9977208 2015 Global Health Care Sector outlook

2015 global health care
sector outlook
Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited’s yearly look at the topics, trends,
and issues impacting the global health care sector
Sector overview
Global health care
spend to grow at
5.2% annually to 2018
Global health care spend
represents 10.6% of GDP
Where’s the growth expected?
Western
Europe
North
America
4.9%
2.4%
8.1%
Asia
Middle
East and
Africa
Latin
America
4.6%
8.7%
Contradictory forces influence
health care spending
•Aging population
•Growth of
emerging markets
•Advances in
treatments
Aging population
Percentage age 60 and over
•Heath care
cost reduction
pressure
2.4%
7.6%
1980-2010
2010-2040
Global health care drivers — chronic disease
63% of deaths
Total deaths from
diabetes are project
to rise by more than
50% in the next
10 years
in 2008 were from
non-communicable
diseases
By 2020, tobacco
will kill 7.5 million
people per year,
accounting for 10% of
all deaths worldwide
Top issues and trends
Regulations
and compliance
Cost
Key issues in
2015
Adapting
to market forces
Transformation
and digital
innovation
Adapting factors
Cost increase
Cost
to market forces
Regulations
and compliance
Higher premiums,
OPP
Risk,
regulations,
and compliance
Affordable Care Act
Overuse of services
Coverage expansion
Austerity measures
Disruptive
technologies
Transformation
Pressure
to contain costs and demonstrate value
and digital
is coming
from all sides
innovation
Governments
Providers
Health plans
Life sciences
companies
Political uncertainty, persistent
economic stress, and austerity
measures in numerous countries
are calling into question the
sustainability of public health
care funding
Consumers
New value-basedcare models focus on
maximizing value (lower
cost and higher quality)
are being increasingly
looked at as a solution
Continual cost increases and
margin erosion are impacting
all stakeholders
Adapting
to market forces
Risk,
regulations,
Market forces
and compliance
Disruptive
technologies
Transformation
and digital
innovation
Increasing role of government
Governments introducing
broad reforms to cut cost and
improve quality
Scale to prosper
Vertical and horizontal
integration, cross-industry M&A
Competition for talent
Number of doctors to remain
flat, uneven distribution of
caregivers, opportunities
outside of home markets
Improving access to care
Emerging market expansion,
innovative solutions outside
of traditional models
Consumerism
Patients engagement increasing
due to rising out-of-pocket costs,
more choice, better access
to information and shift to
patient-driven health care models
Globally, the number of doctors
per 1,000 population is expected to
remain virtually the same between
2012 and 2015
Risk,
regulations,
and compliance
Adapting
to market forces
Transformation
and digital
innovation
Disruptive
Adoption
of new digital HIT advances is transforming
technologies
the way stakeholders interact
Cost
Technology
Risk,
Adapting
regulations,
mHealth,
telemedicine, AM, AI, diagnostics,
wearables,
to market
forces are seen as a potential
and compliance
big data,
and analytics
way to
improve the care process
Regulations
and compliance
Disruptive
Environment is complex and
evolving
Transformation
and digital
innovation
Challenges
Challenges exist in widespread adoption due to
patient engagement, security, and privacy
technologies
Much focus on drug and
patient safety
Protected health information
impacted by security breaches
and cyber attacks
Push for payment transparency
continues to take center stage
Health care security and privacy challenges
Safeguarding security and privacy likely to become more
challenging with the evolving health care landscape
New technologies
EHR/ePHI
Increased regulatory scrutiny
Population health/
new care models
Risk data flow
and number of players
Health care stakeholders
Growing consumerism
Escalated risk
PHR
EHR: Electronic health record; ePHI: Electronic protected health information; PHR: Personal health record
To learn more about the global trends and issues impacting the global health care sector as well as outlooks for
13 countries, please visit our 2015 global health care sector outlook at www.deloitte.com/healthcareoutlook.
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© 2015. For information, contact Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited.