market share
Transcription
market share
2012 Statements contained in this presentation may contain information that is forward-looking and reflects management's current view and estimates of future economic circumstances, industry conditions, company performance, and financial results. Any statements, expectations, capabilities, plans and assumptions contained in this presentations that do not describe historical facts, such as statements regarding the declarations or payment of dividends, the directions of future operations, the implementation of principal operating and financing strategies and capital expenditure plans, the factors or trends affecting financial condition, liquidity or results of operations are forward-looking statements and involve a number of risks and uncertainties. There is no guarantee that these results will actually occur. The statements are based on many assumptions and factors, including general economic and market conditions, industry conditions, and operating factors. Any changes in such assumptions or factors could cause actual results to differ materially from current expectations. Ambev Overview Brazil deep dive 3 Where we operate: 13 countries through 4 business units… CANADA Market Leader in Canada EBITDA Margin 10 - 41.1% 6 plants HILA EX Long-term strategy Growth potential 5 plants LAS Market Leader in Argentina, Bolivia, Paraguay and Uruguay 2nd player in Chile EBITDA Margin 10 – 45.7% 25 plants … and we have a world EBITDA Margin benchmark 4 Sources: Company data, Nielsen, Bloomberg BRAZIL Market Leader in Brazil EBITDA Margin 10 – 49.9% 2nd player Soft Drinks and Nanc business EBITDA Margin 10 – 47.8% 37 plants 2010 consolidated figures: Sales Volumes – 165.1 mm Hl EBITDA – R$ 11.7 billion EBITDA Margin – 46.4% Market cap – BRL 179.4 billion (USD 104.1 billion) @09-Feb-12 Regional breakdown: although majority of our results come from Brazil… … we have relevant profitability contributions from Canada and LAS 5 Sources: Company data Our portfolio is comprised of 4 “Billion Dollar” brands… # 4 brand in the world (volume) # 7 brand in the world (volume) # 14 brand in the world (volume) ... and other local jewels 6 Sources: Plato 2010 How we have grown over time: a mix of nonorganic growth… LAN LAS CANADA 7 + Brahma Ambev Quinsa Hila-Ex Canada 1989 1999 2002 2003 2004 … organic growth and operational leverage 8 Sources: Company data Brazil business The largest market with ~1 million points of sale 68.9% Beer Market Share and 18.1% Soft Drinks Market Share (9M 2011) Very fragmented market: Distribution is key (~1 million points of sale, visited in avg. 1.5 x a week) Beer mostly consumed in on-premise outlets which represent ~65% of volume - Main presentation: 600 ml returnable glass bottles Supermarkets accounts for approx. 35% of volume - Main presentation is 350 ml aluminum cans Different realities within the same country - Beer preference / Per Capita / Population 75 Distribution Centers (>60% volume) 174 Third Party Distributors 37 Plants ~28,000 employees 9 Sources: Nielsen, Company data Strong operation in Latin America South A more premium market Beer and CSD&NANC business Bolivia Beer market (mm Hl): 3.7 Avg per capita (liters): 36.1 Market Share: 97.0% (3Q11) Paraguay Beer market (mm Hl): 2.7 Avg per capita (liters): 38.4 Market Share: 96.1% (3Q11) Market Consumption: > 80% off premise & > 90% returnable presentations More than 70% distributed through independent distributors Market growth based on premium, specialties and innovation ~7,000 employees Uruguay Beer market (mm Hl): 0.9 Avg per capita (liters): 26.4 Market Share: 97.3% (3Q11) 24 plants USD CAGR 24,8% LAS EBITDA 45,9% 45,7% 43,5% 998 Argentina Beer market (mm Hl): 17.9 Avg per capita (liters): 44.0 Market Share: 76.6% (3Q11) Chile Beer market (mm Hl): 6.5 Avg per capita (liters): 38.3 Market Share: 17.1% (3Q11) 10 Source: Plato 2010, Company estimates, Nielsen 40,4% 40,2% 40,3% 803 871 37,8% 32,6% 288 212 2003 2004 384 2005 475 2006 EBITDA (USD MM) 552 2007 2008 2009 EBITDA MARGIN 2010 Highly profitable operation in Canada A more mature market Number one beer producer in Canada (40.7% Market Share in 3Q11) Nearly 58% of volume of the market consumed in Ontario & Quebec Highly regulated market (minimum prices) Each province is governed by different regulatory and ownership of distribution and retail systems High contribution margin: 7% of Ambev volume and 13% of total EBITDA ~3,000 employees 6 plants Labatt’s EBITDA (CAD MM) 846 872 869 2008 2009 881 779 725 622 2004 11 2005 2006 2007 2010 What we believe in: Dream-People-Culture platform DREAM To be the best beverage company in a better world Targets and results Social Responsibility PEOPLE Competitive Advantage Compensation Leadership development Career development Training CULTURE Consistency Principles Meritocracy 12 Ownership Long term commitment Candor Ambev Overview Brazil deep dive 13 Brazil Deep Dive Market overview 2009-2011 – results and learnings 2012 and beyond 14 Market Overview Brazil Beer market is ranked #3 and has grown faster than global average... World Beer Market Country 16 Volume (M Hl) 5y CAGR China 450 8,1% USA 244 0,2% Brazil 126 6,2% Russia 97 2,1% World 1851 3,2% Sources: Plato 2010 We have a leadership position in the Brazilian Beer market... 2011 9M Average Share of Value 2011 9M Average Market Share 73.5% 68.9% 10.9% 9.4% 10.3% 8.9% 8.4% 6.9% 1.5% 1.2% 32.7% 2011 9M Market Share per Brand 19.3% 15.7% 17 Sources: Nielsen 9.6% 7.2% 4.6% And this leadership translates into a profitable beer business 2011 9M -0.2% 18 Source: Company data 2011 9M +12.7% 2011 9M +150bps Our soft drinks business also shows a track record of profitable growth 2011 9M +40bps 2011 9M +0.8% 19 Sources: Company data, Nielsen 2011 9M +5.6% 2009-2011 – Results and Learnings 2009-2011 – New and “Old” Initiatives: creating options for the future Productivity Commercial Strategy • Cost/HI below inflation • Sales force Execution • Negative Working Capital • Liquid & Packaging Innovation • Sports Platform • Brand Health • NENO & RGB strategies Relationship Relationship • Industry • Governments • Antitrust • NGO’s 21 Commercial Strategy 2009-2011 Innovation Pipeline 1L Rollout Brahma Fresh Rollout 1L Rollout 300ml RGB 300ml RGB 473 ml Sleek Skol can 360 Brahma Fresh LN Brahma Copaço 1L RGB 1L Rollout Stella Bohemia Artois 1L Oaken Sub Zero Budweiser Bohemia Swiss Draft Original 300ml 22 Commercial Strategy – Focus on sports platform Strong Sports Agenda over the next years Copa America (Argentina) 2011 Olympics (London)/ World Cup Qualifying 2012 Confed Cup (Brazil) World Cup (Brazil) Copa America (Brazil) Olympics (Brazil) 2013 2014 2015 2016 Ambev Assets Opportunity Size 12% 13% 25% of total beer amount sold in Brazil are related to sports occasions Media Pack Globo TV 5 Players + National Coach 23 Source: Company data FIFA CBF Engenhão Stadium RJ America’s Cup 26 local Teams Relationship Social Environmental Legacy Cyan Initiative Legal Drinking Responsible way to use water LDA POC program Industry Governments Antitrust NGO´s Brahma at Community Infrastructure, professional training, culture and legal drinking to communities through soccer NGO programs Association with NGOs Ambev Recycling +ID LDA drinking program 24 Recycling platform in stadiums 2012 and beyond 2012: How to achieve our results OFF Trade ON Trade Premium Reach short-term economic results sustaining market share and brand-equity positions 26 Maintain balance and Influence trends to keep results sustainable in the long term Where we are going to beyond 2012... 27 Premium Beer Huge gap against other developed countries and below word index % Weight in Overall Premium 28 Sources: Nielsen and Plato Opportunity to develop Core Plus with an International Renowned Brand Argentina Case: delivering growth in the premium segment # 1 international beer < 5 years after launch Market Share Ratio – Heineken:Stella 100% Stella Artois market share in 2011 ~6% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 2004 2005 2006 Heineken 29 2007 2008 Stella Artois Note: Market share figures are based upon each brand’s contribution (in Hl) to the overall market volume. 2009 2010 Where we are going to beyond 2012... 30 Per capita increase driven by income growth 2011E 31 Source: Plato 2011E Per capita consumption by Region 29,8 48,7 64,8 80,4 74,9 65,4 Brazil 2010 Helped by minimum wage and social programs, Northeast and North regions beer market volume have grown ahead of other regions... 32 Source: LCA, Plato, Internal data and calculation ... but still are underdeveloped when compared to other regions in Brazil... Wrapping up: we believe we have the people and the plans in place… Continue to focus on innovations (new news and rollouts) Lead the way in growing premium Keep investing in the fastest growing regions in the country (NENO) Maintain brand equity momentum Execute our pack price strategy … so it’s time to focus on execution Q&A