Berlin 2015 - Berlin Hyp
Transcription
Berlin 2015 - Berlin Hyp
Housing Market Report Berlin 2015 with Housing Cost Atlas Berlin: strong demand, smaller but more diverse supply On the Berlin housing market, investor and resident demand continues to increase. The main reasons behind this are growth in both population and numbers of households, as well as improved economic performance and purchasing power. Investors’ intense interest in residential property is based on prices, which are still moderate by international comparison, the positive expectations for the city, low interest rates, and the shortage of alternative investments. However, the focus of this demand is shifting. In previous years, rental growth was concentrated in particularly sought-after city-centre districts. In some of these, the growth potential has been exhausted: the pressure of demand is moving from the prime locations to the mainstream. It has become considerably stronger in locations adjacent to the city centre, in districts with good transport links outside the centre, and also in cheaper peripheral locations. This spatial trend is also reflected in property categories: in percentage terms, upscale apartments saw a low increase in asking rents, whereas the increase for modest apartments was particularly high. The prices of condominium apartments, particularly in inner-city locations, are also rising. Apparently, well-off apartment hunters are shifting their demand from rental to condominium apartments. This is not least because, at present interest rates, the monthly payments after purchase can be lower than the rent on a comparable apartment. As in the previous year, new development has sharply increased. Although each new apartment relieves the existing market, new development is still lagging behind the growth in demand. Still concentrated in particular districts, developers are primarily active in the upmarket condominium segment. These and many other trends and background factors are presented in the Housing Market Report Berlin, which, for the first time this year, is a joint publication of Berlin Hyp AG and CBRE GmbH. It is based on more than 100,000 offers of rental and condominium apartments as well as apartment buildings in the first three quarters of 2014. All rental apartments have been assigned to one of the 190 Berlin postcodes. This enables small-scale analyses and observation of trends in particular locations. In addition to rents per square metre, the report also analyses data on apartment sizes and purchasing power in the locality, and their relationship with each other. The report provides orientation for all players in the Berlin market but should also contribute to more objective discussions. These includes the overheating of the Berlin market feared by some, which, although evident in certain instances, is not a widespread phenomenon. It should also be emphasised that, although rents have increased, purchasing power in the city is also rising, so that housing costs are increasing only slightly as a proportion of household budgets. This proportion also tends to increase with purchasing power in the districts concerned. Higher-earning households usually invest a larger proportion of their money in housing. In contrast, in districts with weaker purchasing power, the proportion of income spent on rent is considerably lower, despite the increasing strains on the market. There continue to be many modest, budget-priced apartments in the city. We hope you will find the report interesting reading! Gero Bergmann Dr. Henrik Baumunk Director Managing Director Berlin Hyp AG CBRE GmbH Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin 01 City comparison 03 | Berlin is catching up to other cities in terms of purchasing power and rents. Compared to other major German cities, however, the housing market in the capital is still relatively relaxed Berlin as a location 04 | The positive trend in the city’s demographic and economic development continues. But wide gaps persist, both across the city districts, and among residential areas within a single district Ownership structure 06 | Berlin’s housing providers are a large, heterogeneous group, in which private providers make up the majority. The proportion of apartments with special conditions for rent levels and allocation remains high Rents, purchase prices, investments, transactions, and financing 08 | Rent increases remain significant and are expanding to affect more areas. Purchase prices for apartments and houses continue to climb. Internationally, Berlin remains an attractive investment location. Overall, the financing market is lively and stable New construction 14 | New construction activity maintained its momentum in 2014. The Mitte district remains a focal point for residential property development in the city Housing Cost Atlas: Introduction 18 | Local trends in the German capital. Detailed analysis of rents, purchasing power, and housing cost burden in Berlin’s 190 postcodes Berlin’s 12 districts and their 190 postcodes 20 | Charlottenburg-Wilmersdorf 24 | Friedrichshain-Kreuzberg 26 | Lichtenberg 28 | Marzahn-Hellersdorf 30 | Mitte 34 | Neukölln 36 | Pankow 38 | Reinickendorf 40 | Spandau 42 | Steglitz-Zehlendorf 44 | Tempelhof-Schöneberg 46 | Treptow-Köpenick 02 Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin Explanation of rent maps 48 | Top spots, trendy areas, cheap city centre locations, leafy suburbs, exclusive residential zones – Berlin’s neighbourhoods are diverse Rent map for Berlin as a whole Cover | Berlin’s various price levels and location types at a glance. Expensive locations are expanding, but the city still boasts plenty of affordable options Exceptional residential areas Cover | An overview of the cheapest and most expensive areas, the biggest and smallest apartments on offer, and the neighbourhoods with the highest and lowest purchasing power, as well as data on housing cost ratios City comparison: Purchasing power and rents in Berlin catching up rapidly Despite the growing demand for housing and the distinct signs of shortage, Berlin still has the most relaxed housing market of all the seven major German cities. Vacancy is higher than in the six next-largest cities and asking rents considerably lower. The city’s economy is continuing to make up ground, although there are constraints on stronger rental growth, including the lowest purchasing power index and the highest unemployment rate of the seven largest cities. erage purchasing power in the relevant city. Although household sizes in the seven cities are not absolutely identical, the link between rental values and purchasing power is unmistakeable. The average purchasing power in Cologne is 15 per cent higher than in Berlin, while asking rents per square metre are 14 per cent higher. Households in Hamburg have more than 20 per cent additional disposable income and have to face advertised rents that are 22 per cent greater. In Stuttgart, purchasing power is 23 per cent more than in Berlin and asking rents are 25 per cent higher. The low rents in Berlin stem not only from economic factors but also from the city’s political, social and architectural legacy. There is an appreciable proportion of Plattenbau (prefab concrete construction) buildings in the east and (former) social housing in the west of the city, with mostly similarly frugal architecture, ambience, and quality of accommodation. Although many areas with older buildings have an urbane ambience, they often feature apartments with poor natural light, mediocre amenities and impractical layouts. Until 1990, there was virtually no privately-financed construction of apartment buildings in the east of the city and very little in the west. New developments and refurbishments since then have enabled Berlin to catch up in terms of quality, justifying higher rents and prices. On the demand side, the influx of affluent apartment hunters and international investors, as well as the improved economic situation of Berliners, have likewise resulted in an upward trajectory. Asking rents comparable in Dusseldorf, considerably higher in Frankfurt and Munich Compared with the local affluence, rental values in Dusseldorf are relatively low. Purchasing power there is 27 per cent higher than in Berlin, while advertised rents are only 8 per cent higher. Inverse relationships apply in Frankfurt and Munich: from the tenant’s perspective, the ratio of purchasing power to asking rent in the tense housing markets is considerably less favourable than in Berlin. Purchasing power in Frankfurt is 22 per cent higher, while asking rents per square metre are 40 per cent more. Households in Munich have, by a wide margin, the highest purchasing power in the seven major cities – 43 per cent higher than in Berlin. However, asking rents are 66 per cent greater. Both purchasing power and rents in Berlin are expected to continue to rise. The ratio between the two could also change. Within the city, as well as by comparison with other cities, it is evident that asking rents increase as purchasing power rises. Higher earners are prepared to spend a larger proportion of their income on housing. A rising proportion of housing costs does not necessarily imply a financial shortfall; it can also be an indicator of increasing affluence in the city. In many cities, greater purchasing power correlates with higher asking rents The average asking rent in Berlin has been rising more strongly than in most other large cities recently, although still mainly well below their level. Rental values are usually proportionate to the av- Berlin: Lower purchasing power – lower asking rents Key figures for Germany‘s seven largest cities City Residents1) 2013 Purchasing power index 2014, Germany = 100 Average asking rent 3) 2014, in €/m 2/month Vacancy rate 2) 2013, in % Average area of apartments listed 3) 2014 in m 2 Newly finished apartments 4) 2013, per 1,000 residents 100 Berlin 3,421,829 93.8 1.8 8.55 70.6 Dusseldorf 598,686 118.7 1.6 9.23 74.5 1.7 Frankfurt a. M. 701,350 114.8 0.7 12.00 75.7 3.5 Hamburg 1,746,342 112.9 0.7 10.43 70.1 2.5 Cologne 1,034,175 107.7 1.2 9.77 69.4 2.1 Munich 1,407,836 133.6 0.4 14.17 71.1 4.2 604,297 115.2 1.2 10.71 72.5 1.6 Stuttgart 0.8 1) as of 31.12 2) vacancies in apartment buildings on the active market 3) data collection period: Q1-Q3 4) in residential buildings with three or more apartments Sources: CBRE-empirica vacancy index, CBRE based on data from empirica-systeme, Michael Bauer Research, Federal Statistics Offices, State Statistical Offices Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin 03 Continued economic growth coupled with steady population increase The economy, the employment market and incomes in Berlin are growing; the population is rapidly increasing. Although the city has not yet quite overcome all the effects of its division and the upheavals after German reunification, in ever more areas it is catching up with other major European cities. Berlin is a national and international centre of politics, culture, academia, and tourism. Not least, the expanding affluence of the residents of the once poor city is attracting more and more people from other regions. “All in all, Berlin is one of the most exciting and, in many respects, most promising locations in Europe,” said Gero Bergmann, Member of the Management Board of Berlin Hyp AG. The upswing in the city stems not only from the boom in a single economic sector but from parallel trends in several sectors. Berlin is firmly established as the seat of government and parliament, associations, the media, and many other capital city institutions. However, the largest individual sector of the economy is tourism, in which Berlin is in third place in Europe, behind London and Paris. More than 275,000 jobs in the hospitality Berlin Hyp Berlin Hyp specialises in high-volume real estate financing for professional investors and housing companies, providing them with individually tailored finance solutions. As an affiliate of the German savings banks, it also offers these financial institutions a comprehensive range of products and services. Its clear focus, almost 150 years of experience, and close relationship with the Savings Banks Finance Group make Berlin Hyp one of Germany’s leading real estate banks and issuers of Pfandbriefe. Berlin Barometer 7 5 3 4 2 1 11 10 6 Built-up space Water Positive employment market trend Although Berlin still has the highest unemployment rate among the German federal states, its employment market is developing better than anywhere else in Germany. The number of unemployed has fallen by almost a third since 2005. Analogous to the reduction in unemployment, the number of employees paying social insurance contributions increased by 3.3 per cent between mid-2013 and mid-2014, compared with growth of only 1.9 per cent in Germany as a whole. The city is increasingly attractive for highly-qualified people, for ambitious young talent, and as an academic centre, with its numerous renowned universities. In 2013, Berlin recorded a net inward District 8 9 industry, retail, and transport are directly based on tourism. Even industry is growing again after languishing for a long period. It employs more than 105,000 people and exports around 55 per cent of its products. Important sectors include vehicle and engine-building, pharmaceuticals, and medical- and electrotechnology. A third of all patents applied for in Berlin are in electrotechnology. There is also a lively culture of entrepreneurship in other sectors: around 40,000 new companies are founded each year in Berlin, the highest ratio by population of all the federal states. These developments in many individual fields add up to a positive overall trend. Ten years ago, Berlin was one of the worst performers in terms of economic growth in Germany; it has now become the leader among the federal states. Forest/park 12 Residents 2013 1) Population density per km 2 20131) 1 Charlottenburg-Wilmersdorf 302,313 4,671 2 Friedrichshain-Kreuzberg 263,526 12,959 3 Lichtenberg 262,760 5,042 4 Marzahn-Hellersdorf 251,007 4,063 5 Mitte 337,593 8,553 6 Neukölln 311,943 6,943 7 Pankow 371,438 3,604 8 Reinickendorf 246,412 2,759 9 Spandau 222,300 2,420 10 Steglitz-Zehlendorf 284,313 2,772 11 Tempelhof-Schöneberg 324,208 6,105 244,016 1,449 3,421,829 3,837 12 Treptow-Köpenick Berlin total 1) as of 31.12, based on census data 2) average forecast variant 3) all employable civilians 4) in residential buildings with three or more apartments 04 Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin migration of nearly 42,000, increasing its population to 3.4 million by the end of that year. The upward trend has continued unbroken since 2005. The population of the city is expected to reach around 3.76 million by 2030, although the actual trend is already well ahead of the forecast. The number of households, a significant figure for the housing market, could rise proportionally faster. The trend to smaller household sizes is continuing and an increasing proportion of senior citizens are living alone. “It is clear that Berlin must adapt to continuing heavy demand for housing,” said Dr. Henrik Baumunk, Head of Residential Valuation at CBRE. Districts have different trends There are very different population and employment trends in the city’s 12 districts. The greatest inward migration in 2013 was registered in the Mitte district, which gained around 5,700 residents in one year from migration alone. Berlin’s central district is particularly well-known and sought-after by newcomers. Currently, it is also the most important location for residential development projects. In second place regarding gain from migration was Pankow. The district includes large areas of potential development land, both for major projects and for individual houses. Prenzlauer Berg is also still attractive. Smaller gains from migration were recorded in the peripheral districts of Treptow-Köpenick and Marzahn-Hellersdorf, although even there, newcomers considerably exceeded those moving away. Population development from 20131) to 20121), absolut CBRE: Leading valuer of residential property CBRE Group, Inc. (NYSE:CBG), a Fortune 500 and S&P 500 company headquartered in Los Angeles, is the world’s largest commercial real estate services and investment firm (in terms of 2013 revenue). The Company has approximately 44,000 employees (excluding affiliates), and serves real estate owners, investors, and occupiers through approximately 350 offices (excluding affiliates) worldwide. CBRE offers strategic advice and execution for property sales and leasing; corporate services; property, facilities, and project management; mortgage banking; appraisal and valuation; development services; investment management; and research and consulting. CBRE Residential Valuation Germany is a market leader in residential property valuation. In 2013, around 940,000 residential units, with a volume of approximately €54 billion were appraised. Please visit our website at www.cbre.com. There are considerable differences in unemployment between districts. The highest unemployment rates recorded in 2013 were 16.2 per cent in Neukölln and 14.3 per cent in Reinickendorf. At the lower end of the scale, with rates under 10 per cent, were Steglitz-Zehlendorf, Treptow-Köpenick and Pankow, with their high proportions of green space and single houses. A positive factor is that, in the previous year, only one district was below the 10 per cent mark, while this year three districts are below that limit. According to expert forecasts, Berlin’s economy will enjoy a positive trend for the foreseeable future. The wide-ranging structure of the economy makes it less susceptible to crises than cities that are heavily dominated by cyclical economic sectors. The city emerged from the 2009/10 recession relatively unscathed. In the future, despite the deficits that still need to be reduced, the outlook for Berlin will remain positive. Unemployment rate 3), average 2013 in % Population forecast 2) 2011 – 2025, change in % Permits for building new apartments 4) 2013 Newly finished apartments 4) 2013 +3,746 +6.1 10.4 436 +4,043 +8.6 13.1 1,581 217 +4,174 +6.8 10.8 408 308 +2,221 +4.4 11.0 190 28 +7,624 +9.1 13.1 1,764 780 +3,601 +6.2 16.2 359 9 +6,644 +14.3 9.6 1,426 535 +3,173 196 +1.9 14.3 106 16 +3,365 +5.4 13.3 109 0 255 +2,709 +5.8 9.8 201 +3,291 +2.7 10.6 215 39 +2,016 +7.8 9.7 1,132 246 +46,607 +6.8 11.7 7,927 2,629 Sources: Berlin-Brandenburg Statistics Office, Federal Employment Office (unemployment rate), Senate Administration for Urban Development and Environment (population forecast), compiled by: CBRE Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin 05 Ownership structure: Diverse landlords, many regulations on rent contracts Landlords of apartments in Berlin are not a homogeneous unit; rather they belong to groups that operate under diverse general conditions. Their differing procedures and outlooks have an important effect on current market events and the future structure of the stock of rental housing in the city. In its latest survey in 2012, the Berlin Senate Department for Urban Development and the Environment registered around 1,616,000 rental apartments (around 84 per cent of the total housing stock in Berlin). Municipal companies owned 17 per cent of these, almost 12 per cent were owned by housing associations. Together they own over 450,000 units: more than a quarter of all rental apartments in Berlin. In addition there is an unknown number of federally-owned apartments in the city. Privatisations and demolitions between 1990 and 2011 reduced the size of this submarket. In this period, the State of Berlin alone sold around 230,000 apartments. Since 2011, however, the non-profit-oriented segment of the market has slowly expanded through developments and acquisitions. The municipal landlords want to increase their stock to some 300,000 apartments by 2017, financed by increased borrowing and a federal state-owned development fund, with which about 1,000 apartments each year should be subsidised. These will not necessarily be conventional social housing with fixed rents and defined income limits on entry. According to CBRE’s calculations, in 2012 there were almost 168,000 social rental apartments, of which 22 per cent were municipal and 6 per cent were housing association units. A further 121,300 apartments owned by communal housing companies or associations in the eastern districts of Berlin were subject to an occupancy commitment in accordance with the Berlin Belegungsbindunggesetz (occupancy commitment act) on the basis of the Altschuldenhilfegesetzes (a federal act that aids regulation of housing association debts dating from GDR times). This means that they may only be relet to a holder of a Wohnberechtigungsschein (certificate of eligibility). Social apartments and those subject to occupancy commitments are mostly owned by the municipal companies and associations. Nevertheless, in 2012 around 132,000 rental apartments owned by e.g. private or stock-market quoted providers were subject to one or more ties. Adding these apartments to those owned by the non-profit-oriented landlords, there is a total of around 600,000 rental apartments subject to special conditions of rent control and occupation. More than 38 per cent of all rental apartments in Berlin are therefore affected by these specific regulations. Heterogeneous group of private providers The private housing providers are a large and heterogeneous group. The data gathered for the 2011 census provided the most recent detailed breakdown of apartments let for residential occupation in Berlin, by ownership groups. According to the census, the largest subgroup is private individuals, between them owning almost a quarter of all rental apartments in Berlin. Individual buildings, constructed as traditional residential investments in the 19th and early 20th centuries and which are concentrated in the inner-city districts and suburban centres, form an important part of these. Older buildings in private ownership are often in need of particularly extensive refurbishment and Apartments in Berlin by ownhership structure Proportion 2002 and 2012 in % apartments used by the owner1) 12.5 Rental apartments cooperatives 10.1 Rental apartments municipal housing companies Rental apartments listed housing companies 10.1 2002 57.6 Rental apartments private and other institutional owners 1) includes condominiums, single-family houses, townhouses, semi-detached houses, company apartments Source: CBRE based on data from own research and Senate Administration for Urban Development and Environment 06 Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin 14.9 2012 19.9 14.4 52.8 7.8 modernisation work. However, in recent years, many districts with concentrations of older buildings have registered the highest rental growth. This group of owners is also important for the development of districts, because, by their individual and varied dealings, its members conserve the small-scale and varied structure that often accounts for the quality of older districts. The next-largest group of owners, with around 21 per cent of the units registered, are the private housing companies. They have particularly expanded their influence in the past 15 years by taking over former state-owned housing stock and by further acquisitions. According to CBRE, around 10 per cent of all rental apartments in Berlin are currently owned by listed companies. Deutsche Wohnen, with more than 100,000 units, owns the largest proportion of these. The listed companies Deutsche Annington, Akelius and Gagfah also hold more than 10,000 apartments in the city. Proportion of owner-occupiers still small Statistically, the group of private housing companies is followed by the condominium owners’ associations, i.e. the owners of individual apartments. According to the census, around 16 per cent of the rental apartments in the city are condominiums that have been rented out. Overall, more than two thirds of all the apartments owned by condominium associations are not owneroccupied but are let out. This demonstrates the major importance of individual housing ownership in Berlin, both for investment and providing pensions. The range of owners extends from the landlord of a single studio apartment to the largest property owner, holding a large number of units. The final subgroup of private landlords is “other private companies,” which, when the census was carried out, owned around 8 per cent of rental apartments in Berlin. Some of these are groups of private persons, while others are large companies with different main objectives, for example current or former company housing. Worthy of mention are also the unlet condominiums in Berlin. According to the census, in 2011 these accounted for nearly 15 per cent of all apartments. The proportion is growing slowly but steadily. Although the major hopes for privatisation by some owners, primarily in the last decade, have not been fulfilled, there is a trend towards owner-occupation that is being boosted by low interest rates, shortages on the rental market, and rising incomes. Nevertheless, the owner-occupation rate in Berlin is still considerably lower than in all the other German federal states. CAPPING OF RENTS ON RE-LETTING Rents on new lettings of apartments in Berlin have increased significantly since 2009 in around 80 per cent of all residential areas. In Germany, only about a third of the cities and regions are affected by strongly rising rents. The bill to moderate the rise in rents was approved by the Federal Cabinet on 1 October 2014. The draft regulations plan to limit allowable rents on re-lettings, in areas with strained housing markets, to a maximum of 10 per cent above the “ortsübliche Vergleichsmiete” (comparative rent for the area). Not affected by the controls are, however, newly-developed and furnished apartments, rent increases on modernisation in accordance with § 559 Para. 1 to 3 BGB, and stepped or indexed leases. For Berlin, it can be assumed that, like the “Kappungsgrenzen-Verordnung” (capping ordinance) that came into force in May 2013, reducing the maximum increase in existing rents under § 558 Para. 3 BGB from 20 to 15 per cent within a three-year period, control of rents on re-letting will also be applied to the whole city. A prerequisite for issuing such a decree is for the facts on which the supposed existence of a strained housing market is based to be presented. The measures that will be taken to relieve the pressure on the housing market during the five-year period when the capping will apply must also be stated. In this connection there are major legal uncertainties concerning the definition of “extensive modernisation.” In its latest policy paper, the Federal Ministry of Justice and Consumer Protection states that this applies if “the investment reaches about a third of the expenditure required to build a comparable new apartment.” Finally, it must be taken into account that the average rent in the Berlin “Mietspiegel” (official rent table), so far used as a basis for determining the normal rent for the locality in accordance with § 558 Para. 3 BGB and to be the new guideline for capping rents on re-letting, has risen by an average of 3.1 per cent per annum since 2011. In its first statement since the cabinet resolution on 7 November 2014, the Bundesrat called for further improvements. The federal states regret that the bill does not include new provisions on rent increases following modernisation works. They also criticise the planned provisions for refunding overpaid rent on apartments subject to rent control. The Bundesrat considers the criteria for areas with strained housing markets in the bill to be dispensable. The law will merely determine that such areas exist if the adequate provision of rental apartments for the population, on appropriate conditions, is particularly endangered. Consideration in property valuation Based on simulations of CBRE, it can be concluded that the market values of residential properties in modest to mid-range locations will not or only very slightly be affected by the planned legislation. In good residential areas and/or gentrified areas where rents are well above the Mietspiegel figures, there will also probably be no effects when extensive refurbishments are carried out. For property valuation this means that, as before, there will be a tendency to incur high refurbishment costs on apartments where rents are high, but no or only low refurbishment costs where rents are low. For valuers, the legal uncertainties surrounding the implementation of the capping of rents on re-letting mean that there is no need for changes in the approach to valuation at the end of 2014. In transactions recorded so far, no effects on prices of the planned capping of rents on re-letting have been ascertained. (As per 19 November 2014) Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin 07 Rents, condominiums, investments in apartment buildings: Continuing very high demand Rents: Growth only slightly lower than in the previous year and still substantial Asking rents in Berlin are still rising. However, the rate of growth fell slightly in 2014 from 6.9 to 6.6 per cent year-on-year. The average size of the apartments advertised has also fallen from 72.4 to 70.6 square metres. In 2014, the average net rent per apartment therefore only rose from €581 to €603, i.e. by 3.8 per cent. At the same time, the healthy economic situation meant that the average purchasing power of households in Berlin rose almost as fast: it was up by 3.5 per cent. Housing costs therefore take up the same proportion of purchasing power (20.4 per cent) as in 2013. Income growth in Berlin is almost in line with the trend of average asking rents. Rental growth extending spatially Geographically, rental growth is shifting from the core outward. In previous years it was primarily concentrated in particularly sought-after city-centre districts. However, in numerous central areas, it has almost come to a halt. Average asking rents have actually fallen in a few districts, primarily in particularly attractive locations in Mitte, Charlottenburg-Wilmersdorf, Schöneberg, Kreuzberg, and Prenzlauer Berg, where rents are already very high and/or there has been very strong growth in recent years. The peak seems to have been reached there: prospective tenants’ willingness to pay has apparently reached its limit, so that they are shifting their attention to less expensive neighbouring districts. The situation in many locations on the edge of the city centre, in the wider inner city and those with good transport connections confirms this presumption. Districts experiencing aboveaverage rental growth include those in northern Moabit and in Wedding, as well as peripheral districts such as Tempelhof, Spandau, and MarzahnHellersdorf. In particular, districts where rental values were previously very low and vacancy was a problem are now catching up. These factors are apparently no longer a restraint on rental growth. Lower growth in upper market segment The spatial trend is also apparent when looking at segments of the market. The average rent per square metre of the most expensive decile of apartments offered rose by only 2.6 per cent in 2014. The growth potential of highest-quality apartments has been widely exhausted. In the lower segment of the market, however, average rental growth in the cheapest 10 per cent of apartments is around 8.5 per cent. This also shows that the rental growth is increasingly changing from a peak occurrence to a widespread phenomenon that is penetrating to the bottom end of the market. The construction of new apartments plays a paradoxically dual role in the rental statistics. Overall, it somewhat relaxes the market, reducing demand for existing apartments and so curbing rental growth. As new apartments are usually Current rental development Rental price range for new lettings, 2014 District Number Middle market segment 1) of rental price range in €/m 2/month offers 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 All market segments Bottom market segment Top market segment Median in Change Median in Change Median in Change €/m 2/month from 2013 €/m 2/month from 2013 €/m 2/month from 2013 in % in % in % Charlottenb.-Wilm. 7,479 7.26 – 14.00 6.63 5.1 15.36 2.4 9.82 Friedrichsh.-Kreuzb. 6,884 7.44 – 15.60 6.48 3.7 17.39 4.3 10.39 3.9 Lichtenberg 2,756 5.99 – 10.32 5.50 8.7 11.56 –0.3 7.98 12.2 Marzahn-Hellersd. 3,144 4.99 – 8.20 4.75 8.9 8.80 7.0 5.96 9.1 Mitte 9,446 6.48 – 15.00 5.86 6.4 16.52 1.0 10.00 10.0 Neukölln 4,644 6.03 – 13.73 5.53 4.7 15.91 6.1 8.50 9.7 Pankow 8,483 6.51 – 13.48 5.90 0 15.16 1.1 9.03 3.2 Reinickendorf 3,485 5.75 – 9.47 5.31 6.2 10.50 6.0 7.08 7.2 Spandau 3,472 5.28 – 8.78 4.87 6.6 9.76 9.8 6.75 7.3 Steglitz-Zehlendorf 4,900 6.69 – 11.91 6.11 2.7 13.00 4.0 8.58 2.0 Tempelh.-Schöneb. 5,064 6.43 – 12.78 5.87 5.6 14.49 3.5 8.47 5.9 Treptow-Köpenick 4,413 6.00 – 10.00 5.50 3.8 11.11 0.4 7.40 5.7 64,170 6.00 – 13.48 5.50 8.5 15.05 2.6 8.55 6.6 Berlin average 1) excl. bottom and top tenth percentile of quotes 08 Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin 3.9 Source: CBRE, based on data from empirica-systeme more expensive than existing ones, they primarily draw well-off potential tenants from the existing market. This mechanism applies to new condominiums as well as new rental apartments. However, this effect can have a quite different impact at local level. When numerous new build apartments are marketed in areas not having an excessive supply of apartments, the average asking rent rises, because the new supply is generally dearer than the existing stock. Such an effect can often occur even if the competition from new developments reduces demand, and asking rents for the remaining supply in the neighbourhood fall. The statistically drastic increase is usually only temporary. As soon as the new building has been marketed, average asking rents in the area decline again. Strong rental growth in peripheral districts The 12 districts of Berlin have populations between around 220,000 and 368,000 and are correspondingly heterogeneous, in terms of both locations and market trends. This applies above all to the Mitte district, where, as before, growth in average asking rents per square metre is among the highest in the city. The lower-priced peripheral areas of the district were primarily responsible for this. In contrast, asking rents in the most expensive areas and for upmarket apartments stagnated and even fell in some cases. The highest rental growth this year was in Lichtenberg, a district increasingly being discovered as an alternative by apartment hunters for whom the supply inside the S-Bahn ring is inadequate or too expensive. In third place for rental growth, behind Lichtenberg and Mitte, is Neukölln. Here it is concentrated primarily on the smaller apartments in older buildings in the north, where demand shifting from the adjoining and more expensive Kreuzberg plays a part. Next in the rental growth league table are three districts with peripheral locations and large post-war high-rise estates, where rents per square metre have so far been well behind and even now are among the lowest: Marzahn-Hellersdorf, Spandau, and Reinickendorf. Methodology of the Residential Market Report – asking rents Net asking rents (excluding heating and ancillary costs) of apartments in Berlin are included in the analysis. In the period from the first to third quarters of 2013 and 2014 a total of 113,486 rental offers were evaluated. From these the medians, i.e. the rental values separating the upper half of the data from the lower half, for each year were calculated. In order to represent extreme values, the lowest-priced and dearest 10 per cent of the rental offers were analysed separately. These represent the topmost and lowest market segments. The medians of each of these segments are also stated. Rental growth slowing in many locations In all other districts, rental growth is below the Berlin average. Tempelhof-Schöneberg and Treptow-Köpenick are typical, with some strong growth on the periphery, while rents in the locations closer to the city centre are stagnating. In Charlottenburg-Wilmersdorf, particularly in prime locations around Kurfürstendamm, rents are at a standstill. After its dynamic rental growth in previous years, Friedrichshain-Kreuzberg is now third from the bottom of the table, while in Pankow the upward trend of prices has also considerably slackened. The backmarker in rental growth is Steglitz-Zehlendorf, where rental values were already extremely high for a peripheral location. Continued strong growth in sale prices of apartments and houses Prices in the Berlin condominium and apartment building markets again increased strongly in 2014. The average asking price for apartments rose by 10.1 per cent, with apartment buildings up by as much as 11.7 per cent. Some of the reasons for the continuing growth in prices are specific to the city: the population and incomes are rising; purchasing power is on a positive trend; rental and condominium apartments are in increasingly short supply and more sought-after, therefore more expensive. At the same time, given the existing market supply and the continued growth in demand, the volume of new construction on residential properties has not yet reached an extensive enough dimension. Another major reason for the upswing in the owner-occupier market is global: the continuing low level of interest rates. Safe alternative investments produce lower returns, while the costs of property finance have seldom been as low. As an investment location, the city is therefore still attractive for buyers from the rest of Germany and abroad. Comparing rents on new leases and the asking prices for condominium apartments shows that in some residential areas the growth is no longer parallel and that sale prices have become decoupled from rents. In view of the relatively high entry prices, particularly for new developments, investors should therefore take heed of the quality of the location and the rents achievable. Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin 09 A further considerable rise in the sale prices of apartment buildings and residential portfolios has been perceived in the last 12 months. Provided that conversion from rental to condominium apartments in good residential locations continues, and while sale prices in the medium and low-priced segments remain significantly below construction costs, it can be assumed that there will be further price increases. Condominium apartments: Highest prices in the central districts The highest prices for condominium apartments are still obtained in the three central districts: Mitte, Friedrichshain-Kreuzberg and Charlottenburg-Wilmersdorf. In 2014, a new record for the city was set in Mitte: an average asking price of €3,646 per square metre. New apartment construction in Mitte is more vibrant than in other parts of Berlin and the range between the top and bottom price segments is greater than anywhere else. The most expensive 10 per cent of the apartments offered, which appear to be concentrated Methodology of the Housing Market Report – condominium apartments and investments In the periods Q1 to Q3 of 2013 and 2014, a total of 67,237 offers of condominium apartments and 3,243 of apartment buildings for sale were evaluated. As with the properties on offer to let, the median values were calculated. The lowest-priced and dearest offers for sale were again considered separately. in the historic city centre, have an average asking price of €6,184 per square metre. The 10 per cent with the lowest asking prices are centred, to all appearances, in Wedding and Moabit. In this segment an average of only €1,421 is being asked – less than for apartments in the same segment of the market in the inner-city districts of Charlottenburg-Wilmersdorf and Friedrichshain-Kreuzberg, as well as in the Pankow district. The second-highest asking prices, €377 per square metre less than in Mitte, are in Friedrichshain-Kreuzberg. The uppermost segment is around a fifth cheaper than Mitte, at €5,000 per square metre, while the lowest, at €1,776, is about 25 per cent dearer. In 2014, the average asking price for condominium apartments in Charlottenburg-Wilmersdorf is only slightly less than in Friedrichshain-Kreuzberg: €3,129 per square metre. In the top segment of the market average asking prices have already surpassed the €5,500 per square metre mark. Fourth in the price league table, as in the previous year, comes Pankow. Prices at the lower end of the market are also particularly high here. There is no major supply in modest, inter- or post-war buildings: most of the older buildings have been refurbished and modernised since the 1990s. In the top segment, the average price in Pankow is below that of the city as a whole, in which the highpriced markets in the historic centre and around Kurfürstendamm play an important part. In terms of average prices for condominium apartments, Steglitz-Zehlendorf is in fifth place. Al- Current price development, condominiums Purchase price range, 2014 District Number Middle market segment 1) sale price range in €/m 2 offers 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Bottom market segment Top market segment All market segments Median in Median in Change Median in Change Change €/m 2 from 2013 €/m 2 from 2013 €/m 2 from 2013 in % in % in % Charlottenb.-Wilm. 6,609 1,800 – 4,828 1,476 6.8 5,515 4.8 3,129 9.8 Friedrichsh.-Kreuzb. 4,525 2,016 – 4,450 1,776 6.5 5,000 12.3 3,269 10.8 Lichtenberg 1,221 1,257 – 3,385 1,143 3.5 3,614 7.0 2,432 4.4 326 830 – 2,663 685 4.7 2,996 3.5 1,500 2.5 Mitte 4,829 1,693 – 5,510 1,421 8.7 6,184 3.8 3,646 5.3 Neukölln 1,547 1,236 – 3,100 1,120 10.0 3,350 8.1 2,083 17.4 Pankow 4,957 1,700 – 4,200 1,500 4.0 4,600 7.7 2,879 6.6 Reinickendorf 1,646 1,158 – 3,078 1,043 5.9 3,533 3.2 1,848 11.4 Spandau 1,383 1,029 – 2,530 954 10.1 3,176 –11.5 1,389 2.9 Steglitz-Zehlendorf 3,240 1,417 – 4,218 1,261 5.1 4,708 4.6 2,443 5.0 Tempelh.-Schöneb. 3,489 1,350 – 3,618 1,225 8.0 4,007 1.6 2,243 10.2 2,660 1,358 – 3,386 1,172 8.9 3,650 4.6 2,369 13.7 36,432 1,416 – 4,399 1,240 9.5 5,000 7.2 2,725 10.1 Marzahn-Hellersd. Treptow-Köpenick Berlin average 1) excl. bottom and top tenth percentile of quotes 10 Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin Source: CBRE, based on data from empirica-systeme Current price development, apartment buildings Purchase price range, 2014 District Number Middle market segment 1) sale price range in €/m 2 offers 0 1 2 3 4 5 All market segments Median in Change €/m 2 from 2013 in % Charlottenb.-Wilm. 135 1,412 – 4,100 2,219 20.5 Friedrichsh.-Kreuzb. 115 1,387 – 2,584 1,919 17.8 69 825 – 2,193 1,330 7.0 Lichtenberg Marzahn-Hellersd. 40 713 – 2,118 1,660 18.0 Mitte 152 718 – 2,826 1,537 24.2 Neukölln 108 707 – 1,983 1,380 13.5 Pankow 195 1,109 – 2,917 1,746 9.9 Reinickendorf 125 1,076 – 2,385 1,505 3.8 Spandau 105 843 – 2,308 1,301 11.8 Steglitz-Zehlendorf 176 1,325 – 3,667 2,086 15.9 Tempelh.-Schöneb. 120 1,043 – 2,212 1,660 10.7 Treptow-Köpenick 171 874 – 2,344 1,352 2.5 1,511 978 – 2,859 1,644 11.7 Berlin average 1) excl. bottom and top tenth percentile of quotes though there is interest in property ownership and the financial strength is particularly great, both are heavily oriented to individual houses and villas, somewhat weakening the market for apartment ownership. The district of Lichtenberg ranks in sixth position. The market there is dominated by a wide midfield, including numerous buildings constructed since 1990. There is currently renewed development activity in the district, which also tends to increase the average asking price. In contrast, prices in neither the top nor the bottom segments stand out considerably. The amazing thing is that apartments are on offer here at average prices per square metre that are only minimally less than in Steglitz-Zehlendorf, the district with the highest purchasing power in Berlin. Among the remaining districts, Neukölln and Treptow-Köpenick stand out because of their very strong price trends: Neukölln registered the highest proportional – and the second-highest absolute – growth in average prices in the city. The northern part of the district, formerly regarded as impoverished, is gradually becoming acceptable for middle-class purchasers. Some regard Neukölln as an alternative market to nearby, but much more expensive, Kreuzberg. In Treptow-Köpenick there are residential areas in both the more urbane northwestern and central parts of the district as well as in the extensive green suburbs. In Reinickendorf, Marzahn-Hellersdorf and Spandau, apartments are on offer for an average of well under €2,000 per square metre, while price rises in the latter two districts have also been Top and bottom segment: In the apartment building segment, different quality levels and locations have a substantial impact on price development. There were relatively few purchase offers at the district level during the observation period, meaning that in the top and bottom segments, prices and price comparisons with the previous year are not significant. For this reason, they are not represented in this report. Source: CBRE, based on data from empirica-systeme very low. As in previous years, there are very few condominium apartments for sale in MarzahnHellersdorf. Apartment buildings: Highest prices in the west and southwest For the first time, the average asking prices for apartment buildings exceeded the €2,000 per square metre mark in two Berlin districts in 2014 – both having the highest purchasing power in the city. In Charlottenburg-Wilmersdorf vendors were asking an average of €2,219, in Steglitz-Zehlendorf €2,086. The year-on-year increase in Charlottenburg-Wilmersdorf, 20.5 per cent, was particularly sharp. Steglitz-Zehlendorf was slightly behind, at 15.9 per cent. In third place for average asking prices in 2014 was Friedrichshain-Kreuzberg. Despite 17.8 per cent growth, the €2,000 threshold was missed, albeit by only €81. Pankow was next, after a wide margin. The average price there was €1,746, while the increase was less than in the previous year. This district has the most properties on offer in Berlin. In terms of prices, this large market is directly followed by the smallest: less than 50 buildings were on offer in Marzahn-Hellersdorf. However, because of this small number the peculiarly high average asking price in this district has only limited significance. All five districts so far mentioned, together with Tempelhof-Schöneberg, are above the average price per square metre in Berlin, while the other six districts are below it. Mitte and ReinickenHousing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin 11 dorf are slightly below the city average. In terms of asking prices, the Mitte district is in only seventh place of the 12 districts, surprising in view of its location and prominence. Evidently, the properties on offer in Mitte were not concentrated in the historic city centre, but in the subdistricts of Wedding and Moabit. Nevertheless, Mitte registered the sharpest growth in asking prices in the city: 24.2 per cent. The four lowest-priced submarkets for apartment buildings are in Neukölln, Treptow-Köpenick, Lichtenberg, and Spandau, where asking prices range between €1,300 and €1,400 per square metre. Prices rose year-on-year by more than the city average in Spandau and Neukölln, slightly less in Lichtenberg and by the smallest amount in Berlin – only 2.5 per cent – in TreptowKöpenick. Berlin remains an attractive international investment location The attractiveness of Berlin as a location for investment is based on the positive trend of its socio-demographic and economic conditions; the potential for rental growth; the volume of transactions; and the fungibility of the investment market. By national comparison, the prices of condominium apartments, residential investments and portfolios have moved considerably further upward in the last 12 months. In its latest property market report, the Berlin Gutachterausschuss (land valuation board) reported a 5 per cent increase in the number of sales transactions in condominium apartments from 2012 to 2013, while the transaction volume rose by 14 per cent. The number of sales of pure rental apartment building rose by 15 per cent, the transaction volume by 41 per cent. Unlike cities such as Munich or Hamburg, however, there is still an adequate supply in Berlin. Compared with other European capitals, there are considerable structural differences. Whereas there is a concentration on investment in existing property in Berlin due to its comparatively Selected residential property portfolio transactions in Berlin in 2013 and 2014 Buyer Seller Number of apartments 60,500 Price in € million Deutsche Wohnen AG GSW Immobilien AG Deutsche Wohnen AG Blackstone 6,900 3,500 315 Deutsche Wohnen AG WVB Centuria i. A. Petrus-Fonds 5,300 250 345 GSW / Immeo Lincoln Equities Group 4,400 degewo Institutional investor 2,259 185 PEARS Global MCT Berlin Residential SCA 2,000 160 BUWOG AG Capricornus Capital Manag. GmbH 1,916 103 German institutional investor U. S. joint venture 1,900 148 Gesobau / WBM / Stadt und Land Caleus / Tristan Capital Partners 1,800 160 Deutsche Investment Kapitalanlagegesellschaft Zentral Boden Immobilien AG 1,800 140 LuxemburgerFondsgesellschaft 1,400 120 Union Investment Institutional Property GmbH TAG Tegernsee Immobilienund Beteiligungs-AG 1,384 87 Akelius Fastigheter AB Round Hill Capital 798 86 Akelius Fastigheter AB Pramerica Real Estate Investors 741 78 InternationalesFamilyOffice 12 Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin moderate prices, London, for example, is experiencing a real boom in the development of condominiums and, increasingly, rental apartments in the upmarket segment. €7.5 billion investment volume A distinctive feature of Berlin is the availability and investment volume of residential property portfolios. According to CBRE, between 2013 and the third quarter of 2014, 37 residential property portfolios with volumes exceeding €50 million changed hands. Some or all of the properties concerned were in Berlin. The investment volume in Berlin amounted to around €7.5 billion, 31.5 per cent – i.e. almost a third – of the €23.8 billion total investment volume in Germany. The most important group of purchasers, by a wide margin, are the listed residential property companies, which accounted for €5.3 billion, around 70 per cent of the total investment volume. The largest deal was the takeover of GSW AG, with its around 60,500 residential units, by Deutsche Wohnen AG. A total of around 120,000 residential units changed hands. As well as Deutsche Wohnen AG, the active companies were primarily BUWOG AG, Akelius, and Grand City. Against the background of the decreasing supply of housing and with the political mandate to further increase the public housing stock, the State of Berlin’s own housing associations are the second-largest group of investors. They accounted for an investment volume of around €625 million, 8 per cent of the total. Overall, around 7,500 residential units have been acquired in the last two years. A significant trend in the investment market for portfolio transactions in 2014 is the withdrawal of the somewhat opportunistic investors and, in some cases, the listed housing companies, because of the downward pressure on initial yields. On the other hand, we note that the capping of rents on re-letting, which is expected to come into force in mid-2015, so far has had no effect on the continuing heavy demand from investors. Financing: Lively market – vigilance required In the recent past, sale prices in some of the housing markets in Berlin and other thriving major and university cities have increased considerably. Prices of condominium apartments and apartment buildings are still rising and no change in the trend is anticipated in the near future. The population and the number of households are continuing to increase, while the volume of new construction is still too low compared with the growth. This has led to a lively financing market. The situation for commercial property finance in Germany is currently very good – from the client’s point of view because of the historically low interest rates, and from the provider’s point of view because of the major potential for new business. Because of the extremely low interest rates and the vastly extended money supply, inter alia in the US and the Eurozone, globally there is a great deal of available liquidity that is in search of investment opportunities. The real estate market is therefore characterised by very high liquidity. However, the so-called core segment of premium properties let on long-term leases to good covenants is virtually sold out, so that investors are now also switching to secondary locations or second-order cities. This is also the reason why a trend to investments in alternative asset classes can be observed, for example in the properties of companies that no longer wish to own them but often want to continue to use them. Finance providers and new forms of cooperation The traditional real estate financiers, such as mortgage banks, are currently open to new business and are making extensive finance available. The main reasons for this are the extremely low interest rates and the robust economic situation. In addition to the German real estate banks, new financial providers are coming into the market. These include insurance companies, loan funds and equity investors. Regulatory developments are also affecting the market. The increasing activities of the loan funds, insurance companies and financial intermediaries are enabling novel, interesting forms of cooperation with the banks, which could further expand their function as financial arrangers and enrich the market with new, practical types of products. On the other hand, another important factor is limiting the demand: the high liquidity and investment pressure in the market are leading to lower demand for borrowed capital. Investors are effecting their property purchases with ever-increasing proportions of equity capital. German real estate market stable These trends are leading to intensive competition between real estate banks. The pressure on margins can already be clearly felt. Fortunately, however, no increased willingness to take risks among the financiers can be observed. They have learned their lessons from the financial crisis, which had its origin in the US real estate market and its often questionable financial conduct. The crisis and its consequences have considerably sharpened the real estate financiers’ awareness of security. In the case of mortgage bonds, the spreads between capital being received and loaned out are now back at their pre-crisis level – providing a significant sign of solidity from the market. According to an analysis by IREBS, the growth rates in new commercial property finance business are moving in a similar direction. In 2013, although the volume of finance our new business increased by 11.3 per cent year-on-year, this was less than in the previous years. In 2012 new business grew by 15.6 per cent, in 2011 by 16.2 per cent. “The stiff price competition and the continuing pressure on margins are leading to growing misgivings that real estate market players might reduce their standards for the quality of property or financing. One result of the recent financial crisis is the risk-averse market behaviour by the banks. We should maintain this!” Gero Bergmann, Director of Berlin Hyp AG Controllable risk for the banks Nevertheless, there are animated discussions about a price bubble in Germany. After many years with only small changes in price, the current significant growth gives the impression of a risky trend. However, consideration of the past can initially assuage these doubts: long-term fixedinterest loans and refinancing through mortgage bonds are typical in Germany. It was not least for these reasons that the German real estate market has come through the financial and economic crisis since 2008 with more stability than many other European countries. In addition, the structure of financing is considerably more conservative than before the crisis. However, continuing disciplined risk management is also important. This applies in particular to the current market situation, in which some prices are rising faster than rents. From the banks’ point of view, however, the high proportion of equity means that the risk is manageable. At the moment, there is no discernible risk for the banking system and therefore for the whole economy. Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin 13 New buildings: 226 projects offer more than 17,600 apartments Apartment construction in Berlin has gained considerable momentum since 2012. Currently, 226 projects either under construction or definitely planned, totalling more than 17,600 apartments, can be identified. However, if the growth in population, numbers of households and incomes continues, current construction will be nowhere near adequate. The number of households has been rising by well over 20,000 per annum recently. Around 70 per cent of the apartments registered are planned as condominiums. However, some of the condominiums will later become available on the rental market after they are acquired by investors and re-let. A hardly surprising rule of thumb applies: the nearer to the centre a district is situated, the higher the proportion of rental apartments. In Mitte they account for around 40 per cent of all planned apartments. In contrast, projects in the five districts with large peripheral areas are planned to have almost exclusively condominiums. The two largest individual developments, each with more than 800 units, mainly include detached, semi-detached and terraced houses. They have long-term development prospects until 2019 or 2030. The anticipated sale prices start at €1,490 per square metre in the “Wohnpark Gartenstadt” project in Alt-Hohenschönhausen and rise to just under €20,000 in the “Living Levels” project at the East Side Gallery. Rents range from €6.50 per square metre per month in a project by a municipal company in Alt-Treptow to more than €30 in the Leipziger Platz Quartier. Mitte is the focus of new construction In every district apart from Marzahn-Hellersdorf, at least 100 apartments are currently planned or under construction. The number in Neukölln has considerably increased, albeit from a low level. Five developments are currently under construction there. More than a quarter of all new apartments planned for Berlin are in the Mitte district. The focus is in and around the historic centre, which was enclosed on three sides by the Berlin Wall. Twenty-five years after it fell, the last major gaps in the former border strip are being developed, as are nearby sites undergoing change of use, and numerous small derelict and undeveloped sites. Fourteen major projects with 100 or more apartments are planned or under construction in the district. Two of them include more than 400 apartments: a site in Europacity to the north of the central train station and, slightly further to the east, the “Feuerlandhöfe” on Chausseestrasse. Slightly further afield, 12 projects with more than 1,100 apartments, 14 Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin Spandau CharlottenburgWilmersdorf Steglitz-Zehlendorf Locations of selected new construction projects Condominiums Rental apartments Mixed use Exact use unknown Reinickendorf Pankow Lichtenberg Marzahn-Hellersdorf Mitte FriedrichshainKreuzberg TempelhofSchöneberg Neukölln Treptow-Köpenick Source: CBRE, as per November 2014 Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin 15 are planned. Another focus of construction activity in the district is in and around the former border area between Mitte and Kreuzberg, where more than 670 apartments are planned. As well as new development projects, many apartments are to be constructed in conversion projects in Mitte, for example in former office, retail or industrial buildings. By a wide margin, the largest project of this type is the conversion of a former department store site on Brunnenstrasse to 265 rental apartments. Sale prices still high Mitte is also the central focus of rental apartment construction, where more than a third of those planned in the whole of Berlin are to be built. A wide range is on offer. Projected rents range from €9 per square metre per month in “Markgrafenkarree” to over €30 on the Leipziger Platz Quartier, where apartments of up to 362 square metres will be on offer. At the other end of the spectrum are 390 student apartments, with floor areas starting at 23 square metres, to be marketed as condominiums in a project close to Alexanderplatz. In the owner-occupier segment, most properties on offer are in the €3,000 to €5,000 per square metre price bracket. However, substantially higher asking prices are not uncommon in Mitte. In many projects the promoters are asking more than €6,000 per square metre, while in four developments, apartments are priced at over €10,000. High volume of construction in Lichtenberg In second place for numbers of apartments under construction is the district of Lichtenberg. Around half the new developments planned, on two large sites in Falkenberg and Karlshorst, will be detached, semi-detached, or terraced houses. Devel- opment periods of up to 16 years are quoted. A further approximately quarter of new developments in Lichtenberg are two projects by the municipal company HOWOGE, to be let at rents from around €7 per square metre. The remainder of the planned apartments are spread over 16 projects, most of which are in Alt-Hohenschönhausen and the subdistricts of Lichtenberg and Rummelsburg, close to the city centre. Friedrichshain-Kreuzberg is in third place in the league table of new developments. Around 80 per cent of all projects are in the subdistrict of Friedrichshain. The literally outstanding single project is for the two high-rise buildings “Max und Moritz.” One of the two towers is the largest rental property in the district, housing 210 units. The most-discussed project is “Living Levels,” in the former border zone near the East Side Gallery, where prices of up to €20,000 per square metre will be asked. There are other concentrations in redevelopment sites and derelict areas of eastern Friedrichshain, between Warschauer Strasse and the S-Bahn ring. Quite a few of these are traditional Berlin single-property sites, for 10 to 30 apartments each. The asking prices for most of the projects in Friedrichshain range from €3,000 to €4,000 per square metre. In the Kreuzberg area, more than 80 per cent of residential development is concentrated on the western edge of the new Gleisdreieckpark on Flottwellstrasse, within walking distance of Potsdamer Platz. In fourth place for developments is TreptowKöpenick, with around 2,000 apartments planned. The expected sale prices and rents are among the lowest in the city, primarily due to the relatively low land prices in the extensive, often uncongested district, with many peripheral areas. The most prominent concentration of development New apartment construction: 226 projects in development District Projects Projects with Total number of rental apartments apartments Quoted rent price in €/m2/month Quoted purchase price in €/m2 Apartment size in m2 Charlottenburg-Wilmersdorf 31 3 1,660 12.00 – 15.50 2,490 – 11,170 37 – 350 Friedrichshain-Kreuzberg 31 5 2,240 7.50 – 16.00 2,450 – 19,940 30 – 450 Lichtenberg 20 3 3,300 7.00 – 10.50 1,490 – 4,730 30 – 280 1 — 8 — 2,300 – 2,900 84 – 115 42 10 4,730 9.50 – 31.20 2,190 – 15,000 23 – 570 5 1 300 avg. 8.80 2,160 – 4,000 38 – 220 33 7 1,880 6.90 – 12.50 2,290 – 7,010 40 – 227 5 — 220 — 2,430 – 4,900 40 – 250 Marzahn-Hellersdorf Mitte Neukölln Pankow Reinickendorf Spandau Steglitz-Zehlendorf Tempelhof-Schöneberg Treptow-Köpenick Berlin total Source: CBRE, own research 16 Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin 3 — 120 — 2,670 – 4,500 35 – 114 14 2 860 11.00 – 15.00 2,980 – 6,280 50 – 317 7 — 200 — 1,860 – 4,540 40 – 195 34 8 2,040 6.50 – 12.00 1,900 – 5,040 25 – 234 226 39 17,558 6.50 – 31.20 1,490 – 19,940 25 – 570 is Adlershof, where around 600 apartments in 11 projects are planned. Investors are showing interest in the science park as well as the proximity of, and good links to, the future major airport. The target groups are up-and-coming scientists, students, and workers with heavy travel commitments. Around 40 per cent of the apartments in Adlershof are planned for letting. The secondlargest amount of development, in the subdistrict of Köpenick, is quite different. In the often idyllic locations close to lakes and forests, over 90 per cent of the more than 500 apartments planned are to be sold as condominiums. The two developments in Alt-Treptow are relatively large, with 98 and 200 apartments. Four of the five projects in Friedrichshagen and Grünau are in attractive waterside locations. Expansion of new development in Pankow By number of apartments, two major projects in the Prenzlauer Berg area in Pankow are well ahead of all others. They are the site on the northern Mauerpark, on which 450 condominium and rental apartments are planned, and the “La Vie” project, near Senefelderplatz, which includes more than 350 rental apartments. Apart from these, only one of the eight projects on Prenzlauer Berg has more than 50 apartments. Three of the projects are small, with less than 25 apartments. Although there is still good demand, there is a shortage of sites in the densely-developed subdistrict. Investors are shifting northwards. In the often idyllic Weissensee alone, around 330 apartments in 10 projects are planned, and circa 170 apartments in five developments in Niederschönhausen. Almost 220 additional units are planned in the Pankow subdistrict. There and in Niederschönhausen, the municipal GESOBAU AG is about to take over two projects with around 100 apartments each, which it intends to let at rents from €6.90 per square metre per month. In “Pankower Gärten” they include a privately-financed section, where apartment rents will be up to €11.65 per square metre. Apart from these, the owner-occupier market is largely dominant, particularly in the numerous smaller projects. In the northern subdistricts such as Weissensee, Französisch Buchholz and Wilhelmsruh, only condominium apartments are being constructed. Charlottenburg-Wilmersdorf, sixth in terms of numbers of new apartments, is mainly a denselydeveloped inner-city district. Almost the only large undeveloped sites are in peripheral locations, for instance on Seesener Strasse near the motorway and S-Bahn, and on a former hospital site on Mollwitzstrasse and Pulsstrasse. Infill sites dominate by number of projects. The smallest are the very upmarket developments in the western The biggest projects in the city Project AuenFlügelBerlin Gartenstadt Karlshorst I and II Location Falkenberg Number of apartments (rounded) 850 –1,000 Karlshorst 820 Europacity, 1st sect., CA Immo & Hamburg Team Moabit 520 Northern section of Mauerpark, Groth Gruppe Prenzlauer Berg 450 Friedrichshain 420 Treskow-Höfe 1) Karlshorst 410 Lindenhof 2) Lichtenberg 410 Feuerlandhöfe 3) Mitte 400 Studio:B (student residence) Mitte 390 Markgrafenkarree Mitte 370 MaxundMoritz 1) former site of HTW technical college 2) former site of children’s hospital 3) former silver bromide factory “villa” area of Grunewald. There are four projects in inner-city Wilmersdorf and three in Westend. Condominium developments dominate, with up to 80 per cent of activity. The sometimes generous sizes of the planned apartments is striking. In nine projects, apartments larger than 200 square metres are on offer, while three will even include units of more than 300 square metres. These carry prices that, in a number of instances, exceed the €6,000 per square metre mark. Rents of up to €15 per square metre are being quoted for rental apartments in the district. Smaller projects on the edge of Steglitz Steglitz-Zehlendorf is one of the six Berlin districts in which fewer than 1,000 new apartments are planned. More than 70 per cent of activities are concentrated in the green and affluent subdistricts of Zehlendorf and Dahlem. These are also the location of the only three projects in the district to include more than 100 apartments, led by the Cedelia development of 274 units on the site of a former barracks. Two of these three projects will have more rental apartments than condominiums. In the eastern areas of Steglitz, Lichterfelde and Lankwitz there are only smaller projects, with six to 67 apartments. Overall, anticipated minimum initial rents and lowest sale prices in the district are higher than the city average, while the highest rents and prices are well below those in the most highly sought-after city centre locations. The remaining districts each have between only one and seven development projects, including two larger developments in Neukölln, each of more than 100 apartments. Without exception these are condominium apartments in the €2,300 to €4,900 price bracket, the latter an exceptional case on the Humboldtinsel in Tegel. There is only minor development activity in Tempelhof-Schöneberg, Spandau and Marzahn-Hellersdorf, with just 275 apartments planned. Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin 17 Housing Cost Atlas: Detailed analysis of 190 postcodes in the city of Berlin Berlin postcode areas are broadly homogeneous in terms of structure of population and development, qualities of location, amenities and transport connections, rental value, housing market and purchasing power of households. Their average population is around 18,000. Data at postcode level therefore gives an insight into particular situations and differences in local development and allows detailed analysis of smallscale local trends in the city. Methodology of the Housing Cost Atlas The 64,170 apartments on offer where floor area and rent were stated in the first three quarters of 2014 were allocated to the 190 Berlin postcodes. This provided a statistically adequate number of offers for all areas apart from 13059 (Wartenberg), 13129 (Blankenburg), 13159 (Blankenfelde) and 14053 (Olympiastadion). The tables give the median rent per square metre (excluding heating and services) of all the properties on offer, as well as the medians of the upper and lower deciles of the offers. This therefore enables average asking rent + ancillary costs x perception of the local high-and low-price segments. In order to determine the so-called “warm” rents (i.e. including heating and services), flat-rate ancillary costs of €2.83 per square metre for the western districts of Berlin and €2.19 for the eastern districts were added. This is based on the current data provided by the BBU. The average purchasing power per capita and per household is calculated annually at postcode level by Michael Bauer Research GmbH. The average housing cost ratio was calculated using the following formula: average apartment floor area average purchasing power 18 Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin Relationship between rent, floor area, and purchasing power Even deeper insights come to light when such data is correlated. A high rent per square metre in a locality is put into perspective if, as in parts of Kreuzberg and Neukölln, the apartments on offer are frequently small and their total costs are therefore limited. Data on rental values gain particular significance when they are viewed in relation to the purchasing power of households in the = average housing cost ratio locality. Arithmetical division of average local asking rents (inclusive of heating) by average household purchasing power gives the housing cost ratio. Where this is high, the local population often finds it difficult to afford the apartments on offer: the providers are apparently aiming at higherearning potential tenants. If the housing cost ratio is low, the location has comparatively low financial priority: other needs are more important. For this reason, even when local purchasing power is high, the potential for rent increase is often limited. The significance of the housing cost ratio is reduced, however, if an appreciable number of new developments come on to the market at higher than the usual rental values and make up a significant proportion of the total supply in an area. The average rental value in such areas is then heavily influenced by the new development. The district texts on the following pages refer to such phenomena in individual cases. Major variations, even within areas It is useful to examine the extremes at the upper and lower ends of the market in the accompanying tables. The average asking rents per square metre for the lowest- and highest-priced deciles of apartments are provided for all postcodes. This reveals the strengths or weaknesses of the highpriced segment concerned as well as the existence – or absence – of market niches for less-welloff tenants. In a few areas there is a wide range across the segments. This indicates particularly high social variety. Put positively, this means that there are apartments for all income groups, the structure of the population and buildings is mixed, and therefore urban life is particularly varied. In other areas there are only narrow ranges between the figures for the overall market and its cheapest and most expensive segments. In these, the housing market and population structure may be rather homogeneous. High supply figures in the centre and periphery If a large number of apartments are on offer in an area, this can be interpreted in several ways. It might simply mean that there are many apartments there. However, it could mean that there is high tenant fluctuation and a particular dynamism in the market. This requires closer analysis at the local level. In Berlin, the areas with large numbers of apartments on offer are widely spread. They are found both in the central locations of the city, such as Unter den Linden and Chausseestrasse, and in trendy locations in Friedrichshain and Prenzlauer Berg. However, large numbers of offers can also be registered in peripheral areas such as Hellersdorf North. Area type 1: Stagnating expensive locations Postcode Area District 10623 Savignyplatz Charl.-Wilmersdorf 11.01 31.5 – 4.3 10178 Hackescher Markt Mitte 12.50 44.1 – 3.8 10435 Kollwitzplatz Pankow 11.66 34.3 – 2.2 10117 Unter den Linden Mitte 12.90 39.3 – 1.6 10785 Potsdamer Platz Mitte 11.25 29.3 +0.2 Asking rent 1) in €/m2 Housing cost ratio in % Change in asking rent 2) in % 1) median per month net rent excl. utilities 2) average asking rent year on year Stagnating expensive locations In many areas of Berlin where there are high average asking rents, rental growth has reached its limits. If moving within the area, households often need to commit more than 40 per cent of their purchasing power in rent (including heating). When asking rents are very high, apartment hunters from outside the district broaden their search to less expensive neighbouring areas. The housing providers have reacted and have hardly increased their asking rents – in a few of these areas, they have actually fallen. Area type 2: Up-and-coming city centre neighbourhoods Postcode Area District 13357 Gesundbrunnen Mitte 8.25 2,768 +21.3 10559 Stephanstrasse Mitte 9.22 2,681 +18.8 12055 Richardplatz Neukölln 9.00 2,560 +12.5 10999 Görlitzer Park Friedrichsh.-Kreuzb. 11.71 3,066 +11.5 10709 Hochmeisterplatz Charl.-Wilmersdorf 9.50 3,246 +11.2 Asking rent 1) in €/m2 Purchasing power 2) in €/month Change in asking rent 3) in % 1) median per month net rent excl. utilities 2) average per household 3) average asking rent year on year Up-and-coming city centre neighbourhoods There is an unbroken trend of rental growth in many areas with older buildings in the city centre. This primarily concerns locations that are alternatives to very highly sought-after districts and, as a special phenomenon, the already very expensive east of Kreuzberg. In these areas, household purchasing power is often low – and will remain so for the foreseeable future, as newcomers with moderate incomes, for whom the location is very important or who are content with small apartments, move in. Area type 3: Catching up on the periphery Postcode Area 12353 Buckow East Neukölln 6.47 3,008 13435 Märk. Viertel West Reinickendorf 6.06 3,024 22.5 13589 Falkenhagener Feld Spandau 5.87 2,950 20.9 District Asking rent 1) in €/m2 Purchasing power 2 in €/month Housing cost ratio in % 22.2 12627 Hellersdorf North Marzahn-Hellersd. 5.80 2,579 20.0 12687 Mehrower Allee Marzahn-Hellersd. 5.50 2,667 19.0 1) median per month net rent excl. utilities 2) average per household Catching up on the periphery Areas of high-rise buildings on the edge of the city previously appeared to be decoupled from the rental growth in the city centre. Recently, demand has noticeably increased there as well: asking rents are rising significantly. However, they continue to be among the lowest in the city and will probably retain this position. In these areas, many apartments are still available for less than €6 per square metre and are therefore very important for low-income groups of the population. Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin 19 Charlottenburg-Wilmersdorf: Large apartments and restrained rental growth Charlottenburg-Wilmersdorf is comprised of the western, widespread middle-class areas, and the adjoining green areas with villas, low-density areas of apartment buildings and forest. For many years, this district of Berlin featured the highest asking rents per square metre. It now ranks third, after Friedrichshain-Kreuzberg and Mitte. However, it would be wrong to conclude that the attractiveness of the district is diminishing. Asking rents per square metre also rose in 2014, although at a slower rate. At the same time, this district, together with Steglitz-Zehlendorf, boasts on average the largest apartments in Berlin – 12 square metres larger than in Mitte and as much as 23 square metres more than in FriedrichshainKreuzberg. This means that the total costs of the rents being asked in Charlottenburg-Wilmersdorf are still higher than in any other district. Where development affects the statistics Residential developments in this district are primarily small and medium-sized. Nevertheless, if a large new building comes onto the market, this has a noticeable effect on the average asking rent in the area. In 2014, this was particularly evident in the western Kantstrasse (10627) postcode. The median rent of €11.79 per square metre and growth of 24.4 per cent was the highest in the district by a wide margin, although, with its heavy traffic, very dense development and lack of green space, this is not one of the most attractive parts of the district. In 2013, the median rent was only €9.48. However, the “Carré Raimar” new development and modernisation project, with more than 200 rental apartments, has now come onto the market, driving the median asking rent upwards. Lacking such a localised effect, the Olivaer Platz (10707) area ranks second in the district, with a median rent of €11.14. It extends from central Kurfürstendamm, with its upper-class buildings dating from the imperial era, southwards towards Hohenzollerndamm. Despite its city centre location, it includes quiet, well-maintained and “green” roads. The average household purchasing power, €3,639, is respectable but not exorbitant. At the same time, the floor areas and therefore the total costs of the apartments on offer are high. The housing cost ratio, the proportion of household purchasing power spent on housing, is 37.8 per cent – the third highest in Berlin. At the limits of purchasing power Similar circumstances apply in the neighbouring areas on eastern and central Kurfürstendamm around Savignyplatz (10623), Ludwigkirchplatz (10719) and Sybelstrasse (10629): high rents per square metre, large apartments on offer (the second-largest in Berlin around Ludwigkirchplatz) and good but not extremely high purchasing power. The landlords are also aware of these limits, which is why they have recently become cautious with asking rents. Around Sybelstrasse they have risen by 4.2 per cent year-on-year, while around Savignyplatz they actually fell by 4.3 per cent and by 3.2 per cent around Ludwigkirchplatz. Ranking in sixth place of the rental values in the district is not a city-centre area but rather the upmarket residential area of Grunewald (14193), From the half-city to the top location in western Berlin The former heart of West Berlin When the city was divided, Charlottenburg-Wilmersdorf was where West Berlin’s heart beat. The Gedächtniskirche was the geographic and symbolic centre of the “half-city.” Around Kurfürstendamm and Tauentzienstrasse were retailers and service providers of importance for the whole city and much further afield. For Berliners, the boulevard was, by a wide margin, the most important public space. Tourism, restaurants, and the hospitality industry were also concentrated 20 Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin there, as were cultural facilities of wider significance. Not always a top residential address The uses mentioned dominated the ambience and the economy. Nevertheless, residential use featured more prominently here than in the centres of many other cities, since the space required for business in Berlin was smaller. The structure of buildings and occupation was smaller-scale and more varied than, for instance, in the centres of Frankfurt, Hamburg, or Stuttgart. As a place to live, the centre of West Berlin was always a good but, for a long time, not a prime address. Many older buildings had not been refurbished, while more recent post-war buildings were not always attractive. There was (and still is) heavy traffic pollution, while in the days of the Berlin Wall, suburban residential ideals were stronger than the desire for urbanity. Nevertheless, those who wanted to live centrally but still in a middle-class area almost always chose CharlottenburgWilmersdorf. between the eponymous forest and Kurfürstendamm. The second-largest apartments in Berlin, averaging 105 square metres, are on offer there. Household purchasing power, €4,411, is the third highest in the city. The housing cost ratio in this prestigious area is in the upper decile for Berlin. Its residents are able and willing to expend a large proportion of their budgets on housing. However, here as well, the providers have increased their average asking rents by only 1.4 per cent. Next in terms of rental value is another city-centre area, to the south of Tauentzienstrasse (10789). The €10 per square metre mark was also exceeded here for the first time in 2014. However, because of the very high proportion of post-war buildings in this area, apartments, which have an average floor area of 84 square metres, are considerably smaller than elsewhere on the Kurfürstendamm boulevard. This lowers their total costs. On the other hand, as the average household purchasing power, €3,861, is on a par with other areas of Kurfürstendamm, the housing cost ratio here, 28.4 per cent, is perceptibly lower. There is a somewhat lower average rent in the western end of Kurfürstendamm, around Halensee station (10711). Because of its green areas around an attractive lake, as in the area around the Lietzensee (14057), the median rent has risen to exactly €10. The latter is the only area not close to Kurfürstendamm to have surpassed this rent threshold. Distance from the city centre lowers rents Other areas around City West have rental values between €9 and €10. These include the area Triple change Since the fall of the wall, the centre of the former West Berlin has undergone a triple change. Firstly, city-wide and regional functions moved to the historic centre – with the important exception of retailing. Secondly, the west has benefited from the growing importance of the whole city. Around eastern Kurfürstendamm, the structure of development changed (and is still changing) to larger buildings for retail, services, and hotels. Thirdly, the area around eastern and central Kurfürstend- around the Technical University and Otto-SuhrAllee (10587), with a median rent of €9.90 per square metre. The area around Karl-August-Platz (10625) has attractive side streets with wellmaintained older buildings. The area around Hochmeisterplatz (10709), although bordering western Kurfürstendamm, extends as far to the south as Hohenzollerndamm, which carries heavy traffic. In southern Wilmersdorf is the area around Güntzelstrasse (10717), with its many unique, independent retailers. Westend-Nordost (14050) is partly a historic upmarket residential area, although in the north it also has many modest apartments dating from the post-war period. The median rent in the lowest segment, €6.09 per square metre, is strikingly low by Charlottenburg-Wilmersdorf standards. Small apartments in the north Asking rents in Schmargendorf-West (14199) and Westend-West (14052) are also around €9. Both are green areas outside the S-Bahn ring, where the residents have very high purchasing power, although public transport connections and other routes to Berlin-Mitte are sometimes only fair. Although the area around Mierendorffplatz (10589) is still part of the inner city, it has a somewhat isolated situation between waterways and the SBahn ring, with its commercial areas. On average, the apartments on offer are only 62 square metres in size, the second-smallest in the district. This keeps the total costs and therefore the housing cost ratio low – despite the below-average purchasing power. amm in particular has become more exclusive as a residential location. The qualities of middle- and upper-class older buildings have increasingly become appreciated. New, affluent occupiers from parliament and government circles and from Berlin’s growing economic sectors hold the address in high regard – as do well-to-do senior citizens, who often occupy individual houses in the best-maintained part of the city centre. In competition with commerce The prices and rents of apart- ments have risen so much that, above ground floor level, residential is able to compete with commercial occupation more frequently than before. For residential occupiers, as for aspiring service providers, City West is the second most expensive major location, after the historic centre. However, according to the latest data, rental growth here has reached a limit. The apartments on offer are amongst the largest in Berlin. Multiplied by the rent per square metre, this results in particularly high total costs. Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin 21 Rents in areas around Volkspark West (10713) and East (10715) are around the €9 mark. Both have popular green residential areas, although there are also sections between the two city motorways that suffer from heavy pollution. There is a particularly large differential in the western area. On the one hand there are many post-war buildings with a few high-rise blocks; there is a prominent downmarket segment with an average asking rent of €5.96. However, there are also some very good residential areas here, for instance on Sigmaringer Strasse and the green area to the south of the office buildings on Fehrbelliner Platz. The upper segment, with a median rent of €16.50, is also very prominent. Asking rents under €8 a rarity Following the Volkspark areas in the rental ranking are two areas that are central and include well-known buildings: Deutsche Oper (10585) and Schloss (14059). On the other hand, there Housing market data Postcode Number of rental offers are also many modest buildings. Between Schloss Charlottenburg and Kaiserdamm is an area of older buildings that were modernised only conservatively in the 1980s, following the concept of cautious urban renewal – with the objective of keeping rents low. In the area around the Deutsche Oper, post-war buildings and wide roads are dominant. The area around Rüdesheimer Platz (14197) is much more popular than would be expected from its third-frombottom place in the district rental ranking. The Eichkamp/Heerstrasse (14055) area, although green, is somewhat isolated. Charlottenburg North (13627) is an area of rental housing with a satellite town feel, in the extreme north of the district. Some of the smallest apartments on offer are located there. While the asking rents in the Eichkamp/Heerstrasse area are still above the €8 mark, the backmarker in the district is Charlottenburg North, at €7.40 per square metre. Housing cost Basic rent in all market segments 1) in €/m2/month Basic rent in bottom market segment 1) in €/m2/month Basic rent in top market segment 1) in €/m2/month Apartment size, average in m2 Total housing cost 2), average in €/month Household purchasing power, average in €/month Housing cost ratio3) in % 10585 316 9.00 (63) 6.50 (41) 15.00 (63) 71 (93) 837 (62) 3,040 (73) 27.5 (67) 10587 335 9.90 (39) 6.43 (51) 15.38 (52) 66 (115) 846 (59) 3,010 (78) 28.1 (55) 10589 310 9.00 (63) 6.40 (55) 15.45 (51) 62 (148) 729 (104) 2,838 (112) 25.7 (95) 10623 195 11.01 (13) 6.70 (33) 16.00 (36) 89 (19) 1,226 (8) 3,898 (16) 31.5 (20) 10625 278 9.53 (43) 6.83 (25) 13.70 (81) 76 (52) 945 (37) 3,146 (62) 30.0 (26) 10627 530 11.79 (4) 7.00 (15) 15.02 (62) 76 (58) 1,110 (14) 3,113 (65) 35.7 (8) 10629 438 10.95 (16) 7.35 (6) 16.01 (35) 102 (4) 1,398 (5) 3,783 (21) 37.0 (5) 10707 460 11.14 (11) 7.33 (8) 16.62 (21) 99 (6) 1,377 (6) 3,639 (24) 37.8 (3) 10709 261 9.50 (45) 6.50 (41) 13.75 (80) 75 (65) 922 (42) 3,246 (50) 28.4 (51) 10711 274 10.00 (26) 7.36 (5) 16.00 (36) 85 (30) 1,089 (19) 3,365 (38) 32.4 (16) 10713 248 9.17 (57) 5.96 (90) 16.50 (26) 73 (75) 875 (54) 3,012 (77) 29.1 (39) 10715 375 8.99 (70) 6.78 (28) 14.29 (74) 70 (99) 826 (66) 3,041 (72) 27.2 (73) 10717 358 9.48 (48) 6.80 (26) 15.00 (63) 81 (39) 995 (31) 3,180 (60) 31.3 (22) 10719 359 10.91 (17) 7.43 (4) 16.00 (36) 103 (3) 1,411 (4) 3,910 (15) 36.1 (6) 10789 128 10.25 (25) 7.69 (1) 16.93 (15) 84 (31) 1,097 (16) 3,861 (17) 28.4 (50) 13627 103 7.40 (132) 5.91 (101) 13.33 (85) 58 (168) 588 (172) 2,440 (180) 24.1 (122) 14050 207 9.39 (52) 6.09 (68) 14.88 (67) 96 (8) 1,172 (11) 3,271 (46) 35.8 (7) 14052 328 9.08 (59) 7.33 (7) 13.27 (87) 92 (13) 1,090 (18) 3,586 (26) 30.4 (25) 14053 5 — 3,432 (33) — 14055 187 8.24 (94) 6.58 (39) 12.50 (103) 83 (33) 915 (45) 3,994 (13) 22.9 (141) 14057 345 10.00 (26) 6.90 (22) 16.35 (28) 81 (38) 1,042 (27) 3,534 (30) 29.5 (33) 14059 357 8.99 (70) 5.93 (96) 15.33 (55) 69 (106) 812 (67) 2,739 (126) 29.6 (29) 14193 538 10.63 (21) 7.50 (3) 15.14 (61) 105 (2) 1,412 (3) 4,411 (3) 32.0 (17) 14197 279 8.80 (76) 6.25 (60) 12.91 (94) 74 (69) 862 (57) 2,929 (95) 29.4 (34) 14199 265 9.20 (56) 6.71 (31) 13.97 (78) 88 (22) 1,056 (25) 3,400 (35) 31.1 (23) District1) 7,479 9.82 6.63 15.36 83 1,050 3,291 31.9 Berlin 1) 64,170 8.55 5.50 15.05 71 780 2,951 26.4 — — — — 1) median 2) includes operating costs (BBU 2012) 2.83 €/m² (western Berlin) and 2.51 €/m² (all of Berlin) 3) rent (incl. utilities) as percent of household purchasing power ( ) rank among the 190 postcodes with rental data 22 Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin Sources: CBRE based on data from empirica-systeme, Michael Bauer Research (purchasing power); compiled by CBRE Housing cost ratio of households in % 33.0 and over 30.0 –32.9 28.0 –29.9 26.0 –27.9 24.0 –25.9 22.0 –23.9 20.0 –21.9 up to 19.9 © Cartography: Nexiga, 2006 – 2014 Tom Tom Insufficientnumberofcases Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin 23 Friedrichshain-Kreuzberg: High asking rents, often for small apartments Following three years of rapid rises in asking rents, on average there was a tendency towards stabilisation in 2014. Friedrichshain-Kreuzberg still leads the field for advertised rents in Berlin, a position that it has held since 2012. The median asking rent of all postcodes in the district has now reached or crossed the €10 per square metre threshold. The highest, €11.70, is in the area around Görlitzer Park (postcode 10999), which is therefore statistically among the five most expensive in Berlin. It is closely followed by the area around Mehringdamm (10965) and Wrangelstrasse (10997). Highest values in the upper market segment The two adjacent neighbourhoods, Görlitzer Park and Wrangelstrasse, are decidedly fashionable and are particularly well-known and popular with the younger and foreign “new” Berliners. Before the fall of the wall, they were situated in a “blind spot” of West Berlin, with weak economic and social development. Providers are now asking the highest rents in Berlin in the upper market segment to the south and west of Görlitz station. So far, the average rental value in the upper decile is still the only one in the city to have exceeded €20 per square metre. The upper market segments in the areas around Wrangelstrasse, Graefestrasse (10967) and Gneisenaustrasse (10961) in southwestern Kreuzberg are also among the 10 most expensive in Berlin. The average rent per square metre of all apartments on offer around Graefestrasse, not only those in the topmost segment, rose particularly rapidly in 2013. Perhaps the growth was too quick because, on average, advertised rents have fallen again since. It is possible that landlords were testing the limits of potential tenants’ willingness to pay, only to discover that these were lower than they had hoped. Because of the decline, the area around Graefestrasse is no longer top in terms of asking rents in the district. It is now only in sixth position, below the areas around Görlitzer Park, Mehringdamm, Wrangelstrasse, Gneisenaustrasse and Prinzenstrasse (10969), which has a high proportion of post-war apartments. The overall market there was previously less expensive than all other areas of the district. However, because of the new developments in the area, the median rent increased particularly sharply in 2014. High rents for small apartments In terms of overall size of apartments, Friedrichshain-Kreuzberg is near the bottom of the scale in Berlin. The apartments on offer are, on average, the second-smallest in the city, just ahead of Neukölln. Four of the six areas mentioned, with 24 Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin the highest asking rents per square metre in the upper segment of the market, have apartments with floor areas averaging 54 to 58 square metres, which is at the lower end for the district. Only around Mehringdamm and Prinzenstrasse do the floor areas of the units on offer exceed the 60-square-metre mark. In the other four areas, the comparatively small residential units result in total costs per apartment that are around the Berlin average. This means that it is still not essential to have an above-average income in order to find an apartment in these trendy areas. This attracts people for whom the location in a particular area is so important that they are prepared to put up with a rather small apartment. The average household purchasing power of the residents of most of the areas in the district is low. Households therefore often have to pay a relatively large amount of their income when taking a new tenancy of an apartment, i.e. they are prepared to accept a high housing cost ratio. This is also an indication of the high regard in which particular locations are held. The highest housing cost ratio in the district, by a wide margin, is on Mehringdamm, where the apartments on offer are larger than in many of the neighbouring areas. It is followed by the areas around the Ostbahnhof (10243) and Samariterstrasse (10247) in Friedrichshain, which have the lowest household purchasing power in the district. Continuing division of the district The lower market segment – the decile of apartments in an area that have the least expensive asking prices per square metre – is of particular importance for apartment hunters on low incomes. This section of the market has also become noticeably dearer. The area around Ostkreuz (10245) in Friedrichshain now has average asking rents of €7 per square metre per month in this segment. The area around the Volkspark Friedrichshain (10249) is only slightly lower. At the other end of the scale is the area around Wrangelstrasse, where apartments in the lowest decile are on offer at €5.56, and the vicinity of Prinzenstrasse. In geographical terms the district is divided in terms of rental values. The most expensive areas are in the Kreuzberg subdistrict, the cheaper ones in Friedrichshain, with the exception of Kreuzberg-West (10963). Household purchasing power is similarly divided: it is considerably higher in Kreuzberg than in Friedrichshain. The western part of Friedrichshain is heavily dominated by Plattenbau (prefab high-rise) buildings from the GDR period, some of which are still occupied by their original tenants. Housing cost ratio of households in % 33.0 and over 30.0 –32.9 28.0 –29.9 26.0 –27.9 24.0 –25.9 22.0 –23.9 20.0 –21.9 © Cartography: Nexiga, 2006 – 2014 Tom Tom up to 19.9 Housing market data Postcode Number of rental offers Housing cost Basic rent in all market segments 1) in €/m2/month Basic rent in bottom market segment 1) in €/m2/month Basic rent in top market segment 1) in €/m2/month Apartment size, average in m2 Total housing cost 2), average in €/month Household purchasing power, average in €/month Housing cost ratio3) in % 10243 672 10.00 (26) 6.77 (29) 16.00 (36) 61 (155) 740 (94) 2,575 (157) 28.7 (41) 10245 1,075 10.00 (26) 7.00 (15) 16.52 (24) 61 (151) 746 (92) 2,677 (138) 27.8 (59) 10247 1,226 10.00 (26) 6.50 (41) 16.57 (23) 61 (156) 739 (95) 2,594 (152) 28.5 (48) 10249 948 10.00 (26) 6.85 (24) 16.36 (27) 61 (149) 747 (91) 2,618 (149) 28.5 (46) 10961 439 11.00 (14) 6.67 (35) 18.10 (7) 56 (175) 768 (80) 2,763 (122) 27.8 (62) 10963 285 10.00 (26) 6.71 (31) 16.80 (16) 73 (79) 931 (40) 3,476 (32) 26.8 (75) 10965 412 11.21 (9) 6.67 (35) 17.39 (12) 66 (121) 923 (41) 2,848 (108) 32.4 (15) 10967 402 10.50 (22) 6.07 (72) 18.18 (6) 58 (167) 769 (79) 2,771 (120) 27.7 (63) 10969 442 10.90 (18) 5.94 (94) 15.22 (56) 63 (132) 867 (56) 3,035 (74) 28.6 (49) 10997 423 11.15 (10) 5.56 (130) 18.57 (2) 54 (179) 756 (88) 2,897 (99) 26.1 (89) 10999 560 11.71 (5) 6.05 (76) 20.16 (1) 55 (176) 799 (70) 3,066 (71) 26.1 (90) District 1) 6,884 10.39 6.48 17.39 60 779 2,800 27.8 Berlin 1) 64,170 8.55 5.50 15.05 71 780 2,951 26.4 1) median 2) includes operating costs (BBU 2012) 2.19 €/m² (eastern Berlin) and 2.83 €/m² (western Berlin) and 2.51 €/m² (all of Berlin) 3) rent (incl. utilities) as percent of household purchasing power ( ) rank among the 190 postcodes with rental data Sources: CBRE based on data from empirica-systeme, Michael Bauer Research (purchasing power); compiled by CBRE Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin 25 Lichtenberg: Lower-cost alternative to the city centre The Lichtenberg district extends from the S-Bahn ring, which encircles the city centre, to the northeastern edge of the city. It is being increasingly discovered as an alternative location by apartment hunters for whom the supply inside the S-Bahn ring is inadequate and/or too expensive. For example, the second- and third-highest median rents in Lichtenberg are in areas that adjoin heavily-sought-after Friedrichshain: Rummelsburg (postcode 10317) and around the Stadtpark (10367). The leader in terms of median asking rents is, however, Karlshorst (10318), the southernmost subdistrict of Lichtenberg, where “green” areas of villas and apartment buildings predominate. On average, landlords asked €8.81 per square metre for new lettings there in 2014. Moderate rents in the north of the district The area around Siegfriedstrasse (10365) and leafy, attractive Alt-Hohenschönhausen (13053), which also adjoin Friedrichshain, are other parts of Lichtenberg that have now exceeded the €8 limit. Their residents have the highest purchasing power in the district. Fennpfuhl (10369), in the geographical centre of the district and still just under the €8 mark, is a Plattenbau (prefab high-rise) area with attractive green space. The lowest asking rents, still averaging less than €7, are in three areas that are dominated by Plattenbau buildings from the GDR period: Friedrichsfelde South (10319) and the peripheral areas of Wartenberg (13059) and Falkenberg (13057), which include parts of the large 1980s Hohenschönhausen Housing market data Postcode Number of rental offers estate. However, the shortage of supply of rental apartments in the latter two areas diminishes the statistical significance of the median rents there. In terms of the size of apartments on offer, the most expensive of the Lichtenberg postcodes also boasts the largest in the district. The average floor area of the units advertised was 76 square metres. In contrast, in four areas of the district the average is less than 60 square metres: Rummelsburg, Friedrichsfelde South, Siegfriedstrasse and Malchow (13051). In all the remaining areas the residential accommodation of the units averages between 62 and 71 square metres. Housing cost ratio mostly moderate Apart from in Karlshorst and Alt-Hohenschönhausen, the household purchasing power in the district is below the Berlin average overall. However, as the asking rents and the average apartment sizes are comparatively moderate, commonly only a smaller relative proportion of purchasing power has to be allocated to accommodation. The average housing cost ratio, i.e. the relationship between total costs of accommodation and purchasing power, in the district is considerably lower than in the city as a whole. The greatest upward divergence is in the Stadtpark area, although the ratio of asking rents to household purchasing power in Karlshorst is also above the Berlin average. However, the housing cost ratios in all other Lichtenberg postcodes are moderate. They are particularly low in Falkenberg and Malchow, in the north of the district. Housing cost Basic rent in all market segments 1) in €/m2/month Basic rent in bottom market segment 1) in €/m2/month Basic rent in top market segment 1) in €/m2/month Apartment size, average in m2 Total housing cost 2), average in €/month Household purchasing power, average in €/month Housing cost ratio3) in % 10315 404 7.50 (124) 5.20 (159) 10.66 (131) 62 (141) 604 (163) 2,419 (185) 25.0 (105) 10317 418 8.49 (86) 5.96 (90) 14.40 (71) 59 (161) 632 (148) 2,569 (160) 24.6 (114) 10318 517 8.81 (75) 6.49 (44) 10.76 (129) 76 (60) 833 (63) 2,997 (80) 27.8 (60) 10319 139 6.97 (154) 5.50 (136) 8.64 (177) 59 (163) 540 (178) 2,358 (188) 22.9 (139) 10365 305 8.04 (100) 5.66 (121) 12.67 (101) 58 (164) 595 (167) 2,524 (168) 23.6 (130) 10367 175 8.29 (91) 5.70 (117) 13.04 (91) 71 (95) 740 (96) 2,529 (167) 29.2 (36) 10369 135 7.92 (112) 5.93 (96) 11.25 (117) 64 (129) 645 (142) 2,596 (151) 24.8 (108) 13051 86 7.04 (147) 5.06 (166) 10.34 (140) 56 (173) 515 (183) 2,844 (110) 18.1 (187) 13053 160 8.03 (102) 5.92 (100) 10.50 (135) 70 (101) 711 (109) 3,193 (57) 22.3 (155) 13055 308 7.14 (141) 5.17 (161) 9.92 (161) 66 (118) 616 (156) 2,788 (116) 22.1 (158) 13057 76 6.01 (177) 4.71 (180) 8.90 (174) 64 (127) 525 (179) 2,711 (131) 19.4 (180) 13059 33 6.79 (166) 5.21 (158) 9.90 (162) 62 (143) 556 (176) 2,714 (130) 20.5 (171) District 1) 2,756 7.98 5.50 11.56 65 661 2,666 24.8 Berlin 1) 64,170 8.55 5.50 15.05 71 780 2,951 26.4 1) median 2) includes operating costs (BBU 2012) 2.19 €/m² (eastern Berlin) and 2.51 €/m² (all of Berlin) 3) rent (incl. utilities) as percent of household purchasing power ( ) rank among the 190 postcodes with rental data 26 Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin Sources: CBRE based on data from empirica-systeme, Michael Bauer Research (purchasing power); compiled by CBRE Housing cost ratio of households in % 33.0 and over 30.0 –32.9 28.0 –29.9 26.0 –27.9 24.0 –25.9 22.0 –23.9 20.0 –21.9 © Cartography: Nexiga, 2006 – 2014 Tom Tom up to 19.9 Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin 27 Marzahn-Hellersdorf: Low-priced refuge despite rising rents In absolute terms, the growth in asking rents in Marzahn-Hellersdorf was close to the Berlin average in 2014. However, because it started from a very low level, it was proportionally somewhat higher. Nevertheless, the district is still, by a wide margin, the cheapest for tenants. This is due both to its peripheral location and the austere, monumental character of the two large housing estates that were built there in the 1970s and 80s. Their dominance makes it easy to forget, however, that on the edge of the city there are also extensive areas that are characterised by single houses and smaller apartment buildings: Mahlsdorf (postcode 12623), Kaulsdorf (12621) and Biesdorf (12683). Situated to the south and east of the large estates, they are the only areas in the district to have an average monthly household purchasing power in excess of €3,000 – and also the only ones to have average asking rents well over €7 per square metre per month. Favourable housing costs in all areas The apartments on offer in Mahlsdorf and Kaulsdorf are much larger than those in the centre of the district, so that the highest total monthly costs are payable there. Because of the relatively high incomes for the district, however, the asking rents as a proportion of purchasing power are well below the Berlin average. At the other end of the scale for Berlin are the housing cost ratios in two central parts of the huge Marzahn estate, around Mehrower Allee (12687) and Raoul-Wallenberg-Strasse (12679). Although the purchasing power in both these areas is only moderate, the rents asked are almost Housing market data Postcode Number of rental offers the lowest in Berlin. The housing cost ratio in the Plattenbau (prefab high-rise) areas of this district is lower than almost anywhere else in the city. Only Marzahn-Mitte (12685) stands out somewhat from the other areas of the district in this respect. It has very good amenities and new development has taken place since the 1990s and there are particularly attractive residential areas near the preserved historic village centre of Marzahn and the Kienberg. The latter is already home to the “Gardens of the World” and is to be the venue of an international garden show in 2017. Positive developments in the district None of the apartments on offer in the large estates are generously-sized but neither are any of them extremely small. They have floor areas between 60 and 72 square metres. Such apartments are also of interest to young families, so that there is no danger of a high percentage of old people or a disproportionate amount of small singles apartments in Marzahn-Hellersdorf. The increasing shortage in other districts is a blessing for this one. It is once again attracting normal earners: a few artists have even been seen moving there. What was, for a long period, the highest vacancy anywhere in the city has very recently started to fall. The increasing tension in the Berlin housing market is therefore not resulting in Marzahn-Hellersdorf becoming a socially deprived area, as was feared by some, but to a more strongly mixed and solid social structure. This district of Berlin is miles away from having the kind of conditions seen, for example, in the Banlieues (outer suburbs) of French cities. Housing cost Basic rent in all market segments 1) in €/m2/month Basic rent in bottom market segment 1) in €/m2/month Basic rent in top market segment 1) in €/m2/month Apartment size, average in m2 Total housing cost 2), average in €/month Household purchasing power, average in €/month Housing cost ratio3) in % 12619 528 5.87 (178) 4.70 (181) 8.62 (178) 61 (158) 488 (187) 2,503 (174) 19.5 (178) 12621 80 7.66 (119) 4.85 (175) 12.25 (106) 79 (46) 774 (78) 3,644 (23) 21.2 (168) 12623 114 7.63 (120) 5.80 (109) 10.00 (149) 78 (47) 763 (83) 3,567 (28) 21.4 (167) 12627 743 5.80 (181) 4.90 (173) 8.38 (184) 65 (125) 516 (182) 2,579 (156) 20.0 (176) 12629 237 5.80 (181) 4.96 (171) 8.40 (182) 63 (131) 506 (185) 2,517 (171) 20.1 (175) 12679 288 5.51 (185) 4.77 (179) 7.79 (186) 64 (130) 489 (186) 2,572 (159) 19.0 (184) 12681 178 6.26 (175) 4.70 (181) 9.94 (160) 62 (147) 521 (181) 2,746 (125) 19.0 (186) 12683 203 7.50 (124) 5.10 (164) 10.25 (144) 65 (123) 635 (147) 3,218 (54) 19.7 (177) 12685 277 6.95 (156) 4.78 (178) 8.50 (180) 72 (87) 656 (134) 2,922 (96) 22.4 (152) 12687 173 5.50 (186) 4.28 (187) 8.62 (178) 66 (120) 506 (184) 2,667 (142) 19.0 (185) 12689 323 5.71 (183) 4.85 (175) 7.54 (187) 66 (116) 524 (180) 2,705 (132) 19.4 (181) District 1) 3,144 5.96 4.75 8.80 65 532 2,866 18.6 Berlin 1) 64,170 8.55 5.50 15.05 71 780 2,951 26.4 1) median 2) includes operating costs (BBU 2012) 2.19 €/m² (eastern Berlin) and 2.51 €/m² (all of Berlin) 3) rent (incl. utilities) as percent of household purchasing power ( ) rank among the 190 postcodes with rental data 28 Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin Sources: CBRE based on data from empirica-systeme, Michael Bauer Research (purchasing power); compiled by CBRE Housing cost ratio of households in % 33.0 and over 30.0 –32.9 28.0 –29.9 26.0 –27.9 24.0 –25.9 22.0 –23.9 20.0 –21.9 © Cartography: Nexiga, 2006 – 2014 Tom Tom up to 19.9 Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin 29 Mitte: Rents static in the centre, peripheral areas catching up The Berlin-Mitte district is comprised of three very different sections: firstly, the historic centre of the city; secondly, to the west, the former Tiergarten district with its eponymous park, Potsdamer Platz, the Hansa Quarter, and the Moabit subdistrict; and thirdly the former Wedding district, with for the most part low purchasing power and relatively low rents. As in many towns and cities, the areas right in the centre of Berlin are also the most expensive. The Unter den Linden (postcode 10117) area has the highest median asking rents in Berlin, €12.90 per square metre. Sharing second place, at €12.50 per square metre, are Hackescher Markt (10178) and Rosenthaler Platz (10119), which adjoin to the northeast. The topmost market segment is also very prominent in these three areas. The average rental values of the most expensive decile of apartments on offer range from €17.65 in the Unter den Linden area to €18.46 around Hackescher Markt, which also ranks third in Berlin as a whole. It also includes an appreciable downmarket segment. The asking rents of the lowest-priced decile of the apartments on offer currently average €5.95. The Hackescher Markt postcode extends well to the east, including Alexanderplatz and the Plattenbau area around Karl-Marx-Allee. Moderate purchasing power in the centre Of the high-value areas mentioned, only Unter den Linden has extremely high average household purchasing power (€3,808 per month) putting it in 19th place in the city. Rosenthaler Platz is in 61st place with €3,147 while Hackescher Markt is 89th with €2,956 – almost exactly the median of the 190 Berlin postcodes. Two of the three areas rank considerably more highly in terms of the size of the apartments on offer: Unter den Linden has the fifth-largest apartments in Berlin, while Hackescher Markt is in 16th place. In combination with the peak rents per square metre, this leads to particularly high total costs of the apartments. Their relationship to household purchasing power, the housing cost ratio, is the highest in Berlin around Hackescher Markt: 44.1 per cent, while Unter den Linden is in second place due to its higher purchasing power. The limits of ability or willingness to pay have apparently been reached, however. In 2014 the median asking rent per square metre on Unter den Linden fell by 1.6 per cent and on Hackescher Markt by as much as 3.8 per cent. Sharp drop in rents around Potsdamer Platz The somewhat more moderately-priced neighbouring areas, Chausseestrasse (10115), Potsdamer Platz (10785) and Jannowitzbrücke (10179), where the median asking rents are a euro or two per square metre cheaper, offer an alternative to the very central locations. Although the centrality is still very high, more properties for smaller budgets are on offer. This applies in particular to the area around Potsdamer Platz, which includes not only the large new Daimler and Sony areas dating from the 1990s and the luxurious diplomatic quarter, but also basic older and post-war buildings to the south of the Landwehrkanal, around Potsdamer Extensive supply in central locations City centre with high proportion of residential In contrast to many other German cities, there is a large proportion of residential accommodation in the historic centre of Berlin. It differs from comparable cities, where there are almost always only offices, retailers, hotels and other service providers in the centre. These current circumstances are a welcome delayed effect of the former GDR, in which there was no commercial dynamism in the city centre and therefore no corresponding pressure for displacement. Areas of old build30 Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin ings could therefore be retained and derelict sites were often redeveloped with new apartments. However, because of the economic weakness, some of this housing remained empty or was underused. There was also the wide, completely undeveloped border strip along the Berlin Wall, which ran northsouth through the district. Because of these conditions, there was wide space available for new housing developments in the Mitte district from 1990. Very diverse mixture This explains why, by a wide margin, most apartments on offer in the Mitte district are in the Unter den Linden, Rosenthaler Platz and Chausseestrasse areas, which are also among the most active markets in the whole city. Above all, they are sought-after as a residential location by young people moving to Berlin. Another phenomenon is the continuing very diverse social mixture and types of buildings in the area. Cheek by jowl there are fully or less-extensively refurbished old buildings, Plattenbau (prefab construction) buildings from the GDR period, Strasse and Lützowstrasse. The household purchasing power in this area, which averages €3,958, is high overall. Many long-term tenants close to the centre Household purchasing power is almost €1,100 lower around Jannowitzbrücke, where many senior citizens live in small apartments on the Fischerinsel and in Karl-Marx-Allee, dating from the GDR period. Because of the relatively low incomes, the housing cost ratio in this area, 37.3 per cent, is particularly high and ranks in fourth place in Berlin. Rental growth in 2014 was very strong – 8.4 per cent – while in both the other areas mentioned the rents, which were already higher, are now stagnating, with only 0.2 per cent growth. The next areas in the rental value ranking, with median asking rents between €9 and €10 per square metre, are in the Tiergarten subdistrict near to the river Spree. Moabit Southeast (10557) not only includes the Government Quarter, the Central Station, the Hansa Quarter and the attractive locations on the banks of the Spree, but also more modest neighbourhoods between Rathenower Strasse and Lehrter Strasse. Next in terms of median asking rent is the adjoining area, AltMoabit West (10555), and, further to the north, the area around Stephanstrasse (10559), where the median asking rent has risen by a particularly strong 18.8 per cent. The area around the Zoo (10787), already on the edge of City West, includes aspiring younger neighbourhoods such as the Tiergarten-Dreieck high-quality and also hastily thrown-up properties to benefit from the special tax write-offs in the 1990s, housing association complexes, development consortium projects, and luxury new buildings. The occupiers here are as widely mixed as the development structure. However, most of the apartments available are now concentrated in the upmarket and top segments. More modest apartments in the centre of Berlin often change on the quiet and are transferred to friends and acquaintances without appearing on the official market. and the architectural and sometimes unconventional urban villas around Rauchstrasse, which were constructed for the 1987 International Building Exhibition. The median asking rent there is also just over the €9 mark. The upswing is also coming to Moabit In northern and western Moabit, median asking rents range between €8.15 and €8.96 in the Beusselstrasse (10553) and Birkenstrasse (10551) areas. For a long period, these areas, which are dominated by 1950s and 1960s buildings, the Siemens works and the Westhafen, enjoyed little of the upswing in the Berlin residential market. Although they are still among the lowest-priced areas inside the SBahn ring, even here the asking rents have increased substantially in some cases. However, in both areas the average rents for the lowestpriced decile of the apartments on offer are still around €6 per square metre. A top segment for aspiring and well-off tenants is also developing, however. The most expensive decile of the apartments on offer here are in the Birkenstrasse area, where asking rents are up to €15.91. A feature is the small size of the apartments on offer. The smallest being marketed in Moabit, around Beusselstrasse, have an average floor area of only 56 square metres. Low rents around Gesundbrunnen The Beusselstrasse area, where the median asking rent is €8.15, is the cheapest in Moabit. The advertised rents there are even lower than two Some modest stock Because of the central location, even the more modestly fitted-out apartments in the historic centre of Berlin are more expensive than elsewhere. However, the centre cannot be expected to become a homogeneous area of luxury residences. Often, the modest housing stock is not suitable for modernisation to today‘s exacting requirements. For older buildings this is limited by pollution in the environment, cramped courtyards or listing as monuments. In the prefab concrete high-rise buildings the storey heights are low, while the layouts are restrictive and for structural reasons unsuitable for major alterations. This often does not put off single people, pensioners and other small households not requiring prestigious accommodation, even though, compared with some apartments outside the centre of Berlin a city-centre premium has to be paid in every quality bracket. Very densely-planned new developments, designed for middleincome tenants, are therefore still viable in Berlin-Mitte. Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin 31 areas of the former Wedding district, which covers the north of the Mitte district. However, the median asking rent close to Westhafen (13353) in that area has now risen to €8.26 per square metre. The area includes two important facilities: the Beuth University of Applied Sciences and the Rudolf-Virchow clinic. It has attractive residential districts, particularly on the Nordufer. Further to the west in the catchment area of the Gesundbrunnen station (13357) there are idyllic locations close to the small river Panke. The median asking rent there, €8.25, has risen sharply recently. The average size of apartments on offer, 54 square metres, is even lower than in the subdistricts of Moabit already mentioned, while the average household purchasing power, €2,768, is the highest by Wedding standards. On the other hand, this results in a housing cost ratio of only 21.8 per cent – the lowest in the whole of the Mitte district. In Wedding, the €8 threshold has also been surpassed in the central area around Nauener Platz (13347). Although very low-priced apartments, averaging €5.38 per square metre, are on offer in the bottom segment of the market, the topmost segment is very expensive, at an average of €16.09. Housing market data Postcode Number of rental offers Wedding North: green but still reasonably priced All the other areas of Wedding have median asking rents below €8 per square metre. However, near Rehberge (13351), the area with the smallest apartments in the district on offer – only 53 square metres, they average only two cents lower than this figure. The median asking rents rose by 6.4 per cent here, the same amount of growth as in the Soldiner Strasse (13359) area in the extreme northeast of the Mitte district. However, the median asking rents there, €7.71 per square metre, are noticeably lower. Similar to Rehberge, the area around the Schillerpark (13349) is green but at present still suffers from aircraft noise. The purchasing power in the area, €2,360, is the lowest in the Mitte district and the fifth-lowest in Berlin, not least because of the high proportion of pensioners. In the lowest position in the rental ranking for the district is the Humboldthain (13355) area. This is the only part of the Mitte district still to have a median asking rent below €7 per square metre. Although this area directly adjoins the booming old centre of Berlin, it was extensively refurbished during the period when the city was divided and is now largely owned by a State-owned housing company. Housing cost Basic rent in all market segments 1) in €/m2/month Basic rent in bottom market segment 1) in €/m2/month Basic rent in top market segment 1) in €/m2/month Apartment size, average in m2 Total housing cost 2), average in €/month Household purchasing power, average in €/month Housing cost ratio3) in % 10115 1,132 11.53 (7) 6.72 (30) 16.96 (14) 79 (44) 1,088 (17) 3,136 (63) 34.7 10117 1,139 12.90 (1) 6.93 (20) 17.65 (9) 99 (5) 1,495 (1) 3,808 (19) 39.3 (2) 10119 720 12.50 (2) 7.03 (14) 18.33 (4) 75 (64) 1,098 (15) 3,147 (61) 34.9 (10) 10178 441 12.50 (2) 5.95 (92) 18.46 (3) 89 (16) 1,304 (7) 2,956 (89) 44.1 (1) 10179 448 10.84 (19) 7.13 (13) 16.00 (36) 82 (35) 1,069 (22) 2,863 (104) 37.3 (4) 10551 418 8.96 (72) 6.04 (77) 15.91 (46) 56 (171) 666 (130) 2,639 (145) 25.2 (104) 10553 331 8.15 (97) 5.98 (89) 14.38 (72) 56 (174) 612 (160) 2,566 (161) 23.8 (129) 10555 439 9.42 (50) 6.49 (44) 15.00 (63) 64 (128) 783 (75) 2,772 (119) 28.3 (52) 10557 336 9.73 (40) 6.00 (81) 15.20 (57) 63 (136) 791 (74) 2,958 (88) 26.8 (76) 10559 430 9.22 (55) 6.00 (81) 16.67 (19) 61 (152) 737 (97) 2,681 (137) 27.5 (68) 10785 340 11.25 (8) 6.09 (69) 16.68 (18) 82 (34) 1,160 (12) 3,958 (14) 29.3 (35) 10787 195 9.05 (60) 6.80 (26) 16.00 (36) 79 (45) 942 (38) 3,561 (29) 26.5 (81) 13347 593 8.08 (98) 5.38 (143) 16.09 (32) 58 (166) 630 (151) 2,753 (123) 22.9 (142) (11) 13349 267 7.26 (133) 6.00 (81) 14.58 (69) 59 (162) 597 (168) 2,360 (186) 25.3 (102) 13351 298 7.98 (110) 5.86 (106) 13.91 (79) 53 (180) 575 (174) 2,446 (178) 23.5 (134) 13353 583 8.26 (92) 5.69 (118) 15.20 (57) 57 (170) 627 (152) 2,506 (173) 25.0 (107) 13355 247 6.96 (155) 4.50 (185) 15.48 (50) 62 (144) 605 (164) 2,685 (135) 22.5 (151) 13357 575 8.25 (93) 5.53 (134) 15.00 (63) 54 (178) 603 (165) 2,768 (121) 21.8 (162) 13359 514 7.71 (117) 5.36 (145) 14.00 (76) 56 (172) 595 (169) 2,520 (169) 23.6 (132) District1) 9,446 10.00 5.86 16.52 71 884 2,816 31.4 Berlin 1) 64,170 8.55 5.50 15.05 71 780 2,951 26.4 1) median 2) includes operating costs (BBU 2012) 2.19 €/m² (eastern Berlin) and 2.83 €/m² (western Berlin) and 2.51 €/m² (all of Berlin) 3) rent (incl. utilities) as percent of household purchasing power ( ) rank among the 190 postcodes with rental data 32 Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin Sources: CBRE based on data from empirica-systeme, Michael Bauer Research (purchasing power); compiled by CBRE Housing cost ratio of households in % 33.0 and over 30.0 –32.9 28.0 –29.9 26.0 –27.9 24.0 –25.9 22.0 –23.9 20.0 –21.9 © Cartography: Nexiga, 2006 – 2014 Tom Tom up to 19.9 Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin 33 Neukölln: Sought-after urban north, peaceful green south The internal differentials in Neukölln are still widening. As in previous years, in 2014 the asking rents in most of the areas of older buildings in the north of the district rose faster than the city average. In contrast, there were only small increases in the Sonnenallee South area and in Gropiusstadt, and in the green, sparsely-developed sections of Buckow and Rudow on the southern edge of the city. The area around Maybachufer (postcode 12047) in the northern tip of the district directly adjoining Kreuzberg, is still top of the league table of asking rents, at €10.37 per square metre. There was particularly strong rental growth there in previous years, although rents are now only moderately increasing. High rents, small apartments Median asking rents of €10 per square metre have now also been reached in the adjoining areas around the north of Sonnenallee (12045) and Hermannstrasse West (12049). Rental growth in both these areas, as well as in Britz West (12347) and Richardplatz (12055), was particularly strong in 2014. Average rents well over €9 are now also being asked around the Rathaus (town hall) Neukölln (12043) and Rollbergstrasse (12053). Unusually small apartments are a common feature of all the areas in northern Neukölln. The average floor areas of the units on offer, 49 to 54 square metres, rank as the smallest anywhere in Berlin. Housing market data Postcode Number of rental offers Most of the buildings date from the imperial period and were constructed for somewhat poorer sections of the population. Even now, household purchasing power there is well below the Berlin average. Despite the considerably increased rents per square metre, the total costs of the small apartments are limited, so that even lower-earning residents can afford apartments in the area. Even in the peak areas of Maybachufer and Sonnenallee North, the housing cost ratio is around the average for the whole of Berlin. The housing cost ratios in the south of the district rank well below those in the north. They are almost the lowest in Berlin in Rudow East (12357) and Rudow South (12355), where the asking rents, around €7, are very moderate but household purchasing power is well above the Berlin average. Rental growth is also slow here at the moment, because the opening of the nearby major airport has been indefinitely postponed. The airport will be within fast and easy reach of this area, although the flight paths will not affect Rudow. Overall, the southern parts of the district have the lowest asking rents. These are at a minimum in Buckow East (12353), where the Gropiusstadt is situated, and in Sonnenallee South, which adjoins the city centre but is affected by traffic and commercial properties. The rents around Johannisthaler Chaussee (12351), in Rudow South and Buckow West (12349) are also very moderate. Housing cost Basic rent in all market segments 1) in €/m2/month Basic rent in bottom market segment 1) in €/m2/month Basic rent in top market segment 1) in €/m2/month Apartment size, average in m2 Total housing cost 2), average in €/month Household purchasing power, average in €/month Housing cost ratio3) in % 12043 324 9.54 (42) 5.36 (145) 16.74 (17) 49 (187) 609 (161) 2,621 (148) 23.2 (135) 12045 381 10.00 (26) 5.18 (160) 17.62 (10) 50 (186) 647 (141) 2,468 (177) 26.2 (86) 12047 295 10.37 (23) 6.08 (70) 18.00 (8) 52 (183) 686 (116) 2,606 (150) 26.3 (85) 12049 456 10.00 (38) 6.52 (40) 17.60 (11) 51 (185) 649 (140) 2,437 (181) 26.6 (78) 12051 616 8.94 (73) 6.01 (80) 15.91 (46) 52 (184) 607 (162) 2,677 (139) 22.7 (146) 12053 267 9.32 (53) 5.33 (150) 16.00 (36) 53 (182) 643 (146) 2,677 (140) 24.0 (123) 12055 331 9.00 (63) 6.08 (70) 16.15 (31) 53 (181) 627 (153) 2,560 (162) 24.5 (115) 12057 149 6.47 (174) 5.30 (153) 12.50 (103) 65 (124) 601 (166) 2,726 (129) 22.1 (160) 12059 372 9.00 (63) 6.07 (72) 16.25 (29) 54 (177) 644 (144) 2,444 (179) 26.4 (84) 12347 268 7.56 (122) 5.79 (111) 12.75 (99) 63 (133) 656 (136) 2,747 (124) 23.9 (126) 12349 190 7.03 (148) 5.69 (118) 9.60 (166) 68 (110) 672 (126) 3,076 (70) 21.8 (161) 12351 145 6.86 (163) 5.44 (142) 10.00 (149) 68 (111) 660 (133) 2,917 (97) 22.6 (148) 12353 226 6.47 (173) 4.87 (174) 9.26 (170) 72 (85) 669 (128) 3,008 (79) 22.2 (157) 12355 329 7.00 (150) 5.61 (126) 9.78 (164) 70 (97) 690 (114) 3,396 (36) 20.3 (173) 12357 94 7.16 (139) 5.88 (104) 10.29 (142) 71 (92) 708 (111) 3,629 (25) 19.5 (179) 12359 201 7.15 (140) 5.54 (133) 11.81 (113) 62 (140) 622 (155) 2,685 (136) 23.2 (137) District1) 4,644 8.50 5.53 15.91 57 647 2,805 23.1 Berlin 1) 64,170 8.55 5.50 15.05 71 780 2,951 26.4 1) median 2) includes operating costs (BBU 2012) 2.83 €/m² (western Berlin) and 2.51 €/m² (all of Berlin) 3) rent (incl. utilities) as percent of household purchasing power ( ) rank among the 190 postcodes with rental data 34 Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin Sources: CBRE based on data from empirica-systeme, Michael Bauer Research (purchasing power); compiled by CBRE Housing cost ratio of households in % 33.0 and over 30.0 –32.9 28.0 –29.9 26.0 –27.9 24.0 –25.9 22.0 –23.9 20.0 –21.9 © Cartography: Nexiga, 2006 – 2014 Tom Tom up to 19.9 Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin 35 Pankow: Upswing in intermediate locations, Prenzlauer Berg at the limit Pankow, already the most populous district of Berlin, is anticipating additional strong population growth. Asking rents are currently rising most quickly in the areas between Prenzlauer Berg and the green localities on the edge of the city: around Pistoriusstrasse (postcode 13086), Ostseestrasse (10409) and Neumannstrasse (13189). None of these areas are part of the inner city inside the S-Bahn ring, although they are all well-connected to the city. Despite the recent rise, the median asking rents around Pistoriusstrasse and Neumannstrasse are still below average for the city as a whole. Average purchasing power is very low in the three areas. This leads to very high housing cost ratios, i.e. for tenants an unfavourable relationship between median asking rents and household purchasing power. However, this ratio is even higher in the south of the district, around Prenzlauer Berg. In terms of housing cost ratio, the areas around Kollwitzplatz (10435), Prenzlauer Allee (10405), Helmholtzplatz (10437) and Arnimplatz (10439) are in the highest decile in Berlin. The median asking rents have now exceeded the €10 threshold in all these areas except Arnimplatz, where it has been exactly equalled. As Prenzlauer Berg is still not an extremely affluent subdistrict, in view of the high prices, housing costs are well above average. Housing market data Postcode Number of rental offers There is a pronounced topmost market segment around Prenzlauer Berg: asking rents for the most expensive decile of apartments on offer range between €16.52 (Arnimplatz) and €18.24 (Kollwitzplatz) on average. However, as many other apartments are relatively modest, this sets limits on the willingness to pay rent, despite the good location. In some cases this limit has already been reached: a shift of demand to the north has been evident in the last few years. An additional indicator: in the most expensive area around Kollwitzplatz, the median asking rents fell by 2.2 per cent in 2014. Favourable conditions in the north Asking rents in the green areas of northern Pankow are rising only moderately and are still the lowest. There are low-priced properties on offer in Karow/Buch (13125), which is now the only area in the district to have rents averaging less than €7 per square metre. Rents in Heinersdorf, Buchholz (13127), the area around Buschallee (13088) and Rosenthal (13158) are between €7 and €8. Pankow still has apartments available at low rents. On average, less than €6 per square metre is being asked for the lowest-priced deciles of the local supply in Buschallee, Karow/Buch and Ostseestrasse. The lowest rents in this modest segment are however in the city-centre locality around Danziger Strasse (10407). Housing cost Basic rent in all market segments 1) in €/m2/month Basic rent in bottom market segment 1) in €/m2/month Basic rent in top market segment 1) in €/m2/month Apartment size, average in m2 Total housing cost 2), average in €/month Household purchasing power, average in €/month Housing cost ratio3) in % 10405 951 11.00 (14) 6.33 (57) 16.05 (34) 76 (54) 1,007 (30) 2,951 (91) 34.1 (13) 10407 521 10.00 (26) 5.32 (151) 15.91 (46) 68 (112) 825 (65) 2,772 (118) 29.8 (27) 10409 416 9.25 (54) 5.35 (148) 15.91 (46) 57 (169) 653 (135) 2,197 (190) 29.7 (28) 10435 532 11.66 (6) 7.51 (2) 18.24 (5) 76 (56) 1,055 (24) 3,079 (69) 34.3 (12) 10437 1,050 10.70 (20) 7.00 (15) 17.11 (13) 70 (96) 906 (49) 2,701 (133) 33.5 (14) 10439 996 10.00 (26) 7.00 (15) 16.52 (24) 63 (139) 762 (82) 2,422 (184) 31.5 (19) 13086 665 8.49 (86) 6.11 (66) 12.19 (107) 69 (108) 732 (101) 2,546 (163) 28.7 (42) 13088 474 7.68 (118) 5.48 (140) 11.60 (115) 72 (83) 712 (108) 2,642 (144) 27.0 (74) 13089 51 7.13 (142) 5.50 (136) 12.38 (105) 66 (122) 612 (159) 3,202 (56) 19.1 (183) 13125 514 6.87 (161) 5.48 (140) 8.50 (180) 73 (77) 660 (132) 3,127 (64) 21.1 (169) 13127 400 7.23 (137) 5.65 (125) 10.00 (149) 76 (57) 717 (107) 3,235 (51) 22.2 (156) 13129 15 — 3,220 (53) — 13156 591 8.02 (104) 6.30 (58) 11.01 (119) 75 (63) 764 (81) 3,103 (66) 24.6 (113) 13158 225 7.71 (116) 6.43 (51) 10.53 (134) 74 (71) 732 (100) 3,255 (48) 22.5 (149) — — — — 13159 7 — 2,915 (98) — 13187 608 8.94 (74) 6.28 (59) 13.53 (83) 76 (59) 843 (60) 2,688 (134) 31.4 (21) 13189 467 8.38 (88) 6.05 (74) 13.32 (86) 62 (145) 653 (137) 2,360 (187) 27.7 (65) District 1) 8,483 9.03 5.90 15.16 70 789 2,782 28.4 Berlin 1) 64,170 8.55 5.50 15.05 71 780 2,951 26.4 — — — — 1) median 2) includes operating costs (BBU 2012) 2.19 €/m² (eastern Berlin) and 2.51 €/m² (all of Berlin) 3) rent (incl. utilities) as percent of household purchasing power ( ) rank among the 190 postcodes with rental data 36 Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin Sources: CBRE based on data from empirica-systeme, Michael Bauer Research (purchasing power); compiled by CBRE Housing cost ratio of households in % 33.0 and over 30.0 –32.9 © Cartography: Nexiga, 2006 – 2014 Tom Tom 28.0 –29.9 26.0 –27.9 24.0 –25.9 22.0 –23.9 20.0 –21.9 up to 19.9 Insufficientnumberofcases Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin 37 Reinickendorf: Interest in the south, relaxed residential climate in the north Rents are relatively moderate in this district in the northwest of Berlin. This also applies to the areas adjoining the city centre, some of which have a dense mix of residential and commercial properties and are badly affected by aircraft noise. Nevertheless, asking rents rose relatively sharply in just such areas in 2014 – for example around Kurt-Schumacher-Damm (postcode 13405), Eichborndamm (13403) and Residenzstrasse (13409). These areas are increasingly being looked at by apartment hunters who have been unsuccessful in the city centre but find the asking rents in Reinickendorf very favourable. In the areas mentioned rents are still around €7 per square metre. Asking rents are much lower in the large highrise estates in the northeast of the district: Märkisches Viertel West (13435) and East (13439) and in Waidmannslust (13469), where they still average around €6. In all three areas, the household purchasing power is well above average by Berlin standards. However, this is also an effect of the many single detached houses there. In relation to average incomes, rental costs are particularly low in these areas. The peripheral areas in the north and west of the district are a separate world. Frohnau (13465), Hermsdorf (13467), Heiligensee (13503) and Konradshöhe (13505) are situated well away from the city centre in a landscape of forests and rivers, and are mainly developed with detached houses. Although their rental markets are extremely small, rents are high by Reinickendorf standards: me- Housing market data Postcode Number of rental offers dian asking rents are up to €8.40. However, the high purchasing power means that housing costs constitute only a moderate proportion of incomes. Frohnau has the second-highest household purchasing power in Berlin. Heiligensee, Konradshöhe and Hermsdorf are also in the topmost decile of the city as a whole. However, even if the households are able to pay more rent, out there in the periphery they are not prepared to – their willingness to pay is lower than the ability to pay. Landlords take this into account: asking rents have risen only slightly in the recent past. Small apartments close to the airport It almost goes without saying that these affluent areas also have the largest apartments in the district. However, in the east of the Märkische Viertel extremely roomy apartments, averaging 88 square metres, are on offer. Often four-room apartments, they were intended for larger families when they were completed around 1970. At the other end of the size scale in the district, the apartments on offer are about a third smaller. This applies to Borsigwalde, the area around Eichborndamm and Residenzstrasse as well as Alt-Reinickendorf. Many of the apartments in these areas date from the period between 1920 and 1965, when inexpensive construction was a necessity. Their smaller floor areas and modest asking rents result in moderate total costs per apartment. The housing cost ratio is therefore also moderate, despite the low average purchasing power. Housing cost Basic rent in all market segments 1) in €/m2/month Basic rent in bottom market segment 1) in €/m2/month Basic rent in top market segment 1) in €/m2/month Apartment size, average in m2 Total housing cost 2), average in €/month Household purchasing power, average in €/month Housing cost ratio3) in % 13403 414 7.02 (149) 5.77 (113) 10.61 (132) 63 (138) 617 (157) 2,520 (170) 24.5 13405 119 6.72 (169) 5.30 (153) 10.00 (149) 88 (24) 836 (64) 2,879 (101) 29.0 (40) 13407 487 6.83 (164) 5.82 (107) 10.46 (138) 60 (159) 580 (173) 2,427 (182) 23.9 (127) 13409 674 6.88 (159) 5.55 (131) 10.28 (143) 61 (150) 595 (170) 2,511 (172) 23.7 (131) 13435 71 6.06 (176) 5.25 (155) 10.34 (140) 77 (50) 682 (120) 3,024 (75) 22.5 (153) 13437 165 7.11 (144) 5.22 (157) 10.50 (135) 76 (53) 759 (87) 2,847 (109) 26.7 (80) 13439 133 5.85 (180) 5.05 (167) 8.39 (183) 88 (20) 766 (84) 2,977 (86) 25.7 (97) 13465 196 8.18 (96) 6.23 (63) 11.22 (118) 92 (12) 1,014 (29) 4,451 (2) 22.8 (144) (116) 13467 197 7.95 (111) 6.00 (81) 13.13 (89) 85 (29) 918 (43) 4,036 (11) 22.8 (145) 13469 248 5.68 (184) 4.67 (183) 10.00 (149) 80 (43) 682 (119) 3,336 (42) 20.4 (172) 13503 110 8.32 (90) 6.93 (20) 11.67 (114) 88 (23) 976 (34) 4,241 (8) 23.0 (138) 13505 58 8.36 (89) 5.76 (114) 10.91 (126) 95 (10) 1,060 (23) 4,337 (5) 24.4 (117) 13507 374 8.00 (107) 6.03 (78) 10.25 (144) 74 (72) 799 (72) 3,081 (67) 25.9 (92) 13509 239 7.20 (138) 5.91 (101) 10.07 (147) 64 (126) 644 (145) 2,587 (153) 24.9 (110) District 1) 3,485 7.08 5.31 10.50 72 709 3,092 22.9 Berlin 1) 64,170 8.55 5.50 15.05 71 780 2,951 26.4 1) median 2) includes operating costs (BBU 2012) 2.83 €/m² (western Berlin) and 2.51 €/m² (all of Berlin) 3) rent (incl. utilities) as percent of household purchasing power ( ) rank among the 190 postcodes with rental data 38 Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin Sources: CBRE based on data from empirica-systeme, Michael Bauer Research (purchasing power); compiled by CBRE Housing cost ratio of households in % 33.0 and over 30.0 –32.9 28.0 –29.9 26.0 –27.9 24.0 –25.9 22.0 –23.9 20.0 –21.9 © Cartography: Nexiga, 2006 – 2014 Tom Tom up to 19.9 Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin 39 Spandau: Increased demand on the western edge of the city The residents of Spandau like to think of themselves as living in their own town, autonomous from Berlin. But the rental market demonstrates that this is not true. The citywide shortage of supply is also affecting Spandau – to the extent that asking rents there have risen by proportionally more than the Berlin average. Apartment hunters that have never before ventured west of the Havel are now evidently also considering Spandau. Landlords have reacted accordingly: asking rents have risen by more than 9 per cent in Wilhelmstadt East (postcode 13595), Klosterfelde (13581) and Neustadt (13585) – all close to the historic centre and the ICE (high-speed train) station. However, these areas have not yet become expensive: in all of them the median asking rents are still less than €7 per square metre. Rental values in Haselhorst (13599), Staaken (13591), the historic centre with Stresow (13597), Zeppelinstrasse (13583) and Hakenfelde (13587) are similar, although with slightly lower growth. Well-balanced rents and purchasing power The only rents that are considerably cheaper than this are in the two areas of Spandau that are dominated by high-rise blocks dating from the 1960s and early 1970s: Falkenhagener Feld (13589) and the Heerstrasse/Wilhelmstrasse area (13593). Although the rents in Falkenhagener Feld have risen by 11.5 per cent, and in Heerstrasse by 6.6 per cent, they are still well under €6 in both areas. Heerstrasse/Wilhelmstrasse actually has the lowest rents in the city: €5.33. Although the average purchasing power in many parts of Spandau Housing market data Postcode Number of rental offers is very low, because of the continuing moderate level of rents the housing cost ratio, i.e. the relationship between asking rents and purchasing power, is almost without exception below the Berlin average. The figures in Heerstrasse/Wilhelmstrasse are also particularly favourable to tenants in this respect. There are two special cases among the Spandau postcodes. One of these is Siemensstadt (13629). The most north-easterly part of the district, it adjoins Charlottenburg and Reinickendorf and mainly consists of estates built between the 1920s and 1970s. Because of its relatively central location in Berlin and good U-Bahn connections, this area already had the second-highest asking rents in the district in 2013. They have now increased again, albeit by only 3 per cent, and therefore less than in all other areas of Spandau. Larger and more expensive on the periphery The second case is peripherally-situated Gatow/ Kladow (14089), which has the seventh-highest household purchasing power in Berlin. Due to the small scale of development, its rental market is, by a wide margin, the smallest in the district. However, it is the leader in another category: it has by far the largest apartments, at the highest rents per square metre. The high incomes of residents mean that, even in Gatow and Kladow, the housing cost ratio is well below the city average. The greatest shortcoming is its poor accessibility from Berlin city centre. Traffic is often jammed on Heerstrasse, so that the journey time to or from the centre can sometimes take an hour or more. Housing cost Basic rent in all market segments 1) in €/m2/month Basic rent in bottom market segment 1) in €/m2/month Basic rent in top market segment 1) in €/m2/month Apartment size, average in m2 Total housing cost 2), average in €/month Household purchasing power, average in €/month Housing cost ratio3) in % 13581 263 6.88 (159) 5.16 (163) 10.80 (128) 70 (100) 676 (124) 2,871 (102) 23.5 (133) 13583 353 6.77 (167) 5.36 (145) 8.85 (175) 66 (119) 633 (150) 2,542 (164) 24.9 (109) 13585 557 6.67 (171) 4.93 (172) 9.60 (166) 73 (80) 689 (115) 2,583 (154) 26.7 (79) 13587 367 6.75 (168) 5.50 (136) 9.00 (172) 72 (84) 691 (113) 2,667 (141) 25.9 (93) 13589 272 5.87 (178) 4.80 (177) 9.28 (169) 71 (94) 615 (158) 2,950 (92) 20.9 (170) 13591 290 6.92 (157) 5.04 (168) 8.96 (173) 73 (78) 709 (110) 3,277 (45) 21.6 (164) 13593 240 5.33 (187) 4.34 (186) 8.29 (185) 69 (103) 565 (175) 2,929 (94) 19.3 (182) 13595 438 6.91 (158) 5.03 (169) 10.00 (149) 72 (81) 705 (112) 2,843 (111) 24.8 (112) 13597 201 6.81 (165) 5.03 (169) 10.00 (149) 76 (55) 736 (99) 2,849 (106) 25.8 (94) 13599 205 6.99 (152) 6.05 (74) 9.70 (165) 66 (117) 651 (138) 2,728 (128) 23.9 (128) 13629 188 7.11 (145) 5.60 (127) 12.00 (109) 67 (114) 665 (131) 2,728 (127) 24.4 (118) 14089 98 8.05 (99) 6.00 (81) 12.80 (96) 90 (15) 980 (33) 4,329 (7) 22.6 (147) District 1) 3,472 6.75 4.87 9.76 71 683 2,939 23.2 Berlin 1) 64,170 8.55 5.50 15.05 71 780 2,951 26.4 1) median 2) includes operating costs (BBU 2012) 2.83 €/m² (western Berlin) and 2.51 €/m² (all of Berlin) 3) rent (incl. utilities) as percent of household purchasing power ( ) rank among the 190 postcodes with rental data 40 Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin Sources: CBRE based on data from empirica-systeme, Michael Bauer Research (purchasing power); compiled by CBRE Housing cost ratio of households in % 33.0 and over 30.0 –32.9 28.0 –29.9 26.0 –27.9 24.0 –25.9 22.0 –23.9 20.0 –21.9 © Cartography: Nexiga, 2006 – 2014 Tom Tom up to 19.9 Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin 41 Steglitz-Zehlendorf: Exclusive residential area in demand; moderate rent growth Steglitz-Zehlendorf, in southwest Berlin, is dominated by wide expanses of villas and detached houses, particularly in the western subdistrict of Zehlendorf. It has attractive landscapes with forest, lakes and rivers. Steglitz is more central and parts of it are urban, particularly around the Schlossstrasse shopping street. The district has the highest household purchasing power in the city, although not all its areas are wealthy. There is more of a west-east differential between Zehlendorf and Steglitz. An example of the two extremes: in Dahlem (postcode 14195), Berlin’s most affluent subdistrict, the average purchasing power, rental value and size of apartments on offer is more than 50 per cent higher than in Lankwitz South (12249), with its very modest inter-war and post-war apartment buildings. Overall, despite its wealthy areas, in terms of average rental value the district only ranks fifth in the city. There are three reasons for this: firstly its peripheral location, secondly the predominantly less urbane surroundings; and thirdly, the fact that a good proportion of very wealthy people own their apartments or houses rather than rent them. This is particularly evident in the topmost segment, the most expensive decile of the apartments on offer. In this respect Steglitz-Zehlendorf is only in seventh place in the whole city, with a median rental value well below the average for Berlin. In the topmost segment of the market the dominance of owner-occupied properties considerably weakens the letting market. Only Dahlem above the €10 threshold The highest median asking rents in the district, by a wide margin, are in Dahlem, where the €11.11 per square metre ranks 12th in Berlin as a whole. In the topmost segment, the villa quarter ranks much lower: the most expensive decile of apartments are on offer for an average of €15.18, putting this area in 60th place in the city. It is followed, by a wide margin, by the subdistrict of Wannsee (14109), in the extreme southwest tip of Berlin, with forests, rivers and lakes. The median rent for the whole market there is around €9.44. Close thereafter comes Zehlendorf Southeast (14167) and the area around southern Clayallee (14169). Steglitz’s highest ranking area in the district (fifth place) is around Schildhornstrasse (12163) – parts of which are attractive, although some are badly affected by traffic. It also includes parts of Schlossstrasse. There are two more areas of Zehlendorf that have median rents on the €9 threshold: Nikolassee/Schlachtensee (14129) and Central Zehlendorf (14163). They are followed by two of the most popular areas in Steglitz: Lichterfelde West (12205), with 42 Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin its sometimes picturesque cottages, and Fichtenberg (12165) which includes many green areas near the Botanical Gardens and attractive hillsides. It is also close to Schlossstrasse. Unter den Eichen (12203) is very central, while Zehlendorf Southwest (14165) is right on the city boundary. All the remaining areas, in the east of the subdistrict of Steglitz, have median asking rents between €7.24 and 8.22 per square metre. Lower rental growth in Steglitz Rental growth in Steglitz-Zehlendorf was the slowest of all the districts of Berlin in 2014. It was still relatively dynamic in the northeast of the district around Schildhornstrasse, in the villa quarter of Dahlem, and in Lankwitz North (12247), Lichterfelde Southeast (12209), and Central Zehlendorf. People seeking an apartment in SteglitzZehlendorf apparently prefer the spacious areas on the edge of the city to the more densely-developed parts of the district. This is confirmed by looking at the other end of the table: the weakest rental growth is in the Albrechtstrasse and Bergstrasse (12169), and Lichterfelde West (12205) areas of Steglitz. There are also considerable differences in the sizes of the apartments being offered. They are most luxurious in Dahlem, Wannsee and Nikolassee/Schlachtensee. In these areas, whole floors of generously-sized villas are also on offer, increasing the average size of apartments. The next areas in the ranking – Lichterfelde West, Central Zehlendorf, and Zehlendorf-Southeast – also have spacious apartments around 20 square metres larger than those in the eastern apartment-block areas of Lankwitz North and South, Stadtpark (12167), Albrechtstrasse and Bergstrasse. When a large apartment is combined with a high rent per square metre, there is naturally a particular effect on the total rent payable for an apartment being offered. Apartments in Dahlem are therefore more than twice as expensive as those in Lankwitz South. High housing costs in the villa areas The housing cost ratio, i.e. the relationship between asking rents and purchasing power, shows a very different picture. Of the four areas with the highest figures, two (Schildhornstrasse and Ostpreussendamm) have average purchasing power, while two have higher incomes (Fichtenberg und Dahlem). The ratio is at its lowest in two areas where there are both detached houses and estates from the social housing era: Lichterfelde Southeast and Lankwitz South. Overall, SteglitzZehlendorf also upholds the rule that people with high purchasing power spend a particularly large proportion of their budget on housing. Housing market data Postcode Number of rental offers Housing cost Basic rent in all market segments 1) in €/m2/month Basic rent in bottom market segment 1) in €/m2/month Basic rent in top market segment 1) in €/m2/month Apartment size, average in m2 Total housing cost 2), average in €/month Household purchasing power, average in €/month Housing cost ratio3) in % 12163 382 9.03 (62) 6.48 (47) 14.17 (75) 74 (73) 875 (55) 2,956 (90) 29.6 (31) 12165 97 8.67 (80) 6.60 (38) 15.95 (45) 85 (28) 980 (32) 3,420 (34) 28.7 (44) 12167 414 8.22 (95) 6.16 (65) 12.80 (96) 73 (76) 806 (69) 2,863 (103) 28.1 (54) 12169 212 8.01 (106) 5.93 (96) 12.00 (109) 70 (98) 759 (86) 2,789 (115) 27.2 (72) 12203 446 8.50 (83) 5.78 (112) 12.73 (100) 77 (48) 876 (53) 3,313 (43) 26.4 (83) 12205 272 8.79 (77) 5.93 (96) 12.61 (102) 94 (11) 1,089 (20) 4,006 (12) 27.2 (71) 12207 345 8.00 (107) 5.57 (129) 10.98 (124) 87 (25) 940 (39) 3,184 (59) 29.5 (32) 12209 175 7.90 (113) 5.95 (92) 11.00 (121) 85 (27) 915 (46) 3,785 (20) 24.2 (120) 12247 328 8.00 (107) 6.19 (64) 10.83 (127) 72 (86) 778 (76) 3,080 (68) 25.3 (103) 12249 270 7.24 (135) 5.17 (161) 10.58 (133) 68 (113) 681 (118) 2,936 (93) 23.2 (136) 14109 235 9.44 (49) 6.48 (47) 13.08 (90) 97 (7) 1,189 (10) 4,335 (6) 27.4 (69) 14129 203 9.00 (63) 6.94 (19) 12.78 (98) 95 (9) 1,127 (13) 4,388 (4) 25.7 (96) 14163 231 9.00 (63) 6.25 (60) 12.94 (93) 89 (17) 1,049 (26) 4,229 (9) 24.8 (111) 14165 298 8.50 (83) 5.80 (109) 12.14 (108) 80 (41) 912 (48) 3,248 (49) 28.1 (56) 14167 354 9.40 (51) 6.40 (55) 13.45 (84) 89 (18) 1,083 (21) 4,100 (10) 26.4 (82) 14169 294 9.10 (58) 6.90 (22) 12.00 (109) 86 (26) 1,023 (28) 3,571 (27) 28.6 (45) 14195 344 11.11 (12) 7.30 (10) 15.18 (60) 105 (1) 1,464 (2) 5,228 (1) 28.0 (57) District1) 4,900 8.58 6.11 13.00 83 949 3,511 27.0 Berlin 1) 64,170 8.55 5.50 15.05 71 780 2,951 26.4 1) median 2) includes operating costs (BBU 2012) 2.83 €/m² (western Berlin) and 2.51 €/m² (all of Berlin) 3) rent (incl. utilities) as percent of household purchasing power ( ) rank among the 190 postcodes with rental data Sources: CBRE based on data from empirica-systeme, Michael Bauer Research (purchasing power); compiled by CBRE Housing cost ratio of households in % 33.0 and over 30.0 –32.9 28.0 –29.9 26.0 –27.9 24.0 –25.9 22.0 –23.9 20.0 –21.9 © Cartography: Nexiga, 2006 – 2014 Tom Tom up to 19.9 Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin 43 Tempelhof-Schöneberg: Highest rental growth in the lower-priced areas of the district The median asking rent per square metre is higher in inner-city Schöneberg than in suburban Tempelhof. However, the strongest rental growth is in the areas with the lowest rents, which are predominantly in Tempelhof. In contrast, the market in Schöneberg is relatively quiet. Following strong growth in recent years, some asking rents have actually fallen. This applies to the areas around Bayerischer Platz (postcode 10779), Bülowbogen (10783) and Rathaus (city hall) Schöneberg (10825). Growth was only moderate in the area with the highest rental value in the district, the middle-class neighbourhoods around Viktoria-Luise-Platz (10777) in the western city centre of Berlin. The rents being asked are apparently reaching the limits of tenants’ willingness to pay. There was distinct growth in Friedenau on the southern fringes of Schöneberg, with its three areas outside the S-Bahn ring – around FriedrichWilhelm-Platz (12161), Breslauer Platz (12159) and Grazer Damm (12157) – and around Crellestrasse (10827) and Schöneberger Insel (10829) in the eastern parts of Schöneberg. Housing market data Postcode Number of rental offers Schöneberg more expensive than Tempelhof Things are very different in Tempelhof: Marienfelde West (12279) on the southern edge of the city is still among the areas with the lowest asking rents in the district, although it has the strongest rental growth. The neighbouring areas of Alt-Marienfelde (12277), Alt-Mariendorf (12107), and Mariendorf West (12105) share this combination of relatively low rental values and very strong growth. However, asking rents in Tempelhof are not likely to approach the levels in Schöneberg anytime in the foreseeable future, as the differences are simply still too great. The median rent in the cheapest area of Schöneberg, around Grazer Damm, is €0.56 per square metre higher than even the most expensive part of Tempelhof, Tempelhof North (12101), southwest of the former Tempelhof airport. The lowest rents are in the peripheral parts of the district. As well as Marienfelde West, asking rents in Lichtenrade Southeast (12309) are still below the €7 per square metre mark. Housing cost Basic rent in all market segments 1) in €/m2/month Basic rent in bottom market segment 1) in €/m2/month Basic rent in top market segment 1) in €/m2/month Apartment size, average in m2 Total housing cost 2), average in €/month Household purchasing power, average in €/month Housing cost ratio3) in % 10777 402 10.37 (24) 7.14 (12) 16.63 (20) 91 (14) 1,198 (9) 3,358 (39) 35.7 (9) 10779 170 9.04 (61) 6.70 (33) 14.47 (70) 72 (82) 858 (58) 2,985 (84) 28.7 (43) 10781 254 10.00 (26) 7.32 (9) 15.38 (52) 71 (90) 914 (47) 2,889 (100) 31.6 (18) 10783 182 8.76 (78) 5.65 (122) 16.00 (36) 58 (165) 673 (125) 2,991 (83) 22.5 (150) 10823 117 10.00 (26) 7.18 (11) 16.07 (33) 63 (137) 805 (68) 2,816 (113) 28.6 (47) 10825 210 9.50 (45) 6.64 (37) 14.00 (76) 74 (67) 916 (44) 2,992 (81) 30.6 (24) 10827 285 9.51 (44) 6.42 (53) 16.00 (36) 61 (153) 752 (90) 2,966 (87) 25.4 (100) 10829 266 9.61 (41) 6.45 (50) 16.59 (22) 61 (157) 753 (89) 2,581 (155) 29.2 (37) 12099 275 7.80 (115) 5.55 (131) 12.86 (95) 63 (134) 671 (127) 2,575 (158) 26.1 (91) 12101 163 8.04 (100) 6.00 (81) 16.25 (29) 60 (160) 647 (143) 3,015 (76) 21.5 (166) 12103 277 8.03 (102) 6.47 (49) 13.64 (82) 62 (142) 676 (122) 2,638 (146) 25.6 (99) 12105 276 7.50 (124) 5.65 (122) 10.97 (125) 71 (91) 733 (102) 2,658 (143) 27.6 (66) 12107 198 7.50 (124) 5.94 (94) 10.12 (146) 71 (89) 737 (98) 3,218 (55) 22.9 (143) 12109 197 7.49 (129) 5.67 (120) 10.72 (130) 75 (61) 778 (77) 2,799 (114) 27.8 (64) 12157 286 8.60 (82) 6.49 (44) 13.17 (88) 70 (102) 794 (73) 2,850 (105) 27.9 (61) 12159 209 9.00 (63) 6.25 (60) 14.65 (68) 81 (40) 954 (35) 3,223 (52) 29.6 (30) 12161 396 9.50 (45) 6.41 (54) 14.38 (72) 77 (49) 949 (36) 3,257 (47) 29.1 (38) 12277 134 7.13 (142) 5.35 (148) 10.00 (149) 80 (42) 801 (71) 3,354 (40) 23.9 (125) 12279 228 6.98 (153) 5.65 (122) 8.81 (176) 74 (74) 724 (106) 2,992 (82) 24.2 (121) 12305 193 7.41 (131) 5.73 (116) 10.00 (149) 74 (66) 761 (85) 3,502 (31) 21.7 (163) 12307 116 7.57 (121) 6.00 (81) 12.00 (109) 81 (37) 845 (61) 3,825 (18) 22.1 (159) 12309 230 6.68 (170) 4.67 (183) 9.17 (171) 77 (51) 729 (105) 3,387 (37) 21.5 (165) District1) 5,064 8.47 5.87 14.49 72 810 3,039 26.7 Berlin 1) 64,170 8.55 5.50 15.05 71 780 2,951 26.4 1) median 2) includes operating costs (BBU 2012) 2.83 €/m² (western Berlin) and 2.51 €/m² (all of Berlin) 3) rent (incl. utilities) as percent of household purchasing power ( ) rank among the 190 postcodes with rental data 44 Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin Sources: CBRE based on data from empirica-systeme, Michael Bauer Research (purchasing power); compiled by CBRE Housing cost ratio of households in % 33.0 and over 30.0 –32.9 28.0 –29.9 26.0 –27.9 24.0 –25.9 22.0 –23.9 20.0 –21.9 © Cartography: Nexiga, 2006 – 2014 Tom Tom up to 19.9 Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin 45 Treptow-Köpenick: Mixed picture with rental growth on the edge of the city Treptow-Köpenick is located in the extreme southwest of Berlin. In terms of area, it is the largest district in the city and has the most forest, lakes, and rivers. It has a wide range of residential areas: suburban district centres, industrial and former working-class areas, inter-war and post-war estates, and areas of villas and detached houses. The rental market in the district is particularly heterogeneous: there is no systematic differential between the areas closest to Berlin city centre and those in the periphery, or between the district centres and the extensive owner-occupied estates. Instead, Treptow-Köpenick is characterised by a close and colourful mixture of upmarket, mid-range and somewhat more modest locations. There are no market extremes with very high or particularly low asking rents. Only a small part of the city centre The highest rents in the district, €8.75 per square metre, are being asked in the area around Treptower Park (postcode 12435) – the only area of the district that extends inside the S-Bahn ring and which directly adjoins Kreuzberg and Neukölln. In second place is a very different type of area and location: Rahnsdorf (12589), the widespread area on the edge of the city, dominated by detached houses, where there is only a small rental market. There is an even smaller market in Bohnsdorf (12526), which is in third place. It is close to the future major airport but will be almost completely away from the flight paths. These will affect Grünau (12527), with its attractive waterside locations on the banks of the river Dahme, it ranks in fourth place in terms of average advertised rents in the district. The median asking rent in Köpenick (12555), which has a range of ages and qualities of buildings around the island location of its historic centre, is less than €8. The artists’ quarter in Friedrichshagen (12587), with its Bölschestrasse “cultural boulevard” and an attractive location between forests and Lake Müggelsee, is almost in a world of its own. The next areas in the rental league table are Baumschulenweg (12437), a Wilheminian quarter close to the city centre, and Müggelheim (12559), in an isolated forest situation in the extreme southeast of Berlin. Former industrial areas bring up the rear The median asking rents are below €7.30 in Adlershof (12489), a mixed suburban area that is partly dominated by a new science park, Altglienicke (12524) and Johannisthal (12487). Exactly straddling the €7 mark is Wendenschloss (12557), in a very attractive location between the Müggelbergen and the Dahme but well away from the 46 Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin inner city. Sharing last place, with asking rents under €7, are Niederschöneweide (12439) and Oberschöneweide (12459). Both are former major industrial areas that are today badly affected by through traffic. There are somewhat clearer rental growth trends in the district. Recently, growth has been slower in the western parts of the district, such as Treptower Park, close to the city centre, as well as Adlershof and Johannisthal, despite the science park and proximity to the new major airport. Niederschöneweide and Baumschulenweg are exceptions from the generally weak trend in Treptow. Rents on the southern and south-eastern edge of Berlin, in areas such as Bohnsdorf, Müggelheim, Rahnsdorf, and Grünau, are growing more quickly than in the Treptow areas. However, there are relatively few properties to let in Bohnsdorf and Rahnsdorf, so that even a moderate increase in demand can heavily influence the local market. A possible reason for this growth is that, unlike in previous years, there have been fewer negative commentaries about the flight paths around the major Berlin airport. These areas are also stand out because, together with Altglienicke, they have the highest average household purchasing power in the district. In addition, the apartments on offer in Grünau, Bohnsdorf, and Rahnsdorf are relatively large. These sizes, together with the increased asking rents, lead to these three areas having, by a wide margin, the highest absolute housing costs in Treptow-Köpenick. Despite its rather smaller apartments, Baumschulenweg, which has the lowest purchasing power in the district, has a housing cost ratio that is only just below the Berlin average. Although household incomes there have noticeably increased in the last year, the area is in next-to-last position of all the Berlin postcodes. Köpenick valued by tenants The apartments on offer around Treptower Park are among the smallest in the district. This restricts the total rent payable for such units, so that the relatively high rent per square metre is affordable despite the low average household purchasing power. The small rise in asking rents indicates that there is not much more headroom for landlords. The housing cost ratio in Köpenick, in the centre of the district, is conspicuously high. This area has a combination of medium rental values, very large apartments, and only moderate purchasing power. However, residents put a higher value on living in this area than elsewhere because of its good local amenities, including two S-Bahn lines, many areas of forest, rivers and lakes, and an attractive “island” historic centre. Housing market data Postcode Number of rental offers Housing cost Basic rent in all market segments 1) in €/m2/month Basic rent in bottom market segment 1) in €/m2/month Basic rent in top market segment 1) in €/m2/month Apartment size, average in m2 Total housing cost 2), average in €/month Household purchasing power, average in €/month Housing cost ratio3) in % 12435 247 8.75 (79) 5.81 (108) 15.20 (57) 62 (146) 675 (121) 2,541 (165) 26.6 (77) 12437 326 7.50 (124) 5.74 (115) 13.04 (91) 61 (154) 590 (171) 2,305 (189) 25.6 (98) 12439 237 6.87 (161) 5.31 (152) 10.00 (149) 69 (105) 624 (154) 2,472 (176) 25.2 (101) 12459 642 6.60 (172) 5.38 (143) 10.02 (148) 63 (135) 554 (177) 2,422 (183) 22.9 (140) 12487 249 7.07 (146) 5.60 (127) 10.50 (135) 68 (109) 632 (149) 2,530 (166) 25.0 (106) 12489 466 7.25 (134) 5.51 (135) 10.00 (149) 69 (107) 648 (139) 2,486 (175) 26.1 (88) 12524 326 7.24 (135) 6.02 (79) 9.82 (163) 71 (88) 673 (123) 3,339 (41) 20.2 (174) 12526 77 8.50 (83) 5.24 (156) 10.35 (139) 83 (32) 890 (51) 3,192 (58) 27.9 (58) 12527 163 8.02 (104) 5.88 (104) 11.01 (119) 88 (21) 901 (50) 3,307 (44) 27.3 (70) 12555 675 7.81 (114) 5.90 (103) 11.49 (116) 74 (68) 742 (93) 2,634 (147) 28.2 (53) 12557 402 7.00 (150) 5.10 (164) 11.00 (121) 74 (70) 680 (117) 2,849 (107) 23.9 (124) 12559 205 7.47 (130) 5.50 (136) 9.29 (168) 69 (104) 665 (129) 2,981 (85) 22.3 (154) 12587 310 7.52 (123) 6.00 (81) 11.00 (121) 75 (62) 728 (103) 2,787 (117) 26.1 (87) 12589 88 8.66 (81) 6.10 (67) 15.38 (52) 82 (36) 884 (52) 3,668 (22) 24.1 (119) District 1) 4,413 7.40 5.50 11.11 70 672 2,757 24.4 Berlin 1) 64,170 8.55 5.50 15.05 71 780 2,951 26.4 1) median 2) includes operating costs (BBU 2012) 2.19 €/m² (eastern Berlin) and 2.51 €/m² (all of Berlin) 3) rent (incl. utilities) as percent of household purchasing power ( ) rank among the 190 postcodes with rental data Sources: CBRE based on data from empirica-systeme, Michael Bauer Research (purchasing power); compiled by CBRE Housing cost ratio of households in % © Cartography: Nexiga, 2006 – 2014 Tom Tom 33.0 and over 30.0 –32.9 28.0 –29.9 26.0 –27.9 24.0 –25.9 22.0 –23.9 20.0 –21.9 up to 19.9 Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin 47 Rental value map: Berlin’s price levels and location profiles at a glance Red and purple colours on the map indicate high asking rents per square metre while yellow and especially grey colours indicate lower rents. The red and purple zones are steadily expanding: there are now 15 areas in which average asking rents are at least €11 per square metre. Right at the top are the peak locations in the city centre [A], with rents above €12. There are also very high prices in the trendy areas of Kreuzberg and Neukölln, where there is a lively street scene, predominantly small apartments and a very cosmopolitan population [B]. The new middle-class areas in Prenzlauer Berg and around Potsdamer Platz [C] are in the same category. Characterised by dilapidation and derelict sites only 25 years ago, they have undergone the most rapid development anywhere in the city. The top price category also includes the best “villa” regions in the southwest of Berlin [D], although most of their wealthy residents tend to be owner-occupiers. Many of Berlin’s prime locations have already undergone a sharp growth in asking rents, Apartment hunters are increasingly shifting their sights to adjoining, somewhat cheaper areas. Alternatively, they are discovering locations on the edge of the city centre that feature charming older buildings and good connections to the centre, while still having plenty of “green” areas [E]. On the city outskirts are residential areas [F] set amid attractive forests, rivers, and lakes. There, apartment buildings are mostly in smaller complexes, scattered between estates featuring detached houses. Despite the high purchasing power enjoyed by many of their residents, they have only limited potential for rental growth: low rents are one of the reasons that the tenants decided to move out there. Most of the subdistricts in the middle of the colour range are very heterogeneous. A specific feature of these are the district centres [G], which still have areas marked by traditional small-town charm. But those looking for peace and quiet are unlikely to find it in these centres, which are often badly affected by traffic. A few modest areas just outside the densely-developed city centre [H] are somewhat cheaper. People there often live in unrenovated imperial era buildings, or small interwar and post-war era apartments. Examples of locations and rent levels [A] City Area District Basic rent1) [B] Sought-after trendy areas 10117 Unter den Linden Mitte 12.92 10999 Görlitzer Park Friedrichshain-Kreuzberg 10119 Rosenthaler Platz Mitte 12.50 10965 Mehringdamm Friedrichshain-Kreuzberg 11.11 10178 Hackescher Markt Mitte 12.50 12047 Maybachufer Neukölln 10.34 [C] Middle-class urban areas 12.00 [D] Exclusive residential areas 10435 Kollwitzplatz Pankow 11.57 14195 Dahlem Steglitz-Zehlendorf 11.15 10707 Olivaer Platz Charlottenburg-Wilmersd. 11.46 14193 Grunewald Charlottenburg-Wilmersd. 10.50 10785 Potsdamer Platz Mitte 11.25 14109 Wannsee Steglitz-Zehlendorf 9.56 8.50 [E] Upscale areas bordering on city centre [F] Middle-class periphery 14057 Lietzensee Charlottenburg-Wilmersd. 10.00 12589 Rahnsdorf Treptow-Köpenick 12161 Friedrich-Wilhelm-Platz Tempelhof-Schöneberg 9.64 13503 Heiligensee Reinickendorf 8.41 10709 Hochmeisterplatz Charlottenburg-Wilmersd. 9.49 14089 Gatow/Kladow Spandau 8.14 [G] Outlying district centres [H] Good value close to city centre 13507 Alt-Tegel Reinickendorf 7.97 13627 Charlottenburg North Charlottenburg-Wilmersd. 7.40 12555 Köpenick Treptow-Köpenick 7.75 13409 Residenzstrasse Reinickendorf 6.75 13597 Altstadt/Stresow Spandau 6.84 12057 Sonnenallee South Neukölln 6.47 1) median rent excl. utilities, all market segments in €/m /month 2 48 Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin Berlin’s exceptional residential areas The biggest apartments The smallest apartments Postcode District 14195 Steglitz-Zehlendorf Dahlem 14193 Charlottenburg-Wilmersdorf Grunewald Area Apartment size1) in m2 Postcode District Area 105 12043 Neukölln Neukölln City Hall 49 105 12045 Neukölln Sonnenallee North 50 Apartment size1) in m2 10719 Charlottenburg-Wilmersdorf Ludwigkirchplatz 103 12049 Neukölln Hermannstr. West 51 10629 Charlottenburg-Wilmersdorf Sybelstrasse 102 12051 Neukölln Hermannstr. South 52 10117 Mitte Unter den Linden 99 12047 Neukölln Maybachufer 52 1) average of offers Source: CBRE based on data from empirica-systeme The highest asking rents (net, excl. utilities) The lowest asking rents (net, excl. utilities) Postcode District Area 12.90 13593 Spandau Heerstr./Wilhelmstr. 12.50 12687 Marzahn-Hellersdorf Mehrower Allee 5.50 12.50 12679 Marzahn-Hellersdorf R.-Wallenberg-Str. 5.51 13469 Reinickendorf Waidmannslust 5.68 12689 Marzahn-Hellersdorf Ahrensfelde 5.71 Postcode District Area 10117 Mitte Unter den Linden 10119 Mitte Rosenthaler Platz 10178 Mitte Hackescher Markt 10627 Charlottenburg-Wilmersdorf Western Kantstrasse 11.79 10999 Friedrichshain-Kreuzberg Görlitzer Park 11.71 Basic rent1) in €/m²/month 1) median of offers The biggest rent decreases Area Postcode District Area 36.3 10367 Lichtenberg Stadtpark 24.3 10779 Tempelhof-Schöneberg Bayerischer Platz –5.7 10967 Friedrichshain-Kreuzberg Graefestrasse –4.5 10623 Charlottenburg-Wilmersdorf Savignyplatz –4.3 10178 Mitte Hackescher Markt –3.8 Change from 2013 in % Postcode District 10969 Friedrichshain-Kreuzberg Prinzenstrasse 10627 Charlottenburg-Wilmersdorf Western Kantstrasse 13357 Mitte Gesundbrunnen 21.3 10559 Mitte Stephanstrasse 18.8 12683 Marzahn-Hellersdorf Biesdorf 18.5 1) 1) Rent excl. utilities, only when more than 100 cases in both years Source: CBRE based on data from empirica-systeme The highest purchasing power The lowest purchasing power District 14195 Steglitz-Zehlendorf 13465 Reinickendorf 5.33 Source: CBRE based on data from empirica-systeme The biggest rent increases Postcode Basic rent1) in €/m²/month Change1) from 2013 in % –10.0 Purchasing power1) in € Postcode District Area Dahlem 5,228 10409 Pankow Ostseestrasse 2,197 Frohnau 4,451 12437 Treptow-Köpenick Baumschulenweg 2,305 Area Purchasing power1) in € 14193 Charlottenburg-Wilmersdorf Grunewald 4,411 10319 Lichtenberg Friedrichsfelde South 2,358 14129 Steglitz-Zehlendorf Nikolassee/Schlach. 4,388 13189 Pankow Neumannstrasse 2,360 13505 Reinickendorf Konradshöhe 4,337 13349 Mitte Schillerpark 2,360 1) per household and month Source: Michael Bauer Research; compiled by CBRE The highest housing cost ratio The lowest housing cost ratio Housing cost ratio1) in % Postcode District Area Hackescher Markt 44.1 13051 Lichtenberg Malchow 18.1 Unter den Linden 39.3 12681 Marzahn-Hellersdorf Bitterfelder Strasse 19.0 Charlottenburg-Wilmersdorf Olivaer Platz 37.8 12687 Marzahn-Hellersdorf Mehrower Allee 19.0 10179 Mitte Jannowitzbrücke 37.3 12679 Marzahn-Hellersdorf R.-Wallenberg-Str. 19.0 10629 Charlottenburg-Wilmersdorf Sybelstrasse 37.0 13089 Pankow Heinersdorf 19.1 Postcode District Area 10178 Mitte 10117 Mitte 10707 1) average asking rent (incl. utilities) in relation to household purchasing power Housing cost ratio1) in % Source: CBRE Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin Basic rent for apartments in apartment buildings in €/m2/month 12.00 and over 11.00 – 11.99 10.00 – 10.99 9.00 – 9.99 8.00 – 8.99 7.00 – 7.99 6.00 – 6.99 up to 5.99 © Kartografie: Nexiga, 2006 – 2014 Tom Tom Insufficient number of cases Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin Berlin rent prices 2014 8 9 7 5 4 2 1 10 3 11 6 12 1 Charlottenburg-Wilmersdorf 2 Friedrichshain-Kreuzberg 3 Lichtenberg 4 Marzahn-Hellersdorf 5 Mitte 6 Neukölln 7 Pankow 8 Reinickendorf 9 Spandau 10 Steglitz-Zehlendorf 11 Tempelhof-Schöneberg 12 Treptow-Köpenick Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin Masthead 11th edition Publisher: CBRE GmbH Hausvogteiplatz 10, 10117 Berlin Tel. +49 (0)30 7261540 Fax +49 (0)30 726154100 Berlin Hyp AG Budapester Strasse 1, 10787 Berlin Tel. +49 (0)30 259990 Fax +49 (0)30 25999131 Market data: Dr. Henrik Baumunk, Kristina Rüther, Michael Schlatterer MRICS Residential Valuation, CBRE GmbH Editor: Roland Stimpel Graphics/Layout: Storkan Informationsdesign Project management: Kristina Rüther, CBRE GmbH Nicole Hanke, Berlin Hyp AG Responsible under German press law: Dr. Henrik Baumunk, CBRE GmbH Gero Bergmann, Berlin Hyp AG The Housing Market Report is available for download on: www.berlinhyp.de www.cbre.de Photos: Storkan Informationsdesign Disclaimer Berlin Hyp AG /CBRE GmbH Information herein has been obtained from sources which are accessible to the public, (or, in certain cases, in exchange for a fee) and believed reliable. While we do not doubt its accuracy, we have not verified each piece of information and cannot make any guarantees about it, barring willful intent and gross negligence. It is your responsibility to independently confirm its accuracy and completeness. The information contained in this market report may not be used, reproduced or published without prior written permission of Berlin Hyp AG and CBRE GmbH. Housing Market Report | 2015 | Berlin