BİZİM Corporate Presentation
Transcription
BİZİM Corporate Presentation
BİZİM Corporate Presentation ISE listed: BIZIM; Bloomberg: BIZIM.TI; Reuters:BIZIM.IS March 5, 2012 Disclaimer & Notes This presentation contains forward-looking statements which are based on certain expectations and assumptions at the time of publication of this presentation and are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in these materials. Many of these risks and uncertainties relate to factors that are beyond BIZIM TOPTAN’s ability to control or estimate precisely, such as future market and economic conditions, the behavior of other market participants, the ability to successfully integrate acquired businesses and achieve anticipated cost savings and productivity gains as well as the actions of government regulators. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which apply only as of the date of this presentation. BIZIM TOPTAN does not undertake any obligation to publicly release any revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of these materials. This presentation merely serves the purpose of providing information. It neither represents an offer for sale nor for subscription of securities in any country including Turkey. This presentation does not include an official offer of shares; an offering circular will not be published. This presentation is not allowed to be reproduced, distributed or published without permission agreement of BIZIM TOPTAN. The figures in this presentation are rounded to provide a better overview. The calculation of deviations is based on figures including fractions. Therefore rounding differences can occur. Bizim At-a-Glance #1 Turkish Cash & Carry FMCG wholesaler based on number of stores and geographic reach c.228k+ (1) active customers Average of c.2,900 SKUs per store (2) Three standardised store types averaging c.1,600m2 per store One of the Fastest Growing Cash & Carry FMCG wholesaler in terms of 2007-2011 sales revenue CAGR 2011 sales revenue of TL 1,733m with 2007-2011 main category sales revenue(3) CAGR of 21.8% 3.6% EBITDA margin in 2011 with 2007-2011 EBITDA CAGR of 26.3% (1) (2) (3) . As of December 31, 2011 As of December 31,2011 Main category sales include total sales excluding tobacco. 2 Shareholder Structure Shareholder Structure of BİZİM as of March 5, 2012 5%(*) 5% 50% (**) 40% Yıldız Holding Public Standard Bank Plc Other (*): Previously owned by Golden Horn Investments BV and being held as a collateral by Standard Bank Plc London until 24 August 2012. (**): Yıldız Holding which is the largest food and beverage company of Turkey with around 11 BTL sales , recently increased its shareholding to 49.96% . 3 A History of Strong Organic Growth PROFITABLE & CASH GENERATING GROWTH STRATEGY 2010-2011 YoY Growth 07-11 CAGR Tobacco (0.3%) Main Categories 21.8% Total Tobacco Main Categories 23.4% Total 19.4% 13.5% 109 97 90 79 TL1,045m TL1,272m 43% 8.8% TL1,246m TL1,452m 124 TL1,733m 29% 32% 45% 71% 55% 2007 57% 2008 # Stores 71% 68% 2009 Main Categories Domestic Sales 2010 2011 Tobacco Domestic Sales 4 Investment Highlights 1 Highly Attractive Turkish Economy 2 Fast Growing Turkish FMCG Wholesale Market 3 Cash & Carry: Fastest Growing FMCG Channel 4 Leading Cash & Carry Wholesaler in Turkey 5 Proven Business Model with High Flexibility and Scalability 6 Highly Experienced Management Team 7 Solid Financial Track Record 5 Highly Attractive Turkish Macro-Economic Environment Strong economic growth Strong GDP Growth (1) – Significantly ahead of EMEA peers – 2010 GDP Growth 9.0% – 2011 E GDP Growth 8.5% – Driving growth in purchasing and food spending 2009-2012 CAGR 6,0% 4,1% 3,9% 3,3% 3,1% 2,3% 2,3% 1,2% 1,2% 1,1% 0,8% 0,5% Highly attractive demographics Compelling Demographics 69% 61% 80% 85% 77% 50% 55% 74% 61% 68% 74% – Fastest population growth in EMEA – 52% below age 30 – Continued urbanisation and creation of new regional centres – 19 cities with over 1 million population 0,5% 0,3% 0,1% 0,1% 0,0% (0,0%) (0,2%) (0,2%) (0,6%) 09-12 Population (1) (2) Population of 75.9m, second largest in Europe (1) 73% 1,3% 1,2% 0,7% – CAGR (2) 2009 Urbanisation (3) Real GDP growth. Source: OECD; as of November 2011 .(3) Source: IMF. Source: United Nations. 6 Fast Growing Turkish FMCG Wholesale Market Fast-Growing Turkish FMCG Wholesale Market (1) TL bn FMCG wholesale is a large, fast growing and higly fragmented market CAGR: +9.6% 150 100 72,9 83,5 90,8 98,7 126,6 116,6 107,3 2011 YoY FMCG Growth 13.2% (4) 50 0 2009A 2010A 2011E 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E Local Suppliers Demand c.7,000 (2) estimated number of total wholesalers and distributors in Turkey – Only three Cash & Carry players of size: Metro (2.2% market share in terms of value (3)), Bizim (1.6% (3)) and Tespo (0.2% (3)) Cash & Carry Players (>7,000) (2) (<10) END-USERS HORECA – Global Suppliers Wholesalers & Distributors Wholesale Supply Highly Fragmented FMCG Wholesale Market Around 95% of FMCG wholesale market dominated by traditional wholesalers and distributors Corporates Significant opportunity for Cash & Carry to professionalise and consolidate the FMCG wholesale market Retailers – Source: (1) (2) (3) Frost & Sullivan. FMCG wholesale excludes Cash & Carry. According to management’s estimate based on ‘regional/local wholesalers’ associations. 2009 data; percent of the total wholesale and distributors FMCG market. Source: Frost & Sullivan. Cash&Carry currently represents around 5% of total wholesale market .(4): according to AC Nielsen ScanTrack report 7 Cash & Carry is the Fastest Growing FMCG Channel Cash & Carry is a Fast Growing Market (1) CAGR: +12.9% TL bn 8 3,9 3,5 4,4 5,0 5,6 6,4 7,2 Supply 6 4 Key Growth Drivers 2 1 Wholesale Consolidation 2 Increased demand for larger network / end-user coverage from suppliers 3 Price Stability and System Standardisation 4 One-Stop-Shop 5 Addresses all customer types 6 Underpenetrated Segments, e.g., HORECA(4) and Corporates 0 2009 2010 2011 E 2012 E 2013 E 2014 E 2015 E Cash & Carry Outpaces Wholesale and Retail 2009-2015 CAGR 15% 9,6% 10.0% Demand 10% 12,9% 5% 0% FMCG Wholesale(2) Source: (1) (2) (3) (4) FMCG Retail(3) Cash & Carry Frost & Sullivan Converted from Euros to Turkish Liras at 1.9952. Excludes Cash & Carry. Excludes Cash & Carry. Represents mid-point of 8-12% range. HORECA: Hotels&Restaurants and Cafeterias 8 BIZIM: The Leading Cash & Carry Wholesaler in Turkey c.6x Store Base of Largest Competitor BİZİM’s growth outpaces sector average by far # Stores (as of December 31, 2011) 124 23 Bizim’s YoY top-line growth 19.4% in 2011 vs 17.4% in 2010 [email protected] Expected C&C market growth between 2009-2015 12.9% (1) ( 14 BIZIM Metro Tespo National Footprint (Present in 60 out of 81 Cities) 51% (1) Frost&Sullivan 2009-2015 C&C channel CAGR growth estimation 49% Extensive store network across Turkey National footprint provides extensive end-user coverage Local penetration provides convenience and proximity 9 Proven Business Model with High Flexibility and Scalability Three Store Types Adjustable Store Layout Tailored SKU Offering Fast Decision Making Customers Products Stores High Flexibility Marketing Low Startup Costs & Short Payback Cost-Efficient Real Estate Low Working Capital Adaptable Distribution Capacity Distribution Management High Scalability (1) Customer Relationship Management Operating Excellence Seek price leadership and convenience Diversified mix tailors to different needs Develop and maintain close relations C 7,000 SKUs regionally tailored Around 95 % branded products Price leadership Three adjustable types Low start-up costs /short payback periods 100% leased In-depth customer insights CRM (1)capabilities High impact, low cost Outsourced Costs charged to vendors Adaptable capacity Centralised with regional reach Fast decision making Rigorous store planning Low / negative working capital Low capex commitment Self financed 10 Diversified and Growing Customer Base Key Trends and Observations Diversified Customer Base Wholesalers Trend Drivers Industry consolidation Markets Upgrade of Bakkals Bakkals Upgrade to small markets Retailers New customers acquisition Corporates New customers acquisition Traders Customer overlap with new Bizim stores HORECA Hotels & restaurants growth Supermarkets Upgrade of Bakkals – Sustain current mix Others Balanced mix limits concentration risk Feeds off multiple growth opportunities Store access to registered card holders only Horeca and corporates are two leading segments in terms of growth potential Up-sizing of some traditional retailers to small supermarkets offers an opportunity, notably in volume terms, to C&C players in ‘000 of Active Customers 300 225 Highly diversified Cash & Carry customer base with each and every customer segments expected to grow significantly Growth: +18% 228 194 150 Traditional retailers expected to remain relevant and stabilise around 40% market share in the long term (currently at 60%) 75 0 Dec'10 Dec'11 11 Growth Opportunities in New Customer Segments Growth Drivers HORECA # of Hotels & Rooms in Turkey (2003-2015) 2003-2015 CAGR 2.8% HORECA Corporates 6.6% 480.000 360.000 240.000 120.000 0 20 03 20 04 20 05 20 06 20 07 20 08 20 09 20 10 20 11 20 12 20 13 20 14 20 15 3.200 2.400 1.600 800 0 GDP Growth Young Population Tourism Lifestyle Upgrade # of Establishments # of Rooms # of Restaurants in Turkey (2003-2015) 2003-2015 CAGR Urbanisation 5.1% 300.000 200.000 100.000 20 03 20 04 20 05 20 06 20 07 20 08 20 09 20 10 20 11 20 12 20 13 20 14 20 15 0 Corporate Institutions Number of Companies and Employees, Turkey (2005-2008) In (‘000) In (‘000) 2.700 8.000 2.6% 2005-2008 CAGR 5.0% 2.600 2.500 7.000 2.400 2.300 2.200 6.000 2005 2006 2007 # of Companies Source: Frost & Sullivan. 2008 # of Employees 12 Increase Focus on HORECA & CORPORATES Segments Strategy Based on the market trends, BİZİM’s aim is to increase aggressively the share of HORECA and Corporates segments in total revenues Bizim Card & Marketing Tools Low cost but highly effective marketing tools to attract HORECA customers (inserts, call center, customer representatives, sms, customer cheques) Launch of Bizim Professional Card to increase HORECA sales and customer loyalty (Target: 10 K cards in 2012) Organization New HORECA team dedicated to this segment Introducing new product categories such as fresh products, frozen food and meat Delivery service where necessary 2012 Targets Target to increase active customers by 40% Target to reach 400 MTL sales revenue in 2012 which means 20% in total sales revenue Pilot application in 5 existing stores in 2011 and open three specific HORECA-centric stores in 13 Branded Products Strategy 2009/2010 Sales Mix Strategy 2010 2011 28% 29% 14% 12% 27% 11% Beverage 15% 50/50 split between domestic and international products mix 18% 17% Food 29% ~7,000 SKUs regionally tailored with average of 2,900 SKUs per store as of 31 December, 2011 Household Products Food Other Tobacco Tobacco expected to decrease as a proportion of total sales in the future (20-22 % in the long run) Beverage Value Proposition One-stop-shop experience driving customer traffic Household Products Tobacco Competitive pricing Private label products representing 4.8% (1) of main category sales (10-12% of sales in the long term) (1) As of Dec 31,2010 14 3 Types Offering High Convenience and Accessibility Type A (38 stores) Type B (44 stores) Type C (42 stores) Sustainability: > 1,500 cust. Sustainability: 800 - 1,500 cust. Sustainability: 500 – 800 cust. Typical size: c. 2,000 m2 Typical size: c. 1,500 m2 Typical size: c. 1,000 m2 Typical 3,500 SKUs Typical 3,000 SKUs Typical: 2,500 SKUs Average sales per m2 of TL 19,119 (1) Average sales per m2 of TL 13,246 (1) Average sales per m2 of TL 11,326 (1) 4-wall EBITDA positive within 6 months on average 4-wall EBITDA positive within 6 months on average 4-wall EBITDA positive within 6 months on average (1) As of December 2011 15 Disciplined Store Selection Process & Leasehold Strategy New Store Selection Process STEP 1 STEP 2 STEP 3 STEP 4 STEP 5 Rental Agreements Headquarter identifies targeted region and generates a store opening report Typical Duration Generally 10-15 years for new agreements Typical Currency Mainly Turkish Lira Typical Rent Cost 1.2% rental expense as percentage of sales revenue in 2011 Deputy GM of Sales & Operations initiates negotiation process (maintain pipeline of 10-15 stores in negotiation phase at any given time) Annual Increase Generally in line with inflation (average of CPI and PPI) for TL agreements Engineering team is dispatched to study selected locations Termination Generally no legal right for the landlord before the contract ends Landlord Economic feasibility study is carried out Termination In general, BİZİM can terminate its agreements with 36 months prior notice BİZİM Regional managers and dedicated team identify potential locations Change of ownership STEP 6 a) If payback ≤ 3.8 years CEO approval only b) If payback between 3.8-4.3 years President and CEO approval Approximately 10% in Euros and US Dollars Continuation of BİZİM’s lease agreements is protected against any potential sale of property by existing owners c) If payback between 4.3-4.8 years Board of Directors, President and CEO approval 16 Targeted Customer Acquisition and Retention Strategy Segmenting Customers Newspaper Advertisement – Ramadan Promotion Profitability SMS Enhancement Turnover Attraction Marketing Tools In Store Advertising Enhancement * Retention (*) SMS from BİZİM on 1 Oct 10, 9:03 Dear Customer, applicable only for YOU, if you buy additional TL250 (excl. VAT) worth of snacks till 31 Oct, you get additional 3% discount on your next purchase. Further information available in stores!!! Inserts Focus on CARE: Customer Attraction, Retention and Enhancement Pre-defined strategies for each one of four key CARE segments Sustain LFL growth for existing store base, increase sales ramp up for new stores Winter Promotions Back-to-School Artisan’s Day 17 High Convenience and Price Leadership Strategy Strategic Positioning (1) Industry Price Leadership Indexed Prices High 120 Firm B 115 110 Firm A 105 100 Convenience Company X (2) 95 Feb 2011 Company Y April 2011 Jun 2011 Aug 2011 Oct 2011 Dec 2011 Low Cost Base Operating Expenses as % of Sales (3) (2010A) Wholesalers 24% 16.1% Low 16% 7.2% 8% High Price = TL1bn in 2009 Sales (1) (2) (3) (4) Low 5.4% 0% EMEA Food Retailers (4) C&C Wholesalers (4) BIZIM Bubble sizes represent cash & carry statistics in Turkey. Source: Frost & Sullivan. Source: Efektif Akademetre Araştırma ve Strateji Planlama Tanıtım Yayıncılık Hizmetleri Ltd Şti. Represents indexed prices for top 300 BİZİM products in terms of share of total non tobacco sales (together representing around 55% of total non tobacco sales). Based on 2009 company public filings. Note that accounting for operating expenses may differ between companies/geographies. Operating expenses represent operating profit less gross profits. EMEA Food Retailers represent median of BIM, Dixy, Magnit, Shoprite and X5 Retail; while C&C Wholesalers represent median of median of following companies: Booker, Emperia, Eurocash, Metro and Siam Makro. 18 Experienced Team with Strong FMCG / Retail Credentials Recep Özalp CEO (Age 50) CEO of BİZİM since 2005 Ziya Kayacan CFO (Age 44) Joined BİZİM as CFO in 2011 Bayram Ali Yıldırım Deputy General Manager-Sales and Operations (Age 45) Recep Çalışkan Deputy General Manager-Procurement (Age 38) Mustafa Yaşar Serdengeçti Executive Vice Chairman (Age 50) Tahsin Pamir Executive Advisor and Board Member (Age 69) Cengiz Solakoğlu Independent Board Member (Age 68) 21 years of professional experience, and 20 years in the Group Companies of Yildiz Holdings in high level positions including Advisor to Yildiz Holding Chairman 21 years of professional experience in international companies such as PWC and Lafarge Joined BİZİM in 2006 12 years of professional experience mostly in the retail sector. Worked as customer representative and store manager for Real and region manager for Tansaş Deputy General Manager since 2009, and Purchasing Group Manager between 2001-2009 16 years of professional experience in the Turkish retail sector Executive Vice Chairman of BİZİM since 2005, and President of the Retail Group for Yildiz Holding 28 years of professional experience in the FMCG sector Executive Advisor and Board Member 37 years professional experience of which 21 years within the FMCG sector. Metro Turkey’s Chairman & Country Managing Director for 6 years Independent Board Member 38 years professional experience all of which within the consumer sector. Headed Koç Group’s Consumer Durables division for 10 years as President Management Board Members 19 Financial Highlights Top-Line and Like-For-Like Sales Growth Top-Line Sales in MTL 2011-2010 YoY Growth 2007-2011 CAGR Tobacco Main Category Total 1.750 1.500 1.250 1.000 750 500 250 0 Track Record of Sustainable Growth Tobacco Main Categpry Total (0.3%) 21.8% 13.5% 8.8% 23.4% 19.4% 1,733 1,264 1,040 1,452 1,237 32% 55% 57% 68% 2007A 2008A 2009A Main Category Increasing penetration on main category sales 26% 29% 43% 45% Strong main category sales momentum 74% 71% 2010A 2011A Tobacco growth is limited to tax increases and expected to decrease as a proportion of total sales to the level of 20% in the long run Tobacco Like-For-Like Main Category Sales Growth Strong LFL growth in main category sales Strong LFL main category sales momentum 20% 16% 16% 15% 10% 8% Main actions: increase number of customers, basket size growth, traffic and private label growth 9% 5% 0% 2008 2009 2010 2011 Effective tools eg.CRM, customer representatives,marketing and promotions ,category management, exclusive products 21 Strong Gross Profit and EBITDA Performance Gross Profit in MTL 2008-2011 CAGR Tobacco Main Category Total : 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Tobacco (0%) Main Category 19.5% Total 18.4% 29.4% 16.2% 17.2% 92 93% 89% 90% 2008 2009 2010 Main Category 8.4% Remarkable performances in main category profit growth 148 125 104 Adjusted Margin: 7.3% Leading and Sustainable Profiitability Growth 2011-2010 YoY Growth 90% Stable Gross Margin and EBITDA Margin with strong upward potential despite slight diluting impact of accelaration in store openings 2011 Tobacco 8.4% (*) 8.4%(*) Adjusted EBITDA in MTL (**) Long-term target to reach 10% for Gross Margin and 5% for EBITDA margin throughout Optimized merchandising mix for profitability (lower mix of tobacco, increase focus on highermargin categories) Focus on growing and profitable customer segments , Horeca and Corporates Maintain and reinforce rigorous cost discipline Leverage economies of scale in opex and increased purchasing power over suppliers (TL m) 80 60 40 20 0 Margin: 34 45 2008 2009 2.7% 3.6% 55 63 2010 2011 3.5%(*) 3.5% (*) (*) Excluding one-off tobacco price increase gain on inventory (**) Excluding extraordinary income/(expense) OPEX –OPERATING EXPENSES Strong Operating Cost Leverage OPEX in MTL (TL m) Best-in-class opex over sales despite diluted by acceleration in store openings 94 100 78 75 67 66 50 Low cost business model 25 0 2008 OPEX/Sales 5.2% 2009 2010 2011 5.4% 5.4% 5.4% Strict cost discipline Sustain low rental expenses (around 1.2% of sales revenue as of 2011) OPEX DETAIL- 2011 6% 0.7% 5% 1.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0,2% 5.4% Leveraging flexible distribution structure 4% 1.2% 3% Local people employment 2% 1% 1.7% 0% Store & DC Store & DC Other Sales Staff Rent & Dist. Exp. Expense Expense HQ Staff Expense HQ Rent Expense HQ Other Opex Net Other Total Opex Op. (Inc.) / Exp. Operating leverage accounts for potential for margin improvement 23 Net Profit and ROCE Net Profit in MTL 40 28 30 Net margins offer strong upward potential 29 19 20 Strong upward potential through gross margin and opex improvements 4 10 0 2008 2009 2010 dAdjusted Margin 0.3% 1.5% 1.8% ( *) 1.7% (*) EPS (TL) 0.47 0.71 0.73 0.19 2011 Return on Capital Employed -ROCE (**) 80% 74% EPS shows consistent growth prospects Track record of exceptional return on capital 75% 66% 60% Low cost and investment business model with strong credentials in growth and profitability confirms very high level return on capital, 45% 40% 20% Pay-back period for new stores is less than 3 years on average 0% 2008 2009 2010 2011 (*): Excluding one-off items (**) Adjusted EBIT excluding one-off items * (1-t)/ (Total assets-Financial Investment-Cash & cash equivalents – current liabilities) 24 Cash Flow Position Operating Cash Flow in MTL Strong and consistent cash flow 50 48 45.9 46 44 42 Strong and consistent cash flow from operations 40 38 36.0 36 34 32 30 Strict working capital management 28 26 24 22 20 2010 2011 Solid Cash Flow Generation supporting growth Operating Cash Flow MTL CASH FLOW - 2011 90.0 Cash generation is well enough to finance organic growth and to keep commitments to shareholders -13.0 80.0 70.0 +45.9 -19.3 60.0 -22.0 50.0 40.0 -13.5 30.0 20.0 -13.5 -4.5 33.5 20.1 10.0 Financial Investment in Şok at minority stake (10%) 0.0 Opening Cash Net Cash Flow From Operations Capex Financial Investment Dividend Paid Other Closing Cash Dividend policy: Minimum 50% of the distributable income (13.5 MTL paid in 2011) 25 Working Capital and Capital Expenditure Managing Net Working Capital (1) 10,0 Working capital days is close ‘’0’’ days but flexible enough to work with negative working capital 5,7 4,2 4,1 Days in receivables is around 14, days in inventory is around 27 and days in payables is around 42 as of 2011 (2) 0,0 (10,0) Working capital days may differ with respect to specific periods and conditions (11,1) 25 (20,0) 2008 2009 2010 2011 20 20 Net Capital Expenditures in MTL (3) 15 % of Sales Revenue: 14 25 2016 New Stores: 10 15 10 5 4 0 5 0 2007A 7 16 4 4 2008 2008A Existing Stores (1) (2) (3) 2009 2010 2011 1.6% 0.5% 0.8% 1.2% 11 7 15 20 10 2008 12 6 3 4 7 3 4 7 2 1 1 5 13 4 7 2 2009A 2009 Jan - Sep '09 2010 Jan - Sep '10 New Stores Defined as trade receivables + inventory – trade payables Defined as trade receivables / sales * 365. Defined as inventory / COGS * 365. Defined as trade payables/COGS*365 Capex (including PP&E and intangibles), net of disposals. 2011 12 15 Relatively low expansion and maintenance capex required to sustain current stores and enable store roll-out New store capex per store might vary from year-toyear depending on store types, (1MTL per store on average) Mid-term target for store openings is 15 (-/+2) a year. Roll out new stores in both existing and new regions 26 Financial Takeaways 1 Strong Top-Line Growth 2 Operating Leverage and Increasing Profitability 3 Unlevered Balance Sheet 4 Low Expansion Capex Requirements 5 High Capital Returns 6 Solid Cash Flow Generation 27 Contact Information HEADQUARTERS Bizim Toptan Satış Mağazaları A.Ş. Kusbakisi Cad. No. 19, Altunizade Üsküdar, Istanbul, Turkiye T: +90-216-474-4280| F: + 90-216-474-4275 URL: www.bizimtoptan.com.tr Bizim Investor Relations Manager Gokhan Savas Tolu [email protected] +90 216-559-1106 28 Appendix Income Statement (*) Excluding extraordinary income/(expenses) 30 Balance Sheet 31 L AT E Store Pictures CANDY BI SCUI T CAKE F RUI T CHO CO C H I P SD R I E D CARBO NAT ED DRI NK CARBO NAT ED DRI NK T O BEVERAG CO T EA O F F EE SUG N F O CO O D PERSO NAL CARE PAPER PRO DUCT S BACCO ES AR F L O UR PUL SE I L PAST A NO BEVERAG ES DEL I CAT ESSEN NSERVE SO UP BREAKF AST DI APER HYG I ENI C CL EANI NG PRO PAD DEL I CAT ESSEN DUCT S 32 Warehouse Pictures 33