Target Markets for Armed Whirly Birds
Transcription
Target Markets for Armed Whirly Birds
Armed Helicopter Market Target Markets for Armed Whirly Birds Saddam Hussein had tanks, but today’s bad guys are mostly VNSAs (violent non-state actors) with four-wheel drives and ‘technicals’ - improvised fighting vehicles. Either way, today’s good guys need armed helicopters for today’s asymmetric conflicts. 24 INTERNATIONAL 2/2014 This Royal Air Force of Oman NHIndustries NH90 TTH (one of 20) is armed with two Nexter N621 gunpods, each housing a 20 mm 20M621 revolver cannon and up to 250 rounds of ammunition. (Eurocopter/Anthony Pecci) The Boeing AH-64 series has dominated attack helicopter sales. Here a licence-built AgustaWestland Apache AH1 of the British Army is seen on patrol over Helmand Province in Afghanistan. (AgustaWestland) lightweight helicopter with limited weapons to deal with targets of opportunity. A recent report by the Teal Group (World Rotorcraft Review) estimates that in the 2013-2022 period the production of military helicopters of all categories will total approximately 5818 units. They will be worth around $ 132.8 billion in 2013 terms and represent an increase in value of more than 40 per cent over comparable purchases in the preceding ten years. Roy Braybrook D edicated attack helicopters combine heavy forward-firing armament with minimum frontal area, to achieve high speed and the lowest possible vulnerability to return fire. Some situations are better resolved by a multi-role assault helicopter with a squad of troops, plus forward-firing armament to suppress fire from the landing zone and side-firing guns for self-defence. Scouting missions call for a Despite cutbacks, the largest single contributor to the global spend on military helicopter procurement remains the Pentagon. This element peaked in FY11 at over $ 10.0 billion, but is expected to have halved by FY18 (in then-year dollars), spending on military helicopters falling faster than the US defence budget. One reason for this rapid fall in military helicopter procurement spending is that from 2025 the US Army and Afsoc (Air Force Special Operations Command) plan to begin switching to a completely new generation of around 4,000 high-speed, modern technology rotorcraft. The first stage is the Future Vertical Lift Medium programme, which (with different airframes) is to begin replacing the Sikorsky UH-60 Black Hawk utility series and the Boeing AH-64 Apache attack helicopter from 2027/2028. I APACHE The 6838 kg Boeing AH-64A Apache was designed to counter the threat of a massive Warsaw Pact armoured strike across central Europe. It entered US Army service 1984, with a main armament of 16 laser-homing Lockheed Martin AGM-114 Hellfires. It was superseded by the day/night all-weather Boeing AH-64D Apache Longbow, which entered service in 1998. Primary mission weight is 7530 kg, but the AH-64D can be flown at up to 10,433 kg. Between 1984 and 1997 some 937 AH64As were delivered to the US Army and five export customers, all of which went on to buy the AH-64D Apache Longbow with provisions for the Northrop Grumman APG78 Longbow radar and Lockheed Martin AGM-114L Longbow Hellfire RF missile. The AH-64D is in service with the US Army and the armies of Egypt, Greece, Israel, Japan, Kuwait, the Netherlands, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, the United Arab Emirates and Britain. Over 2000 AH-64A/Ds have been delivered, and production will continue until at least 2026. The US Army currently has 570 Apaches, the National Guard 192, and the Army Reserve 48. It is planned to assign all these Apaches to the US Army, while replacing National Guard and Reserve aircraft with Black Hawks. The latest version is the AH-64E Apache III or Guardian (formerly AH-64D Block III), deliveries of which began in May 2012. Its improvements include T700-GE-701D INTERNATIONAL 2/2014 25 Armed Helicopter Market Based on the MD530F, Boeing has developed the AH-6S, aimed at the US Army’s anticipated Armed Aerial Scout programme, and the export AH-6i, shown here. The AH-6i is reportedly in production for Saudi Arabia. (Boeing) engines, composite rotor blades, and the ability to control drones. Some 634 US Army AH-64Ds are to be upgraded to -64E standard, and manufacture of 56 new-build AH-64Es for the service is to start in 2019/2020. Figures from the FY13 budget request indicate that a new-build AH-64E costs around $ 37 million, and remanufacturing an AH-64D to -64E standard approximately $ 17 million. The first export customer for the AH64E was Taiwan. The Republic of China Army, which currently operates 6690-kg Bell AH-1Ws, plans to place the first of 30 AH-64Es (which cost $ 2.01 billion) in service in April 2014. In October 2010 Saudi Arabia requested ten AH-64Es for the Royal Guard in a deal that was estimated to cost $ 2.223 billion, including 28 engines, seven APG-78 radars, 640 AGM-114R laser-homing Hellfires and 2000 70 mm laser-guided rockets (LGRs). At the same time 24 AH-64Es were requested for the Royal Saudi Land Forces for an estimated $ 3.3 billion, including 58 engines, ten APG-78s, 1,536 AGM-114Rs and 4,000 LGRs. In the following month the United Arab Emirates requested 30 AH-64D Block IIs 26 INTERNATIONAL 2/2014 remanufactured to AH-64E standard and 30 new-build AH-64Es in a deal valued at $ 5.0 billion. This included 70 APG-78s, but only 120 engines and no missiles. Recent international sales include 22 AH-64Es for the Indian Air Force, at a cost of around $ 1.4 billion. This included 50 engines, twelve APG-78s, 1,354 Hellfires (812 AGM-114L-3s and 542 AGM-114R-3s) and 245 Stingers. South Korea is buying 36 AH-64Es in a deal estimated by America’s Defense Security Cooperation Agency to be worth $ 3.6 billion, including 84 engines, 36 APG-78s, 400 AGM114R1s, 438 Stingers and 11,020 Hydra 70 mm rockets. Indonesia plans to buy eight AH-64Es in a $ 500 million deal. Qatar and Iraq have each requested 24 AH-64Es. In the former case the $ 3.0 billion deal included 56 engines, twelve APG-78s, The classic armed scout helicopter is the Bell OH-5D Kiowa Warrior, of which the US Army has over 350. This example was taking off from Forward Operating Base MacKenzie in Iraq. (US Department of Defense) © 2014 BELL HELICOPTER TEXTRON INC. PROTECT AND DEFEND With every mission, the Bell AH-1Z and UH-1Y earn the reputation of being the most capable attack and utility helicopters flying today. Individually or combined, these helicopters accomplish a wide array of missions, effectively and efficiently, anywhere in the world. The Bell AH-1Z and UH-1Y – among the most combat-effective and survivable aircraft on the modern battlefield. BELLHELICOPTER.COM Armed Helicopter Market 576 AGM-114Rs (later increased to 1276), 295 FIM-92H Stingers and 4092 Hydra 70 mm rocket projectiles. India’s buy could be the first of a series that make that nation the principal Apache export customer. Following signature of the Indian Air Force contract in May 2013, the Indian Army made its own request for eleven AH64Es. The service also announced plans to have an aviation brigade (including one attack helicopter squadron) with each of its 13 corps. This could lead to the Indian Army’s procurement of up to 156 AH-64Es plus attrition replacements. This Russian Air Force Mil Mi-28N ‘Night Hunter’ development aircraft has the mast-mounted N025 radar, which is not due to enter service until 2016 with the upgraded Mi-28NM. (Russian Helicopters) “India’s buy could be the first of a series that make that nation the principal Apache export customer” The Teal Group forecasts production of 237 new-build AH-64Es in the period 2013-2022, alongside the remanufacture of 430 AH-64Ds. At the end of that period, production is expected to be running at 26 new-build and 50 remanufactured units per month. For nations that require an armed scout, Boeing offers the 1610-kg AH-6i, based on the MD530F. The launch order was expected to be 18 for Jordan (which already operates armed MD530Fs), but in October 2010 Saudi Arabia requested 36 AH-6is as part of a $ 25.6 million deal that included 36 AH-64Es (as mentioned earlier), 72 UH-60Ms and twelve MD530Fs. At Dubai in November 2013 Boeing confirmed reports that it had received a US Army FMS contract for the AH-6i, and this was generally assumed to be for Saudi. Argentina, Brazil, Chile and Colombia have all shown interest in the programme. I COBRA ZULU The US alternative offered to South Korea was the less expensive 8390-kg Bell AH-1Z Viper (or Cobra Zulu), which was developed to satisfy a Marine Corps need for an attack helicopter offering maximum commonality with the substantially upgraded UH-1Y Venom. The US Marine Corps plans to acquire a total of 189 AH-1Zs, made up of 152 newbuild aircraft and 37 remanufactured from AH-1Ws. The Teal Group estimates the production of 162 AH-1Zs in 2013-2022, implying few export orders. Figures from the FY13 budget request for the H-1 Upgrade Program indicate a unit cost of $ 29.3 million, but this is averaged over a mix of new-build and remanufactured AH-1Zs and UH-1Ys. The DSCA press release on the 36 AH1Z deal offered to South Korea gave a total cost of $ 2.6 billion, including 84 T700-GE401C engines, 288 AGM-114K3 laserhoming Hellfires, and 72 Raytheon AIM9M-8 Sidewinder air-air missiles. The AH-1Z, although equipped with the Lockheed Martin AAQ-30 Hawkeye day/night Target Sighting System (TSS), lacks the all-weather APG-78 radar of the AH-64D/E. Both aircraft have a maximum cruise speed of 265 km/hr. I RUSSIAN RIVALS This Bell AH-1Z Viper (or Cobra Zulu) serial 168002 is based aboard the USS Makin Island, LHD-8. The YQ-43 marking indicates that it is attached to Marine Medium Helicopter Squadron HMM-268 ’Red Dragons’. (US Navy) 28 INTERNATIONAL 2/2014 Russia’s closest Apache equivalent is the 10,900-kg Mil Mi-28N ‘Night Hunter’, which has a flyaway unit cost of around $ 24 million. Cruise speed is 270 km/hr and its chin-mounted turret houses a 30-mm Shipunov 2A42. Despite its lower cost, the Mi-28N lost to the AH-64 in India, perhaps because its radar was at an earlier stage of development, and its main armament consists of eight radar beam-riding 9M120 Ataka-V (AT-9) missiles, with a range of 5.8 km. One of around 2,300 built, this Mil Mi-24, based at Yuma Marine Corps Air Station, Arizona, is used by Marine Aviation and Weapons Tactics Squadron One (MAWTS-1) as an aggressor training aircraft. (US Marine Corps) Orders for the Mi-28N for Russian Air Force Army Aviation (VVS-AA) currently stand at 167 units. Over 60 have been delivered, without the N025 mast-mounted radar. The Mi-28N formally entered service in December 2013, and currently equips a training unit and four (of the ten planned) operational units. Each unit is also to have around five Mi-28UB trainers, which retain the full operational capability of the Mi-28N. The N025 radar is being introduced in 2016 with the Mi-28NM, to which standard Mi-28Ns will be modified. The Mi-28NM will have the current Klimov 1636-kW TV3-117VMA engines replaced by 1789kW VK-2500s (which already equip the export Mi-28NE), helmet-mounted sights, and the GOES-451M EO/IR turret (as on the Kamov Ka-52). Reference to the LSN296 laser installation suggests that the Mi28NM will use the KBM 9A4172 Vikhr (Whirlwind, AT-16) missile. The first export contract for 42 Mi28NEs (along with six Mi-26T2s) was finally signed by Algeria in early 2014, according to news agency Arms-Tass. The second contract, due to be signed by the end of 2013, is for 30 Mi-28NEs for Iraq. Nearterm prospects exist in Venezuela (ten aircraft), Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan. I HIND AND HIP The Mi-28N is being outsold in the export market by the 10,900-kg Mi-35M with VK-2500 engines and a fixed 23 mm twin-barrel GSh-23 cannon. The Mi-35M is slightly slower (260 km/hr), but operationally more flexible, with space for eight troops or casualties. It is also cheaper, at $ 20 million. It can carry eight KBM 9M114 Shturm (AT-6) or 9M120 Ataka-V (AT-9) radar-guided missiles. “Since around 2,300 Mi-24s were built for over 30 nations, mostly in the 1980s, there is a substantial market for upgrades” Production of the Mi-35M was launched with a Venezuelan order for ten, followed by one for twelve for Brazil (which may buy four more ‘AH-2 Sabres’). At that point (May 2010) the Russian MoD ordered 26, followed by 27 in April 2012. Azerbaijan ordered 24 for its Border Protection Service in September 2010, and is expected to buy 24 more. In November 2013 Iraq received four Mi-35Ms, allegedly the first of a batch of 40. Since around 2,300 Mi-24s were built for over 30 nations, mostly in the 1980s, there is a substantial market for upgrades. Russia is believed to have modified 24 to Mi-24PN standard with improved night-fighting capability. The Ukraine has over 70 Mi-24s. Some have been upgraded by Aviakon to Mi-24PU1 standard, and others (in cooperation with Sagem) to Mi-24PU2s. Sagem also offers an Mi-24/35 upgrade in co-operation with Mil and Rostvertol. Elbit Systems has fitted some Mi-24s with defensive aids suites, for Georgia (seven aircraft), Macedonia (six) and Sri Lanka (seven). IAI/Tamam has applied its ‘Mission 24’ system to 25 Indian Mi-24s, which now have day/night capability, and can use both the 9K114 Shturm (AT-6) and the Rafael Spike-ER . One of the leading upgrades is the ‘Super Hind’ developed by South Africa’s ATE (now Paramount Advanced Technologies), primarily for Algeria, which had 40 modernised. In its Mk III version, this includes replacing the turreted 12.7-mm YakB with a 20 mm F2, and introducing Denel Dynamics Ingwe missiles. In co-operation with Aviakon, ATE modified four Azerbaijan aircraft to Mi-24G standard with laser beam-riding SKDB Luch Bar’er-V missiles. INTERNATIONAL 2/2014 29 Armed Helicopter Market Pictured at Kandahar Airfield, this Mil Mi-17 of the Afghan Air Force is armed with UB-32 pods, each housing 32 57-mm S-5 rocket projectiles. (US Department of Defense) It may also be noted that the 11,000-kg Mi-8AMTSh can carry the GSh-23 gunpod, B8V20 rocket pods and the Shturm-V and Igla-V guided missiles of the Mi-24, in addition to 36 troops. In August 2013 the Russian MoD announced a $ 380 million order for 40 Mi-8AMTSh, bringing the current total to about 180 (in addition to 150 Mi-8MTVs). The export version is the Mi171Sh, which is built at Ulan-Ude, and has been purchased by Bangladesh, the Czech Republic, Croatia, Ghana and Peru. Operators of the Mi-17V-5 variant include Afghanistan, Azerbaijan and India. I LATER, ALLIGATOR! Probably the most advanced Russian attack helicopter, the 10,800-kg Kamov Ka-52 Alligator is unique in having side-by-side seating, jettisonable rotor blades and ejection seats. Powered by TV3-117VMA engines, it is slightly slower (at 250 km/hr) than its tandem-seat rivals. Its contrarotating rotors are claimed to make it a superior platform for unguided projectiles, since it flies without sideslip. The nose mounting for its Phazotron Arbalet (Crossbow) radar is made possible by its 30-mm 2A42 cannon being mounted well aft on the starboard side. Main armament is twelve laser beam-riding 9K121 Vikhr-1 or radar-guided 9K120 Ataka-M missiles. The Ka-52 is expected to be upgraded with VK-2500 engines and KBP Hermes-A missiles, which have inertial guidance and terminal laser-homing, to suit its remarkable range of 18 km. The VVS plans to use the Ka-52 alongside Mi-28Ns and Mi-35Ms in seven composite squadrons. The initial production batch of twelve, ordered in 2009, was followed by a contract for 36. A multiyear order for 140 was reportedly signed in September 2011, but this cannot be confirmed. In February 2013 the Russian Defence Minister stated that his department plans to acquire 985 new helicopters by 2020, but gave no breakdown. The Ka-52K Katran (Dogfish) is a navalised version for the Russian Navy’s Mistral-class amphibious assault ships, of which two were ordered in 2011 with options on two more. Each ship, the head of class being the Vladivostok, is to carry a combined total of 16 Ka-52Ks and Ka-29s. In October 2013 the Russian Deputy Defence Minister stated at Progress Arsenyev that, subject to the satisfactory completion of trials, 32 shipborne helicopters (presumably Ka-52Ks) would be ordered. The first export customer was expected to be Libya, but recent events have (at least) deferred such a sale. Russian Army Aviation plans a “fifthgeneration attack helicopter” in 2021-25, but no details are available. I TIGER The 6600-kg Eurocopter EC665 Tiger was launched in 1999 as a Franco-German programme, with each country to take 80 units. Following recent economies, Germany has reduced its order from 80 to 57 anti-tank Tiger UHTs, while trading in eleven already delivered. France has received 40 Tiger HAPs at a unit cost of $ 36 million, and is to receive 40 HADs costing $ 48 million each, although the final 20 will reportedly be deferred beyond 2019. Exports have so far been limited to 24 Tiger HADs for Spain and 22 Tiger ARHs for Australia. These aircraft have uprated Shown is the first Spanish-built Eurocopter Tiger HAD-E (Helicoptero de Apuyo y Destruccion – España). The Tiger entered service with Spain’s Fuerza Aeromoviles del Ejercito de Tierra in late 2013. (Eurocopter) This Russian Air Force Army Aviation Kamov Ka-52 Alligator is illustrated in minelaying configuration, with a KGMU dispenser. The Ka-52 can carry four KGMUs in combination with four Igla air-air missiles. (Russian Helicopters) 30 INTERNATIONAL 2/2014 MTR390 engines, and are cleared to use Hellfire missiles. The Spanish HAD is also cleared for the Rafael Spike-ER. There are further prospects in Brazil, Malaysia and Qatar. The Teal Group report forecasts 88 Tigers deliveries in the 2013-2022 period, with the last in 2020. Hoping to repeat the success of the Eurocopter UH-72A Lakota, of which the US Army has already received over 250, this armed AAS-72+, based on the EC145T2, has been proposed as a replacement for the OH-58D. (EADS North America) As the needs of the front-line nations for heavy attack helicopters are fulfilled, it is arguable that international sales will switch to what might be regarded as armed scouts. I T129 The 4600-kg AgustaWestland A129 (lately AW129) is less than half the weight of the AH-64D, Mi-28N and Ka-52, yet retains a considerable punch, with eight Hellfires. The Italian Army purchased 60 A129As, most of which have now been upgraded to AH-129C (previously A129CBT) standard with five-blade main rotors. A further upgrade will take them to AH-129D standard, with Rafael Toplite sighting system and Spike-ER missiles. Turkey’s T129 Atak is a joint development of the AW129 by Turkish Aerospace Industries (TAI) and AgustaWestland, using LHTEC CTS800 engines. It was planned that only the first (of six) prototypes would be built in Italy, but in 2010 nine T129s (presumably ex-Italian Army A129As) were purchased from AgustaWestland in a Euros 150 million deal to meet an urgent Turkish Army requirement for delivery in 2012. This adds to the TAI order for 45 production aircraft, which carries an option for a further 40. Production deliveries were to begin before the end of 2013. The first 30 T129s are being built to TUC-1 ‘combat support’ standard, Turkish Army designation T129A, armed only with a GD-ATP 20 mm M197 Gatling and 76 guided/unguided 70 mm rocket projectiles. Subsequent aircraft (which will presumably form the basis for export sales) will be completed to TUC-2/T129B ‘mulitrole’ standard with Alesan helmet-mounted display, eight Roketsan Umtas anti-tank guided missiles, twelve Cirit (Javelin) laser-homing 70 mm rockets, two Stingers and the M197. Armed Helicopter Market The armed version of the Hindustan Aeronautics Dhruv (Polaris) is named Rudra (God of the Tempest). This example is armed with two twelve-round 68-mm rocket pods and four MBDA Mistral air-air missiles. (HAL) AgustaWestland and TAI are promoting the T129 internationally. Pakistan is an obvious potential customer, and Libya has shown interest. Other possibilities include Jordan, Malaysia and the Philippines. Italy may buy T129s from AgustaWestland in the long term. The Teal reports estimates production of only 78 units in the 20132022 period, the last in 2019, suggesting that Washington will prevent T129 exports by restricting engine availability. I REST OF WORLD China’s export sales of armed helicopters appear to be limited to the 4100-kg Harbin Z9WE (licence-built Eurocopter Dauphin), as used by Kenya, and the 2250-kg Changhe CZ11W (Eurocopter Fennec copy), to be licence-built in Argentina. The Z19 is a slimmer Z9 with tandem seating, while the 7000-kg Changhe Z10 is China’s first helicopter with a chin turret. It also has an X-type tail rotor and diamond-section fuselage. Exports may have to wait for a Chinese copy of the P&WC PT6C. Other Asian countries will compete in the armed helicopter market. India’s 5500-kg Hindustan Aerospace (HAL) Light Combat Helicopter (LCH) is derived from the Dhruv (Polaris) utility helicopter, which entered service in 2002. The LCH has a Nexter THL20 chin turret with a 20-mm 20M621 cannon, and four underwing hardpoints. These can carry the DRDO Nag (Cobra) mm-wave radar guided missile, the LCH then being designated Helina (HELIcopter NAg). Plans call for 65 LCHs for the Indian Air Force and 114 for the Indian Army. Turkey’s T129 is a joint development of the AgustaWestland AW129 by that company and Turkish Aerospace Industries (TAI). Following six development aircraft, 54 production T129s have been ordered for the Turkish Army. (TAI) 32 INTERNATIONAL 2/2014 There is pressure in Japan for relaxation of the law forbidding arms exports. This could lead to international sales of the Kawasaki OH-1, of which only 34 have been ordered for JGSDF use. (KHI) The same armament installation is being applied to the Dhruv, producing the Rudra (God of the Tempest). The Indian Air Force has ordered 16, and the Army has ordered 20 (of 60 planned). The 4500-kg (class) Korea Aerospace Industries (KAI) Light Armed Helicopter (LAH) (formerly Korean Attack Helicopter) is also to provide the basis for a six/eight-seat Light Civil Helicopter (LCH). A foreign partner is to be chosen in 2014, and IOC for the LAH is scheduled for 2022. The Republic of Korea Army is to receive up to 260 KAHs from 2018, complementing 36 AH-64Es. Japan’s 4,000-kg Kawasaki Aerospace OH-1 employs the traditional attack helicopter layout, but (like the KAH) has no chin turret. Despite earlier plans for 150-200 OH-1s, only 34 have been ordered for the JGSDF.