energy efficiency programs - Western Regional Air Partnership
Transcription
energy efficiency programs - Western Regional Air Partnership
Reducing Energy Consumption and Improving Air Quality through Energy Efficiency in Indian Country: Recommendations to Tribal Leaders from the Western Regional Air Partnership Prepared for Western Regional Air Partnership Air Pollution Prevention Forum Prepared by Northern Arizona University July 2003 PREFACE The primary purpose of this report is to assist tribes in implementing energy efficiency measures and programs in order to meet air quality and visibility goals established by the United States Environmental Protection Agency. The report, however, will also help tribal leaders identify opportunities to use these energy efficiency to achieve economic development and energy related goals as well as other tribal priorities. This report was written under the direction of the Sustainable Energy Solutions Group at Northern Arizona University under contract with the Western Governor’s Association, for the Air Pollution Prevention Forum of the Western Regional Air Partnership (WRAP). It is a companion to other WRAP reports on renewable energy and energy efficiency (visit http://www.wrapair.org/tribal/index.htm). The contributing authors to this report were: Thomas L. Acker, Associate Professor, Mechanical Engineering William M. Auberle, Professor, Civil and Environmental Engineering John D. Eastwood, Lecturer, College of Business Administration David R. LaRoche, Program Director, Center for Sustainable Environments Amanda S. Ormond, Principal, The Ormond Group Robert P. Slack, Graduate Research Assistant, Mechanical Engineering Dean H. Smith, Associate Professor, Economics and Applied Indigenous Studies Northern Arizona University P.O. Box 15600 Flagstaff, Arizona USA 86011-5600 The authors would like to acknowle dge the following groups for valuable contributions of ideas, references, and resources: the Tribal Issues Working Group of the WRAP Air Pollution Prevention Forum, the Institute for Tribal Environmental Professional (ITEP), the Native American Renewable Energy Education Project (NAREEP), and the many individuals who took the time to review the draft report and provide critical feedback. A special thanks goes to the Pascua Yaqui Tribe, the Confederated Salish & Kootenai Tribes of the Flathead Reservation, and the Yurok Tribe, for each hosting a visit of NAU researchers, and for sharing their experiences concerning energy and energy efficiency. ii TABLE OF CONTENTS Preface..................................................................................................................................ii Table of Contents................................................................................................................iii Executive Summary............................................................................................................iv How To Use This Report ....................................................................................................ix I. Background Information...................................................................................................1 Statutory and Regulatory History ............................................................................1 Regional Haze Rule .................................................................................................4 II. Baseline Information.......................................................................................................5 What is Energy Efficiency? .....................................................................................5 Potential Cost Savings Impact of Energy Efficiency...............................................7 Benefits of Energy Efficiency................................................................................10 III. Identification and Implementation of Potential Energy Efficiency Programs .............16 How to Implement an Energy Efficiency Program................................................16 Tribal Characteristics Effecting Energy Efficiency...............................................19 Energy Sectors: Organization of Energy Uses and Measures ...............................21 Financial Resources ...............................................................................................22 New Technology....................................................................................................25 Energy Saving Products.........................................................................................25 Energy Efficiency Programs and Policies..............................................................27 Energy Education Programs ...................................................................................27 Tribal Energy Policies............................................................................................31 IV. Tribal Case Studies: Economic Analysis of Energy Efficiency Measures .................32 Economic Analysis of Energy Efficiency Measures..............................................32 Results of Tribal Case Studies ...............................................................................36 V. Recommendations of the Western Regional Air Partnership’s Air Pollution Prevention Forum ............................................................................................................................48 Tribal Sponsored Programs....................................................................................48 Collaborative Opportunities for Tribal Energy Conservation ...............................50 Tribal Leadership Beyond Tribal Lands ................................................................51 References ..........................................................................................................................52 Glossary .............................................................................................................................54 Appendix A: Energy Efficiency Resources .......................................................................56 Appendix B: Case Study Details........................................................................................64 Appendix C: Summary of Efficiency Measures and Policies Considered for Analysis by the WRAP Air Pollution Prevention Forum..................................................................94 Appendix D: Summary of U.S. Department of Energy – State Efficiency Programs .....103 iii REDUCING ENERGY C ONSUMPTION AND IMPROVING A IR QUALITY THROUGH ENERGY EFFICIENCY IN INDIAN COUNTRY: RECOMMENDATIONS TO TRIBAL L EADERS FROM THE WESTERN REGIONAL A IR P ARTNERSHIP EXECUTIVE SUMMARY This report is the product of the Western Regional Air Partnership’s Air Pollution Prevention Forum. The report is part of a decade-long effort to characterize the sources of visibility impairment in the national parks and wilderness areas of the West and to develop pollution control and prevention strategies to improve visibility throughout the region. Introduction magnitude of these savings will increase significantly if other energy end- uses such as commercial and government entities are included. Furthermore, EE can go hand- in-hand with new electrification, providing a cost-effective means to decrease operating costs while improving the performance of newly electrified homes and other buildings. Energy efficiency is maximizing the effective utilization of energy while minimizing the costs of that energy. Implementation of energy efficiency (EE) programs by a tribe can have many positive impacts. These include the reduction of energy costs and the associated freeing of significant financial resources for other important uses, improving electrical service, increased energy independence, improved air quality, reduction in environmental impacts, and others. Foremost amongst these benefits may be the potential for reduced energy costs. By employing EE measures, it is easily possible to save 10 percent on energy costs and the potential exists to save in excess of 50 percent. Thus, if a tribe spends $100,000 annually on energy, it can expect a minimum energy cost savings of $10,000 annually, and perhaps significantly more. In 1997, U.S. Indian households spent $757 million on energy supplies (see figure on next page). Thus if only 10 percent of that cost were eliminated via EE, then $76 million would be available for other purposes on Indian lands instead of energy. The Energy-efficiency programs have a large potential to reduce costs to tribal governments and reservation residents. Some 10 percent of Indian households spend at least 20% of their income on electricity, so cost savings can be very important to these households. Additionally, many tribal buildings are rather old and were not built according to energy-efficient building codes or with any focus on energy usage. Because of this, energy efficiency programs for administrative and school buildings may lead to substantial savings. Furthermore, half of the Indian reservations paying the highest electricity prices are in the WRAP region. This report has been written with two audiences in mind. First, information has been provided to demonstrate to iv 1997 data on energy consumption and expenditure for major energy sources in Indian households. tribal leaders that an energy efficiency program can positively impact tribal objectives of sovereignty, energy independence, and economic development, and warrants serious consideration by the tribe. Second, detailed information describing how to assess and implement EE measures has been provided to inform tribal staff how to evaluate potential EE measures for their effectiveness and cost savings, and as a reference for tribal leaders wishing to know more details about how to implement EE. A table of cost-effective, specific EE measures has been provided in this report to assist tribal staff in selecting EE programs of greatest benefit to the tribe, along with information describing how to start an EE program. Beyond this detailed information, however, the main recommendations of this report are written to tribal leaders suggesting potential actions the tribe may take in order to establish an EE program in alignment with other goals and objectives of the tribe. The Western Regional Air Partnership – Motivation for this Report The Clean Air Act establishes a national goal of restoring visibility in National Parks and Wilderness Areas to “natural” conditions by reducing levels of manmade air pollution that affect visibility over the next six decades. One of the strategies identified to reduce these pollutants is through pollution prevention. The Western Regional Air Partnership, through its Pollution Prevention Forum, has commissioned a series of studies to assess how pollution from fossil- fueled powered power plants may be reduced through alternative electricity generation strategies (e.g., renewable energy resources such as wind energy, solar energy, etc.) and through increased energy efficiency. One of these studies resulted in the report “Recommendations of the Western Regional Air Partnership’s Air Pollution Prevention Forum to Increase the Generation of Electricity from Renewable Resources on Native American Lands.” This report was v released earlier and is a companion to this report. The present report focuses on how tribes can employ energy efficiency to reduce the pollution generated during electricity generation. programs. The fifth and final section of the report provides a set of recommended actions for tribal leaders to consider, as will be summarized below. Four appendices are also supplied that include information that may be useful to tribal staff intending to implement an EE program. Content of Report This report begins by providing background on the Western Regional Air Partnership, the Regional Haze Rule, and the regulatory process that has arisen to address the issue of regional haze. It then proceeds to provide baseline information about energy efficiency, its potential cost savings impact, and other benefit such as its ability to reduce hazecausing pollutants emitted from electrical generating stations in the west. This third section discusses identification and implementation of potential energy efficiency programs, including some approaches that tribal governments might adopt to begin implementing an EE program. In the next section, a method of evaluating the economic benefits of EE projects is presented, with some specific EE examples based on tribal case studies, The tribal case studies were made during visits to three tribes: the Pasqua Yaqui Tribe in Arizona, the Yurok Tribe in northern California, and the Confederated Salish and Kootenai Tribes in Montana. These case studies present three practical applications of EE. They are representative of the philosophy followed in creating this report: learn from tribal experiences the nature of tribal energy needs and how tribes can best employ EE to address these needs. Indeed the recommendations presented in this report blend current tribal energy perspectives and infrastructure related to energy with state-of-the-art methods of implementing and evaluating EE Recommendations of the Western Regional Air Partnership’s Air Pollution Prevention Forum The report presents a number of recommendations to tribal leaders on actions for developing and implementing EE programs. Because of the great diversity of tribes in the west, the recommendations are organized into three groups such that tribes may pickand-choose the appropriate actions from the list presented. The recommendations are grouped as follows: tribal sponsored programs that tribal governments may implement on their own; those that Significant agriculture takes place on the Flathead Reservation of the Confederated Salish and Kootenai Tribes. Irrigation systems on this reservation hold the opportunity for cost-effective energy efficiency measures. vi might be appropriate for a collaboration of a number of tribes to implement; and those initiatives for which tribes can support and provide leadership to improve energy efficiency regionally and nationally. Tribal Implementation Plan. Consider developing a Tribal Implementation Plan under the provisions of the Regional Haze Rule and the Tribal Authority Rule that includes EE. Such a plan would be a good step toward tribal energy conservation. Tribal Sponsored Programs Adopt Energy Efficient Building Codes. As tribes grow in population and develop economically, there will be an ever-growing need for electricity. There is opportunity for large energy savings by employing energy efficiency in new construction, building renovations, and in new electrification of previously unelectrified areas. In rural areas tribal customers may pay a large percentage of their monthly income for energy expenditures, and in these cases costeffective, energy efficient appliances can be economically employed. Thus it is recommended that tribes consider adopting the International Energy Conservation Code. Adopt a Tribal Energy Plan. Establishing an energy plan is the first necessary step in gaining control over the energy use and costs incurred by a tribe. The plan needs support from the highest levels within the tribe, and among other things should set down goals for energy efficiency. Establish a Tribal Energy Authority. For tribes without an energy (utility) authority, it is recommended that these tribes consider establishing such an entity. Perhaps the most important recommendation in this report is that of designing a tribal energy plan that is managed by an energy manager within a tribal energy authority. When the electricity provider is someone other than a tribal entity, then the energy authority will have the capacity to be an advocate for tribal electricity customers, possibly negotiating lower electricity rates and improving the reliability of the service. An energy authority will also create jobs, build tribal expertise in energy, and help prevent some of the money expended on energy from flowing off the reservation. A tribal energy authority may also advance tribal self-determination. The Ke’pel Head Start Building on the Yurok Reservation. Facilities such as this that are not connected to the electrical grid typically have higher energy costs, and are good candidates energy efficiency retrofits Hire a Tribal Energy Manager. An energy manager develops, implements and maintains a program focusing on tribal energy use, including those related to energy efficiency. vii Initiate Education Programs for tribal members, leadership, facility managers, tribal staff and contractors, that will enhance understanding energy usage and of the benefits of conserving energy. Education can make the difference between an effective, successful, comprehensive energy management program and an unsuccessful program. America Program. Tribes may also consider requesting funding for efficiency programs from the federal government via several existing statutes, most notably the Energy Policy Act of 1992 and its amendments. Collaborative Program Improvements in Tribal Energy Conservation Demand Side Management Initiatives. Demand side management programs that encourage and reward electricity users to be efficient can yield direct financial benefits to a tribe as well as contribute to mitigating regional haze. A tribe can show leadership in DSM programs by supporting system benefit charges that will be used to support DSM programs. Tribal Leadership Beyond Tribal Lands Form Inter-Tribal Collaborations. For tribes that lack the resources to establish their own energy authority or even to hire their own energy manager, it may be beneficial to initiate partnerships with other tribes to establish an energy authority or to hire an energy manager. Tribes could also work collaboratively to encourage the federal government, under its trust responsibility, to fund energy efficiency programs (including education programs and rebate programs) and to provide funding to tribes for energy management. National Energy Efficiency Policies and Standards. National energy efficiency policies and standards can significantly impact regional air quality as well as energy supply reliability, cost, availability, and security. Tribes can provide leadership through support of national policies promoting energy efficiency. Federal Facilities on Tribal Lands. There are numerous federal facilities on tribal lands, and these facilities consume an appreciable fraction of the electrical energy on tribal lands. The forum recommends that tribes consider adopting energy conservation policies that require federal facilities on tribal lands to meet modern energy efficiency codes. Federally Sponsored Programs. The forum recommends that tribes consider, as part of their overall energy plan, participating in existing federally sponsored programs related to energy efficiency such as the Weatherization Assistance Programs and the Rebuild Similar to many public facilities, the Pascua Yaqui new Head Start facility may be a good candidate for a motiondetector lighting system to reduce electricity consumption. viii HOW TO USE THIS REPORT A wide variety of information related to energy efficiency has been assembled and presented in this report. As such, it could be a lengthy task to sit down and read it from cover-to-cover. Because it is expected that the readers of this report will have backgrounds varying from tribal leadership and management, to air quality management, to energy or utility expertise, to interested individual, each reader may want to pick and choose among the sections of the report. While there is continuity among the sections of this report, it has been written in a manner that each section can be read independently of the other sections. For example, a tribal leader may wish to read the Executive Summary and then skip to the Section V of the report “Recommendations of the Western Regional Air Partnership’s Air Pollution Prevention Forum.” Alternatively, a project manager for the tribe may wish to learn more about energy efficiency programs and how to assess the economic merits of an efficiency measure, and would focus on reading Sections III and IV and Appendix B. To assist in the process of selecting the relevant portions of the report to read, a brief description of each major section of the report is listed below: I. Background Information • Describes the background of the Western Regional Air Partnership, and its motivation in creating this report. • Presents the most relevant statutory and regulatory provisions that apply to controlling visibility impairing sources of air pollution, and highlights the role of tribal governments in implementing those statutory and regulatory provisions. • Summarizes previous steps states, tribes, and others have taken to identify and control these sources of air pollution. II. Baseline Information • Defines energy efficiency and where one might look to make energy efficiency improvements • Describes the potential benefits of energy efficiency in the context of tribal issues. • Provides an idea of the potential magnitude of energy and electricity cost savings that can be achieved via energy efficiency. III. Identification and Implementation of Potential Energy Efficiency Programs • Describes steps a tribe might take in establishing an energy efficiency program. • Discusses the various tribal characteristics that could have an impact on the types of efficiency programs and measures a tribe may select for implementation. • Provides a discussion of the relevant energy sectors in which efficiency improvements may be sought. • Presents options for financing energy efficiency programs. ix • Describes how to evaluate new energy efficiency technologies, where to learn about energy saving products, and a summary of energy efficiency measures and policies that tribes may consider implementing. • Provides suggested educational programs that support energy efficiency as well as some potential tribal policies. IV. Tribal Case Studies: Economic Analysis of Energy Efficiency Measures • Provides a discussion of how to assess the economic merit of a potential energy efficiency measure. • Summarizes the results of three tribal case studies where potential energy efficiency measures were evaluated. IV. Recommendations of the Western Regional Air Partnership’s Air Pollution Prevention Forum • Identifies potential actions tribes may take either individually or in collaboration for others, in order to implement energy efficiency measures and programs. Appendix A: Energy Efficiency Resources • A list of numerous programs and resources related to energy and energy efficiency. Appendix B: Tribal Case Studies • Presents a general method of evaluating and selecting energy efficiency projects • Provides details of the economic calculations for the energy efficiency measures considered in each of the three tribal case studies. Appendix C: Summary of Efficiency Measures and Policies Considered for Analysis by the WRAP Air Pollution Prevention Forum • Presents energy efficiency measures identified by the Air Pollution Prevention Forum as potentially effective in reducing energy use. This material is intended to provide tribes with a more through understanding of energy efficiency measure to help determine if such measures may be applicable for their tribe Appendix D: Summary of U.S. Department of Energy – State Efficiency Programs • Provides a list of the variety of existing state efficiency programs and projects to reduce energy use and increase energy efficiency. x I. BACKGROUND INFORMATION The Air Pollution Prevention Forum of the Western Regional Air Partnership plays a major role in the analysis and development of strategies to reduce regional haze and to improve visibility. This introduction provides a summary of the legal, regulatory, and procedural contexts for exploring energy-efficiency opportunities on tribal lands. Key topics include the following: The missions of the Western Regional Air Partnership and its predecessor organization, the Grand Canyon Visibility Transport Commission, including the role of tribes in each. The regional haze rule as promulgated by EPA, and the potential for reducing emissions through energy efficiency. Regulatory processes for implementing energy-efficiency measures through state and tribal implementation plans (SIPs and TIPs). STATUTORY AND REGULATORY HISTORY The Clean Air Act of 1977 and its amendments in 1990 require the protection of important vistas at the nation’s National Parks, Monuments, and Wilderness Areas. Further, where regional haze currently impairs visibility in these areas, the EPA must develop and implement plans to eliminate man-made sources of air pollution responsible for such impacts. The 1990 statute calls specific attention to the importance of protecting visibility at Grand Canyon National Park through the creation of the Grand Canyon Visibility Transport Commission (GCVTC). Grand Canyon Visibility Transport Commission Once created by the Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990, the GCVTC quickly and importantly agreed to address regional haze problems at 15 national parks, monuments, and wilderness areas on the Colorado Plateau in addition to Grand Canyon National Park. Initial members of the GCVTC were state governors and leaders of federal land management agencies. By 1994, however, at the request of tribes the EPA expanded GCVTC membership through the addition of leaders from fo ur tribal governments, plus the chair of the Columbia River Intertribal Fish Commission as an ex officio member. From its inception through 1996, the GCVTC carried out extensive studies of the causes of regional haze on the Colorado Plateau, evaluated many options for mitigating existing and potential future impacts, and developed a broad set of recommendations for “remedying existing and preventing future” man-made causes of regional haze affecting the targeted National Parks, Monuments, and Wilderness Areas. Its concluding report, 1 Recommendations for Improving Western Vistas, was submitted to the EPA in June of 1996. The report includes nine broad recommendations plus many specific ones. Two of these recommendations are directly relevant to this report. One recommendation advocates “policies based on energy conservation, increased energy efficiency and promotion of renewable resources for energy production” (emphasis added). A second recommendation proposes “an entity like the Commission to oversee, promote, and support many of the recommendations.” This latter recommendation led to the creation of the Western Regional Air Partnership. Western Regional Air Partnership Soon after the final report of the GCVTC, most participants in that process chose to develop “an entity like the Commission.” The Western Regional Air Partnership (WRAP) was established to implement the recommendations of the GCVTC and to address broader air quality issues that affect the West. The expanded mission of the WRAP has attracted an expanded membership. Thirteen states, a similar number of tribes, plus three federal agencies now comprise the WRAP board of directors. The WRAP has created committees and forums to conduct much of the partnership’s work, staffed by many stakeholders and parties interested in the activities of the WRAP. One such entity is the Air Pollution Prevention Forum (AP2 Forum). Air Pollution Prevention Forum The charge of the AP2 Forum is, in part, “to examine barriers to use of renewable energy and energy efficient technologies, identify actions to overcome such barriers, and recommend potential renewable energy and energy efficiency programs and policies that could result in a reduction of air emissions from energy reduction and energy end- use sectors in the Grand Canyon Visibility Transport Region.” Membership in the forum is representative of the membership in WRAP, plus representatives from a wide range of interests. See the forum Web site at www.wrapair.org. The initial focus of the forum was to explore the potential for increased utilization of renewable energy sources, followed by an examination of potential areas for improvement in energy efficiency. In both contexts, renewable energy and energy efficiency, the primary focus is electricity supply and demand. More specifically the AP2 Forum has been asked by the WRAP “to identify and recommend legislative actions, economic incentives and regulatory policies that states and tribes can adopt to increase use of renewable energy and energy efficiency and reduce haze causing emissions in the region.” Tribal Governments With the development of the Western Regional Air Partnership in 1997, tribal governments were recognized as full partners in the development of strategies to address the problem of regional haze in the West. This role was not achieved quickly or easily. A brief examination of key steps to full partnership follows: 2 The major federal air pollution statutes of 1963, 1967, 1970, and 1977 were largely silent on the roles and responsibilities of tribal governments in the federal scheme of implementing these laws. However, much attention was given to federal and state relationships. Air-quality management on tribal lands was assumed by state governments, the federal EPA, or more commonly, not at all! This oversight of failing to include tribes became increasingly apparent and problematic as various air-quality concerns were recognized as being common over large regions of the nation, including tribal lands. With the Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990 Congress added three new provisions: (1) The EPA Administrator was authorized to treat tribes as states for the purpose of implementing the Act, (2) The eligibility criteria for tribes to obtain such treatment were defined, and (3) The EPA administrator was directed to promulgate regulations laying out those provisions of the Act for which it is appropriate to treat tribes as states. More than 7 years later, in February of 1998, the EPA administrator promulgated regulations to establish the basic framework authorizing eligible tribal governments to implement Clean Air Act programs. These regulations have become known as the “tribal authority rule” (TAR) and are codified at 40 CFR Part 49. The following key provisions of this rule are particularly relevant to the WRAP and to potential energy efficiency opportunities. (1) Eligible tribes may implement Clean Air Act programs to protect air resources “within the exterior boundaries of the reservation or other areas within the tribe’s jurisdiction.” Such tribes thus have authority to regulate all sources of air pollution within the exterior boundaries of the reservation, including those on non-Indian owned fee land within the reservation. (2) Tribes have a great deal of flexibility when developing their air-quality management programs. The Act does not require any action on the part of tribes, unlike state governments, to implement any provision of that law. To encourage tribes to develop airquality management programs, however, the TAR authorizes a modular approach to tribal programs; that is, tribes can build their technical and management capacity at the same time they begin to address concerns specific to their priorities. This modular approach provides several opportunities: • Tribes can pick and choose among Clean Air Act provisions to craft a program that addresses the tribe’s specific air-quality concerns. • The EPA can approve these modular programs provided that they do not depend on any other program element for enforceability. • To encourage tribes to develop air quality management programs, grants are available from the EPA pursuant to Sections 103 and 105 of the Clean Air Act. 3 REGIONAL HAZE RULE In 1999 the EPA administrator promulgated the regional haze rule (RHR), codified at 40 CFR Part 51.300–309. The RHR has provisions that apply to all states and tribes in the United States. One specific provision of the RHR embraces the recommendations of the GCVTC and offers western states and tribes options for complying with RHR requirements. States must develop regional haze implementation plans (SIPs), but can choose between the general federal requirements (Section 308) or the specific elements of the GCVTC (Section 309). The RHR sets forth specific timelines for these State Implementation Plans. A useful fact sheet published by the EPA explaining the RHR and state requirements is provided as Appendix A. The requirements of the RHR are among the air-quality program elements that can be implemented by tribal governments. Under the Clean Air Act, tribes eligible to implement Section 309 (GCVTC) plans are those located in the states of Arizona, California, Colorado, Idaho, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah, and Wyoming. These tribes may seek approval from the EPA to implement the RHR through Tribal Implementation Plans (TIPs). The deadlines imposed on states do not apply to tribes, but tribes may choose, and are encouraged, to implement programs. Thus tribes may elect to develop a regional haze program pursuant to either Section 308 or 309 of the RHR. For any tribal lands where the tribal government elects not to take on this responsibility, the EPA must assure air-quality protection. Regional haze program requirements on some tribal lands may therefore be implemented via Federal Implementation Plans (FIPs). Energy-efficiency measures are specifically recognized in Section 309 of the RHR. Economic costs and benefits—both direct and indirect—are to be identified and described. This report fulfills, in part, that requirement with respect to tribal lands, governments and programs in the region. 4 II. BASELINE INFORMATION One of the goals of this report is to provide tribal decision makers with a background in energy efficiency (EE) sufficient to determine whether EE programs offer enough benefit to the tribe to warrant in-depth consideration and investigation by tribal staff. To aid tribes in this determination, the following topics are discussed in this section: • • • What is Energy Efficiency? Benefits of Energy Efficiency Potential Cost Savings Impact of Energy Efficiency WHAT IS ENERGY EFFICIENCY? In this report, energy efficiency is broadly interpreted as being synonymous with energy management. The intent of energy management is to implement strategies that maximize the effective utilization of energy while minimizing the costs of that energy. The EE measures and programs discussed in this report are specific projects or policies that when implemented will reduce the consumption of energy and energy costs. Although the energy source could be natural gas, propane, electricity, wood, etc., the focus of this report is on reducing the consumption of electricity and the associated haze-causing pollutants emitted at the power plant. The methods used to evaluate the princip al EE measures considered here, those related to electricity use, apply equally well for other energy sources. When considering reduction of electricity consumption, a good place to start is with identifying of the main uses of electricity. From the perspective of a tribal administrator, the biggest uses of electricity may best be divided into the following categories or “sectors:” residential, commercial (which includes tribal and federal government facilities as well as gaming and recreation facilities), industrial, and agricultural. For most tribes, a significant portion of the electricity budget is consumed by residential and commercial building loads. However, the amount consumed within other sectors, if any, varies significantly for each tribe. Thus the EE programs adopted by various tribes may bear similarity in the residential and governmental sectors, but will vary widely in other sectors depending upon the circumstances of each tribe. The next level of consideration of electricity use is from the perspective of a person responsible for tracking and understanding the electricity consumption (e.g., an energy manager). This person will be interested in knowing the actual uses of electricity so as to determine the opportunities for EE and the associated cost savings. From this perspective, electricity use is typically divided within each sector into categories such as lighting, space heating, space cooling, refrigeration, hot water, office equipment, pumps, fans, motors, and possibly others. A good source of information for identifying how much energy and electricity is used within these categories in each of the various sectors is the 5 U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). As an example, consider the pie charts in Figures 1 and 2, which depict the uses of electricity in commercial and residential buildings. This information can be useful in determining where opportunities for EE improvements exist. For example, in a typical commercial building about 46% of the electricity is used for lighting, so improving the effectiveness of lighting in a building can generate significant savings in the electric bill. An important consideration when evaluating any potential EE measure is the required functionality of the system being considered; it is crucial that the EE measure not compromise functionality. For example, consider an EE measure that reduces the electricity consumption by an office building cooling system. After implemented, it is very important that the building still be cooled to an acceptable level so that employees in that building are comfortable and productive. Otherwise, the economic gain made in the energy cost savings may be lost in decreased worker productivity. Fortunately, when implemented, many EE measures not only decrease electricity consumption but also improve energy system effectiveness (and therefore avoid adverse effects such as decreased worker productivity). The field of energy efficiency has matured over the last 30 years, with many excellent resources now available to assis t an energy manager in choosing, evaluating, and implementing specific EE programs. A listing of some of these resources is presented in Appendix A. One particularly good reference that introduces and describes many of the important aspects of EE is the book Guide to Energy Management by Capehart, Turner, and Kennedy (1997). 1995 Commercial Electric Consumption by End-Use Space Heating 4% Water Heating 2% Cooking 1% Ventilation 6% Refrigeration 7% Lighting 46% Other 8% Office Equipment 13% Cooling 13% Figure 1 – Average percentage use of electricity in commercial buildings in 1995 (http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cbecs/ce95/toc_ce.html). 6 1997 Residential Electric Consumption by End-Use Water Heating 11% Air Conditioning 6% Space Heating 14% Appliances (including refrigetators and lighting) 69% Figure 2 – Average percentage use of electricity in residential buildings in the West in 1997 (http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cbecs/ce97/toc_re.html). POTENTIAL COST SAVINGS IMPACT OF ENERGY EFFICIENCY Tribal Household Electricity Use Energy efficiency has the potential to significantly impact electricity consumption and related electricity costs. Considering that $454 million was spent on electricity in all Indian households in the United States in 1997 (see Figure 3), a decrease of only 10 percent in consumption of electricity due to EE programs could produce savings on the order of $45 million. Given the fact that Indian populations are rapidly increasing and that tribes are actively engaged in economic development, the amount of resources spent on energy will only increase. If consumption of other energy resources besides electricity are considered for EE improvements, such as natural gas, the potential for savings could double (see Figure 3; electricity accounts for about half of the money spent on energy resources). A report by Elliott (1998), “Lowering Energy Bills in American Indian Households: A Case Study of the Rosebud Sioux Tribe,” supports these findings. Elliott showed that Native American households generally carry a substantial burden in household energy bills. For the case of the Rosebud Sioux, EE measures were shown to offer the potential for savings on the order of 25 percent (e.g., retrofitting exterior lights with compact 7 Figure 3 – 1997 data on energy consumption and expenditures for major energy sources in Indian households in the United States. The chart on the left indicates energy consumed by source (electricity, natural gas, and other) and the chart on the right indicates the percentage and amount of money spent in consuming each of these energy sources (Energy Information Administration 2000). fluorescent bulbs, installing low- flow showerheads, using a water-heater insulation blanket, switching to a higher efficiency refrigerator, etc.), and some measures offered potential savings on the order of 65 percent (e.g., comprehensive weatherization using advanced techniques, and fuel switching space- and water- heating systems from electric to propane). WRAP Total Energy Consumption by Sector and by State To identify energy-efficiency opportunities it is necessary to understand energy usage patterns. The following figures were prepared using data from the Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) state energy data for 1997, the most current year available. Figure 4 gives EIA data organized by energy consumption sectors: residential, commercial, industrial, and transportation. Note the commercial sector includes service businesses, such as retail and wholesale stores, hotels and motels, restaurants, and hospitals, as well as a wide range of buildings that would not be considered “commercial” in a traditional economic sense, such as public schools, correctional institutions, and religious and fraternal organizations. Excluded from the commercial sector are the goods-producing industries: manufacturing, agriculture, mining, forestry and fisheries, and construction. Specific EE measures applicable in each sector are discussed in Sec. III of this report. Figure 5 shows energy consumption information for each WRAP state. The bars in this figure also indicated the relative amount of energy consumed by each sector. These figures provide an indication of the magnitude of energy consumed and therefore the potential for energy savings, and the relative amount of energy use in each sector. 8 Energy Consumption by Sector WRAP States 1997 Industrial 32% Transportation 34% Commercial 16% Residential 18% Figure 4 – Energy consumption by sector in WRAP states during 1997. Energy Consumption in the WRAP States 1997 8000 7000 Trillion BTUs 6000 5000 4000 Trans Ind Com Res 3000 2000 1000 0 AZ CA CO ID MT ND NV NM OR UT WA WY Figure 5 – Energy consumption by states in the WRAP region during 1997 (Trans = Transportation, Ind = Industry, Com = Commercial, Res = Residential). 9 BENEFITS OF ENERGY EFFICIENCY Benefits of a Tribal Energy Authority Perhaps the most important recommendation in this report is that of designing a tribal energy plan that is coordinated by an energy manager within a Tribal Energy Authority. When the electricity provider is someone other than a tribal entity, the energy authority will be an advocate for tribal electricity customers. This liaison capacity may be used, for example, to create rebate programs to decommission older appliances. Or the energy manager can negotiate with off- reservation power producers to improve reliability; in some cases, reservation power lines are at the end of the electrical grid, which can result in unreliable delivery. If the tribal energy authority has the ability to negotiate for all customers as a block, then a better resolution may be arranged. The energy authority can make decisions and implement plans that lead to a future based on the tribe’s vision. And it follows that a tribal energy authority will also create jobs. Some tribes may be too small to fund a fully operational energy authority; in these cases it may be beneficial to form a consortium of tribes to create a single such entity. Each tribe would design an individual action plan, but they would share personnel and capital resources. Economic Benefits of Energy Efficiency The primary benefit of improvements in energy efficiency is, of course, the cost savings. Often a moderate expenditure today will result in substantial future savings. Indeed, after an energy management program is initiated, energy cost savings up to 15 percent can be easily realized with little capital investment. Eventually, savings on the order of 30 percent are routinely obtained, and sometimes savings of as high as 50 to70 percent can be achieved (Capehart et al. 1997). These savings free financial resources for better use elsewhere, often regardless of the sector that implements the efficiency improvement. A few examples may help to illustrate this general concept: A family may choose to insulate their home to permanently reduce the heating or cooling cost; money is spent the first year, but money is saved every year afterward. The money saved can be applied to whatever that family perceives as its next greatest need. A business may, for example, install new light fixtures that provide the same illumination benefits at a lower cost. There is an initial outlay of cash, but then these reduced costs last for the lifetime of the new fixtures, raising the incomes of the business and perhaps its employees. A governmental entity may have similar opportunities to implement efficiency measures. Such measures will free budgetary resources, allowing that entity to better accomplish its mission. In addition to decreasing the energy-related costs in a household, business, or government office, efficiency improvements may also further the economic development of a region, or may change its pattern of economic activity by freeing resources for other, more productive tasks. Jobs are created for local workers to repair or weatherize buildings, and if some of the materials used are locally produced or processed, work is generated in those sectors as well. 10 Money saved through efficiency improvements will eventually be spent on other goods and services, some of which are available on the reservation. A family with lower utility bills may now spend more on locally produced services such as dining, entertainment, daycare, or preventative medical care. As activity in these sectors increases, employment and incomes will increase as well. As this additional income is spent, it circulates throughout the economy, further increasing employment and incomes through a phenomenon known as the multiplier effect. Not all money saved through EE return to the local economy, but will continue to flow off the reservation through the purchase of non-local goods and services, such as when purchasing new appliances. There are also indirect economic benefits of EE programs. However, these are more difficult to calculate, in part because spending of the cost savings is reallocated among sectors. Energy-efficiency programs have a large potential to reduce costs to tribal governments and reservation residents. Some 10 percent of Indian households spend at least 20% of their income on electricity, so cost savings can be very important to these households (Energy Information Administration 2000). Additionally, many tribal buildings are rather old and were not built according to energy-efficient building codes or with any focus on energy usage. Instead, federal funds were used to provide least-cost structures. Because of this, weatherization (energy efficiency) programs for administrative and school buildings may lead to substantial savings. According to a report by the Energy Information Administratio n (2000, pg. 10), half of the Indian reservations paying the highest electricity prices are in the WRAP region. Secondary Benefits of Energy Efficiency Several secondary benefits may accompany EE improvements. First and possibly foremost, energy conserva tion can contribute to energy independence and improved tribal sovereignty. The money saved may also allow a tribe to address other pressing needs, such as improved health care on the reservation. EE measures also frequently improve the performance and longevity of existing energy systems, which can improve the comfort of working and living spaces and may increase productivity of workers. Benefits such as these may be difficult to quantify but are certainly worth considering. Electrical System Reliability and Avoiding Power Outages Improved EE can also help curtail brownouts and service interruptions. At least for the next few years and until significant new electricity generation comes on line, the general ability of the electric power system in the WRAP region to meet peak demand is at risk. The ability to meet the demand for electricity in this region will likely depend largely on weather (i.e., its effect on electricity demand through heating and cooling) and hydroelectric conditions (i.e., the availability of hydroelectricity as related to reservoir levels and the higher priority functions of the reservoirs such as irrigation and flood control). Thus possibly the most effective means of avoiding brownouts and service interruptions may be to manage the demand side of the market place. This could include initiating demand-side management programs that encourage energy efficiency, or possibly even altering the electricity rate schedule so that consumers pay real- time prices 11 for electricity (higher cost during the mid-day and afternoon when the demand for electricity is highest, and lower cost in the evenings and through the night). Benefits of EE in New Electrification Energy efficiency opportunities exist with all new electrification projects that tribes undertake. More than 14 percent of Indian households in the United States lack electricity, as opposed to 1.4 percent of all U.S. households. Furthermore, eight of the twelve tribes with the greatest need (by percentage of households) for electrification are located in the WRAP region (Energy Information Administration 2000, pgs. xi, xiv). It is estimated that 18,000 homes on the Navajo Reservation do not have electricity available (Bain 2002). The Native American population throughout the country is rapid ly increasing and will require additional housing in the future. As reservation economies develop, new commercial and industrial buildings will also be developed. This combination of existing need and expected growth makes the need for energy-efficient designs ever more important. Efficiency can be improved at many points along the electricity production-consumption pathway. Some ideas include improved technology in the development of new electricity production sites, improved electrical transmission and distribution systems, the siting of buildings in clusters to reduce transmission distances, and the adoption of energy-efficient building codes. Economic Development Benefits Many tribes face two major needs: employment and economic development. Perhaps tribal economic development could avoid the conventional model where pure profits are the main consideration. Although profits must still be a consideration, culture and traditions could also play an operative role in blending successful commerce with traditional lifeways. Economic security can help lead to cultural self-preservation. Energy efficiency is an ideal way to help achieve such security because it does not depend solely on scarce resources in danger of being depleted. Instead it can help protect them for future generations. Becoming more energy efficient can lead not only to direct opportunities for people in education and employment through its economic benefits, but also to a myriad of secondary reservation-based opportunities. This can all be done in a way that does not detract from the culture, but rather helps to preserve it. Economic development occurs when diverse activities and businesses are given the opportunity to prosper and flourish within a stable political background. Such development is a process that weaves through the social system; it can assist sustaining tribal character. Jacobs (2000, pg. 19) has noted that “Development … operates as a web of interdependent co-developments.” EE programs can enhance such co-developments, which incorporate multiple members of the community and bring vital improvements to its economic structure. According to a study done on the Navajo Reservation (Yazzie 1989), approximately 87 cents of each dollar earned was spent off the reservation in border towns, where goods and services were purchased. As the economic development 12 process continues and a more diverse selection of goods and services is offered on the reservation, people will spend more money on the reservation rather than in border towns. The term for this is import replacement, and it is a vital part of the economic development process. Although major efforts have been made to increase retail opportunities on reservations in the last decade, additional expansion can be stimulated by providing affordable renewable energy and by encouraging the creative and entrepreneurial spirit of community members. By introducing energy efficiency programs to the reservation, the tribe will be refueling itself. In order to replace imports with domestically produced goods and services, the whole reservation economy must participate in development, which spreads work opportunities throughout the community. The goal is to seek diversification rather than mere expansion of existing goods and services. When energy efficiency is realized, the cost of doing business is lowered, and the economic landscape will become correspondingly more fertile, producing business opportunities such as sales of more efficient appliances, light fixtures, bulbs, and accessories. Combining the energy efficiency programs with a program for increased electrification creates a potential for both retail and manufacturing expansion. There will be a new found need for items like refrigerators, fans, extension cords, and computers, which could be sold on the reservation. Leakage of money off the reservation will decrease, and the tribe will profit from increases in both reservation business activity and employment opportunities. As the technicians working for the energy businesses begin to deve lop their skills installing and implementing the new, efficient systems, spontaneous entrepreneurial ideas could arise. Perhaps small components of the systems could be produced locally. Alternatively, new and better designs for components may result from the creativity of the tribe’s entrepreneurs. Native American tribes could move ahead of the rest of the world by inventing specialized tools desired by the rest of the planet. This is Jacobs’s (2000) “web of co-developments.” There is no way of foretelling the future, but the strong entrepreneurial nature of the indigenous cultures almost assures development of new opportunities, products, and services. Some of the benefits of implementing efficient energy programs on reservations will be social. The lack of jobs and insufficient income, two of the most pressing issues on reservations (Smith, 2000, pg. 95), tend to create a downward spiral in quality of life because people see no opportunity for improvement. The result is often substance abuse, domestic unrest, and attrition of people to places where jobs can be found. Those who seek highly specialized jobs tend to leave the reservation in search of such work; a brain drain takes away the most talented members of the population. However, appropriate economic development will likely ameliorate such social ills. The brain drain effect will decrease because there will be more opportunities for people to use their talents on the reservation. The experience of earning a steady income will give hope for improvement, as well as providing successful role models for others. This increase in activity will also likely reduce substance abuse. Individuals will begin to see opportunities to enrich their lives rather than feeling hopeless. 13 The energy business itself will bring immediate employment opportunities that will likely continue to exist into the future. Tribal colleges are perfect locations at which to hold classes to teach people about how the energy-efficient applications work. With this highly specialized niche of the local economy filled by tribal members, business is developed and skills are refined that provide opportunities to export products and services off the reservation. There is much to be gained by becoming experts in the art of energy efficiency, as the United States and other nations struggle to make more efficient use of fossil fuels. Tribes could be ahead of the game with their more comprehensive understanding of the systems and their uses. This is a perfect opportunity to turn the tide, to begin to export skills and services, and subsequently to import dollars. Air Quality Benefits The basic idea advanced by the Grand Canyon Visibility Transport Commission (GCVTC) was that by reducing electricity consumption through EE, the amount of electricity required from central station power plants would be reduced. If the power plants that supply a tribe’s electricity burn coal, then energy efficiency would result in less sulfur dioxide pollution emitted and a consequent reduction in haze (coal contains sulfur, and when the coal is burned some of the sulfur will combine with oxygen to produce sulfur dioxide, which is known to cause haze and reduce visibility). Lacking specific power plant information for tribal supplies, an estimate of the savings in sulfur dioxide emissions can be estimated from the average sulfur dioxide emissions for the state(s) within which the tribe is located (Table 1). Note this table presents the amount of sulfur dioxide produced per megawatt-hour (MWh) of energy produced. As an exa mple, a typical power plant might have an electrical generating capacity of 1000 MW. If running at full capacity for one hour, the plant would produce 1000 MWh of electrical energy. Using Table 1, if the plant were located in Arizona, on average it would have emitted 344 lbs of sulfur dioxide into the atmosphere during that hour (1000 MWh ´ 0.344 lbs/MWwh = 344 lbs). Other air pollutants are also emitted from power plants that burn hydrocarbons (such as coal and natural gas), and energy efficiency is a tool that can be used to reduce all types of air emissions. In particular, large amounts of carbon dioxide are created during combustion, and it is the primary greenhouse gas in global warming. Low levels of nitrogen oxides are also released during combustion, and these can lead to regional haze, photochemical smog and acid rain. Efficiency actions could be included in Tribal Implementation Plans as a way to reduce the emissions inventory baseline and as control measures for criteria pollutants (criteria pollutants are those which impact air quality and should be addressed in an implementation plan). A longer-term potential justification for energy efficiency is its capability to reduce greenhouse gases (those pollutants that lead to global warming, such as carbon dioxide). Should greenhouse gas emission reductions be mandated, energy efficiency would likely be the most significant tool for achieving such reductions. 14 Table 1 – Average sulfur dioxide emissions from power plants located in the 13-state WRAP region, reported in pounds of sulfur dioxide emitted per megawatt-hour of electricity produced (source: Energy Information Administration 2001). Sulfur Dioxide (lbs/MWh) Alaska 0.344 Arizona 1.524 California 0.000 Colorado 4.352 Idaho 0.000 Montana 1.080 New Mexico 3.438 North Dakota 9.866 Oregon 0.494 South Dakota 4.358 Utah 1.522 Washington 1.246 Wyoming 3.896 Mean Standard Deviation 15 2.471 2.748 III. IDENTIFICATION AND IMPLEMENTATION OF POTENTIAL ENERGY EFFICIENCY PROGRAMS Tribal members spend anywhere between 1 percent and 20 percent of their incomes on basic energy services (Energy Information Administration 2000). Depending on the type and sector (e.g., commercial, residential, etc.) of an energy efficiency (EE) project, successful implementation of the project can be of significant impact due to the potentially large percentage of income expended on energy. However, for these benefits to be realized, the EE project must be successfully implemented. Because EE measures vary from simple behavioral changes to complex technological applications, a proper understanding of how to implement an energy efficiency program and how to select appropriate EE measures is crucial to achieving successful implementation. Toward this end, it is important to understand the demographics and different market segments in order to focus efforts in areas that will create the greatest yield in energy cost savings and other benefits. Furthermore, if a tribe has not previously undertaken any energy efficiency projects, it is likely that there are ample opportunities to achieve substantial savings by implementing a variety of EE measures, including “low tech” projects. The purpose of the material presented in this section is to describe how to establish a successful energy efficiency program as well as suggest potential EE measures. Thus the subsections to follow are: • • • • • • • • • How to Implement an Energy Efficiency Program – describes steps a tribe might take in establishing an energy efficiency program. Tribal Characteristics Effecting Energy Efficiency – a discussion of the factors that will have an impact on the types of EE programs and measures chosen by a tribe for implementation. Energy Sectors: Organization of Energy Uses and Measures – a discussion of the relevant energy sectors in which efficiency improvements may be sought. Financial Resources – options for financing EE programs New Technology – how to evaluate new EE technologies Energy Saving Products – where to learn about energy saving products Energy Efficiency Programs and Policies – a summary of EE measures and policies that tribes may consider implementing Energy Education Programs – suggested educational programs that support EE Tribal Energy Policies – suggested tribal policies that pertain to EE HOW TO IMPLEMENT AN ENERGY EFFICIENCY PROGRAM With a more competitive electric power market and the advent of retail competition in half of the WRAP states, utility-operated energy-efficiency programs (called demandside management programs) have largely disappeared. New structures for delivering energy are emerging that may create new opportunities for promoting energy efficiency. 16 Many state utility commissions have instituted system benefit charges (SBCs) that become part of the bill paid by all electricity customers. Funds from an SBC are set aside for purposes such as energy-efficiency educational programs. Energy service companies (ESCOs) now exist that contract with customers to provide energy-related services. One typical service is identifying and implementing energy-efficiency measures for the customer. Often these services are set up with a performance contract where the ESCO receives payment out of the monthly energy savings. Regardless of whether a tribe chooses to pursue energy efficiency using interna l resources or contracting externally, it is important that the tribe has a person or office assigned with the responsibility of tribal energy issues. A person in this position typically would have the title of Energy Manager. The Energy Manager Hiring a person or assigning to a person the duties of an energy manager is a key step in implementing EE programs. It is important that the responsibility for energy issues and EE be assumed by a single person or office within an organization, and that this person or office have support and commitment from the highest levels of the organization (Capehart et al. 1997). The task of the energy manager is to develop, implement, and maintain a plan focused on tribal energy use. This plan should include, but not be limited to the following: identify and track energy uses, recommend energy-efficiency programs and equipment, and conduct education and/or rebate programs. When implementing EE measures and programs it is generally best to begin by setting some goals, and then implement low-costest, highest-return projects first. Designing an Energy Program The energy manager will have the ability to create and manage efficiency and conservation plans through development of an Action Plan, especially if given the full support of the tribal leadership. To form a viable and dynamic Action Plan it is first important to understand the “initial community vision” as presented by the tribal leaders. Formation meetings can be held that include speakers who address the community’s “hot topics,” and to ensure that the end results of the Action Plan benefit the people. When an Action Plan is complete, the energy manager will continue to update and meet with the tribal leadership on the plan. As needs are identified, it is important to determine who in the community should be invited to participate in the implementation. The Rebuild America Program The Rebuild America Program run through the U.S. Department of Energy contains a wealth of material to assist in the process of creating and carrying-out an Action Plan (see http://www.rebuild.org/aboutus/pf.html). The Action Plan should include, at a minimum, the following elements (see the Rebuild America Web site for more details): 1. Determine baseline data on energy consumption 17 a. Be as specific as possible (on a building-to-building basis). The assessment can begin by identifying all meters that monitor electricity consumption and by tracking usage information. Typically usage information may be available from the tribal department that is responsible for paying the electricity bills (if any). As part of an initial assessment the number of electric meters should be compared to the number of meters for which the tribe is being billed. Although this task may seem unnecessary, it is common for entities to be billed for meters that have long-since been modified or removed. b. Tracking of utility information can be performed by putting the monthly billing information from each meter into a spreadsheet or database system or other computer software program. This will allow identification of which buildings (or other energy end-uses) are using the most energy. In addition, collection of this monthly information will allow personnel to spot high-usage anomalies that may be indicative of problems. c. When data are unavailable, determine a strategy for collecting detailed and accurate data. Information and software from the Rebuild America Program is available to tribes, free of charge, which facilitates utility tracking (http://www.rebuild.org/SolutionCenter/productservices.asp). This is a good starting point for tribes who are interested in beginning the process of understanding their usage patterns. 2. Decide which energy efficiency improvements are important a. Are there capital or operating and maintenance improvements that are needed in your buildings? b. Are there upgrades that will help your organization better meet its mission or its “political” priorities? c. How likely are those improvements to result in cost savings, better occupant safety, productivity, comfort, and cultural compatibility? d. What mix of improvements above will be the most compelling drivers and incentives for action? e. Perform an economic evaluation of proposed EE measures by calculating net present value using life-cycle costs (see Sec. IV and Appendix B for more information about this type of economic evaluation). 3. Understand the decision-making process: a. Understand the process the tribe follows to consider and approve capital improvements in buildings. b. Assess the availability of internal funding and technical expertise for the project(s) under consideration. c. Research any policy and/or statutory provisions that may affect your procurement of services, equipment, and financing. d. Identify and involve key persons who must approve policy, legal, operating, and financial decisions. 4. Determine your project development approach 18 a. Examine what internal resources and external options are available to conduct the general improvements. b. Decide what mix of internal and external resources are needed to plan and implement the project(s). c. Determine and get approval for an initial project target, development approach, and team. d. Decide who must be included in regular communications as the project develops, and how communications will occur. 5. Develop an education program for all facets of energy use on the reservation with a particular emphasis on energy efficiency. Another federal program that is specifically aimed at the rehabilitation of existing buildings is the Housing and Community Development Act of 1992. This program is designed to offer home ownership, property rehabilitation, and new construction opportunities for eligible tribes, Indian Housing Authorities and Native Americans seeking to own a home on their native lands. The Program is designed for fee simple land within the operating area of an Indian Housing Authority or Tribe, Tribal Trust land, or on individually allotted land on reservations. (http://www.hud.gov/offices/pih/ih/homeownership/184/index.cfm) Once an EE program has been established within a tribe, or by a group of collaborating tribes, the next step to identify good candidate EE measures. The material to follow addresses the factors effecting which EE measures and policies might be most beneficial, as well as suggesting numerous measures and policies. TRIBAL CHARACTERISTICS EFFECTING ENERGY EFFICIENCY Some of the primary characteristics of a tribe that will influence the type of EE measures and programs that might be employed are as follows: • • • • • • Heating climate vs. cooling climate Rural vs. urban Large vs. small energy consumer Level of economic activity Political infrastructure related to energy and electricity (i.e., was there a tribal utility authority or similar organization that handles energy/electricity issues for the tribe?) Electrification of areas not previously served by electricity Each of these characteristics are discussed in more detail below. Energy use is greatly affected by climatic conditions. There are two basic climatic categories in energy – cooling climates and heating climates. A cooling climate is dominated by warm weather and the need for cooling indoor space, although a cooling 19 climate may also have heating needs. Conversely, a heating climate is dominated by cold weather, which requires heating. Climatic conditions therefore dictate which energyefficiency measures should be used. For example, installing shading structures on homes in a hot climate may be beneficial by limiting heat gain, but in a heating climate may limit beneficial heat gained during the winter months. The urbanization of an area may also affect which measures are available and appropriate. In the WRAP region, tribes are located in highly urbanized areas as well as in remote rural areas. The availability of energy services, equipment, and supplies is generally more limited in a rural area. Tribes may need to consider whether an energyefficiency measure can be supported with local resources, or if resources are needed that are not available in the local area, which would cost more. If a rural tribe is considering installing energy efficient equipment that will require maintenance that cannot be performed by tribal employees (e.g. an advanced cooling system on a commercial building), the cost and availability of service technicians needs to be factored into the decision about the equipment. At the same time, this lack of a technician provides an opportunity for a new local job. The resources available to a tribe, and its magnitude of energy consumption, will also affect energy-efficiency choices. If the tribal facilities (residential, commercial, etc.) consume a relatively small amount energy (e.g., if there are not many energy consumers, or the facilities require little energy for operation, etc.) then the tribe may benefit mostly from low-cost measures that are easy to implement. The tribe with a small energy use may not have the resources, the staff, or the need to consider the more complicated or costly programs. In this case it may be beneficial for a group of tribes to collaborate in establishing and energy program, or in hiring an energy manager. If the tribe has a large energy use, or substantial resources available within a sizable tribal government, staff members may already be available to dedicate to energy projects, or it may be possible to hire a dedicated energy manager. The potential for energy efficiency is typically tied to the level of the tribe’s economic activity because economically prosperous tribes generally use a greater amount of electricity and other energy sources than tribes with smaller amounts of economic activity. Similarly, tribes who have diverse business activities may have a wider range of energy-efficiency measures to choose from. If a tribe has commercial, industrial, and residential buildings as well as agriculture, the tribe will have more EE applications to consider than a tribe with only commercial buildings. Determining which is the the highest energy-use sector would be a logical first step in choosing the most effective EE measures. Tribal structure also has an effect on the type and diversity of EE measures that could be implemented. If the tribe has an energy authority, then efficiency efforts can be led by that organization (which already has the responsibility for providing energy services). Having or establishing an energy authority can be the most effective method to improving energy usage because its mission is dedicated to energy issues. Such an authority would have information on energy use throughout the tribe and could 20 implement efficiency measures in various sectors. A tribal energy manager could likewise collaborate with various departments within an energy authority or within the tribal government to implement appropriate energy-efficiency projects. Another factor affecting choice of energy measures is previous energy activities. If a tribe has never undertaken any EE programs, it may have a greater variety of programs to choose from than a more experienced tribe. For those tribes with little experience it may be logical to start with projects that are easy to implement and that have a known demonstrated benefit, to gain experience and confidence. Tribes that have already implemented a variety of EE projects may be comfortable in trying complicated or highly technical projects that have a longer-term payback. ENERGY SECTORS: ORGANIZATION OF ENERGY USES AND MEASURES Energy end- uses are typically grouped by market sector: transportation, residential, commercial, and industrial. Data on energy use is typically reported in these broad categories, as was mentioned in Section II and presented in Figures 4 and 5. Within each of these sectors are subgroups that further define the energy-use market. For instance, it may be useful for tribes to subdivide the commercial sector into typical commercial applications (retail stores, office buildings, etc.), tribal and governmental buildings, and gaming and recreation. Depending on the tribe, an appropriate subcategory of the industrial sector to consider could be agriculture. Within each end- use sector, EE measures are frequently grouped by the type of measure, such as lighting, heating, cooling, or building envelope (insulation and windows), etc. See Figures 1 and 2 in Section II. Next to residential, perhaps commercial buildings are the most common on tribal lands, including retail stores, office buildings, hospitals, warehouses, schools and government buildings. Because of the great diversity of uses for these buildings, their equipment and their building envelopes (the materials from which the building is constructed) can vary widely. For example, the amount of energy consumed and the equipment necessary to operate a grocery store will be substantially different than that of an office building, and will thus require different efficiency measures. Regardless of the specific purpose of a particular building, however, all commercial buildings will likely have energy expenditures associated with heating and cooling equipment, lighting fixtures, and the building envelope. Thus grouping buildings by sector, and EE measure by end-use (such as heating, cooling, etc.) may assist in choosing the most effective EE projects. A subgroup of commercial buildings common on tribal lands is the tribal or other government buildings. In many cases government buildings represent a substantial portion of the total commercial building stock. Government buildings will have opportunities for efficiency in the heating and cooling equipment, air distribution system, boilers and chillers, windows, and lighting. 21 Another subset of commercial buildings that may be present on tribal lands is recreational and gaming facilities. These building will have the same type of efficiency opportunities as government buildings but magnified due to the high energy use common in most gaming facilities. For example there may be substantial “plug loads” from gaming machines as well as significant air handling loads that could be improved. Increasing the energy efficiency of these facilities hold s the opportunity of increasing their profitability. Residential buildings include single- family homes, apartment buildings, and any type of group housing facility. Tribes and tribal members expend substantial resources on housing, so investment in energy-efficiency measures for residences will have a positive impact on tribal members by lowering their energy costs. Residential opportunities include heating and cooling equipment, building envelopes (e.g. insulation, windows), air duct systems, and shading and landscaping. Residential programs typically start with education. Educational programs that inform residents about how energy is consumed in the household, how that relates to energy costs, and the related opportunities for energy savings through simple actions (such as simple behavioral changes like turning off the lights or equipment changes such as using compact fluorescent light bulbs instead of incandescent light bulbs), can be very beneficial. In some parts of the WRAP region agriculture is an important energy end- use. For example, large amounts of electricity may be used for water pumping if irrigation is necessary. Substantial efficiency gains can be made in the motors that pump water, as well as in the irrigation systems themselves. Water and wastewater treatment facilities, fabrication plants, manufacturing facilities, lumber mills, and mining operations are examples of industrial applications. Energyefficiency measures for the industrial sector include many of the measures applicable for commercial buildings but also some specific to large energy consuming boilers, motors, pumps, and fans. FINANCIAL RESOURCES The key to any project is to identify an available and reliable funding source. Although most energy-efficiency measures will result in cost savings over time, it can be difficult to come up with the initial money to pay for the project. Several methods can be used to identify or establish a funding source. Revolving Fund for Energy Efficiency Project There are energy-efficiency measures, identified throughout this report, that have a known payback. For example, replacing older fluorescent lighting with new energyefficiency lighting typically has a payback period of 2 to 3 years. This means that the entire cost of the retrofit will be recovered in reduced energy bills after 2 to 3 years, and the project will continue to offer savings for the lifetime of the equipment. 22 A revolving fund can be created that allows dollars saved from the implementation of energy measures to be earmarked for other energy-saving projects. This can be accomplished using a direct accounting method that monitors the utility bills on a yearto-year basis and allocates any savings to a separate energy-efficiency fund to be used for future projects. The advantage of this direct accounting method is that the tribe will spend no more on energy efficiency than it saves, after its initial investment. A disadvantage of the direct accounting method is the time and effort required to verify savings. Because utility bills normally fluctuate each year depending on the severity of the winter or summer, however, utility bills that would have been lower as a result of an energy-saving measure may not actually be lower if there has been a colder winter or hotter summer then the previous year. This would result in funds not being available for projects. Numerous publications provide methods of verifying energy savings; for example, see Hunn (1997), Turner (1997), and Bersbach (2000). Alternatively, instead of using verified savings for EE projects, estimates of electricity savings could be allocated to the energy-efficiency fund. Because actual savings may vary from estimated savings, a tribe could choose to earmark a percentage of the estimated savings for the energy-efficienc y fund. For example, consider an energy efficiency retrofit that results in savings of $5,000 per year after a 3- year payback. Each year after the initial payback period the tribe could allocate all $5,000 or a percentage of the $5,000 to the energy-efficiency fund for new projects. As more projects are implemented the savings amount would grow and so would the energy-efficiency fund. One benefit of this estimating method is that energy management planners would have a predictable amount of funds for future energy-efficiency projects. One key to establishing a revolving fund using project savings is to identify and implement the energy-saving projects with the greatest savings and shortest payback first. A lighting retrofit is an example of a project with a short payback. This will allow funds to build up for use later in the more expensive projects with a longer payback period. As mentioned above, lighting retrofits in buildings are one of the most cost-effective changes. In addition to providing substantia l energy savings, it is a relatively simple retrofit that can be performed without highly trained staff. Maintenance Budget Any entity that is responsible for operating a building has a building operation and maintenance (O & M) budget. These budgets are used to make repairs, upgrade existing building systems, and maintain operation of the building. To create a revolving fund, a tribe could allocate a portion of their O & M budgets to energy-efficiency projects. Having such a revolving fund could pay for retrofits such as lighting but it could also be tapped to pay for the additional cost of energy-efficient equipment such as motors and heating and cooling system upgrades that result in saved energy. Performance Contracting 23 Performance contracting is a comprehensive method of implementing energy-efficiency measures in buildings. In this method an energy service provider (commonly referred to an ESCO) is hired to handle all aspects of the retrofit, including financing. Typically a provider will evaluate energy measures, provide engineering, install the new equipment, and in some cases provide ongoing operations and maintenance service. Performance contractors use the cost savings resulting from the installation of energy-saving measures to pay for the cost of the improvements. Performance contracts typically provide for a comprehensive retrofit of buildings. This allows more expensive, longer payback measures to be blended with more cost-effective, shorter payback measures, to make the overall project financially viable. One caution when entering into a performance contract is to ensure that the energy savings are verified, and that the contractor is paid out of actual savings accrued. An attractive feature of many performance contracts is the shared saving agreements between the provider and the building owner. Depending on the facility and the opportunity for EE upgrades, many performance contracts are written so that the building owners receive a portion of project savings. Performance contracts can also be advantageous because a third party typically completes all of the work and no tribal expertise in energy is required. Service providers can, in most cases, provide financing for the project so tribes do not have to come up with money for retrofits. This approach may be particularly attractive to smaller tribes. Contracts can also be negotiated to provide guaranteed savings. However, performance contracts are complex documents that must be crafted carefully to ensure a benefit to the tribe, especially if a shared savings or savings guarantee is included. These types of arrangements also allow the tribe to begin implementing EE measures prior to developing its own in-house expertise. Utility and State Rebate Programs Rebates have been a common tool in the energy industry to encourage consumers to purchase energy-efficient products. As part of demand-side management programs, utilities offer rebates to residential and commercial business on a variety of products such as compact fluorescent light bulbs, high-SEER (SEER = seasonal energy efficiency rating) air conditioners, and efficient motors. Rebates provide cash incentives or credit on utility bills, and ultimately lower the cost of the goods being purchased. The past decade has seen a reduction in demand-side management programs offered by regulated utilities, as well as a reduction in the variety of rebates. However, in states with electricity supply problems, rebate programs may still be offered in an effort to decrease peak load. Grant Programs Grants are another possible source of funds for EE projects. A variety of federal, state, and private foundations offer funding. However, competition for grants can be strong and a substantial amount of time and effort is usually required to submit a grant application. Depending on the source of the funding, grants may be offered for project design, 24 equipment, and installation. Usually a certain amount of matching funds are required for grants. It is also sometimes difficult to find funding for personnel costs that may be associated with the project. For a list of sources of technical and financial assistance, refer to Appendix A. NEW TECHNOLOGY The U.S. economy is obsessed with and driven by technology. Advances in technology in the energy field have allowed us to continue to do more work with the same or smaller amounts of energy. New energy technologies and advances to save energy, or use energy more efficiently, are continually being made. Although it is important to keep abreast of new technology, it may be more effective for tribes to rely on products and equipment that have been widely used and offer proven performance. The role of the energy manager is critical in the deployment of energy technology. Having a designated energy manager in the tribe, or as part of a consortium of tribes, or as part of an energy authority would allow one individual to become familiar with all tribal facilities. The energy manager could be provided with training so they would be capable of evaluating technology. That knowledge combined with a familiarity of tribal facilities would ensure a proper technological match. An issue that arises with energy equipment is nameplate ratings versus actual operation. Energy-equipment products, such as motors, are tested and given an energy-efficiency rating (name plate rating). However, in actual operating conditions the equipment may not perform up to the rating. As is true with any product, it is wise to research product or system claims carefully. New energy technology offers great potential for use by tribes to conserve energy. However, energy managers should resist the temptation to invest in new, unproven technology when there are a myriad of products available with proven performance. For more information about new energy-saving products and a guide to EE technology, see the Federal Energy Management Program (FEMP) Web site at http://www.eren.doe.gov/femp/prodtech.html. ENERGY SAVING PRODUCTS Companies, entrepreneurs, and research laboratories are continually developing new energy-saving products. Frequently an energy manager is barraged with sales pitches to try a new energy-saving gadget. There are hundreds of legitimate energy-saving products on the market, so energy managers should be wary of products making extraordinary claims. Many energy-consuming products are provided with an EnergyStar rating by the federal EPA, which provides information about the energy use that can be useful in evaluating how well a product uses energy. For more details visit http://www.energystar.go v/default.shtml. The FEMP also has a considerable amount of information available about energy-efficient products (see http://www.eren.doe.gov/femp/procurement/). 25 Other good sources of information for energy products is are state energy offices, which may be aware of both reputable and non-reputable products and product vendors. These offices have expertise in deploying energy conservation and efficiency programs and can offer technical advice. The National Association of State Energy Officials Web site gives a list of state energy office contacts (www.naseo.org/members/states.htm). The federal government plays a large part in the development and deployment of new energy technologies. The national laboratories are tasked with researching and testing new energy products and systems, and federal agencies are used to deploy and test those products. One source of information to keep up-to-date on emerging technologies is the Department of Energy’s Office of Building Technology, State and Community Programs. This office provides information about efficient products and where to get them. The Emerging Technology Web site provides a review of products and sources for purchasing efficient products (http://www.eren.doe.gov/buildings/emergingtech/printable/index.html). Energy Demonstrations The Federal Energy Management Program (FEMP), an arm of the Department of Energy, is tasked with controlling energy usage in federal facilities. In addition to other functions, the FEMP operates the New Technology Demonstration Program. The demonstration program introduces and deploys new energy-efficient technologies in the federal sector. This program can assist tribes because they post information on demonstration projects and technology assessments; many technologies used for federal facilities are directly transferable to tribal facilities. For information on technology demonstrations go to www.eren.doe.gov/femp/prodtech/tech_d.html. For technology assessments go to Federal Technology Alerts (www.eren.doe.gov/femp/prodtech/fed_techalert.html). Additional Sources of Technology Information The American Council for an Energy Efficient Economy (ACEEE) produces a variety of reports that analyze energy efficiency and conservation technologies. The ACEEE is nationally recognized for its advocacy and research. It partners with various organizations to monitor emerging technologies in the building and industrial sectors. For a list of publications and their costs visit www.aceee.org. The most comprehensive Web site for energy-efficiency information belongs to the Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Network (EREN). In addition to information on all of Department of Energy’s energy-efficiency and renewable energy programs, the site provides links to 600 other energy sites. An extraordinary amount of information can be accessed using the search engine available on this site (www.eren.doe.gov). 26 ENERGY EFFICIENCY PROGRAMS AND POLICIES Energy Efficiency Measures Table 2 provides a list of specific energy-efficiency measures, divided into sectors to provide easy reference. This table is provided to give the reader a quick reference guide to the types of energy-efficiency measures available to tribes. More detailed descriptions of many of these measures are provided in Appendix C. Many excellent publications for evaluating EE measures can be purchased, including the Energy Management Handbook by Turner (1997), the Energy Efficiency Manual by Wulfinghoff (1999), Fundamentals of Building Energy Dynamics by Hunn (1996), and Introduction to Energy Management by Capehart et al. (1997). The Rebuild America Program Website (http://www.rebuild.org/index.asp) also contains suggestions of numerous good EE measures. For the energy manager who is choosing and implementing EE measures, these resources as well as those listed in Appendix A are valuable tools. Tribal Energy Authority As discussed in Section II of this report (Baseline Information), there are many significant benefits to establishing a tribal energy (utility) authority. It is an excellent center within a tribe in which to develop expertise about energy and energy efficiency, it is a central entity that can represent the energy needs of the tribe and negotiate lower energy rates on behalf of the tribe, it provides jobs for tribal members, and it can enhance tribal sovereignty and energy independence. Regardless of whether a tribe (or a collaborating group of tribes) forms an energy authority, establishing an energy manager position is crucial. Such a person can improve the tribe’s overall energy situation, reduce the amount paid for energy, and implement EE programs. Whether assigning the duties of an energy manager to an existing staff member within the tribe or within an energy authority, or establishing a new position of energy manager, establishing such a position is a critical step in reaping the potential benefits of EE. ENERGY EDUCATION PROGRAMS Education can make the difference between an effective, successful, comprehensive energy management program and a fragmented program with little support. As described previously, there are numerous reasons to conduct energy-efficiency programs, not the least of which is to save money. Educating tribal members, leaders, facility managers, staff members, and contractors about the benefits of monitoring and conserving energy will build support for an energy program. Although many may think of energy efficiency and conservation programs as simply installing new or better technology, education is also a very effective method for conserving energy because it encourages people to change their behavior. Train Tribal Staff and Employees 27 Table 2 – Energy efficiency measures categorized by sector, and rated for cost, maintenance, ease of implementation and energy savings potential. Sector Measure Cost Maintenance Ease of Energy saving Implementation potential Residential Lighting retrofit with compact fluorescent (CFL) bulbs New Construction CFL Fixtures (Indoors & Outdoors) Heating and Cooling – New and Replacement Evaporative Cooling Heating and Cooling-Duct Testing and Sealing Heating and Cooling Service and repair Purchase energy star equipment (clothes washers, etc.) Purchase efficient equipment (high SEER CAC, heat pumps and AC window units) Retire old refrigerators Weatherization-style program Shading and Landscaping Commercial (including Government, Gaming, and Recreation) Purchasing high efficiency gas boilers space heat Gas boiler fuel switching Install LED exit signs Install LED traffic signals Fluorescent lighting Heating and cooling, low cost measures Heating and cooling, high cost measures Ground-source heat pump Gas air conditioning Building commissioning and retro-commissioning Low Low Moderate Low Low Moderate Easy Moderate Easy Low to Mod Low to Mod High Moderate Moderate Low to Mod Moderate Low Moderate Low Low Difficult Moderate Easy Easy High Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Low to High Low to Mod Low Low Moderate Easy Difficult Moderate Moderate High Low Moderate High Low Low Moderate Low High High High Moderate Moderate Moderate Low Low Low Moderate Moderate Moderate High High Easy Moderate Easy Easy Easy Moderate Moderate Difficult Moderate Difficult Moderate Low Low Low High Moderate Moderate High Moderate High 28 Table 2 – Energy efficiency measures categorized by sector, and rated for cost, maintenance, ease of implementation and energy savings potential. Sector Measure Cost Maintenance Ease of Energy saving Implementation potential Commercial (including Government, Gaming, and Recreation) – continued Building load controls Moderate Building envelop enhancements Moderate Building training programs Moderate Efficient trans formers High Cooling tower variable speed drives Moderate Water heating heat-pump unit High Industrial Fan systems measures Moderate Air compressor system measures Moderate Combined Heat and Power High Motor downsizing Low Premium motors Moderate Policy Tribal procurement policy Low Green energy purchasing Moderate Energy education Moderate Rebate purchasing incentives Moderate Tribal mandates Low Tribal energy policy Low Public benefits fund Mod to High Support federal mandates Low Designate energy person Mod to High IECC or other building codes Low 29 High Low High Low Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Difficult Low Moderate Moderate High Moderate High Low Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate High Low Moderate Moderate Moderate Difficult Easy Easy Moderate Moderate High Moderate Moderate Low Low High Moderate Low Low Moderate Moderate -Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Difficult Easy Moderate Moderate High Low High Moderate Moderate High Moderate Low High Moderate A trained staff is necessary to design, implement, and maintain energy-efficiency programs. Staff members can be contractors who are hired because of their knowledge, or tribal staff who have been provided with enough training to become knowledgeable about energy issues. The latter method builds capacity within the tribe; trained tribal members will set an example for others, with everyone helping to reduce reliance on outside resources. Tribal employees who are educated about turning off the lights and computer equipment will contribute to lower electricity bills because lighting is a substantial cost of operating a building. Employees can also be encouraged to find ways to conserve energy so they are able to contribute to the economic health of the tribe. Educate Residents Energy is consumed in all sectors of the economy, so education is important for the people who work in all sectors. Tribal energy personnel can work within each sector to provide an understanding of energy usage and the options for using energy more effectively, and therefore using less. Residential consumers use energy to heat and cool their homes, store and prepare food, wash clothes and dishes, light their residences, and run electrical equipment and home appliances. As mentioned previously, Tribal members typically spend between 1 percent and 20 percent of their incomes on basic energy services (Energy Information Administration 2000). These electricity customers would benefit from education programs about the cost and amount of energy consumed by the equipment in their homes. Residents can also be educated on the economic and environmental benefits of turning off lights, only running clothes dryer when they are full, and using more effective space conditioning (heating and cooling). In addition, residents can be informed about energy-efficient equipment (such as EnergyStar-rated products) so that they can make informed decisions when purchasing energy-consuming equipment. A primary benefit of conserving energy for residents is that spending less on utility bills will free financial resources for other needs. Attend or Host Technical Training Outreach efforts can also be undertaken to educate the commercial, agricultural, and industrial sectors about energy-saving opportunities. Education can be as simple as providing information on available training or sharing information on what has been learned from tribal projects. Or, if there is substantial opportunity for savings, the tribe may wish to offer its own training, which can be specialized. A number of professional organizations provide energy training. For example, the American Society of Heating, Refrigerating and Air Conditioning Engineers (ASHRAE) offers a variety of basic and advanced courses. Tribal personnel and staff from the various energy sectors can attend courses specific to their work areas, or if there is enough interest, the ASHRAE will provide on-site training. Training improves the skill of those attending and many times the cost of the training will be recovered in implemented energy-saving techniques that are learned in the training. Educate the Children 30 Another facet of an education program is to include curricula on energy in the primary and secondary schools. Creating an effective education program for students can provide benefits that are long lived. Students need the tools to make informed energy decisions throughout their lives. A wide variety of educational materials can be made available for teachers; to ensure a successful program, they should be provided with training on the use of such materials, and the materials should fit into the core classes. The U.S. Department of Energy, in collaboration with many western states, offers a variety of educational programs as well as other energy-efficiency programs. Appendix D presents a summary of these programs for western states, in which tribes may be interested in participating. TRIBAL ENERGY POLICIES Creating a comprehensive and effective tribal energy policy or plan is a significant undertaking that requires involvement of tribal officials, staff, and members. For tribes that have no established energy plan or policy, it may be beneficial to review the process and resulting policies developed by other tribes. A good example of an energy policy has been created by the Navajo Nation can be found at the following web site: http://www.navajonationenergypolicy.com/. Elements of a tribal energy policy that a tribe may consider adopting are: • Create a policy that calls for establishment of a tribal energy plan. • Support energy efficiency within all sectors of tribal energy use. • Adopt a tribal policy that requires adherence to an energy code, such as the IECC (formerly the Model Energy Code, now the International Energy Conservation Code), for all new buildings within the reservation boundaries. • Incorporate energy efficiency into new tribal housing projects. • Establish a policy recommending that life cycle cost methods be used in evaluating and selecting all new energy-related projects (either new construction or renovation). 31 IV. TRIBAL CASE STUDIES: ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF ENERGY EFFICIENCY MEASURES Many tribes from throughout the WRAP region were consulted as part of the process of devising a set of recommended actions for tribes to consider related to energy efficiency (see Section V) as well as in determining what type of information would be most useful in this report. During the spring of 2002, three of these tribes were also visited with the intention of developing case studies related to specific EE measures, and to have in-depth conversations with tribal officials concerning many aspects of tribal energy. The three tribes visited were: • • • The Confederated Salish and Kootenai Tribes of the Flathead Reservation The Pascua Yaqui Tribe The Yurok Tribe These three tribes each possess a different set of the tribal characteristics that influence the suitability of a potential EE measures and programs (these characteristics are discussed in Section III). Thus, a diverse variety of energy perspectives, constraints, and opportunities were revealed during these visits that helped develop the information presented here. The purpose of this section is to present the results of the case studies. The primary metrics used in evaluating the worthiness of the EE projects proposed in the case studies are the economics indicators net present value, internal rate of return, and simple payback period. These indicators tell whether or not and efficiency project is a good investment (e.g., will it pay for itself?). Thus, the project economics will be the focus of this presentation, with the following topics discussed: • • Economic Analysis of Energy Efficiency Measures Results of Tribal Case Studies Beyond the project economics, however, there may be other important factors to consider when making the decision whether or not to go forward with an EE project. For example, availability of capital and the impact of the project on the community are two such factors. These other considerations will be unique to each tribe and evaluated on a tribaland project-specific basis. In many cases, the final decision concerning whether or not to implement an EE project may be determined by answering the following question: “Is this project good for the people?” ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF ENERGY EFFICIENCY MEASURES When performing an economic analysis of a proposed energy-efficiency measure, the basic idea is to compare the costs with the estimated savings. The costs of a measure can 32 include the initial cost of the equipment, labor for installation, training, maintenance, replacement parts, and more. Savings can be realized from a reduction in consumption of energy, decreased maintenance needs, and less system downtime. It is the responsibility of the person in charge of evaluating the EE measure to correctly identify all of the associated costs and savings, and to determine the appropriate lifetime of an EE measure. Identifying and comparing all of the costs and savings over the life of a measure is called life-cycle costing. Three methods of assessing whether or not an EE measure is economically viable were used for the case study examples. The first method, called the simple payback period (SPP), essentially answers the question: Will the EE measure pay for itself in savings, and if so, how long will it take? This method is fairly straightforward to implement, but does not account for the time- value of money and often does not include all of the lifecycle costs. The second and third methods employed are the net present value (NPV) and the internal rate of return (IRR). Both of these techniques include the time-value of money in their calculations as well as all of the estimated life-cycle costs. Because all three of these economic measures are commonly used to assess proposed EE projects (though it is not necessary to use all three), they have each been applied in the case studies to follow, and the fundamental concepts of each are presented below. Perhaps the easiest way to describe the underlying concepts of the SPP, the NPV, and the IRR is in the context of a simple example. For the discussion to follow, let’s assume that an EE measure with an initial cost of $1,200 is implemented, requiring an annual maintenance costing $50. As a result of the measure an annual savings in energy cost of $400 is realized. The life of the measure is expected to be five years. Simple Payback Period (SPP) The simple payback period is calculated by dividing the initial cost of an EE measure by the annual savings: SPP = Initial cos t Annual savings For this example, SPP = $1,200 = 3 years $400 Since the SPP is 3 years, and the life of the project is more than that (5 years in this case), the project will pay for itself in three years. Net Present Value (NPV) The net present value compares the economic value of implementing a proposed EE measure to not implementing the measure. This comparison includes all of the life-cycle 33 costs and accounts for the time-value of money. The time-value of money is simply recognition that the value of a dollar changes over time due its potential to earn income through investment and other effects such as inflation. Thus a dollar today is worth more to you now than at some point in the future, because today’s dollar can increase its value through investment. The idea behind the NPV method is to compare all of the costs of two alternative projects (i.e., implementing an EE measure vs. not implementing) in today’s dollars. This provides a consistent basis to compare two different cash flow streams (revenues and costs) that occur at different times. For our simple example posed above, one alternative cash flow stream is based on not implementing the EE measure, which requires no initial investment and paying the normal annual energy costs. The other alternative is implementing the EE measure, which has a cash flow stream requiring an initial investment of $1,200 and generating an annual net energy savings of $350 (the $400 in annual energy savings less the $50 annual maintenance cost). The purpose of computing the NPV is to compare these two different cash flow streams on an equal basis, in terms of today’s dollars. In order to compute the NPV it is necessary to have an accurate prediction of the cash flow streams for each proposed alternative. This is frequently the most labor- intensive activity in evaluating the NPV and needs to be as accurate as possible. One must also know the expected life of the EE measure and the minimum attractive rate of return (MARR). The MARR is essentially a rate of return on investment that the tribal management feels is necessary in order to justify the investment. Determining the MARR is frequently a policy issue and is set by the top management in an organization (Sullivan et al. 2000). For example, the MARR could be determined by knowing the rate of return that could be earned by placing the money in a safe (low risk) investment, instead of investing it in the proposed EE measure Another way of determining the MARR could be to use the interest rate that would be paid on money borrowed to finance the EE project. However the MARR is determined, it is used to reduce the value of all future cash flows at the MARR so they are represented in today’s dollars. This technique of reducing future cash flows is also called discounting (for this reason, the MARR is also called the discount rate). In essence, there is an opportunity cost incurred by investing in an EE project instead of some other safe interest-bearing investment. The interest that could otherwise be earned by an investment is lost when the money is used for an EE project. It is precisely the amount of lost interest that the NPV method discounts out of all future cash flows. Returning to our simple example, at a net savings in energy each year of $350, the total saving over the five year life of the project is $1,750. This amount is $550 greater than the initial cost of the project ($1,200). However, since the cash flows due to energy savings all occur in the future, the value of these dollars is not as great as the initial investment. Assuming the MARR is 5% in this example and discounting all future cash flows at this rate, the savings over the five year life valued in today’s dollars is $1,515. Comparing this to the initial investment of $1,200, you would still be better off by $315 dollars. Thus the net present value of the project is $315. Since the NPV is positive, this 34 is a project worth considering. If the NPV was negative, then the project should be rejected (you would be better off putting your money in an investment at the MARR). If the NPV were zero, then investment in the EE measure would yield the same return as if the money were invested at the MARR. Details describing how to compute the NPV are provided in the Case Study Details presented in Appendix B. Internal Rate of Return (IRR) The internal rate of return is a popular method to rate investment opportunities. In essence, the IRR is the rate of return that if used as the MARR in determining the NPV, will yield an NPV of zero. One must be a little careful when using the IRR to evaluate a potential EE project due to a potential problem of incorrectly ranking the economic value of multiple projects (see the discussion on the “inconsistent ranking problem” in Chapter 5 of Sullivan et al. 2000), but if done correctly this technique works fine. For the simple example used in discussing the SPP and NPV, the IRR of this project would be 14%. Since the IRR is greater than the MARR of 5%, this EE project is attractive. If the IRR were less than 5%, one would decline the project, and if it were equal to the MARR then the project will yield the same return as investing at the MARR. Sensitivity and Risk Analysis There are numerous assumptions in performing SPP, NPV, and IRR analyses, and estimated future cash flows are never a certainty. Because these assumptions will effect the decision of whether or not to pursue an EE measure, it might be wise to perform an analysis to assess how sensitive the final values of the SPP, NPV or IRR are to the assumptions. Systematically changing the assumptions in question and repeating calculation of the SPP, NPV, or IRR is a useful method of assessing the sensitivity. For instance, if the net cost savings in our simple example were actually $300 each year instead of $350, what would be the values of the SPP, NPV, and IRR? Performing the calculations in this new scenario, the SPP increases to four years, the NPV shrinks to $99 and IRR becomes 8%. In this instance, these values all suggest that this is still a viable project but at what point does the project become unattractive? By choosing several possible values of the ne t energy savings, a sensitivity graph can be created by plotting the NPV or IRR versus the energy cost savings. A sensitivity graph such as this provides an easy, visual way to assess how rapidly the results of an analysis vary with the assumptions (an example will be provided in the case studies to follow). Where to go for more details A typical EE project may have a many factors the complicate the economic calculations beyond what was presented in our simple example. For instance, it may be necessary to include the effects of inflation, taxes, and depreciation of equipment to name a few. If tasked with the duty of evaluating an EE project, and if not familiar with how to account for these various factors, it may be wise to consult one of many good references that describe project economic analysis (for example see Sullivan et al. 2000, Turner 1997, Capehart et al. 1997, or Pratt 1997). 35 RESULTS OF TRIBAL CASE STUDIES In order to obtain a better understanding of the types of EE programs and policies that tribes may be interested in, and that would be successful, three case studies were conducted through visiting the three tribes mentioned at the beginning of this section. The goal was to gain a first- hand understanding of each tribes experiences with electricity supply, services, EE programs and policies, and to learn about the types of EE measures in which these tribes were interested. Initially, several tribes were identified that possess a diverse variety of the tribal characteristics that influence the EE, as described in Section III and summarized below: • • • • • • Heating climate vs. cooling climate Rural vs. urban Large vs. small energy consumer Level of economic activity Political infrastructure related to energy and electricity (i.e., was there a tribal utility authority or similar organization that handles energy/electricity issues for the tribe?) Electrification of areas not previously served by electricity Of the tribes identified, the following three graciously agreed to host a visit by a team of researchers from NAU: the Pasqua Yaqui tribe in southern Arizona, the Yurok tribe in northern California, and the Confederated Salish and Kootenai Tribes of the Flathead Reservation in western Montana. The visits were successful in underscoring the challenges to enacting EE programs, as well as the opportunities available. The tribes shared their experiences with electricity service and EE, as well as their views about what would be useful information to present in this report. One aspect of each tribal visit was to learn about a specific EE measure that each tribe would be interested in having evaluated for its economic merit. Thus the case study examples presented here provide the economic evaluations each of these proposed EE measures of interest. Background information is provided for each tribe, followed by summaries of each measure. Full details of the economic calculations for each case study are provided in Appendix B. Case Study One: The Yurok Tribe – Lighting Retrofit at the Ke’pel Head Start Facility Background Information The Yurok Tribe is the largest tribe in California, located in northern part of the state along the Klamath River. Reservation land includes about a 45 mile stretch of the lower Klamath River and one mile on either side of the river. Within the external boundaries of the reservation are 55,000 acres, however, the tribe only owns approximately 11,000 of these acres. Private parties or the federal government holds the remainder of land within the reservation. The tribe has 4,300 members, 1,000 of those members live on the 36 reservation and a majority of all members live within 60 miles of tribal lands. The Klamath River and its waters are of utmost importance to the tribe both culturally and economically. Tribal land is largely unimproved with electricity, telecommunications, and roads that are available only in the upper and lower ends of the reservation. The tribe has commercial electric loads including a fishery, a tribal court and police force, a historic preservation office that serves the tribe and two counties, retail stores, a recreational vehicle park, and other commercial ventures. Within the reservation there are also the industrial loads of a timber operation and mill. A council, made up of representatives from seven districts, governs the Yurok. A Chairman and Vice Chairman are chosen from among the council members. A constitution for the tribe was established in 1993. Since 1993 the tribe has concentrated on building a competent and respected tribal government. The tribal government is developing a comprehensive land use plan to guide future development. The plan includes the development and delivery of a full set of services to new homes as they are built. Services include but are not limited to water, sewer, telephone, and electricity. There are approximately 90 Yurok homes within the reservation. An aggressive housing program is underway to build 70 to150 houses, largely on the reservation. Thus, a focus of the tribe is to develop infrastructure and housing for the benefit of tribal members. In addition to residential housing, a new 30,000 square foot building is being constructed to house the tribal government. This office will consolidate some of six tribal offices locations. The tribe has evaluated the potential for energy production on the 30 tributaries of the Klamath River. In addition the tribe has several small photovoltaic installations. The tribe is considering efficiency measures for the new tribal and residential buildings. For this case study, an off- grid Head Start facility was identified as a candidate site for an EE measure. Lighting Retrofit Buildings with off- grid electricity generation (not supplied by utility company electricity from the electrical grid), such as the Yurok Tribe’s Ke’pel Head Start facility, can offer opportunities for modest to tremendous savings in electricity costs due to the many factors affecting the price of electricity. The price paid for electricity is often quite high in these buildings with a significant portion of this cost paid up- front when the electrical generating equipment is purchased. Consequently, for off- grid systems the opportunity for savings is greatest at the time of construction when energy efficiency can be incorporated into the design. Regardless, there may still be many economically feasible efficiency improvements possible even after the generation equipment is paid for (and therefore it cost does not factor into the economic calculations). A walk-through of the Head Start facility revealed that the fluorescent lights could be retrofitted with more efficient fixtures and tubes. A photograph of the Ke’pel Head Start facility is provided in Figure 6. At this facility electricity is supplied by a 12-kilowatt propane generator, 600 watts of photovoltaic cells, 37 batteries, and a Trace 4024 inverter (the inverter turns the electricity output of the batteries and photovoltaics into a form useable in the building). The proposed lighting retrofit would replace old T12 fluorescent light bulbs and ballasts within the building with T8 fluorescent bulbs and ballasts (note it is easy to tell whether you have T12 or T8 bulbs: a T12 bulb is 1.33 inches in diameter, versus a T8 bulb that is 1.0 inches in diameter). Retrofitting the entire facility would cost $579 including labor. The cost of electricity delivered by the generator was determined to be 8.2 cents per kilowatt-hour. Since the cost of the existing generation equipment is sunk (already spent), it does not factor into this cost of electricity, which is based on fuel costs only. It was also assumed that maintenance costs of the generator would be the same whether or not the retrofit is carried out (although this assumption is likely to be a conservative one). Using this costof-electricity, the higher efficiency lighting fixtures would save nearly one-third of the energy used, with an annual net savings on fuel costs of $77. Assuming a 10-year life cycle and a discount rate (MARR) of 5%, the simple payback period is seven-and-a-half years, the net present value is $76, and the internal rate of return is 7.5% (see Appendix B for details about how these numbers were obtained). Thus the lighting retrofit appears to be a good investment. It is worth noting that this example did not account for the effects of inflation. If a modest annual inflation rate of 2% is included in the calculations, then the NPV would be $150, and the internal rate of return is 9.7%, and the investment would appear even more favorable. This example demonstrates how an EE measure at a reasonably new facility using offgrid electricity is attractive and would be recommended on its economic merit. Since on-grid facilities may pay a higher rate for their electricity than stated here, this EE measure would be recommended at virtually any facility using old T12 fluorescent light fixtures (Indian households on average pay 8.7 cents per kilowatt-hour for electricity, see Energy Information Administration 2000). Had the choice been made to use T8 lighting fixtures instead of T12 at the time the building was designed and constructed, the savings could have been much larger since the size and cost of the electrical generation Figure 6 – The Ke’pel Head Start Facility on the Yurok Reservation in northern California. 38 $400.00 Net Present Value (NPV) ($) $300.00 NPV =$0 if the net annual fuel savings decreases by 20% from $76 to $67 $200.00 NPV =$76 for the best estimate of net annual fuel savings $100.00 $0.00 -$100.00 -$200.00 -$300.00 -$400.00 $0 $25 $50 $75 $100 $125 $150 Net Annual Fuel Savings ($) Figure 7 – Sensitivity plot of net present value versus net annual fuel savings for the Ke’pel Head Start Facility lighting retrofit. equipment could possibly have been reduced (the cost of electricity at an off- grid facility can easily exceed 20 cents per kilowatt hour when the cost of the generating equipment is included along with the fuel costs). In performing the economic analysis for this lighting retrofit, the most difficult cash flow to estimate was the net annual fuel savings of $77. This was due to uncertainty in determining the actual electrical energy usage at the facility, since it is off- grid and no electric bills were available (see Appendix B for more details). To gain a better understanding of how this uncertainty affects the NPV, a sensitivity plot was created by graphing the NPV versus percent change in the annual fuel savings, as shown in Fig. 7. As evident from the figure, the NPV goes to zero if the annual fuel savings decreases by 20% from $77 to $67. It is the job of the person responsible for overseeing this lighting retrofit to determine how likely it is that the fuel savings will decrease by 20% or more; in other words, to assess the risk. If there is sufficient risk, it would be necessary to either revisit the determination of the net energy savings to see if a more certain estimate can be obtained, or possibly to decide not to fund the project. Note the economic indicators are not the only pieces of information that would be considered in making the decision to implement the project. Environmental benefits (for example, as related to the regional haze rule), system reliability benefits, etc., should be factored into the decision. Implementing the retrofit could also be used in the educational programs directed toward the children at the Head Start facility. 39 Case Study Two: Confederated Salish and Kootenai Tribes –Irrigation System Improvements for Agriculture Background Information The Confederated Salish and Kootenai tribes live on the 1.2 million-acre Flathead Indian Reservation in Western Montana. The Reservation, with its combination of valley floor and towering mountains, is located north of Missoula and south of Kalispell in the western part of Montana. A major geological feature of the reservation is Flathead Lake, the largest freshwater lake in the West. The tribes on the Flathead Reservation are a combination of the Salish, Pend d’Oreilles, and Kootenai. There are approximately 6,800 enrolled tribal members and approximately 3,700 members live on or near the reservation. The Confederated Salish and Kootenai are prosperous tribes that have a diversified local economy. The Tribes harvest timber and own Plum Creek Lumber Company, receive revenues from a hydro generating facility, the Kerr Dam, own an electronics manufacturing facility, two gasoline service stations, a Dairy Queen and a Best Western resort hotel located on Flathead Lake. Within the Reservation are parts of four counties and ten incorporated towns. The Tribe makes up less than one third of the population on the reservation. Throughout the reservation there is homestead land that creates a checkerboard of land ownership. A tribal council, made up of 10 members elected at large, governs the tribe. The council oversees all operations of the tribe. Some of the departments within the tribal government are governed by their own boards, with those boards reporting to the tribal council. This is the case with the housing authority and the utility authority. Mission Valley Power (MVP) is the tribal utility authority that provides all electrical power on the Reservation. MVP has a unique structure for several reasons. First, MVP provides power to both tribal and non-tribal customers on the Reservation. Second, the utility board reports to the tribal council yet the tribe earns no profit from MVP. MVP is an outgrowth of the Bureau of Indian Affairs and became a stand-alone entity in 1990. A utility board of directors, made up of five member appointees by the tribal council, controls MVP. A Consumer Council works with customers, fields complaints, and presents consumer view to the board. Approximately 70 percent of the power supplied to the area by MVP comes from the Bonneville Power Administration (BPA) through their hydro generating facilities. The Consolidated Salish and Kootenai have a guaranteed price for electric power until 2011. For changes in rates MVP must obtain federal approval. MVP has over 16,000 accounts that were supplied with approximately 330 million kWh of electricity in 2001. Power is offered at the low rate of 4.79 cents per kWh for residential, 3.12 cents per kWh for commercial customers, and 3.63 cents per kWh for irrigation customers. MVP has a sophisticated, effective and well- funded energy conservation program. In the 2001 annual report MVP states that their program is the “most aggressive conservation 40 program in the Northwest” offering 16 different programs. Utility account credits, incentive payments, energy information, weatherization services, and some energy efficient equipment are offered to customers. Between October 2001 and March 2002 a total of 17 million kWh were saved through conservation programs. This translates to saving approximately 10 percent in energy use. Funding for conservation programs is provided by BPA and fluctuates depending on BPA’s budget and allocation to their conservation programs. The Confederated Salish and Kootenai Housing Authority (SKHA) is responsible for construction of housing for tribal members. The SKHA builds energy efficient “Super Good Cents” all- electric homes. There are approximately 440 rental units managed by SKHA and about 200 units owned by residents. In rental units, the utility bills are included in the rental. Neither natural gas nor propane is used in most units because of its lack of availability, expense, or for safety reasons. Overall, these tribes have a very favorable energy situation. The council and departmental staff recognize the benefits of and are supportive of energy efficiency efforts. Electrical service is available throughout the reservation and the price for electricity for all customer classes is low. There is an established tribal utility authority that offers residential, small commercial, and some industrial conservation programs. The Kerr Dam produces electrical power on the reservation and will eventually be owned by the Tribe. In terms of the tribal characteristics that can influence which EE programs and measures to consider, the Confederated Salish and Kootenai tribes live in a rural setting, in a heating climate, have a large land base with a substantial energy consumption, have a significant level of economic activity, and un-served electrical loads are not an issue. Their utility authority, MVP, is a dynamic organization and in many senses a model organization. During the visit with the MVP staff, about the only EE opportunity that could be identified was related to improving irrigation systems (this is because MVP has done such a good job with its many EE programs serving the residential, commercial, and industrial sectors). A summary of the details of a proposed irrigation system improvement will be presented next. Irrigation System Efficiency Measure The external boundaries of Flathead Reservation encompass 1.2 million acres, including thousands of acres are farmland. Some of this land is tribal land and some of it is privately held. MVP provides electrical service to all of the farms. During the summer months many of the farms use irrigation. A picture of a typical irrigation system is shown in Fig. 8, and a picture of the large electric water pumps that might supply such a system are shown in Fig. 9. Large water pumps that run on electricity are required to draw water from an irrigation canal and feed these irrigation systems. During fiscal year 2001, irrigation customers accounted for approximately 8 percent or the electricity sold by MVP, and MVP is interested in exploring the potential for energy savings through irrigation system improvements. 41 Figure 8 – A typical irrigation system on farmland within the Flathead Reservation in Montana. The haze above the field has been caused by dust blown up from a dirt road, one of the primary sources of haze within the reservation. Figure 9 – Large electric water pumps used to draw water from a nearby irrigation ditch and supply irrigation equipment. 42 Low Energy Precision Application (LEPA) irrigation systems are modifications of standard pivot irrigation systems that deliver water directly to the soil. These systems save both energy and water, and are one possible irrigation system improvement. Instead of nozzles that shoot water high into the air, LEPA systems employ drop tubes and sprinkler heads that deliver water directly to the soil around crops. This modification allows for lower system pressures and smaller electric motors, and cuts evaporative losses of water reducing the amount of water required to irrigate a given field. For a typical initial cost of $3,000, a farmer can convert an existing medium- or high-pressure pivot system to a LEPA system. Electricity for irrigation provided by MVP costs $0.0363 per kWh plus $11.05 per hp of the pump motor per season. Using these rates, the estimated cost savings in electricity is estimated to $476 per year (per LEPA modified pivot system). While water costs would typically be included in the analysis of the NPV and IRR, water for irrigation on the Flathead reservation is charged per acre independent of how much water is actually used (therefore water savings by a LEPA system will not impact the cost of water, though there will probably be a benefit to the water district due to the water saved). Based upon the costs for electricity, using a project lifetime of 20 years and a MARR of 5%, investment in a LEPA system would pay for itself in just over six years (SPP), have a NPV of $2,932, and an IRR of 14.9%. Clearly, this type of project seems advisable from an economic standpoint. Table 3 summarizes the economic indicators considering different assumptions about the future price of electricity. It is worth noting that the price of electricity delivered by MVP is quite inexpensive. Thus, for farmers on other reservations that pay a higher price of electricity, or are billed per acre- foot of water, that investment in a LEPA system will be even more economically attractive. Case Study Three: Pascua Yaqui Tribe – Automatic Lighting Sensors Background Information The Pascua Yaqui tribe located primarily in southern Arizona, with five communities in the state, four of which are located in and around Tucson. It is the newest federally recognized tribe in the United States. The Pascua Yaqui received 202 acres of land in Table 3 – The simple payback period, net present value, and internal rate of return for investment in installation of a LEPA irrigation system. Electricity/Water Inflation Rate -4% -2% 0% 2% 4% Net Present Value $1,232 $1,987 $2,932 $4,120 $5,623 43 Internal Rate of Return 10.3% 12.6% 14.9% 17.2% 19.5% 1964, and acquired another 690 acres in 1982. The tribe gained federal recognition in 1978, and adopted a constitution in 1988. Governance of the tribe is by an 11 member Tribal Council who are elected at large every four years. A Chairman and Vice Chairman are chosen from among the Council. The Pascua Yaqui tribe operates two casinos, an amphitheater, a smoke and gift shop and has a third casino under construction. The tribe has approximately 13,000 members and is growing. The tribe provides public safety, social services, housing and vocational training to its members on the reservation and provides limited service to those members located in the four other communities. The tribe is undergoing a tremendous amount of change driven by the increase in tribal membership and an increase in revenues. Housing issues were identified by the tribe as one of the most pressing issues at this time. However, growth is affecting all aspects of tribal development. The tribal government is made up of 11 departments. The department directors report to the tribal council on matters of policy. Energy issues are handled by the Development Services Department, which is also responsible for land acquisition and land use planning, planning and attracting or creating economic development opportunities, infrastructure such as roads and parks, providing assistance to the four Yaqui communities not located on the reservation, and non- housing community development. At the time of the case study visit, the tribe did not have an energy department or employee dedicated to energy efficiency or conservation. However, the tribe has since hired an energy manager. Development Services staff were interviewed to assess the knowledge of and interest in energy conservation and efficiency and were found to have a wo rking knowledge about the potential benefits of and strategies to implement energy conservation and efficiency programs. Further, the Department has a particular interest in developing renewable energy resources for the economic development potential and to gain a measure of energy independence. In terms of the tribal characteristics that may influence which EE programs and measures to consider, the Pascua Yaqui live in an urban, cooling climate, have a small land base, a significant level of economic activity, and un-served electrical loads are not an issue. They are in the process of developing an organizational infrastructure to handle energy issues. During the case study visit with the Development Services staff, motion sensors for lighting in a new Head Start facility were identified as a potential EE measure of interest. A summary of the details of this measure will be presented next. Lighting Motion Sensors Retrofit There are two basic ways to save electricity through lighting. One of these is to upgrade existing lights with fixtures that consume less energy when on. Another method is to 44 install motion sensors to prevent existing fixtures from being left on when unused, reducing the overall time of use of the fixtures. The Pascua Yaqui Tribe is building a new Head Start facility (see Fig. 10). They are using efficient lighting fixtures throughout the building, but are also considering the use of motion sensors in the building as a way to further reduce energy consumption. There are six large classrooms in the Head Start facility that could be outfitted with the motion sensors. Of interest to the tribe is determining if the motio n sensors are worth the investment. Because motion sensors are fairly simple and inexpensive to install in a retrofit scenario, it is not necessary to install them at the time of construction. The advantage of delaying installation is that the usage patterns for the classrooms can be determined in the first several months of operation of the facility, allowing for a more accurate prediction of the potential for cost savings. The purpose of the economic analysis presented here is to identify the energy cost savings at several different levels of classroom lighting use, in order to provide guidance in determining whether or not to install lighting sensors at a later time. To fully retrofit the Head Start facility with lighting motion-sensors, the Pascua Yaqui would need to purchase 12 light switches and pay someone (tribal member or otherwise) to install them. If wall mounted motion sensor switches manufactured by espEnergy are employed at $90 each, the equipment cost would be $1,080 for parts and about $108 for installation. Electricity is supplied to the facility by the local coop (Trico Electric Cooperative) at a cost of $0.11 per kWh. In performing the energy and economic calculations for this retrofit, it was assumed that under a business as usual scenario that the classroom lights would be operated eight hours per day on average for 220 days out of the year. There are 90 lighting fixtures in the six classrooms, each rated at 90 W. Thus Figure 10 – A new Head Start facility under construction on the Pascua Yaqui reservation in southern Arizona. 45 the energy cost associated with running the lights over the course of a year is $1,570. The purpose of a lighting sensor is to reduce the amount of time the lights are used by turning them off when a room is not in use. If, for instance, the lighting sensors turn the lights off 10% of the time (about 50 minutes per day) then there would be an annual savings in the electricity bill of $157. Until the usage patterns of the Head Start facility are established, it is difficult to determine the potential for energy savings each year. In order to handle this uncertainty, the SPP, NPV and IRR will be computed for several scenarios of reduced electricity consumption. Then, once the usage patterns of the building are known, a staff person can consult the results presented below to determine if retrofitting with the motions sensors is worthwhile. For the results to follow, a MARR of 4% was assumed along with a project life cycle of 20 years and an inflation rate of 0%. Figures 11 presents plots of the IRR, SPP, and NPV versus percent energy savings (which corresponds directly to percent of time the lights are turned off by the motion sensors). In general, if there is at least a 5% reduction in the amount of time the lights are on due to the sensors, then the NPV is positive and the project looks acceptable. Furthermore, the project becomes very attractive as the percent of energy savings increases. For example, if the building usage pattern were to indicate an opportunity to save 20% on the energy costs, then the SPP would be 4 years, the NPV would be $3,100, and the IRR would be about 26%, each indicating that this is a very worthwhile project. IRR SPP NPV 100 $10,000 For the retrofit scenario providing 10% energy savings: NPV = $960, IRR=12% and SPP = 7.5 years 60 $8,000 $6,000 40 $4,000 20 $2,000 0 Net Present Value (NPV) ($) IRR (%) and SPP (years) 80 $0 The NPV = 0 when the percent energy savings is 5.5% -20 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% ($2,000) 60% Percent Energy Savings due to Lighting Sensors (%) Figure 11 – Plot of the simple payback period versus percent energy savings for the installation of lighting motion sensors at the Pascua Yaqui new Head Start facility. Four lines are shown corresponding to electricity price inflation rates of –2%, 0%, 2% and 4%. 46 Note the effect of inflation is analyzed in the details of this case study shown in Appendix B, with the general result that inflation in the price of electricity universally improves the value of the NPV, IRR and SPP. 47 V. RECOMMENDATIONS OF THE WESTERN REGIONAL AIR PARTNERSHIP’S AIR POLLUTION PREVENTION FORUM Western tribes have the potential to implement and, in some cases, to lead innovative programs that improve energy efficiency. This research recognizes the great diversity of tribal lands in the region and the inherent need for tribal governments to selectively pursue energy-efficiency opportunities. For example, some tribes place a high priority on the need to provide basic reliable electric service to their residents and businesses; there are innovative opportunities for energy conservation measures in the design and development of these services. Other tribes fully served with reliable electricity may want to concentrate on improving the efficiency of electricity applications. Virtually every tribe may be interested in the economic benefits offered by energy-efficiency programs as well as the related social and cultural benefits. With potential cost savings on electricity expenditures (as well as other energy sources) on the order of 10 percent to 50 percent, energy-efficiency programs and policies could have a significant positive impact that extends beyond economics to tribal sovereignty, energy independence, and increased health care opportunities. The following recommendations offer a broad selection of options from which tribes in the WRAP region and their many collaborators can choose according to their specific circumstances. The energy-efficiency recommendations are presented in three broad categories: • Opportunities that can be implemented by individual tribes with little or no involvement by other external entities. • Strategies for on-reservation programs that are best pursued in collaboration with others, including tribes, states, federal agencies, and energy providers. • Initiatives for which tribes can support and lead programs to improve energy efficiency regionally and nationally. TRIBAL SPONSORED PROGRAMS Development of an Energy Plan For tribes that do not have one, it is recommended that tribes consider developing an energy plan or policy. To be effective, this plan needs support from the highest levels within the tribe, and among other things should set down goals for energy efficiency. Establishing an energy plan is the first necessary step in gaining control over the 48 energy use and costs incurred by a tribe. The plan can enhance tribal sovereignty and energy independence. Tribal Energy Manager It is recommended that tribes without an energy manager (or similar position) consider establishing such a position. The task of an energy manager is to develop, implement, and maintain a program focused on tribal energy use. An energy manager within an energy authority can direct and manage energy programs including those related to energy efficiency. As such, the energy manager is a logical choice for assuming the responsibility of selecting, evaluating, and implementing appropriate EE programs for the tribe. The energy manager can also recommend policies for consideration by the tribal council. For tribes without an energy authority, an energy manager position can be created elsewhere within the tribal government. Tribal Energy Authority Tribes without an energy (utility) authority might consider establishing such an entity (either individually or in collaboration with other tribes). Perhaps the most important recommendation in this report is that of designing a tribal energy plan that is managed by an energy manager within a Tribal Energy Authority. The energy authority will be an advocate for tribal electricity (and energy) customers, possibly negotiating lower rates from outside sources and improving the reliability of the service. An energy authority will also create jobs, build tribal expertise in energy, and help retain some of the money expended on energy on the reservation. A tribal energy authority also holds promise to advance tribal self-determination. The energy authority will make decisions and implement plans that lead to a more successful future based on the tribal vision. Tribal Implementation Plan A Tribal Implementation Plan under the provisions of the Regional Haze Rule and the Tribal Authority Rule would commit the tribe to developing an energy plan and to employing energy efficiency as a method to reduce electricity consumption. Such a plan would be a good step toward tribal energy conservation. Adopt Energy Efficient Building Codes As Native American tribes grow in population and develop economically, there will be an ever-growing need for electricity. As new buildings are constructed and older buildings are renovated, there is a great opportunity for energy savings by employing energy-efficiency methods. Tribes can adopt energy-efficient building codes such as the International Energy Conservation Code (IECC), and establish a plan to periodically “commission” buildings and ensure that the energy systems within a building are operating as they should be. It is also recommended that EE be integrated 49 into housing plans, and that life cycle cost methods be used when evaluating the energy systems within buildings. Electrification Expansions With new electrification comes the opportunity to implement EE. New customers in rural areas may spend a large fraction of their monthly income on energy, in some cases as much as 20 percent (Energy Information Administration 2000). In these cases it is critical that cost-effective, energy-efficient appliances and building materials be employed. Thus it is recommended that tribes consider integrating EE with plans for new electrification. Education Programs Education can make the difference between an effective, successful, comprehensive energy management program and a fragmented program with little support. Educating tribal members, leaders, facility managers, staff members, contractors, and children in school about understanding energy usage and the benefits of conserving energy will build support for an energy program and will lead to significant savings in energy costs. Tribes, therefore, might consider initiating education programs about energy efficiency and energy conservation for all tribal users. COLLABORATIVE OPPORTUNITIES FOR TRIBAL ENERGY CONSERVATION Intertribal Collaborations Many tribes may lack the resources to establish their own energy authority or even to hire their own energy manager. In these cases it may be beneficial to initiate partnerships with other tribes for that purpose. This could allow tribes to combine their electrical loads, and potentially allow for the possibility of a lower electricity rate to be negotiated with the energy service provider. Beyond this, tribes could work collaboratively to encourage the federal government, through its trust responsibility, to fund energy-efficiency programs (including education programs and rebate programs) and to provide funding to tribes for energy management. Federal Facilities There are numerous federal facilities on tribal lands, and these facilities consume an appreciable amount of electrical energy. Tribes could adopt energy conservation codes or policies that require federal facilities on tribal lands to meet modern energyefficiency codes such as the IECC. Federally Sponsored Programs 50 There are numerous federally sponsored programs in which tribes may participate to implement energy efficiency. These programs include the Weatherization Assistance Programs (WAP) and the DOE Rebuild America Program. The forum recommends that tribes, as part of their overall energy plan, participate in existing federally sponsored programs related to energy efficiency such as the Rebuild America Program and the Weatherization Assistance Program. Tribes may also consider requesting funding for efficiency programs from the federal government via several existing statutes, most notably the Energy Policy Act of 1992 and its amendments. Tribal leaders and collaborators could formally request adequate appropriations from the U.S. Congress and appropriate agencies to implement the energy conservation and renewable energy development provisions of these laws. This should include funding of training programs for tribal energy professionals related to renewable energy and energy efficiency. TRIBAL LEADERSHIP BEYOND TRIBAL LANDS Demand- Side Management Initiatives Demand-side management (DSM) programs run by electric utilities have been disappearing over the past several years with the advent of deregulation. However, effective demand side management can yield direct financial benefits to a tribe in the form of energy cost savings. The forum recommends that tribes support DSM programs that encourage and reward efficient electricity users. Tribes can also show leadership in this area by supporting system benefit charges that will be used to fund such programs. National Energy Efficiency Policies and Standards National energy efficiency policies and standards can potentially significantly impact regional air quality in addition to energy supply reliability, cost, availablility, and security.. The mitigation of haze throughout the West will depend upon all users of electricity and other energy forms that impact haze. Tribes can provide leadership through support of national policies promoting energy efficiency. 51 REFERENCES Bain, C., Ballentine, C., DeSouza, A., Majure, L., Smith, D.H., and Turek, J. 2002. Economic and Social Development Stemming from the Electrification of the Housing Stock on the Navajo Nation, Northern Arizona University College of Business Administration Working Paper Series 02-34. Bersbach, C. 2000. Verification of Building Energy Savings due to Energy Efficiency Retrofits, Master’s Project Report, Northern Arizona University Mechanical Engineering Department. Capehart, B.L., Turner, W.C., and Kennedy, W.J. 1997. Guide to Energy Management, 2nd ed. Fairmont Press Inc., Lilburn, Georgia. Elliot, J.D. 1998. Lowering Energy Bills in American Indian Households: A Case Study of the Rosebud Sioux Tribe. Master’s Project Report, University of California at Berkeley. Energy Information Administration. 1995. Energy Consumption and Renewable Energy Development Potential on Indian Lands. Office of Coal, Nuclear, Electric and Alternate Fuels, U.S. Department of Energy, April 2000 (www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/solar.renewables/page/pubs.html). Energy Information Administration. 1997. Energy Consumption and Renewable Energy Development Potential on Indian Lands. Office of Coal, Nuclear, Electric and Alternate Fuels, U.S. Department of Energy. April 2000 (www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/solar.renewables/page/pubs.html). Energy Information Administration. 2000. Energy Consumption and Renewable Energy Development Potential on Indian Lands. Office of Coal, Nuclear, Electric and Alternate Fuels, U.S. Department of Energy. April 2000 (www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/solar.renewables/page/pubs.html). Energy Information Administration. 2001. Updated State- level Greenhouse Gas Emission Factors for Electricity Generation. Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting, U.S. Department of Energy. Hunn, B.D. 1996. Fundamentals of Building Energy Dynamics. MIT Press, Cambridge, Massachusetts. Jacobs, J. 2000. The Nature of Economies. Modern Library, New York. Pratt, D.B. 1997. Life Cycle Costing for Building Energy Analysis, Student Manual. Association of Energy Engineers, Atlanta, Georgia. 52 Smith, D. H. 2000. Modern Tribal Development: Paths to Self-Sufficiency and Cultural Integrity in Indian Country. Altamira Press, Walnut Creek, California. Sullivan, W.G., Bontadelli, J.A., and Wicks, E.M. 2000. Engineering Economy, 11th ed. Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, New Jersey. Texas A&M Ag Program 2003. Success Stories: Precision Agriculture, retrieved July 3, 2003, from http://agprogram.tamu.edu/programs/successes/impacts99/mpct99_1b.htm Turner, W.C. 1997. Energy Management Handbook, 3rd ed. Fairmont Press, Inc., Lilburn, Georgia. Western Area Power Administration, 1992. Pump Testing and Irrigation Efficiency Profile #40. Wulfinghoff, D.R. 1999. Energy Efficiency Manual. Energy Institute Press, Wheaton, Maryland. Yazzie 1989. Convenience Stores: The Third Wave Of Navajo Retail Outlets, Navajo Nation Economic Development Forum, #1, November-December 1989. 53 GLOSSARY ACEEE American Council for an Energy Efficient Economy AP2 Air Pollution Prevention Forum of the WRAP ASHRAE American Society of Heating Refrigeration and Air Conditioning Engineers CHP Combined heat and power; refers to highly efficient energy systems in buildings that generate power (typically electrical power) and uses the waste heat from this process for a useful application (such as space heating) Discount Rate Rate-of-return or interest rate that is used in an economic evaluation that considers the time- value of money (e.g., when calculating the net present value) DOE U.S. Department of Energy DSM Demand-side management; refers to energy management programs that are focused on the end- use of energy (the uses that demand energy) EE Energy efficiency EPA U.S. Environmental Protection Agency EIA U.S. Energy Information Administration EREN Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Network (part of the U.S. Department of Energy) ESCO Energy service company FEMP Federal Energy Management Program FIP Federal Implementation Plan GCVTC Grand Canyon Visibility Transport Commission IECC International Energy Conservation Code ITEP Institute for Tribal Environmental Professionals 54 IRR Internal Rate of Return Life cycle The planning period over which all of the costs of a particular energy efficiency measure are considered MARR Minimum Attractive Rate of Return; the interest rate or discount rate used in the economic analysis of energy-efficiency measures NPV Net present value; a standard method of comparing the economic merits of two possible investments that accounts for the time-value of money O&M Operations and maintenance RHR Regional Haze Rule SBC System Benefit Charge SIP State Implementation Plan SPP Simple payback period; a simple method determining the approximate length of time required for the energy savings from a EE measure to pay for the initial investment. May not consider all of the costs associated with a project and does not account for the time- value of money TAR Tribal Authority Rule TIP Tribal Implementation Plan WGA Western Governor’s Association WRAP Western Regional Air Partnership 55 APPENDIX A ENERGY EFFICIENCY RESOURCES 56 List of Programs and Resources for Tribal Governments – Updated January 2003 The DOE Rebuild America program focuses on energy solutions as community solutions. Rebuild America “partners” with small towns, large metropolitan areas and Native American tribes, creating a large network of peers. Rebuild America supports communities with access to DOE Regional offices, state energy offices, national laboratories, utilities, colleges and universities, and non-profit agencies. Competitive annual grants are offered to program partners. http://www.rebuild.org/aboutus/aboutus.asp The Tribal Environmental and Natural Resource Assistance Handbook developed by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is a comprehensive listing of federal sources of technician and financial resources for tribes. Program information listed below with an asterisk (*) are taken from this handbook. http://www.epa.gov/indian/tribhand.htm The U.S. Dept. of Housing and Urban Development maintains a website entitled The Public Housing Energy Conservation Clearinghouse (PHECC). The PHECC assists public housing authorities in managing utility operations and reducing utility costs. The Clearinghouse can be used to learn more about topics such as water- and energy-saving technologies, effective approaches for managing utilities, and electricity deregulation. It also maintains many resources and links, as well as lists many related conferences and workshops. http://www.phaenergy.org/ The U. S. Department of Commerce Economic Development Administration* provides annual financial assistants to tribes to create full- time permanent jobs for unemployed and underemployed residents. http://www.doc.gov. The EPA Office of Air and Radiation Technology Transfer Network (TTN)* offers technical assistance on air pollution science, technology, regulation, measurement, and prevention. TTN also serves as a public forum for the exchange of technical information and ideas among participants and EPA staff. Users can find tools to estimate air pollutant emissions, download computer code for regulatory air models, download Office of Air and Radiation Policy and Guidance documents, or request technical support in implementing an air pollution control program. The TTN is maintained by the Information Transfer Group, Information Transfer and Program Integration Division, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Office of Air and Radiation. http://www.epa.gov/ttn The EPA, Office of Air and Radiation, Air Pollution Project Grants (CAA Section 103 Grants)* are offered to tribes annually to support research, investigations, experiments, demonstrations, surveys, and studies, as well as training, related to air pollution. Most regions use this grant authority to support Tribes for hiring and training staff, assessing air quality issues, and planning future monitoring or regulatory development. These grants are project grants with limited term and do not provide continued financial support. http://www.epa.gov/indian/overcat.htm 57 The EPA, Office of Air and Radiation, Air Pollution Control Program Grants (CAA Section 105 Grants)* are offered annually to tribes, that are eligible under section 301(d) of the Clean Air Act. Funding is for planning, developing, establishing, improving, and maintaining programs that prevent and control air pollution or that implement national primary and secondary air quality standards. http://www.epa.gov/indian/overcat.htm The EPA, Office of Pollution Prevention and Toxics offers Pollution Prevention Incentives for States Grants* which are available for tribes to promote the development of tribal pollution prevention programs, information exchanges, technical assistance to businesses, and training. Tribes are required to contribute 50% of the cost of the project. http://www.epa.gov/p2/grants/ppis/ppis.htm The EPA, American Indian Environmental Office, Indian Environmental General Assistance Program* provides grants and technical assistance for tribes to plan, develop and establish the capability to implement environmental programs. These program grants are used by EPA to help Tribes build environmental program infrastructure such as hiring staff with appropriate technical training. http://www.epa.gov/indian. The EPA maintains a website describing EnergyStar products that are energy efficient. See http://www.energystar.gov/default.shtml. The DOE Office of Environmental Management works with Native American communities that have or are near to sites that were once part of the Nation’s nuc lear weapons complex. “Consistent with the Department's American Indian Policy, the Environmental Management program maintains cooperative agreements with Tribal nations to enhance their involvement in cleanup decisions." http://www.em.doe.gov/public/trinat.html The Native eDGE - Economic Development Guidance and Empowerment is an interagency initiative of the federal government to facilitate sustainable economic development within American Indian and Alaska Native communities. eDGE includes a telephone call center, a publication clearinghouse, a web site, and a technical assistance information center. The web site links seventeen federal agencies, educational institutions, and organizations through a single portal so that tribes, Native Americans, lending institutions, and private businesses can collaborate to promote economic growth. Native eDGE serves as a one-stop shop for access to information, federal and non-federal grants, loans, loan guarantees, and technical assistance for American Indians and Alaska Native organizations and individuals. http://nativeedge.hud.gov/reference/whatisedge.asp The Council of Energy Resource Tribes (CERT) mission is to “support member Tribes as they develop their management capabilities and use their energy resources as the foundation for building stable, balanced self- governing economies.” CERT Services include: 58 § § § § Strategic Planning - CERT provides Tribes with specially designed methods for strategic planning and evaluation that takes into account the values and aspirations of the specific Tribal community being served. Public Policy and Advocacy - CERT is a vocal point for developing Tribal consensus on national concern, communicating Tribal views to government decision makers, engaging in dialogue on pertinent issues, and monitoring national initiatives. Energy Marketing - To bring greater value to Tribal energy production, CERT operates a self-supporting natural gas marketing program. Communications and Publications - CERT serves as a communication and information resource. http://www.certredearth.com/ The DOE, Weatherization Assistance Program (WAP) is administered to assist income-eligible households reduce fuel or electricity required for space heating, space cooling, and water heating and to improve the health and safety of the dwelling. Annual WAP funding is provided to state energy offices, or in some cases, directly to Tribes. http://www.eren.doe.gov/buildings/weatherization_assistance/overview.html Petroluem Viololation Escrow funds, better known as Oil Overcharge Funds, are court settlement funds provided to state and some tribal entities to conduct energy efficiency, conservation and renewable energy work. Although the majority of settlements were allocated in the 1980’s small settlement monies may still be received. The DOE administers and tracks expenditure of these funds. http://www.eren.doe.gov/buildings/state_energy/pdfs/manappa.pdf Northern Arizona University hosts the Center for American Indian Economic Development (NAU CAIED) which is an “information and resource center for Arizona's twenty-one tribal nations and communities.” CAIED provides technical assistance, hosts educational and training workshops and business consulting services to encourage individual and tribal entrepreneurship The Center also provides a resource library with current information on Arizona tribes, Indian Economic development, and general development issues on Indian Country. http://www.cba.nau.edu/caied/pages/Background.htm The National Tribal Environmental Council (NTEC) was formed in 1991 as a membership organization dedicated to working with and assisting Tribes in the protection and preservation of the reservation environment. The council provides technical assistance, training, information and resources and education to all federally recognized tribes. http://www.ntec.org 59 List of DOE Energy Efficiency Programs 1 : U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Network http://www.eren.doe.gov/ U.S. Department of Enegy, Building Energy Codes; http://www.energycodes.gov/ The Federal Energy Management Program (FEMP) provides federal agencies with information, expertise, technical assistance, project financing vehicles, policy guidance, and interagency coordination that help agencies achieve energy and cost savings in their facilities. In the WRAP region, DOE funds have been allocated for FEMP programs in Arizona, California, Colorado, New Mexico and Washington. DOE’s Building Research and Standards Program provides financial and technical assistance to states and establishes community partnerships for improving the energy efficiency of buildings and for encouraging the sustainability of building design and operation. The program is currently underway in each of the WRAP states, and includes a variety of initiatives, including: 1) the Building America Program, which partners with industry to develop and deploy energy efficient housing technologies and practices; 2) the Residential Buildings Integration Program; 3) the Commercial Buildings Integration Program; and 4) the Equipment, Materials & Tools Program, which focuses on building components such as lighting design, advanced space conditioning and refrigeration, fuel cells, and new appliance designs. DOE’s Building Technology Assistance Program provides grants to states to improve standards and efficiency in buildings. The program is currently underway in each of the WRAP states, and is divided into four sections: 1) the State Energy Program, which provides grants to states for energy efficiency programs; 2) the Weatherization Assistance Program for low income families; 3) the Community Partnerships Program; and 4) the Energy Star Program, which is designed to educate the public on the energy use of appliances, equipment and buildings. DOE’s Electric Energy Systems and Storage Program is divided into three sub-programs: 1) transmission reliability; 2) high- temperature superconducting research and development; and 3) energy storage systems. Each of these three programs is aimed at producing energy savings and air emission reductions. The transmission reliability program is charged with developing technologies and policy options to maintain and improve the reliability of the nation’s electricity delivery systems through the development of technologies that increase efficiency and lower cost. The hightemperature superconducting R&D program is focused on creating designs of superefficient electrical systems such as motors, transmission cables, generators, and transformers. The program is also focused on solving the problems associated with manufacturing electrical wires using brittle ceramic superconducting materials. The 1 Information on federal energy efficiency program currently underway in the WRAP region was derived by the Center for Applied Research in January 2000 from DOE’s Quality metrics(QM) database. The QM database provides a listing of all renewable energy and efficiency programs funded by DOE nationwide. 60 energy storage system program is charged with performing research that can enhance power quality, reliability and efficiency for electricity users and providers and that can create increased value for renewable power systems. The Industries of the Future Program develops new process-related energy efficiency technologies with industry and other organizations. The program targets energy- and waste- intensive industries such as steel, aluminum, glass, metalcasting, forest products, chemicals, petroleum, agriculture and mining. DOE’s Office of Industry Technologies attempts to draw together industry with the national laboratories and other interested parties to pool risk, investment, and know-how in developing new technologies. The program expects to improve energy efficiency in the industrial sector by over 3 quadrillion BTUs by 2020. The Industries of the Future Program has a second goal of improving the resource efficiency of energy- and waste- intensive industries by developing “crosscutting” technologies, practices, and materials which can lower raw material and depletable energy use per unit produced and reduce the generation of waste. This program encompasses numerous DOE programs, including: Inventions and Innovations, NICE3, Combined Heat & Power, Motors, Steam, Compressed Air, and DOE’s Industrial Assessment Centers. The Vehicle Technologies Research and Development program is targeted at developing technologies to improve the fuel economy of automobiles and trucks. The Materials Technology program has two major goals, including: 1) development of lightweight materials to reduce weight by 40 percent for cars and 30 percent for trucks by 2004; and 2) developme nt of propulsion materials technologies for advanced car and truck propulsion systems. Department Of Energy Tribal Contacts • • • • • http://www.eere.energy.gov/power/tech_access/tribalenergy/ Thomas Sacco (202) 586-0759; [email protected]; Director, Office of Weatherization and Intergovernmental Program. Lizana Pierce (303) 275-4727; [email protected]; U.S. Department of Energy Golden Field Office. Roger Taylor (303) 384-7389; [email protected]; National Renewable Energy Laboratory. Sandra Begay-Campbell (505) 844-5418; [email protected]; Sandia National Laboraotries. Environmental Protection Agency Regional Tribal Program Managers/Coordinators • Region 8 (CO, MT, ND, SD, UT, WY) – Sadie Hoskie, (303) 312-6343, Tribal Manager 61 • • Region 9 (AZ, CA, HI, NV, Am. Samoa, Guam) – Clancy Tenley, (415) 7441604, Tribal Program Manager Region 10 (AK, ID, OR, WA) – Scott Sufficool, (206) 553-6220,Tribal Office Director Laws and Regulations • • • Clean Air Act: 42 U.S.C. §§7401 et. seq. http://www.epa.gov/oar/caa/contents.html Tribal Authority Rule: Rule: 63 Federal Register 7253-7274 (February 12, 1998) http://www.epa.gov/fedrgstr/EPA-AIR/1998/February/Day-12/a3451.htm Fact Sheet: http://www.epa.gov/oar/tribal/factsht.html Regional Haze Rule: Rule: 64 Federal Register 35714-35774; http://www.wrapair.org/WRAP/Reports/rhfedreg.pdf Fact Sheet: http://www.wrapair.org/WRAP/Reports/Haze- fs.htm TIP Guidance • • • • EPA Office of Air and Radiation Tribal Air Web Site: http://www.epa.gov/oar/tribal/ EPA Partners and Contacts: http://www.epa.gov/air/tribal/partners.html EPA Draft TIP Guidance: http://www.epa.gov/air/tribal/tip.pdf Tribal Activities and Contacts: http://www.epa.gov/oar/tribal/tribetotribe.html Western Regional Air Partnership • • Western Regional Partnership (WRAP) Web Site: http://www.wrapair.org The WRAP is staffed by the Western Governors’ Association and the National Tribal Environmental Council. You can contact WRAP by contacting: Patrick Cummins Email: [email protected] Western Governors’ Association 1515 Cleveland Place, Suite 200 Denver, CO 80202 Phone: (303) 623-9378 Fax: (303) 534-7309 • • • Bill Grantham Email: [email protected] National Tribal Environmental Council 2501 Rio Grande Blvd, NW Suite A Albuquerque, NM 87104 Phone: (505) 242-2175 Fax: (505) 242-2654 WRAP Fact Sheet: http:// www.wrapair.org/facts.htm WRAP Charter: http://www.wrapair.org/WRAP/rcharter.html The Grand Canyon Visibility Transport Commission Report: http://www.wrapair.org/WRAP/Reports/GCVTCFinal.PDF 62 • Air Pollution Prevention Forum: http://www.wrapair.org/forums/Ap2/PREVENT.HTM “Recommendations of Air Pollution Prevention Forum to Increase the Generation of Electricity from Renewable Resources” (State Report): http://www.wrapair.org/forums/Ap2/group_reports/FinalDraftRR.pdf “Recommendations of the Air Pollution Prevention Forum to Increase the Generation of Electricity from Renewable Resources on Native American Lands”: http://www.wrapair.org/ • Market Trading Forum: http:// www.wrapair.org/forums/MTF/MTF.htm Annex to the Report of the Grand Canyon Visibility Transport Commission to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency: http://www.wrapair.org/forums/MTF/group_reports/ANNEX/ANNEX.htm Annex to the Report of the Grand Canyon Visibility Transport Commission to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency: http://www.wrapair.org/forums/MTF/group_reports/ANNEX/ANNEX.htm Other Organizations • Institute for Tribal Environmental Professionals (ITEP): Main ITEP Phone: 520/523-9555; ITEP Fax: 520/523-1266 http://www.cet.nau.edu/Projects/ITEP/itep_home_default.htm Mailing Address: The Institute for Tribal Environmental Professionals Northern Arizona University PO Box 15004 Flagstaff, AZ 86011 • National Tribal Environmental Council 2501 Rio Grande Blvd, NW, Suite A Albuquerque, NM 87104 Phone: (505) 242-2175 Fax: (505) 242-2654 http://www.ntec.org/ • Western Governor’s Association 1515 Cleveland Place, Suite 200 Denver, CO 80202 Phone: (303) 623-9378, Fax: (303) 534-7309; http://www.westgov.org/ • International Energy Conservation Code Available at the International Code Council http://www.iccsafe.org/e/category.html 63 APPENDIX B CASE STUDY DETAILS 64 Many of the recommendations presented previously (see Sec. V) are directed towards creating an organizational and political infrastructure within a tribe that will foster successful implementation of Energy Efficiency (EE) projects to serve the greater good of the people. Once this infrastructure has been established, it then becomes the responsibility of an energy manager within the tribe (or working for the tribe) to evaluate and recommend specific EE projects. The eventual decision of whether to adopt a particular EE measure will depend upon the economic merit of the measure combined with other considerations, both qualitative and quantitative, such as the opportunity to improve the living or working conditions, the potential for positive societal impact, the availability of capital, etc. The purpose of this appendix is to describe a widely accepted method for evaluating the economic merits of an EE measure. Once described, the method will be applied to the three case studies summarized in Sec. IV of this report, including details of calculating the Net Present Value (NPV), the Internal Rate of Return (IRR), and the Simple Payback Period (SPP). In this sense, this appendix is a companion to the material presented in Sec. IV, which should be read prior to this appendix. EVALUATING THE ECONOMIC MERIT OF AN EE MEASURE Successfully evaluating the economic merit of an EE measure or several EE measures will assist in determining whether or not to implement a given measure, or in deciding which of several measures is best. When evaluating an EE measure, it is important to employ a consistent, reliable method for evaluating the economic merits. Presented below is a general, six-step procedure to apply when considering energy efficiency improvements. The procedure follows the one described by Sullivan (2000), but adapted specifically to EE. Step 1) Identify the opportunities for EE. Step 2) Develop feasible alternatives for EE improvements. Step 3) Select the decision criteria. Step 4) Analyze and compare the feasible alternatives Step 5) Select the preferred alternatives Step 6) Revisit your decision In practice, steps one through five are typically an iterative process. Each of these six steps is described in greater detail below. The focus here is on the process to be followed and not on how to perform the economic calculations. Examples of how to perform the calculations are provided within the details of case study examples to follow. Step 1) Identify the opportunities for EE. In order to identify the opportunities for energy and cost savings, it is necessary to know how much energy is used, how that energy is used (i.e., the end- use), and how much it costs to use the energy. This information is most easily obtained from utility bills (electricity, gas, etc.) or other energy related bills (propane, wood, etc.). Those energy 65 resources with significant costs can be expected to provide the greatest opportunities for cost savings. Once the larger energy expenditures have been identified, it is necessary to identify the specific end- uses that consume the energy. Typically, walking through buildings or facilities where the energy is consumed and performing an “energy audit” accomplishes this. The goal of an energy audit is to identify how much energy is used by each of the end- uses. Energy audits can be conducted at various levels of detail, from simply making a good estimate of the energy consumption, to installing meters that record the actual energy consumption. In practice, the level of detail actually employed may depend upon the potential for energy savings, the cost associated with implementing an EE measure, and the sensitivity of the economic measure (i.e., the net present value) to the magnitude of the energy consumption. Typically, some combination of measurements and estimation are used. For information describing how to perform an energy audit, see Capehardt (1997) or Turner (1997). A good way to identify end-uses that consume significant amounts of energy, and to find potential EE measures, see Sec. II of this report (the subsection on “What is Energy Efficiency”), as well as Wulfinghoff (1999), Capehart (1997), Turner(1997), and related Energy Information Agency reports (www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cbecs/). For assistance in conducting an energy audit, it may be worthwhile to contact your state energy office, local utility, or to consider contracting with an energy service company. Step 2) Develop feasible alternatives for EE improvements. Having identified the energy end-uses that cost a significant amount of money, one is now in a position to develop a list of feasible EE improvements. Listing the energy enduses in rank order by expense and then holding a brainstorming session is a good way to get this process started. The goal of brainstorming is to identify several potential EE measures that will reduce energy use, and if possible also increase the effectiveness of the end-use (e.g., improve the comfort of a working space). People involved in the brainstorming session could include the energy manager, key personnel working or living in the areas under consideration for an EE improvement, an energy expert or consultant, and perhaps others. The end result of the brainstorming process should be a relatively short list of the potential EE measures or programs with the best expected potential for savings, successful implementation, and positive impact on the people affected. A good source of ideas to consider when developing a list of alternatives are the references listed in Step 1 above, and those shown in Table 2 (found in Sec. III of this report). Step 3) Select the decision criteria. All criteria used to decide which EE measures are best should be selected prior to evaluating the alternatives. As mentioned previously, the economic indicators recommended for use are the NPV, the IRR, and the SPP. However, all relevant criteria should be identified at this time, including those that do not have a monetary value (such as the potential for positive societal impact, or to improve public image, etc.). It is important that when developing these criteria that a consistent viewpoint be employed along with a common unit of measure when comparing the various alternative EE 66 measures (including implementing an EE measure versus not implementing that measure, if there is only one alternative). Step 4) Analyze and compare the feasible alternatives. When comparing the economic merit of a proposed EE measure, it is common to compare the life-cycle costs of implementing versus not implementing the measure. Indeed this is the basic premise in the NPV and IRR techniques. From the perspective of the proposed EE measure, the “life-cycle” costs refer to all the costs of implementing the measure over its expected lifetime. 2 From the perspective of NOT implementing an EE measure, the life-cycle costs are all those costs associated with NOT implementing the measure over the expected life of the measure. Indeed, the most critical step in comparing prospective EE measures is to accurately identify these costs ( also called “cash flows”) associated with each measure and when these costs occur. When thinking about the cash flows of an EE measure, it is worth recognizing that if a proposed EE measure had the exact same cash flows as not implementing the measure, then the economic merits of implementing versus not implementing would be identical. Thus, it is the differences in the cash flows that are important, and only those differences need to be considered when comparing alternatives. Once the differences in the cash flows are identified, they are transformed into a common unit of measure, such as the NPV, for comparison. In performing this transformation, it is very important to employ time-tested, industryaccepted techniques of accounting for the effects of financing costs, inflation or deflation, depreciation, taxes (if applicable), and possibly other factors. How to correctly account for these effects is well described in Sullivan (2000), Capehart (1997), and Turner(1997), and will be demonstrated in the case study examples to follow. Once the cash flows have been identified and transformed into a measure such as the NPV, it is important to explicitly account for the uncertainties related to the calculations. Future cash flows, interest rates, energy costs, etc., are usually based on assumptions and best estimates and are subject to error. Because there is a degree of uncertainty with any future prediction of a cash flow, it is worthwhile to make this uncertainty explicit. For example, one may be concerned about inaccuracies in the projected cost of electricity and how that will affect the NPV of a proposed measure. To make this uncertainty explicit, one could recompute the NPV several times using several different values for the cost of electricity. Doing this will illustrate how sensitive the NPV is to changes in the electricity cost, and will provide a sense of the importance of a good estimate of the electricity. Spreadsheet programs are particularly good at facilitating this type of “sensitivity analysis” since they have many built in functions specifically for computing the NPV or IRR. Consequently, all calculations associated with the case studies to follow were performed with a spreadsheet. 2 Note that the time frame or “planning horizon” for assessing the economic merit of a project does not need to be the expected life of a particular EE measure, but rather can be a predetermined length of time such as 5 years, 10 years, 15 years, etc. In fact, it is not uncommon that alternative EE measures under consideration may have different lifetimes, making it necessary to select a common length of time over which to consider the alternative projects in order to fairly compare their relative economic merits (for more information, see Chapter 5 of Sullivan (2000)). 67 Step 5) Select the preferred alternatives. Having determined the selection criteria in Step 3, and then performing the analysis in Step 4, one is now ready to select the preferred alternative EE measure(s). If considering whether or not to implement a single potential EE measure, then the NPV or the IRR are the best economic measures to use. 3 However, when comparing multiple possible EE measures, the NPV is the preferred economic measure. 4 In addition to the economic measures, all the other relevant criteria identified in Step 3 should be considered in making the final decision. It is worth noting that Steps 1 though 5 of this process will likely be iterative, with new ideas for EE measures arising during the analysis or new decision criteria being included for consideration, etc. Step 6) Revisit your decision. The importance of this step cannot be understated. After implementing an EE measure, it is important to revisit the decision by monitoring the outcome of the EE measure. Did it achieve its intended results? If the energy savings results are different than predicted, why so? By comparing the predicted energy and cash flows predicted with the actual, one can learn how to do a better job in future analyses as well as build confidence in their predictions. This includes gathering feedback from personnel affected by the EE measure (e.g., did the measure really make their working environment more comfortable, etc.). ENERGY EFFICIENCY CASE STUDIES Researchers from Northern Arizona University spent one day each with the Yurok Tribe, the Pasqua Yaqui Tribe, and the Confederated Salish and Kootenai Tribes learning about their energy issues and concerns, their thoughts about energy efficiency, and spent some time gathering information related to one potential energy efficiency measure. The case studies to be presented below provide representative analyses of the potential EE measures for the three tribes visited. The details of each case study will be couched within the various steps of the process as described above, but emphasizing the calculations involved in step (4) (analyzing and comparing the alternatives). Each potential EE measure is analyzed for its economic merit. The decision of whether or not to implement each of these proposed measures is left to each of individual tribe for their consideration. Note that because of the limited time available to the NAU visitors as well as the personnel from the host tribe, exhaustive investigations were not conducted for 3 Since the SPP does not consider all the life -cycle costs or the time-value of money, it is not as accurate as either the NPV or the IRR. 4 Though the IRR is useful in indicating the “rate-of-return” that can be earned on money invested in an EE measure, there are some potential drawbacks with using the IRR that require careful application of the technique. One drawback is the inconsistent ranking problem that arises when comparing multiple, mutually exclusive alternatives (mutually exclusive implies that only one measure can be implemented). The inconsistent ranking problem occurs when the IRR leads to an incorrect ranking of the economic merit of the various proposed EE measures (see Sullivan (2000), Sec. 5.4.2.1). 68 each potential EE measure. However, sufficient information was collected to enable a useful analysis, even though some refinements would be sought prior to choosing to implement a given measure (for example, ensuring the correct value for the minimum attractive rate-of-return, or getting more precise estimates of equipment cost, etc.). Prior to reading the details of each case study below, it is suggested that the overview of each case study presented in Sec. IV be reviewed. Case Study One: Yurok Tribe Lighting Retrofit at the Ke’pel Head Start Facility When querying the Yurok tribe about potential energy efficiency measure of interest, one that rose to the top of their list was the possibility of an efficiency improvement at their Ke’pel Head Start facility. A picture of the facility was provided in Fig. 6 in Sec. IV. Because this facility is not supplied by utility electricity, but rather has its own standalone electric generator fueled by propane and supplemented with solar photovoltaics (see Fig. B1), for reliable and robust operation of the generation equipment it is important to ensure efficient use of the electricity. A walk through of the Head Start facility showed that energy was being used wisely throughout the building, and that the staff was very conscientious in their use of electricity. For example, when not in use the computer Figure B1 – The Propane generator (left) and solar photovoltaic panels (right) at the Ke’pel Head Start Facility. 69 and copier in the building were normally turned off. The refrigerator and freezer were both well insulated and powered using propone. Skylights were used in the building so that the electric fluorescent lights could be used less. Figure B2 shows a picture of the classroom with the skylights and the fluorescent lights. Note that only some of the fluorescent lights are being used due to the effectiveness of the daylighting (the round lights are the daylights). Of the uses of electricity in the building, the fluorescent lights appeared to be the largest user of electrical energy (despite the use of daylights), and a closer inspection of the lights showed that T12 fluorescent bulbs were being used. These bulbs, while more efficient than incandescent light bulbs, are now outdated. Newer, more efficient T8 bulbs and ballasts are being used in new construction. When comparing the T12 and T8 bulbs, the T12 is one and one-third inches in diameter (twelve-eights of an inch) while the T8 bulb is only one inch in diameter (eight-eights of an inch). These bulbs put out nearly the same amount of light, but the T8 bulb uses 34.5% less energy. It was decided at the end of the walk through to analyze the potential cost savings of doing a lighting retrofit using new T8 bulbs and ballasts to replace the T12 bulbs and ballasts. In this case study, steps one and two of the process of selecting potential EE measures (identifying opportunities for EE and developing a set of feasible alternatives) were conducted during the walkthrough. Had more time been available, a more thorough investigation of potential EE measures would have been performed. Nonetheless, the lighting retrofit is a good example of an EE measure and because lighting is one of the largest consumers of electricity in many buildings (see Figs. 1 and 2 in Sec. II) it is likely one of the largest energy end- uses in this building also. Step three in the process Figure B2 – Fluorescent lights (rectangular) and daylights (round) used in the classroom of the Kepel Head Start facility. 70 of analyzing an EE measure is to select the decision criteria. In this case, the net present value (NPV) will be used, but the internal rate-of-return (IRR) and simple payback period (SPP) will also be calculated. Step four in the process of selecting potential EE is analyzing and comparing the feasible EE alternatives. In this case study only two alternatives (scenarios) are being considered: implementing a lighting retrofit with T8 bulbs and ballasts (the “retrofit scenario”) versus NOT implementing the measure (the “business-as-usual scenario”). The enumerated list below describes in detail the steps taken in calculating the NPV in comparing these two alternatives, and are representative of the steps that would be taken in any NPV calculation for this facility (or other facilities not connected to the electrical grid). 1. Pick a length of time over which to do your economic analysis. This choice can range from 1 year to 30 years, depending on the application. For this analysis 10 years was selected as the planning horizon for analysis. 2. Create two tables with one column for each year (include a year 0) and rows for categories such as fuel cost, materials cost, and labor cost. Use one table for the business-as-usual scenario and one table for the retrofit scenario. Each table should have a total cost row where the total expense of each scenario for each year can be summed. Because of their utility in solving problems such as this, a spreadsheet program was used to create these tables and for performing the calculations (Microsoft Excel was used here, though any spreadsheet program will do). The table used for this analysis is displayed in Fig. B3. In this figure, the top and middle tables correspond to the business-as-usual Business-as-Usual Scenario - No Retrofit Year 0 Fuel Costs Material Costs Labor Costs Salvage Value Total Retrofit Scenario Year Fuel Costs Material Costs Labor Costs Salvage Value Total 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Differences (Retrofit minus Business-as-Usual) Difference (Total with retrofit minus Total without) Difference (including Inflation) Discounted Differences Figure B3 – Spreadsheet table used in evaluating the NPV, IRR and SPP of the Yurok lighting retrofit case study. 71 scenario and the retrofit scenario, respectively, while the bottom table (shaded) contains only the differences between the cash flows for each scenario. The cash flows to be entered into year 0 column of the table correspond to upfront costs incurred prior to the EE measure taking effect. All costs incurred during the first year that the EE measure is in effect are recorded in the Year 1 column of the table and assumed to occur at the end of the year (though this may not be how the cash flows actually occur during the year, it is an approximation made in order simplify the calculations so that the problem tractable and typically leads to a more conservative estimate of the NPV ). Similarly, all costs occurring during year 2 are summed and assumed to occur at the end of the year, etc. 3. Estimate the upfront costs for each scenario. There are typically no upfront costs for the business-as-usual scenario, and that is the case here. To retrofit the building with new T8 bulbs and ballasts, 46 bulbs and 23 ballasts would need to be purchased (the ballasts modify the electricity in the building into a form usable by the fluorescent bulbs). At $2.67 each, the bulbs would cost $122.82. The ballasts at $15.49 each would cost a total of $356.27. Allowing $100 to cover installation labor, the total cost of the retrofit would be $579. 4. Estimate the annual costs for each scenario. What will fuel (electricity, natural gas, etc.) cost in each scenario in each of the ten years of the analysis horizon? Will there be any predictable and ongoing maintenance or operation costs? Write these costs into your tables in the appropriate years. The most complicated part of this case study was the determination of the cost of electricity. Since electricity comes from the propane generator, the efficiency of the generator at different load levels affects the price of electrical energy (dollars per kilowatt-hour (kWh)). For example, at low load levels (not much electricity being used in the building) the efficiency of the generator is low and the cost of electricity is relatively higher, while at the design load of the generator (about 12 kW) the efficiency is relatively higher and the cost of electricity is lower. The process of determining the price of electricity has been broken into steps below. Step 1) Find the price of electricity ($/kWh) for the business-as-usual scenario. The price of electricity was calculated from the fuel consumption curve for the generator. The generator is a Kohler 12RY62 propane generator with a rated power of 12 kilowatts (kW). The fuel consumption information was obtained from a distributor of Kohler generators, and is reprinted in the first three columns of Table B1. The distributor also provided conversion factors from cubic feet of gas to gallons of liquid propane gas (LPG), which is how it is purchased. This factor is only valid for the specific regulation pressure for the generator used: 72 154.3 cubic feet per hour of gas = 1 gallon of LPG per hour Using this factor, the fuel consumption (gallons/hour) was added as the forth column in Table B1. Concerning the cost of the propane, the Yurok Financial Office indicated that they paid 92 cents per gallon for propane. By multiplying the fuel consumption in gallons per hour by $0.92 per gallon, the expense rate column of Table B1 was created. Finally, dividing the expense rate by the load in kilowatts yielded the cost of electricity. As can be seen, the cost of electricity (due to fuel) increases as the load of the generator decreases below its rated 12 kW. Table B1 – Cost of electricity from the Ke’pel buildings Kohler propane generator at various levels of load. Percent of full Load Load 25% 50% 75% 100% 3 kW 6 kW 9 kW 12 kW Fuel Consumption (cubic feet/hour) 36 48 60 75 Fuel Consumption (gallons/hour) Expense Rate Cost of Electricity ($/kWh) 0.2333 0.3111 0.3889 0.4861 $0.21/hour $0.29/hour $0.36/hour $0.45/hour 7.2 4.8 4.0 3.7 Because it is not expected that the load on the generator will be equal to one of the four specific load values shown in Table B1, it is convenient to plot this data as shown in Fig. B4. A curve was fit to this plot (equation shown in the figure) to facilitate computing the cost per kWh at any given level of load (note fitting a curve such as this is fairly easy using built- in spreadsheet “regression” tools). Cost of Electricity by Load Cost per kWh $0.70 $0.60 -0.483 $0.50 y = 3.3271x 2 $0.40 $/kWh R = 0.9787 $0.30 Power ($/kWh) $0.20 $0.10 $0.00 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 Watts of Load Figure B4 – Electrical load data plotted versus cost of energy. A curve fit to this data is also provided (y = Cost per kWh; x = Watts of Load). 73 Using this equation and knowing the average load at which the generator runs, it is possible to determine the average cost of electricity. Thus the next step is to determine the average load on the generator. Step 2) Determine the average load on the generator and the cost-of-electricity. The teacher at the Head Start facility provided time-of-usage estimates for all of the electrical appliances in the building, and these were used to calculate the average load on the generator. Because of an on-going problem with a component of the battery system connected to the solar photovoltaics (PV), the PV was not contributing to the building’s energy supply, and the generator was running full time. If repaired, the power supplied by the PV would reduce the load by up to 600 W. Table B2 provides the estimates of run time in hours per day and power draw in Watts of the electrical equipment used in the Head Start building. The energy consumed is computed by multiplying the run time by the power draw. By summing the energy consumed and dividing by the total run time per day, the average load on the electrical generator was found to be 2150 W. It is interesting to note that this average load is significantly less than the rated capacity of the electrical generator. Table B2 – Cost of electricity from the Ke’pel buildings Kohler propane generator at various levels of load. Item Only 13 Light Fixtures All 23 Light Fixtures Computer/Printer Copier in Use Copier on Standby Coffee Maker Occasional Use Items Hours/Day Power Draw Energy consumed (Watts) (Watt*Hours/Day) 2 90*13=1,170 2,340 6 8 2 3 1 3 90*23=2,070 150 300 50 200 100 Total energy consumed (Wh/day) = Total hours of electricity usage in school day = Average Load on Generator = 74 12,420 1,200 600 150 200 300 17,210 8 17,210 / 8 ≈ 2,150 W Using the equation provided in Fig. B4 and a load of 2,150 W, the cost of energy for the business-as-usual scenario is calculated to be 8.2 cents per kWh, as shown below: Cost of electricity = 3.3271 * ( 2,150) −0.483 = $0.082 / kWh A similar table can be constructed for the retrofit scenario, and would be identical to Table B2 with the exception that the power draw of a T8 light fixture is 59 Watts versus 90 Watts for a T12 light fixture. The resulting average load on the generator in the retrofit scenario is then computed to be 1,520 Watts. Plugging this load into the cost-of-electricity equation yields a cost of energy of 9.7 cents per kWh. Step 3) Determine the electrical energy costs. Now that values have been obtained for the cost-of-electricity in both scenarios, it is necessary to find the annual electricity consumption and costs. Assuming the Head Start facility is in operation for 181 days per year (a typical school year), the electricity consumption due to the lights in the business-as-usual scenario is 2,340 + 12,420 = 14,760 Wh or 14.76 kWh. Multiplying this by 181 days and by $0.082/kWh gives an annual energy cost of energy to run the lights of $220. For the retrofit scenario, the annual cost of energy is $143. Step 4) Predict a schedule of equipment maintenance and replacement costs It was assumed that this particular retrofit would make no difference in maintenance costs or the lifetime of the generator because the hours of operation would not change and the average load on the generator would be a low percentage of full capacity in both scenarios. The identical schedules for generator maintenance and replacement would cancel out, and so were left out of the analysis (recall that only the differences in the cash flows need to be considered). Based on bulb and ballast typical lifetimes, it was assumed that the old bulbs would require replacement at the end of the seventh year, and that the new bulbs would not need replacing during the 10-year period. Replacement bulbs were estimated to cost $75.44 and require about $10 in labor to replace them. In neither case would the ballasts require replacement due to failure. 5. Enter the cash flows for each year of each scenario into the spreadsheet. Figure B5 shows the cash flows for each scenario entered into the spreadsheet table. Note the values shown here are for the “base case” which represents our best estimates of the cash flows for each scenario. It is called the base case for 75 Business-as-Usual Scenario - No Retrofit Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Fuel Costs $0.00 ($220.00) ($220.00) ($220.00) ($220.00) ($220.00) ($220.00) ($220.00) ($220.00) ($220.00) ($220.00) Material Costs $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 ($75.44) $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 Labor Costs $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 ($10.00) $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 Salvage Value $0.00 Total $0.00 ($220.00) ($220.00) ($220.00) ($220.00) ($220.00) ($220.00) ($305.44) ($220.00) ($220.00) ($220.00) Retrofit Scenario Year Fuel Costs Material Costs Labor Costs Salvage Value Total 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 $0.00 ($143.00) ($143.00) ($143.00) ($143.00) ($143.00) ($143.00) ($143.00) ($143.00) ($143.00) ($143.00) ($479.00) $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 ($100.00) $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 ($579.00) ($143.00) ($143.00) ($143.00) ($143.00) ($143.00) ($143.00) ($143.00) ($143.00) ($143.00) ($143.00) Differences (Retrofit minus Business-as-Usual) Difference (Total with retrofit minus Total without) (579.00) 77.00 Difference adjusted for Inflation (579.00) 77.00 Discounted Differences (579.00) 73.33 77.00 77.00 69.84 77.00 77.00 66.52 77.00 77.00 63.35 77.00 77.00 60.33 77.00 77.00 57.46 162.44 162.44 115.44 77.00 77.00 52.12 77.00 77.00 49.63 Figure B5 – Cash flows entered into the spreadsheet used in evaluating the Yurok lighting retrofit case study. The numbers in parent heses indicate cash outlays. reference when comparing its NPV to the NPV computed with modified cash flows or assumptions about those cash flows (such as would be done in a sensitivity analysis). In this base case it has been assumed that the lighting equipment has no salvage value at the end of the 10-year project life. Notice that the row entitled “salvage value” in the tables for both scenarios have no values entered. It was included in the table for use later in a sensitivity analysis. At the bottom of the table for each scenario is the “Total” row. In this row, the cash flows for the fuel, materials, labor and salvage are summed. 6. Complete the “Differences” table. Now look at the “Differences” table on the bottom in Fig. B5 (the table with three shaded rows). As mentioned earlier, it is only the differences in cash flows between alternative scenarios that impact our decision of whether or not to implement an EE measure, so a table has been created specifically to focus on the differences. The values entered in the first row of this table are found by subtracting the total cost for a given year in the business-as-usual scenario from the retrofit scenario. For example, the ($579.00) entered in the year 0 column was computed as follows: (Retrofit year 0 total – Business-as-Usual year 0 total) = ($579) - $0 = ($579) Note that a number in parenthesis represents a cash outlay, so this ($579) indicates an outlay of cash for the upfront costs of the retrofit that would not occur in the business-as-usual scenario. Progressing to the next column representing the difference in cash flow between the two scenarios at the end of year 1, there is a difference of $77. Because this number is not in parenthesis, it represents a savings of $77 during year 1 (due to decreased fuel costs). An 76 77.00 77.00 47.27 identical procedure is repeated to determine the differences in cash flows for each year of the 10 year planning horizon. The second row in the differences table is labeled “Difference adjusted for Inflation.” In this base case the inflation rate was assumed to be zero so the numbers in this row are identical to the numbers immediately above. However, if the inflation rate were not assumed to be zero then these values would all be inflated an assumed inflation rate (though not used in the base case, non-zero inflation rates were investigated in a sensitivity analysis). The last row in the differences table is labeled “Discounted Differences.” In this row, the present value of the numbers listed in the row immediately above (the “Difference adjusted for Inflation” row) are displayed. The present value is calculated using the following equation: present value = ( difference adjusted for inflation) (1 + MARR ) Year For example, at the end of year 2, the difference adjusted for inflation is $77. Using the MARR of 5% (use 0.05), the present value is: present value = ($ 77 ) = $69.84 (1 + 0.05) 2 While it is easy enough to perform this calculation, most spreadsheets have a built in function to compute the present value. In Excel©, the function that would perform this calculation is as follows: PV(0.05,2,,-$77) = $69.84 7. Compute the NPV, IRR, and SPP. Once the tables shown in Fig. B5 have been completed, it is a simple matter to calculate the NPV. To do so, one needs only to sum the numbers in the “Discounted Differences” row. Alternatively, one may use a built- in NPV function in the spreadsheet program instead of summing these numbers. For the base case, the NPV is $76.29 indicating that this is an investment worth considering (recall a positive NPV indicates the return on investment for the EE measure will be better than the MARR). The IRR is also easy to compute using the values in this table. Excel©, like many spreadsheet programs, has a built in function (named IRR) to compute the IRR (refer to the help screen of your spreadsheet program to learn how to use the function). In essence, the IRR is determined by finding the value of the MARR that would cause the NPV to be zero. For the base case, the IRR is found to be 77 7.54%. This implies that an investment in this EE measure will produce an annual return of 7.54% on the investment. Finally, the SPP can be computed. The SPP is typically determined by dividing the initial cost of the EE measure by the annual savings in energy costs (neglecting inflation, replacement costs, and salvage values). In the base case: SPP = $579 / $77 = 7. 5 years Thus the SPP is 7.5 years. 8. Perform a sensitivity analysis of your results. In order to explicitly address the uncertainty in the results obtained for the NPV, IRR, and SPP, it is wise to perform a sensitivity analysis. This is accomplished by varying the base case values for the cash flows, MARR, inflation rate, etc., one at a time. For example, if one wished to know how sensitive the NPV is to the annual fuel savings (calculated to be $77 in the base case), one simply needs to vary this value within over a reasonable range of possible values. Spreadsheet programs are particularly helpful in performing these analyses, because once the spreadsheet table has been created (such as the one in Fig. B5) it is a simple matter to change any of the cash flows and the results for the NPV and IRR are instantly updated. It is in just this manner that the sensitivity plot showing NPV versus net annual fuel savings was created, as displayed in Fig. 7 of Sec. IV. Two more sensitivity plots have been created for this case study, and are shown in Figs. B6 and B7. In Fig. B6, the NPV is plotted versus the percent deviation in the most likely estimate of the MARR, fuel cost, replacement cost, and salvage value. The most likely estimate of these values are the values used in the base case. For example, the most likely estimate of the MARR is 5%. As shown on the plot, if the value of the MARR increases by 50%, then the NPV is zero (so if the tribe were to increase its minimum annual rate-of-return to 7.5%, this project would probably not be recommended). Another interesting result shown on this plot is that the NPV is not very sensitive to the assumed replacement costs and salvage values; it stays positive regardless of their values (note the salvage value was assumed to be zero in the base case; for this plot, a 100% increase in this value corresponds to an increase from zero to a salvage value of ¼ of the initial cost). Figure B6 does show that the NPV is somewhat sensitive to the fuel cost for the generator. If the fuel costs drop by 15%, then the NPV goes to zero. However, if the fuel costs increase, the NPV rapidly increases. The sensitivity plot shown in Fig. B7 plots the NPV versus the inflation rate. For the base case, the inflation rate was chosen to be 0%. As can be seen from the plot, if the inflation rate is actually greater than 0%, the value of the NPV increases. If one assumes an inflation rate of 2% (approximately that during the 78 $400.00 $300.00 $200.00 NPV ($) $100.00 MARR Fuel Cost $0.00 Replacement Cost Salvage Value ($100.00) ($200.00) ($300.00) ($400.00) -100 -80% -60% -40% -20% % 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Percent Deviation in Most Likely Estimate (%) Figure B6 – Sensitivity plot showing variation in the NPV versus changes in the MARR, fuel costs, replacement costs, and salvage value for the proposed lighting retrofit at the Ke’pel Head Start facility. $400.00 $300.00 $200.00 NPV ($) $100.00 $0.00 ($100.00) ($200.00) ($300.00) ($400.00) -3% -2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% Inflation Rate (%) Figure B7 – Sensitivity plot showing variation in the NPV versus inflation rate for the proposed lighting retrofit at the Ke’pel Head Start facility. 79 5% 1990’s), then the NPV of this project increases from $76 to $150, making this project somewhat more attractive. 9. Select the preferred alternative. With the values of the NPV, IRR and SPP in hand, one can now make a judgment on whether or not to fund this EE measure. In this case, the retrofit scenario looks as though it may be a good investment. 10. Revisit your decision. If the decision is made to fund this retrofit, the one remaining step is to revisit the decision after the project has been implemented. Are the expected savings and the return on investment being realized? If not (whether greater than or less than expected), try to determine why they are different. Following-up on an analysis in this manner will lead to improved accuracy in the analysis of future proposed EE measures, and build confidence in the economic predictions. Case Study Two: Confederated Salish and Kootenai Tribes –Irrigation System Improvements for Agriculture As was described in Sec. IV, the Mission Valley Power Authority (MVP) that serves the Flathead Reservation has a sophisticated, effective and well- funded energy conservation program. In fact, when questioned about potential EE projects that may be of interest, very few ideas came to mind that were not already being addressed. However, one group of MVP’s customers that did not have an efficiency program directed specifically towards them was the farmers. After some discussion with the staff at MVP, it was decided to look at irrigation equipment and see if there were any opportunities for EE. Inspecting a few typical irrigation systems revealed that large centrifugal pumps driven by electric motors supply the water distribution equipment using water from a nearby irrigation canal. Since the electric motors use a significant amount of electricity, there may be an opportunity for an EE measure. Figures 8 and 9 in Sec. IV shown an ir rigation system and two supply pumps, respectively. Inspection of the pumps and electric motors indicated that these devices had fairly high efficiencies, and not great potential for efficiency improvements. However, further investigation related to irrigation systems led to the idea of improving the entire irrigation system and not just the pump. Irrigation System Efficiency Measure Within the external boundaries of Flathead Reservation, which encompasses 1.2 million acres, are thousand of acres of farmland. Some of this land is tribal land and some of it is privately held; however, MVP provides electrical service to all of the farms. During the summer months, many of the farms employ irrigation (refer to Figs. 8 and 9 of Sec. IV). Large water pumps that run on electricity are required to draw water from an irrigation canal to feed these irrigation systems. During fiscal year 2001, irrigation customers 80 accounted for approximately 8 percent or the electricity sold by MVP, and MVP is interested in exploring the potential for energy savings through irrigation system improvements. After searching for an EE measure applicable to an irrigation system, it was decided to consider retrofitting a typical irrigation system with a Low Energy Precision Application (LEPA) irrigation system. LEPA systems are modifications of standard pivot irrigation systems that deliver water directly to the soil. These systems save both energy and water, and are one possible irrigation system improvement. Instead of nozzles that shoot water high into the air, LEPA systems employ drop tubes and sprinkler heads that deliver water directly to the soil around crops, as shown in Fig. B8. This modification allows for lower system pressures and smaller electric motors, and cuts evaporative losses of water reducing the amount of water required to irrigate a given field. Having inspected a few farmland irrigation systems on the Flathead reservation, and then having settling on a LEPA system as a possible EE improvement, the first two steps in the procedure to evaluate an EE measure were completed. The two alternatives to be considered are retrofitting an existing irrigation system with a LEPA system, and not retrofitting (business-as-usual). In completion of step 3, the NPV, IRR, and SPP were selected as the economic measures to consider. Step 4, to analyze and compare the feasible alternatives, is addressed in detail in the list below: 1. Pick a length of time over which to do your economic analysis. Twenty years was selected as the analysis horizon for this case study. 2. Create two tables with one column per year (include a year 0) and rows for categories such as electricity cost, materials cost, and labor cost. Figure B8 – On the left is shown a typical irrigation system on the Flathead reservation, and on the right is shown a LEPA system (Photo courtesy of Western Area Power Administration). 81 The two identified alternatives are the business-as-usual (no retrofit) scenario and the retrofit scenario. Tables similar to those shown previously in Table B3 (Yurok case study) should be created. 3. Estimate the upfront costs for each scenario. In both scenarios, calculations have been performed for an irrigation system covering 80 acres and operating for 900 hours per season. In the retrofit scenario, a farmer buys a conversion kit to a LEPA system and installs it with some help from farm hands. The estimated cost for a conversion kit and labor is $3,000, as derived from Western Area Power Administration’s Pump Testing and Irrigation Efficiency Profile #40 (1992). This is a reasonable estimate for this example, but would require refinement prior to making a decision on purchasing the system (such as obtaining an actual price quote on a LEPA kit from a distributor). There are typically no upfront costs for the business-as-usual scenario (no retrofit), and that is the case here since a high-pressure irrigation system is already in place. 4. Estimate the annual costs for each scenario. Three categories of costs were identified for evalua tion on an annual basis. The first is the electricity costs for running the pumps, the second is the water costs for irrigating, and the third is the operation and maintenance costs. Electricity purchased from MVP for the purpose of irrigation costs $0.0363 per kWh plus a demand charge of $11.05 per horsepower (hp) of the electric motor. For the business-as-usual scenario, a 40- hp motor is assumed to drive a highpressure system (typical). For this motor, the demand charge is $11.05/hp ´ 40 hp = $442. The energy consumed by the motor during the entire irrigation season is calculated below, using 95% as the motor efficiency (as stated on the motor nameplate) and 900 hours of use per season. 40hp 1kW × × 900 hours = 28, 280 kWh 0. 95 1.34 hp Note the conversion of 1 kW = 1.34 hp was used in the calculation. To determine the energy cost, the 28,280 kWh is now multiplied by $0.0363/kWh giving $1,026 per year in electrical energy costs. The total annual electricity cost (energy plus demand) for the business-as-usual scenario is $442 + $1,026 = $1,468. For the LEPA system retrofit, an estimate of the energy costs is taken from the Western Area Power Administration’s Pump Testing and Irrigation Efficiency Profile #40 (1992). The LEPA system retrofit employs a 28 hp motor that operates at a similar volume flow rate of water to the original system. Using this motor and the LEPA distribution system, an energy savings of 30% can be expected (however, under certain conditions it is possible to achieve up to 70% savings (Texas A&M 2003). Performing calculations similar to above, the 82 demand charge for the 28 hp motor would be $309, the energy consumed would be 18,810 kWh, and the energy cost would be $683. The total cost per year sums to $992. The next cost to consider is the water costs. Water for irrigation is available at $19.95 per acre from the Flathead Irrigation Project. For an 80-acre farm, the water cost would be (80 acres) ´ ($19.95/acre) = $1,596. When installing a LEPA system, it is possible to increase the water utilization efficiency from 70% to 95%, thus requiring about 20% less volume of water (Texas A&M 2003). However, on the Flathead reservation water is charged per acre of irrigated land and not on a volume basis (such as per acre-foot), so there is no financial benefit to conserving water with the LEPA system. The final yearly expenses to consider are operations and maintenance. For this analysis, it was assumed that these costs remain the same regardless of the type of system (high pressure or LEPA). Since we are only concerned with the differences in cash flows each year, these costs are not entered into our tables. 5. Enter the cash flows for each year of each scenario into the spreadsheet. Figure B9 shows the cash flows for the base case entered into the spreadsheet table. The base case for this study assumes a 5% MARR, a 20-year planning horizon, 30% savings in electricity due the LEPA system, and that the irrigation equipment is run for 900 hours per season. For simplicity, any replacement costs that may be incurred are assumed to be the same for both systems, and the salvage value of each system has been neglected. The inflation rate in the base case was assumed to be 0%. Business As Usual Scenario - No Retrofit Year $0 1 Electricity Costs $0 ($1,468) Water Costs $0 ($1,596) Total $0 ($3,064) 2 ($1,468) ($1,596) ($3,064) 3 4 ($1,468) ($1,468) ($1,596) ($1,596) ($3,064) ($3,064) 5 ($1,468) ($1,596) ($3,064) 6 ($1,468) ($1,596) ($3,064) … … … … 18 ($1,468) ($1,596) ($3,064) 19 ($1,468) ($1,596) ($3,064) 20 ($1,468) ($1,596) ($3,064) Retrofit Scenario Year LEPA Parts and Installation Electricity Costs Water Costs Total $1 $0 ($992) ($1,596) ($2,588) $2 $0 ($992) ($1,596) ($2,588) $3 $4 $0 $0 ($992) ($992) ($1,596) ($1,596) ($2,588) ($2,588) $5 $0 ($992) ($1,596) ($2,588) $6 $0 ($992) ($1,596) ($2,588) … … … … … $18 $0 ($992) ($1,596) ($2,588) $19 $0 ($992) ($1,596) ($2,588) $20 $0 ($992) ($1,596) ($2,588) ($3,000) $476.00 ($3,000) $476.00 ($3,000) $453.33 $476.00 $476.00 $431.75 $476.00 $476.00 $411.19 $476.00 $476.00 $372.96 $476.00 $476.00 $355.20 … … … $476.00 $476.00 $197.79 $476.00 $476.00 $188.37 $476.00 $476.00 $179.40 Difference (total with retrofit minus total without) Difference (incl. Inflation) Discounted Differences $0 ($3,000) $0 $0 ($3,000) $476.00 $476.00 $391.61 Figure B9 - Cash flows entered into the spreadsheet used in evaluating the Flathead irrigation retrofit case study. The numbers in parentheses indicate cash outlays. Note years 7 through 17 have not been shown due to space limitations. 83 6. Complete the “Differences” table. In Fig. B9, the lowermost, shaded table contains the differences in cash flows between the alternative scenarios. As described previously (see the Yurok Head Start facility case study, in a similarly titled section – “Complete the Differences Table”), the first row in the “Differences” table is completed by subtracting the total yearly cash flow for the business-as-usual scenario from the total yearly cash flow of the retrofit scenario. In the base case, where the inflation rate is assumed to be 0%, the following row (“Difference (incl. Inflation)”) has identical values to the row above it. For details on how to include the effects of inflation, refer to the similarly titled section in the Pascua Yaqui case study (following this case study). Once this value is obtained, its present value is computed and entered into the “Discounted Differences” row on the very bottom of the table shown in Fig. B9 (refer to the Yurok case study for details about how to calculate the present value). 7. Compute the NPV, IRR, and SPP. Once the tables shown in Fig. B9 are comp leted, the NPV is calculated by summing the numbers in the “Discounted Differences” row (or by using a built- in NPV function in the spreadsheet program). The NPV of the base case for the retrofit is $2,932 indicating that this is an investment worth considering. Computing the IRR yields a value of 14.9%, also indicating an attractive investment. Finally, the SPP is determined by dividing the initial cost of the EE measure by the annual savings in energy costs (neglecting inflation, replacement costs, and salvage values). In the base case: SPP = $2,932 / $476 ≈ 6.3 years Thus the SPP is 6.3 years. Based upon the NPV, IRR, and SPP, this retrofit is certainly worth considering. Once again, for details about how to perform these calculations, please refer to the Yurok Head Start case study. 8. Perform a sensitivity analysis of your results. In order to address uncertainty in the results obtained for the NPV, IRR, and SPP, two sensitivity analyses have been performed. Recall that in performing a sensitivity analysis, one typically varies one of the cost factors (e.g., the MARR, the inflation rate, the electricity costs, etc.) and then recomputes the NPV and IRR. Following this procedure, the sensitivity of the NPV to the MARR was investigated and is shown in Fig. B10. Shown on the horizontal axis in this figure is the MARR, and on the vertical axis is the NPV. As can be seen from this plot, the NPV remains positive for values of the MARR beyond 10%. Figure B11 displays the variation in the NPV with changing values of the inflation rate. As can be seen, if the inflation rate is assumed to be greater than 0%, the NPV 84 rapidly grows making the project even more attractive. Note that even if there is a deflation in the price of electricity, that the NPV still remains positive. 9. Select the preferred alternative. Once the economic analysis has been performed, the results for the NPV, IRR, and SPP are considered alongside the non-monetary criteria associated with the proposed EE measure (impact on people in the facility, etc.). Depending upon these other criteria, this retrofit will likely be considered favorably. 10. Revisit your decision. If implemented, this remaining step in the process of evaluating this project is to revisit the decision and determine the actual cost savings. Are the expected savings being realized? If not (whether greater than or less than expected), try to determine why they are different. Following- up on an analysis in this manner will lead to improved accuracy in the analysis of future proposed EE measures, and build confidence in the economic predictions. $7,000.00 Net Present Value ($) $6,000.00 $5,000.00 $4,000.00 NPV = $2,932 in the base case (5% MARR) $3,000.00 $2,000.00 $1,000.00 $0.00 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% MARR (% ) Figure B10 – Sensitivity plot showing variation in the NPV versus the MARR, for the proposed LEPA irrigation system retrofit. 85 $7,000 Net Prestent Value ($) $6,000 $5,000 $4,000 NPV = $2,932 in the base case (0% inflation) $3,000 $2,000 $1,000 $0 -5% -4% -3% -2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% Inflation Rate (%) Figure B11 – Sensitivity plot showing variation in the NPV versus inflation rate, for the proposed LEPA irrigation retrofit. Of the three case studies presented in this appendix, this one is the most general in that it compares a typical high-pressure pivot irrigation system to a LEPA system. Prior to making a decision on this measure, it would be important to obtain more site-specific information for specific applications and reevaluate the economics. Furthermore, there was no cost savings for irrigated water in this comparison, and if that could be factored into the analysis thorough changes in how the farmers are billed for their water, the retrofit would become even more attractive and water conservation would be encouraged. Case Study Three: Pascua Yaqui Tribe – Automatic Lighting Sensors As a tribe experiencing rapid development and significant numbers of new buildings, the Pascua Yaqui are working to develop in ways that increase their energy independence and sovereignty. A relatively new health center on the tribe’s original 202 acres utilizes efficient fluorescent and compact fluorescent fixtures throughout its many rooms and hallways, as well as skylights that enhance lighting during daylight hours. The plans for the new head start facility, under construction at the time of visitation, also specify efficient fixtures throughout. In the context of their new development, energy efficiency measures of interest to the Pascua Yaqui include investigation of additional measures that could be incorporated in new structures, including motion-sensing light switches that automatically turn lights off when a room is not in use. It was decided at the time of the visit to evaluate the worthiness of installing motion sensing switches in their new Head Start facility. A picture of the facility was provided in Sec. IV, Fig. 10. As was mentioned 86 in Sec. IV, since motion sensors are simple and inexpensive to install in a retrofit scenario, it is not necessary to install them at the time of construction. Delaying installation is advantageous because the usage patterns for the classroom lights can be determined in the first several months of operation of the facility, allowing for a more accurate prediction of the potential for cost savings. Investigation of the Head Start floor plans and electrical plans was informative in the completion of step 1 (identifying the opportunities for EE), showing that there were six large classrooms, each one with many lights operated by only two switches. This setup is ideal for automatic motion-sensing switches because many lights (and a lot of electricity usage) can be controlled without the need to purchase large numbers of automatic switches, and a modest reduction in time-of-use will correspond to a significant amount of energy savings. In step 2 (developing feasible alternatives for EE improvements), the alternatives identified were to leave the switching as drawn up in the building plans (the “business as usual” case) or to install automatic switches. In step 3 (select the decision criteria), the primary economic measure was again chosen to be net present value (NPV), but calculations of internal rate of return (IRR) and simple payback period (SPP) were carried out as well. Step four in the process of evaluating this EE measure (analyze and compare feasible alternatives) is enumerated and presented below as in the previous case studies. 1. Pick a length of time over which to do your economic analysis. Twenty years was selected as the analysis horizon for this case study. 2. Create two tables with one column per year (include a year 0) and rows for categories such as fuel cost, materials cost, and labor cost. In a case such as this one, where the two identified alternatives are business-asusual (no retrofit) scenario and the retrofit scenario, tables similar to those shown previously in Table B3 should be created. 3. Estimate the upfront costs for each scenario. Since the business as usual scenario would leave the original light switches in place, there would be no upfront costs. A retrofit employing lighting sensors manufactured by espEnergy would cost $1,080 for 12 switches ($90 each), with and an estimated $108 for installation. 4. Estimate the annual costs for each scenario. A precise prediction of energy savings is difficult to achieve in a brand new building with no established patterns of use. Thus, the economics (NPV, IRR, SPP) were analyzed assuming a realistic range of potential levels of savings. 87 The local price of electricity for the facility is $0.11 per kWh with an additional charge of $3.53 per kW maximum load per month. Since the switch retrofit would affect the time of use and not the magnitude of the peak load, the $3.53/kW charge would be identical in each scenario. Since it is the differences in the costs of each scenario in which we are primarily interested, the demand charge need not be considered in the cash flows for each alternative. One key assumption in the estimation of annual electricity costs for this study was that the classroom lights would be used 8 hours per day on average for 220 days out of the year. This usage pattern is common for public, educational buildings, but it is not at all obvious whether or not the Pascua Yaqui Head Start facility will follow this pattern. Because of this uncertainty, these are good factors to examine using a sensitivity analysis, as well as re-evaluate after the building has been occupied for a few months. There are a total of 90 light fixtures in the six classrooms; each employs bulbs requiring a total of 90 Watts of electricity. Multiplying 90 light fixtures by 90 Watts per fixture yields a total load of 8,100 W (or 8.1 kW). Using this information and the above estimate for time of use, the annual electricity expenditure can be calculated as follows: 220 days/year * 8 hours/day * 8.1 kW * $0.11/kWh = $1,570/year To compute the cost of electricity in the retrofit scenario, all of the numbers in the above equation remain the same except for the time of use, which is reduced from 8 hours/day by some percentage. Table B3 summarizes the yearly cost of electricity for the classroom lights at various reductions in time of use. Maintenance costs are negligible for the switches themselves, but reducing the time of use of the light fixtures under the retrofit scenario results in longer bulb life, reducing the ongoing cost of bulb replacement. Due to the long life of fluorescent bulbs (20,000 hours), they need only be replaced once during the 20year analysis horizon. However, since the timing of a cash flow has an effect on the NPV and IRR, delaying bulb replacement is a factor worth considering. Table B4 shows the year in which bulb replacement is required at various levels of reduction in light use due to the light sensors. Sixty dollars was allowed for the labor cost of replacing the 270 light bulbs whenever replacement was necessary. 5. Enter the cash flows for each year of each scenario into the spreadsheet. Figure B12 shows the cash flows for the base case entered into the spreadsheet table. The base case for this study assumes a 4% MARR, a 20-year planning horizon, 10% savings in electricity due to using the lighting motion sensors, that the lights would be used for 1,760 hours per year under normal usage conditions (without the lighting sensors), and that it would cost $482 for replacement bulbs 88 Table B3 – Yearly hours of use and cost of electricity for the Pascua Yaqui Head Start classroom lights at various levels of percentage reduction in time of use. Percentage Reduction in Time of Use 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% Hours Used per Year 1760 1672 1584 1496 1408 1320 1232 1144 1056 Power (kW) Cost of Electricity ($/kWh) $0.11 $0.11 $0.11 $0.11 $0.11 $0.11 $0.11 $0.11 $0.11 8.1 8.1 8.1 8.1 8.1 8.1 8.1 8.1 8.1 Cost per Year Savings per Year $1570 $1490 $1411 $1333 $1255 $1176 $1098 $1019 $941 $0 $80 $159 $237 $315 $394 $472 $551 $629 Table B4 – Year in which bulbs require replacement in the Pascua Yaqui Head Start classroom, given various levels of reduction in time of use. Percentage Reduction in Time of Use 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% Calculation for Year of Replacement (= bulb life / yearly usage) 20,000 hours / 1760 20,000 / (1,760 * (1- 0.05)) 20,000 / (1,760 * (1- 0.10)) 20,000 / (1,760 * (1- 0.15)) 20,000 / (1,760 * (1- 0.20)) 20,000 / (1,760 * (1- 0.25)) 20,000 / (1,760 * (1- 0.30)) 20,000 / (1,760 * (1- 0.35)) 20,000 / (1,760 * (1- 0.40)) Years After Installation when Bulbs Require Replacement 11.4 12.0 12.6 13.4 14.2 15.2 16.2 17.4 18.9 and $40 for the labor to replace them. In the business-as-usual scenario replacement would occur during year 12, but because of reduced light usage in the retrofit scenario replacement is not necessary until year 13 (refer to Table B4). No salvage value has been considered for the lighting equipment at the end of the 20-year study period, due to its negligible impact on the NPV and IRR. The inflation rate in the base case was assumed to be 0%. 89 Business-as-Usual Scenario - No Retrofit Year 0 1 2 Electricity Costs $0.00 ($1,568.16) ($1,568.16) Material Costs $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 Labor Costs $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 Salvage Value Total $0.00 ($1,568.16) ($1,568.16) Retrofit Scenario Year Electricity Costs Material Costs Labor Costs Salvage Value Total Difference (total with retrofit minus total without) Difference (incl. Inflation) Discounted Differences … … … … 11 12 13 ($1,568.16) ($1,568.16) ($1,568.16) $0.00 ($481.50) $0.00 $0.00 ($40.00) $0.00 … … … … 19 20 ($1,568.16) ($1,568.16) $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 … ($1,568.16) ($2,089.66) ($1,568.16) … ($1,568.16) ($1,568.16) 0 1 2 $0.00 ($1,411.34) ($1,411.34) ($1,080.00) $0.00 $0.00 ($108.00) $0.00 $0.00 … … … … 11 12 13 ($1,411.34) ($1,411.34) ($1,411.34) $0.00 $0.00 ($481.50) $0.00 $0.00 ($40.00) … … 19 20 ($1,411.34) ($1,411.34) $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 ($1,188.00) ($1,411.34) ($1,411.34) … ($1,411.34) ($1,411.34) ($1,932.84) … ($1,411.34) ($1,411.34) (1,188.00) (1,188.00) (1,188.00) 156.82 159.95 153.80 156.82 163.15 150.84 … … … 156.82 194.98 101.86 678.32 860.27 423.67 (364.68) (471.76) (219.02) … … … 156.82 228.45 108.43 156.82 233.02 106.35 Figure B12 - Cash flows entered into the spreadsheet used in eva luating the Pascua Yaqui lighting switch retrofit case study. The numbers in parentheses indicate cash outlays. Note years 3 through 10 and 14 through 18 have not been shown due to space limitations. 6. Complete the “Differences” table. inf In Fig. B12, the lowermost, shaded table contains the differences in cash flows between the alternative scenarios. As described previously (see the Yurok Head Start facility case study, in a similarly titled section “Complete the Differences Table”), the first row in the “Differences” table is completed by subtracting the total yearly cash flow for the business-as-usual scenario from the total yearly cash flow of the retrofit scenario. In the base case, where the inflation rate was assumed to be 0%, the following row (“Difference (incl. Inflation)”) would have identical values to the row above it. However, for illustration purposes (and as used in the sensitivity analysis to follow), a 2% inflation rate is shown in Table B12. The effect of inflation on the net cash flow for each year (the value in the “Difference” row) is computed as follows: difference adjusted for inflation = (difference) × (1 + lationrate) Year For example, at the end of year 2, the difference between business-as-usual and retrofit costs is $156.82. Using an inflation rate of 2% (use 0.02), the difference adjusted for inflation is: differenceadjusted for inflation = ($156.82 ) × (1 + 0.02) 2 = $163.15 90 Once again, while it is easy enough to perform this calculation, most spreadsheets have a built in function to compute this value. In Excel©, the “future value” function would perform this calculation is as follows: -FV(0.02,2,,$156.82) = $163.15 Once this value is obtained, the present value is obtained and entered into the “Discounted Differences” row on the very bottom of the table shown in Fig. B12, as was explained in the Yurok case study. This process is repeated until the discounted difference for every year is obtained and entered into the table. 7. Compute the NPV, IRR, and SPP. Once the tables shown in Fig. B12 are completed, the NPV is calculated by summing the numbers in the “Discounted Differences” row (or by using a built- in NPV function in the spreadsheet program). The NPV of the base case for the retrofit is $956 indicating that this is an investment worth considering. Computing the IRR for this EE measure yields a value of 12%, also indicating an attractive investment. Finally, the SPP is determined by dividing the initial cost of the EE measure by the annual savings in energy costs (neglecting inflation, replacement costs, and salvage values). In the base case: SPP = $1,188 / $159 ≈ 7.5 years Thus the SPP is 7.5 years. Based upon the NPV, IRR, and SPP, this retrofit is certainly worth considering. Once again, for details about how to perform these calculations, please refer to the Yurok Head Start case study. 8. Perform a sensitivity analysis of your results. In order to explicitly address the uncertainty in the results obtained for the NPV, IRR, and SPP, a sensitivity analysis was performed. Recall that in performing a sensitivity analysis, one typically varies one of the cost factors (e.g., the MARR, the electricity costs, the number of hours per day the lights are used, the inflation rate, etc.) and then recomputes the NPV and IRR. The sensitivity of the NPV to two important factors, the MARR and the estimated number of hours per day the lights are “on”, is shown in Figure B13. Shown on the abscissa in this figure is the “percent deviation in the most likely estimate.” The numbers used in formulating the base case (shown in Fig. B12 ) represent the most likely estimates. So, a percent deviation in the most likely estimate of –25% implies that the base case number for either the MARR or the “hours on per day” is reduced by 25%, and then the NPV is recomputed. As Fig. B13 displays, the lighting sensor retrofit remains economically attractive even if the MARR increases by 100% (doubles), or if the number of hours per day the lights are assumed to be left on is reduced by 25%. Note from this figure that including 91 Vary MARR (no inflation) Vary Hours per Day Lights On Vary MARR (2% inflation) $2,000 NPV ($) $1,500 $1,000 $500 $0 -50% -25% 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 125% Percent Deviation in Most Likely Estimate (%) Figure B13 – Sensitivity plot showing variation in the NPV versus deviations from the most likely estimate (the base case) in the daily time of use of the classroom lights and the MARR, for the proposed lighting sensor retrofit at the Pascua Yaqui Head Start facility. the effect of inflation make the project more attractive by uniformly increasing the value of the NPV. Two other sensitivity plots are worth considering: the effect of percent energy savings due to the lighting sensors (shown in Fig. 11 of Sec. IV), and the effect of inflation on the NPV (see Fig. B14). As shown in Fig. B14, the effect of price inflation is to increase the value of the NPV. For example, a typical inflation rate of 2% would increase the NPV from $955 to $1,400. 11. Select the preferred alternative. Once the economic analysis of the potential EE measure has been performed (in this case the lighting sensor retrofit), one can examine the results for the NPV, IRR, and SPP along with the non- monetary criteria associated with the measure (impact on people in the facility, etc.). Depending upon the actual lighting usage patterns at the new Pascua Yaqui Head Start facility and other non- monetary criteria, this retrofit will likely fall somewhere between somewhat attractive and very worthwhile. 12. Revisit your decision. 92 If the decision is made to fund this retrofit, the one remaining step is to revisit the decision after the project has been implemented. Are the expected savings and the return on investment being realized? If not (whether greater than or less than expected), try to determine why they are different. Following-up on an analysis in this manner will lead to improved accuracy in the analysis of future proposed EE measures, and build confidence in the economic predictions. $2,500.00 $2,000.00 NPV ($) $1,500.00 $1,000.00 $500.00 $0.00 -3% -2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% Inflation Rate (%) Figure B14 – Sensitivity plot showing variation in the NPV versus inflation rate, for the proposed lighting sensor retrofit at the Pascua Yaqui Head Start facility. 93 APPENDIX C SUMMARY OF EFFICIENCY MEASURES AND POLICIES CONSIDERED FOR ANALYSIS BY THE WRAP AIR POLLUTION PREVENTION FORUM 94 As part of its charge, the Air Pollution Prevention (AP2) Forum evaluated energy efficiency measures to identify those measures potentially effective in reducing energy use. This appendix provides a description of all measures considered by the AP2 Forum. This material is intended to provide tribes with a more through understanding of energy efficiency measure to help determine if such measures may be applicable for their tribe. The information below is from the report Estimation Of Potential Energy Efficiency Savings For The Western Regional Air Partnership By The Air Pollution Prevention Forum, Approach, Methods and Summary Results, Attachment 1 by David Von Hippel and David Nichols, Tellus Institute (Revised draft, June 26, 2002) The energy efficiency measures are divided into four categories: residential, commercial/institutional, industrial and combined heat and power (CHP) measures. From these measures the AP2 Forum developed a list of measures that were used as inputs to emissions modeling. In each description there is italic titles in parentheses. These short titles are used in the tables of "Cost of Saved Energy Results" presented in Estimation of Potential Energy Efficiency Savings for the Western Regional Air Partnership by the Air Pollution Prevention Forum: Approach, Methods and Summary Results. RESIDENTIAL SECTOR MEASURES Residential Appliance Recycling : The appliance recycling program approach provides incentives to customers to allow their operable refrigerators or freezers to be disposed of. Appliance recycling has been operated successfully in several regions. A recycling company is contracted to collect the appliances and dispose of them in an environmentally responsible way. The electricity savings result from the fact that the average stock of refrigerators and freezers now in use consumes more than twice the electricity of the new units available on the market today ("Residential Appliance Recycling"). Residential Air Conditioning—High-efficiency Units: Compressor, control, fan, heatexchanger, seal, and other improvements in central and room air conditioners make the most efficient residential units available substantially more efficient than those just meeting standards ("Residential Efficient CAC", "Residential Efficient Room AC"). Residential Air Conditioning—Evaporative Cooling : In contrast to typical compressor-driven air conditioners, evaporative coolers lower indoor temperatures by evaporating a mist of water, which carries away heat. Evaporative or "swamp" coolers are effective in low-humidity areas, and use only a small fraction of the electricity used by compressor-driven air conditioners ("Residential Evaporative Cooling"). Residential Air Conditioning—IDDEC: A variant of residential evaporative cooling called indirect/direct evaporative cooling, or IDDEC, is under development that will provide reliable cooling with significantly less electricity input than typical compressordriven air conditioning, and is useful in applications where standard evaporative cooling might not be appropriate ("Residential IDDEC Cooling"). 95 Residential Heating and Cooling—System and Duct Service and Repair: Many existing heating systems can be made significantly more efficient by applying a package of system and duct repair measures, including tune- ups for heat-pump condenser and evaporator units, cleaning, sealing and insulating duct work, or re-routing duct work to make the flow of heat from the furnace to living areas more efficient (evaluated as two measures: "Residential Duct Test and Seal--CAC", and "Residential Duct Test and Seal-ESH"). Residential Heating and Cooling—Weatherization Retrofits : The thermal performance of a dwelling—the degree to which a heated house stays warm and a cooled house stays cool, is a function of many factors, including how well insulated the house is, the integrity of its windows and doors, whether it has been well-sealed to control the incursion of outside air, its overall design, its orientation relative to sun and wind, and its proximity to nearby vegetation. Of these factors, the first three are usually addressed by measures installed during a weatherization retrofit of an existing dwelling ("Residential Weatherization"). Residential Heating and Cooling—Better-than-Code Building Envelopes for New Homes: Although some parts of the West already have state (and sometime local) residential building codes that mandate quite high residential building performance, there are opportunities to exceed code levels. There are also opportunities to ensure that more buildings are actually built to code, through improved code enforcement, and to strengthen building codes to other states. For the WRAP energy efficiency analysis, incentives were assumed used until 2009 to bring homes to IECC 2000 (International Energy Conservation Code) levels ("Residential Building Envelope Impr.--IECC 2000"), and that thereafter code changes mandate enhancements in performance beyond the IECC 2000 level ("Residential Building Envelope Impr.--Enhanced"). Residential Lighting—Compact Fluorescent (CFL) Bulbs : Over the last decade or so, compact fluorescent light bulbs (CFLs) designed for use in incandescent fixtures – and lamps and fixtures specifically designed to use CFL technology – have been making inroads in the U.S. market. CFLs use roughly one-quarter of the electricity to produce the same amount of light as incandescent bulbs, and last up to 10 times longer ("Residential CFL Bulbs"). Residential Lighting—Indoor CFL Fixtures: CFLs work best when used in fixtures specifically designed for them ("Residential CFL Fixtures--Indoor"). Residential Lighting—Outdoor CFL Fixtures: Using CFLs in outdoor fixtures presents an attractive way to save both money and electricity, as long-lived CFL bulbs are used for many hours per day when installed for outdoor security lighting. In addition, as many outdoor incandescent bulbs designed for outdoor use are both expensive and short- lived, there are significant operation and maintenance savings from using outdoor CFL-based fixtures ("Residential CFL Fixtures--Outdoor"). 96 Residential Lighting—CFL Torchieres: The "torchiere" style of tall floor lamp gained tremendous popularity in recent years as inexpensive units have become widely available. Most units use bright, but inefficient, halogen bulbs, while some use incandescent bulbs. Their high electricity use and the fire hazards created by high temperature halogen units have prompted the development of the CFL torchiere. The CFL torchiere produces the same light output as the halogen and incandescent units, using 20-30 percent of the electricity and eliminating an important fire risk ("Residential CFL Torchiere"). Residential Appliance Standby Loss Reduction: Even when turned off, many househo ld electronic devices consume small amounts of electricity. While insignificant on an individual device basis, the total energy consumed by standby equipment adds up to about 5 percent of current residential electricity use, due to the multitude of devices and their steady power drain. The EPA Energy Star program already includes an initiative to encourage the reduction in average standby consumption from 4.4 to 1 watt per device, a drop of over 75 percent. For WRAP, introduction of measures for standby loss reduction were modeled as an incentive program through 2009 ("Residential Appl. Standby Loss Red.--Incentive"), and as a mandatory standard thereafter ("Residential Appl. Standby Loss Red.--Mandatory"). Residential Clothes Washing : Improvements in clothes washers allow clothes to be cleaned with less hot water use, and often "spin" clothes faster so that less energy is required to dry them. Two types of higher-than-standard-efficiency clothes washers were included in the WRAP analysis: vertical-axis Energy Star-qualified machines ("Residential Energy Star Clothes Washer"), and horizontal-axis washers ("Residential SEHA Clothes Washer", where SEHA is "Super-Efficient Home Appliance"). COMMERCIAL SECTOR MEASURES (INCLUDING GOVERNMENT, GAMING, AND RECREATION) Commercial/Institutional Cooling—"Package" AC and Chillers : Use of higher-thanstandard efficiency "package" air conditioning (AC) units and centrifugal chillers for small-to- meduim-sized and large commercial/institutional buildings produce more cold air (or chilled water) per unit of electricity input than standard models ("Comml/Instit. AC Impr., 20-ton Package Units" and "Comml/Instit. AC Impr., 350-ton Centrif. Units"). Commercial/Institutional Cooling—Residential-type Units : Many smaller commercial buildings use units that are the same as, or larger but similar to, the AC systems used in homes. For the WRAP study, models of room- type air conditioners, central air conditioners, and heat pumps with energy efficiency ratings significantly higher than standard units were evaluated ("Comml/Instit. AC Impr., Res. Room-type AC", "Comml/Instit. AC Impr., Residential-type CAC", "Comml/Instit. AC Impr., Small Heat Pump"). Commercial/Institutional Cooling—Evaporative Cooling : Evaporative cooling technologies use the latent heat of vaporization of water to cool air. One of the most promising configurations, indirect-direct evaporative cooling (IDDEC) can substantially 97 reduce electricity requirements relative to conventional cooling systems and operate well in the relatively low humidity conditions that prevail during Western summers. For WRAP measures in three size classes were modeled for use in different types of commercial/institutional buildings, based on the size of conventional AC equipment tha t would otherwise be used ("Comml/Instit. AC, IDDEC, 20-ton Equiv. Units", "Comml/Instit. AC, IDDEC, 150-ton Equiv. Units", and "Comml/Instit. AC, IDDEC, 350ton Equiv. Units"). Commercial/Institutional Cooling—Gas-fired Air Conditioning : Electricity use can be reduced by replacing electric air conditioners with gas- fired air conditioners. Gasfired air conditioners use either an absorption cooling cycle or a gas- fired internalcombustion engine that turns an air conditioning compressor. Additional energy is saved by using waste heat from the gas-fired engine to heat water. Three gas- fired AC configurations were evaluated: without heat recovery ("Comml/Instit. Gas AC, w/o heat recovery"), with heat recovery and with the recovered heat avoiding the use of a gas-fired water heater ("Comml/Instit. Gas AC, w/ heat recov. (GWH)"), and with the recovered heat displacing an electric water heater ("Comml/Instit. Gas AC, w/ heat recov. (EWH)"). Commercial/Institutional Cooling—Cooling Tower Variable-Speed Drives: Cooling systems for large buildings often have cooling towers, where waste heat is exhausted using fans. Variable-speed drives for the fan motors on cooling tower allow the speed of the fans to be adjusted to cooling needs, and thus save electricity. Efficiency savings were estimated for WRAP using data from different regions of California. For example, for the WSCP (Oregon/Western Idaho) region, "Comml/Instit. Cooling Tower VSD-Valley Climate" denotes an installation in a climate similar to that of the Central Valley in California, while "Comml/Instit. Cooling Tower VSD--N. Coast Clim." Uses a California North Coast climate as an analog. Commercial/Institutional Space Heat: Electricity, and energy overall, can be saved by switching from electric resistance heating to gas- fired heating systems, preferably gasfired systems of higher than standard efficiency. In some cases, gas- fired heaters and boilers are less expensive to buy (as well as operate) than electric ones of equivalent capacity. Three measures were evaluated for WRAP: High efficiency and standard gas boilers replacing electric resistance boilers ("Comml/Instit. Space Heat High Eff. Gas Boiler" and "Comml/Instit. Space Heat Std. Gas Boiler"), and gas "unit heaters" (standalone or ceiling- mounted, fan- forced heaters often used in spaces such as warehouses or workshops; ("Comml/Instit. Space Heat Gas Unit Heater"). Commercial/Institutional Ground-Source Heat Pumps : Ground-source heat pumps (sometimes called "geothermal" heat pumps) are used for both heating and cooling, and differ from typical heat pumps in that they use buried "loops" of piping with water or other fluid running through it to extract heat from (or, in cooling mode, exhaust heat to) the earth below ground level. The relatively constant temperature of the earth allows the heat pump to run more efficiently, under some conditions, than a typical air-source heat pump. As the number of hours a ground-source heat pump will need to run depends on climate, installations with running times (both heating and cooling) of 1000, 2000, and 98 3000 hours per year were assumed ("Comml/Instit. Ground-source HP, 1000 hrs/yr", "Comml/Instit. Ground-source HP, 2000 hrs/yr", and "Comml/Instit. Ground-source HP, 3000 hrs/yr"). Commercial/Institutional Water Heat: Water heating electricity use can be reduced substantially by switching from standard electric resistance-type water heaters to heatpump-type water heaters ("Comml/Instit. Water Heating, Heat Pump Unit"). Switching from electric water heating to natural gas- fired water heating, using both boilers and tanktype water heaters, can also reduce both electricity use and overall energy requirements after losses in electricity generation are accounted for ("Comml/Instit. Water Heater Fuel Switching", "Comml/Instit. Water Heat Gas Boiler Fuel Switch"). Commercial/Institutional Building "Retrocommissioning": Retrocommissioning is defined as "a process of thoroughly identifying the current needs for services within a building, assessing the functionality and appropriateness of the equipment now serving the building, devising and implementing a systematic plan for repairing, rejuvenating or replacing the existing systems, and finally creating operations and maintenance practices to assure continued functionality of the systems". It is therefore the process of reviewing all of the energy uses in an existing building, and making changes to maintenance and operation, and in some cases in equipment, to make sure that the building operates as efficiently as possible ("Comml/Instit. Retrocommissioning"). Retrocommissioning usually is designed to reduce a building's need for heating, cooling, and/or lighting. Commercial/Institutional Building Standards : Higher standards for insulation, window performance, thermal seals, and other building components help reduce heating and cooling energy use. Two levels of building standards, one meeting ASHRAE (American Society of Heating, Refrigerating and Air-Conditioning Engineers) 90.1.99 building guidelines ("Comml/Instit. Building Envelope--ASHRAE Stds."), and one exceeding ASRAE guidelines by about 20 percent ("Comml/Instit. Building Envelope-Enhanced Level"). Commercial/Institutional Refrigeration: Commercial sector refrigeration ranges from large refrigerators no t much different from residential units to walk- in or building-sized cold storage rooms or freezers. Options for improving the energy efficiency of refrigeration systems in the commercial sector include improving door seals, compressors, insulation, and controls. The WRAP analysis included two sets of measures, one of which includes measures having payback times of less than two years ("lower-cost measures", "Comml/Instit. Refrigeration, Low-cost Measures") and the other having offering paybacks of between two and five years ("Comml/Instit. Refrigeration, High-cost Measures"). Commercial/Institutional Lighting—Fluorescent Bulbs and Ballasts: Replacing standard bulbs and ballasts in the four-foot fluorescent fixtures that are most common in office and other applications with high-efficiency bulbs and ballasts produces significant savings ("Comml/Instit. Lighting, Efficient Fluorescent ". 99 Commercial/Institutional Lighting—Advanced Lighting Measures: This measure includes a "package" of "emerging" lighting measures, ranging from use of daylighting to lighting controls to the use of advanced bulbs and fixtures, offering average energy savings over standard practice of more than 50 percent ("Comml/Instit. Lighting, Advanced Measures"). Commercial/Institutional Lighting—LED Exit Signs : LEDs are also increasingly used in commercial and institutional exit signs in place of incandescent or fluorescent bulbs. LED exit signs save a considerable amount of energy, and may not need to be replaced for a decade or more, significantly reducing maintenance ("Comml/Instit. LED Exit Signs"). Commercial/Institutional Clothes Washers : Upgrades in commercial clothes washers, as with residential washers, can yield significant energy savings in water heating and clothes drying, as well in the washer itself ("Comml/Instit. Efficient Clothes Washers"). LED Traffic Signals ("Comml/Instit. LED Traffic Signals"): Light emitting diodes (LEDs) have been widely used in electronics for years, are now starting to find new lighting applications. As with LED exit signs, long- lasting LED traffic signals, though they cost more per bulb than incandescent signals, dramatically reduce energy use (by 90%) as well as O&M costs. Although LED traffic signals do not produce the same amount of overall light as incandescent signals, the focused points of bright light produced by LEDs make them easy for the eye to pick out, and thus ideal for traffic lights and other signage. Commercial/Institutional/Industrial Electrical Transformers : In larger commercial buildings and in industrial installations, transformers are used to "step down" highvoltage power from the electrical grid to usable lower voltages. Transformer losses are not substantial, but as each kWh of electricity used in a building typically must pass through a transformer, even a small reduction in losses improves the energy-efficiency of the entire building. The measures "Comml/Instit/Industrial Transformers (C/I)" and "Comml/Instit/Industrial Transformers (Industrial)" model the purchase of higherefficiency "TP-1" transformers instead of standard units. INDUSTRIAL SECTOR MEASURES Industrial Motors Efficiency Improvements : The efficiency of industrial motors can be improved in several ways: by replacing failed motors with premium (highest efficiency) instead of standard models ("Industrial Premium Motors"), by substituting premium motors where motors would otherwise be rewound ("Industrial Prem. Motor vs. Rewind"), and by downsizing motors to appropriate capacity for the systems they power ("Industrial Motor Downsizing"). These types of improvements typically save only 1-4 percent of motor electricity requirements, but when applied across the large number of industrial motors, the savings can be considerable. 100 Industrial Motor System Improvements : Even greater savings of motor electricity use can be achieved by modifying the design and operation of systems that motors drive: air compressors, pumps and valves, fans, and other systems (such as conveyors). For the WRAP energy efficiency analysis, the potential savings for improving each of three types of motor systems ("Industrial Air Compressor System Measures", "Industrial Fan System Measures", and "Industrial Pump System Measures") were evaluated. Savings for these measures can range, on average, from 5 percent for fans to nearly 20 percent for pumps and air compressors. Industrial—Aluminum Production Process Improvements: Primary aluminum production – as opposed to secondary production from recycled aluminum feedstocks -is a very energy- intensive process. One of the key options for reducing electricity consumption per unit of aluminum produced is to retrofit aluminum production cells for higher electrolytic efficiency and lower heat loss ("Industrial Aluminum Process Impr.: Cell Retrofit"). Other technological advances are possible, such as advanced forming and near net-shape casting. These advances are designed to save energy by producing aluminum in shapes that are close to their final form, can provide considerable O&M and thermal energy (typically gas energy) savings, though typically small electricity savings ("Industrial Aluminum Process Impr.: Adv. Forming"). Industrial Electrical Transformers : (see listing under Commercial sector, above) COMBINED HEAT AND POWER From half to two-thirds of the energy used for fuel-based electricity generation is typically lost as waste heat. Combined heat and power (CHP) systems effectively capture this waste heat and supply it to a facility’s process or building heat requirements, and can thereby approximately double the overall efficiency of fuel use to 80 percent or so. We included in our analysis several types of natural gas-fired CHP systems in several size classes: • Internal Combustion Engines: Internal combustion (IC) engines have been used in stationary power generation applications for a century or more, and are a very mature technology. Heat from gas-fired water-cooled IC engines can be captured from the engine's coolant system via a radiator, and used to heat or pre- heat air or water to help provide space or water heat. • Combustion Turbines: Conventional combustion turbines (CT) are a newer, but still quite mature, electric generation option, having been in wide use for decades. Here heat can be captured from the hot exhaust gases of the turbine via a heat exchange unit, and used for space or water heat, or (more likely) for process heat in industrial plants. We incorporated 10 and 40 MW combustion turbines into the industrial sector CHP initiative that we evaluated. • "Micro" Turbines: Micro-turbines (MT) are self-contained CHP devices that are new on the market. These units, the size of a large household refrigerator (in the 30 101 kW size) produce heat and electricity using a high-speed but very reliable miniature turbine coupled to a generator. These units, recently commercialized, will be available in size classes other than 30 kW soon, but only the 30 kW units are included in our analysis. The types of CHP systems included in the commercial/institutional and industrial sector WRAP energy efficiency analyses are as follows: • Commercial CHP: CHP measures in the commercial sector included 30 kW MT units, 100 kW IC units, and 800 kW IC units, with some of the units displacing grid electricity and heat from electric resistance boilers or water heaters ("Comml/Instit. CHP, 30 kW MT repl. Elect. WH", "Comml/Instit. CHP, 100 kW IC repl. Elect. WH", and "Comml/Instit. CHP, 800 kW IC repl. Elect. WH"), and other units displacing grid electricity and heat from gas- fired boilers or water heaters ("Comml/Instit. CHP, 30 kW MT repl. Gas WH", "Comml/Instit. CHP, 100 kW IC repl. Gas WH", and "Comml/Instit. CHP, 800 kW IC repl. Gas Blr.") • Industrial CHP: For the industrial sector, our estimate included 800 and 3000 kW IC units, and 10 and 40 MW CT units. All co-generated heat from these units was assumed to displace gas- fired boilers or process heating equipment ("Industrial CHP, 800 kW IC repl. Gas Blr.", "Industrial CHP, 3000 kW IC repl. Gas Blr.", "Industrial CHP, 10 MW CT repl. Gas Blr.", and "Industrial CHP, 40 MW CT repl. Gas Blr.") 102 APPENDIX D SUMMARY OF U.S. DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY – STATE EFFICIENCY PROGRAMS 103 WRAP states operate a variety of programs and projects to reduce energy use and increase energy efficiency. These programs vary widely from state to state based on a state’s energy priorities and available funding. Below is a list of programs assembled by the WRAP Air Pollution Prevention Forum in 2001. DOE – State Energy Program FY99 ENERGY EFFICIENCY PROJECTS ARIZONA Energy Efficiency Information and Outreach Codes and Standards State Buildings Financing State Buildings Technical Assistance Residential Buildings Financing Residential Buildings Technical Assistance Commercial Buildings Financing Commercial Buildings Technical Assistance CALIFORNIA Provides information to teachers, students and general public. ($86,052) Provides technical assistance to city and county employees. COLORADO Provides information to Provides information to teachers, students, and the general public general public. ($377,640) Comprehensive educa- Promotes energy efficient tion/training/awareness building practices through program for al l build- ing delivery of education and types. ($2,651,474) technical training to local jurisdictions. Consolidating efforts to promote voluntary energy efficiency building programs. ($451,634) Opportunities for Funding available to local No matching grants for and state buildings to building improvements. retrofit their buildings Offers technical Offers technical Establish a computer assistance on energy assistance and energy information infrastructure management and audits. ($1,263,840) to help easily access demonstrates utility billing information technologies. in state buildings. ($210,000) ($80,396) No Offers weatherization to A Youth Energy Program low and middle income offers limited families. weatherization to low income families. ($159,199) Provides information on Provides audits and Promotes the how to lower residential general education to all Homebuilders of CO energy costs when buying residents. green building program. a new home. Low interest loans for Loans to small business No energy efficiency projects and nonprofits for energy to building owners. retrofits. ($1,599,076) ($800,000) Provides general Technical assistance to Provides general information. commercial building information. owners. 104 Institutional (Schools No and Hospitals) Loans and technical No assistance to schools and hospitals. ($219,192) No Assess, advocate and act through partnerships to improve energy systems that will promote a strong economy and healthy environment. ($598,378) Industrial Agriculture No Rebuild America No HERS (Home Energy Rating System) No FEMP (Federal Energy Increases awareness of Management Program) energy programs to federal agencies. APPLIANCES No DEMONSTRATION No PROJECTS 105 Disseminate information on harvesting and processing technologies for small diameter wood materials from forest thinning operations, and other energy efficient technologies. ($67,137) Promotes efficient use of No energy resources among CA food and fiber industry. ($565,000) Developing regional Increases awareness and partnerships and in-crease implementation of awareness of achieving performance contracting economic benefits to achieve energy through energy efficiency efficiency in buildings. projects. ($523,320) Supports Colorado’s No Home Energy Rating system. No No Provides user-friendly No appliance information to all sectors. No Demonstration project for electric consumers, particularly homeowners and small businesses to show that fuels cells are a promising emerging technology. ($170,000) Project to demonstrate the viability of using wetlands in CO to treat wastewater. ($162,581) ENERGY EFFICIENCY PROGRAMS Energy Efficiency Information and Outreach Codes and Standards State Buildings Financing IDAHO MONTANA Provides information and education to all energy consumers. ($79,902) Helps promote voluntary standards. Provides information and education to all energy consumers. ($41,487) Helps improve overall building practice for residential and commercial buildings by education and training on MT’s codes. ($70,212) Identify code changes and other building expenses to help lower the cost of home building. ($92,344) Offers an alternative financing program with repayments made by energy savings. (A portion of $2,117,448) The State offers a bond financing program. State Buildings Identify and recommend Technical Assistance energy efficient measures through training and technical assistance. Offers technical assistance to govt agencies in developing energy efficient improvement projects and help with obtaining bond financing. ($114,132) Raise awareness of energy issues in waste water facilities. ($27,946) No Residential Buildings - Offers an alternative Financing financing program with repayments made by energy savings. (A portion of $2,117,448) Residential Buildings - Identify and recommend Promotes energy efficient Technical Assistance energy efficient measures manufactured homes. through training and ($15,082) technical assistance. 106 NEVADA Commercial Buildings - Offers an alternative Financing financing program with repayments made by energy savings. (A portion of $2,117,448) Commercial Buildings - Identify and recommend Technical Assistance energy efficient measures through training and technical assistance. Institutional (Schools Offers an alternative and Hospitals) financing program with repayments made by energy savings. (A portion of $2,117,448) Industrial Offers an alternative financing program with repayments made by energy savings. (A portion of $2,117,448) Agriculture Offers technical knowledge and awareness on irrigation and crop management issues. ($299,442) Rebuild America Developing regional partnerships and increase awareness of achieving economic benefits through energy efficiency projects. HERS (Home Energy Offers training and Rating System) assistance to promote certified energy-efficient homes. FEMP (Federal Energy Management Program) No APPLIANCES No 107 No Provides general information. Eligible for the State Bond Financing Program. Help industry accelerate deployment of energy efficient technologies. No No No No No ENERGY EFFICIENCY PROGRAMS NEW MEXICO Energy Efficiency Information and Outreach NORTH DAKOTA Provides information and Provides information and education to the general education to teachers and public. ($8,061) students and also the general public. ($156,240) Codes and Standards No Promotes energy standards and offers energy efficient construction workshops and seminars to home builders. ($70,000) OREGON Provides information and education to the general public. Improvements for residential and nonresidential building codes are identified and recommended based on market readiness. ($425,000) State Buildings No No Helps implement and Financing fund energy savings improvements. ($108,000) State Buildings – Detailed utility bill Offers audits and Technical assistance in Technical Assistance analysis, energy and technical assistance to all finding cost effective, water management plans state buildings. energy saving developed, and training ($480,000) improvements. and technical assistance Promotes the incorpora- ($289,879) are provided. ($540, 980) tion of energy efficient technologies with energy service company resources. ($3,500) Residential Buildings - No No No Financing Residential Buildings - Provides general Collaborates with all Works with utilities to Technical Assistance information. groups dealing with provide information and housing to require that all education to residential low income housing be customers. more energy efficient. ($150,000) Commercial Buildings - No No No Financing Commercial Buildings – Provides general Assists in integrated Provides general Technical Assistance information. building design, low-cost information. energy efficiency strategies, and informed building siting. ($5000) 108 Institutional (Schools Reviews all plans and and Hospitals) specifications for school building projects to ensure compliance with NM’s School Energy Performance Standard. ($51,307) Industrial Agriculture Rebuild America Promotes the incorpora- No tion of energy efficient technologies with energy service company resources. ($3,500) Offer matching grants for energy retrofits. ($200,000) Distribute the Best A workshop to identify Increase awareness Practices Pollution and implement cost-effect through workshops, Prevention Manual to the energy improve- ments in showcases and technical oil and gas industry. the oil and gas fields. assistance. ($600,000) ($119,460) ($10,000) No Conduct site specific workshops on farming and reduced tillage, irrigation, and grain drying. ($13,000) No Develop partnerships to improve energy savings, job creation, growth promotion. ($210,000) Develop partnerships to improve energy savings, job creation, growth promotion and environment protection. No Develop action plan and energy efficiency programs with Rebuild partners. ($170,000) Assist Federal agencies with energy efficiency and renewable energy efforts. No No HERS (Home Energy No Rating System) FEMP (Federal Energy No Management Program) APPLIANCES No 109 No Offers tax credits for premium efficient appliances. ENERGY EFFICIENCY PROGRAMS UTAH Energy Efficiency Information and Outreach WASHINGTON Provides information and Provides a comprehenseducation to the general ive range of education, public. ($180,000) training and technical assistance to all sectors. WYOMING Provides a comprehensive range of education, informational materials to schools on energy efficiency. ($19,700) Codes and Standards Promotes building codes Overall code review and No and standards that adoption of the 2000 incorporate the latest Energy and energy efficiency Mechanical/Ventilation technologies. ($50,000) Codes. Design training tools for the codes. ($100,000) State Buildings No No Makes available a pool of Financing money to purchase small energy saving devices. ($10,000) State Buildings – Offers technical Offers technical Encourages and promotes Technical Assistance assistance. assistance for energy energy efficiency management. programs in all state buildings. ($5,000) Residential Buildings - No No NO Financing Residential Buildings - Provides technical Provides general Provides general Technical Assistance assistance on energy information. information efficient home building techniques. ($16,000) Commercial Buildings - No No No Financing Commercial Buildings – Provides market alliance Provides general Provides general Technical Assistance programs, technical information. information. assistance and training and complete program evaluation to owners. ($70,000) Institutional (Schools Comprehensive energy No No and Hospitals) efficiency program in the schools that includes training teachers, distribution of materials and promoting energy efficiency. ($82,000) 110 Industrial Agriculture Helps industry improve their competitiveness by improving their energy efficiency, materials utilization and productivity. ($200,000) Promotes combined heat Provides accurate data on and power(CHP) for a electric motor efficiencies stable and cost-effective to industrial users and means of meeting their purchasers. ($15,000) own electrical and thermal requirements Promotes energy while becoming more efficiency in the forest efficient. Also offer products industry. assistance to all industries ($133,500) to help streamline their operations. ($270,599) No No Rebuild America No Promotes performance An aggressive campaign Developing a school contracting for all to encourage school Energy Design guide and buildings. ( $50,000) districts to adopt an provide ismplementation Partners with local school energy management assistance to select WY district to implement a program. ($180,000) counties. ($58,992) comprehensive mode energy awareness program. ($50,000) HERS (Home Energy In conjunction with 2 Pilot a HERS program for No Rating System) other states, implement new and existing HUD the adoption of MEC. code manufactured ($248,500) housing Wash. State FEMP (Federal Energy Develop a partnership to Offers information on No Management Program) coordinate and implement resource reduction and energy efficiency in Natl work with utilities to offer Parks. ($150,000) additional programs to federal facilities. APPLIANCES No No No 111