2016 Q1
Transcription
2016 Q1
ELECTRONIC COMMUNICATIONS MARKET IN TURKEY MARKET DATA (2016 Q1)* (*) In the event of any discrepancy, the original report in Turkish shall prevail. AGENDA Chairman’s Note Executive Summary Market Overview Consumer Complaints Market Data Fixed Broadband Internet Mobile Other Services 2 CHAIRMAN’S NOTE On the other hand, compared with the previous periods, developments in the market during the 1st quarter of 2016 imply important changes in the market which can be summarized as below. • Total net sales of operators is 39.9 billion ₺ for the year 2015 and 10.5 billion ₺ for the 1st quarter of 2016. The increase rate between 2015 Q1 and 2016 Q1 is 14%. • As of the end of first quarter, there are 11.3 million fixed subscribers. Number of mobile subscribers is more than 73.8 million which corresponds to 93.7% mobile penetration. Excluded number of M2M subscribers and of 0-9 age range, mobile penetration is 106.7%. This figure shows citizens have at least one mobile phone subscription in average excluding 0-9 age range. In the first quarter of 2016, Turkey has ranked first among the European countries with the average monthly mobile usage (MoU) of 402 minutes, as it was the case in the previous periods. During this period, 3.2 million mobile subscribers ported their numbers. Up to now over 93 million numbers have been ported. As to broadband indicators, there are 51.7 million total broadband subscribers of which 9.8 million is fixed broadband and 41.9 million is mobile broadband. The increase rate between 2015 Q1 and 2016 Q1 is 20.6%. Increase rate in Fiber to the Home (FTTH) has been the highest one with 34% and then follows mobile broadband (via cellphone) with 25%. • 2015 has been an important and impressive year for Turkish electronic communications market. Mobile licenses for 4.5G (IMT Advanced) services have been granted and also, in line with the vision pointed out by the President and Prime Minister of Turkey, regulations requiring operators to use domestic and national resources while deploying electronic communications network have been issued in 2015. Important advancements have been realized as a result of the work conducted together with our operators, vendors and relevant public bodies in order to achieve and even go beyond the targets defined considering these regulations. However these efforts should be continued with an increasing pace. • Length of fiber in Turkey reached 272,550 km in 2016 Q1 from 249,516 km in 2015 Q1 with and increase rate of more than 9%. Last but not least, within the studies regarding BTK online complaint system, as of January 2016 complaints forwarded from Prime Ministry Communications Center (BİMER) have been included to the BTK online system, which apparently caused an increase in number of complaints by consumers. However we had the opportunity to have comprehensively access to and analyse consumer complaints which are an important information source we used in our future regulations relevant to 4.5G services have been launched commercially as of 1st of April 2016 and in only 2 consumers. months, i.e. as of end of May 2016, number of active 4.5G users reached 12.1 million. In May 2016, data usage of the 4.5G subscribers who have 4.5G compatible It’s my pleasure to represent this valuable report containing the developments in terminal and SIM card has been 3.1 GByte per month, while non 4.5G subscribers’ Turkey’s electronic communications market in 1st quarter of 2016 and I would like usage is 1.4 GByte. This shows that 4.5G subscribers who have 4.5G compatible to take this opportunity to wish for a fruitful outcome of the forthcoming quarters. terminal and SIM card have used mobile internet more than two fold compared to Yours sincerely other mobile broadband users. After launching of 4.5G services mobile broadband speeds have significantly increased in Turkey. Measurements conducted in big cities (such as İstanbul, Ankara and İzmir) indicate 7-8 fold increases in speeds of which details take place in the report. But we have to mention that the service is newly launched and operators are still expanding their network in accordance with the coverage obligations. 3 Dr. Ömer Fatih SAYAN President of the Authority Chairman of the Board EXECUTıVE SUMMARY (MARKET OVERVıEW) There are 582 operators providing service within a total of 930 authorizations as of May 27th, 2016. Total net sales of Türk Telekom and mobile network operators approximately worth 8.3 billion ₺, while other operators’ total net sales approximately worth 2.3 billion ₺. Total investments of Türk Telekom and mobile network operators is around 1.4 billion ₺’s. Total investment of other operators has been realized as 255.5 million ₺s in the first quarter of 2016. Mobile traffic volume is 56.8 billion minutes and fixed traffic volume is 2.4 billion minutes in the first quarter of 2016. 4 EXECUTıVE SUMMARY (FıXED MARKET) There are approximately 11.3 million fixed telephony subscribers and penetration rate is 14.4%. However, considering the fact that average household size is around 3.60 in Turkey, we may assume fixed telephony services reach to a significant proportion of population. Number of Carrier Pre-Selection (CPS) users is 194,981, while the number of users having call-by-call carrier selection services is 57,730. Percentage of PSTN revenues on total revenues of Türk Telekom is 32.2%, while the proportion of access revenues is around 54.2%. “On-net traffic/total traffic” ratio for Türk Telekom is 61.8%. On the other hand; proportion of traffic to mobile networks is 30.5% of total traffic. 5 EXECUTıVE SUMMARY (FıXED MARKET) Market share of alternative operators for local calls is 17.8%, while Türk Telekom has a market share of 82.2%. Market share of alternative operators for national calls is 46.7%, while Türk Telekom has a market share of 53.3%. Market share of alternative operators for calls to mobile networks is 42.3%, while Türk Telekom has a market share of 57.7%. Market share of alternative operators for international call origination is 34.5%, while Türk Telekom has a market share of 65.5%. Market share of alternative operators for international calls terminated on fixed network is 56.2%, while Türk Telekom has a market share of 43.8%. 6 EXECUTıVE SUMMARY (FıXED MARKET) Market share of alternative operators for international calls terminated on mobile networks is 78.5%, while Türk Telekom has a market share of 21.5%. Market share of alternative operators for call origination from fixed network is 32.6% (share in total traffic), while Türk Telekom has a market share of 67.4%. Germany is the most frequently communicated country via fixed networks (outgoing and incoming). Fixed Minutes of Usage (MoU) is 134. Türk Telekom’s ARPU is 23.9 ₺. 7 EXECUTıVE SUMMARY (BROADBAND ıNTERNET) The number of broadband subscribers, which was 6 million in 2008, is around 51.7 million(*) Number of internet subscribers in Turkey increased by 6.5% as compared to the previous quarter thanks to the increase in number of mobile and fibre internet subscribers. Annual growth rate of total number of internet subscribers has reached to 20.6%. Number of xDSL subscribers in the first quarter is over 7.3 million. Number of mobile broadband subscribers (computer and mobile handset) is around 41.9 million. (*) Mobile broadband ratio given here is updated. Currently, it includes the subscribers who have used packages less than one month period, who have used packages longer than one month period and who have accessed internet without any packages. Previously, it was just consisted of the subscribers who had packages longer than one month period. 8 EXECUTıVE SUMMARY (BROADBAND ıNTERNET) Number of cable internet subscribers reached to 653,177. Nearly 68.8% of fixed broadband subscribers in Turkey prefer offers providing 10-30 Mbps download speeds. 80% of users connecting to mobile internet via computer have a data usage of 100 Mb and above. Almost 16.5% of subscribers are within the 0-50 Mb interval. 9 EXECUTıVE SUMMARY (MOBıLE MARKET) There are around 73.8 million mobile subscribers corresponding to 93.7% penetration rate. Mobile penetration rate exceeds 100% when 0-9 year’s old population are excluded. Number of 3G subscribers in the first quarter is over 65.9 million. Turkcell has 45.2%, Vodafone has 30.8% and Avea has 24% market share according to the number of subscribers. Nearly 51% of total mobile subscribers are pre-paid users. Almost 10.4% of total mobile subscribers are corporate subscribers while the rest are individuals. Churn rates are 2.5% for Turkcell, 3.2% for Vodafone and 3% for Avea. 10 EXECUTıVE SUMMARY (MOBıLE MARKET) As of May 16th, 2016 total number of ported numbers are over 93.8 million(cumulative). M2M subscribers reached almost 3.4 million in the first quarter of 2016. Germany is the most frequently communicated country via mobile networks (outgoing and incoming). Total number of SMS is around 22.9 billion and number of MMS is 17.7 million. With respect to revenues, market share of Turkcell is 40.1% while market shares of Vodafone and Avea are 38.5% and 21.4% respectively. 11 EXECUTıVE SUMMARY (MOBıLE MARKET) Voice revenues make up 59% of Turkcell’s total revenues, 38.6% of Vodafone’s and 45.1% of Avea’s. SMS+MMS revenues make up 5.5% of Turkcell’s revenue and corresponding figures are 8.3% for Avea and 9.8% for Vodafone. Data revenues make up 48.4% for Vodafone, 42.4% for Avea and 28.5% for Turkcell. ARPU is 24.5 ₺ for Turkcell, 25.2 ₺ for Vodafone and 23.7 ₺ for Avea. As of March 2016, Turkcell’s MoU is 340, Vodafone’s MoU is 469 and Avea’s MoU is 524. Overall MoU rate for Turkey is 402 minutes for 2016 Q1. 12 EXECUTıVE SUMMARY (OTHER OPERATORS) Alternative operators have fiber length of 58,155 km, while Türk Telekom has 214,395 km of fiber infrastructure. Nearly 124,374 km of this infrastructure is used for backbone and the remaining is used for access. Infrastructure operators’ total revenue is around 280.6 million ₺. TURKSAT, as an operator of cable broadcasting services, has 1,163,041 cable TV subscribers and has 835,016 digital cable TV subscribers. Number of subscribers having GMPCS mobile telephony services is 7,909 and corresponding revenue is approximately 2 million ₺. 13 EXECUTıVE SUMMARY (OTHER OPERATORS) Satellite communication operators provide services such as international internet connections, video conference and point-topoint international satellite data circuits, to 10,558 subscribers. Total revenue generated from these services is approximately 105.2 million ₺. Total number of calls for directory services is 5,787,491 and the corresponding call time is 9,441,829 minutes. Total revenue of DQ operators is approximately 17 million ₺. Number of subscribers having PMR/PAMR services is 2,784, number of users is 110,840 and the total revenue is around 8 million ₺. 14 MARKET OVERVıEW Number of Authorizations Based on Authorization Type (As of May 27th, 2016) Authorization Type Services Number of Authorizations Authorization Agreement Satellite and Cable TV Services 1 GSM Services 3 IMT-2000/UMTS Services 3 Several Telecommunication Services 1 Satellite Telecommunication Services 43 Satellite Platform Services 19 Infrastructure Operation Services 175 Internet Service Providers 282 Fixed Telephony Services 0 Cable TV Services 23 GMPCS Mobile Telephony Services 9 GSM 1800 Services on Air Vehicles 3 Mobile Virtual Network Operator Services 52 IMT Services 3 GMPCS Mobile Telephony Services 3 PMR/PAMR Services 80 Infrastructure Operation Services 9 Fixed Telephony Services 177 Directory Enquiry Services 13 Mobile Virtual Network Operator Services 31 Concession Agreement Authorized by Notification Authorized by Right of Use TOTAL 930 15 MARKET OVERVıEW Net Sales of Türk Telekom and Mobile Operators, ₺ IFRS 2011 2013 2014* 2015 Türk Telekom 7,191,004,808 7,846,543,953 7,774,326,701 7,698,705,632 Turkcell 8,030,300,214 8,723,533,175 9,123,141,855 9,371,204,954 10,060,441,508 Vodafone 4,333,479,363 4,917,505,698 5,734,389,736 6,747,411,285 8,427,327,284 Avea 3,080,495,071 3,474,743,736 3,838,111,740 4,312,489,175 4,966,653,570 Toplam TPL 2012 7,935,891,670 22,635,279,456 24,962,326,562 26,469,970,032 28,129,811,046 31,390,314,032 Türk Telekom 7,374,599,666 7,253,226,575 7,237,240,887 7,299,814,772 Turkcell 8,332,040,983 8,828,290,710 9,339,277,751 9,569,192,094 10,231,570,128 Vodafone 3,741,607,933 4,380,371,258 4,773,658,515 5,153,420,107 6,152,362,942 Avea 2,906,743,653 3,354,467,547 3,808,180,931 4,269,465,539 4,925,584,027 Toplam 7,551,953,946 22,354,992,235 23,816,356,090 25,158,358,084 26,291,892,512 28,861,471,043 IFRS: International Financial Reporting Standards, TPL: Tax Procedure Law (*) Vodafone updated its 2013 net sales data in 2014 Q4. Net Profit of Türk Telekom and Mobile Operators* , ₺ 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Türk Telekom 2,468,971,871 2,995,771,673 1,277,576,133 2,483,731,826 1,302,398,865 Turkcell 2,262,195,067 2,421,010,843 2,365,193,056 2,300,631,352 1,730,528,891 Vodafone -696,907,047 -91,669,117 40,981,479 53,634,967 -132,072,305 -1,054,556,808 -752,521,475 -726,954,492 -793,497,469 -935,100,076 Avea (*) Based on the income statements of operators notified to ICTA. 16 MARKET OVERVıEW Net Sales of Türk Telekom and Mobile Operators, ₺ 2015-1 2015-2 2015-3 2015-4 2016-1 Türk Telekom 1,862,988,411 1,951,343,398 2,013,618,731 2,107,941,130 2,042,943,943 Turkcell 2,350,445,902 2,459,377,063 2,675,461,611 2,575,156,931 2,494,371,584 Vodafone 1,911,129,199 2,041,958,118 2,225,064,392 2,249,175,575 2,392,685,504 Avea 1,166,441,198 1,219,400,904 1,298,685,471 1,282,125,997 1,333,879,407 TOTAL 7,291,004,710 7,672,079,484 8,212,830,205 8,214,399,633 8,263,880,437 Net Sales of Other Operators, ₺ Operator Type Internet Service Providers 2015-1 2015-2 2015-3 2015-4 2016-1 1,229,591,322 1,172,755,954 1,244,261,171 1,369,560,341 1,417,480,392 Fixed Telephony 290,659,607 312,922,030 356,565,792 323,165,266 305,506,599 Infrastructure 177,774,738 183,318,996 287,431,702 265,878,742 280,554,493 Satellite Telecommunication 85,567,472 91,223,658 95,412,128 86,335,030 105,174,642 Directory Information 17,982,552 18,334,603 18,625,267 20,046,004 17,279,778 Cable TV 125,188,262 132,264,966 130,944,904 125,414,280 118,701,179 GMPCS 2,163,121 2,085,250 1,908,760 4,053,900 1,981,717 PMR/PMAR 5,398,125 3,780,333 3,817,140 5,063,303 8,032,075 TOTAL 1,934,325,199 1,916,685,790 • Based on the quarterly notifications of operators to ICTA. 2,138,966864 2,199,516,866 2,254,710,874 17 MARKET OVERVıEW Annual Investments of Türk Telekom and Mobile Operators*, ₺ 2011 Türk Telekom 2012 2013 2014 2015 1,371,661,333 1,430,588,567 1,372,029,459 1,012,532,009 1,219,033,242 Turkcell 894,292,037 947,118,055 1,057,753,655 1,360,000,236 6,772,281,657 Vodafone 799,790,150 588,602,244 621,412,373 942,973,136 3,853,415,613 Avea 799,871,481 756,699,109 705,706,896 782,085,603 4,112,035,110 3,865,615,001 3,723,007,975 3,756,902,383 4,097,590,985 15,956,765,623 TOTAL (*) Based on the income statements of operators notified to ICTA. Quarterly Investments of Türk Telekom and Mobile Operators, ₺ 2015-1 Türk Telekom 2015-2 2015-3 2015-4 2016-1 75,557,021 194,667,540 214,079,059 734,729,622 60,091,525 Turkcell 221,053,493 428,714,634 277,381,660 5,845,131,870 470,329,809 Vodafone 368,452,571 201,143,309 262,192,992 3,021,626,741 400,624,937 Avea 158,318,364 192,428,722 233,125,848 3,528,162,177 471,044,240 TOTAL 823,381,449 1,016,954,205 986,779,559 13,129,650,410 1,402,090,512 Quarterly Investment of Other Operators, ₺ Other Operators 18 2015-1 2015-2 2015-3 2015-4 2016-1 163,014,182 179,944,099 467,398,743 507,851,338 255,491,612 MARKET OVERVıEW Annual Voice Traffic Volume, Billion Minutes 250 150 202,6 189,2 200 168,9 132,2 149,5 19,4 219,1 14,0 16,7 21,8 23,6 23,9 100 50 108,2 233,9 11,3 147,1 125,8 169,8 185,9 2012 2013 205,2 222,6 0 2009 2010 2011 Mobile Fixed 2014 2015 Total Quarterly Voice Traffic Volume, Billion Minutes 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 51,0 3,8 47,2 55,8 3,7 56,4 3,3 55,9 3,2 55,3 3,1 52,1 53,1 52,7 52,2 59,3 2,9 56,4 2,6 59,7 2,7 59,2 2,4 56,4 57,1 56,9 56,8 19 2014-1 2014-2 2014-3 2014-4 Mobile 2015-1 Fixed 2015-2 Total 2015-3 2015-4 2016-1 MARKET OVERVıEW Total Traffic Distribution, Million Minutes 2016-1 54.016 1.479 934 2.749 2015-4 54.172 1.6891.017 2.774 2015-3 54.230 1.603972 2.827 2015-2 53.679 1.875 1.024 2.725 2015-1 49.449 2.119 1.017 2.748 2014-4 49.927 2.1731.046 2.802 2014-3 50.277 2.1861.105 2.829 2014-2 49.493 2.503 1.198 2.610 2014-1 44.652 2.6331.128 2.587 0% 10% 20% Mobile to Mobile 30% 40% Fixed to Fixed 50% 60% Fixed to Other 70% 80% 90% Mobile to Other 100% Total Traffic Distribution, % 2016-1 91,3 4,6 2,5 1,6 2015-4 90,8 4,7 2,8 1,7 2015-3 90,9 4,7 2,7 1,6 2015-2 90,5 4,6 3,2 1,7 2015-1 89,7 5,0 3,8 1,5 2014-4 89,2 5,0 3,9 1,9 2014-3 89,1 5,0 3,9 2,0 2014-2 88,7 4,7 4,5 2,1 2014-1 87,6 0% 10% 20% Mobile to Mobile 5,1 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Mobile to Other Fixed to Fixed Fixed to Other 5,2 2,2 100% 20 CONSUMER COMPLAıNTS # and % of Consumer Complaints for Each Service, 2016 Q1 Fixed Telephony Services; 2,903; 10% Satellite Platform Services ; 2,133; 7% Cable TV Services; 105; 0% Mobile Services; 13,122; 45% ISP Services; 11,134; 38% # of Consumer Complaints per «1 million Subscribers» 21 FıXED MARKET Fixed-Line Subscribers and Penetration Rate 24 22,3 20,6 16 18,3 14 20 17,7 16,3 14,6 14,4 4 11,32 11,49 12,53 13,55 6 16 12 13,86 8 15,21 10 16,20 Millions 12 (%) 18 8 4 2 0 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 Number of Subscribers 2014 2015 2016-1 Penetration 22 FıXED MARKET Number of Users of FTS Providers, 2016 Q1 Method Carrier Pre-selection Call-by-call Carrier Selection 2015-1 2015-2 2015-3 2015-4 2016-1 150,903 151,565 161,503 180,462 194,981 79,204 77,589 69,289 61,326 57,730 Market Shares of FTS Providers Based on # of Users, 2016 Q1 Alternative Operators Market Share (%) TTNET 53.6 Superonline 15.3 Turknet 9.1 İş Net 5.4 Vodafone Net 4.1 Millenicom 3.8 Netgsm 2.4 TTM Telekom 1.7 Alfa İletişim 1.5 Others 3.1 23 FıXED MARKET Breakdown of Annual Fixed Revenues of Türk Telekom, % 2015 34,8 2014 47,9 39,6 2013 42,1 47,7 2012 3,5 4,2 9,6 3,8 4,8 9,8 4,3 4,8 38,5 56,6 31,6 4,7 5,3 3,9 2,7 2011 60,6 27,0 6,4 2010 60,5 27,1 6,9 3,4 2,1 2009 61,4 24,3 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% PSTN Access 50% Leased Lines 60% 70% Interconnection 7,6 80% 90% 3,7 2,2 3,3 3,5 100% Others Breakdown of Quarterly Fixed Revenues of Türk Telekom, % 2016-1 32,2 2015-4 31,6 2015-3 54,2 47,4 33,9 2015-2 10% 20% PSTN 3,5 49,0 38,4 0% 3,3 3,7 48,1 35,7 2015-1 3,5 3,6 30% Access 40% 50% Leased Lines 60% 14,0 4,5 9,9 3,5 4,4 47,0 4,3 3,8 70% Interconnection 80% 6,6 90% Others 7,5 6,6 100% 24 FıXED MARKET Breakdown of Türk Telekom’s Traffic, % 2016-1 61,8 2,3 30,5 5,2 2015-4 65,3 2,3 27,6 4,8 2015-3 64,7 2,5 28,2 4,5 2015-2 67,5 2015-1 2,4 69,8 0% 20% 2,2 40% On-Net International 60% Mobile 25,9 4,2 23,7 4,3 80% FTS 100% Others Breakdown of Türk Telekom’s Traffic, Million Minutes 2015-1 2015-2 2015-3 2015-4 2016-1 On-net 1,501 1,385 1,165 1,229 1,015 International 47 49 46 44 38 Mobile 509 531 507 519 502 FTS 92 87 82 90 85 DQ Services - - - - 3 TOTAL 2,150 2,052 1,800 1,881 1,643 25 FıXED MARKET Market Shares Based on Voice Revenues*, % 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 14 15 17 16 17 86 85 83 84 83 2015-1 2015-2 2015-4 2016-1 2015-3 TT FTS (*) Calculated from minute-based voice revenues of TT and net sales of FTS providers. Call Origination Market Shares from Fixed Networks, % 100% 80% 44 44 48 46 51 56 56 52 54 49 60% 40% 20% 26 0% 2015-1 2015-2 2015-3 TT 2015-4 FTS 2016-1 FıXED MARKET FTS and TT Comparison for Local Calls, % 100 85,5 80 85,0 85,1 82,2 84,3 (%) 60 40 15,7 20 14,9 14,5 17,8 15,0 0 2015-1 2015-2 2015-3 TT 2015-4 2016-1 FTS FTS and TT Comparison for National Calls, % 80 (%) 60 40 57,7 58,4 56,4 57,8 42,3 41,6 43,6 42,2 53,3 46,7 (*) Market Shares are based on traffic volume. 20 27 0 2015-1 2015-2 2015-3 TT 2015-4 FTS 2016-1 FıXED MARKET FTS and TT Comparison for F2M Calls, % 80 (%) (*) Market Shares are based on traffic volume. 56,4 56,4 55,0 45,5 43,6 43,6 45,0 2015-1 2015-2 2015-3 60 54,5 40 57,7 42,3 20 0 TT FTS and TT Comparison for International Calls, % 80 61,6 65,5 (%) 60 40 38,4 34,5 34,6 31,8 0 2015-2 2015-3 TT FTS Most Frequently Communicated Countries via Fixed Networks Highest Rate of Traffic Highest Rate of Traffic Sent to Received From Germany Germany Pakistan France UK UK KKTC Greece Bulgaria KKTC 31,6 20 2015-1 2016-1 68,4 68,2 65,4 2015-4 2015-4 FTS 2016-1 28 FıXED MARKET FTS and TT Comparison for International Incoming Calls Terminated on Fixed Networks, % 80 70 58,5 60 61,9 57,5 (%) 50 40 48,6 56,2 51,4 43,8 42,5 41,5 38,1 30 20 10 0 2015-1 2015-2 2015-3 TT 2015-4 2016-1 FTS FTS and TT Comparison for International Incoming Calls Terminated on Mobile Networks, % 100 (%) 80 73,1 76,7 76,7 75,4 78,5 (*) Market Shares are based on traffic volume. 60 40 20 26,9 23,3 23,3 2015-1 2015-2 2015-3 24,6 21,5 0 TT 2015-4 FTS 2016-1 29 FıXED MARKET Fixed MoU, Minutes 160 137 145 134 139 2015-3 2015-4 134 120 80 40 0 2015-1 2015-2 2016-1 ARPU, ₺ 25 20 23,9 23,6 23,5 23,3 10 23,2 15 5 30 0 2015-1 2015-2 2015-3 2015-4 2016-1 BROADBAND ıNTERNET Number of Broadband Internet Subscribers* 51,7 55 48,6 50 41,2 45 9,8 9,5 40 32,6 Millions 35 27,6 30 7,9 20 14,3 15 5 0 8,4 22,3 25 10 8,9 8,8 6,0 6,0 2008 6,4 2,5 2009 39,1 7,6 7,1 14,7 41,9 32,4 19,7 24,2 7,2 2010 Fixed 2011 2012 2013 Mobile 2014 2015 Mar.16 Total 31 (*) Fixed, mobile, cable modem, fiber etc. all means of broadband access are included BROADBAND ıNTERNET Breakdown of Number of Internet Subscriptions Quarterly Growth Rate Annual Growth Rate (2015 Q4 – 2016 Q1) (2015 Q1 – 2016 Q1) 2015-1 2015-4 2016-1 xDSL 6,802,510 7,157,200 7,340,576 2.6% 7.9% Mobile Internet from Computer 1,543,816 1,597,606 1,465,689 -8.3% -5.1% Mobile Internet from Mobile Handset 32,391,046 37,469,948 40,482,100 8.0% 25.0% Cable Internet 575,461 629,064 653,177 3.8% 13.5% FTTH 512,126 641,776 687,974 7.2% 34.3% FTTB 1,002,024 1,030,852 1,044,767 1.3% 4.3% Other 94,798 90,845 93,831 3.3% -1.0% TOTAL 42,921,781 48,617,291 51,768,114 6.5% 20.6% 32 BROADBAND ıNTERNET Data on 3G Subscribers 2015-1 # of 3G Subscribers Mobile Internet from Computer Mobile Internet from Mobile Handset 2015-2 2015-4 2016-1 59,422,663 61,076,640 63,066,580 64,256,311 65,949,652 1,543,816 1,646,892* 1,662,797 1,597,606 1,465,689 32,391,046 34,232,558* 35,876,101 37,469,948 40,482,100 156,669 165,366 194,558 107,970 Mobil Internet Usage, Tbyte 2015-3 126,027 (*) 2015-Q2 data has been updated due to correction from operators Post-Paid and Pre-Paid Mobile Broadband Internet Subscriptions, 2016 Q1, % 100% 75% 51,1 46,8 51,5 48,9 53,2 48,5 50% 25% 33 0% Avea Vodafone Pre-Paid Post-Paid Turkcell BROADBAND ıNTERNET ISP Market Shares Based on # of Subscribers, 2016 Q1* Operator Breakdown of Other Means of Internet (by subscriber) 2015-1 2015-4 2016-1 Dial Up 45.734 45,143 44,997 ISDN BA/PA 15.291 14,854 14,739 Satellite Communications 10.418 10,441 10,558 Metro Ethernet 12.319 12,159 13,909 PLC, BPL 3.959 369 268 Frame Relay 43 37 32 ATM 15 13 13 Other 7.019 7,829 9,198 TOTAL 94.798 90,845 93,714 % TTNet 71.2 Superonline 17.8 Vodafone Net 3.9 Doğan TV Digital 3.6 Turknet 1.9 Millenicom 1.0 Others 0.6 (*) xDSL, Fiber, Metro, FR, PLC, ATM, etc. included cable and mobile connections are excluded. 34 BROADBAND ıNTERNET Distribution of Fixed Broadband Subscribers according to Technology and Operator, % 2016-1 58,6 16,5 6,7 17,7 2015-4 59,3 16,0 6,6 17,6 2015-3 60,8 6,5 17,4 2015-2 61,8 14,2 6,5 17,2 0,5 0,5 0,5 0,2 2015-1 62,7 13,4 6,4 16,9 0,5 2014-4 63,8 6,3 16,4 0,6 2014-3 65,0 5,9 16,0 0,7 2014-2 66,1 11,8 5,8 15,6 0,7 2014-1 66,9 11,5 5,8 15,0 0,8 2013-4 68,1 14,2 0,8 14,8 12,8 12,4 11,1 2013-3 70,5 2013-2 71,5 2013-1 72,7 2012-4 73,6 2012-3 74,9 2012-2 76,3 2012-1 5,8 10,9 5,9 10,8 10 20 30 10,8 xDSL TTNet 40 10,2 9,5 xDSL Other ISPs Cable 70 Fiber 1,0 9,3 1,0 8,2 1,0 7,1 1,1 6,3 6,1 1,0 6,3 4,9 1,0 6,4 10,6 60 10,7 6,3 10,8 50 0,9 6,1 78,2 0 11,8 80 Other 6,4 90 100 35 BROADBAND ıNTERNET Mobile Internet Usage Speeds from Computer, 2016 Q1, % 5,2 16,5 15,5 3,5 6,1 17,5 35,7 Connection Speeds for Fixed Broadband, 2016 Q1 0-50 MB 50-100 MB 100-250 MB 1-4 GB 4-8 GB >8 GB 250 MB-1 GB %3,9 Mobile Internet Usage Speeds from Mobile Handsets, 2016 Q1, % %21,4 2,2 %68,8 %0,4 8,2 %2,6 %2,6 %0,1 16,2 1,1 1,8 %0,3 2,9 6,4 37,5 x≤1 Mbps 4 Mbps < x ≤8 Mbps 30 Mbps < x ≤50 Mbps 2,0 1 Mbps < x ≤2 Mbps 8 Mbps < x ≤10 Mbps 50 Mbps < x ≤100 Mbps 2 Mbps < x ≤4 Mbps 10 Mbps < x ≤30 Mbps 100Mbps<x 21,8 36 0-5 MB 100-250 MB 5-10 MB 250 MB-1 GB 10-25 MB 1-4 GB 25-50 MB 4-8 GB 50-100 MB >8 GB MOBıLE MARKET Number of Mobile Subscribers and Penetration Rate 73.807.321 86,5% 70 83,8% 89,5% 87,4% 90,9% 13,6 Millions 60 9,4 7,9 100% 80% 25,9 60% 33,9 42,4 40 65,8 55,7 65,9 64,3 58,3 49,3 41,8 20 40% 20% 31,4 10 0 93,7% 20,4 50 30 93,5% 19,4 7,1 1,1 3G Subscribers 2G Subscribers Penetration, % 80 92,1% 92,5% 1,5 2,1 2,6 M2M Subscribers 3,2 3,4 0% Mobile Penetration Total Number of Mobile Subscriptions, Million 72,04 72,17 73,24 73,64 73,81 40 34,26 33,97 34,24 34,01 33,34 30 21,14 21,46 22,01 22,37 22,75 16,64 16,74 16,98 17,26 17,72 2015-1 2015-2 2015-3 2015-4 2016-1 80 70 60 50 20 10 0 Avea Vodafone Turkcell Total 37 MOBıLE MARKET Monthly Churn Rates of Mobile Operators, % 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% Apr-2015 Mayıs 15 Jun-2015 Jul-2015 Avea 2,8% 2,9% 2,8% 2,7% 2,6% 2,4% 2,6% 2,6% 2,8% 2,6% 2,8% 3,0% Vodafone 3,0% 3,1% 2,7% 2,8% 2,6% 2,4% 2,8% 2,5% 2,9% 3,0% 2,8% 3,2% Turkcell 2,7% 2,9% 2,6% 2,5% 2,3% 2,3% 2,3% 2,2% 3,6% 2,3% 2,9% 2,5% Distribution of Individual and Corporate Mobile Subscribers, % Aug-2015 Sep-2015 Jan-2016 Feb-2016 Mar-2016 Pre-Paid and Post-Paid Mobile Subscriptions, % 100% 80% 10,4 Oct-2015 Nov-2015 Dec-2015 54,5 53,4 53,0 51,8 51,0 45,5 46,6 47,0 48,2 49,0 2015-1 2015-2 60% 40% 20% 89,6 Individual Corporate 38 0% Pre-paid 2015-3 2015-4 Post-paid 2016-1 MOBıLE MARKET Mobile Number Portability, Quarterly 3.500.000 3.000.000 1.000.000 500.000 3.212.126 1.500.000 2.903.726 3.268.086 3.050.413 2.000.000 2.651.835 2.500.000 2016-1 2015-4 2015-3 2015-2 2015-1 0 Net Transferred Number, Thousand 2016 Q1 Net Gaining Subscriber Numbers, Thousands 500 400 300 200 100 0 -100 -200 -300 -400 -500 -600 376 272 224 184 159 91 40 2015-1 -275 107 137 2015-4 2016-1 44 2015-2 2015-3 -268 -312 -266 39 -513 Avea Vodafone Turkcell MOBıLE MARKET Market Shares according to Number of Subscribers, % 100% 23,1 23,2 23,2 23,4 24,0 29,3 29,7 30,1 30,4 30,8 47,6 47,1 46,8 46,2 45,2 2015-1 2015-2 2015-3 2015-4 2016-1 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Avea Vodafone Market Shares according to Traffic Volume, % 100% 80% 60% Market Shares according to Revenue, % 100% 27,5 35,3 27,5 27,2 35,5 35,2 27,8 28,9 35,7 35,7 40% 20% Turkcell 21,5 21,3 20,9 21,0 21,4 35,2 35,7 35,9 36,8 38,5 43,3 43,0 43,2 42,2 40,1 2015-1 2015-2 2015-3 2015-4 2016-1 80% 60% 40% 37,2 37,0 37,6 36,5 35,4 2015-1 2015-2 2015-3 2015-4 2016-1 0% 20% 40 0% Avea Vodafone Turkcell Turkcell Vodafone Avea MOBıLE MARKET Breakdown of Mobile Traffic, Million Minutes 2016-1 29.667 24.348 2015-4 30.159 24.013 2.593 180 23.927 2.616 2.556 193 2015-3 30.302 2015-2 30.603 23.075 2.538 186 2015-1 28.587 20.862 2.564 0% 20% On-Net 40% Other Mobile Network Operators 60% Fixed Networks 80% 211 184 100% International+DQ Services+Satelite+Others Breakdown of Mobile Traffic, % 2016-1 52,3 42,9 4,5 0,3 2015-4 53,0 42,2 4,6 0,3 2015-3 53,1 41,9 4,6 0,4 2015-2 54,3 40,9 4,5 0,3 2015-1 54,8 40,0 4,9 0,4 0% On-net 20% 40% Other Mobile Network Operators 60% Fixed Networks 80% 100% International+DQ Services+Satelite+Others 41 MOBıLE MARKET Most Frequently Communicated Countries via Mobile Networks, 2016 Q1 Highest Rate of Traffic Sent to Germany Highest Rate of Traffic Received From Germany Turkmenistan Austria France Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia France UK Switzerland Breakdown of Mobile Revenue, % 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 7,0% 28,5% 3,2% 4,2% 5,2% 48,4% 42,4% 37,6% 5,5% 8,3% 9,8% 59,0% Turkcell Voice 38,6% 45,1% Vodafone Avea SMS+MMS 7,4% 49,7% 42 Data Total Value Added Services MOBıLE MARKET Mobile SMS and Mobile MMS, Million (*) 30.000 26.431 25.279 24.500 21,4 22,6 21,6 17,5 17,7 2015-1 2015-2 2015-3 2015-4 2016-1 24.473 22.894 20.000 10.000 0 SMS MMS Number of SMS & MMS, Million 2015-1 2015-2 2015-3 2015-4 2016-1 Service Avea Turkcell Vodafone SMS 8,825 6,730 9,724 MMS 9.1 9.1 3.2 SMS 8,657 6,262 9,581 MMS 10.2 9.1 3.3 SMS 8,940 6,797 10,694 MMS 10.2 8.5 2.9 SMS 8,245 6,103 10,123 MMS 8.0 7.1 2.4 SMS 7,825 5,453 9,615 MMS 9.6 5.9 2.1 43 MOBıLE MARKET Mobile ARPU, ₺ 25 23,7 25,2 24,5 10 23,5 25,2 24,7 22,1 22,4 22,5 22,7 23,6 23,6 15 23,8 25,3 25,4 20 Avea Vodafone Turkcell 5 0 2015-1 2015-2 2015-3 2015-4 2016-1 MoU values of Mobile Operators, Minutes (*) 600 500 400 501 477 442 300 311 485 467 329 454 322 500 495 465 458 337 333 499 477 454 434 317 320 479 501 437 453 310 325 200 488 436 524 470 469 422 337 300 340 (*)Data dedicated mobile subscriptions are deducted from total # and recalculated back to a full year. 100 0 44 Avea Vodafone Turkcell MOBıLE MARKET Pre-Paid Mobile ARPU, ₺ 15 2015-2 2015-3 15,3 14,0 12,1 15,8 14,8 13,3 2015-1 15,3 14,3 12,6 15,0 13,8 11,0 5 14,0 12,7 11,0 10 Avea Vodafone Turkcell 0 2015-4 2016-1 Post-Paid Mobile ARPU, ₺ 45 40 35 30 32,0 38,3 37,2 31,6 38,7 38,0 31,8 38,5 39,1 15 30,5 36,4 37,2 20 30,1 35,3 36,7 25 10 Avea Vodafone Turkcell 45 5 0 2015-1 2015-2 2015-3 2015-4 2016-1 OTHER SERVıCES Market Shares of Alternative Network Operators, 2016 Q1 Revenue of Alternative Network Operators Period Revenue, ₺ 2015-1 177,774,738 2015-2 Operators Market Share based on Net Sales (%) Superonline 36.1 183,318,996 Vodafone Net 30.2 2015-3 287,431,701 Kule Hizmetleri 14.2 2015-4 265,878,742 MTCTR Memorex 4.8 2016-1 280,554,493 T-Systems 3.3 İş Net 3.2 BT Bilişim 2,4 AT&T Global 1.3 Turknet 1.3 Equant İstanbul 1.0 Fiber Optic Networks of Alternative Operators Total Total Access Total Backbone Length Length (km) Length Total Length Owned Total Length Leased 2015-1* 39,861 12,392 42,769 9,484 52,254 2015-2 41,295 13,435 44,609 10,121 54,730 2015-3 42,361 13,032 45,007 10,386 55,393 Mednautilus 1.0 2015-4 43,067 13,525 45,710 10,882 56,592 BT Telekom 0.6 2016-1 44,593 13,563 46,670 11,486 58,155 Others 0.6 (*) 2015-1 Total length data has been updated due to correction from operators 46 OTHER SERVıCES Market Share of Satellite Communication Operators based on # of Subscribers Satellite Communications Services Period # of Subscribers Revenue, ₺ Operator % 2015-1 11,048 85,567,472 EserTelekom 44.6 2015-2 11,050 91,223,658 Superonline 19.6 2015-3 12,009 95,412,128 İş Net 15.3 2015-4 10,441 86,335,030 Türksat 9.9 2016-1 10,558 105,174,642 Others 10.6 Cable Platform Services Period # of Cable TV Subscribers # of Cable Telephony Subscribers # of IPTV Subscribers 2015-1 1,170,459 37,737 380,159 2015-2 1,159,748 35,523 429,914 2015-3 1,156,133 36,353 471,345 2015-4 1,160,985 34,806 532,971 2016-1 1,163,041 36,205 618,784 47 OTHER SERVıCES Digital Platform Services; Number of Domestic Users 2015-1 2015-2 2015-3 2015-4 2016-1 DIGITÜRK 2,931,394 2,891,305 2,944,664 2,869,995 2,801,276 D-SMART 1,737,340 1,734,322 1,724,633 1,701,540 1,000,753 FILBOX 4,880 7,627 10,418 18,978 28,765 TIVIBU - - 46,410 74,751 116,387 48 OTHER SERVıCES Directory Information Services # of Calls Call Duration (Minutes) Total # of Enquiries Revenue, , ₺ 2015-1 8,312,524 13,213,921 16,710,605 17,982,552 2015-2 7,610,163 12,219,577 15,315,949 18,334,603 2015-3 7,208,801 11,604,322 15,380,317 18,625,267 2015-4 6,130,254 10,093,766 13,956,810 20,052,948 2016-1 5,787,491 9,441,829 15,388,217 17,279,778 Period Market Share of Directory Information Operators based on Number of Calls, 2016 Q1 % Average Call Duration (Min.) BN Telekom (11880 – 11810 -11888) 85.0 1.5 11818 Rehberlik (11818-11820) 9.4 2.2 Plus Telekom (11870 – 11890 – 11899) 3.0 2,9 Infoline (11824) 1.2 2.0 Jan İletişim (11833 - 11860) 1.0 1.9 Callturk (11858) 0.2 2.6 Mega Telekom (11881-11883) 0.2 1.8 Rehberlik Hizmetleri Servisi (11850) 0.1 1.1 Operator 49 OTHER SERVıCES Market Share of GMPCS Operators Based on # of subscribers, % Operator 2015-1 2015-2 2015-3 2015-4 2016-1 Teknomobil 66.6 66.3 66.1 70.9 70.8 Globalstar 32.0 32.3 31.7 25.9 25.5 Mobilkom 1.4 1.4 2.2 3.2 3.6 Other - - - - 0.1 PMR/PAMR Services GMPCS Services Period # of Subscribers # of Users Revenue, ₺ Period # of Subscribers Revenue, ₺ 2015-1 2,653 85,582 5,398,125 2015-1 6,230 2,163,121 2015-2 2,710 89,043 3,780,333 2015-2 6,244 2,085,250 2015-3 2,777 95,981 3,817,140 2015-3 6,338 1,908,760 2015-4 2,799 97,984 5,063,303 2015-4 7,829 4,053,900 2016-1 2,784 110,840 8,032,075 2016-1 7,909 1,981,717 50 ELECTRONIC COMMUNICATIONS MARKET IN TURKEY MARKET DATA (2016 Q1)* * In the event of any discrepancy, the original report in Turkish shall prevail.