Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market

Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market

Geothermal market Turkey
Potential, status and market developments
Dr. Rolf Schiffer
Schiffer Consult - GEO · Services
Marl, Germany
www.schiffer-consult.de
Status as of September 1st 2015
Overview
Content
 Brief company presentation
 Geothermal potential of Turkey
 Development and projections of geothermal electricity (power) production in Turkey
 Thermal applications – status and possibilities (for development)
 Outlook and forecast
 Conclusion
Brief company presentation
Schiffer Consult - GEO · Services
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in geology, renewables, infrastructure, resources, hydrogeology,
environment, conversion management, health and safety
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Our services in geothermal energy
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Geothermal potential of Turkey
Picture: SC · SGS, SCHIFFER, R.
Geothermal resource of Europe
Source:
Geothermal map
of Europe
100 °C
120 °C
150 °C
200 °C
Turkey’s geothermal energy potential
Source: KORKMAZ E. D., SERPEN U.,
SATMAN E. (2010): Turkey geothermal
energy potential, Istanbul Technical
University
o
Temperatures in [ C ]
Geothermal potential of Turkey (hydrothermal and petrothermal)
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227 geothermal fields in use and developement
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2,000 hot and mineral water resources (Temperature range 20 °C to 287 °C)
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Drilled: ~ 1,200 geothermal exploratory, production and reinjection wells
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Geothermal heat capacity potential estimated 2015: 60,000 MWth (2010: 31,500 MWth)
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Installed geothermal heat capacity ~ 2,880 MWth in direct use incl. heat pumps
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Installed geothermal power production ~ 500 MWel (09/2015)
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Total geothermal technical and economical electricity potential: 2,000 MWel
(hydrothermal 0–3 km, next 15 – 20 years, incentive 0.105 US-$)
theoretical: 4,500 MWel
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Estimated technical EGS electricity production potential 250,000 MWel (3-5 km)
Total EGS electricity production technical and economical potential 25,000 MWel
(estimated next 20 years)
Development and projections of geothermal
electricity (power) production in Turkey
Picture: SC· SGS, SCHIFFER R. - GPP Germencik
Installed geothermal capacity worldwide 2014
Source: BERTANI R. (2015), Proceedings WGC 2015, Melbourne
Installed geothermal capacity worldwide 2014
Data Source: BERTANI R. (2015), Proceedings WGC 2015, Melbourne
Installed capacity (TEIAŞ)
Data Source: Turkish
electricity transmission
company (08/2015)
Map of geothermal energy sources and applications
Source:
MTA (2012) –
Enerji
Hammadde
Etüt ve Arama
Dairesi
Başkanlığı,
Report
Location of the main geothermal fields
Thermal applications – status and possibilities
(for development)
Pictures: topnews.in; formanfarms.ca; holydaycheck.de
Geothermal direct heat uses (2014)
Summary table of geothermal direct heat uses as of 31 December 2014
Use
Installed Capacity
[MW t]
Annual Energy Use
[TJ/yr]
Individual Space Heating
420
4635
District Heating
805
8885
-*
-*
612
11580
Fish Farming
-*
-*
Animal Farming
-*
-*
1,5
50
Industrial Process Heat
-*
-*
Snow Melting
-*
-*
1005
19016
-*
-*
2843.5
44166
42,8
960
2886.3
45126
Air Conditioning (Cooling)
Greenhouse Heating
Agricultural Drying
Bathing and Swimming
Other Uses (specify)
Subtotal
Geothermal Heat Pumps
TOTOAL
* - no data available
Source:
MERTOGLU, O.,
SIMSEK S.,
BASRIRN N.
(2015) Country
Update Report of
Turkey (20102015)
Status in geothermal house heating systems in Turkey
Place Name
İzmir – Balçova +
Narlıdere
Gönen
Simav
Kırşehir
Kızılcahamam
Afyon
Kozaklı
Sandıklı
Diyadin
Salihli
Sarayköy
Edremit
Bigadiç
Sarıkaya
Yozgat-Sorgun
Yerköy
Güre
İzmir – Dikili
İzmir – Bergama
Number of
Residential
Equivalence (RE)
heated
34100
2500
7500
1800
2500
8000
3000
6000
690
7292
2200
4881
1950
550 (not operated)
1500 (not operated)
1500 (not operated)
650
2500
450
Geoth.
water
temp
(°C)
125145
80
167
57
80
95
90
70
70
94
140
60
96
50
80
55-60
55
99
60
Investor
Provincial and Municipal Administration Equal Weighted Joint Stock
Company
Weighted Municipal Corporation
Municipality
Special Provincial Administration of the Municipal Corporation Weighted
Weighted Municipal Corporation
Special Provincial Administration of the Municipal Corporation Weighted
Weighted Municipal Corporation
Weighted Municipal Corporation
Special Provincial Administration
Municipality
Weighted Municipal Corporation
Municipality+Private Sector Company
Municipality
Special Provincial Administration + Municipality + Private Sector
Municipality
Special Provincial Administration + Municipality + Private Sector
Municipality
Municipality
Municipality
Source:
DAGISTAN H.
et al.(2015) Geothermal
Explorations
and
Investigations
by MTA in
Turkey
Outview and forecast
Picture: SC · SGS, ROITZSCH, T.
Geothermal Status (recent)
Data base
by TEIAŞ
(Turkish
electricity
transmission
company),
08/2015
Added and
updated
01/09/2015
Turkish producer of geothermal electricity
Electricity producer
Güris Holding
Existing capacity [MW]
Under construction [MW]
Total
162,4
47,4
209,8
95
60
155
Maren Enerji
87,5
22,5
110
MB Holding
60,5
21
81,5
Çelikler Jeothermal
45
89
134
Türkerler Jeotermal
24
24
48
13,2
0
13,2
Enda Enerji Holding
7,5
0
7,5
Bereket Jeotermal Enerji
6,5
0
6,5
Akça Enerji
3,8
10
13,8
Greeneco
0
24
24
Karadeniz Holding
0
24
24
Mis Enerji Üretim A.Ş
0
24
24
Sanko Enerji
0
15
15
Alres A.Ş.
0
10
10
MTN Enerji
0
8
8
505,4
378,9
884,3
Zorlu Enerji
BM Holding
Sum
Data based on TEIAS
(Turkish electricity
transmission company)
and Geothermal Energy
Association, February
2015, added 08/2015
Growth of total Investments in Geothermal
Period
Funding Type
Research &
Development
Field
Development
including
Production
Direct
Electrical
Private
Public
Million US$
Million US$
Million US$
Million US$
%
%
Utilization
19951999
2,2
20002004
7,5
1,35
74
20052009
350
68
212
20102014
1250
750
300
100
Source: MERTOGLU, O., SIMSEK S., BASRIRN N. (2015) Country Update Report of Turkey (2010-2015)
10
90
500
70
30
2000
85
15
Geothermal projections for 2014 – 2018 of Turkey
(Acc. To the 10th development plan (2014 – 2018) of the Ministry of Development)
Geothermal Utilizations
Government Targets for 2018
Electricity Generation
750 MWel
(6 Billion kWh)
Heating
4,000 MW th
(Residences, Hotels, Thermal Facilities and others) (500,000 Residences Equivalence)
Greenhouse Heating
2,040 MW th
(6 Billion m²)
Drying
500 MW th
(500.000 tons/year)
Thermal Tourism
1,100 MW th
(400 Thermal Facility Equivalence)
Air conditioning
300 MW th
(50,000 Residences Equivalence)
Aquaculture + others
400 MW th
Total Direct Use
8,340 MWth
Natural Gas Equivalence of all the above mentioned
geothermal direct use Utilizations
The economical value added to the Turkey’s Economy
by means of above mentioned Utilizations until the End
of 2018
The created Employment (Direct and Indirect)
6,1 Billion USD/year
32 Billion USD/year
300,000 Person
Additional
Investment USD
(until 2018)
2.0 Billion USD
1.4 Billion USD
300 Million USD
(including Wells)
180 Million USD
1.2 Billion USD
300 Million USD
150 Million USD
5.53 Billion USD
Source:
Turkish
Geothermal
Association;
GEOPOWER
Turkey,
10-2013
Conclusion
Picture: SC · SGS, SCHIFFER. R.
Conclusion
Good conditions for the geothermal development in Turkey
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High geothermal energy potential
One of the fastest growing geothermal markets worldwide
Possibilities for further development beside hydrothermal utilization
Support of the renewables by the Turkish government
Guaranteed feed-in tariff
High acceptance for geothermal projects
Local and international investments in geothermal energy
Contact
Schiffer Consult
Schiffer GEO ∙ Services (SGS)
Treibweg 1, 45772 Marl, Germany
Cell phone +49 160 - 715 08 79
Phone
+49 23 65 - 50 70 47
Fax
+49 23 65 - 20 54 97
[email protected]
www.schiffer-consult.de
Contact persons
Dr. Rolf Schiffer
[email protected]
Dipl.-Ing. Tobias Roitzsch
[email protected]