Moura, N. 2014 - Sustainable Amazon
Transcription
Moura, N. 2014 - Sustainable Amazon
UNIVERSIDADE FEDERAL DO PARÁ/MUSEU PARAENSE EMILIO GOELDI PROGRAMA DE PÓS-GRADUAÇÃO EM ZOOLOGIA DOUTORADO EM ZOOLOGIA Biodiversidade de aves em múltiplas paisagens na Amazônia brasileira Tese apresentada ao Programa de Pósgraduação em Zoologia, Nível Doutorado, do Museu Paraense Emílio Goeldi e Universidade Federal do Pará como requisito parcial para obtenção do grau de Doutor em Zoologia. Orientador: Dr. Alexandre Aleixo Co-orientador: Dr. Toby A. Gardner Belém- PA 2014 Nárgila Gomes de Moura BIODIVERSIDADE DE AVES EM MÚLTIPLAS PAISAGENS NA AMAZÔNIA BRASILEIRA Tese aprovada como requisito para obtenção do grau de Doutor em Zoologia no curso de Pós-Graduação em Zoologia do Museu Paraense Emílio Goeldi e Universidade Federal do Pará. Dr. Alexandre Aleixo Orientador Museu Paraense Emílio Goeldi Dr. Toby A. Gardner Co-orientador Stockholm Environment Institute Dra. Ima Vieira Titular Museu Paraense Emílio Goeldi Dr. Mario Cohn-Haft Titular Instituto Nacional de Pesquisa da Amazônia Dr. Marco Aurélio Pizo Titular Universidade Estadual Paulista Júlio de Mesquita Filho Dr. Marcos Pérsio Dantas Santos Titular Universidade Federal do Pará Dr. Luciano Montag Suplente Universidade Federal do Pará Dr. Ulisses Galatti Suplente Museu Paraense Emílio Goeldi 2 "There is, however, one natural feature of this country, the interest and grandeur of which may be fully appreciated in a single walk: it is the "virgin forest." (carta de Wallace em 1849 (sobre Amazônia) aos membros da Instituição dos Mecânicos em Neath, no País de Gales publicado no livro My Life de Wallace em 1905). 3 Agradecimentos Tenho imensa gratidão por diversas pessoas e instituições que tornaram essa tese possível. Arrisco dizer que esses quatro anos foram os melhores que já vivi, sempre cheio de desafios, conquistas e muito aprendizado. Agradeço ao CNPq pela concessão da bolsa de doutorado e ao programa Ciências sem fronteiras pela grande oportunidade de ficar 6 meses na Universidade de Cambridge, onde a convicência com outros pesquisadores e contato direto com o inglês foi absolutamente fundamental para a elaboração dessa tese . Agradeço ao Instituto Nacional de Ciência e Tecnologia - Biodiversidade e Uso da Terra na Amazônia (CNPq 574008/2008-0), National Environment Research Council (NE/G000816/1), Darwin Initiative (17–023), CAPES, Lancaster University, Embrapa Amazonia Oriental (SEG: 02.08.06.005.00), e The Nature Conservancy pelo financiamento do projeto Rede Amazônia Sustentável. Agradeço aos proprietários e sindicatos dos produtores rurais de Paragominas e Santarém pelo apoio e autorização da pesquisa nas propriedades. Agradeço imensamente ao meu orientador Dr. Alexandre Aleixo, pela valiosa oportunidade que agarrei com muita vontade, pelo voto de confiança, apoio e também pelas gratificantes conversas e discussões, pela amizade! Agradeço, mas sem ter realmente como agradecer ao meu Co-Orientador Dr. Toby Gardner, por ter aceitado me orientar em um projeto tão especial como Rede Amazônia Sustentável. Agradeço também por ter me recebido de braços abertos durante o meu período sanduíche na Universidade de Cambridge, que sem dúvida um uma experiência inesquecível. Pelas prazerosas conversas, reuniões, discussões, dedicação, otimismo, pela confiança e pela valiosa amizade. TOBY MUITO OBRIGADA! Também agradeço profundamente ao Dr. Alex Lees pelos grandes e intensos ensinamentos durante os oito meses de trabalho de campo, com quem aprendi não apenas a identificar, mas apreciar toda a beleza dentro de cada canto, de cara raridade, de cada nova descoberta. Agora a ornitologia pra mim deixou de ser apenas trabalho, passou a ser também way of life! Agradeço pela imensa paciência em corrigir minhas bobagens, o que era ainda pior por serem em inglês, pelas conversas, discussões, pelas ótimas passarinhadas (sempre tão inspiradoras). 4 Também agradeço a Dra Joice Ferreira, fundamental na execução dessa pesquisa, pela grande contribuição nos manuscritos. Também agradeço pelos inesquecíveis momentos em que também esteve presente durante minha estadia em Cambridge, pelos deliciosos jantares sempre regados a bons vinhos e boas músicas, pela grande amizade! Valeu Dra! Agradeço ao Dr. Jos Barlow pelas imensas contribuições e discussões na preparação dos manuscritos. Agradeço também ao tão carinhoso Dr. William Overall (Bill), a primeira pessoa a me mostrar a imensidão da floresta amazônica. Sempre cheio de histórias fascinantes. Agradeço a duas grandes amigas Ivaneide e Taty que sempre foram meu braço direito durante todo o doutorado, conversas sempre tão divertidas e inspiradoras. Ivaneide sempre pronta no Skype para qualquer grito! A Taty sempre tão positiva e carinhosa!! Obrigada queridas, vocês foram muito importantes nessa caminhada! Agradeço aos colegas do MPEG: Antonita, Boto, Bruno, Denise, Dudu, Fátima, Gabi, Lincoln, Marcos, Mateus, Mel, Pablo, Romina, Sidney, Tibério, todos sempre muito queridos! Também agradeço às minhas queridas amigas Grazi e Tharsi que, pelas valiosas conversas, discussões e inspirações e claro e pela ajuda em algumas análises. Aos guerreiros do RAS: Abel, Amanda, Bibito, Bob, Brad, Ciça Christian, Dadá, Edevandro (in memoriam), Erika, Karol, Luke, Martines, Nego (in memoriam), Pita, Selma, Valderi, Williams. Agradeço ao Ian e Nathália Thompson pela valiosa amizade, sempre presentes nas melhores passarinhadas. Aos meus queridos amigos goianos que me viram sair em busca de um sonho e sempre estiveram muito presentes, mesmo distante: Antônio Estevão, Gleiciane, Henrique, Negão, Rodolfo, Sejana, Taty, Yedda. Agradeço também à Fernanda Carneiro, super companheira de graduação e que me ajudou muito no processo de construção do meu projeto de doutorado, e mais tarde na proposta para o doutorado sanduíche, hoje professora da UEG, uma pesquisadora admirável! Valeu Fê! 5 Agradeço à minha família tão especial que sempre estiveram torcendo e estimulando toda essa minha longa caminhada. Meus pais Max e Valdite fontes e inspiração sobre o que é ser perseverante e capaz! Minhas queridas irmãs Lísia e Eveline, sempre ali de prontidão e na torcida e vibrando a cada conquista! Minha querida vovó Georgeta, um exemplo de disciplina e força de vontade. Amo vocês! Por fim, agradeço a pessoa que esteve 24h por dia do meu lado durante os 4 anos, sempre me enchendo de alegria e tornando qualquer desafio quase impossível em uma imensa conquista. Alex, muito obrigada, sem você teria sido muito mais difícil ♥! 6 Sumário Capítulo 1: Introdução geral 23 1. Amazônia 23 2. Mudanças de uso da terra 25 3. As aves, a paisagem amazônica e as mudanças de uso da terra 28 4. Projeto Rede Amazônia Sustentável (RAS) 29 5. Objetivos e estrutura da tese 30 Capítulo 2: Avian biodiversity in multiple-use landscapes of the Brazilian Amazon 32 Abstract 32 1. Introduction 33 2. Methods 34 2.1 Study regions and experimental design 34 2.2 Data analyses 37 3. Results 38 3.1 Species richness responses 40 3.2 Differences in species composition 44 3.3 Differences in species richness with changes in landscape-scale total forest cover 49 3.4 Additive partitioning of diversity 50 4. Discussion 51 4.1 Production areas 51 4.2 Secondary forests 52 4.3 Disturbed primary forests 54 4.4 Effects of landscape scale forest loss on avian diversity 55 5. Conclusions 55 Capítulo 3: Idiosyncratic responses of forest-associated Amazonian birds to disturbance and land-use changes 57 Abstract 57 1. Introduction 58 2. Materials and methods 60 2.1 Study regions and experimental design 60 2.2 Bird surveys 62 2.3 Environmental variables 66 7 2.3.1 Local variables 66 2.3.2 Landscape variables 67 2.4 Data analysis 68 3. Results 68 3.1 Species occupancy patterns 68 3.2 Importance of predictor variables 71 4. Discussion 78 4.1 Patterns of avian species occupancy 78 5. Conclusions 80 Capítulo 4: Two hundred years of local extinction in Eastern Amazonian 82 Abstract 82 1. Introduction 83 2. Methods 85 2.1 Study site 85 2.2 Data collection 86 2.3 Data analyses 87 3. Results 88 3.1 Possible extinctions in the MRB 88 3.2 Forest dependency of threatened species 93 3.3 Reassessment of species threat status 94 4. 98 Discussion 4.1 Patterns of local extinction in the MRB avifauna 100 4.2 Colonization of MRB by non-forest bird species 102 4.3 The future of the MRB avifauna 102 Capítulo 5: Conclusão geral 105 1. A importância das florestas primárias 106 2. Valor da conservação das florestas secundárias 107 3. Áreas agrícolas 109 4. Conservação na Amazônia dentro e fora das áreas de proteção 110 5. O futuro da Amazônia 112 6. Pesquisas futuras 112 Referências Bibliográficas 113 Anexo 1 137 8 ANEXO 2 156 9 Lista de Figuras Figura 1.1 Área com exploração madeireira em Paragominas (A) e floresta primária intacta na Floresta Nacional de Tapajós , Belterra 24 (B) ( N. Moura). Figura 1.2 Taxa anual de desmatamento na Amazônia legal entre 1988 e 2013 (INPE 2013). 25 Figura 1.3 Áreas de pastagem em Paragominas ( N. Moura). 26 Figura 1.4 Madeira explorada na Floresta Nacional do Tapajós (Santarém) (A) e transporte madeira em Paragominas (B). N. 27 Moura. Figura 1.5 Área de floresta primária sendo queimada (A) (J. Barlow); resíduos de madeira para produção de carvão em 27 Paragominas (B) ( N. Moura). Figura 1.6 Parceria desenvolvida sob a Rede Amazônia Sustentável. 30 Figure 2.1 Map of Paragominas (a) and Santarém/Belterra (b) showing the location of the 18 catchments surveyed in each municipality. Two example catchments are presented for each municipality in (c) showing the location of transects and transects design and positioning of point count stations (d). 35 Figure 2.2 Individual based species rarefaction curves per transect between land-use systems considering the entire avian assemblage (A and B) and forest-associated species (C and D) in PGM. Legend: dark green- primary forest; light green - secondary forest; blue - 39 pasture; yellow - mechanised agriculture; red - plantation. Figure 2.3 Individual-based species rarefaction curves per transect between land-use systems considering the entire avian assemblage (A and B) and forest birds (C and D) in STM. Legend: dark green primary forest; light green - secondary forest; blue - pasture; yellow - 10 mechanised agriculture; red - small-holder agriculture. 40 Figure 2.4 Species rarefaction curves per catchment in PGM and STM, considering the entire avian assemblage (filled circles) and forest birds (empty circles). 40 Figure 2.5 Box plots comparing avian species richness between land-use types and degradation forest classes in PGM and STM, using the entire avian assemblage (a and c) and just forest birds (b and d). Non-significant pairwise differences between land-use types are indicated by the presence of the same letter (according to Mann42 Whitney U). Figure 2.6 Box plots comparing avian species richness between land-use types, forest degradation classes and secondary forest age classes in PGM and STM, using the entire avian assemblage (A and C) and just forest birds (B and D). Non-significant pairwise differences between land-use types are indicated by the presence of the same letter (according to Mann-Whitney U). 43 Figure 2.7 NMDS plots of community structure of forest birds in all land-use types (a and c) and between different primary forest disturbance classes (b and d) in PGM and STM. Considering all land-use types (a and c) black circles = primary forest; empty circles = secondary forest; grey squares = pasture; empty squares = mechanised agriculture and black triangles = small-holder. For different primary forest disturbance classes (b and d) black triangles = undisturbed; grey hexagons = secondary forest; crossed squares = burnt forest; empty hexagons = logged&burnt forest; grey hexagons = logged forest; empty circles = secondary forest. 45 Figure 2.8 NMDS plots of forest species in each forest type in PGM and STM. Legend: empty circles - primary forest; black triangle intermediate secondary forest; black square-old secondary forest; black cross - young secondary forest; empty square - mechanised agriculture; grey square - pasture; black circle - plantation and black triangle - small-holder. 47 11 Figure 2.9 NMDS plots of community structure of entire avian assemblage in all land-use types (a and c) and between different primary forest degradation classes (b and d) in PGM and STM. Considering all land-use types (a and c) black circles = primary forest; empty circles = secondary forest; grey squares = pasture; empty squares = mechanised agriculture and black triangles = small-holder. For different primary forest disturbance classes (b and d) black triangles = undisturbed; grey hexagons = secondary forest; crossed squares = burnt forest; empty hexagons = logged&burnt forest; grey hexagons = logged forest; empty circles = secondary forest. 47 Figure 2.10 Linear regressions between percentage of primary forest cover (aggregating all disturbance classes within a 10 km radius of each catchment) and richness of forest birds in PGM adj.R² = 0.46 and STM adj.R² = 0.79 (p-values significant at 0.001). 50 Figure 2.11 Linear regressions between percentage of total forest cover (in a radius of 10 km) of each catchment, of forest birds richness in PGM (adj.r² = 0.4) and STM (adj.r² = 0.75); (p-values significant at 0.001). 50 Figure 2.12 Additive diversity partitioning (in %) in different land-use systems in PGM and STM, using forest birds. Black = Alpha (point counts); light grey = Beta (among point counts) and dark grey = Beta (among transects). 51 Figure 3.1. Map of Paragominas (a) and Santarém/Belterra (b) showing the location of the 18 catchments surveyed in each municipality. Two example catchments are presented for each municipality in (c) showing the location of transects and transects design and positioning of point count stations and vegetation plots (d). 61 Figure 3.2. Focal species (in taxonomic order) occupancy of different land use types in the municipalities of Paragominas (filled circles) and Santarém (empty circles).Illustrations reproduced with the permission of Lynx Edicions. 70 12 Figure 3.3. Distribution of the weighted importance values of environmental variables in primary forest for the 30 focal species in PGM and STM. NTL: number of time the transect was logged; NTB: number of time the transect was burned; EdgePS: Average distances to forest edges (primary forest +secondary forest >10 years); PFD: percentage of forest pixels degraded; TPL: total number of tree, palm and liana species; UD: understory density; BLL: biomass of leaf litter; BT10: biomass of trees with circumference >10 cm; BDT: biomass of dead trees; DPC: 71 deforestation curvature profile. Figure 3.4 Partial dependence plot for the three most important variables from random forest analysis in Paragominas (top panel) and Santarém (bottom panel). BT10: biomass of trees with circumference >10 cm. EdgePS: Average distances to forest edges (primary forest +secondary forest >10 years); PFD: percentage of forest pixels degraded. 72 Figure 3.5 Ranked goodness-of-fit (pseudo-R²) models for each focal species in Paragominas and Santarém. 73 Figure 3.6 R² weighted importance by species in PGM for each environmental variable NTL: number of time the transect was logged; NTB: number of time the transect was burned; EdgePS: Average distances to forest edges (primary forest +secondary forest >10 years); PFD: percentage of forest pixels degraded; TPL: total number of tree, palm and liana species; UD: understory density; BLL: biomass of leaf litter; BT10: biomass of trees with circumference >10cm; BDT: biomass of dead trees; DPC: deforestation curvature profile, ELEV: Elevation. 74 Figure 3.7 R² weighted importance by species in STM for each environmental variable. NTL: number of time the transect was logged; NTB: number of time the transect was burned; EdgePS: Average distances to forest edges (primary forest +secondary forest >10 years); PFD: percentage of forest pixels degraded; TPL: total number of tree, palm and liana species; UD: understory density; 13 BLL: biomass of leaf litter; BT10: biomass of trees with circumference >10cm; BDT: biomass of dead trees; DPC: deforestation curvature profile; ELEV: Elevation. 76 Figure 3.8. Cluster heat-map of species with goodness-of-fit ≥ 0.4 after RF modelling for both Paragominas and Santarém. Each cell is coloured based on the R² weighted values generated by RF. The cluster on the left side of each heat-map groups species with similar response patterns according to their relationship with different predictor variables. Table legend: F- frugivores, O- omnivore, Iinsectivore; Flock: SO- solitary, MF- monospecific flock, FD- flock – dropout; Strata: M- midstory, C- canopy, U- understory. Environmental variables: NTL: number of time the transect was logged; NTB: number of time the transect was burned; EdgePS: Average distances to forest edges (primary forest +secondary forest >10 years); PFD: percentage of forest pixels degraded; TPL: total number of tree, palm and liana species; UD: understory density; BLL: biomass of leaf litter; BT10: biomass of trees with circumference >10cm; BDT: biomass of dead trees; DPC: deforestation curvature profile; ELEV: Elevation. 77 Figure 4.1 Map indicating the position of the study regions MRB and Paragominas in Brazil (a) and the state of Pará (b); extent of remaining forest cover in the MRB (forest as dark pixels, urban and agricultural areas in white) (c) and one of two specimens of Rufousrumped Foliage-gleaner (Philydor erythrocercum) collected by Sir Alfred Russel Wallace at ‘Pará’ (old name for Belém) in May 1849 and deposited at the Natural History Museum, Tring, England (A. C. Lees © Natural History Museum, Tring) (d). This latter species was last reported in the MRB in 1965, but according to the Solow calculations is potentially still extant. It is most likely to persist in the 6,367 km2 Refúgio de Vida Silvestre Metrópole da Amazônia, the largest area of contiguous primary forest left in the MRB. 85 Figure 4.2 Last record, extinction date (year), and confidence intervals for 47 species unrecorded in the Metropolitan region of Belém, Brazil, after 1980 (gray squares, last record of species presumed extinct but for which there are insufficient records to use 14 the Solow equation (n<4); white triangles, last record for species considered extant based on Solow equation; black circles, date of last record for species considered extinct based on Solow equation; white circles, extinction date inferred based on Solow equation; semi-filled diamond, species extant based on Solow equation and extinct based on sighting rate; semi-filled circle, species extinct based on Solow equation and extant based on sighting rate; crosses, 95% confidence interval for extinct species based on Solow 92 equation). Figure 4.3 Relationship between inferred extinction date in the Metropolitan region of Belém and occupancy of catchments in 93 Paragominas, Brazil (r² = 0.16, p < 0.05). Figure 4.4 Schematic of framework illustrating how time since last record interacts with confidence of extinction (bold, globally threatened species [IUCN 2013]; asterisk, included on the regional red list). The framework can be used to determine how species can be classified locally as possibly extinct, probably extinct or extinct 98 (adapted from Butchart et al. [2006]). Figura 5.1 Gradiente de perturbação em Paragominas e Santarém/Belterra . (A) floresta primária intacta, (B) floresta primária que sofreu corte seletivo, (C) floresta primária que sofreu corte seletivo e queimada, (D) floresta secundária, (E) plantação de eucalipto, (F) agricultura familiar, (G) pastagem e (H) agricultura mecanizada. Fotos C, D e F. A.C. Lees e fotos A, B,E, G e H N. 105 Moura. Figura 5.2 Guaruba guarouba (ararajuba). Espécie extinta na região metropolitana de Belém. O último registro foi de A. Wallace em 1848 (A. C. Lees © Natural History Museum, Tring). 106 Figura 5.3 Espécies registradas em áreas de floresta primária e secundária. (A) Philydor erythrocercum (limpa-folha-de-sobre-ruivo), (B) Willisornis virdua (rendadinho), (C) Ibycter americana (gralhão) e (D) Taeniotriccus andrei (maria-bonita) (N. Moura). 108 Figura 5.4 Espécies registradas nas paisagens agrícolas de 15 Paragominas e Santarém/Belterra. (A) Columbina passerina (rolinha-cinzenta), (B) Anthus lutescens (caminheiro-zumbidor), Melanerpes candidus (pica-pau-branco) e (D) Crotophaga ani (anupreto) (N. Moura). 110 Figura 5.5 Áreas protegidas na Amazônia até 2010 (Veríssimo et al. 111 2011). 16 Lista de Tabelas Table 2.1 Total number of transects allocated to each land-use type in both study regions. 37 Table 2.2 PERMANOVA Pseudo-F statistic values of global test (pvalues in parenthesis) and t values of pair-wise comparison (pvalues in parenthesis) for forest birds composition in different landuse types and forest disturbance classes in two regions, PGM and STM, of the Brazilian Amazon. NA indicates that the comparison is not valid as the land use in question is unsampled in the respective municipality. 46 Table 2.3 PERMANOVA Pseudo-F values of global test (p-values in parenthesis) and t-values of pair-wise comparison (p-values in parenthesis) for the forest bird assemblage in different land-use types and primary forest degradation classes in PGM and STM. NA indicates that the comparison is not valid as the land use is unsampled in the municipality in question. 48 Tabela 2.4 PERMANOVA Pseudo-F values of global test (p-values in parenthesis) and t-values of pair-wise comparison (p-values in parenthesis) for the entire bird assemblage in different land-use types, primary forest degradation classes and secondary forest age in PGM and STM. NA indicates that the comparison is not valid as the land use is unsampled in the municipality in question. 49 Table 2.5 Percentage of total species and forest birds (in parentheses) shared between land-use system in PGM and STM. 53 Table 2.6 Percentage of all species and forest birds (in parentheses) shared between different forest degradation classes in PGM and STM. 53 Table 3.1 Total number of transects allocated to each land-use type in both study regions 62 17 Table 3.2 Focal species and their respective life strategies such as diet, feeding strategy, flocking behaviour and forest strata occupied. PGM and STM represent Paragominas and Santarém-Belterra study 64 regions respectively. Table 4.1 Species unrecorded in the last 33 years in the Metropolitan region of Belém. 90 Table 4.2 Principle threats and Red List evaluations of threatened taxa at the State (Pará), national (Brazil) and global (IUCN) level and status of of the species in the MRB and Paragominas. 95 Table 4.3 Long term species loss from Neotropical forest regions. 99 18 Resumo Cobrindo aproximadamente 5.500 km², a Amazônia é o maior remanescente de floresta tropical do planeta. A região representa uma prioridade global para conservação por estar estar sujeita às maiores taxas absolutas de perda e degradação das florestas no mundo, colocando em risco a sua rica biodiversidade e importantes serviços ecossistêmicos. Apesar da quantidade de trabalhos buscando entender quais os impactos das mudanças de uso da terra sobre a biodiversidade ser crescente, muitos estudos ainda são limitados pela escala, quantidade de amostragem e a quantidade de habitats amostrados. Destarte, os objetivos dessa tese foram: 1) Avaliar a perda de espécies de aves ao longo de um gradiente de impacto antrópico (que variou desde floresta primária, floresta secundária, silvicultura, pastegem, agricultura familiar e agricultura mecanizada) em duas diferentes regiões da Amazônia brasileira (Paragominas e Santarém) na tentativa de esclarecer os efeitos da heterogeneidade da paisagem, dos diferentes usos da terra na região e histórico de ocupação e deste modo estimar o valor da conservação; 2) investigar os padrões de ocupação de diferentes espécies e se esses padrões são influenciados por fatores locais, regionais e históricos nos municípios de Paragominas e Santarém; 3) buscar evidência para extinção histórica da avifauna de florestas de terra firme em uma fronteira de desmatamento antiga (a Região Metropolitana de Belém), e comparar com os padrões de ocupação de uma área que possui impactos mais recentes (Paragominas). Em Paragominas e Santarém foram selecionadas 18 microbacias aleatoriamente com 8 a 12 transectos onde foram feito pontos de escuta, amostragem da vegetação e solo. Os resultados mais importantes mostraram que 1) as florestas primárias apresentaram maior riqueza de espécies florestais, ao contrário das áreas agrícolas, que além da baixa riqueza, também apresentaram uma comunidade diferente; 2) a riqueza nas florestas primárias intactas foi estatisticamente semelhante àquela das florestas que sofreram apenas corte seletivo; 3) a estrutura da comunidade foi, diferente entre todas as classes de floresta primária; 4) as florestas secundárias apresentaram riqueza e estrutura de comunidade intermediária, porém ainda estatisticamente diferentes as florestas primárias; 5) a partição aditiva revelou que a composição de espécies variou mais entre os transectos de floresta intacta, diminuindo de maneira constante em transectos com o aumento da degradação florestal e intensidade do uso da terra; 6) as espécies (florestais), focais ( declinaram ao longo do gradiente e foram raras nas áreas de florestas secundárias e em geral ausentes nas áreas agrícola, respondendo idiosincraticamente às diferentes variáveis ambientais; e 7) na região metropolitana de 19 Belém, 47 espécies (14% das espécies da região) estão provavelmente extintas sendo a perda de habitat, degradação florestal, caça e tráfico de animais silvestres os principais fatores resposáveis. Muitas dessas espécies que desapareceram nos arredores de Belém, também são raras ou já estão extintas em Paragominas. Todavia, a conservação de grandes extensões de floresta continua sendo o fator mais importante para a conservação das espécies importantes do ponto de vista conservacionista. Não menos importante, para diminuir a pressão de ocupação sobre áreas florestais, a intensificação do uso nas áreas já defaunadas pode proteger os remanescentes da degradação, além de ser o melhor caminho para equilibrar o desenvolvimento e as metas de conservação. 20 Abstract Covering about 5,500 km ² Amazon is the largest remaining expanse of tropical rainforest. Thus, Amazonia is a global conservation priority subject to the highest absolute rates of forest loss and degradation worldwide, jeopardizing its rich biodiversity and important ecosystem services. Despite an increasing volume of work trying to understand the impacts of land-use change on regional biodiversity, many studies are limited by their spatial extent, sample size and the breadth of habitat types studied. The aims of this thesis were to: 1) evaluate the loss of bird species along a gradient of anthropogenic impact (ranging from primary forest to mechanized agriculture) in two different regions of the Brazilian Amazon (Paragominas and Santarém) in an attempt to elucidate the effects of landscape heterogeneity, differing land-uses and history of occupation and thereby estimate their relative values for conservation; 2) investigate the occupancy patterns of different species and whether these patterns are influenced by local, regional and historical factors in the municipalities of Santarém and Paragominas; 3) search for evidence of historical extinctions of the avifauna of terra firme forests on an old deforestation frontier (the metropolitan region of Belém) and compare the occupation patterns with an area which has been impacted more recently (Paragominas). In Paragominas and Santarém 18 watersheds were selected randomly with 8-12 transects per watershed in which point counts and vegetation sampling was carried out. The most important results indicate that 1) primary forests showed exhibit the highest richness of forest species and agricultural areas the lowest, with a near-complete turnover in community; 2) although richest in species, undisturbed primary forests were not statistically separable in richness from logged forests although they were from more depaurperate logged and burned forest;. 3) community structure was however different between all classes of primary forest; 4) secondary forests had intermediate richness and community structure, but were still statistically different in both from primary forests; 5) diversity partitioning revealed that species composition varied the most among undisturbed forest transects, and steadily decreased with increasing forest degradation and landuse intensity; 6) focal species declined along the gradient and were rare in areas of secondary forests and generally absent from agricultural areas and responded idiosyncratically to different environmental variables; 7) the metropolitan region of Belém may have lost 47 species (14% of the regional species pool) probably due to habitat loss, degradation and hunting/traffic. Many of these species that have disappeared from around Belém are also rare or extinct in neighboring Paragominas. 21 The conservation of large areas of forest remains the most important conservation goal, and these should be protected from fires and frequent logging events. Given the low bird diversity in agricultural areas, intensifying land-use (whilst maintaining or expanding landscape connectivity) in such areas may better balance development and conservation goals. 22 Capítulo 1 Introdução Geral 1. Amazônia As florestas tropicais ocorrem em mais de 80 países, ocupando aproximadamente 1.150 milhões de ha, em sua maioria na bacia amazônica, bacia do Congo e sudoeste de Ásia (Mayaux et al. 2005), sendo consideradas um dos os biomas mais complexos em termos de estrutura, riqueza e diversidade de espécies. As florestas tropicais possuem um papel importante na prestação de serviços ecossistêmicos (Myers 1996, Grimes et al. 2004) como, por exemplo, regulação do clima (e.g. Malhi et al. 2008), fotossíntese e regulação dos níveis do gás carbônico (e.g. Malhi et al. 2009), fornecimento de bens como alimento, madeira e água (e.g. Shone e Caviglia-Harris 2006), além de ser um grande reservatório de biodiversidade (Laurance 2007). Entretanto, com estimativas de aumento da população mundial para 10,9 bilhões até 2100 (United Nations 2013), tem aumentado também a demanda para produção de alimentos, biocombustíveis e madeira (Tilman et al. 2011, Laurence et al. 2014) e, deste modo, aumentando também a pressão para expansão agrícola nas áreas tropicais, com estimativas de que 109 milhões de ha de floresta serão desmatados para agricultura até 2050 (Tilman et al. 2001), principalmente na América do Sul e África subsaariana, que possuem grandes áreas de terras com potencial agrícola ainda inexplorado (Tilman et al. 2011). Com aproximadamente 40% dos remanescentes de florestas tropicais do planeta (Hubbell et al. 2008), a bacia amazônica estende-se do oceano Atlântico até as encostas orientais da Cordilheira dos Andes, fazendo parte de nove dos 12 países da América do Sul (Ab’Saber 1977). Quase 70% do bioma pertencem ao Brasil, ocupando 49,2% do território brasileiro e abrigando 13,38% da população (IBGE 2013). A floresta amazônica também é conhecida pela sua biodiversidade tanto terrestre quanto aquática. Apesar da exata quantidade de espécies ser ainda desconhecida, há aproximadamente 50.000 espécies de plantas vasculares (Hubbell et al. 2008) e pelo menos 1300 espécies de aves (Whitney e Conh-Haft 2013). 23 É considerada uma floresta heterogênea tanto em termos de estrutura quanto em composição de espécies (Tuomisto et al. 1995), podendo o bioma ser biogeograficamente dividido em oito centros de endemismo; três deles de ocorrência exclusiva no Brasil, Tapajós, Xingu e Belém, estando os dois últimos com a maior porcentagem de sua área desmatada (Silva et al. 2005). A Amazônia tem sido ameaçada pelas constantes pressões de desmatamento (Fearnside 2008, Vieira et al. 2008), dando lugar às pastagens, agricultura (Colson et al. 2010), silvicultura (Barlow et al. 2007b), biodiesel (Butler e Laurance 2009), extração madeireira (Asner et al. 2006), construção de barragens (Fearnside 2001) e também pelas mudanças climáticas potencias, como as intensas secas ocorridas no sudoeste da Amazônia em 2005 (Saleska et al 2007, Nobre et al. 2007) e em 2010 (Lewis et al. 2011). A B Figura 1.1 Área com exploração madeireira em Paragominas (A) e floresta primária intacta na Floresta Nacional de Tapajós , Belterra (B) ( N. Moura). No Brasil, a taxa anual de desmatamento diminuiu por quatro anos consecutivos (2009 a 2012, sendo 2012 a menor taxa já registrada), Fig. 1.2. Porém, entre agosto de 2012 e julho de 2013, foram desmatados 5.843 km² de floresta, 28% a mais do que havia sido registrado no período anterior, sendo os estados do Mato Grosso e Rondônia os que mais contribuíram para esse aumento (INPE 2013). Esses estados compõem o Arco do Desmatamento, que se estende do Maranhão até Rondônia, área de forte expansão agrícola. 24 . Figura 1.2 Taxa anual de desmatamento na Amazônia legal entre 1988 e 2013 (INPE 2013). 2. Mudanças de uso da terra Mudança de uso da terra é a conversão de paisagens naturais para uso humano ou a modificação das práticas de manejo em terras dominadas pelo homem (Foley et al. 2005) que podem incluir agricultura de corte e queima, corte seletivo, conversão de floresta em pastagens e áreas de produção agrícola, plantio comercial de árvores (eucalipto, paricá etc) e urbanização (Gardner et al. 2009, Peres et al. 2010), havendo uma expansão dessa paisagem modificada nas últimas décadas (Foley et al. 2005, Laurance et al. 2014). Por muitos anos, a criação de pastagens foi o principal agente de desmatamento. Até 2010 66% das áreas desflorestadas na Amazônia Legal foram para criação de pastos (TerraClass 2010). Fatores como baixa fertilidade, alta pluviosidade e degradação dos solos em algumas regiões amazônicas (Arima et al. 2005) levaram ao abandono das pastagens, promovendo o crescimento de floresta secundária em diversos estágios de desenvolvimento (Vieira et al. 2008) que atualmente têm sido apontadas como um importante potencial para a preservação da biodiversidade, especialmente as florestas secundárias antigas (Chazdon et al. 2009). 25 Figura 1.3 Áreas de pastagem em Paragominas ( N. Moura). De acordo com Putz e Redford (2010), a degradação florestal consiste em florestas primárias que já sofreram perda de estrutura e composição pelo corte seletivo, queimada, invasão de espécies exóticas, excesso de caça, em geral ações provocadas pelo homem. Na Amazônia, degradação a retirada de madeira (Fig. 1.4) é um dos causadores de mais importantes. Apesar da exploração madeireira ainda ser subestimada, pelo menos 27 milhões de metros cúbico de madeira são removidos anualmente, degradando áreas entre 12.075 e 19.283 Km², muitas vezes ultrapassando o total anual de área desmatada (Asner et al. 2005). Os efeitos gerados pelo corte seletivo são diversos, dentre eles a alteração na estrutura da floresta pelos danos causados no dossel, subosque e árvores remanescentes (Uhl e Vieira 1989, Nepstad et al. 1999, Asner et al. 2004), aumento da susceptibilidade da floresta ao fogo (Uhl e Kauffman 1990, Nepstad et al. 1999), liberação de carbono na atmosfera (Asner et al. 2005) e danos à biodiversidade (Dunn 2004a, Barlow et al. 2006). 26 A B Figura 1.4 Madeira explorada na Floresta Nacional do Tapajós (Santarém) (A) e transporte madeira em Paragominas (B). N. Moura. De maneira geral, a floresta amazônica é resistente à ação do fogo (Holdsworth e Uhl 1997). Todavia, a exploração madeireira aumenta a quantidade de resíduos lenhosos que podem funcionar como combustíveis e altera a abertura do dossel, ressecando o solo e sub-bosque, tornando a floresta mais susceptível ao fogo (Holdsworth e Uhl 1997). E ainda, as florestas exploradas comumente estão próximas às áreas de pastagens e agricultura nos quais o fogo é utilizado para a limpeza e manutenção. As queimadas, além de aumentarem a liberação de gás carbônico para a atmosfera (Haugaasen et al. 2003), têm consequências graves para a biodiversidade. Barlow et al. (2002) relataram que o fogo, além de afetar estrutura da floresta, também afetou negativamente as aves de sub-bosque, contribuindo com significativa perda de espécies quando comparado às áreas não queimadas. A B Figura 1.5 Área de floresta primária sendo queimada (A) (J. Barlow); resíduos de madeira para produção de carvão em Paragominas (B) ( N. Moura). 27 3. As aves, a paisagem amazônica e as mudanças de uso da terra As aves têm sido amplamente utilizadas como bioindicadores devido aos seguintes fatores: 1) ecologia relativamente bem conhecida; 2) grande número de espécies apresentam sensibilidade à perda de habitat e fragmentação; 3) são relativamente fáceis de detectar; e 4) apresentam alta relação custo/benefício como indicadores ecológicos (Gardner et al. 2008). Vários fatores ameaçam a permanência e sobrevivência da avifauna nas florestas tropicais, dentre eles a fragmentação, perda de habitat e degradação florestal, os quais afetam a distribuição (Van Houtan et al. 2007) e riqueza (Lees e Peres 2006) das comunidades, desencadeando a extinção local de algumas espécies (Stratford e Stouffer 1999, Lees e Peres 2008b). De forma indireta, as aves também podem ser afetadas por meio das mudanças na abundância e/ou composição de espécies de outros grupos biológicos (Feeley e Terborgh 2008), como o efeito cascata gerado pela remoção de grandes predadores dos fragmentos que resulta em aumento de mesopredadores, elevando a pressão de predação sobre as espécies de aves (Crooks e Soulé 1999). Com o aumento das áreas modificadas pelas ações humanas na Amazônia, sejam elas para criação de pastagens ou exploração madeireira, diversos estudos têm sido feitos com o intuito de compreender as respostas da avifauna a essas mudanças de uso da terra. Para definir com precisão a importância das áreas modificadas para a conservação da biodiversidade regional, é necessário saber qual a proporção de espécies que habitam as áreas modificadas em relação àquelas que coexistem na floresta original (Gardner et al. 2009). O Projeto Dinâmica Biológica de Fragmentos Florestais – PDBFF foi um dos pioneiros a buscar este tipo de informação. Iniciado em 1979 e ainda em andamento, o PDBFF investiga as consequências ecológicas do desmatamento e da fragmentação florestal, monitorando fragmentos que variam de 1 a 100 ha na Amazônia Central antes e após a fragmentação, estudando diversos tipos de perturbação em grupos biológicos como a avifauna, principalmente sobre as espécies de sub-bosque, como efeito de borda (e.g. Laurance 2004), tamanho do fragmento (e.g. Stouffer et al. 2008), efeito pela matriz circundante (e.g. Antongiovanni e Metzger 2005), extinção (Stratford e Stouffer 1999), entre outros. Diversos estudos sobre como a fragmentação afeta a avifauna também foram realizados no norte do Mato Grosso (região de Alta Floresta), que possui uma 28 paisagem muito fragmentada, mostrando efeitos negativos sobre as comunidades de aves e mamíferos, extinção local em pequenos fragmentos (Lees e Peres 2006, 2008), como a incapacidade de algumas espécies se movimentarem em uma paisagem fragmentada (Lees e Peres 2009) e a baixa riqueza de espécies na matriz não-florestal (Mahood et al. 2012). No nordeste da Amazônia, na fronteira entre os estados do Pará e Amapá (Projeto Jari), foi estudado o impacto da plantação eucaliptos e das florestas secundárias (e.g. Barlow et al. 2007b), bem como o efeito de queimadas recorrentes (e.g. Barlow et al. 2006) que também afetaram negativamente a avifauna de subbosque. Porém, apesar dos efeitos das modificações de uso da terra na Amazônia serem relativamente bem conhecidos, grandes partes das pesquisas são ainda limitadas pela escala espacial ou concentrada em regiões bem estudadas e de acesso relativamente fácil. Além disso, há tendência em se priorizar os efeitos da fragmentação, exploração de madeira ou impactos do fogo em pequenas áreas (Gardner et al. 2009, Peres et al. 2010). 4. Projeto Rede Amazônia Sustentável (RAS) O RAS é uma iniciativa multidisciplinar de pesquisa que envolve mais de 30 organizações nacionais e internacionais (Fig. 1.6) que trabalham para avaliar as dimensões ecológicas e sociais da sustentabilidade dos usos da terra na Amazônia oriental (Gardner et al. 2013). O RAS possui um inovador desenho experimental, utilizando múltiplas escalas espaciais para a coleta de dados relacionados à biodiversidade e socioeconômica, envolvendo três objetivos principais: 1) quantificar e compreender as consequências ecológicas do desmatamento, degradação, exploração florestal e conversão para agricultura em múltiplas escalas espaciais; 2) avaliar os fatores que determinam os padrões dos tipos de uso da terra, escolha de gestão, produtividade agrícola, lucros e padrões de bem-estar nos agricultores; 3) utilizar os resultados multidisciplinares para avaliar a relação entre conservação e desenvolvimento e, assim, identificar os potenciais "trade-offs" e sinergias. 29 . Figura 1.6 Parceria desenvolvida sob a Rede Amazonia Sustentável. Os estudos foram realizados em dois municípios paraenses: Paragominas e Santarém/Belterra, regiões que possuem distintas características biofísicas e históricas de uso da terra e ocupação humana. Os dois municípios estão em diferentes regiões biogeográficas; Paragominas no centro de endemismo Belém e Santarém/Belterra no centro de endemismo Tapajós (Silva et al. 2005). Santarém/Belterra foram fundadas em 1661, enquanto Paragominas apenas em 1959, com a criação da rodovia Belém-Brasília. Ambos municípios também possuem iniciativas de sustentabilidade. Em Paragominas foi implantada a iniciativa Município Verde para a retirada do município do topo da lista dos que mais desmatam a Amazônia e, em Santarém, foi implantada a moratória para a expansão da soja. Em ambos, as iniciativas foram fortemente apoiadas pelo governo local, instituições não governamentais e pelos sindicatos dos produtores rurais, tornando possível a execução do RAS. 5. Objetivos e estrutura da tese Os três principais objetivos desta tese foram: 1. Avaliar a perda de espécies de aves ao longo de um gradiente de impacto antrópico nos municípios de Paragominas e Santarém/Belterra, regiões que apresentam similar cobertura florestal, porém com diferentes históricos de uso; 30 2. Investigar os padrões de ocupação de diferentes espécies nas paisagens de estudo e se esses padrões são influenciados por fatores locais, paisagísticos e históricos nos municípios de Paragominas e Santarém/Belterra; 3. Buscar evidência para extinção histórica da avifauna de terra firme na Região Metropolitana de Belém, fronteira de desmatamento mais antiga na Amazônia, e compará-las com os dados coletados em Paragominas, sujeita ao desmatamento mais recente. Essa tese foi escrita em 5 capítulos. No capítulo 1 foi feita uma introdução geral da tese. Os capítulos 2, 3 e 4 foram escritos na forma de artigos científicos em inglês, de forma que alguns elementos, como, os materiais e métodos podem, naturalmente, conter informações já citadas, o que facilitará a compreensão de cada capítulo individualmente, sem a necessidade de retornar a uma seção específica para materiais e métodos para avaliação de alguma informação relevante. Em cada manuscrito, os resultados foram interpretados e discutidos de maneira que maximizasse os interesses científicos gerais. A ênfase teórica pode, pois, ser diferenciada entre os capítulos. No capítulo 5, é feita uma conclusão geral com os resultados obtidos. Os capítulos 2 e 4 já foram publicados (Moura et al. 2013, Moura et al. 2014). O capítulo 3 está em preparação para ser submetido à Biotropica. Os capítulos foram apresentados de acordo com o conteúdo e não pela ordem cronológica publicada. No capítulo 2, foi explorado a resposta da comunidade de aves às mudanças de uso da terra em um gradiente de perturbação (de floresta primária não perturbada, florestas degradadas por corte seletivo e/ou queima, florestas secundárias, pastagens, silvicultura, agricultura familiar e áreas de agricultura mecanizada). Já no capítulo 3, foi investigada a resposta de um grupo de espécies representativo de toda comunidade ao gradiente de perturbação. No capítulo 4, foram utilizados os dados coletados desde 1812 relativos à avifauna na região metropolitana de Belém, após a vinda dos primeiros naturalistas, como Alfred Russel Wallace, embasando evidências para extinção local com a utilização de dados coletados em Paragominas como baseline. No anexo 1, foram listadas as espécies registradas durante o levantamento nos municípios de Paragominas e Santarém/Belterra e, no anexo 2, estão listados outros resultados publicados com base nos dados coletados em Paragominas e Santarém/Belterra. 31 Capítulo 2 Avian biodiversity in multiple-use landscapes of the Brazilian Amazon Publicado como: Moura, N. G., A. C. Lees, C. B. Andretti, B. J. W. Davis, R. R. C. Solar, A. Aleixo, J. Barlow, J. Ferreira, and T. A. Gardner. 2013. Avian biodiversity in multiple-use landscapes of the Brazilian Amazon. Biological Conservation, 167, 339– 348. Abstract Habitat loss and degradation is the most pervasive threat to tropical biodiversity worldwide. Amazonia sits at the frontline of efforts to both improve the productivity of tropical agriculture and prevent the loss of biodiversity. To date our understanding of the biodiversity impacts of agricultural expansion in Amazonia is restricted to findings from small scale studies that typically assess the importance of a limited number of land-use types. Here we investigate local and landscape-scale responses of Amazonian avian assemblages to land-cover changes across a gradient of land-use intensity ranging from undisturbed primary forest to mechanised agriculture in 36 drainage catchments distributed across two large regions of the eastern Brazilian Amazon. We found that species richness of forest-associated birds declined progressively along this gradient, accompanied by marked shifts in assemblage composition. We found significant changes in species composition, but not richness, between primary forests that had been subject to different levels of disturbance from logging and fire. Secondary forests retained levels of species richness intermediate between primary forests and production areas, but lacked many forest-dependent species. Production areas (arable crops, cattle pastures and plantation forests) all retained far fewer species than any forest habitat, and were largely dominated by taxa commonly associated with open areas. Diversity partitioning revealed that species composition varied the most among undisturbed forest transects, and steadily decreased with increasing forest degradation and land-use intensity. Our results emphasise the importance of protecting both remaining areas of primary forest in private lands, as well as protecting the same forests from further disturbance events. Keywords: tropical agriculture; forest disturbance; landscape-scale; biodiversity; Brazilian Forest Code; private lands 32 1. Introduction In the tropics, land-use change has been the principal driver of biodiversity loss (Sala et al. 2000, Hooper et al. 2012) and ecosystem function impairment (Cardinale et al. 2012). Understanding the impacts of land-use change on patterns of species occurrence and abundance is of fundamental importance for developing effective conservation strategies (Gardner et al. 2009, Waltert et al. 2011, Balmford et al. 2012). In the Brazilian Amazon, despite significant reductions in deforestation, 4,656 km² of forest were still lost in 2012 (INPE 2013). The loss and degradation (e.g. from timber extraction, fire and over-exploitation of non-timber forest products) of primary forest remains the most important threat facing the biodiversity of the region (Peres et al. 2010), and is being driven by agricultural expansion (Davidson et al. 2012) and catalysed by major infrastructure improvements including road building and paving projects (Fearnside 2007, Fearnside et al. 2012). Although the impacts of forest loss, fragmentation and degradation on Amazonian biota are now increasingly understood, the majority of existing studies are limited in their spatial scale, concentrated in well-studied areas of the region, and have tended to focus on either fragmentation, forestry or fire impacts over a narrow range of land-uses (see reviews in Gardner et al. 2009, Peres et al. 2010, Laurance et al. 2011). In addition the vast majority of studies assessing the impacts of land-use change on biodiversity across the tropics have been limited to site-based assessments, despite increasing evidence indicating that landscape scale characteristics (such as the loss of total forest cover) can have a major influence on local species distribution patterns (e.g. Bennett et al. 2006, Pardini et al. 2010). As a consequence, insights into the impacts of multiple land-uses on Amazonian biota have up until now remained largely within the domain of meta-analyses (e.g. Barlow et al. 2006), which do not account for important differences in landscape context. Here we evaluate avian responses to changes in forest disturbance and landuse across nearly 400 study sites distributed across 36 catchments in two different regions of the Brazilian Amazon, encompassing the full gradient of dominant Amazonian land-use types. Birds are excellent indicators of the ecological consequences of disturbance because their ecology is relatively well known, they are relatively easy to identify and cheap to survey (provided expert field observers can be sourced), and they exhibit a broad range of interspecific responses to human impacts at spatial and temporal scales that can be readily interpreted by snap-shot field assessments (Howard et al. 1998, Lees and Peres 2006, Gardner et al. 2008). 33 We have three main aims. First we assess the loss of bird species (total number of species and number of primary forest-associated species separately) along a gradient of human impact from undisturbed primary forest through primary forest that has been varyingly disturbed by logging and fire, secondary re-growth, plantation forests, pastures and mechanised agriculture. This assessment contributes important information towards debates regarding the relative biodiversity value (compared to a primary forest baseline) of production areas (Peres et al. 2010, Mahood et al. 2012), secondary forests (Dent and Wright 2009), and forests degraded by fire and logging compared to relatively undisturbed primary forest (Barlow et al. 2006). Second, we compare patterns of avian species richness across catchments (separate landscapes) distributed along a gradient of deforestation in each study region, providing the first assessment of how changes in total forest cover can influence landscape-scale patterns of diversity in multiple-use tropical forest regions. Third, we investigate how patterns of avian diversity are partitioned across multiple spatial scales and within each major land-use type, from point counts to transects to landscapes, and ask whether differences in total forest cover explain these patterns through relative contributions of the α, and β diversity components (Tylianakis et al. 2006). 2. Methods 2.1 Study regions and experimental design This study was conducted in two regions of eastern and central Pará state (Fig. 2.1), Brazilian Amazonia, in the municipalities of Paragominas (PGM) between 28 July and 20 November 2010 and 18 to 29 May 2011 (NGM and ACL) and in Santarém/Belterra (STM) between 16 October 2010 and 8 February 2011 (NGM, ACL, CBA and BJWD). Both regions have been heavily impacted by deforestation but have significant differences in their historical trajectory of colonization and both past and present land-uses (Gardner et al. 2013). The municipality of Paragominas (1.9 Mha) is located in north-east Pará state, 300 km south-east of Belém. The average annual temperature is 27ºC, with an average humidity of 81% and annual rainfall averaging 1766 mm (Watrin and Rocha 1992). The municipalities of Santarém/Belterra (ca 1 Mha) lie south-east of the confluence of the Amazonas and Tapajós rivers, and have an average annual temperature of 25ºC, with an average humidity of 86%, with annual rainfall averaging 1920 mm (Parrotta et al. 1995, Nepstad et al. 2002). 34 Figure 2.1 Map of Paragominas (a) and Santarém/Belterra (b) showing the location of the 18 catchments surveyed in each municipality. Two example catchments are presented for each municipality in (c) showing the location of transects and transects design and positioning of point count stations (d). Both regions were divided into approximately evenly-sized catchments, which were delineated using a digital elevation model and SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) for ARCGIS 9.3. Eighteen catchments (of c.5000 ha) were selected for each region capturing the full gradient of deforestation in 2009 (10-100% forest cover in Santarém; 6-100% forest cover in Paragominas), whilst also ensuring adequate representation of current land-use practices, the spatial distribution of the rural population, and major soil types. Between eight and twelve 300 m transects were allocated to each catchment, distributed using a stratified-random sampling design across each catchment to increase the likelihood that they would capture important internal heterogeneities in forest and/or production systems (depending on catchment size with an even density of 1 transect per 400 ha). To reduce the dependency between transects within each catchment transects were separated by a minimum distance of 1.5 km. In total we sampled 196 transects in PGM and 165 in STM. All landowners in each catchment were visited prior to any fieldwork to introduce the project and secure permissions for surveys in private properties. Land-use classification was made using 2010 Landsat images and a decision tree classification algorithm (Gardner et al. 2013). 35 In each transect three point count (PC) stations were located at 0, 150 and 300 m. A total of 1083 PCs were conducted across both regions. For further details on siteselection see Lees et al. (2012, 2013a) and Gardner et al. (2013). We carried out two repetitions of three 15 minute, 75 m fixed width PCs per transect, recording all species seen or heard. Repetitions ensured that temporal variation in avian vocal activity was minimized, and PCs were recorded using solid state recorders – for more details on survey methodology, full species lists and links to digital vouchers see Lees et al. (2012, 2013a) and Anexo 1. We classified land-use types into six broad groups (see Table 2.1), namely: ‘primary forest’: the region’s original climax physiognomy that has never been clearfelled for agriculture (although may have been extensively degraded by disturbance and human exploitation); secondary forests: forests that developed after complete clearance (Putz and Redford 2010); tree plantations - in this case commercial plantations, typically of Eucalyptus sp., teak (Tectona grandis) or paricá (Schizolobium parahyba var. amazonicum); cattle pasture; mechanised agriculture: typically soybean fields or rice; and small-holder agriculture: farms typically smaller than 100 ha and consisting of small-scale manioc plantations and/or fruit trees. Primary forest transects were further sub-classified by disturbance type. These classifications were based on ground-truthed observations of past disturbance events (Gardner et al. 2013), resulting in four types of primary forest: ‘undisturbed’ for which no evidence of recent humaninduced degradation was apparent, ‘selectively logged’ for forest which have undergone detectable logging, ‘burnt’ for forests in which fire scars were found on trees and charcoal deposits detected on the ground and logged&burnt for those forests exposed to both of these stressors. We also subdivided secondary forests into three age classes: old (> 20 years old), intermediate (5-20 years old) and young (< 5 years old). Ageing of secondary forests was done through visual inspection of a 20 year timeseries of Landsat images for each transect, calibrated by interviews with local farmers. 36 Table 2.1 Total number of transects allocated to each land-use type in both study regions. Land-use type Primary forest Paragominas Santarém Undisturbed 9 17 Logged only 44 25 Burnt only 0 9 Logged&burnt 44 23 Old 5 21 Intermediate 12 18 Young 8 4 Reforestation 9 0 Pasture 53 25 Mechanised agriculture 12 16 Small-holder agriculture 0 7 196 165 Secondary forest Total 2.2 Data analyses We analysed the responses of total species richness as well as richness and turnover for the subset of ‘primary forest-associated birds’ (hereafter termed ‘forest birds’). These forest birds represent the core avifauna of undisturbed terra firme forests but not necessarily birds restricted to those habitats, as some core primary forest species also occur (or indeed proliferate) in human-modified forest and non-forest habitats (e.g. Palm Tanager Tangara palmarum and Bananaquit Coereba flaveola). These categorizations were based on previously published classification of birds from the region (e.g. Parker et al. 1996, Henriques et al. 2003, Lees et al. 2013b). To compare avian responses between different land-use systems and catchments we used sample-based rarefaction curves, with 95% confidence intervals (Colwell et al. 2004). The rarefaction curves between bird richness and total forest cover were constructed in EstimateS 7.5 (Colwell 2004). Comparisons between species richness in each land-use type were also made using a non-parametric Kruskall-Wallis test with 95% confidence intervals followed by the Mann-Whitney U test to check for significant pairwise differences. These were performed in Statistica V.7.1 (Statsoft 2005). To explore relationships between forest cover and forest bird species richness we performed linear regressions using percentage of total forest cover (primary and old 37 secondary forests combined) and the percentage of primary forest cover only in a 10 km buffer around the centroid of each catchment (to standardise comparisons of landscape context) as predictor variables for avian species richness. To assess the variation in species composition between land-use systems and different primary forest disturbance classes we produced non-metric multi-dimensional scaling ordinations (NMDS; Clarke and Green, 1988) using the Bray-Curtis similarity matrix for species presence-absence data. To assess the statistical significance of observed differences in assemblage composition between different land-use types and forest degradation classes we conducted a one-way PERMANOVA which uses pseudo-F values to compare among-group to within-group similarity and assesses significance by permutation. All multivariate assemblage analyses were carried out in Primer v.6 (PRIMER-E Ltd, Plymouth, UK, Clarke and Gorley 2006). To describe the relative contribution of diversity components α (alpha – total species per point count), βamong points (beta diversity among points within a transect) and βamong transects (beta diversity among transects in a catchment) in the total diversity per catchment (γ; gamma diversity), we used additive partitioning of diversity (Lande 1996), where γ = α + β. This approach allows the additive partitioning of the total diversity in a region to be broken down into scale-specific diversity components, which can be directly compared (Veech et al. 2002, Gering et al. 2003). In addition, this approach can be important to help understand what factors are controlling the spatial distribution of biodiversity (Veech et al. 2002). In the context of our study, the overall forest bird diversity can be described by the following formula: γcatchments = αpoints count + βPoints + βTransects. We omitted plantations and small-holder agriculture from these analyses as our sample size was too small to make reliable inferences. The additive partitioning was performed using the adipart function of the vegan package (Oksanen et al. 2011) in R software v.2.13.1 (R Development Core Team 2011). 3. Results We recorded 24,449 detections of 467 bird species, of which 336 were forest birds, with 359 species (252 forest birds) in PGM and 377 (286 forest birds) in STM (full species lists can be found in Lees et al., 2012, 2013a). The species accumulation curves indicated that surveys in most land-use types were near asymptotic (Fig. 2.2 and 2.3). The cumulative richness across catchments (Fig. 2.4) illustrates a steady accumulation of species as new catchments were inventoried. Ten catchments, distributed throughout each region, were necessary to capture 90% of total species and 38 91% of forest bird species in PGM and 89% of total species and 90% of forest birds in STM (Fig.2.4). Figure 2.2 Individual based species rarefaction curves per transect between land-use systems considering the entire avian assemblage (A and B) and forest-associated species (C and D) in PGM. Legend: dark green- primary forest; light green - secondary forest; blue - pasture; yellow mechanised agriculture; red - plantation. 39 Figure 2.3 Individual-based species rarefaction curves per transect between land-use systems considering the entire avian assemblage (A and B) and forest birds (C and D) in STM. Legend: dark green - primary forest; light green - secondary forest; blue - pasture; yellow - mechanised agriculture; red - small-holder agriculture. Figure 2.4 Species rarefaction curves per catchment in PGM and STM, considering the entire avian assemblage (filled circles) and forest birds (empty circles). 3.1 Species richness responses In PGM, avian richness (all species) in primary (mean = 50, sd = 12) and secondary (mean = 40, sd = 10) forests was found to be significantly higher than all other land-uses (Fig. 2.5a, H = 116, df = 6, N = 196; p<0.001) and secondary forest was statistically less species rich than all primary forest disturbance classes. 40 Agricultural (mean = 16, sd = 8) and plantation forest (mean = 19, sd = 8) areas had similar avian species richness. When the secondary forests were split by age category all three were significantly lower in richness than all primary forest disturbance classes (H = 116, df = 8, N = 196; p<0.001, Fig. 2.6). Considering only richness of forest birds, there was no significant difference between undisturbed (mean = 51, sd = 10) and logged (mean = 50, sd = 13) forest Fig. 2.5b (H = 155, df = 6, N = 195; p<0.001), whereas both were distinct from logged&burnt (mean = 41, sd = 13) and secondary forests (mean = 12, sd = 24); (Fig 2.5b). After being subdivided by age category (H = 156, df = 8, N = 195; p<0.01) the different secondary forest ages classes remained distinct from all primary forest classes. 41 Figure 2.5 Box plots comparing avian species richness between land-use types and degradation forest classes in PGM and STM, using the entire avian assemblage (a and c) and just forest birds (b and d). Non-significant pairwise differences between land-use types are indicated by the presence of the same letter (according to Mann-Whitney U). 42 Figure 2.6 Box plots comparing avian species richness between land-use types, forest degradation classes and secondary forest age classes in PGM and STM, using the entire avian assemblage (A and C) and just forest birds (B and D). Non-significant pairwise differences between land-use types are indicated by the presence of the same letter (according to MannWhitney U). In STM considering all birds, the undisturbed forest (mean = 51, sd = 8) was statistically indistinguishable from all the primary forest disturbance classes (burnt [mean = 51, sd = 11], logged [mean = 47, sd = 10] and logged&burnt [mean = 46, sd = 8]); Fig. 2.5c (H = 93, df = 7, N = 165; p<0.001). Secondary forests (mean = 38, sd = 12) were distinct from all other land-use types, and mechanised agriculture (mean = 10, sd = 7) was indistinguishable from pasture (mean = 25, sd = 10) and small-holder agriculture (mean = 31, sd = 10). We were unable to demonstrate significant differences between individual secondary forest age classes and most forest and nonforest land-uses, likely due to the small sample sizes (Fig. 2.6; H = 96, df = 9, N = 165; p<0.001). Considering only forest birds in STM, Fig. 2.5d (H = 154, df = 6, N = 195; p<0.001), undisturbed forest (mean = 51, sd = 8) was indistinguishable from burnt forest (mean = 49, sd = 13), but distinct from both logged (mean = 46, sd = 10) and logged&burnt forest (mean = 45, sd = 10). Secondary forests (mean =30, sd = 14) and 43 small-holder agriculture (mean = 9, sd = 4) had intermediate species richness and were distinct from all other land-uses, but pastures (mean = 8, sd = 4) and mechanised agriculture (mean = 3, sd = 3) had similarly low species richness. Splitting the secondary forest into different ages categories (H = 156, df = 8 N = 195; p<0.001, Fig. 2.6) the species richness of old secondary forest (mean = 36, sd = 13) was statistically distinct from all other land-uses (including all primary forest classes), whereas young (mean = 126, sd = 12) and intermediate (mean = 25, sd = 11) secondary forests hosted similar numbers of forest species to pasture and areas of small-holder agriculture. 3.2 Differences in species composition Species composition of forest birds changed consistently along a gradient of human impacts between primary forests, secondary forests, plantations, pastures and mechanised agriculture (Fig. 2.7, Table 2.2, PERMANOVA, Pseudo-F = 26.152, p< 0.001 and Pseudo-F 16.372, p<0.001 for PGM and STM respectively). All species assemblages were significantly different from each other with the exception of pastures and plantations in PGM (p = 0.573; Table 2.2) and small-holder agriculture and pastures in STM (p = 0.271; Table 2.2). Considering each secondary forest age class (Fig. 2.8), the forest bird assemblage composition was different from all primary forests disturbance classes in both regions (PERMANOVA, Pseudo-F = 26.152, p<0.001 and Pseudo-F = 16.372, p<0.001 for PGM and STM respectively, Table 2.4). The species composition was not significantly different between old and intermediate secondary forest (p =0.42) in PGM although it was different in STM (p<0.05). 44 Figure 2.7 NMDS plots of community structure of forest birds in all land-use types (a and c) and between different primary forest disturbance classes (b and d) in PGM and STM. Considering all land-use types (a and c) black circles = primary forest; empty circles = secondary forest; grey squares = pasture; empty squares = mechanised agriculture and black triangles = small-holder. For different primary forest disturbance classes (b and d) black triangles = undisturbed; grey hexagons = secondary forest; crossed squares = burnt forest; empty hexagons = logged&burnt forest; grey hexagons = logged forest; empty circles = secondary forest. 45 Table 2.2 PERMANOVA Pseudo-F statistic values of global test (p-values in parenthesis) and t values of pair-wise comparison (p-values in parenthesis) for forest birds composition in different land-use types and forest disturbance classes in two regions, PGM and STM, of the Brazilian Amazon. NA indicates that the comparison is not valid as the land use in question is unsampled in the respective municipality. Land uses PGM STM Global test land use 28.122 (<0.001) 17.361 (<0.001) Mechanised agriculture, Pasture Mechanised agriculture, Primary forest Mechanised agriculture, Secondary Forest Pasture, Primary forest Pasture, Secondary forest Primary forest, Secondary forest Plantation, Pasture Plantation, Primary forest Plantation, Mechanised agriculture Plantation, Secondary forest Small-holders, Secondary forest Small-holders, Mechanised agriculture Small-holders, Pasture Small-holders, Primary forest 1.960 (<0.05) 5.448 (<0.001) 3.783 (<0.001) 8.984 (<0.001) 4.458 (<0.001) 3.792 (<0.001) 0.891 (0.57) 4.698 (<0.001) 1.693 (<0.001) 3.04 (<0.001) NA NA NA NA 1.539 (<0.001) 4.671 (<0.001)) 3.336 (<0.001) 6.448 (<0.001) 3.962 (< 0.001) 4.339 (<0.001) NA NA NA NA 2.604(<0.001) 1.689 (<0.05) 1.142 (0.238) 4.171 (<0.001) 9.029 (<0.001) 2..322 (<0.001) 2.929 (<0.001) 2.952 (<0.001) 3.904 (<0.001) 2.159 (<0.001) 3.518 (<0.001) NA NA NA NA 6.1774 (<0.001) 1.617 (<0.001) 2.747 (<0.001) 1.741 (0.001) 3.672 (<0.001) 1.169 (<0.001) 3.48 (<0.001) 0.947 (0.586) 1.416(<0.05) 1.365 (<0.001) 1.855 (<0.001) Forest disturbance classes Global test Logged&burnt, Logged Logged&burnt, Secondary forest Logged&burnt, Undisturbed Logged, Secondary forest Logged, Undisturbed Secondary forest, Undisturbed Burnt, Logged&burnt Burnt, Logged Burnt, Undisturbed Burnt, Secondary forest Forest disturbance classes were also distinct in their species composition (PERMANOVA, Pseudo-F = 9.062, p<0.001 and Pseudo-F = 6.18, p<0.001 for PGM and STM respectively; Table 2.2, Fig 4b and d). In PGM the avian assemblages of all forest disturbance classes were significantly different from each other (Table 2.2), whilst in STM burnt and logged&burnt forests appear to be similar (p = 0.623; Table 2.2). Considering all species (rather than just forest species) the NMDS plots (Fig. 2.9) exhibited the same broad gradient pattern, but assemblages were less tightly aggregated (Table 2.3). 46 Figure 2.8 NMDS plots of forest species in each forest type in PGM and STM. Legend: empty circles - primary forest; black triangle - intermediate secondary forest; black square-old secondary forest; black cross - young secondary forest; empty square - mechanised agriculture; grey square - pasture; black circle - plantation and black triangle - small-holder. Figure 2.9 NMDS plots of community structure of entire avian assemblage in all land-use types (a and c) and between different primary forest degradation classes (b and d) in PGM and STM. Considering all land-use types (a and c) black circles = primary forest; empty circles = secondary forest; grey squares = pasture; empty squares = mechanised agriculture and black 47 triangles = small-holder. For different primary forest disturbance classes (b and d) black triangles = undisturbed; grey hexagons = secondary forest; crossed squares = burnt forest; empty hexagons = logged&burnt forest; grey hexagons = logged forest; empty circles = secondary forest. Table 2.3 PERMANOVA Pseudo-F values of global test (p-values in parenthesis) and t-values of pair-wise comparison (p-values in parenthesis) for the forest bird assemblage in different land-use types and primary forest degradation classes in PGM and STM. NA indicates that the comparison is not valid as the land use is unsampled in the municipality in question. Land uses PGM STM Global test land use Mechanised agriculture, Pasture 30.432 (<0.001) 2.717 (<0.001) 21.529 (<0.001) 2.442 (<0.001) Mechanised agriculture, Primary forest Mechanised agriculture, Secondary forest Pasture, Primary forest Pasture, Secondary forest 5.144 (<0.001) 3.568 (<0.001) 9.647 (<0.001) 4.926 (<0.001) 5.702 (<0.001) 3.989 (<0.001) 7.073 (<0.001) 4.232 (<0.001) Primary forest, Secondary forest Plantation, Pasture 3.969 (<0.001) 1.726 (<0.05) 4.337 (<0.001) NA Plantation, Primary forest Plantation, Mechanised agriculture Plantation, Secondary forest Small-holders, Secondary forest Small-holders, Mechanised agriculture Small-holders, Pasture 4.333 (<0.001) 1.579 (<0.05) 2.757(<0.001) NA NA NA NA NA NA 2.676 (<0.001) 2.295 (<0.001) 1.31 (0.0649) Small-holders, Primary forest NA 4.495 (<0.001) Forest degradation classes Global test 9.7309 (<0.001) 6.193 (<0.001) Logged & burnt, Logged Logged & burnt, Secondary forest 2.394 (<0.001) 2.979 (<0.001) 1.599 (<0.001) 3.663 (<0.001) Logged & burnt, Undisturbed Logged, Secondary forest Logged, Undisturbed Secondary forest, Undisturbed Burnt, Logged & burnt Burnt, Logged 2.971 (<0.001) 4.188 (<0.001) 2.149 (<0.001) 3.749 (<0.001) NA NA 1.732 (<0.001) 3.6635 (<0.001) 1.169 (0.084) 3.468 (<0.001) 0.948 (0.591) 1.408 (<0.05) Burnt, Undisturbed Burnt, Secondary forest NA NA 1.359 (<0.05) 1.858 (<0.001) 48 Tabela 2.4 PERMANOVA Pseudo-F values of global test (p-values in parenthesis) and t-values of pair-wise comparison (p-values in parenthesis) for the entire bird assemblage in different land-use types, primary forest degradation classes and secondary forest age in PGM and STM. NA indicates that the comparison is not valid as the land use is unsampled in the municipality in question. Land uses PGM STM Global test land use 6.327 (<0.001) 4.978 (<0.001) Logged, Logged a& burnt Logged, Undisturbed Logged, young Logged, Intermediate Logged, Old Logged&burnt, Undisturbed Logged&burnt, Young Logged& burnt, Intermediate Logged&burnt, Old Undisturbed, young Undisturbed, Intermediate Undisturbed, Old Young, Intermediate Young, Old Intermediate, Old Burnt, Logged Burnt, Logged&burnt Burnt, Undisturbed Burnt, Intermediate Burnt, Old Burnt, Young 2.321(<0.001) 2.159 (<0.001) 3.517 (<0.001) 2.878 (<0.001) 1.958 (<0.05) 2.952 (<0.001) 2.913 (<0.001) 2.113 (<0.001) 1.507 (<0.05) 3.588 (<0.001) 3.191 (<0.001) 2.604 (<0.001) 1.404 (<0.001) 1.59 (<0.001) 1.001 (0.425) NA NA NA NA NA NA 1.616 (<0.001) 1.168 (0.082) 2.711 (<0.001) 3.344 (<0.001) 3.047 (<0.001) 1.741 (<0.001) 2.294 (<0.001) 2.641 (<0.001) 2.152 (<0.001) 2.69 (<0.001) 3.224 (<0.001) 3.028 (<0.05) 1.082 (<0.001) 1.741 (<0.001) 1.4 (<0.05) 1.415 (<0.05) 0.946 (0.583) 1.364 (<0.05) 1.926 (<0.001) 1.587 (<0.001) 2.019 (<0.05) 3.3 Differences in species richness with changes in landscape-scale total forest cover We found a significant positive and broadly linear relationship (Fig. 2.10 and Fig. 2.11) between richness of forest birds and primary forest cover (aggregating all forest disturbance classes) and total forest cover within each catchment in both regions. These relationships were weaker in PGM than in STM for both primary forest cover and total forest cover (primary forest cover: adj.r² = 0.46, p<0.001 and adj.r² = 0.79, p<0.001 for PGM and STM respectively; total forest cover: adj.r² 0.4, p<0.001 and adj.r² = 0.75, p<0.001 for PGM and STM respectively). 49 Figure 2.10 Linear regressions between percentage of primary forest cover (aggregating all disturbance classes within a 10 km radius of each catchment) and richness of forest birds in PGM adj.R² = 0.46 and STM adj.R² = 0.79 (p-values significant at 0.001). Figure 2.11 Linear regressions between percentage of total forest cover (in a radius of 10 km) of each catchment, of forest birds richness in PGM (adj.r² = 0.4) and STM (adj.r² = 0.75); (pvalues significant at 0.001). 3.4 Additive partitioning of diversity Additive partitioning indicated an increasingly higher percentage contribution for alpha (point count) diversity in more intensively used areas, with this trend being especially marked in STM. The βAmong points component (species turnover among points in a transect) did not vary markedly across land uses. In contrast, β Among transects (species turnover among transects in a catchment) had a greater influence on gamma diversity in both regions, with turnover in species composition among transects being higher in primary forest than either secondary forest or production areas (Fig. 2.12). 50 Figure 2.12 Additive diversity partitioning (in %) in different land-use systems in PGM and STM, using forest birds. Black = Alpha (point counts); light grey = Beta (among point counts) and dark grey = Beta (among transects). 4. Discussion We found that Amazonian bird assemblages in multiple-use agricultural landscapes change markedly along a gradient of human impacts and land-use intensity in a predictable fashion. We observed a decrease in total species richness and an increasing shift in species composition when comparing undisturbed primary forest to increasingly degraded primary forest, secondary forest, plantations, pastures and arable fields. This general conclusion is supported by results from similar studies of land-use intensity gradients elsewhere in the humid tropics, including Indonesia (Waltert et al. 2004), Mexico (Pineda and Halffter 2004) and Ecuador (Tylianakis et al. 2006). In the following sections we draw on our results to assess in more detail the relative biodiversity conservation value of production systems, secondary forests and varyingly (un)degraded primary forests. 4.1 Production areas The conservation value of production areas in the Neotropics has been the subject of considerable debate, with some studies from Central America indicating that non-forest production areas – the tropical ‘countryside’ – may host a significant proportion of the baseline avifauna community (e.g. 70% of native forest birds sampled in pastures and coffee plantations in Costa Rica; Lindell et al. 2004). However, comparable studies from South American production landscapes have found much lower levels of diversity (e.g. 32% of native forest birds sampled in cattle pastures and scrub in the Brazilian Amazon (Mahood et al. 2012). In part, the difference between the Amazon and Central America may reflect the more heterogeneous and structurally diverse old agricultural landscapes that characterize parts of Central America (Lindell et al. 2004). 51 The results from our study indicate that production areas typical of much of eastern Amazonia (i.e. degraded cattle pastures, and mechanised agriculture) may harbour only slightly more than one third of the regional avifauna (43 and 38% in PGM and STM respectively). Cattle pastures provided some habitat for forest species (27% and 17% of species shared with primary and secondary forest habitats in PGM and STM respectively), but the majority of cattle pastures in our sample are unimproved and often contain large numbers of shrubs and scattered trees providing habitat resources and cover for birds. On the other hand, plantations forestry in Paragominas retained very little avian biodiversity harbouring just 7% of the regional pool of forest species. Interpretation of simple percentages of shared species should be treated with caution (Barlow et al. 2010) as the frequency of occurrence of these forest birds in any given production area was also very low: 15% of all forest species from PGM and STM were recorded on less than five occasions across all agricultural areas. Occasional detections of nominally forest species, such as Black-and-white Hawk-eagle (Spizaetus melanoleucus) utilising non-forest habitats, does not necessarily indicate that these species can persist in the absence of neighbouring forest patches, and many such detections might be better considered to be the result of gap-crossing events (Lees and Peres 2009) or occasional foraging sorties. However, even such rare events may have important implications for landscape dynamics given the importance of birds as seed dispersers assisting in regeneration processes (Silva et al. 1996, Cole et al, 2010). 4.2 Secondary forests Secondary or regenerating forests are becoming an increasingly dominant type of land cover in the tropics (Neef et al. 2006, FAO 2012) and as such are likely to have a very important future role in safeguarding the persistence of forest species in some regions (Chazdon et al. 2009, Gardner et al. 2009). Combining all secondary forests age groups together, this land cover harboured intermediate levels of forest species richness (242 species, 73% of all forest birds recorded in both regions) and species composition between that of primary forests (332 species in total, 70% overlap with secondary forests) (Fig. 2.5 and Table 2.5 and 2.6) and production land-use systems (88 species, 26% forest species). 52 Table 2.5 Percentage of total species and forest birds (in parentheses) shared between landuse system in PGM and STM. PGM Forest Secondary Pasture Plantation Exclusive 55(76) 13(39) 27(54) 13(38) 16(25) 28(43) 16(31) 18(26) 18(28) 13(20) 25(96) 2(67) 0 6(13) 0 Forest Secondary Pasture Small-Holder Exclusive Forest Secondary Pasture Small-Holder 53(85) 20(64) 14(54) 22(54) 19(41) 18(67) - 26(100) 5(20) 4(0) 1(0) Mechanised 7(58) 10(38) 13(31) 9(35) 2(0) Forest Secondary Plantation Pasture Mechanised STM Table 2.6 Percentage of all species and forest birds (in parentheses) shared between different forest degradation classes in PGM and STM. PGM Undisturbed Logged Logged&burnt Secondary STM Undisturbed Logged Burnt Logged&burnt Secondary Undisturbed Logged Logged&burnt 34(98) 31(98) 25(98) 58(88) 47(84) Undisturbed Logged Burnt Logged&burnt Exclusive 44(98) 36(96) 42(98) 32(100) 41(92) 50(93) 39(95) 43(88) 40(82) 47(87) 3(92) 3(90) 2(86) 2(63) 9(46) 51(76) Exclusive 2(100) 5(89) 3(50) 8(23) However, it is also clear that secondary forests do not provide adequate habitat for many forest-associated species. For example, 18% of forest species were absent from secondary forests in PGM and 23% were absent from secondary forests in STM, including the Great Jacamar (Jacamerops aureus) and Uniform Woodcreeper (Hylexetastes uniformis), which were only found in primary forest. Although we recorded many of the species listed by Parker et al. (1996) as disturbance-sensitive in secondary forests, many of these species were much more infrequently recorded in primary than secondary forests. For instance, the nuclear understorey flock-leading Cinereous Antshrike (Thamnomanes caesius) was recorded in 66% of primary forest transects and just 23% of secondary forest transects and the canopy-dwelling Red-billed Pied Tanager (Lamprospiza melanoleuca) was recorded in 28% of primary forest transects and 1.5% of secondary forest transects. This reduction in species richness is 53 especially pronounced in relatively young secondary forests which dominate much of the eastern Amazon, Fig. 2.5), and these are often returned to agricultural production within less than ten years in the Amazon region (Neef et al. 2006). 4.3 Disturbed primary forests Like other studies, we found consistently more species in undisturbed primary forest than in forests disturbed by logging and burning (e.g. Barlow et al. 2007a, Gibson et al. 2011). Nevertheless, we also found that primary forests disturbed by fire and logging retained relatively high numbers of forest species (86% of the total regional species pool were found in logged forest and 78% in logged&burnt forests in PGM; with 59% of species in burnt, 74% in logged&burnt and 74% in logged forests in STM). Despite these differences in species totals, we did not find statistically significant differences in the average number of species per site when comparing between primary forests characterised by different levels of historical disturbance. This may be partly because of the high level of natural environmental variation (due to factors such as soil type and topography) or because forests are grouped within the same degradation class that may mask differences in the time-since or severity of disturbance event(s) or distance to source populations (Dunn 2004b, Barlow et al. 2006, Edwards et al. 2011, Mestre et al. 2013). Finally, our comparisons may also be biased because areas selected for timber harvesting are often of higher than average tree basal area (and thus perhaps higher faunal species richness) (Henriques et al. 2008, Barlow et al. 2006). These kinds of difficulties in interpretation highlight the limitations of using species richness, rather than species composition to understand the ecological effects of land-use and landscape change (Barlow et al. 2007a, Devictor et al. 2010). Species richness was similar in all types of primary forest irrespective of the level of disturbance, yet some species (4% in PGM and STM) were entirely restricted to the relatively few undisturbed forest transects. These included Brown-winged (Psophia dextralis) and Darkwinged (P. obscura) Trumpeters, Variegated Antpitta (Grallaria varia) and Musician Wren (Cyphorhinus arada). Even small canopy disturbance events, such as the felling of a single tree, may alter understorey microclimatic conditions and hence ground cover of the forest floor rendering it unsuitable for some terrestrial species (Lees and Peres 2010). Although some disturbance sensitive understorey species, such as Bare-eyed Antbird (Rhegmatorhina gymnops), Rufous-capped Antthrush (Formicarius colma) and Black-tailed Leaftosser (Sclerurus caudacutus), were occasionally detected in some burnt forest transects, our data support the conclusion by Barlow et al. (2006) in suggesting that areas exposed to fire are more dissimilar to primary forests regarding their avian biota compared to those that have only been logged (see also Fig. 2.7). Our findings also reinforce the conclusions of other studies from elsewhere in the tropics that disturbed primary forests are able to effectively conserve many forest-dependent species (Putz and Redford 2010, Edwards et al. 2011, Gibson et al. 2011), at least in Amazonian landscapes that maintain high forest land-cover. 54 4.4 Effects of landscape scale forest loss on avian diversity The total amount of remaining primary forest at the catchment (landscape) scale was an important predictor of forest species richness, confirming the conclusions of the small number of previous landscape-scale studies (e.g. Bennet et al. 2006 in Australia and Pardini et al. 2010 in the Atlantic forest of Brazil). We were not able to detect any meaningful thresholds in the relationship between changes in forest cover and changes in avian diversity in either region. Nevertheless, these results point strongly to the importance of adopting a landscape-scale (as opposed to property-level) approach to maintaining and enhancing the conservation status of multiple use landscapes in tropical forest regions. We found that rates of species turnover changed consistently along a gradient of increasing forest disturbance and land-use intensity. Alpha diversity became increasingly important in explaining total levels of diversity as land was subject to more intensive human use (see Fig. 6); indicating lower levels of turnover as a result of an impoverished species pool characterised by a smaller number of species that can survive or proliferate in anthropogenic habitats; i.e. the process of biotic homogenisation which is already characterising many Neotropical forest habitats (e.g. Lôbo et al. 2011, Melo et al. 2013). In comparison, transect-scale beta diversity made a more important contribution to landscape diversity in forest areas, and to undisturbed forest sites in particular - where the avian assemblage is composed of a large number of habitat specialists that are often found at low densities (Terborgh et al. 1990, Tylianakis et al. 2006). 5. Conclusions The data presented in this paper represent what is arguably the largest-scale field assessment of the impacts of land-use change on tropical avifaunas to date. We found that 1) there is no evidence for a significant role of production areas in conserving Amazonian forest bird biodiversity; 2) secondary forest landscapes conserve significant bird biodiversity but differ markedly in assemblage composition from primary forests; 3) primary forests disturbed by fragmentation, logging and fire retain a high proportion of forest bird species but still lack some of the most sensitive taxa, with burnt forests appearing more affected than forests that have been logged but not burnt, 4) primary forest cover is an important predictor of total diversity for each catchment, and 5) that the distribution of species diversity across multiple spatial scales is highly influenced by the level of habitat modification, with beta-diversity 55 consistently declining with increasing land-use intensity. The broad patterns of species richness and loss across the gradient of land-use between these two regions located 800 km apart in biogeographically different Amazonian interfluvial regions were similar, suggesting that conclusions on responses of Amazonian avifaunal communities to forest loss and degradation can be generalised. As most of our fieldwork was conducted on private lands, our results reinforce the importance of conservation through private forest reserves in Brazil and the need to enforce current forest legislation and promote coordinated conservation strategies across neighbouring properties to safeguard regional biodiversity in the Amazon. In considering priorities for the protection of regional forest avifauna in eastern Amazonia, perhaps the most important implication of our results is the urgent need (ahead of costly investments in the restoration of cleared land) to protect and restore the varyingly disturbed and degraded primary forests that dominate much of eastern Amazonia, and which remain vulnerable to further timber extraction and recurrent fire events. 56 Capítulo 3 Idiosyncratic responses of forest-associated Amazonian birds to disturbance and land-use changes Nárgila G. Moura, Alexander C. Lees, Alexandre Aleixo, Jos Barlow, Erika Berenguer, Joice Ferreira, Ralph MacNally, Jim R. Thomson, Toby A. Gardner Abstract As land-use change intensifies across the tropics, it is imperative to understand what environmental characteristics mediate biodiversity persistence in human-modified landscapes. Yet most studies investigating avian responses to habitat modification are focused on community-wide response or narrow guilds such as understory insectivores, and they rarely compare the relative impacts of the full gamut of environmental variation. Here we investigated species-specific responses to land-use change and forest disturbance in 36 drainage catchments distributed across two large regions of the eastern Brazilian Amazon of 30 focal forest-associated species with varying life histories. We investigated patterns of occupancy in a gradient of land use change from undisturbed forest to mechanized agriculture and then explored relationships between species persistence and local, landscape and historical environmental factors in 171 primary forest transects. We found that our focal species universally declined along the gradient of human impact, being consistently rarer in secondary forests and absent from agricultural land-uses. Within undisturbed and degraded primary forest transects we found that distance to forest edge and the biomass of large trees were the most important predictors driving the occupancy of focal species. However, these ubiquitous responses belie huge individual variation in focal species response to different environmental determinants, sometimes even between both of our study regions. We were able to model the responses of suboscine passerines better than most other groups and some species e.g. Lipaugus vociferans, Herpsilochmus rufimarginatus and Myiornis ecaudatus are extremely reliable indicators of high basal forests. We advocate using species-level analysis to complement community-wide responses, as the latter often mask huge idiosyncratic variation in species’ responses to environmental change. Keywords: forest species, Neotropical birds, Brazil, human-modified landscape, variable importance, random forest 57 1. Introduction Land-use change and agricultural expansion is the preeminent threat to tropical biodiversity (Laurance et al. 2014). A significant body of research has assessed patterns of biodiversity persistence in tropical deforestation frontiers. However, this work has been predominantly focussed on a subset of common objectives, including; patterns of species occupancy in variable-sized forest remnants (e.g. Uezu et al. 2005, Newmark and Stanley 2011), the influence of the surrounding matrix on species persistence in areas of native habitat (e.g. Umetsu and Pardini 2007, Perfecto and Vandermeer 2002), and patterns of species persistence in production systems (e.g. Daily et al. 2000, Phalan et al. 2011), or native vegetation subject to a specific type of disturbance such as logging (e.g Wunderle et al. 2006, Edwards et al. 2011), fire (e.g. Uhl 1998, Mestre et al. 2013), and over-hunting (Wright 2003, Terborgh et al. 2008). Comparatively few studies have explored the full gamut of land-use types and disturbance regimes that characterise many frontier regions, or assess changes in community composition at different spatial scales (Gardner et al. 2010, Moura et al. 2013). As such our understanding of the distribution of individual species across human-modified landscapes and the relative importance of different environmental variables in determining observed patterns, is often very poor or non-existent (Tylianakis et al. 2006) with the generality of many studies being compromised by problems of sample size and spatial extent (Gardner et al. 2009, Peres et al. 2010). The Brazilian Amazon represents a global priority for biodiversity conservation efforts. Between 1988-2013, 8% (402 000 km²) of forest cover was lost and at least 64,000 km² of forest was degraded by fire and logging events between 2007-2010 (INPE 2014a,b). Therefore, conservationist biologists are charged with trying to understand the impacts of land use change on biodiversity associated with an expanding agricultural frontier (Gardner et al. 2009, Laurance et al. 2011). Birds are one of the species groups most commonly studied to understand the ecological effects of human disturbances to such tropical forest ecosystems (Tscharntke 2008, Karp et al. 2011, Newbold et al. 2013). However, the vast majority of these studies have been limited to examining the pooled responses of entire avian communities through measures of species richness, diversity and community structure (e.g. Aleixo 1999, Barlow et al. 2006a, Lees and Peres 2006, Sodhi et al. 2008). Because tropical forest species assemblages have very high levels of alpha diversity (c.270 bird species in typical Amazonian terra firme forests Cohn-Haft et al. 1997), such studies risk masking important species-specific response patterns given the myriad of different life histories, 58 even between closely related taxa (Elmqvist et al. 2003, Ferraz et al. 2007). Such masking effects may result in misleading conclusions regarding the sensitivity of biodiversity to disturbance, and the kinds of species that are most at risk of extinction. Different avian function groups are known to respond differentially to land-use change and habitat disturbance. For instance, understory insectivorous birds (including ant-followers, terrestrial foragers, and obligate mixed-flock species) are considered a particularly vulnerable group (Stouffer and Bierregaard 1995, Castelletta et al. 2000), being highly sensitive to edges (Wong et al. 1998, Develey and Stouffer 2001), and forest fragmentation (Stratford and Stouffer 1999, Lees and Peres 2008) and known to avoid non-forest matrix habitat (Antongiovanni and Metzger 2005, Mahood et al. 2012). By comparison, some frugivores (especially small-bodied species) may be more tolerant to anthropogenic habitat disturbance (Gomes et al. 2008) owing to their higher vagility (Lees and Peres 2009). Here we employ occupancy data for 30 widely-distributed Amazonian forest bird species with differing diets, feeding strategies and flocking responses, representative of the terra firme forest bird community, to investigate species-specific responses to landuse change and forest disturbance across two regions in the eastern Brazilian Amazon. We used the focal species approach (Lambeck 1997) where a small group of species are used to represent discrete environment requirements and their persistence define the attributes that must be present to guarantee their occurrence, without studying all the species individually. We analysed data collected from two regions with different histories of use and occupation, with 361 transects distributed in a nested fashion across 18 randomlychosen catchments per region covering a gradient of human disturbance from undisturbed forest through forest varyingly disturbed by fire and logging, forests regenerating on cleared land to cattle pastures and mechanized agriculture. Specifically, we investigated a) how species-specific occupancy patterns changed across the different land-uses; b) how the individual species respond to primary forest disturbance; c) and we assess the extent to which individual species responses to forest disturbance can be partly determined by their life history traits or response to broader land-use changes. 59 2. Materials and methods 2.1 Study regions and experimental design This study was conducted in two municipalities in Brazilian state of Pará in the eastern Amazon (Fig. 3.1): Paragominas (hereafter PGM) and Santarém/Belterra (hereafter STM). Both are biophysically distinct , experienced the loss of at least one third of their native forest cover yet are distinguished by significant differences in their historical trajectory of colonization and both past and present land-uses and also have ongoing sustainable land use initiatives strongly supported by local government (Gardner et al. 2013). Paragominas (1.9 Mha) was sampled between July and November 2010 and again in May 2011 and is located in north-east Pará state 300 km south of the state capital Belém. The municipalities of Santarém/Belterra (sampled area equal to approximately 1 Mha), both sampled between October 2010 and February 2011, lie immediately south-east of the confluence of the Amazonas and Tapajós rivers (for more details see Gardner et al. 2013). Both municipalities were divided into approximately evenly-sized catchments (c. 4000 ha), which were delineated using a digital elevation model and SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) for ARCGIS 9.3. Eighteen catchments were selected for each region capturing the full gradient of deforestation (6-100% forest cover in Paragominas; 10-100% forest cover in Santarém for 2010), whilst also ensuring adequate representation of current land-use practices, the spatial distribution of the rural population, and major soil types. In each catchment between eight and twelve 300 m transects were allocated (depending on differences in catchment size) and distributed using a stratified-random sampling design to increase the likelihood that they would capture important heterogeneities in habitat condition in either forest and/or production systems (using an even density of 1 transect per 400 ha). The distance between each transect was at least of 1.5 km, helping to ensure sample independence. In total we sampled 196 transects in PGM and 165 in STM. The transects were classified a posteriori into six land-use types (see Table 3.1), using 2010 Landsat images and a decision tree classification algorithm (Gardner et al. 2013), as (i) primary forest - the region’s original climax physiognomy that has never been clear-felled for agriculture (although may have been extensively degraded 60 by disturbance from logging, fire and other forms of exploitation); (ii) secondary forests - forests that have developed after complete clearance (Putz and Redford 2010); (iii) tree plantations - in this case commercial plantations, typically of Eucalyptus sp., teak (Tectona grandis) or paricá (Schizolobium parahyba var. amazonicum); (iv) cattle pasture; (v) mechanised agriculture - typically soybean fields or rice; and (vi) smallholder agriculture - farms typically smaller than 100 ha and consisting of small-scale manioc plantations and/or fruit trees. Primary forest transects were further subclassified in four classes of disturbance based on ground-truthed observations of past disturbance events (Gardner et al. 2013): ‘undisturbed’ for which no evidence of recent human-induced degradation was apparent, ‘selectively logged’ for forests which have undergone detectable logging, ‘burned’ for forests in which fire scars were found on trees and charcoal deposits detected on the ground and ‘logged&burned’ for those forests exposed to both of these disturbances. Figure 3.1 Map of Paragominas (a) and Santarém/Belterra (b) showing the location of the 18 catchments surveyed in each municipality. Two example catchments are presented for each municipality in (c) showing the location of transects and transects design and positioning of point count stations and vegetation plots (d). 61 Table 3.1 Total number of transects allocated to each land-use type in both study regions Land-use type Primary forest Paragominas Santarém Undisturbed 9 17 Logged only 44 25 Burnt only 0 9 Logged&burned Secondary forest 44 25 23 43 Plantation 9 0 Pasture 53 25 Mechanised agriculture 12 16 Small-holder agriculture 0 7 196 165 Total 2.2 Bird surveys In each transect three point count (PC) stations were located at 0, 150 and 300 m. We carried out two repetitions of three 15 minute, 75 m fixed-width PCs per transect, recording all species seen or heard. Repetitions ensured that temporal variation in avian vocal activity was minimized. A total of 1083 PCs were conducted across both regions. For more details on survey methodology, full species lists and links to digital vouchers see Lees et al. (2012, 2013a). We recorded 467 species in both regions of which 336 were forest-dependent species (forest birds), with 359 species (252 forest birds) in PGM and 377 (286 forest birds) in STM. Forest-associated species are those that occur in undisturbed terra firme forests but are not necessarily restricted to those habitats (for more details see Moura et al. 2013). As our experimental design focused on maximising spatial extent of sampling, trading-off against temporal repetition, we have not corrected for potential differences in detectability, which we here assume to be uniform between species and habitats (Welsh and Lougheed 1996) We reduced our choice of candidate focal species for the analysis by first selecting all forest birds occurring in both municipalities with records from at least 20 point counts per region, thus excluding any rare species. This left a short list of 47 species which we classified with respect to four life-history traits: diet, flocking 62 behaviour and forest strata occupied (based on Stotz et al. 1996, Cohn-Haft et al. 1997, Stouffer and Bierregaard 1995, 2007, del Hoyo et al. 2014). Our final selection comprised 10 species of insectivores, 9 species of frugivores and 11 species of omnivores (Table 3.2). 63 Table 3.2 Focal species and their respective life strategies such as diet, flocking behaviour and forest strata occupied. PGM and STM represent Paragominas and Santarém-Belterra study regions respectively. Species English name Diet Flocking behaviour Strata Patagioenas plumbea Piaya cayana Plumbeous Pigeon Squirrel Cuckoo 67 54 42 24 Frugivore Omnivore Solitary Flock dropout Canopy Canopy/ Midstory Trogon viridis Ramphastos tucanus Ramphastos vitellinus Pteroglossus aracari White-tailed Trogon White-throated Toucan Channel-billed Toucan Black-necked Aracari 48 69 65 65 91 77 60 29 Omnivore Frugivore Frugivore Frugivore Flock dropout Monospecific flock Monospecific flock Monospecific flock Midstory Canopy Canopy Canopy Brotogeris chrysoptera Pionus menstruus Amazona farinosa Myrmotherula longipennis Golden-winged Parakeet Blue-headed Parrot Mealy Parrot Long-winged Antwren 48 115 72 36 59 55 62 29 Frugivore Frugivore Frugivore Insectivore Monospecific flock Monospecific flock Monospecific flock Flock obligate Canopy Canopy Canopy Understory Thamnomanes caesius Herpsilochmus rufimarginatus Cinereous Antshrike 134 82 Insectivore Flock obligate Understory Rufous-winged Antwren White-shouldered Antshrike 68 41 Insectivore Flock dropout Canopy 96 54 Insectivore Flock dropout Understory 294 62 241 69 Insectivore Solitary Insectivore Flock dropout Midstory Understory Glyphorynchus spirurus Automolus paraensis Tyranneutes stolzmanni Ceratopipra rubrocapilla Schiffornis turdina Gray Antbird Plain-brown Woodcreeper Wedge-billed Woodcreeper Para Foliage-gleaner Dwarf Tyrant-Manakin Red-headed Manakin Thrush-like Schiffornis 112 27 87 72 27 98 22 110 79 23 Insectivore Insectivore Omnivore Frugivore Omnivore Flock dropout Flock obligate Solitary Solitary Solitary Understory Understory Midstory Understory Midstory Pachyramphus marginatus Black-capped Becard 20 33 Omnivore Flock dropout Canopy Thamnophilus aethiops Cercomacra cinerascens Dendrocincla fuliginosa Nº of records PGM STM 64 Species English name Lipaugus vociferans Querula purpurata Myiornis ecaudatus Lophotriccus galeatus Zimmerius acer Ornithion inerme Attila spadiceus Lamprospiza melanoleuca Saltator grossus Screaming Piha Purple-throated Fruitcrow Short-tailed Pygmy-Tyrant Helmeted Pygmy-Tyrant Guianan Tyrannulet White-lored Tyrannulet Bright-rumped Attila Red-billed Pied Tanager Slate-colored Grosbeak Nº of records PGM STM 103 49 49 195 66 72 44 36 51 190 36 62 138 81 21 42 25 53 Diet Flocking behaviour Strata Omnivore Omnivore Insectivore Insectivore Omnivore Omnivore Frugivore Omnivore Omnivore Flock dropout Monospecific flock Solitary Flock dropout Flock dropout Solitary Flock dropout Flock dropout/monospecific flock Flock dropout Midstory Canopy Canopy Midstory Canopy Canopy Canopy Canopy Canopy 65 2.3 Environmental variables We used 14 environmental variables which we a-priori judged to be relevant in influencing patterns of occupancy of forest birds in primary forest transects in both regions. These variables were divided into three categories: local, landscape and historical. 2.3.1 Local variables Variables related to forest structure are known to affect the presence of many forest species (e.g. Bueno et al. 2012, Cintra and Naka 2012, Stratford and Stouffer 2013). For instance the leaf litter depth may affect understorey birds (Pearson 1975) and availability of dead trees may be important for species which use them for foraging or nesting/roosting (Skutch 1961, Cornelius et al. 2008). Edaphic variables are also known to influence avian community composition (Pomara et al. 2012) Forest structure. Vegetation sampling was undertaken in 10x250 m plots (0.25 ha) where all trees and palms (alive or dead) > 10 cm diameter at 1.3 m height were measured (Fig. 3.1). Smaller individual plants (2 to 10 cm diameter) were sampled in five 5 x 20 m subplots. Lianas (woody vines) followed the same sampling design as trees and palms, but the diameter was measured at 1.3 m from the main root, located inside the plot (for large individuals) or inside the subplots (for smaller individuals). All living individuals were identified to species level by experienced parabotanists, with herbarium samples collected whenever appropriate and fertile specimens registered at the IAN herbarium in Belém, Brazil, with these data being compiled to give a total richness of tree, palm and liana species (TPL). Understory density (UD) was measured by counting the number of stems between 2-10 cm diameter in the 100m² subplots. We measured the biomass of dead trees > 10 cm diameter (BDT10) which pertained to stumps, fallen trunks, fallen branches and fallen palms and lianas (with > 10 cm diameter of at least one of its extremities) sampled in five 5x20 m subplots located 30 m apart in each transect (Fig. 3.1). The length and diameter of all individual pieces were measured at both extremities (if branched, both parts were measured separately). Each piece of dead wood was subdivided into five decomposition classes (Harmon and Sexton 1996); ranging from ‘recently dead’ to ‘completely soft, rotten crumbling wood’. Samples sometimes had severe structural damage so we recorded four damage categories for each sample: 0-25, 25-50, 50-75 and >75%. 66 Leaf litter biomass (BLL) comprising fallen leaves, fine twigs, fruits and seeds was sampled every 50 m along the transect in 50x50 cm quadrats at both 5 and 10 m perpendicular to the main transect line to avoid human trampling (Fig.2.1). Samples were taken to a laboratory and oven-dried to calculate their weight. Edaphic variables. Soil was sampled at five points separated by 50 m along each transect where individual samples were collected at three different depths (0-10, 10-20 and 20-30 cm, Fig. 3.1). Soil analyses were carried out at the Embrapa Amazônia Oriental Soil Laboratory in Belém. Here we used variables of pH (following EMBRAPA 1997) and clay content as a measure of soil texture, determined using a densimeter (Camargo et al. 1986). 2.3.2 Landscape variables Topographic variables elevation (ELEV) and slope (SLOPE) were obtained using SRTM images (90 m resolution; National Aeronautics and Space Administration). A remote sensing analysis was performed using a 30 m (900 m²) pixel resolution Landsat image time-series from 1988-2010 in Paragominas and 1990-2010 in Santarém with ArcGIS 9.3 software. The images were classified using a decision tree algorithm after being corrected for atmospheric haze and smoke interferences (see Gardner et al. 2013). Mean distances to forest edge (primary forest + secondary forest >10 years mapped in 2010) were calculated within a buffer of 100 m immediately surrounding each transect (EdgePS).The classification of primary forest disturbance for each transect was based on evidence from a combination of both field observations and a visual inspection of degradation scars from remote-sensing images, providing measures of both the number of times each transect was logged (NTL) and burnt (NTB). In addition, we used the semi-supervised classification of degraded forest pixels to estimate the percentage of forest pixels degraded (PFD) at least once in the time series within a 100 m buffer around each transect. 2.3.3 Historical variables Historical land-use trajectory may also affect community composition in humanmodified tropical landscapes (Gaston 2000, Thompson et al. 2002, Gardner et al. 2009). We calculated the deforestation curvature profile (DPC) within a 500 m buffer, by transect, in mature forest (primary forest and old secondary forest [>20 years]), based on data on deforestation during the last two decades. The DPC is the maximum deviation of the deforestation curve in relation to the line linking initial and final forest proportion. The DPC is unit-less and will be positive if the deforestation curve is mainly 67 below average deforestation line, and negative if it is mainly above it (see Ferraz et al. 2009). 2.4 Data analysis In order to visually assess how focal species responded to different land-uses we measured the percentage occupancy of transects within each land use type for PGM and STM respectively. Then, to investigate the relative importance of each candidate predictor variable for each focal species, we used Random Forest decision trees. The Random Forest (hereafter RF) was performed using 2000 decision trees, using the package ‘extendedForest’ (Ellis et al, 2012) conducted in R version 2.15.1 (R Core Development Team 2011). We modified the RF fitting and cross validation procedure to account for spatial-autocorrelation of transects sampled within the same catchment using a variant of the residual autocovariate method (RAC, Crase et al. 2012). Specifically, for each catchment in turn, we used data from all other catchments to predict occupancy within the held-out catchment, and calculated the mean residual. We then included the catchment mean residuals as an additional predictor variable (analogous to a catchment level random intercept) in a final RF model fitted with all data combined. Following Ellis et al (2012) we calculated R 2 weighted mean importance values for each predictor variable, which indicate the relative importance of each variable in predicting the assemblage as a whole. After modelling we discarded poorly-modelled species with r² ≤ 0.4 and then plotted a cluster heat map, using the ‘heatmap.2’ function, also in R, to visualize differences in species-environment relationships across both individual species and variables. 3. Results 3.1 Species occupancy patterns Across the full range of land-use types, our 30 focal forest species are all rare or extinct outside of forest habitats (Fig. 3.2). Only one species, Pionus menstruus, was encountered with any regularity in non-forest habitats in both regions, as was Amazona farinosa in PGM only. Both are large canopy frugivores and many detections involved birds simply flying over non-forest landscapes. The responses of species occupancy patterns in forested areas differed among different forest types and between regions. We identified five broad response categories among our focal species (Fig. 3.2). The first response category involved species such as Automolus paraensis and Schiffornis turdina which exhibited a rapid 68 decline in occupancy from undisturbed to disturbed forest (either logged, burned, or both). The second response category included species such as Thamnomanes caesius and Lamprospiza melanoleuca that showed a gradual decline with increasing forest disturbance. The third response category included those species whose occupancy was relatively similar despite a reduction in forest quality (e.g. Thamnophilus aethiops and Lophotriccus galetaus). The fourth category included species (e.g. Patagioenas plumbea and Pteroglossus aracari) that were more frequently encountered in disturbed forests. A few species e.g. Piaya cayana and Trogon viridis exhibited marked differences in responses between regions, which was our fifth category. Most species were either absent or rarely encountered in secondary forest transects, with the exception of Trogon viridis in STM, which was the only species that was more frequently encountered in secondary than in primary forests. 69 Figure 3.2 Focal species (in taxonomic order) occupancy of different land use types in the municipalities of Paragominas (filled circles) and Santarém (empty circles).Illustrations reproduced with the permission of Lynx Edicions. 70 3.2 Importance of predictor variables In pooling analyses for all focal species, the most important predictors of species occurrence in primary forest transects in PGM were the biomass of large trees (BT10), the distance to the forest edge (EdgePS), and the percentage of degraded primary forest in an adjacent buffer area (PFD) (Fig. 3.3). The same pattern of response to tree biomass and edge effects was found in STM (Fig. 3.3) but there, elevation was the third most important variable, albeit without an obvious or consistent pattern of effect. The partial dependence plots (Fig. 3.4) for BT10 indicated a near-linear increase in the probability of occurrence of species with increasing tree biomass until an asymptote is reached at around 300 Mg/ha. The probability of occurrence of forest species increased with increasing distance from the forest edge up to c. 1000 m, after which there was no pattern. Species occupancies also declined with an increase in the percentage of degraded forest around the transects . Figure 3.3 Distribution of the weighted importance values of environmental variables in primary forest for the 30 focal species in PGM and STM. NTL: number of times the transect was logged; NTB: number of times the transect was burned; EdgePS: Average distances to forest edges (primary forest +secondary forest >10 years); PFD: percentage of forest pixels degraded; TPL: total number of tree, palm and liana species; UD: understory density; BLL: biomass of leaf litter; BT10: biomass of trees with circumference >10 cm; BDT: biomass of dead trees; DPC: deforestation curvature profile; ELEV: Elevation 71 Figure 3.4 Partial dependence plot for the three most important variables from random forest analysis in Paragominas (top panel) and Santarém (bottom panel). BT10: biomass of trees with circumference >10 cm. EdgePS: Average distances to forest edges (primary forest +secondary forest >10 years); PFD: percentage of forest pixels degraded. 72 Figure 3.5 Ranked goodness-of-fit (pseudo-R²) models for each focal species in Paragominas and Santarém. We assumed that species with goodness-of-fit higher than 0.4 to be well modelled using the Random Forest approach (Fig. 3.5) and restricted interpretation of variable importance to these species. Of the 10 species satisfactorily modelled in PGM (Fig. 3.6) nine were suboscine passerines: four insectivores (H. rufimarginatus, A. paraensis, C. cinerascens and and M. ecaudatus), five omnivores (Z. acer, T. stolzmanni, L. vociferans and S. turdina, Q. purpurata) and one frugivores (P. menstruus - the only non-passerine). In STM the eleven (Fig. 3.7) satisfactorily modelled species comprised three insectivores (C. cinerascens, L. galeatus and M. ecaudatus), four omnivores (P. cayana, S. turdina, L. vociferans and L. melanoleuca,) and four frugivores (all large-bodied - P. plumbea, P. aracari, A. farinosa and P. menstrus). Of these 21 species, five species were common to both municipalities: P. menstruus, C. cinerascens, M. ecaudatus, L. vociferans and S. turdina. In the region of PGM the species with highest weighted importance values (R²) for NTL were: S. turdina, P. menstruus and A. paraensis; for NTB: C. cinerascens, M. ecaudadtus and L. vociferans; for EdgePS: M. ecaudatus, P. menstruus, and L. vociferans. For PFD were S. turdina A. paraensis and Q. purpurata; for ELEV variable were A. paraensis, Q. purpurata and M. ecaudatus. For t SLOPE variable were C. cinerascens, Q. purpurata and L. vociferans; for TPL were, Z. acer, L. vociferans and 73 T. stolzmanni; for UD were S. turdina, Z. gracilipes, C. cinerascens, for BLL were H. rufimarginatus, T. stolzmanni and Z. acer, for BT10 H. rufimarginatus, L. vociferans and S. turdina, for the BDT were Z. acer, S. turdina and A. paraensis, for clay M. ecaudatus, Q. purpurata and A.paraensis for pH were T. stolzmanni, L. vociferans and H. rufimarginatus and finally for DPC were, Z. acer, C. cinerascens and Q. purpurata. Figure 3.6 R² weighted importance by species in PGM for each environmental variable NTL: number of time the transect was logged; NTB: number of time the transect was burned; EdgePS: Average distances to forest edges (primary forest +secondary forest >10 years); PFD: 74 percentage of forest pixels degraded; TPL: total number of tree, palm and liana species; UD: understory density; BLL: biomass of leaf litter; BT10: biomass of trees with circumference >10cm; BDT: biomass of dead trees; DPC: deforestation curvature profile, ELEV: Elevation. In STM the species which presented higher importance value for NTL: L. melanoleuca, P. menstruus and M. ecaudatus; for the NTB were P. cayana, P. aracari and M. ecaudatus; for EdgePS: P. aracari, L. vocirerans and L. melanoleuca; for PFD: L. galeatus; L. vociferans and M. ecaudatus; for the ELEV were S. turdina, L. melanoleuca; A. farinosa; for SLOPE were L. melanoleuca, A. farinosa and L. galeatus; for the TPL were P. aracari, M. ecaudatus and L. vociferans; for the UD were C. cinerascens, L. vociferans and P. cayana; for the BLL were P. aracari, A. farinosa, and L. vociferans; for BT10 were L. vociferans, M. ecaudatus and P. cayana; for BDT were M. ecaudatus and S. turdina; to the Clay variable were S. turdina, P. aracari and P. cayana; for the pH were P. acaraci, P. menstruus and C. cinerascens; finally for DPC were C. cinerascens, L. vociferans and P. plumbea. The cluster heat-map illustrates the overall pattern of relationships between focal species and environmental variables modelled with RF (Fig. 3.8). There do not appear to be clear species groupings or a common influence of similar life history strategies on associations with similar environmental disturbance responses. 75 Figure 3.7 R² weighted importance by species in STM for each environmental variable. NTL: number of time the transect was logged; NTB: number of time the transect was burned; EdgePS: Average distances to forest edges (primary forest +secondary forest >10 years); PFD: percentage of forest pixels degraded; TPL: total number of tree, palm and liana species; UD: understory density; BLL: biomass of leaf litter; BT10: biomass of trees with circumference >10cm; BDT: biomass of dead trees; DPC: deforestation curvature profile; ELEV: Elevation. 76 Figure 3.8 Cluster heat-map of species with goodness-of-fit ≥ 0.4 after RF modelling for both Paragominas and Santarém. Each cell is coloured based on the R² weighted values generated by RF. The cluster on the left side of each heat-map groups species with similar response patterns according to their relationship with different predictor variables. Table legend: F- frugivores, O- omnivore, I- insectivore; Flock: SO- solitary, MF- monospecific flock, FD- flock – dropout; Strata: M- midstory, C- canopy, U- understory. Environmental variables: NTL: number of time the transect was logged; NTB: number of time the transect was burned; EdgePS: Average distances to forest edges (primary forest +secondary forest >10 years); PFD: percentage of forest pixels degraded; TPL: total number of tree, palm and liana species; UD: understory density; BLL: biomass of leaf litter; BT10: biomass of trees with circumference >10cm; BDT: biomass of dead trees; DPC: deforestation curvature profile; ELEV: Elevation. 77 4. Discussion 4.1 Patterns of avian species occupancy To our knowledge this is the first study examining species-specific responses of Amazonian forest birds to local, landscape and historical factors across a broad gradient of human disturbance. Our 30 focal forest species universally declined along the gradient of human impact and were almost invariably absent from agricultural land-uses. Previously we had found that 43% and 38% of forest associated-species (e.g. Ramphocelus carbo, Tangara palmarum and Coereba flaveola) in PGM and STM respectively occurred at least occasionally in production areas (Moura et al. 2013). However, given our small sample size of undisturbed forest transects in Paragominas (n = 9) and STM (n = 17) we were unable to model the most disturbance-sensitive forest species as these were rarely recorded. This bias towards more disturbance-tolerant forest birds should be remembered in interpreting our results. Although all our focal species declined across the full land-use gradient, individual species responded idiosyncratically to fine-scale patterns of forest disturbance. Those showing the most rapid decrease in occupancy as the land use was intensified, e.g. A. paraensis and M. longipennis, were typically insectivorous flock obligate species of the forest mid and understorey, known to exhibit low tolerance to forest fragmentation and disturbance (Henriques et al. 2008, Moura et al. 2013). Not all flock-following species responded in this way however, T. caesius, a nuclear flock leader (Powell 1985) known to be sensitive to forest disturbance (e.g. Stouffer and Bierregard 1995, Barlow et al. 2002, Lees and Peres 2010), declined less rapidly, indicating a greater resilience to forest disturbance. In logged, burnt and secondary forests this species typically leads flocks composed of facultative flockfollowers such as Myrmotherula axillaris, Glyphorhynchus spirurus and Xenops minutus (Powell et al. 2013) Canopy flocking species such as L. melanoleuca also declined gradually across the full land-use gradient. Canopy species are known to be more tolerant to the degradation (Cohn-Haft and Sherry 1994) are well adapted to long distance movements (Karr and James 1975), since the food resources fluctuated and therefore selective logging may be more detrimental to understorey species owing to micro-climatic changes than canopy species whose habitat structure is less affected (Wong 1985, Mason and Thiollay 2001). Some species such as T. aethiops C. cinerascens and L. galeatus exhibited similar patterns of occupancy in all levels of disturbed primary forest, and this tolerance likely related to their preference for dense forest understorey or vine tangle habitats which persist or proliferate in disturbed forests. Some species were more frequently recorded in disturbed primary forests, principally large-bodied canopy frugivores such as P. plumbea and P. aracari. These species 78 are both highly vagile (Lees and Peres 2009) and may benefit from an increase in fruit production seen in some tree species in once-burned forests (Barlow and Peres 2006b). Not all species exhibited similar patterns between regions, for instance in PGM P. cayana slowly decreased in abundance with increasing forest disturbance whilst in STM the opposite was true. We interpret this difference as potentially being due to a release from competition with its sister species, the congeneric P. melanogaster (not modelled and absent from PGM), which was restricted to undisturbed and logged forests. It seems likely that P. cayana is competitively excluded from less disturbed forest habitats by the canopy-specialist P. melanogaster (Pearson 1971). 4.2 Species-environment relationships Overall, we found that distance to forest edge and the biomass of large trees were the most important variables driving patterns of occupancy of focal species in varyinglydegraded primary forests in our study regions. Edge effects are among the most studied disturbance types, with proximity to edges typically resulting in marked patterns of species turnover with increases in gap-specialist species and a loss of forest-interior specialists (e.g. Terborgh et al. 1990, Laurance 2004). That we were able to uncover evidence for edgeeffects stretching up to 1000 m into forests is further evidence for the pervasive effects of edges on forest bird distributions. In a remote-sensing investigation of canopy water content Briant et al. (2010) found that desiccating edge effects may penetrate 1-2.7 km into fragmented forests. Not all species responded strongly to edges however; medium to largebodied species frugivores (e.g. Psittacids and Ramphastids) are less affected, given their natural affinity for edges and good gap-crossing ability (Lees et al. 2008, 2009). Biomass of large trees closely reflects patterns of historical logging frequency and intensity, with the removal of large emergent tree species altering the canopy structure and hence understorey micro-climate and vegetative composition (Uhl and Vieira 1989) to the detriment of specialist understory species, such as Psophia dextralis and P. obscura, Grallaria varia and Cyphorhinus arada only recorded in undisturbed forests (Moura et al. 2013). Variation in Amazonian soils can be responsible for the heterogeneity of lowland forest physiognomies (Tuomisto et al. 1995) with consequences for avian distribution patterns and community structuring (Bueno et al 2012, Pomara et al. 2012). Soil variables such as clay content and pH are important determninants of the occurrence of species among primary forest classes, affecting species with different life strategies, including canopy insectivores e.g. H. rufimarginatus, midstory omnivores e.g. T. stolzmanni and canopy frugivores e.g. P. 79 aracari echoing the results of Cintra and Naka (2012) who also found that clay content mediated avian community structure in central Amazonia. We did not uncover any clear patterns of congruence between our environmental predictor variables and different functional groups (diet, flocking behavior or association with different forest strata) of our focal species. These divergent responses to the same environment variables may reflect subtle differences in realized niches that allow microsymaptry between these different species. In addition some species, particularly largebodied birds in STM, were poorly-modelled by our environmental variables, and it is of course possible that observed occupancy patterns are being driven by similar or different factors that we did not measure, including biotic interactions such as inter-specific competition, predation or parasitism (Connel and Orias 1964, Cody 1985, Robinson and Terborgh 1995). We were able to model the occurrence of some species much better than others and given the strong response of some of these to primary forest disturbance, we can recommend their use as indicator species of good-quality forest habitat. Example indicator species include H. rufimarginatus (R² = 0.4 in PGM), M. ecaudatus (R² = 0.7 and 0.4 in PGM and STM respectively), S. turdina (R² = 0.6 and 0.5 in PGM and STM respectively) and L. vociferans (R² = 0.6 and 0.7 in PGM and STM respectively). The fact that L. vociferans, a mid-storey omnivore, was well-modelled in both regions responding strongly to edge effects, as well as differences in tree species richness and biomass and understory density is particularly notable given that this species is one of the loudest birds on Earth (Nemeth 2004) and thus may make an easily-detectable proxy for forest-quality based on its dependence affinity for forests with high basal area and edge avoidance. That suboscine passerines were better-modelled than most other phylogenetic groups again reinforces their importance as study systems in ecological enquiries (Tobias et al. 2013). 5. Conclusions This study offers a set of more nuanced insights as to the effects of land-use change and forest disturbance on a tropical forest avian bird community than is possible from typical community-wide studies. We found that many focal species were highly sensitive to humanmodification of their forest habitats, with only two species using agricultural areas. We uncovered a remarkably diverse set of species responses to individual environmental variables although the basal area of large trees and distance to forest edges were shown to be consistently important. Our study highlights the ubiquity of species-specific responses to 80 habitat degradation and indicates the extent to which highly divergent disturbance response signatures may be masked by community studies. 81 Capítulo 4 Two hundred years of local avian extinctions in Eastern Amazonia Publicado como: Moura, N. G., Lees, A. C., Aleixo, A., Barlow, J. Dantas, S. M., Ferreira, J., Lima, M. F. C., and Gardner, T. A. 2014. Two hundred years of local avian extinctions in Eastern Amazonia. Conservation Biology. In press. Abstract Local, regional, and global extinctions caused by habitat loss, degradation, and fragmentation have been widely reported for the tropics. The patterns and drivers of this loss of species are now increasingly well known in Amazonia, but there remains a significant gap in understanding of long-term trends in species persistence and extinction in anthropogenic landscapes. Such a historical perspective is critical for understanding the status and trends of extant biodiversity as well as for identifying priorities to halt further losses. We searched for evidence of local extinctions of a terra firma rainforest avifauna over 200 years in a 2,500 km² eastern Amazonian region around the Brazilian city of Belém using extensive historical data sets of specimen records and contemporary surveys. This region has the longest history of ornithological fieldwork in the entire Amazon basin and lies in the highly-threatened Belém Centre of Endemism. We also compared our historically inferred extinction events with extensive data on species occurrence in a sample of catchments in a nearby municipality (Paragominas) that encompass a gradient of past forest loss. We found evidence for the possible extinction of 47 species (14% of the regional species pool) that were unreported from 1980 to 2013 (80% last recorded between 1900 and 1980). Seventeen species appear in the red list of the International Union for Nature Conservation (IUCN), many of which are large-bodied species. The species lost from the region immediately around Belém are similar to those which are currently restricted to well-forested catchments in Paragominas. Although we anticipate the future rediscovery or recolonization of some species inferred to be extinct by our calculations, we also expect that there are likely to be additional local extinctions, not reported here, given the on-going loss and degradation of remaining areas of native vegetation across eastern Amazonia. Keywords: sighting record, colonization, forest dependency, urban conservation, IUCN Red List, avifauna 82 1. Introduction Determining if and when a species becomes locally, regionally, or globally extinct is never easy because the rarer a species gets, the more difficult it is to find and study. The ecological literature contains many cases whereby species once considered extinct have been rediscovered decades or even centuries later (e.g. Crowley et al. 2011). Such cases indicate the necessity for thorough field surveys before declaring a species to be extinct (e.g. Butchart et al. 2006). These problems are most severe in the tropics, where biodiversity is richest, extinction (and rediscovery) rates are highest (Costello et al. 2013), and land-use change is currently most acute (e.g. Sodhi et al. 2004). Furthermore, a persistent lack of time-series data means that estimating extinction risk is often only possible through a spacefor-time substitution. For example, one might compare current species persistence in heavily forested areas with patterns of persistence in adjacent recently deforested areas (Pickett 1989). However, it is possible that many short-term studies may not be able to capture longterm patterns of species survival because extinction debts may be paid over a very long period for species with long generation times and insulation from real-world threats (in experimental landscapes or over short periods), such as hunting and trapping, may lead to underestimates of extinction risk (e.g. Peres et al. 2010). Thus, understanding what constitutes the baseline of biodiversity prior to recent large-scale landscape change and resource extraction by humans is fraught with difficultly for many parts of the world. One of the most robust approaches to estimating past extinctions and current extinction risk is to combine data from current field surveys with historical data from museum specimens (e.g. Kattan et al. 1994, Patten et al. 2010). This powerful approach is only possible for regions of the world where extensive natural history fieldwork has been conducted over long periods. Here, we present such a case study for the region around the city of Belém, the longest-studied area of the entire Amazon basin. Amazonia is subject to the highest absolute rates of loss of tropical forest on the planet (Hansen et al. 2013). Despite substantial reductions in deforestation rates in the Brazilian Amazon during the last decade (INPE 2013), this loss and fragmentation of forests threaten many species with global extinction (e.g. Bird et al. 2011). Local extinctions caused by habitat loss, fragmentation, and disturbance from fire and logging are relatively well studied in Amazonia (Peres et al. 2010), and the longest-running study, the Biological Dynamics of Forest Fragments Project, dates back only to 1979 (Laurence et al. 2011). Thus, a major knowledge gap relating to the conservation of Amazonian biota is an understanding of long-term trends in species persistence and extinction in the humanmodified landscapes that increasingly characterize the region. 83 Arguably the most threatened region of Amazonia is the 243,000 km² Belém Center of Endemism (BCE) in northeastern Pará and western Maranhão states. This area has the longest history and highest proportion of forest loss of any Amazonian interfluve and retains 24% of its original primary forest cover (Almeida and Vieira 2010). Most of this remaining forest is heavily fragmented and degraded by recurrent selective-logging and fire events, as well as over-extraction of game animals and other non-timber forest resources (Almeida and Vieira 2010, Amaral et al. 2012). Although 11 of the 160 threatened avian taxa on the current Brazilian Red List are strictly Amazonian, 10 of these are restricted to the BCE (Machado et al. 2008). A further 12 species occurring in but not necessarily restricted to the BCE are also considered globally threatened (IUCN 2013), of which 7 do not appear on the Brazilian Red List (Machado et al. 2008). Quantitative data on the responses to land-use change and persistence in fragmented landscapes for many of these threatened taxa are generally lacking (Portes et al. 2011). The state capital Belém (Belém do Grão Pará) was founded by the Portuguese in 1616 and by 1752 was already a hub of Amazonian biodiversity research (Teixeira et al. 2010). Many renowned naturalists (including Henry Walter Bates, Alfred Russel Wallace, and Johann Baptist von Spix among others) collected thousands of bird (among other) specimens that were deposited in museums across the world (Novaes and Lima 2009). This wealth of specimen data has, until now, been untapped for use in conservation research, yet offers invaluable insights into the history of local avifaunal extinctions in this unique corner of Amazonia (e.g. Burgman et al. 1995). In stark contrast to most of Amazonia, where substantial forest losses have only occurred in the last fifty years, the Metropolitan region of Belém (MRB) was already heavily deforested and defaunated more than a century ago (Vieira et al. 2007). Our goal was thus to investigate long-term trends in local extinction and persistence of Amazonian birds in a highly fragmented and degraded forest region (MRB) that characterizes the BCE. We searched for evidence of local extinctions from 1812 to 1980 in the MRB by examining museum records and estimating the persistence probabilities and likely extinction dates for species unrecorded since 1980. We compared these historical data with field data on local extinctions from the most extensively forested region left in the BCE the municipality of Paragominas, which was subject to a recent exhaustive biodiversity inventory (Lees et al. 2012, Gardner et al. 2013, Moura et al. 2013). We then determined if current patterns of threat recognized at the regional, national, and international levels agreed with our findings of which species were most threatened with extinction in both our historical and contemporary data sets. 84 2. Methods 2.1 Study site The 2,537 km² MRB (~1ºS, 48º'W, Fig. 4.1), a conurbation of 2.2 million people, is in northeastern Brazil at the mouth of the Guamá River in Pará state and is divided into 6 municipalities: Belém, Ananindeua, Marituba, Benevides, Santa Isabel, and Santa Bárbara do Pará. Local soils are typically deep oxisoils, well-drained with low natural fertility, and the natural climax vegetation is dense ombrophilous terra firma and várzea (seasonally flooded) forests (Novaes and Lima 2009). The regional climate is classified as Af following the Köppen terminology; hot with annual mean temperatures ranging from 23 to 31°C and very humid with mean relative air humidity is 80%. There is no pronounced dry season, although it rains less between June and November with mean annual precipitation ranging from 2,500 to 3,000 mm (Novaes and Lima 2009). Figure 4.1 Map indicating the position of the study regions MRB and Paragominas in Brazil (a) and the state of Pará (b); extent of remaining forest cover in the MRB (forest as dark pixels, urban and agricultural areas in white) (c) and one of two specimens of Rufous-rumped Foliage-gleaner (Philydor 85 erythrocercum) collected by Sir Alfred Russel Wallace at ‘Pará’ (old name for Belém) in May 1849 and deposited at the Natural History Museum, Tring, England (A. C. Lees © Natural History Museum, Tring) (d). This latter species was last reported in the MRB in 1965, but according to the Solow 2 calculations is potentially still extant. It is most likely to persist in the 6,367 km Refúgio de Vida Silvestre Metrópole da Amazônia, the largest area of contiguous primary forest left in the MRB. Since its founding on 12 January 1616 the city and its environs have undergone over 4 centuries of forest loss and degradation, catalyzed by the construction of the Estrada Real from 1616 onwards, a highway that connects Belém to São Luís in Maranhão state, and later associated with the construction of the Bragança railway, between 1883-1908 aimed at developing eastern Pará (Vieira et al. 2007). Present day forest cover in the MRB is approximately 43.5% of the original pre-Columbian extent (INPE 2013). There are 6 protected areas (6,399 km2), most of which are severely degraded due to on-going disturbance events such as fire, selective-logging, and illegal hunting (Leão et al. 2007). 2.2 Data collection Novaes and Lima (2009) list 490 bird species for the MRB, of which 329 (67%) are present in unflooded terra firma forest. We compiled a baseline list of those species reliably recorded in the region and represented either by specimen records or archived documented observations (voucher images or sound recordings). The principle source of specimen data came from digitized records of study skins deposited at the Museu Paraense Emílio Goeldi (MPEG) and from 9 North American institutions with data from the MRB archived on the ORNIS database (www.ornisnet.org/). The databases of many avian collections are undigitized, so we also conducted an exhaustive search of secondary sources to locate additional historical records (e.g. Sclater and Salvin 1867, Hellmayr 1905, Stone 1928) from which we extracted collection dates directly or used to direct targeted visits to other collections (e.g. the Natural History Museum at Tring). To ascertain the contemporary presence of species in the region, in addition to specimen data we also accepted digital voucher images and sound recordings. Through the compilation of data from multiple sources, we compiled a sighting record for each species. Data sources :North American Institutions with specimen data for the MRB housed on the ORNIS site are as follows: Museum of Comparative Zoology (MCZ), American Museum of Natural History (AMNH), California Academy of Sciences (CAS), Cornell University-Museum of Vertebrates (CUMV), Field Museum of Natural History (FMNH), Los Angeles County Museum of Natural History (LACM), University of Nebraska State Museum (USNM), Royal Ontario Museum (ROM), University of Michigan, Museum of Zoology (UMMZ ). Collecting localities were located using Paynter and Traylor (1991). We 86 also searched for images archived on the Brazilian avian photo data base WikiAves (http:www.wikiaves.com.br), sound-recordings deposited on the global avian soundrecording database xeno-canto (http://www.xeno-canto.org/) and records from recent surveys conducted by ornithologists based at the MPEG. 2.3 Data analyses We considered 1980 the cut-off year for analysis. Species unrecorded since 1980 were candidates for local extinction because the last really rigorous inventories were finished in the 1970s (e.g. Lovejoy 1971, Novaes 1973).To infer extinction dates, we used the formulas of Solow (1993, 2005). These formulas assume a uniform distribution of sightings (non-stationary Poisson, which also assumes the records are independent). We organized the records as t1<t2<…<tn, where n represents the number of times a species was sighted during the study period, ordered from the earliest to latest, starting with t 1= 0. To determine if a species was likely to be extinct, we used the formula p = (tn/T) n-1, where T is the difference between the first sighting and the target year 2013 (which is the endpoint of the study period that corresponds to the present time). If p<0.05, then the species was considered likely to be extinct (Solow 1993, 2005). We used the following equation to estimate extinction dates: T̂E = (n+1/n)tn , where the expected year of extinction is T̂E and the first record is t1 (for species with at least 4 independent records). The confidence interval for T̂E was calculated as TEU = tn/α1/n, where α = 0.05. Because the Solow equation is heavily dependent on the initial number of sightings (tn), calculating the sighting rate (sensu McInerny et al. 2006) is also useful because it allows for greater comparability between taxa if there is disparity in the period of initial sighting or discovery. The sighting rate is calculated with p = (1-(n/tn)(T-tn)). We present both measures for greater confidence in our inferred candidates for extinction. To assess the generality of extinction patterns, we compared them with the results of a 2010-2011 survey investigating patterns of avian persistence in 18 catchments (of approximately 5,000 ha) in the municipality of Paragominas (2° S, 47° W), which is 307 km south of the MRB and has a baseline avifauna that is nearly identical to that of the MRB (Lees et al. 2012, Gardner et al. 2013). The 18 catchments studied were delineated using a digital elevation model and SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) for ARCGIS 9.3 and represented a gradient of accumulated forest loss (based on classified 2010 Landsat images [Gardner et al. 2013]) from 94% (6% remaining primary forest cover) to 0% (100% forest cover). Between 7 and 12 (300 m) transects were stratified (forest, non-forest) across each 87 catchment. Three point count stations were allocated to each transect (see Lees et al. [2012] and Gardner et al. [2013] for more details on experimental design and avian survey protocols). We compiled a list of avian taxa classified as threatened on the state (Pará) (Aleixo 2006), national (Brazilian) (Machado et al. 2008), and international (IUCN) red lists (IUCN 2013) (evaluations at the state and national level also considered taxa below the species level, in some cases pending taxonomic upgrades) currently or historically occurring in the MRB. We then compared all species that we inferred to be extinct in the MRB and all species listed as threatened on state, national, and international lists with the total number of records, catchment occupancy, land-use breadth (number of land uses sampled from primary and secondary forest, pasture, silviculture, and mechanized agriculture), and the minimum percentage of forest cover within each occupied catchment in Paragominas. To assess potential traits of birds vulnerable to local extinction, we compared the threats compiled for each species and species’ life history attributes, such as mass and forest dependency, by Birdlife International (2013). Finally, we adapted the framework of Butchart et al. (2006) and used it to assess the conservation status of species either already listed or deemed to be regionally threatened based on our analyses of species persistence in the MRB. For species last recorded quite recently there needs to be greater confidence that the last individual has died in order for the species to be considered extinct. 3. Results 3.1 Possible extinctions in the MRB We traced 10,147 specimens of 329 terra firma species from 8 collections from which we were able to construct a sighting record. These indicated that 47 terra firma species (14%) were unrecorded in the MRB over the last 33 years, a loss of 0.28 species/year. Probable extinctions were inferred to have occurred over the course of the entire period 1800-2000. However, more occurred in the 20 th century; 80% of candidate extinctions were recorded between 1900 and 1980 (Table 4.1). In addition we infer the undocumented 'Centinelan' sensu Wilson (1992) extinctions of the following species from the region Gray Tinamou Tinamus tao, Bare-faced Currasow Crax fasciolata pinima, Crested Eagle Morphnus guianensis and Variegated Antpitta Grallaria varia which likely occurred in the region but were never recorded by ornithologists. Gray Tinamou was historically collected along the rio Capim to the south of the region (Griscom and Greenway 1941) as was the Bare-faced Currasow (Goeldi 1903) and both are extremely vulnerable to local extinction because of hunting. The currasow is now on the brink of global extinction (Lees et al. 2012). 88 Crested Eagles occur throughout the Neotropics and have been recorded 18 km south of Belém at Barcarena (Vilar 2013) and in forest remnants around Tailândia (Silveira 2006) where Variegated Antpittas have also been recorded, both there and at other sites in the BCE (Portes et al. 2011, Lees et al. 2012). We excluded three unvouchered terra firme species listed in Novaes and Lima (2009) from our analysis; White Bellbird Procnias albus, Chestnut-fronted Macaw Ara severus and Bar-breasted Piculet Picumnus aurifrons which we deem biogeographically unlikely to occur in the region and are not represented by voucher documentary material (specimens, photographs, sound-recordings). We were able to estimate extinction probabilities for 26 (for which number of records was ≥ 4). Ten species were considered likely to be extinct based on the Solow equation; extinction dates ranged from 1918 to 1978 (95% confidence intervals between 1952 and 2004, Fig. 4.2), and 16 species were presumed to be still extant. Of the 21 species for which it was not possible to calculate the extinction probability, 9 were unrecorded after 1900. We were reasonably confident that these species have become locally extinct (Fig. 4.2) because all are susceptible to local extinction following habitat loss and hunting (e.g. Peres et al. 2000) and all are large-bodied (> 350 g) easy to survey species which are very unlikely to have remained undetected for over a century. The sighting rate calculations for 26 species suggested that 17 species were likely to be extinct in the MRB, including 8 species that were highly likely to be extant based on the Solow equation (Table 4.1). 89 Table 4.1 Species unrecorded in the last 33 years in the Metropolitan region of Belém. Scientific name a English common name Last record b n c tn d T e Solow Estimated extinction year Upper 95% bound Sighting rate Mean weight (g) Penelope pileata White-crested Guan 1870 2 - - - - - - 1260 Aburria cujubi Red-throated Piping-Guan 1835 1 - - - - - - 1407 Pauxi tuberosa Razor-billed Curassow 1959 6 124 178 0.164 - - 0.108 2813 Odontophorus gujanensis Marbled Wood-Quail 1906 7 71 178 0.004 1918 1952 0.991 314 Sarcoramphus papa King Vulture 1898 1 - - - - - - 3337 Accipiter poliogaster Gray-bellied Hawk 1915 3 - - - - - - 420 Accipter superciliosus Tiny Hawk 1968 6 133 178 0.233 - - 0.178 104 Harpia harpyja Harpy Eagle 1894 2 - - - - - - 6550 Spizaetus melanoleucus Black-and-white Hawk-Eagle 1962 1 - - - - - - 751 Spizaetus ornatus Ornate Hawk-Eagle 1812 1 - - - - - - 1215 Daptrius ater Black Caracara 1848 1 - - - - - - 352 Micrastur mirandollei Slaty-backed Forest-Falcon 1835 1 - - - - - - 517 Micrastur semitorquatus Collared Forest-Falcon 1968 2 - - - - - - 631 Psophia obscura Anodorhynchus hyacinthinus Dark-winged Trumpeter 1922 9 87 178 0.003 1931 1956 0.000 1071 Hyacinth Macaw 1812 1 - - - - - - 1565 Ara macao Scarlet Macaw 1900 4 88 201 0.084 - - 0.020 1245 Ara chloropterus Red-and-green Macaw 1906 6 94 104 0.523 - - 0.491 1479 Guarouba guarouba Golden Parakeet 1848 3 - - - - - - 260 Pyrrhura lepida Pearly Parakeet 1968 4 156 201 0.468 - - 0.417 75 Touit huetii Scarlet-shouldered Parrotlet 1969 4 71 115 0.235 - - 0.150 60 Deroptyus accipitrinus Red-fan Parrot 1912 4 100 201 0.123 - - 0.046 255 Neomorphus geoffroyi Rufous-vented Ground-Cuckoo 1912 4 100 201 0.123 - - 0.046 363 Lophornis gouldii Dot-eared Coquette 1967 9 55 101 0.008 1974 1992 0.001 2 Calliphlox amethystina Amethyst Woodstar 1926 1 - - - - - - 2 Piculus chrysochloros Golden-green Woodpecker 1963 6 62 112 0.052 - - 0.015 66 90 Scientific name a English common name Last record b n c tn d T e Solow Estimated extinction year Upper 95% bound Sighting rate Mean weight (g) Celeus torquatus Ringed Woodpecker 1968 1 - - - - - - 124 Hylopezus macularius Spotted Antpitta 1968 6 133 178 0.233 - - 0.178 40 Sclerurus caudacutus Black-tailed Leaftosser 1967 5 42 88 0.052 - - 0.010 38 Sclerurus rufigularis Short-billed Leaftosser 1972 18 60 101 0.000 1976 1984 0.000 22 Dendrocincla merula White-chinned Woodcreeper 1968 6 5 50 0.00 1969 1972 0.00 53 Deconychura longicauda Long-tailed Woodcreeper 1968 3 - - - - - - 26 Dendroxestastes rufigula Cinnamon-throated Woodcreeper 1936 1 - - - - - - 70 Berlespchia rikeri Point-tailed Palmcreeper 1935 4 34 112 0.028 1946 1993 0.001 35 Philydor ruficaudatum Rufous-tailed Foliage-gleaner 1968 1 - - - - - - 27 Philydor erythrocercum Rufous-rumped Foliage-gleaner 1965 6 86 134 0.109 - - 0.000 25 Myiobius atricaudus Black-tailed Flycatcher 1968 6 96 141 0.146 - - 0.090 10 Phoenicircus carnifex Guianan Red-Cotinga 1930 10 72 95 0.083 - - 0.046 84 Gymnoderus foetidus Bare-necked Fruitcrow 1912 1 - - - - - - 283 Platyrinchus platyrhynchos White-crested Spadebill 1968 9 56 101 0.009 1975 1993 0.001 13 Platyrinchus saturatus Cinnamon-crested Spadebill 1972 12 60 101 0.003 1977 1981 0.000 13 Piprites chloris Wing-barred Piprites 1965 2 - - - - - - 19 Corythopis torquatus Ringed Antpipit 1972 11 124 165 0.057 - - 0.032 17 Hylophilus ochraceiceps Tawny-crowned Greenlet 1969 8 66 110 0.028 1978 2004 0.007 15 Lamprospiza melanoleuca Red-billed Pied Tanager 1965 8 130 178 0.111 - - 0.070 35 Dacnis lineata Black-faced Dacnis 1926 6 47 134 0.005 1935 1965 0.000 11 Periporphyrus erythromelas Red-and-black Grosbeak 1905 1 - - - - - - 48 Euphonia minuta White-vented Euphonia 1960 3 - - - - - - 9 a Our taxonomy follows the checklist of Brazilian birds compiled by the Comitê Brasileiro de Registros Ornitológicos (CBRO 2011). Number of records. c The interval between the first and last record. d The time interval between the year of the first sighting and the target year (2013). e The p values shown are based on the Solow equation (Solow 1993, 2005). b 91 Figure 4.2 Last record, extinction date (year), and confidence intervals for 47 species unrecorded in the Metropolitan region of Belém, Brazil, after 1980 (gray squares, last record of species presumed extinct but for which there are insufficient records to use the Solow equation (n<4); white triangles, last record for species considered extant based on Solow equation; black circles, date of last record for species considered extinct based on Solow equation; white circles, extinction date inferred based on Solow equation; semi-filled diamond, species extant based on Solow equation and extinct based on sighting rate; semi-filled circle, species extinct based on Solow equation and extant based on sighting rate; crosses, 95% confidence interval for extinct species based on Solow equation). 92 3.2 Forest dependency of threatened species In comparing our historical analysis with contemporary avian surveys in the municipality of Paragominas, we found that 6 species recorded as extinct (since 1980) in the MRB were also unrecorded in Paragominas. Thirty-nine species considered extinct in the MRB persisted in Paragominas, although 6 of these are likely to be rare given that they were not recorded during our comprehensive 2010 survey and reported only by Portes et al. (2011). Ten of 11 threatened (from any list) species that were still extant in the MRB were also recorded in Paragominas (Table 4.2). Forest dependency of individual threatened or extinct species in Paragominas (measured as the minimum percentage forest cover at the catchment scale from which a species was recorded) ranged from 34% to 100%; the number of catchments occupied ranged from 1 to 15 (of 18 catchments surveyed). The number of catchments occupied in Paragominas and the date of the last record in the MRB were weakly and positively related (Fig. 4.3, non-linear exponential model r² = 0.16; p<0.05). Species recorded in fewer catchments were more susceptible to local extinction (last recorded longer ago). Among the 47 species with a high extinction probability in the MRB, 9 were recorded once in Paragominas, indicating parallel patterns of rarity. However, this was not the case for all species. For example, the Red-billed Pied Tanager (Lamprospiza melanoleuca) was recorded on 37 occasions from 12 catchments in Paragominas (Table 4.2). Figure 4.3 Relationship between inferred extinction date in the Metropolitan region of Belém and occupancy of catchments in Paragominas, Brazil (r² = 0.16, p < 0.05). 93 3.3 Reassessment of species threat status Seventeen (36%) of the 47 species unrecorded since 1980 are categorized as threatened; 12 of these species are on the Pará list, 6 are on the Brazilian list, and 12 are on the IUCN list (Table 4.2). Ten species listed as regionally threatened are still extant in the MRB (Table 4.2). All 47 species we considered to have a high probability of extinction in the MRB, together with the species currently considered to be endangered in Pará (12 species), are threatened by habitat loss, degradation, and fragmentation, and 19 of these species were only recorded from primary forests in Paragominas, of which 3 species were found exclusively in remnant fragments of undisturbed forests (Dark-winged Trumpeter [Psophia obscura], Guianan Red-Cotinga [Phoenicircus carnifex], and Tawny-crowned Greenlet [Hylophilus ochraceiceps rubrifrons]). Fifteen species occupied both primary and secondary forest and 3 - Scarlet Macaw, Red-and-green Macaw and Golden Parakeet were also recorded in non-forest (agricultural) areas (Fig. 4. 2). Of the species considered threatened in Pará, only Black-spotted Bare-eye (Phlegopsis nigromaculata paraensis) was restricted to primary forest around Paragominas (although it occurs in old secondary forests [>50 years] elsewhere in the MRB). Nine other species were also recorded in secondary forests, and 4 species considered likely to be extinct in the MRB and listed as endangered on the IUCN list were also threatened by hunting and the wild bird trade. Seven of the 10 species last recorded before 1900 were either large-bodied (>1 kg) game birds, raptors, or psittacids of high commercial value (Table 4.2). 94 Table 4.2 Principle threats and Red List evaluations of threatened taxa at the State (Pará), national (Brazil) and global (IUCN) level and status of of the species in the MRB and Paragominas. Species English name Species persistence a in the MRB Species persistence in Paragominas b (PGM) Low total cover(%) No. of catchments with records in PGM Number of records from PGM Habitat types occupied in PGM Pará Red List Brazilian Red List IUCN Principle Red List threats Penelope pileata White-crested Guan 0 1 92 1 2 2,4 LC LC VU 1, 2 Aburria cujubi Red-throated PipingGuan 0 1 56 2 1 2 LC LC LC 1, 2 Pauxi tuberosum Razor-billed Curassow 0 1 73 3 7 1,2,5 LC LC LC 1, 2 Odontophorus gujanensis Marbled Wood-Quail 0 1 56 4 5 2 LC LC NT 1, 2 Sarcoramphus papa King Vulture 0 1 72 2 1 2,6 LC LC LC 1, 2 Accipiter poliogaster Gray-bellied Hawk 0 0 - - - - LC LC LC 1, 2 Accipter superciliosus Tiny Hawk 0 0* - - - - LC LC LC 1, 2 Harpia harpyja Harpy Egle 0 0* - - - - LC LC NT 1, 2 Spizaetus melanoleucus Black-and-white HawkEagle 0 1 76 1 1 5 LC LC LC 1, 2 Spizaetus ornatus Ornate Hawk-Eagle 0 1 92 1 1 - NT LC NT 1, 2 Daptrius ater Black Caracara 0 1 58 1 1 - LC LC LC 1, 2 Micrastur mirandollei Slaty-backed ForestFalcon 0 1 63 1 1 - LC LC LC 2 Psophia obscura Dark-winged Trumpeter 0 1 100 1 1 1 End End End 1, 2 Micrastur semitorquatus Collared Forest-Falcon 0 1 63 2 2 4 LC LC LC 2 Anodorhynchus hyacinthinus Hyacinth Macaw 0 0 - - - - VU VU 1,2,3 Ara macao Scarlet Macaw 0 1 51 10 16 3,4,5,6 LC LC LC 1,2,3 Ara chloropterus Red-and-green Macaw 0 1 56 9 21 2,4,6 LC LC LC 1,2,3 Guarouba guarouba Golden Parakeet 0 1 51 13 41 1,2,4,5,6,7 VU VU End 1,2,3 Pyrrhura lepida Pearly Parakeet 0 1 56 9 28 1,2,4,5 End End VU 1,2,3 Pyrilia vulturina Vulturine Parrot 1 0* - - - - LC LC VU 1,2,3 Touit huetii Scarlet-shouldered Parrotlet 0 0 - - - - LC LC VU 1,2,3 VU 95 Species English name Species persistence a in the MRB Species persistence in Paragominas b (PGM) Low total cover(%) No. of catchments with records in PGM Number of records from PGM Habitat types occupied in PGM Pará Red List Brazilian Red List IUCN Principle Red List threats Pionites leucogaster White-bellied Parrot 1 1 34 13 23 1,2,4 LC LC VU 1,2,3 Deroptyus accipitrinus Red-fan Parrot 0 1 51 11 19 2,4 LC LC LC 1,2,3 Neomorphus geoffroyi Rufous-vented GroundCuckoo 0 0* - - - - LC LC LC 2, 4 Threnetes leucurus Pale-tailed Barbthroat 1 0 - - - - End LC LC 2 Lophornis gouldii Dot-eared Coquette 0 0* - - - - LC LC VU 2 Calliphlox amethystina Amethyst Woodstar 0 1 57 4 5 2,4,6 LC LC LC 2 Pteroglossus bitorquatus Red-necked Aracari 1 1 51 10 22 1,2,4,5 VU LC NT 2 Celeus torquatus Ringed Woodpecker 0 0 - - - - End LC LC 24 0 0 - - - - VU LC LC 24 1 1 34 15 99 1,2,4,5 VU LC LC 2,4 Piculus chrysochloros Thamnophilus aethiops Golden-green Woodpecker White-shouldered Antshrike Phlegopsis nigromaculata Black-spotted Bare-eye 1 1 51 6 8 1,2,4 End LC LC 2, 4 Hylopezus macularius Spotted Antpitta 0 1 80 2 2 1,4 LC LC LC 2, 4 Sclerurus caudacutus Black-tailed Leaftosser 0 1 72 5 12 1,2,4,5 LC LC Sclerurus rufigularis Short-billed Leaftosser 0 1 70 1 1 2 LC LC LC 2, 4 Dendroxestastes rufigula Cinnamon-throated Woodcreeper 0 1 56 5 8 2,4 End End LC 2,4 Deconychura longicauda Long-tailed Woodcreeper 0 1 55 4 4 2,4 VU LC NT 2,4 1 1 63 6 6 2,4,5 End End LC 2,4 1 1 55 10 24 1,2,4,5 End LC LC 2,4 1 1 55 11 19 2,3,4,5 End LC LC 2,4 0 0 - - - - LC LC LC 2,4 0 1 63 7 8 1,2,3 LC LC LC 24 Dendrocincla merula Dendrocolaptes certhia Synallaxis rutilans Berlespchia rikeri Philydor ruficaudatum White-chinned Woodcreeper Amazonian BarredWoodcreeper Ruddy Spinetail Cinnamon-throated Woodcreeper Rufous-tailed Foliagegleaner LC 2, 4 2,4 Philydor erythrocercum Rufous-rumped Foliagegleaner 0 1 68 7 24 1,2,3 LC LC LC 96 Species English name Species persistence a in the MRB Species persistence in Paragominas b (PGM) Low total cover(%) No. of catchments with records in PGM Number of records from PGM Habitat types occupied in PGM Pará Red List Brazilian Red List IUCN Principle Red List threats Lepidothrix iris Opal-crowned Manakin 1 1 63 2 2 1,2 LC LC VU 2,4 Myiobius atricaudus Black-tailed Flycatcher 0 0 - - - - LC LC LC 2,4 Gymnoderus foetidus Bare-necked Fruitcrow 0 0 - - - - LC LC LC 2,4 Phoenicircus carnifex Guianan Red-Cotinga 0 1 100 1 1 1 LC LC LC 2,4 Tolmomyias assimilis Yellow-margined Flycatcher 1 1 34 14 47 1,2,4,5 End LC LC 2,4 Xipholena lamellipenis White-tailed Cotinga 1 1 69 6 19 1,2,3,5 LC LC NT 2,4 Platyrinchus platyrhynchos White-crested Spadebill 0 1 55 4 14 1,2,3 LC LC LC 2,4 Platyrinchus saturatus Golden-crowned Spadebill 0 1 55 4 4 2 LC LC LC 2,4 Piprites chloris Wing-barred Piprites 0 1 56 9 34 1,2,4,5 VU LC LC 2,4 Corythopis torquatus Ringed Antpipit 0 1 72 3 8 1,2,5 LC LC LC 2,4 Hylophilus ochraceiceps Tawny-crowned Greenlet 0 1 100 1 5 1 LC LC 2,4 Lamprospiza melanoleuca Red-billed Pied Tanager 0 1 56 12 37 1,2,4,5 LC LC LC 2,4 Dacnis lineata Black-faced Dacnis 0 0* - - - - LC LC LC 24 Periporphyrus erythromelas Red-and-black Grosbeak 0 1 72 4 6 1,2 LC LC NT 2,4 Euphonia minuta White-vented Euphonia 0 1 - - - - LC LC LC 2,4 LC † Evaluated at the subspecies level. a 0 = extinct; 1 = extant b 0 = not recorded by Lees et al. (2012), if marked with an asterisk then recorded by Portes et al. 2011; 1 = recorded by Lees et al. (2012) c Habitat types: 1Undisturbed; 2 Logged; 3 Burned; 4 Logged & burned; 5 Secondary forest; 6 Pasture; 7 Plantations; 8 Mechanized agriculture. 97 A combined analysis of sighting records, threat status, and estimates of the ease of detection revealed 16 extinct species for which we are very confident of local extinction, 19 probably extinct species and 13 possibly extinct species for which we have lower confidence in their extinction (Fig. 4.4). Figure 4.4 Schematic of framework illustrating how time since last record interacts with confidence of extinction (bold, globally threatened species [IUCN 2013]; asterisk, included on the regional red list). The framework can be used to determine how species can be classified locally as possibly extinct, probably extinct or extinct (adapted from Butchart et al. [2006]). 4. Discussion We found evidence for the possible local extinction of 47 terra firma species in the MRB since 1812, all of which remained undetected from 1980 to 2013. Gradual local and regional extinctions have been reported throughout the Neotropics (Table 4.3), but we conducted the first study illustrating the long-term (>160 years) erosion of an Amazonian bird community. Rate of loss was estimated at 0.28 species/year in the MRB. By comparison, Robinson et al. (2001) found that Barro Colorado Island, Panama, lost 13.5% of its avifauna in 25 years (1.1 species extinction/year) and Patten et al. (2010) found that Palenque, Mexico, lost 9.5% of its avifauna in 109 years (0.21 extinctions/year). 98 Table 4.3 Long term species loss from Neotropical forest regions Number of extinct species, total species richness, community regionally extinct (%) 47, 360, 14.5 12, 122, 9.8 23, 240, 9.5 27, 200, 13.5 Study Region Biome Period (years), No. years Species loss/ year This study Shaw et al. 2013 Patten et al. 2010 Robinson et al. 2001 Metropolitan region of Belém, Pará, Brazil Sierra de Los Tuxtlas, Veracruz, Mexico Palenque, Chiapas, Mexico Barro Colorado Island, Panama Amazonia Central America Central America Central America 1812-1980, 168 1973-2004, 30 1900-2009, 109 1970-1996, 25 Renjifo 1999 Ribon et al. 2003 Christiansen and Pitter 2003 west slope, Cordillera Central, Colombia Viçosa, Minas Gerais, Brazil Andes Atlantic Forest 1911-1997, 86 1932-1999, 67 6, 139, 4.3 28, 221, 13 0.06 0.42 Lagoa Santa, Minas Gerais, Brazil Atlantic Forest 1870-1987, 117 13, 107, 12.1 0.11 0.28 0.40 0.21 1.08 99 These results suggest that short-term studies of avian extinctions from Amazonian forest landscapes may yield very conservative results because extinction debts may be paid over a long period and species present in the current landscape may not be part of viable populations (e.g. Brooks et al. 1999, Metzger et al. 2009). Our results therefore reinforce the critical importance of establishing (when historical records are available) an accurate local baseline for a given biota to avoid underestimating levels of species losses associated with cumulative land-use change and synergistic interactions between multiple threats (Gardner et al. 2009, Lees et al. 2012). Our results should also be viewed through a conservative lens, given potential historical collecting biases that we believe makes it more likely that our analysis underestimated rather than overestimated change. Many species may not have been represented in the pre-disturbance samples that constituted our baseline due to the difficulty of collecting small-bodied canopy species relative to understory species and the fact that collecting effort is neither temporally nor spatially constant (Burgman et al. 1995, McCarthy 1998). 4.1 Patterns of local extinction in the MRB avifauna Extinction proneness in Amazonian birds is typically linked to life history characteristics such as body-size, feeding behavior, and dispersal ability (Lees and Peres 2009, Lees and Peres 2010, Stouffer et al. 2011). Our findings are consistent with those of previous studies (e.g. Owens and Bennett 2000) which found that largebodied species are particularly extinction prone. For example, we report the purported loss of 6 large-bodied (>1 kg) species from the MRB, of which 4 - Dark-winged Trumpeter (Psophia obscura), White-crested Guan (Penelope pileata) Red-throated Piping-Guan (Aburria cujubi) and Razor-billed Curassow (Pauxi tuberosa) - are gamebirds highly sought after for bushmeat (e.g. Peres 2000). Eight of the largebodied species were unrecorded after 1900. The mean mass of species that went extinct from 1800 to 1900 was 1772 g, in contrast to a mean of 270 g after 1901. Given this information, the most parsimonious explanation for this first wave of local extinctions from the MRB is hunting of large-bodied species for food, although local forest loss also began to gain momentum in the same period and was most severe after 1880 (Vieira et al. 2007). Trade and persecution may also have driven some species to extinction. For example, other large-bodied species such as Scarlet Macaw (Ara macao), Red-andgreen Macaw (Ara chloropterus) and Hyacinth Macaw (Anodorhynchus hyacinthinus) were harvested for the wild bird trade in the MRB (Alves et al. 2013). The same is true 100 of the Golden Parakeet (Guarouba guarouba), which we (NGM & ACL) found persisting in the neighboring fragmented landscapes of Moju, Paragominas, and Tailândia but which remains a target for the (now illegal) wild bird trade (Alves et al. 2013). Large raptors, such as Harpy Eagle (Harpia harpyja), Crested Eagle (Morphnus guianensis), and Ornate Hawk-Eagle (Spizaetus ornatus) are also particularly threatened in fragmented landscapes from hunting, which may be triggered by human-wildlife conflicts when raptors are suspected of killing small livestock (e.g. Trinca et al. 2008). Many of the other probable extinctions we found are more likely to be related to forest loss and disturbance than direct persecution. A wave of extinctions of smallerbodied species occurred after 1900, and the mean bodyweight of species assumed to go extinct between 1900 and 1980 was 270 g (an 85% drop in body size compared with losses observed during the previous century). This second wave of extinctions may be linked to habitat loss and degradation associated with the construction of the railway in 1883-1908 (Vieira et al. 2007) and the subsequent increase in human population and the size of settlements in Belém after the construction of the BelémBrasília road in the 1960s. The disappearance of both medium and small-bodied primary-forest dependent frugivores such as the Guianan Red-Cotinga (Phoenicircus carnifex) and Wing-barred Piprites (Piprites chloris griseicens) is consistent with results of other studies (e.g. Lees and Peres 2008, Española et al. 2013) and may reflect loss of food resources or access to adequate nest sites. The absence of many such species was observed by early naturalists. For example, in 1926 J. Bond failed to find Red-andBlack Grosbeak (Periporphyrus erythromelas) in the MRB, remarking that it was “found only in the virgin forest at Castanhal” 50 km from Belém (Stone 1928). Insectivorous species have also been disproportionately affected by habitat loss, degradation, and fragmentation, including both flock-following under and midstory primary-forest dependent species such as Long-tailed Woodcreeper (Deconychura longicauda zimmeri) and terrestrial solitary species such as Spotted Antpitta (Hylopezus [macularius] paraensis) which appear intolerant even to lowintensity selective-logging activities (Lees and Peres 2010, Moura et al. 2013). The potential lack of cavity trees could have contributed to population collapses in the MRB because many of the species inferred to be locally extinct are either primary (woodpeckers) or secondary cavity nesters (e.g., forest falcons, parrots, woodcreepers) for which habitat may be reduced in selectively logged and secondary forests (e.g. Cockle et al. 2010) which typically offer far fewer cavities given reductions in the number of large live trees, dead snags, and trees with dead limbs (Cockle et al. 2010). A lack of dead wood and other preferred foraging substrates for woodpeckers, 101 combined with a lack of trees large enough to construct nests for the larger species could lead to cascade effects for secondary cavity nesters given their dependency on woodpeckers for creating suitable cavities (Drever et al. 2008). This local extinction (or ecological extinction, in the case of species now very rare) likely results in the impairment of important ecosystem processes such as seed dispersal by large frugivores which may result in cascade effects on vegetative composition as has already been convincingly demonstrated for the Atlantic forest (e.g. Galetti et al. 2013, and reviewed in Şekercioḡlu 2006). 4.2 Colonization of MRB by non-forest bird species Most studies documenting long-term extinctions in formerly forested tropical landscapes also report on colonization events by non-forest taxa (e.g. Patten et al. 2010). Several ‘new’ species have also been reported from the MRB in the last few decades including Guira Cuckoo Guira guira which was unrecorded in the MRB prior to 1982 and Ashy-headed Greenlet Hylophilus pectoralis unrecorded before 2005 (Novaes and Lima 2009). These species have likely spread along corridors of nonforest habitat from surrounding savannah-like formations, although-long distance colonization events from further afield cannot be ruled out (Silva and Oren 1990). These species are likely to continue to spread throughout the region from neighboring non-forest habitats. However, these marginal gains in new species do not compensate for the losses, as the few colonizing species are not of conservation concern, reinforcing the notion that maintenance and protection of well-preserved primary forest habitats is a prerequisite for both local (Moura et al. 2013) and global avian biodiversity conservation (Gibson et al. 2011). 4.3 The future of the MRB avifauna We anticipate that some of the species we have considered to be extinct may yet be rediscovered in the region. For example the lack of recent records of Point-tailed Palmcreeper Berlepschia rikeri and Amethyst Woodstar Calliphlox amethystina is surprising as they are not typically restricted to primary forest habitats (Parker et al. 1996) and occur patchily in disturbed forest habitats elsewhere in the region (ACL, NGM, unpubl. data). Some primary-forest dependent species (e.g. Dot-eared Coquette Lophornis gouldii, Black-faced Dacnis Dacnis lineata and White-vented Euphonia Euphonia minuta) may have been recently missed because of their cryptic canopy habits. Some taxa listed as regionally threatened such as Red-necked Aracari Pteroglossus bitorquatus bitorquatus, Amazonian Barred Woodcreeper Dendrocolaptes 102 certhia medius, White-shouldered Antshrike Thamnophilus aethiops incertus and Black-spotted Bare-eye Phlegopsis nigromaculata paraensis persist both in degraded forest landscapes (including in some cases old secondary forest) around the MRB and in Paragominas (Table 4.2) and their Red List status may warrant re-evaluation. Most studies documenting long-term extinctions in formerly forested tropical landscapes also report on colonization events by non-forest taxa (e.g. Patten et al. 2010). However, these marginal gains in new species do not compensate for the losses because the few colonizing species are not of conservation concern. Thus, maintenance and protection of well-preserved primary forest habitats is a prerequisite for both local (Moura et al. 2013) and global avian biodiversity conservation (Gibson et al. 2011). Future records of mobile large-bodied species may more likely represent recolonization rather than low-level persistence throughout the survey period. On 28 April 2013 we recorded a trio of Red-throated Caracaras Ibycter americanus at the Parque Estadual do Utinga which was apparently the first documented MRB record since 1958 (Lees 2013a), and there is also a recent (2011) undocumented but reliable record of Crimson Fruitcrow Haematoderus militaris (G. Thom in litt.) which represents the first published report in the region since 1919. We have also had documented sightings of two globally threatened and locally extinct woodpeckers from close to the study region. On 28 July 2013 we (ACL, NGM and I. Thompson) photographed and sound-recorded a single Golden-green Woodpecker Piculus chrysochloros paraensis on the left bank of the Rio Guamá (opposite the study region) in the municipality of Acará (Lees 2013b), the first documented record globally since 1998, and on 8 August 2013 ACL sound-recorded a Ringed Woodpecker Celeus torquatus pieteroyensi (Lees 2013c) in old secondary forest bordering várzea in the municipality of Vigia (~40 km from the MRB), hinting at the possible future rediscovery of both species in the MRB. Larger-bodied (often frugivorous) species with high dispersal capacity are more likely to be recorded as occasional vagrants or colonizing individuals than smallerbodied (often insectivorous) species with lower dispersal capacity (Lees and Peres 2009). Although this could be grounds for guarded optimism, biotic impoverishment driven by fragmentation, unsustainable forest management, wildfires, and hunting is still on-going in the region (Amaral et al. 2012). Given these impacts, coupled with the lack of an adequate protected area network in the MRB, we anticipate that the number of local extinctions will continue to rise and result in an ever more impoverished avifauna in this biologically unique corner of the world’s largest remaining tropical forest. Our ability to catalogue the long-term erosion of biological diversity in the MRB 103 was made possible only due to the long history of natural history research in the region. It is likely that similar, hitherto unrecorded, processes of erosion and species extinction are happening elsewhere in Amazonian deforestation frontiers and across the tropics. 104 Capítulo 5 Conclusão geral A grande inovação trazida pelo desenho experimental do RAS envolvendo múltiplas escalas espaciais em um gradiente de perturbação em duas regiões distintas (Gardner et al. 2013) proporcionou um melhor entendimento das respostas da avifauna às mudanças de uso da terra na Amazônia. A seguir serão apresentados os principais resultados relativos ao valor de conservação das florestas primárias, secundárias e dos sistemas de produção estudados na Amazônia Oriental. A C D B E A A A F G H Figura 5.1 Gradiente de perturbação em Paragominas e Santarém/Belterra . (A) floresta primária intacta, (B) floresta primária que sofreu corte seletivo, (C) floresta primária que sofreu corte seletivo e queimada, (D) floresta secundária, (E) plantação de eucalipto, (F) agricultura familiar, (G) pastagem e (H) agricultura mecanizada. Fotos C, D e F. A.C. Lees e fotos A, B,E, G e H N. Moura. 105 1. A importância das florestas primárias As florestas primárias em Paragominas e Santarém apresentaram a maior riqueza de espécies, entretanto, as florestas primárias não perturbadas por exploração de madeira e/ou fogo tiveram uma riqueza maior e estrutura da comunidade ainda diferente das demais classes de floresta primária (com apenas corte seletivo, apenas queimada e com corte e queima). Esta diferença foi ainda mais acentuada quando consideradas apenas as espécies florestais (Fig. 2.5, Cap. 2). Além disso, porcentagem de cobertura florestal é um importante preditor para riqueza de espécies florestais, mostrado claramente no Capítulo 2. Cobertura e qualidade da floresta também podem ser consideradas como uma das causas para as prováveis extinções das 47 espécies na região metropolitana de Belém nos últimos 180 anos (Capítulo 4), visto que as unidades de proteção ambiental regionais estão continuamente sofrendo um processo de degradação e perda de floresta (Leão et al. 2007). Figura 5.2 Guaruba guarouba (ararajuba). Espécie extinta na região metropolitana de Belém (A) (A.C.Lees). O último registro foi de A. Wallace em 1848 (B) (A. C. Lees © Natural History Museum, Tring). Contudo, as florestas primárias degradadas que sofreram apenas corte seletivo tiveram maior riqueza do que as demais classes e foram significativamente semelhantes às florestas não perturbadas. Esse resultado foi também encontrado em outros lugares na Amazônia (Barlow et al. 2006), na Mata Atlântica (Aleixo 1999) e em outras florestas tropicais e.g. Bornéo (Edwards et al. 2011). Dessa forma, um longo ciclo de exploração madeireira e proteção ao fogo poderá preservar a maior parte da biodiversidade local nas florestas públicas e privadas. No entanto, as florestas primárias não perturbadas são insubstituíveis para algumas espécies, sendo as aves um dos grupos mais sensíveis a essas mudanças no uso da terra (Gibson et al. 2011) 106 e portanto, podem ser utilizadas como espécies indicadoras de qualidade florestal (Capítulo 3). 2. Valor da conservação das florestas secundárias As áreas de florestas secundárias são crescentes nas florestas tropicais (Neef et al. 2006, FAO 2012), porém a importância das florestas secundárias para a conservação da biodiversidade é pouco conhecido (Gardner et al. 2007). Em Paragominas e Santarém, as florestas secundárias apresentaram valor intermediário e significativamente diferente na riqueza de espécies entre florestas primárias e áreas agrícolas (Fig. 2.5, Cap. 2). A estrutura e composição da comunidade também foram diferentes, mesmo para as florestas secundárias mais antigas (>20 anos) (Fig. 2.6, Cap. 2), por não fornecerem habitat adequado para muitas espécies que foram apenas associadas às florestas primárias não perturbadas como, por exemplo, Psophia dextralis (Jacamim-de-costas-marrom), Odontorchilus cinereus (Cambaxirra-cinzenta) e Grallaria varia (Tovacuçu) em STM e Psophia obscura (Jacamim-de-costasescuras), Hylophilus ochraceiceps (Vite-vite uirapuru) e Haematoderus militaris (Anambé militar) em PGM. Entre as diferentes classes de idades que as florestas secundárias foram separadas em PGM, não houve diferença na riqueza de espécies entre as florestas antigas e as intermediárias (entre 5-20 anos), apenas na estrutura e composição enquanto, em STM houve diferença significativa (Fig. 2.8, Cap. 2). Ainda em STM, as florestas secundárias jovens tiveram riquezas significativamente semelhantes com as pastagens, ao contrário de PGM. 107 B A Figura 5.3 Espécies registradas em áreas de floresta primária e secundária. (A) Philydor erythrocercum (limpa-folha-de-sobre-ruivo), (B) Willisornis poecilinotus (rendadinho), (C) Ibycter americanus (gralhão) e (D) Taeniotriccus andrei (maria-bonita) N. Moura. Quando utilizado espécies focais, no capítulo 3, as espécies apresentaram diferentes de respostas às mudanças de uso da terra, porém das 30 espécies analisadas apenas uma C (Trogon viridis D [Surucuá-grande-de-barriga-amarela]) aumentou a porcentagem de ocupação nas florestas secundárias, mostrando que o uso das florestas secundárias ainda é limitante para muitas espécies. Powell et al. (2013) avaliou o tempo que as espécies de sub-bosque levaram para transitar na matriz de floresta secundária entre os fragmentos isolados de floresta primária. Em média, as espécies levaram 26 anos após o isolamento para serem recapturadas e algumas aves terrestres como Hylopezus macularius (Torom-carijó) e Grallaria varia (Tovaçu) não foram capturada nessas áreas 1 . Essas mesmas espécies só foram registras em áreas de floresta primária em PGM e STM. 1 Hylopezus macularius foi recentemente dividida em quarto espécies- Hylopezus paraensis, H. macularius, H. whittakeri e H. dilutus pelo CBRO [2014] baseado em Carneiro et al. (2012)1 108 Por propiciar habitats adequados para algumas espécies florestais (Cap 1, 2, Stratford e Stouffer, 2013), as florestas secundárias podem ser importantes na formação de corredores entre fragmentos de florestas primárias, dessa forma, funcionado como uma matriz permeável para diversas espécies e agir como um buffer (Chazdon et al. 2009), e fornecer importantes serviços de ecossistema como o sequestro de carbono (Martin et al. 2013) e evapotranspiração, que pode amortecer possíveis mudanças climáticas regionais. Os resultados apresentados nessa tese também têm ajudado a quantificar o valor da biodiversidade das diferentes idades das florestas secundárias orientando na política florestal regional, distinguindo áreas de florestas secundárias que poderiam ser convertidas em áreas de produção (áreas com idade < 5 anos de idade), das áreas recomendadas para conservação (entre 5 e 20 anos de idade) (Instrução Normativa 02 /2014, Apêndice 2). 3. Áreas agrícolas De acordo com a previsão de Tilman et al. (2011), 1 bilhão de hectares de florestas serão convertidos, globalmente, até 2050 em áreas agrícolas, crescendo assim a preocupação com biodiversidade e a manutenção dos serviços de ecossistema, como, por exemplo, a regulação do ciclo da água, dos nutrientes do solo e do regime climático. A biodiversidade em áreas agrícolas é muito menor do que nas áreas de floresta (Capítulo 2), ocasionada pela simplificação do ecosistema, tornando a ambiente inadequado principalmente para espécies dependentes de floresta. Por exemplo, das espécies modeladas no Capítulo 3, apenas Amazona farinosa (papagaio-moleiro) e Pionus fuscus (maitaca-roxa) foram detectadas fora das áreas florestais, pois são espécies que possuem grande mobilidade, sendo capazes de cruzarem longas distâncias entre fragmentos de floresta (Lees e Peres 2009). Mahood et al. 2012, na paisagem fragmentada de Alta Floresta (MT), registraram apenas 30% das espécies nas áreas agrícolas, enquanto que em PGM e STM foi registrado 43% e 38% espécies, respectivamente. Os resultados dessa tese indicam que mesmo em áreas de agricultura não intensiva, poucas espécies florestais com significativo interesse para conservação, persistem. Portanto, considerando-se que as espécies ocupantes das paisagens de produção e das terras abandonadas, ou seja, sem uso, são geralmente de baixo interesse de conservação, o aumento da produtividade agrícola nessas áreas que já foram defaunadas e a fiscalização efetiva, poderiam diminuir a pressão para abertura de novas fronteiras agrícolas (Green, et al. 2005, Phalan et al. 2011), reduzindo, assim, a pressão nas áreas de floresta primária. 109 A C B D A Figura 5.4 Espécies registradas nas paisagens agrícolas de Paragominas e Santarém/Belterra. (A) Columbina passerina (rolinha-cinzenta), (B) Anthus lutescens (caminheiro-zumbidor), Melanerpes candidus (pica-pau-branco) e (D) Crotophaga ani (anu-preto) N. Moura 4. Conservação na Amazônia dentro e fora das áreas de proteção As crescentes demandas por novas terras agrícolas e concomitantes mudanças de uso da terra estão aumentando a pressão nas florestas tropicais, ameaçando a integridade da biodiversidade. Na Amazônia, apesar da exploração dos recursos terem começado no século XVI, (retirada de guaraná, resinas, pimenta etc.) a expansão agrícola começou com a exploração da borracha entre 1840-1915 (Bentes 2004). Atualmente, a fronteira agrícola na Amazônia ‘Arco do Desmatamento’, considerada uma das mais ativas do mundo (FAO 2005), é expandida principalmente para criação de pastos (Arima et al. 2005), plantio de soja (Morton et al. 2006) e mais recentemente plantio de dendê (Lees e Vieira 2013) e cana-de-açúcar (Nepstad et al. 2008). Empreendimentos como construção de hidroelétricas também tem ameaçado de maneira preocupante os remanescentes florestais do bioma, inundando imensas áreas de floresta, alterando ciclos hidrológicos, afetando centenas de comunidades indígenas (Fearnside 2005) e impactando pesadamente a biodiversidade (Fearnside 2014). A criação e manutenção de um mosaico de áreas protegidas são fundamentais para a conservação da biodiversidade nas florestas tropicais (Bruner et al. 2001, Rodrigues et al. 2004, Peres 2005), especialmente quando são áreas representativas 110 da diversidade biológica (Margules e Pressey 2000). A Amazônia legal possui 43,9% do território protegidos em unidades de conservação e terras indígenas (Fig. 5.5). Contudo, essas áreas protegidas por si só não garantem a persistência a longo prazo de muitas espécies (Brooks et al. 2004, Rodrigues et al. 2004), principalmente quando se tornam cada vez mais isoladas (DeFries et al. 2005). Entre os anos de 1995 e 2013, 2,5 milhões de ha foram retirados de 38 unidades de conservação, o que corresponde à 1% do território protegido, principalmente para a construção de usinas hidroelétricas (Veríssimo et al. 2011). Atualmente tramita no Congresso Nacional um projeto de lei (PL 3.682/2012) para diminuição das unidades de conservação em 10% para exploração de minérios alterando também Sistema Nacional de Unidades de Conservação (SNUC Lei 9.985/2000). Figura 5.5 Áreas protegidas na Amazônia até 2010 (Veríssimo et al. 2011). Todas essas alterações vão na contramão do que pesquisadores que argumentam para a necessidade de megareservas (Terborgh e Soule 1999, Peres 2005, Laurence 2005) que poderiam garantir a preservação e a persistência de um conjunto completo de unidades evolutivas de espécies ecologicamente viáveis e funcionais em longo prazo (Peres 2005). Além disso, nem todas as espécies estão protegidas dentro das unidades de conservação (Fernandes 2013, Whitney e CohnHaft 2013)) e, portanto, as propriedades privadas passam a oferecer uma grande oportunidade para preservar (Soares-Filho et al. 2006 Ferreira et al. 2013) o que já é conhecido e o que ainda poderá ser descoberto. 111 5. O futuro da Amazônia Mesmo que sejam crescentes as pesquisas para entender como as mudanças no uso da terra afetam a biodiversidade e os serviços de ecossistema nas florestas tropicais, muitos processos ainda precisam ser aprofundados, por exemplo, como produzir alimentos sem devastar? Phalan et al. (2011) propõe duas estratégias como um trade-off entre a agropecuária e a conservação. A primeira seria compartilhamento de terra (land sharing) em que há intensificação do cultivo e a manutenção de uma área específica para preservação, como os sistemas agroflorestais. Bhagwat e colaboradores (2008) defendem que os sistemas agroflorestais são importantes para conservação da biodiversidade local, e apontam três razões: 1) proteção de espécies e habitats fora das unidades de conservação, funcionando como corredores, por exemplo, 2) mantêm a heterogeneidade nas escalas de locais e de paisagem e 3) as árvores nas paisagens agroflorestais reduzem a pressão sobre as reservas, pois a diversidade do sistema agroflorestal diminuirá a dependência dos produtores das áreas florestadas. Porém, só funciona para as espécies que podem crescer à sobra das agroflorestas, como café e cacau. A segunda estratégia economia de terra (land sparing) o que integra a produção e a conservação na mesma área . Os mesmos autores em Phalan et al. 2014 defendem que economia de terra pode ser mais promissor, principalmente para as aves dependentes de habitats naturais, pois a intensificação nas áreas já utilizadas para fins agrícolas diminuirá a pressão nas áreas ainda florestadas. 6. Pesquisas futuras Essa tese procurou avaliar a perda de espécies em um gradiente de perturbação (Capítulo 2), entender como algumas espécies estavam distribuídas nos diferentes tipos de uso da terra (Capítulo 3) e quais as evidências para a extinção histórica das espécies de terra firme ao logo de quase 200 anos de pesquisa na Amazônia (Capítulo 4). Outras variáveis como características edáficas, interações com plantas (Pomara et al. 2012) e outros fatores podem também estar relacionados com as respostas da avifauna à essas alterações humanas. 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Espécies/Família Espécies florestais (1-sim, 0não) PARAGOMINAS Floresta primária Não perturnada Corte seletivo Cortado e queimado SANTARÉM Floresta secundária Silvicultura Pasto Agricultura mecanizada Floresta primária Não perturnada Corte seletivo Queimado Cortado e queimado Floresta secundária Pasto Agricultura familiar Agricultura mecanizada Tinamidae Tinamus tao 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 Tinamus guttatus 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 8 6 0 0 5 0 0 0 Crypturellus cinereus 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 1 6 3 0 0 0 Crypturellus soui 0 1 6 17 11 0 0 0 1 3 7 7 32 3 2 0 Crypturellus obsoletus 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 Crypturellus strigulosus 1 0 5 8 5 0 0 0 1 0 0 5 4 0 0 0 Crypturellus parvirostris 0 0 0 3 0 5 32 3 0 0 2 0 12 16 16 6 Crypturellus variegatus 1 10 7 0 2 0 0 0 11 4 4 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cairina moschata 0 0 0 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Amazoneta brasiliensis 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 Penelope superciliaris 1 0 1 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 Penelope jacquacu 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 7 0 5 6 0 0 0 Penelope pileata 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 4 4 0 0 0 Aburria cujubi 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ortalis superciliaris 0 0 0 2 2 2 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ortalis motmot 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4 0 1 0 Pauxi tuberosa 1 1 5 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 Odontophoridae Odontophorus gujanensis 1 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 Anhimidae Anhima cornuta Anatidae Cracidae Ciconiidae 137 Espécies/Família Espécies florestais (1-sim, 0não) PARAGOMINAS Floresta primária SANTARÉM Floresta secundária Silvicultura Pasto Agricultura familiar Agricultura mecanizada 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Theristicus caudatus 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 Platalea ajaja 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cathartes aura 0 1 29 6 0 1 0 1 12 24 5 12 Cathartes burrovianus 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 3 8 4 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 4 9 2 52 7 0 1 0 1 9 23 12 9 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Elanus leucurus 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Harpagus bidentatus 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 Accipiter superciliosus Heterospizias meridionalis 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 Urubitinga urubitinga 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 Rupornis magnirostris 0 0 0 0 3 4 7 2 0 0 0 1 9 4 2 0 Pseudastur albicollis Geranoaetus albicaudatus 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 4 2 Leucopternis kuhli 1 1 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 3 0 0 0 Buteo nitidus Geranoaetus albicaudatus 1 0 0 3 5 2 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 4 2 Corte seletivo Cortado e queimado 0 0 1 Butorides striata 0 0 Bubulcus ibis 0 Ardea alba Pasto Agricultura mecanizada Floresta primária Floresta secundária Não perturbada Não perturnada Corte seletivo Queimado Cortado e queimado 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 5 0 0 0 0 Cathartes melambrotus 1 0 2 Coragyps atratus 0 0 Sarcoramphus papa 1 0 Accipitridae Chondrohierax uncinatus 1 Elanoides forficatus Gampsonyx swainsonii Mycteria americana Ardeidae Threskiornithidae Cathartidae 138 Espécies/Família Espécies florestais (1-sim, 0não) PARAGOMINAS Floresta primária Não perturnada Corte seletivo Cortado e queimado SANTARÉM Floresta secundária Silvicultura Pasto Agricultura mecanizada Floresta primária Não perturnada Corte seletivo Queimado Cortado e queimado Floresta secundária Pasto Agricultura familiar Agricultura mecanizada Leucopternis kuhli 1 1 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 3 0 0 0 Buteo nitidus 1 0 0 3 5 2 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 4 0 0 Buteo brachyurus 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 Buteo albonotatus 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Spizaetus tyrannus Spizaetus melanoleucus 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 Spizaetus ornatus 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 Psophia dextralis 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 Psophia obscura 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Aramides cajanea 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 Laterallus viridis Laterallus melanophaius 0 0 1 3 5 4 34 3 0 0 0 0 6 7 5 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Laterallus exilis 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 1 Neocrex erythrops 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 Porphyrio martinica 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 Columbina passerina 0 0 0 0 4 9 60 8 0 0 0 1 10 38 24 26 Columbina minuta 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 0 Columbina talpacoti 0 0 1 1 17 6 67 14 0 0 0 0 7 12 8 8 Psophiidae Rallidae Charadriidae Vanellus chilensis Scolopacidae Tringa solitaria Jacanidae Jacana jacana Sternidae Phaetusa simplex Columbidae 139 Espécies/Família Espécies florestais (1-sim, 0não) PARAGOMINAS Floresta primária Não perturnada Corte seletivo Cortado e queimado SANTARÉM Floresta secundária Silvicultura Pasto Agricultura mecaniza da Floresta primária Não perturnada Corte seletivo Queimado Cortado e queimado Floresta secundária Pasto Agricultura familiar Agricultura mecanizada Columbina squammata 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Claravis pretiosa 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Columba livia 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 Patagioenas speciosa 1 0 5 5 16 1 9 0 0 0 1 0 5 1 1 0 Patagioenas picazuro Patagioenas cayennensis 0 0 0 0 2 2 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 1 4 0 1 Patagioenas plumbea Patagioenas subvinacea 1 11 44 12 1 0 0 0 9 8 5 20 6 0 0 0 1 0 3 4 0 0 0 0 4 3 5 3 4 0 0 0 Zenaida auriculata 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 0 7 Leptotila verreauxi 0 0 0 12 18 0 23 2 0 2 1 0 9 8 10 4 Leptotila rufaxilla 1 0 4 13 3 3 0 0 1 6 6 8 30 0 1 0 Geotrygon montana 1 0 4 7 2 0 0 0 4 4 1 2 1 0 0 0 Coccycua minuta 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 Piaya cayana 1 5 19 30 14 0 3 0 1 5 4 14 19 4 0 0 Piaya melanogaster 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 Crotophaga major 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 Crotophaga ani 0 0 1 1 2 7 86 4 0 0 0 0 15 67 20 21 Guira guira Dromococcyx phasianellus Dromococcyx pavoninus 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 8 5 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Tapera naevia 0 0 0 0 1 0 12 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Megascops choliba 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 0 0 Megascops usta 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 5 2 1 3 0 0 0 Lophostrix cristata 1 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 Pulsatrix perspicillata 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 Strix huhula 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 Strix virgata 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cuculidae Strigidae 140 Espécies/Família Espécies florestais (1-sim, 0não) PARAGOMINAS Floresta primária Não perturnada Corte seletivo Cortado e queimado SANTARÉM Floresta secundária Silvicultura Pasto Floresta primária Agricultura mecanizada Não perturnada Corte seletivo Queimado Cortado e queimado Floresta secundária Pasto Agricultura familiar Agricultura mecanizada Glaucidium hardyi 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 12 2 6 5 0 0 0 Athene cunicularia 0 0 0 0 0 2 11 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 Asio clamator 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Nyctibius griseus 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 0 0 Nyctibius aethereus 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 Nyctibius leucopterus 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 Nyctibiidae Caprimulgidae 1 Nyctiphrynus ocellatus 1 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 Antrostomus rufus Antrostomus sericocaudatus 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 0 1 0 0 0 0 Lurocalis semitorquatus 1 1 4 2 0 0 0 0 12 17 1 10 6 0 0 0 Hydropsalis nigrescens 1 0 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 1 2 0 0 0 Hydropsalis albicollis 1 0 1 6 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 0 0 Cypseloides senex 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 Chaetura spinicaudus 1 0 19 21 10 0 7 1 8 4 6 3 7 8 0 0 Chaetura chapmanii 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 Chaetura brachyura 1 0 8 21 4 1 22 2 1 0 1 0 10 22 3 6 Tachornis squamata 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Glaucis hirsutus 1 0 18 12 7 3 1 0 0 0 1 4 8 0 0 0 Phaethornis rupurumii Phaethornis aethopygus 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 7 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 8 0 3 2 0 0 0 Phaethornis ruber Phaethornis superciliosus 1 11 151 177 89 5 8 0 2 9 10 12 31 1 0 0 1 8 37 18 3 0 0 0 6 12 7 14 27 0 0 0 Phaethornis bourcieri Campylopterus largipennis 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 2 24 10 4 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Florisuga mellivora 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 Apodidae Trochilidae 141 Espécies/Família Espécies florestais (1-sim, 0não) PARAGOMINAS Floresta primária SANTARÉM Floresta secundária Silvicultura Pasto Agricultura familiar Agricultura mecanizada 8 0 1 5 4 4 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 0 0 5 8 2 0 0 0 0 17 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 0 6 5 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Amazilia fimbriata 1 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 4 4 0 0 Heliomaster longirostris 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Calliphlox amethystina 1 Heliothryx auritus 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 Trogon melanurus 0 0 0 0 6 11 3 17 8 0 0 0 15 4 0 0 0 15 32 15 29 55 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 5 10 4 13 6 0 0 0 3 4 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 7 3 0 0 0 0 14 11 1 8 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 Chloroceryle americana 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chloroceryle inda 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Baryphthengus martii 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 Momotus momota 1 3 30 18 10 0 1 0 4 1 3 7 21 0 0 0 4 28 25 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 3 0 0 0 0 Corte seletivo Cortado e queimado 1 0 9 0 0 0 Thalurania furcata 1 3 Hylocharis cyanus 1 Polytmus theresiae Amazilia versicolor Pasto Agricultura mecanizada Floresta primária Floresta secundária Não perturnada Não perturnada Corte seletivo Queimado Cortado e queimado 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 3 0 0 0 0 9 4 77 8 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 4 4 0 1 3 15 6 Trogon viridis 1 7 26 Trogon ramonianus 1 3 15 Trogon curucui 1 0 Trogon rufus 1 Megaceryle torquata Anthracothorax nigricollis Chrysolampis mosquitus Trogonidae Alcedinidae Momotidae Galbulidae Brachygalba lugubris 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Galbula dea 1 3 7 1 0 0 0 0 8 9 3 7 4 0 0 0 Jacamerops aureus 1 2 11 3 0 0 0 0 4 6 2 3 0 0 0 0 Bucconidae Notharchus hyperrhynchus 1 0 7 4 0 0 0 0 9 12 2 8 3 0 0 0 142 Espécies/Família Espécies florestais (1-sim, 0não) PARAGOMINAS Floresta primária Não perturnada Corte seletivo Cortado e queimado SANTARÉM Floresta secundária Silvicultura Pasto Agricultura mecanizada Floresta primária Não perturnada Corte seletivo Queimado Cortado e queimado Floresta secundária Pasto Agricultura familiar Agricultura mecanizada Notharchus ordii 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Notharchus tectus 1 3 10 12 1 0 0 0 1 4 0 3 5 0 0 0 Bucco tamatia 1 3 4 2 3 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 Bucco capensis 1 2 8 2 0 0 0 0 6 7 3 4 3 0 0 0 Nystalus torridus 1 1 7 9 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Nystalus maculatus 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 4 0 Malacoptila rufa 1 6 5 2 4 0 0 0 6 4 1 1 5 0 0 0 Monasa nigrifrons 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Monasa morphoeus 1 11 20 19 0 0 0 0 10 13 7 17 10 0 0 0 Chelidoptera tenebrosa 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 3 0 0 0 Ramphastos tucanus 1 8 38 23 2 0 0 0 22 23 4 28 8 1 0 0 Ramphastos vitellinus 1 3 36 26 8 0 0 0 13 23 11 13 15 1 0 0 Selenidera gouldii 1 0 17 8 2 0 0 0 1 5 6 2 3 0 0 0 Pteroglossus inscriptus Pteroglossus bitorquatus 1 0 9 3 0 0 1 0 0 3 0 6 7 1 0 0 1 2 12 7 1 0 0 0 1 5 0 3 0 0 0 0 Pteroglossus aracari 1 1 33 31 8 0 1 0 5 9 5 10 12 2 0 0 Picumnus aurifrons 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 1 0 Picumnus exilis 1 0 6 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Picumnus pygmaeus 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Melanerpes candidus 0 0 0 1 1 0 9 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Melanerpes cruentatus 1 0 2 6 1 0 1 1 4 12 3 12 8 2 1 0 Veniliornis affinis 1 2 20 11 1 0 0 0 1 5 0 6 8 1 0 0 Piculus flavigula 1 3 16 7 0 0 0 0 2 6 0 1 1 0 0 0 Piculus laemostictus 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 1 0 2 0 0 0 Colaptes melanochloros 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Celeus undatus 1 7 17 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Celeus grammicus 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 10 4 2 4 0 0 0 Ramphastidae Picidae 143 Espécies/Família Espécies florestais (1-sim, 0não) PARAGOMINAS Floresta primária Não perturnada Corte seletivo Cortado e queimado SANTARÉM Floresta secundária Silvicultura Pasto Agricultura mecanizada Floresta primária Não perturnada Corte seletivo Queimado Cortado e queimado Floresta secundária Pasto Agricultura familiar Agricultura mecanizada Celeus elegans 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 7 0 0 0 Celeus flavus 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 7 0 2 2 0 0 0 Celeus torquatus 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 1 2 0 0 0 0 Dryocopus lineatus 0 0 5 20 5 0 8 0 2 10 2 7 18 9 3 0 Campephilus rubricollis Campephilus melanoleucus 1 4 15 8 0 0 1 0 8 9 2 10 6 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 Daptrius ater 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 Ibycter americanus 1 1 13 9 0 0 0 0 6 8 0 4 4 0 0 0 Caracara plancus 0 0 0 1 1 2 10 2 0 0 0 0 2 5 2 5 Milvago chimachima Herpetotheres cachinnans 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 8 0 1 1 0 1 3 1 0 4 1 1 2 0 1 3 4 0 0 Micrastur ruficollis 1 0 13 8 5 0 0 0 4 2 1 5 1 0 0 0 Micrastur mintoni 1 5 9 3 0 0 0 0 7 4 1 2 0 0 0 0 Micrastur mirandollei 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 Micrastur semitorquatus 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 Falco rufigularis 1 0 1 2 0 0 3 0 0 1 0 1 0 3 0 0 Falco femoralis 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 Psittacidae Anodorhynchus hyacinthinus 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ara ararauna 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ara macao 1 0 5 6 3 0 1 0 2 5 0 0 4 1 0 0 Ara chloropterus 1 0 9 9 0 0 3 0 6 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 Ara severus 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 10 1 8 19 10 4 3 Orthopsittaca manilatus 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 Guaruba guarouba Psittacara leucophthalma 1 1 12 11 9 1 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 3 0 8 1 0 0 4 3 11 11 2 4 Aratinga jandaya 0 0 1 5 7 2 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Eupsittula aurea 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 Falconidae 144 Espécies/Família Espécies florestais (1-sim, 0não) PARAGOMINAS Floresta primária Não perturnada Corte seletivo Cortado e queimado SANTARÉM Floresta secundária Silvicultura Pasto Agricultura mecanizada Floresta primária Não perturnada Corte seletivo Queimado Cortado e queimado Floresta secundária Pasto Agricultura familiar Agricultura mecanizada Pyrrhura lepida 1 3 16 7 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pyrrhura amazonum 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 8 5 5 3 0 0 0 Forpus passerinus 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 Forpus xanthopterygius 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Brotogeris versicolurus 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 2 7 14 10 5 Brotogeris chrysoptera 1 2 29 17 2 0 3 0 16 12 5 26 8 1 0 0 Touit huetii 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 Pionites leucogaster 1 4 9 10 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pyrilia vulturina 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 Pionus menstruus 1 0 58 57 17 1 14 2 14 21 9 11 19 2 0 1 Pionus fuscus 1 9 35 15 4 0 3 0 2 5 1 3 6 0 0 0 Amazona farinosa 1 4 37 31 2 1 6 3 13 24 6 19 15 0 0 0 Amazona amazonica 1 0 26 51 28 2 31 2 3 5 2 9 23 7 0 4 Amazona ochrocephala 1 0 7 8 1 1 4 1 1 6 0 4 4 2 2 2 Deroptyus accipitrinus 1 0 13 6 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 3 1 0 0 0 Microrhopias quixensis 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 2 2 0 0 0 Pygiptila stellaris Epinecrophylla leucophthalma Myrmotherula brachyura 1 3 6 3 0 0 0 0 6 9 1 9 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 9 0 1 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 22 23 4 12 4 0 0 0 Myrmotherula sclateri Myrmotherula multostriata 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 9 1 11 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Myrmotherula axillaris Myrmotherula longipennis Myrmotherula menetriesii 1 9 49 54 13 0 0 0 8 11 15 28 74 0 0 0 1 11 13 12 1 0 0 0 9 13 1 6 1 0 0 0 1 9 35 23 1 0 0 0 13 11 3 9 2 0 0 0 Formicivora grisea 0 0 7 49 73 2 86 4 0 0 0 0 24 11 13 0 Isleria hauxwelli 1 5 33 19 2 0 0 0 5 0 2 1 2 0 0 0 Thamnomanes caesius 1 15 65 54 14 0 0 0 21 23 8 30 15 0 0 0 Dysithamnus mentalis 1 7 30 7 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Thamnophilidae 145 Espécies/Família Herpsilochmus rufimarginatus Espécies florestais (1-sim, 0não) PARAGOMINAS Floresta primária Não perturnada Corte seletivo Cortado e queimado SANTARÉM Floresta secundária Silvicultura Pasto Agricultura mecanizada Floresta primária Não perturnada Corte seletivo Queimado Cortado e queimado Floresta secundária Pasto Agricultura familiar Agricultura mecanizada 1 18 31 19 4 0 0 0 9 14 5 13 0 0 0 0 Thamnophilus palliatus Thamnophilus schistaceus 1 0 6 8 21 0 8 0 0 0 0 2 8 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 36 48 16 37 56 0 0 0 Thamnophilus aethiops Thamnophilus amazonicus 1 7 50 39 3 0 0 0 10 19 5 20 13 0 0 0 1 5 49 57 48 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 Cymbilaimus lineatus 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 25 48 9 14 11 0 0 0 Taraba major Hypocnemoides maculicauda 0 0 0 4 15 1 23 1 0 0 0 2 23 4 9 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 Hylophylax naevius 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 1 2 2 0 0 0 0 Hylophylax punctulatus 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 Sclateria naevia Myrmoborus myiotherinus 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 13 6 6 30 0 0 0 Pyriglena leuconota Sciaphykax hemimelaena Cercomacra cinerascens 1 4 85 77 24 0 0 0 3 2 0 5 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 14 9 17 48 0 1 0 1 23 161 110 10 0 0 0 45 108 23 65 38 1 0 0 Cercomacra laeta 1 1 44 60 18 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cercomacra nigrescens Hypocnemis hypoxantha 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 3 5 28 3 6 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 5 7 2 0 0 0 Hypocnemis striata 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 18 6 22 15 0 0 0 Willisornis vidua Phlegopsis nigromaculata Rhegmatorhina gymnops 1 13 22 12 3 0 0 0 7 13 7 11 17 0 0 0 1 3 4 1 0 0 0 0 5 10 2 2 12 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 Conopophaga aurita 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 5 0 0 0 0 Conopophaga roberti 1 0 34 21 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Grallaria varia 1 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Hylopezus paraensis 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Hylopezus whittakeri 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 1 3 1 0 0 0 0 Conopophagidae Grallariidae 146 Espécies/Família Espécies florestais (1-sim, 0não) PARAGOMINAS Floresta primária SANTARÉM Floresta secundária Silvicultura Pasto Agricultura familiar Agricultura mecanizada 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 0 0 22 2 0 0 0 5 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 18 5 4 0 2 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 Sclerurus rufigularis 1 0 1 0 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 Sclerurus caudacutus 1 2 7 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 Dendrocincla fuliginosa 1 9 0 0 16 27 7 19 26 0 0 0 Dendrocincla merula Deconychura longicauda Sittasomus griseicapillus Certhiasomus stictolaemus 1 0 0 0 4 1 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 7 0 3 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 39 17 0 0 0 30 35 11 22 47 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 47 37 3 0 0 0 28 52 6 35 13 0 2 0 22 15 4 0 1 0 10 10 0 2 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 10 16 0 6 0 0 0 1 2 17 13 9 0 7 25 34 3 0 0 0 5 1 2 2 2 0 0 0 1 0 7 1 0 0 0 0 1 4 1 2 1 0 0 0 Dendrocolaptes medius Dendrocolaptes ridgwayi Dendrocolaptes picumnus 1 3 14 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18 13 8 15 10 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 21 1 10 7 0 0 0 Hylexetastes uniformis Xiphocolaptes promeropirhynchus 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 16 5 8 4 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 0 6 3 0 0 0 Corte seletivo Cortado e queimado 1 0 0 1 0 0 Formicarius colma 1 2 Formicarius analis 1 Sclerurus macconnelli Pasto Agricultura mecanizada Floresta primária Floresta secundária Não perturnada Corte seletivo Queimado 1 0 0 9 12 7 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 29 24 1 0 0 3 2 1 1 0 3 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 Glyphorynchus spirurus Xiphorhynchus obsoletus 1 20 53 1 0 Xiphorhynchus guttatus 1 17 Xiphorhynchus spixii Campylorhamphus cardosoi 1 12 1 0 Dendroplex picus 0 Lepidocolaptes . layardi 1 Dendrexetastes rufigula Hylopezus berlepschi Myrmothera campanisona Não perturnada Cortado e queimado Formicariidae Scleruridae Dendrocolaptidae 147 Espécies/Família Espécies florestais (1-sim, 0não) PARAGOMINAS Floresta primária SANTARÉM Floresta secundária Silvicultura Pasto Agricultura familiar Agricultura mecanizada 45 12 0 0 5 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 9 5 2 0 1 1 8 0 0 0 9 2 5 2 0 0 0 0 7 4 0 0 0 1 5 0 0 0 1 6 14 0 3 4 0 0 3 0 0 0 Philydor erythropterum 1 5 Philydor pyrrhodes 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 Philydor ruficaudatum 1 0 0 0 2 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 Synallaxis albescens 4 4 164 11 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 9 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 4 0 0 0 2 16 0 11 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 2 0 49 21 3 0 0 0 19 33 21 37 22 0 0 0 5 44 23 11 0 0 0 12 25 11 31 35 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 16 14 3 10 11 0 0 0 0 0 1 7 37 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 26 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 Chiroxiphia pareola 1 0 0 5 4 0 0 0 0 3 14 27 80 0 0 0 Dixiphia pipra 1 2 10 4 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Onychorhynchidae Onychorhynchus coronatus Terenotriccus erythrurus 1 0 11 6 3 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 24 24 4 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 3 0 0 0 Myiobius barbatus 1 0 5 4 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 Schiffornis turdina 1 13 10 4 3 0 0 0 9 1 6 7 0 0 0 0 Laniocera hypopyrra 1 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 Corte seletivo Cortado e queimado 1 6 42 Ancistrops strigilatus 1 0 Automolus ochrolaemus 1 Automolus paraensis 1 Automolus rufipileatus 1 Philydor erythrocercum Pasto Agricultura mecanizada Floresta primária Floresta secundária Não perturnada Não perturnada Corte seletivo Queimado Cortado e queimado 0 3 2 3 0 0 3 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 6 4 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 6 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 3 4 0 0 0 0 0 Synallaxis rutilans 1 0 7 Synallaxis gujanensis 0 0 0 Tyranneutes stolzmanni 1 17 Ceratopipra rubrocapilla 1 Lepidothrix iris 1 Manacus manacus Machaeropterus pyrocephalus Xenopidae Xenops minutus Furnariidae Pipridae Tityridae 148 Espécies/Família Espécies florestais (1-sim, 0não) PARAGOMINAS Floresta primária Não perturnada Corte seletivo Cortado e queimado SANTARÉM Floresta secundária Silvicultura Pasto Agricultura mecanizada Floresta primária Não perturnada Corte seletivo Queimado Cortado e queimado Floresta secundária Pasto Agricultura familiar Agricultura mecanizada Iodopleura isabellae 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Tityra inquisitor 1 0 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Tityra cayana 1 2 19 17 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Tityra semifasciata 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 6 4 0 0 0 Pachyramphus viridis 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pachyramphus rufus Pachyramphus castaneus Pachyramphus polychopterus Pachyramphus marginatus 0 0 0 0 3 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 6 17 6 1 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 1 0 1 0 12 8 0 0 0 0 6 13 3 11 3 0 0 0 Pachyramphus minor 1 0 6 5 3 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 0 Pachyramphus validus 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Lipaugus vociferans 1 26 66 11 2 0 0 0 57 67 20 46 12 0 0 0 Xipholena lamellipennis 1 6 5 5 3 0 0 0 4 1 1 2 1 0 0 0 Cotinga cotinga 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 Cotinga cayana 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 Haematoderus militaris 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Querula purpurata 1 0 37 12 3 0 0 0 9 15 6 6 5 0 0 0 Phoenicircus carnifex 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 1 2 3 0 0 0 0 1 3 28 2 1 0 0 0 3 7 2 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 8 3 3 0 0 0 0 11 4 0 5 0 0 0 0 Taeniotriccus andrei 1 0 12 5 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Mionectes oleagineus 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 Mionectes macconnelli 1 2 10 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 Cotingidae Pipritidae Piprites chloris Platyrinchidae Platyrinchus saturatus Platyrinchus platyrhynchos Rhynchocyclidae 149 Espécies/Família Espécies florestais (1-sim, 0não) PARAGOMINAS Floresta primária Não perturnada Corte seletivo Cortado e queimado SANTARÉM Floresta secundária Silvicultura Pasto Agricultura mecanizada Floresta primária Não perturnada Corte seletivo Queimado Cortado e queimado Floresta secundária Pasto Agricultura familiar Agricultura mecanizada Corythopis torquatus 1 2 5 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 Phylloscartes virescens Rhynchocyclus olivaceus Tolmomyias sulphurescens 1 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 7 1 3 6 0 0 0 1 0 2 4 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Tolmomyias assimilis Tolmomyias poliocephalus 1 3 23 18 2 0 0 0 6 4 2 5 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 10 6 0 0 0 11 13 15 17 24 1 2 0 Tolmomyias flaviventris 0 0 21 50 46 12 26 2 0 7 2 4 43 6 12 0 Todirostrum cinereum Todirostrum chrysocrotaphum 0 0 3 2 10 9 73 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 3 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 1 0 0 0 Poecilotriccus fumifrons 0 0 0 10 31 2 41 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Poecilotriccus sylvia 0 0 13 31 33 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Myiornis ecaudatus 1 20 26 3 0 0 0 0 22 18 6 16 15 0 0 0 Hemitriccus minimus 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 2 7 0 0 0 Hemitriccus striaticollis 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 15 13 3 0 Lophotriccus galeatus 1 12 97 86 29 0 0 0 31 55 18 34 34 0 0 0 Zimmerius acer 1 9 36 21 6 0 0 0 17 22 15 27 48 0 0 0 Ornithion inerme 1 5 32 35 2 0 0 1 6 3 1 11 5 0 0 0 Hemitriccus minimus 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 2 7 0 0 0 Hemitriccus striaticollis 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 15 13 3 0 Lophotriccus galeatus 1 12 97 86 29 0 0 0 31 55 18 34 34 0 0 0 Zimmerius acer 1 9 36 21 6 0 0 0 17 22 15 27 48 0 0 0 Ornithion inerme Camptostoma obsoletum 1 5 32 35 2 0 0 1 6 3 1 11 5 0 0 0 0 0 4 21 31 1 51 4 0 0 3 2 8 2 4 0 Elaenia flavogaster 0 0 12 16 30 16 147 7 0 0 1 1 28 60 22 0 Elaenia cristata 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 Myiopagis gaimardii 1 7 40 58 13 1 3 0 16 15 12 41 57 2 3 0 Myiopagis caniceps 1 1 5 3 0 0 1 0 3 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 Tyrannidae Tyrannidae 150 Espécies/Família Espécies florestais (1-sim, 0não) PARAGOMINAS Floresta primária Não perturnada Corte seletivo Cortado e queimado SANTARÉM Floresta secundária Silvicultura Pasto Agricultura mecanizada Floresta primária Não perturnada Corte seletivo Queimado Cortado e queimado Floresta secundária Pasto Agricultura familiar Agricultura mecanizada Myiopagis flavivertex 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 5 0 0 0 0 Myiopagis viridicata 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 Tyrannulus elatus 1 1 18 7 11 0 2 0 8 10 7 15 19 6 9 0 Capsiempis flaveola 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 Attila cinnamomeus 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 0 0 Attila spadiceus 1 6 24 14 1 0 0 0 10 16 3 13 14 0 0 0 Legatus leucophaius Ramphotrigon megacephalum 1 0 8 10 17 0 3 0 0 2 2 0 2 5 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ramphotrigon ruficauda 1 0 4 3 1 0 0 0 1 0 3 5 2 0 0 0 Myiarchus tuberculifer 1 2 24 19 4 0 0 0 3 6 0 7 5 0 0 0 Myiarchus ferox 0 0 5 8 13 2 24 0 0 0 1 0 4 8 2 0 Myiarchus tyrannulus 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 5 10 3 0 Rhytipterna simplex 1 6 36 16 1 0 0 0 12 38 7 20 15 0 0 0 Casiornis fuscus 0 0 1 0 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pitangus sulphuratus 0 0 3 8 18 11 65 7 0 0 1 0 20 29 9 2 Philohydor lictor Myiodynastes maculatus 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 3 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 8 4 7 0 Tyrannopsis sulphurea 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Megarynchus pitangua 1 0 2 4 9 0 4 1 0 0 0 2 10 13 5 0 Myiozetetes cayanensis 0 0 14 16 34 6 39 3 0 1 1 0 21 17 9 3 Myiozetetes luteiventris Tyrannus melancholicus 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 17 24 31 142 28 0 0 0 1 18 70 19 14 Tyrannus savana Griseotyrannus aurantioatrocristatus 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Empidonomus varius 1 0 0 6 5 2 12 1 0 0 0 1 5 12 8 1 Conopias trivirgatus 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 4 5 2 0 0 0 Colonia colonus 1 1 7 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Myiophobus fasciatus 0 0 0 2 5 6 94 9 0 0 0 1 4 13 0 1 Cnemotriccus fuscatus 0 0 0 1 18 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 151 Espécies/Família Espécies florestais (1-sim, 0não) PARAGOMINAS Floresta primária Não perturnada Corte seletivo Cortado e queimado Floresta secundária SANTARÉM Silvicultura Pasto Agricultura mecanizada Floresta primária Não perturnada Corte seletivo Queimado Cortado e queimado Floresta secundária Pasto Agricultura familiar Agricultura mecanizada Lathrotriccus euleri 1 0 3 10 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Phaeomyias murina 0 0 1 7 31 20 155 5 0 0 0 0 20 41 28 3 Cyclarhis gujanensis 1 4 15 14 16 0 9 0 1 2 0 0 15 7 6 2 Vireolanius leucotis 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16 24 4 10 2 0 0 0 Vireo olivaceus Hylophilus semicinereus 1 0 2 1 5 0 0 0 0 5 5 11 82 22 14 2 1 0 16 33 16 0 3 1 0 0 1 1 24 2 6 0 Hylophilus pectoralis 0 0 0 0 16 2 7 2 0 0 2 0 21 7 8 0 Hylophilus hypoxanthus Hylophilus ochraceiceps 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 21 26 7 21 6 0 0 0 1 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 Atticora tibialis 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Stelgidopteryx ruficollis 0 0 1 9 16 9 73 16 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 2 Progne chalybea 1 0 9 43 30 23 130 32 1 0 5 2 15 36 6 9 Tachycineta albiventer 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 Riparia riparia 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 Hirundo rustica 0 0 0 0 1 0 11 8 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 9 Troglodytidae Microcerculus marginatus 1 5 8 0 0 0 0 0 6 10 2 6 3 0 0 0 Odontorchilus cinereus 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Troglodytes musculus Campylorhynchus turdinus Pheugopedius genibarbis 0 0 0 5 10 10 144 10 0 0 0 0 7 89 15 10 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 0 2 5 1 0 0 1 8 110 120 97 0 16 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pheugopedius coraya 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 58 22 53 122 4 4 0 Cantorchilus leucotis 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 28 19 17 2 Cyphorhina arada 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Vireonidae Hirundinidae Donacobiidae Donacobius atricapilla Polioptilidae 0 0 152 Espécies/Família Espécies florestais (1-sim, 0não) PARAGOMINAS Floresta primária Não perturnada Corte seletivo Cortado e queimado SANTARÉM Floresta secundária Silvicultura Pasto Agricultura mecanizada Floresta primária Não perturnada Corte seletivo Queimado Cortado e queimado Floresta secundária Pasto Agricultura familiar Agricultura mecanizada Ramphocaenus melanurus 1 9 50 81 24 0 0 0 1 15 10 20 21 1 0 0 Polioptila plumbea 0 0 0 9 7 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Polioptila paraensis 1 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 Turdus leucomelas 0 0 5 10 17 4 17 1 0 0 0 0 8 8 2 0 Turdus fumigatus 1 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 Turdus albicollis 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 10 16 46 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 21 Ammodramus aurifrons Ammodramus humeralis 0 0 0 0 2 2 9 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 20 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Arremon taciturnus 1 0 8 7 12 0 1 0 1 0 0 4 2 0 0 0 Parulidae Geothlypis aequinoctialis 0 0 0 0 5 2 73 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Phaeothlypis rivularis 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Psarocolius viridis 1 2 16 5 0 0 0 0 10 24 3 8 0 0 0 0 Psarocolius decumanus 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 1 0 6 3 0 0 Psarocolius bifasciatus 1 0 3 1 2 0 0 0 4 7 2 3 1 0 0 0 Cacicus haemorrhous 1 1 7 2 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 Cacicus cela 1 0 7 4 7 0 0 0 6 7 5 3 26 6 0 1 Icterus cayanensis 1 0 4 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Icterus jamacaii 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Molothrus oryzivorus 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 7 0 1 Molothrus bonariensis 0 0 0 0 0 3 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 1 Sturnella militaris 0 0 0 0 5 22 143 26 0 0 0 0 0 16 0 11 Mitrospingidae Lamprospiza melanoleuca 1 6 19 11 0 0 0 0 13 4 4 4 1 0 0 0 Turdidae Motacillidae Anthus lutescens Passerellidae Icteridae 153 Espécies/Família Espécies florestais (1-sim, 0não) PARAGOMINAS Floresta primária Não perturnada Corte seletivo Cortado e queimado SANTARÉM Floresta secundária Silvicultura Pasto Agricultura mecanizada Floresta primária Não perturnada Corte seletivo Queimado Cortado e queimado Floresta secundária Pasto Agricultura familiar Agricultura mecanizada Thraupidae Coereba flaveola 1 30 103 118 31 0 30 0 2 0 1 1 11 4 2 0 Saltator azarae 0 0 0 2 6 1 16 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 Saltator grossus 1 1 30 20 1 0 0 0 6 16 10 21 10 0 0 0 Saltator maximus Parkerthraustes humeralis 0 0 19 47 58 1 30 1 0 1 0 0 20 7 5 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Nemosia pileata 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Tachyphonus rufus 0 0 1 8 14 5 58 3 0 0 0 0 1 16 17 0 Ramphocelus carbo 1 1 58 92 95 11 136 9 1 2 4 4 65 52 24 1 Lanio luctuosus 1 2 6 8 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 7 0 0 0 Lanio versicolor 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 Lanio surinamus 1 6 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 Lanio cristatus 1 3 13 10 2 0 0 0 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 Lanio cucullatus 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Tangara gyrola 1 3 12 4 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Tangara mexicana 1 0 1 8 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4 0 2 0 Tangara velia 1 2 3 3 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 Tangara varia 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 Tangara punctata 1 3 12 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 Tangara palmarum 1 1 10 14 9 2 20 2 2 0 3 10 37 42 16 4 Tangara episcopus 1 1 24 22 34 12 3 7 0 0 1 7 50 44 22 6 Cissopis leverianus Schistochlamys melanopis 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 30 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Tersina viridis 1 1 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Dacnis lineata 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 Dacnis cayana 1 1 4 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 0 0 Chlorophanes spiza 1 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Hemithraupis guira 1 9 11 23 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 Cyanerpes caeruleus 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 154 Espécies/Família Espécies florestais (1-sim, 0não) PARAGOMINAS Floresta primária Não perturnada Corte seletivo Cortado e queimado SANTARÉM Floresta secundária Silvicultura Pasto Agricultura mecanizada Floresta primária Não perturnada Corte seletivo Queimado Cortado e queimado Floresta secundária Pasto Agricultura familiar Agricultura mecanizada Cyanerpes cyaneus 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Emberizoides herbicola 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Volatinia jacarina 0 0 0 1 7 11 106 9 0 0 0 0 15 71 33 35 Sporophila americana 0 0 0 0 5 2 20 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 Sporophila lineola 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 Sporophila nigricollis 0 0 0 0 2 1 5 0 0 0 0 0 1 7 7 10 Sporophila minuta 0 0 0 1 0 0 15 2 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 2 Sporophila angolensis 0 0 0 1 3 0 13 0 0 0 0 0 4 15 11 0 Granatellus pelzelni 1 0 26 6 2 0 0 0 3 1 1 0 4 0 0 0 Habia rubica Caryothraustes canadensis Periporphyrus erythromelas 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 1 0 0 0 1 2 27 26 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cyanoloxia rothschildii 1 1 5 10 1 0 1 0 0 3 3 6 11 0 0 0 Euphonia violacea 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 4 1 0 0 Euphonia rufiventris 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 1 0 0 0 Euphonia chrysopasta 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Euphonia cayennensis 1 3 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cardinalidae Fringillidae Passer domesticus 155 ANEXO 2 Outros resultados 1) Paragominas: a Quantitative Baseline Inventory of an Eastern Amazonian Avifauna. Publicado como: A.C. Lees, N.G. Moura, A. Santana, A. Aleixo, J. Barlow, E. Berenguer, J. Ferreira, & T.A. Gardner. 2012. Paragominas: a Quantitative Baseline Inventory of an Eastern Amazonian Avifauna. Revista Brasileira de Ornitologia 20, 7– 32. Abstract We present the results of a five-month survey of the birds of Paragominas, Pará, a municipality in eastern Brazilian Amazonia that lies within the Belém center of endemism. We recorded 440 species, sampling habitats across a gradient of disturbance, ranging from ‘undisturbed’ primary forest, through logged and burnt forest, patches of varyingly aged secondary forest, cattle pastures and intensive mechanized agriculture. Given the potential for species miss-identifications in avian inventories, we paid special attention to obtaining voucher documentation (photographs and sound recordings) and here provide a unique collection of publically-accessible digital vouchers for 418 species recorded (95% of the total). Many of the species reported here are poorly- known or represent notable range-extensions, and we present data on their status and distribution, both within the municipality and elsewhere in the Belém center of endemism. Notable amongst these include the first records for Pará and Amazonia of Spotted Piculet (Picumnus pygmaeus), trans-Tocantins range-extensions for Large-headed Flatbill (Ramphotrigon megacephalum) and Yellow-shouldered Grosbeak (Parkerthraustes humeralis) and multiple observations of the threatened paraensis subspecies of Cinnamon- throated Woodcreeper (Dendrexetastes rufigula). Keywords: Amazon; bird survey; conservation; digital voucher; range-extension. 2) One hundred and thirty five years of avifaunal surveys around Santarém, central Brazilian Amazon 156 Publicado como: Lees, A.C., Moura, N.G., Andretti, C.B., Davis, J.W., Lopes, E.V., Henriques, M.P., Aleixo, A., Barlow, J. Ferreira, J., & Gardner, T.A., 2013. One hundred and thirty five years of avifaunal surveys around Santarém, central Brazilian Amazon. Revista Brasileira de Ornitologia 21, 16–57. Abstract We present an updated annotated avifaunal checklist for the Santarém region of central Pará state, Brazil, an area that has one of the oldest histories of ornithological exploration in South America. We combine data from a five month quantitative survey of the birds of the municipalities of Santarém and Belterra (east of the Tapajós River) between 2010 and 2011 with an exhaustive search of material in museum collections worldwide and digital vouchers deposited online. Our own survey sampled habitats across a gradient of disturbance ranging from ‘undisturbed’ primary forest, through logged and burnt forest, patches of secondary forest, cattle pastures and intensive mechanized agriculture. Given the potential for species misidentifications in avian inventories, we paid special attention to obtaining voucher documentation. Here we present a collection of publicly accessible digital vouchers for all of the new species, in addition to providing museum catalogue numbers for all old records. We added 24 species to the regional list, principally species associated with anthropogenic landuses, but also including seven species restricted to primary forest habitats which were missed from both recent published inventories and over the course of two centuries of intensive collecting efforts. The regional list now stands at 583 species for which voucher documentation is available, with an additional 26 undocumented species. Many of the species reported here are poorly known or represent notable range extensions, and we present new data on their status and distribution. Keywords: bird survey, Amazonia, conservation, range extension, digital voucher. 3) A social and ecological assessment of tropical land-uses at multiple scales: the sustainable amazon network Publicado como: Gardner, T.A., Ferreira, J., Barlow, J., Lees, A.C., Parry, L., Vieira, I.C.G., Berenguer, E., Abramovay, R., Aleixo, A., Andretti, C., Aaragao, L.E.O., Araujo, I., Souza de Avila, W., Bardgett, R.D., Batistella, M., Begotti, R.A., Beldini, T., Ezzine de Blas, D., Braga, R.F., de Lima Braga, D., de Brito, J.G., de Camargo, P.B., Campos dos Santos, F., Campos de Oliveira, V., Cordeiro, A.C.N., Cardoso, T.M., de Carvalho, D.R., Castelani, 157 S.A., Chaul, J.C.M., Cerri, C.E., De Assis Costa, F., da Costa, C.D.F., Coudel, E., Coutinho, A.C., Cunha, D., D’Antona, A., Dezincourt, J., Dias-Silva, K., Durigan, M., Esquerdo, J.C.D., Feres, J., de Barros Ferraz, S.F., de Melo Ferreira, A.E., Fiorini, A.C., da Silva, L.V.F., Frazao, F.S., Garrett, R., dos Santos Gomes, A., da Silva Goncalves, K., Guerrero, J.B., Hamada, N., Hughes, R.M., Igliori, D.C., da Conceição Jesus, E., Juen, L., Junior, M., de Oliveira Junior, J.M.B., de Oliveira Junior, R.C., Junior, C.S., Kaufmann, P., Korasaki, V., Leal, C.G., Leitao, R., Lima, N., de Fatima Lopes Almeida, M., Lourival, R., Louzada, J., Mac Nally, R.C., Marchand, S., Maues, M.M., Moreira, F.M.S., Morsello, C., Moura, N., Nessimian, J., Nunes, S., Oliveira, V.H.F., Pardini, R., Pereira, H.C., Pompeu, P.S., Ribas, C.R., Rossetti, F., Schmidt, F.A., da Silva, R., da Silva, R.C.V., da Silva, T.F.M., Silveira, J., Siqueira, J.V., de Carvalho, T.S., Solar, R.R.C., Tancredi, N.S.H., Thomson, J.R., Torres, P.C Vaz-de Mello, F.Z., Veiga, R.C.S., Venturieri, A., Viana, C., Weinhold, D., Zanetta, R., Zuanon, J., 2013. A social and ecological assessment of tropical land uses at multiple scales: the Sustainable Amazon Network. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B 368 (1619), 20120166. Abstract Science has a critical role to play in guiding more sustainable development trajectories. Here, we present the Sustainable Amazon Network (Rede Amazônia Sustentável, RAS): a multidisciplinary research initiative involving more than 30 partner organizations working to assess both social and ecological dimensions of land-use sustainability in eastern Brazilian Amazonia. The research approach adopted by RAS offers three advantages for addressing land-use sustainability problems: (i) the collection of synchronized and co-located ecological and socioeconomic data across broad gradients of past and present human use; (ii) a nested sampling design to aid comparison of ecological and socioeconomic conditions associated with different land uses across local, landscape and regional scales; and (iii) a strong engagement with a wide variety of actors and non-research institutions. Here, we elaborate on these key features, and identify the ways in which RAS can help in highlighting those problems in most urgent need of attention, and in guiding improvements in land-use sustainability in Amazonia and elsewhere in the tropics. We also discuss some of the practical lessons, limitations and realities faced during the development of the RAS initiative so far. Keywords: Tropical forests, land use, sustainability, trade-offs, interdisciplinary research, social-ecological systems. 158 4) Instrução Normativa 02/2014 para classificação de florestas secundárias para diferenciar áreas de produção e conservação no Estado do Pará Publicada no Diário Oficial do Estado do Pará. Caderno 5 , 28 de fevereiro de 2014, pp 6. Autores: Gardner A. T., Ferreira, J., Barlow, J., Vieira, I.C.G., Chazdon, R. Berenguer, E., Brancallion,P., Brondizio, E., Ferraz, S., Lees, A. C., Louzada, J., Mac Nally, R., Moura, N.G., Oliveira, V.H., Parry, L., Salomão,R., Solar, R., Thomson, J. Instituições: constam no final do documento 20 de Fevereiro de 2014 Sumário 1 Descrição o problema 2 Sumário executivo da proposta 2 (i) Evidências científicas para a elaboração da proposta 2(ii) Vantagens da presente proposta 2(iii) Desvantagens e limitações da presente proposta 2(iv) Áreas de trabalho adicional necessário para implementar a proposta 2(v) Áreas de trabalho adicional necessário para melhorar a proposta 3 Dados utilizados no estudo 4 Resumo das análises e resultados 5 Recomendações para os próximos passos e expansão do estudo das florestas em regeneração para levar em conta fatores regionais e de paisagem 6 Autores e instituições 7 Agradecimentos 159 Tabela ou Figura Tabela 1 Figura 1 Figura 2 Descrição Número de áreas de florestas secundárias estudadas em cada município e mesorregião do Pará Distribuição da frequência de idade das áreas de vegetação de florestas secundárias Relação entre idade das áreas de floresta e riqueza de espécies de árvores grandes (≥10 cm de DAP) e pequenas (<10 cm de DAP) Figura 3 Relação entre idade das áreas de floresta e riqueza de espécies florestais de aves e besouros Figura 4 Importância relativa dos fatores que regulam a abundância de espécies de árvores grandes (≥ 10 cm de DAP) Figura 5 Figura 6 Relação entre área basal e biomassa acima do solo Importância relativa dos fatores que regulam presença de espécies florestais de aves e besouros Figura 7 Relação entre a idade da floresta e área basal em áreas de florestas secundárias em diferentes regiões do Pará Área basal total de árvores grandes em áreas de vegetação de florestas secundárias que têm <5 anos, entre 5-20 anos e > 20 anos de idade comparadas à área basal total em áreas de floresta primária no estado do Pará Figura 8 Figura 9 Figura 10 a Relação entre área basal e 1) cobertura do dossel 2) densidade do sub- bosque em parcelas de vegetação de floresta secundária em Santarém e Paragominas Relação entre idade e área basal para parcelas de vegetação de florestas secundárias entre 5 e 20 anos de idade 1. Descrição do problema A legislação do estado do Pará recomenda que em áreas designadas como "zonas de consolidação agrícola" as propriedades rurais com menos de 80, mas acima de 50 % de cobertura florestal, as florestas secundárias em estágio médioavançado de regeneração devem ser conservadas (Lei 7.398, Capitulo II, III, Artigo 4). Para implementar esta regulação, para fins de autorização de supressão de 160 vegetação nativa, entretanto, é necessário definir a forma de identificar o ponto de separação entre as florestas em estágios iniciais de regeneração daquelas que podem ser demonstradas em estágios intermediário a avançado de regeneração. Para realizar esta definição um grupo de pesquisa multi-institucional elaborou a proposta aqui apresentada a partir da realização de análises de um amplo banco de dados de florestas secundárias para o Estado do Pará .2. Sistema de decisão para classificação de florestas secundárias no estado do Pará A proposta consiste em um processo simples de classificação em duas etapas, baseado primeiramente na idade da floresta secundária sob avaliação, e em segundo, lugar na combinação da cobertura de floresta primária do munícipio em que está localizado o empreendimento e na medição do DAP (diâmetro do tronco medido a 1,30m do solo) de todas as árvores com DAP ≥ 10cm nas parcelas da floresta secundária sob avaliação para geração da área basal, onde: 1) Áreas demonstradas serem abaixo de 5 anos de idade podem ser convertidas em áreas de produção sem necessidade de qualquer avaliação de campo. Áreas demonstradas serem acima de 20 anos de idade são recomendadas para proteção sem a necessidade de qualquer avaliação de campo 2) Áreas demonstradas serem entre 5 e 20 anos de idade (incluindo 20) são recomendadas para conservação se tiverem área basal igual ou acima de (a) 10 m2 ha-1 em municípios com mais de 50% de cobertura de floresta primaria, e (b) 5 m2 ha-1 em municípios com menos de 50% de cobertura de floresta primária. 2 (i). Evidências científicas para a elaboração da proposta A idade é um forte indicador positivo da riqueza de espécies arbóreas e das respectivas abundâncias na floresta (Figs. 2 e 4). A estrutura, medida aqui pela área basal de árvores com DAP ≥ 10cm (um parâmetro de estrutura da floresta muito simples e fácil de calcular, a partir da medição do diâmetro, Fig. 6), é um indicador forte da riqueza de espécies 161 da fauna da floresta e da ocorrência de espécies arbóreas climáticas (clímax) (Fig. 6) Uma combinação da idade da floresta em regeneração e da sua área basal fornece uma discriminação efetiva do estágio ecológico da floresta em regeneração, levando-se em conta a diversidade de espécies da flora e fauna. Um limite de idade inferior a 5 anos separa áreas que consistentemente têm baixa área basal total de árvores (DAP ≥ 10cm ) - 100% de 10 sítios de estudo têm menos de 10 m2 ha-1) e podem ser licenciadas para serem convertidas à produção agrícola, sem amostragens de campo da vegetação, usando somente as imagens de satélite (Fig. 7). Um limite de idade superior a 20 anos separa áreas que consistentemente têm uma alta área basal total de árvores (DAP ≥10cm) 2 -1 - 89% dos 43 sítios de estudo são maiores do que 10 m ha ) e podem ser recomendadas para conservação, sem amostragens de campo adicionais, mas somente com as séries temporais das imagens de satélite (Fig. 7 ). Áreas em regeneração acima de 20 anos têm uma área basal significativamente maior do que áreas de 5-20 anos de idade e são mais semelhantes às florestas primárias (Fig.8) Não existe uma relação clara entre a idade da floresta e área basal para as parcelas entre 5 e 20 anos de idade (Fig. 7 ), mas o limite de área basal de 10 m 2 ha-1 (árvores com DAP ≥ 10cm) está associada com um limite de fechamento do dossel ( <20% de fração de abertura) e diminuição da densidade da vegetação do sub-bosque (< 4.000 indivíduos por hectare), indicando uma fase mais madura da regeneração que é menos dominada por espécies pioneiras (Fig. 8). Existe uma tendência nas regiões mais antropizadas do Estado, devido a degradação do solo e da baixa conectividade florestal, para florestas secundárias, mesmo de idades mais avançadas terem menos de 10 m2 ha1 de área basal (Fig. 10). Portanto, nos municípios com menos de 50% cobertura de floresta primária (do ultimo ano antes do pedido de corte, que sejadisponível nas imagens de PRODES) recomenda-se o uso de um limite de 5 m2 ha-1 para autorização de supressão de vegetação nativa, ao invés de 10 m2 ha-1. Tal medida mais conservadora oferece uma 162 salvaguarda essencial para a proteção dos serviços ecossistêmicos prestados por estas florestas (Fig. 7 e 10). 2 ( ii) As vantagens do sistema de decisão aqui proposto incluem: 1. É simples e de baixo custo e evita a subjetividade quando na tomada de decisão suprime/não suprime a vegetação. Observando-se que a idade deverá ser avaliada por meio de análises de séries temporais de imagens de satélite. 2. Oferece uma garantia mínima da condição ecológica das áreas recomendadas para conservação com base em evidências de campo 3. Minimiza custos de transação e atrasos ao excluir parte das áreas dentro dos limites máximo e mínimo de idades. Além do mais áreas com menos de cinco anos de idade também correspondem à definição da Lei Federal para pousio. 4. Assegura a proteção proporcionando de florestas em regeneração benefícios significativos de que já conservação e estão serviços ambientais para o estado do Pará e que não tenham participado do sistema de produção por pelo menos 20 anos consecutivos. Isso também inclui áreas de floresta onde (apesar de terem pelo menos 20 anos de idade) a regeneração foi impedida devido a motivos diversos como solo de baixa fertilidade ou de uso intensivo no passado (por exemplo, os cinco locais na Fig. 7, que têm acima de 20 anos, mas possuem uma área basal de < 10 m2 ha-1) 5. Depende de apenas uma medida objetiva e repetida da estrutura da floresta (DAP ou Diâmetro a Altura do Peito) e não necessita de medidas estruturais mais difíceis de coletar (como a altura da árvore) ou qualquer identificação taxonômica das espécies. 6. Se não é possível avaliar a idade da área por sensoriamento remoto (por exemplo, devido à cobertura excessiva de nuvem em anos consecutivos nas séries temporais de imagem de satélite), então uma decisão suprime /não suprime a vegetação pode ser feita com base apenas em uma pesquisa de campo sobre a estrutura da vegetação (determinação da área basal). 163 7. Assegura a proteção de florestas proporcionando benefícios em regeneração significativos de que conservação já e estão serviços ecossistêmicos para os municípios do estado do Pará que têm uma baixa quantidade de remanescentes de floresta primária, e histórico de uso da terra intensivo (indicado por aqueles municípios com menos de 50% de cobertura florestal primária) 2 (iii) As desvantagens e limitações do sistema de decisão proposto incluem: 1. Exige uma amostragem de campo da vegetação para fazer uma avaliação de área basal nas áreas que têm entre 5 e 20 anos de idade. 2. Qualquer avaliação do estágio de regeneração com base em medidas de estrutura da floresta poderia ser manipulada por proprietários de terra por meio do corte seletivo de árvores de grande porte para reduzir a área basal total abaixo do limite de 10 m2 ha-1. Neste sentido, qualquer evidência de corte recente ou queimada nessas florestas tem que ser anotado e comunicado ao Ibama. 3. Uma amostragem (inventário) tendenciosa da vegetação secundária poderia alocar as parcelas naquelas áreas onde se têm os menores valores de área basal. 2(iv) Áreas de trabalho adicional necessário para implementar o sistema de decisão proposto 1.Definição de fontes de dados e imagens, e um protocolo para avaliar a idade das florestas secundárias usando uma série temporal de imagens Landsat 2. Definição de um protocolo de pesquisa de vegetação padronizado para avaliar a área basal de árvores com DAP ≥ 10cm, incluindo: a) Área total a ser amostrada b) Tamanho padronizado da parcela c) Densidade padronizada de parcelas 164 d) Protocolo padronizado para determinar a distribuição de parcelas de vegetação dentro de uma dada área. e) Definição do tamanho mínimo da área de floresta em regeneração que necessita de licenciamento para liberação de conversão para agricultura. f) Definição de critérios regulatórios adicionais para assegurar que os proprietários rurais não sejam capazes de manipular as áreas de regeneração florestal para colocá-las abaixo do limiar de 5 ou 10 m2ha-1 dependendo do município 2 (v) Análises futuras recomendadas para facilitar a aplicação do sistema de decisão desta proposta: 1. Mapeamento de idades de florestas secundárias em todo o estado do Pará feita pelo órgão público de fiscalização- modelo DETER, que auxilie o Ibama a checar o desflorestamento quando ele acontece - para fornecer uma fonte de dados definitiva (atualizada em uma base anual) que permita avaliar a idade das áreas dentro de uma determinada propriedade rural. Isso requer uma análise de séries temporais de dados do Landsat para os últimos 20 anos para identificar a idade de cada pixel de floresta secundária com base no histórico de desmatamento e uso. Este mapa facilitaria enormemente a avaliação rápida e defensável para saber se uma determinada área é imediatamente recomendada para conservação (> 20 anos) ou pode ter a vegetação suprimida sem necessidade de qualquer amostragem de campo (inferior a cinco anos de idade), ou requer avaliação da área basal antes que qualquer decisão possa ser feita (entre 5 e 20 anos de idade). O mesmo mapa também permitiria uma avaliação dos benefícios regionais de conservação (aumento da área de floresta e conectividade entre fragmentos) e custos de oportunidade agrícola para garantir a proteção de todas as florestas > 20 anos de idade . No momento, as avaliações de idade das áreas em regeneração precisariam ser realizadas com base em análises específicas para cada propriedade individual. 2. Mapeamento da área basal da vegetação arbórea para todo o Pará. Isso pode ser feito usando dados RADAM e, também, dos novos inventários florestais programados pelo Serviço Florestal Brasileiro para o estado em uma modelagem espacial para produzir 165 um mapa da área basal de árvores com DAP ≥10cm para todo o estado. 3. Teste da aplicação de técnicas adicionais de datação da idade das florestas secundárias que não precisam utilizar dados de satélite. Uma alternativa possível é a contagem de nós ao longo do caule para datar as árvores d do gênero Cecropia (embaúba). Esta técnica foi desenvolvida e publicada em trabalhos científicos. Dados usados na presente análise Dois conjuntos de dados foram utilizados na análise da presente proposta para fornecer as recomendações aqui apresentadas 1. Dados do Projeto Rede Amazônia Sustentável (RAS), uma parceria entre vários projetos no âmbito do INCT-MPEG, EMBRAPA, Universidade de Lancaster e Universidade de Cambridge para avaliar a relação entre a idade das áreas de florestas secundárias, área basal e outros atributos de estrutura e composição de espécies da flora e fauna. Este conjunto de dados é composto por um total de 60 áreas de florestas secundárias (20 em Paragominas e 40 em Santarém), bem como 30 áreas de florestas primárias não perturbadas, usadas como condição de referência. 2. Um banco de dados de florestas secundárias para diferentes regiões do estado composto de dados de campo de quatro projetos a. RAS (Santarém e Paragominas) = 61 sítios b. Ima Vieira (vários municípios) = 38 sítios c. Eduardo Brondizio (vários municípios) = 36 sítios d. Jos Barlow (Almeirim) = 5 sítios e. Total = 140 sítios Para ser qualificado na inclusão da meta-análise do Estado, os dados dos projetos individuais deveriam conter (a) a idade da floresta secundária avaliada, (b) as medidas de DAP por indivíduo, e (c) a identificação em nível de espécie para cada indivíduo. Nos dados do projeto RAS, um conjunto de florestas secundárias foram identificadas nas imagens de satélite desde as primeiras medições registradas pelo INPE (1988). Desta forma, não se pôde determinar a idade exata destas florestas, mas apenas inferir que as mesmas teriam mais de 22 anos 166 durante o período das medidas de campo, sendo a idade destas florestas então registrada como desconhecida. No total, nós conseguimos reunir dados de 140 sítios de florestas secundárias, abrangendo 22 municípios em cinco das seis meso-regiões do Pará (não havia dados disponíveis para a região metropolitana de Belém) (Tabela 1). Tabela 1: Dados das pesquisas em florestas secundárias incluídos na metaanálise para o estado do Pará. Município ou região Mesorregião Número de sítios Abaetetuba Nordeste Paraense 2 Abel Figueiredo Sudeste Paraense 1 Acará Nordeste Paraense 1 Almeirim Baixo Amazonas 5 Altamira Sudoeste Paraense 11 Aurora do Pará Nordeste Paraense 1 Bom Jesus do Tocantins Sudeste Paraense 1 Capitão Poço Nordeste Paraense 6 Dom Eliseu Sudeste Paraense 2 Igarapé-Açu Nordeste Paraense 10 Ipixuna do Pará Nordeste Paraense 2 Irituia Nordeste Paraense 1 Jacundá Sudeste Paraense 2 Moju Nordeste Paraense 1 Paragominas Sudeste Paraense 21 Ponta de Pedras Marajo 4 Rondon do Pará Sudeste Paraense 2 Santarém Baixo Amazonas 41 167 São Francisco do Pará Nordeste Paraense 11 Tailândia Nordeste Paraense 2 Tome-acu Nordeste Paraense 11 Ulianópolis Sudeste Paraense 2 22 (de 144) 5 (de 6) 140 Os sítios de estudo estão distribuídos em um amplo gradiente de idade variando entre 1-70 anos (Fig. 2). Figura 1. Distribuição da frequência de idade dos sítios de pesquisa utilizados nas análises. Notar que 26 sítios (projeto RAS) têm apenas uma estimativa mínima idade determinada por séries temporais imagens de satélite ( ≥ 22 anos) . Análises e resultados As análises realizadas atenderam dois objetivos principais: 1. Avaliação da utilidade da idade e da estrutura da floresta (área basal) como critérios mínimos baseados no local para classificar as florestas em regeneração no Pará. [utilizando apenas dados da RAS] 2. Identificação de limiares da idade da floresta e da estrutura da vegetação para orientar recomendações de decisões de suprimir/não suprimir a 168 vegetação para o estado do Pará [usando tanto dados da RAS quanto dados de outros projetos para diferentes regiões do estado] OBJETIVO 1: Avaliação da utilidade da idade e estrutura da floresta como critérios mínimos baseados no local para classificar a regeneração de florestas no Pará Esta análise avaliou a evidência para o uso da idade da floresta e da estrutura da vegetação (área basal) como indicadores da condição ecológica, medida em termos de diversidade de espécies da floresta. Resultados-chave A idade da floresta secundária é um indicador positivo da riqueza e abundância de espécies de árvores (DAP < 10cm) (Fig. 2a); assim como da proporção entre árvores com DAP ≥10cm e árvores com DAP <10cm ( Fig. 2b ). No entanto, a idade não foi um bom indicador do número de espécies da fauna (aves e besouros) dependentes da floresta ( Fig. 3). A idade da floresta secundária é o mais importante indicador de mudanças na abundância de espécies de árvores com DAP ≥ 10cm Fig. 4). A área basal de árvores com DAP ≥10cm é um forte indicador positivo da biomassa aérea e , por conseguinte, dos estoques de carbono da floresta (Fig. 5). A estrutura da área (medida pela biomassa aérea) e a composição florística da vegetação são os fatores mais importantes que atuam na regulação da presença de espécies de aves e besouros (Fig. 6) Resumo das recomendações com base nos resultados A combinação da idade da floresta secundária e da estrutura da vegetação, medida em termos de área basal de árvores (DAP ≥10cm) (em si um bom indicador da biomassa total acima do solo), explica uma quantidade significativa da variação na diversidade de espécies de árvores, aves e besouros. A combinação destes parâmetros pode, portanto, ser utilizada como indicador mínimo (sem medidas adicionais de condição da paisagem, história local e tipo de solo), porém adequado para indicar a condição ecológica das florestas em regeneração. OBJETIVO 2: Identificação de limiares de idade da floresta e de estrutura da vegetação para orientar as recomendações da decisão desmata/não desmata para o estado do Pará 169 Resultados-chave Um limite de idade inferior a 5 anos separa áreas que têm consistentemente baixa área basal (< 10 m2 ha-1) e, um limite de idade superior a 20 anos separa áreas que têm consistentemente alta área basal (>10 m2 ha-1) ( Fig. 7) As três classes de idade de florestas em regeneração (<5 , 5-20 e > 20 anos) são significativamente diferentes entre si em termos de área basal para árvores com DAP ≥ 10 cm. Os sítios com mais de 20 anos de idade têm áreas basais significativamente maiores do que aqueles entre 5-20 anos, e as florestas primárias (em diferentes regiões do Pará) têm área basal total significativamente maior que sítios com mais de 20 anos de idade (Fig. 8). Não existe uma relação clara entre a idade da floresta secundária e a área basal para as áreas entre 5 e 20 anos de idade (Fig. 7 ), mas o limite de 2 -1 área basal de 10 m ha (DAP ≥ 10cm) está associado com um limite de fechamento do dossel (<20% fração de abertura) e diminuição da densidade da vegetação do sub-bosque (< 4.000 indivíduos por hectare), indicando uma fase mais madura da regeneração que é menos dominada por espécies pioneiras (Fig. 8) A maior área basal no sudoeste do Pará (região de solos férteis, mais recentemente colonizada, com 100 % dos sítios com área basal superior a 10 m2 ha-1) em comparação com o nordeste do Pará (a mais antiga região de ocupação na Amazônia brasileira, com baixa nível de remanescentes florestais, 68 % dos sítios com área basal inferiores a 10 m2 ha-1), independentemente da idade para florestas entre 5 e 20 anos de idade (Fig. 10). Assim, assumindo uma limiar de 5 m2 ha-1 (a metade de 10 m2 ha-1) para aqueles municípios que têm menos de 50% de cobertura florestal primária ajudaria compensar essa importante tendência (Fig. 7 e10). Resumo das recomendações com base nos resultados O limite inferior e superior de 5 e 20 anos de idade, separa respectivamente, áreas que têm consistentemente baixa e alta área basal e pode, portanto, ser usado 170 para determinar as áreas de florestas secundárias que podem ser licenciadas para conversão ou recomendadas para a conservação sem a necessidade de avaliação adicional de campo. Para áreas entre 5 e 20 anos de idade a decisão suprimir/não suprimir a vegetação pode ser feita com base em uma avaliação de campo para cálculo da área basal, na qual áreas que tenham área basal superior a 10 m2 ha-1 seriam recomendadas para a conservação. Deve ser reconhecido que qualquer avaliação dependente apenas de critérios baseados na escala local vai deixar de considerar devidamente as variações regionais nas taxas de regeneração devido a diferenças naturais (por exemplo, na fertilidade do solo) bem como as diferenças na condição da paisagem (por exemplo, ausência virtual de áreas de floresta primária vizinha ou extremamente fragmentada) ou a intensidade do uso do solo no passado. Consequentemente, qualquer critério de área basal que seja utilizado para determinar a decisão de desmatar/não desmatar resultará em um viés em favor da conservação de florestas regenerando em áreas mais férteis que sofreram menor impacto humano (por exemplo, paisagens jovens perto da fronteira de desmatamento) e um viés em favor de permitir a conversão de florestas regenerando em áreas inférteis ou altamente degradadas (veja Fig.10). 2 -1 .Assim propomos o uso de dois limiares de área basal: 5 m ha para municípios com menos de 50% de cobertura de florestas primárias (das imagens de PRODES do ultimo ano disponível antes do pedido de supressão de vegetação nativa), e 10 2 -1 m ha para os municípios com mais de 50% cobertura de floresta primária. 171 Figura 2. Relação entre idade das florestas secundárias e riqueza de espécies florestais de árvores grandes (≥ 10 cm de DAP ) e pequenas ( <10 cm de DAP ). Fonte de dados: Projeto RAS. Figura 3. Relação entre idade das florestas secundárias e riqueza de espécies de aves e besouros. Fonte de dados: Projeto RAS. 172 Figura 4. Importância relativa dos fatores que regulam a distribuição de 88 espécies florestais de árvores grandes (≥ 10 cm de DAP ) (valores médios de importância das variáveis a partir de árvores de regressão Random Forests para cada espécie ). Fonte de dados: Projeto RAS. Figura 5. Relação entre área basal e biomassa acima do solo. Equações de biomassa padronizadas para todos os sítios e descritas em Gardner et al. 2012, Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B 2013 368, 20120166). Fonte de dados: Projeto RAS. 173 Figura 6. Importância relativa dos fatores que regulam a presença de espécies florestais de aves e besouros. Fonte de dados: Projeto RAS. Figura 7. Idades das áreas de floresta secundária e área basal para 140 áreas de florestas secundárias em diferentes regiões do Pará . Os pontos cinza representam locais onde se conhece apenas que tenham pelo menos 22 anos de idade. As linhas verticais vermelhas tracejadas representam os limites de idade propostos para separar consistentemente as áreas de baixa ( 100% dos sítios) e alta (89% dos 174 sítios) área basal em relação ao limiar de 10 m2 ha-1 de área basal. Fonte de dados: Diversos projetos para diferentes regiões do Pará. Figura 8. Área basal total de árvores grandes em sítios de floresta secundária < 5 anos, 5-20 anos e > 20 anos de idade, bem como áreas de floresta primária (em diferentes regiões do Pará). Existem diferenças significativas (p < 0,001) entre todas as comparações (Teste Tukey de diferença significativa). Fonte de dados: Diversos projetos para diferentes regiões do Pará. 175 Figura 9. Relação (e ajuste de curva não-linear), entre área basal e cobertura do dossel de floresta e área basal e densidade do sub-bosque em 60 áreas de floresta em regeneração em Santarém e Paragominas . Fonte de dados: Projeto RAS. 176 Figura 10. Relação entre a idade e área basal para áreas de florestas secundárias entre 5 e 20 anos de idade. Os sítios em vermelho são no nordeste paraense e em verde são do Sudoeste paraense. O restante das regiões estão em cinza. 6. Lista de Autores e respectivas instituições Toby Gardner. Universidade de Cambridge, Reino Unido Joice Ferreira. Embrapa Amazônia Oriental, Brasil Jos Barlow. Universidade de Lancaster , Reino Unido Ima Vieira. Museu Paraense Emílio Goeldi, Brasil Robin Chazdon. Universidade de Connecticut, Estados Unidos Erika Berenguer. Universidade de Lancaster , Reino Unido Pedro Brancallion. Univ. de São Paulo, Escola Superior de Agricultura "Luiz de Queiroz", Brasil Eduardo Brondizio. Universidade de Indiana, Estados Unidos Silvio Ferraz. Univ. de São Paulo, Escola Superior de Agricultura "Luiz de Queiroz", Brasil Alexander Lees. Museu Paraense Emílio Goeldi, Brasil Julio Louzada. Universidade Federal de Lavras, Brasil Ralph MacNally. Universidade Monash, Austrália Nárgila Moura. Museu Paraense Emílio Goeldi, Brasil Victor Oliveira. Universidade Federal de Lavras, Brasil Luke Parry. Universidade de Lancaster , Reino Unido Rafael Salomão. Museu Paraense Emílio Goeldi, Brasi Ricardo Solar. Universidade Federal de Viçosa, Brasil Jim Thomson. Universidade Monash, Austrália 7. Agradecimentos A Rede Amazônia Sustentável (RAS) é uma iniciativa multi-institucional focada na avaliação da sustentabilidade social e ecológica dos sistemas de uso da terra na Amazônia Oriental e envolve mais de 30 organizações parceiras (ver www.redeamazoniasustentavel.org). A Rede Amazônia Sustentável (RAS) é grata pelo apoio financeiro às seguintes instituições: Instituto Nacional de Ciência e Tecnologia - Biodiversidade e Uso da Terra na Amazônia (CNPq 574008/20080), Empresa Brasileira de Pesquisa Agropecuária - Embrapa (SEG: 02.08 .06.005.00), Iniciativa Darwin do governo do Reino Unido (17-023), TNC-The Nature Conservancy e Conselho Britânico de Pesquisa do ambiente natural (NERC) (NE/F01614X/1 e NE/G000816/1). A Rede Amazônia Sustentável também é grata a Embrapa, TNC, LBA- Experimento de Grande Escala da Biosfera-Atmosfera na Amazônia, Universidade Federal d'Oeste do Pará, Universidade Estadual do Pará e aos sindicados dos agricultores e sindicatos dos trabalhadores rurais de Santarém, Belterra e Paragominas e a todos os produtores rurais por seu apoio no campo. 178