2014 FB preseason newsletter

Transcription

2014 FB preseason newsletter
Volume 29, Issue 1
August 3-28, 2014
Exclusive NFL & College Preseason Preview!
LOCK AND LOAD, BABY2014 FOOTBALL IS HERE!
94% AWESOME ANGLE INSIDE!
• Tremendous NFL Preseason Trends
• 2014 College and NFL Top 10 ATS Teams
• NFL Preseason QB Rotations
• Best Bets and Key Plays
• NFL Preseason Over / Unders
• 2014 NFL Preseason Schedule
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1. 8 0 0 . P L A Y B O O K
Marc Lawrence's
BETCHA
DIDN'T
KNOW
NFL PRESEASON
COACHING RECORDS
A Weekly Insight Into The Art Of Sports Handicapping
W
elcome to the 2014 preseason edition of the PLAYBOOK
Football Newsletter. Whether you are a football
fundamentalist, a technical buff or a stats lover, we have
it all for you under one cover in the PLAYBOOK, where each week
through the Super Bowl we help you get every edge imaginable!
“If past history were all there was to the game, the richest
people would be librarians.” Those words of wisdom come
from famous investor Warren Buffett – the point being you
need to understand the present, too. And that’s what the
weekly PLAYBOOK Football Newsletter does. It examines
the past and moves it forward to the present. Think of the
PLAYBOOK as your ‘value investor,’ so don’t make a move
without it this season.
In each issue I'll share with you a personal BETCHA DIDN'T KNOW
handicapping article as I reveal an insider's approach to the art
of football handicapping. Along with Best Bets, Awesome Angles,
Tremendous Trends, NFL Over/Under Records and Trends, the
PLAYBOOK.COM WISE GUYS CONTEST and a complete schedule
featuring opening lines, we've got you covered. Also, be sure to
check PLAYBOOK's 2-Minute Handicap featuring a quick-read
into key stats and trends on the weekly football card – plus the
Incredible Stat Of the Week. It's no wonder whenever the Wise
Guys in Vegas speak of PLAYBOOK, they say it's " Where The
Smart Money Is."
Take the time to ensure your success this football season by
subscribing to the 2014 PLAYBOOK Football Newsletter. It’s never
been easier: you can sign up online at www.PLAYBOOK.com or
call Toll Free for instant service at 1.800.PLAYBOOK.
You can also get EVERY ACTIVE COACH'S ATS RECORD inside the
2014 PLAYBOOK FOOTBALL PREVIEW GUIDE magazine (FREE
with a full-season subscription to the 2014 PLAYBOOK FOOTBALL
NEWSLETTER). Meanwhile, check out our NFL preseason game
writeups on page 8 of this special kickoff edition. And later make
sure you head over to the BETTING TOOLS section at www.
PLAYBOOK.com for more good stuff.
We hope you like what you see and decide to join us for ‘The Best
Football Newsletter On The Planet’ this year. Remember, don't
make a move without your PLAYBOOK, or your personal copy of
the 2014 PLAYBOOK FOOTBALL PREVIEW GUIDE!
TABLE OF CONTENTS
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
NFL Preseason Coaching Records / Awesome Angle of the Month
NFL Preseason 2-Minute Handicap / Incredible Stat For August
PLAYBOOK Football Newsletter Subscription Savings
NFL Preseason Super Systems / Wise Guys Contest / Smart Box
NFL Preseason Data / NFL Preseason QB Rotations
NFL Preseason Report / 2014 NFL Strength of Schedule Rankings
NFL Preseason 5, 4, 3 Best Bets and Key Plays
The Experts Say: PLAYBOOK.com Handicappers’ 2014 Preview
MIDWEEK ALERT Final 2013 College and NFL Stat Rankings
Marc Lawrence’s PERFECT SYSTEM CLUB
Victor King’s NFL Preseason Over/Unders
NFL Fantasy CHEAT SHEET / PLAYBOOK Information Services
Marc Lawrence's 2014 College & NFL Top 10 ATS Teams
Marc Lawrence’s PREFERRED PICKS
2014 NFL Preseason Schedule / OFF SHORE SPORTS WAGERING
f you’re looking to make a quick score before the start of the 2014 NFL season then
look no further than the coaches and their preseason tendencies. It appears coaches
like Jim Caldwell, Joe Philbin, Mike Smith and Ken Whisenhunt
don’t put much stock in exhibition play, as evidenced by their collective 19-51 SU and
22-45-2 ATS career marks during the preseason. The same, however, cannot be said for
Pete Carroll, Jim Harbaugh and Sean Payton, who together are 45-29 SU
and 49-24-2 ATS throughout the preseason. Then there’s Marvin Lewis, the epitome
of consistency throughout his NFL career during the preseason, with repeating 23-22 SU,
ATS and Over/Under marks. And if you’re like Victor King and ‘Totals’ are your cup of tea,
take a look at the defensive priorities of Mike Tomlin and Jim Harbaugh – who
together have played 15-24-2 to the UNDER in their preseason games. On the other side
of the coin, coaches like Jim Caldwell, Pete Carroll, Mike McCarthy and
Rex Ryan seem more interested in fine-tuning the offense, going 56-28 OVER the total
collectively in exhibition games. Please Note: O/U records are since 1999. O/U records
with an asterisk (*) represents the coaches’ totals performance in preseason games since
1999 only. All other results are as an NFL head coach throughout his career. All Best/Worst
Role results below are ATS, unless noted otherwise. And without further ado, we present
another PLAYBOOK exclusive – the 2014 NFL Preseason Coaches records. Enjoy…
I
TEAM/COACH
AZ - Bruce Arians
ATL - Mike Smith
BAL - John Harbaugh
BUF - Doug Marrone
CAR - Ron Rivera
CHI - Marc Trestman
CIN - Marvin Lewis
DAL - Jason Garrett
DEN - John Fox
DET - Jim Caldwell
GB - Mike McCarthy
IND - Chuck Pagano
JAC - Gus Bradley
KC - Andy Reid
MIA - Joe Philbin
NE - Bill Belichick
NO - Sean Payton
NYG - Tom Coughlin
NYJ - Rex Ryan
OAK - Dennis Allen
PHI - Chip Kelly
PIT - Mike Tomlin
STL - Jeff Fisher
SD - Mike McCoy
SF - Jim Harbaugh
SEA - Pete Carroll
TB - Lovie Smith
TEN - Ken Whisenhunt
SU
3-1
7-17
15-9
2-2
6-6
2-2
23-22
7-6
25-23
2-10
15-17
4-4
1-3
27-33
2-7
42-35
16-13
38-35
9-11
2-6
2-2
19-10
37-35
1-3
8-4
21-12
19-18
8-17
ATS
3-1
9-13-2
13-11
1-2-1
7-5
1-3
23-22
5-8
21-26-1
4-8
15-17
5-3
1-3
27-30-3
1-8
38-33-6
18-11
36-33-4
10-10
3-5
2-2
14-14-1
36-34-2
2-2
8-4
23-9-1
18-18-1
8-16-1
O/U
1-3
11-12-1
12-12
2-2
6-6
3-1
23-22
6-7
26-21-1
8-4
21-11
4-4
2-2
33-25-2*
5-4
29-27-1*
14-12-3
27-29*
14-6
5-3
3-1
11-17-1
34-23*
3-1
4-7-1
13-7*
20-17
13-12
AWESOME ANGLE
OF THE MONTH
BEST/WORSE ROLE
2-0 away
5-1 off SU fav loss
1-6 off DD ATS win
0-2 vs opp off SU win
5-1 if total 36 > pts
0-2 dog
1-6 opp off DD ATS win
1-5 SUATS off SU win
0-8-1 vs opp off SU fav loss
1-5 SUATS if total 36 < pts
5-1 SUATS off SU DD loss
5-1 SUATS if not dog 3 > pts
0-3 SUATS pick or dog
5-0 dog > 4 pts
0-6 vs opp Game Two >
7-1-1 vs opp off BB SU losses
10-1 vs opp off SU loss
5-0 off BB SUATS wins
0-5 SUATS Game One
1-4 dog > 4 pts
2-0 SUATS if total > 40 pts
51-5 if total > 37 pts
5-0 dog vs opp off SUATS win
2-0 away/0-2 home
4-0 SUATS off SU loss
11-1 vs opp off SU win
5-1 off SU dog win
1-8 vs opp off SUATS loss
SEVEN
WONDERS
PLAY AGAINST any NFL
preseason favorite of
more than 7 points off a ATS W-L Record
win if they are facing an
Since 1983:
opponent with at least one 15-1
win this preseason.
(94%)
View Marc's Awesome Angle Of The Week
at the PLAYBOOK.com website!
The PLAYBOOK.com website features the NET WIN OR IT’S FREE, BEST IN THE BUSINESS GUARANTEE™ !
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2-MINUTE
HANDICAP
FOR A COMPLETE 2-MINUTE HANDICAP OF EVERY GAME
ON TODAY'S CARD, VISIT www.PLAYBOOK.com
ATS = Against The Spread • A = Away • Con = Conference • D = Dog
F = Favorite • H = Home • Rev = Revenge • R = Road • SU = Straight-Up
NFL PRESEASON GAMES
All results pertain to preseason only and are most recent ATS - Against The Spread - unless noted otherwise
(NOTE: * = Check earlier result this season for similar situation and/or line in this game. Dual results – Straight-Up and Against The Spread
– are separated with a ‘/ ’). Content contained in this report is exclusive published private property of PLAYBOOK™, PLAYBOOK.COM™ and
PLAYBOOKCUBE™, and may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
TEAMS
KEY FACTS, STATS & ATS TRENDS
WEEK ONE
Thursday, August 7
Indianapolis
NY JETS
Cincinnati
KANSAS CITY
Dallas
SAN DIEGO
1-6 SUATS Game One… 2-5 away vs AFC
8-3 SU and 9-2 ATS vs AFC… 7-0 OVER Thursdays
6-3 away Game One… 8-1 OVER away Game One
1-7 SUATS vs AFC… 2-8 SUATS Game One
2-8 away vs AFC… 1-5 Thursdays (0-3 away)
SERIES: 7-2 SUATS… 1-5-1 home Thursdays
Friday, August 8
Miami
ATLANTA
Buffalo
CAROLINA
Oakland
MINNESOTA
3-0 away Game One… 7-1 SUATS away Game One
1-12 SU and 3-10 ATS vs AFC (0-6 home)
*1-11 SU and 1-10-1 ATS vs NFC… 1-10-1 Fridays
5-0 vs AFC… 2-4 Fridays… 7-3 OVER Game One
3-11 vs NFC (1-5 away)… 1-3-1 away Game One
12-4-1 vs AFC (7-2 home)… 4-2 home Game One
Saturday, August 9
Green Bay
TENNESSEE
0-4 SUATS Game One… 1-7 away Game One
SERIES: 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS / 4-0 OVER
Note: View the full 16-game edition of the 2-MINUTE HANDICAP
for NFL Preseason Week One TUESDAY, AUGUST 5 inside the
BETTING TOOLS section on the all-new PLAYBOOK.COM website.
WEEK TWO
Thursday, August 14
Jacksonville
CHICAGO
13-1 away vs NFC… 11-3 away off home
1-11 SUATS home off home… 3-15 home Game Two
Friday, August 15
Tennessee
NEW ORLEANS
Detroit
OAKLAND
SERIES: 5-1 away / 5-1 dog / visitor 10-2
2-9 SUATS home off away… 1-4 home Game Two
8-2 SUATS away off home… *17-5 SUATS vs AFC
1-5 SUATS home off away… 1-3 SUATS Home One
Saturday, August 16
Ny Giants
INDIANAPOLIS
Baltimore
DALLAS
4-1 away vs AFC… 5-2-1 Away One
2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS home off away
5-1 Away One… 13-6 RD off H… *5-0 OVER vs NFC
0-4 SUATS Game Two… 3-8 Saturdays
INCREDIBLE STAT FOR AUGUST
The Kansas City Chiefs are just 7-33 ATS
in preseason games the last 10 years,
including 0-15 ATS vs. a foe off an ATS win.
Be sure to read the INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK
each week in the PLAYBOOK Football Newsletter!
TEAMS
KEY FACTS, STATS & ATS TRENDS
Note: View the full 16-game edition of the 2-MINUTE HANDICAP
for NFL Preseason Week Two TUESDAY, AUGUST 12 inside the
BETTING TOOLS section on the all-new PLAYBOOK.COM website.
WEEK THREE Friday, August 22
Jacksonville
DETROIT
Carolina
NEW ENGLAND
Ny Giants
NY JETS
Oakland
GREEN BAY
Chicago
SEATTLE
0-3 SUATS Game Three… *5-1 OVER vs NFC
6-0 SUATS home off away… *17-5 SUATS vs AFC
*5-0 vs AFC… 2-6-1 UNDER away off home
1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS Game Three… *3-7 vs NFC
1-3 away Game Four… 1-3 SUATS away off away
SERIES: 16-6 SU & 15-6-1 ATS… 4-0 OVER vs NFC
SERIES: 3-1 SUATS / 3-1 OVER… 1-13 Away Two
0-3 Fridays (1-4 home)… *2-6 vs AFC
3-10 vs NFC… *6-12 Fridays… 7-1 OVER Away One
*4-0 SUATS Fri… 7-1 Home Two… 9-2 Game Three
Saturday, August 23
Dallas
MIAMI
New Orleans
INDIANPOLIS
Minnesota
KANSAS CITY
Houston
DENVER
SERIES: 5-1 SUATS… 7-1 away off home
*1-6 SU and 0-7 ATS vs NFC… 7-20-2 Home One
6-0 SUATS away Game Three… 6-1 away off home
2-7 SU and 3-6 ATS vs NFC… *6-2 OVER vs NFC
SERIES: 6-3 SUATS… *12-4-1 vs AFC… *9-3 Saturdays
2-14 Saturdays… *6-26 vs NFC… 2-8 home off away
6-0-1 ATS vs AFC… *6-1 SUATS Saturdays
1-7 Game Three… 2-8-1 Saturdays (0-4 home)
Note: View the full 16-game edition of the 2-MINUTE HANDICAP
for NFL Preseason Week Three TUESDAY, AUGUST 19 inside the
BETTING TOOLS section on the all-new PLAYBOOK.COM website.
WEEK FOUR
Thursday, August 28
Detroit
BUFFALO
Indianapolis
CINCINNATI
New England
NY GIANTS
Chicago
CLEVELAND
Baltimore
NEW ORLEANS
Denver
DALLAS
Seattle
OAKLAND
SERIES: 6-0 SUATS… *17-5 SUATS vs AFC
*1-11 SU and 1-10-1 ATS vs NFC… 2-6 Thursdays
*1-4 away Thursdays… *2-5 away vs AFC
SERIES: 8-4 / 4-1 home… *7-1 home vs AFC
*3-7 vs NFC… 3-7 SU and 3-6-1 ATS Game Four
SERIES: 3-0-1 home… 2-0 SUATS Game Five
7-2 SU and 8-1 ATS Away Two… 7-1 away off away
SERIES: 1-3 SUATS… 2-4 SUATS Game Four
*13-6 RD off home… *7-0-1 Thursdays
1-5 Home Four… 2-9 SUATS home off away
SERIES: 4-1 ATS… 11-3 SUATS Game Four (5-1 away)
7-0-1 SU and 7-1 ATS home Game Four
7-1 SU and 8-0 ATS Game Four… 6-0 Away Two
1-6 SU and 0-7 ATS Game Four… 0-4 Thursdays
Note: View the full 16-game edition of the 2-MINUTE HANDICAP
for NFL Preseason Week Four TUESDAY, AUGUST 26 inside the
BETTING TOOLS section on the all-new PLAYBOOK.COM website.
NFL PRESEASON FAST FACT: The Detroit Lions are 15-3 SUATS in the last 6 years in Games Two, Three or Four.
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Ro M W
llb ajo OW
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SP
EC
IA
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Magazine
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BEST BETS struck gold – going 14-0. Along with winning selections on
the AWESOME ANGLE, INCREDIBLE STAT and TRIVIA TEASER PLAYS
OF THE WEEK picks, the two issues totaled an amazing 21-0!
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NFL PRESEASON SUPER SYSTEMS
NFL PRESEASON SUPER SYSTEMS WHICH HAVE WON 75% OR MORE ATS
Below are three NFL PRESEASON Super System plays along with their Win-Loss records in games since 1983.
Play accordingly and, remember, NEVER FORCE A PLAY.
1. PLAY AGAINST
any home favorite of 6 or more
points off one-win exact if that
win was by 10 or more points.
2. PLAY AGAINST
any Game Two favorite of 4 >
points off a SUATS win versus
an opponent off a SU loss.
3. PLAY ON
any 0-2 SU Game Three
away favorite or dog
of 2 < points.
ATS W-L RECORD:
ATS W-L RECORD:
ATS W-L RECORD:
20-3 (87%)
24-6-1 (80%)
41-0
SUPER
SYSTEM
ALERT!
18-4 (82%)
Just like the plays contained each week throughout the season in Marc’s famous
PERFECT SYSTEM CLUB, every one of the aforementioned SUPER SYSTEMS has subsets
that are 100% perfect, having combined to go 41-0 ATS! You can find these subsets on
the PLAYBOOK.com website simply by clicking on the Angles, Systems and Trends
link inside the BETTING TOOLS section of the site!
P L A Y B O O K . C O M
WISE GUYS
CONTEST
2014
N
ow in its 29th year, the WISE GUYS CONTEST is a $10,000 winners-take-all contest.
The TOP THREE finishers, the BEST BET champion and the FINAL 4-WEEK winner
will take home the money, with each winning selection printed in the PLAYBOOK Newsletter
carrying a value of one point, all winning DOUBLE PLAYS worth two points, and a one-time TOP
PLAY OF THE YEAR (noted with an asterisk) worth three points. The designated DOUBLE PLAY
BEST BET PICKS can be purchased every Friday at the Playbook Store (www.PLAYBOOK.com)
for only $10 a week, or FREE if you are a PLAYBOOK.COM VIP ALL ACCESS MEMBER! All selections
are graded against the lines posted after 1:00 PM Mondays on the WISE GUYS CONTEST page at
PLAYBOOK.com. Congratulations to 2013 Champion JB Sports. Remember, you can follow
the selections of each week’s Top 20 contestants, along with notable pros like: BIG Dave Lemmon,
Billy The Kid, Doc’s Sports, Jerry Lambert, Joe Nelson, Jorge Gonzalez, Ken Thomson, Kevin O’Neill,
Marc Lawrence, Matty Baiungo, Norm Hitzges, Peter Brown, Richard Witt, Rob Vinciletti, Robert
Ferringo, Rocketman Sports, Ross Benjamin, Sammy Jankus, Scott Landau, Southern Comfort,
Special K Sports, Statfox Dave, Steve Merril, Stormin’ Norman, Tom Freese, Victor King, TD Tony,
Ward Peterson and more – every week in the 2014 PLAYBOOK Football Newsletter!
SMART
BOX
DO IT TO ME
ONE MORE TIME
Sometimes the price you’re asked to pay
for success turns out to be a bargain. And in
today’s economy, we’ll take all the bargains
we can find.
Take the case of NFL teams that have just
enjoyed winning back-to-back home games
during the preseason. One might think these
teams are primed for a letdown. However,
$10,000
A
WINNERS-TAKE-ALL BEST BET CONTEST
2013 WISE GUYS TOP FINISHERS
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
CONTESTANT
W-L/BEST BETS
JB Sports
23-13 / *13-5
Ward Peterson
21-14 / 14-3*
Ken Thomson
20-16 / *13-5
Peter Brown
21-15 / *12-6
Jerry Lambert
22-14 / *10-8
Jorge Gonzalez
20-16 / *12-6
Robert Ferringo
22-13 / *10-7
Southern Comfort 23-13 / 10-8*
Special K Sports
19-17 / *13-5
PTS
37
35
34
34
33
33
33
33
33
– ALL ATS TIES OMITTED / * W-L RESULT FOR 3 PICK –
Best Bet Champion: Ward Peterson (28 pts)
Final 4-Week Champion: Billy The Kid (13 pts)
as one of our favorite football analysts, Lee
Corso, would say, “Not so fast, my friend!”
That’s because teams in this role are a solid
46-25-1 ATS when taking to the road off
a pair of home victories in the preseason
since 1983, including a glittering 7-2 ATS
performance the last three seasons. Better
yet, send them away off a double-digit win
and they’re a 26-9 ATS winning proposition.
Dress these same guys up as dogs and they
respond like a pack of hungry canines, going
19-5 ATS.
Incidentally, there is also a 15-0 ATS PERFECT
subset contained inside this SMART BOX
situation that occurs whenever our qualifying
team failed to cover their previous home
victory by 15 or more points. Here is a list
of the eight NFL teams that will take to the
road off back-to-back home games this
preseason: 8/22 – Carolina at New England
and Chicago at Seattle; 8/23 – Washington
at Baltimore, Minnesota at Kansas City and
St. Louis at Cleveland; 8/28 – Indianapolis
at Cincinnati, New England at NY Giants, San
Francisco at Houston and Seattle at Oakland.
Editor’s Note: the 15-0 ATS subset contained
inside this study is similar to the same subsets
members of Marc’s PERFECT SYSTEM CLUB
enjoy during the regular season (see page
11 for more details on the PERFECT SYSTEM
CLUB). You can log on to the PLAYBOOK.
COM website, or call our office toll-free for
no obligation information on the PERFECT
SYSTEM CLUB at 1.800.PLAYBOOK.
Don’t miss out: 6-month FREE VIP memberships available at PLAYBOOK.com until August 1st!
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NFL PRESEASON DATA
Ø
COACH AND TEAM ATS PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN OF NFL TEAMS IN THE PRESEASON
TEAM FAV & DOG ROLES S /1990 • COACH & TEAM PRESEASON ATS DATA S /1983
TEAM
FAV
DOG
MOST RECENT PRESEASON TRENDS – ALL ATS
Arizona
Atlanta
Baltimore
Buffalo
Carolina
Chicago
Cincinnati
Cleveland
Dallas
Denver
Detroit
Green Bay
Houston
Indianapolis
Jacksonville
Kansas City
Miami
Minnesota
New England
New Orleans
NY Giants
NY Jets
Oakland
Philadelphia
Pittsburgh
St. Louis
San Diego
San Francisco
Seattle
Tampa Bay
Tennessee
Washington
21-19
25-21
24-27
13-22
15-19
18-26
17-24
12-14
21-36
33-29
25-21
27-28
11-12
20-26
21-22
16-32
19-31
28-23
25-21
21-26
18-27
22-17
22-27
26-33
31-26
20-22
23-18
28-29
27-22
22-25
26-32
28-27
27-28
27-21
26-17
31-32
21-19
28-25
26-29
19-15
22-26
22-18
23-26
22-21
13-12
29-25
19-12
18-31
28-20
27-19
22-23
35-19
23-26
36-22
25-27
15-22
20-23
24-30
28-24
24-18
32-19
29-18
23-15
19-24
9-1 off SU loss vs opp off DD SU win, 4-12 HF’S VS < .500 opp, 1-6 off BB SUATS losses vs opp off SU loss
10-1 off SU dog win vs opp off SU loss, 6-1 RF’s, 8-2 away off SU fav loss, 1-8 H under Smith
7-1 away off DD ATS loss, 0-5 favs vs opp off BB SUATS wins, 1-6 off DD SU win under Harbaugh
0-6 favorites off DD SU win, 0-6 off BB SU wins, 2-8 home vs opp off DD SU loss, 1-9 L10 away
8-0 off SU dog win, 5-1 dogs vs opp off DD SU win, 1-6 favorites off BB SU losses, 6-1 off BB SU wins
5-1 dogs off DD SU loss, 0-7 favorites off BB SUATS losses, 1-5 home vs opp off SU dog win
1-6 away off SU fav loss, 1-6 dogs vs opp off BB SU losses, 8-1 off SU loss vs opp w/ revenge under Lewis
7-1 HD’s, 0-7 dogs vs opp off SUATS win, 1-6 favs vs < .500 opp, 1-6 away vs opp off SU dog win
0-8 home vs opp off DD SU win, 1-7 dogs vs opp off BB SU losses, 1-6 away off BB SU losses
7-0 dogs off SU fav loss, 7-1 off BB SUATS losses, 0-6 away off SU dog win, 0-5 off SU win under Fox
6-0 home off DD SU win, 5-0 favs off BB SU wins, 2-14 .500 > RD’s vs opp off SU loss
7-1 away off DD SU loss, 1-5 home after scoring 35 > pts, 5-1 favorites vs .500 > foe under McCarthy
4-1 dogs vs opp off DD SU loss, 4-1 < .500 off DD ATS loss, 0-4 off DD SU win vs opp off SU loss
11-2 favorites off DD SU loss, 5-1 off BB SU losses vs < .500 opp, 9-2 RD’s vs opp off DD SU win
7-1 off BB SU losses, 4-1 HD’s, 4-0 favorites off SU fav loss, 7-1 away off DD SU win, 8-2 O/U L10
2-14 L16, 1-7 home vs opp off BB SU wins, 1-7 away vs opp off DD SU win, 3-12 dogs off SU fav loss
0-4 favorites off BB SU wins, 1-6 away vs opp off SU fav loss, 2-7 RF’s, 1-8 SUATS under Philbin
4-0 dogs vs opp off BB SU wins, 7-1 home off SU loss vs opp off SU loss, 1-7 away vs opp off DD SU loss
11-0 home vs opp off BB SU losses, 6-1 dogs vs opp off SU fav loss, 6-1 O/U L7, 1-5 RF’s under Belichick
4-0 dogs off BB SU losses, 10-1 vs opp off SU loss under Payton, 7-1 away off DD SU win
1-6 away vs opp off SU dog win, 1-6 favorites off BB SU losses, 2-8 .500 > dogs under Coughlin
6-0 away off DD SU win, 9-2 favorites w/preseason revenge, 21-6 dogs vs opp off SUATS win
0-7 favorites vs opp off SU fav loss, 0-4 home after allowing 35 > pts, 1-9 dogs off DD ATS loss
5-1 RF’s w/ revenge, 0-5 home vs opp off BB SU wins, 1-7 favorites off BB SUATS wins
7-0 dogs vs opp off BB SU losses, 1-5 away off SU dog win, 1-6 w/ revenge vs opp off SU dog win
6-1 aft scoring 35 > pts, 5-1 vs opp off BB SUATS wins, 4-1 away off SU dog win, 1-4 dogs off BB SU losses
11-1 away when < .500, 5-1 favorites off SU fav loss, 5-1 away off DD ATS loss, 0-4 HD’s off SU loss
5-1 off BB SUATS losses, 0-6 vs < .500 opp off DD SU loss, 1-6 vs div opp, 4-0 off SU loss under Harbaugh
10-2 < .500 HF’s off SU loss, 8-1 dogs off DD SU loss, 6-1 off BB SU losses, 7-1 away under Carroll
7-1 dogs vs opp off SU dog win, 12-3 .500 > off SU loss, 0-5 away off SU dog win
14-2 dogs vs opp off SUATS win, 6-1 favorites off BB SU losses, 0-4 HD’s, 1-7 home vs opp off DD SU win
5-0 off DD ATS win vs opp off SU loss, 4-0 away after allowing 35 > pts, 0-6 dogs vs opp off DD SU loss
NFL
TEAM
ARIZONA
ATLANTA
BALTIMORE
BUFFALO
CAROLINA
CHICAGO
CINCINNATI
CLEVELAND
DALLAS
DENVER
DETROIT
GREEN BAY
HOUSTON
INDIANAPOLIS
JACKSONVILLE
KANSAS CITY
PRESEASON
QB ROTATIONS
QUARTERBACK DEPTH CHART
Carson Palmer, Drew Stanton, Logan Thomas, Ryan Lindley
Matt Ryan, T. J. Yates, Sean Renfree
Joe Flacco, Tyrod Taylor, Keith Wenning
E. J. Manuel, Thad Lewis, Jeff Tuel, Dennis Dixon
Cam Newton, Derek Anderson, Matt Blanchard, Joe Webb
Jay Cutler, Jordan Palmer, Jimmy Clausen, David Fales
Andy Dalton, Jason Campbell, A J McCarron, Matt Scott
Brian Hoyer, Johnny Manziel
Tony Romo, Brandon Weeden, Caleb Hanie
Peyton Manning, Brock Osweiler, Zac Dysert, Bryn Renner
Matthew Stafford, Dan Orlovsky, Kellen Moore
Aaron Rodgers, Matt Flynn, Scott Tolzien, Chase Rettig
Ryan Fitzpatrick, Case Keenum, Tom Savage
Andrew Luck, Matt Hasselbeck, Chandler Harnish
Chad Henne, Blake Bortles, Ricky Stanzi
Alex Smith, Chase Daniel, Aaron Murray, Tyler Bray
A Look at Probable NFL Preseason
Quarterback Rotations for 2014
TEAM
MIAMI
MINNESOTA
NEW ENGLAND
NEW ORLEANS
NY GIANTS
NY JETS
OAKLAND
PHILADELPHIA
PITTSBURGH
ST. LOUIS
SAN DIEGO
SAN FRANCISCO
SEATTLE
TAMPA BAY
TENNESSEE
WASHINGTON
QUARTERBACK DEPTH CHART
Ryan Tannehill, Matt Moore, Pat Devlin, Brock Jensen
Matt Cassel, Christian Ponder, Teddy Bridgewater
Tom Brady, Ryan Mallett, Jimmy Garoppolo
Drew Brees, Luke McCown, Ryan Griffin
Eli Manning, Curtis Painter, Ryan Nassib
Geno Smith, Michael Vick, Matt Simms, Tajh Boyd
Matt Schaub, Derek Carr, Matt McGloin, Trent Edwards
Nick Foles, Mark Sanchez, Matt Barkley, G.J. Kinne
B. Roethlisberger, B. Gradkowski, Landry Jones, Brendon Kay
Sam Bradford, Shaun Hill, Austin Davis
Philip Rivers, Kellen Clemens, Brad Sorensen
Colin Kaepernick, Blaine Gabbert, McLeod Bethel-Thompson
Russell Wilson, Tarvaris Jackson, Terrelle Pryor, B. J. Daniels
Josh McCown, Mike Glennon, Mike Kafka, Alex Tanney
Jake Locker, C. Whitehurst, Zach Mettenberger, Tyler Wilson
Robert Griffin III, Kirk Cousins, Colt McCoy
NFL PRESEASON FAST FACT: New England has gone a perfect 0-8 ATS since ’08 as a preseason favorite of > 3 pts.
page 6 • www.PLAYBOOK.com • 1.800.PLAYBOOK
NFL PRESEASON
REPORT
A Game-By-Game ATS Breakdown of NFL Teams in the Preseason
Since 1983 (MRT results: Most Recent Trends • All ATS Ties Omitted)
GAME ONE
TEAM
ARIZONA CARDINALS
ATLANTA FALCONS
BALTIMORE RAVENS
BUFFALO BILLS
CAROLINA PANTHERS
CHICAGO BEARS
CINCINNATI BENGALS
CLEVELAND BROWNS
DALLAS COWBOYS
DENVER BRONCOS
DETROIT LIONS
GREEN BAY PACKERS
HOUSTON TEXANS
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
MIAMI DOLPHINS
MINNESOTA VIKINGS
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
NEW YORK GIANTS
NEW YORK JETS
OAKLAND RAIDERS
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
PITTSBURGH STEELERS
ST. LOUIS RAMS
SAN DIEGO CHARGERS
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
TENNESSEE TITANS
WASHINGTON REDSKINS
GAME TWO
GAME FOUR
GAME THREE
GAME FIVE
ATS
MRT
ATS
MRT
ATS
MRT
ATS
MRT
ATS
MRT
15-15
14-14
15-15
13-17
10-8
15-14
16-15
9-6
13-18
19-11
11-15
12-19
6-5
17-14
7-9
15-16
11-18
17-14
12-15
18-13
19-11
11-19
15-15
9-18
16-14
12-18
17-14
13-16
16-15
14-15
13-16
17-14
3-1
0-3
2-0
2-0
1-0
0-2
2-0
4-0
2-0
3-0
1-0
0-4
3-0
1-6
0-3
1-4
0-2
0-3
4-1
3-0
2-0
0-5
1-0
1-8
0-2
0-2
0-1
0-1
3-0
0-1
0-2
3-1
17-14
18-13
17-12
12-17
7-12
13-16
13-17
7-8
15-16
16-13
16-15
17-14
8-4
13-18
8-11
6-24
17-11
19-10
16-14
18-11
16-14
19-10
12-19
20-10
13-16
13-18
18-13
16-14
16-15
13-16
17-13
14-14
1-4
1-0
0-2
0-2
1-6
1-3
2-0
2-0
0-4
0-2
0-1
4-1
3-0
2-0
1-5
0-11
7-1
2-0
3-1
2-0
0-1
4-1
0-1
2-0
0-2
2-7
3-0
3-1
2-0
0-3
0-1
1-0
14-16
18-12
16-15
16-14
9-9
13-18
12-18
7-8
10-20
12-17
15-16
15-14
5-7
18-13
12-7
13-16
17-13
13-17
17-13
15-15
11-19
20-10
9-21
16-15
13-17
17-13
17-11
19-12
23-8
18-12
18-13
17-14
0-2
0-1
0-1
0-2
2-0
3-0
0-2
0-4
0-2
0-3
5-1
0-1
0-2
1-0
0-3
1-0
0-4
0-3
0-6
6-1
0-6
1-0
1-5
4-0
0-1
6-0
2-0
2-0
3-0
3-0
2-0
7-0
17-14
12-18
17-13
9-22
9-9
15-15
14-17
8-6
16-14
17-13
15-16
13-17
3-8
15-14
12-7
11-19
13-17
21-10
13-17
16-15
12-18
20-11
13-18
10-20
17-14
13-17
12-16
13-16
20-10
15-15
15-15
16-15
3-1
0-5
1-0
0-6
2-0
0-1
1-0
1-0
2-0
1-3
6-0
0-1
2-0
0-1
2-0
1-0
0-2
3-1
1-0
2-0
0-1
1-0
0-7
0-1
0-2
0-1
0-3
3-0
8-0
0-2
0-2
2-0
0-2
3-0
0-2
2-4
1-0
3-2
1-1
0-1
4-8
4-5
1-1
1-4
1-0
2-3
1-0
2-2
2-6
2-1
3-0
3-3
2-1
2-0
6-1
2-3
5-2
3-1
1-1
6-4
2-2
2-1
1-3
2-3
0-2
3-0
0-2
0-1
1-0
0-2
0-1
0-1
0-1
0-1
1-0
0-3
1-0
0-3
1-0
1-0
0-3
0-1
3-0
2-0
1-0
2-0
0-1
1-0
1-0
3-0
0-1
4-1
0-1
1-0
1-0
1-3
2014 NFL STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE RANKINGS
STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE VS. ALL OPPONENTS
TEAM
RANK
OPP WINS
OAKLAND
ST. LOUIS
DENVER
SAN FRANCISCO
KANSAS CITY
SAN DIEGO
ARIZONA
SEATTLE
NY JETS
NEW ENGLAND
MIAMI
GREEN BAY
ATLANTA
BUFFALO
WASHINGTON
DALLAS
CHICAGO
DETROIT
PHILADELPHIA
TAMPA BAY
CAROLINA
MINNESOTA
CINCINNATI
NY GIANTS
NEW ORLEANS
PITTSBURGH
CLEVELAND
BALTIMORE
JACKSONVILLE
HOUSTON
TENNESSEE
INDIANAPOLIS
1
2
3
3
5
5
7
7
9
10
11
11
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
23
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
160
157
155
154
155
154
153
150
137
135
134
133
132
132
131
132
129
126
128
125
125
123
125
125
121
122
121
121
119
115
114
113
OPP LOSSES VS WIN OPP
116
117
118
117
119
118
122
120
128
129
131
130
130
133
134
136
133
133
137
137
139
138
141
141
140
142
142
144
145
147
149
150
10
10
10
9
8
8
8
9
5
5
5
5
6
5
6
7
4
4
5
5
5
3
5
6
4
6
5
6
5
4
5
4
VS. NON-DIVISION OPPONENTS ONLY
OPP WIN PCT
TEAM
RANK
OPP WINS
.580
.573
.568
.568
.566
.566
.556
.556
.517
.511
.506
.506
.504
.498
.494
.493
.492
.486
.483
.477
.473
.471
.470
.470
.464
.462
.460
.457
.451
.439
.433
.430
DENVER
KANSAS CITY
SAN DIEGO
GREEN BAY
PHILADELPHIA
NEW ENGLAND
DALLAS
CHICAGO
OAKLAND
SEATTLE
SAN FRANCISCO
INDIANAPOLIS
CAROLINA
DETROIT
NY JETS
CINCINNATI
NEW ORLEANS
NY GIANTS
WASHINGTON
MIAMI
TENNESSEE
ATLANTA
ARIZONA
JACKSONVILLE
MINNESOTA
ST. LOUIS
PITTSBURGH
BALTIMORE
BUFFALO
TAMPA BAY
HOUSTON
CLEVELAND
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
9
11
11
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
19
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
105
97
94
93
92
91
92
89
88
88
88
87
85
84
83
85
81
83
81
80
78
76
79
77
77
77
76
75
74
69
69
67
OPP LOSSES OPP WIN PCT
66
71
74
76
77
77
78
79
80
80
81
80
79
81
82
85
82
85
86
85
85
84
88
87
88
89
90
92
91
91
93
98
The PLAYBOOK ‘TOTALS’ TIPSHEET (32-17-2 ATS last year for 65% winners) is only $99 for the season!
1.800.PLAYBOOK • www.PLAYBOOK.com • page 7
.614
.577
.560
.550
.544
.542
.541
.530
.524
.524
.521
.521
.518
.509
.503
.500
.497
.494
.485
.485
.479
.475
.473
.470
.467
.464
.458
.449
.448
.431
.426
.406
2014 NFL PRESEASON FOOTBALL
Home team is shown in ALL CAPS.
PLAYBOOK selection is Underlined & Bold.
Thursday, August 7
WEEK THREE
Saturday, August 23
DENVER over Seattle by 13
St. Louis over CLEVELAND by 12
What a way to start the NFL preseason with a rematch of the
game that concluded the 2013 campaign, a smashing of Denver
by Seattle in last year’s Super Bowl. Lest you think it’s the only
reason we’re on the Broncos like a Kardashian on a celebrity,
think again. The Seahawks also destroyed Denver, 40-10, in Week
Three of the preseason last year, making this contest another of
our famous ‘double entendre’ revengers. The database agrees
with our findings, too, noting the favorite is 6-2 ATS in preseason
clashes between these two outfits. Toss in Denver HC John Fox’s
fancy for fast starts (8-4 SUATS) in initial practice games and this
has the all makings of a major payback. The Clincher: Denver is
19-6-1 ATS in its last 26 exhibition openers – including 15-3
ATS versus NFC foes – and 3-0 SUATS at home.
Surprisingly, the schedule maker made a concerted effort in not
giving many teams a rest advantage this preseason. In fact, this
is one of only three games on the entire exhibition slate this
campaign with one team holding a 2-day rest advantage over
another – and we’re biting. For openers, veteran head coach
Jeff Fisher (the NFL’s best underdog coach) is 7-3 ATS as a road
dog in dress rehearsal games (Game Three) in his NFL preseason
career, including 6-1 ATS when facing a foe off a road game.
And that’s not to mention Fisher’s solid 17-7 SU and 14-9-1 ATS
career mark against AFC opposition in the preseason, despite last
year’s 9-point loss here in Week One of the exhibition season.
With his adversary, rookie head coach Mike Pettine, more likely
concerned with acquainting himself with his roster, look for Fisher
to improve to 11-4 ATS away in preseason revenge affairs here
today. The Clincher: St. Louis is 6-0 ATS in preseason Game
Three’s. Cleveland is 0-4 SUATS in preseason Game Three’s.
WEEK ONE
4 BEST BET
Friday, August 8
CHICAGO over Philadelphia by 10
Bears boss Marc Trestman took it on the chops, 54-11, against Eagles
chief Chip Kelly when these two NFL rookie coaches met on Week 15 of
the 2013 regular season. The loss denied Trestman a winning season and
thus sets the table for tonight’s fray. For openers, the Green Birds are
still getting their footing following Kelly’s intense, nonstop practices.
It showed in Philly’s 31-22 home loss as 3-point chalk in their preseason
opener under his lead last year, a game in which the Eagles surrendered
442 yards of offense to the Patriots. Making matters worse, Philadelphia
has been practically impotent when opening the preseason on the road,
going 1-10 SU and 1-8-2 ATS. With the Eagles likely more interested
in avenging the aforementioned preseason loss to New England next
week, look for the Bears to come out of hibernation early here today.
WEEK TWO
Saturday, August 16
Miami over TAMPA BAY by 7
Lo and behold, if it isn’t another of our celebrated ‘double-entendre’
plays, this one involving a battle of the sunshine state. For those of you
unfamiliar with the qualifications, any team that suffered both a regular
and preseason loss to the same team the previous year automatically
joins the ‘double-entendre’ club. Last year, the Dolphins were taken
out twice by the Bucs, once in a stinging 17-16 home favorite loss
during the exhibition season; the other in a 22-19 regular season road
favorite loss. The Fish not only follow form in Game Two’s, going 7-1
SUATS the past eight seasons, they’re also 4-0 SUATS when not laying
points and seeking preseason revenge entering 2014. Yes, we realize
Joe Philbin’s disdain for preseason games but given Tampa’s tepid 6-141 ATS record as preseason chalk in home openers, we’re riding Flipper
here. Especially knowing the visiting team in this preseason rivalry is
11-2 ATS, including 8-1 ATS the last nine meetings.
Sunday, August 17
3 BEST BET
SAN FRANCISCO over Denver by 13
A potential Super Bowl XLIX showdown between two of the best
clubs in the west – with Denver looking to avoid an almost certain
letdown following last week’s Super Bowl revenger against
Seattle. Should Denver have exacted its revenge, it must be noted
the Broncos are 0-8 ATS in the preseason off a SU win, including
0-5 ATS under the direction of John Fox. Regardless, they are 0-4
ATS in preseason games after skirmishing with the Seahawks.
On the flip side, the Niners entered this preseason 6-1 SUATS in
practice games under Jim Harbaugh when not getting 3 or more
points. Add the fact that Frisco fell, 10-6, in its preseason home
opener to the Broncos last year, along with this being the opening
game at brand-new Levi’s Stadium, and we’ll expect the Niners
to come up looking good in their new digs here tonight. The
Clincher: The Broncos are 0-4 SUATS away in Game Two of
the preseason. The Niners are 6-0 SU and 5-0-1 ATS home in
the preseason off an away game.
5 BEST BET
Sunday, August 24
San Diego over SAN FRANCISCO by 6
Yet another extra two days rest advantage in this contest and the
Chargers are juiced to be on the receiving end. And like St. Louis, they
too will look to avenge a preseason loss suffered at the hands of their
host last year. And not only is San Diego seeking preseason revenge
for the second week in a row, the Niners are off Sunday’s big-time
revenge clash with the Broncos. The Bolts’ 9-4-2 ATS mark as dogs in
their final road game of the exhibition season stands tall. As does San
Fran’s lukewarm 3-6-1 ATS mark in preseason home finales off a win
(check Denver result last week). In a contest where the numbers and
situations form a strong tag-team, look for the Niners to go down for
the count this evening.
WEEK FOUR
Thursday, August 28
Indianapolis over CINCINNATI by 6
The Colts look to complete our preseason ‘double-entendre’ trifecta
when they invade the Queen City on the final day of preseason play
today. It was a year ago when the Bengals downed Indy on this field,
27-10, in the preseason for both clubs and then again, 42-28, here later
in December. The preseason defeat snapped a 3-0 ATS run by the Colts
in this series, while the regular season beating marked the only time in
Andrew Luck’s brilliant NFL career that Indianapolis came up a loser in
a contest in which they scored more than 24 points under his lead (now
15-1 SU). Meanwhile, the Bengals bring a pedestrian 7-12 SUATS mark
in Game Four’s into this affair and are eyeing up a division opener with
Baltimore next week. It all points to the points – and we’ll take them.
Arizona over SAN DIEGO by 7
Not sure why this game was scheduled on this date with both teams
meeting next week in Glendale to open the 2014 regular season.
Regardless, with only three days of rest apiece, don’t expect either
team to show their cards today. And speaking of cards, the Redbirds
were shot down, 24-7, as 3.5 point home favorites in Week Three of the
preseason by the Chargers last year, marking the fifth straight defeat
for Arizona in this preseason series. Today, though, look for Zona to
take full advantage with San Diego coming down off back-to-back
preseason revengers the past two weeks. Noting Bruce Arians’ solid
approach to the preseason (3-1 SUATS last year) – and the Cardinals’
9-3 ATS log as dogs of 7 or less points in preseason finales – the points
become the play in this low-scoring, boring battle of tip-toeing teams.
page 8 • www.PLAYBOOK.com • 1.800.PLAYBOOK
THE EXPERTS SAY:
Our PLAYBOOK.com Handicappers
Preview The 2014 Football Season
T
o better prepare you for the upcoming football
season, we asked the EXPERTS at Playbook.com for
their take on the year ahead. You can read the in-depth
answers and analysis from each of the Experts in the
2014 PLAYBOOK Football Previews 10 Questions
Interviews inside the Betting Tools section – or on
each of the Experts’ Home Pages – at Playbook.com.
For now, enjoy these snippets from the Interviews…
TIM NOLAN: Duke had a great year in 2013 but they
had gone twenty years without a winning season
before that. They have some easy non-conference
games against Elon, Troy and Kansas but have to face
Miami, Georgia Tech, UNC and Va Tech in the ACC.
PLAYBOOK: Which college football team(s) do
you see as potential overachievers for 2014?
LARRY THOMPSON: Auburn and Oregon.
BRAD DIAMOND: Oklahoma. The Sooners finished
11-2 last year by winning six of the last seven games
on their schedule, frosting the Alabama program
with a 45-31 bowl win to finish off the season. I
believe Oklahoma will be playing in the national
championship game, carrying a 13-0 season into the
tilt. Remember, the Sooners are LOADED, bringing
back 16 starters to the fold. OU also boasts an
impressive 43-10 SU mark since 2010.
MATT FARGO: Kentucky Wildcats.
JIM FEIST: Ole Miss. The Rebels were supposed to
bust out last year but had some bad luck. They are
really loaded with talent and experience for 2014, led
by a dynamite offense.
VICTOR KING: Tulsa. The Golden Hurricane bottomed
out last year after winning 8 or more games in eight
of the previous ten years. They move into a new
conference (AAC) in 2014 in which their ‘10-returning
starters’ defense can dominate.
MARC LAWRENCE: Marshall and NC State.
BILL MILTON: Alabama. This may sound weird since
I am picking a team that some have in the National
Title Game, but I am going to go with the Tide. The
loss to Auburn was a FLUKE, and despite the bowl
loss to Oklahoma, they outgained the Sooners by 100
yards while stuck in a massive letdown spot. I will be
stunned if they do not win the whole enchilada.
ROB VINCILETTI: Houston returns 17 starters from
an 8-5 team and they did well considering they played
a brutal schedule with just about every team finishing
over .500. This year they will be breaking in a new
stadium. Houston scores early and often and the
way they play offense will remind folks of Oregon.
On defense, they improved by 14 points and have 9
starters back. This will be one fun to team to watch.
PLAYBOOK: Which college football team(s) do
you see as potential underachievers?
ROCKY ATKINSON: Arizona State, Clemson,
Louisville, Oklahoma State and Wisconsin.
MARK FRANCO: Notre Dame. The big question now
is whether 2012 starting QB Everett Golson can keep
his academics where they need to be while shaking
off the rust of sitting out a year. Huge nose guard
Louis Nix declared for the NFL and Stephon Tuitt soon
followed. Coaches will have to get the defensive front
in order while facing 10 Bowl teams from last season.
TONY GEORGE: Missouri. Only four starters return
on offense and four on defense and the Tigers lost
all their key playmakers from last year’s SEC East
Championship team. They also cut loose their #1 WR
Green-Beckham due to drug violations.
JOE NELSON: Texas A&M has been in the spotlight
the past two seasons but the first season without QB
Johnny Manziel could be difficult. Kevin Sumlin is
winning a lot of recruiting battles but the schedule
stacks up against the Aggies in 2014.
ALEX SMART: Stanford. Still a fine team, but lost key
starters on the line (just one returns). This version of
the Cardinal will need time to mature.
RICHARD WITT: Minnesota. Golden Gophers staged
a sustained, powerhouse emotional rally behind HC
Jerry Kill but factor in the near-inevitable emotional
regression – and some likely paybacks (from Nebraska
and Northwestern) – and things look less than rosy.
PLAYBOOK: Which NFL teams do you see as
potential overachievers in 2014?
JIM FEIST: New Orleans. The Saints didn’t win
the division last year but this offense is deadly with
Sean Payton and Drew Brees. And the job first-year
defensive coordinator Rob Ryan did last year was
outstanding, bringing the blitz, stopping the run and
upgrading sacks. Who dat? You know who!
MARK FRANCO: Arizona. After making the jump from
5-11 to 10-6 last year, you could say the Cardinals
made the leap into contention under first-year head
coach Bruce Arians. Veteran QB Carson Palmer and his
array of receiving weapons helped Big Red field the
league’s 12th-best offense (346.4 YPG). Meanwhile,
Arizona’s 6th-ranked defense (317.4 YPG) helped to
ensure the team was solid on that side of the ball.
It’s a very tough division in the NFC West but Arizona
could be playoff bound in 2014.
STEVE MERRIL: Chicago Bears.
JOE NELSON: The AFC South was dreadful last
season but it could be a much more formidable group
in 2014. The South plays the AFC North teams and
the NFC East teams for a pretty favorable draw. No
team will play more than five games against 2013
playoff teams so there should be opportunities for
each team to succeed. Indianapolis should contend
for one of the top spots in the AFC and even with
new coaching staffs, Tennessee and Houston are in
favorable positions for instant improvement after
many tough breaks last season with close losses and
injuries. Even lowly Jacksonville should be expected
to be much more competitive in 2014. Obviously it is
difficult for all four teams in the same division to be
overly successful but expect at least three of the four
teams to produce an improved record compared with
the 2013 standings.
T.J. PEMBERTON: Cleveland and NY Jets.
ALEX SMART: Chicago. Minus the weird losses last
year, this Bears team was one of the most dangerous
in all of the NFL. With just a little luck, the Bears will
claw back in a big way and leave their mark on the
minds of the betting public from the get-go.
TIM NOLAN: Seattle. Why? Because the Seahawks
won the Super Bowl last year and are in the same
division as San Francisco. Both are projected to win
around 11 games. Arizona and St. Louis are also in
their division and have projected win-totals of 7-8
games for 2014. No dynasty here!
RICHARD WITT: Chicago. Yes, the Monsters of the
Midway were hard-pressed to bumble away last
season’s NFC North crown, but they managed it. These
guys can kick bad teams around, but they’ve long
had trouble putting away competitive sides on the
lakefront since Jay Cutler’s arrival. HC Marc Trestman
owns a bright offensive mind but in hiring him, the
Bears have gone away from their DNA of rock-hard
defense. If these guys get drilled at Frisco in the Week
Two Monday-nighter, it could be a very, VERY ugly first
half of the season, from which this squad would be
hard-pressed to recover.
PLAYBOOK: Which NFL team best figures to go
‘OVER’ its projected win total for 2014?
ROCKY ATKINSON: Houston Over 7 1/2 wins.
JOE D’AMICO: Carolina Over 8 1/2 wins and New
Orleans OVER 9 1/2.
DOC’S SPORTS: Tennessee Over 7 wins.
JORGE GONZALEZ: St. Louis Over 7 1/2 wins.
JAMES PATRICK: Cleveland Over 6 1/2 wins.
ROB VINCILETTI: Atlanta Over 8 1/2 wins. After
finally winning a playoff game with QB Matt Ryan
two years ago, the Falcons had a miserable 4-win
campaign in 2013. Atlanta has bolstered its defense,
particularly through the draft where 7 of the 9
selections were on the defensive side of the ball.
The Falcons dealt with many offensive injuries, most
notably Julio Jones and Steven Jackson. If these guys
stay healthy, watch out!
PLAYBOOK: Which NFL team best figures to go
‘UNDER’ its projected win total for 2014?
PETER BROWN: Baltimore Under 8 1/2 wins.
BRAD DIAMOND: New York Jets Under 7 wins.
JIM FEIST: Denver Under 11 1/2 wins. During
their 13-3 campaign last year, the Denver offense was
unstoppable – until the Super Bowl, that is. For 2014,
the Broncos lose their top running back, changed the
secondary and likely overpaid for Aqib Talib and DE
Demarcus Ware. And the schedule is brutal, matched
against the NFC West. Good luck against Seattle again!
STEVE MERRIL: Kansas City Under 8 1/2 wins.
BILL MILTON: Pittsburgh Under 8 1/2 wins and
Tampa Bay Under 7 wins.
JOE NELSON: Detroit Under 8 1/2 wins.
PLAYBOOK: What is the one rule you should
never violate when handicapping football?
PLAYBOOK: Which NFL teams do you see as
potential underachievers?
ROSS BENJAMIN: Never bet on a college favorite of
21.5 or more points.
ROCKY ATKINSON: Minnesota Vikings.
MARC LAWRENCE: Never lay double digits with bad
defensive teams.
VICTOR KING: Kansas City. History tells us every
year at least five new teams will qualify for the 12team postseason field. And every year, there are teams
that seriously underachieve after making the Playoffs.
In 2014, that will be KC. Despite going 11-5 last year,
the Chiefs actually have a defense (#24/368 YPG)
that should have brought them an 8-8 or 7-9 record.
JOE NELSON: Never forget that you are handicapping
a season, not a single game or weekend. You must
keep a long-term approach and long-term money
management or you will never succeed.
ALEX SMART: Never over-evaluate a team based
soley on the media hype of any given week. ♦
1.800.PLAYBOOK • www.PLAYBOOK.com • page 9
MIDWEEK ALERT
Listed below are our exclusive 2013-14 FINAL COLLEGE AND PRO FOOTBALL
STATS RANKINGS, a quick read guide into the offensive and defensive stats
and rankings compiled by each of the teams. Reading across we find each
team's record in Outyarding Its Opponents (ITS-In The Stats), average Points
For (PTF), Points Against (PTA), Offensive Rushing Yards (OFR), Offensive
Passing Yards (OFP), Total Offensive Yards (OYD), Total Defensive Yards
(DYD), Defensive Passing Yards (DFP), and Defensive Rushing Yards (DFR)
– along with their numerical ranking against all other teams.
Stat Rankings
2013 COLLEGE STAT RANKINGS
TEAM
AIR FORCE
AKRON
ALABAMA
ARIZONA
ARIZONA ST
ARKANSAS
ARKANSAS ST
ARMY
AUBURN
BALL ST
ITS
2-10
4-8
11-2
7-6
11-3
3-9
4-9
4-8
10-4
10-3
PTF
25
20
38
33
40
21
29
24
40
39
RNK
88
110
17
37
9
104
64
94
9
14
BAYLOR
10-3
BOISE ST
9-4
BOSTON COLLEGE 6-7
BOWLING GREEN 10-4
BUFFALO
8-5
BYU
11-2
CALIFORNIA
3-9
C MICHIGAN
3-8
CINCINNATI
11-2
CLEMSON
11-2
52
38
28
35
30
30
23
23
32
40
COLORADO
COLORADO ST
CONNECTICUT
DUKE
E CAROLINA
E MICHIGAN
FLORIDA
FLORIDA ATL
FLORIDA INT’L
FLORIDA ST
FRESNO ST
25
36
21
33
40
19
19
26
10
52
43
TEAM
ITS
NC STATE
4-8
NEBRASKA
8-5
NEVADA
5-7
NEW MEXICO
4-8
NEW MEXICO ST 1-11
NORTH CAROLINA 6-7
NORTH TEXAS
8-5
NO ILLINOIS
12-2
NORTHWESTERN 5-7
NOTRE DAME
7-6
PTF
23
32
27
33
21
33
32
40
26
27
PTA RNK OFR RNK OFP RNK OYD RNK DYD RNK DFP RNK
30
81 163 71 239 59 402 73 400 62 219 46
25
44 216 19 197 96 413 60 371 37 215 32
34 102 182 49 247 53 429 46 506 120 247 88
43 121 309
4
114 123 423 53 516 122 260 104
45 123 142 93 241 58 383 83 550 126 250 91
24
36 148 85 277 28 425 51 403 64 221 49
18
8
181 50 230 69 411 63 350 19 228 61
25
44 297
7
223 77 520 6 412 73 261 107
27
64 172 62 227 71 399 74 424 89 256 102
22
19 150 82 255 40 405 71 366 32 198 15
DFR
181
156
259
256
300
182
122
151
168
168
RNK
81
52
125
123
126
83
15
47
68
68
40
65
59
47
68
58
85
99
6
52
OHIO ST
OHIO U
OKLAHOMA
OKLAHOMA ST
OLD DOMINION
OREGON
OREGON ST
PENN ST
PITTSBURGH
PURDUE
46 3
27 73
33 37
39 14
42 7
45 4
35 26
29 64
26 79
15 121
23
27
22
22
34
20
31
26
27
38
28
64
19
19
102
12
88
57
64
114
309
134
224
172
160
274
94
174
126
67
4
99
18
62
72
9
119
58
103
125
203
245
199
277
359
291
373
259
236
216
91
54
94
28
5
22
3
37
62
80
512
379
423
449
519
565
467
433
362
283
8
85
53
38
7
2
27
44
98
122
377
406
351
384
452
371
436
381
365
460
47
68
21
50
102
37
100
49
31
105
268
218
213
242
255
205
246
237
217
225
112
41
30
79
101
22
87
74
38
55
109
188
138
142
197
166
190
144
148
235
9
85
24
32
94
67
89
37
43
117
209
141
134
174
117
258
142
163
205
125
147
103
30
23
76
12
124
32
62
101
18
41
RICE
10-4
RUTGERS
5-8
SAN DIEGO ST
8-5
SAN JOSE ST
8-4
SMU
7-5
SOUTH ALABAMA 8-4
SOUTH CAROLINA 10-3
SO MISS
2-10
STANFORD
9-5
SYRACUSE
8-5
TCU
7-5
30 55 24
27 73 30
30 55 32
32 45 35
27 73 33
29 64 25
34 32 20
17 119 42
32 45 19
23 97 25
25 88 25
36
81
92
105
97
44
12
120
9
44
44
227
129
167
137
94
173
198
73
208
195
119
17
102
68
98
119
60
32
124
22
38
112
181
236
258
355
341
253
254
243
202
180
226
105
62
39
7
9
42
41
56
92
106
74
408
365
425
492
435
426
452
316
410
375
345
67
96
51
16
42
48
37
117
66
86
107
362
413
385
460
413
385
350
436
343
369
357
29
75
53
105
75
53
19
100
16
36
24
200
312
254
245
272
225
196
211
254
230
226
17
123
98
85
115
55
12
25
98
63
58
162
101
131
215
141
160
154
225
89
139
131
59
4
20
106
30
56
51
115
3
26
20
59
85
84
119
117
125
81
121
9
76
79
148
223
116
219
143
212
238
238
129
224
191
43
112
11
109
34
104
118
118
19
114
91
TEMPLE
TENNESSEE
TEXAS
TEXAS A&M
TEXAS ST
TEXAS TECH
TOLEDO
TROY
TULANE
TULSA
UAB
3-9
3-9
8-5
7-6
5-7
8-5
7-5
7-5
5-8
5-7
2-10
25 88 30
24 94 29
29 64 26
44 5 32
24 94 27
36 23 31
33 37 29
34 32 36
25 88 21
21 104 34
26 79 44
81
74
57
92
64
88
74
108
14
102
122
149
189
196
187
172
118
241
142
126
165
179
83
44
36
45
62
113
14
93
103
70
51
250
165
212
352
155
393
207
322
185
190
215
46
112
82
8
115
2
89
14
104
102
81
399
354
408
539
327
511
448
464
311
355
394
74
105
67
4
113
9
39
28
118
103
79
475
418
407
475
396
419
421
484
351
431
498
111
83
69
111
59
84
87
115
21
95
118
299
211
224
253
249
217
251
314
228
231
272
122
25
52
96
89
38
95
124
61
65
115
176
207
183
222
147
202
170
170
123
200
226
77
102
84
111
41
100
73
73
17
97
116
220
211
230
243
238
214
171
197
208
225
254
48
25
63
81
75
31
5
13
24
55
98
140
199
197
151
189
195
81
143
160
150
117
27
96
94
47
87
92
1
34
56
45
12
UCF
UCLA
UMASS
UNLV
USC
USF
UTAH
UTAH ST
UTEP
UTSA
VANDERBILT
11-2
9-4
1-11
6-7
9-5
2-10
4-8
10-4
2-10
8-4
8-5
35 26 21
37 21 23
12 124 33
30 55 32
30 55 21
14 123 29
29 64 28
32 45 17
22 102 39
26 79 26
30 55 25
14
28
97
92
14
74
73
7
116
57
44
160
197
125
173
172
90
160
179
184
175
131
72
34
105
60
62
121
72
51
46
56
101
282
251
156
238
227
167
236
233
163
242
229
25
44
114
60
71
111
62
67
113
57
70
442
448
281
411
399
257
396
412
347
417
360
41
39
123
63
74
124
78
62
106
57
100
362
387
434
433
339
351
398
331
469
376
347
29
55
99
97
13
21
61
12
109
46
17
240
218
218
217
218
211
267
224
221
233
197
77
41
41
38
41
25
111
52
49
68
13
122
169
216
216
121
140
131
107
248
143
150
15
72
107
107
14
27
20
8
120
34
45
250
261
231
166
203
215
216
205
260
215
91
107
65
3
19
32
36
22
104
32
177
223
140
86
200
158
156
144
151
179
78
112
27
2
97
55
52
37
47
79
VIRGINIA
VIRGINIA TECH
WAKE FOREST
WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON ST
WEST VIRGINIA
WEST KENTUCKY
WEST MICHIGAN
WISCONSIN
WYOMING
3-9
10-3
3-9
10-3
6-7
3-9
11-1
4-8
10-3
6-6
20 110 33
23 97 19
18 117 24
38 17 23
31 52 33
26 79 33
31 52 25
17 119 35
35 26 16
31 52 37
97
9
36
28
97
97
44
105
5
111
154
120
95
240
54
149
197
116
284
196
78
111
118
15
126
83
34
114
8
36
212
236
197
259
368
262
262
211
197
282
82
62
96
37
4
35
35
86
96
25
366
356
292
499
422
411
459
327
481
478
94
102
121
14
55
63
30
113
19
20
404
283
367
389
459
454
341
419
305
482
66
4
33
56
104
103
15
84
7
114
233
172
223
227
270
264
178
169
203
262
68
7
51
59
114
110
10
4
19
109
171
111
144
162
189
190
163
250
102
220
75
10
37
59
87
89
62
121
5
110
PTA RNK OFR RNK OFP
40 119 263 12 105
29
74 123 108 219
14
4
205 26 248
24
36 265 11 194
27
64 192 41 266
31
88 209 21 149
26
57 207 23 200
32
92 310
3
78
25
44 328
1
173
25
44 153 80 324
RNK
124
78
51
99
31
117
93
126
108
12
OYD
368
342
453
459
458
358
407
388
501
477
RNK
92
109
34
30
33
101
69
81
12
21
DYD
491
397
286
400
373
414
414
412
421
414
RNK
117
60
5
62
42
78
78
73
87
78
DFP
240
233
180
232
235
234
233
198
258
219
RNK
77
68
11
67
73
72
68
15
103
46
DFR
251
164
106
168
138
180
181
214
163
195
RNK
122
65
7
68
24
80
81
105
62
92
1
17
71
26
55
55
97
97
45
9
24
25
29
16
24
22
46
29
21
22
36
44
74
5
36
19
125
74
14
19
261
199
213
193
167
268
124
133
168
175
13
31
20
40
68
10
106
100
67
56
357
278
154
266
227
226
329
208
304
333
6
27
116
31
71
74
11
87
19
10
618
477
367
459
394
494
453
341
472
508
1
21
93
30
79
15
34
110
24
10
360
413
431
322
384
379
529
405
315
357
26
75
95
10
50
48
125
67
9
24
215
249
269
171
216
218
341
204
211
201
32
89
113
5
36
41
126
21
25
18
145
164
162
151
168
161
188
201
104
156
88
23
104
37
9
113
113
79
125
1
6
38
30
30
27
25
45
21
22
37
12
30
114
81
81
64
44
123
14
19
111
1
81
121
205
85
178
144
158
146
183
76
205
151
110
26
122
54
91
77
89
48
123
26
81
249
266
234
248
324
178
171
198
143
316
395
48
31
66
51
12
107
110
95
119
15
1
370
471
319
426
468
336
317
381
219
521
546
91
25
115
48
26
112
116
84
126
5
3
469
417
384
417
367
511
314
324
429
282
430
109
81
50
81
33
121
8
11
93
3
94
260
276
250
243
250
253
172
161
224
157
283
104
117
91
81
91
96
7
2
52
1
120
GEORGIA
10-3 37 21 29
GEORGIA STATE 3-9 19 113 37
GEORGIA TECH 8-5 35 26 23
HAWAII
4-8 27 73 39
HOUSTON
5-8 33 37 22
IDAHO
2-10 18 117 47
ILLINOIS
4-8 30 55 35
INDIANA
5-7 38 17 39
IOWA
6-7 26 79 19
IOWA ST
4-8 25 88 36
KANSAS
1-11 15 121 32
74
111
28
116
19
126
105
116
9
108
92
170
102
300
115
145
141
139
201
179
144
154
66
116
6
115
90
95
96
30
51
91
78
314
253
130
301
271
231
288
307
194
219
140
16
42
121
20
30
68
23
18
99
78
120
484
355
430
416
416
372
427
508
373
363
294
18
103
45
58
58
89
47
10
87
97
120
375
468
360
500
419
528
481
528
304
463
433
44
108
26
119
84
123
113
123
6
107
97
227
245
244
281
276
316
243
290
175
239
242
KANSAS ST
KENT ST
KENTUCKY
LA-LAFAYETTE
LA-MONROE
LOUISIANA TECH
LOUISVILLE
LSU
MARSHALL
MARYLAND
MEMPHIS
23
27
31
26
30
26
12
22
23
25
25
28
64
88
57
81
57
1
19
28
44
44
178
184
148
206
123
160
147
202
206
148
138
54
46
85
24
108
72
88
29
24
85
97
225
187
193
212
238
206
314
251
295
249
173
76
103
101
82
60
90
16
44
21
48
108
403
371
341
418
361
366
461
453
501
397
311
72
90
110
56
99
94
29
34
12
77
118
360
410
427
394
427
409
252
340
368
375
371
26
71
90
57
90
70
1
14
35
44
37
MIAMI FLORIDA 7-6 34 32 27
MIAMI OHIO
0-11 10 125 36
MICHIGAN
8-5 32 45 27
MICHIGAN ST
13-1 29 64 13
MIDDLE TENN
6-7 29 64 26
MINNESOTA
5-8 26 79 22
MISSISSIPPI
10-3 30 55 24
MISSISSIPPI ST
8-5 28 71 23
MISSOURI
9-5 39 14 23
NAVY
7-6 34 32 24
64
108
64
3
57
19
36
28
28
36
160
102
124
174
198
195
191
190
235
327
72
116
106
58
32
38
42
43
16
2
266
124
249
212
208
148
283
244
250
86
31
122
48
82
87
118
24
55
46
125
426
226
373
386
406
343
474
434
485
413
48
125
87
82
70
108
23
43
17
60
427
484
371
252
403
373
372
349
411
394
90
115
37
1
64
42
41
18
72
57
ITS PTF RNK PTA RNK OFR RNK
OFP
RNK OYD RNK DYD RNK DFP RNK DFR RNK
TEAM
4-8
8-6
3-9
8-6
11-2
1-11
6-6
8-4
1-11
13-1
7-6
8-5
4-8
2-10
6-7
3-9
6-6
12-1
10-3
10-4
7-6
5-7
33
21
21
34
22
19
35
36
42
26
20
37
104
104
32
102
113
26
23
7
79
110
10-4
7-6
9-4
10-3
8-4
12-1
7-6
8-4
7-6
1-11
RNK
97
45
73
37
104
37
45
9
79
73
2013 NFL STAT RANKINGS
TEAM
OFP
RNK OYD RNK DYD RNK DFP RNK DFR RN
ARIZONA
ATLANTA
BALTIMORE
BUFFALO
CAROLINA
CHICAGO
CINCINNATI
CLEVELAND
12-4
7-9
5-11
8-8
9-8
9-7
12-5
11-5
24
22
20
21
22
28
26
19
14
19
24
22
19
2
8
27
20
28
22
24
16
30
20
25
4
27
11
14
2
30
4
22
96
78
83
144
124
114
110
86
24
32
29
2
12
15
18
28
250
265
224
194
193
268
263
254
13
5
19
28
29
4
6
9
346
343
307
338
317
382
373
340
14
16
29
20
26
7
9
18
317 6 233 13
380 26 244 18
335 11 230 12
333 8 204 4
302 3 213 6
397 30 235 14
306 4 204 4
333 8 222 8
84
136
105
129
89
162
102
111
1
31
10
26
3
32
8
16
MIAMI
MINNESOTA
NEW ENGLAND
NEW ORLEANS
NY GIANTS
NY JETS
OAKLAND
PHILADELPHIA
4-12
5-11
9-9
15-3
6-10
7-9
7-9
8-9
20
24
28
25
18
18
20
27
24
14
2
10
28
28
24
5
21
30
21
20
24
24
28
24
7
30
7
4
14
14
27
14
90
130
131
98
83
135
125
155
26
9
8
23
29
5
11
1
224
214
252
305
225
185
209
253
19
24
12
2
18
31
25
10
314
344
383
403
308
320
334
408
27
15
6
3
28
25
22
2
360
398
383
301
334
335
364
396
20
31
27
2
10
11
21
29
235
287
254
188
225
247
256
287
14
30
26
2
10
22
27
30
125
111
129
113
109
88
108
109
24
16
26
20
12
2
11
12
DALLAS
DENVER
DETROIT
GREEN BAY
HOUSTON
INDIANAPOLIS
JACKSONVILLE
KANSAS CITY
8-8
15-4
10-6
11-6
9-7
9-9
2-14
5-12
27
35
25
26
17
25
15
28
5
1
10
8
31
10
32
2
27
25
24
27
27
24
28
21
24
22
14
24
24
14
27
7
94
113
112
133
109
106
79
130
25
16
17
7
20
21
31
9
248
334
280
261
241
250
218
218
15
1
3
7
16
13
22
22
342
447
392
394
350
356
297
348
17
1
5
4
12
11
31
13
416
348
347
373
319
371
383
378
129
99
100
127
122
133
132
119
26
5
6
25
23
30
29
22
PITTSBURGH
ST. LOUIS
SAN DIEGO
S FRANCISCO
SEATTLE
TAMPA BAY
TENNESSEE
WASHINGTON
7-9
4-11
11-7
8-10
12-6
3-13
9-6
8-8
24
22
24
25
27
18
23
21
14
19
14
10
5
28
18
22
23
23
21
17
14
24
24
30
12
12
7
3
1
14
14
30
87
110
123
140
137
101
118
134
27
18
13
3
4
22
14
6
253
196
259
186
197
176
219
235
10
27
8
30
26
32
21
17
340
306
382
326
334
277
337
369
18
30
7
24
22
32
21
10
338
347
370
315
285
348
339
355
13
15
22
5
1
17
14
19
222
244
261
218
184
238
227
244
8
18
29
7
1
16
11
18
116
103
109
97
101
110
112
111
21
9
12
4
7
15
19
16
32
17
15
24
7
23
27
25
287
249
247
246
197
238
251
259
30
24
22
21
3
16
25
28
ITS PTF RNK PTA RNK OFR RNK
PLEASE NOTE: The COLLEGE AND NFL STAT RANKINGS shown on this page and individual game / team STAT LOGS are
updated weekly throughout the season in the PLAYBOOK MIDWEEK ALERT Football Newsletter. Call 1.800.752.9266 now to subscribe!
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2014 NFL PRESEASON
OVER / UNDERS
by Victor King • King Creole Sports
W
elcome back Totals players! Our favorite time of the year is once
again upon us. You’ll notice that just like in last season’s issue #1 of the
Playbook, we like talking ‘TOTALS’. And there are a handful of Over / Under
situations in which we can indeed turn a profit on… even in the NFL exhibition
season. The games might not count for the players and coaches (in terms of wins
and losses)… but they certainly DO for the bettors! We start with the best Home
and Road OVER + UNDER teams in the last few seasons. After that, we take a
look at individual team OU tendencies broken down by Game Number. We then
conclude with some of the more noticeable OU patterns in regards to preseason
series histories. I think we’ve got it all ‘covered’…
On the next page, we’ve got something for the Fantasy ‘Ballers’. Check out King
Creole’s NFL Fantasy Football ‘cheat sheet’ for your upcoming draft. I put 32
years of fantasy football experience to the test!
1) BEST Home and Road OVER and UNDER teams
Best Home ‘OVER’ teams – Over the last four seasons, the best OVER team
at home has been the DENVER BRONCOS. They’ve gone 7-1 O/U (88% Overs) at
Sports Authority Field. Average OU line: 38.5. Average total points: 46.8. The average
Bronco home game has gone OVER by +8.3 points. Right behind them at the #2 spot
is the DETROIT LIONS. In the same 4-year time frame, the Lions have gone 6-1-1
O/U (86% Overs)… and the average toal points in those games has been a very high
(for preseason) 49.0. Last year, both Lion home games went OVER (43 and 49 points
respectively). Taking our database query a little farther back in the past, we find the
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS and NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS. Both teams have gone
11-4 O/U at home (73% Overs) since the 2006 season. Jacksonville home games
have averaged 42.1 PPG in this time frame. New England ‘homies’ have averaged
43.9 ppg in that same 8-year stretch. And both of their home games went OVER last
season (47.0 ppg). Honorable mention: HOUSTON: 5-1-1 O/U last 4 years (42.0)…
BALTIMORE: 5-1 O/U last 3 years (54.0!)… CLEVELAND: 4-1-1 O/U last 3 years (43.8).
Best Home ‘UNDER’ teams – The first team is one in which you NEVER want
to go ‘Over the Total’ when they are playing at home. That would be the MIAMI
DOLPHINS. In the last six seasons, Miami has gone UNDER the Total 83% of the
time in their preseason home games (2-10 O/U). Average combined points: just 27.9
ppg. The average Dolphin home game has gone UNDER by more than a touchdown
(-7.8 ppg). I’m sure that the heat and humidity in the month of August down here in
South Florida has a lot to do with those consistent low-scoring results. Next up is the
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS. In their home games, Kansas City has gone 6-17-3 O/U (74%
Unders) over the last 13 seasons. When the OU line in these Chief home games has
been greater than (>) 34 points, the results improve to 3-15-3 O/U, with an average of
30.8 combined PPG. But exercise caution. The worm might be turning as three of their
last four home games went OVER the Total in the last two seasons. Our third solid
UNDER team at home is the PITTSBURGH STEELERS. Their home games have gone
8-19-1 O/U (70% Unders) since the 2000 season. When favored at home by more
than a field goal (-3.5 or higher), these Steeler games have gone 2-11 O/U… with an
average of just 28.2 combined PPG. Honorable mention: WASHINGTON: 7-17 O/U
in the last 12 seasons (1-6 O/U when the OU line is > 38 points).
Best Road ‘OVER’ teams – In the last five seasons, the best road ‘OVER’ team
has been the OAKLAND RAIDERS. Their road games have averaged 44.8 total PPG
in the same time span, and the games have gone 9-1 O/U (90% Overs). That’s a ‘total
reversal’ (pun intended) from 2000-2007, when Raider road games went 3-13 O/U.
Also on a more recent note, we can’t overlook the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES. They’ve
gone a perfect 5-0-1 O/U in the last three seasons when playing on the preseason
road (47.1 combined PPG). Going back a little further, the numbers for Philly are still
consistently strong at 18-9-2 O/U (67% Overs) since the 1999 season. Last season,
Eagle ‘roadies’ had 55 and 47 total points scored. Our third strong ‘OVER’ team on
the preseason road is the HOUSTON TEXANS. They’ve gone 16-5-1 O/U (79% Overs)
in their road games over the last 11 seasons. Average total PPG in those games was
42.6. In the last two seasons, the Texans have gone 3-1 O/U. We’ll see if those highscoring results continue this year with a new Head Coach (Bill O’Brien) at the helm.
Honorable mention: ARIZONA: 5-1 O/U L3Y (44.3)… NEW ORLEANS: 7-2-1 O/U
L5Y (43.5)… NY JETS: 9-3 O/U L6Y… CHICAGO: 10-4 O/U L4Y.
Best Road ‘UNDER’ teams – We start our fourth query into the Playbook NFL
preseason database with the NEW YORK GIANTS. In the last 10 seasons, Giant road
games have averaged just 34.5 total PPG… and have gone 5-14 O/U (74% Unders).
If you remove the New England Patriots from the Giants’ preseason schedule, the
results improve to 2-12 O/U versus any other team (86% Unders). Next up, when it
comes to low-scoring road games… the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS jump right out.
The Niners have gone 8-17 O/U (68% Unders) on the preseason road since the 2001
season. Right behind them is the BALTIMORE RAVENS. They’ve gone UNDER the
Total 65% of the time over the last 13 seasons, with a record of 9-17-1 O/U. But at
one point, these numbers were actually 5-17-1 O/U. The Ravens have gone a perfect
4-0 O/U the last two years on the road, so the ‘automatic-UNDER’ wager for Baltimore
roadies has passed its prime. Honorable mention: CAROLINA: 2-6 O/U L4Y (33.0).
2) PRESEASON Week-by-Week OU TEAM TENDENCIES
Week One (OU record and average PPG)
St. Louis: 6-0 O/U (42.5)… Houston: 4-0 O/U (37.5)… Indianapolis: 4-0 O/U
(50.5)… Seattle: 4-0 O/U (41.0)… Cleveland: 3-0-1 O/U (44.3)… Atlanta: 8-1 O/U
(45.2)… Chicago 8-1 O/U (38.4)… NY Jets: 6-1 O/U (40.4)… New England: 4-1
O/U 43.6)… Philadelphia: 4-1 O/U (45.2).
Pittsburgh: 1-8 O/U (27.6)… New Orleans: 1-7 O/U (31.9)… San Francisco: 1-6 O/U
(29.6)… Kansas City 1-4 O/U (31.0)… Green Bay: 3-10 O/U (26.0)… Tampa Bay:
2-6 O/U (30.1)… Arizona: 3-8 O/U (29.5)… Baltimore: 3-7 O/U (31.8)… Buffalo:
3-7 O/U (32.0).
Week Two
Chicago: 4-0 O/U (57.0)… Cincinnati: 4-0 O/U (45.0)… New England: 4-0 O/U
(43.3)… Green Bay: 7-1 O/U (46.4)… Seattle: 7-1 O/U (46.4)… Tampa Bay: 6-1 O/U
942.4)… Houston: 6-1-1 O/U (47.4)… Denver: 4-1 O/U 941.8)… Jacksonville: 4-1
O/U (45.8)…Oakland: 4-1 O/U (43.2)… New Orleans: 4-1-1 O/U 945.0).
San Francisco: 0-4 O/U (25.5)… Washington: 1-6 O/U (32.7)… Minnesota: 1-4 O/U
(33.6)… Carolina: 1-3 O/U (26.2)… Tennessee: 1-3 O/U (37.5)… San Diego: 2-4
O/U (33.7)… Kansas City: 4-8 O/U (29.6).
Week Three
Denver: 6-0 O/U (49.2)… New Orleans: 5-0 O/U (54.8)… Oakland: 5-0 O/U (55.0)…
Pittsburgh: 4-0 O/U (48.0)… Baltimore: 3-0 O/U (63.7!)… Jacksonville: 3-0 O/U
(62.3!)… San Francisco: 3-0-1 O/U (47.5)… New England: 5-1 O/U (47.8)…
Buffalo: 4-1 O/U (51.2).
Miami: 1-5 O/U (27.0)… NY Giants: 2-9 O/U (31.1)… Tampa Bay: 1-4 O/U (33.8)…
Dallas: 1-4 O/U (32.2)… NY Jets: 2-8 O/U (29.8)… Kansas City: 2-7-1 O/U (35.8)…
Chicago: 1-3 O/U (36.8)… Cincinnati: 103 O/U (37.5)… Cleveland: 2-4-1 O/U (39.3).
Week Four
NY Jets: 6-0 O/U (45.5)… Philadelphia: 6-0 O/U (43.8)… New Orleans: 4-0 O/U
(49.5)… St. Louis: 4-0 O/U (45.5)… Minnesota: 4-1 O/U (49.6)… Tampa Bay: 4O/U (43.2)…Baltimore: 3-1 O/U (42.3)… Buffalo: 3-1 O/U (47.8)… Detroit: 3-1 O/U
(47.8)… Green Bay: 6-2 O/U (39.8).
Cincinnati: 0-3 O/U (34.7)… Indianapolis: 0-3 O/U (34.7)… Oakland: 0-3 O/U
(25.0)… Seattle: 0-3 O/U (25.0)… Atlanta: 1-6 O/U (27.0)… Carolina: 1-6-1 O/U
(32.0)… Pittsburgh: 1-4 O/U (34.2)… Dallas: 1-3 O/U (33.8)… New England: 1-3
O/U (32.2)… NY Giants: 1-3 O/U (32.3).
3) PRESEASON Series History OU PATTERNS
Denver vs Seattle (8/7): 4-0 O/U (43.3)
Jacksonville vs Tampa Bay (8/8): 5-1 O/U (42.2)
Green Bay vs Tennessee (8/9): 4-0 O/U (46.0)
New England vs Philadelphia (8/15): 4-0 O/U (48.3)
Miami vs Tampa Bay (8/16): 0-6 O/U (24.3)
Denver vs San Francisco (8/17): 1-3 O/U (33.0)
Carolina vs New England (8/22): 1-3 O/U (31.2)
NY Giants vs NY Jets (8/22): 3-10 O/U (32.5)
Philadelphia vs Pittsburgh (8/22): 6-2 O/U (41.0)
Dallas vs Miami (8/23): 3-1 O/U (39.8)
Baltimore vs Washington (8/23): 1-4 O/U (32.3)
Atlanta vs Jacksonville (8/28): 1-3 O/U (31.0 combined PPG)
Buffalo vs Detroit (8/28): 3-1 O/U (47.8)
Carolina vs Pittsburgh (8/28): 1-6-1 O/U (32.0)
Cincinnati vs Indianapolis (8/28): 0-3 O/U (34.7)
New England vs NY Giants (8/28): 1-3 O/U (32.2)
NY Jets vs Philadelphia (8/28): 6-0 O/U (43.8)
Oakland vs Seattle (8/28): 0-3 O/U (25.0)
Tampa Bay vs Washington (8/28): 3-1 O/U (44.5)
65% ATS (32-17-2) in OVER / UNDER Plays last year! That was the documented
record for the Playbook TOTALS TIPSHEET authored by Victor King. The Tipsheet
is the ONLY weekly publication in the entire country devoted entirely to NFL Over /
Under wagering. Every week in the regular season, the Totals Tipsheet will keep you
posted with six pages of OU content for sharp Totals Players, including 3 OU BEST
BETS in every newsletter. It’s delivered to your email address EVERY Tuesday evening
throughout the season. 17 issues are yours for the full-season price of just $99.00.
Call the Playbook office to grab your seat on King Creole’s 2014 ‘Totals Train’!
page 12 • www.PLAYBOOK.com • 1.800.PLAYBOOK
KING CREOLE’S 2014 projected full-season Fantasy Football CHEAT SHEET (separated by ‘tiers’)
QUARTERBACKS
T1) Aaron Rodgers
Drew Brees
Peyton Manning
Matt Stafford
Andrew Luck
T2) Robert Griffin III
Matt Ryan
Nick Foles
Tom Brady
Tony Romo
Colin Kaepernick
Jay Cutler
Russell Wilson
T3) Cam Newton
Ben Roethlisberger
Philip Rivers
Andy Dalton
Eli Manning
Ryan Tannehill
Carson Palmer
Joe Flacco
Josh McCown
Alex Smith
EJ Manuel
T4) Sam Bradford
Jake Locker
Johnny Manziel
Chad Henne
Ryan Fitzpatrick
Geno Smith
Matt Schaub
Matt Cassel
T5) Teddy Bridgewater
Michael Vick
Brian Hoyer
Derek Carr
Blake Bortles
Zach Mettenberger
Tom Savage
Kirk Cousins
Mike Glennon
Shaun Hill
RUNNING BACKS
T1) Jamaal Charles
LeSean McCoy
Adrian Peterson
Matt Forte
Eddie Lacy
Montee Ball
T2) Le’Veon Bell
DeMarco Murray
Marshawn Lynch
Arian Foster
Alfred Morris
Gio Bernard
Doug Martin
Andre Ellington
C.J. Spiller
Reggie Bush
T3) Shane Vareen
Trent Richardson
Zac Stacy
Toby Gerhart
Ryan Matthews
Rashad Jennings
Pierre Thomas
Bishop Sankey
Chris Johnson
Ben Tate
Joique Bell
Ray Rice
Frank Gore
T4) Steven Ridley
Steven Jackson
Fred Jackson
Knowshon Moreno
Danny Woodhead
Darren Sproles
Maurice Jones-Drew
DeAngelo Williams
T5) Bernard Pierce
Jeremy Hill
Lamar Miller
Darren McFadden
Devonta Freeman
Khiry Robinson
Jonathan Dwyer
T6) Terrance West
Mark Ingram
Chris Ivory
Christine Michael
Shonn Greene
Charles Sims
Jonathan Stewart
LaGarrett Blount
Knile Davis
WIDE RECEIVERS
T1) Demaryius Thomas
Calvin Johnson
Dez Bryant
AJ Green
Brandon Marshall
Julio Jones
T2) Jordy Nelson
Antonio Brown
Pierre Garcon
Randall Cobb
Keenan Allen
Alshon Jeffrey
Vincent Jackson
Roddy White
Victor Cruz
Larry Fitzgerald
Michael Floyd
T3) Wes Welker
Percy Harvin
Jeremy Maclin
Andre Johnson
Marques Colston
Mike Wallace
Michael Crabtree
Cordarrelle Patterson
Julian Edelman
DeSean Jackson
T.Y. Hilton
T4) Reggie Wayne
Emmanuel Sanders
Eric Decker
Kendall Wright
Golden Tate
Torrey Smith
Terrance Williams
Dwayne Bowe
Brandin Cooks
Mike Evans
T5) Cecil Shorts
Sammy Watkins
Greg Jennings
Tavon Austin
Marvin Jones
DeAndre Hopkins
James Jones
Hakeem Nicks
Kenny Stills
T6) Kelvin Benjamin
Brian Hartline
Anquan Boldin
Rueben Randle
Jordan Matthews
Kenny Britt
Kyle Rudolph
Jordan Reed
Martellus Bennett
Dennis Pitta
KICKERS
T3) Zach Ertz
Heath Miller
Delanie Walker
Charles Clay
Eric Ebron
Antonio Gates
T1) Phil Dawson
Stephen Gostkowski
Steven Hauschka
Matt Prater
Justin Tucker
Mason Crosby
Dan Bailey
T4) Jared Cook
Coby Fleener
Ladarius Green
Tyler Eifert
Travis Kelce
Marcedes Lewis
Jace Amaro
T2) Robbie Gould
Nick Novak
Matt Bryant
Adam Vinatieri
Blair Walsh
Nick Folk
Greg Zuerlein
Dan Carpenter
Shaun Suisham
TIGHT ENDS
T1) Jimmy Graham
Julius Thomas
Rob Gronkowski
T2) Jordan Cameron
Vernon Davis
Greg Olsen
Jason Witten
DEFENSES
T1) Seattle
St. Louis
Denver
Cleveland
T2) New England
Tampa Bay
Cincinnati
Arizona
Carolina
San Francisco
Kansas City
Baltimore
Green Bay
T3) Buffalo
New Orleans
Chicago
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2014 COLLEGE AND
NFL TOP 10 ATS TEAMS
by Marc Lawrence
“Money, so they say,
is the root of all evil today.
But if you ask for a raise, it’s no surprise
that they’re giving none away.”
B
efore anyone reaches the 2014 College Football
Championship Game and the Super Bowl, let’s
take a look at my list of teams that appear to be
on the brink of becoming ATS moneymakers in the
season ahead. It’s important to note that this is a
listing of potential moneymakers for the upcoming
season, not necessarily teams that the public will
fancy. All teams are listed in alphabetical order.
Remember, as Pink Floyd put it, “Money, it’s a gas.
Grab that cash with both hands and make a stash.
New car, caviar, four-star daydream. Think I’ll buy
me a football team.”
NCAA’S 2014 TOP ATS TEAMS
FLORIDA – The Gators become the epitome of
a ‘Mission Team’ in 2014 after suffering their first
losing season since 1979 last year. And talk about a
coach on the hot seat – Will Muschamp’s posterior
is smoldering. UF’s 34-2 SU mark during the first
four games of the season the last nine years fits like
a glove next to its 29-7 SU and 20-12-1 ATS mark
the last three times the Gators managed 7 or fewer
wins the previous year. The chomp is back!
INDIANA – The Hoosiers return to our Top 10 list
this season. An added year of experience to what was
the nation’s youngest team in 2012 – along with 17
returning starters – makes this team a must-watch
squad in 2014. An explosive offense that managed
42 strikes of 30 or more yards last season is led by
electrifying RB Tevin Coleman (7.3 YPR), an OL that
features six players each with a dozen or more starts,
and a pair of seasoned QB’s. If new DC Brian Knorr
does his job, the Hoosiers will be bowl-bound in 2014.
LA-LAFAYETTE – Despite winning nine games
and three bowls for the third year in a row last
season, the under-the-radar Cajuns were just 4-8
ATS. Behind 15 returning starters, look for a reversal
of fortune in 2014. HC Mark Hudspeth is the next
unknown coach headed to a big-time program.
After going 44-8 in his final four years at Northern
Alabama, he has lifted La-La to new heights and
now owns a 71-11 record over the last seven years.
An experienced OL, a senior all-conference QB, depth
at the skill positions, and an easier schedule gives
them a realistic shot at a double-digit win campaign.
Don’t bet against them.
NORTHWESTERN – The Pat Fitzgerald Project
was derailed last season when, after a 4-0 start,
the Wildcats suffered a cruel last-second loss to
Ohio State and then proceeded to drop six straight
games – including a string of four in a row decided
by either a field goal or less or overtime. It snapped
a 5-year bowl skein in the process; thus, 18 starters
are back with a vengeance. With the Buckeyes and
defending champ MSU nowhere to be found 2014,
and the Cats eager to even the score in 2014, look
for Fitz to improve on his recent 5-1 ATS mark in Big
10 revenge tilts with a handful of payback games.
TULSA – With the face of college football ever
changing due to conference expansion, each year a
‘new kid on the block’ moves into the neighborhood
and catches resident foes with their pants down.
Utah State transitioned quite well into the MWC last
season. Missouri proved worthy of moving to the SEC
in 2012, while Nebraska fit nicely into the Big 10 in
2011. This year look for Tulsa to take to the AAC like
peanut butter to jelly. Bill Blankenship’s Hurricane
suffered a black eye in 2013, and they’ve averaged 9
wins a season the last three times following a losing
effort the year before. With over 80% of its lettermen
back, including 10 starters on defense, Tulsa’s move
to a new conference is a ‘mission’ they’ll accept.
LET’S KEEP AN EYE ON:
MARSHALL – If Louisville was last year’s schedulefriendly choice to run the table and appear in a BCS
bowl game, the Herd fit the bill this season. Aside
from dressing up as favorites in every game they
will play in 2014, Marshall has out-recruited every
team in the C-USA with more than FORTY 3-and-4
star recruits dotting the roster! Behind a high-octane
offense led by dynamic QB Rakeem Cato, there’s a
new Marshall in town this year… MISSISSIPPI
STATE – There’s nothing worse than a Bulldog with
bite and Dan Mullen’s bullies look to sink their teeth
into anyone who crosses their path this season. This
is a squad loaded with experience second-to-none
in the SEC. A fantastic finish last year capped an
effort in which they held four foes to season-low
yards. Look for Bully to be a browbeater in 2014…
OREGON – If you’re like Paul Bunyan and don’t
mind chopping wood, the Ducks should be your kind
of team. Not only do they return a plethora of starters
from one of the nation’s most potent offenses, they’re
one of three college teams who improved their stats
on both sides of the ball, yet regressed both SU and
ATS. It’s T-I-M-B-E-R for foes crossing paths with their
mighty axe this season… TCU – Facing a daunting
schedule with its first six home games versus winning
foes, TCU enters a ‘mission’ season’ following last
year’s 4-win effort with one task at hand: improving
an offense that has regressed each of the past
three seasons. And HC Gary Patterson is anxious to
accept the challenge. With the pieces in place, and 8
starters back on defense, there should be no croaking
about a re-focused effort from the Frogs in 2014…
TOLEDO – The Rockets return a huge portion of last
year’s two-deep players, including 16 starters, six of
whom were all-MAC performers. To top it off, despite
winning 7 games last season, they missed out on a
bowl for the first time in four years. Behind an offense
loaded in the trenches and a defense welcoming back
9 starters, expect a direct flight to the lanes this year.
NFL’S 2014 TOP ATS TEAMS
ATLANTA – As Blood, Sweat and Tears put it best,
“What Goes Up, Must Come Down.” To that tune we
offer the sequel, “What Goes Down Must Come Up.”
If it sounds like a ‘spinning wheel’ it is. After enjoying
the fruits of five consecutive winning seasons behind
QB Matt Ryan and head coach Mike Smith, the Falcons
were shot down by the injury bug in 2013. However, with
seven losses by 7 or fewer points, coupled with terrific
offseason acquisitions and the return to health of the
walking wounded, this ‘mission team’ appears headed
back in the right direction in 2014.
BALTIMORE – Call this the follow-up to the
Falcons’ sequel above. After five straight doubledigit winning seasons under head coach John
Harbaugh and QB Joe Flacco, the Ravens flew south
for the winter for the first time behind the ‘dynamic
duo’ in 2013. Close-call losses (five by 6 or less
points; average defeat 3.2 PPG) set the table when
the offense – no thanks to the worst ground attack
in the loop – went into early hibernation, slipping 57
YPG. Through it all, the defense held firm, improving
31 YPG. The Black Birds’ 5-1 SU mark in their last six
with the NFC South is a strong steppingstone.
CLEVELAND – New head coach Mike Pettine was
an excellent hire for this floundering franchise. It was
he who masterminded the Jets’ initial ascent to the
AFC title game with a defensive scheme for which
Rex Ryan got all the credit. If you think otherwise,
check Buffalo’s defensive improvement under his
lead last season. Not only is the franchise abuzz with
Johnny Football aboard, it’s important to remember
the Browns were the only team in the NFL last year
who improved their numbers on both sides of the
ball, yet declined SU and ATS. And that is almost
always a recipe for success the following year.
HOUSTON – The enigma of all enigmas for
statistical cappers, the Texans are back with a new
look, and awash with confidence, after suffering NINE
losses by a touchdown or less last season. It’s not
often – perhaps NEVER – that an NFL team outyards
its foes 29 YPG while winning only two games. New
HC Bill O’Brien supplies the self-belief while the
team hit a grand slam in the draft. A defensive wall
(J.J. Watt, Jadaveon Clowney, et al) that will keep
offensive linemen awake at night, along with the
return of stud LB Brian Cushing, cements the stopunit. If offensive mastermind O’Brien’s acumen is as
good as promised, this team could be playoff bound
in 2014.
NY GIANTS – A disastrous 0-6 start, compounded
with a career-worst 27 interceptions and 69.4 QB
Rating by Pro Bowl QB Eli Manning, was too much
for Tom Coughlin’s club to overcome. As a result,
the Giants missed the playoffs for a second straight
season while losing backers’ money for the second
year in a row, too. Despite it all, the G-Men improved
their stop-unit 50 YPG. For what it’s worth, Coughlin
has suffered only three non-winning years with New
York. His troops bounced back to go 11-6, 14-6 and
10-6 the following seasons, posting an overall log of
35-18 SU and 31-21-1 ATS.
LET’S KEEP AN EYE ON:
GREEN BAY – If Eli Manning is on a mission this
season, so is Aaron Rodgers. After suffering his first
non-winning season as a starter with the Packers
last year, Rodgers will be hell-bent on revenge
after watching his team go 2-4-1 with him on the
sidelines in 2013. With all-world LB Clay Matthews
finally healthy, look for the Pack to be back this
year… NEW ENGLAND – The Hoodie was at
his best while playing handcuffed last season. The
shackles come off this year with the return of star
TE Rob Gronkowski, along with a healthy Vince
Wilfork and LB Jerod Mayo – plus the addition of
Darrelle Revis to the secondary. Anything short of
a Super Bowl appearance will be a bummer for this
perennial win-machine… PITTSBURGH – Like the
Giants last year, the Steelers fell into an early hole
and couldn’t get out. A pair of .500 seasons serves
as the motivation, especially with 11 of their 16
losses coming by a TD or less. With Big Ben a stout
14-5 ATS as a dog with revenge in his NFL career,
we’ll be on the take with the Black-and-Gold this
year… TENNESSEE – Six losses by 8 of points or
less last year sealed the fate of HC Mike Munchak.
Thus, Ken Whisenhunt now roams the sidelines in
Nashville. Whisenhunt’s 19-5 ATS mark as an NFL
boss in games against foes off DD wins figures to
enhance their pointspread ledger this campaign…
WASHINGTON – After winning just three games
last year – following a 10-victory debut with RGIII
in 2012 – the Hogs sure look tempting as a mission
team this season. But they’re not – although some
insist they assumed the missionary position too
many times last year. That’s what turning the ball
over 34 times looked like to Redskins fans. Even
so, Washington suffered seven loses by 8 or fewer
points last year. With Robert Griffin finally healthy,
look for an improvement in division play this year. ♦
There you have it, our ATS Top 10 list of College and
NFL teams for 2014. Start the music and let the games
begin. Good luck this season! Marc Lawrence
Let me know your thoughts or opinion on this article
– Tweet me: @MarcLawrence
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2014 NFL PRESEASON SCHEDULE
HALL OF FAME WEEKEND
SUNDAY, AUGUST 3
8:00 PM
8:00 PM (Canton, OH)
NBC
WEEK ONE
THURSDAY, AUGUST 7
251 INDIANAPOLIS
7:00 PM
252 NY JETS
253 NEW ENGLAND
7:30 PM
254 WASHINGTON
255 SAN FRANCISCO
7:30 PM
256 BALTIMORE
257 CINCINNATI
8:00 PM
258 KANSAS CITY
259 SEATTLE
9:00 PM
260 DENVER 261 DALLAS
10:00 PM
262 SAN DIEGO
FRIDAY, AUGUST 8
263 MIAMI
7:00 PM
274 MINNESOTA
SATURDAY, AUGUST 9
7:30 PM
7:30 PM
269 NEW ORLEANS
8:00 PM
102 JACKSONVILLE
419 BUFFALO
261 CHICAGO
103 DETROIT
279 GREEN BAY
423 ATLANTA
104 BUFFALO
SATURDAY, AUGUST 23
105 INDIANAPOLIS
7:00 PM
106 CINCINNATI
107 ST. LOUIS
263 TAMPA BAY
7:00 PM
4:30 PM
8:00 PM
280 TENNESSEE
424 HOUSTON
264 BUFFALO
108 MIAMI
281 HOUSTON
425 ARIZONA
265 DALLAS
109 NY JETS
8:30 PM
282 ARIZONA
426 MINNESOTA
WEEK TWO
THURSDAY, AUGUST 14
401 JACKSONVILLE
8:00 PM
402 CHICAGO
ESPN
FRIDAY, AUGUST 15
403 PHILADELPHIA
7:30 PM
404 NEW ENGLAND
405 TENNESSEE
8:00 PM
406 NEW ORLEANS
407 DETROIT
10:00 PM
10:00 PM
410 SEATTLE
SATURDAY, AUGUST 16
411 GREEN BAY
4:00 PM
SUNDAY, AUGUST 17
427 DENVER
4:00 PM
110 PHILADELPHIA
267 TENNESSEE
111 KANSAS CITY
7:00 PM
7:00 PM
268 ATLANTA
112 GREEN BAY
269 WASHINGTON
113 NEW ENGLAND
7:30 PM
7:30 PM
270 BALTIMORE
114 NY GIANTS
429 KANSAS CITY
271 NEW ORLEANS
8:00 PM
CBS
272 INDIANAPOLIS
115 WASHINGTON
273 MINNESOTA
117 CAROLINA
8:00 PM
430 CAROLINA
FOX
MONDAY, AUGUST 18
431 CLEVELAND
8:00 PM
ESPN
432 WASHINGTON
WEEK THREE
THURSDAY, AUGUST 21
251 PITTSBURGH
7:30 PM
252 PHILADELPHIA
FRIDAY, AUGUST 22
253 JACKSONVILLE
7:30 PM
271 PHILADELPHIA
413 NY GIANTS
255 CAROLINA
414 INDIANAPOLIS
266 MIAMI
428 S FRANCISCO 254 DETROIT
7:00 PM
7:00 PM
7:00 PM
8:30 PM
412 ST. LOUIS
272 CHICAGO
7:00 PM
10:00 PM
262 SEATTLE
7:30 PM
422 TAMPA BAY
270 ST. LOUIS
8:00 PM
7:00 PM
260 GREEN BAY CBS
7:30 PM
8:00 PM
101 ATLANTA
8:00 PM
418 CINCINNATI
421 MIAMI
409 SAN DIEGO
268 JACKSONVILLE
259 OAKLAND
7:00 PM
278 NY GIANTS
265 BUFFALO
267 TAMPA BY
417 NY JETS
277 PITTSBURGH
408 OAKLAND
266 CAROLINA
258 NY JETS
420 PITTSBURGH
7:30 PM
THURSDAY, AUGUST 28
7:30 PM
416 DALLAS
276 DETROIT
264 ATLANTA
7:30 PM
257 NY GIANTS
7:00 PM
275 CLEVELAND
241 NY GIANTS
242 BUFFALO
415 BALTIMORE
273 OAKLAND
All times Eastern Daylight Time.
Dates and times may change.
7:30 PM
256 NEW ENGLAND
7:30 PM
116 TAMPA BAY
8:00 PM
7:30 PM
274 KANSAS CITY
118 PITTSBURGH
275 ST. LOUIS 119 MINNESOTA
276 CLEVELAND
120 TENNESSEE
277 HOUSTON
121 SAN FRANCISCO
8:00 PM
8:00 PM
8:00 PM
9:00 PM
122 HOUSTON
278 DENVER
SUNDAY, AUGUST 24
279 SAN DIEGO
4:00 PM
FOX
280 SAN FRANCISCO
281 CINCINNATI
8:00 PM
124 CLEVELAND
125 BALTIMORE
8:00 PM
126 NEW ORLEANS
127 DENVER
8:00 PM
282 ARIZONA
123 CHICAGO
8:00 PM
NBC
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1.714.228.6272
WEEK FOUR
128 DALLAS
129 SEATTLE
10:00 PM
130 OAKLAND
131 ARIZONA
10:00 PM
132 SAN DIEGO
NOTE: Issue #2 of the 2014 PLAYBOOK Football Newsletter will be available for download or internet delivery Tuesday, August 26th after 6:00 PM ET.
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