North American Calendar: November 17 – November 21 Monday November 17
Transcription
North American Calendar: November 17 – November 21 Monday November 17
North American Calendar: November 17 – November 21 Canada Monday November 17 8:30 am Tuesday November 18 Int’l Securities Transactions Inflows Outflows Sep. Aug. $10.3 bln $0.3 bln 8:30 am Sep. Aug. New Motor Vehicle Sales D +12.5% y/y +7.9% y/y 9:00 am Existing Home Sales D +6.0% y/y +10.6% y/y BoC Deputy Governor Côté speaks to CFA Society in Calgary Thursday November 20 8:30 am Sep. (e) Aug. Wholesale Trade +0.3% +0.2% 12:05 pm 2-year bond auction $3.0 bln (new cash $3.0 bln) 7:45 am ICSC Same-Store Sales Nov. 15 Nov. 8 (mtd) +1.5% +2.1% y/y 7:00 am Nov. 14 Nov. 7 MBA Mortgage Apps 8:30 am Oct. (e) PPI Final Demand -0.3% +1.1% y/y 8:30 am Oct. (e) Housing Starts 1.020 mln a.r. (+0.3%) Sep. -0.1% Sep. 1.017 mln a.r. (+6.3%) Nov. (e) Empire State Manufacturing Survey 10.0 8:30 am Oct. (e) PPI Ex. Food & Energy +0.1% +1.5% y/y Building Permits 1.031 mln a.r. (unch) Consensus -0.1% Oct. 6.2 Consensus +0.1% 8:30 am Oct. (e) 9:15 am unch Sep. 2:00 pm Oct. (e) Industrial Capacity Production Utilization +0.2% 79.3% Sep. 1.031 mln a.r. (+2.8%) FOMC Minutes from October 28-29 meeting Sep. +1.0% Average Prices +6.0% y/y +5.9% y/y 9:00 am MLS Home Price Index D Oct. (e) +5.5% y/y Sep. +5.3% y/y Ontario Economic and Fiscal Update 8:30 am Consensus 11.3 Consensus +0.2% 79.3% 79.3% Friday November 21 8:30 am Oct. (e) Consumer Price Index m/m (nsa) y/y -0.2% +2.1% (-0.1% sa) Consensus -0.2% 10:35 am 3-, 6- & 12-month T-bill auction $12.5 bln (no new cash) Oct. (e) Sep. United States 1:50 pm Wednesday November 19 Consensus -0.1% +1.2% y/y +1.6% y/y +1.5% y/y +1.6% y/y 8:55 am Redbook Same-Store Sales Nov. 15 Nov. 8 (mtd) -1.0% +3.8% y/y 10:00 am Nov. (e) NAHB Housing Market Index 56 Oct. 54 4:00 pm Net TIC Flows Total Long Term Consensus 55 Sep. Aug. $74.5 bln $52.1 bln -0.9% Consensus 1.025 mln a.r. (+0.8%) Consensus 1.038 mln a.r. (+0.6%) 5-year bond auction announcement 8:30 am Initial Claims Nov. 15 (e) 280k (-10k) C Nov. 8 290k (+12k) 8:30 am Nov. 8 Nov. 1 Continuing Claims 8:30 am Oct. (e) CPI -0.1% Sep. +0.1% 8:30 am Oct. (e) CPI Ex. Food & Energy +0.1% +1.7% y/y Sep. +0.1% 9:45 am Markit Flash Manufacturing PMI (Nov.) 10:00 am Oct. (e) Existing Home Sales 5.18 mln a.r. (+0.2%) Sep. 5.17 mln a.r. (+2.4%) 10:00 am Nov. (e) Oct. Philadelphia Fed Index 18.0 20.7 10:00 am Oct. (e) Leading Indicator +0.3% Sep. +0.8% +0.1% 8:30 am Oct. (e) Core CPI +2.1% y/y Sep. +2.1% y/y 11:00 am Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity 6 4 Nov. (e) Oct. +1.6% y/y +1.6% y/y +1.7% y/y +1.7% y/y +1.7% y/y Consensus 5.15 mln a.r. (-0.4%) Consensus +0.5% Fed Speaker: Chicago’s Evans (10:00 am) 11:00 am 4-week bill auction announcement 11:30 am 13- & 26-week bill auction $52.0 bln C = consensus D = date approximate R Fed Speaker: Minneapolis’ Kocherlakota (1:30 pm) 11:30 am 4-week bill auction = reopening +2.0% Consensus +2.1% y/y 2,392k (+36k) Consensus +0.1% +2.0% Sep. Fed Speakers: Governor Tarullo (7:45 am); Cleveland’s Mester (1:30 pm); San Francisco’s Williams (8:30 pm) 11:00 am 13- & 26-week bill, 2-, 5- & 7-year note, 2R-year FRN auction announcements 1:00 pm 10R-year TIPS auction $13.0 bln Upcoming Policy Meetings | Bank of Canada: Dec. 3, Jan. 21, Mar. 4 | FOMC: Dec. 16-17, Jan. 27-28, Mar. 17-18 Global Calendar: November 17 – November 21 Japan Monday November 17 Real GDP Q3 P (e) Q2 +0.5% -1.8% Tuesday November 18 unch y/y unch y/y Wednesday November 19 Thursday November 20 All Industry Activity Index Sep. (e) +1.1% Aug. -0.1% Merchandise Trade Deficit Oct. ’14 (e) ¥1.0 trln Oct. ’13 ¥1.1 trln Leading Index Sep. F (e) 105.6 Aug. 104.4 Manufacturing PMI Nov. P (e) 52.7 Oct. 52.4 BoJ Monthly Report Euro Area Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meeting (Nov. 18-19) EURO AREA Trade Surplus Sep. (e) €16.0 bln Aug. €15.8 bln Friday November 21 EURO AREA Composite PMI Nov. P (e) 52.3 Oct. 52.1 GERMANY ZEW Survey Nov. (e) 0.5 Oct. -3.6 PMI Nov. P (e) Oct. Manufacturing 50.8 50.6 Services 52.4 52.3 U.K. Consumer Confidence Nov. A (e) -10.7 Oct. -11.1 GERMANY Producer Price Index Oct. (e) -0.2% -1.0% y/y Sep. unch -1.0% y/y ITALY Industrial Orders Sep. Aug. +1.5% -3.2% y/y Rightmove House Prices Nov. Oct. +2.6% +7.6% y/y Consumer Price Index Oct. (e) +0.1% Sep. unch Core CPI Oct. (e) Sep. +1.6% y/y +1.5% y/y Other Producer Price Index—Output Oct. (e) -0.2% -0.2% y/y Sep. -0.1% -0.4% y/y AUSTRALIA New Motor Vehicle Sales Oct. Sep. +2.9% +0.8% y/y Retail Sales Oct. (e) +0.3% Sep. -0.3% +1.2% y/y +1.2% y/y AUSTRALIA Minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia Nov. 4 Policy Meeting +3.8% y/y +2.7% y/y Minutes from the Bank of England Nov. 5-6 Monetary Policy Meeting CHINA HSBC Manufacturing PMI Nov. P (e) 50.2 Oct. 50.4 Real GDP Q3 (e) Q2 MEXICO +0.9% +1.0% +2.3% y/y +1.6% y/y General Disclosure “BMO Capital Markets” is a trade name used by the BMO Investment Banking Group, which includes the wholesale arm of Bank of Montreal and its subsidiaries BMO Nesbitt Burns Inc., BMO Capital Markets Ltd. in the U.K. and BMO Capital Markets Corp. in the U.S. BMO Nesbitt Burns Inc., BMO Capital Markets Ltd. and BMO Capital Markets Corp are affiliates. Bank of Montreal or its subsidiaries (“BMO Financial Group”) has lending arrangements with, or provide other remunerated services to, many issuers covered by BMO Capital Markets. 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