Bay colt by FASTNET ROCK out of FESTIVAL PRINCESS

Bay colt by FASTNET ROCK out of FESTIVAL PRINCESS foaled 6-­‐Sep-­‐2014 13,95
0 Per 5
$
% share
* * Share Price includes all costs to 31-­‐Mar-­‐2016 and insurance to 26-­‐Jan-­‐2017. To be trained by David Hayes and Tom Dabernig Please review the Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) that is available on request, before considering this investment. By extraordinary sire FASTNET ROCK, out of a Group 3 placed grand-­‐
daughter of SADLER’S WELLS. The same cross as FIRST SEAL. This colt hails from the famed FANFRELUCHE family, and was raised in New Zealand, the source of 26% of the Group 1 winners in Australia this season. •  By Australia’s Champion Sire in 2011/12 and again in 2014/15, FASTNET ROCK. •  FASTNET ROCK is already the sire of 91 individual stakes winners including 23 Group 1 winners. His progeny have earned in excess of $92 million prize money. •  With 18 stakes-­‐winners in the 2015/16 season alone (so far), FASTNET ROCK is proving year in and year out, that he is Australia’s premier sire. •  Out of FESTIVAL PRINCESS, a winner and mulaple stakes-­‐
placed horse in Ireland. •  Hails from the famed family of FANFRELUCHE, L'ENJOLEUR and CHARMED SPIRIT. •  Closely related to RANSOM O’WAR, German horse of the year and champion 3yo in 2003. •  Bred on the FASTNET ROCK / SADLER’S WELLS cross as seven stakes-­‐winners including FIRST SEAL, MAGICOOL and QUALIFY. •  Eligible for the BOBS Bonus S c h e m e i n N S W , a t t h e discreaon of owners. Danzig ...........................
Razyana.........................
Royal Academy (USA) ....
Gatana...........................
(DAM)
Sadler's Wells .................
FESTIVAL PRINCESS Barathea ........................ Brocade .........................
(IRE) ...........................
Darshaan .......................
2005
Uliana ............................ Sombreffe ......................
(SIRE)
Danehill (USA) ................
FASTNET ROCK ..........
Piccadilly Circus ..............
by Northern Dancer ...
by His Majesty ...............
by Nijinsky .....................
by Marauding (NZ).........
by Northern Dancer ...
by Habitat......................
by Shirley Heights ..........
by Polish Precedent........
FASTNET ROCK (AUS) (Bay 2001-Stud 2005). 6 wins to 1200m, VRC
Lightning S., Gr.1. Champion Aust. Sire twice. Sire of 1075 rnrs, 717 wnrs, 90
SW, inc. Super Cool (VRC Australian Cup, Gr.1), Atlantic Jewel, Sea Siren,
Planet Rock, Mosheen, Fascinating Rock, Driefontein, Amicus, First Seal,
Atlante, Foxwedge, Lone Rock, Heroic Valour, Diamondsandrubies, Qualify,
Magicool, Nechita, Rock 'n' Pop, Irish Lights, Wanted, Your Song, etc.
1st Dam
Festival Princess (Ire), by Barathea. Winner at 1m, 2d Naas Blue Wind S.,
Gr 3, 3d Curragh Dance Design S., Gr 3, Leopardstown Nijinsky S., L,
Curragh Loder 2YO S., 4th Leopardstown Glencairn S., L, Gowran Hurry
Harriet S., L. This is her third living foal. Dam of 2 to race, both winnersBishop Rock (c by Fastnet Rock) Winner at 1600m in 2015-16, 2d Taranaki
RC Waterfront Hotel H.
La Festiva (f by Fastnet Rock) Winner at 1206m in 2014-15.
2nd Dam
ULIANA, by Darshaan. Winner at 1¼m, 3d Curragh Betdaq Fillies S., Liffey S.
Half-sister to RANSOM O'WAR, Madame Cerito. Dam of 9 named foals,
8 to race, 7 winners, inc:Festival Princess (f Barathea) Winner. See above.
The Act. 6 wins to 2150m to 2015, Avenches 2000 Guinées Suisses.
Provide. 3 wins to 1600m, 2d Milan Premio Sustinente, Premio Redone.
Westlin' Winds. 6 wins 2m to 21¼f in Great Britain.
So Amazing. 3 wins-1 at 2-at 1m, 19f in Ireland and U.S.A.
Expanding Universe. 2 wins at 2m to 2015 in Great Britain and Ireland.
Guadalquivir. Winner at 1850m in 2015 in Morocco.
3rd Dam
SOMBREFFE, by Polish Precedent. Winner at 7f in Great Britain. Sister to
Sonata (dam of REGAL SOLO), three-quarter-sister to RUSSIAN BOND,
SNAADEE, Somersham, half-sister to CRISTOFORI, CROSSOVER,
Beau Monde, Somerset. Dam of 14 foals, 12 to race, 10 winners, inc:RANSOM O'WAR (c Red Ransom) Horse of the Year & Champion 3YO
in Germany in 2003 (Intermediate). 3 wins-1 at 2-to 2000m, in GB
and Germany, Munich Grosser Preis Dallmayr Bayerisches Zuchtrennen
Gr 1, Grosser Muller Brot Preis Gr 2, 2d Deutsches Derby, Gr 1, Krefeld
Preis des Gestut Wiesenhof Gr 3, 3d Cologne Mehl-Mulhens Rennen
Gr 2, 4th Baden-Baden Grosser Preis von Baden Gr 1. Sire.
Madame Cerito (f Diesis) 2 wins at 1m, 9f, Keeneland Allowance, 3d
Leopardstown Silken Glider S. L, 4th Leopardstown One Thousand
Guineas Trial, Gr 3. Producer.
Rochefort. 4 wins-1 at 2-to 1650m in Great Britain and U.A.E, Newmarket
Scottish Widows H., Jebel Ali Thoroughbred H.
Somoushe. Unraced. Dam of 5 winnersArchers Road (g Titus Livius) 4 wins-3 at 2-at 5f, Chester
Sportingbet.com H., 3d Goodwood Molecomb S..
One Word More (g Thousand Words) 3 wins-1 at 2-to 1m to 2015,
Kempton Betfred Bonus Bingo S., 2d Deauville Prix Francois Boutin, L.
4th Dam
Somfas, by What a Pleasure. 4 wins 5f to 6f, 3d Ellis Susan B Anthony S., L.
Three-quarter-sister to Lilly's Pleasure (dam of LILLYCUT), half-sister to
FANFRELUCHE (dam of L'ENJOLEUR, D'ACCORD, GRAND LUXE, LA
VOYAGEUSE, MEDAILLE D'OR), BARACHOIS, COCO LA TERREUR,
American Legacy (dam of SOMETHING SOCIAL), Silk Lilly (dam of
SILKY SWEEP). Dam of 19 foals, 15 to race, 12 winners.
PL E AS E C ONT AC T OUR BL OODS T OCK MANAGE R This Share Offer has been approved
by Racing Victoria. to register your interest and obtain a copy of the PDS . Jason Timperley | 0488 066 149 | [email protected] PDS and financial services provided
by Kinematic Thoroughbred Services
Pty Ltd AFSL: 452499
The sire and dam The sire: FASTNET ROCK The dam: FESTIVAL PRINCESS (IRE) FESTIVAL PRINCESS was a winner and mulaple stakes-­‐placed horse in Ireland. She was beaten a head in the Group 3 Naas Blue Wind Stakes (Ireland) and was also third in the Group 3 Curragh Dance Design Stakes. She is from the famed family of FANFRELUCHE, L'ENJOLEUR and CHARMED SPIRIT. ENCOSTA DE LAGO, FLYING SPUR and HOLY ROMAN EMPEROR also hail from this family. Fesaval Princess’ dam is ULIANA. She has produced seven winners from 8 runners, mostly in Europe and over distances greater than a mile. FASTNET ROCK was a Champion Sprinter who won six stakes races in his three-­‐year-­‐old season. He defeated some of the country’s best older horses in the G1 VRC Lightning Stakes (1200m) and the G1 MRC Oakleigh Plate (1100m). He was crowned Australia’s Champion Sire in 2011-­‐12 and again in 2014/15. He currently stands for a service fee officially Price on Applicaaon – reportedly more than $200,000. That makes him the highest in Australasia and almost double that of the next most expensive (REDOUTE’S CHOICE). He is already the sire of 90 individual stakes winners including 23 Group 1 winners. His progeny have earned in excess of $91 million prize money. The majority of his horses are ‘Sprinter-­‐Milers’. Some of his best progeny in this category are SEA SIREN, FOXWEDGE, WANTED, YOUR SONG, AMICUS and FIRSTS SEAL. SUPER COOL (Australian Cup 2000m), ATLANTIC JEWEL (Caulfield Stakes 2000m) and MOSHEEN (VRC Oaks 2500m) and FASCINATING ROCK (Ascot Champions Stakes 2000m) have shown the class to win elite races over further distances. He is building a reputaaon as a potenaal super-­‐sire of sires, with FOXWEDGE, WANTED, ROTHESAY, SMART MISSILE and YOUR SONG all commencing their sire careers in recent seasons. And he has more success ahead. His 17 stakes-­‐
winners in 2015/16 season alone, suggests that. RANSOM O’WAR, a half-­‐brother to ULIANA, was crowned German horse of the year and champion 3yo in 2003. Fesaval Princess is bred on the prolific winning cross of SADLER’S WELLS (via her sire BARATHEA) over DARSHANN (the sire of ULIANA). has already produced two winners from two foals to race. The damsire: BARATHEA BARATHEA was a horse of great talent. He won the Breeder’s Cup Mile in 1994 and was named European horse of the year. A son of one of the world’s greats, SADLER’S WELLS, and the giled racemare and producer of high-­‐class progeny BROCADE, BARATHEA was desaned for a successful stallion career. He is the sire of 81 individual stakes winners at an impressive rate of 6.9% of runners. His sons and daughters have won all over the world. Now, his daughters have produced a further 78 stakes-­‐winners, including 12 Group 1 winners. Despite being more of a miler himself, Barathea is passing down toughness, durability and stamina to his progeny and the progeny of his daughters. Winners such as HUNTER’S LIGHT, VOILA ICI, JAKALBERRY, SHARETA, MONTEROSSO and ARABIAN QUEEN have all excelled in the middle distance and staying categories. Pedigree Insights Relevant pedigree crosses and nicks There are very few runners by FASTNET ROCK out of mares by BARATHEA. However there are 81 runners out of grand-­‐daughters of SADLER’S WELLS (sire of BARATHEA). Seven of those are stakes-­‐winners including FIRST SEAL (G1 ATC Flight S.), QUALIFY (G1 The Oaks UK), DIAMONDSANDRUBIES (G1 Curragh Prery Polly Stakes) and MAGICOOL (G1 BRC Queensland Derby). A further six are stakes-­‐placed, to bring the stakes-­‐performers to runners rate to more than 16%. There are 15 stakes-­‐winners (6% of runners) by sons of DANEHILL (Fastnet Rock’s sire) out of mares by BARATHEA. They include the mulaple Group winner German galloper KONIGSTIGER (G1 Milan Gran Criterium, G2 Cologne Oppenheim Union Rennen), Group 2 Hong Kong winner CHARLES THE GREAT (HKJC Sprint), and the Group 3 winners SHEER TALENT (VRC CS Hayes Stakes) and KITTENS (SAJC Chairmans Stakes). FASTNET ROCK and DASRHAAN (maternal grandsire of Fesaval Princess) nick well together. There are 42 runners with both sires in their first five generaaons, and four of them are stakes-­‐winners. They include MAGICOOL , DIAMONDSANDRUBIES and TIVACI (G3 VRC CS Hayes Stakes). The G1 Goldmine Age & Distance ApZtude, and Common Similarity Index Thanks to G1 Goldmine, the below graph shows the age and distance range of all stakes-­‐winners that are bred on a similar pedigree parern as this horse. The larger the red circle, the more stakes winners in that category. Stakes-­‐winners with the closest pedigree parern (below) are mostly Milers. The Common Similarity Index (CSI) gives an indicaaon on the pedigree similarity to this horse. G1 Goldmine classes this horse’s pedigree as 20/20 A 20/20 ma@ng occurs when a paJern has two or more Stakes Winners with CSI values above 20. This indicates that this pedigree is excep@onal as there are at least two superior horses with a very similar paJern. Special thanks to our partners Kinema@c Thoroughbred Services, Arion Pedigrees and G1 Goldmine GeneZcs, Cardio and Biomechanics Matchem Performance Test
HORSE DETAILS
NAME: 2014 Festival Princess
SIRE: Fastnet Rock
DAM: Festival Princess
BROODMARE SIRE: Barathea
SEX: Male
DOB: 09/06/2014
DAYS OLD AT MEASUREMENT: 505
CLASS SCORE
77.5
DISTANCE SCORE
33.5
1200-1600
CARDIOVASCULAR
Bullseye
RELATIVE
RELATIVE
WEIGHT INDEX
LUNG VOLUME
INDEX
-0.03
This is a predictive score of
the racing class of the
horse. The Class score
considers all parameters
measured – genetic
markers, cardiovascular and
biomechanical parameters
and weighs each variable to
generate an overall score.
The score is a number from
1 to 100 with predicted elite
horses scoring 70 or above
and predicted non-elite
horses scoring 30 or below
PRECOCITY INDEX
1.08
Autumn 2YO
PROJECTED
6.80m
Class Score
Distance Score
TYPE
AVERAGE STRIDE
LENGTH
Understanding
your Report
+0.36
RELATIVE
HEIGHT INDEX
+0.44
This is a determination of a
range of performance in
terms of optimal distance.
This is determined by
genetic variations
associated with muscle fiber
type. The score is converted
into a distance range that
the horse should optimally
perform over.
GeneZcs, Cardio and Biomechanics Cardiovascular Type
This is a description of the cardiovascular
measurements of the horse as it relates to the type of
cardiovascular system that it is. Variations in wall
thickness and internal diameter can influence the
best racing pattern of the horse due to the
cardiovascular capacity to sustain pressure/speed in
racing. Horses with thicker external walls and larger
internal diameters tend to be horses that are able to
be raced on the pace in their races while those with
thinner than normal walls tend to be those that are
best ridden off the speed and are somewhat pace
sensitive. Horses that have a ‘bullseye’
cardiovascular system will be able to race effectively
with any riding style and are usually high class
racehorses.
Precocity Index
The precocity index is based on the genetic markers
and cardiovascular parameters of the horse. In
examining over 4000 racehorses with known racing
outcomes and comparing their date of birth to the
date of their first start and the date of their win with
shorter than average stride length while stayers
tend to have a longer than average stride length.
Relative Weight Index
Based on a scientific model of weight prediction
(Stanair, et al 2004) we are able to determine the
approximate weight of the horse. This weight is
then compared to all other horses in our database of
the same sex and within 30 days of the date of
measurement of the subject horse. A Standard Score
(Z-Score) is then assigned to the horse whereby if
the subject horse has the average weight of similar
horses their score is 0.00. Horses with a weight that
is one standard deviation above the average will
have a score of +1.00 and those with a weight one
standard deviation below the average will have a
score of -1.00. A distribution of Standard Scores is as
follows
Standard Score
+1.00 or greater
0.00 to +0.99
0.00 to -0.99
-1.00 or less
Elite
47%
31%
14%
8%
Non Elite
19%
22%
31%
28%
the highest prize money we have developed a
precocity index that is based on genetic and
cardiovascular parameters to predict this outcome.
Relative Lung Volume Index
This number varies from 0 (extremely precocious) to
Following a study where we measured the
10 (late maturing) with a horse of average precocity
biomechanical features of a racehorse and its
and expected to run as a spring three year old
expired air at work, we are able to create an
having a score of 5.
estimated lung volume of the horse. This lung
Projected Average Stride
volume is then compared to all other horses in our
database of the same sex and within 30 days of the
Length
date of measurement of the subject horse. A
The projected average stride length is based on
whereby if the subject horse has the average lung
biomechanical properties taken at rest. Using a high
speed (500fps) camera we captured maximal and
average stride length of 2yo’s in training and then
after measuring the same horses at rest were able to
create a prediction model that predicts average
stride length. Variation of predicted average stride
length falls between 6.5m to 8.2m with an average
stride length of 7.0m. Sprinters tend to have a
Standard Score is then assigned to the horse
volume of similar horses their score is 0.00. Horses
with an estimated lung volume that is one standard
deviation above the average will have a score of
+1.00 and those with an estimated lung volume one
standard deviation below the average will have a
score of -1.00.
Relative Height Index
GeneZcs, Cardio and Biomechanics The height of the horse is determined by a
Our model, which is based on known racing
measurement from the ground to withers. This
outcomes of some 4000 horses measured at yearling
height is then compared to all other horses in our
and two year old in training sales, uses a Random
database of the same sex and within 30 days of the
Forest machine learning method that operates by
date of measurement of the subject horse A
constructing a multitude of decision trees, thus
Standard Score is then assigned to the horse
allowing for the fact that there is more than one way
whereby if the subject horse has the average height
to be an elite racehorse, to generate a class score.
of similar horses their score is 0.00. Horses with a
The Random Forest is continually learning so as
height that is one standard deviation above the
new data is added into the database and known
average will have a score of +1.00 and those with an
racing outcomes are confirmed the model increases
estimated lung volume one standard deviation
its accuracy.
below the average will have a score of -1.00.
How it Works
What does my Distance Score
Mean?
The Matchem Performance Test is a prediction
model that is based on a combination of genetic
variations, cardiovascular and biomechanical
measurements that are weighted to predict the
racing outcome of a horse. As this model uses DNA
markers, cardiovascular parameters and
biomechanical measurements, all themselves
independent predictors of performance, the
combined model is significantly more predictive of
performance than each of these as standalone tests.
Capturing the cardiovascular and biomechanical
The distance range of the horse is generated by
looking at both DNA, cardiovascular and weight
variables to obtain the prediction of optimal
distance for the horse. While the DNA alone can
give us information as to how far a horse wants to
run, via variations found that are associated with
muscle fiber type composition, the size of the horse
and also the cardiovascular parameters of the horse
do play an important role in defining the optimal
distance of a horse.
data has a significant effect on error metrics of the
model
Method
DNA alone
DNA + Cardio
Cardio + Biomechanics
DNA/Cardio/Biomechanics
Root-Mean-SquareError (normalized)
25%
17%
20%
9%
From the above table you can see that the NRMSE
What does my Class Score
Mean?
To better understand the scores and the relative risk
for these scores, below is a matrix to explain the
observed vs. predicted ratios as of the date of the
report.
for DNA markers alone is 25%. This means that the
difference between the prediction and actual can be
as much as 25 points so a horse in our model that
we give a class score of 70 could be as low as 45 (a
moderate horse) or as high as 95 (A potential Group
Predicted
Elite
Predicted
Non Elite
Actual Elite
73.20%
True Positive Rate
26.80%
False Negative Rate
Actual Non-Elite
34.78%
False Positive Rate
65.21%
True Negative Rate
One winner). Use of cardiovascular and
biomechanical parameters along with DNA markers
Below is a chart that gives a rough equivalent of
significantly reduces the error giving a more
what the score attained by the horse should result in.
accurate prediction of potential outcome.
Please keep in mind two important factors –
depending on the test there is an error rate and
GeneZcs, Cardio and Biomechanics trainer effect. These will have a large impact on the
variance between predicted and observed outcomes.
Predicted
Score
90-100
85-90
80-85
75-80
70-75
60-70
50-60
40-50
30-40
20-30
10-20
0-10
Australia
England
North
America
Multiple G1 Winner
G1 Winner; Multiple GSW
Age only Group 2 SW; WFA G3+
Multiple Listed/G3 SW
Listed/G3 Stakes Winner
Sat Metro
Class 2
Allowance
Midweek Metro Class 3
Allowance
Provincial
Class 4
Claiming
Country
Class 5
Claiming
Country
Class 6
Maiden Claim
Placed
Unplaced
Disclaimer:
The
Matchem
Genetics
Performance Test is for the sole determination
of athletic potential in the racehorse. This is in
no way to be construed as a test of general
health or fitness, a diagnostic test, and is not a
veterinary procedure to determine any health
state in the racehorse.