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4 CHARLOTTE Business Journal cover story On the horizon What’s the future of bank startups? The last time someone wanted Tony Gaeta’s help to navigate forming a new bank, the veteran lawyer turned them down. That was four years ago. And no one else has asked since. “I told them, ‘I can’t take your money. I can’t guarantee we’ll even get a charter,’ “ he says. Gaeta in a 40-year career has helped dozens of North Carolina banks launch. But he’s unsure when he’ll see another one. Even as many community banks in the state merge — and seemingly leave a void for a new, small local lender to fill — slow growth, wary investors Tony and conservative Gaeta regulators have dampened the prospects of a startup bank. It has been almost six years since Forest Commercial Bank of Greensboro opened in 2008, part of the last class of de novo bank charters in North Carolina. Carolina Premier Bank in 2007 was the last new bank in Charlotte. Nationally, no bank charters were granted in 2011 or 2012. Last year, one new bank was formed in the entire U.S. Pennsylvania’s Bird-inHand Bank (yes, that’s the actual name) opened last month with Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. approval to serve a small Amish community. As the economy recovers and the number of North Carolina banks continues to dwindle, someone will soon consider applying for a new charter. But Gaeta expects only a wellplanned, well-capitalized de novo bank that has identified a growing metropolitan market will stand a chance. He also believes regulators will approve only a traditional model that would gather local deposits and lend primarily to hometown clients. Specialty banks and business banks need not apply. “The state, with the right application, would be willing,” he says. “And the FDIC says there’s no moratorium. But that application will get drug through the mud. Everything will be scrutinized.” Still considering a startup? Find some deep pockets. Gaeta estimates the requisite $10 million to $15 million needed pre-recession to start a bank won’t be nearly enough. “I don’t know how much, but it will take a lot more than it used to be, that’s for sure,” he says. “And investors just aren’t lining up for community banks again.” — Adam O’Daniel Why banks can’t Story by Adam O’Daniel Bryan Kennedy is surrounded. But that’s not necessarily a bad place to be. The president of Park Sterling Bank, from his midtown headquarters with a skyline backdrop, is in the middle of a market every competitor wants a piece of. He understands why, because he’s trying to get a piece of other metros, too. As North Carolina’s community banks look at the year ahead, most share a common goal. Get bigger. And get bigger in big cities. That means merger and acquisition talks will heat up. The salaries of top bankers in top markets will rise. And the terms for good borrowers in good markets such as Charlotte are increasingly competitive. “If you’re going to be a player in the Carolinas, you’ve gotta be in Charlotte, Raleigh, Greenville (S.C.) and Charleston,” Kennedy says. “The smaller communities continue to be economically challenged.” Banks have been consolidating for several years to lower cost structures and better cope with increased regulation and capital requirements. But as the economy grows, larger markets are outpacing smaller communities at a startling rate. For example, in the third quarter of 2013, Park Sterling’s loan portfolio grew 19% in its metro markets. But a poor showing in smaller markets pushed down the total number to nearly flat. That means banks need to grow larger so they can win business in those larger markets. It’s nearly impossible for a small bank without a Charlotte presence to win meaningful business here. “The biggest business in some of these towns are church loans,” Kennedy says. In bigger markets such as Charlotte “there are tons of players, but there are more deals to be had.” Kennedy founded Park Sterling here before the recession, one of several small commercial lenders in the city. Then post-recession he teamed with new Chief Executive Jim Cherry, raised capital and bought two large deposit franchises, Gastonia’s Citizens South Bank and South Carolina’s CapitalBank. Meanwhile, Park Sterling paid big bucks to poach successful lenders in the other must-have cities, including Greenville and Charleston, S.C., and Richmond, Va., most recently. The goal is to build an $8 billion regional bank. Others share that notion. But without the good fortune of forming in Charlotte eight years ago, they’re jockeying for a share here now. Troy-based First Bank has opened a lending office down the street from Kennedy at Park Sterling. Greensboro’s NewBridge Bank hired Tim Ignasher away from Park Sterling for its R by the numbers Dominant dozen The 12 largest N.C. community banks, including HQ city and assets: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 First Bank (Troy) $3.2 billion Bank of North Carolina (High Point) $3 billion Southern Bank & Trust (Mount Olive) $2.3 billion Square 1 Bank (Durham) $2.2 billion CommunityOne Bank (Asheboro/Charlotte) $2 billion VantageSouth Bank (Raleigh) $2 billion Park Sterling Bank (Charlotte) $1.9 billion Yadkin Bank (Elkin/Statesville) $1.8 billion NewBridge Bank (Greensboro) $1.8 billion HomeTrust Bank (Asheville) $1.7 billion The Fidelity Bank (Fuquay-Varina) $1.6 billion Peoples Bank (Newton) $1 billion entrance here. High Point-based Bank of North Carolina made the largest splash, building a flagship regional headquarters and bank branch across from Piedmont Town Center in SouthPark. It also opened its wallet and purchased Charlotte’s First Trust Bank in 2012. “Charlotte is critical,” says investment banker Lee Burrows, chief executive of Banks Street Partners in Atlanta. “It’s the biggest market in the Carolinas, a must-have, along with Raleigh, Greenville-Spartanburg and Charleston.” While some metros still offer plenty of targets, Charlotte has few small banks for sale. So activity here will likely be more organic or on the periphery. Burrows, whose firm specializes in M&A work, senses 2014 could be a busy year for bank mergers and acquisitions as rivals all look for an edge in the best markets. The combination of improving stock prices, a healthier economy and an urgency to find earnings growth will likely speed up talks. “All of the top 10 community banks in North Carolina will be active in some shape or form,” he says. “It’s hard to grow loan volumes organically. And when you’re trading at 200% of book value, you can pay 150% of book for a competitor, and that feels better around a board table.” Activity is already hot. Raleigh-based VantageSouth Bank and Elkin-based Yadkin Bank last fall discussed a merger 5 January 24, 2014 cover story wait to grow R Closer look Here are some of the North Carolina banks jockeying for more dominant positions: Park Sterling Bank HQ: Charlotte Assets: $1.9 billion CEO: Jim Cherry Bank of North Carolina HQ: High Point Assets: $3 billion CEO: Rick Callicutt Nancy Foster, chief risk officer and Bryan Kennedy, president, of Park Sterling Bank. Nancy Pierce that hasn’t come to fruition. In November, NewBridge Bank agreed to acquire CapStone Bank, improving its share in the Triangle. In December, Bank of North Carolina agreed to buy banks in Albemarle and Chapel Hill. Analysts and bankers expect the largest players may soon determine their best path is to merge and create a handful of super-community banks. “There are so many hurdles, and it can be a lengthy process,” Burrows says. “But don’t forget North Carolina has a long history of successful mergers of equals.” He says out-of-state banks may also create waves in the M&A pool. SCBT Corp. in Columbia, S.C. still eyes a larger North Carolina presence. Several growing banks in Virginia and Tennessee are kicking tires in North Carolina. Even Bank of the Ozarks in Little Rock, Ark., has shown interest in the state with its recent purchase of First National Bank of Shelby and a new full-service operation in Charlotte. However, Bank of North Carolina Chief Executive Rick Callicutt isn’t convinced 2014 will be a watershed year for community bank deal-making. He agrees activity will be high. But with so many interested buyers, and so few interested sellers, he questions whether 2014 will be the year of the big deal. Instead, he thinks his strategy of buying small suburban banks with low deposit costs may be the best course forward. Then he can use the savings to grow organically in bigger markets, gradually improving his profits. “Everyone else might be out there elephant hunting,” he says. “We’re not chasing size. We’ll be as big as we need to be to earn $1.50 per share, then $1.75. Smaller transactions are less risky and more predictable.” At Park Sterling, the risk appetite is also kept in check. Kennedy says the management team is focused on finding the right people in the right markets to build a strong commercial and industrial loan portfolio. “There’s a real fight for talent,” he says. “We have the right people, just not enough of them.” Park Sterling’s latest deal, the addition of five Richmond bankers and plans to open an office there, received favorable reviews. “It seems to provide a solid de novo market for Park Sterling to gain additional business,” Sandler O’Neill & Partners analyst Kevin Fitzsimmons wrote in a note to clients. “Getting a shot in the arm on loan growth will be an especially welcome benefit.” Kennedy notes every strategy has a tradeoff. Striking a big merger in a key market could deliver quick earnings, but with dilution for shareholders and added risk. Chasing organic growth by hiring top lenders is less risky, but it comes with elevated expenses and no immediate promise of higher revenue. “No matter how you do it, some investors aren’t going to like it.” Latest: Bank of North Carolina is poised to become the largest community bank based in North Carolina. It closed the book on 2013 by announcing a pair of acquisitions it hopes to close this spring, Albemarle’s Home Savings Bank and Harrington Bank in Chapel Hill. The lender has grown since the recession with a string of small acquisitions, strategically completing deals to expand its footprint along the Grand Strand and in Charleston, S.C. In 2012, it acquired Charlotte’s First Trust Bank for an entrance into the Queen City. It is backed by private-equity firm Aquiline Capital Partners, which installed former Wachovia Corp. CEO Ken Thompson on the bank’s board. First Bank HQ: Troy Assets: $3.2 billion CEO: Richard Moore Latest: First Bank quietly opened its first loan-production office in Charlotte in 2013, leasing some space in a modest midtown office off Morehead Street. It’s a move designed to help the rurally focused lender conduct more business in an urban market. First Bank, with branches concentrated in small towns across southern and eastern North Carolina, has a strong deposit base that some banks would covet. How long before it feels pressure to deal its way into more high-growth markets? VantageSouth Bank HQ: Raleigh Assets: $2 billion CEO: Scott Custer Latest: VantageSouth has been on the prowl, including recent talks with Yadkin Bank among others that have yet to blossom into a deal. The lender, backed by a consortium of investors known as Piedmont Community Bank Holdings, has made it clear it wants to be a major player in the Carolinas and Virginia. So far, Vantage has experienced success in eastern parts of the state with its 2013 acquisition of East Carolina Bank. Vantage is looking for a beachhead in Charlotte, and a Yadkin deal would surely have accomplished that. But has that negotiation cooled? As expected, neither bank will talk. In the meantime, Vantage has intentions to open a branch office in SouthPark and establish Small Business Administration lending operations here. Latest: If Virginia is for lovers, call Park Sterling smitten. The bank this month hired a team of commercial bankers and two executives in the Richmond market as it tries to grow business there. While peers have been more active with whole bank purchases, Park Sterling has executed its regional strategy by hiring experienced bankers in major markets, including teams in Raleigh, Greenville, S.C., and Charleston, S.C. Most of its size and scale comes from just two post-recession transactions: the 2012 acquisition of Citizens South Bank in Gastonia and the 2011 purchase of Greenwood, S.C.-based CapitalBank. Yadkin Bank HQ: Elkin Assets: $1.8 billion CEO: Joe Towell Latest: Yadkin Bank finds itself in a small controversy. The bank’s former CEO and longtime board member James Smoak abruptly resigned in December, citing his disagreement with the bank’s growth strategy. But the bank hasn’t disclosed specifically which part of the strategy he disagreed with. It’s not even clear what Yadkin’s strategy is at the moment, though some analysts see it as a potential target. The bank has conducted a remarkable turnaround project that included a major capital raise and liquidation of bad assets. Its share price soared 97% in 2013 as it delivered on promises of fixing the franchise. The remaining unanswered question: Will Yadkin now prefer to grow on its own, serving the Piedmont and foothills, or will it look for a partner? NewBridge Bank HQ: Greensboro Assets: $1.8 billion CEO: Pressley Ridgill Latest: NewBridge will scoop up a piece of the Triangle banking market in 2014 with its announced acquisition of CapStone Bank. Illustrating the industry’s fight to capture more metro business, NewBridge sweetened its offer for CapStone at least twice, according to securities filings, in order to beat rival bids. NewBridge has also made aggressive moves in Charlotte, hiring its market leader, Tim Ignasher, away from Park Sterling Bank following Park Sterling’s purchase of Citizens South Bank. NewBridge in 2013 established a retail presence in SouthPark and is interested in more growth here.