR 933 Juniper Road McKinley Highway Fir Road SR 331 Appendix A: List of Proposed Projects Type of Work Length (Miles) Road Reconstruction 0.5 Intersection Improvement 0.0 Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes New Road Construction Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes New Road Construction New Road Construction Added Travel Lanes Grade Separation Added Travel Lanes Jefferson Road Road Reconstruction Edison Road Added Travel Lanes Bittersweet Road Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Juniper Road Road Reconstruction SR 331 Added Travel Lanes Ironwood Road Day Road Bittersweet Road Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction 1.5 1.0 2.3 2.0 1.3 0.5 0.5 1.0 0.9 0.0 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.6 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.4 2040 Transportation Plan Table A-4: St. Joseph County Proposed Project List Sponsor Open to Traffic By St. Joseph County 2035 Day Road Grand Trunk Western Railroad Mishawaka 2040 Fulmer Road Current Terminus St. Joseph County Mishawaka Mishawaka Mishawaka Mishawaka Mishawaka South Bend St. Joseph County St. Joseph County St. Joseph County St. Joseph County St. Joseph County St. Joseph County St. Joseph County St. Joseph County St. Joseph County St. Joseph County St. Joseph County St. Joseph County St. Joseph County 2035 2040 2040 2040 2040 2040 2040 2040 2040 2040 2040 2040 2040 2040 2040 2040 2040 2040 2040 2040 Project Route Portage Road 7th Street Logan Street Logan Street Logan Street Went Avenue Sample Street Ash Road Ash Road Auten Road Auten Road Cleveland Road Douglas Road Bittersweet Road Bittersweet Road Bittersweet Road Bittersweet Road Douglas Road Portage Road Elm Road Beginning Termini Ending Termini Maple Road Auten Road Dragoon Trail SR 933 Union Street Pleasant Street Mishawaka Avenue McKinley Highway Chapin Street Edison Road Douglas Road Portage Road St. Joseph River Bittersweet Road Fir Road Day Road Douglas Road Cleveland Road I-80/90 Toll Road SR 331 Auten Road Kern Road Laurel Street Clover Road Mishawaka Avenue Jefferson Boulevard Catalpa Road Douglas Road Cleveland Road St. Joseph River SR 933 Ash Road SR 331 Type of Work Length (Miles) Grade Separation 0.0 New Road Construction 0.3 Added Travel Lanes New Road Construction Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes New Road Construction Intersection Improvement Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Douglas Road Road Reconstruction Anderson Road Road Reconstruction Cleveland Road I-80/90 Toll Road Bittersweet Road Michigan State Line Jackson Road Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Appendix A: List of Proposed Projects 1.2 0.3 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.1 2.5 1.2 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.6 1.4 1.1 0.9 87 Appendix B: Michiana Area Travel Study Michiana on the Move through a combination of mail, email and phone calls and completed the survey by phone or online. The survey sample was combined with data from over 150 households that participated in the National Household Travel Survey in 2009. B Fast Facts The Michiana Area Travel Study was conducted in the Fall of 2013 for the Michiana Area Council of Governments (MACOG) by RSG. The purpose of the study was to better understand the travel behavior of residents and university students in St. Joseph and Elkhart counties to support MACOG’s on-going transportation planning efforts and the update of their travel forecasting and analysis tools. Over 500 households and 650 college students from six local universities participated in the study. Participants were recruited Average Commute Drive Time: 19.6 min % of Residents Riding the Bus: 1.3% Average Drive Time for Non-Commute Trips: % of Residents Walking or Biking: Average Trips per Household per Day: Average Trips per Resident per Day: Average Trips per College Student per Day: 90 17.3 min 13.5% 8.3 3.7 2.9 Appendix B: Michiana Area Travel Study Participants recorded all trips made over a 24 hour period by all members of the household or by the individual college student. Information was collected on each trip’s origin and destination, purpose, travel time, travel mode and travel party. 2040 Transportation Plan College Students Households Mode Shares Prepared by Resource Systems Group (RSG) Appendix B: Michiana Area Travel Study 91 Appendix C: Modeling Process Michiana on the Move C Figure C-1: The MACOG Hybrid Model Design Modeling Process Travel demand forecasting models (TDMs) are a major analysis tool for the development of long-range transportation plans. These mathematical models are designed to calculate the number of trips, connect their origins and destinations, forecast the mode of travel, and identify the roadways or transit routes most likely to be used in completing a trip. Models are used to determine where future transportation problems are likely to occur, as indicated by modeled roadway congestion. Once identified, the model can test the ability of roadway and transit system improvements to address those problems. 94 For the 2040 Transportation Plan, MACOG contracted with Resource Systems Group (RSG) to conduct a major update of the travel demand forecasting model. A hybrid model, the new design blends aspects of traditional four-step models and activity-based models. The model can be described as trip-based, as it produces aggregate trip table matrices of trips between origins and destinations rather than disaggregate records detailing individual travelers’ activities. However, it can also be described as tour-based since the travel patterns predicted can be mathematically proven to be consistent with Appendix C: Modeling Process Source: MACOG Travel Model: Model Development and Validation Report tours and all travel is segmented within the model by types of tours, eliminating the non-home-based trips problematic in traditional four-step models. Unlike traditional four-step models which are entirely aggregate and activity-based models which are entirely disaggregated, the hybrid model includes both aggregate and disaggregate component 2040 Transportation Plan models. Despite the inclusion of disaggregate choice models, there are no random number draws or Monte Carlo simulations included in the TDM. As a result, MACOG’s model results are reproducible, unlike the results of activity-based or other simulation models. Any difference between two model runs is directly attributable to differences in their inputs as with traditional trip-based models. Whereas, in simulation models, multiple model runs are necessary when comparing alternatives to ensure that the difference between model runs results from differences in the alternative inputs rather than from differences in the random numbers drawn for each run. Significant elements of the MACOG TDM are as follows: HELPViz Land Use Model HELPViz was developed by RSG as part of the Sustainable Evansville Area Coalition’s Regional Plan for Sustainable Development. Using the Land-Based Classification System’s activity-based codes, 2002 aerial photography and 2013 oblique photography was used to describe land use changes in the urbanized areas of the region over a 10-year period which was then used to adapt HELPViz to the area. This land use model offers sensitivity to land use zoning, building codes and infrastructure facilities such as the transportation network, water and sewer utilities. HELPviz allocates the future population and employment regional totals to the TAZs based on build out capacities, the transportation network and infrastructure facilities. HELPviz uses Nested Logit model framework and uses information at both TAZ and parcel levels. Population Synthesis In recent years there has been a shift away from the application of demand models directly to entire traffic analysis zones in favor of representing individual households (and sometimes persons) and modeling travel behavior at their level. This shift is to avoid the aggregation bias that occurs when non-linear demand models are applied to aggregate or average characteristics rather than to populations with a range of attributes around the group averages. For example, a mode choice model may predict no significant transit mode share when applied to a zone with 100 households with an average of 2.2 cars per household. However, the same mode choice model, applied to the same households individually, may predict a significant number of transit trips if 5 of the households have no vehicles and 15 have only one vehicle. The MACOG TDM generates a disaggregate synthetic population of households based on the demographic information associated with the traffic analysis zones. For each zone, individual households are created. Each household has a total number of persons, workers, students, and a binary variable indicating whether any of the household members is over the age of 65. Each household also has an income variable that indicates whether the household belongs to the lower (under $35,000/year), middle ($35,000 - $75,000/year) or upper (over $75,000/year) income category, each of which comprises approximately a third of the households in the region. The number of vehicles available to each household is modeled separately, after the population synthesis, based on these variables and other variables describing the zone in which the household is located. The synthetic population is developed in two steps. First, a set of ordered nested logit models predict for each variable (such as household size, number of workers, etc) the number of households which have each level of that variable (one person, two persons, etc; zero workers, one worker, two workers, etc). Second, iterative proportional fitting is used to develop the synthetic population based on a seed population of households from the household travel survey and the marginal distributions for each variable provided by the logit models. Unlike the procedures used to develop synthetic populations in many activity-based models, this procedure is entirely deterministic and does not introduce randomness or simulation error into the model using any random draws. This is possible since the model is allowed to produce more or less individual households that exist in the real population, creating consistency instead by weighting those households so that their weighted sum is the total Appendix C: Modeling Process 95 Michiana on the Move generation equations, with the stop generation playing a secondary role (in some ways similar to, albeit simpler than, activity-based approaches which allow more tradeoffs). This is reflected in their goodness-of-fit which is quite good for the tour generation equations, but rather modest for stop generation since stop rates per tour are relatively constant. As mentioned previously, more elaborate model frameworks which allocate stops to tours may be developed at a later date, giving the model additional behavioral fidelity. However, the simple framework adopted here still offers improved sensitivity over traditional models. actual number of households in each zone. Tour and Stop Generation The new TDM generates tours and stops rather than trips. The number of tours and stops of each type is estimated using multiple regression models applied to the disaggregated synthetic population of households. First, the number of tours, of each type, is estimated for each household. Then, for each stop type, the ratio of stops per tour is modeled and the total number of stops produced by multiplying this ratio by the number of tours. In this framework, the modeled behavior is dominated by the tour Although cross-classification models were once viewed as an ad- Table C-1: Factors Affecting Household Tour and Stop Generation Workers Work Tours Work Stops Other Stops School Tours School Stops Other Stops Other Tours Short Maintenance Stops Long Maintenance Stops Discretionary Stops Key Non-Workers + + + - + + + + + + + + + + + + + - + Seniors Vehicles Income - + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + Variable (column) increases tour/stop rate (row) Source: MACOG Travel Model: Model Development and Validation Report 96 Students Appendix C: Modeling Process + + - + + Gas Price Accessibility - - - - - Variable (column) decreases tour/stop rate (row) 2040 Transportation Plan vance over regression models for generating trips, this was due to their ability to reduce aggregation bias compared to regression models which were applied to zones as a whole. By applying regression models instead to a disaggregate population, aggregation bias is eliminated altogether in the approach adopted here. While crossclassification models are limited to two or three variables at most, regression models can include more variables, introducing sensitivity in resulting trip rates to factors like gas prices and accessibility variables, in addition to the basic demographic characteristics. Although interaction effects were widely tested, the only interaction effect that proved significant was the interaction of gas prices and household income; increasing gas prices decreased certain stop rates, but only for low income households. instead. Here also, we see income and vehicle ownership increasing other stops on work tours, again perhaps increased lunch stops out. The number of work stops is calculated for each household and allocated to income groups based on the household’s income. The number of work stops per work tour is relatively constant. However, the number of work stops per work tour is slightly higher for high income workers, probably reflecting greater frequency of eating out for lunch which results in two work stops (before and after lunch). Accessibility also makes work stops marginally more frequent because it implies that commute times are shorter, so it is easier to get back and forth between home and work, such as going home for lunch, returning to work after dinner, work activities on weekends, etc. The number of other (non-work) tours made by a household is most influenced by the number of non-workers in the household: more non-workers generate more non-work tours. However, the non-work tours are also increased albeit less by workers and are more frequent for households with seniors and more vehicles. Nonwork tours also decrease slightly as gas prices rise. The number of short (under 30 minutes) maintenance stops per other tour was largely constant, but somewhat higher for households with more people and income. The number of long (over 30 minutes) maintenance stops was also fairly constant and increased with the number of vehicles available; however, it also decreased with the number of students, who may curtail long shopping activities. The number of discretionary stops decreased slightly with the presence of seniors and increased with income and students with cars. The number of (primary and secondary) school tours is largely a simple function of the number of students in a household. The number of school tours does increase with accessibility, like with work stops, because it is easier to get back and forth between home and school. Income also marginally increases the number of school tours with more students, perhaps indicating that higher income households are more likely to send their children to different schools or that their high school students drive separately and their primary school children are picked up/dropped off on another tour. The number of work tours was mostly a simple function of the number of workers. Vehicle ownership, the presence of seniors and household income offered some additional explanatory power. The presence of seniors in a household made work tours slightly less frequent, perhaps because senior workers are less likely to work full time. The number of school stops per school tour is essentially constant at just over one, although very slight increases result from higher income and accessibility. Other stops on school tours were also largely constant, but were somewhat more common for students from households with higher income. The increase related to higher income students may have more money to spend, hence may make more shopping stops, etc. The number of other stops per work tour is significantly increased by the number of household students from workers stopping to drop off students on the way to work and decreases with the number of non-workers in the household who can drop off the students In the new hybrid tour-based framework, there are no attraction Appendix C: Modeling Process 97 Michiana on the Move generation models. Rather, attractions are modeled as part of the stop location choice models, instead of inputs to trip distribution. The model script does generates attractions, but only because TransCAD requires it. In fact, the actual attractions are part of the stop location choice models. Tour-Based Modal Choice In the new model, as in activity-based models, the mode of travel is developed in two stages: tour mode choice and trip mode choice. After tours are generated, they are assigned a primary mode by tour mode choice models. Then, after the spatial distribution of stops creates trips, individual trips are assigned a mode based on the primary mode of the tour in trip mode choice models. The MACOG model makes use of four primary tour modes: • Private Automobile • Public Transit • Walk / Bike • School Bus The primary mode for a tour is determined by a simple set of definitions or rules. • Any tour containing a school bus trip is a school bus tour. • Any other (non-school bus) tour containing a public transit trip is a public transit tour. • Any other (non-transit) tour containing a private automobile trip is an automobile tour. • Any other tour, which contains only walk or bike trips, is a non-motorized tour. In this framework, the primary choice determining transit mode share is the tour mode choice. Trip mode choice ultimately reduces mostly to the determination of vehicle occupancy for automobile tours or the allocation of access modes for transit tours. Even in 98 Appendix C: Modeling Process advanced activity-based models, fixed shares or other simple heuristics have been used for trip mode choice; whereas, tour mode choice models are more comparable to mode choice in traditional models. The incorporation of behaviorally sensitive tour mode choice models in the TDM represents significant added value as compared to the previous model in which mode shares were fixed and totally insensitive to demographics, levels-of-service, or any other policy variables. The new model produces, in addition to automobile trips by occupancy class, the system-level transit ridership, the number of transit trips generated by each residence zone, and the total regional number of daily walk/bike trips. Moreover, the model architecture allows for the straightforward addition of future component models to produce transit and non-motorized trips at the route/ street level. These component models and level of spatial fidelity could be developed in a future model upgrade. The key difference between the tour mode choice models and those common in activity-based models is the way in which they measure the level-of-service provided by each competing mode and the related assumption of the hierarchy of travelers’ choices (i.e., whether travelers’ destination choices depend more on their mode choices or vice versa). In activity-based models, as in traditional four-step models, tour mode choice is modeled after destination choice (or distribution) and can therefore use actual travel times between origins and destinations as level-of-service variables. This traditional model structure was first developed for very large metropolitan areas with significant choice rider markets and is more sensitive to changes in level-of-service provided by transit improvements and for testing their impacts on transit route ridership. However, it may be oversensitive to level-of-service variables and a source of optimism bias in transit forecasts, as this model structure is built on the assumption that travelers are more likely to change mode than destination. This may well be the case for affluent choice riders for their work 2040 Transportation Plan Table C-2: Factors Affecting Tour Mode Choice Activity Diversity + + + - + + - + - + + + + + - Intersection Density Percent Sidewalks + + Vehicle per Person + + + Income + + Senior HH + + Built Environement Students + + + Workers Bus Fare Demographics Gas Price Cost Accessibility by Mode LOS Work Tours Auto Transit Non-Motorized School Tours Auto Transit Non-Motorized Other Tours School Bus Auto Transit Non-Motorized Key + + + + + + + Source: MACOG Travel Model: Model Development and Validation Report + + - + Direct Increase + - + Indirect Increase + + + - + + - Indirect Decrease - Direct Decrease Appendix C: Modeling Process 99 Michiana on the Move commute in large cities. However, there are many situations where it is more reasonable to assume that travelers are more likely to change destinations than mode. Local household survey data offer some support of this general assumption for the MACOG region that travelers are more likely to change destination than mode of travel. In general, this assumption seems more appropriate in markets similar to MACOG with few choice riders, where mode choice is generally a foregone conclusion on which destination choice is conditioned. For example, either the traveler has access to a car and does not even think of riding transit or they do not have access to a car and rely on transit, choosing their destinations, possibly even workplace, based on where the transit system can get them. “Reverse hierarchy” models such as those developed for the new MACOG model, which represent destination (or stop location) choice conditional on mode choice, still take the level-of-service provided by competing modes into account and allow for changes in ridership based on improvements to transit or highway modes. However, they measure the level-of-service provided by each mode not directly by the travel times between origins and destinations but indirectly by the accessibility to various types of destination provided by each mode to a residence zone. Departure Time Choice The new regional travel model includes departure time choice models which distribute trips throughout the day. The models are capable not only of producing the traditional AM, PM and off peak trip tables for standard assignments, but also can produce trip tables for any or all 15-minute periods from 6 am to 9 pm. These 15-minute trip tables should be of significant value for traffic micro-simulations and could be used in the future in conjunction with a dynamic network assignment. In addition to adding temporal resolution, the departure time choice models add sensitivity to new variables, most notably travel times and accessibility. The new models will reflect shifts in travelers’ departure times in order to avoid longer travel times. This 100 Appendix C: Modeling Process effect, commonly referred to as peak-spreading as travelers leave earlier or later to avoid peak traffic, was modest, but already statistically significant in the household survey data. The effect was evident for all tour types but was most significant for Other Tours, which, in general, presumably have more flexibility in the timing of their activities than the other tour types. The models also incorporate accessibility variables which allow departure times to vary geographically in the model, e.g., lower accessibility, rural travelers might generally leave for work earlier (since they have further to go to get to work). Home-based and non-home-based trips for each tour type are represented by different models, since the first and last trips of a tour have different temporal distributions compared with mid-tour non-home-based trips. This segmentation is particularly important for midday/lunch traffic which is associated primarily with shorter, mid-tour non-home-based trips, as opposed to the am and pm peaks which are more associated with longer home-based trips. University Student Travel Models Michiana Area College Travel Study The university student travel models are supported by the Michiana Area College Travel Study. The College Travel Study closely paralleled the Michiana Area Household Travel Study in questionnaire structure and content. Six colleges agreed to participate in the study: Bethel College, Goshen College, Holy Cross College, Ivy Tech Community College, the University of Notre Dame, and Indiana University – South Bend. Before administering the College Travel Study, the survey was softlaunched to 25 students from Goshen College. Goshen College was gracious to agree to soft-launch the survey as a way to test the data and ensure that the survey questions were clear and relevant to students taking the survey. After the soft-launch was completed, the data was reviewed. The College Travel Study was then administered with each participating college sending out an invitation 2040 Transportation Plan email. Survey administration began on Wednesday September 18, and closed on October 14. This survey administration timing was specifically selected to ensure that the survey started after classes were in session (and the add/drop period had passed) and the survey was completed prior to the October break period. A total of 672 students completed the survey. Travel Market Segmentation University student travel is modeled in three distinct market segments: • Full-time On-Campus Students • Full-time Off-Campus Students • Part-time Students Each of these three market segments have distinct travel characteristics and is represented by its own set of travel models. Even the structure of these models differs between market segments, reflecting the fact that their travel decisions are different. Full-time students are assumed to be excluded from the Census household population. Their travel is represented by a fully distinct segment of non-household travel with its own fully separate models. In contrast, part-time students are modeled as members of a permanent household (which would have been counted in the Census) and is therefore represented in the households in the TAZ layer and synthetic population. Their university travel is generally considered just one, albeit special, segment of their overall household travel with trips to and from campus represented as special stops on work and other tours. Full-Time On-Campus Student Travel Full-time on-campus university student travel is represented with a hybrid trip-based model more similar to a traditional trip-based model. The demand model has four steps: trip generation, destination choice, mode choice and time-of-day split. The travel is decomposed into two segments or trip types: • CB – Campus-Based Trips • NC – Non-Campus Based Trips These are analogous and nearly synonymous with home-based and non-home-based trips in traditional passenger models. Full-Time Off-Campus Student Travel Full-time off-campus university student travel is represented with a hybrid tour-based model, similar to household trips in the MACOG model. The demand model has five steps: trip generation, stop location choice, stop sequence choice, mode choice and time-of-day split. The travel is decomposed into one tour type and two stop types: • UCT – Full-time, Off-Campus University Student Tours (Campus-Based) • OCH – Student home (off-campus) • OCO – Other off-campus location These are analogous with the tour and stop types in the MACOG household travel models. Part-Time Student Travel Part-time university student travel is incorporated in the household travel models. Special university stops are included on work and other tours to represent part-time students’ travel. Most of the parttime student’s travel is therefore modeled together with other nonuniversity travel generated by the same household. Truck Model Based on the method recommended in the Quick Response Freight Manual II, a commercial vehicle model was developed for predicting trips for four-tire commercial vehicles, single unit (SU) trucks, and multiple unit (MU) trucks. The model uses a four-step process. These steps are trip generation, distribution, choice of time of day and trip assignment. In addition, the special trip generators of inter-region and inter-modal trucks were added in the model to bet- Appendix C: Modeling Process 101 Michiana on the Move ter replicate the current inter-region and inter-modal truck movements. The inputs to trip generation are the number of employees and the number of households by Traffic Analysis Zone (TAZ). These rates were obtained by adjusting the original generation rates in the Quick Response Freight Manual. To replicate the current truck traffic condition in the study area, the rates for four-tire commercial vehicles were further adjusted by a factor of 0.10. The external-internal (EI) and internal-external (IE) truck trips were classified as a distinct type of trip in order to better replicate the in-balance direction truck flows at different time periods. Before the trip distribution, the trip origins and destinations were balanced for all TAZs and external stations for the following types of trips: • EI-IE SU truck trips of all TAZs and external stations • EI-IE MU truck trips of all TAZs and external stations • Internal-to-Internal (II) SU truck trips of all TAZs • Internal-to-Internal (II) MU truck trips of all TAZs • Internal-to-Internal (II) 4-tire commercial vehicle trips of all TAZs For four-tire commercial vehicles, it is assumed that the normal EIIE trip attractions are proportional to the trip destinations. At the beginning, destinations are used as the normal EI-IE trip attractions and the balancing process scales to the total adjusted attractions. For single-unit and multi-unit trucks, a destination choice model was applied separately to internal & external trips. The destinations chosen in these models (the sum over all origins) are scaled to the total number of trips produced in generation. This vector is then used as both the productions and attractions for a doubly-constrained gravity model to distribute the truck trips. The time-of-day assignments were implemented in order to ob- 102 Appendix C: Modeling Process tain better model results. To facilitate this, the trip tables from trip distribution must be factored to reflect morning peak, midday, and off-peak periods prior to trip assignment. The hourly time-of-day factors were derived from classification traffic counts provided by MACOG and applied to the MACOG Regional Travel Model. 2040 Transportation Plan Appendix C: Modeling Process 103 Appendix D: Air Quality Conformtiy Analysis Michiana on the Move D There are many aspects of air quality that are important to the environment, health and quality of life of the region and its residents. Clean air is vital to the productivity of people, land and businesses in North Central Indiana. Poor air quality can cause a wide variety of health problems, contributing to premature death from cardiovascular and respiratory diseases such as asthma. These problems are often worse in poor urban communities. Air pollution comes from many different sources such as factories, power plants, dry cleaners, cars, buses, trucks, windblown dust, and even fires. It can harm plant life, causing negative impacts on natural areas, forests, and farms. Within the context of air quality, it is most relevant to discuss the status of the Elkhart and St. Joseph Counties region with regard to attainment of the National Ambient Air Quality Standards. Air quality has improved in the region substantially over the past decade. Significant investment by industries in pollution re¬duction to comply with federal and state regulation of air emissions has contributed to this improvement. Other significant contributors to this progress include implementation of vapor recovery requirements on area gas stations and congestion mitigation awareness in 106 Appendix D: Air Quality Conformity Analysis transportation planning. National Ambient Air Quality Standards The federal government established the National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) for six criteria air pollutants, all of which, in concentrations above certain levels, have adverse effects on human health. These criteria pollutants include: carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), sulfur dioxide (SO2), lead (Pb), ozone (O3), particulate matter (PM10), and fine particulate matter (PM2.5). NAAQS attainment status achievements are one of the strongest demonstrations of air quality improvement over time. Based on air quality monitoring data collected in Elkhart and St. Joseph Counties by the Indiana Department of Environmental Management, the MACOG region is in attainment of the existing NAAQS for Ozone and Fine Particulate Matter. The MACOG area’s air quality continues to improve with each passing year. While celebrating the region’s achievements, it is important that we continue to strive for continuing improvement in air quality. The United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is mandated to periodically review and update the NAAQS as scientific evidence warrants. As new data and studies reveal new information about health risks from these pollutants, the standards are reviewed and if necessary modified to be more protective of public health. EPA currently has several air quality standards and monitoring requirements in various states of study proposal and promulgation. Some of these could result in the region falling back into nonattainment, based on new data or tighter standards. Ozone has only recently been designated in attainment and Fine Particulate Matter is the second most hazardous pollutant in the region, this section focuses on them for purposes of understanding the current status of the region’s ambient air quality. 2040 Transportation Plan Ozone Ozone (O3) is an odorless, colorless, highly reactive gas. Ground level ozone forms when its precursors (i.e., nitrogen oxides and volatile organic compounds) mix with high temperatures, bright sunlight and calm winds. This reaction forms smog and can lead to ozone action days, a period when certain pollutant-generating activities should be minimized. Cars, power plants, refineries, chemical plants, gasoline storage, and household paints and solvents emit itrogen oxides and volatile organic compounds as a byproduct of their use. O3 can irritate the eyes, nose, throat and respiratory system. It can be especially harmful to individuals with chronic heart or lung disease, as well as the very young and very old. Children, in particular, can be at risk during the summer months due to increased outdoor activity. In addition to public health risks from O3, long-term exposure during the growing season also damages sensitive vegetation. Cumulative O3 exposure can lead to reduced tree growth; visibly injured leaves; and increased susceptibility to disease, damage from insects and harsh weather. mean concentration is less than or equal to 15.0 μg/m3 (parts per billion). The 24-hour PM2.5 NAAQS is met when the three-year average of the 98th percentile of 24-hour concentration is less than 35 μg/m3. The trend of compliance with the annual PM2.5 is a greater indicator of the impact of fine particulate matter on human health. Like the criteria for Ozone, the standards for Fine Particulate Matter are also in a state of uncertainty. In March 2010, EPA released the announced it would reconsider the Annual PM2.5 standard within a range of 11-13 μg/ m3 (parts per billion). The modeled design values for Elkhart and St. Joseph County’s air emissions indicate that the MACOG region should continue to remain in conformance with the revised health standards. As of May 2008, an area does not meet the 8-hour O3 NAAQS if the 3-year average of each year’s fourth highest 8-hour average O3 concentration is greater than 0.075 ppm. However, the O3 NAAQS continues to be a moving target. In 2008 EPA lowered the primary and secondary 8-Hour standard for O3 from 0.08 to 0.075 ppm. Then, in 2010 they proposed further lowering the standard to between 0.060 and 0.070. The modeled design values for Elkhart and St. Joseph County’s air emissions indicate that depending on where the final standard is set, one or both of the counties may return to nonattainment status, requiring a possible revision to the Ozone State Implementation Plan and additional emission reduction steps to be taken. Fine Particulate Matter Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) is produced by all forms of combustion from engines, wood-burning, open-burning and industrial processes. The annual PM2.5 NAAQS is met when the annual arithmetic Appendix D: Air Quality Conformity Analysis 107 Appendix E: Red Flag Investigation Michiana on the Move E The National Environmental Policy Act of 1969 (NEPA) established a national policy to promote the protection of the environment in the actions and programs of federal agencies. The Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) and Federal Transit Administration (FTA ) act as lead federal agencies, and are responsible for implementing the NEPA process and working with state and local project sponsors during transportation project development. All transportation projects have the potential to impact our environment; therefore, it is essential environmental considerations are identified during the planning and design phases. The FHWA and FTA NEPA process is designed to assist transportation officials in making project decisions that balance engineering and transportation needs with the consideration of social, economic, and environmental factors. This process allows for involvement and input from the public, interest groups, resource agencies, and local governments. The FHWA and FTA NEPA process is used as an “umbrella” for compliance with over 40 environmental laws, regulations, and executive orders, and provides an integrated approach to addressing impacts to the human and natural environment from transportation projects. 110 Appendix E: Red Flag Investigation Red Flag Investigations are a key component to MACOG’s compliance with NEPA, hazardous material requirements, as well as MACOG’s commitment to a healthy environmental. A red flag investigation is a preliminary environmental analysis that identifies potential impacts to Infrastructure, Mining/Mineral Exploration, Hazardous Material Concerns, Water Resources, and Historical Resources within a ½ mile radius of a proposed project area. The results from this analysis are incorporated into project planning, design, and construction with the goal of minimizing impacts to local resources. Projects advancing to construction will require additional studies and detailed design to more clearly describe project features. This process enables environmental impacts and appropriate mitigation measures to be established. Projects using state or federal funds will require detailed environmental study and permitting in conformance with the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) and other federal, state and local regulations. Preliminary Red Flag Investigation Data The following is a listing of potential impacts to Infrastructure, Mining/Mineral Exploration, Hazardous Materials and Water Resources based on results from red flag investigations performed by MACOG. The cateories included in the review were chosen because they were generally available throughout the region in a GIS format. 2040 Transportation Plan Pipelines Schools 13 Recreational Facilities 0 Hospitals 4 Airports 0 Managed Lands Trls Type Religious Facilities Limits Railroads Road Cemeteries Table E-1: Infrastructure Elkhart County 3rd St Benham Ave Bristol St College Ave CR 10 CR 13 CR 13 CR 142 CR 17 CR 17 CR 38 CR 38 (Kercher Rd) CR 40 CR 40 CR 40 CR 40 CR 6 CR 6 Dierdorff Rd (CR 27) Goshen Ave Harrison St to Jefferson St Michawaka Rd (CR 20) to Hively Ave Jeanwood Dr to Pebblestone Ln Norfolk Southern Railroad (#510048K) to Winsted Avenue Pebblestone Ln to CR 15 Norfolk Southern Railroad (#510015X) US 33 to Linden Rd CR 17 to SR 15 CR 46 to CR 142 US 6 to CR 46 CR 17 to CR 21 CR 21 to Violet Rd CR 17 to CR 21 CR 21 to Violet Rd Violet Rd to SR 15 Dierdorff Rd (CR 27) to US 33 Ash Rd to CR 10 CR 6 to John Weaver Parkway CR 40 to Kercher Road (CR 38) Jackson Blvd to Middlebury St Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Center Turn Lane Added Travel Lanes Grade Separation Center Turn Lane Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 2 0 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 0 2 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 4 3 1 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 2 0 7 2 3 1 1 1 6 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 4 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 2 2 0 0 1 0 Appendix E: Red Flag Investigation 111 Michiana on the Move Jackson Blvd Johnson St (CR 9) Kercher Rd Kercher Rd Kercher Rd (CR 38) Lexington Ave Lincoln St Lusher Ave Main St Old US 20 Old US 20 Old US 20 Osolo St Prairie St Prairie St Prairie St Toledo Rd Toledo Rd 112 Goshen Ave Bristol St (CR 10) to CR 6 Norfolk Southern Railroad (#533510B) to Dierdorff Rd (CR 27) Violett Rd to Norfolk Southern Railroad (#533510B) Dierdorff Road (CR 27) to US 33 Bypass Rd to SR 19 US 6 to Williams St 17th St to Oakland Ave Beardsley Ave CR 3 to Lexington Ave Ash Rd to CR 1 CR 1 to CR 3 Bristol St to CR 6 Hively Ave to Lusher Ave Indiana Ave to Main St Lusher Ave to Indiana Ave Goshen Ave to Industrial Parkway Industrial Parkway to Rowe St Appendix E: Red Flag Investigation Intersection Improvement Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Center Turn Lane New Road Construction Road Reconstruction Intersection Improvement Center Turn Lane Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Center Turn Lane Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Pipelines Grade Separation Added Travel Lanes Schools Norfolk Southern Railroad (#510012C) Moyer Rd to Toledo Rd Recreational Facilities Hively Ave Indiana Ave Hospitals Added Travel Lanes Airports Middlebury St to Toledo Rd Managed Lands Goshen Ave Trls Type Religious Facilities Limits Railroads Road Cemeteries Table E-1: Infrastructure 1 1 1 1 2 0 0 6 3 1 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 2 4 1 1 0 2 0 0 4 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 3 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 12 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 1 0 2 3 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 8 0 0 0 0 1 3 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 9 3 4 0 0 0 4 2 1 0 16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 4 7 8 4 2 1 3 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 1 4 1 1 1 0 2 2 1 2 0 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 1 1 1 1 2040 Transportation Plan Wilden Ave Wilden Ave Barbee Lake Rd Chicago St County Farm Rd County Farm Rd County Farm Rd CR 100 E CR 100 E CR 100 E CR 100 E CR 1300 N CR 1300 N CR 1300 N CR 1350 N CR 150 W CR 150 W CR 225 S Rock Run Creek to 6th St Current Terminus to Middlebury St SR 13 to Harkless Dr CR 700 S to CR 400 S CR 400 S to CR 200 S 200S to Baker St CR 250 N to CR 300 N City Limits (0.2 mi S of CR 200 N) to CR 200 N CR 200 N to CR 250 N SR 15 to Old SR 15 Old SR 15 to CR 300 E Norfolk Southern Railroad (New Crossing) Marshall County Line to SR 19 Fox Farm Road to US 30 US 30 to CR 300 N CR 75 E to CR 275 E New Road Construction Kosciusko County McKenna Rd to CR 700 E CR 300 N to CR 450 N Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconfiguration Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes New Road Construction Road Reconstruction Grade Separation Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Pipelines New Road Construction New Road Construction Schools SR 15 to Regent St CR 40 to SR 15 Recreational Facilities Waterford Mills Parkway Waterford Mills Parkway Hospitals Added Travel Lanes Airports Rowe St to CR 13 Managed Lands Toledo Rd Trls Type Religious Facilities Limits Railroads Road Cemeteries Table E-1: Infrastructure 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 1 2 0 4 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 5 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 6 3 2 6 0 1 2 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 3 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 2 0 2 0 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 3 Appendix E: Red Flag Investigation 113 Michiana on the Move CR 550 N CR 650 E CR 700 E CR 900 N CR 900 N Fox Farm Rd Fox Farm Rd Fox Farm Rd Front St Husky Trl Kern Rd Kincaide St Kings Hwy / Winona Ave Lake St Long Dr / Main St Market St Market St Market St Packerton Rd Packerton Rd 114 CR 100 E to CR 200 E Lincoln Hwy to McKenna Rd Barbee Lake Rd to Armstrong Rd SR 15 to CR 300 E SR 19 to SR 15 CR 150 W to US 30 Lake St to CR 150 W US 30 to CR 300 N Chicago St to John St Mariners Dr to City Limits CR 1200 N to CR 1300 N Logan St to Union St Park Ave / Argonne Rd Market St to Osborn St SR 13 to CR 1400 N Columbia St to Hickory St Hickory St to Bronson St Bronson St to Argonne Rd CR 225 S to Pierceton Rd Parker St to CR 175 E Appendix E: Red Flag Investigation Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction New Road Construction Intersection Improvement Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Pipelines Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Schools CR 100 E to CR 475 E CR 450 N to Armstrong Rd Recreational Facilities CR 450 N CR 475 E Hospitals Added Travel Lanes Airports CR 150 W to SR 15 Managed Lands CR 300 N Trls Type Religious Facilities Limits Railroads Road Cemeteries Table E-1: Infrastructure 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 1 1 2 3 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 9 0 12 8 2 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 7 1 4 3 3 6 7 12 0 12 0 0 0 0 7 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 3 1 1 2 4 4 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 0 1 2 0 2 1 1 0 2 1 1 1 1 0 2040 Transportation Plan Rozella Road Sheridan St Syracuse-Webster Road Syracuse-Webster Road Winona Ave Wooster Rd Zimmer Rd 3A Rd 6A Rd 7A Rd 7A Rd 7A Rd 9A Rd Hoham Dr Jefferson St Jefferson St Jefferson St Jefferson St SR 15 to Ranch Rd Harrison St to Parker St SR 13 to 1200N (3 phases) 1200N to Railroad Ave Maple Ave to Argonne Rd Kings Hwy to CR 250 E SR 25 to Old US 30 East Shore Dr to Plymouth-Goshen Trl Oak Rd to Michigan Rd Linden Rd to King Rd Oak Rd to Michigan Rd Pioneer Rd to Oak Rd Iris Rd to 9B Rd Oak Dr to Michigan Rd Michigan St to Lincolnway East Lincolnway East to Richter Rd City Limits to Oak Dr Oak Dr to Michigan St New Road Construction New Road Construction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction Marshall County Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction New Road Construction New Road Construction Road Reconstruction Road Reconfiguration Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Pipelines New Road Construction Schools Ranch Rd to Country Club Rd Recreational Facilities Rozella Rd Hospitals Road Reconstruction Airports Winona Lake Town Limits to Pierceton Town Limits Managed Lands Pierceton Rd Trls Type Religious Facilities Limits Railroads Road Cemeteries Table E-1: Infrastructure 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 2 2 1 2 0 1 1 6 0 0 3 9 0 2 8 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 3 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 0 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 3 5 9 3 1 2 0 0 3 0 0 3 5 6 2 7 1 1 2 2 2 5 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 4 3 1 6 1 1 0 2 2 1 2 3 1 1 3 1 1 0 5 0 0 1 1 Appendix E: Red Flag Investigation 115 Michiana on the Move King Rd King Rd Lincolnway East Michigan Rd Michigan St Michigan St Muckshaw Rd Oak Dr Oak Rd Old US 30 Pidco Dr Pioneer Rd Plymouth-Goshen Trl Plymouth-Goshen Trl Richter Rd Shore Dr Tamarack Rd 12th St (Harrison Rd) 12th St (Harrison Rd) 116 9A Road to Plymouth-Goshen Trl Plymouth-Goshen Trl to 4th Rd Jefferson St to City Limits US 6 to CSX Railroad Oakhill Ave to LaPorte St City Limits to Oakhill Ave SR 10 to Oakhill Rd Hoham Rd to 7B Rd 7B Rd to 6A Rd US 30 to Pioneer Rd Broadway St to Western Ave US 30 to 7B Rd 3A Rd to SR 106 US 6 to Elkhart County Line Jefferson St to Baker St 3rd Rd to 3A Rd US 6 to St. Joseph County Line Byrkit St (Fir Rd) to Downey Ave Union St to Byrkit Rd Appendix E: Red Flag Investigation Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconfiguration Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes New Road Construction Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction St. Joseph County Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Pipelines Road Reconstruction Schools Pioneer Rd to Oak Dr Recreational Facilities Jim Neu Dr Hospitals Road Reconstruction Airports City Limits to Oakhill Ave Managed Lands Jim Nelson (Muckshaw Rd) Trls Type Religious Facilities Limits Railroads Road Cemeteries Table E-1: Infrastructure 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 3 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 7 2 2 1 1 2 0 19 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5 2 5 2 3 1 0 1 2 0 1 1 1 3 0 2 3 0 0 0 3 0 3 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 3 5 0 5 0 2 4 2 2 1 0 1 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2040 Transportation Plan Ash Rd Ash Rd Ash Rd Ash Rd Ash Rd Ash Rd Ash Rd Ash Rd Auten Rd Auten Rd Auten Rd Auten Rd Auten Rd Bendix Dr Bittersweet Rd Bittersweet Rd Bittersweet Rd Bittersweet Rd Bittersweet Rd McKinley Ave SR 933 to Vistula Rd/Indiana Ave McKinley Hwy to Edison Road Vistula Rd/Indiana Ave to Jefferson Rd Edison Rd / CR 12 Douglas Rd to Cleveland Rd Jefferson Rd to McKinley Hwy Vistula Rd / Indiana Ave Juniper Rd to Ironwood Rd SR 933 to Juniper Rd Portage Rd to St. Joseph River Adams Rd to Mayflower Rd Mayflower Rd to Portage Rd Lincolnway to Lathrop St Anderson Rd to SR 23 Douglas Rd to Cleveland Rd McKinley Hwy to Day Rd Cleveland Rd to I-80/90 Toll Rd Day Rd to Douglas Rd Intersection Improvement Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction Intersection Improvement Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Intersection Improvement Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction New Road Construction New Road Construction Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Pipelines Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Schools Olive Rd to Mayflower Rd Edison Rd to Douglas Rd Recreational Facilities Adams Rd Ash Rd Hospitals New Road Construction Airports Union St to Laurel St Managed Lands 7th St Trls Type Religious Facilities Limits Railroads Road Cemeteries Table E-1: Infrastructure 0 1 0 2 0 0 1 2 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 8 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 1 2 2 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 2 0 0 2 1 4 2 4 1 2 0 4 4 2 2 4 2 3 1 3 2 3 1 5 Appendix E: Red Flag Investigation 117 Michiana on the Move Cleveland Rd Cleveland Rd Cleveland Rd Cleveland Rd Cleveland Rd Day Rd Day Rd Day Rd Douglas Rd Douglas Rd Douglas Rd Douglas Rd Elm Rd Fir Rd Fir Rd Fulmer Rd Hickory Rd Hickory Rd Ireland Rd Ironwood Dr 118 St. Joseph River to SR 933 Bittersweet Rd to Ash Rd Fir Rd to SR 331 SR 331 to Bittersweet Rd Grand Trunk Western Railroad (#283372X) Fir Rd to SR 331 SR 331 to Bittersweet Rd Grand Trunk Western Railroad Fir Rd to SR 331 Ironwood Road to SR 23 Ivy Road to Ironwood Rd SR 331 to Bittersweet Rd Kern Rd to Jackson Rd Adams Rd Brick Rd Current Terminus to Clover Rd Edison Rd to Helper Rd Helper Rd to Douglas Rd Ironwood Rd to Hazel Rd Mishawaka Ave Appendix E: Red Flag Investigation Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Grade Separation Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction Grade Separation Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Intersection Improvement Intersection Improvement New Road Construction Added Travel Lanes New Road Construction Added Travel Lanes Intersection Improvement Pipelines Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Schools Dragoon Trl to Harrison Rd Jefferson Blvd to McKinley Hwy Recreational Facilities Byrkit St (Fir Rd) Byrkit St (Fir Rd) Hospitals Road Reconstruction Airports I-80/90 Toll Rd to Anderson Rd Managed Lands Bittersweet Rd Trls Type Religious Facilities Limits Railroads Road Cemeteries Table E-1: Infrastructure 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 1 1 0 2 0 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 1 2 2 2 0 4 1 0 4 4 2 8 1 0 1 1 1 1 3 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 3 0 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 1 0 2 2 0 7 1 3 1 1 2 1 1 2 3 3 2 1 1 4 5 1 1 1 3 2 1 0 2040 Transportation Plan Ironwood Dr Ironwood Dr Ironwood Dr Ironwood Dr Ironwood Dr Jefferson Blvd Kern Rd Lincolnway West Logan St Logan St Logan St Main St (SR 933) McKinley Ave McKinley Hwy McKinley Hwy McKinley Hwy McKinley Hwy McKinley Hwy Michigan St Michigan St Kern Rd to South Bend City Limits Auten Rd to Michigan State Line Adams Rd South Bend City Limits to Jackson Rd Jackson Rd to South of US 20 Wayne St Miami St to Ironwood Rd Marion St Mishawaka Ave to Jefferson Blvd Dragoon Trl to SR 933 Pleasant St to Mishawaka Ave Chippewa Avenue to Marion St Birch Rd to Ash Rd Grand Trunk Western Railroad Davison St to Byrkit Rd Byrkit St (Fir Rd) to Home St Home St to Elder Rd Ironwood Dr to Manchester Dr Ireland Rd Chippewa Ave to Navarre St Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Intersection Improvement Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Intersection Improvement Road Reconstruction Intersection Improvement Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes One-Way to Two-Way Added Travel Lanes Grade Separation Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Intersection Improvement One-Way to Two-Way Pipelines Intersection Improvement Added Travel Lanes Schools Corby Blvd/Rockne Dr Cleveland Rd to Auten Rd Recreational Facilities Ironwood Dr Ironwood Dr Hospitals Intersection Improvement Airports Jefferson Blvd Managed Lands Ironwood Dr Trls Type Religious Facilities Limits Railroads Road Cemeteries Table E-1: Infrastructure 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 5 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 2 6 1 1 1 2 2 0 2 8 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 15 0 4 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3 2 5 8 0 0 1 0 2 0 3 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 4 3 0 4 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 4 1 0 0 0 3 3 6 0 4 4 4 4 16 3 3 5 0 0 4 1 17 2 3 0 1 1 1 1 5 2 2 4 3 4 11 1 1 2 0 0 5 2 9 2 2 2 2 1 4 4 4 0 0 1 1 1 4 2 2 2 3 2 1 2 5 Appendix E: Red Flag Investigation 119 Michiana on the Move Michigan St (SR 933) Olive Rd Olive St Olive St Pierce Rd Pierce Rd Portage Rd Portage Rd Sample St Sample St Sheridan St Twyckenham Dr Twyckenham Dr Twyckenham Dr Union St Union St (Bremen Hwy) Union St (Church St) Went Ave 120 Marion St Brick Rd to Adams Rd SR 23 (Prairie Ave) to Tucker Dr Sample St US 31 to Miami Hwy Miami Hwy to SR 331 Maple Rd to Auten Rd Auten Rd to Michigan State Line Chapin St Bendix Dr to Grant St Lincolnway to Progress Dr Mishawaka Ave Jefferson Blvd McKinley Ave Dragoon Trl to 12th St North of US 20 to Dragoon Trl 12th St to SR 933 McKinley Hwy to Catalpa Rd Appendix E: Red Flag Investigation Intersection Improvement Intersection Improvement Intersection Improvement New Road Construction Road Reconstruction Intersection Improvement Added Travel Lanes New Road Construction Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction Intersection Improvement Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Intersection Improvement Intersection Improvement Intersection Improvement Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes New Road Construction Pipelines Bartlett Ave Western Ave Road Reconfiguration Schools Michigan St (SR 933) Michigan St (SR 933) Monroe St to Western Ave Recreational Facilities Michigan St Hospitals Intersection Improvement Airports Chippewa Ave Managed Lands Michigan St Trls Type Religious Facilities Limits Railroads Road Cemeteries Table E-1: Infrastructure 0 1 0 2 3 0 0 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 3 2 0 8 10 0 1 0 2 11 0 10 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5 2 9 10 1 0 9 9 1 1 0 1 0 2 4 1 1 2 1 0 1 3 4 0 3 4 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 0 1 2 1 1 1 0 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 7 8 7 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 0 4 4 2 2 2 2 3 6 3 2 4 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 2 3 2 3 2 7 4 3 2 8 2 3 0 3 0 3 0 1 0 1 4 3 0 1 1 2 1 2 1 4 1 2 2040 Transportation Plan Lakes Petroleum Well Mines-Surface Petroleum Field 13 0 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Mines-Underground NWI Wetland Points 0 Floodplain-DFIRM 0 IDEM 303d Listed Rivers and Streams Type Mining & Mineral Resources Water Resources Rivers & Streams Limits NWI Wetland Polygons Road NWI Wetland Lines Table E-2: Water Resources & Mining and Mineral Resources Elkhart County 3rd St Benham Ave Bristol St College Ave CR 10 CR 13 CR 13 CR 142 CR 17 CR 17 CR 38 CR 38 (Kercher Rd) CR 40 CR 40 CR 40 CR 40 CR 6 CR 6 Dierdorff Rd (CR 27) Harrison St to Jefferson St Michawaka Rd (CR 20) to Hively Ave Jeanwood Dr to Pebblestone Ln Norfolk Southern Railroad (#510048K) to Winsted Avenue Pebblestone Ln to CR 15 Norfolk Southern Railroad (#510015X) US 33 to Linden Rd CR 17 to SR 15 CR 46 to CR 142 US 6 to CR 46 CR 17 to CR 21 CR 21 to Violet Rd CR 17 to CR 21 CR 21 to Violet Rd Violet Rd to SR 15 Dierdorff Rd (CR 27) to US 33 Ash Rd to CR 10 CR 6 to John Weaver Parkway CR 40 to Kercher Road (CR 38) Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Center Turn Lane Added Travel Lanes Grade Separation Center Turn Lane Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 24 0 13 0 35 0 0 0 1 3 1 0 19 11 0 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 3 9 18 10 0 1 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 3 4 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 7 0 0 0 7 1 0 0 28 0 8 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 3 1 7 10 14 0 2 6 0 0 0 0 30 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 Appendix E: Red Flag Investigation 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 121 Michiana on the Move Goshen Ave Goshen Ave Hively Ave Indiana Ave Jackson Blvd Johnson St (CR 9) Kercher Rd Kercher Rd Kercher Rd (CR 38) Lexington Ave Lincoln St Lusher Ave Main St Old US 20 Old US 20 Old US 20 Osolo St Prairie St Prairie St 122 Jackson Blvd to Middlebury St Middlebury St to Toledo Rd Norfolk Southern Railroad (#510012C) Moyer Rd to Toledo Rd Goshen Ave Bristol St (CR 10) to CR 6 Norfolk Southern Railroad (#533510B) to Dierdorff Rd (CR 27) Violett Rd to Norfolk Southern Railroad (#533510B) Dierdorff Road (CR 27) to US 33 Bypass Rd to SR 19 US 6 to Williams St 17th St to Oakland Ave Beardsley Ave CR 3 to Lexington Ave Ash Rd to CR 1 CR 1 to CR 3 Bristol St to CR 6 Hively Ave to Lusher Ave Indiana Ave to Main St Appendix E: Red Flag Investigation Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Grade Separation Added Travel Lanes Intersection Improvement Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Center Turn Lane New Road Construction Road Reconstruction Intersection Improvement Center Turn Lane Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Center Turn Lane Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 0 4 0 0 6 1 0 13 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 4 3 7 0 0 0 21 2 16 12 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 8 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 9 1 2 4 1 5 1 0 59 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 7 5 0 3 0 0 2 0 12 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Mines-Underground Petroleum Field Mines-Surface Petroleum Well Lakes NWI Wetland Points Floodplain-DFIRM IDEM 303d Listed Rivers and Streams Type Mining & Mineral Resources Water Resources Rivers & Streams Limits NWI Wetland Polygons Road NWI Wetland Lines Table E-2: Water Resources & Mining and Mineral Resources 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 0 13 17 0 3 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2040 Transportation Plan Prairie St Toledo Rd Toledo Rd Toledo Rd Waterford Mills Parkway Waterford Mills Parkway Wilden Ave Wilden Ave Barbee Lake Rd Chicago St County Farm Rd County Farm Rd County Farm Rd CR 100 E CR 100 E CR 100 E CR 100 E CR 1300 N CR 1300 N CR 1300 N Lusher Ave to Indiana Ave Goshen Ave to Industrial Parkway Industrial Parkway to Rowe St Rowe St to CR 13 SR 15 to Regent St CR 40 to SR 15 Rock Run Creek to 6th St Current Terminus to Middlebury St McKenna Rd to CR 700 E SR 13 to Harkless Dr CR 700 S to CR 400 S CR 400 S to CR 200 S 200S to Baker St CR 300 N to CR 450 N CR 250 N to CR 300 N City Limits (0.2 mi S of CR 200 N) to CR 200 N CR 200 N to CR 250 N SR 15 to Old SR 15 Old SR 15 to CR 300 E Norfolk Southern Railroad (New Crossing) Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes New Road Construction New Road Construction Road Reconstruction New Road Construction Kosciusko County Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconfiguration Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes New Road Construction Road Reconstruction Grade Separation 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 11 0 11 0 3 0 0 0 6 3 16 0 25 0 30 0 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 2 12 21 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 4 9 1 0 2 4 0 2 0 0 1 5 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 29 26 0 19 0 19 0 0 4 8 0 15 0 33 0 0 7 6 0 20 0 17 0 0 0 0 2 6 13 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 2 3 2 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 Appendix E: Red Flag Investigation Mines-Underground Petroleum Field Mines-Surface Petroleum Well Lakes NWI Wetland Points Floodplain-DFIRM IDEM 303d Listed Rivers and Streams Type Mining & Mineral Resources Water Resources Rivers & Streams Limits NWI Wetland Polygons Road NWI Wetland Lines Table E-2: Water Resources & Mining and Mineral Resources 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 123 Michiana on the Move CR 225 S CR 300 N CR 450 N CR 475 E CR 550 N CR 650 E CR 700 E CR 900 N CR 900 N Fox Farm Rd Fox Farm Rd Fox Farm Rd Front St Husky Trl Kern Rd Kincaide St Kings Hwy / Winona Ave Lake St 124 CR 75 E to CR 275 E CR 150 W to SR 15 CR 100 E to CR 475 E CR 450 N to Armstrong Rd CR 100 E to CR 200 E Lincoln Hwy to McKenna Rd Barbee Lake Rd to Armstrong Rd SR 15 to CR 300 E SR 19 to SR 15 CR 150 W to US 30 Lake St to CR 150 W US 30 to CR 300 N Chicago St to John St Mariners Dr to City Limits CR 1200 N to CR 1300 N Logan St to Union St Park Ave / Argonne Rd Market St to Osborn St Appendix E: Red Flag Investigation Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction New Road Construction Intersection Improvement Road Reconstruction 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 35 9 13 15 31 2 24 9 12 13 8 19 21 1 13 2 0 14 0 13 0 0 5 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 3 6 6 1 3 7 0 0 1 0 6 8 0 2 13 2 9 0 21 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 3 17 14 68 22 6 41 0 44 0 11 0 0 0 0 3 1 34 1 0 12 0 12 0 0 0 0 5 7 7 19 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 4 3 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 Mines-Underground Petroleum Field 0 0 Mines-Surface Road Reconstruction 0 Petroleum Well US 30 to CR 300 N Road Reconstruction Lakes CR 150 W Fox Farm Road to US 30 0 NWI Wetland Points CR 150 W 0 Floodplain-DFIRM Road Reconstruction IDEM 303d Listed Rivers and Streams Type Marshall County Line to SR 19 Mining & Mineral Resources Water Resources Rivers & Streams Limits CR 1350 N NWI Wetland Polygons Road NWI Wetland Lines Table E-2: Water Resources & Mining and Mineral Resources 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2040 Transportation Plan Market St Packerton Rd Packerton Rd Pierceton Rd Rozella Rd Rozella Road Sheridan St Syracuse-Webster Road Syracuse-Webster Road Winona Ave Wooster Rd Zimmer Rd 3A Rd 6A Rd 7A Rd 7A Rd Bronson St to Argonne Rd CR 225 S to Pierceton Rd Parker St to CR 175 E Winona Lake Town Limits to Pierceton Town Limits Ranch Rd to Country Club Rd SR 15 to Ranch Rd Harrison St to Parker St SR 13 to 1200N (3 phases) 1200N to Railroad Ave Maple Ave to Argonne Rd Kings Hwy to CR 250 E SR 25 to Old US 30 East Shore Dr to Plymouth-Goshen Trl Oak Rd to Michigan Rd Linden Rd to King Rd Oak Rd to Michigan Rd Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction New Road Construction New Road Construction New Road Construction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction Marshall County Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction New Road Construction New Road Construction 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 0 0 0 9 0 0 0 5 1 3 0 11 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 1 3 15 0 15 0 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 4 4 1 6 0 19 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 1 1 4 5 1 3 6 1 0 1 2 3 1 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 4 3 14 10 16 0 27 0 36 0 15 0 10 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 7 2 7 8 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 Appendix E: Red Flag Investigation Mines-Underground Petroleum Field 0 0 Mines-Surface Road Reconstruction 0 Petroleum Well Hickory St to Bronson St Road Reconstruction Lakes Market St Columbia St to Hickory St 0 NWI Wetland Points Market St 0 Floodplain-DFIRM Road Reconstruction IDEM 303d Listed Rivers and Streams Type SR 13 to CR 1400 N Mining & Mineral Resources Water Resources Rivers & Streams Limits Long Dr / Main St NWI Wetland Polygons Road NWI Wetland Lines Table E-2: Water Resources & Mining and Mineral Resources 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 125 Michiana on the Move Jefferson St Jefferson St Jefferson St Jefferson St Jim Nelson (Muckshaw Rd) Jim Neu Dr King Rd King Rd Lincolnway East Michigan Rd Michigan St Michigan St Muckshaw Rd Oak Dr Oak Rd Old US 30 Pidco Dr 126 Michigan St to Lincolnway East Lincolnway East to Richter Rd City Limits to Oak Dr Oak Dr to Michigan St City Limits to Oakhill Ave Pioneer Rd to Oak Dr 9A Road to Plymouth-Goshen Trl Plymouth-Goshen Trl to 4th Rd Jefferson St to City Limits US 6 to CSX Railroad Oakhill Ave to LaPorte St City Limits to Oakhill Ave SR 10 to Oakhill Rd Hoham Rd to 7B Rd 7B Rd to 6A Rd US 30 to Pioneer Rd Broadway St to Western Ave Appendix E: Red Flag Investigation Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconfiguration Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes New Road Construction 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 15 0 6 0 0 0 1 5 1 1 1 2 1 5 0 23 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 1 1 49 2 5 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 5 1 1 1 5 3 1 2 0 4 2 9 2 3 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 7 4 4 7 0 10 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 4 4 2 5 4 0 17 0 10 0 0 0 4 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 26 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 29 2 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Mines-Underground Petroleum Field 0 0 Mines-Surface Added Travel Lanes 0 Petroleum Well Oak Dr to Michigan Rd Road Reconfiguration Lakes Hoham Dr Iris Rd to 9B Rd 0 NWI Wetland Points 9A Rd 0 Floodplain-DFIRM Road Reconstruction IDEM 303d Listed Rivers and Streams Type Pioneer Rd to Oak Rd Mining & Mineral Resources Water Resources Rivers & Streams Limits 7A Rd NWI Wetland Polygons Road NWI Wetland Lines Table E-2: Water Resources & Mining and Mineral Resources 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2040 Transportation Plan Richter Rd Shore Dr Tamarack Rd 12th St (Harrison Rd) 12th St (Harrison Rd) 7th St Adams Rd Ash Rd Ash Rd Ash Rd Ash Rd Ash Rd Ash Rd Ash Rd Ash Rd Ash Rd Auten Rd Jefferson St to Baker St 3rd Rd to 3A Rd US 6 to St. Joseph County Line Byrkit St (Fir Rd) to Downey Ave Union St to Byrkit Rd Union St to Laurel St Olive Rd to Mayflower Rd Edison Rd to Douglas Rd McKinley Ave SR 933 to Vistula Rd/Indiana Ave McKinley Hwy to Edison Road Vistula Rd/Indiana Ave to Jefferson Rd Edison Rd / CR 12 Douglas Rd to Cleveland Rd Jefferson Rd to McKinley Hwy Vistula Rd / Indiana Ave Juniper Rd to Ironwood Rd Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction St. Joseph County Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes New Road Construction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Intersection Improvement Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction Intersection Improvement Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Intersection Improvement Road Reconstruction 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 7 0 5 0 0 0 6 3 1 8 3 0 13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 8 5 3 3 3 3 3 5 3 3 0 24 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 9 1 0 0 5 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 15 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 7 3 2 3 2 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Appendix E: Red Flag Investigation Mines-Underground Petroleum Field 0 0 Mines-Surface Road Reconstruction 0 Petroleum Well US 6 to Elkhart County Line Road Reconstruction Lakes Plymouth-Goshen Trl 3A Rd to SR 106 0 NWI Wetland Points Plymouth-Goshen Trl 0 Floodplain-DFIRM Added Travel Lanes IDEM 303d Listed Rivers and Streams Type US 30 to 7B Rd Mining & Mineral Resources Water Resources Rivers & Streams Limits Pioneer Rd NWI Wetland Polygons Road NWI Wetland Lines Table E-2: Water Resources & Mining and Mineral Resources 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 127 Michiana on the Move Auten Rd Bendix Dr Bittersweet Rd Bittersweet Rd Bittersweet Rd Bittersweet Rd Bittersweet Rd Bittersweet Rd Byrkit St (Fir Rd) Byrkit St (Fir Rd) Cleveland Rd Cleveland Rd Cleveland Rd Cleveland Rd Cleveland Rd Day Rd Day Rd Day Rd 128 Mayflower Rd to Portage Rd Lincolnway to Lathrop St Anderson Rd to SR 23 Douglas Rd to Cleveland Rd McKinley Hwy to Day Rd Cleveland Rd to I-80/90 Toll Rd Day Rd to Douglas Rd I-80/90 Toll Rd to Anderson Rd Dragoon Trl to Harrison Rd Jefferson Blvd to McKinley Hwy St. Joseph River to SR 933 Bittersweet Rd to Ash Rd Fir Rd to SR 331 SR 331 to Bittersweet Rd Grand Trunk Western Railroad (#283372X) Fir Rd to SR 331 SR 331 to Bittersweet Rd Grand Trunk Western Railroad Appendix E: Red Flag Investigation New Road Construction Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Grade Separation Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction Grade Separation 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 22 0 3 0 2 0 0 0 0 32 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 11 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 6 1 0 12 2 11 7 14 0 1 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 1 1 0 1 8 6 2 12 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 3 0 0 1 1 2 1 5 4 0 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 2 5 3 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 Mines-Underground Petroleum Field 0 Mines-Surface New Road Construction 0 Petroleum Well Adams Rd to Mayflower Rd Road Reconstruction Lakes Auten Rd Portage Rd to St. Joseph River 0 NWI Wetland Points Auten Rd 0 Floodplain-DFIRM Road Reconstruction IDEM 303d Listed Rivers and Streams Type SR 933 to Juniper Rd Mining & Mineral Resources Water Resources Rivers & Streams Limits Auten Rd NWI Wetland Polygons Road NWI Wetland Lines Table E-2: Water Resources & Mining and Mineral Resources 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2040 Transportation Plan Douglas Rd Elm Rd Fir Rd Fir Rd Fulmer Rd Hickory Rd Hickory Rd Ireland Rd Ironwood Dr Ironwood Dr Ironwood Dr Ironwood Dr Ironwood Dr Ironwood Dr Ironwood Dr Ironwood Dr Ironwood Dr Jefferson Blvd SR 331 to Bittersweet Rd Kern Rd to Jackson Rd Adams Rd Brick Rd Current Terminus to Clover Rd Edison Rd to Helper Rd Helper Rd to Douglas Rd Ironwood Rd to Hazel Rd Mishawaka Ave Jefferson Blvd Corby Blvd/Rockne Dr Cleveland Rd to Auten Rd Kern Rd to South Bend City Limits Auten Rd to Michigan State Line Adams Rd South Bend City Limits to Jackson Rd Jackson Rd to South of US 20 Wayne St Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Intersection Improvement Intersection Improvement New Road Construction Added Travel Lanes New Road Construction Added Travel Lanes Intersection Improvement Intersection Improvement Intersection Improvement Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Intersection Improvement Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Intersection Improvement 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 4 0 5 0 0 0 6 8 7 2 0 0 0 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 4 7 0 31 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 3 6 0 0 8 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 15 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 2 1 2 3 3 2 1 1 0 3 8 0 1 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Appendix E: Red Flag Investigation Mines-Underground Petroleum Field 0 0 Mines-Surface Added Travel Lanes 0 Petroleum Well Ivy Road to Ironwood Rd Added Travel Lanes Lakes Douglas Rd Ironwood Road to SR 23 0 NWI Wetland Points Douglas Rd 0 Floodplain-DFIRM Added Travel Lanes IDEM 303d Listed Rivers and Streams Type Fir Rd to SR 331 Mining & Mineral Resources Water Resources Rivers & Streams Limits Douglas Rd NWI Wetland Polygons Road NWI Wetland Lines Table E-2: Water Resources & Mining and Mineral Resources 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 129 Michiana on the Move Logan St Logan St Main St (SR 933) McKinley Ave McKinley Hwy McKinley Hwy McKinley Hwy McKinley Hwy McKinley Hwy Michigan St Michigan St Michigan St Michigan St Michigan St (SR 933) Michigan St (SR 933) Michigan St (SR 933) Olive Rd Olive St 130 Dragoon Trl to SR 933 Pleasant St to Mishawaka Ave Chippewa Avenue to Marion St Birch Rd to Ash Rd Grand Trunk Western Railroad Davison St to Byrkit Rd Byrkit St (Fir Rd) to Home St Home St to Elder Rd Ironwood Dr to Manchester Dr Ireland Rd Chippewa Ave to Navarre St Chippewa Ave Monroe St to Western Ave Bartlett Ave Western Ave Marion St Brick Rd to Adams Rd SR 23 (Prairie Ave) to Tucker Dr Appendix E: Red Flag Investigation Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes One-Way to Two-Way Added Travel Lanes Grade Separation Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Intersection Improvement One-Way to Two-Way Intersection Improvement Road Reconfiguration Intersection Improvement Intersection Improvement Intersection Improvement New Road Construction Road Reconstruction 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 1 1 15 19 12 5 1 2 1 1 1 0 1 4 0 2 10 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 6 2 2 2 1 4 1 0 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 Mines-Underground Petroleum Field 0 0 Mines-Surface Added Travel Lanes 0 Petroleum Well Mishawaka Ave to Jefferson Blvd Intersection Improvement Lakes Logan St Marion St 0 NWI Wetland Points Lincolnway West 0 Floodplain-DFIRM Road Reconstruction IDEM 303d Listed Rivers and Streams Type Miami St to Ironwood Rd Mining & Mineral Resources Water Resources Rivers & Streams Limits Kern Rd NWI Wetland Polygons Road NWI Wetland Lines Table E-2: Water Resources & Mining and Mineral Resources 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2040 Transportation Plan Portage Rd Portage Rd Sample St Sample St Sheridan St Twyckenham Dr Twyckenham Dr Twyckenham Dr Union St Union St (Bremen Hwy) Union St (Church St) Went Ave Maple Rd to Auten Rd Auten Rd to Michigan State Line Chapin St Bendix Dr to Grant St Lincolnway to Progress Dr Mishawaka Ave Jefferson Blvd McKinley Ave Dragoon Trl to 12th St North of US 20 to Dragoon Trl 12th St to SR 933 McKinley Hwy to Catalpa Rd Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction Intersection Improvement Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Intersection Improvement Intersection Improvement Intersection Improvement Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes New Road Construction 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 7 2 21 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 5 1 0 6 0 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 21 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 2 3 16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 Appendix E: Red Flag Investigation Mines-Underground Petroleum Field 0 0 Mines-Surface New Road Construction 0 Petroleum Well Miami Hwy to SR 331 Added Travel Lanes Lakes Pierce Rd US 31 to Miami Hwy 0 NWI Wetland Points Pierce Rd 0 Floodplain-DFIRM Intersection Improvement IDEM 303d Listed Rivers and Streams Type Sample St Mining & Mineral Resources Water Resources Rivers & Streams Limits Olive St NWI Wetland Polygons Road NWI Wetland Lines Table E-2: Water Resources & Mining and Mineral Resources 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 131 Michiana on the Move Road Limits Type Brownfield Sites State Cleanup Sites Voluntary Remediation Program Underground Storage Tanks Confined Feeding Operations Tire Waste Sites NPDES Pipe Locations Superfund Sites Institutional Control Sites Industrial Waste Sites Leaking Underground Storage Tanks (LUSTs) Infectious/Medical Waste Sites Solid Waste Landfills NPDES Facilities Table E-3: Hazardous Materials 3rd St Harrison St to Jefferson St Road Reconstruction 13 2 3 16 0 0 15 0 1 7 9 0 0 0 College Ave Norfolk Southern Railroad (#510048K) to Winsted Avenue Center Turn Lane 0 0 1 8 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 Elkhart County Benham Ave Bristol St CR 10 CR 13 Pebblestone Ln to CR 15 US 33 to Linden Rd CR 142 CR 17 to SR 15 CR 17 CR 46 to CR 142 CR 17 CR 38 CR 38 (Kercher Rd) CR 40 CR 40 CR 40 US 6 to CR 46 CR 17 to CR 21 CR 21 to Violet Rd CR 17 to CR 21 CR 21 to Violet Rd Violet Rd to SR 15 CR 40 Dierdorff Rd (CR 27) to US 33 CR 6 Dierdorff Rd (CR 27) Goshen Ave 132 Jeanwood Dr to Pebblestone Ln Norfolk Southern Railroad (#510015X) CR 13 CR 6 Michawaka Rd (CR 20) to Hively Ave Ash Rd to CR 10 CR 6 to John Weaver Parkway CR 40 to Kercher Road (CR 38) Jackson Blvd to Middlebury St Appendix E: Red Flag Investigation Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Grade Separation Center Turn Lane Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 7 2 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 5 0 3 4 1 0 0 2 15 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 3 2 1 2 1 1 4 3 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 2 0 0 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2040 Transportation Plan Road Limits Type Brownfield Sites State Cleanup Sites Voluntary Remediation Program Underground Storage Tanks Confined Feeding Operations Tire Waste Sites NPDES Pipe Locations Superfund Sites Institutional Control Sites Industrial Waste Sites Leaking Underground Storage Tanks (LUSTs) Infectious/Medical Waste Sites Solid Waste Landfills NPDES Facilities Table E-3: Hazardous Materials Goshen Ave Middlebury St to Toledo Rd Added Travel Lanes 0 1 0 14 0 1 5 0 1 3 0 0 0 2 Jackson Blvd Goshen Ave Intersection Improvement 3 1 1 6 0 0 5 0 0 1 7 0 0 1 Hively Ave Indiana Ave Johnson St (CR 9) Kercher Rd Kercher Rd Kercher Rd (CR 38) Lexington Ave Lincoln St Lusher Ave Main St Old US 20 Old US 20 Old US 20 Osolo St Prairie St Prairie St Prairie St Toledo Rd Norfolk Southern Railroad (#510012C) Moyer Rd to Toledo Rd Bristol St (CR 10) to CR 6 Norfolk Southern Railroad (#533510B) to Dierdorff Rd (CR 27) Violett Rd to Norfolk Southern Railroad (#533510B) Dierdorff Road (CR 27) to US 33 Bypass Rd to SR 19 US 6 to Williams Street 17th St to Oakland Ave Beardsley Ave CR 3 to Lexington Ave Ash Rd to CR 1 CR 1 to CR 3 Bristol St to CR 6 Hively Ave to Lusher Ave Indiana Ave to Main St Lusher Ave to Indiana Ave Goshen Ave to Industrial Parkway Grade Separation Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Center Turn Lane New Road Construction Road Reconstruction Intersection Improvement Center Turn Lane Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Center Turn Lane Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes 0 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 9 6 0 0 2 0 1 1 0 0 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 10 18 15 8 5 2 3 5 1 20 0 2 4 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 15 8 0 1 5 9 7 16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 1 0 0 6 0 0 0 13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 3 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 11 3 1 6 7 5 1 12 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 7 0 1 3 5 3 0 1 1 4 2 3 3 2 7 6 6 9 3 1 0 2 3 6 6 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Appendix E: Red Flag Investigation 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 133 Michiana on the Move Road Limits Type Brownfield Sites State Cleanup Sites Voluntary Remediation Program Underground Storage Tanks Confined Feeding Operations Tire Waste Sites NPDES Pipe Locations Superfund Sites Institutional Control Sites Industrial Waste Sites Leaking Underground Storage Tanks (LUSTs) Infectious/Medical Waste Sites Solid Waste Landfills NPDES Facilities Table E-3: Hazardous Materials Toledo Rd Industrial Parkway to Rowe St Added Travel Lanes 0 0 1 16 0 1 0 0 0 8 4 0 0 1 Waterford Mills Parkway CR 40 to SR 15 New Road Construction 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 Toledo Rd Waterford Mills Parkway Wilden Ave Wilden Ave Rowe St to CR 13 SR 15 to Regent Street Rock Run Creek to 6th Street Current Terminus to Middlebury Street Added Travel Lanes New Road Construction Road Reconstruction New Road Construction Kosciusko County Barbee Lake Rd McKenna Rd to CR 700 E Road Reconstruction County Farm Rd CR 400 S to CR 200 S Road Reconstruction Chicago Street County Farm Rd County Farm Rd CR 100 E CR 100 E CR 100 E CR 1300 N CR 1300 N CR 1300 N CR 1350 N CR 150 W CR 150 W 134 SR 13 to Harkless Dr CR 700 S to CR 400 S 200S to Baker St CR 300 N to CR 450 N CR 250 N to CR 300 N City Limits (0.2 mi S of CR 200 N) to CR 200 N SR 15 to Old SR 15 Old SR 15 to CR 300 E Norfolk Southern Railroad (New Crossing) Marshall County Line to SR 19 Fox Farm Road to US 30 US 30 to CR 300 N Appendix E: Red Flag Investigation Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconfiguration Added Travel Lanes New Road Construction Road Reconstruction Grade Separation Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 1 3 0 2 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 4 1 2 2 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 2040 Transportation Plan Road Limits Type Brownfield Sites State Cleanup Sites Voluntary Remediation Program Underground Storage Tanks Confined Feeding Operations Tire Waste Sites NPDES Pipe Locations Superfund Sites Institutional Control Sites Industrial Waste Sites Leaking Underground Storage Tanks (LUSTs) Infectious/Medical Waste Sites Solid Waste Landfills NPDES Facilities Table E-3: Hazardous Materials CR 300 N CR 150 W to SR 15 Added Travel Lanes 1 0 0 4 0 0 1 0 0 1 4 0 0 0 CR 900 N SR 15 to CR 300 E Added Travel Lanes 0 0 0 3 4 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 CR 450 N CR 700 E CR 900 N Fox Farm Rd Fox Farm Rd Front St Husky Trl Lake St Long Dr / Main St Market St Market St Market St Packerton Rd Packerton Rd Pierceton Rd Rozella Rd Rozella Road Sheridan St CR 100 E to CR 475 E Barbee Lake Rd to Armstrong Rd SR 19 to SR 15 CR 150 W to US 30 US 30 to CR 300 N Chicago St to John Street Mariners Dr to City Limits Market St to Osborn St SR 13 to CR 1400 N Columbia St to Hickory St Hickory St to Bronson St Bronson St to Argonne Rd CR 225 S to Pierceton Rd Parker St to CR 175 E Winona Lake Town Limits to Pierceton Town Limits Ranch Rd to Country Club Rd SR 15 to Ranch Rd Harrison St to Parker St Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction New Road Construction New Road Construction New Road Construction 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 3 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 1 7 0 2 12 2 19 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 16 18 0 1 1 1 0 10 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 4 1 1 1 3 3 4 0 1 2 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 1 3 0 0 0 0 1 1 9 0 4 16 5 19 2 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 18 8 0 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Appendix E: Red Flag Investigation 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 135 Michiana on the Move Underground Storage Tanks Confined Feeding Operations Tire Waste Sites NPDES Pipe Locations Superfund Sites Institutional Control Sites Industrial Waste Sites Leaking Underground Storage Tanks (LUSTs) Infectious/Medical Waste Sites Solid Waste Landfills NPDES Facilities 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 5 0 0 3 3 0 0 1 Limits Type State Cleanup Sites 0 Road Brownfield Sites Voluntary Remediation Program Table E-3: Hazardous Materials Syracuse-Webster Road SR 13 to 1200N (3 phases) Road Reconstruction 0 0 Zimmer Rd SR 25 to Old US 30 Road Reconstruction 0 0 0 Syracuse-Webster Road Winona Ave 3A Rd 6A Rd Maple Ave to Argonne Rd East Shore Dr to Plymouth-Goshen Trl Oak Rd to Michigan Rd 7A Rd 7A Rd Hoham Dr Jefferson St Jefferson St Jefferson St Jim Nelson (Muckshaw Rd) Jim Neu Dr King Rd King Rd Lincolnway East Michigan Rd Michigan St 136 1200N to Railroad Ave Linden Rd to King Rd Oak Rd to Michigan Rd Oak Dr to Michigan Rd Michigan St to Lincolnway East Lincolnway East to Richter Rd City Limits to Oak Dr City Limits to Oakhill Ave Pioneer Rd to Oak Dr 9A Road to Plymouth-Goshen Trl Plymouth-Goshen Trl to 4th Rd Jefferson Street to City Limits US 6 to CSX Railroad Oakhill Ave to LaPorte St Appendix E: Red Flag Investigation Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Marshall County Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction New Road Construction New Road Construction Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconfiguration Road Reconstruction 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 18 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 15 0 3 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 10 15 9 2 5 0 1 4 1 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 5 0 0 0 1 0 7 7 1 1 1 0 0 7 1 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 0 0 0 5 4 6 9 0 0 0 4 7 5 12 0 2 3 0 6 0 0 3 0 3 10 1 1 2 0 10 7 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2040 Transportation Plan Road Limits Type Brownfield Sites State Cleanup Sites Voluntary Remediation Program Underground Storage Tanks Confined Feeding Operations Tire Waste Sites NPDES Pipe Locations Superfund Sites Institutional Control Sites Industrial Waste Sites Leaking Underground Storage Tanks (LUSTs) Infectious/Medical Waste Sites Solid Waste Landfills NPDES Facilities Table E-3: Hazardous Materials Michigan St City Limits to Oakhill Ave Road Reconstruction 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 Oak Rd 7B Rd to 6A Rd Road Reconstruction 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 Muckshaw Rd Oak Dr Old US 30 Pidco Dr Pioneer Rd Plymouth-Goshen Trl Plymouth-Goshen Trl Richter Rd Shore Dr Tamarack Rd SR 10 to Oakhill Rd Hoham Rd to 7B Rd US 30 to Pioneer Rd Broadway St to Western Ave US 30 to 7B Rd 3A Rd to SR 106 US 6 to Elkhart County Line Jefferson St to Baker St 3rd Rd to 3A Rd US 6 to St. Joseph County Line Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes New Road Construction Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction St. Joseph County 12th St (Harrison Rd) Byrkit St (Fir Rd) to Downey Ave Added Travel Lanes Adams Rd Olive Rd to Mayflower Rd Road Reconstruction 12th St (Harrison Rd) 7th St Ash Rd Ash Rd Ash Rd Union St to Byrkit Rd Union St to Laurel St Edison Rd to Douglas Rd McKinley Ave SR 933 to Vistula Rd/Indiana Ave Added Travel Lanes New Road Construction Road Reconstruction Intersection Improvement Added Travel Lanes 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 3 2 1 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 4 0 1 0 4 2 2 10 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 4 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 3 0 2 0 1 0 0 4 5 6 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Appendix E: Red Flag Investigation 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 137 Michiana on the Move Road Limits Type Brownfield Sites State Cleanup Sites Voluntary Remediation Program Underground Storage Tanks Confined Feeding Operations Tire Waste Sites NPDES Pipe Locations Superfund Sites Institutional Control Sites Industrial Waste Sites Leaking Underground Storage Tanks (LUSTs) Infectious/Medical Waste Sites Solid Waste Landfills NPDES Facilities Table E-3: Hazardous Materials Ash Rd McKinley Hwy to Edison Road Added Travel Lanes 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 Ash Rd Douglas Rd to Cleveland Rd Road Reconstruction 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 Ash Rd Vistula Rd/Indiana Ave to Jefferson Rd Ash Rd Edison Rd / CR 12 Ash Rd Ash Rd Auten Rd Auten Rd Auten Rd Auten Rd Auten Rd Bendix Dr Bittersweet Rd Bittersweet Rd Bittersweet Rd Bittersweet Rd Bittersweet Rd Bittersweet Rd Byrkit St (Fir Rd) Byrkit St (Fir Rd) Cleveland Rd 138 Jefferson Rd to McKinley Hwy Vistula Rd / Indiana Ave Juniper Rd to Ironwood Rd SR 933 to Juniper Rd Portage Rd to St. Joseph River Adams Rd to Mayflower Rd Mayflower Rd to Portage Rd Lincolnway to Lathrop St Anderson Rd to SR 23 Douglas Rd to Cleveland Rd McKinley Hwy to Day Rd Cleveland Rd to I-80/90 Toll Rd Day Rd to Douglas Rd I-80/90 Toll Rd to Anderson Rd Dragoon Trl to Harrison Rd Jefferson Blvd to McKinley Hwy St. Joseph River to SR 933 Appendix E: Red Flag Investigation Road Reconstruction Intersection Improvement Road Reconstruction Intersection Improvement Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction New Road Construction New Road Construction Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 1 3 0 0 1 8 8 3 0 1 0 2 5 11 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 3 10 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 4 2 1 2 2 0 0 0 4 5 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2040 Transportation Plan Road Limits Type Brownfield Sites State Cleanup Sites Voluntary Remediation Program Underground Storage Tanks Confined Feeding Operations Tire Waste Sites NPDES Pipe Locations Superfund Sites Institutional Control Sites Industrial Waste Sites Leaking Underground Storage Tanks (LUSTs) Infectious/Medical Waste Sites Solid Waste Landfills NPDES Facilities Table E-3: Hazardous Materials Cleveland Rd Bittersweet Rd to Ash Rd Added Travel Lanes 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 Cleveland Rd Grand Trunk Western Railroad (#283372X) Grade Separation 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cleveland Rd Cleveland Rd Day Rd Day Rd Day Rd Douglas Rd Douglas Rd Douglas Rd Douglas Rd Elm Rd Fir Rd Fir Rd Fulmer Rd Hickory Rd Hickory Rd Ireland Rd Ironwood Dr Ironwood Dr Ironwood Dr Fir Rd to SR 331 SR 331 to Bittersweet Rd Fir Rd to SR 331 SR 331 to Bittersweet Rd Grand Trunk Western Railroad Fir Rd to SR 331 Ironwood Road to SR 23 Ivy Road to Ironwood Rd SR 331 to Bittersweet Rd Kern Rd to Jackson Rd Adams Rd Brick Rd Current Terminus to Clover Rd Edison Rd to Helper Rd Helper Rd to Douglas Rd Ironwood Rd to Hazel Rd Mishawaka Ave Jefferson Blvd Corby Blvd/Rockne Dr Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction Grade Separation Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Intersection Improvement Intersection Improvement New Road Construction Added Travel Lanes New Road Construction Added Travel Lanes Intersection Improvement Intersection Improvement Intersection Improvement 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 0 2 0 0 1 7 2 0 12 6 4 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 2 1 1 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 2 0 1 4 4 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Appendix E: Red Flag Investigation 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 139 Michiana on the Move Road Limits Type Brownfield Sites State Cleanup Sites Voluntary Remediation Program Underground Storage Tanks Confined Feeding Operations Tire Waste Sites NPDES Pipe Locations Superfund Sites Institutional Control Sites Industrial Waste Sites Leaking Underground Storage Tanks (LUSTs) Infectious/Medical Waste Sites Solid Waste Landfills NPDES Facilities Table E-3: Hazardous Materials Ironwood Dr Cleveland Rd to Auten Rd Added Travel Lanes 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ironwood Dr Adams Rd Intersection Improvement 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ironwood Dr Ironwood Dr Ironwood Dr Ironwood Dr Jefferson Blvd Kern Rd Lincolnway West Logan St Logan St Logan St Main Street (SR 933) McKinley Ave McKinley Hwy McKinley Hwy McKinley Hwy McKinley Hwy McKinley Hwy Michigan St Michigan St 140 Kern Rd to South Bend City Limits Auten Rd to Michigan State Line South Bend City Limits to Jackson Rd Jackson Rd to South of US 20 Wayne St Miami St to Ironwood Rd Marion St Mishawaka Ave to Jefferson Blvd Dragoon Trl to SR 933 Pleasant St to Mishawaka Ave Chippewa Avenue to Marion Street Birch Rd to Ash Rd Grand Trunk Western Railroad Davison St to Byrkit Rd Byrkit St (Fir Rd) to Home St Home St to Elder Rd Ironwood Dr to Manchester Dr Ireland Rd Chippewa Ave to Navarre St Appendix E: Red Flag Investigation Road Reconstruction Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Intersection Improvement Road Reconstruction Intersection Improvement Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes 0 0 0 0 6 0 5 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 2 0 1 1 One-Way to Two-Way 11 10 Added Travel Lanes 0 Added Travel Lanes Grade Separation Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Intersection Improvement One-Way to Two-Way 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 2 0 11 10 1 0 0 0 5 0 1 1 0 18 0 6 0 0 0 0 2 13 6 4 6 33 1 12 0 6 0 1 0 0 1 4 0 5 16 12 10 39 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 6 0 0 0 0 10 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 0 6 0 0 1 7 17 3 1 0 4 5 1 0 8 4 2 8 31 6 8 0 3 4 3 0 4 12 0 6 5 2 0 3 29 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2040 Transportation Plan 11 0 Michigan St (SR 933) Western Ave Intersection Improvement 6 7 2 19 0 0 Michigan St (SR 933) Michigan St (SR 933) Olive Rd Olive St Olive St Pierce Rd Pierce Rd Portage Rd Portage Rd Sample St Sample St Sheridan St Twyckenham Dr Twyckenham Dr Twyckenham Dr Union St Union St (Bremen Hwy) Union St (Church St) Went Ave Bartlett Ave Marion St Brick Rd to Adams Rd SR 23 (Prairie Ave) to Tucker Dr Sample St US 31 to Miami Hwy Miami Hwy to SR 331 Maple Rd to Auten Rd Auten Rd to Michigan State Line Chapin St Bendix Dr to Grant St Lincolnway to Progress Dr Mishawaka Ave Jefferson Blvd McKinley Ave Dragoon Trl to 12th St North of US 20 to Dragoon Trl 12th St to SR 933 McKinley Hwy to Catalpa Rd Intersection Improvement Intersection Improvement New Road Construction Road Reconstruction Intersection Improvement Added Travel Lanes New Road Construction Added Travel Lanes Road Reconstruction Intersection Improvement Road Reconstruction Road Reconstruction Intersection Improvement Intersection Improvement Intersection Improvement Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes Added Travel Lanes New Road Construction 4 4 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 23 7 11 3 6 7 0 0 5 1 5 16 0 5 1 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 9 10 4 2 1 3 11 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 5 0 0 6 0 5 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NPDES Facilities 2 6 Solid Waste Landfills 1 5 Infectious/Medical Waste Sites Confined Feeding Operations 5 Road Reconfiguration Leaking Underground Storage Tanks (LUSTs) Underground Storage Tanks Intersection Improvement Monroe St to Western Ave Industrial Waste Sites Voluntary Remediation Program Chippewa Ave Michigan St Institutional Control Sites State Cleanup Sites Michigan St Superfund Sites Type NPDES Pipe Locations Limits Tire Waste Sites Road Brownfield Sites Table E-3: Hazardous Materials 5 0 0 0 18 0 0 1 6 16 6 9 3 1 4 8 0 5 5 11 2 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 8 15 5 5 9 6 1 1 1 0 6 2 14 10 1 3 2 2 7 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Appendix E: Red Flag Investigation 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 141 Appendix F: Environmental Justice Michiana on the Move F Environmental Justice and Title VI Federal Law requires the Michiana Area Council of Governments (MACOG) to ensure that individuals not be excluded from participating in, denied the benefits of, or be subjected to discrimination under any program or activity receiving federal funding on the basis of race, color or national origin. Federal law also requires that MACOG identifies and addresses areas of disproportionately high adverse human health or environmental effects of its programs, policies and activities on minority and low-income populations. Indicators of Potential Disadvantage In order to best accomplish the federal requirements of Environmental Justice (EJ), expanding the list to include additional population groups – minorities, low-income, carless households, persons with physical disabilities, seniors, Hispanic, and Limited English Proficiency (LEP) – may have specific planning-related issues or challenges. MACOG modeled its EJ process from the Delaware Valley Regional Planning Commission (DVRPC) in Philadelphia. They used the above population groups as “Indicators of Potential Disad- 144 Appendix F: Environmental Justice vantage (IPD).” Using the American Community Survey (ACS) five-year estimates data set from the U.S. Census, population groups are identified and located at the census tract level. Data is gathered at the regional level, combining populations from each of the four counties, to determine the regional average for that population group. Any census tract that meets or exceeds the regional average level, or threshold for that population group, is considered an EJ-sensitive tract for that group. Each sensitive groups that exceeds the regional threshold within a census track is counted as one IPD. A full report of the Environmental Justice population analysis with maps and figures is available on MACOG’s website. Proposed Project Impacts By mapping the 2040 Transportation Plan proposed projects, potential impacts to IPD tracts can be evaluated. Most of tracts with a high number of IPD populations have proposed projects in the 2040 Transportation Plan. Many of the projects in those areas are to be opened by 2020, while most of the 2025 to 2040 projects are in areas with fewer IPD. All groups, including IPD populations, will benefit from the proposed transportation improvements in the area. The proposed projects include improved accessibility and connectivity to the area, which provides increased access to community services. Each project will bring short-term impacts to residents in the area, such as delays, increased detour traffic, noise, or right-of-way purchases. These impacts will be experiences by all populations groups, not just the IPD populations. During project development, considerations will need to be made at the project level if there are any adverse impacts to the disadvantage population groups. Figures F-1, F-2, F-3, and F-4 illustrate the distribution of transportation projects. The projects are located throughout the region, without a disproportionately high impact to the IPD populations. 2040 Transportation Plan Figure F-1: Elkhart County Environmental Justice Appendix F: Environmental Justice 145 Michiana on the Move Figure F-2: Kosciusko County Environmental Justice 146 Appendix F: Environmental Justice 2040 Transportation Plan Figure F-3: Marshall County Environmental Justice Appendix F: Environmental Justice 147 Michiana on the Move Figure F-4: St. Joseph County Environmental Justice 148 Appendix F: Environmental Justice 2040 Transportation Plan Appendix F: Environmental Justice 149 Appendix G: Congestion Management Process Michiana on the Move G The Congestion Management Process (CMP) is a plan for recommending and implementing appropriate strategies that can alleviate congestion and improve the performance of the transportation system. The CMP establishes a consistent and systematic process for managing congestion by producing information and recommendations on system performance and on alternative strategies for alleviating congestion and enhancing the mobility of persons and goods. This is done with Federal and State guidance for the intended purpose of conforming to Federal air quality standards. Achieving regional air quality improvements are a potential and desired outcome of CMP planning. The Intermodal Surface Transportation Efficiency Act (ISTEA) of 1991 was the first Federal Transportation Act to require the establishment of a Congestion Management System in Transportation Management Areas (TMAs), which are urbanized areas with a population over 200,000 individuals. The subsequent Transportation Equity Act for the 21st Century (TEA-21), SAFETEA-LU and MAP-21 all have maintained the Congestion Management requirements for TMAs. In TMAs designated as carbon monoxide (CO) or ground-level 152 Appendix G: Congestion Management Process ozone (O3) non-attainment areas, the Federal regulation prohibits projects that increase capacity for single-occupant vehicles (SOVs), unless the project emerges from a CMP. At present the MACOG region is in attainment for existing carbon monoxide and ground-level ozone standards, both of which are considered transportation-related pollutants. That being the case, a CMP analysis is not required for transportation projects although the CMP is nonetheless, a required planning process. Formerly, the CMP was known as the Congestion Management System (CMS), and the CMS was presented as a stand-alone document (Congestion Management System for the South Bend and Elkhart/ Goshen Urbanized Areas, July 2011). SAFETEA-LU changed the name, and required the inclusion of the CMP within the Long Range Transportation Plan. MAP-21 continues these requirements. Moving forward, MACOG will be improving the Congestion Management Process, utilizing the new hybrid travel demand model and expanding data collection programs to better monitor intersections and roadways for delay and operational shortcomings. 2040 Transportation Plan Appendix G: Congestion Management Process 153 Michiana on the Move 2040 Transportation Plan Michiana Area Council of Governments 227 W. Jefferson Blvd. County-City Building, Room 1120 South Bend, IN 46614