2012 annual report - FloridaDisaster.org
Transcription
2012 annual report - FloridaDisaster.org
FLORIDA HURRICANE LOSS MITIGATION PROGRAM 2012 ANNUAL REPORT January 1, 2013 Prepared by Florida Division of Emergency Management Rick Scott Governor Bryan W. Koon Director Table of Contents Executive Summary Page 2 Introduction Page 4 Program Activities and Accounting Page 6 January 1, 2012 – June 30, 2012 Program Activities and Accounting Page 13 July 1, 2012 – December 31, 2012 Observations and Recommendation Page 19 Appendix A Page 20 Tallahassee Community College 2010-2011 Annual Report Mobile Home Tie-Down Program Appendix B Page 24 Florida International University Annual Report Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program – Annual Report 2012 Page 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY This document satisfies subsection 215.559 (7) F.S., requirements to provide a report accounting for activities undertaken through the Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program. The time period covered by this report is January 1, 2012 through December 31, 2012. Therefore, the reporting period includes the second half of State Fiscal Year 2012, and the first half of State Fiscal Year 2013. Based on Section 215.559 (1) F. S., the Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program is established in the Division of Emergency Management. The Division receives an annual appropriation of $10 million from the investment income of the Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund authorized under the Florida General Appropriation Act and Section 215.555 (7) (c) F. S. The Public Shelter Retrofit Program, Tallahassee Community College’s Mobile Home Tie Down Program, Florida International University’s Hurricane Research Program and the Building Code Compliance and Mitigation program account for $7,425,000.00 or seventy-four percent of the $10 million appropriation. The remaining $2,575,000.00 is used to fund wind mitigation retrofits, outreach programs to Florida Homeowners and local governments, statutorily created Advisory Council and funding for mitigation staff’s salary and benefits. In compliance with the appropriation language for State Fiscal Years 2012 and 2013 theses funds were distributed as required. The Shelter Retrofit Program and Tallahassee Community College’s Mobile Home Tie Down Program have separate reporting requirements as stated in section 252.385 F.S., and section 215.559 (2) (a) F. S., respectively. A separate report from Florida International University is also required. A copy of TCC’s and FIU’s report is attached. Program Activities - January 1, 2012 – June 30, 2012 A. Residential Construction Mitigation Program (RCMP) - The RCMP was created by the Division within the Bureau of Mitigation and manages the remaining $2,575,000 from the original appropriation of $10 million. RCMP concentrates on wind mitigation retrofits and outreach programs to Florida homeowners and local government officials and its respective staff. A Notice of Funding Availability (NOFA) was issued in May 2011 in anticipation of the State Fiscal (SFY) 2012 $10 million appropriation as required by Section 215.555 (7) (c) F. S. A review panel appointed by the Division selected appropriate eligible projects. Based on this evaluation process the Division contracted with fourteen (14) grant recipients to conduct wind mitigation retrofits to homes in the Cities of Tamarac, Delray Beach, North Lauderdale, Jacksonville, Town of Davie and in the Counties of Manatee, Hardee, St. Lucie, Escambia, Santa Rosa, Pinellas and Broward. The total contract award amount for wind mitigation retrofits was $1,672,200.41. At the conclusion of State Fiscal Year 2012, a total of $1,432,503.79 or eighty-six percent of the remaining $2,575,000.00 was expended for wind mitigation projects. Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program – Annual Report 2012 Page 2 The Division also issued a Request For Proposals in May 2011 for outreach projects. The submitted proposals were competitively evaluated. The Division awarded contracts to all five entities that submitted a total of seven proposals to conduct outreach programs to Florida homeowners and local governments. These organizations include Florida State University, Florida Home Builders Association, Florida’s Foundation, Florida Association of Counties and the City of North Lauderdale. The outreach programs include retrofit education to homeowners, local government officials and staff through building code training, online residential retrofit materials, and training of contractors for retrofit installation procedures. The total contract award amount for outreach projects was $740,240.39. A total of $740,240.39 was awarded for outreach projects and at the conclusion of State Fiscal Year 2012, a total amount of $687 ,939.30 was expended. Therefore, ninety-three percent of the total award amount was utilized for public outreach projects. B. Florida International University (FIU)- As required by Chapter 215.559 (3), F. S., FIU was allocated $700,000 from the annual appropriation to the Division for the Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program. Five major efforts were completed by the International Hurricane Research Center team for State Fiscal Year 2012. The subject areas were: a) Development of Hurricane Resilient Composite Structural Insulated Wall Systems for Residential Buildings; b) Computational Evaluation of Wind Load on Residential Buildings with Regular and Complex Roof Shapes; c)Estimation of Surface Roughness Using Airborne LiDAR Data; d) Reducing Losses From Extreme Hydro-meteorological Events, Insights From a Survey of Florida Households; and e) Education and Outreach Programs to Convey the Benefits of Various Hurricane Loss Mitigation Devises and Techniques. The total funds expended by FIU for hurricane research as of June 30, 2012 is $597,920.66. Therefore, 85 percent of the $700,000 allocated amount was expended. Program Activities - July 1, 2012 – December 31, 2012 A. Residential Construction Mitigation Program (RCMP) - The RCMP concentrates on wind mitigation retrofits and outreach programs to Florida homeowners and local government officials and its staff. Request For Proposals were issued in May 2012 to solicit proposals for wind mitigation retrofits and implementation of various outreach programs. An evaluation committee was appointed by the Division to evaluate the submitted proposals and a total of fourteen projects were awarded to local governments, state agencies, and non-profit organizations. The Division awarded ten contracts, in the amount of $1,404,317.00, for wind mitigation retrofits and four contracts, in the amount of $372,572.00, for outreach. The ten contracts awarded for wind mitigation retrofits include: City of Cocoa, City of Melbourne, Rebuild Northwest Florida, Bay County, Town of Davie, City of Tamarac, Hardee County, Community Action Program Committee, St. Lucie County, and Town of Century. The four entities awarded contracts for outreach programs are; Florida’s Foundation, Florida Home Builders Association, Florida Funding Agency, and the Florida Association of Counties. Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program – Annual Report 2012 Page 3 B. Florida International University (FIU) - As required by Chapter 215.559 (3), F. S., FIU was allocated $700,000 from the annual appropriation to the Division for the Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program. The Division is currently working with FIU to identify projects for use of the SFY 2013 funds. INTRODUCTION In the aftermath of Hurricane Andrew, the Florida Legislature created a series of programs to stabilize the economy and insurance industry. These programs consist of the following: A. Citizens Property Insurance Corporation (formed from a merger of the Florida Windstorm Underwriting Association and the Florida Residential Property and Casualty Joint Underwriting Association), the state insurance plan for residents unable to obtain a conventional homeowners insurance policy; B. The Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund, section 215.555 F.S., a re-insurance fund established to limit insurance exposure after a storm; and C. The Bill Williams Residential Safety and Preparedness Act, which in 1999 created the Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program, section 215.559 F. S., with an annual appropriation of $10 million. Based on Section 215.559 (1) F. S., the Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program is established in the Division of Emergency Management. The Division receives an annual appropriation of $10 million from the investment income of the Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund authorized under the Florida General Appropriation Act and Section 215.555 (7) (c) F. S. The purpose of the $10 million annual appropriation is to provide funding to local governments, State agencies, public and private educational institutions, and nonprofit organizations to support programs that improve hurricane preparedness, reduce potential losses in the event of a hurricane, and to provide research and education on how to reduce hurricane losses. The funds are also to be used for programs that will assist the public in determining the appropriateness of particular upgrades to structures and in the financing of such upgrades, or to protect local infrastructure from potential damage from a hurricane. Section 215.559 F.S., establishes minimum funding levels for specific program areas and creates an Advisory Council to make recommendations on developing programs. Specific Program Areas and Funding Levels A. Shelter Retrofits - According to Section 215.559 (2) (a) F. S., $3 million of the annual $10 million appropriation for the Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program is directed to retrofit existing public facilities to enable them to be used as public shelters. An annual report of the state’s shelter retrofit program, entitled the Shelter Retrofit Report, is prepared annually and separately submitted to the Governor and the Legislature pursuant Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program – Annual Report 2012 Page 4 to section 252.385 F.S. The remaining $7 million of the $10 million appropriation is allocated according to different subsections in Section 215.559, F. S., as described below. B. Tallahassee Community College (TCC) - As required by section 215.559 (2) (a) F. S., TCC is given an annual allocation of $2.8 million or 40 percent of the remaining $7 million. The funds are administered by TCC and are to be used to mitigate future losses for mobile homes, and to provide tie-downs to mobile home in communities throughout the State of Florida. Please see Appendix A for TCC’s 2011-2012 Annual Report. C. Florida International University (FIU) - As required by Chapter 215.559 (3), F. S., FIU is allocated $700,000, or 10 percent of the remaining $7 million. The funds are administered by FIU and dedicated to hurricane research at the Type I Center of the State University System to support hurricane loss reduction devices and techniques. Please see Appendix B for FIU’s Annual report. D. Building Code Compliance and Mitigation - The State of Florida General Appropriations Act for SFY 2012 and SFY 2013 provide for a special allocation of $925,000 from the Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program to fund the Building Code Compliance and Mitigation program pursuant to Section 553.841, F. S. The purpose of this allocation is to provide training and continuing education classes for Florida contractors. This training is provided through the Florida Building Commission. E. Residential Construction Mitigation Program (RCMP) - The RCMP was created by the Division within the Bureau of Mitigation and manages the remaining $2,575,000 from the original appropriation of $10 million. In consultation with an Advisory Council created under section 215.559 (4) F. S., the remaining funds are used by the RCMP for funding residential wind mitigation retrofit projects and public outreach programs to Florida homeowners and local governments. 1. Wind Mitigation Retrofit Program - RCMP’s residential wind mitigation retrofit projects are accomplished in partnership with local governments and nonprofit organizations to fund inspections, wind mitigation retrofits and the construction or modification of building components designed to increase a structure’s ability to withstand hurricane-force winds. 2. Outreach Programs - RCMP’s outreach programs are designed to educate and inform Florida homeowners and local government officials and their staff regarding ways to minimize the impact of hurricane force winds on their property. The program develops and utilizes Division owned and approved material regarding wind mitigation retrofit techniques and training for local governments. This material includes public service announcements, community workshops, brochures, training seminars, hands-on demonstrations, and webinars. The RCMP program continues to consider and review additional outreach approaches and development to improve program content and delivery. Constant interaction with grant recipients, homeowners and program contractors help to identify areas for improvement. The Division awards contracts through a competitive process to Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program – Annual Report 2012 Page 5 have eligible entities deliver and develop material designed to meet the needs of Florida homeowners and local government officials. ANNUAL REPORT REQUIREMENTS Subsection 215.559 (7), F.S., requires the Division on January 1st of each year to provide the Speaker of the House of Representatives, the President of the Senate, and the Majority and Minority Leaders of the House of Representatives and the Senate with an annual report on programs implemented under the Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program. The time period covered by this report is January 1, 2012 through December 31, 2012. Therefore, the reporting period includes the second half of State Fiscal Year 2012, and the first half of State Fiscal Year 2013. According to the referenced section above, the annual report must include: 1) a full report of program activities, an accounting of program activities, and an evaluation of these activities. Specific Program Activities and Accounting - January 1, 2012 – June 30, 2012 A. Shelter Retrofits - An annual report of the state’s shelter retrofit program, entitled the Shelter Retrofit Report, is prepared annually and separately submitted to the Governor and the Legislature pursuant to section 252.385 F.S. B. Tallahassee Community College - At the conclusion of State Fiscal Year 2012, TCC provided tie-Downs and retrofitted over 1,770 manufactured homes in thirteen mobile home communities within the following eight counties: Hillsborough, Pinellas, Polk, Highlands, Martin, St. Lucie, Suwannee and Sarasota. A full report of these program actives are provided in Appendix D, The 2011-2012, TCC, Annual Report for the Mobile Home Tie Down Program. C. Florida International University - At the conclusion of State Fiscal Year 2012 FIU expended $597,920.66 for hurricane research. Therefore, 85 percent of the $700,000 allocated amount was expended. Five major efforts were completed as identified by the International Hurricane Research Center team for State Fiscal Year 2012. Please see Appendix B for FIU’s Annual Report. The subject areas identified by FIU for SFY 2012 and a short summary of conclusions are as follows: 1. Development of Hurricane Resilient Composite Structural Insulated Wall Systems for Residential Buildings: The main purposes of a building envelope are to protect occupants from ambient and extreme weather conditions, to regulate environmental loads for building operation, and to provide safe, comfortable and stable indoor conditions. The objective of this research was to evaluate the performance of two different building envelope systems under simulated environmental loads generated by the 12-fan Wall of Wind at Florida International University (FIU). The experimental results indicate that the thermal bridging effect can cause significant heat loss/gain through the building Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program – Annual Report 2012 Page 6 envelopes. In addition, thermal performance of building enclosure system in different types of weather conditions (e.g., wind driven rain) could be different and needs to be considered in the development of alternative building envelope solutions. The data collected through this project will be useful in the advancement of technological solutions of building envelope systems towards achieving net-zero energy buildings. 2. Computational Evaluation of Wind Load on Residential Buildings with Regular and Complex Roof Shapes: Wind induced loads are one of the most critical design parameters for coastal construction, especially in Florida, where buildings are subjected to the highest wind loads of the nation. The present study attempts to evaluate wind loads on both common and complex roofs using a numerical approach based on the technique of Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) principles. The focus is on residential single family house roofs, which incur the most damages during hurricane events. Both in-house computer programs and commercial software were used in the study. The models with complex roof shapes showed mixed pressure distribution on the roof (positive and negative pressure) as opposed the regularly shaped models where separation and reattachment location are clearly known. On both roof models, high suction pressures were observed on areas close to the windward edge and near the middle ridge. The highest magnitude roof suction pressures were observed in the corner areas close to the edges for both roof types. On the hip roof model, the highest suction pressure was observed when the wind came from diagonal directions, while the highest suction pressures on the gable roof model was observed when the wind comes perpendicular to the short dimension. 3. Estimation of Surface Roughness Using Airborne LiDAR Data: Surface roughness is an important modeling parameter for determining impacts of hurricane wind on buildings. The Florida Division of Emergency Management (DEM) collected LiDAR data for coastal areas in Florida in 2007. IHRC researchers developed methods (1) to extract terrains, buildings, trees from LiDAR measurements, (2) to compute the surface roughness using extracted terrains, buildings, and trees based on five surface roughness models, and (3) compare the surface roughness values from LiDAR with those from the national land cover datasets created based on Land sat imagery. The application of the methods on two test sites in Miami shows that the algorithms classified terrain, buildings, and trees successfully with minor errors. The comparison of LiDAR derived roughness lengths with the NLCD based roughness length indicates that two types of roughness values agree reasonably. 4. Reducing Losses From Extreme Hydro-meteorological Events: Insights From a Survey of Florida Households: This research focused on risk perceptions and mitigation behavior among a diverse sample of households from across the State of Florida. Researchers investigated how households perceive the annual threat of property damage from hurricanes, particularly from major Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program – Annual Report 2012 Page 7 hurricanes (Category 3, 4, and 5); projections of more destructive hurricanes due to climate change; institutional accountability overall and institutional effectiveness at disaster risk reduction. Researchers then explored households’ preferences for an array of mitigation measures and insurance reforms to enhance coastal resilience, in addition to a households’ willingness to invest in a menu of realistic, low and higher cost roofing and opening protection options. An analysis of 1,710 survey responses from households across the State of Florida revealed the following core findings: a) A large majority of households (69%) support the creation of the proposed ‘Florida Pre-Disaster Mitigation Fund’, to sponsor an expansion of predisaster mitigation programs (with additional state funding above and beyond federal dollars) b) A large majority of households (76%) are highly supportive of increasing setbacks along Florida’s shoreline to enhance coastal resilience. c) A large majority of households (70%) are highly supportive of strengthening Florida building codes to enhance coastal resilience. d) A large majority of households (72%) are highly supportive of new elevation standards for Florida’s roads and buildings to enhance coastal resilience. e) Only 42 % of households are highly supportive of continued State surcharges and assessments to pay for hurricane losses after-the fact. f) A large majority of households (73%) are highly supportive of a comprehensive insurance program (combined flood and wind insurance program). FIU’s findings suggest avenues for potential risk reduction strategies that can be implemented by federal, state, and local agencies, including county and municipal governments in vulnerable coastal communities. Additional findings can be viewed in the full report. 5. Education and Outreach Programs to Convey the Benefits of Various Hurricane Loss Mitigation Devices and Techniques: This work promoted hurricane-loss mitigation and the objectives of the RCMP and included the following: a) Hurricane Mitigation & Hurricane Andrew 20th Anniversary Museum Exhibition: The Miami Science Museum assisted International Hurricane Research Center (IHRC) in developing and coordinating a new gallery of hands-on, interactive exhibits and displays. The exhibits and displays focus on the science and benefits of hurricane mitigation, preparedness, hurricane forecasting and tracking and promoting a "culture of Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program – Annual Report 2012 Page 8 preparedness" for all natural hazards. This collaborative community education outreach project partners the IHRC with the FDEM, MiamiDade County Emergency Management, the Miami Science Museum, including collaboration with the National Hurricane Center, NOAA’s Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory (AOML) and the Miami Office of the National Weather Service. b) Hurricane Science, Mitigation & Preparedness Day (Feel the Force): The IHRC and the Miami Science Museum partnered with Miami-Dade County Emergency Management to develop, plan, coordinate and facilitate Hurricane Science, Mitigation & Preparedness Day (Feel the Force) at the Museum. Close to 2,000 people attended this public education event that showcased hurricane science, mitigation, preparedness and safety and IHRC Wall of Wind research and demonstrations. c) National Hurricane Survival Initiative: The IHRC collaborated with the National Hurricane Survival Initiative (http://hurricanesafety.org/) and their annual hurricane preparedness program, “Get Ready, America! The National Hurricane Survival Test.” The 2012 version of the program looked back on the devastation wrought by Hurricane Andrew in 1992, the lessons learned since then, and what you need to know and do to stay safe before, during and after hurricane season. This year’s broadcast participation was the largest one ever, with 60 television network affiliate stations from Texas to Maine. d) Hurricane Andrew 20th Anniversary Event at the Miami Science Museum: The Miami Science Museum assisted IHRC in planning this special community event to commemorate the 20-year anniversary of Hurricane Andrew’s landfall. Panel discussions occurred throughout the day with high profile Andrew experts and the new Hurricane Andrew exhibit was highlighted. e) Hurricane Andrew 20th Anniversary Event and Grand Opening of the 12Fan Wall of Wind: IHRC partnered with Miami-Dade County Emergency Management, the National Hurricane Center, NOAA’s Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory (AOML), the Miami Office of the National Weather Service and the City of Homestead in planning this official South Florida community event to commemorate the 20-year anniversary of Hurricane Andrew’s landfall. f) Wall of Wind Neighborhood Open House: IHRC reached out to the local FIU South Florida Community and invited local residents and families to come and learn about the importance of hurricane mitigation and wind engineering research through presentations, activities and tours and demonstrations of the new 12-Fan Wall of Wind. Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program – Annual Report 2012 Page 9 D. Building Code Compliance and Mitigation - The purpose of this program is to provide training and continuing education classes for Florida contractors. The original contract for this work was entered into by the Florida Department of Community Affairs and Building A Safer Florida, Inc. However, the contract has been amended and is now between the Florida Department of Business and Professional Regulation and Building a Safer Florida, Inc. Section 553.841(3), F. S., requires all services and materials Code Compliance and Mitigation Program be provided corporation under contract with the Florida Department of Regulation (DBPR). Therefore, DBPR with the assistance managing the contract and processing of invoices. under the Florida Building by a private, non-profit Business and Professional of the Division has been The total amount of funds expended for Building Code Compliance and Mitigation as of June 30, 2012 was $826,843.15. Therefore, 89.39 percent of the allocated $925,000 amount was expended. E. Residential Construction Mitigation Program (RCMP) 1. Wind Mitigation Retrofits - As stated, in the Division’s 2011 Annual Report, in anticipation of the annual $10 million appropriation for State Fiscal year 2012 a Notice of Funding Availability (NOFA) was issued in May 2011. The NOFA was issued prior to the start of the State Fiscal Year 2012 in an effort to allow the full twelve months for project implementation. A review panel appointed by the Division selected appropriate eligible projects. The selection process was competitive and projects were ranked based on published scoring criteria. A Benefit-Cost analysis was performed on each retrofit project to assure that RCMP funds were well-spent. Based on this evaluation process the Division contracted with fourteen grant recipients to complete wind mitigation retrofits for homes located across Florida. Over the second half of State Fiscal Year 2012, the Division monitored the progress of the individual wind mitigation retrofit projects and processed invoices as submitted. Site visits were conducted and guidance was provided to the recipients regarding contract compliance and specific wind mitigation requirements. At the conclusion of the fiscal year, Division engineers inspected each property to ensure that work was completed as required. The fourteen grant recipients that were awarded wind mitigation retrofit contracts for State Fiscal Year 2012 are shown below. The contract award amounts and total expenditures as of June 30, 2012 are presented for each recipient. The total contract award amount for wind mitigation retrofits was $1,672,200.41. At the conclusion of State Fiscal Year 2012, a total of $1,432,503.79 was expended. Therefore, eighty-six percent of the award was utilized for residential wind mitigation retrofits projects. Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program – Annual Report 2012 Page 10 a) Retrofit Southwest Florida – This grant retrofitted nine homes within Collier County. Contract Award: $150,000 Total Expenditure: $150,000.00 b) City of Tamarac - This grant retrofitted five homes within Tamarac. Contract Award: $150,000 Total Expenditure: $67,770.00 c) City of Delray Beach - This grant retrofitted eighteen homes within Palm Beach County. Contract Award: $150,000 Total Expenditure: $145,136.71 d) City of North Lauderdale – This grant retrofitted eleven single family homes within the City of North Lauderdale. Contract Award: $150,000 Total Expenditure: $96,029.66 e) Manatee County - This grant retrofitted thirteen single family homes within Manatee County. Contract Award: $150,000 Total Expenditure: $149,999.78 f) City of Jacksonville - This grant retrofitted six homes within Duval County. Contract Award: $75,000 Total Expenditure: $26,000.00 g) Homes for Independence - This grant retrofitted twenty-five single family homes within Pinellas County. Contract Award: $149,750 Total Expenditure: $132,477.58 h) Town of Century - This grant retrofitted ten single family homes within Escambia County. Contract Award: $100,000 Total Expenditure: $100,000.00 i) Hardee County - This grant retrofitted twelve single family homes within Hardee County. Contract Award: $150,000 Total Expenditure: $144,238.88 j) Archways, Inc. - This grant retrofitted four existing structures occupied by clients possessing chronic, persistent, and severe mental illness within Broward County. Contract Award: $128,760.41 Total Expenditure: $123,817.63 k) St. Lucie County - This grant retrofitted seven homes within St. Lucie County. Contract Award: $100,000 Total Expenditure: $98,697.80 Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program – Annual Report 2012 Page 11 l) Rebuild NW Florida - This grant retrofitted fifty family homes within Escambia & Santa Rosa Counties. Contract Award: $150,000 Total Expenditure: $149,444.50 m) United Cerebral Palsy of NW Florida - This grant retrofitted five homes within Escambia County. Contract Award: $35,737 Total Expenditure: $28,545.50 n) ARC Gateway, Inc. - This grant retrofitted six existing structures occupied by physically handicapped individuals within Escambia County. The activity directly targets the needs of those persons will special needs or perhaps limited resources such as the elderly, disabled or language isolated individuals. Contract Award: $32,953 Total Expenditure: $20,345.75 2. RCMP Outreach - The Division issued seven contracts with five separate entities to conduct outreach programs to Florida homeowners and local governments regarding wind mitigation across the state. These organizations provided wind mitigation retrofit education to homeowners, local government officials and staff through building code training, online residential retrofit materials, and training of contractors for retrofit installation procedures. The total contract award amount for outreach programs was $740,240.39. At the conclusion of State Fiscal Year 2012, a total of $687,939.30 was expended. Therefore, ninety-three percent of the award was utilized for public outreach programs. The seven grants awarded outreach contracts for State Fiscal Year 2012 are shown below. The contract award amounts and total expenditures as of June 30, 2012, are presented for each recipient. a) City of North Lauderdale - produced a tri-fold brochure and held small group workshops to educate residents about the need for residential wind mitigation. The brochure included tips and resources that residents could use to perform mitigation activities themselves or hire contractors to do the work. Contract Award: $45,000.00 Total Expenditure: $19,265.61 b) Florida State University - Outreach to local governments and professionals in insurance, banking and real estate with tools for promoting wind mitigation. Contract Award: $130,000.00 Total Expenditure: $103,433.30 c) Florida Home Builders Association - Develop and conduct 18-20 workshops around the state for homeowners, demonstrating mitigation techniques. Contract Award: $125,025.00 Total Expenditure: $125,025.00 Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program – Annual Report 2012 Page 12 d) Florida Home Builders Association - Develop and conduct seven (7) 7hour training events for construction industry around the state. Contract Award: $139,890.00 Total Expenditure: $139,890.00 e) Florida’s Foundation - Develop and conduct twenty (20) workshops around the state for homeowners, teaching wind mitigation techniques. Contract Award: $76,112.00 Total Expenditures: $76,112.00 f) Florida’s Foundation - Develop and conduct wind mitigation training at five (5) events to reach local government staff and officials. Contract Award: $51,764.00 Total Expenditures: $51,764.00 g) Florida Association of Counties - Develop a course for local governmental officials that incorporate all aspects of wind mitigation and offer this five (5) times to local government across the state. Contract Award: $172,449.39 Total Expenditure: $172,449.39 Specific Program Activities and Accounting - July 1, 2012 – December 31, 2012 A. Shelter Retrofits - According to Section 215.559 (2) (a) F. S., $3 million of the annual $10 million appropriation for the Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program was directed to retrofit existing public facilities to enable them to be used as public shelters. An annual report of the state’s shelter retrofit program, entitled the Shelter Retrofit Report, is prepared annually and separately submitted to the Governor and the Legislature pursuant to section 252.385 F.S. B. Tallahassee Community College - As required by Section 215.559 (1) (b) F. S., $2,800,000 was statutorily allocated to continue the Mobile Home Tie-Down Retrofit Program, which is administered by the Tallahassee Community College (TCC). Based on legislative direction the Division of Emergency Management provided this funding directly to Tallahassee Community College. C. Florida International University - As required by Chapter 215.559 (3), F. S., FIU is allocated $700,000 from the annual appropriation to the Division for the Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program. Seven major efforts have been identified by the International Hurricane Research Center team for RCMP FY 12-13 funding in the areas of structural mitigation analysis, socioeconomic research and data dissemination to stakeholders and education/outreach: Full-Scale Testing to Evaluate Code Prescriptive Design Wind Load and Attachment Provisions for Hip, Ridge, and Eave Roof Tiles: Roof coverings are the most hurricane vulnerable components of the building envelope system. Post storm reports indicated that failure of tiled roofs during hurricane, in most cases, started either from hip, ridge or eave tiles. This type of failure could be attributed to misrepresentation of design wind load for those roof regions and/or inadequacy of code and standard provisions for hip, ridge and Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program – Annual Report 2012 Page 13 eave tiles attachments. The proposed project will investigate the causes of hip, ridge, and eave tiles failure at high wind speed. The objectives of the project are: 1. Evaluate the wind induced load on hip, ridge, and eave tiles as prescribed in codes for given building models; 2. Measure the uplift forces and pressures on those tiles using full-scale testing at the newly built 12-fan Wall of Wind (WOW) facility at FIU; 3. Evaluation of the adequacy of code prescribed design wind load estimations for hip, ridge, and eave tiles as they are located in flow separation and vortex regions; 4. Assessment of uplift resistance capacity of code prescriptive hip, ridge and eave tiles attachment details under static load application; 5. High wind speed performance assessment of code prescriptive attachments for hip, ridge and eave tiles under dynamic load induced by turbulent wind; and 6. Quarterly Reports and a Final Technical Report will be submitted covering in detail the project results and findings. Wind-induced Loads and Damage Mitigation Techniques on Florida Sunrooms The proposed research project will examine the wind-induced loading on sunrooms attached to low-rise buildings. Current wind standards and building codes of practice do not provide sufficient guidelines on the design of sunrooms. A detailed parametric experimental study will provide valuable information on the wind-induced load applied on sunrooms. The acquired data will capture the effect of more complex wind flow on both surfaces of the sunroom roof and will evaluate the net wind load. Most importantly, the findings will be codified for future inclusion in wind standards and building codes of practice and will be utilized to mitigate damage and develop retrofitting techniques for sunrooms. The following deliverables have been established for this effort: 1. Detailed wind-induced pressure and force scheme on sunroom; 2. Design guidelines for future inclusion in State and National wind standards; 3. Evaluation of structural performance of current sunroom; 4. Damage mitigation and retrofitting techniques for sunroom; and 5. Quarterly Reports and a Final Technical Report will be submitted covering in detail the project results and findings. Wind Uplift of Roof Tiles, Shingles and Pavers - Roofing materials do not have a good record of resilience against hurricane force winds. In hurricane winds materials such tiles, shingles, and roof pavers or gravel ballast are frequently ripped off. The building itself then becomes Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program – Annual Report 2012 Page 14 vulnerable to additional damage through water infiltration and changes in internal pressure. These weaknesses have caused considerable damage in the various tropical systems that have affected the State of Florida. Building codes and standards specify roof wind pressures for a few typical roof geometries but existing code provisions do not define well how to apply such pressures roofing elements such as tiles, shingles, and pavers. The objective of this work would be to develop guidance in code format for the design of roof shingles, tiles and pavers of various sizes against hurricane wind forces. The results would also be applicable to the design of green roofs where the earth and plant material are typically installed in pallets of various dimensions. The benefit would be reduced damage to roofs, reduced losses due to the consequent water infiltration and reduced damage to buildings in general through reduction of the quantity of wind-borne debris. In the long term the knowledge developed would also assist manufacturers and suppliers of roofing systems to make their products more resilient. Deliverables for this effort include: 1. Report on literature review on uplift pressures on tiles, shingles and pavers; 2. Report on development and comparison of theoretical model with existing data on net uplifts; 3. Report on Wall Of Wind test on pavers; and 4. Quarterly Reports and a Final Technical Report, including effectiveness of interlock and strapping systems, preliminary guidelines for design against uplift. Estimation of Surface Roughness Using Terrestrial LiDAR Measurements The major damage from a hurricane to communities in the State of Florida is caused by high wind and storm surges. Buildings, trees, and terrains, and the spatial arrangement of these objects can greatly influence the turbulence structure of hurricane wind near the land surface. High-resolution measurements of the terrain and surface roughness determined by the arrangement of land surface objects are essential to understand and quantify the hurricane damage to built structures and to create new hurricane resistant products. In order to accurately estimate the surface roughness, large scale data on geometric shapes of buildings, trees, and terrains are needed. We propose (1) to collect tree and building data at sample sites for various types of land cover in South Florida using the terrestrial LiDAR system, and (2) to develop the methods to extract buildings, trees, terrains from LiDAR measurements at these sites and to estimate surface roughness parameters. Surface roughness models created from this research will be used to determine hurricane wind interaction with various types of communities, especially in urban settings. The deliverables of this project include: 1. Terrestrial LiDAR measurements for the selected areas in South Florida; 2. Methods to extract the terrain, buildings, and trees from terrestrial LiDAR measurements; 3. Estimated surface roughness at the selected areas; and Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program – Annual Report 2012 Page 15 4. Quarterly reports and a final technical report will be submitted to cover the details of the project. Investigating Socio-economic Impacts of a Recent Hurricane and Understanding Perceptions of Coastal Vulnerability The most recent hurricane (Hurricane Sandy, 2012) devastated the Northeast region and still many residents are suffering in the New York and New Jersey areas. Against this backdrop, researchers propose to conduct a household survey to understand the socio-economic impacts of Hurricane Sandy and resident’s preferences for hurricane risk mitigation. The survey data collected through this project will allow us to estimate economic impacts of the recent hurricane. Given that Florida has a significant number of populations living in coastal areas, the analysis from this project will be very useful for planning purposes. For example, the analysis will be able to provide insights how much total damages will be caused if a similar hurricane passes through large urban areas in Florida (e.g. Miami). The social science research question addressed here is novel, policy relevant and will provide useful inputs for planning purposes to the State of Florida. The information will be useful to both academic community and decision-makers who are working in addressing these challenges. Deliverables for this effort will include: 1. Summary of related research; 2. Details of survey design and the implementation of survey instrument; 3. Data analyses of survey responses; and 4. Results and findings of the survey and policy implications. Education and Outreach Programs to Convey the Benefits of Various Hurricane Loss Mitigation Devices and Techniques – For the 2012-13 performance period, the following educational partnerships, community events, and outreach programs will be developed: 1. Wall of Wind Mitigation Challenge (WOW! Challenge): Teams comprised of South Florida high school students will brainstorm innovative mitigation concepts within a well-defined problem scope developed with IHRC academia. These concepts will then be tested at the IHRC as part of a contest competition. The student research will focus on developing hurricane mitigation techniques that will lead to human safety, property loss reduction, insurance cost reduction, and a "culture of preparedness" for natural disasters. This educational activity will also increase student awareness in education and careers in area related to hurricane mitigation. South Florida media and distinguished hurricane experts will be invited to attend and participate in the competition, allowing for the opportunity for IHRC to showcase its research projects and the Wall of Wind. 2. Museum Exhibit: A new interactive exhibit at the Miami Science Museum will be developed and focused on hurricane science and mitigation. This new exhibit will be an addition to the existing hurricane mitigation exhibition and provide an Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program – Annual Report 2012 Page 16 opportunity for the IHRC to promote its hurricane mitigation research to the community. This collaborative community education outreach project will partner the International Hurricane Research Center with the Miami Science Museum. 3. Hurricane Science, Mitigation & Preparedness Day (Feel the Force) - A consultant will assist the IHRC in planning, coordinating and facilitating this public education event at the Miami Science Museum. The event will showcase special hands-on, interactive activities and demonstrations teaching hurricane science, mitigation, preparedness and safety. This will include special learning activities for parents and children, providing family fun throughout the day. South Florida media and various distinguished hurricane experts will participate as guest speakers. This collaborative community education outreach project will partner the International Hurricane Research Center with the Florida Division of Emergency Management, Miami-Dade County Emergency Management, the Miami Science Museum, including collaboration with the National Hurricane Center and the Miami Office of the National Weather Service. 4. National Hurricane Survival Initiative: A consultant will assist IHRC in collaborating with the National Hurricane Survival Initiative and their annual hurricane preparedness campaign for 2013. 5. Mitigation Event: This special event will help to focus policymakers and business interests on the need for mitigation and promoting the benefits. The product of this event should culminate in a three to five bullet point agenda to promote mitigation as part of solving Florida’s insurance crisis and bring these ideas to the forefront of the upcoming legislative session. This collaborative community education outreach project will partner the International Hurricane Research Center with the Florida Office of Consumer Advocate, and include collaboration with the hurricane mitigation community. D. Building Code Compliance and Mitigation - The State of Florida General Appropriations Act for State Fiscal Year 2013 provided for a special allocation of $925,000 from the Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program to fund the Building Code Compliance and Mitigation program pursuant to Section 553.841, F. S. The purpose of this allocation is to provide training and continuing education classes for Florida contractors. E. Residential Construction Mitigation Program (RCMP) - The RCMP concentrates on wind mitigation retrofits and outreach programs to Florida homeowners and local government officials and its respective staff. 1. Wind Mitigation Retrofits - In anticipation of the annual appropriation for State Fiscal year 2013, the Division issued a Request For Proposals (RFP) in May of 2012. The RFP was issued prior to the start of the State Fiscal Year 2013 in an effort to allow the full twelve months for project implementation. An evaluation committee was appointed by the Division to evaluate submitted proposals solicited through the RFP process as established by the State of Florida. Funds were awarded to local governments, and non-profit organizations for wind mitigation retrofit projects. The total contract Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program – Annual Report 2012 Page 17 award amount for wind mitigation retrofit projects was $1,404,317.00. The ten grant recipients that were awarded wind mitigation retrofit contracts for State Fiscal Year 2013 are as follows: a) City of Cocoa Florida – Housing Rehabilitation and Mitigation Improvement Project. Contract Award: $150,000.00 b) City of Melbourne – Melbourne Residential Retrofit Program 2012-2013. Contract Award: $150,000.00 c) Rebuild Northwest Florida – Residential Wind Retrofit Escambia and Santa Rosa Counties. Contract Award: $150,000.00 d) Bay County – Salvation Army Rental Housing systemic Wind Retrofit. Contract Award: $149.939.00 e) Town of Davie – Pre-Disaster Hardening/Mitigation Residential Program. Contract Award: $150,000.00 f) City of Tamarac – Residential Retrofit Program Contract Award: $100,000.00 g) Hardee County – Residential Wind Retrofit Project II Contract Award: $150,000.00 h) Community Action Program Committee – Ready, Set, Blow Residential Retrofit. Contract Award: $150,000.00 i) St. Lucie County – St. Lucie County Housing Mitigation and Preparedness Program Contract Amount: $150,000.00 j) Town of Century – Century Residential Retrofit Program Contract Award: $104,378.00 2. Outreach Programs - RCMP’s outreach programs are designed for the Florida homeowner and local government officials and their staff. The Division contracted with four entities to update and conduct outreach programs to Florida homeowners and local governments regarding wind mitigation retrofits across the state. These organizations provided retrofit education to homeowners and local government officials and staff through seminars, do it yourself presentations for retrofit installation procedures, building code awareness, online residential retrofit materials, and training of local government Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program – Annual Report 2012 Page 18 officials and its staff regarding mitigation grant programs. The four awarded contracts for State Fiscal Year 2013 are as follows: entities are a) Florida Home Builders – Residential Mitigation For Florida Homeowners. Contract Award: $130,000.00 b) Florida’s Foundation – Make Mitigation Happen, Florida Homeowner Contract Award: $100,200.00 c) Florida PACE Funding Agency – Local Government Outreach Contract Award: $142,372.00 d) Florida Association of Counties – Wind Mitigation Training for County Officials. Contract Award: 108,000.00 OBSERVATIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS It is essential that the Division continue to work with Florida homeowners, local governments, non-profit organizations and state agencies to reduce the risk of hurricane losses. Research must continue to development stronger wind mitigation measures to protect the citizens of Florida and its current and future housing stock. Therefore, the following recommendations are made: Observations and Recommendations Observation - The Division, grant recipients, and contractors are continually under a confined time constraint for awarding and expending the appropriated funds within one fiscal year. Project solicitation, awarding, contracting, sub-contracting, actual mitigation retrofits, and project closeout must be completed by the end of each fiscal year. This condensed time frame does not allow the Division or its participants sufficient time to take full advantage of the funding provided. The Division has moved the issuance of the procurement documents into May of the preceding fiscal year appropriation and moved to shorten its contract approval process. This approach has helped but more time is needed to complete the cycle for wind mitigation retrofits and outreach programs. Recommendation – Extend the funding and budget authority for the annual appropriation for up to two years. This would allow the Division’s contracts to start upon full execution and have a period of performance that would expire at the end of the second fiscal year. Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program – Annual Report 2012 Page 19 Appendix A 2011-2012 ANNUAL REPORT TALLAHASSEE COMMUNITY COLLEGE MOBILE HOME TIE DOWN PROGRAM The program continues to grow as mobile home communities across Florida apply for the program. Successful programs were completed in 13 mobile home communities across eight (8) different Florida counties. Due to the economic constraints of the time, this was the first year the program was responsible for removal and reinstallation of skirting on the individual homes. Over one thousand seven hundred and seventy (1770) homes participated in the program to date. Community nominations were again solicited throughout the previous fiscal years’ database and from newly submitted nominations and letters of intent to be accepted into the program. Tallahassee Community College and the Program Contractor, Windstorm Mitigation, Inc. responded to over 500 parks and communities throughout the State. Due to the program absorbing the cost of the skirting, Tallahassee Community College reviewed all past parks that had been rejected to be sure the opportunity with the new guidelines was available to every interested park. Tallahassee Community College contacted the Federation of Mobile Homeowners (FMO) and Florida Manufactured Housing Association (FMHA) for any additional parks or communities that may have an interest in the tie down program. Parks and communities were contacted and a listing of over 2,000 parks and communities was updated for future use. Each interested park was instructed to complete a Community Interest Verification Sheet (attached). After phone contact with management and/or homeowners association representatives, visual inspections via photos, websites and Google Earth these communities were evaluated to determine the eligibility of a park for rating. The following criteria were used when a park was chosen to be rated: • • • • Interview with management and/or homeowners association representatives; Soil compaction tests throughout the community; Visual inspections of all homes within the community; Intake training for the homeowners association representatives. The following communities participated in the tie down program: • • • • • • • Tampa East, Hillsborough County, 21 homes Tarpon Glen, Pinellas County, 82 homes; Pinellas Cascades, Pinellas County, 161 homes; Swiss Village, Polk County, 242 homes; Whispering Pines, Highlands County, 45 homes; Pinelake Village, Martin County, 194 homes; Lake Highlander, Pinellas County, 176 homes; Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program – Annual Report 2012 Page 20 • • • • • • Lakeside Ranch, Polk County, 150 homes; Golden Crest, Pinellas, 95 homes; Spanish Lakes Golf Village, St. Lucie County, 266 homes; Royal Oaks, Polk County, 47 homes; Wayne Frier Mobile Home Park, Suwannee County, 103 homes; and Camelot Lakes, Sarasota County, 188 homes. For each park accepted into the program, homeowner’s meetings were offered. The program was explained in detail and representative/s from Tallahassee Community College and/or Windstorm Mitigation, Inc. remained until every question was answered. As always, an integral part of these meetings were segments on resident safety and educating the homeowners to follow all instructions from their local emergency management officials during weather related events. Please refer any questions relating to this report or the Program in general to: Amy Bajoczky Tallahassee Community College 444 Appleyard Drive Tallahassee, Florida 32304 850/201-8025 Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program – Annual Report 2012 Page 21 TIE- DOWN PROGRAM The State of Florida has allocated grant money through a contract with Tallahassee Community College to implement the Manufactured Home Tie-Down Enhancement Program. This program involves the enhancement of the tie-down and anchoring system of your home. The program does not intend to bring existing mobile homes up to code but to make the home as wind resistant as funding, physical characteristics and condition of premises permit. Please note: Each home worked on may receive differing quantities of new equipment depending on size, condition and physical characteristics. This program is at NO COST to you. Skirting removal and re-installation on eligible homes is now being offered with the Program. All fees paid to the contractor are paid directly by Tallahassee Community College through a grant from the state. The additional tie-down and anchoring systems could help minimize damage to the mobile home arising from windstorms, tornadoes or hurricanes. Eligibility to receive inspections and tie-down services is limited to the following: 1. A 60% mandatory participation rate is required and each manufactured home must be located within the boundaries of the mobile home community. 2. The manufactured home must be built and installed prior to September 1999. 3. The minimum height requirement for the manufactured home shall be at least 15” inches from the ground to the sidewall of the home. 4. The homeowner must properly complete and sign the AUTHORIZATION-TOPROCEED FORM. 5. Skirting removal and re-installation on eligible homes is included in the Program. All skirting must be easily removable and able to be re-installed with minimal effort. Repair or replacement of any skirting will be the sole responsibility of the homeowner. Please note: Windstorm Mitigation Inc. reserves the right not to remove and re-install any skirting which does not meet Program requirements. Tallahassee Community College and the State of Florida are not responsible for the removal and re-installtion of the skirting. 6. The homeowner shall be responsible for the preparing and cleanup of the home site for the enhancement project. Preparation may include removal and replacement of shrubbery, furniture under carports and within screen rooms, etc. 7. To nominate your community for this program please send a letter of interest stating the name, address of your community along with contact information to: Tallahassee Community College Attn: Amy Bajoczky 444 Appleyard Drive Tallahassee, Florida 32304-2895 [email protected] Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program – Annual Report 2012 Page 22 2012-2013 Tie-Down Enhancement Program Community Interest Verification Date: Community: Contact: Address: County: Telephone: Email: Please consider this a letter of interest for the Tie-Down Enhancement Program, Here are the answers to the following questions. 1. Yes or No - Is your Community interested in qualifying for the Tie-Down Enhancement Program? If yes, continue with questions. 2. Yes or No - If chosen to participate, will the owner(s) of the community allow the Program access to the property? 3. Yes or No – Does your Community/HOA have the ability to organize and acquire the 60% of eligible homes needed to participate in the Program? 4. How many homes are in your Community? 5. How many homes in the Community are vacant, up for sale or not occupied? 6. What year was your Community established? 7. What percentage of homes were installed before 1999? % 8. What is the approximate height from the ground to the bottom of home (sidewall)? Please measure. 9. What type of skirting is on the homes? vinyl, stack, block. metal, slats, mortared, block, lattice, vinyl, siding to ground 10. Yes or No - Is the skirting easily removable? Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program – Annual Report 2012 Page 23 Appendix B FIU Annual Report Hurricane Loss Mitigation Program – Annual Report 2012 Page 24 A Resource for the State of Florida HURRICANE LOSS REDUCTION FOR HOUSING IN FLORIDA FINAL REPORT For the Period March 30, 2012 to July 31, 2012 A Research Project Funded by: The State of Florida Division of Emergency Management Through Contract #12RC-5S-11-23-22-369 Prepared by The International Hurricane Research Center (IHRC) Florida International University (FIU) August 1, 2012 Final Report Table of Contents Executive Summary Section 1 Development of Hurricane Resilient Composite Structural Insulated Wall Systems for Residential Buildings (PI: Dr. Arindam Gan Chowdhury, Co-PI: Dr. Nakin Suksawang) Section 2 Computational Evaluation of Wind Load on Residential Roofs with Complex Shape (PI: Dr. Girma Bitsuamlak, Co-PI: Dr. Amir Mirmiran) Section 3 Investigating Household Perceptions of Coastal Vulnerability and Preferences for Risk Mitigation (PI: Pallab Mozumder) Section 4 Estimation of Surface Roughness Using Airborne LiDAR Data (PI: Keqi Zhang) Section 5 Education and Outreach Programs to Convey the Benefits of Various Hurricane Loss Mitigation Devises and Techniques (PI: Erik Salna) Section 6 Section 1 2 Section 1 Executive Summary Five major efforts were identified by the International Hurricane Research Center (IHRC) for the Residential Construction Mitigation Program (RCMP) Fiscal Year 2011-2012 funding in the areas of structural mitigation analysis, socioeconomic research, data dissemination to stakeholders and education and outreach: Development of Hurricane Resilient Composite Structural Insulated Wall Systems for Residential Buildings (PI: Arindam Gan Chowdhury): The main purposes of a building envelope are to protect occupants from ambient and extreme weather conditions, to regulate environmental loads for building operation, and to provide safe, comfortable and stable indoor conditions. Holistic experimental approaches for evaluating the performance of building envelope systems continue to facilitate the process of choosing the best building envelope material and construction method for a given application. The experimental approach presented in this study focused on integrating a hygrothermal performance study (the performance under heat, air, and moisture transfer) with the natural or environmental forcing functions (solar radiation, wind, and wind-driven rain). The objective of this research was to evaluate the performance of two different building envelope systems under simulated environmental loads generated by the 12-fan Wall of Wind at Florida International University (FIU). The experimental results indicate that the thermal bridging effect can cause significant heat loss/gain through the building envelopes. In addition, thermal performance of building enclosure system in different types of weather conditions (e.g., wind-driven rain) could be different and needs to be considered in the development of alternative building envelope solutions. The data collected through this project will be useful in the advancement of technological solutions of building envelope systems towards achieving net-zero energy buildings. Computational Evaluation of Wind Load on Residential Buildings with Regular and Complex Roof Shapes (PI: Girma T. Bitsuamlak) - Wind induced loads are one of the most critical design parameters for coastal construction, especially in Florida, where buildings are subjected to the highest wind loads of the nation. ASCE 7 2005/2010 provides wind loads for the design of Main Wind Force Resisting System (MWFRS), as well as Cladding and Components of buildings. These provisions cover buildings with common shapes, such as buildings with Flat, Gable, Hip, and Mono-slope roofs, under simple surrounding conditions. For complex roofs, and surrounding conditions the code refers the practitioner to perform physical modeling in a Boundary Layer Wind Tunnel (BLWT). Although these tests are viable for high-rise buildings and other large complex projects, they may not be cost effective for residential houses. As a result, there is a gap in the wind load information for the construction of low-rise buildings with complex roofs. Section 1 3 The present study attempts to evaluate wind loads on both common and complex roofs using a numerical approach based on the technique of Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) principles. The focus is on residential single family house roofs, which incur the most damages during hurricane events. Both in-house computer programs and commercial software were used in the study. The models with complex roof shapes showed mixed pressure distribution on the roof (positive and negative pressure) as opposed the regularly shaped models where separation and reattachment location are clearly known. On both roof models, high suction pressures were observed on areas close to the windward edge and near the middle ridge. The highest magnitude roof suction pressures were observed in the corner areas close to the edges for both roof types. On the hip roof model, the highest suction pressure was observed when the wind came from diagonal directions, while the highest suction pressures on the gable roof model was observed when the wind comes perpendicular to the short dimension. Estimation of Surface Roughness Using Airborne LiDAR Data (PI: Keqi Zhang) - Surface roughness is an important modeling parameter for determining impacts of hurricane wind on buildings. Remote sensing technology provides an effective way to estimate the surface roughness in a large area. However, traditional optical remote sensing imagery does not provide heights data of terrains, buildings, and trees required for the calculation of surface roughness. Airborne LiDAR remote sensing overcome the disadvantage of the optical remote sensing by providing direct measurements horizontal coordinates and vertical elevations of the objects on the Earth surface. The Florida Division of Emergency Management (DEM) collected LiDAR data for coastal areas in Florida in 2007. IHRC researchers developed methods (1) to extract terrains, buildings, trees from LiDAR measurements, (2) to compute the surface roughness using extracted terrains, buildings, and trees based on five surface roughness models, and (3) compare the surface roughness values from LiDAR with those from the national land cover datasets created based on Landsat imagery. The application of the methods on two test sites in Miami shows that the algorithms classified terrain, buildings, and trees successfully with minor errors. The comparison of LiDAR derived roughness lengths with the NLCD based roughness length indicates that two types of roughness values agree reasonably. Reducing Losses From Extreme Hydro-meteorological Events: Insights From a Survey of Florida Households (PI: Pallab Mozumder) - With over $2.5 trillion of insured coastal exposure, including over $1.25 trillion in residential exposure, situated in the heart of the Atlantic Hurricane Basin, the State of Florida ranks as one of the most vulnerable places to natural disaster losses in the world. This research focused on risk perceptions and mitigation behavior among a diverse sample of households from across the State of Florida. Researchers investigated how households perceive the annual threat of property damage from hurricanes, particularly from major hurricanes (Category 3, 4, and 5); projections of more destructive hurricanes due to climate change; institutional accountability overall and institutional effectiveness at disaster risk reduction. Researchers then explored households’ preferences for Section 1 4 an array of mitigation measures and insurance reforms to enhance coastal resilience, in addition to a households’ willingness to invest in a menu of realistic, low and higher cost roofing and opening protection options. A database of contact information for over 400,000 households who had applied to the My Safe Florida Home (MSFH) Program beginning in 2007 was acquired from the State of Florida. A random sample of 40,000 households, whose email addresses were available, was selected for the survey study. Analysis of 1,710 survey responses from households across the State of Florida revealed the following core findings: A large majority of households (69%) support the creation of the proposed ‘Florida Pre-Disaster Mitigation Fund’, to sponsor an expansion of pre-disaster mitigation programs (with additional state funding above and beyond federal dollars) A large majority of households (76%) are highly supportive of increasing setbacks along Florida’s shoreline to enhance coastal resilience. A large majority of households (70%) are highly supportive of strengthening Florida building codes to enhance coastal resilience. A large majority of households (72%) are highly supportive of new elevation standards for Florida’s roads and buildings to enhance coastal resilience. Only 42 % of households are highly supportive of continued State surcharges and assessments to pay for hurricane losses after-the fact. A large majority of households (73%) are highly supportive of a comprehensive insurance program (combined flood and wind insurance program). Our findings suggest avenues for potential risk reduction strategies that can be implemented by federal, state, and local agencies, including county and municipal governments in vulnerable coastal communities. Additional findings can be viewed in the full report. Education and Outreach Programs to Convey the Benefits of Various Hurricane Loss Mitigation Devises and Techniques (PI: Erik Salna) – IHRC staff developed and coordinated educational partnerships, community events, and outreach programs. This work promoted hurricane-loss mitigation and the objectives of the RCMP and included the following: Hurricane Mitigation & Hurricane Andrew 20th Anniversary Museum Exhibition: The Miami Science Museum assisted IHRC in developing and coordinating a new gallery of hands-on, Section 1 5 interactive exhibits and displays. The exhibits and displays focus on the science and benefits of hurricane mitigation, preparedness, hurricane forecasting and tracking and promoting a "culture of preparedness" for all natural hazards. This collaborative community education outreach project partners the IHRC with the Florida DEM, Miami-Dade County Emergency Management, the Miami Science Museum, including collaboration with the National Hurricane Center, NOAA’s Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory (AOML) and the Miami Office of the National Weather Service. Hurricane Science, Mitigation & Preparedness Day (Feel the Force): The IHRC and the Miami Science Museum partnered with Miami-Dade County Emergency Management to develop, plan, coordinate and facilitate Hurricane Science, Mitigation & Preparedness Day (Feel the Force) at the Museum. Close to 2,000 people attended this public education event that showcased hurricane science, mitigation, preparedness and safety and IHRC Wall of Wind research and demonstrations. National Hurricane Survival Initiative: The IHRC collaborated with the National Hurricane Survival Initiative (http://hurricanesafety.org/) and their annual hurricane preparedness program, “Get Ready, America! The National Hurricane Survival Test.” The 2012 version of the program looked back on the devastation wrought by Hurricane Andrew in 1992, the lessons learned since then, and what you need to know and do to stay safe before, during and after hurricane season. This year’s broadcast participation was the largest one ever, with 60 television network affiliate stations from Texas to Maine. Hurricane Andrew 20th Anniversary Event at the Miami Science Museum: The Miami Science Museum assisted IHRC in planning this special community event to commemorate the 20-year anniversary of Hurricane Andrew’s landfall. Panel discussions will occur throughout the day with high profile Andrew experts and the new Hurricane Andrew exhibit will be highlighted. Hurricane Andrew 20th Anniversary Event and Grand Opening of the 12-Fan Wall of Wind: IHRC has partnered with Miami-Dade County Emergency Management, the National Hurricane Center, NOAA’s Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory (AOML), the Miami Office of the National Weather Service and the City of Homestead in planning this official South Florida community event to commemorate the 20-year anniversary of Hurricane Andrew’s landfall. Wall of Wind Neighborhood Open House: IHRC reached out to the local FIU South Florida Community and invited local residents and families to come and learn about the importance of hurricane mitigation and wind engineering research through presentations, activities and tours and demonstrations of the new 12-Fan Wall of Wind. Section 1 6 2012 IHRC Project Research Team Principal Investigator Principal Researchers: Arindam Gan Chowdhury Nakin Suksawang Amir Mirmiran Cheng-Xian (Charlie) Lin Girma Bitsuamlak Erik Salna Pallab Mozumder Keqi Zhang FIU FIU FIU FIU FIU FIU FIU FIU/IHRC Wind Engineering Civil Engineering Civil Engineering Civil Engineering Wind Engineering IHRC Sociology Research Associates and Assistants Thomas Baheru FIU Ramtin Kargarmoakhar FIU Agerneh K. Dagnew FIU Edward Ledesma FIU Workamaw Warsido FIU Maryam Asghari Mooneghi FIU FIU Christian A. Vidal Kristofer Shretha FIU Jie Huang FIU Yuepeng Li FIU Huiqing Lui FIU Evan Flugman FIU Civil Engineering Civil Engineering Civil Engineering Civil Engineering Civil Engineering Civil Engineering Civil Engineering GeoScience IHRC IHRC IHRC Sociology Administrative & Laboratory Staff Walter Conklin FIU James Erwin FIU Roy Liu Marques FIU Donya Bernard FIU IHRC IHRC IHRC IHRC Section 1 7 A Resource for the State of Florida HURRICANE LOSS REDUCTION FOR HOUSING IN FLORIDA FINAL REPORT For the Period March 30, 2012 to July 31, 2012 SECTION 2 Development of Hurricane Resilient Composite Structural Insulated Wall Systems for Residential Buildings A Research Project Funded by: The State of Florida Division of Emergency Management Through Contract #12RC-5S-11-23-22-369 Prepared by Dr. Arindam Gan Chowdhury and Dr. Nakin Suksawang The International Hurricane Research Center (IHRC) Florida International University (FIU) August 1, 2012 Development of Hurricane Resilient Composite Structural Insulated Wall Systems for Residential Buildings Prepared By: Thomas Baheru (PhD Student) Ramtin Kargarmoakhar (PhD Student) Investigators: PI: Arindam Gan Chowdhury, PhD, Assistant Professor Co-PIs: Nakin Suksawang, PhD, Assistant Professor Amir Mirmiran, PhD, P.E., Professor Cheng-Xian (Charlie) Lin, PhD, Associate Professor Research Scientists: James Erwin Roy Liu Marques Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering Florida International University In Partnership with The International Hurricane Research Center (IHRC) Florida International University (FIU) July 2012 Table of Contents 1. Introduction ..................................................................................................................... 1 2. Research Objectives ........................................................................................................ 5 3. Conduction ...................................................................................................................... 8 3.1. Introduction .............................................................................................................. 8 3.2. Test Setup .............................................................................................................. 11 3.3. Test Result and Discussion .................................................................................... 16 3.3.1. Infrared thermography .................................................................................... 16 3.3.2. Surface heat flux/ temperature measurements ................................................ 19 4. Convection .................................................................................................................... 31 4.1. Introduction ............................................................................................................ 31 4.2. Test Setup .............................................................................................................. 35 4.2.1. Instrumentation ............................................................................................... 38 4.2.2. Test protocol ................................................................................................... 40 4.3. Test Result and Discussion .................................................................................... 41 5. Conclusions ................................................................................................................... 55 6. Future Studies ............................................................................................................... 58 References Executive Summary Building envelope systems play a key role in the design phase of energy-efficient buildings. The main purposes of a building envelope are to protect occupants from ambient and extreme weather conditions, to regulate environmental loads for building operation, and to provide safe, comfortable and stable indoor conditions. Thus, the design of building envelope systems involves many considerations. The proper selection and design of a building envelope system should carry the notion of sustainability by fulfilling the following four aspects: (1) resiliency: maintaining integrity in extreme events such as hurricanes and recovering from these events with minimal effort, (2) durability: having an extended service life and maintaining function with minimum need for maintenance and repair, (3) energy efficiency: conserving non-renewable energy and profiting from renewable energy during the building service life, and (4) cost effectiveness. Holistic experimental approaches for evaluating the performance of building envelope systems continue to facilitate the process of choosing the best building envelope material and construction method for a given application. The experimental approach presented in this study focused on integrating a hygrothermal performance study (the performance under heat, air, and moisture transfer) with the natural or environmental forcing functions (solar radiation, wind, and wind-driven rain). The objective of this research was to evaluate the performance of two different building envelope systems under simulated environmental loads generated by the 12-fan Wall of Wind at Florida International University (FIU). The experimental result indicates that the thermal bridging effect can cause significant heat loss/gain through the building envelopes. In addition, thermal performance of building enclosure system in different types of weather conditions (e.g., wind-driven rain) could be different and needs to be considered in the development of alternative building envelope solutions. The data collected through this project will be useful in the advancement of technological solutions of building envelope systems towards achieving netzero energy buildings. Section 2 1 1. Introduction Building envelope systems are designed to fulfill the requirements of protecting building occupants from natural disasters and to satisfy daily comfort demands with minimal use of energy. These two functional requirements involve the determination of building envelope performance under extreme and normal weather conditions. While safety-enhancing advancements to building envelope systems have been achieved to reduce the risks from recurring extreme weather conditions and/or natural disasters, such as tropical storms and hurricanes, the technological advancement of building envelope systems to balance the high energy demand under normal operating weather conditions has shown little development. In recent decades, building energy demand has increased significantly, prompting the need for an alternative building envelope system that can withstand hurricane wind loads and simultaneously provide economical solutions to reduce daily energy consumption. The energy efficiency of a building is highly dependent on the building’s envelope system. The building envelope plays a major role in protecting occupants from ambient and extreme weather conditions, regulating environmental loads for normal building operation, and providing a safe, comfortable and stable indoor condition for occupants. Proper selection of building envelope systems for sustainability is achieved by fulfilling the following four criteria: (1) resiliency: maintaining the integrity in extreme events such as hurricanes and recovering from these events with minimal effort, (2) durability: having an extended service life and maintaining functionality with minimal need for maintenance and repair, (3) energy efficiency: conserving non-renewable energy and profiting from renewable energy during the building’s service life, and (4) cost effectiveness. A well-chosen and well-designed building envelope system is an effective means to reduce a building’s space heating/cooling loads, thereby improving energy-efficiency. The architectural and physical properties of a given building are the most important parameters that influence energy consumption, and these include the building’s thermal mass, structural material and shape. Building energy consumption is also greatly affected by local climate. The combined effect of Section 2 2 these factors will impact the heat transfer and temperature distribution through building materials and assemblies. Heat transfer and building temperature distribution are important for assessing energy use, thermal movements, durability, and the potential for moisture problems. Three primary mechanisms of heat transfer are: i. Conduction – the flow of heat through a material by direct molecular contact; contact occurs within a material or through two materials in contact. ii. Convection – the transfer of heat by the movement or flow of molecules (liquid or gas) with a change in their heat content. iii. Radiation – the transfer of heat by electromagnetic waves through a gas or vacuum; all objects above absolute zero (zero degree Kelvin or Rankine) radiate heat energy. Building envelopes are generally exposed to solar short wave radiation and sky long wave radiation; however, for the building enclosure the net radiation heat transfer is of interest. Building enclosures have all three types of heat transfer mechanisms interacting between the exterior and interior environments. Conduction occurs in the solid section of the building envelop and is mainly dependent on the material conductivity. Convection occurs between the surface of the enclosure and environment, and it depends on the wind velocity, the wind direction with respect to the building, and the building envelope’s roughness. Building surfaces also have a heat interaction with surrounding objects through radiation. The surface color and temperature of the building surface, as well as surrounding objects, are among the most important governing factors on the quantity of heat exchange. To measure the conductive thermal performance and behavior of building and construction materials, Rvalue (thermal resistance) ratings are commonly used. This parameter shows the ratio of the temperature difference across the surfaces of an object and the heat flux through it. The R-value is a measure of how well an insulation product resists the flow of heat or cold. The R-value depends on the type of insulation, including the material, thickness, and density. Higher R-values indicate greater insulating effectiveness of Section 2 3 a given material. Thus, one way to improve the thermal performance of the building envelop is to choose materials with high thermal resistances (i.e., a higher R-values), which would lower the heat conduction. It is noted that when calculating the total R-value of a multilayered wall, all R-values of the individual layers must be added. Thermal properties of building enclosure materials have been studied by different researchers, and different methods were proposed for finding thermal characteristics of various building materials (Balocco et al. 2008; Cucumo et al. 2006; Evola et al. 2011). According to the literature, there is a considerable discrepancy between the practical R-value of in situ building envelopes and the R-value that is determined by laboratory measurement (Peng and Wu 2008). The thermal resistance of the wall determined in the field might present a significant deviation from the resistance determined from the test model. This deviation is due not only to the inevitable differences among supplies of the same material made at different time periods, but also to the inevitable differences in the conditions of wall construction (Laurenti et al. 2004). Due to current initiatives to improve and maximize energy efficiency, the need for convergence between a building’s predicted and actual energy consumption has proven to be an essential factor in the design and construction processes. Therefore, this deviation demonstrates the importance of measuring a material’s thermal resistance in the real operating conditions, which, in most cases, results in lower R-values than predicted in the laboratory. It is well documented that ambient thermal losses from a building surface or a roof mounted solar collector represent an important portion of the overall energy balance and depend heavily on the windinduced convection (Palyvos 2008). Convective heat transfer from the building enclosure surface is the second mechanism of heat transfer. The convective heat transfer coefficient (CHTC) is the value used in modeling the heat loss from the building enclosure surface to the ambient environment and is commonly shown by h. According to the literature, improper use of CHTC can easily cause 20–40% errors in energy demand calculations. However, the correct value for this parameter is not very well documented (Emmel and Mendes 2005). Building envelope convection is influenced by a number of factors, such as wind Section 2 4 velocity, wind direction, flow regime, building surface roughness, and temperature differences between the external surface and ambient air. A better understanding of the convection on the external surface of a building can provide a more accurate estimation of the heat load on the building. But the complex relationship between building envelope convection and critical wind parameters makes it difficult to accurately measure the convective heat transfer coefficients (CHTCs) on the external surface of any building, and is subject to measurements under environmental conditions that cannot be controlled or repeated. The current study considers the effect of the first two heat transfer mechanisms on the thermal performance of two different types of construction techniques:1) a traditional 2x4 stick frame building with vinyl siding and 2) an innovative structural insulated panel (SIP) envelope. The heat transfer study for these two building envelope systems was broken into two phases: i. The first phase considered the conduction portion of the heat transfer and determined the thermal resistance for the two building envelope systems. This section focused on experimental measurements on building walls involving thermal bridges caused by structural components. ii. The second phase sought to establish a comprehensive and quantitative prediction basis for the convective heat transfer coefficient (CHTC) for building envelopes. A series of experiments were performed simulating different environmental conditions. Multi-point measurements of surface heat balance led to a distribution of the CHTC on an actual building envelope. 2. Research Objectives The goal of this project was to investigate the thermal performance for two types of building enclosure systems under simulated weather conditions. The research focused on evaluating the thermal performance to minimize the cooling and heating load of residential buildings, which typically accounts for 80% of the total home energy demand. The impact of the thermal bridging effect on the overall thermal performance of the building enclosure was studied by comparing the thermal conductivity of the Section 2 5 clear wall sections versus the sections with thermal bridging effects. Also the effect of wind direction, velocity, and envelope materials on the (CHTC) distribution on the building enclosure was considered. This knowledge will lay the foundation to mitigate adverse effects of thermal bridging and wind on the thermal performance of envelope systems. The specific objectives of the project were: Holistic testing of selected full-scale building envelope systems to evaluate impacts of thermal bridging on the overall performance of the building enclosure. This specifically concerns the quantitative evaluation of heat losses by thermal bridges. Measuring the thermal resistance for two common types of buildings in-situ. Results of this study were compared with laboratory test results to indicate the effects of testing conditions on the thermal resistance. Performing full-scale CHTC measurements on the walls and roof of two large-scale building models, and comparing the results under different simulated environmental conditions. Simulated environmental parameters included wind direction, wind speed, rain and sun. Studying different types of building envelop materials to obtain the effects of the surface roughness and color on the overall convection at the building surface. Also, roof results will be compared with wall results to demonstrate the effects of orientation of building envelope subsystems (roof vs. walls) on the convection. Evaluating the total effect due to all of the heat transfer mechanisms from the building envelope. This will provide insight to the comparative effects of conduction, convection and radiation mechanisms on the heat loss from the enclosure. To achieve these goals, the scope of work for this project consisted of the following tasks: i. Construction of full-scale building models incorporated with selected building envelope systems. Section 2 6 ii. Conducting performance-based testing of select full-scale building envelope systems under ambient environmental conditions, and using the 12-fan Wall of Wind (WoW) facility to simulate the external wind conditions. iii. Using infrared (IR) photography to demonstrate the locations where thermal bridging occurs for the different building envelope systems, and using finite element software for quantifying the bridging effect numerically. iv. Installing measurement equipment on the building surface to measure the heat transfer by conduction and radiation from the building envelope. v. Data analysis to determine the effects of ambient and environmental loads on building envelope systems. Section 2 7 3. Conduction 1.1. Introduction The past few decades have seen tremendous improvements in the thermal efficiency of building envelopes. The political risk of energy shortage in the 1970’s (Hirsta et al. 1982; Hirsta and O’Neal 1979), the strive for greater indoor comfort, the creation and implementation of measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, and the rising cost of energy management in buildings, have all led to stricter requirements and regulations for building performance. From both economic and environmental conservation perspectives, it is beneficial to design buildings with high thermal insulation characteristics, which will result in the long-term benefits of reduced cooling costs, and reduced environmental pollution. Thus, an accurate understanding of a building envelope material’s thermal performance with respect to environmental cooling and heating loads plays an important role in the design of energy efficient buildings. In some conditions, the real R-value of building envelope components does not always agree with the values advertised by manufacturers or those estimated during the design phase. Therefore, it is important to measure and analyze the building envelope R-value in situ. Two methodologies are commonly used for measuring the thermal resistance of the building materials (Yesilata and Turgut 2007). One group of methods is known as steady-state measurement techniques, which are based on establishing a temperature gradient over a known thickness of a sample to control the heat flow from one side to the other side. The guarded hot-plate method, the heat-flow meter technique, and the hot-box technique are the three main techniques used in steady-state measurements. In particular, the heat-flow meter method is usually applied to test the insulation parameters of building envelopes in situ because of its lightweight components and matching parts. Its main disadvantage is that the difference between testing results and theoretical values is greater than that of the hotbox technique(Peng and Wu 2008).The other group of methods for thermal performance measurements is known as transient (dynamic) measuring techniques, which were established during the last few decades for studying materials with high thermal conductivities and for taking measurements at high temperatures. Contact Section 2 8 techniques and optical techniques are the two main types of the transient methods. Optical transient techniques are more expensive and more complicated in comparison with the contact techniques. For the scope of this study, the heat flow meter technique was used for measuring the thermal resistance of the two building enclosures. This method was advantageous because it had simple test set up requirements and could be used for in situ measurement conditions. As previously indicated, one of the simplest solutions for decreasing a building’s heat losses is to utilize insulation materials during the construction of building envelopes. However, the thermal bridging effect lowers the efficiency of thermal insulation installed in the building enclosure. A thermal bridge is defined as a building element where a significant change in the thermal resistance occurs compared to that of the envelope, due to the presence of materials with a higher thermal conductivity, as well as to the change in the geometry of the fabric, as in the case of the junction between roofs, floors, ceilings and walls (EN ISO 10211-1 2007).As a result, a multi-dimensional heat flow is locally generated, which adds to the heat flow normally transmitted through the envelope surfaces; this means that thermal bridges increase winter heat losses and summer heat gains. Furthermore, the local reduction of the thermal resistance yields a decrease in the temperature of the inner surface over the thermal bridge during the heating season, which might cause condensation and mold growth; this would imply the deterioration of the building materials and a reduction of the indoor air quality. This condition can also occur for the outer surface of the building in the cooling season. The problem of thermal bridges, appearing for example at the junction between two separately insulated elements, or between a vertical and a horizontal element, is not always dealt with properly in the design stage. Simplified calculation methods that neglect or reduce the impact of thermal bridges may lead to significant deviation between predicted and actual thermal losses through the building’s envelope, depending on the thermal insulation solution opted for. This leads to underestimated thermal losses during the design process, during the insulation study, or in the various calculation methods, and, consequently, to higher energy requirements in practice versus the design estimates. Moreover, in many countries, Section 2 9 actual construction practices tend to only partially implement the insulation foreseen by regulations because of construction difficulties, conflicting stability issues of the various building elements, the lack of properly trained/qualified personnel and minimal or inefficient controls on behalf of the authorities having jurisdiction. Evola et al. (2011) identified two different types of thermal bridging effects: a linear thermal bridge and a point thermal bridge. A linear thermal bridge occurs at the junction between two or more elements of the building envelope. In this type, it is possible to identify an axis along which the orthogonal section of the thermal bridge does not change. A point thermal bridge is located where the continuity of the insulation material is locally interrupted at one point, such as three-dimensional corners. Prior research has been carried out to determine the relative influence of thermal bridges in the overall heat losses (Zalewski et al. 2010). A simple method is explained in ASHRAE2009 Fundamental Handbook (ASHRAE 2009) for evaluation of thermal bridges at the interface between the wall sheathing and the structural support system caused by the presence of a metal or wooden frame. This method is based on integrating a linear thermal transmittance, and, in most cases, underestimates global heat losses through the walls. Several researchers have tried to find more realistic thermal bridge estimates by using two-dimensional numerical simulations, and they have compared their results to the values obtained from simple estimation methods available in design codes (Deque et al. 2001; Dilmac et al. 2007; Larbi 2005). Other researchers have analyzed the thermal bridging phenomena utilizing either three-dimensional modeling or unsteady analyses (Hirsta et al. 1982; Kosny and Kossecka 2002; Mao and Johannesson 1997). Thermal bridges occurring in the building envelope can be visualized through IR thermography, a technology that has been increasingly implemented for building envelope studies over the past few years (FivosSargentis et al. 2009; Fokaides and Kalogirou 2011;Zalewski et al. 2010). This technique is advantageous for building envelope studies because it allows the visualization of heat losses: (1) in Section 2 10 situ,(2) at a distance (without contact), (3) at the scale of the building, and (4) without intruding into the building walls (non-destructive technique) (Zalewski et al. 2010). Infrared thermography has many different applications in building enclosure performance analysis. IR thermography can be used in building envelopes to detect heat losses, and to locate missing or damaged thermal insulation in walls and roofs, thermal bridges, air leakage, and sources of moisture. IR thermography can also be employed in building diagnostics for the determination of the thermo-physical properties of building envelopes.Balaras and Argiriou (2002) suggested IR thermography in an exhaustive review of thermal diagnostics for buildings, Wiggenhauser (2002) discussed the coupling of IR thermography with moisture analysis in building materials, and Dufour et al. (2009)focused attention on the use of IR thermography in the context of crack detection and their evolution in masonry walls. Fokaides and Kalogirou (2011) used IR thermography to determine the overall heat transfer coefficient (U-Value) for building envelopes. 1.2. Test Setup The conduction portion of this project considered a study of the thermal resistance of the two building envelope systems under investigation: 2x4 stick frame construction (Figure 1a) and SIP panels (Figure 1b). The effect of thermal bridging on the overall performance of the two systems was evaluated. Thermal performance data were obtained from in situ measurements performed on two large-scale, single-story building models, each located on the College of Engineering and Computing Campus of Florida International University (FIU) in Miami, FL, and exposed to ambient weather conditions for a period of three days. Each building model measured 2.4 × 2.75 × 2.2 m (L × W × H; H refers to the building eave height). Figure 2 illustrates the plan view of the two building models and the location of the door and windows on each wall. Both building models were positioned such that the “front” wall— defined for each building as the wall having a door—faced north, and the corresponding “side” wall faced west. Figure 3 shows the typical section for the traditional wooden frame building, having plywood sheathing, fiberglass insulation, and covered with gypsum board and vinyl siding as interior and exterior Section 2 11 finishes, respectively. The SIP building was constructed from prefabricated cementitious SIP panels, a in thick layer of polystyrene foam sandwiched between two fiber cement boards. a. b. Figure 1: Building models: a) 2x4 stick-frame building; b) SIP building . Figure 2: Building plan dimensions (All dimensions are shown in inches) Section 2 12 Figure 3: Stick-frame building envelope sections: Clear and thermal bridging sections To generate a significant heat flux across the building envelopes, an air conditioning system was placed inside the building models to create a considerable temperature difference between the interior and exterior faces of the walls. The thermal bridges were identified by IR thermography on the outside surface of the building models. For this study, a FLIR B400IR camera was used. The field of view of this camera is 25° × 19°/1.31 (ft.) and the IR resolution is 320 ×240 pixels. The camera performed measurements in the long-wavelength IR range of the electromagnetic spectrum (7.5–13 μm). In order to capture accurate temperature from the thermogram, the emissivity of the surface was defined prior to using the IR camera. The emissivity of the wall is defined as the ratio of emitted energy to the amount that would be radiated if the wall were a perfect black body. Based on the emissivity table provided with the camera, the emissivity for the different materials used in the construction of walls in this study was determined to be between 0.85 and 0.95. Thus, surface emissivity of the wall was adjusted to 0.9 for the experiments. Since the aim of the thermography was only to capture the thermal bridging occurrences in the building envelope, no measurement of surface emissivity was carried out. This assumption does not influence the accuracy of the detection of the thermal bridging locations since there is no change of material on the surface. Also, Section 2 13 according to Zalewski et al. (2010), the variations of surface emissivity induce negligible influence on the surface temperature readings of the camera over the range 0.89–0.91. The IR camera was located outside the building and was aligned along an axis perpendicular to the wall at a distance of 6 ft and 10 ft for the side wall and front wall, respectively (Figure 4). A series of IR images of the front and side walls of the two building models were acquired. All of the thermal images were taken in the morning between 9:00 and 10:00 A.M. Since the conduction portion of this project was studied in an unsheltered location, the building enclosures were directly exposed to the sunlight, which could affect the accuracy of the temperature distribution. As a result, the pictures were taken on cloudy days to minimize the effect of the direct solar irradiation. Figure 4: Infrared camera setup Omega HFS-4 heat flux sensors with embedded type K thermocouples were installed on the front and side walls of each building model to capture the effect of different wall elements (e.g., doors and windows) on the thermal behavior. The exterior sensor layouts for the two different walls are shown in Figure 5 for the stick frame building and in Figure 6 for the SIP building. The interior heat flux sensors were installed on the interior face of the wall at the same locations as the exterior sensors. The ambient temperature, relative humidity and environmental wind speed and direction were recorded during the three day testing period. Section 2 14 Figure 5: Sensor layout for stick-frame building: a) Front wall; b) Side wall Figure 6: Sensor layout for SIP building: a) Front wall; b) Side wall It is noted that heat flux sensors provide only localized information and therefore cannot be used to assess the overall heat flux over a surface that may lose energy non-uniformly. Thus, the sensor locations were chosen to capture the thermal resistance of both the clear sections of the wall and the sections where thermal bridging occurred. Building envelope thermal resistance was found through an experimental calculation procedure based on the mean progressive method. According to the European standard EN 12494, this method is more precise when data is recorded for a period greater than 72 consecutive hours. Section 2 15 1.3. Test Results and Discussion 1.3.1. Infrared thermography Figures 7-11 show selected infrared thermograms taken during the testing period. Figure 7 shows the front wall of the stick-frame building. The thermal leaks along the un-insulated building frame studs are apparent. This photograph was taken from outside the building where the ambient temperature was higher than the interior of the building. Significant heat loss through the vertical framework is apparent, indicated by the vertical green lines. The window area has the lowest overall temperature on the wall which means that the maximum heat flux is passing through this area. Also, it is evident that the wall temperature increased with height. This phenomenon can be explained by the hot air stratifying and moving upward, whereas colder air remained at the lower portion. It is also clear from the thermograms that along the sections where two studs were placed together (e.g. framing along the window sides), the thermal bridging effect is greater than sections where only one stud existed. Figure 7: Thermal bridging in the front wall of the stick-frame building Section 2 16 Figure 8: Thermal bridging in the side wall of the stick-frame building The picture shown in Figure 8 illustrates the presence of thermal bridges in the side wall of the stickframe building. Vertical yellow lines along the window sides show the location where the thermal bridging was happening. The temperature of these yellow lines was approximately 85°F; whereas the surrounding wall had a temperature of 92°F. Thermal stratification is also apparent in the image, since the wall temperatures increase with increasing height the wall. The most important observation is that there is no exact symmetry about the middle axis. This asymmetry can be caused by the error in the construction and it seems that the insulation is not properly installed in the left lower section of the window (compression of the insulator or variable thickness of the insulation layer). Figure 9: Thermal bridging in the front wall of the SIP building Section 2 17 Figure 10: Thermal bridging in the side wall of the SIP building Figures 9 and 10 show thermal images taken on the SIP building front and side walls, respectively. Both of these figures show uniformity in the temperature distribution on the surface. Wall-to-wall connections, wall-to-roof connections and the framing around the door and window are the only sections where thermal bridging is apparent. Unlike the stick-frame building, no distortion is detected in the building envelope. This can be explained by the fact that the enclosure is built with prefabricated panels, which causes fewer errors during the construction process. Also, there is no structural framing member connecting the two faces of the wall. This eliminates the thermal bridging for the SIP building that is otherwise inherent to the stick-frame construction. Figure 11: Thermal bridging inside the SIP building Section 2 18 Figure 11 shows an inside portion of the SIP building. The ridge beam joining the two roof panels has the highest temperature compared to the other sections inside the building – thus the ridge beam causes thermal bridging and energy loss. Also, it is clear that the connections have higher temperatures in comparison with the wall and roof panels. This can be explained both by the higher conductance of the connections and by the air infiltration that occurs in these sections. Based on the results presented in Figures 7- 11, IR thermography may clearly identify regions of thermal bridging in the building envelope. Although IR thermography makes it possible to visualize problematic regions, it does not allow for a quantitative evaluation of the impact of the thermal bridges on the total performance (heat losses) of the wall, nor does it quantify energy consumption due to the thermal bridges. In order to evaluate the thermal behavior of the two building envelope systems under investigation, appropriate heat flow and temperature sensors were installed on the walls and connected to data acquisition devices. These measurements are discussed in more detail in the subsequent section. 1.3.2. Surface heat flux/ temperature measurements To obtain the coefficient of thermal resistance (R) for the building envelopes considered in this study, the mean temperature difference was divided by the mean heat flux rate, where the average value was taken over a period of 72 hrs (Haralambopoulos and Paparsenos 1998).The extended time span of the tests mitigated the effect of the thermal mass on the final results, therefore, improving the outcome. Although the tests for the two building systems were conducted separately, the external temperature was comparable during each of the two experiments, rendering the results comparable as well. The following equation was used to calculate the R-values at different sections: ∑ where ( ∑ , is heat flow is rate; ) is interior surface temperature; (eq. 1) is exterior surface temperature; enumerates the individual measurement interval, which was 1 min. Section 2 19 The heat flux meters used were OmegaHFS-4 Thin-Film heat flux sensor with internal type K thermocouple for temperature measurement. Sensors specifications are given in Table 1. Table 1- Omega HFS-04 sensor specifications Nominal Sensitivity (μV/Btu/ft2hr) Max recordable heat flux (Btu/ ft2hr) 6.5 30,000 Response time (Sec) 0.60 Thermal capacitance (Btu per ft2°F) 0.02 Thermal Resistance (°F per Btu/ ft2hr) 0.01 Nominal Thickness (in) 0.007 Sensors were fixed to the wall surface with adhesive tape and connected to an OMB-DAQ Omega Data acquisition system. As mentioned in Section 3.1, sensors were located in such a way that thermal properties at both the clear section and the locations where thermal bridging existed. Based on data collected from the front wall of the stick frame building, time histories of the temperature differences between the two faces of wall, the heat flux through the wall, and the corresponding R-value are given in Figures 12 – 14, respectively. Figure 12 shows that the maximum temperature difference occurred at noon and the minimum temperature difference happened at midnight. The temperature variations are due to the cyclic variations of the building environment itself. Figure 13a shows that heat flux sensors on the clear section of the front wall measured unacceptable quantities. This may have happened because of the error in connecting the wires to the data acquisition system. Figure 13b indicates that the heat flux was minimum in the evening and maximum in the early morning. This can be explained by the thermal mass effect. Figure 14 shows the thermal resistance value for the testing period of the stick-frame front wall. From Figure 14b, it can be inferred that in areas where both horizontal and vertical wood frame studs were present, the minimum R-value was achieved. Section 2 20 a. b. Figure 12: Temperature difference for the sensors on the front wall of stick-frame building: a) Clear section; b) Thermal bridging section a. b. Figure 13: Heat flux through the front wall of stick-frame building: a) Clear section; b) Thermal bridging section Section 2 21 a. b. Figure 14: R-value for the front wall of stick-frame building: a) Clear section; b)Thermal bridging section Figures 15 - 17 show respective plots of the temperature difference between the two faces of the wall, the heat flux through the wall, and the corresponding R-value derived from the sensors located on the side wall of the stick frame building. The temperature difference value on the side wall was higher than the front wall because the side wall was a westward facing wall and received the sun radiation more severely (Figures 12 versus Figure 15). Based on Figure 16, it was observed that the heat flux through the sensor decreased as the height of the sensor on the wall decreased. This can be attributed to the stratification phenomena causing the presence of warmer air with increasing heights. Furthermore, the larger section of thermal bridging around sensors 26, and Figure 27, had a smaller quantity of heat flux measured because of less concentration. Comparing Figures 14 and Figure 17, the R value for the thermal bridging section was comparable, and, despite the larger value for the temperature difference, the overall R value was about the same for the two walls. Section 2 22 a. b. Figure 15: Temperature difference for the sensors on the side wall of stick-frame building: a) Clear section; b) Thermal bridging section a. b. Figure 16: Heat flux through the side wall of stick-frame building: a) Clear section; b) Thermal bridging section Section 2 23 a. b. Figure 17: R-value for the side wall of stick-frame building: a) Clear section; b)Thermal bridging section Results for the stick frame building are summarized in Figure 18. Based on the overall results, the Rvalue for the clear section was larger than the thermal bridging sections’ R-values, as expected. The variation between the R-values for the thermal bridging section on the front wall versus the thermal bridging section on the side wall can be interpreted by the variation of the sensor locations (i.e. one sensor was installed on a single stud while the other was installed over two studs). Also, different environmental conditions on the two walls, including the exposure to the sun and wind, can cause some differences. The constructional imperfections may be considered as another probable source, since there is not exact uniformity in the distribution of the insulation material in traditional wood-framing construction techniques. Section 2 24 Figure 18: R-value for the stick-frame building The temperature difference, the heat flux, and the R-value diagrams for the front wall of the SIP building are presented in Figures 19, 20 and 21, respectively. Similar to the case of the stick frame building, the maximum temperature difference for the thermal bridging section was lower than the clear section in the SIP building; this was also confirmed by IR thermograms. Figure 20 shows that the heat flux through the wall in the thermal bridging area was larger than that in the clear section. The variability between the Rvalues obtained for different points in the clear section is less for the SIP building when compared to the stick-frame building, and this is due to the better uniformity of insulation in construction of the SIP building (Figure 21). a. b. Figure 19: Temperature difference for the sensors on the front wall of SIP building: a) Clear section; b) Thermal bridging section Section 2 25 a. b. Figure 20: Heat flux through the front wall of the SIP building: a) Clear section; b) Thermal bridging section a. b. Figure 21: R-value for the front wall of the SIP building: a) Clear section; b) Thermal bridging section Section 2 26 The temperature difference, the heat flux, and the R-value diagrams for the side wall of the SIP building are presented in Figures 22, Figure 23, and Figure 24, respectively. Figure 22 indicates that the temperature difference between the faces of the enclosure was much higher for the clear section compared to thermal bridging section (that is, for the same heat flux, a lower temperature difference means a lower R value.). The thermal lag in the SIP building was smaller than the lag in the stick-frame building. This may be explained by the fact that heavier materials were used in the construction of traditional stickframe buildings. Comparing Figures 21 and 24, it may be concluded that there was a considerable difference between the R-value for the side wall versus the front wall of the SIP building. This was due to the position of the sensors, which might not have completely captured the entire thermal bridging effect. However, for the clear section, results were similar for the two buildings. A summary of the Rvalue for the SIP building is given in Figure 25. a. b. Figure 22: Temperature difference for the sensors on the side wall of SIP building: a) Clear section; b) Thermal bridging section Section 2 27 a. b. Figure 23: Heat flux through the side wall of the SIP building: a) Clear section; b) Thermal bridging section a. b. Figure 24: R-value for the side wall of the SIP building: a) Clear section; b) Thermal bridging section Section 2 28 Since the size of the sensors was relatively small compared to the building elements, it was possible that they would not capture the true behavior at the thermal bridging areas. Also, there was no certainty that a unidirectional heat flow passed through the measurement zone. The experiment conducted in this study demonstrated that the thermal heat losses caused by the thermal bridges could be evaluated. It also provided complementary confirmation to the IR thermography. One of the shortcomings associated with this experiment was that the measured heat fluxes were available only for limited locations and were functions of the sensor’s dimensions. In order to evaluate how far these thermal bridges increased overall heat losses from the wall, a larger number of flux meters would be required, covering a representative area of the average characteristics of the wall. Figure 25: R-value for the SIP building Figure 26 shows the R-values measured for the window and the door on both buildings. The R-values measured for the two buildings were similar in magnitude. However, there is a difference between the two values for the windows, which can be related to the different positions of the sensors on the two specimens. The R-values defined for the doors had less divergence compared to the windows. In the market, heat loss of the window assembly is usually indicated in terms of the U-value, where the U-value is defined as the reciprocal of the R-value. The lower the U-value, the greater a window’s resistance to heat flow, and the better its insulating properties were. Windows were used in the two buildings with the company U-factor equal to 1.05. Thus, the factory given R-value for the windows was equal to 0.95. In other words, the measured in situ R-value for the window was four times smaller than what was tested in the laboratory for the same material. Section 2 29 a. b. Figure 26: R-value: a) Window; b) Door According to the literature, there is a considerable discrepancy between the practical R-value of building envelopes and the value that is declared by measurement in the laboratory (Peng and Wu 2008). This deviation is due not only to the inevitable differences among supplies of the same material made at different time periods, but also to the differences in the conditions of wall-building (Laurenti et al. 2004). Section 2 30 4. Convection 4.1 Introduction Convective heat transfer is a heat exchange mechanism between the building envelope system and the outdoor air. It is a transfer of heat energy due to the movement of an air volume near a building face. It can be caused by a temperature difference between the building surface and the outdoor air — natural convection – or when the exchange is assisted by wind pressure – forced convection. Compared to other mechanisms of heat transfer (conduction and radiation), convection heat transfer can, in some cases, be accountable for higher percentages of the total heat transfer between a building’s outdoor and indoor air conditions, especially in areas where there is frequent temperature fluctuation coupled with a windy environment (Davies 2004). Convective heat transfer is affected by factors such as wind speed, surface roughness, and building surface orientation with respect to wind direction. Mathematically, convection heat flux is defined by Newton’s Law of Cooling, which is expressed in Equation 2 as: ( ) (eq. 2) where qconv is the convective heat flux through a unit area of a given building envelope, h is the convective heat transfer coefficient (CHTC), and Ts and T∞ are building surface temperature and air temperature away from the building surface, respectively. Practically, it is difficult to measure the portion of the total heat transfer caused by the convection process separately from the other heat transfer mechanisms. To overcome this, the heat balance method is a common approach followed by scientists and researchers to quantify the amount of convection heat loss or gain at the building surface. The heat balance equation is written on the assumption of steady-state condition in which the rate of heat gain is equal to the rate of heat loss. This requires the determination of heat gain through radiation such as short wave radiation from the sun and long wave radiation from the surrounding environment. It is to be noted that a portion of the incoming radiation heat from radiation will be lost through surface reflection and emission. Thus, it is the net radiation that needs to be measured in the heat balance equation at the building surface. Section 2 31 The net radiation heat combined with the convection heat gain or loss will induce directional conduction heat transfer across the building envelope system. For a steady-state condition, the amount of conduction heat transfer through the building enclosure depends on the material’s thermal resistance characteristics. The heat balance on a typical building envelope surface shown in Figure 27 combines the heat gains and losses due to net radiation, convection, and conduction processes. The heat balance equation is given as: (eq. 3) Figure 27: Heat balance at a building roof surface The net radiation energy is calculated from the net short wave solar radiation gain (solar radiation minus reflection) and net long wave radiation gain/loss from the surrounding environment (incoming long wave Section 2 32 radiation minus long wave emission from the building surface as result of its temperature difference from the surrounding air). It is expressed as: (eq. 4) Where qSR is net short wave radiation and qLin and qLout are heat fluxes from long wave radiation coming in and being emitted from the building surface, respectively. The conduction heat flux at steady-state is a function of the temperature gradient across the building envelope system, and is given in Equation 5 as: ( ) (eq. 5) where R is the thermal resistance characteristic of the building envelope system and Ts_out and Ts_in are exterior and interior building surface temperature, respectively (see Section 3.3.2 for more details). It is noted that the heat balance relationship given in Equation 3 assumed a dry building envelope surface, and it would otherwise needed to include the amount of heat energy required in phase change processes, such as shown in eq. 6 for evaporation of water. In reality, this could be the case if the building envelope became wet after a very cold night or was drenched by wind-driven rain. The phase change process of evaporation consumes a significant amount of the heat energy gained through radiation and convection mechanisms as the specific heat capacity and latent heat of vaporization of water are relatively high (4.186 KJ/Kg °K and 2,270 KJ/Kg, respectively). (eq. 6) The heat consumed in the evaporation process, qevap, can be estimated using the rate of water evaporation calculations given in ASHRAE 2009 Fundamental Handbook. ̇ (eq. 7) where hfg is heat of evaporation at a given temperature and ̇ is the rate of water evaporation, which is given by ̇ Section 2 ( ) (eq. 8) 33 The terms ρw, ρ∞ are respectively defined as the vapor density at water surface and airstream, and they are estimated based on the measured surface temperature using the natural vapor law. The term hM is defined as the convective mass transfer coefficient, and its magnitude depends on Reynolds number, Sherwood Number and diffusion coefficient of vapor at a given temperature. The building surface temperature can be considered as the water surface temperature in calculating the vapor density at the water surface and airstream. In formulating the heat balance equation at different components of the building envelope (wall, roof, etc.), the heat transfer due to the three mechanisms mentioned above should be considered based on the prevailing conditions. For example, additional long wave radiation coming from the ground should be considered in the case of heat balance measurements on the buildings’ walls and vertical surfaces. Moreover, the conduction process at the roof component is usually coupled with convection due to the air volume presence in the attic space, hence, called conduction-convection. The effects of wind speed on the convective heat transfer at a building envelope surface have been studied through field measurements (Hagishima and Tanimoto 2003; Liu and Harris 2007; Loveday and Taki 1996), wind tunnel experimentation, and computational fluid dynamics (CFD) modeling (Defraeye et al. 2010; Defraeye and Carmeliet 2010). Hagishima and Tanimoto (2003) developed a comprehensive and qualitative relationship between wind velocity and CHTC over building surfaces using field measurements. Outdoor surveys of wind speed and direction along with the thermal monitoring over the surface of two 4-storey buildings were used to conduct the study. It showed that the CHTC has a strong relation with wind speed when the temperature difference between building surface and the air exceeds 15°C (27°F), implying dominance of forced convection. (Hagishima and Tanimoto 2003) also found that the distribution of CHTC over the building’s roof surface is highly correlated with the wind speed distribution (dynamic pressure distribution) and turbulent energy near the building surface. Liu and Harris (2007) conducted a similar study of wind-induced convective heat transfer on low-rise building surfaces through field measurements. A test-panel mounted flush on one face of a square and single-story wooden Section 2 34 building was used to create a controlled experimental setup of convective heat transfer. The test-panel, which was built with an inside heat source to control and adjust the temperature difference between outside air and the surface of the panel, was oriented to face the prevailing wind direction during the test. Outside air temperature, surface temperature of the test panel, conductive heat flow input to the external surface of the panel, incoming long wave radiation incident to the test panel, wind speed, and wind direction data were collected to derive the relation of CHTC with wind speed for a given direction. The study by Liu and Harris (2007) also found a series of CHTC and wind speed relationship for different wind directions. The findings indicated that the values of CHTC for windward faces were higher than those of the leeward wall faces(Liu and Harris 2007). Defraeye and Carmeliet (2010) presented a methodology to assess the effect of wind on the convective heat transfer coefficient over a building surface based on computational fluid dynamics (CFD) analysis. Though the temperature driven convection and heat fluxes due to radiation are not considered, the results using the proposed methodology were comparable with field tests. For example, the study of CHTC for different wind direction with respect to a building model indicated that higher values of CHTC for building surfaces facing direct wind(Defraeye et al. 2011; Defraeye and Carmeliet 2010). 4.2 Test Setup Heat transfer measurements on large-scale building models were conducted at different wind speeds and angles of attack to study the effects of wind and wind-driven rain on the convection heat transfer process. The low speed wind flow field was simulated using the 12-fan WoW at FIU. The simulation conducted in this study was targeted at a preselected eave height, with wind speeds of 15, 25, 35, and 45 mph to investigate the convective heat transfer under normal weather conditions. Detailed measurements of free-stream wind characteristics (wind speeds and turbulence intensities) were conducted using a vertical rake system developed specifically for wind speed measurement purposes. The rake system consisted of pressure tubes mounted at various elevations in the wind field, and connected to a 64-channel Scanivalve ZOC33 pressure scanner that records the dynamic pressure time history based on Section 2 35 the static reference pressure. The dynamic pressure time histories were then converted to wind speeds and presented in Figure 1. It is to be noted that the wind speed measurements were conducted at the center of the test section and the values shown in Figure 1 are average of two measurements. The flow was fairly uniform with turbulence intensities ranging between 3-10%. The corresponding average wind speeds were 14.62, 24.50, 33.50, and 44.5 mph. Figure 28: Wind profile at different wind speeds Solar radiation was simulated with the wind to represent the exposure of buildings to sunny and windy weather conditions. The solar radiation simulations were performed using three 107 mm spiral lamps controlled by two XENON RC-847 units. The location and orientation of the solar lamp with respect to the test building was determined based on the representation of typical solar radiation on a residential building located in Miami, Florida during the month of September. This resulted in an azimuth angle of 40° from the building’s orientation for the 0° wind direction. The solar lamps were placed at a height of 15 ft above the ground, and radiated toward the center of the turntable to produce a typical afternoon angel of incidence for solar radiation on the building model. The solar lamps were mounted on a framing Section 2 36 system, and suspended using a forklift positioned outside the wind field. The forklift was able to relocate the solar lamps as the building model rotated on the turntable in order to simulate different wind directions with respect to the test building on a sunny day. Figure 29: Solar lamps location for 0° wind AOA In addition to the wind/solar radiation simulation, wind-driven rain was simulated to study the convective heat transfer coefficient over the building surface area in windy and rainy weather conditions. The winddriven rain was simulated using TEEJET full-cone spray nozzles arranged in a 3x4 grid pattern and placed at the 12-fan WoW exit. A light rainy condition was used for the study, with an approximate rain rate of 20 – 30mm/hr. Figure 30a and 30b show the simulation of solar radiation and wind-driven rain, respectively. a. b. Figure 30: Simulation of weather conditions: (a) Solar radiation; (b) Wind-driven rain simulation Section 2 37 4.2.1 Instrumentation The convection heat flux and convection heat transfer coefficients for different wind directions on the roof and wall of the test buildings were determined separately using sensors to measure the heat fluxes from conduction and radiation processes. Several parameters were monitored for 10 minutes during each test to evaluate the convective heat flux: the short wave radiation from the solar lamps and reflection of the building surface, the long wave radiation from the surrounding environment and emission from the building surface, the conduction heat fluxes passing through the building envelope, the building surface temperature, the indoor and outdoor temperatures, and the relative humidity. Two pairs of Kipp and Zonen CPM3 pyranometers and CGR3 pyrgeometers were assembled back-to-back to capture the radiation heat flux coming in and out the buildings surface (see Fig. 31). The pyranometer facing away from the building surface measured the amount of incoming short wave radiation hitting the roof surface while the one facing the building roof was used to collect the reflected short waves from the surface. It is to be noted that the amount of reflection depends on the color and texture of the roof covering. Likewise, the pyrgeometers were also placed back-to-back, one facing the building roof to measure the long wave emission from the surface and the other facing outward to quantify the amount of long wave radiation from the surrounding environment. Note that the intensity of long wave emissions from the roof surface is a function of the roof surface temperature. The total long wave radiation from a single pyrgeometer measurement at each sampling point was calculated as the pyrgeometer voltage output per heat flux sensitivity plus long wave radiation depicted as housing temperature of the sensor itself (eq. 9). Note that the second term in Equation 6 will cancel out in the net long wave radiation heat calculations as the combined measurements from two pyrgeometers assembled back-to-back. An additional pyranometer and pyrgeometer were required to determine the net radiation heat for a vertical wall of the building models. The back-to-back pairs of pyranometers and pyrgeometers were placed horizontally on the ground to measure the total radiation hitting the building wall surface. The additional sensors were placed facing the wall to capture surface emission and reflection, respectively (Fig. 31). Section 2 38 (eq. 9) where Uemf is the voltage reading and S is the sensitivity of the sensor (µV/W/m2). a. b. Figure 31: Net radiation measurements on stick-frame building: (a) Roof; (b) Wall The conduction heat flux on the building surface was calculated as an average of the heat flux measurements using Omega HFS-4 heat flux sensors installed on building surfaces. The roof of the building models were instrumented with eight Omega HFS-4 heat flux sensor while six sensors were used on the wall to measure the conductive heat flux. Figure 32: Sensors layout on roof of the building for convective heat transfer tests Section 2 39 All of the heat flux sensors had built-in Type K thermocouples which enabled them to detect the surface temperature when connected to an Omega OMB-56 data acquisition system. Figure 32 shows the heat flux and radiation sensors layout used during convection testing on the roof of the building. The indoor air was conditioned during the test using a high capacity AC unit to recreate a typical building operational temperature, to produce relative humidity conditions different from the outside air. Indoor and outdoor air temperature and relative humidity parameters were monitored during each test using three ExTech SD800 CO2 Humidity/Temperature sensors placed inside the test building and in the laboratory, respectively. These sensors have two units in which one contains the temperature and relative humidity sensors covered with perforated plastic cover and the other unit holds the data logger system and connected to the sensor unit with a data cable. 4.2.2 Test protocol The convection test protocol was developed based on the different parameters involved in heat transfer across a building envelope under normal operational weather conditions. Guided by the objectives of the study, four target wind speeds (15, 25, 35, and 45 mph) were selected for testing at three wind directions (0, 45, and 90 degrees) (see Fig. 29). Sunny weather was represented using solar lamps that produce the full range of wavelengths when compared to the radiation spectrum of the sun. As the testing represented a building model having a specific orientation and exposure to sun radiation, the solar lamps were rotated with respect to the building to maintain a consistent exposure to the sun for the various wind directions of interest. In contrast to the sunny weather, a light rainy weather condition was also considered during the convective testing. The tests were conducted in two categories based on the building envelope type: Stick-frame and SIP building. The parametric study of wind speed, wind direction, rain rate, and positioning/application of radiation from the solar lamps were applied in the same manner to both building models in order to capture any effect from the type of materials used as enclosure systems for the two buildings. Table 2 summarizes the parameters considered in the testing, which resulted in total of 96 tests. Section 2 40 Table 2: Summary of test parameters Building Type Wind Speed Wind Angle of Attack Sensor Location Simulated Weather Condition 2x4” Stick-frame building 15 0 Roof Sun & Wind SIP building 25 45 Wall Rain & Wind 35 90 45 4.3 Test Result and Discussion Radiation and conduction heat fluxes through the surface of stick-frame and SIP buildings were measured for 10 minutes with application of simulated solar radiation, wind, and rain. The measurements were conducted on the roof and one of the side walls of the building models at different wind speeds and three wind angles of attack. The convective heat gain or loss on the building surface was calculated assuming the steady-state heat transfer condition in which the outside air and building surface temperature remain constant during the test. This assumption was valid for most of the tests except when the test involves application of wind-driven rain, the temperature at surface of the building exhibited large variation due to temporary accumulation of rain water and removal and drying of the building surface by the wind. Additional term of heat of water vaporization was considered in the heat balance equation in tests where wind-driven rain is applied. Parameters related to heat transfer through the building envelope, including short and long wave radiations, conduction heat flux on the surface of the building, local air temperature, and relative humidity were measured and analyzed to determine the wind induced forced convective heat gain or loss at different wind speeds. In most of the tests, linear relationships with a positive slope between wind speed and convective heat transfer coefficient (CHTC) were observed. These findings are consistent with research performed by Hagishima and Tanimoto (2003); Liu and Harris (2007); Loveday and Taki (1996). The positive slope indicates the increase of convective heat loss as the wind speed increases. Section 2 41 However, a negative slope of convective heat loss was found when the building wall was in the leeward direction with respect to the wind direction. Moreover, when the building surface was wetted due to winddriven rain, a highly negative value of CHTC with a negative slope (increasing with wind speed) was observed. The significant dispersion of CHTC under a constant wind speed was observed as reported in previous researches. Figure 33 shows the conduction heat gain/loss at the roof surface of the stick-frame building as the wind speed increased for a 0° wind of attack. The total duration of the test was 40 minutes, with the wind speed increasing by 10 mph at 10 minute intervals, starting with a wind speed of 15 mph. The conduction heat flux was stable over the roof surface area with average heat flux values of -3.54, 2.26, 0.11, and -5.68 W/m2 for 15, 25, 35, and 45 mph wind speeds respectively. The positive sign shows average heat loss through conduction. The air and roof surface temperature were uniform throughout the test duration, which validated the assumption of steady-state condition (see Fig. 34). Figure 33: Conduction heat flux measurements on roof of 2x4 stick-frame building Figure 34 shows that the roof surface temperature data from the thermocouples mounted on the roof surface which were highly correlated with the air temperature measurements using SD800 CO2/Humidity/Temperature sensors. This indicates that the hot air with high relative humidity tends to keep the building surface at a uniform temperature regardless of the increment in wind speed. Section 2 42 Figure 34: Air and roof surface temperaturefor0°wind AOA During the final 10 minutes of the test (when the wind speed was 45mph), the conduction heat fluxes showed a relatively significant heat gain caused by the increase in local air temperature, which in turn reduced the convective heat loss (See Fig. 35). This may be explained in terms of the heat balance equation: as the surrounding air gets warmer, the convective air lost its cooling power over the building surface and resulted in dispersed and lower value of CHTC (See Fig. 36). Figure 35: Conduction, convection, and radiation heat fluxesfor0° wind AOA The CHTC over the roof surface of the stick-frame building at 0° wind angle of attack is presented in Figure 36. It has a mild positive slope, which indicates that the wind induced convection heat loss Section 2 43 increased as the wind speed increased by only a small amount. A widely dispersed CHTC was observed during the latter half of the test duration. Figure 36: Convective heat transfer coefficient over the roof surface for 0° wind AOA A different result was obtained for 45° wind AOA in which the convection process caused a significant conduction heat loss at the beginning of the test duration. This represents the release of heat stored in the building envelope material as a thermal mass. The temperature and relative humidity of the air increased slightly during the test which caused an increase in the temperature of the surrounding environment and thereby increasing the net long wave radiation heat gain at the building surface (see Fig 38). The net short wave radiation heat gain was constant throughout the test duration. A mild increase in net radiation heat gain was observed, which compensated the conduction heat loss with the aid of the forced convection process. For the first thirty minutes of the test duration, the convection process caused continuously decreasing conduction heat loss through circulation of the surrounding air and then became balanced with the increasing net radiation heat gain at the building surface. A constant heat transfer through conduction, convection, and radiation was observed in the last ten minutes of the test duration when the wind speed was 45 mph. At this stage, the radiation heat gain was fully balanced by the convective heat loss with a net zero heat transfer through conduction (See Fig. 40). Section 2 44 Figure 41 presents the convective heat transfer coefficient (CHTC) during the test duration. Each 10 minutes testing duration is shown with the testing wind speed for the wind blowing in 45° with respect to Figure 37: Conduction heat flux over roof surface for45° wind AOA the building. The CHTC shows a negative slope, which indicates the wind induced convection heat transfer decreases as the wind speed increases. This result was unexpected and could be related to high amount of heat stored the building enclosure system before the testing starts. It is to be noted that this set of test for which the wind was blowing in 45°, was conducted in the morning after the building interior air had been conditioned with a lower temperature for the whole night before the testing date. Section 2 Figure 38: Air and building surface temperature for45° wind AOA 45 Figure 39: Short and long wave radiation heat fluxes for 45° wind AOA Figure 40: Conduction, convection, and radiation heat fluxes for 45° wind AOA Figure 41: Convective heat transfer coefficient over the stick frame building roof surface for 45° wind AOA Section 2 46 Figure 42 and Figure 43 show the time history of the three heat fluxes and the CHTC over the roof surface of stick-frame building for 90° wind AOA, respectively. The wind induced convection process caused an increasing heat loss for the first 20 minutes where the radiation was dominant and produced a net conduction heat gain over the roof surface. The net long wave radiation heat gain decreased starting from the second 10 minutes of the test duration due to a minor reduction in the local air temperature. Constant values of radiation, convection, and conduction heat fluxes were observed for the remaining half time of the test duration in which the net radiation heat gain was cancelled out with the high wind speed induced forced convection heat loss over the roof surface. These two half time durations of heat transfer processes Figure 42: Conduction, convection, and radiation heat fluxes for 45° wind AOA Figure 43: Convective heat transfer coefficient over the SIP building roof surface for 45° wind AOA Section 2 47 exhibited different distribution of CHTC with time and as the wind speed increases. In the first half time, the convective process caused a lower amount of heat loss at an increasing rate. This process continued until the conduction heat gain over the building roof surface reduced to a much lower value of heat flux. In the last half time of the test duration, the CHTC showed high correlation with time and wind speed, having a positive slope indicated the increase in convection heat loss as the wind speed increased. It is to be noted that the variations of CHTCs at a specific wind speed were significant even for the last 20 minutes (8 to 15 and 12 to 18 for 35 and 45 mph, respectively). Similar tests are conducted for the SIP building with the application of simulated solar radiation and wind. The analyses results indicated the same pattern with a little higher value of CHTC for SIP building for different wind angles of attack. A relative higher value of conduction heat losses were observed during the SIP building tests, which show the difference in the thermal performances of the two building envelope materials. In both types of buildings, the wind induced convection heat transfer tends to slow down the conductive heat gain/loss and ultimately balances the radiation heat gain. Figure 44 and Figure 45 present the three types of heat fluxes and the convective heat transfer coefficient (CHTC) over the roof surface of the SIP building, respectively. Figure 44: Conduction, convection, and radiation heat fluxes over the roof surface of SIP building for 45° wind AOA Section 2 48 Figure 45: Convective heat transfer coefficient over the roof surface of SIP building for 45° wind AOA CHTCs with negative slope and lower values were observed for SIP building when it is subjected to wind at 90° AOA (See Fig. 46). The negative slope indicates that the forced convection process has an effect of minimizing the conduction heat loss at the roof surface. This effect is due to the wake formation when the building is exposed to wind parallel to the ridge. The wake volume holds the hot and moist air (air with high relative humidity percentage) close to the roof surface of building creating conduction heat gain. This process can be coupled with a secondary temperature driven convection process due to the temperature difference between the windy air at the top of the wake volume and the roof surface. Figure 46: Convective heat transfer coefficient over the roof surface of SIP building for 90° wind AOA Section 2 49 The convective heat transfer over the surface of the two building models was studied under the application of simulated wind-driven rain condition. The buildings were subjected to a constant rain rate for the first one minute while the wind speed was kept constant for the whole 10 minutes test duration. The aim was to study the effect of short duration rain events on the three mechanisms of heat transfer and the response of the two types of building materials in such weather conditions. As mentioned earlier, additional term of heat of water vaporization is considered in the heat balance equation considering the significant amount of heat that was being consumed for evaporation of rain water from the building surface. The test results indicated that the large amount of heat required for the evaporation of rain water was supplied to the system through convection of warm ambient air. The presence of rain water over the building roof surface area also affected the conduction heat gain/loss at the roof surface of the buildings. Conduction heat loss was observed during the application of wind-driven rain and then followed by significant heat gain in the drying process during the remaining 9 minutes of the test duration. The pyranometers measured about zero radiation heat per unit area of the roof surface due to the absence of short wave solar radiation. The long wave radiation emitted from the roof surface was much lower when the building was exposed to wind-driven rain as the rain water kept the roof surface temperature to be less warm. Although the presence of rain lowers the temperature of the surrounding environment and the long wave radiation heat gain, the net long wave radiation heat gain over the building surface was much higher as compared to its value in simulation of sunny weather conditions. This might not be true in actual rain events where the temperature of the surrounding environment also lowers down at the same scale with the building surface area. However, since the percentage of net radiation heat is much lower than the convection and heat of evaporation, the effect of relatively higher temperature of the surrounding environment and magnitude of net long wave radiation is very minimal. Section 2 50 Figure 47: Net short and long wave radiation heat fluxes for wind-driven rain test at 0° wind AOA Figure 48: Conduction, convection, radiation, and evaporation heat over the roof surface for wind-driven rain test at 0° wind AOA Figure 49: Convective heat transfer coefficient over the roof surface for wind-driven rain test at 0° wind AOA Section 2 51 The test results also indicated that the supply of convective heat to the system and its consumption in the evaporation process increased with time and wind speed which is also exhibited in large slope value of the linear relationship of CHTC with wind speed (See Fig 49). Though high variations of CHTCs at a specific wind speed were observed during the tests, the correlations with time were much better when the building was exposed to wind-driven rain. Figure 50: Conduction heat gain on roof surface of stick-frame versus SIP building during wind-driven rain test at 45° wind AOA Figure 50 shows the conduction heat gain at surface of the two types of building envelope systems (Stickframe versus SIPs) after the application of wind-driven rain for one minute duration. The difference in conduction heat gain/loss shown in Figure 50 is related to the thermal resistance and heat absorption capacity of the two building envelope materials. The wind induced forced convection heat gain/loss tests were also conducted on the building wall system with the instrumentation setup shown in Figure 31. The test results indicated that the wall surface of the stick-frame building gained significant amount of heat through conduction comparing to the roofing system with the same level of exposure to wind speed and simulated solar radiation. It is to be noted that the temperature differences between the air and the building surface were similar for both wall and roof tests. In contrary to the roof tests, the conduction heat gain at wall surface of the SIP building was found Section 2 52 to be less that the stick-frame building. This suggested that the roofing system of the stick-frame building has better heat resistance and thermal absorption capacity. The net radiation heat gain on the surface of the wall was found to be about the same magnitude as for the roof surface of the building. The side wall of the building used for this study was unfortunately exposed to a significant wake volume containing relatively warmer air for the three wind angles of attack. This is believed to be the reason for the conduction heat gain during the tests. The CHTCs over the wall surface of the building showed a linearly decreasing relationship with time and wind speed for the same reason as the roof when the building is exposed to wind from 90° AOA. The wake volume caused high accumulation of warm air in the vicinity of the wall. The reduction in CHTCs and conduction heat gain on the wall surface was caused by the change in the wake volume as the wind increased and as the wind direction changes from 0 to 90 degrees (see Fig. 53).As mentioned earlier, there is a high probability that this phenomenon could be coupled with secondary natural convection process driven by temperature difference between building surface and the boundary air surface forming the wake region. It is also noted that the CHTCs on the wall surface of stickframe building were higher than the SIP building for similar exposure of simulated weather conditions. Figure 51 and Figure 52 show the heat fluxes through the three heat transfer mechanisms and CHTC on the wall surface of the stick-frame building for 0° wind angle of attack. Figure 51: Conduction, convection, and radiation heat fluxes over the wall surface of stick-frame building for 0° wind Section 2 53 Figure 52: Convective heat transfer coefficient over the wall surface of stick-frame building at 0° wind AOA Similar convection test results as the roof tests were found for the wall surface of the buildings under simulated wind-driven rain condition. The conduction heat gain over the wall surfaces of the two building envelope systems (2x4” stick-frame and SIP) were found to be about the same magnitude (the SIP envelope system showed slightly higher amount of conduction heat fluxes in some instants of the test duration). Note that the vertical side walls of the buildings (sometimes facing leeward) may not get the same amount of rain as windward building surfaces. Figure 54 presents the comparisons of conduction heat transfer through the walls of the two building envelope systems after wind driven rain exposure. Figure 53: Comparison of CHTC at the wall surface of the stick-frame building for different wind AOA Section 2 54 Figure 54: Conduction heat gain on wall surface of stick-frame versus SIP building during wind-driven rain test at 45° wind AOA 5. Conclusions Based on the discussions mentioned above, the following conclusions can be made: The relative importance of thermal bridges increases in the energy balance of recent highly insulated buildings. It requires a very detailed attention with the components of the envelope and their implementation. Moreover, to ensure an extended life cycle for the buildings, it is vital to reduce these singularities as much as possible in order to avoid any problem of internal condensation which would be detrimental to the framework and to the performances of insulating materials. This need requires the synchronous employment of two approaches, the in-situ spot measurements and the infrared thermography analysis of the building envelope. Thermal bridging can be visualized precisely using Infra –Red camera. It is clear from the thermograms that wood studs create thermal bridging in the stick-frame building. However, for the SIP building no thermal bridging occurs within the wall panels and it only happens at the wall to wall and roof to wall connections. IR thermography answers only part of the problem by converting surface variations of temperature into nuances of color on a thermogram. Furthermore, with no quantitative evaluation of heat fluxes, the thermogram can only be used with care because many parameters may disturb readings (variations of surfaces emissivity, room temperature, relative moisture, parasitic infrared radiations, solar radiations, etc.). Section 2 55 The mean progressive method used here just requires testing the heat-flow rate on the inside surface of building envelopes and both the inside and outside surface temperatures of building construction. The magnitudes of the calculated R-values obtained in this study are not consistent with the values published from laboratory testing. The in situ results presented in this report are smaller than the values given for the controlled environmental condition in the laboratory. In fact, one of main test errors of in-situ measurement of the thermal resistance of building construction occurs from heat-flow meters, including their measurement accuracy. The measured heat flux values are influenced by the placing of the sensor. It would therefore be desirable to know the exact placing of the heat flux sensor to judge whether they effectively correspond to the mean heat flux passing through the wall. In practice, heat-flow meters need to be plastered on the surface or embedded in specimens. In this case, since the heat condition on the surface is altered, it will lead to the change of temperature fields in the specimen and around the heat-flow meter. All of these will result in the difference between the test results and the real cases. Also, the Rvalue measurement with the use of a heat-flux meter is strongly affected by environmental conditions, in particular by the temperature difference between inside and outside. The smaller the temperature difference the less precise the measurement. Apart from the errors in the heat flux meters readings, the main reasons for these differences might be that the test buildings might not be dry enough or they might be affected by thermal bridges, such as beams and pillars, or the un-controlled climate under field conditions. Certainly other factors, such as errors in the thermocouples, heat-flow meters, and in the temperature and heat flux data loggers may also contribute to these differences. The test wall studied contains a window, which constitutes a geometric and thermal singularity. It is advisable to conduct heat flux measurements on walls without singularities or in areas far off from them. A further cause of possible measured heat flux variability is that of any indoor air stratification that could increase the heat flux from bottom to top (in the winter) owing to an increase in air temperature. Section 2 56 In addition to the general outcomes of this study that were presented earlier, following detailed information can be concluded furthermore. Stick-frame building results suggest that the heat losses in front of the wood frame are approximately 1.5 times the clear section. For the SIP building, the effect of thermal bridging is more severe and the heat loss through the edges is twice as for the clear panel section. However, smaller area is affected by the thermal bridging phenomena in the SIP building compared to the stick-frame building. Also, because of the fact that SIP panels are prefabricated and were produced more precisely, more uniform thermal behavior is observed. Comparing the clear section with the thermal bridging section for the two buildings, average temperature difference is larger for the clear section; while heat flux is completely opposite and is larger for the thermal bridging area. Full-scale measurements of wind induced convective heat transfer were conducted on two types of building envelope systems. The test data analysis indicated that the convective heat transfer coefficient over the building surface varies with wind speed, wind direction, surface conditions (including overnight condensation and exposure to wind-driven rain), and orientation of the building surface with respect to the wind direction (windward versus leeward). The building envelope thermal resistance and heat absorption capacity also affect the CHTC at a given wind speed. The convective heat transfer coefficient (CHTC) increased with wind speed in most of tests. However, the variation of CHTC at a specific wind speed was significantly high. The wind induced convective heat loss/gain is higher for windward building surfaces as compared to the leeward faces. Conduction heat gain at the building surface increased when the building models were exposed to wind-driven rain. The convection process delivers significant amount of heat for evaporation of rain water from the building surface. The prefabricated SIP building showed higher amount of surface conduction heat gain compared to the 2x4” stick frame building after wind-driven rain exposure. Section 2 57 6. Future Studies This research includes information about two heat transfer mechanisms from the building enclosure. Following items can be investigated in future studies to improve the results and/or to increase the knowledge about the topics that are not covered here: The following points can be considered in future study of related subject: Heat flux sensors are one of the main sources of error in defining the thermal resistance of the building envelope. Therefore, introducing a new method which measures the thermal resistance of the enclosure based on the temperature only will enhance the outcome. One of the different alternatives possible is to assume that the thermal flow is constant through the whole wall thickness. By this assumption, the heat flux through the surface air film attached to the wall is equal to the flux inside the wall. By measuring the air temperature adjacent to the building surface and surface temperature of the wall, thermal resistance of the wall can be computed from: where exterior surface temperature, temperature close to the surface, = interior surface temperature, = wall thermal resistance, = interior air = interior surface air film thermal resistance. Considering the effect of the thermal capacity of the wall material on the thermal behavior of the enclosure. Also, defining the quantitative value of the thermal capacity of the two systems and comparing them with each other. Finite number of sensors can be installed on the walls to capture the thermal properties of the system. Using a numerical modeling of the system will make it possible to study the behavior of the wall as a continuous system. Accuracy of the modeling can be validated by comparing the results of Section 2 58 the current study with the outcome of the modeling. Finite element modeling of the system will also be useful in case of improving the design parameters. Different design alternatives can be studied more easily using computer modeling. Convective heat transfer coefficient as a function of the location on the building envelope. Distribution of the convective heat transfer coefficient on the building envelope can be determined by measuring the heat balance components at more locations. These points should be representative of the effective wind load distribution on the surface. In this report, only three wind angles of attack were considered for the tests. Other angles of attack can also be studied to increase the knowledge on the effect of this parameter. Two environmental conditions were simulated in the experiments including: sunny and rainy weather conditions. The experiments can be further expanded to consider a situation where the building is exposed to sun right after the rain. Section 2 59 References 1. EN ISO 10211-1. (2007). "Thermal Bridges in Building Construction - Heat Flows and Surface Temperatures Detailed Calculations." 2. ASHRAE. (2009). "Fundamental Handbook." American Society of Heating, Refrigeration and AirConditioning Engineers, ASHRAE. 3. Balaras, C. A., and Argiriou, A. A. (2002). "Infrared thermography for building diagnostics." Energy and Buildings, 34, 171-183. 4. Balocco, C., Grazzini, G., and Cavalera, A. (2008). "Transient analysis of an external building cladding." Energy and Buildings, 40, 1273–1277. 5. Cucumo, M., Rosa, A. D., Ferraro, V., Kaliakatsos, D., and Marinelli, V. (2006). "A method for the experimental evaluation in situ of the wall conductance." Energy and Buildings, 38, 238-244. 6. Davies, M. G. (2004). "Building Heat Transfer." John Wiley & Sons Ltd., First ed., Chichester, UK. 7. 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Energy Conversion and Management, 51, 2869-2877. Section 2 61 A Resource for the State of Florida HURRICANE LOSS REDUCTION FOR HOUSING IN FLORIDA FINAL REPORT For the Period March 30, 2012 to July 31, 2012 SECTION 6 Computational Evaluation of Wind Load on Residential Roofs with Complex Shape A Research Project Funded by: The State of Florida Division of Emergency Management Through Contract #12RC-5S-11-23-22-369 Prepared by Girma T. Bitsuamlak, Amir Mirmiran, Agerneh K. Dagnew, Edward Ledesma, Workamaw Warsido, Maryam Asghari Mooneghi, and Christian A. Vidal The International Hurricane Research Center (IHRC) Florida International University (FIU) August 1, 2012 Executive summary Wind induced loads are one of the most critical design parameters for coastal construction, especially in Florida, where buildings are subjected to the highest wind loads of the nation. ASCE 7 2005/2010 provides wind loads for the design of Main Wind Force Resisting System (MWFRS), as well as Cladding and Components of buildings. These provisions cover buildings with common shapes, such as buildings with Flat, Gable, Hip, and Mono-slope roofs, under simple surrounding conditions. For complex roofs, and surrounding conditions the code refers the practitioner to perform physical modeling in a Boundary Layer Wind Tunnel (BLWT). Although these tests are viable for high-rise buildings and other large complex projects, they may not be cost effective for residential houses. As a result, there is a gap in the wind load information for the construction of low-rise buildings with complex roofs. The present study attempts to evaluate wind loads on both common and complex roofs using a numerical approach based on the technique of Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) principles. The focus is on residential single family house roofs, which incur the most damages during hurricane events. Both in-house computer programs and commercial software were used in the study. To win the confidence of practicing engineers, all CFDbased wind load evaluations on roofs were validated by comparison with similar cases obtained from reliable and industry-wide accepted BLWT experimental data collected during the DEM 2010-11 projects data from NSF Grant CMMI-0928563 project. The present comparisons are limited to the numerical evaluation of mean pressure coefficient values. KEYWORDS CFD, LES, BLWT, Inflow turbulence, Low-rise buildings, Wind pressure, Complex roof shapes, Surrounding condition, Sub-urban. Section 3 2 Table of Contents Executive summary................................................................................................................... 2 1 Introduction ...................................................................................................................... 5 1.1 2 Commonly used residential roofs in the state of Florida .......................................... 6 Methodologies for wind load evaluation of low-rise buildings ....................................... 8 2.1 General provision of codes and standards ................................................................ 8 2.1.1 ACSE7-05 provisions ........................................................................................ 8 2.1.2 Highlights of the ASCE 7-10 wind provision ................................................... 9 2.2 2.2.1 Full-scale measurements.................................................................................... 9 2.2.2 Wind Tunnel .................................................................................................... 10 2.3 3 4 Physical modeling for wind load evaluation ............................................................. 9 CFD based computational approach ....................................................................... 11 Wind tunnel experiment for validation of CFD simulations .......................................... 12 3.1 Gable and Hip roof buildings .................................................................................. 12 3.2 Low-rise buildings with complex roof shapes ........................................................ 15 Outline of the CFD modeling for wind load evaluation................................................. 19 4.1 CAD preparation of the model buildings ................................................................ 20 4.2 The LES model ....................................................................................................... 22 4.3 Computational domain and boundary conditions ................................................... 22 4.4 Inflow turbulence for LES simulation .................................................................... 26 Section 3 3 Computational grid, spatial, and temporal discretization schemes ......................... 27 4.5 5 Results and discussions .................................................................................................. 29 5.1 Wind-induced responses of regularly shape low-rise residential buildings............ 30 5.1.1 Gable roof building .......................................................................................... 30 5.1.2 Hip roof............................................................................................................ 33 5.2 Wind-induced responses low-rise houses with complex roof shapes ..................... 37 6 Conclusions .................................................................................................................... 42 7 Acknowledgements ........................................................................................................ 44 8 References ...................................................................................................................... 44 Appendix A: FL27 House Model Dimensions ....................................................................... 46 Appendix B: FL30 House Model Dimensions........................................................................ 49 Appendix C: FL27 Neighboring Houses ............................................................................... 53 Appendix D: FL30 Neighboring Houses ................................................................................ 61 Section 3 4 1 Introduction Hurricanes are among the most costly natural hazards to impact residential construction in the coastal regions of the United States. During the 20th Century, Florida was second to Texas in the number of direct hurricane hits; 57 total categorized storms with 24 of those being major storms (Categories 3, 4, and 5 with winds 110 mph and higher). That means homeowners somewhere in Florida were hit by a hurricane every other year. During 2004-05, Florida was hit by eight hurricanes, resulting in 2.9 million claims and $31.3 billion in insured losses (Blessing et al., 2009). Roof systems are exposed to higher loading than any other building element and are subjected to wind forces from many directions (Smith et. al, 1991). Suction pressures on the surface of the roof and roof corner vortices can lift both roof cladding and sheathing, and cause further structural damage. The wind flow patterns over a roof are complicated because of the various possible shapes of a roof and its sensitivity to the wind characteristics. While gable roofs comprise the majority of architectural form on engineered low-rise buildings, which are generally subject to deemed-to-comply provisions of building codes and standard, the overall housing stock of Florida exhibit a myriad of roof shapes. Post disaster studies have revealed that similar standards of residential low-rise construction of different geometric forms have suffered a disparity in wind-induced damage (Meecham, 1992). In the case of wind loads on complex-shaped roofs of residential buildings, few researches have been done so far. Building codes and standards refer to physical model testing for wind load evaluation of buildings with complex configurations such as typical residential construction with complex roof shapes and architectural features. Although these tests are viable for high-rise buildings and other large complex projects, they may not be cost effective for residential houses. Nowadays, commendable efforts are being done to determine wind effects on buildings and structures computationally. The evolution of Section 3 5 computational wind engineering (CWE) based on the techniques of CFD is making numerical evaluation of wind loads an attractive proposition for the design community. This is particularly true in light of the positive trends in hardware and software technology development. The main purpose of this research project is to evaluate wind-induced loads on low-rise residential buildings with complex roof shapes computationally, and validate results using experimentally obtained data. The outcome of the investigations will contribute to these computational efforts being made in order to support the case where building codes and standards in the future may begin to also consider CWE as one of the commonplace tools for wind load evaluation, especially for the design of low-rise residential houses. 1.1 Commonly used residential roofs in the state of Florida There are many roof shapes in residential construction with gable, hip, and flat roofs being the most common. Dutch hip, gambrel, mono slope, and many shape combinations are also possible for these structures. In residential buildings, gable roofs prevail, especially for older homes in part because they are easier and cheaper to build. The Residential Construction and Mitigation Program data in Florida is representative of a sample of 1103 homes of which 56% had gable roofs, 29% had hip roofs, 10% had a combination of both and 5% were of other types. 85% of the buildings were single story homes. Although gable and hip roofs are shown to be the dominant shape in low-rise residential roof designs (Hamid, 2005), many of these roofs exhibit some complexities due to non-symmetrical floor plans or additions made to the original home. Table 1 shows the results of a survey done for three counties in Florida. The prevailing roof type for the surveyed counties is gables with 70%, while hips account for around 23%. Section 3 6 Table 1: Low-rise building roof types proportions (Pita et al., 2009) County Gable Hip Volusia 73% 21% Marion 69% 26% St. Lucie 67% 21% Flat 6% 1% - A typical gable roof building has vertical side walls that extend all the way to the top tip of an upside-down V. A gable roof generally consists of common trusses of triangular form, yielding a constant cross section throughout the building length (Figure 1(a)). A hip roof has sloping ends and sloping sides down to the roof eave line (Figure 1 (b)). The central part has the same cross section as the gable roof, but the ends of the hip roof are framed differently. To achieve the hip ends, the structural framing usually consists of diagonal hip trusses spanning from the building roof corners to a girder truss located at the hip/ridge intersection. Hip roofs are believed to be less prone to damage than gable roofs for several reasons: they slope in four directions; the sloping faces enhance the performance of the roofing material; they generate less uplift and are structurally better braced; they laterally brace the primary roof trusses, or rafters, and support the top of the end walls of the home against lateral wind forces; and they eliminate the hinge formed between a gable end and a gable-end wall. Several post disaster investigations on wind-induced damage to building roofs reveal that hip roofs have performed better than the gable roofs during severe cyclones (FEMA, 1992) and (Sparks et al., 1985). (a) (b) Figure 1: Typical (a) gable and (b) Hip roof buildings Section 3 7 2 Methodologies for wind load evaluation of low-rise buildings 2.1 General provision of codes and standards 2.1.1 ACSE7-05 provisions The design wind pressures on buildings in the United States are determined using ASCE 7-10 provisions. ASCE 7-10 provides wind loads for the design of Main Wind Force Resisting System (MWFRS) as well as Cladding and Components of buildings using one of the three following methods: (a) Method 1-Simplified Procedure (b) Method 2-Analytical Procedure and (c) Method 3-Wind Tunnel Procedure. The limitations for using each of these methods have been provided in the code. These provisions cover buildings with common shapes, such as buildings with Flat, Gable, Hip, and Mono-slope roofs, under simple surrounding conditions (Figure 2). While the existing wind load design guides do provide wind pressure coefficients for regular shape building, for complex situations one should refer to a physical model testing in a boundary layer wind tunnel (BLWT). The determination of these wind loads on a building is directly dependent on experimentally determined pressure coefficients from previous wind tunnel tests. If these pressure coefficients for a particular building shape do not exist, engineers must perform wind tunnel tests to estimate the design wind loads. Figure 2: Typical types of roofs addressed in wind codes and standards. Section 3 8 2.1.2 Highlights of the ASCE 7-10 wind provision The new ASCE 7 2010 issue for Minimum Design Loads for Buildings and other structures comes with changes in the wind design, especially in the design wind of speed in hurricane prone regions and wind debris. The design wind speed is specified as the ultimate speed directly, with return period 700 years (or 1700 years for important buildings). It is more consistent with the approach used in earthquake design and will tend to focus attention more directly on the behavior of the structure in ultimate failure mode (Irwin 2009). 2.2 Physical modeling for wind load evaluation 2.2.1 Full-scale measurements The ever rising economic losses and human casualties associated with natural disasters caused by frequent occurrence of severe wind storms is shaping the wind engineering research in dramatic ways. To deal with this novel, large-scale and full-scale research facilities are being built around the world. The Wall of Wind (WoW) facility at Florida International University is one of the first major initiatives to operate a full-scale facility dedicated to hurricane damage mitigation (Leatherman et al., 2007). The insights from WoW full-scale experiment results are very significant for the wind engineering community in terms of understanding the performance of buildings under hurricane winds and devising mitigation plans to increase the resilience of low-rise buildings under such loads. One noticeable advantage of this type of facility is that its ability for testing a full-sized residential building, single story dwelling. Residential construction is typically built using prescriptive building codes, and is characterized by the use of materials with large variability and structures with significant static indeterminacy making load paths and overall performance difficult to ascertain. These new facilities are able to deal with these issues Section 3 9 by bringing realistic wind loads to full-scale structures, enabling the development of improved building code requirements, product safety standards and loss models. In addition it also eliminates some of the issues associated with model scale testing such as boundary layer wind tunnel. 2.2.2 Wind Tunnel Boundary layer wind tunnel testing is the most commonly used industry wide accepted wind engineering tool for evaluating of wind loads on structures ranging from low-rise to high-rise buildings with complex configurations, and from bridge aerodynamics to topographic study. For large structures, the generic load provisions derived from analytical methods in building codes and standards are often insufficiently precise for an optimal design. Though most often defined as minimum design loads, the loads derived from code analytical methods represent an upper bound covering the majority of cases for standard building shapes. Wind tunnel tests can predict wind-induced effects on structures, addressing some of the difficulty encountered by codes, by accounting for project-specific factors such as the aerodynamic effect of the actual shape of the structure, the influence of adjacent buildings and topography, detailed wind directionality effects, and aero-elastic interaction between the structural motion and airflow. Testing in the wind tunnels involve the modeling of the structure, representing all its geometrical characteristics to a properly chosen scale (keeping in view blockage effects), the prescription of the incoming wind flow properties that properly characterize the flow statistics of the study site, choice of resolution for wind pressure measurement on the surface of the target model building which should take cognizance of the importance of edge/corner pressures against the overall average, and the choice of the reference pressure. Section 3 10 2.3 CFD based computational approach The evolution of computational wind engineering (CWE) is making numerical evaluation of wind loads an attractive proposition. This is particularly true in light of the positive trends in hardware and software technology development. Practical applications of CFD are widespread in areas such as pedestrian level wind evaluation, where mean wind velocities are required for evaluating comfort issues (Stathopoulos and Wu, 2004; Hanjalić and Kenjereš, 2008) and for building ventilation design applications (Jiru and Bitsuamlak, 2010). Some of the works in CFD applications for wind load evaluation includes non-linear Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) modeling for full-scale low-rise buildings such as the Silsoe Cube (Wright and Easom, 2003), the computational prediction of flow-induced pressure fluctuations on the Texas Tech University (TTU) test building (Senthooran et al., 2004) and the computation of pressure on TTU (Selvam, 1996). Also, there has been CFD research on tall buildings such as the Aerodynamics of Commonwealth Advisory Aeronautical Research Council (CAARC) model building – a benchmark tall building used to calibrate wind tunnels around the world -- (Dagnew et al., 2009, 2010; Braun and Awruch, 2009; and Huang et al., 2007) ; Large Eddy Simulation (LES) of flow and building wall pressure in the center of Tokyo (Nozu et al,. 2008); LES of wind effect on a full-scale supper-tall building (Huang et al., 2010); flow around high-rise buildings using various turbulence models by Tominaga et al (2008a); topographic studies over complex terrains (Tamura et al 2007, Stathopoulos, 1999, 2002; Ishihara et al., 1999, Bitsuamlak et al., 2004, 2005b, and 2007). More recently, exponential growth in computing technologies have helped analyze 3D complex wind flow fields using LES and Direct Numerical Simulation (DNS) with reasonable computational cost and enabled wind load estimation with high accuracy (Tamura et al 2008). Section 3 11 Some countries have already established working groups to investigate the practical applicability of CWE and develop recommendations and guidelines for efficient implementation and use for wind resistant design of actual buildings and for assessing pedestrian level winds, within the framework of the Architectural Institute of Japan (AIJ) (Tamura et al. 2008, (Tominaga et al., 2008) and the European cooperation in the field of scientific and technical research (COST, 2007; Franke, 2006). AIJ provides methods for predicting wind loading on buildings by RANS and LES. While COST Action 732 (COST732, 2007) outline a best practice guideline for successful CFD simulation of wind flows in the urban environment using steady RANS equations. Wind loads for residential buildings are affected in a complex way by many factors, such as incoming wind characteristics (wind speed, turbulence intensity, integral length scales, etc.), topography and surface roughness, immediate surroundings, building/roof shape and orientation. Hence, before getting to the wind load evaluation phase any CWE simulation should put an effort to incorporate all of these factors in a manner that is as realistic as possible in order to produce a usable outcome. Hence an attempt will be first to produce global wind loads (i.e. Wind load for MWFRS design) followed by local wind loads (i.e. wind load for cladding and components design). Once validated in comparison with wind tunnel data, computational models/methods will be valuable and cost-effective wind engineering tools for practitioners. 3 Wind tunnel data for validation of CFD simulations 3.1 Gable and Hip roof buildings Wind tunnel tests were conducted on small scale models of one-story single-family residential buildings to study the distribution of roof pressure. For the current investigation, two different roof geometries were fabricated, a 3:12 slope gable roof model (Figure 3(a)), and a 3:12 Section 3 12 slope hip roof model (Figure 3 (b)). Photographs of the gable and hip roof buildings models in the wind tunnel are also shown in Figs. 3 and 4 respectively. (b) (a) Figure 3: Wind tunnel testing of Gable and Hip roof buildings. The scale model of the house was constructed from Plexiglass at a length scale of 1:15 and has dimensions of L=1.2m(4ft), W=0.6 m(2ft) and H=0.3m(1.1ft) where L and W denote the longer and shorter widths respectively and H denotes the roof ridge height. At this size, the maximum building model blockage ratio in the wind tunnel was approximately 9% (only marginally higher than the maximum blockage of 8% given in ASCE-7 (2010). The wind tunnel tests were carried out at RWDI’s boundary layer wind tunnel facility in Florida USA. The wind tunnel has a cross-section of 2.13m x 2.44m (7ft x 8ft) and the test model was placed on a turntable located 13.3m (43.5ft) downstream of the tunnel entrance. An attempt was made to generate only the lower part of the atmospheric boundary layer at a relatively large scale. The test was conducted in an open terrain exposure for which the mean wind speed (prescribed by power law) and turbulence intensity profiles as well as the longitudinal turbulence spectrum of the simulated open exposure are shown in Figure 4(a) and (b), respectively. The simulation of mean wind speed and turbulence intensity profiles approaching the modeled area of the BLWT were accomplished Section 3 13 through a combination of turbulence-generating spires installed at the upwind end of the tunnel and a long working section with floor roughness elements. The target open terrain profile was generated by a configuration of 2-dimensional trapezoidal spires (19 inches wide at the floor, 15 inches wide at the ceiling) and 1.5 inch tall triangular floor roughness elements. The Reynolds numbers in the present study was calculated to be 7.84E+05. The mean wind speed profile fits well with a target profile obtained with a power law exponent of 0.15(~1/6.5). Moreover, the turbulence intensity profile also fits well to a target profile of 1/ln(z/zo) recommended based on the large-scale depression system measurements Holmes (2007). A full-scale value of 0.02m was taken for the roughness coefficient zo as per the recommendation of ASCE7 (2010) for exposure category C. The normalized longitudinal turbulence spectrum also shows a good match with von Karman spectrum. 35 0 1 TI(%) 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 V (measured) 30 0.1 TI (measured) f*SU(f)/σ2 25 0.01 Z(m) 20 15 Measured von Karman 0.001 10 5 0 a) 0.0 0.2 0.4 (a) 0.6 V/V30m 0.8 1.0 1.2 0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 (b) 1 10 f*Lv/U Figure 4: (a) mean wind speed and turbulence intensity profile and (b) longitudinal turbulence spectrum at 5.64m (building height) of the simulated open exposure. Section 3 14 Pressure taps were installed on the gable and hip roof models following the tap layouts shown in Figure 5(a) and (b), respectively. Pressure readings on the building envelope were taken by connecting the pressure taps to Scanivalve pressure scanners with 0.053in (1.34mm) diameter PVC tubes. For each wind direction, the data was collected for a 90 s duration at a sampling frequency of 512Hz. Each test was conducted for wind directions ranging from 0o to 90o at 10o intervals including the diagonal (45o) direction. The data collected was low-pass filtered with a transfer function to account for signal distortion effects resulting from vibration of the tubes. (a) (b) Figure 5: (a) Gable and (b) hip building model roof, soffit, and wall pressure tap layouts and wind angle of attack (AoA). 3.2 Low-rise buildings with complex roof shapes Field measurments were conducted on two house models with complex roof shapes. The code names for these study buildings are called FL27 and FL30, respectively. Both FL27 and FL30 are two of the 42 homes in the Florida Costal Monitoring Program (FCMP). These buildings were instrumented during the landfall of hurricane Ivan and pressure time-history data were recorded on the actual houses. FL-27 is a one-story single-family residence located in Gulf Breeze, Florida (Figure 6). The gable roof consists of multiple levels, with the main ridge at 6m Section 3 15 elevation above grade. Twenty-four absolute pressure transducers were mounted at the corner and edge locations on the roof to measure external dynamic pressures. An additional absolute pressure sensor is connected to an RM Young pressure port to minimize dynamic wind pressure. Figure 6: Photographs of the actual FL-27 house showing anemometer location and pressure sensor (after Liu et al., 2009) Wind tunnel tests as part of NSF Grant CMMI-0928563 were also conducted on the two house models with complex roof shapes. The wind tunnel tests were conducted on the two houses to provide comparison data of the field measurements. The BLWT conducted at the UWO assumed a suburban exposure, where according to ASCE7-10, the exposure B (suburban exposure) is defined as areas where the ground surface roughness includes urban and suburban areas, Section 3 16 wooded areas, or other terrain with numerous closely spaced obstructions having the size of single-family dwellings or larger, and where it prevails in the upwind direction for a distance greater than 1500 ft (460 m). The mean velocity and turbulence intensity profile measured at the UWO wind tunnel for the complex were used for the CFD simulation (Figure 7). From the Google images provided in Figure 8, both FL27 and FL30 are surrounded with 1 or 2 story single-family dwellings on one side and wooded area on the other side, within a radius of 0.5 miles (800 m). The wind tunnel accounted the surrounding terrain within 1 mile radius of the target building (Figure 9). The radius of the surrounding assumed for the BLWT study took into consideration of the model building size. And the resulting stretch length was assumed to be sufficient enough to develop the inner boundary layer. Since suburban terrains for low-rise buildings (i.e., at large scales) are challenging to model in boundary layer wind tunnels, as there are limited variations one can achieve. Thus, the changes in roughness with the 0.5 mile (0.8 km) radius were not modeled in detail. 14 Experiment (UWO) 12 U (m/s) Iu (%) Elvation (m) 10 CFD U (m/s) Iu (%) 8 6 4 2 0 0.0 0.2 0.4 Turbulence intensity Section 3 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 Normalized Wind Speed 17 Figure 7: Mean wind speed referenced at mean roof height, h, and turbulence intensity profile in the suburban exposure (zo = 0.23 m) in full-scale dimensions (NSF Grant CMMI-0928563). Figure 8: Google image of surrounding exposures of study buildings FL27 (top) and FL30 (bottom) (after Kopp and Gavanski -- part of NSF Grant CMMI-0928563-- 2010; Liu et al., 2009) The building models were instrumented with pressure taps. Figure 9 (a) shows the 1: 50 scale model of LF27 which contains 496 taps on its roof. Figure 9 (b) shows the Fl30 model building with 474 taps systematically distributed on the roof. The boundary layer simulation of the model buildings with neighboring houses were done by placing the test house model at the center of the turn table (Figure 10). The surrounding houses located within a radius of 250 ft (full-scale) were built and placed on the turntable. Section 3 18 (a) (b) Figure 9: Wind tunnel models of houses with complex roof shapes: (a) house model FL27 and (b) house model FL30 (after Kopp and Gavanski, 2010 -- part of NSF Grant CMMI-0928563--). Figure 10: Wind tunnel setup of study houses with neighboring buildings: FL27 with neighboring house (left) and FL30 with neighboring houses (right) (after Kopp and Gavanski, 2010 -- part of NSF Grant CMMI-0928563--) 4 Outline of the CFD modeling for wind load evaluation The CFD evaluation of wind effects on buildings involves various modeling steps. The preprocessing/simulation steps start from the conceptual modeling to the CAD preparation and to generation of high quality computational meshes. Due to the complexity of the wind/structure interaction, care should be taken during the model preparation phase. Those follow the selection of appropriate turbulence modeling, such as RANS, LES, and hybrid RANS/LES models, which Section 3 19 can realistically capture the important structures of the wind flow. To ensure the best use of the turbulence models in getting the accurate numerical prediction of wind-induced effects, the sizing of the computational domain and prescription of the boundary conditions should also be carefully defined. Parallel simulations were carried out using commercially available software known as Ansys Fluent14 (Ansys Inc. 2012). All simulation were carried in the Multidisciplinary Analysis Inverse Design Robust Optimization and Control Laboratory (MAIDROC) lab, which has 272 processor parallel computing nodes, using 28 CPUs. The following sections describe in detail the procedures and the modeling principles used in the present research project. 4.1 CAD preparation of the model buildings The geometrical modeling for the CFD simulation mimics the wind tunnel setup building models. For the regular shape models, gable and hip roof buildings, an isolated building case have been investigated using 1:15 scale. Figure 11 show the 3D perspective view of the model buildings considered for the preliminary numerical simulations. For buildings with complex roof shapes the dimensions and the surrounding context for the LES simulation were determined from a combination of the wind tunnel model photos and information provided by the University of Florida and UWO research group (Figure 12) (part of NSF Grant CMMI-0928563). The scale adopted for the LES simulation is the same as the scale of the BLWT testing, i.e. 1:50. Figure 13 shows the topology of FL27 and FL30 with the surrounding buildings inside the idealized turntable of the computational domain. The full-scale dimensions of the isolated building with complex roof shapes are shown in the Appendices A and B. The complete geometrical information such as model dimensions, wind direction, name of the neighboring buildings are in the Appendices C and D. Section 3 20 (a) (b) Figure 11: Three-dimensional perspective drawings of residential buildings: (a) Gable and (b) Hip (a) FL27 (b) FL30 Figure 12: CAD models of single house models with complex roof shapes (a) FL27 (b) FL30 Figure 13: Geometrical models of the FCMP residential houses with neighboring buildings Section 3 21 4.2 The LES model LES is a multi-scale computational modeling approach that offers a more comprehensive way of capturing unsteady flows. The use of LES as a wind load evaluation tool has been significantly improved in recent years through the following numerical techniques (a) numerical generation of transient inflow turbulence (Kraichan, 1970; Lund et al., 1998; Nozawa et al., 2002, 2005; Smirnov et al., 2001; Batten et al., 2004 ), (b) development of efficient sub-grid scale turbulence modeling techniques suitable for unsteady three-dimensional boundary separated flows, and (c) numerical discretization with conservation of physical quantities for modeling complicated geometry (Tamura et al. 2008). Because of these advancements, LES holds promise to become the future computational wind engineering (CWE) modeling for which turbulent flow is of pivotal importance (Tamura, 2008; Tucker and Lardeau, 2009; Sagaut and Deck, 2009). In the present study, the Dynamic Smagornisky-Lilly subgrid-scale (SGS) model based on Germano et al. (1996) and Lily (1992) have been employed. In this method the Smagornisky constant, C s , is computed dynamically according to the resolved scales of motion inside the domain. 4.3 Computational domain and boundary conditions The computational domain (CD) defines the region where the flow field is computed. The size of the CD should be large enough to accommodate all relevant flow features that will have potential effects on altering the characteristics of the flow field within the region of interest (Franke, 2006, COST 2007, AIJ 2008). In addition, the sizing also should take into account the computational overhead that will be incurred by using an excessively large domain. For the present study multiple steady state preliminary simulations were conducted to size the computational domains and the combination of sizes which resulted in a blockage ratio of less than 5% were used for the main simulations. Where the blockage ratio is defined as the ratio of the projected area of the surfaces of the model buildings in the flow direction to the area of the inlet boundary. Table 2 summarizes the dimensions of the models, the computational domain, and the resulted blockage ratio of the cases considered in the present study. For FL27 and FL 30 with neigh- Section 3 22 boring houses the CD were sized using the maximum building height within the vicinity of the target model and the resulting blockage ratio were 7 and 6% respectively. Boundary conditions (BC) represent the effect of the surroundings that have been cut off by the CD and idealize the influence of the actual flow environment under consideration. BCs could dictate the solution inside the CD and have significant effects on the accuracy of the solution. At the inlet boundary, the mean wind velocity profile can be prescribed using either the power law or log-law profile. For the regular shape models the mean wind speed with power law ( 0.15 ) and turbulent intensity defined for an open terrain (Figure 4). The wind speed and turbulent intensity profiles of the complex roof shape buildings (FL27 and FL30) measured at the UWO wind tunnel were applied for the CFD simulation. The mean velocity profile was prescribed by the power law (with exponent 0.1658 ), and the turbulence intensity profile was found by curve fitting (Figure 7). For velocities, no-slip boundary is commonly used at solid walls (COST, 2007). A symmetry boundary condition was employed at the top and lateral surfaces of the CD. Since details of the flow variables were not known prior to the simulation, an outflow boundary was applied at the outlet plane. Figure 14 shows a typical CD and boundary conditions modeling for the benchmark simulations. Section 3 23 Figure 14: Computational domain and boundary conditions: Gable roof model The computational domain and boundary conditions were setup for buildings with complex roof shape after careful CAD modeling and topology cleanup, as shown in Figure 15. For the case with the neighboring buildings the CD size were increased to accommodate the surrounding buildings (Figure 16). Section 3 24 Figure 15: Computational domain and boundary conditions for FL27 model building. Figure 16: Computational domain and boundary conditions of FL27 and Fl30 with neighboring houses. Section 3 25 Table 2: Dimension of the mode buildings and blockage ratio of the computational domains Case Building dimensions Wind direction Blockage ratio (L x W x H) (in) (degree) (%) 3 0 4 Gable 48 x 24 x 12.875 45 Hip 48 x 24 x 12.875 Fl27 16.48 x 15.30 x 4.48 FL30 13.2 x 11.52 x 4.08 90 0 45 90 120 1.7 4.3 4 1.7 4 120 4.4 4.4 Inflow turbulence for LES simulation For the present study, in addition to the mean velocity profile, transient velocity fluctuations were superimposed at the inlet boundary of the LES simulations. A method called the discretizing and synthesizing random flow generation (DSRFG) for the transient inflow turbulence, which has the flexibility to prescribing any arbitrary 3D spectrum for the amplitude of the fluctuation such as the von Karman spectral (Huang et al., 2010) were used. The synthesized velocity field is presented below for discussion purposes and the detailed formulation and derivation can be found in the original paper u ( x ,t ) K ma N [ p m k 0 n 1 m ,n ~ ~ ~ ~ cos( k m ,n x m ,n t ) q m ,n sin( k m ,n x m ,n t )] (1) Where p m ,n and q m ,n are the vector form of the fluctuation amplitude. For inhomogeneous and anisotropic turbulence the distribution of k m ,n is done by remapping the surface of the sphere after the components of P m ,n and q m ,n are aligned with the energy spectrum. In addition to the flexibility of prescribing any arbitrary 3D spectrum, the DSRFG method uses the length scale ( Section 3 26 L s L2u L2v L2w ) as a scaling factor and this resulted in the generation of spatially correlated flow fields with the relevant length scales. For velocities, no-slip boundary was used at solid walls of the model buildings. For the near-wall regions high resolution meshes were applied for all the LES simulations cases. Symmetry boundary condition was employed at the top and lateral surfaces of the CD. Since details of the flow variables are not known prior to the simulation, outflow boundaries were applied at the outlet plane. 4.5 Computational grid, spatial, and temporal discretization schemes The computational grids were generated using Ansys Meshing CutCell Cartesian meshing algorithm, which is a very powerful mesh-generating tool. This mesh tool has a unique ability to generate a large fraction of hexahedral cells in complex configurations. The mesh operation involves a two-stage inflation process to resolve the inner boundary layer and generate sufficient quality for convergence. For all the cases considered in the present study the cell’s skew ranges between 0 and 0.55, and the orthogonal quality lies between 0.5 and 1 and the computational cells’ sizes were fixed to produce an aspect ratio of less than 3. Successive adaptations have been done to refine the cells’ sizes and resolve the near-wall region of the model buildings. In the inner sub-layer region, the boundary layer meshes were inflated from the ground surface and the first cells were placed at a distance y p 0.0005 m with a stretching ratio of 1.05. This ensured y to be less than 5 units. In addition, the computational domain was subdivided into multi-body parts to have better control and distribution of the computational grid points around the model building and wall boundary. Figure 17 show the step-by-step computational grid generation of gable and hip roof models. For complex roof shapes, the area within the vicinity of the sharp Section 3 27 edges were treated by clustering very fine grid cells around, to help negotiate the change of the topology (Figure 18). Figure 17: Computational mesh for gable and hip roof models Figure 18: Computational mesh for Fl27 and FL30 model buildings For discretization of convection terms central-differencing based schemes give the least numerical diffusion and the best accuracy compared to the upwind schemes, as demonstrated by Marinuzzi and Tropea (1993). However, for high Re flows in the wake region, such as the present cases, this scheme can become unstable, giving unphysical oscillations (wiggles). The bounded central differencing (BCD) scheme, essentially based on the normalized variable diaSection 3 28 gram (NVD) approach (Leonard 1991) together with a convection ‘boundedness’ criterion can detect and remove these wiggles in the wake region. Because of this the BCD scheme has been used for all the simulations of the present study. For temporal discretization, second-order schemes are advised for most computational wind engineering applications and have been used in the present study. A second-order scheme for pressure discretization has been applied. For pressure-velocity coupling, the Pressure Implicit with Splitting of Operators (PISO) algorithm with skewness and neighboring correction is recommended for the transient simulation and has been used in all LES simulation. PISO is based on the higher degree of the approximate relation between the corrections for pressure and velocity (Ansys Inc. 2011). The simulations have been carried out at the supercomputer center at Florida International University. The parallel computations have been carried out using 28 CPUs. A computational time step of 0.001s with 5 subiterations, per time step, was used in all the simulations. First the simulation run for enough flow time and once the solution reached a stable condition, the fluctuating pressure data were recorded for 2s flow-time. Also, for the residuals a strict convergence criterion of 10 5 has been applied to ensure full convergence of the simulations. 5 Results and discussions Aerodynamic forces develop over the body surface of structures immersed in a turbulent flow field. These forces are usually obtained by integration of pressures and shear stresses developed on the fluid-structure interaction owing to the flow action. These forces can be calculated from the time-history of the pressure data. In the present work, pressure coefficients obtained from the CFD simulations and the wind tunnel tests were converted into non-dimensional mean Section 3 29 pressure coefficients ( C p ), normalized with the dynamic pressure head, defined using the following expression: CP P Po 1 ρaVH2 2 2 where C p is the non-dimensional pressure coefficient, P is the pressure measured on the building roof surface, Po is the reference pressure, is the density of air, and V H is the reference wind speed at mean roof height of the building. 5.1 Wind-induced responses of regularly shape low-rise residential roofs 5.1.1 Gable roof building For the numerical investigation of wind-induced effects on the low-rise buildings two cases for three wind directions were considered (Table 3). Table 3 Cases considered for LES and BLWT studies: Gable roof Case Roof type Case 1 Case 2 Case 3 Gable Gable Gable Terrain exposure Open Open Open Azimuth (degree) 00 450 900 The time average of the pressure time-history data of the LES simulations were calculated and compared with the BLWT. Figure 19 shows the mean pressure coefficients measured at the pressure taps located at centerline of the roofs, as shown in Figure 5(a) and (b). For the straight wind (00 AoA) the LES predicted well except at the taps near the edge of the roof where flow separates. For the oblique wind directions (case 1 and 2) the LES resulted in a good prediction comparable to the BLWT result. Figure 20 shows the comparisons of the mean pressure coefficients contour plot for the BLWT and LES. From the illustration it can be seen that for Case 1 Section 3 30 the oncoming flow separated at the leading edge of the roof and remain separated to the lee-ward region of the roof (Figure 20 (a) and (b)). This introduced very high suction pressure at the windward edge of the roof and the suction intensified at the ridge edge. For the oblique wind AoA (Case 2) the distribution of the pressure contours show the formation of corner vortices, responsible for uplift wind forces (Figure 20 (c) and (d)). Large eddies on the longer side of the roof and on the shorter side of the roof small structure with high fluctuation were formed. This type of fluctuating pressure could initiate the failure of roof coverings. For the 900 wind direction (Case 3) the oncoming flow reattached back to the roof at lee-ward and as a result part of the roof in the reattachment region experienced a low positive pressure (Figure 20 (d) and (e)). Overall there is a good agreement between the LES simulations of the gable roof models with and the experiments. 0 Cp (mean) -0.5 -1 Exp. LES (CFD) -1.5 -2 -2.5 0 0.2 0.4 x/L 0.6 0.8 1 (a) Case 1 Section 3 31 Cp (mean) 0 -0.5 -1 Exp. LES (CFD) -1.5 -2 0 0.2 0.4 x/L 0.6 0.8 1 (b) Case 2 0.5 Cp (mean) 0.25 0 Exp. -0.25 LES (CFD) -0.5 0 0.2 0.4 x/L 0.6 0.8 1 (c) Case 3 Figure0 19: Comparison of mean pressure coefficient of LES and BLWT data: (a) 00, (b) 450, and (c) 90 wind AoA. Section 3 32 (a) BLWT (b) CFD-LES (c) BLWT (d) CFD-LES (f) CFD-LES (d) BLWT Figure 20: Wind tunnel and CFD contour map of mean pressure coefficients on the gable roof building: (a) 00, (b) 450, and (c) 900 wind angle of attack. 5.1.2 Hip roof LES was used to assess the performance of hip roof building in comparison with the gable roof and its response for wind directionality effects three wind directions have been considered for the numerical and wind tunnel simulations. Table 4 summarizes the cases studied for the hip roof building. Table 4: Cases considered for LES and BLWT studies: Gable and hip roof buildings Case Roof type Case 1 Hip Section 3 Terrain exposure Open Azimuth (degree) 00 33 Case 2 Case 3 Hip Hip 450 900 Open Open Figure 21 shows the comparison of the mean pressure coefficients of the hip roof. The mean Cp is computed from the time-history of pressure recorded during the LES simulation and the BLWT testing. The LES simulations predicted the mean C p very well, especially for the 00 wind AoA. There is slight over-prediction of the time-averaged C p for the oblique wind. For Case 3 (900) the Cp measured at the centerline of the hip roof showed very small pressure coefficients ( C p 0 ). This is in line with the response of the gable roof building for the same wind direction (Figure 19(c)). 0 Cp (mean) -0.5 -1 Exp. -1.5 LES (CFD) -2 -2.5 0 0.2 0.4 x/L 0.6 0.8 1 (a) Section 3 34 0 Cp (mean) -0.5 -1 Exp. LES (CFD) -1.5 -2 0 0.2 0.4 x/L 0.6 0.8 1 0.4 x/L 0.6 0.8 1 (b) 0.5 Cp (mean) 0.25 0 Exp. -0.25 LES (CFD) -0.5 0 0.2 (c) Figure0 21 Comparison of mean pressure coefficient of LES and BLWT data: (a) 00, (b) 450, and (c) 90 wind AoA on the roof of a Hip roof building. Figure 22 shows the contour map of a typical gable roof under turbulent wind field. The LES reproduced most of the important flow features such as separation, re-attachment and corner vortices on the surface of the building. Quantitatively, there is a good agreement between the LES and the BLWT results. Section 3 35 (a) BLWT (b) CFD (c) BLWT (d) CFD (e) BLWT (f) CFD Figure 22:0 Wind tunnel and CFD contour map of mean pressure coefficients for hip roof building: (a) 0 , (b) 450, and (c) 900 wind angle of attack. Section 3 36 The use of a time-history approach and transient inflow turbulence contributed to the improved prediction of wind loads for oblique wind direction, which usually for such type of wind the numerical simulations fail to accurately estimate the wind effects. The assumption of constant integral length and turbulent intensities in the lateral and vertical directions, due to the size of the mode scale it was not possible to measure these properties in the lower part of the study buildings during the wind tunnel testing, attributed to the slight discrepancies of the LES results. 5.2 Wind-induced responses low-rise houses with complex roof shapes As stated in the introduction section, the design wind load evaluation of building with complex roof shapes are not covered in the codes such as ASCE7. As part of this research project two buildings with a typical complex roof shapes that are common in the State of Florida have been investigated for wind pressure loads, numerically. The CFD results were compared with BLWT data generously provided by the UF/UWO research group. Table 5 shows the cases considered, the terrain exposure and the wind directions. Time-history of pressure data were recorded at the pressure taps systematically distributed on the critical section of the roofs (Figure 23). Table 5 Cases considered for LES and BLWT studies: Complex roof shap buildings Case FL27 FL27 with neighboring FL30 FL30 with neighboring Section 3 Roof type Complex Complex Complex Complex Terrain exposure Exposure B Exposure B Exposure B Exposure B Azimuth (degree) 1200 1200 1200 1200 37 (b) (a) Figure 23: distribution of pressure taps for LES simulation: (a) FL27 and (b) FL30 The mean pressure coefficients of the LES simulations and the BLWT data for complex roof FL27 were plotted along the pressure tap lines and compared, as shown in Figure 24. The prediction of the time-averaged Cp by the LES follows the same pattern as the experimental data. Figure 25 shows the mean pressure coefficient profiles for the FL30 measure at the highlighted taps. Overall the mean pressure coefficient profile of the LES simulations near the ridge showed some discrepancies from the experiment. The pressure load distribution on the roofs these models displayed a variation that is completely different from the one by the regular shape models. However, considering the sharp edge of the building and assumption of used in translating the wind tunnel data to the CFD modeling (such as the assumption of constant integral length in the lateral and span, turbulent intensity), the results are very encouraging. Section 3 38 LES (No neighboring houses) BLWT (No neighboring houses) LES (With neighboring houses) BLWT (With neighboring houses) 0.5 0.3 Cp mean 0.0 -0.3 -0.5 -0.8 -1.0 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 y coordinate (ft) (a) LES (No neighboring houses) BLWT(No neighboring houses) LES (with neighboring houses) BLWT(with neighboring houses) 0.2 0.0 Cp mean -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8 -1.0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 y coordinate (ft) (b) Figure 24: Mean pressure coefficient of FL27 from CFD and BLWT: (a) plot along the east of the roof and (b) plot along west side of the roof. Section 3 39 LES (No neighboring houses) BLWT (no neighboring houses) LES (with neighboring houses) BLWT (with neighboring houses) 0.2 0.0 Cp mean -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8 -1.0 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 y coordinate (ft) (a) LES (no neighboring houses) BLWT (no neighboring houses) LES (with neighboring houses) BLWT (with neighboring houses) 0.2 0.0 Cp mean -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8 -1.0 35 40 45 50 55 60 x coordinate (ft) (b) Figure 25: Mean pressure coefficients of FL30 from CFD and BLWT: (a) plot along the east of the roof and (b) plot along west side of the roof. Section 3 40 The contour map of the mean pressure coefficients shown in Figure 26 illustrates how the neighboring buildings could affect the wind load distribution of the target or study building. The interference and sheltering effects resulting from the surrounding houses modified the contour map. In some case it increased in the pressure loads in another instance it increases the suction pressure load. These highlights the importance of consider these effects when evaluating the design wind loads for roofs of irregular shapes buildings. (a) FL 27: isolated house (b) FL27: With neighboring houses (c) FL30: isolated houses (d) FL30: With neighboring houses Figure 26: CFD counter maps of mean pressure coefficients To illustrate the importance of studying wind directionality, velocity streamlines of two wind direction were studied. Figure 27 and Figure 28 show the surface velocity streamlines of FL27 Section 3 41 and FL30 with neighboring buildings, respectively. The neighboring structures clearly changed the flow dynamics of at the incidence plane of the study buildings. Because of these, channeling, sheltering, and wake effects were observed. (a) (b) Figure 27: Surface velocity streamlines of FL27 with neighboring houses: (a) 00 and (b) 1200 (a) (b) Figure 28: Surface velocity streamlines of FL30 with neighboring houses: (a) 00 and (b) 1200 6 Conclusions Numerical investigation of wind-induce pressure loads on building with regular and complex roof shapes were carried out using the technique of LES. The study of the roof pressure distribuSection 3 42 tion revealed that the mean pressure coefficient predicted by the LES simulation is in a good agreement with the wind tunnel data. The study also showed that oblique angle wind could introduce uplift pressure loads. The models with complex roof shapes showed mixed pressure distribution on the roof (positive and negative pressure) as opposed the regularly shaped models where separation and reattachment location are clearly known. In the futures, other wind load statics such as fluctuating (rms), peak minimum, and peak maximum pressure coefficients could be extracted to reveal the readiness of numerical approach. LES captured the common fact that mean pressures on the gable roof are generally higher than those on the hip roof which has been confirmed by a number of similar previous studies as well. On both roof models, high suction pressures were observed on areas close to the windward edge and near the middle ridge. This makes sense physically since these are the areas where flow separation is expected to occur. The highest magnitude roof suction pressures were observed in the corner areas close to the edges for both roof types. On the hip roof model, the highest suction pressure was observed when the wind comes from diagonal directions, while the highest suction pressures on the gable roof model was observed when the wind comes perpendicular to the short dimension. LES was found very useful for complex roof cases, where building standards and codes do not provide design wind loads. The mean pressure coefficients between LES and wind tunnel data revealed there is a general agreement between the two. The flow visualization from LES could be useful to rationally encourage design of low rise building for wind performance. It is fair to conclude that CFD simulation such as LES can be used as an alternative tool for wind pressure load evaluation of low-rise building at least for preliminary design. Section 3 43 7 Acknowledgements The financial support from Florida Department of Emergency Management (FDEM) is gratefully acknowledged. We are grateful to Drs Gurley, Prevat, Masters and Kopp for providing us the wind tunnel data used for the complex roof comparison (NSF Grant CMMI-0928563). 8 References ASCE-7 2010. ASCE/SEI 7-10 Minimum design loads for buildings and other structures. American Society of Civil Engineers, Reston, VA. 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Appendix A: FL27 House Model Dimensions Section 3 46 Figure A. 1: Roof Layout view Figure A. 2: North Wall Elevation Section 3 47 Figure A. 3: South Wall Elevation Figure A. 4: West Wall Elevation Figure A. 5: West Wall Elevation Section 3 48 Figure A. 6: Wall Perimeter Plan Appendix B: FL30 House Model Dimensions Section 3 49 Figure B. 1: Roof Layout view Figure B. 2: North Wall Elevation Section 3 50 Figure B. 3: South Wall Elevation Figure B. 4: East Wall Elevation Figure B. 5: West Wall Elevation Section 3 51 Figure B. 6: Wall Perimeter Plan Section 3 52 Appendix C: FL27 Neighboring Houses Figure C. 1: Proximity Model Layout Section 3 53 Figure C. 2: E1 Figure C. 3: E2 Section 3 54 Figure C. 4: NE1 Figure C. 5: NE2 Section 3 55 Figure C. 6: NW1 Figure C. 7: NW2 Section 3 56 Figure C. 8: SE1 Figure C. 9: SE Section 3 57 Figure C. 10: SW1 Figure C. 11: SW2 Section 3 58 Figure C. 12: W1 Figure C. 13: W2 Section 3 59 Figure C. 14: W3 Section 3 60 Appendix D: FL30 Neighboring Houses Figure D. 1: Proximity Model Layout Section 3 61 Figure D. 2: 4012 Figure D. 3: 4014 Section 3 62 Figure D. 4: 4015 Figure D. 5: 4017 Section 3 63 Figure D. 6: 4019 Figure D. 7: 4021 Section 3 64 Figure D. 8: 4013, 4029 Figure D. 9: 4025 Section 3 65 Figure D. 10: 4026 Figure D. 11: 4027 Section 3 66 Figure D. 12: 4030 Section 3 67 A Resource for the State of Florida HURRICANE LOSS REDUCTION FOR HOUSING IN FLORIDA FINAL REPORT For the Period March 30, 2012 to July 31, 2012 SECTION 4 Investigating Household Perceptions of Coastal Vulnerability and Preferences for Risk Mitigation A Research Project Funded by: The State of Florida Division of Emergency Management Through Contract #12RC-5S-11-23-22-369 Prepared by Pallab Mozumder, PhD, Evan Flugman The International Hurricane Research Center (IHRC) Florida International University (FIU) August 1, 2012 Table of Contents Executive Summary 6 1.0 Introduction 12 2.0 Background 15 3.0 Methodology 26 4.0 Results 30 5.0 Discussion 74 6.0 Conclusions 79 References 82 Appendices 94 Section 4 2 List of Figures Figure Page Figure 1. Endemic Vulnerability Diagram 16 Figure 2. The 2004 and 2005 Hurricane Seasons 17 Figure 3. The 2004 Hurricane Season: Overlapping Damage Swaths 18 Figure 4. Survey Respondents by Florida County 28 Figure 5a. Concern a Major Hurricane Will Damage Home This Year 32 Figure 5b. Concern a Major Hurricane Will Damage Home Within Ten Years 32 Figure 6a. Concern a Major Hurricane Will Cause Significant Damage to Home This Year 33 Figure 6b. Concern a Major Hurricane Will Cause Significant Damage to Home Within Ten Years 33 Figure 7. Models Foresee More Category 4 and 5 Hurricanes in a Warmed Climate 34 Figure 8. The Economic Threat of More Destructive Hurricanes Due to Climate Change 35 Figure 9. Institutional Accountability Overall 36 Figure 10. Institutional Effectiveness: Disaster Risk Reduction 37 Figure 11. Enhancing Resilience with Land-Use and Building Codes 38 Figure 12. The My Safe Florida Home Program 39 Figure 13. A Publically Accessible Mitigation Database 41 Figure 14. A ‘Florida Pre-Disaster Mitigation Fund’ 42 Figure 15. Willingness-to-Pay to Support a ‘Florida Pre-Disaster Mitigation Fund’ 43 Figure 16. Hurricane Surcharges and Assessments 44 Figure 17. Multi-Year and Long-Term Flood Insurance Contracts 46 Figure 18. A Comprehensive Insurance Program 47 Figure 19. Tax-Free Catastrophe Savings Accounts 48 Figure 20. A Mitigation Choice Experiment: Roof System 52 Figure 21. A Mitigation Choice Experiment: Opening Protection 53 Figure 22. Certainty Level of Mitigation Choice Preferences 54 Section 4 3 List of Figures (continued) Figure Page Figure 23. Gender of Respondents 56 Figure 24. Age of Respondents 56 Figure 25. Educational Background of Respondents 57 Figure 26. Ethnicity of Respondents 58 Figure 27. Marital Status of Respondents 59 Figure 28. Household Size of Respondents 59 Figure 29. Number of Children in Respondents’ Household 60 Figure 30. Household Income of Respondents 61 Figure 31. Political Affiliation of Respondents 63 Figure 32. Years Respondents Living in Florida 63 Figure 33. Mortgage Holders Among Respondents 64 Figure 34. Home Values of Respondents 64 Figure 35. Year Respondents’ Homes Built 65 Figure 36. Building Code Level of Respondents’ Roofing Systems 66 Figure 37. Building Code Level of Respondents’ Opening Protection 67 Figure 38. Square Footage of Respondents’ Homes 68 Figure 39. Roof Covering on Respondents’ Homes 69 Figure 40. Roof Shape of Respondent’s Homes 69 Figure 41. Percentage of Respondents with Wind Insurance 70 Figure 42. Percentage of Respondents with Flood Insurance 71 Figure 43. Percentage of Respondents with Mandatory Flood Insurance 71 Figure 44. Number of Damaging Hurricane Hits of Respondents in 2004 and 2005 72 Figure 45. Strategic Resilience Diagram 78 Section 4 4 Table List of Tables Page Table 1. Residential Storm Surge Exposure Estimates for 10 U.S. Cities 20 Table 2. Survey Respondents by Florida County 29 Table 3. Mitigation Choice Experiment: Roof System 94 Table 4. Mitigation Choice Experiment: Opening Protection 94 Table 5. Concern, Accountability, and Effectiveness Variables 95 Table 6. Mitigation and Insurance Variables 96 Table 7. Mitigation Choice Experiment Variables 97 Table 8. Socio-demographic Variables 98 Table 9. Respondents’ Home Characteristics and Insurance Variables 99 Table 10. Hurricane Experience and Structural Damage History Variables 100 Table 11. Interior Damage and Water Intrusion Variables 101 Section 4 5 Executive Summary 1.0 Introduction and Background Vulnerability to natural hazards is exacerbated by a complex array of inter-related chronic and emergent challenges, which undermine the effective design and implementation of disaster risk reduction policies and social-ecological resilience. As unsustainable development (underinvestment in risk reduction measures and environmental degradation) continues virtually unabated in historically hazard-prone and increasingly strained mega-urban landscapes, catastrophic losses from extreme hydro-meteorological events are fueling an untenable rise in annual government response and recovery costs and long-term risks for consumers and taxpayers. The near and longer-term impacts of climate change will amplify vulnerability, particularly in the world’s low-lying coastal zones and among the poorest and most vulnerable members of society. Moreover, substantial barriers impede the pursuit of status-quo altering pathways of systemic resilience; namely, insufficient resources and the high cost of mitigation measures, limited direction and leadership, and lack of institutional frameworks to initiate and sustain a holistic, social-ecological response. A transformational, all-hazards, disaster risk reduction initiative is required to mitigate the rising tide of catastrophes, effectively insure against future natural hazards, and adapt to climate change. Now is the time to invest in the sustainability of our coastal communities, the benefits will reverberate far beyond the shore. 1.1 Florida: A State of Risk With over $2.5 trillion of insured coastal exposure, including over $1.25 trillion in residential exposure, situated in the heart of the Atlantic Hurricane Basin, the State of Florida ranks as one of the most vulnerable places to natural disaster losses on the planet. Communities across the State of Florida were devastated by the 2004 and 2005 Hurricane Seasons. In a 44-day period in 2004, Floridians endured four powerful hurricanes collectively exceeding the losses from Hurricane Andrew (1992). Roughly 20 % of Florida’s residential building stock was damaged or destroyed (over one million homes). As a result, The National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) was saddled with $20 billion in debt, Florida’s quasi-public insurance system went into a state of upheaval, one that it is still far from recovering from, and private insures fled the state. Section 4 6 Although Floridians have been sparred over the past few years, future hurricanes are inevitable. Hurricanes cannot be prevented, but their effects can be mitigated. Most of the damage from wind/wind-borne debris and wind-driven rainwater intrusion could have been significantly reduced. For instance, homes constructed to the most-up-to date building codes suffered appreciably fewer losses in 2004 and 2005 than homes constructed to older standards, including structural damage, as well as costly interior damage from wind-driven rainwater intrusion. While the U.S. has dramatically reduced the loss of life from natural hazards, economic losses are skyrocketing. The ability of the U.S. to mitigate and insure against natural hazards and adapt to climate change can be greatly improved. 1.2 Research Objectives This research focused on risk perceptions and mitigation behavior among a diverse sample of households from across the State of Florida. We investigated how households perceive the annual threat of property damage from hurricanes, particularly from major hurricanes (Category 3, 4, and 5); projections of more destructive hurricanes due to climate change; institutional accountability overall and institutional effectiveness at disaster risk reduction. We then explored households’ preferences for an array of mitigation measures and insurance reforms to enhance coastal resilience, including willingness to support stricter building codes and zoning laws, multi-year flood insurance contracts, a comprehensive insurance program, and, among other things, a ‘Florida Pre-Disaster Mitigation Fund’, to sponsor an expansion of predisaster mitigation programs (with additional state funding above and beyond federal dollars) focused on strengthening the built environment before hurricanes strike. We also examined households’ willingness to invest in a menu of realistic, low and higher cost roofing and opening protection options, in a Mitigation Choice Experiment, when presented with a package of salient vulnerability information, including a video presentation of the costly losses associated with wind-driven rainwater intrusion and the cost-effectiveness of response options, as well as, a meaningful incentive. We also collected households’ socio-demographic information and housing characteristics, as well as an overview of recent hurricane experiences and damages. We discuss our findings in the context of enhancing coastal social-ecological resilience, by developing innovative mitigation technologies, products, policies, and public engagement strategies, to minimize the loss of life and property from all-hazards, in Florida and beyond. Section 4 7 3.0 Methodology 3.1 The Survey Instrument An in-depth online survey was developed for households, including questions on some of the major challenges facing Florida. The survey consisted of five sections including 40 attitudinal and behavioral questions (yes/no, multiple-choice, rating scales, check all, and referendum style questions). The survey made use of the latest scientific data, models, and risk assessments available. Before implementation, the survey was also extensively tested by a diverse sample of government experts and decision-makers and academicians. 3.2 Sample Selection A database of contact information for over 400,000 households who had applied to the My Safe Florida Home (MSFH) Program beginning in 2007 was acquired from the State of Florida. A random sample of 40,000 households, whose email addresses were available, was selected for the survey study. 3.3 Data Collection Households were contacted by email beginning on Wednesday, May 2, 2012, and invited through a brief letter including a link to the survey website to complete an online questionnaire on or before June 1, 2012. The invitation specified that the survey was voluntary, but that their participation was very important. Households were asked to please fill out the questionnaire to the best of their ability. They were informed that responses were strictly confidential, and no individual respondents could be identified. Two email reminders were sent during the third and fifth Wednesdays of May 2012. Of the 40,000 email invitations, 38 requests were returned with bad addresses. Adjusted for undeliverable emails, the response rate was 4.3 %, with 1,710 usable responses received over 31 days, including households from 46 of 67 Florida counties. 4.0 Results Analysis of 1,710 survey responses from households across the State of Florida revealed the following core findings: ‘Florida Pre-Disaster Mitigation Fund’ A large majority of households (69%) support the creation of the proposed ‘Florida Pre-Disaster Mitigation Fund’, to sponsor an expansion of pre-disaster mitigation programs (with additional state funding above and beyond federal dollars) Land-Use Planning A large majority of households (76%) are highly supportive of increasing setbacks along Florida’s shoreline to enhance coastal resilience. A large majority of households (74%) are highly supportive of stricter density restrictions in Florida’s low-lying areas to enhance coastal resilience. Florida Building Codes A large majority of households (70%) are highly supportive of strengthening Florida building codes to enhance coastal resilience. A large majority of households (72%) are highly supportive of new elevation standards for Florida’s roads and buildings to enhance coastal resilience. Institutional Accountability The federal government received an overall accountability score of 5.3 out of 10; the State of Florida received a 5.5; Counties received a 5.3; Municipalities received a 5.2; Insurance companies received a 6.0. Disaster Risk Reduction Effectiveness The federal government received a disaster risk reduction effectiveness score of 4.8 of 10; the State of Florida received a 5.2; Counties received a 5.2; Municipalities received a 4.9; Insurance companies received a 4.5. Section 4 9 Florida’s Property Insurance System: Post-Loss Financing Only 42 % of households are highly supportive of continued State surcharges and assessments to pay for hurricane losses after-the fact. Multi-Year Flood Insurance Contracts Only 45 % of households are highly supportive of 5-year flood insurance contracts. A Comprehensive Insurance Program A large majority of households (73%) are highly supportive of a comprehensive insurance program (combined flood and wind insurance program). Mitigation Choice Experiment We examined households’ willingness to invest in a menu of realistic, low and higher cost roofing and opening protection options, in a Mitigation Choice Experiment, when presented with a package of salient vulnerability information, including a video presentation of the costly losses associated with wind-driven rainwater intrusion and the cost-effectiveness of response options, as well as, a meaningful incentive. The experiment proceeded as follows: the Information Treatment group received the salient vulnerability information package ahead of the Mitigation Choice Experiment; the Incentive Treatment group received an incentive in the form of a matching grant of up to $10,000, but not the vulnerability information; the Combined Treatment group received both the vulnerability information and the $10,000 matching grant. Households’ roofing preferences are presented in Figure 4. Option A ($13,000) included a new hurricane-rated roof covering, secondary water barrier, strengthening of the roof deck, reinforced roof-to-wall connections, bracing gable-ends and reinforcing soffits. Option B ($7000) included an interior hurricane spray-foam adhesive, reinforced roof-to-wall connections, bracing gableends and reinforcing soffits. Section 4 10 5.0 Discussion and Conclusions Survey findings can provide systematic information on multiple scales. Our findings suggest avenues for potential risk reduction strategies that can be implemented by federal, state, and local agencies, including county and municipal governments in vulnerable coastal communities. The design and implementation of robust mitigation policies can help break the cycle of disaster: reducing the loss of life, property damage, local economic disruption, the cost and time of response and recovery, the risk of repeated disaster, as well as the financial burden on state and local communities and the nation as a whole. Not all natural hazards events have to become widespread natural disasters. From South Florida to Jacksonville, Fort Myers to Tampa Bay, Orlando to the Panhandle, and beyond, coastal vulnerability is amplified by unsustainable development (underinvestment in disaster risk reduction and environmental degradation). The main drivers include: hallow state and local growth management plans and imprudent federal floodplain management, overcome by development pressures; inconsistent state and local policies to adopt and enforce stricter building codes; weak federal, state and local mandates and distorted incentives to avoid or reduce risk, including over-reliance on billions of dollars in annual federal disaster relief and recovery spending; unsound federal and state insurance subsidies promoting systemic risk; trillions of dollars in deteriorating infrastructure; as well as fragmented programs to protect or restore natural capital. The 2004 and 2005 hurricane seasons were a wake-up call, not an aberration – a lesson in resilience thinking. Today, in most coastal areas across the U.S., exposure to natural hazards is growing and vulnerability is increasing, resilience is increasing in certain aspects, but decreasing in others. In short, the ability of Florida, and the U.S. as a whole, to mitigate and insure against natural hazards and adapt to climate change can be greatly improved. This involves setting new priorities, including the strategic investment of new dollars, knowing that every $1 spent on mitigation saves society an average of $4. Transitioning our institutions and coastal communities to address these dynamic challenges will require a combination of novel decision-making criteria, public-private partnerships, regulatory and market-based mechanisms, and significant investments in physical and social infrastructure. Expanded investment in meteorology and climatology, as well as risk reducing measures, is essential to marshal resources and lay the foundation for institution building and strategic pre-disaster risk reduction initiatives. Section 4 11 1.0 Introduction Vulnerability to natural hazards is exacerbated by a complex array of interrelated chronic and emergent challenges, which undermine the effective design and implementation of disaster risk reduction policies and social-ecological resilience (Allenby and Fink, 2005; Walker et al., 2009; Alesch et al., 2011; Leonard, 2012). As unsustainable development (i.e., underinvestment in risk reduction measures and environmental degradation) continues virtually unabated in historically hazard-prone and increasingly strained mega-urban landscapes, catastrophic losses from extreme hydro-meteorological events are fueling an untenable rise in annual government response and recovery costs and long-term risks for consumers and taxpayers (ASCE, 2009; Cummins et al., 2010; Barnosky et al., 2012; Kunruether et al., 2012). The near and longer-term impacts of climate change will amplify vulnerability to natural hazards, particularly in the world’s low-lying coastal zones and among the poorest and most vulnerable members of society (Milly et al., 2008; IPCC, 2012; Martinich et al., 2012). Moreover, substantial barriers impede the pursuit of status-quo altering pathways of systemic resilience; namely, insufficient resources and the high cost of mitigation measures, limited direction and leadership, and lack of institutional frameworks to initiate and sustain a holistic response (Adger and Barnett 2009; Hallegatte, 2009; Moser and Elkstrom, 2010; Kates et al., 2012). A transformational, all-hazards, disaster risk reduction initiative is required to mitigate the rising tide of catastrophes, effectively insure against future natural hazards, and adapt to climate change (Heinz et al., 2009; Folke et al., 2010; Mutter, 2010; Llyods, 2011; Smith et al., 2011; Park et al., 2012). Now is the time to invest in the sustainability of our coastal communities, the benefits will reverberate far beyond the shore. 1.1 Florida: A State of Risk With over $2.5 trillion of insured coastal exposure, including $1.25 trillion in insured residential exposure, situated in the heart of the Atlantic Hurricane Basin, the State of Florida Section 4 12 ranks as one of the most vulnerable places to natural disaster losses on the planet (Hartiwg, 2010; Florida Tax Watch, 2011). The urban, coastal population and economic centers of South Florida, Tampa Bay, and Jacksonville are at high-risk of potentially catastrophic, Katrina-scale, losses from major hurricanes (Category 3, 4, and 5), today and increasingly so, for the foreseeable future (FASS, 2010; Zhang, 2010; Bjarnadottir et al., 2011a; CoreLogic 2011; Genovese et al., 2011). Unfortunately, we do not appear to be heeding the warnings with respect to reducing population growth and development in high-risk coastal areas (Emmanuel et al., 2006; Chapin et al., 2007; Sun, 2011). By 2030, Florida’s population is projected to increase by roughly 10 million people, from 19 million to 29 million people (U.S. Census Bureau, 2005; U.S. Census Bureau, 2011). 1.2 Strategic Resilience in A New Era of Risk While the U.S. has dramatically reduced the loss of life from natural hazards, economic losses are skyrocketing (U.S. GAO 2007a; Hartiwg, 2012; NOAA, 2012). Since 1980, combined decadal losses from natural disasters have increased seven-fold (NRC, 2011). Cummins et al. (2010) project federal disaster assistance could total $7 trillion over the next seventy-five years. Today, in most coastal areas throughout the U.S., exposure to natural hazards is growing and vulnerability is increasing, resilience is increasing in certain aspects, but decreasing in others. In short, the ability of Florida, and the U.S. as a whole, to mitigate and insure against natural hazards and adapt to climate change can be greatly improved (Godschalk, 2003; Leatherman and White, 2005; NRC, 2006; U.S. GAO, 2007b; NRC, 2009; FEMA, 2011; Michel-Kerjan and Kunreuther, 2011; U.S. GAO 2011a; U.S. GAO 2011b). There is however, opportunity in this crisis, and there is evidence to back it up – every dollar spent on mitigation saves society about four dollars in recovery costs, helps stabilize the property insurance market and reduce premiums (MMC, 2005; Heinz et al., 2009; Llyods, 2011). Section 4 13 1.3 Research Objectives This research focused on the risk perceptions and mitigation decision-making among a diverse sample of households from across the State of Florida. More specifically, we investigated how households perceive the annual threat of property damage from hurricanes, particularly the threat of major hurricanes (Category 3, 4, and 5), the risk of more destructive hurricanes due to climate change, institutional accountability overall and the effectiveness of institutions at managing coastal vulnerability. Exploring households’ preferences for an array of mitigation measures and insurance reforms to enhance coastal resilience, we investigated their willingness to support stricter building codes and zoning laws, a comprehensive insurance program, multiyear flood insurance contracts, and among other things, a proposed ‘Florida Pre-Disaster Mitigation Fund’, to sponsor an expansion of pre-disaster mitigation programs (with additional state funding above and beyond federal dollars) focused on strengthening the built environment before hurricanes strike. We also examined households’ willingness to invest in a menu of realistic, low and higher cost roofing and opening protection options in a Mitigation Choice Experiment, when presented with a package of salient vulnerability information, including a video presentation of the costly losses associated with wind-driven rainwater intrusion and the cost-effectiveness of response options, as well as, meaningful incentives. We then collected households’ socio-demographic information and housing characteristics, including a profile of households’ insurance coverage. Lastly, we gathered information regarding households’ recent hurricane experiences and damage histories, including interior damages from wind-driven rainwater intrusion. We discuss our findings in the context of enhancing coastal social-ecological resilience, by developing innovative mitigation technologies, Section 4 14 products, policies, and public engagement strategies, to minimize the loss of life and property from all-hazards, in Florida and beyond. 2.0 Background Eight of the ten costliest hurricanes in U.S. history occurred within the last decade, seven of ten impacted the State of Florida, incurring vast losses to life and property, with national repercussions (Blake et al., 2007; NOAA, 2012). “The result of an accelerating spiral of risk-taking… the increasing mismatch between assets-at-risk and investments in risk reducing measures” (Kunreuther et al., 2012, p.2). From South Florida to Jacksonville, Fort Myers to Tampa Bay, Orlando to the Panhandle and beyond, coastal vulnerability is amplified by unsustainable development (underinvestment in disaster risk reduction measures and environmental degradation) (see Figure 1). The main drivers of unsustainable development include: hallow state and local growth management plans and imprudent federal floodplain management, overwhelmed by development pressures; inconsistent state and local policies to adopt and enforce stricter building codes; weak federal, state, and local mandates and distorted incentives to avoid or reduce risk, including over-reliance on annual federal disaster relief and recovery spending; unsound federal and state insurance subsidies promoting systemic risk; trillions of dollars in deteriorating infrastructure; as well as fragmented programs to protect or restore natural capital, including natural storm buffers (Platt, 1999; Miletti and Gailus, 2005; Salvesen, 2005; Burby, 2006; Comfort, 2006; Bagstad at al., 2007; Gaddis et al., 2007; Deyle et al., 2007; Brody et al., 2010; Holladay and Schwartz, 2010; Berke et al., 2012).1 1 Critical infrastructure, “the lifelines of our coastal cities – are already facing pressures they were not designed to withstand” (Heinz, 2009). Of particular concern: water management Section 4 15 Figure 1. Endemic Vulnerability Diagram Unsustainable Development Natural Hazards Under Investment in Mitigation & Environmental Degradation Near & Long Term Impacts Present & Future Frequency & Intensity Subjective Risk Perception & Decision Bias Climate Change Endemic Vulnerability Public & Private Financial Risks Uninsured & Underinsured 2.1 ‘What’s Past is Prologue’ in Hurricane Alley Coastal communities across the State of Florida and the Gulf of Mexico were overwhelmed by the 2004 and 2005 hurricane seasons; inland counties (where building codes remain less stringent) were hard hit as well (see Figure 2) (FEMA, 2005a; NRC, 2006).2 The systems (surface and ground-water) responsible for water supply, treatment, and flood control (Milly et al., 2008; ASCE, 2009; Tryhorn, 2010; Rosenzweig et al., 2011; AWWA, 2012). The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) recently filed a complaint against Miami-Dade County to upgrade its 7,500 mile wastewater collection treatment system and plants, said to be in violation of the Clean Water Act, the estimated cost is $1 billion (Rabin and Morgan, 2012) 2 Four hurricanes battered Florida in 2004, including three major hurricanes with sustained winds of at least 178 km/hr (Category 3, 4, and 5), a first in recorded history. Florida was hit by Section 4 16 “physical and human devastation [unequivocally demonstrated] the consequences both to individuals and to society of not being prepared…despite ample warnings” (Leatherman and Williams, 2008, p.7). The devastation of 2004 and 2005 was a wake-up call, not an aberration – a lesson in resilience thinking (FEMA, 2005b; NSB, 2007; Liu, 2011). Figure 2. The 2004 and 2005 Hurricane Seasons Source: AIR Worldwide In a 44-day period in August and September of 2004, Floridians endured four powerful hurricanes (three major hurricanes), collectively exceeding the losses from Hurricane Andrew (1992). Many communities experienced direct hits from two to three hurricanes following Hurricanes Charley (4), Frances (2), Ivan (3), and Jeanne (3) (Franklin et al., 2006). The 2005 season was the most active on record, five hurricanes made landfall in the U.S., including four major hurricanes. Florida was hit by Dennis (3), Katrina (1), and Wilma (3) (Beven et al. 2008). Section 4 17 similar paths, intensifying their impacts (see Figure 3). Along the Northwest corner of the Florida Panhandle (counties exempt from the minimum building code requirements), were flattened by Hurricane Ivan (2004) and again by Hurricane Dennis (2005) (U.S. GAO, 2007a). In the wake of the 2004 hurricane season, roughly 20 % of Florida’s residential building stock was damaged or destroyed (one million single-family homes) (FEMA, 2005b; FDFS, 2010).3 Figure 3. The 2004 Hurricane Season: Overlapping Damage Swaths Source: The Palm Beach Post At a cost of over $220 billion (insured and uninsured losses), the eight landfalling hurricanes of 2004 and 2005 resulted in extensive loss of life, displaced families, millions of severely damaged or destroyed homes, commercial and industrial buildings and critical 3 As of 2006, the Florida panhandle was no longer exempt from meeting the requirements of the Florida Building Code (U.S.GAO, 2007a). Section 4 18 infrastructure facilities and economic disruption (NOAA, 2012). The devastation showed that the U.S. “remains notably vulnerable to catastrophic damage and loss of life from natural hazards” (NSB, 2007, p. 8-9). The National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) was saddled with $20 billion in debt, the quasi-public Florida Insurance System went into a state of upheaval, on par if not worse than in the aftermath of Hurricane Andrew and one that it is still far from recovering from, and private insures fled the state. In the aftermath of the 2004 and 2005 hurricane seasons, Florida and Gulf Coast residents are struggling regarding the availability and affordability of property insurance and there are serious risks for state and federal taxpayers (Grace and Klein, 2009; Hartwig, 2010; Macdonald et al., 2010; Michel-Kerjan, 2010; Hartwig and Wilkinson, 2012; Lehrer and Lehmann, 2012; Michel-Kerjan et al., 2012). 2.2 ‘Clear and Present Danger’ Since 1970 Florida’s population has nearly tripled, growing from 6.8 million residents to more than 19 million residents in 2012, and coastal development in areas most at risk from hurricanes and flooding boomed, in clear conflict with long-term mitigation goals, policies, growth management plans, etc. (U.S. Census Bureau, 2011) (see Table 1).4 This extraordinary transformation has dramatically impacted Florida’s coastal environment, as well as the state’s ability to limit local coastal development inside and direct populations away from coastal high hazard areas (CHHAs) and to maintain or reduce evacuation times within the larger hurricane 4 Now the nation’s forth most populous state, Florida is on pace to become the nation’s third largest state (surpassing New York). Florida’s population was only 2.7 million in 1950, and less than 0.5 million in 1900 (U.S. Census Bureau, 2011). Section 4 19 vulnerability zones (HVZs) as mandated under the 1985 Growth Management Act (Burby, 2005; U.S. GAO 2007a; Deyle et al., 2008; Ntelekos et al., 2009; Brody et al., 2010; Sun, 2011).5 The Miami Metropolitan Area (fifth largest urban area and third largest skyline in the U.S.) ranks number one in the world in for cities with assets exposed to coastal flooding (Hanson et al., 2011).6 Loss estimates if the Great Miami Hurricane of 1926 struck today range from $140-$225 billion (U.S. GAO, 2007a; Pielke et al., 2008). Table 1. Residential Storm-Surge Exposure Estimates for 10 U.S. Cities Source: CoreLogic 5 The CHHA is defined as the evacuation zone for a Category 1 hurricane; the HVZ is defined as the area that would be evacuated for a Category 3 hurricane (Deyle et al., 2008). 6 From 1990 to 2010, Miami-Dade County’s population grew by 29 %, Broward grew by 39 %, and Palm Beach County grew by 53 % (U.S. Census Bureau, 1990; U.S. Census Bureau, 2012). Section 4 20 Measured by area, more than 80 % of low-lying land in Florida (below one-meter) is highly developed or intermediate, compared with only 45 % of coastal land from Georgia to Delaware (Titus et al., 2009). With over 75 % of its population living along the coast, Florida accounts for 30 % of all insured property along the Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico coasts, including 40 % of the subsidized National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) portfolio (Zaharan et al., 2009; Hartwig, 2010; Michel-Kerjan and Kousky, 2010).7 Meanwhile, the government-run Florida Citizens Property Insurance Corporation, intended to be the insurer of last resort for property owners who were legitimately unable to find coverage in the private market, is now the largest insurance provider in the state and the third largest underwriter of property insurance in the country. With 1.4 million heavily subsidized policies in force, a total exposure of $500 billion, and $3 billion in total premiums with surcharge, Florida Citizens has more than 23 % of the state’s personal and commercial residential policies in force (2.5 times the second largest provider (Cole et al., 2011; Florida TaxWatch, 2011; Florida Citizens, 2012; Lehrer and Lehmann, 2012).8 7 By law 25 % of flood insurance policies, mostly older ‘grandfathered’ pre-FIRM properties in Special Flood Hazard Areas (SFHAs), receive discounted premium rates that reflect only 3540 % of actual flood risk. These subsidized properties experience as much as five times more flood damage than properties with ‘full rates’. Criticism has also been raised that ‘full-rate’ properties don’t accurately reflect flood risk either (Michel-Kerjan, 2010; U.S. GAO, 2011a). 8 “Subsidies effectively shift the cost of assessments from the plan’s policyholders to policyholders and taxpayers …dilute the message of risk that actuarially sound premiums send to coastal dwellers. The effect is to encourage and enable even more vulnerable coastal development, further increasing residual market exposure and increasing the burden on taxpayers” (Hartwig and Wilkinson, 2012, p.25). Section 4 21 At over 2,170 kilometers (1,350 linear miles), Florida has the longest coastline in the contiguous U.S., including over 1,327 kilometers (825 miles) of sandy beaches, half of which are experiencing critical erosion (FDEP, 2011).9 From 1790 to 1990, Florida’s wetlands declined by nearly 50 %, from 19.575 million acres to 10.275 million acres (FDEP, 2011). A 0.6 meter rise in sea-level could transform over 50 % of the Everglades freshwater marsh into a saltwater system and contaminate the unconfined, surficial Biscayne Aquifer (the sole source of drinking water for over 6 million South Floridians) (Kimball, 2008; FDEP, 2011).10 The near and longer-term impacts of climate change, as well as fragmented programs to protect and restore Florida’s natural capital, including natural storm buffers, amplify vulnerability, particularly for the poorest and most vulnerable members of society (Costanza, et al., 2008; Anthoff et al., 2011; Mozumder et al., 2011; Hallegatte, 2012; Jevrejeva et al., 2012; Martinich et al., 2012; Schaeffer et al., 2012). “That vulnerability, combined with its highly concentrated coastal population, means that Florida will be a case study for other states and the world – either in how to prepare for rising sea levels or in what happens if you don’t” (Schrope, 2010, p.36). To avoid the unmanageable and manage the unavoidable, Florida’s institutions and communities will need to adapt. “A refined ability to identify where the most challenging barriers might lie affords the opportunity to better allocate resources and strategically design processes to overcome them…at all levels of decision-making” (Moser and Ekstrom, 2010, p.6). In this 9 Critical erosion refers to shoreline where public or private development, recreational interests, wildlife habitat, or cultural resources are threatened, in need of protection, or lost (FDEP, 2011). 10 The Kissimmee River - Lake Okeechobee - Everglades watershed (KOE) and Floridan aquifer system supports a $100 billion dollar agricultural sector and provides drinking water for Florida’s over 19 million residents (FOCC, 2008; FOCC, 2010). Section 4 22 context, expanded investment in meteorology and climatology, as well as adaptation, is essential to marshal resources and lay the foundation for institution building and strategic pre-disaster risk reduction initiatives (Higgins, 2008; FOCC, 2010; Kunreuther et al., 2011; U.S. GAO, 2011b; Yohe et al., 2011; Flugman et al., 2012; USGCRP, 2012).11 2.3 Offsetting Risk With Resilience Although Floridians have been sparred over the past few years, future landfalling hurricanes are inevitable. “Our nation would be wise to reduce the risk to this investment and population” (Chowdhury et al., 2009, p.1). Hurricanes cannot be prevented, but their physical and socioeconomic impacts can be substantially reduced with increased community resiliency and built environment sustainability (MMC, 2005; Bitsuamlak et al., 2009; Godschalk et al., 2009; Canbek et al., 2011; Canino et al., 2011; Chowdhury et al., 2011; Simiu et al., 2011). Most of the structural damage from wind/wind-borne debris and the interior damage from wind-driven rainwater intrusion suffered during the 2004 and 2005 hurricane seasons could have been significantly reduced (FEMA, 2005a; FEMA, 2005b). Homes constructed to the most-up-to date Florida building codes suffered appreciably fewer losses in 2004 and 2005 (up to 60% fewer losses) than homes constructed to older standards, including structural damages and costly interior damages from wind-driven rainwater intrusion - mold growth and damage to interior contents/ furnishings, finishes (ceilings, walls, flooring), and utilities (electrical, mechanical, plumbing) and 11 “Given the prospects for a 4◦C world [average global temperature increase of 4◦C or more], adaptation needs to be reconceptualized away from the incremental handling of residual risk to preparing for continuous (and potentially transformational) adaptation” (Smith et al., 2012, p.212). Section 4 23 subsequent additional living expenses (IBHS, 2007; RMS, 2009).12 An array of low and higher cost mitigation measures involving improved construction methods and retrofitting techniques exist for opening protection (e.g., installing impact-resistance windows and skylights, entry and sliding doors and garage doors or approved shutter or panels, and by securing and protecting vents) Similarly improved construction methods and retrofitting techniques for roof systems (e.g., installing new hurricane-rated roof coverings, exterior strengthening of the roof deck, exterior secondary water barriers, reinforcing roof-to-wall connections, bracing gable ends, reinforcing soffits, and applying interior hurricane spray foam adhesive for interior secondary water barrier and rood deck strengthening) is proven to substantially reduce hurricane-related damages (FDFS, 2009; Barbeau et al., 2010; Lopez et al., 2010; Salzano et al., 2010; Gurley and Masters 2011; IBHS, 2011; Pinelli et al., 2011). According to IBHS (2009), roof cover damage continues to be the largest, most frequent source of non-surge failures and losses related to hurricanes. Much is known about how to effectively retrofit roofs, and it should be the first place owners and builders address in order to reduce future losses. Analysis by RMS (2009) concluded that roof upgrades could reduce 100year storm losses by up to 55 % (20% more than by improving opening protection alone). Nearly all of the more than 400,000 homes inspected under the My Safe Florida Home (MSFH) Program (98%) were said to be in need of new roofs (FDFS, 2009). However, confronting the significant upfront costs of mitigation remains a major obstacle to homeowners’ widespread adoption of 12 For example, full-scale testing by Bitsuamlak et al. (2009) found that heavier weight asphalt secondary water barriers reduced wind-driven rainwater intrusion into the roof deck by as much as 75% than lighter weight versions and as much as 90% less for heavier weight synthetic secondary water barriers than lighter weight versions. Section 4 24 resilience-enhancing measures, particularly for lower-income households (U.S. GAO, 2007a; NRC, 2011). RMS (2009) estimates that the benefit of each $1 spent under the MSFH Program could be increased to $2.75 with the inclusion of roof mitigation matching grants and expansion to other locations in the state. Of the roughly five million single-family homes in Florida, over 85 % were built prior to the implementation of a stronger statewide building code in 2002 (FDSF, 2009). “Risk is offset by resilience…this resilience is a direct function of both capacity and economic prosperity (O’Brien et al., 2006, p.72-73). Households (and often contractors) face difficult choices and often hear conflicting information about risks and response options (Peacock, 2003; Sadowski et al., 2008; Bubeck et al., 2010; Lindell and Perry, 2011).13 The delivery of salient vulnerability information coupled with practical mitigation options and incentives, to homeowners living in hurricane prone communities in Florida and beyond, is a formidable, yet essential component of disaster risk reduction (NRC, 2006; U.S. GAO, 2007a). Coastal communities on low-lying barrier islands, coastal floodplains, and in deltaic regions are disproportionately vulnerable to hydro-meteorological events and environmental degradation. The 2004 and 2005 hurricane seasons were catastrophic evidence of the need for reform of mitigation policies in coastal areas. The physical and socioeconomic destruction, disproportionately affecting the poor and most vulnerable members of our society, revealed failures at all level of government – “a host of policies, plans, and practices gone badly awry” 13 For example, in 2010 revisions to the Florida Building Code (FBC) significantly extended the High Velocity Hurricane Zone (HVHZ) building code requirements further inland in the south central portion of Florida, but removed large stretches of coast along the Panhandle and in the northeast corner of the state around the highly populous Jacksonville area (FBC, 2010). Section 4 25 (Comfort, 2006, p. 501). Kunreuther refers to this investment-mitigation gap, “the combination of underinvestment in protection coupled with the general taxpayer financing losses after-the-fact”, as the natural disaster syndrome (Kunreuther et al., 2012, p.3). With billions of dollars spent on rescue and recovery after hurricanes strike, $9 trillion of insured coastal property along the Atlantic and Gulf Coasts, and trillions more in development projected over the next several decades, it is clear that we can and must be doing more to enhance resilience before future hurricanes strike (NSB, 2007; Heinz et al., 2009; FEMA, 2011; NRC, 2011). 3.0 Methodology This research focused on the risk perceptions and mitigation behavior among a diverse sample of households from across the State of Florida. More specifically, we investigated how households perceive the annual threat of property damage from hurricanes, particularly the threat posed by major hurricanes (Category 3, 4, and 5), the risk of more destructive hurricanes due to climate change, institutional accountability overall and institutional effectiveness at disaster risk reduction. Exploring households’ preferences for an array of mitigation measures and insurance reforms to enhance coastal resilience, we investigated their willingness to support stricter building codes and zoning laws, a comprehensive insurance program, multi-year flood insurance contracts, and among other things, a proposed ‘Florida Pre-Disaster Mitigation Fund’, to sponsor an expansion of pre-disaster mitigation programs (with additional state funding above and beyond federal dollars) focused on strengthening the built environment before hurricanes strike. We also examined households’ willingness to invest in a menu of realistic, low and high cost roofing and opening protection options in a Mitigation Choice Experiment, when presented with a package of salient vulnerability information, including a brief video presentation of the costly losses associated with wind-driven rainwater intrusion and the cost-effectiveness of response options, as well as, Section 4 26 meaningful incentives. We then collected households’ socio-demographic information and housing characteristics, including a profile of households’ insurance coverage. Lastly, we gathered information regarding households’ recent hurricane experiences and damage histories, including structural damage and interior damage from wind-driven rainwater intrusion. 3.1 The Survey Instrument An in-depth online survey was developed for households, including questions on some of the major challenges facing Florida. The survey consisted of five sections including 40 attitudinal and behavioral questions (yes/no, multiple-choice, rating scales, check all, and referendum style questions). The survey made use of the latest scientific data, models, and relevant assessments available. Before implementation, the survey was also extensively tested by a diverse sample of government experts and decision makers and academicians. 3.2 Sample Selection A database of contact information for over 400,000 households who applied to the My Safe Florida Home (MSFH) Program beginning in 2007 was acquired from the State of Florida. A random sample of 40,000 households, whose email addresses were available, was selected for the purposes of our survey study. 3.3 Data Collection Households were contacted by email beginning on Wednesday, May 2, 2012, and invited through a brief letter including a link to the survey website to complete an online questionnaire on or before Friday, June 1, 2012. The invitation specified that the survey was voluntary, but that Section 4 27 their participation was very important. Households were asked to please fill out the questionnaire to the best of their ability. They were informed that their responses were strictly confidential, and that no individual respondents could be identified. They were also informed that responses would be used for statistical analysis, and would only be released in summary format. Two email reminders were sent during the third and fifth Wednesdays of May 2012. Of the 40,000 email invitations, 38 requests were returned with bad addresses. Adjusted for undeliverable emails, the overall response rate was 4.3 %, with 1,710 usable responses received over 31 days, including households from 46 of 67 Florida counties where respondents’ zip codes were reported (See Figure 4). Findings indicating respondents’ substantial variations in risk perceptions, mitigation preferences, and backgrounds are presented in the next section. Section 4 28 Figure 4. Survey Respondents by Florida County Section 4 29 Table 2. Survey Respondents by Florida County 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. 28. 29. 30. 31. 32. 33. 34. 35. 36. 37. 38. County Alachua Baker Bay Bradford Brevard Broward Calhoun Charlotte Citrus Clay Collier Columbia Desoto Dixie Duval Escambia Flagler Franklin Gadsden Gilchrist Glades Gulf Hamilton Hardee Hendry Hernando Highlands Hillsborough Holmes Indian River Jackson Jefferson Lafayette Lake Lee Leon Levy Liberty N 3 0 11 0 86 169 0 25 12 5 25 0 1 0 14 68 9 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 13 1 65 1 22 0 0 0 15 54 14 0 0 39. 40. 41. 42. 43. 44. 45. 46. 47. 48. 49. 50. 51. 52. 53. 54. 55. 56. 57. 58. 59. 60. 61. 62. 63. 64. 65. 66. 67. County Madison Manatee Marion Martin Miami-Dade Monroe Nassau Okaloosa Okeechobee Orange Osceola Palm Beach Pasco Pinellas Polk Putnam Santa Rosa Sarasota Seminole St. Johns St. Lucie Sumter Suwannee Taylor Union Volusia Wakulla Walton Washington N Total 0 30 6 25 132 9 4 47 0 42 7 112 25 101 14 0 36 32 22 20 26 13 0 1 0 32 7 5 1 1,365 Notes: We received zip code locations for 1365 of 1710 responses; 46 of 67 Florida counties. Section 4 30 4.0 Results We present detailed findings of key survey results below. Survey findings are presented in five phases. Part One of the results section covers respondents’ risk perceptions, assessments of institutional accountability overall and institutional effectiveness at disaster risk reduction; Part Two focuses on respondents’ preferences for an array of mitigation measures and insurance reforms; Part Three presents the results of the Mitigation Choice Experiment; Part Four provides a detailed description of respondents’ socio-demographic backgrounds and home characteristics, including a profile of respondents’ insurance coverage; and Part Five explores respondents’ hurricane experiences and damage histories, including respondents’ structural damages and interior damages from hurricane wind-driven rainwater intrusion. The definitions and descriptive statistics of all variables and survey responses are also presented in tabular form in Appendix B. Section 4 31 4.1 Risk Perception, Institutional Accountability and Effectiveness Survey findings begin with Florida households’ concern about the annual risk of damaging hurricane landfalls, particularly the threat of major hurricanes (Category 3, 4, and 5). Respondents’ concern regarding a major hurricane damaging their home this hurricane season (2012) and concern regarding a major hurricane damaging their home within the next ten years are presented in Figures 5a and 5b respectively. With 1,689 reporting, 37.95 % of respondents expressed being highly concerned about a major hurricane damaging their home this hurricane season, 33.99 % were moderately concerned, and 28.06 % were minimally concerned. Regarding a major hurricane damaging their home within the next ten years, over half of respondents (51.89%) expressed being highly concerned, 27.45 % were moderately concerned, and 20.66 % were minimally concerned (N=1694).14 Households were then presented with a more specific, significant hurricane loss event, a major hurricane causing more damage to their home than 10 % of its assessed value, this hurricane season and within the next ten years, and asked to rate their level of concern. Regarding a major hurricane causing more damage to their home than 10 % of its assessed value this hurricane season, slightly more than one-third of respondents (36.00%) expressed being highly concerned, 30.25 % were moderately concerned, and 33.75 % were minimally concerned (N=1689). Regarding a major hurricane causing more damage to their home than 10 % of its assessed value sometime within the next ten years, approximately half of respondents (49.82 %) expressed being highly concerned, 25.12 % were moderately concerned, and 25.00 % were minimally concerned (N=1692) (see Figures 6a and 6b). 14 Responses for concern were collapsed from a 0 to 10 scale into three categories (0-3 minimally concerned, 4-6 moderately concerned, and 7-10 highly concerned). Section 4 32 Figure 5a. Concern a Major Hurricane Will Damage Home This Year Highly Concerned 38% Moderately Concerned 34% Minimally Concerned 28% N=1689 Figure 5b. Concern a Major Hurricane Will Damage Home Within Ten Years Highly Concerned 52% Moderarely Concerned 27% Minimally Concered 21% N=1694 Section 4 33 Figure 6a. Concern a Major Hurricane Will Cause Significant Damage to Home This Year Moderately Concerned 30% Highly Concerned 36% Minimally Concerned 34% N=1689 Figure 6b. Concern a Major Hurricane Will Cause Significant Damage to Home Within Ten Years Highly Concerned 50% Moderately Concerned 25% Minimally Concerned 25% N=1692 Section 4 34 Scientists in both meteorology and climatology recently concluded that global warming will cause hurricanes to shift toward stronger storms with intensity increases of roughly 2-11 % by 2100 (See tropical cyclone models in Figure 7). They calculate approximately double the number of Category 4 and 5 hurricanes by 2100, leading to an increase in damages of roughly 30 % (Bender et al., 2010; Knutson et al., 2010).15 Figure 7. Models Foresee More Category 4 and 5 Hurricanes in a Warmed Climate Source: Bender et al., 2010 Households were presented with this information and asked if they considered the projections of more Category 4 and 5 hurricanes due to climate change poses a credible economic threat to Florida. With 1,481 reporting, less than half of respondents (43.75%) considered the economic threat of more destructive hurricanes linked to climate change highly credible, 40.85 % considered it moderately credible, 15.40 % minimally credible (see Figure 8).16 In comparison, a majority of Florida experts and decision makers surveyed in 2010 (61%) regarded more destructive hurricanes linked to climate change as a highly credible economic threat to Florida (21% moderately credible, 18% minimally credible) (Mozumder and Flugman, 2010). 15 More recent research warns of the amplification of storm surge flooding due to sea-level rise (Hoffman et al., 2010; Emmanuel, 2011; Lin et al., 2012; Strauss et al., 2012; Tebaldi et al., 2012). 16 Responses for credibility were collapsed from a 0 to 10 scale into three categories (0-3 minimally credible, 4-6 moderately credible and 7-10 highly credible). Section 4 35 Figure 8. The Economic Threat of More Destructive Hurricanes Due to Climate Change Moderately Credible 41% Highly Credible 44% Minimally Credible 15% N=1481 Institutional Accountability Overall Overall accountability ratings for federal, state, county, and municipal governments, as well as, insurance companies are presented in Figure 9. With 1,406 reporting, respondents gave the federal government an overall accountability score of 5.32 on a 10-point scale, where 0 is ‘not accountable at all’ and 10 is ‘highly accountable’. The State of Florida received an overall accountability score of 5.49 (N=1406); county governments received an overall accountability score of 5.34 (N=1406); municipalities received an overall accountability score of 5.20 (N=1406); and insurance companies received an overall accountability score of 6.05 (N=1406). The average overall accountability score was 5.48 out of 10. Section 4 36 Figure 9. Institutional Accountability Overall N=1406 Federal Government 5.32 State Government 5.49 County Government 5.34 Municipal Government 5.20 Private Insurance Companies 6.05 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Institutional Effectiveness: Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) Not all natural hazards events (earthquakes, floods, hurricanes, tornadoes, wildfires) have to be widespread natural disasters. Respondents where asked to rate how effective the federal, state, county, and municipal governments and insurance companies are at managing our vulnerability to natural hazards and disaster risk reduction, on a scale from 0 to 10, where 0 is ‘not effective at all’ and 10 is highly effective’, the results are presented in Figure 10. With 1,400 reporting, respondents rated the federal government’s effectiveness at disaster risk reduction a 4.84 score out of 10; the State of Florida received a DRR effectiveness score of 5.17 (N=1394); county governments received a DRR effectiveness score of 5.21 (N=1396); municipalities received a DRR effectiveness score of 4.9 (N=1391); and insurance companies received a DRR effectiveness score of 4.51 (N=1392). The average DRR effectiveness score was 4.93. Section 4 37 Figure 10. Institutional Effectiveness: Disaster Risk Reduction Federal Government Effectiveness N=1395 4.84 State Government Effectiveness 5.17 County Government Effectiveness 5.21 Municipal Government Effectiveness 4.90 Private Insurance Company Effectiveness 4.51 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 4.2 Mitigation Measures and Insurance Reforms Households were asked to rate their support for an array of measures related to building codes and land use to enhance Florida’s coastal resilience, results are presented in Figure 11. With 1,459 reporting, a large majority of respondents (76.29%) were highly supportive of increasing Florida’s setbacks along shorelines to enhance coastal resilience (16% were moderately supportive, 8% were minimally supportive).17 Similarly, a large majority of respondents (74.11%) were highly supportive of creating stricter density restrictions in Florida’s low-lying areas (N=1456). With 1,461 reporting, 69.54 % of respondents were highly supportive of strengthening Florida building codes, and 72.15 % were highly supportive of establishing new elevation standards for roads and buildings in Florida to enhance coastal resilience (N=1458). 17 Responses for support were collapsed from a 0 to 10 scale into three categories (0-3 minimally supportive, 4-6 moderately supportive and 7-10 highly supportive). Section 4 38 Figure 11. Enhancing Resilience With Land-Use and Building Codes 100% N=1459 90% 80% 76% 70% 74% 72% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 0% 17% 16% 10% 8% Increasing Shoreline Setbacks 20% 19% 9% Stricter Density Restrictions 10% 9% Updating Elevation Standards Strengthening Building Codes Highly Supportive Moderately Supportive Minimally Supportive Similarly, a large majority of Florida experts and decision makers surveyed in 2010 (80.6%) were highly supportive of increasing setbacks along shorelines and creating stricter density restrictions in low-lying coastal areas (79.1%) to enhance coastal resilience. Like Florida households’, a large majority of Florida experts and decision makers (72.5 %) were also highly supportive of establishing new elevations standards and strengthening building codes (66.9%) to enhance coastal resilience (Mozumder and Flugman 2010). Section 4 39 In 2006, the Florida State Legislature appropriated $250 million to create the My Safe Florida Home (MSFH) Program. Over a 3-year period, the MSFH Program provided over 400,000 free home inspections, Home Structure Ratings, recommended mitigation improvements, and information on insurance discounts. In addition, 35,000 homeowners received matching grants of up to $5,000 to strengthen their homes. Approximately $93 million were allocated in matching grants under the MSFH Program, which expired on June 30, 2009 (FDFS, 2009). Households were asked if they supported continuing the MSFH Program (see Figure 12). A large majority of respondents (74.02%) supported continuing the MSFH Program, compared with 25.98 % who did not (N=1682).18 Figure 12. The My Safe Florida Home Program Yes 74% No 26% N=1682 18 In 2010, a large majority of Florida experts and decision makers (77%) supported continuing (refunding) the MSFH Program (23% were opposed). Most (86%) supported continuing the MSFH Program cosponsored (program costs shared) by FEMA (14% were opposed). Section 4 40 Under the My Safe Florida Home (MSFH) Program, every homeowner received a ‘hurricane resistance rating’ (0-100 scale) (Home Structure Ratings) following an inspection of their home’s building code status and mitigation features (FDFS, 2009). In Florida, this information is currently collected on a voluntary basis to reflect mitigation in insurance pricing (RMS, 2009). Often individuals looking to purchase a new home, especially first-time buyers, are often unaware of the benefits and costs of mitigation features (U.S. GAO, 2007a). In both cases, up-to-date comprehensive inspections/inspection reports are highly beneficial to the consumer. This could be accomplished in a variety of ways, in our survey we proposed the creation of a publically accessible database of residential hurricane resistance ratings (statewide), including records of mitigation improvements, similar to other public information currently available in the real estate market (e.g., year built, property taxes, sales history, etc.). Households were asked to rate how supportive they were of a publicly accessible database of Home Structure Ratings, including records of mitigation improvements similar to other public information currently available in the real estate market (e.g., year built, taxes, sales history). With 1,647 reporting, approximately half of respondents (49.73%) were highly supportive of a publicly accessible database of Home Structure Ratings, 29.5 % were moderately supportive, and 20.77 % were minimally supportive (see Figure 13).19 19 Nearly two-thirds of Florida experts and decision makers surveyed in 2010 (63.0%) were highly supportive of a publicly accessible database of Home Structure Ratings (19.0% moderately supportive, 18.0% minimally supportive) (Mozumder and Flugman, 2010). Section 4 41 Figure 13. A Publically Accessible Mitigation Database Highly Supportive 50% Moderately Supportive 29% Minimally Supportive 21% N=1647 ‘A Florida Pre-Disaster Mitigation Fund' Pre-disaster mitigation refers to measures outside the context of response and recovery (actions taken before disaster strikes). Effective pre-disaster mitigation strategies can break the cycle of disaster: loss of life, property damage, local economic disruption, costly response and recovery, and repeated disaster (FEMA, 2011). In this context, households were asked if they would support a proposed ‘Florida Pre-Disaster Mitigation Fund’, to sponsor an expansion of predisaster mitigation programs (with additional state funding above and beyond federal dollars) focused on strengthening the built environment before hurricanes strike, programs such as the My Safe Florida Home (MSFH) Program, the Infrastructure Protection Program, etc., the results are Section 4 42 presented in Figure 14. With 1,687 reporting, a large majority of respondents (68.79%) supported the creation of the proposed ‘Florida Pre-Disaster Mitigation Fund’ (31.21 % were against).20 Figure 14. A ‘Florida Pre-Disaster Mitigation Fund Support 69% Against 31% N=1687 Willingness-to-Pay to Support a ‘Florida Pre-Disaster Mitigation Fund’ Households were then asked to consider how much their household was willing to pay each year to contribute to the proposed ‘Florida Pre-Disaster Mitigation Fund’. Households were asked to please consider their household budget when answering the question as if they were in an actual payment situation. They were also asked to note that state programs compete for funding, and that 20 In 2010, a majority of Florida experts and decision makers surveyed (60.5%) supported the creation of a proposed ‘Florida Adaptation Fund’ to mobilize resources and support proactive measures focused on increasing coastal resilience and minimizing the adverse impacts of climate change (39.5% were against) (Mozumder and Flugman, 2010). Section 4 43 allocating funds for this program could potentially constrain financing of other projects. However, if households contributed to the proposed ‘Florida Pre-Disaster Mitigation Fund’, programs such as the MSFH Program could be continued. Households were given a random amount from $5-$500 and asked if they were willing to pay that much each year to contribute to the proposed ‘Florida Pre-Disaster Mitigation Fund’ The average amount households were asked to contribute to the proposed ‘Florida Pre-Disaster Mitigation Fund’ was $248.61, the results are presented in Figure 15. With 1,400 reporting, 25.86 % of respondents were willing-to-pay to contribute to the proposed ‘Florida Pre-Disaster Mitigation Fund’, (74.14% were unwilling-to-pay). Households were then asked how certain they were of the answer they just gave about their willingness to pay each year to contribute to the proposed ‘Florida Pre-Disaster Mitigation Fund’. Respondents rated their certainty level at 8.24 out of 10 (N=1396). Figure 15. Willingness-to-Pay to Support a ‘Florida Pre-Disaster Mitigation Fund’ Willing-to-Pay 26% Not Willing-to-Pay 74% N=1400 Section 4 44 Florida’s Property Insurance System: Post-Loss Financing The State of Florida funds the insurance system to pay for hurricane damage after-the-fact with surcharges, regular assessments, and emergency assessments (hurricanes taxes) on nearly every insurance line in the state (auto, casualty and property insurance) (Cole et al., 2011; Florida Tax-Watch, 2011; Hartwig and Wilkinson, 2012; Lehrer and Lehmann, 2012). The quasi-public entities Florida Citizens Property Insurance Corporation (CPIC), Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund (FHCF), and the Florida Insurance Guarantee Association (FIGA) have the power to issue surcharges and assessments to cover hurricane losses after-the-fact. Households were asked how supportive they were theses surcharges and assessments, noting that elimination of these fees would likely cause currently subsidized insurance premiums to rise, the results are presented in Figure 16. With 1,437 reporting, 41.89 % of respondents were highly supportive of continuing surcharges and assessments, 31.46 % moderately supportive, 26.65 % minimally supportive. Figure 16. Hurricane Surcharges and Assessments Highly Supportive 42% Moderately Supportive 31% Minimally Supportive 27% N=1437 Section 4 45 A statewide survey of 805 Floridians by the American Consumer Institute (ACI) found that 70 % were concerned about being assessed hundreds or thousands of dollars in hurricane taxes, because the state’s Hurricane Catastrophe Fund may run out of money to pay insurance claims. Respondents were almost split when it came to be willing to pay a little more in property insurance to avoid insolvencies and taxes, but support increased to 55 % when the amount was specified at less than $15 a month (ACI, 2011). The National Flood Insurance Program: Low Retention Rates Since 1980, the National Flood Insurance Program’s (NFIP) exposure quadrupled, to over 5.6 million policies and more than $1.2 trillion. Analysis by Michel-Kerjan et al. (2012) revealed that only 36 % of new policies issued by the NFIP between 2001 and 2009 were still in place five years after they were purchased. Insurance penetration in flood prone areas is only about 50%. The inability of the NFIP to enroll and retain homeowners has serious implications for post-flood federal disaster assistance (U.S. GAO, 2011a; Jaffee et al. 2011; Michel-Kerjan and Kunreuther 2011; Michel-Kerjan et al. 2012). Households were asked to rate their support for multi-year (5-year) flood insurance contracts as well as long-term (30-year) flood insurance contracts 5-year flood insurance contracts, the results are presented in Figure 17. With 1,394 reporting, 44.69 % of respondents were highly supportive of multi-year (5-year) flood insurance contracts, 30.27 % were moderately supportive, and 25.04% were minimally supportive. In contrast, only 30.23 % of respondents were highly supportive of long-term (30-year) flood insurance contracts, 27.84 % were moderately supportive, 41.93 % were minimally supportive (N=1376). Section 4 46 Figure 17. Multi-Year and Long-Term Flood Insurance Contracts N=1394 100% N=1376 90% 80% 70% 45% 30% 60% 50% 40% 30% 30% 28% 20% 10% 25% 0% 5-Year Flood Insurance Contracts 42% 30-Year Flood Insurance Contracts Highly Supportive Moderately Supportive Minimally Supportive Section 4 47 Comprehensive Insurance In the aftermath of several recent hurricanes much debate was focused on whether damages were caused by flooding and should be covered under flood insurance policies or damages were caused by wind and should be covered by wind insurance policies (MacDonald et al., 2010). A comprehensive all-hazards insurance program (fire, flood, hurricane, earthquake, tornado, etc.), which could pool policy holders with diversified risks may create a more stabilized insurance mechanism and reduce uncertainty about the availability and affordability of coverage (Kunreuther, 2006; U.S. GAO 2008). Households were asked to rate how supportive they were of the creation of a comprehensive insurance program that combines flood and wind coverage, the results are presented in Figure 18. With 1,426 reporting, a large majority of respondents (73.49%) were highly supportive of a comprehensive insurance program, 18.05 % were moderately supportive, and 8.06 % were minimally supportive. Figure 18. A Comprehensive Insurance Program Highly Supportive 74% Moderately Supportive 18% Minimally Supportive 8% N=1426 Section 4 48 Tax-Free Catastrophe Savings Accounts Tax-free household catastrophe savings accounts could permit households to establish reserves for future losses not covered by wind or flood insurance policies (U.S. GAO, 200X). Households were asked how much they supported the creation of tax-free catastrophe savings accounts, the results are presented in Figure 19. With 1,428 reporting, 62.32 % of respondents were highly supportive of tax-free catastrophe savings accounts, 22.76 % were moderately supportive, and 14.92 % were minimally supportive. Figure 19. Tax-Free Catastrophe Savings Accounts Highly Supportive 62% Moderately Supportive 23% Minimally Supportive 15% N=1428 Section 4 49 4.3 A Mitigation Choice Experiment We examined homeowners’ willingness to invest in a menu of realistic, low and higher cost roofing and opening protection options, when presented with a package of salient vulnerability information, including a full-scale video presentation by the Insurance Institute for Business and Home Safety (IBHS) on the costly interior losses associated with wind-driven rainwater intrusion and the cost-effectiveness of response options, as well as, a meaningful incentive, in the form of a matching grant of up to $10,000, to reduce the upfront costs of mitigation (IBHS, 2011).21 The experiment proceeded as follows: the Information Treatment group, 25% of the sample of households, received the salient vulnerability information package ahead of the Mitigation Choice Experiment; the Incentive Treatment group, 25% of the sample of households, received an incentive in the form of a matching grant of up to $10,000 within the Mitigation Choice Experiment, but did not receive the salient vulnerability information package; the Combined Treatment group, 25% of the sample of households, received both the salient vulnerability information package ahead of the Mitigation Choice Experiment and the $10,000 matching grant. The Baseline group did not receive either the salient vulnerability information package or the $10,000 matching grant. The Incentive Treatment version of the Mitigation Choice Experiment appears below, showing the details of Options A and B associated with the roofing and opening protection options: 21 The full-scale demonstration conducted by IBHS illustrates how wind-driven rainwater can penetrate a home’s roof system, and how applying a relatively simple and inexpensive secondary water barrier, such as sealing the roof deck ($500 for a 2000 square foot home), can substantially reduce rainwater intrusion, mold, and the associated damage to interior contents/furnishings, finishes (ceilings, walls, flooring), and utilities (electrical, mechanical, plumbing) (IBHS, 2011). Section 4 50 Analysis of Florida claims data from the 2004 and 2005 hurricane seasons revealed that homes constructed with the most up-to-date building codes suffered as much as 60 % FEWER LOSSES than homes constructed to older building codes. Please review the Roofing and Opening Protection Options below, including: (1) Estimated cost, (2) Home Structure Rating, and (3) Estimated insurance premium savings for each option. In answering the questions below please consider your household budget as if you are making actual home improvement decisions in a real payment situation. Please also note that there are potential alternatives to the mitigation options shown here. Now suppose that you are given a matching grant up to $10,000 (you receive $1 for mitigation for every $1 you spend on mitigation), to reduce your mitigation costs. Section 4 51 Which Roofing and Opening Protection Options, if you had to choose, do you most prefer? Roofing ■ Option A ■ Option B ■ My roof was installed after August 1994 in Miami-Dade and Broward Counties (meets 1994 South Florida Building Code) ■ My roof was installed after March 2002 in all other Florida Counties (meets 2001 Florida Building Code) ■ No improvement at this time Opening Protection ■ Option A ■ Option B ■ My opening protection was installed after August 1994 in Miami-Dade and Broward Counties (meets 1994 South Florida Building Code) ■ My opening protection was installed after March 2002 in all other Florida Counties (meets 2001 Florida Building Code) ■ No improvement at this time The results of the Mitigation Choice Experiment are presented in Figures 20 and 21 (detailed tables also appear in Appendix A). In regards to both roof systems and opening protection, the package of salient vulnerability information in the Information Treatment was not shown to have a positive impact on households’ mitigation decision making when compared with the Baseline sample. Households’ were not more likely to pursue mitigation Options A or B over the no improvements at this time option, nor were they likely to ‘shift up’ from the lower cost Option B to the higher cost Option A for either roofing or opening protection. In fact, households in the Information Treatment were less likely to invest in mitigation. In contrast, the $10,000 matching grant incentive significantly increased households’ willingness to invest in mitigation and to ‘shift up’ to the higher cost Option A in regards to both roofing and opening protection options in the Incentive and Combined Treatment groups. Implications of these findings appear in the Discussion Section. Section 4 52 Figure 20. Mitigation Choice Preferences: Roof System 30% Option A Baseline N=899 Option B 17% Option A or B 47% None 53% 26% Option A Information Treatment Option B 20% Option A or B 46% None 54% 43% Option A Incentive Treatment Option B 18% Option A or B 61% None 39% 35% Option A Combined Treatment (Information and Incentive) Option B 23% Option A or B None 41% Option A Overall Option B 58% 34% 20% Option A or B None 54% 46% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Section 4 53 Figure 21. Mitigation Choice Preferences: Opening Protection Baseline N=820 26% Option A 28% Option B 54% Option A or B 46% None 24% Option A Information Treatment Option B 21% Option A or B 45% 54% None Option A Incentive Treatment Option B 33% 30% 63% Option A or B 37% None Option A Combined Treatment (Information and Incentive) Option B 29% Option A or B 62% None Overall 0% 38% Option A 29% Option B 28% 57% Option A or B None Section 4 33% 43% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 54 In a follow-up to the Mitigation Choice Experiment, households were asked to express how certain they were of the answers regarding their mitigation preferences on a scale form 0 to 10, where 0 is ‘not certain at all’ and 10 is ‘highly certain’ (See Figure 22). In the Baseline group, respondents rated their certainty level at 7.93 out of 10 (N=223); respondents in the Information Treatment group rated their certainty level at 7.98 out of 10 (N=251); respondents in the Incentive Treatment group rated their certainty level at 7.65 out of 10 (N=284); respondents in the Combined Treatment group rated their certainty level at 7.87 out of 10 (N=265). The overall certainty level of respondents regarding their mitigation preferences was 7.85 out of 10 (N= 1023). Figure 22. Certainty Level of Mitigation Choice Preferences N=1023 Baseline Certainty 7.93 Information Treatment Certainty 7.98 Incentive Treatment Certainty 7.65 Combined Treatment Certainty 7.87 Overall Certainty 7.85 0 Section 4 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 55 10 4.4 Socio-Demographic Information and Housing Characteristics Definitions and descriptive statistics of socio-demographic information collected from households are presented below (gender, age, ethnicity, educational background, marital status, household size, number of children, income, political affiliation, and years living in Florida). In addition, information collected regarding housing characteristics is also reported (home value, mortgage status, year built, square footage, roof shape, roof covering, level of opening protection and roofing, and insurance coverage). This data will be incorporated with survey responses regarding mitigation and insurance preferences in future analysis using applied multivariate regression analysis and simultaneous (multiple regression) equation models to explore the underlying drivers of mitigation behavior among Florida households particularly with regards to their willingness to support and contribute to the proposed ‘Florida Pre-Disaster Mitigation Fund’ and with regards to their decision making in the Mitigation Choice Experiment. The gender and age distributions of respondents are presented in Figures 23 and 24 respectively. With 1,417 reporting, 42.91 % of respondents identified themselves as female, 57.09 % as male. Regarding age, respondents reported having an average age of 58.76 years, ranging from 30 to 91 years of age. Nearly 80 % of respondents (78.30%) reported being over 50 years of age. Approximately 5 % of respondents (4.96%) reported being 30-39 years of age, 16.74 % reported being 40-49 years of age, 28.30 % reported being 50-59 years of age, 31.11 % reported being 60-69 years of age, 15.87 % reported being 70-79 years of age, and 3.02 % reported being 80 years of age and above (N=1392). Section 4 56 Figure 23. Gender of Respondents Female 43% Male 57% N=1417 Figure 24. Age of Respondents 80+ 3% 30-39 5% 40-49 17% 70-79 16% 50-59 28% 60-69 31% N=1392 Section 4 57 The educational level and ethnicity of respondents are presented in Figures 25 and 26. Regarding educational background, 10.55 % of respondents reported obtaining a doctorate or professional degree, 23.19 % a masters degree, 31.07 % a bachelors degree, 9.23 % an associates degree, 19 % some college, no degree, and 6.94 % a high school diploma or equivalent (N=1397). With 1,390 reporting, 82.30 % of respondents identified themselves as Caucasian, 7.41 % as Hispanic/Latino, 4.82 % as African-American, 0.86 % as Asian, and 4.6 % as Other ethnicity. Figure 25. Educational Background of Respondents N=1397 Doctorate/Professional Degree 11% Masters Degree 23% Bachelors Degree Associates Degree 31% 9% Some College, No Degree High School Graduate or Equivalent 0% Section 4 19% 7% 10% 20% 30% 58 Figure 26. Ethnicity of Respondents 100% N=1390 90% 82% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Caucasian 7% 5% Hispanic/Latino AfricanAmerican 5% 1% Asian Other Respondents’ marital status, household size, and number of children (under 18 years of age) are presented in Figures 27, 28, and 29 respectively. With 1,412 reporting, 7.93 % of respondents identified themselves as single, 3.82 % as living together, 70.54 % as married, 10.13 % as divorced, 6.02 % as widowed, and 1.56 % as other. Regarding household size, 15.68 % of respondents reported living alone, 50.39 % of respondents a two member household, 16.54 % of respondents a household of three, 11.14 % of respondents a household of four, and 6.25 % of respondents a household of five or more (N=1409). With 1,402 reporting, 77.32 % of respondents indicated that they do not have any children, 11.63 % of respondents have one child, 8.49 % of respondents have two children, and 2.56 % of respondents have three or more children. More specifically, 5.49 % of respondents indicated that they have one or more children less than five years of age in their household, 94.51 % of respondents have none (N=1403). Section 4 59 Figure 27. Marital Status of Respondents N=1412 80% 70% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 8% 10% 0% 6% 4% Single Living Together Married Divorced 2% Widowed Other Figure 28. Household Size of Respondents One N=1409 16% Two 50% Three 17% Four Five or More 0% Section 4 11% 6% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 60 Figure 29. Number of Children in Respondents’ Household One Child 12% No Children 77% Two Children 8% Three or More Children 3% N=1402 The household income of respondents is presented in Figure 30. With 1,310 reporting, 23.74 % of respondents indicated earning less than $50,000 in household income before taxes for the previous year (3.36% earning less than $20,000, 3.59% earning $20,000-$29,999, 8.17% earning $30,000-$39,999, and 8.63% earning $40,000-$49,999); 43.44 % indicated earning between $50,000 and $100,000 (10.08% earning $50,000-$59,999, 9.01% earning $60,000$69,999, 10.23% earning $70,000-$79,999, 7.18% earning $80,000-$89,999, and earning 6.95% $90,000-$99,999); 20.30 % of respondents indicated earning between $100,000 and $150,000 (6.79% earning $100,000-$109,999, 3.74% earning $110,000-$119,999, 4.35% earning $120,000-$129,999, 2.37% earning $130,000-$139,999, and 3.05% earning $140,000-$149,999); 7.02 % indicated earning between $150,000 and $200,000 (2.52% earning $150,000-$159,999, 1.53% earning $160,000-$169,999, 1.22% earning $170,000-$179,000, 1.30% earning $180,000$189,999, 0.46% earning $190,000-$199,999); 3.21 % indicated earning between $200,000 and $250,000 (1.07% earning $200,000-$209,999, 0.84% earning $210,000-$219,999, 0.31% earning $220,000-$229,999, 0.53% earning $230,000-$239,999, and 0.46% earning $240,000-$249,999); and 2.29 % indicated earning $250,000 and above. Section 4 61 Figure 30. Household Income of Respondents $250,000 and above 2% $240,000-$249,999 1% $230,000-$239,999 1% $220,000-$229,999 1% $210,000-$219,999 1% $200,000-$209,999 1% $190,000-$199,999 1% $180,000-$189,999 1% $170,000-$179,000 1% $160,000-$169,999 1% $150,000-$159,999 2% $140,000-$149,999 $130,000-$139,999 N=1310 3% 2% $120,000-$129,999 4% $110,000-$119,999 4% $100,000-$109,999 7% $90,000-$99,999 7% $80,000-$89,999 7% $70,000-$79,999 10% $60,000-$69,999 9% $50,000-$59,999 10% $40,000-$49,999 9% $30,000-$39,999 8% $20,000-$29,999 Less than $20,000 0% Section 4 4% 3% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 62 The political affiliation of respondents is presented in Figure 31. With 1,317 reporting, 36.52 % of respondents identified themselves as republicans, 28.32 % of respondents identified themselves as democrats, 15.49 % of respondents identified themselves as independents, 15.49 % of respondents identified themselves as having no affiliation, 2.89 % of respondents identified themselves as other, and 1.29 % of respondents identified themselves as libertarians. Figure 31. Political Affiliation of Respondents 50% N=1317 45% 40% 35% 37% 30% 28% 25% 20% 15% 16% 10% 15% 5% 0% Republican Democrat Independent No Affiliation 3% 1% Other Libertarian Respondents’ years living in Florida are presented in Figure 32. With 1,415 reporting, respondents’ indicated an average of 29.65 years living in Florida, ranging from 1 to 79 years. Nearly all respondents (97.81%) reported living in Florida for more than five years, 90.32 % of respondents reported living in Florida for more than ten years, 75 % of respondents (74.84%) for more than fifteen years, and nearly half of respondents (47.77%) for more than 25 years. Section 4 63 Figure 32. Years of Respondents Living in Florida Over 65 Years 2% 61-65 Years 2% 56-60 Years N=1415 4% 50-55 Years 6% 46-50 Years 5% 41-45 Years 7% 36-40 Years 8% 31-35 Years 10% 26-30 Years 10% 21-25 Years 10% 16-20 Years 11% 11-15 Years 13% 6-10 Years 5 Years or Less 0% 10% 2% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% The percentage of respondents with mortgages and respondents’ home values are presented in Figures 33 and 34. With 1,405 reporting, approximately two-thirds of respondents (66.62%) indicated that they currently have a mortgage, 33.38 % do not. Regarding home values, nearly three-quarters of respondents (73.84%) indicated owning homes worth less than $300,000 (20.89% worth less than $150,000, 24.71% worth $150,000-$200,000, 16.93% worth $200,000$250,000, and 11.31% worth $250,000-$300,000). Approximately one-quarter of respondents (26.15%) indicated owning homes worth $300,000 or more (2.95% worth $300,000-$350,000, 2.81% worth $350,000-$400,000, 6.63% worth $400,000-$450,000, 8.00% worth $450,000$500,000, and 5.76% worth more than $500,000) (N=1388). Section 4 64 Figure 33. Mortgage Holders Among Respondents No 33% Yes 67% N=1405 Figure 34. Home Values of Respondents Less than $150,000 $150,000-$200,000 25% $200,000-$250,000 17% $250,000-$300,000 11% $300,000-$350,000 3% $350,000-$400,000 3% $400,000-$450,000 7% $450,000-$500,000 Greater than $500,000 0% Section 4 N=1388 21% 8% 6% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 65 The year respondents’ homes were built is presented in Figure 35. With 1,588 reporting, the average year in which homes were built was 1981.48, with a range of 1900 to 2006. Most of the respondents’ homes (96.54%) were built after 1950. Approximately 20 % of the respondents’ homes were built between 1950 and 1970 (9.07% were built from 1950-1959 and 10.83% were built from 1960-1969). Over three-quarters of the respondents’ homes (76.64%) were built after 1970 (17.32% were built from 1970-1979, 20.72% were built from 1980-1989, 25.25% were built from 1990-1999, and 13.35% were built from 2000-2006). However, most of the respondents’ homes (91.69%) were constructed before implementation of the more stringent 2001 Florida Building Code (and before the 1994 South Florida Building Code). Figure 35. Year Respondents’ Homes Built N=1588 30% 25% 25% 21% 20% 17% 15% 13% 11% 9% 10% 4% 5% 0% Before 1950 Section 4 1950-1959 1960-1969 1970-1979 1980-1989 1990-1999 2000-2006 66 Respondents’ level of opening protection (windows, skylights, entry and sliding glass doors) and roofing systems are presented in Figures 36 and 37 respectively. With 1,391 reporting, only one-third of respondents (35.37%) indicated that their roof system was installed after August 1994 in Miami-Dade and Broward Counties (meets 1994 South Florida Building Code) or after March 2002 in all other Florida Counties (meets 2001 Florida Building Code) (N=1391). Similarly, with regards to opening protection, only one-third of respondents (33.87%) indicated that their opening protection was installed after August 1994 in Miami-Dade and Broward Counties (meets 1994 South Florida Building Code) or after March 2002 in all other Florida Counties (meets 2001 Florida Building Code) (N=1240). Figure 36. Level of Respondents’ Roofing Systems 35% Roofing System Meets 2001 Florida Building Code 65% Roofing System DOES NOT Meet 2001 Florida Building Code N=1391 Section 4 67 Figure 37. Level of Respondents’ Opening Protection 34% Opening Protection Meets 2001 Florida Building Code 66% Opening Protection DOES NOT Meet 2001 Florida Building Code N=1240 The square footage of respondents’ homes is reported in Figure 38. With 1,595 reporting, respondents indicted owning homes with an average of 2104.63 square feet (ranging from 800 to 6,500 square feet). Over half of respondents (54.24%) reported owning homes with less than 2,000 square feet (17.24% of respondents reported owing homes of less than 1,500 square feet and 37.00% of respondents reported owing homes of 1,501-2,000 square feet). Approximately one-quarter of respondents (24.01%) reported owning homes of 2,001-2,500 square feet, 13.11 % of respondents reported owning homes of 2,501-3,000 square feet, and 8.65 % of respondents reported owing homes of greater than 3,000 square feet. Section 4 68 Figure 38. Square Footage of Respondents’ Homes N=1595 Greater than 3,000 9% 2,501-3,000 13% 2,001-2,500 24% 1,501-2,000 37% Less than 1,500 17% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% The roof covering type and roof shape of respondents’ homes are presented in Figures 38 and 39 respectively. With 1,564 reporting, a large majority of respondents (70.08%) indicated having shingle roof coverings on their homes, compared with 20.52 % of respondents with tile roof coverings, 6.52 % of respondents with metal roof coverings, and 2.88 % of respondents with concrete roof coverings. Regarding roof shape, approximately half of respondents (49.43%) reported having hip shaped roofs on their homes, 46.82 % of respondents reported having gable roofs, and 3.75 % of respondents reported having flat roofs (N=1493). Section 4 69 Figure 38. Roof Covering on Respondent’s Homes Tile 20% Shingle 70% Metal 7% Concrete 3% N=1564 Figure 39. Roof Shape of Respondent’s Homes Gable 47% Hip 49% N=1493 Section 4 Flat 4% 70 Insurance Profile of Respondents With 1,427 reporting, all respondents indicated that they have property insurance, and a large majority of respondents (69.03%) indicated that they have wind coverage (See Figure 40). Regarding flood insurance, a large majority of respondents (61.05%) indicated that have flood insurance, and approximately half of respondents (49.12%) indicated that they had a mandatory flood insurance purchasing requirement (respondents with a mortgage who live in the flood zone) (See Figures 41 and 42). Figure 40. Percentage of Respondents with Wind Insurance Have Wind Insurance 69% Don't Have Wind Insurance 31% N=1427 Section 4 71 Figure 41. Percentage of Respondents with Flood Insurance Have Flood Insurance 61% No Flood Insurance 39% N=1427 Figure 42. Percentage of Respondents with Mandatory Flood Insurance Mandatory Flood Insurance 13% Not Mandatory 87% N=1427 Section 4 72 4.5 Hurricane History of Respondents Lastly, we present respondents’ recent hurricane experiences and an overview of damages (number of damaging hurricanes, exterior damages including interior damages from water intrusion/penetration and loss totals). The distribution of respondents who experienced damage to their property from hurricanes in 2004 and 2005 is presented in Figure 43. With 1,710 reporting, approximately half of respondents (49.00%) indicated experiencing property damage from one or more hurricanes in 2004 and 2005. Approximately one-third of respondents (33.74%) experienced property damage from one hurricane, 10.23 % experienced property damage from two hurricanes, 4.21 % experienced property damage from three hurricanes, and 0.82 % experienced property damage from four hurricanes. Hurricane Wilma damaged the most respondents’ homes (N=375), followed by Hurricanes Frances (194), Charley (180), Ivan (152), Jeanne (151), Katrina (99) and Dennis (38). Figure 43. Respondents Damages From 2004 and 2005 Hurricanes 60% 51% N=1710 49% 50% 40% 34% 30% 20% 10% 10% 4% 1% 0% Section 4 73 Exterior/Structural Damage Respondents indicated 903 instances of exterior/structural damage from hurricane winds, wind-borne debris and wind-driven rainwater; in particular, damage from downed trees and tree limbs, as well as, damage from broken and dislodged exterior equipment (rooftop mounted or ground level), and damage from accessory structure failure (screen enclosure, porch, carport). More specifically, respondents indicated 856 reports of exterior/structural damage ranging from failure of roof-coverings, roof decks, roof-to-wall connections, wall coverings/cladding, soffits, vents (gable-end, ridge, roof, soffit, turbine), gutters and downspouts, and shutters, as well as, broken windows, skylights, entry and sliding glass doors, and garage doors. Interior Damage From Wind-Driven Rainwater Intrusion With 773 reporting, respondents indicated numerous entry points of damaging winddriven rainwater intrusion (roof, walls, windows, entry doors, soffits, and vents). 672 reports of interior damage including damage to interior contents/furnishings, interior finishes damage (ceilings, walls, flooring), ceiling collapse, utilities damage (electrical, mechanical, plumbing), and mold growth. Respondents’ loss histories will be further analyzed and incorporated with survey responses regarding mitigation and insurance preferences in future analysis using applied multivariate regression analysis and simultaneous (multiple regression) equation models to explore the underlying drivers of mitigation behavior among Florida households particularly with regards to their willingness to support and contribute to the proposed ‘Florida Pre-Disaster Mitigation Fund’ and with regards to their decision making in the Mitigation Choice Experiment. Section 4 74 5.0 Discussion Survey findings can provide systematic information on multiple scales. Our findings suggest avenues for potential risk reduction strategies that can be implemented by federal, state, and local agencies, including county and municipal governments in vulnerable coastal communities. While the U.S. has dramatically reduced the loss of life from natural hazards, economic losses are skyrocketing (U.S. GAO 2007a; Hartiwg, 2012; NOAA, 2012). “There are reasonable steps to counter those threats, and we as a nation are not yet taking them” (Heinz et al., 2009, p.3). Today, in most coastal areas throughout the U.S., exposure to natural hazards is growing and vulnerability is increasing, resilience is increasing in certain aspects, but decreasing in others. In short, the ability of Florida, and the U.S. as a whole, to mitigate and insure against natural hazards and adapt to climate change can be greatly improved, this involves setting new priorities (Godschalk, 2003; Leatherman and White, 2005; NRC, 2006; U.S. GAO, 2007b; NRC, 2009; FEMA, 2011; Michel-Kerjan and Kunreuther, 2011; U.S. GAO 2011a; U.S. GAO 2011b). The National Flood Insurance Program operates a voluntary program called the Community Rating System (CRS) the purpose of which is to encourage communities to improve flood resiliency by providing incentives to implement prevention and awareness measures in the form of premium discounts. The CRS Program works on a 1-10 point system where a score of 1 requires the most points and communities with this score receive the highest discounts and a score of 10 where communities receive the least points and do not receive a discount). As of 2010, the average score among participating Florida communities was 7.18, and no communities had a rating better than 5. Since 2005, less than half of the 179 Florida communities in the CRS Program improved their score (47%) (Ntelekos et al., 2009; FDEP, 2010). Section 4 75 From South Florida to Jacksonville, Fort Myers to Tampa Bay, Orlando to the Panhandle and beyond, coastal vulnerability is amplified by unsustainable development (underinvestment in disaster risk reduction measures and environmental degradation). The main drivers of unsustainable development include: hallow state and local growth management plans and imprudent federal floodplain management, overcome by development pressures; inconsistent state and local policies to adopt and enforce stricter building codes; weak federal, state and local mandates and distorted incentives to avoid or reduce risk, including over-reliance on billions of dollars in annual federal disaster relief and recovery spending; absurd federal and state insurance subsidies promoting systemic risk; trillions of dollars in deteriorating infrastructure; as well as fragmented programs to protect or restore natural capital, including natural storm buffers (Platt, 1999; Miletti and Gailus, 2005; Salvesen, 2005; Burby, 2006; Comfort, 2006; Bagstad at al., 2007; Gaddis et al., 2007; Deyle et al., 2007; Brody et al., 2010; Holladay and Schwartz, 2010; Berke et al., 2012). The near and longer-term impacts of climate change, will amplify vulnerability, particularly in the world’s low-lying coastal zones and among the poorest and most vulnerable members of society (Milly et al., 2008; IPCC, 2012; Martinich et al., 2012).22 Without institutional frameworks and clear rules of engagement, adaptive capacity is low, and adaptation is highly limited and fragmented (Vogel et al. 2007; U.S. GAO 2011b). “Capacitybuilding comes down to resources and commitments to ensure that these resources are effectively utilized. This is a formidable challenge” (O’Brien et al., 2006, p.74). Substantial 22 “Climate change will test the ability of governments to lead, as never before. Trade-offs will be necessary in the choices policymakers must make - between the urgency of today’s problems and the need to prepare for future risks, the world in which our children and grandchildren live and thrive” (WRI, 2011, p.13) Section 4 76 barriers exist that impede the pursuit of status-quo altering pathways of systemic resilience; namely, insufficient resources and the high cost of mitigation measures, limited direction and leadership, and lack of institutional frameworks to initiate and sustain a holistic response (Adger and Barnett 2009; Hallegatte, 2009; Moser and Elkstrom, 2010; Kates et al., 2012). 5.1 A Wake-Up Call, Not An Aberration Not all natural hazards events (earthquakes, floods, hurricanes, tornadoes, wildfires) have to become widespread natural disasters. According to the National Science Board Task Force on Hurricane Science and Engineering, “the imperative to act has never been clearer, nor have the science, technology, and intellectual capacity needed to address the challenge been more capable of rising to the occasion…to translate new knowledge into operational practice in ways that yield tangible benefits to society” (NSB, 2007, p.25-26). Disaster risk reduction involves both structural (hard) and nonstructural (soft), pre- and post-disaster measures undertaken to make citizens, communities, states, and the nation more resilient to natural hazards, reduce losses, save lives, stabilize insurance markets and reduce premiums (Godschalk, 2003; Heinz et al., 2009; Comfort et al., 2011; Llyods, 2011). “Given projections related to climate change, combined with demographic and economic trends that suggest population growth in higher risk coastal areas, the nation could face a future of more disasters, resulting in greater loss of life, greater economic impacts, and greater social disruption… communities prepared for the most common disruptions are those most likely to adapt in the face of more severe or unexpected threats” (NRC, 2011, p.3). The design and implementation of robust pre-disaster mitigation policies can break the cycle of disaster: reducing the loss of life, property damage, local economic disruption, the cost and time of response and recovery, the risk of repeated Section 4 77 disaster, and the financial burden on local communities and the nation as a whole (McDaniels et al., 2008; Heinz, et al., 2009; FEMA, 2011). In short, “the economic viability of the state of Florida and many other Atlantic and Gulf Coast states depends upon hurricane mitigation [it] “is a necessary condition for available and affordable insurance, which is paramount to sustain the economy of coastal states” (Chowdhury et al., 2009, p. 9). Structural disaster risk reduction measures (‘hardening measures’) are generally engineering and technology-based solutions such as the construction of new flood control systems, restoration of wetlands and other natural infrastructure, relocations/land exchanges, retrofitting existing buildings and systems (e.g., residential, commercial, industrial, and public buildings including critical infrastructure), as well as closing pervasive exemptions and loopholes.23 Nonstructural disaster risk reduction measures include policy-based measures, such as enacting stricter risk-based land use policies (e.g., adopting zoning ordinances that steer development away from areas subject to flooding, storm surge or coastal erosion, including nobuild and no-rebuild zones, setbacks and rolling easements), implementing more stringent building codes for new construction, improving professional training and community education/ outreach programs, providing specialized interest free or long-term mitigation loans, initiating 23 For example, most homes are built to or slightly above the 100-year base flood elevation, where there is a 1 % chance of being equaled or exceeded in a single year. Homes built to this level have a 26 % chance of being flooded or demolished over the life of a 30-year mortgage and a 40 % chance over a 50-year period. IBHS (2009) found that building homes to or slightly above the 500-year base flood elevation reduces the chance of flooding to 10 % over a 50-year period. As such, IBHS strongly recommends that the NFIP raise the minimum base flood elevation requirements to reduce future property losses in all exposed areas. Section 4 78 and enforcing mandatory insurance purchase requirements, offering multi-year and long-term insurance contracts, setting risk-based (actuarially sound) premiums, offering comprehensive insurance, raising participation and retention rates and reducing repetitive losses, and providing financial assistance including matching grants and insurance discounts to facilitate mitigation (see Figure 45) (Kunreuther, 2006; Higgins, 2008; Nichols and Bruch, 2008; Ruppert, 2008; Jaffe et al., 2010; Michael-Kejan, 2010; Schrope, 2010; Cheong, 2011).24 Figure 45. Strategic Resilience Diagram Systematic Risk Assessment & Evidence-Based Decision Making Strategic Resilience All-Hazards Mitigation Structural & Nonstructural Measures Training & Education/Outreach Innovative Technologies/Products & Public Engagement Strategies 24 Insurance Reform Public & Private Climate Change Adaptation Structural & Nonstructural Measures Approximately 70,000 properties, less than 1 % of the NFIP portfolio, account for over 16 % of claims payments since 1978 (Michel-Kerjan, 2010; U.S. GAO, 2011a). Section 4 79 The 2004 and 2005 hurricane seasons were a wake-up call, not an aberration – a lesson in resilience thinking (FEMA, 2005b; NSB, 2007; Liu, 2011). The goods news is that with “critical need [comes] immediate opportunity…reducing the physical and economic risks associated with coastal hazards is not only critical, but is also often cost-effective. We must now give high priority to implementing adaptation strategies to protect the natural and built environments on which society depends ” (Heinz et al., 2009, p.5). This requires the strategic investment of new dollars, knowing that every $1 spent on mitigation saves society an average of $4. Investment is essential to marshal resources and lay the foundation for bold pre-disaster mitigation initiatives (Ganderton 2005; MMC 2005; Rose et al. 2007; U.S. GAO, 2007a; Godschalk et al., 2009). 6.0 Conclusions Vulnerability to natural hazards is exacerbated by a complex array of interrelated chronic and emergent challenges, which undermine the effective design and implementation of disaster risk reduction policies and social-ecological resilience (Allenby and Fink, 2005; Walker et al., 2009; Alesch et al., 2011; Leonard, 2012). “Transformational [physical, socioeconomic, and institutional] adaptations will be required…given local vulnerabilities and in the face of such possible driving forces as relatively severe climate change and other stresses. If serious disruptions are to be avoided, vulnerable parties should consider anticipatory transformations” (Kates et al., 2012, p.7160). As unsustainable development (i.e., underinvestment in risk reduction measures and environmental degradation) continues virtually unabated in historically hazard-prone and increasingly strained mega-urban landscapes, catastrophic losses from extreme hydrometeorological events are fueling an untenable rise in annual government response and recovery costs and long-term financial risks for consumers and taxpayers (ASCE, 2009; Kunruether et al., Section 4 80 2009; Cummins et al., 2010; Barnosky et al., 2012). According to the GAO “a comprehensive strategic framework would help define common national goals, establish joint strategies, leverage resources, and assign responsibilities among stakeholders. No state in the country is immune to the risk from a natural hazard, be it floods, hurricanes, earthquakes, tornadoes, or wildland fires and large percentages of the U.S. population live in areas susceptible to more than one of these hazards. In particular, the coastal areas of the country…Florida and California, the need for a comprehensive strategic framework for natural hazard mitigation takes on new significance because these areas are subject to multiple hazards” (U.S. GAO, 2007a, p.54). Given these complex challenges, federal, state, and local decision makers have a responsibility to act boldly. A national imperative exists to confront these challenges – challenges that won’t solve themselves, only grow more expensive to solve over time (Holling, 1973; Pielke, 2007; Wood, 2009a). Unfortunately, there is “a complete absence of decision-making among leaders in the government” today, a pervasive, institutional paralysis. “Someone needs to meld these ideas into a vision of how to move forward, sculpt them into policies that can make a difference in peoples’ lives and then build a majority to deliver on them. Those are called leaders. …And, today, across the globe and across all political systems, leaders are in dangerously short supply” (Friedman, 2011). Moving beyond conventional decision-making strategies and antiquated management regimes will require political, social, and economic capital. Decisionmakers and society as a whole must recognize the need for transformative action in response to changing conditions on the ground (and with respect to the climate), and prioritize investment accordingly.25 25 “Capacity to adapt includes not only the preconditions necessary to enable adaptation, including social and physical elements, but also the ability to mobilize them…These may, in part, be facilitated by enhancing the interaction between science, policy and practice” (Park et al., 2012, p.151) Section 4 81 6.1 Pre-Disaster Mitigation: A Paradigm Shift Transitioning our institutions and coastal communities to address these dynamic challenges will require a combination of novel decision-making criteria, public-private partnerships, regulatory and market-based mechanisms, and significant investments in physical and social infrastructure. Expanded investment in meteorology and climatology, as well as risk reducing measures, is essential to marshal resources and lay the foundation for institution building and strategic risk reduction initiatives (Vogel et al., 2007; Agrawala and Fankhauser 2008; McDaniels et al., 2008; Willliamson et al., 2010; Grossmann and Morgan, 2011; Aerts and Botzen, 2011; Interagency Climate Change Adaptation Task Force 2011; USGCRP, 2012). Absent the development and implementation of a holistic and well-coordinated national strategic resilience initiative, setting priorities for state and local governments, including: (1) a comprehensive all-hazards mitigation program; (2) public and private insurance reform; and (3) a robust climate change adaptation action-plan – extreme hydro-meteorological events and other natural hazards will continue to burden Floridians and beyond with billions of dollars in avoidable losses and hardship (Walker et al., 2004; Kettl, 2006; Wood, 2009b; Pelling, 2011; Solecki et al., 2011). “If this resilient cities initiative sounds too ambitious, think back to what is at stake” (Godschalk 2003, p.141-142). Historic losses, contemporary vulnerability, and future risk projections, dictate that our ability to design and implement effective risk reduction policies is more important than ever. 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Ecological Economics 68 (10), 2627–2636. Zhang, K. (2010) Analysis of non-linear inundation from sea-level rise using LIDAR data: a case study for South Florida. Climatic Change 106 (4), 537−365. Section 4 94 Appendix A. Mitigation Choice Experiment Table 3. Mitigation Choice Experiment: Roof System Baseline Information Treatment Incentive Treatment Combined Treatment (Information and Incentive) Overall Option A (high cost) Option B (low cost) None Total 39 Option A or Option B 109 70 121 230 30.43% 55 16.96% 44 47.39% 99 52.61% 115 100.00% 214 25.70% 101 20.56% 42 46.26% 143 53.74% 90 100.00% 233 43.35% 78 18.03% 52 61.38% 130 38.63% 92 100.00% 222 35.14% 23.42% 58.56% 41.44% 100.00% 304 177 481 418 899 33.81% 19.69% 53.50% 46.50% 100.00% Note: An additional 99 respondents in Baseline reported Roofing at 2001 Florida Building Code (or South Florida Building Code), 139 in Information Treatment, 121 in Incentive, 105 in Combined Treatment, 464 in total. Table 4. Mitigation Choice Experiment: Opening Protection Baseline Information Treatment Incentive Treatment Combined Treatment (Information and Incentive) Overall Option A (high cost) Option B (low cost) None Total 58 Option A or Option B 113 55 95 208 26.44% 43 27.89% 38 54.33% 81 45.67% 96 100.00% 177 24.29% 75 21.47% 70 44.76% 145 54.24% 85 100.00% 230 32.61% 67 30.43% 60 63.04% 127 36.96% 78 100.00% 205 32.68% 29.27% 61.95% 38.05% 100.00% 240 226 466 354 820 29.27% 27.56% 56.83% 43.17% 100.00% Note: An additional 86 respondents in Baseline reported Opening Protection at 2001 Florida Building Code (or 1994 South Florida Building Code), 129 in Information Treatment, 93 in Incentive Treatment, and 82 in Combined Treatment, 390 total. Section 4 95 Appendix B: Definitions and Descriptive Statistics of Key Variables Table 5. Concern, Accountability, and Effectiveness Variables: Definitions and Descriptive Statistics Variable Concern Season +10% Concern Season Concern Ten-years +10% Concern Ten-Years Federal Govt. Accountability State Govt. Accountability County Govt. Accountability City Govt. Accountability Insurance Comp. Accountability Federal Govt. Effectiveness State Govt. Effectiveness County Govt. Effectiveness City Govt. Effectiveness Insurance Comp. Effectiveness Section 4 Definition Concern a major hurricane (Category 3, 4, and 5) will damage home this hurricane season (0-10; 0. is not concerned at all, 10. is highly concerned). Concern a major hurricane (Category 3, 4, and 5) will cause more damage to home than 10% of its assessed value this hurricane season (0-10; 0. is not concerned at all, 10. is highly concerned). Concern a major hurricane (Category 3, 4, and 5) will damage home within the next ten years (0-10; 0. is not concerned at all, 10. is highly concerned). Concern a major hurricane (Category 3, 4, and 5) will cause more damage to home than 10% of its assessed value within the next ten years (0-10; 0. is not concerned at all, 10. is highly concerned). How accountable overall is the federal government (0-10; 0. is not accountable at all, 10. is highly accountable). How accountable overall is the State of Florida government (0-10; 0. is not accountable at all, 10. is highly accountable). How accountable overall is your county government (0-10; 0. is not accountable at all, 10. is highly accountable). How accountable overall is your city government (0-10; 0. is not accountable at all, 10. is highly accountable). How accountable overall are private insurance companies (0-10; 0. is not accountable at all, 10. is highly accountable). How effective is the federal government at managing vulnerability to natural hazards (0-10; 0. is not effective at all, 10. is highly effective). How effective is the State of Florida government at managing vulnerability to natural hazards (0-10; 0. is not effective at all, 10. is highly effective). How effective is your county government at managing vulnerability to natural hazards (0-10; 0. is not effective at all, 10. is highly effective). How effective is your city government at managing vulnerability to natural hazards (0-10; 0. is not effective at all, 10. is highly effective). How effective are insurance companies at managing vulnerability to natural hazards (0-10; 0. is not effective at all, 10. is highly effective). 96 N 1689 Mean 5.37 SD 2.83 Min 0 Max 10 1689 5.10 3.00 0 10 1694 6.17 2.96 0 10 1692 5.94 3.08 0 10 1404 5.32 3.14 0 10 1406 5.49 2.30 0 10 1406 5.34 2.89 0 10 1406 5.20 2.96 0 10 1406 6.05 3.36 0 10 1400 4.84 2.74 0 10 1394 5.17 2.60 0 10 1396 5.21 2.61 0 10 1391 4.90 2.69 0 10 1392 4.51 2.90 0 10 Table 6. Mitigation and Insurance Variables: Definitions and Descriptive Statistics Variable Pre-Disaster Mitigation Fund WTP Mitigation Fund Definition Support creation of ‘Florida Pre-Disaster Mitigation Fund’ to finance programs focused on strengthening built environment before hurricanes strike (0-1; 0. if no, 1. if yes). Household’s willingness-to-pay each year to contribute to the proposed ‘Florida Pre-Disaster Mitigation Fund’ given random number generator amount between $5-$500 (0-1; 0. if no, 1. if yes). Random WTP Random number generator for willingness-to-pay each year to contribute to Amount the proposed ‘Florida Pre-Disaster Mitigation Fund’, between $5-$500. Certainty WTP Certain household is willingness-to-pay each year (0-10; 0. is not certain at all, 10. is highly certain). MSFH Program Support continuation of the My Safe Florida Home (MSFH) Program in a proposed referendum (0-1; 0. vote no (against), 1. vote yes (in support). Mitigation Support creation of publically accessible database of ‘Home Structure Ratings’, Database including records of mitigation improvements (0-10; 0. is not supportive at all, 10. is highly supportive). Hurricane Assess economic threat of more Category 4 and 5 hurricanes in Florida due Threat to climate change (0-10; 0. not credible at all and 10. highly credible). Building Support strengthening Florida building codes to enhance coastal resilience Codes (0-10; 0. not supportive at all and 10. highly supportive). Shoreline Support increasing Florida shoreline setbacks to increase coastal resilience Setbacks (0-10; 0. not supportive at all and 10. highly supportive). Elevation Support establishing new elevation standards for roads/buildings in Florida to Standards enhance coastal resilience (0-10; 0. not supportive at all and 10. highly supportive). Density Support creating stricter density restrictions in low-lying areas to enhance Restrictions coastal resistance (0-10; 0. not supportive at all and 10. highly supportive). Surcharges/ Florida should continue to finance the insurance system to pay for hurricane Assessments damage after-the-fact with surcharges, regular assessments, and emergency assessments (0-10; 0. not supportive at all and 10. highly supportive). 5-Year Flood Support creation of multi-year (5-year) flood insurance contracts (0-10; 0. not Contracts supportive at all and 10. highly supportive). 30-Year Flood Support creation of long-term (30-year) flood insurance contracts (0-10; Contracts 0. not supportive at all and 10. highly supportive). Comprehensive Combine wind and flood insurance into a comprehensive program for hurricane Insurance prone coastal areas (0-10; 0. not supportive at all and 10. highly supportive). Catastrophe Support creation of tax-free catastrophe savings accounts (0-10; 0. not Savings Accounts supportive at all and 10. highly supportive). Section 4 97 N Mean SD Min Max 1687 0.69 0.46 0 1 1400 0.26 0.44 0 1 1400 248.61 141.34 5 500 1396 8.24 2.28 0 10 1682 0.74 0.44 0 1 1647 6.06 3.28 0 10 1481 5.81 2.57 0 10 1461 7.36 2.72 0 10 1459 7.84 2.69 0 10 1458 7.54 2.70 0 10 1456 7.73 2.78 0 10 1437 5.49 3.28 0 10 1394 5.67 3.37 0 10 1376 4.40 3.52 0 10 1426 7.64 2.64 0 10 1428 6.87 3.08 0 10 Table 7. Mitigation Choice Experiment Variables: Definitions and Descriptive Statistics Variable Vulnerability Information Package Roofing Overall Openings Overall Roofing Baseline Openings Baseline Roofing Information Openings Information Roofing Incentive Openings Incentive Roofing Combined Openings Combined Certainty Overall Certainty Baseline Certainty Information Certainty Incentive Certainty Combined Section 4 Definition Received salient vulnerability information package treatment, Insurance Institute for Business and Home Safety (IBHS) video demonstration of secondary water barrier performance against rainwater intrusion (0-1; 0. if no, 1. if yes). Roofing system selected in Mitigation Choice Experiment (0-2; 0. if none at this time or at code, 1. if lower cost Option B, 2. if higher cost Option A). Opening protection selected in Mitigation Choice Experiment (0-2; 0. if none at this time or at code, 1. if lower cost Option B, 2. if higher cost Option A). Roofing system selected in Mitigation Choice Experiment (0-2; 0. if none at this time or at code, 1. if lower cost Option B, 2. if higher cost Option A). Opening protection selected in Mitigation Choice Experiment (0-2; 0. if none at this time or at code, 1. if lower cost Option B, 2. if higher cost Option A). Roofing system selected in Mitigation Choice Experiment (0-2; 0. if none at this time or at code, 1. if lower cost Option B, 2. if higher cost Option A). Opening protection selected in Mitigation Choice Experiment (0-2; 0. if none at this time or at code, 1. if lower cost Option B, 2. if higher cost Option A). Roofing system selected in Mitigation Choice Experiment (0-2; 0. if none at this time or at code, 1. if lower cost Option B, 2. if higher cost Option A). Opening protection selected in Mitigation Choice Experiment (0-2; 0. if none at this time or at code, 1. if lower cost Option B, 2. if higher cost Option A). Roofing system selected in Mitigation Choice Experiment (0-2; 0. if none at this time or at code, 1. if lower cost Option B, 2. if higher cost Option A). Opening protection selected in Mitigation Choice Experiment (0-2; 0. if none at this time or at code, 1. if lower cost Option B, 2. if higher cost Option A). How certain household is of protection options selected in the Mitigation Choice Experiment (0-10; 0. is not certain at all, 10. is highly certain). How certain household is of protection options selected in the Mitigation Choice Experiment (0-10; 0. is not certain at all, 10. is highly certain. How certain household is of protection options selected in the Mitigation Choice Experiment (0-10; 0. is not certain at all, 10. is highly certain. How certain household is of protection options selected in the Mitigation Choice Experiment (0-10; 0. is not certain at all, 10. is highly certain. How certain household is of protection options selected in the ‘Mitigation Choice Experiment (0-10; 0. is not certain at all, 10. is highly certain. 98 N 1647 Mean 0.49 SD 0.50 Min 0 Max 1 899 0.73 0.77 0 2 820 0.84 0.83 0 2 230 0.64 0.76 0 2 208 0.82 0.84 0 2 214 0.69 0.80 0 2 177 0.67 0.80 0 2 233 0.79 0.73 0 2 230 0.93 0.82 0 2 222 0.82 0.79 0 2 205 0.91 0.82 0 2 1023 7.85 2.11 0 10 223 7.93 2.01 0 10 251 7.98 2.01 0 10 284 7.65 2.20 0 10 265 7.87 2.18 0 10 Table 8. Socio-demographic Variables: Definitions and Descriptive Statistics Variable Gender Definition Gender (0-1; 0. male, 1. female). N 1417 Mean 0.43 SD 0.50 Min 0 Max 1 Age Age. 1392 58.83 11.56 30 91 Education 1397 3.76 1.44 1 6 1390 3.06 0.68 1 5 1412 2.40 1.07 1 6 Household Size Highest level of education completed (1-6; 1. if high school graduate or equivalent, 2. if some college, no degree, 3. if associates degree, 4. if bachelors degree, 5. if masters, 6. doctorate or professional degree). Ethnicity (1-5; 1. if african-american, 2. if asian, 3. if caucasian, 4. if hispanic/latino, 5. other). Current marital status (1-5; 1. if single, 2. if married; 3. if living together; 4. if divorced, 5. if widowed, 6. if other). Household size. 1409 2.42 1.07 1 5 Children Number of children (under 18) in household. 1402 0.37 0.78 0 5 Children Under 5 Household Income Number of children under 5 in household. 1403 0.07 0.29 0 2 Total household income, before taxes, for the past year (2011) (1-19, 1. if less than $20,000, 2 if $20,000-$29,999, 3 if $30,000-$39,999, 4. if $40,000$49,999, 5. if $50,000-$59,999, 6. if $60,000-$69,999, 7. if $70,000$79,999, 8. if $80,000-$89,999, 9. if $90,000-$99,999, 10. if $100,000$109,999, 11. if $110,000-$119,999, 12. if $120,000-$129,999, 13. if $130,000-$139,999, 14. if $140,000-$149,999, 15. if $150,000-$159,999, 16. if $160,000-$169,999, 17. if $170,000-$179,000, 18. if $180,000$189,999, 19. if $190,000-$199,999, 20. $200,000-$209,999, 21. $210,000$219,999, 22. $220,000-$229,999, 23. $230,000-$239,999, 24. $240,000$249,999, and 25. $250,000 and above). Political affiliation (1-7; 1. if democrat, 2. if independent, 3. if libertarian, 4. if republican, 5. if no affiliation, 6. if other). Number of years living in Florida. 1310 8.42 5.31 1 25 1317 3.04 1.59 1 6 1415 29.65 16.49 1 79 Ethnicity Marital Status Political Affiliation Years Florida Section 4 99 Table 9. Respondents’ Home Characteristics and Insurance Variables: Definitions and Descriptive Statistics Variable Home Value N 1388 Mean 3.60 SD 2.52 Min 1 Max 9 Mortgage Definition Home’s approximate value (1-9; 1. if less than $150,000, 2. if $150,000$200,000; 3. if $200,000-$250,000, 4. if $250,000-$300,000, 5. if $300,000$350,000, 6. if $350,00-$400,000, 7. if $400,000-$450,000, 8 .if $450,000$500,000, 9. if greater than $500,000). Home mortgage (0-1; 0. if no, 1. if yes). 1405 0.67 0.47 0 1 Year Built Year home built. 1588 1981.48 17.01 1900 2006 At Code Openings Opening protection was installed after August 1994 in Miami-Dade and Broward Counties and meets 1994 South Florida Building Code or after March 2002 in all other Florida Counties and meets 2001 Florida Building Code. Respondents roof system was installed after August 1994 in Miami-Dade and Broward Counties and meets 1994 South Florida Building Code or after March 2002 in all other Florida Counties and meets 2001 Florida Building Code. Home’s number of levels (stories) (1-3; 1. if one level, 2. if two levels; 3. if three levels). Home’s square footage. 1172 0.34 0.47 0 1 1391 0.35 0.48 0 1 1615 1.17 0.45 1 3 1595 2104.63 728.86 800 6500 Home’s roof cover type (1-4; 1. if tile, 2. if shingle, 3. if metal, 4. if concrete). Home’s roof shape (1-3; 1. if hip, 2. if gable; 3. if flat). 1564 1.92 0.62 1 4 1493 1.54 0.57 1 3 Household has property insurance (0-1; 0. if no, 1. if yes). 1424 1 0 0 1 Household has wind insurance (0-1; 0. if no, 1. if yes). 985 1 0 0 1 Household has flood insurance (0-1; 0. if no, 1. if yes). 1435 0.61 0.49 0 1 Household is required to purchase flood insurance (lives in flood zone and has a mortgage) (0-1; 0. if no, 1. if yes). 865 0.29 0.45 0 1 At Code Roofing Levels/Stories Square Footage Roof Covering Roof Shape Property Insurance Wind Insurance Flood Insurance Mandatory Flood Section 4 100 Table 10. Hurricane Experience and Structural Damage History Variables: Definitions and Descriptive Statistics Variable Hurricane Hits Definition Total hurricane hits experienced in 2004 and 2005. N 1710 Mean 0.70 SD 0.88 Min 0 Max 4 Wind/Bourne Debris Wind-Driven Rainwater Downed Trees Home was damaged by wind/wind-borne debris from hurricane/tropical storm (0-1; 0. not damaged, 1. damaged). Home was damaged by wind-driven rainwater from hurricane/tropical storm (0-1; 0. not damaged, 1. damaged). Home was damaged by downed trees/tree limbs from hurricane/tropical storm (0-1; 0. not damaged, 1. damaged). Home was damaged by broken/dislodged exterior equipment (rooftop mounted or ground level) from hurricane/tropical storm (0-1; 0. not damaged, 1. damaged). Home was damaged by accessory structure failure (screen enclosure, porch, carport) from hurricane/tropical storm (0-1; 0. not damaged, 1. damaged). Home suffered roof cover failure from hurricane/tropical storm (0-1; 0. not damaged, 1. damaged). Home suffered roof deck failure from hurricane/tropical storm (0-1; 0. not damaged, 1. damaged). Home suffered roof-to-wall connection failure from hurricane/tropical storm (0-1; 0. not damaged, 1. damaged). Home suffered wall covering/cladding failure from hurricane/tropical storm (0-1; 0. not damaged, 1. damaged). Home suffered shutter failure from hurricane/tropical storm (0-1; 0. not damaged, 1. damaged). Home suffered broken windows, skylights, entry doors, sliding glass doors from hurricane/tropical storm (0-1; 0. not damaged, 1. damaged). Home suffered garage door failure from hurricane/tropical storm (0-1; 0. not damaged, 1. damaged). Home suffered soffit/vent failure (gable-end, ridge, roof, soffit, turbine vents) from hurricane/tropical storm (0-1; 0. not damaged, 1. damaged). Home suffered gutter/downspout failure from hurricane/tropical storm (0-1; 0. not damaged, 1. damaged). 281 1 0 0 1 205 1 0 0 1 318 1 0 0 1 77 1 0 0 1 22 1 0 0 1 124 1 0 0 1 38 1 0 0 1 111 1 0 0 1 92 1 0 0 1 126 1 0 0 1 124 1 0 0 1 38 1 0 0 1 111 1 0 0 1 92 1 0 0 1 Dislodged Exterior Equip. Accessory Struct. Failure Roof Cover Failure Roof Deck Failure Roof-to-Wall Failure Wall Covering Failure Shutter Failure Window/Door Failure Garage Door Failure Soffit/Vent Failure Gutter Failure Section 4 101 Table 11. Interior Damage and Water Intrusion Variables: Definitions and Descriptive Statistics Variable Contents/ Furnishings Interior Finishes Ceiling Collapse Utilities Damage Mold Growth Water Roof Water Walls Water Windows Water Doors Water Soffits/ Vents Water Damage Covered Section 4 Definition Home suffered interior contents/furnishings damage from hurricane/tropical storm (0-1; 0. not damaged, 1. damaged). Home suffered interior finishes damage (ceilings, walls, flooring) from hurricanes/tropical storm (0-1; 0. not damaged, 1. damaged). Home suffered ceiling collapse from hurricane/tropical storm (0-1; 0. not damaged, 1. damaged). Home suffered utilities damage (electrical, mechanical, plumbing) from hurricane/tropical storm (0-1; 0. not damaged, 1. damaged). Home suffered mold growth from hurricane/tropical storm (0-1; 0. not damaged, 1. damaged). Damage to interior contents, finishes (ceilings, walls, flooring), and utilities, caused directly by wind-driven rainwater intrusion through the roof (0-1; 0. not damaged, 1. damaged). Damage to interior contents, finishes (ceilings, walls, flooring), and utilities, caused directly by wind-driven rainwater intrusion through the walls (0-1; 0. not damaged, 1. damaged). Damage to interior contents, finishes (ceilings, walls, flooring), and utilities, caused directly by wind-driven rainwater intrusion through the windows (0-1; 0. not damaged, 1. damaged). Damage to interior contents, finishes (ceilings, walls, flooring), and utilities, caused directly by wind-driven rainwater intrusion through the doors (0-1; 0. not damaged, 1. damaged). Damage to interior contents, finishes (ceilings, walls, flooring), and utilities, caused directly by wind-driven rainwater intrusion through soffits/vents (0-1; 0. not damaged, 1. damaged). All interior damage covered by your insurance (0-1; 0. not all interior damage covered, 1. all interior damage covered. 102 N 126 Mean 1 SD 0 Min 0 Max 1 210 1 0 0 1 73 1 0 0 1 99 1 0 0 1 91 1 0 0 1 344 1 0 0 1 148 1 0 0 1 134 1 0 0 1 80 1 0 0 1 67 1 0 0 1 442 0.62 0.48 0 1 Section 4 103 A Resource for the State of Florida HURRICANE LOSS REDUCTION FOR HOUSING IN FLORIDA FINAL REPORT For the Period March 30, 2012 to July 31, 2012 SECTION 5 Estimation of Surface Roughness Using Airborne LiDAR Data A Research Project Funded by: The State of Florida Division of Emergency Management Through Contract #12RC-5S-11-23-22-369 Prepared by Keqi Zhang, Kristofer Shretha, Jie Huang, Yuepeng Li, and Huiqing Lui The International Hurricane Research Center (IHRC) Florida International University (FIU) August 1, 2012 Table of Contents Executive Summary 2 1 Introduction 3 2 Classification of Terrain, Vegetation, and Building LiDAR Points 4 2.1 Derivation of digital terrain model 5 2.2 Creation of Ground and non-ground masks 6 2.3 Building point segmentation 7 2.4 Tree points segmentation 10 3 Calculation of Roughness Length 11 4 Application of the Algorithms to Test Datasets 15 4.1 Single house residential area 16 4.2 Apartment residential area 21 5 Discussion and Summary Section 5 25 1 Executive Summary Surface roughness is an important parameter for determining impacts of hurricane wind on buildings. The remote sensing technology provides an effective way to estimate the surface roughness in a large area. However, traditional optical remote sensing imagery does not provide heights data of terrains, buildings, and trees required for the calculation of surface roughness. Airborne LiDAR remote sensing overcome the disadvantage of the optical remote sensing by providing direct measurements horizontal coordinates and vertical elevations of the objects on the Earth surface. The Florida Division of Emergency Management collected LiDAR data for the coastal area in Florida in 2007. We have developed methods (1) to extract terrains, buildings, trees from LiDAR measurements, (2) to compute the surface roughness using extracted terrains, buildings, and trees based on five surface roughness models, and (3) compare the surface roughness values from LiDAR with those from the national land cover datasets created based on Landsat imagery. The application of the methods to two test sites in Miami shows that the algorithms classified terrain, buildings, and trees successfully with minor errors. The comparison of LiDAR derived roughness lengths with the NLCD based roughness length indicates that two types of roughness values agree reasonably. Section 5 2 1 Introduction One of the major damages caused by hurricanes in the State of Florida is wind impacts on buildings. The impacts of hurricane wind on buildings are not only determined by the magnitude and duration of high wind, but also by the interaction between the features including terrain, vegetation, and buildings above the Earth surface and the wind within the boundary layer. Assessment of surface roughness is thus a critical component of modeling wind effects on buildings. The surface roughness is characterized by the roughness length, denoted z0, which is a function of the height and spacing of buildings, trees, and other obstructions. Methods for calculating z0 can be generalized into two categories: those based on field wind observations and those based on the morphology and spatial arrangement of surface elements. The calculation of the surface roughness based on field wind measurements is accurate, but is limited by the availability of wind observation stations. Often, the sparse wind observation stations cannot capture the characteristics of the interaction between the wind and roughness elements within the boundary layer during a hurricane. The method based on spatial arrangement of the elements on the Earth surface is more practical for estimating surface roughness for a large area. Remote sensing imagery provides an effective way to estimate the surface roughness for a large area. For example, the national land cover dataset (NLCD) from Landsat images with a 30 m spatial resolution [1] is commonly used to estimate z0. Roughness values are associated with land cover classes based on the study of micrometeorological experiments measuring wind flows over various types of surfaces. FEMA's HAZUS model (www.fema.gov/hazus/) uses the NLCD to calculate the surface roughness for estimating hurricane wind impacts. The advantage of the Section 5 3 NLCD is that it provides national coverage, the disadvantage is that the NLCD lacks important information such as heights of trees and buildings for surface roughness calculation. The light detection and ranging (LiDAR) technology overcome the disadvantage of the optical remote sensing technology used by Landsat by providing direct measurements horizontal coordinates and vertical elevations of the objects on the Earth surface. The Florida Division of Emergency Management collected airborne LiDAR data for the Florida's coastal areas vulnerable to hurricane surge inundation in 2007. A LiDAR dataset includes measurements for all earth surface features scanned by a laser sensor. In order to compute z0, several feature classes must be extracted from the LiDAR data—specifically, terrain, buildings and vegetation. The objective of this research is to develop methods to extract surface elements such as buildings and trees from LiDAR measurements and to estimate the surface roughness based on extracted surface elements. 2 Classification of Terrain, Vegetation, and Building LiDAR Points Many approaches have been developed to extract features such as buildings from a LiDAR dataset. These methods include roof topology vertex minimization in a rectilinear approximation of building outlines [2]; parametric roof composition based on roof-topology graph searching [3]; region-growing based on plane-fitting [4]; rectilinear probabilistic representation of free, occupied, and hidden space via occupancy grids [5]; and eigen analysis of Voronoi neighborhoods with fuzzy k-means clustering [6]. In this study, we have improved the feature extraction method developed by Zhang et al. [4, 7] for the usage in mixed urban environments with vegetation cover. Section 5 4 The process for classification of irregularly-spaced raw data points {x, y, z} into ground, building, and tree / vegetation points is outlined in Fig. 1. A square mesh {xi , yi } is fitted to the data extents with horizontal spacing slightly smaller than the expected average posting of LIDAR data; we will subsequently refer to the indices of this grid as (m, n) for image processing purposes. A value z i is created for each grid cell location in {xi , yi } , or each image index (m, n) , by fitting Delaunay triangles to {x, y, z} and employing linear interpolation. The resulting set of points {xi , yi , zi } (or pixels) is used to create a digital earth model, building surfaces mask, and tree / vegetation mask. Fig. 1. Algorithm flowchart for automated classification of LiDAR data. 2.1 Derivation of digital terrain model The rationale for feature extraction is that topographic changes occur in large scales and are usually gradual with a large degree of spatial autocorrelation in a neighborhood, while the Section 5 5 elevation change between buildings or trees and the ground is drastic. Therefore, the difference in elevation change in a neighborhood (window) can be used to separate ground and non-ground measurements in a LiDAR dataset [8]. Morphological filters can derive ground points by removing points for buildings and trees from a set of LiDAR measurements using the operations based on the elevation surface from LiDAR measurements [9]. Ground points are selected from the LiDAR points {xi , yi , zi } based on combinations of morphological opening and closing operations. The opening operation is achieved by performing an erosion of the dataset followed by dilation, and the closing operation is accomplished by carrying out dilation first and then erosion. It is often difficult to detect all non-ground objects of various sizes using a fixed window size of dilation and erosion operations. Zhang et al. [10] developed a progressive morphological filter to separate ground and nonground LiDAR points using varying window sizes. By gradually increasing the filtering window and using elevation difference thresholds, the measurements of vehicles, vegetation, and buildings are removed while the ground data is preserved. After the filtering of the LiDAR points, a digital terrain model (DTM) {xg , y g , z g } is generated by interpolating ground points. A problem with this procedure is the removal of lowelevation objects less than the window size, but the terrain reduction is expected to be minor with a small window. An accuracy analysis shows 3% errors committed by the terrain filter in a random sample of 648 measurements [9]. 2.2 Creation of ground and non-ground masks The next step is to produce a mask for the set of points {xi , yi , zi } for separating ground and nonground points. To do this we employ the simplest form of image segmentation: thresholding. The LiDAR elevations z i and z g are scaled to use as intensities in the creation of two grayscale Section 5 6 images f1 (m, n) and f 2 (m, n) with common indices. A composite image f 3 (m, n) is created based on the difference in heights z zi z g , or the intensity difference between f1 and f 2 . The composite image is then segmented into “object” C1 and “background” C2 pixels by utilizing a threshold value zT ; a constant selected based on the expected minimum building height: C1 f 3 (m, n) | f 3 (m, n) zT C2 f 3 (m, n) | f 3 (m, n) zT This helps to reduce the contribution of reflecting objects such as trimmed bushes [4], automobiles, and humans. The ground mask is created by labeling object pixels in C1 1 and background pixels in C2 0 . The non-ground mask is the inverse of this operation. Binary images are created by coloring each pixel white or black depending on the labels. 2.3 Building point segmentation The set of points {xi , yi , zi } can be expressed as the combination of three rectangular component arrays (each of size m n ). The kernel 1 0 1 is used to propagate a one-dimensional digital filter in both directions across each component array. The individual components of the normal vector at each vertex {xi , yi , zi } are generated by taking the cross-product of the filter outputs. An image related to the normal of the fitted surface can be generated by using the XYZ components as RGB channels; an example is shown in Fig. 2. Computing correlation between surface normal vectors in local neighborhoods gives an estimate of co-planarity. A twodimensional digital filter with kernel Section 5 7 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 is used to compute the local correlation in each component array. Employing this particular type of 2-D kernel is often referred to as operating with “8-connectivity.” The dot product between the filter output and each vertex normal (with component magnitudes inversely scaled by the sum of the digital coefficients) is computed to yield the angles between vectors, resulting in the set g1 {xi , yi , i } . Co-planar points should coincide within a certain angular tolerance related to the height accuracy of the LIDAR system. For example, if it is expected that the maximum vertical error of observations is ±10 cm and points are separated by 1 m in the horizontal, the angle between co-planar points should be no more than 5.71°. The thresholding of the array by T 5.71 yields co-planar points D1 and non-co-planar points D2 : D1 g1 (m, n) | g1 (m, n) T D2 g1 (m, n) | g1 (m, n) T . We can again create a mask by labeling D1 1 / D2 0 , and generate the requisite binary image. Fig. 2. Left: Top view of a three-dimensional scene with elevations colored by height. Right: Example of surface norm image when XYZ components are set to RGB channels. Note that the norms for the pixels of flat roof facets have the same values (blue color). Section 5 8 The employment of an angular tolerance inside / outside the expected vertical resolution of the system in thresholding operations has advantages and disadvantages. A smaller or “stricter” tolerance will classify only strongly co-planar points. A larger or “looser” tolerance will also classify weakly co-planar points. The latter can potentially yield more true positives, but at the expense of increased false positives. Thick tree canopies / high vegetation (no ground penetration by the laser beam) that vary slowly in height may be falsely classified if the angular tolerance value is set too large. However, the characteristic roughness of a typical building roof necessitates a looser tolerance than the cutoff for tree / vegetation discrimination; setting the tolerance to this stricter value often results in partial footprint reconstruction. We propose a method of combining information derived from using a lower and upper tolerance. Two binary images are thus generated related to thresholded points of g1 {xi , yi , i } : a strict mask and a loose mask. In order to remove contributions from planar ground surfaces, we simply evaluate the union of the aforementioned non-ground mask and strict / loose masks. Further morphological operations are performed on both resulting images. All 8-connected components that have fewer than n p grid cells are eliminated. n p is set to a value corresponding to the 20% of the expected minimum building size which varies based on the grid spacing of the dataset. This eliminates undesirable data related to small isolated objects such as fences, light poles, and power lines. The procedure may also eliminate useful data, however—data related to air conditioning units, pipes, overhangs, etc. A flood-fill operation is thus performed for 4-connected background neighbors; this fills in holes. A hole is a set of background cells that cannot be reached by filling in the background from the edge of the image. Shapes in the image are then thickened by adding Section 5 9 cells to object outlines, and unconnected cells with two-neighbor connectivity are bridged. All 8-connected components that have fewer than nb grid cells are eliminated. nb is set to a value corresponding to the expected minimum building size. The centroid of each isolated object in the strict mask is calculated by evaluating the center of mass in the object region. For complex roof geometry or roofs with significant non-linear elements (air conditioning units, industrial piping, ventilation structures), we expect to only partially classify the overall building footprint using the strict angular tolerance. For each strict object centroid, the closest loose object centroid is located. Information from the resulting object in the loose mask is used to refine partial building footprints. The selective merging of loose mask information into the strict classifier mask creates a final binary image, or building mask. We use this image to segment building points from the LIDAR dataset {xi , yi , zi } . 2.4 Tree points segmentation Leaf-on tree points are now identified via the union between non-ground and inverse building images. We will call this the non-building mask. Morphological operations can help to isolate small, sparsely populated, or low density objects. All 8-connected components that have fewer than nt grid cells are eliminated. nt is set to a value corresponding to the expected minimum tree size in leaf-on conditions that varies based on the grid spacing of the dataset. This eliminates responses from tall grasses, small shrubs, and tree skeletons (i.e., full leaf-off conditions in deciduous forest). Similar to the building classifier, the process may introduce underestimation bias into eventual effective roughness calculations. The benefits related to more Section 5 10 accurate estimation of individual tree centers in the next step outweighs the inclusion of objects with small plan area, however. Objects whose total area is a small fraction of their overall bounding box are removed from the mask; this helps to eliminate contributions from non-linear building edges. If one side of an object’s bounding box is much larger than the other, the object is also eliminated from the mask—this helps with tall shaped hedges that may have escaped earlier thresholding. Finally, individual tree centers are determined based on local maxima crown analysis. A dilation operation is applied to non-building / non-ground points to indicate possible tree centers. The type and size of the structuring element object can be specified to maximize performance; for example, a disk shaped object with a radius of 10-15 grid cells is normally used. 3 Calculation of Roughness Length The morphometric methods for computing surface roughness was first proposed by Kutzbach [11] and Counihan [12]; the former based on natural wind flow over uniform arrangements of bushel baskets, and the latter on wind tunnel simulations over regular arrays of cubic elements. The results of these studies were simplified equations for calculating z 0 based on average geometric characteristics: z0,Kutzbach P 1.13 zH , and z0,Counihan 1.08P 0.08zH Section 5 11 The plan area aspect ratio ( P ) is calculated by dividing the lot area of obstacles ( AP ) by the total lot area ( AT ). The average obstacle height is z H . Each of these early models was intended to be used for certain values of P ; ≤ 0.29 and 0.1 - 0.25, respectively. Lettau [13] proposed a formula based on Kutzbach’s observations of wind-profile modifications over Lake Mendota: 2 z0,Lettau 0.5 z H Ly n . AT This equation includes the width of the average cross-sectional object surface intercepted by wind flow ( L y ) and number of objects ( n ). The formula is valid for P up to 0.3 [14]. Lettau’s relationship for surface roughness estimation had been used for almost three decades by meteorologists and wind-tunnel engineers. Rapauch [15] used dimensional analysis together with physical hypotheses about the scales controlling roughness element wakes and their interaction to predict a bulk drag coefficient u* 2 2 of a rough surface at height z H . The roughness length is calculated by: U h z U z0, Rapauch zH 1 d exp h h , u* zH exp 2cd 1F 0.5 1 with zd z H 1 0.5 2 c d1 F and u u* min (cs cr F ) 0.5 , * . Uh U h max Section 5 12 This includes the drag coefficient of the substrate surface ( c s ) at height z H in the absence of roughness elements, the drag coefficient of an isolated element mounted on the surface ( c r ), the von Karman constant ( ), the roughness-sublayer influence function ( h ), the frontal area n , and a free parameter ( cd 1 ). Rapauch suggested to use the aspect ratio F L y z H AT u following values: cs 0.003 , cr 0.3 , * 0.3 , 0.4 , h 0.193 , and cd 1 =7.5 to U h max calculate roughness length. Note that Rapauch’s equations have no plan area restrictions. Macdonald et al. [16] provided an improvement on the Lettau’s formula so that it would not be limited to low roughness element densities. They proposed an improved model that included an explicit description of the object drag coefficient and modifications related to the peak in the z 0 vs. area density curve: z C z z0,MacDonald z H 1 d exp 0.5 D2 1 d F zH zH 0.5 , with zd z H 1 AP P 1 . The drag coefficient here is C D , A controls curve convexity, and is an extra multiplicative factor to incorporate drag correction factors. Suggested values are CD 1.2 , A 4.43 , and 1. Section 5 13 Bottema [17] proposed an analytical model specifically intended for a regularly-spaced urban environment based on in-plane sheltering displacement height: k , z0,Bottema zH zdp1 exp 0.5 0 . 5 C F dh with zdp1 z H z dp1 Lx 0.33Lea Lbo for low densities Wx Lea Lbo , Dx Wx Wx Lx 0.33 2 L L ea bo zH for high densities Wx Lea Lbo , Dx Lea Lbo 4 Ly Z H 0.5Ly Z H , Ly L and Cdh 1.2 max 1 0.15 x ,0.82 min 0.65 0.06 ,1.00 . ZH ZH The values Dx and D y refer to the characteristic mean dimensions of an urban array, with Wx Dx Lx and Wy Dy Ly . Bottema [17] also suggested a second set of equations for a “staggered” urban orientation where the wind flow is oblique to the roughness elements and the Wy 1 : along-track obstacle spacing is high L y z dp1 z H Lx 0.33( Lea L bo ) for low densities Wx Dx Lea Lbo , 2 Dx W Dx Wx Dx Lx 0.33 2 x Lea Lbo and zdp1 z H for high densities Wx Dx Lea Lbo . 2 Dx Section 5 14 Wy When the along-track obstacle spacing is low 1 : L y Wx Dx Wx Dx Lx 0.33 2 Wy Lea Lbo zdp1 zH + L 2 D x y Wx Wx Lx 0.33 2 Wy Lea Lbo 1 zH . Ly Dx We used identified building and vegetation objects from LiDAR datasets to calculate the surface roughness using the five models including z0, Le (Lettau), z 0, Ra (Rapauch), z 0,Ma (Macdonald), z0,Bo , N (Bottema-normal), and z0,Bo ,S (Bottema-staggered). In the next section, we provide roughness estimates over the full range of wind directions for various categories of land cover, and compare the surface roughness values based on LiDAR measurements with those based on the NLCD. 4. Application of the Algorithms to Test Datasets In July through September 2007, airborne LIDAR data was collected in the areas vulnerable to storm surge flooding in Florida for the Division of Emergency Management. Flights were conducted using a Leica ALS50 system, and parameters were set to provide a point density sufficient to support a maximum final post spacing of 4 ft (1.24 m) for unobscured areas. The average horizontal spacing for this data is 0.81 ft (26 cm). A vertical accuracy assessment was Section 5 15 performed using a standard method to compute the root mean square error (RMSE) based on a comparison of ground control points and filtered LIDAR points. Resulting analysis indicates that we can expect 0.35 ft (11 cm) of RMSE error. 4.1 Single house residential area A single house residential area in the northeast Miami with a number of buildings and directly adjacent trees was selected for testing the algorithms. Satellite imagery (November 2007) of this region is shown in Fig. 3. Fig. 4 shows a top view of gridded LiDAR data with features are colored by the automatic classifier. Building points are represented by a blue mask, non-building points by a green mask, and tree centers by red stars. A minor classification error occurs at (X, Y) = (924500, 539550), where a tall shaped hedge is merged into a building outline. This was an expected outcome, as the planar classification algorithm may struggle to differentiate highly dense, slowly varying canopies from building surfaces. Three-dimensional shaded surfaces created from gridded LIDAR data are shown in Fig. 5. Fig. 6 shows results of the planar classifier plotted over the DTM. Fig. 7 shows results of the tree / vegetation classifier over the DTM. Section 5 16 Fig. 3. Satellite imagery (November 2007) of residential Miami area, courtesy of Google Earth. The analysis region is indicated by a red box. Fig. 4. Gridded single house residential LiDAR data with elevations colored by height (grayscale). Top view of image with specific features colored by automatic classifier: building points (blue mask), nonbuilding points (green mask), and tree centers (red stars). Units are feet, State Plane, Florida East zone. Section 5 17 Fig. 5. Three-dimensional shaded surfaces created by gridding all LiDAR points for a single house residential area. Units are feet, State Plane, Florida East zone. Fig. 6. Three-dimensional shaded surfaces created from results of planar classifier plotted over DTM in a single house residential area. Units are feet, State Plane, Florida East zone. Section 5 18 Fig. 7. Three-dimensional shaded surfaces created from results of tree/vegetation classifier over DTM in a single house residential area. Units are feet, State Plane, Florida East zone. To provide a comparison of our LiDAR-driven results to 2006 NLCD based values, effective surface roughness was also calculated by averaging 30x30 m NLCD grid cells in the indicated region. NLCD has four types of developed classifications (Open, Low, Medium, and High) in this test dataset. We chose values for NLCD classes (Table 1) based on the descriptions of homogenous surface types from Wieringa [18], and specific descriptions of urban surface form Grimmond [14]. Table 1. NLCD classes and associated z 0 ranges in a residential area. NLCD class NLCD key # Open water Developed, open space Developed, low intensity Developed, medium intensity Developed, high intensity 11 21 22 23 24 Section 5 Associated description (Wieringa / Grimmond) Sea Concrete-short grass Low height and density Medium height and density Tall and high density z 0 range 0.0002 0.0002-0.02 0.3-0.8 0.7-1.5 0.8-1.5 19 An image of the roughness for the residential Miami area created from the 2006 NLCD is shown in Fig. 8. Three land cover classes are present in this residential Miami image: Open Water (11, blue); Developed, Low Intensity (22, light red); and Developed, Medium Intensity (23, dark red). It is noteworthy that two isolated Medium Intensity pixels in the NLCD dataset were generated by the coincidence of the locations of pixels and buildings. Taking the average over 40 cells in Fig. 8, z 0 for the area based on NLCD LULC classes is 0.47 m. A plot of z 0 values estimated using the automated LIDAR classifier is shown in Fig. 9, with the NLCD estimation represented by a straight line. The roughness as a function of wind direction is shown for five models— Lettau, Rapauch, MacDonald, and Bottema (normal and staggered). Fig. 8. National Land Cover Database (2006) 30 meter resolution image of residential Miami area, courtesy of Multi-Resolution Land Cover. Three classes are shown: open water (11, blue); developed, low intensity (22, light red); and developed, medium intensity (23, medium red). The analysis region is indicated by a black box. Section 5 20 Fig. 9. z 0 calculations in residential Miami area using averaged NLCD and models by Lettau (Le), Rapauch (Ra), Macdonald (Ma), and Bottema (Bo N: normal; Bo S: staggered) for changing wind directions. 4.2 Apartment residential area Satellite imagery (November 2007) of an urban area in west Miami, Florida is shown in Fig. 10. Fig. 11 shows a top view of gridded LIDAR data with features colored by automatic classifier. Returns from parked cars and several small trees do not meet the minimum area requirements for classifiers. Three-dimensional shaded surfaces created from the gridded data, planar classifier, and tree / vegetation classifier are shown in Figs. 12, 13, and 14. An NLCD image of the area (Fig. 15) was used to calculate a z 0 value of 0.87 m. A plot of z 0 values estimated using the automated LIDAR classifier is shown in Fig. 16. Section 5 21 Fig. 10. Satellite imagery (November 2007) of urban Miami area, courtesy of Google Earth. The analysis region is indicated by a red box. Fig. 11. Gridded urban Miami LIDAR data with elevations colored by height (grayscale). Top view of image with specific features colored by automatic classifier: building points (blue mask), non-building points (green mask), and tree centers (red stars). Units are feet, State Plane, Florida East zone. Section 5 22 Fig. 12. Three-dimensional shaded surfaces created from gridded urban Miami LIDAR data. Units are feet, State Plane, Florida East zone. Fig. 13. Three-dimensional shaded surfaces created from results of planar classifier plotted over DEM in urban Miami. Units are feet, State Plane, Florida East zone. Section 5 23 Fig. 14. Three-dimensional shaded surfaces created from results of tree / vegetation classifier over DEM in urban Miami. Units are feet, State Plane, Florida East zone. Fig. 15. National Land Cover Database (2006) 30 meter resolution image of urban Miami area, courtesy of the Multi-Resolution Land Characteristics Consortium. Two classes are shown: developed, low intensity (22, light red) and developed, medium intensity (23, medium red). The analysis region is indicated by a black box. Section 5 24 Fig. 16. z 0 calculations in urban Miami area using averaged NLCD and models by Lettau, Rapauch, Macdonald, and Bottema for changing wind directions. 5 Discussion and Summary We have shown that LiDAR data can be used as an independent, comprehensive source for effective surface roughness calculation. A methodology for automatic classification of ground, building, and tree / vegetation surfaces was described, and classifier performance related to known features within Miami, Florida datasets was evaluated. Average obstacle characteristics were calculated based on detected feature geometries. Derived parameters in two study sites are given in Table 2. Between the five chosen methods of z 0 estimation (Lettau / Rapauch / Macdonald / Bottema-normal / Bottema-staggered), there are fairly clear trends. Lettau’s basic equation provided the largest values. Since the plan area ( P ) was larger than 0.3 in each of the studies, which is beyond the effective range of the Lattau’s formula, it follows that these results may be an overestimation. Of the other four equations, Rapauch’s method consistently Section 5 25 produced the largest values, with Macdonald, Bottema-staggered, and Bottema-normal generally following in that order. Table 2. Obstacle parameters derived for a single house (MiaSin) and apartment (MiaApart) residential area in Miami: number of obstacles ( n ), average height ( z H ), plan surface area ratio P surface area ratio F Ly Z H , and average aspect surface area ratio Dx D y AP AT , average frontal z S H . Minimum, mean, and Wx maximum surface roughness values are given for the following models: Lettau ( z 0, Le ), Macdonald ( z 0,Ma ), Rapauch ( z 0, Ra ), Bottema-normal ( z0, Bo , N ), Bottema-staggered ( z 0, Bo ,S ), and NLCD ( z0, NLCD ). zH P F S 204 6.81 0.45 0.38 1.48 181 6.65 0.33 0.31 0.92 Study Site n MiaSin MiaApart (m) z0,Le z0,Ma z0,Ra z0,Bo , N z 0, Bo ,S z0, NLCD (m) 1.00 1.29 1.43 0.76 1.02 1.14 (m) 0.32 0.39 0.43 0.52 0.65 0.70 (m) 0.80 0.83 0.91 0.82 0.86 0.89 (m) 0.02 0.10 0.27 0.19 0.25 0.39 (m) 0.03 0.19 0.51 0.37 0.51 0.79 (m) 0.47 0.87 In comparing single house parameters to apartment parameters, it may seem counterintuitive to note that effective roughness decreased as values of P and F increased. However, upon z consultation of curves for normalized length 0 zH as a function of F [14], it is clear that the Rapauch, Macdonald, and Bottema models display downward trends for F 0.3 . In comparison of the NLCD based z 0 value with its LiDAR counterparts, it can be concluded that there is reasonable overall agreement (Figs. 9 and 16). The z 0 value estimated by the NLCD in each case is bounded by plotted curves for Rapauch and Macdonald. The Lettau model generated z 0 value above the NLCD z 0 due to the straightforward linear dependence in the formula. Bottema’s equations produce fairly significant underestimation in both single Section 5 26 house and apartment areas; results plotted using the staggered version of the equation begin to move in between the envelope bounded by Rapauch / Macdonald curves. For future work, a larger number of studies should be conducted to evaluate whether these trends persist over a wide range of residential / city area. The current classification algorithm may need to be improved for use in heavily industrialized cities; roofs with significant non-linear structures near building edges (industrial piping and air conditioning units) still tend to cause issues. Section 5 27 References [1] C. Homer, C. Huang, L. Yang, B. Wylle and M. Coan, "Development of a 2001 national land-cover database for the United States," Photogrammetric Engineering and Remote Sensing, vol. 70, pp. 829-840, 2004. [2] B. C. Matei, H. S. Sawhney, S. Samarasekera, J. Kim and R. Kumar, "Building segmentation for densely built urban regions using aerial LIDAR data," in IEEE Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition, Anchorage, AK 2008, p. 8. [3] V. Verma, R. Kumar and S. Hsu, "3D building detection and modeling from aerial LIDAR data," in IEEE Computer Society Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition, 2006, pp. 2213 - 2220. [4] K. Zhang, J. Yan and S. C. Chen, "Automatic construction of building footprints from airborne LIDAR data," IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing, vol. 44, pp. 2523-2533, 2006. [5] T. C. Yapo, C. V. Stewart and R. J. Radke, "A probabilistic representation of LiDAR range data for efficient 3D object detection," in IEEE Computer Society Conference, Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition Workshops, Anchorage, AK, 2008, p. 8. [6] A. Sampath and J. Shan, "Segmentation and reconstruction of polyhedral building roofs from aerial lidar point clouds," IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing, vol. 48, 2010. [7] K. Zhang, J. Yan and S. C. Chen, "A Framework for automated construction of building models from airborne LIDAR measurements," in Topographic Laser Ranging and Scanning: Principles and Processing, J. Shan and C. K. Toth, Eds., ed: CRC Press, 2008, pp. 511-534. [8] K. Zhang and D. Whitman, "Comparison of three algorithms for filtering airborne LIDAR data," Photogrammetric Engineering and Remote Sensing vol. 71, pp. 313-324, 2005. [9] K. Zhang, S. C. Chen, D. Whitman, M. L. Shyu, J. Yan and C. Zhang, "A progressive morphological filter for removing non-ground measurements from airborne LIDAR data," IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing, vol. 41, pp. 872-882, 2003. Section 5 28 [10] K. Zhang, S. C. Chen, D. Whitman, M. L. Shyu, J. Yan and C. Zhang, "A progressive morphological filter for removing nonground measurements from airborne LIDAR data," Geoscience and Remote Sensing, IEEE Transactions on, vol. 41, pp. 872-882, 2003. [11] K. Kutzbach, "Investigations of the modifications of wind profiles by artificially controlled surface roughness," Department of Meteorology, University of Wisconsin, 1961. [12] J. Counihan, "Wind tunnel determination of the roughness length as a function of fetch and density of three-dimensional roughness elements," Atmospheric Environment, vol. 5, pp. 637-647, 1971. [13] H. Lettau, "Note on aerodynamic roughness-parameter estimation on the basis of roughness-element description," Journal of Applied Meteorology, vol. 8, pp. 828-832, 1969. [14] C. Grimmond, "Aerodynamic roughness of urban areas derived from wind observations," Boundary-Layer Meteorology, vol. 89, pp. 1-24, 1998. [15] M. R. Raupach, "Simplified expressions for vegetation roughness length and zero-plane displacement as functions of canopy height and aera index," Boundary-Layer Meteorology, vol. 71, pp. 211-216, 1994. [16] R. W. MacDonald, R. F. Griffiths and D. J. Hall, "An improved method for the estimation of surface roughness of obstacle arrays: A comparative study of the land use and built form of 110 schemes," Atmospheric Environment, vol. 32, pp. 1857-1864, 1998. [17] M. Bottema, "Urban roughness modeling in relation to pollutant dispersion," Atmospheric Environment, vol. 31, pp. 3059-3075, 1997. [18] J. Wieringa, "Roughness‐dependent geographical interpolation of surface wind speed averages," Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, vol. 112, pp. 867-889, 1986. Section 5 29 A Resource for the State of Florida HURRICANE LOSS REDUCTION FOR HOUSING IN FLORIDA FINAL REPORT For the Period March 30, 2012 to July 31, 2012 SECTION 6 Education and Outreach Programs to Convey the Benefits of Various Hurricane Loss Mitigation Devises and Techniques A Research Project Funded by: The State of Florida Division of Emergency Management Through Contract #12RC-5S-11-23-22-369 Prepared by Erik Salna The International Hurricane Research Center (IHRC) Florida International University (FIU) August 1, 2012 Education and Outreach Programs to Convey the Benefits of Various Hurricane Loss Mitigation Devices and Techniques Executive Summary: Erik Salna, IHRC Associate Director, developed and coordinated educational partnerships, community events, and outreach programs. This work promoted hurricane-loss mitigation and the objectives of the RCMP. Educational Outreach: Hurricane Mitigation & Hurricane Andrew 20th Anniversary Museum Exhibition: The Miami Science Museum assisted IHRC in developing and coordinating a new gallery of hands-on, interactive exhibits and displays. This new and unique exhibition at the Museum provides an opportunity for the IHRC to showcase to the community its hurricane mitigation research including the new 12-Fan Wall of Wind. The exhibits and displays focus on the science and benefits of hurricane mitigation, preparedness, hurricane forecasting and tracking and promoting a "culture of preparedness" for all natural hazards. In addition, special attention is given to the 20th Anniversary of Hurricane Andrew, recounting the tremendous impact it had on the community and the resultant changes in hurricane mitigation and preparedness programs. This collaborative community education outreach project partners the International Hurricane Research Center with the Florida Division of Emergency Management, Miami-Dade County Emergency Management, the Miami Science Museum, including collaboration with the National Hurricane Center, NOAA’s Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory (AOML) and the Miami Office of the National Weather Service. Community Partnerships: Hurricane Science, Mitigation & Preparedness Day (Feel the Force): Erik Salna, IHRC Associate Director, and the Miami Science Museum partnered with Miami-Dade County Emergency Management to develop, plan, coordinate and facilitate Hurricane Science, Mitigation & Preparedness Day (Feel the Force) at the Museum. Close to 2,000 people attended this public education event that showcased hurricane science, mitigation, preparedness and safety and IHRC Wall of Wind research and demonstrations. Families were educated and entertained throughout the day with tremendous support from IHRC partners and South Florida agencies. This event received great attendance and coverage by the South Florida media. In fact, the media coverage resulted in a Total Publicity Value amounting to $11,898.82. This resulted in great positive visibility in the community for IHRC, FIU and FLDEM’s message of mitigation. Targeted Outreach Events: National Hurricane Survival Initiative: Erik Salna, IHRC Associate Director, collaborated with the National Hurricane Survival Initiative (http://hurricanesafety.org/) and their annual hurricane preparedness program, “Get Ready, America! The National Hurricane Survival Test.” The 2012 version of the program looked back on the devastation wrought by Hurricane Andrew in 1992, the lessons learned since then, and what you need to know and do to stay safe before, during and after hurricane season. This year’s broadcast participation was the largest one ever, with 60 television network affiliate stations from Texas to Maine. The National Hurricane Survival Initiative poll is one of the leading elements in a public education campaign, with partnerships with the National Emergency Management Association, The Salvation Army, International Hurricane Research Center, National Hurricane Center and corporate partners Plylox™ and Nestlé Waters North America. Hurricane Andrew 20th Anniversary Event at the Miami Science Museum: The Miami Science Museum assisted IHRC in planning this special community event to commemorate the 20-year anniversary of Hurricane Andrew’s landfall. It is an opportunity to remember those who lost their lives, look back at the devastating Section 6 2 effects it had on South Florida and look ahead to continued efforts and progress in hurricane mitigation, preparedness, response and recovery. Panel discussions will occur throughout the day with high profile Andrew experts and the new Hurricane Andrew exhibit will be highlighted. Hurricane Andrew 20th Anniversary Event and Grand Opening of the 12-Fan Wall of Wind: IHRC has partnered with Miami-Dade County Emergency Management, the National Hurricane Center, NOAA’s Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory (AOML), the Miami Office of the National Weather Service and the City of Homestead in planning this official South Florida community event to commemorate the 20-year anniversary of Hurricane Andrew’s landfall. After remembering the past, the event will look ahead with the Grand Opening of the new 12-Fan Wall of Wind. Many high profile VIPs will participate and attend. Wall of Wind Neighborhood Open House: IHRC reached out to the local FIU South Florida Community and invited local residents and families to come and learn about the importance of hurricane mitigation and wind engineering research through presentations, activities and tours and demonstrations of the new 12-Fan Wall of Wind. Wall of Wind Media Day: IHRC is planning a special media event for local, state and national media to come and learn about the importance of hurricane mitigation and wind engineering research through presentations, tours and demonstrations of the new 12-Fan Wall of Wind. Educational Outreach: Hurricane Mitigation & Hurricane Andrew 20th Anniversary Museum Exhibition: The Miami Science Museum assisted IHRC in developing and coordinating a new gallery of hands-on, interactive exhibits and displays at the Miami Science Museum. This new and unique exhibition provides an opportunity for the IHRC to showcase to the community its hurricane mitigation research, including the new 12-Fan Wall of Wind. The exhibits and displays focus on the science and benefits of hurricane mitigation, preparedness, hurricane forecasting and tracking and promoting a "culture of preparedness" for all natural hazards. In addition, special attention is given to the 20th Anniversary of Hurricane Andrew, recounting the tremendous impact it had on the community and the resultant changes in hurricane mitigation and preparedness programs. South Florida media, public and private school children, hurricane experts, various agencies, community groups and organizations and the general public will visit and participate in the exhibition throughout the hurricane season. This collaborative community education outreach project partners the International Hurricane Research Center with the Florida Division of Emergency Management, Miami-Dade County Emergency Management, the Miami Science Museum, including collaboration with the National Hurricane Center, NOAA’s Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory (AOML) and the Miami Office of the National Weather Service. Section 6 3 Exhibits Include: 12-Fan Wall of Wind The 12-Fan Wall of Wind Exhibit provides an interactive, hands-on experience and looks very similar to the real IHRC research facility at Florida International University. Museum visitors will assemble model home structures accompanying the exhibit and then test them against wind produced by the Wall of Wind. In addition, a video screen will show examples of wind testing by the real Wall of Wind. Display panels will tell the IHRC story and focus on the hurricane mitigation research being done by the four IHRC labs. P-3 Cockpit The P-3 Cockpit Exhibit also provides an interactive, hands-on experience and tells the story of NOAA’s Hurricane Hunters. Museum visitors will learn about hurricane reconnaissance missions and how data is gathered while flying into the eye of the storm. Section 6 4 Hurricane Andrew 20th Anniversary The Hurricane Andrew Exhibit will coincide with the 20th Anniversary of its South Florida landfall. Museum visitors will see a collection of real historical artifacts related to Andrew, including physical items, pictures and survivor stories. In addition, a video screen will show archived TV media coverage before, during, and after the storm. Community Partnerships: Hurricane Science, Mitigation & Preparedness Day (Feel the Force) – June 11th, 2011 Erik Salna, IHRC Associate Director, and the Miami Science Museum partnered with Miami-Dade County Emergency Management to develop, plan, coordinate and facilitate Hurricane Science, Mitigation & Preparedness Day (Feel the Force) at the Museum. Close to 2,000 people attended this public education event that showcased hurricane science, mitigation, preparedness and safety and IHRC Wall of Wind research and demonstrations. Families were educated and entertained throughout the day with tremendous support from IHRC partners and South Florida agencies. IHRC Wall of Wind researchers provided demonstrations with the Small Scale 6-Fan Wall of Wind. As a special mitigation learning activity, parents and children constructed small model homes throughout the day and actually had them tested by the Small Scale 6-Fan Wall of Wind. Special interactive exhibits and demonstrations included: Small Scale 6-Fan Wall of Wind Hurricane Simulator TV Hurricane Broadcast Center Various distinguished hurricane experts participated as guest speakers: Jack Beven, Senior Hurricane Specialist, National Hurricane Center Robert Molleda, Warning Coordination Meteorologist, National Weather Service-Miami Dr. Robert Rogers, Meteorologist, NOAA/AOML Hurricane Research Division Curt Sommerhof, Director, Miami-Dade Emergency Management Section 6 5 Special guests and presentations: Tsunami Tim Roary The Panther, Florida International University Mascot This event received great attendance and coverage by the South Florida media. In fact, the media coverage resulted in a Total Publicity Value amounting to $11,898.82. This resulted in great positive visibility in the community for IHRC, FIU and FLDEM’s message of mitigation. The following media representatives participated: Bonnie Schneider, CNN News Max Mayfield, WPLG Ch. 10 ABC-TV Trent Aric, WPLG Ch. 10 ABC-TV Luis Carrera, Telemundo 51, WSCV-TV Miami-Dade County EM at Museum. Section 6 NHC & NWS-Miami at Museum. 6 Hurricane Simulator at Museum. Interactive TV weather studio at Museum. Small Scale 6-Fan Wall of Wind (WOW) testing area. Section 6 Learning about dropsondes & the Hurricane Hunters. Presentation by former NHC Director, Max Mayfield. Future hurricane wind engineer building model home. 7 Parents & children building model homes for WOW. FIU’s Roary the Panther & Wall of Wind. Creating lightning effects with a plasma ball. Section 6 Parents & children building model homes for WOW. Another future hurricane wind engineer. Electrifying experience learning about lightning. 8 Targeted Outreach Events: National Hurricane Survival Initiative: Erik Salna, IHRC Associate Director, collaborated with the National Hurricane Survival Initiative (http://hurricanesafety.org/) and their annual hurricane preparedness program. The 2012 version of, “Get Ready, America! The National Hurricane Survival Test”, looked back on the devastation wrought by Hurricane Andrew in 1992, the lessons learned since then, and what you need to know and do to stay safe before, during and after hurricane season. The program offers a retrospective of record-breaking storm seasons; takes the viewer inside some of the most exciting hurricane research currently underway, and offers reality-based advice concerning insurance and how best to handle a claim when necessary. “Get Ready, America!”, produced by Ron Sachs Communications, emphasizes the critical need for personal responsibility before, during and after each storm season. IHRC contributed information regarding hurricane mitigation for protecting your home and business and the changes in the twenty years since Andrew. This year’s broadcast participation was the largest one ever, with 60 television network affiliate stations from Texas to Maine. Plus, there were numerous secondary broadcasts on government cable channels and school systems throughout Florida and two other states! The National Hurricane Survival Initiative poll is one of the leading elements in a public education campaign, with partnerships with the National Emergency Management Association, The Salvation Army, International Hurricane Research Center, National Hurricane Center and corporate partners Plylox™ and Nestlé Waters North America. Hurricane Andrew 20th Anniversary Event at the Miami Science Museum: The Miami Science Museum assisted IHRC in planning this special community event to commemorate the 20year anniversary of Hurricane Andrew’s landfall. It is an opportunity to remember those who lost their lives, look back at the devastating effects it had on South Florida and look ahead to continued efforts and progress in hurricane mitigation, preparedness, response and recovery. Panel discussions will occur throughout the day with high profile Andrew experts and the new Hurricane Andrew exhibit will be highlighted. Section 6 9 Hurricane Andrew 20th Anniversary Event and Grand Opening of the 12-Fan Wall of Wind: IHRC has partnered with Miami-Dade County Emergency Management, the National Hurricane Center, NOAA’s Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory (AOML), the Miami Office of the National Weather Service and the City of Homestead in planning this official South Florida community event to commemorate the 20-year anniversary of Hurricane Andrew’s landfall. After remembering the past, the event will look ahead with the Grand Opening of the new 12-Fan Wall of Wind. Many high profile VIPs will participate and attend. Wall of Wind Neighborhood Open House: IHRC reached out to the local FIU South Florida Community and invited local residents and families to come and learn about the importance of hurricane mitigation and wind engineering research through presentations, activities and tours and demonstrations of the new 12-Fan Wall of Wind. Wall of Wind Media Day: IHRC is planning a special media event for local, state and national media to come and learn about the importance of hurricane mitigation and wind engineering research through presentations, tours and demonstrations of the new 12-Fan Wall of Wind. Section 6 10