Diapositive 1 - Gérifonds, Your investment funds partner since 1970
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Diapositive 1 - Gérifonds, Your investment funds partner since 1970
UbAM (CH) - swiss small and mid cap equity Swiss gems NOVEMBER 2015 For Swiss qualified investors only Content The Swiss small- and mid-cap market 3 Investment team, philosophy and approach 11 UBAM (CH) - Swiss Small and Mid Cap Equity 25 Conclusion 29 Appendix 36 Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA │ Asset Management 2 I. THE SwIss small- and mid-cap MARKET Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA │ Asset Management The Swiss Small- and Mid-Cap Market Strong long-term absolute and relative performance Comparative performance 700 700 Index: Jan.1996 =100 600 600 SPI Extra 500 SPI 500 MSCI World Net TR (CHF) 400 400 300 300 200 200 100 100 Source: Datastream, Bloomberg as of 31/10/2015 Past performance is not an indicator of future results 0 0 The SPI Extra (the Swiss small- and mid-cap index) has demonstrated strong long-term returns, driven by generally higher underlying growth rates, while both the SPI and the SPI Extra have delivered significantly higher returns than global equity markets. Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA │ Asset Management 4 The Swiss Small- and Mid-Cap Market A well-diversified market Swiss indices comparison The SPI Extra, often referred to as Referred to as the small- and mid-cap index, is Universe well-diversified. It has less concentration risk given the exclusion in particular of the Stocks Calculation Market cap Swiss ‘Big 3’ (Nestlé, Novartis, Roche). from the large-cap focused (GICS) more balanced and very different Sectors Sector weightings are similarly SPI SMI Swiss Performance Index Swiss Market Index Swiss all cap index Swiss large cap index All Swiss-listed companies 20 large Swiss companies SPI Extra Swiss small & mid cap index SPI excluding SMI Total return index Price index Total return index Number 207 20 187 Weight of top 3 51% (Nestlé, Novartis, Roche) 61% (Nestlé, Novartis, Roche) 11% Weight of top 10 74% 88% 34% Range CHF 0.01 - 250 billion CHF 5 - 250 billion CHF 0.01 - 17 billion Weighted average CHF 129 billion CHF 153 billion CHF 5 billion Breakdown Large (>CHF 5bn): 92% Mid (CHF 1-5bn): 6% Small (<CHF 1bn): 2% Large (>CHF 5bn): 100% Large (>CHF 5bn): 53% Mid (CHF 1-5bn): 34% Small (<CHF 1bn): 13% Largest (Weight) Healthcare (36%) Consumer Staples (21%) Financials (19%) Healthcare (40%) Consumer Staples (22%) Financials (17%) Financials (29%) Industrials (23%) Healthcare (15%) Smallest (Weight) Energy, Technology, Utilities (each <1%) Energy, Technology, Utilities (each <1%) Energy, Telecom, Utilities (each <1%) indices. Industrials in particular are more represented. Source: UBP, Bloomberg; as of 31/10/2015 Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA │ Asset Management 5 The Swiss Small- and Mid-Cap Market Smaller companies but still global market leaders Select SPI Extra market leading companies Switzerland is renowned for its large global industry leaders, many are Company Name Market cap (CHF bn) household names in their fields e.g. Kuehne + Nagel 16 Industrials seafreight forwarding Sonova 9 Health Care hearing care solutions Barry Callebaut 7 Cons. Staples Dufry 6 Cons. Discretionary Clariant 6 Materials Aryzta 4.1 Cons. Staples OC Oerlikon 3.2 Industrials plasma-based coatings for precision components Leonteq 3.0 Financials white label structured products servicing Logitech 2.5 Info. Technology computer peripherals ams 2.3 Info. Technology analog MEMS solutions, analog light sensors Gategroup 1.0 Industrials independent airline catering and provisioning Autoneum 0.8 Cons. Discretionary acoustic and thermal management solutions Kuoni Reisen 0.8 Cons. Discretionary group travel and visa services Komax 0.6 Industrials Comet 0.5 Info. Technology Feintool 0.4 Industrials Schaffner 0.1 Info. Technology electromagnetic compatibility products Cicor Technologies 0.1 Info. Technology PCBs for pacemakers Nestlé, Novartis, LafargeHolcim, Richemont. The space Swiss is small- and mid-cap also characterised global industry leaders, often by in niche and attractive markets. This leadership is a reflection of competitive advantages and high value-add products and services, and ultimately creates pricing power. Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA │ Asset Management Sector (GICS) Global market leader in: high-quality chocolate and cocoa products travel retail organic pigments, catalyst applications frozen bakery goods wirebonding components for x-ray machines fineblanking systems Source: UBP, Bloomberg; as of 31/10/2015 6 The Swiss Small- and Mid-Cap Market A source of M&A targets and regular IPOs Swiss small- and mid-caps have SPI Extra M&A targets and IPOs 14.0 M&A targets volume (CHF bn, lhs) 9 IPO volume (CHF bn, lhs) 12.0 10 M&A targets deal count (rhs) 8 IPO deal count (rhs) 10.0 8.0 6.0 been regular acquisition targets over the years. A regular stream of IPOs has 7 partially 6 reduction in shares. We believe 5 there is an interesting IPO pipeline 4 coming to market. compensated for this 3 4.0 2 2.0 1 0.0 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: UBP, Bloomberg; as at 31/12/2014 Past performance is not an indicator of future results On the whole though, we continue to see de-equitisation in the smalland mid-cap space, similar to the one in large caps (through buybacks). Source: UBP, Bloomberg; as at 31/12/2014 Past performance is not an indicator of future results Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA │ Asset Management 7 The Swiss Small- and Mid-Cap Market Improving global environment and strong earnings growth profile We expect global economic growth to improve in 2015-16, driven by the US and Europe. This is positive for many companies’ end-users and is generally positive for equity markets as a whole. Swiss small- and mid-caps have strong earnings growth profiles. Over the next 3 years, SPI Extra earnings are expected to grow at a rate of 12% vs. 9% for large-caps. Improving global growth GDP y/y % WORLD . Market exchange rate . PPP basis 2014 Consensus earnings growth expectations 2015 2016 (consensus) (consensus) 16% SMI (large-cap) SPI (all-cap) SPI Extra 12% 2.7 3.4 2.7 3.3 3.0 3.6 8% USA 2.4 2.5 2.6 Eurozone 0.8 1.5 1.6 Japan -0.1 0.7 1.2 4% 0% 2016 2017 2018 Source: UBP, Bloomberg; as at 31/10/2015 Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA │ Asset Management 8 The Swiss Small- and Mid-Cap Market Strong balance sheets and cash returns to investors Swiss small- and mid-cap companies boast solid balance sheets given a history of conservative management. The SPI Extra can claim a majority of net cash companies. With zero-to-negative yield on cash, cheap debt financing available and a high cost of equity, we expect increased cash returns to shareholders (dividends, buybacks) and for M&A opportunities to emerge. Weight of index companies in net cash position* 60% Swiss companies lowly leveraged: net debt-to-equity (%)* 80 SMI (large-cap) *ex-financials SPI (all-cap) SPI Extra *ex-financials 60 40% 40 50% 20% 20 9% 15% 0% 0 US Europe exSwiss Japan Swiss Swiss Small& Mid-caps Source: UBP, Bloomberg; as at 31/10/2015 Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA │ Asset Management 9 The Swiss Small- and Mid-Cap Market Current timing is attractive Performance since Mar 2011 180 Swiss small- and mid-caps have considerably +63% underperformed large-caps since 2011. 140 +39% In terms of relative valuations, the SPI Extra 100 is trading near ten-year lows to the SMI. SMI Total Return (large-cap) SPI Extra (small- & mid-cap) We attribute this to reduced sell-side focus 60 Mar-11 Mar-12 Mar-13 Mar-14 Mar-15 given constrained resources at many brokers, and, more recently, to the perception— incorrect in our view—that SPI Extra forward P/E ratio premium to SMI 40% smaller companies are more sensitive to currency moves. We believe our depth of experience and Higher valuations for small- & mid-caps 30% 20% 10% knowledge of small- and mid-caps create potential for significant alpha generation. 0% 2005 2006 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2015 Source: UBP, Bloomberg; as at 31/10/2015 Past performance is not an indicator of future results Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA │ Asset Management 10 ii. Investment TEAM, philosophy AND APPROACH Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA │ Asset Management UBP’s Swiss Equity Team A local team with extensive experience An extensive knowledge of the Swiss equity market Managing Swiss equities is a key expertise at UBP Team and investment process in place since 2006 Strong and recognized performance for our range of funds Conviction-based approach Bottom-up stock selection, aimed at finding… …Undervalued stocks along the companies’ cash flow return on investment (CFROI) life cycle Active management of positions and tracking error Diverse range of products UBAM - Swiss Equity UBAM - Swiss Small and Mid Cap Equity UBAM (CH) - Swiss Small and Mid Cap Equity UBP Swiss Small Cap Basket Swiss Leaders strategy Institutional mandates Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA │ Asset Management 12 UBP’s Swiss Equity Team Benefitting from UBP’s global network of investment professionals The Swiss & Global Equity team Eleanor Taylor Jolidon Martin Moeller, CFA Swiss Equity, Lead Manager Head of Swiss & Global Eq., Deputy Manager Swiss Eq. Bettina Baur, CFA Souleymane Diallo Omar Moufti, CFA, CAIA Swiss & Global Equities, Portfolio Manager / Analysts The Swiss & Global Equity Team manages CHF 2.4 billion in mandates and funds (Swiss and Luxembourg structures) UBP’s Global Network CIO and Economic & Thematic Research 4 people, Geneva Global Equity Research 6 people, Geneva Equity Portfolio Management Europe 6 people, London Equity Portfolio Management Emerging Europe & EM 5 people, London Equity Portfolio Management Asia 18 people, HK, Shanghai & Taipei Convertibles Research and Portfolio Management 7 people, Paris Credit Research 7 people, Geneva Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA │ Asset Management Macro flash notes, earnings update, market views Stock recommendations Investment cases Financial models Company meetings feedback Views on catalysts Theme generation Sector views Local market updates Sell-side access and selection Cross-check payouts, balance sheets, cash flow analyses 13 UBP’s Swiss Equity Team Biographies Eleanor TAYLOR JOLIDON joined UBP in 2008 and is the lead portfolio manager for all Swiss equity portfolios and the deputy manager for all global ones. She has began her career at Banque Indosuez (now Crédit Agricole) in 1993 where she held various positions in private banking, discretionary portfolio management, marketing and risk management. She later worked as a management consultant for financial services with PriceWaterhouseCoopers, Switzerland, before moving to Bank Sal. Oppenheim in Zurich doing institutional sales and Swiss equity analysis. Prior to UBP, she spent 4 years at Independent Asset Management (IAM) in Geneva as a Swiss equity analyst in the Swiss equity portfolio management team. Eleanor holds a diplôme d’études approfondies (DEA) in Economics from the College of Europe, Natolin (Poland) and a MA in Modern and Medieval Languages (French and Russian) from the University of Cambridge, UK. Martin MOELLER joined UBP in 2006 and is the head of the Swiss & Global Equity team. He is the lead portfolio manager for global equity portfolios and the deputy manager for all Swiss ones. He has been in banking since 1992, and involved in equity research and portfolio management since 1998. Previously he spent 14 years at Deutsche Bank, in Berlin, Frankfurt and New York, in various roles including equity and credit research, generally focusing on banking and insurance. He holds a MA in Banking and Finance from the Frankfurt School of Finance & Management and is a CFA charterholder. Martin is the author of Strategic Concepts of Universal Banks, published in 2000. Bettina BAUR joined UBP in 2015 as a portfolio manager in the Swiss & Global Equity team. Bettina started her career in banking in 2005 as a graduate trainee in Private Banking at HSBC Private Bank in the UK and the US. Upon completion of the trainee program she became a structured products trader at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva. After that she moved to the equity sales department at Credit Suisse in Zurich where she advised Swiss institutional clients on European and global emerging market equities for 7 years. Bettina holds a MA in Business Administration from the University of Zurich and is a CFA Charterholder. Souleymane DIALLO joined UBP’s Swiss & Global Equity team as junior portfolio manager in 2014. He assists the lead portfolio managers in all aspects, and is in charge of trading and execution. He has been in the asset management industry since 2006 primarily as IT Business Analyst, the role in which he initially joined UBP in 2010. Prior to this, he spent 4 years at HSBC Global Asset Management in Paris and London. Souleymane holds a MSc in Computer Science from ESME Sudria (Paris) and a MSc in Finance and Asset Management from Université Paris Dauphine (Paris). Omar MOUFTI joined UBP’s Swiss & Global Equity team as junior portfolio manager in 2014, focusing on macroeconomic and thematic views and on Emerging Market stocks. Additionally, as the Team’s designated investment specialist, he represents the portfolio management team inside and outside the firm. He joined UBP in 2006 as an investment advisor for hedge fund portfolios, in London and then Hong Kong. In 2011, he joined UBP’s Asian Equity Team, ultimately serving as portfolio manager concentrating on macro research and Southeast Asian stocks. Omar holds a BA Economics from the American University of Beirut, Lebanon, and a MSc Economics (Hons.) from the University of Surrey, UK. He is a CFA and CAIA charterholder. Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA │ Asset Management 14 Investment Philosophy CFROI-based investing with active management of tracking error Income statements can be misleading and/or manipulated; cash flows are more accurate and more indicative in the long run. Cash flow return on investment (CFROI) best reflects the decision-making process of company’s management, and is a consistent indicator of its ability to create value for investors. Corporations tend to follow a similar life cycle of profitability, reflected by their respective CFROI which is an efficient tool for comparing companies across sectors and countries. We seek undervalued stocks along the company CFROI life cycle. We build conviction by in-depth analysis of companies and their environment. Active stock picking is necessary to deliver long run outperformance for our investors… …but it is important to manage the degree of active risk. Active management of portfolio tracking error is a key part of our approach to portfolio construction and risk. Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA │ Asset Management 15 Investment Philosophy Examining the corporate life cycle Above-average share performance will typically be achieved by companies that are: Well-established and able to “beat the fade” i.e. surprising the market by maintaining the spread CFROI > CoC Expanding and delivering strong growth Able to reinvent themselves in difficult times Three alpha opportunities along the CFROI life cycle CONCEPT During a typical company’s life, its business generates varying levels of cash flow return on investment (CFROI) reflecting its stage of development: growth, maturity or decline. While superior CFROIs tend to fade down to the Cost of Capital (CoC) as value creation attracts competition, inferior returns may “fade up” to the CoC as a result of restructuring or competitors exiting the market. The team seeks to find companies with consistent, superior CFROIs and that steadily create value over the long term but that are not yet discounted by the market. We also look for turnaround stories that are drastically undervalued and for companies that are experiencing a phase of accelerating growth that may not yet be fully appreciated in terms of the magnitude and duration of the widening positive spread between CFROI and CoC. Source: Credit Suisse HOLT, UBP; Past performance is not an indicator of future results Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA │ Asset Management 16 Investment Process Overview – A four-stage process Monitoring the Investment Universe Fundamental Research and Stock Selection Portfolio Construction and Risk Control Monitoring and Exit Proprietary company data forecasts Stock and theme idea generation Company meetings Screening of valuation, fundamentals and momentum CFROI-based modeling Conviction Catalysts Liquidity Absolute and relative valuation Active management of tracking error Contribution to risk Strict sell discipline; company-specific and portfolio factors considered Growth potential and sustainability Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA │ Asset Management 17 Investment Process Monitoring the investment universe Idea generation: Stocks: company annually), meetings screening tools, (~300 market Stock screening example: CFROI revision & price divergence dynamics; internal and external research sources. Themes: macroeconomic, regional, sectoral and opportunities along the value chain. We are looking for: Stable/high and/or improving CFROI Stable/high and/or improving growth, sustainability of company operations Source: Credit Suisse HOLT, UBP; as of 07.10.2015 Investigate cause Unexpected growth avenues Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA │ Asset Management 18 Investment Process Monitoring the investment universe Company meeting summary example: Myriad Group AG Source: UBP, Credit Suisse HOLT – used internally only; not a recommendation to buy or sell Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA │ Asset Management 19 Investment Process Stock selection – Our analytical framework Fundamentals: Level of CFROI Spread between CFROI and CoC Change in CFROI Business model Competitive positioning Valuation: Price target upside Price-to-earnings ratio Price-to-book ratio Dividend yield Momentum: Catalysts Analyst momentum (estimates, ratings) Price momentum Evolution in stock liquidity Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA │ Asset Management Position Company's competitive advantages within its industry, including networks* and balance sheet strength Product Specialized products and unmatched core competencies Brand Loyalty discouraging competition; quality of brand sustained through decent corporate social responsibility Growth Exposure to geographic and demographic growth markets and new market penetration opportunities * By “networks” we mean customers, suppliers and logistics. 20 Investment Process Stock selection – ESG criteria, part of UBP’s responsible investment policy Screening Systematic assessment of portfolio holdings and candidates Supported by specialist ESG research provider Engagement Entering into dialogue with controversial companies Supported by globally leading Engagement manager Proxy Voting Voting in order to fulfil obligations as responsible shareholder Supported by Institutional Shareholder Services (ISS) Source: GES, UBP Past performance is not an indicator of future results Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA │ Asset Management 21 Investment Process Portfolio construction – Investing across the company life cycle Growing Sales and CFROI Beating the Fade Turning around Dufry Lindt & Sprungli Calida Leonteq Partners Group Daetwyler U-Blox Sonova Georg Fisher Relative to the all-cap Swiss market, we expect to invest more often in and have a higher allocation to the Growth and Turn-around segments than the Beating the Fade. Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA │ Asset Management Source: Credit Suisse HOLT, UBP Past performance is not an indicator of future results 22 Investment Process Portfolio construction – Conscious and measured risk-taking Volatility, liquidity, degree of conviction as well as catalysts and sustainability criteria influence the weighting of each position Risk management (tracking error, active money, beta, contribution to tracking error of a single position) Portfolio construction aims to balance more defensive and more cyclical sectors, while maintaining a stock-picking approach This holding should contribute a total of 26bp to the portfolio tracking error Source: UBP; data for UBAM - Swiss Small and Mid Cap Equity as of 31/10/2015 Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA │ Asset Management 23 Investment Process Risk control – Active management of tracking error Control of tracking error target range and maximum level. Absolute and marginal contribution to portfolio tracking error at the single stock level. Tracking error decomposition in specific and systematic risk components. Analysis of risk contribution and performance attribution – allocation, selection, down to single stock level. Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA │ Asset Management Source: UBP; data for UBAM - Swiss Small and Mid Cap Equity as of 31/10/2015 Past performance is not an indicator of future results 24 iii. UBAM (CH) - Swiss Small and Mid Cap Equity Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA │ Asset Management UBAM (CH) - Swiss Small and Mid Cap Equity Fund structure and strategy UBAM (CH) - Swiss Small and Mid Cap Equity * Existing fund under Swiss law Investment strategy changed to a Swiss small- and mid-cap one, effective 30th June 2015 AUM CHF 39 million Investment strategy Investing predominantly in Swiss small- and mid-cap cap stocks. Targeting 300bp annual outperformance relative to the benchmark SPI Extra on a recurring and consistent basis. Stock-specific approach with an emphasis on company fundamentals and cash flow generation. Strong discipline in portfolio construction, with active management of portfolio tracking error, expected to range between 4-8%. * fund name changed from UBAM (CH) - Swiss Excellence Equity Source: UBP; data as of 31/10/2015 Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA │ Asset Management 26 UBAM (CH) - Swiss Small and Mid Cap Equity Illustrative performance history Swiss equity Institutional Mandate small- and mid-cap carve-out Performance vs. SPI Extra & SPI 2006-2014* 160 Carve-out Small & Mid Cap SPI Extra SPI 140 120 100 80 60 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 This graphic is for illustrative purposes only. THIS IS NOT THE PERFORMANCE OF THE FUNDS. Due to various differences between the institutional mandate and the funds presented herein (including but not limited to, the different regulatory environments and the fee structures), the investment returns relating to the funds will differ from the investment performance of the mandate, potentially in a substantial manner Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA │ Asset Management Source: UBP, data ends 31/12/2014; all performance data is based on gross returns *from 19.12.2008 to 15.05.2009 all performances have been frozen due to zero allocation to Swiss equities in the Institutional Mandate. Past performance is not an indicator of future results 27 UBAM (CH) - Swiss Small and Mid Cap Equity Terms & Conditions UBAM (CH) - Swiss Small and Mid Cap Equity UBAM (CH) FUND NAME LEGAL FORM Fund under Swiss law in the category "Other funds for traditional investments" SUB-FUND CURRENCY CHF HEDGED CLASSES none BID/OFFER PRICE NAV CUT-OFF TIME INCEPTION DATE 12:00 (CET) on T-day 08/10/2010 (strategy changed to existing one on 30/06/2015) 1 share MINIMUM INVESTMENT Daily SUB./REDEMPTION MANAGEMENT FEE A: 1.50% I: 1.00% none PERFORMANCE FEE ISIN A: CH011798372 I: CH011798384 BLOOMBERG A: USEXECA SW I: USEXECI SW INVESTMENT MANAGER CUSTODIAN ADMINISTRATOR Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA │ Asset Management Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA (Geneva) Banque Cantonale Vaudoise, Lausanne Gérifonds SA 28 Conclusion The Swiss small- and mid-cap equity space, represented by the SPI Extra, has generated strong long- term returns, outperforming Swiss all cap (SPI) and large cap (SMI) indices, as well as the global equity markets. The SPI Extra also has greater underlying diversification and reduced concentration risk, both on a stock and on a sector level. Though Switzerland is recognized for its large global industry leaders, many of which household names (e.g. Nestlé, Novartis, Roche, UBS), the Swiss small- and mid-cap space also contains global industry leaders, often in more niche yet attractive markets. That said, the SPI Extra’s performance has significantly trailed the SMI in recent years and relative valuations are at the (attractive) lower-end of their range. We attribute this to reduced sell-side focus and certain investor misconceptions. The UBP Swiss & Global Equity Team has been investing in the Swiss small- and mid-cap space for numerous years within all cap strategies. We expect our depth of knowledge in the area along with our strong investment process to create good alpha-generation opportunities. Past performance is not an indicator of future results Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA │ Asset Management 29 V. Appendix Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA │ Asset Management The Swiss Equity Market Offering the best CFROI globally Source: UBP, Credit Suisse HOLT, December 2014 Past performance is not an indicator of future results Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA │ Asset Management 31 UBAM - Swiss Equity Our flagship fund – Awards and recognition Lipper Fund Awards Europe – Equity Switzerland, best fund over 3, 5 and 10 years in 2015 and 2014; best fund over 3 and 5 years in 2013. FERI EuroRating Awards winner in 2011 and Top 5 in 2015, 2014, 2013. Morningstar peer group analysis (absolute rankings, not quartiles): Morningstar Switzerland Large-Cap Equity absolute peer group rank UBAM Swiss Equity vs. UCITS Funds vs. All Funds (includes UCITS and Swiss vehicles) Morningstar Rating 1-year returns 3-year returns 5-year returns 10-year returns 2nd 1st 1st 1st (46 peers) (40 peers) (37 peers) (33 peers) 5th 3rd 2nd 2nd (151 peers) (121 peers) (107 peers) (73 peers) Morningstar Analyst Rating Bronze 5 stars (highest in peer group) Bronze 5 stars (highest in peer group) Source: UBP, Morningstar; based on 30/09/2015 performance data and information Source: UBP Past performance is not an indicator of future results Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA │ Asset Management 32 UBP’s Swiss & Global Equity Team Contacts Eleanor TAYLOR JOLIDON Souleymane DIALLO Analyst +41 (0) 58 819 2217 [email protected] Omar MOUFTI, CFA, CAIA Swiss Equity Portfolio Manager +41 (0) 58 819 2352 [email protected] Martin MOELLER, CFA Head Swiss & Global Equity +41 (0) 58 819 2708 [email protected] Analyst & Investment Specialist +41 (0) 58 819 7586 [email protected] Bettina BAUR, CFA Portfolio Manager +41 (0) 58 819 2217 [email protected] Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA │ Asset Management 33 CFROI Lifecycle Examples Richemont : Daetwyler : Superior competitive position maintains growth and CFROI spread Sealing coffee capsules and tunnels CFROI finally above CoC further to restructuring measures Steady longterm growth and investment Share price performance reflects company restructuring and cyclicality Long-term outperformance Growth: penetration of luxury goods in emerging markets Growth trend: increased single-serve capsules in coffee consumption, restructuring to growth activities Valuation: priced for steady, not growing returns Valuation: low in view of future shape of company Source: Credit Suisse HOLT; UBP Past performance is not an indicator of future results Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA │ Asset Management 34 Global Disclaimer This document constitutes marketing material and is not the result of a financial analysis or research and therefore not subject to legal requirements regarding the independence of investment research. It is furnished for general information purposes only and does not constitute an offer or recommendation to enter into any type of financial transaction or to conclude any type of mandate with Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA, or any entity of the Group (hereinafter "UBP"). This document is confidential and it is not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of, or is located or incorporated in, any jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to applicable laws or regulations, or which would subject UBP and/or its subsidiaries or affiliates to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. This document may not be modified, distributed, reproduced or referred to (in whole or in part) without the prior, express written consent of UBP. This document reflects the opinion of UBP as of the date of issue. The information, opinions and analysis contained herein have been based on sources believed to be reliable. However, UBP does not guarantee their timeliness, accuracy, or completeness. All information, analysis and opinions are subject to change without notice at any time and with no obligation to update. This document is not intended to provide a sufficient basis on which to make an investment decision and is not a personal recommendation or investment advice. It is intended only to provide observations and views, regardless of the date on which the reader may receive or access it. Each person is urged to determine whether any investments suit their particular circumstances and to independently assess, with professional advisors, the specific risks incurred, including without limitation at the financial, regulatory, legal, accounting and tax levels. Past performance and/or financial market scenarios are no guarantee of current or future returns. Where these materials contain statements about future performance, such statements are forward looking and subject to a number of risks and uncertainties. The opinions, analysis and information herein do not take into account circumstances, objectives, or needs of any specific person. Investments may be subject to risks that are difficult to quantify and to integrate into their valuation and significant fluctuations in their value or return may occur. Products with a high degree of risk, such as derivatives, structured products, or alternative/non-traditional investments (hedge funds, private equity, real estate funds, etc.) are suitable only for sophisticated investors who are capable of understanding and assuming the risks involved. Investments in foreign securities or currencies involve additional risk as the foreign security or currency might lose value against an investor’s reference currency. This document is without express or implied warranties or representations of any kind and UBP will not accept any liability whatsoever for any loss or damage resulting from the use of, or reliance on, the information, analysis or opinions contained herein. UBAM (CH) is Swiss fund of the category “Other funds for traditional investments”. The prospectus with integrated fund contract as well as the KIID, and the annual and semi-annual reports are available free of charge from UBP and from Gérifonds SA, rue du Maupas 2, P.O. Box 6249, 1002 Lausanne. The Swiss representative and paying agent of UBAM – Swiss Equity is Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA, 96-98, rue du Rhône, P.O. Box 1320, 1211 Geneva 1, Switzerland (UBP). The latest prospectus, articles of association, KIID and annual and semi-annual reports may be obtained free of charge from UBP as well as from UBP Asset Management (Europe) S.A., 287-289 route d'Arlon, 1150 Luxembourg, Grand Duchy of Luxembourg. In Switzerland, Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA, is authorized and regulated in by the Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority (FINMA); in the United Kingdom, it is authorized by the Prudential Regulation Authority and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA). Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA Rue du Rhône 96-98 l PO Box 1320 l 1211 Geneva 1, Switzerland T +41 58 819 2111 l F +41 58 819 2200 l E [email protected] l www.ubp.com Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA │ Asset Management