payments - Innovalue
Transcription
payments - Innovalue
payments Insight. Opinion. vol 12 CONTENT 1 The future of merchant acquiring and processing – an industry forecast The future of merchant acquiring and processing – an industry forecast Andreas Habersetzer discusses the future of merchant acquiring and processing. 3 Andreas Habersetzer Digital banking Partner INNOVALUE reviews the digital banking and payments and its applications change the nature of payments and facilitate the launch of new services and service providers? landscape: its evolution, the response from existing players and the emerging “digital” start-ups. 5 Contactless payments at leading retailers: Germany still lags behind INNOVALUE presents the white paper "Merchant payment acceptance and mobile services: A reality check at large merchants in Germany and the UK”. 7 I have recently been tasked by the organisers of this year’s MPE conference in Berlin to attempt a forecast of the future development of the acquiring and processing industry over the next five years. While predicting the future is always a daunting task, it probably has been never more difficult to forecast the future of the payments industry. Many different factors are in effect in an industry that is undergoing massive change. Public market valuations and the market environment Stocks have seen a rough start into 2016 as meaningful The attempt to forecast industry developments over the next five years raises a number of questions: slides occurred globally following what was a strong year 2015. Markus Massem takes a look at valuation drivers and benchmarks the different groups within the payments universe. 9 How will e-, m- and social commerce (via platforms link Facebook, Instagram and Pinterest) or the Internet of Things (IoT) drive electronic payments? What other growth drivers are there? M&A Activity What are the key drivers of M&A and IPO activity? Which transactions made headlines in the 4th Quarter of 2015? What are recent takeover rationales? Robert Kayser, How will regulatory initiatives like IFR, PSD2 and AML regulation influence profitability, business models and the competitive landscape? Apostolos Psaras and Philipp Steinbrück answer these questions. 11 Venture Capital Once again the INNOVALUE team reviews the latest payment startup funding activity (Q4 2015). What are the Which role will alternative payment methods (APM) play in the future? Will there be equivalent alternatives to card-based schemes that provide acceptance across the globe and across channels? What about the PAY-initiatives? payment segments investors were most interested in? Which startup funding made headlines in the last quarter of 2015, and which have been the largest deals in 2015 at all? 13 M&a Activity Transaction overview 15 vc-Activity Transaction overview How will the price for payment acceptance evolve and which other services are suited to generate new income streams for merchant acquirers and processors? Will payments be for free for merchants eventually? How will infrastructure developments like realtime payment systems (RTPS) or the blockchain How will merchant requirements evolve (e.g. “omni-channel”) and drive change in the industry? Will mobile platforms develop into massive merchant aggregators? Which merchant acquirers and processors will be best prepared to adapt to the changing industry landscape and drive innovation in the market? Revenue forecast At the end, however, as for any forecast, it will all show up in the numbers. Therefore, INNOVALUE developed a detailed bottom-up model that forecasts net revenue and profit pools for POS- and e-commerce acquiring, processing, terminal sales, leasing and maintenance, gateway and other products and services for the European countries. As a result, INNOVALUE expects the European net revenue pools for merchant acquiring based on net acquiring margins (MSC after interchange and scheme fees) to grow from EUR 5.5 billion to EUR 7.2 billion from 2015 to 2020 (CAGR 5.5 %), with an over-proportional increase in revenues coming from online acquiring. Net revenue growth is driven by an increase in total purchase value (TPV), while we expect the net acquiring margins to shrink over time due to increasing competition across all segments. Acquiring in Europe is still an attractive, growing business for the next five years. In terms of growth opportunities, Europe is however outshined by other regions and markets, particularly in China, Southeast Asia and Latin America (for e-commerce). payments Insight. Opinion. Electronic payments in China have been growing by 34 % at the POS (Source: Red Book, Bank of International Settlement – BIS) and 42 % online, while e-commerce volumes in India and Indonesia have been growing with 130 % and 66 % last year respectively, according to eMarketer. Given the low penetration of these markets through electronic payments, it can be assumed that the growth of emerging payment markets will continue to exceed European growth rates over the next years, relatively independent of the overall economic development. While established acquirers and processors are struggling in particular to establish POS operations across the globe, gateways have come up with the ambition to take their place at the merchant interface and provide comprehensive services (e.g. multicurrency / -channel / Acquiring in Europe is -payment method reconciliation and collecstill an attractive, tion) that marginalise growing business for the task of acquirer five years (…) Europe is processors. International capabilities Few payment service providers are equipped to capture the international growth opportunity and service merchants globally. Of the Top 20 global the next acquirers by number of transactions processed however outshined by other (according to the Nilson regions and markets, particularly Business model Report), First Data is evolution in China, Southeast Asia and closest to having a global Therefore, the business Latin America footprint (albeit on differmodels of acquirers ent platforms). Global payand processors have ments and Elavon have operations on more than to evolve in order to stay competitive and maintain two continents. Wirecard, although not among the the merchant relationship. Acquirers have to leading global payment processors, has made evolve to business solutions providers, serving numerous acquisitions in high growth markets, the needs of merchants beyond payments. Within ranging from Singapore, to Indonesia, New Zealand, payments, successful merchant acquirers are South Africa, Turkey, Brazil etc. over the last few providing a full suite of international omni-channel years. payment solutions. In addition to payments 2 cards, merchant acquirers provide acceptance for alternative payment methods. Especially in the micro and small merchant segment, acquirers are able to leverage the merchant relationship and provide a full portfolio of business solutions. Providing services beyond payments increases merchant stickiness and results in longer relationships and higher income per merchant. Acquirers need to invest in the technical infrastructure to facilitate new services in-house or via 3rd party integrations. As acquirers will not be able to keep the pace with technological change and undertake the investment required, e.g. to develop an “open”, state of the art platform, INNOVALUE expects further consolidation and a significant reduction of the number of players in the European market. Page 1 payments 3 Insight. Opinion. Digital banking Francesco Burelli Partner Megan John Manager The digital banking journey started over thirty years ago when “tele-banking” services allowed customers to interact with their bank using their phone without needing to travel to the branch during its opening hours. It progressed with the widespread adoption of the internet by households and banks offering websites to advertise their products and enable customers to perform simple transactions online. The launch of the iPhone advanced the concept of digital banking to one whereby customers could interact with their bank anytime and anywhere – no longer reliant on the traditional physical banking channels. The app store also enabled new business models and the emergence of the “sharing economy” with new companies emerging (for example Uber). The primary theme for these new businesses has been disintermediation: no longer is it necessary to use an established platform (e.g. a taxi company) to interact with service providers, instead, consumers can connect directly to the providers (e.g. the taxi driver). Digital has survived the dotcom crash and financial crisis and its adoption in banking has been driven by both the technical developments as well as the digitisation of commerce. Despite digital’s age, many “incumbent” banks have struggled to fully leverage end to end digital capabilities and continue to rely on physical support to serve customers. They have CRM systems that are not integrated across all product types and channels and therefore do not enable a holistic, single view of the customer. Or they offer online application forms that must be printed and posted to the bank to be accepted. Opening a mortgage in the UK takes between five and forty days1 yet a fully digital process has allowed the process to be completed in as little as 24 minutes2. Today’s digital offering from the banks is often insufficient to meet the needs of customers who expect to use multiple channels seamlessly to complete transactions despite the millions or billions of pounds that the banks are investing in digital transformation programmes. Figure 1: Digital development timeline 1 Source: The Telegraph I 2 Source: HSBC Page 1 payments Insight. Opinion. 4 A major challenge for incumbents is their legacy regulatory approval in 2015. These start-ups are systems. Many banking systems are decades old, focusing on areas with less regulation (e.g. lendthey were developed in the 1970s or 1980s to ing and payments) and are likely to stay as niche support a business model where a bank branch providers given the expense (~GBP 10 million) and closed at 5pm each day and accounts were settime (4 – 40 months) to obtain a banking license1. tled overnight. These systems were therefore built around “batch proThe new players cesses” that could run at will gain market The digital banking specified intervals. Today’s share from the landscape of the business models are trying existing providers future will include to provide customers with in three years, 24/7 access to up to date potentially 20 % of both incumbents and new information and therefore US lending will be players, all serving the need to operate as “realthrough alternative customer anywhere, anytime time” systems. Changing providers.2 Howthe underlying infrastrucever, they will not ture is time consuming and costly and, since the replace them – the incumbents have legacy cusadvent of the iPhone (which made real time much tomers and the ability to invest in new customer more of a necessity), banks have also been reactacquisition. They are also investing in innovation ing to the financial crisis with most of their availand they are partnering with the new providers able investment costs being spent on regulatory (for example BBVA’s investment in Atom bank). driven changes. The digital banking landscape of the future will include both incumbents and new players, all While the incumbent banks focus on how to serving the customer anywhere, anytime. transform their legacy systems, developed in the pre-digital era, a plethora of fintech start-ups have emerged. These typically focus on a single Figure 2: Fintech start-ups product offering and have a digital enabled archiby product category tecture at their core. They have created a new financial services marketplace, often leveraging a peer-to-peer approach – allowing savers and borrowers to transact through an app or website and without the traditional banking infrastructure. Zopa launched in 2004, providing peer to peer lending, Wonga in 2008 with online loans and the UK’s first digital bank Atom gaining 1 Source: thefinanser.com I 2 Source: Goldman Sachs Page 1 payments 5 Insight. Opinion. Contactless payments at leading retailers: Germany still lags behind Thomas Grohnert Principal Kalle Dunkel Senior Associate Contactless payment acceptance at leading retailshop without integration in in-store systems. This ers in Germany continues to be the exception. Just kind of setup is only found at one in ten of the large under a third (30 %) enable contactless payments UK retailers. This is a clear indication to us that a via smartphone, credit degree of uncertainty card or wearables like about the expected cusWe already know of smartwatches and bra tomer behavior prevails celets. In contrast, in the at the German mermultiple merchants United Kingdom the figchants. The investthat intend to introduce both ure is already at 63 %. In ments in fully integrated credit card and contactless addition, both markets omni-channel retailing differ strongly with systems are avoided, at acceptance in 2016 regard to the offered the same time they do smartphone apps. These and more results are not want to miss the trend completely. shown in our recent white paper, in which the payHowever, these limited solutions lack true cusment acceptance and mobile services of 60 major tomer value. The study shows 43 % of large retailers in the UK and Germany are compared. All of the analysed UK merchants accept credit cards, while about 27 % of the merchants in Germany accept only cash and debit cards and no credit cards. This number would be even higher if not for the fact that the big discounters such as Aldi, Lidl and Netto introduced credit card acceptance in the past year. However, we already know of multiple merchants that intend to introduce both credit card and contactless acceptance in 2016. Payment acceptance and Mobile Services: innovators are ready for omni-channel retail In addition to payment acceptance, the smartphone apps of the largest retailers were analysed in the white paper. We determined maturity levels for both areas and determined from the results how advanced the individual companies are. About one third of the analysed merhants in Germany can be categorised as innovators who offer their customers both at least credit card payments as well as mobile services that integrate into the in-store systems or even payments via their apps (10 %). In the UK 46 % of companies surveyed already have set up their apps in this way to be optimised for omni-channel retail (Payment apps: 13 %). Another third of Germany's leading merchant accept credit cards but limit their own apps to simple services such as a mobile version of the online retailers in the UK have no dedicated native app while in Germany this number is at 27 %. Among the innovators in Germany we see for example Douglas, Edeka, Obi and Media Markt. The spectrum is therefore relatively wide across industries. Also in the follower group, we find companies from almost all sectors of retail. A complete lack of apps can be observed for large furniture discounters. We expect the German merchants to follow the example we have seen in the UK and over time to upgrade their mobile services to enable omni-channel retail or to drop their own native apps all together. Figure 1: Analysed merchants per maturity level in % 63 % 43 % 37 % 27 % 30 % GER 0% 0% 0% UK 0 1 2 3 Cash only Debit cards Credit cards Contactless (card, phone, wearable) Figure 2: Analysed merchants per maturity level in % 43 % 33 % 33 % 27 % 23 % 7% 10 % 7% 3% 13 % GER UK 0 1 2 3 4 No app Pure content Online services via app Interaction with store system Proximity payment Page 1 payments 6 Insight. Opinion. Conclusion INNOVALUE White Paper Through the combined evaluation of payments In the white paper "Merchant payment acceptance acceptance and mobile VAS we believe that both and mobile services: A reality check at large merthe innovation focus (Innovators and First Movers) chants in Germany and the UK" INNOVALUE analand the core business focus (Player without mobile yses payment options and customer apps of offerings) are valid approaches. The “stuck in the 60 large retailers in Germany and the UK in seven middle position” (Follower) should be avoided. verticals (food, DIY & gardening, fashion & clothOffering pure online sering, department store, vices via an app alone, personal care, consumer without true gains for Pure online services electronics, furniture & the consumer, is not decoration). The compavia an app alone, instrumental in achievnies studied have a maring business success in without true gains for the ket share of 50 % (UK) retail. or 37 % (D). consumer, is not instrumental in achieving business success in retail Please visit the publications section at www.INNOVALUE.com if you are interested in reading the full report. Page 1 payments 7 Insight. Opinion. Public market valuations and the market environment Markus Massem the Eurozone economy. Also further rate hikes of the Federal Reserve are currently seen as less likely, even though increases in rates can be seen Stocks have seen a rough start into 2016 as meanas a sign that the economy is thought to improve. ingful slides occurred globally following what was The great majority of public companies in our a strong year 2015. The S&P 500 lost 7 % and the payments universe (see end of article for compoSTOXX 600 13 % over the last sition) have ended up three months. The declines lower at the end of the The great majority were driven by a number of three month period of companies in factors, including concerns (with only 5 out of 21 our payments over global growth prospects. stocks posting gains). universe have ended up The growth of the Chinese The correction in the economy in 2015 was the market at the beginlower at the end of the three lowest since 1990, but a US ning of the year was month period, with the recession is currently not one of the main drivers correction in the market at seen as likely. Other imporfor this overall decline, the beginning of the year tant factors that have been in addition to company pushing markets downwards being one of the main drivers specific events. Since include the movement of oil the beginning of the for the decline prices and concerns about the year, only 6 out of the general health of European banks. Some relief 21 stocks are still in positive territory. The overall came from the minutes of the ECB's January payment index is down by 11 % over the past three meeting, which reinforced a possibility that policy months and 7 % since the beginning of the year. makers will enact further stimulus measures for The acceptance bucket lost 15 % over the three months period. Global Payments, which was The payments universe (alphabetical order): among the strongest performers in the accepAcceptance: First Data Corp, Global Payments, tance bucket in 2015, has lost 17 % in market Ingenico, PayPoint, Vantiv, Verifone, WorldPay value over the past 3 months. The company’s Processing: Cielo, Euronet Worldwide, FIS, share price has declined continuously since the Fiserv, Total System Services (TSYS) announcement of the acquisition of Heartland PSP/Online payments: PayPal, Paysafe, Wirecard Payments at USD 100 a share in cash and stock Issuing/Prepaid solutions: FleetCor, Green Dot, WEX on December 15th. Ingenico tumbled 12 % after Schemes: American Express, MasterCard, Visa JPMorgan downgraded the company following Sources: Innovalue research and company filings; the release of 2015 results. Margin guidance for Google Finance for share price data 2016 was weak at 21 % compared to the 23.3 % Manager consensus estimate and the 23.1 % the company delivered in 2015. Vantiv is one of the few shares that gained since the beginning of the year but is still down 3 % over the last 3 months. Following its IPO at USD 16 a share on October 15th of last year, First Data has lost 30 % of market value, with most of the decline occurring in February, even dipping below USD 10 in early February. The company issued Q4 results which missed estimates on earnings, posting a loss, but beat revenue estimates. WorldPay on the other hand has been able to post gains since its IPO on the 13th of October, gaining 27 % when compared to the offering price of 240p. Earning reports for 2015 will be published in early March. The comparables within the processing bucket lost about 13 % over the last three months. Cielo was one of the underperformers, as Brazil's largest card payment processor missed fourth-quarter profit estimates due to rising costs and expenses, more than offsetting robust card processing revenues. Euronet plunged upon the release of earnings, as the company narrowly missed the consensus estimate on earnings and revenue came in short of expectations. Fiserv was the only stock to gain over the 3 months period, rising 1 %. The comparables within the PSP and online payments category gained about 4 % over the last three months. Paysafe demonstrated the strongest gains in share price, jumping 16 % throughout that period. The company is reporting results in mid-March but issued a statement in early 2016, expecting full-year results to be ahead of market expectations, helped by strong growth across its product lines, particularly in its North American 110 105 100 95 90 85 80 75 17.11.15 Acceptance 01.12.15 Processing 15.12.15 PSP/Online payments 29.12.15 Issuing/Prepaid 12.01.16 Schemes 26.01.16 09.02.16 S&P 500 Figure 1: Indexed stock price performance last 3 months February 18th 2016 Page 1 payments 8 Insight. Opinion. processing business. Wirecard AG lost 3 % over the last three months while PayPal soared upon the release of fourth quarter earnings, reporting better-than-expected quarterly revenue. The main drivers behind the revenue were the surge in processing volumes as well as new customer additions, with the company acquiring more customers in the fourth quarter of 2015 than any quarter in the company's history. PayPal also announced a buyback of USD 2 billion of its stock. The comparables of the issuing / prepaid solutions bucket lost about 9 % over the last three months, with WEX and Fleetcor posting share price losses and only Green Dot posting gains. WEX is near a three year low as the company gave a weak Q1 and 2016 outlook. Green Dot posted gains, however, this is partially based on speculation regarding a potential sale of the company. Lastly, the trading comparables within the schemes bucket lost a total of 15 % over the last 3 months. American Express lost 25 % of market value over the period while MasterCard and Visa lost 12 % and 10 % respectively. American Express announced its plan to cut costs by USD 1 billion over the next two years. The company’s plan will include layoffs and streamlining divisions such as marketing. Chief Marketing Officer John Hayes will leave the company. Visa reported earnings of 69 cents per share, beating estimates of 68 cents but fell slightly short of revenue expectations with reported revenue of USD 3.57 billion against the estimate of USD 3.61 billion. MasterCard was also slightly short of meeting its revenue expectations, but surpassed its earnings expectations for the fourth quarter of its fiscal year 2015. 70 % 60 % 62.8 % 61.4 % 50 % 46.4 % 40 % 36.5 % 30 % 29.6 % 20 % 23.9 % 21.8 % 26.0 % 23.8 % 28.5 % 26.2 % 15.5 % 10 % 7.1 % 6.5 % 2.4 % 0 % Revenue growth CY 14-15 Ebitda margin CY 14 Ebitda margin CY 15 Figure 2: Payments universe operational metrics as of February 18th 2016 30.0x 25.0x 24.8 20.0x 20.0 17.6 15.0x 14.2 10.0x 9.9 9.7 6.4 5.0x 3.4 4.3 4.0 0.0x EV/Rev CY 14 2.5 4.2 5.2 16.3 15.4 12.9 10.8 10.5 8.6 3.8 EV/Rev CY 15 EV/EBITDA CY 14 EV/EBITDA CY 15 Figure 3: Payments universe trading multiples as of February 18th 2016 Acceptance Processing PSP/Online payments Issuing/Prepaid Schemes Page 1 payments 9 Insight. Opinion. M&A Activity Apostolos Psaras Associate Philipp Steinbrück Associate The last quarter of 2015 showed a new peek in M&A activities within the payment industry. A total of 49 transactions have been reported with a total disclosed volume of USD 31.9 billion. Among those deals Visa Inc.’s acquisition of Visa Europe stands out, aiming to improve its competitive positioning and the acquisition of Wincor Nixdorf by Diebold, focusing to improve cost efficiency. Additionally, there have been a range of deals driven by the desire to obtain access to new technologies such as the block chain. M&A activity and deal characteristics A total of 49 M&A transactions were announced in the fourth quarter of 2015. This represents a 36 % increase over the 36 deals announced in the same period of 2014. The financial terms of 18 transactions, with a total volume of USD 31.9 billion, were disclosed. The substantial increase in deal activities and deal volume in the last 12 months reflects the growing maturity of the payment landscape. The deal value of Q4 was heavily driven by the acquisition of Visa Europe by its former parent company Visa Inc. for USD 23.1 billion. The underlying enterprise value was 61.8x profit before tax. The rationale behind the deal is Visa Inc.’s goal to improve its competitive position in Europe and regain control over formerly owned subsidiaries. Visa is targeting savings of USD 200 million from the deal in 2020. Moreover, Visa aims to streamline its investment efforts in technology assets. It is expected that Visa Europe will increase the rates currently charged to banks such as Barclays and Lloyds, which previously owned Visa Europe. Such rate increases are likely to affect MasterCard’s competitive positioning and might thereby be beneficial to other issuers. It will be interesting to see how Visa will reposition itself in the near future towards its customers and users. The median EBITDA-multiple from 2014 to 2015 decreased, from 14.7x to 13.1x. The median revenue multiple from 2014 to 2015 increased by 25 %, from 2.8x to 3.5x. Global Payments’ acquisition of Heartland Payment Systems, valued at USD 3.7 billion, equates to a multiple of 20.4x EBITDA or 1.6x revenue. The acquisition of GI Retail by Wirecard equates to a multiple of 19.9x EBITDA or 7.5x revenue. WEX’s acquisition of Ozforex for USD 629 million equates to a multiple of 15.9x EBITDA or 6.3x revenue The enterprise/ revenue multiple for WEX’s USD 1.5 billion acquisition of Electronic Funds is 10.0x. Geographically, 49 % of the targets were based in North America (2014: 46 %), followed by 33 % in Europe (2014: 35 %) and 8 % in Asia/Pacific (2014: 7 %). In a year on year comparison North America gained importance while Europe “slowed down” in comparison. However, the overall attractiveness of the payment market seems to maintain its momentum and the overall trend to expand into new geographic areas by engaging in inorganic growth strategies does not seem to have slowed down. The acquisition of India based Gi Retail by German based payment solutions provider Wirecard was mainly driven by the goal to continue the expansion into the Asian market. The acquisition continues Wirecard’s broad international expansion, being one of the most active investors in 2015. A similar strategy was followed for example by FundingCircle, a UK based P2P small business lending circle, which acquired German based Zencap in order to expand its business in central Europe. M&A Market development 49 46 35 30 38 36 25 39 31.9 In Q4 2015 we saw an overall growth in the number and volume of M&A transactions compared to the previous quarters. Similar to the first half of the 2015, ‘payment acceptance devices’ represented the most active segment of M&A activities. While in H1 of 2015 about 19 transactions in payment acceptance devices & software took place, 40 30 20 15 20 14.1 10 5 2.4 0 2014 Q4 10 3.6 1.6 3.6 2014 Q1 Number of transactions 0 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 Disclosed value [USD billion] Figure 1: Value and volume comparsion Median enterprise value multiples 14.5 16x 14.7 14x 12x 10x 13.1 9.5 8x 6x 3.7 4x 2.8 3.5 2x 2012 2013 Revenue Multiple 2014 2015 Ebitda multiple Figure 2: Median value, revenue, Ebitda Target by region 6 % 2 % 2 % 2015 2014 8 % Key drivers of and rationale for M&A activity Overall, the emerging payment companies and closely related alternative financial institutions continue to become a serious threat to the traditional banking institutions. This trend fuels investors’ willingness to invest and acquire growing payment players and scale operations across national borders. 50 Number of transactions Senior Associate Disclosed value [USD billion] Robert Kayser 49 % 33 % North America Europe Asia Middle East, Africa (MEA) Australia South America Figure 3: 2014-2015 funding comparsion Page 1 payments 10 Insight. Opinion. we saw an astonishing increase of 72 %, totalling in 31 transactions in H2 of 2015. Next to our current growth segments we also saw consolidation in more mature segments such as Issuing and ATMs. The main drivers to engage in mergers and acquisitions were to achieve synergies and improve international footprint. The global trend away from cash payments towards card based/mobile based payments creates pressure on the traditional ATM business. German Wincor Nixdorf, currently No. 3 in the world, succumbed to the pressure and was sold to the American ATM producer Diebold, currently No. 2. Wincor Nixdorf and Diebold aim to achieve cost savings of USD 160 million by streamlining operations. Additionally, the merger will strengthen the merged companies’ global reach, particular in North and South America as well as Europe. We saw a range of mergers and acquisitions aiming to increase the competitive positioning of the company and/or gain competence in emerging technologies. US based Emida Technologies bought Quippi in the beginning of October for an undisclosed amount with the aim to enhance its portfolio by a money transfer solution. Flywire bought Uni-pay with a similar aim, enhancing peer transfer in its customer offer. Another company growing through mergers and acquisitions was Heartland, one of America’s largest payment processing companies. Heartland acquired Digital Dining, a provider of restaurants POS, at the end of October 2015. Through the acquisition Heartland aims to increase its national reach. Later in Q4 Heartland was bought by Global Payments. The move comes as Global Payments is expanding its reach into the SME segment and aims to foster the vertical integration of the company. In Q4 there have been two major IPOs which were expected by investors and have been a serious market test for the currently high market valuations. Firstly, there was First Data, which was taken off the New York Stock Exchange in 2007 as one of largest leveraged buyouts in history by KKR. During that time the company reshaped itself aiming to offer payment solutions to SMEs and fostering its interaction with clients. The IPO was priced at USD 16, valuing the firm at USD 14 billon. However, First Data reduced its IPO price substantially before going public. Though shares were initially targeted to be offered between USD 18 and USD 20 the firm reduced the share price to USD 16. This move was reasoned by heavy market volatility mainly caused from a heavy stock devaluation in the Chinese market during H2 of 2015. The rationale behind the move is First Data’s need to reduce its debt load, currently reducing the firm’s profitability and the pressure on KKR to bring returns to its investors and reduce its exposure to its largest asset. Since its IPO the share price of First Data dropped by nearly 26 % from USD 16 to USD 11.86 (19.02.2016). backbone of the crypto currency Bitcoin (which we already analysed in our last issue). The block chain technology generally represents the potential to reduce complexity and costs in the clearing and settlement process and offers a range of applications in data storing and currency transfers. Because of its tremendous potential impact on the financial industry the block chain gained not only attention from the media but also from investors and even larger banking institutions such as BBVA, Bank of America and Goldman Sachs. For example Blockstack, an US based company offering “blockThe second major IPO was Square. The company, chain-as-a-service” to financial institutions, was which has not made money so far, has been valued bought by Digital Asset Holding from the USA. at around USD 6 billion This acquisition was in the last Series E funddriven by Digital Asset’s The global trend ing round. The IPO price goal to offer a block away from cash was set at USD 9 per chain solution to its clipayments towards share, valuing the coment base and enhance pany at around USD 2.9 its product portfolio by card based/mobile based billion or more than this technology. Blockpayments creates pressure on stack benefits from 50 % (!) below the last the traditional ATM business financing round. This Digital Asset’s platform lower price tag was set and client base and as managers of larger mutual funds and hedge aims to expand its technology and product range funds appeared to view Square’s completion as within the new entity. stronger than initially thought of. The “Clover Go”, a credit card reader that can be plugged into a For 2016 we are optimistic that the payment indussmartphone was introduced by First Data and try will remain in important driver for M&A. It will might affect the market share of Square in the be of high interest to see whether emerging techfuture. Though the share rose to over USD 13 per nologies, such as the block chain or the increasing share in November (23.11.2015) the price dropped use of mobile wallets, will substantially change the to USD 9.97 (-23 % as of 19.02.2016). business model of traditional financial institutions. The slump in the market at the beginning of 2016 A comparably small but interesting deal from a has made many investors nervous and put potenGerman perspective was the acquisition of PAY.ON tial capital market measures temporary on ice. by ACI for USD 200 million in November 2015. Nevertheless, there are still rumours about the PAY.ON is a German based eCommerce payment eventual IPO of Alibaba’s finance arm which owns gateway service provider while ACI is a global AliPay and is considered as the “PayPal of the operating provider of electronic payments and East”. If filled for going public it could become one bank solutions. PAY.ON offers more than 300 payof the biggest IPOs seen for a long time. ment methods over its SaaS platforms and is connected to 160 banks. Through the white label Sources: Bloomberg, Financial Times, Mergerstat, product PaySourcing PAY.ON’s eCommerce cusMergermarket, Nilson, Reuters, company publications tomers can outsource payment and risk management processes or purchase them via the cloud. Through the acquisition, ACI gained access to those valuable capabilities and can enhance its product offering in the eCommerce space. A technology that has gained momentum in the overall H2 of 2015 was block chain which is the Page 1 payments Insight. Opinion. 11 Venture Capital Stefan Thomalla Investment Trends While the number of deals decreased only slightly Payment acceptance devices and software’ held in comparison to Q2 2015 (11 deals), the financing onto the number one spot for the largest number of volume declined by more than 50 %. Nigerian Edoardo Cenci funding rounds with a total of 17 and a disclosed Paga, founded in 2009, obtained the segment’s Associate volume of USD 157.0 million. This indicates consislargest funding (USD 13.0 million, Series B). The tent interest in the sector. Similarly to the previous company’s mobile app allows users to send money Funding Activity quarter, ‘payment acceptance devices and softto any mobile phone number and consents the In the last quarter of 2015, 48 funding rounds were ware’ was the largest category in terms of beneficiary to redeem the payment at any Paga recorded, accounting for a total disclosed volume number of deals and size (with three out of the top agent across Nigeria or ATM via cardless withof USD 345.5 which four funding rounds). drawal. Due to a rather low card penetration within split into USD 334.3 Nevertheless, the averthe African continent, this money transfer option Although this quarter’s million in equity and age value of funding appears promising in applicability. funding activity USD 11.2 million in debt declined, reporting only financing. Although this Although only 1 funding round was closed in the exceeded the previous one very large funding: quarter’s funding actiiZettle (provider of a ‘acquiring’ segment, with an amount of USD 72.0 by 23 % regarding the number vity exceeded the premobile POS solutions), million, Australian based Tyro Payments raised the of deals closed, the total vious by 23 % re gar who raised USD 68.2 largest funding of fourth quarter, making the segding the number of million in a Series D fun ment the second largest by the financial volume in (disclosed) volume decreased deals closed, the total ding from Intel Capital, Q4. The funding round was led by Tiger Global by approximately 27 %. (disclosed) volume deZouk Capital LLP, CreManagement, supported by Mike Cannon-Brookes creased by approximately 27 %. As a consequence, andum, Dawn Capital, Index Ventures, MCI Capital and TDM Asset Management. Tyro Payments, the funding volume per round, with an average of SA and Northzone. The size of the deal is particuwhich has inked a partnership with PayPal in June USD 7.2 million, decreased by an astounding 40 % larly notable since 2015, is a merchant ‘Payment acceptance credit, debit and EFTPOS compared to the previous quarter. iZettle raised another devices and software’ acquiring company. considerably large fun Funding Activity by Region ding two months earheld onto the number lier (USD 67.0 million, Similarly to the trend North & Central America 21 one spot for the largest August 2015). The two seen throughout the year, Asia 11 number of funding rounds with lead investors have ‘money transfer’ was the Europe 11 been again Intel Capithird largest segment by a total of 17 and a disclosed Oceania 3 tal and Zouk Capital the number of deals in Africa 2 volume of USD 157.0 million LLP. The remaining the last quarter of 2015. Total 48 deals were comparatively smaller in size (the secChinese Chillr, raised USD 7.0 million in Series A ond largest deal was USD 28.0 million for Poynt). funding from Uniqorn Ventures, Blume Ventures North America continues to lead the field (by and Sequoia Capital. The subsidiary of Indian Funding Activity by Segment number of deals) and accounts for almost half of MobME Wireless allows P2P and P2B money Payment acceptance devices + 17 the disclosed funding rounds. However, European transfers. Software based payment FinTechs, with 11 funding rounds, Alternative payment systems 10 dominated in terms of financial volume. Out of USD 345.5 million, USD 101.6 million were raised Money transfer 8 in Europe, making it by total financial volume the Issuing 4 biggest winner of this quarter. Asia continues to Security 3 secure a place among the top three continents, Processing 2 with a total amount of 11 deals (USD 57.9 million). Other 2 Oceania reported a total of 3 funding rounds, Data analytics 1 around a 6 per cent share. However, due to the Acquiring 1 largest funding of the quarter, Oceania finished second, with a total funding volume of USD 77.8 Total 48 million. Just two funding rounds were closed in Africa in the fourth quarter of 2015. South America Based on the number of deals, ‘alternative paydid not report payment FinTech funding in the last ment systems’ was the second largest funding segquarter of 2015. ment of the last quarter of 2015 with 10 deals. Associate Page 1 payments 12 Insight. Opinion. Looking back to the whole year, the three largest fundings were concluded in the first half of the year. US based Affirm led the entire Venture Capital field with a total funding of USD 275.0 million from Spark Capital (lead investor), Andreessen Horowitz, Jefferies Group, Khosla Ventures and Lightspeed Venture Partners. The main product of Affirm is an alternative credit card that allows customers to pay installment loans for online purchases in three months to a year. Half of the top ten fundings are raised by companies that provide payment acceptance devices and Largest deals (financial volume in USD million) Affirm 275 WorldRemit 100 Coinbase 75 Tyro Payments 72 iZettle 68 iZettle 67 GMO Internet 65 LightSpeed software. A total of USD 321.0 million were raised, making the segment the second largest in 2015 behind ‘alternative payment systems’ (USD 350.0 million). 61 Shopkeep 60 TransferWise 58 Conclusion Overall, 2015’s Q4 represented a reasonably strong end of the year with investments that showed geographic diversity and a range of investment focuses. Nevertheless, the most distinctive segments received similarly high attention throughout the whole year and it can be expected that this trend will remain in 2016. Page 1 payments 13 Insight. Opinion. DEAL Activity M&A Q4 2015 Date Announced Target Company Country TC Industry Buyer(s) (Country) Country Transaction value (USDm) 1 01/10/15 Uni-Pay United Kingdom Provides tuition processing services Flywire USA N/D 2 06/10/15 FlowPay USA Provides a mobile payment technology platform AppTech USA N/D 3 06/10/15 Quippi USA Provides international money transfer services Emida Technologies USA N/D 4 06/10/15 Precidia Technologies Canada Premier provider of integrated payment solutions Merchant-Link USA N/D 5 12/10/15 Odysii Technologies Israel Provides software solutions for marketing intelligence at the point of sale Gilbarco USA N/D 6 13/10/15 Curb USA Manufactures and distributes software applications for mobile travel management Verifone USA N/D 7 15/10/15 mCash Norway Provides mobile payment solutions SpareBank 1 Norway N/D 8 15/10/15 Benaissance USA Provides software based billing and payment solutions WEX USA 80 9 16/10/15 Tab Payments Canada Operates as mobile payments application for tastemaker diners Velocity United Kingdom N/D 10 19/10/15 MyPAY Myanmar Provides a mobile payment system fastacash Singapore N/D 11 19/10/15 Advanced Payment Systems USA Provides processing services Payscout USA N/D 12 19/10/15 Electronic Funds Source USA Provides payment processing services WEX USA 1,500 13 20/10/15 Zencap Germany Provides small- and medium-sized companies with a financing option FundingCircle United Kingdom N/D 14 21/10/15 Zwitch India Provides online payment, recurring billing, and mobile inapp payment services Citrus Payment Solutions India N/D 15 21/10/15 LePotCommun.fr France Owns and operates online communal fund S-money France N/D 16 27/10/15 Gi Retail India Provides payment processing services Wirecard Germany 376 17 29/10/15 Blockstack USA Digital Asset Holdings USA N/D 18 30/10/15 Digital Dining USA Offers a “blockchain-as-a-service” to enable financial institutions to develop applications on a private blockchain Provides a point-of-sale solution for the hospitality industry Heartland Payment Systems USA N/D 19 02/11/15 Shopmium France Provides mobile shopping services Quotient Technology USA N/D 20 03/11/15 VISA Europe United Kingdom Provides visa credit and debit cards Visa USA 23,100 21 03/11/15 Gazelle USA Offers an online electronics trade-in service Outerwall USA 18 22 04/11/15 Exatouch USA Provides cloud-hybrid point of sale software solutions Electronic Payments USA N/D 23 04/11/15 PAY.ON Germany Provides payment technologies for service providers in global trade ACI Worldwide USA 200 24 09/11/15 InterCard Germany Provides processing of cashless payments with banking, credit and store cards Verifone USA N/D 25 11/11/15 Zoom-Cash (Legal Funding Payment System Business) USA Provides legal funding payment services Necessity Funding Partners USA N/D 26 18/11/15 Product Support Solutions USA Provides technical solutions and innovative products Eckoh USA 8 27 19/11/15 Ozforex Australia Provides foreign exchange services Western Union USA 629 Page 1 payments 14 Insight. Opinion. Date Announced Target Company Country TC Industry Buyer(s) (Country) Country Transaction value (USDm) 28 19/11/15 SEOshop Netherlands Provides e-commerce solutions Lightspeed POS Canada N/D 29 19/11/15 Uncover United Kingdom Provides a mobile application that provides restaurant reservation Velocity United Kingdom N/D 30 19/11/15 Didix Netherlands Distributes electronic digital gift cards & box sets Blackhawk Network USA 41 31 23/11/15 Wincor Nixdorf Germany Provides information technology solutions and services for retail banks and retail industry Diebold USA 1,756 32 23/11/15 Fintrax Ireland Provides multicurrency payment services Eurazeo France 335 33 24/11/15 Acquirer Systems Ireland Provides testing software and validation tools to the global payment industry Underwriters Laboratories USA N/D 34 25/11/15 Playerize Network Canada Provides alternative payments and virtual rewards Perk.com USA 3 35 30/11/15 Paypoint United Kingdom Provides online payment processing services Capita United Kingdom 20 36 30/11/15 Corona Labs USA Operates a cloud-based mobile rewards platform Perk.com USA 2 37 01/12/15 Calpian (US assets) USA Provides payment processing solutions Excel USA N/D 38 02/12/15 Social Money USA Provides digital deposit saving Q2 USA 11 39 03/12/15 PayLogic Germany Payment and administrative solution for venues entry ticket sales and handling Direct Connect USA N/D 40 06/12/15 Near.in India Connects users with local businesses for home services through a marketplace application Paytm India 2 41 08/12/15 AirTag France Provides mobile shopping solutions, in-store systems and secure payment applications Morpho France N/D 42 09/12/15 Circle Plus USA Tarsin Mobile USA N/D 43 10/12/15 Trustev Ireland Mobile app enabling merchants to accept credit card and Bitcoin payments (scans the credit card and processes payments) Offers solutions to decrease fraud in the ecommerce space TransUnion USA 44 44 14/12/15 Diners Club Japan Japan Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Japan N/D 45 15/12/15 Heartland Payment Systems USA Scheme that offers users (members) a variety of payment solutions as well as benefits and exclusive offers Provides bankcard payment processing services to merchants Global Payments USA 3,696 46 22/12/15 Stratos Card USA Provides a all-in-one payment card Ciright One USA N/D 47 23/12/15 CashU United Arab Emirates Provides a payment platform for e-commerce Genero Capital United Arab Emirates N/D 48 28/12/15 Payzone UK United Kingdom Consumer payments acceptance network Grovepoint Capital United Kingdom 52 49 30/12/15 Mobiltek Poland Offers mobile payment services EuroVentures Poland N/D Page 1 payments 15 Insight. Opinion. Venture Capital Activity & Company Profiles Q4 2015 Target (Country) Round Investor(s) A Volume (USDm) 7.00 Description Sequoia Capital Funding (USDm) 7.50 1 Chillr (CN) 2 Coinplug (KR) B 5.00 SBI Investment 8.30 Coinplus is a provider of secure Bitcoin storage and payment processing. 3 Paga (NG) B 13.00 Adlevo Capital, Capricorn Investment Group, Goodwell West Africa, Omidyar Network 13.00 Nigeria based paga provides a solution that allows clients to use their phone as an electronic wallet. 4 Ripple Labs (US) A 4.00 CME Group, Santander Innoventures, Seagate 38.40 The peer-to-peer and virtual currency protocol Ripple can be used globally to make transactions in any available currency. 5 Spreedly (US) A 2.50 N/D 4.70 Spreedly a cloud-based credit card vault that allows users to work with multiple payment gateways simultaneously. 6 HonkMobile (CA) Seed 2.26 Impression Ventures 2.26 HonkMobile enables drivers to pay for a parking spot with their mobile phones; credit card is automatically billed and a receipt is sent via email. 7 Olpays (UK) Seed 0.05 N/D 0.05 United Kingdom based Olpays offers a multiple device payment and collection platform. 8 Toast (US) Debt 2.95 N/D 2.95 Toast is a tablet POS app for restaurants, cafes, and other businesses in the food service and hospitality industry. 9 iZettle (SE) D 68.23 244.04 Swedish iZettle offers mobile payment solutions, with a range of portable POS and free sales overview tools. 10 Zwipe (NO) B 5.00 Intel Capital, Zouk Capital LLP, Creandum, Dawn Capital, Index Ventures, MCI Capital SA, Northzone Photon Future 8.50 Norway based Zwipe offers a fingerprint reader for contactless payment cards. 11 Payfone (US) Debt 5.50 Relay Ventures 45.50 Payfone provides a secure mobile authentication solution. 12 Poynt (US) B 28.00 Oak HC/FT, Matrix Partners, Nyca Partners, The Stanford StartX Fund, Webb Investment Network 28.00 Poynt offers a payment terminal solution for merchants using a multitude of acceptance hardware, e.g tablets, PCs, and mobile phone. 13 Citrus Payments (IN) C 25.00 Ascent Capital, Sequoia Capital, Econtext Asia and Beenos Asia 32.30 Citrus Payments provides online and mobile payment solutions for merchants and consumers. 14 Wave Crest Group (UK) E 14.00 Vesuvius Ventures 32.93 Wave Crest Group offers a platform that enables the development, integration and operation of prepaid card programs. 15 Pin Payments (AU) A 3.10 Vix Investments 3.10 Pin Payments is provider of an API for accepting credit card payments online in multiple currencies. 16 WB21 (US) Seed 2.27 Gastauer Family Office 2.94 United States based WB21 enables cross border payments and account opening in 18 currencies. 17 SlimTrader (US) A 1.00 Interswitch Inc. 1.00 SlimTrader is a provider of a solution, that allows consumers to purchase goods and services with their mobile devices. 18 SoftPay Mobile (HK) A 1.00 Life.SREDA 1.00 Provides mobile POS solution, that enables businesses and individuals to accept credit cards, debit cards, loyalty cards, etc. 19 Cookies App (DE) Seed 1.60 1.60 German Cookies App is a provider of a P2P payments solution, that allows clients to send and receive money with their smartphones. 20 FinTecSystems (DE) Seed Benedikt Lehnert, Chad Fowler, Dennis Bemmann, Ehssan Darini, HV Holtzbrinck ventures, Raffael Johnen, Steen Kiedel Heilemann Ventures 21 Zeepay (GH) Seed 0.20 N/D 0.20 Ghana based Zeepay provides a mobile wallet for the unbanked as well as banked population. 22 Align Commerce (US) A 12.50 12.50 Enable businesses and payment platforms to send and receive payments in local currency using the blockchain. 23 CARD.com (US) C 9.00 Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers, Digital Currency Group, Fenway Summer LLC, Pantera Capital, Recruit Venture Partners Fenway Summer Ventures, Growth Capital Strategy 12.00 United Stated CARD.com provides a prepaid payment card with personalized graphics. 24 Peppermint Innovation (AU) N/D 2.70 N/D 25 Goodbox (IN) A 2.50 Nexus Venture Partners 2.70 Goodbox is a chat application that allow customers to buy goods directly from businesses. 26 iBox (IN) Seed 1.30 ESN Group, Inventure Partners 4.80 iBox is a provider of a mPOS solution, that enables debit and credit card payments through smart phones or tablets. 27 Prepaid Financial Services (UK) N/D 3.80 N/D 3.80 Prepaid Financial Services is an e-money institution that specialises in prepaid card issuing, acquiring and providing alternative banking solutions. Chillr provides a mobile app that allows P2P and P2B money transfers. FinTecSystems offers data analytics and customized solutions for banks, financial services and payment processors. Peppermint Innovation offers a comprehensive mobile banking, payments and remittance platform. Page 1 payments 16 Insight. Opinion. Target (Country) Round Volume (USDm) Investor(s) Funding (USDm) 28 ScramCard (HK) Seed 29 Tyro Payments (AU) Venture 72.00 Tiger Global Management, Mike Cannon-Brookes, TDM Asset Management 103.59 Tyro Paymenrs is an independent acquirer, offering an EFTPOS facility processing credit, debit, gift, loyalty and Medicare cards. 30 Bee (US) Venture 4.60 FundersGuild 4.60 Bee provides bank accounts, debit cards and financial services. 31 Keypair (KR) B 5.00 N/D 5.00 South Korean Keypair issues NFC enabled cards with an one time password authentication via smartphones. 32 Clip (MX) A 8.00 Alta Ventures Mexico, American Express Ventures, Angel Ventures, Mexico Ventures, Sierra Ventures 8.00 Clip is a provider of a mPOS solution. 33 Rippleshot (US) Seed 1.20 SixThirty - FinTech Accelerator 1.20 United States based Rippleshot offers credit and debit card fraud detection technology. 34 Purse.io (US) Seed 1.00 Digital Currency Group,TA Ventures 1.30 Purse.io offers a solution that enables bitcoins payments for customers. 35 Paynear (IN) Seed 2.50 Mitesh Majithia 2.50 Paynear is a payment solution provider, that enables individuals & businesses of all sizes to easily manage their card payments. 36 Curve (UK) Seed 2.00 Ed Wray, London Co-investment Fund, Ricky Knox, Seedcamp, Speedinvest, Taavet Hinrikus 2.00 Curve offers an all in one card, the enables customers to consolidate all existing cards and accounts in one card with just one PIN. 37 TabbedOut (US) C 2.00 Alterna Capital Partners 41.01 38 TransferGo (UK) Seed 2.50 Mark Ransford, Clive Kahn, Practica Capital, Richard Tudor, Voria Fattahi 2.50 Tabbedout eases the consumer (mobile) payment process within bars or restaurants, enabling the user to view and pay his tab through a mobile app. TransferGo offers online money transfer to send money abroad for migrants and businesses. 39 Gastrofix (DE) A 4.00 Entree Capital 4.00 German Gastrofix is a provider of an iPad POS-system for restaurant and hotels. 40 DotDashPay (US) Debt 0.25 Pejman Mar Ventures 0.25 DotDashPay offers a hardware and software platform that enables merchants to analyze and control their entire payments. 41 PayJoy (US) Debt 1.00 N/D 3.30 PayJoy offers a solution that allows customers to pay up-front purchases with monthly installments. 42 Streami Inc (KR) Seed 2.00 Bluepoint Partners, iCB, Shinhan Bank, TIPS 2.00 Streami provides a remittance platform that uses the blockchain technology. 43 The PayPro (UK) Seed 0.45 0.45 United Kingdom based The PayPro offers a payment platform for SMEs in 25 currencies in order to avoid banks charges. 44 DipJar (US) Seed 2.40 Idodi Venture Capital, Angel Garcia, Carlos Blanco, Carlos Guerrero, Daniel Lacalle, Didac Lee, Lanta Capital Holdings, Marc Vidal, Mauricio Prieto, Tomas Diago Bolt, Charge Ventures, Corazon Capital, Project 11 Ventures 2.82 DipJar provides both the hardware and software for paying tips by "dipping" your credit card in a device rather than paying cash. 45 MobiKwik (IN) B 6.60 Sequoia Capital,Tree Line Asia 36.85 MobiKwik is a mobile wallet app for Indian customers who use it for shopping, P2P money transfer and bill payments. 46 Ayannah (US) B 3.00 7.50 Ayannah is a provider of online and mobile payment services aiming the unbanked in emerging markets and unbanked migrants in OECD countries. 47 Payable (US) Venture 500 Startups, BEENEXT, Beenos Partners, Golden Gate Ventures, GREE Ventures, IMJ Investment Partners Pte. Ltd, Life.SREDA, Wavemaker Partners General Catalyst Partners 2.10 Payable offers contractors the ability to manage and analyse payments as well as having Onboarding, Work-Tracking analytics. 48 Nxt-ID (US) Debt N/D 3.82 Nxt-ID is a provider of various biometric solutions for the mobile platforms, access control, and law enforcement facial recognition market. Hong Kong based ScramCard is an card issuer of a secure unique card, that combines a wallet function with tokenization. Stewart Milne Group 1.50 Description Page 1 payments Insight. Opinion. 17 disclaimer Introduction Publisher and author of this document is INNOVALUE Management Advisors GmbH, Heimhuder Str. 69, 20148 Hamburg („INNOVALUE“). The use of the document is free of charge. 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