Homework 5
Transcription
Homework 5
Now consider the following two models: (i ) Only unexpected money matters, so y t = a ′ zt −1 +be t +v t ; (ii) all money matters, so y t = α ′ zt −1 +βm t +νt . In each specification, the disturbance is i.i.d. and uncorrelated with zt −1 and e t . Econ 701 – Survey of Macroeconomics (a ) Is it possible to distinguish between these two theories? That is, given a Manopimoke, Spring 2015 candidate set of parameter values under, say, model (i ), are there param eter values under model (ii ) that have the same predictions? Explain. Homework 5 (b ) Suppose that the Federal Reserve also responds to some variables that do not directly affect output; that is, suppose m t = c ′ zt −1 + γ ′ wt −1 + e t and that models (i ) and (ii ) are as before (with their distubances now uncorrelated with wt −1 as well as with zt −1 and e t ). In this case, is it posQuestion 1 sible to distinguish between the two theories? Explain. 6.16. Consider an economy consisting of some firms with flexible prices and some with rigid prices. Let p f denote the price set by a representative flexible-price firm and p r the price set by a representative rigid-price firm. Flexible-price firms set their prices after m is known; rigid-price firms set their prices before m is known. Thus flexible-price firms set p f = p i∗ = (1 − φ) p + φm, and rigid-price firms set p r = E p i∗ = (1 − φ)E p + φE m, where E denotes the expectation of a variable as of when the rigid-price firms set their prices. Assume that fraction q of firms have rigid prices, so that p = qp r + (1−q)p f . (a ) Find p f in terms of p r , m, and the parameters of the model (φ and q). (b ) Find p r in terms of Em and the parameters of the model. (c ) (i ) Do anticipated changes in m (that is, changes that are expected as of when rigid-price firms set their prices) affect y ? Why or why not? (ii ) Do unanticipated changes in m affect y ? Why or why not? Question 2 Consider the Lucas Imperfect Information model where producers observe 𝑝! but not p (and hence not 𝑟! ). Consider two economies, one in which the money supply is very stable and one in which the money supply is highly variable. Explain how the aggregate supply curves of these two economies will differ. Question 3 Consider an economy consisting of many imperfectly competitive firms. The profits that a firm loses relative to what it obtains with 𝑝! = 𝑝∗ are 𝐾 (𝑝! − 𝑝∗ )! , 𝐾 > 0. As usual, we have p*=p+ϕy and y=m-‐p. Each firm faces a fixed cost Z of changing its nominal price. Initially m is 0 and the economy is at its flexible-price equilibrium, which is y = 0 and p = m = 0. Now suppose m changes to m ′. (a) Suppose that fraction f of firms change their prices. Since the firms that change their prices charge p∗ and the firms that do not charge 0, this implies p=fp∗. Use this fact to find p, y, and p∗ as functions of m′ and f. The Microeconomic Foundations of 7Price Econ 01 – Rigidity Survey of Macroeconomics Additional Homework Problems Manopimoke, Spring 2015 ECON 3133 (b) Plot a firm’s incentive to adjustDr. itsKeen price, K(0 − p∗)2 = Kp∗2, as a function of f. Be sure to distinguish the cases φ<1 and φ > 1. 1. Suppose that the Lucas supply curve is (c) A firm adjusts its price if the benefit exceeds Z, does not adjust if the f benefit is less than Z, and Y is=indifferent if the n×h×(1 – b)×(P – Pbenefit ) + Y*, is exactly Z. Given this, can there be a situation where both adjustment by all firms and adjustment by no with n×h×(1 – b) = 20,000 Y* =be4,000. For example, when the price level P is by 1.01 firms are equilibria? Canand there aFoundations situation where neither adjustment alland The Microeconomic of Price Rigidity the expected price Pf is 1.0, output Y isHomework 4,200, or 5% above potential output Y* = 4,000. firms nor adjustment by Additional no firms is an equilibrium? Problems Suppose that the aggregate demand curve is 3133 ECON Question 4 Dr. Keen Y = 1,101 + 1.288×G + 3.221×MS/P. a. Suppose the economy has been 1. Suppose that that the Lucas supply curve is at rest for some period with output at potential, and that no changes in policy are expected for the near future. The money supply MS is 600 f YG = is n×h×(1 – b)×(P – the P ) price + Y*,level. and government spending 750. Calculate with n×h×(1 – b) =that 20,000 and announces Y* = 4,000.that Forit example, whenthe themoney price level P isfrom 1.01600 andto b. Now suppose the Fed will increase supply f the expected price P is 1.0, output Y is 4,200, or 5% above potential output Y* = 4,000. 620. What are the new levels of output and the price level? Suppose that the aggregate demand curve is c. Now suppose that the Fed announces that it will increase S the money supply from 600 to Y = 1,101 + 1.288×G + 3.221×M /P. of output and the price level? 620 but actually increases it to 670. What are the new levels a. Suppose that the economy has been at rest for some period with output at potential, and that nothat changes policy are the near The money MS is 600wage 2. Suppose wage in contracts lastexpected for threefor years. Eachfuture. year, one-third of supply the economy’s and government spending G is 750. Calculate price level. contracts are renegotiated. Contract wages are setthe according to b. NowXsuppose that the that it will increase the–money supply from 600 to = (1/3)×(W + WFed W+2) – (d/3)×[(U – U*) + (U+1 U*) + (U +1 +announces +2 – U*)]. 620. What are the new levels of output and the price level? a. Provide an expression for the average wage rate W. c. Now suppose that the Fed announces that it will increase the money supply from 600 to b. 620 Calculate the wage set thisit period a function X’slevels and U’s. Howand farthe backwardand but actually increases to 670.as What are the of new of output price level? forward-looking is the wage-determination process? What determines the responsiveness of contract wages to current labor market conditions? 2. Suppose that wage contracts last for three years. Each year, one-third of the economy’s wage Question 5 contracts are renegotiated. Contract wages are set according to 3. “If expectations are rational, monetary policy has no effect on output.” Is this statement true X Explain = (1/3)×(W W+1 + W – U*) +with (U+1the – U*) + (U +2) – (d/3)×[(U +2 – U*)]. or false? your+ answer calling on both models Lucas supply function and models with wage contracts and sticky prices. a. Provide an expression for the average wage rate W. b. Calculate the wage set this period as a function of X’s and U’s. How far backward- and forward-looking is the wage-determination process? What determines the responsiveness of contract wages to current labor market conditions? 3. “If expectations are rational, monetary policy has no effect on output.” Is this statement true or false? Explain your answer calling on both models with the Lucas supply function and models with wage contracts and sticky prices.