Final Program - The Society for Risk Analysis (SRA)

Transcription

Risk Analysis for Better Policies
Society for Risk Analysis
2013 Annual Meeting
8-11 December
Hilton Baltimore
Prospectus
Baltimore,
Maryland
of exhibitor and sponsorship opportunities
33rd Annual Meeting of the Society for Risk Analysis
Final Program
8-11 December 2013 • Hilton Baltimore
2013 Council
President: George Gray
President-Elect: Ortwin Renn
Secretary: Cristina McLaughlin
Treasurer: Katherine von Stackelberg
Past-Treasurer: Jeff Lewis
Past President: Ann Bostrom
Executive Secretary: David Drupa
Councilors:
Robin Cantor
Seth Guikema
Margot Kuttschreuter
Margaret MacDonell
Katherine McComas
Lisa Robinson
Jo Anne Shatkin
Akihiro Tokai
Marcelo Wolansky
2013 Program Committee
Ortwin Renn, President-Elect and Chair
Christian Beaudrie
Royce Francis
Robert Scofield
Nancy Beck
Elisabeth Gilmore
Audrey Turley
Richard Belzer
George Gray
Paul Turnham
Frederic Bouder
Sara Henry
Jane Van Doren
Gail Charnley
Stanley Levinson
Trina von Stackelberg
Matteo Convertino
Steven Lewis
Henry Willis
Robin Dillon-Merrill Cameron MacKenzie
Robyn Wilson
Julie Fitzpatrick
Myriam Merad
www.SRA.org
SRA Headquarters, 1313 Dolley Madison Boulevard, Suite 402, McLean, Virginia 22101
703.790.1745; FAX: 703.790.2672 [email protected]
Society For Risk Analysis Annual Meeting
2013 Final Program
Table of Contents
Award Winners . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2
Registration Hours/Conference Events/Highlights . . . . . . . . . . . 3
Specialty Group Meetings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
Specialty Group Mixers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
Exhibitors/Exhibition Hours . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
Workshops . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6
Plenary Sessions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
Monday Schedule at a Glance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
Tuesday Schedule at a Glance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
Wednesday Schedule at a Glance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
Scientific Program Sessions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18-23, 30-45
Poster Reception/Session . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24-29
Author Index . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46
Hilton Baltimore Floor Plan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52
Meeting Highlights
Meeting Events! - All events take place at the Hilton Baltimore.
Start with the opening reception on Sunday in the Key Ballroom South Foyer
(8 December, 6:00-7:30 pm, Cash Bar), and continue to the closing Die Hard
Risk Analyst - DHRA - T-Shirt Giveaway on Wednesday (11 December, 5:005:30 pm). The meeting includes three Plenary Sessions, and lunch on all three
days.
Poster Reception!
This year’s meeting will feature a poster reception with food and drinks in the
Key Ballroom 7-12, on Monday evening from 6:00 to 8:00 pm. Poster set up
starts at 3:00 pm, and poster presenters will be at their posters for questions and
discussion during the reception. Vote for the best poster awards. Don’t miss it!
AGAIN! Business Networking Breakfast - Tuesday, December 10, 7:30-8:15
am, Key Ballroom 12. All those interested in making business connections while
attending SRA, come prepared with your 30 second commercial. Each participant will have 30 seconds to stand and let others know what type of business
they’re in, who their prospects are, and how others present can help them connect the dots. Make YOUR SRA experience really pay off! A continental breakfast will be available. Bring your business cards!
Oral Presenter’s Reminder - See Page 4 for Hours
If you are an Oral Presenter at the meeting, don’t forget to upload your presentation in the
Speaker Ready Room (Mencken Room) at least 24 hours prior to your presentation.
If you have already uploaded your talk, come by the Ready Room to ensure it has been received and uploaded correctly.
Hilton Baltimore
401 W Pratt Street
Baltimore, Maryland 21201
443-573-8700; Fax: 443-683-8841
1
SRA 2013 Specialty Group
Merit Award Winners
Decision Analysis & Risk
Maryam Tabibzadeh
Dose-Response
Michelle Deveau
Tomohisa Ishimaru
Ecological Risk Assessment
Jeffrey Song
Economics and Benefits Analysis
Daniel Herrera
Emerging Nanoscale Materials
Dwaipayan Mukherjee
Microbial Risk Analysis
Arti Kundu
Miao Wang
Risk and Development
Camila Zacharias
Risk Policy & Law
Xiang Liu
Security & Defense
Peiqiu Guan
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SRA 2013 Student &
International Award Winners
Mohammad Sepehr Assadian
Raghavendhran Avanasi Narasimhan
Hiba Baroud
Christian Beaudrie
Marissa Bell
Djillali Benouar
Casey Canfield
Wenwei Che
Elizabeth Connelly
Michelle Deveau
Amine El Haimar
Eric Guy Eller
Mustafa Elmontsri
Kang-Chih Fan
Raul Figueroa
Peiqiu Guan
Miao Guo
Kerry Hamilton
Daniel Herrera
Frauke Hoss
Tomohisa Ishimaru
Nicole Kain
Kale Kponee
Arti Kundu
Hsuan Chi Lin
Lexin Lin
Su-Yu-Liu
Xiang Liu
Dana Loomis
Hang Lu
Mahalia Miller
Abhinav Mishra
Tomoko Okada
Raghav Pant
Abel Pinto
David Nicolas Pluess
Bidya Prasad
Cyren Rico
Claude Saegerman
Ryan Scott
Tyler Scott
Piet Sellke
Mohamed Shereif
Dimitrios Stavrou
Maria Camila Suarez Paba
Maryam Tabibzadeh
Kerton Victory
Miao Wang
Chia-yun Wu
Tsung-Ta Wu
Junrui Xu
An Gie Yong
Krista Danielle Yu
Camila Zacharias
Kejun Zhu
Conference Events, Committee Meetings
Registration Hours
Hilton Baltimore - East Foyer
Sunday 8 December
Monday 9 December Tuesday 10 December Wednesday 11 December Sunday 8 December
Membership Committee
8:00-9:00 AM - Brent
SRA Council Meeting
Noon–5:00 PM - Calloway A&B
Editorial Staff Meeting
2:00–4:00 PM - Poe A&B
Publications Committee
4:00–5:00 PM - Poe A/B
Editorial Board Meeting
5:00-6:00 PM - Poe A/B
SRA Welcome Reception – (Cash Bar)
6:00–7:30 PM - Key Ballroom South Foyer
World Congress 2015 Meeting
7:45–8:30 PM - Chase
Monday 9 December
4:00 - 6:00 PM
7:00 AM - 5:00 PM
8:00 AM - 5:00 PM
8:00 AM - 4:00 PM
New Member, Fellows and International
Members Breakfast
7:00-8:00 AM - Key Ballroom #4
All SRA Fellows as well as 2012 and 2013
New Members (badges with a New Member
ribbon) are welcome to attend.
Regional Organization Chairs Breakfast/
Meeting
7:30-8:30 AM - Hopkins
Communications Committee
7:30-8:30 AM - Stone
Conferences and Workshops Committee
7:30-8:30 AM - Chase
Opening Plenary Session
8:30-10:00 AM - Key Ballroom #7-12
Specialty Group Meetings - Pick up your
box lunch by the SRA Registration Desk
12:05-1:30 PM - See Page 4
Risk Management SG Officers
3:30-4:30 PM - Peale C
Decision Analysis and Risk SG
5:00-6:30 PM - Stone
Poster Reception
6:00–8:00 PM - Key Ballroom #7-12
Tuesday 10 December
Grad Student Breakfast
7:00-8:00 AM - Peale C
Audit Committee
7:00-8:30 AM- Chase
Business Networking Breakfast
7:30-8:15 AM - Key Ballroom #12
Specialty Group Chairs Breakfast
7:30-8:30 AM - Stone
Finance Committee
8:00-10:00 AM - Hopkins
SRA Awards Luncheon and Business Meeting
Noon-1:30 PM - Key Ballroom #7-12
SRA Council Meeting
6:30-10:00 PM - Key Ballroom #12
Wednesday 11 December
Plenary Session
8:30-10:00 AM - Key Ballroom #7-12
Plenary Luncheon
Noon-1:30 PM - Key Ballroom #7-12
T-Shirt Giveaway
Be a Die Hard Risk Analyst - Stay until the end of the
sessions and receive a t-shirt
5:00–5:30 PM - East Foyer
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Specialty Group Meetings
Monday, 12:05-1:30 PM
All Specialty Group Meetings will take place during lunch time on Monday 9
December. Pick up your box lunch near the Registration desk and attend the
meeting(s) of your choice.
12:05-12:30 pm
Dose Response, Johnson A&B
Economics & Benefits Analysis, Latrobe
Occupational Health & Safety, Key Ballroom 6
Risk Communication, Peale A&B
Security & Defense, Ruth
Specialty Group Mixers
Tuesday 10 December
6:00 - 7:30 PM
DRSG, EASG, ERASG, MRASG, OHSSG - Tubman A
DARSG, EISG, RDSG, SDSG - Carroll A
EBASG, ENMSG, RCSG, RPLSG - Carroll B
6:00 - 8:00 PM
National Capital Area Chapter (NCAC) - Tubman B
12:35-1:00 pm
Ecological Risk Assessment, Johnson A&B
Exposure Assessment, Latrobe
Foundations of Risk, Key Ballroom 6
Risk, Policy & Law, Ruth
Risk & Development, Peale A&B
1:05-1:30 pm
Decision Analysis & Risk, Johnson A&B
Emerging Nanoscale Materials, Latrobe
Engineering & Infrastructure, Ruth
Microbial Risk Analysis, Peale A&B
Key to Specialty Group
Designations
Speaker Ready Room Hours
Hilton Baltimore - Mencken
Sunday
Monday & Tuesday Wednesday 4
3:00 - 8:00 PM
7:00 AM - 5:00 PM
7:00 AM - 12:00 PM
DARSG = Decision Analysis and Risk
DRSG = Dose-Response
EASG = Exposure Assessment
EBASG = Economics & Benefits Analysis
EISG = Engineering and Infrastructure
ENMSG = Emerging Nanoscale Materials
ERASG - Ecological Risk Assessment
FRSG = Foundations of Risk
MRASG = Microbial Risk Analysis
OHSSG = Occupational Health & Safety
RCSG = Risk Communication
RDSG = Risk & Development
RPLSG = Risk Policy and Law
SDSG = Security and Defense
Exhibition - Key Ballroom South Foyer
Monday 9 December........................................................................9:45 AM - 3:30 PM
Poster Reception..................................................................6:00 - 8:00 PM
Tuesday 10 December......................................................................9:45 AM - 3:30 PM
Wednesday 11 December.................................................................9:45 AM - 3:30 PM
ABT Associates
Exhibitors
Booth 1
55 Wheeler Street
Cambridge, MA 02138
617-520-2425; Fax: 617-492-5219
www.abtassociates.com
Abt Associates is a mission-driven, global leader in research and program implementation in the fields of health, social and environmental policy, and international development. Known for its rigorous approach to solving complex challenges, Abt Associates
is regularly ranked as one of the top 20 global research firms and one of the top 40
international development innovators. The company has multiple offices in the U.S. and
program offices in more than 40 countries.
Bergeson & Campbell, PC and the Acta Group
Booth 12
2200 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW, Suite 100W
Washington, DC 20037
202-557-3812; Fax: 202-557-3836
www.lawbc.com
Bergeson & Campbell, P.C. (B&C®) is a Washington, D.C. law firm focusing on
conventional, biobased, and nanoscale industrial, agricultural, and specialty chemical
product regulation and approval matters. The Acta Group, B&C’s scientific and regulatory consulting arm with offices in Washington, D.C., Manchester, England, and Beijing,
China, provides strategic, comprehensive support for global chemical registration, regulation, and sustained compliance.
ICF International
Booth 11
9300 Lee Highway
Fairfax VA 22031
703-934-3000; Fax: 703-934-3740
www.icfi.com
Since 1969, ICF International (NASDAQ:ICFI) has been serving government at all
levels, major corporations, and multilateral institutions. With more than 50 offices and
more than 4,500 employees worldwide, we bring deep domain expertise, problem-solving
capabilities, and a results-driven approach to deliver strategic value across the lifecycle of
client programs. At ICF, we partner with clients to conceive and implement solutions and
services that protect and improve the quality of life, providing lasting answers to society’s
most challenging management, technology, and policy issues. As a company and individually, we live this mission, as evidenced by our commitment to sustainability and carbon
neutrality, contribution to the global community, and dedication to employee growth. Our
website is www.icfi.com.
Toxicology Excellence for Risk Assessment (TERA)
Booth 13
2300 Montana Avenue, Suite 409
Cincinnati, OH 45211
513-542-7475; FAX: 513-542-8674
www.tera.org
TERA is a non-profit organized for scientific and educational purposes. Our mission is to support the protection of public health by developing, reviewing and communicating risk assessment values and analyses; improving risk methods through research;
and, educating risk assessors, managers, and the public on risk assessment issues.
US Environmental Protection Agency (US EPA) Booth 10
1200 Pennsylvania Avenue NW
Maildrop 8601P
Washington, DC 20460
703-347-8545
www.epa.gov/ncea/
EPA’s National Center for Environmental Assessment (NCEA) is a leader in the
science of human health and ecological risk assessment. NCEA addresses the needs of
stakeholders by preparing technical reports and assessments that integrate and evaluate
the most up-to-date research. These products serve as a major component of the scientific foundation supporting EPA’s regulations and policies.
Join us to discuss the
2015 World Congress
Sunday 8 December
7:45-8:30 pm, Chase Room
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Workshops - Sunday, 8 December
Sunday 8 December Full Day – 8:30 am-5:30 pm
(Lunch is on your own, 12:30-1:30 pm)
Workshop 1S: Benchmark Dose Modeling – Basic Methodologies
Organizer: J. Allen Davis, MSPH, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Instructors: J. Allen Davis, MSPH, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; Jeff Gift, U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency; Jay Zhao, Ph.D., U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Cost: Onsite $325
The objective of this full-day workshop is to provide participants with
interactive training on the use of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s
(EPA) Benchmark Dose Software (BMDS) and its application to risk assessment. Use of BMD methods addresses many of the limitations of the traditional No Observed Adverse Effect Level (NOAEL) approach. BMD modeling
involves fitting mathematical models to dose-response data in order to identify
points of departure for use in human health risk assessments. In this interactive training workshop, EPA instructors will present: the basic theory of BMD
modeling (including selection of a benchmark response level, model fitting and
comparison), a demonstration of EPA’s BMDS 2.4, and individual and group
modeling exercises. Instructors will focus on the use of the new Excel-based
BMDS Wizard templates that are provided with BMDS 2.4. The BMDS Wizard
streamlines BMD analyses by allowing users to build BMDS inputs, run models,
and import results in Excel. In addition to importing all results, it is capable of
recommending best-fitting models using customizable decision criteria.
Participants are not required to have any previous BMD experience, but it
is recommended that they familiarize themselves with basic concepts through
the online tutorial and training materials provided on the EPA BMDS website
(http://epa.gov/ncea/bmds/training/index.html).
Participants need to bring their own laptops to the workshop with BMDS
2.4 installed. The latest version of the software program can be found at:
http://epa.gov/ncea/bmds/. In order to use the BMDS Wizard templates,
Microsoft Excel must be installed on the user’s laptops.
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Workshop 2: Cumulative Risk Assessment: Addressing Combined
Environmental Stressors
Organizer: Linda K. Teuschler, M.S., U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Instructors: Linda K. Teuschler, M.S., U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; Amanda
Evans, MSPH, Association of Schools of Public Health Research Fellow; Richard C.
Hertzberg, PhD, Biomathematics Consulting; Margaret MacDonell, PhD, Argonne National Laboratory; Moiz Mumtaz, PhD, Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry;
Glenn E. Rice, ScD, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; Jane Ellen Simmons, PhD.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; J. Michael Wright, PhD. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Cost: Onsite $400
Cumulative risk assessment (CRA) addresses the impacts of multiple
chemical and nonchemical stressors on real world individuals and communities,
resulting in complex exposures for individuals and populations with a variety of
vulnerabilities, in applications that range from environmental justice and community sustainability to individual health promotion and protection. Nonchemical stressors include biological and physical agents (e.g., microbes and noise) as
well as socioeconomic stressors and psychosocial conditions (e.g., associated
with natural disasters). Public concerns that can initiate CRAs include (1) elevated environmental measurements or biomonitoring data; (2) multiple sources
of pollutants or stressors; and (3) changes in disease rates or patterns (e.g., leukemia cluster) or ecological effects (e.g., loss of wildlife diversity). This workshop
focuses on human health and begins with an overview of three CRA elements:
analysis, characterization, and quantification (as feasible) of the combined risks
from multiple stressors. Teaching methods include lectures and hands-on exercises. Presentations highlight basic concepts, methods, and resources for conducting a population-based CRA. A central theme is integrating exposure and
dose-response information with population characteristics during planning and
scoping based on initiating factors. Vulnerability factors are addressed, e.g., diet/
nutritional status, behaviors, genetic traits, socioeconomic status, sensitivities,
and psychosocial stress. Methods for estimating human health risks are discussed
and applied, including epidemiologic approaches and assessing the joint toxicity
of chemical mixtures. In the exercises, participants develop chemical, biological
and physical stressor groups using exposure and toxicity factors, link them with
population vulnerability factors and conduct a risk characterization. Participants
are asked to bring a calculator.
Workshop 3S: Probabilistic Risk Analysis with Hardly Any Data
Organizers & Instructors: Scott Ferson, Ph.D., Applied Biomathematics; Kevin Shoemaker,
Ph.D., Stony Brook University
Cost: Onsite $325
This full-day tutorial introduces and compares methods for developing a
probabilistic risk analysis when little or no empirical data are available to inform
the risk model. The talks are organized around the basic problems that risk analysts face: not knowing the input distributions, not knowing their correlations,
not being sure about the model itself, or even which variables should be considered. Possible strategies include traditional approximative methods and recent
robust and bounding methods. Numerical examples are given that illustrate the
use of various methods including traditional moment propagation, PERT, maximum entropy, uniformity principle, probability bounds analysis, confidence boxes, Bayesian model averaging, and sensitivity analysis. All of the approaches can
be used to develop a fully probabilistic estimate useful for screening decisions
and other planning. The advantages and drawbacks of the various approaches
are examined. Essentially, the drawbacks are that bounding approaches may say
too little about risks, and the rough and ready approximate methods may say too
much. The discussion addresses how defensible decisions can be made even
when little information is available, and when one should break down and collect
some data and, in that case, what data to look for. The presentation style will be
casual and interactive. Participants will receive a handout and CD of the illustrations used during the tutorial.
Workshop 4: Introduction to Monte Carlo Simulation for Exposure
Assessments with Freeware Excel Tools
Organizers & Instructors: Tom Armstrong, CIH, PhD, TWA8HR Occupational Hygiene
Consulting, LLC; Mike Jayjock, PhD, CIH, Jayjock Associates, LLC
Cost: Onsite $400
This workshop provides background and working experience with Monte
Carlo Simulation (MCS) methods with a focus on exposure modeling assessments for consumer, general population and environmental applications. MCS
methods generally 1) define calculation input probability distributions for a calculation algorithm, 2) generate random values of the inputs from selected probability distributions, 3) perform the modeling calculations using those random
inputs and 4) aggregate and statistically evaluate the results. MCS methods have
use in exposure assessment practice for estimating exposures, past, present or
future from mathematical models. The results, as probability distributions, have
utility in risk assessment by comparison to metrics of acceptable exposure.
The workshop will review basic MCS methods, and provide a synopsis
of available software, both commercial and freeware options. Instructors will
provide examples of the use of MCS methods in estimating exposures to toxic
agents. Following the presentation of examples, participants will have increasingly detailed exercises designed for them to learn the use of the software, selection of input distributions, completion of the calculations, and interpretation of
the calculation results. Prior to the course start, participants will be asked to provide examples for consideration for several selected to work through as in-class
case studies. An understanding of the quantitative sensitivity analysis, as well as
the difference of and need for additional uncertainty analyses will be developed.
The critical relationship between variability and epistemic uncertainty as it relates
to the inputs, results and final analysis will be covered in detail.
Participants will be expected to bring their own notebook PC with MS
Excel and ability to enable macros, in order to keep notes on the handouts, and
to run the software for the participant case studies.
Workshop 5: Eliciting Judgments to Inform Decisionmaking
Organizers: Aylin Sertkaya, Ph.D., Eastern Research Group, Inc.; Cristina McLaughlin,
US Food and Drug Administration
Instructors: Aylin Sertkaya, Ph.D., Eastern Research Group, Inc.; Cristina McLaughlin,
US Food and Drug Administration; Frank Hearl, M.S., PE, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH); Michael Davis, Ph.D., Independent Consultant
Cost: Onsite $350
Decision makers must frequently rely on data or information that is incomplete or inadequate in one way or another. Judgment, often from experts and
occasionally from non-experts, then plays a critical role in the interpretation and
characterization of those data as well as in the completion of information gaps.
But how experts or other stakeholders are selected and their judgments elicited
matters – they can also strongly influence the opinions obtained and the analysis
on which they rely. Several approaches to eliciting judgments have evolved. The
workshop will cover topics ranging from recruitment, elicitation protocol design, different elicitation techniques (e.g., individual elicitations, Delphi method,
nominal group technique, etc.) to aggregation methods for combining opinions
of multiple individuals. The role of judgment elicitation and its limitations, problems, and risks in policy analysis will also be addressed. The workshop will include presentation of two case studies that will include a discussion of the selection process; elicitation protocol development, elicitation technique utilized, and
the various issues that arose before, during, and after the elicitation process and
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the manner in which they were resolved. The class will conclude with a hands-on
exercise where participants will learn about calibration of experts using a mobile
application.
Sunday Half Day Afternoon – 1 pm-5 pm
Workshop 10: Stakeholder’s Involvement through Scientific Reasoning: Communicating Risk without Risk Communication
Organizers & Instructors: José Palma-Oliveira, Ph.D., University of Lisbon; Igor Linkov,
Ph.D., US Army Engineer R&D Center
Cost: Onsite $325
The way risk communication is usually conceptualized and implemented
has stakeholder persuasion as a primary objective, either explicitly or implicitly.
The focus is on the “proper” way of communicating risk information given the
quality of the scientific evidence of risk even though multiple ways of framing
the information based on the psychometric, cultural or even mental models approaches, traditional approach to risk communication has failed in many cases
resulting in significant stakeholder unease and stress. Stakeholders can be profoundly distrustful in relation to the conclusions of science and technological
“computations”, however they are sensitive to scientific reasoning, particularly
when integrated in formal hypothesis generation and testing, data collection and
decision modeling. These issues will be discussed in the workshop.
This workshop will focus on alternative approaches of bringing stakeholders on board in projects where risk is a significant driver for decision. This was
proven to be successful in sorting environmental conflicts. Tools of decision
analysis and risk communications will be presented and discussed in the context of siting problems in Portugal and Tunisia where the communities strongly
show their opposition (even with riots with military forces involved) and environmental management decisions in the US. These cases will show how they
were able to overcome the opposition and radically diminish or eliminate the
psychosocial stress. Presentations and discussions will be done at basic level appealing to a broad audience with diverse background.
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Workshop 11: Fundamental Concepts of Risk Assessment, Risk
Perception and Risk Communication
Organizer: Branden B. Johnson
Instructors: Branden B. Johnson, Decision Research, Inc.; Darrell W. Donahue, Maine Maritime Academy
Cost: Onsite $350
Meetings and publications of the Society for Risk Analysis can be daunting
to newcomers. More generally, risk analysis incorporates and spans many disciplines. It is often difficult for people, even those who work on some topic within
risk analysis—be it toxicology, terrorist threat assessment or human behavior—
to understand how their work fits into the risk analysis “big picture.” Likewise,
disciplinary training does not prepare people to understand, much less converse
with, fellow practitioners. This workshop, taught by two experts with extensive
histories in practice, government and academia, is designed to fill that gap. We introduce fundamental risk analysis concepts and terminology, including elements
of risk management, risk assessment, and risk perception and communication.
Exercises (microbial risk focused) will be used to allow the participants to apply
these basic concepts of risk analysis. Upon completion of this course, students
will understand the fundamental concepts of risk analysis. The workshop is suitable for first time Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting attendees, as well
as all individuals new to risk analysis and those who have been involved in only
a limited aspect of risk analysis. They will be prepared to engage comfortably
in the range of conversations that distinguish Society for Risk Analysis Annual
Conferences.
Workshop 12: Methods and Case Studies to Integrate Lifecycle Assessment (LCA) and Risk Analysis
Organizer: Elisabeth Gilmore, Ph.D., School of Public Policy, University of Maryland
Instructors: Joule Bergerson, Ph.D., Institute for Sustainable Energy, Environment and Economy, University of Calgary; Elisabeth Gilmore, Ph.D., School of Public Policy, University
of Maryland; Paulina Jaramillo, Ph.D., Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon
University; Ketra Schmitt, Ph.D., Centre for Engineering in Society, Concordia University;
Eric Williams, Ph.D. Golisano Institute for Sustainability, Rochester Institute of Technology
Cost: Onsite $325
This workshop aims to provide an introduction or refresher on lifecycle assessment (LCA) with hands-on activities and examples for how to integrate LCA
into risk and decision analysis tools. LCA is a fundamental technique for evaluating the environmental effects associated with all stages of a process, product or
technology from the extraction of raw materials to disposal, known as a “cradleto-grave” perspective. As a result, LCAs can extend the scope of characterizing
risks for products and processes. In the first part of the workshop, we provide
an overview of theory and tools for LCA. Second, we run a hands-on activity
with the participants to conduct simple LCAs with process and economic input
output methods and learn about the associated tools and databases. We look at
coal with carbon capture and storage and personal computers. Third, we will
compare the results from a series of recent case studies on shale gas to examine
different approaches, data, and uncertainty. We conclude with a discussion of
how LCA can be integrated into benefit-cost and risk analysis, including an example of carbon capture and storage. After this workshop, participants should
be able to conceptualize and conduct a simple LCA using existing tools, evaluate
and critique the results of LCAs, and apply LCAs for decision and economic
analysis. Participants need to bring a laptop.
Workshops - Thursday, 12 December
Thursday Full Day 8:30 am-5:30 pm
Workshop 1T: Benchmark Dose Modeling – Advanced Topics
Organizer: J. Allen Davis, MSPH, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Instructors: J. Allen Davis, MSPH, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; Jeff Gift, U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency; Jay Zhao, Ph.D., U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Registration: Onsite $325
The objectives of this full-day workshop are to provide participants with
training on how to use the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA)
Benchmark Dose Modeling Software (BMDS) and related software programs
to facilitate advanced BMD analyses. Advanced dose-response models can be
used when incorporating the following specialized data types into human health
risk assessments:
• Data on multiple independent tumors in a single bioassay (the MS_
Combo model)
• Cancer data where survival rates differ due to exposure (the Multistage
Weibull Time-to-Tumor [MSW] model)
• Repeated response data common to many neurotoxicity test guidelines
(the Toxicodiffusion model)
• Concentration × time data (the ten Berge model)
• Categorical data on multiple endpoints from multiple bioassays and
multiple species (the Categorical Regression [CatReg] model)
Specifically, EPA instructors will present: the theory behind each of the
above advanced models, a demonstration of the various software packages used
to run these models, and individual class modeling exercises.
Participants are expected to have a firm understanding of basic benchmark
dose methods, either through work-related experience, or completion of at least
the introductory portion of online training courses (http://epa.gov/ncea/
bmds/training/index.html).
Participants need to bring their own laptops to the workshop with BMDS
2.4, the Multistage Weibull executable, and the R statistical package (version
2.15.0 or greater) installed (with necessary administrative rights). The latest
version of the software programs can be found at: http://epa.gov/ncea/
bmds/, epa.gov/ncea/catreg, and http://www.r-project.org/. Specific installation instructions for the software programs can be found on the websites or
in documentation that can be downloaded from the websites.
Workshop 3T: Probabilistic Risk Analysis with Hardly Any Data
Organizers & Instructors: Scott Ferson, Ph.D., Applied Biomathematics; Kevin Shoemaker,
Ph.D., Stony Brook University
Cost: Onsite $325
This full-day tutorial introduces and compares methods for developing a
probabilistic risk analysis when little or no empirical data are available to inform
the risk model. The talks are organized around the basic problems that risk analysts face: not knowing the input distributions, not knowing their correlations,
not being sure about the model itself, or even which variables should be considered. Possible strategies include traditional approximative methods and recent
robust and bounding methods. Numerical examples are given that illustrate the
use of various methods including traditional moment propagation, PERT, maximum entropy, uniformity principle, probability bounds analysis, confidence boxes, Bayesian model averaging, and sensitivity analysis. All of the approaches can
be used to develop a fully probabilistic estimate useful for screening decisions
and other planning. The advantages and drawbacks of the various approaches
are examined. Essentially, the drawbacks are that bounding approaches may say
too little about risks, and the rough and ready approximate methods may say too
much. The discussion addresses how defensible decisions can be made even
when little information is available, and when one should break down and collect
9
some data and, in that case, what data to look for. The presentation style will be
casual and interactive. Participants will receive a handout and CD of the illustrations used during the tutorial.
Thursday Half Day Morning – 8 am-Noon
Workshop 13: Advanced Workshop on Nanoscale Materials – What
Can We Learn from Big Data Sets?
Organizers & Instructors: Jo Anne Shatkin, Vireo Advisors; Christine O. Hendren, Ph.D.,
Duke University, Center for the Environmental Implications of NanoTechnology (CEINT)
Cost: Onsite $350
The field of emerging nanoscale risk assessment is by nature one in which
data, methods and policies are developing in parallel to address unique aspects
of nanotechnology and nanomaterials that may require novel approaches to risk
analysis. Therefore, to enable intelligent prioritization of research investments,
assessment of risks, and ultimately decision-making for manufactured nanomaterials, iterative feedback is needed between researchers, risk assessors, decision
makers, and those affected by decisions. This workshop will provide an immersive experience where participants can experience and contribute to this feedback process at the leading edge of the field of nano risk assessment.
This workshop is part of an investigation into the use of alternative testing strategies (ATS) in risk analysis for nanoscale materials. We will convene a
diverse group of international experts to discuss how existing and novel in vitro
assays may be applied in a “multiple models” approach to inform the risk assessment of novel nanoscale materials in assessing hazard, potency and exposure
potential. This effort builds on a number of recent expert meetings regarding
the development and use of high throughput screening (HTS) by examining the
availability and applicability of existing and novel ATS methods for a multiple
models approach to toxicity, environmental and exposure analysis of emerging
nanoscale materials (ENM) in the risk analysis paradigm.
10
Through a collaboration with the OECD Working Party on Nanomaterials, SRA is evaluating the potential for a multiple models approach involving
alternative testing strategies (ATS) for nanomaterial risk assessment. Examples
of these strategies will be discussed, and findings from a preliminary analysis of
data sets using ATS will inform a lively discussion how these methods may be
used to inform risk assessment for nanomaterials in a multiple models approach.
Speakers from U.S. and Canadian governmental agencies will frame this issues.
Workshop participants will learn about the current and emerging testing strategies for nanomaterials, and how they can be used to inform a weight of evidence
approach, incorporating them in risk assessment.
The main objectives of the workshop are to provide an interactive learning
experience where participants work to collectively: 1) understand continuing
critical gaps in understanding of the health and environmental risks posed by the
use of ENM, and propose methods for filling the gaps, and 2) organize these
gaps in terms of the decisions the information would ultimately support.
Plenary Sessions
All Plenary Sessions will be held in the Key Ballroom #7-12, Hilton Baltimore
Opening Plenary Session
Monday 9 December 8:30 – 10:00 AM, Key Ballroom #7-12
“Advice to Policy Makers: The Role of Risk Analysis”
Chairs: Robin Cantor, Berkeley Research Group, LLC; and Ortwin Renn, Stuttgart Research Center for Interdisciplinary Risk and Innovation Studies
Panelists Include:
Luis Cifuentes, Catholic University of Santiago City;
Anne Glover, Chief Science Advisor to the EU;
Sir Mark Walport, Chief Science Advisor to the UK Government
Discussion led by:
Ragnar Löfstedt, Kings College, London
George Gray, President, SRA
Wednesday 11 December, Morning Plenary, 8:30 – 10:00 AM, Key Ballroom #7-12
“Exploring Risk, Ethics, and Decision-Making: Three Cases”
Introduction of Session and Speakers: Ortwin Renn, University of Stuttgart, Germany
Sheri Fink, New America Foundation
“Hurricane Katrina: Hard Lessons on Ethical Emergency Medical Response in the Face of Disaster”
Raina McIntyre and Joanne Travaglia, University of New South Wales, Australia
“Experiences in Asia: Challenges and Trade-offs in Risk Management, Decision-Making and Public Health Responses to Natural Disasters”
Andreas Klinke, University of Newfoundland, Canada
“Designing Technology and Environmental Policies: Merits and Pitfalls of Participation and Deliberation in the Handling of Epistemic
and Ethical Challenges in Risk Governance”
Comments: Sally M. Kane, Independent Consultant and University of New South Wales
“Questions for the Risk Community”
Wednesday 11 December, Plenary Luncheon, Noon – 1:30 PM, Key Ballroom #7-12
“Risk and Opportunity: Managing Risk for Development”
Norman Loayza, The World Bank; Director, World Development Report 2014
11
Monday 9 December 2013
7:00-8:00 AM
New Member, Fellows and International Members Breakfast - Key Ballroom #4
8:30-10:00 AM
Plenary Session, “Advice to Policy Makers: The Role of Risk Analysis” - Key Ballroom #7-12
Panelists Include: Luis Cifuentes, Anne Glover, Sir Mark Walport
10:00-10:30 AM
Coffee Break - Key Ballroom South Foyer
Key Ballroom #3
Key Ballroom #4
Key Ballroom #5
M2-B Symposium: Integrating M2-C: Individual and Societal Risks M2-D: Modeling for Chemical Risk M2-E Symposium: World Cafe,
Diverse Streams of Evidence for and Morality
Assessment (PBPK, Cumulative)
Literally: Global Burden of Disease
Chemical Assessments: Getting
Caused by Foodborne Toxins
from Association to Causation, Part I
Noon1:30 PM
M2-A Symposium: CrossDisciplinary Methods for
Research Synthesis, Part I
Key Ballroom #2
Pick up your box lunch near the Registration desk and attend the specialty group meeting(s) of your choice. See page 4 for details.
12:05-12:30 PM - Dose-Response, Economics & Benefits, Occupational Health & Safety, Risk Communication, and Security & Defense Specialty Groups
12:35-1:00 PM - Ecological Risk Assessment, Exposure Assessment, Foundations of Risk, Risk Policy & Law, and Risk & Development Specialty Groups
1:05-1:30 PM - Decision Analysis and Risk, Emerging Nanoscale Materials, Engineering & Infrastructure, and Microbial Risk Analysis Specialty Groups
1:303:00 PM
10:30 AMNoon
Key Ballroom #1
M3-A Poster Platform:
M3-B: Integrating Diverse Streams M3-C Symposium: Foundational
Applications in the Expanding of Evidence for Chemical
Issues in Risk Analysis, Part I
Field of Risk Management
Assessments: Getting from
Association to Causation, Part II
3:305:00 PM
3:00-3:30 PM
12
M4-A Symposium:
M4-B Symposium: A New Look M4-C Symposium: Foundational
Understanding Human Health at the Toxicity of Bisphenol A and Issues in Risk Analysis, Part II
Risks from Dietary Arsenic
Public Health
Exposure
6:00-8:00 PM
M3-D: Improving Quantitative Risk M3-E: Fine Particulates: New
Assessment: New Strategies
Measurements and Questions
Answered
Poster Reception, Key Ballroom #7-12
M4-D Symposium: Expecting the M4-E: Fuel, Asbestos, Dust, Spores
Unexpected: Risk Informed Policies & Death
& Procedures to Predict, Detect &
Control Emerging Food Safety Risk
Monday 9 December 2013
7:00-8:00 AM
New Member, Fellows and International Members Breakfast - Key Ballroom #4
8:30-10:00 AM
Plenary Session, “Advice to Policy Makers: The Role of Risk Analysis” - Key Ballroom #7-12
Panelists Include: Luis Cifuentes, Anne Glover, Sir Mark Walport
10:00-10:30 AM
1:303:00 PM
Noon1:30 PM
10:30 AMNoon
Key Ballroom #6
Johnson A&B
M2-F: Global Scale Risks: M2-G: Public Understanding M2-H: Bioterrorism
Models & Processes of Risk of New Technology
Application
Analysis
Latrobe
Ruth
M2-I Symposium: Advances M2-J: Sustainability and
in Risk Models for Infrastruc- Ecosystems
ture Management and Investment
Pick up your box lunch near the Registration desk and attend the specialty group meeting(s) of your choice. See page 4 for details.
12:05-12:30 PM - Dose-Response, Economics & Benefits, Occupational Health & Safety, Risk Communication, and Security & Defense Specialty Groups
12:35-1:00 PM - Ecological Risk Assessment, Exposure Assessment, Foundations of Risk, Risk Policy & Law, and Risk & Development Specialty Groups
1:05-1:30 PM - Decision Analysis and Risk, Emerging Nanoscale Materials, Engineering & Infrastructure, and Microbial Risk Analysis Specialty Groups
M3-F: Risk & Environmental M3-G Symposium: Risk M3-H Roundtable: Risk
Governance
Perception & Responses to in Changed Circumstances:
Weather Hazards
Views of the News Editors
3:00-3:30 PM
3:305:00 PM
Peale A&B
M3-I Symposium: Risks of M3-J Symposium: Risk,
Transportation Disruptions Costs & Benefits of Low
and Transporting Dangerous Carbon Energy Technologies
Goods
M4-F Symposium: Panel M4-G: Public Response to M4-H: Informing Policy with M4-I: Risk and Rewards of M4-J Symposium: Who BenDiscussion: Communicating Natural and Technological Risk Perception and
Natural Resources and Natural efits? Measuring the DistribuRisk Uncertainty: What Have Disasters
Management
Disasters
tion of Risk Policy Impacts
We Learned and Where Are
We Going?
6:00-8:00 PM
Poster Reception, Key Ballroom #7-12
13
Tuesday 10 December 2013
7:30-8:15 AM
Networking Breakfast - Key Ballroom #12
8:30-10:00
AM
Key Ballroom #1
T1-A Poster Platform:
Traditional and Social Media
Effects
10:30 AMNoon
10:00-10:30 AM
T2-A Symposium: CrossDisciplinary Methods for
Research Synthesis, Part II
Key Ballroom #2
T1-B: EPA’S IRIS: It’s A New
Program, Part I
Key Ballroom #3
T1-C: Managing Disasters I
Key Ballroom #4
T1-D: Zoonotic Diseases: Risk &
Characterization of Human Illness
Key Ballroom #5
T1-E: Modeling Toxicants in the
Environment
T2-B: EPA’S IRIS: It’s A New
Program, Part II
T2-C: Managing Disasters II
T2-D: Microbial Pathogens in the T2-E: Big Data Application:
Environment: Assessment of Public Patterns & Effects
Health Risks
Noon-1:30 PM
SRA Awards Luncheon and Business Meeting - Key Ballroom 7-12
Includes all SRA Awards, and the 5 Best Poster Award Winners from Monday’s Poster Reception. (Included in Registration Fee)
1:303:00 PM
T3-A: Infrastructure Safety
3:305:00 PM
3:00-3:30 PM
T4-A: PRA & Statistical
Modeling Applications
5:00-6:00 PM
6:00-7:30 PM
14
T3-B Symposium: Proposed
Methods for U.S. EPA’s CRA
Guidelines, Part I
T3-C: Authors Meet Critics: The T3-D: Understanding & Mitigating T3-E Symposium: Risk 21 Tiered
Risk Society Revisited
Risk of Illness: Pathogens in Human Approach for Exposure Estimation
& Pet Food
for Human Risk Assessments
Guidelines, Part II
T4-C: Public Health Risk &
Sources
T4-D: Informing Risk
T4-E: Nano, Synthetic Biology,
Assessments of Engineered Nano- Animal Feed
materials: Frameworks and Analysis
T5-C Symposium: Risk Analysis: Past, Present and Future, Key Ballroom #3
**New this year - The National Capitol Area Chapter Mixer - see page 4 for details**
Tuesday 10 December 2013
7:30-8:15 AM
Networking Breakfast - Key Ballroom #12
8:30-10:00
AM
Key Ballroom #6
T1-F Symposium: Coping
with Emerging Threats I:
New Approaches
10:00-10:30 AM
10:30 AMNoon
Peale A&B
T1-G Symposium: Social
Aspects of Climate Change
Governance
Johnson A
T1-H: Advances in Risk
Modeling for Security and
Defense
Latrobe
Ruth
T1-I: Networked Infrastructure with Applications to
Transportation and Energy
T1-J Symposium: New and
Improved Regulatory Impact
Analysis
Johnson B
T1-K: Tools for Assessing
& Managing Risk
with Emerging Threats II:
New Approaches
T2-G: Temporal Issues in T2-H Symposium: Risk and T2-I: Multi-Criteria Decision T2-J: Updates in Ecological T2-K: Assessing Risks &
Strategic Decision Making in Making for Infrastructure Risk Assessment Models
Chemical Regulation
Risk Communication
the Pentagon
Management and Investment
SRA Awards Luncheon and Business Meeting - Key Ballroom 7-12
Includes all SRA Awards, and the 5 Best Poster Award Winners from Monday’s Poster Reception. (Included in Registration Fee)
1:303:00 PM
Noon-1:30 PM
T3-F Symposium:
Modernizing the Tools &
Approaches to Improve Data
Availability & Transparency
3:305:00 PM
3:00-3:30 PM
T4-F: Regulation, Risk &
Transparency in the
Pharmaceutical Sector
5:00-6:00 PM
6:00-7:30 PM
T3-G: Information
T3-H Symposium: Total T3-I: Simulation Techniques
Processing in Risk
Risk Associated with
and Applications to Explore
Communication: A Round- Chemicals and Materials in the Uncertainty and Risk
table Discussion
Department of Defense
T3-J Symposium: Does
Regulation Kill Jobs? Authors
of a New Book Discuss the
Evidence and Policy
Responses
T4-G: Risk Information
Seeking & Processing
Behavior
T4-H Symposium:
Validating Models of Adversary Behavior
T4-I: Risks of Nuclear Power T4-J Symposium: TightenGeneration
ing the Connection Between
Risk Assessment, Decisions
and Outcomes
T4-K Symposium:
Risks in Social & Cultural
Perspective: In Memory of
Gene Rosa
T5-C Symposium: Risk Analysis: Past, Present and Future, Key Ballroom #3
**New this year - The National Capitol Area Chapter Mixer - see page 4 for details**
15
Wednesday 11 December 2013
8:30-10:00 AM
Morning Plenary, “Exploring Risk, Ethics, and Decision Making: Three Cases” - Key Ballroom #7-12
Speakers Include: Sheri Fink, Raina McIntyre, Joanne Travaglia, Andreas Klinke, Sally Kane
10:00-10:30 AM
10:30 AMNoon
Key Ballroom #1
1:303:00 PM
Key Ballroom #4
W4-A Symposium:
Characterizing Causality for
Policy Decisions
5:00-5:30 PM
Key Ballroom #5
W2-E: Ground & Drinking Waters:
New Methods, New Analysis
Plenary Luncheon, “Risk and Opportunity: Managing Risk for Development” - Key Ballroom #7-12
Key Ballroom. Featuring: Norman Loayza, The World Bank, Director, World Development Report 2014
W3-A Symposium: Risk
Assessment, Policy Learning
& Economic Opportunities
in Safer Chemical DecisionMaking
3:00-3:30 PM
3:305:00 PM
Key Ballroom #3
W2-A: Improving Risk Analysis W2-B Symposium: Evaluating
W2-C: Emerging Risk Assessment W2-D Symposium: Multi-Criteria
& Information Quality
Causality in Epidemiological Studies Challenges & Opportunities for the Analysis of Foodborne Zoonotic
Developing Countries, Part I
Disease Risks - International Perspectives
Noon-1:30 PM
16
Key Ballroom #2
W3-B Symposium: Integration of
the Science Necessary for Assessing
Potential Carcinogenicity of
Formaldehyde, Part I
W3-C Symposium: Emerging Risk W3-D: New Attributory PrioritizaAssessment Challenges & Opportu- tion of Quantitative Microbial Risk
nities for the Developing Countries, Assessment Methods
Part II
W3-E: Bioavailability &
Biomonitoring
W4-B: Integration of the Science
Necessary for Assessing Potential
Carcinogenicity of Formaldehyde,
Part II
W4-C: Risk Analysis Uncertainty & W4-D Symp: Strategic Research
Decision-Making
Planning for Multiwalled Carbon
Nanotubes (MWCNTs): Moving
Towards RA that Inform Future
MWCNT Risk Mgmt Decisions
T-Shirt Giveaway - Registration Area, East Foyer
Stay and receive a free T-Shirt!
W4-E Symposium: Occupational
Exposure Assessment: Risk
Characterization and Risk
Communication
Wednesday 11 December 2013
8:30-10:00 AM
Morning Plenary, “Exploring Risk, Ethics, and Decision Making: Three Cases” - Key Ballroom #7-12
Speakers Include: Sheri Fink, Raina McIntyre, Joanne Travaglia, Andreas Klinke, Sally Kane
10:00-10:30 AM
10:30 AMNoon
Key Ballroom #6
W2-F Symposium: What’s
New in Agency Peer Review:
Best Practices Supporting
Risk Assessment
1:303:00 PM
Noon-1:30 PM
W2-G Panel Discussion:
Effective Risk Communication
W4-F Symposium: Global
Risk Governance
5:00-5:30 PM
Johnson A
W2-H: Improving Risk
Models for Security and
Defense
Latrobe
Ruth
W2-I Roundtable: Could,
W2-J: Decision Frameworks
and Should, SRA do more to for Invasive Species and
promote the Creation and Use Water Quality
of Living Risk Assessments?
Johnson B
W2-K: Building More
Resilient Infrastructure
Plenary Luncheon, “Risk and Opportunity: Managing Risk for Development” - Key Ballroom #7-12
Key Ballroom. Featuring: Norman Loayza, The World Bank, Director, World Development Report 2014
Catastrophic Risk
3:00-3:30 PM
3:305:00 PM
Peale A&B
W3-H: All Hazards Modeling W3-I: Integrating Human
W3-J Symposium:
W3-K Symposium:
Factors into Engineering Risks Improving Maritime Risk
Foundational Issues in Risk
Estimates Supporting Federal Analysis, Part III
Regulatory and Policy
Decisions
W4-G Symposium: The
Naphthalene Research
Program: from Problem
Formulation to Risk
Assessment
W4-H: Presenting
Uncertainty to Inform
Decision-Making
W4-J Symposium:
Evaluating the Risk Reduction
Outcomes of Regulation
T-Shirt Giveaway - Registration Area, East Foyer
Stay and receive a free T-Shirt!
17
Monday
Technical Program
Presenter’s name is asterisked (*) if other than first author.
10:30 AM- Noon
Key Ballroom #1
M2-A Symposium:
Cross-Disciplinary Methods
for Research Synthesis, Part I
10:30 AM- Noon
Key Ballroom #2
M2-B Symposium:
Integrating Diverse Streams
of Evidence for Chemical
Chair: Lisa Robinson
Assessments: Getting from
10:30 am
M2-A.1
Association to Causation,
Hypothesis-based weight of evidence:
Part I
an approach to assessing causation and
its application to regulatory toxicology
Rhomberg LR, Bailey EA
Gradient
10:50 am
M2-A.2
Metals, mixtures, pathways: systematic
review to support risk assessment
von Stackelberg K, Guzy E, Claus-Henn B
Harvard School of Public Health
11:10 am
M2-A.3
Adapting expert elicitation methods
for global study of foodborne disease
Hoffmann SA, Hald T, Cooke R, Aspinall
W, Havelaar A
USDA Economic Research Service, Technical University of Denmark, Resources for
the Future, University of Bristol University,
Utrecht 11:30 am
M2-A.4
A novel approach to attributing illness
to food using consumption data and
expert elicitation
Jessup A, Sertkaya A, Morgan K
Department of Health and Human Services/OASPE
10:30 AM- Noon
Key Ballroom #3
M2-C Individual and Societal
Risks and Morality
Chair: Frauke Hoss
10:30 am
M2-C.1
Moral aspects in the perception of societal risks
Bassarak C, Pfister HR, Böhm G
Chair: Kimberly Wise
Leuphana University Lueneburg; University
10:30 am
M2-B.1 Bergen
Evolution of weight of evidence asM2-C.2
sessment in mode of action analysis 10:50 am
What do government and non-profit
Meek ME
stakeholders want to know about nuUniversity of Ottawa
clear fuel cycle? A semantic network
10:50 am
M2-B.2 analysis approach
Judging the quality of evidence for Li N, Brossard D*, Scheufele DA
REACH
University of Wisconsin-Madison
Lewis RJ, Money C, Boogaard PJ
11:10 am
M2-C.3
ExxonMobil Biomedical Sciences, Inc.
Involuntary personal, individual and
11:10 am
M2-B.3 societal risk in relation to risk control
On the utility of criteria-based meth- policies
ods of causal inference
Hartford W, Hartford D
Weed DL
Hartfit Division of Nutritional Health
DLW Consulting Services, LLC
Education
11:30 am
M2-B.4 11:30 am
M2-C.4
Integrating evidence: the importance What guides spending on risk mitigaof exposure and framing the question tion: perceptions or statistics?
Shirley SH, Grant RL, Honeycutt M
Hoss F, Vaishnav P
Texas Commission on Environmental
Carnegie Mellon University
Quality
Don’t forget to attend the Specialty Group Meeting of your choice
12:05 - 1:30 pm (see page 4 for details)
after picking up your box lunch at the SRA Registration Desk
18
10:30 AM- Noon
Key Ballroom #4
M2-D Modeling for
Chemical Risk Assessment
(PBPK, Cumulative)
Chair: Audrey Turley
10:30 am
M2-D.1
A harmonized PBPK model of
hexavalent chromium in rats and mice Sasso AF, Schlosser PM
US Environmental Protection Agency
10:30 AM- 12:10 PM
Key Ballroom #5
M2-E Symposium: World
Cafe, Literally: Global Burden
of Disease Caused by
Foodborne Toxins
Chair: Felicia Wu
10:30 am
M2-E.1
Foodborne epidemiology reference
group: chemical and toxins task force
Gibb HJ
10:50 am
M2-D.2 Tetra Tech Sciences
Multiscale mechanistic modeling of 10:50 am
M2-E.2
the respiratory toxicodynamics of en- Lead: global burden of disease
gineered nanoparticles
Carrington C
Mukherjee D, Botelho D, Sarkar S, Gow US Food and Drug Administration
AJ, Schwander SS, Chung KF, Tetley TT,
11:10 am
M2-E.3
Zhang J, Georgopoulos PG
Cadmium:
parameters
for
the
estimaChemical Engineering, Rutgers University
tion of global burden of disease
11:10 am
M2-D.3 Zang Y, Carrington CD
Development of a PBPK model for US FDA-CFSAN
ETBE and TBA in rats and its applicaM2-E.4
tion to discern relative contributions to 11:30 am
Aflatoxin
and
cyanide:
global
burden
liver and kidney effects
of
disease
Brinkerhoff CJ, Salazar KD, Lee JS, Chiu
Wu F, Liu Y
WA
Oak Ridge Institute for Science & Educa- Michigan State University
tion, ORD/NCEA-IRIS, US EPA, 11:50 am
M2-E.5
Washington DC, US EPA, Research Tri- Peanut allergen: global burden of disangle Park, NC
ease
11:30 am
M2-D.4 Bolger PM, Ezendam J
Considering buffers in cumulative risk Exponent, Washington DC, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment,
assessments
Evans AM, Rice GE, Teuschler LK, The Netherlands
Wright JM
Oak Ridge Institute of Science and Education, US Environmental Protection Agency
Monday
Technical Program
Presenter’s name is asterisked (*) if other than first author.
10:30 AM- Noon
Key Ballroom #6
M2-F Global Scale Risks:
Models & Processes of Risk
Analysis
10:30 AM- Noon
Peale A&B
M2-G Public Understanding
of New Technology
Co-Chairs: Cindy Jardine, Dominic Way
10:30
am
M2-G.1
Co-Chairs: Mark Stillman,
Recycled
water
and
risk
communicaGregory Kiker
10:30 am
M2-F.2 tion: how citizens evaluate new techAn integration of multiple paradigms nologies for municipal water systems
for integrated assessment of climate Binder AR, Zechman EM
North Carolina State University
policy
Gerst MD, Wang P, Ding P, Borsuk ME* 10:50 am
M2-G.2
Dartmouth College
Informing science teachers’ knowl10:50 am
M2-F.3
Florida, sea level rise and decision
analysis: choosing between the devil
and the deep blue sea
Kiker GA, Linhoss A, Munoz-Carpena R,
Frank K, Fischer R, Linkov I
University of Florida, Mississippi State University, US Army Corps of Engineers
edge and preferences of low-carbon
electricity technologies through a continuing education workshop
Fleishman LA, Bruine de Bruin W, Morgan MG
11:10 am
M2-G.3
Fractured discourse: social representa11:10 am
M2-F.4 tions of shale gas development in the
USA and Canada
Project fox: taming asteroid risks
Reinhardt JC, Chen X, Liu W, Manchev P, Evensen DT, Stedman RC
Cornell University
Paté-Cornell ME
Stanford University
11:30 am
M2-G.4
11:30 am
M2-F.5
Risk-based need assessments to enhance enterprise program management offices
Stillman M
Consultant
Transition, trauma, and information:
immigrant women’s relationship with
immunization risk communication
Kowal SP, Jardine CG, Bubela TM
University of Alberta
10:30 AM- Noon
Johnson A&B
M2-H Bioterrorism
Application
Chair: Steve Bennett
10:30 am
M2-H.1
A second look at bioterrorism scenarios for the Bioterrorism Risk Assessment (BTRA)
Middleton JK, Stoeckel DM, Nilsen M,
Winkel D, Anderson D, Pals T
Battelle, Department of Homeland Security,
Science and Technology Directorate
10:30 AM- Noon
10:30 AM- Noon
Latrobe
Ruth
M2-I Symposium: Advances
M2-J Sustainability and
in Risk Models for
Ecosystems
Chair:
Wayne Landis
Infrastructure Management
10:30
am
M2-J.1
and Investment
Chair: Shital Thekdi
10:30 am
M2-I.1
Building an integrated assessment
methodology for national infrastructure risk assessment due to climate
hazards
Pant R, Thacker S, Hall JW, Barr S, Al10:50 am
M2-H.2 derson D
Indicators and warnings for biologi- University of Oxford, Newcastle University
cal events: enhanced biosurveillance 10:50 am
M2-I.2
through the fusion of pre-hospital Developing a multi-phase, iterative
data
and collaborative decision coordinaBennett SP, Waters JF, Howard K, Baker tion process for transportation infraH, McGinn TJ, Wong DY
structure management
US Department of Homeland Security
Andrijcic E, Haimes YY
11:10 am
M2-H.3
Adversarial risk analysis with incomplete information: a level-k approach
Rothschild C, McLay LA*, Guikema SD
Health, risk, and sustainability: a taxonomy of relationships
Guidotti TL
Medical Advisory Services
10:50 am
M2-J.2
Value of information models and data
collection in conservation biology
Colyvan M
University of Sydney
11:10 am
M2-J.3
Ecological risk and hydraulic fracturing: perception, assessment, and reality
Jones SM, Smith DW
Conestoga-Rovers & Associates
Rose-Hulman Institute of Technology, University of Virginia
11:10 am
M2-I.3
An iterative value of information approach using scenario-based preferences for risk analysis of infrastructure
systems
Hamilton MC, Lambert JH
University of Virginia
11:30 am
M2-I.4
Robust supply chain investments for
disaster preparedness and community
resilience: an application to Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Connelly EB, Lambert JH, Thekdi SA
University of Virginia, University of Richmond
19
Monday
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Key Ballroom #1
M3-A Poster Platform:
Applications in the
Expanding Field of Risk
Management
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Key Ballroom #2
M3-B Integrating Diverse
Streams of Evidence for
Chemical Assessments:
Getting from Association to
Causation, Part II
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Key Ballroom #3
M3-C Symposium:
Analysis, Part I
Co-Chairs: Terje Aven, Tony Cox
1:30
pm
M3-C.1
Chair: Steve Ackerlund
Foundational
issues
in
risk
assessment
M3-A.1 Applying terrorism risk
Chair: Kimberly Wise
management concepts to enhance 1:30 pm
M3-B.1 and management
ISO 31000 risk management
Bradford Hill viewpoints and hypoth- Aven T, Zio E
University of Stavanger, Norway
Lathrop JF
esis-based weight of evidence
Innovative Decisions, Inc.
Goodman JE, Rhomberg LR
1:50 pm
M3-C.2
Adapting risk management to reduce
M3-A.2 Cyber-security risk manage- Gradient
ment
1:50 pm
M3-B.2 regret
Panjwani S
Integration three ways: classical versus Cox T
THANE Inc
mode of action approaches to weight Cox Associates and University of Colorado
M3-A.3 An overview of applications
of risk management principles in food
safety and nutrition
Mojduszka EM
USDA/OCE/ORACBA
of evidence determinations
Borgert CJ
Applied Pharmacology and Toxicology
2:10 pm
M3-B.3
The EPA causality framework for
M3-A.5 EPA promotes risk based assessment of air pollution-related
asset management as deployed in health effects
Ross MA, Owens BO, Vandenberg JM
Springfield, Massachusetts
Schimmel JD, Lovely RK
Springfield Water and Sewer, Kleinfelder
2:30 pm
M3-B.4
Discussion:
pulling
the
pieces
together
M3-A.7 Analyzing and managing
Beck
NB
risks in research labs: how it is done
American Chemistry Council
(also presented during Poster Session)
Pluess DN, Groso A, Meyer T
Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Lausanne
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Key Ballroom #4
Key Ballroom #5
M3-D Improving
M3-E Fine Particulates: New
Quantitative Risk
Measurements and Questions
Assessment: New Strategies
Answered
Chair: Aamir Fazil
1:30 pm
M3-D.1
The influence of dosing schedule on
rabbit responses to aerosols of Bacillus anthracis
Bartrand TA, Marks HM, Coleman ME,
Donahue D, Hines SA, Comer JE, Taft SC
Tetra Tech
1:50 pm
M3-D.2
Risk-based sampling: I don’t want to
weight in vain
Powell MR
2:10 pm
M3-C.3
US Department of Agriculture
Is risk analysis predictive? Prediction,
validation, and the purpose(s) of risk 2:10 pm
M3-D.3
analysis
Specifying input distributions: no
Guikema SD
method solves all problems
Johns Hopkins University
O’Rawe J, Ferson S*, Sugeno M, Shoemaker
K, Balch M, Goode J
2:30 pm
M3-C.4
Applied Biomathematics
What military strategy can teach us
about risk-management and uncer- 2:30 pm
M3-D.4
tainty
Mixing good data with bad
Ben-Haim Y
Shoemaker K, Siegrist J, Ferson S
Technion Stony Brook University, Applied Biomathematics
Monday Sessions Sponsored by Specialty Groups
M2-AEBASG
M2-BDRSG
M2-CDASG
M2-HSDSG
M2-IEISG
M3-BDRSG
M3-CDASG
M3-DMRASG
20
M3-EEASG
M3-FRPLSG
M3-GRCSG
M3-IEISG
M3-JEBASG
M4-ADRSG
M4-BDRSG
M4-EEASG
M4-FRCSG
M4-HSDSG
M4-I EISG, RDSG
M4-J EBASG, Society for
Benefit-Cost Analysis
Chair: Christopher Frey
1:30 pm
M3-E.1
Comparison of predicted exposures
versus ambient fine particulate matter
concentrations
Jiao W, Frey HC
1:50 pm
M3-E.2
Measurement and comparison of
PM2.5 and CO microenvironmental
exposure concentrations for selected
transportation modes
Jiao W, Frey HC*
2:10 pm
M3-E.3
Sensitivity of estimated children
PM2.5 exposure to activity patterns,
and geographic and seasonal variations Che WW, Frey HC, Lau AKH
The Hong Kong University of Science &
Technology, North Carolina State University
2:30 pm
M3-E.4
Mortality risk from personal exposure
to PM2,5 and UFP in different transportation modes: travel by bus, drive a
car, take the metro or ride a bicycle? Aguila IE, Jimenez RB*, Ruiz P
Universidad Andres Bello
Monday
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Key Ballroom #6
M3-F Risk & Environmental
Governance
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Peale A&B
M3-G Symposium: Risk
Perception & Responses to
Weather Hazards
Chair: Frederic Bouder
1:30 pm
M3-F.1
Risk analysis for better policies - environmental risk governance for the
green economy
Pollard SJT, Mauelshagen C, Prpich G,
Lickorish F, Delgado JC, Jude S
Cranfield University
Chair: Julie Demuth
1:30 pm
M3-G.1
Examining the role of personal experience on weather risk perceptions and
responses
Demuth JL
NCAR and CSU
1:50 pm
M3-F.2
Co-evolution of beliefs and networks
in environmental risk policy: an advocacy coalition framework approach
Henry AD, Dietz T*
University of Arizona
1:50 pm
M3-G.2
Understanding public responses to
hurricane risk messages
Morss RE, Demuth JL, Lazo JK, Dickinson K, Lazrus H, Morrow BH
National Center for Atmospheric Research
2:10 pm
M3-F.3
New conceptual considerations on
dynamic governance handling risks in
public policy
Klinke A, Renn O
Memorial University of Newfoundland,
University of Stuttgart
2:10 pm
M3-G.3
Modeling hurricane preparedness and
evacuation intention
Trumbo CW, Peek L, Meyer MA, Marlatt
H, McNoldy B, Gruntfest E, Schubert W
Colorado State University, University of
Miami, University of Colorado, Colorado
2:30 pm
M3-F.4 Springs
Mapping the municipal risk informa- 2:30 pm
M3-G.4
tion flow: a study based on the prac- “Every single summer”: mental modtice of risk and vulnerability analysis in els of hurricane risks, forecasts and
Lund, Sweden
warnings in Miami
Lin L
Bostrom A, Morss RE, Lazo JK, Demuth
Lund University
JL, Lazrus H
University of Washington
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Johnson A&B
M3-H Roundtable: Risk in
Changed Circumstances:
Views of the News Editors
Chair: Steve Gibb
This session will focus on how risk
assessment issues – whether emerging or long-standing concerns – are
covered and communicated by key
environmental news publications. A
panel of science policy journalists
will discuss trends in their coverage,
whether risk assessment as a focus is
being marginalized by other environmental concerns such as sustainability,
and their view of the future evolution
of risk approaches in light of recent
National Academies’ reports on harmonizing cancer and non-cancer approaches, the initiation of new EPA
Cumulative Risk Assessment Guidelines, and emerging toxicity testing
technologies. The editors will reflect
on the challenges of covering contentious issues such as Bisphenol A (BPA)
and climate change, how agency press
policies may be changing their access
to scientists and their ability to gather
information, and how recent budget
cuts are affecting federal risk assessment efforts. Each editor will present
for 10 minutes and a moderated question and answer session will follow.
Science -- Erik Stokstad M.S. – Staff
writer joined Science magazine in
1997. He covers environmental research and policy with a focus on natural resources and sustainability.
searching, writing and editing stories,
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
covering SRA conferences, and writRuth
ing for the InsideEPA.com website.
M3-J Symposium: Risk, Costs
Chemical and Engineering News – & Benefits of Low Carbon
Cheryl Hogue M.S. – Senior CorresponEnergy Technologies
dent, focuses on articles and social
Chair: Danya McLamb
media regarding EPA regulation of 1:30 pm
M3-J.1
chemicals and research, international The risk of increased GHG emissions
climate change policy, and federal reg- from hydropower development in the
ulatory policies.
Brazilian Amazon
Faria F, Jaramillo P*
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Latrobe
M3-I Symposium: Risks of
Transportation Disruptions
and Transporting Dangerous
Goods
Chair: Cameron MacKenzie
1:30 pm
M3-I.1
A case study in estimating mitigated
risk for safety regulators: hazardous
materials transportation
Locke MS
Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety
Administration
1:50 pm
M3-I.2
Alternative strategies to Positive Train
Control (PTC) for reducing hazardous
materials transportation risk
Liu X, Saat MR*, Barkan CPL
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
1:50 pm
M3-J.2
Large-scale biomass feedstocks: a
potentially intermittent renewable resource with economic risk for biofuel
producers
Morrow WR, Gopal A
Lawerence Berkeley National Laboratory
2:10 pm
M3-J.3
Evaluating proliferation resistance of
small modular nuclear reactors
Gilmore EA, Hendrickson P
University of Maryland
2:30 pm
M3-J.4
Electricity and development: a risk
based analysis of grid extension and
distributed energy resources.
Murphy PM
George Washington University
2:10 pm
M3-I.3
Using PortSec for policy-making and
risk-benefit balancing
Orosz M, Salazar D, Chatterjee S, Wei D,
Zhao Y
University of Southern California
2:30 pm
M3-I.4
Risk Policy Report – Maria HegsModeling resilience stochastic metrics
tad M.S.J. – Managing Editor joined
with bayesian kernel methods: applicathe publication in 2008 and manages
tion to inland waterway networks
all aspects of coverage including reBaroud H, Barker K
University of Oklahoma
21
Monday
3:30 PM - 5:10 PM
Key Ballroom #1
M4-A Symposium:
Understanding Human
Health Risks from Dietary
Arsenic Exposure
Chair: Gail Charnley
3:30 pm
M4-A.1
Dietary exposure to inorganic arsenic
from food in general and rice in particular. Fitzpatrick S, Carrington C
3:50 pm
M4-A.2
Metabolism and the toxicity of arsenic
Thomas D
US EPA
4:10 pm
M4-A.3
A common mode of action for arsenical toxicity
Cohen SM
University of Nebraska Medical Center
4:30 pm
M4-A.4
A risk assessment approach for inorganic arsenic that considers its mode
of action
Clewell HJ, Gentry PR, Yager JW
Hamner Institutes for Health Sciences, ENVIRON International, University of New
Mexico
4:50 pm
M4-A.5
Noncancer risk assessment of epidemiological studies of arsenic and cardiovascular disease
Perez V, Garry MR, Alexander DD, Tsuji
JS
Exponent
22
5:10 pm
M4-B.6
3:30 PM - 5:10 PM
Panel discussion for a new look at the
Key Ballroom #4
toxicity of bisphenol A and public M4-D Symposium: Expecting
health policy
the Unexpected: Risk
Henry SH, Aungst J, Castoldi AF, RhomInformed Policies &
berg L, Butterworth J
Retired FDA, US FDA, European Food Procedures to Predict, Detect
Co-Chairs: Sara Henry, Rita Schoeny
Safety Authority, Gradient Corp, Science & Control Emerging Food
3:30 pm
M4-B.1 journalist/investigative reporter
Safety Risk
Regulation and science of BPA
Chair: Karin Hoelzer
Aungst JL
3:30 pm
M4-D.1
Risk communication: preparing for
3:30 PM - 5:00 PM
the unexpected
Key Ballroom #3
3:50 pm
M4-B.2
DeWaal CS
Human health risks related to the presM4-C Symposium:
ence of BPA in foodstuffs: the assess- Foundational Issues in Risk Center for Science in the Public Interest
ment of the European Food Safety
3:50 pm
M4-D.2
Analysis, Part II
Authority (EFSA)
Produce
industry
perspective:
predictCo-Chairs: Elisabeth Pate-Cornell,
Castoldi AF, Husøy T, Leclercq C, Theoing
the
unpredictable
Roger Flage
bald A, Pratt I
3:30 pm
M4-C.1 Gombas D
EFSA, Italy, Norwegian Scientific ComConcerns, challenges and directions United Fresh
mittee for Food Safety, Norway, Council for
of development for the issue of repre- 4:10 pm
M4-D.3
Research and experimentation in Agriculture,
senting uncertainty in risk assessment Application of quantitative microbial
Italy
Flage R, Aven T, Zio E, Baraldi P
risk assessments to address critical and
4:10 pm
M4-B.3 University
emerging food safety issues Challenges and approaches for evi3:50 pm
M4-C.2 Pradhan AK
dence integration regarding endocrine
University of Maryland, College Park
On black swans and perfect storms
disruption, exemplified by the case of
Pate-Cornell ME
4:30 pm
M4-D.4
bisphenol A
Stanford University
Using
geospatial
risk
assessment
to
Rhomberg LR
forecast
produce
contamination
po4:10 pm
M4-C.3
Gradient
How often should safety critical valves tential
4:30 pm
M4-B.4
Oryang D, Fanaselle F, Anyamba A, Small J
be tested?
BPA by the numbers: how the media
Abrahamsen EB, Asche F, Gelyani A*, Food and Drug Administration, Center for
framed risk
Food Safety and Applied Nutrition, NASA
Guikema S
Butterworth T
University of Stavanger, Norway, Johns Goddard Space Flight Center
George Mason University
Hopkins University
4:50 pm
M4-D.5
4:50 pm
M4-B.5
4:30 pm
M4-C.4 Listeria monocytogenes and produce A new look at the toxicity of bispheWhat are the effects on safety of us- a previously discounted public health
nol A and public health policy making
ing safety standards in major hazard risk
Henry SH, Aungst J, Castoldi AF, RhomHoelzer K, Pouillot R
industries?
berg L, Butterworth T, Fitzpatrick J
Abrahamsen EB, Asche F, Milazzo MF FDA, Center for Food Safety and Applied
Retired FDA, US FDA, European Food
Nutrition
University of Messina
Safety Authority, Gradient Corp, Science
journalist/investigative reporter,
3:30 PM - 5:30 PM
Key Ballroom #2
M4-B Symposium: A New
Look at the Toxicity of
Bisphenol A and Public
Health
3:30 PM - 5:00 PM
Key Ballroom #5
M4-E Fuel, Asbestos, Dust,
Spores & Death
Chair: Shawn Sager 3:30 pm
M4-E.1
Specific Consumer Exposure Determinants (SCEDs) for fuel and lubricant scenarios
Zaleski RT, Qian H, Money CM, Rohde A
ExxonMobil Biomedical Sciences Inc.,
CONCAWE
3:50 pm
M4-E.2
Cumulative exposures to asbestos fibers from dropped ceiling installation
and maintenance
Boelter FW, Xia Y, Persky JD
ENVIRON International
4:10 pm
M4-E.3
Evaluation of a simple steady-state
model: estimating resuspended particles in indoor air
Nemickas H, Sager S*, Navon D, Hubbard T
ARCADIS
4:30 pm
M4-E.4
A risk model for inhaled toxins and
spores associated with Stachybotrys
chartarum
Prasad B, Sungar N, Lennon E
Drexel University
Monday
3:30 PM - 5:00 PM
3:30 PM - 5:10 PM
3:30 PM - 5:10 PM
3:30 PM - 5:10 PM
Key Ballroom #6
Peale A&B
Johnson A&B
Latrobe
M4-F Symposium: Panel
M4-G Public Response to
M4-H Informing Policy with
M4-I Risk and Rewards of
Discussion: Communicating
Natural and Technological
Risk Perception and
Natural Resources and
Risk Uncertainty: What Have
Disasters
Management
Natural Disasters
Co-Chairs:
Andrew
Binder,
Ann
Bostrom
Chair:
Heather
Rosoff
Chair: Royce Francis
We Learned and Where Are
3:30
pm
M4-G.2
3:30
pm
M4-H.1
3:30
pm
M4-I.1
We Going?
Chair: Cindy Jardine
3:30 PM
M4-F.1
Strategies to engage knowledge users
in understanding best practices for
communicating about risk characterized by uncertainty
Driedger SM, Jardine CG
University of Manitoba
3:50 PM
M4-F.2
Communicating environmental health
risk uncertainty: a systematic review of
the literature
Jardine CG, Driedger SM
Risky business: engaging the public in
policy discourse on sea-level rise and
inundation
Akerlof K, Rowan KE, La Porte T, Ernst
H, Nataf D, Batten B, Rajasekar M,
Dolan D
George Mason University, US Naval Academy, Center for the Study of Local Issues,
Anne Arundel Community College
3:50 pm
M4-G.3
Do I stay or do I go? Risk attitudes and
evacuation decisions during a wildfire
event
Wilson RS, McCaffrey S
The Ohio State University, USDA Forest
Service
4:10 pm
M4-G.4
A comparison of spontaneous associations with nuclear power underlying its acceptance before and after
the Fukushima disaster, and of associations with nuclear and solar energy
resources
Keller C, Sütterlin B, Siegrist M
ETH Zurich
4:30 pm
M4-G.5
A longitudinal study of risk perception: the case of Chile
Zacharias CA, Bronfman NC, Cifuentes
LA, Jimenez RB
Pontificia Universidad Catolica De Chile
4:50 pm
M4-G.6
Risk-informed decision framework
for built-environment: the role of ambiguity
Cha EJ, Wang Y
Georgia Tech
Structuring public private partnerships
to encourage near-miss reporting
Dillon-Merrill RL, Tinsley CH
Georgetown University
Confronting risks and benefits of energy system improvements in developing communities: the case of Canada’s
Northwest Territories
Kenney L, Arvai J
3:50 pm
M4-H.2
University of Calgary
Public response to the terrorist attacks
on Boston
3:50 pm
M4-I.2
Burns WJ, Slovic P, Sellnow T, Rosoff H, Estimating the probability of extreme
John R
low-wind periods in the central United
Decision Research, University of Kentucky States
Rose SM, Handschy MA, Apt J
4:10 pm
M4-H.3
Carnegie Mellon University, Enduring EnPublic perceptions and trade-offs reergy LLC
lated to randomized security schedules
John RS, Scurich N
4:10 pm
M4-I.3
University of Southern California, Univer- An assessment of the risks of building
sity of California, Irivine
collapse for the City of Nairobi based
on an investigation into East Africa’s
4:30 pm
M4-H.4
construction quality control processes. To transaction online or to not transFigueroa RH, Morgan MG, Fischbeck PS
action online: dilemmas involving priCarnegie Mellon University
vacy, security and identify theft
Rosoff H, John R, Cui T
4:30 pm
M4-I.4
Forensic disaster investigations (FORIN), a new approach to learn lessons
4:50 pm
M4-H.5
from disasters: a case study of the
DHS’ Risk-Informed Quadrennial
2001 Algiers (Algeria) flood and debris
Homeland Security Review (QHSR)
flow
Hawkins NL, Elkins DA, Janca A, SiBenouar D, Rovins J
mons J, Montezemolo M, Piper J, Lesely T,
University of Science and Technology Houari
Cox P, Susel I, Brzymialkiewicz C
Boumediene (USTHB)
Department of Homeland Security
4:50 pm
M4-I.5
Bayesian multiscale modeling of spatial infrastructure performance predictions
Reilly AC, Guikema SD
3:30 PM - 5:10 PM
Ruth
M4-J Symposium: Who
Benefits? Measuring the
Distribution of Risk Policy
Impacts
Chair: Jonathan Levy
3:30 pm
M4-J.1
Barriers to assessing the distribution
of regulatory impacts
Robinson LA, Hammitt JK, Zeckhauser R,
Linhart M
Harvard University
3:50 pm
M4-J.2
Ranking distributions of environmental outcomes across population groups
Sheriff G, Maguire K*
4:10 pm
M4-J.3
Characterizing the distribution of recent and projected air pollution risk
among vulnerable and susceptible individuals
Fann NF, Fulcher CM, Baker KR, Roman
HA*, Gentile MA
US Environmental Protection Agency, Industrial Economics Incorporated
4:30 pm
M4-J.4
Distributive weights: a defense
Adler MD
Duke University
4:50 pm
M4-J.5
Using inequality measures to incorporate environmental justice into regulatory analyses at the US Environmental
Protection Agency
Harper S, Ruder E*, Roman HA, Geggel
A, Nweke O, Payne-Sturges D, Levy JI
Industrial Economics, Incorporated
23
Monday
6:00 - 8:00 PM
Key Ballroom #7-12
Poster Session
Caring for Consumers
P.1 Approach for developing Specific Consumer Exposure Determinants (SCEDs) for fuel and lubricant
scenarios
Qian H, Zaleski R, Money C
ExxonMobil Biomedical Sciences, Inc.
P.2 Developing Specific Consumer
Exposure Determinants (SCEDs) for
assessing risk from chemicals used in
consumer products
Money C, Corea N, Rodriguez C, Ingram J,
Zaleski RT (Presented by Lewis J*)
ExxonMobil, SC Johnson, Procter and
Gamble, Unilever
Decision Analysis & Risk
P.3 Mercury at Oak Ridge: outcomes from risk evaluations can differ
depending upon objectives and methodologies
Burger J, Gochfeld M, Powers CW, Kosson
D, Clarke J, Brown K
Rutgers University, Consortium for Risk
Evaluation with Stakeholder Participation,
Vanderbilt University
P.7 Risk perception in Libya: an
overview Elmontsri ME
Higher Institute of Occupational Safety and
Health
P.13 Development of practical risk
evaluation method with the example
of traffic relevant environmental measures Tokai A, Nakazawa K, Nakakubo T,
Yamaguchi H, Kojima N, Sakagami M,
P.8 Using quantitative bias analysis
Higuchi Y, Nagata Y, Ishimaru T
to characterize the uncertainty of inOsaka University
puts based on epidemiological data
Forshee RA, Lu Y, Izurieta H, Egger J, P.14 Air pollution in Salvador, BA,
Cooney D, Lash T, Fox M, Brown J
Brazil: an experience of risk analysis
US Food and Drug Administration, Vianna NA, Saldiva PHN
SciMetrika LLC, Emory University, Bos- University of Sao Paulo
ton University, Harvard Pilgrim, P.15 Practice makes perfect: lessons
P.9 Analyzing the effects of unin- and outcomes based on mode of actended uses of commodities on phy- tion/human relevance framework aptosanitary risk: the example of US po- plication to case studies
tato exports to Mexico
Willis AM, Maier A, Reichard J, Haber
Fowler G, Erikson L, Ahern R, Caton B, L, Patterson J
Gutierrez W, Griffin R
Toxicology Excellence for Risk Assessment
United States Department of Agriculture
(TERA)
P.27 Birth weight, household smoking and the risk of wheezing in adolescents: a retrospective cohort study
Ho WC, Lin MH, Caffrey JL, Lin YS,
Fan KC, Wu TT, Chen PC, Wu TN, Sung
FC, Lin RS P.21 Ambient air pollution and aller- China Medical University, Taiwan
gic disease among children
P.28Development of practical
Fan KC, Ho WC, Lin MH, Caffrey JL, quantifying method applicable for risk
Wu TT, Pan SC, Chen PC, Wu TN, Sung assessment of metabolic inhibition
FC, Lin RS
during co-exposure in workplaces by
China Medical University
applying a PBPK model in humans
P.23 Assessment of benzo(a)pyrene Ishimaru T, Yamaguchi H, Tokai A, Na(a tobacco smoke toxicant) as a driver kakubo T
Osaka University
of genotoxicity
P.10 Interim action values for management of contaminants in soils for
protection of human health risks
Gilmore J, Martinez C, Pagliarulo M
Ontario Ministry of Environment
with potential hazards to human
health
Gadagbui B, Maier A, Nance P, JayJock M,
Franklin C
P.11 Toxidromes - a decision-making tool for early response to chemical
mass exposure incidents
P.4 Food safety? A supply chain Kirk M, Hakkinen P, Ignacio J, Kroner O,
matter: probabilistic risk model based Maier A, Patterson J
on the agro-food trade network
Convertino MC, Liang SL
P.12 Risk analysis for networks with
University of Minnesota, Emerging Patho- cooperative games
gens Institute at the University of Florida
Mohri H, Takeshita J
P.6 Spatial analysis of risk percep- Waseda University, National Institute of
tion. The case of Nuclear Power Plant Advanced Industrial Science and Technology
Dumitrescu A, Lemyre L, Pincent C
University of Ottawa
24
P.16 Weight-of-evidence evaluation
of short-term ozone exposure and
cardiovascular effects
Sax S, Prueitt R, Goodman J
Gradient
P.20 Assessing the impact of human
metabolic variability on the health risks
of occupational and environmental
exposures to chloroform
Deveau M, Krewski D, Nong A
University of Ottawa, Health Canada
Fiebelkorn SA, Bishop EL, Breheny D, P.29 The role of dietary zinc in cadCunningham FH, Dillon DM, Meredith C mium nephrotoxicity
British American Tobacco, Group R&D Lin YS, Caffrey JL, Ho WC, Bayliss D,
P.24 A decision tool for assessing Sonawane B
polymers and polymeric substances US Environmental Protection Agency
P.30 Assessment of the occupational
exposure limit of p-Phenylenediamine
for hairdressers Lin HC, Guo YL, Wu KY
Institute of Occupational Medicine and InP.18 A Bayesian Belief Network P.25 Development of chemical-spe- dustrial Hygiene, College of Public Health,
(BBN) for modeling risk of adverse cific adjustment factors for long-lived National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan
events due to the particulate matter in chemicals: PFOS as a model chemical P.31 The relationship of mercury
injectables
Haber LT, Dourson ML, Mohapatra A exposure, omega-3 intake, and risk of
Kazemi R, Rahaman F, Urban J
TERA
chronic kidney disease
US FDA
P.26 Ambient air pollution and At- Lin YS, Ginsberg G, Sonawane B
Dose Response
tention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder US EPA
P.19 Determining a concentration- (ADHD) among children
P.32 Workplace Environmental Exresponse relationship suitable for esti- Lin MH, Ho WC, Caffrey JL, Fan KC, posure Level (WEEL) methodology
mating adult benefits of reduced lead Wu TT, Chen PC, Lin CC, Wu TN, Sung with
Octamethylcyclotetrasiloxane
exposure
FC, Lin RS
(D4) as a case study
Brown LPM, Lynch MK, Post ES, Belova A China Medical University
Parker AL, Nance PM, Maier A
Abt Associates, Inc. Toxicology Excellence for Risk Assessment
Monday
P.33 Workshop on lessons learned,
challenges, and opportunities: the US
Endocrine Disruptor Screening Program
Patterson J, Becker R, Borghoff S, Casey W,
Dourson M, Fowle J, Hartung T, Holsapple
M, Jones B, Juberg D, Kroner O, Lamb J,
Marty S, Mihaich E, Rinckel L, Van Der
Kraak G, Wade M, Willett C
(TERA), American Chemistry Council,
Integrated Laboratory Systems (ILS), National Institute of Environmental Health
Sciences, Independent Consultant, Johns
Hopkins University, Battelle, Dow AgroSciences, Exponent, Inc., The Dow Chemical Company, ER2, University of Guelph,
Health Canada, Humane Society of the
United States
P.44 Cost-effectiveness of the decontamination activities in the evacuation zones due to the Fukushima
nuclear accident
Oka T
Fukui Prefectural University
Ecological Risk
P.37 Identifying regional features of
temperature variability using cluster
analysis and quantile regression applied to the daily surface level observations
Timofeev AA, Sterin AM
P.45 Evaluating the timing of beneRIHMI-WDC
fits from abatement of short and long
P.38Determining detection rates lived climate change species
of environmental DNA sampling for Zheng JM, Gilmore EA, Sarofim MC
monitoring the risk of invasive fish University of Maryland
species
P.46 Real systematic risk for modelSong JW, Small MJ
ing weighted prices as an asset for deCarnegie Mellon University
cision making
P.40 Long-term variability of wind
regime in the atmosphere over the
Arctic Agurenko AO, Khokhlova AV
P.34Air pollution patterns may RIHMI-WDC
modify the effect of weight gain on P.41 Metacommunity resilience of
lung function among adolescents
the Amazon Tropical Forest facing
Wu TT, Chen LH, Ho WC, Lin MH, human and natural stressors
Pan SC, Fan KC, Chen PC, Wu TN, Sung Convertino M, Munoz-Carpena R, Kiker
FC, Lin RS
G, Perz S
China Medical University
University of Minnesota, Emerging PathoP.35Residential and occupational gens Institute at the University of Florida
exposure to wood treating operations
and risk of non-hodgkin lymphoma: a
meta-analysis
Williams BH, Pierce JS, Glynn ME, Johns
LE, Adhikari R, Finley BL
Cardno ChemRisk
P.36Residential and occupational
exposure to wood treating operations
and bladder cancer: a meta-analysis
Glynn ME, Pierce JS, Williams B, Johns
LE, Adhikari R, Finley BL
Cardno ChemRisk
Anyika E, Weke PO, Achia TN
University of Nairobi
P.47 Design of institutional mechanisms for effective risk management:
assignment of responsibility in the
case of waste disposal
Farber GS
US EPA
Engineering & Infrastructure
P.48 Exploring the concept of transportation systems risks
Chikaraishi M, Fischbeck P, Chen M
P.42 Design of ecosystem monitor- The University of Tokyo
ing networks by value of information P.49 Recovery estimation model of
optimization: experiment in the Ama- thermal power plants damaged by
zon
complex hazards - case of the 2011
Convertino M, Munoz-Carpena R, Kiker Tohoku-oki Earthquake
G, Perz S
Yuyama A, Kajitani Y
University of Minnesota, Emerging Patho- Central Research Institute of Electric Power
gens Institute at the University of Florida
Industry
Economic & Benefit Analysis
P.43 Can game theory predict the
human behavior on safety? From the
viewpoint of an economic experiment
Makino R, Takeshita J
AIST
P.50 Constraint analysis for siting solar energy projects
Reid R, Loftis B, Dwyer S
Kleinfelder, Inc.
P.51Hydraulic fracturing failure P.58Environmental attitudes and
rates – key to understanding actual behaviours of university students: a
risks
case of study at a Chilean university
Pawlisz AV
Heyl ME, Moyano E, Cornejo F, Cifuentes
LA
Faculty of Enginnering, Pontifical Catholic
Give me Some Numbers! Tox and
University of Chile
Uncertainty Values
P.52Provisional Advisory Level P.59 DRAGON: a single risk assess(PAL) development for superwarfa- ment database to promote transparrins (Brodifacoum and Bromidalone) ency and data sharing
Stewart D, Glass-Mattie D, Dorman D, Henning CC, Overton AJ, Marin K, CleMcConnell E, Adeshina F
land JC, Turley AT
University of Tennessee, Oak Ridge Na- ICF International
tional Laboratory
P.60 Implementing systematic review
P.54 Probabilistic cancer risk assess- for chemicals with large databases
ment for Aflatoxin B 1 with Bayesian Turley AT, Overton AJ, Marin K, Henning
statistics markov chain Monte Carlo CC
Simulation ICF International
Liu SY, Chang CS, Chung YC, Chen CC,
P.61 A pragmatic way of achieving
Wu KY
High Sustainable Organization: govNational Taiwan University
ernance and organizational learning in
P.55 Potential impacts of uncertain- action in the public French sector ty in the C8 Science panel exposure as- Merad M, Marcel F sessment for perfluorooctanoate
INERIS
Avanasi Narasimhan R, Shin HM, Vieira
Microbial Risk Assessment
VM, Bartell SM
P.62 Modeling the relationship beUCI, UCD
tween post-vaccination hemagglutinaMethods, Models & Data:
tion inhibition (HI) titer and protecPotpourri
tion against influenza
P.56Proposing a framework of Huang Y, Anderson S, Yang H
QAAR approaches for predicting the The US Food and Drug Administration
toxicity of chemical substances: a case
P.63 Risk factors identification for
study on predicting and extrapolating
Toxoplasma gondii infection in meat
the missing NOEL values
products destined for human conTakeshita J, Gamo M
sumption
National Institute of Advanced Industrial
Guo M, Buchanan RL, Dubey JP, Hill D,
Science and Technology (AIST)
Gamble HR, Jones J, Pradhan AK
P.57 Comparative study of risk with University of Maryland
nursing work in Japan and China
Maeda Y, Marui R, Yamauchi H, Yamaki
N
Shizuoka University
25
Monday
P.64 Scald and food safety risks
posed by unsafe water, refrigerator,
and freezer temperatures in residences
of Meals On Wheels recipients in 4
US states
Hallman WK, Cuite CL, McWilliams
RM, Senger-Mersich A
Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey
P.88 Effect of information trustworthiness on cancer risk perception
after a nuclear disaster
Kuroda Y, Iwamitsu Y, Takemura K, Ban
N, Sakura O, Sakata N, Tsubono K, Nakagawa K
P.82Challenges associated with
The University of Tokyo, Kitasato Univercommunicating multidimensional risk
sity, Waseda University
data to a diverse set of stakeholders P.65 Biological weapons and bioter- P.73 Assessing the health risks of di- Wilson P, Kubatko A, Hawkins B, Cox J, P.89 Investigating “consumer awarerorism threat assessment
methylformamide in an occupational Gooding R, Whitmire M
ness” in evaluating food safety hazards
Jyothikumar V
setting
Battelle Memorial Institute, Department of related to beef in Japan
Wu CH, Huang YF, Wu KY
Homeland Security Chemical Security Anal- Kumagai Y, Hosono H, Sekizaki T
National Taiwan University
The University of Tokyo
ysis Center
P.66 Foodborne pathogens in leafy
greens: data, predictive models, and Risk Communication
P.84 Utilizing need for affect and P.90 Effects of changing frequency
quantitative risk assessments P.74 Atrazine effects on amphibians: need for cognition from a dual-pro- of heterogeneous stimuli over time on
Mishra A, Lambertini E, Pradhan AK
is it safe to go back into the water?
cessing framework: measuring envi- estimation of frequency
University of Maryland College Park
Smith DW
ronmental policy preference by experi- Kugihara N
Graduate School of Human Sciences, Osaka
mental design studies
P.67 Quantitative risk assessment for
University
Kim S-J
Escherichia coli O157:H7 in fresh-cut P.75 Public risk perception towards
Colorado State University
lettuce
urban air pollution
P.91 Rethinking risk data: ITER 2.0
Pang H, Buchanan RL, Schaffner DW, Zhu KJ, Xu JH
P.85 Improving natural disaster risk Kroner O, Wullenweber A, Willis AM
Pradhan AK
Peking University
communication strategies: characteriz- Toxicology Excellence for Risk Assessment
University of Maryland, College Park, Ruting public trust in institutions involved (TERA)
P.76Applying Mental Modeling
gers University
in natural disaster management in
Technology™ to developing the comP.92Managing communication in
Chile
P.69 Risk Assessments for Listeria munications research and analytics
times of crisis through ambiguity: a
Zacharias CA, Jimenez RB, Bronfman NC
monocytogenes and Salmonella spp. roadmap for Census Bureau
framework for crisis communication
Universidad Andres Bello
in Melons
Kovacs DC, Thorne SL, Butte GE, WroEller EG, Calderon AA
Wang M, Lambertini E, Micallef SA, blewski MJ
P.86 Risk communication activities Stephenson Disaster Management Institute,
Pradhan AK
Decision Partners, United States Census of health risks by the Japan EMF in- Louisiana State University
University of Maryland, College Park
Census Bureau
formation center
P.93 Uneven recall and inaccurate
Ohkubo C
Probabilistic Risk: Staff, Water and P.77 The constitutive role of comrisk assessments from reading balJapan EMF Information Center
Statistics
munication for coordinated safety
anced news articles of controversial
P.70Probabilistic risk assessment behavior in an organization managing P.87 Kids + chemical safety: a tool risk topics: the role of exemplars and
with the bayesian statistics markov high-hazardous processes
for educating the public about chemi- affect
chain Monte Carlo simulation
Marynissen H, Ladkin D, Denyer D, Pil- cals
Dixon GN
Wu KY, Chung YC, Chen CC, Hsiao CH beam C
Cornell University
Nance P, Kroner O, Dourson M
Cranfield University
P.94 “Magical thinking” in high risk
P.71 Probabilistic risk assessment of P.80 Irrational fears for radioactivity:
cancer families cisplatin for medical staff of medical qualitative and quantitative evaluation
Flander LB, Keogh LA, Ugoni A, Ait
centers in Taiwan
Aoyagi M, Kanamori Y, Yoshida A
Oaukrim D, Gaff C, Jenkins MA
Chen YT, Chang CH, Chung YC, Chen National Institute for Environmental Studies
University of Melbourne
CC, Wang GS, Wu KY
26
P.72 Probabilistic assessment of cancer risk for N-Nitrosodimethylamine
in drinking water by using bayesian
statistics with MarKov Chain Monte
Carlo simulation
Chang CH, Chuang YC, Chen CC, Wu
KY*
P.81 Progress in new tools for participatory vulnerability analysis to climate
stressors
Webler TW, Tuler SP
Social and Environmental Research Institute
P.95 Two years since Fukushima accident. Do people still willing to support for the affected area?
Hosono H, Kumagai Y, Sekizaki T
P.96 Burgers or tofu? Eating between two worlds: risk information
seeking and processing during dietary
acculturation
Lu H
Marquette University
P.97 Exploring the impact of negative emotions on information seeking
about radioactive food contamination
in Japan after March 11, 2011
Okada T, Inaba T
Hitotsubashi University
P.98 Numeracy and beliefs about the
preventability of cancer
Steinhardt JS, Niederdeppe J, Lee T
Cornell University
P.99Alternating hydrologic extremes: risk communication and
weather whiplash
Trumbo CW, Peek L, Laituri M
Colorado State University
P.100Risk perception of drinking
water quality in a US-Mexico Border
community
Victory K, Cabrera N, Larson D, Reynolds
K, Latura J, Beamer P
University of Arizona, Mariposa Community Health Center
P.101Natural disaster cognitive appraisals and disaster preparedness in
immigrants and native-born in the
Canadian context: a need for psychosocial considerations
Yong AG, Lemyre L, Pinsent C, Krewski D
Monday
P.102Public collaboration on a 30year commitment to assess superfund
health outcomes in Butte, Montana
Ackerlund WS
Kleinfelder
P.110 The role of statistical models in
drinking water distribution system asset management
Rao V, Francis R
The George Washington University
P.103Public response to information about the risk of cancer after the
nuclear disaster in Fukushima
Sakata N, Kuroda Y, Tsubono K, Nakagawa K
P.111 SafeWater CBX: incorporating
uncertainty and variability in benefits
analysis
Stedge J, Brad F
Abt Associates
P.104 Crisis and emergency risk communication to family physicians in
Canada
Kain NA
Risk & Development
P.106 Risk management in Colombia:
the challenge of development
Orozco G
Universidad del Norte
P.107Selection of next-generation
low global-warming-potential refrigerants by using a risk trade-off framework
Kajihara H
National Institute of Advanced Industrial
Science and Technology
P.108 Contamination risks and effects
on suburban areas by a ceramic and
tiles factories: a case of study
Colon L, Monzon A, Demichelis S
National University of Lanus
Risk, Policy & Law
P.109Setting a regulatory cleanup
level for the emerging contaminant
sulfolane Farris AM, Buss SD, Cardona-Marek T
Alaska Department of Environmental
Conservation and SPB Consulting
P.118Measurement of hand to
mouth lead transfer efficiency - a simulation study
Sahmel J, Devlin KD, Hsu EI
Cardno Chemrisk
P.125
Application of multi-criteria
decision analysis to humanitarian assistance and disaster response: site
suitability analysis
Bates ME, Linkov I, Clark TL, Curran
RW, Bell HM
P.119
Probabilistic assessment of
US Army Corps of Engineers - Engineer
lifetime cancer risk for acrylamide
Research and Development Center, Pacific
through daily consumption of highDisaster Center
temperature processed foods in Taiwan with Bayesian Statistics Markov P.126
Microbial contamination in
Chain Monte Carlo Simulation
poultry chillers estimated by Monte
Wu CY, Chang CH, Chung YC, Chen Carlo simulations
CC, Wu KY
Holser RA
Russell Research Center
P.112The balance between protection of human health and compliance
with regulatory standards
Sager SL, Locey BJ, Schlekat TH
ARCADIS U.S., Inc.
Security & Defense
P.120Phase I Impact assessment reRisky Eating
sults for 1-bromopropane and 3-nitroP.113Probabilistic risk assessment
1,2,4-triazol-5-one (NTO)
for 2-Amino-1-Methyl- 6-PhenylRak A, Vogel CM, Bass N
imidazo[4,5-b]- Pyridine (PhIP)
Noblis Inc., US Army Public Health Comthrough daily consumption of highmand
temperature processed meats and
fishes in Taiwan
P.121Quantitative approach to risk
Liu LH, Chan CC, Wu KY
on fuel transportation pipelines
Parra LM, Munoz F
Universidad de los Andes
P.114 An exposure and health risk assessment of metals in apple juice
Late Breaking Posters
Banducci AM, Tvermoes B, Bebenek I, P.122A new endophyte risk assessMonnot A, Devlin K, Madl A
ment model
Cardno Chemrisk
Bromfield KB, Rowe AJ, Atapattu AA
Environmental Protection Authority
P.115 Dietary, occupational, and ecological risk assessment of carbaryl and P.123Nanoscale risk assessment and
dimethoate
uncertainty quantification in atomistic
Chiang SY, Chang-Chien GP, Horng CY, simulations
Wu KY Wang Y
China Medical U., Taiwan
Georgia Institute of Technology
P.117 Questionnaire survey on water
ingestion rates for various types of
liquid and the seasonal differences between summer and winter
Ohno K, Asami M, Matsui Y
National Institute of Public Health, Hokkaido University, Japan
P.131Communicating conservation
with labels: experiment on the effectiveness of using IUCN categories for
advocacy
Song H, Underhill JC, Schuldt JP
Cornell University, Johns Hopkins University
P.132Treed exponential models for
evaluating factors affecting nanomaterial dose-response and setting occupational exposure limits
Gernand JM, Casman EA
Penn State University
P.133Quantitative assessment of in
vivo toxicological interactions from
criteria pollutant mixtures containing
oxides of nitrogen
Datko-Williams L, Young B, Wilkie A,
Madden M, Dubois JJ, Wichers Stanek L,
Johns D, Oesterling Owens B
US Environmental Protection Agency, US
P.128Application of socio-economic
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
analysis for restriction and authorization of chemical in Korea
P.134Trust in a wide variety of risk
Lee YJ, Yang JI, Lee GW, Shin DC
managers after a catastrophic disaster
Yonsei University
Nakayachi K
Doshisha University
P.129
Development of exposure
guidelines for chronic health effects P.135Diminishing risks of soil polfollowing acute exposures to TICs
lution in public spaces: a proposal for
Winkel DJ, Hawkins BE, Roszell LE
remediation
Battelle Memorial Institute, US Army Pub- Valentini M, Curra C, Demichelis SO*
lic Health Command
Environment Laboratory, DDPY UNLA
P.130Understanding risk: applying
the CAUSE model in a content analy- P.136Bad decisions increases health
sis of emergency management organi- risks: reopening of an abandoned aszations coverage of hurricane Sandy phalt plant a case of study
Kowalek D
Bracca M, Monzon A, Demichelis SO*
P.124Using portfolio optimization to
Howard University
Environment Laboratory, DDPY select an optimal set of water security
UNLA
countermeasures
Bates ME, Shoaf H, Keisler JM, Dokukin
D, Linkov I
US Army Corps of Engineers, Engineer
Research and Development Center
P.127 Challenges associated with practical environmental restoration risk assessment and management decisions
for Perfluoroalkyl Substances (PFASs)
Phillips JK, Anderson JK
TRC Solutions; US Air Force
27
Monday
P.144A tool to facilitate the incorporation of metagenomic data into environmental microbial decision-making
and risk analysis
Smith MN, Port JA, Cullen AC, Wallace
JC, Faustman EM*
University of Washington
P.152First conference on validating
models of adversary behavior
Zhuang J, Bier V, Zhang J*
University at Buffalo, SUNY, University of
Wisconsin-Madison
T1-A.1 Findings words that work:
assessing media coverage of water issues across Iowa
Miles S, Dalrymple K, Madsen P, Krajewski J
University of Iowa
P.153Simulating non-dietary ingestion of listeria monocytogenes from
P.138Keeping track of nanotechnol- P.145Decision aiding for extreme residential surfaces
Canales RA, Sinclair RG, Soto-Beltran M,
ogy in your everyday life: the nano- event evacuation
Reynolds K
technology consumer products inven- Chen NC, Yates JY
Texas A&M University
The University of Arizona
tory 2.0
Kuiken T, Quadros M
P.146Sensitivity of regulatory ozone P.154Comparing bioactivity profiles
Woodrow Wilson Center, Virginia Tech
risk assessment to improved exposure of diverse nanomaterials based on
T1-A.5 Nuclear media discourse
post-Fukushima: the state of media
coverage pertaining to nuclear energy
before and after the Fukushima 2011
nuclear incident
Bell MZ, Yang ZJ
State University of New York at Buffalo
P.139Review of health effects and and response models
toxicological interactions of air pol- Ollison W, Capel J, Johnson T
lutant mixtures containing oxides of American Petroleum Institute, Consultant,
Durham, NC, TRJ Environmental, Inc.
nitrogen
Madden M, Young B, Datko-Williams L, P.147Evaluating long term inactivaWilkie A, Dubois JJ, Stanek LW, Johns D, tion of bacillus spores on common
Owens EO
surfaces
ORISE, US EPA-ORD, US CDC- Enger KS, Murali B, Birdsell D, Gurian P,
NIOSH
Wagner DM, Mitchell J*
high-throughput screening (HTS) in
ToxCast™
Wang A, Filer D, Shah I, Kleinstreuer N,
Berg E, Mosher S, Rotroff D, Marinakos
S, El-Badawy A, Houck K
BioSeek Inc., North Carolina State University, Duke University
P.137Kinetics and micromechanics
associated with crack growth in brittle
materials
Djouder S, Chabaat M*, Touati M
Built Environment Research Laboratory, University of Sciences and Technology
Houari Boumediene
P.140Public risk perception towards
urban air pollution
Zhu KJ, Xu JH
Peking University
P.141Analysis of U.S. soil lead (Pb)
studies from 1970-2012
Wilkie A, Datko-Williams L, RichmondBryant J
ORISE, US EPA
P.142Model validation in disaster relief partner selection and maintenance
Coles JB, Zhuang J
University at Buffalo
P.143A probabilistic model of U.S.
intra-day tap water exposure and its
application in PBPK modeling
Schlosser PM, Isaacs K, Sasso AF, Gift JS
28
P.155Ammonia removal from waste
water from cattle and livestock and its
Michigan State University
reuse
Cabrera VB, De Las Pozas C
P.148Robust approval process in the
Universidad San Sebastian
face of strategic adversaries and normal applicants
P.156Mutagenic mode of action inZhuang J, Wang X*, Song C, Xu J
consistent with tumor response in
University at Buffalo, SUNY
>40,000 trout exposed to the potent
mutagen dibenzo[a,l]pyrene, contrary
P.149Modeling and validating multito Somatic mutation cancer theory
period, multi-type, and multi-target
Bogen K
attacker-defender games
Eponent
Zhang J, Zhuang J
Poster Platform - Shown During
Session Time Listed
P.150 Incentives in government proviM3-A.7Analyzing and managing
sion of emergency preparedness and
risks in research labs: how it is done
disaster relief
Pluess DN, Groso A, Meyer T
Guan P, Shan X, He F, Zhuang J
Swiss Federal Institute of Technology LauUniversity at Buffalo, SUNY
sanne
P.151Modeling attacker-defender
games with risk preferences
Zhuang J, Fu J*, Jose VRR
T1-A.6 Controversy in energy technology innovation: contrasting community perspectives of the alleged leak
at the Weyburn carbon capture and
storage demonstration project
Boyd AD
Mark your
Calendar!
SRA invites you:
7-10 December 2014
Denver, Colorado
6-9 December 2015
Arlington, Virginia
See you there!
Notes
29
Tuesday
8:30 AM - 10:00 AM
Key Ballroom #1
T1-A Poster Platform:
Traditional and Social
Media Effects
Chair: Nicole Kain
T1-A.1 Findings words that work:
assessing media coverage of water issues across Iowa (also presented during
Poster Session)
Miles S, Dalrymple K, Madsen P, Krajewski J
University of Iowa
T1-A.7 What has Google reported
about nanotechnology risks?
Friedman SM, Egolf BP
Lehigh University
9:10 AM
T1-D.3
Zoonotic diseases from companion
animals: risk of salmonellosis associated with pet food
Lambertini E, Buchanan RL, Narrod C,
Pradhan AK
University of Maryland, Joint Institute for
Food Safety and Applied Nutrition
Chair: Michael Greenberg
8:30
AM
T1-C.3
T1-A.8 Getting information to unThe
clients
of
the
National
Weather
derserved communities using twitter:
Service:
does
the
current
use
of river
lessons from Hurricane Sandy
forecasts
fully
exploit
their
potential
to
Lachlan KA, Spence PR, Lin X
decrease
flood
risk?
University of Massachusetts Boston, Univer9:30 AM
T1-D.4
Hoss F
sity of Kentucky
Modelling the risks of introduction
Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh
of ticks infected with Crimean-Congo
8:50 AM
T1-C.4 haemorrhagic fever virus into GB
8:30 AM - 10:00 AM
Predicting individual risk-reducing be- England M, Brouwer A, Gale P
Key Ballroom #2
haviors before, during and after major AHVLA
T1-A.3 Social media and food crisis
communication
T1-B EPA’S IRIS: It’s A New
Cuite CL, Hallman WK
Program, Part I
Rutgers, The State University
Co-Chairs: Kenneth Olden, Richard Becker
T1-B.1
T1-A.4 To fortify or not, a structural 8:30 AM
analysis of the public advisory policy Advancing human health risk assessment at the United States Environon folic acid in France
mental Protection Agency
Herrera DA
Olden K, Vandenberg J, Kadry A, Deener K
Toulouse School of Economics
US Government
T1-A.5 Nuclear media discourse
T1-B.2
post-Fukushima: the state of media 8:50 AM
coverage pertaining to nuclear energy Enhancing IRIS: progress to date and
before and after the Fukushima 2011 future actions
nuclear incident (also presented during Cogliano V
US Government
Poster Session)
Bell MZ, Yang ZJ
9:10 AM
T1-B.3
IRIS improvements: getting the balT1-A.6 Controversy in energy tech- ance right in scientific quality, timelinology innovation: contrasting com- ness, stakeholder engagement and
munity perspectives of the alleged leak peer review
at the Weyburn carbon capture and Denison R
storage demonstration project (also pre- Environmental Defense Fund
sented during Poster Session)
9:30 AM
T1-B.4
Boyd AD
IRIS improvements: meeting the
needs of California
Marty MA, Zeise L, Salmon AG
Cal/EPA, Office of Environmental Health
Hazard Assessment
30
8:30 AM - 9:30 AM
Key Ballroom #3
T1-C Managing Disasters I
hazard events Greenberg MR
Rutgers University 8:30 AM - 10:00 AM
Key Ballroom #4
T1-D Zoonotic Diseases: Risk
& Characterization of
Human Illness
Chair: Sarah Taft
8:30 AM
T1-D.1
Use of an administrative database to
characterize babesiosis occurrence in
the United States, 2006-2008
Walderhaug MO, Menis M, Anderson SA
US FDA CBER
8:50 AM
T1-D.2
Modelling the species jump: spatially
ranking influenza A virus ability to
cross species barrier and infect humans
Hill AA, Kosmider RD, Dewe T, Kelly
L, De Nardi M, Havelaar A, Von Dobscheutz S, Stevens K, Staerk K
Animal Health and Veterinary Laboratories Agency, Royal Veterinary College, Istituto Zooprofilattico Sperimentale delle Venezie
9:30 AM
T1-E.4
A Bayesian semi-parametric dose response estimation in radiation risk assessment
Furukawa K
Radiation Effects Research Foundation
8:30 AM - 10:00 AM
Key Ballroom #6
with Emerging Threats I:
New Approaches
Chair: Marion Dreyer
8:30 AM
T1-F.1
Emerging risks: concepts and approaches
Renn O
8:30 AM - 10:00 AM
Key Ballroom #5
T1-E Modeling Toxicants in
the Environment
8:50 AM
T1-F.2
Aligning approaches to management
8:30 AM
T1-E.1 of emerging risks – the new European
The importance of within dose-group CEN CWA pre-standard
variance in BMD analyses for continu- Jovanovic AS
ous response data
ZIRIUS, University of Stuttgart & EUShao K, Gift JS
VRi, Stuttgart, Germany
NCEA, USEPA
9:10 AM
T1-F.3
8:50 AM
T1-E.2 Knowledge transfer of simulationToxicity review of technical grade di- based knowledge from science to
nitrotoluene and identification of its policy makers critical effects Scheer D
Yan Z, Zhao Q
University Stuttgart
ORISE
9:30 AM
T1-F.4
9:10 AM
T1-E.3 Emerging health risks: early participaPredicting long-term benchmark dose tion in hospital restructuring conflicts
from short-term studies in national Wachinger G, Renn O, Wuthe J, Wiehe F
toxicology program toxicity tests
University of Stuttgart, ZIRIUS
Wang B, Gray GM
Chair: Jeff Gift
Tuesday
8:30 AM - 10:10 AM
Peale A&B
T1-G Symposium: Social
Aspects of Climate Change
Governance
Chair: Pia-Johanna Schweizer
8:30 AM
T1-G.1
Social learning for climate change governance
Dietz T, Henry AD
8:50 AM
Social trust and fracking
Kasperson R
Clark University
T1-G.2
9:10 AM
T1-G.3
Resilience polices and applications to
climate change
Linkov I, Eisenberg DA, Bates ME
US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, MS, Contractor to the US
Army Research and Development Center
8:30 AM - 10:00 AM
Johnson A
T1-H Advances in Risk
Modeling for Security and
Defense
Chair: John Lathrop
8:30 AM
T1-H.1
Prioritizing homeland security using a
deliberative method for ranking risks
Lundberg RP, Willis HH
Pardee RAND Graduate School
8:30 AM - 10:00 AM
Latrobe
T1-I Networked
Infrastructure with
Applications to
Transportation and Energy
8:30 AM - 10:00 AM
Ruth
T1-J Symposium: New and
Improved Regulatory Impact
Analysis
Chair: Chris Carrigan
8:30
AM
T1-J.1
Chair: Rapik Saat
What’s
wrong
with
the
back
of
the en8:30 AM
T1-I.1
velope?
A
call
for
simple
(and
timely)
Network approaches to assess critical
cost-benefit
analysis
infrastructure risks
Carrigan C, Shapiro S*
Zimmerman R
George Washington University, Rutgers Uni8:50 AM
T1-H.2 New York University
versity
Frequency-severity relationships for 8:50 AM
T1-I.2
human-caused extreme events
T1-J.2
Managing the risk of crude oil trans- 8:50 AM
Chatterjee S, Salazar D, Hora S
Good practices, bad practices, benefits
portation by rail CREATE, University of Southern Cali- Liu X, Serrano JA, Saat MR, Christopher and costs
fornia
Nardinelli C
CPL
Food and Drug Administration
University
of
Illinois
at
Urbana-Champaign
9:10 AM
T1-H.3
Making risk-informed decisions us- 9:10 AM
T1-J.3
T1-I.3 9:10 AM
ing the next generation algorithms for Submarine Power Cables (SPCs): the A retrospective cost-benefit analysis
cyber-security and Cyber-Physical Sys- laying procedure, the fleet and reli- of the bar code rule
tems (CPS) risk assessment
ability analysis of Medium Voltage Lew N, Nardinelli C, Schick A, Ashley E
Panjwani S
US Food and Drug Administration, Office
Network
THANE Inc
of Management and Budget
Stavrou DI, Ventikos NP
9:30 AM
T1-H.4 School of Naval Architecture and Marine 9:30 AM
T1-J.4
Applying concepts of quality of posi- Engineer in Technical University of Athens Integrating risk and economic perfor-
9:30 AM
T1-G.4
The politics of climate science and
policy
McCright AM
tion to terrorism risk management
Lathrop JF
9:50 AM
T1-G.5
Innovative Decisions, Inc.
Requirements for climate change governance
Schweizer PJ
mance measures for cybersecurity Farrow S
UMBC
Join us at the
SRA Awards Luncheon and Business Meeting
Noon - 1:30 pm, Key Ballroom 7-12
Includes all SRA Awards, and the 5 Best Poster Award Winners
from Monday’s Poster Reception.
(Luncheon is included in Registration Fee)
8:30 AM - 10:00 AM
Johnson B
T1-K Tools for Assessing &
Managing Risk
Chair: Shaye Friesen
8:30 AM
T1-K.1
EPA’s framework for human health
risk assessment to inform decision
making
Fitzpatrick JW, Schoeny R, Gallagher K,
Ohanian EV
8:50 AM
T1-K.2
Development of a practical approach
to rank the relative health and environmental risks of industrial facilities in
Abu Dhabi
Mokhtari A, Beaulieu SM, Lloyd JM, Akl
S, Money ES, Turner MB, Al Hajeri K,
Al Mehairi A, Al Qudah A, Gelle K
RTI International, Environment AgencyAbu Dhabi
9:10 AM
T1-K.3
Using a Relative Health Indicator
(RHI) metric to estimate health risk
reductions in drinking water Alfredo KA, Roberson JA, Ghosh A, Seidel
C
American Water Works Association; Jacobs
Engineering
9:30 AM
T1-K.4
Release of OSRTI’s online risk calculator
Galloway L, Dolislager F, Stewart D, Tucker K
University of Tennessee, Knoxville
31
Tuesday
10:30 AM- Noon
Key Ballroom #1
T2-A Symposium: CrossDisciplinary Methods for
Research Synthesis, Part II
Chair: Lisa Robinson
10:30 AM
T2-A.1
Strengths and limitations of meta-analytic approaches for developing multistressor dose-response functions Levy JI, Fabian MP, Peters JL
Boston University School of Public Health
10:50 AM
T2-A.2
Characterizing the long-term PM2.5
concentration response function: a
comparison of estimates from expert
judgment, meta-analysis, and integrated research estimates
Fann NL, Walker KW, Gilmore EA*
11:10 AM
T2-A.3
Rethinking meta-analysis: applications
for air pollution data and beyond
Goodman JE, Sax SN, Thakali S, Beyer L
Gradient
11:30 AM
T2-A.4
Energy technology expert elicitations:
their use in models and what can we
learn from workshops and metaanalysis
Anadon LD, Bosetti V, Chan G, Nemet
GF, Verdolini E
Harvard University
32
10:30 AM- Noon
Key Ballroom #2
T2-B EPA’S IRIS: It’s A New
Program, Part II
10:30 AM- Noon
Key Ballroom #3
T2-C Managing Disasters II
10:30 AM- Noon
Key Ballroom #4
T2-D Microbial Pathogens in
Chair: Myriam Merad
the Environment: Assessment
10:30
AM
T2-C.1
Co-Chairs: Kenneth Olden, Richard Becker
of Public Health Risks
10:30 AM
T2-B.1
IRIS improvements: meeting the
needs of Texas
Honeycutt ME, Haney JT
State Government
Modeling dynamic behavior of complex systems operating crew during
accidents
Azarkhil M, Mosleh A
Reliability Engineering Program, University
of Maryland at College Park
Chair: David Oryang
10:30 AM
T2-D.1
Estimating risk of intestinal nematode
infection from exposure to ambient
waters using quantitative microbial risk
assessment (QMRA) in Salta, Argen10:50 AM
T2-C.3 tina
The federal all hazards risk assess- Kundu A
ment: integrating strategic risk into University of California, Davis
emergency management planning – a 10:50 AM
T2-D.2
Canadian perspective
Risk of cryptosporidium infection to
Cheung C, Friesen S*
recreational swimmers in swimming
Government of Canada
pools
10:50 AM
T2-B.2
Getting the science right on mode of
action: an essential element for IRIS
improvement
Wise K, Beck N, Fischer D, Pottenger LH,
Beatty P, Cruzan G, Becker RA
American Chemistry Council, The Dow
Chemical Company, American Petroleum
Institute, ToxWorks
11:10 AM
T2-C.4
Modeling
public-private
partnerships
11:10 AM
T2-B.3
The power of scientific peer review in disaster management—a sequential
game with prospect utilities
and IRIS
Guan PQ, Zhuang J
Philbert MA, Cory-Slechta DA*
University of Michigan School of Public University at Buffalo-SUNY
Health, University of Rochester School of
Medicine
11:30 AM
T2-B.4
Progress made in improving IRIS: a
panel discussion
Becker RA, Olden K
American Chemistry Council, US Environmental Protection Agency
10:30 AM- Noon
Key Ballroom #5
T2-E Big Data Application:
Patterns & Effects Chair: Seth Guikema
10:30 AM
T2-E.1
Enriching environmental risk based
decision support models with large
scale, high resolution population data
Stewart RN, Bright EA, Rose AN, McGinn CW, Bhaduri BL
Oak Ridge National Laboratory
10:50 AM
T2-E.2
Predicting the effects of urban design
on public health: a case study in Raleigh, North Carolina
Dennerlein T, Rodriguez D, MacDonaldGibson J
Suppes L, Canales R, Gerba C, Reynolds K University of North Carolina at Chapel
The University of Wisconsin - Eau Claire Hill
and The University of Arizona
11:10 AM
T2-E.3
11:10 AM
T2-D.3
Assessment of relative potential for
Legionella species inhalation exposure
from common water uses
Taft SC, Hines SA, Chappie DJ, Janke RJ,
Lindquist HA, Ernst HS
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; Battelle Memorial Institute
11:30 AM
T2-D.4
Monitoring and mapping conditions
associated with enteric pathogens using rainfall and satellite vegetation index data
Anyamba A, Small J, Oryang D, Fanaselle W
NASA Goddard Space Flight Center
Measuring health impacts from breaks
in water distribution systems using internet search data
Shortridge JE, Guikema SD
The Johns Hopkins University 11:30 AM
T2-E.4
Geographic and demographic patterns of health risks associated with
chemical and non-chemical stressor
exposures in a low-income community
Levy JI, Fabian MP, Peters JL, Korrick SA
Boston University School of Public Health;
Channing Division of Network Medicine,
Brigham and Women’s Hospital
Tuesday
10:30 AM- Noon
Key Ballroom #6
with Emerging Threats II:
New Approaches
Chair: Dick Scheer
10:30 AM
T2-F.1
Public information responses after terrorist events Sellke P, Amlot R, Rogers B, Pearce J, Rubin J, Mowbray F
Dialogik non-profit institute
10:30 AM- Noon
Peale A&B
T2-G Temporal Issues in Risk
Communication
Chair: John Besley
10:30 AM
T2-G.1
The effects of psychological distance
on risk perception, behavioral intention, and mitigation behavior
Zwickle A, Wilson R
The Ohio State University
10:50 AM
T2-H.2
Defining risk to the defense strategy
DuMont MK
Office of the Secretary of Defense
11:10 AM
T2-I.3
A fuzzy-VIKOR model for risk assessment of environmental management system implementation in construction projects
11:10 AM
T2-H.3
Assadian MS, Sadeghi F
The Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of
Isfahan Regional Center for Business IncubaStaff: risk assessment system
tors & Science Parks Development
Rouse JF
Arete Associates, Joint Staff
11:30 AM
T2-I.4
Risk-based investment for prison in11:30 AM
T2-H.4
frastructure systems
Identification of Hidden Risks and
Thekdi SA
Associated Costs using Integrated Life
University of Richmond
Cycle Impact and Cost Assessment
(ILCICA)
Risz Y, Reich-Weiser C, Cammarata C
10:30 AM- Noon
Enviance Inc. 10:50 AM
T2-G.2
Climate
change
and
related
risks:
per10:50 AM
T2-F.2
sonal
or
impersonal?
Social unrests as systemic risks Kirby-Straker R, Turner M
Renn O, Jovanovic A, Schroeter R*
University of Maryland, College Park,
11:10 AM
T2-F.3
T2-G.3
Decision-making and participation 11:10 AM
10:30 AM- Noon
with a special focus on energy policy Perils and promises of one health risk
Latrobe
and climate change: how to integrate messages about lyme disease
the knowledge of citizens and associa- Roh S, McComas K*, Decker D, Rickard L T2-I Multi-Criteria Decision
Cornell University
Making for Infrastructure
tions
Schetula VS
11:30 AM
T2-G.4 Management and Investment
Dialogik Non Profit Institute for Communi- Where there’s a will: can highlighting
Chair: Shital Thekdi
cation and Cooperation Research
T2-I.1
future youth-targeted marketing build 10:30 AM
Addressing
uncertainties
of
avoided
support
for
health
policy
initiatives?
11:30 AM
T2-F.4
crash
risk,
travel
time
savings,
and
Roh
S,
Schuldt
JP
Pharmaceutical residues in the water
lifecycle
costs
in
transportation
access
Cornell
University
cycle: a case for communicating ‘risk’
management to the public?
Xu J, Lambert JH
Dreyer M, Kuhn R
Dialogik non-profit institute for communication and cooperation research
10:30 AM- Noon
Johnson A
T2-H Symposium: Risk and
Strategic Decision Making in
the Pentagon
Ruth
T2-J Updates in Ecological
Risk Assessment Models
Chair: Katherine von Stackelberg
10:30 AM
T2-J.1
Review of marine mammal inhalation
toxicity for petroleum-related compounds: potential applications to risk
assessment
Rosenstein AB, Mori CS, Collier TK,
Ruder E
Risk Assessment Consultant, Industrial
Economics Incorporated (IEc)
11:30 AM
T2-J.4
Updates to ecological preliminary remediation goals for soils at the Los
Alamos National Laboratory
Wald-Hopkins P, Ryti RT
Neptune and Company, Inc.
10:30 AM- Noon
Johnson B
T2-K Assessing Risks &
Chemical Regulation
Chair: Ragnar Lofstedt
10:30 AM
T2-K.1
The substitution principle in chemical
regulation: a constructive critique
Lofstedt R
Kings College London
10:50 AM
T2-K.2
Distinguishing between risks and hazards: a case study of Bisphenol A
Lemay JC, Prueitt RL, Hixon ML, Goodman JE
Gradient
11:10 AM
T2-K.3
Comparing science policy choices in
chemical risk assessments across organizations
Holman E, Francis R, Gray G
10:50 AM
T2-J.2 US Environmental Protection Agency,
Analysis of the exposure-effects re- George Washington University
lationships from concentration-re- 11:30 AM
T2-K.4
sponse curves for ecological risk as- How many substances are illegally
sessment
listed in the biennial report on carcinoLandis WG, Johns A
gens?
Western Washington University
Belzer RB
11:10 AM
T2-J.3 Regulatory Checkbook
10:50 AM
T2-I.2
Applying multi-criteria decision analysis and life cycle approaches to direct
engineering research regarding the
selection of CZTS back-contacts for
Chair: Jay Rouse
thin film solar photovoltaics 10:30 AM
T2-H.1
Probabilistic methods to address ecoScott RP, Cullen AC
US Air Force risk assessment framelogical risk of secondary ingestion exUniversity of Washington
work
posure to chemicals
Boerman DA, Gallagher M
Kashuba R, Fairbrother A, Kane Driscoll S,
Headquarters, US Air Force
Tinsworth R
Exponent
33
Tuesday
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Key Ballroom #1
T3-A Infrastructure Safety
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Key Ballroom #2
Key Ballroom #3
T3-C Authors Meet Critics:
Methods for U.S. EPA’s CRA The Risk Society Revisited
Guidelines, Part I
The Risk Society: Theoretical Ap-
Chair: Royce Francis
1:30 PM
T3-A.1
Risk-informed regulatory compliance
Co-Chairs: Julie Fitzpatrick,
enforcement model for technical inWendy O’Brien
frastructure in public domain
1:30 PM
T3-B.1
Veeramany A, Mangalam S
Overview of the Environmental ProTechnical Standards and Safety Authority tection Agency (EPA) Cumulative
1:50 PM
T3-A.2 Risk Assessment (CRA) guidelines efA qualitative safety risk assessment fort and its scientific challenges
method to construction industry in- Martin LR, Teuschler LK, O’Brien W
corporating uncertainties by the use US Environmental Protection Agency
of fuzzy sets
1:50 PM
T3-B.2
Pinto A
Stakeholder involvement and risk
Safe@Plant
communication in CRA planning,
2:10 PM
T3-A.3
Development and sensitivity analysis
of an indirect risk model for the port
of Rotterdam
Koks EE, Bockarjova M, De Moel H,
Aerts JCJH
VU University Amsterdam
2:30 PM
T3-A.4
Risk management in international
construction joint ventures: lessons
learned from a case study in Iran
Sadeghi F, Assadian MS
Pardazesh Samaneh Farboud Consulting Co.
2:30 PM
T3-B.4
Developing effect-based conceptual
models for Cumulative Risk Assessment (CRA) that can accommodate
diverse stressors
Menzie C, Kashuba R
Exponent
34
proaches, New Insights, Future Applications
Chair: Abani Pradhan
Aaron McCright, Ortwin Renn
1:30 PM
T3-D.1
Commentaries by: Thomas Dietz, Robert Surveillance of salmonella prevalence
in pet food, pet treats and pet nuGoble, Ragnar Löfstedt, Roger Kasperson
tritional supplements by the United
Risk is a part of life. How we handle uncertainty and deal with potential threats States Food and Drug Administration
influence decision making throughout in 2002 – 2012
our lives. In The Risk Society Revisited, Li X, Lovell RA, Proescholdt TA, Benz
Eugene A. Rosa, Ortwin Renn, and SA, McChesney DG
Aaron M. McCright offer the first book Division of Animal Feeds, Office of Surveilto present an integrated theory of risk lance and Compliance, Center for Veterinary
and governance. The session “Authors Medicine, Food and Drug Administration
scoping and problem formulation MacDonell M, Garrahan K, Hertzberg R Meet Critics” is an opportunity to start a
Argonne National Laboratory, US EPA, dialogue between the authors (McCright
and Renn) and risk scholars who have
Emory University
2:10 PM
T3-B.3
Using directed acyclic graphs in cumulative risk assessment (CRA)
Brewer LE, Teushler L, Rice G, Wright
JM, Neas L
ORISE Fellow in the Research Participation
Program at the US EPA, Office of the Science Advisor, US EPA, National Center
for Environmental Assessment, US EPA,
National Health and Environmental Effects
Research Laboratory
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Key Ballroom #4
T3-D Understanding &
Mitigating Risk of Illness:
Pathogens in Human &
Pet Food
been asked to provide commentaries
to the new book. It is also a tribute to
Eugene Rosa who was diagnosed with
cancer during the production of the
book and unfortunately did not live long
enough to see the published version.
The book is dedicated to him.
The authors examine our sociological
understanding of risk and how we reconcile modern human conditions with
our handling of risk in our quest for improved quality of life. They build a new
framework for understanding risk—one
that provides an innovative connection
between social theory and the governance of technological and environmental risks, and the sociopolitical challenges
they pose for a sustainable future. Showing how our consciousness affects risk in
the decisions we make—as individuals
and as members of a democratic society—The Risk Society Revisited makes
an important contribution to the literature of risk research.
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Key Ballroom #5
T3-E Symposium: Risk 21
Tiered Approach for
Exposure Estimation for
Human Risk Assessments
Chair: Jennifer Tanir
1:30 PM
T3-E.1
Optimizing a tiered exposure framework to aid risk assessment decisionmaking
Gaborek BJ, Bellin CA, Dellarco M,
Egeghy P, Heard N, Jensen E, Lander DR,
Tanir JY*, Zaleski RT, Sunger N
DuPont 1:50 PM
T3-E.2
Exposure bands for tiered exposure
assessment decision-making 1:50 PM
T3-D.2 Zaleski R, Gaborek BJ, Qian H, Bellin
FDA risk profile on pathogens and CA, Dellarco M, Egeghy P, Heard N, Jolfilth in spices
liet O, Lander DR, Tanir JY
Van Doren JM, Kleinmeier D, Ziobro GC, ExxonMobil Biomedical Sciences, Inc.
Parish M, Hammack TS, Gill V, Nsofor
2:10 PM
T3-E.3
O, Westerman A
Product stewardship for a new prodUS Food and Drug Administration
uct: RISK 21 tiered exposure frame2:10 PM
T3-D.3 work in practice Risk assessment model for Shiga- Lander DR, Heard NE, Dellarco M
toxin-producing Escherichia coli and DuPont, Syngenta, NIH
Salmonella in ground beef in France:
2:30 PM
T3-E.4
efficiency of different strategies of inWater chemicals case study using the
tervention and sampling beef trim
RISK21 tiered exposure framework Moez S
Jensen E, Bellin C, Embry M*, Gaborek
ANSES, French Agency for Food, EnB, Lander D, Tanir JY, Wolf D, Zaleski R
vironmental and Occupational Health &
Dow Corning Corporation Safety
2:30 PM
T3-D.4
Reducing the potential for norovirus
foodborne illness through surface disinfection
Fanaselle WL, Hoelzer K
FDA, CFSAN
Tuesday
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Key Ballroom #6
Peale A&B
Johnson A
T3-F Symposium:
T3-G Information Processing T3-H Symposium: Total Risk
Modernizing the Tools &
in Risk Communication: A
Associated with Chemicals
Approaches to Improve Data
Roundtable Discussion
and Materials in the
Co-Chairs: Robyn Wilson, Joe Arvai
Availability & Transparency
Chair: Nancy Beck
Roundtable Panelists include:
1:30 PM
T3-F.1
Paul Slovic, Decision Research
The importance of access to underlyJoe Arvai, University of Calgary
ing data
Katherine McComas, Cornell University
Mason AM, Risotto S, Wise K
Michael Siegrist, ETH Zurich
American Chemistry Council
Janet Yang, State University of New York
at Buffalo
1:50 PM
T3-F.2
Nathan Dieckmann, Oregon Health and
Existing tools for accessing federal
Science University
data
Marks PD
Law Firm
2:10 PM
T3-F.3
The NIH BD2K initiative: enabling
biomedical research & raising the
prominence of data
Huerta MF
National Library of Medicine, National
Institutes of Health
2:30 PM
T3-F.4
Updating on-line resources: new tools
and approaches being used by NIH to
make information more accessible
Hakkinen PJ
National Library of Medicine, National
Institutes of Health
Chair: Andrew Rak
1:30 PM
T3-H.1
There’s more than one type of risk for
chemicals and materials in DoD
Yaroschak PJ
Office of the Deputy Under Secretary of Defense (I&E)
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Latrobe
T3-I Simulation Techniques
and Applications to Explore
Uncertainty and Risk
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Ruth
T3-J Symposium: Does
Regulation Kill Jobs? Authors
of a New Book Discuss the
Chair: Daniel Salazar
Evidence and Policy
1:30 PM
T3-I.1
Responses
Long-term hurricane impact on US
power systems
Staid A, Guikema SD, Nateghi R, Quiring
SM, Gao MZ, Yang Z
Chair: Adam Finkel
1:30 PM
T3-J.1
Why politicians think regulation kills
jobs...when economists don’t
Coglianese C, Carrigan C*
1:50 PM
T3-I.2 University of Pennsylvania
1:50 PM
T3-H.2 Simulation approaches for assessing 1:50 PM
T3-J.2
Identifying and mitigating worker the impacts on equity in a region due Lessons from risk assessment controhealth risks from lead exposure in the to earthquakes
versies for the “job-killing regulations”
Miller MK, Baker JW
debate
Stanford University
Scanlon KA, Yaroschak PJ
Finkel AM
Consultant
2:10 PM
T3-I.3 University of Pennsylvania Law School
Information processing modes and
risk judgment quality
Lee E, Dunwoody S
University of Pennsylvania, University of
Wisconsin, Madison
2:10 PM
T3-J.3
Employment impacts in benefit-cost
analyses
McGartland A, Ferris A
Environmental Protection Agency
2:30 PM
T3-I.4
Deploying simulation to compare
among different risk reduction strate2:30 PM
T3-H.4 gies for supply chains
Health risk assessment/risk manage- MacKenzie CA
ment case study: managing project Naval Postgraduate School
uncertainty presented by the IRIS trichloroethylene reference concentration published in IRIS
Meyer AK, Groher DM, Cain LG
Environmental and Munitions Center of
Expertise, Army Corps of Engineers, New
England District, Army Corps of Engineers
2:30 PM
T3-J.4
Employment and human welfare: do
jobs count in benefit-cost analysis?
Mannix BF
2:10 PM
T3-H.3
Case study on new chemicals and materials: incorporating environmental,
health and safety information into the
defense acquisition process
Underwood PM, Rak A
Office of the Deputy Under Secretary of Defense (I&E), Noblis Inc.
35
Tuesday
3:30 PM - 5:00 PM
Key Ballroom #1
T4-A PRA & Statistical
Modeling Applications
Chair: Adam Finkel
3:30 PM
T4-A.1
Quantitative risk analysis of severe accidents in fossil energy chains using
bayesian hierarchical models
Spada M, Burgherr P
Laboratory for Energy Systems Analysis,
Paul Scherrer Institute, Switzerland
3:30 PM - 5:30 PM
Key Ballroom #2
Guidelines, Part II
Co-Chairs: Julie Fitzpatrick,
Wendy O’Brien
3:30 PM
T4-B.1
Using secondary data to evaluate diverse groups of chemical and nonchemical stressors in cumulative risk
assessment
3:50 PM
T4-A.2 Evans AM, Rice GE, Teuschler LK,
Stochastic input-output modeling of Wright JM
influenza pandemic effects on interde- Oak Ridge Institute of Science and Education
pendent workforce sectors
3:50 PM
T4-B.2
El Haimar AE, Santos JS
Grouping of diverse stressors for cuThe George Washington University
mulative risk analysis (CRA) by media,
4:10 PM
T4-A.4 time and toxicity A Probabilistic Risk Analysis (PRA) Rice GE, Teuschler LK
framework for modeling risk in global National Center for Environmental Assessment/ORD/US EPA
drug supply chain
Kazemi RK, Rahaman FR, Urban JU, 4:10 PM
T4-B.3
Carter W
Adapting chemical mixture risk assessUSFDA
ment methods to assess chemical and
4:30 PM
T4-A.5 non-chemical stressor combinations
Using statistical profiling to improve Teuschler LK, Rice GE, Mumtaz M,
OSHA’s capability to locate workplac- Hertzberg RC
es posing grave risks
Finkel AM, Berk RA
University of Pennsylvania Law School
4:30 PM
T4-B.4
Using existing study data or methodologies from epidemiology and toxicology to evaluate diverse stressors
Rhomberg LR
Gradient
4:50 PM
T4-B.5
Special considerations for risk characterization in a cumulative risk assessment
Hertzberg RC, Burkhardt EA, MacDonell
MM
Emory University
36
5:10 PM
Discussion
3:30 PM - 5:00 PM
Key Ballroom #3
T4-C Public Health Risk &
Sources
Chair: Jason Sacks
3:30 PM
T4-C.2
Identifying populations at-risk of
air pollution-induced health effects
through the use of a novel classification scheme
Sacks JD, Vinikoor-Imler LC, Ross M
3:30 PM - 5:10 PM
3:30 PM - 5:10 PM
Key Ballroom #4
Key Ballroom #5
T4-D Informing Risk
T4-E Nano, Synthetic
Assessments of Engineered
Biology, Animal Feed
Chair: Mary Bartholomew
Nanomaterials: Frameworks
3:30
PM
T4-E.1
and Analysis
Chair: Ron White
An extensible multi-compartment
model for nanoparticle risk assessment
Dale A, Barton L, Therezien M, Lowry G,
Casman E
Carnegie Mellon University, Duke University
3:30 PM
T4-D.1
Nanotechnology risk screening using
a Structured Decision Making (SDM)
approach
Beaudrie CB, Kandlikar M, Long G, Greg3:50 PM
T4-C.3 ory R, Wilson T, Satterfield T
3:50 PM
T4-E.2
Flexible framework for the study of Compass Resource Management Ltd.
The interaction of CeO2 nanopartidispersion scenarios by accidental 3:50 PM
T4-D.2 cles with rice: impacts on productivity
events in the transportation of hazard- Complementary use of life cycle as- and nutritional value
ous material
sessment and risk assessment for engi- Rico CM, Barrios AC, Hong J, Morales
Suarez M, Muñoz F
neered nanomaterials: lessons learned MI, McCreary R, Lee WY, Peralta-Videa
Universidad de los Andes
JR, Gardea-Torresdey JL
from chemicals?
The University of Texas at El Paso, Univer4:10 PM
T4-C.4 Grieger KD, Laurent A, Miseljic M, Chrissity of California Center for Environmental
Blood transfusion public health risk tensen F, Baun A, Olsen SI
Implications of Nanotechnology
to explore limitations of the common RTI International, Technical University of
Denmark (DTU), COWI A/S
risk matrix 4:10 PM
T4-E.3
Vatanpour S, Hrudey SE, Dinu I
Synthetic
biology:
prospective
prod4:10 PM
T4-D.3
ucts
and
applications
for
food/feed
Prioritizing hazard research for three
and requirements for regulation
4:30 pm
T4-C.5 nanomaterials through value of inforFlari V, Kerins G
Recent findings from human health mation analysis
Food and Environment Research Agency
and ecological risk assessments of Bates ME, Keisler JM, Wender BA, Zussblatt N, Linkov I
waste to energy technologies 4:30 PM
T4-E.4
US Army Corps of Engineers
Foster SA, Chrostowski PC*
Risk-ranking model for hazards in aniCPF Associates, Inc.
4:30 PM
T4-D.4 mal feed
Life cycle risk assessment of nanocel- Okelo PO, Hooberman B, Graber G, Bartholomew MJ, Stewart KN
lulosic materials
FDA Center for Veterinary Medicine, FDA
Shatkin JA
Office of Foods and Veterinary Medicine,
Vireo Advisors
AFSS Consulting
4:50 PM
T4-D.5
T4-E.5
Sustainable nanotechnologies (SUN) 4:50 PM
Ranking
contaminants
in
swine
and
Hristozov DH, Wohlleben W, Steinfeldt M,
poultry
feed
Nowack B, Scott-Fordsmand J, Jensen KA,
Stone V, Costa A, Linkov I, Marcomini A Bartholomew MJ, Hooberman B, Stewart
KN*, Okelo PO, Graber G
University of Ca’Foscari of Venice, Italy
FDA Center for Veterinary Medicine, FDA
Office of Foods and Veterinary Medicine,
AFSS Consulting
Tuesday
3:30 PM - 5:10 PM
Key Ballroom #6
T4-F Regulation, Risk &
Transparency in the
Pharmaceutical Sector
Chair: Sweta Chakraborty
3:30 PM
T4-F.1
Regulation, law, and pharmaceutical
safety
Chakraborty S
University of Oxford
3:30 PM - 5:10 PM
Peale A&B
T4-G Risk Information
Seeking & Processing
Behavior
Chair: Craig Trumbo
3:30 PM
T4-G.1
Extending RISP: from message elaboration to support for climate change
mitigation policy
Yang ZJ, Rickard LN, Seo M, Harrison T
University at Buffalo, SUNY College of
3:50 PM
T4-F.2
Environmental Science and Forestry, UniverManaging pharmacogenomic risks
sity at Albany
through litigation
Marchant GE, Lindor RA
3:50 PM
T4-G.2
Arizona State University
The “I” in climate: the role of individual responsibility in systematic pro4:10 PM
T4-F.3
cessing of climate change information
A risk assessment for an informed
Yang ZJ, Rickard L*, Seo M, Harrison T
decision-making for non-traditional
University at Buffalo, SUNY College of
pharmacy compounding
Environmental Science and Forestry, UniverOkwesili P, Mazzuchi T, Sarkani S
sity at Albany
GWU, FDA
4:10 PM
T4-G.3
4:30 PM
T4-F.4
Actively seeking versus taking notice
Fighting influenza: should European
of risk information: the case of food
regulators stockpile?
risks
Bouder FE, Way D, Lofstedt RE
Kuttschreuter M, Hilverda MD, Pieniak Z
Maastricht University
Department Psychology of Conflict, Risk and
4:50 PM
T4-F.5 Safety, University of Twente
Transparency and risk communication
4:30 PM
T4-G.4
in the European pharmaceutical sector
Ecological risk communication and
Way DHP, Bouder F
environmental values: predicting pubKing’s College London, Maastricht Univerlic interest in participating in federal
sity
rulemaking concerning pesticide risk
Jenkins F, Rowan KE
3:30 PM - 5:10 PM
3:30 PM - 5:00 PM
3:30 PM - 5:10 PM
Johnson A
Latrobe
Ruth
T4-H Symposium: Validating T4-I Risks of Nuclear Power T4-J Symposium: Tightening
Models of Adversary
Generation
the Connection Between Risk
Chair: Cameron MacKenzie
Behavior
Assessment, Decisions and
3:30 PM
T4-I.2
Chair: Jun Zhuang
Outcomes
3:30 PM
T4-H.1
Stackelberg games in security domains:
evaluating effectiveness of real-world
deployments
Tambe M, Shieh E
3:50 PM
T4-H.2
Beyond risk-neutrality in attackerdefender games: expected utility and
cumulative prospect theories
Jose VRR, Zhuang J
Georgetown University
4:10 PM
T4-H.3
Validation of adversary utility assessment by proxy
John RS, Rosoff HR
4:30 PM
T4-H.4
Modeling terrorism risk to the air
transportation system: an independent
assessment of TSA’s risk management
analysis tool and associated methods
Morral AR, Price CC, Ortiz DS, Wilson
B, LaTourrette T, Mobley BW, McKay S,
Willis HH
RAND Corporation
4:50 PM
T4-H.5
Modeling and validating multi-period,
multi-type, and multi-target attackerdefender games
4:50 PM
T4-G.5 Zhang J, Zhuang J
Learning from SARS and H1N1: A SUNY at Buffalo
comparison of survey data from nurses in Alberta, Canada
Kain NA, Jardine CG, Wong J
Improving nuclear power plant construction cost learning curves by
implementing organizational learning
tools for risk identification and risk assessment
Talabi S
Carnegie Mellon Unversity
3:50 PM
T4-I.3
Drought forecasting and resilience
analysis of nuclear power plants infrastructure
Bekera B, Francis RA, Omitaomu O
GWU, ORNL
Chair: Elisabeth Gilmore
3:30 PM
T4-J.1
Risk management to achieve priorities:
linking risk interventions to outcomes
Morgan KM, Bertoni MJ
3:50 PM
T4-J.2
Outcome informed departures from a
default science policy assumption
Brand K
4:10 PM
T4-J.3
Recent efforts for aligning risk assess4:10 PM
T4-I.4 ment and economic analysis at EPA
Operational reliability of power plants Axelrad DA, Chiu W, Dockins C*
and energy shortage risk in Japan after US EPA
the March 11 earthquake and tsunami
4:30 PM
T4-J.4
Kajitani Y, Yuyama A
Modeling
incentives
for
the
developCentral Reserach Institute of Electric Power
ment of new antibacterial drugs
Industry
Sertkaya A, Jessup A, Wong H
4:30 PM
T4-I.5 Eastern Research Group, HHS Assistant
Cost and effectiveness of decontami- Secretary for Planning and Evaluation
nation options in special decontamina4:50 PM
T4-J.5
tion areas in Fukushima
(Almost) all gain
Naito W, Yasutaka T
National Institute of Advanced Industrial Zerbe R, Scott T*
University of Washinton
Science and Technology
37
Tuesday
3:30 - 5:00 PM
Johnson B
T4-K Symposium: Risks in
Social & Cultural Perspective:
In Memory of Gene Rosa
Co-Chairs: Ortwin Renn, Tom Dietz
3:30 pm
T4-K.1
Design principles for governing risks
from emerging technologies
Stern PC
National Research Council
5:00 PM - 6:00 PM
Key Ballroom #3
T5-C Symposium: Risk
Analysis: Past, Present and
Future
Chair: Tony Cox
5.00 PM
T5-C.1
Possible Futures for Risk Analysis
Cox T
Cox Associates and University of Colorado
5.20 PM
T5-C.2
3:50 pm
T4-K.2 Creating a field that matters
Opportunities and dilemmas in man- Anderson EL
aging risk uncertainty
Exponent
Kasperson RK
Clark University
4:10 pm
T4-K.3
Socioeconomic dimensions of geoengineering and carbon sequestration:
requirements for sustainable risk governance
Renn O
State University of Stuttgart
4:30 pm
T4-K.5
Gene Rosa: dedication to a humane
societal development
Dietz T
38
Be sure to stop by any of the
6:00 - 7:30 PM
DRSG, EASG, ERASG, MRASG, OHSSG - Tubman A
DARSG, EISG, RDSG, SDSG - Carroll A
EBASG, ENMSG, RCSG, RPLSG - Carroll B
6:00 - 8:00 PM
National Capital Area Chapter (NCAC) - Tubman B
Tuesday Sessions Sponsored by Specialty Groups
T1-ARCSG
T1-BDRSG
T1-CDASG
T1-DMRASG
T1-EDRSG
T1-FRPLSG
T1-GRCSG
T1-HSDSG
T1-IEISG
T1-J EBASG, Society for
T1-KDASG
T2-AEBASG
T2-BDRSG
T2-CDASG
T2-DMRASG
T2-EEASG
T2-FRPLSG
T2-GRCSG
T2-HSDSG
T2-IEISG
T2-JERASG
T2-KRPLSG
T3-ADASG
T3-DMRASG
T3-EEASG
T3-IEISG
T3-J EBASG, Society for
T4-ADASG
T4-EEASG
T4-HSDSG
T4-IEISG
T4-JEBASG
Mark your calendar!
Dates for the 2014 and 2015 Annual Meetings:
7-10 December 2014
Denver, Colorado
6-9 December 2015
Arlington, Virginia
www.SRA.org
SRA Headquarters, 1313 Dolley Madison Boulevard, Suite 402, McLean, Virginia 22101
703.790.1745; FAX: 703.790.2672 [email protected]
39
Wednesday
10:30 AM- Noon
Key Ballroom #1
W2-A Improving Risk
Analysis & Information
Quality
Chair: Randall Lutter
10:30 AM
W2-A.1
Establishing guidelines for more objective risk assessments
Calabrese E, Yazigi D
University of Massachusetts/Mercatus
Center 10:50 AM
W2-A.2
Too many rules, too much risk Williams RA
Mercatus Center at George Mason University
10:30 AM- Noon
Key Ballroom #2
W2-B Symposium: Evaluating
Causality in Epidemiological
Studies
Co-Chairs: Carol Burns, Mike Wright
10:30 AM
W2-B.1
Sources of uncertainty in epidemiological studies and their impact on human health risk assessments
Bateson T
US EPA
Co-Chairs: Abdel Kadry,
Mohamed Shereif
10:30 AM
W2-C.2
Toxicological and public health implications of the use of scrap rubber tires
for smoking meat in Africa
10:50 AM
W2-B.2 Afriyie-Gyawu E, Shankar P, Adu-Oppong
Evaluating uncertainty due to expo- A, Hsu J-P
sure assessment in epidemiologic stud- University of Georgia Southern
ies used in risk assessment
10:50 AM
W2-C.3
Luben TJ, Milhan G, Autrup H, Baxter Analysis and monitoring of criteria air
L, Blair A, Kromhout H, Ritter L, Stayner pollutants in selected areas of Riyadh
L, Symanski E, Wright JM
City, Saudi Arabia
US EPA
Shereif M, Monshi M, Alharbi B
11:10 AM
W2-B.3 King Saud University
11:10 AM
W2-A.3
See no evil, hear no evil: political incentives in agency risk tradeoff analysis Abdukadirov S
Mercatus Center, George Mason University On the future of epidemiologic methods in context of risk assessment
11:30 AM
W2-A.4
Burstyn I
Analysis of regulatory effectiveness:
Drexel University
the case of mandatory information
disclosure
11:30 AM
W2-B.4
Fraas A, Lutter R
Panel discussion on the integration of
Resources for the Future, Washington D.C. workshop recommendations to move
risk assessment forward Burns CJ, Wright JM, Pierson J
The Dow Chemical Company
Wednesday Sessions Sponsored
by Specialty Groups
W2-ADASG
W2-DMRASG
W2-EEASG
W2-IEISG
W3-ADASG
W3-EEASG
W3-FRPLSG
W3-IEISG
40
10:30-11:30 AM
Key Ballroom #3
W2-C Emerging Risk
Assessment Challenges &
Opportunities for the
Developing Countries, Part I
W3-J EBASG, Society for
W4-ADASG
W4-EEASG
W4-FRPLSG
W4-HRCSG
W4-J EBASG, Society for
10:30 AM- Noon
10:30 AM- Noon
Key Ballroom #4
Key Ballroom #5
W2-D Symposium: MultiW2-E Ground & Drinking
Criteria Analysis of
Waters: New Methods,
Foodborne Zoonotic Disease
New Analysis
Chair: Donna Vorhees
Risks - International
10:30
AM
W2-E.1
Perspectives
Chair: Valerie Davidson
10:30 AM
W2-D.1
Ranking foodborne parasites: outcomes of an expert-based multi-criteria analysis
Batz MB, Robertson LJ, van der Giessen
JW, Dixon BR, Caipo ML, Kojima M,
Cahill S
University of Florida
Computer-based exposure modeling
to support drinking water guidance
Greene CW, Wilkes C, Koontz M, Shubat PJ
Minnesota Department of Health, Versar,
Inc.
10:50 AM
W2-E.2
Pesticides in groundwater of the United States: occurrence and decadalscale changes
10:50 AM
W2-D.2 Toccalino PL, Gilliom RJ, Lindsey BD, RuDevelopment of a multifactorial risk pert MG
prioritization framework for food- US Geological Survey
borne pathogens
11:10 AM
W2-E.3
Fazil A
Evaluating public health benefits from
reductions in drinking water lead levels
11:10 AM
W2-C.4 Public Health Agency of Canada
A global collaborative approach to hu- 11:10 AM
W2-D.3 at US Schools
man health risk assessment: the WHO A multidisciplinary and evidence- Triantafyllidou S, Le TH, Gallagher DL*,
chemical risk assessment network
based methodology applied to priori- Edwards MA
Hughes K, Vickers C, Clark B, Kadry A tize diseases of food-producing ani- Virginia Tech
US EPA
mals and zoonoses
11:30 AM
W2-E.4
Humblet MF, Vandeputte S, Albert A, Exposure to highly contaminated
Gosset C, Kirschvink N, Haubruge E, Fech- drinking water in a rural Nigerian viler-Bourgeois F, Pastoret PP, Saegerman C* lage
University of Liege
Kponee K, Vorhees D, Heiger-Benays W
11:30 AM
W2-D.4 Boston University School of Public Health
MCDA-ranking of food safety issues
to inform policy-makers in Uganda
Davidson VJ, Kenny MF, Fazil A, Cahill
S, Clarke R
University of Guelph, Food & Agricultural
Organization of the United Nations, Public
Health Agency of Canada, FAO
Wednesday
10:30 AM- Noon
Key Ballroom #6
W2-F Symposium: What’s
New in Agency Peer Review:
Best Practices Supporting
Risk Assessment
Chair: Jacqueline Patterson
10:30 AM
W2-F.1
Legal context for US federal agency
peer reviews
Conrad JW, Jr, Paulson G, Reiss R, Patterson J
Conrad Law & Policy Counsel
10:50 AM
W2-F.2
Developments in scientific peer review at EPA
Paulson G, Brennan T*
11:10 AM
W2-F.3
What can we learn and apply from
journal peer review? Reiss R
Exponent
11:30 AM
W2-F.4
Best practices for independent peer
reviews
Patterson J, Nance P, Dourson M
Plenary Luncheon
Noon-1:30 PM
Key Ballroom
“Risk and Opportunity:
Managing Risk for
Development”
(Luncheon is included
in Registration fee)
10:30 AM- Noon
Peale A&B
W2-G Panel Discussion:
Effective Risk
Communication
Chair: Louie Rivers
Speakers Include:
Joe Arvai, Roger Kasperson, Robyn Wilson,
Cindy Jardine, Lauren Fleishman, Frederic Bouder, Julie Downs, Ragnar Lofstedt,
Adam Zwickle and others
The field of risk communication is at a crossroads. Interest in risk
communication across multiple fields
is considerable, and research and practice focused on it continues to unfold
at a rapid pace. However, there is still
little agreement among scholars and
practitioners about what constitutes
effective risk communication. The goal
for this roundtable discussion, spurred
by the release of Effective Risk Communication a new book from EarthScan, is to begin a critical examination
of the current state of risk communication. We will explore the past and
future of risk communication focusing on what we have learned from past
work, and what is needed to push the
field forward. The roundtable will take
a broad view of risk communication,
presenting perspectives from multiple
disciplines (psychology, communications, risk sciences, decision sciences,
etc.), a diversity of practitioners, and a
range of contexts. The roundtable will
feature contributors to the book, each
offering a unique perspective toward
the study and practice of risk communication. The roundtable will also
provide a forum for dialogue between
the roundtable participants and the
audience moderated by the editors of
the book.
10:30 AM- Noon
Johnson A W2-H Improving Risk
Models for Security and
Defense
10:30 AM- Noon
Latrobe
W2-I Roundtable: Could, and
Should, SRA do more to promote the Creation and Use of
Living Risk Assessments?
Chair: Jun Zhuang
10:30 AM
W2-H.1
Chair: Rob Goble
A vector approach to measuring deterrence in adversary informed, scenario Panelists include:
based risk analyses
Vicki Bier, University of Wisconsin-Madison
Munns J
Frederic Bouder, Maastricht University
Schafer Corporation
David Bussard, US EPA
Robin Cantor, Exponent
10:50 AM
W2-H.2
Louis
Anthony
Cox, Jr., Cox Associates
Robust screening policy—balancing
Adam
Finkel,
University
of Pennsylvania
congestion and security in the presand
University
of
Medicine
and
Dentistry of
ence of strategic applicants with priNew
Jersey
vate information
Ortwin Renn, University of Stuttgart
Xu J, Song C, Zhuang JJ
11:10 AM
W2-H.3
Conquering the iron triangle of SME
elicitation Nilsen M, Hawkins B, Cox J, Gooding R,
Whitmire M
Battelle Memorial Institute, Department of
Homeland Security Chemical Security Analysis Center
11:30 AM
Probabilistic coherence
increasing accuracy of
ment
Olson KC, Karvetski CW
10:30-11:30 AM
Ruth
W2-J Decision Frameworks
for Invasive Species and
Water Quality
11:10 AM
W2-J.3
Assessing and managing ANS risk in
Great Lakes and Mississippi River
Yoe CE
Notre Dame of Maryland University
10:30 AM- Noon
Johnson B
W2-K Building More
Resilient Infrastructure
Chair: Eva Andrijcic
10:30 AM
W2-K.1
Mapping societal functions, flows and
dependencies to strengthen community resilience – results from an initial
study
Hassel H, Johansson J*
Lund University
10:50 AM
W2-K.2
Power outage analysis for Hurricane
Isaac
Tonn GL, Guikema SD
11:10 AM
W2-K.3
Managing risk through resilience and
Chair: Patricia Wald-Hopkins
recovery in seaport operations
10:30 AM
W2-J.1
Salazar DE, Chatterjee S
W2-H.4 Estimating the risk of rabies entry into
weighting for the state of Hawaii
11:30 AM
W2-K.4
expert judg- Fitzpatrick BG, Angelis E, Polidan EJ
Building a more resilient water sector
Tempest Technologies
by assessing and responding to poten10:50 AM
W2-J.2
tial vulnerabilities
Putting eggs in different baskets: diverBaranowski C
sification in early planning of invasive
species surveillance prorams
Yemshanov D, Koch FH, Lu B, Haack RA
Canadian Forest Service, USDA Forest Service, Research Triangle Park, USDA Forest
Service, East Lansing
41
Wednesday
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Key Ballroom #1
Key Ballroom #2
W3-A Symposium: Risk
W3-B Symposium:
Assessment, Policy Learning
Integration of the Science
& Economic Opportunities in
Necessary for Assessing
Safer Chemical
Potential Carcinogenicity of
Decision-Making
Formaldehyde, Part I
Chair: George Gray
1:30 PM
W3-A.1
Competing considerations for making
safer chemical decisions
Francis RA, Gray GM, Tanir JY
1:50 PM
W3-A.2
Comparative risk, life-cycle impact,
and alternatives assessments: concepts
and perspectives
McKone TE
University of California, Berkeley
Co-Chairs: Joseph Rodricks, Paolo Boffetta
1:30 PM
W3-B.1
Integration of the science necessary
for assessing potential carcinogenicity
of formaldehyde: introduction
Rodricks JV, Kaden DA
ENVIRON International Corp
1:50 PM
W3-B.2
Review of the epidemiologic evidence
for formaldehyde as a human leukemogen
Checkoway H, Boffetta P, Mundt KA,
Mundt D, Lees P
2:10 PM
W3-A.3
University of Washington, Seattle, Mt. Sinai
Policy learning, chemicals, and risk:
Hospital, ENVIRON International Corcan policy innovation keep up with
poration, John Hopkins Bloomberg School of
technology change?
Public Health
Fiorino D
American University
2:10 PM
W3-B.3
Mode of action studies on inhaled
formaldehyde causing leukemia
Swenberg J, Moeller M, Lu K, Yu R, Andrews Kingon G, Lai Y, Edrissi B, Dedon P
University of North Carolina at Chapel
Hill, Massachussetts Institute of Technology
2:30 PM
W3-B.4
Pharmacokinetics of formaldehyde
and the impact of endogenous levels
on uptake
Clewell, III HJ, Andersen M, Gentry PR
The Hamner Institutes for Health Sciences,
ENVIRON International Corporation
42
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Key Ballroom #3
Key Ballroom #4
Key Ballroom #5
W3-C Symposium: Emerging
W3-D New Attributory
W3-E Bioavailability &
Risk Assessment Challenges Prioritization of Quantitative
Biomonitoring
Chair: Robert Scofield
& Opportunities for the DeMicrobial Risk Assessment
1:30 PM
W3-E.1
veloping Countries, Part II
Methods
Application of lead and arsenic bio1:30 PM
W3-D.1 availability in human health risk assessUsing time series analysis to investigate ment for a sediment site Liu CL, Luke NL
food causes of foodborne illnesses
Hoffmann SA, Ashton L, Berck P, Todd J CDM Smith
USDA Economic Research Service, Unvier- 1:50 PM
W3-E.2
sity of California, Berkeley
Evaluating the risk of human expo1:50 PM
W3-D.2 sure to environmental PCDD/Fs usFDA’s risk assessment model for des- ing biomonitors
ignating high-risk foods pertaining to Augusto S, Pinho P, Botelho MJ, PalmaOliveira JM*, Branquinho C
1:50 PM
W3-C.2 product tracing required by FSMA
University of Lisbon
A global calculator for estimating the Chen Y, Dennis S, McGarry S
benefits of urban fine particulate mat- Food and Drug Administration 2:10 PM
W3-E.3
ter reductions
Evaluation
of
population-based
bio2:10 PM
W3-D.3
Greco SL, Belova A, Huang J, Ghio C
monitoring
data
for
risk
assessment:
Prioritization of roof-harvested rainAbt Associates
water pathogens to guide treatment an environmental-wide association
study approach
2:10 PM
W3-C.3 and use Le HQ, Lander DR, Starks SE, KreckA framework to assess aflatoxin public Hamilton KH, Haas CN
mann KH, Symons JM
health impacts in developing countries Drexel University DuPont Epidemiology Program, DuPont
with application to Nigeria and Tanza2:30 PM
W3-D.4 Haskell Global Centers for Health and Ennia
A swift quantitative microbiological vironmental Sciences
Belova A*, Narayan T*, Brown L, Haskell
risk assessment (sQMRA) - tool: imJ, Bozeman S, Lamb J
2:30 PM
W3-E.4
proved version
Abt Associates Inc
Are
epidemiological
associations
of
Evers EG, Chardon JE
higher
chemical
concentrations
in
2:30 PM
W3-C.4 National Institute for Public Health and the
blood
with
health
effects
meaningful?
Unveiling the spatio-temporal cholera Environment
Clewell HJ, Yoon M, Wu H, Verner MA,
outbreak in Cameroon: a model for
Longnecker MP
public health engineering
The Hamner Institutes for Health Sciences,
Convertino MC, Liang SL
Harvard Medical School, Boston
University of Minnesota, University of
Florida Co-Chairs: Abdel Kadry,
Mohamed Shereif
1:30 PM
W3-C.1
A preliminary characterization of public health risks from industrial operations in Jubail
Antoniou G, Gebrayel A, Mhanna P, Sarri
M, Stylianou K, Kouis P*
Cyprus International Institute, Cyrus University of Technology
Chair: Moez Sanaa
Wednesday
1:30 PM - 3:10 PM
Key Ballroom #6
Catastrophic Risk
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Ruth
Johnson B
W3-J Symposium: Improving
W3-K Symposium:
Chair: Jiyoung Park
Maritime Risk Estimates
1:30
PM
W3-H.1
Chair: Anthony Barrett
Supporting Federal
Analysis, Part III
1:30 PM
W3-F.1 Hurricane Sandy and lost four days in
Chair: Raul Figueroa
Chair: Torbjorn Bjerga
Regulatory and Policy
Risk communcation and information the U.S. economy
1:30 PM
W3-I.1
1:30
PM
W3-K.1
Decisions
needs for anticipated catastrophic Park J, Son M, Park C, Richardson H
Heuristics in policy relevant science:
Probability theory for inductive reathreats by NEOs
Race MS
SETI Institute
1:30 PM - 2:30 PM
Johnson A W3-H All Hazards Modeling
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Latrobe
W3-I Integrating Human
Factors into Engineering
Risks
an analytical framework for character1:50 PM
W3-H.3 ising the strengths and limits of formal
Managing disaster risk strategies in risk and decision analysis 1:50 PM
W3-F.2 economic systems based on sectoral MacGillivray BH
Cardiff University
Analyzing and reducing the risks of vulnerability analysis
inadvertent nuclear war between the Yu KS, Tan RR, Santos JR
1:50 PM
W3-I.2
De La Salle University, The George Wash- A model-based, scenario-driven huUnited States and Russia
ington University
Barrett AM
man reliability analysis method
Global catastrophic risk institute
2:10 PM
W3-H.4 Ekanem NJ, Mosleh A
2:10 PM
W3-F.3 Ideal disaster relief?: Using the IFRC University of Maryland
Assessing the consequences of nu- code of conduct in model develop- 2:10 PM
W3-I.3
clear weapons use: the challenge of ment
A risk analysis study to systematically
Coles JB, Zhuang J
incomplete knowledge
address the critical role of human
University at Buffalo
Frankel MJ, Scouras J*, Ullrich GW
and organizational factors in negative
Johns Hopkins University, Penn State Unipressure test for the offshore drilling
versity, Shafer Corporation
industry
Tabibzadeh M, Meshkati N
2:30 PM
W3-F.4
The resilience of human civilization in
the face of global catastrophes
Baum S
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
2:50 PM
W3-F.5
Christian apocalyptic literature in
theological scholarship & the ‘prepper’
movement
Fusco MP
Global Catastrophe Research Institute
Chair: Jennifer Baxter
1:30 PM
W3-J.1
Quantitative adjustments addressing
under-reporting of baseline risks associated with recreational boating using
national health care databases
Baxter J, Robinson L, Metz D, Bolthrunis S
Industrial Economics Inc, Havard School of
Public Health
soning: the “necessarist” viewpoint as
an alternative, and supplement, to subjective probability
North DW
NorthWorks, Inc. 1:50 PM
W3-K.2
Reflections on how to conceptualize
and assess the performance and risk
1:50 PM
W3-J.3 of different types of complex systems
The development and use of the bu- Nateghi R
reau of ocean energy management’s Johns Hopkins University
Offshore Environmental Cost Model 2:10 PM
W3-K.3
(OECM) to evaluate the environmen- Adaptive risk management using the
tal risks of offshore energy develop- new risk perspectives – an example
ment
from the oil and gas industry
Price JC, Strellec K
Bjerga T, Aven T
Industrial Economics, Inc., Bureau of Ocean University of Stavanger
Energy Management
2:30 PM
W3-K.4
W3-J.4 Decision criteria for updating test in2:30 PM
W3-I.4 2:10 PM
Beyond the ideal – Obstacles to risk Econometric model estimating the ef- tervals for well barriers
management and ways to overcome fectiveness of life jacket wear in recre- Gelyani AM, Abrahamsen EB, Selvik JT
ational boating using data from Coast University of Stavanger, Norway, Internathem
Guard’s Marine Information Safety tional Research Institute of Stavanger, NorHallegatte S
and Law Enforcement (MISLE) da- way
World Bank
tabase
Viauroux C, Gungor A
University of Maryland, Baltimore County,
US Coast Guard
43
Wednesday
3:30 PM - 5:00 PM
Key Ballroom #1
W4-A Symposium:
Characterizing Causality for
Policy Decisions
3:30 PM - 5:00 PM
Key Ballroom #4
W4-D Symposium: Strategic
Research Planning for
Multiwalled Carbon
Chair: Beth Osterling Owens
Chair: Myriam Merad
Nanotubes (MWCNTs):
3:30 PM
W4-A.1
3:30 PM
W4-C.1
Moving Towards Risk
Determining causality in environmen- Co-Chairs: Joseph Rodricks, Paolo Botfetta From exotic to endemic : a stakeholdAnalyses that Inform Future
tal assessments
3:30 PM
W4-B.1 er-driven framework examining dis- MWCNT Risk Management
Vandenberg J, Cogliano V, Owens EO, Relevance of genetic changes in circu- ease prioritisation and the biosecurity
Decisions
Cooper G, Ross M
continuum.
National Center for Environmental Assessment, US Environmental Protection Agency,
Research Triangle Park, and Washington,
DC
3:50 PM
W4-A.2
Evaluation of causality in the IARC
monographs
Loomis D, Straif K
International Agency for Research on Cancer
4:10 PM
W4-A.3
Incorporation of weight-of-evidence
best practices in the National Ambient
Air Quality Standards review process
Goodman JE, Prueitt RL, Sax SN, Bailey
LA, Rhomberg LR
Gradient
4:30 PM
W4-A.4
Transparently implementing the causal
framework in the EPA NAAQS review
Patel M, Owens EO, Kirrane E, Ross M
National Center for Environmental Assessment, US Environmental Protection Agency
3:30 PM - 5:00 PM
Key Ballroom #2
W4-B Integration of the
Science Necessary for
Assessing Potential
Carcinogenicity of
Formaldehyde, Part II
lating blood cells following formaldehyde exposure
Albertini RJ, Thirman MJ
University of Vermont, University of Chicago
Brookes VJ, Hernández-Jover M, Cowled B,
Holyoake PK, Ward MP
University of Sydney, Australia, Charles
Sturt University, Australia, AusVet Animal Health Services, Australia, Department
3:50 PM
W4-B.2 of Environment and Primary Industries,
Predicting the risk of Acute Myeloid Australia
Leukemia (AML) using peripheral
W4-C.2
blood cells or cells in culture has ques- 3:50 PM
Determining
risk-related
patterns
in
tionable biological relevance
human
operator
error
analysis Irons RD, Kerzic PJ
Fudan University, China, Cinpathogen, Yemelyanov AM
University of Colorado Health Sciences Cen- GSW State University
ter
4:10 PM
W4-C.3
A
decision
support
framework
for de4:10 PM
W4-B.3
veloping
regional
energy
strategies
Integrating toxicological & epidemiological evidence of carcinogenicity: Bessette DL, Campbell-Arvai V, Arvai JL
Application of Epid-Tox framework University of Calgary
for evaluating relationships between
formaldehyde & nasopharyngeal cancer & myeloid leukemia
Boffetta P, Mundt KA, Mundt DJ, Checkoway H, Swenberg J, Adami H-O
Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai,
ENVIRON International Corporation,
University of Washington, Seattle, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill,
Harvard University School of Public Health
4:30 PM
44
3:30 PM - 5:10 PM
Key Ballroom #3
W4-C Risk Analysis
Uncertainty &
Decision-Making
Chair: Christina Powers
3:30 PM
W4-D.1
Comprehensive environmental assessment: strategically linking research, assessment and risk management — applied to multiwalled carbon nanotubes
Powers CM, Lehmann G, Gift J, Grieger K,
Money M, Hendren CO, Beaudrie C, Davis
JM
US EPA
3:40 PM
W4-D.2
Toxicological and health effects assessment efforts for MWCNTs in
NCNHIR Consortium
Nadadur S
NIEHS
3:50 PM
W4-D.3
Risk assessment and management of
multiwalled carbon nanotubes: recent
developments in regulatory approaches
Morris J, Sayre P, Alwood J*
4:30 PM
W4-C.4
A risk assessment approach that facilitates site redevelopment and remediation when future site uses are uncertain
Long KL, Nielsen JM, Ramacciotti FC,
Sandvig RM, Song S
4:00 PM
W4-D.4
ENVIRON International Corporation
Closing research gaps for safer de4:50 PM
W4-C.5 sign principles for multiwalled carbon
Is it possible to assess the quality of nanotubes; molecule, process, and
the governance? Conclusions of the products
Discussion national working group on goverGeraci CL
nance of sustainability within public National Institute for Occupational Safety
organizations
and Health
Merad M , Marcel F INERIS
4:10 PM
W4-D.5
Life cycle considerations for nanoenabled products containing multiwalled carbon nanotubes (MWCNTs):
research to inform future risk analyses
and risk management
Sayes CM
RTI International
4:20 PM
Discussion
T-Shirt Giveaway
Be a Die Hard Risk
Analyst (DHRA)
5:00–5:30 PM,
Registration Area
Stay to the end of the sessions
and receive a free T-shirt!
Wednesday
3:30 PM - 5:10 PM
Key Ballroom #5
W4-E Symposium:
Occupational Exposure
Assessment: Risk
Characterization and Risk
Communication
3:30 PM - 5:00 PM
Key Ballroom #6
Risk Governance
3:30 PM - 6:30 PM
Peale A&B
W4-G Symposium: The
Naphthalene Research
Program: From Problem
Formulation to Risk
Assessment
Chair: Seth Baum
3:30 PM
W4-F.1
Global Risk Governance for Genome
Editing
Chair: Frank Hearl
Chair: Jo Anne Shatkin
Kuzma J
3:30 PM
W4-E.1
3:30 PM
W4-G.1
Pandemic response for workers: conNaphthalene rodent inhalation bioastrolling occupational risk
3:50 PM
W4-F.2 says and assessment of risk to exposed
Hearl FJ
Minimizing global catastrophic and humans: problem formulation
National Institute for Occupational Safety existential risks from emerging tech- Reitman F, Sun T-J, Beatty P, LeHuray
and Health
AP, Hammon TL, Juba MH, Palermo C,
nologies through international law
Lewis RJ, White RD
Wilson GS
3:50 PM
W4-E.2
Shell, Chevron, American Petroleum InstiGlobal Catastrophic Risk Institute
Risk assessment as a core competency
tute, Naphthalene Council, ConocoPhillips,
for industrial hygiene
4:10 PM
W4-F.3
Koppers, Inc., ExxonMobil Biomedical SciBoelter FB
Past the threshold for existential risks:
ences, Inc.
ENVIRON International
balancing existential risk uncertainty
3:50 PM
W4-G.2
and governance 4:10 PM
W4-E.3
Hypothesis-based weight-of-evidence
Tonn BE, Stiefel D, Feldman D
Lessons for information exchange in
and dose-response evaluation for
University of Tennessee-Knoxville
occupational risk science: the OARS
naphthalene carcinogenicity
Initiative
4:30 PM
W4-F.5
Rhomberg LR, Bailey LA, Nascarella MA
Maier A, Nance P*, Ross CS
Global risks, catastrophes, crises, reguGradient
Toxicology Excellence for Risk Assessment lation and liability
4:10 PM
W4-G.3
Wiener JB
4:30 PM
W4-E.4
Assessing the Human Health Risks
Duke University
Risk of occupational asbestos disease
from Exposure to Naphthalene
based on biomarkers
Flowers L, Keshava C, Chiu W
Hearl F, Boelter F, Armstrong T, Rasmuson
USEPA, Washington, DC
J*, Meier A
Chemistry & Industrial Hygiene, Inc.
4:50 PM
W4-E.5
Estimates of legionnaires disease risk
from whirlpool spas
Armstrong TW
TWA8HR Occupational Hygiene Consulting, LLC
3:30 PM - 5:10 PM
3:30 PM - 5:10 PM
Johnson A Ruth
W4-H Presenting Uncertainty W4-J Symposium: Evaluating
to Inform Decision-Making
the Risk Reduction
Chairs Joe Arvai
Outcomes of Regulation
3:30 PM
W4-H.1
How do maps influence perceived accuracy and validity and how do these
perceptions influence risk beliefs?
Severtson DJ
Chair: Susan Dudley
3:30 PM
W4-J.1
Moving forward in looking back: how
to improve retrospective regulatory
review
Coglianese C
3:50 PM
W4-H.2 University of Pennsylvania
The impact of narrative messages on 3:50 PM
W4-J.2
prospect theory framing effects.
Regulatory improvement commission:
Steinhardt JS, Shapiro MA
a politically viable approach to US regCornell University
ulatory reform
4:10 PM
W4-H.3 Mandel M, Carew D
The motivated evaluation of numeri- Progressive Policy Institute
cal uncertainty ranges
Dieckmann N, Peters E, Gregory R
Oregon Health & Science University, Decision Research, The Ohio State University
4:10 PM
W4-J.3
Have historical reductions in ozone
and fine particulate matter caused reductions in mortality rates?
4:30 PM
W4-H.4 Cox T
Risk-related uncertainty and its re- Cox Associates, University of Colorado
lationship with citizens’ demand for 4:30 PM
W4-J.4
regulation and institutional trust
Do changes in exposure lead to
Poortvliet PM, Lokhorst AM
changes in outcomes? Challenges in
Wageningen University
ascertaining benefits from reductions
4:50 PM
W4-H.5 in environmental exposure levels
Designing an electricity bill to motivate Aylward LL
savings: the effect of format on re- Summit Toxicology, LLP
sponses to electricity use information Canfield CI, Bruine de Bruin W, WongParodi G
Carnegie Mellon University, Leeds University Business School
4:50 PM
W4-J.5
A look back at regulatory lookback efforts
Dudley SE
The George Washington University
45
A
Abdukadirov S............................... 40
Abrahamsen EB......................22, 43
Achia TN........................................ 25
Ackerlund WS................................ 27
Adami H-O.................................... 44
Adeshina F..................................... 25
Adhikari R...................................... 25
Adler MD....................................... 23
Adu-Oppong A............................. 40
Aerts JCJH..................................... 34
Afriyie-Gyawu E........................... 40
Aguila IE........................................ 20
Agurenko AO................................ 25
Ahern R.......................................... 24
Ait Oaukrim D.............................. 26
Akerlof K....................................... 23
Akl S................................................ 31
Albert A.......................................... 40
Albertini RJ.................................... 44
Alderson D..................................... 19
Alexander DD............................... 22
Alfredo KA.................................... 31
Al Hajeri K..................................... 31
Alharbi B........................................ 40
Al Mehairi A.................................. 31
Al Qudah A.................................... 31
Alwood J......................................... 44
Amlot R.......................................... 33
Anadon LD.................................... 32
Andersen M................................... 42
Anderson D................................... 19
Anderson EL................................. 38
Anderson JK.................................. 27
Anderson S..................................... 25
Anderson SA.................................. 30
Andrews Kingon G...................... 42
Andrijcic E..................................... 19
Angelis E........................................ 41
Antoniou G.................................... 42
Anyamba A..............................22, 32
Anyika E......................................... 25
Aoyagi M........................................ 26
46
Apt J................................................ 23
Armstrong TW.............................. 45
Arvai JL....................................23, 44
Asami M......................................... 27
Asche F........................................... 22
Ashley E......................................... 31
Ashton L......................................... 42
Aspinall W...................................... 18
Assadian MS.............................33, 34
Atapattu AA................................... 27
Augusto S....................................... 42
Aungst JL........................................ 22
Autrup H........................................ 40
Avanasi Narasimhan R................. 25
Aven T................................20, 22, 43
Axelrad DA.................................... 37
Aylward LL..................................... 45
Azarkhil M...................................... 32
B
Bailey EA........................................ 18
Bailey LA..................................44, 45
Baker H........................................... 19
Baker JW......................................... 35
Baker KR........................................ 23
Balch M........................................... 20
Ban N.............................................. 26
Banducci AM................................. 27
Baranowski C................................. 41
Barkan CPL.................................... 21
Barker K......................................... 21
Baroud H........................................ 21
Barr S.............................................. 19
Barrett AM..................................... 43
Barrios AC...................................... 36
Bartell SM....................................... 25
Bartholomew MJ........................... 36
Barton L......................................... 36
Bartrand TA................................... 20
Bass N............................................. 27
Bassarak C...................................... 18
Bates ME............................27, 31, 36
Bateson T....................................... 40
Author Index
Batten B.......................................... 23
Batz MB.......................................... 40
Baum S............................................ 43
Baun A............................................ 36
Baxter J........................................... 43
Baxter L.......................................... 40
Bayliss D......................................... 24
Beamer P........................................ 26
Beatty P.....................................32, 45
Beaudrie CB.............................36, 44
Beaulieu SM................................... 31
Bebenek I....................................... 27
Beck NB...................................20, 32
Becker RA................................25, 32
Bekera B......................................... 37
Bell HM.......................................... 27
Bell MZ.....................................28, 30
Bellin CA........................................ 34
Belova A...................................24, 42
Belzer RB........................................ 33
Ben-Haim Y................................... 20
Bennett SP...................................... 19
Benouar D...................................... 23
Benz SA.......................................... 34
Berck P............................................ 42
Berg E............................................. 28
Berk RA.......................................... 36
Bertoni MJ...................................... 37
Bessette DL.................................... 44
Beyer L............................................ 32
Bhaduri BL..................................... 32
Bier V.............................................. 28
Binder AR...................................... 19
Birdsell D....................................... 28
Bishop EL...................................... 24
Bjerga T.......................................... 43
Blair A............................................. 40
Bockarjova M................................. 34
Boelter FB...................................... 45
Boelter FW..................................... 22
Boerman DA.................................. 33
Boffetta P.................................42, 44
Bogen K......................................... 28
Böhm G.......................................... 18
Bolger PM...................................... 18
Bolthrunis S................................... 43
Boogaard PJ................................... 18
Borgert CJ...................................... 20
Borghoff S..................................... 25
Borsuk ME..................................... 19
Bosetti V......................................... 32
Bostrom A...................................... 21
Botelho D....................................... 18
Botelho MJ..................................... 42
Bouder FE...................................... 37
Boyd AD...................................28, 30
Bozeman S..................................... 42
Bracca M......................................... 27
Brad F............................................. 27
Brand K.......................................... 37
Branquinho C................................ 42
Breheny D...................................... 24
Brennan T...................................... 41
Brewer LE...................................... 34
Bright EA....................................... 32
Brinkerhoff CJ.............................. 18
Bromfield KB................................ 27
Bronfman NC..........................23, 26
Brookes VJ..................................... 44
Brossard D..................................... 18
Brouwer A...................................... 30
Brown J........................................... 24
Brown K......................................... 24
Brown L.......................................... 42
Brown LPM................................... 24
Bruine de Bruin W..................19, 45
Brzymialkiewicz C......................... 23
Bubela TM...................................... 19
Buchanan RL.....................25, 26, 30
Burger J........................................... 24
Burgherr P...................................... 36
Burkhardt EA................................ 36
Burns CJ......................................... 40
Burns WJ........................................ 23
Burstyn I......................................... 40
Buss SD.......................................... 27
Butte GE........................................ 26
Butterworth T................................ 22
C
Cabrera N....................................... 26
Cabrera VB..................................... 28
Caffrey JL....................................... 24
Cahill S............................................ 40
Cain LG.......................................... 35
Caipo ML....................................... 40
Calabrese E.................................... 40
Calderon AA.................................. 26
Cammarata C................................. 33
Campbell-Arvai V......................... 44
Canales RA...............................28, 32
Canfield CI..................................... 45
Capel J............................................. 28
Cardona-Marek T.......................... 27
Carew D.......................................... 45
Carrigan C................................31, 35
Carrington CD.........................18, 22
Carter W......................................... 36
Casey W.......................................... 25
Casman EA..............................27, 36
Castoldi AF.................................... 22
Caton B........................................... 24
Cha EJ............................................. 23
Chabaat M...................................... 28
Chakraborty S................................ 37
Chan CC......................................... 27
Chan G........................................... 32
Chang CH.................................26, 27
Chang CS........................................ 25
Chang-Chien GP........................... 27
Chappie DJ..................................... 32
Chardon JE.................................... 42
Chatterjee S........................21, 31, 41
Che WW......................................... 20
Checkoway H...........................42, 44
Chen CC.............................25, 26, 27
Chen LH......................................... 25
Chen M........................................... 25
Chen NC........................................ 28
Chen PC...................................24, 25
Chen X............................................ 19
Chen Y............................................ 42
Chen YT......................................... 26
Cheung C........................................ 32
Chiang SY....................................... 27
Chikaraishi M................................. 25
Chiu WA.............................18, 37, 45
Christensen F................................. 36
Christopher CPL........................... 31
Chrostowski PC............................. 36
Chuang YC..................................... 26
Chung KF....................................... 18
Chung YC...........................25, 26, 27
Cifuentes LA............................23, 25
Clark B............................................ 40
Clark TL......................................... 27
Clarke J............................................ 24
Clarke R.......................................... 40
Claus-Henn B................................ 18
Cleland JC....................................... 25
Clewell HJ.................................22, 42
Clewell, III HJ................................ 42
Coglianese C............................35, 45
Cogliano V...............................30, 44
Cohen SM....................................... 22
Coleman ME.................................. 20
Coles JB....................................28, 43
Collier TK...................................... 33
Colon L........................................... 27
Colyvan M...................................... 19
Comer JE........................................ 20
Connelly EB................................... 19
Conrad JW...................................... 41
Convertino MC..................24, 25, 42
Cooke R.......................................... 18
Cooney D....................................... 24
Cooper G........................................ 44
Corea N.......................................... 24
Cornejo F....................................... 25
Cory-Slechta DA........................... 32
Costa A........................................... 36
Cowled B........................................ 44
Cox J..........................................26, 41
Cox P............................................... 23
Cox T..................................20, 38, 45
Cruzan G........................................ 32
Cui T............................................... 23
Cuite CL...................................26, 30
Cullen AC.................................28, 33
Cunningham FH........................... 24
Curra C........................................... 27
Curran RW..................................... 27
D
Dale A............................................. 36
Dalrymple K............................28, 30
Datko-Williams L....................27, 28
Davidson VJ................................... 40
Davis JM......................................... 44
Decker D........................................ 33
Dedon P......................................... 42
Deener K........................................ 30
De Las Pozas C............................. 28
Delgado JC..................................... 21
Dellarco M..................................... 34
Demichelis SO............................... 27
De Moel H..................................... 34
Demuth JL..................................... 21
De Nardi M.................................... 30
Denison R...................................... 30
Dennerlein T.................................. 32
Dennis S......................................... 42
Denyer D........................................ 26
Deveau M....................................... 24
Devlin KD..................................... 27
DeWaal CS..................................... 22
Dewe T........................................... 30
Dickinson K................................... 21
Dieckmann N................................ 45
Dietz T................................21, 31, 38
Dillon DM...................................... 24
Dillon-Merrill RL.......................... 23
Ding P............................................. 19
Dinu I.............................................. 36
Dixon BR....................................... 40
Dixon GN...................................... 26
Djouder S....................................... 28
Dockins C....................................... 37
Dokukin D..................................... 27
Dolan D.......................................... 23
Dolislager F.................................... 31
Donahue D.................................... 20
Dorman D...................................... 25
Dourson ML............... 24, 25, 26, 41
Dreyer M........................................ 33
Driedger SM................................... 23
Dubey JP........................................ 25
Dubois JJ..................................27, 28
Dudley SE...................................... 45
Dumitrescu A................................ 24
DuMont MK.................................. 33
Dunwoody S.................................. 35
Dwyer S.......................................... 25
E
Edrissi B......................................... 42
Edwards MA.................................. 40
Egeghy P......................................... 34
Egger J............................................ 24
Egolf BP........................................ 30
Eisenberg DA................................ 31
Ekanem NJ..................................... 43
El-Badawy A.................................. 28
El Haimar AE................................ 36
Elkins DA....................................... 23
Eller EG......................................... 26
Elmontsri ME................................ 24
Embry M........................................ 34
Enger KS........................................ 28
England M...................................... 30
Erikson L........................................ 24
Ernst HS...................................23, 32
Evans AM.................................18, 36
Evensen DT................................... 19
Evers EG........................................ 42
Ezendam J...................................... 18
F
Fabian MP...................................... 32
Fairbrother A................................. 33
Fan KC......................................24, 25
Fanaselle F...................................... 22
Fanaselle W.................................... 32
Fanaselle WL.................................. 34
Fann NF......................................... 23
Fann NL......................................... 32
Farber GS....................................... 25
Faria F............................................. 21
Farris AM....................................... 27
Farrow S......................................... 31
Faustman EM................................ 28
Fazil A............................................. 40
Fecher-Bourgeois F....................... 40
Feldman D...................................... 45
Ferris A........................................... 35
Ferson S.......................................... 20
Fiebelkorn SA................................ 24
Figueroa RH................................... 23
Filer D............................................. 28
Finkel AM................................35, 36
Finley BL........................................ 25
Fiorino D........................................ 42
Fischbeck PS............................23, 25
Fischer D........................................ 32
Fischer R......................................... 19
Fitzpatrick BG............................... 41
Fitzpatrick JW..........................22, 31
Fitzpatrick S................................... 22
Flander LB..................................... 26
Flari V............................................. 36
Fleishman LA................................ 19
Flowers L........................................ 45
Forshee RA.................................... 24
Foster SA........................................ 36
Fowle J............................................ 25
Fowler G......................................... 24
Fox M.............................................. 24
Fraas A............................................ 40
Francis RA................... 27, 33, 37, 42
Frank K........................................... 19
Frankel MJ...................................... 43
Franklin C....................................... 24
Frey HC.......................................... 20
Friedman SM................................. 30
Friesen S......................................... 32
Fu J.................................................. 28
Fulcher CM.................................... 23
Furukawa K................................... 30
Fusco MP....................................... 43
G
Gaborek BJ.................................... 34
Gadagbui B.................................... 24
Gaff C............................................. 26
Gale P............................................. 30
Gallagher DL................................. 40
Gallagher K.................................... 31
Galloway L..................................... 31
Gamble HR.................................... 25
Gamo M......................................... 25
Gao MZ.......................................... 35
Gardea-Torresdey JL.................... 36
Garrahan K.................................... 34
Garry MR....................................... 22
Gebrayel A..................................... 42
Geggel A......................................... 23
Gelle K............................................ 31
Gelyani AM..............................22, 43
Gentile MA.................................... 23
Gentry PR................................22, 42
Georgopoulos PG......................... 18
Geraci CL....................................... 44
Gerba C.......................................... 32
Gernand JM................................... 27
Gerst MD....................................... 19
Ghio C............................................ 42
Ghosh A......................................... 31
Gibb HJ.......................................... 18
Gift JS.................................28, 30, 44
Gill V............................................... 34
Gilliom RJ...................................... 40
Gilmore EA.......................21, 25, 32
Gilmore J........................................ 24
Ginsberg G.................................... 24
Glass-Mattie D.............................. 25
Glynn ME...................................... 25
Gochfeld M.................................... 24
Gombas D...................................... 22
Goode J.......................................... 20
Gooding R................................26, 41
Goodman JE.........20, 24, 32, 33, 44
Gopal A.......................................... 21
Gosset C......................................... 40
Gow AJ........................................... 18
Graber G........................................ 36
47
Grant RL........................................ 18
Gray GM............................30, 33, 42
Greco SL........................................ 42
Greenberg MR............................... 30
Greene CW.................................... 40
Gregory R................................36, 45
Grieger KD..............................36, 44
Griffin R......................................... 24
Groher DM.................................... 35
Groso A....................................20, 28
Gruntfest E.................................... 21
Guan P............................................ 28
Guan PQ........................................ 32
Guidotti TL.................................... 19
Guikema SD.............19, 20, 22, 23, 32,
.......................................................... 35, 41
Gungor A....................................... 43
Guo M............................................ 25
Guo YL........................................... 24
Gurian P......................................... 28
Gutierrez W................................... 24
Guzy E............................................ 18
H
Haack RA....................................... 41
Haas CN......................................... 42
Haber LT........................................ 24
Haimes YY..................................... 19
Hakkinen P..................................... 24
Hakkinen PJ................................... 35
Hald T............................................. 18
Hallegatte S.................................... 43
Hall JW........................................... 19
Hallman WK............................26, 30
Hamilton KH................................. 42
Hamilton MC................................. 19
Hammack TS................................. 34
Hammitt JK................................... 23
Hammon TL.................................. 45
Handschy MA................................ 23
Haney JT......................................... 32
Harper S......................................... 23
Harrison T...................................... 37
Hartford D..................................... 18
Hartford W.................................... 18
48
Hartung T....................................... 25
Haskell J.......................................... 42
Hassel H......................................... 41
Haubruge E.................................... 40
Havelaar A................................18, 30
Hawkins BE.......................26, 27, 41
Hawkins NL................................... 23
He F................................................ 28
Heard NE....................................... 34
Hearl FJ.......................................... 45
Hegstad M...................................... 23
Heiger-Benays W........................... 40
Hendren CO.................................. 44
Hendrickson P............................... 21
Henning CC................................... 25
Henry AD................................21, 31
Henry SH....................................... 22
Hernández-Jover M...................... 44
Herrera DA.................................... 30
Hertzberg RC...........................34, 36
Heyl ME......................................... 25
Higuchi Y....................................... 24
Hill AA............................................ 30
Hill D.............................................. 25
Hilverda MD.................................. 37
Hines SA...................................20, 32
Hixon ML....................................... 33
Ho WC......................................24, 25
Hoelzer K.................................22, 34
Hoffmann SA..........................18, 42
Hogue C......................................... 23
Holman E....................................... 33
Holsapple M................................... 25
Holser RA...................................... 27
Holyoake PK.................................. 44
Honeycutt ME.........................18, 32
Hong J............................................. 36
Hooberman B................................ 36
Hora S............................................. 31
Horng CY....................................... 27
Hosono H...................................... 26
Hoss F.......................................18, 30
Houck K......................................... 28
Howard K....................................... 19
Hristozov DH................................ 36
Hrudey SE...................................... 36
Hsiao CH........................................ 26
Hsu EI............................................ 27
Hsu J-P........................................... 40
Huang J........................................... 42
Huang YF.................................25, 26
Hubbard T..................................... 22
Huerta MF...................................... 35
Hughes K....................................... 40
Humblet MF.................................. 40
Husøy T.......................................... 22
I
Ignacio J.......................................... 24
Inaba T............................................ 26
Ingram J.......................................... 24
Irons RD........................................ 44
Isaacs K.......................................... 28
Ishimaru T...................................... 24
Iwamitsu Y..................................... 26
Izurieta H....................................... 24
J
Janca A............................................ 23
Janke RJ.......................................... 32
Jaramillo P...................................... 21
Jardine CG..........................19, 23, 37
JayJock M........................................ 24
Jenkins F......................................... 37
Jenkins MA..................................... 26
Jensen E.......................................... 34
Jensen KA...................................... 36
Jessup A....................................18, 37
Jiao W.............................................. 20
Jimenez RB........................20, 23, 26
Johansson J..................................... 41
John RS.....................................23, 37
Johns A........................................... 33
Johns D.....................................27, 28
Johns LE......................................... 25
Johnson T....................................... 28
Jolliet O........................................... 34
Jones B............................................ 25
Jones J............................................. 25
Jones SM......................................... 19
Jose VRR..................................28, 37
Jovanovic AS............................30, 33
Juba MH......................................... 45
Juberg D......................................... 25
Jude S.............................................. 21
Jyothikumar V................................ 26
K
Kaden DA...................................... 42
Kadry A....................................30, 40
Kain NA...................................27, 37
Kajihara H...................................... 27
Kajitani Y.................................25, 37
Kanamori Y................................... 26
Kandlikar M................................... 36
Kane Driscoll S............................. 33
Karvetski CW................................ 41
Kashuba R................................33, 34
Kasperson RK.........................31, 38
Kazemi RK..............................24, 36
Keisler JM.................................27, 36
Keller C........................................... 23
Kelly L............................................. 30
Kenney L........................................ 23
Kenny MF...................................... 40
Keogh LA....................................... 26
Kerins G......................................... 36
Kerzic PJ......................................... 44
Keshava C....................................... 45
Khokhlova AV............................... 25
Kiker GA..................................19, 25
Kim S-J........................................... 26
Kirby-Straker R.............................. 33
Kirk M............................................ 24
Kirrane E........................................ 44
Kirschvink N................................. 40
Kleinmeier D................................. 34
Kleinstreuer N............................... 28
Klinke A......................................... 21
Koch FH......................................... 41
Kojima M....................................... 40
Kojima N........................................ 24
Koks EE......................................... 34
Koontz M....................................... 40
Korrick SA..................................... 32
Kosmider RD................................ 30
Kosson D....................................... 24
Kouis P........................................... 42
Kovacs DC..................................... 26
Kowalek D..................................... 27
Kowal SP........................................ 19
Kponee K....................................... 40
Krajewski J...............................28, 30
Kreckmann KH............................. 42
Krewski D................................24, 26
Kromhout H.................................. 40
Kroner O............................24, 25, 26
Kubatko A...................................... 26
Kugihara N..................................... 26
Kuhn R........................................... 33
Kuiken T......................................... 28
Kumagai Y..................................... 26
Kundu A......................................... 32
Kuroda Y..................................26, 27
Kuttschreuter M............................ 37
Kuzma J.......................................... 45
L
Lachlan KA.................................... 30
Ladkin D......................................... 26
Lai Y................................................ 42
Laituri M......................................... 26
Lamb J......................................25, 42
Lambert JH..............................19, 33
Lambertini E............................26, 30
Lander DR...............................34, 42
Landis WG..................................... 33
La Porte T...................................... 23
Larson D........................................ 26
Lash T............................................. 24
Lathrop JF................................20, 31
LaTourrette T................................ 37
Latura J........................................... 26
Lau AKH........................................ 20
Laurent A....................................... 36
Lazo JK........................................... 21
Lazrus H......................................... 21
Le HQ............................................. 42
Le TH.............................................. 40
Leclercq C...................................... 22
Lee E............................................... 35
Lee GW.......................................... 27
Lee JS.............................................. 18
Lee T............................................... 26
Lee WY........................................... 36
Lee YJ............................................. 27
Lees P.............................................. 42
Lehmann G.................................... 44
LeHuray AP................................... 45
Lemay JC........................................ 33
Lemyre L..................................24, 26
Lennon E........................................ 22
Lesely T........................................... 23
Levy JI.......................................23, 32
Lewis J............................................. 24
Lewis RJ....................................18, 45
Lew N............................................. 31
Li N................................................. 18
Li X.................................................. 34
Liang SL....................................24, 42
Lickorish F..................................... 21
Lin CC............................................. 24
Lin HC............................................ 24
Lin L................................................ 21
Lin MH.....................................24, 25
Lin RS.......................................24, 25
Lin X............................................... 30
Lin YS............................................. 24
Lindor RA...................................... 37
Lindquist HA................................. 32
Lindsey BD.................................... 40
Linhart M....................................... 23
Linhoss A....................................... 19
Linkov I....................... 19, 27, 31, 36
Liu CL............................................. 42
Liu LH............................................ 27
Liu SY............................................. 25
Liu W.............................................. 19
Liu X.........................................21, 31
Liu Y............................................... 18
Lloyd JM......................................... 31
Locey BJ......................................... 27
Locke MS........................................ 21
Lofstedt RE..............................33, 37
Loftis B........................................... 25
Lokhorst AM................................. 45
Long G............................................ 36
Long KL......................................... 44
Longnecker MP............................. 42
Loomis D....................................... 44
Lovell RA....................................... 34
Lovely RK...................................... 20
Lowry G......................................... 36
Lu B................................................. 41
Lu H................................................ 26
Lu K................................................ 42
Lu Y................................................ 24
Luben TJ......................................... 40
Luke NL......................................... 42
Lundberg RP.................................. 31
Lutter R........................................... 40
Lynch MK...................................... 24
M
MacDonald-Gibson J................... 32
MacDonell MM.......................34, 36
MacGillivray BH........................... 43
MacKenzie CA.............................. 35
Madden M................................27, 28
Madl A............................................ 27
Madsen P..................................28, 30
Maeda Y.......................................... 25
Maguire K....................................... 23
Maier A.....................................24, 45
Makino R........................................ 25
Manchev P...................................... 19
Mandel M....................................... 45
Mangalam S.................................... 34
Mannix BF..................................... 35
Marcel F....................................25, 44
Marchant GE................................. 37
Marcomini A.................................. 36
Marinakos S.................................... 28
Marin K.......................................... 25
Marks HM...................................... 20
Marks PD....................................... 35
Marlatt H........................................ 21
Martinez C...................................... 24
Martin LR....................................... 34
Marty MA....................................... 30
Marty S............................................ 25
Marui R........................................... 25
Marynissen H................................. 26
Mason AM..................................... 35
Matsui Y......................................... 27
Mauelshagen C.............................. 21
Mazzuchi T..................................... 37
McCaffrey S................................... 23
McChesney DG............................. 34
McComas K................................... 33
McConnell E.................................. 25
McCreary R.................................... 36
McCright AM................................. 31
McGarry S...................................... 42
McGartland A................................ 35
McGinn CW.................................. 32
McGinn TJ..................................... 19
McKay S......................................... 37
McKone TE................................... 42
McLay LA....................................... 19
McNoldy B..................................... 21
McWilliams RM............................. 26
Meek ME........................................ 18
Meier A........................................... 45
Menis M.......................................... 30
Menzie C......................................... 34
Merad M...................................25, 44
Meredith C..................................... 24
Meshkati N..................................... 43
Metz D............................................ 43
Meyer AK....................................... 35
Meyer MA...................................... 21
Meyer T....................................20, 28
Mhanna P....................................... 42
Micallef SA.................................... 26
Middleton JK................................. 19
Mihaich E....................................... 25
Milazzo MF.................................... 22
Miles S.......................................28, 30
Milhan G........................................ 40
Miller MK....................................... 35
Miseljic M....................................... 36
Mishra A......................................... 26
Mitchell J........................................ 28
Mobley BW.................................... 37
Moeller M....................................... 42
Moez S............................................ 34
Mohapatra A.................................. 24
Mohri H.......................................... 24
Mojduszka EM.............................. 20
Mokhtari A..................................... 31
Money CM.........................18, 22, 24
Money ES....................................... 31
Money M........................................ 44
Monnot A....................................... 27
Monshi M....................................... 40
Montezemolo M............................ 23
Monzon A...................................... 27
Morales MI..................................... 36
Morgan KM.............................18, 37
Morgan MG.............................19, 23
Mori CS........................................... 33
Morral AR...................................... 37
Morris J........................................... 44
Morrow BH................................... 21
Morrow WR................................... 21
Morss RE....................................... 21
Mosher S......................................... 28
Mosleh A..................................32, 43
Mowbray F..................................... 33
Moyano E....................................... 25
Mukherjee D.................................. 18
Mumtaz M...................................... 36
Mundt DJ.................................42, 44
Mundt KA................................42, 44
Munns J.......................................... 41
Munoz-Carpena R...................19, 25
Muñoz F...................................27, 36
Murali B.......................................... 28
Murphy PM.................................... 21
N
Narayan T....................................... 42
Nardinelli C.................................... 31
Narrod C........................................ 30
Nascarella MA............................... 45
Nataf D.......................................... 23
Nateghi R.................................35, 43
Navon D......................................... 22
Neas L............................................. 34
Nemet GF...................................... 32
Nemickas H................................... 22
Niederdeppe J................................ 26
Nielsen JM...................................... 44
Nilsen M...................................19, 41
Nong A........................................... 24
Nowack B....................................... 36
Nsofor O........................................ 34
Nweke O........................................ 23
O
O’Brien W...................................... 34
Oesterling Owens B...................... 27
Ohanian EV................................... 31
Ohkubo C....................................... 26
Ohno K.......................................... 27
Okada T.......................................... 26
Oka T.............................................. 25
Okelo PO....................................... 36
Okwesili P...................................... 37
Olden K....................................30, 32
Ollison W....................................... 28
Olsen SI.......................................... 36
Olson KC....................................... 41
Omitaomu O................................. 37
O’Rawe J......................................... 20
Orosz M......................................... 21
Orozco G....................................... 27
Ortiz DS......................................... 37
Oryang D.................................22, 32
Overton AJ..................................... 25
Owens BO...................................... 20
Owens EO...............................28, 44
Nadadur S....................................... 44
Nagata Y......................................... 24
Naito W.......................................... 37
Nakagawa K.............................26, 27
Nakakubo T................................... 24
Nakayachi K................................... 27 P
Nakazawa K................................... 24 Pagliarulo M................................... 24
Nance PM................... 24, 26, 41, 45 Palermo C....................................... 45
49
Palma-Oliveira JM......................... 42
Pals T............................................... 19
Pan SC.......................................24, 25
Pang H............................................ 26
Panjwani S................................20, 31
Pant R.............................................. 19
Parish M.......................................... 34
Park C............................................. 43
Park J............................................... 43
Parker AL....................................... 24
Parra LM......................................... 27
Pastoret PP..................................... 40
Paté-Cornell ME........................... 19
Patel M............................................ 44
Patterson J..........................24, 25, 41
Paulson G....................................... 41
Pawlisz AV...................................... 25
Payne-Sturges D............................ 23
Pearce J........................................... 33
Peek L.......................................21, 26
Peralta-Videa JR............................ 36
Perez V............................................ 22
Persky JD........................................ 22
Perz S.............................................. 25
Peters E........................................... 45
Peters JL......................................... 32
Pfister HR....................................... 18
Philbert MA................................... 32
Phillips JK...................................... 27
Pieniak Z........................................ 37
Pierce JS.......................................... 25
Pierson J......................................... 40
Pilbeam C....................................... 26
Pincent C........................................ 24
Pinho P........................................... 42
Pinsent C........................................ 26
Pinto A............................................ 34
Piper J............................................. 23
Pluess DN................................20, 28
Polidan EJ....................................... 41
Pollard SJT..................................... 21
Poortvliet PM................................ 45
Port JA............................................ 28
Post ES........................................... 24
Pottenger LH................................. 32
50
Pouillot R........................................ 22
Powell MR...................................... 20
Powers CM..................................... 44
Powers CW..................................... 24
Pradhan AK................ 22, 25, 26, 30
Prasad B.......................................... 22
Pratt I.............................................. 22
Price CC.......................................... 37
Price JC........................................... 43
Proescholdt TA............................. 34
Prpich G......................................... 21
Prueitt RL...........................24, 33, 44
Q
Qian H................................22, 24, 34
Quadros M..................................... 28
Quiring SM..................................... 35
R
Race MS.......................................... 43
Rahaman FR............................24, 36
Rajasekar M.................................... 23
Rak A........................................27, 35
Ramacciotti FC.............................. 44
Rao V.............................................. 27
Rasmuson J.................................... 45
Reichard J....................................... 24
Reich-Weiser C.............................. 33
Reid R.............................................. 25
Reilly AC......................................... 23
Reinhardt JC................................... 19
Reiss R............................................ 41
Reitman F....................................... 45
Renn O........................ 21, 30, 33, 38
Reynolds K.........................26, 28, 32
Rhomberg LR.... 18, 20, 22, 36, 44, 45
Rice GE..............................18, 34, 36
Richardson H................................. 43
Richmond-Bryant J....................... 28
Rickard L..................................33, 37
Rickard LN..................................... 37
Rico CM.......................................... 36
Rinckel L......................................... 25
Risotto S......................................... 35
Risz Y.............................................. 33
Ritter L............................................ 40
Roberson JA................................... 31
Robertson LJ.................................. 40
Robinson LA............................23, 43
Rodricks JV.................................... 42
Rodriguez C................................... 24
Rodriguez D................................... 32
Rogers B......................................... 33
Rohde A.......................................... 22
Roh S............................................... 33
Roman HA..................................... 23
Rose AN......................................... 32
Rose SM.......................................... 23
Rosenstein AB............................... 33
Rosoff HR...............................23, 37
Ross CS........................................... 45
Ross MA.............................20, 36, 44
Roszell LE...................................... 27
Rothschild C.................................. 19
Rotroff D....................................... 28
Rouse JF......................................... 33
Rovins J........................................... 23
Rowan KE................................23, 37
Rowe AJ.......................................... 27
Rubin J............................................ 33
Ruder E.....................................23, 33
Ruiz P.............................................. 20
Rupert MG..................................... 40
Ryti RT............................................ 33
S
Saat MR....................................21, 31
Sacks JD.......................................... 36
Sadeghi F..................................33, 34
Saegerman C.................................. 40
Sager SL....................................22, 27
Sahmel J.......................................... 27
Sakagami M.................................... 24
Sakata N....................................26, 27
Sakura O......................................... 26
Salazar DE..........................21, 31, 41
Salazar KD..................................... 18
Saldiva PHN................................... 24
Salmon AG..................................... 30
Sandvig RM.................................... 44
Santos JR........................................ 43
Santos JS......................................... 36
Sarkani S......................................... 37
Sarkar S........................................... 18
Sarofim MC.................................... 25
Sarri M............................................ 42
Sasso AF...................................18, 28
Satterfield T.................................... 36
Sax SN................................24, 32, 44
Sayes CM........................................ 44
Sayre P............................................ 44
Scanlon KA.................................... 35
Schaffner DW................................ 26
Scheer D......................................... 30
Schetula VS.................................... 33
Scheufele DA................................. 18
Schick A.......................................... 31
Schimmel JD.................................. 20
Schlekat TH................................... 27
Schlosser PM...........................18, 28
Schoeny R....................................... 31
Schroeter R..................................... 33
Schubert W..................................... 21
Schuldt JP.................................27, 33
Schwander SS................................. 18
Schweizer PJ................................... 31
Scott-Fordsmand J........................ 36
Scott RP.......................................... 33
Scott T............................................ 37
Scouras J......................................... 43
Scurich N........................................ 23
Seidel C........................................... 31
Sekizaki T....................................... 26
Sellke P............................................ 33
Sellnow T........................................ 23
Selvik JT.......................................... 43
Senger-Mersich A.......................... 26
Seo M.............................................. 37
Serrano JA...................................... 31
Sertkaya A.................................18, 37
Severtson DJ.................................. 45
Shah I.............................................. 28
Shan X............................................ 28
Shankar P........................................ 40
Shao K............................................ 30
Shapiro MA.................................... 45
Shapiro S......................................... 31
Shatkin JA....................................... 36
Shereif M........................................ 40
Sheriff G........................................ 23
Shieh E............................................ 37
Shin DC.......................................... 27
Shin HM......................................... 25
Shirley SH....................................... 18
Shoaf H.......................................... 27
Shoemaker K................................. 20
Shortridge JE................................. 32
Shubat PJ........................................ 40
Siegrist J.......................................... 20
Siegrist M........................................ 23
Simons J.......................................... 23
Sinclair RG..................................... 28
Slovic P........................................... 23
Small J.......................................22, 32
Small MJ......................................... 25
Smith DW................................19, 26
Smith MN....................................... 28
Son M.............................................. 43
Sonawane B.................................... 24
Song C.......................................28, 41
Song H............................................ 27
Song JW.......................................... 25
Song S............................................. 44
Soto-Beltran M.............................. 28
Spada M.......................................... 36
Spence PR...................................... 30
Staerk K.......................................... 30
Staid A............................................. 35
Stanek LW...................................... 28
Starks SE........................................ 42
Stavrou DI...................................... 31
Stayner L......................................... 40
Stedge J........................................... 27
Stedman RC................................... 19
Steinfeldt M.................................... 36
Steinhardt JS.............................26, 45
Sterin AM....................................... 25
Stern PC.......................................... 38
Stevens K........................................ 30
Stewart D..................................25, 31
Stewart KN.................................... 36
Stewart RN..................................... 32
Stiefel D.......................................... 45
Stillman M...................................... 19
Stoeckel DM.................................. 19
Stokstad E...................................... 23
Stone V........................................... 36
Straif K........................................... 44
Strellec K........................................ 43
Stylianou K..................................... 42
Suarez M......................................... 36
Sugeno M....................................... 20
Sun T-J............................................ 45
Sungar N......................................... 22
Sunger N......................................... 34
Sung FC....................................24, 25
Suppes L......................................... 32
Susel I.............................................. 23
Sütterlin B....................................... 23
Swenberg J................................42, 44
Symanski E..................................... 40
Symons JM..................................... 42
Toccalino PL.................................. 40
Todd J............................................. 42
Tokai A........................................... 24
Tonn BE......................................... 45
Tonn GL......................................... 41
Touati M......................................... 28
Triantafyllidou S............................ 40
Trumbo CW.............................21, 26
Tsubono K...............................26, 27
Tsuji JS............................................ 22
Tucker K......................................... 31
Tuler SP.......................................... 26
Turley AT....................................... 25
Turner MB................................31, 33
Tvermoes B.................................... 27
T
V
Tabibzadeh M................................ 43
Taft SC......................................20, 32
Takemura K................................... 26
Takeshita J................................24, 25
Talabi S........................................... 37
Tambe M........................................ 37
Tan RR............................................ 43
Tanir JY....................................34, 42
Tetley TT........................................ 18
Teuschler LK.....................18, 34, 36
Thacker S........................................ 19
Thakali S......................................... 32
Thekdi SA................................19, 33
Theobald A.................................... 22
Therezien M................................... 36
Thirman MJ................................... 44
Thomas D...................................... 22
Thorne SL...................................... 26
Timofeev AA................................. 25
Tinsley CH..................................... 23
Tinsworth R................................... 33
U
Ugoni A.......................................... 26
Ullrich GW..................................... 43
Underhill JC................................... 27
Underwood PM............................. 35
Urban JU..................................24, 36
Vaishnav P...................................... 18
Valentini M..................................... 27
Vandenberg JM..................20, 30, 44
Vandeputte S.................................. 40
van der Giessen JW...................... 40
Van Der Kraak G.......................... 25
Van Doren JM............................... 34
Vatanpour S.................................... 36
Veeramany A.................................. 34
Ventikos NP................................... 31
Verdolini E..................................... 32
Verner MA..................................... 42
Vianna NA..................................... 24
Viauroux C..................................... 43
Vickers C........................................ 40
Victory K........................................ 26
Vieira VM....................................... 25
Vinikoor-Imler LC........................ 36
Vogel CM....................................... 27
Von Dobscheutz S........................ 30
von Stackelberg K......................... 18
Vorhees D...................................... 40
W
Wachinger G.................................. 30
Wade M........................................... 25
Wagner DM.................................... 28
Walderhaug MO............................ 30
Wald-Hopkins P............................ 33
Walker KW..................................... 32
Wallace JC....................................... 28
Wang A........................................... 28
Wang B............................................ 30
Wang GS......................................... 26
Wang M........................................... 26
Wang P............................................ 19
Wang X........................................... 28
Wang Y.....................................23, 27
Ward MP......................................... 44
Waters JF........................................ 19
Way D............................................. 37
Way DHP....................................... 37
Webler TW..................................... 26
Weed DL........................................ 18
Wei D.............................................. 21
Weke PO......................................... 25
Wender BA..................................... 36
Westerman A................................. 34
White RD....................................... 45
Whitmire M..............................26, 41
Wichers Stanek L.......................... 27
Wiehe F........................................... 30
Wiener JB....................................... 45
Wilkes C.......................................... 40
Wilkie A....................................27, 28
Willett C.......................................... 25
Williams BH................................... 25
Williams RA................................... 40
Willis AM..................................24, 26
Willis HH..................................31, 37
Wilson B......................................... 37
Wilson GS...................................... 45
Wilson P......................................... 26
Wilson R......................................... 33
Wilson RS....................................... 23
Wilson T......................................... 36
Winkel DJ.................................19, 27
Wise K......................................32, 35
Wohlleben W................................. 36
Wolf D............................................ 34
Wong DY........................................ 19
Wong H.......................................... 37
Wong J............................................ 37
Wong-Parodi G.............................. 45
Wright JM.................... 18, 34, 36, 40
Wroblewski MJ.............................. 26
Wu CH............................................ 26
Wu CY............................................ 27
Wu F................................................ 18
Wu H............................................... 42
Wu KY......................... 24, 25, 26, 27
Wu TN......................................24, 25
Wu TT.......................................24, 25
Wullenweber A.............................. 26
Wuthe J........................................... 30
Yu R................................................. 42
Yuyama A.................................25, 37
Z
Zacharias CA...........................23, 26
Zaleski RT..........................22, 24, 34
Zang Y............................................ 18
Zechman EM................................. 19
Zeckhauser R................................. 23
Zeise L............................................ 30
Zerbe R........................................... 37
Zhang J...............................18, 28, 37
Zhao Q........................................... 30
Zhao Y............................................ 21
Zheng JM....................................... 25
Zhu KJ......................................26, 28
Zhuang J...................... 28, 32, 37, 43
Zhuang JJ....................................... 41
X
Zimmerman R............................... 31
Xia Y............................................... 22 Zio E.........................................20, 22
Xu J.....................................28, 33, 41 Ziobro GC..................................... 34
Xu JH........................................26, 28 Zussblatt N.................................... 36
Zwickle A....................................... 33
Y
Yager JW......................................... 22
Yamaguchi H................................. 24
Yamaki N........................................ 25
Yamauchi H................................... 25
Yan Z.............................................. 30
Yang H............................................ 25
Yang JI............................................ 27
Yang Z............................................ 35
Yang ZJ...............................28, 30, 37
Yaroschak PJ.................................. 35
Yasutaka T...................................... 37
Yates JY.......................................... 28
Yazigi D.......................................... 40
Yemelyanov AM............................ 44
Yemshanov D................................ 41
Yoe CE............................................ 41
Yong AG......................................... 26
Yoon M........................................... 42
Yoshida A....................................... 26
Young B....................................27, 28
Yu KS.............................................. 43
51
52
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