The Changin Retail Landscape in Muscat Ian Gladwin
Transcription
The Changin Retail Landscape in Muscat Ian Gladwin
The changing retail landscape in Muscat Developments & opportunities Oman Real Estate Conference – May 2014 INTRODUCTION Ian Gladwin Head of International for Cluttons. Fellow of the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS). Over 20 years real estate experience throughout the Gulf region. Prior to joining Cluttons, I worked extensively in Kuwait and the Northern Gulf with a particular focus on the retail sector. Recently appointed as the Regional Representative for Oman for the Middle East Council of Shopping Centres (MECSC). 3 Presentation overview Key regional retail trends. Muscat consumer profile. Muscat – a changing retail landscape. Market gaps and opportunities. Conclusions. 4 KEY REGIONAL RETAIL TRENDS Abu Dhabi Significant expansion Rapidly developing retail sector Buoyant economy with a wealthy population Focus on the Saudi Arabian customer 6 Bahrain Saudi Arabian customer base Mature market Driven by Saudi Arabian consumers 7 Kuwait Sophisticated market A developed and sophisticated retail sector High spending power Focus on luxury 8 Qatar High spending power Developing market High GDP per capita Significant spending power of the customer base 9 Dubai Return to growth High consumer spending power Rapid resurgence and development Neighbourhood retail development Tourism driver 10 MUSCAT CONSUMER PROFILE Consumer profile The population Rapidly growing. 1.2 million people in Muscat (40% Omani and 60% expatriate). Generally a youthful population. Expanding westwards. Spending power and patterns Rising but relatively limited incomes. Average per capita monthly income of RO 175. Average household expenditure of RO 900 per month. One third of monthly household expenditure (RO 300) is on food. Around RO 30 of monthly household expenditure is on dining out. 12 MUSCAT – A CHANGING RETAIL LANDSCAPE From souqs to malls 14 First generation malls The malls 15 Key features SABCO Centre Centrally located Al Araimi Complex 5,000 to 15,000 m² leasable space Al Khamis Plaza Generally no anchor stores Al Qurum Complex Cultural shopping habits. Al Harthy Complex Food and fashion. Zakher Mall Social ability. Traditional trading hours. First generation format. Brand mix and identity. The new generation The malls 16 Key features Markaz Al Bahja – 2000 20,000 m² plus leasable areas Muscat City Centre - 2001 Anchored by a super/hypermarket Qurum City Centre - 2008 Muscat Grand Mall - 2012 More complex design with sub-anchors and zoning Retail mall supply 17 Existing supply Muscat currently has approximately 350,000 m² of retail space in purpose-built retail centres. The larger malls are: Mall Muscat City Centre Qurum City Centre Tilal Grand Mall Markaz Al Bahja Zakher Mall Al Araimi Complex Approximate leasable area (m²) 56,500 20,600 45,000 20,500 15,800 12,000 Retail mall supply 18 Under construction Two new malls in Bausher should be completed this year and will deliver an additional 80,000 m² of larger scale retail mall space: Mall The Avenue Mall (Lulu extension) Panorama Mall Approximate leasable area (m²) 60,000 21,000 Three smaller malls are also due for completion this year: Mall Jasmine Complex, Al Khuwair Al Marsa Retail Centre, The Wave Military Retail Mall, Mawalleh South Approximate leasable area (m²) 4,000 6,000 8,000 Retail mall supply Proposed There is also a very significant pipeline of proposed retail mall space. 19 Retail mall supply Downtown Muscat, Mabellah South A development by the Al Jarwani Group projected to provide around 80,000 m² of leasable space with extensive leisure/entertainment facilities. 20 Retail mall supply Mall of Oman, Bausher Development of a 157,000 m² plot by Majid Al Futtaim Group (MAF) with a RO 180 million retail mall providing around 350 retail outlets. 21 Retail mall supply 22 Muscat Festival City, Airport Heights Super regional mall anchored by Ikea located at the Oman Convention and Exhibition Centre in Airport Heights. Retail mall supply 23 Muscat Grand Mall RO 50 million expansion of Muscat Grand Mall to provide an additional 100 retail units in 30,000 m² of space and extend the existing cinema. Retail mall supply Proposed supply pipeline We would estimate that these four developments would deliver around 300,000 m² if/when they are all built. 24 Retail mall trends 25 The supply pipeline will result in an increasingly saturated and congested market. Focus of development on large scale malls is resulting in a supply pipeline of very similar style retail malls. Addition of entertainment/leisure facilities is being used to help drive mall performance. Mid to high end international brands have generally not performed strongly and an international department store is yet to appear in Muscat. “Value” sector outlets perform well. Hypermarket anchors are the primary driver for footfalls. MARKET GAPS & OPPORTUNITIES Growing economy and population 27 Understanding the market 28 Mall design Design for different reasons: Lifestyle Aspirations Modern living Destination and neighbourhood Mind set Experience 29 Tenant strategy & mix 30 Tenant strategy & mix 31 Neighbourhood retail 32 Neighbourhood retail Al Marsa Retail Centre at The Wave 33 Neighbourhood retail Al Marsa Retail Centre at The Wave 34 Outlet retail 35 Souk/leisure retail 36 Big box/power centre 37 g box/power centre 38 ONCLUSIONS nclusions tives: A rapidly developing sector with a growing consumer base Positive economic trends Development opportunities opening up development issues: Complex form of development needing real market knowledge and understanding Focus on the needs, desires and spending power of he target market nput of retail experts is vital Tenant strategy and mix is key Pro-active management needed 40