This is Mindray Medical
Transcription
This is Mindray Medical
OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 F OOL‟ S G OL D NANJING R&D CENTER AS PORTRAYED BY MINDRAY Mindray's Nanjing Facility – photo from 5/07/13 Investor pres – pg 9 ACTUAL NANJING R&D CENTER PHOTO Photo taken by J Capital on 5/17/13 of Mindray's Nanjing Facility STRONG SELL – TARGET PRICE: $15.00 1 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Ottoman Bay Research – Disclaimer By reading this report, you agree that use of OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH‟s research is at your own risk. In no event will you hold OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH‟s or any affiliated party liable for any direct or indirect trading losses caused by any information in this report. This report is not investment advice or recommendation or solicitation to buy any securities. OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH is not registered as an investment advisor in any jurisdiction. You agree to do your own research and due diligence before making any investment decision with respect to securities covered herein. 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You should assume that OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH has and/or will file as a whistleblower with the Securities Exchange Commission. 2 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH Table of Contents I SHORT INVESTMENT THESIS II UNEXPLAINED DISCREPANCIES 13 III QUESTIONABLE ACQUISITIONS 27 IV PHANTOM CASH 42 V EARNINGS ARE OVERSTATED 49 VI IMPLAUSIBLE SHORT TERM INVESTMENT BALANCES & RETURNS 59 VII DETERIORATING BUSINESS FUNDAMENTALS 64 IX FIELD RESEARCH 88 APPENDIX 3 4 96 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH I Short Investment Thesis 4 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Short Investment Thesis Earnings Are Overstated – We believe Mindray is inflating revenues by 30% and real gross margins are in line with peer levels of 45%-50% vs. the ~60% MR claims. To compound matters, recent SEC correspondences reveal MR has lost money in its ex China businesses (55% of sales) since 2008, when it acquired Datascope‘s money losing PMD business. MR appears to manage earnings through a myriad of accounting shenanigans, including moving cash through its complex maze of offshore subsidiaries to inflate sales, margins and cover expanding losses, significantly overstating the earnings power latent in the business. Phantom Cash – We do not believe Mindray has the cash it claims. Despite what appears to be a rich balance sheet ($1bn as of 9/30/13), MR is a serial capital raiser and borrows from capital markets any time the company needs to pay out cash, much like a typical Chinese fraud. A company reporting over $1bn dollars in cash should not have to rely on debt or equity financing to fund its recurring annual dividend or a $101m acquisition. Evidence further suggests that in 2010, MR would have likely defaulted on its debt if the company had not misled investors regarding its 2010 equity offering. Short Term Investment Returns Are Implausible – We question the nature of Mindray‘s speculative, off balance sheet, level 2 ST investments. MR's ex-cash net income has grown at a 5yr CAGR of just 11% vs. a 102% CAGR for short term investments over the same period. Furthermore, MR generates well-above-average returns on its ST investments and investors cannot audit these returns due to MR‘s overtly opaque disclosures. More alarmingly, we find little evidence as to how MR accounts for the income from its ―investments‖, which can be used to inflate earnings. We question the sanctity of the reported cash & short term investment balances. A Series of Questionable Acquisitions – We believe Mindray‘s largest acquisition - Datascope - was significantly overstated. Evidence suggests Datascope was worth far less than the $208.6m in shareholder cash MR paid. To cover up the fraudulent acquisition, MR significantly stepped up the accounting value of the assets. The following year MR wrote off the entire value of the acquisition to ZERO, rendering it worthless. Along with another $408m of China long-lived assets which simply vanished from the company's financials – note MR has yet to take an impairment charge for this write-off. Furthermore, striking similarities exist with the recent purchase of Zonare Medical (acquired 7/2013), which was recently accused of ―intentional fraud‖ by HDX, a significant manufacturer and distributor (filed 11/1/2013) Dubious Accounting Reporting – We find large discrepancies and outright deception in MR's filings that we cannot reconcile. We believe Mindray Medical will restate several years of filings as a result of the issues covered. SEC Action – We have submitted our documents to the SEC for further review. We believe Mindray Medical's Board has the 5 fiduciary responsibility to form a special ―independent‖ committee to examine the discrepancies covered in this report. OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 …And The Corporate Governance + Regulatory Overhangs? Multiple regulatory overhangs SEC has had 6 correspondences with MR since FY12 FDA product investigations which have led to product recalls in the U.S. (2nd largest geography), as well as a scathing letter from the FDA in November 2012 that illuminates numerous concerning issues with the U.S. manufacturing facility Masimo (MR supplier) is suing MR for patent infringement (multiple patents) HDX Corp.(Zonare distributor) is suing Zonare Medical for ―intentional fraud‖ (filed 11/1/2013) PRC government has recently begun investigating pricing practices in the medical devices industry (they had previously focused on pharmaceuticals which led to significant fines) SEC is suing 5 of the largest accounting firms in PRC, including PWC, MR‘s auditor Abundant corporate governance issues Co-CEO and co-founder, Xu Hang abruptly resigned in 4q12. The Company‘s official statement qualifies the move saying it was done for the ―strengthening in corporate governance‖ Mindray has had 4 CFOs in 4 years ( Joyce Hsu, Ronald Ede, Jie Liu & Alex Lung) David Gibson, former President of NA and a legacy employee of Datascope (acquired in 2008), abruptly resigned at the end of 2012, along with the majority of his senior team MR fired auditor Deloitte in October 2008 without cause (same yr as questionable Datascope acquisition) and brought in PWC In September, just a month earlier, MR added recently-retired and long-time PWC partner to its Board, including a position on the auditing committee. This is highly troubling and creates potential for abuse (see page 24 for further detail) PCAOB has been unable to review Mindray‘s auditor‘s work, investors should question the sanctity of MR's financial statements Shortly before and after raising FY13 guidance in 2q13, insiders sold more shares in 5 months than in 1h13, 2012, 2011, 2010, and 2008 COMBINED (see slide 8) before substantially cutting FY13 revenue guidance in its 3q13 release (from 18% to 13%) 3 insiders control greater than 60% of voting shares as class A shares only possess one vote vs. five for B shares MR has a poison pill and staggered board with 3-year terms (pages 21 and 22 of 2012 20-F, respectively) 6 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 But Wait – There‟s More… What does a rich FY14E consensus PE multiple of ~20x (vs. comps ~14x) valuation get you? MR is an expensive OEM-turned med-tech manufacturer that effectively copies competitor products and makes low quality goods in commoditized, replacement markets. We believe MR faces execution risk in attempting multiple initiatives simultaneously, has questionable balance sheet issues, and faces significant LT headwinds. Furthermore, investors receive a call option on fraud Mindray‟s core value category is a hypercompetitive one with significant pricing and competitive pressures Pricing competition has increased from smaller players (Edan (PMD + Ultrasound), Biolight (PMD), KHB (IVD)) reaching scale & moving upstream, and MNCs (GE, Siemens, Philips, Fujifilm, Samsung et al) shifting downstream to target Tier I+II hospitals. Our hospital checks suggest the battle between incumbents for China growth will be fought on price Slowing secular growth story in Chinese healthcare In January 2012, the Ministry of Science and Technology announced intent to create 10 R&D centers and 10-15 large medical device companies, creating further competition across hospitals tiers in China. The govt‘s focus is to make affordable healthcare for its citizens, NOT to enrich local manufacturers The Chinese government has pushed for overcapacity in certain strategic industries in the past (solar, for example) to drive down prices and enable widespread affordability Broken growth story in developed markets (55% of sales) Mature, replacement markets, controlled by group purchasing orgs. (―GPOs‖) with limited growth and margin opportunities Evidence of channel stuffing & long-term negative trends in CCC Opaque/chaotic distribution network with numerous levels results in lower gross margins than direct sales Newly added ―capital investors‖ in China are creating an extra layer in the distribution network, cutting into margins Poor expense management - SG&A continues to outpace sales growth and has done so for the last 5 years Mindray has consistently lost market share since 2009 as cited by the company's OWN investor presentations A brand slowly losing its identity with end-users as it attempts to stretch across hospital tiers for growth 7 A top-line story that hasn‟t translated into any FCF generation OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Dubious Insider Selling Shortly before and after raising guidance in 2q13, insiders sold more shares in 5 months than in 1h13, 2012, 2011, 2010, and 2008 COMBINED before substantially cutting 3q13 revenue guidance by 5% (from 18% to 13%) Note: this activity comes on the heels of MR closing its questionable Zonare acquisition. We remain skeptical of the Zonare purchase and MR‘s overall growth and management‘s share sales imply that they agree with our sentiment… Note: investors saw similar insider sales in 2009. The following year, Mindray's stock plunged -25% MINDRAY – INSIDER SHARE SALES (THOUSANDS OF SHARES SOLD) 4,271.3 1,892.5 477.3 2008 2009 290.0 305.2 3.0 2010 2011 2012 May '13 - Oct '13 MR SHARE PRICE FOLLOWING INSIDER SALES IN 2009 Mindray -25% 8 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 What's it Worth – Valuing Mindray Medical We believe fair value for Mindray Medical is $15 and investors get the call option on fraud Assuming Mindray has margins more inline with its med-tech peer group alone suggests a ~60% haircut to current prices Capital Structure Current Price ($) Shares Outstanding (mn) Equity Market Cap ($mn) Net Cash ($mn) (end of current FY) Minority Interest ($mn) Enterprise Value ($mn) $ 40.00 121 $ 4,829 $ (711) $ (1.2) $ 4,116 We believe real earnings (adjusted for fraud) for FY14 will be $1.10. Assigning a peeraligned 14x multiple gives us a price of $15.40, or 61.5% downside from current levels 9 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 7 Disclosures Investors Deserve To Know We believe it should be managements goal to be transparent about its core operations with investors 1 We believe management should disclose sales, gross margins, & operating income by segment (PMD, IVD, MIS, Other) and by major countries & regions over the last 5 years, as many of the company's peers do. Our core belief is that Mindray's margins from its core operations are far slimmer than is widely appreciated 2 We ask management to detail the asset composition of its short-term investments, and exactly where these liquid investments with maturities less than 1 year are /were being allocated to generate such impressive returns over the last 5 years (interest income consistently above 5% on ―bank deposits‖). We ask management to disclose where the company accounted for the ―income‖ produced 3 We ask management to reveal the addresses of ALL of the company's Manufacturing and ―R&D‖ facilities as any public company would willingly do – compelling evidence suggests at least one does not exist, we question whether all 18 of Mindray's manufacturing and R&D facilities exist 4 We ask management to disclose the financial statements of its shell company ―Mindray Medical International‖ as well as the undistributed earnings held by all subsidiaries and affiliates, as was done for the years 2008 and 2009. We believe this will support our view that Mindray holds significant liabilities off balance sheet and that there has been cash leakage 5 We ask management to disclose recent figures for distributor sales vs. direct sales as was done from the periods ‗09 –‘11 in MR's July 27, 2012 correspondence with the SEC. We believe this disclosure will support our view that nearly all of MR's sales growth has come from channel stuffing distributors 6 We challenge management to disclose the contributions of each of the 9 acquisitions the company has done since 2011 (p.10). We believe it is important to provide transparency on how shareholder cash is being spent, how returns have been, and allow investors to evaluate organic growth. This is a very reasonable request as many U.S. companies provide this information without investor demand 7 We ask management to disclose the organizational structure of the company over the last 5 years in a manner which is legible. Investors should be concerned that the last legible structure was produced in 2007. Recent org. charts are intentionally blurred & difficult to construe 10 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH Why The Opportunity Exists – Hope, Hype & Reality The big picture – justified optimism? Long held perception that MR is a marquee brand name in Chinese medtech and one of the best pure plays on the secular growth story in Chinese healthcare Consensus believes MR will be the logical beneficiary of perceived growing secular trends in China With a continued focus on improving its citizens‘ access to healthcare, the Chinese government is investing in improving its hospitals, especially in MR‘s core category (plans to upgrade 9,600+ county-level hospitals in China to Class 2+ hospitals in 2012-15) Belief that MR has a substantial cost advantage vs. both domestic and international peers that allows the company to maintain near-impermeable ~60% GMs despite underpricing competitors by 30-40% (company claims 10-30% under pricing) and utilizing distributors who further cut into margins vs. MNCs who have a higher mix of direct sales teams Longs have held on to the China growth story despite blatant signs of an increasingly competitive & fragmented China med-tech environment, slowing government tenders, MR's decelerating China sales growth and margin compression Rose colored glasses – DD top line growth overshadows MR's highly capital intensive / low FCF business model Assumption that MR will continue to sustain reverse economies of scale Consensus assumes roughly flat-line peak margin profile into foreseeable future Inherent complexity of MR's story/business model is high Opaque distributor channels Assets across geographies + industries Lack of open and honest management communication Belief that MR can simultaneously penetrate high & lower tier markets with little to no impact on GMs Consensus believes Zonare acquisition offers MR a runway to take advantage of secular shifts towards color & portable ultrasounds, as well as help turn around US sales growth rates 11 Management defections, 4 CFOS in 4 years, Masimo IP lawsuit, Zonare distributor lawsuit, and FDA issues not a major concern DEC - 2013 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH Mindray Today Mindray Medial (“MR”) is China‟s largest developer, manufacturer and exporter of medical devices to hospitals, health clinics & government health bureaus. MR is known as a “value” brand within the medical devices category. Mindray is the largest medical device exporter in China with ~55% of revenue generated outside of China MR's business today can be broken into 4 segments: Patient Monitoring & Life Sciences: Patient Monitoring (FY12 - 42% of sales)- mature replacement business - used to track heart rate, blood pressure, respiration, temperature Life Sciences: products include anesthesia devices, defibrillators, surgical beds, surgical lights, ventilators, syringes, and infusion pumps In-Vitro Diagnostics: (27% of sales) – instruments & reagents for the analysis of blood, urine & bodily fluid samples Reagents: offers 150+ reagents for use on diagnostic instruments. Reagents account for the vast majority of MR‘s high margin recurring consumable revenues, in direct contrast the vast majority of the rest of MR‘s business, which includes one-time sales of hardware loaded with largely undifferentiated software Medical Imaging Systems: (24% of sales) ultrasound & digital radiography systems (replace X-rays). Acquired Zonare Medical in FY13, a California maker of high-end ultrasounds Other (Non-Core): (7% of sales) - endoscopy, orthopedic products and healthcare IT solutions. Also includes warranty, shipping, and other non-product related revenue ~88% of MR‘s sales come from capital equipment and 12% from consumables and services. An OEM without meaningful high margin recurring service revenues, minimal IP, and high price competition is not deserving of a 20x multiple, nor 78% of total sales and >80% of Chinese sales go through opaque distribution channels as of 2011 (data revealed through 7/27/12 SEC correspondence) China is the largest market (43% of sales), followed by North America (16%), Latin America (11%), Europe (10%), Other Asia (5%), and the remainder in other developed and developing nations 12 DEC - 2013 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH II Unexplained Discrepancies 13 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Investors Should Review Mindray's Filings With a High Level of Skepticism We find numerous discrepancies in Mindray's reported filings and public documents which suggest that the company has intentionally attempted to deceive investors Phantom facilities We find evidence which suggests Mindray has spent millions of dollars on capex, yet at least two ―facilities‖ were actually a substantial overpayment for empty fields of grass. See next two slide for greater detail $656m in assets simply vanished Post Mindray's acquisition of Datascope, $656m in long lived assets simply vanished from Mindray's financial statements. If Mindray wrote off the assets, the company hid this impairment charge from investors as we find no record of it. As we will cover in this report we believe this impairment was related to MR's dubious acquisition of Datascope Registrant vs. consolidated filings do NOT reconcile For 2008 & 2009 ONLY, Mindray released the filings of its shell company ―Mindray Medical International‖ before it was hidden beginning in 2010. The public documents reveal a cash & investments discrepancy of 111% in FY09. the last known year. Investors should fear whether MR carries a significant amount of cash or liabilities off BS or if the cash even exists MR explicitly lied to the SEC regarding its return policy In FY12, the SEC inquired into Mindray's return policy and Mindray responded that the company did not accept returns. However, company issued product manuals and our call with the Company‘s customer service department suggest otherwise. This suggests a blatant lie to the SEC What SEC correspondence? To compound matters, MR hides its SEC correspondences from investors. Under the ―SEC filings‖ section of the investor relations website, Mindray knowingly eliminates any and all traces of correspondences with the SEC. The only place to find these correspondences is on SEC.gov PCAOB has been unable to review Mindray's auditors‟ work In a 6/13/2013 SEC correspondence, it was brought to investor attention that the company's auditor‘s work had not been 14 reviewed by The Public Company Accounting Oversight Board or (―PCAOB‖) and MR had not disclosed this risk factor for nearly 5 years. The PCAOB is responsible for validating the work of auditors to prevent fraudulent behavior OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Perception vs. Reality – This is Mindray Medical Management should reveal the addresses of ALL of the company's 18 Manufacturing & R&D centers, as its peers willingly do - evidence suggests that at least two do not exist In 2006 MR stated, ―Pursuant to an agreement with the Government of the Nanjing Jiangning Development Zone, we intend to invest up to $150 million over three and one- half years to build a research and development and manufacturing facility in Nanjing…that is expected to be operational in 2009‖ Subsequently, in 2010, Mindray booked ~$21m in shareholder cash to upgrade the Nanjing facility. Allegedly adding 158K of GFA for what appears to be 2 parcels and patches of grass. Mindray has spent hundreds of millions of dollars on R&D and Capex. We would like to see where the cash has gone, as the Nanjing and Zhongguancun examples raise serious concerns NANJING R&D CENTER AS PORTRAYED BY MINDRAY Mindray's Nanjing Facility – photo from 5/07/13 Investor pres – pg 9 15 ACTUAL NANJING R&D CENTER PHOTO Photo taken by J Cap Research on 5/17/13 of Mindray's Nanjing Facility OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Further Shareholder Millions Wasted on Grass PHOTO OF MINDRAY‟S ZHONGGUANGGCUN LOCATION Photo taken on 4/15/13 by J Cap Research 16 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 $656m in Long Lived Assets Simply Vanished It appears that $656m in assets simply disappeared from MR's financials in 2009 without explanation MR's 2008 vs. 2009 filing reveals MR's 2008 long-lived assets were significantly revised/impaired downward (-$656m or ~80%) – a majority of the assets being in China If Mindray wrote off the assets, the company hid this impairment charge from investors as we find no record of it. We believe management will be forced to take this impairment charge in the future MINDRAY 2008 20F (PG F-31) MINDRAY 2009 20F (PG F-32) ? ? 2008 Long-Lived Assets PRC 17 2008 - ('08 20F) 2008 - ('09 20F) 503.1 95.14 United States Other countries Total LL Assets % of Total Assets 238.0 44.1 785.2 100% 29.8 4.2 129.1 16% Total Assets Reported 785.8 785.8 Long Lived Assets Delta -408.0 2009 143.5 2010 219.5 2011 259.7 2012 289.0 -208.2 -39.8 30.6 5.4 179.5 19% 29.2 5.1 253.7 22% 28.3 5.2 293.2 20% 28.5 7.4 324.9 17% -656.0 966.3 1,150.6 1,459.0 1,857.0 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Alarming Discrepancies in MR's Registrant vs. Consolidated Filings In MR's 2008 and 2009 20-Fs ONLY, Mindray revealed the financial statements of its registrant “Mindray Medical International” or its shell company (vs. consolidated) providing real insight into MR's financial position Some perplexing items: In MR's last registrant filing (2009) the filing indicated a cash & investment discrepancy of nearly 74%/$274m (Consolidated at $372.5m vs. Registrant at $647.2m), suggesting that MR's financial statements are not fully consolidated. Does this suggest dubious off balance sheet activity? MR's YoY increase in loans and investments to subsidiaries from FY07 to FY08 is in line with MR's reported retained earnings for the period ($183.1m vs. $183.8m) MR somehow continued with uninterrupted growth in cash in 2008 (consolidated & registrant) despite MR having to pay Datascope $211m. Furthermore, they spent $70m on capex and paid out $20m in dividends We worry that MR has deceptively used intercompany transactions to inflate sales & margins, and understate liabilities as we find irregularities that are nearly impossible to reconcile Mindray has intentionally discontinued this disclosure in subsequent filings (post 2009) Discrepancies in Assets 2007 MR Consolidated Cash Cash & Cash Equiv. ST Investments R. Cash Total Reported Consolidated Cash Note: MR's inter-company loans/investments make up 74% of MR's reported assets. We question whether MR accounts for loans to subsidiaries as ST investments. MR Registrant Cash Cash & Cash Equiv. Short Term Investments Loans to subsidiaries/affiliates Investment in subsidiaries Total Cash in Subsidiaries Delta vs Registrant % of Cash + Investments Unaccounted For In Subs 189.0 55.9 244.9 2008 96.4 36.8 119.7 252.9 2009 204.2 91.6 76.7 372.5 88.4 0.0 96.0 170.4 354.8 15.4 0.0 173.4 276.2 464.9 12.0 0.0 237.9 397.3 647.2 (109.86) (212.08) (274.73) 45% 84% 74% 357.8 446.7 465.7 785.8 647.8 966.3 88.9 320.0 318.4 25% 69% 49% Discrepancies in Assets Total Registrant Assets Total Consolidated Assets 18 Delta 2008 Exhibits: 2008 20F – PG. F32, F33 2009 Exhibits: 2009 20F – PG. F35, F36 % of Assets Unaccounted For In Subs OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 If Mindray Can Lie To The SEC… In an SEC correspondence dated 7/27/2012, the SEC inquired into Mindray's aging accounts receivable balances and unusually low allowance for doubtful accounts given the company's increasing A/R balances and sales. Mindray noted that the company did not accept returns and believed their current estimations were sufficient Note: increasing doubtful accounts to more reasonable & conservative levels impacts earnings due to increased bad debt expense MINDRAY REVENUE RECOGNITION POLICY – 2012 20F JULY 27, 2012 CORRESPONDENCE TO SEC 19 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Why Not Investors? While Mindray claims to not accept returns from customers, the company's owners product manuals suggest otherwise We found the ambiguous nature of the language particularly interesting, so we called customer service ourselves claiming to want to buy an ultrasound device, but were concerned that we wouldn‘t be able to return it if the doctors weren‘t satisfied. The customer service representative assured us that we could return the product as long as we were able to get management authorization, which we could reasonably expect to receive. This is in direct contrast to management‟s claim to the SEC that they do NOT accept returns MINDRAY'S PRODUCT MANUAL 20 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Complex Organizational Matrix Mindray's organizational structure is a complex matrix with many layers which are difficult to trace. Like a typical Chinese fraud, we believe this structure can enable a fraudster to perpetrate and conceal misdeeds As noted on earlier slides, we find large discrepancies in MR's consolidated assets vs. its registrant data (“Mindray Medical International”), suggesting assets/liabilities could be held off balance sheet Lack of transparency – Mindray intentionally blurs the details of its organizational structure and has done so for the last 5 years MINDRAY MEDICAL‟S ORG. STRUCTURE - 2008 21 MINDRAY MEDICAL‟S ORG. STRUCTURE – 2012 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Increasingly Complex Org. Structure = Less Disclosure? 2008 ORG. STRUCTURE DETAILS 22 2012 ORG. STRUCTURE DETAILS OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Perception vs. Reality – There Are 2 Sides to Every Story The SEC has sent MR numerous inquiries since 6/2012 about irregularities in MR's filings. Interestingly, under “SEC Filings” on MR‟s website, these correspondences are nowhere to be found. One must go SEC.GOV to find them MINDRAY MEDICAL'S WEBSITE 23 Note: Red bubbles designate correspondence between SEC & MR SEC.GOV OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 A Troubling Conflict of Interest In October of 2008, MR fired its auditor Deloitte and hired PWC. This is alarming for several reasons: Auditor change means that PCAOB can no longer review auditor work – Deloitte was PCAOB compliant (meaning the PCAOB could review the auditor‘s work) while their new auditor PWC was and is not MR failed to disclose the PCAOB non-compliance to investors for nearly 5 years, until a recent SEC correspondence mandated that MR include this information as a risk factor in the FY2013 20-F Blow to corporate governance and auditing checks & balances – MR placed Mr. Peter Wan—an ex-PWC partner—on its Board and audit committee just one month prior to firing Deloitte and hiring PWC, creating a relationship ripe for potential abuse Relationships play an especially large role in Chinese business dealings. It is entirely possible that the PWC auditors and Mr. Wan have prior long-standing relationships and that these can be used to influence the auditors‘ behavior. We are not suggesting that Mr. Wan has used his hypothetical influence, as we have no definitive proof. However, we believe this is material information that investors should be aware of. The subsequent 2008 20-F contained concerning discrepancies – detailed further throughout the deck MR substantially reduced its transparency after the 2008 filing and engaged in numerous questionable practices post auditor transition In September of 2008, MR added Peter Wan, a former PWC partner to its Board Mr. Wan had retired from PWC just three months prior in June 2008 after spending 33 years total—including 16 as a partner—at PWC and its HK predecessor firm In October of 2008, just one month after Mr. Wan‘s hiring, MR‘s long-standing auditor Deloitte was fired and PWC was hired in their place Why did MR fire its auditor so late into the fiscal year ? Note that MR‘s fiscal year runs in line with the calendar year, meaning a December year end. They never provided a good explanation for this change to investors MR‟s 2008 20-F (which PWC signed off on) had numerous discrepancies 24 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 PCAOB Has Been Unable To Review Mindray's Filings MR kept this information from investors for nearly 5 years. The SEC only recently brought it to public attention SEC Correspondence dated 6/13/2013 As a publicly listed company with the SEC, MR's auditor is required by law to undergo regular Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (PCAOB) inspections to assess its compliance with U.S. law and professional standards in connection with its audits of financial statements filed with the SEC. However the PCAOB has been unable to audit Mindray's auditor work. Mindray's ―Risk‖ section in FY13 will note: ―Our independent registered public accounting firm‘s audit documentation related to their audit report included in this annual report may be located in the Peoples‘ Republic of China. The Public Company Accounting Oversight Board currently cannot inspect audit documentation located in China and, as such, you may be deprived of the benefits of such inspection Auditors of companies that are registered with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission and traded publicly in the United States, including our independent registered public accounting firm, must be registered with the U.S. Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States) (―the ―PCAOB‖) and are required by the laws of the United States to undergo regular inspections by the PCAOB to assess their compliance with the laws of the United States and professional standards. Because we have substantial operations within the Peoples‘ Republic of China and the PCAOB is currently unable to conduct inspections of the work of our auditors as it relates to those operations without the approval of the Chinese authorities, our auditor‘s work related to our operations in China is not currently inspected by the PCAOB. This lack of PCAOB inspections of audit work performed in China prevents the PCAOB from regularly evaluating audit work of any auditors that was performed in China including that performed by our auditors. As a result, investors may be deprived of the full benefits of PCAOB inspections. The inability of the PCAOB to conduct inspections of audit work performed in China makes it more difficult to evaluate the effectiveness of our auditor‟s audit procedures as compared to auditors in other jurisdictions that are subject to PCAOB inspections on all of their work.‖ 25 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH Why Does This Matter? On 12/3/2012, the SEC began investigating alleged accounting fraud in China. Notably the SEC charged the Chinese affiliates of five major accounting firms for refusing to produce audit work Note: Mindray's auditor Pricewaterhouse Coopers is among the five firms being sued by the SEC 26 DEC - 2013 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH III Questionable Acquisitions 27 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Mindray Makes Dubious Acquisitions MR has a record of committing fairly egregious fraud in the past. We question the rapid 9 acquisitions MR has made since 2011. Like outed frauds Olympus & CMED, we believe MR must continuously make dubious acquisitions to prop up its deteriorating business Datascope Acquisition Mindray‘s largest acquisition Datascope was significantly overstated. Evidence suggests Datascope was worth far less than the $209m in shareholder cash and bank borrowings MR paid Aggressive asset mark ups To justify its fraudulent acquisition, evidence shows Mindray significantly stepped up the value of the assets it acquired to justify the $209m acquisition price $656m in long-lived assets simply vanished The following year Mindray inexplicably wrote down the entire value of its acquired PMD assets to ZERO (this impairment was not disclosed to investors). Notably on the face of it, $656m in total long-lived assets simply vanished from MR's financials We believe management will be forced to restate its historical filings and ultimately take the $656m impairment charge Evidence further suggests Datascope's PMD contribution to MR sales were inflated and acquired assets were inflated by +72% Zonare – MR paid 1.6x sales for a business which recently lost nearly 25% of its revenues, is growing more slowly than a peer 5x its size, has had substantial management turnover with 3 CEOs in the last few years, and which is facing a lawsuit by an OEM and distributor to the tune of $50mn for intentional fraud Dragonbio – MR acquired this orthopedics equipment manufacturer for $35m despite them only generating $4.6m in sales and $0.185m in profit. This is a company that not only doesn‘t have meaningful IP, it‘s in an entirely different product and customer set. One has to question why MR would possibly need to pay such a substantial amount of money for such a sub-par asset 28 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 The Dubious Acquisition of Datascope In May 2008, Mindray proclaimed to become a global med-tech company when it acquired the Patient Monitoring assets of Datascope in the United States for a consideration of $208m Despite consensus perception, it was a very limited purchase. MR acquired only some of the PM assets and a restricted right to use the name through 2009 on certain products as well as to co-brand the same set of products from 2010-2015 Notable restrictions: the rights were only conveyed to Mindray DS USA, with Mindray International specifically excluded. Manufacturers had to be approved and certified by Datascope and Mindray DS USA‘s Chinese affiliates were specifically barred from manufacturing the equipment. The name Datascope was not conveyed, just the right to continue using the Datascope name on specific products 29 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 We Question The Price Mindray Actually Paid For Datascope While the street was quick to superficially praise the move, we decided to look deeper into this alliance with a highly questionable business partner Mindray's association with Datascope began in 2003, when Datascope began distributing a Mindray patient monitor, with modifications, under the Datascope name called the ―Duo‖, the two also collaborated on a later monitor called the ―Trio‖ Fire sale? At the time of Mindray's PMD acq. Datascope appeared to be in a rush to sell its entire business The company had come under scrutiny by regulators, its employees & its top shareholder Ramius Capital Ramius alleged that (1) there were irregularities in the Chairman's expense reports (2) a senior executive was improperly using Company funds to finance an affair he was conducting with another Company employee (3) the same executive and the Chairman of the Company had engaged in irregular transactions with distributors (4) a member of the Chairman's family employed by the Company did not perform services (5) the Chairman had engaged in unspecified 'sweet heart‗ deals (6) the Chairman paid himself dividends (7) the Chairman was mentally unfit to manage the Company and (8) outside counsel had assisted the Chairman in concealing some of the above activities MR paid 1.5x ($209m cash + $30m receivables) sales for a money losing (FY08 PMD sales were $138m and with a loss of $5.7m), 45% margin patient monitoring business in a market growing at an abysmal 2-3% rate Investors thought it was a bad purchase. MR shares underperformed the MSCI China index by 12% in March after the purchase, while Datascope‘s shares were up 13.8% as ―investors cheer divestiture‖ At the time of the acquisition, all of Datascope was on the block The profitable and more sophisticated portion of Datascope was purchased by Getinge for $618m, or 2.7x sales and 12.9x EBITDA Mindray violated Datascope trademarks and was sued MR had limited access to the Datascope brand through 2015 (only U.S. and only on certain products), yet violated this agreement in order to drive sales and was sued by Datascope, eventually paying $7m (p. 15 2011 20F) Case Study: OSI buys Spacelab for $57m 30 Spacelabs Medical had an offering in PMDs similar to that of Datascope. In 2004, it was acquired by OSI for ~0.4x sales ($57m acquisition price on $150m in LTM sales) despite being both profitable and slightly larger than the Datascope's assets MR acquired OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 We Believe Datascope's PMD Business Was Worth Far Less Than MR Paid In Datascope's 2008 10k (6/30), the Company recorded the assets & liabilities of its discontinued PMD operations. We find large discrepancies between Datascope's accounting and what Mindray claims to have received. Note: Datascope's PMD business recorded a loss of $5.7m and carried just $5m in assets, despite selling for $209m Spacelabs held tangible net assets at a book value in excess of $70m and was acquired for just $57m -14% YoY 31 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Mindray Significantly Stepped Up the Value of Datascope's Assets It is clear that Mindray overpaid for Datascope's PMD business, then significantly stepped up the value of the assets to justify a $209m acquisition price. It is even harder to justify this premium given that Datascope's PMD sales were decelerating and the business was unprofitable (FY2008 sales of $134.1m (-14% YoY) and PBT loss of $5.7m) Traditionally we see assets receive a slight step up post-acquisition, but not to the egregious level of over-inflation of MR‘s accounting Note: MR was the only bidder for DSCP‘s PMD business, which DSCP was looking to unload given its underperformance Notable Step-Ups Current Assets: Datascope reported having $5.7m in current assets for its PMD business and Mindray stepped up the value 6x to $33.2m PP&E: Datascope reported having $2.2m in PPE (net of 2.8m in accum. depreciation) and MR stepped up the value 15x to $34.9m Intangible assets & goodwill ($60.9 + $96.3) accounted for 70% of the transaction Intangible assets: Datascope reported having $13.4m in intangible assets and Mindray stepped up the value 5x to $60.9m MINDRAY / DATASCOPE PURCHASE ACCOUNTING (12/31/2008) FAIR VALUE ASSESSMENT Fair Value PMD Assessment DScope Jun-08 Dec-08 Step Up Dec-08 MR Current Assets 5,773 6x 33,211 PP&E 2,253 15x 34,900 Intangible Assets 13,413 5x 60,900 Liabilities -959 11x -10,166 Goodwill NA - 96,327 20,480 - 215,172 Total % of Transaction - MR Accounting Tangible Assets 30% 68,111 Intangible Assets/Goodwill 70% 157,227 100% 225,338 Total Assets Acquired 32 Less: Liabilities -10,166 Net Assets Acquired 215,172 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Post Acquisition MR's Long-Lived Assets Jump Post Mindray's acquisition of Datascope the company's long-lived assets jumped by $234.2m in the U.S., despite Mindray claiming it acquired $225.3m total assets from Datascope, not all of which were U.S. based Mindray reported long-lived assets of $785.2m vs. total Assets of $785.8 (effectively allocating all of its assets to long lived assets) Note: Mindray appears to take a $47.1m impairment on its long lived assets, yet we find no record of this impairment on the company's reported financials MR's 2007 20F clearly contradicts its reporting in 2008. In „07, MR claimed it did not have any LL assets outside of China, yet in „08 the company reports having $95m assets (21%of total) ex-China in 2007 MINDRAY 2007 20F (PG F-26) MINDRAY 2008 20F (PG F-31) Long-Lived Assets Acquired (2008 20f, pg. F-31) 2007 351.6 3.8 2008 503.1 238.0 Delta 151.6 234.2 Other countries 91.4 44.1 -47.4 Total LL Assets 446.7 785.2 338.4 PRC United States 33 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 MR Wrote Down $208m, or The Entire Consideration for Datascope To Zero MR wrote off $208.2m in LL assets in the US, effectively the entire $208.6m (net of the $397k cash retained) cost of the Datascope acquisition to ZERO As we noted previously, MR's 2008 vs. 2009 filing reveals MR's 2008 long-lived assets were significantly revised & impaired downward– a majority of the assets being in China and the U.S., with China realizing greater absolute declines vs. U.S. seeing substantially higher percentage decreases We question the dubious purpose behind Mindray's acquisition of Datascope and whether Datascope may have carried a significant amount of Mindray's channel stuffed inventory 2008 Long-Lived Assets PRC United States Other countries Total LL Assets % of Total Assets Total Assets Reported Long Lived Assets 2008 - ('08 20F) 2008 - ('09 20F) 503.1 95.14 238.0 29.8 44.1 4.2 785.2 129.1 100% 16% 785.8 Delta -408.0 -208.2 -39.8 ? -656.0 785.8 MINDRAY 2008 20F (PG F-31) MINDRAY 2009 20F (PG F-32) 34 2009 143.5 30.6 5.4 179.5 19% 966.3 2010 219.5 29.2 5.1 253.7 22% 1,150.6 2011 259.7 28.3 5.2 293.2 20% 1,459.0 2012 289.0 28.5 7.4 324.9 17% 1,857.0 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 MR's Auditor Confirms Our Belief That Datascope Was Overstated In MR's 2008 20F, PWC noted that they excluded Datascope's PMD business from the company's assessment of internal control of financial reporting and noted Datascope's assets and revenues as a % of MR's 2008 financials – both of which were significantly lower than MR reported to the street Mindray's long lived assets increased from 2007 to 2008 by $338m. Yet Mindray's purchase accounting suggested the company acquired $225m in assets from Datascope In the same filing MR's auditor PWC, noted in its ―Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm‖ that Datascope's assets only accounted for 16.7% of assets This implies Datascope's assets were $131.2m of the $339m increase, suggesting nearly 61% of the asset increase was related to Mindray‘s historical business. We believe MR took this as an opportunity to purge $656m of stale assets in China MANAGEMENT'S ANNUAL REPORT ON INTERNAL CONTROL OVER FINANCIAL REPORTING (MR 2008 20F P. 84) Asset Discrepancies 2008 35 Purchase Accounting ('08 20f p.F-17) Current Assets PP&E Intangible Assets Goodwill Total Assets Acquired Implied % Of 2008 Total Assets 33.2 34.9 60.9 96.3 225.3 29% Total Assets 785.8 PWC Assesment ('08 20f p.84) Actual % Of Total Assets Actual Datascope Assets $ value difference 2008 16.7% 131.2 +94.1 % inflated vs $225m Assets Acquired 72% PRC United States Other countries Other Undefined Assets Total Assets % growth % of Assets PRC United States Other countries Datascopes Contribution % of Assets Assets Contribution to '08 increase Asset Contribution 2007 351.6 3.8 91.4 0.0 446.7 36% 79% 1% 20% 2008 503.1 238.0 44.1 0.6 785.8 76% Delta 151.6 234.2 -47.4 339.1 64% 30% 6% Delta -15% 29% -15% Auditors 16.7% 131.2 131.2 Ex Dscope 83% 654.5 207.8 Contribution to increase 39% 61% Note: in MRs 2009 20F MR seemingly revised its 2008 long lived assets to 129.1m OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Questionable Zonare Acquisition We question management‟s logic in acquiring Zonare as we find numerous core issues which imply significant headwinds MR paid 1.6x sales for a total consideration of $101m for an unprofitable business whose growth has substantially slowed and whose competitors are becoming increasingly larger Despite a reported ~$800m in ―cash‖ on its balance sheet, MR largely funded the acquisition with debt, as they borrowed $120m in 3q13 (the quarter the acquisition closed), which is more than they borrowed in all of 1h13 Jon Brubaker, Senior Analyst at MDBuyline, has been ―tracking ZONARE for years and the activity levels have not shown much growth.‖ Compounding issues at Zonare Medical 3 CEOs in 5 years: Zonare‘s management team appears to be a revolving door. Donald Southard (former CEO of Datascope's PMD business), Jay Miller and Timothy Marcotte have held CEO positions over the last 5 years Fraud accusations: Zonare allegedly engaged in intentional fraud, according to an 11/1/2013 lawsuit by distributor HDX Patent infringement lawsuit: In 2008, Zonare agreed to pay $3.25m to settle (not including legal fees) a patent infringement suit initially brought by competitor Sonosite in 2007 Failed IPO: Zonare had a failed IPO bid in 2008, as they desperately needed cash. We question whether the Sonosite settlement had anything to do with it Share loser: Zonare is growing more slowly than portable ultrasound market leader Sonosite, which is ~5x Zonare‘s size Burning through cash: Zonare had already raised ―$171m in funding since it was founded in 1999‖ from various backers Evidence suggests that the sales lost from Zonare‟s Japan disruption will be extremely difficult to regain In a press release dated 3/2/12, Zonare recorded $70m in sales and guided for 15-20% growth in 2012, implying that sales would be $80.5 to $84.0m. The Company also claimed that they would achieve an operating profit for the year Actual performance was just $64m and the company lost money CIO May Li noted: "In 2012 there was a disruption in the Japan market as a result of contract discontinuation, was one of the key distributors there. So it is a one-time event. We don‘t expect such disruption to continue going into 2013, 2014.‖ 36 This is highly deceptive at minimum. In the next few slides, we detail our findings OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH The Anatomy of a Lie First, MR noted that the contract disruption was only ―one of [Zonare‘s] key distributors [in Japan].‖ This appears to be a lie Zonare‘s website clearly lists all of its distributors in each country by region, but does not include any in Japan Meanwhile, they include the tiny 115-island nation of Seychelles, located some ~1,000 miles east of mainland Africa, which boasts a population 87,785 (according to the World Bank) They also include HDX Corp, which was Zonare‘s South Korean and Vietnamese distributor. As of 11/1/2013, they are suing Zonare for breach of contract, intentional fraud and fraudulent concealment Either MR lost multiple Japanese distributors in 2012 or MR‟s CIO managed to lie multiple times to investors in the span of one sentence It appears that Fujifilm and Zonare had an exclusive distribution agreement in Japan (detailed further on slide 39) and MR felt the need to lie about this to investors Where is the Japanese Distributor? 37 DEC - 2013 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 The Anatomy of a Lie (cont‟d) – Full Page Screenshot Where is the Japanese Distributor? 38 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH What Happened With Fujifilm? Mindray‟s lies – Zonare lost its exclusive distribution partnership with FUJIFILM in 2012. This was not a small one- time disruption to ―one of ‖ the key Japanese distributors as management would lead investors to believe, as: Japan accounted for nearly 25% of revenue. These sales are not small nor are they easily replaceable As detailed in slide 37, Zonare has not added new Japanese distributors, so this disruption has clearly continued through all of 2013, contrary to MR management‘s claims FUJIFILM was not ―one of ‖ several key distributors. They were the key distributor – the only one The product was marketed under a different brand and proprietary distribution network. How does MR propose to regain all the lost sales? On November 28, 2006, Fujifilm and Zonare entered into an OEM agreement Zonare had an exclusive distribution agreement with Fuji – According to p.63 of Zonare‘s S-1 filing, ―under the agreement…[Zonare] agreed to sell [its] z.one ultrasound system in Japan only through Fuji‖ According to the S-1, the agreement was set to expire at the end of 2010, ―with automatic renewals for subsequent one year periods upon agreement of minimum purchase commitments for each subsequent period‖ Zonare‟s systems were sold under a different brand name in Japan – ―Under the agreement, FUJIFIM will market ZONARE‘s z.one ultrasound system…under the FUJIFILM brand FAZONE M throughout Japan‖ On August 15, 2011, FUJIFILM launched the FAZONE M in the U.S. On December 15, 2011, FUJIFILM announced an offer to acquire portable ultrasound market leader Sonosite for $995mn or ~3.3x 2011 sales of $306m In 2012, Zonare lost its Japanese ―distributor.‖ Given the above information, it would be easy to make that case that this ―distributor‖ was in fact its OEM partner FUJIFILM, and the agreement fell apart in 2012 when the Sonosite deal closed Furthermore, we question the strength of Zonare‘s business given that FUJIFILM, who had a very deep insight into the product and its marketability, chose to allow MR to walk away with a deal at 1.6x sales when FUJIFILM paid 3.3x sales for Sonosite 39 Finally, note that in 2008, Zonare agreed to pay $3.25mn to settle a patent infringement suit brought by Sonosite DEC - 2013 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Intentional Fraud – A Recurring Theme On 11/1/2013, Zonare distributor HDX Corp. filed a lawsuit against the company for breach of contract, intentional fraud and fraudulent concealment According to p.11 of the lawsuit, HDX believes that compensatory damages for fraud will exceed $50m HDX and Zonare‘s relationship began on January 29, 2005, with the two entering into an International Distribution Agreement On July 22, 2009, Zonare proposed that HDX also become its local manufacturer To summarize, Zonare and HDX entered into an exclusive manufacturing and distribution agreement whereby HDX was to (1) invest $3m in Zonare stock (they did so in December 2009) and (2) construct a factory to produce Zonare‘s product (HDX spent millions on this as well) Zonare lied in order to [allegedly] offset a major liquidity crunch at Zonare Note that they only had ~$8m in cash in March of 2008 (according to their S-1). They then (1) had to scrap IPO plans (2) settled a lawsuit with Sonosite for $3.25m in mid-2008 and (3) continued to be unprofitable, burning millions in cash HDX COMPLAINT – PG. 8 40 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 With Just 3% Share, Zonare Isn‟t As Meaningful As the Street Believes 41 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH IV Phantom Cash 42 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Phantom Cash – Is the Cash Real? We question why a company reporting over $1bn in cash has consistently relied on debt or equity financing as its primary funding source. We have not seen this behavior in any legitimate business or Mindray's Chinese peers Acquisitions Both Datascope and Zonare, $208m and $101m, respectively, were primarily funded with debt Debt funded dividends? On 4/26/11 (p.69 2011 20-F), MR took out a two-year term of $35m at L+210bps to fund its FY11 dividend On 3/26/12, (p.F-23 2012 20-F), MR took out another two-year term loan of $50m at L+355bps (notice the increase in cost of funding) to fund its FY12 dividend Working capital On 7/18/2011 (p.69 2011 20-F), MR entered into a revolving credit facility to fund the working capital requirements of its Mahwah, NJ facility at $50m at L+180bps. The facility was fully drawn just 4 days later on July 22, 2011 Mindray generates 55% of its sales outside of China – does the company not keep cash overseas? Does Mindray borrow to pay taxes as well? 2010 Equity Offering is a glimpse into MR's significant cash flow issues In 2010, we find evidence which suggests that Mindray came dangerously close to defaulting on its $141m loan with the Bank of China and its $25m working capital loan with HBSBC, despite alleging the company had $305m in cash We believe Mindray nearly avoided default by purposely misleading US investors as to the REAL cash position of the company and deceived investors regarding the company's 2010 equity offering In 2008, Mindray borrowed $141m of Datascope's purchase price from the Bank of China and opened a $25m revolver to finance its WC. Both borrowings were collateralized with MR's alleged balance sheet cash and, strangely, the key man life insurance of one of the Co-CEOs Despite reporting $305m in cash the previous qtr, we question whether Mindray actually had the cash it claimed The company missed its loan payments to the BOCHK, so the loan was subsequently modified. MR also could not pay its minor $25m WC facility which was also modified 43 The company was able to pay both loans once it raised equity from US investors in 2010 (note: MR deceptively claimed the equity raise was for ―business development and for general corporate purposes‖ per S-1) OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 MR Claimed To Borrow a ST Loan To Finance the Acquisition… Despite what appeared to be a rich balance sheet, Mindray borrowed a “short term loan” through its shell company (MR Investments & MR Holdings) to finance the acquisition On April 23rd 2008 (p. 78 2009 20-F), MR Investments entered into an agreement with the Bank of China to borrow $141.4m, payable in three installments of $47m due in June, August & November 2009 Note: The BOC required MR‘s co-CEOs to guarantee the loans, as well as provide additional insurance through one of the co- CEOs‘ key man life insurance policies. This amounted to $29.3m (RMB200m) per 2009 20-F, p. F-21 MR over collateralizes the $141.4m loan with $146.5m in cash in an BOCHK ―investment account‖ to be held as collateral, yet we cannot reconcile why MR inconsistently reported $141.4m on the BS as collateral MINDRAY'S LOAN AGREEMENT Mindray Medical Balance Sheet Q4 Q1 12/31/2007 3/31/2008 Assets Cash & Equivalents Short Term Investments Total Cash & ST Investments % QoQ Growth 44 189.0 55.9 212.0 93.8 244.9 305.8 25% - OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 MR Also Borrowed $25m To Finance its Working Capital Facility… Financing working capital requirements? MR ironically also entered into a $25m revolving facility to finance its working capital, then PAID back the $10m used facility – again this is a company with +300m in reported cash Again, MR pledged $11.7m or ~45% of the working capital facility with cash Note: Total collateral for the BOCHK acq. loan and WC facility is $158.3m ( $11.7m+ $146.5m) In 2009, MR also raised an unexplained $54m. Note: MR did not cite what the funds were for or where the cash went 45 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Loan Payment Missed! In April 2009, MR was only able to pay $31.4m (p. F-21 2009 20-F) of the $47.1m due (oddly MR paid 2 mos. before the 1st payment was due in June) and the loan was subsequently modified At 12/31/09, MR's loan was modified with $110m still outstanding (p. 64 2009 20-F), implying MR missed its Aug & November payment (the new terms were incredibly generous: $44m became due in June 2010 & $66m due in June 2011) MR paid a reasonable combined $928k for an ―arrangement fee‖ and ―finance charges‖ Further alarming is that in June 2009, MR attempted to renew its 2008 $25m revolver with HSBC, but the bank cut the revolver capacity from $25m to $13m (p. 64 2009 20-F) . The expiration was extended to March 2010 As we noted in the slide before, we question how MR was able to raise an additional $54m (which was also collateralized with $54m in alleged cash) on April 2009, when it appeared MR could not pay back its existing loan balances Given the influx of cash, why was MR unable to make the full installment payment and avoid the heavy fees? We also question how MR was able to collateralize the $54m ST loan when its appears MR couldn‘t even make its $47.1m payment The 6-K was filed on May 11, 2009, so clearly MR knew at this point that they wouldn‟t be able to (or chose not to?) pay off the coming debt payment fully, yet still falsely told investors that the “loans can be fully repaid” MINDRAY 2009 20F 46 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 MR Falsely Claimed it Had Sufficient Cash to Make Loan Payments We find it hard to believe that Mindray could miss a $47.1m payment to the Bank of China and cost shareholders additional fees which amounted to $928k Mindray missed payments on both its $25m working capital facility and $141.4m Bank of China loan In MR's 2008 20F the company claimed that they had enough cash to fund its operations through 6/2010 and make payments to its acquisition loan through the company's restricted cash funds, its deposited collateral, and cash Note: As depicted below, MR made it appear to investors that they were well-capitalized in both 2008 and 2009 and fully able to pay off their debt – we question whether the company had the cash it claimed or whether the cash had alternative purposes On March 31, 2009, MR reported $103.1m in cash & equivalents and $158m in restricted cash. In that 1q09 6-K, MR defined restricted cash as follows: ―Restricted as the security package required for the bank loans as of March 31, 2009... As of March 31, 2009, the short-term bank loans can be fully repaid from such short-term restricted cash‖ Mindray gave the impression to investors that the business was well capitalized despite its inability to make a $47.1m loan payment or having its $25m HSBC working capital loan cut MINDRAY 2009 20F (PG F-21) 47 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Investors Were Misled Regarding Mindray's 2010 Equity Raise We believe MR misled investors as to the intention of its equity offering. We believe the company did not have the cash it claimed and would have likely defaulted on its China loan had it not raised equity from US investors On 3/4/10 MR priced a secondary offering of 4 million American depositary shares at $38.20, raising 152.8m in new cash – MR claimed the cash was for “for business development and general corporate purposes” The street took it as a sign that the company was preparing for another large acquisition. In reality, it appears that the Company raised equity to pay back loans it owed to the Bank of China and HSBC, despite claiming a well-funded balance sheet Coincidentally, MR repaid its full $110m balance and HSBC WC loan in March 2010, the same month as the offering. They only had to repay $44m in June of 2010 and the remaining $66m was coming due a full 15 months later in June of 2011. MR also repaid their $54m TL facility in 4/2010, bringing its bank balance to zero Note: MR published its 4Q09 and FY2009 results on 3/1/2010, just 3 days before its offering 48 - Mindray 2009 20F OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH V Earnings Are Overstated 49 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 We Question Mindray‟s Reported European Sales In a video dated 12/6/2012, David Yin, the head of MR Europe says, ―We keep investing in Europe, and we will see in the future if our business over here can be over 100 million or even 500 million US Dollars. That‟s our target we‟d like to achieve in the next 5 or 10 years.” Video support: http://www.oostnv.com/testimonial-extra/mindray In its FY2012 20-F, MR reported $101m in European sales, up ~11% from the $91m reported in 2011 (p. 60 FY2012 20-F) We question why MR‘s head of Europe would use $100m as a ―5 or 10 year‖ target when the Company was on the verge of reporting $100m of sales in just a few months – note in 2011 MRs European business reported $91m Mindray appears to run its entire European operations through its location in the Netherlands (Europe headquarters), which services 30 countries out of what is a 3,080 square meter office and a leased 1,380 square meter warehouse Does MR really have the European sales they claim? 50 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Aggressive Transfer Pricing Mindray claims its ex-China business (55% of sales) has not been profitable since the company acquired Datascope's money losing PMD Business Either these disclosures are accurate and MR‘s acquisitions have been a horrid drain of shareholder capital, or MR is aggressively attempting to avoid taxes outside of China A higher tax rate would significantly impair MR‟s earnings and share price and could result in significant fines, penalties, and back taxes This could also indicate transfer pricing, which both the PRC & the US have strict laws against Note: All US based distributors say payments for sales are made to Mindray in Mahwah, NJ, not to Shenzhen, China. Either MR is highly inefficient in the U.S. or one of two other options: (1) they‘re using the U.S. as a tax center to shield themselves from U.S. taxes or (2) they‘re using transfer pricing to deflate U.S. earnings, again to evade taxes MR's eliminated its PBT disclosures post-2008. It wasn‘t until a 5/30/2013 SEC correspondence that MR was forced to reveal updated figure MINDRAY 2008 20F (PG F- 26) SEC CORRESP. (7/2013) REVEALS EX-CHINA HAS RECORDED A LOSS SINCE 51 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 SEC Disclosure Implies China Has 60% PBT Margins We question whether Mindray is using such disclosures to evade US taxes China has represented ALL of the group‘s PBT over the last 3 years China‘s PBT margin was 60% vs. the group‘s total gross margin of 57% The loss (PBT) in the ex-China business was magnified in FY12 by 178% to -$66m from -$24m in FY11 This ridiculously implies that ex-Chinas gross margins are significantly lower than group GMs despite being a higher % of sales This trend is in stark contrast to how management has been guiding investors China vs Ex China (SEC Correspondence) China Ex - China Total Sales 2010 2011 2012 293,435 410,874 704,309 374,312 506,431 880,743 472,991 587,063 1,060,054 Profit Before Tax China PBT % growth % margin 200,424 -68% 213,272 6% 57% 285,595 34% 60% Ex - China PBT % growth % margin (27,327) --7% (23,700) -13% -5% (65,944) 178% -11% Total PBT 173,097 189,572 219,651 % margin 25% 22% 21% Note: PBT financials were disclosed as a result of SEC 52 correnspondence on 5/30/13 MR INCOME STATEMENT - AS OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Questionable Dividend Payments We question whether Mindray's dividend payments are truly one time In 3q13, MR revealed that the company was taking a ―one time‖ withholding charge for an intra-group fund transfer to remit cash overseas which amounted to $20.8m – note MR operates 55% of its business overseas Management did not disclose how much cash was being remitted and what the cash was being used for Note: when asked by Bin Li (MS analyst) regarding the significant withholding tax, CFO Alex Lung noted: ―…Well the nature of this is actually emulation to our overall cash planning to relocate part of our cash from China to outside China. And the mechanism from that we are doing it just by way of having our Shenzhen subsidiary to pay a dividend to the Hong Kong holding company. And based on the regulations, we are obliged to pay a withholding tax as a result of this dividend payment to the Hong Kong company as it is our internal policy that we don‟t generally pay dividend out of subsidiaries. And for China, we haven‘t really paid dividend out in 4-5 years already. So to us, it‘s the fund transfer is really one time. We do not anticipate a recurring dividend payment coming out from our China entity. As such, we have treat this expenses in relation to this fund transferred as a one-time expenses and as such excluded from our non-GAAP presentations‖ Alex Lung, CFO, Q3-13 Earnings call 53 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Dubious Dividend Payments In MR's 3q13, Alex Lung noted the last time the company paid its hold co. a dividend was ―4-5 years‖ ago Luckily, in 2008 and 2009 only, MR released its shell company's filings to US investors – which suggests MR's dividend had ill purposes In 08, MR recorded ―equity earnings from subsidiaries‖ in the amount of $119.7m. Note in 2008 MR moved $119.7m, (from Nil in 2007) in restricted cash to its BVI subsidiary on its BS to be held as collateral for its BOCHK loan – as we noted earlier -despite claiming to have the cash MR missed its BOCHK installment payments entirely MR's 2008 reported op. income of $117.5m was lower than the dividend MR claimed to receive from its subsidiary - $119.7m Even more questionable is on pg F26 of MR's 20F, MR claimed to have moved $117.5m (contradicting the 119.7m in restricted cash reported on its balance sheet) – in line with the company's reported operating income of $117.5m We question why a ―wholly owned‖ subsidiary would pay a dividend to its parent and why the income was not consolidated We find no evidence that MR took a withholding on its dividend paid to its holding company, as the company claimed in Q3-13 We cannot find the taxes that was paid by the holding company 54 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 We Find Numerous Contradictory Restricted Cash Amounts We find numerous restricted cash amounts in MR's 2008 filing suggesting Mindray was trying to obfuscate clarity In 2008, MR moved $117.5m to restricted cash, claiming it would be held as collateral for its Datascope loan (we find evidence that the $117.5m was used for more dubious purposes) Curiously, restricted cash was recorded as $119.7m on the balance sheet. We have been unable to reconcile the discrepancy We find numerous contradictory restricted cash & collateral amounts suggesting MR was attempting to obfuscate clarity MINDRAY 2008 20F So, Which is it? 55 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Sales To Distributors Account For a Disproportionate Amount of Growth On 7/27/12, as part of its correspondence with the SEC, Mindray disclosed the company's sales by channel and geography. Note the disclosure is not reported in Mindray's SEC filings China Distributors accounted for ALL of Mindray's domestic growth from 2009 – 2011 period (the only disclosed periods) Distributor sales have outpaced direct sales in China by a margin of 2,100bps, with CAGRs at 18% & (3% ) Ex -China Sales to distributors have outpaced direct sales channels ex-China by a margin of 1,400bps, where Mindray claims to have an established direct sales force To compound matters, in MR's correspondence with the SEC on 6/28/12, investors learned that Mindray began using ―equipment leasing agents‖ to normalize its rising A/R balances Note: Mindray recognizes revenue from equipment leasing companies as ―International Direct Sales‖ despite these businesses operating like distributors DISTRIBUTOR VS. DIRECT SALES Channel By Geography 2009 2010 China distributor sales 221.7 244.3 China direct sales 70.9 49.2 Intl. Distributor sales Intl. direct sales Total by Channel Distributors Direct Sales 56 % of Sales China distributor sales China direct sales Intl. China sales Intl. direct sales Total Revenue % Em 2011 307.1 CAGR 17.7% 67.2 -2.6% 241.1 303.5 381 25.7% 100.5 107.3 125.4 11.7% 462.8 171.4 547.8 156.5 688.1 192.6 21.9% 6.0% 76% 24% 71% 29% 83% 17% 74% 26% 82% 18% 75% 25% 634.2 704.3 880.7 17.8% OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Inflated Gross Margins We believe Mindray's gross margins are more in line with peer levels of 45%-50% vs. the impermeable 60% the company claims Contradictory to management‟s public claims, in MR's OWN investor presentation show that it has lost significant market share in the majority of its key products in China to multinational and domestic competitors since 2009 Mindray‘s core value category is a miserable, fragmented and hyper-competitive one in China, where companies have to give away margins to hospital administrators and compete with well financiered multi national companies and domestic players reaching scale + moving upstream If MR hopes to stem share losses, they will have to sacrifice GMs MR's value proposition is to continually under price MNCs by 20-40%. How is it, then, that MR boasts the highest margins among all peers? Within China, Mindray has purchase with small, poorly financed county hospitals and must increasingly pay its way in via a layer cake of tiny distributors who don‘t have the cash to take inventory risk Labor and manufacturing costs have risen across the board in China Developed markets are operated through GPOs, who take significant margin from manufacturers We spoke with numerous multi-national and local distributors who noted they were “unable to piece together how Mindray gets the kind of gross margins they do…it is unheard of in their segments” 57 Mindrays Market Share by Product in China Mindray key products 2009 2011 Patient Monitoring & Anesthesia Devices (PMD) 31.0% 27.9% Hematology Analyzers (IVD) 34.0% 20.4% Biochemistry Analyzers (IVD) 18.0% 16.2% Ultrasound Systems (MIS) 14.0% 10.9% 2012 DELTA 27.2% (3.8%) 20.6% (13.4%) 19.3% 1.3% 10.1% (3.9%) Reported gross margin by product Patient Monitoring Devices (PMD) In-vitro Diagnostics (IVD) Medical Imaging Systems (MIS) Group Gross Margins 2012 DELTA 56.5% 0.7% 58.3% 2.0% 65.3% 2.0% 56.7% 0.9% 2009 55.8% 56.3% 63.3% 55.8% 2011 54.9% 55.8% 65.2% 55.2% OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Mindray's China Business Has Reported Losing Market Share Since 2009 Mindray has consistently misled regarding its growth and market share position in China. The Company's OWN investor presentation contradict MR's communication to the street Patient Monitoring & Anesthesia Machines: This is MRMR reported share of 31% share in FY09 in China, its largest segment. As of FY12 MR owns 27.2% of the market, a 3,800bp decline IVD – Hematology + Biochemistry Analyzers: MR noted that IVD is a key growth area. A look at share gains across key products gives a different impression Hematology analyzers: MR reported share of 34% in FY09. As of FY12 MR owns 20.6%, a 13,400bp decline Biochemistry Analyzers: Share has been extremely inconsistent. In FY09, MR's share was a healthy 18%, then in FY11 share declined to 16.2% a 2,200bp decline. As of FY12 , the company reported share of 19.3%, but this was primarily due to fraud finding against market leader Olympus Ultrasounds (B/W + Color): Another key growth area for MR. MR reported share of 14% in FY09 and as of FY12 MR owns 10.1% of the market, a 3,900bp decline Note: 2010 presentations did not report market share figures. Coincidentally Mindray's China business grew 0% YoY 2009A 58 2011A 2012A OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH VI Implausible Short Term Investment Balances & Returns 59 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Short Term Investments Are Growing…And Are Growing FAST Mindray Medical‟s short term investments have grown at a faster rate than any other line item on the balance sheet MR's product mix is heavily levered to capital equipment, ~90% of sales (relies on new equipment orders) + lacks a steady stream of high margin disposables, hindering cash flow generation Note: MR FCF Yield is ~1.9%. An extremely weak comp relative to the med-devices peer set which easily books 7-10% In q3-2013, MR's ST investments continued their meteoric rise. Mindray reported having $200m in cash and equivalents and $825.8m in ST investments (total cash $1.025bn) Mindray Medical - Balance Sheet Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 ASSETS Cash And Equivalents Short Term Investments Total Cash & ST Investments Accounts Receivable Other Receivables Total Receivables 60 Dec-11 Dec-12 CAGR 08-12 96.4 204.2 137.5 124.3 247.9 27% 36.8 - 296.0 479.2 615.0 102% 133.2 204.2 433.5 603.5 862.9 60% 89.7 21.0 110.8 113.3 17.5 130.9 143.3 28.5 171.8 200.4 27.4 227.9 185.7 23.1 208.8 20% 2% 17% 57.5 4.5 1.8 119.7 64.5 7.5 2.3 102.3 79.2 7.6 2.5 94.7 9.8 3.5 110.1 11.1 6.4 21.5 18% 25% 37% -35% Inventory Prepaid Exp. Deferred Tax Assets, Curr. Restricted Cash Other Current Assets Total Current Assets 427.4 511.7 694.6 939.3 1,220.8 30% Gross Property, Plant & Equipment Accumulated Depreciation Net Property, Plant & Equipment 159.5 (33.1) 126.4 206.2 (52.5) 153.7 280.8 (73.2) 207.6 333.3 (95.4) 237.9 390.2 (122.2) 268.0 25% 39% 21% 114.2 69.7 115.1 89.8 115.7 112.3 128.8 139.3 163.0 189.3 2.2 13.8 1,857.2 9% 28% -27% 24% Goodwill Other Intangibles Accounts Receivable Long-Term Other Long-Term Assets Total Assets - 48.0 785.8 - - 96.0 966.3 - 20.3 1,150.5 13.6 1,458.9 - OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Cash flows Bear Little Relationship to Earnings Similar to many frauds Mindray Medical‟s cash flows bears little relationship to its earnings Net Income (from Operations) – Cash Flow (from Operations) Net Income (from Operations) Investors should expect this ratio to be about zero over time (a) Net Income Cash from Ops. Cashflow Ratio (a) Net of interest income 61 Cashflow Ratio 2009 2010 139.2 145.1 2011 148.3 2012 154.6 172.3 192.4 325.7 -30% -111% -24% 147.7 -2% OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 We Have No Basis As To What ST Investments MR Invests In Mindray claims that the Bank of China guarantees its short-term investment products. This is confusing, since banks are forbidden to guarantee WMPs or trust products. We cannot rule out that this could be a way of hiding missing cash flows (2012 20F, pg. F10) Note: Mindray classifies ALL of its liquid short term investments as level 2 assets – where values have mgmt discretion MINDRAY – 2012 20-F (PG F-16) MINDRAY – 2012 20-F (PG 71) 62 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 A Look at Other Companies That Stockpile ST Investments We believe when a company generates a significant amount of income from ST investments investors have a right to know the risks the company is taking with shareholder cash APPLE – 2012 10K (PG 54) 63 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH VII Deteriorating Business Fundamentals 64 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH Competition Has Arrived In Mindray's Already Commoditized Business 65 DEC - 2013 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Perception # 1: Reaching Ever Further in The Quest For Growth MR is executing on a number of major initiatives at once to keep the growth story intact. It is our belief that this reach for growth will become perpetually more difficult MR is simultaneously stepping up its pace of acquisitions, integrating existing acquisitions, rolling out 7-9 products yearly, simultaneously moving upstream & downstream, and growing internationally (attacking any market where it can sell a product, including politically sensitive geographies and areas with lower IP protection laws such as Venezuela, Africa, the Middle East & Russia) Locals Edan (PMD + Ultrasound), Biolight (PMD), and KHB (IVD) are also increasing penetration. Better capitalized via IPOs, these competitors have pushed aggressively into tier 1+ 2 markets AMBITION SPILLING OVER INTO HUBRIS? Domestically, Mindray‘s push into the Tier I and III levels can be ―close to seamless‖ due to its deep recognition among slightly larger institutions as a favorably priced local provider and established distributor relationships, many of which may simply be expanded in moving across tiers - Consensus Perception "The medical products of GE sold in small cities and rural China used to bring less than 20 percent of the total sales of GE in China. We hope that this proportion can increase to 50 percent in 3 to 5 years― - Duan Xiaoying, President, GE Healthcare China Siemens Healthcare expects to improve rural China healthcare sales from 33% of total revenues now, to 50% of total revenues in the next 5 years - Mei Wei Cheng, President, Siemens China 66 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH Perception # 2: Competition Has Arrived… 67 DEC - 2013 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Perception # 2: Competition Has Arrived… Growth in the value category has led to significant competition from MNCs who have built infrastructure locally, have rural sales forces and focus more on value products and on cost MNCS HAVE BUILT BRANDS AT THE LOCAL LEVEL ` COUNTY LEVEL HOSPITALS NEXT STEP IN MNCS LT GROWTH STRATEGY … 68 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Perception # 2: Competition Has Arrived… (Cont‟d) Growth in the value category has led to significant competition from MNCs who have built infrastructure locally, have rural sales forces and focus more on value products and on cost GE & Philips have built China businesses that now have annual revenues of more than $1 billion, and they are still expanding rapidly Siemens has established 16 R&D centers, 73 operating companies, and 65 regional offices in China, including the 2nd biggest R&D center in Shenzhen (MR‘s HQ) MR‘s labor costs are likely to go up significantly, as they currently pay their sales staff only ~30% of MNC salaries With additional detail in the next slide, we are even seeing the government creating competition and hurting pricing For example, in an effort to contain costs, the Chinese government is piloting a program in Shanghai which states that if hospitals go above budget, they are penalized through delayed budget allocations and limitations on future expansion If hospitals begin paying closer attention to costs, all medical device manufacturers will feel pricing pressures ―In 2011, Guangdong and Henan held provincial tenders that led to price-cuts of 20 to 30 percent‖ The Chinese government has already set a maximum markup provision on several types of medical devices, and may add others to the list in the future 69 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 The Chinese Government Will be a Competitor to Mindray, NOT An Ally 70 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH Just 5 Years Have Made a Massive Difference for MNCs And they continue to invest and expand aggressively… 71 DEC - 2013 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Historical Lessons From Hyper-Growth Chinese Industries Fails to Inspire 10 years ago, the chemical, infrastructure, high-tech, auto and electronics industries all experienced a three-phased pattern in emerging markets growth similar to what med-tech MNCs are currently witnessing… McKinsey published a report on the Chinese mobile market, whose share evolution serves as a roadmap for med-tech High end market is dominated by MNCs with locals emerging. ~90% share Mid-tier becomes major battlefield. Locals own ~80% share via decent features & lower pricing Locals dominated low end with low cost structures & basic features Chinese mobile market share evolution reveals striking similarities to med-tech Inflection point: Mid-tier segment, once 85% MNC dominated in early 00s, sees MNC share drop to as low as 45% by ‗03 Domestic players built share through improved features at attractive price points thereby generating demand in low and mid-tier markets Concerted efforts in phase 3 allowed MNCs to reach LT ~70% share Source: Mckinsey Report, 6/2012, “Medical device growth in Emerging Markets” 72 MARKET IS CURRENTLY HERE OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH What Could Come Next? Our high conviction belief is that new markets will be characterized by… Increased pricing competition amongst incumbents at the local and multinational level Continued share loss Distributor Disruptions Decreased operating leverage 73 DEC - 2013 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH Pricing Pressures Are Ramping We believe Mindray takes a significant haircut on pricing on key products Pricing in China‘s medical device market is largely opaque. Companies historically provide little transparency to buyers to protect gross margins In addition to the share grab by larger locals and MNCs, there are more then 6,000 medical products manufacturers in China and the government is also helping intensify pricing pressures through its tendering process as they explore ―a range of policy measures to control markups in the channel‖ Through a simple search via Alibaba and our conversations with distributors we were able to gather unique insight into MSRPs MR has traditionally boasted a value proposition which under prices MNCs by 10-30% BUT prices ~20- 30% higher than local Mom and Pop operators – creating value in an underserved market However, our checks with distributors noted pricing can reach ~30-50% lower than listed MSRPS on Alibaba Mindray stretching across hospital tiers (penetrating Class 2+3) which are already hyper-competitive (Note: companies routinely give away margins to hospital administrators for growth), will only add to pricing pressure Note: Management cites the expansion as an opportunity to increase their portfolio mix while moving upstream. We think this represents a fundamental shift away from MR's traditional ―value‖ strategy It‘s clear near term pricing + margins will suffer – China is likely in a "race to the bottom" to capture share across all tiers and segments. It will be tough to be constructive until there is confidence that share has stabilized Chinese Government Cracking Down on Medical Device Pricing. Medical devices appear next on Chinas chopping block On 8/21/13, Reuters reported Chinese regulators began collecting information on the pricing and business practices of foreign and local makers of medical equipment for the government via survey. Sources noted the amount of detail in the survey Note: regulators recently probed and fined several large pharmaceutical companies (GlaxoSmithKline fined $3bn, 74 Johnson & Johnson) for corruption and price fixing DEC - 2013 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Mindray's Subsidies and Tender Sales from PRC Have Slowed… Since the reform took place in 2009, MR has actually experienced a reversal in benefits & subsidies from PRC Government subsidies and tender sales to MR have decelerated while healthcare spending as a % of total spend has accelerated. Our belief is that MR has continually lost share to domestic and international players Penetration into large Tier 3 hospitals in China is very limited In China, sales of med-tech equipment with prices in excess of 50,000 RMB generally must be sold via tenders. Tier 3 hospitals, report to the provincial governments and purchase via tender For Mindray, China-based tender sales has continued to decelerate, accounting for 7.5%, 5.3% and 4.7% of domestic sales, in 2010, 2011 and 2012, respectively Notably, this suggests the majority of MR's equipment costs less than 50,000 RMB. Note: small & private hospitals are more likely to purchase directly, but are far more price-sensitive than provincial-level hospitals Our channel checks consistently indicate that MR has little market share with Tier 3 hospitals and has significant presence with small, county-level hospitals whom make less purchases and are more far more price sensitive It also appears in 2012, MR started paying back a good majority of the subsidies it received in previous years Governement Subsidies to MR % growth Tender Sales % of China Sales Total China Sales % Growth China - Distributor Sales % Of Sales GOVERNMENT BENEFITS 2009 2010 11,690 5,093 -56% 51 22 17.4% 7.5% $292.6 222 76% Note: China reform plan initiated in 2009 Note: Assumption in FY12 distributor % of sales 75 $293.4 0.3% 244 83% 2011 1,960 -62% 20 5.3% 2012 1,725 -12% 22 4.7% CAGR -47.2% $374.3 28% 307 82% $473.0 26% 388 82% 17.4% -24.1% 20.5% OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Yet Mindray Clearly Concedes That China Has Continued To Spend Mindray notes in its investor presentation that government spending on healthcare has increased at a CAGR of +27% since ‘06, yet Mindray has experienced the opposite trend in the last 3 years, with a -24% CAGR from government tender sales and a -47% CAGR with government subsidies “Due to lack of government spending on tender sales, our revenues from government tender sales in China have decreased or remained flat in the period from 2010-2012. We expect this trend of uncertainty and low government tender sales to continue in the near future.” – MR 2012 20F MINDRAY INVESTOR PRESENTATION – 11/6/13 76 Source: http://media.corporate-ir.net/media_files/IROL/20/203167/Mindray_Corporate%20PPT_3Q13d.pdf OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Perception #3: MR‟s Efficiency is an Outlier – Margins Should Converge MR boasts its efficient cost structure as means for its high margins. Analyzing the company‟s cost structure fails to inspire that this will be a long term trend… With 70% of costs coming from raw materials, it‟s unclear how MR can continue to be THAT much more efficient than larger MNCs entering the space with scale MR currently enjoys reverse economies of scale, long term we see increased pressure on GMs It‟s tough to see an area where MR could improve long term efficiency vs. competitors, given Mindray … Boasts that it reaches value customers by under pricing MNCs by ~10% to 30% Has inefficient sales and inventory processes (note lengthening CCC) Competitors have built in China at the local level, therefore experience similar manufacturing/labor costs and head/tailwinds Has a large distributor base that takes more margin Furthermore, larger players with scale should have more bargaining power over suppliers (raw materials) COST STRUCTURE Shipping 10% Services 10% Labor Costs 10% Raw Materials 70% 77 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Investors Have Largely Ignored MR's Deteriorating Business Fundamentals While Mindray has grown sales at +18% over the last 5 years expenses have grown at a faster rate of 25% over the same period 2008A VS. 2012A MARG IN STRUCTU RE OBSERVATIONS SG&A largely continues to outpace sales growth and has done so for the last 5 years. SG&A as a % of sales has expanded over 700bps from 2008 to 2012 One would have expected SG&A leverage with sales mix increasingly shifting to distributors, however we have seen the opposite SG&A, 22% SG&A, 29% R&D , 10% Operating Profit, 18% Mindray 2008A Mindray 2012A OPERATING EXPENSES Margins are likely to converge as more efficient operators like GE + Phillips penetrate lower-tier markets & willing to cut prices for mid-tier products for more hospital attraction 31% 2008 78 COGS, 43% R&D , 9% Operating Profit, 23% Note our checks suggest MR's segment is a hyper-competitive one in China, where companies have to give away margins to hospital administrators and compete with new and well-financed upstarts every year. This is not a business we would choose to be in Note: MNCs more flexible to price adjust w/o hurting GMs COGS, 46% 33% 35% 2009 2010 36% 2011 39% 2012 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Diminishing Returns on S&M? We are already seeing negative S&M leverage: Since 2007, S&M has largely continued to outpace sales growth rising +410bps This is particularly disturbing as one would have expected SG&A leverage with sales mix increasingly shifting to distributors, however we have seen the opposite. Note: 80% of MR's sales are from distributors FY13 – 14 Headwinds Unit volume pressure from MNCs Pricing pressure by offering more concessions for hospitals Increasing bargaining power of distributors and end-users Increased Ad spend Flat ―phantom‖ R&D spend Rising wages in China Equals – gross and operating margin contraction S&M EXPENSE EVOLUTION $1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 13% 18% 17% 18% 19% 20% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 2007 79 14% 16% 17% 2008 2009 2010 2011 Revenue 2012 2013E 2014E S&M as % of Sales 2015E OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Reverse Economies of Scale? Its surprising to see MR post Op. Margins +30-100% higher than larger comps with the benefit of scale (~+50% more sales) There are very few companies that can undercut larger players on pricing, have raw materials make up 70% of COGs (scale provides efficiency), while using a sprawling distributor network yet still generate peak margins With 60% gross and 21% operating margins, I believe it‘s clear that MR is over-earning. Its perplexing that a business that‘s smaller than their competitors can both underprice 30-40% and maintain higher or equivalent gross margins, as well as produce substantially higher operating margins The only competitor with similar margins to MR Abbott, whose scale is 4x MR's We believe this peak margin profile is unlikely to continue as larger MNCs provide more opportunities for suppliers Add GE + Philips (more flexible to price adjust w/o hurting GMs) penetrating lower-tier markets & willing to cut prices for more hospital attraction) its tough to envision this trend continuing MR'S OPERATION A L EFFICIE NC Y EDG E UNLIKEL Y TO CONTINUE $8,000 25% 18% 6,000 19% 20% 14% 12% 10% 4,000 13% 15% 10% 2,000 5% 0 0% Mindray Medical 80 Abbott (Diagnostcs) Nihon Konden Revenue Sysmex Draeger Medical Op. Margin Danaher - Life Sciences OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 New Headwinds –Rising Distributor Costs MR boasts its large distribution network as a competitive advantage. Yet, over the last 4 years the number of distributors as a % of total sales reps has decreased while commissions payables has “increased” at a 49% CAGR Yet distributors continue to contribute more than 80% & 75% of sales in China and Ex- China, respectively Therefore it is prudent to assume the majority of commissions is going to distributors. Checks suggest its common for MR to give away margins to distributors and hospital purchasing managers to compete Rising distributor costs has become an incremental headwind for MR. It appears distributors are demanding more commission from MR to sell its products Note: MR stopped reporting commissions payable in 2012 MR COMMISSION PAYABLES 2009 2010 2011 China Distributors Direct Sales 2400 1500 1800 1700 1300 1900 CAGR -18% 17% Ex China Distributors Direct Sales 1500 150 1900 800 1500 900 1500 900 0% 82% Consolidated Distributors Direct Sales 3900 1350 4300 2300 3300 2600 2800 2800 -10% 28% % Of sales China Distributors % of China Sales Direct % of China Sales 76% 24% 83% 17% 82% 18% 82% 18% Ex China Distributors % of Ex-China Sales Direct % of Ex-China Sales 71% 29% 74% 26% 75% 25% 75% 25% 725 144% 585 -19% Commissions Payables % growth 81 2400 1200 DISTRIBUTOR COMMISSIONS 2012 297 980 Stopped 68% Reporting 49% HOSPITAL TIERS EQUIPMENT CONSUMABLES REAGENTS Class 1 10 - 50% 5 - 60% 10 - 15% Class 2 15 - 40% 5 - 30% 15 - 45% Class 3 30 - 50% 5 - 60% > 30% OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH Perception #4 – Channel Stuffing We lay out several examples in which we confirm that Mindray has been able to aggressively grow sales by pushing more inventory into the channel than its distributors can digest A look at how Mindray Medical recognizes revenue How ex-China sales have grown in proportion to China sales Distributor sales vs. Direct sales Lengthening cash conversion cycle New users in the channel Mindray generously expends credit with favorable terms 82 DEC - 2013 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Revenue Recognition Policy is Very Liberal… Mindray has a very flexible interpretation of revenue recognition MR recognizes revenue when there is an arrangement, equipment is shipped at a agreed upon price, and collectability is reasonably assured We find numerous irregularities in MR's revenue recognition policy Collectability is reasonably assured MR recognizes revenue when ―delivery has occurred‖ and claims the company does not accept returns ―We do not provide our customers with general right of return, price protection or cash rebates‖ - 20F Yet, in its 20F, MR cites that some customers have 7 days for inspection and upon acceptance payment is made? Yet MR fails to address how revenue is recognized ―The terms of these contracts generally provide that following product delivery, the tender organizer has 7 product inspection days, after which the products will be deemed accepted, and a one to three year warranty period will commence. Upon acceptance, the tender organizer will prepare an application for payment and an acceptance report to the relevant government body, such as a provincial finance bureau or procurement center, for approval and payment. ‖ Increasing lending to recognize sales In response to the SECs inquiry regarding its bloating A/R trends, MR noted; ―As existing international distributors have increased their purchases of Company products, the proportional amount of such sales on credit has increased more than the proportional amount sold on a pre-paid basis‖ MR on growing Intl. business ―international figures reflect a growing base of international distributors satisfying Mindray‟s credit assessments for credit terms‖ – SEC Correspondence 9/14/12 83 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Med-tech Peers Revenue Recognition Policies Present Notable Differences Notably, peers recognize revenue when title and risk of loss have transferred to the buyer. Furthermore peers elaborate on how they recognize revenue by customer, provisions for doubtful accounts, rebates and its impact on revenue recognition thereafter MINDRAY MEDICAL, 2012 – 20F THERMOFISHER, 2012 – 20F COVIDIEN, 2012 – 10K 84 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Large Disparities in Efficiency… COMMENTS A look at Mindray's sales force raises several red flags The number of Chinese distributors has declined from over 2400 to 1300 through 09-12, (67% of total to 41%) Conversely, the Direct sales team has moved from 1200 to 1900 (33% of total to 59%) over the same period 33% 38% 49% 59% 67% 62% 51% 41% 2009 2010 2011 2012 What is disturbing is over that same period… Distributors in the region increased their contribution to sales from 76% to ~82% of sales, while direct sales reps declined by 600bps over the same period Implying productivity improvements for distributors of ~44% vs. 3% for direct sales over the period Note: Direct sales reps are acquired at a higher cost (declining returns on direct sales reps) Either Distributors in China are THAT efficient or the channel is being stuffed MR CUT ITS DISTRIBUTOR… CAGR ('09 - '12) Distributors (18.5%) Direct Sale 16.6% Distributors Direct Sales YET DISTRIBUTORS STILL CONTRIBUTE MORE TO SALES… CAGR ('09 - '12) Distributors 20.5% Direct Sale 6.7% 24% 17% 18% 18% 76% 83% 82% 82% 2009 2010 2011 2012 Ex-China paints a daunting picture as well… Distributors Ex-China has remained flat at ~1500 reps from 09-12 Direct Ex China sales team has increased from 150 to 900 over the same period Distributors in the region increased their contribution to sales from ~71% to ~75% of sales, while direct sales reps declined by 400bps over the same period Implying productivity improvements for distributors of ~22% vs. -38% for direct sales over the period While it is expected that productivity would suffer in the short term as MR added direct sales reps. We would expect their contribution to sales to improve 85 Domestic (China) distributor sales Domestic (China) direct sales ALL WHILE LOSING SHARE IN KEY PRODUCTS 18.0% 34.0% 19.3% 20.6% 14.0% 31.0% 2009 Patient Monitoring Hermatology Analyzers 10.1% 27.2% 2012 Ultrasounds Biochemistry Analyzers OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Lengthening Cash Conversion Cycle Balance Sheet Issues? CCC has lengthened for MR over the last few years and has shown few signs of turning. DSOs have gone from 26 days in ‗06 to 71 days in ‗12 and DIO has gone from 66 days to 81days over the same period At 101 days, the CCC is 20 days worse than the 7yr average of 80.9 days. What is alarming is the large contributor to that degradation is DSO followed by DIO, which worsened 16.3 and 8.6 days when compared to the 7yr average A closer look at payables suggests Mindray largely assumes both payment and inventory risks for most of its sales, with DSO increasingly drawn out Mindray likely could be borrowing from its suppliers and distribution network by delaying payments Note: A high number of our conversations with distributors noted MR underpays sales commissions and consistently pays late; that could be a portion of the accounts payable. (MR stopped reporting commission payables in 2012) Cash Conversion Cycle 2006A DIO DSO DPO Total CCC 86 2007A 2008A 2009A 2010A 2011A 2012A 2013E 66 26 (43) 55 26 (39) 60 40 (34) 79 58 (42) 86 67 (48) 80 71 (43) 81 67 (47) 88 68 (48) 49 42 66 95 105 108 101 108 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH New Users in the Channel – Equipment Leasing Companies? In the US Mindray claims that they primarily sell directly. Our checks and Mindray's disclosure suggest otherwise In response to the SEC inquiry on 6/18/12 on how MR plans on normalizing it‘s A/R, the company noted: ―The Company is also working to reduce its receivable turnover days going forward. In 2012, in connection with its international direct sales, the Company has begun utilizing third party equipment leasing agents in countries such as the United States and France in order to shift its collections risks and working capital burden to such parties, as such third party equipment leasing agents will make payments in accordance with the Company‘s payment terms and extend a line of credit to the Company‘s customers.‖ MR has been selling to customers that were willing to buy the inventory at a large discount and then just lease it to end-users Note: Mindray recognizes revenue from equipment leasing companies as “International Direct Sales” despite these businesses operate like distributors and there is no assurance that sales reach the enduser (digesting more sales) This further more explains the increasing A/Rs and CCC In the same form the company notes “As existing international distributors have increased their purchases of Company products, the proportional amount of such sales on credit has increased more than the proportional amount sold on a pre-paid basis” Who are these ―equipment leasing companies‖ or International Direct Sales reps? We track down several through Google alone 87 DEC - 2013 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH VIII Field Research 88 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH Mapping Out the Mindray Opportunity As part of flushing out our argument, we conducted 4 areas of proprietary field work We studied the life line of Mindray's business – MR's deep bench of distributors and direct sales reps – and sought to partition out the inner workings of this relationship and quantify its impact Unit economics of distributor relationship Impact from new entrants on MR's already chaotic distribution network We then sought, with the aid of consultants, to attack the major elements of the bear argument Competitive pressures have arrived MR's peak margins are unsustainable Overcapacity in the channel MR engages in dubious accounting reporting MR engages in long term dilutive acquisitions We then flushed out the likely elements that will drive the Mindray opportunity. We did this by marshaling out: A historical analysis of the growth cycle of other high growth industries in China Conversations with distributors and direct sales reps on the state of competition/channel inventory End-User surveys – on MR's brand competitive sustainability in China and likely profitable penetration into high /low end markets Proprietary calls with contractors & regulators on the state of Chinas hospital rollout Ultrasound specialists + Lab technicians on Zonares technology and likely penetration 89 DEC - 2013 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH Attacking the End User Stress Points With the view of better understanding the state of the Chinese medical devices market from the lenses of the end-user, we consulted several hospital purchasing managers across Chinas provinces My primary focus was on: What primary factors influence purchasing decisions FY14+ demand drivers + what trends if any we could pick up on that will provide insight into the likely evolution of the industry Current perception of Mindray products by the end-users Perception of Mindray distributors as characterized by end-users personal experiences 90 DEC - 2013 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 End User Conversations – Connecting The Dots Perception of Mindray Most of the hospital procurement managers in China we spoke to had positive things to say about Mindray with regards to product quality. Few referred to MR as a ―Chinese bellwether‖ Key takeaway: End-user showed strong interest in PMD + Ultrasound devices. Felt IVD products were below par Major cities seem less vulnerable to Mindray's marketing. One manager noted that ―hospitals in major cities worship international products‖ Perception of Mindray distributors The feedback on MR's distributors was very poor. One manager called the group “chaotic and sprawling group of Joe Shmos” whom couldn‘t prepare RFPS (billing docs) correctly or get pricing right “how well can you do a machine” – Our source noted Key Takeaway: All but 1 purchasing manager noted that they prefer to deal with direct sales rep because of their knowledge + expertise When asked directly whether MR was losing share each hospital manager said yes and cited MR's poor distribution network. One notably said Mindray is less sophisticated and are not closely related to their distributors (in Shanghai this is lethal) – Believes big distributors are not dedicated to Mindray + smaller ones had less expertise Impact: It its generally accepted by the street that MR has a large and sophisticated distribution network, which appears to be simply false One procurement manager cited companies like Phillips and Siemens (hand and hand) distributors are dispatched with the technology specialists (go on road shows/use seminars to showcase products). Whom have better response times and ―prepare perfect billing docs and paperwork‖ 91 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 End User Conversations – Hospital Preference What primary factors influence purchasing decisions The majority of hospital managers we spoke to noted technology/function as their top priority in making purchasing decisions, followed by favorable pricing and brand preference/ bundling services Key takeaway: End-users, emphasized favoring manufacturers that had longer warranty terms, service response times and quick service turnarounds Impact: MR lacks a service component (~90% cap. equip. vs. 10% services), furthermore, MR only provides a 1year warranty on products. 1 year warranty was also a headwind for MR when dealing with distributors. Distributors noted they didn‘t want to warehouse equipment themselves because MR doesn‘t track delivery but only tracks the equipment‘s exit from the warehouse. At which, the 1-yr warranty begins. If distributors were to take delivery before they complete a sale, the clock would tick down on the company warranty FY14+ Demand Drivers The majority of hospital procurement managers we spoke to expected a moderate increase in government subsidies and replacement of existing products to drive demand. One notably mentioned: ―Absolute value of healthcare spend is increasing despite denominator decreasing (GDP)‖ Key takeaway: Hospital purchasing power is becoming more decentralized Smaller hospitals have not had a chance to purchase intl. products / getting more power to choose products now Note: prior to ‘09 reform county level/lower tier hospitals given subsidies were highly encouraged to buy domestic products. We view this as no longer the case and a headwind to Mindray 92 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Alibaba Results – Bargaining Power Belongs To the Customer When we looked at Alibaba we were surprised to find a disproportionate amount of MR product vs. competitors (1750 MR SKUs from 59 distributors, vs. 85 for GE and 3 for Phillips) We contacted 21 distributors and within 1 – 5 hours 17 (81%) had responded We were able to negotiate 20% - 40% discounts from the asking price without suggesting we were ordering in bulk (we were buying 3 units) It's difficult to make definitive statements, but it's worrisome that MR distributors freely use this channel for sales and are willing to offer such aggressive discounts to a buyer they hardly know PRICING STRESS POINTS SELLER RESPONSE TIME # of sellers 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 No Response 14% 17 Firm Pricing 10% Very Negotiable 62% 3 1 1hr - 5hrs 93 5hr - 10hrs 24hrs 0 24+ hrs Negotiable Test low end of range 14% OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Key Distributor Conversations What we uncovered was startling and further confirmed our thesis that Mindray's long-term business model is unsustainable and very concerning As part of understanding the relationship between Mindray's distributor and the company, we conducted two areas of proprietary VAR work Conversations with MR distributors + ex-employees + competitor distributors Utilized distributor surveys Mindray's distribution sales force has ALOT of levels From our discussions we were able to unravel the many levels that make up Mindray's distribution sales force in China – which has more levels than we initially thought… The levels are as follows: Mindray Corporate -> Branch offices/Capital Investors -> Capital investors -> Distributors -> ―End user‖ Capital investors assume payable/inventory risk It was confirmed to us by several distributors that Mindray utilizes capital investors to sell inventory in China These capital investors are INVESTORS, and seek a return on their capital invested. It was communicated to us that Mindray's distributors are small and do not have cash flow to take product and therefore these capital investors can assume larger amounts of inventory/payable risk Many of the distributors described the relationship as mutually beneficial as Capital investors allows branch offices to finish quota – seemingly appears that Mindray is growing It was noted to us that senior management is aware of this issue What is most disturbing to us is how MR's product is digested 94 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 “Very Messy Situation - Mindray is Losing Control Over Distributors” Branch managers fight back through direct sales Distributors told us that many branch managers were unhappy with the added layers (which hurt margins) Distributors becoming their own direct sales reps Distributors noted to us that many branch offices are doing direct sales from inventory by capital investors (own private business) many are using ~30% inventory as their own private business (higher margin) One noted that MR is aware of this situation - but can not control it Management setup an internal discipline committee after the situation but its is still quite messy This could possibly explain the number of products we discovered on Alibaba Distributor woes We were told that the general population of distributors were unhappy at Mindray and with management Aggressive quotas is a real issue: distributors noted Mindray has been giving distributors more products than they can sell Channel packing is a real situation – quotas are impossible to meet The best distributors in Shanghai have started pushing back on capital investors - many of the best ones are leaving 95 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH Appendix 96 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Management Musical Chairs It is surprising the high esteem in which the sell-side holds Mindray‟s management. Management‟s singular ability to act one way and behave another has served to deter any meaningful inquiry into its internal dysfunction COMMENTS 3CFOs in 4 years Since 2009, Mindray has had 3 CFOs (Joyce Hsu, Ronald Ede, Jie Liu) – This is particularly unusual given the business is relatively mature and has been around for 20 years As a point of reference, a survey conducted by Crist Kolder Associates (a noted C-Level placement agent) noted that the average tenure of CFOs at Fortune 1000 companies is about 5.4 years. HC CFOs have the longest tenure at 6.5ys Lack of internal segregation North American team walkout Even more unusual is on 3/2011; Ronald Ede suddenly resigned as CFO (Ronald joined Biosensors after), retaining his position as non-executive director at Mindray. After his departure, the COO, Liu Jie, assumed the role of CFO – checks and balances? Following a decline in NA sales in 3Q12, which appeared to have come as a complete surprise to both mgmt. and the Street + a number of inadequate responses to certain FDA queries, the North American President David Gibson left MR along with his entire team – this raises some obvious some obvious question marks + management has give little reasoning Founder, Xu Hang departs In November 2012, Mr. Xu Hang, one of the founders, resigned as MR's co-chief executive officer, a position he had held since 1991 little color was given on whether the resignation was amicable 97 MANAGEMENT TURNOVER OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH DEC - 2013 Insiders Have Sold More Shares in the 2H13 Than in 1H13, 2012, 2011, 2010 & 2008 COMBINED Mindray's insiders have sold more shares in the 2H13 than for most of the company's history Note: Red Text represents management. Blue shade represents 2H13 activity 98 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH Decreasing Organizational Transparency - 2006 99 Source: http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1373060/000114554907001135/h01303h0095003.gif DEC - 2013 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH Decreasing Organizational Transparency - 2007 100 Source: http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1373060/000114554908001185/h02233h0223301.gif DEC - 2013 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH Decreasing Organizational Transparency - 2008 101 Source: http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1373060/000114554909000760/h03301h0330102.gif DEC - 2013 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH Decreasing Organizational Transparency - 2009 102 Source: http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1373060/000095012310046493/h04173h0417303.gif DEC - 2013 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH Decreasing Organizational Transparency – 2010 103 Source: http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1373060/000095012311034272/h04675h0467501.gif DEC - 2013 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH Decreasing Organizational Transparency - 2011 104 Source: http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1373060/000119312512194979/g293110g60t36.jpg DEC - 2013 OTTOMAN BAY RESEARCH Decreasing Organizational Transparency - 2012 105 Source: http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1373060/000119312513145980/g463253g70m74.jpg DEC - 2013