Rabbit Industry “Fact Pack” - Livestock Research Innovation
Transcription
Rabbit Industry “Fact Pack” - Livestock Research Innovation
Ontario Rabbit Research Strategy Planning Day 17th September 2013 Hanlon Convention Centre, Guelph, ON. Rabbit Industry “Fact Pack” Purpose of the Fact Pack This document was designed to ensure that all participants have a similar understanding of the sector, along with the operating environment in which we are planning as well as historic trends for important inputs for our industry such as oil, farmland and feed costs. Please take the time to review the information contained in the fact pack as it may be referenced during the research strategy session. Table of Contents Rabbit Production in Canada Agriculture Agri-Food Canada Stats – Canadian Rabbit Supply Exports and Imports – value and kg’s Stats Canada information Current system for marketing rabbits in Ontario External Environmental factors affecting farm input costs Farmland values trends - Ontario Farmland value trends - National 3 10 11 12 14 17 18 Rabbit Production in Canada Rabbit production is not recognized as a “traditional” or “mainstream” livestock production system. For developed countries, rabbit production is considered a “marginal” or alternative form of agriculture. Rabbits were domesticated more recently (late Middle Ages) than other domestic animal species. Most research and academic literature has focused on beef, pork and poultry with rabbit production receiving considerably less attention. Rabbit is popular in countries such as Italy, Spain, France and China. These countries consume the most rabbit per capita. In Canada, Quebec produces the largest amount of rabbit. Table 1: The Breakdown of Canadian Rabbitries by Province. Number of farms reporting Newfoundland and Labrador Prince Edward island Nova Scotia New Brunswick Quebec Ontario Manitoba Saskatchewan Alberta British Columbia TOTAL, CANADA 5 17 59 35 518 881 152 237 502 341 2747 Average number per farm 3.2 9.3 8.8 34.5 197.6 85.9 65.1 8.4 11.5 25.3 75.1 Sourced from Stats Canada, January 2006 Fanciers or hobbyists account for a measurable amount of production and tend to have fewer rabbits on their farms. This is illustrated by the different averages compared to the number of reporting farms in Table 1 above. Figure 1: Breakdown of Canadian rabbit production by province on a percentage basis in 2006 Alberta 3% Saskatchewan 1% 2006 British Columbia 4% Maritimes, less than 1% . Manitoba 5% Ontario 37% Quebec 50% Sourced from Stats Canada. Quebec produces approximately 50 per cent of rabbit in Canada, followed by Ontario with approximately 37 per cent according to Statistics Canada’s 2006 Census of Agriculture. The rest of the provinces make up the remaining 13 per cent of Canadian rabbit production. (See: Figure 1) In past years, the number of rabbit farms and production decreased in Canada. Therefore exports decreased as well in 2006. Figure 3: Number of rabbit farms in Canada Figure 4: Inventory in Canada source: Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada source: Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada Inventory in Canada Number of rabbit farms in Canada Number of head Number of farms 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 400,000 350,000 300,000 250,000 200,000 2,000 150,000 0 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 Figure 6: Exports of Rabbit or Hare Meat and Edible Meat Offal, Fresh, Chilled or Frozen source: Statistics Canada Value($CDN) Quantity (KGM) 2006 29,465 10,305 2005 178,027 21,387 2004 118,976 21,801 2003 174,537 19,277 However, recent studies (from 2003 – 2009) have shown an increase in rabbit production indicating definite improvement in the industry. Figure 5: Rabbit Slaughter in Canada source: Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada Number of head Slaughter in Canada 700,000 650,000 600,000 550,000 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 There are two federally inspected plants that process rabbit in Canada. They export rabbit meat to other Canadian and global consumers. Table 12: Federally Registered Meat Establishments Approved for Rabbit Slaughter and Processing in Canada Source: CFIA Flintshire Farms Inc. Canards Du Lac Brome Ltée/Brome Lake Ducks Ltd. Address 79 Pheasant Farm Road 40, Chemin Du Centre Town/Province Flinton, ON Postal Code K0H 1P0 Knowlton, QC J0E 1V0 There are 24 provincially licensed facilities to slaughter and process rabbits in Ontario. http://www.omafra.gov.on.ca/english/food/inspection/meatinsp/prod_type/rabbits_name.htm Global Rabbit Production at a Glance In 2000, 735 million rabbits were slaughtered worldwide, producing just over 1 million metric tons of rabbit meat. The world’s leader in rabbit meat production was China, representing 31% of total production. It’s interesting to note that in 2000, over 99.5% of all live rabbits imported into the United States came from Canada with the remainder imported from Germany. Imports of rabbit meat by the United States came primarily from China, and small amounts came from Canada. According to Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada in 2006, consumption of rabbit in Canada was only 22.5 g per capita annually. This is in stark contrast to rabbit consumption in Europe which is just over 8 kg per capita per year. Commercial Rabbit Breeds There are over 30 breeds of domestic rabbits in North America but only the heaviest ones are used for commercial meat production. The New Zealand White and Californian are most popular breeds for commercial production because they grow rapidly and have a square blocky build resulting in more meat yield per rabbit. The New Zealand White was originally developed in the United States and is the most popular meat rabbit with white fur, bright pink eyes and prominently veined ears. The average litter size is 8 – 10 kits. A mature buck weighs about 4.5kg (9.9lbs) and does weigh about 5kg (11lbs). The Californian is predominately white with brown or black ears, nose, feet and tail with pink eyes. A mature buck weighs about 4kg (8.8lbs) and mature does weigh 4.3kg (9.5lbs). Their average litter size is 6 – 8 kits. Nutritional Information The rabbit sector has the potential to overcome challenges associated with a growing world population by supplying a wholesome, healthy food product. Rabbit meat is high in protein, low in fat and very nutritious. It is easily digested by young and old alike and is particularly adaptable to special diets such as weight reduction, low cholesterol, diabetic, low sodium and diets for the aged. It is considered a white meat and has a mild flavour with a texture similar to chicken. Rabbit meat has one of the best meat-to-bone ratio of any meat producing. Figure 7: Nutrient Analysis of Ontario Produced Rabbit Meat* Weight (g) Barbequed 100 Energy (Kcal) Protein (g) Fat (g) Saturated Moisture Fat (g) (%) 167 26 7 3.3 66 *Information provided by a 1998 private lab study. (Micro-Chem Laboratory Inc.) Rabbit Production in Ontario Ontario Rabbit, formerly the Ontario Commercial Rabbit Growers Association, was founded in 1964 to represent the interests of Ontario rabbit growers. The 2011 Ontario Rabbit producer membership includes approximately 100 members, the majority of which are currently involved in commercial meat rabbit production. In Ontario, rabbits are generally raised inside well ventilated barns with appropriate lighting. They are fed a well balanced diet, always have access to water and are kept comfortable in a cool climate. Rabbits grow quickly, reproduce readily and have a high degree of genetic diversity. The average number of breeding does per rabbitry is 135 and the majority of farms are in the small (less than 50 breeding does) and medium (50-200 breeding does) range. However, farm size is variable, with the smallest operation involving 2 breeding does and the largest operation involving 1100. Figure 8: Distribution of Rabbitry Size of Ontario Rabbit Members for 2008-2009 27% 38% 35% Small (<50 Does) Medium (50-200 Does) Large (>200 Does) Source: Ontario Rabbit There are 24 provincially licensed facilities to slaughter and process rabbits in Ontario. http://www.omafra.gov.on.ca/english/food/inspection/meatinsp/prod_type/rabbits_name.htm Currently, the largest provincial rabbit processing plant in Ontario is Abate Rabbit Packers located in Arthur. Provincially inspected plants are able to market rabbit meat throughout the province of Ontario. There is one federally registered establishment licensed to slaughter and process rabbits in Ontario allowing them to export rabbit meat to other provinces and around the world. Figure 10: Total Provincial Rabbit Slaughter 1992--2010 Source: Ontario Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Rural Affairs Total Ontario Rabbit Slaughter 500,000 450,000 400,000 350,000 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 Total Rabbit Slaughter Figure 11: Ontario Monthly Rabbit Slaughter 2009--2010 Source: Ontario Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Rural Affairs 30,000 25,000 20,000 2010 15,000 2009 10,000 5,000 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec The principal challenges for Ontario Rabbit producers include lack of consumer data, marketing programs and limited number of processors. As rabbit meat is not typically a dietary staple for many consumers, marketing rabbit is also a considerable challenge. Additionally, as rabbits are mainly available as whole carcasses, consumers may be intimidated and simply not have the desire or time to prepare it. More consumer market research is needed in this area. Ontario Rabbit has recently invested an exceptional amount of time and money to advance this industry. There has been a great deal of time devoted to developing a current cost of production standard for rabbit production in Ontario. Ontario Rabbit has also recently completed Phase I of a 3 Phase project on Biosecurity and in the fall of 2011 will begin on-farm research into artificial insemination for rabbits. More Information For more information on commercial rabbit farming in Ontario, please visit Ontario Rabbit at www.ontariorabbit.ca References: Statistics Canada http://www.statcan.gc.ca/pub/23-502-x/23-502-x2007001-eng.pdf Ontario Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Rural Affairs http://www.omafra.gov.on.ca/english/livestock/alternat/facts/info_processed_stat.htm Canadian Food Inspection Agency http://active.inspection.gc.ca/scripts/meavia/reglist/reglist.asp?lang=e Alabama Market Survey: Identifying Opportunities for Expanded Rabbit Meat Production http://www.docstoc.com/docs/60764481/Alabama-Small-Group-Market-Data-and-Experience-Report RABBIT SUPPLY CANADA FEDERAL AND PROVINCIAL SLAUGHTER (HEAD) 2012 Canada 2011 642,827 2010 623,135 CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA (GRAMS) % chg % chg from 2011 from 2010 to 2012 to 2011 633,032 3.2 2012 Canada -1.6 Source: AAFC-Red Meat Section 2011 23.8 % chg from 2011 to 2012 2010 20.6 22.7 % chg from 2010 to 2011 15.5 -9.3 Source: AAFC-Red Meat Section QUEBEC PRICE ($/Kg) 2.00 to 2.50 Kg Over to 2.36 Kg 2.51 to 2.64 Kg 2.65 to 3.00 Kg Over to 1.25 kg (Carcass weight) Older rabbits 2011 2010 N/A 3.95 3.95 N/A N/A 3.99 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 4.45 4.45 N/A N/A N/A 4.61 4.61 N/A N/A N/A 4.0 N/A 0.0 7.39 N/A N/A 2.87 2.76 2.76 700,000 Number of head 2012 Provincial and Federal Slaughter in Canada % chg % chg from 2011 from 2010 to 2012 to 2011 650,000 600,000 550,000 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: Syndicat des producteurs de lapins du Québec INVENTORY Province Canada Atlantic provinces Quebec Ontario Manitoba Saskatchewan Alberta British Columbia 2011 2006 NUMBER OF FARMS BY PROVINCE 2001 % chg % chg from 2006 from 2001 to 2011 to 2006 184,935 206,175 255,762 -10.3 -19.4 1,324 1,905 2,110 -30.5 -9.7 70,853 102,350 96,213 -30.8 6.4 93,574 75,680 117,925 23.6 -35.8 3,985 9,891 11,902 -59.7 -16.9 1,342 1,983 4,189 -32.3 -52.7 8,129 5,753 5,666 41.3 1.5 5,728 8,613 17,757 -33.5 -51.5 2011 Province Canada Atlantic province Quebec Ontario Manitoba Saskatchewan Alberta British Columbia Source: Statistics Canada, Census of Agriculture 2006 % chg from 2006 to 2011 2001 % chg from 2001 to 2006 2,792 2,747 1,859 1.6 47.8 136 116 83 17.2 39.8 528 518 327 1.9 58.4 1,021 881 730 15.9 20.7 150 152 99 -1.3 53.5 189 237 119 -20.3 99.2 445 502 237 -11.4 111.8 323 341 264 -5.3 29.2 Source: Statistics Canada, Census of Agriculture Inventory in Canada Number of head Number of head Number of farms Number of farms 10000 350,000 9000 8000 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 RABBIT OR HARE MEAT AND EDIBLE MEAT OFFAL, FRESH, CHILLED OR FROZEN (HS CODE #02081000) EXPORTS 2012 2011 IMPORTS 2010 2009 2008 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 Value ($ CDN) 310,577 291,129 296,617 797,683 1,563,178 Value ($ CDN) 259,007 418,704 19,603 0 0 Quantity (KGM) 48,573 29,623 37,597 75,349 150,840 Quantity (KGM) 47,858 77,701 3,822 0 0 Source: Statistics Canada Source: Statistics Canada UNITED STATES 2007 Number of head Number of farms 2002 1997 % chg de % chg de 2002 to 1997 to 2007 2002 616,129 405,241 582,111 52.0 -30.4 27,137 10,073 18,104 169.4 -44.4 Source: USDA, Census of Agriculture Prepared by: Red Meat Section, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada Contact: [email protected] or at http://www.agr.gc.ca/redmeat-vianderouge/ Export and Import 2007-2011 – StatCan Canadian and Ontario numbers The following graphs show the export and import data for rabbit (and hare) meat as reported/recorded by statistics Canada over the period 2007-2011. From an export perspective 2008 (particularly) and 2009 were exceptional years. This is reflected in the Ontario figures but clearly where 2009 was the second biggest export year for Canada it was the biggest for Ontario. More interesting is the pricing where on average Ontario receives a lower average price per kilo for the period of $9.32 per kg vs Canadian average of $10.03 per kg. Note: The import price average is $5.27 per kg for Canada and $5.13 for Ontario. Canada Exports Ontario Export Component Canada Imports Ontario Import Component The Current System for Marketing Rabbits in Ontario Rabbits in Ontario are both finished and marketed as fryers, which are less than 2.34kg, or as roasters, which are older animals that are over 2.34kg. Roasters are typically culled breeding animals or rabbits from fanciers and are marketed at a reduced price per kilogram. Ontario has a variety of methods for marketing finished rabbits. It is estimated that approximately half of all fryers sold in Ontario are sold through a rabbit depot and the producers have limited direct contact to the processor and the end consumer. A rabbit depot is usually run by a rabbit producer who buys rabbits from other rabbit producers in the area. The depot, in turn, sells all of the purchased rabbits and their own directly to the processor. The depot would act as an agent in the collection of the rabbits, the transportation and delivery of the rabbits to the processor and will directly pay producers for rabbits purchased. The other half of rabbit producers sell their finished rabbits directly to the processor. The majority of these rabbits are then marketed by the processor to the consumer via foodservice and retail. A small portion of the fryers are custom slaughtered and the producers assume the responsibility for the marketing of their own rabbit meat. These rabbits are distributed directly to home consumers via a freezer trade or are marketed to restaurants as fresh or frozen product. With the current system for marketing rabbits, there is often very little communication between processors and producers. This means that producers do not get feedback on carcass quality beyond identifying condemned carcasses. Some contributing factors to the lack of identification of high quality rabbits are differences in the processor’s preferences for rabbit size and composition, and the lack of an established grading system. In order to improve rabbit meat quality, consistency and timely delivery, there needs to be a grading and feedback system established for rabbit meat with increased communication between the processor and the producers. Currently, rabbit meat is marketed as a whole carcass. This is suspected to be one of the causes of stagnant market growth as convenience has become more important to consumers. Producers and processors have expressed a desire to create value added products which are easier for consumers to prepare, such as burgers, sausages, boneless saddles and other portioned servings, in order to increase demand. This requires an innovative approach to how rabbit meat is sold. There still remains a demand from some ethnic markets for whole rabbit carcasses, which currently represent a majority of rabbit meat consumption. Rabbit consumption in Canada in 2010 was 22.7 grams per capita. (http://agr.gc.ca/redmeat/rpt/10tbl38a_eng.htm) For some, rabbit meat is a traditional protein choice, while for others it is a specialty item at foodservice or even something that they have never tried before. The opportunity to increase consumer demand for rabbit meat is very real in Ontario with the changing demographics of consumers. While doubling the per capita consumption of rabbit meat to 45.4 grams may not seem like very much, this translates into a doubling of production for Ontario producers. However, aggressive marketing and consumer promotions are required. At this time, there is very little generic or brand specific consumer promotions for the rabbit industry. 5.1 Distribution Chain for Ontario Rabbits Source: Ontario Rabbit The following pages are provided as a general backdrop/external environmental scan showing trends in major agricultural inputs and land prices over the last few years. There is also one opinion piece on the price of oil. Labour Costs Trends – Canada (Source Stats Canada) Soy Bean Trends – US (Source USDA) US Alfalfa Hay Prices 2008-2013 (Source USDA) Oil Prices Trends (www.platts.com) World Bank sees slow oil price decline to $80/b in 2025 Source www.platts.com --12Jun2013/1147 am EDT/1547 GMT International oil prices are likely to decline slowly between now and 2025 to $80/barrel, a level consistent with the real cost of producing oil from Canada's tar sands, the World Bank said Wednesday in its Global Economic Prospects report. But the bank also warned that a major oil supply disruption caused by political turmoil in the Middle East could send prices spiking by $50/b or more. The World Bank, which uses a simple average of Dubai, Brent and West Texas Intermediate crudes, expects the oil price to decline to $102.40/b this year and to $101/b in 2014 and 2015 from $105/b in 2012. It currently bases its long-term oil price assumptions on an estimated $80/b for Canadian oil sands output. However, "there are a number of risks to the baseline forecasts," the Bank said. "Downside risks include weak oil demand if growth prospects deteriorate sharply, especially in emerging economies where most of the demand growth is taking place," it said. "Over the longer term, oil demand could be dampened further if the substitution between crude oil and other types of energy accelerates." VULNERABLE: The economies of oil-exporting countries are particularly vulnerable to shifts in oil prices, the Bank said. "In such an instance government revenues and current account balances would come under pressure," it said. The bank expects growth in the Middle East and North Africa region to slow to 2.5% this year from 3.5% in 2012, reflecting a second year of recession in Iran, subdued growth in Egypt and a "modest pickup" in Algeria. But if real oil prices were to fall to $80/b by the middle of next year -- the faster decline coming from "a shift in expectations about future prices" resulting from rising production and reserves in the US and other non-OPEC countries -oil exporters in the Middle East and North Africa would see GDP fall by 1.4% relative to the baseline and current account balances deteriorate by 3.5% in 2014. "In the current environment, regional oil exporters will no longer be able to rely on high and rising prices, but will increasingly need to rely on increased output. This in turn necessitates reforms that would allow them to invest heavily in infrastructure, and exploration to raise current production levels which have stagnated or been steadily declining in recent years," the bank said. "However, private capital and FDI inflows may fail to materialize because of security risks, poor legal environments for investment and political uncertainty to varying degrees in Algeria, Iraq, Libya and Yemen and international sanctions in the case of Iran." Iraq, according to government estimates, needs capital spending of $30 billion annually on energy infrastructure to meet its oil production targets, the bank said. But it added that progress on this front was likely to be slow because of payment disputes with the Kurdish Regional Government and delays in passing a law governing oil and gas development. Algeria's efforts to raise private investment for upstream exploration, including shale gas, and refining, may also prove challenging given the political uncertainty generated by the presidential election scheduled for spring 2014 and reversals in investor-friendly provisions in investment laws, the bank said. The response of OPEC, and of Saudi Arabia in particular, will be key to the outlook for prices, the Bank said. "A key uncertainty in the outlook is how OPEC (notably, Saudi Arabia) reacts to changing global demand and non-OPEC supply conditions. Since 2004 when crude oil prices started rising, OPEC has responded to subsequent price weakness by cutting supply, but has not been as willing to intervene when prices increase. However, as non-OPEC supplies continue to come on stream and demand moderates in response to higher prices, the sustainability of this approach may come under pressure," it said. Farm land Values - source Farm Credit Canada http://www.fcc-fac.ca/en/ Ontario Farmland values in Ontario increased an average of 11.9% in the second half of 2012, following gains of 16.3% and 7.2% in the previous two reporting periods. Farmland values in Ontario have risen for the past 20 years. Some cash crop producers leveraged their current land holdings to purchase less expensive land in other locations, such as in Northern Ontario, yet the resulting impact on farmland values was relatively modest. The southwestern, central and southern regions saw significant increases in the second half of 2012. Most areas experienced a high number of private transactions as well as those occurring through the tendering process or property auctions. In most areas, the demand for farmland outweighed available supply, driving prices higher. Demand was strong from the dairy industry and large intensive livestock enterprises that need land to meet nutrient management and cropping requirements. Cash crop operators also wanted to grow their land base due to higher commodity prices and good crop yields. With the current strong demand and prices for land, some producers planning to exit the industry chose to liquidate their land holdings instead of collecting rental income. Spring 2013 Ontario Farmland Values National The average value of Canadian farmland increased 10.0% during the second half of 2012, following average increases of 8.6% and 6.9% in the previous two six-month reporting periods. Farmland values remained stable or increased in all provinces. Quebec experienced the highest average increase at 19.4%, followed by Manitoba at 13.9% and Ontario at 11.9%. Saskatchewan and Alberta experienced 9.7% and 7.2% average increases respectively, followed by Nova Scotia at 6.8%, Prince Edward Island at 5.7% and British Columbia at 0.4%. Average farmland values were unchanged in New Brunswick and Newfoundland and Labrador. Canadian farmland values have continued to rise over the last decade. The current average national increase of 10.0% is the highest since FCC began reporting on farmland values in 1985. The second highest increase occurred in the first half of 2012, at 8.6%. The last time the average value decreased was by 0.6% in 2000.