Muhurat Picks Light up your Diwali with these sparkling stocks
Transcription
Muhurat Picks Light up your Diwali with these sparkling stocks
Visit us at www.sharekhan.com Otober 22, 2014 Muhurat Picks Light up your Diwali with these sparkling stocks Pipavav Defence and Offshore Engineering Co The previous rise in the stock was a clear fivewave rise wherein wave 2 was an expanded flat pattern and wave 4 was a zigzag pattern. This five-wave rise completed a larger wave (1), following which wave (2) retraced 86% of wave (1). Now, it seems that the wave (3) has begun which has an equality target of Rs88. The stop loss for this trade is the swing low of wave (1), ie Rs30.80. Hence, the risk/reward ratio is quite favourable for bulls. The daily Know Sure Thing (KST) has come well into buy mode whereas the weekly KST is about to provide a buy cross-over. So, based on the above observations we recommend buying the stock. Stock Weekly chart 5 x 75 70 65 60 w 55 3 x 50 45 y 40 1 4 z 35 2 30 25 20 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 KST (-21.0138) Nov Dec 2013 Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Action CMP (Rs) Target (Rs) Stop Loss Buy 39.70 88 30.80 Pipavav Defence 110 105 100 95 90 85 80 Sep Oct Nov Dec 2014 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2 Mangalam Cements The stock has provided a clear break-out from the symmetrical triangular pattern of which wave E was an overshoot. The volumes had increased during the break-out which is one confirmation of an uptrend. The weekly Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is in sell mode but the monthly MACD is well in buy mode and that increases the probability of an up move. The minimum equality target on the upside comes to Rs561 whereas the stop loss on the lower side is pegged at Rs179, ie just below the break-out point. So the risk/reward ratio at the current market price of Rs239 is very favourable for the bulls. Based on these observations we recommend buying the stock for the above mentioned targets. Stock Mangalam Cements Weekly chart MANGALAM CEMENT (243.250, 243.250, 235.900, 238.900, +3.04999) 600 500 400 300 B D 200 100 E C A MACD (21.6211) 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 6000 Volume (85,348) 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 -1000 x1000 05 2006 2007 2008 Action CMP (Rs) Target (Rs) Stop Loss Buy 244 561 179 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 For Private Circulation only Sharekhan Ltd, Regd Add: 10th Floor, Beta Building, Lodha iThink Techno Campus, Off. JVLR, Opp. Kanjurmarg Railway Station, Kanjurmarg (East), Mumbai – 400042, Maharashtra. Tel: 022 - 61150000. Sharekhan Ltd.: SEBI Regn. Nos. BSE-Cash-INB011073351 ; F&O-INF011073351 ; NSE – INB/ INF231073330; CD - INE231073330 ; MCX Stock Exchange: INB/INF-261073333 ; CD - INE261073330 ; United Stock Exchange: CD - INE271073350 ; DPNSDL-IN-DP-NSDL-233-2003 ; CDSL-IN-DP-CDSL-271-2004 ; PMS-INP000000662 ; Mutual Fund-ARN 20669 ; Commodity trading through Sharekhan Commodities Pvt. Ltd.: MCX-10080 ; (MCX/TCM/CORP/0425) ; NCDEX -00132 ; (NCDEX/TCM/CORP/0142) ; NSEL-12790 ; For any complaints email at [email protected] ; Disclaimer: Client should read the Risk Disclosure Document issued by SEBI & relevant exchanges and Do’s & Don’ts by MCX & NCDEX and the T & C on www.sharekhan.com before investing. Diwali Special Power Grid Corporation The stock has provided a good break-out from four years of consolidation. It has provided a clear break-out from a parallelogram pattern, which was formed in wave X/B. Now wave Y/ C up is expected. The momentum in the stock is expected to rise as the equality target for the stock is still a long way to go on the upside. The equality target on the upside comes to Rs213, which almost coincides with the upper end of the rising channel. The volume activity has picked up after the break-out compared with the volume of the sideways trend. The crucial support on the lower side is pegged at Rs117. Hence, that should be the stop loss for the trade. Stock Weekly chart POWER GRID CORP OF INDIA (133.500, 141.500, 133.500, 140.500, +6.39999) 160 150 140 A 130 120 110 100 90 B 80 70 60 50 Volume (11,309,007) 40000 30000 20000 10000 x10000 MACD (DEMA-smoothed) (-1.07027, 0.25454) 10 5 0 2007 2009 2010 Action CMP (Rs) Target (Rs) Stop Loss Buy 140 213 117 Power Grid 240 230 220 210 200 190 180 170 C 2011 2012 2013 2014 Jubilant FoodWorks The stock seems to have completed W-X-Y pattern and wave 1 and wave I of 3 seems to have completed. Now wave III of 3 will begin which will have a minimum target of Rs2,125. On the other hand, the support on the lower side is pegged at Rs1,105, ie the swing low of wave 2. Weekly chart 2100 2000 1900 1800 1700 1600 1500 x I 1400 1 1300 1200 II 1100 2 1000 w 900 y 800 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 -5 -10 -15 KST (0.78611) Apr May Jun Stock Jubliant FoodWorks Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2013 Mar Action CMP (Rs) Target (Rs) Stop Loss Buy 1332 2125 1105 Sharekhan 2 October 22, 2014 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2014 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2 Home Diwali Special Network 18 Media & Investments The stock has been correcting since June this year. Our sense is that the stock is in a strong uptrend and the current fall should be used as an opportunity to buy into it. The stock is currently trading near multiple supports, ie it is trading around the 40-week moving average; it is also trading around a medium-term rising support trend line. In terms of Fibonacci retracements, it has reached the 61.8% retracement level of the rise from Rs28 to Rs72, which is also a crucial support. It has been consolidating near these crucial supports and we sense that it is forming a base for the next up move. We expect this crucial support area to hold good and the stock should resume its uptrend very soon. Investors can buy the stock at the current market price for targets of Rs72, which is the high it touched in June this year, and Rs100, which is a psychological level. A stop loss should be placed at Rs33. Stock Network 18 Media & Investments Weekly chart NETWORK 18 MEDIA & INVESTMENTS 90 85 80 75 iii 72 0.0% 70 65 60 55 50 45 61.8% iv i 40 1 35 33 ii 30 100.0% 2 25 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2013 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Action CMP (Rs) Target (Rs) Stop Loss Buy 49.30 100 33 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2014 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2015 Feb Mar Apr Eros International Media The stock has been consolidating in a sideways manner since early September this year. Our sense is that it is consolidating in wave 4 of a larger degree impulse formation, ie we expect the stock to form wave 5 on the upside. The current consolidation can continue for some more time and investors can use this as an opportunity to accumulate the stock at the current levels and add more if it falls to Rs215 levels. Rs215 is the 38.2% retracement level of the rise from Rs106 to Rs283. Wave 2 of the stock was sharp which retraced 61.8% of wave 1. Hence, we expect wave 4 to be sideways as per the guideline of alternation, which should terminate around the 38.2% retracement level (Rs215). The targets on the upside are placed at Rs349, which is the target for a truncated wave 5, and Rs393, which is the equality target (Wave 1 = Wave 5). A stop loss should be placed at Rs194, which is the high of wave 1. Stock Eros International Media Weekly chart 470 460 450 440 430 420 410 400 380 370 360 350 340 330 320 310 300 3 290 0.0% 280 270 260 iii 250 23.6% 240 230 220 38.2% iv 215 210 1 200 190 180 i 170 160 ii 150 140 2 130 120 110 100.0% 100 arch April May June July August September Novem ber Decem ber2014 Action CMP (Rs) Target (Rs) Stop Loss Buy 239 393 190 Sharekhan 390 393 3 October 22, 2014 February March April May June July August September November 2015 February March April May June July Home Diwali Special Home Disclaimer “This document has been prepared by Sharekhan Ltd.(SHAREKHAN) This Document is subject to changes without prior notice and is intended only for the person or entity to which it is addressed to and may contain confidential and/or privileged material and is not for any type of circulation. Any review, retransmission, or any other use is prohibited. 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