white paper describing COALA
Transcription
white paper describing COALA
COALA Characterizing Organics and Aerosol Loading over Australia WhitePaperforatroposphericchemistryfieldcampaigninSoutheastAustralia Draft7July2016 SteeringGroup: KathrynEmmerson(CSIRO) JennyFisher,ClareMurphy,StephenWilson(U.Wollongong) AlexGuenther(UC-Irvine) LouisaEmmons,EricApel,ChristineWiedinmyer(NCAR) etal… Recenttechnologicaldevelopmentsnowmakeitpossibletofullyclosethe reactivecarbonbudgetforisoprene,monoterpenesandsesquiterpenes, includingquantifyingemissions,transformationsanddeposition.Thiswillallow ustoaddressspecificquestionsrelatedtoamajoruncertaintyassociatedwith climateforcing:knowinghowemissionswereprocessedinapristine environmentrepresentativeofpre-industrialconditions.Theisolatedurban areasofAustraliawillalsoallowustoquantifytheimpactofisoprene, monoterpeneandsesquiterpeneemissionsonurbanairqualityandthe emergingscienceoflowerNOxregimesinthematureindustrializedworldof theNorthernHemisphere. TableofContents 1. Introduction/ScientificRationale 2. KeyScienceQuestionsforCOALA a. Emissions b. Chemicalevolution c. Climate&stresses 3. ExperimentalDesign a. Ground-based b. Aircraft c. Satellites 4. Integrationwithmodels 5. Internationalcollaboration 6. References COALAWhitePaperDraft7July2016 1 IntroductionandScientificRationale Aquantitativedeterminationofthechangesinatmosphericchemistryandclimatesincepreindustrialtimesisurgentlyrequiredinordertodevelopeffectiveclimatemitigationand adaptationstrategiesbutthisiscomplicatedbytheneedtocharacterizenaturalemission sources,suchasthosefromundisturbedterrestrialvegetation,wildfire,andoceans,andthe identificationofuniquechemicalprocesseswithouttheinfluencefromanthropogenicsources. Largeareasofthesouthernhemisphere(SH)arenearpristineandprovideanopportunityto investigatetheclean,naturalatmosphererelativelyfreeofanthropogenicinfluence,andthus todefinethebaselinesfromwhichhumaninfluencescanbeassessed.Thisopportunityhas largelybeenlostinthenorthernhemisphere(NH),andtheSHcouldserveasaproxyfor potentialfutureconditionsinNorthAmerica(understricterpollutioncontrols). SoutheastAustraliapresentsauniqueopportunitytoevaluatetheseprocesses.Estimatesof BiogenicVolatileOrganicCompound(BVOC)emissionsbasedonmechanisticmodels(Arnethet al.,2011;Guentheretal.,2012;Zengetal.,2015)andsatelliteobservations(Pfisteretal.2008) showSoutheastAustralianbiogenicisopreneemissionsareamongthehighestintheworld (Figure1),duelargelytotheprevalenceofdenselyforestedeucalyptecosystems.The maximumemissionfactorinSoutheastAustraliais24000𝜇g/m2/hrwhichismorethandouble theglobalaverageforanyPlantFunctionalType(11000𝜇g/m2/hr)fromGuentheretal(2012). Eucalyptsalsoemitlargeamountsofmonoterpenesandsesquiterpenes(e.g.,Heetal.2000), leadingtoacomplexmixofozoneandorganicaerosolprecursors. However,modelsofBVOCemissionsinSEAustraliavarywidelyacrossinventories,with differencesofafactorof2-3forisopreneandafactorof5-10formonoterpenes(Zengetal., 2015;Sindelarovaetal.,2014;Emmersonetal,2016).Fieldobservationsofambient concentrationsinvestigatedbyEmmersonetal.(2016)suggestthatisopreneemissionsare overestimatedandmonoterpeneemissionsareunderestimated.Furthermore,themodel predictionsofnearlyuniformisopreneandmonoterpeneemissionsacrosstheregion,asshown inFigure1,areduetothesimplisticapproachforassigningemissionstoplantfunctionaltypes andweexpectmuchhigherdiversityinrealitywithsomelandscapesdominatedby monoterpenesandpossiblyevensesquiterpenes.Additionally,thechemistryoftheseemissions ischallengingtosimulate.Forexample,formaldehyde(ahigh-yieldproductofisoprene oxidation)inSEAustraliaisunderestimatedatWollongongby~50%irrespectiveofinventory choice(Zengetal.,2015). 2 COALAWhitePaperDraft7July2016 Figure 1. Top and lower left: Isoprene emission factors from MEGAN (Guenther et al., 2012). Lower right: emission factors for the sum of monoterpene species (α- and βpinene, limonene, carene, ocimene and sabinene). AnthropogenicNOXemissionsinSEAustraliaareextremelylowandspatiallyisolated(Figure2), withlittleanthropogenicinfluencesoutsidethemajorurbancentersofSydney,Canberra,and Melbourne(NationalPollutantInventory:www.npi.gov.au).ThepopulationofAustraliais denselylocatedinurbanhubsaroundthecoast,with90%ofpeoplelivingonjust0.22%ofthe landarea(Sustainabilityreport,2013).TheisolationofanthropogenicNOxsourcesinSE Australiameansthatthisregionprovidesanidealnaturallaboratorytostudytheimpactof variableNOXamountsonBVOCchemistry(fromupwindofurbanareas,throughagradientat theurbaninterface,tothedownwindoutflow). 3 COALAWhitePaperDraft7July2016 Figure 2. Tropospheric NO2 column from OMI satellite for July 2013 for Australia (left) compared to the US (right). Australian fire activity is low at this time of year (NW excepted), and NO2 amounts highlight the urban influences around the SE coast (Sydney, Melbourne). Downloaded from KNMI/TEMIS. Recentfieldcampaignsinvestigatedinteractionsbetweenbiogenicandanthropogenic emissionsintheSoutheastUS(SOAS/SENEX/NOMADSS,SEAC4RS),wherebackgroundNOx levelsarehigherandmuchlessspatiallydistinct(Figure2)andbiogenicemissionsare dominatedbyisoprene.ThelowerbackgroundconcentrationsinAustraliawillallowstudies targetingtheshiftfrommoderatetolow-NOxconditions.Thiswillprovideapreviewofthe expectedfuturetrendsandconditionsintheU.S.andEurope,whereNOxlevelshavedeclined sharplyinrecentyearsandareexpectedtocontinuedecreasinginresponsetostrengthenedair qualityregulations(Duncanetal.,2016).Additionalrecentstudiesconductedintropicalforest regionshaveexaminedbiogenic-anthropogenicemissionandchemicalinteractionsassociated withanisolatedurbanplumeintheAmazonforest(GOAmazon)andoilpalmplantationsin Borneo(OP3,Hewittetal.,2010)whicharebothregionswherebiogenicemissionsare dominatedbyisoprene.Thesestudieshavedemonstratedtheimportanceofisoprene emissionsindetermininganthropogenicimpactsbuthavealsoshownthatourcurrent understandingisinsufficientforquantifyingtheimpactsandthattherearesubstantial discrepanciesbetweenmodelsimulationsandobservations.TheCOALAresearchprogramwill synthesizeknowledgefromtheserecentstudiesandapplyrecentadvancesinobservational techniquesinordertoachieveacomprehensiveandsystematiccharacterizationofthereactive carbonbudgetincludingemissions,depositionandatmospherictransformations. TheCOALACampaign: COALAwillbuildupontherecentadvancesinatmosphericchemistry,includingfieldcampaigns thathavetakenplacearoundtheglobeinrecentyears,andwillfurthercharacterizeBVOC emissions,chemistryandimplicationsforozoneandaerosolsinenvironmentwithvegetation types,oxidantlevels,andclimateconditionsthatareunlikewhathaspreviouslybeen investigated.InadditiontothemoderatetolowNOxconditionsinthisregion,thepresenceof someeucalyptusforestswithrelativelyhighmonoterpeneemissionsandotherswithhigh sesquiterpeneemissionsprovidesapotentialopportunitytocontrastregionsdominatedby isoprenewithareasdominatedbymonoterpenesorevensesquiterpenes,unliketheprevious 4 COALAWhitePaperDraft7July2016 studiesincludingSOAS/SENEX/NOMADSS,SEAC4RS,OP3,GOAmazon).COALAisplannedfor January-February2019,coordinatingflightsoftheU.S.NCAR/NSFC-130andU.K.FAAMBAe146 withground-basedandship-basedmeasurements.Apre-campaign(JOEY)isplannedfor precedingsummers,andyear-roundmeasurementsatoneormorerepresentativegroundsites willaimtocaptureseasonalvariations. ThemeasurementsandmodelingassociatedwithCOALAwilladdresstheimpactsofchanging biogenicemissionsduetoweatherextremesandclimatefactors.Sensitivitystudieswith regionalandglobalcoupledchemistry-climatemodelswillexploretheimpactsofpossible futureclimateconditions,suchasrisingtemperature,increasedfrequencyofdroughtand temperatureextremes.Globalmodelsimulationswillalsoassistinquantifyingdifferences betweenNorthernandSouthernHemispheresduetolowerCO2andCH4intheSH.Using modelswithspecifieddynamicsallowsforsimulationofspecifictimeperiodsofpast observationstotestandimprovebiogenicemissionsalgorithms,suchasMEGAN,under stressedconditions. TheCOALAcampaignwilladdressoneofthecentralthemesidentifiedattheAtmospheric ChemistryCenterforObservationalResearchandData(ACCORD)CommunityWorkshop (March2015,https://www2.acom.ucar.edu/accord/accord-2015-workshop),whichisto conductafieldcampaigninaterpene-dominatedlandscapetoclosethereactivecarbon budget. 2 KeyScienceQuestionsforCOALA Q1. How have emissions changed since pre-industrial conditions? Naturalemissions,fromundisturbedvegetation,wildlandfires,andmarinesources,controlled thecompositionoftheatmosphereinpre-industrialtimes.Theseemissionshavecontinuedin thepresenceofchangesinanthropogenicemissionsinthepast150years.Tounderstandthe changesinchemistryandclimatesincepre-industrialtimes,itisrequiredtoquantifythe emissionsoftracegasesandparticlesoverthistime.Todothis,severalspecificissuesneedto beaddressed: Q1A.WhatarethegaseousandparticulateemissionsfromnaturalsourcesinSEAustralia, includingbiogenic,wildlandfire,andmarineemissions? SoutheastAustraliahassignificantVOCandNOxemissionsfromterrestrialvegetation(both undisturbedanddisturbed)aswellasfromwildlandfiresandfromthesurroundingoceans.Itis essentialtoquantifytheemissionsfromthesesourcestopredictthechangesincomposition sincepre-industrialtimesandclosethereactivecarbonbudgetoverthistime.Recentmodel evaluationshaveshownsignificantdisagreementbetweenmodelsandobservationsdue,in part,toerrorsinemissionsinventories.Forexample,Emmersonetal.(2016)showanoverestimateofisopreneemissions,butunder-estimateofterpeneemissions,insoutheast Australia.FourdifferentglobalmodelsinarecentstudyalsodidapoorjobofreproducingCO andformaldehydeobservationsintheSH,atleastinpartduetomisrepresentedemissions 5 COALAWhitePaperDraft7July2016 (Fisheretal.,2015;Zengetal.,2015).FluxtowermeasurementsinEucalyptforestover extendedperiodswillallowquantificationofbiogenicVOCemissions.Additional measurementsfromaircraftwillimproveestimatesofcanopy-scaleemissionsandwildfire(if present)emissions.ThereissignificantuncertaintyoverDMSandVOCemissionsfromoceans andship-basedandairbornemeasurementsovertheseawillassistinquantifyingthoseover theSouthernOcean. Q1B.Whatarethemagnitudeandtrendsofanthropogenicemissionsintheregion? Thechemicalcompositionoftheatmospheresincepre-industrialtimeshaschangeddueinpart totheincreasesandevolutionofanthropogenicemissions.Therefore,theseemissionsneedto beelucidatedinordertoquantifyatmosphericcompositionoverthepast150years.Surface measurementswithinthecitiesofsoutheastAustralia(Sydney,Melbourne,Brisbane),andover powerplants,fossilfuelextractionandrefinerysitesandotherindustrialsites,ofsourcegases andprimaryaerosols(CH4,CO,NOx,SO2,VOCs)willbeusedtoverifypresent-dayemissions inventories.Long-termobservationsfromsurfacesitesandsatelliteswillbeusedtoestablish pasttrends. Bothground-basedandairbornemeasurementsofNOx,VOCsandaerosolconcentrationsand fluxesoverSEAustraliacanquantifytheemissionsfrombiogenicandanthropogenicsources. VOCemissionfluxeshavebeenquantifiedfrommeasurementsontheNCARC-130inpast experiments(MIRAGE,NOMADSS,FRAPPÉ).Flighttracksofeitherracetracks,orstraightlegs overuniformlandcover,atmultiplealtitudeswithintheboundarylayer,havebeenusedforflux determination,andwouldcomplementtower-basedfluxmeasurementsinforestsforbiogenic emissions(Karletal.,2009;Kaseretal.,2015).QuantificationofVOCemissionsovervarious landscapesandtheoceanwouldbeachievedthroughlowaltitudeflights. Q2. How are BVOC emissions chemically processed on local and regional scales? Anumberofquestionsremainregardingtheproductsandtheirrateofformationfrombiogenic VOCsinlowNOxenvironments,particularlyfrommonoterpenesandsesquiterpenes.The productionofozone,organicnitratesandsecondaryorganicaerosolshaveimportantimpacts ondownwindairqualityaswellasradiationbudgets. Q2A.Howdolow-NOxenvironmentsaffectthemechanismforBVOCoxidationinlocations withsimilarconcentrationsofisopreneandterpenes,andhowdoesthisaffectsecondary organicaerosolformation? TheSEAustralianregionischaracterizedbylowbackgroundNOxconcentrations,withexisting sourceslimitedtoafewspatiallydistincturbanareas(Fig.2),providingaclearNOxgradient overwhichtoinvestigateanumberofrelatedquestionssurroundingisopreneandterpene oxidation.OurcurrentunderstandingofBVOCchemicalprocessing(andsubsequentozoneand aerosolformation)comesprimarilyfromareastargetedbypreviouscampaignswhereisoprene dominatesobservedBVOCburdens(e.g.SoutheastUS,Amazon).InSEAustralia,isopreneand monoterpenesarepresentatequalconcentrations(Emmersonetal.,2016).Theimpactsofthis 6 COALAWhitePaperDraft7July2016 muchlargerterpene-to-isopreneratioonatmosphericoxidizingcapacity,gas-phasechemical processing,andorganicaerosolformationarenotknown. TheOHradicalplaysacriticalroleinthischemistryastheinitiatorofVOCoxidationduringthe day.However,thereisaseverelackofOHmeasurementsacrosstheSH.PreviousOH measurementsinbiogenicenvironmentshavehighlightedmajorgapsinourunderstandingof OHformationandrecyclingduringBVOCoxidation(e.g.,Lelieveldetal.,2008;Whalleyetal., 2011).MeasurementsofOHandreactivityacrossdifferentNOxlevelsinSEAustraliawillhelp furtherconstrainOHchemistryinthepresenceofsignificantterpeneconcentrations. SOAformationinbalancedterpene-isopreneenvironmentshasnotbeenobservationally constrained.SOAyieldsfrommonoterpenesarelargerthanfromisoprene.Inhigh-isoprene environments,significantaerosolformationoccursvialow-NOxoxidationtoproduceisoprene epoxydiols.However,thereissomeevidencethatisoprenedominancecansuppressaerosol formation(Kanawadeetal.,2011).InSEAustralia,significantaerosolformationwasobserved atnightatasitewithinadenseeucalyptforest(Tumbarumba)(Sunietal.,2008),butwithout simultaneousgas-phaseobservations.Simultaneousobservationsofaerosolconcentration, speciation,andgas-phaseprecursorsareneededtobetterunderstandaerosolformationin terpene-isoprenebalancedenvironments. Q2B.Howdoorganicnitratesforminhigh-BVOC,low-NOxenvironments,andwhatarethe implicationsforNOx,ozone,andaerosols? Organicnitratesexertasignificantinfluenceonthebudgetsofozone(Fioreetal,2005; Horowitzetal.,2007)andorganicaerosols(Rollinsetal.,2013;Leeetal.,2016),bothwithin sourceregionsandasameansforexportingNOx(viaPAN,forexample).Thereisevidencethat formationoforganicnitratescanbetheprimarydeterminantoftheNOxlifetimeinlow-NOx environments(BrowneandCohen,2012;Romeretal.,2016).However,inmosthigh-BVOC regionsintheNH,anthropogenicNOxsourcesarespatiallydistributedacrossabackgroundof highBVOCs,andverylittleofthelandscapehaslowenoughNOxemissionsfororganicnitrates todominateNOxloss(Fisheretal.,2016).Whethersignificantorganicnitrateformationoccurs inregionswhereNOxsourcesaresmallandisolatedremainsuncertain,asdotheimplications forozoneandSOA.TheSEAustraliansettingwillallowustobetterconstrainpathwaysfor organicnitrateformationandimpactsinlow-NOxenvironmentsandattheurban-rural interface.ItwillalsoallowustotestwhetherNOxfromsoilsourcesorurbanoutflowcanlead toorganicnitrateformationoverforests,andwhetherthisaffectsthelifetimeofNOxinthese environments. Q2C.TowhatextentdoesBVOCchemistrydriveairqualityincitiesdownwindofforests? DenseanthropogenicNOxsourcesarespatiallyisolatedinAustraliaandsurroundedbysomeof theworld’smostintensebiogenicsources.TheisolationofanthropogenicNOxsourcesinSE Australiameansthatthisregionprovidesanidealnaturallaboratorytostudytheimpactof variableNOXamountsonBVOCchemistry,fromupwindofurbanareas,throughagradientat theurbaninterface,tothedownwindoutflow.OHdominatesoxidantchemistryduringthe daytime,andusuallyquenchesmostisoprenebysunset.Isopreneremainingafterdarkis 7 COALAWhitePaperDraft7July2016 typicallyremovedbyreactionwithNO3radicals(Xieetal.,2013).However,whenNO3radical formationissuppressed(asoccursinthepresenceofNOinurbanenvironments),isoprenecan persistatnightanddrivemorningozoneformation(Milletetal.,2016).Throughthis mechanismandthroughtheformationandtransportofBVOC-sourcedorganicaerosol,forests cancontributetopoorairqualityincitiesdownwind.Citiesdownwindofforestsareprevalent acrossthetropicsandtheSouthernHemisphere,andabetterunderstandingofthesebiogenicanthropogenicinteractionsattheforest-urbaninterfaceiscritical. Q2D.CanisopreneemissionsbeinferredfromsatelliteHCHOinlowNOxconditions? Isopreneemissionsarepoorlyconstrainedacrossmuchoftheglobe,particularlyinthetropics andSH.Inmanyregionswhereinsituobservationsareunavailable,isopreneemissionsare inferredusingsatelliteHCHOmeasurements(Kefauveretal.,2014,andreferencestherein). However,lowNOxchemistrycanhindertheinterpretationofsatellitemeasurements.While HCHOisproducedfrombothNOandHO2oxidation,theHCHOproductionratefromNO oxidationismuchlarger.Asaresult,observedHCHOismorerepresentativeoflocalsurface isoprenefluxesinregionswhereNOoxidationdominates.TheslowerHCHOproductioninlow NOXregionscausespeakHCHOformationdownwindofisoprenesources.Thisleadsto “smearing”oftheisoprene-HCHOrelationshipthatcanbealargesourceoferrorininferred isopreneemissions(Palmeretal.,2003;Maraisetal.,2012;Barkleyetal.,2013).Whilethis smearinghasbeenquantifiedtosomeextentundermoderatelylowNOXconditions,ithasnot beenobservationallyconstrainedatverylowNOX(Wolfeetal.,2015).Suchconditionsare representativeoflargeswathsoftheSH(Amazon,centralAfrica)thataretypicallydifficultto reachandlogisticallychallengingformakingdedicatedmeasurements.Directcomparison betweeninsituandsatellitemeasurementsarenecessarytounderstandthereliabilityofthe satellitedataasaproxyforisopreneemissionsintheseregions(Zhuetal.,2016). Q2E.WhatconditionscanweexpectinfuturefromdecliningNOxemissionsintheNH? ThemuchlowerNOxbackgroundinSEAustraliarelativetotheNHmeansresultsfromthis studymayprovideapreviewoftheexpectedfutureconditionselsewhere.IntheU.S.and Europeinparticular,NOxlevelshavedeclinedsharplyinrecentyearsandareexpectedto continuedecreasinginresponsetostrengthenedairqualityregulations(Duncanetal.,2016). Theimplicationsforfutureorganicaerosolburdensremainuncertain,withmodelsshowing conflictingresults.LowerNOxcanreduceorganicaerosolformationbyshuttingdownorganic nitratemediatedchemistry(Pyeetal.,2015),butitcanalsoenhanceorganicaerosolformation byshiftingmoreisopreneoxidationtothelow-NOxpathwayswithhigherSOAyields(Maraiset al.,2016).ThelowNOxbackgroundsandstronggradientsofSEAustraliaprovidesanatural laboratorytotestthesemodelsandidentifythedominanteffects,improvingourabilityto predictfutureairqualityinNHcities. Q3. How will climate change and extreme weather (e.g., drought and temperature extremes) impact biogenic emissions? Solarradiation,temperatureandsoilmoistureconditionsareimportantforplantgrowth,and non-optimalconditionssuchasdroughtmaytemporarilyincreaseBVOCemissionsbutwill 8 COALAWhitePaperDraft7July2016 ultimatelyinhibitemissions(Pegoraroetal2007;SharkeyandLoreto,1993).Australiahas experiencedsignificantandlong-lastingdroughts,includingthe2001-2009MillenniumDrought (Ummenhoferetal.,2009;vanDijketal.,2013),withimplicationsforbothvegetationcover (especiallyleafareaindex;Huangetal.2014)andwaterstress,bothofwhichimpactBVOC emissions(Fortunatietal.2008).Usingasoilmoistureactivityfactortoaccountfordrought conditions,Sindelarovaetal.(2014)foundreductionsinisopreneemissionsofupto50% globally,withevengreaterreductionsinregionsofAfricaandAustralia. SoutheastAustraliaisalsoaregionwithhighsensitivitytoongoingglobalchange.Inthelast decade,theregionhasexperiencedrecord-settingextremehightemperatures(LewisandKing, 2015),especiallyinsummer(LewisandKaroly,2013)whenBVOCemissionsreachtheirannual peak.Isopreneemissionstypicallyincreasewithtemperature,butinatleastsomespeciesof Eucalyptsisopreneemissionsflattenoutaround35°Candbegintodeclineattemperatures above~40°C(Guentheretal.,1991;Pacificoetal.,2009).Dailymaximumtemperaturesinthis rangecanoccurinsoutheastAustraliaduringsummer.DuringtheMeasurementofUrban, MarineandBiogenicAircampaign(MUMBA)inthesummerof2012/2013,theairtemperature surpassed40°Contwodays(Paton-Walshetal.,2016).HCHOobservationsfromWollongong showlargeincreasesinaustralsummersince1997,especiallyduringseasonaltransitions(Nov, Feb)thatmayindicatebiogenicemissionresponsetorisingtemperatureandlongergrowing seasons(Lieschke,2015). MeasurementsofmonoterpenesatTumbarumbainNovember2006showthecomplexeffects ofplantstressonBVOCemissions.Anormalprofileshowstheexpectednighttimepeakin monoterpeneconcentrationsduetolowmixingheightandchemicallossrates.However,under stressconditionsafterasnowstormthemonoterpeneemissionsincreasedfour-fold,andthe diurnalprofilelookedsimilartoisoprene,withamiddaypeak,whichsuggeststheemissionof lightdependentmonoterpeneswhicharetypicallyassociatedwithstressinducedemissions (Emmersonetal.,2016). 3 ExperimentalDesign Anintensivefieldcampaignincludingaircraftandgroundstationsisplannedforaustralsummer (January-February2019).BVOCemissionsareexpectedtopeakduringsummerwhenradiation andtemperatureareattheirannualmaxima.Thesummertimingwillalsoprovidethe possibilitytocaptureAustralianbiomassburningplumes(Edwardsetal.,2006).Inaddition, ground-basedmeasurementshavebeenproposedforthesummersleadinguptothelarge 2019campaign. 3.1 Ground-&ship-basedmeasurements Ground-andship-basedmeasurementswillcommencepriortothe2019intensivecampaign andprovidealongertemporalspanofmeasurementsinseveraldifferentenvironments.Whilst ground-basedmeasurementswillbeakeycomponentoftheintensive,theprinciplepurposeof thiselementoftheprogrammeistoprovideadetailedcharacterisationofatmospheric 9 COALAWhitePaperDraft7July2016 compositionatafewsitespriortothemaincampaign.Thiswillprovideacontextualbasisfor interpretingtheshorttemporalspanofmeasurementsoverthegreaterspatialextentcovered bytheaircraftmeasurements. Theground-basedmeasurementswillseektoquantifythemajorbiogenicVOCs,O3andNOXin environmentsrelevantforthisproject:forestboundaries,urbanareas,andtheurban-forest interface.Theship-bornemeasurementswillcharacterisebackgroundconcentrationsinclean marineairandlatitudinalgradientsofbiogenicVOCs,O3andNOX. Criticaltothesuccessofthisprojectiscollectionofhighqualityatmosphericobservationsatall ofthefieldcampaigns.Tothisendgroundandship-bornemeasurementswillbeconducted usingtheAtmosphericIntegratedResearchonBurdensandOxidativecapacity(AIR-BOX)facility andancillaryinstrumentation.AIRBOXisacollaborativelyownedAustralianmobile atmosphericlaboratory.Furtherdetailscanbefoundat:smah.uow.edu.au/cac/index.html. WesternAir-ShedParticulateStudyforSydney(Jan-March2017) ThefirstcampaignwillbeundertakenincollaborationwiththeCleanAirandUrbanLandscapes hub(seewww.nespurban.edu.au),inWesternSydneyinearly2017.Thiscampaignisdesigned toprovideobservationstotestanensembleofairqualitymodelsbeingdevelopedtoinform policyoptionsforimprovedfutureairqualityoutcomesforSydney. Specificaimsofthiscampaignareto: • Quantifythecontributionofsecondaryorganicaerosolfrombiogenicand anthropogenicsourcestoWesternSydneybyfusingreal-timeaerosolchemical speciationdatawithstate-of-theartchemicaltransportmodelling • Understandtheroleofnitrogenandsulphurchemistryintheformationofnewparticles inWesternSydney. Oakdale(summer2017-2018) Thissecondcampaignisspecificallydesignedtocapturebiogenicemissionsclosetotheir sourceinarurallocationtounderstandtheemissionsandformationofSOAawayfrommajor anthropogenicinfluences(inalownitrogenoxidesenvironment).Thissiteissurroundedby naturalbushland,betweentheNattaiNationalParktothewestandtheUpperNepeanState ConservationAreatotheeast.TheproposedcampaignsiteisadjacenttoanexistingNewSouth Walesairqualitymonitoringsite,whichcanprovidemeasurementsofairquality(includingfine particleloadingbynephelometry)withhistoricalrecordsgoingbacktoJanuary1996.Themain campaignwillbesupplementedbylongertermmeasurementsofVOCsatBargousingaPTR-MS suppliedbytheUniversityofSydneyandisopreneusingachemiluminescenceinstrument suppliedbyMacquarieUniversity. Specificaimsofthiscampaignareto: • QuantifythemajorbiogenicVOCsinforestboundaries • IdentifywhichbiogenicVOCandoxidationproductsareofprimaryimportanceforSOA generation. 10 COALAWhitePaperDraft7July2016 Brisbanesemi-ruralsite–Samfordvalley(summer2018-2019) The3rdcampaignwillbelocatedsoastocapturebiogenicemissionsclosetourban anthropogenicsources.QueenslandUniversityofTechnology(QUT)runandoperatedSamford EcologicalResearchFacility(SERF)isanidealplaceforsuchmeasurements.SERFislocatedin theSamfordValley,a25-minutedrivenorthwestofQUT’sGardensPointCampusinBrisbane, Queensland.SimilartotheSydneystudytheaimsofthiscampaignareto: • QuantifythemajorbiogenicVOCsinanurban/forestinterface • Quantifythecontributionofsecondaryorganicaerosolfrombiogenicand anthropogenicsourcestothesuburbanregionofBrisbanebyfusingreal-timeaerosol chemicalspeciationdatawithstate-of-theartchemicaltransportmodelling • Understandtheroleofnitrogenandsulphurchemistryintheformationandgrowthof newparticlesinasubtropicalsuburbanarea R.V.InvestigatorCampaigntoSampleCleanMarineAiratSouthernHemisphereMidlatitudes Australia’snewmarinenationalfacility,theRVInvestigator,wouldhavethecapabilityto characterisethecleanmarineairbackgroundconcentrationsandlatitudinalgradientsof biogenicVOCs,O3andNOXatSHmid-latitudes.TheR.V.Investigatorhasabespokestainless steelairsamplingtubethroughwhichairsamplescanbedrawnfrom6muptheforemastinto thetwodedicatedlaboratoriesforatmosphericmeasurements. Anaerosollaboratoryissituatedatthebow directlybelowtheforemastandcontainsan absorptionphotometer,anatmospheric nephelometer,andascanningmobilityparticle sizeraswellasaradondetector.Sampleairalso passesthroughtheaerosollaboratoryandonto thelargerairchemistrylaboratory,whichhouses O3andNOXmonitorsaswellascavityring-down spectrometersforCO2,CH4,COandN2O.Thereis capacityforguestinstrumentsaboardtheR.V. Investigator,eitherwithintheairchemistry laboratoryorinsideashippingcontainer,whichmaybelocatedononeoftwopurpose designedfootingsontheforedeck.Thetimingofthiscampaignissubjecttoavailabilityofshiptime. Ongoingairqualitymonitoring Inadditiontothemeasurementsdescribedabove,thereare42airqualitymonitoringstations withinNewSouthWales,makingmeasurementsofPM10,PM2.5,O3,NOX,COandSO2,along withmeteorologicalparameters(windspeed,winddirection,temperature,pressureand relativehumidity). 11 COALAWhitePaperDraft7July2016 3.2 Aircraft AircraftmeasurementswillbeakeycomponentofCOALA,providingregionalcontextand linkingthevariousground-basedmeasurements.TheNCAR/NSFC-130hassuccessfullybeen usedtoquantifyabove-canopybiogenicemissions(NOMADSS)andurban,agricultural,andoil &gasexplorationemissions(FRAPPÉ). DuringCOALA,theaircraftwillsamplealongtransectsspanningtheremoteforestedregions, thepristinecoastalregionsandthecleanmarinebackground,aswellastheurbanizedcoastal regionsaroundSydney,WollongongandMelbourne.Transectsthatsamplethedryinteriorand drought-stressedregionswillalsobemadewherepossible. TheNSF/NCARC-130andBAE146couldpotentiallybebasedattheIllawarraRegionalAirportin AlbionPark,NewSouthWales(nearWollongong)(seeFigure4).Thiswouldbeagoodsite becauseof: - proximitytolikelygroundstations - proximitytoSoutheasteucalyptforests - abilitytosamplerangeofenvironmentsincludingdesert-agricultural-forestedsuburban-urban-oceanbyflyingeast-westtransects - proximitytoUniversityofWollongongforinfrastructure/support - lackofcommercialflightsshouldsimplifyflighttimingandairspaceconsiderations Figure 3. Map of SE Australia. 3.3 Satellites Satelliteobservationsoftroposphericconstituentsprovidelong-termandregional-to-global contextfortheCOALAcampaign.ThelongtimerecordsfrominstrumentssuchasMOPITTand OMIprovideaglobalclimatologyofCO,NO2,CH2O,O3,AOD,etc.,allowingquantificationofthe 12 COALAWhitePaperDraft7July2016 seasonalcycleandvariability.Inturn,COALAground-basedandaircraftobservationswill contributetothevalidationofthesatelliteretrievals. SatelliteretrievalsofCO,fromMOPITTontheTerrasatellite(seeFigure5)andIASIonMetOpA andMetOpB,willbeparticularlyvaluableduringCOALAtotracktheinfluenceofwildfire emissionsoverAustralia.AerosolOpticalDepths(AOD)fromMODISonTerraandAquawill alsoshowthelocationoffireplumesandpollutionoutflow.Satelliteretrievalsoftropospheric NO2fromOMI(Figure2)andGOME-2highlightsourceregionssuchasurbancentersandwillbe usefulfordeterminingwheretoflytobestintercepttherural-urbangradient. SatelliteretrievalsarenowpossibleforseveralBVOCsandoxidationproducts,including methanol,glyoxal,formicacid(IASI),andformaldehyde(OMIandGOME-2).Thesewillfacilitate identificationofBVOCemissionsandtheirtemporalvariability(seeFigure6).Formaldehydein particularhasbeenusedpreviouslytoquantifytheemissionofBVOCprecursorssuchas isoprene.However,retrievingCH2Oamountsfromsatellitesisquitechallengingandrequires extensiveaveragingtoestablishaclearsignal.ThereareknownbiasesincurrentCH2O retrievals(Zhuetal.,2016),andtheisoprene-CH2Orelationshiphasnotbeenquantifiedina high-terpeneenvironment.Thecoincidentground-based,airborne,andsatellitemeasurements ofBVOCsandCH2Owillhelptobetterquantifysatellitebiasesandimproveunderstandingof thelinksbetweenCH2OandBVOCfluxes. Figure 4. Left: MOPITT CO surface retrieval for Jan 2016, with location of FTS sites. Right: Wollongong FTS column CO time series with MOPITT CO, and weekly anomalies. 13 COALAWhitePaperDraft7July2016 Figure 6. Monthly mean tropospheric HCHO columns from the OMI satellite, averaged over Southeast Australia, with individual years in blue and multi-year means in black (from Jesse Greenslade, University of Wollongong). 4 Integrationwithmodels Chemistrymodelsacrossscalesfromboxmodelstoregionalandglobal3Dchemistry-climate modelswillbeusedtodesignandinterprettheCOALAexperimentandresults. Chemicalforecastsfromglobalandregionalmodels(suchasbeingprovidedforKORUS-AQ: http://www.acom.ucar.edu/acresp/korus-aq/)willbeusedduringthecampaigntodetermine flightplans.Near-real-timesimulationswillalsobecomparedtoearlyobservationsduringthe campaign(asdonepreviouslyforSEAC4RS)tofurtherguideflightplanningbyidentifyingany majorgapsbetweenmodelsandobservationsthatmaywarrantinvestigationinfutureflights. Afterthecampaign,theaircraftandground-basedmeasurementswillbeusedtoevaluatethe biogenicemissionsmodels(e.g.,MEGAN),theanthropogenicandwildfireemissions inventories,andtherepresentationofchemicalprocessinginthemodels.Improvementswill bemadetothemodels,asneeded,tobetterrepresenttheobservations.Themodelswillalso beusedtoprovidecontextfortheobservations,suchasidentifyingwhenwildfireemissions mayhaveimpactedtheobservations. Coupledchemistry-climatemodelswillbetestedagainsttheCOALAobservationstoevaluate themodels’abilitytoreproduceanatmospherestronglyinfluencedbybiogenicemissions,but weaklybyanthropogenicsources. 5 Internationalcollaboration COALAwillbringallthebenefitsofamajorinternationalcollaborativecampaign,with involvementofresearchgroupsfromatleast3continents(America,EuropeandAustralia). 14 COALAWhitePaperDraft7July2016 TheSteeringCommitteehasrepresentativesfromNCAR,UC-Irvine,CSIROandtheUniversityof Wollongong,ensuringthatwithintheplanningstageCOALAhasbothresearchersexperienced inrunningaircraftcampaignsandlocalrepresentatives,whocanorganizelogisticsonthe ground.ThereisalsosignificantinterestinCOALAwithinEurope,withtheopportunityofthe FAAMaircraftjoiningthecampaign. 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