Final Inception Report
Transcription
Final Inception Report
TA No. 7189-INO: Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory – (Package E) Final Inception Report October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report Table of Contents 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ................................................................................................................. 1 2 INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................................. 9 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 3 GEOGRAPHICAL SETTING ......................................................................................................... 12 3.1 3.2 3.3 4 Guiding Principles ............................................................................................................. 53 Methods............................................................................................................................ 55 PILOT PROJECTS ....................................................................................................................... 62 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.5 7 Synthesis on Climate Change Impact Studies on Citarum River Basin............................... 22 Climate Change Modelling ................................................................................................ 22 Land Use Change Scenarios ............................................................................................ 24 Interrelationship between Package E and Other Packages ................................................ 35 Institutional Setting for Water Resources Management in the Citarum River Basin ............ 41 Provincial Preparedness ................................................................................................... 45 Potential for Community Outreach and Empowerment ...................................................... 46 Capacity Building Needs ................................................................................................... 46 Institutional Setting for WRM at CRB................................................................................. 48 GUIDING PRINCIPLES AND METHODS ...................................................................................... 53 5.1 5.2 6 Regional Importance of Citarum River Basin ..................................................................... 12 Observed Historical Changes of Climate ........................................................................... 17 The Impacts of Past Climate Variability in the CRB............................................................ 19 BASELINE ANALYSIS ................................................................................................................. 22 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.8 4.9 5 Background ........................................................................................................................ 9 Project Description .............................................................................................................. 9 Contract Negotiations ....................................................................................................... 10 Purpose of This Report ..................................................................................................... 11 Mitigation vs. Adaptation ................................................................................................... 62 Site Selection of Initial Pilot Activities ................................................................................ 64 Developing Objective Selection Criteria............................................................................. 65 The Adaptation Pilots ........................................................................................................ 67 The Mitigation Pilots.......................................................................................................... 70 MAIN OUTPUTS, WORK PLAN AND BUDGET IMPLICATIONS.................................................. 78 7.1 7.2 7.3 7.4 7.5 Project Office and Counterpart Arrangements ................................................................... 78 The Work Plan and Analysis of Outputs, Tasks and Activities ............................................ 78 Specialist Staff and Allocation of Tasks ............................................................................. 86 Budget Estimations ........................................................................................................... 88 Implementation Challenges ............................................................................................... 96 AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. i P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report List of Tables Table 2.1 Table 3.1 Table 3.2 Table 3.3 Table 3.4 Table 4.1 Table 4.2 Table 4.3 Table 4.4 Table 4.5 Table 5.1 Table 5.2 Table 6.1 Table 6.2 Table 6.3 Table 6.4 Table 6.5 Table 6.6 Table 6.7 Table 6.8 Table 6.9 Table 6.10 Table 7.1 Table 7.2 Table 7.3 Table 7.4 Table 7.5 Reporting Schedule of Package E Area of Sub-Watersheds in Citarum and Districts and Cities Situated in the Sub Watersheds Fraction of Forest and Non-Forest Area of the Upper, Middle and Lower Citarum River Basin Land Use / Cover of the CRB Area of Critical Land in Non-Forest and Forest Areas at Citarum River Basin List of Available GCMs in the IPCC Model Archive Land Use Change in Upper Citarum in the Period 1983 and 2003 Capacity of the Big Three Reservoirs in CRB Interrelationships between this Package E and the Other Packages of this TA Project Districts (Kabupaten) and Cities (Kota) at West Java Province that Have Developed Climate Change Policies and Programs Required Spatial and Tabular Data Function and List of Indicators Types of On-Going and Proposed Climate Change Related Projects by the Local Governments West Java Province Examples of Adaptation Measures in the Water and Agriculture Sectors Projected Trends in GHG Emissions from the Waste Sector under a BAU Scenario (Gg CO 2e) Examples from West Java of Solid Waste Management Prevention Programs before Final Disposal The Criteria Required to Be Met for a Recognized GHG Mitigation Project Relationship between Waste Management Project Objectives and UNFCC Methodologies for the Solid Waste Sector Waste Management Projects in Indonesia Focused on the Voluntary Carbon Market Mitigation Projects Typical of the Agriculture and Energy Sectors Financial Distribution for Registering a GHG Mitigation Project under a CDM Scheme Various Models for Financing GHG Mitigation Projects Definition of Project Outputs List of Knowledge Products / Project Deliverables and Estimated Completion Date Percentage of Time Each Specialist is Allocating to Project Outputs Person Days Allocated to Achieve Each Output Objectives, Training Materials, Training Dates, Target Stakeholders and Budget Allocations for Workshops/Trainings/RTDs List of Figures Figure 3.1 Figure 3.2 Figure 3.3 Figure 3.8 Figure 3.9 Figure 3.10 Figure 4.1 Figure 4.2 Figure 4.3 Figure 4.4 Figure 4.5 Figure 4.6 Figure 4.7 Figure 4.8 Figure 4.9 Figure 4.10 Figure 4.11 Figure 4.12 Figure 4.13 Location Map of Citarum River Basin The Topography Condition of Upper Area of the CRB Mean Monthly (a) Average, (b) Maximum, (c) Minimum Temperature and (d) Rainfall Anomaly of Electricity Production from 1992-2006 in Saguling, Cirata and Jatiluhur Dam Cumulative Area Affected by Drought and Flood in Rice Growing Area of West Java between Normal and ENSO Years Spatial Correlation Plots for September–October Citarum Streamflow and Gridded August SST. Land Use Map of Year 1990 Land Use Development under a Business-as-Usual Scenario Land Use Development under Ecological Concern Scenario Land Use Development under Pro-Industrialization Scenario Land Use Development under Pro-Agriculture Scenario Location and Position of Sub-Watershed Upper Catchment of Cisadane, Bogor, West Java, Indonesia Temperature and Humidity Distribution at Upper Catchment of Cisadane Wind Velocity Level at Upper Catchment of Cisadane Sun Radiation Fluctuation at Upper Catchment of Cisadane Rain Fall in Upper Catchment of Cisadane 3 -1 River Discharge (m s ) and Rainfall Curves (mm) in Cisadane Upper Catchment Result Simulation Discharge in Upper Catchment of Cisadane River Correlation between Qobserved and Qsimulated Data AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. ii P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report Figure 4.14 Figure 4.15 Figure 4.16 Figure 4.17 Figure 4.18 Figure 4.19 Figure 5.1 Figure 6.1 Figure 6.2 Figure 7.1 Relationship of Package E Activities with Other Packages of This TA Project Relation of Package E with Package A, B1, B2, B3, C & D of this TA Project Process of Mainstreaming Climate Change into National Agenda: Policies, Guidelines, Roadmaps & Investment Funds Urgent Activities Required for Assisting Local Government in Mainstreaming Climate Change into Long Term Development Program Types of Climate Change Training Activities Requested by Local Government Institutional Setting for WRM in CRB The GIS Procedure to Assess Vulnerability Strategy for Developing and Synergizing Pilots for Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation at CRB under Package E of TA 7189-INO Financial Mechanism for the Implementation of Climate Change Program in Indonesia Relationships between the TASKS and OUTPUTS Annexes Annex 1 Annex 2 Annex 3 Annex 4 Annex 5 Annex 6 Annex 7 Reference Analysis of Work Plan Outputs, Tasks and Activities Revised Work Plan Revised Budget Plan Climate Change Government Readiness Assessment Stakeholder Consultation Meetings Held by Package E during the Inception Phase Summary of Report from the Workshop Sessions during the Inception Workshop 19 April, 2011 AECOM Asia Co. 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Ltd. v P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1.0.1 The ADB technical assistance project for Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (TA7189-INO) aims to strengthen the institutional capacity of the Indonesian government of integrated water resources management (IWRM) in the Citarum River Basin (CRB) territory, and ensure effective implementation of the water resources management program. This project is the package E of TA 7189-INO. The objectives of this package are to provide technical assistance to the Ministry of Environment for mainstreaming climate change issues in river basin planning, and complement and support the other TA projects and Loan packages concerning water resources management in the region. This package was commenced on 10 January, 2011 and is anticipated to complete on 9 July, 2013. 1.0.2 The consulting team of this package has undertaken preliminary investigations of the environmental conditions and examined existing information of the Citarum River Basin during the inception phase, and a preliminary survey of the institutional and human resources of the concerned government departments to provide a basis for development and analysis of the work plan and budget needs for implementing activities under this package. This Inception Report summarizes the findings of the consulting team during the inception phase of the project. It also outlines the approach and methodology that the consulting team will adopt to implement this package, as well as introduces detailed work plan and budget estimates. 1.1 Regional Importance of Citarum Water Basin 1.1.1 This section presents the geographical setting of the Citarum River Basin (CRB) and the historical impact of climate variability in this region. The eco-physical entity of the CRB, which will be the focus for the climate change modelling in this package, totals about seven thousand square kilometres. CRB is the most important watershed in West Java Province in terms of water resources and economic activities. It plays a very important role not only for supplying water for 7 districts (Bandung, Cimahi, Cianjur, Purwakarta, Bekasi, Karawang, and 80% for Jakarta), but also for irrigation and generating electricity. As local communities are highly dependent on the water from the CRB, the impacts of climate change on the river basin are likely to have a considerable impact on the livelihood of local communities. 1.1.2 Forest cover in the upper catchment area is very important in maintaining the hydrological function of the watershed. However, extensive deforestation and erosion of the upper catchment means that it is essential to focus on the conservation of forest cover for sustaining the ecosystems in the watershed. Cultivation of high value cash crops has been a major driver of illegal deforestation and has accelerated land degradation. Improving the condition of the upper catchment of the CRB area with the participation of stakeholders from the whole CRB is critical. Various stakeholders have been consulted during the inception phase and they have proposed that charges for environmental services (PES) could be implemented in the CRB as a means of providing financial resource for reforestation/afforestation and forest retention measures. 1.2 Observed Historical Change of Climate 1.2.1 A preliminary assessment of historical climate change in the CRB basin for the period 2000 to 2010 has been undertaken during the inception phase. Trend analysis of the mean monthly average, the maximum and the minimum temperature has been conducted. The analysis result shows that during the period 2000 to 2010, the CRB has experienced a temperature rise with an increasing trend ° of average temperature equivalent to 1.5 C per 100 year. The minimum temperature data shows a ° much faster rate of increase with a rate of 4 C per 100 year. The mean yearly rainfall data suggests a decreasing trend of precipitation. Meanwhile, the data reveals that there is an increasing trend in precipitation during the wet season while the data suggests opposite trend in the dry season. These results are consistent with the general predictions of climate change impacts. Moreover, the data indicates that there is an increasing trend of relative humidity and evaporation over the study area, while there is a decreasing trend of wind speed. 1.2.2 The impacts of past climate variability in the CRB has also been reviewed. Rainfall variability has a significant impact on the amount of water stored in dams. Many studies suggest that rainfall variability in Indonesia is strongly influenced by the ENSO. A significant decrease in water levels in the dams triggered by this phenomenon has caused serious impact on electricity generation and the AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 1 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report amount of water available for irrigation. The data of the three major dams in the CRB has been analyzed. The most notable feature of the data was that in the El-Niño years from 1997 onwards, the dams were not able to produce electricity above the long term means, suggesting that the degradation of forest, particularly in the upper catchment areas of the watershed has reduced the buffering capacity of the forest ecosystem, thereby increasing the difference between the maximum peak flow in the wet season and the minimum flow in the dry season. 1.2.3 Significant changes in rainfall and river flow during ENSO years have also caused serious impacts on rice production in Java due to flood and drought. In addition, the water shortage during extreme dry years and flooding during extreme wet years in the CRB have influenced the availability of potable water, especially in urban areas. 1.3 Synthesis on Climate Change Impact Studies on Citarum River Basin 1.3.1 A baseline analysis focusing on different aspects of climate change studies in the CRB has been undertaken in the inception phase. The analysis includes climate change modelling, assessment of the interrelationship between package E and other packages of this TA project, as well as a review of institutional setting for water resource management in the CRB. Four studies which focus on the impact of climate change in the CRB have been identified. The findings of these studies indicate that climate change impact will be more severe if the forest area is not conserved. They also suggest that most of the districts in the lower catchment may be exposed to serious water scarcity in the future. 1.4 Climate Change Modelling 1.4.1 In this project, both statistical and dynamic downscaling techniques will be used to generate climate information over the CRB area. The available GCM data from the IPCC Data Distribution Centre will be used for statistical downscaling. Data of two extreme scenarios (A2 and B1) and one moderate scenario (A1B) will be used to develop climatic information for the CRB area. Multiple regression models will be used for statistical downscaling of the GCMs data. Specific humidity, precipitation, air pressure, air temperature, and wind speed data are available from GCMs and will be downscaled using the ground based station data over the CRB area. 1.4.2 Dynamic downscaling of the GCM will use high resolution data from the Regional Climate Model (RCM). The open source, RegCM has been considered for this study. The moderate A1B scenario is available for generating future climatic conditions. The horizontal resolution of the output of the RCM will be 20 km. The dynamically downscaled climate information will be bias-corrected using the available ground based measurements. 1.5 Land Use Change Scenarios 1.5.1 Land use change scenarios have also been assessed and outlined in this report. The most suitable model for constructing land use change scenarios would be one that can indicate the location and the time of the changes. However, this type of model requires a lot of data and complicated mathematical computation. To generate useful information for this study, the consultant team of this package will work closely with other packages and align its approach with the JCM Model of Package B2 which will elaborate the predictions of the West Java Spatial Plan. 1.6 Hydrological Impacts 1.6.1 The analysis of hydrological impacts and the approach to implement hydrological stimulation have been conducted during the inception phase. Hydrological simulation models are often used together with climate scenarios to evaluate the impacts of potential climate change on water resources. Confidence in the modelling results can vary greatly depending on the methods used for the climate scenario development and the hydrological modelling. Literatures reviewed suggested that increased temperature caused a decrease in water yield. Besides, increased CO2, and precipitation caused the largest increase in water yield. Simulation results indicated that increased concentrations of atmospheric CO2 would worsen water yield loss due to the effects of increased temperature or decreased precipitation. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 2 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report 1.6.2 To evaluate climate change risks and vulnerability, this package will use the SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tools) hydrological model. SWAT is a basin scale, continuous time model that operates on a daily time step. It is designed to predict the impact of management on water, sediment and agricultural chemical yields in ungauged watersheds. Hydrological simulation for this package will be developed using the outputs of Climate Change model and inputs for various land use scenarios. 1.7 Interrelationship between Package E and Other Packages 1.7.1 The interrelationships between this package and other packages have been analyzed and discussed during the inception mission. The areas where these packages could be integrated into this project are summarized in Table 4.4. To achieve synergy, the consulting team of this package will work closely with the other packages of this TA to maximise the efficient and effective use of resources. 1.8 Institutional Setting for Water Resource Management at Citarum River Basin 1.8.1 The issues of climate change are addressed in the Long-Term National Development Plan 2005-2035 (RPJMP 2005-2035). The National Mid-Term Development Plan (RPJMN 2010-2014) has suggested to integrate climate change concerns into national development planning through cross-sectoral development. To provide guidance for synergizing programs and actions of climate change adaptation and mitigation within various sectors, each sector has been required to develop a sectoral roadmap. The detail of the roadmap for water, agricultural and waste management sector are presented in Section 4.5. 1.8.2 The West Java Provincial Government has developed a Green Program to reduce GHG emissions by the year of 2029. One of the key activities of this package will assist local, provincial and national agencies to adapt their roles and functions to accommodate climate change impact. The project will also engage the provincial host agency - BPLHD, in the annual budget planning cycle to ensure that sufficient funding will be available to support collaboration between the consulting team and different agencies on the project tasks and activities. In addition, the consulting team will explore the opportunities of receiving international financial and technological supports. 1.8.3 To assess the awareness level of local governments on national and provincial climate change policies and programs, a questionnaire survey has been undertaken. In the survey, questionnaires were sent to 22 government staffs of 12 Districts and 5 Cities in West Java. Analysis of the questionnaires suggested that most of the local governments in West Java are aware of the national and provincial climate change policies and programs. More than half of the local governments have started to develop local policies and programs to address climate change. Nevertheless, the management agencies of the River Basins in West Java have not yet begun to integrate climate change issues into their planning process. Based on the consultation with the BLHD of West Java Province, it is essential for this package to strengthen the institutional capacity of formulating strategic policies to address future climatic challenges. 1.8.4 Stakeholders (government, civil society and private organization) are aware of the importance of strengthening community capacity to manage the CRB. However, the planning and implementation of these activities are not well coordinated. Limited supply of field extension workers (FEW) is the fundamental problem leading to this condition. Furthermore, many of the FEW are contracted employees, or of an age that may not able to engage in the necessary field work\. These factors have constrained the knowledge and skills available for implementing the community strengthening program. The bureaucracy of institutional structure is the second barrier to effective implementation of community capacity strengthening program. From a community development point of view, better management could be achieved if communities are given more responsibility and flexibility to make their own decisions. Since the climate change concept would be introduced during the community development, provision of training on this area should be considered in this package. It is expected that the package will be able to contribute to at least three activities: advocacy to recruit more FEW; training programs for FEW; and participatory extension practices and entrepreneurship. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 3 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report 1.8.5 To effectively address current and future climate risks, a survey on capacity building needs was conducted. The result of the survey indicates that more than half of the respondents demanded receiving various climate change training. Also, the result reveals that the most imminent needs of the local governments are to receive assistance in developing effective climate change programs in response to: the impacts and vulnerabilities of all sectors to climate change; identification of potential mitigation measures; and the implementation of best practice, community-based, climate change pilot projects. 1.8.6 The consulting team has also analyzed the institutional framework of water resource management in national, provincial and local government level. At the national level, watershed management planning is within the authority of BAPPENAS, while the implementation of technical aspects of the river basin management is through the line agencies of the Ministries of Public Works, Interior, Forestry, Agriculture and Health. At the provincial and local government level, BPLHD acts as the coordinating agency for environmental management programs and activities. 1.8.7 In summary, the analysis has shown that the government of West Java and the local government of the CRB have begun to address climate change challenges and are still exploring suitable institutional structure which can overcome the problems incurred by inter-sectoral differences in the current institutional structure. 1.9 Guiding Principles and Methods 1.9.1 The design and implementation of this technical assistance project will follow key guiding principles as listed below: A holistic and Integrated Management Approach - A holistic and integrated management approach is needed to replace the traditional sectoral and piecemeal approach that characterizes past and current practices of water resource planning. Science-Based Climate Risk Assessment and Planning - Scientifically robust assessments are key in anticipating climate change impacts and in turn for “climate proofing” current and future investments, and in the identification of effective adaptation and mitigation strategies to reduce adverse impacts and promote climate change resilient communities and ecosystems. Participatory Multi-Stakeholder Approach - The active participation of various stakeholders at different levels is a key principle that will be employed in the project to create a high degree of awareness on climate change matters, mobilize their support in planning and project implementation, and solicit their commitment to sustain the project activities and benefits beyond the project life. Balancing Outputs and Processes - Consistent with the participatory multi-stakeholder principle espoused by the project, equal emphasis will be given in terms of the timely production of the required deliverable outputs and the major processes involved during the project implementation. Knowledge Product Oriented - The project is also oriented towards producing various knowledge products throughout the course of implementation. Such products will include different guidebooks, manuals, and policy briefs which will be valuable not only to CRB stakeholders but also to other national and international users who are concerned about integrated and sustainable water resources management which involve multi-stakeholders. 1.9.2 This package has been divided into two phases for implementation. These two phases have been conceived to be implemented in an overlapping way starting with the reviews and analysis in mainstreaming climate change concerns into water resources management during the first year of the project with the pilots being introduced late in the first year. Conducting the phases in a parallel fashion will allow time to cultivate a depth and breadth of stakeholder engagement. Moreover, by AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 4 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report adopting a parallel implementation approach, it is believed that progress could be made in stimulating individual and institutional behavioural change through community empowerment and outreach activities. 1.9.3 The outputs of this package will be achieved through the implementation of twenty three Tasks which are defined in the work plan Annex 2. The basis for managing the investigations will be: A focus on climate change modelling and its downscaling results to provide the most timely and cost effective indication of the risks and impacts of climate change in the CRB territory; The ordering, analysis and utilisation of factual information as the basis for objective institutional strengthening of government and civil society organisations. These data will also form the basis for outreaching activities to be managed under a communication strategy; and A focus on participatory processes involving the broadest range of stakeholders. For this a communication and community empowerment strategy is to be developed which will utilize inputs from all specialists and to which all specialists will refer in approaching their tasks. 1.9.4 The following summarized the methods and approaches which will be adopted to achieve the three areas of key activities: Climate Change Modeling and the Issue of Scale - In a region of complex topography like Indonesia, GCMs are not able to show satisfactory performance in simulating regional variability of precipitation. There is a need to downscale the coarse grid size climate variables of GCM using statistical and dynamic downscaling techniques to generate climatic information over the CRB area. Information Management and GIS – Application of geographic information system (GIS) is determined by the data set and the data organization. The data analysis process has been discussed in Section 5.2 of this report. In general, all data produced for or by this TA will be delivered in longitude and latitude (geographic) coordinates. All digital imagery, such as remote sensing data, is to be saved as tagged image file format (.TIFF) or (.IMG) files with the proper header file (or world file) for geo-referencing purposes. o Data Collection and Compilation - Datasets are available in different public government agencies and private data providers and exist in varied formats, such as reference systems, spatial and temporal resolutions as well as documentation. Data has to be harmonized to reach a uniform for vulnerability and risk assessment. o Data Analysis and Application - The data analysis and application functionalities determine the information that can be generated by the GIS. A list of required capabilities will need to be defined as a part of the system requirement in data analysis. o Data Exchange Format - Data exchange formats detail specifically how data should be exchanged, supplied and saved. ESRI shapefiles (*.shp) are the preferred format for Environmental spatial data. The minimum requirement is that all data supplied must include the three basic files that comprise the data set (*.shp, *.shx, *.dbf). o Data File Name - File names should be as descriptive as possible. An ordinary user should easily understand the title of the dataset. Spaces should not be included in file names; use underscores ( _ ) instead. Community Development, Communication and Outreach Strategy – The project will seek to fill the current capacity gaps in communities by addressing the challenges of communicating and understanding of climate change and the potential actions that individuals and institutions can take. This package will compile and analyze the wide range of materials that have already been produced by national and provincial government agencies. The key to effective knowledge transfer is using interactive learning approach. This approach will underpin the work which is carried out in the course of this Project. Based on the feedback received during the AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 5 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report Inception Workshop, the consulting team will undertake the following as the Community Outreach and Empowerment component: 1.10 o Extension worker capacity building; o Communication Materials Development; o Community Education; o Pilot Projects; o Community Network Building; and o Linking Among Stakeholders. Pilot Projects 1.10.1 The Pilot Projects and associated activities will be implemented in the second phase of this package. Pilot mitigation activities will focus on community-based waste-to-energy projects in both rural and urban areas. Pilot adaptation activities will involve water conservation, climate proofing water infrastructure and sustainable agriculture. 1.10.2 Baseline investigations undertaken during the inception phase of this project have revealed that there are already at least 66 on-going and proposed climate change mitigation and adaptation activities in 17 local government regions in West Java. Selection of pilots for this TA will begin with a review of existing activities and will consider the support that this package could complement to these activities to ensure their success. 1.10.3 The selection of pilot activities should be based on objective criteria. The criteria should be carefully selected and determined without bias to ensure acceptance by relevant stakeholders and would not favour any vested interests. One approach which is being considered for implementation in this project is the Delphi method. Based on the discussion with local governments during the inception phase, it is proposed that the pilot activities that involve communities should contribute to at least three components: institutional strengthening; strong extension services; and availability of initial support for inputs and development of additional economic activities. 1.10.4 Based on the suggestions from public consultation meetings and in consultations with MoE and BPLHD, a list of potential sites in three catchments (i.e., upper, middle and lower water catchment) for pilots will be developed. This package will provide technical assistance to BPLHD to organize a process of site selection activities for selecting sites for 3 pilot adaptation activities and 2 pilot mitigation activities. 1.10.5 The Terms of Reference (ToR) for each pilot activity will clearly describe its objectives and expected outcomes, the specific activities, the stakeholders to be involved, estimated budget and implementation timeline. The process of developing the ToR may involve stakeholders consultation to refine the policy context or the objectives. The TA may develop a coordination system with other agencies to synergize various activities in developing the pilots. The consultant team will also provide assistance to BPLHD of West Java Province, Districts and Municipal to develop monitoring indicators. A channel for awareness raising and dissemination of the implementation process and lessons learnt from the pilots will be developed in consultation with MoE and BPLHD. 1.10.6 Lessons learnt from the pilots will be used to develop strategies for up-scaling and replicating the pilots. This package will also assist government to identify the potential source of funding for supporting the programs. At the national level, the approach to determine potential funding for further replication and up-scaling will be aligned with the outputs of Package A, mediated by the consulting team and implemented in consultation with the Ministry of Environment and relevant government agencies to ensure they are engaged in the planning system and the budget planning cycle. This process will be replicated at the provincial level through the BPLHD. This package will specifically assist the BPLHD in exploring public sector donor funding and private-public partnerships. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 6 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report The project team will also provide assistance in preparation of at least two adaptation project documents for applying external funding. Potential funding mechanisms will be reviewed by the consulting team in order to identify appropriate opportunities that may be targeted in the design of adaptation projects. 1.10.7 Promoting effective adaptation has gained recent interest and priority in the international and national levels. Hence, it is an important component of this package. Adaptations include anticipatory and reactive actions which can relate to projected changes in temperature, current climate variations and extremes resulting from climate change. The design of the pilot activities will emphasize the importance of promoting learning opportunities among different participating stakeholders to successfully design and implement adaptation initiatives. This would be an important component to achieve the overall goal of promoting sustainable and integrated management in the CRB. Three initial pilot activities will be designed and implemented in the water and agriculture sectors in this package: Water Conservation - Water conservation is the principle that requires the effective management and protection of water resources. Further investigation and advice from the BPLHD and local governments will be collected to determine which of these types of projects will be pursued in this project. Prioritisation of the pilot activities will be carried out taking into consideration of the existing initiatives as identified in Section 6.2 as well as in consultation with relevant agencies. Climate Proofing Water Infrastructure - Water infrastructure needs to be defined in the context of the CRB. Critical infrastructure for the pilot initiatives should be identified by stakeholder in a consultative and participatory approach. Key questions to be assessed may include: o What are the technical and operational impacts from climate change? o What are the potential adaptation options to address these impacts? o What are the potential barriers to implementing these options? o What are the opportunities from adapting our infrastructure? Sustainable Agriculture - The strategy for implementing adaptation programs will be developed within two time horizons. In the short term, programs for adaptation are directed to improve climate risk management and to increase the welfare of farmer through optimizing the use of climate information and climate-friendly technology. In the long term, programs should be directed to increase the resilience of the agriculture system to future climate risks through the revitalization of long term policies and planning. Mitigation Pilots 1.10.8 The Indonesian Designated National Authority (DNA) has approved 125 CDM projects as of April 2011. The majority of the DNA-approved CDM projects are concerned with renewable energy projects and waste management projects. According to Indonesia’s Second National Communication (SNC), one of the main sources of GHG emissions in the country comes from the waste sector. There are 10 Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) mitigation projects under the CDM scheme. Other CDM mitigation projects in waste sector focus on industrial wastewater. 1.10.9 This package requires implementation of biogas management and solid waste management. While it is recognised that there is already much experience in implementing biogas and solid waste reduction projects, the priority for this package will be seeking those which elaborate difficult aspects, or explore new technologies or approaches. Activities on socializing and designing of pilot activities are proposed to commence within the first year of this project in order to ensure maximum ownership and commitment from government and stakeholders. The involvement of the stakeholders in the early stage of pilot project design will be critical to ensure supporting funds are organized within the APPB routine budget cycle. A wide range of technologies are available to mitigate GHG emissions from waste. These techniques will be further explored during the site selection process for pilot activities. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 7 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report 1.10.10 Mitigation Pilots could be qualified as a CDM project and could receive emission reduction credits if they meet criteria under the UNFCCC framework. Successful implementation of these activities can have impacts at regional, national and global levels and contribute to improving local wealth. These projects could be single CDM project or those under Programmes of Activities (PoA). The design of the CDM projects will require stakeholder consultation and provision of training on CDM. The importance of the support by the Indonesia Designated National Authority (DNA) on UNFCCC registration will be one of the aspects emphasized in the training activities. 1.11 Work Plan and Budget Analysis 1.11.1 The Project will consist of six major Outputs which are to be achieved through 23 tasks. Each task consists of a series of activities. Annex 3 provides the details of these activities and presents the expected timeframe of these activities. 1.11.2 The tasks and activities were derived from two team planning workshops. The first workshop was held between 7th and 9th of March which had produced a scheme. The scheme was subsequently th st modified based on the feedback collected in the inception workshops on 20 and 21 of April. st rd During the second team planning workshop between 21 and 23 of April, tasks were developed by taking reference to the detailed ToR provided by ADB, complemented by the AECOM Technical Proposal and then further considered in terms of a logical sequence of steps needed to collect, analyse and disseminate information in the form required for each OUTPUT. The relationships between the Outputs and the Tasks are shown in Figure 7.1 which is reproduced below: 1. Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation Assessments (Task 1, Task 2, Task 3, Task 4) 2. Two Operational Guidelines) (Task 6, Task 7) Framework for enhancing water management systems 3. (Task 8, Task 9, Task 10) Task 12. Training on CC Mitigation and Adaptation (Task 12) 5. Climate Changes Pilots, Communication and awareness rising Tasks 15, 16, 17, & 18 Task 13. Development of CC Action Plan 4. Specific CC Action Plan and Capacity Development 6.6. Development of project documents for for Development of project documents external funding Task19 19, 20 and 21) external funding (Task – 23) 1.12 Relationships between the TASKS and OUTPUTS 1.12.1 The time allocation of each output, person-day allocation, and budget estimation are presented in Table 7.3, Table 7.4 and Table 7.5. The budget estimate for each activity is provided in Annex 4. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 8 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report 2 INTRODUCTION 2.1 Background 2.1.1 In December 2008, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) approved a major Technical Assistance Grant to fund for a technical assistance (TA) project which consists of four packages. This TA project aims to enhance the institutional capacity of the Indonesian government for integrated water 1 resources management (IWRM) in the 6 Cis river basin territory . This project is implemented by the Directorate General of Water Resources in the Ministry of Public Works and complemented by a loan project directed at improving water management in the Citarum River Basin area. 2.1.2 This TA project was subsequently expanded to include an additional component in order to address the climate change impacts and concerns into water resource management and planning. This additional component, which is named as Package E (this package) of the TA project, is designed to investigate the potential impacts and risks of climate change to the Citarum River Basin area in West Java, and the practical projects activities that could be undertaken to mitigate or adapt to these impacts, with the eventual goals to: promote climate-resilient development in the Citarum River Basin (CRB); and create an environment conducive to mainstreaming climate change concerns into CRB water resources planning at both policy and operational levels. 2.1.3 AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. (AECOM) was appointed by ADB to provide technical assistance to the Ministry of Environment (MoE, the Executing Agency of Package E) for this package. The package E commenced on 10 January 2011 and is scheduled to complete on 9 July 2013. 2.1.4 This is the Final Inception Report (IR) of Package E which serves to summarize the consultant team’s findings in the inception phase, and outline the methodology and approaches that the consultant team will adopt to implement this package, as well as the work plan of this package. 2.2 Project Description Project Objectives 2.2.1 The objectives of this package are to promote climate-resilient development in the Citarum River Basin and create an environment that is conducive to mainstreaming climate change concerns into CRB water resource planning and thereby to reduce the vulnerability of the local communities to climate change and improve their livelihoods. This package, through implementation of various project activities, will strengthen the capacity of the local government to mitigate climate change risk and adapt to the impacts in the key sectors such as the water, waste management and agriculture sectors. 2.2.2 The package is conceived in two overlapping phases. The main objective of the first phase is to build a common understanding of climate change impacts in the CRB region and create an enabling environment for mainstreaming climate change concerns into Citarum water resource management. The key tasks in phase 1 will include: assessment of local vulnerability to climate change; identification and assessment of on-going and potential adaptation and mitigation measures; development of working papers and operational guidelines for mainstreaming climate change concerns in IWRM; identification and prioritization of key pilot activities and climate change adaptation and mitigation policies and measures; and 1 ADB TA-7189-INO: Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 9 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report preparation of climate change action plans and a strategic framework document on water and climate change in the CRB. 2.2.3 The second phase is to test and demonstrate, through pilot activities, how community based responses with the support of government can mitigate risks and promote adaptation through land and resource use changes. The key tasks of phase 2 include: design and implementation of climate change mitigation pilot activities, focusing on biogas projects and solid waste management projects that have the potential, inter alia to improve water quality in the CRB; preparation of CDM project design documents for mitigation pilot activities; design and implementation of three climate change adaptation pilot activities; awareness raising events and training events on water resource management, climate change and CDM; and development of CRB-specific guidebooks on mitigation and adaptation, and a financing plan to guide climate change investments up to 2025. 2.2.4 The experience gained in government through participation in the project will strengthen government capacity to access and capture further assistance from international carbon markets and international funds, such as Special Climate Change Fund and Adaptation Fund. 2.2.5 According to the requirement of ADB for this package, the consultant team will prepare and submit five technical reports. Table 2.1 shows the reporting schedule of this package. Table 2.1 Reporting Schedule of Package E Reports Submission Schedule Draft Inception Report 2 months of mobilization Final Inception Report ~3 months of mobilization (2 weeks after the Inception Workshop) First Progress Report 8 months of mobilization Second Progress Report 16 months of mobilization Third Progress Report 24 months of mobilization Draft Final Report 29 months of mobilization Final Report 30 months of mobilization 2.3 Contract Negotiations 2.3.1 The contract negotiation meeting for this package was held at ADB headquarters in Manila on 25 November, 2010. The key areas agreed in the meeting included the followings: th This package should be implemented in a way that the Government takes leadership proactively and the role of Consultant should be solely supportive to achieve this package objectives; Although major activities of the TA will be implemented in cooperation with Ministry of Environment, full support on this TA should be extended to all related ministries, provinces and local communities depending on the actual needs assessment; Expertise for Climate Change modelling should be obtained from various universities (e.g. Universities of Tokyo and California) and from ongoing ADB TAs; Pilot activities should be carefully selected based on agreed criteria, without favouring any vested interests; Close monitoring of pilot activities should be ensured by designing an effective monitoring and implementation framework; Capacity development actions and pilot activities should be mutually supportive; Reporting, information dissemination and reviewing mechanism will have to be in close consultation with ADB and implementing agencies, and be based on feedback from all AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 10 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report stakeholders involved. Second and Third progress reports will also discuss progress in implementing the pilot activities; Both capacity building and pilot activities should be designed in a manner that gender considerations are effectively mainstreamed; and International best practices for capacity building and piloting should be employed. Local communities should be engaged proactively to ensure local ownership of the project. Opportunities should be created to engage international and national volunteers to assist the implementation of TA. 2.4 Purpose of This Report 2.4.1 This is the Final Inception Report which has been revised based by integrating the findings in the Inception Workshop and Meeting on 19 and 20 April 2011 at Jakarta and Bandung into the Draft Inception Report. 2.4.2 The Inception Report summarizes the findings of the consultant team in the inception phase of the project, and provides an overview of the baseline conditions in the Citarum River Basin Territory. It also outlines the approaches and methodologies that the consultant team will apply to implement this project, as well as the planned project activities and their budget and timeframe. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 11 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report 3 GEOGRAPHICAL SETTING 3.1 Regional Importance of Citarum River Basin 3.1.1 The Citarum River Basin is located in West Java and covers a total area of about seven thousand square kilometres (Figure 3.1). It is the largest and the economically most important watershed in West Java Province. The Citarum River is 269 km long rising in Mount Wayang and entering the Java Sea at Tanjung Kerawang. 3.1.2 The upper Citarum Watershed has 8 sub-Watersheds covering a total area of 230,802 ha. The largest sub-watershed is the Cirasea, covering 16.5 % of the area, followed by the Cisangkuy and Ciminyak. The smallest sub-Watershed is Cikeruh which covers only 8.24 % of the total watershed area. These eight sub-watersheds transverse the 6 local government areas of Bandung, West Bandung Barat, Bandung City, Cimahi City, Sumedang and a small part in Garut (Table 3.1). 3.1.3 Three sub-watersheds are located in middle Citarum which cover a total area of 182,719 ha. One of the sub-watersheds, the Cisokan-Cibalagung covers 65% of the middle tracts of the Citarum. The other sub-watersheds are the Cikundul and the Cimeta-Cilangka. Together the three lie across the districts of West Bandung, Cianjur, Purwakarta, and Sukabumi. 3.1.4 The lower Citarum has four sub-watersheds, nameed Cibeet, Cikao, Citarum Hilir, and Jatiluhur. Cibeet and Citarum Hilir, together occupy about 76% of the total area (321,102 ha). The sub-watersheds are located in Bekasi, Bogor, Cianjur, Kerawang and Purwakarta (Table 3.1). Figure 3.1 AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. Location Map of Citarum River Basin 12 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report Table 3.1 River Tract Upper Middle Lower Area of Sub-Watersheds in Citarum and Districts and Cities Situated in the Sub Watersheds Area Name of Districts/ Cities Located in the Name of Sub-watersheds % (ha) Sub-watershed Cihaur 27,981 12.1 Bandung, West Bandung, Bandung City, Cimahi City Cikapundung-Capamokolan 30,472 13.2 Bandung, West Bandung, Bandung City, Cimahi City, Sumendang Cikeruh 19,029 8.2 Bandung, Bandung City, Sumendang Ciminyak 32,575 14.1 Bandung, West Bandung City Cisarea 38,110 16.5 Bandung, Garut Cisangkuy 34,159 14.8 Bandung Citarik 22,951 9.9 Bandung, Garut, Sumedang Ciwidey 22,169 9.6 Bandung, West Bandung Saguling Dam 3,356 1.5 West Bandung Total 230,802 100.0 Cikundul 25,737 14.1 West Bandung, Cianjur, Purwakarta, Sukabumi Cimeta-Cilangka 32,714 17.9 West Bandung, Cianjur, Purwakarta Cisokan-Cibalagung 118,627 64.9 West Bandung, Cianjur, Sukabumi Cirata Dam 5,641 3.1 Cianjur Total 182,719 100.0 Cibeet 102,893 32.0 Bekasi, Bogor, Cianjur Cikao 22,072 6.9 West Bandung, Purwakarta Citarum Hilir 140,649 43.8 Bekasi, Karawang, Purwakarta Jatiluhur 48,452 15.1 West Bandung, Cianjur, Karawang, Purwakarta Jatiluhur Dam 7,036 2.2 Purwakarta Total 321,102 100.0 Source: Analyzed from Department Kehutanan (2009) based on land use cover map scale 1:25000 from Bakosurtanal of 2007/2008. 3.1.5 74% of the Citarum River Basin area lies outside the national forest estate and is therefore under the jurisdiction of local government under spatial planning legislation. The forest coverage of the upper, middle and lower Citarum areas are about 28%, 31%, and 22% respectively (Table 3.2). The non-forest area is vulnerable to erosion. As most of the land is owned by landholders, the application of community based approach to watershed management would be very important. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 13 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report Table 3.2 Fraction of Forest and Non-Forest Area of the Upper, Middle and Lower Citarum River Basin Position Sub-watershed Forest % FA Non-Forest % NFA Total Area Area (APL) Upper part Cihaur 4,541 16 23,440 84 27,981 Cikapundung-Capamokolan 5,320 17 25,152 83 30,472 Cikeruh 2,806 15 16,224 85 19,030 Ciminyak 9,336 29 23,239 71 32,575 Cisarea 14,508 38 23,602 62 38,110 Cisangkuy 10,632 31 23,527 69 34,159 Citarik 4,735 21 18,217 79 22,952 Ciwidey 8,958 40 13,211 60 22,169 Saguling Dam Total Cikundul Middle part Cimeta-Cilangka Cisokan-Cibalagung Cirata Dam N/A N/A N/A 3,356 28 166,612 72 230,804 4,075 16 21,662 84 25,737 6,455 20 26,258 80 32,714 39,736 33 78,890 67 118,626 5,641 N/A N/A N/A 5,641 Total 55,907 31 126,810 69 182,718 Cibeet 20,617 20 82,276 80 102,893 Cikao Lower part 3,356 64,192 5,304 24 16,768 76 22,072 Citarum Hilir 21,643 15 119,005 85 140,649 Jatiluhur 15,888 33 32,565 67 48,452 7,036 N/A N/A N/A 7,036 70,488 22 250,614 78 321,102 Jatiluhur Dam Total Source: Analyzed from Departemen Kehutanan (2009) based on land use cover map scale 1:25000 from Bakosurtanal of 2007/2008. 3.1.6 Analysis of the 1:25000 land use map (BAKOSURTANAL 2007/2008) shows that the forest coverage of CRB is only 6%. The land use coverage of various types of lands are presented in Table 3.3. Perennial crops cover 8.4% of the upper CRB, 14.8% of the middle CRB and 5.0% of the lowlands. The remaining land is subject to dry land crops with seasonal clearing and cultivation. This is a major factor in water resource management and in erosion control. For example, under the Forest Law, the standard requirement of forest coverage is 30% for water conservation purposes. In the upper catchment, cultivation for high value cash crops, particularly potato and chilli (Boer et al., 2006) has been a major driver of forest encroachment and land degradation (see Figure 3.2). According to the latest data from the Forestry Office of West Java Province, the total area of critical land in the CRB has reached about 142,000 ha (Table 3.4). Approximately half of the critical land is located in the upper catchment area. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 14 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report Table 3.3 Land use Category Land Use / Cover of the CRB Land use/cover types Dry land Forest Swamp Forest Forest Land Crop Land Sub-Total % 5.8 Ha 19,098 % 5.2 Ha 26,143 % - - - - 358 0.1 26,544 5.8 19,098 5.2 26,501 4.1 4.1 38,953 8.4 54,171 14.8 32,209 5.0 10.4 28,947 7.9 110,878 17.3 Rainfed rice 18,288 4.0 13,501 3.7 28,267 4.4 Dryland agriculture 37,764 8.2 23,809 6.5 26,679 4.2 143,091 31.0 120,428 33.0 198,033 30.9 14,989 3.2 17,829 4.9 22,630 3.5 4,065 0.9 1,037 0.3 4,651 0.7 Sub-Total 19,054 4.1 18,866 5.2 27,280 4.3 Water body 3,630 0.8 6,059 1.7 18,327 2.9 - - - - 688 0.1 21 0.0 1 0.0 20,814 3.2 3,651 0.8 6,060 1.7 39,829 6.2 739 0.2 93 0.0 262 0.0 Settlements 37,603 8.1 18,043 4.9 28,321 4.4 Sub-Total 38,342 8.3 18,136 5.0 28,582 4.5 93 0.0 129 0.0 53 0.0 27 0.0 - - - 0.0 120 0.0 100.0 129 0.0 100.0 53 0.0 100.0 Sub-Total Ponds Sub-Total Buildings Rocks Sand land Other lands Ha 26,544 48,086 Swamp Settlement Lower Citarum Irrigated Rice field Grass/ Bareland Wetland Middle Citarum Garden/Plantation Shrubs Grassland Upper Citarum Sub-Total TOTAL 230,802 182,717 320,278 Source: Analyzed from Department Kehutanan (2009) based on land use cover map scale 1:25000 from Bakosurtanal AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 15 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report Figure 3.2 The Topography Condition of Upper Area of the CRB BANDUNG BASIN / UPPER CITARUM WATERSHED Vapour Bandung City Vapour Upper CRB SOURCE: BOBBY WIBOWO/ 2004 The Upper Citarum Watershed consists of 7 Sub Watershed WEST JAVA The watershed have on 650 to 2,500 m’ above sea level surrounded by ranges of mountains and hills Consists of 4 administrative area, which are: Bandung (Municipality and Regency), Cimahi & Sumedang WEST JAVA Source: Pemda Jabar, 2006 3.1.7 Forest plays a very important role in maintaining the hydrological function of the upper catchment area. Maintaining the hydrological function is essential for sustaining many ecosystems in the watershed. In the context of water management, deforestation in the upper catchment has resulted in high rates of runoff leading to flooding during the rainy season and drought during the dry season. Further accelerated flooding and drought risks are expected according to the predicted weather patterns under climate change scenarios. Dialog between stakeholders and scientists in Bandung suggested that at least 40% of the watershed area should be maintained as conservation zone (i.e. under a forest cover) in order to minimize the impact of extreme climatic events and possible climate change. Ecological function of the watershed can also be revitalized and in turn it will improve quality of life of the people (Bapeda Jawa Barat, 2001). AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 16 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report Table 3.4 Area of Critical Land in Non-Forest and Forest Areas at Citarum River Basin Non-Forest Area (ha) Forest Area (ha) Non-Protected Area Protected Area Bandung Bekasi 16,506 Conservation/ Protection Forest 14,433 Production Forest 36,944 91 12 335 8,218 0 Bogor 1,917 1,547 10,628 365 Cianjur 7,922 9,119 7,688 4,300 784 1,650 10,153 628 25 426 0 0 Karawang Bandung City Cimahi City 0 577 0 0 Purwakarta 2,763 2,453 1,720 485 29,929 30,540 75,352 5,868 Total 60,470 81,220 141,689 Source: http://dishut.jabarprov.go.id 3.1.8 Improving the condition of the upper CRB catchment with the participation of all the stakeholders is very important. Charges for environmental services have been proposed by various stakeholders in a number of events in the CRB. A concept called ‘Upstream planting and downstream paying’ or ‘Hulu menanam, Hilir membayar’ has been discussed in the region and implemented in a number of districts in Indonesia. In West Java, two districts outside the CRB (Kuningan and Cirebon District) have implemented this concept. For example, the Government of Cirebon pays 1.75 billion IDR to Kuningan Government every year as compensation for maintaining and protecting the 645 ha of forest at Kuningan. This has ensured the sustainable supply of clean water to Cirebon district from Paniis water spring located in the Kuningan District and demonstrated the effectiveness of this concept. 3.1.9 Apart from supplying clean water to 7 districts (Bandung, Cimahi, Cianjur, Purwakarta, Bekasi, Karawang, and 80% of the need of Jakarta), the CRB also plays an important role in supplying water for irrigating 300,000 ha of rice paddy, generating electricity with capacity of about 1,400 MW and for other uses (industries, flushing canals in Jakarta, etc). Electricity is generated from three hydropower stations with dams located in the upper, middle and lower area of the CRB. Saguling Dam, located in the upper CRB area, was established in 1986 with total volume of about 982 million 3 m . Cirata Dam, located in the middle CRB area, was established in 1988 with total volume of about 3 2,165 million m . Jatiluhur Dam, located in the lower CRB area, was established in 1963 with total volume of 3,000 million m3. The Saguling Dam and Cirata Dam are particularly operated for hydropower generation, while the Jatiluhur Dam is a multipurpose dam. According to the Electricity State Company (PLN), these three dams in the CRB contribute about 74% of the total Hydro Electric Powers of JAMALI (Jawa Bali System). The decrease in electricity production from these three dams would have a serious impact on electricity supply in the region. 3.2 Observed Historical Changes of Climate 3.2.1 Historical (last decade) climate variations over the CRB basin has been examined by using data from ° Bandung station (6 55’S, 107°36’E and 791 metres above mean sea level) over the period 2000 to 2010. Bandung is taken as a reference site of CRB in this initial assessment because of its geographical location is within the study area and the data at the Bandung stations were available in the inception period. As the investigation progresses, long term climatic data (such as rainfall, temperature (maximum, minimum, and average, evaporation, wind velocity, and relative humidity etc.) will be considered from a broader range of sampling locations such as Lembang. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 17 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report 3.2.2 Figure 3.3 (a), (b) and (c) shows the mean monthly average, maximum and minimum temperature for the 10 years time frame. The average temperature shows low variation throughout the year. However, high variability is observed between maximum and minimum temperature from June to October. Figure 3.3(d) shows the mean monthly distribution of the rainfall of the Bandung area. It has found that annual rainfall varies from 1600 to 2500 mm at Bandung, with the higher rainfall during wet season (November to April) and lower rainfall during dry season (June to October). Figure 3.3 Mean Monthly (a) Average, (b) Maximum, (c) Minimum Temperature and (d) Rainfall 3.3 The Impacts of Past Climate Variability in the CRB 3.3.1 The variability of rainfall in Java and the Eastern Part of Indonesia is strongly influenced by the ENSO (El Nino and La Nina Southern Oscillation) phenomenon. The variation in rainfall has significant impact on water storage in many reservoirs in Java. Based on observations in the Jatiluhur (West Java) and Gedung Ombo (East Java) dams, during the El Nino years, the water level in dry season could drop up to 40% below normal level (Figure 3.4), while during years when La-Nina phenomenon occurred, it could go up to 120% of the normal level. Significant decrease in water level in the dams has seriously impact on electricity generation and water availability for irrigation (Las et al.,1999). AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 18 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report Average Volume of Water at the Two Main Reservoirs in Java During La-Niña, El-Niño, and Normal Years Volume of water normal) Volume Air (%(% darifrom Normal) Figure 3.4 140 Okt-Jan(WS) (MH) Oct-Jan Feb-Mei Feb-May (MK (DS I) I) 120 Jun-Sep(DS (MK Jun-Sep II)II) 100 80 60 40 20 0 La-Nina El-Nino Jatiluhur La-Nina El-Nino Kedung Ombo Key: WS: wet season, DS: dry season Source: Las et al., 1999 3.3.2 Data analysis from the State Electricity Company (PLN) for the dams in CRB shows that in the El-Niño years of 1994, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004 and 2006, most of the power plants produced less electricity than normal (long-term means; Figure 3.5). 3.3.3 Historically the Asian economic crisis in 1997 led to a series of social crises that caused an upsurge in the rate of forest loss driven by illegal logging and the need for timber for cooking. The data presented in Figure 3.5 is consistent with the continuing loss of forest cover in the upper catchment of the reservoirs resulting in the increasing difference between maximum flows in the wet season and minimum flows in the dry season. Historical flow data of the Nanjung River (upper catchment of CRB) from 1951-1998 shows that the difference between maximum flow and minimum flow has 3 3 increased from 50 m /s in the 1950’s to 150 m /s by the late 1990s. 3.3.4 The timing of these changes in dry season flows coincided with growing demand for water resources for industry and growing urban populations. The changes also contributed to an increase in demand for ground water which has resulted in dangerous falls in artesian water tables. 3.4 Report on Roadmap and Program Development 3.4.1 In Bandung, an estimated 90% of the population, and 98% of the industries, rely on groundwater. Modelling studies done in 2002 suggest that recorded groundwater extraction is only about one-third of the actual amount. The Citarum Integrated Water Resource Management Project lowering of the groundwater level is reportedly up to 5 meters per year in some places. The cumulative water level decline since 1920 has been 85 m. In 2005, it was estimated that land subsidence had reached 0.8 m. In order to get clean water, industrial wells have to be drilled to beyond 150 m. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 19 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report Figure 3.5 Anomaly of Electricity Production from 1992-2006 in Saguling, Cirata and Jatiluhur Dam 60 Electricity Production Anomaly (% from long term mean) Cirata Saguling 40 Jatiluhur 20 0 -20 -40 -60 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 Source: Drawn from data provided by PLN., Electricity State Company 3.4.2 Significant changes in rainfall and river flow during ENSO years has also caused serious impact on rice production of Java as a result of flooding in the wet season and drought in the dry season (Boer and Subbiah, 2005). In West Java, the rice production areas which receive irrigation water from the Jatiluhur Dam (e.g. Indramayu, Subang, Sukamandi) suffer serious impact due to the ENSO phenomenon. As shown in Figure 3.6, the rice production areas affected by flooding and drought in the wet and dry season have increased significantly during the La Nina years and El Nino years. This indicates that the effectiveness of the dams to manage flooding during wet season, and supply irrigation water during the dry season has deteriorated. Figure 3.6 Cumulative Area Affected by Drought and Flood in Rice Growing Area of West Java between Normal and ENSO Years West Java Cumulative Affected Area (ha) Cum ulative A ffected Area (ha) West Java 600000 El Nino 500000 Normal 400000 La Nina 300000 200000 100000 0 Apr Mei Jun Jul Ags Sep Okt Nov Des Jan Feb Mar 50000 40000 El Nino Normal La Nina 30000 20000 10000 0 Apr Mei Jun Jul Ags Sep Okt Nov Des Jan Feb Mar Source: Boer et al., 2009 3.4.3 The most recent study conducted by D’Arrigo et al., (2010) indicates that forest plays a significant role in maintaining the resilience of the Citarum ecosystem to the extreme climate. It is found that the correlation between the sea surface temperature anomaly over Pacific-Indian Oceans and Citarum river flow (Nanjung River) was significant by using the recent stream flow data (1960-2006) but not significant by using the old historical data (1920-1960) (Figure 3.7). As suggested by many studies, variability of dry season rainfall is strongly influenced by the sea surface temperature anomaly over the Pacific (ENSO) and Indian Ocean. Thus, the findings clearly indicate that the significant change AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 20 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report in rainfall during ENSO years has translated into significant change in Citarum River flow only in the recent years (1960-2006) but not in the past (1920-1960). Figure 3.7 Spatial Correlation Plots for September–October Citarum Streamflow and Gridded August SST. Top Panels (a): SST, Recent Interval from 1960 to 2006, and Second Panels (b): SST, Low Variance Period from 1920 to 1960 Source: D’Arrigo et al., 2010 3.4.4 The water shortage of the three dams in CRB during extreme dry years does not only have impact on the electricity generation and agriculture production, but also the availability of potable water particularly in urban areas. For instance, the Citarum Dam supplies potable water to Jakarta, the capital city of Indonesia. Under extreme dry years, the water level at Citarum Dam may decrease to a level of less than 75 m. Under this condition, the water pump at the dam cannot operate and water supply to the water sanitation plant may be suspended. On the other hand, in extreme wet years, flooding may damage the water sanitation plant and contaminate the water. Flooding, which occurred in February 2007, had caused damage to the production installation which amounted to about USD2.2 million. Heavy rainfall also increases turbidity of water which results in higher cost for water sanitation. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 21 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report 4 BASELINE ANALYSIS 4.1 Synthesis on Climate Change Impact Studies on Citarum River Basin 4.1.1 Studies on the impact of climate change in CRB are still limited. Only four climate change studies focusing on CRB have been identified. Two of these studies focused on the climate impact and the impact of land use changes on river flow in CRB (Boer et al., 2004; Santoso and Warrick, 2003), while the other two studies assessed the impact of climate change on CRB management (WWF and ITB, 2007) and hydrologic balance (Boer et al., 2010). The findings from the studies indicated that the impact of climate change will be more severe if the forest, particularly in the upper catchment of CRB area is not conserved (Santoso and Warrick, 2003, Boer et al., 2004; WWF and ITB, 2007). Most of the districts in the lower basin may be exposed to serious water scarcity in the future. Increasing water extraction to 20% of the mean annual flow would not change the water status of these sub-districts (Boer et al., 2010). Further findings also suggested that the change in rainfall distribution due to global warming would potentially cause various hazards such as flooding, drought, landslide, and diseases outbreak. Areas that will potentially expose to high flooding risk are the northern area of the CRB due to its low elevation. The steep slopes between Cirata and Jatilhuhur are the areas subject to high landslide risk. 4.1.2 Methodologies and approaches used in the above studies varied from simple statistical analysis to complex dynamic modelling. A number of gaps are identified in the above studies. The following sections describe the gaps related to the methodologies on the development of climate change, land use scenarios and hydrology models in the above studies. 4.2 Gap Analysis for Climate Change Modelling 4.2.1 The development of climate change scenarios in the above studies used three different methods: GCM outputs from the IPCC applied to a simple downscaling method to obtain a regionalized climate change pattern from a result of a GCM experiment; Synthetic climate change scenarios developed based on climate change scenarios from four different GCM models; and Constructed climate change scenarios based on the change in land use pattern indicated by the Normalized Difference Vegetation Indicator (NDVI). It is worthy to note that NDVI is widely used to monitor biomass growth and is related to vegetation canopy characteristics. 4.2.2 IPCC uses 24 different GCMs developed in various centers in the world as the basis for its approach. Current GCMs normally give a coarse resolution output for a grid of more than 250~300km. In a region of complex topography like Java, GCMs are not able to show satisfactory performance in simulating precipitation and its regional variability. This implies the need to downscale the coarse grid size climate variables of GCM results to the grid size as required for the impact studies. Nowadays, there is a number of methods to downscale the output of GCMs to finer resolutions including high resolution regional climate modelling (RCM) and statistical downscaling (UNFCCC, 2004). 4.2.3 A few studies have been conducted to generate high resolution climate change scenarios for Indonesia. Aldrian et al. (2004) simulated Indonesian rainfall variability using the Max Planck Institute regional climate model, REMO. Two re-analysis scenarios and one European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECHAM4) model outputs were used as later boundary condition. REMO simulations were performed at 50km horizontal resolution for the whole archipelago of Indonesia and Sulawesi Island for the period from 1979 to 1993. In general, the REMO model, provided a good reproduction of the spatial pattern of monthly and seasonal rainfall over land, but overestimated rainfall over the sea. No future scenarios have yet been generated for the CRB study area. 4.2.4 Katzfey et al. (2010) generated regional climate change modelling scenarios over Indonesia using the Conformal-Cubic Atmospheric Model (CCAM) at a 60 km horizontal resolution. Three time periods were simulated. They include 1971-2100, 2041-2060 and 2081-2100. This analysis has produced future climatic information for the Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES) A2 scenario of the AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 22 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report IPCC. The Indonesian Agency for Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics (BMKG) will continue to run scenarios using CCAM to provide information for policy and adaptation decisions. However, further downscaling up to 20km resolution is possible by using other RCMs. 4.2.5 Koike et al. (2010) have shown the effect of climate change on floods using downscaled climatic information. They have worked on eighteen different river basins in Asia including one basin of Indonesia. However, their works only focus on the changes of extreme rainfall events and the consequent changes of floods. Though it is essential to generate high resolution climatic information to downscale the output of GCMs for various impact studies, there has not been any study focusing the CRB area. 4.3 Planned Scope in this Package 4.3.1 In this package, both statistical and dynamic downscaling techniques will be used to generate climatic information over the CRB area. The available GCMs data from IPCC Data distribution centre will be used for statistical downscaling. Table 4.1 shows a list of GCMs in the IPCC model archive which will be used for this project. The future climate change will be projected based on the Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES). Data of two extreme scenarios (A2 and B1) and one moderate scenario (A1B) will be used to develop climatic information for the CRB. Multiple regression models will be used for statistical downscaling of the GCMs data. Specific humidity, precipitation, air pressure, air temperature (mean, maximum and minimum), wind speed data are available from GCMs. These data will be downscaled using the ground based station data over the CRB area. 4.3.2 Dynamic downscaling of the GCM will use high resolution data from the Regional Climate Model (RCM). A number of regional climate models are available as dynamic downscaling tools. The open source, RegCM has been considered for this study. The International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP), Trieste, Italy, regional climate model RegCM was originally developed by Giorgi et al. (1993). The dynamical core of the RegCM is equivalent to the hydrostatic version of the NCAR/Penn State University meso-scale model MM4 and the models projection is rotated Lambert Conformal. Boundary layer physics are formulated following a non-local vertical diffusion scheme with a relaxation zone in transition from GCM to RCM of 11 grid cells. The output is available in GraDS (Grid Analysis and Display System) format. The boundary GCM data to derive the RCM will be used from the Max-Planck-Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany (MPI). The ECHAM model (Roeckner et al., 2003) has been developed from the ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) model (EC) and a complex parameterization package developed in Hamburg (HAM) used to adjust the ECMWF Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) model for climate simulations. The current version is ECHAM5. The moderate A1B scenarios are available for generating future climatic conditions of this model. The horizontal resolution of the output of the RCM will be 20 km. The dynamically downscaled climatic information will be bias-corrected using the available ground based measurements. Table 4.1 SL 1 List of Available GCMs in the IPCC Model Archive Center Model Beijing Climate Center, China CM1 2 Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research , Norway BCM2.0 3 Canadian Center for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Canada CGCM3 4 CM3 5 Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques, France Australia's Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, Australia Mk3.0 6 Max-Planck-Institut for Meteorology , Germany ECHAM5-OM 7 Meteorological Institute, University of Bonn, Germany ECHO-G 8 Institute of Atmospheric Physics , China FGOALS-g1.0 9 Geophysical Fluid Dynamic Laboratory, USA CM2.0 10 Goddard Institute for Space Studies , USA AOM 11 Institute for Numerical Mathematics , Russia CM3.0 12 Institut Pierre Simon Laplace, France CM4 AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 23 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report 13 National Institute for Environmental Studies, Japan MIROC3.2 14 Meteorological Research Institute , Japan CGCM2.3.2 15 National Centre for Atmospheric Research , USA CCSM3 16 Met. Office , UK HadCM3 17 National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology , Italy SXG 2005 4.4 Gap Analysis Land Use Change Scenarios 4.4.1 There have been a number of studies on land use changes in CRB (e.g. Boer et al., 2004; Haryanto et al., 2004; Santosa, 2003; Santosa and Warrick, 2003). Haryanto et al. (2004) analyzed land use changes in the Upper Citarum Watershed and its implications for the runoff coefficient. The land use changes detected, based on land use data sets for the year 1983, 1993, and 2002 (Table 4.2), and the trend of this historical land use, were used to estimate a future runoff coefficient. It is noticed that forest and paddy field decreased about 39,621 ha (21.9%) and 31,282 ha (17.85) respectively from year 1983 to year 2002, while urban and bare land increased about 11,521 ha (6.4%) and 10,613 ha (5.9%) respectively. The study indicated that forest, paddy field, and grass/scrub play an important role in controlling the rate of overland flow and runoff coefficient, while urban, public services, bare land tend to increase the runoff coefficient. Table 4.2 No. Land Use Change in Upper Citarum in the Period 1983 and 2003 1983 Land use ha 1 Lake 2 3 4 1993 % 2002 ha % ha Changes 1983 - 2002 % ha % 282 0.16 300 0.17 198 0.11 -84 -0.05 Bare land 1,775 0.98 8,950 4.94 12,388 6.84 10,613 5.86 Crop land 2,411 1.33 1,677 0.93 4,125 2.28 1,714 0.95 Grass/bush 10,347 5.72 2,654 1.47 1,458 0.81 -8,889 -4.91 5 Paddy field 56,049 30.96 47,784 26.40 23,767 13.13 -32,282 -17.83 6 Forest 82,523 45.59 69,434 38.36 42,902 23.70 -39,621 -21.89 7 Scrub 18,625 10.29 32,868 18.16 69,663 38.48 51,038 28.19 8 Plantation 1,906 1.05 2,580 1.43 3,148 1.74 1,242 0.69 9 Urban 5,955 3.29 10,889 6.02 17,476 9.65 11,521 6.36 564 0.31 2,200 1.22 3,292 1.82 2,728 1.51 11 Sub-urban Public Facilities 176 0.10 438 0.24 533 0.29 357 0.20 12 Industry 416 0.23 1,255 0.69 2,079 1.15 1,663 0.92 181,029 100.00 181,029 100.00 181,029 100.00 10 Total 4.4.2 These results show that land use changes induce the change in hydrology. exacerbate or reduce the impacts. 4.4.3 Land use change scenarios in the Upper Catchments of CRB area have been proposed by Santoso (2003) to assess the effects of land use change and climate change on the quantity and variability of stream flows. The scenarios of land use change patterns have been constructed using a cellular automata method. The cellular automata modelling method considers land uses as an array of cells in which the state of the discrete cells depends on the state of their neighbouring cells. The change in the state of a cell from one state to another state, i.e. from one land use type to another land use type, is guided by a set of deterministic or probabilistic transition rules. 4.4.4 There are many land use models already available. The most suitable model for constructing land use change scenarios would be the one that can produce spatially explicit and time-dependent land use change patterns (dynamic spatial model). However, this model requires a lot of data and complicated mathematical computation. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. Land use change can 24 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report 4.4.5 The analysis presented in this Inception report use the land use pattern of 1990 as the baseline (Figure 4.1). The pattern of land use estimated from the period 2000 to 2010 applied 10 year intervals using a set of probabilistic transition rules land use. 4.4.6 During the implementation phase of the project, this package will review the approach and progress which has been achieved under Package B2 of this TA project using the state of the art JSM model calibrated with 2010 data to determine how the resources of this package can be most effectively used to understand climate change impacts on long term projected land use predictions. Figure 4.1 4.4.7 Land Use Map of Year 1990 Four policy-oriented scenarios have been selected to examine the impact of land use change and climate change on the stream flows. These scenarios include: business-as-usual, ecological concern, pro-industrialization, and pro-agriculture. 4.4.8 The business-as-usual scenario is based on conditions of the last 10 to 15 years where the rate of change for each land use is kept constant. 4.4.9 Ecological concern is related to enforcement of existing regulations regarding land use. They include the Presidential Decree No. 32/1990 regarding the definitions of protected zones, and regulations regarding the recommendation of land use allocation in the North Bandung region (Governor's Decree No. 181.1/SK.1624/Bapp/1982) and No. 413.21/SK.222-Huk/91 regarding the locality criteria and technical standard for spatial land use in Puncak region. 4.4.10 The pro-industrialization scenario performs through encouraging industrialization and it is expected that more jobs will be created in this sector and the GRDP will rise quickly. 4.4.11 The pro-agriculture scenario encourages agriculture sector for self-sufficient food-crops. In this scenario, the loss of agricultural land, in particular the irrigated paddy is designed to be minimal, while the area for agricultural land is allowed to expand onto the forestland (Santosa, 2003; Santosa and Warrick, 2003). AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 25 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report 4.4.12 The pattern of land use under the four policies oriented scenarios for the year 2000-2100 is depicted in Figure 4.2, Figure 4.3, Figure 4.4 and Figure 4.5 respectively. These figures indicate that the urban area reaches the maximum in 2100 under the pro-industrialization policy and reaches the minimum under the pro-agriculture policy. The area of agricultural land reaches the maximum at the year of 2100 when the pro-agriculture policy is implemented although the paddy-field will decrease. The business-as-usual and the ecology concern policies produce almost similar pictures. The main difference is that the ecological concerned policy keeps the forest area at the same size as in 1990, whereas the business-as-usual scenario allows conversion of the secondary forest into different land use types (Santosa, 2003). 4.4.13 Two scenario approaches will be undertaken for this TA. The first approach is based on an existing land use scenario generated from simple land use modelling, while the second will be based on spatial planning. In addition to the above land use scenario, the land use scenario of package B2 could be used for GIS hydrology model in this package as part of Task 5. Whenever the existing land use scenarios are not suitable for the hydrology model, land use analysis using an appropriate model will be performed. The other option is using land use scenario under the existing Regional Spatial Plan (RTRW) of West Java Province. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 26 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report Figure 4.2 AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. Land Use Development under a Business-as-Usual Scenario 27 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report Figure 4.3 AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. Land Use Development under Ecological Concern Scenario 28 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report Figure 4.4 AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. Land Use Development under Pro-Industrialization Scenario 29 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report Figure 4.5 Land Use Development under Pro-Agriculture Scenario Hydrological Impacts 4.4.14 Hydrological simulation models are often used together with climate scenarios to evaluate the potential climate change impacts on water resources. Confidence in the results can vary greatly depending on the methods used for the climate scenario development and the hydrological modelling. 4.4.15 As mentioned in the previous section, only four studies related to climate change impact on the CRB have been carried out. The findings from these studies varied because different hydrologic models were applied in these studies. Santosa and Warrick (2003) used a conceptual model of water balance computation for each cell. This approach used a water balance model introduced by Thornthwaite and Mather (1955) that has been widely accepted (e.g. Dunne and Leopold, 1978; Donker, 1987). Santosa and Warrick (2003) expanded on the earlier approaches by incorporating several geological related parameters such as infiltration and maximum groundwater storage (Sir M MacDonald & Partners, 1984), and allowing for a base flow component and direct runoff, which are important AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 30 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report parameters to give significant seasonal variation in the streamflows. In addition, the storm runoff parameter in this approach relates to both the geology and the land use, and therefore can enhance the physical process of total runoff. 4.4.16 Although this study showed the advantage of fit between computed discharge data against the 2 observed data using the Nash and Sutcliff method (Nash and Sutcliffe, 1970), giving an r for calibration of 0.94 and for validation 0.72, the applicability of this model in predicting streamflow for increased atmospheric CO2 scenario model should be reconsidered. The effect of increased atmospheric CO2 could suppress transpiration processes as suggested by Fontaine et al. (2001). 4.4.17 Further, the water balance computation for each cell method used by Santosa and Warrick (2003) could not accommodate the role of reservoirs. Table 4.3 shows the capacity of the three big reservoirs in Juanda, Cirata and Sanguling. Since these reservoirs have very large capacities, they play a significant role in regulating streamflow downstream in the CRB and therefore need to be considered in the modelling implementation. A Similar study in CRB by WWF and ITB (2007) also does not mention the importance of the role of the reservoirs in CRB streamflow as the study focused only on the upper Citarum. Table 4.3 Capacity of the Big Three Reservoirs in CRB Unit: Million m 3 4.4.18 The impact of land use change and climate change on stream flow at Citarum watershed has been studied by Boer et al (2004). The impact is evaluated by using a VIC-BASIN Model hydrology and the climate change scenarios were derived from GCM outputs from ECHAM model. The results were then downscaled to the study site. Output from the downscaled climate scenarios was used as input for CLIMGEN. In this 2004 study, Boer et al. concluded that under baseline and low climate scenarios, increasing forest cover more than 20% and up to 47% of the total land areas would not change the distribution of stream flow. Under high climate scenario, the distribution of stream flow under baseline land uses scenarios and various land uses scenarios would vary. 4.4.19 The VIC-BASIN model hydrology used in this investigation also did not mention the importance of reservoirs in its simulation. As the management role of the three reservoirs in CRB should be part of the input to integrated water management for the whole basin, application of the appropriate hydrology model is essential. 4.4.20 The appreciation of climate change impact on peak flows such as erosion, sedimentation and flooding cannot be achieved simultaneously by RIBASIM (River Basin Simulation) model which is being used by Package B of this TA project. One alternative solution is to use Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model developed by the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). Theoretically, SWAT also has the capability to include reservoir role in water balance calculations. Without reservoir in the study area, SWAT has been used by Mulyana et al. in the Cisadane upper catchment (Figure 4.6) with total drainage area of 1,811.5 ha, elevation ranging from 512 to 2,535 m msl, and with 14,340.7 m total length of main stream. In this area, land use is dominated by forest (57.67%), and upland agriculture (26.38%). Soils are classified as hydraquent (96.6%) and distropept (3.4 %) AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 31 October 2011 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 2011.docx October 2011.docx P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report Figure 4.6 Location and Position of Sub-Watershed Upper Catchment of Cisadane, Bogor, West Java, Indonesia 4.4.21 The hydrology was collected using a data logger instrument with a time step every 15 minutes (except for rainfall) for calibration. These inputs used in SWAT include temperature, relative humidity (Figure 4.7), wind speed data (Figure 4.8), solar radiation data (Figure 4.9), and daily precipitation (Figure 4.10). Figure 4.7 AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. Temperature and Humidity Distribution at Upper Catchment of Cisadane 32 October 2011 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 2011.docx October 2011.docx P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report Figure 4.8 Wind Velocity Level at Upper Catchment of Cisadane 0.80 Wind velocity (m/s) 0.70 0.60 0.50 0.40 0.30 0.20 0.10 0.00 12/24/2007 Flux of Sun Radiation (MJ/m2/Day) Figure 4.9 1/13/2008 2/2/2008 2/22/2008 Date 3/13/2008 4/2/2008 Sun Radiation Fluctuation at Upper Catchment of Cisadane 22.00 21.00 20.00 19.00 18.00 17.00 16.00 15.00 14.00 12/24/2007 1/13/2008 2/2/2008 2/22/2008 3/13/2008 4/2/2008 Date Figure 4.10 Rain Fall in Upper Catchment of Cisadane 100.0 Precipitation (mm) 80.0 60.0 40.0 20.0 0.0 12/24/2007 AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 1/13/2008 2/2/2008 2/22/2008 3/13/2008 Date 33 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx 4/2/2008 October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report 4.4.22 Figure 4.11 shows the observed discharge data and daily precipitation. Discharge in the river was calculated from a rating curve of the river in the outlet. The Rating curve of the river is obtained from the relationship between discharge of the stream and water level. This relationship for the upper 2.9162 2 catchment of Cisadane is Q=37.254*H , with a correlation coefficient of R =0.967. 3 -1 River Discharge (m s ) and Rainfall Curves (mm) in Cisadane Upper Catchment 30.00 0 25.00 50 20.00 100 Precipitation 15.00 150 Discharge Obs 10.00 200 5.00 250 0.00 12/24/2007 Precipitation (mm) Discharge (m3/s) Figure 4.11 300 1/7/2008 1/21/2008 2/4/2008 2/18/2008 3/3/2008 3/17/2008 3/31/2008 Date 4.4.23 With SWAT, water yield data is calibrated and validated using the observed discharge. The result of calibration and validation is shown in Figure 4.12 and Figure 4.13. The goodness of fit between computed discharge data against the observed data was calculated using the Nash and Sutcliff 2 method (Nash and Sutcliffe, 1970) that gives the r for calibration 0.8411 whereas for validation 0.7547. Result Simulation Discharge in Upper Catchment of Cisadane River 30.00 0 25.00 50 100 20.00 Precipitation 15.00 Discharge Obs 150 Discharge Sim 10.00 200 5.00 250 0.00 12/24/2007 Precipitation (mm) Discharge (m3/s) Figure 4.12 300 1/7/2008 1/21/2008 2/4/2008 2/18/2008 3/3/2008 3/17/2008 3/31/2008 Date AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 34 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report Figure 4.13 Correlation between Qobserved and Qsimulated Data 15 Discharge Obs (m3/s) Qobs = 0.86119Qsim R2 = 0.8411 12 9 6 3 Dis charge Sim (m 3/s ) 0 0 3 6 9 12 15 4.4.24 In conclusion, the SWAT model could be considered as a prediction tool to mainstream future climate change prediction into water yield prediction in the catchments area of CRB. Its application in Citarum will be a good lesson learned as it will include reservoirs role in its water budget calculations. 4.5 Interrelationship between Package E and Other Packages 4.5.1 The interrelationships between this package and the other Packages of this TA project is summarized in Table 4.4 and illustrated in Figure 4.14 and Figure 4.15. Table 4.4 Interrelationships between this Package E and the Other Packages of this TA Project Package Host Institution Input to Package E Output used from Package E Package A - Roadmap BAPPENAS: Deputy Institutional capacity Capacity Coping Institutional Minister for Infrastructure assessment Index can Strengthening Water Resources and prioritize Irrigation institutions Support for planning and programming of CCAP for LG’s budget alignment, Vulnerability mainstreaming of CCAM assessment can guidelines with local identify the most government planning vulnerable boards sectors Strategic framework for improving water management systems can be used for formulating the Roadmap Specific Action Plans for climate change mitigation and AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 35 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report adaptation and capacity development can be used for formulating the Roadmap Package B1 Institutional Strengthening for IWRM in 6 Cis River Basin Territory KPU: Directorate Water Resources Management DGWR Institutional capacity assessment Hydrological model, data and water balance model, inclusion of CC aspects into the POLA and RENCANA Result of vulnerability assessment can be used for developing POLA and RENCANA Strategic framework for improving water management systems can contribute to the IWRM planning Climate change mitigation and adaptation and capacity development can be integrated in IWRM planning Package B2 - Spatial Planning in 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package B3 Development of Key Policies and Strategies for WRM in CRB KPU: Directorate Spatial Planning Area II DGSP KPU:BBWS Citarum DGWR Future land use and land cover could be input for hydrology modelling. Future population growth and future economic growth could be used for predicting future risk. Result of Climate proof spatial plan can be used for predicting future water balances Key policies and strategies related to water supply and demand Result of vulnerability assessment and Capacity Coping Index can be used as reference for determining key policies and strategies Climate change mitigation and adaptation and capacity development can be integrated in Spatial Planning Strategic framework for improving water management systems can be AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 36 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report used to determine key policies and strategies Package C - Upper Citarum Basin Flood Management Package D Decision-Support System for IWRM for CRB Figure 4.14 KPU: Water Resource Research Center MPW Strategy in dealing with flood will be the input in climate proofing water infrastructure KPU: Directorate Water Resources Management DGWR Date can be obtained from the database for developing climate change model Prediction of high and low inflow in conjunction with development of climate proofing water infrastructure can be used for designing flood management plan Provide downscaled climate change data for developing flood model Operational guidelines could be used as tools for decision making Relationship of Package E’s Activities with Other Packages of This TA Project AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 37 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report Figure 4.15 Relation of Package E with Package A, B1, B2, B3, C & D of this TA Project AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 38 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report Package A and B1 4.5.2 Package A and B1 are related to current institutional conditions and recommendations of action plan. These analyses and recommendations are intended to strengthen the institutional capability, including human resources and regulations. In Package E, this is related to task 8 – Define appropriate institution arrangement for enhancing water management systems in CRB. Based on the output of Package A and B1, Package E will continue the work on institutional strengthening. The followings are relevant findings of Package B1: Role of BBWS, Dinas PSDA, PJT II, Bappedas, BPDAS, Agriculture, BPLHD etc should be clarified and coordinated. The information will be utilized for performing institution assessment in Package E; BBWS should take a pro-active coordinator role for WRM through legalization. BBWS should initiate and facilitate WRM activities for other organizations. This information will be used for Task 8 in Package E: Defining appropriate institution arrangement for enhancing water management systems in CRB; In order to strengthen management of the CRB region, a new KEPPRES will be required to enforce consistent policies and action programs across various districts. A planning and coordination team, e.g., a 6 Cis Dewan Sumberdaya Air, is required, although implementation could continue as now through the existing BBWS. This information will be used for Task 8 in Package E: Defining appropriate institution arrangement would be implemented for enhancing water management systems in CRB; The review of the current Standard Operating Procedures (SOP) for the three reservoirs in CRB concluded that the present SOP is sufficient to handle the different scenarios of water supply needs and peak flows. Notwithstanding that, additional explicit rules were recommended for special climatic conditions. A further review on such conditions and the recommended measures may be needed under the future climate change scenarios from Package E; and As of October 2010, Package B1 had discussed the framework for a Master Plan (Pola) and spatial plans (Rencana) with DGWR, and developed a tentative outline of the Master Plan for the 6 Cis basin. While the development of both plans is in progress, it provides a good opportunity to integrate climate change concerns through a stakeholder participation approach on finalizing the final plans. Package B2 4.5.3 Output from Package B2, i.e. prediction of future land use and land cover can be used for GIS hydrology model in Package E as part of Task 4 - Assessment of current and future climate risk on ecosystem. Further prediction of future population growth and future economic growth are valuable input for Task 4 of this package. Package B3 4.5.4 Package B3 of this project concluded that that the overall water availability in the Jatiluhur system can satisfy the total water demand in the Jatiluhur area up to the year 2025 from the viewpoint of total demand and supply volumes. 4.5.5 The study predicts that water supply from the Jatiluhur reservoir remains stable. However, there is a negative trend in water releases from 1993 - 2008. Water releases have declined by 30 percent during the period of 1993-2008. The question is what the implication of negative trend for 2025 will be; will it continue and thus reduce water availability of the reservoirs in the future? The second question is whether there is a correlation with rainfall in the upper watershed. This is an input for Task 4 - Assessment of current and future climate risk on ecosystem. 4.5.6 Key policies and strategies developed by package B3 are valuable input in Output 3 - Strategic Framework for enhancing water management systems in CRB. Package B3 also raised issues of groundwater management that could be integrated in Output 4 - CRB Specific Action Plans for AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 39 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report Mitigation, Adaptation and Capacity Building in CRB. The impact of groundwater extraction could be one of the indicators for vulnerability assessment. Package C 4.5.7 Package C is dealing with flood in Upper Citarum. Recent findings from Package C revealed several important results including: returning floods, flood management strategy, hydrology and subsidence. 4.5.8 Severe floods occurred in Bandung during the 1980s. Since then, several large scale flood control construction works have been implemented from 1994 to 2008. However in 2005, floods occurred again in Bandung. 4.5.9 Package C proposed to revise the flood protection strategies, among others: From flood protection to flood management From uncontrolled floods to controlled floods o Prevention: Flood protection level (1:5, 1:20) o Lesson learned: Flood will always occur o Be prepared, non structural measures From unmanaged floods to managed floods o Flood management – spatial planning – community & stakeholder participation 4.5.10 Further, Package C identified that the increase of flow at Nanjung (downstream Citarum) is due to urbanization and impact of construction works (i.e. short cutting) as historical rainfall data suggests that precipitation amount does not increase. 4.5.11 Package C also found that subsidence has occurred not only in Dayeuh Kolot but at many other places. From 1988, more than 3 to 4 meters of subsidence occurred which led to severe impacts on river hydraulics (and flooding) and irreversible aquifer damage. 4.5.12 Many findings from Package C could be utilized in Package E, especially the findings on climate change proofing water infrastructure. Suggestions on integrating Spatial Planning and IWRM into Flood Management through zoning will be further elaborated in this package. Package D 4.5.13 Package D mentioned that PJT-II was a significant stakeholder in terms of data availability due to the largest database and coherent data in the form of SISDA database and modelling system. For network modelling, Package B is the significant partners in terms of data availability. PusAir is the most capable organization in contributing to the capacity building. 4.5.14 Further, Package D discovered that there are many gaps in rainfall and stream flow data though it is adequate to build a base model especially for upper Citarum. The network, water demand and reservoir data is needed to develop network model for water allocation modelling as well as rainfall-run off modelling. After careful analysis and comparison of all the available options, KModSim, RRFS,QUAL2E-PLUS, CE-QUAL-W2 and K-water GIS database are selected as the components to constitute the decision-support system (DSS). Support may also be built in for RIBASIM. 4.5.15 The findings of Package D are valuable input for Package E in terms of data evaluations. Further, Package D extensive database could be utilized directly in this package. Conclusion: Interrelationships between Package E and Other Packages 4.5.16 Package E relies on the outputs of Package A to D. Instead of starting from scratch, Package E could use the latest outputs and findings from other packages with some adjustments whenever necessary. The other way round, the outputs and findings from package E could be used for Package A to D, in AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 40 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report particular the quantitative results of Package E in dealing with spatial planning, IWRM and flood management related to climate change. 4.6 Institutional Setting for Water Resources Management in the Citarum River Basin Status and Planning 4.6.1 The National Appropriate Mitigation Action (NAMA) document presents an emission reduction target increasing from 26% to 41% under Business As Usual (BAU) scenario by 2020 with appropriate international support. 4.6.2 Indonesia Government is committed to this target through formulation of national development strategy on low carbon emissions. This strategy has been translated into low carbon economic development strategies in several Provinces, including West Java. 4.6.3 The issues of climate change are addressed in the Long-Term National Development Plan 2005-2035 (RPJMP 2005-2035). The National Mid-Term Development Plan (RPJMN 2010-2014) has defined the integration of climate change into national development planning through cross-sectoral development, i.e. it is concerned with mainstreaming climate change concerns: a point which gives clear direction to this package. 4.6.4 BAPPENAS has produced the National Action Plan for Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions (RAN-GRK) based on three principles. That is, the mitigation actions: should not hinder economic growth, and should prioritize people’s welfare, especially in the area of energy resilience and food security; support protection of poor and vulnerable communities; and should reduce emissions and support activities to strengthen the policy framework. 4.6.5 In the RPJMP, focus on climate change has been differentiated into three phases. In the first phase, the focus of the program will be on the development of understanding and knowledge on climate change mitigation and adaptation, strengthening of institutional capacity in data and information management as well as climate risk management and greenhouse gas inventory development (KNOW-MANAGE). In the second phase, the focus will be on development of planning, policy regulation and institutional actions (PLAN-PRIDE), followed by the implementation of adaptation and mitigation actions, as well as the development of monitoring and evaluation system (ICON-MONEV) to ensure effective implementation of plans and programs. The process of mainstreaming climate change into the development agenda is summarized in Figure 4.6. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 41 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report Figure 4.16 Process of Mainstreaming Climate Change into National Agenda: Policies, Guidelines, Roadmaps & Investment Funds Indonesia: Low carbon developdevelopment M BALI ROADMAP ROADMAP PRES STATEMENT: G20 2009 GoI’ GoI’s own GoI’s budget BiBi-/Multilateral Bi-/Multilateral cooperation ICCTF A Bridges National Action Plan on CC (2007) into 5 yr midterm development plan (RPJM) 2010-2014 & inputs till 2030. Yellow Book ICCTF- International financing mechanism channeling investment funds into national CC initiatives. Note: M is mitigation and A is adaptation. Source: BAPPENAS, 2009 4.6.6 In the 2008 Annual Government Work Plan (Rencana Kerja Pemerintah) (RKP 2008), climate change has been addressed in the Disaster Risk Reduction Program which recognizes climate change as a driver of natural disasters and integral to one of the RKP’s eight priority programs. To provide guidance for synergizing programs and actions on climate change adaptation and mitigation within various sectors, each sector has been required to develop a sectoral roadmap under the coordination of BAPPENAS. These roadmaps provide policy direction, strategies and programs to address climate change by emission reductions, adaptation measures, and the development of climate mitigation and adaptation programs. Water Sector 4.6.7 In the sectoral roadmap, national water policies related to climate change are divided into three categories in National Long Term Development Plan (Bappenas, 2010). The three categories include: Category 1: Data, information and knowledge management for vulnerability and risk assessment at regional level and strategic zone; Category 2: Policy, Regulation and Institutional Development for: o Integrating local wisdom into policy planning, building community capacity and engage local communities in climate change activities. o Promoting water conservation and mitigating climate change impacts. Category 3: Implementation, Monitoring and Evaluation of the following activities: 4.6.8 o Extension of water supply network by using appropriate technology and development of local water resources. o Improvement of storage capacity of water infrastructure for safeguarding water balance and disaster prevention. In general, national policy on water resources is stated in Perpres (President Regulation) No 33 Year 2011 concerning national policy on water resource management. This regulation is a derivation of PP (Government Regulation) No 42 Year 2008 concerning water resource management which could be traced back to UU (Law) No 7 Year 2004 concerning water resource. On Perpres (President Regulation) No 33 Year 2011, in the background part of the regulation, climate change is acknowledged as one of the problems and threats in the future. Perpres (President AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 42 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report Regulation) No 33 Year 2011 explains five missions to achieve the vision of water resources management as stated in UU (Law) No 7 Year 2004. Two of the five missions are involving climate change concerns in the strategies to achieve it. The two related missions are: o o Mission of water resources for fairness and people prosperity. One of the strategies to achieve it is by involving multi stakeholder in developing action plan to cope with climate change issues. Mission of controlling water potential destruction and its impact mitigation. In this mission, community alertness in dealing with climate change impact is adopted as one of the strategy to increase community awareness. Agricultural Sector 4.6.9 The following are the climate change activities under Category 1 - Data, information and knowledge management in the roadmap: Crafting and preparation of crop variety tolerant against drought, flood, salinity, and pest, short lived and high productivity; Development of adaptive technologies, including superior variety, cultivation technique, and land and water management; and Impact analysis of climate anomaly to planting season shifting. 4.6.10 Under the Category 2 - Planning and Policy, Regulation and Institutional Development, the following activities are proposed in the roadmap: Improve the coordination of various government agencies on climate change policies and activities, including socialization on climate change information; Development of water safeguard policies, water sanitation and storage system during post-harvest activities and production; Building and development of cold chain system (CCS) and warehousing during post-harvest activities and food storing; Field development of integrated crop management on rice (SL-PTT padi); Field development of integrated crop management on secondary crops (maize, soybean, peanut) (SLPTT Palawija); Development of crops that are resistance to drought, flood, and pest; and Extend estate crops on mineral soil, non-peat and non-forest land. 4.6.11 Under Category 3 – Implementation, Monitoring and Evaluation, the following activities are proposed in the roadmap: Reduction of harvest failure area; Implementation of climate change adaptation and management of food scarcity through development of food independent village program; Increase diversity of food consumption and fresh food security; and Improve food storage and handling. Waste Management Sector 4.6.12 In this sector, only one activity - “Inventory studies and decrease in green house gas from solid waste” has been proposed under the category 1 - Data, Information and Knowledge Management. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 43 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report 4.6.13 Under the category 2 - Planning and Policy, Regulation and Institutional Development the proposed activities include: Standardize and strengthen the waste management approach in environmental policies (stepwise approach); Creation of Norm, Standard, Procedure and Criteria (NSPK) and Norm, Standard, Guideline, Manual (NSPM) in waste sector; Reduction of waste generation by regency/ city government based on NSPK; Finalizing policies in the waste sector; Developing waste management guidelines; and Provision of technical guidelines on waste management. 4.6.14 Under Category 3 - Implementation, Monitoring and Evaluation, the activities proposed include: Reduction of harvest failure area; Development of waste management facilities; Selection of waste disposal method and CDM preparation; and Development of landfill and 3Rs. 4.6.15 The Government of West Java Province has developed a Green Program in accordance with the National Policy, which seeks to achieve two main outcomes: The designation of 45% of the total area of West Java Province as Protected Areas; and The evolution of a new development culture based on the principle of low emissions and to be applied on all the communities and West Java government institutions. 4.6.16 Implementation of the Green Program requires a Regional Action Plan (RAP) that includes the following three main programs: A compilation of GHG inventories of the industrial, forestry, transportation and waste management sectors; Introduction of carbon emission reduction concept to all sectors in West Java through cooperation across government, and Building partnership between the private sector and communities in reducing emissions. 4.6.17 Moreover, the West Java Provincial Government is committed to implement the Green Program to reduce GHG emissions by 2029, through an amendment of its long term development strategy (RPJPD 2005-2025), with actions to be implemented as part of its current medium plan and Province Spatial Plan (RPJMD and RTRW 2008-2013). 4.6.18 These policies and program initiatives are timely and appropriate to support the cleanup of the rivers in West Java as part of rehabilitation of river ecosystems by reducing solid waste pollution and reducing GHG emissions. 4.6.19 One of the key programmes of Package E will assist local, provincial and national agencies to identify the actions for adapting their particular roles and functions to accommodate the impacts of climate change in river basin management. As part of its objective of mainstreaming climate change concerns in the government, the Project will engage BPLHD - the provincial host agency, in the annual budget planning cycle to ensure that sufficient funding will be available to support collaboration between the Project Tasks and activities. The consulting team will work closely with the Package A team for pursuing development of this collaboration relationship. In addition to the annual budget processes, the consulting team will also explore the opportunities of receiving international financial and technological supports. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 44 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report 4.7 Provincial Preparedness 4.7.1 To assess the awareness level of local government on national and provincial climate change policies and programs, a preliminary assessment was implemented. A questionnaire survey with a sample size of 22 government staffs from 12 Districts and 5 Cities in Garut, West Java was conducted on 21-22 March 2011. The questionnaire used is provided in Annex 5. 4.7.2 Analysis of the questionnaire results suggested that 94% of respondents were aware of national and provincial policies. Two-third of the districts (64%) is developing local climate change policies and programs (Table 4.5). The Districts of Cimahi, Bandung, and Ciamis are in the advanced stages of developing climate change policies. Green Development Strategy, Climate Change Mitigation Action Plan, Community Empowerment Program for Adaptation and Climate Change Awareness Program have been formulated in these cities. The districts of Sukabumi and Garut and the cities of Bandung, Sukabumi, Tasikmalaya and Bekasi are at the early stage of developing climate change policies, while the districts of Purwakarta, Sumedang, Banjar, Subang, Majalengka and Indramayu have not taken any concrete actions. Among the 17 local districts and cities that have participated in the survey, 29% have developed green strategies, 41% have formulated local action plans for mitigation, 47% have established community empowerment program on adaptation, and 53% have developed climate change awareness program. Table 4.5 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Districts (Kabupaten) and Cities (Kota) at West Java Province that Have Developed Climate Change Policies and Programs District/City Kab. Purwakarta* Kab. Ciamis Kab. Bandung* Kab. Cimahi Kab. Sumedang* Kab. Banjar*** Kota Bandung* Kota Sukabumi* Kab. Subang* Kota Tasikmalaya*** Kota Bekasi* Kota Bogor* Kota Cimahi Kab. Sukabumi* Kab. Majalengka Kab. Garut* Kab. Indramayu** Total Development of Green Strategy 1 1 1 1 1 5 (29%) Local Action Plan for Mitigation 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 7 (41%) Community Empowerment Program on Adaptation 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 8 (47%) Climate Change Awareness Program 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 9 (53%) Total 0 4 1 4 0 0 4 2 0 2 1 3 4 1 0 3 0 Note: * Part or whole of districts/cities areas locate in the CRB; **Districts/Cities locate outside CRB but get environmental services from the CRB; *** Districts/Cities locate outside CRB and do not get environmental benefit from CRB. There were 22 local government staffs from the 17 local governments being interviewed. About 15 staffs were from Local Environmental Agencies (BLHD, KLH), 6 staffs from Development Planning Agencies (Bappeda) and 1 staff from City Cleaning Agency (Dinas Kebersihan) 4.7.3 In summary, the government of West Java Province has translated the national policy on climate change into provincial policy through its Green Growth Strategy. Most of the local governments in West Java are aware of the national and provincial climate change policies and programs. About half of the local government have started to develop local policies and programs to address climate change. Nevertheless, the management agencies of the River Basins in West Java have not yet begun to integrate climate change issues into the planning process. Based on consultation with the AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 45 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report BPLHD of West Java Province, it is essential for this package to strengthen the institutional capacity of formulating strategic policies to address future climatic challenges. 4.8 Potential for Community Outreach and Empowerment 4.8.1 Stakeholders (government, civil society, and private organizations) are aware of the importance of strengthening community capacity to manage the Citarum River Basin (CRB). Various community development programs have been implemented to promote community based management of the CRB. However, the planning and implementation of these activities is not well coordinated. Better coordination is needed to synergize the activities and to replicate the programs to other districts in Indonesia. 4.8.2 Many community strengthening programs in CRB area rely on local government field extension workers (FEW) in the agricultural and forestry sectors. FEW are responsible for implementing the programs and facilitating the changes of rural society, as well as providing innovative ideas to achieve program goals. Their presence and interaction with communities/farmers should increase to facilitate changes in the rural area. Although stakeholders recognize the importance of these activities, the effectiveness of the program is hindered by a number of problems. 4.8.3 The fundamental problem is the limited number of field extension workers (FEW). It is suggested that each village should be assigned one FEW. Furthermore, many of the FEW are contracted employees, or not able to engage in the necessary field work due to their age. These have constrained the knowledge and skills available for implementing the community strengthening program. 4.8.4 The institutional structure is the second barrier. The baseline survey revealed that currently not all the local governments have sufficient presence or is of sufficiently seniority to allow them to implement activities effectively within the local bureaucratic structure. Due to the institutional structure of these agencies, it is very difficult to synchronize and synergize all extension efforts (i.e. agriculture, forestry, fishery, community health, and sanitation) to meet the requirements of the current policies. 4.8.5 From a community development point of view, better management could be achieved if communities are given more responsibility and flexibility to make their own local decisions rather than being directed by government. In order to facilitate this change, building of community capacity is required. The support of FEW in each village is necessary for these changes to happen. The technical knowledge of the Extension Workers needs to improve so that they are able to meet these particular challenges. Also, since the climate change concept would be introduced in community development, the responsibility and flexibility of the local communities to make their own local decisions would be more important. Provision of training in this area will be considered in this package. It is expected that this package will be able to contribute to at least three activities: advocacy to recruit more FEW; training programs for FEW, and participatory extension practices and entrepreneurship. 4.9 Capacity Building Needs 4.9.1 To effectively address current and future climate risks, building of good understanding and knowledge of climate variability and climate change in the local government would be required. Availability of good scientific information on climate change mitigation and adaptation would also be required to assist the local government to develop effective climate change programs. 4.9.2 A survey was conducted by the consulting team in Garu and 22 local government staffs have participated in the survey. The survey suggested that only one third of the participants felt that local governments have enough knowledge to develop effective climate change programs, while only five respondents (from Kabupaten Bandung, Cimahi and Purwakarta, and Kota Bogor and Cimahi) expressed they have received support from local universities and NGOs in preparing their climate change programs. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 46 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report 4.9.3 Besides, the result reveals that the most imminent needs of the local governments are to receive assistance in developing effective climate change programs in response to: the impacts and vulnerabilities of all sectors to climate change; identify potential mitigation measures; and implement best practice and community-based climate change pilot projects. 4.9.4 The availability of tools for assisting policy makers in mainstreaming climate change programs into long term development plan is also important. More than half of the respondents demanded receiving various climate change training. The types of trainings and the percentage of respondents that would demand those trainings are shown in Figure 4.17. 4.9.5 Besides, most of the local government representatives expressed that their understanding of baseline concept needs to be improved as the knowledge is necessary for differentiating climate change programs from the BAU programs (Figure 4.18). It also enables the local government to identify the potential of receiving international supports. Figure 4.17 Urgent Activities Required for Assisting Local Government in Mainstreaming Climate Change into Long Term Development Program Percent of Respondent (%) 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Assessment of Implementation Assessment of Development of Training on vulnerability of mitigation climate change tools for policy climate change and adaptation and adaptation mitigation makers for mitigation and pilots mainstreaming adaptation climate change including cc investment AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 47 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report Types of Climate Change Training Activities Requested by Local Government Mitigation 4.10 Cost and Benefit Analysis of adaptation Prioritization of adaptation options Development of adaptation project proposal Climate Risk Assessment V&A Assessment Identification and assessment of mitigation options Prioritization of mitigation options Development of mitigation project proposal 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Baseline concept Percent of Respondents Figure 4.18 Adaptation Institutional Setting for WRM at CRB 4.10.1 The institutional framework for watershed management in West Java has been a focus of attention for a long time, particularly because of the economic importance of the CRB as a domestic, agricultural and industrial water resource and as a power resource for energy generation. However, due to insufficient knowledge and lack of clear institutional responsibilities, integrated solutions of the problems have been difficult to implement and the condition of the CRB continues to deteriorate. Deforestation and poor land use practices have increased the area of critical land in the upper catchment while organic and inorganic pollution has worsened throughout the catchment area. Reports of flood and drought effects on local communities have become more frequent and their impacts have become more severe and widespread. 4.10.2 Analysis of the institutions involved in the CRB management at the three levels of government reveals the complexity of beginning reform, although attempts are being made through national forestry and water resources legislation to build multi stakeholder coordinating forums such as the Forum DAS under the Forestry legislation and the Water Resources Council under the Public Works legislation. The range of organizations involved in water management in the CRB has been mapped in Figure 4.19. 4.10.3 At the national level, watershed management planning is within the authority of the BAPPENAS, while the implementation of technical aspects of the river basin management is through the line agencies of the Ministries of Public Works, Interior, Forestry, Agriculture and Health. Cross-sectoral coordination is provided by the Ministry of Environment and the National Agency for Disaster Management (BNPB). However, in practice, this function has been proven to be of limited value because the BNPB and the MOE tend to interact with the line agencies separately. Without strong partnership between these two agencies, their different perspectives on what should be prioritized have led to the situation where their activities remain separate. Results of preliminary interviews undertaken by the consulting team of this package with the local stakeholders and governments during the Inception Phase have revealed that activities have not been effectively implemented because the activities are regarded viewed as belonging to the government agencies rather than being coordinated or launched by the agencies. Provincial and district multi-stakeholder forums have been ineffective due to the lack of funding. Mechanism has been established for agencies to provide funding but the effectiveness remains uncertain. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 48 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report 4.10.4 At the provincial and local government (District/City) level, the Environmental Protection Act 32/2010 stipulates BPLHD as the coordinating agency for environmental management programs and activities. In this context, BPLHD in the West Java Province has the responsibility to provide leadership in the following issues related to the Citarum River Basin: Supporting the local governments (districts/cities) when environmental problems involve more than one district. Examples include the creation of the PES (Payment for Environmental Services) mechanism between upstream and downstream districts/cities, and coordination of clean river programs between upstream and downstream districts/cities; Increasing the awareness and capacity of local governments to address climate change problems by providing technical assistance of low carbon development and climate change resilience programs; Increasing the staff capacity of local environmental agencies at the district/city level to manage activities toward low carbon emissions and climate resilience in the Citarum River Basin. Bridging activities in restoring sub-watersheds of the Citarum River Basin (which involves cooperation between village governments, NGOs, private sector) is one of the examples; Coordinating collaborative research activities between the governments (local and national) and the private sector in designing or improving policies and programs to reduce carbon emissions and increase climate resilience; and Providing assistance to local governments, NGOs and the private sector to gain access to national and international climate change funds to support local climate change resilience or carbon emission reduction activities. 4.9.5 Past project experience of the consulting team in watershed management throughout West Java suggests that effective management is likely to be best achieved at the sub-watershed level rather than at a broader watershed level. This approach promotes greater involvement of non-government agencies. Successful management at the sub-watershed scale will automatically contribute to the improvement of conditions at watershed level. For successful management at the sub-watershed scale, typically there will be a need for the involvement of government structures in one or more districts, depending on the area of coverage of the sub-watershed, in order to integrate project objectives with the ecological boundaries set by water flows. Preliminary work has indicated that a thorough understanding of the importance of integrating upstream and downstream interrelationships through mechanisms such as PES is critical to the success of the project. 4.9.6 The TA will need to investigate how this integration might best be achieved. However, it should be consistent with the authorities from national and provincial administrations that is led by the local government environmental agencies (BPLH in District/City level). Nonetheless, as local government authorities are set autonomously by each administration under their own strategic plans, only relatively few (only 4 out of 17 sampled so far) of them currently have a sufficient status within the administrative hierarchy to exercise coordination over their respective line agencies. 4.9.7 Past project experience of the consulting team also indicates that the implementation of programs, at the sub-watershed scale, will also facilitate local governments to provide aid to private sector engagement and funding support. An initiative to collect funds from institutions that get direct and indirect benefits from the rivers was previously implemented in West Java. However, it was subsequently suspended due to administrative issues that had affected the collection and the use of funds. This idea is currently being reintroduced through a proposed provincial state enterprise company as part of the “Green Province” strategy, with the aim to collect and manage funding from the private sector in a sub-watershed to support environmental protection and the business activities of communities. 4.9.8 No matter which institutional arrangement is adopted to manage water resources under the changing climatologic conditions, the following activities should be considered: Identification of parties and their roles in improving watershed management, including capacity building on vulnerability assessment and climate change mitigation and adaptation programs according to their capacities; AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 49 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report Strengthening institutional capacity to determine the additional investment required for managing climate change impacts; Development of a process for identifying and receiving international aids and facilitating the formulation of activities to receive more funding; Creation of green business activities for all parties (government, private and community); and Mainstreaming climate change mitigation and adaptation policies into the institutional plans. 4.9.9 The selected watershed management system must be open to dialogue within the community in each sub-watershed and able to strengthen the partnership between various stakeholders at different levels. The Forum Das and The Water Resource Management Council are two multi-stakeholder forums which could reinforce the support to this process. 4.9.10 The institutional analysis from past project experience of the consulting team suggests that the most effective approach to address future climate change challenges on watershed management is to build the capacity of the climate change mitigation and adaptation division in the BPLHD. The capacity building program aims to enable BPLHD to coordinate with BAPPEDA effectively on technical issues and development of climate change policies and plans. 4.9.11 The initial phase of the capacity building program would be designed to strengthen the climate change knowledge of government officials and provide necessary equipment with the support of donor funding until BPLHD is able to seek and receive appropriate support from national and provincial budget. 4.9.12 Local governments have proposed three programmes to support the BPLHD at the provincial level to build a management network so that they may effectively coordinate climate risk management in the CRB. These programmes are to: expand the status of the government offices at the district level to Agency level so that they are allowed to take up a coordination role; improve the knowledge of local government to design climate change resilience programs for Citarum watershed; and determine the additional investment required to implement the programs. 4.9.13 In reference to the three programmes that build management collaboration network, BPLHD will be an initiator in developing clearing house of Citarum Watershed River Basin (CWR). Multi-stakeholder workshops will be held at province level for developing common understanding on clearing house development. The Clearing House of CWR (CHCWR) aims at coordinating various parties in implementing climate change adaptation and mitigation program in CWR region. The roles of CHCWR include the followings: To share information and experience of development of climate change adaptation and mitigation activities in Citarum Watershed, e.g. best practices in water use efficiency, land conflict resolution, and implementation of climate field school; To facilitate the exchange of scientific, technical, environmental and legal information on, and share experience on the development of climate change adaptation and mitigation in Citarum Watershed; and To foster collaborative partnership between different parties, e.g. cooperation of action research, and implementation of PES. 4.9.14 The CHCWR will be developed by using a stepwise approach. The CHCWR will be established by BPLHD as an independent institution and ready to serve different institutions (governments, NGOs, private sector, and community groups) in climate change initiatives in Citarum Watershed. The CHCWR is designed to be accessible through internet for distributing information. Users can update the CHCWR through an authenticated system to ensure timeliness and accuracy of the information. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 50 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report 4.9.15 In addition, Ministry of Environment (KLH), Provincial/District/Cities Environmental Agencies as mandated by the Environmental Protection Act 32/2010 will become agencies responsible of coordinating environmental management programs and activities in their administrative areas. In this context, the BPLHD in West Java Province should also play an active role in following areas: facilitating collaboration between and providing support to local governments (districts/cities) to resolve environmental problems in the Citarum Watershed Management when the problems involve more than one district. Establishment of PES (Payment for Environmental Services) between upstream and downstream districts/cities, and coordination of activities between upstream and downstream districts/cities to implement the clean river programs are two of the examples; increasing awareness and building capacity of local governments in addressing climate change concerns by providing assistance to low carbon development and the development of climate change resilience programs; building the capacity of local environmental agencies at district/city level to manage low carbon and climate resilient activities in Citarum River Basin , such as bridging activities in restoring Citarum River Basin of sub-watersheds (cooperation between village governments, NGOs, private etc.); coordinating collaborative research activities that can facilitate collaboration between government departments/ agencies (local and National) and private sectors in designing and improving their policies and programs toward low carbon emission and climate resilient; and providing assistance to local governments, NGOs and private sector in receiving climate change fund from national and international institutions to support local activities toward low carbon emissions and climate resilient. 4.9.16 In summary, the government of West Java and the local governments of the CRB have begun to address climate change challenges and are still exploring a suitable institutional structure which can overcome the problems incurred by inter-sectoral differences in the current institution structure. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 51 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report Figure 4.19 AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. Institutional Setting for WRM in CRB 52 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report 5 GUIDING PRINCIPLES AND METHODS 5.1 Guiding Principles 5.1.1 To achieve the project objectives, the design and implementation of the technical assistance is anchored on the following key guiding principles: Holistic and Integrated Management Approach 5.1.2 Viewed as a water resource management system, the Citarum River Basin (CRB) is composed of interacting and interdependent biophysical and human components that shape its condition and the nature of the goods and services it provides. Biophysically, the watershed and surrounding forest cover have been degraded due to unsustainable land use. The degraded watershed reduces the ability of the CRB to provide a sustainable supply of water for irrigation, hydropower, domestic, and other uses. Socio-economically, inappropriate waste management practices in the CRB lead to the deterioration of water quality in the basin which reduces and threatens the utility and sustainability of the CRB water supply. It is anticipated that future climate change and variability will increase the vulnerability of the CRB by increasing seasonal changes in water availability. These increased seasonal changes will challenge the ability of the CRB to provide the desired quantity of good quality water through time. 5.1.3 Considering that climate change is a major threat to the long-term sustainable development of the CRB, the traditional methods of water resource planning may no longer be useful for planning for future climate conditions. A holistic and integrated management approach is needed to replace the sectoral and piece-meal approach that characterizes past and current practices of water resource planning. Specifically, such a holistic and integrated approach exhibits the following characteristics: Both the biophysical and socio-economic components of the system should be treated as equally important and the integrity of both components should be maintained. Assessments should therefore be conducted by identifying, assessing, and reporting on the current and future vulnerability of both human communities (including groups such as women, children and senior citizens) and ecosystems to climate variability and change. Assessments should also report on the significance of climate change risks to the CRB relative to other uncertainties such as projections of population and economic growth. Similarly, the identification and prioritization of adaptation and mitigation policy and measures for policy adoption in the CRB will be largely based on the potential contribution of the policy to improve the condition of both human communities and ecosystems. At least three levels of integration should be promoted. disciplinary. They are: spatial, sectoral, and o Spatial integration considers the entire watershed or the basin as the spatial unit of planning and management instead of the traditional boundary defined by political jurisdiction. It recognizes the fact that water resource problems are interrelated and cut across political boundaries and hence appropriate and effective management solutions will only be achieved through an integrated “trans-boundary” approach. o Sectoral integration promotes synergy and collaboration not only among the different government agencies but also with the concerned civil society and private sectors by engaging them in the different phases of the project. It will allow the pulling together of resources, complementation of technical expertise, and will promote unified and collective action to achieve the overall goal of sustainable CRB management based on a by all parties agreed framework and road map to development. o Disciplinary integration harnesses the strengths of both biophysical and social sciences, to provide technical inputs and guidance in changing climate change concerns into Citarum water resource policy and planning and implementing climate change mitigation and adaptation pilot activities. Disciplinary integration will use both scientific information and local knowledge from local communities and other stakeholders as a basis for vulnerability and climate risk assessment, plan formulation, and identification and implementation of pilot mitigation and adaptation activities. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 53 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report A comprehensive and systematic response to climate change issues and risks will be advanced through the project’s strategic interventions. These interventions involve raising awareness and capacity development of different sectors and stakeholders on climate change, mainstreaming climate change concerns in water resource policy and planning at different levels, integrating mitigation and adaptation strategies in the pilot activities, and scaling pilot initiatives beyond the lifespan of the project by tapping into international funding support. Science-Based Climate Risk Assessment and Planning 5.1.4 Climate change is the focus of Package E and scientific information on climate change will be the foundation on which pilot activities in the CRB will be based. Local knowledge from key stakeholders will also be an important source of information. It is important that the scientific information provided by the vulnerability and climate risk assessments for Package E is reliable as these assessments are the foundation for effective climate change planning and decision-making. 5.1.5 Scientifically robust climate change assessments are key in anticipating the impacts of future climate change and in turn for “climate proofing” current and future investments. Robust assessments are also important when identifying effective adaptation and mitigation strategies to reduce the adverse impacts of climate change and when promoting climate change resilient communities and ecosystems. 5.1.6 The projections for future climate change in the CRB will be established within the available financial and time constraints by using a state of the art methodology for climate change projection. Similarly, tested vulnerability and climate risk assessments will be applied to suit the CRB context and provide a sound basis for a more responsive climate change policy and effective mitigation and adaptation planning. Participatory Multi-Stakeholder Approach 5.1.7 As is typical for many natural resources, the CRB as a water resource management system is composed of multiple stakeholders at different levels with varying socio-economic, environmental, and political interests. The stakeholders include, among others, the different government agencies operating at the national, provincial and district levels, the private sectors, non-government organizations, and the local communities living within and around the watershed area. Some of these stakeholders may have forged working alliances through time while others may have developed misunderstandings and conflicts concerning their varying interests in relation to the CRB’s resources. 5.1.8 The active participation of various stakeholders at different levels is a key principle that will be employed throughout the project to create a high degree of awareness on climate change matters, to mobilize the support of the stakeholders in planning and project implementation, and solicit the stakeholders’ commitment to sustain the project activities and benefits beyond the project life. The active involvement of the stakeholders will also help resolve conflicting interests and promote synergy and cooperation towards the achievement of a common goal, i.e., the integrated, collaborative, and sustainable management of the CRB. 5.1.9 Ideally the major stakeholders should be actively involved in the project from the planning process to implementation of planned activities. Taking a participatory approach dictates that key stakeholders will be actively engaged in all the stages of the project cycle. In this project the technical assistance team, in collaboration with the implementing and executing agencies, will facilitate a process that will provide opportunities for all key stakeholders to participate actively in the implementation of major project activities within the bounds of available project resources and the limited period of implementation. Balancing Outputs and Processes 5.1.10 Consistent with the participatory multi-stakeholder principle espoused by the project, equal emphasis will be given in terms of the timely production of the required deliverable outputs and the major processes involved during the project implementation. Key processes undertaken in achieving the project objectives, particularly the engagement of the different stakeholders in various stages of project implementation, will be properly documented to capture the dynamics of stakeholder AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 54 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report engagement, the key issues and problems encountered along the way, and the manner by which they were addressed and resolved. Documenting key processes will serve as an additional indicator to monitor the progress of project implementation and identify key concerns requiring immediate attention that may be important in influencing the outcomes of the project. At the end of the project, lessons learned from the initial implementation of the project will be distilled and emphasis will be placed on the processes needed to guide the scaling up of climate change initiatives in the CRB as well as effective ways to implement related projects elsewhere. Knowledge Product Oriented 5.1.11 In addition to achieving its objectives, the project also aims to produce various products such as guidebooks, manuals, and policy briefs containing information as derived and developed by this package. These products will be valuable not only to CRB stakeholders but also to other national and international users who are concerned about multi-stakeholder integrated and sustainable water resource management. Among others, the products will include, a guidebook on vulnerability and adaptation assessment, manuals on waste management projects, a manual on monitoring mitigation projects, a policy brief on mainstreaming climate change concerns in water resource management, and a policy brief on climate proofing water infrastructure. Local, national, and international validation/peer-reviews and wider dissemination of the products will actively be sought subject to the availability of the project resources. 5.2 Methods Implementation Framework 5.2.1 This package has been divided into two phases for implementation: Mainstreaming climate change risks and impacts into water management through the processes and institutions of government and civil society; and Design, implementation, monitoring and evaluation of mitigation and adaptation pilot projects. 5.2.2 These two phases have been conceived to be implemented in an overlapping way starting with the reviews and analysis in mainstreaming climate change concerns into water resources management during the first year of the project with the pilots being introduced late in the first year. The pilots will become the main focus of activities in the second and third years. 5.2.3 The fundamental importance of ensuring a broad stakeholder base for the implementation of the pilots has now been recognised. Also, it has been proposed that these two phases will be conducted in a more parallel fashion. Conducting the phases in a parallel fashion will allow time to cultivate a depth and breadth of stakeholder engagement and also provide a practical set of examples against which the more conceptual elements of the analysis of climate change impacts can be evaluated and understood. Moreover, by adopting a parallel implementation approach, it is believed that progress could be made in stimulating individual and institutional behavioural change through community empowerment and outreach activities. 5.2.4 The successful implementation of the project will be evaluated against eight Outputs: A Working Paper on climate change mitigation and adaptation assessments in the CRB; Operational Guidelines for mainstreaming climate change concerns in integrated water resource management; A strategic framework document on climate change and water in the CRB; CRB specific action plans on mitigation and adaptation and capacity development; Mitigation pilot activities and PDD for accessing international carbon markets; Adaptation pilot activities and PD for accessing international adaptation funds.; CRB specific guidebooks and manuals for mitigation and adaptation; CRB specific financing plans to guide climate change investments up to 2025. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 55 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report 5.2.5 These outputs will be achieved through the implementation of twenty two Tasks which are defined in the work plan Annex 2. The basis for managing the Tasks will be: A focus on climate change modelling and its downscaling results to provide the most timely and cost effective indication of the risks and impacts of climate change in the CRB Territory; The ordering, analysis and utilisation of factual information as the basis for objective institutional strengthening of government and civil society organisations. These data will also form the basis for outreaching activities to be managed under a communication strategy; and A focus on participatory processes involving the broadest range of stakeholders. For this a Communication and Community Empowerment Strategy is to be developed which will utilise inputs from all specialists and to which all specialists will refer in approaching their Tasks. 5.2.6 This section will present the methods and approaches which will be taken to these three areas of key activities: Regional Climate Change Scenarios Development 5.2.7 As discussed in the section 4.2, in this package, Both statistical and dynamic downscaling techniques will be used to generate climatic information over the CRB area. Data of two extreme scenarios (A2 and B1) and one moderate scenario A1B will be used to develop climatic information for the CRB basin area. Multiple regression models will be used for statistical downscaling of the GCMs data. Specific humidity, precipitation, air pressure, air temperature (mean, maximum and minimum), wind speed data are available from GCMs. This data will be downscaled using the ground based station data over the CRB area. The quasi-real reanalysis data products will be used to fill the gaps of observed data. Moreover, weather generators will be used to produce equivalent daily observations for stations having poor or less observed data. 5.2.8 Dynamic downscaling of the GCM will be conducted using RegCM Regional climate model. This model will be simulated using lateral boundary data from ECHAM5 model. The moderate A1B scenarios are available for generating future climatic of this model. The horizontal resolution of the output of the RCM will be 20 km. The daily output of this model will be available for baseline condition (1961-1990) and 3 future time slice (2020, 2050, 2080) of each 30 years of length. The dynamically downscaled climatic information will be bias corrected using the available ground based measurements. Information Management and GIS –Specification and Spatial Data Coordinate systems 5.2.9 All data produced for or by this TA project (TA7189-INO) will be delivered as longitude and latitude (geographic) coordinates. However, for performing a reliable overlay of spatial data and measuring such as areas of polygons, perimeter of polygons or distances of lines, a UTM coordinate system may be used. If the existing spatial data needs to be converted from geographic coordinates system to a UTM coordinate system, the products have to be saved in 48S zone of UTM. Datum 5.2.10 BAKOSURTANAL civilian surveying authorities Indonesia adopted World Geodetic System 1984 (WGS84) as the standard for all spatially referenced data. The WGS84 datum for geographic coordinate systems has been adopted worldwide by other mapping or surveying agencies and is consistent with GPS use. Since 2000 Indonesia BAKOSURTANAL standardized topographic or thematic map on a National Geodetic Datum (DGN-95). This datum is consistent with WGS-84. Data Formats 5.2.11 All vector data will be supplied as an ArcView Shapefile, and/or ArcINFO coverage. All raster data will be supplied as an ArcINFO GRID and ArcINFO interchange file, compatible with the current version of ArcINFO. In general, all digital imagery, such as remote sensing data, is to be supplied as tagged image file format (.TIFF) or (.IMG) files with the proper header file (or word file) for geo-referencing purposes. Brief reviews of current spatial data formats are provided below: AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 56 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report ESRI ArcView Shapefile. The shape file format includes at a minimum the .SHP, .DBF, and .SHX files (ArcGIS .SHP files should include the metadata .XML file from ArcCatalog). A .PRJ (projection definition) file is required unless specified otherwise in the contract or project proposal. ESRI ArcINFO Coverage. Data developed in ArcINFO coverage format should be exported to an .E00 file (ArcGIS 9.x .E00 files should include the metadata .XML file from ArcCatalog). ArcINFO GRID File. This is the preferred format for raster data and is particularly useful for images that contain attributes other than cell values. Generally, GRID themes should be delivered as .E00 files as stipulated above. However, for large raster data sets, ESRI recommends sharing GRID files as separate workspaces because .E00 files may be extremely large and unwieldy. GeoTIFF v1.0. A raster format with geo-referencing stored in the header of the file. ERDAS Imagine file. Imagine files shall be geo-referenced. included if available. Pyramid files (.RRD) shall be Data Collection and Compilation 5.2.12 Once a data source has been identified, data must be collected and compiled into a consistent format. Table 5.1 shows the required spatial data for the V&A assessment which is available in many different agencies as well as in the data sets of other packages of this TA project, with which this package (Package E) will work closely with. Spatial data may have already existed as a GIS data set, but more commonly spatial data are actually tabular data that have no spatial references, graphical data in a hard copy map, remote sensing data, or analogue field data. The spatial data collection and compilation process thus seeks to bring in data from disparate sources and geo-referencing systems and combine them into a consistent GIS data set. 5.2.13 Datasets are available in different public government agencies and private data providers and exist in varied formats, reference systems, spatial and temporal resolutions as well as documentation. Thus, data has to be harmonized to reach a uniform and common data supply for vulnerability and risk assessment. The measures of data harmonization and integration include: transformations of the map datum in relation to a uniform map projection; conversions of different file formats to one common format; transformations from raw data to readable and interpretable data; the elimination of erroneous geometry types; the adjustment of different geometries; and the completion and combination of the spatial data and the tables of the thematic and statistical data and calculations. Table 5.1 Required Spatial and Tabular Data Category Datasets Topographical/ base data Topography map (Peta Rupa Bumi Indonesia – RBI) 1:25,000 Digital Elevation Models (DEM) in different spatial l resolutions: SRTM (90m), ASTER (30m) Other base data: Regional Spatial Plan Map of Districts Environmental Land cover of MoF, Developed Area & Conservation Land Uses, Global Land Cover (GLC) of 2000, soil map and properties, rainfall map (raster) in rough spatial l resolutions, geology map Statistical Potensi Desa (PODES) data, SUSENAS, statistical data for agriculture, disaster occurrences data (Frequency of floods, droughts, and landslide), Human Development Index (HDI) AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 57 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report Data Analysis and Application 5.2.14 The data analysis and application functionalities are end products for use of GIS in vulnerability and risk assessment. They determine the information that can be generated by the GIS. A list of required capabilities will need to be defined as a part of the system requirement in data analysis. In assessment of climate vulnerability and risk, the GIS capabilities in geographic analysis and spatial visualization are commonly used because they improve ability of interpretation of the overall modelling outcomes. The GIS output of the vulnerability assessment will depend on the indicators of vulnerability which are still to be decided in specific terms. However, they will be functions of exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity and can be presented in many layers of indicators. A format for the presentation of the data to be analysed through GIS is presented in (Table 5.2). Table 5.2 Function and List of Indicators Type of Vulnerability Function/Criteria Flood, Drought, Landslide, etc Exposure Sensitivity Adaptability Indicator/layer exposure indicator 1 exposure indicator 2 exposure indicator 3 … exposure indicator n sensitivity indicator 1 sensitivity indicator 2 sensitivity indicator 3 … adaptability indicator n adaptability indicator 1 adaptability indicator 2 adaptability indicator 3 … adaptability indicator n 5.2.16 The vulnerability modelling use following equation: Vulnerability = Exposure x Sensitivity/adaptability where the exposure refers to the nature and degree to which a system is exposed to significant climatic variations. Sensitivity means the degree to which a system is affected, either adversely or beneficially, by climate-related stimuli. Adaptability is defined as “the ability of a system to adjust to climate change (including climate variability and extremes), to moderate the potential damage from it, to take advantage of its opportunities, or to cope with its consequences. 5.2.17 The equation above indicates that the vulnerability is increased as the exposure and sensitivity to climate change are increased, meanwhile under the same condition the vulnerability to climate change decreases by adaptability. 5.2.18 The GIS modelling would be performed by using multi criteria analysis (MCA) as presented in Figure 5.1. This approach applies standard geographic analysis provided by GIS software such as interpolation, classification, and overlay. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 58 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report Figure 5.1 The GIS Procedure to Assess Vulnerability Data Exchange Formats 5.2.19 Data exchange formats detail specifically how data should be exchanged, supplied and saved. They should include tables and item names and types, required information, and file types. Both spatial and tabular data are more useful when they are exchanged in a pre-determined format. 5.2.20 ESRI shapefiles (*.shp) are the preferred format for Environmental spatial data. At a minimum, all data supplied must include the three basic files that comprise the data set (*.shp, *.shx, *.dbf). Hydrological Modeling 5.2.21 Hydrology simulation under Package E will be developed using the output from the climate change model and input for various land use scenarios which will be closely linked to the spatial planning being undertaken by Package B of this TA project. Climate change models will generate daily data such as: temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, solar radiation, and precipitation. For each land use scenario, hydrology simulation will be conducted using current and future climate scenarios: Current climate data will be used as validations while future climate change data will be used to predict the risk and vulnerability of the CRB to climate change. 5.2.22 Two approaches will be used: For dependent water flows impacts will be assessed in relation to outputs from simple water balance models. However, this approach will not provide sufficient insight into the impacts of extreme flows on erosion, sedimentation and flooding. For this purpose the TA intends to apply the SWAT approach building on the work of Mulyana et al. (Please refer to Section 4.3 for details). 5.2.23 Package B1 is engaged in on-going water balance modelling using the RIBASIM software, which focuses on water allocation to evaluate various alternative water distribution options for current and future water supply and demand. As the RIBASIM model for the CRB has been calibrated by package B1, Package E works closely with Package B1 to avoid overlap and to maximise the efficiency of the use of the TA resources. 5.2.24 Package D has compiled several rainfall-run off models. During the discussion with the Package D consulting team, it was determined that they will calibrate and validate the RRFS model for the CRB. Package E will consider the use of this model when its calibration and validation has been completed by the consulting team of Package D. 5.2.25 For the extreme flow risk and vulnerability assessments, the SWAT model will be used in addition to the water balance modelling. Experience in the use and application of this tool is available within the team. SWAT is a basin scale, continuous time model that operates on a daily time step and is AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 59 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report designed to predict the impact of management on water, sediment, and agricultural chemical yields in un-gauged watersheds. The model is physically based, computationally efficient, and capable of continuous simulation over long time periods. Major model components include weather, hydrology, soil temperature and properties, plant growth, nutrients, pesticides, bacteria and pathogens, and land management. In SWAT, a watershed is divided into multiple sub-watersheds, which are then further subdivided into hydrologic response units (HRUs) that consist of homogeneous land use, management, and soil characteristics. The area which is important and different from the hydrology model used in CRB is the capabilities of SWAT to incorporate reservoir operations in simulating streamflow (Gassman et al, 2007). 5.2.26 Fontaine et al (2001) have shown the uses of SWAT in predicting climate change effects on streamflow. Similar studies have also been conducted by Stone et al (2001) to couple GCM and RegCM with a hydrological SWAT model to assess impacts of climate change on the Missouri River Basin water yield. This approach directly mirrors the challenges to be faced in the CRB. In the Stone et al. (2001) analysis, a changed climate scenario was produced with a GCM at a resolution of about 5 degrees in physical space. A Regional Climate Model (RegCM) was then used to downscale the climate data to a horizontal grid point spacing of 50 km. The output from RegCM was then processed by a Geographical Information System (GIS) into a hydrologic model that was used to assess impacts on water yield for a selected historic period. Community Development, Communication, and Outreach Strategy 5.2.27 The project aims to strengthen the capacity of communities to adapt to climate change. Communities at the grass-root level need information, education, and communication (IEC) about climate change. Research has shown that most farmers have heard about climate change as it is a key topic which the media has consistently reported. The meaning of climate change and actions that individuals can take to respond to climate change is however not well understood by the farmers. This project will seek to develop and test materials and approaches which are necessary to fill these knowledge gaps. 5.2.28 The Project will initially address the challenges of communicating and understanding of the meaning of climate change and the potential actions that individuals and institutions can take. This will be achieved by compiling and analysing the wide range of materials that have already been produced by national and provincial government agencies in relation to selected target audiences. It is considered that there is a strong need to bring together these individual efforts into a coordinated basket of options and then to work with local government extension staff to integrate them into their existing ranges of extension materials. There is also a need for the government to provide support in building the capacity of the extension workers to convey the materials to farmers in a constructive and effective approach. 5.2.29 The key of transferring knowledge effectively is using interactive learning approach. This approach will underpin the work which is carried out in the course of this package by utilising the understanding of expressed community needs as the entry point. Based on the feedback received during the inception workshop at Jakarta and Bandung Inception, the consulting team will undertake the following as the Community Outreach and Empowerment component: Extension Worker Capacity Building. Extension workers are the main players in farmer empowerment. The objective of this activity is to raise the awareness and knowledge of climate change of extension workers. Capacity building will also focus on improving the skills of extension workers in participatory extension approach. Communication Materials Development. There is already a large amount of printed and electronically transmitted materials available to support the extension of knowledge about climate change to the public, including a considerable amount of materials produced by the Ministry of Environment. These materials will be selectively modified so that the content will be tailored for the Citarum region. In some cases, technical information will be improved based on current thinking and latest findings. Community Education. The objective of this activity is to raise awareness and knowledge in the community about climate change and its impact to encourage personal adaptation to climate change as well as activities which are conducive in mitigating the climate change impacts. Various community institutions (farmers, education, religious, youth, etc) will be involved in these AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 60 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report education activities. The leaders of these institutions are expected to be trained and subsequently be responsible to pass on knowledge about climate change in their institutions. Pilot Projects. The objective of this activity is to raise community knowledge about how to adapt to and mitigate climate change impacts. The pilots are not merely new projects, but aim to improve and scale-up existing adaptation and mitigation projects developed by other institutions. The Community Empowerment component of the Project will be an integral part of the design of the five adaptation and mitigation pilot projects to be undertaken in the second phase of this project. Community Network Building. In order to ensure the project works could be implemented effectively, a community network should be built so that the pilot projects could be connected with other community activities. Linking Among Stakeholders. The objectives of this activity are: o to raise awareness and knowledge of all stakeholders; and o to synergize all activities in the CRB. 5.2.30 These objectives will be promoted through a series of round table discussions involving the following stakeholders: Citarum Water Forum; Bappeda staff at province and district levels dealing with Spatial Plan from West Java Province, downstream and upstream districts (perception about climate proofing spatial plan); Environmental NGOs working in the Citarum and some of the farmer leaders from KTNA (mapping the on-going and planned activities related to climate change and community empowerments); Local Governments and private sectors (focusing on-going and planned program related to climate change with staff from sample of downstream and upstream district governments) who benefit from or use environmental services in Citarum River Basin; Public Works (focusing on current process for developing water infrastructure – perception of climate proofing infrastructure) and Dam Managers (focusing on the use of climate information from improving water/reservoir management); Sectoral Offices (Agriculture, forestry such as BPDAS and Environmental Offices, focusing on on-going and planned program related to climate, get inputs for synergizing the activities at Provincial level); and Agencies responsible for extension services (focusing on on-going and planned program for extensions services, how to include climate change mitigation and adaptation issues in the extension services program). 5.2.31 The design and implementation of these round table discussions will include discussion with other consulting teams of different packages under this TA project avoid overlapping and ineffective use of time or the risk of respondent fatigue. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 61 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report 6 PILOT PROJECTS 6.0.1 The Pilot Projects and associated activities involving guidebooks, community outreach and empowerment, financing plans and proposals constitute the second phase of the TA and will take up much of the time required for field work and interactions with stakeholders. The ToR for this package is clear as to what the pilots will involve as shown in Box 6.1. Box 6.1: The Purpose and Scope of Pilot Activities Specified in the TOR for Package E Pilot mitigation activities will focus on community-based waste-to-energy projects in both rural and urban areas. In rural areas, pilots will promote biogas as a commercially viable industry by expanding its use for cooking, lighting, and pumping water, which will reduce deforestation caused by the need for wood fuel. The processed sludge will be used as an organic fertilizer, thereby reducing the need for fossil-fuel intensive fertilizers. Scaling up and replicating the pilot actions can reduce the requirement for fossil fuel energy and oil imports, thereby enhancing local energy security. In urban areas, pilots will focus on solid waste management (MSW) by promoting the collection, separation, and treatment of waste in selected municipalities. In coordination with local communities, various types of demonstration projects (small landfill, open dumps, and organized waste collection) will be selected to represent the diverse circumstances in terms of waste compositi on, technology to be adopted, and the potential f or public–private partnerships. Pilot adaptation activities will involve: water conservation; sustainable agriculture, focusing on a system of rice intensification, including adoption of flood-tolerant varieties; climate-proofing water infrastructure, such as culverts, bridges, check dams, spillways, flood embankments, dredging, and sea defences; and Pilot activities aim to demonstrate the value of innovative practices and techniques, and they will require only minor civil works. Any area or activity with potential safeguard problems, including those with impacts on indigenous peoples or which involve involuntary settlement, will not be selected for a pilot. 6.1 Mitigation vs. Adaptation 6.1.1 There is now scientific consensus that greenhouse gas emissions and atmospheric concentrations are set to increase for some decades to come, and that global means surface temperature will continue to increase long after the peak of emissions has passed. While uncertainty exists in regards to the degree of which warming will occur and at what rate it will unfold, there is no doubt about the general trend that warming is unequivocal and will have adverse impacts on both natural and social systems. Even with an aggressive mitigation strategy, global surface warming and its associated risks will persist up to end of the 21st century and beyond. 6.1.2 Although climate change mitigation has been the key initiatives under the Kyoto Protocol, including under the framework of CDM, it is now clear that adaptation by communities to the reality of climate change is, at the very least, necessary; and among the poor, certainly the priority. It is therefore incumbent for all countries to adapt to climate change to maintain their present levels of affluence and promote sustainable development 6.1.3 History has determined that initiatives in mitigation and adaptation have evolved separately, but it is now clear that both approaches are linked through the need to address a common thread of institutional and personal behavioural changes. Mitigation and adaptation represent two sides of a single coin: the more people who succeed in adapting to the realities of changing environments, the more meaningful it becomes, at a personal level, to take action in limiting the extent of the change. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 62 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report Conversely, the greater the success in the mitigation activities of reducing carbon emissions, the greater the number of options available for the future of communities and ecosystems. 6.1.4 The inter-relatedness of these two approaches appears to have been grasped by the Indonesian government in its medium and long term planning. For example, in the RPJM 2010-2014, the Ministry of Agriculture has planned its climate change action programs on three areas: Climate change adaptation and mitigation with the aim for developing crop production systems, which are resilient to current and future climate risk. The indicators being used consist of a 1-2% annual increase in crop production, reduction of production loss due to climate extreme events, and the improvement of water use efficiency. The proposed action programs include: o revitalization and rehabilitation of agriculture infrastructure, and in particular, setup of irrigation infrastructures (JITUT, JIDES etc.) and the optimization of land resource utilization; o revitalization and development of farmers’ institutions insurance; o development and application of climate adaptive technologies including food diversification and improvement of land cultivation systems leading to lower emissions and higher water use efficiency; and o optimization of the use of potential agricultural land and the improvement of peat land management. and application of climate Development of regulations, tools and guidelines for developing climate-smart agriculture systems. The proposed action programs include: o development of a climate information system and early warning system for managing drought and floods; o development of tools and guidelines to evaluate land use plans and the resilience of agriculture infrastructure to climate variability; o development of regulations to encourage the adoption and use of climate adaptive and low emission technologies; and o support for multidisciplinary research to underpin the management of climate risks. Climate change advocacy and information dissemination to increase the awareness of farmers and their understanding on climate risk management and implementation of related regulations. The proposed action programs include: o development, replication and implementation of climate impact field schools; and o socialization of regulations related to environmental protection. 6.1.5 The Ministry of Agriculture has developed a matrix of climate change actions for adaptation and mitigation which indicates the time, targeted area and locations for climate change management intervention. 6.1.6 For the water sector, climate change action programs will be directed to achieve an efficient use of water resources to meet the demands of domestic users, industrial and agricultural needs, in strategic locations prone to water scarcity (BAPPENAS, 2010). The program will strengthen the control of the utilization of ground water for meeting the water demand, increasing water resource capacities and increasing the participation of private enterprises in providing fund for water infrastructure development (conveyance system). It is proposed in the RPJM that climate change programs for the water sector should include: vulnerability and climate risk assessment at the regional level (based on Balai Besar Wilayah Sungai – River Basin Agency); improvement of the capacity of water catchment areas to retain water; improvement of water infrastructure to accommodate the variation in water availability under AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 63 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report climate change scenarios; increase of water availability in vulnerable areas through the use of best practice technologies and the improvement of local water resources; and re-vitalization of local wisdom and increasing the capacity and community participation in climate change adaptation. 6.2 Site Selection of Initial Pilot Activities Existing Initiatives in West Java 6.2.1 Baseline investigations undertaken during the inception phase of this project have revealed that there are already at least 66 on-going and proposed climate change mitigation and adaptation activities being implemented in the 17 local government regions in West Java. The types of these activities in the respective regions are provided in Table 6.1. This table is not exhaustive and it is expected that even more examples from local governments and NGO’s will be found as the project gains momentum. 6.2.2 Other projects sponsored by the national government line agencies and coordinating agencies are also considered. For example, in the Climate Change Sector Roadmap, the Ministry of Agriculture (MoA) will focus its climate change action programs on adaptation for food crops aims at maintaining national food security, mitigating climate change impacts on agriculture sector through the utilization and development of environmental friendly technologies and lower GHG emission (BAPPENAS, 2010). In this respect, MoA is already working through District Agriculture Agencies to implement Climate Field Schools for empowering farmers in managing climate risk. 6.2.3 As it is shown in Table 6.1, the most common categories of project these regions have been implementing are afforestation/reforestation; water conservation, waste management and renewable energy. Working in existing natural watercourses is also of considerable interest. It will need to be examined more closely in this project to ensure that management options are not restricted to hard engineering - bank reinforcement and channelling. 6.2.4 Besides, the preliminary findings as presented in Table 6.1 suggest that the emphasis on pilot selection for this project should begin with a review of progress already underway and the most efficient and effective approach that this project could support, complement and ensure the success of these existing initiatives. Table 6.1 Types of On-Going and Proposed Climate Change Related Projects by the Local Governments West Java Province Type of climate change projects/activities District/City 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Total On-going Projects System Rice Intensification, please see glossary (SRI) Awareness rising Rain harvesting Afforestation/Reforestation Green school Water conservation Waste Management Renewable Energy 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 8 2 9 9 5 Proposed Projects Pollution control to river Afforestation/Reforestation Water conservation AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 1 1 1 1 1 1 64 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx 1 2 3 October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report Waste Management Rain harvesting Renewable Energy Lake/river Rehabilitations or river normalizations Awareness rising Community Empowerment for managing climate risk Climate Village Total 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 5 4 3 4 1 4 4 2 7 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 4 8 1 1 4 1 3 1 1 5 1 5 7 1 4 4 2 4 2 66 Note: 1: Kab. Purwakarta, 2: Kab. Bandung, 3: Kab. Cimahi, 4: Kab. Sumedang, 5: Kab. Banjar, 6: Kota Bandung, 7: Kota Sukabumi, 8: Kab. Subang, 9: Kota Bekasi, 10: Kota Bogor, 11: Kota Cimahi, 12: Kab. Sukabumi, 13: Kab. Majalengka, 14: Kab. Ciamis, 15: Kab. Garut, 16: Kab. Indramayu, 17: Kab. Purwakarta 6.3 Developing Objective Selection Criteria 6.3.1 The selection of the pilot activities should be based on objective criteria. Potential criteria which will be further examined during implementation of this project include the following: relevance (strategies with long-term effects; benefits to particularly vulnerable groups; prevention of irreversible or dramatic changes); effectiveness (enhancement of resilience or reduction of vulnerability); economic viability in terms of potential financial support; feasibility of existing and available technologies; integration of cross–cutting issues (for example; gender equality, environmental sustainability and social inclusion); political and social acceptance; a participatory approach and community engagement; and potential for scaling up. 6.3.2 The criteria should be carefully selected and determined without bias to ensure acceptance by relevant stakeholders and would not favour any vested interests. One approach which is being considered for implementation in this project is the Delphi method. As an expert elicitation tool, the Delphi method engages a group of experts in an iterative process, while maintaining their anonymity, in determining and prioritizing the criteria. Weighting of the criteria can also be obtained through the process. Evaluation of the potential activities, compiled through the stakeholders’ input, can then be carried out using the criteria and weight. 6.3.3 Considering that many activities related to climate change adaptation are either being implemented, or planned, the pilots to be implemented in this project may complement existing activities by adding new components into existing on-going projects. For example, due to budget limitations, many of the on-going activities are implemented in fragment. Based on the discussion with local governments during the inception phase, it is proposed that the pilot activities involving communities should contribute to at least three components: institutional strengthening, strong extension services, and availability of initial support for inputs and development of additional economic activities. 6.3.4 The central government and many private organizations have created initiatives to develop trust funds for supporting community based activities in dealing with climate change. A later component of the project may also include the development of financial institutions at village level that can support community actions related to climate change. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 65 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report 6.3.5 During course when baseline analysis was conducted, based on discussion between the local government representatives and the consulting team, sites have been identified where pilot projects fulfilling the 3 abovementioned components have been successfully implemented.The consulting team will examine these pilots in order to identify the success factors thereby to form the basis for pilot project selection for this project. 6.3.6 Based on the suggestions from public consultation meetings and in consultations with MoE and BPLHD, a list of potential sites in three clusters (i.e., upper, middle and lower water catchment) for pilots will be developed. A workshop on “Potential Climate Change Pilots at CRB” will then be organized. Organizations from the three clusters which are implementing or have implemented community-based climate change and water management activities will present their initiatives. The TA will facilitate BPLHD to organize a process of sites selection activities, such as call for pilot proposals, site visits, proposal evaluation and final selection, or other approaches with the end view of selecting 3 pilot activities for climate change adaptation and 2 for climate change mitigation. 6.3.7 Refinement of the criteria will establish a basis for application to a second and subsequent round of projects for approval and funding. Funding for pilot studies under the RCMU 1.1 also provides an opportunity for Package E to integrate climate change concerns into a wide range of pilots supported by the ADB Citarum program. This activity would represent a significant step to mainstreaming climate change projects into the routine BAU of government agencies. Implementation of Initial Pilot Activities 6.3.8 The Terms of Reference (ToR) for each pilot activity will clearly describe the objectives and expected outcomes, the specific activities, the stakeholders to be involved, estimated budget, and implementation timeline of the activity. The process of developing the ToR may include consultation with additional stakeholders to refine or reframe the policy context or the objectives. Wide dissemination of the ToR will help ensure the implementation process of the project is open and transparent. 6.3.9 Following the suggestions from the local governments surveyed, the implementation of pilot activities will cover the three components as required. The pilot activities will consists of a set of interventions which include climate change technology intervention (component 1) in the form of field adaptation/mitigation action activities accompanied by human resource development (component 2) and institutional development (component 3) as shown in Figure 6.1. The field action activities may include both adaptation and mitigation actions. For example, the same community may be introduced to system rice intensification technology to increase water usage efficiency as part of solutions to water scarcity problem, and mitigation actions such as composting and biogas for energy. In this context, the field actions would consist of both adaptation and mitigation. Thus, adaptation and mitigation pilots discussed in section 6.4 and 6.5 could be integrated into one pilot or in the same area. In other case, some targeted community has implemented both mitigation and adaptation actions, but supporting programs for human resource and institutional strengthening are weak. In this case, Package E may support these components. This TA project may develop a coordination system with other agencies (government, NGOs, business) that may implement related activities on the sites and synergize various activities (Figure 6.1) in developing the pilots. In this regards, the implementation of the pilots may be done by the agencies who are already engaged in the sites. The consulting team will also provide assistance to BPLHD of West Java Province, districts and municipalities to develop monitoring indicators. The consulting team, in consultation with MoE and BPLHD, will prepare brochures, documentary films, and implement Round Table Discussions to raise awareness and disseminate information of the process and lessons learnt in this project. Lessons learnt from the pilots will be used to develop a strategy for up-scaling and replicating the pilots in other locations and streamline them to local government climate change program. Package E will also work with local government to identify the potential source of funding for supporting the programs. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 66 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report Figure 6.1 Strategy for Developing and Synergizing Pilots for Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation at CRB under Package E of TA 7189-INO Up-scaling and Financing Pilot Projects 6.3.10 As shown in Figure 6.1, the lessons learnt from the pilots will be used for developing strategies for up-scaling and replicating the pilots to other locations as part of local government climate change adaptation and mitigation programs. At the national level, the approach to determine potential funding for further replication and up-scaling will be aligned with the outputs of the consulting team of Package A of this TA project, mediated by the project team and implemented in discussions between the Ministry of Environment and relevant government ministries such as BAPPENAS, Public Works, Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry, to ensure they are engaged in the planning system (RPJM and Spatial Plans and RENSTRA) and the budget planning cycle (MUSREMBANG). This process will be replicated at the provincial level through BPLHD. The package E team will specifically provide assistance to BPLHD in exploring public sector donor funding and private-public partnerships. 6.3.11 The package E team will facilitate and provide technical assistance in the preparation of at least two adaptation project documents by the concerned stakeholders for applying for external funding. In addition, potential funding mechanisms will be reviewed by the consulting team to identify appropriate funding windows that may be targeted in the design of adaptation projects. The review will take the mechanisms under current protocols as well as proposed funding mechanisms for adaptation in a future climate change management arrangement after 2012 into consideration. Under existing arrangements, funding mechanisms include those under the UNFCCC adaptation fund and the Kyoto Protocol and potentially other UN arrangements such as the Convention to Combat Desertification, the Convention on Biological Diversity and the Convention on the conservation and wise use of wetlands (RAMSAR). Adaptation funds may also be sourced through multilateral agencies as well as bilateral sources. The ADB adaptation fund and the ADB Clean Energy Program under the CDM mechanism would be one of the major potential fund sources for scaling up the adaptation and mitigation projects in the entire CRB (Srinivasan and Al-Amin 2010). 6.4 The Adaptation Pilots Background to Adaptation Activities AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 67 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report 6.4.1 The 2007 Fourth Assessment Report of the IPCC defines adaptation as “the adjustment in natural or human systems in response to actual or expected climatic stimuli or their effects, which moderates harm or exploits beneficial opportunities.” Effective adaptation therefore reduces vulnerability or enhances resilience of the physical, ecological and anthropogenic systems. While there are many uncertainties concerning present and future adaptation to changing climate, adaptation to climate change, is in general, a desirable outcome (Adger et al., 2009). Adaptation often promotes economic, social and environmental benefits that can lead to equitable and sustainable development. 6.4.2 Adaptations include anticipatory and reactive actions and can relate to projected changes in temperature, current climate variations and extremes that may be altered with climate change. Some adaptation measures are undertaken by individuals, while other types of adaptation are planned and implemented by governments, sometimes in anticipation of change but mostly in response to experienced climatic events, especially extremes. Adaptation can range from a specific action (e.g., a farmer switching one crop to another that suits better the changed environment) to systematic change (e.g., diversifying rural livelihoods), to a wider institutional reform (revisiting water reform and land ownership) (Leary et al., 2007). Viewed from a governance perspective, adaptation is a multi-scalar process of multi-level governance concerned with interactions of individual and institutions at various levels in response to changing circumstances (Adger et al., 2009). For instance, policies shaped by international and national circumstances set objectives to be achieved at the local and regional levels. On the other hand, interpretation of information and its translation to decisions and behaviour by individuals and organizations are influenced by social context, individual characteristics, and direct experiences. In practice, adaptations tend to be on-going processes in response to a combination of factors or stresses, rather than specific measures to address climate change alone (Adger et al., 2007). 6.4.3 There are well-established evidence and success stories of human adaptation to climate change over the course of human history (Pulhin et al. 2008). Adaptation to climate change also exists in different sectors, such as in water and agriculture, although generally it is limited. Examples of potential adaptation measures are presented in Table 6.2. Despite successful stories and existing adaptation measures, many individuals and communities, including those within Indonesia, still remain vulnerable to climatic risks which are expected to be exacerbated by anticipated climate change scenarios. Table 6.2 Sector Examples of Adaptation Measures in the Water and Agriculture Sectors Example of Adaptation Measures Water Agriculture and food security Harvesting groundwater and rainwater Increasing desalination Protecting water catchment areas Improving system of water management Developing flood controls and drought monitoring Developing early warning systems Increase reservoir capacity Increase flood defence Catchment source control to reduce peak discharges Alter system operation rules Improve forecasting and early warning system Revise planning or design guidelines Changing agricultural practices, such as planting and harvesting times, fertilizer use, pest control, and so on Improving irrigation techniques Diversifying crops and income sources Developing tolerant crop varieties Improving extension services Source: ADB (2009) based on Adger et al. (2007) Objectives of Initial Adaptation Pilot Activities 6.4.4 Three initial pilot activities will be designed and implemented in the water and agriculture sectors. The design of the pilot activities will emphasize the importance of promoting learning opportunities among different participating stakeholders to successfully design and implement adaptation AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 68 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report initiatives, as an important component to achieve the overall goal of promoting sustainable and integrated management in the CRB. Specifically, the pilot activities aim to: Serve as institutional learning sites for designing and implementing adaptation interventions to minimize potential adverse impacts of climate variability and change in the CRB; and Generate experience and lessons from pilot implementation as basis for scaling up climate change adaptation in the CRB and, potentially, other watersheds. Initial Adaptation Pilot Components 6.4.5 The process of determining and implementing pilot activities will be carried out in a transparent and participatory manner. Potential pilot activities can be identified according to the approach described in Paragraph 6.3.2. A template will be prepared to guide the agencies to provide essential information that will be used during the evaluation and selection stages. Proposals will be reviewed in consideration of their potential to address climate vulnerability and risk in relation to water conservation, sustainable agriculture and climate proofing of infrastructure and a shortlist of proposals will be contacted for further detail upon which selection will be made by the Team assisted by third party experts. Recommendations will then be sent to MoE and BPLHD for consideration and confirmation. Water Conservation 6.4.6 Water conservation is the principle that requires the wise use and protection of water resources. There are various water conservation approaches which will be considered in relation to the design of the pilots. These approaches cover: Management of water resources including water quality management, rehabilitation and dam storage optimisation; Distribution including pressure management and loss minimisation, metering, preventative maintenance, infrastructure optimisation, loss minimisation and dual distribution systems; and User demand management including awareness and education, water entitlements and licensing and water pricing. 6.4.7 Further investigation and advice from the BPLHD and local governments will be implemented and collected to determine which of these types of projects will be pursued in this project. 6.4.8 Measures of water conservation for consideration in pilot initiatives will be formulated within the context of the National Water Resources Policy, National Water Law No.7/2004, Ministerial Regulations No.22/2009 and will seek harmonisation and complementation with other TA Packages including the RCMU and the Packages B and C of this TA project. 6.4.9 Prioritisation of the pilot activities will be carried out taking into consideration of the existing initiatives as identified in Section 6.2 as well as in consultation with relevant agencies Climate Proofing Water Infrastructure 6.4.10 Water infrastructure is crucial in generating and sustaining economic growth and social well being in the CRB. As the climate continues to change, the difficulty in meeting the challenge of maintaining a robust and reliable infrastructure system increases. This will require different stakeholders to work together and proactively meet the challenge by creating a climate resilient infrastructure system in CRB in order to reduce the risk of economic disruption and enable the opportunities from well-adapted infrastructure to be maximised. 6.4.11 Water infrastructure needs to be defined in the context of the CRB. The types of the infrastructure include drainage systems, surface water management systems, water supply system coastal flood management and protection systems, dam and reservoirs, inland waterway, port and harbour, potable and wastewater treatment systems, and others. Critical infrastructure for the pilot initiatives should be identified by stakeholders by applying a consultative and participatory approach. A few key questions to be assessed may include: AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 69 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report What are the technical and operational impacts that may be induced by climate change? What are the potential adaptation options to address these impacts? What are the potential barriers to implement these options? What are the opportunities from adapting these infrastructures? 6.4.12 The pilots in this sector will focus on infrastructure design and will provide a basis for close harmonisation with other packages of this TA project, especially the RCMU, and Packages A and C, as well as the implementation projects of the loan program. 6.4.13 There are a number of potential approaches to climate-proof water infrastructure. These include the structural options such as increasing reservoir capacity, increasing flood defence, catchments source control to reduce peak discharges, etc, and non-structural options such as alteration of system operation rules, improvement of forecasting and early warning system, revision of planning or design guidelines, etc. Sustainable Agriculture 6.4.14 To achieve sustainable agriculture under changing climates, the strategy for implementing adaptation programs should be developed with two time horizons. In the short term, programs for adaptation are directed to improve climate risk management and to increase the welfare of farmers through optimizing the use of climate information and climate-friendly technology. In the long term, programs should be directed to increase the resilience of the agriculture system to future climate risks through the revitalization of long term policies and planning, particularly in land use planning to ensure the sustainability of ecosystem services, and the climate proofing of agriculture infrastructure notably irrigation systems and check dams. The consulting team of this package E will work particularly closely with Package B in relation to spatial planning and land use change in identifying and prioritizing adaptation pilot project locations. 6.4.15 For the short term, the priority action programs for adaptation as defined in the sector roadmap include the followings: increasing the capacity of farmers in using climate information such as the use of climate forecast information in setting up better cropping strategies and agribusiness activity; implementing climate adaptive technologies and adaptation measures which also contribute to the increase of water usage efficiency and GHG emission reduction such as System Rice Intensification (SRI) and minimum tillage; and creating more sources of income for communities from mitigation activities such as generating carbon credit from the use of manure and biomass waste (e.g. biogas for cooking and biomass energy in rice mills, composting etc). 6.4.16 For the long term, the priority programs will include: institutionalizing the use of climate information in agriculture management and development; prioritizing structural intervention programs, where and when a particular intervention will take place to minimize the impact of increasing climate risks such as rehabilitation and redesigning irrigation facilities to be climate proof; expanding agricultural areas to regions with lower climate risks; and developing and implementing long term research on climate modeling and the vulnerability impact and adaptation assessment to climate change, and produce tools and guideline for policy makers and planners in setting up climate proof land use plan and infrastructure, and climate adaptive technologies. 6.5 The Mitigation Pilots Background to Mitigation Activities AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 70 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report 6.5.1 Since the 1992 Earth Summit in Rio de Janeiro, the UNFCCC parties have developed strategies, policies, and measures to mitigate climate change and reduce GHG emissions, both within and outside the Kyoto Protocol agreement. 6.5.2 International cooperation is the basis for efforts to combat climate change. The achievement of global climate change mitigation goals will require significant investment in emissions reduction in developing countries. International cooperation will be essential in providing the needed finance, capacity building, technology transfer and development. 6.5.3 UNFCCC Parties has agreed to the Bali Action Plan in December 2007, launching discussions to 2 enhance nationally appropriate mitigation actions by developing country. 6.5.4 The Kyoto Protocol established the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) as a means for industrialized countries to gain credit for financing emissions reduction projects in developing countries while delivering sustainable development and technology transfer benefits. This mechanism has been widely taken up in Indonesia. The Indonesian Designated National Authority (DNA) has approved 125 CDM projects as of April 2011. The majority of the DNA-approved CDM projects are concerned with renewable energy projects and waste management projects. The high rate of development of renewable energy projects especially in electricity generation is due to the rapidly rising demand of power and the cost of conventional infrastructure and its supply. These projects are also less complicated in terms of methodology than projects under other sectors. Determining Priorities for Mitigation Pilot Projects in West Java 6.5.5 According to Indonesia’s Second National Communication (SNC), one of the main sources of GHG emissions in the country comes from the waste sector. Currently about 161,346,000 t CO2e emission come from open dumps, landfills, domestic and industrial waste disposal. Methane contributed approximately 97% of the total emissions. The waste generation is generally related to the population growth, and the change in lifestyle. By 2020, it is expected that GHG emissions from this sector will increase to around 250 million tCO2e annually (Table 6.3). Table 6.3 Projected Trends in GHG Emissions from the Waste Sector under a BAU Scenario (Gg CO2e) Scenario Mitigation 2010 2015 2020 Total MSW 19,691 22,198 23,562 Unmanaged Dumpsite 11,289 13,269 14,385 Domestic WWT and 13,568 15,287 16,227 discharge Industrial WWT and 149,818 199,427 224,4 11 Discharge Total Emission 194,367 250,231 278,585 Source: Indonesia SNC 2011 6.5.6 When solid waste is disposed of at landfills, anaerobic decomposition of organic matter produces Landfill Gas (LFG) within a few weeks. The main gas components are 40 – 60% CH4, 25 – 50% CO2, 3 – 15% N2 and 0 – 4% O2 (N2 and O2 from intrusion of atmospheric air into the landfill). LFG also contains trace amounts of other gasses and is typically saturated with moisture. 6.5.7 There is a potential to reduce emissions from waste by about 30 million tCO2e. Currently, there are 10 Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) mitigation projects under the CDM scheme. Methane emissions reduction projects that are being implemented involve methane capture for electricity generation. Other CDM mitigation projects in the waste sector focus on Industrial waste water. The gas containing methane from the anaerobic treatment of waste water (combustible biogas, containing a mixture of about 60% methane and 40% carbon dioxide) is a potential gas for energy generation. 6.5.8 Table 6.4 lists four significant mitigation projects in West Java that are concerned with reducing the volume and mass of solid waste. In addition to the spatial benefit, reduction in the volume of organic waste to be disposed of can contribute to greenhouse gas (GHG) mitigation by reducing the 2 http://unfccc.int/resource/docs/2007/cop13/eng/06a01.pdf#page=3 AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 71 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report production and release of methane from the final disposal sites, by improving thermal efficiency of the waste incinerators, and by minimizing the operation of collection vehicles. Table 6.4 Examples from West Java of Solid Waste Management Prevention Programs before Final Disposal Site Description Padasuka Composting and combustion processes in this plant are executed with an incinerator by PT INVEDCO, a private company that provided Environmental 3 Service of Cimahi City. This facility handle 20 m of refuse per day and 2 tons of compost is produced per day. Utama Plant Utama plant, is an example of solid waste facility, which is managed by local community group. This plant can serve 1700 households (4.980 persons) with the capacity of 2.5-3 ton/week. Each week 1-2 ton of organic waste would be treated and undergoes composting process which would eventually generate 600-700 kg of compost. The remaining waste is burned by a very simple incinerator. Leuwigajah RW 8, A solid waste processing plant on smaller scale which consist of composting Cimahi facility. This plant can serve 1200 households. The composting process is relatively simple with application of an open windrow system. Compost produced is utilized by vegetable farmers in the vicinity of the plant. Depok The local government of Depok developed a model, called sipesat to reduce the total amount of solid waste that is disposed of at the Final Disposal Site (TPA Cipayung). In principle, sipesat is a communal scale solid waste processing unit. Sipesat starts with household solid waste collection to a sorting process on a conveyor table, where plastic and inorganic solid waste, such as iron and glass, are separated and banded together to sell as recycle material. The remaining organic waste is then carried to a chopping machine and following by a composting process. Composting is conducted conventionally with bacteria addition to accelerate the process from 3 weeks to 2 weeks. Biogas and MSW Mitigation Pilot Project Activities 6.5.9 This package requires implementation of biogas management and solid waste management. As indicated in the above discussion, each of these categories is of high priority in reducing emissions in Indonesia. Mainstreaming and up-scaling of these practices will achieve one of the most significant outcomes of this project. While it is recognised that there is already much experience in implementing biogas and solid waste reduction projects, the priority for this package will be to seek those which elaborate difficult aspects, or explore new technologies or approaches. As deteriorating of water quality is associated with unsustainable waste management practice in the CRB, the mitigation pilots also aims to improve the water quality of CRB. 6.5.10 Site selection exercise will be performed after consultation with and collection of recommendations from the experts outside and inside of the government to identify and investigate potential sites with sources for biogas and MSW. Existing biogas and MSW plants will also be visited to collect information on issues related to the implementation of the plants. Sites that will be considered would be areas where have large potential sources of biogas and MSW with less access to fossil fuel (thereby to reduce the use of non renewable biomass, such as wood from natural forests). 6.5.11 It is proposed that the work on socializing and designing these pilot projects will commence within the first year of the project in order to ensure maximum ownership and commitment from government and stakeholders. The involvement of the stakeholders in the early stage of pilot project design will be critical to ensuring supporting funds are organized within the APPB routine budget cycle. 6.5.12 This package will also examine the feasibility of the local energy market to use LFG for energy generation to reduce the use of fossil fuels in generation plants. 6.5.13 A wide range of technologies is available to mitigate GHG emissions from waste. These technologies include landfill gas recovery (which reduces CH4 emissions), post-consumer recycling (which reduces waste generation), composting of selected waste fractions (which avoids GHG generation), and processes that reduce GHG generation induced by landfilling (thermal processes including incineration and industrial co-combustion). Therefore, the mitigation of GHG emissions AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 72 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report from waste relies on multiple technologies that their application would depend on local, regional and national drivers for both waste management and GHG mitigation. To summarize, the methods for the prevention of methane emissions include: Composting; Aeration to avoid methane production; Bio-digestion with biogas collection and flaring; Bio-digestion with biogas collection and utilizing the methane gas for heat or electricity; Incineration of the waste for energy generation; and Gasification of the waste to produce syngas. 6.5.14 Mitigation may also be achieved through capture & combustion approaches such as LFG recovery. The natural decay of wastewater, crop waste (such as straw) and animal waste can generate significant emissions of methane gas that has a global warming potential of 21 times that that of CO2 over 100 years. In order to reduce these emissions, waste can be collected and stored in anaerobic digesters that could vary in size from large industrial ponds to small tanks suitable for single households. The wastewater can then be discharged as effluent. The mixture of gases created by this process can be captured using simple technologies. This captured gas, which is referred to as ‘biogas’, typically has a high methane content and can either be flared, thereby reducing emissions, or be used as fuel for heating and electricity generation. The consulting team of package E will explore the possibility and approaches of biogas facility development in selected area which can reduce the pressure on other nature resources. Selecting and Designing Mitigation Projects for Verification of Carbon Credits 6.5.15 The key criteria determining whether a project qualifies for emissions reduction credits under the UNFCCC framework are listed in Table 6.5. Table 6.5 The Criteria Required to Be Met for a Recognized GHG Mitigation Project Criteria Remarks The project avoids, reduces or At least one of the GHGs is reduced. abates GHG emissions The project is additional A project is additional if it would not have been implemented without the CDM mechanism, due to financial or technological barriers. Proving additionality of the project that delivers emissions reductions that are over and above the baseline scenario is required. It must show that it is financially unattractive without CDM revenue or subject to technological barriers. The project supports The project must meet sustainable development criteria set by sustainable development Ministry of Environment; which include the social criteria, economic criteria and environmental criteria. The project uses a specific The project activity as a whole and the calculation of emissions methodology reductions of a CDM project must refer to the methodology approved by UNFCCC. The project results in It is necessary to establish the quantity of emissions reductions in measurable emissions tCO2e per year that the project produces reductions 6.5.16 The UNFCCC has accepted specific methodologies which a project needs to fulfil in to be accepted as CDM project. There is also a differentiation between small and large scale projects. Table 6.6 lists the specific methodologies that are applicable to a small scale solid waste management project. It should be noted that the UNFCCC methodology panel regularly update methodologies to newer version which become mandatory for not registered projects at that time.Once the recovered methane gas is utilized for heat or electricity, there are additional methodologies which need to be complied with in combination with the methodologies in Table 6.6. In addition there is a number of tools and other regulations which should be applied and complied with. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 73 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report Table 6.6 No 1 2 3 4 5 6 Relationship between Waste Management Project Objectives and UNFCC Methodologies for the Solid Waste Sector Typical Project (s) Methane production from wastes that would have been left to decay or are already deposited in a waste disposal site are prevented through controlled combustion; or gasification to produce syngas/producer gas; or mechanical/thermal treatment to produce refuse-derived fuel (RDF) or stabilized biomass (SB). Controlled biological treatment of biomass or other organic matter is introduced through one or a combination of the following measures: aerobic treatment by composting and proper soil application of the compost; anaerobic digestion in closed reactors equipped with biogas recovery and combustion/flaring system. Capture and combustion of methane from landfills from human activities including municipal, industrial and other solid wastes containing biodegradable organic matter. Avoidance of the production of methane from organic matter that would have otherwise been left to decay under anaerobic conditions in a solid waste disposal site without methane recovery. Due to the project, decay is prevented through controlled pyrolysis. Avoidance of methane emissions from MSW that is already deposited in a closed solid waste disposal site (SWDS) without methane recovery. Due to the project, non-inert material will be composed through pre-aeration, excavation and separation of the MSW in the closed SWDS, so that methane emissions will be avoided. HDPE and LDPE plastic materials are recycled from municipal solid wastes (MSW) in a cycling facility and afterwards processed into intermediate or finished products (e.g. plastic pellets, plastic bags). CDM Methodology AMS-III.E. Avoidance of methane production from decay of biomass through controlled combustion, gasification or mechanical/thermal treatment. AMS-III.F. Avoidance of methane emissions through controlled biological treatment of biomass. AMS-III.G. Landfill methane recovery. AMS-III.L. Avoidance of methane production from biomass decay through controlled pyrolysis. AMS-III.AF. Avoidance of methane emissions through excavating and composting of partially decayed municipal solid waste (MSW). AMS-III.AJ. Recovery and recycling of materials from solid wastes. 6.5.17 Nevertheless, some projects in Indonesia have not sought UNFCCC compliance and are directed at the voluntary carbon market, which is a much smaller market despite of it is easier to access and favours projects derived from CSR and other sources of funding. Table 6.7 describes some of the representative examples of these projects in Indonesia. Table 6.7 Waste Management Projects in Indonesia Focused on the Voluntary Carbon Market Project Description Bali-Biogas This project is a non-CDM project or a voluntary market project. The project program involves an installation of 3000 units of household scale biodigesters. The digesters are fed by cattle manure. This project aims to provide additional income through the selling of sludge as a fertilizer. It is developed by PT.Mulya Tiara Nusa which acts as the provider of the biodigester. This project is expected to generate an annual emission reduction of about 10,000 Verified Emission Reductions (VER). Mobuya Mini Hydro The project activity involves the installation of three 1000 kW hydropower plants in Power Plant North Sulawesi. The project is now under the validation process and expected to generate about 12,250 of VERs per year. Gianyar Waste The project involves the conversion of about 50 to 100 tonnes of waste into Recovery Project compost by the application of aeration process. The project is expected to reduce GHG emissions of around 7,000 tonnes of carbon annually. 6.5.18 Typical types of projects in the agricultural and energy sectors that are concerned with mitigation under the UNFCCC rules are shown in Table 6.8 AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 74 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report Table 6.8 Sector Agriculture Mitigation Projects Typical of the Agriculture and Energy Sectors Project Type Soil conservation measures Cropland and grazing management Fertilizer switch or management reducing N2O emissions Biodigestion and methane based projects Livestock management Energy – relevant project in the Biofuel or bioenergy and fuel switching rural and agricultural areas Hydro project (related to forestry or watershed protection) Energy efficiency 6.5.19 Optimally, mitigation projects under the UNFCCC protocols should deliver results at the regional, national and global levels and contribute to the improvement of local development. Proposed projects promote technically and economically feasible mitigation practices that have co-benefits for vulnerable groups (rural livelihoods and marginalized groups). CDM Programmes of Activities (PoAs) 6.5.20 Pilot projects could be qualified as a CDM project and receive emission reduction credits if they meet the criteria set out under the UNFCCC framework. These projects could be single CDM project or those under Programmes of Activities (PoA). Selection of single CDM project or PoA would be based on consultation with the MoE and other relevant stakeholders. 6.5.21 In essence, a CDM PoA, or Programmatic CDM, is an umbrella project for the implementation of numerous, widespread CDM project activities of the same type, referred to as CDM Programme Activities (CPAs), under a programme initiated by a private or public sector entity. As for CDM project, CPAs must result in additional emissions reductions. The PoA is registered with the CDM Executive Board in the same way that a “traditional” CDM project is registered, and CPAs can be added to the registered PoA as they are implemented. 6.5.22 The novelty of this approach and its perceived advantage compared with traditional CDM project activities is that emission reducing activities that may not have been feasible under the traditional CDM system due to their small size can be grouped into one single PoA. This can reduce the implementation time and the development costs involved. 6.5.23 Particular attention will be paid on the project options. In the case that a PoA approach appears to be feasible and meet the objectives of this package, a workshop will be conducted to invite parties which are interested in developing this type of project to attend in order to share experience and disseminate information. 6.5.24 The design of the CDM projects will require stakeholder consultation and training on CDM. The importance of the support by the Indonesia Designated National Authority (DNA) on UNFCCC registration will be one of the aspects emphasized in the training. Transaction CER and CDM Process 6.5.25 For a carbon credit (CER), a contract termed an Emissions Reduction Purchase Agreement (ERPA) is needed. This stipulates the conditions under which the credits under the CDM scheme will be sold and the selling price of each credit. Such a contract should be put in place as early as possible during the project cycle once the project is decided to implement. Similar approaches apply to the voluntary market. For Voluntary Emission Reduction, the contract is referred to as a Verified Emissions Reduction Purchase Agreement (VERPA). 6.5.26 The VERPA between a buyer and a seller of carbon credits can be structured in many different ways such as: A spot transaction; A forward sale, or An option. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 75 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report 6.5.27 The forward sale transaction involves a defined quantity of CER (either in fixed amounts or percentages of the total CER generated by the project) to be sold at defined future delivery dates for a specified price (fixed or linked to a reference price). CER prices range in order from the lowest to highest prices depending on the following conditions: no delivery guarantee of a flexible (non-firm) volume of carbon credits from seller but with buyer guarantees under very few preconditions; buyer guarantees to buy only under a number of preconditions; any guarantees to deliver a definite (firm) volume, buyer guarantees to buy under the same preconditions; and any agreement to ensure the payment for substitute carbon credits. The current CER price (as of March 2011) is 13.03 Euro/tCO2e. Financing GHG Mitigation Projects 6.5.28 The implementation of a carbon emission reduction project has a distinct supply chain involved in producing the carbon credit, trading and distributing income to those responsible parties for contributing the reductions. There is an on-going discussion in Indonesia on the best management approach in a national and a sub-national context. BAPPENAS has provided a schema which is a useful framework for considering this process and this is shown in Figure 6.2. Figure 6.2 Financial Mechanism for the Implementation of Climate Change Program in Indonesia Source: Bappenas, 2008 Sources Bilateral Japan (BIC & JICA) UK (DFID) Australia (AusAID) Denmark (DANDA) Netherlands German (KfW & GIZ) Norway Canada (CIDA) Sweden (SIDA) Etc. Multilateral World bank UNDP Etc CDM: Bilateral, Multilateral Unilateral Global Financing Mechanism 1. ODA Rules and regulation -Bilateral Multilateral 2. UNFCCC Financing Mechanism - GEF - SSCF - Adaptation fund 3. Others - Strategies prioritized on Adaptation (SPA) - Resource Allocation (RAF) GOI Mechanism 1. Grant 2. Loan - Sector/Project Loan - Program Loan 3. CC (Local) Trust Fund 4. Debt for Nature Swap (DNS) and 6.5.29 The sale of a CER can provide additional cash flow for GHG mitigation projects, but it is not designed to finance projects in their entirety. It is therefore crucial that sufficient underlying financing source exists for project implementation and maintenance in the long term. There are a number of options for financing CDM and voluntary projects which are presented in Table 6.9 and Table 6.10. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 76 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report Table 6.9 Project Phase Planning phase Construction phase Financial Distribution for Registering a GHG Mitigation Project under a CDM Scheme Level of Remarks Financing by financing Crucial Cost related to Private sector project developer registering a GHG Project host: public or Internal fund mitigation project is a of private sector entities high risk investment. Financed by risk capital either from equity or grant Higher than Lender requires secure Banks or private institutions revenue streams Planning Own equity Private project Phase developer Project host Equipment supplier, assests on Lease or credit CER buyer (as upfront payment) Table 6.10 Various Models for Financing GHG Mitigation Projects Financing structure Remarks 100% equity investment by a private sector mitigation project developer Corporate financing by the project host Equipment lease financing Upfront payments Low-interest loans or debt Micro-credit (by Micro Finance Institution) Suitable scheme in rural areas. Applicable to small-scale projects involving end-users purchasing technology (solar water heaters, biodigesters, cookstoves) AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 77 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report 7 MAIN OUTPUTS, WORK PLAN AND BUDGET IMPLICATIONS 7.1 Project Office and Counterpart Arrangements 7.1.1 Packet E is based in an office in the Ministry of Environment in Kebon Nanas, East Jakarta. This strategic location which is provided through counterpart is close to the toll routes to both the south and east of Jakarta. The location makes major centres of activity such as Bandung and Bogor readily accessible. 7.1.2 The office is the coordinating centre for the project. Apart from key equipments and its own telephone and internet connection, it is staffed on a daily basis by the Deputy Team Leader and Project Coordinator and an office administrative assistant. 7.1.3 In the second year of the Project when the emphasis will shift towards the implementation of mitigation and adaptation pilots, further attention will be given to the management of day to day interactions between the consulting team and the province counterpart agency BPLHD, and also district government offices including but not restricted to the local government environment agencies. 7.2 The Work Plan and Analysis of Outputs, Tasks and Activities 7.2.1 The Analysis of Work Plan Outputs, Tasks and Activities are provided in Annex 2. The Work Plan and scheduling of Tasks and Activities is presented in Annex 3. 7.2.2 The Project document of package E requires the delivery of 6 Outputs achieved through two phases (Table 7.1). In phase 1, action plans will be prepared for mainstreaming climate change concerns into Citarum water resource management (months 1-12). In phase 2, climate change mitigation and adaptation pilot activities will be designed and implemented (months 13-30). Although Phase 1 is envisaged to be largely completed in the first 12 months, the preparation for the pilot demonstration activities, including their socialisation with stakeholders is supposed to be completed th by the end of the 10 month of implementation (November 2011). This suggests that the implementation of the phases should be understood less as a time sequence and more as a separation between data analysis and concept development and field implementation. Table 7.1 Definition of Project Outputs Outputs Description 1. Working Paper on climate change adaptation and mitigation assessments in the CRB 2. Operational Guidelines for mainstreaming climate change concerns in IWRM: (1) integration into water resources planning; and (2) climate proofing infrastructure investments 3. Working Paper: Strategic framework for enhancing water management systems in the CRB 4. CRB-specific action plans for climate change mitigation and adaptation and capacity building 5. Climate change pilot activities 6. Strategic finance planning and access to international funding 7.2.3 th The Tasks and Activities were derived in two team workshops. The first, held between the 7 and 9th of March 2011, produced a scheme which was subsequently modified on the basis of feedback collected in the Inception Workshops on the 20th and 21st of April. Tasks were identified initially by reference to the detailed TOR provided by ADB, complemented by the AECOM Technical Proposal and then further considered in terms of a logical sequence of steps needed to collect, analyse and disseminate information in the form required for each OUTPUT. The relationships between the OUTPUTS and the TASKS are shown schematically in Figure 7.1 and detailed in the following sections. Figure 7.1 AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. Relationships between the TASKS and OUTPUTS 78 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report 1. Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation Assessments (Task 1, Task 2, Task 3, Task 4) 2. Two Operational Guidelines) (Task 6, Task 7) 3. Framework for enhancing water management systems (Task 8, Task 9, Task 10) Task 12. Training on CC Mitigation and Adaptation (Task 12) 5. Climate Changes Pilots, Communication and awareness rising Tasks 15, 16, 17, & 18 Task 13. Development of CC Action Plan 4. Specific CC Action Plan and Capacity Development Developmentof of project project documents documents for 6.6. Development for externalfunding funding (Task Task 19, external 1920– and 24) 21) OUTPUT 1: Working Paper on Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation Assessments in the CRB 7.2.4 This document is of fundamental importance to everything which will follow. Four Tasks for this output have been identified which are detailed in Box 7.1; with the exception of the consultative meetings, these tasks will be largely completed by the end of month 9 (October 2011). The localised climate modelling is also expected to be delayed for 2-3 months which is expected be finished by the end of December, 2011. The most significant change to note is the proposal to push back the delivery of the final draft of the Working Paper 1 (on climate change adaptation and mitigation assessments in the CRB) to the end of April 2012. The reason for pushing back the delivery date is to allow more time to be spent on writing the document and less refining it through consultation and socialisation to be led by the Community Empowerment Specialist. As in other areas of the project this proposal will optimise the process of mainstreaming climate change concerns by giving sufficient time to explore the necessary individual and institutional behavioural and administrative changes that will underpin effective incorporation of these new ideas and challenges. The proposed timing has also been chosen to fit within the annual government work planning and budgeting cycle. Box 7.1 Tasks and Activities Involved in Producing Output 1 Task 1: Data Review and Baseline Analysis 1. Collect and review available data (Mid May2011); 2. Data warehouse (Proposal defining resources needed for developing the warehouse to be submitted to MoE and proposed to ADB through AECOM as a response to ADB’s Proposal on the database development for this package by end of May 2011. CCROM will develop and take care of the system to be handed over to IA at the end of the project); 3. Consultation with other packages and relevant stakeholders related to the issues (end of September 2011): o Spatial Plan (B2); o Climate modelling; o Infrastructure water (Package C and BBWS Citarum); o Other initiatives (BP DAS, BKSDA, Perhutani, IP/PLN, Geothermal, NGOs); o Policy review, Institution and climate change program. These will take place separately in the upper, middle and lower river tracts and their watersheds because it is expected that issues of water management will be different depending on the hydrological conditions in each. Stakeholders will include 1 city and one District government as well as well as Ministries of Home Affairs, BAPPENAS, BBWS, PJT-II, and the TKPSDA – Coordination Team for water resource management; 4. Community empowerment and communication (Ministry of Agriculture on Climate Field School, Badan Ketahanan Pangan, Dinas Pertanian, Dinas Kehutanan etc and related stakeholders in the three clusters); AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 79 October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report 5. Working reports related to the above issues (December 12, 2011). Task 2: Develop Common Understanding Among Stakeholders on Climate Change Impact on Water Management at CRB and Long Term Development 1. Developing common understanding among stakeholders about current and future climate risk, Climate Proof Infrastructure and implication on watershed management and development of long-term development plan through 3 Public Consultation Forums (termed here RTD) and one workshop (May and July, 2011): o RTD-1 for Developing common understanding among stakeholders (NGOs, Local Governments, Privates) (May 23, 2011); o RTD-2 for Current and Planning Community based initiatives for adaptation and mitigation activities (July 4, 2011); o RTD-3 for adaptation and mitigation initiatives by local governments (July 14, 2011); o Workshop 1 on ‘Climate Risk at CRB: To bring all stakeholders from the three clusters to develop potential integrated program for improving management of CRB in the context climate change (January 9, 2012); 2. Working Reports related to the point 1 of task 2 (February 16, 2012). Task 3: Assessment of Current Vulnerabilities of Human Communities to Climate Change st 1. Technical Guideline for vulnerability assessment (1 Draft – end of August 2011; Final Draft – end of September 2011); 2. Training 1 on the development of Vulnerability Assessment on Climate Change methodology (October 18-19, 2011); 3. Refining methodology for the vulnerability assessment (mid October 2011); 4. Training 2: Testing the methodology on the vulnerability assessment for local stakeholders (October 27-28, 2011); 5. Survey: Implementation of vulnerability assessment with local partners with resource from TA-ADB (November 14, 2011 – December 1, 2011); 6. Analysis of data for vulnerability assessment ( December 2, 2011 - December 22, 2011); 7. Policy Brief 1 on current vulnerability of community to climate impact (January 5, 2012); 8. Technical Report-1 on ‘Current Vulnerability Assessment at CRB (January 26, 2011 – February 28, 2012). Task 4: Assessment of Current and Future Climate Risk on Ecosystem 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Data preparation for modelling analysis (May-July 2011); Development of Methodology (January – May, 2011): o Methods for current and future climate risk assessment; o Methods for climate modelling/Climate projection Scenarios, including data requirements Methods for developing Land Use change scenarios; o Methods for hydrology simulation (model building, soil data input, climate data input, Land cover data input, reservoir regulations/operations); o Methods for defining climate proofing Infrastructure; Consultation on the methodology with other Packages A, B, C and D and relevant stakeholders through two RTD (one with package and one with related government agencies): The main objective is to develop common understanding among the packages and other stakeholders on the concept and methodology of current and future climate risk assessment and get inputs for the development of climate change scenarios, land use scenarios, climate proofing infrastructure and create synergy with other packages including expected supports (September 26, 2011 – November 16, 2011); Implementation of climate risk assessment (August 15, 2011-December 13, 2012): o Identification data gaps; o Collecting and generating data for filling the gaps; o Developing climate change and land use scenarios; Policy Brief 2 on Assessment of current and future climate risk; Technical Report-2 on ‘Assessment of current and future climate risk’ (December 30, 2011); National Workshop 1 on Current and Future Climate Risk on WRM at CRB (January 29, 2012). AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 80 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report OUTPUT 2: Operational Guidelines for Mainstreaming Climate Change Concerns in IWRM: (1) Integration into Water Resources Planning; and (2) Climate Proofing Infrastructure Investments 7.2.5 This output is concerned with the production of guidelines for the government. The first guideline is concerned with the integration of mitigation and adaptation concerns into water resources planning; the second is concerned with current and future climate-proofing investments. These two Tasks and their associated Activities are detailed in Box 7.2 and will be completed in mid 2012. Box 7.2 Tasks and Activities Involved in Producing Output 2 Task 6: Operational Guideline for Integrating Climate Change Concerns in Water Resources Planning for the CRB (November 2011 – July 2012) 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Draft operational guideline on the use of the results of climate risk assessment (based on output 1) for mainstreaming climate change concerns in water resources planning for the CRB; Consultation with local governments to refine the guideline and approach for mainstreaming climate change concerns in water resources planning for the CRB; RTD 4 on ‘Operational guideline on the use of the results of climate risk assessment for mainstreaming climate change concerns in water resources planning for the CRB; Facilitate the process and assist the local government for integrating climate change concern particularly in water resources planning (e.g. meeting with local parliament member, particularly with Commission 3); Document the process implemented by the local governments in mainstreaming climate change concerns in water resources planning for the CRB; Operational Guideline 1 on Integrating climate change concerns in water resources planning for the CRB. Task 7: Operational Guideline for Climate-Proofing Water Infrastructure Investments for the CRB (January-June 2012) 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Preparing draft of operational guideline on the use of the results of climate risk assessment (based on output 1) for developing climate-proofing water infrastructure; Consultation with DGWR, Pusair and relevant stakeholders to refine the guideline; RTD 5 on Operational guideline on climate-proofing water infrastructure; Operational guideline 2 on climate-proofing water infrastructure investment; and Working Report based on feedback from DGWR on the use of the Guideline. OUTPUT 3: Working Paper on Strategic Framework for Enhancing Water Management Systems in the CRB 7.2.6 This Output is to be accomplished through 5 tasks to be completed by the middle of July 2012 and will include the development of a communications and outreach strategy. The tasks and their associated activities are detailed in Box 7.3 Box 7.3 Tasks and Activities Involved in Producing Output 3 Task 8: Define Appropriate Institution Arrangement for Enhancing Water Management Systems in CRB (Mid of April 2012) 1. 2. 3. Develop institutional framework for improving WRM in CRB based on result of Task 1 and Task 2 (e.g. clearing house and role of Provincial and District and Municipal BLHD in coordinating activities in sub-sub catchment); Conduct RTDs 6, 7 and 8 to define appropriate institution arrangement for enhancing water management systems in CRB; Draft Technical Report 3 on Institutional arrangement for enhancing water management systems in CRB. Task 9: Develop Strategy and Key Programs for Improving Watershed Management in CRB. 1. 2. 3. RTD 9 with related stakeholders for defining broad strategy and identifying key climate change programs in the upper water-catchment (e.g. PDAM, LP3ES, Indonesian Power/LPPM IPB); RTD 10 with related stakeholders for defining broad strategy and identifying key climate change programs in the middle water-catchment; RTD 11 with related stakeholders for defining broad strategy and identifying key climate change programs in the lower water-catchment; AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 81 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report 4. Draft Technical Report 4 on strategy and key programs for adaptation and mitigation in the upper, middle and lower tracts of the water catchment. Task 10: Develop Strategic Approach for Community Empowerment and Communication Outreach (including civil servant, legislator, media and community). 1. 2. 3. 4. Conduct RTDs with stakeholders in the three cluster (joint discussion in the RTDs 9, 10 and 11) to identify strategic approach for community empowerment and communication outreach; Developing working report on strategic approach for community empowerment and public outreach; Consultation with related agencies at National, Provincial and Local Levels on approaches for implementing effective community empowerment programs and public outreach; Produce Draft of Technical Report 5 on strategic approach for community empowerment and public outreach. Task 11: Produce Working Paper 2 on the ‘Strategic Framework for Enhancing Water Management Systems in CRB’ Based on the Result of Tasks 8, 9 and 10. Task 12: Conduct Workshop 2 on ‘Strategic Framework Enhancing Water Management Systems in CRB’ for Inputs from Broader Stakeholders and Finalizing the Working Paper 2. OUTPUT 4: CRB-specific Action Plans for Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation and Capacity Building 7.2.7 This output is concerned with the development of action plans for capacity building in relation to mitigation and adaptation in response to climate change. As shown in Box 7.4, four tasks have been identified for what are proposed to be a process of facilitation by this project of individual action plans by concerned stakeholders (government and non-government). The tasks leading to the completion of this OUTPUT will take place between January 2012 and September 2012. Expertise within the Project Team will be used to develop action plan training modules drawing upon similar international experience in South East Asia which will be used in running training workshops. The object of which will be draft Action Plans appropriate to individual stakeholders within the CRB region. The project will follow up these workshops with facilitation and support and will then revise and enhance the training modules for up-scaling and replication of pilots. Box 7.4 Tasks and Activities Involved in Producing Output 4 Task 12: Conduct Training 3 on ‘Mitigation and Adaptation on Climate Change’ for local governments and other related stakeholders (January 30, 2012 – April 20, 2012) 1. 2. 3. 4. Conduct RTD 12 with MoE and BLHD to discuss training curriculum, scope of training and methods; Develop manuals and training modules on climate change mitigations and adaptation (All consultant team); Implement training 3 ‘Mitigation and Adaptation and Development of Climate Change Action Plan)’ for representatives from local government, NGOs and Private in the three clusters (upper, middle and lower water catchments); Facilitate participants from the three clusters to develop draft of climate change action plans for Enhancing Water Resource Management at CRB taking into account the results of Tasks 8, 9 and 10. Task 13. Conduct Workshop 3 on ‘Climate Change Action Plans for Enhancing Water Resource Management at CRB’ (August 2012) 1. 2. 3. Facilitate and assist BLHD to conduct coordination meetings with the local governments and other stakeholders from the three clusters to refine the climate change action plans resulted in activity 4 of Task 12; Facilitate and assist BLHD to socialize the climate change action plan to parliament members; Conduct workshop 3 on climate change action plans for enhancing water resource management at CRB ( August 2012). Task 14: Produce Working Paper 3 to Document the Process of the Development of Climate Change Action Plan in the Three CRB Regional Clusters . AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 82 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report OUTPUT 5: Climate Change Pilot Activities 7.2.8 This output is concerned with selecting, designing and delivering of two mitigation and three adaptation pilot activities. The pilot activities are among the most important activities of this project and preparatory planning has begun in the inception phase so that field implementation can commence in late March 2012. As shown in Box 7.5, because of the level of interest and the numbers of projects in both the mitigation and adaptation area that are in various stages of development, it is proposed that guidance should be sought on the selection of the five projects to be supported under this project. The process of selection design and implementation will be accompanied by a separate activity which will develop a framework for the objective selection and prioritisation of subsequent field projects that may be funded from alternative sources. Box 7.5 Tasks and Activities Involved in Producing Output 5 Task 15: Developing Criteria for Site Selection for Pilots (November 10, 2011) 1. 2. 3. Consultation with related stakeholders from the three clusters and use inputs to elaborate key criteria for site selection for pilots; RTD 13 with BLHD and related stakeholders for refining criteria for site selection for pilots; and Produce working report on key criteria for site selection. Task 16: Select Sites for Pilots (September 2011 – February 2012) 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Based on inputs gained from the RTDs 9, 10 and 11, in consultation with MoE and BPLHD Province develop list of potential sites in the upper, middle and lower water catchment for pilots; Conduct Workshop 4 on ‘Potential Climate Change Pilots at CRB by inviting organizations from the three clusters who have community-based activities related to climate change and water management and to present their initiatives; Facilitate and assist BLHD to organize process of selecting sites (e.g. call for proposal etc.) for pilots (3 for adaptations and 2 for mitigations); Facilitate and assist BLHD to do ‘Pilots Proposal Evaluation and Selection’ including site visit to potential sites for pilot; and Conduct RTD with BLHD. Task 17: Implement Pilots (End of February 2012- March 2013) 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Facilitate and assist BLHD of West Java Province, Districts and Municipal to develop indicators to be used for monitoring and evaluation of the pilots; Distribution of grants to organizations who have been selected to implement pilots; Implementation of pilots by the selected organizations; Facilitate and assist District or Municipal BLHDs to coordinate and to develop synergy of community empowerment programs from SKPD with the pilots; Conduct monitoring and evaluations; and Develop working report to document lesson learnt from the pilots. Task 18: Communication & Awareness Raising 1. 2. 3. RTD 14 with MoE and BLHD to discuss activities under TA ADB for developing communication media to create awareness of stakeholders related to CRB management taking outputs from Tasks 10 and 13; Develop communication instruments (e.g. brochures, leaflet, documenter films, talk show, field day etc) for awareness rising and for disseminating the process and lesson learnt from the pilots; and Working Report to document lesson learnt from communication & awareness rising activities. OUTPUT 6: Strategic Finance Planning and Access to International Funding 7.2.9 This Output is concerned with providing the skills necessary for government and other stakeholders to seek funding for up-scaling mitigation and adaptation projects and to identify strategic priorities for upgrading and adding water resource management infrastructure in response to the challenges of predicted climate change impacts. Five tasks have been identified to achieve this output and these are detailed in Box 7.6. They are scheduled for implementation between July 2012 and the end of May 2013. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 83 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report Box 7.6 Tasks and Activities involved in producing Output 6 Task 19: Workshop-5 on Funding Opportunities for Climate Change project 1. 2. 3. RTD 15 with MoE & BPLHD to develop agenda for the workshop; Facilitate and assist BPLHD to organize the Workshop; Conduct the workshop. Task 20: Conduct Training 4 on ‘Project Proposal Development’ 1. 2. 3. Training curriculum & modules developed; RTD 16 with KLH & BPLHD to discuss potential participants for the training (the potential participants are organizations/institutions that have potential projects and this can be taken from the Workshop-4); Conduct the Training 4 by BPLHD. Task 21: Develop Project Proposals for External Funding 1. 2. Facilitate and assist the stakeholders interested in developing project proposals to further develop their concept; Assist MOE & BPLHD in facilitating the stakeholder to get external funding for the project proposals. Task 22: Produce Working Report to Document the Process Task 23: Final National Workshop Knowledge Products and Project Deliverables 7.2.10 A list of knowledge products and project deliverables will be produced and disseminated to the government and target stakeholders. Table 7.2 shows the list of knowledge products and the estimated completion date. Table 7.2 List of Knowledge Products / Project Deliverables and Estimated Completion Date Reports / Guidelines Estimated Completion Date Working Report 1: Data Review and Baseline Analysis 12/12/2011 Working Report 2: Developing common understanding among stakeholders 2/16/2012 Training 1 Report: Development of technical guideline for vulnerability assessment Technical Guideline 1: methodology for the vulnerability assessment 10/20/2011 10/28/2011 10/27/2011 Training 2 Report: Testing the methodology on the vulnerability assessment for local stakeholders 10/31/201111/8/2011 Policy Brief 1 on current vulnerability of community to climate impact 1/5/2012 Technical Report-1 on ‘Current Vulnerability Assessment at CRB' Working Report 3: Assessment of current and future climate risk on ecosystem 1/26/2012 2/29/2012 11/16/2011 Policy Brief 2 on Assessment of current and future climate risk 11/13/2011 Technical Report-2 on Assessment of current and future climate risk 12/30/2011 National Workshop 1 Report on Current and Future Climate Risk on WRM at CRB 1/29/2012 Working Paper 1 on Working Paper on CCAM Assessments in CRB 4/22/2012 Working Report 4 on Operational guideline on the use of the results of climate risk assessment 4/22/2012 AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 84 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report Working Report 5 for Integrating climate change concerns in water resources planning for the CRB Operational Guideline 1 on Integrating climate change concerns 6/18/2012 Operational Guideline 2 on climate-proofing water infrastructure investment 5/4/2012 Working Report 6 on Defining appropriate institution arrangement for enhancing water management systems in CRB Technical Report 3 on Institutional arrangement 3/19/2012 Working Report 7 on Developing Strategy and key programs for improving watershed management in CRB Technical Report 4 on Strategy and key programs for adaptation and mitigation in three cluster U/S, M/S, D/S Working Report 8 on strategic approach for community empowerment and public outreach Technical Report 5 on strategic approach for community empowerment and public outreach Working Paper 2 on the strategic framework 6/8/2012 Working paper 3 on training curriculum, scope of training and methods 2/17/2012 Training 3 manuals and training modules on climate change mitigations and adaptation 8/15/2011 Training 3 Report on Mitigation and Adaptation and Development of Climate Change Action Plan for representatives from local government, NGOs and Private in the three clusters (upper, middle and lower water catchments) National workshop 3 on climate change action plans for enhancing water resource management at CRB 3/12/2012 Working Paper 4 to document the process of the development of CC action plan in the 3 clusters Working Report 9 on key criteria for site selection 9/10/2012 Workshop 4 Report on list of potential sites in the U/S, M/S, D/S for pilots 12/19/2011 Working Report 10 on Proposal Evaluation and Selection including site visit to potential sites for pilot Working Report 11 to document lesson learnt from the pilots 2/20/2012 Working Report 12 to document lesson learnt from communication & awareness rising activities Working Report 13 on funding opportunities for CC project 2/18/2013 Workshop 5 Report on funding opportunities for CC project 1/21/2013 Training 4 Manual on ‘Project Proposal Development’ 2/4/2013 Training 4 Report on ‘Project Proposal Development’ 3/11/2013 Project Documents on project proposals for external funding 3/25/2013 Working Report 14 for accessing international supports 4/15/2013 Mid-Term National Workshop Report 4/22/2012 Final National Workshop 5 Report 5/7/2013 AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 7/2/2012 4/16/2012 7/6/2012 6/4/2012 6/25/2012 6/28/2012 8/31/2012 11/7/2011 2/11/2013 2/25/2013 85 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report 7.3 Specialist Staff and Allocation of Tasks 7.3.1 The Project is to be implemented by a consulting team which comprises 4 international specialists and 6 national specialists, which a time input of 120 person months. With the exception of the Deputy Team Leader and Water Specialist, all the staff will fulfil their roles on a fractional basis ranging from as little as 5 months to 15 months out of the 30 months project period. Four of the team members, including the Team Leader and Climate Change Specialist, are international appointments while the remainder has been recruited from West Java. Five of the national team members are from the Centre for Climate Risk Management at the Bogor Agriculture University (CCROM-IPB), while one of them has been seconded from the Indonesian Government Technology Research Organisation (BPPT). Despite the varying lengths of time input requirements of the individual team member, half of them are in daily contact with the University, adding a strong dimension to the team. 7.3.2 Time management, staff coordination and communication are critical to successful implementation of the project. Since only the Deputy Team Leader is full time, the organizational structure of the project also places a strong requirement on government counterpart staff to be pro-actively involved in the implementation of the Project Tasks. Since the contribution of GOI to the project budget is limited to in kind contributions, attention needs to be given to how the time allocations of counterpart staff to the project can be managed. The situation and level of support being provided by the Ministry of Environment is appreciated, however the allocation of particular counterpart staff from other national partner agencies, the province and from district will require a process of joint work planning and budget allocation from non-project sources if the level of consistent commitment and support are to be achieved. 7.3.3 A solution to what is a long standing issue of relationship between government routine and project activities will need to be addressed as a part of the process of achieving the mainstreaming of climate change issues. 7.3.4 The percentages of time allocation by each specialist for each project outputs are provided in Table 7.3. Table 7.3 OUTPUT Percentage of Time Each Specialist is Allocating to Project Outputs The Different Coloured Columns Represent Where There Are Particular Areas of Linkage Between the Specialist to Form Loose Sub Teams 12 15 30 8 5 12 5 9 12 12 JD RR YS TCT JP RB SI MA JL LK Project Management and Reporting 1. Working Paper on Climate Change 2. Operational Guidelines Integrating mitigation and adaptation concerns in water resources planning and climate-proofing infrastructure 3 Strategic Framework document 4 CRB Specific Action Plans for mitigation, adaptation and capacity building 5 Pilot Activities 6. Strategic finance planning and access to international funding 49 7 7 8 0 0 25 20 23 8 20 33 4 25 12 25 20 11 5 90 5 5 12 10 14 13 10 9 11 24 5 2 0 6 11 6 12 7 0 14 11 6 0 0 4 6 8 22 8 14 8 13 72 14 12 3 14 6 23 22 19 8 0 0 39 18 31 2 20 14 Note: JD = Dr James Davie (TL and Climate Change Specialist; YS = Dr Yuli Suharnoto (Deputy TL and Water Resources Adaptation Specialist); TCT = Tan Ching Tiong (Water Resources and Climate Change Adaptation Specialist); JP = Prof. Juan Pulhin (Agriculture and Climate Change Adaptation Specialist); RB = Prof. Rizaldi Boer (Agriculture and Climate Change Adaptation Specialist); SI = Dr AKM Saiful Islam (Climate Change Modelling Specialist); MA = Dr Muhammad Ardiansyah (GIS and Multimedia Specialist); RR = Rohmadi Ridlo (CDM and Waste Management Specialist); LK = Dr Lala Kalopaking (National Institutional Strengthening Specialist); JL = Dr Djuara Lubis (Community Empowerment Specialist). 7.3.5 The Project staff profiles have been chosen so that in the key areas of agriculture/ rural land use/ forestry; water resources management; adaptation pilots, CDM related mitigation pilots and climate modelling would consist of coupling of international and national expertise. For example: Agriculture and Rural Adaptation pilots: Prof. Juan Pulhin and Prof. Rizaldi Boer AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 86 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report Water Resources management and Rural Adaptation pilots: Tan Ching Tiong and Dr Yuli Suharnoto CDM and mitigation pilots: Rohmadi Ridlo and Team Leader Climate modelling: Dr Saiful Islam and CCROM resources 7.3.6 The key area of institutional capacity and needs assessments is dealt with by Dr Lala Kalopaking supported by Dr Suharnoto, Dr Davie and Prof. Boer. 7.3.7 Dr Muhammad Ardiansyah provides a broad range of data analysis and management supports in relation to climate change issues addressed by the CCROM and the project. Besides, his experience in multi-media would link him to the community outreach and empowerment activities working closely with the Community Empowerment Specialist. The contribution from the Community Empowerment Specialist will underpin the approach taken by all the other specialists recognising that data collection, analysis and packaging needs to be undertaken with the recipients among government and civil society clearly in mind. 7.3.8 Accordingly, there are several Outputs that fall clearly within major areas of interest of particular specialists who will assume lead investigator status for these activities. While Output 1 will have strong inputs from all team members, the paper will revolve around the technical inputs of the water and agriculture specialists and the climate modeller. Output 2 will be led by the institutional specialist and the international water specialist. Output 4, concerned with Action Planning, will have support from across the team but will appropriately be led by the Community Empowerment Specialist. Mitigation pilots will be led by the CDM Specialist with strong support from the multi-media and community empowerment specialists, while the adaptation pilots will be led by the water and agriculture sub-teams under the coordination of the national agriculture specialist. 7.3.9 In Table 7.4, the allocation of staff resources has been re-examined in terms of actual person days (standardising the differences in the lengths of the contracts). This table indicates where resources will be spent both individually and as a team. The analysis shows the fundamental importance of the initial working paper and the importance of developing a comprehensive understanding of the climate change issues that will bear down on the CRB as the basis for subsequent mitigation and adaptation action. The analysis reinforces the relative importance of the pilot activities in terms of level of effort and also the importance of developing action plans through which government and community responses to climate change expectation can be coordinated. Because a number of these activities will play out over many months, the two analyses become quite critical in developing a staff resource management plan for the implementation of the project and also as a basis for the management of the project budget. Table 7.4 OUTPUT Person Days Allocated to Achieve Each Output JD YS TCT JP RB SI Project Management and Reporting Working Paper on Climate Change Operational Guidelines MA RR LK JL Person Days 141 180 15 5 72 6 11 29 26 40 525 20 144 38 30 58 108 26 0 32 37 493 20 166 63 14 32 6 21 0 69 29 420 14 6 79 43 23 13 0 17 32 17 0 0 9 13 0 22 23 40 23 64 203 235 46 37 86 22 27 12 28 26 55 23 0 0 84 45 260 50 57 40 89 6 732 261 Integrating mitigation and adaptation concerns in water Resources planning and climate-proofing infrastructure Strategic Framework document CRB Specific Action Plans for mitigation, adaptation and capacity building Pilot Activities Strategic finance planning and access to international funding AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 87 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report 7.4 Budget Estimations 7.4.1 The details of the estimated budget for the implementation phase of the Project are presented in Annex 4. The figures presented in the table are in USD X 1000. 7.4.2 The total estimated for the post Inception Phase is USD 1,290,000. Annex 4 shows the breakdown of the budget plan. This has been adjusted to include the budget spent since commencement of the Project on 25 January 2011. 7.4.3 The estimate of budget has been developed through a strong focus on participatory methods. Based on a series of consultations and discussions with ADB, it is recommended to keep the budget allocation as suggested in the TOR. 7.4.4 Table 7.5 shows the estimated budget allocation for each workshops/trainings/RTDs as well as the objectives, training materials, training dates and target stakeholders. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 88 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report Table 7.5 Objectives, Training Materials, Training Dates, Target Stakeholders and Budget Allocations for Workshops/Trainings/RTDs Relevant Type of Event Outcomes Dates Target Stakeholders Activity Estimated Outputs Leader Budget (USD) 5/23/2011 to Rizaldi Boer 12,000 At completion of 3 RTDS participants will have: 1 RTD-1 for Representatives of 7/14/2011 (including Citarum stakeholders and local three baseline i. Developed a conceptual framework related to stakeholders communities of upper, studies, climate change; mid and lower RTD-2 Current 9,000) catchments ii. Identified 6 key strategic issues relevant to and Planning climate change; Community based Government Bodies initiatives for iii. Identified a process for the input of these NGOs adaptation and strategic issues into project design and mitigation activities Farmer groups implementation; and RTD-3 adaptation Representatives of local iv. Identified with project coordinator a process for and mitigation governments in the CRB feedback to stakeholder groups on impact to initiatives by local project design and implementation. governments 1 Workshop 1 Climate risk at CRB By completion of Workshop 1 participants will have: 1/9/2011 i. Developed a conceptual framework related to climate risk; ii. Identified 10 climate risk factors in the context of climate change; Representatives of stakeholders and local communities of the whole CRB Yuli Suharnoto 3,000 Juan Pulhin 20,000 (including for equipments 5,000) Representatives of stakeholders and local communities of upper, mid and lower catchment iii. Identified the key impacts of these risk factors specifically as they relate to the CRB; and iv. Identified a process for feedback to stakeholders on the impact of these risk assessments on future project design and implementation. 1 Training 1: Development of methodology for assessing current vulnerabilities of human communities to AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. By completion of Training 1 participants will have: i. An agreed conceptual framework directly related to the understanding of climate vulnerability, mitigation and adaptation strategies; 10/18/2011 to 10/19/2011 ii. Contributed to the development of the methodology which can be applied to a number 89 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx Local government extension workers Representative of farmer groups from West Java Province and selected kabupaten/kota governments that are October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report climate change potential locations for pilots of strategic locations for assessing current vulnerabilities of human communities; and iii. Strengthened capacity and heightened awareness in conducting vulnerability assessments at the local level. 1 1 Training 2: Testing the methodology on the vulnerability assessment for local stakeholders By completion of Training 2 participants will have: Consultation on the methodology with Packages A to D After the internal project consultation, the consultant team will achieve: i. Developed a range of skills in conducting vulnerability assessments at the local level; and 10/27/2011 to 10/28/2011 ii. With project staff contributed to the pre-testing of a specific methodology and associated tools which potentially can be applied to a range of pilot locations in the CRB. Local government extension workers Juan Pulhin 15,000 Yuli Suharnoto 3,250 Representative of farmer groups from West Java Province and selected kabupaten/kota governments that are potential locations for pilots 9/26/2011 to 11/16/2011 Consultant team of Package A to Package D 1/9/2012 Representatives of local governments in the CRB Team Leader i. A coordinated methodology across all core packages to climate risk assessment; and ii. A heightened appreciation of the advantages provided by a consistent approach to risk assessment in terms of relevancy, effectiveness and cross program coordination. 1 National Workshop 1: Current and future climate risk on WRM in CRB At completion of workshop key, key outcomes will be: i. A strategic assessment of current climate risks to WRM in the CRB (with particular emphasis on sectors represented); ii. A strategic framework for the mapping of future climate risks in the CRB; Team Leader 6,500 Representatives of BAPPENAS Representative of farmer groups from West Java Province iii. An agreed risk assessment of the scope and magnitude of these current and future risks in the CRB and levels of severity in terms of impact AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 90 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report on WRM; iv. A heightened awareness for all sectors to work with a focus on co ordination across all sectors; and v. A process by which outcomes of national workshop are shared across other packages to ensure maximum project coordination. 2 Consultation with local governments to refine the guideline and approach for mainstreaming climate change in WRM At workshop completion there will be: i. A heightened awareness of the advantages of mainstreaming climate change in IWRM; 12/12/2011 to 12/27/2011 Agency heads and key staff in local government throughout the CRB Rizaldi Boer 1/2/2012 Representatives of DGWR Lala Kolopaking 1,000 Yuli Suharnto 7,500 6,000 Lala Kolopaking ii. Identification of climate change risks in CRB if mainstreaming is not maximised; iii. An agreed approach to mainstreaming climate change concerns into IWRM policies; and iv. Identification of potential barriers to mainstreaming with possible solutions to minimise these barriers. 2 2 RTD 4 working group to develop operational guideline to integrate climate change concerns into IWRM By completion of RTD 4 there will be: Consultation with DGWR, Pus air and relevant stakeholders to refine the guideline By the end of the Workshop, all participants will have: AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. i. A framework for the documentation of an operational guideline on the use of climate risk assessments as a process to better mainstream CC into WRM; and Representatives of local governments in the CRB ii. Identification of any potential barriers to the implementation of the operational guideline and associated solutions. 1/27/2012 to 2/9/2012 Representatives of DGWR i. Agreed on a documented coordinated operational guideline; Representatives of Pus Air ii. Identified issues related to the mainstreaming of Representatives of local 91 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx Tan Ching Tiong October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report governments in the CRB this operational guideline taking into account of local government perspective; and iii. Developed a process by which the operational guideline can be periodically reviewed for its relevancy and effectiveness. 2 RTD 5 on Operational guideline on climate-proofing water infrastructure By completion of RTD 5, the key outcomes will be: 2/12/2012 i. A framework for the documentation of operational guidelines for climate- proofing water infrastructure; and ii. A process to periodically review these guidelines for relevancy and effectiveness. 3 Conduct RTDs (about three RTDs) to define appropriate institution arrangement At completion of RTDs there will be: i. A documented framework to ensure a consistent and co-ordinate relationship between key institutions to maximise the impact of climate change risk assessments; and Representatives of DGWR Tan Ching Tiong Representatives of provincial and local governments in the CRB Yuli Suharnoto 2,000 Representatives of NGOs 3/5/2012 to 3/30/2012 Representatives of local governments in the CRB 3/26/2012 to 4/16/2012 Representatives of local governments in the upper catchment Lala Kolopaking 12,000 Rohmadi Ridlo 4,000 (including baseline study 3,000) Representatives of DGWR ii. A process to periodically review the effectiveness of these arrangements and the identification of potential barriers. 3 RTD 9 with related stakeholders for defining strategy and identifying key climate change programs in the upstream region By completion of RTD 9,10 and 11 there will be: i. Documentation that identifies all major CC initiatives in the upper catchment; Rizaldi Boer Representatives of local communities of upper catchment ii. Identification of key project strategies that will both complement and enhance existing initiatives; and iii. A review process to ensure the ongoing complementation of both existing and new project initiatives. 3 RTD 10 with related stakeholders for defining broad AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. As above 4/12/2012 to 4/27/2012 92 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx Representatives of local governments in the mid Rohmadi Ridlo Rizaldi Boer 4,000 (including baseline study October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report strategy and identifying key climate change programs in the Mid stream region 3 3 3,000) catchment Representatives of local communities of mid catchment RTD 11 with related stakeholders for defining broad strategy and identifying key climate change programs in the D/S As above Conduct RTDs with stakeholders in the three cluster (joint discussion in the RTDs 9, 10 and 11) By completion of RTDS there will be: 4/19/2012 to 5/4/2012 Representatives of local governments in the lower catchment Rohmadi Ridlo Rizaldi Boer Representatives of local communities of lower catchment i. A documented review of outcomes from previous RTDS focused on all catchment areas; and 6/11/2012 to 6/29/2012 Representatives of local governments in the CRB 7/16/2012 Representatives of national, provincial and local government 4,000 (including baseline study 3,000) Siti Amanah 9,000 Team Leader 6,500 Rizaldi Boer 1,000 Representatives of local communities of the CRB ii. A maximise the complement of new initiatives and existing initiatives to ensure relevancy to local communities in the CRB. 3 4 National Workshop 2 to focus on a strategic framework document on climate change and water resource management in CRB By completion of Workshop there will be: Conduct RTD 12 with MoE and BPLHD to discuss training curriculum, scope of training and methods At completion of RTD there will be : AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. i. A documented road map outlining a path to enhanced climate and water resource management in the CRB; and Representatives of local governments in the CRB ii. A joint process committed to the ongoing review and implementation of this road map established as part of outcomes of National Workshop1. Representatives of NGOs 1/30/2012 Representatives of MoE and BPLHD i. Identification of training model; ii. Documented framework for the delivery of climate change training; and 93 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report iii. Identification of numbers and locations for training and associated budget. 4 National Workshop By completion of Workshop participants will have: 3 on climate change action i. Reviewed all Climate Change action plans; plans for enhancing ii. Provided feedbacks on possible changes to water resource maximise effectiveness; management at CRB iii. Provided feedback to ensure action plans are consistent with National Policies and Programs; and 7/30/2012 Representatives of national, provincial and local government Rizaldi Boer 6,500 Rohmadi Ridlo 6,000 (including baseline survey 5,000) Rizaldi Boer 3,000 Representatives of NGOs Representatives of private sector iv. Identified a strategic process by which action plans can be reviewed periodically to ensure consistency at the national level. 5 RTD 13 with BPLHD and related stakeholders for refining criteria for site selection for pilots At completion of RTD there will be: 11/1/2011 i. A set of selection criteria for identification of potential pilot locations; and Representatives of Ministry of Health Representatives of Ministry of Industry ii. A review process to ensure that selection criteria reflect strategic project outcomes. Representatives of Ministry of Agriculture Representatives of NGOs Representatives of BPLHD 5 Workshop with MoE and BPLHD on site selection for pilot activities At completion of Workshop participants will have identified: 12/19/2011 Representatives of MoE and BPLHD Rohmadi Ridlo i. Potential sites for pilot projects; and ii. Sites to reflect coordination with other existing pilot projects. 5 Conduct RTD with BPLHD on selection of pilots AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. At completion of RTD, the key achievements are: 1/30/2012 i. Final program of pilot projects and associated 94 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx Representatives of BPLHD Rizaldi Boer 1,000 Yuli Suharnoto October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report activities; and Rohmadi Ridlo ii. The selected pilot projects could be coordinated with other project packages. 5 RTD 14 with MoE and BPLHD on communication strategy By end of RTD participants will have: 9/25/2012 to 10/26/2012 Representatives of MoE and BPLHD Community Empowerment Specialist (TBA) 1,000 i. Finalised a Program of Communication Strategy with specific focus on media liaison; and ii. Finalised an implementation plan to maximise effectiveness of Communication Strategy. 6 RTD 15 with MoE & BPLHD to develop agenda for the training workshop At the completion of this meeting there will be a cohesive agenda in place and agreed for the arrangement of proposal training. 7/2/2012 to 12/21/2012 Representatives of MoE and BPLHD Team Leader 3,000 6 RTD 16 with MoE & BPLHD to discuss potential participants for the training At the completion of the workshop, there will be an agreed list of participants and the final details of location and other logistic arrangements. 12/24/2012 to 2/8/2013 Representatives of MoE and BPLHD Team Leader 4,000 (including baseline study 3,000) 6 Training 4 on development of project proposal The training will be conducted in an active learning approach. 1/15/2013 to 2/22/2013 Representatives of national, provincial and local government Team Leader 30,000 Mid Term National Workshop Dissemination and discussion of Mid-Term outcomes of the project and to discuss barriers and constraints. 6/18/2012 Representatives of national, provincial and local government (e.g. Representatives of MoE and BPLHD) Task 23: Final National Workshop Dissemination and discussion of final outcomes of the project. 4/15/2013 Representatives of national, provincial and local government AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. At the completion of the training, the participants will have successfully completed the writing a proposal in Indonesian to seek for external funding. 95 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx 6,500 Team Leader 10,000 October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report 7.5 Implementation Challenges and Recommendations Climate Risk Assessment 7.5.1 Climate risk assessment is one of the key analyses that will provide the basis for developing climate change mitigation and adaptation strategies, action plans and climate proof infrastructures in the CRB in this project. An important input to risk assessment is the collection of comprehensive climate historical data and climate change scenarios. The climate risk assessment at River Basin level has a strong dependence on observed meteorological data (rainfall, maximum and minimum temperature, evaporation, and solar radiation) on monthly and daily basis over the last 30 years and high resolution climate projections data. Collection of this data is a significant challenge and a constraint on the project to achieve its modelling objectives. Daily historical climate data are available at only for very few stations resulting in many data gaps. 7.5.2 To address this problem, the following approaches are proposed: Based on the patterns evident in those stations that have daily climate data, a stochastic model such as SDSM or Artificial Neural Networks will be used to generate daily data from the monthly means and this will be utilised in the existing available models. To address the significant gaps in the historical record, data such as CRU will be re-analysed to construct historical monthly data based on the available observation data from the 1950s to present time; and To maximise the achievable resolution of the climate change scenarios, statistical downscaling will be used. This approach is computationally inexpensive and appropriately in terms of analytical timeframes. The use of GCM over the CRB area will be maximised for the A2, A1B and B1 emission scenarios from 2000-2070. The regional climate model (RegCM3) will also be used to provide comparative predictions for the A1B scenario, as it is open source and readily available. The A1B scenario is the most balance scenario in terms of energy use (fossil fuel and other alternatives) which is the most appropriate. Financial Support of Pilot Activities 7.5.3 During the consultation meetings held through the Inception Phase, there has been a consistent recommendation from various stakeholders including local government officers, BPLHD, NGO, Academics Institutions , etc that the pilots should be considered and designed for programs but not as individual projects to enhance their sustainability and effectiveness. For this to occur there will need to be a funding formula which guarantees the continuation of the program beyond the usually shorter term project funding formula. A recurrent budget is required which implies the incorporation of these activities into the routine annual budgets of the implementing agencies. This may be challenging. Experience has shown that annual recurrent funds sourced through the national Government Budget (APBN) and local government (APBD) have been of limited effectiveness because they tend not to sustain activity in one program or location. Special funding through government earmarking (which may require new budget allocation protocols for implementation in local government), or external sources such as targeted environmental service payments, block grants such as PNPM for supporting village development, hybrid micro financing for supporting organic farming actions will need to be further explored. Whichever options are shown, this will need to be managed or at least coordinated at the province level under a lead agency which is yet to be identified. National Government engagement and approval will be essential in order to legalise the funding mechanisms and this engagement will need to be managed through the BAPPENAS with the support and in the context of the National Roadmap. Project Office Arrangement 7.5.4 A project office for the first phase – year 1 - of the project has been established in the Ministry of Environment. According to the Terms of Reference of the project and the expectation of the government partners and ADB, the project will shift its operational base for the second and third year to Bandung at an office to be provided by the Province Environmental Agency (BLHD). This arrangement is consistent with the expected shift in activities from more conceptual approaches to a field based activity where close working relationships will need to be maintained with provincial and local government agencies and civil society stakeholders. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 96 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report 7.5.5 This is recommended that advance of this arrangement could be reconsidered in view of the fact that a number of field based activities have been moved forward in the proposed work schedule where field work and feedback from local government is being sought to feed the development of the conceptual assessments that constitute Tasks 1, 2 and 3. This is also considered that a longer standing and closer physical working relationship with the local governments in the CRB will have value in facilitating the mainstreaming of climate change considerations. Furthermore the geographic focus of most of the national consultants reside in Bogor, and the fact that the other international consultants are located in countries in the broader SE Asian region mean that there should be little immediate difference in access to resources from a base in Jakarta or a base in Bandung. A small secretariat office could be retained in the MoE in Jakarta for liaison purpose. 7.5.6 This approach would necessitate the removal of a DTL to Bandung where he would maintain the office and conduct the necessary coordination of project activities closer to the provincial and local government partners and other organisations key to the successful achievement or the Project outcomes. 7.5.7 The decision carries some budgetary implications which will need to be negotiated as potential amendments to the contract with AECOM but will result in other cost savings and a much closer and focused working relationship with government at all levels. This proposed arrangement of office will be further discussed with the representatives of ADB, MoE and BLHD. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 97 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 Annexes Annex 1 Reference TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report – Annex 1 REFERENCE Adger W. N., I. Lorenzoni, and K. O’Brien. (2009). “Adaptation now”, in Adapting to Climate Change, Adger W. N., Lorenzoni I and O’Brien K. (eds), 1-22, Cambridge, UK. Adger, W.N., S. Agrawala, M.M.Q. Mirza, C. Conde, K. O’Brien, J. Pulhin, R. Pulwarty, B. Smit and K. Takahashi. (2007). “Assessment of adaptation practices, options, constraints and capacity”. Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. 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The use of Climatic Data Generator to cope with Daily Climatic Data Scarcity in Simulation Studies. In Proceedings of the 4th International Crop Science Congress Brisbane, Australia, 26 Sep – 1 Oct 2004, http://www.cropscience.org.au/icsc2004/poster/2/6/index.htm#TopOfP. Boer, R., Upik Rosalina Wasrin, Hendri, Bambang D.Dasanto, Willy Makundi, Julius Hero, Perdinan, M.Ridwan and NurMasripatin. (2006 ) assessment of carbon leakage in multi carbon sink projects:case study at jambi province,Indonesia. Accepted for publication at the Mitigation and Adaptation Strategy for Global Change. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 1 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory Package E Final Inception Report – Annex 1 Boer, R., B.D. Dasanto, P. Rakiso, & D. Martinus. (2010). Hydrologic Balance of Citarum Watershed Under Current and Future Climate. Published in “Climate Change and the Sustainable Management of Water Resources", http://www.klima2010.net/. D'Arrigo, R., Abram, N., Ummenhofer, C., Palmer, J., Mudelsee, M. (2010). Reconstructed streamflow for Citarum river, Java, Indonesia: Linkages to tropical climate dynamics, Climate Dynamics. doi:10.1007/s00382-009-0717-2. Departemen Kehutanan (2009). Rencana Pengelolaan DAS Citarum Terpadu: Laporan Utama. Buku 1, Departemen Kehutanan, Jakarta. Fontaine, T. A., J. F. Klassen, T. S. Cruickshank and R. H. Hotchkiss (2001). Hydrological response to climate change in the Black Hills of South Dakota, USA. Hydrological Sciences-Journal, February 2001. Gassman, P. W., M. R. Reyes, C. H. Green, J. G. Arnold. (2007).The Soil And Water Assessment Tool:Historical Development, Applications,And Future Research Directions. Transactions of the ASABE. Vol. 50(4): 1211-1250 2007. Giorgi, F., Marinucci, M.R., Bates, G.T. 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(2010) Multi-model applications to the assessment of the climate change impacts on floods, presentation at the 7th International Coordination Group (ICG) Meeting GEOSS Asian Water Cycle Initiative (AWCI). Las, I., Boer, R., H. Syahbudin, I. Las. et al. (1999). Analisis peluang penyimpangan iklim dan ketersediaan air pada wilayah pengembangan IP Padi 300 (Probability analysis of climate extreme in major rice growing areas). Pusat Penelitian Tanah dan Agroklimat. Laporan Proyek ARMP-II, Badan Penelitian dan Pengembangan Pertanian. Bogor, 155p. Lasco, R.D., and R. Boer. (2006). An Integrated Assessment of Climate Change Impacts, Adaptations and Vulnerability in Watershed Areas and Communities in Southeast Asia. A Final Report Submitted to Assessments of Impacts and Adaptations to Climate Change (AIACC), Project No. AS 21. Published by The International START Secretariat 2000 Florida Avenue, NW, Washington, DC 20009 USA. www.start.org. Leary, N., J. Adjuwon, V. Barros, P. Batima, B. Biagini, I. Burton, S. Chinvanno, R. Cruz, D. Dabi, A. Comarmond, B. Dougherty, P. Dube, A. Githeko, A. Hadid, M. Hellmuth, R. Kangawawe, J. Kulkarni , M. Kumar, R. Lasco, M. Mataki, M. Edany, M. Mohsen, A. Nagy, B. Osama-Elasha, E. Sanjak, R. Seiler, M. Taylor, M. Travasso, G. Maltitz, S. Wandiga, and M. Webbe. (2008). “A stitch in time: General lessons from specific cases”, in Climate Change and Adaptation, Leary N., Adejuwwon J., Barroos V., Burton I., Kulkarni J and Lasco R. (editors), 1-27, Earthscan, UK. MoE. (2007). Indonesia Country Report: Climate Variability and Climate Change, and their Implication. Ministry of Environment, Republic of Indonesia, Jakarta. Boer R, Martinus D, Faqih A, Dasanto B (2004) Impact of land use and climate changes on streamflow at Citarum watershed. Proceedings of the 2nd AIACC regional workshop for Asia and the Pacific, 2–5 November 2004, Traders Hotel, 3001 Roxas Blvd., Pasay City, Manila, Philippines. AECOM Asia Co. 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Ltd. 3 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 Annex 2 Analysis of Work Plan Outputs, Tasks and Activities TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report – Annex 2 ANNEX 2: ANALYSIS OF WORK PLAN OUTPUTS, TASKS AND ACTIVITIES Output 1: Working Paper 1 on Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation Assessments in CRB Task 1: Data Review and Baseline Analysis 1. Collect and review available data (March 21 – September 27, 2011) 2. Consultation with other packages and relevant stakeholders related to the issues (end of September 2011): a. b. c. d. e. Spatial Plan (B2); Climate modelling; Infrastructure water (Package C and BBWS Citarum); Other initiatives (BP DAS, BKSDA, Perhutani, IP/PLN, Geothermal, NGOs); Policy review, institution and climate change program. These will take place separately in the upper, middle and lower river tracts and their watersheds because it is expected that issues of water management will be different depending on the hydrological conditions in each. Stakeholders will include 1 city and one District government as well as well as Ministries of Home Affairs, BAPPENAS, BBWS, PJT-II, and the TKPSDA – Coordination Team for water resource management; f. Community empowerment and communication (Ministry of Agriculture on Climate Field School, Badan Ketahanan Pangan,Dinas Pertanian, Dinas Kehutanan etc. and related stakeholders in the three clusters). 3. Working reports related to the above issues (Mid December 2011). Task 2: Develop Common Understanding among Stakeholders on Climate Change Impact on Water Management at CRB and Long Term Development 1. Developing common understanding among stakeholders about current and future climate risk, Climate Proof Infrastructure and implication on watershed management and development of long-term development plan) through 3 RTDs and one workshop (May and July, 2011): a. b. c. d. RTD-1 for Developing common understanding among stakeholders (NGOs, Local Governments, Privates) (May 23, 2011); RTD-2 for Current and Planning Community based initiatives for adaptation and mitigation activities (July 4, 2011); RTD-3 for adaptation and mitigation initiatives by local governments (July 14, 2011); Workshop 1 on ‘Climate Risk at CRB’: To bring all stakeholders from the three clusters to develop potential integrated program for improving management of CRB in the context climate change. (January 9, 2012); 2. Working Reports related to the point 1 of task 2. Task 3: Assessment of Current Vulnerabilities of Human Communities to Climate Change st 1. Technical Guideline for vulnerability assessment (1 Draft – end of August 2011; Final Draft – end of September 2011); 2. Training 1 on the development of Vulnerability Assessment on Climate Change methodology’: (October 18-19,2011); 3. Refining 2011); methodology for the vulnerability assessment (JP, LK, JPL and RB) (mid October 4. Training 2: Testing the methodology on the vulnerability assessment for local stakeholders (October 27-28, 2011); 5. Survey: Implementation of vulnerability assessment with local partners with resource from TA-ADB (November 14, 2011 – December 1, 2011); 6. Analysis of data for vulnerability assessment (December 2, 2011 – December 22, 2011); 7. Policy Brief 1 on current vulnerability of community to climate impact; 8. Technical Report-1 on ‘Current Vulnerability Assessment at CRB’. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 1 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report – Annex 2 Task 4: Assessment of Current and Future Climate Risk on Ecosystem 1. Data preparation for modeling analysis (May-July 2011) 2. Development of Methodology (January – May 2011): a. Methods for current and future climate risk assessment; b. Methods for climate modeling/Climate projection Scenarios, including data requirements (end of May); c. Methods for developing Land Use change scenarios; d. Methods for hydrology simulation (model building, soil data input, climate data input, Land cover data input, reservoir regulations/operations); e. Methods for defining climate proofing Infrastructure. 3. Consultation on the methodology with other Packages A, B, C and D and relevant stakeholders through two RTD (one with package and one with related government agencies): Main objective is to develop common understanding among the packages and other stakeholders on the concept and methodology of current and future climate risk assessment and get inputs for the development of climate change scenarios, land use scenarios, climate proofing infrastructure and create synergy with other packages including expected supports (September 26 – November 16, 2011); 4. Implementation of climate risk assessment (August 15, 2011-December 13, 2012): a. Identification data gaps; b. Collecting and generating data for filling the gaps; c. Developing climate change and land use scenarios. 5. Policy Brief 2 on Assessment of current and future climate risk; 6. Technical Report-2 on ‘Assessment of current and future climate risk’ (December 30, 2011); 7. National Workshop 1 on Current and Future Climate Risk on WRM at CRB (January 29, 2012). Task 5: Working Paper on Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation Assessments in CRB (synthesis of working reports and technical reports March 12 - April 6, 2012) Output 2: Two Operational Guidelines for Mainstreaming Climate Change Concerns in the IWRM Task 6: Operational Guideline for Integrating Climate Change Concerns in Water Resources Planning for the CRB (November 2011 – July 2012) 1. Draft operational guideline on the use of the results of climate risk assessment (based on output 1) for mainstreaming climate change concerns in water resources planning for the CRB; 2. Consultation with local governments to refine the guideline and approach for mainstreaming climate change concerns in water resources planning for the CRB; 3. RTD 4 on ‘Operational guideline on the use of the results of climate risk assessment for mainstreaming climate change concerns in water resources planning for the CRB’; 4. Facilitate the process and assist the local government for integrating climate change concern particularly in water resources planning (e.g. meeting with local parliament member, particularly with Commission 3); 5. Document the process implemented by the local governments in mainstreaming climate change concerns in water resources planning for the CRB; 6. Operational Guideline 1 on integrating climate change concerns in water resources planning for the CRB. Task 7: Operational Guideline for Climate-Proofing Water Infrastructure Investments for the CRB (January - June 2012) 1. Preparing draft of operational guideline on the use of the results of climate risk assessment (based on output 1) for developing climate-proofing water infrastructure; 2. Consultation with DGWR, Puslitair and relevant stakeholders to refine the guideline; AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 2 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report – Annex 2 3. RTD 5 on Operational guideline on climate-proofing water infrastructure; 4. Operational guideline 2 on climate-proofing water infrastructure investment; 5. Working Report based on feedback from DGWR on the use of the Guideline. Output 3: Working Paper 2 on Strategic Framework for Enhancing Water Management Systems in CRB Task 8: Define Appropriate Institution Arrangement for Enhancing Water Management Systems in CRB (Mid of April 2012) 1. Develop institutional framework for improving WRM in CRB based on result of Task 1 and Task 2 (e.g. clearing house and role of Provincial and District and Municipal BLHD in coordinating activities in sub-sub catchment); 2. Conduct RTDs 6, 7 and 8 to define appropriate institution arrangement for enhancing water management systems in CRB; 3. Draft Technical Report 3 on Institutional arrangement for enhancing water management systems in CRB. Task 9: Develop Strategy and Key Programs for Improving Watershed Management in CRB. 1. RTD 9 with related stakeholders for defining broad strategy and identifying key climate change programs in the upper water-catchment (e.g. PDAM, LP3ES, Indonesian Power/LPPM IPB); 2. RTD 10 with related stakeholders for defining broad strategy and identifying key climate change programs in the middle water-catchment; 3. RTD 11 with related stakeholders for defining broad strategy and identifying key climate change programs in the lower water-catchment; 4. Draft Technical Report 4 on strategy and key programs for adaptation and mitigation in the upper, middle and lower tracts of the water catchment. Task 10: Develop Strategic Approach for Community Empowerment and Communication Outreach (including civil servant, legislator, media and community). 1. Conduct RTDs with stakeholders in the three cluster (joint discussion in the RTDs 9, 10 and 11) to identify strategic approach for community empowerment and communication outreach; 2. Developing working report on strategic approach for community empowerment and public outreach; 3. Consultation with related agencies at National, Provincial and Local Levels on approaches for implementing effective community empowerment programs and public outreach; 4. Produce Draft of Technical Report 5 on strategic approach for community empowerment and public outreach. Task 11: Produce Working Paper 2 on the ‘Strategic Framework for Enhancing Water Management Systems in CRB Based on the Result of Tasks 8, 9 and 10 Task 12: Conduct Workshop 2 on ‘Strategic Framework Enhancing Water Management Systems in CRB’ for Inputs from Broader Stakeholders and Finalizing the Working Paper 2 Output 4: CRB Specific Action Plans for Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation and Capacity Development Task 12: Conducting Training 3 on ‘Mitigation and Adaptation on Climate Change’ for Local Governments and Other Related Stakeholders (January 30, 2012 – April 20, 2012) 1. Conduct RTD 12 with MoE and BLHD to discuss training curriculum, scope of training and methods; AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 3 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report – Annex 2 2. Develop manuals and training modules on climate change mitigations and adaptation (All consultant team); 3. Implement training 3 ‘Mitigation and Adaptation and Development of Climate Change Action Plan)’ for representatives from local government, NGOs and Private in the three clusters (upper, middle and lower water catchments); 4. Facilitate participants from the three clusters to develop draft of climate change action plans for Enhancing Water Resource Management at CRB taking into account the results of Tasks 8, 9 and 10. Task 13: Conducting Workshop 3 on ‘Climate Change Action Plans for Enhancing Water Resources Management at CRB’ (August2012) 1. Facilitate and assist BLHD to conduct coordination meetings with the local governments and other stakeholders from the three clusters to refine the climate change action plans resulted in activity 4 of Task 12; 2. Facilitate and assist BLHD to socialize the climate change action plan to parliament members; 3. Conduct workshop 3 on climate change action plans for enhancing water resource management at CRB)- July 2012. Task 14: Producing Working Paper 3 to Document the Process of the Development of Climate Change Action Plan in the Three Clusters Output 5: Climate Change Pilot Activities Task 15: Developing Criteria for Site Selection for Pilots (November 10,2011) 1. Consultation with related stakeholders from the three clusters and use inputs to elaborate key criteria for site selection for pilots; 2. RTD 13 with BLHD and related stakeholders for refining criteria for site selection for pilots; 3. Produce working report on key criteria for site selection. Task 16: Select Sites for Pilots (September 2011 - February 2012) 1. Based on inputs gained from the RTDs 9, 10 and 11, in consultation with MoE and BPLHD Province develop list of potential sites in the upper, middle and lower water catchment for pilots; 2. Conduct Workshop 4 on ‘Potential Climate Change Pilots at CRB by inviting organizations from the three clusters who have community-based activities related to climate change and water management and to present their initiatives; 3. Facilitate and assist BLHD to organize process of selecting sites (e.g. call for proposal etc.) for pilots (3 for adaptations and 2 for mitigations); 4. Facilitate and assist BLHD to do ‘Pilots Proposal Evaluation and Selection’ including site visit to potential sites for pilot; 5. Conduct RTD with BLHD. Task 17: Implement Pilots (End of February 2012 - March 2013) 1. Facilitate and assist BLHD of West Java Province, Districts and Municipal to develop indicators to be used for monitoring and evaluation of the pilots; 2. Distribution of grants to organizations who have been selected to implement pilots; 3. Implementation of pilots by the selected organizations; 4. Facilitate and assist District or Municipal BLHDs to coordinate and to develop synergy of community empowerment programs from SKPD with the pilots; 5. Conduct monitoring and evaluations; AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 4 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report – Annex 2 6. Develop working report to document lesson learnt from the pilots. Task 18: Communication & Awareness Raising 1. RTD 14 with MoE and BLHD to discuss activities under TA ADB for developing communication media to create awareness of stakeholders related to CRB management taking outputs from Tasks 10 and 13; 2. Develop communication instruments (e.g. brochures, leaflet, documenter films, talk show, field day etc) for awareness rising and for disseminating the process and lesson learnt from the pilots; 3. Working Report to document lesson learnt from communication & awareness rising activities. Output 6: Project Documents for Accessing International Supports Task 19: Workshop-5 on Funding Opportunities for CC project 1. RTD 15 with MoE & BPLHD to develop agenda for the workshop 2. Facilitate and assist BPLHD to organize the Workshop 3. Conduct the workshop Task 20: Conduct Training 4 on ‘Project Proposal Development’ (JD and consultant team) 1. Training curriculum & modules developed; 2. RTD 16 with KLH & BPLHD to discuss potential participants for the training (the potential participants are organizations/institutions that have potential projects and this can be taken from the Workshop 4); 3. Conduct the Training 4 by BPLHD. Task 21: Develop Project Proposals for External Funding 1. Facilitate and assist the stakeholders interested in developing project proposals to further develop their concept; 2. Assist MOE & BPLHD in facilitating the stakeholder to get external funding for the project proposals. Task 22: Produce Working Report to Document the Process Task 23: Final National Workshop Definitions 1. Training: is designed for limited number of participants on specific matter which may involve between 10-20 participants 2. Local Workshop is designed to communicate, disseminate and discuss findings or results of analysis at local level (local stakeholders) which may involve between 50-75 participants 3. National Workshop is designed to communicate, disseminate and discuss findings or results of analysis at national level (broader stakeholders) which may involve between 100-150 participants 4. Survey is field visit to interview communities, to do ground checking, ground truthing, field measurement etc. 5. Consultation is a visit to or communication with specific agency or resource person to get certain inputs, or specific data and information or to get clarification on certain issue 6. Working Report is a written documentary about the process activities 7. Technical Report is a written documentary about the technical matters related to the activities 8. Technical Guideline is a written guide specific to technical matters 9. Operational Guideline is a written guide related to the applicability of the matters AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 5 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report – Annex 2 10. Training Modules are the written documents prepared as a teaching material during the training 11. Manual is written document related to the specific operation of the matters. 12. Brochure and leaflet is a summaries of project explanations, objectives, news and announcements to the public 13. Policy Brief is a summary of project explanations about specific subjects. Usually it is not more than several pages. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 6 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 Annex 3 Revised Work Plan TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report – Annex 3 ID Task Name 1 2 Task 0: Data Warehouse 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 Duration Start Finish 504 days Tue 1/25/11 Mon 12/24/12 Output 1: Working paper on climate change adaptation and mitigation assessments in 328 days? Tue 1/25/11 Sun 4/22/12 Task 1: Data Review and Baseline Analysis Collect and review available data 233 days 125 days Consultation with other packages and relevant stakeholders related to the iss 180 days Spatial Plan 114 days Climate Modeling 150 days Water Infrastructure 150 days Other initiative (BP DAS, BKSDA, Perhutani, IP/PLN, Geothermal, NGos) 139 days Policy review, Institution and climate change program in 3 clusters (upper, mid 163 days Community Empowerment and communication 145 days Produce working reports related to the above issues. 31 days Working Report 1 0 days Tue 1/25/11 Mon 12/12/11 Mon 3/21/11 Tue 9/27/11 Tue 1/25/11 Tue 1/25/11 Tue 1/25/11 Tue 1/25/11 Tue 1/25/11 Thu 1/27/11 Tue 1/25/11 Mon 10/31/11 Mon 12/12/11 Fri 9/30/11 Fri 7/1/11 Mon 8/22/11 Mon 8/22/11 Thu 9/29/11 Fri 9/30/11 Fri 9/30/11 Mon 12/12/11 Mon 12/12/11 203 days Mon 5/16/11 Thu 2/16/12 173 days 14 days 0 days 13 days 0 days 13 days 0 days 14 days 0 days 35 days 0 days Mon 5/16/11 Mon 5/16/11 Mon 5/23/11 Fri 6/3/11 Mon 7/4/11 Wed 6/22/11 Thu 7/14/11 Mon 7/11/11 Mon 1/9/12 Mon 1/2/12 Thu 2/16/12 Mon 1/9/12 Thu 6/2/11 Mon 5/23/11 Tue 6/21/11 Mon 7/4/11 Fri 7/8/11 Thu 7/14/11 Thu 7/28/11 Mon 1/9/12 Thu 2/16/12 Thu 2/16/12 Task 3: Assessment of current vulnerabilities of human communities to Climate C 178 days? Fri 7/1/11 Wed 2/29/12 Task 2: Develop common understanding among stakeholders 1. Developing common understanding among stakeholders a. RTD-1 for Citarum stakeholders RTD-1 b. RTD-2 for Current and Planning Community based initiatives for adaptation RTD-2 c. RTD-3 adaptation and mitigation initiatives by local governments RTD-3 d. Workshop 1 on ‘Climate Risk at CRB Local Workshop on "Climate Risk at CRB" 2. Preparing Working Reports related to the point 1 of task 2 Working Report 2 1.Development of Methodologies for vulnerability assessment 57 days 2. Development of Village Typology 41 days? 3. Training 1 on Vulnerability Assessment for Local Government 2 days Revision of Village Typology 6 days Training 1 Report 7 days 4. Revision of the Guideline for defining village profile and HH Vulnerability Assessm 6 days 5. Training 2: Training on the use of the guideline for HH Vulnerability Assessment 2 days Training 2 Report 7 days 6. Survey and Interview for collecting data for developing Village Profile and HH Vu 14 days 7. Analysis of data for vulnerability assessment 15 days 8. Developing Policy Brief 1 on current vulnerability of community to climate impact 10 days Policy Brief 1 0 days 9. Preparing Technical Report-1 on ‘Current Vulnerability Assessment at CRB' 14 days Technical Report 1 25 days Task 4: Assessment of current and future climate risk on ecosystem 1. Preparing Data for modeling analysis 2. Development of Methodology a. Current and future climate risk assessment b. Climate modeling/Climate projection Scenarios, including data requirements Project: Package E ADB 7189 INO Date: Wed 10/5/11 2011 2012 2013 rte 1st Quart 2nd Quart 3rd Quart 4th Quarte 1st Quarte 2nd Quart 3rd Quart 4th Quarte 1st Quart 2nd Quart e Jan e MarApr a Jun Jul u e Oct o e Jan e MarApr a Jun Jul u e Oct o e Jan e MarApr a Jun MA,YS YS,TCT,MA AKM YS,TCT YS,TCT,MA,RR,JMP YS,DPL,LMK,RB,JMP DPL Fri 7/1/11 Sat 9/17/11 Mon 8/1/11 Fri 9/23/11 Tue 10/18/11 Wed 10/19/11 Thu 10/20/11 Thu 10/27/11 Thu 10/20/11 Fri 10/28/11 Thu 10/20/11 Thu 10/27/11 Thu 10/27/11 Fri 10/28/11 Mon 10/31/11 Tue 11/8/11 Mon 11/14/11 Thu 12/1/11 Fri 12/2/11 Thu 12/22/11 Fri 12/23/11 Thu 1/5/12 Thu 1/5/12 Thu 1/5/12 Mon 1/9/12 Wed 1/25/12 Thu 1/26/12 Wed 2/29/12 292 days 45 days Tue 1/25/11 Mon 5/9/11 Thu 3/1/12 Fri 7/8/11 90 days 90 days 90 days Tue 1/25/11 Tue 1/25/11 Tue 1/25/11 Mon 5/30/11 Mon 5/30/11 Mon 5/30/11 Task Milestone External Tasks Split Summary External Milestone Progress Project Summary Deadline Page 1 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report – Annex 3 ID 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 Task Name Duration c. Developing Land Use change scenarios d. Hydrology simulation e. Defining Climate proofing Infrastructure 3. Consultation on the methodology with Packages A TO D & relevant stakeholders Working Report 3 4. Implementation of climate risk assessment a. Identification data gaps b. Collecting and generating data for filling the gaps c. Developing climate change and land use scenarios 5. Developing Policy Brief 2 on Assessment of current and future climate risk Policy Brief 2 6. Preparing Technical Report-2 on Assessment of current and future climate risk Technical Report 2 7. National Workshop 1 on Current and Future Climate Risk on WRM at CRB National Workshop 1 National Workshop 1 Report Task 5: Preparation of Working Paper on CCAM Assessments in CRB Working paper 1 Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation Assessment in CRB Start Finish 90 days Tue 1/25/11 Mon 5/30/11 90 days Tue 1/25/11 Mon 5/30/11 90 days Tue 1/25/11 Mon 5/30/11 40 days Mon 9/26/11 Wed 11/16/11 0 days Wed 11/16/11 Wed 11/16/11 Mon 8/15/11 Mon 8/15/11 Fri 9/23/11 Wed 11/2/11 Mon 10/31/11 Sun 11/13/11 Mon 11/21/11 Fri 12/30/11 Mon 1/9/12 Sun 1/29/12 Mon 2/13/12 Mon 3/12/12 Sun 4/22/12 Tue 12/13/11 Thu 9/22/11 Tue 11/1/11 Tue 12/13/11 Mon 11/7/11 Sun 11/13/11 Fri 12/30/11 Fri 12/30/11 Thu 1/19/12 Sun 1/29/12 Thu 3/1/12 Fri 4/6/12 Sun 4/22/12 Output 2: Two operational guidelines for mainstreaming climate change concerns in th 157 days Mon 11/28/11 Mon 7/2/12 Task 6: Operational Guideline for Integrating climate change concerns in water res 157 days Mon 11/28/11 1. Preparing draft of operational guideline 14 days Mon 11/28/11 2. Consultation with local governments to refine the guideline and approach for mai 12 days Mon 12/12/11 3. RTD 4 on Operational guideline on the use of the results of climate risk assessm 11 days Mon 1/2/12 RTD-4 0 days Wed 1/18/12 Working Report 4 0 days Sun 4/22/12 4. Facilitate the process and assist the local government for integrating CC concern 21 days Mon 4/23/12 5. Document the process implemented by the local governments 20 days Tue 5/22/12 Working Report 5 0 days Mon 6/18/12 6. Finalize the operational guideline 1 on Integrating climate change concerns 10 days Tue 6/19/12 Operational Guideline 1 0 days Mon 7/2/12 Mon 7/2/12 Thu 12/15/11 Tue 12/27/11 Sun 1/15/12 Wed 1/18/12 Sun 4/22/12 Mon 5/21/12 Mon 6/18/12 Mon 6/18/12 Mon 7/2/12 Mon 7/2/12 90 days 30 days 30 days 30 days 6 days 0 days 30 days 0 days 10 days 0 days 14 days 20 days 0 days Task 7: Operational Guideline for Climate-proofing water infrastructure investmen 105 days 1. Preparing draft of operational guideline on the use of the results of climate risk as 10 days 2. Consultation with DGWR, Puslitair and relevant stakeholders to refine the guidel 10 days 3. RTD 5 on Operational guideline on climate-proofing water infrastructure 10 days RTD-5 0 days 4. Finalize the operational guideline 2 on climate-proofing water infrastructure inves 10 days Operational Guideline 2 0 days 5. Get feedback from DGWR on the use of the guideline and produce working repo 25 days Mon 1/16/12 Mon 1/16/12 Fri 1/27/12 Sun 2/12/12 Sun 4/22/12 Mon 4/23/12 Fri 5/4/12 Mon 5/7/12 Fri 6/8/12 Fri 1/27/12 Thu 2/9/12 Fri 2/24/12 Sun 4/22/12 Fri 5/4/12 Fri 5/4/12 Fri 6/8/12 Output 3: Working Paper 2 on Strategic framework for enhancing water management s 110 days Mon 2/20/12 Fri 7/20/12 Task 8: Defining appropriate institution arrangement for enhancing water manage 1. Develop institutional framework for improving WRM in CRB based on result of Ta 2. Conduct RTDs (about three RTDs 6, 7 and 8) to define appropriate institution arr RTD-6-7-8 Working Report 6 3. Produce Draft of Technical Report 3 on Institutional arrangement 40 days 10 days 20 days 0 days 0 days 20 days Mon 2/20/12 Mon 2/20/12 Mon 3/5/12 Mon 3/19/12 Mon 3/19/12 Mon 3/19/12 Mon 4/16/12 Fri 3/2/12 Fri 3/30/12 Mon 3/19/12 Mon 3/19/12 Fri 4/13/12 Project: Package E ADB 7189 INO Date: Wed 10/5/11 2011 2012 2013 rte 1st Quart 2nd Quart 3rd Quart 4th Quarte 1st Quarte 2nd Quart 3rd Quart 4th Quarte 1st Quart 2nd Quart e Jan e MarApr a Jun Jul u e Oct o e Jan e MarApr a Jun Jul u e Oct o e Jan e MarApr a Jun Task Milestone External Tasks Split Summary External Milestone Progress Project Summary Deadline Page 2 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report – Annex 3 ID 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 Task Name Duration Technical Report 3 Start Finish 0 days Mon 4/16/12 Mon 4/16/12 Task 9: Developing Strategy and key programs for improving watershed managem 1. RTD 9 with related stakeholders for defining strategy and identifying key climate RTD-9 2. RTD 10 with related stakeholders for defining broad strategy and identifying key RTD-10 3. RTD 11 with related stakeholders for defining broad strategy and identifying key RTD-11 Working Report 7 4. Produce draft of Technical Report 4 on Strategy and key programs for adaptation Technical Report 4 75 days 16 days 0 days 12 days 0 days 12 days 0 days 0 days 20 days 0 days Mon 3/26/12 Mon 3/26/12 Mon 4/16/12 Thu 4/12/12 Mon 4/23/12 Thu 4/19/12 Mon 4/30/12 Fri 6/8/12 Mon 6/11/12 Fri 7/6/12 Fri 7/6/12 Mon 4/16/12 Mon 4/16/12 Fri 4/27/12 Mon 4/23/12 Fri 5/4/12 Mon 4/30/12 Fri 6/8/12 Fri 7/6/12 Fri 7/6/12 Task 10: Developing strategic approach for community empowerment and comm 1. Conduct RTDs with stakeholders in the three cluster (joint discussion in the RTD 2. Developing working report on strategic approach for community empowerment a Working Report 8 3. Consultation with related agencies at National, Provincial and Local Levels 4. Produce Draft of Technical Report 5 on strategic approach for community empow Technical Report 5 Task 11: Producing Working Paper 2 on the strategic framework Working paper 2 Task 11A: Conducting Workshop 2 on Strategic Framework National Workshop 2 National Workshop 2 Report 35 days 15 days 15 days 0 days 11 days 20 days 0 days 15 days 0 days 16 days 0 days 0 days Mon 6/4/12 Mon 6/11/12 Mon 7/2/12 Mon 6/4/12 Mon 6/11/12 Mon 6/11/12 Mon 6/25/12 Mon 6/11/12 Thu 6/28/12 Mon 6/18/12 Mon 7/16/12 Mon 7/16/12 Fri 7/20/12 Fri 6/29/12 Fri 7/20/12 Mon 6/4/12 Mon 6/25/12 Fri 7/6/12 Mon 6/25/12 Fri 6/29/12 Thu 6/28/12 Mon 7/9/12 Mon 7/16/12 Mon 7/16/12 Output 4: CRB Specific Action Plans for mitigation and adaptation and capacity develo 186 days Mon 1/2/12 Sun 9/16/12 60 days 10 days 0 days 0 days 15 days 0 days 10 days 0 days 0 days 20 days Mon 1/30/12 Mon 1/30/12 Fri 2/10/12 Fri 2/17/12 Mon 2/20/12 Mon 3/12/12 Tue 3/6/12 Mon 3/19/12 Mon 3/26/12 Mon 3/26/12 Fri 4/20/12 Fri 2/10/12 Fri 2/10/12 Fri 2/17/12 Fri 3/9/12 Mon 3/12/12 Mon 3/19/12 Mon 3/19/12 Mon 3/26/12 Fri 4/20/12 Task 13. Conducting Workshop 3 on Climate Change Action Plans for Enhancing 186 days 1. Facilitate and assist BLHD to conduct coordination meetings with the local gover 151 days 2. Facilitate and assist BLHD to socialize the climate change action plan to parliame 107 days 3. Conduct workshop 3 on climate change action plans for enhancing water resourc 15 days National Workshop 3 0 days National Workshop 3 Report 0 days Climate Change Action Plan by Stakeholders 0 days Task 14: Producing Working Paper 3 to document the process of the development of CC 16 days Working paper 4 0 days Mon 1/2/12 Mon 1/2/12 Thu 3/1/12 Mon 7/30/12 Fri 8/31/12 Fri 9/7/12 Sun 9/16/12 Mon 8/20/12 Mon 9/10/12 Sun 9/16/12 Fri 7/27/12 Fri 7/27/12 Fri 8/17/12 Fri 8/31/12 Fri 9/7/12 Sun 9/16/12 Mon 9/10/12 Mon 9/10/12 Task 12: Conducting Training 3 on Mitigation and Adaptation on Climate Change f 1. Conduct RTD 12 with MoE and BLHD to discuss training curriculum, scope of tra RTD-12 Working paper 3 2. Develop manuals and training modules on climate change mitigations and adapt Training 3 manual 3. Implement training 3 Mitigation and Adaptation and Development of Climate Cha Training 3 Training 3 Report 4. Facilitate the training participants from the three clusters to develop draft of clima Output 5: Climate change pilot activities Task 15: Developing Criteria for site selection for pilots Project: Package E ADB 7189 INO Date: Wed 10/5/11 558 days? Tue 1/25/11 Fri 3/8/13 211 days Tue 1/25/11 Thu 11/10/11 2011 2012 2013 rte 1st Quart 2nd Quart 3rd Quart 4th Quarte 1st Quarte 2nd Quart 3rd Quart 4th Quarte 1st Quart 2nd Quart e Jan e MarApr a Jun Jul u e Oct o e Jan e MarApr a Jun Jul u e Oct o e Jan e MarApr a Jun Task Milestone External Tasks Split Summary External Milestone Progress Project Summary Deadline Page 3 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report – Annex 3 ID 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 Task Name Duration 1. Conduct further consultation with related stakeholders from the 3 clusters 2. RTD 13 with BLHD and related stakeholders for refining criteria for site selection RTD-13 3. Produce working report on key criteria for site selection Working Report 9 Start Finish 102 days 71 days 0 days 7 days 0 days Tue 1/25/11 Mon 4/25/11 Tue 11/1/11 Wed 11/2/11 Mon 11/7/11 Fri 9/16/11 Fri 9/2/11 Tue 11/1/11 Thu 11/10/11 Mon 11/7/11 Task 16: Selection of Site for Pilots 127 days? 1. In consultation with MoE and BLHD Province develop list of potential sites in the 30 days 2. Multi-stakeholder Process at District Level 15 days? 3. Facilitate local stakeholders in prioritizing and designing mitigations and adaptati 1 day? 4. Developing proposal for pilots and project documents 0 days? 5. Send Proposal to BLHD 1 day? 6. Facilitate and assist BLHD to organize process of selecting sites for pilots (3 for a 15 days 7. Facilitate and assist BLHD to do Pilots Proposal Evaluation and Selection includi 15 days 8. Selection of 10 best proposal and site visit for verification by Team under coordin 1 day? 9. Conduct Workshop 4 on Potential CC Pilots 10 days Workshop 4 and announcement of 5 grantees by BLHD West Java 0 days Workshop 4 Report 0 days 10. Conduct RTD with BLHD 10 days RTD-14 0 days Working Report 10 0 days Thu 9/1/11 Thu 9/1/11 Sun 10/16/11 Thu 11/3/11 Mon 11/7/11 Sun 11/13/11 Mon 11/7/11 Mon 11/21/11 Fri 12/9/11 Mon 12/19/11 Mon 1/9/12 Mon 1/23/12 Mon 1/30/12 Mon 2/13/12 Mon 2/20/12 Mon 2/20/12 Fri 10/21/11 Thu 11/3/11 Thu 11/3/11 Mon 11/7/11 Mon 11/14/11 Fri 11/25/11 Fri 12/9/11 Fri 12/9/11 Fri 12/30/11 Mon 1/9/12 Mon 1/23/12 Fri 2/10/12 Mon 2/13/12 Mon 2/20/12 Task 17: Implementations of Pilots and Communication 273 days 1. Facilitate and assist BLHD Province, Districts and Municipal to develop indicators 22 days 2. Distribution of grants to organizations who have been selected to implement pilot 11 days 3. Implementation of pilots by the selected organizations 240 days 4. Facilitate and assist District or Municipal BLHDs to develop synergy of communit 240 days 5. Conduct monitoring and evaluations 96 days 6. Develop working report to document lesson learnt from the pilots 63 days Working Report 11 0 days Wed 2/22/12 Wed 2/22/12 Mon 3/19/12 Mon 4/2/12 Mon 4/9/12 Mon 4/23/12 Mon 11/5/12 Mon 2/11/13 Fri 3/8/13 Thu 3/22/12 Mon 4/2/12 Fri 3/1/13 Fri 3/8/13 Fri 3/8/13 Wed 1/30/13 Mon 2/11/13 Task 18: Communication & Awareness Rising 105 days 1. RTD 14 with MoE and BLHD to discuss activities under TA ADB for developing c 24 days 2. Develop communication medias (e.g. brochures, leaflet, documenter films, talk s 60 days 3. Develop working report to document lesson learnt from communication & awaren 14 days Working Report 12 0 days Tue 9/25/12 Tue 9/25/12 Mon 10/29/12 Mon 1/21/13 Mon 2/18/13 Mon 2/18/13 Fri 10/26/12 Fri 1/18/13 Thu 2/7/13 Mon 2/18/13 Mon 6/18/12 Tue 5/7/13 Output 6: Project Documents for accessing international supports Task 19: Conduct Workshop-5 on funding opportunities for CC project 1. RTD 15 with MoE & BPLHD to develop agenda for the workshop Working Report 13 2. Facilitate and assist BPLHD to organize Workshop 3. Conduct the workshop Workshop 5 Workshop 5 Report Task 20: Conduct Training 4 on ‘Project Proposal Development’ 1. Develop training curriculum & modules for the training Training 4 Manual 2. RTD 16 with KLH & BPLHD to discuss potential participants for the training Project: Package E ADB 7189 INO Date: Wed 10/5/11 232 days? 171 days 125 days 0 days 63 days 57 days 0 days 0 days 62 days 30 days 0 days 35 days 2011 2012 2013 rte 1st Quart 2nd Quart 3rd Quart 4th Quarte 1st Quarte 2nd Quart 3rd Quart 4th Quarte 1st Quart 2nd Quart e Jan e MarApr a Jun Jul u e Oct o e Jan e MarApr a Jun Jul u e Oct o e Jan e MarApr a Jun 11/7 Mon 7/2/12 Mon 2/25/13 Mon 7/2/12 Fri 12/21/12 Mon 2/25/13 Mon 2/25/13 Mon 7/23/12 Wed 10/17/12 Thu 10/18/12 Fri 1/4/13 Mon 1/14/13 Mon 1/14/13 Mon 1/21/13 Mon 1/21/13 Fri 12/14/12 Fri 12/14/12 Mon 2/4/13 Mon 12/24/12 Mon 3/11/13 Thu 1/24/13 Mon 2/4/13 Fri 2/8/13 Task Milestone External Tasks Split Summary External Milestone Progress Project Summary Deadline Page 4 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report – Annex 3 ID 181 182 183 184 185 Task Name Duration Finish 0 days 29 days 0 days 0 days Mon 2/18/13 Tue 1/15/13 Mon 3/4/13 Mon 3/11/13 Mon 2/18/13 Fri 2/22/13 Mon 3/4/13 Mon 3/11/13 46 days 25 days 0 days 21 days 30 days Tue 2/5/13 Tue 2/5/13 Mon 3/25/13 Tue 3/12/13 Fri 3/1/13 Tue 4/9/13 Mon 3/11/13 Mon 3/25/13 Tue 4/9/13 Thu 4/11/13 Mid-Term national Workshop 0 days 1 day? Mon 4/15/13 Mon 6/18/12 Mon 4/15/13 Mon 6/18/12 192 Task 23: Final National Workshop 0 days Fri 3/8/13 Fri 3/8/13 193 Final National Workshop 5 Report 0 days Tue 5/7/13 Tue 5/7/13 186 187 188 189 190 191 RTD-16 3. Conduct the Training 4 by BPLHD Training 4 Training 4 Report Start Task 21: Develop project proposals for external funding: JD 1. Facilitate and assist the stakeholders that are interested in developing project pro Project Documents 2. Assist MOE & BPLHD in facilitating the stakeholder to get external funding for the Task 22: Produce Working Report to document the process Working Report 14 Project: Package E ADB 7189 INO Date: Wed 10/5/11 2011 2012 2013 rte 1st Quart 2nd Quart 3rd Quart 4th Quarte 1st Quarte 2nd Quart 3rd Quart 4th Quarte 1st Quart 2nd Quart e Jan e MarApr a Jun Jul u e Oct o e Jan e MarApr a Jun Jul u e Oct o e Jan e MarApr a Jun Task Milestone External Tasks Split Summary External Milestone Progress Project Summary Deadline Page 5 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report – Annex 4 Annex 4 Revised Budget Plans TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report – Annex 4 Budget Plan Summary Pilot Equipment Others/ Contigency No. Name 1 Output 1: Working paper on climate change adaptation and mitigation assessments in CRB 2 Task 1: Data Review and Baseline Analysis 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 0.3% 3 Task 2: Develop common understanding among stakeholders 0.00 3.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 9.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.00 1.2% 4 Task 3: Assessment of current vulnerabilities of human communities to Climate Change 10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.00 50.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.00 7.3% 5 Task 4: Assessment of current and future climate risk on ecosystem 10.00 2.00 6.50 1.00 0.00 25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.50 3.6% 6 Task 5: Preparation of Working Paper on CCAM Assessments in CRB 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.00 0.6% 7 Output 2: Two operational guidelines for mainstreaming climate change concerns in the IWRM 8 Task 6: Operational Guideline for Integrating climate change concerns in water resources planning for the CRB 0.00 1.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 8.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.00 1.2% 9 Task 7: Operational Guideline for Climate-proofing water infrastructure investments for the CRB 0.00 2.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.00 1.7% RTD Workshop Consultation Training Baseline Survey/ Studies Page 1 Mitigation Adaptation Total % Sum Sum (%) 158.50 12.5% 29.00 2.3% TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report – Annex 4 Budget Plan Summary Pilot No. Name Equipment Training RTD Workshop Consultation Baseline Survey/ Studies Mitigation Adaptation Others/ Contigency Total % 10 Output 3: Working Paper 2 on Strategic framework for enhancing water management systems in CRB 11 Task 8: Defining appropriate institution arrangement for enhancing water management systems in CRB 0.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.00 0.9% 12 Task 9: Developing Strategy and key programs for improving watershed management in CRB 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.00 26.00 0.9% 13 Task 10: Developing strategic approach for community empowerment and communication outreach 0.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.00 12.00 0.8% 14 Task 11: Producing Working Paper 2 on the strategic framework 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.00 0.5% 15 Task 11A: Conducting Workshop 2 on Strategic Framework 0.00 0.00 6.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.50 0.5% 16 Output 4: CRB Specific Action Plans for mitigation and adaptatio and capacity development 17 Task 12: Conducting Training 3 on Mitigation and Adaptation on Climate Change for local governments & other stakeholders 10.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 30.00 15.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.00 5.5% 18 Task 13. Conducting Workshop 3 on Climate Change Action Plans for Enhancing Water Resource Management at CRB 0.00 0.00 6.50 0.00 0.00 20.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.50 2.8% 19 Task 14: Producing Working Paper 3 to document the process of the development of CC action plan in the 3 clusters 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.00 0.6% Page 2 Sum Sum in % 24.50 2.0% 88.50 7.0% TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report – Annex 4 Budget Plan Summary Pilot Equipment Others/ Contigency No. Name 20 Output 5: Climate change pilot activities 21 Task 15: Developing Criteria for site selection for pilots 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.00 0.8% 22 Task 16: Selection of Site for Pilots 0.00 1.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 28.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.00 1.2% 23 Task 17: Implementations of Pilots and Communication 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.00 250.00 500.00 0.00 765.00 58.4% 24 Task 18: Communication & Awareness Rising 15.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.00 4.0% 25 Output 6: Project Documents for accessing international supports 26 Task 19: Conduct Workshop-5 on funding opportunities for CC project RTD Workshop Consultation Training Baseline Survey/ Studies Mitigation Adaptation Total % 0.00 1.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 15.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.00 1.5% 27 Task 20: Conduct Training 4 on ‘Project Proposal Development’ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.00 30.00 2.6% 28 Task 21: Develop project proposals for external funding 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.00 1.6% 29 Task 22: Produce Working Report to document the process 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.2% 30 Mid Term National Workshop 0.00 0.00 6.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.50 0.5% 31 Task 23: Final National Workshop 0.00 0.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 0.8% 46.00 16.00 47.00 10.00 91.00 279.00 250.00 500.00 34.00 1,273.00 100.0% Page 3 Sum Sum in % 854.00 67.1% 80.50 6.3% TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report – Annex 4 Detail Budget Plan Equipment ID RTD Workshop Training Consultation Pilot Baseline Survey/ Studies Mitigation Adaptation Others/ Contigency Total Name 1 Task 0: Data Warehouse 0 Output 1: Working paper on climate change adaptation and 2 mitigation assessments in CRB 0 3 Task 1: Data Review and Baseline Analysis Collect and review available data 4 Consultation with other packages and relevant stakeholders related to the issues 6 Consultation for Spatial Plan 7 Consultation for Climate Modeling 8 Consultation for Water Infrastructure 9 10 11 12 13 14 2 0 1 0 0 1 Consultation with Other initiative (BP DAS, BKSDA, Perhutani, IP/PLN, Geothermal, NGos) and climate Consultation for Policy review, Institution 0 change program in 3 clusters (upper, middle and lower catchment) Consultation for Community Empowerment and communication 0 0 0 0 Produce working reports related to the above issues. Working Report 1 0 15 Task 2: Develop common understanding among stakeholders 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 1. Developing common understanding among stakeholders RTD-1 for Citarum stakeholders RTD-1 b. RTD-2 for Current and Planning Community based initiatives for adaptation and mitigation activities RTD-2 c. RTD-3 adaptation and mitigation initiatives by local governments RTD-3 d. Workshop 1 on ‘Climate Risk at CRB 0 2 1 3.0 1 3.0 1 3.0 3 0 4 0 0 4 0 4 3 0 Local Workshop on "Climate Risk at CRB" 0 0 2. Preparing Working Reports related to the point 1 of task 2 Working Report 2 Page1 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report – Annex 4 Detail Budget Plan Pilot Equipment ID RTD Workshop Training Consultation Baseline Survey/ Studies Mitigation 30 31 32 1.Development of Methodologies for vulnerability assessment 2. Development of Village Typology 3. Training 1 on Vulnerability Assessment for Local Government Revision of Village Typology Training 1 Report 34 35 4. Revision of the Guideline for defining village profile and HH Vulnerability Assessment 5. Training 2: Training on the use of the guideline for HH Vulnerability Assessment Training 2 Report 36 6. Survey and Interview for collecting data for developing Village Profile and HH Vulnerability Assessment 37 7. Analysis of data for vulnerability assessment 38 8. Developing Policy Brief 1 on current vulnerability of community to climate impact 33 39 40 41 42 43 44 Others/ Contigency Total Name Task 3: Assessment of current vulnerabilities of human 27 communities to Climate Change 28 29 Adaptation 0 0 0 5 15 20 0 0 0 15 5 15 0 45 45 5 10 0 0 Policy Brief 1 9. Preparing Technical Report-1 on ‘Current Vulnerability Assessment at CRB' Technical Report 1 Task 4: Assessment of current and future climate risk on ecosystem 1. Preparing Data for modeling analysis 2. Development of Methodology 0 0 0 0 0 0 46 a. Current and future climate risk assessment b. Climate modeling/Climate projection Scenarios, including data requirements 47 48 c. Developing Land Use change scenarios d. Hydrology simulation 5 5 0 e. Defining Climate proofing Infrastructure 5 5 45 49 50 3. Consultation on the methodology with Packages A TO D & relevant stakeholders VIA 2 RTD 51 Working Report 3 52 4. Implementation of climate risk assessment 10 10 2 1 3 0 0 Page 2 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report – Annex 4 Detail Budget Plan Equipment ID RTD Workshop Training Consultation Pilot Baseline Survey/ Studies Mitigation Adaptation Others/ Contigency Total Name 53 a. Identification data gaps 54 b. Collecting and generating data for filling the gaps 55 c. Developing climate change and land use scenarios 0 10 10 5 5 56 5. Developing Policy Brief 2 on Assessment of current and future climate risk 0 57 Policy Brief 2 0 58 6. Preparing Technical Report-2 on Assessment of current and future climate risk 0 59 Technical Report 2 0 60 7. National Workshop 1 on Current and Future Climate Risk on WRM at CRB 61 National Workshop 1 0 62 National Workshop 1 Report 0 6.5 6.5 Task 5: Preparation of Working Paper on CCAM Assessments 63 in CRB 0 Working paper 1 Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation 64 Assessment in CRB 1 5 6 Output 2: Two operational guidelines for mainstreaming 65 climate change concerns in the IWRM 0 Task 6: Operational Guideline for Integrating climate change 66 concerns in water resources planning for the CRB 0 67 1. Preparing draft of operational guideline 68 2. Consultation with local governments to refine the guideline and approach for mainstreaming CC in WRM 69 70 71 3. RTD 4 on Operational guideline on the use of the results of climate risk assessment RTD-4 Working Report 4 72 73 74 75 76 0 2 3 1 5 1 0 0 4. Facilitate the process and assist the local government for integrating CC concern 5. Document the process implemented by the local governments Working Report 5 6. Finalize the operational guideline 1 on Integrating climate change concerns Operational Guideline 1 3 3 0 0 2 Page 3 2 0 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report – Annex 4 Detail Budget Plan Pilot Equipment ID RTD Workshop Training Consultation Baseline Survey/ Studies Mitigation Total 0 1. Preparing draft of operational guideline on the use of the results of climate risk assessment 77 78 2. Consultation with DGWR, Puslitair and relevant stakeholders to refine the guideline 3. RTD 5 on Operational guideline on climate-proofing water infrastructure RTD-5 79 80 4. Finalize the operational guideline 2 on climate-proofing water infrastructure investment Operational Guideline 2 81 5. Get feedback from DGWR on the use of the guideline and produce working report on the feedback 76 Others/ Contigency Name Task 7: Operational Guideline for Climate-proofing water 77 infrastructure investments for the CRB 75 Adaptation 2 5 5 3 5 2 2 0 3 3 0 3 3 Output 3: Working Paper 2 on Strategic framework for 82 enhancing water management systems in CRB 0 Task 8: Defining appropriate institution arrangement for 83 enhancing water management systems in CRB 0 84 85 86 87 88 89 1. Develop institutional framework for improving WRM in CRB based on result of Task 1 and Task 2 2. Conduct RTDs (about three RTDs 6, 7 and 8) to define appropriate institution arrangement RTD-6-7-8 Working Report 6 3. Produce Draft of Technical Report 3 on Institutional arrangement Technical Report 3 0 3 9 0 0 Task 9: Developing Strategy and key programs for improving 90 watershed management in CRB 91 1. RTD 9 with related stakeholders for defining strategy and identifying key climate change programs in the U/S 92 RTD-9 93 94 2. RTD 10 with related stakeholders for defining broad strategy and identifying key climate change programs in the M/S RTD-10 12 0 0 0 1 3 4 0 1 3 4 0 Page 4 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report – Annex 4 Detail Budget Plan Pilot Equipment ID RTD Workshop Training Consultation Baseline Survey/ Studies Mitigation Adaptation Others/ Contigency Total 95 Name 3. RTD 11 with related stakeholders for defining broad strategy and identifying key climate change programs in the D/S 96 97 RTD-11 Working Report 7 0 0 98 99 4. Produce draft of Technical Report 4 on Strategy and key programs for adaptation and mitigation in three cluster U/S, M/S, D/S Technical Report 4 0 0 1 3 Task 10: Developing strategic approach for community 100 empowerment and communication outreach 101 104 105 4. Produce Draft of Technical Report 5 on strategic approach for community empowerment and public outreach 102 103 0 1. Conduct RTDs with stakeholders in the three cluster (joint discussion in the RTDs 9, 10 and 11) 2. Developing working report on strategic approach for community empowerment and public outreach Working Report 8 3. Consultation with related agencies at National, Provincial and Local Levels 4 9 9 0 0 0 0 Technical Report 5: Strategic approach for community empowerment and public outreach 106 Task 11: Producing Working Paper 2 on the strategic 107 framework 0 0 2 108 Working paper 2: the strategic framework 109 Task 11A: Conducting Workshop 2 on Strategic Framework 110 National Workshop 2 111 National Workshop 2 Report 6.5 4 6 0 6.5 0 Output 4: CRB Specific Action Plans for mitigation and 112 adaptation and capacity development 0 Task 12: Conducting Training 3 on Mitigation and Adaptation on Climate Change for local governments & other 113 stakeholders 0 114 115 1. Conduct RTD 12 with MoE and BLHD to discuss training curriculum, scope of training and methods RTD-12 1 1 0 Page 5 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report – Annex 4 Detail Budget Plan Pilot Equipment RTD Workshop Training Consultation Baseline Survey/ Studies Mitigation Adaptation Others/ Contigency Total ID 116 Working paper 3 Name 0 117 118 2. Develop manuals and training modules on climate change mitigations and adaptation (All consultant team) Training 3 manual 0 0 119 120 121 3. Implement training 3 Mitigation and Adaptation and Development of Climate Change Action Plan) for representatives from local government, NGOs and Private in the three clusters (upper, middle and lower water catchments) Training 3 Training 3 Report 122 4. Facilitate the training participants from the three clusters to develop draft of climate change action plans for Enhancing Water Resource Management at CRB taking into account the results of Tasks 8, 9 and 10 7 30 3 37 0 0 15 Task 13. Conducting Workshop 3 on Climate Change Action 123 Plans for Enhancing Water Resource Management at CRB 18 0 124 1. Facilitate and assist BLHD to conduct coordination meetings with the local governments and other stakeholders from 3 clusters 10 10 125 2. Facilitate and assist BLHD to socialize the climate change action plan to parliament members 10 10 126 127 128 3. Conduct National Workshop 3 on climate change action plans for enhancing water resource management at CRB) National Workshop 3 National Workshop 3 Report 129 Climate Change Action Plan by Stakeholders 6.5 6.5 0 0 0 Task 14: Producing Working Paper 3 to document the process of the development of CC action plan in the 3 130 clusters 0 Working paper 4: The process of the development of CC action 131 plan in the 3 cluster 1 5 6 0 132 Output 5: Climate change pilot activities 0 133 Task 15: Developing Criteria for site selection for pilots Page 6 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report – Annex 4 Detail Budget Plan Pilot Equipment ID RTD Workshop Consultation Training Baseline Survey/ Studies Mitigation Adaptation Others/ Contigency Total Name 134 1. Conduct further consultation with related stakeholders from the 3 clusters 135 136 2. RTD 13 with BLHD and related stakeholders for refining criteria for site selection for pilots RTD-13 0 1 5 6 0 0 0 0 3. Produce working report on key criteria for site selection 137 Working Report 9 138 139 Task 16: Selection of Site for Pilots 140 1. In consultation with MoE and BLHD Province develop list of potential sites in the U/S, M/S, D/S for pilots 141 2. Multi-stakeholder Process at District Level 142 3. Facilitate local stakeholders in prioritizing and designing mitigations and adaptation pilots 143 144 4. Developing proposal for pilots and project documents 5. Send Proposal to BLHD 145 6. Facilitate and assist BLHD to organize process of selecting sites for pilots (3 for adaptations and 2 for mitigations) 3 3 146 7. Facilitate and assist BLHD to do Pilots Proposal Evaluation and Selection including site visit to potential sites for pilot 3 3 147 8. Selection of 10 best proposal and site visit for verification by Team under coordination of BLHD 148 9. Conduct Workshop 4 on Potential CC Pilots 149 150 151 152 153 Workshop 4 and announcement of 5 grantees by BLHD West Java Workshop 4 Report 10. Conduct RTD with BLHD RTD-14 Working Report 10 3 3 16 16 3 3 0 0 0 3 3 0 0 1 0 0 1 Page 7 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report – Annex 4 Detail Budget Plan Pilot Equipment ID RTD Workshop Consultation Training Baseline Survey/ Studies Mitigation Adaptation 155 1. Facilitate and assist BLHD Province, Districts and Municipal to develop indicators for monitoring and evaluation of the pilots 156 2. Distribution of grants to organizations who have been selected to implement pilots 157 3. Implementation of pilots by the selected organizations 160 161 Total Name 0 154 Task 17: Implementations of Pilots and Communication 158 159 Others/ Contigency 0 0 250 4. Facilitate and assist District or Municipal BLHDs to develop synergy of community empowerment programs from SKPD with the pilots 5. Conduct monitoring and evaluations 6. Develop working report to document lesson learnt from the pilots Working Report 11 15 163 164 2. Develop communication medias (e.g. brochures, leaflet, documenter films, talk show, field day etc) 165 166 3. Develop working report to document lesson learnt from communication & awareness rising activities Working Report 12 Output 6: Project Documents for accessing international 167 supports Task 19: Conduct Workshop-5 on funding opportunities for 168 CC project 1. RTD 15 with MoE & BPLHD to develop agenda for the workshop 169 Working Report 13 170 171 2. Facilitate and assist BPLHD to organize Workshop 172 173 174 3. Conduct Workshop 5: Funding Opportunities for CC Project Workshop 5 Workshop 5 Report 750 0 15 0 0 0 162 Task 18: Communication & Awareness Rising 1. RTD 14 with MoE and BLHD to discuss activities under TA ADB for developing communication media 500 1 1 15 35 50 0 0 0 0 1 3 Page 8 3 4 0 12 12 3 0 0 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report – Annex 4 Detail Budget Plan Pilot Equipment ID RTD Workshop Consultation Training Baseline Survey/ Studies Mitigation Adaptation Others/ Contigency Name Task 20: Conduct Training 4 on ‘Project Proposal 178 Development’ 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 Total 0 0 0 1. Develop training curriculum & modules for the training Training 4 Manual 2. RTD 16 with KLH & BPLHD to discuss potential participants for the training RTD-16 3. Conduct the Training 4 by BPLHD Training 4 Training 4 Report 1 3 4 0 30 0 0 30 0 178 Task 21: Develop project proposals for external funding 179 180 1. Facilitate and assist the stakeholders that are interested in developing project proposals Project Documents 181 2. Assist MOE & BPLHD in facilitating the stakeholder to get external funding for the project proposals 182 183 184 185 186 Task 22: Produce Working Report to document the process Working Report 14 Mid Term National Workshop Task 23: Final National Workshop Final National Workshop 5 Report 10 10 0 5 5 0 0 6.5 10 0 6.5 10 45 20 45 Page 9 10 90 300 250 500 0 1260 Annex 5 Climate Change Government Readiness Assessment TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report – Annex 5 ANNEX 5: CLIMATE CHANGE GOVERNMENT READINESS ASSESSMENT A. THE QUESTIONNAIRE Section A: Respondent Information 1. Name : ……………………………………………….. 2. Organization/Institutions : ……………………………………………….. 3. Position : ……………………………………………….. 4. Local Government (District / City) : ……………………………………………….. 5. Experiences : ……………………………………… (years) 6. Education : ……………………………………… (Diploma) field ..........................................................................................(grad. year.......) (B,Sc) field …...................................................................................................................... (M,Sc ) field ….................................................................................................................... (Ph.D) field …...................................................................................................................... Training ……………………………………………................................................................. 7. English language capability Very Good Good Medium Fairly Sections B: Policy, Program and Institutional System for mainstreaming Issues on Climate Change in Development Planning 1. Do you have known about the policies/programs at national /provincial level related to climate change issues? Yes / No 2. If Yes, what you have known about? REDD National Strategy (Stranas REDD) National Action Plan to cope with Climate Change (RAN PI) Sector Road Map to Address Climate Change (Sectoral Roadmap) The National Action Plan for the reduction in Greenhouse Gas Emissions (RAN GRK) West Java Province Green Growth Strategies The Climate programs (Proklim) provinces Others (please specify) ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………......……………………………………………………… 3. Is there already any programs, or a strategy or activity that has been or being carried out by local government district (sector) which supporting national/provincial policy for coping with climate change problem? YES / NO (If No proceed directly to question number 5) 4. If YES, what forms of the program or the strategy or the activities are referred to? Designing green growth strategic planning Designing programs for the greenhouse gas emissions reduction Conducting the community empowerment programs to cope with extreme climate events (drought, or floods) Conducting public awareness programs related to the climate change issues Others (please specify)………………………………………………………………… 5. If NO, is there any planning to design programs or regional development strategy which coping with the climate change issues in it? YES / NO 6. For the time being, is there any Working Groups (WG) or Task Force (Task Force) or institution established or assigned by the local government for mainstreaming climate change issues into regional development plans in line with national/provincial policy above? YES / NO (if not directly to number 10) 7. If YES, what is the name of Working Group / Task Force ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….... AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 1 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report – Annex 5 8. Do members of Working Group / Task Force represent by all sectors or involving multi-stakeholder? YES / NO 9. How many members of the Working Group / Task Force? ………… persons 10. If NOT is there any the plan to create Working Group or Task Force? YES / NO 11. If there is no plan to create Working Group or Task Force, will there be an institution that is appointed or assigned by the local government to assist in mainstreaming climate change issues into regional development plans? Sections C: Capacity Building for Climate Change Problem handling 1. According to your assessments, are knowledge and understanding of local government staff/office coping with current climate change sufficient to mainstreaming climate change issues into development planning? YES / NO 2. What do you think the most urgent requirements for local government to mainstreaming climate change issue in designing plans or programs for regional development? Assessment on sector mitigation potentials that can be used as bases on emissions reduction strategies in the region Review on diversity and climate change risk (vulnerability and impacts the climate change) in each sector which can be used as basis in formulating strategy or the development program resistant (resilience), or adaptive to climate change. Implementation of pilot activities or a pilot program for the mitigation and adaptation to climate change. Designing the instruments or tools that can be used to assist in mainstreaming climate change issues in designing development plans Conducting mitigation and adaptation training to climate change and development of investment plans resilient to climate change for the local government staff / service related. Others (please specify) ............................................................................................ 3. If the training activities on climate change are needed, what is three training activities which you think should be prioritized from the list below? (You can add your own other training activities if you cannot found it in the list) Climate Change Mitigation Training Methods to determine GHG emission baseline Assessment of mitigation potential sectors and mitigation options Methods for prioritizing mitigation options Preparation of Project Proposal for Climate Change Mitigation …………………..…………………………………………………………………………… …………………..…………………………………………………………………………… …………………..…………………………………………………………………………… Climate Change Adaptation Training Analysis Vulnerability and Adaptation to Climate Change Climate Risk Assessment of current and future Analysis of costs and benefits of adaptation options Methods to prioritize adaptation options Preparation of project proposals for climate change adaptation …………………..…………………………………………………………………………… …………………..…………………………………………………………………………… …………………..…………………………………………………………………………… 4. Is there any agency or local government partners who helped conduct a study on climate change or who can help to mainstreaming climate change issues into regional development plans? YES / NO AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 2 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report – Annex 5 5. If YES, what is the name of the partner institution? Universities in the region …………………………………………………………………………………………….. (Non Governmental Organization) …………………………………………………………………………………………….. Others (please specify) ……………………………………………………………………………………………. Section D: Project Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation 1. In your working region, are there any activities related to climate change adaptation and mitigation being implemented? YES / NO (If NO skip to Number 3) 2. If YES, please specify the activities that you think is important to serve as a learning activity to cope with climate change, especially related to the sector of waste / renewable energy (for mitigation), and agriculture / forestry and water resource management (for adaptation), where and who is implementing these activities ? Adaptation Forms of activity No.1: ……………………………………………………………...... Location ……………………………………………………………………………. Implementer ……………………………………………………………………………. Funding Source: District/State Budget, private, NGO Forms of activity No. 2: ………………………………………………………………… Location ……………………………………………………………………………… Implementer………………………………………………………………………………. Funding Source: District/State Budget, private, NGO Forms of activity No.3:………………………………………………………………….. Location ……………………………………………………………………………… Implementer………………………………………………………………………………. Funding Source: District/State Budget, private, NGO Mitigation Forms of activity No. 1: ……………………………………………………………….... Location ……………………………………………………………………………. Implementer ………………………………………………………………………......... Funding Source : District/State, private, NGO Forms of activity No. 2: ………………………………………………………………….. Location ………………………………………………………………………………… Implementer……………………………………………………………………………….. Funding Source : District/State, private, NGO Forms of activity No. 3:…………………………………………………………………... Location …………………………………………………………………………….... Implementer……………………………………………………………………………..... Funding Source: District/State, private, NGO 3. If NO, what are two or three pilot activities to climate change mitigation and adaptation that you think should be prioritized and where the proposed implementation Mitigation (waste and renewable energy sector): Forms of activity No. 1: ……………………………….…………………………………....... Proposed Location of the implementation of (sub-district or village):…………………… The reason for selecting these locations: ………………………………………………..... ………………………………………………………………………………………………...... AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 3 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report – Annex 5 Forms of activity No. 2: ……………………………….…………………………………....... Proposed Location of the implementation of (sub-district or village):…………………… The reason for selecting these locations: ………………………………………………..... …………………………………………………………………………………………….......... Forms of activity No. 3: ……………………………….…………………………………...... Proposed Location of the implementation of (sub-district or village:…………………… The reason for selecting these locations: ……………………………………………….... ……………………………………………………………………………………………........ Adaptation (for agriculture / forestry and water resource management): Forms of activity No. 1: ……………………………….…………………………………..... Proposed Location of the implementation of (sub-district or village) :………………... The reason for selecting these locations: ………………………………………………... ……………………………………………………………………………………………….. Forms of activity No. 2: ……………………………….…………………………………... Proposed Location of the implementation of (sub-district or village) :………………… The reason for selecting these locations: ……………………………………………….. ……………………………………………………………………………………………….. Forms of activity No. 3: ……………………………….…………………………………... Proposed Location of the implementation of (sub-district or village) :………………… The reason for selecting these locations: ……………………………………………….. ……………………………………………………………………………………………….. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 4 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report – Annex 5 AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 5 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report – Annex 5 B RESPONDENTS No. Respondent 1 2 Organisation Bappeda BPLH 3 Name Iwan Sobarna Drs. Wawan Suryawan, M.Si Eddy Sofyan D/Wawa Sungkawa 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 Dyah Ajuni L Agus Purwanto Wawan Setiawan Siti Asyaroh Siti Hodijah Agus Supanji Jimmi Daud H. Teten Rahlan Agus Hermawan Syinta Juwita H. Aris Permono S.Sos, M.Si Denis Eriska Andik Hendro Siti M. Ekawati, S.E Nina Doni Tirto Kusumo Indra Purnama Aep Surahman Endah Yuniastuti Bappeda BLH Dis Kebersihan Bappeda BPLH KLH BLH KLH BPLH BPLH KLH BLH Bappeda Bappeda Bappeda BPLH BPLH KLH BLH AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. BPLH Section Adm. Negara Teknik tanah &air Environmental & Infrastructure Planning Hukum Lingkungan Planologi Pengelolaan Sumber Daya Air Analis Kimia Teknik Manajemen Industri Hukum Keperdataan Pemerintahan Hubungan Internasional Planologi Teknik Lingkungan Lingkungan Biologi 5 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx Goverment Purwakarta Ciamis Length of Service (years) 1 25 Bandung 11 Cimahi Sumedang Banjar Sumedang Kota Bandung Kota Sukabumi Kab. Subang Kota Tasikmalaya Kota Bekasi Kota Bogor Kota Cimahi Kab. Sukabumi Majalengka Kab. Garut Kab. Ciamis Kab. Garut Kab. Garut Kab. Indramayu Kab. Purwakarta 9 3 6 13 2 18 20 8 22 12 2 1 12 11 5 19 11 October 2011 Annex 6 Stakeholder Consultation Meetings Held by Package E during the Inception Phase TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report – Annex 6 ANNEX 6: STAKEHOLDER CONSULTATION MEETINGS HELD BY PACKAGE E DURING THE INCEPTION PHASE 1. Meeting with MOE staff on 14 February 2011 in MOE Office Jakarta discussing office preparation, flow of work, stake holder consultations. (Minutes and list of attendances available) 2. Meeting with MOE staff on 21 February 2011 in Park Lane Hotel, discussing: preparation of Socialization and introduction of Package E to stakeholders. 3. Socialization and introduction of Package E Meeting on 22 February 2011 in Banana Inn, Bandung. (Minutes and list of attendances available) 4. Meeting of Package D on 2 March 2011 in PJT II office in Bandung, introducing package E to stakeholder. (Invitation available) 5. Consultative Meeting with BPLHD Head and staffs on 4 March 2011 in BPLHD West Java Office in Bandung. (Minutes available). 6. Preparation of Inception Report Meeting with all Package E specialists on 7-10 March 2011 in CCROM, Bogor. 7. BBWS Citarum multi-stakeholder consultation meeting on 14 March 2011 in Bandung. 8. Consultative meeting with Bappeda and LH districts in West Java on 21-22 March 2011 in Garut. (List of attendance and questionnaire available) 9. Meeting with MOE staff on 25 March 2011 in Park Hotel, Jakarta, discussing: preparation of Inception Workshop for Package E. (List of attendances available). 10. Meeting with MOE staff on 30 March 2011in Botani Square, Bogor, discussing: preparation of Inception Workshop for Package E. AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 1 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011 Annex 7 Summary of Report from the Workshop Sessions during the Inception Workshop 19 April 2011 TA 7189-INO Institutional Strengthening for Integrated Water Resources Management in the 6 Cis River Basin Territory (Package E) Final Inception Report – Annex 7 ANNEX 7: SUMMARY OF REPORTS FROM WRKSHOP SESSIONS DURING THE INCEPTION WORKSHOP APRIL 19 2011 Working Group 1: Mainstreaming Climate Change Facilitator: Tulus Sibuea We need separate between adaptation and mitigation in facing water resources crisis in CRB. Arrange for real action by capacity development and training to multi stakeholder even operational level, government and private including with legislators. Working Group 2: Institutional Issues and Capacity Building Facilitator: Djuara Lubis. Weak coordination between sectors in planning and implementations Operational cost is very limited. Law enforcement is not powerful Improvement cooperation inter sector (horizontal and vertical line). Good cooperation between government, NGO and communities Pilot is not enough at community level but even in village level. Education institutions involvement Know how and knowledge training for government and village apparatus Training for law enforcement Satpol PP need to train for climate change Awareness improvement by grass root level in all villages at CRB. Working Group 3: Climate Modelling and Impacts Facilitator: Prof Rizaldi Boer: Climate modeling is started to do climate change model as per regional and running to progress Validates data is main problem Need further RTD between ADB and the other parties so for temporary the conclusion is none. Working Group 4: Pilot Projects (Adaptation and Mitigation) Facilitator: Rohmadi Ridlo Need to consider integrated pilot project designs Need a new innovative for mitigation pilot (not biogas and municipal waste only or the same with existence pilot). Need information access from BMKG related with sustainability agricultural system. Need the adaptation pilot : water infrastructure which is resistance to climate change Key factor to make the pilot has succeeded: community income, education, training, socialization, equipment aid. Give incentive for farmers to change the culture Suggest pilot at sub south Bandung watershed. Pilot project is integrated with the others Revitalization of Cikapundung river is done AECOM Asia Co. Ltd. 1 P:\60191318\1.01\Indo_1.01\Deliverables\Inception Report\Inception Report October 2011\TA-7189_INO_Final_Inception_Report_Ver 10 October 2011.docx October 2011