Reliance
Transcription
Reliance
The Integrated PET Player B Arun Reliance Industries Limited 1 Contents India: An Emerging Economic Super Power Reliance: Largest Indian Private Company Reliance a preferred supplier in Russia 2 India: A Glimpse India Population 1050 Mn Middle Class ~310 Mn Teenagers 150 Mn Urban Workers 120 Mn Million plus Cities 23 Small Retailers 2.3 Mn GDP US $ 730 bn Growth % 8 PPP US $ 2863 bn (4th) Land of opportunities 3 India’s Glory Even though the world has just discovered it, the India growth story is not new. It has been going on for 25 years old What is the India story? 4 India Story Aaverage Annual GDP growth Average Annual population growth Literacy Middle Class 1950 – 1980 3.5 2.2 52 8 1980 – 2002 6.0 2.0 65 22 2002 – 2006 8.0 1.5 80 32 - % Rising GDP growth Population growth is slowing Increase in Literacy level Exploding Middle class India is now the 4th largest economy And it will cross Japan between 2012 and 2014 to become the 3rd largest 5 India: Knowledge Capital • Young & skilled manpower • Largest number of Engineers • 200,000 Scientific professionals & 300,000 Engineers added every year • R&D base for 100 of Fortune 500 companies • 1300 R&D units, 244 Universities, 200 National Laboratories • Cost of 1 Engineer in US = 11 Engineers in India India Provides an Opportunity as R & D Hub 6 Growth Drivers India Domestic Services Consumption High tech, capital intensive industry East and S.E. Asia Exports Manufacturing Investment Low tech, labour intensive industry - India’s success is market led whereas China’s is state induced. - The entrepreneur is at centre of the Indian model 7 Reliance – India’s Proxy • • • • Revenues of US$ 20 billion Cash Profit of US$ 3 billion Net Profit of US$ 2 billion 98% of revenues from Refining and Petrochemicals, 2% from E&P & others India and Reliance • Revenues equivalent to 2.8% of India’s GDP • 8.2% of India’s total exports, ~ US$ 8 billion • Contributing 8% India’s indirect taxes • 4.7% of the total market capitalization, 11.5% weightage in Sensex What’s good for India is good for Reliance 8 Value Added Reliance – Vertical Integration Polymers Textiles 1970s Fibers 1980s Fiber Intermediates Olefins Chemicals 1990s Aromatics Petroleum Refining 2000s Oil & Gas E & P Backward vertical integration has been the cornerstone 9 Delta - Naphtha to PX $/MT 1000 Threshold Delta PX Delta 800 600 400 200 Q 3 '0 6 '0 6 1 Q Q 3 '0 5 '0 5 Q 1 '0 4 Q 3 '0 4 1 Q Q 3 '0 3 '0 3 1 Q Q 3 '0 2 '0 2 1 Q 3 Q Q 1 '0 1 '0 1 0 Delta based on South East Asian prices 2 out of 24 quarters below threshold 10 Delta - PX to PTA $/MT 500 Threshold Delta PTA Delta 400 300 200 100 Q 3 '0 6 Q 1 '0 5 Q 3 '0 5 Q 1 '0 4 Q 3 '0 4 Q 1 '0 3 Q 3 '0 3 Q 1 '0 2 Q 3 '0 2 Q 1 '0 1 Q 3 '0 1 1 Q '0 6 0 Delta based on South East Asian prices 6 out of 24 quarters below threshold 11 Delta - PTA/MEG to PET $/MT 500 Threshold Delta PET Delta 400 300 200 100 Q 3 '0 6 '0 6 1 Q Q 3 '0 5 '0 5 1 Q Q 3 '0 4 '0 4 Q 1 '0 3 3 Q Q 1 '0 3 '0 2 Q 3 '0 2 1 Q 3 Q Q 1 '0 1 '0 1 0 Delta based on South East Asian prices 7 out of 24 quarters below threshold 12 Delta - Naphtha to PET $/MT 800 Threshold Delta 700 Naphtha - PET Delta 600 500 400 300 200 100 '0 6 3 '0 6 Q 1 Q Q 3 '0 5 '0 5 Q 1 '0 4 Q 3 '0 4 1 Q Q 3 '0 3 '0 3 Q 1 '0 2 Q 3 '0 2 1 Q Q 3 '0 1 '0 1 1 Q 3 Q Q 1 '0 0 '0 0 0 Delta based on South East Asian prices The last man standing will be an integrated player Competitive Advantage from Integration ! 13 Domestic Leadership & Global Rankings Leading Market Shares in India Polyester 55% Fibre Intermediates 78% Polymers 65% Refining 28% Dominant market share in India Leading Global Position 1 Polyester (Fibre & Yarn) 3 Paraxylene 3 Refining (1) 5 Purified Terephthalic Acid 6 MEG 7 Polypropylene Amongst top 10 global players in all its core businesses Leading domestic market shares and global positions 14 Reliance Growth Plan • Committed to investing US$ 25 billion in core businesses • Investing in the building of a high potential, high growth retail initiative • Committed to creating value by building world class assets • Management team expects to create significant value on successful implementation of each of these initiatives Growth is life at Reliance 15 Polyester Production: Changing Trends 1980 2000 2006 KTA Producer 1035 Reliance 1700 779 Nan Ya 1080 KoSa 700 Sanfangxiang 1050 316 Teijin 698 Yizheng 945 Eastman 302 Sam Yang/SS (Huvis) 658 Yuandong 900 Rhone Poulenc 248 Hualon 575 Tuntex 885 Teijin 219 Far Eastern 604 Far Eastern 781 Toray 172 DuPont 583 Huvis 750 ICI 155 Tuntex 561 Rongsheng 650 Monsanto 146 Toray 543 Tongkun 640 Producer KTA DuPont 841 Nan Ya Celanese 605 Reliance Hoechst 395 AKZO US, EU, Japan Producer Taiwan, Korea KTA China, India RIL: Leadership in two decades 16 Growing Share of Polyester production 2001 29 Mn Tons 2005 40 Mn Tons 2010 53 Mn Tons 26% 4% 2% 39% 39% 27% 33% 5% 39% 28% 30% 28% Filament Staple PET Film Source: PCI One third of total Polyester production will be in PET 17 PET Products Product Range Aqua Grade Fast Reheat CSD Hot Fill General Purpose Applications: Beverages- Aseptic filling & Hotfill, Cosmetics, Pharmaceuticals, Sheets, Food Stuffs, Agrochemicals, Lubricants etc. The list of prestigious users of RELPET include Coca-cola, Pepsi Cola, Nestle, Danone, Cadbury, Wrigleys, Amcor, Tetrapack, Uni Levers, RC Cola, San Benedetto, Heineken…………. 18 Reliance Technology Centre • World Class R & D facility • Centre of excellence for Research and Development in polyester homo and co-polymer fibres, filaments and resins Innovative products in pipeline 19 Factors to Impact Russia PET market • Ruling of EU for Korea and Taiwan? Possible displacement of 160 KTA from EU The Outlook of Euro ( Market netback Swing) • China trade policy related to USD reserve Could topple PET export dynamic • Competitiveness of Lithuania PET plant’s in Russia ? Korea will still dominate Russian PET market 20 Reliance Russia Logistic reach – India Iran Russia Treaty North South Corridor- Open up logistic solutions – Western Ports-Better shipping performance – Leveraging China Warehouse through Transsiberian Railways, conventional route ,MPS Containers Map Map 21 The North South Corridor route Back The Quicker Cheaper route- Multimodal challenge 22 Russia- Reach through China Warehouse From Reliance Shanghai Back 23 India Russia ties • Diamond Jubilee celebration of Indo Russian Diplomatic ties in Apr-07 •Indo Russian Economic relationship are at Cross roads • Glorious strategic partnership in the past with the larger scope of Cooperation in future in political, scientific, trade, economics and defense. • Indo Russian trade US$ 2.5 bn excluding arms • It’s time for India-Russia CECA (Comprehensive Economic Cooperation Agreement) “Strategic partnership should be cultivated like a garden” Sergei Lunev, Doctor of History Win win scenario for India & Russia 24 Summary Why India? • A democratic country with huge resource of young, intelligent and dynamic workforce. Why Reliance? • The largest private sector company of India. • Vertical Integration. • World Scale Assets. • Globally Competitive. • Among world leaders in all its core businesses 25 Thank You 26