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Tuesday]wiU cOlltairia normal!agen"~ OQ,/ Q,/ <=:I .... ~ a'1 'lJ n{j TU'Hi:lJ 'lJ ~ 'l n'l~'V1 'l1 {j von ru 6(j tI dS THE NATION 4 FEBRUARY 2014 Inflation in Jan hits 6-month high, driven by food, fuel prices COMMERCE SETS ANNUAL RATE AT 2-2.8°/0 AMID WEAKENING CONSUMPTION PETCHANET PRATRUANGKRAI THE NATION INFLATION EDGED up last month byonlyl.93 per cent year on year, but still hit a six-month high due to ris ing food and fuel priCes. The economic slowdown has restramed consumerdemand, so the Commerce MInIstry nas set a low mflation tafget of 2 2.8 per cent for tl'iIs year. . ' Deputy permanent secretary Urawee NgowroOngruen~ SaId yes ferdaythat mfl atI on woul be low as , mosfpnceswereeihectedtotemam Ijnchanged, while eeconomy has shoWn a slower Itlca con o e Impac IC an ~ o. Wo. .' . . The III latIOn prOjectIOn assumes Dubai crude oil will average U8$95 $115 per barrel, the baht will range between 29 and 34 to the US dollar and the government will extend measures ameliorating the cost of living and freeze of the diesel-fuel price. . Inflation is expected to average 2 per cent this quarter, but could rise by 0.5-1 percentage point ifthe new governmeIlt cancels some fuel and cost-of-living subsidies. In January, inflation increased 0.42 per cent from December, driv en by rising fpod and fuel prices. • Year on year, food and beverages rose3.6~ per cent last month on high demand for some foods to celebrate the Chinese New Year, while non food-and- beverage prices increased 1.07per cent, mainlyfrom fuel hikes. Electricity bills increased by 1.45 per cent, cooking gas by 2.27 percen t and petrol by 1.48 per cent. Among the 450 goods and serv ices in the ministry's inflation bas ket, the prices of202 items increased against decreases in 58 items. The rest were,unchanged. . Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and fuel prices, fii:med slightly by 1.04 per ceriiyearon year and by 0.21 per' cent month on month. The Bank of Thailand is main taining its 2014 forecast for core inflation at 0.5-3 per cent. ..,. d n'~'VI'j"N~1ru«tfa BANGKOK POST D FEBRUARY 2014 January, consumer prices see slight rise PHUSADEE ARUNMAS inflation was 0.42%, driven largely by apike in prices offood and drinks, which rose by Consumer prices edged up slightly in the 3.62% year-on-year in January. first month of the year, indicating that the Meat, poultry and fish prices jumped economy remains in the slow lane. . by 8.28%, while egg and dairy prices were The index of consumer prices based on up by 5.34%. 450 items rose by 1.93% ill January from the Core inflation, outpacing fresh food same month last year. and fuel prices, was 1.04% year-on-year The rate was in slow growth for the last month, with the monthly figure rising third consecutive month against 1.67% last 0.21% from December. December and a 1.92% rise in November . uTIle slight increase in inflation has been .due maiilly to the economic slowdown·in in fuieWltll slow economic conditions,' said the fourth quarter and higher oil and power commerce deputy permanent secretary prices,.the Commerce Ministry saia m a Urawee Ngowroongrueng, brushirig aSIde report released yesterday. . . the possibility of the country entering a On a month-to-month basis, headline aeflationary stage. Benjarong Suwankiri, a first vice-presi dent ofTMB Analytics, said January's prices gained, boosted mainly by rising consumer spending during the festive season and Chi nese New Year. . "It's now still difficult to make an infla tion forecast, as the ongoing political tur moil together With weakened consUmer consumption as well as a sluggish domestic economymay ease price pressure over the next few months;' said Mr Benjarong: . 'We'll wait and see how the rate is in February. If therate increases this month, it may affect the decision of the Bank of Thailand's Monetary Policy Committee." TMB projects inflation to rise by an average 2.7%, said MrBenjarong. For 2014, the Commerce Ministryfore casts inflation Will range between 2% and 2.!l'1t, assumrng econOmIC growth of 3"'5%, 'tlie'IJaht's exchange rate remaining at29-34 to the US dollcu; Dubai oil prices are US$95 115 a barrel and the government continues subsidies to ease the rising cost of living, said Ms Urawee. However, she said the inflation rate is expected to stay at the 2% level until the middle of the year before rising above 2% .in the third quarter and 2.3% to 2.4% later in the year. . . Last year, headline inflation averaged 2.18% and core inflation 1%. "'" tf n~~'VI~'HJ'W1ru1i£J THE NATION ----1 QUICK NEWS FEBRUARY 2014 I TUF reports successful baht debenture issue toward debt refinancing Thai Union Frozen Produtts. Thailand's leading processor and eworter of canned and frozen seafood products, has successfully offered baht-denominat ed debentures to agroup of institutional and wealthy investors. . This is the fourth time TUF has issued baht debentures since 2007. The pro ceeds from this issuance will be mainly used to refinance the portion of the com pany's long-term debts that will come due this year as wel\as optimising the balance of its short- and long-term debts.. Company president Thiraphong Chansfri said TUF had successfully issued babt debentures ofthree-, five-. seven- and lO-year maturIties; which had all been assigned an "AA-· rating by TRIS. Kasikornbank and HSBC have been apPointed as joint lead arrangers for the debenture issuance. ~'Despite the current market volatility, TUF has been ablE successfully to ·launch its first bahtdebentures of the year: Thiraphong said. "This has clearly .demonstrat€d investors' high confidence in TUF. T/leyindeed showed very strong .interest during the book-building exercise. "The demand was so overwhelming that the company exercised.agreenshoe option to accommodate such strong demand, resulting in 4.5 times oversubscrip tion. The oversubscription of this scale Was conSidered very positive. In order to accommod ate this strong interest. we therefore decided to inc r~ase the issuance size from the initial target of 8t6 billion to 8t8.25 billion." Boost in chicken exports seen b'l """ I( nl~V1ld~'W1ru'tf£.l ~ THE NATION Do you feel better? Re: "Ministry targets 5% export growth this year", Business, February 1. The Commerce Minist~ expects Th~ll overseas shIpments t is year to grow by 5 per cent, despite the potential for the political unrest to hit some industries, after last year saw the first export contraction since 2009. . This sounds like good news. It makes me feel better. Wait a minute, I remember Kittirat telling us "white lies" to make us feel bet ter' and this latest announcement came just before an election. A coincidence surely. Ifit was com plained that it affected voting it might tarnish any victory ceremony. Richard Bowler Bangkok FEBRUARY 2014 THE NATION FEBRUARY 2014 Private sector warns (Quntry (QuId face GOP loss of Bt240' bn ERICH PARPART THE NATION APROLON'GED political conflict would ·dampen Thai economic growth, shaving profound impact on the growth of . the committee estimatedthat Ifthe up to Bt240 i:!iIlion off gross domestic . Thailand's economy. Thiswould be due poUtical conflict is prolonged, the Thai product (GOP) and causing thecountrY to alack of stimulation from the govern economic growth rate would be 1.5 to 2 to lagbehind its neighbours, aprivate ment, aslowdown of domestic inVest percentage pOints lower than the previ ·-meht andConsumption, and deCreased sector group warned yesterday. ous forecast of 5percent. If it lastsfor si>.: Meanwhile. other SoUtheast Asian investorconfidence due tohigher risks. months; theciJuntry's GOP would lose . countries such as Indonesia, Vietnam leading to missed opportunities for new . 8t120 billion. If the conflict lasts for one . and (pmbodia are expectedto enjoy . ·investment. . . year, GOP Would be hitby Bt240 billion. . . The group, which includes members GOP gro'Wt-l:l.Of 5-6 per centthis year: He added that the delay of govem The Joint Private standing . of the commerce. industryand banking · ment spending In2012 created.an Committee said apolitical vacuum in the sectors, convened its meeting yesternay. impactonthe economy in 2013, and a .' Payungsak Chartsutipol. chairman of lack of agovernment in the first half of . first half ofthis year'due totheunre soLved political conflictwoutd have a . the Federation of ·1 hallndustnes. said .2014 woutd definitely SiJeIL'r:noretrouble 'on theeconorny inthe long run," he said.. · forbudgetspendingin20l5. . · Apart from alack of public speodirig. The committee saidthe private sec ·tor would have tEl help itselfthrough this another obvious problem is the lower . tough times/nce there is apossibilityof . . number ofprivate investment projects. ana~sence of permanent g'overnmen~ in • Since the Board of Investment does not have the authority to appr.ove new proj" . the next:Six months due to the protract ects withouta permanent government. ed election penod. .' "Foreign investment opportunities . • . "The most worrisome aspect ofa come andgo all thetirne, butwhen they ·prolonged absence of govemment is the lack of public spending to help stimulate are gone, they are gone for along time. .' ;·the ec()nomy,and the impact on the . Ourneighbours aregettingstronger and investmentenvironment and investors' ifthe current situation is prolonged, investors will begin to look somewhere . t~st, which will have anegative effect ·.else in Asean for their ventures and it will lowerthe country's competitiveness . before the opening of the Asean Emnomic Community in 2015, Payungsak said. · • Payungsaksaid SMEs are most. . affected by the current lack of aperma · nent government, suffering from liquidity problemsbrooght on by lowersales . numbers and the absence of stimulus from the government. However. despite the lack ofgovernment support. the pri vate sector is prepared to.help itself and the SMEs that are affected by the cur rent political turmoil, he said. . """ If nc;i~'VIc;i'1~ 'W1 ru~ f.I BANGKOK POST L1 Impasse hits 2014 growth SOMRUEDIBANCHONGDUANG The Joint Standing Committee on Com. merce, Industry and BantdIig predicts one two percentage points Will be shaved off economic growth if the political turmoil lasts for several more months. The private sector has expressed con cern that ·the ongoing political impasse, which has taken a bite into domeStic con sumption and investment, will also affect foreign direct investment, Payungsak Chartsutipol, chairman of the Federation ofThai Industries, said after the meet ing yesterday. The central bank earlier predicted that 2014 gross domestic product (GDP) growth could be lower than the 3% figure for 2013. The political turmoil will aggravate already-ebbing domestic investment and tonsumption amid the weak economic momentum from lastyear. Local buSiness operators have slowed raw material and machinery imports, while foreign investors have put their focus on neighQoring countrIes, and this could weaken· Thailand's competitiveness in the . long run, said Mr Payungsak. Small and medium-sized enterprises are feeling the pinch from the unu sual situation. Chartsiri Sophonpanich, chairman of the Thai Bankers' Association, said each bank is ready to provide financial assistance to customers spanning additional liquid ity support and loan condition easing on a case-by-case basis. Asset quality of the banking sector remains positive. 9r FEBRUARY 2014 ..". ~ n':i~Vi':i1~~1 ru.suv A BANGKOK POST ". We have to adhere to .transparency and'good· governance. KRUNGTHAI BANK DIRECTOR PAYUNGSAK CHARTSUTHIPOL DENYING RUMOURS THAl THE BOARD IS TO CONSIDER LOANS FOR THE TROUBLED RICE SCHEME IN TODAY'S MEETING FEBRUARY 2014 THE NATION FEBRUARY 2014 Desperate farmers seek help from King to get rice-scheme payments THE NATION Phetchaburi, Prachuap Khiri Khan and Ratchaburi gathered at FARMERS WILL' appeal to His Ratchaburi's Wang ,Manao intersec Majesty the King on Thursday over tion yesterday and totally blocked the their plight resulting from overdue PhetKasem Road. Southbound traf fic flows through Phet Kasem and payments owing from the rice;.pledg RamaIIroadsformedl0km-longtraf ing schE:me. A farmer leader, Prakasit fic congestion. F~ers' repre Jaemjumrat, said sentative Ravee ,the group was gath- SOME 1 000 raDUERS eringnames and .. rRftIII. . Rungreung said if " the caretaker gov signaturesofaffect- FROM WHOM ~THOII. ernmentwouldn't ed farmers 'in ' u 'uruauaDllD1 P h ic h i t , ,1J\J1IUVUNR I send, a representa tive to negotiate Phi t san u 10k, with, them, they Kamphaeng ,Phet PHE1tHABUR1 PRACHUAP andNakhonSawan It would continue the road blockage' for to submit a petition months if needed to the Royal fta,.,"IJaDURI ea'l'l.lrRED ~I nil; Household Bureau IUU\JIRU untH they were, paid. Apologisingto on Thursday., AT RATCHABURI'S WAN6 motorists for the They said after MANAOINTERSECllON inconvenience, he all previous said the farmers attempts to gain were severely attention,including affected and had road blockades, run out ofsolutions their complaints 'ROAD.. had fallen on deaf , ' to get the caretaker government's attention on the issue. ' ears. Some 500 farmers frOII,l Phichit, Prakasit said that Phichit province alone saw the caretaker government Nakhon Sawan, Khamphaeng Phet, Sukhothai and Phitsanulok blocked owing Bt7.5billionin pledged rice pay one Bangkok-bound lane of a road in ments to 40,000 fatrriers. Meanwhile, some 1,000 farmers , front of thf! Bank for Agriculture and fromNakhon Pathom, Kanchanaburi, Agricultural Co,..operatives CBAAC)'s 'Suphan Buri, Samut Songkhram, Bung Na Rang branch in Phichit yes SUPHAN BURl, SAMUT SON6KHRAM, KNIRI KHAN AND YESTERDAY AND lOTALLY BLOCKED, PHET KASEM for the royal petition. Ang Thong agri terday, c3llingforthe pledged rice pay ments. The group said this would be , culture council president Songpol ,their final battle to get answers about Pulsawat said that a'letter from Ang pledged rice payments from the care Thong farmers to the caretaker gov taker government. , ,ernment - via:the provincial governO,r . The farmers at the rally also regis on January 22 - for.the overdue pay tered and submitted their documents ments to be paid by January 31, had " ' - -" -----~--.-- ... n't seen any progress. As a result, the farmers would block amain road in the province on February 6. The group wanted the caretaker gQvernment to' 'pay them for the 'pledged rice or let the farmers borrow money from the BAAC, with thecare taker government covering the loan', 'interestforthem.The fanners expect~ ed a caretaker goverru:hent represen tative to pick up their demand by February 6 atthe rally site - or else the road blockade would continue, he added. '1 :~ j j 1 1 1 1 , t .1 1 Farmers block the southbound lanes of Phet Kasem Road at RatchaburPsWang Manaointersectlon yesterday, """ ({ nj~'V1j"N'W 1W6(1V BANGKOK POST A FEBRUARY 2014 New ric!e exporter looks inward to sJ?ur sales . ! .. suppliers providing fragrant Cambodia and Malaysia I Hom Mali rice from the large has mostly benefited the hotel irldustry. northeastern plateau called : Thung Kula Rong HaL The "Many new hotels are aimed company gets white rice from at foreign travellers, and pre the lower northern provinces: mium-grade nce is chosen to WALAILAK KEERATIPIPATPONG ·Some suppliers have been serve them," Mr Teerin said. "Although our neighbours in business with us since the The competitiveness of Thai rice in main, can grow good-quality rice, starti this could be a supportive factor for a small company like stream markets is .apt to be weak for thte the supply may not be enough next few years because of the abundalllt to serve travellers along Mr Teenn: High us to expand outside Chon Buri demand on bonier the border:' province and penetrate over local supply. Border trade at Mae Sot, Many exporters are pinning hope~; on seas markets; Mr Teerin said. The 62-year-old rice trader has success a pickup after the state clears out lB- 20 a district of Thk: province that shares a border with Myanmar, is the most active fully raised the profile of packed rice prod tonnes amas~ed from rice pledging. But some exporters have decided no·tto with more than 37 billion baht in revenue ucts under the Kaijae and Krachoa brands. Soonthorn Tanyasap has also exported wait and are seeking niche markets inslre ad. generated last year. The area has attracted . Border markets offer high potential for both domestic and foreign tourists. rice to Dubai, the g1}.teway to countries in Soonthorn Tanyasap Co, a newcome r to Chon Buri-based Soonthorn Tan the Middle East - a region that accounts for rice exporting. yasap buys non-pledged rice from suppliers about 20% of Thailand's yearly rice exports. "We found high demand for rice aJlong . and farmers to assure the quality. One effective channel for a less-estab the border of Thailand and neighboutring Since the reputation of Thai rice has lished company like Soonthorn Tanyasap countries, thanks to growing tradle and been tainted by the huge, years-old state is to join an international food fair such tourism business," said managing dIDector stockpile, building strong connections as ThaiFex. Mr Teerin is also eyeing Hong Kong, with farmers and suppliers can be a plus Teerin Tanyawattanakul. China and Spain, places where demand The travel boom in Thal border dties for exporters. and neighbours such as Myanmar,Laos, Soonthorn Tanyasap has several for premium rice is always high. Soonthorn Tanyasap seeks border markets rrlnding a niche market is necessary for !the rice sector , .today, says MrTeerln. But selling rice abroad is not the compa ny's priority; the lucrative domestic market forpacked rice is growing each year as the country urbanises. In Thailand, the market value ofpacked rice in modern trade was 31-32 billion baht in 2013, up 5% from the .year before. Packed rice sales iDl traditional trade are much higher, covelring demand from restaurants, hotels aDld traditional gro cery stores. Traders estimatet.1lle value of the traditional trade market for rice at 150 biTh lion baht a year. ", Not all rice eaten by Thais is sold co~ mercially. Some of the amount is produce« by farmers for their own consumption. ~ The Thailand Development an~ Research Institute estimates annual rici consumption in Thailand between Hl.~ million and 10.7 million tonnes. ~ "Thais will not eat less rice;' Mr TeeriJ said. ·Th~y may shift to other f1our-base~ food such as bread or pizza, but that's juJt for a while:' ;'! The favourable conditions should hel~ boost local consumption continuously bl\ 5-10% a year. if Soonthorn Tanyasap's sales growth, higher than the industry average, topping 30% a year. '.' / The company's Kaijae and Kracha~ brands are project.ed to rake in 2 billiOj' baht in revenue from 300,000 tonnes rice sold this year, with 90% of the rev nue from traditional trade and 10% fro~?, modem trade. i:1! Soonthorn Tanyasap aims for 40t growth in 2014. ~
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