Columbia Mid Cap Value Fund We have not changed our
Transcription
Columbia Mid Cap Value Fund We have not changed our
Third Quarter 2014 INVESTMENT COMMENTARY CLASS A | CMUAX CLASS C | CMUCX We have not changed our longstanding process of acquiring companies that have compelling valuations and an opportunity to improve their operating earnings. CLASS R | CMVRX CLASS R4 | CFDRX CLASS R5 | CVERX CLASS Z | NAMAX Columbia Mid Cap Value Fund Fund performance Class A shares of Columbia Mid Cap Value Fund returned -2.29% (excluding sales charge) for the third quarter, outperforming its benchmark. For up-to-date performance information, please check online at columbiamanagement.com. The benchmark Russell Midcap Value Index returned -2.65% for the period. Relative performance benefited from information technology, financials and health care followed by materials, energy and consumer discretionary. These benefits were partly offset by negatives within utilities, industrials and consumer staples. Market overview Fund strategy Capital appreciation and income through an actively managed portfolio of undervalued, mid-sized company stocks Fundamental and quantitative analysis with risk management techniques to construct a portfolio of undervalued, misunderstood midsized companies Traditional, value-style holding whose stock valuations are believed to be temporarily depressed In addition to well-known risks like slowing growth, hyper-regulation and armed conflict throughout the world, multiple new threats grabbed investors’ attention — from escalating terrorism and fears of contagion to a power struggle between Hong Kong and China. Bright spots during the quarter included modest gains in U.S. large caps, blue chips and technology stocks, as well as an upward revision in U.S. gross domestic product growth and reasonably positive employment and housing data. Earnings announcements during the period were generally strong, with capital spending plans largely intact. In addition, even though the S&P 500 Index rose to its 28th record high of the year in August and the Alibaba initial public offering fueled market enthusiasm in September, mounting anxiety eventually derailed any hope of a lasting, broad-based rally. U.S. small-cap stocks were especially hard hit during the quarter. The Russell 2000 Index lost more than 7%, driven in large part by double-digit declines in dozens of energy stocks that dropped in concert with oil prices. U.S. mid-cap value stocks, which had been market leaders for most of the year, declined as well, with the Russell Midcap Value Index losing 2.65%. As was the case with small caps, energy was the key detractor. In this challenging environment, growth stocks across all capitalization ranges outperformed their value counterparts. Average annual total returns (%) for period ended September 30, 2014 Expense ratio1 Share class A Without waiver (gross) 1.17% With waiver (net) — Z 0.92% — Columbia Mid Cap Value Fund 3-m on. 1-year 3-year 5-year 10-year Class A w ithout sales charge -2.29 19.96 24.61 16.23 9.63 Class A w ith 5.75% maximum sales charge -7.91 13.04 22.18 14.86 8.99 Class Z -2.28 20.29 24.92 16.52 9.90 Russell Midcap Value Index -2.65 17.46 24.72 17.24 10.17 Performance data shown represents past performance and is not a guarantee of future results. The investment return and principal value of an investment will fluctuate so that shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Current performance may be lower or higher than the performance data shown. Please visit columbiamanagement.com for performance data current to the most recent month end. Class Z shares are sold at net asset value and have limited eligibility. Columbia Management offers multiple share classes, not all necessarily available through all firms, and the share class ratings may vary. Contact us for details. Columbia Management Investment Distributors, Inc. 225 Franklin Street, Boston, MA 02110-2804 columbiamanagement.com blog.columbiamanagement.com 800.426.3750 1029015 (10/14) Third Quarter 2014 INVESTMENT COMMENTARY Top holdings (% of net assets): as of 9-30-2014 Index Third quarter (%) One year (%) Russell 1000 Growth Index 1.49 19.15 Russell 1000 Index 0.65 19.01 Russell 1000 Value Index -0.19 18.89 Fifth Third Bancorp 1.87 Zimmer Holdings Inc 1.83 Host Hotels & Resorts Inc 1.78 Russell Midcap Growth Index -0.73 14.43 Hartford Financial Svcs Grp 1.73 Russell Midcap Index -1.66 15.83 Portland General Electric Co 1.68 Russell Midcap Value Index -2.65 17.46 Lincoln National Corp 1.66 Russell 2000 Growth Index -6.13 3.79 M & T Bank Corp 1.57 Russell 2000 Index -7.36 3.93 Principal Financial Group 1.57 Russell 2000 Value Index -8.58 4.13 Weatherford International Pl 1.56 S&P 500 Index 1.13 19.73 Sl Green Realty Corp 1.55 Top holdings exclude short-term holdings and cash, if applicable. Fund holdings are as of the date given, are subject to change at any time, and are not recommendations to buy or sell any security. Top five contributors Effect on return (%) Steel Dynamics 0.30 Community Health Systems Inc 0.25 Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd 0.25 TRW Automotive Holdings Corp 0.18 Salix Pharmaceuticals Ltd 0.16 Top five detractors Effect on return (%) Performance Beyond the ups and downs of the global picture mentioned above, the portfolio was influenced by consolidation (both actual and anticipated) in health care, materials and consumer discretionary, as well as by benefits from the Affordable Care Act (ACA) and challenges in the energy sector. On a sector basis, the portfolio’s relative performance benefited from information technology, financials and health care followed by materials, energy and consumer discretionary. These benefits were partly offset by negatives within utilities, industrials and consumer staples. On the whole, stock selection was very positive, especially in energy, technology, financials and health care. Selection was negative in utilities and industrials. Overall sector allocation detracted, particularly in energy where the portfolio was overweight. Falling oil prices drove the sector’s sharp decline amid high levels of production worldwide with no cuts in sight. Although the energy sector helped relative performance, it did pose its share of challenges during the quarter. The portfolio’s strong stock selection within the sector was helped by not owning many benchmark stocks that dropped 20% or more. These positives, however, were largely offset by portfolio holdings in both the exploration and production, and equipment and services industries, including Weatherford International and Noble Energy. In the end, the good outweighed the bad, making the sector's overall contribution an incremental positive. NRG Energy Inc -0.27 Stock selection was positive in technology, as performance within the semiconductor space was strong. DR Horton Inc -0.21 Skyworks Solutions continued to benefit from its exposure to the smartphone market Noble Energy -0.19 Cimarex Energy -0.18 Harley-Davidson Inc -0.17 and increased dollar content per phone, including the iPhone 6 rollout. During the period, we exited Avago Technologies in favor of establishing a new position in Broadcom. The portfolio has benefited from Avago and other holdings with smartphone exposure. These companies delivered strong operating performance and were rewarded with significant share price appreciation. By replacing Avago with Broadcom, we reduced exposure to the smartphone vertical as well as momentum in 2 Third Quarter 2014 INVESTMENT COMMENTARY the portfolio. Broadcom announced that it is exiting unprofitable segments to focus instead on maximizing cash flow and shareholder capital returns. We believe the stock’s multiple will expand, as investors become more confident that the company will deliver on this strategy. Operationally, the strategic shift means lower revenue growth but potentially significantly higher operating margins. In financials, stock selection was positive in insurance companies and banks. The health care sector benefited from aspects of the ACA. Hospitals have fewer delinquent accounts, as they are now getting paid for services rendered to formerly uninsured patients. Portfolio holding Community Health Systems, a hospital owner and operator, benefited during the period. In addition, the pharmaceuticals industry was positively affected by rumors of consolidation, as several rival companies expressed interest in taking over prescription manufacturer Salix Pharmaceuticals. The materials sector also benefited from consolidation. During the period, Steel Dynamics bought the assets of the North American unit of Russian steel company Severstal. Steel prices have been holding up reasonably well, which is pointing toward improved prospects for pricing and margins. Sector weights (%): fund vs. benchmark as of 9-30-2014 30.66 32.19 Financials 12.47 10.00 Cons disc 10.38 10.84 Info tech 10.36 11.86 Utilities 10.06 9.55 Industrials Energy 5.42 9.42 7.54 9.31 Health care 6.12 7.12 Materials 1.53 3.37 Cons staples 1.47 0.34 Telecom svcs 0 10 Columbia Mid Cap Value Fund 20 30 40 Russell Midcap Value Index 3 Third Quarter 2014 INVESTMENT COMMENTARY While headlines, challenges and transactions also hit the consumer discretionary sector, the quarter ended on an incrementally positive note. Mid quarter, a weak jobs report hurt the sector, particularly our holdings in HarleyDavidson (on the auto side) and DR Horton (on the home builder side). Horton had disappointing order rates with margin guidance that was below expectations. In addition, while appliance upgrades and other housing incentives such as reductions in broker commissions were being offered, we believe they are temporary and do not affect our overall view of the industry. We believe the industry is still underpricing and under-earning and, therefore, kept our position in the name. Shares of TRW Automotive Holdings spiked at the beginning of the quarter on rumors of a takeover and again in September when ZF Friedrichshafen of Germany formally announced the acquisition. This action will create the world's second largest automotive supplier by sales at a time when car parts makers are looking to build scale amid technological shifts in the global auto industry. When the stock rose in July, we reduced our position and took profits. Another name in the sector, Hertz Global Holdings, lowered guidance on significantly higher-than-expected fleet expenses in the U.S. rental car business, as well as weakness in the equipment rental business. As a result, we exited the stock mid quarter on concerns over management’s ability to execute in a consolidated industry. Lastly, on the leisure side of the sector, Royal Caribbean Cruises contributed to performance. Performance attribution for the 3-month period ending 9-30-2014 compared to the Russell Midcap Value Index Sector allocation Stock selection Net value added 0.80 0.40 0.20 0.00 Value Added 0.60 -0.20 -0.40 -0.60 The analysis includes portfolio management decisions regarding sector allocation and security selection w ithin that sector. The net value added reflects the combination of both the sector allocation and the security selection. Effects do not reflect fees and expenses and will vary from the fund’s actual return. Source: FactSet. On the downside, the utilities sector detracted the most overall from the portfolio with independent power companies declining on much of the same power generation challenges as the energy sector. In addition, stock selection was negative in the gas and electric utilities industries. 4 Third Quarter 2014 INVESTMENT COMMENTARY In particular, NRG Energy declined double digits. Stock selection was also negative in industrials, especially in machinery. Crane manufacturer Manitowoc declined during the quarter. The industry has experienced weak demand for cranes globally. Contrary to our thesis on the stock, we believed demand would be increasing. As a result, we reduced the position. Outlook and positioning Last quarter we wrote about the rising chorus of concerns regarding market valuations. At that time, we stated that the disconnect between earnings and equity prices has its origins in a number of factors, not the least of which is the dearth of favorable alternatives to equities. We went on to say that we continue to find opportunities in a rising market, as we seek not only the values but the improvements in corporate earnings. Today we see what is arguably the best example of the former and a decent example of the latter. Hilton Worldwide Holdings, whose stock we do not own, announced in early October that it is selling the storied Waldorf Astoria Hotel in New York City for an eye-popping $1.95 billion to an offshore insurance company. That price equates to 32x the property’s earnings before interest, taxes and depreciation (EBITDA). But, to this particular insurance company, that valuation may not seem too rich when compared with a 10-year U.S. Treasury note that yields less than 2.5%. The new owners may be able to divide the property into condominiums and time-share units as well as a hotel and recoup a large portion of their initial investment in a relatively short period of time. That would leave the owners with the operations of the hotel (in a slimmed down form), which could produce a substantially higher rate of return that grows (cyclically) over time, perhaps not to a level that we would find acceptable but better than a 2.5% return over the next 10 years. Since the end of the second quarter, the Russell Midcap Value benchmark has contracted roughly 2.7% or 10% on an annualized basis. Using the same valuation metric as our Waldorf example, the market now trades at roughly 8x its projected EBITDA. More importantly, however, the median company in that benchmark is projected to grow its earnings by more than 11%, with the average growth approaching 19% (this year to next). So, our market has gotten cheaper over the last three months, while the companies within it continue to grow their earnings at a healthy clip. It is the combination of the two (valuation and operating earnings growth) that attracts us to a stock. As such, we continue to remain favorably positioned in areas of the market where we see those underpinnings of growth firmly in place. Both in the case of the mid-cap market and our portfolio in general, we still see attractive valuations and significant potential for growth in operating earnings. Nevertheless, we remain cautious about certain areas of the global economy. European growth continues to lag that of the United States, while Asian economies have shown signs that their already high growth rates are not sustainable. Latin America has seen its largest economy, Brazil, slip from strong growth leading up to the World Cup. Likewise, despite the Federal Reserve taking action to stem its quantitative easing program, longterm interest rates remain stubbornly low. We remain positioned to benefit from rising rates via our banks and life insurance companies, as we see nascent signs of improvements in the short end of the interest rate curve. Our cyclical positioning has not changed; energy, housing, travel, leisure, technology, and manufacturing remain key areas of focus for the portfolio. Nor have we changed our longstanding process of acquiring companies that have compelling valuations and an opportunity to improve their operating earnings. 5 Third Quarter 2014 INVESTMENT COMMENTARY Commentaries now available via email Stay informed about your investments by subscribing to receive commentaries and other fund updates by email. Simply register with our subscription center and choose the publications you’d like to receive. We’ll take care of the rest. Subscribe Investors should consider the investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of a mutual fund carefully before investing. For a free prospectus and, if available, a summary prospectus, which contains this and other important information about the funds, visit columbiamanagement.com. The prospectus should be read carefully before investing. Columbia Funds are distributed by Columbia Management Investment Distributors, Inc., member FINRA and managed by Columbia Management Investment Advisers, LLC. The views expressed are as of the date given, may change as market or other conditions change, and may differ from views expressed by other Columbia Management Investment Advisers, LLC (CMIA) associates or affiliates. Actual investments or investment decisions made by CMIA and its affiliates, whether for its own account or on behalf of clients, will not necessarily reflect the views expressed. This information is not intended to provide investment advice and does not account for individual investor circumstances. Investment decisions should always be made based on an investor's specific financial needs, objectives, goals, time horizon, and risk tolerance. Asset classes described may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results and no forecast should be considered a guarantee either. Since economic and market conditions change frequently, there can be no assurance that the trends described here will continue or that any forecasts are accurate. Additional performance information: All results shown assume reinvestment of distributions and do not reflect the deduction of taxes that a shareholder would pay on fund distributions or the redemption of fund shares. Performance attribution is used to help explain the impact of the manager's investment decisions with regard to overall investment policy, asset allocation, security selection and activity. Sector Allocation represents the contribution of the various sectors to a fund or portfolio’s return. Stock Selection represents the contribution to return of the specific stocks within a particular sector and the Net Value Added represents the combination of both. 1 Expense ratios are generally based on the fund's most recently completed fiscal year and are not adjusted for current asset levels or other changes. In general, expense ratios increase as net assets decrease. See the fund's prospectus for additional details. Investment Risks Market risk may affect a single issuer, sector of the economy, industry or the market as a whole. Foreign investments subject the fund to risks, including political, economic, market, social and others within a particular country, as well as to currency instabilities and less stringent financial and accounting standards generally applicable to U.S. issuers. Investments in mid-cap companies involve risks and volatility greater than investments in larger, more established companies. Value securities may be unprofitable if the market fails to recognize their intrinsic worth or the portfolio manager misgauged that worth. The Russell Midcap Value Index measures the performance of those Russell Midcap companies with lower price-to book ratios and lower forecasted growth values. The stocks are also members of the Russell 1000 Value index. The Russell 1000 Growth Index, an unmanaged index, measures the performance of those Russell 1000 companies which have higher price-to-book ratios and higher forecasted growth values. The Russell 1000 Index measures the performance of the large-cap segment of the U.S. equity universe. It is a subset of the Russell 3000® Index and includes approximately 1000 of the largest securities based on a combination of their market cap and current index membership. The Russell 1000 represents approximately 92% of the U.S. market. The Russell 1000 Value Index, an unmanaged index, measures the performance of those Russell 1000 companies lower price- to-book ratios and lower forecasted growth values. The Russell MidCap Growth Index, an unmanaged index, measures the performance of those Russell MidCap companies with higher price-to-book ratios and higher forecasted growth values. The Russell Midcap Index measures the performance of the mid-cap segment of the U.S. equity universe. The Russell Midcap Index is a subset of the Russell 1000 Index. It includes approximately 800 of the smallest securities based on a combination of their market cap and current index membership. The Russell Midcap Index represents approximately 31% of the total market capitalization of the Russell 1000 companies. The Russell 2000 Growth Index measures the performance of those Russell 2000 Index companies with higher price-to-book ratios and higher forecasted growth values. The Russell 2000 Index measures the performance of the small-cap segment of the U.S. equity universe. The Russell 2000 Index is a subset of the Russell 3000® Index representing approximately 10% of the total market capitalization of that index. It includes approximately 2000 of the smallest securities based on a combination of their market cap and current index membership. The Russell 2000 Value Index, an unmanaged index, measures the performance of those Russell 2000 Companies with lower price-to-book ratios and lower forecasted growth values. Indices shown are unmanaged and do not reflect the impact of fees. The S&P 500 Index is an unmanaged list of common stocks which includes 500 large companies. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. 6