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n [] D D, n [] THE ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE COUNCIL 1986-87 "T. K. WHITAKER, M.SC.(ECON.), D.ECON.SC., LL.D., Presideut of the htstitute. *P. LYNCH, M.A., M.R.I.A.. Chairman of the Council. D.j. BUCKLEY, Vice President and General Manager, Merck, Sharpe atul Dohme (Ireland) lad., Co. Tipperary. L. CONNELLAN, B.E., C.ENG., M.I.E.I., Director General, Confederation of lrish Industry. *SEAN CROM[EN, B.A., Secretary, Department of Finance. G. DEAN, M.D., FR.C.P. MARGARET DOXNNES, B.COMM., F.C.A., Consultant, Coopers & Lybrand. N. j. GIBSON, B.SC.(ECON.), PH.D., Professor, Department of Economics, University of Ulster, Coleraine. PATRICK A. HALL, B.E., M.S., DIP.STAT., Director of Research, Institute of Public Administration. *W. A. HONOHAN, M.A., F.I.A. MICHAEL F. KEEGAN, B.A., B.COMM., D.P.A., F.[.P.M., Secretar); Department of Labour. *K[ERAN A. KENNEDY, M.ECON.SC., B.PHIL., PH.D., Director of the Institute. T. P. LINEHAN, B.E., B.SC., Director, CentralSlatistics Office. *D. F. McALEESE, B.COMM., M.A., M.ECON.SC., PH.D., Whately Professor of Political Economy, Trinity College, Dublin. *EUGENE McCARTHY, M.SC.(ECON.), D.ECON.SC., Directol; Federated Union of Employers. JOHN J. McKAY, B.SC., D.P.A., B.COMM., M.ECON.SC., Chief Executive Officer, Co. Cavan Vocational Education Committee. *g. F. MEENAN. M.A., B.L. * D. N EVI N, General Secretar),, Irish Congress of Trade Unions. REV. JOHN R. Ivl. NOLAN, M.A., D.D., M.A.(CANTAB), Professor, Departmeut of Logic and Psych.olog); University College, Dublin. *TOMAS F. O COFAIGH, Governor, Ceutral Bank. JOYCE O’CONNOR, B.SOC.SC., M.SOC.SC., PH.D., Director, Social Research Centre, College of Humanities, National Institute for Higher Education, Limerick. D. P. O’MAHONY, M.A., PH.D., B.L., Professor, Department of Economies, Universily College, Cork. LABHRAS 6 NUALLAIN, D.ECON.SC. B. PATTERSON, B.A., M.I.I.E., A.I.P.M., Director General, Irish Managemeut Institute. 2S. SHEEHY, B.AGR.SC., PH.D., Professot; Department of Applied Agricultural Economics, University College, Dublin. J. SPENCER, B.SC.(ECON.), Professor, Department of Eco o nics, The Quee I s University of Be~zst. T. C. TONER, B.COMM., M.B.A., Managing Director, BWG ltd. *B. M. WALSH, B.A., M.A., PH.D., Professor, National Economics of Ireland and Applied Economics, Universit), College, Dublin. T. WALSH, M.AGR.SC., PH.D., D.SC., M.R.I.A. *REV. C. K. WARD, B.A., S.T.L., PH.D., Professor, Department of Social Science, University College, Dublin. P. A. WI-IITE. B.COMM., D.P.A., Managing Director, Industrial Development Authority, Dublin. *Member of Executive Committee. NOTICE OF A NNUA L GENERA L MEETING Notice is herebygiven tlmt theTwenty-eighth Annual General Meeting of The Economic and Soci,’d Research Institute (Limited Company registered ill Dublin, Regisu’ation No. 18269), will be held at tile Registered Office at 4 Burlington Road, Dublin 4, on Tuesday, 30June 1987, at 4.30 p.m. AGENDA 1. ¯ Election of President 2. Minutes of Last Meeting 3. Accounts and Balance Sheet for the ),ear ended 31 December 1986 4. Report of the Council to the Members 5. Election of Members to the Cotmcil 6. Fixing the Auditors’ remuneration By order of the Council, J. ROUGHAN, Secretao,. Registered Office, 4 Burlbigton Road, Dublin 4. 9June 1987. CONTENTS Page Report of tile Council 5 Appendix A Contributors to tile ESRI 25th Anniversal), Fund 14 Appendix B Staffing 15 Appendix C Publications of The Economic and Social Research Institute 18 Appendix D Abstract of ESRI Papers published ill 1986 38 Appendix E Outline of New Projects begun in 1986 44 Appendix F Schedule of Members 47 Appendix G Income and Expenditure Account, Balance Sheet and Auditors’ Report for the year ended 31 December 1986 57 THE ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE TI4/ENTY-SEVENTH ANNUAL REPORT for the ),ear ended 31 December 1986 REPORT OF 7"liE COUNCIL INTRODUCTION THE ),ear 1986staff. was one high of productivity terms ofduring publications by Institute Theof resuhs new researchinpublished tile ),ear eml~hasised tile ESRI’s central objective to undertake policy-oriented resea~’ch relevant to tile many major problems of the h’ish economy and society. The Medium-Tem~ Outlook: 1986-1990, which was the first issue in what is intended to be an annual series, charted possible scenarios for the economy over the next five years. The study on tile national debt analysed tile effect of the increasing volume of pub].ic borrowing. The special Thomas Davis series of lectures Ireland in Transition broadcast on RTE radio, on the occasion of the ESRI’s 25th anniversmT, was publislaed by Mercier Press Ltd., during the year. It provides an overx, iew of the major economic and social developments in h’eland over the last 25 years. The reports on traveller fanfilies and drug use among young aduhs published during the year were examples of particular areas of deprivation investigated by the staff of tile Institute. In addition to these, work was completed on several other research projects concerning employment and unemployment, industrial development, agricuhure and fisheries, the international environment, education, income continuance and poverty. These publicatiolas are reviewed elsewhere in the Report. Major new projects commenced during the year included a survey of income distribution, poverty and use of state ser,,ices, which was previewed in the 1985 Annual Report, and the consequences of cross border trade between the Republic and Northern Ireland commissioned by the European Economic Community. The year 1986 was also one of innovation and planning for the future. Tile special 25tb AnniversmT Fund established under the Chairmanship of Mr T. O Cofaigh, Governor of the Central Bank of h’eland, was an unqualified success. The target of£¼ million set would be met over the five-year period of tile fund’s operation. As a result tile htstitute has begun the installation of a comprehensive computer and office system, replacing the existing obsolete equipment. Tile Institute’s research work is heavily dependent on computing facilities and tile new independent COllaputing system provides the flexibility within tile organisation to develop its own itlformation systems and to increase its services to other organisations in the areas of data preparation, validation and analysis. The Council wishes to acknowledge the financial support received from firms and organisations throughout the country and to thank them for their very generous contributions. A number of subscribers were outstanding in their generosity. Five contributed £10,000 or more and nineteen contributed £5,000 or more. Many other subscribers were just as generous in relation to their size. A list ofcontributors is provided in Appendix A, which includes all but a few who wished to remain anonymous. 5 During 1986 the lnstitute’s Research Plan for 1986-1990 was approved by the Executive Committee. The investigations and consuhations undertaken in the preparation of the Plan were detailed in the Anaual Report for 1985. Tile following four themes were selected as central to the 1 nstitute’s research efforts over the five-year period of the programme: Increasing the Growth of Output and Employment Given that Ireland is only a semi-developed economy, with a large labour surplus and low income per capita relative to its European partners, the need for accelerating tile rate of economic growth is obvious enough. Tile part that research can play is to provide a clearer understanding of the constraints and assessment of tile appropriate policies, both macro and micro, to mobilise tile available resources of enterprise, labour, technology, etc. 6O Increasing Efficiency, with Special Regard to the Public Sector Tile areas most often mentioned where research would be likely to contribute more were public expenditure and taxation. Other important areas include the labour market and tile non-traded services sector. The EEC Dimension Apart fi’om the on-going work of assessing international trends, the priorities here would be in relation to EEC developments. Research is needed to help h’ish policymakers contribute to shaping EEC policies to h’eland’s advantage, as well as to assess tile impact on Ireland of such policies, once settled, and how Ireland can best respond to them. Increasing Economic and Social Equality While in some respects increased equality might conflict with economic growth, nevertheless there are many types of inequality that are economically dysfunctional. Moreover, economic progress contributes its own range of social problems, which cannot be left to fester. In tile long run, if social support for economic growth is to be adequately mobilised, there must be a conviction that its fruit will be widely shared. Research under this theme would be concerned not only with tile nature, extent and determinants of poverty and inequality, but wotdd also focus on tile effectiveness of the social policy response. Tile Plata and the I)ackground analysis were published in October 1986. The Programme of Research is as follows: Programme of Research 1986-1990 +’ Denol:es I)rojects approved and in l)rogrcss Economic Forecasting attd Modelling * I. (~tarterly Economic Commentary (and associated surve),s ot+L~,usiness and consumer sentiment and investment; with possibility of adding a stnwey of stock changes) *2. Medium-Term Outlook *3. Macro-economeu-ic and input-output modelling an(l al)plications 11. ’Economic Growth l. Economic and social constraints on the creation of income and wealth 2. Socio-economic and cultural factors affecting entrepreneurship and innovation in h’eland 3. Profits and investnlent 4. Analysis of non-price aspects of competitiveness 5. Technology acquisition: determinants ancl effects 6. Relationship between industrial output, exl)orts, profit rei)atriation and retained value added 7. Assessment of.. (i) industrial strateg3,, (including project evaluation techniques) *(ii) agricultural strateg3, (in light of the changing EEC environment) 8. Analysis ofotttput, employment and prodttctivity in the services sectors (including spin-off fi’om IDA, etc., job creation) +9. Assessnlent ofscope and method forexpansion in specific traded goods activities in: (i) agricuh:ure (ii) natured resources (iii) naanufacturing (ix,) export services 10. Supply and Jinancing ofinfi’astructure: (i) energy (ii) u’ansport (ill) telecomnlunications 111. The lntenlational Environment * I. The determinants of h’ish foreign trade *2. Assessment of EEC policies affecting h-eland (including closer economic integration) and appropriate responses 3. Scope for nautually-beneficii~l econonlic co-operation between the Rel)ublic and Northern h+eland IIe. Regional Issues *1. Developnaent and analysis of regional statistics 2. Assessment of regional policy options 3. Analysis of measures to stimulate greater local participation and I n I tlatl’.’es V. 7he Public Sector * I. Evaluation of the efficiency and distributional effects of major public expenditure progranlnles *2. Analysis of incidence, incentive and equity effects of tax and social security systenls 3. The scope for, and merits of, privitisation *4. Evaluation of the level and burden of nation~d debt, and tile appropriate allocation as between domestic and foreign borrowing 5. Tile measurenlent of performance in state-sponsored bodies VI. 15"ices and Incomes 1. Tile experience of pay bargaining since tile abandonment of nationa] agreements 2. *3. VII. Adjustnlent to lower price inflation Public and private pensions arrangements Demography and Labour * 1. On-going demographic analysis and projections 2. Effects on employment (inchtding self-enlployment) of labour market rigidities, restrictive practices and protective labour law 3. Tile nature, extent and implications of changing patterns ofwork and employment (e.g., part-time and temporary work, earl), retirement, etc.) *4. Study ofdisadvantaged labour market groups (e.g., the long-tern1 unemployed) and implications lbr policy VIII. Social Policy 1. Heahh: (i) methods for allocating medical care resources (ii) evaluation of alternatives to nledical care (e.g., preventive nleasures) *2. 3. 4. *5. 6. (iii) techniques of managcnmnt and budgeting in hospitals Education: (i) school selection and management practices (ii) impact of unequal access to education Oil tile economy and society Study ofhomelessness Impact of changing family and marriage patterns Children in care Voluntary social welfare bodies and their relationship to statutorT bodies 8 7. Social factors in the desigll of urban and suburban devclopnIelltS *8. Basic data and analysis of income distribution and ])overly and the effects of related public policies 9. Crime: (i) developments of better statistics (ii) evaluation of criminal justice decision making 10. Drug use and abuse IX. Values and Attitudes 1. Attitudes towards social problems and social policies X. Data and Methodology I. Feasibility study ofan h’ish survey data archive 2. A study of interviewer effects *3. Household equivalence scales for h’eland "4. Statistical and econolnen’ic techniques There would be no difficulty in adding to the list of research topics if resources were available to support a larger program nm. Priorities may chan]ge over the five-year period and in that event the present programnle may reqmre adjustment. It is, however, vital that the Institute should take a reasoned and comprehensive view in advance as a guide to its [’uture direaion. This i)rovides a framework within which new proposals can be better evaluated and helps any assessment of the need for change. The Programme of Research presupposes a modest incre~e over the period in Ihe staff resources available to the Institme. The Institute intends to u)’ to supplement internal staffresources by interesting suitable stafFat die universities, other third-level institutions, and i)erhaps other bodies, in working on projects in the Institute’s research ])rogramme. t) REVIEI,V OF 1986 DURING 1986, Commenlaty, Institute staff published foul" issues of the O~tarterly Economic the first issue of a medittm-term outlook, seven papers in the General Research Series, two papers in tile Policy Research Series, two papers in tile Reprint Series, two papers in tile Memorandum Series, two papers in the Technical Series, and seventeen papers in scholarly jourttals inchlding The Economic artd Social Review. In addition staff delivered over fort), papers to learned societies and conferences. The staff also co|npleted several commissioned research projects and surveys for the EEC aJad other agencies. All of these are listed in Appendix C which includes a list of projects in progress in the Institute at 31 December 1986. Abstracts of ESR1 papers published in 1986 are given in Appendix D, while outlines of new projects commenced in 1986 are given in Appendix E. The detailed material in the appendices to this Report gives a good indication of tile broad range of research undertaken by ESRI staffduring 1986. Here the Council wishes to highlight only a few of the more significant developments. Economic Forecasting and Modelling The O~tarterly Economic Commentao,, which continues to provide an ongoing analysis of current trends in tile economy was supplemented by a longer-term perspective in the Medium-Te~wt Outlook 1986-1990. The latter was the first volume in what is intended to be a contintting annual series. The Outlook examined the effects of international developnaents and Irish economic policies on the domestic economy over tile last 5 years and d iscussed reed lureterm future scenarios. Special reviews of the Common Agricultural Policy and foreign-owned industtT were included. During the year Institute staffconsolidated and developed previous work in the area of macro-economic model buildi~g. A study on mtdti-scctor modelling of the Irish economy was published which examined, by the means of a 13-sector input-output model, the feasibility and consistency of assumptions and results of Government planning, lnput-otttput techniqttes were also employed in an analysis of the h’ish agricultural and food industries. Phase 11 ofthe construction ofa macrosectoral model for Ireland as part of the European Model being developed by the Commission of tile European Communities was initiated. The development of tile ESRI medium-ternl model for use by the Department of Finance for projections and policy analyses was undertaken in association with departmental staff. Economic Growth Research during the year Iocosed on the development of agriculture, fisheries and industt),. Proposals for changes in tile Common Agricultural Policy was considered, together with how h’eland might best respond to these proposals. A study of the bovine tuberulosis eradication scheme discussed the nature of bovine tuberculosis, reviewed the operation of tile eradication scheme since its inauguration in 1954 and outlined the Exchequer costs to date. After an expenditure of almost £900 million at 1985 prices and the removal of almost 1.5 million reactor cattle, 2-3 per cent of cattle herds were still infected. Tile major defects inherent it~ the operation of the scheme were I1) examined and recommendations were made for more successful management. Special reports were completed on "The Organisation of Marine Research ill Ireland" and on "Aquaculture" for the National Board fox" Science and TechnologT and theJoint Oireachtas Committee on SecondaO, Legislation of the EEC, respectively. Public expenditure on h’ish sea fisheries, tile economics of s:dmon fishing, tile consequences for Irish fisheries of tile enlargement of tile EEC were ,also investigated. A study of tile h’ish engineering in(htsu3, in an international context was completed during tile year. The study, which will be published during 1987, reviews tile current state of tile engineering indusuT, identifying its particular strengths, weaknesses and competitiveness. A policy api)roach to tile indust~3,’s development will be outlined. A report on "Allocating Designation Status for Indusu’ial Development on the Basis of tile NESC Criteria" was completed for the Del)artment ol’lndustry, Trade, Commerce and Tourism. Studies.were also completed oll tile (lemand for cold storage in Ireland, foreign-owned industry, h’eland’s experience of export-oriented industrialisation, industrial i)olicy and tile public sector, alternative strategies for industrial clevelol)ment and attitudes towards industrial support. The International Environment During tile year a study was begun on the consequences for cross-border trade, between tile Rel)ublic of h’eland and Northern h’cland, of harmonising rates Of value added t~.LK ~llld excise duties wiHlin tile European Economic Community. Tile study, which was commissioned by tile EEC, will examine tile nature and extent of cross-border shopping by residents of tile two comnlunities and will investigate tile sensitivity of trade to cross-border price differences. The proceedings ofa Symposiunl on "Consequences of European Union" were i)ublished and included papers on tile background to the goal of Eul’ol)ean union, the inaCl’OeconolniC conseqtlellces Of unioll, tile ecollonlic implications of tax harmonlsation and regional developments within Europe. A study of the determinants of h’ish imports was also completed for i)ublication during 1987. A study on "Research and Technological Developmerits in tile Less Favoured Regions of the EEC", commissioned by tile EEC/ NBST, was submitted to tile Commission. The Public Sector Tile chief areas of research undertaken during tile¯ year concerned Exchequer borrowing, public sector employment and the CMI Service superannuation scheme. Tile annual repayment of interest on borrowing, almost equalling tile ta.,: take from the PAYE sector, continues to be a severe drain on natiozml resources and a m~jor constraint on invesunent. Tile publication of tile study The National Debt and Economic Policy provided an indel)th analysis of Exchequer borrowing and its effects. Alternative scenarios indicated that even a mild fiscal expansion would result in tile national debt/ GN P ratio rising inexoral)ly. Only a more restrictive budgtary policy could halt or reverse tile trend. Tile study Employment in the Public Domain in Recent Decades provided a comprehensive l)icture of the numbers eml)loyed by tile Central Government and local authorities. Questions about the growth i, numbers and grades, II mobility of staff, male and female eml)loynlent and tile effect of policy initiatives were examined. Further research in progress will investigate costs and wage rates in the public sector and tlae financial aspects of the Irish Civil Service superannuation scheme. During 1986 a study of computerisation in the Civil Service was commenced which will examine expenditure on computer systems, staff turnover, the level of expertise available and difficulties encountered. Demography and Labour Comment has been made in previous reports of the close relationship which has developed between the lnslitute and some Government departments in recent years. This is particularly true in regard to the working relationship between the Institute and the Department of Labour. During 1986, in addition to ongoing stHweys such as the annual sulwey of school leavers, the Institute undertook a ntHnber of surveys and studies commissioned by the department namely, Employers’ Perceptions of the Effect of Labour Legislation, the Evaluation of Manpower Programmes, and Employment Incentive Schemes. Studies were completed in respect of youth unemployment, clerical enaployment, training, job creation policies and the costs of unemployment which were presented at various conferences and seminars. Staff also completed studies commissioned by the OECD and the EEC on "Measures to Assist the Long-term Unemployed". A sludy on the "Transition fi’om School to Work and Early Labour Market Experience" was completed for publication during 1987. Another study published during 1986 showed how the Electoral Register, might be used for estimating population and net migration and to select samples for social surveys. Social Polio, The main thrust of research undertaken in 1986 was in relation to the areas of income distribution, drug usage, and education. The 1985 Annual Report gave details of preparatory work for a major stttdy on income distribution, poverty and the use o[’state services to be undertaken with the assistance of the Commission of the European Communities and the Department of Social Welfare. The study is now under way and a su~,ey of 4,000 households comprising 10,000 individuals, is in the field. While the data from the sur~,ey will be made available through interim reports, the final report is not expected until 1989. The study will report, interalia, on the level o fpoverty and the effects of policies on taxation, social welfare, health, housing and education. The study on the Population Stnzcture and Living Circumstances of Irish Travellers reported the resuhs of the 1981 Census of Travelling People in regard to the size, composition, geographic distribution and the living conditions of traveller families. The provision of services in regard to housing, healtll and education to meet the needs oft his uniquely disadvantaged minority living on the periphelT of h’ish society, was stressed. The study on the "Redistribution ofl ncomeThrough State Expenditure and T~Lxation in the Republic oflreland 1973-80" was also completed and submitted to the National Economic and Social Council. The study Smoking, Drinking and Other Drug Use Among Dublin Post-Primary School Pupils investigated an area of growing concern in Irish society. The report 12 examined Ille incidence of drug use among young adults and associated factors. Intervention programmes were recomnlended to combat the spread of tile use of drugs. hi education, a study on Subject Availability and Student Performance in the Senior Cycle of Irish Post-Prima~y Schools investigated the variations in the subjects available to students, those actually taken by them and academic perlbnllance in the senior cycle. The effects of personal choice, gender and social class were isolated. Amalgamation of schools or greater co-operation between schools was suggested in attempting to provide a range o fsobjects that would allow the expression of tile diverse abilities of pupils. Other areas of policy-orientated social research nearing completion include the differentiation of pul)ils and curricula in Irish second-level schools, children in care, and adjustment to retirement. Data attd Methodology The develol)ment of household equivalence scales fi’om Irish household survey data is nearing completio, for i)ublication during 1987. Technical papers on likelihood and estimation and on the use oflhe TRO LL coml)uter package for database access and analysis were also completed. Commissioned Research During 1986 sixteen research projects were carried out for various Government departments, the Commission of the European Communities and other ageHcies covering topics such as marine research and aquaculture, unemployment, labour legislation, industrial support and designation of areas, redistribution of income, and project evaluations. In addition tile lnstitute’s Sulwey Unit undertook and analysed surveys on behalf of several outside agencies. Much of the information gathered by 0aese surveys is of considerable interest to the Institute in implementing its own programme of research. CouncU Changes Tile Council wishes to record its sadness at the death in September 1986 of Professor Charles McCarthy who had been a member of tile Council of the Institute since 1966. During 1986 Mrs M. Dowries and Rev. ProfcssorJ. R. M. Nol~m were co-opted to the Council. Final Zc£ounls The Incomeand Expenditure Account, Balance Sheet and Auditors’ Repol’t for tile year ended 31 December 1986 are given in Appendix G. Total income for the year was £ 1,615,605, tile Government grant being £ 1,175,000. Income from other sources amounted to £440,605 representing 97 per cent of total income. Current expenditure for the year amounted to £ 1,617,885 including depreciation of£8,884. Expenditure for tile year is shown less an amount of £9,205 which was charged to Economic and Social Studies in respect ofsalaries and wages for 1986. This charge has been waived and written offi n tile Balance Sheet. P;urick Lynch Eugene McCarthy Member of Council Member of Council I?, Appendix A CONTRIBUTORS 7"0 THE I-SRI 25TH ANNI I/ERSARY FUND T HE Institute wishes to acknowledge I}~e very generous sup 3ort it has rece vet from tie following who contributed to the lnstitute’s AnniversalT Fund: Hibernia,l hlsur-ance PLC Algemenc Bank Nedcrland (Ireland} Lid. Hibcrifian Life Association Ltd. Allied Irish Banks PLC ASTMS Howmcdica Intcrnation;d Inc. Bank of Ireland ]mpcn’ial Chemical Industries hcla],d Limited Bayer (Ireland) Ltd. hltcrnationa] Colnputcrs Ltd. IDA Ireland Limited Bcamish & Crawford PLC Illdcpendcnt Newspapers Marketing Li,ifitcd Bccton, Dickinson & Co. Ltd. Bccchaln of h’cland I.Id. hldustrial Credit Corporation PLC International Computers Ltd. Bell Advertising Ltd. h’ish Bank of Com,I,erce Limited Alfred Bird & Sons Irish Distillers Group PLC Bord Gais Eircama Bord lascaigh Mhara h’ish Glass PLC Irish Life Assurance PLC Bowmaker Bank Limited Burgess Galvin& Co. Ltd. h’ish Nation’,d Teachers’ Organisation h’ish Pensions Tl’usl Ltd. Burinah-Ca~trol (Ireland) Ltd. Butler & Briscoe h’ish Perlnanent Building Society Calor Tcol’ant a Irish Sugar PLC hish T:Lx OIt]cials’ Union Canlpbcll Catering Ltd. Canu’cll & Cocllrane Group Ltd. hish Transport & General Workers’ Union Carroll Industries PLC Kcrly’ Co-operative Creameries Limited Lombard & Ulster Banking Limited Celnent Roadstonc Holdings PLC Mastcrfoods Limited CcntrM Bank of Ireland Chubb Ireland Limited Mathcws Mulcahy & Sutherland Limited Merck Sharp & Dohlnc (hcland) Ltd. Ciba-Gcib,T h’cland Ltd. Cilibank, N.A. National Association o/’Transport Employees Nation;d & City Brokers h’cland Ltd. Confedci-ation of Irish IIitlust~. Coopers & Lybrand New Ireland Assurance Co. PLC Nordlcrn Bank Ltd. C6ras Iompair Eireann C6ras Trf, ch uila O’Flahcrty Holdings Limitcd Cork Savings Bank PA MallagCIIlell[ Col~sultants Penn Chemicals B.V. john D. Coyle Po~;l] and Tt’lecomHiullicatioHs ~Vorkcl’5’ Craig Gardner & Co. Jallles Creall PLC Union Criterion Press Ltd. Q uinnsworlh - Power Supern~arkcts Ltd. Solomons, Abrahamson & Co. J. & E. Davy Digit’.d Equipmcln Ireland Ltd. Stock Exchange- h’ish Unit Dillon and Waldron Lid. Sugar Distributors Ltd. Eason & Son Lid. Synlcx Ireland Limited Educational Buikling Socicly System Dynamics Limited Ernst & Whlmlcy Tclccoln Eirca,m ESB OMcers’ Association UDT Bank Limited ESSO Ireland Limited Ulster Bank Limited Federated Union of Employ’ors Ulster Invcslmcnl Bank Limited Federated Workers’ Union of Ireland Unidarc PLC Oliver Frcancy & CotnpatLv Unilcvcr Managci,icnt Services Ltd. Gallahcr (Dublin) Limited Voh, malT Health Insurance Board Gowan Group Limited Waterford Co-operative Society Limited Grassland Fcrlilizers Ltd. Wang Ireland Ltd. Guilmcss + Mahon Ltd. Williams Group Flaughey Boland & Co. Wilson Harmell Advertising & Marketing 1"t Appendix B S 7)1 FFI N G I. Staff at 31 December 1986 Director Deputy Director As$islanl Director (Administratiot0 and Secretary Consullant ¯ Research Professors Senior Research O]ficers Research Officers Assistant Research Officers Research Assistants Operations Manager, Suroey Unit librarian A~outlt$ O~lcer Director’s Secretary Assistant Director’s Secretary K. A. Kennedy D. Comfiffc j. RoughaEI R. O’Comlor E. E. Davis, D. F. Hamlan (Head ofSocioloh,T and Social Policy), E. W. Hcm-y,j.j. sexton, B.J. Whclan (Head of 5tl n’cy Ullit) T.J. Bakcr,j. Bradley, R. Brccn,J. FitzGerald, G. Hughes, M. Ross, C. T. Whclan E. O’Mallcy T. Callan, G. Kcogh, K. O’Higgilts, S. Scott - S. Crcighton, T. Giblin, B. Halpin, G. Marsh, T. Q uinn, A. Stul’cy, j. A. Williams E. M. Colbcrt-SmMcy M. Doran-O’Rcilly D. Hcgarty F. O’Sullivan A. Donohoc Supervisor of T)#sts M. Clcary Supervisor, Machine Room, Sutvt9, Unit Clerictzl Officers R. MacCarthy P. Browlll2, ix.I. Cagllcy, A. Ctlfr;lll, B. Fordc, P. Hopkins, M. McEIhonc, R. Moore J. Bourkc, N. Cassidy, P. Dcvlin, A. I)onohoc, P. Hughcs, G. Maloncy, M. O’Sulliv;m, E. Power, M. Rohml, M. Swords J. Bales (Hcad):J. Clarke P. Hincy, A. McGowun, M. Smith (Supervisor) M. Dull)’, C. Glccson, M. Hccncy (Supcl~’iSOl’), B. Nolan, M. Walsh D. B. Rotunall (University of Connecticut, Storrs), M. Wiley (Dcparttllcnt of Hcahh} Clerical Assistants Porlers/M essengers Caterers Cleaners Staff members on secondment or leave of absence o Post-Graduate Fellowships (abroad) "1: K. Whilaker Research Fellowship Visiting Scholar * M. Dillon, P. FaughnaiL C. Guiomard, S. McGrce, C. Prcmlcrg~t, M. Rcidy, B. Rcilly, D. Watson, M. Wynnc R. Pyc (1)cpartnlciH of’tile Public Service) A. Matlht:ws, Trinity College, Dublin, C. Simms, University College, Dublin 2. Staff Changes DR. P. BACON resigned fi-om thestaffofthe Institute in August 1986. Mr T. Callan returned from leave ofabsencc inJuly 1986. Mr R. Pyc, Department of the Public Service, was awarded the T. K. Whitaker Fellowship and joined the staffin September t986. Dr. D. B. Rottman went on sabbatical leave in September 1986. Ms MatT Batcman returned to the Department of Agriculture in August 1986. The following Research Assistants left and joined the staffduring the year: Left L. Hayes Joined S. Creighton M. Reidy G. Marsh A. Storey 15 3. Other Staff Commitments Anumber of staffcontinued to perform a limited anloul~it of teaching the universities and in other forums of professional or adult education.inTile staffofthe Institute also participated in a number o f national and international conferences. T.J. BAKER J. BRADLEY R. BREEN D. CONNIFFE E. E. DAVIS j. D. FITZGERALD D. F. HANNAN K.A. KENNEDY M. F. McELHONE R. O’CONNOR K. O’HIGGINS M. ROSS D. B. RO’I-I’MAN J.j. SEXTON C. T. WHELAN (i) Member; National Accounts~Balance of Payments Group of National Statistics Board, Central Stalistics Office (i) Editor, Journal of Irish Studies in InteDtational Affairs (i0 Member, Irish National Committee for Study of International Affilb’s, Royal Irish Academy (i) Member, Advisory Committee of the Shannon 83/86 Curriculum Development Project (i) Joint Editor. 77ze Economic and Social Review (i0 Council, Statistical and Social Inquiry Society of Ireland (i) Co-Operation North, Research Adviser (ii) Adviser, Ir~h Peace Institute and the Joint Programme of Cooperation and Interaction bs Peace and Conflict Studies (iii) Member. National Peace Eoundation, Washington D.C. (iv) Member; Working Group on Vahtes attd Social Problems Indicators in Contemporary Europe, European Science Institute (i) Member, Industry Group of National Statistics Board, Central Statistics Office (i) Council, Economic and Social Studies (i) Chairman, Irish National Committee for Economic and Social Sciences, Royal hqsh Academ), (ii) Council, Economic and SociAl Studies (iii) Treasurer. Statistical and Social Inquiry Society of Ireland (i) Council, Economic and Social Studies (i) Vice-Pre~idenl, Statistical and Social Inquiry Society of Ireland (ii) Consultant to Economics atut Rural IYelfare Research Centre, A n Foras Tah’tntais (iii)Member of the Department of the Public Sewoice Committee for Admhffstrative Research (iv) Member of National Distance Education Council (i) Council, Economic and Social Studies (ii) Comudttee on Family Research, International Sociological Associalion (i) Executive. Council of the European Movement (ii) Executiw;, European Federation of Economic Research (iii)Executive, Committee of Irish Cultural Foundation (i) Council, Economic and SOciAl Studies (i0 Member, Criminolo~cal Scientific Council, Council of Europe (ii0 Advisory Panel on Role of rite Garda[. Ddil Select Committee on Crime, I.awlessness, and Vandalism (i~,)Member, Dep:trtment of Health Advisory Group on Travellers Heallh Status Stud)’ (i) Member, Interdepartmental Group on Population Projections (ii) Committee on Manpower Trends, Higher Education Autltorily (iii)Chairman, General Medical Services (Payments) Board Investigating Group (iv) Member, National Statistics Board, Central Slatislics Office O0 IJresMent, Statistical and Social Inquiry Society of Ireland (i) Member, CSO Working Party on the Development of a Censusbased Social Class Scale 4. Fellowships awarded it+ 1986 F’)ELLOWSH I PS for post-graduate study abroad were awarded during tile ),ear as follows: M. T. DILLON *P. FAUGHNAN C. GUIOMARD *S. McGREE C.J, PREN DERGAST *M. REIDY B. M. REILLY D. WATSON *M. WYNNE U,,ivc,’sity of Califbr,,ia, USA, Ph.D. in Sociology University of Pittsburgh, USA, I)h.D. in Sociology Null]old College, Oxford, M.Phil. in Economics IOlJlvcl’sity of’l+orol+to, Cal~atla, PII.D. ill Psydlolo~’ Yale University, USA, Ph.D. in Econoinics Nufl]cld College, Oxford, M.Sc. in Social Research and Soci;d Polio.3, University of Warwick, Ph.D. in Economics University o[’Wiscousin, USA, Ph.D. in Sociology UniversiU’ of Rochester, USA, Ph.D. in Economics * Indicates fellowships offered for the first time in 1986: the others are renew,’ds. 17 Appendix C PUBLICATIONS OF THE ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE BOOKS AND MONOGRAPHS BY STAFF MEMBERS I. Europe’s Future in b’i6mres tNorffi-Holland Publishing Co., Amst~rdmn, 1962). 2. Textbook of Economic Analysis, h’ish Edition (Maonillan & Co., London, 1963). 3. Elements of Linear l’rogramming wilh Economic llhtstrations (Charles Grift]n& Co. Lid.. Lolldoll, 1964). 4. Econometric Techniques and Problems (Charles Griffin & Co. Ltd., London. 1966). 5. The Motivation and Productivity of Young Women IVorkers ([NPC, ]969). 6. Four ShMie~ iu Achievement (Alien and Um~’in, 1970). 7. Career. b~mffly and Sex (Allen and Um~’in, 1970). R. C. GoalT (Editor and contributor Edward Nevin R. C. Geary and M. D. /VlcCarthy C. E. V. Loser N6irin Ni Bhroin M. P. Fogarty (Editor) M. P. Fogarty and Roberl and Rhona Rapoporl M. P. Fogarty (Editor) 8. I.Vomen and 7bpJobs (Alien and Unwin lot" PEP, 1970). 9. Rural Exodus (Gcofrrcy Chapman, 1970). D. H ~lllllall 10. All Intrtuluction lo the Shul~, of Personalily (Macmillan & Co., R. Lynn Londoll, 1970). I I. Personality and National Characlc£(Pcrgajluan Press)__ R. Lynn ~, __ -,,e --’~"~ ~l~d’fftcti~y andTnthislHal ~rowth: The Irish E.xperience (Cla~ndon--l~. A. Kennedy~-’~-Press, Oxfbrd, 197 I). /~. 13. Principles of Farm BusinessandManagemeul[h’ish University Press, R. O’Connor 1973). "’14. Elements of Unear Programming with E(mlomic Illustrations Second R.C. GemT and Edition, (Charles Griffin & Co. Ltd., London, 1973). J.E. Spencer ffC OperationaI Research "72, proceedings of Sixlh htlenmtional Conference M. Ross(Editor) of the lulernational i’~deralion of Operational Research Sociely (Norlh-Holland Publishing Co., Au~sterdam, 1973). Agricultural Economics CA. Folcns & Co. LuI., Dublin, 1973). S.j. Sheehy and R. O’Connor ~’17. Exercises in Mathematical Economics and Econometrics (Charles R.C. Gcal~, and Griffin ;llld Co. Lid., London add High W)’combe, 1975). J.E. Spencer V/ 18. The Irish Economy (Studies, Economic and Financial Series, No. K.A. Kennedy and I 0, Brussels: Commission of European Comnmnlties, 1975). R. Bruton 19. Input-Oulput Analysis and its Applications (Charlcs Grill]n and Co. R.O’Connoralld Ltd., London, 1975). E.W. Henry K.A. Kemmdy and "t/ 20. Economic Growth in Ireland: The Experience since 1947 (Dublin: Gill and Macnlillan and New York: Barnes mid Noble, in B. R. Dowling association with The F.conomic alld Social Research Institule, ~975). 21. Political Culture in Irehtnd: The Views of rwo Generations Dublin: j. Raven, C. T. Whclan, P.A. pfllClZStJhtlerand Ils ucofPt ~ cAt ministratiolLSel)tcmbcr1976) Wilhan Introduction bvJ. H. Whvte D.M. Borock J 22. EnerD’ Conseroatim~ in Ireland )975-1985: Re]tort to the Minister for E.W. HenD, Transport and Power (Dublin: StationcJT Office, No’¢Clllbcl’, 1976). B.J. Whclan and 23. Slatislical Aspects of Subjective Measures of Qmlity of Lift. (London: SS RC Su P,’ey U nil, Occasion al Papcrs in Sut~,cy Rcscardl No. C.A. (-) M uircheartaigh 4, 1976). 24. Shtdy on the Possible Part Played by Certain PrimaO, Non-Employment R.C. GemT and htcomeshtlhelnflaliotzar)’Processinlrehlnd(Scrics:Mediunltcrln F. P. Murphy economic policy, Vol. 9 Brussels: Conmlission of the European Colnlnullitic$, 1977). ~ 18 /26. Irish Economic Polio,: A Reviezo of Major Issues (Dublin: The Economic and Soci’,fl Research Institute, 1978). / 26. The Unemployment Problem in Ireland: Background A nal)’sis and Polio), Options (The European L.caguc for Economic Co-opcratlon and The h’ish Council of the European Mo’¢clllCllt, 1978}. 27. The Spread of Shifiwork in the European Community: Ireland (Europcml Foundation for the hlq)rovcmcnt of Living and Working Conditions, 1980). 28. lT~e Irish Economy mid Society hl the t9808. Papers i)rcstzntcd at ESRI Twenty-first Aimiversm3, Confcrcllcc, 6 October 1981. (Dublin: The Economic and Social Research Inslitt,tc, 1981 ). .i 29. The Economic and Social State of lhe Nation. A Series of Public Lectures to mark the Twenty-first AnnlvcrsmT of IJlc ESRI, (May, 1982). j 30. 7he Irish Economy: Poll0, atul Performance 1972-1981 (July, 1982). 31. Employment and Unemployment Policy for Ireland. (Dublin: The ./ Economic and Social Research hlstilutc. (Fcbrua,)’, 1984). j 32. Public Social Expenditure -- Value for Money? Papers presented at a Conlt:rcncc, 20 November 198,t. Dublin: The Economic and Social Research Institute (JammlT, 1985). -- 33. Th Economics of Irish Agriculture (Dublin: The hlsliTUtc of Public Adminisu’alion, 1985). / 3,1. Irelandhl Transition: EconondcandSocial ChangeSince 1960, Tholn~Ls Davis Lecture Scrlcs on the occasion of the Tw¢,lly-fifth An,livcrsary of Ihc ESR1, Cork mid Dublin: The Mercier Press, 1986. ~ Yearof Publication 1964 7he Ownership of Personal Property in Irehtnd. Short-Term Economic Forecasting and its Application in Ireland. The Irish Tariff and the E.E.C.: A Factual Sttroo,. Demand Relationships for Ireland. local Gover71ment kS’nance in Ireland: A PreliminaO’ Survo,. Prospects of the Irish Economy h~ 1962. The Irish Woollen and Worsted htdustry, t 946-59: A Study in Statistical Method. 8. The Allocation of Public Funds for Social Development. 9. The Irish I~ce Leueh A Comparative Study. 10. Inland 7)’ansport in Ireland: A Factual Stuvey. 11. Public Debt and Economic Development. 12. Wages hi Irehlnd, 1946-62. 13. Road Transport: 7he Problems and Prospects in Ireland. 1,1.lnlports attd Economic Growlh in lrelaml, 1947-61. 15. The Irish Economy in 1962 and t963. 16. Irish Counly Incomes in 1960. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. E. W. HcnIT, K. A. Kclmcdy, A. Foley and T. Hcaly ESRI Staff J. F. l~-’ll2cllall~ M. P. Fogarty, Bishop J. Kavanagh, L. Ryall P. Bacon,J. Durkan, J. O’Lca,’y D. Comliffc and K. A. Kc,mcdy (Editors) Staff ESRI 8.J. 8hcchy, R. O’CotlllOr K. A. Kclmcdy (Editor) 11 GENERAL RESEARCH SERIES 1961 1. 2. 1962 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 1963 B. R. Dowling and J. Durka,l (Editors) B. M. Walsh The Capital Sloth of lriah Industry. local Government Finance and Counly Incomes. Industrial Relations in IrdamL’ 7"tie Background. Social Secltrity in Ireland and Western Europe. 771e Irish Economy ilt 1963 and 1964. The Cost Slrltclltre. of Irish Industo’, 1950-60. A k]trtherAaall,sis of Irish Itousehohl Budga Data, tg~ 1-52. 19 Edward Ncvi,i Alficd Kuclm Edwm’d Nevin C. E. V. Loser David Walker Alficd Kuclm R. C. GoalT David Walker Edward Ncvin I).j. Rc)’tloltls Edward Ncvi,l Edward Ncvin D, J. Reynolds C. E. V. Loser C. E. V. Loser E. A. Altwood and R. C. Gcm’y Edward Ncvin David Walker l)avid O’Maho,ly P. R. Kaim-Caudlc C. E. V. I.cscr Edw;lrd Ncvin C. E. V. Loser ( 1965 1966 1967 1968 1968 1969 24. Economic Aspects of lndustrial Rdations. 25. Psychological Bamers to Economic Achievement. 26. Seasonality in Irish Economic Statistics. 27. ?’he Irish Economy in 1964 and 1965. 28. Housing in Ireland: Some Economle Aspects. 29. A Statistical Study of l Vages, Pdces and Emplayment in the lrish Manufacturing Sector 50. Fuel awl Power in Ireland: Port I. Energy Consumption in 1970. 31. Determinants of Wage Ir~ation in Ireland. 32. Regional Employment Patterns in the Republic of lrdaml. 33. The Irish Economy in 1966. 34. b)tel and Power in Ireland: Part II. Electricity and "l’urf. 35. Fuel and Power in Ireland: Part I11. Intenlational awl Temporal Aspects of Energ)’ Consumption. 36. Institutional Aspects of Commercial and Central Bmtking in Ireland. 57. FudandPowerinlreland:PartlV. SourcesandUsesofEnergy. 58. A Study of Imports. 39. The Irish Economy in 1967. 40. Some Aspects of Pn~e Inflation in Irelaml. 4 I. A Medium Term Plamdng Model for Ireland¯ 42. Some Irish Population Problems Reconsidered. 43. The Irish Brain Drain. 44. AMethodofEstimatingtheSteckofCapitalinNorthemlreland Manufacturing Imlustry: limitations atul Applications. 45. An lnput-Output Analysis of the Agricultural Sector of the lrish Economy in 1964. 46. The Implications for Cattle Producers of Seasonal Price Fluctuations. 47. Transport in the Devdoping Economy of lreland. 48. SociaI Status and lnter-GenerationaI Sodal 61obility in Dublin. 49. Personal Income by Counly, 1965. 50. Income-Expenditure Relations in Ireland, 1965-1966. 51. Costs and Prices in Transportable Goods Industries. 1970 52. Certain Aspects of Non-Agffcultural Unemployment in Ireland. 53. A Study of Demand Elasticities for Irish Imports. 54. Internal Migration in Ireland, 197 I 55. with Appemt& Religion and Demogaphic Behaviour in Ireland, with Appendix 56. Views on Pay Increases, Fringe Benefits and Low Pay. 57. Views on Income Differentials and tlu~ Economic Situation. 58. 59. 60. 6 I. Computers in Ireland. National Differences in Anxiety. Capital Statistics for Irish Mam~ffturing Industo’. Rural Household Budget -- b’easibilily Study. David O’Mahony P. Pentony C. E. V. Loser C, E. V. Leser P. R. Kaim-Caudle C. St.J. O’Hcrlihy J. L. Booth Kcith Cowling T.J. Baker The Staff of The Econonfic Research Institute ]. L. Booth J. L. Booth John Hein J. L. Booth C. E. V. Leser The Staff of The Economic and Soci’,d Research Institute R. C. Gear-:, zmd J. L. Pratschke David Simpson Brcndan M. Walsh "Richard Lynn C. W. jefferson R. O’Connor with M. Breslln R. O’Connor John Blackwcll B(tr tralll Hutchinson M local Ross John L. Pratschkc W. Black,J. V. Simpson, D. G. Slatter)’ R. C. Geary and J. G. Hughes Dcnuot M cAleese R. C. Gear)’ mid J. G. Hughes C.J. Gilhnan Brcndan M. W’.dsh R. C. Gear), and J. G. Hughes H. Behrend, A. Knowlcs and J. Davies H. Bchrend, A. Knowlcs alld J. Davies F. G. Foster Richard Lynn C. W. Jefferson Silo Shechy and R, O’Conllor 2(1 62. Effective Taiffs and the Struaure of Ind*tstrial Protection in IrelamL 63. MethodoloD’ of Personal Income Estimation by County. 1972 64. Further Data on County Incomes ill the Sixties. 65. The Functional Distribution of Income in Ireland, 1938-70. 66. Irish Input-Output Struclures, 1964 and 1968. 1973 67. Social Status in Dublin: Marriage, Mobility and First Employment. 68. An Economie Eualuation of lrish Salmon Fishing. l: The Visiling A nglers. 69. Women and Employment in Ireland: Results of a National Smvo’. 70. Irish Mamlfactured Imports from the UK in the Sbcties: The Effects of A IbTA. 71. AIplmbetieal Voting: A Sttuly of the t 9 73 GeneraI Flection in the Republic of lrelaml. 72. A Study of the Irish Cattle and Beef Industries. 1974 73. Regional Employment Pallerns in Northern lreland. 74. Irish bull Employment Stn,ctures, 1968 and 1975. 75. An Economie Euahtation of Irish Salmon Fishing, IL" The Irish Anglers. 76. Factors Relating to Reconviction among Young Dublin Probationers. 77. The Structure of Unemployment in Ireland, 1954-72. 78. An Economic Evaluation of Irish Salmon Fishing, II1: The Commercial Fishermen. 1975 79. Wage lnflation and Wage l.eadership: A Study of the Bole of Ko’ Wage Bargains in the Irish System of Collective Bargaining. 80. An Econometric Study of the Irish Postal Services. 8 I. Employment Relationships in Irish Counties. 82. Irish hlput-Output Income Multipliers, 1964 and 1968. 83. A Study of the Struaure and Daerminants of the Behavioural Component of Social Attitudes in Ireland. 84. Economie Aspects of l.ocal Authorit), Expeluliture and Finance. 1976 85. Population Growth and Other Statistics of Middle-Sized Irish Towm. 1977 86. The Income Sensitivity of the Personal Income 7~x Base in Irelaml, 1947-1972. 87. Traditional Families? From Culturally Prescribed to Negotiated Roles in Farm Families. 88. An Irish Personality Differential: A Technique for Measuring Affective and Cognitive Dimensions of Attitudes totaards Persons. 89. RedundanO, and Re-employment in Ireland. 90. A National Model of b)tel Allocations -- A Prototype. 91. A linear Progamming Model for Irish Agriculture. 1978 92. Irish Educational Expemlitures -- Past, Present and Future. 21 Dcrmot M cAIcese M lce’al Ross M tceM Ross J. G. Hughes E. W. Henry 15. Hutchinson R. O’Connor and B.J. Whelan B. M. W’,dsh assisted by Annette O’Toole Dermot McAlccsc mid John Martin FL M. Walsh and Christopher Robson T.J. Baker, R. O’Connor and R. I)unne W. Black and C. W. Jefferson E. W. Henry R. O’Connor, B.j. Whelan and A. McCashin lan Hart B. M. Walsh B. j, Whelan, R. O’Connor aml A. McCashln W. E.J. McC;mhy, j. F. O’Brien mid V. G. Dowd Peter N e:u), T.J. Baker and M. Ross j. R. Copcland and E. W. Henry E. E. Davis j. R. Copcland and B. M. Walsh D. Curtin, R. C. Geary, T. A. Crimes and B. Menton B. R. Dowling D. F. Hannah and L. A. Katsiaouni E. E. Davis and M. O’Neill B.j. Whclan and B. M. Walsh E. W. Henr), and S. Scott R. O’Connor, M. Ross and M. Behan A. Dale Tussing 93. The Working and ldving Conditions of CiviI Seroice T)’pists. 1979 94. Irish Public Debt. 95. Output and Employment in the lrish kbod lndustry in 1990. 1980 96. Displacement attd DerJelopment: Class, Kinship and Social Change in lrL~h Rural Communities. 97. Attitudes in the Republic of Ireland relevant to the Northern Ireland Problem: VoL h Descriptive Analysis and Some Comparisons with Attitudes in Northetvt Ireland and Great Britain. 98. Internal Migration Flows in Ireland and their Determinanls. 99. Irish Input-Output Structures, 1976. 100. Devdopment of the h’i.~h Sea b-ishing lndustD, and Its Regional Implications. 1981 1982 1983 I 0 I. Employment Conditions and Job Satisfoction: the Distribution, Perception and Ewtluation of Job Rewards. 102. Crime in the Republic of Ireland: Statistical Tremls and Their Interpretation. 103. Measures of the Capital Stock in the Iffsh Manufacturing Sector, 1945-1973. 104. A Study of National Wage Agreements in Ireland. 105. Socio-Economic hnpact of the Construction of the ESB Power Station at Moneypoin~ Co. Clare. 106. 107. 108. 109. The Financing of Third-Level Education. An Input-Output Analysis of New IndustO’in lreland in 1976. Social Insurance attd Absence from Work in Ireland. The Distribution of lncome in the Republic of lreland: A Study in Class attd Family-Qvcle Inequalities. II0. TheEconomicandSocialCircumslancesoflheElderlyinlreland. I I I. Worker Priorities, 7"nest in Management and Prospects for Workers" Participation. 112. 7~lelmpactofEner~’PricesonthelrishEconomyDuring19731981. I 13. Schoolhtg and Sex Roles: Sex" Differences in Subject Provision atul Student Choice in Irish Post-PrimaO, Schools. I I’t. Energy Crops, Forestr), aim Regional DeveJopment ht Irelaud. 1984 1985 115. Ag~wegate Supph’ Aggregate Demand and lneome Distribulion in Irelaml: A Mao’osectoral Analysis. 116. Social Mobilit)’ in the Republic of Ireland: A Comparative Persepective. I 17. Attiludes Towards Poverty attd Relatal Social Issues hi Irelaml. 118. ,4 Stu@ of New Itouse Prices in Ireland in the Seventies. 119. Education and the Labour Malket: I.Vork and Unemplorment among Recent Cohorts of Irish School I.eavers. 120. Payroll 7?lx htcidence, The Dbect Tax Burden and the Rate of Return on Slate Pensions Contributions in Ireland. N6irln O’Broin and Cillian Farrcn Richard Bruton A. D. O’Rourke and T. p. McStay Danlian F. Hannah E. E. Davis and R. Sim~ott j. G. Hughes and B. M. Walsh E. W. Henry R, O’CollllOr, J. A. Crutchfield, B.J. Whclan and K. E. Mellon C. T. Whclan D. B. Roltnl[H1 R. N. Vaughan J. F. O’Bricn R, O’CollllOrt J. A. Crutchficld and B.J. Whclan A. C. Barlow E. W. HemT Gerard Hughcs David B. Rottman, Damian F. Hannah and Niamh Hardiman, Miriam M. Wiley B.J. Whclan and R. N. Vaughall C. T. Whclan E. W. Hem-,’ D. F. Hannah, R. Brcen and D. ~,qalson, N. Hardiman, K. O’Higgins F.j. ConvclT and K. Dripchak J. Bradley and C. Fanning C. T. Whclan itlld B.J. Whclan E. E. Davis, joel W. Grubc and Mark Morgan I.J. Icvi,le R. Brccn G. Hughes 121. Crime I:ictimisation ill the Republic of h-damL 122. Medium-term Analysis of Fiscal PollO’ in Irelamh /t Macroeconometric StMy of the period 1967-1980. 123. The Irish Wealth 7?tx. A Case Study in Economics and Politics. 124. Aspects of Freight Transpor! in Ireland. 125. Small-Scale Mamtfacturing Industry in IrelaM. 1986 126. Irish Medical Care Resources: An Economic Analysis. 127. Employment in the Ihlblic Domaht in Recent Decades. 128. Multiseetor Modelling of the Irish Economy, with Special Reference to Employment Projections. 129. Subject Availability and St Ment Performa nee in the Senior Cycle of Irish Post-Primary Schools. 130. A StatisticalA nal),sis of the Irish Electoral Re~sterand its Use for Populalion Estimation. 131. The Population and living Circumstances of Irish Travellers: Results from the 1981 Census of Traveller Famihes. 132. Smoking, Drinking and Other Dt~lg Use Among Dublin PostPrimary Pupils. 133. A Study of the Bovine Tuberculosis Eradication Scheme. 23 R. D. Brccn and D. B. Rotnnan ,J. Bradley, C. Fanning, C. Prendeu’ga~t and M. Wyumc C. Sand ford and O. Mo ru’issey Short K. A. Kennedy and T. Healy (assisted by J. Bergin, T. C:dlan and P. McNutt} A. Dale Tussing M. Ross E, W. HcnlnT j. G. Kcogh and B.J. Whclan D. B. Rouman, A. D. Tussing and M. M. Wile), j. W. Grubc and M. Morgan R. O’Connor Ill(a) QUARTERLY ECONOMIC COMMENTARY April 1986 August 1986 November 1986 December 1986 T.J. T.J. T.J. T.J. Baker, S. Scott, L. Hayes Baker, S. Scott, T. Q uinn Baker, S. Scott, T. Quit’in Baker, S. Scott, T. Q uinn Special articles appearing in the QEC April 1986 "Real Gross National Disposable Inconlc Adjusmd for Ternls of Trade 1970-1984". Aidan Punch lit(b) MEDIUM-TERM OUTLOOK Medium-term Outlook 1986-1990, (No. I, February 19869. P. Bacon Special articles appea ring in the M TO "Assessment of ProposMs for Changes in the Comnlon Agricultural Policy". "Foreign Owned Industr), in hdand: Perlbrmance and Prospects". Year of publication 1969 1970 IV I. Dental Servicea in hdaud. 2. We Call Slop Rising Prices. 3. Pbarmaceulical Services in Ireland. 5. 6. 7. 1973. 8. 1974 9. 10. Eoin O’M’,dley BROADSHEET SERIES 4. OpMtudmic Services in Ireland. 1971 R. O’Connor Irish Pensions S&emes, 1969. 1972 The Social Science Percentage Nuisance. Poveay in Irelaud: Re;;earcb Priorities. Imb Entrepreneurs Speak of Themselves. Marital Desertion in Dublin: An Explanatory Stud9". Equalization of Opportunity in Ireland: Statistical Aspects. 1975 II. Public Social Expenditure in Ireland. 12. Problents in Economic Planning attd Polio)" b’onnalion in Ireland, 1958-1974. 13. Cri3is in Ihe Callle Induslry. 2"t P. R. Kaim-Caudlc M. P. Fogart), P. R. Kaim-Caudle assisted by A. O’Toole and K. O’Donoghue P. R. Kaim-Caudle assisted by K. O’Donoghuc and A. O’Toolc P. R. Kaim-Caudlc and J. G. Byrne assisted by A. O’Toolc R. C. Gear)’ B. M. Walsh M. P. Fogarty K. O’Higgins R. C. ,Gcary and F. S. O Muircheartaigh F. Kcmledy o. Norton R. O’Connor and P. Keogh 1977 1978 14. A study oJ S~h~,n~d’o~t~ neli4of R. C. Gear)’ and U,,e,,ploy,~nt i 15. 16. with Append& Dublin Simon Community, 1971-1976: An Explomlion. Aspects of the Szoedish Economy and their Belevance to Ireland. 1979 17. The Irish Housing System: A Critical Overview. 1980 18. The Irish Binerants: Some Demographic. Educational Aspects. 19. A Stud)’ of htdustritd Workers’ Co-operatives. 1983 20. Drinking in lreland: A Review of Trends in Alcohol Consumption, Alcohol Belated Problems and Policies Towards Alochol. 21. A Review of the Common Agricultural PollO, and the hnplications of Modified Systems for Ireland. 22. 1984 Economic and PoliO, Aspects of Land-Use Planning in Ireland. 23. Issues in Adoption in Ireland. M. Dempsey E. Costa 1. Harl R, O*CollIIOl’, E. O’Malley and A. Foley T.J. Baker and L. H. O’Brien M. Dempsey and R. C. Gca*T R. O’Connor and P. Kelly B. M. Walsh R. O’Collllol’~ C. Guiomard and J. Devercux F.J. Convery and A. A. Schmid H. j. Abramson V POLICY RESEARCH SERIES :"earof publication 1979 1. Regional PollO, and the Full-Employment Target. 1980 2. Energr Demand in Irelaml, Projections arm PoliO, Issues. 3. Some Issues in the Methodology of Attitude Researcl~ lVl. Ross and B. M. Walsh S. Scott E. E. Davis, R. Sinno/t, T.J. Baker, D. F. Hallllall, 1982 4. Land Drainage Pollo, hi Ireland. 1983 1986 5. Recent Trends in Youth Unenlployment. 6. The Economic Consequences of European Union: A Symposium on Some PollO’ Aspects. 7. The National Debt and Economic Policy in the Medium Tenn. V1 D. B. Roltman and B. M. Walsh R. Brulon lind F.J. ConvcD, J.J. Sexton D. Scolt,J. Blaldle),, J. FitzGerald, M. Ross J. D. FitzGerald COMMISSIONED PROJECTS COMPLETED IN 1986 I. 7"he Demand for Cold Storage Space in Ireland: The Short & Medium Term Prospects. Rt:port to Aulozcro Ltd. 2. Public Expenditure on Irish Sea Fisheries: A Comparison with Agdcldlure. Rcporl submiucd to Bord lascaigh Mhara. 3. Data Collection and Manpower Programmes. Report submitled to Department of Liibour. 4. School Leavers 1980-1985. Summary Report submitted to the Department of Labour. 5. Allocating Designalion Status on the Basis of the NESC Criteria. Report submitted to Minister for IndusuT, Trade, Commerce and Tourism. 6. Schooling and the Labour Market: Report on Socio-economic a~ul D. Institutional Implications of the Pilot Intervention Project Dublin, Shannon and Galway 1983-86. to Report subnlittt:d Department o1 F.ducation. 25 P. Bacon and T.Q.uilm P. Bacon R. Brecn R. Brcen D. Con Ififfe Hammn 7. Developments of l-O Techniques of Relevance to Growth Models a,ul E.W. Henry Marginal Models. Report submitted to the IDA. 8. Employment/Investment Multipliers for Manufacturing Sub-Sectors of E. W. HcntT SKC/IDA Added Value Study. Report submlttcd to Stokes Kennedy Crowlcy. 9. The Organisation of Maline Research in Ireland. Report subnlitted to R. O’Connor Nationld Board fox. Science & Technology. R. O’Comlor 10. Aquaculture. Report submitted tojoint Oircacht;~ Committee oll Secondary Legislation of the EEC. R. O’Connor I I.BesearchandTechnologicalDevelopmentsintheLessFavouredRegionsof the EEC. Report submitted to EEC/NBST. 12. BedistributionthroughStateSocialExpenditureandTaxationin Ireland. D.B. Rottman and Report submitted to NationM Economic and SociM M. Rcidy Council. 13. EvaluationMeasurestoAssistLong-TermUnemployedinSelectedOECD J.j. Sexton Countries. Report submitted to OECD. 14. Attitudes towards Industrial Support. Report subtnittcd to the B.J. Whclan Departmcm o1 IndusnT, Trade, Commerce and Tourism. 15. Evaluation Report on Shared-Learning Project. Report submitted to C.T. Whdan IPC/NILRA. 16. Employers" Perceptions of the Effect of I~abour Legislation. Repot1 J. A. Williams and submitted to the Department of Labour. B.J. Whclan The Institutc’s Stua,cy Unit developed samples, carried out ficklwork and analysed the results of the following surveys: I. M~nth~yC~nsumerSurveys:C~mmissi~n~ftheEur~peanEc~n~micC~mmuni~y(inass~ciati~nwithAn Foras Tahbttais). 2. M~nth~y SurUey ~f ~rish Business: C~mmissi~n ~f the Eur~pean Ec~n~mic C~mmunity (in ass~ciati~n with the Confederation of Irish Industry). 3. National Manpower SurvO’ of School Leaoers: Deportment of Labour. 4. Bi-annual Surv~’ ~f ~nvestment by1Hsh Business: C~mmissi~n ~f the Eur~pean Ec~n~mic C~mmuni~y. 5. Suruey of Purchasing Power Parity: Commission of the European Economic Community. 6. Sttmey of Anglers: Central Fisheries Board. 7. Sur~ey ~f Atti~udes ~wards lndustrial Supp~rt: Department ~f htd~str); Trade~ C~mmerce and T~urism" 8. Su~ey of Parents’ Preferences in Relation to Sex Education: 7"he Health Education Bureau. 9. Survey of the Rdle of lVomen in Ireland: Dr. M. Fine-Davis, Trinity College, Dublin. I0. Survey~f~festyles~P~vertyandthe.Usage~fStateSe~vices:C~mmissi~n~ftheEur~peanC~mmu~ities/ Department of Social We~lre. I I.Survey of Cross-Border Shopping Patterrls: Commission of the European Communities. Tim Survey Unit "also carried out sanlplc selection and/or data processing for tile McdicoSoci’,d Research Board, tile Kilkenny He~dlh Project, C6ras Tr~icht&la, lilt Fcdcratcd Union of Employers, the Construction Industry Federation, TAM AtP,~’ood Market Rcsca]ch Ltd., tile Youth Employment Agency, AnCO, Inbucon (U K} Ltd., Bord Tdccom and Comtcc (Sligo) Ltd. Yearof publication VII MISCELLANEOUS PAPERS 1969 Abstract of Published Papers, 1961-1969. 1973 1976 Abstract of Published Papers, 1969-1973. Abstract of Published Papers, 1973-1976. The ESRI Research Plan, 1976-80 and Background Analysis. Register of Current Social Science Research in Ireland, 1978. Abstract ofl~tblished Papers, 1977-1979. Register of Current Social Science Research in Irelaml, 1980. The ESRI Research Plan, 1981-85 and Backuound Analysis. 1979 1980 1981 P. R. Kaim+Caudlc and N. Johnson M. Dcmpsey M. Dcmpscy K. A. Kennedy Maria C. Whclan M. Dcmpsey F. O’Sullivan K. A. KcTmcdy 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 Register of Current Sodal Science Research in Ireland, 1981. Register of Cunent Social Science Research in Ireland, 1982. Register of Current Social Science Research in Ireland from 1983. Register of Current Social Science Research in Ireland from 1984. Register of Current Social Science Research in Ireland from 1985. The ESRI Research Plan. 1986-1990 and Backglvund Analysis. VIII F. F. F. F. F. K. O’Sulliv:m O’Sullivan O’Sullivan O’Sullivan O’Sullivan A. KcHnedy REPRINT SERIES I. ColllltlCllt~lI’y un Europe’s k)tture in Ftgntres (North-Holland Publishing Co., Anlstcrdam, 1962). 2. Forms of Engcl Functions (Econometrica, Vol. 3 I, No. ,t, October, 1963). 3. The Cost Structure of British Malmllicturing, i948-61 (771e Economic Journal, Vol. LXXIII, No. 292, December, 1963). 4. The Life of Capital Assets: An EmpiricM Approach (O.~ford R. C. Gc;uT C. E. V. Lescr E. T. Ncvin E. T. Ncvin rco~omic Papers). 5. Estimation of Quasi-Linear Trend and Seasonal Variation (Joltrnal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 58, No. 304, December, 1963). 6. Tile Pattern of Personal Expenditure in [relaHd (Jounml of the Statistical and Social Inquiry Sociel), of lrdand, Vol. XXI, Pilrt [I, 1963/64). 7. Some Remarks about Relations between Stochastic Varlablcs: A Discussion Ducunlcnt (Review of the International Statistical Institule, Vol. 31, No. 2, 1963). 8. Towal’dsanhq)ut-Outl)utDecisionModelforlrckmd(Joumalof the Statistical and Social hlquiry Society of hdaml, Vol. ?GX l, Part I l, 1963164). 9. Do-It-Yourself Economlcs of the Fh’m: First Draft ofa Statlstic’,d Scheme (OECD Productivity Measurement Review, Febi’uary, 1965}. 10. Recent Demographic Dcveloptnt:nts iH Ireland (Journal of the Statistical and Social Inquiry Society of Ireland, Vol. ,"GX 1, Part I I I, 1964165). I I.The Average Critical Vahlc Method for Adjudging Relative Efficiency of Statistical Tcsls in Time Series Regression Amdysis (Biometrika, Vol. 53, Nos. I and 2,june, 1966). 12. A Noteon Residual Heterovariance and I:.stlmation Eltlcien~, in Regression El’he American Statistician, Vol. 20, No. 4, October, 1966). 13. Direct Estimation of Seasonal Variation (Review of the International Statistical Institute, Vol. 23, No. 3, 1966}. 14. Ex-Posl Determination of Signilqcancc in Multivariate Regression when the hldcpendcnt Variables are Orthogon~d (Jounud of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, Vol. 29, No. 1, 1967). 15. Some Aspects of Econonllc Dcvdopmcm in Ireland, 1958-65 (Economic RecoM, Vol. ,13, No. 103, September, 1967). 16. The Role of Macro-economic Models in Short-Term Forecasting (Econometrica, Vol. 3,1, No. ,I, October, 1966). 17. ADublinSchoolsSmokingSul~’ey(IrishJounmlofMedicalScience, 7th Series, Vol. 1, No. 3, March, 1968). 18. Significance Tests Statistician, Vol. 19. Two-Stage Planning Regional Science, J. (The American in Multiple Regression 22, No. I, FebrumT, 1968). in the h’ish CoHte×t (London Papers in Scotl. cd.). 27 C. E. V. Leser C. E. V. Leser R. C. GoatT R. C. GcaD’ R. C. Gear3’ C. E. V. Loser R. C. Gc;uT R. C. GemT C. E. V. Loser R. C. GemT G. G. Firth C. E. V. Lcscr Aengus O’Rourke, Noelie O’Sullivan and K. Wilson R. C. Geac,’ and C. E. V. Loser M. Ross 20. Hospital Beds in Ireland (Jounzalofthe Irish MedicalAssociation, P. R. Kaim-Caudle Vol. 62, No. 383, May, 1969). 21. EvaluationsofOccupationsbylrish RuralAdtJlesccntsondlc Damlan F. Hammn and Basis of Prestige and Dilficulty of Achicven~ent (Rural SocioJ. Allzm Becglc loD,, Vol. 34, No. 3, September, 1969). 22. Comparative Efficiency of Ma.xinmm Likelihood and ex ante R. C. Gear)’ Reduced Form for Forecasting. Study of a Simple Model (European Economic Review, Fall, 1969). 23. Relative Efficiency of Coum of Sign Changes for Asscsslng R. C. Gcary Residual Auto-Regression in Least Squares Regression (Biometrika, Vol. 57, No. I, March, 1970). 24. iVlarriage Ratesand Population Pressure: Ireland 1871 and 191 I B.M. Walsh (’lTle Economic Hislory Review, 2rid Series, Vol. XXIII, No. April, 1970). 25. A SIudy of hish Coullt3, Marriage Rates, 1961-66 (Population B. M. Walsh Studies, Vol. XXIV, No. 2,July, 1970). 26. The DetcrlninmHs of Personal Savings in h’eland: An K. A. Kennedy and Econometric InquilT (The Economie and Social Review, Vol. 2, B. R. Dowling No. I,July, 1970). 27. FringeBencfitsinlrishManufacturinghMustrics(/qanagement, NualaJohnson Vol. XVIII, No. 4, April, 1971). 28. Managerial Decisions and Production FuncllOn Analysis: A M. Ross Case Study (Irish Jounlal of Agricultural Economics and Rural Sociology, Vol. 3, No. 2, 1971). 29. TrendsinAgeAt1’,¢arriageinPost-Warlrcland(Demography, Vol. B. M. W~dsh 9, No. 2, May, 1972). 30. A Noteon Biascd and lnconsisteut Eslimation European Economic R. C. Gear)’ Review, VoL 3, December, 1972}. 31. V’alidity of lndiccs of Alcoholism (BritishJounlal of Preventive and B. M. Walsh and Social Medieine Vol. 27, No. I, FebruaJy, 1973). D. Walsh 32. Marital Status and Birth Order in a Sample of Dublin Males B. M. Walsh (.Journal of Biosocial Science, Vol. 5, No. 2, April, 1973). 33. Reflections on National Accounting (Review of hlcome and Wealth, R. C. Gear), Series 19, No. 3, September, 1973). 34. The Role of Social Science in Relation to Public Policy (ProK. A. Kennedy ceedings of the Royal Irish Academy, Vol. 73, Section C, 1973). 35. The Dcmmad for Beer and Spirits iu h’eland (Proceedings of the K. A. Kennedy, Royal Irish Academy, Vol. 73, Section C, 1973}. B. M. Walsh and L. P. Ebrill 36. Capit~d Inflow and Direct Foreign hwcstmenl in Ireland 1952 to D. M cAlecse 1970 (.]ountal of the Statistical and Social InquiO, Society of Ireland, Vol. XX[I, Part IV, 1971/72). 37. ThelrishEconomy:TheChallcngersaiMOptions(Management, K. A. Kennedy Vol. 21,No. 5, May, 1974). 38. An Analysis of Reccnl Policies for Beef and Milk(Journalofthe R. O’Connor Statistical and Social Inquiry Society oflrehtnd, Vol. XXI I I, Part I 1, 1969/70). 39. Expectations, hfformation and Human Migration: Specifying B. b.l. Walsh an Econometric Model of h’ish Migration Io Britain (Joumalof RegionalScience, Vol. 14, NO. 1, 1974). 40. Population Policy in Developed Countries: Chapter 2: Ireland B. M. Walsh (Population PoliO, in Developed Countries, edited by Bernard Bcrclson, McGraw-H ill Inc., 1974). 41. Population and Development: Ireland since Independence K. A. Kennedy (Annual Report 1975 of the Central Bal~ of lrelaml). 42. hnl)ressious of a Visit to Denmark (Central Bank of Ireland K. A. Kennedy Q21arterly Bulletin, Autumll, 1975). 28 43. The Consumer Price Index and Different Household ExpcndittH’c Patterns ((~mrterly Economic Commentary, October, 1975). 44. Orientations to work: Some thcorctlcal and mcthodologicM problems(BritishJournaloflndustrial Relations, Vol. X IV, No. 2). 45. Migl=ltion Flows Between Ireland, dlc Unilcd Kingdom, and the Resl of die World, 1966-71 (European Demographic Information Bulletin, Vol. 7, No. ,t, 1976). 46. Economics and the EnvironlnelU (Proceedings of Royal Irish Academy, Vol. 77, Section C, No. 4, 1977). ,t7. Impressions of Israel {Administration, Vo. 2,t, No. 4 , WilUel’, 1976). 48. Increasing Employlncrlt in Ireland (JournaloflheStatisticaland Social htquiO’ Society of lreland, Vol. XXIII, Pact III, 1975176). 49. Money and hlflation in helm~d, 1960- 1975 with some general observations on relationships between time series (Central Bank of Ireland Quarterly Bulletin, AutunnL 1977). 50. The Continuing Social Survey: A Nationwide Study of Subjective Soci’,d [l*dicators and Relined Public Attitudes (Administration, Vol. 25, No. 4, Winter, 1977). 51. Public Works in USA: A Model for [rdand (Administration, Vol. 26, No. I, Spring, 1978). 52. Natiolval and Regional Demographic Trends (Administration, Vol. 26, No. 2, Summer, 1978). 53. ThePrcparationofStatisticsofSicknessor Disability in Ireland (Administration, Vol. 27, No. 2, Sulnlncr, 1979). 54. pr’.tisonSu-ikes(TheJournaloftheRoyalStatisticalSociet);VoL 143, Part I, 1980). 55. Education and Agricuhure: A StatisticM Approach (Administration, Vol. 28, No. I, 1980). 56. Eml)loymentandUncml~loymentProspt:ctsilllrehmd(Thelrish Banking Review, September, 1980}. 57. Education and Socio-Economic Class: A Stalistlcal Analysis of I fish Census Data (fhe IrishJournal of Education, Vol. 13, No. I, 1979}. 58. hnpact of EEC Membership on Ecollomic Dcveloplncnt in the West of hcland (The Ammal Report, Central Development Committee, Department of Fila:mce, 1980}. 59. The Regional Dimension (bull Employment and Regional Devdopmerit -- Issues and Policies, Diarmuid O Ccarbhaill, (Ed.), 1981 }. 60. PredictorsofSatisthctionwitlaHottsilagalldNcighbourhood:A Nationwide Study in the Republic of h’cland (Social htdicators Research. 9, 1981). 61. Sealood Production, Markets and Policies, (hlstitute for the Coel’atlve Study of I nternational Scalbod Markets, Department of Agricultur~d and Resource Ecoltotnics, Oregon State University, USA -- Working Paper, No. 1, 1982). 62. Rcgion:d [nduslrial Policies in the Republic of h’cland: A Review of Econolnic Studies (Studies in Social Polio’, No. 85}. 63. Testing dac Asstmlptions of Scemingly Unrelated Regressions (7"he Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. LXIV, No. I, FcbruatT, 1982). 6,1. A Note on Seemingly Unrdated Regressions (Econometrica, Vol. 50, No. l,JanualT, 1982}. 65. Dcn*ographic Detcrl*finants of Perceived Well-Being in Eight European Countries (Social Indicatw~ Reseamh, 10, 1982, pp. 341-358). , 29 K. A. Kelmcdy and R. Brtlttn~ C. T. Whclan J. G. Hughes and B. M. Walsh R. O’Connor K. A. Kcmmdy K. A. Kclmcdy R. C. GeaD’ M. Fine-Davis and E. E. Davis R. C. Gem3’ B. M. WMsh R. C. GCalX, and M. Dcmpsey R. C. Gcary R. C. GealT and M. Dcmpscy K. A. Kennedy R. C. Gcary and E. W. Hcnly M. Ross M. Ross E. E. Davis and M. Fine-Davis R. O’Cotmor and j. Devcrcux M. Ross D. Co,miffc D. Co,miffc E. E. Davis, M. Fine- Davis, G. Meehall 66. ireland: Industrial Co-opcratlves, 7"lu~ Performance of LabourManaged Firms (Ed. F. H. Slcph¢ll, Lolldoll: TIt,,: Macmillan Press, 1982). 67. Worker Co-operatives, Why So Fcw? A Crltiquc of O’Mahony’s Entrcprcneuri~ Hypothesis (.]ountal of Irish Business aml Administrative Research, 4, (2}, pp. 27-4,1, October, 1982). 68. The Changing Social Slructurc of Ircla+ld (Admh+istration, Vol. 30, Nos. 2 & 3, 1982). 69. Small-Sample Properties of Estimators of Regression Coel’flcicnts Given a Commol~ Pattern of Missing Data (Rcuielv of Economic Studies, 1983, L.). 70. Convariancc Analysis and Seemingly Unrelated Regressions (The Americatt Statistician. August, 1982, Vol. 36, No. 3. Pan 11. 71. Eiucrprisc and Entrcprencurs. (I.efl Perspeaives, 9-(3): 5-8,10-12, Wil.cr, 1982-3). 72. Predictors of Satisfaction with Enviromncntal Quality ill Eight Europcall Coutltl’ics. {Social hulicators Research, II, 1872, 34 1-362). 73. The Fiscal Framework. (Irehlnd in the Vear 2000: "lbwards a National Stmle~ -- Issues and Perspeaives. Proceedings of a Colloquy, gilkca Castle, An Foras Forbartha, Dublin, 1983). 74. Economic ThcotT of the Worker Co-operative: An Exposilion, (Economic and htduslrial Democracy SAGE, Lolltlon, Beverly Hills and New Dclhl), \1ol. 4, 1983, 225-24 I). 75, The EEC Common Fisheries Policy: Irish Perspective, (Almka Sea Grant Report No. 83-2, January 1983. Publlshcd by University of Alaska). 76. Hypothescs Conccrning thc Non-Viability of Labour Dircctcd Firms in Caplt’,dist Economics. (EconomicAnalysisand Workers’ ManagemenL 2, XVI I, 1983, pp. 123- 153}. 77. Path Atralysis: An Exanq)lc. {]ounml of Agricullural Economics, Vol. ,~L"C’<IV, No. 3, September, 1983). 78. The ESRI Employment Strategy, (lrehlnd in the )’ear 2000, Proceedings of a Colloquy, Kilkea Castle, An Foras Forbanha. Dublin, 1984). 79. Social PsychologlcM Research and hucr-Group Relations: Myth, Fact atld New Approaches, (Procccdhags of a Conli:rtncc oil Promoting Amongsl the Young a Greater Respect for Religious and Cultural Dioersily, Dublin, November, 1984, Appendix B, Anglo-lrlsh Ellcotlnlel’: Dublin and London, January, 1985). 80. Estinlating Regression Equations with Common Exploratoly Variables but Unequal Numbers of Obscl~’ations, (Journal of Ecoromarics, 27, 1985, pp. 179-196). 81. The Crlmimd Justice System: An Overview, (Pan 2, Section 2 in Report of the Committee of Inquiry into tile Penal System, Dublin: StationcD, Ofllcc). 82. Agricultural Output ill the Irish Fret: State Area Before aml After Independence, (h~sh Economic and Social History, Vol. XII, 1985, pp. 89-97}. 83. VolumaD’ Orgzmisations in Changing Times -- Plmming and Research, (Voluntat), Organisations in Changing Times, Proceedings of Annual Conli:rcllcc 1985 of Utlion of Volulltary Organisations for the Handicapl)cd). 8,1. Workers’ Co-operatives -- Their EmpIoymc.t Potentkd, (Annals of Public and Co-operative Economy, Vol. 56, No. 4, Oclobco’Dccclnbcr, 1985). 3O C.M. Fat.ring C. M. Fainting D. ~. Rolllllilll alld PhilipJ. O’Connell Denis Conniffc D. Conniffe C. Fannil~g M. Fine-Davis and E. E. Davis K. A. Kennedy C. Fan/ling allcl D. O’Mahony (UCC) C. Fanning (ESRI & UCC) and T. McCarthy (Queen’s Univ., Omario) R, Brccn K. A. Kennedy E. E. Davis D. Rotlnlall and P. Tortuey R. O’Connor and C. Guiomard R. O’Colmor IX GEARY LECTURE SERIES R. G. D. Allen F. G. Foster Rhona and Robert RapoporI H. A. Tl.ll’llur 4. The Psychosonomics of Rising Pn’ces, ( 1971 ). 5. Art Interdisciplinary Approach to the Measurement of Utility or l.Ve~tre, j. Tinbergen I. A Simple Approach to Macro-economic Dynamics, ( 1967). 2. Computers, Statistics and Planning -- Systems or Chaos?, (1968). 3. The Dual Career Family, (1970). 097_9). M. G. Kcmlall 6. Econometric Forecastingfrom I.agged Relationships, (1973}. Alvin W. Gouldncr 7. Towards a NewObjectivity, (1974). Robert K. Morton 8~ Structural Analysis in Sociology, (I 975). 9. Btitish Economic Growth1951-1973: Success or Failure?, (1976). R. C. O. Matthews 10. Official Statisticians aml Econometricians in the Present Day Worhl, E. Mallnvaud (1977). I 1. Gunnar Myrdal Political and Institutional Economics, (1978}. 12. The Dilemmas of a Socialist Economy: The Itungarian E.x]Oerience, Jfinos Kornai (1979). Robert M. Solow 13. The Story of a Social Experiment and Some Reflections, (1980}. Peter L. Berger 14. Modernisation and Religion, ( 1981 }. mlll~lltya ~ell 15. Pool; Relatively Speaking, (1982). 16. Towards More Rational Decisions on Criminals, (1983). Daniel Glascr 17. Economic Analysis of the Family, (I 985). Gala’ S. Bcckcr X MEMORANDUM SERIES: ADDITIONS DURING THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 1986 (A complete list can be had on application to the Institute). 173. UsingTROLLVcrsion 12ontheCCSComputcrwithAcccssto J. Costigaz~ and the CSO Databank. j. FitzGel~dd D. Conniffc 174. "Likelihood and Estimation". XI TECHNICAL SERIES I. Database Access Using TROLL on die CCS Comlmtcr. J. Cosligam J. FitzGerald, A. McQu:dd, A. Redlnond 2. CurITing Out Perturbation An~d),sis on an Economic Model J. FitzGerald Using the TROLL Computer Package. XI[ STAFF PAPERS IN THE ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL REI/IEW DURING THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 1986 I. "VerdoomCs Law: A Retrospective View", Vol. 17, No. 2, J. Bradley and J anuaP:,. C. Prcndcrgast 2. "Emplo)’ers’Soci;d InsLlr~tllCe Colm’ibutions and Employnlem: G. Hug]les Reply", Vol. 18, No. 1, October. 31 XIII OTHER STAFF PAPERS IN JOURNALS AND BOOKS DURING THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 1986 (for ear|let years see previous Annual Reports). 1. "Unemploylnenl and Fiscal Aclivism in a Small Open J. Bradley Economy", Recherches Ecouomiques de Louvaiu, Vol. 52, No. 3-4, December. 2. "Does Experieuce of Work Hclp School Leavers to gct Jobs?", R. Breen SocioloD’, Vol. 20, No. 2, May. 3. "El Estudio de la Adaptation de los hmnip’antcs ".d b,’ledioS. Grimes Urbana: El An’,dlsls tic Redes Sot1 des , Anales de Geografiodela Universidad Complutense, Madrid, Vol. 5, (widl Andros Precedo ~:do). 4. "h~putIOU~pU~ AuMysls, with lllus~ratt:d Uses il~ Irish 1982E. W. Hel~ry Agricuhu re and Food I nd ustrics", Agricultural Economic Society of lrdalM Proceedings 1983-84, Agricuhural Institute, Dublin, March. ,5."Youdl Unemployment in Europe", Social Studies, Vol. 9, Nos.K. A. Kennedy 1/2, Spring/Summer. 6. "Falnily Phmnlng Scr,’ices in Ireland with Particular Reference K. O’Higgins to Minors" in Hyman Rodman and Jan Trost (cds.), 7"he Adolescent Dilemma, New York: Pracgcr. 7. "Divorccand Relllarriageill Ireland",Adminislration, May/June. K. O’Higgins 8. "An Alternative Approach to Economic Strategy for theE. O’Malley Republic of Ireland". Report of the First Joint North/South Conference on Poverty, Action on Poverty,. 9. "Free Trade Zones in Ireland and Four Asian Countries", E. O*M’,dley ?Y6caire Development Rtwiew. 10. "Rcflcctiotls on Ireland’s Ecououtic Identity", Studies, Winter. E. O’M~dley I I. "Des Institutious Types lnais uric Dynamlque EconomiqueM. Ross Originalc: I’lrlande" in Robert Boyer (ed.), La Flexibilite du Travail en Europe, Paris: Edilions La Decouvcrte. 19.. "Rcspcclablc Crime: Occupational and Professional Grime in D. Rottnlall and P. Tonney the Republic of Irehmd", Studies, Vol. 75, Spring. 13. "Formation, Education Permancnle et Chomage de LongueJ.J. Sexton Duruc", Actualite de let Formation Petvnanente, No. 85, NovcmbcffDcccmber. XIV PAPERS READ TO LEARNED SOCIETIES AND CONFERENCES DURING THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 1986 (for earlier years see previous Annual Reports). I. "The h’ish Economy: The Medium-Term Outlook" to Dublin P. Bacon Chalnber ofComlncrce BriefingSyml~osiu m for Bushless on 7he Oil b~ctor: Its Effects on Business Prospects, Dublin, March 25. 2. "Industrial Output and Factor Input Determination in an j. Bradleyand Econometric Model of a Small Open Economy" read atj. FitzGerald International Collfcrencc on Economic Modellblg in the OECD Economies. London Business School, March 24-27. 3. "Unctuploymcnt and Fiscal Activism ilt a Smrdl Open J. Bradley Ecollolny’, Collfcrcncc on Unemployment in Europe, Maa.stricht, The Netherlands, April 17-19, 4. "Econonfic Planning: Lessons from the Past" read to Dublin J. Bradley Ecollomics Workshop Tenth Atmu’al Policy Confcrcuce, Kcmnarc, October I 0-12. 32 5. "lrlsh Economic Planning: 1958-1986" read to Studelu Economics Society, Trinity College, Dublin, November 17. 6. "Organising the Unemployed" read at Federated Workers’ Union of" Ireland/Galway Association for die Unemployed Seminar oil A Union for the Unemployed, G’,dway, Februar3’ 8. 7. "Farm Servitude in Ireland, 1900-1940" read to Irish Labour HistoD’ Society Conference, Dublin , May 17. 8. "Equally in Education" delivered to Annual Congress of the h’ish Vocational Education Association, Wcxford,/Vlay 21. 9. "The Costs of Irish Unelnploymen(’ read to Dublin Instltuteof Technology Conference on Unemployment -- The Challenge to Society, Dublin College of Catering, July 3-4. 10. "The Anglo-Irish AgTcelnent: Prospects in Light of Public Attitudes ill Ihe Republic, Northern h’eland and Mainland Britain" read to Ninth Annual Scientific Meeting of tile ]nternation’,d Society of Political Psychology, Amsterdam, June 29-July 3. I I."The Economic Implication for Ireland of European Union" read at Conference on European Union: IVhere does Ireland Stand?, Universily College, Gabvay, Fcbi’uar3’ 4. 12. "The Drogheda Merchant Colnmunity 1780-1820- delivered to tile Old Drogheda Society, Drogheda, Mal’eb 5. 13. "The National Debt -- Fmure Prospects and Policies" read tu Dublin Economics Workshop Tenth Annual Policy Conference, Kenmare, October I 0-12. 14. "The National Debt" delivered at Scmlnar for Bachelor of Public Adminlsu,ntion students, Institute of Public Adlninistratlon, DcCelllber 13. 15. "The Connaeht-Doneg’,d Region" read at Enterprise Connacht/Doriegal Conference oll Regional Development, Ballyhaunis, May 27. 16. "Rural Change in the North-West during tile 1970s" read at Colffcrence of Irish Geographers, University College, Cork, May. 17. "Some Key Changes in Irish Social Structure within which Religious Values have to be lnlplcnlented" read to National Conference of Priests of Ireland, Dublin, September 16. 18. "Discussant’s Response" to paper by Dr. Lialn O’Dowd on "Sociological Research in Ireland: An Overview and Proposed Su-ate~"’ read at Royal Irish Academy Nationnl Colnmittce for Economics and Social Sciences Conference OH The Slate of Social Science Research bl helaml, Dublin, October 23. 19. "Muhiseetor Modelling of the h’ish Ecolmmy" read at Eighth lnterl~ation~d Conference oil Input-Oulpltl Techniques, Sapporo, Japan, J uly 28-August 2. 20. "Cltristianity, Economics and the Econonly" lecture to UCD Newman Group, April 24. 21. "Industrial Policy and the Public Sector" read to Dublin hlstitute ofTechnology Confi;renec on Unemployment -- 771e Challenge to Sociely, Dublin College of Catering, July 3-4. 22. "Tile Economic Recover3’- Fact or Fiction?" read to Luncheon Meeting of menlbers of German-h’ish Chalnber of IndustlT and Commerce, Dublin, September 17. 23. "Tim Future for h~dusuT in Ireland" al prcsemation of ESRI Medal to the wilmer of Second Year Market SIl’UCttH’es Project, UCD Economics Society, November 13. 33 j. Bradley R, Breen R, B reell R. Breen R. Brecn E. E. Davis j. FitzGerald J. FitzGerald J. FitzGerald j. FitzGerald S. Grimes 5. Grimes D. Hannah D. Hannah E. W. Henr3’ K. A. Kennedy K. A. Kennedy K. A. Kennedy K. A. Kennedy "24. "The Currcm aztd Prospecfivu Economic SiTtlallOl]" d~llvercd to dinner gathcrillg of participant.s at N,~w Ireland A.ssurancc Company Annual Invcsunent S~lninar, Dublin, November 21. 25. "The Future of the Common Agricuhu r’.d Policy" read at CibaGcig7 Conference, Dublin, January 22. 26. "The hnplicatlons tot h’ish Fisheries of the Latest EEC Enlargement" read to Interllational Seafood Conference, Rilnouskl, Quebec, Canada, Au~ust 14. 27. "Church mid S/ate Reactiolas to Breakdown of Marriage in Ireland" read to cleric~al studelllS at Avila, More|lampton Road, May 9. 28. "Divorce and Remarriage" read to Co-operators’ Meeting, SalesiaJl College, B’.dlillakill, Co. Laois, April 12. 29. "An Ahernativc Approach to Economic Strategy [br the Republic of Ireland" read to Action on Povcrly Conference on Pooert), -- An Irish Perspective 1986, All Hallows College, Dublin, April 19. 30. "Irish Economic Dcvclopnlent", Semi~mr in Understanding Development Programme, Kimmage Manor, Dublin, April 21. 3 I. "Emp|oymcntTrends in Manufacturing Industry" read to Irish Congress of Tnldc OlliOns COllft2rellee on EmploymetR Perspectives -- the Medium-Term Outlook. Dun Laoghalre, May 20. 39. "The MeditHii-Terul Economic Oudook" paper read to scnfinar ~u "The Economic Oudook", institute of Public Admillist ration,July 10. 33. "lrekuld’s ExperleltCe of Export-oriented hldustrialisation" delivered to Asia Partncl’ship for Huiilall Development Conference on Free Trade Zones -- Economic and Human Censeguences, Malfila, Philippines, St:ptcmber 26-October I. 3,1. "RcgionM Polk)’ ir~ the European Context" delivered to MBA student-s, Uiliversity Collcgc, Cork, janualT ’;’9. 55. "The Role of’Local Authorities in Loc’,d Development" read at Conference on Joint Action for Jobs, Russell Peace Foundation. Lond.o~, Ft:brua~3’ ’26. 36. "NcwSuatcgies for RurM Areas" read at h’ish Young Federalists Symposium on die Common Agricultural Policy, Dublin, K. A. Kcmtedy R. O’Connor R. O’Connor K. O’Higgins K. O’Higgins E. O’Malley E. O’M;dlcy E. O’Mallcy E. O’Malley E. O’M’,dley M. Ross M. Ross M. Ross No’¢eillber 3. 37. 38. 39. 40. ,t "Society and Crime" paper read at Society and Politics Society, Lltfivcr~ity College, Galway, April 9. "Crime iJl Ihc Republic ofl roland" read (in absenlia) to National Association of Probation OIl~cers/Probation Ofl~cers’ Branch of the Uniun of Pro[cssiolud and Tcchnica] Civil Servants Confi:rencc oil Crime h* Ireland: Cmis or Manageable ProblemsL Stratuuillis Colk:gc, Belfast, September l l. "Tilt Challenge of Lotlg-’rcrm Unemployment" prcscmed at EEC Symposium oil Education, Training and labour Market Polio’, Noordwijkerhout, The Nctherl;mds, April 99. "The Feolaotnics of h’ish SMmon Fishing" paper to lnstituteof Fishct-ies b-’lanagcmcnt Confercllce, University of Ulster. Colerait~e, Scptelnbcr 9-I 1. 1. "Discussant’s Respolase" to paper by Dr. John Blackwell otl "’Soci’M Science Research in Ireland: Econonfics" read at Royal Irish Academy National Colmuittce for Economics and SociM Sciences Conference on Tt~ State of Social Science Research in Ireland, Dublin, October 23. 71,1 D. B. Rouman D. B. Rottttum J. j, Sexton B.J. Whchm B.J. Whelall XV ESRI SEMINARS S EM I NARS were held fortnighdy during each academic term as follows: HilaO, 1986 Young People inTrmlsition: Follow-Up Survcy of1981/82 School D.O’CONNOR, Lcavers C;trried Out izl L.’ue 1984. S. MULLIN (Youth Ellll)lo)’mcllt Agency) Job Creation Policies: Towards a Macroeconondc Cost Bcnefi~ Aw, dysis. j. BRADLEY Trinily 1986 National Accounts Deflation: An Inptzl-Output Repricing Exercise. E. W. HENRY The National Debt and Economic Policy in d~e Medium Term. j FITZGERALD Clcric’.d Employment: HavcJob Openings Declined? D. HANNAN, B. HALPIN Rur:d Resurgence in t]lc Norlh-West Region ill the 1970s. S. GRIMES (University College, Galway) Increasing Rctur~ls and hldustrial Location. Vq. BRIAN ARTHUR (Slanlbrd Univcrsily, California} Michaelmas 1986 Proposed Study of Income Distribution, Poverty and Life Styles in Ireland. T. CALLAN B.J. WH ELAN Rcccllt Devdol)ttlcnts ill [zlput-Oull)ut Tcchtfitluc~. E. HENRY Fish Farming in Ireland. R. O’CONNOR Economic Assessment of a Recreational Resource: An Application of tile Clawsoll Method to tile Clolmlacnoisc Heritage Zone. A. M Aq-FH EI.VS (Trinity College, Dublin) XVI RESEARCH PROJECTS IN PROGRESS AT 31 DECEMBER 1986 (*Indicates new project begun in 1986) Researchers I Projeas Present Stage ECONOMIC FORECASTING AND MODELLING T.J. Baker, Stud)’ of current trends m the S. Scott, Irish ccollOllly, T. Q t,inn j. Bradley, Analysing economic grow01: C. Prcndergasl h’cland 1960-198,t. 35 Next Stage Published ~ts QEC. Research on this topic has bcctt suspctldcd pclldillg cumplcdon of Dcparuucnt of Finance project (bclow). Researchers J. Bradley Projtyct$ Present Stage Next Stage European project for a mtdtiinodcl. Finallsation of H crntes contracI, Phase II. Completion of revisions in light oJ" 1985 national Phase 1987. iladol|ai lllaCrtksitcior’,kl *J. Bradley, Opcration’,dising the ESRI medium-term model for use by J. FitzGcr;dd, A. Storey, Department of Finance for proD. Hurley (DoF),jections and p,olicy analyses. L. O’Sullivan Ih Marcll Testing, mcntalioll use. tropicil~ld aCCOUIILS. (Dot3 ESRI Staff Mcdiunl-tcrm economic review and outlook for Ireland. II ECONOMIC GROW’I’ll E. O’M’,dley Tile Irish engineering industD’ ill als i~lteHlatlollld contt~xt. Continuous. Published as MTO. Second draft corn- Review of second draft: plctcd, January 1987. II1 TIlE INTERNA770NAL ENVIRONMENT The determilmnts of Irish j. FitzGerald imports, Completing second draft, ¯ J. Data collection. FitzGerald,Tile consequences for crossB. Whchm, border trade bttlwccn Sotlthcrll T. Q uinll, and Northern Ireland (tbr J. Williams EEC). Review ol" second draft: January 1987. Report to EEC: March 1987. IV REGIONAL ISSUES No research ixl progress. I: TIlE PUBLIC SECTOR *R. Breen Evaluation of manpower programmes (Department of Repola submitted to Departmctlt of Labour. Labour). T. Callan, E. O’M’,dley, D. Madden C. Hughes Irish govenuncnt cxpc,lditurc in ;ul internatlolud comparativc ContcxI. Fiuanci’,d aspccLs of the Irish civil service superannuation Awaiting InClll~ I’rOlll NESC com- Revision in light of NESC commen~. on first draft. Preparation of second draft. Review of second draft: Spring 1987. schtdlllc, ¯ R. Pyc M. Ross Experlenccs to date of computerisation in civil service. Costs and Wage Rates in Public Empliayment -- Part h Wages, s:darics and pensions in central govcrlHHent a~td in the post olFIcc iH rcccHt decades. lq PRICES AND INCOMES W. M. Batcman Trade union membership in the Republic of Ireland: a theoretical aim empirical analysis. 36 July Review of background literature iu M data collection. lntcrnM rcaditlg of Part I in progress. First draft: 1987. Preparation offirsl d rali. First dl~aft: March 1987. First dra|’c of Part I1: April 1987. Researchers Projects VII DEMOGRAPHY AND LABOUR UndeHying causes of ’non*S. Grimes, D. Hannah urban growth in Irdand in tile 1970s. j.j. Scxto. Analysis of changing slructula: of tile labour [orcc and trends i11 employment and uncmploy- Present Stage Nexl Stage Data collection and analyses. First draft: Spring 1987. Research of thi~ prujcct has been suspended umilJ.J. Sexton rcturlls from ]cave of abseno2. llllJIl[. J.J. Sexton J.J. Sexton, B.J. Whclan. J. Williams *C. T. Whelan Ev’,duationofmcasurcstoassisl Rel.~ort completed; ill submitted to ]ollg-tel’lU unemployed selected OECD cotmtrics. OECD. Transition fi’om school Io work Internal rcadlngof lit’st draft in proand early labour market experiencc. gross. Evaluation of Irish ProductiviW First draft rcpoct Centrc/NI Labour Rdations presented to evalAgency shared learning project. uatlon workshop. VIll SOCIAL POLICY Sut~,’cy of income distrlbution, *T. Czdlan, alld tlsage Of state S. Crcighton, povcrpf D. H~lnnan~ services. 13. ROtt mal’~, B. Whdan E. E. Davis, Continuing social sm’vcy (CSS) M. Fine-Davis a) CSS I (health and housing) (TC D) b) CSS 2 (working lili:) D. Hallllall, M. Boyle K. O’Higgins D. Rottnlall, M. Rcidy C. T. Whelan, B.J. Whelan DilTcrentiation of pupils and curricula in h’ish second-level schools. Profiles of chiklren in cure. Redistribution through state social expenditure and taxatioll ill Rcpublicoflrcland 1973-80. Adjtlsttllellt to rctirelllent ill I rdand. IX VALUES AND ATTITUDES j.W. Grubc, Smoking, drinking and other /Vl. Morgml drug use among Dublin postprimau, pupils. DATA AND METHODOLOGY I~stimatcs o f hot~sehold equiv’,dD. Comfiffc, (3. Kcogh ’,mcc sczdcs II’~am Irish household sulwey data. Data collection and analysis. CoJlsidcration OECD. Revision inl lighl of l’¢zadcl’S’COllllllellk~;, Fin’,d report: FebrualT 1987, Interim report for EEC: May 1987. a} ExtenlM referee’s report under CO I lsidc I’at loll, b) Integration and revision of EEC commis:;ioncd reports. Colupletiltg second draft. Second drail completed. First draft submitted to NESC. Preparation oftirst d rail. Review of second tlralt: Fcbrual), 1987. Review of second drafl: January 1987. Awaiting comments on first draft fi’otu NESC. htlcrna] reading of first h-aft: February 1987. Otto ESRI paper First draft of furpublished, ther paper: May 1987. X 37 by Dam processing First draft: April and statistical 1987. analysis. Appendix D ABSTRACT OF ESRI PAPERS PUBLISHED IN 1986 (The Institute is" not responsible for either the content or the views expressed in published papers). (i) General Research Series Paper No. 127, Micc’,d Ross, Employment in the Public Domain in Recent Decades. The paper reviewed the numbers eluployed in tbe public domain since the foundation of the State in 1922, and focuses on those employed by the central govenmle]lt and loc’,d authorities. Further papers will deal with the tlutnbers employed in public enterprises and the costs and wage rates in tile various sectors. A general classificato]T fi’amework was developed for the various types of public employment and critei’ia were adopted for determining whether a job was public or private. The yardstick for inclusioll was whetber a person derived h’,d ftheir earned income from public sources, rather tlaan the nature of die function or the derivation of authority. The paper brings togct fier, for the first time, inlbrmation from the various departmcnt’.d data sou rces in a time series and su pplelll~Zllts these sources wbel’e records were sparse. Tile data are presented under nine main sectors, namely: The Civil Service; the former Department of Posts and Telegl-aphs; industri’,d Civil Servants; t fieJudiciary and Oireachtas; the Defence Force; the Gardai; Local Authoritles; Health Boards and VoluntalT Hospitals; Education. Two final sections provide a synthesis of the illatel’ial. I t emerges that aggregate employt nent in the pu bfic domain, including State-sponsored bodies, increased by about 40 per cent in the period 1971 to 1983 from 229,248 to 321,752, but has stabiliscd in the 1980s. Estimates were made of recruitmcnt and retirenlent.s for the Civil Service and the Department of Posts and Telegraphs. The number of women expanded as a proportion of total employment up to t he mid-seventies and then stabillsed at about four women for evelT five men in the centr’,d Civil Service. Tile 198 I decision that only one vacancy in cvetT three could be filled, has implications for tile fern’,de share, since a higher proportion of departing sud’f, dlan of their replacements, were women. Tile study concludes with a ]lumber of recommendations deslglaed to improve tile quality and relevance of tile published SOtlrccs of infurnlatioll on employment levels in tile public domain. Paper No. 128, E. W. Henri,, Multisector Modelling of the Irish Economy, with special reference to employment projections. By means of art hlput-Output (I-O) Model, tfie paper exanlined the feasibiliq’and consistency of the assumptions and results of the Government’s Plan "Building on Re’,dity 1985- 1987". It :dso investigated the industrial and enlploynlcnt implications of the Plan. It was found that enq~loyment woukl be about the same as projected in t.he Plan but significant, dlough compensatory, differences wcrc found in regard to industry and services, hi rcgaxd to imports and tile balance of payments, tile estimates of both the 1-O model zmd tile Plan were reasonably close. A turther objective was to show what high employment in a I~ ture year(1992) would im ply by way of exports, imports, GNP, household and Government expenditures, etc. Tile results indicated that in tlae likely event of productivity increases continuing into the 1990s, then Ireland’s only way of expanding or even maintaining employment was a massive increase in exporls, Paper No. 129, Richard Breen, Subject Availability and SttMent Performance in the Senior Cycle of Irish Post-Primary Schools. At present over 65 per cent of entrants to post-primary education remain in school to sit the Leaving Certificate examination. The study examined variations in tile subjects available to 38 students, the choices tl~cy made, and studt:Hc¢ acatlcmic perfornlano: ill the st:tlior L)’¢lc. Science subjects and modern languages wcrc found Io be more popul;." ;unong middle-class pupils. Technical subjects, and among girls, commerce subjects, tend to bc take. by great percentages of workiz+g class i)upils. Some of the diftcrcncc iH take-up ofsuL~iects arises because or pupils’ own choices. The m;~joriry of class ditl(srcncc in take-up of subjects, however, is duc to class specific pattenls of sub.iect avall;d)ility. The distribution of pupils over seco.daIT, x’<)c;ttional, commtmitv arid comprehcHsive sectors is stru.gly relat t:d to gender al~d class origins. As a result the curricula characterlstlt’s of the di[]t:rellt school types, bccotnc, to some eXletlt, the Ctlll’icu]a characteristics or social cl;csses. FUl’lhcl’lllO/’e, withinl a partlcuhll" St~ClOI’, 12.g., the secon¢lau’ sector, social class differences iH subject availability persist indicatii+g that the curricul;t arc related to the socizd class composition of the i)upil body. In regard to academic pcrformacc in the senior cycle, thcstudyconcluded that Ihc m;~jority of the cliffcrcncc in average senior cycle performance between pupils in the different types of school arises because of differences in the i~upils 1711hez" than because of the WI)e or school (secondary, vocational or CoIIIIIltlllily) they ;Itlclld. OllCe allowance is made for differences between pupils in factoI’S such a.s hotnc backgl’Otttld, then {he type ot+school zlttentled ]l;is little intlucncc ozl senior c,,,clc pel’lbl’lllLIll~SC. Amollg boys, Ihcl’e zlI’C lIO sigllifiCallt variations as be{weell performance ill each or the school types. AI.ong girls, x,ocatiozlal schools appear to depress senior cycle pcrlbrluancc vczT slightly, dlough in substazHivc tcrzns the ct]tsct is small Differences between t~.nilies in illCOtne arid in oWnCl’ship Ot’l’eSou rces appt:ar to be orllluch less direct importance in inflUCllCing perform;mOO than does the possession of p;*rllcular COlllpCtCllC:trS, social skills and altitudes. The study suggested thai the impol’tance of subject provision in shaping lake-up 17ttt:s lends weight to the arguzncnt for amalgamation of, or gre;tler co-operation between, local schools in altemptillg to offer a range of sul{jcets Ihat will allow the cxprcssio, of the divcl’Se ;*bililics of pupils. At pz’csezlt, i’cst rioted curricula ill Small schools ;ire duc, not so much Io the exisletlce or isolatcd post-pritn;H3, schools in i+tt l’al areas, as to cutllpet itlOlt anlong ~11:H’ge ttulllbcr of schools within a locality tbr the avallal)le pupils. Extending currict dar provisiotl x’i;t co-operation in such cases may not ofily be beneficial fi’um an edticat io.al pOilll of view but itlay also be zt more costcffisctivc use of limited resources. Paper No. 130, Ga~’ Keogh and B rcndanJ. Whclan, A StatisticalA nal)’sis oflhe Irish ElectoralRegister and its Use for Population Estimation alul Sample Surveys. The prime purpose of the Elector;d Register is io se3a,e ;is a list of persons iH tilt: St;lie who are eligible to vott: ill national and Ioc;d elections. Thlsstudyshuws how it ca. be used IbT’cstimatl]lg poptdatlon and net mlgr;idon :tnd to select sz.nplcs fi~r social studies. The accuracy of the Register was examined slid tllodcls wi21-e developed Ibr CIIII3’ :llld exil pattertls ;Hid fi)r cstimating populatioii and Hligratio.. The study estlmatcd that there may have becll up to 157,000 redundant names o. the Rcglster in z’ccent )’ears. made up of deceased persons, cnfigrants who were still registered ~llld persons who had changed address but who were still regislcrcd ;. daeir old address. Many of Ihc last categotT, about 128.000, were also registered at their new address. A special problem existed in the Dublin Borough Register where there m;Jy have becil up to 45,000 rt:d u rid;tin n;mles ()tit of;* Iolal of about 387,000. i.e., .early 19 per cenl. As well as ihc problem ofredund~mt .ames dleI’c were about 67.000 people elltitled to vole who were HOI registered. An ;malysis of ihe Register indicated Ihat the i);ttt(:rll of migration h~ld shiiied from net inltlligr;ttion ill [lie early ’eighties to ()lie ot’sLi bslzlllllztl Itet emigration in recent years. The report tbund that the Register was i)rob;~bly the best gcllcr:dly ;ivall:lblc list for selecting satnples for social s u z’ve),s and that, izl general, the errors ors the Register did ItOt grc;llly al]~lst the validily of most stlza,t:), rcstllts. However, the stutly did itleztlit)’ cctlalll sub-pol}tzlatlotls r(~t" which the l~cgistcr was less ;lpproj~riale ;is ;t satllplillg IYallle. Aznong these weft" rcceallJy I~rmcd households a~(l those who nsovcd fi’cqucntly. Paper No. 131, David B. Rot tman, A. Dale Tussing and Miriam M. Wiley, The Population Structure and Living Circumstances of Irish Travellers: Results from the 1981 Census of Traveller Families. Tile paper reported the results of the Census of Travdling People carried out in 198 I. The study had three central ailns: (i) to describe tile size and compositiol~ of the population of the Travellers and household structures; (ii) to report Ol~ dm geogz-aphic distributiol~ o fTravdlers by place o fcu rrent and past residence, duration of residence and patterns of migration; (iii) to exanfine the llving conditions experlenced byTravdlers, h~dudlng types ofhoushlg and access to services. The Irish Travellers are a small uniqudy disadwmtaged minority itinerant sub-group living on tile peripheD’ of Irish society. The 1981 Census showed that the total population of Travellers was 2,432 families comprised of 14,821 persons. Of these, I, 132 families with 5,946 members were living along the roadside in caravans, wagons, huts and tents. Just less than half of "all u’avellers lived either in Local Authority "standard housing" or in "chalets". Only 13 per cent lived on see’iced sites. It was found that die population of Travellers was growing rapidly, more than doubling over the previous two decades widl an average annual growth rate of 6.7 per cent. Between 1961 and 1981 the proportion of Traveller families living ira Co. Dublin rose froln 4 per cenl to 24 percent. Among Travdlers living on tile roadside, those living in Counties Dublin, Galway, TipperaP/, Meath and Cork accounted Ibr over one half of all roadside Travellers. Tile age structu re of Travellers was radic’ally different froln die general population, with large numbers of in fants and children and fi:w older people. Infant and child mortaliD, was extremely high. Family size varied from one to 19 persons mad aver’aged 6. I persons. Marriage grad fertility rates were substantially higher than in the genel~d population and tile average age at marriage was izluch lower. Average life expectancy of Travellers w~Ls substantially lower dlan for the rest of tile population and levels of illness and deprivation were intolerable. In regard to tile settled population there were considerable regional variations ira access to basic facill ties {water taps, toilets, dect rio’at supplies, etc.). The North-West ~md Southern H ealtb Board areas were best and tbe Eastern Heahh Board area the worst with regard to provision of Ihesc facilities. Travellers not in "standard housing" {lid not have access to mD’ of these services. The main reason for the persistence of deplorable conditions for roadside Travellers was tile failure by Local Authorities to provide housing in the quantity and form required by dmse in ileed. The report recommended the development of a national policy to meet the accommodation needs of Travdlers. While dais policy wotdd be implemented through die Local Authority network, the tas ks ofsettlng and monitoring the implementation ofarca- based targets should be firmly based within a central government agency. The report also recommended immediate attention to the health and educational needs of Travellers. Paper No. 132, Joel w. Grube and b,lark Mo.rgan, Smoking, Drinking amt Other Drug Use Among Dublin Post-Primary School Pupils. The study presented tile results of a three-phase survey of almost 3,000 r’,mdomly selected post-prima~T school pupils in the Dublin area which w~ts carricd out in March and April 1984 and March 1985 and concerned: (i) the prev~dence of use of various substances and (ii) factors associated with usage. It was found that the level of cigarette smoking was extremdy high by any standard. Overall, 67 per cent ofall pupils surveyed had smoked at some time, and 25 per cent were regular (daily) smokers. In the case of 17 year olds, tile incidence was higlmr, 74 per cent and 30 per cent respectively, hi conlparison, by the same definition tile US had 18.7 per cent regular smokers at age 17. As regards drinking, two-thirds of all pul)ils had drunk "alcohol at some time and over onethird were regular drinkers. In tile case of 17 ),ear olds the incidence was higher, 80 per cent and 50 per cent respectively. Beer (indudirlg lager and stout) was the most popular drink, with wine and spirits next and cider being dl-tmk least often. In comparison with other countries, tile 40 number of rot’a] abstainers was high. However, tile proporlion who drank regularlywas between the ra~cs ofhlgh consumption and low consunq~tion countries. Over ~ne°fifih of all the pupils had tried othcr drugs (30 per cent of 17 year olds). Almost 13 per ccm had used glut: or other in halants and a similar perccn rage had used marijuana. Use oflnarljau na directly increased with age, 25 per cent of 17 ),car olds had experimented. Ove,’all, one in 12 pupils were regular users. Comparison with other counu’ics suggested that the rate of inhalant use was relatively high. However, tile use of other drugs (i.e., hard drugs) was low by imernalion’,d standards. Tile study ",flso investigated factors associa*ed wilh Ibe use of substances in areas such as gender differences, parcnt~ t:xamplc, etc. It was found that there were no social background differences in regard to the use of any substance but that use of substances by friends was a reD, strong associate of pupils’ use. The study strongly recommended intervention programmcs. Techniques which help pupils Io withstand pressure seemed to have promise. Paper No. ] 33, Robert O’Connor, A Study of lhe Bovine Tuberculosis Eradiea6on Sehe{ne. The stud)’ discussed tile nature of bovine tuberculosis, reviewed the operation of the eradication scheme since its inaugu,~*tion in 1954 aJld outlined d*e Exchequer costs to date. I1 examined die operatioll of similar Sdlell les in other COUlltrics alld made recolltt t ~elld at}oils in regard IO die approach to be adopled for the eradication of ihe disease in Irelmld. The report stated that a scheme for die eradication of bovine tuberculosis was inauguralcd in 1954. By 1965 after the removal of 830,000 reactors, the whole State was declared fi’ee of d*c disease. Nevertheless, twenty );ears later, following tile removal of a further 620,000 reactors, it was estimated that 2 per cent Io 3 per cenl of cattle herds were still affected. Because of the illcdlod of lllea~lll’ellleilt, hoM..cver, the 12xilcl incidellce of the disease is not kilO%VII. 1*he cos[ of eradication to the State at 1985 prices has been ahuost £900 million. Bovine tuberculosis has proved to bca vcD’ difflcuh dise~tsc to clear up. The infective dose is very low; there is zlo immunity based on age or sex; very often there is no clinical evidence Io "ale*’* tile herdowner to the presence of the disease; transmission of the disease occurs 24 hours a day throughout the year and is accelerated by cattle movements. In addition, infection spreads rapdily among poorly fed an}nods or animals under stressfld conditions. There.is no sound blood orothcr serum test for diagnoslng the disease. The tuberculin skin test is the most reliable diagnostic method available but is not Ibolproof and can give false positive/negative reactions. The chlefdifficulties and defccls inhcrem in Ihe operation of the scheme in Ireland are: the high volume of cattle movement, defective testing, stop-go funding policies, mg switching, illeg;d movement ofanlmMs, and failure to depopulate seriously infected herds. The report details five critical recommendations for the successful management of the eradication scheme. These are: (i)Testing should bc carried out by Department veterinarians on a rmldom sample of herds cac|l year to determine d~c exact incidence of the disease. Bovine tuberculosis cannot be eliminated unless this incidence is known. (it) A comprehensive plan of operation should bc developed which woukl include annu~d targets for disease incidence. The plan shoukl hlcludc annu~d rounds oftcsthlg ofMI herds in the State, widtout stoppage (fill for three years. AI die clld of this period progress should bc reviewed and new plans adopted if necessary. (is’) The required funds shoukl be made available lay tile Government for round testing but farmers, through levies on cattle, beef and milk, should be asked to contribute 75 percent of the variable costs of the testing programme. If’farmers have to pay heavy levies, they are unllkcly to tolerale in [’Ultlre ),cars, Illally of tbc p;lsl inadequacies. (v} Ifatthecndof1990itisfoundthattargetsarenotbeingmet, thcoperadonofdleschcme shoukl be taken oul of tile Department of Agricuhure and its operation transferred to :tn Executive Ofllcc or Semi-Slate body. 41 (ii)Medium+Term Oullook No. I, Peter Bacon, Medium-7knn OullooL. 1986-1990. The paper, which was tile fl’Sl VOILIllle ill "el,hal is inteuded to be a continuing annual series, cxamiued tile Irish ecotlomy ill a medlum-ternl context. As such it SUl)plenlemcd the regular Quarlerly Economic Commenlar), which deeds with current economic devdopment.s. The paper reviewed the ulaln developments lit Ire international economy in tilt: past five years and cxamlncd the prospective scenarios to the end of tile decade. The et1~:cts of international dcvdopmeuts and Irish ecollolllic policies on the domestic ccolloll)y were examined. The mcdiunHerm outlook tbr tile economy was discussed, including prospects for growth of national outpul, enlployl ncnt, income and cxpcuditurc anti the cvolutiou of the public fnanccs and balance of payments to tfc end of the decade. The paper also included special articles on "Assessment of Propos:ds for Changes in the Common Agricultural Policy" (R. O’Connor) and "Foreign-owned hldustlT in h’cland: Pcrtbrmance mad Prospects" (E. O’M~dley). (iii) PollO, Research &Pies Paper No. 6, D. Scou,]. Bradlcy, J. I). FitzGerald and M. Ross. The Economic Consequences of European Union. D, Scou, "Background". D. Scott discussed tile background to the goal of Europeau union either as the culmination of a process of inteb,~-ation or as a stage in that process. Up to the mid-1970s progress had been made in dismantling national protectioH and the adoption of a common exmrnal tariff. The 42Olllllltlllity had fliled, ho~*~’eVel’~ ill such illatter$ as establishing a eollllnOll Ctlrrellcy+ Stl+l.lCtUl-al policies, the devdoptnent ofthe intern’,d luarket, and evetltual economic and monctalTuuion. The COIlltlltlllily+$ failttre to opci.Ht~ aS a cohercllI ~COliOiilic unit led to a poor pcrfOl’llliince during tile recession as compared to the USA and Japan. Three requirements were seen as neccssa+T Ibr c¢ouomic rccovcD, and political integration, namely, ficciug tile market by the removal of barriers, provldirlg Ibr speedy decisions by limiting or removing the veto, and establishing the mcaus for the levelling up oJ the economies of all regions. J. Bradley, "Conlpletiug tile Market: Macroeconomic COIISCqUelICtdS", The paper focused on tile economic aspects oflhe report of the Committee tbr Institutional Affairs (ihe Dooge Report) to the European Council which set as a priorily objective lhe crealion ol~a IlOlllO~ell~Otl5 i~ltert~+.d ccotlomic area through: {i) completiml of die Treaty; (ii) creation ofa techlmlogic’al Colnmuuity; (iii) strengthening tile EMS: and (iv) mobilisatlon of the uecess:uT resotttces. Of these items (i) and (iii) were seen as the main politT recommendatious of the committee. In regard to (1) the policies proposed were: dm fl’ec movement of labour and capital; increased compctitlveness by removing "all Illea~tlrcs dlstorti31g trade; alld promotion o[econonlic convetgence. In regard to the EMS the proposal that all member states shoukl participate, would dlminatc a major source of exchange rate uncertainty for Ireland. J. D. FitzGerald, "The Economic Implications of Tax Harmonisa{ion’. The paper examined the implications for the I fish tax system and the eCOlmlnic ilnplications [br Ireland of tax harmoelisatioll Wil hln tile EEC. Apart fl’om the intl’oductiou oft conmlon VAT system among all Member States, attempts to harmonise indirect I:~x {including excise to+-0 and corporation t~x systems, have consistently failed. The proposals tbr greater I~cx harmorlisation originated frotll a desirt: to promote tile dt:velopment of the inlel’lla] conlmunity market by abolishing all economic frontiers. The abolition of border controls without tax harmonisatlon would resuh in considerable trade distortions. Since h’elalld’s excise taxes accotmted I~ar 10 per cent of GDP as against ,t.,l per cent for the F+EC as a whole, harmonisation would involve a substantial reduction of tax. Revenue flom VAT showed considerably less diversity. In regard to couq)any t~L~ation, harmonisation would rcqulre substantial changes in the Irish syslem. Taxes on pct’somd iucomes and social security laxes would nol be allotted. 4,) M. Ross, "Subsidiarity, R<:giun:d Dcvclupzn<:n( and NallUll Building in Europe". The paper cxanfincd the w~y in which ihc Europcall Fconunllc CotlllTItlllit)’ is urgalliscd and the proposals put torward in the Draft Treaty o11 Eui’ol~ean Union wldl particular rcfi:rcncc lu the relationships between the core and lhc pcriphciT oflhc Colnzlltmily. Through an all;dysis isf lht: resources availablt: Io the Coinlnu lilly, iht: slruclurc ofpcJwt:r and hlforltlallOn s),slcills, Iht: paper concluded Ihal the corcofthc EFC is weak bul culnlnittcd to Eu rupc’s ~le~,clol~liicllt. Oil the other haled, the pcrlphcl’y col~ll)l’isillg lhc ll~ClllIJcr stales were regarded as inol~ilisctl, i~l[lt~(:tlti~d bul ~ot i)arli+2ipalll bccat~st: oflht: fears thai natiotl~d identities and izlili;~li~,cs would bc swanq~cd. Such ~cax~ t+ruslr;ttc the polcnli~d of Europ~ Io fi)rgc ahead to Ihc benefit of all, Ways of +,allaying them arc suggested. Paper No. 7,John D. FitzGerald, The Na6onal Debt and Economic Policy in the Medi*.n 7~rm. The study detailed the actual growth in the nation;d dcbI/GNP ratio in t]lc first hail’of the 1980s and oudincd ils possible fulurc growlh over Ihc rest uf lhc decade. The ect~lolllic implications of the mcdxods cllost:~ Io finance tht: debt were alsu cxandI~cd. The Icvt:l of Exchequer borrowing rose rapidly durillg the 19705, su ill;~l h’cl~llld elllcrcd the 1980s with a high and rapidly incrcasiiig vuluinc of debt. As ;~ rcsuh Ihc h’ish eco~lol~l), was cxtrcIl~cly vulncl~d~lt: Io ally ch;mgt: in world il~lei’csl rates. The an~tlysis showed Ihat al lcas~ one quarter uf tile current budget deficil in 1985 could bc dlrcctly allributcd tu the fist: in inlcrt:sl rates. The rise ii~ domestic re;d iI~Icrest rates, which was largely inllut:nccd by torcign raics, had ;t vel~, st:yore ilnpacl on the level of physic~d illvt:stiIicl~t in the econonly. The privalc sector reduced il]vesltl~ctll in physlc:d eapit~d, and increased i~,esllllcl~t ill fizlanclal assct.~, thcrcb), affecting the productive capacity oflhc economy. The paper cuncludcd that the pulicy adopted by the Dcl~al’til~cl~t of Fi~lal~cc over II~c period 1980-1985 oI~ the composition of fol~:ign borrowitlg was broad]y corr,:el. Tht: dt:clslons lakel~ ;is IO Ihc prol)ortion of the debt Io be I]11;tlt(~d abroad, how~v~2r, w(2r~ Ezlot’~ (.iLi(2slionable. ht regard to the period 1986- 1990 four different options or scci~tlios wcic c~nsidcrcd. These covered low and high Exchequer borrowing and luw and high interest rmcs. The afialysis sht~wcd that even a ~iltl fiscal t:Xl~ansiul~ t~ver the rest ufdlc decade would rcsull in lhc natiunal dcbt/GN P *-atiu rising inexorably even if rc:d intcrcsl rates were to I]dl over Ihc period. Ira much ii~orc restrlcdvc budgctalT policy were adopted, tile rise in the dcbt/GNP ratio could be hahed a~ld revcrst’d. Iflnteresl rates rctHaincd ;~1 their ¢tti’r¢*ll levels, Ihl2 dcbt/GNP l’illii) would I)cgill to fall in 1990. If interest rates were Io decline Iowards their hisluric norm, the dcbl/GN P ratio would begin to I]LII as early as 1988. ]11 I’cgilrd IO borrowillg, ~lll illlport;llll []l(~[{ir ~*,,~ls ihl~ iIl’(~sl)cctive dls;i]opc~ll’illlct~ I)flht2cilrrelll baJallc¢ of paylllenls dclicil. The high level ofgovcrllliit:lll hi>trowing ilwolvcd a ftllLlrl2 COID" lidtlncnt to II~jor changes in l}~c dlstribu~ion of income which had i~lq~twtant implications for equity between diffcrcltl groups. The cosl oftlnanclng ti~t ul’e init:rcst payli~ents would t)dl on the t~L,q)ayt:r at large rcsuhil~g in sutnc incl]~cicncy a~d loss of output. As long ~us the: curi’~21LI high real i~tcrcsl rates pcrsislcd alItlch ot’thc port,iliad hlve~llllCl’*l ~ecded to Cxl)and tint })i’oducliVt: c;q)acity of the ccunom)’ would be rendered unprolil;d)lc. Accurdingly, ill C]lo*>sillg tilt: colnpositioH ofgovcrnMenl borrowing in Ihc t~.l t LI I’¢, ZUl illll)Ol’I ~tllt collsid~:rallOll .sh*~uld bc Ihe Ileed to miniHfisc domestic interest ialcs. The vol;itility of private capital outlluws in d~c rcccnl p~st rcinlolCtsd lilt llecd to t~cklc I}lu problem of die mushroomit~g zl;ltlollal dcbl. If the dcbl l~l’oblt:lll WCl-~r tlldd~gd, the ~:t’figct on private capital [lows could bc subslallli~ll, rcsultillg ill ~l rapid rc~dticlion ill dolllt’sliC iltlt2r~st I’~ll¢S. "t3 Appendix E OUTLINE OF NEW PROJECTS BEGUN IN 1986 I Economic Forecasting and Modelling j. Bradley, J. FitzGerald, A. Su)rey, D. Hurley arid L. O’Sullivan, "OpeFationalising the ESR[ Mediunl-Ternl Model for Use by Department of Finance tbr Projections and Policy Analyses". The purpose of this project is .J impleallcnt in the Dcpal’tmcnt an operational version of the ESRI medium-term model, together with procedures tbr cariTing out medium-ternl polio, an~ysis over the i>eriod 1987 - 1991. At presem the Department opel~tcs a version of the origin~ b.’lodel-80 Model for policy and budgeta~T ;malyses. Tile stages of the project are as follows: 1. Update of data bases covering the period up to 1985 National Accoul]Ls, and setting-up prot:edurcs [’or ftlltll’e USe i11 the Dcl)artlllCllt, 2. Re-spcclfication and re-estimation of the model using the most recent National Accounts data. 3. Testing the nlodel. ,t. Construction of beiichinark projeclions for period 1987-199 I. 5. Insti-tlction of Dcp;tI’IlIICIll staff, and deve]Oplllelll of report generation software. Ill The International Environment j. FitzGerald, B. Whelan, T. Q uinn,J. Williams, "The Consequences for Cross-Border Trade between the P.epublic of Ireland and Northern ]reland of Modification towards Harmonisation of Rates of Value Added Tax and Excise Duties widlin the Europem~ Common Market’. The aim of this study is to examine the nature and extent of cross-border shopping by residents oft he Republic and of Northern I rel~ald. Tile study, which has been commissioned by dte EEC, will investigate the sensitivity of ihis ti’ade to cross-border price diffcivnces o fvar),ing ,nagnitudcs, and the efl~ccs o,1 Irade of possible harmonisation of rates of indirect taxation within the EEC. Differences in tax rates between Norlhern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland affisct the prices of similar goods on either side of the common land border. As a resuh dael’e has been a va]Ting incentive for consumers in both parts of the island to shop across the border for certain products. Ahhough uadc in the past has been two-way it is felt that the bulk of the trade at present involves purchases by resldcl]tS of the Republic in Norlhcrn Ireland. Goods subject to excise taxes figure inosl promillently in tiffs trade. Relatively minor misalignmenl of the excise taxes in the two.jurisdiction, can resuh in substantial price differences. Differences in VAT rates have also played a significant role in inducillg tax-avoiding cross-border trade. V The Public Sector R. Pyc, "The Experience to Date of Colnputcrisation in the Civil Service". The project will review dcveloptilent.s in computerisation in the Civil Service in recent )’cars. It will examine experlditurc to date on comptlter systems, staff turnover, expertise, training, consuhancT and the advance of micro-computer systems as opposed to main frame installations. The general policy adopted by various Departments will be outlined and the special problents encountered at both an organisational and a technical level examined. A stll~.’ey of COVCllltllCllt Depal’uue,lts will be undertaken to supply SOllle of the required statistical data, including an inventory of existing systems. A census o f ser,’ing computer staffis also envisaged. An examination of the experience to date in other countries (as well as in tile I fish public and private sectors) will be undertaken to alnplit~’ the issues ofgrealest significance and facilitate an accurate overall assessment of progress to date in the Civil Service. 4"t VII Demography and labour R. Br<:cn, "Evaluation of Manpo~cr Pz’ogr~lllllne". Tile project, which was cotntlllssiozled by tile Departttlet)l of Labott r, involv<:s canting otll a cotlsuhancy role for a steering group composed of reprcs<:ntatlv<:s I]’ol~l t hose ag<:tlcics itlvolvcd in maHpower prograHlnles, i.<:., D<:parlmeill of Labour, Natioi~al Matlpow<:i Sel-eic<:, AnCO, Dcpartmci~t of Education, CERT and the Youth Em ployiil<:nl Ag<:ncy. Th<: long-term aim oflhe plojttct i5 to provid<: the tile;Ill5 for bullel ev;thlatioll Of* tile el’f~Cl[Velless of lllalll)owcI" prograHmles and Io can), out detailed st udles of the eff<:ctlv<:ness of scE<:ct<:d sch<:Hms. °l’h<: pi’oj<:cl will involve: (a) Rccastitlg the obicctiv<:s of approximat<:ly 20 programlllcs ill opcratiol~al terms [br tll<: purposes of evaluation; (b) Ass<:sslng tile utility of data routinely gath<:red in colm<:ction with tiles<: |)rograllmles for ~aonlto:’iHg the 191"Ogl’;tllllllCS’ cffectiveHcss; and (c) RecomiHcndiiig revised wa),s of data gathering to nlakc data roughly comparable across schemes, to iml)rov<: the potential for evaluation and asscSSlll<:llt anti to Hae<:t th<: requirements of programme m;magers. S. Grimes and D. Hannah, "The Un(l<:rlyillg Causes of Non-Urban Growlh in Ireland i=1 the 1970s". Counterurbanisation has b<:<:zl a tbcus of research in industz’ialised countries tbr the past t<:tt }’ears orso. In h’<:land the research availabl<: on th<: th<:Hl<: sttggt:sls thai nluch oflh<: chaiag<: h;Js been in tile form of suburbalfisatio=l or ul’lJall ov<:rspill. This prt~jcct will ilwestigatc Ihe phcllOlllenoll ill tile h’ish context. Tile availability ofcomputerised slllall arc;t slatisllcs at th<: district elcctorzd division (D ED) level For both th<: 1971 ;rod 1981 Censuses of P<q)ulatioH iHakes it possible to car=3’ out a detail<:d, sp~Jtial atlalysis of the local level of deluographic a~ld enlployment change iH the 1970s. The 1970s were characterised by considerable s<:ctoral employment change i~l rural al’e~L% with a larg<: flow out oF zgrictdture at~d into IIOII-fal’lll cmpIoym<:nt. This resuh<:d in a complex relationship betweeH I]ll’l i I atld lion- f~ll’lll elllploylllcIll at the i’tlr’d] household level. Since lllOSt ilon-t]ll’lll employm<:nt w;ts c<:ntralis<:d, a key question to be answered is what kind ofs<:ttl<:nl<:nt adjustment a<:ctJnq)alficd these changed labour Force conditions? The iilitial stage of th<: study will b<: conlined to Ihc nordl-w<:st regioll -- Counties SLigo, Leit i’iz~t and Doncg’.d. A t a lat<:r stage it if p ropos<:d to scl<:ct a iqtll0onl sa ill p]<: 0[500 of so D E Us, add whatever additioi~al socio-<:cologic’,d and economic data arc ncccssaO’ a~ld analyse the cotrelat<:s of i~on-urba=~ growth at a national I<:vcl. C. T. Whel;.l, "Evalu:~tion of Irish Productivity Cci~lrc/Northcrn Ir<:laHd I~bour RelatioiIs Agency Shared Learning Prqi<:ct". Tile project, which has be<:n comn~issloned by tile h’ish Produ<:tivity Centre (IPC} anti the Northern h’cla,~d Labour Relations AgeH¢3’ (N I LRA), will evaluate ;~ "Shared Lcarniilg pl1OjeCl" spollsored by the EEC and in which five companies from the Repul~lic of Ireland ;uld four companies from North<:rn h’eland at<: participating. The aims of the shared lear=ring projc<:t arc to dev<:loI) l)r;~ctical applications of employee involvcHlent i~ sore<: areas of orgaHisatioilal chaIIge. The project will involve, (i) altcndz~ncc at four proiecl workshops; (ii) organising an evalu~ltion workshop; (iii) sy~uhesising the reports froH= the individual or~anisatlons :rod providing an overall r~:port to th<: I PC a~ld N ILRA. "t5 VIII Social Polio’ T. Callan, S. Creiglmm, D. HannalL D. Rouman. B. Whelan, "Survey or Income Dislribudon, Poverty and Usage orState Scr’,’ices". The main aims o[l}le projecl, which Illis b~ll conltnissloned by Ihe Commissiun of tllt~ EEC and lilt: Dt~parllnl:tll of Soci;l] Wcllhre arc as follows: (i)to cslablish the current level and uature of povcrly in Ireland, illld iht: ildt2qllilCy and cfrcc’tivcncss of $ociill weltlli-c plt~grilllllllC.g ill me~:dng serious nec’ds. The dala will "also allow allillyses of i]lt: dynamics of povcrly and ils in{ergcntzralioil~tl Irallslnission; (it) to measure tile cfti:cts oft:xisting and "altl:rllative policies ol+direc[ la.’.;ation, soci’a] welfare, heahh, housing and cdu~]alion; {iii} to assess lilt COSL~ illld bellCtil2; o1" il comil~uing alllllAid of biennial sulwey on income, poverty illld usage O[Slilte seP.,icc$, thus providing tile llliJilll$ lO rcvicw [tic el’i~ctivel~css or public policy progl’altlnles, alld Ihe nccessaD, d;llilb~c to model the effects of policy challgCs, including tiL’i/u’itn..;fi:r changes. The project will involve a large-scale l~ational houschukl survey ~o collect data on incomes, u.s~ u f ,slilll: ~ei’,,ices and It:vt:l~ ofpoverl y. Th~ data will hi: gal herod i11 Iwo p ha.ses. Th t: firsl l)hasc will consist ofa sul-,’cy ol’,1,000 households selected randomly froln the Elecior;d Register. In tile second pllase the pooresl 1,000 households will be re-interviewed, togetller with 500 of the oilier 3,000 households frOlll the originld sample. The data will complement the 1987 Household Budget Survey by gaining more dt2{ililcd illl~.l CUlnl}rehcnsive infoHIllilioll ill il way which is explicitly desig.ed to ;dlow analysis of policy effects. Tile project is part of a uli~jor research progranlnl¢ trader way in several EEC countries. 46 Appendix F SCHEDULE OF MEMBERS CORPORATE ABBEY LIFE ASSURANCE (IRL) LTD., Abbey Life House, Temple Road, Blackrock, Co. Dublin. ABBO’I-[" LABORATORIES IREI~\ND LTD., 70 Broonlhi]l Road, Tallaghl, Dublin 2,1. ACOT - An Cumhairle OiliOna TMmha~ochta, Frascati Road, Blackrock, C(J. Dublin. AER LINGUS, Dublin Airport, Collinstown, Co. Dublin. ALGEMENEBANKNEDERLAND(IRELAND}LTD.,121/122St. Stcphcn’sGrcen, Dublin2. ALLIED IRISH BANKS PLC, Bankccnlrc, Ballsbrldgc, Dublin ,t. ALLIF.D IRISH INVESTM ENT BANK PLC, Bankcemre, Ballsbridgc, Dublin ,t. AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL INSURANCE COMPANY OF IRE.LAND LTD., Chmwilliam Court, Lower Mount Street, Dublin 2. AnCO - The Indusu’i:d Training Aulhority, P.O. Box 456, Baggol Court, Ui)per Baggol SI reel, Dublin 4. ANGLO IRISH MEAT CO. LTD., Ravcnsdale, Dundalk, Co. Louth. ARNOTT & CO. DUBLIN LTD., P.O. Box 406, 12 FlenlT Street, Dublin 1. BANK OF AMERICA, Russell Corm, St. Stephen’s Green, Dublin 2. BANK OF IREI~tND, Hc;id Ofl]cc, Lower Baggot Slrect, Dublin 2. BANK OF NOVA SCOTIA, Canada House, 65/68 St. Stcphcn’s Croon, Dublin 2. BANQUE NATIONALE DE PARIS (IRELAND) LTD., I I 1 St. Stephcn’s Green, Dublin 2. BARCLAYS BANK PLC, ,17145 St. Stcphcn’s Green, Dublin 2. BARRY’S TEA LIMITED, Kinsalc Road, Cork. BAYER (I RELAND) LTD., Industrial F.slale, Kill o’ The Grange, Dun Laoghairc. Co. Dublin. BEAMISH & CRAWFORD LTD., South Main Street, Cork. BEECHAM OF IRELAND LIMITED, Long Mile Road, Dublin 12. BEECHAM LABORATORIES LTD., Ferl)’ House, 48/53 Lower Mount Street, Dublin 2. BERGER PAINTS IRELAND LIMFrF.D, P,.O. Box 375, M:dahidc Road, Ct~oh~ck, Dublin 5. BLOXHAM TOOLE O’DONNELL Covcrnmcnt Stockbrokers, I I Fleet SlrccI, Dublin 2. THE BOOTS COMPANY {IRELAND) LTD., 38 Airton Terrace, All’tOll Road, Tallaght, Dublin 24. AN BORD BAINNE CO-OP LTD., Gratlan House, Lower Mount Su’eel, Dublin 2. BORD FAILTE EIREANN, Baggot Street Bridge, Dublin 2. BORD GAIS EIREANN, P.O. Box 51, hlchcra, Little Island, Cork. BORD IASCAICH MHARA, Croflon Road, Dim I-~toghaire. Co. Dublin. BORD NA MONA, 76 Lower Baggot Street, Dublin 2. AN BORD PLEANALA, Fh)or 3, Blocks VI & VII, h’ish Life Ccnlrc, Lower Abbey Slreet, Dublin 1. BOSTON CO LLEGE, O’Neill LibraiT, Chestnul Hill, Massachuscils 02167, USA. BP IRELAND LIMITED, BP House, Sclanta Place, Dublin 2. B & I LINE, P.O. Box 19, 12 North W;dl, Dublin I. BURMAH/CASTROL (IRELAND} LTD., Alexandra Road, Dublin 1. BWG LIM ITE D, P.O. Box 1,t 70, Green}fills Road. Walkinstown. Dublin 12. CALOR TEORANTA, 33 McSl)il Road, Dublin 4. CANADA LIFE ASSURANCF. CO., Canada Lift: House, 12/14 Lower Mounl SIreet, Dublin 2. CARLOW REGIONAL TECHNICAL COLLEGE, Kilkcnny Road, Carlow. CARROLL INDUSTRIES LTD., Grand Parade, Dublin 6. CATHOLIC SOCIALSE RVICE CON FERENCE, The Red House, CIo]ditlt: College, Dublin 3. CBE- The h’ish Livestock and M cat Board, Clanwilliam Court, Lower Mounl SlrecL Dublin 2. CENTRAL BANK OF [REIJStND, P.O. Box 559, Dame Street, Dublin 2. CENTRE FOR IRISH STUI)I ES, Ca01olic U niversity~fAnlcrica, Washington DC 2006,t, USA. CHASE BANK {IRELAND} LIMITED. 18-21 St. Stcphen’s Green, Dublin 2. CIBA/CEIGY ACRO LTD., Industrial Estate, Watcrlbrd. 47 C.I.S.I.-WHARTON, Econonleu’ic Forecasting Associates, EbmT Gale, 23 Lower Belgrave Streel, London SWIW ONW, Ellgland. CITIBANK, N.A., 71 St. Stephen’s Green, Dublin 2. CLANCOURT INVESTMENT LTD., 12 Merrlon Square, Dublin 2. CLARE COUNTY COUNCIL, The Courthouse, Ennis, Co. Clare. COLLEGE LIBRARY, Training College of Our Lady of Mercy, Carystbrt Park, Blackrock, Co. Dublin. COLLEGE OF COMMERCE, Rathnfines Road, Dublin 6. CO LLEGE O F IN D USTRIAL RELATIONS, The Libral)’, Sand ford Road, Ranelagh, Dublin 6. COMTEC IJlois/Ofl,dy, Kilcrullin Centre, Cormac Street, Tullamorc, Co. Offaly. CONFEDERATION OF IRISH INDUSTRY, Confederation House, Kildarc Street, Dublin 2. COOPERS & LYBRAND ASSOCIATES LTD., Fitzwihon House, Wilton Place, Dublin 2. COOPERS ANIMAL HEALTH IRELAND LIMFI’ED, Airton Road, Tallaght, Dublin 24. CORAS IOMPAIR EIREANN, Strategic and Corporalc Planning Department, I,t119 Crow Street, Dublin 2. C6RAS TRACHTALA, Merrion H~dl, Smmd Road, SandymounL Dublin 4. CORK CFIW LIBRARY, Gi-and Parade, Cork. CORK COUNTY LIBRARY, Farranlea Road, Cork. CORK CORPORATION, City Hall Cork. CRAIG GARDNER & CO., Charlercd Accountants, Gardner House, Wilton Place, Dublin 2. DEPARTMENT OF FINANCE & PERSONNEL, Policy Plmming and Research Unit, Parlialnent Buildings, SIoriIlOnl, Belfast BT4 3SW, N. Ireland. DEVELOPMENT CAPITAL CORPORATION LIMrrED, DCC House, Sdllorgan, Blackrock, Co. Dublin. DONNELLY MIRRORS LTD., Naas, Co. Kildare. DUBLIN COUN’I~’ COUNCIL, P.O. Box 174, 46149 Upper O’Commll Street, Dublin I. DUBLIN PORT & DOCKS BOARD, Port Cenlre, Alcxandra Road, Dublin I. DUNDALK REGIONAL TECHNICAL COLLEGE, College LibralT, Dundalk, Co. LoudL EASON & SON LTD., P.O. Box 42, 80 Middle Abbey Street, Dublin I. EASTERN HEALTH BOARD, P.O. Box 4 IA, I James’s Slrect, Dublin 8. EDINBURGH UNIVERSITY LIBRARY, George Square, Edinburgh EH8 9LJ, Scotland. EDUCATIONAL RESEARCH CENTRE, SL Pauick’s College, Drumcondra, Dublin 9. ELANCO, S.A., Dunderrow, Kinsale, Co. Cork. ELECTRICITY SUPPLY BOARD, 27 Lower Filzwilliam So’cot, Dublin 2. ESB OFFICERS’ ASSOCIATION, 43 EastJamcs’s Place, Off Baggot SIrcet, Dublin 2. ESSILOR IRELAND LTD., Rahecn Industrial Estate, Limerick. EUROPEAN DEMOCRATIC ALLIANCE GROUP, European Parllamenl, Bur. 249 -Archives, Rue Belliard 97- I 13, B- 1040 Brussels, Belgium. EXPANDITE (IRELAND) LIMITED, Grecnhills Road, W~dkinstown, Dublin 12. FEDERATED UNION OF EMPLOYERS, Baggol Bridge House, 84186 Lower Baggol Socot, Dublin 2. FEDERATED WORKERS’ UNION OF IRELAND, 29130 Parnell Square, Dublin I. FINNSALES LTD., Hainauh House, 69 St. Stephen’s Green, Dublin 2. FLOGAS PLC, Dub]ii~ Road, Droghcda, Cu. Louth. FMC INTERNATIONAL W~dlingstown, Liltlc Island, Cork. FOROIGE, National Youth Development Organisation, Irish Farm Cenue, Bluebell, Dublin 12. HENRY FORD & SON LTD., Cork. OLIVER FREANEY & CO. LTD.. Management Consultants, 43145 Nordmmberland Road, Dublin ,t. FULFLEX INTERNATIONAL LTD.. Gidvone, Roxboro Road, Limerick. GAELEO LTD., Little Island, Cork. GALLAHER (DUBLIN LTD., Vilginia House, Greenhills Road, Tallaghl, Dublin 24. GALWAY COUNqW LIBRARIES, Island House, Cathedral Square, Galway City. GARDA SIOCHANA COLLEGE, The Libral~’, TenipIcmore, Co. TipperalT. "t8 GENERAL ACCIDENT FIRE AND LIFE ASSURANCE CORPORATION PLC., I Clanwilliall~ Coui’t, Lower Motllll Stit~cl, Dublin 2. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY OF IRELAND, Bcgg;irs Bush, Hadditlgtoi~ Ro:td, Dublin 4. GILBEYS OF IRELAND LIMITED, Naas Road, Dublil112. GOLDEN PAGES LIMITED, St. Martill’s House, Waterloo Road, Dttblii~ 4. GOODBODY DUDGEON, 5 College Green, Dublill 2. GOULDING CHEMICALS LTD., Fitzwillotl House. Wilton Place, Dublin 2. GOWAN DISTRIBUTORS LTD., Parkmorc hldustrial Estate, LoHg Mile Road, Dublin 12. GUINNESS IRELAND LTD., Sl. Jamcs’s Gale, Dublin 8. GYPSUM INDUSTRIES LTD., Clonskcagh, Dublill I,t. HGW PAINTS LTD., P.O. Box 45, S]lalldoll Works, CoiIlmoils Road, Cork. HARVARD COLLEGE LIBRARY, Cambridge, M:tssachusctts 02138, USA. HEALTH EDUCATION BUREAU, 3,t Upper Mount Slrcct, Dublill 2. HIBERNIAN INSURANCE PLC, Haddillgloii Road, Dubliil 4. HIGHER EDUCATION AUTHORITY, 21 Fitzwillialll Square, Dublin 2. HILL SAMUEL & CO. (IRELAND) LTD., Hill SaHlucl House, Adelaide Road, Dublill 2. H ILTI (I) LIMITED, Dublii~ hldustrial Estate, Fiiiglas Road, I)ublii~ 1 I. HOSPITALS JOINT SERVICES BOARD, Holylallds, Ratht,trldlaiH, Dublitl I,t. IBM IRELAND LTD., 2 Burliilgton Road, Dublill 4. ICI IRELAND LTD., P.O. Box 245A, 5/9 Souda Frcdcrlck Succt, Dublil~ 2. INDUSTRIAl. CREDIT CORPORATION PLC, 32-3,t H;ircourt Strt:ct, Dublill 2. INSTITUTE OF IRISH STUDIES, 9 North Great George’s Slrcet, DubliH I. INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION, 59-61 Lansdownc Road, Dublit~ ,I. INTERNATIONAL COMPUTERS LTD., ICL House, Adelaide: Road, Dublill 2. THE INVESTMENT BANK OF IRELAND LIMITED, 26 Fitzwilliam Phtcc, Dublill 2. IRISH BANK OF COMMERCE, 52/53 H~trcourt Street, Dublin 2. IRISH CONGRESS OFTRADE UNIONS, 19 RaglaH Road, Dublin 4. IRISH CO-OPERATIVE ORGANISATION SOCIETY LTD., "Phmkctt Hotlsc", 8,t Mcrri(Jn Square, Dublin 2. IRISH DISTILLERS GROUP LTD., Bow Street DistillciT, Smithfield, Dublill 7. IRISH INDUSTRIAL EXPLOSIVES LTD., 87/89 Walcrloo Road, Dublin 4. IRISH INDUSTRIAL GASES LIMITED, P.O. Box 201, Bluebell, Dublin 12. IRISH INTERCONTINENTAL BANK LTD., 91 Merrioll Stluarc, Dublin 2. IRISH LEAGUE OF CREDIT UNIONS, Casdcsidc Drive, R;ulll~unham, Dublill 14. IRISH LIFE ASSURANCE PLC, Irish Lil~: Cciittt:, Lower Abbey Strecl, l)ublin 1. IRISH MANAGEMENT INSTITUTE, 5alldytbrd Road, Dulldrum, Dublill I,t. IRISH PENSIONS ,I’RUST LTD., Hill Samuel House, 25-28 Adelaide Road, Dublitl 2. IRISH POTATO MARKETING LTD., ,I Mort’loll Stltmrc, Dtlblii~ 2. IRISH STEEL LTD., HaulbowliHc, Cob]l, Co. Cork. IRISH TRANSPORT& GENERAL WORKERS’ UNION, 10 Pahllcrstoll Park, Dublill 6. jETRO (Japall External Trade Org~misation), C~nfcdcration House, Kildarc Street, Dublill 2. JOHNSON &JOHNSON (IRELAND} LIMITED, Bclgard Rilad, Tallaght, Dulalill 24. LABORATORY DATA CONTROL, Building 89, hldustrial Estate, Slmlmon, Co. Clare. LAOIS COUNTY COUNCIL, The Cottrthousc, Pordaoisc, Co. Laois. LIMERICK CORPORATION, P.O. Box 59, Cilv Hall, Rullaild Sitter, Linlcrick. LIMERICK COUNTY COUNCIL, County Buildings, 80/83 O’Comlcll Slrcct, Limerick. LOCAL GOVERN/vlENT AND PUBLIC SERVICES UNION, 9 GardiHcr Place, I)ubiitl I. LOCAL GOVERNMENT STAFF NEGOTIATIONS BOARD, 36/37 Usher’s Q.tmy, Dublin 8. MAGUIRE AND PATERSON LIMITED, HaHIHIond Latle, Dubllll 7. MARY IMMACULATE COLLEGE OF EDUCATION, South Circular Road, Lilllcrick. MASTER FOODS LTD., 7/8 Harcourt Street, Dublin 2. MAYO COUNTY LIBRARY, Mountaill View, Casllcbar, Co. M;ivo. MEATH COUNTY COUNCIL, Coullly Hall, N~lvliH, Co. Mc:ltll’. MID-’~VEST REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT ORGANISATION, 10,t HcJll], Stl’ttct, LitHcrick. MINCH NORTON MALTING LIMITED, Maltsters, 52 Newmarket, Dublin 8. MOBIL OIL COMPANY (IRELAND) LTD., Airton Road, Tallaght, Dublin 24. MONAGHAN COUNTY LIBRARY, The Diamond, Clones, Co. Monaghan. MURRAY CONSULTANTS LTD., 35 Upper Mount Slreel, Dublin 2. McCONNELLS ADVERTISING SERVICE LIMITED, McConilell House, Charlelnonl Place, Dublill 2. NATIONAL BOARD FOR SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY, Shelbourlle House, Shelbournc Road, Dublin 4. NATIONAL BUILDING AGENCY LTD., Richmond Avenue South, Milhown, Dublin 6. NATIONAL COUNCIL FOR EDUCATIONAL AWARDS, 26 Moullljoy Square, Dublin I. NATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR HIGHER EDUCATION, B’allynlun Road, Dublin 9. NATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR HIGHER EDUCATION, Plassey House, Limerick. NATIONAL REHABILITATION BOARD, 25 Clyde Road, Ballsbridgc, Dublin 4. NATIONAL SOCIAL SERVICE BOARD, 7 I Lower Leeson Street, Dublin 2. NATIONAL YOUTH COUNCIL OF IRELAND, 3 Montague Street, Dublill 2. NEW IRELAND ASSURANCE CO. PLC, 12 Dawson Street, Dublin 2. NEWMARKET CO-OPERATIVE CREAMERIES LTD., Newmarket, Co. Cork. A. C. NIELSEN OF IRELAND LIMITED, 36 Merrion Square, Dublin 2. NIXDORF COMPUTER LTD., Fitzwilliam Courl, Leeson Close, Dublin 2. CHARLES NOLAN & SONS LTD., Devonshire Strcel Wcsl, Cork. NORTH-EASTERN REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT ORGANISATION, II Church Square, MonaghaH. NORTHERN BANK LIMITED, P.O. Box 183, Donegall Square Wcsl, Belfast BTI 6jS, N. Ireland. NORTHERN BANK FINANCE CORPORATION LIMITED, Gritl]n House, 7/8 Wilton Tc:rrace, Dublill 2. O’CONNOR O’SULLIVAN LTD., 52 Nordluiiiberland Road, DubJin 4. O FFA LY CO U NTY C O U N C I L, The Courthouse, Tullamorc, Co. OITaly. OFFICE OFTHE OMBUDSMAN, 62 St. Stcphen’s Green, Dublin 2. ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT, Main LibraiT, 2 Rue Aiidl’e Pasted, 75775 Paris Cedex 16, France. ORGANON (IRELAND) LTD., P.O. Box 937, Farnham Drive, Finghts Road, Dublin I I. PACKARD ELECTRIC I RELAN D LTD., Airton Road, Tallaght, Dublin 24. PA MANAGEMENT CONSULTANTS (IRELAND) LIMITED, 10112 Lansdowne Road, Dublin 4. PAN ATLANTIC GROUP (EUROPE) LTD., Ross Hot*st, Victoria Place, Galway. PENN CHEMICALS B.V., Curraghbinny, Carrigalinc, Co. Cork. PFIZER CHEMICAL CORPORATION, Rinbraskiddy, Co. Cork. PHELAN PRESCOTT & CO., Alton House, Herbert Street, Dublin 2. PLAYER & WILLS (IRELAND) LTD., Box 286, 276-288 South Circular Road, Dublin 8. PMPA INSURANCE COMPANY LTD., Wo}fe Tone House, 39-48 Wolff: Tone Street, 19/13 MatT Street, Dublin 2. AN POST, The Post Office, General Post Office, O’Connell Street, Dublin I. POSTALAN D TELECOMMUNICATIONS WORKERS’ UNION, 53 Parnell Square, Dublin 1. Q UINNSWORTH, Gresham House, MaI’itlc Road, Dun Laoghaire, Co. Dublin. RAIDIO NA GAELTACHTA, Casla, Conalnara, Co. na Caillimhe. RADIO TELEFIS EIREANN, Donnybrook, Dublin ,I. RHM FOODS (IRELAN D) LTD., Dublin Industri-,d Estate, Fingl~ts Road, Glasnevin, Dublin 11. RIADA & CO., 28/29 Grafton Street, Dublin 2. ROYAL COLLEGE OF SURGEONS IN IRELAND, 123 St. Stcphen’s Green, Dublin 2. ROYAL INSURANCE LTD., 1 College Greell, Dublin 2. 5O ST. ANGEI~X’S COLLEGE OF EDUCATION, The Library, Lough Gill, Sllgo. ST. CATHERINE’S COLLEGE OF HOME ECONOMICS, The Library, Sion Hill, Blackrock, Co. Dublin. ST. PATRICK’S COMPREHENSIVE SCHOOL, Tfic Library, Shannon, Co. Clare. SCOIL MHU[RE, The LibralT, Cashel, Co. TippcralT. THE SCOTTISH PROVIDENT INSTITUTION, 6 SI. Andrew Square, Edinbui~gh EH2 2YA, Scodand. SL[GO REGIONAL TECHNICAL COLLEGE, Ballinode, Sligo. SOLOMONS, ABRAMSON & CO., 113 Wesnnoreland Street, Dublin 2. STOKES KENNEDY CROWLEY, Management Consullanls, 1 Stokes Place, SI. Stepficn’s Green, Dublin 2. SUS RESEARCH LTD., 9 Northumberland Road, Dublin ,t. SYNTEX IRELAND LIMITED, Clarccastle, Co. Clare. TARA MINES LTD., 162 Clontarf Road, Dublin 3. TELECOM EIREANN, St. Slcpfien’s Green West, Dublin 2. TELEMECANIQUE (IRELAND) LTD., Maynooth Road, Cclbridgc, Co. Kildarc. TIPPERARY (SOUTH RIDING) COUNTY COUNCIL, County Buildings, Einnmt Square, CIonmcl, Co. Tippcrary. TOUCHE ROSS & CO., Management Consultants, Carrick House, 16 Wellington Road, Dublin 4, TRALEE REGIONAL TECHNICAL COLLEGE, Clash, Tralcc, Co. KenT. TRUSTEE SAVINGS BANK DUBLIN, Main Street, Dundrum, Dublin I,I. UDARAS NA GAEUI’ACHTA, Na Forbacha, Gaillimhc. UDT BANK LIMITED, P.O. Box 616, 13-16 Flccl Street, Dublin 2. ULSTER BANK LIMITED, Head Office, P.O. Box 232,,t7 Doncgall Place, Belfast BTI 5AU, N. h’cland. ULSTER INVESTMENT BANK LTD., 2 Humc Street, Dublin 2. UNILEVER GROUP, Harcourt Cenlre, 33/39 Harcourl Road, I)ublin 2, UNION OF PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL CIVIL SERVANTS, 16 Earlsfort Terrace, Dublin 2. UNIVERSITY COLLEGE SWANSEA, Main Librat)’, Singlclon Park, Swansca, WcSl Glamorgan SA2 8PP, Wales. UNIVERSITY OF ULSTER, Faculty of Business and Management, Shore Road, Newtownabbcy, Co. Antrim BT37 OQB, N. h’cland. VANGUARD PLASTICS (IRELAND) LIMITED, Millbrook Road, Ohlcasllc, Co. Mcadl. VERBATIM LIMITED, Rahccn Indusn’ial Estate, Linlcrick. VICTORIA UNIVERSITY OF WELLINGTON, Libri~lT, Priwltc Bag, Wcllinglon, New Zealand. VOLUNTARY HEALTH INSURANCE BOARD, VHI House, 20 Abbey Street, Dublin 1. WALSH WESTERN LTD., SantlT Hall, Santt),, Dublin 9. WALPAMUR CO. (IRELAND} LTD., 7/13 Cardiff Lane, Dublin 2. WATERFORD REGIONAL TECHNICAL COLLEGE, Cork Road, Watcrlbrd. WELLCOME IRELAND LIMITED, Airton Road, Tallaghl, Dublin 24. WI LLWOO D GRO UP O F COM PAN I ES, Blcssinglon Road, Talfiighl, Dublin 2,1. YARDLEY OF LONDON LTD., 37 Cherry Orchard hldustrial Estate, Ballyfitrmol Road, Dublin 10. YOUTH EMPLOYMENT AGENCY, Carrisbrook House, Pembroke Road, Dublin ,t. 51 INDIVIDUAL AP~\ISTRONG, J. Victor, M.A., F.I.A., Ac/uatT and Managing Director, SKC Pension CollStdtalllS, I Slokes Place, St. Slephen’s Green, Dublin 2. BABEL-THOMSON, D., 48 Bilyside Square North, Sutton, Dublin 13. BARLOW, A. C., B.Sc., M.Sc., Deparunem of Economics, University College, Cork. BARRETT, Sean D., M.A., Economics Department, Trinity College, Dublin 2. * BARRINGTON, T. J., Dargleside, EnnlskenT, Co. wicklow. BARRY,John P., Pitney Bowcs PLC, Parkmore Industrial Estate, Long Mile Road, Dublin 12. *BEERE, Theklaj., M.A., LL.D., "Moyvalley", Glenalbyn Road, StiIlorgan Co. Dublin. SBLACK, R. D. C., Ph.D., I,t Malone Court, Beltktst BT9 6PA, N. Ireland. *BOURKE, J. V., M.Comm., Ph.D., LL.D., 22 Forlfield Park, Dublii~ 6. BOWE, Paul G., O.P., St. Saviour’s, Upper Dorset Street, Dublin 7. BOYLAN, Thomas A., B.A., M.Sc.(Ecoll.), Dcp;~rtmenl of Economics, University College, Galway. BOYLE, Joe, B.Colum., Golden V;de Food Products Ltd., Charleville, Co. Cork. BRADLEY, Finbarr D., B.E., M.B.A., M.Phil., International Business Dcparmlent, Room 800, New York University, GBA, I00 Trilfity Place, New York, NY 10006, USA. BRADLEY, M. Frank, B.A., M.Econ.Sc., Ph.D., Centre [br Inlernational Marketing Studies, Faculty of Commerce, University College, Belficld, Dublin 4. BRADY, Rev.John M., S.3., College of Indusu’ial Relations, Sired ford Road, Ranelagh, Dublin 6. BRENNAN, Francis R., B.Comm., D.P.A., Gihlockie, Sandyford Road, Dublin 14. BRODERICK,J. B., M.Sc., 6 AilesbulT Park, Ballsbridgc, Dubliii 4. BUC KLEY, D.J., Vice Presidenl and General Manager, Merck, Sharp and Dohne (Ireland} Ltd., Ballydine, Kilsheelan, Clonmcl, Co. Tipperary. BUITLEIR, Donal de, B.A., M.Econ.Sc., Ph.D., Flat 15, 38 Haddinglon Road, Dublin 4. BYE R, Jeffrey A., B.A, Wilbur Smith & Associales, 135 College Street, P.O. Box 9412, New H avert, Conllecticut 06532-9412, USA, CALLANAN, Brian, Corporate Planning & hdbrHlation orlicer, Shannon Free Airport Developmcnl Co., Shannon Free Airport, Co. Cl;tre. CARROLL, D. S. A., F.C.A., LL.D., Chairm;m, Carroll Industries Lid., Grand Parade, Dublin 6. CASEY, J. Jerome, B.A., M.Econ.Sc., 55 St. Laurence Road, Chapelizod, Dublin 20. CASHMAN, Aileen F., B.Psych., Dip.Ed., 2 Mountainview Road, Ranelagh, Dublin 6. CASSELLS, Peter, Dip.Admin.Se., Economic and Social Affairs Officer, Irish Co~gress of Trade Unions, 19 Raglan Road, Dublin 4. CASSIDY, Pat, h’ish Marketing StH’eeys Ltd., 19-21 Upper Pembroke Street, Dublin 2. CLANCY, Patrick, B.A., M.Ed., Ph.D., Department of Social Science, University College, Belfield, Dublil~ ’I. CLEARY, Frank, Monread Road, Naas, Co. Kildarc. COMISKEY, Tile Most Rev. B., D.D., Bishop of Ferns, Bishop’s House, Wexford. CONATY, PhilipJ., B.Sc., H.D.E., Marian College, Lansdowne Road, Dublin 4. CONLON, M. N., General Manager, Cork Savings Ballk, Administration Department, Douglas, Cork. CONNELLAN, Lianl, B.E., C.Eng., F.I.E.I., Director Gener’.d, Confederation of Irish IndustrT, Confi:deralion House, Kildare Street, Dublin 2. COOPE, Robin, B.Sc.(Econ.), Economics Department, Unilever PLC, P.O. Box 68, Unilever House, London EC4 P 4 BOa England. CDRLEY, Michael, B.A., B.Comm., H.D.E., 3 Four Seasons Drive, Tulla Roild, Ros¢levan, Ennis, Co. Clare. CORRY, Finbarr F., ,18 Beech Park Drive, Foxrock, Co. Dublin. COTTER, W.J., B.A., H.D.E., Dip.Ed.Man., Patrician High School, Carrickmacross, Co. M onaghan. COUGH LAN, J. A., Senior Lecturer in Social Administration, Social Studies Depai1mcnt, Trinity Collegt:, Dublin 2. CROMIEN, Seal1, B.A., Secretary, Dcparmlenl of Finance, Upper Mcrrion Street, Dublin 2. 52 DAVIS, joseph P., B.Comm., M.Sc.(Econ.), 59 Ballinclea Heights, Killincy, Co Dublin. *DEAN, Geofl]cy, M.D., F.R.C.P., The Hcahh Research Board, 73 Lower Baggol Slreel, Dublin 2. DELANY, James J., M.A., M.B.A., B.L., I’t Manor Close, Highficld Mitnor, Ratht~|l’llhalil, Dublin 16. "DEMPSEY, J. F., B.ConlnL, LL.D., F.C.A., Aparinlciu I 1, Ardoyne House, Pembroke P;trk, Ballsbridge, Dublin ,t. DOHERTY, jailles, M.B.I.M., B.A., B.Conllll., 7 PenHyburii hidtislrial Esiaic, Derr)’ BT48 OLU, N. Ireland. DONNELLY, j., Deloiiie, Haskiils & Sells, Fitzwlhon House, Wilton, Place, Dublin 2. DOUGLAS, D.J.A., B.A., M.A., M.C.I.P., Protk:ssor and Director, Uilivcrsity Schc~ol o[" Rural Planning and DIwdopitleHl, Univci’siiy o[’Gudph, Guelph, Ontario NIG 2WI, Czlllada. DOWNES, Margaret, B.Colnm., F.C.A, Consuhallt, Coopers & Lybrillld, Fiizwihon House, Wilton Place, Dublin 2. DOYLE, MalT, B.A., M.A., ,t8 Ardtnore Crescent, Arilllle, Dublin 5. DOYLE, Rev. Robert, OFM, B.A., B.Ph., S.T.L., I-I.D.E., Francisc[tn College, GorlHanstoN. Co. Mcaih. DRUDY, P.j., M.Econ.Sc., MA., Ph.D., Deparimeni of Economics, Trinity College. Dublin 2. DUFP/, Bro. Declan, Gener~d SecreiaiT, Secretarial of SecolldaIT Schools, Milhowll Park, Dublin 6. DUNCAN, James S.,/vI.Sc., President, .J.S. Duncan hldustriid Research Ltd., 9819-113th Street, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada TSK INS. DURKAN,Joseph, M.A., Avonlea, Leixlip Road, Lucan, Co. Dublill. FERRIS, Thomas P., B.A., M.A., 12 Anglcse;t Avenue, Blackrock, Co. Dublin. FINE-DAVIS, Mitrgrcl, B.Sc., M.A., Ph.D., l)eparimenl of Psychology, Triifity College, 25 Westland Row, Dublin 2. FEFZGERALD, Patrick C., B.A., 23 O’Donoghue Avenue, Janesboro, LilNcrlck. FITZPATRICK,Jinl, B.Soc.Sc., M.A., Ph.D., 58 Hitdditigioi] Road, Dublill ,t. FOX, Aidan, M.A., Lecturer, Regional Tcchifica] College, Carlow. GALLAGHER, Bro. Finniail, Dirccior, Heahh Care Olllce, C.M.R.S., Milhown Park, Dublin 6. GANNON,Jack, h’ish TranSl)Ort and General Workers’ Uitlon, 10 Palincrsion Park, Dublin 6. GEARY, Patrick, B.Comm., M.Econ.Sc., Dcpartnlenl of Economics, Maynooth College, Co. Kildare. GIBBONS, Siobhan J., 233 Dcnison Sireel, Highland Park, New Jersey 0890,t, USA. GIBSON, N.j., B.Sc.(Econ.), Ph.D. Pro-Vice-Chancellor, The University of Ulsicr, Univers y House, Croinore Road, Co. Dcrry BT52 I SA. GILLESPIE, SeanHls, M.A., B.Sc.(Econ.), D.G. II-A-I, EEC ColIinlission, Rootll 7/36,200 Rtlt~ tie la Loi, B-1049 Brussels, Belgium. *GILLMAN, C. J., M.Sc., 39 Fciarslatld Road. Dublin 1,1. GIRODET, Jean-Louis, First SccretaIT, French l-nlbassy, 36 Ailesbul), Road, Dublin ,I. GOGAN, Roy. Brian, C.S.Sp., HI.D., 169 Boolei’stown Avenue, Co. Dublin. GRANT, Drostail J., 34 Morelialnploll Road, DulJiiii 4. HALL, Patrick A., B.E., M.S., Dip.Slat., Director of" Reseiirc]l, Institute of Public Adilili]isii’aliOll, 59-61 l~tlisdowlie Road, Dubliil 4. HANNAH, I;’illllOllll A., A.C.P,A., t~,.I,C,A.+ A.C.C.S., I).L.S., Chicl’Execullve Officer, \Ve$1eI’II Heallh Board, Merlin Park, Galway. HEALY, Roy. Seanj., M.A., Ph.D., Ditrtl’y House, Orwcll P~ll’k, Ritlhg:lr, Dublin 6. HENEGHAN, Philip, M.A., Ph.D., CHL Consuhillg, 2 Kingrani Place, Dubliil 2. HIGGINS, TeI’elICe, B.Coilllli., liltei’il;l] Auditor, ]’elccotll Eirt:iilill. Block C, Roolli 280, St. Sll:phl211’s Gl-lAell ~,4;CSi, Dublill 2. *HONOHAN, W. A., M.A., F.I.A., 102 St. Mobhi Road, Glastlcvitl, Dublin 9. HYNES, J. A., Chloe’Executive OI]ice, Mid-Western Health Board, 31133 Calhcrine Slrct:l, Limerick. *3F.NKINS, jcffrey B., M.A.(Oxon,), 20 Ailcsbliry I)rlve, Donnybrook, Dublin .t. 53 KAVANAGH, Tile Mosl Rev. james, Bishop of Zerta, 181 Swords Road, Whitehall, Dublin 9. KEANE, Nancy R., M,A., Tile Old Rector)’, Rathdowncy, Co. Laois, KEANE, M, A., M.Econ.Sc., B,Comm., 6 Manor Green, Highfield Manor, Rathfarnhanl, Dublin 16. KEANE, William T., Ph.D., The Old Rector),, Rathdowney, Co. Laois. KEEGAN, Michael F., B.A., B.Comm., D.P.A., F.I.P.M., Secreiar)’, Deparunent of Labour, Daviu House, iVlespil Road, Dublin ,t. KEHOE, Pau’ick T., B.Comm., D.P.A., M.B.A., B.L., Ph.D., Trade Development Institute or Ireland, 138 Lower Baggot SIreet, Dublin 2. KELLEHER, Scan D., B.A., B.Colnm., F.C.A., 26 Ardmeen Park, Blackrock, Co. Dublin. KELLY, P. G., M.A., A.C.A., I Arranmorc Road, Herbert Park, B’,dlsbridge, Dublin 4. KELLY, PhilipJ., Cooney Corrigan Kelly, 18 Merrion Square, Dublin 2. KENNEDY, Colette, B.A., H.D.E., Beech View, Clonskeagh, Road, Dublin 14. KENNEDY, Pinola, M.A., Ph.D., 12 Richelieu Park, Ballsbridge, Dublin 4. *KENNY, Ivor, K.C.S.C., M.A., LL.D., C.B.I.M., L.F.Mgl.I., UniversiD’ College, Woodview, Belfield, Dublin 4. KENNY, Penelope, B.A., 13 Pabnerston Gardens, Rathmines, Dublin 6. KERR, S. A., M.Econ.Sc., B.Comm., D.P.A., 18 Maple Road, Dublin 14. LAWLOR, RobertJ., Principal, Dublin College of Catering, Cathal Brugha Street, Dublin 1. LENNON, PelerJ., B.A., M.S.A., DGI I I/F, Commission of the European Communities, Rue de la Lot 200, B-1049 Brussds, Belgium. *LESER, C. E. V., School of Economic Studies, University of Leeds, Leeds LS2 9JT, England. LINEHAN, Thomas P., B.E., B.Sc., Director, Central Statistics oft]ce, Earlsfort Terrace, Dublin 2. *LYNCH, Patrick, M.A., M.R.I.A., 68 Marlborough Road, Dublin 4. MANSERGH, Martin, Ph.D., Room 554, 5111 Floor, Leinster House, Kildare Street, Dublin 2. MEAD-FOX, David C., 8446 5701 Avenue, Belav),n Heights, Mar),land 20740, USA. *MEENAN,j. P., M.A., B.L, Albany House, Monkstown, Co. Dublin. MOLONEY, Thomas, Medic:d Laboratoiy Technologists’ Association, 29 Parnell Square, Dublin I. MOORE, William, General Manager (Operations) and SecretaIT, AgriculturM Credit Corporation, ACC House, Upper Hatch Street, Dublin 2. MORRISSEY, Rev. Thomas, S.J., Director, College of" lndusuiM Relations, Sandyford Road, Ranelagh, Dublin 6. *MULDOWNEY, S. J., F.C.A, 13 Fortfield Drive, Terctlure, Dublin 6. MURPHY, Denis, B.Comm., M.B.A., F.C.A., A.C.M.A., Avondale, Navigation Road, Mallow, Co. Cork. MURPHY, Michaelj., M.B.A., B.Comm., D.P.A., Home Trade Director, h’ish Distillers Ltd., Smithfield, Dublin 7, MURPHY, Ror)’, Nation~d Secrelar)’, Association of Sciendtic, Technical and Manageri’.d Staffs, 38 Lower Leeson Street, Dublin 2. *MURRAY, C. H., LL.D., 6 Washington Park, Dublin 14. McALEESE, Dermot, B.Colnm., M.Econ.Sc., M.A., Ph.D., Department of Economics, Trinity College, Dublin 2. McCARTHY, Eugene, M.Sc.(Econ.}, D.Econ.Sc., 4 Ailesbur)’ Park, B’,dlsbridge, Dublin 4. McCARTHY, John P., A.B., M.A., M.Se.(Econ.), Waterford Region’.d Technical College, Cork Road, Waler ford. McCARTHY, p.J., B.A., 6 Inchvale Avellue, Douglas West, Co. Cork. McCOLGAN, Winston, Chief Executive, Co-Operation Nol’th, FiIzwilliam Court, Leeson Close, Dublin 2. /VlcCRAVE, Sean, B.Sc., Irish Tam Limited, 15 Adelaide Street, Dun Laoghaire, Co. Dublin. McEVOY, P.j., B.Comm., D.P.A., 4 Villa Park Road, Navan Road, Dublin 7. *McGARTOLL, J., M.A., 65 Knock]~ashce, Lower Kilmacud Road, Goatstown, Dublin 14. McKAY, John J., B.Sc., B.Comm,, D.P.A., M.Econ.Sc., Drulnelis, Cavan. McKENNA, Rev. L, Sj., Jusdcc Department, Conference of Major Religious Superiors, Milltown Park, Dublin 6. 54 "NAGLE,j. C., M.Econ.Sc., 9 Wimon Avenue, Rathgar, Dublin 6. NEVIN, Donai, 8 Taney Crcsccm, Dundrum, Dublill I,I. "NEV1N, Monica, B.A., Ph.D., Hunter’s Moon, Sydcnham Viii:us, Dundruin, Dublin 14. NOLAN, Rt:v. J. R. M., M.A., D.D., M.A.(Camab.), Department of Logic and Psychology, Uniw:rsiW College, Bdficld, Dublin 4. NUNAN, Donald, M.Econ.Sc., College Lecturer, Dcpartincilt ol- Ecollomics, Univcrsily College, Cork. O’BRIEN, Patrick E., 22 Calderwood Circle, Doimybrook, I)ouglas, Cork. O’BROIN,Joseph, Craig Gardner & Co., Gardner House, Wilton Place, Dublin 2. *O’BROLCHAIN, R., B.A., 22 St. Helen’s Road, Boolei’slown, Co. Dublim O CAOLLAI, M., 39 Bothar Bamon Thoir, BaBe Aflla Cliath 14. O’CARROLL, Seamus, B.E., M.B.A., M.I.E.I., C.Eng., Corporate Planning Manager, Cemcnl Roads~o;~e Holdings PLC, Bclgard Castle, Clondalkin, Dublin 22. O CEARBHAILL, Diarutuld, M.A., B.Comm., H.D.E., 1)eparllllent oFEconomcs, Utlivcrslty College, Galway. *O CEARBHAILL, T., "Tinode", 113 Roebuck Road, Dublin 14. "O COFAIGH, Tomas F., 114 Landscape Park, Churduown, Dublin I,I. O COIRBH IN, Diorai, A.C.A., B.Sc.(Econ.), Secretary/Bursar, Universily College, Galway. O’CONNELL, Roy. john, B.A., IVI.A., 99 Claremont Court, Glasnevin, Dublin 11. O’CONNOR, Cathal, B.CoInm., M.B.S., 1 Sycalnorc Drive, The Park, Cal)imeely, Co. Dublin. O’CONNOR, joyce, B.Soc.Sc., M.Soc.Sc., Ph.D., Director, Soci;d Research Cemrc, National Institulc for Higher Education, Limerick. *O’DOHERTV, Rex,. E. F., M.A., Ph.D., Apt. 5, Donnybrook Creelh Dublin 4. O’DWYER, jamcs P., B.A., B.L., Manager, I-lulnall Resources, Chase Batik (Ireland) Ltd.,18 St. Stcphcn’s Green, Dublin 2. "O FIONNGHALAIGH, I., 55 Callar), Road, Mount McrrioTh Co. Dublin. O’HAGAN,john W., B.E., B.A., M.A., Ph.D., S.F.T.C.D., DcparluleiH of Economics, Trinity College, Dublin 2. O’KELLY, Kevin A., B.A., 18 /Vlaywood Crescent, Rahcny, Dublin ,5. O’MAHONY, David P., M.A., Ph.D., B.L., Dcpartmem of Economics, U,iversily Cortege, Cork. O’MARA, Aidan,J., M.Sc.(MgL), Nokia Ltd., McKee Avenue, Finglas, Dublin I I. O’NEILL, Helen, B.Conull., M.A., Ph.D., Cclltre for Development Studies, Depat’tlllelll of Political Economy, University College, Belfield, Dublin ,t. "O N’tJALLAIN, Lablwas, D.Econ.Sc., "Kilclooncy", Pollnaroome West, Sahhill, Galway. O NLIALLAIN, Ruairi, M.A., Dip.Sta~., 18 Hermitage Lawn, Rathfarnham, Dublin 16. O’RAFFERTY, Scan, B.E., D.I.C., P.Eng., M.E.I.C., A.S.C.E., Procter aml Redfern Limited, Consuhiiig Engineers & Planllers, 74 O’Lca,T Avenue, St. JohllS, Newfoulldland, Canada A 1 B 3T2. O’REGAN, Liam, B.A., B.Colmn., Ard Ailcan, Abbcystrewel)’, Skibbereen, Co. Cork. O’RIORDAN, Marius, Rcsezlrch Dcparuncnt, Irish Transport and General Workers’ Union, Liberty H’,dl, Dublin I. O’RIORDAN, William K., M.Econ.Sc., Room D220, Deparmlem of Political Economy, Univcrsily College, Belficld, Dublin 4. O’SULLIVAN, Harold j., Institute of Industri~fl Research and Stamlards, Ballymun Ro;td, Dublin 9. PA’f’YERSON, Brian, B.A., M.I.I.E., A.I.P.M., Director General, h’ish Management Institute, Sandyfurd Road, Dublin 16. POWER, B.J., Director/SccretaD’, h’ish Biscuiis Limited, Belgard Road, TaIlaghl, Dublin 24. PRATSC H KE,John L., Ph.D., School of Business Adminisu:uion, National hlslilute tor Higher Educatiox*, Glasncvin, Dublin 9. Q.UINN, Gerard, Ph.D., 38 Stillorgan Grove, Blackrock, Co. I)ublirl. 55 REYNOLDS, Thomas, B.L., B.C.L, Managing Director, Construction lndusn’y Federation, Federation House, Canal Road, Dublin 6. RICHARDSON, Fiomm:da, 6 Avenue Des Eoliennes, Wohlwe-St-Lambert, 1200 Brussels, Bdgiuln. ROCHE,John D., B.Conlm., M.Sc., 21 Mapas Avenue, D’,dkey, Co. Dublin. ROWAN, Patrick D., B.A., M.A., Patrick D. Rowan & Co., SoIiciturs, 29 Fitzwillialn Place, Dublin 2. RUANE, Frances, Ph.D., Deparmmnt of Economics, Trini~’ College, Dublin 2. *RUSSELL, <3. E., Derravoher, North Circular Road, Limerick. RYAN, W.J.L., Ph.D., Deputy Governor, Bank of Irdand, Lower Baggol Su’ect, Dublin 2. SAN DS, Thomas j., Roscaln, G:dway. SHEEHAN,john, C.B.S. Records, Unit 2, Carriglca Industrial Estate, Bluebell, Dublin 12. SHEEHY, Seamus, B.Agr.Sc., Ph.D., Department of Applied Agricultural Economics, University College, Bclfiehl, Dublin ,L SHERWOOD, Cecil N.+ F.A.A.I, 10 Cool Kill, Sandyrord, Co. Dublin. SHUBOTHAM, David, B+Comm., A,C.M.A., c/oJ. & E. Daw, Government Stock and Share Brokers, 60 Dawson Street, Dublin 2. SHUTONG, Wang, Chinese Embassy, 40 Ailesbu~, Road, Dublin 4. *SMITH, Cornelius F., "Modeshill", 34 Stillorgan Grove, Blackrock, Co. Dublin. SM rrH, Louis P. F., D.Econ.Sc., Ph.D., 22 The Elms, Stillorg~m Road, Dom@)rook, Dublin 4. SPENCER, John E., B.Sc.(Econ.), Deparmlenl of Economics, The (~uccn’s University of Bclthst, Belfasl BT7 INN, N. h’dand. S-FEWART,J. C., B.A., B.B.S., M.Sc., Department of Business Studies, Trinity College, Dublin 2. SWEENEY, Roy.John+ S.J., B.A., S.T.L Jesuit Centre for Faith and Justice, 26 Upper Sherrard Street, Dublin I. THORNBURGH, Brian E., B.A., A.M.I.P.M., M.I.I.E., Personnel Direclor, Technicon (Irdand) Limited, Church Lane, Swords, Co. Dublin. -tONER, Thomas, C., B.Comm., M.B.A., BW13 Limited, Irish Distillers Group PLC, Bow Street Distille~’, Smidlfidd, Dublin 7. TURP[N, Paul, B.A., M.A., I,t Limetree Avenue, Martdlo, Portmamock, Co. Dublin. TWIST, Nicholas, Economic Division, Deparmlent of Foreign Affairs, 80 St. Stephen’s Green, Dublin 2. WA LSH, Brendan M., B.A., M.A., Ph.D., Department of Political Economy, University College, Bdl]eld, Dublin 4. WALSH, Edward, 13 The Close, Boden Park, Scholarstown Road, Rathfamham, Dublin 14. *WALSH, T., M.Agr.Sc., Ph.D., D.Sc., LL.D., M.R.[.A., Woodside, Trees Avenue, Mount Merrion, Co. I)ublin. WALSH, T. K., B.ConlnL, M.Econ.Sc., F.C.A., 219 Templeogue Road, Dublin 6. WALSH, ThomasJ., Northwest Orient Airlines, 15 Dawson Street, Dublin 2. WARD, Rev. Conor K.. B.A., S.T.L, Ph.D., Department of Social Science, University College, Bdfidd, Dublin 4. WARD, Patrick T., A.C.I.S., South Eastern Heald) Board, Lacken, Dublin Road, KilkemD,. WHELAN, Noel, Vice-President, European Investment Bank, 100 Boulevard Konrad Adenauer, P.O. Box 2005, 1020 Luxembourg-Kirchberg. *WH ITAKER, T. K., M.Sc.(Econ.), D.Econ.Sc., LL.D., 148 Stillorgan Road, Dublin 4. WH[TE, Padraic A., B.Comm., D.P.A., Managing Director, Industrial Development Authorit),, Wihon Park House, Wihon Place, Dublin 2. WRIGHT, Gerard A., B.Comm., M.Econ.Sc., C.Dip.A.F., Ph.D., 5 Hillside Drive, Rathi]unhanl, I)ublin 16. *Life Member. 56 Appendix G THE ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE 4 Burlington Road, Dublin’4 INCOME AND EXPENDITURE ACCOUNT FOR TIlE YEAR ENDED 31st DECEMBER 1986 year ended 31/12/86 £ £ INCOME: Grants: Grant-In-Aid Grants from Protects Miscella?leozls l~lcotne: Members Subscriptions Sale of Publications Rent Receivable ycarcndcd31/12/85 £ £ I, 175,000 346,247 I, I 18,200 306,372 1,521,247 1 ,,t 19,572 29,790 25,568 39,000 27,845 2,t,27,t 38,000 1,615,605 EXPENDITURE: Salaries: Ad ministration Research Sulwc), Unit Administration and Technical Staff Clcric~d and Odlcr Staff 1,509,691 122,99,t 614,841 I 18,580 584,298 139,221 240,939 125,9,t 7 231,0,t9 1,117,995 1,059,869 9,203 8,935 1,108,792 1,050,934 Field Staff Feea 57,492 44,276 Fellowships 29,577 27,3,t9 67,377 55,799 46,637 20,723 3,504 5,1,876 18,564 3,458 39,039 174,689 61,171 8,884 35,2,t5 17,1,673 ,t 1,853 9,030 ¯ I 22,024 393,,I 98 Less: Transfer to Economic and Social Sludies Account General Expenses Printing and Stationci’y Heat, Light, Maintenance and Cleaning Expenses Travel and Subsistence Professional Fccs Postage, Insurance, Telephoto: and Gcncl’al Expenses Rent aJld Rates Dala Prcaccssing Depreciation: Librai)’ Books 1,617,885 Excess of L2xJ)enditure over Income for Fear 1,516,057 (2,280) The attached Notes lltltld)crcd 1 to 4 form a,i integral part oft hcsc Accounts alld should be read in colljunction lhercwith. Eugene McCarthy l Members of Council Signed: Patrick Lynch J J. Rougllan Secrelar)’ 57 (6,366) THE ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE 4 Burlington Road, Dublin 4 (A Company Limited by Guarantee and not having a Share Capital) BALANCE SHEET AS AT 31sI DECEMBER 1986 FIXED ASSETS Furniture, Fitting and Equiplnent (At Cost) Additions during tile Ycar yearcndcd 31112186 £ £ year ended 31/12/85 £ £ 107,278 107,278 less: Aggregate Depreciation 107,278 103,806 LibrazT Books Additions during the Year 96,427 8,884 105,311 104,915 Less: Aggcgate Depreciation TOTAL FIXED ASSETS Current Assels Stock of StationczT Stock of Printed Matcri’,ds SundD’ Debtors and Prepaid Expenses 3,472 107,278 103,806 3,472 87,397 9,030 396 96,427 96,031 3,868 396 3,868 150 200 77,295 200 275 67,761 77,6,15 68,236 68,045 4,217 64,427 03,057) 72,262 51,370 CURRENT LIABILITIES Sundl’y Creditors and Accrued Expenses Bank Overdraft NET CURRENT ASSETS 5,383 16,866 TOTAL NET ASSETS 9,251 20,734 20,734 36,035 (2,280) (6,366) 18,454 29,669 9,203 8,935 9,251 20,734 Represented By: Accumulated Fund Balance as at 31st December 1985 Deduct: Excess of Expenditure over Income tbr the Year Less: Econonfic and Soci’,d Studies Account AtllOtlllt Wrlttcn off for the Year Balance as at 31st December 1986 The attached Notes nunlbcrcd I tO 4 form an integral part of these Accounts mid should be read in conjunction therewith. Signed: Eugene M, cCard, y ]~ Members o/Council l Patrick L) rich J. Roughan Secretary 58 THE ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE 4 Burlington Road. Dublin 4 NOTES TO AND FORMING PART OF THE ACCOUNTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31st DECEMBER 1986 I. Accounting Policies and Convention (a) Basis of Accotmts The Accounts have been pi’cpal’ed utldcr the Historical Cost ConvcilliOll. (b) Depreciation (i}Assc~ actluircd prior to31st December 1974 have now been filllydcprecialcd leaving the following residual values. £ 3,,I 72 396 Furniture, Fittings and Etluipmc.t LiblTu), Books (il} Assets acquired sitlcc 31 st December 197,1 arc depreciated at 100% per amlum. 2. Debtors attd Prepaid E.’q~enses This mount is comprised of: Grants tot Projecls OIher Debtors and Prepaid Expenses £ 60,573 16,722 77,295 3. Creditors and Accnted EaTJenses PAYE and PRSI for Deccmbci- 1986 Odler Creditors and Accrued Expenses 35,806 32,239 68,045 4. Taxation The Company is exempted from liability to Corporation Tax trader Scclion I I(b) of Ihc Corporatioll Tax Act 1975. STATEMENT OFSOURCE AND APPLICATION OF FUNDS FOR TH E YEAR ENDED 31st DECEMBER 1986 1986 Source of ~:l.uls Deficil Ior the Year AdjusliHent for hems not Im’olving £ 1985 £ {2,280) £ £ (6.366) IIl~ ~’loVelllelll Of" Ftzlld5: Dcpreclalion Total Generated from Operations Application of k~mls Pul’c}last: of Fixed AsseI,S Economic aiid Social Studies 8,88,1 9.203 Increase/(Oecrease) in Working Capital Stocks Debtors Clcdhors Movement in Net Liquid Fu.ds: Bank 59 8,88,t 9,030 6,604 2,664 18,087 9,030 8,935 17,965 (11,483) (15,301) 025) 9,534 (3,618) (:5) (99.32,1) 10,720 (17,274) 73,318 (11,,183) (15,301) REPORT OFTHE AUDITORSTO THE MEMBERS OFTHE ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE We have examined the annexed Balallcc Sheet and In¢olne and Expenditure Account of tile Company and have obtail~cd all the information and cxplaJlations which to the bust ol+our knowledge and belief were necessal’y for the purpose of our audit. In our opitfon prolJcr books ofaccotm( have been kept by the Company, so faras appears fiom our t:xallliilat]oll ol’thosc books and tit~ Balarttzts Sheet and hlcoItlc alld Expczlditui’~: Ac+:ouxlt In our opinion and to the best of our ialformation and according to tile explanations +b’ell 1o US, th~ a’.:c’o tltlt$ givt~ tilt: ix~ fot’iitatioll rt:~.]uirt:d by thts ColllI~a]liC$ AelS, 1963 to J 953, in II1~ illanner ~o rt~qu[i-cd, and tile 13;tl~xlcc Sheet and [licorice and F+xpc:ndlturt: Atzcoutlt, rt~p<:ct~’t:ly, gi~,tz a truc alld I~tir view of ih¢ state of the Colnpany’s al’l~irs as al 31 st I)cce1111~ei- 1986 and of tile E×+.:css of Exp~ndittlrt: ovt~r" ]iwotn~ for tilts year ttndtzd oil that da(c. 16 May, 1987 Dublin 9. Bastow Charlcton & Co., Chartered Accountants. Prlnled by Argus Press Ltd. 87.48.5