critical thinking anomalous phenomena reader
Transcription
critical thinking anomalous phenomena reader
CRITICAL THINKING ANOMALOUS PHENOMENA READER Chaffey College Spring 2013 From David Hume. An Enquiry Concerning Human Understanding A miracle is a violation of the laws of nature; and as a firm and unalterable experience has established these laws, the proof against a miracle, from the very nature of the fact, is as entire as any argument from experience can possibly be imagined. Why is it more than probable, that all men must die; that lead cannot, of itself, remain suspended in the air; that fire consumes wood, and is extinguished by water; unless it be, that these events are found agreeable to the laws of nature, and there is required a violation of these laws, or in other words, a miracle to prevent them? Nothing is esteemed a miracle, if it ever happen in the common course of nature. It is no miracle that a man, seemingly in good health, should die on a sudden: because such a kind of death, though more unusual than any other, has yet been frequently observed to happen. But it is a miracle, that a dead man should come to life; because that has never been observed in any age or country. There must, therefore, be a uniform experience against every miraculous event, otherwise the event would not merit that appellation.... The plain consequence is (and it is a general maxim worthy of our attention), 'That no testimony is sufficient to establish a miracle, unless the testimony be of such a kind, that its falsehood would be more miraculous, than the fact, which it endeavours to establish....' When anyone tells me, that he saw a dead man restored to life, I immediately consider with myself, whether it be more probable, that this person should either deceive or be deceived, or that the fact, which he relates, should really have happened. I weigh the one miracle against the other; and according to the superiority, which I discover, I pronounce my decision, and always reject the greater miracle. If the falsehood of his testimony would be more miraculous, than the event which he relates; then, and not till then, can he pretend to command my belief or opinion. In the foregoing reasoning we have supposed, that the testimony, upon which a miracle is founded, may possibly amount to an entire proof, and that the falsehood of that testimony would be a real prodigy: But it is easy to shew, that we have been a great deal too liberal in our concession, and that there never was a miraculous event established on so full an evidence. 2=G=C6/D33A>- # @3D7A32 6/1/11 )BWFZPVFWFSGFMUMJLFZPVLOFXXIBUTPNFPOFXBTHPJOHUPTBZCFGPSF UIFZTBJEJU 0SUIBUZPVIBEBGFFMJOHUIBUUIFQIPOFXBTHPJOHUPSJOHBOE JUEJE )BWFZPVIBEBQTZDIJDUFMMZPVTPNFUIJOHBCPVUZPVSTFMGUIBUTIF DPVMEOULOPXXJUIPVUSFBEJOHZPVSNJOE )BWFZPVFWFSUIPVHIUZPVIBE BTJYUITFOTF 8IBUFYQMBJOTUIJT .BOZIBWFFYQFSJFODFEPOFPSNPSF PG UIFTF FWFOUT EFTDSJCFE UIFN BT FYUSBPSEJOBSZ BOE BUUSJCVUFE UIFN UP FYUSBTFOTPSZQFSDFQUJPO&41 E6/B7A3A>7KHWHUP´(63µZDVLQYHQWHGE\'U-%5KLQHDQGXVHGE\KLPWRUHIHUWRVXSSRVHGDELOLWLHVVXFKDV telepathy, which involves the ability to know the thoughts of another person without the use of the recognized VHQVHV&ODLUDXGLHQFHSHUFHSWLRQRIVRXQGVQRWGHWHFWDEOHWKURXJKWKHFRQYHQWLRQDOVHQVHRIKHDULQJ FODLUYR\DQFHVHHLQJWKLQJVUHPRYHGIURPWLPHDQGVSDFHDQGSUHFRJQLWLRQNQRZOHGJHRIIXWXUHHYHQWV DOVRIDOOXQGHUWKLVWHUP(63LVDWHUPZLGHO\XVHGE\WKHJHQHUDOSXEOLFWRGHVFULEHDQ\RIDQXPEHURI paranormal abilities. Those in the psychic advice industry use this WHUPWRGHVFULEHWKHLUPHWKRGRIDFTXLULQJSULYLOHJHGLQIRUPDWLRQQRW available to those restricted to the five traditional senses. 3V\FKLFDELOLWLHVKDYHDOVREHHQXVHGDVFKDUDFWHUWUDLWV and thematic elements in American pop culture and most prominently in comic books and science fiction writing. Most of us are familiar with well-known fictional telepaths including the Jedi of Star Wars0U6SRFNRIStar TrekDQG$TXDPDQ ;@A>=19;7<2;3:2A7< µ/2/553@=4B63;7<2¶ AB/@B@39(B63=@757</:A3@73A '$%>/@/;=C<B /?C/;/<<¡ '$ 211=;71A $ 2=G=C6/D33A>- @3D7A32 6/1/11 %HOLHILQSDUDQRUPDOFODLPVUHODWHGWR(63UHPDLQVZLGHVSUHDG7KH*DOOXS2UJDQL]DWLRQ FRQGXFWHGDVXUYH\RIWKHEHOLHIVRIWKHJHQHUDO8QLWHG6WDWHVSRSXODWLRQDERXWSDUDQRUPDOWRSLFV LQ7KHVXUYH\IRXQGWKDWSHUFHQWRIWKRVHSROOHGEHOLHYHGLQH[WUDVHQVRU\SHUFHSWLRQDQG 26 percent believed in clairvoyance. Thirty-one percent of those surveyed believed in telepathy or psychic communication. 3DUDSV\FKRORJLFDOUHVHDUFKWKHVWXG\RISV\FKLFDELOLWLHVKDVEHHQJRLQJRQLQODERUDWRU\VHWWLQJV SULPDULO\LQWKH8QLWHG6WDWHVDQG8QLWHG.LQJGRPIRUPRUHWKDQ\HDUV7KHILHOGVDZLQFUHDVLQJ LQWHUHVWDQGLPSURYHGWHFKQLTXHVWKURXJKLWVSHDNLQWKHV$WGLIIHUHQWWLPHVRYHUWKHODVW century, laboratories searching for evidence of paranormal abilities could be found in many top XQLYHUVLWLHVLQWKH8QLWHG6WDWHVDQG(XURSH 7KH8QLWHG6WDWHVPLOLWDU\DQGLQWHOOLJHQFHFRPPXQLWLHVDOVRKDYHORQJKLVWRULHVLQSV\FKLFUHVHDUFK 'HFODVVLILHGGRFXPHQWVGHVFULEHPDMRUUHVHDUFKSURJUDPVOLNHWKHRQHDWWKH86$UP\·V)RUW0HDG 7KH)RUW0HDGSURJUDPZDVGHYHORSHGWRH[DPLQHWKHSV\FKLFSKHQRPHQRQNQRZQDV´UHPRWH YLHZLQJµ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few still consider these studies to be of any scientific value. The results have been attributed to PLVLQWHUSUHWDWLRQRIUHVXOWVDQGIODZHGH[SHULPHQWDOGHVLJQ:KHQVFLHQFHLVGRQHULJKWUHVXOWVDUH always open to the scrutiny of other scientists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µT5IF4VSWJWBMPG.BO3IJOFXPVMECFDMPTFMZBTTPDJBUFEXJUI $POBO%PZMFBOEPUIFSQSPNJOFOUTQJSJUVBMJTUTVOUJMBOJOWFTUJHBUJPOFBSMZ JOIJTDBSFFSQVUIJNBUPEETXJUINBOZJOUIBUDPNNVOJUZIFGPVOE .BSHFSZ$SBOEPOBXFMMLOPXONFEJVNUPCFBGSBVE ,Q5KLQHEHFDPHDFTXDLQWHGZLWK'XNH8QLYHUVLW\SV\FKRORJLVW'U:LOOLDP0F'RXJDOODQGVRRQ WKHWZREHJDQIRFXVLQJRQWKHGHYHORSPHQWRIQHZ´VFLHQWLILFµPHWKRGVIRULQYHVWLJDWLQJSDUDQRUPDO phenomena. They would describe their research area as parapsychology to intentionally distinguish it from traditional psychology. 5IF3IJOF 3FTFBSDI-BC %VLF6OJWFSTJUZ %\5KLQHDQG0F'RXJDOOKDGEHJXQVWXGLHVDWDSV\FKRORJ\ODERQWKH'XNH8QLYHUVLW\FDPSXV LQ'XUKDP1RUWK&DUROLQDDORQJZLWKDFROOHDJXH'U.DUO=HQHU=HQHUZRXOGEHEHVWNQRZQIRU GHYHORSLQJWKHVHWRIILYHV\PEROFDUGVQRZNQRZQDV=HQHUFDUGVIRU5KLQHWRXVHLQWHVWLQJIRU SV\FKLFSRZHUV:LWKLQDIHZ\HDUVWKH\KDGHVWDEOLVKHGWKH'XNH8QLYHUVLW\3DUDSV\FKRORJ\ /DERUDWRU\DW'XUKDP7KHODEZRXOGGHYHORSQHDUO\HYHU\PHWKRGDQGFRQFHSWWKDWZRXOGIRUP & 2=G=C6/D33A>- @3D7A32 6/1/11 WKHFRUHRIH[SHULPHQWDOSDUDSV\FKRORJ\LQFOXGLQJWKHWHUPextrasensory perception(63(63 EHFDPHWKHSULPDU\IRFXVRIWKHODEDQGDPDVVLYHERG\RIGDWDZDVSURGXFHG7KH\FRQGXFWHG H[SHULPHQWVZLWKPRUHWKDQRQHPLOOLRQWULDOV6HYHUDOVWXGLHVUHSRUWHGVWDWLVWLFDOO\VLJQLILFDQWUHVXOWV LQVXSSRUWRI(63 B637@>:/137<A173<13 Many agree that Rhine's work was pioneering and that he was sincerely dedicated to the search IRUHYLGHQFHRI(638QIRUWXQDWHO\KLVSDVVLRQIRUWKHVXEMHFWFRXOGQ·WRYHUFRPHWKHORZTXDOLW\RI his research or his failure to produce any compelling evidence to support his claims. Today, few mainstream scientists give any serious consideration to the contributions made by Rhine and his fellow parapsychologists. Even worse, critics have pointed to numerous cases of misrepresented data, sloppy methods, and even fraud, rendering his entire body of work tainted. 5KLQHILUPO\EHOLHYHGKHZDVVHHLQJHYLGHQFHIRU(63LQWKHUHVHDUFK7KLV´HYLGHQFHµZDVIRXQG ZKHQKHOLPLWHGKLVDQDO\VHVWRGDWDFROOHFWHGIURPWULDOVZLWKKLVPRVW´JLIWHGµVXEMHFWV+LVIRFXV RQVXFFHVVHVRIJLIWHGVXEMHFWVJDYHDIDOVHYLHZRIWKHRYHUDOOUHVXOWV,WLVQRZZHOOHVWDEOLVKHGWKDW Rhine and his colleagues had been allowing themselves to ignore much of the data they had collected DQGUHSRUWHGRQO\WKRVHZLWKSRVLWLYHUHVXOWV1HJDWLYHGDWDZHUHVHWDVLGH7KLVLVDFRPPRQ problem in studies of paranormal abilities and other areas of fringe science: investigators start with a FRQFOXVLRQDQGZRUNWRILQGHYLGHQFHLQVXSSRUWRILWLQWKLVFDVHWKHFRQFOXVLRQWKDW(63LVUHDO "UZQJDBM TFUPG ;FOFS DBSET 7KHILQDOEORZWR5KLQHRFFXUUHGZKHQ'U:DOWHU/HY\DWUXVWHGFROOHDJXHDWWKH)RXQGDWLRQIRU 5HVHDUFKRQWKH1DWXUHRI0DQ)510DSULYDWHRUJDQL]DWLRQHVWDEOLVKHGE\5KLQHLQZDV GLVFRYHUHGWREHFKHDWLQJRQDQLPSUHVVLYHDQLPDO(63WHVWWKDWKDGEHHQUHSRUWHGDVDKXJHVXFFHVV Levy confessed and was fired. 7KH5KLQH/DELVMXVWRQHRIPDQ\VXFKODEVWKDWKDYHPDGHUHSHDWHGFODLPVRISRVLWLYHUHVXOWVRQO\ WRKDYHWKHLUILQGLQJVUHMHFWHGEHFDXVHWKHUHVXOWVUHIOHFWHGSUREOHPVZLWKWKHH[SHULPHQWVDQGQRW WKHVXEMHFW VDELOLWLHV$OWKRXJKSURSRQHQWVRISDUDSV\FKRORJLFDOUHVHDUFKDUHIRQGRITXRWLQJWKH LPPHQVHRGGVDJDLQVWVXFFHVVLQ(63WHVWVE\FKDQFHDORQHWKRVHILJXUHVDUHPHDQLQJOHVVLIWKH H[SHULPHQWVDUHQRWSURSHUO\FRQGXFWHG We will be conducting our own investigations into psychic powers using methods similar to those employed by Rhine. 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Rule 1 'HFODUHLQDGYDQFHZKHWKHU\RXUVHWRIWHVWVZLOOEHDQDFWXDOWHVWRURQO\DGU\UXQ,ILW LV DQDFWXDOWHVWFRXQWLWLQWKHILQDOHYDOXDWLRQ,IQRWGRQRWFRXQWLWDQGRQO\NHHSLWIRU reference. Rule 2: Always complete a set of tests by conducting the number of trials that was decided upon and recorded before the start of the test. Further tests may be run, but these must be set up and recorded in the same manner as the previous one, with the number of trials decided upon and recorded ahead of time. Rule 3: 6HWWKHQXPEHURIWULDOVDVODUJHDVVHHPVSUDFWLFDO%HFDXVH\RXPD\EHOLPLWHGE\WKH OHQJWKRI\RXUFODVVSHULRGWKDWQXPEHUPD\EH,I\RXKDYHPRUHWLPHLQFUHDVH\RXU sample to 250 or 500. Rule 4: .HHSDFDUHIXOUHFRUGRIWHVWFRQGLWLRQVHVWDEOLVKHGIRUHDFKWHVWDVZHOODVYDULDWLRQV IURPRQHWHVWWRDQRWKHU%\WKLVPHDQV\RXPD\ILQGWKDWVRPHRWKHUZLVHWULYLDOIDFWRULV seriously affecting the test results. Rule 5: $QRXWVLGHMXGJHXQDZDUHRIH[SHFWHGUHVXOWVPXVWEHXVHGWRUHFRUGDQGWRWDOWKHVFRUHV on the data sheets. 2=G=C6/D33A>- @3D7A32 6/1/11 /0=CB163/B7<5 As you become more familiar with conducting tests of this kind, you will become aware of the many ZD\VLQZKLFKDQH[SHULPHQWHURUVXEMHFWFRXOGFKHDWWRFKDQJHWKHUHVXOWV7KLVW\SHRIWDPSHULQJ KDVRFFXUUHGUHJXODUO\LQWKHKLVWRU\RI(63UHVHDUFK0RVWPDMRU´EUHDNWKURXJKVµLQSDUDSV\FKRORJ\ UHVHDUFKKDYHIDLOHGWRZLWKVWDQGDQ\W\SHRIFDUHIXOH[DPLQDWLRQZKHQWKHHYLGHQFHKDVEHHQPDGH available for analysis. More important is that published positive results have never been replicated ZKHQWKHH[SHULPHQWVDUHUHSHDWHGE\LQGHSHQGHQWUHVHDUFKHUV 7KLVPRGXOHZLOOJLYH\RXWKHWRROVWRGRSUHOLPLQDU\H[SHULPHQWVEDVHGRQWKRVHFRQGXFWHGE\ SDUDSV\FKRORJLVWV$OWKRXJKPDQ\VHULRXVVFLHQWLILFLQYHVWLJDWLRQVLQWR(63UHTXLUHGPXFKDGGLWLRQDO planning and resources, those studies were only as good as the attention given to establishing and PDLQWDLQLQJFDUHIXOFRQWURORIWKHUHVHDUFKFRQGLWLRQV7KHVDPHZLOOEHWUXHRI\RXUH[SHULPHQWV Project Alpha Fools Scientists In 1979, The McDonnell Laboratory for Psychical Research at Washington University in St. Louis was awarded a grant of $500,000; the money would be XVHGIRUVFLHQWLÀFLQYHVWLJDWLRQ into psychic phenomena under controlled laboratory conditions. James Randi, a professional magician and veteran psychic investigator expressed concern that the proposed research methods were vulnerable to study subjects with knowledge of magic tricks. Randi prepared for the researchers a list of activities to be wary of and offered suggestions for preventing such trickery. He stressed the need for the most rigid experimental controls possible. His recommendations were ignored. Two primary subjects of the lab’s research were teenagers Steve Shaw and Michael Edwards. They were asked to participate in the study because of preliminary results suggesting they possessed the paranormal ability of spoon bending, an area of special interest to the researchers. In L to R: Steve “Banachek” Shaw, Michael Edwards, and James Randi reality, the two were skilled magicians associated with Randi. They had been using sleight-ofhand tricks, which were mistaken for a wide range of paranormal abilities. They used methods from mentalism and magic to subtle misdirection to alter research equipment, distract the researchers, and alter established protocols—often right in front of the investigators and cameras. After 21 months, Shaw, Edwards, and Randi publicly announced the elaborate hoax. The announcement was met with responses describing the project as everything from “triumphant” to “reckless.” Many, even some within the parapsychological community, agreed the hoax was long overdue and was successful in exposing the dangers of ignoring the need for rigid protocols. 2=G=C6/D33A>- @3D7A32 6/1/11 QMBOOJOHBOBMZ[JOHUIFEBUB @3A3/@16=0831B7D3 *RRGH[SHULPHQWDOVFLHQFHEHJLQVZLWKFOHDUO\VWDWHGUHVHDUFKREMHFWLYHV7KHREMHFWLYHVZLOO keep the research focused and will guide the selection of methods for collecting and analyzing WKHGDWD$JRRGSODFHWRVWDUWLVE\LGHQWLI\LQJZKDWLVWKHVLQJOHPRVWLPSRUWDQWTXHVWLRQWKDW\RX ZDQWWKLVUHVHDUFKWRDQVZHU2QFH\RXIUDPHVXFKDTXHVWLRQ\RXFDQWKHQGHWHUPLQHLILWFDQEH DQVZHUHGE\H[SHULPHQWDOWHVWV)RUH[DPSOH´,VYLGHRJDPHSOD\UHODWHGWRDQLQFUHDVHLQKDQG H\HFRRUGLQDWLRQ"µLVDTXHVWLRQWKDWFRXOGLQSULQFLSOHEHDQVZHUHGE\DQH[SHULPHQWWKDWWHVWV coordination of volunteers before and after they learn to play a certain video game. 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For LQVWDQFHDVXEMHFWZKRFRUUHFWO\SUHGLFWHGFDUGVRXWRIWULHVKDVIDLOHGWRJLYHDVWDWLVWLFDOO\ VLJQLILFDQWSHUIRUPDQFHHYHQWKRXJKWKH\VFRUHGFRUUHFW$QXQVXFFHVVIXOWHVWGRHVQRW QHFHVVDULO\SURYHWKDWWKHVXEMHFWODFNV(63LWRQO\VKRZVWKDWDQ\DELOLW\ZDVEHORZWKHGHWHFWDEOH WKUHVKROGIRUWKDWH[SHULPHQW7KLVLVZK\LWLVVRLPSRUWDQWWRGHVLJQWHVWVWKDWEDODQFHWKHQHHGIRU scientific rigor and skepticism against the need to fairly consider reasonable claims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³EXWWKHSURFHVVGRHVQ WHQGWKHUH2QHRI the reasons science works so well is because the ideas that are produced can be scrutinized by the rest of the scientific community. This scientific community can use its accumulated knowledge and IXUWKHULQYHVWLJDWLRQWRZHLJKWKHHYLGHQFHIRURUDJDLQVWQHZLGHDV%DGLGHDVGRQ WODVW%HFDXVHRI WKLVZHVD\WKDWVFLHQFHLVVHOIFRUUHFWLQJ We also share the results of our research with the scientific community because science is collaborative. We can often increase our understanding of phenomena by comparing our results ZLWKWKRVHRIRWKHUUHVHDUFKHUVRUE\UHSHDWLQJWKHLUH[SHULPHQWVWRGHWHUPLQHLIWKHLUILQGLQJVFDQ be replicated. ,I\RXZRXOGOLNHWRVKDUHWKHUHVXOWVRI\RXU(63WULDOVZLWKVFKRROVIURPDURXQGWKHZRUOGWKDWKDYH used this same classroom kit, scan your datasheets and email them to [email protected]. We will be compiling results and making them available on our website. $ 2=G=C6/D33A>- @3D7A32 6/1/11 GVSUIFSSFBEJOH 7<>@7<B )UD]LHU.Science Confronts the Paranormal%XIIDOR1<3URPHWKHXV%RRNV +RUQ6Unbelievable: Investigations into Ghosts, Poltergeists, Telepathy, and Other Unseen Phenomena IURPWKH'XNH3DUDSV\FKRORJ\/DERUDWRU\1HZ<RUN(FFR +\PDQ5The Elusive Quarry: A Scientific Appraisal of Psychical Research.%XIIDOR1<3URPHWKHXV %RRNV 5DQGL-Flim-flam!: Psychics, ESP, Unicorns, and Other Delusions.%XIIDOR1<3URPHWKHXV%RRNV 6KHUPHU0The Borderlands of Science: Where Sense Meets Nonsense. 2[IRUG2[IRUG8QLYHUVLW\3UHVV :LVHPDQ5-DQXDU\ 'Heads I Win, Tails You Lose'+RZ3DUDSV\FKRORJLVWV1XOOLI\1XOO5HVXOWV7KH 6NHSWLFDO,QTXLUHU =<B63E30 &DUUROO5REHUW7Project Alpha. The Skeptics Dictionary. Retrieved from http://www.skepdic.com/projectalpha.html 7KH5KLQH5HVHDUFK&HQWHU-XQH The History of the Rhine Research Center. Retrieved from http://www.rhine.org/history.htm &DUSL$DQG(JJHU$Statistics. The Process of Science. Retrieved from http://www.visionlearning.com/ [FOFS DBSET 1SJOUDPQJFT PGUIJTQBHFPODBSETUPDL UPNBLFPOFGVMMEFDL $VUDBSFGVMMZ POEPUUFEMJOFT :PVDBOQSJOUBO BEEJUJPOBMDPQZGPSUIF UFTUTVCKFDUTPTIFPSIF DBOCFDPNFGBNJMJBS XJUIUIFTZNCPMT ' 2=G=C6/D33A>- @3D7A32 6/1/11 ;/93/A3>/@/B31=>G=42/B/A633B4=@3/16B3AB A633B<¡ 7<B3<232 <¡=4B@7/:A( BG>3=4B3AB( A3:31B=<3 T T T T T <=B3A( A3/B7<5/@@/<53;3<BIR`OePSZ]eK 3<B3@/::2/B/E7B6<=<3@/A/0:3>3<B+B/@53B1+1/:: T 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 C SCORE T C SCORE T 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 T T C SCORE T 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 C SCORE Journal of Scientific Exploration, Vol. 18, No. 1, pp. 37–51, 2004 0892-3310/04 Historical Overview and Basic Facts Involved in the Sasquatch or Bigfoot Phenomenon JOHN GREEN P. O. Box 374 Harrison Hot Springs, B.C. V0M 1K0, Canada e-mail: [email protected] Abstract—I describe six decades of increasing interest in and knowledge about Bigfoot or sasquatch, and efforts to gain scientific attention. Exploiting my massive data-base, I offer some conclusions about these creatures and comments on some of the objections that have been raised. From personal knowledge of Roger Patterson, I contradicts the notion that the Patterson film was faked. And from direct first-hand knowledge and by citing dates, I expose the fallacy of recent media accounts claiming that a certain Ray Wallace started the whole thing by faking some footprints. Keywords: Bigfoot—sasquatch Some of you may have noticed that I am not a young man. Once upon a time I was. It is more than 60 years since I first encountered information about what is now known as Bigfoot, 47 years since I began to investigate the phenomenon, and about 46 years since I began a campaign to have it subjected to scientific exploration. On the face of it, this organization and this subject should be a perfect fit. I doubt that there exists any anomaly of as much potential scientific importance that has been so determinedly ignored by the world of science. I understand, however, that most of you are not likely to have paid any attention to it, so with apologies to those who have I am going to begin at the beginning. In British Columbia, where I grew up, stories about hairy forest giants, known there as sasquatch, have been widely publicized since the 1920s. I don’t remember a time when I was not aware of them, but like most city dwellers I considered them to be tall tales, and indeed to some extent they were. The picture painted of the sasquatch in those days was of a race of giant Indians, hairy, but in some depictions only in the fashion of the hippies of a later generation. They were said to live in villages, speak Indian languages, communicate with signal fires on the mountains, wrestle with grizzly bears, and kidnap Indian girls for nefarious purposes. Then, after a decade of experience on city newspapers, I bought a small weekly paper in the area where many of the sasquatch stories originated, and in 1957 I was quite abruptly confronted with the fact that people I had come to respect took the sasquatch very seriously indeed. The stories I heard then were 37 38 J. Green Fig. 1. Tracing of deputy’s cast from Bellingham, WA, 1941. not myths or legends, but first-hand accounts of inspecting giant, human-like tracks, or close observations of huge, bipedal, hair-covered creatures that looked more like upright apes than humans. In one case I was told that a deputy sheriff from Bellingham, Washington had cast one print from a series of 16-inch bipedal tracks that had been made by something so heavy that it crushed potatoes in the ground. At the time I thought that was surely stretching the truth, and perhaps it was, but I have since read that large bears can do the same. In any case it turned out that the deputy was real, although he had since died and the cast had been broken. His son gave me a tracing of the cast, and told me that his father had researched sasquatch reports for years and had accumulated a great deal of material, but they had not kept it. Note that the tracing, which is on display here, has been in my possession since 1957, the year before a man named Ray Wallace supposedly started making all the Bigfoot tracks in the world, and that the 16-inch footprints had been observed, investigated, measured, and cast in 1941, sixteen years earlier (Figure 1). Further investigation quickly established that a number of people had done considerable research into the subject in the past, although none were doing so currently, and that there had been some very well-publicized incidents in British Columbia around the end of the 19th century, and in Washington state in 1924. The Sasquatch or Bigfoot Phenomenon 39 Fig. 2. Casts from Bluff Creek valley, 1958. In the fall of 1958, when newspapers pictured a cast of a 16-inch footprint from a dirt road under construction in the Bluff Creek valley in northwest California, I drove there to see for myself. All the recent tracks had been destroyed by the time I got there, but some old ones were still impressive, and I met a taxidermist named Bob Titmus who had studied fresh tracks and had become completely convinced that they were genuine, made by some giant human or animal. A few weeks later I got a letter from Bob saying that he and another man had found perfect tracks of a second individual, an inch shorter than those of the original Bigfoot and of a distinctly different shape, and that these tracks were not in dirt on the road but at the bottom of the steep, brush-covered side-hill, in a hard-packed sandbar beside the creek. I made a second trip to California, and this time what I saw changed the course of my life. Where those huge tracks sank an inch into the ground, my boot prints hardly showed at all. Tremendous weight was obviously required to make the tracks, and the location was such that we could see no possible way that machinery could have been used there undetected. Copies of casts of two of those tracks are on display here, along with a picture taken on another occasion showing a deep track on a different Bluff Creek sandbar with a boot print beside it hardly discernible (Figures 2 and 3). I was a newspaperman, not any sort of scientist, so I took my information to the zoology department at the University of British Columbia, expecting that 40 J. Green Fig. 3. A deep track on a different Bluff Creek sandbar with a boot print beside it hardly discernible. they would be enthusiastic to take over the investigation of something of such obvious importance in their field. What a joke. The department head’s response was a condescending explanation of how the tracks of a bear’s hind feet can overlap his front feet, making imprints of the shape I described. A cast of just such an imprint is on display. There is a resemblance in general shape, but on examination it would fool nobody (Figure 4). Disappointments like that are something I have become used to in the subsequent 46 years, but otherwise the experience has been rewarding. Good footprints are not reported very often, but they turn up once in a while, and in 1967 I was notified about, and able to examine, hundreds of them made by two individuals on another road under construction in the Bluff Creek area. An original cast from each of those prints is on display as well as some photographs of them. Clearly the larger track is that of the same individual that made the tracks Bob Titmus found in 1958, and other people have made casts and photographs of that individual’s tracks at other times and places (Figure 5). In the 9 years since I had first seen that track, I and others who had taken up the investigation had accumulated, often on tape, dozens of accounts by people who claimed to have seen one or more huge, hair-covered bipeds suitable to make such tracks, and in the autumn of 1967 one of those investigators, Roger Patterson, got lucky. He not only saw a sasquatch, he took 16-mm footage of it walking across yet another Bluff Creek sandbar. Since 1967 hardly a year has passed without someone announcing that they have proved the Patterson movie a hoax. I have kept no record of all the people who are supposed to have made the hairy suit, or worn it. The stories contradict The Sasquatch or Bigfoot Phenomenon 41 Fig. 4. Cast of overlapping bear’s paws. each other every which way, and you can be sure there will be a different one along next year and another the year after that. What I do have is a lot of firsthand knowledge about the people and circumstances involved. I knew Roger Patterson quite well before he got the movie, and I had considerable contact with him afterwards. He may not have had an unblemished reputation in his community, but he was entirely sincere in his efforts in the sasquatch search, and he had neither the skills to attempt to fake such a creature nor the money to hire anyone who did. As a matter of fact a senior executive in the Disney organization told me in 1969 that they did not have the ability to match it, if they wanted something like that they would have to draw it. What is probably more serious concerning the movie is the string of objections to it which have been raised by scientists who most people would expect to know what they are talking about: It shouldn’t have hairy breasts because no female primate does. Well, on the inside cover of this month’s National Geographic is a picture of a female bonobo with hairy breasts, and bonobos don’t even live in a cold climate. Its supposed to be a female but it walks like a male. Well, human females walk differently from males because they have a wide pelvis to accommodate the human infant’s large head. Other primates don’t have that adaptation. It has prominent buttocks. Other higher primates don’t. Of course. It’s a biped, they are quadrupeds. 42 J. Green Fig. 5. Photos of 1967 Bluff Creek casts top: 130, bottom: 150. It has a sagittal crest, which is a male feature. No, it’s a feature providing anchorage for large jaw muscles. It is related to size, not sex. And so on. Roger Patterson took his movie to the Smithsonian Institution, but I am told that only the janitors turned out to see it. I know the Smithsonian later used to send out a form letter describing it as an 8-mm film. In Russia the top man in the field of biomechanics did study the movie, and found, as he told me himself, that the creature walks in a way that is different from, and more efficient than, the The Sasquatch or Bigfoot Phenomenon 43 way humans walk. Considering the implications if it is genuine, it could be the most important strip of film taken in the 20th century, yet in 36 years no American scientific institution has seen fit to study it. The Patterson creature didn’t just leave her image on film, she left tracks in the sandbar. As usual they were far deeper than the tracks of the humans that walked around them. Roger Patterson and his partner cast two of them. A day or so after they left the area a forestry crew happened on the scene and three tracks were photographed by a young man who later became one of the top executives in the U.S. Forest Service. Several days after that Bob Titmus made casts of all the remaining tracks, one of which I expect may figure in the presentation Dr. Meldrum will be making later this morning. From the time it was made the Patterson movie changed everything. It stimulated widespread public interest, which in turn brought to light a lot of reports, both old and current, and was responsible for many more people, including a few with academic qualifications, getting involved in the investigation. From then on what had begun as a search for information became instead a struggle to keep up with it. I spent more than 30 years doing that with coded file cards, tabs on maps, and since 1990 with what was then a fairly sophisticated computer program. By 2001, I had close to 4,000 reports in the computer, 67% involving sightings of a large hairy biped or bipeds, 11.5% involving both a sighting and a footprint find, and 21.5% involving tracks alone. At that point, however, the flood of information available on the Internet had become too much to keep up with, and I gave up the attempt. Today if you search Google for sites that contain references to both Bigfoot and sasquatch and include the term ‘‘report a sighting’’ you have 23 Websites to check out. If that seems a high number, consider that if you search for just ‘‘Bigfoot’’ the count is 880,000. One group alone, the Bigfoot Field Researchers Organization, at bfro.net, lists more than 1,600 North American reports that have been checked out by their investigators, and there is a backlog of hundreds more awaiting checking. These reports do not prove the existence of the creature, of course. Science has made it clear that nothing short of physical remains will do for proof. But assuming for a moment that such an animal does exist, the reports contain enough information to answer a lot of questions about it. One thing they provide is a consistent physical description of upright-walking or running creatures completely covered with relatively short hair; averaging, by estimate, almost 8 feet in height; far more heavily built than humans but with similar leg and arm proportions; flat faces with no projecting muzzle, and necks so short as to be almost nonexistent. Today it is easy to assume that such a consistent description results from the fact that almost everyone has seen a picture of the Patterson creature, but actually the description was solidly established before the movie was taken. Also, some reports mention specific behaviors that match those now known of other higher primates but reported first about the sasquatch. On that subject I will defer to Dr. Bindernagel. 44 J. Green The reports are also numerous enough to establish a few things about the sasquatch lifestyle: They are omnivorous, with almost equal mention of meats and vegetable matter in observations of things eaten or taken apparently to be eaten. They are largely nocturnal. Although humans cannot see well in the dark and there are far more humans around in the daytime, almost half of sightings take place at night. They are not active in cold weather. Less than 10% of reports mention snow, and tracks in snow are rare. They have an affinity for water. Unlike the known apes, they have been reported swimming, both on the surface and under water. They are not a threat to humans. There are quite a few reports of bluffing or threatening behavior, including shaking vehicles and small buildings with people inside, but only a very few old and questionable stories of injuries to humans, fatal or otherwise. The reports are also informative in what they do not mention. In spite of a common assumption that sasquatch live in caves, indications of use of caves, or any other form of shelter, are very rare. Tool use is not indicated at all, and while objects are sometimes thrown, it is in a looping, underhand manner, not in a straight line. There are also no reports of either fangs or claws, an unlikely omission if we are dealing with an imaginary monster. Those things are presumably not reported because they don’t exist, but there are also very few reports of females, infants or small juveniles, which must exist. This brings into question one of the most obvious assumptions, that sasquatch are solitary animals. Less than 10% of reports involve more than one creature, but if females and their young are very rarely seen it remains possible that family groups exist, while normally only lone males take a chance of encountering humans. Two widely held opinions find no support in the accumulated information: Sasquatch are not an endangered species. They are reported everywhere in temperate North America except in areas where there is limited rainfall. To occupy so much territory they must number in the thousands, and be able to sustain themselves in a wide variety of habitats. There is no record of humans successfully hunting them, and if they are under pressure from destruction of habitat it can only be in a minor portion of their enormous range. They are not some kind of wild humans. They may be our closest relatives, although there isn’t much room for anything to squeeze in between humans and chimpanzees, but their adaptations are entirely physical. They can never have been under any pressure to develop the mental abilities humans depend on for survival. So much for assuming that sasquatch exist. The fact that no one has ever produced any physical remains is a compelling argument that they do not, and I The Sasquatch or Bigfoot Phenomenon 45 know of no answer for it. There are other arguments, though, that are easily dealt with. Why are there no fossils? Actually there at least two potential fossil ancestors for sasquatch, one or both of which I expect you will hear discussed today. The gorilla, by contrast, has none. People have a need to imagine monsters. Those who make that claim, often scientists, are never asked to produce evidence for it, and they volunteer none. Nor do they explain why that need dries up where there is a shortage of rain. Why are sasquatch never seen by qualified observers? In fact there are sighting reports by people with every imaginable qualification, many of whom were total skeptics prior to their encounter. One of the most recent is a professor of psychology at a major university who recorded a close and detailed observation while hunting wild boar. If these creatures are real, why is there no past record of them? There are accounts in books and newspapers of such creatures being seen on this continent since at least the 1700s, and European, Oriental, and Middle Eastern references to hairy wild men are as old as recorded history. Oral information from Indian sources is presumably also very old, but is complicated by the fact that their traditional belief systems don’t make a clear division between ‘‘real’’ and ‘‘supernatural’’ creatures. Many Indian languages contain names for beings that may be equated to sasquatch, which is itself an Anglicized version of an Indian name, and as Gordon Strasenburg will tell you, many words that refer to these creatures appear in modern place names. Returning to the matter of scientific exploration of this phenomenon, there have recently been some positive developments. While no museum or university has yet taken any role in the investigation, and no institutional funding has been made available, a small but increasing number of individual scientists are taking part. Some of the very top people in the fields of zoology and anthropology are now taking a public stand that scientific exploration is warranted. They include George Schaller, director of science for the Wildlife Conservation Society (formerly the New York Zoological Society); Russell Mittermeier, president of Conservation International and chairman of the worldwide Primate Specialist Group; Jane Goodall, world-famous chimpanzee researcher; Esteban Sarmiento, primate specialist at the American Museum of Natural History; and Daris Swindler, author of ‘‘An Atlas of Primate Gross Anatomy—Baboon, Chimpanzee and Man.’’ Dr. Swindler has in the past appeared in TV documentaries on this subject as the mandatory skeptical scientist. He changed his opinion as a result of the discovery in a patch of drying mud, beside a road in a mountain forest in Washington, of the hairy imprints of a buttock, thigh, and forearm plus 46 J. Green Fig. 6. Heel print accredited by Swindler. several heel prints, of an animal far larger than a human. A huge plaster cast was successfully made that shows all these elements with such detail that individual hairs can be counted. One heel print, a cast of which is on display, shows several inches of the Achilles tendon, and Dr. Swindler has gone on public record that it is the heel of a huge, unknown higher primate (Figure 6). Another major step forward has been in the study of skin ridge patterns that are preserved in a very few of the footprint casts. These ‘‘dermatoglyphics’’ are distinctly different for each species of higher primate, and sasquatch casts far removed from each other in date and distance have been found to share their own unique pattern. This line of research was originated by the late Dr. Grover Krantz and has been carried on by Jeff Meldrum. Recently a police fingerprint expert from The Sasquatch or Bigfoot Phenomenon 47 Texas who has studied the footprint patterns of all the great apes became involved, and has stated flatly that the dermatoglyphics prove beyond question the existence of an unknown species of ape in North America. A third scientific approach has been to attempt to identify hairs collected in connection with sasquatch incidents. Unidentifiable hairs have been found at different locations that match each other, but there are no known sasquatch hairs to compare them with, and attempts to replicate their DNA have been unsuccessful. Someone more knowledgeable about such things than I am will have to explain why. A different technique that did show a result is radioimmunoassay, which makes identifications through immune reactions to proteins. Some hairs collected by Bob Titmus were tested by Dr. Jerold Lowenstein, who had previously determined by the same method that chimpanzees are more closely related to humans than to gorillas. His findings in that regard were later confirmed via DNA, and his tests showed that the Titmus hairs were very close to human, chimpanzee, and gorilla, although not clearly any one of the three. All three possibilities could easily have been checked with a comparison microscope if there had been any hairs left to examine, but he had ground all of them up. Presumably because they were brown and were collected in California, Dr. Lowenstein suggested that the hairs were probably human, but they were pointed hairs, grown to length, while human hairs never stop growing and have cut-off ends. A copy of Dr. Lowenstein’s letter is on display (Figure 7). What is the bottom line on all this? It is quite simple. The existence of the sasquatch has not been proved, and the lack of a specimen remains a powerful argument that no such creature exists. There are, however, two things that have been proved, not just beyond a reasonable doubt, but beyond any doubt at all. One is that Something in North America makes huge human-like footprints, with a depth indicating tremendous weight, and scientists cannot tell us what that something is. The other fact is that Thousands of people who would be considered credible on any other subject claim to have had a good look at one or more huge, bipedal, hair-covered creatures. Scientists can’t explain that either, and in neither case are they making any effort to find an answer. Without recourse to the supernatural or extraterrestrial, there are only two possible explanations for these established facts. One is that humans share North America with a huge animal that may be our closest relative, but determinedly remain in ignorance of it. The other is that humans throughout recorded history have been faking evidence for the existence of an imaginary animal. Surely establishing whichever answer is true would be a scientific achievement of the greatest interest and importance, yet of the billions of research dollars and millions of man and woman hours of scientific talent, hardly a dollar or an hour is devoted to this quest. Why that should be so is, to me, the most intriguing mystery of all. Some of you, I expect, have been only half listening to what I have said, because you read in the paper or saw on television that Ray Wallace, the man responsible for faking all the Bigfoot evidence, had made a deathbed confession, 48 J. Green Fig. 7. Lowenstein letter. and his family had displayed the carved wooden feet he did it with. Editors who were cocksure that the whole Bigfoot thing was some sort of put-on just loved that story and spread it everywhere. It was a horrible example of completely irresponsible journalism, because the slightest effort at investigation would have shown that only the name ‘‘Bigfoot’’ began in Ray Wallace’s time on Earth; the phenomenon to which that awkward name has become attached is infinitely older. Unfortunately the same editors have since refused to publicize the fact that they were taken in, so the stifling effect their false stories have had on potential scientific exploration of an important matter will be with us for a long time. Ray The Sasquatch or Bigfoot Phenomenon 49 Fig. 8. Newspaper story quoting geophysicist. Wallace was indeed the contractor for the road job where the first ‘‘Bigfoot’’ cast was made, and he did indeed, in later years, make and sell fake track casts, but so far no evidence has surfaced that he ever tried to fool anyone with fake tracks in the ground. He eventually made many fabulous claims concerning himself and ‘‘Bigfoot,’’ but having made the tracks that showed up on his road job was never 50 J. Green Fig. 9. Fiberglass copies of Titmus casts. among them. His original, very genuine, reaction was concern that the tracks were interfering with the work and costing him money and trouble. Everyone who looked into the matter at the time of course started with the idea that someone wearing false feet might have made the tracks, and Ray, who had a reputation as a practical joker, was a suspect, but the idea did not survive investigation. Sinking deep into hard ground, which I saw for myself, and taking huge strides up steep side-hills with deeply dug-in toes, which other investigators saw, the tracks showed evidence of tremendous weight, size, and strength. A story is on display here quoting a geophysicist who examined the tracks and made a cast of one. He estimated that the track maker must have weighed more than 800 pounds. The idea that a man wearing the equivalent of snowshoes could have faked the tracks made no sense then and makes no sense now (Figure 8). As to the wooden feet the Wallace family produced, life-size photos of them are also on display, and they do not at all resemble the original ‘‘Bigfoot’’ tracks The Sasquatch or Bigfoot Phenomenon 51 they are supposed to have made. They were apparently carved, rather crudely, in imitation of the casts Bob Titmus made of the second type of tracks he found (Figure 2). Accurate, shoe-mounted fiberglass copies of those casts are also here, and anyone who can get in size 11 shoes is welcome to try them out (Figure 9). The fiberglass copies were made to determine what could be done with them in the way of faking tracks, which proved to be not much. Presumably the Wallace carvings were fitted with foot straps for the same reason, and showed the same result. They can be used to make passable fake prints on flat, soft surfaces, but even if the wearer carries another man on his back they are useless in hard-packed sand, and they are totally unsuitable for climbing side-hills. Some day, some institution that includes students of zoology and of human behavior is going to take up the sasquatch question and find itself in a win-win situation. There is a blockbuster discovery to be made in one field or the other and amateurs have already done most of the leg work. It will be a pity if that discovery is long delayed because a bunch of media know-it-alls fell for a nonsensical story. Journal of Scientific Exploration, Vol. 18, No. 1, pp. 53–64, 2004 0892-3310/04 The Sasquatch: An Unwelcome and Premature Zoological Discovery? JOHN A. BINDERNAGEL Wildlife Biologist 920 Second Street, Courtenay, BC V9N 1C3, Canada e-mail: [email protected] Abstract—Over 3000 North American reports of a large hair-covered bipedal animal resembling an upright gorilla have been recorded and reviewed. More importantly, over 100 different tracks attributed to such an animal have been cast and archived. At the same time, wildlife biologists and other zoologists continue to ignore this evidence and to reject papers on the subject submitted for presentation at professional conferences. This attitude of dismissal results from the ridicule and discredit heaped on the subject in the popular media coupled with the perceived unlikelihood of a large non-human primate occurring in North America. The discovery of the sasquatch may be ‘premature’ in at least three ways: the animal resembles a bipedal ape, an anomaly in a mammal group that is perceived to be exclusively quadrupedal; its tracks resemble large versions of human tracks; and it occurs on the North American continent where no other non-human primates are known to occur. The possibility of such an animal existing anywhere—but especially in North America— apparently appears so preposterous as to be an affront to scientists. Nevertheless, the hypothesis that the sasquatch is an upright North American great ape remains the best explanation of the available evidence. Keywords: Sasquatch—discovery—zoological—premature Introduction In 1958 a northern California road construction crew reported the overnight appearance of a number of large footprints resembling those of a giant human. Subsequent newspaper coverage included a photograph of a highway foreman holding a plaster cast of one of the 16-inch-long footprints. ‘Bigfoot’ was first used in print as the nickname for the creature whose tracks, although shaped like those of a human, were superhuman in size. For most North Americans, this marked the beginning of an ongoing controversy regarding the possible existence of a large humanlike primate on this continent.1 Historical Accounts: Sasquatch Reports or Merely Myths? Although not widely known, accounts of a giant human-shaped creature, and of the tracks associated with it, already existed in historical and anthropological literature. The historical accounts are of interest because they provide early 53 54 J. A. Bindernagel examples of what are now regarded as sasquatch reports. Equally interesting are the expressions of doubt which continue to be associated with such reports today. For example, as early as 1790, a Hudson’s Bay Company trader commented on the belief of the North Saskatchewan River Indians in a giant humanlike creature known to them as the windigo. He remarked that ‘‘they frequently persuade themselves that they see his track in the moss or snow . . .’’ (Umfreville, 1790). Both the aboriginal belief in such creatures and the non-native disbelief are recorded in another account, that of a Methodist missionary to the Cree and Salteaux Indians of Lake Winnipeg in the province of Manitoba. In this account, Young (1893), wrote that: Among the many errors and superstitions into which they have fallen is the belief in the existence of . . . gigantic creatures half satanic and half human, whom they represent as being of great size. . . . We found the Saulteux Indians especially living in dread of these imaginary monsters. Expressions of Ambivalence and Dismissal Regarding the Sasquatch as a Real Animal Folklorist Carole Henderson interprets such ‘monsters’ as metaphorical in nature. While apparently agreeing with these authors in thinking that they are not real, Henderson (1976) nevertheless expresses some ambivalence: The beasts represent the mystery, strength, and untamed nature of large parts of the Canadian west, especially British Columbia. . . . As this area moves fully into the twentieth century, becomes thoroughly ‘civilized’ and populated, the monsters may vanish. Then again, they may persist because they may really be there. . . . After referring to accounts of common wildlife species recorded by Indians, she points out that: Other animals, unknown to Europeans, have typically, though perhaps unjustifiably, been classified as mythical supernatural beings. It cannot be proven that the Indians themselves saw these creatures as mythical, but anthropologists and other scholars have generally considered them such. . . . Marjorie Halpin, former director of the Museum of Anthropology at the University of British Columbia, is one example. Halpin notes that ‘‘. . . hallucinatory experiences’’ are ‘‘experiences accepted as real by the experiencer but not shared with others.’’ She concludes that ‘‘as long as Sasquatch is a personal rather than a collectively-sanctioned experience it will remain hallucinatory as officially defined by Western culture’’ (Halpin, 1980: 211). Referring to the apelike appearance of the sasquatch she writes that: ‘‘since . . . there is no category in Western culture for creatures who mediate the animalhuman realms, scientists have no category for the Sasquatch to exist in’’ (Halpin, 1980: 226). This idea that sasquatches are creatures who ‘‘mediate the animalhuman realms’’ is a commonly-held view among cultural anthropologists. For example, Robert A. Brightman, professor of anthropology at the University of Sasquatch: A Premature Discovery? 55 Wisconsin is quoted (Rath, 1985) as having studied reports of Bigfoot and as believing that these stories can be explained from a sociological standpoint: Images like Bigfoot, images between humans and animals, seem to be common to people of all states of society. If it’s not universal, it’s close to universal. . . . [S]ociety may feel a need to separate itself from animals, so that we know we’re different. Creatures that merge the characteristics of man and animal let us define ourselves more clearly. The closer the creature comes, the more specific we can make the rules for being human. It is not surprising that cultural anthropologists espouse a view of the sasquatch as supernatural. Such a view is consistent with their background and experience with myths and legends in which some mythical creatures (such as the Thunderbird) do indeed appear to be supernatural. John Green (1968) explains that when the term ‘sasquatch’ was introduced to the public in the 1920s in the writing of J. W. Burns, Burns quoted Indian stories which included supernatural elements, thus stigmatizing the sasquatch as an Indian legend. Green believes that this was unfortunate because ‘‘scientists in particular are inclined to dismiss the subjects of Indian legends as purely imaginary’’ (Suttles, 1972). While this might explain why scientists have uncritically accepted the supernatural as an explanation for some of the sighting reports, it does not excuse zoologists and other scientists from bringing their knowledge and experience to bear on the well-documented track evidence. Professor Ian McTaggart Cowan, former dean of science at University of British Columbia, has also been described as the ‘‘father of wildlife management in British Columbia.’’ Regarding the sasquatch he once told a journalist: ‘‘People believe in these things because they like to believe in them, and it keeps on going because people like it. And why not? It’s a charming story. My attitude is just show me, that’s all’’ (Watts, 1994).2 Professor Cowan and other zoologists who dismiss the sasquatch as an zoological anomaly, and therefore unworthy of study, would find some support for their position in the comments of Thomas Kuhn, author of a classic work in the philosophy of science. Kuhn, who understood the problems associated with an apparent anomaly, wrote that: ‘‘. . . it is for the normal, not the extraordinary, practice of science that professionals are trained. . . . The scientist who pauses to examine every anomaly he notes will seldom get significant work done.’’ Nevertheless, it is surprising that only a few scientists have risen to the challenge embodied in his further comment: ‘‘We have to ask what it is that makes an anomaly seem worth concerted scrutiny’’ (Kuhn, 1996). Nature of the Evidence for the Existence of the Sasquatch There are five components of the substantial body of evidence that makes the ‘‘sasquatch anomaly’’ worthy of scrutiny: (1) The database of eyewitness reports of huge, hair-covered, upright, humanshaped large mammals, or its tracks—now numbering over 3000 reports and distributed over a period of over 150 years. 56 J. A. Bindernagel (2) The remarkable consistency of the physical descriptions of this creature, including anatomical details (as shown in Figure 1). (3) The sincerity, credibility, and reliability of eyewitnesses, some of whom are law officers and experienced outdoor workers such as fisheries officers, combined with the reluctance of these eyewitnesses to be recognized or credited for their report. (4) The similarity of these descriptions to an upright, bipedal version of a well-known (possibly related) animal, the gorilla. Sasquatches are consistently described as huge, hair-covered, human-shaped animals with a short, thick neck. They differ from upright bears primarily in having a flat face and shoulders which are typically prominent or squarish rather than tapered or sloping. (5) The expanding collection of over 100 different track casts catalogued and archived at Idaho State University by anatomy professor Jeffrey Meldrum and available for examination (Figure 2). The Great Ape Hypothesis Anthropologist Halpin is correct when she notes that ‘‘scientists have no category for the sasquatch to exist in’’ but only if we restrict ourselves to North American mammal field guides. When limited to current field guides, a bear standing upright is indeed the closest image to the sasquatch, since the opportunity to compare the appearance of an upright bear with that of a sasquatch, as illustrated in Figure 2, is not generally available. As a result, most wildlife biologists continue to insist on misidentified bears as the most likely explanation for sasquatch reports despite its unbearlike appearance. The continued absence of the sasquatch from current mammal field guides constitutes an authoritative statement against the existence of this species in North America. Had zoologists acknowledged the poor match between bears and sasquatch descriptions and been willing to consult a global mammal field guide or mammal list, they likely would have been struck by the resemblance of eyewitness descriptions and drawings of the sasquatch to those of an upright gorilla. This similarity has been alluded to by many eyewitnesses who described the creature they observed as an ‘ape-man’, ‘man-beast’, ‘giant monkey’, or simply an ‘ape’. The connection was made as long ago as 1978 by journalist John Green both in the text and title of a book entitled Sasquatch: The Apes among Us (Green, 1978). Anthropologist Grover Krantz developed the concept further in his book entitled Big Footprints (Krantz, 1992). Indeed the long arms, the body covering of dark hair, and the short thick neck attributed to the sasquatch are all physical features characteristic of the great apes of Africa and Asia: the gorilla, chimpanzee, bonobo, and orangutan. Of these consistently reported physical features, the long arms are especially noteworthy. One mammal field guide lists ‘‘arms longer than legs’’ as a field mark of Sasquatch: A Premature Discovery? 57 Fig. 1. Eyewitness drawings of sasquatches. 1a. Oregon, 1971; 1b. British Columbia, 1965; 1c. Ontario, 1993; 1d. Washington State, 1991; 1e. Ohio, 1980; and 1f. New Mexico, 2002. Credits for eyewitness drawings: 1a. Mysterious Creatures, 1988, Alexandria, Virginia: Time-Life Books, Vol. 114; 1b. unnamed prospector, courtesy of John Green; 1c. Desmond Warren, courtesy of Tim Yearington; 1d. Darin Richardson, courtesy of Ray Crowe; 1e. Charles Fulton, courtesy of Joedy Cook; 1f. Bigfoot Research Organization (BFRO), courtesy of Reid Nelson. the chimpanzee, and similarly, ‘‘exceptionally long forelimbs’’ as a field mark of the gorilla (Clutton-Brock, 2002). Indeed, arms which are longer than legs are considered a unique physical characteristic of great apes, whereas arms shorter than the legs are considered a human character (Dixon, 1981). The long arms 58 J. A. Bindernagel Fig. 2. Field guide drawings of an 2a. upright black bear and 2b. sasquatch. (drawings by Wendy Dyck, figures 3 and 4 in Bindernagel, 1998). (approximately 115 percent of leg length) which are consistently attributed to the sasquatch suggest an ape rather than human affinity. In addition to these gross morphological similarities between the sasquatch and an upright gorilla, a number of anatomical details attributed to the sasquatch in eyewitness descriptions and drawings also occur in the great apes. One of these is a pointedness to the head, which at least two observers have included in eyewitness drawings (Figure 1d and f ). In gorillas and orangutans this pointedness is the outward manifestation of the sagittal crest, a ridge of bone located medially on the top of the skull in an anterior–posterior direction. Zoologist George Schaller, who undertook the first field studies of the mountain gorilla, described the sagittal crest of gorillas as variable in size. He noted that in two silverback males, the ‘‘sagittal crests were so large that they resembled hairy miters.’’ Schaller also noted that ‘‘low sagittal crests’’ may occur in large females.’’ (Schaller, 1963). Another anatomical feature observed and recorded by eyewitnesses is deep sunk eyes. In April 1973, a 9-foot-tall creature ‘‘walking on two legs’’ stepped out in front of Alan Skrumeda’s car near Easterville in west-central Manitoba. ‘‘Looking at us was this thing that had the appearance of man, although it was three times the size of the average man. . . . It turned to face us, staring into the headlights. . . . It was covered with hair and there was a flat-profiled face. . . . The most striking feature was the creature’s eyes. They were really sunk in.’’ (McAnulty, 1974). More recently (1993), Desmond Warren observed an 8-foot-tall creature in Ontario’s Ottawa Valley which walked away on two legs. He described it as Sasquatch: A Premature Discovery? 59 Fig. 3. Casts of sasquatch tracks. 3a. Vancouver Island, BC, 1988 (15 inches long, 6 inches wide); 3b. Washington State, 1982 (15.5 inches long, 6 inches wide); 3c. Washington State, cast of juvenile sasquatch track (7 inches long, 5 inches wide; note slightly abducted big toe). being ‘‘at least three feet wide,’’ having ‘‘a chest like a body builder and not too much of a neck. . . . It had deep sunk eyes’’ and ‘‘where we would have eyebrows it had a ridge that stuck out a fair piece’’ (Yearington, 1998). The eyewitness drawing made by Desmond Warren is shown in Figure 1c. Reference to almost any book illustrating the great apes will confirm that deep sunk eyes are an obvious feature of the face of great apes, especially gorillas. Significantly, deep sunk eyes are also a physical feature emphasized in a number of accounts of the hairy giants in aboriginal myths and legends. Anthropologist Claude Levi-Strauss noted that ‘‘the myths of British Columbia’s Fraser River aboriginal groups included a character called the sasquatch or Tsanaq who was characterized as a black giantess with bushy eyebrows [and] eyes deeply sunk the in the orbits’’ (Levi-Strauss, 1982). In a collection of stories entitled Kwakiutl Legends, Kwakwaka’wakw Chief James Wallas of northern Vancouver Island, British Columbia, relates a number of tales about a creature referred to as the ‘Giant of the Woods’ or ‘Woods Giant’. In several of these, deeply sunk eyes predominate in the description of the face of the giant. At the end of one story, the woods giant made an offer to a father and his sons: ‘‘You may use us on your totem poles and face mask. . . . You can make the mask just like our face.’’ The story concludes with the father and his sons accepting the giant’s offer. ‘‘No one else had a mask like theirs. It was a frightening mask with the eyes sunk deep in the head’’ (Wallas, 1981). The Wallas story typifies the link between giant human-shaped creatures in aboriginal myths and legends and in modern reports, and may relate to the ‘kernel of truth’ on which most myths and legends are based. 60 J. A. Bindernagel The (Apparently) Humanlike Attributes of the Sasquatch: Reasons for Prematurity and Unwelcomeness? Although most anatomical features of the sasquatch are consistent with those of the great apes, the bipedal gait of the sasquatch is often raised as inconsistent with the knuckle-walking quadrupedal gait of the great apes. That the great apes commonly walk bipedally in order to carry food items in their hands or arms is apparently not widely known. This problem was addressed by geneticist Gunther Stent in an article entitled: Prematurity and Uniqueness in Scientific Discovery (Stent, 1972). Stent explained that a discovery is premature if ‘‘its implications cannot be connected by a series of simple logical steps to canonical, or generally-accepted, knowledge.’’ Based on this definition, the ‘discovery’ of the sasquatch suffers from prematurity in at least three respects. First, it appears to be a bipedal ape in a group whose members are thought to be exclusively quadrupedal. Second, it has the appearance of a great ape on the North American continent where no other apes are known to exist. (Marjorie Halpin’s argument that ‘‘there is no category for the sasquatch’’ is another way of stating this.) A third problem is the shape of the foot, as documented in numerous photographs and casts. It is shaped more like a giant human foot than like that of any other mammal, thus suggesting a human, rather than great ape, origin for the creature (Figure 3). It is unfortunate that most North American biologists are unaware of the similarity between the human foot and the foot of a large ape such as the mountain gorilla. The primary difference is the divergent or abducted big toe of the gorilla foot compared with the adducted big toe in the human foot and sasquatch foot in which it lies alongside the other toes (Figure 3a and b). It is noteworthy that the sasquatch foot sometimes exhibits a degree of divergence or abduction of the big toe, rendering it less humanlike and more apelike in form (Figure 3c). It is this apparent blend of human and great ape physical characteristics which may have contributed to the unwelcomeness of the sasquatch as a subject for unbiased consideration and study. The fear that the sasquatch may constitute a ‘missing link’ between humans and related ancestors has implications for human evolution, not all of which are welcome. The possibility that such an animal may still exist today—unacknowledged and virtually in our midst—may be taken as a professional affront by scientists. Paleoanthropologists Alan Walker and Pat Shipman addressed the problem of ‘unwelcomeness’ of scientific discoveries when writing about paleoanthropological discoveries in Africa. They wrote that ‘‘. . . surprises about the identity or attributes of our . . . ancestors may be deeply unsettling and unwelcome. Even professionals, if they are not vigilant, are liable to fall into the trap of refusing to evaluate the evidence objectively . . .’’ (Walker & Shipman, 1996). Rejection of Opportunities for Scientists to Examine Sasquatch Evidence Although the shape of sasquatch tracks raises unwelcome evolutionary questions of origin and relatedness, it is nevertheless the casts of tracks which Sasquatch: A Premature Discovery? 61 provide the best answer to Thomas Kuhn’s admonishment to evaluate what makes an anomaly seem worth concerted scrutiny. It is the track casts which constitute the much-needed tangible evidence. As noted above, over 100 of these casts have been catalogued, archived, and made available for scrutiny by zoologists. They should be of interest especially to wildlife biologists who routinely depend on tracks as a basis for mammal surveys. Wildlife biologists, more than any other professionals—excepting perhaps some experienced hunters and trappers—have the expertise and experience to competently scrutinize and evaluate the validity of track casts attributed to the sasquatch. If the notable lack of interest in examining this evidence is puzzling, the continued rejection of conference papers illustrating such evidence and intended to stimulate discussion is even more problematic. In the absence of professional evaluation of tracks, there has arisen an almost universal dismissal of purported sasquatch tracks as the work of ‘hoaxers’. The uncritical treatment in the popular media, often including an element of ridicule, has further estranged biologists from addressing the track cast evidence. In the absence of professional attention, what little investigation is being done is largely undertaken by dedicated but untrained amateurs. An inevitable result of the sasquatch being ignored by scientists and explained instead by non-scientists is the raising of wildly conjectural explanations as serious proposals. Such explanations occasionally include associations with UFOs, visitors from another dimension, and ‘shape-shifters’. The tabloid and mainstream media have exploited these more bizarre explanations to further increase an atmosphere of levity and ridicule around the subject. As a result, scientists have (understandably) distanced themselves even further. This may explain the reasoning given by the chairperson of a national conference of an international society of wildlife biologists for rejecting a paper on the sasquatch. ‘‘Until there is ‘hard’ evidence of their existence the issue [of the sasquatch] will remain tabloid material and not part of the scientific community.’’3 A zoology professor recently rejected a proposed seminar presentation reviewing existing sasquatch evidence, reasoning that ‘‘if this creature exists, it would be the zoological discovery of the century,’’ a possibility apparently too unthinkable to be presented to his colleagues and students for serious consideration. Results of Rejection by Scientists As mentioned above, the relegation of sasquatch research by scientists to well-meaning but untrained amateurs is fraught with problems. As pointed out by Michael Cremo, ‘‘Evidence found by non-scientists tends to be not valued and therefore not well-looked after and gets lost or thrown out. On the other hand, evidence which conforms to contemporary thinking is carefully catalogued and preserved’’ (Cremo, personal communication). Although the amateur investigators are not at fault, since they are merely filling a void left vacant by scientists, the result is inadequate documentation and treatment of evidence. It 62 J. A. Bindernagel must be emphasized that this is not a criticism of such investigators but is an inevitable outcome of the unwillingness of scientists to include the evidence for consideration in a professional context or forum. Conclusions In closing, it may be instructive to briefly examine current attitudes toward the sasquatch in the context of science according to the recent comments of Ian Tattersall, curator of anthropology at the American Museum of Natural History. Tattersall, writing under the headings nature of science and falsifiability, reminds us that ‘‘. . . scientists generally start from . . . established notions that seem to be becoming a little wobbly. These they test against new data . . . and observation . . .’’ (Tattersall, 2002: 10, 11). In the case of the sasquatch none of the established ‘‘notions’’ entail a real animal. They include instead the supernatural, a metaphor, an invented being, misidentified bears, and human hoaxers. These notions have become increasingly ‘‘wobbly’’ as sasquatch tracks are documented and archived, and as detailed reports from reliable eyewitnesses are filed and reviewed. (More extreme notions put forward such as: visitor from another planet, visitor from a UFO, and ‘‘shape-shifter’’ are not considered to be ‘‘established,’’ in that they are more recent proposals and are only taken seriously by a few people.) Tattersall noted that ‘‘New ideas . . . are proposed, and once these new ideas and observations are out there in the public arena, they can be tested’’ (Tattersall, 2002: 8–9). New ideas regarding the similarity of sasquatch anatomy, behavior, and ecology, and the reports and track casts on which they are based, have been proposed in books and media interviews for over 30 years. But rather than being tested or critiqued by relevant scientists, they have so far been either ignored or dismissed without scrutiny. Tattersall may be presenting an idealized portrait of science when he states that ‘‘What matters is that science as a whole is a self-correcting mechanism in which both new and old notions are constantly under scrutiny . . . the edifice of science consists simply of a body of observations and ideas that have (so far) proven resistant to attack, and that are thus accepted as working hypotheses about nature’’ (Tattersall, 2002: 9). In the case of the sasquatch the ‘‘body of . . . ideas that are . . . accepted as working hypotheses . . .’’ remains the notions listed earlier: supernatural, metaphor, invented being, misidentified bears, and human hoaxers. Rather than attacking or even questioning these notions or hypotheses, scientists appear to have passed judgment, apparently concluding that the subject is unworthy of their attention. If and when they decide to examine the existing evidence, or permit examples of it to be displayed and discussed in scientific forums, they will find that the existing notions are not so resistant at all. In the meantime, perhaps the repetition of Alan Walker’s and Pat Shipman’s warning is warranted: ‘‘Even professionals, Sasquatch: A Premature Discovery? 63 if they are not vigilant, are liable to fall into the trap of refusing to evaluate the evidence objectively. . . .’’ Notes 1 2 3 ‘‘New ‘Sasquatch’ found—it’s called Bigfoot.’’ AP wire service article, dateline Eureka, Humbolt Times of Eureka, California. Reprinted in Vancouver Province, Monday, October 6, 1958. The track was 16 inches long and 7 inches wide and sank into the soil to a depth of 2 inches. Professor Cowan’s invitation to ‘‘just show me’’ extended to the journalist and newspaper readers was not similarly extended to the few zoologists undertaking sasquatch research. A proposal to his successor in the zoology department at the University of British Columbia, offering to present a seminar on the subject, was declined. This statement was part of an e-mail message from the chairperson of a recent national conference of The Wildlife Society (TWS). The message included a second comment intended to explain the rejection of the paper: ‘‘TWS is a very conservatively thinking group unfortunately, and as a society does not like to be associated with extreme viewpoints.’’ Acknowledgments Among many others, I wish to acknowledge John Green for his support and for sharing his database of sasquatch reports built over a 40-year period. Professor Jeff Meldrum of Idaho State University and Dr. Henner Fahrenbach of the Oregon Regional Primate Center have generously shared information and ideas. Gordon Strasenburgh facilitated initial contact with the Society for Scientific Exploration leading to this paper. Henry Bauer provided fresh insight into the philosophical considerations involved in scientific discovery. References Bindernagel, J. (1998). North America’s Great Ape—The Sasquatch. Courtenay, BC: Beachcomber Books. Clutton-Brock, J. (2002). Mammals. London: Dorling Kindersley Handbooks. Cremo, M. (1999). Personal communication (expanding on views put forward in Cremo, M., & Thompson, R. (1996). Forbidden Archaeology. Los Angeles: Bhaktivedanta Books. Dixon, A. F. (1981). The Natural History of the Gorilla. New York: Columbia University Press. Green, J. (1968). On the Track of the Sasquatch. Agassiz, BC: Cheam Publishing. Green, J. (1978). Sasquatch: The Apes among Us. Saanichton, BC: Hancock House. Halpin, M. (1980). The Tsimshian monkey mask and the sasquatch. In Halpin, M., & Ames, M. (Eds.), Manlike Monsters on Trial: Early Records and Modern Evidence. Vancouver and London: University of British Columbia Press. Henderson, C. M. (1976). Monsters of the West: The sasquatch and the ogopogo. In Fowke, E. (Ed.), Folklore of Canada. Toronto: McClelland and Stewart. Krantz, G. S. (1992). Big Footprints: A Scientific Enquiry into the Reality of the Sasquatch. Boulder, CO: Johnson Books. Kuhn, T. S. (1996). The Structure of Scientific Revolutions. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Levi-Strauss, C. (1982). The Way of the Masks. Vancouver, BC: Douglas and McIntyre. 64 J. A. Bindernagel McAnulty, B. (1974). Recounting the April, 1973 report of Alan Skrumeda on the Easterville Road (Provincial road 327), 2 miles from Hwy 6 in west-central Manitoba. Winnipeg Free Press, January 26, 1974. Rath, J. (1985). Milwaukee Journal. September 5, 1985. Schaller, G. B. (1963). The Mountain Gorilla: Ecology and Behavior. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Stent, G. (1972). Prematurity and uniqueness in scientific discovery. Scientific American, 227, 84–93. Suttles, W. (1972). On the cultural track of the sasquatch. Northwest Anthropological Research Notes, 6, 66. Tattersall, I. (2002). The Monkey in the Mirror: Essays on the Science of What Makes Us Human. New York: Harcourt. Umfreville, E. (1790). An evil being. In Wallis, W. D., & Wallis, R. S. (Eds.), The Present State of Hudson’s Bay. London: Charles Stalker. In (1982) Columbo, J. (Ed.), Wendigo. Saskatoon, SK: Modern Press. Walker, A., & Shipman, P. (1996). The Wisdom of the Bones: In Search of Human Origins. New York: Alfred A. Knopf. Wallas, J., Chief. (1981). Giant of the woods. In Kwakiutl Legends (Chapter 9). As told to Pamela Whitaker. Vancouver, BC: Hancock House. Watts, R. (1994). Prints, dusk cries stir boffin to hunt island sasquatch. Victoria Times-Colonist. Friday, January 7, 1994. p. 1. Yearington, T. (1998). Unpublished transcript of interview with eyewitness Desmond Warren regarding his observations on the south bank of the Madawaska River between Springtown and Burnstown located in Bagot and Blithfield township, Renfrew County, Ontario. Young, E. R. (1893). Stories from Indian Wigwams and Northern Camp-Fires, London. In (1982) Columbo, J. (Ed.), Wendigo. Saskatoon, SK: Modern Press. Bigfoot at 50 Evaluating a Half-Century of Bigfoot Evidence Ben Radford Volume 26.2, March / April 2002 The question of Bigfoot’s existence comes down to the claim that “Where there’s smoke there’s fire.” The evidence suggests that there are enough sources of error that there does not have to be a hidden creature lurking amid the unsubstantiated cases. Though sightings of the North American Bigfoot date back to the 1830s (Bord 1982), interest in Bigfoot grew rapidly during the second half of the twentieth century. This was spurred on by many magazine articles of the time, most seminally a December 1959 True magazine article describing the discovery of large, mysterious footprints the year before in Bluff Creek, California. A half century later, the question of Bigfoot’s existence remains open. Bigfoot is still sought, the pursuit kept alive by a steady stream of sightings, occasional photos or footprint finds, and sporadic media coverage. But what evidence has been gathered over the course of fifty years? And what conclusions can we draw from that evidence? Most Bigfoot investigators favor one theory of Bigfoot’s origin or existence and stake their reputations on it, sniping at others who don't share their views. Many times, what one investigator sees as clear evidence of Bigfoot another will dismiss out of hand. In July 2000, curious tracks were found on the Lower Hoh Indian Reservation in Washington state. Bigfoot tracker Cliff Crook claimed that the footprints were “for sure a Bigfoot,” though Jeffrey Meldrum, an associate professor of biological sciences at Idaho State University (and member of the Bigfoot Field Research Organization, BFRO) decided that there was not enough evidence to pursue the matter (Big Disagreement Afoot 2000). A set of tracks found in Oregon’s Blue Mountains have also been the source of controversy within the community. Grover Krantz maintains that they constitute among the best evidence for Bigfoot, yet longtime researcher Rene Dahinden claimed that “any village idiot can see [they] are fake, one hundred percent fake” (Dennett 1994). And while many Bigfoot researchers stand by the famous 16 mm Patterson film (showing a large manlike creature crossing a clearing) as genuine (including Dahinden, who shared the film’s copyright), others including Crook join skeptics in calling it a hoax. In 1999, Crook found what he claims is evidence in the film of a bell-shaped fastener on the hip of the alleged Bigfoot, evidence that he suggests may be holding the ape costume in place (Dahinden claimed the object is matted feces) (Hubbell 1999). Regardless of which theories researchers subscribe to, the question of Bigfoot’s existence comes down to evidence- and there is plenty of it. Indeed, there are reams of documents about Bigfoot-filing cabinets overflowing with thousands of sighting reports, analyses, and theories. Photographs have been taken of everything from the alleged creature to odd tracks left in snow to twisted branches. Collections exist of dozens or hundreds of footprint casts from all over North America. There is indeed no shortage of evidence. The important criterion, however, is not the quantity of the evidence, but the quality of it. Lots of poor quality evidence does not add up to strong evidence, just as many cups of weak coffee cannot be combined into a strong cup of coffee. Bigfoot evidence can be broken down into four general types: eyewitness sightings, footprints, recordings, and somatic samples (hair, blood, etc.). Some researchers (notably Loren Coleman 1999) also place substantial emphasis on folklore and indigenous legends. The theories and controversies within each category are too complex and detailed to go into here. I present merely a brief overview and short discussion of each; anyone interested in the details is encouraged to look further. 1. Eyewitness Accounts Eyewitness accounts and anecdotes comprise the bulk of Bigfoot evidence. This sort of evidence is also the weakest. Lawyers, judges, and psychologists are well aware that eyewitness testimony is notoriously unreliable. As Ben Roesch, editor of The Cryptozoological Review, noted in an article in Fortean Times, “Cryptozoology is based largely on anecdotal evidence. . . . [W]hile physical phenomena can be tested and systematically evaluated by science, anecdotes cannot, as they are neither physical nor regulated in content or form. Because of this, anecdotes are not reproducible, and are thus untestable; since they cannot be tested, they are not falsifiable and are not part of the scientific process. . . . Also, reports usually take place in uncontrolled settings and are made by untrained, varied observers. People are generally poor eyewitnesses, and can mistake known animals for supposed cryptids [unknown animals] or poorly recall details of their sighting. . . . Simply put, eyewitness testimony is poor evidence” (Roesch 2001). Bigfoot investigators acknowledge that lay eyewitnesses can be mistaken, but counter that expert testimony should be given much more weight. Consider Coleman’s (1999) passage reflecting on expert eyewitness testimony: “[E]ven those scientists who have seen the creatures with their own eyes have been reluctant to come to terms with their observations in a scientific manner.” As an example he gives the account of “mycologist Gary Samuels” and his brief sighting of a large primate in the forest of Guyana. The implication is that this exacting man of science accurately observed, recalled, and reported his experience. And he may have. But Samuels is a scientific expert on tiny fungi that grow on wood. His expertise is botany, not identifying large primates in poor conditions. Anyone, degreed or not, can be mistaken. 2. Footprints Bigfoot tracks are the most recognizable evidence; of course, the animal’s very name came from the size of the footprints it leaves behind. Unlike sightings, they are physical evidence:something (known animal, Bigfoot, or man) left the tracks. The real question is what the tracks are evidence of. In many cases, the answer is clear: they are evidence of hoaxing. Contrary to many Bigfoot enthusiasts’ claims, Bigfoot tracks are not particularly consistent and show a wide range of variation (Dennett 1996). Some tracks have toes that are aligned, others show splayed toes. Most alleged Bigfoot tracks have five toes, but some casts show creatures with two, three, four, or even six toes (see figure 1). Surely all these tracks can't come from the same unknown creature, or even species of creatures. Not all prints found are footprints, though. In September 2000, a team of investigators from the Bigfoot Field Research Organization led an expedition near Mt. Adams in Washington state, finding the first Bigfoot “body print,” which-if authentic-is arguably the most significant find in the past two decades. The Bigfoot, according to the team, apparently made the impression when it laid on its side at the edge of a muddy bank and reached over to grab some bait. This of course raises the question as to why the animal would make such an odd approach to the food, instead of simply walking over to it and taking it. As the log of the expedition reads, “One explanation is immediately apparent-the animal did not want to leave tracks. . . .” (BFRO 2000). This explanation fails on its own logic: If the Bigfoot (or whatever it was) was so concerned about not leaving traces of its presence, why did it then leave a huge fifteen-square-foot imprint in the mud for the team to find? (1) 3. Recordings Figure 2. A frame from the film shot by Roger Patterson in Bluff Creek, California in 1967. The subject is said to be a female Bigfoot. The most famous recording of an alleged Bigfoot is the short 16 mm film taken in 1967 by Roger Patterson and Bob Gimlin. Shot in Bluff Creek, California, it shows a Bigfoot striding through a clearing (see figure 2). In many ways the veracity of the Patterson film is crucial, because the casts made from those tracks are as close to a gold standard as one finds in cryptozoology. Many in the Bigfoot community are adamant that the film is not-and, more important-cannot be a hoax. The question of whether the film is in fact a hoax or not is still open, but the claim that the film could not have been faked is demonstrably false. Grover Krantz, for example, admits that the size of the creature in the film is well within human limits, but argues that the chest width is impossibly large to be human. “I can confidently state that no man of that stature is built that broadly,” he claims (Krantz 1992, 118). This assertion was examined by two anthropologists, David Daegling and Daniel Schmitt (1999), who cite anthropometric literature showing the “impossibly wide” chest is in fact within normal human variation. They also disprove claims that the Patterson creature walks in a manner impossible for a person to duplicate. The film is suspect for a number of reasons. First, Patterson told people he was going out with the express purpose of capturing a Bigfoot on camera. In the intervening thirty-five years (and despite dramatic advances in technology and wide distribution of handheld camcorders), thousands of people have gone in search of Bigfoot and come back empty-handed (or with little but fuzzy photos). Second, a known Bigfoot track hoaxer claimed to have told Patterson exactly where to go to see the Bigfoot on that day (Dennett 1996). Third, Patterson made quite a profit from the film, including publicity for a book he had written on the subject and an organization he had started. Figure 3. Bigfoot allegedly photographed on July 11, 1995 by forest patrol officer at Wild Creek in Mount Ranier foothills, W A State. In his book Bigfoot, John Napier, an anatomist and anthropologist who served as the Smithsonian Institution’s director of primate biology, devotes several pages to close analysis of the Patterson film (pp. 89-96; 215-220). He finds many problems with the film, including that the walk and size is consistent with a man’s; the center of gravity seen in the subject is essentially that of a human; and the step length is inconsistent with the tracks allegedly taken from the site. Don Grieve, an anatomist specializing in human gait, came to the conclusion that the walk was essentially human in type and could be made by a modern man. Napier writes that “there is little doubt that the scientific evidence taken collectively points to a hoax of some kind.” Other films and photos of creatures supposed to be Bigfoot have appeared, perhaps best-known among them the Wild Creek photos allegedly purchased by Cliff Crook of Bigfoot Central from an anonymous park ranger (see figure 3). Bigfoot Voices One of the more interesting bits of “evidence” offered for the existence of Bigfoot is sound recordings of vocalizations. One company, Sierra Sounds, markets a CD called “The Bigfoot Recordings: The Edge of Discovery.” Narrated by Jonathan Frakes (an actor who also narrated a special on the infamous “Alien Autopsy” hoax), the recording claims to have captured vocalizations among a Bigfoot family. The sounds are a series of guttural grunts, howls, and growls. The Web site and liner notes offer testimonials by “expert” Nancy Logan. Logan, their “linguist,” apparently has little or no actual training (or degree) in linguistics. Her self-described credentials include playing the flute, speaking several languages, and having “a Russian friend [who] thinks I'm Russian.” Logan confidently asserts that the tapes are not faked, and that the vocal range is too broad to be made by a human. She suggests that the Bigfoot language shows signs of complexity, possibly including profanities: “On one spot of the tape, an airplane goes by and they seem to get very excited and not very happy about it. Maybe those are Sasquatch swear words.” Here’s what Krantz writes about Bigfoot recordings: “One... tape was analyzed by some university sound specialists who determined that a human voice could not have made them; they required a much longer vocal tract. A sasquatch investigator later asked one of these experts if a human could imitate the sound characteristics by simply cupping his hands around his mouth. The answer was yes” (Krantz 1992, 134). As for other such recordings, Krantz has “listened to at least ten such tapes and find[s] no compelling reason to believe that any of them are what the recorders claimed them to be” (133). 4. Somatic Samples Hair and blood samples have been recovered from alleged Bigfoot encounters. As with all the other evidence, the results are remarkable for their inconclusiveness. When a definite conclusion has been reached, the samples have invariably turned out to have prosaic sources-"Bigfoot hair” turns out to be elk, bear, or cow hair, for example, or suspected “Bigfoot blood” is revealed to be transmission fluid. Even advances in genetic technology have proven fruitless. Contrary to popular belief, DNA cannot be derived from hair samples alone; the root (or some blood) must be available. In his book Big Footprints, Grover Krantz (1992) discusses evidence for Bigfoot other than footprints, including hair, feces, skin scrapings, and blood: “The usual fate of these items is that they either receive no scientific study, or else the documentation of that study is either lost or unobtainable. In most cases where competent analyses have been made, the material turned out to be bogus or else no determination could be made” (125). He continues, “A large amount of what looks like hair has been recovered from several places in the Blue Mountains since 1987. Samples of this were examined by many supposed experts ranging from the FBI to barbers. Most of these called it human, the Redkin Company found significant differences from human hair, but the Japan Hair Medical Science Lab declared it a synthetic fiber. A scientist at [Washington State] University first called it synthetic, then looked more closely and decided it was real hair of an unknown type. . . . Final confirmation came when E.B. Winn, a pharmaceutical businessman from Switzerland, had a sample tested in Europe. The fiber was positively identified as artificial and its exact composition was determined: it is a prod- uct known commercially as Dynel, which is often used as imitation hair.” In his analysis, Winn (1991) noted that another alleged Bigfoot sign found at the site, tree splintering, had also been faked. Hoaxes, the Gold Standard, and the Problem of Experts Such hoaxes have permanently and irreparably contaminated Bigfoot research. Skeptics have long pointed this out, and many Bigfoot researchers freely admit that their field is rife with fraud. This highlights a basic problem underlying all Bigfoot research: the lack of a standard measure. For example, we know what a bear track looks like; if we find a track that wesuspect was left by a bear, we can compare it to one we know was left by a bear. But there are no undisputed Bigfoot specimens by which to compare new evidence. New Bigfoot tracks that don't look like older samples are generally not taken as proof that one (or both) sets are fakes, but instead that the new tracks are simply from a different Bigfoot, or from a different species or family. This unscientific lack of falsifiability plagues other areas of Bigfoot research as well. Bigfoot print hoaxing is a time-honored cottage industry. Dozens of people have admitted making Bigfoot prints. One man, Rant Mullens, revealed in 1982 that he and friends had carved giant Bigfoot tracks and used them to fake footprints as far back as 1930 (Dennett 1996). In modern times it is easier to get Bigfoot tracks. With the advent of the World Wide Web and online auctions, anyone in the world can buy a cast of an alleged Bigfoot print and presumably make tracks that would very closely match tracks accepted by some as authentic. What we have, then, are new tracks, hairs, and other evidence being compared to knownhoaxed tracks, hairs, etc. as well as possibly hoaxed tracks, hairs, etc. With sparse hard evidence to go on and no good standard by which to judge new evidence, it is little wonder that the field is in disarray and has trouble proving its theories. In one case, Krantz claimed as one of the gold standards of Bigfoot tracks a print that “passed all my criteria, published and private, that distinguishes sasquatch tracks from human tracks and from fakes” (Krantz 1992). He further agreed that it had all the signs of a living foot, and that no human foot could have made the imprint. Michael R. Dennett, investigating for the Skeptical Inquirer, tracked down the anonymous construction worker who supplied the Bigfoot print. The man admitted faking the tracks himself to see if Krantz could really detect a fake (Dennett 1994). Krantz certainly isn't alone in his mistaken identifications. One of the biggest names in cryptozoology, Ivan Sanderson, was badly fooled by tracks he confidently proclaimed would be impossible to fake. In 1948 (and for a decade afterward), giant three-toed footprints were found along the beach in Clearwater, Florida. Sanderson, described as a man who “was extremely knowledgeable on many subjects, and had done more fieldwork than most zoologists do today” (Greenwell 1988), spent two weeks at the site of the tracks investigating, analyzing the tracks, and consulting other experts. He concluded that the tracks were made by a fifteen-foot-tall penguin. In 1988, prankster Tony Signorini admitted he and a friend had made the tracks with a pair of cast iron feet attached to high-top black sneakers. J. Richard Greenwell, discussing the case inThe ISC Newsletter (Winter 1988), summed the case up this way: “The lesson to be learned within cryptozoology is, of course, fundamental. Despite careful, detailed analyses by zoologists and engineers, which provided detailed and sophisticated mechanical and anatomical conclusions supporting the hypothesis of a real animal, we now see that, not only was the entire episode a hoax, but that it was perpetrated by relatively amateur, good-natured pranksters, not knowledgeable experts attempting, through their expertise, to fool zoological authorities.” The experts, however are only partly to blame for their repeated and premature proclamations of the authenticity of Bigfoot evidence. After all, other areas of science are not fraught with such deception and hoaxing; in physics and biology, light waves and protozoa aren't trying to trick their observers. Even when there is no intentional hoaxing, “experts” have been fooled. In March 1986, Anthony Wooldridge, an experienced hiker in the Himalayas, saw what he thought was a Yeti (Himalayan Bigfoot) standing in the snow near a ridge about 500 feet away. He described the figure as having a head that was “large and squarish,” and the body “seemed to be covered with dark hair.” It didn't move or make noise, but Wooldridge saw odd tracks in the snow that seemed to lead toward the figure. He took two photos of the creature, which were later analyzed and shown to be genuine and undoctored. Many in the Bigfoot community seized upon the Wooldridge photos as clear evidence of a Yeti, including John Napier. Many suggested that because of his hiking experience it was unlikely Wooldridge made a mistake. The next year researchers returned to the spot and found that Wooldridge had simply seen a rock outcropping that looked vertical from his position. Wooldridge admitted his misidentification (Wooldridge 1987). Smoke and Fire Bigfoot researchers readily admit that many sightings are misidentifications of normal animals, while others are downright hoaxes. Diane Stocking, a curator for the BFRO, concedes that about 70 percent of sightings turn out to be hoaxes or mistakes (Jasper 2000); Loren Coleman puts the figure even higher, at at least 80 percent (Klosterman 1999). The remaining sightings, that small portion of reports that can't be explained away, intrigue researchers and keep the pursuit active. The issue is then essentially turned into the claim that “Where there’s smoke there’s fire.” But is that really true? Does the dictum genuinely hold that, given the mountains of claims and evidence, there must be some validity to the claims? I propose not; the evidence suggests that there are enough sources of error (bad data, flawed methodological assumptions, mistaken identifications, poor memory recall, hoaxing, etc.) that there does not have to be (nor is likely to be) a hidden creature lurking amid the unsubstantiated cases. The claim also has several inherent assumptions, including the notion that the unsolved claims (or sightings) are qualitatively different from the solved ones. But paranormal research and cryptozoology are littered with cases that were deemed irrefutable evidence of the paranormal, only to fall apart upon further investigation or hoaxer confessions. There will always be cases in which there simply is not enough evidence to prove something one way or the other. To use an analogy borrowed from investigator Joe Nickell, just because a small percentage of homicides remain unsolved doesn't mean that we invoke a “homicide gremlin"-appearing out of thin air to take victims’ lives-to explain the unsolved crimes. It is not that such cases areunexplainable using known science, just that not enough (naturalistic) information is available to make a final determination. A lack of information (or negative evidence) cannot be used as positive evidence for a claim. To do so is to engage in the logical fallacy of arguing from ignorance: We don't know what left the tracks or what the witnesses saw, therefore it must have been Bigfoot. Many Bigfoot sightings report “something big, dark, and hairy.” But Bigfoot is not the only (alleged) creature that matches that vague description. The Future for Bigfoot Ultimately, the biggest problem with the argument for the existence of Bigfoot is that no bones or bodies have been discovered. This is really the 800-pound Bigfoot on the researchers’ backs, and no matter how they explain away the lack of other types of evidence, the simple fact remains that, unlike nearly every other serious “scientific” pursuit, they can't point to a live or dead sample of what they're studying. If the Bigfoot creatures across the United States are really out there, then each passing day should be one day closer to their discovery. The story we're being asked to believe is that thousands of giant, hairy, mysterious creatures are constantly eluding capture and discovery and have for a century or more. At some point, a Bigfoot’s luck must run out: one out of the thousands must wander onto a freeway and get killed by a car, or get shot by a hunter, or die of natural causes and be discovered by a hiker. Each passing week and month and year and decade that go by without definite proof of the existence of Bigfoot make its existence less and less likely. On the other hand, if Bigfoot is instead a self-perpetuating phenomenon with no genuine creature at its core, the stories, sightings, and legends will likely continue unabated for centuries. In this case the believers will have all the evidence they need to keep searching-some of it provided by hoaxers, others perhaps by honest mistakes, all liberally basted with wishful thinking. Either way it’s a fascinating topic. If Bigfoot exist, then the mystery will be solved; if they don't exist, the mystery will endure. So far it has endured for at least half a century. Notes 1. The way in which the track was discovered raises questions as well. The expedition log gives an account of how “[Team member Richard] Noll notices an unusual impression in the transition mud at the edge of the wallow and suddenly figures out what caused it. [Team members] Fish and Randles note the shock on Noll’s face and come over to have another look at what he’s examining. The three observe and note the various parts of the impression, and the chunks of chewed apple core nearby. The base camp is alerted. Everyone comes to see the impression. All conclude the animal was laying on its side at the edge of the mud, reaching out over the soft mud to grab the fruit” (BFRO 2000). So what you have is a case where a group of people are looking for evidence of a Bigfoot. One observer believes he sees a pattern fitting what he’s looking for in ambiguous stimuli (shapes in mud). Once the pattern is pointed out to others, they also agree that the pattern could match up to parts of a hominid form in a particular contortion. The rest of the group, who might never have decided on their own that the pattern fits a Bigfoot, then validate the initial observer’s (possibly unwarranted) conclusion. This happens all the time, for example when a person recognizes a face or an image in clouds or stains or tortillas. As psychologists know, observers’ expectations frequently color their interpretations. References Baird, D. 1989. Sasquatch footprints: A proposed method of fabrication. Cryptozoology8: 4346. Betts, J. 1996. Wanted: Dead or alive. Fortean Times 93: 34-35, December. BFRO. 2000. Account of the expedition. Bigfoot Field Research Organization. Available at www.bfro.net. Big Disagreement Afoot. 2000. Associated Press report on ABCnews.com. Bord, J., and Colin Bord. 1982. The Bigfoot Casebook. Harrisburg (Pa.): Stackpole Books. Coleman, L. 1996. Footage furore flares. Fortean Times 91, October. o 1998. Suits you, sir! Fortean Times 106, January. Coleman, L., and P. Huyghe. 1999. The Field Guide to Bigfoot, Yeti, and Other Mystery Primates Worldwide. New York: Avon Books. Daegling, D., and D. Schmitt. 1999. Bigfoot’s screen test. Skeptical Inquirer 23(3), May/June: 20-25. Dennett, M. 1989. Evidence for Bigfoot? An investigation of the Mill Creek 'Sasquatch Prints.' Skeptical Inquirer 13(3), Spring: 264-272. o 1994. Bigfoot evidence: Are these tracks real? Skeptical Inquirer 18(5), Fall: 498508. o 1996. Bigfoot. In Stein, G. (ed.) Encyclopedia of the Paranormal. Buffalo, N.Y.: Prometheus. o 2001. Personal communication, May 1. Fahrenbach, W.H. 1998. Re: Interim statement on the Blue Mountain / Ohio hair. Available at Bigfoot Field Researcher’s Homepage, www.bfro.net. Freeland, D., and W. Rowe. 1989. Alleged pore structure in Sasquatch (Bigfoot) footprints. Skeptical Inquirer 13(3), Spring: 273-276. Green, J. 1968. On the Track of the Sasquatch. Cheam Publishing Ltd. Agassiz, B.C. o 2000. Green says Skookum Cast may be proof. In BFRO press release. Greenwell, J.R. 1988. Florida “Giant Penguin” hoax revealed. The ISC Newsletter. 7(4), Winter. Hubbell. J.M. 1999. Bigfoot enthusiasts discredit film. Associated Press report, January 10. Jasper, D. 2000. Bigfoot strikes again! Weekly Planet October 26-November 1. Klosterman, C. 1999. Believing in Bigfoot. Beacon Journal (Akron, Ohio), March 24. Krantz, G. 1992. Big Footprints: A Scientific Inquiry Into the Reality of Sasquatch. Boulder: Johnson Books. Napier, J. 1973. Bigfoot: The Yeti and Sasquatch in Myth and Reality. New York: E.P. Dutton & Co. Roesch, B. 2001. On the nature of cryptozoology and science. Fortean Times online, March. Winn, E. 1991. Physical and morphological analysis of samples of fiber purported to be Sasquatch hair. Cryptozoology 10: 55-65. Wooldridge, A.B. 1987. The Yeti: A rock after all? Cryptozoology 6: 135. Zuefle, D. 1999. Tracking Bigfoot on the Internet. Skeptical Inquirer 23(3), May/June: 26-28. 8@347<B631:/AA@==; BVS1OaS]TbVS1]bbW\UZSg4OW`WSa(3fO[W\SbVS3dWRS\QS 8/;3A@/<2732C1/B7=</:4=C<2/B7=< /::@756BA@3A3@D32 3F/;7<3B633D723<13 ABC23<B327B7=< B631=BB7<5:3G4/7@73A BCSJFGPWFSWJFX *U XBT $ISJTUNBT JO XIFO UIF NPOUIMZ #SJUJTI NBHB[JOF 5IF 4USBOE QVCMJTIFE BO FYUSBPSEJOBSZ BSUJDMF *U IBE CFFO UIF GJDUJPOBM TUPSJFT PG UIF XPSMEGBNPVT4JS"SUIVS$POBO%PZMFBOEIJTEFUFDUJWF4IFSMPDL)PMNFTUIBU IFMQFENBLF5IF 4USBOE .BHB[JOF POFPGUIFNPTUQPQVMBSQVCMJDBUJPOT BOZXIFSFJOUIF6,5IJTUJNFJUXBTBXPSLPGOPOGJDUJPOCZUIFBVUIPSUIBU QVUUIFNBHB[JOFJOUIFTQPUMJHIU A regular contributor to The Strand the fairies for readers to The Strand, this time it was the pictures—two photographs in particular. appeared to be fairies. the advancing because he was convinced that they were real. organization with an interest in the occult. The group hosted a B631=BB7<5:3G4/7@73A fairies and believed that these photographs, which they considered authentic, provided solid visible evidence in support of their argument. The photographs immediately became the talk Others remained unconvinced and saw them as or not they accepted the images as real, most were very interested in where the images came from. B63'%>6=B=5@/>6A Where did the pictures come from and when taken in the summer of 1917—more than three years before they were presented to the public in The Strand. The photographers themselves were as remarkable as the photographs. The photographs, apparently showing two young girls interacting with fairies, were taken by the and spent much of that summer playing beside a creek at the bottom of the Yorkshire, England garden. The girls would often race home with wild stories of encounters with gnomes and fairies, both of which they claimed lived along skeptical of was a serious amateur photographer. The girls later, claiming to have taken a photograph of them. This would be the first of the two images that inspired the fairy story in The Strand three and a half years later. photo in the darkroom he had set up in the family home. That photo showed Frances behind a bush on which four fairies appeared to be dancing. was staying with the family of her 16-year-old :34B(4@/<13AE7B6B63µ4/7@73A¶ /0=D3(;725?C/@B3@>:/B31/;3@/ B631=BB7<5:3G4/7@73A ! and had some knowledge of photographic image like this. This time they returned with a photograph of Elsie sitting on the lawn, holding out her hand to a gnome that appeared to be about a foot tall. had an avid interest in the supernatural, and as part of her religion, Theosophy was beginning to believe that the photographs with her to a lecture on fairy life. The photographs came to the attention of that display them at an annual conference on the topic of the pictures and began promoting them as evidence that fairies were real. They were soon The Strand, and he wrote to Elsie and her father magazine article. Arthur Wright was willing to allow their use, but only without payment because he was concerned that people might think the girls were motivated by money to fake the pictures. The photos were immediately shown to physicist he did not say outright that he thought they were fairies might actually be a troupe of dancers. This show movement in all the fairy figures, and there is no trace whatever of studio work involving card or paper models, dark backgrounds, painted While he never specifically stated that the images fakery. This was an important endorsement for talk of the spiritualist around the world. opinion, so they turned to the leading film and not the result of trickery. reviewed the prints and concluded that the " B631=BB7<5:3G4/7@73A and certify the photos as authentic. They also said that they could reliably produce such a picture themselves with their knowledge and produce convincing fake images, but what about two children? the photographs was far beyond that of two schoolgirls, and made this their primary defense to critics. They failed to note that Elsie had authenticity was to provide two cameras and 24 to see whether or not the girls could produce more photographs. Frances was invited to stay with the Wright family during the school summer holiday so that she and Elsie could try to take more pictures of fairies. The girls returned to the creek and snapped several photographs, two of which depicted very familiar with both camera and darkroom and offering Elsie a flower. Two days later, the girls took their third and last picture of this new that two validated the photographs as real and one did not. B63' >6=B=5@/>6A At this point, they carefully packed up the camera and the fragile glass plate negatives and shipped were only able to take three pictures because later found to be false, after a review of weather living with her parents by then, and not with thrilled with the pictures produced by the girls. him that he remained certain the pictures were faked and believed they were produced with of skeptics who thought the fairies looked two- ²'SBODFTBOEUIF -FBQJOH'BJSZ³ the girls had produced three new photographs. B631=BB7<5:3G4/7@73A # ²'BJSJFTBOE5IFJS 4VO#BUI³ clairvoyant the cameras and went into the garden. With any fairies, and returned without taking a single pictures, which are confirmatory of our published results. When our fairies are admitted other psychic phenomena will find a more ready acceptance . . . We have had continued messages at séances for some time that a visible sign was The critics remained skeptical and pointed out many problems with the photos. They said the figures looked flat, and as if they were made of paper. They wondered why Frances was not looking directly at the fairies in the the clothing worn by the fairies, which was suspiciously consistent with the latest fashions of the time. Their arguments were often overbest-known writer. For the rest of his life, he remained firm in his opinion that the photographs were authentic. and other photographic supplies. With him ASK . . . Do you think that Gardner and Conan Doyle were completely “open-minded” in their investigation of the photos? B637<D3AB75/B7=<A substantial in the months immediately following Elsie and Frances also began to tire of what married and left England, and it seemed as if solid conclusions had been reached about the authenticity of the then-famous photographs. That changed in 1966 with the first of several serious investigations of the affair. A reporter from the Daily Express newspaper tracked down $ B631=BB7<5:3G4/7@73A Elsie, who by then had returned to England. What ASK . . . the pictures and created even more confusion. What evidence would you need in order to be convinced that the fairies in the photographs were genuine? to be suggesting that the camera was able to photograph her mind—a claim at least as and Frances were interviewed for Yorkshire Television in 1976, and again made statements that suggested the fairies were not real. While there had been several journalistic of the affair. That changed when James Randi not a scientist, but an accomplished magician and investigator of the paranormal with special skills in identifying deception. While Randi convincingly showed there had been at least one double-exposure, that one was likely an accident. British Journal of Photography used by the girls and published his findings in a series of technical articles. The results of his investigation demonstrated what he had long suspected; the cameras were incapable of taking photos as sharp as those published. The only There was no longer any significant doubt that the truth about the matter, he was sympathetic promoted the pictures as real evidence for the Princess Mary’s Gift Book, was likely the source same year that the girls took their first photos. The Strand. fairies from the photographs with those from the but the poses are unmistakably the same. */)*4#00,'-*.'-".8)*$)*/1"35%&4$3*#&45)*4*/7&45*("5*0/3"/%*&91-"*/4 5)&$055*/(-&:'"*3*&4 ²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³ B631=BB7<5:3G4/7@73A 5IFJMMVTUSBUJPOGSPN1SJODFTT .BSZµT(JGU#PPLTFFNTUPIBWF CFFOUIFJOTQJSBUJPOGPSUIFGBJSJFT DSFBUFECZ&MTJFBOE'SBODFT"U SJHIUJTUIFPSJHJOBMJMMVTUSBUJPOBOE BCPWFUIFGBJSJFTBSFDPOUSBTUFE XJUIUIFJSQIPUPHSBQIJDUXJOT 0OQBHFMFGU JTBQIPUPPG 4JS"SUIVS$POBO%PZMFXJUIBO ²FDUPQMBTNJDTQJSJU³UBLFOJO % & B631=BB7<5:3G4/7@73A 5IJTDMPTFVQJNBHFPGUIFGBJSJFTBMMPXTGPSGVSUIFSJOWFTUJHBUJPO*NBHJOF ZPVIBWFOFWFSTFFOB²QIPUPTIPQQFE³JNBHFCFGPSF8IBUEPZPVUIJOLJT DPOWJODJOHBCPVUUIFNBOEXIBUNBLFTZPVEPVCUUIFJSBVUIFOUJDJUZ JODMPTJOH B63/2;7AA7=< until their deaths, and neither stopped defending the authenticity The story briefly reemerged into popular culture in 1997 with the release of a movie version of the events, called Fairytale: A True Story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µUIBWFEBSFEUPEFDFJWFIJN be more... James Randi B631=BB7<5:3G4/7@73A FYQMPSFGVSUIFSIPBYFT B C D E F G B631=BB7<5:3G4/7@73A USZUIJT 1. software than it was for Elsie and Frances? HMPTTBSZ Double-Exposure than once, usually combining multiple images Clairvoyant Evidence Fairies humans in Gnomes Paranormal Skeptical Spiritualist separate spirit world and are capable of communicating with the living. This supposed communication Supernatural Theosophy relationship between the spirit and physical matter, and still has followers today. B631=BB7<5:3G4/7@73A GVSUIFSSFBEJOH 7<>@7<B Skeptical Inquirer. The Coming of the Fairies Fairies: The Cottingley Photographs and Their Sequel. The Theosophical Science: Good, Bad and Bogus. Fakers, Forgers & Phoneys, An Encyclopedia of Claims, Frauds, and Hoaxes of the Occult and Supernatural. Flim-Flam!. =<B63E30 The Case of the Cottingley Fairies by James Randi. http://www.randi.org/library/cottingley/movie.html The Coming of the Fairies http://www.archive.org/details/comingoffairies00doylrich The Debunking of Three Hoaxes by James Opie. http://www.rugreview.com/orr/132hoax.htm Pranks, Frauds, and Hoaxes from Around the World http://www.skepdic.com/essays/fraudsprankshoaxes.html The Internet Encyclopedia of Hoaxes http://sprott.physics.wisc.edu/pickover/pc/hoax.html The Skeptic’s Dictionary http://www.skepdic.com/ EJTDVTTJPORVFTUJPOT fewer? Why? 10/22/12 Condon Report, Photographic Case Studies: Cases 46 - 59 Case 46 McMinnville, Oregon 11 May 1950 Investigator: Hartmann BACK to Chapter 3 PLATES for this Case NCAS Editors' Note: The text of this case includes parenthesized numbers that appear to be numbered references. Unfortunately, there is no list of references for this case. Abstract: Witness I reportedly saw a metallic-looking, disk-shaped UPO. She called her husband, they located their camera, and he took photographs of the object before it disappeared in the distance. Background: Time: 7:45 p.m. PST (1,2); 7:30 p.m. (3). Position: Approx. 10 mi. SW of McMinnville, Ore. on the farm of the witnesses: 123 19' 50" W, 45 06' 15" N (7). Terrain: Rolling farm country, elv. 210 ft.; houses several hundred meters apart (7). Weather Conditions: Dull with an overcast at about 5,000 ft. (2, confirmed by the photos). Sighting, General Information: The sighting occurred in the back yard of a farm about 0.2 mi. S of the "Salmon River f iles.ncas.org/condon/text/case46.htm 1/15 10/22/12 Condon Report, Photographic Case Studies: Cases 46 - 59 Highway" (U.S. 99W (7). Witness was feeding rabbits in the back yard, S of the house and E of the garage when the object was first sighted (1,2,3,6), apparently toward the NE (6). Witness II was apparently in the house at this moment, as three of the accounts (2,3,6) refer to Witness I calling to him and running into the house to fetch him from the kitchen, although one account (1) states that they had "been out in the back yard," and "both... saw it at the same time." As far as Witness I could remember 17 yr. later (6), the rabbits gave no indication of disturbance. [[607]] Immediately after they both saw the object, apparently as it was still in a NE direction, moving slowly toward the W (6), they thought of their camera (1,2,3,6). Witness II ran to the car, thinking it was there, but Witness I remembered it was in the house and brought it (1,6). Witness II took the camera, which was already loaded. The roll of film had been purchased during the winter and already had two or three shots on it (4). At this time "the object was coming in toward us and seemed to be tipped up a little bit. It was very bright -- almost silvery -- and there was no noise or smoke" (1). Witness II explained that he took the first picture, re-wound his film as fast as possible and then as the object gathered speed and turned toward the northwest, he had to move rapidly to his right to get the second picture. Both were snapped within thirty seconds, he estimated (1). According to another early reference: "[Witness II] elaborated, 'There wasn't any flame and it was moving fairly slow. Then I snapped the first picture. It moved a little to the left and I moved to the right to take another picture.'" (3). Plates 23 and 24 show the two photographs in the sequence taken. During this interval the object was moving quite slowly, apparently almost hovering, and it apparently shifted both its position and orientation in a complex way, changing direction and tipping just before it moved away, as indicated in Plate 25 (2,6). However, Witness I described it as "not undulating or rotating, just 'sort of gliding'" (2). The UFO accelerated slowly during or just after the second photograph and moved away rapidly toward the west (2) . Witness I ran into the house to call her mother-in-law, got no answer, and returned outside just in time to see the UFO 'dimly vanishing toward the west' (2). f iles.ncas.org/condon/text/case46.htm 2/15 10/22/12 Condon Report, Photographic Case Studies: Cases 46 - 59 Investigation: The witnesses described the object as "very bright - almost silvery" (1); "brightly metallic, silver or aluminum colored, with a touch of bronze...appeared to have a sort of superstructure... 'like [[608]] a good-sized parachute canopy without the strings, only silvery- bright mixed with bronze'" (2); silvery on top but with more bronze on the bottom, the bottom being different (but, this being seventeen years later, Witness I was unsure whether it was darker)...shiny but not as bright as a hub cap...resembling a dull, aluminum-painted tank (which Witness I pointed out to the writer in our interview)... "awful pretty" (6). The rather bright, aluminum-like, but not specular, reflecting surface appears, to be confirmed by analysis of the photos (see below). There was no noise, visible exhaust, flames, or smoke (1,3,6). When the object tipped up, exposing its under side to the witnesses, they felt a gust of wind which they thought may have come from the UFO. "'...there was a breeze as it went overhead... which died down later'" (2). In the interview with the writer, Witness I stressed this, remarking the wind was "about to knock you over," though Witness II (interviewed separately) remarked that it made only a "very little" breeze as it was getting ready to fly off (6). As to size, speed, and distance, the witnesses were reluctant to hazard a guess (1,2), as Witness II had no way of knowing its size (2), although one of the references quotes Witness II as estimating a diameter of "20 or 30 ft." (3), and Witness I compared its appearance (though not explicitly its size) to a parachute canopy (2,6). As to the origin of the UFO, Witness II remarked both at the time and in 1967 that he thought it was a secret U.S. craft (1). "'...you hear so much about those things...1 didn't believe all that talk about flying saucers before, but now I have an idea the Army knows what they are'" (3). Witness II recalls finishing his roll of film on Mother's Day (4) and had it developed locally (1). Witness II mentioned his observation and showed the pictures to a few friends. He did not seek publicity about the pictures, admitting that he was "'kind of [[609]] f iles.ncas.org/condon/text/case46.htm 3/15 10/22/12 Condon Report, Photographic Case Studies: Cases 46 - 59 scared of it'" (2,3), and "afraid they would get in trouble with the 'government' and be bothered by the publicity" (2). However, McMinnville Telephone Register reporter Bill Powell learned of the sighting from two McMinnville bankers, Ralph and Frank Wortman, and followed up the story (1,2). He found the negatives "on the floor under a davenport where the Witnesses' children had been playing with them" (2). The Telephone Register broke the story Thursday, 8 June 1950 with a front page article containing the two pictures and Editor's Note: "...in view of the variety of opinion and reports attendant to the saucers over the past two years, every effort has been made to check Trent's photos for authenticity. Expert photographers declared there has been no tampering with the negatives. [The] original photos were developed by a local firm. After careful consideration, there appears to be no possibility of hoax or hallucination connected with the pictures. Therefore the Telephone Register believes them authentic..." (1). Various McMinnville residents, including the bankers Wortman, offered to sign affidavits vouching unreservedly for the reputation and veracity of the witnesses (1,2,4). On Friday and Saturday, 9 and 10 June, the Portland, Ore., and Los Angeles newspapers carried the story (2,3). Life magazine carried the pictures the following week (4). The witnesses accepted an invitation to appear on a television program "We the People," in New York (6). Witness I remarked that they were encouraged by the people responsible for this show to make statements they (the Witnesses) regarded as inaccurate. The witnesses, however, did not make such statements, but told only what they saw (6). While in New York, the witnesses were to receive their negatives from Life magazine, but were informed that the negatives were temporarily misplaced (6). Life promised to return them by mail to [[610]] Oregon, but apparently never recovered them (6). With the cooperation of Life the Colorado project discovered that in 1950 the negatives had been in the possession of 4/15 10/22/12 Condon Report, Photographic Case Studies: Cases 46 - 59 International News Photo Service later merged with United Press International. The Project located the original negatives and was permitted to examine them. As mentioned above, various reputable individuals volunteered to attest to the witnesses' veracity. They appear to be sincere, though not highly educated or experienced observers. During the writer's interview with them, they were friendly and quite unconcerned about the sighting. Witness II was at work plowing his field and did not even get off his tractor. From interviews throughout this district one gained the impression that these were very industrious farm people, not given to unusual pranks. Two inferences appear to be justified: 1) It is difficult to see any prior motivation for a fabrication of such a story, although after the fact, the witnesses did profit to the extent of a trip to New York; 2) it is unexpected that in this distinctly rural atmosphere, in 1950, one would encounter a fabrication involving sophisticated trick photography (e.g. a carefully retouched print). The witnesses also appear unaffected now by the incident, receiving only occasional inquiries (6). The over-all appearance of the photographs, in particular the slightly underexposed land foreground and properly exposed sky, is consistent with the reported time 7:30 PST (sunset being roughly a few minutes after 7:15, and twilight lasting until after 8:45). There could be a possible discrepancy in view of the fact that the UFO, the telephone pole, possibly the garage at the left, and especially the distant house gables (left of the distant barn) are illuminated from the right, or east. The house, in particular, appears to have a shadow under its roof that would suggest a daylit photo, and combined with the eastward incidence, one could argue that the photos were taken on a dull, sunlit day at, say, 10 a.m. [[611]] But accepting the UFO makes scarcely less sense than arguing that the witnesses staged a hoax at 10 a.m. and then claimed the photographs were taken at 7:30. Densitometry of the original negatives shows that the sky itself is brighter toward the west, as expected. It seems posslble that, half an hour after sunset, the cloud distribution could result in a dull illumination preferentially from the NE (certainly there will be skylight from above). Reality of physical object. As stated previously, it is unlikely that a sophisticated "optical fabrication" was performed. The negatives had not been tampered with. f iles.ncas.org/condon/text/case46.htm 5/15 10/22/12 Condon Report, Photographic Case Studies: Cases 46 - 59 Further, a geometric test was performed to determine whether the object shown in Plate 24 in approximate cross section was the same object photographed in Plate 23 at a different angle. The apparent inclination, i, can be determined from the ratio of the axes of the apparent ellipse in Plate 23. i = b/a (2) Measures on several copies of photo 1 (the UPI print, an enlargement thereof, and two magazine reproductions) gave sin i = 0.368, and i = 21°.6 ± 0°.1 (est. P.E.). (3) Plate 26 shows enlargements from UPI print with lines of sight superimposed on the Plate 24 "cross section" at 21°.6. The way in which these lines cut the image is in perfect agreement with the appearance of the object in Plate 23. Judging from the apparent position of the pole it is likely that the object has simply tipped, without rotation, between the two photos. The lighting is also consistent with that in the rest of the photo. Both photographs, therefore, show real objects and that the object in Plate 23 is a view of the same object in Plate 24, seen in different perspective. Asymmetry of UFO. It will be noted in Plate 26 that the UFO is distinctly asymmetric. The "pole" is off center and inclined, and there appears to be a difference in the profiles of the right and left sides (Plate 24), the left having a more pronounced notch defining the flange. The shading of the object also indicates a [[612]] more distinct flange on the left in Plate 24. The asymmetries are judged physical, not optical effects. Absence of rotation. The top of the "pole," barely visible in photo 1, is off center to the left by the same amount as in photo 2. This would be rather improbable if the object were rotating, and supports Witness II's statement that it was not rotating. This is a rather strong argument against a fabrication using a necessarily (for stability) spinning model similar to a "frisbee," especially in view of the fact that only 2 exposures were made in the middle of an intact roll of film. f iles.ncas.org/condon/text/case46.htm 6/15 10/22/12 Condon Report, Photographic Case Studies: Cases 46 - 59 Angular size of object. From measurements of recent photos (6) the photos were scaled and the UFO diameters estimated to be: Plate 23: Plate 24: 1°.4 1°.3. The P.E. is probably about 0°.1, but the object subtends a smaller angle in photo 2, consistent with the allegation that photo 2 was made as the UFO was beginning to depart. It follows immediately that the distance-diameter relation is determined, and a man of the locale (based on ref. 7) is shown in Fig. 1 with the azimuths, angular sizes, and example, that the object was less than a meter in diameter and over the driveway. Psychological reaction. I judge it reasonable that as the object allegedly drifted to the left, in danger of being lost to sight behind the garage, that the observer should step unconsciously to his right, as the photos show he did, although one might expect the observer even more reasonably to step forward, to get in front of the garage. The reason for the first response may have been that the second would put the observer close to the house, where the object might be lost to sight if it moved back to the east, while by moving away from the garage, one moves toward the open Yard SE of the house. In summary, the movement of the observer is consistent with the alleged observation. [[613]] Possibility of fabrication. The above tests all appear to be consistent with the witnesses' testimony. The possibility of optical fabrication seems remote. A model thrown into the air by hand appears an unlikely possibility because of the evidence for absence of rotation. Another possibility can be considered, however. The object appears beneath a pair of wires, as is seen in Plates 23 and 24. We may question, therefore, whether it could have been a model suspended from one of the wires. This possibility is strengthened by the observation that the object appears beneath roughly the same point in the two photos, in spite of their having been taken from two positions. This can be determined from irregularities, or "kinks," in the wires. The wires pass between the camera positions and the garage (left). We know from the change in orientation of the object f iles.ncas.org/condon/text/case46.htm 7/15 10/22/12 Condon Report, Photographic Case Studies: Cases 46 - 59 that it moved, or was re-oriented by hand, between exposures. The possibility that it is a model hanging beneath a point on the wire suggests a further test: Is the change in distance of the object in Plates 23 and 24 equal to the change in distance from the wires? Measures of the disk indicate that it is about 8% further away in Plate 24. Measures of the irregularities in the wires indicate that they are further away from the camera in Plate 24. The amount of the latter increase from the wires (measured by the separation of rather ill-defined "kinks") is less certain than the distance increase from the disk, but it is measured to be about 10%. These tests do not rule out the possibility that the object was a small model suspended from the nearby wire by an unresolved thread. Given the foregoing analysis, one must choose between an asymmetric model suspended from the overhead wire, and an extraordinary flying object (See Table 1). Photometric analysis. Although it is often stated that a single photograph of an object contains no information on the distance, this is not strictly true. Atmospheric extinction and [[614]] scattering, combined, serve to reduce contrast as distance increases, an effect perhaps best appreciated by artists. The shadowed bottom of the UFO in Plate 23 has a particularly pale look, suggestive of scattering between observer and object, and if such scattering is detectable, it may be possible to make some estimate of the distance involved. [[615]] Table 1 Summary of Possible Interpretations Interpretations Optical fabrications Double exposure f iles.ncas.org/condon/text/case46.htm Rejected X Comments UFO darker than sky background 8/15 10/22/12 Condon Report, Photographic Case Studies: Cases 46 - 59 background Retouch; drawn image Multiple copies, recopying X (X) Negatives unretouched Overly sophisticated Physical fabrications "Frisbee"-type model in flight X No rotation Model suspended from wire Under same part of wire in each photo Extraordinary Flying Object Photometry suggests large distance [[616]] The luminance, or apparent surface brightness at distance r of an object of intrinsic luminance Bo (r = 0) is B = Bsky (1 - e -Beta · r) + Bo e -Beta · r (4) where Beta is the scattering coefficient. The first term represents scattered light; the second, extinction. Since all measures must be based on the witnesses' two photographs, we will determine Beta for the given day from the photographs themselves. Normalizing all brightnesses (measured from the film and assuming that the images measured fall on the linear portion of the gamma curve) to that of the sky near the horizon, i.e. on a line within a few thousand feet of the ground, where the UFO is constrained to be by the reported cloud height and probably nearness to the camera, we have B = 1 + e -Beta · r (Bo - 1) (5) Notice that if an object is sufficiently far away, its brightness equals the sky brightness (in physical terms, the optical depth T >> 1). Given the brightness of an object at zero distance, Bo, and the observed brightness B, one may solve for the distance r. The first necessary step is to determine the scattering coefficient Beta. The original negatives were subjected to densitometric f iles.ncas.org/condon/text/case46.htm 9/15 10/22/12 Condon Report, Photographic Case Studies: Cases 46 - 59 analysis, and Table 2 lists observed values of B. "Hill 2" lies at a distance of about 2.2 km (7). The photometry indicates that B = .685 for the distant hill, but the foreground foliage gives Bo = .403. This gives = 0.289 km-1, or optical depth T = 1 at r = 3.5 km, (6) which appears consistent with the appearance of the photos. At this point the theory was checked against objects of known distance. For example, the roof of the distant barn ("B" in Fig. 1 ) has B = .506. If one assumes that its intrinsic brightness equals that of the foreground garage, then Bo = .495, so that r = 0.073 km. [[617]] Table 2 Values of B for Objects Photographed* Based on densitometry of original negatives; aperture 75µ x 75µ Object UFO "Pole" Illuminated right side Illuminated left side Shaded bottom Garage roof Shadows under eaves Metallic tank: Illuminated Shaded bottom Foreground underbrush Barn (roof) f iles.ncas.org/condon/text/case46.htm Plate 23 1.07 1.29 (1.35) .675 .489 .396 Plate 24 .86 (.48) .417 .91 (.40) .389 .511 .501 1.23 1.05 .501 .426 10/15 10/22/12 Condon Report, Photographic Case Studies: Cases 46 - 59 Barn (roof) Hill 1 2 House Illuminated wall Shadow Sky Upper right Upper left Horizon Unexposed edge of film .511 .501 .63 .71 .59 .66 (.77) (.44) (.77) (.52) 1.29 1.51 1.00 .32 1.26 1.62 1.00 .34 Measures in parentheses have lower weight * B values are normalized to horizon sky brightness [[618]] The true r is about 0.32 km, and our error is a factor 4. One can resolve the discrepancy by assuming the barn roof was slightly (7%) darker than the garage roof. Again, one can check the theory on the distant "Hill 1." B = .610 and Bo = .403 as measured in the foreground foliage. This gives r = 1.5 km. The true r is in the range 1.3 to 1.9 km, depending on the part of the hill observed, and the error is negligible. A third check, more comparable to the UFO problem, is the distant house ("H" in Fig. 1 ). Unfortunately the densitometer did not clearly resolve the illuminated white facade from the intervening branches; however, supplementary measures with enlargements indicate that the facade brightness should be only slightly more than 1.00, e.g. B = 1.02, and Bo = 1.04, which means that the apparent brightness nearly equals sky brightness and hence is very insensitive to distance and gives no good solution. There are shadows visible on the house on the white surface under the eaves. Measures indicate B = .48. Bo for the shadows on this white surface, illuminated by the ambient illumination, should be intrinsically measurably brighter f iles.ncas.org/condon/text/case46.htm 11/15 10/22/12 Condon Report, Photographic Case Studies: Cases 46 - 59 than the shadows under the dark wooden garage eaves and under the tank beside the garage (Bo = .41), but not as much brighter as the white illuminated surface is brighter than the darker wood. (If there were no ambient illumination, all shadows would be intrinsically black; Bo = 0). An estimated value is Bo = .43. This gives a distance of r = 0.32 km, only 14% less than the measured distance of 0.37 km. Naive use of Bo = 0.41, known to he too low, would have given r = 0.44 km, 19% too great. It is concluded that by careful consideration of the parameters involved in the case of recognizable objects in the photographs, distances can be measured within a factorfour error. This justifies the assumption that we are on the linear part of the gamma curve. [[619]] Figure 1: Sighting Locale Click on thumbnail to see full-size image. [[620]] If such a good measure could be made for the UFO, we could distinguish between a distant extraordinary object and a hypothetical small, close model. At this point we must be explicit about the geometry of the situation. We represent the environment as in Fig. 2 . We assume that the UFO is within a homogeneous scattering layer with T = 1 at 3.5 km. If the UFO were far away and at an altitude greater than the characteristic dimension of the layer (C in Fig. 2), it would be large f iles.ncas.org/condon/text/case46.htm 12/15 Condon Report, Photographic Case Studies: Cases 46 - 59 and extraordinary in any case. If it is relatively close, r = 1 km, the assumptions are justified. Our objective is to distinguish between cases A and B in Fig. 2 . The sky brightness, to which all the brightness values are normalized, must be the sky brightness at the horizon, since this is the value characteristic of long path length through the scattering layer. For the solution of the UFO distance, we have two independent solutions from two independent observations: the illuminated and shadowed surfaces of the UFO. As was remarked above, it is the shadowed surface in particular that looks pale and hence suggests large distance. Immediately from Table 2 we see that B = 1.21 describes the part of the UFO, while the illuminated part of the nearby dull aluminum-painted tank Bo = .885. Since, as the UFO recedes, B must approach 1.00. We thus know that 1.21 is the minimum intrinsic brightness of the UFO surface, i.e. Bo>1.21. Thus the UFO in any interpretation is known to have a brighter surface than the foreground tank. Thus, the photometry at once confirms the witnesses' report that the UFO was shiny, like a fresh, aluminumpainted surface, but not a specular surface. The question is, how bright is the surface intrinsically, and what surface properties would be consistant with both the observed illuminated and shadowed side? Fig. 3 shows two families of solutions, one for the illuminated top surface and one for the shaded bottom side. Solutions for the latter have [[621]] Figure 2: Sighting Geometry Click on thumbnail to see full-size image. [[622]] f iles.ncas.org/condon/text/case46.htm 13/15 10/22/12 Condon Report, Photographic Case Studies: Cases 46 - 59 Figure 3: Brightness/Diameter/Distance Plot Click on thumbnail to see full-size image. [[623]] an uncertainty introduced by the difficulty of measuring the true shadow intensity or the tank. The distance is given as a function of the assumed increase in brightness over the value for the illuminated or shaded side of the aluminum-painted tank, respectively. Fig. 3 graphically illustrates the problem. For example, if the object is a model suspended from the wire only a few meters away, its surface is some 37% brighter than that of the tank, and the shaded side is probably more than 40% brighter than the shadow on the tank. But this is nearly impossible to maintain in the face of the photometry. Although the distant house's surface is roughly twice as bright as the tank's surface, its shadows can be only a few percent brighter, intrinsically, than those on the tank. This is basically the problem that was suggested by initial inspection of the photos: the shadowed side of the UFO appears to be so bright that it suggests significant scattering between it and the observer. The upshot is that if the top and bottom surfaces of the UFO are made out of essentially the same material, i.e. with the same albedo, the photometry indicates that the UFO is distant, at roughly r = 1.3 ± 0.4 km (est. P. E.). The witnesses referred to a slightly different hue of the bottom side of the UFO: they said it was more bronze than the silvery top side. We have assumed this change in tint had negligible effect on the photometry, although the implication is that the bottom has slightly lower albedo. If so the UFO would be still more distant. There is one last possibility for fabrication which has not been ruled out. Suppose the f iles.ncas.org/condon/text/case46.htm 14/15 10/22/12 Condon Report, Photographic Case Studies: Cases 46 - 59 object is a small model with a pale grey top and a bright white bottom (e.g. an aluminum pie pan sealed on the bottom with white paper). Could this account for the apparent lightness of the bottom, shaded side of the UFO? It is difficult to defend this idea in the face of the photometry. Our analysis of the house indicated that its shaded white surface had an intrinsic brightness of 0.43, which is very [[624]] close to the value measured for the shaded part of the aluminum-painted tank. Yet hypothetical fabrication requires a surface on the shaded bottom of the model that is of intrinsic shaded brightness 0.68, considerably brighter than the shaded part of the white house. In other words, the photometry appears to indicate that a very white surface on the bottom of a small model would be required to match the appearance of the photographs. To the extent that the photometric analysis is reliable, (and the measurements appear to be consistent), the photographs indicate an object with a bright shiny surface at considerable distance and on the order of tens of meters in diameter. While it would be exaggerating to say that we have positively ruled out a fabrication, it appears significant that the simplest, most direct interpretation of the photographs confirms precisely what the witnesses said they saw. Yet, the fact that the object appears beneath the same part of the overhead wire in both photos can be used as an argument favoring a suspended model. Conclusion: This is one of the few UFO reports in which all factors investigated, geometric, psychological, and physical appear to be consistent with the assertion that an extraordinary flying object, silvery, metallic, disk-shaped, tens of meters in diameter, and evidently artificial, flew within sight of two witnesses. It cannot be said that the evidence positively rules out a fabrication, although there are some physical factors such as the accuracy of certain photometric measures of the original negatives which argue against a fabrication. [[625]] f iles.ncas.org/condon/text/case46.htm 15/15 N'T Tell 10/24/12 You About His Investisation of the Famous McMinnville/Trent UFO-… What Bruce Maccabee DOESN'T Tell You About His Investigation of the Famous McMinnville/Trent UFO-Photo Case by Philip J. Klass (Copyright © 1995 by Philip J. Klass - Web Version Published by Author’s Permission) The most extensive investigation into the classic McMinnville, Ore., UFO-photo case of 1950 was conducted by Bruce Maccabee during the late 1970s and early 1980s's. A very detailed report on Maccabee's findings were contained in a 46-page single-spaced typewritten report in June, 1982, and six-page addendum dated May 1984. Maccabee's paper, titled "The McMinnville Photos," was included in "The Spectrum of UFO Research, published in 1988 by the Hynek Center for UFO Studies (CUFOS). Maccabee admitted that his time-consuming efforts to analyze the photos to determine if they were authentic were "not completely definitive." Maccabee conceded that "argument over the truth" of the account of the incident told by Mr./Mrs. Paul Trent "must be based in large part on their own testimony given to reporters, investigators and friends over the years." Maccabee admits that different versions of the incident were reported in the McMinnville Telephone Register, The Portland Oregonian and elsewhere, but he characterizes these as "slight differences." Maccabee opts not to provide examples or these "slight differences." Telephone Register, June 8, 1950 [quoting Evelyn Trent]: "We'd been out in the back yard. both of us saw the object at the same time. The camera! Paul thought it was in the car but I was sure it was in the house. I was right—and the Kodak was loaded with film...." [Emphasis added.] The Oregonian, June 10, 1950 [Partially based on recorded interview with Lou Gillette of station KMCM]: "She [Mrs. Trent] said she was the first to see it. She was out feeding the rabbits in the yard alongside the garage....She yelled to her husband then ran into the house to fetch him." [Emphasis added.] Maccabee offers the following explanations for such discrepancies: "Two people never give completely identical reports of the same event." [Emphasis added.] debunker.com/texts/BSMtrentPJK.html 1/5 N'T Tell 10/24/12 You About His Investisation of the Famous McMinnville/Trent UFO-… "...reporters usually do not report exactly what they ore told by a witness. Even quoted statements are not always correct. A reporter reports his interpretations of what the witness has said interpretations which might nor accurately portray what the witness was trying to describe." [Emphasis added.] "A newspaper story is usually edited to make it read smoothly and to fit within a certain space. This editing may further change the report by leaving out or modifying the statements by the witness." IN VIEW OF THIS BROAD-BRUSH CRITICISM OF TIIE ACCURACY OF REPORTERS, ONE SHOULD EXPECT THAT MACCABEE WOULD ACCURATELY QUOTE WHAT HE WAS TOLD DURING HIS TAPERECORDED TELEPHONE INTERVIEWS WITH MRS. TRENT. In Maccabee's paper, under the heading of "On the Possibility of Other Witnesses," he cites a brief story in Life magazine in June, 1950, which said: "None of Trent's neighbors saw (the) saucer." And he admits that none of the contemporary media accounts reported any other witnesses. The first mention of any other witnesses did not come until 19 years later when Paul Trent was being interviewed by (the late) James E. McDonald who asked if there had been any other witnesses. Paul Trent responded that his father had also seen the UFO. (Trent's father and mother lived about 450 ft. west.) When McDonald expressed an interest in talking to Trent's father, he was informed that he was now deceased. In Maccabee's paper he reports: "Mrs. Trent told me that she thought her mother-inlaw might also have seen it." [Emphasis added.] Following are excerpts from transcripts of Maccabee's telephone interviews with Mrs. Trent in the mid-1970s, which he provided me as part of our data exchange on the McMinnville case: Feb 3, 1974: Maccabee asked Mrs. Trent: "Did you ever hear of anybody else seeing anything like what you saw..." Mrs. Trent replied: "Well, I don't know. There have been several of them that have seen different lights and things like that." April 15, 1975: Maccabee asked Mrs. Trent: "Do you know if anybody else saw the some object- -the same thing at the same time you did?" Mrs. Trent replied: "Gosh, I don't know...people were talking about it." Feb. 22. 1976: When Maccabee--in response to my suggestion--once again asked if there had been any other witnesses to the original incident, he got quite a different answer. Mrs. Trent responded: "Well, the people that saw it, they're both dead." When Maccabee asked who these two witnesses were, Mrs. Trent identified them as her husband's father debunker.com/texts/BSMtrentPJK.html 2/5 and mother. Mrs. Trent went on to say that there was still another witness "a neighbor that lived about a mile away....She saw the same object what (sic) I did." But Mrs. Trent quickly added that this other witness, a Mrs. Chaplin, also was deceased. When Maccabee asked Mrs. Trent how she had first learned of Mrs. Chaplin's UFO sighting, Mrs. Trent replied: "Word got back to me through Mrs. Worth." Mrs. Trent explained to Maccabee that Mrs. Worth had learned of Mrs. Chaplin's sighting indirectly through a mutual friend. But a few minutes later, Mrs. Trent changed her story and said she had learned of Mrs. Chaplin's sighting directly from her: "She come up to me one time in church after the service was over and she said 'you know that object...that you guys saw and took a photo of, I think I saw the same object that same day." Maccabee expressed an interest in talking to Mrs. Worth and asked if Mrs. Trent could provide him with her telephone number. Mrs. Trent agreed to "try to get in touch with her, but she usually gets in touch with me instead of me with her." During Maccabee's March 9. 1976, telephone interview with Mrs. Trent, he asked if she had been Able to obtain Mrs. Worth's telephone number. Mrs. Trent replied: "She has moved since the last lime she called here...Her sister- -I got ahold of her- and she said she would try to find the address for me so I could write to her [Mrs. Worth]. But she didn't know....She said she's been moved for about a month....So I don't know her new address or anything yet." Later in the Interview, Maccabee asked: "How was it that Mrs. Worth found out about it [Trent's UFO sighting]?" Mrs. Trent replied: "She read it in the papers.. .then she said she'd seen something that looked like what we were talking about." Maccabee, understandably; was surprised that Mrs. Trent seemed to he claiming that Mrs. Worth also had seen the same UFO, so he asked: "Mrs. Worth said she had seen something?" Mrs. Trent replied: "Said she had seen things like it too but not that close. But she thought that she had probably seen something that looked like it--same time..." Clearly Mrs. Worth was an important person for Maccabee to interview and so when be next talked with Mrs. Trent on May 29, 1976, he again asked if she had been able to locate Mrs. Worth via her sister in McMinnville. Mrs. Trent responded: "She [Mrs. Worth's sister] was gone. She was gone to her sister- -out of state. " Maccabee said: "I hope you will try to get in contact with Mrs. Worth when she [sister] comes back so that I could try to call her up if she's got a phone." Mrs. Trent replied: "Yeah, I’ll try to find out if she has one or not...They’ve moved two times since they lived here" (Yet only two months earlier. on March 9. Mrs. Trent told Maccabee that Mrs. Worth had moved out of McMinnville a month earlier.) debunker.com/texts/BSMtrentPJK.html 3/5 N'T Tell 10/24/12 You About His Investisation of the Famous McMinnville/Trent UFO-… Eight months would pass before Maccabee again called Mrs. Trent. on Jan. 31, 1977. CURIOUSLY, HE DID NOT ASK IF MRS. TRENT HAD BEEN ABLE TO LOCATE MRS. WORTH, AND MRS. TRENT DID NOT MENTION THE MATTER. More than five years later, on Sept. 6, 1982, during a telephone conversation with Maccabee I asked if Mrs. Trent had ever been able to locate Mrs. Worth- -the last living witness who might corroborate Mrs. Trent's story. Maccabee told me that he had not talked with Trent in more than five years. I urged Maccabee to call Mrs. Trent to try to locate Mrs. Worth before the 'Grim Reaper' robbed UFOlogy of this important (alleged) witness. But it would be three months before Maccabee got around to calling Mrs. Trent on Dec. 9, 1982. When Maccabee asked about Mrs. Worth, Mrs. Trent responded that, alas, Mrs. Worth (like all the other alleged witnesses) had also died—about a year and a half earlier. How sad that Maccabee was too busy writing his lengthy report on his investigation into the Trent/McMinnville UFO photo case--a report which omits most of the insightful details of his telephone interviews with Mrs. Trent which are highlighted above. In Maccabee's report, he said that he decided to evaluate Mrs. Trent's truthfulness by means of Voice Stress Analysis (VSA). He submitted one of the tapes of his telephone interview with Mrs. Trent to two VSA analysts. One VSA analyst concluded: "that the statements given by Mrs. Trent to the interviewer on this tape ore true to the best o/ her knowledge." A second VSA analyst concluded that "there was little or no detectable stress in Mrs. Trent's voice when she answered questions about the sighting, about other alleged witnesses, and about other subjects." Philip J. Klass, Washington DC Nov. 26, 1995 Back to The Trent UFO Photos The UFO Skeptic's Page debunker.com/texts/BSMtrentPJK.html 4/5 N'T Tell 10/24/12 You About His Investisation of the Famous McMinnville/Trent UFO-… debunker.com/texts/BSMtrentPJK.html 5/5 The Chiles-Whitted Case Montgomery, Alabama July 24, 1948 Douglas Commercial DC-3 Dr. James E. McDonald: Another one of the famous airline sightings of earlier years is the Chiles-Whitted Eastern Airlines case (Refs. 3, 5, G , 10, 23, 24, 25, 26). An Eastern DC-3, en route from Houston to Atlanta, was flying at an altitude of about 5,000 ft.. near Montgomery at 2 :45 a.m. The pilot, Capt. Clarence S. Chiles, and the co-pilot, John B. Whitted, both of whom now fly jets for Eastern, were experienced fliers (for example, Chiles then had 8500 hours in the air, and both had wartime military flying duty behind them.). I interviewed both Chiles and Whitted earlier this year to crosscheck the many points of interests in this case. Space precludes a full account of all relevant details. Chiles pointed out to me that they first saw the object coming out of a distant squall line area which they were just reconnoitering. At first, they thought it was a jet, whose exhaust was somehow accounting for the advancing glow that had first caught their eyes. Coming almost directly at them at nearly their flight altitude, it passed off their starboard wing at a distance on which the two men could not closely agree: one felt it was under 1000 ft., the other put it at several times that. But both agreed, then and in my 1968 interview, that the object was some kind of vehicle. They saw no wings or empennage, but both were struck by a pair of rows of windows or some apparent openings from which there came a bright glow "like burning magnesium." The object had a pointed "nose", and from the nose to the rear along its underside there was a bluish glow. Out of the rear end came an orange-red exhaust or wake that extended back by about the same distance as the object's length. The two men agreed that its size approximated that of a B-29, though perhaps twice as thick. Their uncertainty as to true distance, of course, renders this only a rough impression. There is uncertainty in the record, and in their respective recollections, as to whether their DC-3 was rocked by something like a wake. Perception of such an effect would have been masked by Chiles' spontaneous reaction of turning the DC-3 off to the left as the object came in on their right. Both saw it pass aft of them and do an abrupt pullup; but only Whitted, on the right side, saw the terminal phase in which the object disappeared after a short but fast vertical ascent. By "disappeared", Whitted made clear to me that he meant just that; earlier interrogations evidently construed this to mean "disappeared aloft" or into the broken cloud deck that lay above them. Whitted said that was not so; the object vanished instantaneously after its sharp pull-up. (This is not an isolated instance of abrupt disappearance. Obviously I cannot account for such cases.) Discussion. This case has been the subject of much comment over the years, and rightly so. Menzel (Ref. 24) first proposed that this was a "mirage", but gave no basis for such an unreasonable interpretation. The large azimuth-change of the pilots' line of sight, the lack of any obvious light source to provide a basis for the rather detailed structure of what was seen, the sharp pull-up, and the high flight altitude involved all argue quite strongly against such a casual disposition of the case. In his second book, Menzel (Ref. 25) shifts to the explanation that they had obviously seen a meteor. A horizontally-moving fireball under a cloud-deck, at 5000 ft., exhibiting two rows of lights construed by experienced pilots as ports, and finally executing a most nonballistic 90-degree sharp pull-up, is a strange fireball indeed. Menzels 1963 explanation is even more objectionable, in that he implies, via a page of sidediscussion, that the Eastern pilots had seen a fireball from the Delta Aquarid meteor stream. As I have pointed out elsewhere (Ref. 2), the radiant of that stream was well over 90-degrees away from the origin point of the unknown object. Also, bright fireballs are, with only rare exceptions, not typical of meteor streams. The official explanation was shifted recently from "Unidentified" to "Meteor", following publication of Menzel's 1963 discussion (see Ref. 20, p.88). Wingless, cigar-shaped or "rocket-shaped" objects, some emitting glowing wakes, have been reported by other witnesses. Thus, Air Force Capt. Jack Puckett, flying near 4000 ft. over Tampa in a C-47 on August 1, 1946 (Ref. 10, p.23), described seeing "a long, cylindrical shape approximately twice the size of a B-29 with luminous portholes", from the aft end of which there came a stream of fire as it flew near his aircraft. Puckett states that he, his copilot, Lt. H. F. Glass, and the flight engineer also saw it as it came in to within an estimated 1000 yards before veering off. Another somewhat similar airborne sighting, made in January 22, 1956 by TWA Flight Engineer Robert Mueller at night over New Orleans, is on record (Ref. 27). Still another similar sighting is the AAL case cited below (Sperry case). Again, over Truk Is., in the Pacific, a Feb. 6, 1953, mid-day sighting by a weather officer involved a bullet-shaped object without wings or tail (Ref. 7, Rept. No.10). Finally, within an hour's time of the Chiles-Whitted sighting, Air Force ground personnel at Robins AFB, Georgia, saw a rocket-like object shoot overhead in a westerly direction (Refs. 3, 5, 10, 6). In none of these instances does a meteorological or astronomical explanation suffice to explain the sightings. Source: Dr. James E. McDonald, Prepared Statement on Unidentified Flying Objects, Page 42-43, Hearings, 1968. Contra Chiles Whitted From The Condon Report Chapter 2 Processes of Perception, Conception, and Reporting William K. Hartmann 6. Additional Remarks on Percepts and Concepts The "airship effect" and "excitedness effect" apply to the Eastern Airlines case of 1948 (better known as the Chiles-Whitted case). This will serve as an example of the difficulties of establishing any concrete evidence for "flying saucers" when one is forced to distinguish percepts and concepts of a few witnesses in older cases. [[962]] Briefly, pilot Chiles and co-pilot Whitted reported flashing by them in a few seconds a "wingless aircraft with no fins or protruding surfaces, [which] was cigar-shaped, about 100 ft. long, and about twice the diameter of a B-29 Superfortress. It seemed to have two rows of windows through which glowed a very bright light, brilliant as a magnesium flare. An intense dark-blue glow like a blue fluorescent factory light shown at the bottom along the entire length, and red-orange flames shot out from the rear to a distance of some fifty feet" (Menzel, 1963). This case has been one of the mainstays in the arguments for "flying saucers" and NICAP has described it as the "classic" cigar-shaped object (Hall, 1964). Hynek, as consultant to the Air Force, and Menzel and Boyd account for it as a fireball (Menzel, 1963). The present discussion provides definitive evidence that fireballs can be described in just the way reported by Chiles and Whitted. The investigator is faced with the perfectly conceivable possibility that Chiles and Whitted, suffering from the "airship effect," became excited and reported a misconception - a cigar-shaped object with windows and flames - just as a fraction of witnesses to spectacular fireballs are now known to do. A second example from my own experience illustrates the difficulties of transforming perceptions into conceptions (and explanations). During the course of the Colorado project investigation, I was sitting in the left side of an airliner, just behind the wing. As I looked out over patchy clouds, I saw an object apparently passing us in the distance, flying the other way. It came out from under our wing, not far below the horizon, and drifted slowly behind us until, because of the window geometry, I could no longer see far enough behind to observe it. It moved like a distant airliner, but was a grey, ill-defined disk, with major axis about a third of the apparent size of the moon. It was darker than the clouds, but lighter than the ground. It appeared to be a diskshaped, nebulous "aircraft," flying smoothly in an orientation parallel to the ground. [[963]] I was sufficiently shaken by this to pull out some paper and begin making copious notes. During this operation I glanced out again and this time saw clearly a distant airliner, slightly above the horizon this time, but moving in the same way. There was no question that this was an airliner, for in spite of its having the same angular size as the disk, I could clearly see its wings and tail. Just then, the pilot banked to the right, raising the left wing, and suddenly the distant plane became a grey, nebulous disk. It had passed behind the distorting exhaust stream of the jet engine, which was suspended and obscured under the wing. The first disk, or plane, had flown directly behind this stream, whose presence had slipped my mind. In summary, an investigator of UFOs is in effect asking for all the records of strange things seen, and he must be sober in recognizing the tremendous variety of sources of distortion and misconception. Each case of misconception may involve its own processes of error, but perhaps common to all such cases is an easy tendency to "fix" on an early conception of a percept, by a process that is analogous to that of the "staircase" optical illusion in which one conceives of the staircase as being seen either from "above" or "below". Another example is the common difficulty in looking at aerial photographs. One may conceive of the relief as being seen either "positive" or "negative." Once the conception occurs it is difficult to dispel it. If you see a star at night from an airplane but conceive of it as an object pacing the aircraft at only 300 yd. distance, it is easy to retain this conception. As R. V. Jones (1968) has pointed out (reviewing his wartime intelligence investigative experience in the context of the UFO problem), "witnesses were generally right when they said that something had happened at a particular place, although they could be wildly wrong about what had happened." (WKH emphasis). THE UFO BRIEFING DOCUMENT CASE HISTORIES 1986: JAPAN AIRLINES 747 OVER ALASKA Japan Air Lines Flight 1628 was near the end of the Iceland-to-Anchorage leg of its flight from Paris to Tokyo with a cargo of wine, when its flight crew saw and tracked three unidentified objects. On the night of November 17, 1986, the sighting of at least one of the UFOs was initially confirmed by FAA and U.S. military ground radar. According to Captain Kenju Terauchi, First Officer Takanori Tamefuji and Flight Engineer Yoshio Tsukuda, two small lights and one huge lighted object were in sight on their radar for more than a half hour. They watched as they flew 350 miles (550 km.) southward across Alaska from Ft. Yukon toward Anchorage. Drawings by Captain Terauchi and the crew of JAL flight 1628 of the UFOs they observed over Alaska in November 1986. Courtesy of FAA. Captain Terauchi, a veteran of 29 years flying, said "It was a very big one--two times bigger than an aircraft carrier." (see drawing above) He changed altitude and made turns, with FAA permission, in an effort to identify the objects which continued to follow him. He said the objects moved quickly and stopped suddenly. At one time, the light from the large object was so bright that it lit the airplane's cockpit and Captain Terauchi said he could feel heat from it on his face. He 75 added that he had been watching the UFO for six minutes before notifying anyone on the ground; this would make the start of the sighting about 6:13 p.m. The FAA at first confirmed the claims that several of its radar traffic controllers tracked the 747 and the large object, and that U.S. Air Force radar did as well. Later official statements hedged on this, and tried to ascribe the radar targets to weather effects. At the end, however, an FAA spokesman stated, "We are accepting the descriptions of the crew, but are unable to support what they saw."119 The summary of the communication between JAL Captain Terauchi and ground controllers was published by the Federal Aviation Administration: "6:19 p.m. local time - The pilot of JL1628 requested traffic information from the ZAN (FAA Air Route Traffic Control Center, Anchorage) Sector 15 controller. "6:26 p.m. - ZAN contacted the Military Regional Operations Control Center (ROCC), and asked if they were receiving any radar returns near the position of JL1628. The ROCC advised that they were receiving a primary radar return in JL1628's 10 o'clock (left-front) position at 8 miles [13 km.]. "6:27 p.m. - The ROCC contacted ZAN to advise they were no longer receiving any radar returns in the vicinity of JL1628. "6:31 p.m. - JL1628 advised that the 'plane' was 'quite big,' at which time the ZAN controller approved any course deviations needed to avoid the traffic. "6:32 p.m. - JL1628 requested and received a descent from FL350 to FL310 (flight level 350 and 310, meaning altitude of 35,000 and 31,000 feet, or 10,500 m. and 9,500 m.). When asked if the traffic was descending also, the pilot stated it was descending 'in formation.' "6:35 p.m. - JL1628 requested and received a heading change to two one zero (210 degrees, or southwest). The aircraft was now in the vicinity of Fairbanks and ZAN contacted Fairbanks Approach Control asking if they had any radar returns near JL1628's position. The Fairbanks Controller advised they did not. "6:36 p.m. - JL1628 was issued a 360 degree turn and asked to inform ZAN if the traffic stayed with them. "6:38 p.m. - The ROCC called ZAN advising they had confirmed a 'flight of two' in JL1628's position. They advised they had some 'other equipment watching this,' and one was a primary target only. "6:39 p.m. - JL1628 told ZAN they no longer had the traffic in sight. "6:42 p.m. - The ROCC advised it looked as though the traffic had dropped back and to the right of JL1628, however, they were no longer tracking it. "6:44 pm.. - JL1628 advised the traffic was now at 9 o'clock (left). "6:45 p.m. - ZAN issued a 10 degree turn to a northbound United Airlines flight, after pilot concurrence, in an attempt to confirm the traffic. "6:48 p.m. - JL1628 told ZAN the traffic was now at 7 o'clock (left rear), 8 miles [13 km.]. 76 "6:50 p.m. - The northbound United flight advised they had the Japan Airlines flight in sight, against a light background, and could not see any other traffic. "6:53 p.m. - JL1628 advised that they no longer had contact with the traffic."120 Official statements became increasingly negative as the days passed, casting doubt on the radar confirmation of the visual observations. But at a press conference held by the FAA on March 5, spokesman Paul Steucke stated: "As far as we know, the whole crew are people of integrity and did report what they saw accurately." 121 The JAL case was analyzed by optical physicist Dr. Bruce Maccabee, who divided it into four phases. In the first phase, Captain Terauchi saw some distant lights below and to his left, which seemed to pace the 747. Terauchi initially thought they were military aircraft, but was told by the Control Center that there was no traffic in the area. The second phase was the multiple-witness sighting by the whole crew when the lights moved abruptly in front of the aircraft. Maccabee wrote: "The multiple-witness sighting of the arrays of lights seems inexplicable. The sighting cannot have been a hallucination by the whole crew. The lights could not have been stars or planets. These stars and planets were visible before the 'ships' appeared in front of the plane and were still visible after the 'ships' had moved away. There is no natural phenomenon that can account for the rectangular arrangement of lights in horizontal rows, for the occasional sparking, for the vertical rectangular dark space between the rows, for the reorientation of the pairs of arrays from one above the other to one beside the other, for the heat which the captain felt on his face, and so on."122 The third phase occurred as the "ships" receded and could only be seen as "two dim, pale, white lights," but an echo was picked up by the aircraft on-board radar. While Maccabee concedes that the echo could have been caused by "a temporary (self-repairing) failure" (as suggested by the FAA), he added that "it seems much more likely that there was some object out there." The last phase is perhaps the most controversial one, as Captain Terauchi was the only witness of the so-called giant spaceship "two times bigger than an aircraft carrier." Maccabee conceded: "It seems at least plausible that he may have misinterpreted oddly lighted clouds which the crew had reported to be below the aircraft. Although the several ground radar returns behind the jet were intriguing, the failure of the radar to show a continuous track of some unknown primary target makes the radar confirmation ambiguous at best. Therefore it seems that, at the very least, the last portion of the sighting is not so convincing as the earlier portions. "Even if one arbitrarily ignores that latter part of the 'Fantastic Flight of JAL1628' one is still left with an intriguing sighting of the two 'ships' which paced the aircraft. It seems, then, that the JAL1628 was accompanied during part of its flight by at least two TRUFOS (True UFOs)."123 _______________________________________ FOOTNOTES 119. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) report, December 29, 1986. 120. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), "Chronological Summary of the Alleged Aircraft 77 Sightings by Japan Airlines Flight 1628, January 6, 1987. 121. Statement by FAA Regional Director, Paul Steucke, at March 5, 1987, press conference in Anchorage, Alaska. See Anchorage Daily News, March 6, 1987. 122. Maccabee, Bruce, "The Fantastic Flight of JAL1628", International UFO Reporter, Vol. 12, No. 2, CUFOS, March/April 1987. 123. Ibid. 78 Compiled by Instructor… The Kelly Johnson UFO Incident On December 16, Johnson and his wife Althea were visiting their Lindero Ranch near Agoura, California, which was situated on a hillside facing the coast not far from Pt Mugu Naval Air Station, an aircraft and missile test facility. At about 5 PM Johnson was looking through a window at the brilliant sunset when he noticed a dark elliptical shape in the sky in the direction of Pt Mugu cape. His first thought was that it was a lenticular cloud, or possibly a smoke trail from an aircraft, but it remained stationary and unchanged for several minutes. He called for Althea to bring him his 8-power binoculars and ran outside. By that time the object had begun to move, accelerating away from him in a shallow climb in a direction opposite to the motion of the other clouds in the sky. It seemed to be very large and distant, and moving fast, but he had no real way of knowing its actual size, distance or speed. At the same time, coincidentally, a Lockheed airplane was in the air on a test flight along the Los Angeles coastline. Constellation airframe 4301 was the prototype for a Navy Airborne Early Warning (AEW) aircraft, the WV-2 Warning Star. The WV-2 was a large four-engine transport equipped with huge blisters housing radar antennas (a search radar unit in the belly and a height-finder in a dorsal fairing), and was designed to fly very long standing patrols far off the coasts of North America to provide long-range detection of incoming Soviet bombers. Constellation 4301 was the first of a long line of Navy WV-2s and Air Force EC-121s that would provide a vital part of the North American air defense network throughout the 1950s and '60s. WV-2 airframe number 4301, USN serial number 126521, the aircraft involved in the UFO incident At the controls of the Warning Star were Rudy Thoren and Roy Wimmer, both highly experienced senior test pilots in the Constellation program, assisted by Joseph F. Ware, Jr, another longtime Lockheed engineering test pilot.[3] Also in the cockpit were Charlie Grugan, another veteran company pilot, and Lockheed's Chief Aerodynamicist, Philip A Colman. It was customary for Lockheed engineers to ride aboard their planes during test flights, and Johnson himself often did so. (There are no indications that the elaborate radar systems, which required a crew of at least a dozen men, were active during the flight.) Philip Colman, Roy Wimmer, Lockheed flight test crew including Johnson and Wimmer (second from right and right) Thoren had been recruited by Johnson from their alma mater, the aeronautical engineering school at University of Michigan, and had been Chief of Flight Test for Lockheed since 1946, in charge of all the company's test pilots. Colman was a Cal Tech graduate who had made valuable contributions to the P-38 program, and who would soon be tasked by Johnson with designing the wings for the new CL-282 recon plane. All of the crewmen were top representatives of their fields, having flown for the company for years in development programs of a variety of sophisticated aircraft. The exact purpose of the test flight is not detailed in the sighting reports, but such flights typically involved calibration of airspeed vs engine power settings at various altitudes, and therefore the crewmen were very conscious of the height of the aircraft. Altitude recording instruments were carried on board. Though Wimmer was technically the pilot in command, he had turned the controls over to Thoren and was maintaining a watch for other air traffic as Thoren conducted his tests. They had turned from a southeast heading to west, just off the coast of Long Beach, when, at 4:58 PM, Wimmer noticed a dark shape ahead at about their altitude of 14,000 feet. After watching it for a few moments and noting that it was not moving, he jokingly pointed it out to Thoren, saying "Look out, there's a flying saucer." Thoren turned the WV-2 a bit to the right to head toward the object. The other men saw the object too and watched it for a few minutes with a growing sense of curiosity. It appeared to be a very large aircraft of some type, but as it remained stationary and unchanged in shape over at least a five minute period, they became more and more intrigued. Thoren finally diverted from his course and headed directly at it. They flew toward it at about 225 mph for some time without appearing to gain on it at all. Then Wimmer, who was less occupied with piloting tasks and was able to keep a constant watch on the object, commented that it seemed to be disappearing. Within a few moments it appeared to head west directly away from them at high speed, remaining dark and solid-looking the entire time as it dwindled to a tiny dot. They all felt that it was a large object at a considerable distance, and compared its size to the largest types of transport or bomber aircraft. The men later reported that they thought little more of the incident at the time due to their preoccupation with completing the test mission, but Thoren was intrigued enough that upon returning home that evening he told his family about the sighting and sketched the object. The following day, Kelly Johnson had returned to work and was discussing the WV-2 test flight with Thoren, who was still ruminating on the incident. A bit worried that Johnson would ridicule him, the pilot casually mentioned the sighting. Thoren was surprised when Johnson excitedly interrupted him and described his own sighting in detail. Both concluded that all the witnesses had been viewing the same object at the same time. Over the course of the next few weeks each of the pilots wrote a detailed personal account of the case, probably at Johnson's urging, and the Chief Engineer, in his typical meticulous style, assembled them into a file (Lockheed file LAC/149536) and drafted a personal cover letter addressed to the "Air Force Investigation Group on Flying Saucers" at Wright Field. Then, tough and combative as he was, Johnson hesitated to send the report. After all, he was hoping to get a foot in the door of the Air Force's new covert strategic reconnaissance aircraft competition and was very concerned that a UFO report might jeopardize his credibility. He may have sought the advice of his friend, Lt General Donald Putt. General Putt's Involvement ARDC commander Putt, who had the responsibility for reviewing and approving new Air Force reconnaissance projects like Johnson's CL-282, had also had a long, if intermittent, association with the UFO problem. A former test pilot with a solid Cal Tech engineering background, Putt was one of the stars of the Air Force, having risen to prominence as project officer for the B-29 bomber during WWII. Closely allied with Theodore von Karman's Scientific Advisory Board (he would be its military supervisor for several years), Putt had helped make science and advanced technology the backbone of the emerging air service. He had been commander of T-2 Air Intelligence during a crucial period following the end of hostilities in Europe and had been a strong backer of Operation Paperclip, the transfer of German aeronautical scientists to Wright Field. A widely-respected, politically savvy officer, Putt showed little evidence of the antipathy to UFOs that many other Air Force generals exhibited. In December 1948 Project RAND missile expert James Lipp had written a paper at Putt's request that examined the possibility that UFOs were extraterrestrial spacecraft that used propulsion principles comparable to known or foreseeable rocket technology. (The fascinating paper was published as an appendix to the final report of Project SIGN.) Just months before the Lockheed UFO incident, Putt and twenty-five USAF scientists and officials had visited the plant of Avro Aircraft Limited in Toronto, Canada, where he had seen a full-scale engineering mockup of an advanced, supersonic saucer-like aircraft, "Project Y," that had been conceived by a group of ex-British engineers. Avro Project Y mockup He was impressed enough by the design that ARDC would begin to fund its development within the year. The Project Y vehicle was a virtual replica of Kenneth Arnold's initial June 1947 sketches of a "spade-shaped" UFO, probably because the Avro craft's chief designer was an avid collector of UFO data and considered Arnold's report to be reliable. The Project Y machine, which had been under development since the fall of 1951, was somewhat similar to Nathan Price's 1952-3 concept, and like the Lockheed saucer was intended to be able to take off vertically, hover in midair, and climb to extreme altitudes at incredible speeds. It seems likely that Lockheed, having originated one of the most sophisticated saucer-like aircraft concepts to date, would have been aware of the the Avro design prior to the UFO incident. In any case, Putt's visit to Avro was no secret. It was featured prominently in US newspapers, particularly in the New York Times. In two articles, one in September, at the time of the trip, and another in early October, the Times discussed Putt's interest in the Avro VTOL disc. Perhaps a more important indicator of the effect of Putt's Avro visit was Project Blue Book's Report 12, which was issued about eleven weeks before the Lockheed UFO incident. Report 12 devoted several pages to a somewhat garbled history of the Avro project and its designer's attempts to interest the US in the concept. The report noted that the Avro engineers believed that the Soviets were responsible for many UFO reports, and that Red saucers were being launched from submarines off the North American coasts on surreptitious overflights of the US. Avro, Report 12 said, wanted to install their saucer in submarines too. Oddly enough, an article touting Putt's positive comments about the Avro saucer appeared in the December 16 edition of the magazine "People Today" -- the very day of the Lockheed sighting. Putt clearly made his views on the Avro saucer known within the Air Force as well. On December 29, Maj Gen John Samford, Air Force Director of Intelligence,memoed Col George L Wertenbaker, ATIC chief, on the Avro program. It is my understanding that you are continuing an active interest in the 'Flying Saucer' being developed by the Canadians. Also, you may have knowledge of General Putt's reaction to their program from his recent trip to that country. I would appreciate your analysis of this Canadian program. There is also an interest from both the possibility standpoint, and the time factor required by a foreign country to achieve results in this field. If you so desire, we might be able through our contacts with the Canadians here, to arrange ATIC representation during this development, or phases thereof. Kelly Johnson had close personal and professional ties with Putt and officers like him, and it's likely that some time in early 1954 the two discussed the UFO sighting. Putt also received a copy of the formal Lockheed sighting report from the company via some unnamed intermediary. The general understood Johnson's concerns about the credibility problems a UFO report would cause, and forwarded the file to Col George Wertenbaker at the Air Technical Intelligence Center at Wright-Patterson AFB in mid-February with personal cover letter. "This report was handed to me by Lockheed personnel," Putt informed Wertenbaker, with the explanation that Mr. Johnson was most reluctant to write the report in the first place and then refused to forward it on to you because of his belief that those who profess to have seen flying saucers are not usually considered to be logical and practical hard-headed engineers. However, I thought you should have the report for whatever value it may be in your overall studies. Putt's intervention would seem to have guaranteed that the incident would be taken seriously. Nevertheless, the eventual official Blue Book evaluation was that the object was just a lenticular cloud. The Case File and Its Implications Although the sighting was not highly dramatic in comparison to many UFO reports, what makes it particularly unusual - and scientifically useful - is that it was a long-duration daylight sighting of an object seen by two independent groups of observers. Moreover, these groups - one stationary and one moving - were separated by very long baselines in both horizontal and vertical planes, facilitating triangulation of the object's position. One group even had the advantage of using optical instruments to view the UFO. Unlike many sensationalized UFO events, these observations were recorded in a calm, professional manner by the witnesses themselves while the details were still fresh in their minds. No media attention was sought or desired. And most importantly, the integrity and competence of this particular group of observers is almost unquestionable. A more qualified set of eyewitnesses would be hard to imagine. Because of their precise observations and careful documentation of the incident, a great deal of information can be extracted from the account. Available weather data makes it clear that Blue Book's rubber-stamp identification of the object as a lenticular cloud is untenable...and therefore the object's identity is still a mystery. There was no question in about this in Kelly Johnson’s view. He was absolutely certain that it was no cloud, aircraft or other mundane object. The case file reveals a multitude of intriguing threads, including references to prior sightings by several of the engineers. Johnson furnished two signed sketches with his report. One showed the December 1953 object, a simple flattened ellipse, but the second, dated "about November 1951," shows a strange object resembling a rounded, sweptback flying wing aircraft. In his written account, Johnson elaborates: I should also state that about two years ago Mrs. Johnson and I saw an object which I believed at the time, and still do, to be a saucer, flying west of Brents Junction, California, on a very dark night. I did not see the object itself but saw a clearly defined flame or emanation, as shown on the attached sketch. This object was travelling from east to west at a very high speed and with no noise. The flame or emanation was a beautiful light blue, having extremely well defined edges. My first impression was that it was an afterburning airplane, but the lack of noise and the pure spread of the flame eliminated that possibility completely. (Brents Junction is a small town just east of Johnson's Agoura ranch.) Roy Wimmer mentioned in his report that he had seen mysterious lights over Santa Catalina Island sometime in 1951 or 1952 during a flight in Constellation 1961S, the original prototype of the Constellation line. Joseph Ware reported that he had previously visited a group of UFO enthusiasts at Giant Rock. While he does not specify the group by name, it seems clear that this is a reference to contactee George Van Tassel and his followers. Van Tassel had been a mechanic for Howard Hughes, who was, via his airline TWA, the original customer for the Constellation airliner. Van Tassel had later worked directly for Lockheed on the Constellation program and it's almost a given that the Constellation test crew on board the WV-2 during the sighting would have known him. For better or worse, Lockheed's contactees lurk in the background of the Johnson sighting. The likelihood is high that Johnson at least would have been aware of Van Tassel's beliefs and activities, and probably considered that ridicule aimed at the Giant Rock group could easily have spilled over onto his own sighting and onto the Skunk Works itself. This may explain the fact that his sighting report file was held back from ATIC and only reached Putt through a "back channel." The most fascinating single point in the file is its clarification of Kelly Johnson's opinions on UFOs. Far from sharing the skeptical attidude that Hall Hibbard displayed in 1947, Johnson reveals himself to be committed to UFO reality: I should state that for at least five years I have definitely believed in the possibility that flying saucers exist - this in spite of a good deal of kidding from my technical associates. Having seen this particular object on December 16th, I am now more firmly convinced than ever that such devices exist, and I have some highly technical converts in this belief as of that date. What happened circa 1948 to make Johnson a believer? Was he given intelligence briefings that convinced him? Had he spoken to reliable pilots who had had persuasive sightings? Had he heard of Project SIGN's legendary Estimate of the Situation that concluded that flying discs were extraterrestrial? Had CIA's Phil Strong used Johnson as an unofficial consultant or sounding board on UFO-related issues? [4] Since he felt that it was important to document the sighting and ultimately forward a report to the Air Force (in spite of any embarrassment it might cause himself or Lockheed), Johnson obviously was aware of the existence of an Air Force UFO investigation project, but he clearly was not intimately familiar with it, since his report is generically addressed to an "Air Force Investigating Group on Flying Saucers," rather than to Project Blue Book by name. It is worth noting that Johnson does not specifically state that he believed in the extraterrestrial origin of these "devices." But it seems clear that he regarded them as vehicles of some type, and certainly their performance was beyond that of any known or foreseeable manmade craft - even Avro's or Lockheed's own super-saucer concept. Another unanswered question is what effect that Johnson's sighting may have had on his peers in the military and the intelligence community. Given Johnson's stature, such a report must have given the most UFO-phobic skeptics pause, and in fact there are indications that Johnson made many of his closer associates aware of the incident over the years. Notes [1] The Lockheed case came to my attention through a reference in Mike Hall's and Wendy Connors' book "Summer of the Saucers." Hall and Connors, in turn, had learned of it from one of veteran UFO historian Loren Gross's invaluable monographs. I was intrigued by the unusual sketch of the UFO that accompanied the report and was curious as to which Lockheed engineer was responsible. The HallConnors version of the story was drawn from the "sanitized" Blue Book files released to the public in the 1970s in which the identities of the witnesses had been obscured. Mike Hall kindly provided the Blue Book microfilm roll containing the file. Mary Castner of CUFOS gave indispensable assistance in this project, and Brad Sparks's encyclopedic knowledge of the CIA's interaction with UFOs, FOIA releases and general UFO history led to recovery of unsanitized versions of the Blue Book case file which contained vital information. This article would not exist without their outstanding cooperation. [2] Extensive declassified documentation on CIA's interaction with UFOs makes it clear that Phil Strong was the Agency's point man on the issue as late as 1962. While Pocock states that he considers it unlikely that Strong was Johnson's source of information concerning the Air Force reconnaissance project (and other Lockheed officials already knew of it), senior CIA official Robert Amory recalled that this was the case. In any event, Johnson clearly had close ties with Strong, who was moving in rather interesting circles. Strong had links with strategic reconnaissance studies such as the 1952 MIT/Lincoln Laboratory "Beacon Hill" project and the reconnaissance panel of the USAF Scientific Advisory Board. At the same time, he was involved with CIA's Office of Scientific Intelligence UFO research. See http://www/foia.ucia.gov/ [3] Wimmer and Ware would be crew members on early flights of another famous Lockheed product, the C-130 Hercules, in 1954. [4] According to a former senior aerospace management official who knew Johnson, USAF Chief of Staff General Hoyt Vandenberg had given a briefing to the heads of the major aviation companies circa 1948 in which he emphasized the Air Force’s continuing concern with UFOs and its ongoing investigation of reports. [5] To UFO researchers, who know of tens of thousands of sighting reports, this controversial claim seems absurd on its face, but it may be a matter of semantics and perspective. Former CIA photoanalyst Dino Brugioni states that he was one of the liaison points between the U-2 program and Air Force UFO investigators. Brugioni claimed that airline pilot reports that might have been stimulated by early U-2 development flights in the Nevada area circa 1955-6 were referred to him by certain AQUATONE-cleared Air Force personnel. He would check flight plans and inform the Air Force investigators of probable "hits." It appears that from CIA’s point of view, many UFO reports that it learned of via this highly selective channel were caused by the U-2. Sources -, United States Air Force Biography, Lt General Donald Putt, http://www.af.mil/news/biographies/putt_dl.html Beschloss, Michael R, Mayday: Eisenhower, Khrushchev and the U-2 Affair. New York: Harper & Row, 1986 Brugioni, Dino, correspondence with author, April 1994 Clark, Jerome, The UFO Encyclopedia, Volume 2 - entries for Angelucci, Orfeo Matthew and Van Tassel, George W Dwayne A Day, John Logsdon, and Brian Latell, (eds.), Eye in the Sky: The Story of the Corona Spy Satellites. Washington, DC: Smithsonian, 1998 Francillon, Rene J, Lockheed Aircraft Since 1913. Annapolis, MD: Naval Institute Press, 1987 - , Lockheed Constellation Military Variants. Wings of Fame, Vol 20 Ginter, Steve, Naval Fighters Number Eight: Lockheed C-121 Constellation. Simi Valley, CA: Naval Fighters, 1983 Gross, Loren, UFOs: A History, 1953: August-December. Fremont, CA: 1990 Hall, Michael David and Wendy Ann Connors, Captain Edward J Ruppelt: Summer of the Saucers - 1952. Albuquerque: Rose Press, 2000 Haines, Gerald K, "A Die-Hard Issue: CIA's Role in the Study of UFOs, 1947-1990."Studies in Intelligence Vol 0, No 1, 1997 (http://www.cia.gov/csi/studies/97unclass/ufo.html) Johnson, Clarence L, Kelly: More Than My Share Of It All. Washington, DC: Smithsonian Press, 1985 Jung, Carl G, Flying Saucers: A Modern Myth of Things Seen in the Skies. Princeton University Press, 1978 McIninch, Thomas P, "The OXCART Story," Studies in Intelligence 15, 1 (Winter 1971) Miller, Jay, Lockheed's Skunk Works. Arlington, TX: Aerofax, 1993 - , Aerograph 3: Lockheed U-2. Austin, TX: Aerofax, 1983 Pace, Steve, Lockheed Skunk Works. Osceola, WI: Motorbooks, 1992 Pearson, June, "This is a Story About Mr Van Tassel Who Lives in a Rock and Has a Time Machine." Desert Magazine, March, 1967 Pedlow, Gregory W and Donald E Welzenbach, The Central Intelligence Agency and Overhead Reconnaissance: The U-2 and OXCART Programs, 1954-1974. Washington, DC: CIA, 1992 Peebles, Curtis, Dark Eagles: A History of Top Secret US Aircraft Programs. Novato, CA: Presidio, 1995 - , Shadow Flights: America's Secret Air War Against The Soviet Union. Novato, CA: Presidio, 2000 Pocock, Chris, The U-2 Spyplane: Toward The Unknown. Atglen, PA: Schiffer, 2000 Polmar, Norman, Spyplane: The U-2 History Declassified. Osceola, WI: MBI, 2001 Rich, Ben and Leo Janos. Skunk Works. New York: Little, Brown and Company, 1994 Richelson, Jeffrey T., The Wizards of Langley: Inside the CIA's Directorate of Science and Technology. Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 2001 St Peter, James, The History of Gas Turbine Engine Development in the United States...A Tradition of Excellence. Atlanta, GA: International Gas Turbine Institute of The Society of Mechanical Engineers, 1999 Sloop, John L, Liquid Hydrogen as a Propulsion Fuel. Washington, DC: NASA, 1978 Sturm, Thomas A, The USAF Scientific Advisory Board: Its First Twenty Years. Washington, DC: Office of Air Force History, 1987 Wise, David and Thomas B Ross, The U-2 Affair. New York: Bantam, 1962 Zuk, Bill, Canada's Flying Saucer: The Story of Avro Canada's Secret Projects. Erin, ON: Boston Mills Press, 2001 ORIGINAL PROJECT BLUE BOOK REPORT Kelly Johnson Case ======= 15 February 1954 Colonel George L. Wertenbaker Commander Air Technical Intelligence Center Wright-Patterson Air Force Base, Ohio Dear Colonel Wertenbaker: I am enclosing a report, prepared by Clarence L. Johnson, Chief Engineer of Lockheed Aircraft Corporation and some of his associates, regarding a “flying saucer” incident. This report was handed to me by Lockheed personnel with the explanation that Mr. Johnson was most reluctant to write the report in the first place and then refused to forward it on to you because of his belief that those who profess to have seen flying saucers are not usually considered to be logical and practical hard-headed engineers. However, I thought you should have the report for whatever value it may be in your overall studies. Best Regards. Sincerely yours, D.L. Putt Lieutenant General, USAF Commander 1Incl: Report ======= January 23 1954 LAC/149536 Subject: Sighting of Flying Saucer by Certain Lockheed Aircraft Corporation Personnel To: Commander Air Technical Intelligence Center Wright Patterson Air Force Base, Ohio Through: AFPR Enclosure: (a) Four copies each of reports by C.L. Johnson R.L. Thoren, R.L. Wimmer, P.A. Colman, and J.F. Ware on the Sighting of a Flying Saucer on 16 December 1953. 1. The enclosure is made up of a number of reports concerning the sighting of a so called flying saucer on 16 December 1. The reports are self-explanatory. Only one copy of the map is attached, indicating generally where this device was seen. This information has not been released to the press, but is submitted for such scientific purposes as your group may be concerned with. 2. Your comments on the sightings reported will be very much appreciated. LOCKHEED AIRCRAFT CORPORATION CALIFORNIA DIVISION (SIGNATURE) Clarence L. Johnson Chief Engineer CLJ:vmp ======= CALIFORNIA DIVISION LOCKHEED AIRCRAFT CORPORATION December 18, 1953 To: Air Force Investigating Group on Flying Saucers On Wednesday, December 16th, 1953, my wife and I went to our ranch, which is three miles west of Agoura, California, and one mile north of Ventura Blvd. We arrived there about sundown, which is close to 4:45 P.M. PST. We went immediately to our ranch house, which is located on a hill facing southwest. At approximately 5 o’clock (within two minutes of accuracy), I was looking at the sunset through a large plateglass window, when I noticed above a mountain to the west what I first thought to be a black cloud. The sun had gone down and the whole western sky was gold and red, with several thin layers of clouds or haze at fairly high altitude. I wondered why this one object was so dark, considering that the sun was behind it. I immediately thought that some aircraft had made an intense smoke trail, so I studied the object closely. It was apparent, after my first few seconds of consideration, that the outline of the object did not change. Thinking it was a lenticular cloud, I continued to study it, but it did not move at all for three minutes. I do not know how long it was there before my attention was called to it. When it did not move or disintegrate, I asked my wife to get me our eight-power binoculars, so I would not have to take my eyes off the object, which by now I had recognized as a so-called “saucer”. As soon as I was given the glasses, I ran outside and started to focus the glasses on the object, which was now moving fast on a heading between 240˚ and 260˚. When I got the glasses focused on the object, it was already moving behind the first layer of haze. I gathered its speed was very high, because of the rate of fore-shortening of its major axis. The object, even in the glasses, appeared black and distinct, but I could make out no detail, as I was looking toward the setting sun, which was, of course, below the horizon at the time. In 90 seconds from the time it started to move, the object had completely disappeared, in a long shallow climb on the heading noted. The clouds were coming onshore, in a direction of travel opposite to that of the object. The time in which my wife and I studied this object was between 5:00 and 5:05. The object, which had hovered stationary for at least three minutes, appeared to be very large but, not knowing its distance from me, I could not estimate its dimensions. At all times the object appeared as an ellipse, with a finess ratio of the larger axis to the minor one of about 7 or 10 to 1. I estimated the position of the object to be roughly over Point Mugu, which lies on a bearing about 255˚ from my ranch. On the morning of December 17th, I returned to work, having been absent for about a week and Mr. Wassell, Assistant Chief Engineer, and Mr. Carl (page) Haddon, our Chief Project Engineer, came into my office with Mr. Rudy Thoren. Mr. Thoren stated that he had seen a flying saucer the day before. I immediately broke in, without letting him say what time and where he had seen the object, and described my experience of the night before. I wanted to do this so that I could get confirmation as to whether of not he saw the same thing I saw at the time stated. Mr. Thoren was dumbfounded, and described his experience, along with that of our engineering test pilot, Mr. Roy Wimmer, flight engineer Joe Ware, and our chief aerodynamicist, P.A. Colman, all of whom saw the object as described in Mr. Thoren’s memo. I should also state that about two years ago Mrs. Johnson and I saw an object which I believed at the time, and still do, to be a saucer, flying west of Brents Junction, California, on a very dark night. I did not see the object itself but saw a clearly defined flame or emanation, as shown on the attached sketch. This object was travelling from east to west at a very high speed and with no noise. The flame or emanation was a beautiful light blue, having extremely well defined edges. My first impression was that it was an afterburning airplane, but the lack of noise and the pure spread of the flame eliminated that possibility completely. I should state that for at least five years I have definitely believed in the possibility that flying saucers exist - this in spite of a good deal of kidding from my technical associates. Having seen this particular object on December 16th, I am now more firmly convinced than ever that such devices exist, and I have some highly technical converts in this belief as of that date (SIGNATURE) Clarence L. Johnson Chief Engineer CLJ:vmp ======= January 12, 1953 FLYING SAUCER? On Wednesday, December 16th I made a test flight in Constellation 4301. The crew in the cockpit consisted of myself as pilot, R.L. Thoren as co-pilot, Charles Grugan, flight engineer, and J.F. Ware as flight test engineer. I took off late in the afternoon and ran some tests during the climb to 5,000 feet and then made a level run for a few minutes. I then started to climb to 20,000 feet and turned the controls over to Rudy Thoren. We continued our climb in a south-easterly direction and somewhere in the vicinity of Long Beach or Santa Ana between 16,000 and 20,000 feet we made a right turn onto a west heading. The sun had just set but the air was very clear and the light was real good toward the west. I noticed a cloud layer in the west starting somewhere east of Santa Cruz island at about our altitude. Above this cloud layer, well out in the clear air, I saw what I thought was a small cloud. Just for the fun of it I said, “Boy, look at the flying saucer!” After watching it for a few minutes we decided that it wasn’t a cloud but some kind of object. It had a definite shape which appeared to me like a crescent. Others on board described it as a huge flying wing. I could not detect any details other than the shape of it. I estimated the distance from us to be at least fifty or sixty miles and possibly much further. In the clear air like that it is very hard to judge distance. We flew directly toward it for about five minutes and our relative position did not appear to change. I do not recall our exact speed, whether we were still climbing or whether we had leveled off during the time. As Rudy was flying the airplane, I had nothing else to do but to watch the object. After about five minutes I suddenly realized it was moving away from us heading straight west. In the space of about one minute it grew smaller and disappeared. I was watching it all the time so I was able to see it for several seconds after the rest of the crew lost sight of it. Right up until the time it disappeared it maintained its sharp outline and definite shape so I know it was not a cloud that dissolved giving the appearance of moving away. I might add that I have had considerable experience, while doing radar bombing on P2V’s, of estimating distance where there is very little to judge by and I am convinced this was a large object some distance away. (SIGNATURE) Roy Wimmer Engineering Test Pilot ======= Lockheed Aircraft Corporation California Division INTERDEPARTMENTAL COMMUNICATION To: Clarence L. Johnson From: P.A. Colman Subject: Date January 11,1954 Dept. 72-23 Plant A-1 Ext. 8-2189 FLYING SAUCERS This is an account of my experience of witnessing the presence of an object in the sky. I was flying in the Lockheed WV-2 airplane with Mr. R.L. Thoren, Mr. Joseph Ware, Mr. Roy Wimmer plus other members of the Flight Test Group. The three individuals mentioned and I were in the pilot’s compartment of the airplane, at approximately 5:00 p.m. on the night of Wednesday, December 16, 1953. While flying off the coast in the vicinity of Santa Monica, I saw an object apparently standing still in the air off the coast, in the vicinity of Point Mugu. We were flying at 16,000 ft. and to the best of my judgment the object was at the same altitude. The object appeared as a thin black line, giving a first reaction of a B-36 type airplane, heading straight toward us and silhouetted against a bright background. The background was bright due to the fact that the sun was just setting. The object appeared not to move while we progressed with our tests. For a few moments we turned the airplane toward the object but did not apparently change our distance sufficiently to get any change of impression. I estimate that the object was hovering in out sight for about ten minutes. Thereafter, it suddenly accelerated due west and in a time, in the order of 10 seconds, disappeared from view. The following day it was revealed that Mr. Clarence L. Johnson had seen the iden- tical object while standing on the ground at his ranch. This coincidence is interesting. The difference in the positions, both horizontally and vertically between us indicate that the object had sufficient depth to eliminate the possibility that it was a cloud phenomena. The similarity of the explanations of the shape and actions of the object is remarkable. However, the blackness made it impossible to discern anything but the basic outline. (SIGNATURE) P.A. Colman Chief Aerodynamics Engineer PAC:ma ======= 12-17-53 FLYING SAUCER? On Wednesday, December 16, 1953, I participated in a test flight of a Navy Super Constellation WV-2, taking off at 4:29 p.m.. The flight consisted of: Roy Wimmer, pilot; myself, co-pilot; Charlie Grugan, flight engineer; and Joe Ware, flight test engineer. We climbed out towards the ocean and leveled off at 10,000 feet for a short test. After completing this test, Wimmer turned the controls over to me and I started climbing to our next test altitude of 20,000 feet. I climbed through a very thin, scattered overcast, somewhere around 14,000 feet, avoided a couple of small clouds, and continued to climb towards 20,000 feet. Somewhere between 15,000 and 20,000 feet, Roy Wimmer said to me, “Look out, there’s a flying saucer.” I looked out the windshield towards where Roy was pointing and saw some sort of an object at approximately the altitude that we were flying. I made a slight turn heading right towards the object, expecting to overtake it so that we could look at it more closely. I maintained this heading for roughly five minutes, looking at the object all the time. Wimmer, Ware and myself viewed this thing for at least five minutes, discussing what we thought it might be. Wimmer’s first impression was that it was a small cloud. After studying for several minutes, though, I deduced that it was not a cloud because it had too definite sharp edges and its appearance stayed constant. It looked to me like I was flying right directly towards it, and at about the same elevation as, a very large flying wing airplane. I would estimate at this time that I was somewhere between 17,000 and 18,000 feet. Although the object appeared to be absolutely stationary, we did not seem to be closing the gap between us and this object. even though we were flying at some 225 miles per hour. The object then seemed to be getting smaller, and my attention was diverted from it for a minute or so, but Wimmer mentioned that the object was disappearing. In probably an elapsed time of somewhere around a minute, the object had reduced in size to a mere speck, and then disappeared. It’s direction was almost due west. At the same time, the sun had gone down below the horizon but the sky was red, and this object silhouetted perfectly against this red background. The atmosphere was extremely clear. When I first sighted the object, I guessed that it was probably seven miles away. However, looking at it in retrospect, to object must have been considerably larger than I had estimated and, hence, the distance was probably much greater than I had also estimated. Looking back at the flight record taken on this flight, it was recorded that we leveled off at 20,000 feet at 5:10. Inasmuch as we had sighted this object when we were somewhere between 16,000 and 18,000 feet, our view of the object started at roughly 5 o’clock, or just a little before that. We continued with out test flight, thinking no more of this observation, and landed after 6 o’clock. We discussed other details of the flight and then went home. When I got home, I described the so-called flying saucer to my family and made a little sketch of what it looked like to me. (Page) Flying Saucer ? - 2 - 12-17-53 This morning, I reported to work and went directly to see Mr. C.L. Johnson, Chief Engineer, to give him a report on activities occurring in the last few days, inasmuch as he had just returned from a trip. In attendance at this meeting were also Mr. Jack Wassall and Mr. Carl Haddon We discussed a number of things and, in the course of the conversation, I discussed the flight made yesterday on this WV-2. Upon completion of the technical discussion, I casually mentioned (for fear of being ridiculed) that I had been chasing a flying saucer last night. Kelly snapped this up immediately, and said he knew exactly where it was and when; and, with no further adieu he sad it was at 5:05 and the object was sighted off of Point Mugu. This literally bowled me over, because the location of the object that I sighted was off of Point Mugu. I had estimated that it was somewhere between Point Mugu and the Santa Barbara Islands. Incidentally, at the time I had sighted it, we were flying over the ocean just off of Long Beach. Kelly then related that last night at about 5:05 p.m. he had seen an object in the western sky and had gotten binoculars and looked at it in detail. He described it at a wing with an aspect ratio of approximately seven. He said that it appeared stationary for several minutes, and then heading directly west it disappeared in one to two minutes, as I recollect his conversation. This story jibes exactly with what we saw in flight at the same time. I might mention that I have been very skeptical of flying saucer stories, and have never even imagined seeing an object in the sky that I was not able to identify. The three of us who watched it from the airplane are all pilots who have been flying for many years on experimental test work, and are trained to have accurate observations. Kelly also has had a lot of experience in flight test work and has been flying for many years and is also a very trained observer. The fact that what he saw and what we saw appears to be identical, and the time and place identical, leads me to believe that it was not exactly an illusion that I observed. (SIGNATURE) R.L. Thoren Chief Flight Test Engineer ======= L O C K H E E D To: C.L. Johnson cc: Intra-Flight Test Files A I R C R A F T C O R P O R A T I O N CALIFORNIA DIVISION A.N.V.O. January 11, 1954 From: J.F. Ware, Jr. 72-28 5-6 8-2950 Subj: FLYING SAUCERS On December 16, 1953, I was aboard a WV-2 airplane, LAC 4301, with Roy Wimmer as pilot, Rudy Thoren as Co-Pilot, Charlie Grugan as Flight Engineer. Phil Colman was also in the cockpit. At about 5:00 PM we were over the Catalina channel area (between Avalon and Palos Verdes hills) at 15000-16000 ft., on top of a scattered to broken overcast. The horizon was well defined by the rays of the setting sun and the sky above the overcast was clear. Our attention was drawn to what looked like a large right. We were roughly paralleling the coast at the think mentioned, “There’s a flying saucer”. We have deal about flying saucers since the night about two and Bob Laird were in 1951S and sighted some lights lights reportedly stood still for a while and moved island and finally disappeared. airplane off to the time and Roy, I kidded Roy a good years ago when he over Catalina. These around over the I was standing between the pilots and observed the object out of the copilots window in the 4301. Phil Colman’s attention was also drawn to the object. Rudy, who was flying at the time, turned around and headed toward the object. During this time, it seemed to be stationary, although we did not appear to overtake it at all. My first thought was that it was a large airplane, possibly a C-124, but after looking more closely, it seemed to look more like a large object without wings with a maximum thickness in the middle tapering toward either side, I could not distinguish front or rear on the object. It seemed to be somewhat above us and to the West, over the water, possibly in the vicinity of Santa Barbara Islands. After looking at the object off and on for about five minutes, it became apparent that it was moving away from us and in just a minute or two it completely disappeared. As it was disappearing, I looked at it off and on and gradually I could not see it at all. Roy watched it continuously and could see it after I had lost sight of it--he actually observed it continuously I believe. It disappeared in a generally westward direction (toward the setting sun). I’ve been interested in flying saucers, particularly ever since one evening during the 1951 Christmas Holidays. I was putting up a TV antenna on my roof when I looked up toward the north over the hills behind our home and saw a large circular object, apparently stationary. The time of day was abut dusk and I watched the object for several minutes and called Leslie and a neighbor, Mr. Murphy, who also looked at it. I continued working on my TV antenna, glancing at the object now and then, with more and more (PAGE) FLYING SAUCERS. 1-11-54 Page 2 time between glances, and finally the object was gone. There is a small airstrip at Giant Rock, and I have visited the group of people there who have devoted their life to flying saucers. They have many photographs and books on the subject, and figuratively eat and sleep saucers. (SIGNATURE) J.F. Ware, Jr. Section Supervisor - Flight Test JFW:bjr Handwritten: I have marked on attached map my estimate of our position when we saw the “saucer” and my estimate of the position of the saucer J. Not A Ghost! A Skeptical Eye on the Paranormal Home Archiv es Subscribe 03/20/201 2 The Lockheed UFO Case Revisited The 1 953 Lockheed UFO case has become a fav orite among UFO enthusiasts. The case was unknown for decades, hidden in the files of Project Blue Book, but has gained many fans since being championed by sev eral prominent UFO researchers. Canadian filmmaker, Paul Kimball, featured it in his oft-cited documentary , Best Ev idence: T op 10 UFO Sightings (it was number fiv e). UFO researchers often refer to the case as a solid ex ample of an unex plainable UFO ex perience. A refreshing aspect of the Lockheed case is that it hasn't been tainted by dubious interv iews decades after the ev ent, like the supposed Roswell Incident, for instance. V irtually ev ery thing known about the sighting is contained in the Air Force's Project Blue Book file. The entirety of the ev idence consists of only 8 pages of testimony from the actual witnesses. But as we will see, UFO believ ers can still manage to obscure and confuse things, ev en when the ev idence is so easily digested. A quick note: I painstakingly created and maintain a facsimile transcript of the sometimes hard-to-read Blue Book microfilms and I encourage interested readers to take a look at the ev idence for themselv es. I also welcome corrections to my transcript. Download Johnson Case Transcript Y ou can see the Project Blue Book microfilm record here. The Case The main witness in the Lockheed case was someone intimately familiar with unusual things in the sky , hav ing himself created some legendary and nearmy thical aircraft. As chief engineer for Lockheed, Clarence “Kelly ” Johnson designed cuttingedge aircraft like the U-2 spy plane and SR-7 1 Blackbird. He was also influential in the creation of the SkunkWorks, the secret projects div ision of Lockheed. Johnson certainly qualifies as one of the most famous of UFO witnesses. On the late afternoon of December 1 6th, 1 953, Johnson, noticed a dark object in the sky to the west of his ranch near Agoura, California. The object was a long thin distinct black ellipse with no v isible detail. Johnson v iewed it for a couple of minutes as it seemed to stand motionless against the brilliant sunset sky . He then sensed that the object was mov ing directly away as it got smaller and smaller and, after about 90 seconds, disappeared. If that was the only thing that happened, this surely would hav e been a rather forgettable sighting. lancemoody.typepad.com/notaghost/ 1/31 But the nex t day , Johnson learned something startling. One of the Lockheed test pilots, Rudy Thoren, began to tell Johnson about his own UFO sighting while fly ing a Constellation WV -2 on a test run the day before ov er the Santa Barbara channel. Thoren, was quickly interrupted by Johnson as the chief engineer interjected his own story and the men decided that they had seen the same thing in the sky : a dark distinct object against the brilliant sunset that disappeared to the West. The witnesses in the plane were Roy Wimmer (pilot), Rudy Thoren (co-pilot/Chief Flight Test Engineer), Phil Colman (Chief Aerody namics Engineer), Joe Ware, Jr. (Flight Test Superv isor) and Charlie Grugan (Flight Engineer). Johnson wrote his personal account of the ev ent the nex t day and, ov er the nex t month, four of the fiv e men in the plane also wrote their own accounts (Grugan did not file one). Despite some reluctance by Johnson, fearing how fly ing saucer stories might affect his reputation, these accounts were forwarded to the Air Technical Intelligence Center at Wright Patterson Air Force Base and ev entually ended up in the Blue Book files. We don't know what the Air Force did with the case. We don't know if a full-fledged inv estigation followed or if the entire thing was ignored. All we hav e is their terse unadorned conclusion as to what caused the sighting: a lenticular cloud. UFO proponents hate this. For them, this conclusion besmirches the name and talents of Johnson and his team. Paul Kimball, in a recent interv iew, said, "If these guy s, the top test pilots and aerody namic engineers and flight designers of their time, would mistake a lenticular cloud for a structured aircraft or object of some sort, no reasonable The Blue Book Conclusion: Lenticular Cloud or responsible military would continue to employ these guy s...the military gav e a bogus ex planation." Another UFO site calls the Air Force conclusion a "rubber stamp ex planation". My knowledge of lenticular clouds was limited, I don't think I hav e ev er seen one in the sky but I hav e seen many photos of lenticulars, usually in UFO books. Most UFO authorities agree that lenticular clouds do sometimes cause UFO reports. But since lenticular formations are relativ ely rare, these mistaken reports must also be pretty rare. And any way , the photos I had seen of this ty pe of cloud didn't really seem to hav e much in common with the Lockheed testimony . So I agreed that the cloud ex planation seemed unlikely , especially after seeing the Best Ev idence presentation of the case, which was faithfully parroted by other UFO web sites. lancemoody.typepad.com/notaghost/ 2/31 I decided to delv e into the actual ev idence, the testimony of the men, and found a disturbing trend. In the v ideo, it was obv ious that the ev idence was being looked at from one particular perspectiv e, a pro-UFO one, and ev idence that didn't tend to lead to a UFO conclusion was often being ignored or misinterpreted. Here's a few of the things I object to in this account: 1 . The film uses a sort of faux -science to suggest that the location of the object can be accurately "triangulated" by using the known location of Johnson at his ranch and the location of the plane. In reality , the testimony does not allow us to know precisely where the plane was, much less its v ector to the dark object. The graphic at right shows the true story of what we can determine from the ev idence about the location of the object and plane. This is not really a major point but it does show how UFO researchers pretend to hav e some degree of precision in order to The white shaded area defines where the object bolster their authority . might hav e been according to Johnson's testimony . The green and blue lines enclose the area in which 2. The film takes the words of the witnesses literally , when the plane may hav e been. The red shaded area is the meaning may hav e been figurativ e. For instance, where the plane was when the object was first sev eral of the witnesses describe the object as looking like a sighted. Image Created by Stray Cat at JREF fly ing wing headed straight at them, which could Forums reasonably be interpreted as a featureless ellipse, much like Johnson described. Indeed all of the witnesses agree that they could discern no details in the black shape. Notice how the v ideo takes this description and runs with it, clearly showing a fly ing wing-ty pe aircraft. But now it isn't fly ing straight at us: we see it in the v ideo from a low-angle. The object stops looking like a fly ing wing and actually becomes a fly ing wing with details that none of the witnesses ev er reported. 3. One of the most obv ious ex amples of how the v ideo goes for max imum ooga-booga instead of truth is demonstrated in the descriptions of the "departure" of the object and how long that ev ent lasted. Here is how the actual witnesses estimated that time: lancemoody.typepad.com/notaghost/ 3/31 "In 90 seconds from the time it started to mov e, the object had completely disappeared." -Johnson "In the space of about one minute it grew smaller and disappeared." -Wimmer "In probably an elapsed time of somewhere around a minute, the object had reduced in size to a mere speck and disappeared." -Thoren "In just a minute or two it completely disappeared" -Ware So far so good. The men all seem in agreement of the basic time it took for the object to disappear. Wimmer and Johnson both v iewed the object almost continuously so their estimates are probably the most important ones. But now we come to one last estimate: "...in a time, in the order of 1 0 seconds, [the object] disappeared from v iew." -Colman Can y ou guess which estimate was used in the film and presented as absolutely precise and enabling them create to all sorts of other amazing figures like 1 30G acceleration? That's right. They chose the ten second figure! This is UFO science at its most impressiv e! A Solution? One thing that did strike me as I read the accounts is that these men weren't try ing to fabricate any thing. They seem to be honestly attempting to report what they saw without embellishment. One of their first guesses as to the nature of the object was that it was a cloud. "Thinking it was a lenticular cloud, I continued to study it." -Johnson "I saw what I thought was a small cloud." -Wimmer After v iewing it for a while, they all decided that it couldn't be a cloud, mainly because its edges were too distinct. Indeed most of the images I hav e seen of lenticular clouds still look more or less like clouds. So I was fairly amenable to abandoning the lenticular ex planation. But then I came across this startling photo: Photo Courtesy Mark Mey er Photography (photo-mark.com) This photo, taken in Wy oming, shows a v ery compact lenticular cloud much more like what the men described seeing in 1 953. Of course, this is still clearly a cloud. But I began to wonder what this cloud might hav e looked lancemoody.typepad.com/notaghost/ 4/31 like from much further away . In the photo abov e, either the cloud is v ery large or the camera is v ery close to it. It fills a good portion of our v isual field. This was not the case for the Lockheed witnesses. Johnson doesn't say how large the object was in the sky but he strongly implies that it was rather small, comparing it to an aircraft fly ing near Point Mugu, some 30 miles away . From my work in v isual effects, I know that taking an object with fuzzy edges like a cloud and making it smaller causes the edges to become more distinct. So I decided to simulate what the same cloud might hav e looked like from much further away . This is not Johnson's own drawing of the object. a real photo; it was created as a demonstration using Photoshop (click on the image for a larger v iew): This photo has been manipulated in Photoshop for demonstration purposes only . This is much more like what the men described. The edges of this cloud are now so distinct that it loses it's cloud properties and just becomes a dark object with no discernible detail. In other words, it looks ex actly like what was being described by the Lockheed staff. And note that I used the entire real cloud to make this image, including the wispy tail on the left. But details like the tail disappear as y ou get further away (here simulated by making the cloud smaller). Another detail that v astly improv es the illusion of a solid object is the silhouette effect caused by the brilliant sunset, ex actly the same conditions during the Lockheed sighting "...the sun had gone down below the horizon but the sky was red and this object was perfectly silhouetted against this red background." -Thoren So now I began to think that there could be something to the cloud idea but there were still some issues to consider. Other than its distinctness, what else conv inced the men that they weren't seeing a cloud? Well, there isn't much. Johnson say s that the fact that it didn't mov e was one factor. This may show that Johnson wasn't really v ery familiar with lenticulars, which v ery often hang in the sky held motionless by two opposing air masses until they dissipate. lancemoody.typepad.com/notaghost/ 5/31 Of course, one other part of the account must be addressed: the departure. As I looked at v ideos of lenticular clouds dissipating, I noticed how, as the clouds got smaller, there was sometimes the impression that they were mov ing away . Here is an imperfect demonstration of this principle. I realize that these clouds don't look that much like saucers but hopefully y ou can get a feeling for the illusion of motion. This is part of my working theory of the case: that the departure was actually the dissipation of the cloud. The way that the witnesses described the departure certainly fits in with this theory : Sequence courtesy Donald Collins "the object had reduced in size to a mere speck, and then disappeared." -Thoren "I suddenly realized it was mov ing away from us heading straight west. In the space of about one minute it grew smaller and disappeared." -Wimmer "When I got the glasses focused on the object, it was already mov ing behind the first lay er of haze. I gathered its speed was v ery high, because of the rate of fore-shortening of its major ax is." -Johnson Johnson also reported that the object took a long shallow climb (this was not reported by the men in the plane, interestingly ). I am suggesting that this apparent climb is also caused by the dispersing cloud as the top or bottom disappeared unev enly . One nagging issue for me was that I honestly had no idea how long it would take for a cloud to dissapate. The theory requires it to be around a minute. I started work on writing this article without knowing the answer to this question but I knew that this one issue could inv alidate the whole idea. Som e Additional Info Earlier this y ear, Tim Printy , publisher of the skeptical UFO newsletter (SUNlite) pointed out a thread at the JREF forums discussing this case and I was happy to see that sev eral folks there had independently seized upon this same scenario. The thread generated much helpful data, including some ev idence from UK forecaster, Nigel Bolton, that the December 1 6th, 1 953 weather conditions were ripe for the formation of lenticular clouds. Just a few day s ago I found some amazing lenticular cloud v ideos on Y ouTube that were shot right near the same locations of the Lockheed case. Here's one taken in Santa Clarita, looking to the west towards Santa Barbara: lancemoody.typepad.com/notaghost/ 6/31 I spoke with Chris, who shot these clouds (and many more, check out his site) and shared the theory with him. I was delighted with his reply : Indeed y our theory is quite likely . Lenticulars can form in a nearly limitless v ariety of sizes and shapes. When y ou add v ariations in lighting (sun angles, etc.) and point of v iew, many v isual effects are possible. A cloud which is forming or dissipating more-or-less ov erhead would be difficult to mistake for solid object mov ing towards or away from the v iewer. Howev er, when Lenticulars are at a distance, they would be much closer to the horizon and v iewed on edge. A well-formed saucer-shaped cloud could look quite solid, especially with help from a setting sun. Any change in size could be interpreted as mov ement closer or further away from the v iewer. Since Lenticulars do change size, shape and position depending upon the direction, speed, temperature and humidity of the airflow which they are forming, they may also appear to be mov ing left or right. The speed at which they form and dissipate can be quite rapid... A huge cloud may take only 20 minutes to appear or completely disappear. Smaller ones only a minute or two.. I hav e watched (and less often filmed) areas of Lenticular activ ity in which smaller, saucer-shaped formations seem to pop in and out at random as the air currents shift around. I’v e missed many a shot because the cloud v anished before I could get my camera set up. Hav ing this opinion from someone who is intimately familiar with lenticular clouds certainly strengthens the theory . Final Thoughts I hope the reader doesn't feel that I am suggesting that these witnesses were ignoramuses. I'm not. I think all of the witnesses did an incredible job of reporting the facts as best they could. The theory abov e postulates that sev eral factors came together that did fool the witnesses: 1. Com pact lenticular cloud. 2. Silhouetted against brilliant red sunset. 3. Seen from enough distance that the edges bcam e totally sm ooth. lancemoody.typepad.com/notaghost/ 7/31 In short, I am suggesting that nature conspired to create a sort of illusion that fooled these observ ers. It should also be noted that this theory is not presented as the final word on this case. I am delighted to hear confirming or disconfirming information. Please feel free to share y our own comments below. I wa n t t o t h a n k T i m Pr i n t y , Ma r k Mey er , Don Ecsedy , Don a l d Col l i n s, Fr a n k St a l t er , Mi ch a el A l l en , Ch r i s@ DCM a n d t h e ga n g a t t h e JREF for u m s, pa r t i cu l a r l y St r a y Ca t , 23_T a u r i , A kh en a t en , GeeMa ck, Pu ddl e Du ck, T JW, T om T om ken t a n d u fol ogy a n d a l so m y wi fe for t h ei r h el p i n pr epa r i n g t h i s a r t i cl e. T h i s a r t i cl e wa s sl i gh t l y r ev i sed on 3/23, h opefu l l y sl i gh t l y i m pr ov i n g t h e t on e. 255 70 Posted by Lance Moody on 03/20/201 2 at 02:00 PM | Permalink | Comments (37 ) | TrackBack (0) Favorite Reblog (0) | Digg This | Tw eet | 0 | | Like 47 | 07 /1 5/201 1 Saucers, Lies and Audio Tape The UFO field has produced more than its fair share of frauds and charlatans. One of the most amusing and y et appalling things about this fact is that, ev en after ex posure, many of these hoax ers are warmly welcomed back into the arms of believ ers. George Adamski (L) and Dan Fry George Adamski, the UFO contactee, for instance, was outed as a complete fraud in a definitiv e and dev astating ex posé published by my friend, Jim Moseley (Saucer News, October 1 957 ). And y et Adamski is still has many apologists. Their rationalizations usually take the form of claiming that Adamski saw something "real" initially but then hoax ed his later photos and sightings, all for the good cause of fostering fellowship between man and the Space Brothers. Recently , the prolific (and none too picky ) paranormal author, Nick Redfern's "Contactees: A History of Alien-hum an Interaction" treated the claims of many known frauds as serious and worthy of discussion, instead of silly and worthy of laughter. One does what one must in order to sell books, I suppose. An amusing glimpse of how these con men work was seen when Daniel Fry , another contactee, was publicly deconstructed on a radio program (The Betty Grobley Show, Nov ember 1 966) by Phillip Klass. In that program, Klass sy stematically shows that Dr. Fry 's claimed PhD came from a "univ ersity " that doesn't seem to actually ex ist. He also got Fry to admit that many of his claimed professional credentials were fraudulent. It is fascinating (and v ery funny ) to hear Fry in action on that program. For instance: Betty : "Did y ou say y ou are y ou a graduate engineer? Y ou hav e a BA?" Fry : "I am not a graduate engineer in the sense that would be accepted..." Betty : "Where did y ou get y our BA from? lancemoody.typepad.com/notaghost/ 8/31 JREF IN thE CLaSSROOm Dowsing: Science or Pseudoscience? ©2012 JameS randi educational foundation all rightS reSerVed Student edition © 2012 James Randi Educational Foundation All Rights Reserved DOWSING: SCIENCE OR PSEUDOSCIENCE? about the i JREF Our mission is to promote critical thinking by reaching out to the public and media with reliable information about paranormal and supernatural ideas, which are widespread in our society today. The James Randi Educational Foundation was founded in 1996 to help people defend themselves from paranormal and pseudoscientific claims. The JREF offers a still-unclaimed million-dollar reward for anyone who can produce evidence of paranormal abilities under controlled conditions. Through scholarships, workshops, and innovative resources for educators, the JREF works to inspire this investigative spirit in a new generation of critical thinkers. Your support helps the JREF to . . . • Expose paranormal and pseudoscientific frauds in the media, and hold media organizations accountable for promoting dangerous nonsense. • Support scientific research into paranormal claims. • Provide grants and free teaching modules to help educators inspire an investigative spirit in the next generation of critical thinkers. • Award scholarships that encourage scientific skepticism among students. • Support grassroots skeptics’ groups with tools to help them organize and promote skepticism and critical thinking. • Digitally publish the important works of skepticism for distribution on the iPad, Kindle, and other e-readers. • Organize major conferences and other gatherings that bring the entire skeptical community together. Supporting the work of the James Randi Educational Foundation The James Randi Educational Foundation relies on the support of people like you in order to carry out its mission. Whether it is our renewed support of grassroots skeptic outreach, our investment in resources for educators and students, our expanding digital educational offerings such as digital books and videos, or Randi’s lecture tours, your financial donations help make our programs possible. You may support the JREF by joining us as a contributor online at randi.org. You may find that you can be more generous by making a pledge of monthly support. For more information about pledges, please contact [email protected]. * Donations are tax deductible for U.S. residents to the full extent of the law. ii DOWSING: SCIENCE OR PSEUDOSCIENCE? This module from the James Randi Educational Foundation explores the history, methods, and science of dowsing. Dowsing is examined by students in a way that promotes well-reasoned critical examination of unproven and pseudoscientific claims. Grade Level and Context Grades 8-12 This exercise is suited for students in any science class that addresses research methods or the scientific process. The activity can be completed in one or two class periods. The time will vary depending on the depth of the introduction and the number of trials performed. National Science Content Standards Addressed: • Unifying Concepts and Processes • Science as Inquiry • Science in Personal and Social Perspectives • History and Nature of Science AAAS Science Literacy Benchmarks Addressed: • The Scientific Worldview • Scientific Inquiry • The Scientific Enterprise AcknowledGments This module was developed with the assistance of James Randi, D. J. Grothe, Sadie Crabtree, Travis Dick, Daniel Loxton, Chip Denman, Barbara Drescher, Matt Lowry, and Kylie Sturgess. DOWSING: SCIENCE OR PSEUDOSCIENCE? 1 to the reader . . . We’re introducing you to the subject known as “dowsing.” This is said to be an ability that some people have to find water or oil—or even gold, silver, or dangerous explosives—above or under the ground just by holding a forked wooden stick, a pendulum, or a pair of straightened coat-hanger wires as they walk across a plot of ground. Millions of people here in the USA and in dozens of other countries believe this, and we’ll examine the evidence to see if it’s really true. This is an important subject to investigate, today more than ever before, because it’s costing lives. How? There are vendors taking advantage of the worldwide fear of terrorism by selling devices that look as if they’re electronic and might actually work to detect explosives, but are based on the same “dowsing” idea—and they don’t work, at all! Yes, innocent people—both military and civilian in the Near East—are dying because they depend on these fakes, and it’s happening every day… You’ll read about the interesting “ideomotor effect” in this discussion, and I can tell you that unless you’ve actually experienced it, you just can’t imagine how strong and convincing it is. I’ve personally tested dowsers and dowsing literally hundreds of times, all over the world, because some 80% of the applications for the JREF’s million-dollar challenge are for this claimed ability! These are applications that come from, mostly, honestly self-deluded people who are convinced they have this ability, and I hope that when you’ve completed this course, you’ll have a much greater understanding of the fact that people often can, and do, talk themselves into accepting fiction as fact. When you turn the last page of this lesson, I believe that you’ll be well prepared to join us in explaining to others the truth about this phenomenon. So, welcome to a critical look at a wonderful, spooky, scary notion, folks. And, thank you for letting us share our expertise with you! James Randi 2 DOWSING: SCIENCE OR PSEUDOSCIENCE? WHAT IS DOWSING? ORIGINS AND HISTORY Dowsing (sometimes called rhabdomancy) is traditionally defined as a method for locating sources of ground water, minerals, or other underground or hidden materials using only a simple object such as a forked stick, a pendulum, or a pair of rods to direct the dowser towards a desired target. Various forms of divination with similarities to dowsing have existed for several thousand years. Ancient literature contains abundant references to rituals connecting magical characteristics with branches and wooden rods. Because they appear independently in the writings of different cultures and geographical regions, it is difficult to know exactly where and when dowsing first originated. Historians have found illustrated texts from 16th-century Europe with references to dowsing methods using Y-shaped rods, which vary little from divining instruments used by selfproclaimed dowsers today. Dowsers have offered various explanations for their claimed abilities. The most common explanation is that substances, including water, possess a natural “energy” that may be electromagnetism or hold some unknown force. Dowsers believe that under certain conditions or with proper training, humans can not only detect this “energy” but also recognize its frequency and intensity, which are said by some to be unique to each material. This is not a scientific explanation: there is no evidence that substances emit a characteristic energy field and no evidence that human beings would have the ability to detect such a field if it existed. Because there is no scientifically recognized mechanism that could explain how dowsing might work, dowsing is said to be a form of divination. Divination is the attempt to discover knowledge through occult methods. Believers in dowsing usually attribute this knowledge to paranormal or supernatural sources. Dowsing has been associated with the occult and witchcraft since its contemporary origins in Europe. The 16th-century priest and theologian Martin Luther said that it was “Devil’s Work.” Many Christian churches today still condemn dowsing as a “Satanic” activity. The most significant of these books is Sebastian Münster’s landmark work in the field of cartography Cosmographia. The book, first published in 1550, features a woodcut illustration of a mining operation. A dowser searching for minerals with a forked rod appears prominently in the illustration. While its historical references are often found alongside other ancient beliefs that have long since been abandoned or replaced, dowsing remains in widespread use today. Amazingly, claims regarding the capabilities and effectiveness offered by modern dowsers have changed very little in more than 700 years. This, despite the many profound advances in scientific understanding and technological development. In fact, modern dowsers have even greatly DOWSING: SCIENCE OR PSEUDOSCIENCE? expanded the scope of dowsing’s applications far beyond its historical uses. No longer limiting themselves to locating wells and mineral deposits, today’s dowsers claim to be able to accurately locate nearly anything, including money, archeological sites, missing persons, lottery numbers, ghosts, diseases, drugs, bombs, and much more. DOWSING DEVICES area. Dowsers claim that the end of the stick will twitch or dip when they approach the material they are hoping to discover. L-shaped wire dowsing rods are increasingly popular. They are made from metal wire, bent at a right angle and set inside loose-fitting handles that allow the rods to freely rotate. Dowsers normally use them in pairs, claiming that the rods cross each other when the desired material is located. The diversity of dowsing devices has increased along with the growing list of materials to be found. The familiar wood Y-shaped rod dates from dowsing’s beginnings and remains quite popular among modern practitioners. Some dowsers are not concerned with the type of wood used. Others are quite particular, citing freshly cut sticks from hazel, willow, and peach trees as the most desirable. Rods like these are gripped with two hands, each grasping a branch of the forked side. The remaining middle section points forward as the dowser walks around the search Fig. 3: L-shaped dowsing rods pop QUIZ: WHICH WITCHING IS WHICH? Match the specific kind of divination at left with the definition on the right . . . Geomancy Necromancy Pyromancy Crystallomancy Chronomancy Gyromancy Gastromancy Tasseomancy Palmistry 3 A. Summoning the dead, or spirits/souls of the dead B. Predicting the future by making yourself dizzy to see where you fall in a circle of letters or numbers. C. Listening to sounds made by the stomach. D. Reading of palms. E. Reading tea leaves. F. Related to unlucky and lucky times and dates. G. Using crystal balls to predict the future. H. Interpreting markings on the ground, or the way earth or soil lies when thrown. I. Using fire to make predictions. 4 DOWSING: SCIENCE OR PSEUDOSCIENCE? Most of the tools used by dowsers are simple and homemade, but some companies have manufactured more complicated-looking devices and sold them for thousands of dollars. The one thing that all dowsing devices have in common is a sensitive mechanism that is difficult to keep balanced or stable. This unbalanced state, sometimes called unstable equilibrium, allows the device to move as result of even subtle movement by the operator. A state of unstable equilibrium can be created using wires in tubes, pendulums, springs, elastic bands, metal coils, or balls. Dowsing is occasionally conducted with no device at all. carefully reviewed those results, however, argue that the studies, which appear to confirm dowsing, were not properly conducted and lack the needed controls to give reliable results or draw valid conclusions. In properly controlled studies, dowsers have performed no better than if they had simply guessed at the location of the materials without dowsing. Critics of dowsing call it a pseudoscience, a claim, belief, or practice that proponents present as scientific, but is not based on empirical evidence or the scientific method. Many pseudoscientific beliefs have existed for ages. Astrology and other divination systems have been around at least since the beginning of recorded history. Pseudoscientific beliefs and claims are often presented in ways that are not scientifically testable, often with special explanations for the lack of evidence that could validate the claim. For example, some who believe in dowsing claim that dowsing rods move because of a special energy field that cannot be detected by scientific instruments. Fig. 4: The pendulum By contrast, a scientific hypothesis has to be framed in such a way that it can be accepted or rejected by observations or experiments. A PSEUDOSCIENCE? DOES IT WORK? The modern scientific community has soundly rejected dowsing as a method of locating objects or substances. No properly conducted study of the practice has ever shown dowsing to work. Major studies have been conducted in all relevant fields, including hydrology, geology, biology, and physics. People with a skeptical mindset believe that if an idea has been repeatedly and thoroughly examined scientifically, and there is no evidence supporting it, then the idea should be regarded as false. More than 20,000 dowsers are operating in the United States alone, and even more in Western Europe. They are sometimes even hired by governments and big corporations. Yet the evidence shows that dowsing is superstition, not science. So why has dowsing not been completely abandoned? However, dowsers and their supporters have claimed that scientists have never done adequate research into dowsing and have dismissed it without proper investigation. Other advocates for dowsing claim that scientists have studied the practice and have demonstrated its effectiveness. They cite findings in support of dowsing that they claim are scientific. Scientists who have Some people believe in dowsing because they notice that dowsers often seem to find what they are searching for. In most parts of the world, you can dig a hole almost anywhere and hit water if you dig deep enough. People have an unconscious tendency to selectively gather information that is consistent with their expectations or beliefs. This tendency, called confirmation bias, can make it difficult to critically examine all of the available evidence. Because of this, we often cling to beliefs in spite of overwhelming evidence to the contrary. DOWSING: SCIENCE OR PSEUDOSCIENCE? 5 WHAT’S THE DIFFERENCE? SCIENCE VS. PSEUDOSCIENCE Critics of dowsing say that it is a pseudoscience. Pseudoscience refers to a claim, belief, or practice that is described as scientific but not is unsupported by scientific observations or experimentation. Supporters of various pseudosciences often try to justify or explain their claims using scientificsounding words. This can make it difficult to tell the difference between science and pseudoscience. Below is a list of common differences between science and pseudoscience. SCIENCE Findings are expressed primarily through scientific journals that are reviewed by other scientists who are experts in the field and maintain high standards for honesty and accuracy. PSEUDOSCIENCE Publications are aimed at the general public. There is no review—no standards, no verification, and no demand for accuracy and precision. Science demands reproducible results: experiments must be precisely described so that they can be duplicated exactly or improved upon. Results cannot be reproduced or verified. Studies, if any, are not described in detail. It is difficult to figure out exactly what was done or how. Studies that fail to prove a hypothesis are taken seriously and examined closely for information that could lead to unexpected predictions and guide future research. Studies that fail to demonstrate the pseudoscientists’s preferred conclusion are ignored, excused, hidden, lied about, discounted, explained away, rationalized, or forgotten. As time goes on, more and more is learned about the physical processes being studied. This body of knowledge is always growing. No physical phenomena or processes are found or studied. The field rarely progresses. Scientists use evidence and arguments based upon logical or mathematical reasoning, and make the best case the data will permit. When enough new evidence contradicts old ideas, the old ideas are abandoned. Proponents of pseudoscience may ask you to believe something in spite of the facts, not because of the facts. They won’t abandon their ideas, even when provided with evidence against it. Does not promote or sell unproven practices or products. Proponents of pseudoscience often sell questionable products (such as books, courses, and dietary supplements) or services (such as horoscopes, character readings, spirit messages, and predictions). WHAT’S GOING ON? If there’s no outside force acting on dowsers’ rods, sticks, and pendulums, then why do they cross, twitch, and rotate at all? Psychologists say the movement of dowsing rods is best explained by a phenomenon called the ideomotor effect. The ideomotor effect occurs when conscious ideas or expectations cause a person to make involuntary movements of which they are usually unaware. Typically, the movements are too subtle to recognize, but during dowsing, the unstable equilibrium of the device amplifies this effect. The resulting movement of the rod, pendulum, or branch is so significant that it can be very convincing to those unaware of how the ideomotor effect works. 6 DOWSING: SCIENCE OR PSEUDOSCIENCE? The ideomotor effect is also involved in other paranormal and pseudoscientific divination methods, including talking boards, facilitated communication, and automatic writing. It also appears in some pseudoscientific methods for diagnosing disease. CAUSE FOR CONCERN If you’re not trying to find water or mineral deposits, the question of dowsing’s effectiveness may seem trivial. Dowsing is seen by many as an antiquated and harmless belief. But it has recently been used in applications that can have drastic and even fatal consequences. One example is the ADE 651 remote substance detector. The simple device is nothing but a dowsing rod with sophisticated-looking but useless accessories. Thousands have been sold for use as explosives detectors in some of the world’s most dangerous war zones. Most famously, advisors from both the U.S. and British governments helped the Iraqi security forces put the detectors to use sweeping for bombs at security checkpoints. The James Randi Educational Foundation recognized that a fraud was being committed, warned officials, and worked to raise public awareness about the ineffective detectors. The JREF offered to give the makers of the ADE 651 $1 million if they could demonstrate that it performed as advertised under laboratory conditions. The manufacturer, ATSC Limited, never accepted the challenge. Testing done by several independent organizations, including the respected Sandia National Laboratories, confirmed that the ADE 651 was incapable of detecting bombs or anything else. Unfortunately, the Iraqi government purchased nearly 1,000 of these worthless bomb detectors at a total cost of over $80 million. It is unknown how many lives have been lost as a result of this costly scam. Fig. 5 [background] Ouija™ Board Fig. 6 ADE 651 DOWSING: SCIENCE OR PSEUDOSCIENCE? try it! Follow these instructions to make your own set of dowsing rods and test their effectiveness. SUPPLIES • 36 inches of 14-gauge or 16-gauge uncoated metal wire • two ink pens with removable tip, ink tube, and cap • wire cutters • metal file • pliers • six coffee cups with lids • six bottles of water INSTRUCTIONS 1. Using the wire cutters, cut the metal wire into two 18-inch lengths. File down any sharp spots on the cut ends. 2. Measure six inches from one end of one of the cut pieces of wire. At this point, use the pliers to bend the wire 90 degrees to form an “L” shape. Repeat with the other wire. 3. Using pliers, remove tips, ink tubes, and caps from pens, leaving just the hollow outer tubes. 4. Place the six-inch section of your wire rods into the hollow pen tubes. Use the tubes as handles, allowing the rods to move freely. 5. Your dowsing rods are ready. To use them, move around the area you want to search, keeping the rods parallel to the ground and about 10 inches apart. According to dowsers, the rods will cross each other forming an “X” when you are close to the object or substance you are searching for. 6. Someone not participating in the experiment should place twenty clear water bottles around the room on the floor. Half should contain water and half should be empty. Make sure that there is an equal distribution of water/no water in terms of distance from the dowser’s starting point. 7. Walk around the room holding your dowsing rods as described above. Do the rods cross when they are over a bottle of water? Crossing rods over full Steps 1-4: Dowsing rod assembly 7 8 DOWSING: SCIENCE OR PSEUDOSCIENCE? bottles are “hits.” If the rods fail to cross in close proximity to a full bottle or do cross when over an empty bottle, record a “miss.” This should be repeated several times. Determine the number of trails to be conducted by each participant before the experiment begins (more is better). Make sure to use the same number of trials for each subject. Have others try this and compare your results. 8. Try it again but without being able to see which bottles contain water. Repeat step six, but this time use opaque closed containers. Again, half should be filled with water and half should be empty. Make sure the dowsers cannot detect the contents. They should be completely opaque and not be “sweating.” Styrofoam coffee cups work best. 9. Attempt to use the dowsing rods to determine which cups contain water by repeating step seven. Run the same numbers of trials using the same criteria for “hits” and “misses.” How did you do? Compare your accuracy in locating visible water and hidden water. Did you see the ideomotor effect in action? glossary Automatic Writing Writing that is produced by a writer who claims to have had no conscious control over the content. Proponents of automatic writing believe that the writing is influenced by outside spiritual sources or subconscious thoughts. Cartography The art and science of making maps. Controls Elements of a study that eliminate alternative explanations for findings. Empirical Evidence An observation or set of observations that provide support for a claim or fact. Facilitated Communication A process in which one person supports the arm or hand of a severely disabled person, moving it over a keyboard or other pointing device. Proponents of facilitated communication claim that this process allows the disabled person to communicate, but careful scientific studies suggest that the helper is producing the resulting words, either consciously or unconsciously. Hydrology The study of the distribution, movement, and quality of water sources. Ideomotor Effect A psychological phenomenon where people make subtle subconscious movements based on expectations or suggestion. Occult Secret practices in the areas of magic, mysticism, astrology, or other supernatural systems for gaining knowledge. DOWSING: SCIENCE OR PSEUDOSCIENCE? 9 Paranormal Explanations for events and phenomena that are inconsistent with our scientific understanding of nature. When carefully examined, paranormal claims are often shown to be misinterpretations or misunderstandings of normal events. Examples include psychic powers, ghosts, alien visitations, and divination. skeptical Cautiously suspending judgment on a claim until sufficient evidence has been presented. supernatural Not existing in our observable universe or explainable by natural laws. Ghosts, spells, and spirits are all examples of things described as supernatural. talking Board (or ouija™ Board) A flat board typically marked with the letters of the alphabet and the numbers 0-9. The user moves a small heart-shaped plastic or wood piece (called a planchette) around the board with their fingers, selecting various letters and producing phrases. Believers claim this is a means for communicating with the spirit world. read more IN PRINt Randi, James (1982). Flim-Flam! Psychics, ESP, Unicorns, and Other Delusions, Prometheus Books. Bird, Christopher (2000). The Divining Hand: The 500-year-old Mystery of Dowsing, Schiffer Publishing. Vogt, Evon and Ray Hyman (2000). Water Witching,, University of Chicago Press. ON thE WEB The Skeptic’s Dictionary http://www.skeptdic.com The Matter of Dowsing (James Randi Educational Foundation) http://www.randi.org/library/dowsing/ Journal of Scientific Exploration, Vol. 7 , No. 3, pp. 219-239, 1993 0892-33 10193 O 1993 Society for Scientific Exploration A REVIEW OF NEAR DEATH EXPERIENCES MICHAEL SCHROTER-KUNHARDT Psychiatrisches Landeskrankenhaus Weinsberg, 74189 Weinsberg,Germany Abstract-Near death experiences (NDEs) have been reported throughout time in essentially all cultures. The contents of modem NDEs is independent of gender, age, and profession. The frequency of occurrence is estimated to lie between 10 and 50 percent of all near-death situations. This frequency could be higher still, perhaps even 100 percent, were it not for the dreamlike and dissociative character of the experience and the amnesia-prone participation of the temporal lobe causing a clear tendency to forget the NDE. A number of similar elements are common to NDEs, such as an out-of-body experience (OBE) in which the physical body and its surroundings are observed from various external vantage points, often from above. Numerous cases exist in which the reality of the OBE-observation can be independently 'verified, by external conditions, situations, people, objects, etc. Even previously non-religious ND experiencers subsequently show a markedly decreased fear of death and a corresponding increase in belief in life after death. Certain elements of NDE-like experiences can be induced by, for example, electrical stimulation of the right temporal lobe or the use of hallucinogenic substances. It is possible that hallucinogenic transmitters (and endorphins) of the brain itself play a role in the NDE. Nevertheless, there are NDE-elements, such as the frequently reported life-review and certainly the acquisition of external, verifiable information concerning the physical surroundings during the experience, that cannot be explained by physiological causes. Wish-fulfillment, death-denial or other defense mechanisms of the brain are also not adequate explanations. The large body of NDE data now accumulated point to genuine evidence for a non-physical reality and paranormal capacities of the human being. Introduction To this day mainstream science ignores, rejects or isolates paranormal and religious (mystical) experiences which threaten scientific biases and the "common-sense conception" of the world. This suppression correlates with the denial of death, which also threatens all human efforts, and especially with the scientific devaluation of religions and their conviction of life after death. The psychiatrist and psychotherapist Stanislav Grof, who once prepared incurable cancer patients for their deaths by evoking near-death like experiences with LSD (3), comments on this official suppression: In connection with our success- and efficiency-oriented philosophy, aging and dying are not integrated parts of life, but a defeat and a painful reminder of our limits in controlling nature. Dangerously ill or dying people in our culture are considered, and see themselves, as losers. 220 M. Schroter-Kunhardt Contemporary medicine is a slave to technical procedures and overspecialized bodymechanics and has forgotten the holistic aspect of real healing. Its conception of dying is dominated by the effort to overcome and postpone death at any price. Fighting for the mechanical prolongation of life, the quality of the patient's last days and his psychic and spiritual longings do not receive enough attention. We see the tendency to shut out the old and dying people from family and daily life and to pack them off in nursing homes and hospitals, where human contacts are compromised by complicated instruments: oxygen chambers, infusion tubes, monitors of vital functions, etc. (4, p.7-8; my transl.). Meanwhile, accompanying dying people is a new scientific field of business; but professionals in this area seldom systematically address the point of whether there is life after death. This question seems not to be answerable scientifically, therefore it is left to the dying individual or the priests. But in recent years the (completely unsuspected) records of near-death experiences (NDEs) have shown that there is a scientific, neurobiological basis for the belief in life after death. Especially the growing paranormal capacities of the dying suggest the existence of a time- and space-transcending, and therefore immortal, soul. But what are the results of the NDE- research? Elements of the NDE As a consequence of modern resuscitation-techniques NDEs have become more and more frequent; popular publications (1 1; 12, 13; 14; 15; 16 etc.), lectures and workshops- especially from Elisabeth Kiibler-Ross- have attracted the interest of many people. About ten years ago science began to examine this phenomenon systematically. Participating in the "International Association for Near-Death Studies" (IANDS), which was founded in 1977, wellknown scientists - especially psychologists, psychiatrists and medical doctors of other specialties, parapsychologists, philosophers and scientists of religion- began their studies (14; 17; 18; 19; 22; 41 etc.). The psychiatrist, Bruce Greyson (University of Connecticut), is president of the American parent-IANDS, which publishes the quarterly "Journal of Near-Death Studies" (JNDS). Worldwide the IANDS has more than 1,000 paying members and a growing number of scientific study groups (20a-i; 2 1a-m; 22a-x; 15 1a-i). Meanwhile roughly one hundred studies have been published, mostly done by psychiatrists, psychologists, cardiologists and pediatricians (11; 12; 14; 20a-i; 21a-m; 22a-x; 23-31; 42; 152; 153; 156; 157; 158, 159, etc.). They showed that up to one third of all people who were nearly dead have had an NDE. A representative poll of the well-known Gallup Institute confirmed these numbers: about 34% of all adult Americans who at sometime in their life were resuscitated have had an NDE (32). Studies comparing content and frequency of so-called deathbed-visions in different cultures have had similar results: From 20 to 67% of conscious dying subjects saw deceased human beings and/or landscapes from beyond and experienced heightened sensations. (35-36). Other facts support these figures: Paranormal NDE-elements, for example, are quite frequent even in normal Near Death Experiences 221 consciousness; up to half of the normal Western population is estimated to have experienced them in their lives (22b-g; 37-40). Especially the frequency of spontaneous (i.e., not experienced in conditions of imminent danger) outof-body-experiences (OBE) is quite similar to the NDE-incidence: approximately 28% of the population of Western societies. OBEs actually resemble NDEs in many aspects and are their most important component (22b-c; 37; 139). Other facts speak in favor of a still higher incidence of NDEs. They also illustrate some special results of the research work in recent years: 1) Fearing disbelief (as having hallucinated) many NDEers keep their experiences secret, even from their family members (1 3; 15; 17; 24; 41; 153). 2) In European hospitals nobody systematically inquires about NDEs; only in Holland have some hospitals participated in a study (13; 42; 152; 153). 3) Like dreams, NDEs are quite often dissociated activities of the brain and can only be remembered when the normal consciousness has access to them (22a; 30; 43; 44; 118; 147; 149). Actually in Western societies there exists a tendency to take refuge with unconsciousness when confronted with the fear of death. Just this reaction psychodynamically is nothing else than a dissociation. Since dissociation normally is associated with amnesia, we are amnesiac for most of our dreams and NDEs (22b, 22v, 22w). Therefore some NDEers remember their experience only under hypnosis (22d) or months to years later, when they come into contact with an appropriate association (for example another NDEer) (22d-e; 43). 4) Temporolimbic epilepsy sometimes activates NDE-elements and is also accompanied by an amnesia of variant depth (22a; 108; 148). Since the NDE neurophysiologically seems to be connected with the temporolimbic region, an amnesia can be expected. This is confirmed by the fact that we observe a significant increase of psychical (psi or ESP) capacities after the NDE, which are possibly triggered by or located in the temporolimbic area (22a; 45). 5) The fact that also those people who were nearly dead without having a NDE experience an increase of psi-capacities signals a forgottenlsuppressed (partial) NDE even in their cases (22b). 6) Perhaps particularly negative NDEs are suppressed (6; 21n; 55; 155). 7) Most NDEs are of short duration; their remembrance should therefore be expected to be poor because research has shown that NDE-remembrance increases statistically significantly with the duration of the experience (220). 8) Especially old people, who are predisposed to near-death situations, have a reduced capacity to perceive during the NDE and to remember it (220). 222 M. Schroter-Kunhardt 9) The accuracy of the memory of NDE-details decreases statistically significantly with the time between the NDE and its remembrance (22e; 220). 10) Certain personalities are embarrassed about the occurrence of an NDE. They fight against imminent death and so restrain their consciousness from experiencing an NDE (22b; 29; 30). 11) Many people with life-threatening illnesses are under the influence of anesthetics or psychotropic drugs. These medicaments interfere with perception during an NDE or block it completely (13; 220; 41). Altogether these facts demonstrate that possibly the majority of those who once (or several times) were nearly dead experience an NDE. Now, are there any personality traits that predispose some people to experience an NDE? Astonishingly, sociological, demographic or psychological variables do not influence the occurrence of the NDE (13; 17; 18; 22d; 3 1 ; 4 1 ; 43; 48; 57, etc.). Also, even very young children experience NDEs (32). NDEs and OBEs do not signal any psychopathology; people with mental diseases do not experience them more frequently than normal human beings. On the contrary NDEers and OBEers are possibly mentally healthier as a group (18; 41; 43; 69, etc.). And when do NDEs happen? NDEs are experienced at the moment of real or anticipated death, i.e., before biological death (17; 21a; 22f). They are triggered by various situations such as accident, life-threatening illnesses, suicide attempts, operations or births (13; 22b; 25; 27; 34; 43; 49, etc.) which do not influence the content of the NDE (41 ;43). Quite often the NDEers are clinically dead, i.e., without heartbeat and respiration. Some NDEs occur during an isoelectric EEG (13; 17; 22g; 50), some others even in the morgue (after giving up resuscitation) (15; 5 1). This is possible because the definite moment of biological death cannot be exactly determined and the latter quite often is insufficiently diagnosed (13; 43; 52-54; 154). Finally up to 37% of NDE-like experiences occur in non-life threatening illnesses/accidents or are not associated with physical illnesses/accidents (21 m). Actually the contention that death means mere unconsciousness is purely theory, because this can neither be experienced nor verified (110). The last thing we know from a dying person is his NDE! Only the brain knows exactly the "point of no return" (of biological death). Pictures are the primary language of the brain, representing all somatic and psychic processes. The brain is able to control these pictures effectively (via biofeedback, imagination or autogenetic training). The NDE as a visual experience provides the most objective information about the imminent moment of biological death! What does the NDEer experience directly before his irreversible death? In a more or less chronological order and a descending order of frequency the NDE consists of the following elements: 1) Increase of mood with feelings of euphoria, happiness, joy, well-being, Near Death Experiences 223 2) Out-of-body-experience (OBE) with the dying person looking down on his physical body. His rational consciousness continues working during this state and sometimes undertakes different tests to verify this new existence. Even blind people can see during the OBE - and their perceptions can be verified! Upon leaving the body the OBEer suddenly loses any pain; as an OBEer, he can pass through and see through physical objects and sometimes verifiably read the thoughts of other people (1 3; 17; 43, etc.). 3 ) Entering a tunnel-like dark transition zone (1 3; 29; 49, etc.). 4) Perception of a golden light which emanates infinite love, evoking enormous happiness in the NDEer. He sometimes merges with this light and then has the mystical feeling of omniscience and all-oneness (1 1; 17; 22d; 22h; 48; 49; 5 1; 156; 157; 159, etc.). 5) Perception of a heavenly or hellish landscape (1 1; 22d; 22m; 56; 58; 155, etc.). 6) Encounter with deceased relatives, religious figures or beings of light with whom the dying person communicates telepathically; these figures often initiate the dying person's return (22b; 22m; 41; 159, etc.). During this or the above mentioned earlier stages, certain other NDE-elements may appear: 7) Experience of a life-review with known and unknown verifiable details of one's life, whereby the NDEer observes himself acting and feeling again all specifics of a situation, including those of all other participants. This entails an unequivocal ethical evaluation of all thoughts, words and deeds under a normative measure of love (19; 26; 27; 29, etc.). 8) Precognition: parts of the OBEer's or the worlds future are seen (13; 21b; 22p; 41). 9) Different temporal perception: time slows down and simultaneously thought and picture frequency speeds up (17; 49). 10) Sometimes, almost from the beginning, some kind of (heavenly) music is heard (1 1; 29; 49). Some other rare elements, not covered here are described in NDE literature. The number of details of an NDE correlates with its depth, i.e., with the imminence of actual or expected death (17; 24; 41; 59). At the end of his experience the NDEer has to return into his body. This happens very quickly. Often he is reluctant to return (1 1; 13; 30; 43; 58, etc.). With a frequency from about 0 to 25% the NDEs are negative: The NDEer also experiences an OBE and a dark transition zone, but under unpleasant feelings of fear or panic. He then encounters bad forces or beings and enters a hellish environment (6; 13; 17; 21n; 22g; 22x; 25; 49; 51; 55; 128; 155, etc.). Surprisingly extensive changes in personality can occur after a NDE. The NDEer can go through such a revolution of values and opinions that after- 224 M. Schroter-Kunhardt wards he is at odds with his environment, where his old values are still operative. Divorces, career changes and a significant psychosocial stress can result. He can experience a phenomenon called "culture-shock," which is well known from people who immigrate into a new culture (13; 22i; 220). Some NDEers actually develop depressions from being forced to return to this "vale of tears" called earth (22i; 220). What are the new positive values NDEers bring with them? 1) In different controlled studies a statistically significant decrease of fear of death (as the supposed end) was found, which was an effect of the NDE and not merely a consequence of having been nearly dead (13; 14; 15; 17; 27; 61; 156; 157; 158, etc.). At the same time a decrease of neurotic (life) anxieties is observed (18; 27). 2) After an NDE, all NDEers are absolutely certain that there is life after death (11; 12; 13; 17; 18; 22b; 60; 158, etc.). One observed consequence: some NDEers mourn less because they know that there is life after death(41). 3) We found a distinct increase of religiousness, consisting in the above mentioned two points and the real knowledge of the existence of (a) God (and other religious beings) which is often obtained by contacting religious beings (of light). Furthermore, a priority of religious/ethical values in this life and the life beyond emerge from an NDE (13; 17; 22i; 25; 6 1, etc.). These are the following values: 4) Unconditional love for all human beings and aU things (13; 17; 22i; 22f; 5 1, etc.); 5) More harmony, tolerance and sympathy with other humans together with a high evaluation of human relationships (17; 18; 220; 27, etc.); 6) Engagement in social-charitable activities (17; 61, etc.); 7) Turning away from materialistic, external or superficial values, prestige and competitive struggle lose importance (13; 18; etc.); 8) Higher evaluation of the self together with more joy of life and more self-reliance (18; 19; 27, etc.); 9) Enhanced perception of the brevity and preciousness of one's own lifetime (13; 27, etc.); 10) Higher evaluation of the harmony with nature (1 3; 18, etc.); 11) A feeling of higher responsibility for one's life, resulting especially from the life-review (13; 17; 19, etc.); 12) Higher esteem of knowledge of oneself and wisdom (13; 17; 18, etc.); 13) Distinct increase of psychical (PSI or ESP) capacities, especially of healing abilities (17; 22b; 41 etc.); 14) Higher evaluation of noetic qualities (17; 41, etc.); 15) Healing of psychic or psychiatric diseases, especially of addictions (13; 17; 27; 41; 141, etc.); Near Death Experiences 225 16) NDEs have shown to be the best prevention against suicide; in particular the real knowledge of a life after death and the firmly established religiouslethical values resulting from the life review seem to contribute to this effect (17; 27; 29; 30; 43; 61, etc.); 17) Sometimes a complete turn-around of criminals is observed (13; 17; 20a; 21b, 21c; 21d); 18) Finally the NDEers develop a feeling of being elected and become a kind of missionary for the knowledge and values learned through their NDEs (17; 19; 27; 30; 43, etc.). Actually all of these changes are consequences of the NDE (49). These changes seem to correlate with the extent of the NDE and degree of imminent death (1 7; 18; 22b; 49). Most astonishing is not just the frequency and structural similarity of all NDEs in the United States and Western Europe, independent of sociological, demographic and psychological variables, but that similar experiences with the same efSects have been made for thousands of years across completely different cultures (17; 34; 58; 68; 123-125; 129). The Gilgamesh epic, the oldest written testimony of mankind, contains a near-death experience: Gilgamesh... began... his search for the other world. A long time afterwards he discovered behind the oceans at the edge of this world the river Chubur, the last barrier before the kingdom of the dead. Gilgamesh left the world and crawled through a dark endless tunnel. It was a long, uncomfortable way... but at last he saw light at the end of the dark tube. He came to the exit of the tunnel and saw a splendid garden. The trees carried pearls and jewels and over all a wonderful light emitted its rays. Gilgamesh wanted to rest in the other world. But the sungod sent him back through the tunnel into this life. There he met Enkidu, who at first had experienced misfortune. Thousands of maggots had molested him in another part of the other world. They had buried themselves painfully into his body, until there was left only a shadow without flesh. Finally a friendly god gave him back his body in order to be able to leave the hell and tell his friend Gilgamesh of the horror of hell in full detail. (62, p.8; my transl.). Also the medieval Christian-Catholic religion recognized the NDEs. The first case records stem from Pope Gregory the Great (5th Century A. D.) (17; 58). The Chinese and Japanese Amida-Buddhists were more focused on the enlightening NDEs and their artificial induction via meditation; but they also knew hellish NDEs. These Buddhists compiled the second NDE-case collection in the 7th Century A.D. Comments in this collection sometimes reach the level of the near-death research of our days (22j; 22k). Finally, the NDEs of modem non-Westernlnon-Christian cultures are essentially comparable with those of the industrial countries in so far as they are interpreted as other-world-contact and result in an intensified religious life. This applies for example to the inhabitants of Papua New Guinea with some interesting differences: tunnel and light-phenomena (sometimes also the OBE) seem to be absent, heaven and hell correspond to their different religious concepts, and the life-review is replaced by a trial. The NDE content is shaped dif- 226 M. Schroter-Kunhardt ferently, according to the particular religion, culture and mentality (17; 64; 65; 66; 67; 68). The American anthropologist, D. Shields, found that 95% of 57 non-Western cultures today are familiar with OBEs, the most important component of the NDE (43). Interestingly enough, no review of a former life is described in the NDEs of culture believing in reincarnation. This could be an indication that the concept of reincarnation is a misinterpretation of the contact with the (former) life of another deceased human being (143; 144). How can these universal, similarly structured and interpreted experiences of so many human beings throughout time and all cultures be explained? At first there is a clear indication, that all conceptions of God originate in the NDE: it is a fact that the most common NDE-element- the light of the other worldbecomes a sungod for Gilgamesh, a divine Bodhisattva for the Amida-Buddhist, the God of love (and of light) for the Christian and even causes the unbelieving scientist or rationalist to believe in divine forces. Historical Perspective With the minds of all NDEers throughout the history of mankind interpreting the NDE unequivocably as proof for life after death, could this be reality? Is this similar interpretation together with the similar structure and the similar effects- i.e., the changes of personality in the direction of an enforcement of the religious/ethical aspects of man- not good evidence for a biological (and genetical) basis for the NDE and thereby all (mystical) religious experiences? I will attempt to answer these very important questions by first falsifying the arguments of the skeptics. 1) NDEs are not a sign of a psychic disorder of the NDEer (see above). 2) NDEs are not products of a larger capacity for imagination on behalf of the NDEer. Actually neither the NDEers nor the OBEers have a larger capacity for imagination than the general population (22d; 22i; 22k; 72; 75; 76; 77, etc.). 3) Before the NDE, NDEers (most likely) do not have a higher hypnotizability or influence susceptibility than the general population. The latter possibility only increases after the NDE (22f; 43; 74, etc.). 4) NDEs are not the result of previous knowledge about the NDE. Even children who have never heard about NDEs have similarly structured near-death experiences. Sometimes these children are too young to even speak, and therefore could have never heard of NDEs (13; 16; 22d; 24; 25; 43; 78; 324, etc.). Even if the children have learned from certain (religious) expectations of their parents, their NDEs do not correspond to their parents' beliefs (6; 15; 17; 22c; 221; 49; 65; 324, etc.). Different studies have actually shown that most NDEers do not have any prior information about NDEs (17; 18; 43; 49; 57, etc.). Even those who have previous knowledge of NDEs do not necessarily experience a correlation between previous beliefs and the actual content and shapes of their NDE (57). Near Death Experiences 227 5) NDEs are not the result of fulfilling a desire. Desires are always idiosyncratic while NDEs and have many common elements, independent of the belief-system of the NDEer (1 3; 17; 43; 48; 5 1, etc.). In many cases the NDEs evidently do not correlate with the desires of the experiencers (13; 16; 221; 22m; 34; 41; 49; 50, etc.). NDEs are also experienced in those cases where the patients are sure to recover again, i.e., against their own desires and expectations (6; 34). The verifiable OBE-perceptions of resuscitation and other objects and events can be differentiated from previous personal conceptions (15). Quite often the NDEer did not know or know about the deceased ones who appeared in the NDE, so that could not have been a desired experience (22d; 5 1 ; 78). Fulfilling a desire is usually a flight from reality but a NDEer having an OBE is confronting himself with a frightful situation (1 3; 18; 50). Besides, just a flight from reality would never result in such massive positive changes of personality (13; 17; 50). Particularly the culture-shock phenomenon contradicts the supposition of fulfilling a desire, because we usually only desire pleasant things. Finally a psychological explanation can only say something about the mechanism but nothing about the reality of an experience (25; 57; see below). 6) The NDE is not merely an archetype of the Jungian collective unconscious. This model is only a controversial undemonstrable theory and therefore explains something unknown by some other unknown thing (13; 43; 47; 79). In dreams for example, we do not find an NDE-archetype. This also could not explain the verifiable OBE-perceptions (13). Interestingly, C. G. Jung himself had an NDE which changed his life and strengthened his belief in life after death (34; 43). Possibly the other world is even a source of all of our symbols (17). 7) The NDE is not a birth-recall. Actually the NDE is just the opposite of a birth experience: an easy-floating trip through the tunnel does not resemble the painful passage through the birth-canal. The obstetrician is experienced as a threat and not as a wonderful light. Birth is always painful while the peak experience of an NDE is characterized by painlessness. The birth hypothesis also cannot explain the appearance of deceased people. In general perception during birth is by no means as differentiated as perception during a NDE. Finally, cesarean sections should also entail other NDEs that have not been observed. Altogether, the birth hypothesis reduces all religious/mystical experiences to kinds of birth recall that are surely untenable (13; 18, etc.). 8) Psychological theories cannot say anything about the objective reality of the NDE. Many psychologists forget this when they try to reduce the NDE to purely theoretical contentions (25; 50; 47; 79). Concerning the most important theories, the following must be said: Palmer postulates that the imminent death threatens the body and self-concept of a human being. The OBE then reestablishes self-identity via primary process. This theory can neither explain the perspective above nor the verifiable 228 M. Schroter-Kunhardt perceptions during the OBE (73). Especially the fact that the OBEer regards the threatening thing (i.e., the seemingly dead body) itself without fear, is the opposite of what could be expected if the NDE were merely a flight away from an awful reality. When do we want to flee into the direction of danger? Actually NDE-OBEs are rather blocked by fear of one's own death (50). To explain the mystical NDE-elements as regression into the state before ego-differentiation is already phenomenologically wrong, because the whole NDE is experienced with a completely intact egoidentity. Also the concept of depersonalization cannot explain the NDE which by definition is not depersonalization (13; 17; 25; 28; 43, etc.). 9) The NDE (OBE) cannot be explained by subliminal perception. This is defined as acoustic perception of emotionally important and especially threatening information during operations or in coma. The concomitant helplessness and feeling of distorted reality of one's own experiences in this state contribute to the appearance of psychophysiological disturbances afterwards. Even pain is suddenly again perceived (15; 53; 80; 81; 82; 83; 84). Contrary to this, the NDE (OBE) is characterized mainly by optical perceptions of important and less important things in a state of very rational (OBE) control and absolute certainty of the reality that one sees. During this experience the NDEer experiences complete painlessness. The psychic aftereffects are primarily positive (see above). 10) The statement that NDEs contain perceptions of (this and another) reality cannot be falsified. The reason is that the current definition of a hallucination is grounded on an antiquated reality-concept (of a simple realism) (77; 116). Also, the perception-psychological assumptions of this definition after which reality is imaged in the brain via our sense organs are wrong (22a; 77; 86; 87, etc.). The fact is that we do not even know the neurophysiological correlates of hallucinations (77; see below). We know reality only by its image in our brain; this image however is very selective, dependent on our state of consciousness. This reality is never objective. Therefore in the conventional psychiatric sense all perceptions are illusions. Physical and epistemiologically standard NDEs, however, open a reality which exists as surely as nuclear particles or the feeling of love exist (43; 76; 77; 86; 87; 88; 89; 90; 91; 92, etc.). 11) The verifiable perceptions of the NDEer7s real surroundings, the thoughts of people present, his own past, the imminent death (in a scenic form) and sometimes also of the future are by definition not hallucinations. These perceptions are first of all perceptions of the external and bodily reality which are already in the terminology of conventional psychiatry no hallucinations (70; 77; 79). The other NDE-elements can also be distinguished from usual hallucinations and also therefore from dreams which by definition are hallucinations in Near Death Experiences 229 a) While they are always individually unique, NDEs show a surprising similarity (6; 15; 77; 87, etc.); b) Hallucinations of mentally ill people can clearly be distinguished from the contents of an NDE (24; 34; 50; 65; 93); 80% of hallucinations have a negative content while about 90% of the NDEs are positive (34; 94); c) Usually it requires long-lasting hallucinations to have a psychopathological effect (77; 132) while just one short NDE may entail great changes of personality in the direction of mental health; d) Scientists who have experienced hallucinations differentiate clearly between NDEs, dreams and hallucinations (22a; 49; 43; 5 1 , e t ~ . ) ; e) The OBE is no heautoskopic hallucination (1 3; 43; 50, etc.), sometimes it can be verified experimentally (43; 50; 70); f) The fact that at the moment (or hour) of death dying people sometimes can be seen far away from their deathbed by living, mentally healthy human beings, indicates a kind of real appearance (35) which can be compared to the appearance of deceased ones in the NDE. This also correlates with the imminent death of the NDEer. If the NDEer sees living persons in this phase of his NDE, their appearance correlates quite often with the imminent death of the seemingly living person (13; 16; 78). The fact that the unknown deceased one looks the way he looked when he was living also indicates a paranormal process and possibly an appearance of a ghost (1 3; 35, etc.); g) The existence of an elevated hallucination index does not increase the frequency of NDEs (34; 50; 65). The intercultural, inter- and intra-individual differences between NDEs whose content, interpretation and effects clearly correlate with culture, religion and (therefore) mentality of the experiencer do not speak immediately for their hallucinative character. There could simply be other different worlds. A correlation does not say something about the cause (17; 22d; 22j; 22k; 58; 64). Scientifically this problem cannot be solved as easily as some people want (see point 10): It seems reasonable to assume that in ancient times those who suffered a near-fatal injury or became seriously ill and appeared dead, but later revived bearing spectacular accounts, would have been regarded uncritically as revealing something of the hidden mysteries of death. This raises the intriguing possibility that some and perhaps much of the folklore imagery of the after-life could be derived by NDEs, and that cultural expectations not only determine NDE imagery but are themselves also derived from it (57, p. 61 2; my italics). In the light of results of parapsychological research on the mechanisms of extrasensory perception (ESP) (95; 96; 97) an intermediate position might be correct: the other world's pictures of NDEs consist of a mixture of individual hallucinations and true ESP, the latter representing- perhaps still on the level 230 M. Schroter-Kunhardt of human images- the different "mansions in the house of God" that Jesus mentioned (John 14,2). In any case the astonishing uniformity of the near-death experiences of mankind refers to the importance of religious values and other worldly conceptions of humans. This uniformity and many other facts even speak for a biological (and genetic) base of (this) religious experience and therefore religiosity in general. What do we then know about the neurophysiology of the NDE- and can this knowledge help our understanding of the meaning of this universal experience? In principle the significance of neurophysiological findings is limited. They are only correlates of the NDE which cannot say anything about its objective reality nor its meaning for the NDEer. Actually it is not clear if the neurophysiological correlates, for instance of schizophrenia, are cause or consequence of this disease. Then each physiological correlate of the color red, for example, is only secondary; we would not understand it without knowing first what red is. Finally we cannot reduce one perception (of the color red or the appearance of a deceased person) to another (neurophysiological) perception because both are only perceptions. So physically and neurophysiologically neither the color red nor the deceased person exist; colors, forms, smells, joy, love and pain are unknown in these disciplines, like the NDE they (seem to) exist only in our brain. If we would know all neurophysiological processes of the perception of the rising sun, nowhere would a light emerge. We would only remain in the description of material particles and fields of energy (22a; 2211; 43; 45; 50; 77; 85; 98). Neurophysiology of the NDE In so far as neither the physiological base of hallucinations nor the complex states of consciousness like schizophrenia, depression and fear (not to mention love or dreams) are really known after years of research (22a; 77), our knowledge of the neurophysiology of NDEs is very small, particularly because NDEs have only been discussed and investigated for a short time. What we know is the following: certainly the NDE is based on a functioning brain, working in an Altered State of Consciousness (ASC) during the NDE. Especially the psychical (PSI or ESP) capacities are increased in this state of mind. Indeed an isoelectric EEG does not exclude discharges of deeper brain structures (13; 99). Actually many NDEs are experienced by persons only experiencing imminent death, i.e., not clinical death, and therefore without damage to brain functions (21a; 21m). Furthermore, some elements- especially the PSI components- of the NDE are more or less common for human beings who are not at all near death; some can be caused by hallucinogens (LSD, ketamine) or electrical stimulation of the brain (3; 17; 55; 87; 100; 101 ; 102; 140). Neither hypoxia nor hypercapnia are necessary to cause an NDE. However both are often present (in a combination) and the latter can cause some NDE- Near Death Experiences 231 elements artificially. Actually NDEs can be found with normal, increased or decreased pC02 and p 0 2 (3; 15; 17; 18; 21a; 21m; 22a; 22f; 25; 43; 57, etc.). We do not know NDE-specific transmitter-constellations. There are only two important assumptions. First: Endorphins/encephalins could play a role; but the evidence is contradictory. These substances on the one hand do not have an hallucinogenic effect (13; 15; 22a; 22n; 59; 91; 103; 118; 146). On the other hand they participate in many important experiences of man so that their activation during the NDE is not exceptional (22a; 22n; 87; 91; 103). Assumptions concerning the participation of serotonin are safer. LSD and ketamine (possibly also hypercapnia), for example, inhibit neurons in the midbrain which contain serotonin; this inhibition again activates the temporolimbic system whose epileptogen discharges could be the common final pathway of all neurophysiological mechanisms (22a; 22f; 2211; 24; 101; 102; 104). Actually the temporolimbic region contains numerous endorphinlencephalin receptors (22a; 22n). Furthermore, the long-term memory may be located here (105). Then the electrical stimulation of the temporal lobe could evoke fragments of a life review, d6ji-vu phenomena and also an OBE (17; 22a; 22f; 43; 87; 100; 106; 148). In a small case study, OBEs, d6ji-vu phenomena and other psychical (PSI or ESP) elements of NDEs were associated with possible temporal lobe symptoms (PTLS). Quite often, patients with these symptoms hear sounds which sometimes resemble the initial sounds of NDEs. Even in a religious conversion, feelings of blessedness and all-oneness are described in connection with temporal lobe symptomatology (15; 22a; 26; 43; 45; 85; 98; 100; 106; 107; 108). NDEers in and after the NDE show a significant increase of psychical (PSI or ESP) capacities which are possibly located in the temporolimbic system (see above) (22a; 22b). Finally antiepileptic medication like sedatives and hypnotics often interfere with the genesis of NDEs that can be explained by their influence on the limbic system (15; 22c; 220; 57; 104; 109). However, this interference does not always take place. NDEs have occurred under the influence of these medications (22h; 29; 43, etc.). We should not forget that all meaningful human behavior is connected with the temporolimbic region. Its activation during the NDE is nothing special (22a). Finally, temporal lobe epilepsies usually do not have any similarity with NDEs; their symptoms, on the contrary, are emotionally negative, idiosyncratic, and uncontrollably automatic. Furthermore, the NDE does not show all the sensorial, motorial, autonomic and (gustatory, olfactorial, haptic and thermic) hallucinative symptoms of the temporal lobe epilepsy. The visual hallucinations of this disease are visual disturbances and not intact images as in NDE perceptions. An isoelectric EEG is inconceivable with a temporal lobe epilepsy but has been observed during some NDEs (13; 15; 17; 18; 22a; 50; 100; 108; 110, etc.). So NDEs are not temporal lobe epilepsies; some indices however point at a special participation of the ternporolimbic system. By no means can the NDE be psychopathologized on the grounds of the above mentioned neurophysiological assumptions. While some critics main- 232 M. Schroter-Kunhardt tain that the NDE is a dysfunction of the brain, this would entail a dysfunctional, confused/incoherent and individually different experience which has destabilizing, disintegrating and psychopathologizing effects for the experiencer. But the NDE is just the opposite: it constitutes a completely unexpected peak capacity of the human brain and has psychohygienic/psychotherapeutic effects which exceed those of many psychotherapies. In the light of their complexity, their relative uniform structure and their enormous efliciency it can be postulated that the NDE neurophysiologically consists of a controlled, selective activation of certain (though mainly unknown) biologically founded hierarchical neuronal structures (22a). However the fact is that quite different causes (i.e., acute bronchial asthma, postpartal embolism, intracerebral bleeding, operation, birth, coma or pure psychological expectation of imminent death) with different neurophysiological correlates always produce very similar NDEs. This indicates the participation of a determined brain-structure otherwise we would expect an individually different unstructured organic psychosyndrome. Furthermore, the fact that hallucinogens can produce NDE-like experiences under certain psychic and therefore neurophysiological conditions (setting) (3; 21c; 102; 140; 142) confirms the existence of a specific neuro-biological involvement in the NDE. The psychiatrist Stanislav Grof experimented with LSD-induced NDE-like experiences on incurable cancer patients. The patients, like the normal NDEer, lost their fear of death, became more positive in their outlook, came out of depression, and experienced a release of pain (3). That is the reason why in many cultures hallucinogens taken during the ritual of initiation are also used to assist entrance into the world of the gods, religious experiences of death and the other world (13; 17, etc.). Just as synthetic morphine-antagonists proved the existence of endogenous opiates and their neurons and receptors, the effects of LSD and other hallucinogens are a clear indication for the existence of engogenous hallucinogens. Scientists have just discovered, isolated, coded and cloned the gene which produces the receptors for hashish in the human brain (198)- a strong indication for the existence of endogenous hashish, which has been discovered just some weeks ago (162). Also derivatives of tryptophan, the precursors of serotonin, are potent psychedelics (178; 150). The release of these endogenous hallucinogens during an NDE then has to happen within a complex hierarchical, neuronal structure which produces at the moment of death the specific and complex pattern of the NDE. The fact is that the mystical quality and the efSects of the NDE can be compared with the religious-mystical experiences of all cultures of mankind and therefore constitutes the continuously reproduced base of the other world-conceptions of all religions (3; 57; 68; 102; 106; 111; 112; 113; 114; 115; 116; 117; 118; 119; 120; 121; 122; 123; 124; 125; 126; 133; 134; 135, 160; 161, etc.) and the neuro-biologically-based core of all religious experiences on the Near Death Experiences 233 Moreover, the implicit statement of nearly all religious experiences to represent the reality of another world cannot be falsified by neurophysiological correlates. Even if someone would label all of these religious experiences as a psychopathological, antiquated concept of reality and a definition of hallucinations based on this concept, the universal occurrence and psychohygienic effects of these experiences with whole systems of meaning (i.e. religions) founded upon them would always demonstrate the opposite (17). Dr. V. M. Neppe, Director of the Division of Neuropsychiatry at the University of Washington School of Medicine, sums it up as follows: ... these results... may imply that there is an organic base which allows the experiencing of an endogenous or exogenous reality which others, by virtue of their more conventional pattern of functioning, may not be able to experience... the same common pattern of functioning that predisposed the percipients to gustatory or haptic hallucinations deriving from within the brain may allow the experiencing of a different kind of reality deriving exogenously (i.e., outside the brain) and manifesting as SPE (subjective paranormal experience, my suppl.) (45, p. 1 1 - 12). On the other hand in the "British Medical Journal" the psychiatrist L. Appleby concedes: Explanations have included the spiritual, the psychoanalytical, and the purely neurological, all sharing only one attribute: each requires a form of faith. And, though the features of the near death experience are reproduced in drug-induced states, this points to a physiological substrate rather than to their etiology (98, p. 976). Concluding Remarks As a human experience (127) the NDEs really demonstrate the maximum capacity of the brain. In most cases we observe an exceptional increase of psychical (PSI or ESP) capacities (50; 55; 62; 130; 131; 136; 137; 138). This sudden and completely unexpected increase of extrasensory and extracorporeal perception just directly before biological death indicates clearly that the brain prepares the dying human being for another life, a life beyond the body and consequently one with extrasensory perception. That is the neuro-biologically founded interpretation of the NDE, confirmed by the brain of all NDEers. 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Bush, Distressing Near-Death Experiences (Psychiatry Vol. 55, February 1992, p. 95 - 1 10) 156 E. Eysseric, E. Schmitt, Exptriences de L'Imminence de la Mort (Thkse de Doctoral en MCdecine, Arvillard: Editions Prajna, 1985) 157 P. Dayot, Eptrience de 171mminencede la Mort: Approche Traditionnele (Thkse de Doctorat en MCdecine, Arvillard: Editions Prajna, 1984) 158 EANDS-France, La Mort Transfigurt: Recherches sur les exptriences vCcues aux approches de la mort (NDE) (Paris: L' Age Du Verseau, 1992) 159 Melvin MorselPaul Perry, Closer to the Light: Learning From Children's Near-Death Experience (London: Souvenir Press Ltd. 199 1) 160 Physis: Medizin und Naturwissenschaften 11190 161 Stanislav Grof: Das Abenteuer der Selbst: Entdeckung (Miinchen: Kosel-Verlag 1989) 162 Die Welt January 9, 1993, P. 7 Through the Invisible Near-Death Experiences and the Quest for Immortality I sent my Soul through the Invisible, some letter of that After-life to spell: And by and by my Soul return'd to me, And answer'd "I Myself am Heav'n and Hell." —Omar Khayyam, The Rubaiyat I n 1980 I attended a weekend seminar in Klamath Falls, Oregon, on "Voluntary Controls of Internal States," hosted by Jack Schwarz, a man well known to practitioners of alternative medicine and altered states of consciousness. According to literature advertising the seminar, Jack is a survivor of a Nazi concentration camp, where years of isolation, miserable conditions, and physical torture taught him to transcend his body and go to a place where he could not be hurt. Jack's course was intended to teach the principles of mind control through meditation. Mastery of these principles allows one to voluntarily control such bodily functions as pulse rate, blood pressure, pain, fatigue, and bleeding. In a dramatic demonstration, Jack took out a ten-inch-long rusted sail needle and shoved it through his biceps. He didn't wince and after he pulled it out only a tiny drop of blood covered the hole. I was impressed. The first part of the course was educational. We learned about the color, location, and power of our chakras (energy centers intersecting the physical and psychospiritual realms), the power of the mind to control the body through use of these chakras, the cure of illnesses through visualization, 73 74 Part 2 Pseudoscience and Superstition becoming at one with the universe through the interaction of matter and energy, and other remarkable things. The second part of the course was practical. We learned how to meditate, and then we chanted a type of mantra to focus our energies. This went on for quite some time. Jack explained that some people might experience some startling emotions. I didn't, try as I might, but others certainly did. Several women fell off their chairs and began writhing on the floor, breathing heavily and moaning in what appeared to me as an orgasmic state. Even some men really got into it. To help me get in tune with my chakras, one woman took me into a bathroom with a wall mirror, closed the door and shut off the lights, and tried to show me the energy auras surrounding our bodies. I looked as hard as I could but didn't see anything. One night we were driving along a quiet Oregon highway and she started pointing out little light-creatures on the side of the road. I couldn't see these either. I took a few other seminars from Jack and since this was before I was a "skeptic," I can honestly say I tried to experience what others seemed to— but it always eluded me. In retrospect, I think what was going on had to do with the fact that some people are fantasy-prone, others are open to suggestion and group influence, while still others are good at letting their minds slip into altered states of consciousness. Since I think near-death experiences are a type of altered state of consciousness, let us examine this concept next. What Is an Altered State of Consciousness? Most skeptics would agree with me that mystical and spiritual experiences are nothing more than the product of fantasy and suggestion, but many would question my third explanation of altered states of consciousness. James Randi and I have discussed this subject at length. He, along with other skeptics like psychologist Robert Baker (1990, 1996), believes that there is no such thing as an altered state of consciousness because there is nothing you can do in a so-called altered state that you cannot do in an unaltered state (i.e., normal, awake, and conscious). Hypnosis, for example, is often considered a type of altered state, yet hypnotist "The Amazing" Kreskin offers to pay $100,000 to anyone who can get someone to do something under hypnosis that they could not do in an ordinary wakeful Chapter 5 Through the Invisible 75 state. Baker, Kreskin, Randi, and others think that hypnosis is nothing more than fantasy role-playing. I disagree. The expression altered states of consciousness was coined by parapsychologist Charles Tart in 1969, but mainstream psychologists have been aware for some time of the fact that the mind is more than just conscious awareness. Psychologist Kenneth Bowers argues that experiments prove that "there is something far more pervasive and subtle to hypnotic behavior than voluntary and purposeful compliance with the perceived demands of the situation" and that "the 'faking hypothesis' is an entirely inadequate interpretation of hypnosis" (1976, p. 20). Stanford experimental psychologist Ernest Hilgard discovered through hypnosis a "hidden observer" in the mind aware of what is going on but not on a conscious level, and that there exists a "multiplicity of functional systems that are hierarchically organized but can become dissociated from one another" (1977, p. 17). Hilgard typically instructed his subjects as follows: When I place my hand on your shoulder (after you are hypnotized) I shall be able to talk to a hidden part of you that knows things are going on in your body, things that are unknown to the part of you to which I am now talking. The part to which I am now talking will not know what you are telling me or even that you are talking... . You will remember that there is a part of you that knows many things that are going on that may be hidden from either your normal consciousness or the hypnotized part of you. (Knox, Morgan, and Hilgard 1974, p. 842) This dissociation of the hidden observer is a type of altered state. What exactly do we mean by an altered state or, for that matter, an unaltered state? Here it might be useful to distinguish between quantitative differences—those of degree—and qualitative differences—those of kind. A pile of six apples and a pile of five apples are quantitatively different. A pile of six apples and a pile of six oranges are qualitatively different. Most differences between states of consciousness are quantitative, not qualitative. In other words, in both states a thing exists, just in different amounts. For example, when sleeping, we think, since we dream; we form memories, since we can remember our dreams; and we are sensitive to our environment, though considerably less so. Some people walk and talk in their sleep, and we can control sleep, planning to get up at a certain time and doing so fairly reliably. In other words, while asleep we just do less of what we do while awake. Still, sleep is a good example because it is so different that we do not normally mistake it for a waking state. The quantitative difference is so 76 Part 2 Pseudoscience and Superstition FIGURE 7: EEG recordings for six different states of consciousness. great as to be qualitatively different and thus count as an altered state. Though the EEG readings in figure 7 are only quantitatively different, they are so much so that the states they represent may be considered as different in kind. If a coma is not an altered state, I do not know what is. And it cannot be duplicated in a conscious state. Consciousness has two characteristics: " 1. Monitoring ourselves and our environment so that perceptions, memories, and thoughts are accurately represented in awareness; 2. Controlling ourselves and our environment so that we are able to initiate and terminate behavioral and cognitive activities" (Kihlstrom 1987, p. 1445). Thus, an altered state of consciousness would have to interfere with our accurate monitoring of percepts, memories, and thoughts, as well as disrupt control of our behavior and cognition within the environment. An altered state of consciousness exists when there is significant interference with our monitoring and control of our environment. By significant, I mean a dramatic departure from "normal" functioning. Both sleep and hypnosis do this, as do hallucinations, near-death experiences, out-of-body experiences, and other altered states. Psychologist Barry Beyerstein makes a similar argument in defining altered states of consciousness as the modification of specific neural sys- Chapter 5 Through the Invisible 11 tems "by disease, repetitive stimulation, mental manipulations, or chemical ingestion" such that "our perception of ourselves and the world can be profoundly altered" (1996, p. 15). Psychologist Andrew Neher (1990) calls them "transcendent states," which he defines as sudden and unexpected alterations of consciousness intense enough to be overwhelming to the person experiencing them. The key here is the intensity of the experience and the profundity of the alteration of consciousness. Do we do anything in an altered state that we cannot do in an unaltered state of consciousness? Yes. For example, dreams are significantly different from waking thoughts and daydreams. The fact that we normally never confuse the two is an indication of their qualitative difference. Further, hallucinations are not normally experienced in a stable, awake state unless there is some intervening variable, such as extreme stress, drugs, or sleep deprivation. Near-death experiences and out-of-body experiences are so unusual that they often stand out as life-changing events. No. The differences are only quantitative. But even here, it could be argued that the differences are so great as to constitute a qualitative difference. You can show me that the EEGs recorded when I am normally conscious and when I am hallucinating severely are only quantitatively different, but I have no trouble experiencing and recognizing their dramatic difference. Consider the near-death experience. The Near-Death Experience One of the driving forces behind religions, mysticism, spiritualism, the New Age movement, and belief in ESP and psychic powers is the desire to transcend the material world, to step beyond the here-and-now and pass through the invisible into another world beyond the senses. But where is this other world and how do we get there? What is the appeal of some place we know absolutely nothing about? Is death merely a transition to this other side? Believers claim that we do know something about the other side through a phenomenon called the perithanatic or near-death experience (NDE). The NDE, like its related partner the out-of-body experience (OBE), is one of the most compelling phenomena in psychology. Apparently, upon a close encounter with death, some individuals' experiences are so similar as to lead many to believe that there is an afterlife or that death is a pleasant experience or both. The phenomenon was popularized in 1975 78 Part 2 Pseudoscience and Superstition substantiated by corroborative evidence from others. For example, cardiologist E Schoonmaker (1979) reported that 50 percent of the more than two thousand patients he treated over an eighteen-year period had NDEs. A 1982 Gallup poll found that one out of twenty Americans had been through an NDE (Gallup 1982, p. 198). And Dean Sheils (1978) has studied the cross-cultural nature of the phenomenon. When NDEs first came into prominence, they were perceived as isolated, unusual events and were dismissed by scientists and medical doctors as either exaggerations or flights of fantasy by highly stressed but very creative minds. In the 1980s, however, NDEs gained credibility through the work of Elisabeth Kiibler-Ross, a medical doctor who publicized this nowclassic example: Mrs. Schwartz came into the hospital and told us how she had had a near-death experience. She was a housewife from Indiana, a very simple and unsophisticated woman. She had advanced cancer, had hemorrhaged and was put into a private hospital, very close to death. The doctors attempted for 45 minutes to revive her, after which she had no vital signs and was declared dead. She told me later that while they were working on her, she had an experience of simply floating out of her physical body and hovering a few feet above the bed, watching the resuscitation team work very frantically. She described to me the designs of the doctors' ties, she repeated a joke one of the young doctors told, she remembered absolutely everything. And all she wanted to tell them was relax, take it easy, it is all right, don't struggle so hard. The more she tried to tell them, the more frantically they worked to revive her. Then, in her own language, she "gave up" on them and lost consciousness. After they declared her dead, she made a comeback and lived for another year and a half. (1981, p. 86) This is a typical NDE, characterized by one of the three most commonly reported elements: (1) a floating OBE in which you look down and see your body; (2) passing through a tunnel or spiral chamber toward a bright light that represents transcendence to "the other side"; (3) emerging on the other side and seeing loved ones who have already passed away or a Godlike figure. It seems obvious that these are hallucinatory wishful-thinking experiences, yet Kiibler-Ross has gone out of her way to verify the stories. "We've had people who were in severe auto accidents, had no vital signs and told us how many blow torches were used to extricate them from the wreck" (1981, p. 86). Even more bizarre are stories of an imperfect or diseased body becoming whole again during an NDE. "Quadriplegics are no longer paralyzed, multiple-sclerosis patients who have been in wheelchairs for years say that when they were out of their bodies, they were able to sing and dance." Chapter 5 Through the Invisible 79 Memories from a previously whole body? Of course. A close friend of mine who became a paraplegic after an automobile accident often dreamed of being whole. It was not at all unusual for her to wake in the morning and fully expect to hop out of bed. But Kiibler-Ross does not buy the prosaic explanation: "You take totally blind people who don't even have light perception, don't even see shades of gray. If they have a near-death experience, they can report exactly what the scene looked like at the accident or hospital room. They have described to me incredibly minute details. How do you explain that?" (1981, p. 90). Simple. Memories of verbal descriptions given by others during the NDE are converted into visual images of the scene and then rendered back into words. Further, quite frequently patients in trauma or surgery are not totally unconscious or under the anesthesia and are aware of what is happening around them. If the patient is in a teaching hospital, the attending physician or chief resident who performs the surgery would be describing the procedure for the other residents, thus enabling the NDE subject to give an accurate description of events. Something is happening in the NDE that cries out for explanation, but what? Physician Michael Sabom, in his 1982 Recollections of Death, drew on the results of his correlational study of a large number of people who had had NDEs, noting age, sex, occupation, education, and religious affiliation, along with prior knowledge of NDEs, possible expectations as a result of religious or prior medical knowledge, the type of crisis (accident, arrest), location of crisis, method of resuscitation, estimated time of unconsciousness, description of the experience, and so on. Sabom followed these subjects for years, re-interviewing them as well as members of their families to see whether they altered their stories or found some other explanation for the experience. Even after years, every subject felt just as strongly about his or her experience and was convinced that the episode did occur. Almost all stated that the experience had a definite impact on their outlook on life and perception of death. They were no longer "afraid" of dying nor did they "mourn" the death of loved ones, as they were convinced that death is a pleasant experience. Each felt that he or she had been given a second chance and, although not every subject became "religious," they all felt a need to "do something with their lives." Although Sabom notes that nonbelievers and believers had similar experiences, he fails to mention that we have all been exposed to the JudeoChristian worldview. Whether or not we consciously believe, we have all heard similar ideas about God and the afterlife, heaven and hell. Sabom also does not point out that people of different religions see different religious 80 Part 2 Pseudoscience and Superstition figures during NDEs, an indication that the phenomenon occurs within the mind, not without. What naturalistic explanations can be offered for NDEs? An early, speculative theory came from psychologist Stanislav Grof (1976; Grof and Halifax 1977), who argued that every human being has already experienced the characteristics of the NDE—the sensation of floating, the passage down a tunnel, the emergence into a bright light—birth. Perhaps the memory of such a traumatic event is permanently imprinted in our minds, to be triggered later by an equally traumatic event—death. Is it possible that recollection of perinatal memories accounts for what is experienced during an NDE? Not likely. There is no evidence for infantile memories of any kind. Furthermore, the birth canal does not look like a tunnel and besides the infant's head is normally down and its eyes are closed. And why do people who are born by cesarean section have NDEs? (Not to mention that Grof and his subjects were experimenting with LSD—not the most reliable method for retrieving memories, since it creates its own illusions.) A more likely explanation looks to biochemical and neurophysiological causes. We know, for example, that the hallucination of flying is triggered by atropine and other belladonna alkaloids, some of which are found in mandrake and jimsonweed and were used by European witches and American Indian shamans. OBEs are easily induced by dissociative anesthetics such as the ketamines. DMT (dimethyltryptamine) causes the perception that the world is enlarging or shrinking. MDA (methylenedioxyamphetamine) stimulates the feeling of age regression so that things we have long forgotten are brought back into memory. And, of course, LSD (lysergic acid diethylamide) triggers visual and auditory hallucinations and creates a feeling of oneness with the cosmos, among other effects (see Goodman and Gilman 1970; Grinspoon and Bakalar 1979; Ray 1972; Sagan 1979; Siegel 1977). The fact that there are receptor sites in the brain for such artificially processed chemicals means that there are naturally produced chemicals in the brain that, under certain conditions (the stress of trauma or an accident, for example), can induce any or all of the experiences typically associated with an NDE. Perhaps NDEs and OBEs are nothing more than wild "trips" induced by the extreme trauma of almost dying. Aldous Huxley's Doors of Perception (whence the rock group The Doors got its name) has a fascinating description, made by the author while under the influence of mescaline, of a flower in a vase. Huxley describes "seeing what Adam had seen on the morning of his creation—the miracle, moment by moment, of naked existence" (1954, p. 17). Psychologist Susan Blackmore (1991, 1993, 1996) has taken the hallucination hypothesis one step further by demonstrating why different peo- Chapter 5 Through the Invisible 81 FIGURE 8: Spiral chamber and striped tunneling effects of near-death experiences. Such effects are also produced by hallucinogenic drugs. pie would experience similar effects, such as the tunnel. The visual cortex on the back of the brain is where information from the retina is processed. Hallucinogenic drugs and lack of oxygen to the brain (such as sometimes occurs near death) can interfere with the normal rate of firing by nerve cells in this area. When this occurs "stripes" of neuronal activity move across the visual cortex, which is interpreted by the brain as concentric rings or spirals. These spirals may be "seen" as a tunnel. Similarly, the OBE is a confusion between reality and fantasy, as dreams can be upon first awakening. The brain tries to reconstruct events and in the process visualizes them from above—a normal process we all do when "decentering" ourselves (when you picture yourself sitting on the beach or climbing a mountain, it is usually from above, looking down). Under the influence of hallucinogenic drugs, subjects saw images like those in figure 8; such images produce the tunneling effect of the NDE. Finally, the "otherworldliness" of the NDE is produced by the dominance of the fantasy of imagining the other side, visualizing our loved ones who died before, seeing our personal God, and so on. But what happens to those who do not come back from an NDE? Blackmore gives this reconstruction of death: "Lack of oxygen first produces increased activity through disinhibition, but eventually it all stops. Since it is this activity that produces the mental models that give rise to consciousness, then all this will cease. There will be no more experience, no more self, and so that... is the end" (1991, p. 44). Cerebral anoxia (lack of oxygen), hypoxia (insufficient oxygen), or hypercardia (too much carbon dioxide) have all 82 Part 2 Pseudoscience and Superstition been proposed as triggers of NDEs (Saavedra-Aguilar and Gomez-Jeria 1989), but Blackmore points out that people with none of these conditions have had NDEs. She admits, "It is far from clear, as yet, how they are best to be explained. No amount of evidence is likely to settle, for good, the argument between the 'afterlife' and 'dying brain' hypotheses" (1996, p. 440). NDEs remain one of the great unsolved mysteries of psychology, leaving us once again with a Humean question: Which is more likely, that an NDE is an as-yet-to-be explained phenomenon of the brain or that it is evidence of what we have always wanted to be true—immortality? The Quest for Immortality Death, or at least the end of life, appears to be the outer limit of our consciousness and the frontier of the possible. Death is the ultimate altered state. Is it the end, or merely the end of the beginning? Job asked the same question: "If a man die, shall he live again?" Obviously no one knows for sure, but plenty of folks think they do know, and many of them are not shy about trying to convince the rest of us that their particular answer is the correct one. This question is one of the reasons that there are literally thousands of organized religions in the world, each claiming exclusive knowledge about what follows death. As humanist scholar Robert Ingersoll (1879) noted, "The only evidence, so far as I know, about another life is, first, that we have no evidence; and secondly, that we are rather sorry that we have not, and wish we had." Without some belief structure, however, many people find this world meaningless and without comfort. The philosopher George Berkeley (1713) penned this example of such sentiments: "I can easily overlook any present momentary sorrow when I reflect that it is in my power to be happy a thousand years hence. If it were not for this thought I had rather be an oyster than a man." In one of Woody Allen's movies, his physician gives him one month to live. "Oh, no," he moans, "I only have thirty days to live?" "No," the doctor responds, "twenty-eight; this is February." Are we this bad? Sometimes. It might be splendid if we were all to adopt Socrates' reflectiveness just before his state-mandated suicide: "To fear death, gentlemen, is nothing other than to think oneself wise when one is not; for it is to think one knows what one does not know. No man knows whether death may not even turn out to be the greatest of blessings for a human being; and yet people fear it as if they knew for certain that it is the greatest of evils" (Plato 1952, p. 211). But most people feel more like Berkeley and his oyster, and thus, as Ingersoll Chapter 5 Through the Invisible 83 was fond of pointing out, we have religion. But the quest for immortality is not restricted to the religious. Wouldn't we all like to live on in some capacity? We can, indirectly, and, if science can accomplish what some hope it will, perhaps even in reality. Science and Immortality Because purely religious theories of immortality—based on faith, not reason—are not testable, I will not discuss them here. Frank Tipler's Physics of Immortality is the subject of chapter 16 of this book, as Tipler's work requires extensive analysis. Suffice it to say that by "immortality" most people do not mean merely living on through one's legacy, whatever it may be. As Woody Allen said, "I don't want to gain immortality through my work; I want to gain immortality through not dying." Most people would not be content with the argument that parents are immortal in the sense that a significant part of their genetic make-up lives on in the genes of their offspring. From an evolutionary viewpoint, 50 percent of a person's genes live on in their offspring, 25 percent in their grandchildren, 12.5 percent in each great grandchild, and so on. What most of us think of as "real" immortality is living forever, or at least considerably longer than the norm. The rub is that it seems certain that the process of aging and death is a normal, genetically programmed part of the sequence of life. In evolutionary biologist Richard Dawkins's (1976) scenario, once we've passed reproductive age (or at least the period of intense and regular participation in sexual activity), then the genes have no more use for the body. Aging and death may be the species' way of eliminating those who are no longer genetically useful but are still competing for limited resources with those whose job it now is to pass along the genes. To extend life significantly, we must understand the causes of death. Basically there are three: trauma, such as accidents; disease, such as cancer and arteriosclerosis; and entropy, or senescence (aging), which is a naturally occurring, progressive deterioration of various biochemical and cellular functions that begins early in adult life and ultimately results in an increased likelihood of dying from trauma or disease. How long can we live? The maximum life potential is the age at death of the longest-lived member of the species. For humans, the record for the oldest documented age ever achieved is 120 years. It is held by Shigechiyo Izumi, a Japanese stevedore. There are many undocumented claims of people living beyond 150 years and even up to 200 years; these 84 Part 2 Pseudoscience and Superstition frequently involve such cultural oddities as adding the ages of father and son together. Data on documented centenarians (people who live to be 100 years old) reveal that only one person will live to be 115 years old for every 2,100 million (2.1 billion) people. Today's world population of slightly over five billion is likely to produce only two or three individuals who will reach 115 years old. Life span is the age at which the average individual would die if there were no premature deaths from accidents or disease. This age is approximately 85 to 95 years and has not changed for centuries, and probably millennia. Life span, like maximum life potential, is probably a fixed biological constant for each species. Life expectancy is the age at which the average individual would die when accidents and disease have been taken into consideration. In 1987, life expectancy for women in the West was 78.8 years and for men 71.8 years, for an overall expectancy of 75.3 years. Worldwide, in 1995 life expectancy was estimated at 62 years. The numbers are continually on the rise. In the United States, life expectancy was 47 years in 1900. By 1950 the figure had climbed to 68. In Japan, the life expectancy for girls born in 1984 is 80.18 years, making it the first country to pass the 80 mark. It is unlikely, however, that life expectancy will ever go higher than the life span of 85 to 95. Though aging and death do appear to be certain, attempts to extend the biological functions of humans for as long as possible are slowly moving away from the lunatic fringe into the arena of legitimate science. Organ replacements, improved surgical techniques, immunizations against most major diseases, advanced nutritional knowledge, and the awareness of the salubrious effects of exercise have all contributed to the rapid rise in life expectancy. Another futuristic possibility is cloning, the exact duplication of an organism from a body cell (which is diploid, or has a full set of genes, as opposed to a sex cell, which is haploid, or has only a half set of genes). Cloning lower organisms has been accomplished but the barriers to cloning humans are both scientific and ethical. If these barriers go down, cloning may play a significant role in life extension. One of the major problems with organ transplantation is the rejection of foreign tissue. This issue would not exist with duplicate organs from a clone—just raise your clone in a sterile environment to keep the organs healthy, and then replace your own aging parts with the clone's younger, healthier organs. The ethical questions associated with this scenario are challenging, to say the least. Is the clone human? Does the clone have rights? Should there be a union for clones? (How about a new ACLU, the American Clone Liberties Union?) Is the clone a separate and independent individ- Chapter 5 Through the Invisible 85 ual? If no, then what about your individuality, since there is one of you living in two bodies? If yes, then are there two of "you"? For that matter, if you replace so many organs that all your original organs are gone, are you still "you"? If you believe in the Judeo-Christian form of immortality and you clone yourself, is there one soul or two? Finally, there is the fascinating field of cryonic suspension, or what Alan Harrington calls the "freeze-wait-reanimate" process. The principles of the procedure are relatively simple, the application is not. When the heart stops and death is officially pronounced, all the blood is removed and replaced with a fluid that preserves the organs and tissues while they are in a frozen state. Then, no matter what kills us—accident or disease—sooner or later the technologies of the future should be equal to the task of reviving and curing us. Cryonics is still so new and experimental that the ethical questions have yet to come to public attention. For now, cryonic suspension is considered by the government as a form of burial, and individuals are frozen after they are declared legally dead by natural means, never by choice. If cryonicists could succeed in reviving someone, the distinction between the living and the dead would blur. Life and death would become a continuum instead of the discrete states they have always been. Certainly, definitions of death would have to be rewritten. And what about the problem of the soul? If there is such a thing, where does it go while the body is in cryonic suspension? If an individual chooses to be put into cryonic suspension before he is actually dead, then is the technician committing murder? Would it be murder only if the reanimation procedure failed to revive this suspended individual? If cryonic suspension technology ever matches the hopes and expectations of cryonicists, it may be feasible that someday one could choose to be frozen and reanimated at will, maybe even multiple times. Perhaps one could come back for ten-year stretches every century and essentially live a thousand years or more. Think of future historians able to write an oral history with someone who lived a thousand years before. But alas, as yet the entire field remains high-tech scientific speculation, or protoscience. Here are just a few of the problems: 1. We do not know whether anyone frozen to date or anyone who will be frozen in the foreseeable future will ever be successfully revived. No higher organism has ever been truly frozen and brought back alive. 2. The freezing technology appears to do considerable damage to brain cells, though the exact nature and extent of such damage have yet to be determined since no one has been revived to put it to the test. Even if the physical damage is slight, it still remains to be seen whether memory 86 Part 2 Pseudoscience and Superstition and personal identity will be restored. Our scientific understanding of where and how memory and personal identity are stored is fairly unsophisticated. Neurophysiologists have come a long way toward an explanation of memory storage and retrieval, but the theory is by no means complete. It is possible, though seemingly unlikely, that complete restoration will still result in memory loss. We just do not know without an actual test case. If cryonic revival does not result in return of considerable personal memory and identity, then what's the point? 3. The entire science of cryonics presently depends on future technological developments. As cryonicists Mike Darwin and Brian Wowk explain, "Even the best known cryo-preservation methods still lead to brain injuries irreversible by present technology. Until brain cryo-preservation is perfected, cryonics will rely on future technologies, not just for tissue replacement, but also for repair of tissues essential to the patient's survival" (1989, p. 10). This is the biggest flaw in cryonics. Ubiquitous in the cryonics literature are reminders that the history of science and technology is replete with stories of misunderstood mavericks, surprise discoveries, and dogmatic closed-mindedness to revolutionary new ideas. The stories are all true, but cryonicists ignore all the revolutionary new ideas that were wrong. Unfortunately for cryonicists, past success does not guarantee future progress in any field. Cryonics presently depends on nanotechnology, the construction of tiny computer-driven machines. As Eric Drexler (1986) has shown, and Richard Feynman demonstrated as early as 1959, "There's plenty of room at the bottom" for molecular-size technologies. But theory and application are two different things, and a scientific conclusion cannot be based on what might be, no matter how logical it may seem or who endorses it. Until we have evidence, our judgment must remain, appropriately enough, suspended. Historical Transcendence— Is It So Small a Thing? Given these prospects, where can the nonreligious individual find meaning in an apparently meaningless universe? Can we transcend the banality of life without leaving the body? History is the one field of thought that deals with human action across time and beyond any one individual's personal story. History transcends the here-and-now through its fairly long past and near limitless future. History is a product of sequences of events that come Chapter 5 Through the Invisible 87 together in their own unique ways. Those events are mostly human actions, so history is a product of the way individual human actions come together to produce the future, however constrained by certain previous conditions, such as laws of nature, economic forces, demographic trends, and cultural mores. We are free, but not to do just anything. And the significance of a human action is also restricted by when in the historical sequence the action is taken. The earlier the action is in a sequence, the more sensitive the sequence is to minor changes—the so-called butterfly effect. The key to historical transcendence is that since you cannot know when in the sequence you are (since history is contiguous) and what effects present actions may have on future outcomes, positive change requires that you choose your actions wisely—all of them. What you do tomorrow could change the course of history, even if only long after you are gone. Think of all the famous people of the past who died relatively unknown. Today, they have transcended their own time because we perceive that some of their actions altered history, even if they were unaware that they were doing anything important. One may gain transcendence by affecting history, by actions whose influence extends well beyond one's biological existence. The alternatives to this scenario—apathy about one's effect on others and the world, or belief in the existence of another life for which science provides no proof—may lead one to miss something of profound importance in this life. We should heed Matthew Arnold's beautiful words from his Empedocles on Etna (1852): Is it so small a thing, To have enjoyed the sun, To have lived light in the Spring, To have loved, to have thought, to have done; To have advanced true friends, and beat down baffling foes— That we must feign a bliss Of doubtful future date, And while we dream on this, Lose all our present state, And relegate to worlds. . . yet distant our repose?