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View Prost presentation
Presented by
Basile Baumann Prost Cole & Associates
177 Defense Highway, Suite 10
Annapolis, Maryland 21401
November 3, 2007
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FasTracks & Metro Denver
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Project Goals & Team
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P j t Approach
Project
A
h
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Closing Thoughts
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$4.7 Billion Investment
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119 Miles of New Rail
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Multiple
M
lti l M
Modes
d
(commuter rail, LRT, BRT)
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70 New Stations
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9 Existing & Future corridors
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7 Jurisdictions
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Unprecedented
p
Opportunity
pp
y
to Promote & Facilitate TOD
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Understand Regional and Station Specific TOD Potential
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Evaluate Transit Potential to Induce Demand
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G
Gauge
ShortSh t and
dL
Long-Term
T
TOD Demand
D
d
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Align Station Area Plans with Market Realities
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Address Phasing Issues
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Optimize Future
Development
Opportunities
Project Team
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Regional, System-Wide & Corridor Demand Analysis
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TOD Employment Forecasting
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O
Opportunities
t iti & Constraints
C
t i t Analysis
A l i
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Station Area Recommendations
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Regional, System-Wide & Corridor Demand Analysis
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TOD Employment Forecasting
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O
Opportunities
t iti & Constraints
C
t i t Analysis
A l i
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Station Area Recommendations
Analysis of Household & Employment Growth
Question
What are Current Projections?
Can Transit Redistribute Growth?
Data Sources
DRCOG
Academic Research & Surveys
Can Transit Induce Net New Growth?
Academic Research & Surveys
$ Transfer to Region
How Should Projections be Refined to Reflect Transit’s Impact?
Academic Research & Surveys
Station Area Testing
Induced Growth Survey
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Distributed to
50 Experts
i TOD
in
TOD,
Business Site Selection,
& Transit/Rail
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Major Transit
Systems Represented
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25 Responses
(50% Response Rate)
Key Survey Questions
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Does Transit Investment Induce New Growth, Redistribute Existing
Growth, or Both?
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If Transit Induces New Growth, What Proportion is Located in Station
Areas? If Transit Redistributes Growth, What Proportion is Located in
Station Areas?
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If Transit Induces New Growth, Why Do You Think this Growth was
Induced? What About the Transit System Promoted this to Occur?
Key Survey Answers
Redistributes Growth
Does Transit Impact Growth?
Amount varies
(10‐30%)
M d Modest amount Creates New Growth
Conditions include:
(<5%)
Certain conditions apply*
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Transfer of Capital Dollars into Region
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Transit System is Truly Comprehensive
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Transit System is Well-Used
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Transit Makes Region More Attractive & Progressive in Employers’ Eyes
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Public Policies Support TOD
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Regional, System-Wide & Corridor Demand Analysis
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TOD Employment Forecasting
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O
Opportunities
t iti & Constraints
C
t i t Analysis
A l i
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Station Area Recommendations
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Direct & Indirect Employment Related to TOD (Operating Period)
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Estimated Using CoStar® Standard Employment/SF & RIMS II Data
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Regional, System-Wide & Corridor Demand Analysis
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TOD Employment Forecasting
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O
Opportunities
t iti & Constraints
C
t i t Analysis
A l i
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Station Area Recommendations
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Performed More Detailed
Assessment for 10 Station Areas
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Reviewed Land Use, Development
Hi t
History,
Public
P bli P
Policies
li i &
Public/Private Plans
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Projected Household and
Employment Growth
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Identified Market Opportunities &
Potential Niche (Station Typologies)
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Developed
p Station Area Profiles
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Regional, System-Wide & Corridor Demand Analysis
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TOD Employment Forecasting
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O
Opportunities
t iti & Constraints
C
t i t Analysis
A l i
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Station Area Recommendations
Vision:
Vibrant urban places that mix incomes and uses, increase transit
ridership, provide needed infrastructure, generate fiscal benefits, attract
new businesses
b i
and
d create
t employment
l
t opportunities.
t iti
Strategies
Tailor Development Mix to Market Realities & Area Typology
Facilitate Strategic Infrastructure Investment
Find Theme for Design & Uses
Use Creative Leasing/Marketing
Market a Niche
Identify/Reconcile Gaps in Private Sector Financing
Identify an Affordable/Workforce Housing Target Mix
Streamline Regulations
Phase Development Over Time
Offer Assistance to Small Businesses
TOD Phasing
Ph i Toolkit
T lkit
Before Transit
Land Banking & Assembly
After Transit
Infrastructure Improvements
Tax Incentives
Interim Uses
Density Bonuses
Special Assessments
Zoning
Revenue Sharing
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Not Just Building a New Rail Line… Building a New Denver
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2008 “Market to Watch:”
“The only landlocked market on the list, Denver has successfully
created an exciting urban core in the midst of a sprawling suburban
area that’s
th t’ connected
t d to
t downtown
d
t
b light-rail
by
li ht il transit.”
t
it ”
Urban Land Institute
James L. Prost, AICP
Principal
Basile Baumann Prost Cole & Associates, Inc.
177 Defense Highway, Suite 10
Annapolis, MD 21401
410 266 7800
410.266.7800
410.266.7866 (fax)
[email protected]
www bbpa com
www.bbpa.com