Social sustainability?
Transcription
Social sustainability?
Welcome address Franc Zupanič University of Maribor, Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, Smetanova 17, SI-2000 Maribor, Slovenia 1 Introduction to sustainable technologies Franc Zupanič University of Maribor, Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, Smetanova 17, SI-2000 Maribor, Slovenia 2 Evolution of human forms Evolution of human forms from ape to Homo sapiens sapiens - the evolution needed several million years - the stone age lasted approx. 3.4 million years up to 6000 BC - the copper age (at least from 5000 BC, Rudnik, Serbia) - the bronze age (3000 BC to 1200 BC) - the iron age (1200 BC to 700 AD) - the industrial revolution (the end of the 18th century) The bronze artefacts The iron artefacts 3 The industrial revolution The industrial revolution brought tremendous changes in the way how we produce things and our style of life. And this still continues in our GLOBAL world. 4 Achievements during the last two centuries - we can fly we can dive we can built very high buildings we can go to the space we can easily travel around the world - we can be interconnected all the time - and everybody wants to have access to this possibilities… - and we want these and more should be available for our children… 5 Sustainable development Sustainable development is requirred if we want that achievements will not be limited to our generation or just a few people! Three main areas and their interconnection - social - economic - environmental - To which extent is our civilization sustainable? - very low… 6 Resources From where we can get the resourses we need? From the Earth, but the resources are neither uniformly distributed nor unlimited… The Earth materials resources energy; food; water Asteroid belt, other planets and their moons, perhaps sometimes in the future 7 Social sustainability? The human population growth - Dawn of agriculture, about 8000 B.C., approximately 5 million - Over the 8,000-year period up to 1 A.D. from 200600 million; a growth rate of 0.05% per year - It had taken all of human history until around 1800 for world population to reach one billion - the second billion was achieved in only 130 years (1930), - the third billion in less than 30 years (1959), the fourth billion in 15 years (1974), and the fifth billion in only 13 years (1987) - 20th century:the population has grown from 1.65 http://www.worldometers.info/world-population/ billion to 6 billion - In 1970, there were roughly half as many people in the world as there are now - It will now take over 200 years to double again 8 The social sustainability will be probably the toughest challange? The universal declaration of human rights Article 2. • Everyone is entitled to all the rights and freedoms set forth in this Declaration, without distinction of any kind, such as race, colour, sex, language, religion, political or other opinion, national or social origin, property, birth or other status. Furthermore, no distinction shall be made on the basis of the political, jurisdictional or international status of the country or territory to which a person belongs, whether it be independent, trust, non-self-governing or under any other limitation of sovereignty. 9 Social sustainability? Growth of urban areas • Situation – The urban population in 2014 accounted for 54% of the total global population, up from 34% in 1960, and continues to grow. It is estimated that by 2017, even in less developed countries, a majority of people will be living in urban areas. our beautiful Maribor • Trends – The global urban population is expected to grow approximately 1.84% per year between 2015 and 2020, 1.63% per year between 2020 and 2025, and 1.44% per year between 2025 and 2030. favela - slum 10 Social sustainability? The difference between the richest and poorest increases - Eighty people hold the same amount of wealth as the world’s 3.6 billion poorest people. http://www.forbes.com/billionaires/list/2/#version:static - The report from the global anti-poverty organization finds that since 2009, the wealth of those 80 richest has doubled in nominal terms — while the wealth of the poorest 50 percent of the world’s population has fallen. - The global wealth inequality is increasing while the rich get richer. If trends continue, the organization projects that the richest 1 percent of people will have more wealth than the remaining 99 percent by 2016. - but the total wealth in the world increases… http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/meet-the-80-people-who-are-as-rich-as-half-the-world/ 11 Social & environmental sustainability? Water resources - the access to water will be the main reason for the future wars - there is a tendency for privatizing water resources?! 12 Social sustainability? Political tensions & wars - produces many victims - refugees - are the world leaders also helpless as refugees?! 13 Environmental sustainability? Aral see - Amu darya - Syr darya - used to transform the desert into farms for cotton and other crops 14 Environmental sustainability? Environmental degradation - excessive deforesting - oil transportation and accidents - global warming 15 Environmental sustainability? Rare earth elements - highly important for several advanced technologies (mobile phones, ultra-strong magnets… strategic material (mainly in China) manufacturing can cause strong pollution 16 What can do the largest players (countries, multinational corporations? China's Premier Li Keqiang sets out economic goals China's Premier Li Keqiang unveiled a lower growth target and pledged tighter environmental controls as he opened parliament's annual session. Addressing the National People's Congress (NPC), Mr Li said China would target growth of about 7% in 2015. - Still - 7 % growth per year will double the production in approximately 10 years (exponential function!) With traditional drivers of growth weakening, more structural reform was needed going forward, he said. Describing pollution as a "blight" on quality of life, he said environmental laws would be strictly enforced. Some 3,000 legislators from across China convene for the annual legislative session at Beijing's Great Hall of the People. http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-31743598 17 What can we do ourselfes? We can do! - as human beings - responsible citizen clever consumption healthy criticism not believe everything what is sold… - as professionals - teaching - developing better solutions… - if everybody does what is necessary then we can solve all problems 18 Iron & Steel Steel - annual production 1.5 Bt - primary production is highly energy and material intensive - however, more and more steel is produced from the scrap, with much smaller energy and material consumption… 19 Manufacturing technologies Metals - casting - powder metallurgy • Completely new technologies • Improvements of the current technologies - sintering - additive technologies - machining forming heat treatments thermomechanical treatments joining - welding - brazing - surface engineering - surface modification - thin films… 20 Casting - melting from few grams to several tons increase the yield – near-net shape reduction of energy consumpion, exhaust gases… 21 Machining - complex shapes high precision coolants, lubricants energy consumption "Small CNC Turning Center" by Nathaniel C. Sheetz. Licensed under CC BY-SA 3.0 via Wikimedia Commons http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Small_CNC_Turning_Center.jpg#/media/File:Small_CNC_Turning_Center.jpg 22 Powder metallurgy Sustainable - environmental - economic - competitive advantage - powder production - high precision - relatively small energy consumption - net shape or near-net shape 23 Forming - energy - near-net shape - small material loss 24 Heat & thermomechanical treatment - varying properties in large range - energy consumption - achieving final properties - enabling further processing - variation of bulk or only surface properties 25 Joining • • • • fusion welding friction-stir welding brazing … 26 Surface engineering - thick and thin film - surface modification 27 And much more… 28
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