6.23 MB - Roland Berger
Transcription
6.23 MB - Roland Berger
Issue 02.2013 e t th ou iosk eck r K all Ch erge read ree d B nd or f lan p a s f Ro ap Mag re ou Automotive Insights Insights ls For detai see please 9 page Automotive Competence Center Client Magazine A Look around the world Regional insights Aftersales in the US, Brazil and CEE STrategy Tires Aftermarket Chinese manufacturers set to bounce back Cover story How well Do you know your customers? Smart customization in aftersales Interview Dr. Markus Schramm © Roland Berger Strategy Consultants 06/2013, all rights reserved www.rolandberger.com www.rolandberger.com/rb-kiosk NEW–!eMag The Head of Aftersales talks about BMW's goals Issue 02.2013 Automotive Competence Centers Worldwide Editorial Ralf Kalmbach Partner and Member of the Executive Committee Roland Berger Strategy Consultants Dear Reader, Belgium • Didier Tshidimba Phone +32 (2) 6610 317 [email protected] The automotive year 2013 is proceeding apace, and highlights like the International Motor Show in Frankfurt (IAA) are just around the corner. To make the time before the trade fair pass a bit more quickly for you (or to provide you with some reading for your summer break), we have published this new issue of our Automotive Insights magazine. CEE • Rupert Petry Phone +43 (1) 53602 101 [email protected] Its focus is the aftersales and aftermarket business, which is gaining importance in various markets. In contrast to the sale of new vehicles, aftersales has been neglected for quite some time and needs to be developed and professionalized. The biggest challenge – and hence the biggest opportunity – is the current lack of customized offerings, as our experts examine in the cover story. Using the German market as an example, they analyze the various customer groups and their special needs, emphasizing the imperative of customized services in the battle for customers. Individualization is also a major theme in our interview with Dr. Markus Schramm, Head of Global Aftersales at BMW Group. As an international consultancy, we aim to provide you with global insights. That's why this issue looks at the aftersales business in three different regions: the US, Central and Eastern Europe and Brazil. Published by: Roland Berger Strategy Consultants GmbH, Mies-van-der-Rohe-Straße 6, 80807 Munich Editors-in-chief: Ralf Kalmbach and Ralf Landmann Editors: Jan-Philipp Hasenberg, Christian Weber, Swen Beyer, Sven Wittmaack, RB Language Service Layout: RB Media Design Printed by: Girodruck, Hamburg By the way, don't forget to download the eMag version for tablets from the Roland Berger Kiosk. There you'll find plenty of extra content, viewable on both iOS and Android devices. If you want to share your views on any of the topics we have covered or if you have any questions, please call my colleagues or myself, or just drop us a line. I look forward to your feedback. But until then, I wish you insightful reading! Kind regards, Photo credits: Cover: RB Media Design . Page 2: Roland Berger Strategy Consultants GmbH . P. 4: Plainpicture/Mira . P. 5: picturealliance/Estadao Conteudo . P. 10: istock . P. 13: istock . P. 14: Mopar . P. 18: istock . P. 23: istock . P. 24-25: RB Media Design . P. 36: RB Media Design . P. 38: Norbert Wilhelmi . P. 40: Norbert Wilhelmi . P. 41: Li Zhong/laif . P. 42: Corbis . P. 50: Porsche AG Ralf Kalmbach Many thanks to car mechanic Erwin Zott for letting us take photos in his repair shop in Munich. Thanks also to all Roland Berger staff who lent us their car keys for the cover photo. Circulation: 3,900, published three times a year. No reprints without prior permission of the publisher. Automotive Insights | 02.2013 NORTH AMERICA • Marc Winterhoff Phone +1 (248) 729 5116 [email protected] • Thomas Wendt Phone +1 (248) 729 5116 [email protected] CHINA • Jun Shen Phone +86 (21) 5298 6677 890 [email protected] • Junyi Zhang Phone +86 (21) 5298 6677 890 [email protected] Norbert Dressler Phone +49 (89) 9230 8511 [email protected] • Philipp Grosse Kleimann Phone +49 (89) 9230 8511 [email protected] • Dr. Thomas Schlick Phone +49 (89) 9230 8737 [email protected] • Dr. Marcus Hoffmann Phone +49 (89) 9230 8037 [email protected] POLAND • Krzysztof Badowski Phone +48 (22) 32374 62 [email protected] INDIA • Dr. Wilfried Aulbur Phone +49 (89) 9230 8108 [email protected] RUSSIA • Dr. Uwe Kumm Phone +7 (495) 287 92 46 [email protected] CZECH REPUBLIC • Constantin Kinsky Phone +420 (2) 10219 552 [email protected] • Roland Zsilinszky Phone +420 (2) 10219 551 [email protected] ITALY • Roberto Crapelli Phone +39 (02) 29501 257 [email protected] • Alberto de Monte Phone +39 (02) 205011 0 [email protected] SCANDINAVIA • Per I. Nilsson Phone +46 (31) 75755 14 [email protected] • Per M. Nilsson Phone +46 (31) 75755 10 [email protected] FRANCE • Max Blanchet Phone +33 (1) 53670 946 [email protected] • Sebastien Amichi Phone +33 (1) 53670 946 [email protected] JAPAN • Dr. Satoshi Nagashima Phone +81 (3) 35876 385 [email protected] • Keisuke Yamabe Phone +81 (3) 35876 695 [email protected] • Dr. Martin Tonko Phone +81 (3) 35876 697 [email protected] Singapore • Joost Geginat Phone +65 6597 4566 [email protected] • Thomas Klotz Phone +65 6597 4566 [email protected] GERMANY • Ralf Kalmbach Phone +49 (89) 9230 8314 [email protected] • Marcus Berret Phone +49 (89) 9230 8737 [email protected] • Ralf Landmann Phone +49 (69) 29924 6301 [email protected] • Dr. Wolfgang Bernhart Phone +49 (69) 29924 6301 [email protected] • Jürgen Reers Phone +49 (89) 9230 8511 [email protected] Automotive Insights | 02.2013 • Malaysia Anthonie Versluis Phone +60 (3) 2203 8611 [email protected] SOUTH AMERICA • Thomas Kunze Phone +55 (11) 3046 7124 [email protected] • Stephan Keese Phone +55 (11) 3046 7124 [email protected] MIDDLE EAST • Michael Wette Phone +973 (17) 56795 0 [email protected] TURKEY • Doruk Acar Phone +90 (212) 358 6401 [email protected] • Netherlands • René Seyger Phone +31 (20) 7960 608 [email protected] 51 Table of contents 4 10 18 24 41 INterview A look around the world 4 Brazil 38 A challenging aftermarket – with bright prospects 10 18 Strategy 41 Cover story Customizing aftersales How OESs as well as independent players can better understand their different customer segments to offer appropriate individual services Automotive Insights | 02.2013 German tires aftermarket Why tire manufacturers from China are bouncing back Central and Eastern Europe Size matters – survey on the maturity of the aftermarket in CEE countries and major trends shaping the industry 24 Dr. Markus Schramm, Head of Global Aftersales at BMW, talks about the need for service differentiation USA After years of neglect, OEMs now recognize the importance of aftersales Aftersales at BMW Strategy 46 Alliances Preview of our new global study on global alliances in the auto industry 49 Books & Studies The latest Roland Berger publications at a glance 50 Famous cars Porsche 993 S Coupé "Vesuvio Metallic" 3 A Look around the world Brazil Dream destination Copacabana: Brazil is an attractive aftersales destination, but not necessarily an easy one Ample growth opportunities in a challenging environment 4 Automotive Insights | 02.2013 A Look around the world | Brazil The Brazilian vehicle aftermarket is undergoing a shift of directions: After years in which the business with parts and services was more or less dormant, now the prospects turn out to be promising O ver the last years, Brazil has received increasing attention as the country grew into the fourth largest market for new vehicle sales in the world, leaving other major global markets including Germany, Russia or the UK behind. In 2012, the market accounted for 3.6 million passenger cars and light commercial vehicles and 170,000 commercial vehicles. For 2013, the outlook is stable on the passenger car market and a 10% rebound is expected for the commercial vehicles market. On the aftermarket, however, things are still quite different. Despite a running fleet of just below 30 million vehicles, Brazil's aftermarket is still significantly smaller than for other countries. Official figures are hard to come by, but Roland Berger estimates the passenger car aftermarket at roughly USD 10 billion – related to the revenues of original equipment (OES) and independent aftermarket (IAM) suppliers. Thus, the average Brazilian spends only USD 300 per year on parts, less than half of their European or US American counterparts. Why is that? For one, the Brazilian fleet is still quite old. For many years until 2005, new vehicle sales have been dormant and consequently the average fleet age for passenger cars is now at roughly nine years, well above the European averages. In addition, most of the vehicles sold in the past were technologically outdated. Until a few years ago, Brazil was at least one model generation behind the global standards, selling cars with little equipment and thus lower repair potential. With the recent sales boom, the fleet is being modernized. OEMs are now launching their latest global models or even developing specific variations for the Brazilian market. SkEPTiCISM TOWARDS DEALERSHIPS IS A CHARACTERISTIC FOR THE BRAZILIAN AFtERMARKET Preferred service provider Others1) 17% Gas stations 16% Workshops/ autocenters 25% Dealerships 22% 14% 18% 17% 13% 11% 18% 15% 50% 57% 64% 68% 71% 5% 2% 1% 1% 5-6 years 7-9 years 10-14 years 15 years and more 42% 10% Car age 20% 23% Up to 2 years 3-4 years 1) Includes oil change stations Reasons not to repair in dealerships2) High prices 43% Low reliability 36% Bad service 33% Long repair times 17% Insufficient advice 14% Poor aftersales service 14% Long waiting times 12% Large distance from home 12% Low flexibility in timing 10% Vehicle warranty has expired 9% 2) Multiple answers possible; does not add to 100% Source: Sindipeças; GMA; Roland Berger Automotive Insights | 02.2013 5 ANYTHING BUT A MATURE AFTERMARKET: BRAZILIANS SPEND LESS THAN HALF OF THE MONEY ON PARTS AND SERVICES IN COMPARISION TO OTHER COUNTRIES Fleet size in million 42.1 31.3 30.7 250.0 746 745 36.6 46.5 25.9 57.3 874 Annual aftermarket revenues per vehicle [USD] 782 566 407 288 193 Germany France UK US Italy China Brazil Eastern Europe Source: Sindipeças; J.D.Power; Projetos; Roland Berger Why Brazilian customers prefer independent workshops A further important explanation for the lack of scale of the Brazilian aftermarket lies in the customer behavior for maintaining cars. Even though Brazilians are very attentive of their vehicles and quickly repair any (visible) damages, they are also extremely cost conscious. More than 50% of maintenance during the first two years of car ownership is done outside the dealerships. As soon as the warranty is over (most OEM warranty programs are limited to only one year), maintenance and repairs at dealerships drop to only 10%. Instead, customers prefer to frequent one of the 75,000 smaller, independent workshops to whose owners they often have a trustful and personal relationship and where they are sure to get the "best" prices and an attentive and reliable service. 6 The reason for this behavior lies in a mix of deeply routed perceptions that dealerships overcharge their customers, do not attend them well and provide poor service. In fact, OEMs have only recently started to develop better organized sales and service programs for their dealerships, to train dealer principals and mechanics, and to control parts and service prices. Most dealers still achieve less than 30% of their overall revenue from aftersales and the sale of parts. Nevertheless they are inexperienced in attracting and retaining customers. Nevertheless, this behavior is starting to change. As new vehicle margins for dealers come under increasing pressure, OEMs and large dealer groups start to understand the need to focus more on aftersales. As a consequence, the share of the OES channel is expected to rise from only 17% in 2010 to 24% in 2016. And there is even more room to grow for dealerships: Recently, Roland Berger developed an aftersales strategy Automotive Insights | 02.2013 A Look around the world | Brazil for a leading Brazilian dealership group resulting in a duplication of aftermarket revenues at the individual service sales and service points within three years. The market growth accelerates for various reasons This shift is happening in the light of strong overall aftermarket growth. For the years to come, the market should grow by approximately 10% per year, driven by the growth of the new vehicle fleet, better equipped and more complex vehicle models, more disposable income of the car owners, an increasing focus on (preventive) maintenance and stricter emission and vehicle safety regulations. In response to this growth, large global autocenter groups are arriving and workshop networks are starting to form. Several global players have entered the Brazilian market over the last years, aiming to participate in the fast growth and taking market shares from the independent small and medium-sized workshops. After a successful initial entrance, many struggle to expand further. Capturing the growth of the Brazilian aftermarket is not an easy task for suppliers. On the plus side, Chinese brands are only starting to arrive as the vast and developed aftermarkets in Europe or the US are much more attractive. Only the most advanced and professional Chinese IAM players have got lasting import and distribution partners. Most companies still work with changing partners willing to assume the entire risk of importing and then selling whole containers of goods Jammed roads are ordinary in Brazil: South America's biggest country has grown into the world's fourth largest automotive market Automotive Insights | 02.2013 7 A Look around the world | Brazil Aftermarket distribution chain in Brazil. Two characteristics are conspicuous: OEMs achieve only 20% market share, and the IAM strongly relies on distributors Original equipment market Independent aftermarket Suppliers Supply 15% Wholesale 60% OEMs 15% Retail Distributors 5% 30% 3% 16% Retailers OEM dealerships 6% Repair 9% 24% 8% Workshops 4% Fleets Auto centers 39% 17% 10% 22% 12% Final consumers xx% Share of aftermarket volume Source: Sindipeças; GMA; clippings; interviews; Roland Berger from China. In addition, margins are quite strong due to elevated aftermarket prices for the suppliers, distributors and retailers. On the down side, the Brazilian aftermarket is still highly fragmented and the geographic expansion poses significant challenges for both new entrants and established players. In comparison to more mature markets that are typically using a 2-Tier structure between suppliers and final customers (typically distributors and workshops), Brazil is still using a 3-Tier structure with national/regional distributors, resellers and workshops, each adding their own margin and service to the parts delivery. Heads up: The Brazilian market has some important characteristics A key reason for this complex structure is the vast expansion and poor infrastructure of Brazil. Bringing parts within even 24 hours at reasonable cost still poses an enormous challenge in many regions of the country, 8 not even considering the really remote areas such as the Amazon. Thus national distributors often work hand in hand with regional players to ensure a national coverage of warehouses on-site. Local resellers often operate a network of motorcycle delivery boys bringing the parts to the workshops that usually do not keep any stock at all. A consolidation of this market is expected on a short-term basis but has not yet started. The leading distributor thus currently holds below 4% market share and even the top-20 combined do not surpass 25% market share. With infrastructure and professionalism of the market developing, this structure becomes increasingly outdated and unnecessary. The market needs to consolidate, but no one seems to know how. Will suppliers deliver directly to the bigger autocenters and workshop chains as they are already starting to do, thus bypassing the distributors entirely? Or will the distributors consolidate, encompassing the resellers and thus position themselves as an irreplaceable partner in the distribution chain? So far, no trend is clearly visible, and market participants maintain a high degree of flexibility, preparing for either scenario. Automotive Insights | 02.2013 Competition is growing: Brazil attracts players along the entire value chain For new market entrants, this creates a scenario of uncertainty, where capturing the growth in a profitable manner is not an easy task. Ensuring the right partners and products, implementing a cost efficient, lean and highly effective and reliable logistical structure, establishing the brand and building trust to the customers are among the key challenges for any market participant. For the years to come, the Brazilian aftermarket will grow significantly. This will attract many more players along the entire value and distribution chain. However, it is a complex automotive market that needs to be understood in detail and requires substantial preparation and consideration to succeed. Companies investing in Brazil have become very successful and earn good money – or have lost their investments many times over. 5 reasons to browse the Automotive Insights eMag on your tablet: Best practices Find out about the aftersales strategies of big OEMs. Examples from other industries Read more about customer service at online and telco giants. The RB Profiler in detail Take a closer look at our analytics tool. Audio content Listen to Ralf Kalmbach, Head of Automotive at Roland Berger. Reading tips Check out our collection of eMags, studies and papers for automotive insiders. Authors Stephan Keese Partner Roland Berger Strategy Consultants, São Paulo [email protected] Martin Bodewig Principal Roland Berger Strategy Consultants, São Paulo [email protected] Rodrigo Custodio Project Manager Roland Berger Strategy Consultants, São Paulo [email protected] Automotive Insights | 02.2013 9 A Look around the world USA Downtown New York – symbol for "the land of opportunity": Is there an opportunity to grow in the aftermarket business for OEMs, too? The battle for customer ownership 10 Automotive Insights | 02.2013 A Look around the world | USA After years of neglect, OEMs in the US recognize the importance of the aftermarket business and try to regain market share from their independent competitors T he US light vehicle automotive aftermarket reached a total size of USD 230 billion in 2012. Currently, 73% of the overall revenues are generated through the independent aftermarket channel, which is an increase of 5% within the last ten years. Because OEMs are losing market share to the independents, they and their dealers need to find new and expand existing measures to benefit from the highly lucrative parts and service business. On average a dealers service, parts and body shop operations generate 12% of sales but as much as 43% of profits, an Automotive News study revealed. The big problem for OEM networks in the US is customer retention. After purchasing a new car a typical US owner rarely returns to his dealer for nonwarranty service, preferring to use an independent shop instead. The main reason for that is that customers believe that independent service providers are generally less costly and do not offer unneeded repair service. This poses a problem for OEMs and their dealers, as this generalization does not always hold true. The immense geography of the US is exacerbating this problem, as it is difficult for manufacturers to have a dealership close to all customers. Independents, also attracted by the high profitability of the aftermarket, have filled in these geographical gaps. Another challenge for OEMs as well as independents is the ever increasing vehicle quality. This will further reduce the overall need for service and maintenance, and consequently increase competition in the aftermarket. In particular younger generations, which are accustomed to utilizing various electronic channels, will further increase the need for better and more convenient services solutions. For example, they are used to signing an iPad and then receiving an email Automotive Insights | 02.2013 invoice. They will not tolerate waiting 15 minutes and then being asked to fill out lengthy paper forms. Because of these challenges and dynamics many OEMs have placed a newfound importance on making their service more convenient. However, the majority of the automotive industry is still far behind companies like Apple, Starwood or Starbucks in terms of convenience and consistency of services. Current initiatives by OEMs Based on our perception, manufacturers in the US have understood that they need to adapt their existing aftermarket solutions to match the changing customer demand. Furthermore, they realized that they can retain their customer base by offering them an excellent customer experience. Because US customers value convenience above all else, especially when compared to other major markets like Europe or Japan, OEMs need to improve the convenience of their existing processes and aftersales formats as well as their online presence and make prudent use of telematics systems. The current initiatives can be differentiated in three fields: • Process and format innovations • Online presence • Telematics systems and connected vehicle technologies How OEMs try to improve the overall customer experience These measures include all kinds of improvements to existing service related processes initiated by OEMs in cooperation with their dealer networks. Moreover, they cover innovative solutions, which were either adopted from leading service industries or are entirely new solutions designed specifically for the automotive segment. The following presents an overview of current examples by various OEMs and their dealer networks' efforts to improve the overall customer experience: • Ford launched Quicklane, a network of over 600 • quick service centers that perform oil and filter changes, tire changes and minor repair services. Quicklane locations service competitive brands as well – over half of customers bring in a competitive vehicle. Dealers have reported an increase in new and used car sales since the introduction. Nissan recently launched express lanes at 400 of its 1,100 dealerships. 11 US light vehicle aftermarket sales breakdown by channel, 2002 vs. 2012 • OEMs like BMW, Volkswagen, Toyota, Nissan, Chrysler Total market size: USD 230 bn OEM – new car dealers Others 28% • 27% 2012 Sales by channel [%] Tire dealers 7% 16% 11% Automotive parts & accessories stores General automotive repair shops 11% Automotive body, paint and interior repair and maintenance • • • Total market size: USD 180 bn 25% Others Tire dealers Automotive parts & accessories stores 2002 7% 32% Sales by channel [%] 10% 11% 15% Automotive body, paint and interior repair and maintenance • OEM – new car dealers • General automotive repair shops or Mercedes Benz offer online service scheduling through Xtime for their dealerships. Advantages are to choose from open time slots, reminders and status updates as well as online payment. The 200 Volkswagen dealerships currently using Xtime generate an average of 20 new customers a month. Hyundai has gone one step further with its "At Your Service Campaign" for owners of its new Equus luxury model. The company decided that a luxury ownership experience should not require the customer to ever set foot inside a dealership or repair shop. A representative will come to pick up your vehicle and leave you a loaner car when service is required. Once the service is complete, your car will be returned to you. Additionally, Hyundai provides America's best warranty coverage of 10 years or 100,000 miles (about 161,000 km). Hyundai assurance offers a "Hyundai Trade-In Value Guarantee" which guarantees (at the time of purchase) exactly how much a car (Genesis, Genesis Coupe and Equus) will be worth two, three and four years from the purchase date. The ever increasing electronic complexity of today's cars has prompted Lexus to introduce Apple-style "Geniuses" that provide customers with free support in navigating all the vehicle technology such as the entertainment and navigation systems. Lincoln is set to roll out its new 24/7 concierge program (integrated into its website) which among other things will give its customers a personalized portfolio, logging all customer vehicle preferences, which can be shared with the customer's preferred dealer. Chrysler has recently (in conjunction with its dealer network) introduced 800 express lanes designed to offer quick services like 15-minute oil changes at prices in line with independent outlets. Additionally, the company has introduced the wiAdvisor system, which helps dealers and their service employees to have selected vehicle data and customer preferences instantly available. A lot of OEMs like Chrysler, Ford and Toyota have started to offer care programs and service contracts. According to a recent DMEautomotive survey only about one in four US vehicle owners currently has a prepaid or free service plan. According to the study, 56% of these consumers are likely to continue servicing at the dealership even after the expiration of these plans. Source: AAIA; Roland Berger Automotive Insights | 02.2013 A Look around the world | USA These examples clearly demonstrate that OEMs in the US have realized the need to turn their focus to the aftersales market segment and not only to new car sales. However, not all customers have the same expectations or requirements regarding pricing and procedures. In order to address each client individually, manufacturers also need to have a comprehensive customer segmentation approach. This will help each OEM to further differentiate its service product portfolio. Most importantly, the knowledge about customer service patterns, their attitude towards cars, as well socio-demographical information need to be distributed to all involved aftersales employees. In this regard, Chrysler's wiAdvisor approach is a good example of how OEMs started to leverage relevant customer information. Why manufacturers have to invest into online presence In 2012 online automotive parts sales hit approximately USD 3.5 billion. While this is still a small portion of the overall aftermarket, it is also one of the fastest growing segments. Additionally, over 70% of US consumers who need automotive parts use the internet for price comparison and location searches, even if they do not make their actual purchase online. Because of this, the web is one of the most important contact points between OEMs and their clients. A great customer experience needs to be consistent across all channels and processes where people interact with the brand. Therefore OEMs must ensure that their online presence is as user friendly and convenient as all of their other initiatives. For example, when customers want to schedule service or buy a part online, they are often redirected from an elegant OEM website to a less sophisticated and less convenient local dealer website. Currently, a number of OEMs, including Chrysler (Mopar), Ford, Honda and Nissan offer parts retail from their website. Once a part is selected the order is processed by the website of the closest dealer. Even though the customer is aware that this is no longer the company's website, it is still a representation of the brand. Therefore, OEMs must work very closely with their dealers to better leverage the power of their brand. One player that has done well in this regard is BMW. Most of their dealers' websites match the corporate web design very closely and provide a pleasant user experience. Green traffic lights ahead: Several OEMs are opening the throttle to regain market share in the aftersales business Automotive Insights | 02.2013 13 A Look around the world | USA Other manufacturers such as Mercedes, Toyota and GM do not offer parts retail service on their website, probably because they do not want to undermine the sales efforts of their dealers. The relationship between an OEM and its dealers is unique relative to other countries. Owing to US franchise laws, manufacturers must sell their vehicles through their franchised dealers and cannot retail directly. Such a situation gives dealers the ultimate control over face-to-face customer interactions. Therefore, OEMs must redesign their processes and platforms in a way that more easily incorporates external systems, such as their various dealers' websites. Ideally, it should be possible to schedule a service at a specific dealer directly from the manufacturer's website. Moreover, the visitors should never be redirected to an external site that may not represent the brand in the best manner. Convenience and consistency are the keys to success and customer retention. Therefore, the customer must be presented with a single and consistent image and experience of the brand that does not change when moving from one channel to another. Telematics systems and connected vehicle technology A key lever for manufacturers and their dealer networks to increase customer retention can be seen in the increasing integration of telematics systems in new vehicles. The North American telematics market for OEM embedded systems increased from roughly 800,000 units in 2000 to approximately 14 "Convenience is the most critical factor" Pietro Gorlier, President & CEO of the Chrysler parts and service brand Mopar, talks about future aftersales challenges and characteristics of the US market INSIGHTS Mr. Gorlier, what makes the US aftermarket special compared to other major markets like Germany or Japan? Pietro Gorlier We have one of the most competitive environments and a larger market share held by independent players compared to other key markets around the world. Two main drivers have led to this environment: The first dimension is the geographic one: Due to the sheer size of the US, it's very hard to have a sustainable OEM service point close to every single customer. Independent competitors, serving multiple brands, have filled this space. The second driver are service demands that differ from other regional markets: compared to Europe, US car owners travel more miles, more than 50% more in fact, and the service intervals are shorter, requiring more service visits. Automotive Insights | 02.2013 This larger potential has created favorable conditions for the development of a fierce competition to conquer these customers. Magneti Marelli, creating a portfolio of 30 product lines and more than 3,000 part numbers for all makes. What are, in your opinion, the key challenges from an OEM perspective within the US aftermarket? The greatest challenge is customer retention. With OEMs, you have a clear, sharp decline in customer retention after the first two or three years of the life of a car. You quickly move from a retention rate of approximately 60-70% in the beginning to below 50%. When the car reaches five years or older, the retention rate falls to 20-30%. Another challenge is the perception customers have of dealers: they see them as inconvenient and expensive compared to independent outlets. This is more perception than reality, but this is an issue. Last but not least, as vehicle quality improves and service intervals become longer, cars need less service. This contraction of business potential in a market overcrowded of players is leading to even more competition for aftersales business. How to you react to the ever-growing demand for online services? We know that 70% of all parts, tire, service and accessory searches are online, so we enhanced our Mopar website. Now customers may conveniently browse our online catalogs of proven, quality-tested parts and accessories and order them on the web. We offer dealers a search program that allows us to present them as a top option to consumers who are using a search engine or social network, with the opportunity to download coupons, get driving directions and call the dealer. Dealers may also send coupons to mobile phones and instantly collect customer feedback. Apart from that, we introduced numerous industry-first features including vehicleinformation apps, electronic owner manuals, WiFi, wireless charging for smartphones, and an electronic vehicle tracking system that sends owners a text when their vehicle is being driven too fast or too far based on set parameters. What is Chrysler/Mopar doing to capture even more aftermarket value? The crisis of 2008 and 2009 was a strong wake-up call for all the dealers when they suddenly found out that they needed to cover the lack of volume in new-car sales with parts and service profits. To maximize our business, we are working closely with our dealer network on a daily basis to create an excellent customer experience in order to improve customer retention and attract new customers. Could you specify that, please? We introduced a number of initiatives to improve the overall customer experience: For quick, convenient maintenance, we launched 800 Mopar Express Lane facilities at our dealers, which is 35% of our network. We also launched Saturday service hours in more than 80% of our dealers, expanded our daily customer call-center hours and introduced industry-first Sunday call-center hours. To generate return business, we significantly improved our service-contract penetration. Last year, we sold a record 1.4 million service contracts. This is significant because each contract generates an average of three future visits. You already support several brands – any efforts to expand this range? To attract owners of competitive makes into our service lanes, we partnered with Automotive Insights | 02.2013 Do you use mobile or web-based technologies for customer care in your workshops, too? We do: For a quick, all-encompassing check-in procedure in our service lanes, we introduced the industry-first wiAdvisor technology, a system on a tablet computer that provides service representatives with an instant 360-degree view of a customer and his or her car the minute they pull into our service lane. All data, including customer preferences and relevant vehicle information, is immediately at the fingertips of our service personnel. The experience is similar to that of checking into a luxury hotel. How does Fiat's/Chrysler's single aftersales brand approach compare to other OEMs? What are advantages and disadvantages? When you start sharing platforms, components, processes, systems, and diagnostic tools across all of your brands, you realize numerous benefits. Having only one organization that provides service and support to every dealer and every customer for all brands is a competitive advantage in standardization of process and parts and time to market. The Mopar umbrella gives dealers a single point of contact for all of our brands. And don't forget that the Mopar brand has a proud 76-year heritage, a legacy that also gives us a competitive advantage. Final topic, Mr. Gorlier: What are your prospects for the aftersales business? I think it's important to keep in mind how customer demographics are changing and how we will effectively change to meet the expectations of and delight tomorrow's customers. New generations will be even more demanding because they have been exposed to better service and retail dynamics. I think this is one area where the automotive market still lags behind other retail industries. Think about the typical teenager who is used to shopping online. He or she has never dealt with paper transactions and does everything electronically. Why should they have to deal with a cashier when they are used to signing their names on a tablet and getting an invoice e-mailed to them? Similarly, customers expect to conveniently book service online or receive online updates on the progress of a repair. It's all about convenience? Absolutely: In today's day and age, convenience is the most critical factor. Only those OEMs, dealers, and independents who can offer the highest level of convenience seamlessly integrated into their overall customer experience will be successful in winning a share of the automotive aftermarket. And, as an added benefit, if you provide a customer with a great experience, they will be much more likely to consider you when purchasing their next new vehicle. Mopar is the service, parts and customer care brand within Chrysler Group LLC and Fiat SpA. It was founded in 1937. The name is a portmanteau word of "motor" and "parts". Headquartered in Auburn Hills, Michigan, the brand employs more than 6,000 people in 130 countries. Mopar ships more than 350,000 order lines per day and operates 50 parts distribution centers. It supports different car brands like Chrysler, Dodge, Fiat or Alfa Romeo. Mr. Pietro Gorlier is the President & CEO of Mopar since 2009. He joined the Chrysler Group from Fiat Group Automobiles and CNH Global. At Fiat he served as head of customer service. Gorlier entered into the Fiat Group in 1989 as a market analyst and held various positions in logistics, aftersales, and customer care. The Italian-born manager holds a Master of Economics from the University of Turin. 15 Historical development of the US light vehicle aftermarket [USD Billion] CAGR +2.6% 210 29% 230 '02-'12 CAGR [%] 27% +0.6% 215 27% 180 32% +3.5% 71% 73% 73% How is the independent aftermarket responding? 68% 2002 2007 2010 2012 OEM – new car dealers Independent aftermarket players Source: AAIA; Roland Berger 4 million units in 2012. It is the largest market in the world, according to an IHS study. With a growing penetration of telematics systems in the car fleet, OEMs can establish a direct communication channel to vehicle owners and introduce new proactive services, which create a competitive advantage against the independent aftermarket. For instance, telematics can automatically notify the manufacturer to send a message directly to a car or smartphone, reminding the owners that their vehicle is due for an oil change and recommend the preferred dealer and special products or service packages at the same time. OEMs can provide wireless software updates that continuously create an added value for the customer during the complete car ownership cycle strengthening the bond with the brand. In the future, telematics will also be the basis for predictive maintenance, where the driver is automatically warned ahead of a severe failure. This service can include recommendations how to mitigate the problem with the preferred dealership or in urgent 16 cases the dealer close by, which provides a unique opportunity to avoid a negative product and brand experience. A good example for the increased usage of telematics systems in the US is the Hyundai system "Blue Link". An integrated multimedia navigation system plus a connected smartphone are its base. Service related functions include vehicle diagnostic trouble code notification, maintenance alerts, service scheduling, and live owner support. Over 300,000 customers subscribed to the service in the US. Ford's SYNC package also offers service related information to vehicle owners. The vehicle health report as an example provides data and suggests actions for displayed warning indicators and scheduled or subserviced maintenance. The system was already introduced in late 2007. The independent competition will not easily give up its current market share of the US aftermarket. They are responding to OEM initiatives with constant improvements of their existing processes and solutions. The major independent service and retail chain, Pep Boys, recently launched a pilot program in Tampa Florida. The store has a completely new design where traditional aisles are replaced with "Product Neighborhoods" to make finding products more convenient. The store also features a general aesthetic makeover and customer conveniences such as an upgraded waiting lounge with free WiFi and other amenities. The entire design is focused around convenience and a more customer centric approach. AutoZone, another major independent aftermarket retail chain recently partnered with Osram Sylvania to provide store personnel and customers an easy to use touch screen kiosk at the shelf to assist with part selection. Customers in selected AutoZone stores will find it much easier to select the right headlights for their cars and can even watch videos detailing how to perform the installation, using iPads with special software (Sylvania's custom headlight app). These two examples of major players demonstrate that independents have also realized that a convenient and pleasant experience is what drives customers to frequent their stores. Moreover, the big independent aftermarket service chains are highly professional businesses, which already have well defined best Automotive Insights | 02.2013 A Look around the world | USA The US aftermarket in numbers 250 m 11 years Light vehicle car fleet (2012) Average light vehicle age (2012) 146,000 4.0 m Number of independent service points (excluding gasoline stations; 2010) Number of employees (2011) 31,400 Number of light vehicle dealers (including franchises; 2012) focus back to this highly profitable business over the last few years. They realized its importance in boosting their customer retention and have initiated programs to improve the aftersales experience. Improved online presence and the forethought to leverage all benefits offered by telematics systems are further measures for OEMs. However, OEMs still have a long way to go, particularly given the strong competition of independent service companies. They also need to find the right balance when working together with their dealers by providing them innovative solutions and ideas, without influencing their operations too much. We believe that in the end only those OEMs that work closely with their dealers to offer a pleasant and convenient experience that is consistently and seamlessly integrated into all different channels will be successful. Authors Antonio Benecchi Partner Roland Berger Strategy Consultants, Chicago [email protected] Source: AAIA; Automotive News; Experian Automotive; J.D. Power; Roland Berger practices regarding customer experience. Pep Boys, as an example, opens its stores from Monday to Sunday, appointments can be made online, and the company uses apps as a communication platform. Furthermore, it has already established a reward membership program similar to other major hotel chains. Program members are eligible for special treatments like free tire repairs or battery checks and earn points with every purchase or service, which can be used for future purchases. Manufacturers still have a long way to go Marc Winterhoff Partner Roland Berger Strategy Consultants, Detroit [email protected] Danny Mueller Senior Consultant Roland Berger Strategy Consultants, Chicago [email protected] Alexander Baumgartner Junior Consultant Roland Berger Strategy Consultants, Chicago [email protected] The US aftermarket has lagged behind other industries in terms of customer convenience and experience. However OEMs, who neglected the aftersales side, have shifted their Automotive Insights | 02.2013 17 One region, many different ways. The aftersales business in CEE is as divers as the countries A Look around the world CEE Size matters Survey on the maturity of the aftermarket in CEE countries and major trends shaping the industry T he CEE aftermarkets have experienced dynamic growth over the past few years and are also likely to grow faster than the established European countries in the future. The maturity of spare part markets is generally improving as the countries approach Western European levels, albeit with different dynamics. As the region is very diverse, and significant differences exist between the countries, the key question is where the particular 18 CEE countries stand in terms of market maturity, and which ones will benefit from the future growth? We can already say that the maturity of major CEE markets is still far behind that of developed Western European countries, and that the "size matters" principle has proven to be a valid profitability driver along with the business model and relative market share, for instance. Some CEE markets have already entered the consolidation phase for this reason. Automotive Insights | 02.2013 A Look around the world | CEE Lean and growing markets The CEE aftermarket has been virtually rebuilt from scratch over the last 20 years and is therefore characterized by a lean and efficient structure. There is a small number of leading independent distributors in each of the countries, typically supplying garages directly via a dense network of branches. Wholesalers and regional distributors play a lesser role than in Western Europe, as they focus mainly on fringe regions and small cities where it is not necessarily economical for distributors to operate their own branches. Two major business models have crystallized in the market – own branches and franchise branch operations. Most Western European players, such as Rhiag, Stahlgruber or Trost, approach the market via their own branches nowadays; they focus on maximizing value by controlling the network and proximity to clients. However, the major Polish players, such as Inter Cars, use mainly the franchise model to achieve fast market expansion at limited costs. The combined market size of the CEE aftermarkets reached EUR 8 billion in 2011, driven mainly by regional leaders such as Poland (55%), the Czech Republic (17%) and Romania (12%). As car parc age is higher on average than in Western Europe (ranging from 12 years in Slovakia to 14 years in the Czech Republic and Poland), the independent aftermarket's share of the total is very significant, reaching as much as 73%. The markets have achieved strong average growth of 4.7% per annum in the past (2005 to 2012), driven by increases in disposable income and a growing car parc. They are also expected to maintain above-average annual growth of 4.2% between 2012 and 2016. CEE: A diverse region far from Western levels Market maturity in CEE varies widely by country, so we have created an aftermarket maturity index to assess their respective stages of development. The index combines a number of criteria across three major stakeholder groups: distributors (presence of international players, partner program quality, for instance), garages (with criteria like garage size), and end customers (average car age, spend per car, for example). Thus it provides a comprehensive assessment of each country. In a nutshell, CEE still significantly lags behind the most advanced markets such as Germany or Switzerland Automotive Insights | 02.2013 (see first figure next page). The differences can be found across all stakeholder groups. On average, a customer in Germany spends up to EUR 500 per vehicle per annum. This figure is just EUR 270 (54% of the German amount) in the Czech Republic and as low as EUR 230 (46%) in Poland. The average age of a German car is roughly 8 years, and the car parc renovation rate is 7.4% per annum. In the Czech Republic or Poland in contrast, the average age is about 14 years, and the renovation rate stands at 3.6% (Czech Republic) or 1.5% (Poland, 2011). These differences are crucial, as past surveys have shown that car owners significantly reduce their investment in vehicles that are ten years old or older (for further insights into the customer behavior check out our cover story on page 24). Not surprisingly, brand preferences differ from country to country: the Poles like to drive Fiats, Czechs and Slovaks favor Škoda, Hungarians prefer Suzukis, and Romanians like Dacias – based on local footprint of the brands. Distributor backgrounds differ greatly among the countries. In some markets there is a strong presence of established players from Western Europe. For example, the Czech Republic and Slovakia have five brands among the top ten players owned by major international distributors, including Rhiag, Stahlgruber and Trost. On the other hand, Romania and Hungary are dominated by local players with only a minor presence on other markets and with limited access to foreign capital and know-how. The Polish market is exceptional, as it is dominated by the national champion Inter Cars, a company that has also managed to expand significantly into other CEE countries. At the same time, Poland is characterized by very low margins compared to the rest of CEE. This is due to customers' high level of cost consciousness and the proliferation of the franchise model, which focuses on growth rather than profitability. Partner programs are already popular in some CEE markets, such as the Czech Republic, Slovakia or Poland, and a number of sophisticated programs have developed (Partner Elit by the leading Czech distributor, for instance). However, the penetration of affiliated workshops is still low in Hungary and Romania, and the share of affiliated garages has room to grow across all CEE markets, compared to more developed countries (below 30% contrary to over 60% in Italy and 50% in Germany). Furthermore, the average size of garages (measured as car parc per garage) is smaller in CEE, where small 19 Our "Aftermarket maturity index" visualizes the stages of development of different markets Switzerland Germany Maturity index Romania Laggard Poland Hungary Czech Republic Slovakia Fast follower Follower Italy Advanced Most advanced Source: Roland Berger Overview about key aftermarket metrics in CEE and selected Western European countries h ec Cz Customers lic ub d kia va lan o Po Sl p Re n Hu ry ga Ro m ia an ly Ita d lan ny ma r Ge i Sw r tze Spend per car Age of fleet Fleet renovation Car penetration Distributors Market consolidation Direct access to garages Presence of internat. players Partner program quality Involvement in buying groups Garages Average garage size Presence of specialized chains Total Positive/high 20 Source: Roland Berger Negative/low Automotive Insights | 02.2013 A Look around the world | CEE workshops with limited equipment and skills are still very common. The average figure is below 1,500 vehicles in most CEE markets, while the developed countries reach about 2,000. However, the lower maturity level of many CEE countries means that the markets still present a significant investment opportunity. They are likely to experience above-average growth driven by an expanding car parc, spend per car approaching European levels, and the declining average age of vehicles driven. end customer to purchase the necessary spare parts and at the same time to book a slot at an Inter Cars partner garage to have them fitted. Nevertheless, the risk to established players from the online segment is not considered to be very high at the moment. Exclusivity, which was very common in CEE in the past, has gradually been abandoned, as distributors have become increasingly reluctant to commit themselves to sales targets and instead are choosing to offer their clients a wider range of products. At the same time, suppliers have opted for maximum possible access to the market in order to maintain their sales levels. Several global trends affect the CEE markets, too Consolidation underway A number of global trends are shaping the CEE aftermarkets. The crisis hit carmakers with a local footprint, and their regional sales and aftermarket business for new vehicles declined. Since then, OEMs have been trying to penetrate the independent aftermarket segment of older vehicles (more than three years) to generate more business and improve profitability. The main levers used focus on increasing customer loyalty and satisfaction and improving cost competitiveness by means of focused marketing campaigns. At the same time, major independent distributors are striving to set up stronger links to leasing, fleet management and insurance companies. Thus, they gain a greater share of the young cars segment (up to three years). Relations with insurance companies (which could save up to 20% of the costs by using IAM garages) are not yet well established – mainly due to substandard service levels provided by the IAM workshops. However, leasing companies and fleet managers have increasingly been testing the IAM segment over the last three years in order to optimize their cost base. Overall, despite the fact that OEMs have significant financial clout and their workshops have a strong quality and technology base, the IAM segment is expected to hold, or even slightly improve its position. Its remaining cost competitiveness and the improving service level contribute to this advancement. The development of online business, especially B2C, was accelerated by the crisis in CEE, as end customers became increasingly cost-conscious. Many buy parts online nowadays and then ask a garage to fit them. Distributor-supported web platforms are also beginning to appear. One example is motointegrator.pl, run by the leading Polish distributor Inter Cars. It enables the The markets in a number of CEE countries are in turmoil, characterized by ongoing consolidation, with some players strengthening their positions and others leaving the battleground. Especially the most developed markets, such as the Czech Republic and Slovakia, are on the move, with major European players consolidating the market (though some are still finding it hard to get into in the black). Trost initiated the consolidation wave with its Meteor takeover in 2008. Rhiag added Auto Kelly to its portfolio, next to Elit, in 2010 – establishing a clear number-one player in the Czech Republic and Slovakia. Stahlgruber acquired Autobenex in 2012 as a second brand next to Autocora to strengthen its position in the Czech Republic. At the same time, a number of players, especially from those ranked fifth to fifteenth, were forced to leave the market, as their position and growth prospects were no longer sustainable. There are also some local growth stories. Inter Cars has managed to almost double in size to become nearly three times larger than its most important competitor in Poland. It has also expanded into neighboring countries, where it is now present in ten neighboring markets. Since 2008, Inter Cars has opened 83 new branches and entered four markets, though Poland still accounts for more than 75% of its business. The strength of the top ten leading players has been growing continually over the last few years at the expense of both other national players and local wholesalers. For example, the top ten distributors in the Czech Republic have increased their market share by 15% since 2007. In Slovakia, the top ten even have grabbed 17%. As the CEE markets are rather small compared to Germany, for example, they are already characterized Automotive Insights | 02.2013 21 A Look around the world | CEE by a lower degree of fragmentation, with the top five players holding over 40% of all the assessed markets. This share is likely to grow further as the countries mature and the major players shore up their positions. Size matters! Spare parts distribution is one of the most competitive businesses, and only the largest players are able to achieve positive profitability (see the infographics below). One reason is that access to capital and knowhow becomes critical (especially on small markets) as complexity increases – driven by the growing importance of electronics and a higher variety of models. Thus, a growing number of stock-keeping units have to be available, and greater demands are made on the services and intelligence of a garage. Secondly, the largest players are typically those with the highest relative market share (Inter Cars is almost three times larger than Fota in Poland, and Rhiag is four times the size of Stahlgruber in the Czech Republic). This gives them significant advantages on a number of criteria: only the largest players are strong enough to negotiate the best deals with suppliers, achieve economies of scale in logistics, have sufficient capacity and strength to develop an affiliation program and private label brand, and provide their clients with the required service level and tools. Exceptions include specialized players such as ACI in the Czech Republic (crash specialists), which can achieve high profitability with a specific USP (unique selling proposition). Of course, other key drivers like the business model can also significantly drive profitability. As a consequence, buying groups, both global and local, have significantly gained in importance. Global players, such as ATR or Temot, increased their joint revenue from EUR 7 billion to EUR 12 billion between 2007 and 2011. This rise is due to their attraction for distributors, which find them an efficient tool for increasing their negotiating power vis-à-vis suppliers. Similarly, a number of consortia were set up by local wholesalers (such as Nas Service Group in the Czech Republic, founded in 2011) to leverage their combined buying power and improve their quality of service. How to generate synergies? Recent cases have indicated that synergies are hard to realize in the aftermarket distribution business, and are only to be found if two players merge in adjacent or the same markets. Size matters: The bigger a player, the higher its chance to achieve profitability, as shown by the matrix of major CEE independent distributors Sales [EUR m] 450 150 100 50 20 0 -25 -20 -15 Major CEE independent distributors -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 EBIT margin [%] Source: Roland Berger 22 Automotive Insights | 02.2013 A Look around the world . CEE Buzzy future: The CEE markets are on the move and likely to experience above-average growth in the next few years Consolidators can count on synergies from sharing investment in the diagnostic tools provided to garages, sharing overhead functions, streamlining product portfolios, or optimizing transportation and warehousing costs. A number of recent cases tapped synergies by accessing a private label or affiliation program developed by a particular distributor. Finally, let's not forget synergies from improved negotiating power vis-à-vis suppliers. However, once the buying groups are already established as a strong negotiating platform in this respect, benefits of scale achieved via consolidation are diminished. Significant care must be taken to implement synergy levers, even if they relate to the background functions – there must be no negative impact on customer satisfaction. The risk of losing market share is high, as competitors are ready to take advantage of every small mistake. To conclude, size matters, since only the large players have sufficient resources to succeed in the highly competitive but (in terms of growth prospects) still appealing markets with a number of regional specifics. Both consolidation and organic growth seem to be valid ways to tap the region's potential. However, the optimal size should be reached with a wise and well-thought-out approach. Otherwise there is a considerable risk that a step forward will turn out to be a jump back. Automotive Insights | 02.2013 Authors Roland Zsilinszky Principal Roland Berger Strategy Consultants, Prague [email protected] Jan Sklenar Senior Consultant Roland Berger Strategy Consultants, Prague [email protected] Jaroslav Hrabovsky Consultant Roland Berger Strategy Consultants, Prague [email protected] 23 Cover story Strategy Customization – the key to success in aftersales T he car industry has entered a fierce but hitherto largely unnoticed race to win the maintenance, repair and parts business. Bosch, the world's biggest automotive supplier, took over US shop equipment provider SPX Service Solutions for more than USD 1 billion, while competitor Continental laid its hands on British diagnostics specialist Omitec, and PV Automotive bought pitstop, the German repair shop chain. The aftersales market is a safe haven with strong margins for suppliers and independent repair shop 24 chains, and also the OEMs. Manufacturers already generate 75 to 80% of their profits from aftersales products and services although they account for no more than 20% of sales – and the profit share is rising. Big corporations like VW and BMW long ago included "aftersales" in the official title of their board members in charge of the area. Why is aftersales becoming so important? It's because the rules of the automotive game are undergoing a fundamental change. Current trends will shake up the industry between now and 2025: Supply and demand are increasingly shifting to Asia, competition along with Automotive Insights | 02.2013 Who finds the key to success? The fight for the customer is heating up in the automotive aftermarkets Many OEMs are still neglecting the aftermarket. But the repair and service business can be a major profit driver, especially in times of thin margins. Our new study says how to get it right consolidation pressure are intensifying, and the increasing demand for well-affordable vehicles is giving rise to an entirely new segment. While alternative new powertrains will even speed up the pace of change, young urban consumers are challenging the very concept of car ownership, a trend we call demotorization. They call for new mobility services such as carsharing and carpooling, which are already experiencing rapid growth. To survive in the market, aftersales players must carefully listen to their customers and provide the Automotive Insights | 02.2013 goods and services they really want. This must be clear from their approach to communication and product portfolio design. Micro-marketing – with a service offering tailored to each individual customer – would be the ideal solution. The extreme complexity in today's repair shops, however, rules that out. The task at hand is to identify the individual target groups and put together suitable – and profitable – service offers. The first step for every aftersales player therefore is a detailed product, service and customer segmentation. 25 Cover Story | Strategy Aftersales is the most important profit driver in new car registrations. After a dip, the figures have been on the rise again since 2010, and this trend should continue – although the 2009 record of 3.8 million newly registered cars will not be achieved again in the foreseeable future. Along with the number of new registrations, the number of cars on the road is also continuing to rise in Germany. The figure today is 42 million, set to rise to 44 million by 2015. Overall, Germans register more new cars than they scrap, export or no longer use. This drives up average car age. In 2003, the average German car was 7.4 years old, in 2012 the figure was up to 8.5 years according to Germany's Motor Vehicle Authority. In particular, the share of cars aged between seven and ten years is on the rise. Older cars need more servicing, which is speeding up aftersales growth. With 1.2% anticipated annual sales growth for all players by 2016, it will continue to be a source of stable income. Spare parts and accessories account for the lion's share of that business, with over 30% and 20% respectively. The aftersales market is huge but difficult to grasp. In 2011, sales in Germany alone were a whopping EUR 38 billion. The players range from OEMs and OES-players to independent parts suppliers, wholesalers, retailers, repair shop chains and independent repair shops. What's more, current trends allow players from other industries to enter the market with innovative business ideas. Just think of the information & communication technology (ICT) companies that will provide all the Internet and cloud services that are becoming standard in cars. The interactions among the individual players are very complex, however. This lack of transparency allows the providers to charge nice markups without anybody noticing, but it also leads to uncertainty among customers. New car registrations in Germany are leading to moderate aftersales growth even in times of crisis. In 2009, Germany's cash-for-clunkers scheme led to a peak The slight but steady growth in the number of cars on the road and of new registrations underlines the importance of aftersales New registrations in Germany Cars on the road in Germany [vehicles m] [vehicles m] 65 60 - CAGR of cars on the road +1.0% 3.8 55 - 3.1 50 - 2.9 45 - 41.7 41.8 42.1 22% 23% 23% 20% 20% 20% 40 35 30 25 20 - 3.2 - 4.0 3.3 3.4 3.5 - 3.0 - 2.5 - 3.5 42.8 43.4 44.0 44.4 22% 24% 22% 22% 22% 22% 22% 20% 5 - 0-3 4-6 7-10 >10 Age groups (in years) - 2.0 - 1.5 24% 24% 25% 26% 26% 25% 28% 33% 33% 32% 32% 31% 31% 30% 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013e 2014e 2015e 15 10 - New registrations 0 - - 1.0 - 0.5 - 0.0 Source: Datamonitor; Roland Berger 26 Automotive Insights | 02.2013 The four most important aftermarket trends Some developments, however, give cause for concern. Not all players stand to profit to the same extent. Some may even have to tolerate painful cuts in their sales and profits. Four market changes stand out as they have a direct impact on the customer interface: 1. Stronger consolidation The aftersales business is characterized by repair shop insolvencies, mergers and acquisitions – the consolidation trend has been tangible for quite some years now. In retail, independent repair shops have recently been gaining market share. Of course, we also need to consider the fact that new cars need fewer repairs during their lifecycle. Less mileage and longer-lasting parts have continuously pushed down the amount of service required (from 0.98 annual service appointments in 2005 to 0.9 today). Consolidation on all sales levels – In retail, independent PLAYERS are gaining market share 52% 51% 51% 52% 52% 52% 54% 54% 55% Repair shops in Germany ['000] CAGR -2.2% 45 - 41.7 40.2 39.8 39.1 38.3 38.1 38.0 37.7 40 35 30 - 20.1 19.8 19.7 18.9 18.3 18.1 17.6 17.4 25 - 33.5 15.0 20 - By 2025, the amount of workshop labor hours is expected to drop by 20 to 25%. Consolidation will continue in the entire sector – from OEM and OES to parts wholesalers and repair shops. This will shift more power to specific players, while others will have to struggle for survival. The positive effect of consolidation is that the surviving repair shops will ultimately enjoy better capacity utilization. 2. New players & business models Players from other industries and intermediaries are using innovative business models to gain a foothold in the aftersales market and occupy the interface with customers by offering new services. Unlike in other industries, this makes the situation less clear for the customer. Insurance companies were the first to make a move. For quite a few years now, they have been using alliances to channel customers into selected (authorized and independent) repair shops. This channeling process already works very smoothly for accident and glass repair claims. The next logical step would be to transfer this approach to the service realm. Selling spare parts over the counter, with no repairs, is becoming an increasingly important business model. For authorized dealers, trade with other repair shops and end customers has become a pillar of their business, potentially accounting for more than 30% of their total sales if well organized and managed. White label products are also gaining importance in the aftersales market. They appeal to price-sensitive customers with older cars both in the traditional spare parts and service business. More and more new players are entering this segment, joining the ranks of the wellknown guaranty and insurance providers that discovered this niche a long time ago. For the customer, it is becoming harder to stay on top of this diverse range of offerings. But white labels definitely offer clear cost benefits. 15 10 - 21.6 20.4 20.1 20.2 20.1 20.0 20.4 20.3 18.5 5 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2015e Share of independent repair shops Authorized repair shops Independent repair shops 3. Disruptive technologies and mobility concepts Established and new players can also use new technologies to tap into innovative revenue sources. Linking up cars with the Internet ("infomobility") for car-to-infrastructure communication and ICT certainly offer enormous potential. For classic automotive services and products, the web has long since become a sales channel. At the moment, for instance, specialized online repair shops are achieving breakthroughs with their own online portals. Source: ZDK; press research; Roland Berger Automotive Insights | 02.2013 27 Cover Story | Strategy Among the new mobility concepts, fleet management and carsharing have emerged as the most important topics. In 2012, about 700,000 Europeans were sharing some 21,000 cars, and the figure is expected to hit 15 million people and 240,000 cars by 2020. Several OEMs have already entered the carsharing business with own brands. further players are examining market entry options Top players by company type (selection) such as carsharing providers, on the other hand, will multiply. Aftersales players will therefore have to tailor their offerings even more precisely to the needs of the remaining private car users. Carsharing is a response to the new demand for mobility and is seeing continuous growth Carsharing users in million, 2006-2020 15.0 OEMs 4.0 Germany Europe Rental companies 0.1 Independent providers Source: Bundesverband Carsharing e.V.; University of California; Frost & Sullivan; Roland Berger Fleet management is already having a major impact on the aftersales business. With just over a million newly registered fleet and rental cars, business customers already account for about a third of annual demand in Germany. This structural change means that the proportion of private customers that have their cars serviced will fall. Framework agreements with large customers 28 0.2 2006 0.3 0.7 2012 2020 Source: Bundesverband Carsharing e.V.; University of California; Frost & Sullivan; Roland Berger The data required for customized offers is continuously improving. In addition to vehicle data, aftersales players have access to an increasing wealth of personal information. More and more customers are willing to reveal information about themselves if this ensures them individual service. In other areas, this phenomenon is nothing new. Amazon, for instance, has shopping suggestions for registered users based on their order history. This could help repair shops put together individual offers. Basic services such as reminders of the next scheduled service appointment or mileage-based maintenance suggestions should become standard. 4. Service must be an individual experience So far, none of the big OEMs has customized its aftersales approach. This is surprising as selling new cars is becoming ever more sophisticated so as to reach more specific target groups. Customers tend to project this positive experience onto aftersales. Providers that want to establish long-term relationships, and want Automotive Insights | 02.2013 customers to buy the same brand the next time, must work for this loyalty and meet customer requirements throughout the entire car lifecycle. And here is where OEMs have the most catching up to do. At the moment, hardly any OEMs manage to retain their customers beyond the first four years of buying a new car. This means that they are missing out on a large chunk of the high-margin repair business. These lucrative customers are deserting OEMs in favor of independent repair shops and shop chains. More than 60% of the people who own cars that are older than eight years do not use OEM-authorized repair shops any more. The figure is 2 to 3% for cars that haven't celebrated their second birthdays yet. Where repair/maintenance work is done categorized by vehicle age Share [%] The battle for customers has kicked into high gear At the same time, more and more providers are competing in aftersales – and directly at the customer interface. These providers are giving authorized repair shops and other formats in particular a constant struggle on the maintenance and repair market. Repair shop chains in particular have continuously developed over the past few years. They have raised their profiles primarily through aggressive expansion of their branch networks and largescale ad campaigns, which have helped position them as broad-coverage players offering better value for the money. The development over the past five years can be split into two phases. In the first, multiple new repair shops and repair shop chains entered the market and have taken market share from OEMs on a grand scale. In response, the OEMs created initiatives designed to claim back their piece of the profitable aftersales market (flat rate contracts, additional parts lines, counter service concepts). They were able to halt the erosion of their market share – for a while. 100 - Showdown on the maintenance and repair market: OEM and independent repair shop formats battle it out 80 60 40 - Phase I Phase II Phase III 20 0<2 years 2-4 years 4-6 years 6-8 years >8 years Do-it-yourself Independent repair shops/chains Authorized repair shops Source: DAT-Report 2013 Repair shop chains take over a major Market share of the aftersales share market [%] OEMs launch initiatives and win back some market share - 4.4% +2.8% 60 50 40 - The development in Phase III is still unclear: Those that best address customer needs will establish themselves on the market 0.0% .4% +13 30 - If you buy a premium car for more than EUR 100,000, you are probably going to get the same service as the owner of a EUR 15,000 low-end car. This is unbelievable, given that customers can switch providers at little or no cost and that services offered are more or less the same everywhere. Customer touchpoints in the aftersales business offer particularly valuable opportunities to spot individual needs, meet them and thus boost both customer satisfaction and profits. Automotive Insights | 02.2013 20 10 0 2007 2009 Authorized repair shop 2011 Other repair shop 2013 2015 Do-it-yourself Source: DAT-Report 2013; Roland Berger 29 Cover Story | Strategy Stand out to survive Consumer profile example John smith, 25 years old, male, single, low-level income, average education, employed full-time Who will win the next round? The jury is still out. But the winner will definitely be the player that best meets the needs of individual customer segments with a differentiated range of products and services. In the future, standing out from the competition won't just be advisable, but crucial to survival. Clearly dividing customers into various segments offers similar advantages as micro-marketing. Players can assemble service packages tailored to the values and needs of each segment so that the customer experiences the maximum of individual attention. To do this, aftersales players first need a much better understanding of who their customers are and what they need. We at Roland Berger Strategy Consultants tested this segmenting process on the German market with the "RB Profiler" tool. Using 18 values, the RB Profiler methodology is designed to measure, visualize and analyze the values and needs of individuals and groups. Thus, we shed light on customer and market values plus further sociodemographic criteria and usage behaviors. We also identified the target groups that promise companies the greatest strategic and commercial success. Together with market researcher GfK, we surveyed over 1,500 aftersales customers in Germany. Based on their responses, we were able to segment them into six meaningful brand- and values-specific groups. Key differences emerged, not just in service preferences, but also in demographics, values and service behavior in general: 1. Low-involved Traditionalists 2. Service-focused Rationalists 3. High-demanding Enthusiasts 4. Status-oriented Youngsters 5. Price-focused Emotionalists 6. Cost-oriented Minimalists Naturally, segmenting by brand or repair shop chain would result in even more precise groupings. But even this analysis reveals differences: for example, three of the six segments show a strong preference for authorized repair shops and an above-average tendency to request original parts for maintenance and repairs. E - + R Value of comparatively less importance E Emotional values Value of comparatively more importance - R Rational values Minimalist values + Maximalist values Interpretation • Mr. Smith is a progressive and hedonistic person • He finds new, innovative technologies very exciting, is status-oriented and – referring to the criteria in our consumer profile – into "thrill & fun" • Money is definitely an issue – He is relatively costconscious • Ethical and traditional values have no major meaning for him – He is comparatively less concerned about quality or service, or about society, the environment or his own health Source: Roland Berger Demographics xx 30 Avg. age [years] Female Male Recidence big city Recidence rural area There are six aftersales service segments in Germany 1 34% 5 47 E • • • - + • R 3 2 Low-involved Traditionalists E biggest segment (23%) very high income relatively low cost focus drive new premium vehicles • • - + R 33% 4 E • • • • - + • • 4 High-demanding Enthusiasts • • • - + 5 17% R 6 Price-focused Emotionalists 8 35 E • • • - + R Vehicle x 56% • - Share of used cars • + • • R xx% Avg. age [years] 11 • 13% xx youngest segment (avg. 28 years) cost-oriented very low income drive old and used vehicles 75% drive used cars Cost-oriented Minimalists E emotional values and "status" cost-oriented very low interest in the vehicle and therefore no clear preferences regarding aftersales services 31 17% 44 33 75% 11 • R oldest segment (avg. 50 years) dominated by women rational, traditional values want explanations for service/price Status-oriented Youngsters E very high income progressive values typcial OE customer want top services for their premium vehicles and VIP treatment 46 17% 28 54 51% 9 50 49 23% 38 Service-focused Rationalists 68% 16 lowest income rejection of progressive tendencies and performance drive old and used cars vehicle is not a priority; limited interest in aftersales services 13% Usage of OEM original parts [%] xx Size of segment 31 What makes each segment unique? To learn more about customers' specific desires and requirements, we examined the six segments in terms of the following categories: • General preferences regarding cars • Criteria for selecting a repair shop • Satisfaction with the repair shop • Readiness to switch repair shops and reasons why • Preferred service packages and contracts SIX segments based on customers' specific desires and requirements 1 General preferences regarding cars Here the spectrum ranges from High-demanding Enthusiasts, for whom the car is sacred and who put great value on first-class service, to the Cost-oriented Minimalists, who basically don't care what the car brand and service are like – as long as it's cheap. Emotional connection to the car Low-involved Traditionalists Deviation (%)1) I never miss a service appointment for my car Service-focused Rationalists Deviation (%)1) 7 1 High-demanding Enthusiasts Deviation (%)1) 31 My car's appearance is important to me (cleanliness, scratches, etc.) -4 -2 36 I know the precise technical details about my car -6 -8 33 2 Status-oriented Youngsters Deviation (%)1) -16 2 -3 Price-focused Emotionalists Deviation (%)1) Cost-oriented Minimalists Deviation (%)1) -18 -34 3.0 -19 -35 3.1 -7 -24 Criteria for selecting a repair shop As the names of the segments reveal, Price-focused Emotionalists and Cost-oriented Minimalists place special emphasis on low price. At the opposite end are Traditionalists and Enthusiasts, for whom the price of products and service is less important. Regarding traditional needs, it's primarily the Servicefocused Rationalists who set great store by top service, namely as regards quality of the service performed, personal support and warranty and guarantee content. By contrast, Price-focused Emotionalists have few discernible preferences in this area. They view their cars as a basic commodity, and repairs and maintenance are simply a necessary evil. For high-demanding enthusiasts and Servicefocused Rationalists, fast service is just as important as being able to easily get in touch with the repair shop, such as by phone or Internet. Particularly important to Status-oriented Youngsters is innovative and mobile communication – for scheduling the first appointment and for tracking order status. Price-focused Emotionalists recognize that being unwilling to pay higher prices means forgoing certain conveniences, 1) Deviation from the average agreement in %; a positive value indicates above-average agreement 2) Scale: 1 ("absolutely agree") to 6 ("absolutely do not agree") 32 Average2) Automotive Insights | 02.2013 3.1 Cover Story | Strategy such as collection and delivery service, or being able to choose a particular time slot. The picture is not much different for actual customer support. It's the Service-focused Rationalists and the High-demanding Enthusiasts who prize intensive and individual support – whether in the form of preferential treatment, express service or even house calls. The Price-focused Emotionalists and the Costoriented Minimalists put much less value on this kind of treatment. Service priorities price Low-involved Traditionalists Deviation (%)1) I am willing to forgo quality and service to pay a lower price -12 I always pick the cheapest product -15 Needs They explain the maintenance or repairs in detail CONVENIENCE 3 -4 They use only original parts Support -3 0 They immediately give me personal attention when I come in -3 Repair shop is easy to contact by cell phone or online 0 I get preferential treatment when making an appointment -8 They make house calls (e.g. for tire changes) High-demanding Enthusiasts Deviation (%)1) Price-focused Emotionalists Deviation (%)1) 3 20 -11 6 15 33 10 -2 32 14 -5 26 Cost-oriented Minimalists Deviation (%)1) 24 15 6 -61 -49 -7 13 37 10 28 18 3 18 7 4 -4 -3 -12 3.8 1.9 1.9 12 -68 -39 3.5 2.8 -38 -58 Average2) 2.1 -1 -7 32 14 -12 Status-oriented Youngsters Deviation (%)1) -10 20 2 Maintenance/repairs are performed quickly 3 Service-focused Rationalists Deviation (%)1) 1.9 -15 2.4 -18 2.4 Satisfaction with the repair shop Service-focused Rationalists and Price-focused Emotionalists display the largest differences here. The former are typically customers of OEM/authorized repair shops and are basically satisfied with their experience. This is an indication that the first initiatives toward improved customer focus are being launched there. Repair shop chains and independent repair shops especially have catching up to do here, as their typical target groups, such as the Price-focused Emotionalists, are clearly dissatisfied. Satisfaction with the repair shop Low-involved Traditionalists Deviation (%)1) Service-focused Rationalists Deviation (%)1) High-demanding Enthusiasts Deviation (%)1) Status-oriented Youngsters Deviation (%)1) Price-focused Emotionalists Deviation (%)1) Cost-oriented Minimalists Deviation (%)1) Average2) Quality of the work performed -1 17 8 -4 -33 3 1.7 Personal support -1 19 8 -9 -31 6 1.7 Customer's assessment -2 16 8 -9 -26 5 1.8 Automotive Insights | 02.2013 33 4 Readiness to switch repair shops and reasons why Poor quality plus non-approved repairs are two key reasons customers switch repair shops. Service-focused Rationalists and High-demanding Enthusiasts also switch frequently because the range of services offered is too small. Contrary to what you might expect, Price-focused Emotionalists and Cost-oriented Minimalists don't do this. Reasons for switching to a new repair shop Low-involved Traditionalists Deviation (%)1) Service-focused Rationalists Deviation (%)1) High-demanding Enthusiasts Deviation (%)1) Status-oriented Youngsters Deviation (%)1) Price-focused Emotionalists Deviation (%)1) Cost-oriented Minimalists Deviation (%)1) Average2) Poor quality of repairs/services 10 12 7 -8 -47 11 1.7 The agreed-upon repairs/ services were not performed 5 10 5 -5 -39 13 1.9 Too few services offered 1 15 10 -2 5 -27 2.6 -13 Preferred service packages and contracts In this section we identified the biggest differences between the six segments. There is, for instance, a dividing line between three typical customer segments of authorized repair shops and the three other ones. While the first prefer original spare parts, customers in the other three segments also accept identical or noname parts due to cost considerations. For service contracts the dividing lines are different: High-demanding Enthusiasts prefer comprehensive service and maintenance contracts for their often newer vehicles. So do Status-oriented Youngsters – although they tend to drive considerably older cars. In the other four segments, these contracts do not play a major role. In particular the two customer segments mentioned above frequently use repair shop and service portals on the Internet: AutoScout24, for instance, brokers service orders, clearly lists repair shop services and thus addresses new customer groups via regional marketing through new media. Another example is DriveLog by Bosch where customers with a "digital service log" can control costs and save money. Each aftersales service provider's customer base contains all six customer segments to some degree. Although the first two groups can be found to a greater degree at OEM-authorized repair shops, independent repair shops cannot ignore them. And authorized repair shops also count Status-oriented Youngsters, Price- Preferred service packages Low-involved Traditionalists Deviation (%)1) Repairs/maintenance with original parts from the manufacturer Repairs/maintenance with generic spare parts (no original parts) Service-focused Rationalists Deviation (%)1) 17 -60 High-demanding Enthusiasts Deviation (%)1) 9 -6 29 Status-oriented Youngsters Deviation (%)1) 37 Cost-oriented Minimalists Deviation (%)1) -62 -21 -27 -65 Price-focused Emotionalists Deviation (%)1) 62 42% 187 1) Deviation from the average agreement in %; a positive value indicates above-average agreement 2) Scale: 1 ("absolutely agree") to 6 ("absolutely do not agree") 3) Percentage of respondents ticked the option or answered "yes"; multiple answers possible 34 Share3) Automotive Insights | 02.2013 11% Cover Story | Strategy focused Emotionalists and Cost-oriented Minimalists among their customers. It seems clear why differentiated service portfolios are needed, but why have most aftersales service providers not yet defined distinctive customer profiles for themselves? One of the main reasons is probably the expected effort and complexity. But even making a correct distinction between business customers and private customers can be a first step toward improving customer satisfaction. Many private customers still choose their repair shop based primarily on value for money, whereas corporate fleet operators often go for those that offer the best technical skills and the greatest convenience. Preferred service agreements Low-involved Traditionalists Deviation (%)1) Agreements that cover all maintenance but no repairs 2 Service-focused Rationalists Deviation (%)1) High-demanding Enthusiasts Deviation (%)1) -6 19 Status-oriented Youngsters Deviation (%)1) Price-focused Emotionalists Deviation (%)1) Cost-oriented Minimalists Deviation (%)1) -2 -4 -29 3.4 -2 -19 3.7 Average2) Agreements that cover all repairs but no maintenance -6 -5 14 12 Service packages that cover all maintenance and repairs -5 -1 20 11 -15 -26 2.9 -5 24 12 -13 -22 3.3 Service packages that cover all maintenance and repairs, plus extra services such as collection and delivery service -81 Sustainable strategies for aftersales players To ensure their aftersales business is set up in a sustainable way, all players must stay on top of formatand company-specific issues. If we look at the OEM-authorized repair shops, it is clear that their special structure is one of their most important strengths: they have standardized processes developed by OEMs, where they can implement their brands throughout the entire repair shop network. However, in doing so, they must ensure that their repair shops don't perceive this as a further administrative burden, but rather as a competitive advantage. Authorized repair shops, which generally lack staff necessary for developing a differentiated service concept, should receive support from a strong OEM. This includes appropriate systems, relevant training and other competent support. The OEMs, for instance, can provide standardized marketing material, develop appropriate data-supported pricing policies or host customer events in the shops. And they can also conduct analyses and brand-specific customer segmentation so that the shops can focus on their core competencies. The resulting USP offered by the dealer Automotive Insights | 02.2013 must be reflected not only in the bonus, but also in the dealer's local market penetration. Independent shops and chains have two major advantages: transparent fixed-price offers and the option of working for key accounts with multi-brand fleets. For independent shops, the trick is to offer standard services consistently across all brands. Our customer segmentation approach is ideal for such providers because it is not restricted to a specific vehicle brand, but is instead based on customers and their values. Integrated shops and chains can easily use this approach for all branches. Professional players such as Bosch Car Service or A.T.U. offer customer cards, warranties and flat rates so that profiles can be set up for the customers, or customers create their own profiles. The proven recipe of offering the best value for the money can be further refined. Independent shops and chains can develop into a type of service discounter. Furthermore, they should approach commercial key accounts and market their multi-brand competence as a USP: Commercial customers would have to manage large numbers of providers, if they wanted to use OEM shops for their various brands. In contrast, a single brand-independent chain can service all kinds of vehicles. Independent shops can entice key accounts 35 There's no single tool that does it all: Aftersales customers are as diverse as the tools in the garage by offering attractive quantity discounts that would not even be possible if the fleet had to draw upon the services of multiple OEM-authorized shops. Segmenting and contacting customers requires the ability to use a specially designed process to address customers, often mapped in systems. Such systems include the Dealer Management System (DMS) and CRM or marketing systems at the interface between the retailer and the wholesale organization. Developing a corporate USP Even more important than format details is a customized approach that takes the specific company into account. Our analysis and the six segments we identified form the basic principles of aftersales. However, our approach unleashes its full potential only after each market player has analyzed its own specific customer base. Only those that know which segments they operate in, and to what degree, can effectively stand out from the competition. 36 The war to win the customer is heating up There are many different types of repair shop offers at the customer interface: Premium or budget offers, key droppers or active receipt, fast-lane or airport service, pick-up and collection or receiving stations in city centers, all-inclusive service contracts or remanufactured parts. Going forward, market players must cover all of these options in a better way. In the future, aftersales providers must have a clear service USP and customized service. The war to win the customer is heating up as it has become clear that aftersales is a lucrative business. However, competition is fierce and unprofitable shops are disappearing, while the remaining players are increasing their market power through M&A. Consolidation pressure, new market players and mobility concepts combined with rising customer expectations are making life tough for providers. Nevertheless, there are strategies for success in this environment. An essential part of this is an Automotive Insights | 02.2013 Cover Story | Strategy Authors Service differentiation in other industries Telecommunications Access to the World Wide Web is a commodity such as electricity. This makes differentiating one's services all the more important. To stand out from the competition, providers are focusing on speed, reliability, hotline support, on-site service or add-on services such as anti-virus programs. This enables them to offer customers different packages with different prices. What's more, customers can switch plans (at least in the case of upgrades) if their needs should change. Airlines Airlines promise a similar USP. The customers can usually decide whether to fly economy, business or first class. They can select seats, rebook at short notice or, for a surcharge, take excess baggage along according to their personal preferences. However, even within a class it is possible to select different service levels and accommodate individual wishes – and this doesn't only apply in the air, but also on the ground (Economy Flex vs. Economy Basic, for instance). Furthermore, frequent flyer customers receive special services such as upgrades, use of the lounge or a shuttle service. Online retailers Many online shops use their customers' previous purchasing behavior to recommend other potentially interesting offers (by e-mail or on the screen during a product search). This means customers receive customized, individual offers (cross-selling). individual customer analysis to develop a differentiated range of products in line with ideal micromarketing. At the moment, very few providers have such a refined USP. This means first movers can gain a valuable competitive edge in the war at the customer Automotive Insights | 02.2013 Philipp Grosse Kleimann Partner Roland Berger Strategy Consultants, Munich [email protected] Dorit Posdorf Principal Roland Berger Strategy Consultants, Manama [email protected] Alexander Brenner Project Manager Roland Berger Strategy Consultants, Hamburg [email protected] Swen Beyer Senior Consultant Roland Berger Strategy Consultants, Berlin [email protected] Dr. Ralf Kiene Senior Consultant Roland Berger Strategy Consultants, Hamburg [email protected] Torsten Hunstock Consultant Roland Berger Strategy Consultants, Munich [email protected] interface, as some OEMs have already shown in initial pilot projects. And there's no doubt about it: If you want to be successful in the automotive industry, you must focus on the profitable aftersales business. 37 Interview Dr. Markus Schramm Aftersales is very important for BMW's business model 38 Automotive Insights | 02.2013 The Head of Global Aftersales at BMW Group talks about the main trends in his business, the need of service differentiation and the competition with the IAM INSIGHTS Mr. Schramm, aftersales generates about 20% of revenues, but 80% of profits, at least according to a rule of thumb in the automotive industry. How important is the aftermarket for the BMW Group? Dr. MARKUS SCHRAMM No question about it, aftersales is very important for BMW Group and our dealers' profitability. The crisis years 2009 and 2010 showed that even during uncertain times, aftersales can provide a secure contribution to earnings. Our top dealers cover a large portion of their fixed costs through earnings generated by their auto repair shops. This ensures that they can survive no matter what – especially when margins for vehicles sales come under pressure. So the 80/20% rule is true? For dealerships this may be true in some markets, but for BMW Group, the proportion of total earnings is much less than the stated 80%. This is especially due to our positioning in the premium segment and the sound cost position we have with new vehicles. Let's look into the future: Will new technologies, sales channels or service models change the importance of aftersales? Our management already knows that aftersales is very important for BMW's business model. Our "Number One" strategy focuses on this area. And new technologies will allow us to fulfill this role even better in the future, because they will enable us, for example, to gain new access to customers. Automotive Insights | 02.2013 In your view, what important trends should the industry stay focused on? I think there are three major topics that we need to deal with: changing customer demands, a new playing field due to changing business models and the influence of new technologies on repair processes. Can you go into more detail? Of course! First, the topic of customers: The demands of our premium customers are already very high, and we'll do everything in our power to keep meeting them. But what will change is their level of information. The Internet means they are much better informed now than they used to be – regardless of whether it's about a technical topic, prices or how we or a dealer provides a specific service. More than ever, our customers today are undergoing different service experiences. If you are treated really well at a five-star hotel, then you rightfully expect the same from us too. You mentioned two other trends ... One was the change in business models. This can be a threat or an opportunity, depending on how you approach it. I'd like to give you an example: Insurance companies have been optimizing their car insurance business for a while and are trying to direct damage claims to their own network of repair shops. This is certainly a threat to us, if we're unable to convince the insurance companies that we can help them significantly cut process costs. How might this be possible? Possible approaches could be lower administrative expenses through integrated, largely automated claims settlement – a kind of "claims network" – or joint concepts for providing courtesy cars or other forms of transportation. Thus, we view collaborations with insurance companies as more of an opportunity than a threat. But as a sort of small "insurance policy", we are still looking into developing the parts business with independent shops on our end. And then there's the third factor that affects the aftersales business: changing processes due to new technologies. Let me give you an example here: Assume that a customer comes to the shop because he needs something fixed. The advisor can discuss the costs with him directly at his vehicle. But to set up an order, he's got to go back to his desk with the customer. We are currently piloting a solution in France that uses an iPad to record customer and order data directly at the vehicle. In doing so, the advisor has the entire order clearly laid out in front of him, plus all price information, shop receipts and parts availability. This means he can calculate the repairs on the spot for the customer. Based on these trends, what major topics are on your to-do list? We have set up our aftersales strategy according to three focus areas: rigorous customer orientation, business development and improved efficiency through process orientation and adherence to standards. In terms of customer orientation, we want to be number one in our competitive environment. We are already number one in many of our markets today, but it's important for us to be number one in all the key markets. In developing our business, we systematically record all business potential around the world and derive best practices that we can then roll out in the markets. Furthermore, we are examining how to bundle individual customer offers by interconnecting business models. What does this look like specifically? In the area of mobility services, for instance, we successfully launched the "Park Now" service in San Francisco in late 2012. This enables customers to easily book spaces in parking garages and enter and leave these without any contact and then pay online. Now if you link the booked parking duration with the telematics in the vehicle, mobile aftersales takes on a whole new level of importance. BMW has announced various innovations, for both products and sales. The BMW i-series or the "Future Retail" sales program immediately comes to mind. How will this be shored up by aftersales? We don't "shore up" rather, aftersales is a comprehensive component of the innovations you just mentioned. This is because it's aftersales' task to ensure the service capability of our new products, such as the i3 and i8, around the world and from day one. 39 Aftersales goes online. Mr. Schramm, online providers have already won relevant market shares for certain product types such as tires or spare parts – in both the independent aftermarket as well as from authorized dealers. There are currently a number of online auto repair shop portals cropping up that promise price transparency by comparing similar services. Do you view this as a threat or an opportunity? Since our entire business and processes are geared toward the customer, we see significant opportunities in aftersales. We regularly check all of our prices, services and processes in terms of their competitiveness. Furthermore, we know from market research that customers clearly prefer the quality of BMW and MINI original parts and services, even when ordering online. This means this change isn't a threat to us, but an opportunity that we will actively exploit. As I already touched upon, a partial shift of business toward independent aftermarkets is evident. How are you responding to this? Our market share among independent shops is steadily rising, and we view their BMW or MINI customers as our customers as well. After all, they are driving our products, and many choose independent shops simply because they are nearby. However, at the same time we want mechanics to use original parts. Therefore, a professional business relationship between our authorized dealers and independent repair shops provides a clear win-win situation with major potential. From talks in the industry, we have the impression that aftersales service is not yet as strongly differentiated by customer group as new vehicle sales, for example. How do you differentiate? We align our services and processes rigorously according to the customer. That includes knowing them and their needs. That's why we regularly conduct market research. This is where we differentiate our customers by the age segments of their vehicles and define corresponding segment-specific offers. Interesting! At Roland Berger we've also just conducted a global study on customer segmentation in the aftersales business and identified six segments in Germany, for example. We called them Low-involved traditionalists, Servicefocused Rationalists, High-demanding Enthusiasts, Status-oriented Youngsters, Price-focused Emotionalists, Costoriented Minimalists. What are the key customer segments for your brands? Since we are a premium manufacturer and our customers expect the same service quality, segments one to three are surely the most important. But as already mentioned: all BMW and MINI drivers are our customers and expect appropriate offers. Service differentiation means bundling more services so that you can fulfill the needs of each customer group. Do you think your customers would like to define their profiles themselves – such as by using an online portal – or will face-to-face advice remain indispensable? I think that both processes complement each other. What's important for our customers is that all the information that they give us, regardless of the channel used, can also be used for providing service support. This can be a preference as to how we should contact them, or basic information as to why they were here the last time. Final question, Mr. Schramm: What are the key to-do's in terms of your dealers in order for BMW Group to achieve optimal service differentiation? We have to provide them (this is clearly shown by our market research) with different product offers for different customer groups: I'm thinking for instance about fixed price campaigns for owners of older cars. Of course all our offers must be in line with our position as a premium OEM, because our customers in all segments demand top quality. Therefore, it's imperative that we get dealers on board in realizing our goal of continuous improvement – after all, customer contact is established mainly through our dealers. Dr. Markus Schramm is Head of Global Aftersales Business Management and Mobility Services at BMW Group. He holds a degree in business administration and runs marathons in his spare time. He has worked for the BMW Group in various roles since 1991 and moved to his current position in May 2011. BMW Group encompasses the BMW, MINI and Rolls-Royce brands as well as the BMW M and BMW i sub-brands. The Munich-based company, listed on the DAX stock exchange, celebrated the best year in its history in 2012 with record sales (EUR 76.8 billion) and pretax profits (EUR 7.8 billion). Sales volumes at the BMW Group rose to an all-time high of 1.8 million vehicles in 2012. BMW was founded in 1916 and has 106,000 employees. 40 Automotive Insights | 02.2013 Strategy German tires aftermarket Chinese comeback ahead As demand for economy-priced aftermarket tires goes up, Chinese competitors have the potential to threaten established players Automotive Insights | 02.2013 Tire manufacturers from China have been successful in the German market for many years now. They are set to rebound after a weak phase 41 Strategy | German tires aftermarket T he German aftermarket is regarded as a safe haven for tire manufacturers. It is quite stable and grew at approximately 1% per annum from 2006 to 2011. The competing brands can be categorized into four segments from premium to ultra cheap. Premium tires are the most well known ones, such as Conti, Pirelli, and Michelin. Quality and budget tires are cheaper; examples are Uniroyal and Barum (both operated as brands by Conti). On the lower end, cheap/ultra cheap tires are mostly private labels such as Wanli or Chengshan. Both are of Chinese origin. Several years of rising market penetration The Chinese imports to Germany (mostly aftermarket tires) increased sharply in the last years: the annual growth was about 19% from 2006 to 2011 (see our timeline on the right). From 2009 to 2011, when established manufacturers like Conti, Michelin or Bridgestone decreased their stocks, a supply shortage of tires was created. This led to an even stronger increase of imports during that specific period. So why have Chinese tires been so popular (besides the mentioned supply shortage)? The main reason is that they are offered significantly cheaper. Compared to premium tires, they are sold for half the price. Manufacturers from China have two kinds of cost advantages: On the one hand they benefit from lower labor costs. On the other hand they have easier and cheaper access to rubber, which makes up to 55% of the entire raw materials. Raw materials in total add up to 55% of the costs of goods sold (COGS). It's obvious that wholesalers and retailers use these tires to attract cost sensitive end customers. Chinese players capitalize on the mentioned advantages and have massively increased their production capabilities. The three manufacturers with Disastrous test results have discredited Chinese tires: Can manufacturers overcome this image damage? 42 Automotive Insights | 02.2013 GROWING tire IMPORTS TO GERMANY: THE CHINESE MARKET SHARE MORE THAN DOUBLED SINCE 2006 CAGR +19% 14.1 11.8 8.8 8.3 7.3 7,009 5,878 6.4 4,176 4,131 3,619 2,994 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Market share [%] Chinese tire imports ['000 units] Sinking customer confidence led to decreases in imports Despite investments in capacity increase and the "obsession" with exports, Chinese players absolutely lack the R&D focus compared to established manufacturers. (Our chart on page 44 depicts the figures). This is directly reflected in tire tests in media, most notably ADAC, auto motor und sport and Autobild – the three most influential entities in car related media in Germany. Chinese tires show poor or intolerable performance, especially on wet surfaces, leading to clear recommendations by testers not to risk one's life for the sake of saving some money. Indeed, sinking overall end customers' confidence in Chinese tires' quality has led to decline or at least stagnation of imports as shown in the latest statistics: since February 2012, Chinese imports have been decreasing. Compared to the figures from January to October 2011, they dropped by approximately 20%, to a level below that of 2010. Furthermore, Chinese manufacturers largely remain unknown, as they neither have European regional production and distribution nor branding, leaving them to use wholesalers' and retailers' distribution channels without a possibility to build up proper brand recognition. Considering these unfavorable circumstances and the current development, it is appropriate to ask if the decline of Chinese tires will continue and if they might even mostly disappear from the German aftermarket eventually? Source: Federal Statistical Office; Roland Berger Rebound of Chinese players is foreseeable the strongest capacity growth from 2006 to 2011 are the Triangle Group with plus 925%, Shangdong Linglong Rubber with plus 110% and Hangzhou Zhongce Rubber with plus 88%. Due to this development, these players can already be found among the top 20 of the largest tires manufacturers worldwide in 2011. They are ranked 16th, 19th and 12th respectively. At the same time, Chinese players strongly focus on international markets: the rate of their export growth outweighs their rate of capacity increase by far. We do not believe in that: We expect that the imports are only temporary flattening. Chinese players are here to stay and could even increase their presence. To understand our hypotheses, two prevailing trends of the German automotive market need to be considered: an increasing share of smaller vehicles and an aging car parc. Related to new vehicle sales, the share of smaller cars in the basic, subcompact and compact segments has increased in the last few years. This trend will remain. At the same time, the German car parc is aging, from averagely 7.4 years in 2003 to 8.5 years in 2012. Automotive Insights | 02.2013 43 Strategy | German tires aftermarket Owners of smaller cars tend to use cheaper tires as their aftermarket choice, just like holders of older cars who are rather cost sensitive. Based on these two major trends, it's foreseeable that the demand for economy-priced aftermarket tires will increase. This will lead to a favorable situation for Chinese manufacturers, threatening established manufacturers of quality and budget tires. Yet, in order to fully exploit these trends and to increase their sales again, Chinese manufacturers need to learn from their current limitations, namely poor quality, lack of regional footprint, missing branding and no OE business. After a "learning period" they will rebound (as forecasted in our timeline on the right). A blueprint Chinese manufacturers can follow is the South Korean tire company Hankook. Once a completely unknown brand, now a global premium manufacturer, Hankook has R&D facilities in Germany and the US as well as a production and distribution footprint in Hungary and the Netherlands. Another key success factor was Hankook's cooperation with Michelin, which, besides financial linkage, provided the Koreans with access to Michelin's technological know-how and its distribution network. Hankook also increased its marketing activities, by sponsoring the UEFA Europa League in soccer, for instance. Another example for a successful Asian competitor is Kumho, likewise a South Korean company. Two appropriate strategies for Chinese manufacturers Chinese players can use two strategies to overcome their current limitations and fully exploit the overall favorable situation: BIG IN SALES, SMALLER IN R&D: THE STRONGEST CHINESE PLAYERS ARE AMONG the WORLD'S LEADERS IN SALES, BUT NOT IN RESEARCH SPENDINGS Company 1. Bridgestone 2. Michelin 3. Goodyear 4. Continental 5. Pirelli 6. Sumitomo 7. Hankook 8. Yokohama 9. Giti 10. Maxxis 11. Cooper Tires 12. Hangzhou Zhongce 13. Kumho 14. Toyo 15. Apollo 16. Triangle ... 19. Linglong ... Chinese manufacturers Sales 2011 [EUR, m]1) 22,940.7 20,304.6 16,364.0 8,811.5 5,601.6 5,336.1 4,201.8 3,439.3 2,956.4 2) 2,921.0 2,822.6 2,722.0 2) 2,499.3 2,225.7 1,821.0 2) 1,806.8 2) ... 1,234.8 2) ... Company 1. Bridgestone 2. Michelin 3. Goodyear 4. Continental3) 5. Pirelli3) 6. Sumitomo3) 7. Yokohama 8. Kumho 9. Hankook 10. Cooper Tires 11. Nokian Tyres 12. Nexen tire 13. Titan 14. Apollo 15. JK Tyres 16. MRF R&D spendings 2009 [USD, m] 916.1 703.7 337.0 213.9 185.0 160.1 142.9 95.4 73.4 22.3 16.7 14.6 8.9 6.9 3.4 3.1 1) Revenues consider sales from tires only, exceptions where noted 2) Sales on group level 3) Tire division Source: European Rubber Journal; Neue Reifenzeitung; Roland Berger 44 Automotive Insights | 02.2013 PROMISING SECOND HALF OF THIS DECADE: CHINESE TIRE MANUFACTURERS WILL RETURN TO CONTINuOUS GROWTH SOON CAGR +19% 17.7 16.9 Market share in % China tires by absolute figures 16.0 15.2 14.5 14.1 13.8 13.1 12.4 12.5 11.8 11.8 11.2 10.8 10.9 11.0 8.8 8.3 7.3 6.4 2006 2008 2010 Learning Period Rebound Period Decrease & flatening of sales of Chinese tires Sales will increase again, yet at a slower pace than previously 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Source: Federal Statistical Office; Roland Berger estimations The first one is "aftermarket dominance": This shortterm strategy focuses on collaborative product optimization, private label branding and optimized utilization of wholesalers' and retailers' available distribution channels. The second one is a long-term strategy – let's call it "OE business penetration": It banks on the massive strengthening of R&D activities and presence, on comprehensive branding, marketing and sponsoring activities as well as the set up of a regional and local production and distribution footprint to achieve justin-time capability. If the companies execute these two approaches sustainably a return to the growth trajectory is predictable. Automotive Insights | 02.2013 Authors Philipp Grosse Kleimann Partner Roland Berger Strategy Consultants, Munich [email protected] Willy Lu Wang Senior Consultant Roland Berger Strategy Consultants, Stuttgart [email protected] 45 Strategy Cooperation Alliances: when to form them and when to avoid them Who is linked to whom? Interdependences in the global automotive industry (schematic illustration only; source: Handelsblatt) Direct investments Cooperations and joint ventures 46 Automotive Insights | 02.2013 strategy | cooperation Cooperation in the global vehicle industry becomes more and more important: Roland Berger explores the topic in an exhaustive, ongoing global study S tagnation in Europe, globalization of sourcing and production, the regulatory demand for new environmentally-friendly propulsion engines or connecting vehicles to multi-modal mobility systems – that's just a few of the challenges fundamentally disrupting the automotive industry today. Mastering them alone is less and less an option – the enormous need for scale, capital and know-how surpasses the capabilities of even the largest market players. The hype around full-blown mergers in the 1990s cooled down rapidly, as the difficulties in managing such transactions have become painfully apparent. The need for cooperation, however, has not diminished. Thus, OEMs are more and more discovering alliances as a more flexible alternative. The core dilemma, however, remains – when do alliances make sense and when should they be avoided? To answer this question, Roland Berger has decided to carry out an exhaustive global study in 2013. Beyond primary research in cooperation with the academic world, we have started to interview top decision makers at all major OEM and OES to establish a pragmatic, weather-tested guide to selecting, establishing and managing the right kind of alliances for you. Our study will explore the topic from a multiple of dimensions. Some of the key questions we will tackle are: Automotive Insights | 02.2013 47 Key questions Do you engage in the right types of alliances that fit your firm's strategy? For instance, this could refer to: More efficient R&D through sharing technology competence/risk Sharing platforms in production Purchasing cooperations Outsourcing of production Increased market access through sharing distribution networks Additional growth through acquiring access to new customer segments Do you engage with the right kind of partners? Analysis and choice of partner Strategic fit to your firm in the long run Cultural fit Long term consequences of sharing or gaining key competences Do you have the right legal framework that fits with your alliance types? Contracts, legal structures (joint ventures, for instance) Risk management and flexibility parameters Do you have established the prerequisites for effective partnerships? Clear definition of future core competences (focus) Cultural basis (openness) How to gain the maximum benefit from such partnerships Alliances are an unavoidable answer to the current challenges in the automotive sector. Our study results will help you avoid the often unexpected pitfalls and gain the maximum benefit from such partnerships. Authors Philipp Grosse Kleimann Partner Roland Berger Strategy Consultants, Munich [email protected] Jan-Philipp Hasenberg Project Manager Roland Berger Strategy Consultants, Hamburg [email protected] Szabolcs Markovszky Project Manager Roland Berger Strategy Consultants, Berlin [email protected] Luisa Wahlig Junior Consultant Roland Berger Strategy Consultants, Berlin [email protected] Do you have the right skills in managing your alliances? Human capital skills Processes and systems Organizational setup 48 Automotive Insights | 02.2013 Books & studies "Rightsizing Europe" [March 2013] Some 10% of jobs could be lost at Western European automotive suppliers as a result of the crisis in the car industry, our new study found. So suppliers' top priority is to "rightsize" their European structures. Our paper analyzes nine key levers for boosting margins and sustainably improving profitability. rolandberger.com/rightsizing_europe What the customer really wants [March 2013] A think: act study on the needs and wishes of German customers. Though the study focuses on retailing, it also applies to automotive aftersales. It defines seven typical buyer segments and considers suitable online strategies for each of them. rolandberger.com/customer_wishes Automotive Insights 01/2013 [March 2013] The March issue of Automotive Insights has two articles on the aftersales business. One examines the future of transportation and "infomobility" and the resulting challenges for vehicle repair shops. The other analyzes the German market for automotive services and the growth of specialized online platforms. rolandberger.com/automotive_insights_01_2013 If you are interested in older publications or future updates, please visit our Automotive Insights page at: rolandberger.com/automotive_insights 21ST Century Car Distribution in Europe [February 2013] How will new social and technological trends change the car industry value chain? These trends include social media, new mobility solutions and the transition to renewable energy. Find the answers in this study by Roland Berger, IESE and Automanager. rolandberger.com/IESE_car_distribution_2013 Client centricity [December 2012] This issue of think: act CONTENT shows how client centricity can boost revenues. The best way to become client-centric is to launch specific projects based on target clients' needs. Our study looks at the finance industry, but the approaches used (expanding business with existing clients, attracting new clients) apply to the car industry as well. rolandberger.com/client_centricity_2012 Automotive Insights 03/2011 [December 2011] Even the strongest OEMs and suppliers have to rethink their approach to the increasing uncertainty in the global car industry. Strategic alliances are one possible solution, and our experts analyzed the opportunities and success factors. Their conclusion: "Strategic alliances are a promising path." rolandberger.com/automotive_insights_03_2011 Telematics could revolutionize auto insurance premiums [August 2011] The groundwork has already been laid for telematicsbased auto insurance, and there is considerable consumer interest. think: act CONTENT considers the impact on current business models and the long-term potential. The conclusion: Telematics solutions have the power to revolutionize auto insurers' business models. rolandberger.com/telematics_revolutionize Automotive Insights | 02.2013 49 Famous CARS Porsche 993 S Coupé The 993 was the last real 911, traditionalists say A Porsche for aficionados: especially the color "Vesuvio Metallic" is almost as rare as the Penny Blue R eal Porsche aficionados get very excited about this three-digit number: 993. The 993 was the last Porsche of the 911 series with an aircooled boxer engine and its distinctive throaty roar. The first 993s rolled off the line in 1993, so they are just now reaching the status of modern-day classic cars. The Carrera and Targa models started with 272 hp, while the fastest turbo version GT2 cranked out up to 450 hp (and the souped-up edition even surpassed this figure by far). For many Porsche traditionalists, the 993, the fourth production series of the 911, represents the last 50 "real" 911, because its successor, the 996, came with a completely new water-cooled engine. Due to this aspect and its much-praised technological perfection, the 993 reaches above-average collector's prices on the secondhand car market today. And according to experts, prices are expected to climb even higher in the future. One of the most sought-after models of the 993 is the S Coupé in Vesuvio Metallic livery. Only 3,714 S Coupés were manufactured from 1996 to 1997, with an original price tag of 137,500 deutschmarks (about 70,300 euros). Just a small share received the special "Vesuvio Metallic" blue paint, combined with steel-grey lacquered features such as door handles, side mirrors and louvers. The model is so rare that some even compare it with the legendary "Penny Blue" stamp from the island of Mauritius. Possibly the only thing rarer than the 993 is seeing it in a mechanic's garage: in its age category, the 911 series heads the no-claims ranking of the German Association for Technical Inspection (TÜV). Automotive Insights | 02.2013 Automotive Competence Centers Worldwide Editorial Ralf Kalmbach Partner and Member of the Executive Committee Roland Berger Strategy Consultants Dear Reader, Belgium • Didier Tshidimba Phone +32 (2) 6610 317 [email protected] The automotive year 2013 is proceeding apace, and highlights like the International Motor Show in Frankfurt (IAA) are just around the corner. To make the time before the trade fair pass a bit more quickly for you (or to provide you with some reading for your summer break), we have published this new issue of our Automotive Insights magazine. CEE • Rupert Petry Phone +43 (1) 53602 101 [email protected] Its focus is the aftersales and aftermarket business, which is gaining importance in various markets. In contrast to the sale of new vehicles, aftersales has been neglected for quite some time and needs to be developed and professionalized. The biggest challenge – and hence the biggest opportunity – is the current lack of customized offerings, as our experts examine in the cover story. Using the German market as an example, they analyze the various customer groups and their special needs, emphasizing the imperative of customized services in the battle for customers. Individualization is also a major theme in our interview with Dr. Markus Schramm, Head of Global Aftersales at BMW Group. As an international consultancy, we aim to provide you with global insights. That's why this issue looks at the aftersales business in three different regions: the US, Central and Eastern Europe and Brazil. Published by: Roland Berger Strategy Consultants GmbH, Mies-van-der-Rohe-Straße 6, 80807 Munich Editors-in-chief: Ralf Kalmbach and Ralf Landmann Editors: Jan-Philipp Hasenberg, Christian Weber, Swen Beyer, Sven Wittmaack, RB Language Service Layout: RB Media Design Printed by: Girodruck, Hamburg By the way, don't forget to download the eMag version for tablets from the Roland Berger Kiosk. There you'll find plenty of extra content, viewable on both iOS and Android devices. If you want to share your views on any of the topics we have covered or if you have any questions, please call my colleagues or myself, or just drop us a line. I look forward to your feedback. But until then, I wish you insightful reading! Kind regards, Photo credits: Cover: RB Media Design . Page 2: Roland Berger Strategy Consultants GmbH . P. 4: Plainpicture/Mira . P. 5: picturealliance/Estadao Conteudo . P. 10: istock . P. 13: istock . P. 14: Mopar . P. 18: istock . P. 23: istock . P. 24-25: RB Media Design . P. 36: RB Media Design . P. 38: Norbert Wilhelmi . P. 40: Norbert Wilhelmi . P. 41: Li Zhong/laif . P. 42: Corbis . P. 50: Porsche AG Ralf Kalmbach Many thanks to car mechanic Erwin Zott for letting us take photos in his repair shop in Munich. Thanks also to all Roland Berger staff who lent us their car keys for the cover photo. Circulation: 3,900, published three times a year. No reprints without prior permission of the publisher. Automotive Insights | 02.2013 NORTH AMERICA • Marc Winterhoff Phone +1 (248) 729 5116 [email protected] • Thomas Wendt Phone +1 (248) 729 5116 [email protected] CHINA • Jun Shen Phone +86 (21) 5298 6677 890 [email protected] • Junyi Zhang Phone +86 (21) 5298 6677 890 [email protected] Norbert Dressler Phone +49 (89) 9230 8511 [email protected] • Philipp Grosse Kleimann Phone +49 (89) 9230 8511 [email protected] • Dr. Thomas Schlick Phone +49 (89) 9230 8737 [email protected] • Dr. Marcus Hoffmann Phone +49 (89) 9230 8037 [email protected] POLAND • Krzysztof Badowski Phone +48 (22) 32374 62 [email protected] INDIA • Dr. Wilfried Aulbur Phone +49 (89) 9230 8108 [email protected] RUSSIA • Dr. Uwe Kumm Phone +7 (495) 287 92 46 [email protected] CZECH REPUBLIC • Constantin Kinsky Phone +420 (2) 10219 552 [email protected] • Roland Zsilinszky Phone +420 (2) 10219 551 [email protected] ITALY • Roberto Crapelli Phone +39 (02) 29501 257 [email protected] • Alberto de Monte Phone +39 (02) 205011 0 [email protected] SCANDINAVIA • Per I. Nilsson Phone +46 (31) 75755 14 [email protected] • Per M. Nilsson Phone +46 (31) 75755 10 [email protected] FRANCE • Max Blanchet Phone +33 (1) 53670 946 [email protected] • Sebastien Amichi Phone +33 (1) 53670 946 [email protected] JAPAN • Dr. Satoshi Nagashima Phone +81 (3) 35876 385 [email protected] • Keisuke Yamabe Phone +81 (3) 35876 695 [email protected] • Dr. Martin Tonko Phone +81 (3) 35876 697 [email protected] Singapore • Joost Geginat Phone +65 6597 4566 [email protected] • Thomas Klotz Phone +65 6597 4566 [email protected] GERMANY • Ralf Kalmbach Phone +49 (89) 9230 8314 [email protected] • Marcus Berret Phone +49 (89) 9230 8737 [email protected] • Ralf Landmann Phone +49 (69) 29924 6301 [email protected] • Dr. Wolfgang Bernhart Phone +49 (69) 29924 6301 [email protected] • Jürgen Reers Phone +49 (89) 9230 8511 [email protected] Automotive Insights | 02.2013 • Malaysia Anthonie Versluis Phone +60 (3) 2203 8611 [email protected] SOUTH AMERICA • Thomas Kunze Phone +55 (11) 3046 7124 [email protected] • Stephan Keese Phone +55 (11) 3046 7124 [email protected] MIDDLE EAST • Michael Wette Phone +973 (17) 56795 0 [email protected] TURKEY • Doruk Acar Phone +90 (212) 358 6401 [email protected] • Netherlands • René Seyger Phone +31 (20) 7960 608 [email protected] 51 Issue 02.2013 e t th ou iosk eck r K all Ch erge read ree d B nd or f lan p a s f Ro ap Mag re ou Automotive Insights Insights ls For detai see please 9 page Automotive Competence Center Client Magazine A Look around the world Regional insights Aftersales in the US, Brazil and CEE STrategy Tires Aftermarket Chinese manufacturers set to bounce back Cover story How well Do you know your customers? Smart customization in aftersales Interview Dr. Markus Schramm © Roland Berger Strategy Consultants 06/2013, all rights reserved www.rolandberger.com www.rolandberger.com/rb-kiosk NEW–!eMag The Head of Aftersales talks about BMW's goals Issue 02.2013