race 1 1.duke of firenze 2.lexington abbey 3.robot boy (ire)

Transcription

race 1 1.duke of firenze 2.lexington abbey 3.robot boy (ire)
page 1 of 9
Wednesday 17th August
RACING
1-2-3
1.55
YORK
SYMPHONY GROUP STAKES (HANDICAP) (2) 5f89y (1090 Metres)
RACE 1
2.30
1. DUKE OF FIRENZE 2. LEXINGTON ABBEY 3. ROBOT BOY (IRE)
TATTERSALLS ACOMB STAKES (Group 3) (1) 7f (1410 Metres)
RACE 2
3.05
1. BEAR VALLEY (IRE) 2. BEST OF DAYS 3. LOCKHEED
BETWAY GREAT VOLTIGEUR STAKES (Group 2) (1) 1½m (2410 Metres)
RACE 3
3.40
1. IDAHO (IRE) 2. ACROSS THE STARS (IRE) 3. HOUSESOFPARLIAMENT (IRE)
JUDDMONTE INTERNATIONAL STAKES (Group 1) (1) 1¼m88y (2090 Metres)
RACE 4
4.20
1. POSTPONED (IRE) 2. HAWKBILL (USA) 3. HIGHLAND REEL (IRE)
FINE EQUINITY STAKES (HANDICAP) (2) 2m88y (3300 Metres)
RACE 5
4.55
1. OCEANE (FR) 2. SWEET SELECTION 3. NAKEETA
BETWAY STAKES (NURSERY HANDICAP) (2) 6f (1210 Metres)
RACE 6
1. NAAFER 2. NAUTICAL HAVEN 3. STORM CRY
KEY TO SYMBOLS
Top Rated: The horse with the best chance based solely on past form, specially tailored to a 0-100 scale.
Horses For Courses: A suitable track for the horse, compared to its lifetime record on similar courses as defined by Timeform’s
course data.
Jockey Uplift: The engaged rider has a notably higher Timeform Jockey Ranking than those who’ve ridden the horse on its
most recent starts
Trainer Form: A hot trainer to follow, based on Timeform ratings-related measurements looking at the recent performance of
runners.
YORK
Wednesday 17th August
1.55
page 2 of 9
SYMPHONY GROUP STAKES (HANDICAP) (2) 3yo+ (Rated
0-105) £65,000 5f89y (1090 Metres)
RACE 1
117 ROBOT BOY (IRE) (26)
Going: Good to Firm
Left handed, flat. In essence, York is a very fair track, ideal for the long-striding
galloper. In recent seasons, the field tends to come more down the centre of the
track than has historically been the case, particularly if conditions are testing. The
track was made into a circuit in 2005, and offers a straight 5f/6f track, while 7f races
start on a chute. Although it has a reputation for suiting front-runners, the data
suggests that if anything, the opposite is true.
Draw: Strongly Favours Low
Pace Information: Strongly Contested
110MOVE IN TIME (19)
(D) 5-5707820
8 9-10 | 61.7kg
David O’Meara v
92
Daniel Tudhope
Twice successful last term, latterly in Group 3 event at Longchamp in September.
Essentially below his best this time around so drop back to handicap-company
needs to have a positive effect.
24 LINE OF REASON (IRE) (11)
40413702
6 9-10 | 61.7kg
Paul Midgley (CD) 761-76665
Jeremy Gask (D) 10 9-8 | 60.8kg
95
Martin Lane
s+t
97
David Parkes (5lb/2kg)
98
10-766755
6 9-7 | 60.3kg
Brian Ellison Dale Swift
Turned out quickly when adding to his tally at Galway (7f) 12 months ago. Not
disgraced following similar route this time around but drops markedly in trip
now.
5 9-7 | 60.3kg
(D) 98
(D) 99
24112263
4 9-5 | 59.4kg
Michael Easterby Frankie Dettori
Another sprinter from this yard who is enjoying an excellent year, winning 3
times. Held form really well from revised mark subsequently, and no surprise to
see a good showing.
h+b
s
97
Connor Beasley
Produced just about a career-best effort when dominating towards the stand
rail at Musselburgh (5f) in June. Not in same form on tapeta since and mark
unchanged.
1401/1-04U
4 9-0 | 57.2kg
Ed Walker
(D) b
96
William Buick
Infrequent appearances suggest he’s not easy to train, but had a good strike rate
for Kevin Ryan. Sound fourth to thriving one over C&D for new yard and best
judged on that for now (unseated latest).
(D) 98
1200-1335
5 9-0 | 57.2kg
Kevin Ryan Jamie Spencer
Landed a minor event on return at Nottingham (all 4 wins gained there) in April.
Caught the eye in defeat since, staying on well from a poor position when fifth
over C&D latest, and not dismissed.
93
38-403709
6 9-0 | 57.2kg
Paul Midgley Pat Smullen
Promising return for new yard when fourth over C&D in May. Yet to build on that
as might have been expected, but handicapper continues to relent.
98
100
David Allan
98
Martin Harley
(CD) 98
2-5261005
4 9-1 | 57.6kg
George Baker Robert Winston
Career best when opening turf account in 15-runner C&D handicap in May.
Below par next 2 starts but better behind a couple of these at Goodwood last
time.
98
Aaron Jones (3lb/1kg)
Has had a tremendous year, thriving right through, and capitalised on his lower
turf mark to land a valuable 5f Ascot handicap in July. Sound third in another
good heat there since and claims again.
John Quinn
6 8-12 | 56.2kg
96
P. J. McDonald
Listed winner over 6f in younger days with Andrew Balding. Not built on an
encouraging start for this yard at Epsom, inconsistency always having been an
issue with him.
(D) 98/800206
5 8-11 | 55.8kg
Conrad Allen h
92
Noel Garbutt (3lb/1kg)
Useful mare who ran up to her best when second in a Newmarket conditions
event (5f) 3 starts back, but unable to match that level since.
201 ARCTIC FEELING (IRE) (25)
Won big-field C&D handicap last autumn and returned with a pair of solid efforts
last month. Proved a disappointment at Ascot latest, but cheekpieces quickly
re-fitted here.
1012 HARRY HURRICANE (22)
t
1920 HAY CHEWED (IRE) (8)
Resurgent when running out an impressive winner of C&D handicap in May.
Form has been up and down since, though latest Stewards’ Cup fifth suggests
he’s not one to dismiss from this sort of mark here.
s
(D) 31660113
5 8-13 | 56.7kg
Stuart Williams 09549-409
Nathan Evans (5lb/2kg)
(CD) 32133005
7 9-4 | 59.0kg
David C. Griffiths (CD) 06100-258
4 9-1 | 57.6kg
Ronald Harris (CD) 4014-6010
5 9-1 | 57.6kg
Bryan Smart 1815 ZANETTO (46)
Notched third win of year when forging clear under this rider in the valuable
Scottish Sprint Cup at Musselburgh. However, not in anything like the same
form in 2 starts since.
914UNION ROSE (11)
Useful form, showing he’s trained on when fourth in 5f Sandown listed event
in June. Well beaten both starts since, though, albeit going off too hard over
6f last time.
1716 ROYAL BIRTH (26)
611BOWSON FRED (22)
82 DUKE OF FIRENZE (18)
14395-400
Clive Cox 1618 NINJAGO (11)
Successful on AW earlier in the year, and right back to best when keeping on well
to score over 5f at Goodwood last month. 4 lb higher now, but no reason why he
won’t go well again in current form.
(D) 14461100
6 9-4 | 59.0kg
Michael Easterby (D) 88
3 9-1 | 57.6kg
Adam Kirby
128 SOAPY AITKEN (11)
Andrea Atzeni
Tony Carroll 713HOOFALONG (18)
Graham Gibbons
1517 LEXINGTON ABBEY (25)
43 BARAWEEZ (IRE) (17)
41647001
98
Has been given a chance by the handicapper, and only just beaten by Royal
Birth at Ascot (5f) 2 starts ago. Not in the same form at that venue last time but
application of blinkers may help now.
1419 CAPTAIN COLBY (USA) (22)
Admirable veteran who has acquitted himself with credit in each of his 3 starts
at Ascot so far this summer, fifth in a 10-runner affair latest. Handicapper slowly
relinquishing his grip.
55 BOOM THE GROOM (IRE) (22)
b
139 MEADWAY (54)
Smart sprinter who was back to his best when impressive winner of 5f Beverley
minor event in June. Not in same form next 3 starts, though latest Ascot second
was his best effort of the campaign.
36 MEDICEAN MAN (11)
(D) 00409-627
6 9-1 | 57.6kg
David Barron 0-1709060
8 8-8 | 54.4kg
Richard Fahey (CD) 95
Paul Hanagan
Largely struggled since his reappearance success at Beverley in April, though
C&D sixth 2 runs ago was more like it. Ran poorly back over 6f here last time,
though.
20 DECLARED RUNNERS
BETTING FORECAST:
10-1 Boom The Groom, 14-1 Bowson Fred, 14-1 Lexington Abbey, 14-1 Royal Birth,
14-1 Robot Boy, 14-1 Baraweez, 14-1 Line of Reason, 16-1 Duke of Firenze, 16-1 Harry
Hurricane, 16-1 Medicean Man, 20-1 Captain Colby, 22-1 Ninjago, 22-1 Move In Time,
25-1 Hoofalong, 25-1 Union Rose, 25-1 Soapy Aitken, 28-1 Hay Chewed, 40-1 bar
TIMEFORM VIEW:
DUKE OF FIRENZE was back to the sort of form which saw him successful over C&D
when fifth in last month’s Stewards’ Cup, and in a fiendishly-competitive sprint
handicap, he gets the narrow vote. Lexington Abbey has been catching the eye of late
and is feared, whilst Robot Boy, equipped with blinkers, and Bowson Fred, are others to
note.
YORK
Wednesday 17th August
1.55
page 3 of 9
SYMPHONY GROUP STAKES (HANDICAP) (2) 3yo+ (Rated
0-105) £65,000 5f89y (1090 Metres)
RACE 1
TIMEFORM 1-2-3:
1. DUKE OF FIRENZE 2. LEXINGTON ABBEY 3. ROBOT BOY (IRE)
WINNERS IN PREVIOUS YEARS:
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
Caspian Prince 6-9-720-1
Dean Ivory
Blaine 4-9-512-1
Kevin Ryan
Bogart 4-9-77-1
Kevin Ryan
Tax Free 10-9-07-1
David Nicholls
Secret Asset 6-9-416-1
Jane Chapple-Hyam
Robert Winston20
Amy Ryan15
Neil Callan17
Adrian Nicholls19
George Baker19
SMART STATS:
2
£9.00
31%
Kevin Ryan’s number of winners in past 6 runnings. (saddles: LEXINGTON
ABBEY)
Conrad Allen’s profit when having one runner at a flat meeting since the start
of the 2011 season (saddles: HAY CHEWED)
John Quinn’s strike rate in the last 14 days (saddles: ZANETTO)
YORK
Wednesday 17th August
2.30
page 4 of 9
TATTERSALLS ACOMB STAKES (Group 3) (1) 2yo £85,000
7f (1410 Metres)
RACE 2
WINNERS IN PREVIOUS YEARS:
Going: Good to Firm
Left handed, flat. In essence, York is a very fair track, ideal for the long-striding
galloper. In recent seasons, the field tends to come more down the centre of the
track than has historically been the case, particularly if conditions are testing. The
track was made into a circuit in 2005, and offers a straight 5f/6f track, while 7f races
start on a chute. Although it has a reputation for suiting front-runners, the data
suggests that if anything, the opposite is true.
Draw: N/APace Information: Contested
(D) 98
2211
2 9-1 | 57.6kg
Mark Johnston Franny Norton
Improving in leaps and bounds, following up Epsom maiden win with easy
success in 15-runner nursery at Goodwood. Looks ready for this grade and stable
has won this 3 times since 1995.
(D) 92
1
2 9-1 | 57.6kg
Hugo Palmer William Buick
Azamour colt. Dam, 1m-11f winner, half-sister to useful winner up to 10.3f
Azmeel. Strong in betting and duly created good impression when easy winner
of 7f Sandown maiden. Bought by Godolphin after.
2 9-1 | 57.6kg
Aidan O’Brien, Ireland
t
100
Seamie Heffernan
Showed promise in a trio of maidens but probably flattered when runner-up in a
Group 1 at the Curragh last time and others make more appeal.
45 GALACTIC PRINCE (15)
51
(D) 2 9-1 | 57.6kg
Andrew Balding
77
David Probert
Form of his maiden win at Salisbury is nothing special but this well-bred colt is
open to a bit of improvement and yard are flying.
52 LOCKHEED (18)
21
(D) 2 9-1 | 57.6kg
William Haggas
90
Frankie Dettori
450,000 gns Exceed And Excel colt. Confirmed debut promise when landing
the odds in 7f maiden at Goodwood. Highly-regarded sort and trainer/jockey
teamed up to win this last year.
90
21
2 9-1 | 57.6kg
Richard Hannon Non Runner
64 MAJESTE (32)
NON RUNNER.
(D) 75
1
2 9-1 | 57.6kg
Kevin Ryan Jamie Spencer
76 SYPHAX (USA) (40)
£25,000Y, €100,000 2-y-o. Won just a weak maiden at Musselburgh on debut
last month but clearly well regarded pitched straight into this level for yard that
won this in 2005.
83 TOMMY TAYLOR (USA) (12)
212
2 9-1 | 57.6kg
Kevin Ryan (CD, BF) 85
Tom Eaves
Won maiden over C&D before close second in nursery at Haydock, but needs to
improve quite a bit to figure at this level.
8 DECLARED RUNNERS
BETTING FORECAST:
15-8 Best of Days, 4-1 Lockheed, 9-2 Bear Valley, 7-1 Courage Under Fire, 16-1 Galactic
Prince, 16-1 Syphax, 20-1 Tommy Taylor
TIMEFORM VIEW:
BEAR VALLEY is improving rapidly, easily beating his 14 rivals in a nursery at Goodwood
last month, and can provide Mark Johnston with a record-equalling fourth win in this
event. Well regarded maiden-winners Best of Days and Lockheed are feared most.
TIMEFORM 1-2-3:
1. BEAR VALLEY (IRE) 2. BEST OF DAYS 3. LOCKHEED
2
22%
35%
21 BEST OF DAYS (28)
7232
Recorder 2-9-14-1jf
William Haggas
Dutch Connection 2-9-116-1
Charles Hills
Treaty of Paris 2-9-011-1
Henry Candy
Dundonnell 2-9-015-8f
Roger Charlton
Entifaadha 2-9-07-2f
William Haggas
Frankie Dettori10
William Buick10
James Doyle6
James Doyle5
Richard Hills13
SMART STATS:
18 BEAR VALLEY (IRE) (20)
37 COURAGE UNDER FIRE (USA) (10)
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
William Haggas’s number of winners in past 10 runnings. (saddles:
LOCKHEED)
William Haggas’s strike rate at YORK since the start of the 2011 season (saddles:
LOCKHEED)
William Buick’s strike rate in the last 14 days (rides: BEST OF DAYS)
YORK
Wednesday 17th August
3.05
page 5 of 9
BETWAY GREAT VOLTIGEUR STAKES (Group 2) (1) 3yo colts
and geldings £160,000 1½m (2410 Metres)
RACE 3
Going: Good to Firm
Left handed, flat. In essence, York is a very fair track, ideal for the long-striding
galloper. In recent seasons, the field tends to come more down the centre of the
track than has historically been the case, particularly if conditions are testing. The
track was made into a circuit in 2005, and offers a straight 5f/6f track, while 7f races
start on a chute. Although it has a reputation for suiting front-runners, the data
suggests that if anything, the opposite is true.
Draw: N/APace Information: Contested
15 ACROSS THE STARS (IRE) (61)
22-1301
3 9-3 | 58.5kg
Sir Michael Stoute
(D) 91
Frankie Dettori
Probably should have won Lingfield Derby Trial before finding Derby itself too
much too soon. Resumed progress when winning Group 2 at Royal Ascot and
should have more to offer. 3 lb penalty, though.
89
51-38339
3 9-0 | 57.2kg
Mick Channon Andrea Atzeni
23 HARRISON (21)
Useful colt who put up best effort when third without needing excuses in the
Bahrain Trophy at Newmarket last month. Pulled too hard next time and looks
up against it here.
36 HOUSESOFPARLIAMENT (IRE) (41)
5-213441
3 9-0 | 57.2kg
Aidan O’Brien, Ireland
t
92
Jamie Spencer
Looked a bit awkward when fourth behind Across The Stars at Royal Ascot
but back on track when winning Group 3 (13f) at Newmarket last time, quicker
ground probably helping. More needed here, though.
42 IDAHO (IRE) (53)
14-2332
3 9-0 | 57.2kg
Aidan O’Brien, Ireland
100
Seamie Heffernan
Very smart colt who took a significant step forward when third to Harzand in
Derby. Got closer to that rival when second in Irish version next time and hard
to beat back down in class.
51 IMPERIAL AVIATOR (73)
223-110
3 9-0 | 57.2kg
Roger Charlton
90
Oisin Murphy
Not seen since running poorly in the French Derby but had looked highly
promising prior to that, easy winner of valuable handicap at Newbury in May.
Remains with potential but stamina to prove.
64 THE MAJOR GENERAL (IRE) (21)
7-4311432
3 9-0 | 57.2kg
Aidan O’Brien, Ireland
(D) 93
Colm O’Donoghue
On the up this year, winning a twice (including listed race) and posting big
effort when runner-up in Group 3 at Goodwood last time, albeit having the run
of the race.
6 DECLARED RUNNERS
BETTING FORECAST:
evens Idaho, 3-1 Across The Stars, 15-2 Housesofparliament, 12-1 Imperial Aviator,
16-1 The Major General, 40-1 bar
TIMEFORM VIEW:
Hard to ignore the claims of IDAHO, who sets a clear standard on the back of his
excellent placed efforts in the English/Irish Derbies, especially with his main-rival Across
The Stars shouldering a 3 lb penalty.
TIMEFORM 1-2-3:
1. IDAHO (IRE) 2. ACROSS THE STARS (IRE) 3. HOUSESOFPARLIAMENT (IRE)
WINNERS IN PREVIOUS YEARS:
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
Storm The Stars 3-9-03-1
William Haggas
Postponed 3-9-05-2f
Luca Cumani
Telescope 3-8-125-4f
Sir Michael Stoute
Thought Worthy 3-8-129-1
John Gosden
Sea Moon 3-8-1211-2
Sir Michael Stoute
Pat Cosgrave7
Andrea Atzeni9
Ryan Moore7
William Buick6
Richard Hughes8
SMART STATS:
2
32%
29%
Sir Michael Stoute’s number of winners in past 10 runnings. (saddles: ACROSS
THE STARS)
Sir Michael Stoute’s strike rate in the last 14 days (saddles: ACROSS THE
STARS)
Jamie Spencer’s strike rate in the last 14 days (rides: HOUSESOFPARLIAMENT)
YORK
Wednesday 17th August
3.40
page 6 of 9
JUDDMONTE INTERNATIONAL STAKES (Group 1) (1) 3yo+
£900,000 1¼m88y (2090 Metres)
RACE 4
1110 THE GREY GATSBY (IRE) (41)
Going: Good to Firm
Left handed, flat. In essence, York is a very fair track, ideal for the long-striding
galloper. In recent seasons, the field tends to come more down the centre of the
track than has historically been the case, particularly if conditions are testing. The
track was made into a circuit in 2005, and offers a straight 5f/6f track, while 7f races
start on a chute. Although it has a reputation for suiting front-runners, the data
suggests that if anything, the opposite is true.
Draw: N/APace Information: Strongly Contested
19 ALMODOVAR (IRE) (60)
5112-13
(D) 4 9-6 | 59.9kg
David Lanigan
21 ARAB SPRING (IRE) (11)
(C, D) 6 9-6 | 59.9kg
Sir Michael Stoute
Daniel Tudhope
Continues to go from strength to strength, winning last 6 starts, taking a further
big step up in class in his stride when edging out The Gurkha in the Eclipse latest.
Sure to make another bold bid.
1312 WINGS OF DESIRE (25)
31142
(CD) 3 8-12 | 56.2kg
John Gosden
92
Evidently difficult to train but very talented, winning 5 of 9 starts, including
Newbury Group 3 in 2015. Proved he retains all ability after 15 months off when
third in Group 3 at Haydock recently.
96
(D) 98
93111-111
3 8-12 | 56.2kg
Charlie Appleby William Buick
94
Frankie Dettori
Made debut in April but has made giant strides, following up AW success when
ready winner of Dante over C&D. Respectable fourth in Derby and resumed
progress when second in King George. Not dismissed.
Jamie Spencer
s
1213 HAWKBILL (USA) (46)
George Baker
(CD, BF) French Derby/Irish Champion winner in 2014. Plenty of good efforts in defeat
at the highest level in 2015 and excuses this term. Placed in this last 2 years and
can’t dismiss in refitted cheekpieces.
94
Progressed with each start, bolting up in a Kempton handicap on return.
Excellent effort upped significantly in grade when third in Hardwicke at Royal
Ascot next time and return to 10f fine.
11114/12-3
242236-42
5 9-6 | 59.9kg
Kevin Ryan 13 DECLARED RUNNERS
BETTING FORECAST:
(D, BF) 96
123-26125
4 9-6 | 59.9kg
A. de Royer Dupre, France C. Soumillon
13-8 Postponed, 5-1 Hawkbill, 13-2 Highland Reel, 16-1 The Grey Gatsby, 16-1 Dariyan,
16-1 Mutakayyef, 16-1 Wings of Desire, 28-1 Almodovar, 33-1 Arab Spring, 40-1 bar
93
POSTPONED is clear on Timeform weight-adjusted ratings and can bag his fourth
Group 1 despite slight concerns about the drop in trip and form of his stable. Hawkbill
and Highland Reel are the obvious dangers on the back of their wins in the Eclipse and
King George respectively, though each-way claims can be made for a few at bigger
odds.
35 DARIYAN (FR) (31)
Progressed throughout 2015, ending year with fine third to Highland Reel in
Hong Kong Vase. Trip too short last time but was no match for Postponed at
Meydan early this year.
42 EXOSPHERE (41)
11413-183
(D) 4 9-6 | 59.9kg
Sir Michael Stoute
Pat Smullen
Much improved when taking 6-runner Group 2 at Newmarket on return.
Flopped in Hardwicke at Royal Ascot next time but back on track when third in
Group 2 on the July Course. Stiff task here, though.
53 HIGHLAND REEL (IRE) (25)
1531-4821
4 9-6 | 59.9kg
Aidan O’Brien, Ireland
(D) TIMEFORM 1-2-3:
1. POSTPONED (IRE) 2. HAWKBILL (USA) 3. HIGHLAND REEL (IRE)
96
Seamie Heffernan
Very much a Ballydoyle global ambassador having scored in 4 countries,
including 3 at the highest level, seen to good effect when making all in King
George at Ascot last time. Big player.
611KING BOLETE (IRE) (22)
14440-110
4 9-6 | 59.9kg
Roger Varian b
TIMEFORM VIEW:
88
Jack Mitchell
Smart handicapper who looks set to act as pacemaker for stablemate Postponed.
WINNERS IN PREVIOUS YEARS:
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
Arabian Queen 3-8-950-1
David Elsworth
Australia 3-8-128-13f
Aidan O’Brien
Declaration of War 4-9-57-1Aidan O’Brien
Frankel 4-9-51-10f
Sir Henry Cecil
Twice Over 6-9-511-2
Sir Henry Cecil
SMART STATS:
4
£40.91
78 MUTAKAYYEF (39)
223/223-11
(C, D) 5 9-6 | 59.9kg
William Haggas
96
Paul Hanagan
Classy sort up to this trip. Gelded over the winter and made a winning return in
1m listed event here. Even better when ready winner of Summer Mile at Ascot
next time and worth a shot at this level.
87 MY DREAM BOAT (IRE) (46)
1011-1515
Clive Cox 4 9-6 | 59.9kg
(C, D) 95
Non Runner
NON RUNNER.
96 POSTPONED (IRE) (74)
(C) 23311-111
5 9-6 | 59.9kg
Roger Varian 100
Andrea Atzeni
King George VI and Queen Elizabeth winner for Luca Cumani last season and
even better when winning all 3 starts this year for new yard, including Group 1s
the last twice. Should have pace for 10f.
104 SIR ISAAC NEWTON (25)
164-23114
(D) 4 9-6 | 59.9kg
Aidan O’Brien, Ireland
91
Colm O’Donoghue
Was in danger of losing way but firmly back on track when winning Wolferton
Handicap at Royal Ascot and Group 3 at the Curragh. Respectable fourth in King
George at Ascot since but vulnerable again.
Silvestre De Sousa7
Joseph O’Brien6
Joseph O’Brien6
Tom Queally9
Ian Mongan5
22%
Aidan O’Brien’s number of winners in past 10 runnings. (amongst 2 runners
saddles: HIGHLAND REEL)
Roger Varian’s profit with horses running in first time headgear since the start
of the 2011 season (saddles: KING BOLETE)
William Haggas’s strike rate at YORK since the start of the 2011 season (saddles:
MUTAKAYYEF)
YORK
Wednesday 17th August
4.20
page 7 of 9
FINE EQUINITY STAKES (HANDICAP) (2) 4yo+ (Rated
0-100) £60,000 2m88y (3300 Metres)
RACE 5
118 THE CASHEL MAN (IRE) (21)
Going: Good to Firm
Left handed, flat. In essence, York is a very fair track, ideal for the long-striding
galloper. In recent seasons, the field tends to come more down the centre of the
track than has historically been the case, particularly if conditions are testing. The
track was made into a circuit in 2005, and offers a straight 5f/6f track, while 7f races
start on a chute. Although it has a reputation for suiting front-runners, the data
suggests that if anything, the opposite is true.
Draw: N/APace Information: Weakly Contested
114NAKEETA (26)
2211-2042
5 9-7 | 60.3kg
Iain Jardine
h
11216-280
David Simcock
27-242221
4 8-12 | 56.2kg
Jamie Osborne (D) 95
3509-2107
4 9-6 | 59.9kg
Tim Easterby David Allan
96082-400
Rod Millman (D) 6 9-5 | 59.4kg
t
18/567-953
5 9-4 | 59.0kg
Andrew Balding
Alan King
s
100
Fergus Sweeney
(D) 4 8-11 | 55.8kg
Hughie Morrison
99
98
P. J. McDonald
Made it 4 from 4 over marathon trips when seeing off 9 others rivals in a
competitive event at Newbury last month. Up a further 5 lb but this thriving filly
seems sure to go well again.
154 TEAK (IRE) (21)
4235300-0
9 8-10 | 55.3kg
Ian Williams 97
v
92
Franny Norton
Struggling over hurdles of late and latest mid-field effort at Goodwood (a race in
which he won in 2014) suggests he possibly isn’t the force of old.
David Probert
1610 PERCY VEER (21)
33-504252
Four-time winner who travelled well for a long way when placed at Newcastle
and Goodwood last 2 starts. This track should suit and has very few miles on his
clock for one his age.
3/00-32134
7 8-8 | 54.4kg
Miss Amanda Mooney, Ireland 95
747-03451
4 9-2 | 58.1kg
Charles O’Brien, Ireland Frankie Dettori
(D) 98
04-94
7 9-1 | 57.6kg
W. P. Mullins, Ireland Pat Smullen
Not beaten far in the Cesarewitch last season and similar form when fourth of
20 at Galway last month. Remains with potential in this sphere judged on smart
hurdles form.
s+t
97
Graham Gibbons
(D) 19-934323
6 9-0 | 57.2kg
Mrs J. Harrington, Ireland b
97
95
Daniel Tudhope
Won over 1¾m here last summer and ran right up to his best when third in this
headgear over C&D last time, but vulnerable off same mark in deeper race.
BETTING FORECAST:
9-1 Sweet Selection, 12-1 Oceane, 12-1 Havana Beat, 12-1 Renneti, 12-1 Botany Bay,
14-1 The Cashel Man, 14-1 Poyle Thomas, 16-1 Percy Veer, 16-1 Eshtiaal, 16-1 Nakeeta,
16-1 Life Less Ordinary, 18-1 Montaly, 20-1 Modem, 25-1 Saved By The Bell, 25-1 My
Reward, 28-1 Repeater, 50-1 bar
Very competitive but OCEANE remains a stayer to keep on side after his luckless run at
Goodwood and just shades the vote over the thriving Sweet Selection and the reliable
Nakeeta, whose capable apprentice takes off a handy 7 lb.
TIMEFORM 1-2-3:
Just failed off 2 lb lower at the Curragh in June and ran well in the Galway Hurdle
last time. Should give his running.
s
Killian Leonard (7lb/3kg)
Has his quirks but ended his losing run at the Curragh in May. Good efforts in
defeat next 2 starts but this may prove too competitive.
1. OCEANE (FR) 2. SWEET SELECTION 3. NAKEETA
Colm O’Donoghue
(C, BF) 97
TIMEFORM VIEW:
Bagged 2m Dundalk handicap on return in March and successful over hurdles
at Cartmel recently. This demands a career best but yard does well with runners
on the Flat on these shores.
916MODEM (32)
h+b
17 DECLARED RUNNERS
715RENNETI (FR) (23)
(CD) 6/3510-140
6 9-1 | 57.6kg
Gordon Elliott, Ireland Sean Levey
175 REPEATER (19)
Close fourth in the Melrose at this meeting last season and better form this term,
back to winning ways at Leopardstown last time, more superior than the margin
of victory implies. Respected.
98
Shaped better than the bare result at Newcastle and posted another fine effort
on first try beyond 2m when runner-up at Goodwood (21f) 3 weeks ago. Should
give it another good shot.
61 BOTANY BAY (IRE) (41)
86 ESHTIAAL (USA) (64)
4 8-10 | 55.3kg
Sylvester Kirk
97
12/234
7 9-2 | 58.1kg
Ralph Beckett William Buick
512POYLE THOMAS (21)
2960-4703
6 9-0 | 57.2kg
David O’Meara (D) 4 8-11 | 55.8kg
3881-4111
Lightly raced but showed he still retains plenty of ability when fifth in Ascot
Stakes at Royal meeting. Backed that up when third at Newbury since, albeit
finding less than looked likely.
107 SAVED BY THE BELL (IRE) (25)
1/373-4013
Done well over hurdles for current yard and back to winning ways on the level at
Ascot last month. Left with too much to do at Goodwood next time and remains
a stayer to keep on side.
Robert Winston
42 MONTALY (33)
97
Jamie Spencer
143 SWEET SELECTION (33)
Has won just once (4-runner listed over 2m at Sandown last summer) for Andrew
Balding since 2012 but has caught the eye for this yard this term and mark
continues to slide. One to note.
98
Steadily progressive this season, having more in hand than the bare margin
suggests at Sandown last time, but needs things to drop his way given his
come-from-behind style.
211MY REWARD (22)
39 HAVANA BEAT (IRE) (22)
1317 OCEANE (FR) (21)
Made a solid start for this yard, scoring at Haydock (2m) in May. Mid-field in
the Northumberland Plate and at Goodwood both starts since, though poorly
placed at latter track.
s
George Buckell (5lb/2kg)
1213 LIFE LESS ORDINARY (IRE) (28)
Clifford Lee (7lb/3kg)
(D, BF) Three from 5 in 2015 and caught the eye in 2m handicaps first 2 starts this
season. Might have been unsuited by the track at Goodwood next time and
worth another chance.
97
Has returned in top form, going close in Chester Cup on return and unlucky not
to finish closer (met trouble) when fourth over C&D. Good second at Ascot since
and sure to give another good account.
4 8-12 | 56.2kg
WINNERS IN PREVIOUS YEARS:
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
Heartbreak City 5-8-47-1
A. J. Martin
Edge of Sanity 5-9-625-1
Brian Ellison
Broxbourne 4-9-06-1
Mark Johnston
Olympiad 4-8-109-2f
D. K. Weld
Dazinski 5-8-1320-1
Mark H. Tompkins
Franny Norton15
Paul Mulrennan16
Joe Fanning17
Pat Smullen16
Paul Hanagan16
SMART STATS:
£23.51
£16.25
33%
Ralph Beckett’s profit when having one runner at a flat meeting since the start
of the 2011 season (saddles: POYLE THOMAS)
Iain Jardine’s profit when having one runner at a flat meeting since the start
of the 2011 season (saddles: NAKEETA)
Sylvester Kirk’s strike rate in the last 14 days (saddles: PERCY VEER)
YORK
Wednesday 17th August
4.55
page 8 of 9
BETWAY STAKES (NURSERY HANDICAP) (2) 2yo £60,000
6f (1210 Metres)
RACE 6
112 LETMESTOPYOUTHERE (IRE) (32)
Going: Good to Firm
Left handed, flat. In essence, York is a very fair track, ideal for the long-striding
galloper. In recent seasons, the field tends to come more down the centre of the
track than has historically been the case, particularly if conditions are testing. The
track was made into a circuit in 2005, and offers a straight 5f/6f track, while 7f races
start on a chute. Although it has a reputation for suiting front-runners, the data
suggests that if anything, the opposite is true.
Draw: Strongly Against High Pace Information: Very Strongly Contested
(D) 99
214
2 9-7 | 60.3kg
Richard Hannon Sean Levey
112MUTAWATHEB (IRE) (25)
180,000 gns yearling. Confirmed debut promise when landing 14-runner
Newbury minor event in June and matched that when beaten under a length in
fourth in a 7f listed event at Ascot. Claims again.
Speedily bred individual who improved when landing a 5f Chester minor
event in June. Sound sixth in Super Sprint next time, and possibly found next
assignment at former venue coming too soon.
2 9-1 | 57.6kg
(D) 97
Dougie Costello
(BF) 94
122
2 9-1 | 57.6kg
David Barron Graham Gibbons
Knew job and justified support when landing a 5f minor event at Southwell in
April. Shaped well when narrowly denied in 2 subsequent starts and likely to
give it his best shot again.
(D, BF) 93
23106
2 9-1 | 57.6kg
Mark Johnston P. J. McDonald
Readily landed the odds at Ayr (6f) before struggling in the Chesham at Royal
Ascot. Needs to bounce back having finished last in a 5f nursery here latest.
(CD) 99
631
2 9-0 | 57.2kg
Kevin Ryan Tom Eaves
Caught the eye when mid-field over C&D on debut and having not been seen
to best effect at Chester showed improved form to score back here last time.
Interesting now handicapping.
212
96
Frankie Dettori
2 9-0 | 57.2kg
94
Confirmed debut promise when running out a comfortable winner of a 5f AW
minor event in July. Similar form when runner-up at Chester 17 days ago and
likely to give it his best shot again.
915NAAFER (19)
2219
(C) 2 9-0 | 57.2kg
William Haggas
(D) 2 8-11 | 55.8kg
Andrew Balding
h
94
David Probert
Left debut well behind when landing a 6f Salisbury minor event in June. Clearly
not 100% in listed company at Newbury thereafter and he’s not one to write off.
94
334
2 8-10 | 55.3kg
Richard Fahey George Chaloner
45,000 gns 2-y-o, Casamento colt. Definite signs of promise first 2 starts, and not
for the first time suggested a drop in trip would suit when fourth at Chester (7f)
last month.
333154
Jim Boyle 93
2 8-9 | 54.9kg
Sam Hitchcott
Improved to win 7-runner minor event at Windsor (5f, good to soft) in June,
before well held in Sandown listed event. Good fourth in Goodwood nursery
since, though he was well drawn that day.
(D) 96
721
2 8-9 | 54.9kg
Mark Johnston Franny Norton
Going the right way, proving very strong at the finish when forging clear in a 6f
Ripon maiden earlier this month. No surprise to see her make a bold bid now
handicapping with improvement expected.
(D) 92
333411
2 8-9 | 54.9kg
Ian Williams David Allan
Made the most of a drop to claiming company when off the mark at Lingfield
(6f, final start for Tom Dascombe). Improved to follow up in 6f Chester nursery
but this demands more.
94
43212
2 8-7 | 54.0kg
Mark Johnston Andrew Mullen
Showed much improved form when landing a 5f Beverley maiden by 5 lengths
in July. Matched that form when runner up at Chelmsford since, but further
improvement required.
1
2 8-3 | 52.2kg
Richard Fahey 100
94
130
2 8-13 | 56.7kg
Richard Fahey Jamie Spencer
97
Patrick Mathers
€62,000 purchase who, despite greenness responded really well to pressure
when landing a 12-runner Beverley maiden last month. Likely has more to offer
with that under her belt, and of interest here.
54310
Paul Hanagan
Impressive when making a winning debut at Nottingham (5f) in May. Not seen to
best effect at Beverley next time, though found the Albany Stakes too hot since.
William Buick
2016 LATEST QUEST (IRE) (20)
Runner-up twice in May and made no mistake at the third time of asking over
5.4f here 2 starts ago. Not seen to best effect when midfield at Goodwood since
and she’s very much one to look out for.
107 SPIN DOCTOR (61)
93
Promising start in second in deep 6f Leicester maiden before taken off his feet
in the Coventry. Only midfield back in maiden company since so hood needs to
perk him up now handicapping.
196 THE WAGON WHEEL (IRE) (30)
Andrea Atzeni
Mark Johnston h
183 LA CASA TARIFA (IRE) (15)
Has stepped forward with each outing to date, scoring with a bit in hand at
Nottingham (5f) last month. Likely he has more to offer now tackling nursery
company.
(BF) 1717 TURANGA LEELA (17)
614NAUTICAL HAVEN (25)
81 LONELY THE BRAVE (IRE) (17)
205
2 8-11 | 55.8kg
Charles Hills 1620 STORM CRY (16)
518MASHAM STAR (IRE) (25)
v
124 PARYS MOUNTAIN (IRE) (22)
1519 EL TORITO (IRE) (19)
45 WICK POWELL (12)
521
2 9-0 | 57.2kg
Jeremy Noseda Sam James
1411 NAVARONE (IRE) (17)
Clearly all the better for debut when making virtually all at Carlisle (5.8f) in June.
Possibly amiss when last of 9 at Ascot (7f) since and this should reveal more.
78 KAMRA (USA) (29)
95
Left debut well behind when taking heavy-ground Nottingham minor event in
April. Similar form in defeat in 2 of 3 starts since but others look open to greater
improvement.
618
(BF) 95
42163
2 9-2 | 58.1kg
Eve Johnson Houghton Robert Winston
719
K. R. Burke 1310 FARLEIGH MAC (33)
213SUPER JULIUS (17)
39 BURRISHOOLE ABBEY (IRE) (25)
01627
2 8-13 | 56.7kg
David Evans Sylvester Kirk
2 8-2 | 51.7kg
96
Noel Garbutt (3lb/1kg)
Had shown ability first 3 starts in maidens/minor events and improved on
AW debut to get off the mark at Lingfield last month. Stopped as if amiss at
Goodwood last time, however.
20 DECLARED RUNNERS
BETTING FORECAST:
10-1 Naafer, 12-1 The Wagon Wheel, 12-1 Storm Cry, 12-1 Parys Mountain, 14-1
Mutawatheb, 14-1 Nautical Haven, 14-1 Wick Powell, 16-1 Kamra, 18-1 Farleigh Mac,
22-1 Lonely The Brave, 22-1 Turanga Leela, 25-1 Super Julius, 25-1 Spin Doctor, 25-1
Navarone, 28-1 Letmestopyouthere, 28-1 El Torito, 33-1 Burrishoole Abbey, 33-1 La
Casa Tarifa, 33-1 Masham Star, 50-1 bar
YORK
Wednesday 17th August
4.55
page 9 of 9
BETWAY STAKES (NURSERY HANDICAP) (2) 2yo £60,000
6f (1210 Metres)
RACE 6
TIMEFORM VIEW:
NAAFER was much better than her finishing position suggests at Goodwood, well away
from the main action and meeting traffic problems. She undoubtedly has mileage in
her from this sort of mark and gets the nod in a wide-open nursery. C&D winner
Nautical Haven, Storm Cry and The Wagon Wheel also arrive with plenty going for
them.
TIMEFORM 1-2-3:
1. NAAFER 2. NAUTICAL HAVEN 3. STORM CRY
WINNERS IN PREVIOUS YEARS:
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
Mayfair Lady 2-9-212-1
Richard Fahey
Felix Leiter 2-8-73-1f
K. R. Burke
Bahamian Heights 2-9-412-1
Clive Brittain
Mary’s Daughter 2-8-1133-1
Richard Fahey
Bomber Jet 2-8-1120-1
Nigel Tinkler
Jack Garritty (3)18
B. A. Curtis14
Ryan Moore14
Laura Barry (7)14
Kieren Fallon16
SMART STATS:
2
33%
29%
Richard Fahey’s number of winners in past 6 runnings. (amongst 3 runners
saddles: THE WAGON WHEEL)
Sylvester Kirk’s strike rate in the last 14 days (saddles: LATEST QUEST)
Charles Hills’s strike rate in the last 14 days (saddles: PARYS MOUNTAIN)