Alexander Tettenborn, Head of Division Development of Convergent

Transcription

Alexander Tettenborn, Head of Division Development of Convergent
Future for industrial policies
Dr. Alexander Tettenborn
Federal Ministry of Economics and Energy
The German Digital Economy
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228 bn. € Sales volume (ICT branch)
79 bn. € Sales volume (internet
economy)
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4.9 % of the worldwide sales in ICT
 4.7 % value creation
 #5 in worldwide ranking (behind U.S.A., S-Korea, Japan, U.K.)
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23% of productivity gains result from ICT investments
900.000 jobs ICT branch + 360.000 jobs other sectors
8.5% incorporation rate (ICT foundations)
Source: Monitoring Report TNS Infratest 2013
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Mission Statements (Digital Agenda 2014-2017)
http://www.digitale-agenda.de
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„Besides energy transition and skills shortage, the digital agenda is the
central challenge of our country“
Sigmar Gabriel, Minister for Economic Affairs & Energy
The Internet has become ubiquitous. It will continue to fundamentally
change our economy and society.
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How can we keep and improve our (industrial) competitiveness?
Who will be the drivers of innovation?
Digital Agenda defines the main work areas for German funding policy:
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Foster digital infrastructures and digital businesses:
transform conventional industry & boost start-ups / entrepreneurs
Create an adequate regulation framework in accordance with Europe
Improve Security and Trust in ICT
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Industry 4.0
Digital upgrade
of Germany‘s
Industrial
Locations
http://www.plattform-i40.de/
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Lighthouse project: Industry 4.0
Embedded into High-Tech-Strategy of Federal Government
 Manufacturing is the
backbone of prosperity in Germany
 Jobs directly affected: 7,7 Mio.
 Peripheral Jobs: 7,1 Mio.
 With Cyber Physical Systems, we can
radically change the set-up of manufacturing:
(e.g. individualized production, batch size 1).
Quelle: Abele,
Eberhard/Reinhart, Gunther
(2011): Zukunft der
Produktion.
Herausforderungen,
Forschungsfelder, Chancen,
Hanser, München.
 We are heading towards the design of
versatile, self-configuring and
self-organizing production systems
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From sensor based applications to the Internet of Things: BMWi funding history of sensor / radio based smart applications & systems
2006‐2011: „Next Generation Media“ (11 Projects): Consumer electronics, health monitoring, logistics (RFID), manufacturing
2009‐2014: Autonomics: Autonomous, simulation‐based systems for small and medium‐sized enterprises (14 projects): Logistics, manufacturing
Tools and systems that are able to network via Internet, identify situations, adapt to changing operating conditions and interact with users on their own
2013‐2017: Autonomics for Industry 4.0 (14 Projects) Smart Factories, Service Robotics, Home Automation
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Where are the Chances ?
2015
ICT-share
75
%
Area
2025
Cumulated Turn-over
German Market
Annual
Growth
Cumulated Turn-over
German Market
2.300 Mio. €
+23,5%
19.000 Mio. €
1.400
Mio. €
+23,3%
100.300 Mio. €
+6,3%
60.200 Mio.
€
+6,3%
Smart Home
Proportion value added - German providers
50
%
Maschinenbau
Prop value added German Providers
Area
Smart Home
11.400 Mio. €
185.000 Mio. €
111.000 Mio. €
prop. value added German
Providers
Maschinenbau
Pro. Value added German prov.
18.000 Mio. €
+8,0%
Prop. Value added German prov.
1.800 Mio. €
+23,6%
60
%
70 %
38.700 Mio. €
prop. value added German provider
+20,2%
100%
80
%
prop. value added German
Providers
+8,0%
50 %
ICT-share
100%
15.000 Mio. €
prop. value added German provider
Quelle: Technologische und wirtschaftliche Perspektiven Deutschlands durch die Konvergenz der elektronischen Medien, VDI/VDE‐IT, 2011
„Autonomics for Industry 4.0“
Objectives
 Human-machine-interfaces for integrating internet-provided data to the real
world, perception and decision support („AugmentedX“ technologies)
 Developing objects, products and systems featured with the capability to
autonomously manage complex tasks („SmartX“ technologies)
 Existing technologies have to become fit for mass markets, by developing
system kits, standardization and solutions for consumer markets
 Stimuli for new products, services and business models
Next generation systems, services and business models in production
(smart factories), service robotics and home automation
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Some new
challenges:
Individualization
and fast delivery
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Now, more seriously:
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IT-Security and Industry 4.0
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Challenges: Cyber Crime, Terrorism, Espionage, Sabotage etc.
Task: Baseline study of major aspects of security for Industry 4.0
(start about June/14) - major content:
Analytics of future value chains and networks in the field of
industry 4.0.
Characterization of new challenges concerning IT-Security
Recommendations of actions for stakeholders of economy,
regulators (standardization, legal actions) and industry
Cost-benefit analysis esp. For SMEs
Brief account of current state of available technologies
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New R&D program: „Smart Data“:
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Other new challenges: „Big Data“:
acatech study predicts a shift of control points
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Products will be sold as „Smart Services“
Businesses must get ready to cooperate and continuously
adapt their portfolios
Services, Business control point
= Return on investment
Cyber physical Systems, Technology control point
= Investment
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Let‘s work together.
Thank you for your attention.
Dr. Alexander Tettenborn
Head of Division „Development of Converging ICT“
[email protected]
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