Argus FMB Potash
Transcription
Argus FMB Potash
Argus FMB Potash Formerly FMB Weekly Potash Report Issue 14-31 | Thursday 31 July 2014 market summary Uralkali looks for price increase in China Uralkali has signalled its price target for 2015 supply to China, looking for a $35/t increase. This would suggest a headline price of $340/t cfr. price guide Potash fertilizer prices $/t Contract Spot MOP – fob standard bulk Vancouver fob (+$10-25) 265**-275** 270*-315* While negotiations are believed to be at an early stage - and some have not fully completed discussions over second half delivery - this is nevertheless an interesting signal to the market: not too high, not too low. NW Europe fob (+$10-25) 265** 290*-325* FSU fob (+$10-25) 260***-265** 230*-320* Jordan fob (+$10-25) 280***-285** 280*-310* Israel fob (+$10-25) 280***-285** S.E. Asia cfr (+$15-20) Elsewhere, the first of three tenders from Iran’s ASSC has closed, however it appears that an award has not yet been made. The tender was for 120,000t standard MOP - another, closing 18 August, is for 120,000t granular MOP. The final tender looks for 150,000t granular SOP and closes 13 August. India cfr 180 days (na) 280*-315* 310*-350* 322** (premium for granular MOP) MOP – cfr granular bulk Brazil cfr cash 350*-360* Europe cfr, € 285*-300* SOP – fob bulk A small tender in Nepal, for 7,500t bagged MOP, appears to have been awarded to a trader sourcing product from Laos Kaiyuan. Following from the news last week that farmers in the US were concerned about further price increases in the latter half of the year, Intrepid has stated that “it does not expect potash pricing to fluctuate meaningfully during the second half of the year... as current potash pricing provides good value to the farmer.” US Gulf fob (+$20-25) 595*-625* NW Europe fob, € (+€15-20) 420*-510* * - Indicative price ** - Estimated netback from cfr contracts in India *** - Estimated netback from cfr contracts in China granular MOP cfR bulk MOP Brazil 600 550 Highlights this week Uralkali looks for $35/t increase in 2015 China contracts 350 500 Brazil $/t Iran tenders for 240,000t MOP, 150,000t SOP... 375 325 450 300 ...but there are doubts over availability 400 Tender in Nepal settled 350 India vessel lineup 300 29-Mar-12 275 250 13-Sep-12 07-Mar-13 22-Aug-13 13-Feb-14 31-Jul-14 Brazilian import data shows significant increase Personnel news: ICL boss moves to Allana Potash; management changes at Intrepid Potash Copyright © 2014 Argus Media Ltd View the methodology used to assess potash prices at www.argusmedia.com/methodology. Your feedback is always welcome at [email protected] NW Europe Euro/t ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ MOP NW Europe hhh Argus FMB Potash Issue 14-31 | Thursday 31 July 2014 ▪ Company news: Vale’s potash output continues to decline; Compass Minerals 2Q results; Intrepid Potash’s 2Q results; Potash Ridge receives water discharge permit; Highfield Resources narrows development area; Potash West prospects in Germany; South Boulder Mines raising $1.85mn ASIA China Uralkali announced earlier this week that it would look for a 10pc price increase for supply to its contractual customers in 2015. The target is for a headline price of $340/t cfr. Evidently it is early days for negotiations, however the statement will no doubt cause ripples in the market. Further to our report last week that Qinghai Salt Lake Company had lowered its prices by RMB100-150/t, there have been suggestions that other domestic producers are doing the same. Canpotex was unwilling to comment on the public assertion by Potash Corp that Canpotex would be selling 1.2mn tonnes to Sinofert this year - which suggests a further 500,000t to be delivered in the second half. It is understood that other producers are to deliver significant tonnage in the second half, with at least a further 1.65mn tonnes believed to have been confirmed already. For all parties the price is thought to rollover. Following from last week’s report on the typhoons, it appears that port stocks of MOP largely escaped damage from both typhoons. India The tables across and on the next page show that a total of 1.7mn tonnes has been delivered, or is on its way, to Indian customers against this year’s contracts. Argus FMB assesses that approximately 3.9mn tonnes firm was agreed total. Nepal The tender announced by Agricultural Inputs Company (AICL) on 06 June for delivery of 7,500t standard MOP in 50kg bags is believed to have been awarded to a Dubaibased trader sourcing product from Laos Kaiyuan. Preliminary indications are that the prices offered were (for delivery to warehouse): The tender specifies that an average would be taken, suggesting a final price of $400.40/t delivered. India: MOP shipments so far and scheduled against 2014/15 contracts Seller/ Vessel Tonnes Loadport Disport Arr. Buyer APC IPL Ince Pacific 18,000 Aqaba Kandla 10.4 Zuari Fu Rong Song 11,700 Aqaba Goa 26.5 Zuari Fu Rong Song 15,000 Aqaba Mundra 29.5 IPL Ras Ghumays 1 27,800 Aqaba Mundra 3.6 IPL Senanur Cebi 18,000 Aqaba Kandla 29.6 KrishnIPL Aurora SB 5,000 Aqaba 27.6 patnam IPL Aurora SB 27,000 Aqaba Kakinada 2.7 Zuari Erlyne 15,000 Aqaba Goa 12.7 Zuari Erlyne 12,500 Aqaba Kandla 16.7 IPL Bulk Argentina 18,000 Aqaba Kandla 22.7 IPL Daxia 18,000 Aqaba Mundra 07.8 Zuari Rome trader 25,000 Aqaba Goa 10.8 Total APC 211,000 BPC IPL Tu Qiang 37,300 Klaipeda Kandla 12.5 IPL JS Danube 27,500 Klaipeda Gangavaram 19.5 IPL JS Danube 27,500 Klaipeda Paradip 22.5 IPL Chios Sunrise 38,499 Klaipeda Tuticorin 30.5 RCF Antaeus 35,000 Klaipeda Mumbai 19.6 IPL Lord Ali 31,824 Klaipeda Vizag 27.6 Chambal Arrilah 1 30,000 Klaipeda Kandla 30.6 IPL Rochester Castle 35,000 Klaipeda Paradip 8.7 IPL Emily Manx 37,357 Klaipeda Paradip 30.7 Cosco Jing Gang 30,000 Klaipeda Mumbai RCF 08.8 Sham Total BPC 329,980 Canpotex TCL Belnor 15,000 Vancouver Kakinada 14.5 CIL TCL PPL TCL Zuari CIL PPL TCL CIL TCL Zuari IPL TCL CIL/ Chambal/ TCL TCL Grand Pioneer Grand Pioneer Ocean Vergo Ocean Vergo Ocean Vergo Bulk Pegasus Bulk Pegasus Bulk Pegasus New Venture New Venture New Venture Turicum Turicum 28,115 17,535 35,800 20,825 21,779 23,100 15,000 18,817 37,595 15,000 15,000 33,000 19,194 Vancouver Vancouver Vancouver Vancouver Vancouver Vancouver Vancouver Vancouver Vancouver Vancouver Vancouver Vancouver Vancouver 11.6 13.6 16.6 27.6 27.6 30.6 3.7 5.7 11.7 11.7 11.7 18.7 26.7 Aris Tidis 48,500 Vancouver Kakinada Birgunj : $392.50/t Birat Nagar : $403.50/t Bhairhawa : $405.20/t Copyright © 2014 Argus Media Ltd Page 2 of 9 Kakinada Haldia Gangavaram Kakinada Kakinada Kraikal Paradip Haldia Kakinada Kakinada Kakinada Vizag Haldia Aris Tidis 20,471 Vancouver Kandla Total Canpotex 384,731 14.8 18.8 Argus FMB Potash Issue 14-31 | Thursday 31 July 2014 India: MOP shipments so far and scheduled against 2014/15 contracts Seller/ Vessel Tonnes Loadport Disport Arr. Buyer ICL/DSW IPL Federal Franklin 21,788 Eilat Mangalore 22.4 IPL Federal Franklin 22,212 Eilat Cochin 25.4 IPL Vishva Vijeta 22,819 Eilat Kandla 8.5 IPL Vishva Vijeta 22,811 Eilat Tuticorin 10.5 IPL Kong Que Song 25,000 Eilat Kandla 20.5 KrishnaIPL Star Reliance 39,270 Eilat 4.6 patnam CIL Vishva Vikas 20,030 Eilat Kakinada 19.6 IPL/RCF Matumba 37,000 Eilat Mundra 26.6 Total ICL/DSW 210,930 Uralkali Zuari Kallirol K 29,700 St. Petes Mangalore 14.4 PPL AEC Belief 20,000 St. Petes Gangavaram 5.5 PPL AEC Belief 11,819 St. Petes Paradip 9.5 IPL Cornith 30,200 St. Petes Vizag 28.5 IPL Minanur Cebi 31,940 St. Petes Vizag 7.6 Shriram Xo Lion 33,000 St. Petes Mundra 10.6 Zuari Deepak IPL IPL Shriram Chambal IPL PPL IPL Zuari Zuari MTPL/ MMTC Cyan Phoenix Andalucia African Cendane Nord Taipei African Robin Thebes Atlantic Tramp Sea Balsen Skomvaer Pontonostos Pontonostos 33,000 33,000 24,464 31,500 30,000 30,000 30,361 25,028 56,066 15,000 10,000 St. Petes St. Petes Kavakaz St. Petes St. Petes St. Petes St. Petes Ventspills Kavakaz St. Petes St. Petes Mangalore Kandla Chennai Cochin Mundra Kandla Tuticorin Paradip Kandla Kandla Mangalore 10.6 16.6 20.6 26.6 25.6 30.6 2.7 10.7 13.7 17.7 20.7 Bene 38,000 Kavakaz Gangavaram 22.7 MTPL/ MMTC Shah 31,700 Kavakaz Tuticorin 25.7 Zuari Zuari Pontonostos Pontonostos 15,000 10,000 St. Petes St. Petes Kandla Mangalore 17.7 20.7 MTPL/ MMTC MTPL/ MMTC Bene 38,000 Kavakaz Gangavaram 22.7 Shah 31,700 Kavakaz Tuticorin 25.7 IPL Alexandrit 32,999 Kavakaz Vizag 05.8 Total Uralkali 577,777 GRAND TOTAL 1,714,418 MOP SE Asia 550 MOP Vancouver 500 450 hhh 400 350 300 250 29-Mar-12 13-Sep-12 07-Mar-13 22-Aug-13 13-Feb-14 31-Jul-14 middle east Iran Iran’s ASSC has issued a slew of tenders in June and July. ▪ ▪ ▪ A tender for 120,000t (±5pc) standard MOP, which closed on 26 July A tender for 150,000t (±5pc) granular SOP, bids to be opened 13 August A tender for 120,000t (±5pc) granular MOP, bids to be opened 16 August The results of the tender for standard MOP are not yet known. Market participants suggest that it is unlikely to be awarded to FSU producers. Canpotex did not participate. The SOP tender requests five 30,000t vessels to ship during September, October and November. As reported previously, there are no suppliers believed to have sufficient SOP to supply the full amount requested by ASSC. Europe Malaysia Indonesia The markets here are relatively quiet, with little business concluded during the Islamic festival of Eid-al-Fitr. Many producers are optimistic that prices may firm slightly in the weeks to come, though it is clear that there has been business done recently within the region of $300-310/t cfr. Copyright © 2014 Argus Media Ltd standard mop cfr comparison The markets here have been thinly traded, and many participants are on holiday. Producers are still looking to move prices up €10-15/t across the markets. Page 3 of 9 Argus FMB Potash Issue 14-31 | Thursday 31 July 2014 Argus FMB Potash Sales Selection Origin Seller Buyer Destination ’000t $/t bulk Shipment FSU/Russia Uralkali BADC Bangladesh 30sMOP formula Jul FSU/Russia Uralkali n.a. Malay/Indo 50sMOP market Jul FSU/Russia Uralkali n.a. Malaysia 25sMOP market Jul FSU/Russia Uralkali n.a. Colombia sMOP c.340 cfr Jul FSU/Russia Uralkali n.a. Colombia gMOP c.350 cfr Jul FSU/Russia Uralkali n.a. Mexico gMOP 360 cfr Jul various various Petrokimia Gresik Indonesia sMOP c.310 cfr Jul-Dec Jordan APC n.a. E. Africa 2gMOP 380 cfr Jul Jordan APC n.a. E. Africa 2sMOP 360 cfr Jul various various private buyers Bangladesh 200sMOP c.330 cfr Jul-Dec Germany K+S Kali n.a. Brazil gSOP 750 cfr May/Jun FSU/Russia Uralkali big buyers Brazil gMOP 350 cfr Jun NORTH AMERICA Canada United States The market here is tight and thinly traded. Fresh import barges are not being offered to the market and are already spoken for. Most recent barges were priced at $365-370/st fob Nola. Regular deliveries of Russian and Israeli product are expected to continue as usual, with no impact on Russian imports from latest round of US sanctions. There has been no further talk of a price increase by producers after the concerns raised over the last few weeks about declining crop prices. Intrepid Potash stated in its quarterly results that it saw no need for significant fluctuations either up or down in pricing for the rest of the year. On the SOP side, Compass Minerals has suggested a price increase might be in order for US SOP customers in the latter half of the year, though the extent is not yet clear. Production suspended at Vanscoy Agrium has suspended potash production at its Vanscoy, Saskatchewan, mine, following an incident late last week which impacted the hoist in the shaft. Copyright © 2014 Argus Media Ltd The company said it is assessing the damage and possible duration of the outage and hopes for more clarity by week’s end. It is not yet clear if this might impact turnaround times for the upcoming maintenance scheduled for September. Vanscoy has been undergoing expansions with a full ramp up expected to increase production capacity to 2.8mn tonnes/ yr by 2017. Current capacity at the mine is 2.035mn t/yr. LATIN AMERICA Brazil Producers are keen to reiterate that they expect to make new sales here at the $360/t cfr level, as there is likely to be less product available in the coming months. January-June arrivals data The latest data from the syndicate show a 27pc rise in imports in the first six months of the year relative to 2013. In real terms, this is an increase of nearly 1mn tonnes. Page 4 of 9 Argus FMB Potash Issue 14-31 | Thursday 31 July 2014 SNAPSHOT - world POTASH prices/netbacks sMOP spot $270-315/t fob Vancouver gMOP spot €280-290/t cif Belgium/Netherlands sMOP spot $280-315/t fob Middle East gMOP spot $365-370/st fob barge Nola sMOP contract $305/t cfr China gMOP spot $350-360/t cfr Brazil sMOP = standard gMOP = granular t = tonne st = short ton its New Brunswick facilities - were 84pc lower; perhaps due to the lay-offs announced in December 2013. Canpotex remains the largest supplier to Brazil by volume, delivering 1.2mn t in the first half of the year - up 4pc year on year. Deliveries from Potash Corp - believed to be from Brazil: MOP arrivals Jan-June (tonnes) Supplier 2012 2013 2014 2014/2013 K+S Kali 627,622 722,449 444,200 -39% Canpotex 640,107 1,169,711 1,216,837 4% PCS 185,449 242,063 39,910 -84% 26,917 46,148 64,801 40% 852,473 1,457,922 1,321,548 -9% Mosaic Canada total Cleveland - 29,155 - -100% 47,919 26,402 98,938 275% 343,565 222,912 221,961 -0.4% - 4,000 - -100% ICL total 391,484 324,137 385,467 19% SQM 129,676 227,781 289,030 27% - - 25,205 ∞ Iberpotash DSW Rotem Ameropa BPC/Uralkali 1,157,355 905,854 1,109,987 23% Keytrade - - 25,000 ∞ Uralkali - - 954,954 ∞ Indagro - - 81,339 ∞ 1,157,355 905,854 2,171,485 140% 3,158,610 3,638,143 4,611,730 27% FSU total TOTAL The significant change has been in the proportion of deliveries arriving from Belaruskali and Uralkali. In times past, when the two companies coordinated exports through BPC, FSU deliveries averaged 35pc of the total. In the first half of this year, FSU deliveries of 2.17mn t were 47pc of the total. BPC delivered 1.1mn t and Uralkali delivered 955,000t. It is understood that one factor in the steadiness of Brazilian pricing over the last few months has been the competition for market share between producers. Brazil MOP imports 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 — Syndicate 0.0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2014 Source: Syndicate (NB Uralkali split from BPC mid-2013) Copyright © 2014 Argus Media Ltd sMOP spot $310-350/t cfr S.E. Asia Page 5 of 9 2013 5 yr average Argus FMB Potash Issue 14-31 | Thursday 31 July 2014 Deliveries from ICL were 19pc higher, totalling 385,000t in the first half. Approximately a quarter of this is recorded as being delivered from ICL’s Spanish facilities, up 275pc from last year. GRANULAR mop cfr BRAZIL MOP Brazil 600 550 SQM delivered 289,000t to Brazil in the first half, up 27pc from 2013. 500 Personnel News 450 UK Ethiopia 400 ICL boss moves to Allana Potash hhh 350 Mr Phil Baines, currently managing director of Cleveland Potash, has been appointed project manager of Allana Potash effective 1 September 2014. 300 29-Mar-12 13-Sep-12 07-Mar-13 22-Aug-13 13-Feb-14 31-Jul-14 US Intrepid Potash president stepping down David Honeyfield, currently president and chief financial officer of Intrepid Potash, is resigning effective 29 August. His position will be filled by Robert Jornayvaz III, currently executive chairman (and largest shareholder). Mr Honeyfield became president - and responsible for the day-to-day running of the company - in May 2010, taking over from Mr Jornayvaz who moved to focus on longer-term matters for Intrepid. Mr Jornayvaz returns to the position he held for the decade after the company’s creation in 2000. He commented, “I thank Dave for his outstanding execution of Intrepid’s strategy during a period of great change. We have built a stronger Intrepid through the capital investment stage Dave oversaw. In returning to the CEO role, I have as my top priorities continued focus on operating and optimizing our new assets, further development of our long-term growth strategy, and maximizing our margin and cash flow generation opportunities on every ton of product we sell.” Join us for the Argus Autumn Party Thursday 11 September 2014 The Roof Gardens, 99 Kensington High Street, London W8 5SA (Entrance on Derry Street) from 6.30pm Entrance is by barcoded invitation only - RSVP to receive your confirmation and code RSVP: Shan Murad Tel: +44 (0) 20 7780 4200 Email: [email protected] Copyright © 2014 Argus Media Ltd Page 6 of 9 Argus FMB Potash Issue 14-31 | Thursday 31 July 2014 Company News contract with MOP producers (the company uses MOP to top-up its pond-based feedstock). Brazil Vale’s potash output continues to decline Intrepid Potash’s 2Q results Production statistics released by Vale show that potash output from Taquari-Vassouras, located in Sergipe state, totalled 96,000t in the second quarter 2014, down 15pc from 2013. The total production in the first half was 206,000t, down 12pc from 2013 due to declining grades and maintenance stoppages. Intrepid posted a profit of $5.6mn on sales of $111mn for the second quarter. Sales revenue was 20pc higher than the same quarter of 2013, however profits were halved because of reduced potash prices. The Taquari-Vassouras mine is nearing the end of its working life. It is the only significant potash production site in Brazil, and at current rates of depletion will be exhausted in 2018. Vale is in the earliest stages of development for a new Brazilian solution mine, also in Sergipe state, project-named Carnalita, as well as its Kronau project in Saskatchewan. The company is seeking joint venture partners before proceeding with development; as with some of the other majors the company notes that it has not decided whether or not it will proceed with development (though does not expect to make a decision until 2015 at the earliest). US Compass Minerals 2Q results The Utah-based SOP producer, Compass Minerals, posted a loss of $700,000 on sales of $187mn for the second quarter. The loss is attributed to expenses of $7mn resulting from early redemption of debt in June. Plant nutrition sales totalled $66mn in the second quarter, up nearly 50pc from 2013. High demand from customers for SOP, combined with the acquisition of Wolf Trax are said to be the key factors here. Wolf Trax products sell at a premium to SOP, and the increase in the average sale price - up $32/t from 2013 to $670/t - reflects this. The average selling price for SOP products was in line with 2013 levels roughly $638/t. The company expects plant nutrition product sales will reach 175,000t to 185,000t in the second half of 2014, and the blended average selling price for these products is expected to be between $725-750/t. Much of this rather significant average price increase is expected to come from increased sales of Wolf Trax products, though the company did forecast some “price lifts” for SOP customers. Potash sales totalled 235,000t, up 28pc from 2013. The average price achieved was $363/t. Production totalled 190,000t - up 4pc from 2013. As with other north American producers, Intrepid has focussed on warehousing product close to consumers to quickly respond to demand. Sales of Trio, its langbeinite product, totalled 62,000t in the second quarter, up from 35,000t in 2013. Production of Trio slowed, totalling 43,000t in the second quarter against 50,000t the previous year. The emphasis on Trio sales has shifted to the US, where Intrepid makes greater netbacks. It should also be noted that PCS Sales handles the sale of Trio outside of the US and Canada. The company’s HB Solar solution mine is expected to be see final commissioning work in the second half of 2014. So far this year 31,000t has been produced from the mine, and Intrepid expects to produce 50,000-100,000t from the mine over the full year. In response to the sentiment expressed by many at a recent industry conference, Intrepid states that “it does not expect potash pricing to fluctuate meaningfully during the second half of the year in response to current corn and soybean pricing as current potash pricing provides good value to the farmer.” Like its customers, it seems Intrepid is not looking for a significant price increase this year. Potash Ridge receives water discharge permit Potash Ridge Corporation has announced that the Utah Division of Water Quality (UDWQ) issued the Ground Water Discharge Permit for the company’s Blawn Mountain SOP project. The company’s capacity expansion at Ogden is not expected to see material results until the second half of 2015. On 17 June, 2014 the Corporation announced that UDWQ had issued a Public Notice of Intent to Issue Ground Water Discharge Permit. This initiated a 30-day public comment period that ended on July 16, 2014. No comments or objections were received during this period. As such, UDWQ has issued the final Permit to Potash Ridge. The receipt of the Permit represents another major permitting milestone for the Project. In reply to a question asked on the earnings call, the company stated that it would consider a long-term supply The next step (and final permitting stage) is an air permit. However, the company is low on cash and is seeking funds Copyright © 2014 Argus Media Ltd Page 7 of 9 Argus FMB Potash Issue 14-31 | Thursday 31 July 2014 for the project’s feasibility study and other working capital requirements. Nevertheless, Potash Ridge rightly notes that supply in the SOP market is currently very tight and that there is room for a new entrant into the market. Spain Highfield Resources narrows development area Highfield Resources has divided its Javier Potash Project in Spain into the shallow Muga and the deeper, higher grade Vipasca potash projects. The focus will be on developing the relatively shallow sylvinite mineralisation at Muga as its initial mine target with construction targeted to begin in 2015. Highfield’s Muga, Vipasca, Pintano and Sierra del Perdón potash projects are located in the Ebro potash producing basin in Northern Spain. The company has received commitments totalling $32 million for its June share placement. It expects to carry out an Extraordinary General Meeting on 16 September 2014 to approve the second tranche of this placement. Argus FMB is expanding its London-based fertilizer editorial team We are looking for bright, confident and determined individuals with an inquisitive mind to join our fastgrowing London team. You will be responsible for reporting on deals and price movements, while also contributing to our expanding range of fertilizer publications. Our weekly price reports and analysis are widely respected around the world. Argus FMB provides essential information to the global fertilizer market through our editorial teams based in London, Beijing, Singapore, Moscow, Houston and Brazil. This is an excellent opportunity for someone looking to build a career and a reputation in the economically and politically influential sector of global fertilizers. You will apply and develop your skills across daily news reporting, market analysis and report writing to the highest standards of journalistic independence and integrity. We provide training and opportunities to travel. You will join a well-established, knowledgeable and highly respected team. Potash West - an Australian junior - has acquired a 25pc stake in a joint-venture company in Germany for $100,000. The JV company - East Exploration - is seeking licenses to prospect for potash in the south Harz region of Thuringia state. The partners in the joint venture are not known at this time. You will be a graduate with an understanding of numbers and the ability to write. You will need to be sufficiently confident to handle a variety of contacts with firmness, tact and diplomacy, and you will learn to share market information with trusted contacts as you build and maintain relationships with them. You will be expected to grow into a role where you will provide analysis and insight reflecting your deepening understanding of the market. Potash West can acquire further 25pc stake in East Exploration by funding the application and analysis of historical exploration data for a further $200,000; a further 5pc, and thus majority, stake can subsequently be acquired for a further $50,000. If you are interested in joining a dynamic and fast-growing publishing company then please send a covering letter and your CV to Gemma Crozier, HR Manager at: gemma. [email protected]. Or call 44 207 780 4344. Deadline for application: Monday 1 September 2014. Germany Potash West prospects in Germany The regions targeted by East Exploration are roughly 55km each from K+S’ production sites around Werra. Potash West’s more advanced project, in Australia’s Dandagaran Trough, has ore containing phosphate rock and glauconite; the company initially intended to exploit the glauconite to produce various products, including the SOP and SOPM but refocussed on the phosphate element in 2013. Copyright © 2014 Argus Media Ltd Eritrea South Boulder Mines raising $1.85mn Through a placement of 10mn shares at a price of $0.185/ share to a Hong Kong-based investor, South Boulder is looking to raise $1.85mn. The investor, Kam Lung Investment Development Company, will pay a 13pc premium to the previous 30 day volume weighted average price. Perhaps more importantly, Kam Lung will be working towards securing an offtake agreement for SOP produced from the Colluli project. Page 8 of 9 Argus FMB Potash Issue 14-31 | Thursday 31 July 2014 Kam Lung will also receive 8mn options, exercisable at $0.35/share, subject to success in securing an offtake agreement. This must be done within 6 months of completion of the pre-feasibility study, currently scheduled for 2015. Potash freight Loading Destination Vancouver Red Sea China WC India Rate ($/t) Low/High Tonnage 60-65 25-30 18 22 20 24 South Boulder Mines Managing Director, Paul Donaldson said “we are pleased to have Kam Lung Investment Development Company as part of our register as a significant shareholder. They have expressed a strong desire to support the success of the project and as part of that commitment are now helping the Colluli Mining Share Company (CMSC) secure offtake arrangements for potassium sulphate produced from the resource. Kam Lung Investments is a subsidiary of Hong Kong and Shanghai Hotels, understood to be controlled by the Kadoorie family. Argus FMB Potash Methodology Argus FMB Europe Fertilizer 2014 Argus uses a precise and transparent methodology to assess prices in all the markets it covers. The latest version of the Argus FMB Potash Methodology can be found at: www.argusmedia.com/methodology. 15-17 October 2014 Monte Carlo, Monaco Meet and network with the industry’s senior decision makers. Secure your place, register online now. For a hard copy, please email [email protected], but please note that methodogies are updated frequently and for the latest version, you should visit the internet site. Market Reporting argusmedia.com/fertilizer-monaco Consulting Events Argus FMB Potash is published by Argus Media Ltd. Registered office Argus House, 175 St John St, London, EC1V 4LW Tel: +44 20 7780 4200 Fax: +44 870 868 4338 email: [email protected] ISSN: 2050-3598 Copyright notice Copyright © 2014 Argus Media Ltd. All rights reserved. All intellectual property rights in this publication and the information published herein are the exclusive property of Argus and/or its licensors and may only be used under licence from Argus. 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