LIPA Front-End Transition Cost Estimate

Transcription

LIPA Front-End Transition Cost Estimate
Summer Preparation 2015
1
Long Island Control Area 2014 vs. 2015
DEMAND (MW)
CAPABILITY (MW)
SYSTEM OPERATION
LICA Peak Load
Extreme Weather Load Addition
Total LI Extreme Weather Load
2014
2015
Forecast Forecast
5,506
5,567
650
592
6,156
6,159
Load Reduction Programs
Net LI Extreme Weather Load
-35
6,121
Total Long Island Generation
NYISO Import
ISO-NE Import
-30
6,129
PJM Import (Neptune)
Total LI
2014
2015 *
Forecast Forecast
4632
4632
943
943
530
530
660
6,765
660
6,765
Power Capability Margin (MW)
Normal Weather
Extreme Weather
2014
Forecast
1,259
644
2015 *
Forecast
1,198
636
* Based on 2014 Capacity Data. Expected update May 2015
All capability ratings are estimated ratings at extreme summer weather conditions.
2
15 Highest Long Island Control Area Loads
6200
Extreme Weather Forecast – 6129 Mw
6100
6000
5915
5900
5825
5792
5800
5761
5730
5700
5669
5613
5600
2015 Peak Forecast – 5567 Mw
5552
5506
5500
5505
5474
5452
5447
5427
5381
5400
8/8/07
7/18/06
7/16/13
7/18/12
7/17/13
6/21/12
7/7/10
7/15/13
8/1/06
7/19/13
8/2/06
7/18/13
8/3/06
7/6/10
5200
7/22/11
5300
3
Margins on Contingencies
• Sufficient margins exist for all major contingencies
under 2015 forecast
• Operating procedures may be implemented, after
certain contingencies, to maintain margin under
extreme weather condition
4
T&D System
• No equipment is expected to be at or above normal operating load
ratings during projected peak conditions
• The following major installations were completed since last summer
– Terryville – installation of new 69/13 kV 33mva bank
– Great Neck – installation of new 13 kV feeder
– Conversion Reinforcement Projects
• The following installations are expected to be completed for Summer
2015 service
–
–
–
–
–
–
Ellison Avenue Bridge - 13.8kV bypass for New Cassel circuit 4UH-333
Terryville – installation of 13 kV feeder
13 Capacitors
Elwood – 80 MVAR shunt reactor
Floral Park – new 33/13 kV bank and switchgear
Holbrook 69 kV double bus tie
5
T & D System – Contingency Arrangements
• Amagansett – East Hampton – New 23kV Line
• 69-465 failed under ground cable
• 13kV Shelter Island cable
6
Summer Preparation Maintenance
• Critical equipment is inspected and tested to ensure reliable operation
• Distribution Capacitor Banks – To be complete by July 1
• Vegetation management in progress and on track
• Thermography for Critical Stations
• Battery Testing
• Transformer Fans
• Pumping Plants
• Inspect Under Frequency Relay Trip Settings
7
PSEG Long Island Storm Restoration Plan
• Continuously evolving Plan with emphasis on enhancing overall storm restoration
processes and enhancing communications during storm events
• Revised format filed with NYS Department of Public Service (DPS) December
2014
– Comprehensive document delineating storm response across Operations, Logistics
and Customer/Communications functions
– Designed to be simple, flexible, scalable and easily adaptable to specific emergency
events
– Delineates Incident Command Structure (ICS)
– Continue to maintain Emergency Response Implementation Procedures (ERIPs) that
include detailed procedures and checklists
• All PSEG Long Island employees assigned a storm role in addition to their day
job and provided training to ensure readiness
• Plan reviewed and drilled regularly to ensure accuracy, completeness and
understanding among those involved
– Annual Hurricane Tabletop Exercise to be conducted May 14th
8

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